From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Dec 1 00:16:34 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 16:16:34 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] again with the gun stats In-Reply-To: <01b101c3b791$595fd720$c5994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <20031201001634.25724.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> --- Damien Broderick wrote: > > > > Note that these are not [all] deaths. How does this compare with > some other places > > of comparable size? Inner London in 2001: 2,765,975, so maybe > roughly > > equivalent of US population would be 94,000 armed crimes > > A tad more tells me: > > http://www.met.police.uk/about/index.htm > > < Today, the Metropolitan Police Service employs 29,278 officers, > 11,368 > police staff, 609 traffic wardens and 865 Police Community Support > Officers > (PCSOs), and, since the realignment of police boundaries in April > 2000, it > covers an area of 620 square miles and a population of 7.2million. > (figures updated: August 2003) > Lets see, London has 1 cop per 133 members of the general population, and 68 cops per square mile. In contrast, for example, the city of Concord, NH, has an entire police department staff of 94, covering a population of 40,000+ and 64 square miles, or just under 1 per 400 members of the general population, and 1.5 per square mile. Why is Concord's crime rate so much lower than London's, despite London having three times as many police per 1000 population, and more than 40 times more cops per square mile?????? Note that New Hampshire has the lowest crime rate in the entire US, 2.2 per 100 population. We also have the 3rd most free gun laws in the US, and one of the highest degrees of gun ownership in the US. Look up NH crime rates: http://www.fbi.gov/ucr/cius_02/xl/02tbl05.xls ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Dec 1 00:24:30 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 16:24:30 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Guns In-Reply-To: <022601c3b799$17ddd880$c5994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <20031201002430.26834.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> --- Damien Broderick wrote: > > As I pointed out last time this comical factoid came around, the > figures in question were as follows: > > http://www.breakthechain.org/exclusives/australiaguns.html > > Victoria (population circa 5 million) recorded 7 firearm-related > homicides in 1996, and 19 firearm-related homicides in 1997. That > number has now fallen. > > 1996 - 7 > 1997 - 19 (171.4% increase from 1996 to 1997) > 1998 - 17 (10.5% decrease from 1997 to 1998). > 1999 - 14 (17.6% decrease from 1998 to 1999). > > ============= > > Why keep citing this preposterous silliness, Mike? Lets see, you say a doubling of murders in a three year time span is a decrease???? Did you write copy for the Clinton White House? This is the ultimate in Orwellian spin doctoring... ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Dec 1 00:29:29 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 16:29:29 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] life expectancy In-Reply-To: <3FCA7DC4.8010605@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> Message-ID: <20031201002929.4005.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> --- BillK wrote: > On Sun Nov 30, 2003 03:38 pm Damien Broderick queried: > > > > Bill, I'm still trying to make sense of this. After you exclude the > > wild and dangerous life style of Canadian women, their life > > expectancy *drops* from 81.4 years to 73.5? I guess that the latter > > figure is for the entire living female population, or more exactly > > that the former figure is for girl babies born between 1997 and > 1999, does > > that sound right? > > > > Yeh, confusing isn't it? :) > Even when you read it in the full report it still seems likely to > confuse. Depends. For example, while pregnancy is itself a mortality risk factor, NOT having a child prior to age 25 raises a womans risk of breast and cirvical cancer considerably. While not having kids might be considered "reducing risk", in the end you are increasing your risk. It's one of those counter-intuitive things that goes against conventional wisdom, like moderate drinking is life extending and being slightly overweight is better than being obese OR underweight for life expectancy. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From gregburch at gregburch.net Mon Dec 1 00:45:08 2003 From: gregburch at gregburch.net (Greg Burch) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 18:45:08 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Guns In-Reply-To: <20031201002430.26834.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: > -----Original Message----- > From: Mike Lorrey > Sent: Sunday, November 30, 2003 6:25 PM > > --- Damien Broderick wrote: > > > > As I pointed out last time this comical factoid came around, the > > figures in question were as follows: > > > > http://www.breakthechain.org/exclusives/australiaguns.html > > > > Victoria (population circa 5 million) recorded 7 firearm-related > > homicides in 1996, and 19 firearm-related homicides in 1997. That > > number has now fallen. > > > > 1996 - 7 > > 1997 - 19 (171.4% increase from 1996 to 1997) > > 1998 - 17 (10.5% decrease from 1997 to 1998). > > 1999 - 14 (17.6% decrease from 1998 to 1999). > > > > ============= > > > > Why keep citing this preposterous silliness, Mike? > > Lets see, you say a doubling of murders in a three year time span is a > decrease???? Did you write copy for the Clinton White House? This is > the ultimate in Orwellian spin doctoring... For crying out loud, Mike, that's *NOT* what Damien is saying. He's saying the numbers are so small in absolute terms that expressing increases in terms of percentages from one year to the next is meaningless. If you must apply a percentage to these statistics, it would seem to be more meaningful to express them in terms of the percentage of the population killed by firearms: 1996: 0.00014% 1997: 0.00038% 1998: 0.00034% 1999: 0.00028% All of which is statistically almost meaningless -- the numbers are just too small. GB http://www.gregburch.net/burchismo.html From max at maxmore.com Mon Dec 1 00:59:51 2003 From: max at maxmore.com (Max More) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 18:59:51 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Gun and crime stats for the USA Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031130185856.05ba78d8@mail.earthlink.net> More numbers to argue over: The nation`s violent crime rate (the number of crimes per 100,000 population) has declined every year since 1991 and is now at a 22-year low. And murder is at a 35-year low. (FBI, www.fbi.gov/ucr/ucr.htm) The trends include the following highlights: ? Since 1991, the nation`s violent crime rates have all decreased substantially. Total violent crime (the aggregate of murder and non-negligent manslaughter, rape, robbery, and aggravated assault), has decreased 33.2%; murder and non-negligent manslaughter has decreased 43.7%; rape has decreased 24.2%; robbery has decreased 46.9%; and aggravated assault has decreased 25.3%. ? National violent crime rates in 2000 were the lowest in years. Total violent crime, the lowest since 1978; murder, the lowest since 1965; rape, the lowest since 1978; robbery, the lowest since 1968; and aggravated assault, the lowest since 1985. ? Further demonstrating the irrelevance of "gun control" to crime rates, between 1991 (when violent crime started declining nationally) and 2000, states that had the greatest decreases in violent crime generally, and in murder in particular, included both those that have some of the nation`s least restrictive gun laws (such as Texas, Alabama, South Carolina, and West Virginia) and those that have some of the most restrictive (such as California, New York, Massachusetts, and Connecticut). ? In 2000, as in previous years, firearms were used in less than one-fourth of violent crimes. Most violent crimes were committed with hands and feet (32%), blunt objects and other weapons (28%), and knives (15%). ? In 2000, states that had Right-to-Carry laws had lower violent crime rates on average, compared to the rest of the country. Their total violent crime rate was 21.9% lower, murder was 28.4% lower, robbery was 37.7% lower, and aggravated assault was 16.5% lower. (Rape, the violent crime least likely to involve firearms, was 0.8% higher.) ? The only states that experienced increases in their murder rates between 1991 (when violent crime began declining) and 2000 were Rhode Island (16%), Nebraska (12%), Kansas (3%), and Minnesota (3%), all of which still do not have Right-to-Carry laws. From wingcat at pacbell.net Mon Dec 1 02:06:08 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 18:06:08 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Personal effectiveness In-Reply-To: <16330.23389.637199.899914@localhost.localdomain> Message-ID: <20031201020608.94250.qmail@web80401.mail.yahoo.com> --- JDP wrote: > (You're really master of the art when you > can add to all > this a tricky conversation with a potential sexual > partner that you > have just met, or with an intellectually > sophisticated person arguing > about some novel philosophical point -- and if the > same person is > both, then that's really spectacular.) My family does the second out of habit: cooking is a survival skill (I'm actually the least talented out of my immediate family), plus we discuss various brainstorms in idle moments. "Potential sexual partner" does not apply, of course, except between the family members married to each other - but bringing the children up to be comfortable doing this has lead to, well, us being able to do it. > Which brings us back to time-management, > prioritizing, and > synchronization, all integral to personal > effectiveness. Recently, I've been experimenting with cramming more things into my schedule. For the first time in a long while, I've found the limits of how much I can do at once. (I'm *trying* to back away from said limits now, to add emergency capacity - but, of course, the holiday season adds in its own extra tasks.) From dsunley at shaw.ca Mon Dec 1 02:23:35 2003 From: dsunley at shaw.ca (Darin Sunley) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 20:23:35 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Guns References: Message-ID: <004701c3b7b2$1f9ab480$0201a8c0@BOB> Any of us who've been around here long enough to remember the last big gun flamefest have seen all of this rhetoric, on both sides, before. But there is a new and intriguing element this time around. The previous flamewar emerged from the standard, familiar dynamics of text-based communications. Lack of face-to-face communication erodes the standard social cognitive feedback loops that generate civil behavior in most well-socialized adults. As is common in these situations, neither party had any particular formal training in the subject area, just the informed interest of a passionate layman. Neither party claimed to represent any organization larger than themselves, and therefore all flames were strictly personal. The participants could damage their own credibility, and sometimes even that of their opponents, but no one else's. This time however, the scale of the conflict is slightly larger. Dirk claims to be representing a new political party and, one assumes, has aspirations to eventually run as a candidate himself, or to speak for candidates running in local elections in the UK. Dirk, as fun as this petulant sniping and blatant stereotyping must be for you, and as much as it must seem that Mr. Lorrey started it and that honour must be satisfied, you MUST hold yourself to a higher standard of public behavior. This list is archived publically. As a citizen of the UK you must surely be famliar with the less savoury elements of your local media. The publishing of this, frankly petty, flamefest would, if spun appropriately, do serious damage to your long term credibility as a member of the British political community. Do yourself a huge favour and rise above the petty flamefests that characterize these kind of online debates. Tossing statistics of indeterminate credibility, tidbits of sarcasm and mediocre wit, and stereotypes constituting viscious insults won't win you the support of the average cocktail party, let alone a parliamentary riding where your clear passion for the issues might have some actual influence on public debate. To summarize, Dirk, this is not the time, not the place, and it is certainly not the manner in which to have this debate. Darin Sunley, dsunley at shaw.ca ----- Original Message ----- From: "Greg Burch" To: "ExI chat list" ; "Damien Broderick" Sent: Sunday, November 30, 2003 6:45 PM Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] Guns > > > -----Original Message----- > > From: Mike Lorrey > > Sent: Sunday, November 30, 2003 6:25 PM > > > > --- Damien Broderick wrote: > > > > > > As I pointed out last time this comical factoid came around, the > > > figures in question were as follows: > > > > > > http://www.breakthechain.org/exclusives/australiaguns.html > > > > > > Victoria (population circa 5 million) recorded 7 firearm-related > > > homicides in 1996, and 19 firearm-related homicides in 1997. That > > > number has now fallen. > > > > > > 1996 - 7 > > > 1997 - 19 (171.4% increase from 1996 to 1997) > > > 1998 - 17 (10.5% decrease from 1997 to 1998). > > > 1999 - 14 (17.6% decrease from 1998 to 1999). > > > > > > ============= > > > > > > Why keep citing this preposterous silliness, Mike? > > > > Lets see, you say a doubling of murders in a three year time span is a > > decrease???? Did you write copy for the Clinton White House? This is > > the ultimate in Orwellian spin doctoring... > > For crying out loud, Mike, that's *NOT* what Damien is saying. He's saying the numbers are so small in absolute terms that expressing increases in terms of percentages from one year to the next is meaningless. If you must apply a percentage to these statistics, it would seem to be more meaningful to express them in terms of the percentage of the population killed by firearms: > > 1996: 0.00014% > 1997: 0.00038% > 1998: 0.00034% > 1999: 0.00028% > > All of which is statistically almost meaningless -- the numbers are just too small. > > GB > http://www.gregburch.net/burchismo.html > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From dirk at neopax.com Mon Dec 1 03:06:13 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 03:06:13 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Guns References: <004701c3b7b2$1f9ab480$0201a8c0@BOB> Message-ID: <041e01c3b7b8$145e0f80$3bb5ff3e@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Darin Sunley" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Monday, December 01, 2003 2:23 AM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Guns > Any of us who've been around here long enough to remember the last big gun > flamefest have seen all of this rhetoric, on both sides, before. But there > is a new and intriguing element this time around. > > The previous flamewar emerged from the standard, familiar dynamics of > text-based communications. Lack of face-to-face communication erodes the > standard social cognitive feedback loops that generate civil behavior in > most well-socialized adults. As is common in these situations, neither party > had any particular formal training in the subject area, just the informed > interest of a passionate layman. Neither party claimed to represent any > organization larger than themselves, and therefore all flames were strictly > personal. The participants could damage their own credibility, and sometimes > even that of their opponents, but no one else's. > > This time however, the scale of the conflict is slightly larger. Dirk claims > to be representing a new political party and, one assumes, has aspirations > to eventually run as a candidate himself, or to speak for candidates running > in local elections in the UK. > > Dirk, as fun as this petulant sniping and blatant stereotyping must be for > you, and as much as it must seem that Mr. Lorrey started it and that honour > must be satisfied, you MUST hold yourself to a higher standard of public > behavior. This list is archived publically. As a citizen of the UK you must > surely be famliar with the less savoury elements of your local media. The > publishing of this, frankly petty, flamefest would, if spun appropriately, > do serious damage to your long term credibility as a member of the British > political community. I'm afraid I'm a long way from being a serious member of the British political community, and I have another 40,000 odd posts to answer for before the media gets to this. I use Usenet (and this to some extent) as a 'warts and all' record of my beliefs and opinions and how they change and evolve over time. Hence I always post under my own name. > Do yourself a huge favour and rise above the petty flamefests that > characterize these kind of online debates. Tossing statistics of > indeterminate credibility, tidbits of sarcasm and mediocre wit, and > stereotypes constituting viscious insults won't win you the support of the > average cocktail party, let alone a parliamentary riding where your clear > passion for the issues might have some actual influence on public debate. I'm afraid nobody of consequence reads any of this crap, and the only reason they might is because one (or more) of us becomes famous enough to put it on the map in the real world. > To summarize, Dirk, this is not the time, not the place, and it is certainly > not the manner in which to have this debate. So what is the time and place to wind up self righteous Americans in love with their guns? Thing is, the party as such has no opinion on gun ownership so I feel free to piss about as the mood takes me on this issue. Sometimes I'm for, sometimes against. For myself, I've always loved personal weapons from knives, through swords and bows to automatic firearms. I've been a martial arts teacher for more than two decades and am reasonably proficient with quite a selection, including military rifles and pistols. If I lived in the US I would no doubt have a decent collection eg Walther P99, Desert Eagle in 44cal for fun, a full calbre bolt action and an AR15. Maybe even a 50cal long range rifle like the Barrett depending on the law. The point is, though, that I don't consider gun ownership sacred and am quite prepared to go along with the majority decision of whatever society I live in. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From aiguy at comcast.net Mon Dec 1 03:48:25 2003 From: aiguy at comcast.net (Gary Miller) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 22:48:25 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Gun and crime stats for the USA References: <5.1.0.14.2.20031130185856.05ba78d8@mail.earthlink.net> Message-ID: <003501c3b7bd$f96bf650$9ef9a343@GaryMiller01> Don't we have to add the number of deaths from accidental gun deaths to the number murdered to get a true picture of loss of life? Quoting http://www.nationalreview.com/kopel/kopel013101.shtml Putting aside the suicides, the Kellermann/Reay figures show 2.39 accidental or criminal deaths by firearm (in the home) for every justifiable fatal shooting. Now, 2 to 1 is a lot less dramatic than 43 to 1 earlier reported in a flawed earlier analysis, but we still have more unjustifiable gun deaths than justifiable gun deaths in the home. Worse yet many of those killed are the very children the parents seek to protect. Hand gun locks and smart guns could eliminate this disparity once the public was legally required to meet this requirement. But the cost of smart guns could be cost prohibitive and hand gun locks laws could only be enforced after the fact or on an inspection basis the way we do with automobiles. Juries would be extremely reluctant to prosecute parents for manslaughter who left an unlocked gun where a child could gain access but the publicity from such trials could further server to educate other gun owners. I have read that the decrease in murder rates is in a large part due to the decreased fatalities caused by improvement of medical trauma. Additional factors include improved police work in getting repeat violent offenders off the street sooner and laws like three strikes and your out which put repeat violent offenders away for good. ----- Original Message ----- From: "Max More" To: "Extropy Chat" Sent: Sunday, November 30, 2003 7:59 PM Subject: [extropy-chat] Gun and crime stats for the USA > More numbers to argue over: > > The nation`s violent crime rate (the number of crimes per 100,000 > population) has declined every year since 1991 and is now at a 22-year low. > And murder is at a 35-year low. (FBI, www.fbi.gov/ucr/ucr.htm) The trends > include the following highlights: > ? Since 1991, the nation`s violent crime rates have all decreased > substantially. Total violent crime (the aggregate of murder and > non-negligent manslaughter, rape, robbery, and aggravated assault), has > decreased 33.2%; murder and non-negligent manslaughter has decreased 43.7%; > rape has decreased 24.2%; robbery has decreased 46.9%; and aggravated > assault has decreased 25.3%. > ? National violent crime rates in 2000 were the lowest in years. > Total violent crime, the lowest since 1978; murder, the lowest since 1965; > rape, the lowest since 1978; robbery, the lowest since 1968; and aggravated > assault, the lowest since 1985. > ? Further demonstrating the irrelevance of "gun control" to crime > rates, between 1991 (when violent crime started declining nationally) and > 2000, states that had the greatest decreases in violent crime generally, > and in murder in particular, included both those that have some of the > nation`s least restrictive gun laws (such as Texas, Alabama, South > Carolina, and West Virginia) and those that have some of the most > restrictive (such as California, New York, Massachusetts, and Connecticut). > ? In 2000, as in previous years, firearms were used in less than > one-fourth of violent crimes. Most violent crimes were committed with hands > and feet (32%), blunt objects and other weapons (28%), and knives (15%). > ? In 2000, states that had Right-to-Carry laws had lower violent > crime rates on average, compared to the rest of the country. Their total > violent crime rate was 21.9% lower, murder was 28.4% lower, robbery was > 37.7% lower, and aggravated assault was 16.5% lower. (Rape, the violent > crime least likely to involve firearms, was 0.8% higher.) > ? The only states that experienced increases in their murder rates > between 1991 (when violent crime began declining) and 2000 were Rhode > Island (16%), Nebraska (12%), Kansas (3%), and Minnesota (3%), all of which > still do not have Right-to-Carry laws. > > > > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From spike66 at comcast.net Mon Dec 1 03:50:41 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 19:50:41 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Guns In-Reply-To: <004701c3b7b2$1f9ab480$0201a8c0@BOB> Message-ID: <000601c3b7be$4a49ddd0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > Darin Sunley > Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Guns > > Any of us who've been around here long enough to remember the > last big gun flamefest have seen all of this rhetoric, on both sides, > before. But there is a new and intriguing element this time around. > > The previous flamewar emerged from the standard, familiar dynamics of > text-based communications. Lack of face-to-face communication > erodes the standard social cognitive feedback loops that generate civil > behavior in most well-socialized adults... The participants have been remarkably civil this time around. Perhaps we really can discuss this topic. {8-] spike From dirk at neopax.com Mon Dec 1 04:23:20 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 04:23:20 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Guns References: <000601c3b7be$4a49ddd0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <046601c3b7c2$d9e81570$3bb5ff3e@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Spike" To: "'ExI chat list'" Sent: Monday, December 01, 2003 3:50 AM Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] Guns > > > Darin Sunley > > Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Guns > > > > Any of us who've been around here long enough to remember the > > last big gun flamefest have seen all of this rhetoric, on both sides, > > before. But there is a new and intriguing element this time around. > > > > The previous flamewar emerged from the standard, familiar dynamics of > > text-based communications. Lack of face-to-face communication > > erodes the standard social cognitive feedback loops that generate > civil > > behavior in most well-socialized adults... > > The participants have been remarkably civil this time > around. Perhaps we really can discuss this topic. {8-] I doubt it. It's a religious issue that is a matter of faith. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From ABlainey at aol.com Mon Dec 1 04:30:21 2003 From: ABlainey at aol.com (ABlainey at aol.com) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 23:30:21 EST Subject: [extropy-chat] test Message-ID: test. what no mail for 2 days? hmmmmmmmmmm From gpmap at runbox.com Mon Dec 1 05:18:45 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 06:18:45 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Scientists harness rice gene in battle against poverty Message-ID: BusinessWorld, the Philippines' leading business newspaper, has an article on designer rice that scientists say could save the human race, but which some fear is a potential monster. The idea that nutrient-rich, yellow-tinged golden rice seeds are the culinary equivalent of the Frankenstein monster doesn't make any sense. So far, no GMO [genetically modified organism] produced and released to the farmer has caused any risk or any adverse effect that's known to us. These are the opinions of biotechnologists and managers at the International Rice Research Institute (IRRI). A 10-year coordinated effort by IRRI, the private sector and a number of national scientific institutions has led to "golden rice," where three genes are manipulated to make them produce beta carotene, niacin, iron and other essential minerals in the seed. This and other GMOs will be available to ordinary Asian farmers and consumers in three or four years once governments adopt national biosafety guidelines. It could have "tremendous impact" on nutrition for Asians, who eat steamed rice at least twice a day. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From gpmap at runbox.com Mon Dec 1 05:20:23 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 06:20:23 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Future Of Wireless Sensor Networks Message-ID: >From Slashdot: In the 12/03 Wired, Intel's Tiny Hope for the Future describes a fundamental transformation as Intel's Research director David Tennenhouse realized the importance of sensor networks. He saw a Berkeley project on 'motes,' little sensors that communicate on ad-hoc wireless networks. 'The company now foresees networks consisting of thousands of motes, located wherever there's a need for data collection, streaming real-time data to one another and to central servers. Intel imagines the day when every assembly line, soybean field, and nursing home on the planet will be peppered with motes, prodding factory foremen to replace faulty machines, farmers to water fields, and nurses to check on something unusual in room E214.' Intel was impressed enough with the technology to fund a whole 'lablet' to develop it. Intel sees a huge potential market in developing both the sensors and the computation to process the huge amounts of sensor information. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From spike66 at comcast.net Mon Dec 1 05:35:53 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 21:35:53 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Guns In-Reply-To: <046601c3b7c2$d9e81570$3bb5ff3e@artemis> Message-ID: <000001c3b7cc$fd6d8390$6501a8c0@SHELLY> ... social cognitive feedback loops that generate civil > > > behavior in most well-socialized adults... > > > > The participants have been remarkably civil this time > > around. Perhaps we really can discuss this topic. {8-] > > > I doubt it. > It's a religious issue that is a matter of faith. > > Dirk Dirk, it could be that a lot of gun debate is pointless. In this country, gun ownership is our right, so the fed cannot legally challenge it in any case. Were the fed to attempt to do so, we would be forced to conclude that our legal constitutional government had been overthrown, and would be obligated to take up arms against it restore a legal government. That's pretty simple, isn't it? Caustic debate on the topic is unnecessary, pointless as hell. spike From dirk at neopax.com Mon Dec 1 05:48:43 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 05:48:43 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Guns References: <000001c3b7cc$fd6d8390$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <049401c3b7ce$c780f850$3bb5ff3e@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Spike" To: "'Dirk Bruere'" ; "'ExI chat list'" Sent: Monday, December 01, 2003 5:35 AM Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] Guns > > ... social cognitive feedback loops that generate civil > > > > behavior in most well-socialized adults... > > > > > > The participants have been remarkably civil this time > > > around. Perhaps we really can discuss this topic. {8-] > > > > > > I doubt it. > > It's a religious issue that is a matter of faith. > > > > Dirk > > > Dirk, it could be that a lot of gun debate is > pointless. In this country, gun ownership is our > right, so the fed cannot legally challenge it in any > case. Were the fed to attempt to do so, we would be > forced to conclude that our legal constitutional > government had been overthrown, and would be obligated > to take up arms against it restore a legal government. > That's pretty simple, isn't it? Caustic debate on the > topic is unnecessary, pointless as hell. It's far from simple. Why don't you tell me how you can own fully automatic rifles in California? It may be your constitutional right to own guns, but the govt gets to decide what guns you are allowed, and what you aren't. Your rights would not be in breach of the constitution if they only allowed you flintlock muskets. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From dirk at neopax.com Mon Dec 1 05:49:17 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 05:49:17 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] test References: Message-ID: <049a01c3b7ce$dbc654e0$3bb5ff3e@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: To: Sent: Monday, December 01, 2003 4:30 AM Subject: [extropy-chat] test > test. what no mail for 2 days? hmmmmmmmmmm You probably have your boredom filter set to 'on'. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From thespike at earthlink.net Mon Dec 1 05:52:07 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 23:52:07 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Guns--generalized References: <000001c3b7cc$fd6d8390$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <00d901c3b7cf$42e4a5a0$c5994a43@texas.net> Spike reckons: > In this country, gun ownership is our > right, so the fed cannot legally challenge it in any > case. Were the fed to attempt to do so, we would be > forced to conclude that our legal constitutional > government had been overthrown, and would be obligated > to take up arms against it I don't know how this legal constitution caper works (being a benighted Aussie), but a few questions spring to mind. Suppose slavery had been enshrined from the outset in the Constitution, or suppose that women had been forbidden suffrage. Would it not be permitted to change these rights and exclusions? Suppose enough citizens wanted to forbid the sale and consumption of alcoholic beverages, even though that had been implicitly a right until then? And if the ban were legally inserted into the legal constitution, would there be a legal constitutional way to get rid of it on second thoughts? And then to reimpose it on third thoughts? (I could ask the lawyer downstairs, but she's very busy...) Damien Broderick From gpmap at runbox.com Mon Dec 1 05:59:24 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 06:59:24 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] A question on Consensus policy Message-ID: Dirk, I am still trying to interpret your ideas. Could you please answer this? Suppose Bigland is an old nation state where most citizens are proudly worshipping the national flag and talking all the time of the national culture, language, music, philosophy, battles won, etc. Suppose Smalland is a region of Bigland where at some point the citizens democratically decide to become independent from Bigland. Assuming that Bigland has vastly superior military power, does Bigland have any right to force Smalland to remain a part of Bigland? From dirk at neopax.com Mon Dec 1 06:12:32 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 06:12:32 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] A question on Consensus policy References: Message-ID: <04c801c3b7d2$1b6e3b50$3bb5ff3e@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Giu1i0 Pri5c0" To: ; Sent: Monday, December 01, 2003 5:59 AM Subject: [extropy-chat] A question on Consensus policy > Dirk, I am still trying to interpret your ideas. Could you please answer > this? > Suppose Bigland is an old nation state where most citizens are proudly > worshipping the national flag and talking all the time of the national > culture, language, music, philosophy, battles won, etc. Suppose Smalland is > a region of Bigland where at some point the citizens democratically decide > to become independent from Bigland. Assuming that Bigland has vastly > superior military power, does Bigland have any right to force Smalland to > remain a part of Bigland? Militarily, no. However, they do have a right to exert pressure within their own (Bigland-Smalland) borders. For example, they could simply state that they will not trade with them, or allow overflights of passenger aircraft etc. That may hurt Smalland sufficiently to coerce the population, but only if they value their money over their freedom. A true nationstate must be a viable proposition and not exist solely due to the generosity of its neighbours. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From dirk at neopax.com Mon Dec 1 06:12:32 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 06:12:32 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] A question on Consensus policy References: Message-ID: <04c801c3b7d2$1b6e3b50$3bb5ff3e@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Giu1i0 Pri5c0" To: ; Sent: Monday, December 01, 2003 5:59 AM Subject: [extropy-chat] A question on Consensus policy > Dirk, I am still trying to interpret your ideas. Could you please answer > this? > Suppose Bigland is an old nation state where most citizens are proudly > worshipping the national flag and talking all the time of the national > culture, language, music, philosophy, battles won, etc. Suppose Smalland is > a region of Bigland where at some point the citizens democratically decide > to become independent from Bigland. Assuming that Bigland has vastly > superior military power, does Bigland have any right to force Smalland to > remain a part of Bigland? Militarily, no. However, they do have a right to exert pressure within their own (Bigland-Smalland) borders. For example, they could simply state that they will not trade with them, or allow overflights of passenger aircraft etc. That may hurt Smalland sufficiently to coerce the population, but only if they value their money over their freedom. A true nationstate must be a viable proposition and not exist solely due to the generosity of its neighbours. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From nanogirl at halcyon.com Mon Dec 1 06:24:50 2003 From: nanogirl at halcyon.com (Gina Miller) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 22:24:50 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Drexler and Smalley news update References: <04c801c3b7d2$1b6e3b50$3bb5ff3e@artemis> Message-ID: <025b01c3b7d3$d3582ea0$3f80e40c@NANOGIRL> This is a direct copy and paste from the Foresight frontpage: "Nobel Winner Smalley Responds to Drexler's Challenge, Fails to Defend National Nanotech Policy Rice University Professor Richard Smalley responds to a longstanding challenge by Foresight Chairman Eric Drexler to defend the controversial direction of U.S. policy in nanotechnology. Their four-part exchange is the cover story of the Dec. 1 2003 Chemical & Engineering News. This could mark a turning point in the development of the field. Press release Foresight comments and FAQ Full text of the exchange " Gina "Nanogirl" Miller Nanotechnology Industries http://www.nanoindustries.com Personal: http://www.nanogirl.com Foresight Senior Associate http://www.foresight.org Nanotechnology Advisor Extropy Institute http://www.extropy.org Tech-Aid Advisor http://www.tech-aid.info/t/all-about.html nanogirl at halcyon.com "Nanotechnology: Solutions for the future." From gpmap at runbox.com Mon Dec 1 07:30:08 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 08:30:08 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] PC eye-control for severely disabled Message-ID: >From BBC News: Award-winning Spanish technology that lets severely disabled people control a computer using eye movement could soon be available in the UK. The Iriscom, which emulates mouse movement by tracking the iris, is already on sale in Spanish-speaking countries and Portugal. Iriscom moves the mouse pointer by tracking a person's eye movement and mouse clicks are performed by blinking. It also has an on-screen keyboard so users can input text. It can be used by anyone who has control of one eye, including people wearing glasses or contact lenses. The main Iriscom website is in spanish, see also EyeTech Digital Systems. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From amara at amara.com Mon Dec 1 10:32:14 2003 From: amara at amara.com (Amara Graps) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 12:32:14 +0200 Subject: [extropy-chat] (2)ImmInst Update "Girls Night Out" Sun Nov 30 Message-ID: support at imminst.org wrote: > >ImmInst Update >******************************* > >Chat Topic: "Girls Night Out" - Women & the Future > >Time: Nov 30 - SUN 8pm Eastern, Length: 1 Hour >Host: Susan Fonseca-Klein - co-director, ImmInst.org >Susan's Biography and Discussion Topic: >http://imminst.org/forum/index.php?act=ST&f=99&t=2218&s= > >CHAT FOR WOMEN ONLY! > >Sponsored by the Immortality Institute (ImmInst.org), a nonprofit >with the mission to end the blight of involuntary death, and hosted by >Susan Fonseca-Klein, this chat is for women only. I hope it was fun! I was seriously considering to participate in this until I looked at the time... It's 2am in Europe. That's too difficult for me. Is there any chance that occasionally, these chats could be held at a different time? Amara -- ******************************************************************** Amara Graps, PhD email: amara at amara.com Computational Physics vita: ftp://ftp.amara.com/pub/resume.txt Multiplex Answers URL: http://www.amara.com/ ******************************************************************** "The best presents don't come in boxes." --Hobbes From eugen at leitl.org Mon Dec 1 11:49:12 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 12:49:12 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] (2)ImmInst Update "Girls Night Out" Sun Nov 30 In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <20031201114912.GF22650@leitl.org> On Mon, Dec 01, 2003 at 12:32:14PM +0200, Amara Graps wrote: > > I was seriously considering to participate in this until I looked > at the time... It's 2am in Europe. That's too difficult for me. Ditto here. There's no way how I could stay up late, and be at work the next day, rested. > Is there any chance that occasionally, these chats could be held > at a different time? Yes, me too. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk Mon Dec 1 11:59:52 2003 From: bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk (BillK) Date: Mon, 01 Dec 2003 11:59:52 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] again with the gun stats Message-ID: <3FCB2D38.1030508@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> On Sun Nov 30, 2003 03:28 pm Damien Broderick wrote: > The Brits on the list will surely know in better detail. > One big problem in all these stats is that it is very difficult to compare like with like. What is classified as 'violent crime' varies greatly from country to country and even from state to state. In the UK the 'horrifying' rise in violent street crime is mostly kids nicking mobile phones off each other. And a lot of these are 'fake' crimes. Mobile phones are a fashion item and they all want the latest gear. So some thieving goes on, but many just toss them in the river and claim they were stolen so they can get the latest new phone from the insurance or gullible parents. "Crime statistics show that in London: * In half of all street robberies, a mobile phone is stolen * In two thirds of those robberies, a mobile phone is the only item taken. * Fourteen- to 17-year-olds are the age group most likely to be victims of street crime." Summary statistics are only a general guide. You have to look behind the 20% increase or decrease to see what is really going on. BillK From natasha at natasha.cc Mon Dec 1 15:28:33 2003 From: natasha at natasha.cc (Natasha Vita-More) Date: Mon, 01 Dec 2003 07:28:33 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] (2)ImmInst Update "Girls Night Out" Sun Nov 30 In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <5.2.0.9.0.20031201072417.02122990@pop.earthlink.net> At 12:32 PM 12/1/03 +0200, Amara Graps wrote: >I hope it was fun! > >I was seriously considering to participate in this until I looked >at the time... It's 2am in Europe. That's too difficult for me. > >Is there any chance that occasionally, these chats could be held >at a different time? Hi Amara! - Yes it was great fun. Discussed many topics and had many lols. Why don't you contact Susan about scheduling next months chat at a time convenient for you. Natasha Natasha Vita-More http://www.natasha.cc ---------- President, Extropy Institute http://www.extropy.org Founder, Transhumanist Arts & Culture http://www.transhumanist.biz http://www.transhuman.org -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From iph1954 at msn.com Mon Dec 1 13:47:09 2003 From: iph1954 at msn.com (MIKE TREDER) Date: Mon, 01 Dec 2003 08:47:09 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley-Drexler Debate Analysis Message-ID: Eric Drexler and Richard Smalley recently have been exchanging views about Drexler?s version of nanotechnology and Smalley?s objections to it. Their back and forth written debate is the cover story in today's Chemical and Engineering News (http://pubs.acs.org/cen/coverstory/8148/8148counterpoint.html). As described in the press release shown below, CRN has prepared an independent review of the Smaller-Drexler exchange (see http://CRNano.org/Debate.htm). Mike Treder Executive Director, Center for Responsible Nanotechnology - http://CRNano.org Director, World Transhumanist Association - http://transhumanism.org Executive Director, New York Transhumanist Association - http://nyta.net Founder, Incipient Posthuman Website - http://incipientposthuman.com Executive Advisory Team, Extropy Institute - http://extropy.org KurzweilAI "Big Thinker" - http://kurzweilai.net/bios/frame.html ================== FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Published Debate Shows Weakness of MNT Denial NEW YORK ? Attackers of molecular nanotechnology (MNT) received a setback today when a published debate revealed the weakness of their position. The four-part exchange between Eric Drexler, the founder of nanotechnology, and Nobelist Richard Smalley, who contends that many of Drexler's plans are impossible, is the cover story in the December 1 Chemical & Engineering News. "We have carefully examined the arguments presented by each side," says Chris Phoenix, Director of Research at the Center for Responsible Nanotechnology (CRN). "We conclude that Smalley failed to show why MNT cannot work as Drexler asserts." Phoenix has prepared a 6-page review of the Smalley-Drexler debate, including historical overview, technical analysis, and commentary on policy implications. It is available at http://CRNano.org/Debate.htm. Drexler, who single-handedly launched the field of nanotechnology in the late 1980's, believes that mechanical control of chemical reactions can form the basis of powerful manufacturing systems. Smalley has tried for years to debunk the possibility of such manufacturing, since it could in theory lead to scary consequences such as tiny machines building exponential copies of themselves at the expense of the biosphere. In 2001, Smalley published an article in Scientific American claiming that mechanical control of reactions would require impossible "magic fingers." But in the current debate, Smalley agreed that "something like an enzyme or a ribosome ... can do precise chemistry." The question to be answered now is: What kind of chemistry can an enzyme-like chemical system do? Smalley attempts to define limits, and fails. He claims that enzymes can only work under water, but this is untrue, as almost two decades of published research have shown. With this crucial support missing, his remaining case against mechanical chemistry falls apart. At this point, no one knows the limits of such a system. As far back as 1959, Nobel-winning physicist Richard Feynman said it should be possible "to synthesize any chemical substance." Work by Drexler and others over the past decade has shown that even a much more limited capability should be sufficient to develop manufacturing systems that can duplicate themselves. "Smalley's factual inaccuracies, his unscientific and vehement attacks on MNT, and his continued failure to criticize the actual chemical proposals of MNT, demonstrate that it is time to move beyond this debate," says Mike Treder, Executive Director of CRN. "It?s time to focus on the technical proposals and the serious societal implications that we can no longer afford to ignore." During the past decade, detailed proposals have been developed for the architecture and technology of molecular manufacturing systems. Such proposals cannot be tested fully in the absence of laboratory work and targeted research, but enough is known to initiate action based on existing work. The proposals are sufficiently detailed to support a much more thoughtful critical study than has yet been done, and such a study would result in further refinement of the proposals. "We can?and we must?begin to quantify the expected capabilities of molecular manufacturing systems," says Phoenix. "What substances and devices can they build? How rapidly can they work? How easy will it be to design products for these manufacturing systems? How much will it cost to create such a system, and how quickly will that cost decrease over time?" Treder adds, "Now that even Richard Smalley is talking about the capabilities of enzymes in molecular manufacturing, instead of impossible magic fingers, we hope that facile and ungrounded denials of MNT will no longer be credible." The Center for Responsible Nanotechnology is headquartered in New York. CRN is an affiliate of World Care, an international, non-profit, 501(c)(3) organization. For more information on CRN, see http://www.crnano.org/. Press release link -- http://CRNano.org/PR-Debate.htm _________________________________________________________________ Is there a gadget-lover on your gift list? MSN Shopping has lined up some good bets! http://shopping.msn.com From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Dec 1 14:04:56 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 06:04:56 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Gun and crime stats for the USA In-Reply-To: <003501c3b7bd$f96bf650$9ef9a343@GaryMiller01> Message-ID: <20031201140456.86096.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> --- Gary Miller wrote: > Don't we have to add the number of deaths from accidental gun deaths > to the > number murdered to get a true picture of loss of life? > > Quoting http://www.nationalreview.com/kopel/kopel013101.shtml > > Putting aside the suicides, the Kellermann/Reay figures show 2.39 > accidental > or criminal deaths by firearm (in the home) for every justifiable > fatal > shooting. Now, 2 to 1 is a lot less dramatic than 43 to 1 earlier > reported > in a flawed earlier analysis, but we still have more unjustifiable > gun deaths than justifiable gun deaths in the home. Kellerman's figures have been thoroughly destroyed as anything meaningful. In fact, his study is taught in statistics classes as an example of how to lie with fraudulent stats. The facts are that the Keck surveys established that lawful defensive gun use occurs over 2 million times a year in the US, with around 9,000 homicides. Most defensive gun uses never result in the firing of a shot. People like Kellerman refuse to count such uses. > > Worse yet many of those killed are the very children the parents seek > to protect. On the contrary, another area Kellerman lies is in counting ALL child deaths at the hands of parents as being gun related if there is a gun in the home. Most child deaths at the hands of parents occur with the hands (choking, beating, kicking, starving, drowning, etc). Another area is one you are confusing here. When the FBI reports a murder victim as being 'related or acquainted' with their killer, this does NOT just include parents, relatives, friends and neighbors. THis includes the drug dealer on the corner and the cranck addict in the alley. Being 'acquainted' with the perpetrator means "was the victim aware of the perpetrators identity and/or presence in the neighborhood prior to the crime?" and does not just include people you wouldn't mind having over for tea. > > Hand gun locks and smart guns could eliminate this disparity once the > public was legally required to meet this requirement. But the cost > of smart guns could be cost prohibitive and hand gun locks laws > could only be enforced after the fact or on an inspection basis > the way we do with automobiles. Actually studies have shown no increase in safety with gun locks outside of an increase in safety for abusive parents, who might otherwise be killed at the hands of their victim children if they could get their hands on their parents firearms. Gun locks are very easy to overcome in several minutes with a small pair of bolt cutters or a bobby pin or paper clip. I have even seen some that would pop open if you banged them on your desk at the right angle while pulling on the hasp. Contrarily, gun locks hamper a homeowners ability to use the gun in the event of an actual home invasion of any sort, and are recorded as responsible for a number of deaths as a result. > > Juries would be extremely reluctant to prosecute parents for > manslaughter > who left an unlocked gun where a child could gain access but the > publicity > from such trials could further server to educate other gun owners. The OB/GYN who delivered myself and my siblings, who was also my grandfathers best friend, was killed on holiday evening, along with his wife and son by a biker gang invading their home in Massachusetts in the late 1970's. Massachusetts law did not allow even the training of handgun use to children under 16, and his 14 year old son was the only one in reach of a hand gun at the time, a boy who had been an avid shooter since age 9. He tried to use his fathers 1911 pistol, but it jammed and he was overpowered before he could clear the stack. Do NOT try to tell me that preventing children from accessing firearms is any sort of answer to anything. > > I have read that the decrease in murder rates is in a large part due > to the decreased fatalities caused by improvement of medical trauma. > Additional factors include improved police work in getting repeat > violent offenders off > the street sooner and laws like three strikes and your out which put > repeat violent offenders away for good. It is documented that states that pass right-to-carry laws experience a minimum of a 12% greater decrease in violent crime than states without such laws. (Dr John Lott, "More Guns, Less Crime"; University of Chicago Press) Furthermore, Lott shows that spree killings are reduced by 80% over non-right-to-carry states. Violent offenders are not being put away for good, either. Violent criminals are being released early, without warning victims and witnesses, in order to make room for drug offenders. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Dec 1 14:09:07 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 06:09:07 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Guns In-Reply-To: <046601c3b7c2$d9e81570$3bb5ff3e@artemis> Message-ID: <20031201140907.49595.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > I doubt it. > It's a religious issue that is a matter of faith. Sorry, Dirk, but the numbers really do prove my side. Dr. John Lott's study was of ALL FBI crime data from 1980 to 1995 and proves that right-to-carry reduces crime. Antyi-gun studies always cherry pick their data sets from communities that fit their prejudices. NONE have ever looked at even a large fraction of the data that Lott's study covered. Furthermore, a more recent study of the same data using more advanced statistical methods demonstrated that the crime reduction was greater than the 12% that Lott reported, more in the order of 25%. Faith does not get proven by statistics, faith only exists in SPITE of evidence to the contrary, so I am sorry, but it is the anti-gun stance that lives by faith. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From extropy at audry2.com Mon Dec 1 15:20:09 2003 From: extropy at audry2.com (Major) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 23:20:09 +0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Gun and crime stats for the USA In-Reply-To: <003501c3b7bd$f96bf650$9ef9a343@GaryMiller01> (aiguy@comcast.net) References: <5.1.0.14.2.20031130185856.05ba78d8@mail.earthlink.net> <003501c3b7bd$f96bf650$9ef9a343@GaryMiller01> Message-ID: <200312011520.hB1FK9X16392@igor.synonet.com> > Putting aside the suicides, the Kellermann/Reay figures show 2.39 accidental > or criminal deaths by firearm (in the home) for every justifiable fatal > shooting. Now, 2 to 1 is a lot less dramatic than 43 to 1 earlier reported > in a flawed earlier analysis, but we still have more unjustifiable gun > deaths than justifiable gun deaths in the home. To get a real ratio you need to factor in the justifiable shootings which do not occur. Innocent people defending themselves probably shoot (or shoot to kill) less often than the bad guys. Major From charlie at antipope.org Mon Dec 1 14:24:38 2003 From: charlie at antipope.org (Charlie Stross) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 14:24:38 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Guns In-Reply-To: <20031201140907.49595.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> References: <20031201140907.49595.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <184DD522-240A-11D8-9B19-000A95B18568@antipope.org> On 1 Dec 2003, at 14:09, Mike Lorrey wrote: > > --- Dirk Bruere wrote: >> I doubt it. >> It's a religious issue that is a matter of faith. > > Sorry, Dirk, but the numbers really do prove my side. Dr. John Lott's > study was of ALL FBI crime data from 1980 to 1995 and proves that > right-to-carry reduces crime. Antyi-gun studies always cherry pick > their data sets from communities that fit their prejudices. NONE have > ever looked at even a large fraction of the data that Lott's study > covered. Are we talking about the same John Lott who invents sock-puppets on mailing lists ("Mary Rosh") to defend him against the accusations that he cited figures from surveys that funnily enough nobody else can find any records of? http://www.jointogether.org/gv/news/features/reader/ 0,2061,561876,00.html Or switches statistical model without saying so then blames a computer error? http://cgi.cse.unsw.edu.au/~lambert/cgi-bin/blog/2003/09#0913b -- Charlie From matus at matus1976.com Mon Dec 1 15:15:27 2003 From: matus at matus1976.com (Matus) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 10:15:27 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Guns a choice for the individual In-Reply-To: <20031201140907.49595.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <00b501c3b81d$f6913660$6701a8c0@GREYBOOK> All this talk in the conversation on gun centers around the effects that guns have in populations, not on individuals. Does *my* owning a gun, and learning its proper operation end up making *me* more or less safe? I don't care if the average person is made less safe on average if more people have guns, or if the average person is made safer if more people have guns. I thought this list was full of rugged individualists! Do more guns = less crime, or more crime? Frankly, I am not concerned with this, I am inclined to feel the evidence suggests the former, but this may be dependant on other factors, like average income of an area, average population density, or education levels. The question of primary concern is, for an individual, does owning a gun make one safer or less safe? This decision will come down to each one of us, it seems the majority of the people on this list have chosen to not own a gun. What made you make that decision? I do not yet own a gun, but I intend on buying one and learning its proper operation. Does anyone here feel that my owning a gun would make me less safe? If so, I am open to hear the compelling arguments, since my goal is to increase my safety, not an ideological support of owning a gun. I see a lot of people on this list making pretty severe changes in their lives for the chance to live longer, for instance, practicing CR, or exercising regularly and radically altering diet, or taking medication that might not be proven effective. Yet I would wager that most of the individuals would never own a gun, can I only conclude that they feel this would make them less safe? Michael From extropy at audry2.com Mon Dec 1 16:31:05 2003 From: extropy at audry2.com (Major) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 00:31:05 +0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Guns--generalized In-Reply-To: <00d901c3b7cf$42e4a5a0$c5994a43@texas.net> (thespike@earthlink.net) References: <000001c3b7cc$fd6d8390$6501a8c0@SHELLY> <00d901c3b7cf$42e4a5a0$c5994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <200312011631.hB1GV5816829@igor.synonet.com> "Damien Broderick" writes: > I don't know how this legal constitution caper works (being a benighted > Aussie), but a few questions spring to mind. I can't tell if you are being sarcastic or not, so I will answer the questions "straight". > Suppose slavery had been enshrined from the outset in the > Constitution, Would it not be permitted to change these rights and > exclusions? A constitution can only be amended (retained but changed) according to its own provisions. The basis in international law for completely replacing a constitution is complicated but may be summarized "if you have the most guns you will get away with it". > Suppose enough citizens wanted to forbid the sale and consumption of > alcoholic beverages, even though that had been implicitly a > right until then? And if the ban were legally inserted into the legal > constitution Exactly what happened in the US (prohibition was a constitutional amendment) > would there be a legal constitutional way to get rid of it on > second thoughts? And then to reimpose it on third thoughts? If and only if your constitution has an "amendment" clause. Both the US and Australian constitution do, though it is interesting to note that the power to change the constitution in the US rests with the congress (2/3 majority), not the people (referendum) as it does in Australia. Major From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Dec 1 15:39:57 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 07:39:57 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Guns In-Reply-To: <049401c3b7ce$c780f850$3bb5ff3e@artemis> Message-ID: <20031201153957.96469.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > > It's far from simple. > Why don't you tell me how you can own fully automatic rifles in > California? It is simple: California is in violation of the US Constitution, and cases are proceeding through the courts right now. It will take a few years, but things will get straightened out eventually. States like California currently justify their banning of automatic rifles under an odd interpretation of the decision in the 1939 case of US v Miller, which involved a rum-runner arrested shortly after the end of Prohibition with an allegedly short shotgun (a violation of the newly minted NFA of 1934, a law passed to give the revinuers something to do). Miller was the beginning of the militia interpretation of the 2nd amendment. Problems with the Miller decision, though: Miller's lawyers never showed at the SCOTUS for the trial, they figured that since they'd won at every level below the SCOTUS that their case was sewn up. They did not count on the federal prosecutors lying three times in their arguments before the court. > It may be your constitutional right to own guns, but the govt gets to > decide what guns you are allowed, and what you aren't. Actually, this is not true. The BATF does not restrain your ability to own any model of gun you want. Its only constitutional authority is to tax. The NFA of 1934 was not a ban on automatic firearms, it was a tax bill. There is a $200 tax on transfers of automatic weapons and silencers. Any non-felon can buy one if they pay the tax and do the paperwork. I've owned automatic firearms, and silencers, as a matter of fact. The BATF TRIES to regulate everything, both military style and non-military style weapons, and when you contest them on one side, they claim that Miller gives them authority on that side because of the militia argument, then when you contest them on the other, they claim an entirely DIFFERENT and opposite interpretation of Miller. > Your rights would not be in breach of the constitution if they only > allowed you flintlock muskets. Uh, no, even in Miller the court recognised that the people, as members of the unorganized militia (http://www4.law.cornell.edu/uscode/10/311.html), have a justified reason to have access to military style weapons. The only way that Miller lost his case to the feds was that the feds lied and claimed that sawed off shotguns had never been used by any military unit in history, when they were actually widely used in trench warfare in WWI, just 21 years prior. Since the federal law says all of the people are members of the militia, and anti-gunners claim that the militia clause limits gun ownership to the militia, then the only legally unrestricted guns should be so-called 'assault weapons'. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From amara at amara.com Mon Dec 1 14:42:56 2003 From: amara at amara.com (Amara Graps) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 16:42:56 +0200 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Gender Genie - analyzing writing styles Message-ID: Ciao, I ran across this online program that tries to analyze the gender of the writer of a writing selection. I am writing quite a lot these days, and I was curious about what the "gender genie" would calculate for my gender. http://www.bookblog.net/gender/genie.html "According to Koppel and Argamon, the algorithm should predict the gender of the author approximately 80% of the time." However, in my case, it was wrong, 100% of the time. Some other people experienced the same errors, apparently, because, when I input my results into their database, I saw: ---------------- "accuracy results Am I right? yes 107582 (67.93%) no 50800 (32.07%) 158382 total responses since September 13, 2003" ----------------- In order to test whether it was a fluke, I tried six different essays, and got the following scores: Eternal City Grapsody #1 - Mythology for Transhumans http://www.transhumanism.com/articles_more.php?id=P84_0_4_0_C Words: 1767 Female Score: 1922 Male Score: 3452 Eternal City Grapsody #2 - Of Snakes and Immortality http://www.transhumanism.com/articles_more.php?id=P89_0_4_0_C Words: 1402 Female Score: 1618 Male Score: 2048 Eternal City Grapsody #3 - The Pause that Refreshes http://www.transhumanism.com/articles_more.php?id=P94_0_4_0_C Words: 1016 Female Score: 1188 Male Score: 1585 Eternal City Grapsody #4 - Scales of Man: Adapting Technology to Transhumans http://www.transhumanism.com/articles_more.php?id=P380_0_4_0_C Words: 1682 Female Score: 1746 Male Score: 2777 Eternal City Grapsody #5 - Parmigianino's Golden Transformations http://www.transhumanism.com/articles_more.php?id=P551_0_4_0_C Words: 1790 Female Score: 1239 Male Score: 2356 Eternal City Grappsody #6 - Tricksters: Synchronicity, Dirt, and Laughter http://www.transhumanism.com/articles_more.php?id=P877_0_4_0_C Words: 1678 Female Score: 2019 Male Score: 2068 The last one was a different style for me, a kind of giggling-out- loud-style, as if speaking to a group of close friends, but the algorithm still calculated me to be male. I am sad about these results and this algorithm, I must say, for a range of reasons, including: * Are women 'themselves' when they write, or are they adapting to the style of the Internet? * The algorithm seems to have pretty narrow definition of gender writing style. How did the algorithm work? The following is a note about that. Amara ======================================= http://www.nature.com/nsu/030714/030714-13.html Computer program detects author gender Simple algorithm suggests words and syntax bear sex and genre stamp. 18 July 2003 PHILIP BALL A new computer program can tell whether a book was written by a man or a woman. The simple scan of key words and syntax is around 80% accurate on both fiction and non-fiction1,2. The program's success seems to confirm the stereotypical perception of differences in male and female language use. Crudely put, men talk more about objects, and women more about relationships. Female writers use more pronouns (I, you, she, their, myself), say the program's developers, Moshe Koppel of Bar-Ilan University in Ramat Gan, Israel, and colleagues. Males prefer words that identify or determine nouns (a, the, that) and words that quantify them (one, two, more). So this article would already, through sentences such as this, have probably betrayed its author as male: there is a prevalence of plural pronouns (they, them), indicating the male tendency to categorize rather than personalize. If I were female, the researchers imply, I'd be more likely to write sentences like this, which assume that you and I share common knowledge or engage us in a direct relationship. These differing styles have previously been called 'informational' and 'involved', respectively. Koppel and colleagues trained their algorithm on a few test cases to identify the most prevalent fingerprints of gender and of fiction and non-fiction. They then set it searching for these fingerprints in 566 English-language works in a variety of genres, ranging from A Guide to Prague to A. S. Byatt's novel Possession - which, intriguingly, the programme misclassified by gender, along with Kazuo Ishiguro's The Remains of the Day. Strikingly, the distinctions between male and female writers are much the same as those that, even more clearly, differentiate non-fiction and fiction. The programme can tell these two genres apart with 98% accuracy. This is perhaps unsurprising, given that non-fiction is more informational and fiction more involved. Most of the works studied were published after 1975. The Israeli team now intends to probe whether the differences extend further back in time - and so whether George Eliot was wasting her time disguising herself with a male nom de plume - and also whether they occur in other languages. References 1.Koppel, M., Argamon, S. & Shimoni, A. R. Automatically categorizing written texts by author gender. Literary and Linguistic Computing, in the press, (2003). |Homepage| 2.Argamon, S., Koppel, M., Fine, J. & Shimoni, A. R. Gender, genre, and writing style in formal written texts. Text, in the press, (2003). ======================================== -- *********************************************************************** Amara Graps, PhD email: amara at amara.com Computational Physics vita: ftp://ftp.amara.com/pub/resume.txt Multiplex Answers URL: http://www.amara.com/ *********************************************************************** "Life shrinks or expands in proportion to one's courage." --Anais Nin From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Dec 1 15:55:30 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 07:55:30 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Guns--generalized In-Reply-To: <00d901c3b7cf$42e4a5a0$c5994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <20031201155530.2326.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> --- Damien Broderick wrote: > Spike reckons: > > > In this country, gun ownership is our > > right, so the fed cannot legally challenge it in any > > case. Were the fed to attempt to do so, we would be > > forced to conclude that our legal constitutional > > government had been overthrown, and would be obligated > > to take up arms against it > > I don't know how this legal constitution caper works (being a > benighted > Aussie), but a few questions spring to mind. Suppose slavery had been > enshrined from the outset in the Constitution, or suppose that women > had been forbidden suffrage. Would it not be permitted to change these > rights and exclusions? If you can get a supermajority of both congress and the states to vote for a constitutional amendment, then you can amend the constitution, as has been done with slavery and womens suffrage. Given that 75%+ of Americans believe in an individual right to keep and bear arms, it ain't bloodly likely to happen any time soon. Given also that it took a civil war in addition to a constitutional amendment to get rid of slavery, I doubt very much that you'd succeed with a constitutional gun ban without a similar civil war. There are several other hurdles to overcome. Firstly, NH never lost its constitutional right to revolt and seceed. Secondly, Texas retains the right to break up into 5 separate states if it so decides to, in order to gain leverage in the Senate (i.e. 5 states x 2 Senators per state = 10 Senate seats rather than just 2 as it now has), should such an un-American amendment come to a vote. Thirdly, you'd have to overcome the fact that most states have a right to bear arms in their own state constitution. Fourthly, you'd have to deal with the fact that the federal government is not a sovereign entity. Its authority is entirely delegated to it by the people. No part of the Constitution alienates individuals from their rights, amendments simply recognise that certain pre-existant individual rights are not to be violated by the government. Any amendment that sought to restrain individual rights such as the first or second amendments would most certainly result in a very violent reaction from a large portion of the citizenry. You do not see such a reaction to mere laws like the Patriot Act because most citizens recognise that this law is applied only to non-Americans and/or Americans allied with foreign fasco-terrorist groups. The population isn't ready to oppose it because their own ox is not being gored, as evidenced by the fact that surveys show that 80%+ of african americans support racial profiling when it is applied to arabs or other foreign muslims. We were far closer to armed insurrection here in the US when the Clinton WHite House and its supporters waged an undeclared war on Redneck-Americans. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From bjk at imminst.org Mon Dec 1 16:00:25 2003 From: bjk at imminst.org (Bruce J. Klein) Date: Mon, 01 Dec 2003 10:00:25 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] "Girls Night Out" - Chat Log In-Reply-To: <5.2.0.9.0.20031201072417.02122990@pop.earthlink.net> References: <5.2.0.9.0.20031201072417.02122990@pop.earthlink.net> Message-ID: <3FCB6599.9040709@imminst.org> Here's a link to the 'Girls Night Out' chat log (Nov 30)* *http://imminst.org/forum/index.php?s=&act=ST&f=99&t=2218&st=0&#entry19111 By the way, Susan had a great time! At first she worried no one would attend. Happily, Natasha, Nanogirl, sheliatx, Mermaid, Saille, Sabina, and others graciously took time out to join the chat. Because this chat was such as success, Susan will schedule a time for next months chat soon. Hopefully, at a time when more women can participate. Feel free to contact her: susan at imminst.org Thanks! Bruce Klein Chair - ImmInst.org From eugen at leitl.org Mon Dec 1 16:13:46 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 17:13:46 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: [wta-talk] The Gender Genie - analyzing writing styles In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <20031201161346.GM22650@leitl.org> On Mon, Dec 01, 2003 at 10:57:34AM -0500, Hughes, James wrote: > Very cool Samantha - thanks for sharing this. I think it relates to a Amara, iirc. I find that apparent mis-classification (which is remarkably consistent) another data point confirming that we're weird. Transhumanism *is* a distinct put-off to the majority of women. I do not see how to package the meme complex in a more palatable way. Perhaps out transhumanist women can produce a diagnosis, and a suggestion. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From natashavita at earthlink.net Mon Dec 1 16:50:55 2003 From: natashavita at earthlink.net (natashavita at earthlink.net) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 11:50:55 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Gender Genie - analyzing writing styles Message-ID: <157240-220031211165055760@M2W083.mail2web.com> Amara, bella, perhaps the test is outdated. We cannot expect either gender to write in tithe style prescribed to it by any one generational testing regulation. Also, I don't think it is necessarily pejorative that a test senses a "male" writing style. Androgyny is beautiful and an ability to write both across both gender-styles is a lovely thing to do. This is expressly, I put on a tie many times when I give a talk. There is a time and place for all aspect of our "selves" and you seem to have chosen an educated style in your articles. However, I wonder what the article you wrote on Fiorella Terenzi comes out as. Did you run that one through the test? As an educated scientist, your training will come out in your writing no matter how you fancify it. Also, try running some of your email stories (that you send to your friends) through the test. For example, Fiorella writes in a "female" mode in her books, but in a professorial mode when teaching. Likewise, Sometimes I write as an artist/poet in metaphors and off-the-cuff anecdotes. Sometimes I write in a professorial mode when it is required, and at other times, legal language creeps in. Brings me back to the beginning. Who's judging and is the criteria objective. Ciao- Natasha -------------------------------------------------------------------- mail2web - Check your email from the web at http://mail2web.com/ . From natashavita at earthlink.net Mon Dec 1 16:56:23 2003 From: natashavita at earthlink.net (natashavita at earthlink.net) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 11:56:23 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] FAQ: TRANSHUMANIST FUTURES: CHALLENGES AND CONCERNS Message-ID: <184670-2200312111656235@M2W065.mail2web.com> ExI has been updating the FAQ. With so many changes, this has been on our to do list, but hasn't been addressed until quite recently. Do you have comments and/or suggestions for the following: 5. TRANSHUMANIST FUTURES: CHALLENGES AND CONCERNS 5.1 Do transhumanists in general, and friends of Extropy Institute in particular, share economic and political views? 5.2 What views do extropes have on the dangers of biotechnology, nanotechnology, machine intelligence, and neurotechnology? 5.3 What views do transhumanists have about religion? 5.4 What political views are held by transhumanists? 5.5 How does Extropy Institute respond to the neo-Luddites, including the President?s Council on Bioethics? Thanks, Natasha -------------------------------------------------------------------- mail2web - Check your email from the web at http://mail2web.com/ . From hemm at br.inter.net Mon Dec 1 15:57:22 2003 From: hemm at br.inter.net (Henrique Moraes Machado) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 13:57:22 -0200 Subject: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation References: <20031201140907.49595.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> <184DD522-240A-11D8-9B19-000A95B18568@antipope.org> Message-ID: <01b801c3b823$ce7276c0$fe00a8c0@HEMM> Hello extropians, I've been reflecting lately on communication versus transportation. The first is developing faster than ever, while the former seems to be stalled. Is it related? Are we concentrating our resourses in evolving our communication means because our transportation means are poor, or does de current pace of developments on comms in fact causes less effort on advancing transportation? Just thinking. Sorry for the bad english, but it's not my native language and I am still learning. From james.hughes at trincoll.edu Mon Dec 1 15:57:34 2003 From: james.hughes at trincoll.edu (Hughes, James) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 10:57:34 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] RE: [wta-talk] The Gender Genie - analyzing writing styles Message-ID: Very cool Samantha - thanks for sharing this. I think it relates to a sometimes subtle, often overt problem in transhumanist discussion lists - the dominant masculine style of aggressive tech, politics and philosophy argumentation, with less reference to personal life and relationships. Sometimes, as a man, I think women are handicapped by socialization to be uncomfortable with self-assertion and disputation, and sometimes I feel like the male communication style in general, and its extreme versions on our lists, are both a political problem for transhumanism in our inability to attract more women and an organizational problem that makes it more difficult to build on-line community. I see the problem also in the context of the very similar issues in the socialist movement (my background) which is similarly disproportionately male and conversationally disputatious. But at least there is a strong spirit of feminist self-criticism among socialist men which made us more conscious of the problem, and more open to counter-vailing efforts, even if they met with little success. J. Hughes From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Dec 1 17:04:48 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 09:04:48 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Guns In-Reply-To: <184DD522-240A-11D8-9B19-000A95B18568@antipope.org> Message-ID: <20031201170448.25804.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> --- Charlie Stross wrote: > > On 1 Dec 2003, at 14:09, Mike Lorrey wrote: > > > > > --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > >> I doubt it. > >> It's a religious issue that is a matter of faith. > > > > Sorry, Dirk, but the numbers really do prove my side. Dr. John > Lott's > > study was of ALL FBI crime data from 1980 to 1995 and proves that > > right-to-carry reduces crime. Antyi-gun studies always cherry pick > > their data sets from communities that fit their prejudices. NONE > have > > ever looked at even a large fraction of the data that Lott's study > > covered. > > Are we talking about the same John Lott who invents sock-puppets on > mailing lists ("Mary Rosh") to defend him against the accusations > that > he cited figures from surveys that funnily enough nobody else can > find any records of? Your refer to this? "Second, Northwestern University law professor James Lindgren reported that he had investigated Lott's claim of a 1997 survey which found that "98 percent of the time that people use guns defensively, they merely have to brandish a weapon to break off an attack," and found no evidence of the survey's existence." The Kleck study is very widely known and published, though I am sure that anti-gunners would wish that it did not exist. http://www.guncite.com/gun_control_gcdguse.html For critiques of Kellerman's flawed study (where the 43 to 1 claim comes from) see: http://www.guncite.com/gun_control_gcdgaga.html Nor did he use the pseudonym to defend himself from such claims, he used the name to write a fictitious review of his book, which is far less offensive than the offenses of anti-gunner Michael Bellisiles, recently drummed out of Emory University for academic dishonesty and stripped of literary prizes, in that he invented citations and fabricated data on a broad scale. > > http://www.jointogether.org/gv/news/features/reader/ > 0,2061,561876,00.html > > Or switches statistical model without saying so then blames a > computer > error? > > http://cgi.cse.unsw.edu.au/~lambert/cgi-bin/blog/2003/09#0913b Actually, he blames a computer error (on a Mac, mind you) for errors in his data tables, essentially errors in labelling dates numerically, which may more accurately be user errors from inexperience with the software, which result in data files created in April (04) of one year being confused with data files created in 2004... Plassman and Tideman show that if there is any error, it is on the conservative side. Their results show an even greater effect on crime than Lott reported, though less consistent across all counties and states. "In this paper we use a Poisson-lognormal model to analyze intertemporal and geographical variations in the effects of right-to-carry laws on murders, rapes, and robberies. For each of these crime categories our estimates suggest the existence of statistically significant deterrent effects of right-to-carry laws for the majority of the 10 states that have adopted such laws between 1977 and 1992, but we also find that some of these states experienced statistically significant increases in the numbers of certain crimes." http://bingweb.binghamton.edu/~fplass/gun.pdf Furthermore, Plassman and WHitley issued a response to critics of their study as well as Lott's study: http://lawreview.stanford.edu/content/vol55/4/Plassmann_Whitley.pdf Ayers and Donohue attempt to counter, claiming their study that P&W critique, was not to show that crime dropped or increased in jurisdictions that passed right to carry laws, but that such laws merely imposed a 'jurisdiction selection effect' in which criminals take their criminal activity elsewhere where right-to-carry did not exist. http://lawreview.stanford.edu/content/vol55/4/Ayres_Donohue_comment.pdf Furthermore, Black and Nagin are rightly criticized by Lott for using a systematic means of cherry picking, excluding 86% of counties because such counties have less than 100,000 population, in their study refuting Lott's work. Since most states with right-to-carry are mostly made up of counties with less than 100,000 population, Black and Nagin are simply excluding those areas where right-to-carry is most heavily practiced and would therefore result in the greatest effect on crime. Black and Nagin are essentially studying ONLY urban centers in the US, not the US as a whole, when it is urban centers that have far worse criminal problems than guns, such as drug war activity, and which vastly misrepresent the degree of ethnic and racial diversity in the US overall. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From thespike at earthlink.net Mon Dec 1 17:41:25 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 11:41:25 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] "Girls Night Out" - Chat Log References: <5.2.0.9.0.20031201072417.02122990@pop.earthlink.net> <3FCB6599.9040709@imminst.org> Message-ID: <003401c3b832$5a45b820$9e994a43@texas.net> > Here's a link to the 'Girls Night Out' chat log (Nov 30)* > *http://imminst.org/forum/index.php?s=&act=ST&f=99&t=2218&st=0&#entry19111 For a male observer, this is truly fascinating. It's hard to imagine a group of men getting into this so quickly, if at all: =================== 18:23:37 Saille Love is a lot more, than just for a lover 18:23:40 Mermaid i have been married for ten years now...i'd like to still be friends with my husband after many many years..but i hope to become more 'seperate' from him..i dont think of it as a failure of love..rather..i think its a strengthening of love.... 18:23:50 SusanFK Mermaid: my love for my lifepartner has only increased with years...we are coming up on our 8th year together i i feel more passionate about him today than the day we met. 18:23:56 Natasha I wonder what the product liability would be for "Primo Posthuman" future body prototype. 18:24:02 Sabina Same here 18:24:18 Natasha I've been in love many times. I love my husband and I can understand many levels of love. 18:24:22 sheilatx my husband and i are better friends since the divorce 18:24:37 Mermaid i feel more passion too..it has multiplied several folds..esp because its now passion for more than one person 18:25:06 sheilatx guess i should say ex husband 18:25:17 Mermaid sheilatx: divorce is unnecessary 18:25:20 Natasha I left the hair color on my hair too long. =================== Damien Broderick From jacques at dtext.com Mon Dec 1 17:54:31 2003 From: jacques at dtext.com (JDP) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 18:54:31 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Guns--generalized (modifying the constitution) In-Reply-To: <200312011631.hB1GV5816829@igor.synonet.com> References: <000001c3b7cc$fd6d8390$6501a8c0@SHELLY> <00d901c3b7cf$42e4a5a0$c5994a43@texas.net> <200312011631.hB1GV5816829@igor.synonet.com> Message-ID: <16331.32855.815446.310102@localhost.localdomain> Major a ?crit (2.12.2003/00:31) : > > "Damien Broderick" writes: > > > would there be a legal constitutional way to get rid of it on > > second thoughts? And then to reimpose it on third thoughts? > > If and only if your constitution has an "amendment" clause. Both > the US and Australian constitution do, though it is interesting to note > that the power to change the constitution in the US rests with the > congress (2/3 majority), not the people (referendum) as it does in > Australia. Here's how it works in Switzerland (quite spectacular, I think). Switzerland has a political right of "popular initiative", in which anyone can submit a constitutional amendment, to be voted on by the people, provided they collect the preliminary support of 100,000 voters (pop. is 7,3 millions) within 18 months. To result in an actual modification of the Constitution, it needs to get the majority of the people, and the majority of States. http://www.admin.ch/ch/e/pore/index3.html Incredible isn't it? It's not very complicated to get 100,000 signatures, if you create 50 small comittees in the country which each get 2000 signatures, you're done. And then, all the Swiss people get to read your proposal and vote yes or no. If it's yes, then you have changed the constitution of your country. To give an example. On May 18 we voted (I am Swiss, live in France, vote by mail) on 7 such popular initiatives regarding potential constitutional amendments. One was to enforce rents to be "fair", one was to have a 4 years experience of no cars running one day per season, one was to make commitments of not building nuclear plants for some time, one was to guarantee cheap access to health services, one was an equal-rights text to force many institutions to provide facilities for disabled people, one was about nuclear policy again, and finally one was to guarantee that professional training be offered to such and such people. I voted against all 7 initiatives, and they were all rejected. What do such subjects have to do with the fundamental law that Constitution is supposed to be? Right, not much. Basic law is made by parliament like everywhere else, and popular initiative can only result in the modification of the Constitution. Which gets proposed often, but is usually rejected. That's our system. There are two things which contribute to make constitutional change through popular initiative rare. One is that the German-speaking part of Switzerland contains an array of very small States which are very conservative (they are the founding, still quite rural, States), so that this relatively small population has a strong weight in the majority of States. The other one is that the government can add to the popular initiative its own counter-project, which tries to address some of the aspirations that prompted the initative, while avoiding its pitfalls or excesses. It often happens that the people who started the initiative really had a point, but it was captured in the counter-project, which was accepted by the people instead of the initiative. Between 1891 and 2003, only 13 popular initiatives were accepted and resulted in the modification of the Constitution. The last one was in March 2002, when Switzerland decided to adhere to UN. Browsing the list, I see that in 1908, the production and drinking of absynth was constitutionally forbidden: http://www.absinthe.ch/new/monhistoire_linterdiction.php?l=en It would be quite practical to launch transhumanist-oriented popular initiatives in Switzerland, to the effect, for example, that one of the goal of the community is to extend healthy lifespans, and that adequate credits and research must be devoted to it. And it's a good way to get to talk about some subject, even if the popular initiative is eventually rejected. (I can imagine this one being accepted.) Jacques From charlie at antipope.org Mon Dec 1 17:53:08 2003 From: charlie at antipope.org (Charlie Stross) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 17:53:08 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Trolling (was: Guns) In-Reply-To: <20031201170448.25804.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> References: <20031201170448.25804.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <391BEFD4-2427-11D8-9B19-000A95B18568@antipope.org> On 1 Dec 2003, at 17:04, Mike Lorrey wrote: >>> red. >> >> Are we talking about the same John Lott who invents sock-puppets on >> mailing lists ("Mary Rosh") to defend him against the accusations >> that >> he cited figures from surveys that funnily enough nobody else can >> find any records of? > Your refer to this? The URL that you cut. You're not reading for comprehension, Mike, you're assuming that I'm attacking your figures on gun use. I'm not. I'm questioning the reliability of youur sources. You're assuming that because I'm insisting on accuracy I'm an anti-gun campaigner. You're also assuming that what's sauce for the goose is sauce for the gander, in terms of the fabrication of research data: that lies on one side justify lies by the other side. Bluntly: you're so intent on following your own script for how to interact with people on the topic of gun ownership that you've effectively turned yourself into a troll. Can I request some time out? Because this thread *is* a waste of energy, brains, and CPU cycles, for all concerned. -- Charlie From extropy at unreasonable.com Mon Dec 1 18:17:32 2003 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Mon, 01 Dec 2003 13:17:32 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Gender Genie - analyzing writing styles Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031201131526.02581450@mail.comcast.net> Natasha wrote: >Amara, bella, perhaps the test is outdated. > >We cannot expect either gender to write in tithe style prescribed to it by >any one generational testing regulation. Also, I don't think it is >necessarily pejorative that a test senses a "male" writing style. Androgyny >is beautiful and an ability to write both across both gender-styles is a >lovely thing to do. This is expressly, I put on a tie many times when I >give a talk. There is a time and place for all aspect of our "selves" and >you seem to have chosen an educated style in your articles. However, I >wonder what the article you wrote on Fiorella Terenzi comes out as. Did >you run that one through the test? When my ex and I were divorcing and went through a child custody evaluation, I took the MMPI. The clinical psychologist pasted boilerplate text in his report: >This profile occasionally reflects an individual who is conflicted over >their sexual identity. They do not identify with the cultural stereotype >of the masculine role. These men have a wide range of interests, and are >apt to be idealistic. At trial, opposing counsel pounced on this, trying to impute that I am homosexual and (in the eyes of a conservative judge) perforce an unsuitable parent. The psychologist testified that it's extremely common to find an elevated Scale 5 in highly educated men, and that he himself did. From _Psychological Experts in Divorce Actions_: >... originally intended to be a measure of homosexuality. However they >quickly realized that the homosexual population was too heterogeneous to >be measured by one scale. It is also the only scale that has different >norms for males and females. > >Scale 5 is highly related to education. > >Men with low scores ... are individuals who tend to have "macho" >self-images and present themselves as being extremely masculine, >overemphasizing their masculinity in a somewhat unsophisticated >way. Women with similar scores identify with the stereotypical feminine >roles but may doubt their own femininity. > >Men with elevated 5's -- have conflicted thoughts about their sexual >identity; are insecure in a masculine role; are effeminate and have >aesthetic and artistic interests; are intelligently capable; are >ambitious, competitive, and persevering; show good judgment and common >sense; are curious; are creative as well as imaginative, and >individualistic; are social and sensitive to others; are tolerant; are >capable of expressing warm feelings to others; are passive and dependent >as well as submissive; have good self-control and rarely act out; are >inner-directed. > >Women with elevated 5's -- tend to be uninterested in being seen as >feminine; not interested in appearing or behaving as other women do; >reject the traditional female role; have stereotypic masculine interests; >are active, vigorous, and assertive; are competitive, aggressive, and >dominating; are outgoing, uninhibited, and self-confident; are >unemotional; are unfriendly. I'd guess that virtually everyone on this list has an elevated 5. I further suspect that the accuracy of Koppel's and Argamon's test is inversely correlated with the subject's MMPI Scale 5. -- David Lubkin. From brian_a_lee at hotmail.com Mon Dec 1 18:22:17 2003 From: brian_a_lee at hotmail.com (Brian Lee) Date: Mon, 01 Dec 2003 13:22:17 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation Message-ID: I've thought a bit on this lately and am a little let down with the pace of transportation. If you look at air travel over the last 50 years there are few major breakthroughs. 75 years ago, it took weeks to travel around the world and then with commercial air travel, that was cut down to a day or merely hours. 50 years later, we're still pretty much at the same flight times. We have more routes and scheduled and tvs in the seats but flights are still about the same length. Perhaps they are even longer if you take security waits into the equation. I think the main reason why air travel tech has stalled is lack of competition. There's really only two companies making planes-Airbus and Boeing- and both are heavily subsidized by their respective governments. Air travel is subsidized by local governments and businesses who don't have much incentive to decrease travel time. For ground travel, in the US at least, road trips take less time because the speed limit has been increased from 55 to 70-75 on interstates. It's nice to be save 2 hours from an Atlanta to Miami trip, but I'm still waiting for 15 minute NY-London trips and flying cars. How long until the science fiction breakthroughs come on line? Transporters, etc. I've done a bit of teleconferencing and videoconferencing and while it is sufficient for basic communication, it's not yet replacing meatspace. BAL >From: "Henrique Moraes Machado" >To: "ExI chat list" >Subject: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation >Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 13:57:22 -0200 > >Hello extropians, > >I've been reflecting lately on communication versus transportation. The >first is developing faster than ever, while the former seems to be stalled. >Is it related? Are we concentrating our resourses in evolving our >communication means because our transportation means are poor, or does de >current pace of developments on comms in fact causes less effort on >advancing transportation? Just thinking. Sorry for the bad english, but >it's not my native language and I am still learning. >_______________________________________________ >extropy-chat mailing list >extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org >http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat _________________________________________________________________ Is there a gadget-lover on your gift list? MSN Shopping has lined up some good bets! http://shopping.msn.com From natashavita at earthlink.net Mon Dec 1 19:29:55 2003 From: natashavita at earthlink.net (natashavita at earthlink.net) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 14:29:55 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation Message-ID: <410-220031211192955719@M2W054.mail2web.com> From: Brian Lee >I've thought a bit on this lately and am a little let down with the pace of transportation.< It's not exactly travelling next door or across the planet, but it's something to think about. _A Vision of Future Space Transportation_ (Apogee Books Space Series) by Tim McElyea, David Brin http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/tg/detail/-/1896522939/104-3904145-7775949 ?v=glance "The glorious space age has come and gone. So what now? What's next? To go further, to go faster, we must take the next step. Space is still full of mystery and challenges humankind as much as ever. Ideas on what the next step, or steps vary greatly and there is no shortage of concepts for the future of space transportation. Concepts include new engines, new strategies, harnessing gravity, electromagnetism, nuclear energy and more. This book will take you on a guided visual tour of the future of space transportation. From Earth to Orbit to In-Space transportation, you will sample what is being considered and get an easy-to-understand explanation of what the spacecraft will do and how it will work. "Decades ago Dr. Wernher von Braun teamed with Walt Disney to animate a mission to Mars and inspired a generation. Today multimedia, animation and video serve a similar communications need. The CD-ROM included contains official NASA videos, vehicle concept animation, and dynamic multimedia. View spacecraft concepts in 3D, see mission animation and hear first hand what the visionaries of the aerospace industry hope to accomplish." -------------------------------------------------------------------- mail2web - Check your email from the web at http://mail2web.com/ . From dirk at neopax.com Mon Dec 1 20:29:29 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 20:29:29 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Guns References: <20031201140907.49595.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <01ee01c3b849$d535ebb0$3bb5ff3e@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Mike Lorrey" To: "Dirk Bruere" ; "ExI chat list" Sent: Monday, December 01, 2003 2:09 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Guns > > --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > > I doubt it. > > It's a religious issue that is a matter of faith. > > Sorry, Dirk, but the numbers really do prove my side. Dr. John Lott's > study was of ALL FBI crime data from 1980 to 1995 and proves that > right-to-carry reduces crime. Antyi-gun studies always cherry pick > their data sets from communities that fit their prejudices. NONE have > ever looked at even a large fraction of the data that Lott's study > covered. Furthermore, a more recent study of the same data using more > advanced statistical methods demonstrated that the crime reduction was > greater than the 12% that Lott reported, more in the order of 25%. > > Faith does not get proven by statistics, faith only exists in SPITE of > evidence to the contrary, so I am sorry, but it is the anti-gun stance > that lives by faith. The faith I am referring to is the *belief* that society should have no say in the legitimacy of your position. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From scerir at libero.it Mon Dec 1 20:53:27 2003 From: scerir at libero.it (scerir) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 21:53:27 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation References: Message-ID: <000801c3b84d$2c2f8450$68c31b97@administxl09yj> From: "Brian Lee" > How long until the science fiction breakthroughs come on line? > Transporters, etc. If you mean teleportation we are waiting for a "physical" full interpretation (and then implementation) of it. Because, talking about the transmission of quantum information from Alice to Bob, in general and also in the usual teleportation scheme, we intuitively think there must be a channel connecting Alice and Bob. But, in this case, a paradox arises. If - look here - 'only' two 'classical' bits were sent from Alice to Bob, by 'classical' means, how did the 'full' quantum information pass from Alice to Bob? This seems to be a violation of the conservation of information, or something like this. There are different views about it. Somebody thinks there is no trasmission of quantum information from Alice to Bob, but the (missing) quantum information is already there, at Bob's home, 'because' we live in a multiverse. Another possible view states there is 'another' channel, 'another' path connecting Alice and Bob, which is defined by the two world-lines of the distributed EPR particle pair. This means - following Bennett - that the 'remaining' quantum information must have been transmitted from Alice to the EPR source 'backward in time' and then from the EPR source to Bob 'foward in time'. This interpretation is fully consistent (no paradoxes like 'you can kill your grandfather' arise here) so long as the two 'classical' bits Alice wish to send (to Bob) remain unknown, while that weird informational jamming happens. From alex at ramonsky.com Mon Dec 1 20:51:29 2003 From: alex at ramonsky.com (Alex Ramonsky) Date: Mon, 01 Dec 2003 20:51:29 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Scott Walker Kama Sutra References: Message-ID: <3FCBA9D1.6010907@ramonsky.com> Amara Graps wrote: > Came into my office to pick up some papers about carbonaceous > chondrites on Earth, and I leave my office as I saw words and pictures > about kama sutra for robots. Made me smile. Have a good day. > > Amara Hey, there's hope for me yet : ) AR From extropy at unreasonable.com Mon Dec 1 21:01:17 2003 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Mon, 01 Dec 2003 16:01:17 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Gender roles Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031201154514.0287fec8@mail.comcast.net> After my posting re Scale 5, I got curious and did a little more research. The test was revised slightly for the MMPI-2. Since I read the score interpretation taught to clinical psychologists (reprinted below), questions and doubts about anything clinical psychologists assert have been bubbling inside me faster than I can voice them. But I thought you might be interested in what passes for science. From http://cmhs.utoledo.edu/npiazza/Courses/Adv%20Personality/MMPI-2.htm : Scale 5 Interpretations for Men > 75 -- Typically self-proclaimed homosexuals and persons willing to admit their homosexual concerns. 65 - 75 -- Lacks identification with culturally prescribed sex roles. Passive, inner-directed, have aesthetic interests, and may even seem effeminate. 58 - 64 -- Men tend toward aesthetic activities, are imaginative, introspective, and have a wide range of interests. They are socially perceptive and sensitive to interpersonal interactions. Typical range for most college educated men. 45 - 57 -- Traditional identification with sex role interests and activities. Typical range for college educated males in masculine oriented fields, e.g., engineering and agriculture. < 44 -- Very strong identification with traditional masculine role. May be rigid and inflexible about their masculinity. Tend to be adventurous, easygoing, coarse, and have interests in mechanics, sports, and outdoor activities. Scale 5 Interpretations for Women > 75 -- Typically self-proclaimed homosexuals and persons willing to admit their homosexual concerns. 65 - 74 -- Unusual for women to score in this range. Check for errors in scoring or profiling. Not interested in appearing or behaving according to traditional feminine role. Tend to be vigorous, aggressive, dominating, and competitive. Confident and spontaneous, but may become anxious when expected to conform to traditional feminine sex roles. 45 - 64 -- Less interested in traditional feminine activities with more masculine interests and activities that women who score low on this scale. 35 - 44 -- Genuinely identifies with traditional feminine interests and activities. < 34 -- Over-identification with the feminine role. Tend to be passive, submissive, modest, yielding, and demure. They may be coy, seductive, and feign helplessness. May be self-pitying, masochistic, and manipulate men via sex. -- David Lubkin. From dirk at neopax.com Mon Dec 1 21:03:25 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 21:03:25 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation References: Message-ID: <025401c3b84e$a177aac0$3bb5ff3e@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Brian Lee" To: ; Sent: Monday, December 01, 2003 6:22 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation > I've thought a bit on this lately and am a little let down with the pace of > transportation. If you look at air travel over the last 50 years there are > few major breakthroughs. 75 years ago, it took weeks to travel around the > world and then with commercial air travel, that was cut down to a day or > merely hours. 50 years later, we're still pretty much at the same flight > times. We have more routes and scheduled and tvs in the seats but flights > are still about the same length. Perhaps they are even longer if you take > security waits into the equation. > > I think the main reason why air travel tech has stalled is lack of > competition. There's really only two companies making planes-Airbus and > Boeing- and both are heavily subsidized by their respective governments. Air > travel is subsidized by local governments and businesses who don't have much > incentive to decrease travel time. It's more basic than that. To get from my house in Britain to a friends in New York takes approximately 13hrs. Of that, 7 is the flight time. I have no intention of paying a premium so I can knock 3hrs off that time. It's not the speed of the flight that matters, but the journey times and getting through the airports at both ends. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From wingcat at pacbell.net Mon Dec 1 22:16:12 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 14:16:12 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles In-Reply-To: <20031201161346.GM22650@leitl.org> Message-ID: <20031201221612.77696.qmail@web80411.mail.yahoo.com> --- Eugen Leitl wrote: > Transhumanism *is* a distinct put-off to the > majority of > women. Inherently? No more than it is a distinct put-off to the majority of men, at least by my experience. There are many things that (Western) men and women both want, self-control among them. Is not one of the end goals of transhumansism vastly increased control over oneself, including the ability not to age and die if desired? From wingcat at pacbell.net Mon Dec 1 22:41:38 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 14:41:38 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] The Gender Genie - analyzing writing styles In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031201224138.6071.qmail@web80408.mail.yahoo.com> --- Amara Graps wrote: > I ran across this online program that tries to > analyze the gender > of the writer of a writing selection. I am writing > quite a lot these > days, and I was curious about what the "gender > genie" would > calculate for my gender. > > http://www.bookblog.net/gender/genie.html > > "According to Koppel and Argamon, the algorithm > should predict the > gender of the author approximately 80% of the time." > > However, in my case, it was wrong, 100% of the time. Same here. Perhaps it can distinguish "classic-masculine" from "classic-feminine", but it's probable that most people on this list are neither. As per the recent posts on Scale 5, perhaps there are actually three mental "genders" in modern society: masculine, feminine, and educated (which incorporates some traits from the classic pair - like sensitivity to others from feminine and assertiveness from masculine - but also has traits all its own). I'm not sure if "educated" is quite the most accurate word for it, but from the reports, it does seem to be what highly-educated men and women tend towards. ...I wonder. If I am correct about that, then might some of the social problems we're seeing be caused by a fundamental perception of "there are men" and "there are women", with the modification "some men act like women and some women act like men", with no allowance for this third "gender" since it falls outside of that model? (And if there is a third, might there be a fourth? Or would that be dividing things up too far to be useful?) The source of the model is obvious - and body modification is not (yet) widespread enough that there are many who do away with the bothersome reproductive organs. (What if I don't want to have kids, but rather to impress other peoples' kids so they'll follow in my footsteps more firmly than offspring related only by genetics?) From spike66 at comcast.net Tue Dec 2 02:49:54 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 18:49:54 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Guns In-Reply-To: <20031201153957.96469.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <002b01c3b87e$f737df90$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > > > > It's far from simple. > > Why don't you tell me how you can own fully automatic rifles in > > California? > > It is simple: California is in violation of the US Constitution, and > cases are proceeding through the courts right now... Furthermore, the Taxifornia government is evil and corrupt, in the pockets of gambling interests and under the control of those who plot to harm the taxpayers. A group of them were caught by a live microphone a few months ago, plotting to cut funds to highway repair, so that drivers would hit potholes and ruin their tires, resulting in their crying out for higher taxes to repair roads. Fortunately, they were heard by everyone in the capital building. Busted! Book em, Dano. Watch what happens next fall. We will send these reprehensible miscreants packing with a one-way ticket out of Taxamento, and that will be a fiiiine day indeed. The voters will take this state back from those who would enslave our minds, restrict our sacred freedoms, plunder our paychecks and mess up our tires. spike From spike66 at comcast.net Tue Dec 2 03:07:24 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 19:07:24 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] think this will catch on? In-Reply-To: <5.1.0.14.2.20031201154514.0287fec8@mail.comcast.net> Message-ID: <003801c3b881$68d30e20$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Looks like fun: http://motobykz.co.uk/MercF300/Merc300Funjet.htm spike From mbb386 at main.nc.us Tue Dec 2 04:42:27 2003 From: mbb386 at main.nc.us (MB) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 23:42:27 -0500 (Eastern Standard Time) Subject: [extropy-chat] think this will catch on? In-Reply-To: <003801c3b881$68d30e20$6501a8c0@SHELLY> References: <003801c3b881$68d30e20$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: Wow, spike! It looks like a wonderfully updated version of the Messerschmitt from the 1950s.... Here, Google! :) http://members.shaw.ca/tallteri/messeropenme.jpg http://members.shaw.ca/tallteri/messerclosed.jpg Ha! You can even make a paper model! http://papertoys.com/messerschmitt.htm If the F300 LifeJet gets 50 mpg I'll be *happy* to have one! oooh. :) I can just see it now, chasing around these little mountain roads! ;D Regards, MB On Mon, 1 Dec 2003, Spike wrote: > Looks like fun: > > http://motobykz.co.uk/MercF300/Merc300Funjet.htm > > spike > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 2 04:53:06 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 20:53:06 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Guns In-Reply-To: <01ee01c3b849$d535ebb0$3bb5ff3e@artemis> Message-ID: <20031202045306.22644.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > > The faith I am referring to is the *belief* that society should have > no say in the legitimacy of your position. Ah, well, on that, society does have a say, and more than 3/4 of the US population supports an individual right to keep and bear arms. 39 states have laws guaranteeing a right-to-carry-concealed, most of which were passed in the last decade, a decade in which the US has seen crime drop by half, a phenomenon seen in no other industrialized nation, where no other industrialized nation has as gun laws as free as ours. Society has spoken, in support of my position. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 2 04:55:32 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 20:55:32 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Guns In-Reply-To: <002b01c3b87e$f737df90$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031202045532.79700.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> --- Spike wrote: > > --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > > > > > > It's far from simple. > > > Why don't you tell me how you can own fully automatic rifles in > > > California? > > > > It is simple: California is in violation of the US Constitution, > and > > cases are proceeding through the courts right now... > > Furthermore, the Taxifornia government is evil and corrupt, > in the pockets of gambling interests and under the control > of those who plot to harm the taxpayers. A group of them > were caught by a live microphone a few months ago, plotting > to cut funds to highway repair, so that drivers would hit > potholes and ruin their tires, resulting in their crying > out for higher taxes to repair roads. Fortunately, they > were heard by everyone in the capital building. Busted! > Book em, Dano. Ah, finally the statists trespass on one freedom that Californians cannot brook trespass against: the right to drive. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 2 05:01:14 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 21:01:14 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] think this will catch on? In-Reply-To: <003801c3b881$68d30e20$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031202050114.77087.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> --- Spike wrote: > Looks like fun: > > http://motobykz.co.uk/MercF300/Merc300Funjet.htm Why call it a jet if it has no jet engine??? ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From dirk at neopax.com Tue Dec 2 06:04:55 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 06:04:55 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Guns References: <20031202045306.22644.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <044001c3b89a$35475ed0$3bb5ff3e@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Mike Lorrey" To: "Dirk Bruere" ; "ExI chat list" Sent: Tuesday, December 02, 2003 4:53 AM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Guns > > --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > > > > The faith I am referring to is the *belief* that society should have > > no say in the legitimacy of your position. > > Ah, well, on that, society does have a say, and more than 3/4 of the US > population supports an individual right to keep and bear arms. 39 > states have laws guaranteeing a right-to-carry-concealed, most of which > were passed in the last decade, a decade in which the US has seen crime > drop by half, a phenomenon seen in no other industrialized nation, > where no other industrialized nation has as gun laws as free as ours. > Society has spoken, in support of my position. But I thought you believed in 'inalienable' rights? Or is gun ownership not one of them? Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From spike66 at comcast.net Tue Dec 2 06:31:16 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 22:31:16 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: <20031202045532.79700.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <003e01c3b89d$e3cdfdd0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > > Ah, finally the statists trespass on one freedom that Californians > cannot brook trespass against: the right to drive. > > ===== > Mike Lorrey Roger that, big time. They won't admit it, but the tripling of the car tax is what got our previous sorry excuse for a governor hurled out of office head first. People looked the other way while all the other stuff was going on, but when they messed with our wheels, it was time to take action. {8^D Extropians, do stop and think about this: we all pay taxes out the kazoo and most of it disappears into the mist, gone forever. But a little gets spent on a wonderful toy: the interstate highway system. And what a thing it is: whenever we take a notion we can hop in our internal combustion freedom machines and set out on a journey, on the road like Jack Kerouac! Just go, take off, get the hell outta town for a while. It doesn't even cost much, especially if you take along camping gear and a cooler full of grub and sodas and beer. You can drive a typical detroit all day for 40 or 50 bucks, chase the far horizon for a solid week for just a few Franklins. You seldom need to slow down or pay a toll, rarely get caught in heavy traffic, none of that, just roll along for as long as you want. This works especially well out in the western US, big open country, no one around, like a ride thru the desert on a horse with no name, cause there aint no one there to give you no pain. Psychiatrists offices must be filled with people who have never discovered driving your cares away on the open road, free wind blowing in one ear and out the other. What a terrific way to unwind! Low cost getaway, man! No need to compare it with sex, because you can do both. Not only can money buy happiness, it isn't even particularly expensive any more. Go with a sweetheart or with a bunch of guys, or just go by yourself and have a hell of a good time. For those who understand the extra freedom of going on two wheels, all the above only more so. If all tax dollars were spent as well as they are on the good old interstate highway system, well then, even *I* would be in favor of taxes, and this is *me* talking. {8-] spike Dont mess with our wheels or our roads. From twodeel at jornada.org Tue Dec 2 06:48:29 2003 From: twodeel at jornada.org (Don Dartfield) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 22:48:29 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: <003e01c3b89d$e3cdfdd0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: On Mon, 1 Dec 2003, Spike wrote: > If all tax dollars were spent as well as they are on the good old > interstate highway system, well then, even *I* would be in favor of > taxes, and this is *me* talking. OK, so here's a question I was pondering briefly the other day: if all of the money spent on the Interstates since their inception had been instead pumped into R&D for several companies like Moller, would we have competitively-priced flying cars yet? And if we did have (VTOL) flying vehicles, would we still need roads? The reason I was thinking about it is that I recently finished reading Robert J. Sawyer's Neanderthal Parallax trilogy, where the Neanderthal society in an alternate universe has developed advanced technology while maintaining their hunter-gatherer ways, and although they have flying vehicles and helicopters, they never invented roads, or even non-VTOL aircraft with their required long clearings for takeoff and landing. And I was wondering how feasible this was -- wouldn't you still need roads for shipping heavy items? From spike66 at comcast.net Tue Dec 2 07:18:10 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 23:18:10 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <000001c3b8a4$7156ff20$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > Don Dartfield > > On Mon, 1 Dec 2003, Spike wrote: > > > If all tax dollars were spent as well as they are on the good old > > interstate highway system, well then, even *I* would be in favor of > > taxes, and this is *me* talking. > > OK, so here's a question I was pondering briefly the other > day: if all of the money spent on the Interstates since their inception had > been instead pumped into R&D for several companies like Moller, would we have > competitively-priced flying cars yet? No. Moller and others aren't struggling against a lack of research, they are struggling against physics. There is a good reason why those designs don't fly. The military has dumped cubic tons of money into flying cars, but the power requirements keep pushing us towards the flying cars that we have had for fifty years: helicopters. The equations for power requirements as a function of rotor length are well understood Don. Textbooks on VTOL design are available at your local university. There is a very good reason why choppers have long rotors, and why sailplanes with long skinny wings have a more efficient glide slope than high powered aircraft. spike From eugen at leitl.org Tue Dec 2 10:24:00 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 11:24:00 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles In-Reply-To: <20031201221612.77696.qmail@web80411.mail.yahoo.com> References: <20031201161346.GM22650@leitl.org> <20031201221612.77696.qmail@web80411.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20031202102400.GJ13516@leitl.org> On Mon, Dec 01, 2003 at 02:16:12PM -0800, Adrian Tymes wrote: > Inherently? No more than it is a distinct put-off to > the majority of men, at least by my experience. We seem to be both trading anecdotes here. > There are many things that (Western) men and women > both want, self-control among them. I'm very certain that there is empiric evidence that transhumanism acceptance rate in males is at least an order (maybe two) of magnitude higher than women. However, I have no actual statistics in hand, so I can't prove my case. > Is not one of the end goals of transhumansism vastly > increased control over oneself, including the ability > not to age and die if desired? Most old people look forward to dying. Too much control is a bad thing, imo. You've been soaking in here too long. The bulk of the world is rural; try preaching there. You'll be surprised... -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From jacques at dtext.com Tue Dec 2 11:51:58 2003 From: jacques at dtext.com (JDP) Date: Tue, 02 Dec 2003 12:51:58 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles In-Reply-To: <20031202102400.GJ13516@leitl.org> References: <20031201161346.GM22650@leitl.org> <20031201221612.77696.qmail@web80411.mail.yahoo.com> <20031202102400.GJ13516@leitl.org> Message-ID: <3FCC7CDE.1000609@dtext.com> Eugen Leitl wrote: > I'm very certain that there is empiric evidence > that transhumanism acceptance rate in males is at > least an order (maybe two) of magnitude higher than > women. > > However, I have no actual statistics in hand, so I can't > prove my case. I'll say the obvious: speculation (for best and worse) is distinctively male. You don't easily get the attention of a woman with speculation (except her attention on yourself, as a typical... male). They are usually more practical, caring about what is in the present and makes a difference there. It's one of the obvious gender opposition in the culture, and it is probable that it reflects some biological difference (the origin of which seems rather easy to imagine). Of course, like all "genderalizations", I don't intend it normatively and anyone is welcome to be a counter-example. I am a counter-example of many gender things that I think usually hold. Jacques From gpmap at runbox.com Tue Dec 2 14:01:50 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Tue, 02 Dec 2003 14:01:50 GMT Subject: [extropy-chat] The Opening of Biotech Message-ID: An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From twodeel at jornada.org Tue Dec 2 14:05:00 2003 From: twodeel at jornada.org (Don Dartfield) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 06:05:00 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: <000001c3b8a4$7156ff20$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: On Mon, 1 Dec 2003, Spike wrote: > No. Moller and others aren't struggling against a lack of research, > they are struggling against physics. There is a good reason why those > designs don't fly. I thought that the current Moller Skycar *does* fly -- it just costs a million dollars. From eugen at leitl.org Tue Dec 2 14:19:24 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 15:19:24 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation In-Reply-To: <01b801c3b823$ce7276c0$fe00a8c0@HEMM> References: <20031201140907.49595.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> <184DD522-240A-11D8-9B19-000A95B18568@antipope.org> <01b801c3b823$ce7276c0$fe00a8c0@HEMM> Message-ID: <20031202141923.GC22120@leitl.org> On Mon, Dec 01, 2003 at 01:57:22PM -0200, Henrique Moraes Machado wrote: > I've been reflecting lately on communication versus transportation. The first is developing faster than ever, while the former seems to be stalled. Is it related? Are we concentrating our resourses in evolving our communication means because our transportation means are poor, or does de current pace of developments on comms in fact causes less effort on advancing transportation? Just thinking. Sorry for the bad english, but it's not my native language and I am still learning. Current communications depend on advances in electronics and optics; the signalling speed is about the speed of light already. Electromagnetic communication needs no wires but is limited in bandwidth/cell, the amount of wire/fibre buried is clearly very limited (watch the current dark fibre debacle). However, better coding and hardware can put more bits/s through a given infrastructure. Transportation has stalled in throughput because it's an infrastructure issue (new infrastructure can't occupy the same space as old, need to be compatible and is intrinsically expensive), and speed is an energy and noise issue (you want to stay subsonic, and evacuated channels are ridiculously expensive). If you want to go to orbit, you still have the atmosphere to go through (and it *is* called rocket science not for nothing). The best you can do is hypersonic scramjet, and if you thought Concorde was expensive... So, yeah, communication is where it's at. Especially if we get good telepresence. Online gaming is progressing nicely towards VR already. Once we get head-up displays with good head tracking and good body tracking you can mix both freely. You can expect good augmented reality in about 15-20 years. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 2 14:38:12 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 06:38:12 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Guns In-Reply-To: <044001c3b89a$35475ed0$3bb5ff3e@artemis> Message-ID: <20031202143812.43177.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > > ----- Original Message ----- > From: "Mike Lorrey" > > > > --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > > > > > > The faith I am referring to is the *belief* that society should > > > have no say in the legitimacy of your position. > > > > Ah, well, on that, society does have a say, and more than 3/4 of > the US > > population supports an individual right to keep and bear arms. 39 > > states have laws guaranteeing a right-to-carry-concealed, most of > which > > were passed in the last decade, a decade in which the US has seen > crime > > drop by half, a phenomenon seen in no other industrialized nation, > > where no other industrialized nation has as gun laws as free as > ours. > > Society has spoken, in support of my position. > > But I thought you believed in 'inalienable' rights? > Or is gun ownership not one of them? I don't believe, I know. That I know that I have inalienable rights such as the keeping and bearing of arms (any arms, not just guns) is a distinctly different issue as to whether any particular society thinks so as well. It is fortunate that I live in a society where a supermajority posesses similar knowledge, for that means I do not have to either move somewhere else, or work very hard to secure my liberties against the slave mentality of a serf society such as you do. In my society, we have constitutional barriers against modern ignorance corrupting our natural rights, barriers which serve to protect those rights in times when public opinion sways and flags, such as the 1968-86 period. It is quite evident that certain serf societies on the european continent and elsewhere still believe they have no right to defend their liberties yet still beleive they are are free. They believed this before WWII as well, and look where that got you. We saw a similar phenomenon with the slavery period here in the US, where house slaves saw no reason for the field slaves to yearn for liberty in the north, that privilege was available to those who sufficiently pleased the masters and those that did not deserved to work the fields. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From amara at amara.com Tue Dec 2 13:43:18 2003 From: amara at amara.com (Amara Graps) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 15:43:18 +0200 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Gender Genie - analyzing writing styles Message-ID: Dear Natasha, > >Amara, bella, perhaps the test is outdated. I hope so. In any case the people in this group can provide a sample to further check the algorithm. The transhumanists are a pretty wide mix in the gender arena, in my view. > >We cannot expect either gender to write in tithe style prescribed to it by >any one generational testing regulation. Vero > Also, I don't think it is >necessarily pejorative that a test senses a "male" writing style. Androgyny >is beautiful and an ability to write both across both gender-styles is a >lovely thing to do. This is expressly, I put on a tie many times when I >give a talk. There is a time and place for all aspect of our "selves" and >you seem to have chosen an educated style in your articles. or 'it' chose me :-) > However, I >wonder what the article you wrote on Fiorella Terenzi comes out as. 'Male' > Did >you run that one through the test? (just tried) For the record, the results for all of my poetry test out as 'Male' too. > >As an educated scientist, your training will come out in your writing no >matter how you fancify it. Vero >Also, try running some of your email stories >(that you send to your friends) through the test. Thank you for the suggestion. I didn't try that before, mostly because I am more myself in those personal writings, and they are private among my friends and family. The results from those vignettes are that they are more skewed towards the 'Female' scale, in fact, an almost perfect balance between 'Male' and 'Female'. The interesting thing (to me) about my email stories is that I think my writing style is more or less uniform, but the topics change. Those that discuss immediate relationship topics immediately test out as 'Female'. I don't think that it is a very smart algorithm, that is, if a man talks about relationships he would probably test out as 'Female' too. > >Brings me back to the beginning. Who's judging and is the criteria >objective. > It's hard for me to see how my writings appear while I'm on the inside of my head. Directly, no one is judging but me, but indirectly, (depending on which writings) editors are judging. No matter, though, because I didn't gain very much from that exercise. In the end, I don't think the criteria for that test were useful criteria. Amara -- ******************************************************************** Amara Graps, PhD email: amara at amara.com Computational Physics vita: ftp://ftp.amara.com/pub/resume.txt Multiplex Answers URL: http://www.amara.com/ ******************************************************************** "The best presents don't come in boxes." --Hobbes From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 2 14:57:48 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 06:57:48 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031202145748.87585.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> --- Don Dartfield wrote: > On Mon, 1 Dec 2003, Spike wrote: > > > If all tax dollars were spent as well as they are on the good old > > interstate highway system, well then, even *I* would be in favor of > > taxes, and this is *me* talking. > > OK, so here's a question I was pondering briefly the other day: if > all of the money spent on the Interstates since their inception had > been instead pumped into R&D for several companies like Moller, > would we have competitively-priced flying cars yet? And if we did > have (VTOL) flying vehicles, would we still need roads? Firstly, most all of the money spent on the interstates was money collected in the form of taxes on gasoline, which was burned by motorists driving the roads, i.e. a self funded mandate. People get ticked if you take taxes for one purpose and spend them on another that doesn't benefit the purpose in which they are paying the taxes. A smarter concept would be to take all the aviation-gas tax revinues and invest them in aircar development, rather than building airports and subsidizing airline tickets. That being said, air cars that burn fuels are just bad ideas, IMHO. The mpg efficiency sucks major league. Don't get me wrong, I want one myself, but from any rational economic or environmental perspective, air cars are major wastes of resources on consumer pleasure if they are burning chemical fuels. We were all told as kids that we would live in a future of air cars because the research back in the 1950's and 60's indicated that we would develop anti-gravity sometime in the 21st century, or at least high power high efficiency ion propulsion technologies. > > The reason I was thinking about it is that I recently finished > reading Robert J. Sawyer's Neanderthal Parallax trilogy, where the > Neanderthal society in an alternate universe has developed > advanced technology while maintaining their hunter-gatherer ways, > and although they have flying > vehicles and helicopters, they never invented roads, or even non-VTOL > aircraft with their required long clearings for takeoff and landing. > And I was wondering how feasible this was -- wouldn't you still need > roads for shipping heavy items? Developing technology requires a certain critical mass of population, accumulated knowledge, and an educated class of tinkerers. Hunter gatherer economics cannot support a large enough population exclusively to allow the needed critical mass to accumulate. Besides an ignorance of neanderthal physiognomy, and a misuse of the term 'parallax', he displays a similar ignorance of basic caloric economics. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 2 14:59:43 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 06:59:43 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031202145943.88024.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> --- Don Dartfield wrote: > > I thought that the current Moller Skycar *does* fly -- it just costs > a million dollars. His R&D saucer does fly, somewhat. It sucks major amounts of fuel to do so. Prepare to pay $100 in gas to fly to work each day. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 2 15:16:44 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 07:16:44 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation In-Reply-To: <20031202141923.GC22120@leitl.org> Message-ID: <20031202151644.11109.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> --- Eugen Leitl wrote: > On Mon, Dec 01, 2003 at 01:57:22PM -0200, Henrique Moraes Machado > wrote: > > > I've been reflecting lately on communication versus transportation. > > Current communications depend on advances in electronics > and optics; the signalling speed is about the speed of > light already. Electromagnetic communication needs > no wires but is limited in bandwidth/cell, the > amount of wire/fibre buried is clearly > very limited (watch the current dark fibre debacle). > However, better coding and hardware can put > more bits/s through a given infrastructure. Yes, virtually all of the increases in bandwidth in the last decade have been in improved compression algorithms and higher frequency use, and the attendand equipment designs to do so. > > Transportation has stalled in throughput because it's > an infrastructure issue (new infrastructure can't occupy > the same space as old, need to be compatible and is > intrinsically expensive), and speed is an energy and noise > issue (you want to stay subsonic, and evacuated channels > are ridiculously expensive). It's also an energy issue. You can build SSTs and SSTOs all day long that use existing airports. What you can't get over is the energy cost. The faster you go, the more fuel/mile you burn to deal with thermal friction, and higher power propulsion systems tend also to be less fuel efficient on a gallons per lb thrust basis. The good thing is that resource prices drop over time as technology decreases resource utilization costs and increases utilization efficiency. Eventually higher velocity transportation systems become commercially feasible, this is just a much longer curve than communications has. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From amara at amara.com Tue Dec 2 14:48:34 2003 From: amara at amara.com (Amara Graps) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 16:48:34 +0200 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Gender Genie - analyzing writing styles Message-ID: Dear Eugene: >Transhumanism *is* a distinct put-off to the majority of >women. Perhaps. The main reason that I occasionally talk here is because I have some good friends here. For me, that is more important than the meme-complex, if that provides insight. I see my future with my own circle of friends, family, teachers, students, and not any particular group. (In this respect I've probably changed during the last year or two.) >I do not see how to package the meme complex in a more palatable >way. (I'll need to think on it.) > Perhaps our transhumanist women can produce a diagnosis, and a >suggestion. I'm not the best person to produce a diagnosis and suggestion on this topic now. Probably you know that often, or at least in the last several years, I think that I don't have a strong enough character to accept/handle/counter/respond in a good way to some of the aggression and/or coldness and/or other nastiness that I sometimes encounter on the tranhumanist lists. I had years of practicing talking on Usenet too, but somehow that wasn't the right training for here. This is not any cause for alarm, though, because I have similar thoughts and feelings when I think that I am not strong enough to handle living in Italy, and then I meet someone with a warmth and generosity that blows me away, and it makes me want to continue trying. Same thing with the transhumanists. My headspace regarding interaction with strangers is not the best this year anyway because of this tremendously difficult year and I'm very tired. Amara -- ******************************************************************** Amara Graps, PhD email: amara at amara.com Computational Physics vita: ftp://ftp.amara.com/pub/resume.txt Multiplex Answers URL: http://www.amara.com/ ******************************************************************** "The best presents don't come in boxes." --Hobbes From spike66 at comcast.net Tue Dec 2 16:05:21 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 08:05:21 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles In-Reply-To: <3FCC7CDE.1000609@dtext.com> Message-ID: <002301c3b8ee$169d7150$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > Eugen Leitl wrote: > > > I'm very certain that there is empiric evidence > > that transhumanism acceptance rate in males is at > > least an order (maybe two) of magnitude higher than > > women. > > > > I'll say the obvious: speculation (for best and worse) is > distinctively male. You don't easily get the attention of a woman with speculation > (except her attention on yourself, as a typical... male). They are > usually more practical, caring about what is in the present > and makes a difference there... This is one that made the rounds last newtonmass: Do you know what would have happened if it had been Three Wise Women instead of Three Wise Men? They would have asked directions, arrived on time, helped deliver the baby, cleaned the stable, made a casserole, brought practical gifts, and there would be Peace On Earth. {8^D spike From spike66 at comcast.net Tue Dec 2 16:08:40 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 08:08:40 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <002a01c3b8ee$8d5bd980$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > On Mon, 1 Dec 2003, Spike wrote: > > > No. Moller and others aren't struggling against a lack of research, > > they are struggling against physics. There is a good > > reason why those designs don't fly. > > I thought that the current Moller Skycar *does* fly -- it > just costs a million dollars... Don If it does fly, it's worth twice that, nay three times. There are plenty of yahoos around here that have money to blow their noses on, $3E6 wouldn't even slow them down. spike From twodeel at jornada.org Tue Dec 2 16:10:47 2003 From: twodeel at jornada.org (Don Dartfield) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 08:10:47 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: <20031202145748.87585.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: On Tue, 2 Dec 2003, Mike Lorrey wrote: > Besides an ignorance of neanderthal physiognomy, and a misuse of the > term 'parallax', he displays a similar ignorance of basic caloric > economics. So you read the books? What was the ignorance of neanderthal physiognomy and ignorance of caloric economics? From twodeel at jornada.org Tue Dec 2 16:11:14 2003 From: twodeel at jornada.org (Don Dartfield) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 08:11:14 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles In-Reply-To: <20031202102400.GJ13516@leitl.org> Message-ID: On Tue, 2 Dec 2003, Eugen Leitl wrote: > Most old people look forward to dying. Too much control is a bad thing, > imo. You've been soaking in here too long. The bulk of the world is > rural; try preaching there. You'll be surprised... But if they had the choice, and if they weren't encumbered by religious ideas about death being a good thing, I would think they would rather be young again than die. From spike66 at comcast.net Tue Dec 2 16:23:21 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 08:23:21 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Gender Genie - analyzing writing styles In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <003001c3b8f0$9a585d50$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Amara, where can I find the gender genie test? That previous URL was about how to interpret it, but I didn't see the test itself. spike Yukadoos below. Most of them are old, some new. I didn't write em but I had fun with them: ====================== 1. Two peanuts walk into a bar. One was a salted. 2. A jumper cable walks into a bar. The barman says "I'll serve you, but don't start anything." 3. A sandwich walks into a bar. The barman says, "Sorry, we don't serve food in here." 4. A dyslexic man walks into a bra. 5. A man walks into a bar with a slab of asphalt under his arm and says, "A beer please, and another one for the road." 6. Two cannibals are eating a clown. One says to the other, "Does this taste funny to you?" 7. "Doc, I can't stop singing 'The green, green grass of home.'" "That sounds like Tom Jones syndrome." "Is it common?" "It's not unusual." 8. Two cows standing next to each other in a field, Daisy says to Dolly. "I was artificially inseminated this morning." "I don't believe you," said Dolly. "It's true, no bull!" exclaimed Daisy. 9. Two hydrogen atoms walk into a bar. One says, "I've lost my electron." The other says, "Are you sure?" The first replies, "Yes, I'm positive..." 10. A man takes his Rottweiler to the vet and says, "My dog's cross-eyed. Is there anything you can do for him?" "Well," says the vet, "let's have a look at him" So he picks the dog up and examines his eyes, then checks his teeth. Finally, he says "I'm going to have to put him down." "What? Because he's cross-eyed?" "No, because he's really heavy." 11. I went to buy some camouflage trousers the other day but I couldn't find any. 12. I went to the butcher's the other day and I bet him $50 that he couldn't reach the meat on the top shelf. He said, "No,the steaks are too high." 13. I went to a seafood disco rave last week...and pulled a mussel. 14. Two Eskimos sitting in a kayak were chilly; but when they lit a fire in the craft, it sank, proving once and for all that you can't have your kayak and heat it too.! 15. A man walks into a doctor's office. "What seems to be the problem?" asks the doc. "It's... um...well... I have five penises," replies the man. "Blimey!" says the doctor, "How do your trousers fit?" "Like a glove." 16. What do you call a fish with no eyes? A fsh. From eugen at leitl.org Tue Dec 2 16:27:16 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 17:27:16 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles In-Reply-To: References: <20031202102400.GJ13516@leitl.org> Message-ID: <20031202162715.GJ22120@leitl.org> On Tue, Dec 02, 2003 at 08:11:14AM -0800, Don Dartfield wrote: > But if they had the choice, and if they weren't encumbered by religious I don't know what the cutoff is, but in the current generation it's difficult to get through to people past 50. Maybe our generation will fare better; we'll see. Kids are easy, but I'm not sure they retain the view as they age. I notice several transhumanists have drifted away as they aged. > ideas about death being a good thing, I would think they would rather be They think they're immortal already, so they will fight you tooth and nail when you attempt to take their only protection away. Actually, they will simply reject whatever you say, so there's even not much fighting involved. > young again than die. A lot of people do not want to become young again. Because they're comfortable as they are, and don't want to go back to teen/twen angst. They don't understand that you can have the one, and not the another as well. It will become iffy as chronical diseases make the daily living really painful, so anything becomes an improvement (you never seen old people longing for death?). But, old people are the toughest cases. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From natashavita at earthlink.net Tue Dec 2 16:28:35 2003 From: natashavita at earthlink.net (natashavita at earthlink.net) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 11:28:35 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] NEWSWEEK: Test your Digital IQ Message-ID: <184670-220031222162835774@M2W095.mail2web.com> "Next Frontiers: Test Your Ditigal IQ Computers havae infiltrated almost every phase of our lives, from the office to the car, phones to mucic. Just how much do you know about technologies that are taking over your world? Take this quick quiz and see if you're a geek or a Luddite." ___________________________________________________________________ For Extropy list members, this test is utterly basic, but if anyone wants to take it, here is one oneline: http://www.msnbc.com/news/987180.asp Some comments are funny by Ernie the attorney: http://www.ernietheattorney.net/ernie_the_attorney/2003/11/newsweek_survey.h tml Natasha -------------------------------------------------------------------- mail2web - Check your email from the web at http://mail2web.com/ . From natashavita at earthlink.net Tue Dec 2 16:32:00 2003 From: natashavita at earthlink.net (natashavita at earthlink.net) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 11:32:00 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Gender Genie - analyzing writing styles Message-ID: <281450-2200312221632091@M2W092.mail2web.com> Bloody hell Spike! I'm trying to get some work done!!! Every time I open my email hub to sneak a peek at an incoming message I start lol and disrupting my workday. ====================== 1. Two peanuts walk into a bar. One was a salted. 2. A jumper cable walks into a bar. The barman says "I'll serve you, but don't start anything." 3. A sandwich walks into a bar. The barman says, "Sorry, we don't serve food in here." 4. A dyslexic man walks into a bra. 5. A man walks into a bar with a slab of asphalt under his arm and says, "A beer please, and another one for the road." 6. Two cannibals are eating a clown. One says to the other, "Does this taste funny to you?" 7. "Doc, I can't stop singing 'The green, green grass of home.'" "That sounds like Tom Jones syndrome." "Is it common?" "It's not unusual." 8. Two cows standing next to each other in a field, Daisy says to Dolly. "I was artificially inseminated this morning." "I don't believe you," said Dolly. "It's true, no bull!" exclaimed Daisy. 9. Two hydrogen atoms walk into a bar. One says, "I've lost my electron." The other says, "Are you sure?" The first replies, "Yes, I'm positive..." 10. A man takes his Rottweiler to the vet and says, "My dog's cross-eyed. Is there anything you can do for him?" "Well," says the vet, "let's have a look at him" So he picks the dog up and examines his eyes, then checks his teeth. Finally, he says "I'm going to have to put him down." "What? Because he's cross-eyed?" "No, because he's really heavy." 11. I went to buy some camouflage trousers the other day but I couldn't find any. 12. I went to the butcher's the other day and I bet him $50 that he couldn't reach the meat on the top shelf. He said, "No,the steaks are too high." 13. I went to a seafood disco rave last week...and pulled a mussel. 14. Two Eskimos sitting in a kayak were chilly; but when they lit a fire in the craft, it sank, proving once and for all that you can't have your kayak and heat it too.! 15. A man walks into a doctor's office. "What seems to be the problem?" asks the doc. "It's... um...well... I have five penises," replies the man. "Blimey!" says the doctor, "How do your trousers fit?" "Like a glove." 16. What do you call a fish with no eyes? A fsh. _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat -------------------------------------------------------------------- mail2web - Check your email from the web at http://mail2web.com/ . From bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk Tue Dec 2 16:39:53 2003 From: bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk (BillK) Date: Tue, 02 Dec 2003 16:39:53 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] think this will catch on? Message-ID: <3FCCC059.7080701@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> On Mon Dec 01, 2003 09:42 pm MB wrote: > Wow, spike! It looks like a wonderfully updated version of > the Messerschmitt from the 1950s.... > Huh! Three wheels - Far too many. Try a Harley-style single-wheel motorcycle! Message-ID: <20031202164047.14918.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> --- Don Dartfield wrote: > On Tue, 2 Dec 2003, Mike Lorrey wrote: > > > Besides an ignorance of neanderthal physiognomy, and a misuse of > the > > term 'parallax', he displays a similar ignorance of basic caloric > > economics. > > So you read the books? What was the ignorance of neanderthal > physiognomy and ignorance of caloric economics? >From what I've read, neurological studies of the shape of the brain case of neanderthals indicate they lacked a lot of the higher brain functions that homo sap needed to make the breakthrough to actual conciousness, beyond being ordered around by a god module. As for caloric economics, as I said in the previous post, you cant generate enough calories per acre of wilderness via hunter gatherer economics to support a large enough population or to support job specialization needed to achieve a highly technological society. The best such a society can do is have a tribe with a few specialized tool makers and medicine men. You certainly could NOT support the industrial infrastructure needed to build advanced technologies like helicopters. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From twodeel at jornada.org Tue Dec 2 16:50:50 2003 From: twodeel at jornada.org (Don Dartfield) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 08:50:50 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: <20031202145748.87585.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: On Tue, 2 Dec 2003, Mike Lorrey wrote: > misuse of the term 'parallax' I'm also not sure where you got this. Parallax is the apparent shift when you view something from two different positions, right? I took his use of the term "Neanderthal parallax" to refer to the different way of looking at things that his main characters were exposed to when seeing things from the viewpoint of the Neanderthal society. Seems like a perfectly valid use of the term to me. From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 2 16:58:05 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 08:58:05 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] NEWSWEEK: Test your Digital IQ In-Reply-To: <184670-220031222162835774@M2W095.mail2web.com> Message-ID: <20031202165805.76866.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> --- "natashavita at earthlink.net" wrote: > "Next Frontiers: > > Test Your Ditigal IQ 147 "nerd" "loser" "nerd" "dweeb" "melvin" "dork" "chode" "geek" ayup.... ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 2 17:00:53 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 09:00:53 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031202170055.77812.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> --- Don Dartfield wrote: > On Tue, 2 Dec 2003, Mike Lorrey wrote: > > > misuse of the term 'parallax' > > I'm also not sure where you got this. Parallax is the apparent shift > when you view something from two different positions, right? I > took his use of the term "Neanderthal parallax" to refer to the > different way of looking at things that his main characters were > exposed to when seeing things from the viewpoint of the Neanderthal > society. Seems like a perfectly valid use of the term to me. He seemed to me to be using it as a term to describe parallel universes. It is a bit of a stretch though I suppose not out of the realm of artistic license. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From twodeel at jornada.org Tue Dec 2 17:11:07 2003 From: twodeel at jornada.org (Don Dartfield) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 09:11:07 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: <20031202170055.77812.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: On Tue, 2 Dec 2003, Mike Lorrey wrote: > He seemed to me to be using it as a term to describe parallel universes. > It is a bit of a stretch though I suppose not out of the realm of > artistic license. Okay, then yeah, that would be an incorrect usage. Unless he's trying to coin a new "popular usage" meaning for the term. Perhaps we should ask him. It might be handy to have a single word term for an alternate universe in my writing, rather than always having to use "parallel universe" or "alternate universe" or "from anooooooother dimEEEENSSSSSSSion..." From amara at amara.com Tue Dec 2 16:40:46 2003 From: amara at amara.com (Amara Graps) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 18:40:46 +0200 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Gender Genie - analyzing writing styles Message-ID: Dear Spike: >Amara, where can I find the gender genie test? http://www.bookblog.net/gender/genie.html >Yukadoos below. Most of them are old, some new. > I didn't write em but I had fun with them: > 1. Two peanuts walk into a bar. One was a salted. [...] http://www.amara.com/ilDolore_sm.jpg (thanks for the laughs Spike. Really!) Amara -- *********************************************************************** Amara Graps, PhD email: amara at amara.com Computational Physics vita: ftp://ftp.amara.com/pub/resume.txt Multiplex Answers URL: http://www.amara.com/ *********************************************************************** "The trouble with nude dancing is that not everything stops when the music stops." --Robert Helpmann From thespike at earthlink.net Tue Dec 2 17:46:46 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 11:46:46 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Gender Genie - analyzing writing styles References: Message-ID: <00d901c3b8fc$51e46da0$4f9d4a43@texas.net> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Amara Graps" Sent: Monday, December 01, 2003 8:42 AM > I ran across this online program that tries to analyze the gender > of the writer of a writing selection. I am writing quite a lot these > days, and I was curious about what the "gender genie" would > calculate for my gender. > > http://www.bookblog.net/gender/genie.html > > "According to Koppel and Argamon, the algorithm should predict the > gender of the author approximately 80% of the time." I ran the first 5000 words of my and Rory Barnes's female-first-person-narrated novel THE HUNGER OF TIME through the algorithm: Female Score: 5925 Male Score: 5036 The Gender Genie thinks the author of this passage is: female! ========== Cool! Si I tried the first 6500 words of THE JUDAS MANDALA, a novel by me alone, also first-person-female (but one tough cookie): Female Score: 7519 Male Score: 7679 The Gender Genie thinks the author of this passage is: male! ==== Well... close enough. Then I tried the opening of THE WHITE ABACUS, much of it narrated by a purportedly androgynous ai: From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Tue Dec 2 17:57:46 2003 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (kevinfreels at hotmail.com) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 11:57:46 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system References: Message-ID: That's just plain silly if you ask me. Roads have been around far longer than cars. Long before the society was developed enough to make flying cars, they would have had to invent roads and agriculture. The technology of a civilization relies somewhat on the size of the population. For example: You coulndn't have flying cars without highly developed computer systems. Those wouldn;t exist unless the civilization was heavily computerized. That wouldn;t happen without a solid infrastructure of utilities and roads to deliver the computers. etc, etc. Roads were a necessary contribution to the development of our civilization. On a side note, I am currently considering the possibility that neandertal man lacked the fine motor skills necessary for manipulating small objects. ----- Original Message ----- From: "Don Dartfield" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Tuesday, December 02, 2003 12:48 AM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system > On Mon, 1 Dec 2003, Spike wrote: > > > If all tax dollars were spent as well as they are on the good old > > interstate highway system, well then, even *I* would be in favor of > > taxes, and this is *me* talking. > > OK, so here's a question I was pondering briefly the other day: if all of > the money spent on the Interstates since their inception had been instead > pumped into R&D for several companies like Moller, would we have > competitively-priced flying cars yet? And if we did have (VTOL) flying > vehicles, would we still need roads? > > The reason I was thinking about it is that I recently finished reading > Robert J. Sawyer's Neanderthal Parallax trilogy, where the Neanderthal > society in an alternate universe has developed advanced technology while > maintaining their hunter-gatherer ways, and although they have flying > vehicles and helicopters, they never invented roads, or even non-VTOL > aircraft with their required long clearings for takeoff and landing. And > I was wondering how feasible this was -- wouldn't you still need roads for > shipping heavy items? > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From thespike at earthlink.net Tue Dec 2 17:59:57 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 11:59:57 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Gender Genie - analyzing writing styles References: Message-ID: <00e601c3b8fe$1bfee740$4f9d4a43@texas.net> Stupid goddamned emailer jumped the gun; try again: ----- Original Message ----- From: "Amara Graps" Sent: Monday, December 01, 2003 8:42 AM > I ran across this online program that tries to analyze the gender > of the writer of a writing selection. I am writing quite a lot these > days, and I was curious about what the "gender genie" would > calculate for my gender. > > http://www.bookblog.net/gender/genie.html > > "According to Koppel and Argamon, the algorithm should predict the > gender of the author approximately 80% of the time." I ran the first 5000 words of my and Rory Barnes's female-first-person-narrated novel THE HUNGER OF TIME through the algorithm: Female Score: 5925 Male Score: 5036 The Gender Genie thinks the author of this passage is: female! ========== Cool! So I tried the first 6500 words of THE JUDAS MANDALA, a novel by me alone, also first-person-female (but one tough cookie): Female Score: 7519 Male Score: 7679 The Gender Genie thinks the author of this passage is: male! ==== Well... close enough. Then I tried the opening of THE WHITE ABACUS, much of it narrated by a purportedly androgynous ai: Female Score: 4581 Male Score: 5318 The Gender Genie thinks the author of this passage is: male! ====== Hmmm. Fair enough. So I tried the opening 1700 words of THE BLACK GRAIL, where the narrator is a tough but reflective sword-wielding hero: Female Score: 2354 Male Score: 1643 The Gender Genie thinks the author of this passage is: female! ======== Whaaaa--?! Damien Broderick www.thespike.us From jacques at dtext.com Tue Dec 2 18:03:26 2003 From: jacques at dtext.com (JDP) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 19:03:26 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and old people In-Reply-To: <20031202162715.GJ22120@leitl.org> References: <20031202102400.GJ13516@leitl.org> <20031202162715.GJ22120@leitl.org> Message-ID: <16332.54254.386946.867389@localhost.localdomain> Eugen Leitl a ?crit (2.12.2003/17:27) : > On Tue, Dec 02, 2003 at 08:11:14AM -0800, Don Dartfield wrote: > > > But if they had the choice, and if they weren't encumbered by religious > > I don't know what the cutoff is, but in the current generation it's > difficult to get through to people past 50. Maybe our generation will > fare better; we'll see. Kids are easy, but I'm not sure they retain > the view as they age. > > I notice several transhumanists have drifted away as they aged. If you are confident it won't happen in your lifetime, and you will plain old die, then it is natural to discard crazy hopes and try to mentally adapt to what you think is your real fate. The old people have adapted. Adopting new hopes which seem improbable is too tiring emotionally and cognitively. I am pretty sure that if the thing was really available NOW, most would be happy to take the trouble of changing their mind and choose to avoid death. It is just that if they don't believe it will happen, they don't want to disturb the acceptance and adaptation they have managed to build in themselves. (Which makes good sense to me.) Jacques From twodeel at jornada.org Tue Dec 2 18:14:37 2003 From: twodeel at jornada.org (Don Dartfield) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 10:14:37 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: <20031202164047.14918.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: On Tue, 2 Dec 2003, Mike Lorrey wrote: > From what I've read, neurological studies of the shape of the brain case > of neanderthals indicate they lacked a lot of the higher brain functions > that homo sap needed to make the breakthrough to actual conciousness, > beyond being ordered around by a god module. Really? That seems odd. I thought they could make musical instruments, and had larger braincases than us ... but they lack higher brain functions? Are these brand new studies? In any case, in the Neanderthal Parallax trilogy's worldview (or worldsview, as the case may be), actual consciousness seemed to be attributed more more of a random event which was intimately tied with the universe splitting, rather than being purely a function of brain structure. Probably not realistic, but that doesn't mean > As for caloric economics, as I said in the previous post, you cant > generate enough calories per acre of wilderness via hunter gatherer > economics to support a large enough population or to support job > specialization needed to achieve a highly technological society. The > best such a society can do is have a tribe with a few specialized tool > makers and medicine men. You certainly could NOT support the industrial > infrastructure needed to build advanced technologies like helicopters. Maybe not for us, but given the higher-than-human intelligence of Sawyer's Neanderthals, maybe they could technology without requiring such a high population density. Maybe their advanced intelligence means that individuals can invent high technology without needing a lot of spare people. ;) From thespike at earthlink.net Tue Dec 2 18:16:28 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 12:16:28 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Gender Genie - analyzing writing styles References: <00e601c3b8fe$1bfee740$4f9d4a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <015901c3b900$6a4bd8c0$4f9d4a43@texas.net> This is fun! I ran the first 6000 words of my novel-under-development through the thing. YGGDRASIL STATION is told by a nerdboy Slan/godlet: Female Score: 5878 Male Score: 6776 The Gender Genie thinks the author of this passage is: male! ========= Okay, you're getting better, d00D. Damien Broderick From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Tue Dec 2 18:20:43 2003 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (kevinfreels at hotmail.com) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 12:20:43 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation References: Message-ID: I think that this has occurred simply because the masses have decided that what we have is good enough. The market has stabilized and the cost-benefit is about equal. The airlines already struggle with making profits because of this. If they raise the price of tickets, more people choose to drive to their destination. Faster flights and more exclusive, dedicated service to streamline the waiting would only increase the cost which most people are simply not willing to pay. This doesn;t mean that the technology hasn't improved however. If you look at the last 50 years (1953 to today) there are many breakthroughs fololowing Yeager's 1947 mach 1 flight in a single-man rocket with wings. Concorde travels at 1350 mph, SR-71 travels at mach 3.3. We went to the moon in 1969 (speeds averaging 25,000 mph). Aurora (if it exists) is supposed to cruise between mach 5 and mach 8. Nasa's X-43 HyperX is supposed to travel between mach 7 and mach 10. The shuttle re-enters about mach 23 (i think) ----- Original Message ----- From: "Brian Lee" To: ; Sent: Monday, December 01, 2003 12:22 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation > I've thought a bit on this lately and am a little let down with the pace of > transportation. If you look at air travel over the last 50 years there are > few major breakthroughs. 75 years ago, it took weeks to travel around the > world and then with commercial air travel, that was cut down to a day or > merely hours. 50 years later, we're still pretty much at the same flight > times. We have more routes and scheduled and tvs in the seats but flights > are still about the same length. Perhaps they are even longer if you take > security waits into the equation. > > I think the main reason why air travel tech has stalled is lack of > competition. There's really only two companies making planes-Airbus and > Boeing- and both are heavily subsidized by their respective governments. Air > travel is subsidized by local governments and businesses who don't have much > incentive to decrease travel time. > > For ground travel, in the US at least, road trips take less time because the > speed limit has been increased from 55 to 70-75 on interstates. It's nice to > be save 2 hours from an Atlanta to Miami trip, but I'm still waiting for 15 > minute NY-London trips and flying cars. > > How long until the science fiction breakthroughs come on line? Transporters, > etc. > > I've done a bit of teleconferencing and videoconferencing and while it is > sufficient for basic communication, it's not yet replacing meatspace. > > BAL > >From: "Henrique Moraes Machado" > >To: "ExI chat list" > >Subject: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation > >Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 13:57:22 -0200 > > > >Hello extropians, > > > >I've been reflecting lately on communication versus transportation. The > >first is developing faster than ever, while the former seems to be stalled. > >Is it related? Are we concentrating our resourses in evolving our > >communication means because our transportation means are poor, or does de > >current pace of developments on comms in fact causes less effort on > >advancing transportation? Just thinking. Sorry for the bad english, but > >it's not my native language and I am still learning. > >_______________________________________________ > >extropy-chat mailing list > >extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > >http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > > _________________________________________________________________ > Is there a gadget-lover on your gift list? MSN Shopping has lined up some > good bets! http://shopping.msn.com > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From jonkc at att.net Tue Dec 2 18:26:08 2003 From: jonkc at att.net (John K Clark) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 13:26:08 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Gender Genie - analyzing writing styles References: <00d901c3b8fc$51e46da0$4f9d4a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <006001c3b901$d0972ca0$cfff4d0c@hal2001> I tried it on some stuff I wrote and it was correct 3 out of 4 times, but according to it by far the most masculine prose came from something I didn't write, the first few pages of Harry Potter And The Philosopher's Stone by JK Rowling, Female Score: 912 Male Score: 1737. John K Clark jonkc at att.net From thespike at earthlink.net Tue Dec 2 18:39:50 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 12:39:50 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Gender Genie - analyzing writing styles References: <00d901c3b8fc$51e46da0$4f9d4a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <018001c3b903$af0533a0$4f9d4a43@texas.net> Let's see how the sucker reacts to my theoretical book THE ARCHITECTURE OF BABEL: Words: 2490 Female Score: 1788 Male Score: 3677 The Gender Genie thinks the author of this passage is: male! Hmm. We boyz do hard wordz, eh? Let's check out THEORY AND ITS DISCONTENTS: Weird, it cracks up and can't cope. Repeatedly. Can't handle Derrida, huh? Damien Broderick From thespike at earthlink.net Tue Dec 2 18:52:14 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 12:52:14 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Gender Genie - analyzing writing styles References: <00d901c3b8fc$51e46da0$4f9d4a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <019101c3b905$6a7da4e0$4f9d4a43@texas.net> And a fairly flagrantly `male' piece of strutting, my gonzo review of John Clute's APPLESEED: Words: 2732 (Female Score: 1834 Male Score: 3577 The Gender Genie thinks the author of this passage is: male! Let's try some of THE SPIKE: Words: 2718 Female Score: 2597 Male Score: 3432 The Gender Genie thinks the author of this passage is: male! Inneresting... Damien Broderick From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Tue Dec 2 19:38:14 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 14:38:14 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] NEWSWEEK: Test your Digital IQ In-Reply-To: <184670-220031222162835774@M2W095.mail2web.com> Message-ID: <009501c3b90b$d7b92600$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> This is not a knowledge test, it is a market survey. "Did you buy your computer online?", etc. What do you use most? Where do you use it? How often do you use it? They are surveying what people use, not what people know. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From charlie at antipope.org Tue Dec 2 19:53:35 2003 From: charlie at antipope.org (Charlie Stross) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 19:53:35 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <372B67A6-2501-11D8-AF95-000A95B18568@antipope.org> On 2 Dec 2003, at 18:20, wrote: > I think that this has occurred simply because the masses have decided > that > what we have is good enough. The market has stabilized and the > cost-benefit > is about equal. The airlines already struggle with making profits > because of > this. If they raise the price of tickets, more people choose to drive > to > their destination. Faster flights and more exclusive, dedicated > service to > streamline the waiting would only increase the cost which most people > are > simply not willing to pay. > Personally, I'd like *slower* intercontinental flights. Jet lag leaves me feeling washed out for days, and the cramped cabin conditions are distinctly unpleasant. I'd be more than happy to travel by airship at, say, 200-300km/h instead of by jet at 800-1000km/h, as long as the cubic volume available to passengers was comparable to that on a sea-going ship. And if there's one thing airships aren't short on, it's cubic volume! Standard class on the Hindenberg included a berth in a two-bunk stateroom and access to the lounge and promenade decks. Give me bandwidth, a lounge to sit in with a laptop, and a comfortable bed, and I'd be a lot happier to take 48 hours to cross the Atlantic (getting work done en route and shifting my sleep pattern at a natural rate) than spending 7 hours in cattle class (unable to work and feeling like crap at the other end of the journey). (NB: This isn't to say that I wouldn't prefer to travel by sub-orbital hop and get wherever I'm going in mere minutes, but as a comparison to today's subsonic jet travel an airship has its merits.) -- Charlie From bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk Tue Dec 2 20:12:05 2003 From: bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk (BillK) Date: Tue, 02 Dec 2003 20:12:05 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system Message-ID: <3FCCF215.6010501@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> On Tue Dec 02, 2003 09:08 am Spike wrote: > If it does fly, it's worth twice that, nay three times. > There are plenty of yahoos around here that have money > to blow their noses on, $3E6 wouldn't even slow > them down. > Popular Science have published a review 'Best of What's New 2003' In the Aviation section they mention the Bell Agusta 609 Vertical takeoff, high-speed cruising: This is the ideal, and potentially profitable, vision for air commuting. Which is why two leading helicopter builders--Texas-based Bell and Agusta of Italy--carried out a long-awaited first hovering flight of the tilt-rotor BA609 in March. The little brother of the Pentagon?s controversial, expensive, formerly crash-prone and now improved V-22 Osprey, the BA609 takes off straight up, rotates its engines forward, then flies like a plane--twice as fast as a helicopter. It is scheduled to enter service in 2007, a mere 52 years after Bell flew its first experimental tilt-rotor in 1955. Sounds more practical than the Moller Skycar. BillK PS. All the other sections are worth a read also! From mbb386 at main.nc.us Tue Dec 2 20:13:30 2003 From: mbb386 at main.nc.us (MB) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 15:13:30 -0500 (Eastern Standard Time) Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles In-Reply-To: <20031202102400.GJ13516@leitl.org> References: <20031201161346.GM22650@leitl.org> <20031201221612.77696.qmail@web80411.mail.yahoo.com> <20031202102400.GJ13516@leitl.org> Message-ID: On Tue, 2 Dec 2003, Eugen Leitl wrote: > > Most old people look forward to dying. > Unfortunately this is true. Young folk do not "get it", most of the time. When one finds health failing, pain a constant companion, friends and loved ones gone (already dead), it can be hard to keep up enthusiasm to go on. Now living life longer in better condition, feeling good and energetic and strong..... that's a winner, most folk would like it, in my experience. But living longer when you're old and poor and sick and getting worse? Why? > Too much control > is a bad thing, imo. What do you mean by "too much control is a bad thing"? Would you *force* people to continue to exist in their misery and pain and suffering because ... what? Regards, MB From dirk at neopax.com Tue Dec 2 21:37:22 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 21:37:22 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles References: <20031201161346.GM22650@leitl.org><20031201221612.77696.qmail@web80411.mail.yahoo.com><20031202102400.GJ13516@leitl.org> Message-ID: <06eb01c3b91c$8dbd4480$3bb5ff3e@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "MB" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Tuesday, December 02, 2003 8:13 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles > > > On Tue, 2 Dec 2003, Eugen Leitl wrote: > > > > > > Most old people look forward to dying. > > > > Unfortunately this is true. Young folk do not "get it", most > of the time. When one finds health failing, pain a constant > companion, friends and loved ones gone (already dead), it > can be hard to keep up enthusiasm to go on. And there's one other factor - one that I'm beginning to experience. It is the 'seen it all' syndrome where fewer and fewer things hold any novelty. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From eugen at leitl.org Tue Dec 2 21:49:53 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 22:49:53 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles In-Reply-To: References: <20031201161346.GM22650@leitl.org> <20031201221612.77696.qmail@web80411.mail.yahoo.com> <20031202102400.GJ13516@leitl.org> Message-ID: <20031202214953.GT22120@leitl.org> On Tue, Dec 02, 2003 at 03:13:30PM -0500, MB wrote: > > What do you mean by "too much control is a bad thing"? Would > you *force* people to continue to exist in their misery and > pain and suffering because ... what? This is from another context entirely! This is directed to the control freaks amongst us. It can be liberating to realize that this is only an illusion of control, in a world that is entirely uncontrollable. (I better stop before I get all new-agey here). -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 2 21:51:46 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 13:51:46 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031202215146.19703.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> --- Don Dartfield wrote: > On Tue, 2 Dec 2003, Mike Lorrey wrote: > > > From what I've read, neurological studies of the shape of the brain > case > > of neanderthals indicate they lacked a lot of the higher brain > functions > > that homo sap needed to make the breakthrough to actual > conciousness, > > beyond being ordered around by a god module. > > Really? That seems odd. I thought they could make musical > instruments, > and had larger braincases than us ... but they lack higher brain > functions? Are these brand new studies? No, neanderthals did not have larger braincases than homo sapiens, that is a myth. What they did have was larger spaces for anterior lobes, i.e. the more primitive area of the brain, while having less space for frontal lobes. Making music, nor even religion, is not a function of conciousness. Birds make music all the time, and apes are known to use tools and make primitive art. Conciousness in man is not even thought to have developed (according to some) until after the invention of writing. Read Julian Jaynes' book The Origin of Conciousness in the Breakdown of the Bicameral Mind. > > Maybe not for us, but given the higher-than-human intelligence of > Sawyer's > Neanderthals, maybe they could technology without requiring such a > high > population density. Maybe their advanced intelligence means that > individuals can invent high technology without needing a lot of spare > people. ;) As above, neanderthals were not of higher intelligence. The fact that they are extinct demonstrates that they failed miserably at the most important test of intelligence against a more intelligent competitor for the same resources. Even if they were of higher intelligence does not mean anything about reducing the need for a technological and industrial infrastructure. Homo sap did not NEED written language until after it had developed agriculture. Virtually no hunter gatherer societies invented writing independently in all of pre-history. Writing is an artifact of agricultural technology and the need to manage its infrastructure in the areas of labor pooling, resource sharing, land ownership, etc. Societies that do not have such needs never develop writing because they don't need writing as a management technology. Even if we assume that for some reason, neanderthals needed writing to keep track of who owned what hunting areas, what shelters belonged to what hunters, to store knowledge of wild plant medicines and so forth (they would actually have to have a really poor memory to have such a need, since homo sapiens hunter gatherers have been able to perform such functions without writing for thousands of years), this would not allow the development of a leisure class of scientific minds that would be needed to spur technological development, especially if they have poor memories. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 2 22:06:57 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 14:06:57 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: <3FCCF215.6010501@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> Message-ID: <20031202220657.48617.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> --- BillK wrote: > Popular Science have published a review > 'Best of What's New 2003' > > > In the Aviation section they mention the Bell Agusta 609 > > > > Sounds more practical than the Moller Skycar. Well, it carries three times as many people as a Moller. It is probably an $8-10 million vehicle. I saw a mockup for a two seater tiltrotor called a BAT several years ago in Aviation Week that was on display at an airshow. A tiltrotor that holds 2-4 people is what would be more practical than the Moller. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From dirk at neopax.com Tue Dec 2 22:27:02 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 22:27:02 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system References: <20031202215146.19703.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <070501c3b923$7e548c90$3bb5ff3e@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Mike Lorrey" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Tuesday, December 02, 2003 9:51 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system > > As above, neanderthals were not of higher intelligence. The fact that > they are extinct demonstrates that they failed miserably at the most > important test of intelligence against a more intelligent competitor > for the same resources. ie outbreeding their competitor. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From rhanson at gmu.edu Tue Dec 2 22:55:51 2003 From: rhanson at gmu.edu (Robin Hanson) Date: Tue, 02 Dec 2003 17:55:51 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Who Anticipated Internet Exploding in 90s? In-Reply-To: <06eb01c3b91c$8dbd4480$3bb5ff3e@artemis> References: <20031201161346.GM22650@leitl.org> <20031201221612.77696.qmail@web80411.mail.yahoo.com> <20031202102400.GJ13516@leitl.org> Message-ID: <5.2.1.1.2.20031202175419.01e7b5a0@mail.gmu.edu> I just read someone who said: "no one anticipated the explosive diffusion of the Internet during the 1990s" and I figured that this can't be right - surely someone must have had the dumb luck to predict such a thing before 1990. Can anyone point to a quote? Robin Hanson rhanson at gmu.edu http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-4444 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323 From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Tue Dec 2 23:05:15 2003 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (kevinfreels at hotmail.com) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 17:05:15 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system References: <20031202215146.19703.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: > No, neanderthals did not have larger braincases than homo sapiens, that > is a myth. What they did have was larger spaces for anterior lobes, > i.e. the more primitive area of the brain, while having less space for > frontal lobes. Do you have anything to show this? Everything I have come acroos shows the braincase itself exceeding modern man's by about 200cc. Here for example: http://www.ecu.edu/org/ags/archives/hominidtable.htm Kevin From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 2 23:40:32 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 15:40:32 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: <070501c3b923$7e548c90$3bb5ff3e@artemis> Message-ID: <20031202234032.78927.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > > ----- Original Message ----- > From: "Mike Lorrey" > > > > > As above, neanderthals were not of higher intelligence. The fact > that > > they are extinct demonstrates that they failed miserably at the > most > > important test of intelligence against a more intelligent > competitor > > for the same resources. > > ie outbreeding their competitor. No, there is no evidence of that. Neanderthals suffered from several disadvantages: their bones were much more dense, so they could not swim. Their arms did not allow as much dexterity as homo sap so they could not wield distance weapons like spears with any accuracy or force beyond ten meters or so, and so likely never evolved the mental ability to judge trajectories very well. Their lack of intelligence was evidenced primarily by their extreme lack of hygiene or organization in their living quarters (jokes about the living arrangements of certain geeks notwithstanding). They typically lived in nests of decaying prey, bones, and ash, infested by rodents and insect parasites. They seemed to have developed a basic concept of "mine" with regards to personal property, such that dead neanderthals were buried with "their stuff", a feature that many anthropologists assumed meant some sort of religious belief in an afterlife existed, but this is nothing more than transference. As another poster mentioned, burial was an act of conspicuous consumption. Neanderthal burials became less and less elaborate over time as pressure from homo sapiens put many clans on the run and could not afford such displays. Hunger will turn any animal into a thief. This competition was not exclusive to the neanderthal/homo sap confrontation. There was a similar intelligence arms race going on between predator species and prey species in all parts of the world during this period up until the present day. A predator species would evolve a larger brain case, and gain advantage over its prey species until the selective preying on less intelligent prey resulted in the evolution of smarter prey. This cut back on the competetiveness of the predator species until it evolved into a smarter species with a bigger brain. This goes on today, particularly with regard to human predation on deer and other mammal populations in North America. Human hunters use ever more advanced technologies to help hunt these animals, but do not decimate the herd, due to wildlife management principles. This has resulted in the forced evolution of smarter deer, bear, and other animal species. Especially with deer, where predation has been predominantly on the male deer, one can see a measurable difference in the intelligence of bucks vs does. Back to the debate at hand, homo sapiens was just smarter than neanderthals, and like many of the large mammals worldwide following the Ice Age, neanderthal was forced into extinction because homo sapiens was smart enough to outpredate anything, but not at that point concious enough to manage wildlife wisely. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From dirk at neopax.com Tue Dec 2 23:46:55 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 23:46:55 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system References: <20031202234032.78927.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <076a01c3b92e$92076c20$3bb5ff3e@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Mike Lorrey" To: "Dirk Bruere" ; "ExI chat list" Sent: Tuesday, December 02, 2003 11:40 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system > > --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > > > > ----- Original Message ----- > > From: "Mike Lorrey" > > > > > > > As above, neanderthals were not of higher intelligence. The fact > > that > > > they are extinct demonstrates that they failed miserably at the > > most > > > important test of intelligence against a more intelligent > > competitor > > > for the same resources. > > > > ie outbreeding their competitor. > > No, there is no evidence of that. Neanderthals suffered from several > disadvantages: their bones were much more dense, so they could not > swim. Their arms did not allow as much dexterity as homo sap so they > could not wield distance weapons like spears with any accuracy or force > beyond ten meters or so, and so likely never evolved the mental ability > to judge trajectories very well. Yet it is quite conceivable that Homo Sapiens simply bred more quickly, esp since they were smaller and presumably needed less food. Only a 1% differential would have led to Neanderthals becoming extinct in a very short timescale. It may have nothing whatsoever to do with intelligence. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From wingcat at pacbell.net Tue Dec 2 23:48:42 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 15:48:42 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles In-Reply-To: <20031202214953.GT22120@leitl.org> Message-ID: <20031202234842.10650.qmail@web80406.mail.yahoo.com> --- Eugen Leitl wrote: > On Tue, Dec 02, 2003 at 03:13:30PM -0500, MB wrote: > > What do you mean by "too much control is a bad > thing"? Would > > you *force* people to continue to exist in their > misery and > > pain and suffering because ... what? > > This is from another context entirely! This is > directed to > the control freaks amongst us. It can be liberating > to realize > that this is only an illusion of control, in a world > that is > entirely uncontrollable. Sorry, but MB is correct. I specified "control over oneself" - as in, the opportunity to not grow old and deterioriate, if desired. That is not illusiory in the same sense as "control" over other sentient beings. You are correct in what you did say: people who currently have withered bodies, or who believe that the only path to old age is to wither, might not want to live forever given what they think it must mean. But that is not what we are discussing. We are discussing the ability to live forever in relatively good health. (Frankly, it might be technically more difficult to achieve immortality in a withered shell than in a perpetually healthy shell, even if there was not the desirability issue. Were I to wither at current rates, yet survive to 100, I might seriously contemplate whether cryonic suspension might give me a better chance of seeing the far future than continued life.) From wingcat at pacbell.net Wed Dec 3 00:07:46 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 16:07:46 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles In-Reply-To: <06eb01c3b91c$8dbd4480$3bb5ff3e@artemis> Message-ID: <20031203000746.74516.qmail@web80401.mail.yahoo.com> --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > And there's one other factor - one that I'm > beginning to experience. > It is the 'seen it all' syndrome where fewer and > fewer things hold any > novelty. Would not a good cure for that be to make or seek out new things? An elder of the 80s would surely have found some novelty in the World Wide Web during the 90s (assuming said elder was willing to be exposed to it). Likewise, one who believes they have experienced everything could take a crack at designing, say, a nanotech assembler to leave a grand legacy. (If one has experienced *everything*, this should be simple - but, of course, it won't be since there are ways of thinking and fields of knowledge one has not truly experienced.) There's always more to learn and do, although one might become tired of it and start justifying that everything out there is all the same. From wingcat at pacbell.net Wed Dec 3 00:07:59 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 16:07:59 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles In-Reply-To: <06eb01c3b91c$8dbd4480$3bb5ff3e@artemis> Message-ID: <20031203000759.36606.qmail@web80411.mail.yahoo.com> --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > And there's one other factor - one that I'm > beginning to experience. > It is the 'seen it all' syndrome where fewer and > fewer things hold any > novelty. Would not a good cure for that be to make or seek out new things? An elder of the 80s would surely have found some novelty in the World Wide Web during the 90s (assuming said elder was willing to be exposed to it). Likewise, one who believes they have experienced everything could take a crack at designing, say, a nanotech assembler to leave a grand legacy. (If one has experienced *everything*, this should be simple - but, of course, it won't be since there are ways of thinking and fields of knowledge one has not truly experienced.) There's always more to learn and do, although one might become tired of it and start justifying that everything out there is all the same. From wingcat at pacbell.net Wed Dec 3 00:10:20 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 16:10:20 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles Message-ID: <20031203001020.15316.qmail@web80408.mail.yahoo.com> --- Adrian Tymes wrote: > There's always more to learn and do ...such as finding out why double-posts happen. (Sorry about that.) From mlorrey at yahoo.com Wed Dec 3 00:45:04 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 16:45:04 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031203004504.3065.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> --- kevinfreels at hotmail.com wrote: > > No, neanderthals did not have larger braincases than homo sapiens, > that > > is a myth. What they did have was larger spaces for anterior lobes, > > i.e. the more primitive area of the brain, while having less space > for > > frontal lobes. > Do you have anything to show this? Everything I have come acroos > shows the braincase itself exceeding modern man's by about 200cc. > Here for example: > http://www.ecu.edu/org/ags/archives/hominidtable.htm http://www.psychomedia.it/pm/science/psybyo/mancia.htm "FIG. 6 - Brain of a) cat, b) macaque, c) chimpanzee, d) australopithecus, e) sinianthropus, f) Neanderthal Man, and g) Homo sapiens. Numbers on the various circumvolutions indicate central areas according to Brodmann. Note the considerable development of the parieto - occipital cortex in Australanthropus and the large cranial fan aperture which bring it very close to Neanderthal Man. In Homo Sapiens we find a further widening of the fan and an increase in the cortical areas of the "liaison brain". " As stated, neanderthalis lacked a number of advanced brain developments, relying instead on enlargement of more primitive lobes. A problem with the hominid table brain volume specs you cited is that the volumes specified for neanderthalis were calculated using a number of fossils that exhibited a congenital malformation involving a lack of the sagittal suture, which would lead to larger than normal brain case size. This is not unsurprising, since the first neanderthalis found was severely wracked by arthritis, a condition that led early anthropologists to conclude that the neanderthalis was primitive because it walked hunched over. It was not until the arthritic condition of the bones was recognised that this picture of neanderthalis changed. Another problem with the table is that homo sapiens sapiens exhibited a much wider variation in braincase size than neanderthalis, ranging from as little as 900cc to as much as 2200 cc, with entirely healthy skull development. I would also be concerned about a paper that referred to a neanderthalis' diet as including "veggies". Is that a scientific term? ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Wed Dec 3 00:52:24 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 16:52:24 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: <076a01c3b92e$92076c20$3bb5ff3e@artemis> Message-ID: <20031203005224.4746.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > > Yet it is quite conceivable that Homo Sapiens simply bred more > quickly, esp > since they were smaller and presumably needed less food. > Only a 1% differential would have led to Neanderthals becoming > extinct in a very short timescale. > It may have nothing whatsoever to do with intelligence. It might, but examination of the tool record indicates differently. Tools of neanderthalis were typically far more crude than sapiens tools, they also lacked in variety, and despite being capable of it, they never adopted force multiplier weapons like spear throwers or bows. They were also less adaptable, evolved specifically for the subarctic conditions just south of the glacier line during the ice ages, they lacked the adaptability of sapiens to migrate and survive in any climate. They faced a quandary quite similar to that faced by the native americans at the hands of european migration. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From dirk at neopax.com Wed Dec 3 01:01:00 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 01:01:00 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles References: <20031203000759.36606.qmail@web80411.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <079501c3b938$eacfcd20$3bb5ff3e@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Adrian Tymes" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Wednesday, December 03, 2003 12:07 AM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles > --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > > And there's one other factor - one that I'm > > beginning to experience. > > It is the 'seen it all' syndrome where fewer and > > fewer things hold any > > novelty. > > Would not a good cure for that be to make or seek out > new things? An elder of the 80s would surely have I do, which makes the problem more acute - not less. > found some novelty in the World Wide Web during the > 90s (assuming said elder was willing to be exposed to > it). Likewise, one who believes they have experienced To some extent, but almost all technologies simply enable one to do existing things faster or easier. I'm not bored by the Net, any more than I'm bored by a screwdriver. It's just another tool. > everything could take a crack at designing, say, a > nanotech assembler to leave a grand legacy. (If one > has experienced *everything*, this should be simple - > but, of course, it won't be since there are ways of > thinking and fields of knowledge one has not truly > experienced.) I've been an engineer for 25years and I'm *bored* by it now. That includes nanotech, after the first few 'gee whizz' minutes of reading about some new innovation. > There's always more to learn and do, although one > might become tired of it and start justifying that > everything out there is all the same. Depends what you mean by 'new'. Every program I've ever written has been 'new'. That kind of 'new' is now tedious. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Wed Dec 3 01:03:54 2003 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (kevinfreels at hotmail.com) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 19:03:54 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system References: <20031202234032.78927.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> <076a01c3b92e$92076c20$3bb5ff3e@artemis> Message-ID: Or, given the fact that so many humans engage in farm animal sex, maybe they were assimilated into human society yet were unable to produce viable offspring when crossbred. ----- Original Message ----- From: "Dirk Bruere" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Tuesday, December 02, 2003 5:46 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system > ----- Original Message ----- > From: "Mike Lorrey" > To: "Dirk Bruere" ; "ExI chat list" > > Sent: Tuesday, December 02, 2003 11:40 PM > Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway > system > > > > > > --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > > > > > > ----- Original Message ----- > > > From: "Mike Lorrey" > > > > > > > > > As above, neanderthals were not of higher intelligence. The fact > > > that > > > > they are extinct demonstrates that they failed miserably at the > > > most > > > > important test of intelligence against a more intelligent > > > competitor > > > > for the same resources. > > > > > > ie outbreeding their competitor. > > > > No, there is no evidence of that. Neanderthals suffered from several > > disadvantages: their bones were much more dense, so they could not > > swim. Their arms did not allow as much dexterity as homo sap so they > > could not wield distance weapons like spears with any accuracy or force > > beyond ten meters or so, and so likely never evolved the mental ability > > to judge trajectories very well. > > Yet it is quite conceivable that Homo Sapiens simply bred more quickly, esp > since they were smaller and presumably needed less food. > Only a 1% differential would have led to Neanderthals becoming extinct in a > very short timescale. > It may have nothing whatsoever to do with intelligence. > > Dirk > > The Consensus:- > The political party for the new millennium > http://www.theconsensus.org > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From twodeel at jornada.org Wed Dec 3 01:06:54 2003 From: twodeel at jornada.org (Don Dartfield) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 17:06:54 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: <20031202170055.77812.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: On Tue, 2 Dec 2003, Mike Lorrey wrote: > Making music, nor even religion, is not a function of conciousness. > Birds make music all the time, and apes are known to use tools and make > primitive art. Conciousness in man is not even thought to have developed > (according to some) until after the invention of writing. Read Julian > Jaynes' book The Origin of Conciousness in the Breakdown of the > Bicameral Mind. Yes, birds make music and apes use tools, but creating a musical instrument (a flute, in particular) seems like a much more advanced thing to do than sing like a bird or use a stick to fish out termites. After reading Steven Baxter's novel _Evolution_, though, I realize that even this relatively sophisticated toolmaking does not necessarily indicate full-fledged consciousness, or even consciousness at all. So I'm interested to read more. The book you recommended will cost me $18 at Borders, though, since my local library doesn't have it -- is there any other book on the subject you'd recommend over this one, or is this the one I should go for? > As above, neanderthals were not of higher intelligence. Well, I said "given the superior intelligence of Sawyer's Neanderthals." In his trilogy, they WERE more intelligent than humans (or at least their modern-day descendants were), regardless of whether they were in reality. Call it a suspension-of-disbelief thing. From mlorrey at yahoo.com Wed Dec 3 01:46:24 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 17:46:24 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Questioning The Consensus In-Reply-To: <076a01c3b92e$92076c20$3bb5ff3e@artemis> Message-ID: <20031203014624.98420.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> Dirk, From: http://www.theconsensus.org/uk/principia/judicial/index.html "The origin of Rights in human nature is a more plausible argument. For example, it can be argued that the 'Right of self defence' is rooted in and derived from innate instincts for self preservation. However, it does require some convoluted and unconvincing reasoning to extrapolate that to other Rights such as the 'Right to vote'. It is also not much of a foundation if one has the power to alter Human nature at its genetic source, which will soon be an available technology. Which leaves Rights as a social construct - but what kind of construct?" The "right to vote" is a part and parcel of the right to choose, a result of every individual posessing free will. Having the power to alter human nature, according to your charter, would be illegal and unacceptable, so you cannot have your cake and eat it. You cannot argue away human nature as the source of rights with claims that technology is hand hand to alter that nature if your party intends to prevent such technology from being applied. Furthermore, self modification is an inherent part of self-ownership. If you cannot alter your own nature, then you are a slave to that which prevents you from doing so. Secondly, do you really think that altering of human beings would go so far as to change the basic features of human sentience? Given that the goal of your alleged claim to transhumanism is to improve humans, to advance human capabilities, it follows that a more capable human would have MORE rights. Nor is this out of line with human development. Once humans could not speak, and therefore had no right to free speech. Once human predecessors had no weapons technology, and had no right to bear arms. As we become more abled, we gain greater liberty. As humans are differently abled, they are differently free. A quadrepelegic is not free to walk until s/he makes the investment in regaining that ability, but the quadrepelegic is free to travel by other means: by wheelchair, for example. A person capable of leading a nation responsibly is able to handle the liberty of controlling massive destructive capabilities, like nuclear weapons. Your "Consensus" is a rather minor form of fascism that grants liberty as privilege issued by the whim of government and not as ability gained via nature of being born or nurture of being raised as a free citizen. No government you imagine can prevent becoming a tyranny because you have proposed no means of embedding checks on abuse of power or of limiting the potential for majoritarian tyranny. Contracts mean nothing when the people who sign them do not believe they posess that which they are negotiating as an inherent property of their being. When anything can be negotiated, then slavery is only one vote away. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Wed Dec 3 01:51:01 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 17:51:01 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031203015101.20727.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> --- Don Dartfield wrote: > > > As above, neanderthals were not of higher intelligence. > > Well, I said "given the superior intelligence of Sawyer's > Neanderthals." > In his trilogy, they WERE more intelligent than humans (or at least > their > modern-day descendants were), regardless of whether they were in > reality. > Call it a suspension-of-disbelief thing. Well, that is a pretty thin thing to not disbelieve. The primary features that neanderthal would have needed to gain greater intelligence were the very thing that sapiens developed, so unless you just mean they stayed ugly, any 'more intelligent' neanderthalis would have been evolved into sapiens, so far as brain structure was concerned. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From dirk at neopax.com Wed Dec 3 02:27:11 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 02:27:11 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: Questioning The Consensus References: <20031203014624.98420.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <07d901c3b944$f5fdee00$3bb5ff3e@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Mike Lorrey" To: "Dirk Bruere" ; "ExI chat list" Sent: Wednesday, December 03, 2003 1:46 AM Subject: Questioning The Consensus > Dirk, > From: http://www.theconsensus.org/uk/principia/judicial/index.html > "The origin of Rights in human nature is a more plausible argument. For > example, it can be argued that the 'Right of self defence' is rooted in > and derived from innate instincts for self preservation. However, it > does require some convoluted and unconvincing reasoning to extrapolate > that to other Rights such as the 'Right to vote'. It is also not much > of a foundation if one has the power to alter Human nature at its > genetic source, which will soon be an available technology. Which > leaves Rights as a social construct - but what kind of construct?" > > The "right to vote" is a part and parcel of the right to choose, a > result of every individual posessing free will. Sure - you can choose to fly like a bird by flapping your arms, but it won't work. You can choose to express your opinion, and others can choose to ignore it - or execute you. > Having the power to alter human nature, according to your charter, > would be illegal and unacceptable, so you cannot have your cake and eat Not at all - where does it say that? The Consensus Essentia? > it. You cannot argue away human nature as the source of rights with > claims that technology is hand hand to alter that nature if your party > intends to prevent such technology from being applied. On the contrary - the party is expressly in favour of altering Human Nature - which is why the notion of Rights as flowing from Human Nature is no foundation at all. > Furthermore, self modification is an inherent part of self-ownership. > If you cannot alter your own nature, then you are a slave to that which > prevents you from doing so. Who said one cannot alter ones nature? > Secondly, do you really think that altering of human beings would go so > far as to change the basic features of human sentience? Given that the Yes, in some cases. > goal of your alleged claim to transhumanism is to improve humans, to > advance human capabilities, it follows that a more capable human would > have MORE rights. Nor is this out of line with human development. Once Just as many Rights as they can take and hold - like now. > humans could not speak, and therefore had no right to free speech. Once > human predecessors had no weapons technology, and had no right to bear > arms. So? > As we become more abled, we gain greater liberty. As humans are And we lose it by becoming dependent on others. > differently abled, they are differently free. A quadrepelegic is not > free to walk until s/he makes the investment in regaining that ability, > but the quadrepelegic is free to travel by other means: by wheelchair, > for example. A person capable of leading a nation responsibly is able > to handle the liberty of controlling massive destructive capabilities, > like nuclear weapons. > > Your "Consensus" is a rather minor form of fascism that grants liberty > as privilege issued by the whim of government and not as ability gained > via nature of being born or nurture of being raised as a free citizen. A loonytarian POV. As I said, in practice Rights flow from a social contract. They have no other existence. > No government you imagine can prevent becoming a tyranny because you > have proposed no means of embedding checks on abuse of power or of > limiting the potential for majoritarian tyranny. Contracts mean nothing > when the people who sign them do not believe they posess that which > they are negotiating as an inherent property of their being. When > anything can be negotiated, then slavery is only one vote away. Nothing in principle can prevent tyranny, only make it less likely. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From thespike at earthlink.net Wed Dec 3 02:33:31 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 20:33:31 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system References: Message-ID: <007501c3b945$d9a29a20$4f9d4a43@texas.net> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Don Dartfield" Sent: Tuesday, December 02, 2003 7:06 PM > > Read Julian > > Jaynes' book The Origin of Conciousness in the Breakdown of the > > Bicameral Mind. > The book you recommended will cost me $18 at > Borders, though, since my local library doesn't have it -- is there any > other book on the subject you'd recommend over this one, or is this the > one I should go for? It's extremely eccentric and ignored by the literature. Try Damasio or Calvin (William, not John). Damien Broderick From mlorrey at yahoo.com Wed Dec 3 02:41:43 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 18:41:43 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031203024143.25933.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> --- Don Dartfield wrote: > > Yes, birds make music and apes use tools, but creating a musical > instrument (a flute, in particular) seems like a much more advanced > thing > to do than sing like a bird or use a stick to fish out termites. THis is true, however, the flute discovered in a neanderthal grave was dated to the same period in which evidence has been found of trading of sapiens made bone tools and jewelry with neanderthals. So it is conceivable that the flute originated with sapiens and was traded to neanderthals. Neanderthals were not known for developing much tool technology beyond that which distinguished them from heidelbergensis, and that which they initially developed remained pretty static for the remainder of their tenure, like a mathematician doing nobel prize work at age 20 and coasting the rest of his life with no new ideas. http://www.geocities.com/SoHo/Atrium/1381/hominids2.html > After reading Steven Baxter's novel _Evolution_, though, I realize > that even this relatively sophisticated toolmaking does not > necessarily indicate full-fledged consciousness, or even > consciousness at all. So I'm interested to read more. The book > you recommended will cost me $18 at Borders, though, since my local > library doesn't have it -- is there any other book on the subject > you'd recommend over this one, or is this the one I should go for? Well, I assume you like SF. Neal Stephenson wrote a book called Snow Crash which you might be familiar with. A lot of the basic ideas he used in fleshing out his plot device of root language viral programming of humans is based on Jaynes' work. Of course, he does take it to a rather absurd conclusion... but that was the book that actually motivated me to read Jaynes, to get the straight scoop. In Snow Crash, when Hiro is in his Library in the metasphere talking to the Librarian, he is talking about a lot of Jaynes work. That being said, Jaynes is not an exciting writer. It has been very slow reading for me. I tend to fall asleep frequently reading it, something which has never happened before with anything I've ever read. Perhaps there is a virus in my mind that does not want me to read it... ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Wed Dec 3 02:49:21 2003 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (kevinfreels at hotmail.com) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 20:49:21 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles References: <20031203000746.74516.qmail@web80401.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: It's interesting to note here how quickly new innovations make their way into mainstream society and become the norm. A Cell phone that takes pictures and sends them to someone else without wires and all fits in the palm of your hand, $100. A PC that fits in your pocket, $500. Doing all my Christmas shopping without ever having to leave my home? Priceless. ----- Original Message ----- From: "Adrian Tymes" To: "Dirk Bruere" ; "ExI chat list" Sent: Tuesday, December 02, 2003 6:07 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles > --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > > And there's one other factor - one that I'm > > beginning to experience. > > It is the 'seen it all' syndrome where fewer and > > fewer things hold any > > novelty. > > Would not a good cure for that be to make or seek out > new things? An elder of the 80s would surely have > found some novelty in the World Wide Web during the > 90s (assuming said elder was willing to be exposed to > it). Likewise, one who believes they have experienced > everything could take a crack at designing, say, a > nanotech assembler to leave a grand legacy. (If one > has experienced *everything*, this should be simple - > but, of course, it won't be since there are ways of > thinking and fields of knowledge one has not truly > experienced.) > > There's always more to learn and do, although one > might become tired of it and start justifying that > everything out there is all the same. > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Wed Dec 3 03:04:16 2003 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (kevinfreels at hotmail.com) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 21:04:16 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system References: <20031203004504.3065.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: Thanks for the reference. I'll add that to my collection. That's the first I've seen of this. I really appreciate it. I wonder why all the references I have, even current ones, average about 1500 for H. sapiens and 1700 for H. neanderthalensis. > I would also be concerned about a paper that referred to a > neanderthalis' diet as including "veggies". It was the quickest thing I could find with a quick Google and was only intended as an example. I have a variety of sources in books, but those are difficult to source in email. I didn't actually read that reference from beginning to end. I was just searching for an example that stated what I had read elsewhere. Is that a scientific term? Yes, "veggies" is a scientific term. They keep changing the dictionary. Did you see where they recently added the word "bling bling" to the Oxford English dictionary? :-) From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Wed Dec 3 03:06:38 2003 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (kevinfreels at hotmail.com) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 21:06:38 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system References: Message-ID: I am reading The Neandethal's Necklace by Juan Luis Arsuaga. I just started it and it seems really good. ----- Original Message ----- From: "Don Dartfield" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Tuesday, December 02, 2003 7:06 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system > On Tue, 2 Dec 2003, Mike Lorrey wrote: > > > Making music, nor even religion, is not a function of conciousness. > > Birds make music all the time, and apes are known to use tools and make > > primitive art. Conciousness in man is not even thought to have developed > > (according to some) until after the invention of writing. Read Julian > > Jaynes' book The Origin of Conciousness in the Breakdown of the > > Bicameral Mind. > > Yes, birds make music and apes use tools, but creating a musical > instrument (a flute, in particular) seems like a much more advanced thing > to do than sing like a bird or use a stick to fish out termites. After > reading Steven Baxter's novel _Evolution_, though, I realize that even > this relatively sophisticated toolmaking does not necessarily indicate > full-fledged consciousness, or even consciousness at all. So I'm > interested to read more. The book you recommended will cost me $18 at > Borders, though, since my local library doesn't have it -- is there any > other book on the subject you'd recommend over this one, or is this the > one I should go for? > > > As above, neanderthals were not of higher intelligence. > > Well, I said "given the superior intelligence of Sawyer's Neanderthals." > In his trilogy, they WERE more intelligent than humans (or at least their > modern-day descendants were), regardless of whether they were in reality. > Call it a suspension-of-disbelief thing. > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From dirk at neopax.com Wed Dec 3 03:13:43 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 03:13:43 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles References: <20031203000746.74516.qmail@web80401.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <082d01c3b94b$7565fdd0$3bb5ff3e@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Wednesday, December 03, 2003 2:49 AM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles > It's interesting to note here how quickly new innovations make their way > into mainstream society and become the norm. A Cell phone that takes > pictures and sends them to someone else without wires and all fits in the > palm of your hand, $100. A PC that fits in your pocket, $500. Doing all my > Christmas shopping without ever having to leave my home? Priceless. Tedious and predictable, but useful. Now show me some technology that is neither, and that enables me to do something I have never before done (that is worth doing). Back in 1977 I wrote a document on an idea I had, a 'digital book'. The idea was shelved by GEC management (as usually happens in Britain), but a couple of years ago I actually worked on the Cytale ebook in Paris. I can't say it was a 'new' experience from an engineering POV. Paris far outranked it. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From spike66 at comcast.net Wed Dec 3 03:25:29 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 19:25:29 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Gender Genie - analyzing writing styles In-Reply-To: <281450-2200312221632091@M2W092.mail2web.com> Message-ID: <006101c3b94d$19dadce0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > natashavita at earthlink.net> > > Bloody hell Spike! I'm trying to get some work done!!! > > Every time I open my email hub to sneak a peek at an incoming > message I start lol and disrupting my workday. > > > ====================== Ja, me too. I crack me up. My jokes are more fun than my job. Bloody hell? Sounds very British. A Maxism perhaps? {8^D spike From spike66 at comcast.net Wed Dec 3 03:31:52 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 19:31:52 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] think this will catch on? In-Reply-To: <3FCCC059.7080701@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> Message-ID: <006201c3b94d$fe1cda70$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > Huh! Three wheels - Far too many. > > Try a Harley-style single-wheel motorcycle! > Message-ID: <006901c3b951$ca3c8800$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Woooohooooo! Michael Shafer discovered the 40th known Mersenne prime, 2^20996011-1. This prime is over 6.3 million digits, beating the previous world record prime by over 2 million decimal digits. Scott has handed out the press release and already the first online article of the discovery has appeared: http://www.newscientist.com/news/news.jsp?id=ns99994438 You can also read Scott's press release http://www.mersenne.org/20996011.htm The size of the record largest known prime is about 2^7529000 times larger than the previous record which was set about two years ago, so the size of the record largest prime doubled about every 8.4 seconds on the average, which is itself a record. The previous records were set on the dates shown in the table below, along with the number of seconds for each doubling. So you can see the doubling time is shorter than ever: Record set on: Doubling time in seconds: 01-Jul-94 614.8 03-Sep-96 172.4 13-Nov-96 43.7 24-Aug-97 15.6 27-Jan-98 298.5 01-Jun-99 10.7 14-Nov-01 11.9 17-Nov-03 8.4 Ohhhh, this is waaay cool. Who wants to have a party? There are several other math types in the area who will go and party our brains out at such a happy occasion. {8^] spike From mbb386 at main.nc.us Wed Dec 3 04:11:04 2003 From: mbb386 at main.nc.us (MB) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 23:11:04 -0500 (Eastern Standard Time) Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles In-Reply-To: <079501c3b938$eacfcd20$3bb5ff3e@artemis> References: <20031203000759.36606.qmail@web80411.mail.yahoo.com> <079501c3b938$eacfcd20$3bb5ff3e@artemis> Message-ID: On Wed, 3 Dec 2003, Dirk Bruere wrote: > > I've been an engineer for 25years and I'm *bored* by it now. > That includes nanotech, after the first few 'gee whizz' minutes of reading > about some new innovation. Ah! My brother, who is now in his mid 70s, told me something very like this when he was not yet quite 50. He said he'd done all the things he had set out as goals, and was currently looking at the wide open space of "now what?" He took early retirement when it was offered (he was an engineer also, mechanical) and then he began to *play* with various things he'd not really had time for during his working life. He built a machine shop for himself - so he could make things. He made some knives - by hand. That was quite a challenge. He learned to make Damascus steel knife blades. Some of the furniture from our parents' home was in bad shape and he began to repair it. He repaired our old square piano which was coming to pieces inside and out. Then he began to make some furniture, a grandfather (tallcase) clock. He made the clockworks as well as the case. He learned to carve the lovely shell patterns that show up on 18th century Chippendale style furniture. He made a chest of drawers. He made a sideboard for his younger daughter. And then another clock. He decided it might be fun to build an electric car. I think he's on car #2 now. He took up playing the bagpipe because he thought it might be easy. Wrong. He found it was quite hard. But he also found it relieved his headaches after his aneurism surgery. :? He began working on the genealogy our grandfather had been collecting, putting it in order, making copies of old documents, visiting places mentioned in them. He found that he couldn't buy some of the tools he needed, so he began to make his tools. It's quite an experience to visit him. He has so many interests now he hardly ever leaves his house unless his wife insists. He hardly ever does anything that was related to his job. It's all play, and it runs free. There's stuff out there. You can find it. It may not be what you expect. It may be sort of out of your field, but nothing wrong with that. :) Regards, MB From natasha at natasha.cc Wed Dec 3 07:09:04 2003 From: natasha at natasha.cc (Natasha Vita-More) Date: Tue, 02 Dec 2003 23:09:04 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Gender Genie - analyzing writing styles In-Reply-To: <006101c3b94d$19dadce0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> References: <281450-2200312221632091@M2W092.mail2web.com> Message-ID: <5.2.0.9.0.20031202230803.02edc5e0@pop.earthlink.net> At 07:25 PM 12/2/03 -0800, Spike wrote: > > natashavita at earthlink.net> > > > > Bloody hell Spike! I'm trying to get some work done!!! > > > > Every time I open my email hub to sneak a peek at an incoming > > message I start lol and disrupting my workday. > > > > ====================== > >Ja, me too. I crack me up. My jokes are more fun than >my job. > >Bloody hell? Sounds very British. A Maxism perhaps? Better than a marxist :-) N From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Wed Dec 3 05:50:38 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 00:50:38 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Who Anticipated Internet Exploding in 90s? In-Reply-To: <5.2.1.1.2.20031202175419.01e7b5a0@mail.gmu.edu> Message-ID: <002701c3b961$64673ec0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Robin Hanson wrote, > I just read someone who said: > > "no one anticipated the explosive diffusion of the Internet > during the 1990s" > > and I figured that this can't be right - surely someone must > have had the dumb luck to predict such a thing before 1990. > Can anyone point to a quote? I suggest reading through "A Brief History of the Internet" at . It has references to all the milestones in Internet creation, including white papers, conferences, etc. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From gpmap at runbox.com Wed Dec 3 05:54:20 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 06:54:20 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Fight in California over gene-altered GloFish pets Message-ID: >From CNN: The nation's first genetically altered household pet - a fish that glows in the dark - is set to begin appearing in stores next month everywhere except perhaps California, the only state with a ban on lab-engineered species. On Wednesday, the California Fish and Game Commission is scheduled to take up an application from Yorktown Technologies of Austin, Texas, to market the GloFish in California. State wildlife officials have concluded that the Florida-grown fluorescent zebra fish poses no danger, and they have recommended that the state exempt it from the ban. But environmental and public interest groups, along with commercial fishermen, oppose an exemption. "What California says is going to make very little difference in the long run if all the other states are going to allow them," said Peter Jenkins, an attorney and policy analyst with the Center for Food Safety. Similarly, I think restrictive laws in the US are going to make very little difference in the long run if most other countries are going to allow lab-engineered species. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Wed Dec 3 06:05:57 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 01:05:57 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <002a01c3b963$87acde60$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> "Adrian Tymes" wrote, > Would not a good cure for that be to make or seek out > new things? An elder of the 80s would surely have > found some novelty in the World Wide Web during the > 90s (assuming said elder was willing to be exposed to > it). In 1985 I had networked Macintoshes which had a hypertext browser called "HyperCard", that allowed hypertext links to bring up cards from remote networked computers. This predated Windows-95 by a decade. This stuff isn't new and wasn't adopted quickly. It just didn't gain popularity until much later. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From gpmap at runbox.com Wed Dec 3 07:24:04 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 08:24:04 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] More on the Glofish: When Fish Fluoresce, Can Teenagers Be Far Behind? Message-ID: >From the New York Times: Sometime in the future, when the distinction between cosmetologist and molecular biologist has faded and gene shops dot the seedier urban streets like tattoo parlors, the philosophers, moralists and historians of science will try to pin down the moment when the new age began. Science historians will probably say it started with the discovery of DNA, or the mapping of the human genome. Others will claim it started when Dolly was cloned and it became clear that the tools of biotechnology had moved out of the high church of pure research and into the unpredictable hands of people who bred sheep for profit. I think the moment is now. And the creature that embodies the escape of biotechnology into the world at large - a movement that will never be reversed - is an aquarium fish that glows in the dark. This is the tipping point, when the world irrevocably turns toward the science-fiction fantasies of writers like Philip K. Dick and William Gibson, who envision biomedical technology permeating every corner of the marketplace, from global corporations on down to small-time illegal operations like stolen-car chop shops. Imagine if you will, that you could pay to have genes for glowing in the dark inserted into your own body. How many glowing teenagers would there be? And who would stop them, once they reached age 18? After all, one's own body is one's own business. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From gpmap at runbox.com Wed Dec 3 07:44:24 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 08:44:24 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Who Anticipated Internet Exploding in 90s? In-Reply-To: <002701c3b961$64673ec0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: I did. In 1990 I was playing with the idea to start a net access business for individual end users, and even found someone who was maybe willing to invest some money. Then I let them talking me out of the idea, "this is too crazy, there will never be a market for this". Now when I wish to do some sweet daydreaming I think of what I would do with all the money that I would have now if I had followed my idea to the end. Two lessons here: 1 - believe in your ideas - 2 - get your ass off the armchair and do it. -----Original Message----- From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org]On Behalf Of Harvey Newstrom Sent: 03 December 2003 06:51 To: 'ExI chat list' Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] Who Anticipated Internet Exploding in 90s? Robin Hanson wrote, > I just read someone who said: > > "no one anticipated the explosive diffusion of the Internet > during the 1990s" > > and I figured that this can't be right - surely someone must > have had the dumb luck to predict such a thing before 1990. > Can anyone point to a quote? I suggest reading through "A Brief History of the Internet" at . It has references to all the milestones in Internet creation, including white papers, conferences, etc. From eugen at leitl.org Wed Dec 3 10:09:46 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 11:09:46 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles In-Reply-To: <20031203000759.36606.qmail@web80411.mail.yahoo.com> References: <06eb01c3b91c$8dbd4480$3bb5ff3e@artemis> <20031203000759.36606.qmail@web80411.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20031203100946.GI22120@leitl.org> On Tue, Dec 02, 2003 at 04:07:59PM -0800, Adrian Tymes wrote: > Would not a good cure for that be to make or seek out > new things? An elder of the 80s would surely have The "seen it all syndrome" is only in part due to the actual loss of novelty due to previous exposure. It's definitely mostly an aging artifact, similiar to the subjectively slower passage of time (both can be temporarily disrupted with psychoactive substances; e.g. with LSD down to ridiculous extremes of subjectively stopped time flow). Unfortunately, there's no way to "cure" that with meds. It is definitely hard to establish a habit of habit disruption, but it's possibly the only simple countermeasure that might work. (Oh, and getting a good night's worth of sleep). There are exceptions from the rule, though, people who remain novelty-seekers up to extremely high age. (I've met a nanotechnology enthusiast who's well past 80, for instance). > found some novelty in the World Wide Web during the > 90s (assuming said elder was willing to be exposed to > it). Likewise, one who believes they have experienced > everything could take a crack at designing, say, a > nanotech assembler to leave a grand legacy. (If one Many professionals can't do the same occupation in their spare time as during dayjob. I've talked to some old hand system designers, but while they are very effective in what they do they do not revel in novel approaches (in their craft, it's frequently only for the better). > has experienced *everything*, this should be simple - > but, of course, it won't be since there are ways of > thinking and fields of knowledge one has not truly > experienced.) We do need a speciality sustainable nootropic that's low on side effects. Unfortunately, there's probably no such thing save of completely replasticize the brain. > There's always more to learn and do, although one > might become tired of it and start justifying that > everything out there is all the same. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From eugen at leitl.org Wed Dec 3 10:24:37 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 11:24:37 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles In-Reply-To: <20031202234842.10650.qmail@web80406.mail.yahoo.com> References: <20031202214953.GT22120@leitl.org> <20031202234842.10650.qmail@web80406.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20031203102437.GJ22120@leitl.org> On Tue, Dec 02, 2003 at 03:48:42PM -0800, Adrian Tymes wrote: > Sorry, but MB is correct. I specified "control over > oneself" - as in, the opportunity to not grow old and > deterioriate, if desired. That is not illusiory in We're talking very nicely in othogonal directions to each other, but it's no problem, as we occasionally do manage to connect sometimes. > the same sense as "control" over other sentient > beings. It would be a very good thing to have control over our physical layer. What I'm objecting is a belief of having a control over your own mind by equivalent of waving a dead chicken (Freud, Jung & Co). I have similiar scathing opinion of AI people who think philosophy and introspection will result in actual application leads. More specifically, realization that you can't control everything is liberating to the borderline obsessive-compulsive amongst us, and can lead to actual increase in control. It's the equivalent of attemting to micromanage your life. > You are correct in what you did say: people who > currently have withered bodies, or who believe that > the only path to old age is to wither, might not want > to live forever given what they think it must mean. We've donned our Ministry of Propaganda hat here, I presume. > But that is not what we are discussing. We are > discussing the ability to live forever in relatively Forever is a bit misleading. According to this week's version of physics, nothing is eternal. In a Darwinian scenario there's always a nonzero probability that you'll become a loser in the next round, though a tiny fraction of original individuals will have extremely long time spans. > good health. (Frankly, it might be technically more > difficult to achieve immortality in a withered shell > than in a perpetually healthy shell, even if there > was not the desirability issue. Were I to wither at > current rates, yet survive to 100, I might seriously > contemplate whether cryonic suspension might give me a > better chance of seeing the far future than continued > life.) You of course realize that the vast majority of people in the industrialized countries die demented. Not much left to suspend there, alas. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From charlie at antipope.org Wed Dec 3 10:57:06 2003 From: charlie at antipope.org (Charlie Stross) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 10:57:06 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Who Anticipated Internet Exploding in 90s? In-Reply-To: <5.2.1.1.2.20031202175419.01e7b5a0@mail.gmu.edu> References: <20031201161346.GM22650@leitl.org> <20031201221612.77696.qmail@web80411.mail.yahoo.com> <20031202102400.GJ13516@leitl.org> <5.2.1.1.2.20031202175419.01e7b5a0@mail.gmu.edu> Message-ID: <6F50E5F1-257F-11D8-AF95-000A95B18568@antipope.org> On 2 Dec 2003, at 22:55, Robin Hanson wrote: > I just read someone who said: > > "no one anticipated the explosive diffusion of the Internet during the > 1990s" > > and I figured that this can't be right - surely someone must have had > the dumb luck to predict such a thing before 1990. Can anyone point > to a quote? Surely "True Names" by Vernor Vinge counts? He had the net as a ubiquitous service, certainly, and that was published in 1980. And I'm pretty certain it was explicitly the internet -- or an n'th generation descendant -- that he was talking about. Caveat: fictional source, rather than academic paper. -- Charlie From charlie at antipope.org Wed Dec 3 11:03:37 2003 From: charlie at antipope.org (Charlie Stross) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 11:03:37 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: <20031203024143.25933.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> References: <20031203024143.25933.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <58479C34-2580-11D8-AF95-000A95B18568@antipope.org> On 3 Dec 2003, at 02:41, Mike Lorrey wrote: > Well, I assume you like SF. Neal Stephenson wrote a book called Snow > Crash which you might be familiar with. A lot of the basic ideas he > used in fleshing out his plot device of root language viral programming > of humans is based on Jaynes' work. Of course, he does take it to a > rather absurd conclusion... but that was the book that actually > motivated me to read Jaynes, to get the straight scoop. It's worth noting that Jaynes' book has been more than somewhat discredited in the field; he is to evolutionary biology pretty much what Immanuel Velikovsky is to planetography. There's a reason some SF authors like his ideas; it's because they make for a great fictional playground-setting. That's not exactly the same thing as liking them because the evidence supports them .... -- Charlie From bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk Wed Dec 3 13:07:26 2003 From: bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk (BillK) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 13:07:26 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age Message-ID: <3FCDE00E.9050506@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> On Tue Dec 02, 2003 05:07 pm Adrian Tymes wrote: > There's always more to learn and do, although one > might become tired of it and start justifying that > everything out there is all the same. On Tue Dec 02, 2003 09:11 pm MB wrote: > There's stuff out there. You can find it. It may not be what > you expect. It may be sort of out of your field, but nothing > wrong with that. These sentiments strike me as having the flavor of youthful enthusiasm. When you are younger, everything is new and exciting, you are healthy and fit and full of energy and you want to 'go boldly beyond the frontiers'. There are relatively few people who manage to retain an interested, inquiring, searching outlook on life into old age. It is very difficult for people in their 20s and 30s to imagine what they will feel like in their 60s and older. It is not just the physical deterioration which makes actual movement more difficult, but for old people the world appears to be a much more dangerous place. If a young person trips and falls or is pushed over, they just sprung back up onto their feet. For an old person it can mean months in hospital. On the mental side, the 'seen it all before' syndrome is also very real. Computer techies will have seen the 'burn-out' effect on whiz-kids who just can't do it any more. The people who are the big achievers are all 'driven' by their own various demons. As the human race becomes longer-lived they will face two problems. The obvious one is keeping themselves in good physical health. There is a vast field of medical research that is required for life-extension. The more subtle problem will be mental. The young researchers cannot appreciate that their fresh, inquiring minds could ever change. But they will. Every experience that is assimilated will change them, until after 60 or 70 years they will be very different. All the exciting dramas of youth will become less important. An older person will be more likely to respond with 'Jeez, not that again!'. This point has come up before, where some people are of the opinion that a civilization where everyone is thousands of years old will be a civilization that does not go out exploring the universe. i.e. the 'What's the point?' attitude. From our present point of view, the immortals will have to do 'something' with their time. If we bring in intelligence enhancement as well, then it becomes even more unlikely that we can find out or appreciate what that 'something' will be. If that 'something' is mental, virtual-worlds or nano-worlds based, then actual physical travel out in the universe will be unlikely. Even if by then humanity is still based in physical bodies in which to do the traveling. So how do you plan to spend the next 7,000 years? BillK From maxm at mail.tele.dk Wed Dec 3 14:06:58 2003 From: maxm at mail.tele.dk (Max M) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 15:06:58 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age In-Reply-To: <3FCDE00E.9050506@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> References: <3FCDE00E.9050506@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> Message-ID: <3FCDEE02.8030308@mail.tele.dk> BillK wrote: > On the mental side, the 'seen it all before' syndrome is also very real. > Computer techies will have seen the 'burn-out' effect on whiz-kids who > just can't do it any more. The people who are the big achievers are all > 'driven' by their own various demons. Oh yeah, that is so true. I can allready feel it myself at the tender age of 38. I have allways been an "extreme" techie. But computers are getting more and more boring every day. Solving the same old problems in slightly different ways. On the other side, I find quality in my life increasingly important, and there are many examples of people living good lives at a high age. People at the age of 50 usually tell that they are living out the best part of their life. Free of the stresses of homebuilding and kids. We can also hope that a exponential growth in technology can make up for the "seen it all before" feeling. Or perhaps side-effect-free recreational drugs will make it all moot. regards Max M Rasmussen, Denmark From eugen at leitl.org Wed Dec 3 14:42:19 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 15:42:19 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age In-Reply-To: <3FCDEE02.8030308@mail.tele.dk> References: <3FCDE00E.9050506@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> <3FCDEE02.8030308@mail.tele.dk> Message-ID: <20031203144219.GB1229@leitl.org> On Wed, Dec 03, 2003 at 03:06:58PM +0100, Max M wrote: > Oh yeah, that is so true. I can allready feel it myself at the tender > age of 38. I have allways been an "extreme" techie. But computers are > getting more and more boring every day. Solving the same old problems in > slightly different ways. Me three, at 37. Getting ready to move on to make my hands dirty in a different field. Not exactly easy, given my current location and economic climate (drug discovery and bio startups have been ailing for some time, and ROI is as far removed as ever, so I expect them to start crashing en masse quite soon -- so far they've been just not hiring for a couple of years, or so). I'm quite interested to discuss personal plans (job, financial, relocation) with other european transhumanists, as most of EU is basically in the same situation. > On the other side, I find quality in my life increasingly important, and > there are many examples of people living good lives at a high age. Absolutely. > People at the age of 50 usually tell that they are living out the best > part of their life. Free of the stresses of homebuilding and kids. Heard that, too. Latter stresses seem to be yet in front of me, though :) > We can also hope that a exponential growth in technology can make up for > the "seen it all before" feeling. So far it's not managing very well. > Or perhaps side-effect-free recreational drugs will make it all moot. Have you ever seen a side-effect-free drug? It's too coarse a tool by far. I'm afraid we'll have really to wait for personal molecular medicine, which might take too long (and be too expensive) for our age group. Is the first immortal generation born already? Maybe, but it's pretty impossible to tell yet. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From mbb386 at main.nc.us Wed Dec 3 14:55:13 2003 From: mbb386 at main.nc.us (MB) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 09:55:13 -0500 (Eastern Standard Time) Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age In-Reply-To: <3FCDE00E.9050506@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> References: <3FCDE00E.9050506@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> Message-ID: Yes, there is a flavor of youthful enthusiasm here, but it is not intentional (on my part). What I was trying to point out is that one spends 25+ years "working" (often on someone else's projects) and not playing. And finally, if one is blessed with decent health, one can try playing. I gave an example of my brother, and he's in his mid 70s. My other brother is pushing 80. He does ice skating, model building, studying German (he always wanted to learn the language after he was there in WW2), reading, website building for friends - and travel. He sleeps a lot, and my sister in law says she thinks he may have been without sufficient sleep all his working life. But he is busy and AFAIK happy. The work he does now is not what he did in his job, but he still has connections there. I myself am only hitting this wall now, and I do wonder "what's the point?" I don't feel very good, aches and pains. I'm not as strong as I was, and I need more support system. :( It's most irritating. But there are new things out there. I've built a website for a non-profit a friend of mine suggested, I do a bit of database work for a former boss, I help some older less able friends to get around, and I've taken up Shaped Note Singing. I also have become interested in snakes and I roller skate with friends. And I have more time (which is a darn good thing, as I have less strength!) for my garden. This is mostly new stuff for me, as I simply didn't have time when I was working and raising my family. However.... I admit, I'm not at all sure I'd want to look at another 100 or so years of it. My health isn't what I'd desire. That said, I think the *real* problem is elsewhere. It is within my mind. My brothers have more internal drive than I do, they are ... smarter. They've always been that way. None of us watch TV (except my oldest brother watches the iceskating). I'd rather sleep! :))) I still think there's more neat stuff for me out there, I just haven't found it yet. That's one reason I (usually) lurk on this list. It's interesting. And full of new stuff. And my email was meant to be an encouragement. Regards, MB ps. There's also a sort of mid-life thing that some men go through - having spent all their energies on "the job". Perhaps this is part of the original poster's trouble? On Wed, 3 Dec 2003, BillK wrote: > On Tue Dec 02, 2003 05:07 pm Adrian Tymes wrote: > > There's always more to learn and do, although one > > might become tired of it and start justifying that > > everything out there is all the same. > > > On Tue Dec 02, 2003 09:11 pm MB wrote: > > There's stuff out there. You can find it. It may not be what > > you expect. It may be sort of out of your field, but nothing > > wrong with that. > > > These sentiments strike me as having the flavor of youthful enthusiasm. > When you are younger, everything is new and exciting, you are healthy > and fit and full of energy and you want to 'go boldly beyond the frontiers'. > From twodeel at jornada.org Wed Dec 3 14:56:25 2003 From: twodeel at jornada.org (Don Dartfield) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 06:56:25 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age In-Reply-To: <3FCDEE02.8030308@mail.tele.dk> Message-ID: On Wed, 3 Dec 2003, Max M wrote: > We can also hope that a exponential growth in technology can make up for > the "seen it all before" feeling. Or perhaps side-effect-free > recreational drugs will make it all moot. I would think that combining these last two ideas would be a good solution. Hopefully we will eventually have the technology to get rid of feelings of boredom whenever they occur and keep that spicy zest-for-new-things feeling around all the time to drive us onward ... whether it is implemented as a chemical you ingest, or a device that is worn or injected or something, or a fundamental re-engineering of our mental hardware. From hemm at openlink.com.br Wed Dec 3 15:07:51 2003 From: hemm at openlink.com.br (Henrique Moraes Machado) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 13:07:51 -0200 Subject: [ok] Re: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation References: Message-ID: <012801c3b9af$399446e0$fe00a8c0@HEMM> Well, I'm not thinking only about intercontinental flights, but also our day-by-day transport, such as automobiles. You can put a hybrid engine in your car, you can use stem cells, you can put any kind of electronics in it, but it's still a car and will be stuck in the same traffic jam with all the other less advanced cars. You can make planes faster, but you'll still need to go to the airport and check-in and pass through the same metal detectors and deal with the same overbooking and wait lists. What I mean is that todays means of transportation follow the same old paradigm of fifty years ago. They improved, of course, but they are still intrinsically the same. The most advanced jet and the first airplane use exactly the same principles to fly. HeMM -----Mensagem Original----- De: Para: "ExI chat list" Enviada em: ter?a-feira, 2 de dezembro de 2003 16:20 Assunto: [ok] Re: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation | I think that this has occurred simply because the masses have decided that | what we have is good enough. The market has stabilized and the cost-benefit | is about equal. The airlines already struggle with making profits because of | this. If they raise the price of tickets, more people choose to drive to | their destination. Faster flights and more exclusive, dedicated service to | streamline the waiting would only increase the cost which most people are | simply not willing to pay. | This doesn;t mean that the technology hasn't improved however. If you look | at the last 50 years (1953 to today) there are many breakthroughs fololowing | Yeager's 1947 mach 1 flight in a single-man rocket with wings. Concorde | travels at 1350 mph, SR-71 travels at mach 3.3. We went to the moon in 1969 | (speeds averaging 25,000 mph). Aurora (if it exists) is supposed to cruise | between mach 5 and mach 8. Nasa's X-43 HyperX is supposed to travel between | mach 7 and mach 10. The shuttle re-enters about mach 23 (i think) | ----- Original Message ----- | From: "Brian Lee" | To: ; | Sent: Monday, December 01, 2003 12:22 PM | Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation | | | > I've thought a bit on this lately and am a little let down with the pace | of | > transportation. If you look at air travel over the last 50 years there are | > few major breakthroughs. 75 years ago, it took weeks to travel around the | > world and then with commercial air travel, that was cut down to a day or | > merely hours. 50 years later, we're still pretty much at the same flight | > times. We have more routes and scheduled and tvs in the seats but flights | > are still about the same length. Perhaps they are even longer if you take | > security waits into the equation. | > | > I think the main reason why air travel tech has stalled is lack of | > competition. There's really only two companies making planes-Airbus and | > Boeing- and both are heavily subsidized by their respective governments. | Air | > travel is subsidized by local governments and businesses who don't have | much | > incentive to decrease travel time. | > | > For ground travel, in the US at least, road trips take less time because | the | > speed limit has been increased from 55 to 70-75 on interstates. It's nice | to | > be save 2 hours from an Atlanta to Miami trip, but I'm still waiting for | 15 | > minute NY-London trips and flying cars. | > | > How long until the science fiction breakthroughs come on line? | Transporters, | > etc. | > | > I've done a bit of teleconferencing and videoconferencing and while it is | > sufficient for basic communication, it's not yet replacing meatspace. | > | > BAL | > >From: "Henrique Moraes Machado" | > >To: "ExI chat list" | > >Subject: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation | > >Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 13:57:22 -0200 | > > | > >Hello extropians, | > > | > >I've been reflecting lately on communication versus transportation. The | > >first is developing faster than ever, while the former seems to be | stalled. | > >Is it related? Are we concentrating our resourses in evolving our | > >communication means because our transportation means are poor, or does de | > >current pace of developments on comms in fact causes less effort on | > >advancing transportation? Just thinking. Sorry for the bad english, but | > >it's not my native language and I am still learning. | > >_______________________________________________ | > >extropy-chat mailing list | > >extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org | > >http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat | > | > _________________________________________________________________ | > Is there a gadget-lover on your gift list? MSN Shopping has lined up some | > good bets! http://shopping.msn.com | > | > _______________________________________________ | > extropy-chat mailing list | > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org | > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat | > | _______________________________________________ | extropy-chat mailing list | extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org | http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat | From gpmap at runbox.com Wed Dec 3 15:23:16 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 15:23:16 GMT Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age Message-ID: I think when the physical problems of old age (including hormonal and neurochemical changes) are solved, the rest will follow. There is no reason why you cannot keep a fresh and interested outlook on life while gaining experience. Many people in their 70s would be happy to do sometimes the same stupid things they did in their teens. The bad side of aging is a phisical thing. > As the human race becomes longer-lived they will face two problems. The > obvious one is keeping themselves in good physical health. There is a > vast field of medical research that is required for life-extension. > > The more subtle problem will be mental. The young researchers cannot > appreciate that their fresh, inquiring minds could ever change. But they > will. Every experience that is assimilated will change them, until after > 60 or 70 years they will be very different. All the exciting dramas of > youth will become less important. An older person will be more likely to > respond with 'Jeez, not that again!'. From hemm at openlink.com.br Wed Dec 3 15:31:31 2003 From: hemm at openlink.com.br (Henrique Moraes Machado) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 13:31:31 -0200 Subject: [ok] Re: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation References: <012801c3b9af$399446e0$fe00a8c0@HEMM> Message-ID: <013e01c3b9b2$87404800$fe00a8c0@HEMM> I mean fuel cell... stupid me :) -----Mensagem Original----- De: "Henrique Moraes Machado" Para: "ExI chat list" Enviada em: quarta-feira, 3 de dezembro de 2003 13:07 Assunto: Re: [ok] Re: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation Well, I'm not thinking only about intercontinental flights, but also our day-by-day transport, such as automobiles. You can put a hybrid engine in your car, you can use stem cells, you can put any kind of electronics in it, but it's still a car and will be stuck in the same traffic From eugen at leitl.org Wed Dec 3 15:37:10 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 16:37:10 +0100 Subject: [ok] Re: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation In-Reply-To: <012801c3b9af$399446e0$fe00a8c0@HEMM> References: <012801c3b9af$399446e0$fe00a8c0@HEMM> Message-ID: <20031203153710.GE1229@leitl.org> On Wed, Dec 03, 2003 at 01:07:51PM -0200, Henrique Moraes Machado wrote: Can you please wrap your lines? You're difficult to quote otherwise. > Well, I'm not thinking only about intercontinental flights, but also our day-by-day transport, such as automobiles. You can put a hybrid engine in your car, you can use stem cells, you can put any kind of electronics in it, but it's still a car and will be stuck in the same traffic jam with all the other less advanced cars. You can make planes faster, but you'll still need to go to the airport and check-in and pass through the same metal detectors and deal with the same overbooking and wait lists. > What I mean is that todays means of transportation follow the same old paradigm of fifty years ago. They improved, of course, but they are still intrinsically the same. The most advanced jet and the first airplane use exactly the same principles to fly. Intercontinental flights have the largest payoff, because here the pure flight time counts most. A suborbital flight is essentially orbit, once you go through the atmosphere and back. You can't shortcut these much, because no known material will survive several cycles of that plasma bath, nevermind the accelerations required (Shuttle already is pretty close to what humans can stomach). You can't do better than orbit, because you need to accelerate all the way, and you need a nuke drive for that. Things look much better in vacuum, where you can use large circumsolar hardware clouds pushing your sail-driven probe at several g for months. It is not obvious we can do better than this, but our knowledge of physics might be incomplete in that respect. Planes yes, so here an individual VTOL can make sense, even if it's slow and uses a lot of fuel. You don't have to go to the airfield, and pass security (in fact, there are people who collectively rent a pilot and a small jet, the advantage is that they land on small airfields with less security overhead -- less hassle can be worth a lot to some people). You certainly can't do long-distance VTOL without refuelling, and a larger plane will be always better on longer distance even with security overhead. If you look at cars, it's obvious that volume is better than surface, so an orthogonal matrix-bus based traffic system in a large volume is pretty optimal (smallest average distance possible, no blockage at crossing), but for many reasons people choose suburbia, arguably the opposite point in design space. Suburbia might actually have a point, if you consider that this is _insolated_ surface. Suburbia can become energy-self reliant, not inner city centers. It's a question of surface/volume ratio. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From rhanson at gmu.edu Wed Dec 3 15:46:24 2003 From: rhanson at gmu.edu (Robin Hanson) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 10:46:24 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Who Anticipated Internet Exploding in 90s? In-Reply-To: <002701c3b961$64673ec0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> References: <5.2.1.1.2.20031202175419.01e7b5a0@mail.gmu.edu> Message-ID: <5.2.1.1.2.20031203104058.01e64960@mail.gmu.edu> I wrote: > I just read someone who said: > "no one anticipated the explosive diffusion of the Internet > during the 1990s" > and I figured that this can't be right - surely someone must > have had the dumb luck to predict such a thing before 1990. > Can anyone point to a quote? On 12/3/2003 Harvey Newstrom responded: >I suggest reading through "A Brief History of the Internet" at >. It has references to >all the milestones in Internet creation, including white papers, >conferences, etc. That is a history of who did what when, not of who predicted what when. Charlie Stross responded: >Surely "True Names" by Vernor Vinge counts? He had the net as a ubiquitous >service, certainly, and that was published in 1980. And I'm pretty certain >it was explicitly the internet -- or an n'th generation descendant -- that >he was talking about. Caveat: fictional source, rather than academic paper. Science fiction authors typically resist the interpretation that just because they wrote a novel describing a hypothetical future, than they were seriously predicting that future would happen within fifteen years. Giu1i0 Pri5c0 responded: >I did. In 1990 I was playing with the idea to start a net access business >for individual end users, and even found someone who was maybe willing to >invest some money. Then I let them talking me out of the idea, "this is too >crazy, there will never be a market for this". Now when I wish to do some >sweet daydreaming I think of what I would do with all the money that I would >have now if I had followed my idea to the end. OK, but did you publish your prediction in any way, such as in a mailing list archive? >Two lessons here: 1 - believe in your ideas - 2 - get your ass off the >armchair and do it. This first lesson seems overblown. Presumably all the people who disagreed with you at the time believed in their ideas as well. They were wrong and you were right. On average how is this evidence that everyone should be more confident? Robin Hanson rhanson at gmu.edu http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-4444 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323 From spike66 at comcast.net Wed Dec 3 15:48:54 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 07:48:54 -0800 Subject: [ok] Re: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation In-Reply-To: <013e01c3b9b2$87404800$fe00a8c0@HEMM> Message-ID: <003901c3b9b4$f51323f0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > I mean fuel cell... stupid me :) > > De: "Henrique Moraes Machado" > Assunto: Re: [ok] Re: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation: > > Well, I'm not thinking only about intercontinental flights, > but also our day-by-day transport, such as automobiles. You > can put a hybrid engine in your car, you can use stem cells... No no Henrique, you have typoed into a brillian idea: stem cells for your car! You put them in the tank and they replicate into any defective part. Repairing worn or ripped leather seats would be the first application, since those started out as cells anyway, but then as we get more advanced we could have them fix leaks in the radiator, then worn bearings, then when we get really good, the electronics. I haven't seen your posts before, so welcome to the list, imaginative young inventor! {8-] spike From sentience at pobox.com Wed Dec 3 15:50:33 2003 From: sentience at pobox.com (Eliezer S. Yudkowsky) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 10:50:33 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: <58479C34-2580-11D8-AF95-000A95B18568@antipope.org> References: <20031203024143.25933.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> <58479C34-2580-11D8-AF95-000A95B18568@antipope.org> Message-ID: <3FCE0649.2040805@pobox.com> Charlie Stross wrote: > > On 3 Dec 2003, at 02:41, Mike Lorrey wrote: > >> Well, I assume you like SF. Neal Stephenson wrote a book called Snow >> Crash which you might be familiar with. A lot of the basic ideas he >> used in fleshing out his plot device of root language viral programming >> of humans is based on Jaynes' work. Of course, he does take it to a >> rather absurd conclusion... but that was the book that actually >> motivated me to read Jaynes, to get the straight scoop. > > It's worth noting that Jaynes' book has been more than somewhat > discredited in the field; he is to evolutionary biology pretty much what > Immanuel Velikovsky is to planetography. > > There's a reason some SF authors like his ideas; it's because they make > for a great fictional playground-setting. That's not exactly the same > thing as liking them because the evidence supports them .... FYI all: They're talking about Julian Jaynes (I think) and "The Bicameral Mind". The Jaynes I talk about is E.T. Jaynes and "Probability Theory: The Logic of Science". No relation AFAIK. -- Eliezer S. Yudkowsky http://singinst.org/ Research Fellow, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence From sentience at pobox.com Wed Dec 3 16:06:13 2003 From: sentience at pobox.com (Eliezer S. Yudkowsky) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 11:06:13 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Who Anticipated Internet Exploding in 90s? In-Reply-To: <5.2.1.1.2.20031203104058.01e64960@mail.gmu.edu> References: <5.2.1.1.2.20031202175419.01e7b5a0@mail.gmu.edu> <5.2.1.1.2.20031203104058.01e64960@mail.gmu.edu> Message-ID: <3FCE09F5.2010709@pobox.com> Eric Drexler in "Engines of Creation" went on at some length about the importance of hypertext; this anticipates the Web, I suppose, and actually helped build the Web, historically speaking; but not the Net. -- Eliezer S. Yudkowsky http://singinst.org/ Research Fellow, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Wed Dec 3 16:10:30 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 11:10:30 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age In-Reply-To: <3FCDE00E.9050506@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> Message-ID: <008901c3b9b7$f996f700$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> BillK wrote, > On the mental side, the 'seen it all before' syndrome is also > very real. Computer techies will have seen the 'burn-out' > effect on whiz-kids who just can't do it any more. The people > who are the big achievers are all 'driven' by their own > various demons. I have this. I get sick of seeing all these "new" ideas that are rehashes of stuff we did decades ago. Most of these fail or have the same problems that were encountered earlier. (Those who don't know history are doomed to repeat it, etc....) That's why I am so pessimistic all the time. It's easy to have irrational exuberance in youth. But after you go through the same thing dozens of times, you learn not to be so na?ve the next time around. I also just realized that I am a professional pessimist. As a security expert, auditor, debugger, investigator, hacker, etc., my job is to see the problems that no one else sees. I literally get paid for, and spend 60 hours per week trying to brainstorm how things can go wrong rather than how they can go right. I see obvious flaws that everybody else seems oblivious to. Other engineers explain how great their projects can be, whereas my job is to explain how horribly they can go wrong. I really do not believe I am being unrealistically negative. I really see real problems that everyone else ignores. I am very good at my job. However, it means that I see a much darker and more dangerous world where technology is not as stable as people think. > The more subtle problem will be mental. The young researchers > cannot appreciate that their fresh, inquiring minds could > ever change. But they will. Every experience that is > assimilated will change them, until after 60 or 70 years they > will be very different. All the exciting dramas of youth will > become less important. An older person will be more likely to > respond with 'Jeez, not that again!'. Exactly! However, I think the enthusiasm of youth is automatic because things are new and different. Transhumanism used to be new and different. But after being on these lists for over a decade, there aren't very many new ideas going around. Older people also feel like they are running out of time. Ten years ago, people were predicting the singularity, moon bases and immortality in a decade or two. Now that we are half way there, the goals don't seem any closer, yet time is running out. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From charlie at antipope.org Wed Dec 3 16:37:03 2003 From: charlie at antipope.org (Charlie Stross) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 16:37:03 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age In-Reply-To: <008901c3b9b7$f996f700$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> References: <008901c3b9b7$f996f700$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: On 3 Dec 2003, at 16:10, Harvey Newstrom wrote: > BillK wrote, >> On the mental side, the 'seen it all before' syndrome is also >> very real. Computer techies will have seen the 'burn-out' >> effect on whiz-kids who just can't do it any more. > I have this. I get sick of seeing all these "new" ideas that are > rehashes > of stuff we did decades ago. Most of these fail or have the same > problems > that were encountered earlier. (Those who don't know history are > doomed to > repeat it, etc....) That's why I am so pessimistic all the time. Me too. 39, burned-out as a programmer. (Luckily I've found a second -- third? -- full-time career as an SF writer.) > I am a professional pessimist. As a security > expert, auditor, debugger, investigator, hacker, etc., my job is to > see the > problems that no one else sees. I literally get paid for, and spend 60 > hours per week trying to brainstorm how things can go wrong rather > than how > they can go right. I see obvious flaws that everybody else seems > oblivious > to. Other engineers explain how great their projects can be, whereas > my job > is to explain how horribly they can go wrong. I really do not believe > I am > being unrealistically negative. I really see real problems that > everyone > else ignores. I am very good at my job. However, it means that I see > a > much darker and more dangerous world where technology is not as stable > as > people think. There's nothing quite like subscribing to COMP.RISKS for a few years to take the edge off your enthusiasm for novelty for its own sake! > However, I think the enthusiasm of youth is automatic because things > are new > and different. Transhumanism used to be new and different. But after > being > on these lists for over a decade, there aren't very many new ideas > going > around. Older people also feel like they are running out of time. Ten > years ago, people were predicting the singularity, moon bases and > immortality in a decade or two. Now that we are half way there, the > goals > don't seem any closer, yet time is running out. If we achieve physiological cures for senescence we'll need to find new strategies for dealing with a surfeit of experience. Memory excision? Facilitated un-learning? It may be that natural forgetfullness will save us from our own sense of anomie over deep time (for values of deep time measured in decades to centuries), but I suspect we'll need something a lot better -- especially once memory prostheses become available and widely used. We've also got the problem that our legal and information systems aren't designed to forget over time. A person who is public enemy #1 in their first century may well be someone completely different in their third. How do we deal with this? -- Charlie From sentience at pobox.com Wed Dec 3 17:10:59 2003 From: sentience at pobox.com (Eliezer S. Yudkowsky) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 12:10:59 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age In-Reply-To: <008901c3b9b7$f996f700$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> References: <008901c3b9b7$f996f700$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <3FCE1923.6030805@pobox.com> Harvey Newstrom wrote: > > However, I think the enthusiasm of youth is automatic because things are new > and different. Transhumanism used to be new and different. But after being > on these lists for over a decade, there aren't very many new ideas going > around. Older people also feel like they are running out of time. Ten > years ago, people were predicting the singularity, moon bases and > immortality in a decade or two. Now that we are half way there, the goals > don't seem any closer, yet time is running out. I wish I knew what I was doing right that everyone else seems to be doing so wrong. The problem is that trying to follow my lead doesn't seem to help people, either - or helps only insofar as they are moved to study tractable interesting subjects. -- Eliezer S. Yudkowsky http://singinst.org/ Research Fellow, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence From eugen at leitl.org Wed Dec 3 17:27:33 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 18:27:33 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age In-Reply-To: <3FCE1923.6030805@pobox.com> References: <008901c3b9b7$f996f700$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> <3FCE1923.6030805@pobox.com> Message-ID: <20031203172733.GL1229@leitl.org> On Wed, Dec 03, 2003 at 12:10:59PM -0500, Eliezer S. Yudkowsky wrote: > I wish I knew what I was doing right that everyone else seems to be doing > so wrong. The problem is that trying to follow my lead doesn't seem to Ur, do you realize how this sounds? > help people, either - or helps only insofar as they are moved to study > tractable interesting subjects. I'm not sure you're using your resources very wisely. AI is a high risk/high tradeoff field, but an academic and/or industrial career would have provided you far more leverage than you currently have. By now I'm 99% certain that a sustainably visible online persona is incompatible with getting things done. I'd be out of here long ago if I wasn't so hooked. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Wed Dec 3 17:28:09 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 12:28:09 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Who Anticipated Internet Exploding in 90s? In-Reply-To: <5.2.1.1.2.20031203104058.01e64960@mail.gmu.edu> Message-ID: <00c401c3b9c2$d7679670$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Robin Hanson wrote, > On 12/3/2003 Harvey Newstrom responded: > >I suggest reading through "A Brief History of the Internet" at > >. It has references > >to all the milestones in Internet creation, including white papers, > >conferences, etc. > > That is a history of who did what when, not of who predicted what when. Wow. Remind me not to have you do any research for me! :-) You think that the Internet was based on past network usage and not build on wide-spread predictions of how the future network would be used and what it had to support? All requirements documents are based on future predictions. There are technical predictions of load, spread, and acceptance. There are social predictions about home use, cultural changes, and usefulness. There were business predictions of privatization, business use and international commerce. There were persuasion papers trying to gain funding, convince congress, and gain corporate support. Of *course* they are chock full of predictions about how great and widespread the internet was going to be in the future! Some quick examples of documents listed in the reference you dismissed: In 1962: J.C.R. Licklider of MIT writes a paper describing a globally connected "Galactic Network" of computers. He predicts what they can do and how they will be used. The congressional record of 1986 quotes Al Gore as saying, "America's Highways transport people and materials across the country. Federal freeways connect with state highways which connect in turn with county roads and city streets. To transport data and ideas, we will need a telecommunications highway connecting users coast to coast, state to state, city to city. The study required in this amendment will identify the problems and opportunities the nation will face in establishing that highway." In 1988, the NSF sponsors a series of workshops at Harvard on the commercialization and privatization of the Internet. They predicted what it would be like and how it could occur. Also in 1988, Kahn et al. write a paper "Towards a National Research Network." It predicted the future of the Internet. In 1988, the congressional record Gore proposing a bill to create the internet, "The act would provide for a 3-gigabit-per-second national network, develop federal standards, take into account user views, examine telecommunications policy, build an information infrastructure composed of databases and knowledge banks, create a national software corporation to develop important software programs, establish a clearinghouse to validate and distribute software, promote artificial intelligence databases, increase research and development projects, study export controls affecting computers, review procurement policies to stimulate the computer industry, and enhance computer science education programs." The Dec. 29, 1988 edition of the New York Times predicted, "Computer scientists and Government officials are urging the creation of a nationwide "data superhighway" that they believe would have a dramatic economic impact, rivaling that of the nation's interstate highway system. This highway would consist of a high-speed fiber-optic data network joining dozens of supercomputers at national laboratories and making them available to thousands of academic and industry researchers around the country...." Legislation introduced in October by Senator Albert Gore, Democrat of Tennessee, included initial financing for development and construction of a National Research Network. Backers of the measure say that Federal financing for the project is necessary to develop the technology and convince industry that vastly speedier computer networks are commercially viable. In 1989, Gore told a House committee, "I genuinely believe that the creation of this nationwide network and the broader installation of lower capacity fiber optic cables to all parts of this country, will create an environment where work stations are common in homes and even small businesses with access to supercomputing capability being very, very widespread. It's sort of like, once the interstate highway system existed, then a college student in California who lived in North Carolina would be more likely to buy a car, drive back and forth instead of taking the bus. Once that network for supercomputing is in place, you're going to have a lot more people gaining access to the capability, developing an interest in it. That will lead to more people getting training and more purchases of machines." (Inventing Al Gore, p. 217). -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From mlorrey at yahoo.com Wed Dec 3 17:29:22 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 09:29:22 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: <58479C34-2580-11D8-AF95-000A95B18568@antipope.org> Message-ID: <20031203172922.14718.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> --- Charlie Stross wrote: > > On 3 Dec 2003, at 02:41, Mike Lorrey wrote: > > > Well, I assume you like SF. Neal Stephenson wrote a book called > Snow > > Crash which you might be familiar with. A lot of the basic ideas he > > used in fleshing out his plot device of root language viral > programming > > of humans is based on Jaynes' work. Of course, he does take it to a > > rather absurd conclusion... but that was the book that actually > > motivated me to read Jaynes, to get the straight scoop. > > It's worth noting that Jaynes' book has been more than somewhat > discredited in the field; he is to evolutionary biology pretty much > what Immanuel Velikovsky is to planetography. > > There's a reason some SF authors like his ideas; it's because they > make > for a great fictional playground-setting. That's not exactly the same > thing as liking them because the evidence supports them .... Well, they primarily don't like him because he is a pshrink, not a biologist or an anthropologist or an archaeologist. Considering the stories anthropologists are known to weave from the most specious of evidence, the only thing that saves them from similar derision is that there is so little evidence to begin with. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Wed Dec 3 17:37:26 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 12:37:26 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age In-Reply-To: <3FCE1923.6030805@pobox.com> Message-ID: <00c501c3b9c4$217e4dc0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Eliezer S. Yudkowsky wrote, > I wish I knew what I was doing right that everyone else seems > to be doing so wrong. The problem is that trying to follow > my lead doesn't seem to > help people, either - or helps only > insofar as they are moved to study tractable interesting subjects. You're young and naive. Wait until you are middle-aged, pot-bellied and balding, and there is still no singularity or general AI. How will you feel then? -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From thespike at earthlink.net Wed Dec 3 17:39:41 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 11:39:41 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age References: <008901c3b9b7$f996f700$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> <3FCE1923.6030805@pobox.com> Message-ID: <010501c3b9c4$70899820$d5994a43@texas.net> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Eliezer S. Yudkowsky" Sent: Wednesday, December 03, 2003 11:10 AM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age > I wish I knew what I was doing right that everyone else seems to be doing > so wrong. What you're doing right is being younger than 25. Good choice! Keep it up! Damien Broderick [younger than 60, but only just] From max at maxmore.com Wed Dec 3 18:01:40 2003 From: max at maxmore.com (Max More) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 12:01:40 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age In-Reply-To: <008901c3b9b7$f996f700$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> References: <3FCDE00E.9050506@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031203114551.05beab00@mail.earthlink.net> At 10:10 AM 12/3/2003, Harvey wrote: >I also just realized that I am a professional pessimist. I shouldn't encourage you, but... Delusions of Success: How Optimism Undermines Executives' Decisions by Dan Lovallo; Daniel Kahneman Harvard Business Review, Editor reviewed on 07/07/03, originally published on 07/01/03 http://www.manyworlds.com/exploreCO.asp?coid=CO77031947495 > As a security >expert, auditor, debugger, investigator, hacker, etc., my job is to see the >problems that no one else sees. I literally get paid for, and spend 60 >hours per week trying to brainstorm how things can go wrong rather than how >they can go right. I see obvious flaws that everybody else seems oblivious >to. Other engineers explain how great their projects can be, whereas my job >is to explain how horribly they can go wrong. I really do not believe I am >being unrealistically negative. I really see real problems that everyone >else ignores. I am very good at my job. However, it means that I see a >much darker and more dangerous world where technology is not as stable as >people think. From my review at the above URL: "The pervasive human tendency for over-optimism ? with all its costly consequences in business decisions ? can be highly beneficial when confined to the right places. To the extent that your company can cleanly separate functions and positions that involve or shape decision-making and those that promote or guide action, optimism can be left untouched in the latter but not the former. As the authors note, an optimistic CFO is a disaster waiting to happen, but optimism in a sales force or in some aspects of R&D should be healthy." [...] Because we naturally adopt an ?inside view? of the situation and decision to be made, we nevertheless greatly overestimate our chances of success. Economists are no help; those not well versed in the dark arts of behavioral finance will only feed our optimism with academic cocaine that explains all those hugely costly mistakes as risky but rational decisions. Lovallo and Kahneman will have none of this exculpatory nonsense. They locate the problem in several factors: A combination of cognitive biases including attribution errors, anchoring and competitor neglect, along with organizational pressures including stretch goals, discouragement of ?disloyal? pessimism, and the pressure to present proposals in the best possible light in order to secure funding and support. All is not lost. Lovallo and Kahneman explain how taking ?the outside view? can counter endemic over-optimism. [...] Some other pieces on this topic (linked from the above review): Risk Taking: A Tale of Two Biases Predictable Surprises: The Disasters You Should Have Seen Coming Make Room for Gloom Rationality: The Next Competitive Advantage Why So Many People (Not You, Of Course) Made So Many Brain-Dead Investments (And How Not to Make Them Again) >However, I think the enthusiasm of youth is automatic because things are new >and different. This accounts for much of it, no doubt. But some of it seems to be a matter of individual differences in temperament. As I close in on my 40th birthday I continue to find an enormous range of things fascinating. One of my biggest time management challenges is containing my interest in so many things. Age usually affects this part of temperament, probably by killing off dopamine neurons, etc. Anti-aging research will certainly need to tackle this aspect of degeneration. > Transhumanism used to be new and different. But after being >on these lists for over a decade, there aren't very many new ideas going >around. Older people also feel like they are running out of time. Ten >years ago, people were predicting the singularity, moon bases and >immortality in a decade or two. Now that we are half way there, the goals >don't seem any closer, yet time is running out. I don't recall anyone being optimistic about moon bases -- most of us have been unhappily aware of the slow progress with space technology. Other ideas *are* coming about -- idea futures, for example. It would be interesting to dig out the issue of Extropy that featured a range of predicted dates for various events. I recall that Eric Drexler had highly optimistic projections, but others looked to 100+ years for many of the items listed. I think I was somewhere in the middle. If anyone has the issue at hand along with an OCR scanner, it would provide some interesting data points. Max _______________________________________________________ Max More, Ph.D. max at maxmore.com or more at extropy.org http://www.maxmore.com Strategic Philosopher Chairman, Extropy Institute. http://www.extropy.org _______________________________________________________ From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Wed Dec 3 18:13:55 2003 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (kevinfreels at hotmail.com) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 12:13:55 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] More on the Glofish: When Fish Fluoresce, Can Teenagers Be Far Behind? References: Message-ID: Does anyone know if this glow-in-the-dark gene gets passed on to it's offspring? I would assume so. Imagine the interest that children will suddenly have in genetics when they can breed yellow glo-fish with maybe a red glo-fish and get some red, yellow, and orange glo-fish. And what of those glowing teenagers? Will they mate and give birth to glo-babies? This could have serious implications for the military. What if all 18 yr old men decided to glow in the dark? Night engagements could get really risky > :-P ----- Original Message ----- From: Giu1i0 Pri5c0 To: hit ; extropy-chat Sent: Wednesday, December 03, 2003 1:24 AM Subject: [extropy-chat] More on the Glofish: When Fish Fluoresce,Can Teenagers Be Far Behind? From the New York Times: Sometime in the future, when the distinction between cosmetologist and molecular biologist has faded and gene shops dot the seedier urban streets like tattoo parlors, the philosophers, moralists and historians of science will try to pin down the moment when the new age began. Science historians will probably say it started with the discovery of DNA, or the mapping of the human genome. Others will claim it started when Dolly was cloned and it became clear that the tools of biotechnology had moved out of the high church of pure research and into the unpredictable hands of people who bred sheep for profit. I think the moment is now. And the creature that embodies the escape of biotechnology into the world at large - a movement that will never be reversed - is an aquarium fish that glows in the dark. This is the tipping point, when the world irrevocably turns toward the science-fiction fantasies of writers like Philip K. Dick and William Gibson, who envision biomedical technology permeating every corner of the marketplace, from global corporations on down to small-time illegal operations like stolen-car chop shops. Imagine if you will, that you could pay to have genes for glowing in the dark inserted into your own body. How many glowing teenagers would there be? And who would stop them, once they reached age 18? After all, one's own body is one's own business. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From max at maxmore.com Wed Dec 3 18:22:53 2003 From: max at maxmore.com (Max More) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 12:22:53 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Nanogen's new patents in nanotech and nanomanufacturing Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031203122201.06059b40@mail.earthlink.net> Nanogen shares soar on patent Newly issued patent broadens its proprietary position in nanotechnology and nanomanufacturing areas. December 3, 2003: 11:30 AM EST NEW YORK (Reuters) - Shares of Nanogen Inc. jumped more than 50 percent Wednesday after the company said it received a U.S. patent related to the fledgling field of nanotechnology and nanomanufacturing. http://money.cnn.com/2003/12/03/technology/nanogen.reut/index.htm _______________________________________________________ Max More, Ph.D. max at maxmore.com or more at extropy.org http://www.maxmore.com Strategic Philosopher Chairman, Extropy Institute. http://www.extropy.org _______________________________________________________ From thespike at earthlink.net Wed Dec 3 18:40:37 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 12:40:37 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Planck life and `thought bubbles' References: <3FCDE00E.9050506@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> <5.1.0.14.2.20031203114551.05beab00@mail.earthlink.net> Message-ID: <001801c3b9cc$f4f6fc80$d5994a43@texas.net> Physics Nobelist Brian Josephson in fine form: http://arxiv.org/html/physics/0312012 From mlorrey at yahoo.com Wed Dec 3 18:40:02 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 10:40:02 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] More on the Glofish: When Fish Fluoresce, Can Teenagers Be Far Behind? In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031203184002.83995.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> --- kevinfreels at hotmail.com wrote: > Does anyone know if this glow-in-the-dark gene gets passed on to it's > offspring? I would assume so. Imagine the interest that children will > suddenly have in genetics when they can breed yellow glo-fish with > maybe a red glo-fish and get some red, yellow, and orange glo-fish. > And what of those glowing teenagers? Will they mate and give birth to > glo-babies? > This could have serious implications for the military. What if all 18 > yr old men decided to glow in the dark? Night engagements could get > really risky > :-P There are both body paints and ingestible pigments that could block the glo pigment. There are actually federal laws prohibiting intentionally making yourself medically unfit for military service. Ostensibly it is an act of sabotage that aids and abets the enemy. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From hal at finney.org Wed Dec 3 18:40:23 2003 From: hal at finney.org (Hal Finney) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 10:40:23 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age Message-ID: <200312031840.hB3IeNn18771@finney.org> I remember when I was young and just getting started working, I noticed there were different ways that older people approached their jobs, as well as life itself. The more common attitude was a kind of bitter fatalism, a sense of disappointment. Things were going badly and getting worse. They were grumpy and unhappy, warning against mistakes but mostly being ignored. Generally these were people who had not been all that succeessful, who were doing the same work that they had done 20 years before. So it is understandable that they might be bitter and unhappy. I also ran into a few old people who were quite different, who were optimistic and energetic, full of ideas and enthusiasm. These were mostly people who had been successful in their careers, who had advanced to relatively important positions. Another group like this were older college professors who were still active and pursuing their research. It is not easy to distinguish cause and effect here. Were people happy or unhappy because of their success or lack of it? Or were their basic approaches to problems influencing their career paths? As I get older, I can see how cynicism creeps in. I still have mostly the same goals and the same basic belief that they are possible, but more and more I perceive that much of the support for these projects is based on unfounded optimism and sloppy thinking. I become impatient with one-sided perspectives and want to see both the pro and the con positions represented fairly. A case in point is the recent online nanotech debate, where the spin from "our side" is that Drexler whipped Smalley's butt. I don't perceive it that way at all. I thought Drexler was evasive and slippery, and from my current perspective I see this as a persistent strategy. You can never pin him down. Whenever someone claims that something won't work, he just calls "strawman" and says if that doesn't work, we'll do it some other way. But since he never comes out with a specific, concrete proposal, he has a perfect defense. You can't critique what doesn't exist. I need to write up these thoughts in more detail, but here again I find myself facing the same barriers which had defeated the older engineers I observed as a youth. I know that it will be an enormous battle, offering pessimism where everyone only wants to hear good news. I doubt that it will do any good, because even the cautions of a Nobel prize winner are ignored. And I question whether I have the energy to engage in the kind of hard debate which would be necessary to give these issues the kind of hearing that they deserve. Those old men I knew had given up. They were convinced that our plans and projects would mostly fail, but they were unable to make persuasive arguments. Too many times in the past they had tried and failed, had gained reputations as naysayers, as not being team players. These reputations had probably helped to mire them in their dead end jobs. And by then they had nothing left but bitterness, pro forma objections, and head-shaking predictions of doom. I don't think any of us wants to end up like that. I certainly don't, and yet I feel myself creeping in that direction. What can we do about it? I have a couple of ideas. The first, and simpler, is to try to couple pessimism with optimism. This is basically the idea of what Max called Dynamic Optimism. Dynamic optimism is realistic. It's not a matter of wearing rose colored glasses. You see the problems, but you also try to look at them as challenges rather than obstacles. Rather than just opposing what won't work, figure out what will give the best shot at working, and become a proponent of that alternative. This way you are, in a sense, a leader rather than dead weight. Maybe nobody is following you at the moment, but it is a crucial difference in perspective. But sometimes this approach is difficult. You have a situation where every path seems doomed, and you can't imagine a solution that will work. Pessimism is pervasive, even becoming depression. In this case the second idea comes in, which is based on a philosophy I have long believed in, of being faithful to oneself. Try to think of yourself not as a person living in a moment of time, but as a being who spans an entire lifetime. Give credit to the person you were in the past. Think of his goals as well as your own, and try to honor both of them. Remember how you felt when you were young, and even if you don't feel that way now, try to act in a manner which respects those feelings. As you feel the pessimism of age encroaching, understand that this is not necessarily a matter of wisdom and experience. It can be hormones and neuroanatomy. Your brain is changing, your body is changing. Don't assume that your beliefs now are necessarily more valid than your old ones. The idea, then, is to try to hold to a sliver of optimism, even if you don't believe it in your gut, or in your hormones. Fight your tendencies to cynicism. Admire the optimism and energy of youth rather than pity it. Give support where you can, and avoid being an obstacle to those who are moving forward. So there you have it, Extropianism for the Elderly. I'm not quite there yet, but most of us will face these issues eventually. Give some thought to how you want to age, and realize that your own mental habits today are putting you on a path which may be much more ingrained a few decades from now. Hal From mlorrey at yahoo.com Wed Dec 3 18:45:38 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 10:45:38 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Who Anticipated Internet Exploding in 90s? In-Reply-To: <3FCE09F5.2010709@pobox.com> Message-ID: <20031203184538.19106.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> Heinlein in his novel "Friday" envisioned a worldwide hyperlinked information network as a research tool for private intelligence agencies. Vinge's story "True Names" envisioned an online metaverse that even those on welfare could access with inexpensive equipment while others with more expensive bandwidth and processor capabilities exerted great power to engage in MIP-sucking as well as DoS and other attacks. --- "Eliezer S. Yudkowsky" wrote: > Eric Drexler in "Engines of Creation" went on at some length about > the > importance of hypertext; this anticipates the Web, I suppose, and > actually > helped build the Web, historically speaking; but not the Net. > > -- > Eliezer S. Yudkowsky http://singinst.org/ > Research Fellow, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From avantguardian2020 at yahoo.com Wed Dec 3 19:31:36 2003 From: avantguardian2020 at yahoo.com (The Avantguardian) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 11:31:36 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Planck life and `thought bubbles' In-Reply-To: <001801c3b9cc$f4f6fc80$d5994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <20031203193136.51729.qmail@web60506.mail.yahoo.com> Damien Broderick wrote: Physics Nobelist Brian Josephson in fine form: http://arxiv.org/html/physics/0312012 _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat Thanks for the link, Damien. It is truly comforting when one finds a great mind that independantly validate one's own thoughts on a matter. Cheers, The Avantguardian "He stands like some sort of pagan god or deposed tyrant. Staring out over the city he's sworn to . . .to stare out over and it's evident just by looking at him that he's got some pretty heavy things on his mind." --------------------------------- Do you Yahoo!? Protect your identity with Yahoo! Mail AddressGuard -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk Wed Dec 3 19:35:37 2003 From: bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk (BillK) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 19:35:37 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Who Anticipated Internet Exploding in 90s? Message-ID: <3FCE3B09.6070506@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> On Wed Dec 03, 2003 03:57 am Charlie Stross wrote: > Surely "True Names" by Vernor Vinge counts? He had the net as a > ubiquitous service, certainly, and that was published in 1980. > Right on the mark. Quote: For historians of cyberculture, science fiction author Vernor Vinge enjoys unimpeachable street cred. Three years before William Gibson dazzled the SF world with "Neuromancer," Vinge captured the essence of the online reality to come in his eerily prescient novella "True Names", published in 1981." "True Names" today reads more like a piece of reportage than speculative science fiction. William Gibson may get all the glory for defining the word "cyberspace," but Vinge actually nailed the details. "True Names" includes online gathering places identical to the MUDs (multi-user domains) that became the online rage in the late '80s. Its protagonists guard their real names from the National Security Agency and other hackers with cryptographic safeguards, just like today's cryptopunks. And they live solely to log on -- the pathology of today's Internet addiction is all-too-familiar in "True Names." Any prediction about the world filled with computers talking to each is likely to be later than the invention of personal computers themselves. (approx 1975-1980). When the founders started working on linking computers in the 1960s, they were talking about linking mainframes via time-share terminals. BillK From sentience at pobox.com Wed Dec 3 19:46:11 2003 From: sentience at pobox.com (Eliezer S. Yudkowsky) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 14:46:11 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age In-Reply-To: <20031203172733.GL1229@leitl.org> References: <008901c3b9b7$f996f700$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> <3FCE1923.6030805@pobox.com> <20031203172733.GL1229@leitl.org> Message-ID: <3FCE3D83.7040607@pobox.com> Eugen Leitl wrote: > On Wed, Dec 03, 2003 at 12:10:59PM -0500, Eliezer S. Yudkowsky wrote: > >>I wish I knew what I was doing right that everyone else seems to be doing >>so wrong. The problem is that trying to follow my lead doesn't seem to > > Ur, do you realize how this sounds? If it doesn't sound bloody fed up, then I phrased it wrong. I am not running out of exciting ideas. I am not running out of new ideas. I am not sitting on my hands doing nothing. I am not an optimist. I am still learning the basics in various fields of study with which I was previously unacquainted. So what are y'all doing wrong? >>help people, either - or helps only insofar as they are moved to study >>tractable interesting subjects. > > I'm not sure you're using your resources very wisely. > AI is a high risk/high tradeoff field, but an academic and/or > industrial career would have provided you far more leverage > than you currently have. Eugen, an academic and/or industrial career, though it would indeed be easier than what I am doing now, will not prevent the coming train crash, and is therefore ruled out. Perhaps the problem is that y'all see what you should be doing, then back off and do something easier instead. > By now I'm 99% certain that a sustainably visible online > persona is incompatible with getting things done. I'd be out of > here long ago if I wasn't so hooked. I shall probably come to a similar conclusion in the not too distant future. -- Eliezer S. Yudkowsky http://singinst.org/ Research Fellow, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence From natashavita at earthlink.net Wed Dec 3 20:01:48 2003 From: natashavita at earthlink.net (natashavita at earthlink.net) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 15:01:48 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Who Anticipated Internet Exploding in 90s? Message-ID: <410-22003123320148428@M2W075.mail2web.com> Robin, I discussed the inceptive, imaginations/conceptions of the Internet with John Perry Barlow today and and he told me: "The first prediction I can think of is this: 'Is it a fact - or have I dreamt it - that, by means of electricity, the world of matter has become a great nerve, vibrating thousands of miles in a breathless point of time? Rather, the round globe is a vast head, a brain, instinct with intelligence!' That, believe it or not, was Nathanial Hawthorne, from the invocation of The House of Seven Gables. Then there was Pierre Teilhard de Chardin, who predicted, back in the 50's. that evolution would next create a new layer based on global consciousness. Also, there was J.C.R. Licklider who was in charge of DARPA when the Internet was first conceived. My vote goes to Hawthorne, however." Natasha -------------------------------------------------------------------- mail2web - Check your email from the web at http://mail2web.com/ . From barbara_lamar at earthlink.net Wed Dec 3 19:31:30 2003 From: barbara_lamar at earthlink.net (Barbara Lamar) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 13:31:30 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age In-Reply-To: <00c501c3b9c4$217e4dc0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <00ad01c3b9d4$0ec8c5b0$1301010a@Barbara> > -----Original Message----- > From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org > [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org]On Behalf Of Harvey > Newstrom > Sent: Wednesday, December 03, 2003 11:37 AM > To: 'ExI chat list' > Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age > > > Eliezer S. Yudkowsky wrote, > > I wish I knew what I was doing right that everyone else seems > > to be doing so wrong. The problem is that trying to follow > > my lead doesn't seem to > help people, either - or helps only > > insofar as they are moved to study tractable interesting subjects. > > You're young and naive. Wait until you are middle-aged, > pot-bellied and > balding, and there is still no singularity or general AI. > How will you feel > then? Boredom vs. excitement isn't a matter of chronological age. I know people who think they've seen and done it all by the age of 30 and others who still find life exhilarating in their 90's (I've never known anyone older than this, but I'd guess that such people would still be going strong in their 100's). The people who never get bored are those who continue to be curious and open to new learning into adulthood. Most people seem to close down after they grow up, and although they have pleasant moments from time to time, life is no longer exciting for them. Curious people never grow mentally old, always find life fresh and interesting. The people who retain curiosity aren't just curious about major things such as the meaning of life and making their next million bucks and the nature of the universe. They're interested in seemingly trivial things as well, such as what's around the next corner when they're walking, and how a mechanical vegetable peeler works, and which kind of plants grows in cracks in the sidewalk. People have an abundance of curiosity when they're babies and small children. Most of them lose it by the time they're 30. Those who retain it past that age seem to keep it forever, or until their bodies completely give out on them, and it makes all the difference in the way they approach life. Eliezer comments that following his lead doesn't seem to help people. Maybe curious people are not followers. I almost wrote that curiosity can't be taught, but I'm not sure about this. It's fun to imagine what the world would be like if someone found a way to teach curiosity, or to reactivate whatever neural processes make children curious in the first place. If a curiosity training course or treatment were offered for sale, I wonder how many people would want to buy it. Barbara From barbara_lamar at earthlink.net Wed Dec 3 19:37:39 2003 From: barbara_lamar at earthlink.net (Barbara Lamar) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 13:37:39 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age In-Reply-To: <008901c3b9b7$f996f700$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <00b001c3b9d4$e9d26170$1301010a@Barbara> > -----Original Message----- > From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org > [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org]On Behalf Of Harvey > Newstrom > Sent: Wednesday, December 03, 2003 10:11 AM > To: 'ExI chat list' > Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age > I also just realized that I am a professional pessimist. As a lawyer, I am too. Always raining of people's parades, pointing out all the potential disasters. I've found that my work is much more fun and interesting if I go beyond this and help people think of ways to overcome or go around the obstacles. Sometimes this means scrapping what the client thought was her goal, and identifying a more basic or ultimate goal that doesn't suffer from the weaknesses of the original plan. Barbara From amara at amara.com Wed Dec 3 19:17:26 2003 From: amara at amara.com (Amara Graps) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 21:17:26 +0200 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age Message-ID: Eugen* Leitl: >On Wed, Dec 03, 2003 at 03:06:58PM +0100, Max M wrote: >> Oh yeah, that is so true. I can allready feel it myself at the tender >> age of 38. I have allways been an "extreme" techie. But computers are >> getting more and more boring every day. Solving the same old problems in >> slightly different ways. >Me three, at 37. Not me, I suppose (42). I'm mostly exhausted this year from working to make basic living expenses and dealing with the Italian bureaucracy and getting past a painful emotional situation that occurred upon arrival earlier this year. Usually I have too many interests for my time, and don't suffer that kind of burnout. I had a burnout after my PhD, but that's normal. Interests came back in time, I think. Visiting volcanoes and bike trips helped me with that. >I'm quite interested to discuss personal plans (job, financial, >relocation) with other european transhumanists, as most of EU >is basically in the same situation. Suggestion: Don't move to Italy. The pay sucks as you probably know (half the salary of other scientists in Europe). I didn't move here for the salary, I moved to Italy for my passion, but I didn't honestly expect the money situation to to be so bad. In addition, science is not recognized by this government in general, and foreign scientists have a particularly tough time of it. This week, I read that there is a new law in discussion in the Italian parliament for giving immigrants a large number of rights for voting and representation in their communities, among other things. Sounded good. The only requirement is a valid permit-of-stay, and so I choked in my coffee. Why is that? If you walk into a Questura (police) today, you will likely find a long queue of foreigners filing permit-of-stay papers or, more likely, waiting for the permit-of-stay papers that they filed months ago. You are illegal to live in Italy without a permit-of-stay. If you have the little receipt that the Questura gives you that indicates that they are processing your papers (by law, they are supposed to do it in 20 days), then, if you travel outside of Italy, you are not legal when you return, and they could throw you out, jail you, whatever. Last week when I stood in the queue for the renewal for my permit-of-stay, I saw one of my scientist friends from the INFN (National Lab for Nuclear Physics). We had a nice chat, he is Japanese, and needs a permit-of-stay (all nonEu require one). He has been waiting for his for 11 months. To explain where some of my exhaustion is coming from, when dealing with the Italian government: An example: You walk into the police department to get an approval for your new address for some other official papers and you walk out with a 16 step form with basically impossible steps to complete. Tomorrow the instructions will be different, of course. And if you walk into that same office with an Italian, it's a one or two step process. Simplice. I don't have Italians to walk into bureaucrats office with me most of the time, though, the public administrator or police look at me muttering 'stupid foreigner' or some such thing and give me the strictest interpretation of the law. There are an infinite number of interpretations for each law in Italy. The police, in particular, treat foreigners all like criminals, and you have to deal with them, otherwise you are not legal to live here. 99.9% of Italians don't know what it is like for foreigners ('extracommunitari' or nonEU). When I tell Italians what I have to do, they usually say 'you are so unlucky', but I know it is not one unlucky event. My folder of official documents for living and working in Italy is almost two inches thick now. Every bureaucratic office works in similar ways towards foreigners. In approximately two weeks, I become illegal. My permit-of-stay expires. Oh yes, I filled out the paperwork (with about 12 pieces of documentation of different kinds for verification), for a renewal (one would think that a *renewal* would be a simple process, but no) and gave it to the Questura, but they say that it won't be ready for about 5 months. Which means probably 8 or 9 months. I know all of this because last year I went through the same thing. I gave them a very large stack of papers for my original permit-of-stay, then got 'fingerprinted' (actually fingerprinted, handprinted, palmprinted, two sets of each). They told me that it would take a couple of months to process it. It didn't, it took five, and so I had to cancel two important business trips in the Spring because my boss didn't want me to be illegal working here. It's not trivial to miss my trips: I am involved with three spacecraft missions: one will be launched in February, another one is in the building phase and will be launched in about one year, and another spacecraft arrives at its destination next summer, so not being able to travel had an impact. More importantly, I could not be with my mother when she had her lung cancer surgery in March. I didn't have a phone until September, so I could not have even a good phone conversation with her. My mobile from my town always blinks out with the bad em field and I could only get fragments of her words and she was crying at that time. In October, when I finally got to travel to see her, I learned that her heart had stopped three times immediately after the operation, and the doctors didn't understand her situation and were making it worse. I told myself that I would never let an idiot government put me in such a terrible situation again, that is, not being able to be with my family in an emergency, and, now, it looks like a potential problem all over again. Except that I am so disgusted with the Italian government, that I honestly don't care, anymore, and I decided that I will travel anyway. I have a stack of other kinds of official papers that prove my residence, my work in Italy, I pay taxes, I have an Italian identity card, blah blah blah, and so I will just carry that stack of papers with me when I travel, for as long as it takes. I'll begin to use my Latvian passport instead of my US passport when Latvia becomes part of the EU in May, so that will help me here alot. Other than the pay and the bureaucratic garbage, the quality of life in Italy is actually very high. Living in my neighborhood, and building my friendships is alot like living in a very large and warm family. >> On the other side, I find quality in my life increasingly important, and >> there are many examples of people living good lives at a high age. >Absolutely. Agree too. My dad is one of my best examples for that. Amara -- ******************************************************************** Amara Graps, PhD email: amara at amara.com Computational Physics vita: ftp://ftp.amara.com/pub/resume.txt Multiplex Answers URL: http://www.amara.com/ ******************************************************************** "The best presents don't come in boxes." --Hobbes From thespike at earthlink.net Wed Dec 3 20:27:19 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 14:27:19 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Who Anticipated Internet Exploding in 90s? References: <410-22003123320148428@M2W075.mail2web.com> Message-ID: <009601c3b9db$dd37bda0$d5994a43@texas.net> John Perry Barlow sez: > > "The first prediction I can think of is this: > > 'Is it a fact - or have I dreamt it - that, by means of electricity, > the world of matter has become a great nerve, vibrating thousands of > miles in a breathless point of time? Rather, the round globe is a > vast head, a brain, instinct with intelligence!' > > That, believe it or not, was Nathanial Hawthorne, from the invocation > of The House of Seven Gables. Nathaniel. His character was talking, of course, about the telegraph, and in the context of spiritualism: ===== Chapter 17: "Within the lifetime of the child already born," Clifford went on, "all this will be done away. The world is growing too ethereal and spiritual to bear these enormities a great while longer. To me, though, for a considerable period of time, I have lived chiefly in retirement, and know less of such things than most men,--even to me, the harbingers of a better era are unmistakable. Mesmerism, now! Will that effect nothing, think you, towards purging away the grossness out of human life?" "All a humbug!" growled the old gentleman. "These rapping spirits, that little Phoebe told us of, the other day," said Clifford,--"what are these but the messengers of the spiritual world, knocking at the door of substance? And it shall be flung wide open!" "A humbug, again!" cried the old gentleman, growing more and more testy at these glimpses of Clifford's metaphysics. "I should like to rap with a good stick on the empty pates of the dolts who circulate such nonsense!" "Then there is electricity,--the demon, the angel, the mighty physical power, the all-pervading intelligence!" exclaimed Clifford. "Is that a humbug, too? Is it a fact--or have I dreamt it--that, by means of electricity, the world of matter has become a great nerve, vibrating thousands of miles in a breathless point of time? Rather, the round globe is a vast head, a brain, instinct with intelligence! Or, shall we say, it is itself a thought, nothing but thought, and no longer the substance which we deemed it!" "If you mean the telegraph," said the old gentleman, glancing his eye toward its wire, alongside the rail-track, "it is an excellent thing,--that is, of course, if the speculators in cotton and politics don't get possession of it. A great thing, indeed, sir, particularly as regards the detection of bank-robbers and murderers." "I don't quite like it, in that point of view," replied Clifford. "A bank-robber, and what you call a murderer, likewise, has his rights, which men of enlightened humanity and conscience should regard in so much the more liberal spirit, because the bulk of society is prone to controvert their existence. An almost spiritual medium, like the electric telegraph, should be consecrated to high, deep, joyful, and holy missions. Lovers, day by, day--hour by hour, if so often moved to do it,--might send their heart-throbs from Maine to Florida, with some such words as these `I love you forever!' --`My heart runs over with love!'--`I love you more than I can!' and, again, at the next message 'I have lived an hour longer, and love you twice as much!' Or, when a good man has departed, his distant friend should be conscious of an electric thrill, as from the world of happy spirits, telling him 'Your dear friend is in bliss!' Or, to an absent husband, should come tidings thus `An immortal being, of whom you are the father, has this moment come from God!' and immediately its little voice would seem to have reached so far, and to be echoing in his heart. But for these poor rogues, the bank-robbers,--who, after all, are about as honest as nine people in ten, except that they disregard certain formalities, and prefer to transact business at midnight rather than 'Change-hours, --and for these murderers, as you phrase it, who are often excusable in the motives of their deed, and deserve to be ranked among public benefactors, if we consider only its result,--for unfortunate individuals like these, I really cannot applaud the enlistment of an immaterial and miraculous power in the universal world-hunt at their heels!" ========== I'm with the the old gentleman. :) But Hawthorne might have been the first to predict porn spam, although it's possible that he got the tone just a little bit wrong: < An almost spiritual medium, like the electric telegraph, should be consecrated to high, deep, joyful, and holy missions. Lovers, day by, day--hour by hour, if so often moved to do it,--might send their heart-throbs from Maine to Florida, with some such words as these `I love you forever!' --`My heart runs over with love!' > Damien Broderick From wingcat at pacbell.net Wed Dec 3 20:27:11 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 12:27:11 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age In-Reply-To: <3FCE3D83.7040607@pobox.com> Message-ID: <20031203202711.80289.qmail@web80408.mail.yahoo.com> --- "Eliezer S. Yudkowsky" wrote: > Eugen Leitl wrote: > > On Wed, Dec 03, 2003 at 12:10:59PM -0500, Eliezer > S. Yudkowsky wrote: > >>I wish I knew what I was doing right that everyone > else seems to be doing > >>so wrong. The problem is that trying to follow my > lead doesn't seem to > > > > Ur, do you realize how this sounds? > > If it doesn't sound bloody fed up, then I phrased it > wrong. > > I am not running out of exciting ideas. > I am not running out of new ideas. > I am not sitting on my hands doing nothing. > I am not an optimist. > I am still learning the basics in various fields of > study with which I was > previously unacquainted. > > So what are y'all doing wrong? If it helps - so far as those five statements go, I'm the same except I am an optimist. And I, too, get frustrated with many peoples' reluctance to do new things, even when the necessity of the new things has been demonstrated, merely because they are new. I find it likely that all human beings (barring the brain damaged) are physically capable of learning new things. The fear of the new just because it is new, along with the fear of math and science, seem like phobias learned (socialized) well after birth (but usually before or during puberty), which just happen to be common in modern society. > >>help people, either - or helps only insofar as > they are moved to study > >>tractable interesting subjects. > > > > I'm not sure you're using your resources very > wisely. > > AI is a high risk/high tradeoff field, but an > academic and/or > > industrial career would have provided you far more > leverage > > than you currently have. > > Eugen, an academic and/or industrial career, though > it would indeed be > easier than what I am doing now, will not prevent > the coming train crash, > and is therefore ruled out. Perhaps the problem is > that y'all see what > you should be doing, then back off and do something > easier instead. Same thing here - except, the way I see it, I *want* the "train crash" to happen. Except slightly differently: I want it to happen in a way that will help everyone, not wind up with all of humanity deleted overnight. So, I try to introduce things that will ameliorate the sudden effects, or try to get people familiar with the tools they'll need to ensure their own prosperity before they need 'em. (For instance, one of the reasons for my patent: experiments in malleable matter. If the avearge person, not just a few well-educated folk, has internalized the concept of near-absolute control over their surroundings, an AI using that tool won't panic 'em as much.) Granted, my current day job does not allow me to pursue this. But at least I am actively attempting to rectify that situation - and my present setup ensures that I will be in a position to try again in several months if my current efforts do not allow me to switch by then, even if having a separate day job means less time to put towards the efforts, resulting in a lower chance of immediate success. (I don't care so much about where I'll be tomorrow, as where I'll be in 10 years. But I do realize that the 10 year path I wish to follow requires that I eat tomorrow, and today.) > > By now I'm 99% certain that a sustainably visible > online > > persona is incompatible with getting things done. > I'd be out of > > here long ago if I wasn't so hooked. > > I shall probably come to a similar conclusion in the > not too distant future. Define "sustainably visible online persona". Where above I was mostly the same way, here I depart: I use this list as a tool - a source of inspiration, a chance to discuss (and see the flaws and hidden benefits of) far-out ideas (though I tend to stick to the ones I might see in the near future), and so forth. As such, my presence varies: although I have not measured this myself, I'm told that, in some months, I'm one of the more prolific posters; other months, I'm absent. From scerir at libero.it Wed Dec 3 20:38:06 2003 From: scerir at libero.it (scerir) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 21:38:06 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Planck life and `thought bubbles' References: <3FCDE00E.9050506@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk><5.1.0.14.2.20031203114551.05beab00@mail.earthlink.net> <001801c3b9cc$f4f6fc80$d5994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <004501c3b9dd$5bc2a620$00b51b97@administxl09yj> "The problem any such analysis has to face is that of explaining how it is that, if such a mechanism for ESP or other paranormal processes exists, these processes manifest themselves only in very specific ways, and in ways that are not readily controllable." - Brian D. Josephson (therein) W. Pauli and N. Bohr were both, and independently, very close to elaborate concepts like those by Josephson (see "N. Bohr - Collected Works", vol. 10, Bohr - Pauli correspondence, circa 1955) and maybe something more 'polished'. Not to mention here Wigner, London and Bauer, etc. For something much more orthodox see the quotation below, very technical, and very clean too. "In an experiment the [quantum] state reflects not what is actually known about the system, but rather what is knowable, in principle, with the help of auxiliary measurements that do not disturb the original experiment. By focusing on what is knowable in principle, and treating what is known as largely irrelevant, one completely avoids the anthropomorphism and any reference to consciousness that some physicists have tried to inject into quantum mechanics." - Leonard Mandel (Rev. Mod. Phys., 1999, p. S-274) But going back to that Josephson's quotation, he speaks of "processes [which] manifest themselves only in very specific ways, and in ways that are not readily controllable." This is, perhaps, the point. But, look, it is a 'standard' point in quantum physics. Behind the curtain, W. Pauli wrote: "Quite independently of Einstein, it appears to me that, in providing a systematic foundation for quantum mechanics, one should start more from the composition and separation of systems than has until now (with Dirac, e.g.) been the case. - This is indeed - as Einstein has correctly felt - a very fundamental point in quantum mechanics, which has, moreover, a direct connection with your reflections about the cut and the possibility of its being shifted to an arbitrary place." (W. Pauli, in a letter to W. Heisenberg, just after the EPR paper has been published). Composition and separation of systems, hmmm. Conceptual issue indeed. This has something to do with Von Neumann who, speaking of quantum mechanical problems, wrote: "I WOULD LIKE TO MAKE A CONFESSION WHICH MAY SEEM IMMORAL: I DO NOT BELIEVE IN HILBERT SPACE ANYMORE." in G.D. Birkhoff, Proceedings of Symposia in Pure Mathematics, Vol. 2, p. 158, (Ed. R.P. Dilworth), American Mathematical Society, Rhode Island, 1961. But, also, i.e., there is another simple, old, and famous problem. The Young's interference effect, the double slit. Wheeler (with his delayed choice gedanken exp.) and Zurek & Wootters tried many times to break the wall here. The question is: is there an "uncontrollable" retrocausation? We know that the two-slit (also the single slit) is just an apparatus capable of measuring the positions of photons passing through it. Thus it is an apparatus capable of (Heisenberg's principle here) scattering those photons (which means: spreading momentum of photons) in a forward directions, and producing the well known interference pattern on the screen. The interference is produced by the the probability function ||^2, where p is momentum of each photon. We also know (Copenhagen Interpretation, chapter: Complementasrity Principle; Feynman's discussion; etc.) that the interference pattern disappears when the path of each photon (say through slit one, or trough slit two) becomes distinguishable. As Anton Zeilinger writes (Rev. Mod. Phys., 1999, page S-288) "The superposition of amplitudes is only valid if there is no way to know, even in principle, which path the particle took. It is important to realize that this does not imply that an observer actually takes note of what happens. It is sufficient to destroy the interference pattern, if the path information is accessible in principle from the experiment or even if it is dispersed in the environment and beyond any technical possibility to be recovered, but in principle "still out there". Now, imagine we have a Damien's screen, which 'feels' the path of each photon (say through slit one, or through slit two). Impossible? Well, not so impossible. But let us skip this 'material' point, for the moment. So, if we substitute, in the two-slit apparatus, that Damien's screen for the usual screen, after those photons have already passed through the slit(s), the interference pattern must vanish. (If the above principle by Bohr, Feynman, Zeilinger, etc. is ok). Now, what does it mean? What does it mean in terms of the quantum theoretical description? Interference means a certain kind of scattering, specifically it means that the interference is produced by the the probability function ||^2, where p is momentum of each photon. No interference means a different kind of scattering, specifically it means that the interference is produced by a probability function ||^2 which lost the interference term. Ok? Ok. Let us go on. If we set the usual screen we get interference (pattern). If we set the Damien's screen we get no interference (pattern). But how the interference was created? By the scattering. Thus by the position measurement performed at the two-slit level. Thus: at the two-slit. If we substitute the Damien's screen for the usual screen (after the photons passed the two-slit) we change the scattering, which happened at the two-slit, that is to say: in a different place, and at an earlier time. Retrocausation? Who knows? Anyway not much different from those para-psycho-effects, and from those bubble-models. From wingcat at pacbell.net Wed Dec 3 20:40:08 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 12:40:08 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age In-Reply-To: <00ad01c3b9d4$0ec8c5b0$1301010a@Barbara> Message-ID: <20031203204008.49499.qmail@web80401.mail.yahoo.com> --- Barbara Lamar wrote: > It's fun to imagine what the world would be like if > someone found a way to > teach curiosity You mean similar to monks (Christian, Buddhist, Shaolin, et cetera), but instead of contemplating spirituality, encouraging insight into and exploration (both physical and metaphorical) of the world so as to discover its true properties? Monastaries were where most science (at least, what we'd recognize today as science) was done in medeval times. > If a curiosity training > course or treatment were > offered for sale, I wonder how many people would > want to buy it. It'd probably depend on how it was marketed. "Hey, you, got those seen-it-all, I'm-70-and-waiting-to-rot blues? Come on down to Uncle Zen's Curiosity Meditations! Shake off your I-don't-wannas, and rediscover the joys of learning and doing new things! Amaze your friends by understanding what those young whippersnappers are up to, or maybe even amaze those young whippersnappers by doing it better than they can! Clinically proven to improve general health and add years to one's life expectancy in most cases." Or what if it were offered for free, a la MIT's Open CourseWare program? From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Wed Dec 3 20:39:14 2003 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (kevinfreels at hotmail.com) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 14:39:14 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] More on the Glofish: When Fish Fluoresce, Can Teenagers Be Far Behind? References: <20031203184002.83995.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: >There are actually federal laws prohibiting intentionally > making yourself medically unfit for military service. Ostensibly it is > an act of sabotage that aids and abets the enemy. THAT is interesting! I had no idea. How would this law effect people who wanted to upload at an early age? Hmmm. Something to ponder......... From eugen at leitl.org Wed Dec 3 20:44:23 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 21:44:23 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age In-Reply-To: <3FCE3D83.7040607@pobox.com> References: <008901c3b9b7$f996f700$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> <3FCE1923.6030805@pobox.com> <20031203172733.GL1229@leitl.org> <3FCE3D83.7040607@pobox.com> Message-ID: <20031203204423.GR1229@leitl.org> On Wed, Dec 03, 2003 at 02:46:11PM -0500, Eliezer S. Yudkowsky wrote: > If it doesn't sound bloody fed up, then I phrased it wrong. > > I am not running out of exciting ideas. > I am not running out of new ideas. > I am not sitting on my hands doing nothing. > I am not an optimist. > I am still learning the basics in various fields of study with which I was > previously unacquainted. Good. Unless you want to start your own company, I suggest you get credits for this, though. > So what are y'all doing wrong? Damien got it all in one sentence. We're aging ahead of you. > >>help people, either - or helps only insofar as they are moved to study > >>tractable interesting subjects. > > > >I'm not sure you're using your resources very wisely. > >AI is a high risk/high tradeoff field, but an academic and/or > >industrial career would have provided you far more leverage > >than you currently have. > > Eugen, an academic and/or industrial career, though it would indeed be > easier than what I am doing now, will not prevent the coming train crash, You could be an assistant prof, getting a modest salary, working on what you're working now but for small interruptions due to teaching duties, have access to good resources and computing infrastructure, having several publications and letters before your name (which, strangely enough, people tend to notice, resulting in greater credibility) and would directly interact with bright young people. Giving them ideas, you know. There are worse fates than that, yes. > and is therefore ruled out. Perhaps the problem is that y'all see what > you should be doing, then back off and do something easier instead. As to coming train crash: Not everybody is sharing your sense of urgency, because not everybody is sharing the same threat model. Even less the proposed countermeasure. I agree I personally should have been doing something else: nanotechnology. I blew it by virtue of goofing off on the Internet, and not working hard enough during critical years. You don't have to make a similiar mistake, though. Projects have teams, have budgets. It's virtually impossible to get money by sheer persuasion, without an accomplishment track in your back. You might think it's a sidetrack, but let's see whether you still think that a decade downstream. > >By now I'm 99% certain that a sustainably visible online > >persona is incompatible with getting things done. I'd be out of > >here long ago if I wasn't so hooked. > > I shall probably come to a similar conclusion in the not too distant future. Very good. This stuff can eat up whole careers. Evil. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From test at demedici.ssec.wisc.edu Wed Dec 3 21:14:49 2003 From: test at demedici.ssec.wisc.edu (Bill Hibbard) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 15:14:49 -0600 (CST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: Boredom in old age In-Reply-To: <200312031815.hB3IFOH28638@tick.javien.com> Message-ID: Harvey Newstrom wrote: > > However, I think the enthusiasm of youth is automatic because things are new > and different. Transhumanism used to be new and different. But after being > on these lists for over a decade, there aren't very many new ideas going > around. Older people also feel like they are running out of time. Ten > years ago, people were predicting the singularity, moon bases and > immortality in a decade or two. Now that we are half way there, the goals > don't seem any closer, yet time is running out. There is Donald Norman's great quote that people tend to overestimate the short-term progress of technological change and underestimate the long-term effects. We need to work hard and be patient, but the rewards will exceed our expectations. The same comment applies to your pessimism. If you look at short-term events in the world it is easy to think its all screwed up (it is). But compare the present to the distant past and its much better now. I'm 55. It is true that my enthusiasm isn't aroused as easily it once was, but now its more focused on the things that really matter. Some of these are purely personal (health and happiness of family) but also for example the singularity. I don't expect it within the next 40 years and hence probably not within my lifetime, but I am very hopeful of living to see amazing progress in neuroscience and AI research. Also, I am working hard to live healthy and long, so I can live to see as much as possible. My role model is Verner Suomi, who literally invented weather satellites (everyone who watches satellite animations on TV weather shows uses his invention). I went to work for him in 1978. When he died at about age 85 in 1995 he had employees in his hospital room working on a radically new kind of ocean buoy for measuring sea surface heat flux. He made the lives of everyone around him better. Cheers, Bill ---------------------------------------------------------- Bill Hibbard, SSEC, 1225 W. Dayton St., Madison, WI 53706 test at demedici.ssec.wisc.edu 608-263-4427 fax: 608-263-6738 http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~billh/vis.html From bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk Wed Dec 3 21:34:23 2003 From: bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk (BillK) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 21:34:23 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age Message-ID: <3FCE56DF.1070309@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> On Wed Dec 03, 2003 01:44 pm Eugen Leitl wrote: > Very good. This stuff can eat up whole careers. Evil. > Well, the over 65s seem to be the fastest-growing segment of the Internet population at present. (Probably catching-up with all the younger age groups already on the Net). And they have time to play here with no career pressures to tell them otherwise. The present necessity to earn a living and build a career is obviously a strong behavior modifier for younger people. But that (in general) doesn't apply to retired people with a pension. When we have advanced life-extension science, can we expect that the necessity to earn a living will go away? If the nano-Santa, or Singularity-Santa, provides an income for everyone, how will the human race spend the following centuries? The problem I am concerned with is that the very fact of experiencing life seems to change people over the years. The search for something new seems to run out of steam after 50 or 60 years for most people. How many centuries can you play golf for? Immortals will need different objectives. BillK From extropy at unreasonable.com Wed Dec 3 22:17:42 2003 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 17:17:42 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Who Anticipated Internet Exploding in 90s? In-Reply-To: References: <002701c3b961$64673ec0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031203111126.02b06008@mail.comcast.net> At 08:44 AM 12/3/2003 +0100, Giu1i0 Pri5c0 wrote: >I did. In 1990 I was playing with the idea to start a net access business >for individual end users, and even found someone who was maybe willing to >invest some money. Then I let them talking me out of the idea, "this is too >crazy, there will never be a market for this". Now when I wish to do some >sweet daydreaming I think of what I would do with all the money that I would >have now if I had followed my idea to the end. >Two lessons here: 1 - believe in your ideas - 2 - get your ass off the >armchair and do it. Those are both great maxims but timing is everything. My father had quite a few billion-dollar inventions -- like high-speed modems, many-focal-point lenses, fax machines, and very-high-resolution automated typography -- decades before they eventually boomed. He was too far ahead, and he couldn't convince anyone with money. It's not always profitable being a prophet. I've learned consequently to focus my commercial ideas on a couple years out: near enough that you can have a product ready to go just as people realize they want it. -- David Lubkin. From extropy at unreasonable.com Wed Dec 3 22:52:27 2003 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 17:52:27 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031203173205.032660f8@mail.comcast.net> Amara wrote: >I told myself that I would never let an idiot government put me in such a >terrible situation again, that is, not being able to be with my family in >an emergency, and, now, it looks like a potential problem all over again. >Except that I am so disgusted with the Italian government, that I honestly >don't care, anymore, and I decided that I will travel anyway. It sounds like a very trying period. I'm sure everyone joins me in hoping matters work out well for you, your mother, and your family. Amara's story reminds me of the idiocies I experienced living in socialist Israel as a teenager. I've often wondered whether my love of liberty comes more from having it curtailed by bureaucracies or by my autocratic father. Would others speak to where their libertarian fervor came from? -- David Lubkin. From wingcat at pacbell.net Thu Dec 4 00:38:56 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 16:38:56 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Nanogen's new patents in nanotech and nanomanufacturing In-Reply-To: <5.1.0.14.2.20031203122201.06059b40@mail.earthlink.net> Message-ID: <20031204003856.87202.qmail@web80405.mail.yahoo.com> --- Max More wrote: > Nanogen shares soar on patent > Newly issued patent broadens its proprietary > position in nanotechnology and > nanomanufacturing areas. > December 3, 2003: 11:30 AM EST > > NEW YORK (Reuters) - Shares of Nanogen Inc. jumped > more than 50 percent > Wednesday after the company said it received a U.S. > patent related to the > fledgling field of nanotechnology and > nanomanufacturing. > > http://money.cnn.com/2003/12/03/technology/nanogen.reut/index.htm I nominate this story for the most nanoflash/least nanosubstance press release this month. (Yes, it is only the 3rd. It'll be hard to top.) From etheric at comcast.net Thu Dec 4 00:42:23 2003 From: etheric at comcast.net (R.Coyote) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 16:42:23 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age : libertarian fervor References: <5.1.0.14.2.20031203173205.032660f8@mail.comcast.net> Message-ID: <000801c3b9ff$7c3a4b20$0200a8c0@etheric> "Would others speak to where their libertarian fervor came from?" Self employment experiences A license for everything (permission to breathe) Right to travel "issues" FDA polices The drug war The push for safer working conditions for thugs The Religious right (wrong) All those plastic hairdo sociopaths in power Actually reading the Constitution and BOR Lysander Spooner Thomas Paine T.J. ----- Original Message ----- From: "David Lubkin" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Wednesday, December 03, 2003 2:52 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age > Amara wrote: > > >I told myself that I would never let an idiot government put me in such a > >terrible situation again, that is, not being able to be with my family in > >an emergency, and, now, it looks like a potential problem all over again. > >Except that I am so disgusted with the Italian government, that I honestly > >don't care, anymore, and I decided that I will travel anyway. > > It sounds like a very trying period. I'm sure everyone joins me in hoping > matters work out well for you, your mother, and your family. > > Amara's story reminds me of the idiocies I experienced living in socialist > Israel as a teenager. I've often wondered whether my love of liberty comes > more from having it curtailed by bureaucracies or by my autocratic father. > > Would others speak to where their libertarian fervor came from? > > > -- David Lubkin. > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From wingcat at pacbell.net Thu Dec 4 00:54:19 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 16:54:19 -0800 (PST) Subject: [ok] Re: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation In-Reply-To: <003901c3b9b4$f51323f0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031204005419.91841.qmail@web80405.mail.yahoo.com> --- Spike wrote: > > I mean fuel cell... stupid me :) > > > > De: "Henrique Moraes Machado" > > > Assunto: Re: [ok] Re: [extropy-chat] Communication > vs transportation: > > > > Well, I'm not thinking only about intercontinental > flights, > > but also our day-by-day transport, such as > automobiles. You > > can put a hybrid engine in your car, you can use > stem cells... > > No no Henrique, you have typoed into a brillian > idea: > stem cells for your car! You put them in the tank > and they replicate into any defective part. > > Repairing worn or ripped leather seats would be the > first application, since those started out as cells > anyway, but then as we get more advanced we could > have them fix leaks in the radiator, then worn > bearings, > then when we get really good, the electronics. I saw this in a game's backstory, some time ago. (Carrier Command. It's an interesting exercise in being many places at once - literally, thanks to the drone aircraft and tanks you pilot while operating the main carrier.) As they put it, the proper structure of the carrier and all it's components was encoded into each part of the ship. When damage deformed the components, local machinery tried to set things right, presumably using (and requesting) feedstock from the ship's central stores. From etheric at comcast.net Thu Dec 4 01:05:20 2003 From: etheric at comcast.net (R.Coyote) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 17:05:20 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age: pot belly References: <200312031840.hB3IeNn18771@finney.org> Message-ID: <001f01c3ba02$b09bb040$0200a8c0@etheric> " Extropianism for the Elderly" One of the tricks to enthusiasm is to refuse to succumb to pot belly, The negative somatic feedback from ones de-conditioned body has a profound effect on outlook, It's challenging to be an Eeyore when one is in top shape. Another thing I see is the lemming like volition to trade the illusion of security and amassing "stuff" for the liberty to mine the cafeteria of experiences life offers, nothing heals the soul quite as quickly as AIRPORT. "We have no Great War. No Great Depression. Our Great War is a spiritual war... our Great Depression is our lives. We've all been raised on television to believe that one day we'd all be millionaires, and movie gods, and rock stars. But we won't. And we're slowly learning that fact. And we're very, very pissed off." -TD Robert Trailerpark Transhumanist ----- Original Message ----- From: "Hal Finney" To: Sent: Wednesday, December 03, 2003 10:40 AM Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age > I remember when I was young and just getting started working, I noticed > there were different ways that older people approached their jobs, as well > as life itself. The more common attitude was a kind of bitter fatalism, > a sense of disappointment. Things were going badly and getting worse. > They were grumpy and unhappy, warning against mistakes but mostly being > ignored. > > Generally these were people who had not been all that succeessful, who > were doing the same work that they had done 20 years before. So it is > understandable that they might be bitter and unhappy. > > I also ran into a few old people who were quite different, who were > optimistic and energetic, full of ideas and enthusiasm. These were > mostly people who had been successful in their careers, who had advanced > to relatively important positions. Another group like this were older > college professors who were still active and pursuing their research. > > It is not easy to distinguish cause and effect here. Were people happy > or unhappy because of their success or lack of it? Or were their basic > approaches to problems influencing their career paths? > > As I get older, I can see how cynicism creeps in. I still have mostly > the same goals and the same basic belief that they are possible, but > more and more I perceive that much of the support for these projects is > based on unfounded optimism and sloppy thinking. I become impatient > with one-sided perspectives and want to see both the pro and the con > positions represented fairly. > > A case in point is the recent online nanotech debate, where the spin from > "our side" is that Drexler whipped Smalley's butt. I don't perceive it > that way at all. I thought Drexler was evasive and slippery, and from my > current perspective I see this as a persistent strategy. You can never > pin him down. Whenever someone claims that something won't work, he just > calls "strawman" and says if that doesn't work, we'll do it some other > way. But since he never comes out with a specific, concrete proposal, > he has a perfect defense. You can't critique what doesn't exist. > > I need to write up these thoughts in more detail, but here again I > find myself facing the same barriers which had defeated the older > engineers I observed as a youth. I know that it will be an enormous > battle, offering pessimism where everyone only wants to hear good news. > I doubt that it will do any good, because even the cautions of a Nobel > prize winner are ignored. And I question whether I have the energy to > engage in the kind of hard debate which would be necessary to give these > issues the kind of hearing that they deserve. > > Those old men I knew had given up. They were convinced that our > plans and projects would mostly fail, but they were unable to make > persuasive arguments. Too many times in the past they had tried and > failed, had gained reputations as naysayers, as not being team players. > These reputations had probably helped to mire them in their dead end jobs. > And by then they had nothing left but bitterness, pro forma objections, > and head-shaking predictions of doom. > > I don't think any of us wants to end up like that. I certainly don't, > and yet I feel myself creeping in that direction. What can we do about > it? > > I have a couple of ideas. The first, and simpler, is to try to couple > pessimism with optimism. This is basically the idea of what Max called > Dynamic Optimism. Dynamic optimism is realistic. It's not a matter of > wearing rose colored glasses. You see the problems, but you also try > to look at them as challenges rather than obstacles. Rather than just > opposing what won't work, figure out what will give the best shot at > working, and become a proponent of that alternative. This way you are, > in a sense, a leader rather than dead weight. Maybe nobody is following > you at the moment, but it is a crucial difference in perspective. > > But sometimes this approach is difficult. You have a situation where > every path seems doomed, and you can't imagine a solution that will work. > Pessimism is pervasive, even becoming depression. In this case the second > idea comes in, which is based on a philosophy I have long believed in, > of being faithful to oneself. Try to think of yourself not as a person > living in a moment of time, but as a being who spans an entire lifetime. > Give credit to the person you were in the past. Think of his goals as > well as your own, and try to honor both of them. Remember how you felt > when you were young, and even if you don't feel that way now, try to > act in a manner which respects those feelings. > > As you feel the pessimism of age encroaching, understand that this is > not necessarily a matter of wisdom and experience. It can be hormones > and neuroanatomy. Your brain is changing, your body is changing. > Don't assume that your beliefs now are necessarily more valid than your > old ones. > > The idea, then, is to try to hold to a sliver of optimism, even if you > don't believe it in your gut, or in your hormones. Fight your tendencies > to cynicism. Admire the optimism and energy of youth rather than pity it. > Give support where you can, and avoid being an obstacle to those who > are moving forward. > > So there you have it, Extropianism for the Elderly. I'm not quite > there yet, but most of us will face these issues eventually. Give some > thought to how you want to age, and realize that your own mental habits > today are putting you on a path which may be much more ingrained a few > decades from now. > > Hal > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From wingcat at pacbell.net Thu Dec 4 01:42:58 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 17:42:58 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles In-Reply-To: <20031203102437.GJ22120@leitl.org> Message-ID: <20031204014259.33435.qmail@web80411.mail.yahoo.com> --- Eugen Leitl wrote: > On Tue, Dec 02, 2003 at 03:48:42PM -0800, Adrian > Tymes wrote: > > Sorry, but MB is correct. I specified "control > over > > oneself" - as in, the opportunity to not grow old > and > > deterioriate, if desired. That is not illusiory > in > > We're talking very nicely in othogonal directions to > each other, but it's no problem, as we occasionally > do manage to connect sometimes. Agreed. > What I'm objecting is a belief > of having a control over your own mind by equivalent > of waving a dead chicken (Freud, Jung & Co). I have > similiar scathing opinion of AI people who think > philosophy and introspection will result in actual > application leads. Ah. Yes, I agree here, too. (I think that philosophy and introspection might possibly be able to aid the application leads...but result in it by themselves? No chance.) > > You are correct in what you did say: people who > > currently have withered bodies, or who believe > that > > the only path to old age is to wither, might not > want > > to live forever given what they think it must > mean. > > We've donned our Ministry of Propaganda hat here, > I presume. I'm disclaiming what I say to make sure the exact meaning gets across. This can take the air of propaganda at times, since propaganda can emphasize things that are literally true - and yet a slight misreading would result in something that is very much desired, whether or not it is actually true. Similar word patterns, different intents. > > But that is not what we are discussing. We are > > discussing the ability to live forever in > relatively > > Forever is a bit misleading. True, but close enough relative to the finite lifespans of today. > > (Frankly, it might be technically > more > > difficult to achieve immortality in a withered > shell > > than in a perpetually healthy shell, even if there > > was not the desirability issue. Were I to wither > at > > current rates, yet survive to 100, I might > seriously > > contemplate whether cryonic suspension might give > me a > > better chance of seeing the far future than > continued > > life.) > > You of course realize that the vast majority of > people > in the industrialized countries die demented. Not > much > left to suspend there, alas. Exactly. From fortean1 at mindspring.com Thu Dec 4 01:51:29 2003 From: fortean1 at mindspring.com (Terry W. Colvin) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 18:51:29 -0700 Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system References: Message-ID: <3FCE9321.48980E79@mindspring.com> Don Dartfield wrote: > > On Tue, 2 Dec 2003, Mike Lorrey wrote: > > > He seemed to me to be using it as a term to describe parallel universes. > > It is a bit of a stretch though I suppose not out of the realm of > > artistic license. > > Okay, then yeah, that would be an incorrect usage. Unless he's trying to > coin a new "popular usage" meaning for the term. Perhaps we should ask > him. It might be handy to have a single word term for an alternate > universe in my writing, rather than always having to use "parallel > universe" or "alternate universe" or "from anooooooother > dimEEEENSSSSSSSion..." How about "stringworlds." Terry -- ?Only a zit on the wart on the heinie of progress.? Copyright 1992, Frank Rice Terry W. Colvin, Sierra Vista, Arizona (USA) < fortean1 at mindspring.com > Alternate: < fortean1 at msn.com > Home Page: < http://www.geocities.com/Area51/Stargate/8958/index.html > Sites: * Fortean Times * Mystic's Haven * TLCB * U.S. Message Text Formatting (USMTF) Program ------------ Member: Thailand-Laos-Cambodia Brotherhood (TLCB) Mailing List TLCB Web Site: < http://www.tlc-brotherhood.org >[Vietnam veterans, Allies, CIA/NSA, and "steenkeen" contractors are welcome.] From wingcat at pacbell.net Thu Dec 4 01:53:07 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 17:53:07 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles In-Reply-To: <002a01c3b963$87acde60$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <20031204015307.2284.qmail@web80409.mail.yahoo.com> --- Harvey Newstrom wrote: > "Adrian Tymes" wrote, > > Would not a good cure for that be to make or seek > out > > new things? An elder of the 80s would surely have > > found some novelty in the World Wide Web during > the > > 90s (assuming said elder was willing to be exposed > to > > it). > > In 1985 I had networked Macintoshes which had a > hypertext browser called > "HyperCard", that allowed hypertext links to bring > up cards from remote > networked computers. This predated Windows-95 by a > decade. This stuff > isn't new and wasn't adopted quickly. It just > didn't gain popularity until > much later. Yeah, but that was just your content. Seeing that which thousands of other people build can be qualitatively, not just quantitatively, different from seeing that which just one or a few build. From thespike at earthlink.net Thu Dec 4 01:59:23 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 19:59:23 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] parallel universes References: <3FCE9321.48980E79@mindspring.com> Message-ID: <015801c3ba0a$3f4f3260$d5994a43@texas.net> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Terry W. Colvin" Sent: Wednesday, December 03, 2003 7:51 PM > > It might be handy to have a single word term for an alternate > > universe in my writing, rather than always having to use "parallel > > universe" or "alternate universe" or "from anooooooother > > dimEEEENSSSSSSSion..." > > How about "stringworlds." No, because it's inaccurate. How about `D-branes'? or just Branes? I know, it causes sniggers from those who think you're saying `brains'. Um, how about `alloworlds'? Too much like `hello'. How about `xenoworlds'? Damien Broderick From mlorrey at yahoo.com Thu Dec 4 02:09:14 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 18:09:14 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: <3FCE9321.48980E79@mindspring.com> Message-ID: <20031204020914.248.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> --- "Terry W. Colvin" wrote: > Don Dartfield wrote: > > > > Okay, then yeah, that would be an incorrect usage. Unless he's > trying to > > coin a new "popular usage" meaning for the term. Perhaps we should > ask > > him. It might be handy to have a single word term for an > alternate > > universe in my writing, rather than always having to use "parallel > > universe" or "alternate universe" or "from anooooooother > > dimEEEENSSSSSSSion..." > > How about "stringworlds." Well, 'timeline' is commonly used in many of the genre publications. Paratime, paratemporal, and parareality are also used. One story I read a long time back used 'schizm' as well. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Thu Dec 4 02:20:06 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 18:20:06 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age : libertarian fervor In-Reply-To: <000801c3b9ff$7c3a4b20$0200a8c0@etheric> Message-ID: <20031204022007.35427.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> --- "R.Coyote" wrote: > "Would others speak to where their libertarian fervor came from?" Culmination of many things, but the biggest contributors were: a) reading Heinlein SF b) being in the military c) running my own business and trying to sell a product in a market tightly regulated by building, electrical and fire codes, heavily subsidized and market distorted by inanely implemented government programs, as well as trying to sell a new technology to a government that did not think of it themselves. d) fighting the Seattle Light Rail Project e) being treated as a threat to national security by one of the major political parties and its last presidential administration... ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From hal at finney.org Thu Dec 4 02:51:58 2003 From: hal at finney.org (Hal Finney) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 18:51:58 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Extropy #15 Timeline Message-ID: <200312040251.hB42pw420688@finney.org> Max More wrote: > It would be > interesting to dig out the issue of Extropy that featured a range of > predicted dates for various events. I recall that Eric Drexler had highly > optimistic projections, but others looked to 100+ years for many of the > items listed. I think I was somewhere in the middle. If anyone has the > issue at hand along with an OCR scanner, it would provide some interesting > data points. Coincidentally, someone posted this URL on the FX (idea futures game) discussion list: http://web.archive.org/web/20030212092807/www.lucifer.com/~sean/N-FX/. This is a Wayback Machine archive of an article on nanotech timelines, and it includes a link to the Extropy issue which had that article. Unfortunately, the archive failed to capture that issue, but the link does identify it as Extropy #15, which I happen to have, and I can go ahead and type in the data. The predictors are Gregory Benford; Steve Bridge; Eric Drexler; FM-2030; Mark Miller; Max More; and Nick Szabo. These predictions are from 1995. Explanatory notes include: Szabo - "The first number is when something might be possible under ideal engineering, economic, and politilcal conditions. 'now' means we could have done it already. The second number is the practical prediction, based primarily on the viewpoint of starting a business..." Bridge - "My answers are based on when something will 'actually happen' rather than on when it will be possible." Miller - "I will use the following variables: N = Now, 1995; S = Singularity; DAF = Design Ahead Factor.... I predict Singularity as occuring between N+10 and N+40.... I introduce a Design Ahead Factor which I define as 10/(S-N). If Singularity occurs in 10 years, DAF is 1. If Singularity occurs in 40 years, DAF is 1/4." Here is the table, modulo possible typos. You will need to use a monospace font to get the columns to line up: Benford Drexler Miller Szabo Bridge FM-2030 More Frozen Organ Transplant Is Routine 2020 2010 never 1990s+ N+20 if (S>N+30) 1999-2008 2020-2030 Two Century Biological Lifespans 2150 2050/2140 never 2010-2020 never 2015-2040 2040/2100 Indefinite Biological Lifespans 2300 2080 1967 S+50 2020-2045 2090/2150 Reanimation for Last Cryonics Suspendee 2100 2060 2006-2021 S+6*DAF 2025-2055 2050/2200 Reanimation for Current Cryonics Suspendees 2200 2090 2006-2021 2020 S+10*DAF 2030-2100 2400/2410 Biotech Cures for Most Heart Disease, Cancer & Aging 2030 2030 never 1990s+ S+10*DAF 2015-2040 2090/2130 Fine-Tuned Mood/Motivation Transformation Drugs 2010 2020 ?-2021 1990s+ N+10 1998-2010 2040/2050 Genius Drugs (>20 pts permanent IQ increase for most people) 2030 2020 ?-2021 S-10 to S+10*DAF 2020-2060 2010/2050 Benford Drexler Miller Szabo Bridge FM-2030 More Human Germ-Line Gene Therapy 2040 2007/2025 1990s N+20 2010 now/2010 Human Child Gestated Completely in Artificial Womb 2020 2050 2010-2020 S-5 to S-2*DAF 2015-2035 2100/2120 Cloning of a Human Being 2050 2020 2010 S-5 to S+4*DAF 2010 now/2010 Completely Genetically Composed Children 2060 2050 2015-2020 2060/2100 Extinct Species Reanimation (from preserved DNA) 2100 2025 ?-2021 N+5 to S+1 2010/2020 Benford Drexler Miller Szabo Bridge FM-2030 More Cryonics Industry Revenues $1 billion/year 2035 2015 2010-2020 N+30 (if S>N+30) 2015-2020 now/2020 Nanotech Factories 2100 2030/2050 2006-2021 2010-2020 S-3 to S+1 2015-2030 2070/2080 Atomically Detailed Design for Self-Reproducing Drexler-style Assembler 2070 2015 1998-2010 N+7 2000-2015 2100/2100 High-Degree of Freedom Cell Repair Nanomachines 2075 2040/2060 2006/2021 2010 S+2*DAF 2160/2180 Reproducing Nanotech Assemblers 2080 2025 2004-2019 S-3 to S+1 2020-2030 2120/2140 Really Cheap Fusion Power 2100 2040 2010-2020 2010-2020 2200/2210 Nukes as Cheap as Tanks 2105 2015 2040-2050 2100/2150 Nukes as Cheap as Handguns never never 2200/2250 Benford Drexler Miller Szabo Bridge FM-2030 More Most Publications are Electronic 2015 2015 1990s+ N+10 to N+30 1999 2000/2005 Most Intellectual Publications are on Web 2001 2008 late 1990s N+5 to N+30 1999-2002 2000/2005 Information Storage $0.01 per Megabyte 2010 2020 N+1 to N+10 2015 2010/2010 Computer Implanted in Brain 2015 2045 2010 N+1 to N+10 2020-2050 2010/2020 Human-Brain Equivalent Computers on a Desk 2030 2030 2004-2019 2010 S-3*DAF 2030 2040/2050 Human-Level A.I. 2030 2050 2004-2019 2010 2040-2150 2150/2200 Uploaded Minds 2060 2125 2006-2021 S+7*DAF 2040-2100 2300/2400 Uploads Running 1000x Faster than Humans 2080 2125 2006-2021 S-3*DAF 2045-2100 2450/2450 Benford Drexler Miller Szabo Bridge FM-2030 More Big Fraction of Economy Off Earth 2200 2100 2006-2021 S+20*DAF+20 2100-2200 2150/2200 Big Fraction of Economy out of Solar System 2800 3000 2011-2026 S+20*DAF+(50-200) 3000 2400/2500 Comet Mining, Javelins, Drugs, etc. (robotic space industry) 2080 2075 2006-2021 2050 2040/2060 First Person on Mars 2050 2025 2006-2021 2010-2020 N+15 to S+2*DAF 2025 2040/2060 First Person in Another Solar System 2400 2085 2011-2026 2030-2050 S+10*DAF+20 2150-2400 2200/2400 Reproducing Comet Eaters 2070 Reproducing Asteroid Eaters 2150 2045 2006-2021 2050-2070 2140/2180 Reproducing Starships 2300 2200 2006-2021 S+2*DAF 2350/2400 Benford Drexler Miller Szabo Bridge FM-2030 More 1,000,000+ People Using Anon. Electronic Cash 2010 2020 1990s N+10toN+30 to never 1999-2006 1997/1999 30%+ of Labor Telecommutes 2015 2030 1990s never never 2000/2050 Untaxable Economy Using Electronic Cash $100b/year 2020 N+20 to never 2010-2115 1997/2005 Ocean Colonization 20020 2020/2045 never 2010-2050 now/2040 Most Education Privatized 2005 2050 N+10 to S+50 now/2040 Most Law Enforcement Privatized 2010 2095 S+50 to never now/2150 Most Law Choice Privatized 2020 never on Earth S+20*DAF+20tonever now/2150 National Defense Privatized never never on Earth never now/2200 Betting Markets a Big Policy Influence never never S+20*DAF+20 2000/2100 Lots of figures here, and it's pretty hard to see the logic behind some of them. Benford and Szabo put Reproducing Starships out in the 24th century, while Drexler could have them coming out the year after next. Actually, Drexler is kind of a one-note-Charlie here, putting almost everything in the 2006-2026 time frame, even Big Fraction of Economy out of Solar System. I guess he assumes a nanotech singularity scenario. The interstellar economy would presumably be self-reproducing space probes zooming away from Earth in all directions and furiously converting nearby star systems into computronium or some such. I see Benford and Szabo as the most conservative, with Bridge and More taking a middle ground, and Drexler and FM-2030 being the most aggressive. FM's predictions don't make much sense to me but maybe they should be thought of as somewhat metaphorical or poetic, which is how I perceive his writing. Other interesting aspects of the survey include the topic selection, which is kind of a snapshot of the items of interest to the Extropian community in the 1995 time frame. I also note the absence of Eliezer Yudkowski's influential conception of the Singularity as a sudden transition to world whose rules, possibly even whose physics, are determined by AIs of virtually infinite intelligence. Hal From sentience at pobox.com Thu Dec 4 02:57:57 2003 From: sentience at pobox.com (Eliezer S. Yudkowsky) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 21:57:57 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] parallel universes In-Reply-To: <015801c3ba0a$3f4f3260$d5994a43@texas.net> References: <3FCE9321.48980E79@mindspring.com> <015801c3ba0a$3f4f3260$d5994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <3FCEA2B5.1010909@pobox.com> Damien Broderick wrote: > > No, because it's inaccurate. > > How about `D-branes'? or just Branes? > > I know, it causes sniggers from those who think you're saying `brains'. > Um, how about `alloworlds'? Too much like `hello'. How about > `xenoworlds'? Surely this problem has been solved again and again... Coming to mind offhand: Branch Dimension World Timeline Worldline Worldsurface Ficton Plane Layer Hubblebubble Process Depends on usage. What are you trying to indicate? -- Eliezer S. Yudkowsky http://singinst.org/ Research Fellow, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence From mbb386 at main.nc.us Thu Dec 4 03:25:33 2003 From: mbb386 at main.nc.us (MB) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 22:25:33 -0500 (Eastern Standard Time) Subject: [extropy-chat] libertarian fervor Message-ID: --- "R.Coyote" wrote: > "Would others speak to where their libertarian fervor came from?" Discovering that so many things I liked or wanted to do were either taxed, prohibited, or regulated. That came as quite a shock to me as I was growing up. Regards, MB From naddy at mips.inka.de Thu Dec 4 03:04:11 2003 From: naddy at mips.inka.de (Christian Weisgerber) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 03:04:11 +0000 (UTC) Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: More on the Glofish: When Fish Fluoresce, Can Teenagers Be Far Behind? References: <20031203184002.83995.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: wrote: > >There are actually federal laws prohibiting intentionally > > making yourself medically unfit for military service. Ostensibly it is > > an act of sabotage that aids and abets the enemy. > > THAT is interesting! I had no idea. How would this law effect people who > wanted to upload at an early age? Hmmm. Something to ponder......... Are you serious? Presumably these laws apply to intentional actions directly aimed at avoiding military service, say, chopping off your foot after receiving your draft notification or later when in the trenches. They don't apply if you tattoo yourself in day-glo or chop off your foot for personal preferences and it later happens to turn out that you are unfit for military service due to these body modifications. -- Christian "naddy" Weisgerber naddy at mips.inka.de From fortean1 at mindspring.com Thu Dec 4 03:33:01 2003 From: fortean1 at mindspring.com (Terry W. Colvin) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 20:33:01 -0700 Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD [forteana] Neanderthal art? Message-ID: <3FCEAAED.D4916707@mindspring.com> < http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/3256228.stm > Last Updated: Tuesday, 2 December, 2003, 12:21 GMT Neanderthal 'face' found in Loire By Jonathan Amos BBC News Online science staff A flint object with a striking likeness to a human face may be one of the best examples of art by Neanderthal man ever found, the journal Antiquity reports. The "mask", which is dated to be about 35,000 years old, was recovered on the banks of the Loire at La Roche-Cotard. It is about 10 cm tall and wide and has a bone splinter rammed through a hole, making the rock look as if it has eyes. Commentators say the object shows the Neanderthals were more sophisticated than their caveman image suggests. "It should finally nail the lie that Neanderthals had no art," Paul Bahn, the British rock art expert, told BBC News Online. "It is an enormously important object." Nose and cheeks It is described in Antiquity by Jean-Claude Marquet, curator of the Museum of Prehistory of Grand-Pressigny, and Michel Lorblanchet, a director of research in the French National Centre of Scientific Research, Roc des Monges, at Saint-Sozy. The mask was found during an excavation of old river sediments in front of a Palaeolithic cave encampment. Tool and bone discoveries suggest Neanderthals used the location to light a fire and prepare food. Triangular in shape, the object shows clear evidence, the researchers say, of having been worked - flakes have been chipped off the block to make it more face-like. The 7.5-cm-long bone has also been wedged in position purposely by flint fragments. Marquet and Lorblanchet tell Antiquity: "We think that this is indeed a 'proto-figurine'; that is, a small flint block whose natural shape evokes a crudely triangular human face - or a mask if one notes that it is primarily the upper part of the face that is concerned, like a carnival mask, or, rather less clearly, an animal face, perhaps a feline? "It was not only picked up and brought into the habitation, but was also modified in various ways to perfect its resemblance to a face: the forehead, the eyes underlined by the bone splinter, the nose stopped at its extremity by an intentional flake-removal, and the rectified cheeks." Over and over The standard view of Neanderthals (Homo neanderthalensis) is that they lacked the thought processes capable of producing art - certainly to any real level of sophistication produced by modern humans (Homo sapiens). Clive Gamble, an expert from Southampton University on the early occupation of Europe by human species, says science has been reluctant to see Neanderthals as great conceptual thinkers. "The great problem with all the Neanderthal art is that they are one-offs. What is different about the art of modern humans when it appears 35,000 years ago is that there is repetition - animal sculptures and paintings done over and over again in a recognisable style. "With Neanderthals, there may have been the odd da Vinci-like genius, but their talents died with them." Bahn, on the other hand, believes the Roche-Cotard mask should set the record straight on Neanderthals' artistic capabilities. "There are now a great many Neanderthal art objects. They have been found for decades and always they are dismissed as the exception that proves the rule." "This is not just a fortuitous bone shoved into a hole in a rock. Whether the Neanderthal artist saw a rock that looked like a face and modified it, or conceived the thing from the start - who knows? Either way it is pretty sophisticated." Abstract thought Perhaps the oldest example of modern human art generally accepted by the scientific community would be the 77,000-year-old engraved ochre pieces found in the Blombos Cave in South Africa. There are claims for even older items, dating back 200,000 years or more, that comprise mainly rock objects apparently sculpted to look like the human form. But many sceptical researchers believe these objects are merely accidents of geological processes, and doubt they have been intentionally modified in any way by a human hand. However, earlier this year, scientists announced the discovery of the oldest Homo sapiens skulls. These 160,000-year-old fossil bones had been polished after death. This mortuary practice suggests at least these early people were abstract thinkers, capable of analysing ideas of life and death. -- ?Only a zit on the wart on the heinie of progress.? Copyright 1992, Frank Rice Terry W. Colvin, Sierra Vista, Arizona (USA) < fortean1 at mindspring.com > Alternate: < fortean1 at msn.com > Home Page: < http://www.geocities.com/Area51/Stargate/8958/index.html > Sites: * Fortean Times * Mystic's Haven * TLCB * U.S. Message Text Formatting (USMTF) Program ------------ Member: Thailand-Laos-Cambodia Brotherhood (TLCB) Mailing List TLCB Web Site: < http://www.tlc-brotherhood.org >[Vietnam veterans, Allies, CIA/NSA, and "steenkeen" contractors are welcome.] From extropy at unreasonable.com Thu Dec 4 03:35:47 2003 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 22:35:47 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Extropy #15 Timeline In-Reply-To: <200312040251.hB42pw420688@finney.org> Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031203221744.05506008@mail.comcast.net> An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From fortean1 at mindspring.com Thu Dec 4 03:39:10 2003 From: fortean1 at mindspring.com (Terry W. Colvin) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 20:39:10 -0700 Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD (UFO UpDate) Physicist Explains String Theory Message-ID: <3FCEAC5E.B89CC25E@mindspring.com> Source: Daily Nexus - UC Santa Barbara's Student Newspaper < http://www.ucsbdailynexus.com/news/2003/6192.html > Physicist Explains String Theory to SB By Ben Krasnow - Staff Writer Monday, November 24, 2003 Physicist Brian Greene taught audience members how to see in 10 dimensions at the Lobero Theatre Sunday night. A leading string theorist and a member of UCSB's Kavli Institute for Theoretical Physics, Greene recounted the highlights of his book, The Elegant Universe. After going over the physics background necessary to understand string theory, Greene drew audible "wows" from the audience when he explained the core underpinnings of string theory, and how our understanding of the universe could subsequently change. Greene was introduced by Chris Carter, producer and writer of the TV show, 'The X-Files'. Carter recalled reading Greene's book and thinking about the implications of these new ideas in physics. Sometimes the reality of what theoretical physics predicts is hard to grasp, even for a science fiction writer. "As strange as 'The X-Files' could be, we never got as far out as this guy," Carter said. Theoretical physics describes a branch of science that tries to explain physical phenomena by using mathematics and careful thought instead of empirical measurements. Greene hailed Albert Einstein as the most influential theoretical physicist in history. "He changed the ideas of space and time," Greene said. Einstein's first major contribution to the modern understanding of physics was the introduction of the ultimate speed limit - the speed of light, Greene said. Before this maximum speed limit was introduced, scientists thought some things could happen instantaneously, like gravity. Newton's law of gravitation states that the attraction felt between two objects is instantaneous. Einstein stated that this is not possible. Nothing - no signal, no information, no influence - can travel faster than the speed of light. Light has been measured to travel at 186,000 miles per second. The sun is so far away that even at that tremendous speed, it takes nearly eight minutes for the its light to reach the Earth. If the sun disappeared right now, we could not possibly know until eight minutes had passed. Earth's gravitational attraction to the sun holds the planet in orbit. If gravity acted instantaneously and light did not, the earth would leave its orbit before the darkness accompanying the sun's disappearance reached it. "The fact that there is a speed limit is a problem for Newton's Law," Greene said. Greene said that Einstein's second major contribution was his theory of general relativity. This theory provides a way to understand how gravity works while still obeying the maximum speed limit. In fact, Einstein's calculations proved that the speed of gravity should be exactly the same as the speed of light. Greene said the reason Einstein has been praised so much is because his ideas unified two things - the speed of light and the speed of gravity. Physical theories that unify separate phenomena are always desirable because they approach the idea that there is one singular theory that could explain everything in the universe, Greene said. To explain general relativity, Greene used the analogy of a thin horizontal rubber sheet. If the sheet was perfectly flat, a marble placed on the sheet would have no tendency to roll in any direction. If a bowling ball was placed on the sheet, it would form a large depression. The marble would roll down into the depression, toward the bowling ball. The heavier the bowling ball, the bigger the depression, and the faster the marble will would roll toward it. If the bowling ball were removed very quickly, the rubber sheet would take a short time to return to its flat shape. That amount of time is analogous to the speed of gravity. "Gravity is the fabric of space and time," Greene said. "Einstein's theory works just a little better than Newton's." In the case of the sun disappearing, general relativity states that the earth would remain in orbit for eight minutes after the sun is gone. This is the time it would take for the gravity wave to reach earth and release it from the depression in space that is currently holding it the sun's orbit. Besides relativity, there is another area of physics that has changed markedly in the last century. This field is called quantum theory, and it describes how physics works on a very small scale. Greene said that on a macro scale, the warping of space is very smooth, like a smooth depression in a rubber sheet. On the micro scale, space is not smooth. It is constantly churning and moving, like the surface of boiling water. Quantum theory describes this rapid and chaotic motion, and has some startling physical conclusions. "If you fire a particle like an electron at a barrier that classically it could not penetrate, quantum theory says there is a small chance it can," Greene said. Greene went on to say that there is even a chance that he could walk into a solid stone column and come out on the other side. The probability is extremely low, but it is not zero according to quantum theory. String theory provides a way to unify the smoothness of macro space and the roughness and chaos of micro space, Greene said. The basic concept of string theory is that every piece of matter in the universe is composed of very small vibrating loops of string. The pattern of vibrations, much like the pattern of vibrations on the string of a musical instrument, determines the properties of the particle it composes, Greene said. The dilemma is that the mathematics behind string theory require the tiny loops of string to vibrate in 10 dimensions. This is a problem because no person has ever seen more than three dimensions. This conclusion does not daunt string theorists like Greene. He explained one way in which the other seven dimensions could be hidden to observers by rolling up a sheet of paper. If the flat plane of paper represented space, it has two dimensions: top to bottom, and left to right. If the paper is rolled up into a cylinder, the left to right [[left-to-right]] dimension is unchanged, but the top to bottom [[top-to-bottom]] dimension is changed into clockwise or counterclockwise. If the paper is rolled tighter, the cylinder will be come very thin, and from afar it may look like a simple line with no rolled-up clockwise dimension. This may be how the seven other dimensions of string theory are hidden. Greene said that string theory could be strengthened by observational data from space. When the universe was young, the strings that made up all matter were very energetic. As the universe cooled down and expanded, the imprint left from the energetic strings may have remained. Thus, there could be large, string-shaped artifacts in space waiting be found that would provide evidence for string theory. "Nothing to me would be more poetic; no outcome would be more graceful ... than for us to confirm our theories of the ultramicroscopic makeup of spacetimea and matter by turning our giant telescopes skyward and gazing at the stars," Greene said. All content, photographs, graphics and design Copyright ? 2000- 2003 Daily Nexus. -- ?Only a zit on the wart on the heinie of progress.? Copyright 1992, Frank Rice Terry W. Colvin, Sierra Vista, Arizona (USA) < fortean1 at mindspring.com > Alternate: < fortean1 at msn.com > Home Page: < http://www.geocities.com/Area51/Stargate/8958/index.html > Sites: * Fortean Times * Mystic's Haven * TLCB * U.S. Message Text Formatting (USMTF) Program ------------ Member: Thailand-Laos-Cambodia Brotherhood (TLCB) Mailing List TLCB Web Site: < http://www.tlc-brotherhood.org >[Vietnam veterans, Allies, CIA/NSA, and "steenkeen" contractors are welcome.] From spike66 at comcast.net Thu Dec 4 04:18:34 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 20:18:34 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] libertarian fervor In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <00a001c3ba1d$af139560$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > > --- "R.Coyote" wrote: > > "Would others speak to where their libertarian fervor came > from?" > The most important lessons in libertarianism came from elementary school, where it was more convenient for the teacher to have the entire class advance together, even if at the pace of a glacier. For the students who could actually read, the result was excruciating boredom most of the time, a criminal waste of precious time in a young life. I have never questioned Eliezer's decision to give up entirely on mass education as useless. At an early age, many of us learned that the gazelles should not be yoked with the oxen but should be set free to run. The same rules simply do not apply to everyone. All my most important learning came about in my home with my own books and those I could borrow from the library. Governments take over where the elementary school teachers left off. Many of us are for limiting government's influence to common defense, road building and the public education which I just got finished disrespecting. spike From mlorrey at yahoo.com Thu Dec 4 04:20:59 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 20:20:59 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: More on the Glofish: When Fish Fluoresce, Can Teenagers Be Far Behind? In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031204042059.35021.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> --- Christian Weisgerber wrote: > wrote: > > > >There are actually federal laws prohibiting intentionally > > > making yourself medically unfit for military service. Ostensibly > it is > > > an act of sabotage that aids and abets the enemy. > > > > THAT is interesting! I had no idea. How would this law effect > people who > > wanted to upload at an early age? Hmmm. Something to > ponder......... > > Are you serious? Presumably these laws apply to intentional actions > directly aimed at avoiding military service, say, chopping off your > foot after receiving your draft notification or later when in the > trenches. > > They don't apply if you tattoo yourself in day-glo or chop off your > foot for personal preferences and it later happens to turn out that > you are unfit for military service due to these body modifications. Actually, they only really apply if a draft is in effect, something that I don't think is likely even given todays situation. However, if one were enacted, a local draft board will interview those claiming unfitness. Accidents are obviously excused. Intentional disfigurement is not. Doing so after receiving a draft notice only makes it easier for them to prosecute you. If you are dumb enough to tell a draft board you got your genes altered so you glowed in the dark specifically to make you unfit for service, I'll bet they'll draft you anyways and the military would stick you in some hellhole peeling potatos or slopping out latrines for the duration. As for uploading at an early age, the military would probably find good military uses for uploaded minds... ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com From extropy at unreasonable.com Thu Dec 4 04:51:36 2003 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 23:51:36 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] libertarian fervor In-Reply-To: <20031204022007.35427.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> References: <000801c3b9ff$7c3a4b20$0200a8c0@etheric> Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031203230653.02bb4008@mail.comcast.net> >--- "R.Coyote" wrote: > > "Would others speak to where their libertarian fervor came from?" Three people have now posted replies to my question in a way that suggests a misattribution. We all need to be more careful in source attribution for the sake of archaeologists and historians in millennia to come.... At 06:20 PM 12/3/2003 -0800, Mike Lorrey wrote: >Culmination of many things, but the biggest contributors were: > >a) reading Heinlein SF It's ironic that in the message where I posed the question I did not mention Heinlein, since I've made the point here and in fiction that writers often have a more profound impact on one's life than one's acquaintances and experiences. I credit Heinlein for a large chunk of my interests, attitudes, and character. His direct contribution is immense; when I try to add up the ripple effects from those influenced by him -- well, I'm not sure I can count that high. Seems like behind every extropian topic are pioneers who grew up on his writing. I think I met all of the people I care most about as a consequence. My daughter would not exist otherwise, and perhaps nor would I. I suppose if he hadn't been, someone else would have been -- but in our reality, he was, and so deserves the credit. And, of course, as he noted, we can't pay him back; we have to pay it forward. -- David Lubkin. From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Thu Dec 4 05:15:56 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 00:15:56 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age In-Reply-To: <5.1.0.14.2.20031203114551.05beab00@mail.earthlink.net> Message-ID: <000401c3ba25$b616a700$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Max More wrote, > At 10:10 AM 12/3/2003, Harvey wrote: > > >I also just realized that I am a professional pessimist. > > I shouldn't encourage you, but... > > Delusions of Success: How Optimism Undermines Executives' > Decisions by Dan Lovallo; Daniel Kahneman Harvard Business > Review, Editor reviewed on 07/07/03, originally published > on 07/01/03 http://www.manyworlds.com/exploreCO.asp?coid=CO77031947495 Excellent article! This is exactly what I am seeing when I audit. Some managers have rose-colored glasses and assume the best about their organization, in the absence of knowledge. Just like the pointy-haired boss in Dilbert, they assume what they don't know about must be easy, what they haven't verified must be OK, and what they haven't followed up on probably turned out OK. When they plan projects, they shrink every task down to the minimum time they think they can squeeze it to, parallel as many tasks as could ever be done simultaneously, and predict the lowest cost at every step of the way. In the end, they end up with a gigantic project with thousands of items underestimated. A single delay or cost overrun on any single item will destroy the whole project plan, and they always are surprised when it happens. I don't run my bank account that way. I can't spend every single penny at the beginning of the month and assume that I won't have any unforeseen expenses. I don't leave for an appointment at the last possible second and assume I will make every green traffic light between here and there. It is not pessimism, but realism, to predict average-case scenarios instead of best-case scenarios for everything. Statistically speaking, the average scenario is most likely, while the best-case scenario is least likely. Multiplying all the best-case scenarios together usually give an infinitely impossible chance that the boss's predictions can all come true and the project turn out as planned. P.S. I also finished David Allen's book _Getting_Things_Done_. It was as helpful as you suggested, Max. It is basic straight-forward organizational skills for keeping track of a million to-do's, appointments, priorities, projects, sequences, etc. My own system is very close to his already, but I picked up quite a few pointers. I love checklists and reminders! I don't *want* an expert of any kind trying to do everything off the top of their head by what they can remember. If they reference a complete industry-approved standard list, and then show how they meet every point, then I am much more impressed that simply having a genius-expert say "It looks alright to me." Having external checklists, reminders, PDA's, software, and standard references will make anybody function beyond their natural human ability. It is the first step toward transhumanism! -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From wingcat at pacbell.net Thu Dec 4 05:39:08 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 21:39:08 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: More on the Glofish: When Fish Fluoresce, Can Teenagers Be Far Behind? In-Reply-To: <20031204042059.35021.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20031204053908.93157.qmail@web80405.mail.yahoo.com> --- Mike Lorrey wrote: > Actually, they only really apply if a draft is in > effect, something > that I don't think is likely even given todays > situation. > > However, if one were enacted, a local draft board > will interview those > claiming unfitness. Accidents are obviously excused. > Intentional > disfigurement is not. Doing so after receiving a > draft notice only > makes it easier for them to prosecute you. If you > are dumb enough to > tell a draft board you got your genes altered so you > glowed in the dark > specifically to make you unfit for service, I'll bet > they'll draft you > anyways and the military would stick you in some > hellhole peeling > potatos or slopping out latrines for the duration. Nah. There are times when you want to be seen, say if you're going to be drawing fire away from the enemy...or inspiring terror if the enemy is uber-luddite. > As for uploading at an early age, the military would > probably find good > military uses for uploaded minds... "When you wake up, there will be ten of you. One will be kept safe here. The rest will be loaded into drone aircraft being sent on suicide missions. When all is done, the you that survives will be as you are now, and the enemy will have nine well-placed holes." From thespike at earthlink.net Thu Dec 4 06:51:27 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 00:51:27 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] the slope and speed of some changes References: <000401c3ba25$b616a700$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <027201c3ba33$1cd18f20$d5994a43@texas.net> No big surprises, but: http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2003/12/03/1070351651543.html < Electronics price cuts jolt buyers By Lorna Edwards If you forked out for a swish new DVD player when they first hit the market six years ago, you would have paid up to $1400. These days, you can buy what has become one of the fastest-selling consumer items in history from about $80. Falling prices such as this have fuelled an electronics spending spree, with DVD players and digital cameras topping Christmas shopping lists. It took nine years for VCR players to make their way into 47 per cent of Australian homes after their 1978 introduction to this country but the DVD has reached the same popularity in only six years. [etc] > From spike66 at comcast.net Thu Dec 4 07:09:52 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 23:09:52 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] the slope and speed of some changes In-Reply-To: <027201c3ba33$1cd18f20$d5994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <001901c3ba35$9d04b3f0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > Damien Broderick > Subject: [extropy-chat] the slope and speed of some changes > > > No big surprises, but: > > http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2003/12/03/1070351651543.html > > < Electronics price cuts jolt buyers > By Lorna Edwards... Is this a way cool time to be living, or what? {8-] Of course I am still high from the new record prime, but even after that wears off, this will *still* be a way cool time to be alive. Even poor people can have rad stuff. I bought an MP3 player for 70 bucks, holds about 4 CDs of tunes, sounds great, fits in a shirt pocket, runs on one aaa battery, hell of a deal. You can take out an insert, place it in a USB port on the PC and it looks just like another 128 MB drive. Remember how big and expensive a 128 was only a few years ago? Kewall! {8^D spike From spike66 at comcast.net Thu Dec 4 07:23:06 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 23:23:06 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] slain by one finger In-Reply-To: <200312031840.hB3IeNn18771@finney.org> Message-ID: <001b01c3ba37$7687e150$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Doctors kill men. There was an article in the Merc about how men live shorter than women because they won't go to the doctor. Well, they won't go to the doctor because they don't want a finger up the old kazoo. Duh! A most distasteful sensation is this, it feels like getting raped. If all doctors would *promise* not to do that, then more guys might get yearly checkups, thus saving lives. Of course men would still perish from prostate cancer, but the doctors might notice other symptoms in time to save more guys. So doctors kill men. spike From twodeel at jornada.org Thu Dec 4 07:26:33 2003 From: twodeel at jornada.org (Don Dartfield) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 23:26:33 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] slain by one finger In-Reply-To: <001b01c3ba37$7687e150$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: On Wed, 3 Dec 2003, Spike wrote: > There was an article in the Merc about how men live shorter than women > because they won't go to the doctor. Well, they won't go to the doctor > because they don't want a finger up the old kazoo. Duh! A most > distasteful sensation is this, it feels like getting raped. Yes, it's rather unpleasant having a doctor do this. Men should be encouraged to self-examine just like women do for breast cancer. :) From twodeel at jornada.org Thu Dec 4 07:31:14 2003 From: twodeel at jornada.org (Don Dartfield) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 23:31:14 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] libertarian fervor In-Reply-To: Message-ID: On Wed, 03 Dec 2003, David Lubkin wrote: > Would others speak to where their libertarian fervor came from? >From the discovery that the drug laws, designed to prevent people from doing what they want in the first place, have frightened doctors into not prescribing proper pain medication for treatment of chronic pain even when it is very obviously warranted, for fear of becoming another casualty in the War on Drugs. That was what got me started, at least, and motivated me to register as a Libertarian. Lately, though, I've drifted away somewhat, because I've realized that I'm not a complete libertarian like many of the other libertarians whose articles I read seem to be. For instance, I have yet to be convinced that private ownership of roads would be better than our current system. Somewhat similar to Larry Niven's whole "Why I Am Not a Libertarian" thing that he wrote a story about ... what was it ... oh yeah, "Cloak of Anarchy." But in any case, I still consider myself to be more libertarian than anything else. From spike66 at comcast.net Thu Dec 4 07:39:14 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 23:39:14 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] akerue In-Reply-To: <200312031840.hB3IeNn18771@finney.org> Message-ID: <000001c3ba39$b75acfb0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> King Heiron asked Archimedes if he could determine if his new crown were pure gold. While bathing, he realized that the water he displaced would have the same mass as his body; therefore, he could measure the water displaced by the crown against that displaced by an equal amount of gold, determined that the king had indeed been defrauded by his jeweler, streaked, shouting eureka! and you know the story. But it occurred to me that a number of small, nearly invisible air bubbles may have adhered to the irregular surfaces of the crown, plus it likely had greater surface area than the pure lump of gold, thus making the crown displace more water than it would otherwise. Archimedes might have been responsible for getting a possibly honest man executed. Akerue! spike From scerir at libero.it Thu Dec 4 09:25:36 2003 From: scerir at libero.it (scerir) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 10:25:36 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation References: <20031201140907.49595.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com><184DD522-240A-11D8-9B19-000A95B18568@antipope.org> <01b801c3b823$ce7276c0$fe00a8c0@HEMM> Message-ID: <001801c3ba48$9a2b5a90$84bf1b97@administxl09yj> From: "Henrique Moraes Machado" I've been reflecting lately on communication versus transportation. The first is developing faster than ever, while the former seems to be stalled. ----------- "And despite putting in billions and billions and billions of dollars, the net return to owners from being in the entire airline industry, if you owned it all, and if you put up all this money, is less than zero. If there had been a capitalist down there [at Kitty Hawk the day the Wright brothers made their first flight] the guy should have shot down Wilbur! I mean . [audience laughter]. You know. one small step for mankind, and one huge step backwards for capitalism!" - Warren Buffett http://www.geocities.com/peopleplanes/Carrier/WB.html What's wrong with this? For sure the expression "one small step for mankind" :-) s. From dirk at neopax.com Thu Dec 4 09:29:09 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 09:29:09 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] libertarian fervor References: Message-ID: <000501c3ba49$12597f60$2bb26bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Don Dartfield" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Thursday, December 04, 2003 7:31 AM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] libertarian fervor > On Wed, 03 Dec 2003, David Lubkin wrote: > > > Would others speak to where their libertarian fervor came from? > > >From the discovery that the drug laws, designed to prevent people from > doing what they want in the first place, have frightened doctors into not > prescribing proper pain medication for treatment of chronic pain even when > it is very obviously warranted, for fear of becoming another casualty in > the War on Drugs. > > That was what got me started, at least, and motivated me to register as a > Libertarian. Lately, though, I've drifted away somewhat, because I've > realized that I'm not a complete libertarian like many of the other > libertarians whose articles I read seem to be. For instance, I have yet > to be convinced that private ownership of roads would be better than our > current system. > > Somewhat similar to Larry Niven's whole "Why I Am Not a Libertarian" thing > that he wrote a story about ... what was it ... oh yeah, "Cloak of > Anarchy." But in any case, I still consider myself to be more libertarian > than anything else. Ticket to Tranai Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From dirk at neopax.com Thu Dec 4 09:41:33 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 09:41:33 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age References: <00c501c3b9c4$217e4dc0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <005f01c3ba4a$cd8a3940$2bb26bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Harvey Newstrom" To: "'ExI chat list'" Sent: Wednesday, December 03, 2003 5:37 PM Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age > Eliezer S. Yudkowsky wrote, > > I wish I knew what I was doing right that everyone else seems > > to be doing so wrong. The problem is that trying to follow > > my lead doesn't seem to > help people, either - or helps only > > insofar as they are moved to study tractable interesting subjects. > > You're young and naive. Wait until you are middle-aged, pot-bellied and > balding, and there is still no singularity or general AI. How will you feel > then? Well, I'm a bored exception then. I'm 50, in very good physical condition and still no singularity or AI. Stiil, I'm an optimist who believes that there will be BIG breakthroughs in anti-ageing treatments within the next ten yrs. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From dirk at neopax.com Thu Dec 4 09:44:09 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 09:44:09 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age References: Message-ID: <007a01c3ba4b$2af308f0$2bb26bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Giu1i0 Pri5c0" To: Sent: Wednesday, December 03, 2003 3:23 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age > I think when the physical problems of old age (including hormonal and neurochemical changes) are solved, the rest will follow. There is no reason why you cannot keep a fresh and interested outlook on life while gaining experience. Many people in their 70s would be happy to do sometimes the same stupid things they did in their teens. The bad side of aging is a phisical thing. I disagree. I am easily as capable physically now (at 50) as I was at 20. And certainly a lot stronger. It's not a physical thing. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From dirk at neopax.com Thu Dec 4 09:46:10 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 09:46:10 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age References: <3FCDE00E.9050506@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> <3FCDEE02.8030308@mail.tele.dk> Message-ID: <008f01c3ba4b$72dbb220$2bb26bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Max M" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Wednesday, December 03, 2003 2:06 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age > BillK wrote: > > > On the mental side, the 'seen it all before' syndrome is also very real. > > Computer techies will have seen the 'burn-out' effect on whiz-kids who > > just can't do it any more. The people who are the big achievers are all > > 'driven' by their own various demons. > > > Oh yeah, that is so true. I can allready feel it myself at the tender > age of 38. I have allways been an "extreme" techie. But computers are > getting more and more boring every day. Solving the same old problems in > slightly different ways. > > On the other side, I find quality in my life increasingly important, and > there are many examples of people living good lives at a high age. > People at the age of 50 usually tell that they are living out the best > part of their life. Free of the stresses of homebuilding and kids. > > We can also hope that a exponential growth in technology can make up for > the "seen it all before" feeling. The problem though seems to be that exponetial tech is required to maintain a linear change. > Or perhaps side-effect-free recreational drugs will make it all moot. LSD gave me a big boost in my 30s. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Thu Dec 4 12:37:09 2003 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (Kevin Freels) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 04:37:09 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] parallel universes References: <3FCE9321.48980E79@mindspring.com> <015801c3ba0a$3f4f3260$d5994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: Why not coin an entirely new word like "Lomgakwoos" or maybe "smearniverses"? I a similar problem recently while referring to the event where you bite into a sandwich, pizza, or other multi-layered food and a pickel, pepperoni, or something slides out of the food, but is still between your teeth and it slops down onto your chin. In my household, this is now known as slerbeling. I slerbeled a pickel just today! Come to think of it, maybe "slerbelverse" would suffice.? :-) ----- Original Message ----- From: "Damien Broderick" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Wednesday, December 03, 2003 5:59 PM Subject: [extropy-chat] parallel universes > > ----- Original Message ----- > From: "Terry W. Colvin" > Sent: Wednesday, December 03, 2003 7:51 PM > > > > It might be handy to have a single word term for an alternate > > > universe in my writing, rather than always having to use "parallel > > > universe" or "alternate universe" or "from anooooooother > > > dimEEEENSSSSSSSion..." > > > > How about "stringworlds." > > No, because it's inaccurate. > > How about `D-branes'? or just Branes? > > I know, it causes sniggers from those who think you're saying `brains'. Um, > how about `alloworlds'? Too much like `hello'. How about `xenoworlds'? > > Damien Broderick > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Thu Dec 4 12:44:44 2003 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (Kevin Freels) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 04:44:44 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD [forteana] Neanderthal art? References: <3FCEAAED.D4916707@mindspring.com> Message-ID: Hooray! Once again we see they were smarter than we give them credit for! It's crazy how our perception that they didn't have artistic abilities relies on the fact that most of their art didn;t survive for tens of thousands of years. I wonder how many original Dali paintings will be around in 50,000 years. ----- Original Message ----- From: "Terry W. Colvin" To: Sent: Wednesday, December 03, 2003 7:33 PM Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD [forteana] Neanderthal art? > < http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/3256228.stm > > > Last Updated: Tuesday, 2 December, 2003, 12:21 GMT > > Neanderthal 'face' found in Loire > By Jonathan Amos > BBC News Online science staff > > A flint object with a striking likeness to a human face may be one of the > best examples of art by Neanderthal man ever found, the journal Antiquity > reports. > > The "mask", which is dated to be about 35,000 years old, was recovered on > the banks of the Loire at La Roche-Cotard. > > It is about 10 cm tall and wide and has a bone splinter rammed through a > hole, making the rock look as if it has eyes. > > Commentators say the object shows the Neanderthals were more sophisticated > than their caveman image suggests. > > "It should finally nail the lie that Neanderthals had no art," Paul Bahn, > the British rock art expert, told BBC News Online. "It is an enormously > important object." > > Nose and cheeks > > It is described in Antiquity by Jean-Claude Marquet, curator of the Museum > of Prehistory of Grand-Pressigny, and Michel Lorblanchet, a director of > research in the French National Centre of Scientific Research, Roc des > Monges, at Saint-Sozy. > > The mask was found during an excavation of old river sediments in front of a > Palaeolithic cave encampment. Tool and bone discoveries suggest Neanderthals > used the location to light a fire and prepare food. > > Triangular in shape, the object shows clear evidence, the researchers say, > of having been worked - flakes have been chipped off the block to make it > more face-like. > > The 7.5-cm-long bone has also been wedged in position purposely by flint > fragments. > > Marquet and Lorblanchet tell Antiquity: "We think that this is indeed a > 'proto-figurine'; that is, a small flint block whose natural shape evokes a > crudely triangular human face - or a mask if one notes that it is primarily > the upper part of the face that is concerned, like a carnival mask, or, > rather less clearly, an animal face, perhaps a feline? > > "It was not only picked up and brought into the habitation, but was also > modified in various ways to perfect its resemblance to a face: the forehead, > the eyes underlined by the bone splinter, the nose stopped at its extremity > by an intentional flake-removal, and the rectified cheeks." > > Over and over > > The standard view of Neanderthals (Homo neanderthalensis) is that they > lacked the thought processes capable of producing art - certainly to any > real level of sophistication produced by modern humans (Homo sapiens). > > Clive Gamble, an expert from Southampton University on the early occupation > of Europe by human species, says science has been reluctant to see > Neanderthals as great conceptual thinkers. > > "The great problem with all the Neanderthal art is that they are one-offs. > What is different about the art of modern humans when it appears 35,000 > years ago is that there is repetition - animal sculptures and paintings done > over and over again in a recognisable style. > > "With Neanderthals, there may have been the odd da Vinci-like genius, but > their talents died with them." > > Bahn, on the other hand, believes the Roche-Cotard mask should set the > record straight on Neanderthals' artistic capabilities. > > "There are now a great many Neanderthal art objects. They have been found > for decades and always they are dismissed as the exception that proves the > rule." > > "This is not just a fortuitous bone shoved into a hole in a rock. Whether > the Neanderthal artist saw a rock that looked like a face and modified it, > or conceived the thing from the start - who knows? Either way it is pretty > sophisticated." > > Abstract thought > > Perhaps the oldest example of modern human art generally accepted by the > scientific community would be the 77,000-year-old engraved ochre pieces > found in the Blombos Cave in South Africa. > > There are claims for even older items, dating back 200,000 years or more, > that comprise mainly rock objects apparently sculpted to look like the human > form. > > But many sceptical researchers believe these objects are merely accidents of > geological processes, and doubt they have been intentionally modified in any > way by a human hand. > > However, earlier this year, scientists announced the discovery of the oldest > Homo sapiens skulls. These 160,000-year-old fossil bones had been polished > after death. > > This mortuary practice suggests at least these early people were abstract > thinkers, capable of analysing ideas of life and death. > > > -- > "Only a zit on the wart on the heinie of progress." Copyright 1992, Frank Rice > > > Terry W. Colvin, Sierra Vista, Arizona (USA) < fortean1 at mindspring.com > > Alternate: < fortean1 at msn.com > > Home Page: < http://www.geocities.com/Area51/Stargate/8958/index.html > > Sites: * Fortean Times * Mystic's Haven * TLCB * > U.S. Message Text Formatting (USMTF) Program > ------------ > Member: Thailand-Laos-Cambodia Brotherhood (TLCB) Mailing List > TLCB Web Site: < http://www.tlc-brotherhood.org >[Vietnam veterans, > Allies, CIA/NSA, and "steenkeen" contractors are welcome.] > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From jacques at dtext.com Thu Dec 4 10:51:30 2003 From: jacques at dtext.com (JDP) Date: Thu, 04 Dec 2003 11:51:30 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Extropy #15 Timeline In-Reply-To: <5.1.0.14.2.20031203221744.05506008@mail.comcast.net> References: <5.1.0.14.2.20031203221744.05506008@mail.comcast.net> Message-ID: <3FCF11B2.1000308@dtext.com> David Lubkin wrote: > > The nevers surprise me, particularly for "Two Century Biological Lifespans." Apparently what they meant is we would go straight from lifespans shorter than two centuries to indefinite lifespans. (Drexler even gives 1967 for indefinite lifespan.) Thanks Hal for providing this! Jacques From jacques at dtext.com Thu Dec 4 11:09:30 2003 From: jacques at dtext.com (JDP) Date: Thu, 04 Dec 2003 12:09:30 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age In-Reply-To: <008f01c3ba4b$72dbb220$2bb26bd5@artemis> References: <3FCDE00E.9050506@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> <3FCDEE02.8030308@mail.tele.dk> <008f01c3ba4b$72dbb220$2bb26bd5@artemis> Message-ID: <3FCF15EA.8070508@dtext.com> Dirk Bruere wrote: > LSD gave me a big boost in my 30s. Can you say a bit more? Jacques From neptune at superlink.net Thu Dec 4 11:50:08 2003 From: neptune at superlink.net (Technotranscendence) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 06:50:08 -0500 Subject: POL: Re: [extropy-chat] libertarian fervor References: Message-ID: <003c01c3ba5c$c552c780$0dcd5cd1@neptune> On Thursday, December 04, 2003 2:31 AM Don Dartfield twodeel at jornada.org wrote: > That was what got me started, at least, and > motivated me to register as a Libertarian. > Lately, though, I've drifted away somewhat, > because I've realized that I'm not a complete > libertarian like many of the other libertarians > whose articles I read seem to be. For > instance, I have yet to be convinced that > private ownership of roads would be better > than our current system. I have yet to be convinced the current system is worth keeping.:) A better approach to this, though, might not be the typical rationalistic one of arguing from first principles. Instead, look at the work Daniel Klein has done on private roads and mixed systems. See his papers at: http://lsb.scu.edu/~dklein/papers/default.htm > Somewhat similar to Larry Niven's whole "Why > I Am Not a Libertarian" thing that he wrote a > story about ... what was it ... oh yeah, "Cloak of > Anarchy." But in any case, I still consider > myself to be more libertarian than anything else. "Cloak of Anarchy" was a neat little tale, but there are three problems with it. One, not all libertarians are anarchists. I am both, but many libertarians are not. Two, Niven really stacks cards in it. All the things that happen when the power goes out -- and I've been in a number of such outages and not seen anything remotely like that:) -- still exist under governments now and, no doubt, will still exist under governments in the future. (I'm not only talking about unorganized crime, which will probably exist in any society, but also organized crime -- some of which is the direct result of government intervention (drug laws, gambling laws, etc.) and some of which is the government (taxation, conscription, etc.).) Three, the actual history of anarchic societies -- such as those of Ancient Iceland, Medieval England, the Old West in the US, etc. -- shows something quite different. No on this list point, one might say that that's all ancient history and it could never work in today's world. That's a matter for debate, I admit. (My opinion is that terrestrial societies, as long as there's no large frontier, will continue to be archic ones and that government intervention will, from here on, oscillate inside the ambit of the centralized welfare states. There will be times of reform in the direction of freedom, but there will also be periods of government expansion. If humans or posthumans, however, begin the settle space, I believe the political, economic, and military conditions will spell the end of centralized government -- at least on a civilization encompassing scale as we see it now. (I mean there will, undoubtedly, be localized central governments, but the social forces will not allow for anything much larger than loose confederations above that.)) Cheers! Dan http://uweb.superlink.net/neptune/ From james at lab6.com Thu Dec 4 11:43:29 2003 From: james at lab6.com (James) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 11:43:29 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Word coinage (was: parallel universes) In-Reply-To: References: <015801c3ba0a$3f4f3260$d5994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <20031204114329.GA1405@pc174.deh.man.ac.uk> On Thu, Dec 04, 2003 at 04:37:09AM -0800, Kevin Freels wrote: > Why not coin an entirely new word like "Lomgakwoos" or maybe > "smearniverses"? I a similar problem recently while referring to the event > where you bite into a sandwich, pizza, or other multi-layered food and a > pickel, pepperoni, or something slides out of the food, but is still between > your teeth and it slops down onto your chin. In my household, this is now > known as slerbeling. I slerbeled a pickel just today! > Come to think of it, maybe "slerbelverse" would suffice.? :-) Can I recommend /The Meaning of Liff/ by Douglas Adams and John Lloyd? The premise is: "In Life, there are many hundreds of common experiences, feelings, situations and even objects which we all know and recognize, but for which no words exist. On the other hand, the world is littered with thousands of spare words which spend their time doing nothing but loafing about on signposts pointing at places. Our job, as we see it, is to get these words down off the signposts and into the mouths of babes and sucklings and so on, where they can start earning their keep in everyday conversation and make a more positive contribution to society." I'm sure there's a synonym of slerbeling in there somewhere. Particularly appropriate to mailing list culture is "Sittingbourne (n.) One of those conversations where both people are waiting for the other one to shut up so they can get on with their bit" :) -- James From mlorrey at yahoo.com Thu Dec 4 13:19:56 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 05:19:56 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation In-Reply-To: <001801c3ba48$9a2b5a90$84bf1b97@administxl09yj> Message-ID: <20031204131956.58653.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> --- scerir wrote: > From: "Henrique Moraes Machado" > I've been reflecting lately on communication versus transportation. > The first is developing faster than ever, while the former seems > to be stalled. > > ----------- > > "And despite putting in billions and billions and billions of > dollars, > the net return to owners from being in the entire airline industry, > if you owned it all, and if you put up all this money, is less than > zero. If there had been a capitalist down there [at Kitty Hawk the > day > the Wright brothers made their first flight] the guy should have shot > down Wilbur! I mean . [audience laughter]. You know. one small step > for mankind, and one huge step backwards for capitalism!" > - Warren Buffett > http://www.geocities.com/peopleplanes/Carrier/WB.html > > What's wrong with this? > For sure the expression > "one small step for mankind" Well, Warren, like any democrat, is counting net return averaged among all owners, past and present, and not individual fortunes made. Investors owning stock when an airline goes bankrupt have the same amount in losses that those they bought from had in gains if these original owners invested from the IPO forwards. Actually the losses would be greater than the gains, since IPOs usually sell for a significant dollar value and a bankrupt stock is worth pennies on the dollar. This does not mean that all that value disappeared. It is often picked up at bankruptcy auction at bargain prices by new ventures. Another error Buffet is committing is only counting airline companies specifically. Any fool who knows anything about the business know that the people that make the real profits are the aircraft makers and the companies that actually own the airliners that lease them to the airlines... However, plenty of individuals have made fortunes in the airline business. I happen to have known several such people, one who was involved in the Boeing/United marriage for many years, cashed out to help found a major Seattle bank. Another involved in the same venture, a fellow name of Gleed, his descendants I've known for years. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Thu Dec 4 13:27:36 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 05:27:36 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD [forteana] Neanderthal art? In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031204132736.96628.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> --- Kevin Freels wrote: > Hooray! Once again we see they were smarter than we give them credit > for! Have you SEEN the rock doll they are talking about? It has about as much artistic expression as a stick man. Whoopeedoo. Even if you continue to think it is artistic (I think you are assuming a degree of capacity for abstract expressionism mixed with dadaism that even most of todays humans can't handle), it IS dated only 35,000 years ago, when neanderthal was very old, was ending its tenure on earth and likely was making a few desperate stabs at attaining higher reasoning, perhaps with a little interbreeding help. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From megao at sasktel.net Thu Dec 4 14:32:19 2003 From: megao at sasktel.net (Extropian Agroforestry Ventures Inc.) Date: Thu, 04 Dec 2003 08:32:19 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Extropy #15 Timeline References: <5.1.0.14.2.20031203221744.05506008@mail.comcast.net> <3FCF11B2.1000308@dtext.com> Message-ID: <3FCF4572.E51831F9@sasktel.net> Might that be for people born in 1967 who make it to 2007 in good shape that nutrition and technology will slow the 40-50 span from 2007-2017 say by 50%; then the 2017-2027 span will be slowed by say 70% and the 2027-2037 span by 80% yielding a body with the wear and tear of a 50 years @ 70. By 2037 regenerative technology may reapair or replace the degeneration much more effectively and say if the efficiency of repair and regeneration increases to 90% for 30 years to 2067 then you have a 60 year old body with 100 chronological years. At 2067 If technology can replace and regenerate 100% then chronological age no longer matters. So 1967 as a start of the AGELESS GENERATION may not be so far off? Morris JDP wrote: > David Lubkin wrote: > > > > The nevers surprise me, particularly for "Two Century Biological Lifespans." > > Apparently what they meant is we would go straight from lifespans > shorter than two centuries to indefinite lifespans. (Drexler even gives > 1967 for indefinite lifespan.) > > Thanks Hal for providing this! > > Jacques > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From brian_a_lee at hotmail.com Thu Dec 4 15:21:53 2003 From: brian_a_lee at hotmail.com (Brian Lee) Date: Thu, 04 Dec 2003 10:21:53 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD [forteana] Neanderthal art? Message-ID: >From: "Kevin Freels" >Hooray! Once again we see they were smarter than we give them credit for! >It's crazy how our perception that they didn't have artistic abilities >relies on the fact that most of their art didn;t survive for tens of >thousands of years. I wonder how many original Dali paintings will be >around >in 50,000 years. No originals, but there will be 75 billion of his posters that survive from excavated college dorms. BAL _________________________________________________________________ Take advantage of our best MSN Dial-up offer of the year ? six months @$9.95/month. Sign up now! http://join.msn.com/?page=dept/dialup From brian_a_lee at hotmail.com Thu Dec 4 15:18:04 2003 From: brian_a_lee at hotmail.com (Brian Lee) Date: Thu, 04 Dec 2003 10:18:04 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] akerue Message-ID: Surface area should not affect water displacement. If both the crown and the lump were pure gold, it wouldn't matter the shape. I think it's more a matter of density and mass or something. Surface area comes into affect when dissolving solids into liquids but this wouldn't happen. As for the air bubbles, I hope that Archimedes presented the king with some sort of margin of error (after he calmed down of course). BAL >From: "Spike" >To: "'ExI chat list'" >Subject: [extropy-chat] akerue >Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 23:39:14 -0800 > > >King Heiron asked Archimedes if he could determine if >his new crown were pure gold. While bathing, he realized >that the water he displaced would have the same mass as >his body; therefore, he could measure the water displaced >by the crown against that displaced by an equal amount >of gold, determined that the king had indeed been >defrauded by his jeweler, streaked, shouting eureka! >and you know the story. > >But it occurred to me that a number of small, nearly invisible >air bubbles may have adhered to the irregular surfaces of >the crown, plus it likely had greater surface area than the >pure lump of gold, thus making the crown displace more water >than it would otherwise. Archimedes might have been >responsible for getting a possibly honest man executed. > >Akerue! > >spike > >_______________________________________________ >extropy-chat mailing list >extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org >http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat _________________________________________________________________ Don?t worry if your Inbox will max out while you are enjoying the holidays. Get MSN Extra Storage! http://join.msn.com/?PAGE=features/es From natashavita at earthlink.net Thu Dec 4 15:30:55 2003 From: natashavita at earthlink.net (natashavita at earthlink.net) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 10:30:55 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD [forteana] Neanderthal art? Message-ID: <54360-220031244153055597@M2W048.mail2web.com> ----------------- From: Brian Lee brian >From: "Kevin Freels" >Hooray! Once again we see they were smarter than we give them credit for! >It's crazy how our perception that they didn't have artistic abilities >relies on the fact that most of their art didn;t survive for tens of >thousands of years. I wonder how many original Dali paintings will be >around >in 50,000 years. >No originals, but there will be 75 billion of his posters that survive >from excavated college dorms. The graffite paintings on the bathroom walls may last longer - Digitized prints have a life-span that degenerated before 50,000 years. Same for photographic copies. Unless the Dalii prints are preserved in air-tight frames and mountings, the Neanderthal may still outlive them. Natasha -------------------------------------------------------------------- mail2web - Check your email from the web at http://mail2web.com/ . From sentience at pobox.com Thu Dec 4 16:01:46 2003 From: sentience at pobox.com (Eliezer S. Yudkowsky) Date: Thu, 04 Dec 2003 11:01:46 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Atheists barred from office in seven states Message-ID: <3FCF5A6A.9070809@pobox.com> http://www.nebraskaatheists.org/article1.htm Some samples: Article 6 Section 8 of North Carolina's State Constitution "Disqualifications of office. The following persons shall be disqualified for office: First, any person who shall deny the being of Almighty God." Article 4 Section 2 of South Carolina's State Constitution "No person shall be eligible to the office of Governor who denies the existence of the Supreme Being; ..." I checked and yes, this is accurate. The states whose constitutions discriminate against atheists are Maryland, Massachusetts, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Tennessee, and Texas. Maryland gets bonus points for apparently requiring belief in an afterlife, hell, and a male God. I think it's time for another federal Constitutional amendment. -- Eliezer S. Yudkowsky http://singinst.org/ Research Fellow, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence From cryofan at mylinuxisp.com Thu Dec 4 16:14:48 2003 From: cryofan at mylinuxisp.com (randy) Date: Thu, 04 Dec 2003 10:14:48 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age : libertarian fervor In-Reply-To: <20031204022007.35427.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> References: <000801c3b9ff$7c3a4b20$0200a8c0@etheric> <20031204022007.35427.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: On Wed, 3 Dec 2003 18:20:06 -0800 (PST), Lorrey wrote > >--- "R.Coyote" wrote: >> "Would others speak to where their libertarian fervor came from?" >e) being treated as a threat to national security by one of the major >political parties and its last presidential administration... Do tell? >_______________________________________________ >extropy-chat mailing list >extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org >http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat ------------- From spike66 at comcast.net Thu Dec 4 16:29:57 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 08:29:57 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] akerue In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <000b01c3ba83$db240980$6501a8c0@SHELLY> The reason I mentioned surface area is that the bubbles would stick on the surfaces of the gold. A crown has more surface than a lump of pure gold, so it has more places for the bubbles to stick. spike > -----Original Message----- > From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org > [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of Brian Lee > Sent: Thursday, December 04, 2003 7:18 AM > To: extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] akerue > > > Surface area should not affect water displacement. If both > the crown and the > lump were pure gold, it wouldn't matter the shape. I think > it's more a > matter of density and mass or something. Surface area comes > into affect when > dissolving solids into liquids but this wouldn't happen. > > As for the air bubbles, I hope that Archimedes presented the > king with some > sort of margin of error (after he calmed down of course). > > BAL > > >From: "Spike" > >To: "'ExI chat list'" > >Subject: [extropy-chat] akerue > >Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 23:39:14 -0800 > > > > > >King Heiron asked Archimedes if he could determine if > >his new crown were pure gold. While bathing, he realized > >that the water he displaced would have the same mass as > >his body; therefore, he could measure the water displaced > >by the crown against that displaced by an equal amount > >of gold, determined that the king had indeed been > >defrauded by his jeweler, streaked, shouting eureka! > >and you know the story. > > > >But it occurred to me that a number of small, nearly invisible > >air bubbles may have adhered to the irregular surfaces of > >the crown, plus it likely had greater surface area than the > >pure lump of gold, thus making the crown displace more water > >than it would otherwise. Archimedes might have been > >responsible for getting a possibly honest man executed. > > > >Akerue! > > > >spike > > > >_______________________________________________ > >extropy-chat mailing list > >extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > >http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > > _________________________________________________________________ > Don't worry if your Inbox will max out while you are enjoying > the holidays. > Get MSN Extra Storage! http://join.msn.com/?PAGE=features/es > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From spike66 at comcast.net Thu Dec 4 16:42:38 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 08:42:38 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] akerue In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <000c01c3ba85$a0a12d40$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > As for the air bubbles, I hope that Archimedes presented the > king with some sort of margin of error (after he calmed down of course). > > BAL I would hope so Brian. The measurement of density of a crown would be extremely tricky with the technology available at the time. It wouldn't be a slam dunk even today, if water displacement methods are used to find volume. You would have surface tension affects, possibly allowing the water level in the tub to be slightly higher than the drain hole for instance, as can be seen with a reversed meniscus in an overfilled water glass. Since the diameter of the tub would need to be sufficient to fit the crown, the possible error from surface tension alone would be enough to swamp the signal from a little bit of silver mixed with the gold. I would like someone to loan me a crown to play with, so that I might see if I could replicate Archimedes' measurement. Anyone have a spare gold crown lying about? spike From mlorrey at yahoo.com Thu Dec 4 17:23:37 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 09:23:37 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age : libertarian fervor In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031204172337.62087.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> --- randy wrote: > On Wed, 3 Dec 2003 18:20:06 -0800 (PST), Lorrey wrote > > > > >--- "R.Coyote" wrote: > >> "Would others speak to where their libertarian fervor came from?" > > >e) being treated as a threat to national security by one of the > major > >political parties and its last presidential administration... > > Do tell? Being a gun owner, and one who owned automatic weapons, numerous pronouncements by leaders of the DNC have stated that people like myself are domestic terrorists, threats to national security. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Thu Dec 4 17:43:41 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 09:43:41 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] akerue In-Reply-To: <000b01c3ba83$db240980$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031204174341.1347.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> --- Spike wrote: > The reason I mentioned surface area is that the bubbles > would stick on the surfaces of the gold. A crown has > more surface than a lump of pure gold, so it has more > places for the bubbles to stick. But have you actually sunk a crown in water to see what sticks? How about oil??? ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From hal at finney.org Thu Dec 4 18:04:40 2003 From: hal at finney.org (Hal Finney) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 10:04:40 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Brad DeLong on the economics of nanotech Message-ID: <200312041804.hB4I4eL23677@finney.org> Slashdot points this morning to an article by Berkeley economist Brad DeLong on the economic implications of nanotech, http://www.j-bradford-delong.net/movable_type/2003_archives/002838.html. DeLong is good writer and seems to be a sharp economist. He's got a bloggish site with frequent updates and lots of links to economic resources. It's not a bad place to learn some economics from. In this case, though, I was disappointed by his article. It starts off promisingly enough; he identies four questions which can guide an analysis of the economics impact of any new technology: - What commodities--what goods and services--become extraordinarily cheap as a result of the technological revolution? - What human activities--what jobs and skills--become key bottlenecks, and thus become remarkably valuable and well-paid? - What risks blindside the society as the technology spreads? - What risks do people guard against that turn out not to be risks at all? He then shows an example of how these questions could work by looking at the early industrial revolution, specifically the impact of automation on the textile industry: 1. Clothing became amazingly cheap. 2. Engineers and technicians became increasingly valuable. 3. Increased demand for cotton extended the institution of slavery another 50 years. 4. Unfounded fears of inequality prompted the creation of communism as an ideology. One point missed by his list is the people who lose out, at least in the short term; in this case the textile workers. I think his second item should be extended to list both winners and losers. With regard to communism, DeLong makes a point which I will reference below: "In retrospect, however, we can see that they sought to guard against a danger that wasn't there: the share of total production paid to workers has been remarkably constant over the past two centuries--the predictions of the immiserization of the working class were completely wrong." Now we turn to nanotech. DeLong "speculates" about three phases of impact: first, improved materials; second, a "biological" wave; and third, Drexlerian nanotech. I'm not sure what these last two are, but it doesn't matter, because he doesn't know, either, so he doesn't discuss them. All he looks at is the impact of improved materials. And even there, his comments are limited to the prediction that increased durability and "smartness" of materials will halve the size of the manufacturing work force, and eliminate much of the service sector dealing with repair and maintenance. Winners, in his view, will be the programmers and technicians who can manipulate and "program" the smart materials. He then goes off on a tangent about how American society is supposedly under-investing in education and so we won't have a smart enough labor force to deal with these new challenges. He also is concerned that these changes will increase income inequality as relatively unskilled jobs are replaced by ones requiring more education. This is a disappointingly shallow and unsupported analysis. Just taking that last point first, the industrial revolution replaced dumb jobs with smart ones, but as he emphasized, it did not have the income inequality effects that Marx predicted. DeLong appears to be forgetting the very historical lesson that he presented a few paragraphs earlier. But going to his main predictions, why would better materials inherently halve the size of the work force? Wouldn't demand increase for these materials, since they will have more uses than the ones we have today? The textile revolution was a change in *how* things are made; many fewer people could produce the same goods. But this early pre-nanotech revolution is a change in *what* things are made. We don't have self reproducing factories or home assemblers at this stage. You're still going to need a manufacturing work force. It's possible that increased durability will eventually decrease demand for goods, because they're not wearing out as quickly. But I think people are going to want new goods anyway, because due to continued progress and innovation, the new goods will be of much higher quality than the old ones. The result will be that used and second-hand merchandise will be widely and cheaply available and still be of good quality. Overall, I thought DeLong got off to a good start and that his framework was useful. But it will take someone with more imagination and a better understanding of the technology to apply these ideas to the real impact of nanotech. Hal From cryofan at mylinuxisp.com Thu Dec 4 18:20:38 2003 From: cryofan at mylinuxisp.com (randy) Date: Thu, 04 Dec 2003 12:20:38 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Consensus :Expressio unius est exclusioalterius In-Reply-To: <00a101c3b6b9$323b7bf0$3bb5ff3e@artemis> References: <00a201c3b5cc$f477beb0$3bb5ff3e@artemis><000f01c3b5e4$0c2f4020$0200a8c0@etheric><01bc01c3b5e8$a6f96c30$3bb5ff3e@artemis><006801c3b60f$42d8e060$0200a8c0@etheric><028601c3b612$a1527c70$3bb5ff3e@artemis> <010601c3b631$4044a880$0200a8c0@etheric> <00a101c3b6b9$323b7bf0$3bb5ff3e@artemis> Message-ID: On Sat, 29 Nov 2003 20:41:42 -0000, Dirk wrote > >The Consensus:- >The political party for the new millennium >http://www.theconsensus.org I really like your new political party. It aligns fairly well with my own political beliefs. However, since there probably only about a dozen people in the entire world who adhere to these same political beliefs, I doubt it will take the world by storm, and the chances of it making any dent here in the USA is of course nil. But how do you feel about the European welfare states? You wrote: "From the Right we believe in individual responsibility to balance individual rights and that less government is best government ? that governments should regulate, but not act as an employer or wealth producer. " This would seem to cast the European welfare states in a less favorable light? You also wrote: "We are nationalists in that we believe that every major cultural group should have its own homeland and live under laws of its own choosing and in its own way. Also that the independent nation state is the last line of defence for the common people against exploitation by unrestrained Global Capitalism. We are 'inclusive nationalists' in that we believe that all of our citizens have equal rights and are equally welcome irrespective of race. So if you are looking for nationalists who are not racists, sexists or into euphemisms such as 'traditional values', here we are. Our nationalism is a celebration of our future, not the past." I completely agree about having homelands and nation as small and as homogeneous as possible. This increases the available amount of Social Capital, which gives more leverage to the citizens over those entities and persons who have more financial leverage. ------------- From thespike at earthlink.net Thu Dec 4 22:15:28 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 16:15:28 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Nanogen's new patents in nanotech andnanomanufacturing References: <5.1.0.14.2.20031203122201.06059b40@mail.earthlink.net> Message-ID: <004001c3bab4$21ad7000$f2994a43@texas.net> This has more detail: Nanogen Issued Key Nanotechnology Patent Newly Issued Patent Broadens Proprietary Position in Nanomanufacturing and Nanotechnology December 3, 2003; San Diego, CA (PRNewswire-FirstCall) -- Nanogen, Inc. (Nasdaq:NGEN) today announced that it has been issued U.S. Patent No. 6,652,808, "Methods for the Electronic Assembly and Fabrication of Devices," ("the '808 patent") by the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office. This patent is the parent of a series of pending patent applications that significantly broaden Nanogen's proprietary position in the nanotechnology and nanomanufacturing areas. The Company has now been issued nine patents during 2003, bringing the total number of patents issued in the U.S. to 56. "One of the challenges in producing new electronic and photonic devices using nanoscale components is the integration of these components into viable higher order devices. The new Nanogen patent describes a unique electric field 'pick and place' process that facilitates the bringing together or integration of diverse DNA nanocomponents, thereby helping solve difficult scaling issues. Combining the top-down electric field process with the bottom-up DNA self-assembly process enables more selective and higher precision incorporation of nanoscale components into higher order devices and structures," said Dr. Michael J. Heller, co-founder of Nanogen, one of the inventors, and currently a Professor in the Departments of Bioengineering and Electrical and Computer Engineering at the University of California, San Diego. "The technology described by Nanogen's new patent may provide a technological foundation for the effective use of nanocomponents in many diverse applications," said Howard Birndorf, Nanogen chairman and CEO. "As we continue to increase and broaden our intellectual property portfolio, we intend to realize value from our nanotechnology patents through licensing or partnering opportunities. Congress' recent commitment to nanotechnology research and development underscores the potential our technologies may have for impacting several industries, including medicine." The new nanotechnology patent relates to a nanofabrication technology that combines an electric field assisted manufacturing platform and programmable self-assembling nanostructures (for example, DNA building blocks) for the fabrication of a wide range of unique higher-order nano and microscale devices, structures, and materials. The nanofabrication platform and process would be used for: (1) producing new nanoscale electronic and photonic devices and structures, including high-density 2D and 3D data storage materials, 2D and 3D photonic crystal structures, hybrid electronic/photonic devices such as large area light emitting flat panel arrays and displays, and for the fabrication of highly integrated medical diagnostic and biosensor devices; (2) organization, assembly and interconnection of nanostructures and submicron components onto silicon wafers and other materials; (3) integration of nanostructures within preformed microelectronic and optoelectronic structures; (4) production of precision modified nanoparticles (for example, photonic crystals, nanospheres and quantum dots) which can then more efficiently self-assemble into 2D and 3D structures and materials (photonic band gap structures, nanocomposite materials and so forth); and (5) fabrication of selectively addressable DNA nanoarray substrates and materials. The patent represents a unique nanofabrication technology which combines the best aspects of top-down microfabrication processes with bottom-up biological type self-assembly processes for producing novel nanodevices and nanostructures. The process is highly parallel and has an inherent hierarchical logic allowing one to control the organization, assembly and communication of components from the molecular and nanoscale into macroscale devices and structures. The '808 patent is jointly owned by Nanotronics, Inc., a wholly owned subsidiary of Nanogen, and the Regents of the University of California. Nanogen has exclusively licensed the interests of the University of California where there is joint inventorship. Additionally, Nanogen disclosed the issuance over the last several months of three patents relating to electronic microarray technology. The three additional issued patents are U.S. Patent No. 6,582,660 "Control System for Active Programmable Electronic Microbiology System," U.S. Patent No. 6,589,742 "Multiplex Amplification and Separation of Nucleic Acid Sequences on a Bioelectronic Microchip Using Asymmetric Structures," and U.S. Patent No. 6,638,482 "Reconfigurable Detection and Analysis Apparatus and Method." For additional information please visit Nanogen's website at www.nanogen.com. SOURCE Nanogen, Inc. CO: Nanogen, Inc. ST: California SU: PDT Web site: http://www.nanogen.com http://www.prnewswire.com 12/03/2003 08:01 EST From nanogirl at halcyon.com Thu Dec 4 23:47:22 2003 From: nanogirl at halcyon.com (Gina Miller) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 15:47:22 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Nanogirl News~ Message-ID: <013101c3bac0$f9b40e80$3f80e40c@NANOGIRL> The Nanogirl News December 4, 2003 President Bush Signs Nanotechnology Research and Development Act. Today (Dec.3) at the White House, the President signed into law the 21st Century Nanotechnology Research and Development Act, which authorizes funding for nanotechnology research and development (R&D) over four years, starting in FY 2005. This legislation puts into law programs and activities supported by the National Nanotechnology Initiative (NNI), one of the President's highest multi-agency R&D priorities. (THE WHITEHOUSE 12/3/03) http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2003/12/20031203-7.html -Here is the Presidents statement on this action (The White House 12/03): http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2003/12/20031203-12.html -Also see: Signed, Sealed, Delivered: Nano is President's Prefix of the day. Here you can download the PDF file of the 21st Century Nanotechnology Research and Development Act. (12/3/03 SmallTimes) http://www.smalltimes.com/document_display.cfm?document_id=7035 (News related to the above Act.) The government says "no" to federally funded nanobots... Perhaps most interesting, though, is what the bill apparently does not fund: research into so-called molecular nanotechnology, a theoretical approach to nanotech that proposes the creation of "molecular assemblers," which could build complex products from molecular level up. It is this version of nanotech, promoted by nanotech guru Eric Drexler that often appears in science fiction, where trillions of tiny, self-replicating nanorobots can transform matter into just about anything. But most nanotech researchers-including Nobel laureate Richard Smalley, co-discoverer of carbon buckeyball molecules-are skeptical of this vision. The bill does allow a "one-time study to determine the technical feasibility of molecular self-assembly for the manufacture of materials and devices at the molecular scale." But self-assembly is not the same thing as self-replication, with the former being a proven chemical process being developed in nanotech labs. The original House version of the bill did contain an explicit passage that unmistakably referred to Drexlerian molecular manufacturing, including use of the phrase "self-replication." It appears that in substituting the word "assembly" for "replication," some savvy bill writer performed a bit of legislative jujitsu to leave Drexler's approach out in the cold. After all, why investigate the feasibility of self-assembly when it's already been proved possible? (USNews 12/2/03) http://www.usnews.com/usnews/nycu/tech/nextnews/nexthome.htm Experts debate the future of nanotechnology. Two giants in the field of nanotechnology face off in an exclusive point-counterpoint debate about the future of this burgeoning field of science in the Dec. 1 issue of Chemical & Engineering News (available online here: http://pubs.acs.org/cen/coverstory/8148/8148counterpoint.html), the weekly newsmagazine of the American Chemical Society, the world's largest scientific society. K. Eric Drexler, Ph.D., cofounder of the Foresight Institute in Palo Alto, Calif., and the person who coined the term "nanotechnology," and Richard E. Smalley, Ph.D., a professor at Rice University and winner of the 1996 Nobel Prize in Chemistry, debate a fundamental question of nanotechnology: Are "molecular assemblers" - devices capable of positioning atoms and molecules for precisely defined reactions in almost any environment - physically possible? (Eurekalert 12/2/03) http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2003-12/acs-dt120203.php Also see an Analysis of the above exchange written by Chris Phoenix, Director of Center for Responsible Nanotechnology (CRN). http://crnano.org/Debate.htm Nanoguitar Promises New Sensor And Electronics Applications. Six years ago Cornell University researchers built the world's smallest guitar - about the size of a red blood cell - to demonstrate the possibility of manufacturing tiny mechanical devices using techniques originally designed for building microelectronic circuits. Now, by "playing" a new, streamlined nanoguitar, Cornell physicists are demonstrating how such devices could substitute for electronic circuit components to make circuits smaller, cheaper and more energy-efficient. (SpaceDaily 11/19/03) http://www.spacedaily.com/news/nanotech-03zzk.html The Architecture of the Very Small (210 KB PDF). For nanostructured solids, it's not just the chemistry, it's the way they're put together. (Today's Chemist at Work Nov. 2003) http://pubs.acs.org/subscribe/journals/tcaw/12/i11/pdf/1103mcguire.pdf Nano research eyes ink jet-printed 'sheets' of circuits. NanoProducts Corp. lab researchers have begun work on nanoscale devices that may lead to the formation of "plastic" circuit elements and circuit "sheets" fabricated with ink jet printers within three years. The company's researchers have started the evolution toward such products by integrating nanoscale materials with existing micron-sized devices and composites, enhancing their performance and lowering their cost. (EETimes 11/20/03) http://www.eet.com/at/n/news/OEG20031120S0017 Nanotech instruments allow first direct observations of RNA 'proofreading'. When Ralph Waldo Emerson said that nature pardons no mistakes, he wasn't thinking about RNA polymerase (RNAP) - the versatile enzyme that copies genes from DNA onto strands of RNA, which then serve as templates for all of the proteins that make life possible. Emerson's comment notwithstanding, RNAP makes plenty of mistakes but also proofreads and corrects them before they have a chance to create abnormal proteins. (Eurekalert 11/25/03) http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2003-11/su-nia112503.php "Nano" in firm's name fuels stock's hefty gain. A growing fascination with nanotechnology seems to be doing wonders for the stock price of Nanometrics. Too bad the company's only connection with the hot field of molecular-scale machinery is the first four letters of its name and a stock ticker, NANO. But that, apparently, is enough to confuse some investors. (USAToday 12/4/03) http://www.usatoday.com/tech/techinvestor/techcorporatenews/2003-12-04-nano- nono_x.htm DuPont-led Scientists Unveil Key Nanotechnology Discovery with Use of DNA. Sorting Carbon Nanotubes Provides Significant Step in Advancing Nano-Electronics Applications. A collaborative group of DuPont-led scientists have discovered an innovative way to advance electronics applications through the use of DNA that sorts carbon nanotubes. This research in the emerging field of nanotechnology appears in the current issue of the journal Science, which is published by the AAAS - the world's largest general scientific organization. The research paper is titled " Structure-Based Carbon Nanotube Sorting by Sequence-Dependent DNA Assembly." (DuPont 12/2/03) http://www1.dupont.com/NASApp/dupontglobal/corp/index.jsp?page=/content/US/e n_US/news/releases/2003/nr12_02_03a.html Shares of Nanogen Inc. skyrocketed 61 percent after the company received a "Methods for the Electronic Assembly and Fabrication of Devices" patent from the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office, the lead patent in a series of pending applications that will strengthen Nanogen's proprietary position in the nanotechnology and nanomanufacturing fields, the company said. (Pharmexec 12/4/03) http://www.pharmexec.com/pharmexec/article/articleDetail.jsp?id=77969 TNT Weekly: deletion of MNT study from nano bill is "a farce". Issue #13 of TNT Weekly (which will be archived here), the leading nanotech industry e-newsletter, covers the recent deletion of a molecular manufacturing study from the new U.S. nanotech legislation: " --The plot thickens and the nanotech bill gets sillier--Last week we had some fun with the recent nanotech bill in the US, especially the plan for a one-time study to determine the feasibility of making things using molecular self-assembly, which makes about as much sense as conducting a one-time study into the feasibility of sharpening a stick with a sharp knife. With a combination of cynicism and naivet?, we assumed that the bill had got away from those who actually understood nanotech and ended up in the hands of politicians who didn't understand the difference between self-assembly and molecular assemblers, the result being a terminological boo-boo in the part that was meant to direct figuring out whether Drexlerian-style molecular nanotechnology (MNT) and molecular manufacturing are actually feasible. We were not alone. Quite a few people, it seemed, thought that the MNT crowd had been given the chance to make their case or forever hold their peace. Even the skeptics seemed to think this was fair dinkum." (Nanodot 12/3/03) http://nanodot.org/article.pl?sid=03/12/04/0216244 Scientists grow carbon nanofibres straight onto plastic. Researchers from the University of Cambridge, UK, have deposited carbon nanofibres directly onto plastic substrates using plasma-enhanced chemical vapour deposition. The arrays of fibres could have applications as field emitters in displays. (Nanotechweb 12/4/03) http://www.nanotechweb.org/articles/news/2/12/2/1 Kettering University Researchers Discover New Way to Produce Nanotubes. Nanotubes have thermal conductivity better than diamonds, electro-conductivity better than copper, and can withstand very high temperatures. Researchers at Kettering University have discovered a different method for producing nanotubes, which is one of the U.S. government's best-funded technology areas...The Kettering team's procedure for creating nanotubes is "actually a simpler way of doing it than had previously been done," said Bahram Roughani, associate professor of Applied Physics. Established methods include arc discharge, laser ablation or pulsed laser vaporization (PLV), chemical vapor deposition and gas phase processes, such as high-pressure carbon monoxide (HiPCO). (Kettering University 12/4/03) http://home.businesswire.com/portal/site/google/index.jsp?ndmViewId=news_vie w&newsId=20031204005092&newsLang=en Major nanotechnology hurdle not so worrisome, thanks to Indiana University chemistry discovery. According to the classic rules of physics, substances melt at a lower temperature when their sizes decrease. But scientists at Indiana University Bloomington have found that at least one substance, gallium, breaks the rules, remaining stable as a solid at temperatures as much as 400 degrees Fahrenheit above the element's normal melting point. Their report will be published in an upcoming issue of Physical Review Letters. The discovery gives hope to some nanotechnologists and "nanocomputer" engineers, who have been worried that components will behave unpredictably at smaller sizes, possibly even melting at room temperature. (innovations report 12/3/03) http://www.innovations-report.com/html/reports/life_sciences/report-23865.ht ml 'Stuffed' nanotubes could enable high-density storage. Researchers here have succeeded in loading carbon nanotubes with magnetic materials, an advance that could enable the use of the tiny cylinders for making extremely high-density data storage devices. (EETimes 11/25/03) http://www.eet.com/at/n/news/OEG20031125S0035 Robot Nation? A couple of columns ago, I wrote a piece called Kent Brockman on Unemployment, describing the impact of robots and automation on employment. In the comments section, someone posted a link to some things that the writer and founder of HowStuffWorks Marshall Brain has written. Brain thinks that we'll be losing jobs wholesale to robots in the very near future, long before things like nanotechnology have a chance to change the world: (TCS: Tech Central Station 12/3/03) http://www.techcentralstation.com/120303B.html Nanosensor smells the faintest scent. Nanostructures could detect a few molecules of perfume, says a Japanese researcher working on a cheaper way to make these structures using ultra thin films. Professor Toyoki Kunitake from the Japan Science and Technology Agency presented his research at an Australian nanotechnology conference at the University of Melbourne yesterday. The structures are very small, "one millionth of one millionth of a metre", Kunitake told ABC Science Online. (ABC Science Australia 12/3/03) http://www.abc.net.au/science/news/stories/s1001890.htm (Gaming) Codemasters Announce Perimeter. Codemasters today announced that it has picked up worldwide publishing rights to a groundbreaking new Real-Time Strategy (RTS), currently in development at 1C for the PC...Through nanotechnology players can transform units on the battlefield, giving scope for tactical opportunities to adapt combat units to a particular situation and keep up with any changes that occur during the battle. (TotalVideoGames 12/2/03) http://www.totalvideogames.com/?section=Read%20News&id=4207&gameid=3524&form at=000007 Nanotechnology center causing controversy. Nanotechnology has emerged as a controversial issue at UAlbany. A heated meeting by the UAlbany senate on the hot-button issue took place Monday night. All the controversy centers around Professor Richard Collier, because he presented a resolution questioning the development of the School of Nanosciences and Nanoengineering at the university. (Capital News 9 12/2/03) http://www.capitalnews9.com/content/headlines/?ArID=49847&SecID=33 (Movie-Review) Nanotechnology is one of the current hot topics in various fields of science and medicine. Essentially, the idea is that small machines can be made and programmed to perform a host of different tasks, sight unseen, with endless possibilities. Recent television shows, including Andromeda and Jake 2.0 explore some applications of such technology, albeit by greatly advancing what we can do today. A newly released OVA anime series, Zaion: I Wish You Were Here 1: Epidemic, explores the idea in another way, this time as a means to combat an alien virus. (DVD Talk 11/30/03) http://www.dvdtalk.com/reviews/read.php?ID=8501 Technique allows scientists to fine-tune strength and conductivity of nanotube-laced materials. University of Pennsylvania researchers have developed a technique to customize nanotube-laced materials. While notoriously difficult to manipulate, nanotubes can provide added strength or conductivity to materials, depending on how the nanotubes are oriented. The Penn engineers have developed a production technique that permits a finer and more precise dispersion of nanotubes within a material. (Eurekalert 12/2/03) http://www.upenn.edu/pennnews/article.php?id=565 (Japan) How safe is nanotechnology? Although nanotechnology is said to have the potential to drastically alter 21st-century society, there must be a thorough assessment of the risks nanomaterials could pose to human health and the ecosystem. In October, expectations surged in the academic world that the Nobel Prize in Chemistry might be awarded to a Japanese researcher for the fourth consecutive year. Meijo University Prof. Sumio Iijima was considered the strongest among the Japanese candidates for the prize. This is because Iijima is known for his 1991 discovery of the carbon nanotube, an ultrafine carbon material measuring several thousandths of a human hair in diameter. Iijima's discovery sparked nanotechnology studies worldwide. (The Daily Yomiuri) http://www.yomiuri.co.jp/newse/20031128wo71.htm Intern makes huge impact on nanotechnology. Rob Sobelman thought researching the technique of creating carbon nanotubes would be boring. He ended up making a major scientific discovery...For his part, Rob discovered that heating to 1,000 degrees Celsius during the process of making carbon nanotubes not only produced significantly more of them, but it also made them longer and straighter - a major benefit in using the structures, such as in computers and transistors. (The Advocate 11/27/03) http://www.stamfordadvocate.com/news/local/state/hc-27121224.apds.m0382.bc-c t-fea--nov27,0,7857307.story?coll=hc-headlines-local-wire Seasons greetings, Gina "Nanogirl" Miller Nanotechnology Industries http://www.nanoindustries.com Personal: http://www.nanogirl.com Foresight Senior Associate http://www.foresight.org Nanotechnology Advisor Extropy Institute http://www.extropy.org Tech-Aid Advisor http://www.tech-aid.info/t/all-about.html nanogirl at halcyon.com "Nanotechnology: Solutions for the future." From oregan.emlyn at healthsolve.com.au Fri Dec 5 01:01:51 2003 From: oregan.emlyn at healthsolve.com.au (Emlyn O'regan) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 11:31:51 +1030 Subject: [extropy-chat] akerue Message-ID: <7A2B25F8EB070940996FA543A70A217BBFE12C@adlexsv02.protech.com.au> The difference in water displacement would have to have been pretty significant to prove the point. I doubt that bubbles would have affected it significantly. Emlyn > -----Original Message----- > From: Spike [mailto:spike66 at comcast.net] > Sent: Friday, 5 December 2003 2:00 AM > To: 'ExI chat list' > Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] akerue > > > The reason I mentioned surface area is that the bubbles > would stick on the surfaces of the gold. A crown has > more surface than a lump of pure gold, so it has more > places for the bubbles to stick. spike > > > -----Original Message----- > > From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org > > [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf > Of Brian Lee > > Sent: Thursday, December 04, 2003 7:18 AM > > To: extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > > Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] akerue > > > > > > Surface area should not affect water displacement. If both > > the crown and the > > lump were pure gold, it wouldn't matter the shape. I think > > it's more a > > matter of density and mass or something. Surface area comes > > into affect when > > dissolving solids into liquids but this wouldn't happen. > > > > As for the air bubbles, I hope that Archimedes presented the > > king with some > > sort of margin of error (after he calmed down of course). > > > > BAL > > > > >From: "Spike" > > >To: "'ExI chat list'" > > >Subject: [extropy-chat] akerue > > >Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 23:39:14 -0800 > > > > > > > > >King Heiron asked Archimedes if he could determine if > > >his new crown were pure gold. While bathing, he realized > > >that the water he displaced would have the same mass as > > >his body; therefore, he could measure the water displaced > > >by the crown against that displaced by an equal amount > > >of gold, determined that the king had indeed been > > >defrauded by his jeweler, streaked, shouting eureka! > > >and you know the story. > > > > > >But it occurred to me that a number of small, nearly invisible > > >air bubbles may have adhered to the irregular surfaces of > > >the crown, plus it likely had greater surface area than the > > >pure lump of gold, thus making the crown displace more water > > >than it would otherwise. Archimedes might have been > > >responsible for getting a possibly honest man executed. > > > > > >Akerue! > > > > > >spike > > > > > >_______________________________________________ > > >extropy-chat mailing list > > >extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > > >http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > > > > _________________________________________________________________ > > Don't worry if your Inbox will max out while you are enjoying > > the holidays. > > Get MSN Extra Storage! http://join.msn.com/?PAGE=features/es > > > > _______________________________________________ > > extropy-chat mailing list > > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From wingcat at pacbell.net Fri Dec 5 01:16:35 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 17:16:35 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Atheists barred from office in seven states In-Reply-To: <3FCF5A6A.9070809@pobox.com> Message-ID: <20031205011635.25476.qmail@web80410.mail.yahoo.com> --- "Eliezer S. Yudkowsky" wrote: > Article 6 Section 8 of North Carolina's State > Constitution > "Disqualifications of office. The following persons > shall be disqualified > for office: First, any person who shall deny the > being of Almighty God." > > Article 4 Section 2 of South Carolina's State > Constitution > "No person shall be eligible to the office of > Governor who denies the > existence of the Supreme Being; ..." > > I checked and yes, this is accurate. > > The states whose constitutions discriminate against > atheists are > Maryland, Massachusetts, North Carolina, > Pennsylvania, South Carolina, > Tennessee, and Texas. Maryland gets bonus points > for apparently requiring > belief in an afterlife, hell, and a male God. > > I think it's time for another federal Constitutional > amendment. Nope. This was prohibited even before the First Amendment came along - see Article VI of the Constitution: > no religious Test shall ever be required as a > Qualification to any Office or public Trust under > the United States. This applies at all levels of government - federal, state, local, any any other. See http://caselaw.lp.findlaw.com/scripts/getcase.pl?navby=case&court=us&vol=459&invol=116 for an example of state laws promoting religion getting struck down for that reason. Or see http://caselaw.lp.findlaw.com/scripts/getcase.pl?navby=case&court=us&vol=367&invol=488 for a more direct example of this kind of religious requirement for public office being disqualified. Someone needs to argue this in the courts. See the current case over the Pledge of Allegiance...which is so legally open-and-shut, it's being won by a single person representing himself despite massive opposition. There are times when the law is extremely clear, and this is one of them. From thespike at earthlink.net Fri Dec 5 03:14:40 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 21:14:40 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Atheists barred from office in seven states References: <20031205011635.25476.qmail@web80410.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <013e01c3bade$182cc880$f2994a43@texas.net> And rightly so! Atheists will never understand the true nature of the world, as revealed for example at http://objective.jesussave.us/kangaroo.html Damien Broderick [I *think* it's a prank, but you can never be sure] From mbb386 at main.nc.us Fri Dec 5 03:41:51 2003 From: mbb386 at main.nc.us (MB) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 22:41:51 -0500 (Eastern Standard Time) Subject: [extropy-chat] Atheists barred from office in seven states In-Reply-To: <013e01c3bade$182cc880$f2994a43@texas.net> References: <20031205011635.25476.qmail@web80410.mail.yahoo.com> <013e01c3bade$182cc880$f2994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: Yes, IMHO that's a prank. Why? Check out the store - http://www.cafeshops.com/objectivemin/ most particularly the "Ruby Matrimony Thong" http://www.cafeshops.com/objectivemin.3749749 That's just *gotta* be a joke! :))) Regards, MB On Thu, 4 Dec 2003, Damien Broderick wrote: > http://objective.jesussave.us/kangaroo.html > > Damien Broderick > [I *think* it's a prank, but you can never be sure] From fauxever at sprynet.com Fri Dec 5 03:50:42 2003 From: fauxever at sprynet.com (Olga Bourlin) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 19:50:42 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Atheists barred from office in seven states References: <20031205011635.25476.qmail@web80410.mail.yahoo.com> <013e01c3bade$182cc880$f2994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <007e01c3bae2$f4eb1c50$6400a8c0@brainiac> From: "Damien Broderick" > And rightly so! Atheists will never understand the true nature of the world, > as revealed for example at > > http://objective.jesussave.us/kangaroo.html > > [I *think* it's a prank, but you can never be sure] It's a very good prank, indeed. Go to the link just below ("Ministries Online Store"). "Ruby *Matrimony Thong*?" "Hopsiah the Kanga-Jew Jr. Raglan?" "Mr. Gruff Atheist Witnessing Shirt?" http://www.cafeshops.com/objectivemin/ Then go here (now search for "Skeet" (the "Abstinence Czar!!!?))": http://objective.jesussave.us/members.html#PALEY The tipoff is there's no method of contacting them (that I could decipher). Olga -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From fauxever at sprynet.com Fri Dec 5 04:05:51 2003 From: fauxever at sprynet.com (Olga Bourlin) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 20:05:51 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Atheists barred from office in seven states References: <20031205011635.25476.qmail@web80410.mail.yahoo.com> <013e01c3bade$182cc880$f2994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <00de01c3bae5$12c6c740$6400a8c0@brainiac> One so-funny-it's-sad (or is it the other way around?) case was Herb Silverman's, who was barred from becoming a *notary public* (perhaps the lowest government position imaginable. Sheesh...): http://archive.aclu.org/news/w100396b.html http://www.ffrf.org/fttoday/september95/notary.html Olga From thespike at earthlink.net Fri Dec 5 04:35:51 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 22:35:51 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Atheists barred from office in seven states References: <20031205011635.25476.qmail@web80410.mail.yahoo.com> <013e01c3bade$182cc880$f2994a43@texas.net> <007e01c3bae2$f4eb1c50$6400a8c0@brainiac> Message-ID: <017a01c3bae9$44b402a0$f2994a43@texas.net> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Olga Bourlin" Sent: Thursday, December 04, 2003 9:50 PM >It's a very good prank, indeed. Go to the link just below ("Ministries Online Store"). http://www.cafeshops.com/objectivemin/ I especially like the Irreducibly Complex Mousepad $11.50 Damien Broderick From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Fri Dec 5 05:17:46 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 00:17:46 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Atheists barred from office in seven states In-Reply-To: <007e01c3bae2$f4eb1c50$6400a8c0@brainiac> Message-ID: <00bb01c3baef$21b92e00$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Damien Broderick wrote, > http://objective.jesussave.us/kangaroo.html > > [I *think* it's a prank, but you can never be sure] This site is owned by "NOK NOK" of "IdeaFlood, Inc.", PO Box 11289, Zepher Cove, NV 89448. Their contact is noc at ideaflood.com. Their phone number is 7755887862. Their FAX number is 7755887823. They also send thousands of pornographic spam advertisements around the world. A list of complaints about pornographic spam from can be found by Googling newsgroups for "noc at ideaflood.com" . The ideaflood.com site is blocked by most spam blockers. Information about the spamming from this site can be found by Googling "ideaflood.com" . -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From spike66 at comcast.net Fri Dec 5 06:10:52 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 22:10:52 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Atheists barred from office in seven states In-Reply-To: <013e01c3bade$182cc880$f2994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <003801c3baf6$89d16af0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > And rightly so! Atheists will never understand the true > nature of the world, as revealed for example at > http://objective.jesussave.us/kangaroo.html Damien Broderick [I *think* it's a prank, but you can never be sure] Damien, it isn't a joke. They are serious, even if it is absurd. Trust me on this one pal, I know wherewithal. spike From spike66 at comcast.net Fri Dec 5 06:33:00 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 22:33:00 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Atheists barred from office in seven states In-Reply-To: <00bb01c3baef$21b92e00$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <003901c3baf9$a15e22f0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> This is an interesting one. The actual material in the website identified by Harvey is quoted and used by creationists. Now it appears it is a front for a pornographic distributor. This is just too good. I guess that would be an excellent place to hide if one is a pornographer. Clearly they have done quite a bit of work to disguise themselves, to the point of generating material that is actually used by churchmen. {8-] This is evidently satire, so well written it has actually been used by creationists. spike http://objective.jesussave.us/members.html#PALEY Dr. Richard Paley Dr. Richard Paley comes to our movement through his involvement in fighting other forms of anti-Christian hatecrimes. He has lead successful boycotts against Sears and Piggly-Wiggly and has spearheaded the movement to stop Evolutionism from being forced on the children of Marian County. His experience in dealing with secularism's desperate grasp on power has proved invaluable as we move into the next phase of our campaign. Dr. Paley teaches Divinity and Theobiology at Fellowship University. > -----Original Message----- > From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org > [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of > Harvey Newstrom > Sent: Thursday, December 04, 2003 9:18 PM > To: 'ExI chat list' > Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] Atheists barred from office in > seven states > > > Damien Broderick wrote, > > http://objective.jesussave.us/kangaroo.html > > > > [I *think* it's a prank, but you can never be sure] > > This site is owned by "NOK NOK" of "IdeaFlood, Inc.", PO Box > 11289, Zepher > Cove, NV 89448. Their contact is noc at ideaflood.com. Their > phone number is > 7755887862. Their FAX number is 7755887823. > > They also send thousands of pornographic spam advertisements > around the > world. From neptune at superlink.net Fri Dec 5 12:15:42 2003 From: neptune at superlink.net (Technotranscendence) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 07:15:42 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Trouble With Democracy Message-ID: <00d801c3bb29$81eaae40$4fcd5cd1@neptune> I thought this might be relevant to the recent discussion of democracy on this list. Dan 'Demokratie. Der Gott, Der Keiner Ist' by Hans-Hermann Hoppe Translation of the preface to the just-published German edition [Leipzig: Manuscriptum] of Democracy. The God That Failed. **** It gives me great satisfaction and confidence to see my most recent book published in Germany. That is not quite as obvious as it may appear, for Germany is not a free country. Not even freedom of speech exists in Germany. Here, whoever publicly contradicts certain governmentally approved pronouncements will be jailed, and whoever expresses "politically incorrect" ideas will be neutralized and silenced. For the rest of this story, see http://www.lewrockwell.com/hoppe/hoppe9.html From eugen at leitl.org Fri Dec 5 15:22:52 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 16:22:52 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Atheists barred from office in seven states In-Reply-To: <013e01c3bade$182cc880$f2994a43@texas.net> References: <20031205011635.25476.qmail@web80410.mail.yahoo.com> <013e01c3bade$182cc880$f2994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <20031205152252.GY5783@leitl.org> On Thu, Dec 04, 2003 at 09:14:40PM -0600, Damien Broderick wrote: > And rightly so! Atheists will never understand the true nature of the world, > as revealed for example at > > http://objective.jesussave.us/kangaroo.html Is the site still up? I'm getting only a redirect to http://www.web1000.com/ It's either been pulled, or does geographically-aware redirect. > Damien Broderick > [I *think* it's a prank, but you can never be sure] -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From mlorrey at yahoo.com Fri Dec 5 15:34:37 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 07:34:37 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] The Trouble With Democracy In-Reply-To: <00d801c3bb29$81eaae40$4fcd5cd1@neptune> Message-ID: <20031205153437.71663.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> --- Technotranscendence wrote: > > 'Demokratie. Der Gott, Der Keiner Ist' > by Hans-Hermann Hoppe > > Translation of the preface to the just-published German edition > [Leipzig: Manuscriptum] of Democracy. The God That Failed. "and the American mistreatment of German prisoners of war," I cannot speak for all POW camps here in the US, but can speak of one, located in Stark, NH, an area with terrain very similar to southern Germany. Prisoners spent the war logging, and were able to get to know local residents well, so much so that after the war there were several marriages between former prisoners and local girls. Former prisoners still travel to NH from Germany to visit and have reunions, and a few have immigrated to live in this area. I know of no similar experiences by Americans held prisoner by Germans. I also know that prisoners travelling by train were greeted at trainstops across the US with lunches and refreshments made by locals, while Americans held prisoner were starved as cattle by their German captors, and only treated decently when the Red Cross showed up. If all of Hans-Herman's writing is as inaccurate as this, then it is no wonder that those who know the truth have little tolerance for him. He is nothing but a neo-nazi revisionist, IMHO. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From gpmap at runbox.com Fri Dec 5 16:54:49 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 17:54:49 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Eye implant may reverse blindness Message-ID: >From BBC News: Scientists have described their first complete design of an implant that will take the place of light-sensitive cells in the retina of a damaged eye. Current implants use chips that convert light into electrical impulses that are fed to the brain via the optic nerve. The new device will work differently. It will be placed on a damaged retina and convert light into chemicals that will stimulate nerve cells. The prototype is being constructed at Stanford University in California. Dr Stacey Bent of Stanford University calls the device "the holy grail of prostheses". It takes a new approach to replacing a damaged retina, the layer of cells at the back of the eye that detect light and send signals to the brain. Instead of using electrical stimulation from a chip that converts light into electric impulses, we are using an implant that releases neurotransmitters just as the retina does naturally. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From gpmap at runbox.com Fri Dec 5 16:56:09 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 17:56:09 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Parallel worlds Message-ID: >From Delaware Online: You could either feel awe-inspired or small, listening to Max Tegmark's lecture at the University of Delaware on Wednesday afternoon on the probability of the existence of parallel universes mimicking or diverging from our own. Tegmark, a professor of physics and astronomy at the University of Pennsylvania, discussed the multiverse (more than one "uni-" verse) with a standing-room-only group of more than 50 budding physicists and assorted philosophy, biology and science majors at a UD Department of Physics and Astronomy lecture. Of course, your reaction depends upon your point of view. Tegmark has published many articles about the subject in academic periodicals and more mainstream magazines, including "Scientific American." Born in Sweden, he earned a doctorate from the University of California at Berkeley and post-doctorate degrees in Europe and at Princeton. According to Tegmark, the most popular and simplest cosmological model today predicts that there is another you not a short distance from us doing - exactly or approximately, depending on those unpre- dictable quantum mechanics - what you're doing now: eating breakfast, riding in a carpool, or wrinkling your brow and rolling your eyes. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From gpmap at runbox.com Fri Dec 5 17:30:10 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 18:30:10 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Treating Cancer with Beams of Anti-Matter Message-ID: >From Slashdot: According to this Economist article scientists at CERN are using beams of antimatter to destroy cancer cells. The basic idea is that you make some anti-protons, whizz them round in a accelerator to get them moving at a decent rate then fire them at living tissue. They burrow down to the desired depth, find a friendly proton and do a spot of mutual anihilation, releasing sufficient energy in the process to kill a cell or two. The trick is that matter/anti-matter anihilation is a bit like nuclear fission, it does not work if the particles are moving too fast. The anti-proton has to be moving slowly enough to get pulled into the orbit of some atomic nucleus and actually collide. This allows the treatment to be fine tuned so it only affects the tissues at a very specific depth - unlike traditional therapies which zap everything in the line of fire. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From mlorrey at yahoo.com Fri Dec 5 17:35:40 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 09:35:40 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] The Trouble With Democracy In-Reply-To: <20031205153437.71663.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20031205173540.12627.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> --- Mike Lorrey wrote: > > If all of Hans-Herman's writing is as inaccurate as this, then it is > no wonder that those who know the truth have little tolerance for him. > He is nothing but a neo-nazi revisionist, IMHO. I need to revise this. ;) Reading a bit more into Hoppes writing, I see that he is espousing views in a manner that I see all too often amongst my libertarian colleagues these days: a willingness to adopt historical disinformation and propaganda produced by radical left and right groups as fact simply to discard what is seen as the accepted version of history, without any application of criticism and cross examination of these unorthodox and in many cases clearly disprovable claims. Just because history as written by the center may be inaccurate or self-serving to the powers that be does not mean that claims by holocaust deniers or neo-nazi sympathyzers, or former ACP members or Maoists are any more accurate. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From scerir at libero.it Fri Dec 5 17:45:54 2003 From: scerir at libero.it (scerir) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 18:45:54 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Parallel worlds References: Message-ID: <003501c3bb57$a20102f0$8cb21b97@administxl09yj> A. J. Leggett, 2003 Nobel laureate, will give his lecture soon http://www.nobel.se/physics/laureates/2003/leggett-lecture.html The text is not on-line, but I suppose it will be more or less like www.nobel.se/physics/symposia/ncs-2001-1/leggett.pdf after all he gave this lecture right there, in 2001! He also wrote, i.e., in 'Foundations of Physics' 29 (3) 445-456, March 1999, "Some Thought-Experiments Involving Macrosystems as Illustrations of Various Interpretations of Quantum Mechanics" Abstract: 'I consider various experiments related to the so-called "macroscopic quantum coherence" experiment, which are probably at present in the class of "thought" experiment but are likely to become realistic in the next few decades. I explore the way in which outcomes consistent with the predictions of quantum mechanics would be interpreted by an adherent of, respectively, the Copenhagen, statistical, and Bohmian interpretations of the formalism.' Now the interesting point (Leggett is not a manyworlder, or an Everettista, but he likes those interpretations, and the original statistical-ensemble interpretation by Einstein and Ballentine) is that he was able to show that also in this macro-world there are physical, real, superpositional effects. So in that very readable lecture (link above he was trying to attack the so called 'macro-realism' (if I remenber well). In a certain sense there are physical parallel worlds, but they all seem to be 'here'. After all this is the meaning of the word uni-vers! From jonkc at att.net Fri Dec 5 18:37:56 2003 From: jonkc at att.net (John K Clark) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 13:37:56 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Crippled Poliovirus To Attack Brain Cancer References: Message-ID: <023801c3bb5e$ed07b0d0$30fe4d0c@hal2001> http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2003/12/031205051621.htm -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From spike66 at comcast.net Fri Dec 5 19:56:52 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 11:56:52 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Atheists barred from office in seven states In-Reply-To: <20031205152252.GY5783@leitl.org> Message-ID: <001301c3bb69$ed787300$6501a8c0@SHELLY> The site is still coming up for me. This is the link someone sent me, a serious creationist. At the time, reading just this article, I did not recognize the site as a parody. I still cannot call it a joke, since it clearly shows an intent to slay, as opposed to entertain. http://objective.jesussave.us/slot.html What this demonstrates is that creationism is its own parody, like the world wrassling federation. It is impossible to lampoon something that resembles its own parody so closely as to make the two indistinguishable. {8^D Clearly the author of this site put some real effort into it. spike > -----Original Message----- > From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org > [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of > Eugen Leitl > Sent: Friday, December 05, 2003 7:23 AM > To: Damien Broderick; ExI chat list > Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Atheists barred from office in > seven states > > > On Thu, Dec 04, 2003 at 09:14:40PM -0600, Damien Broderick wrote: > > And rightly so! Atheists will never understand the true > nature of the world, > > as revealed for example at > > > > http://objective.jesussave.us/kangaroo.html > > Is the site still up? I'm getting only a redirect to http://www.web1000.com/ It's either been pulled, or does geographically-aware redirect. > Damien Broderick > [I *think* it's a prank, but you can never be sure] From hugh.crowther at esoterica.pt Fri Dec 5 19:58:14 2003 From: hugh.crowther at esoterica.pt (Hugh Crowther) Date: Fri, 05 Dec 2003 19:58:14 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Crippled Poliovirus To Attack Brain Cancer In-Reply-To: <023801c3bb5e$ed07b0d0$30fe4d0c@hal2001> Message-ID: Set a thief to catch a thief. To my mind, General Systems Theory, which rules us all, has a central theme ..... What goes around, comes around, figure that out before it surprises you. It?s very elegant, use a rhinovirus which has evolved to get across the brain/blood barrier and caused possibly the most feared global epidemic, to get where our drugs haven?t evolved to themselves. Nice thought for the weekend....... > > From: "John K Clark" > Reply-To: ExI chat list > Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 13:37:56 -0500 > To: "ExI chat list" > Subject: [extropy-chat] Crippled Poliovirus To Attack Brain Cancer > > http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2003/12/031205051621.htm > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From mlorrey at yahoo.com Fri Dec 5 20:44:40 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 12:44:40 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Atheists barred from office in seven states In-Reply-To: <001301c3bb69$ed787300$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031205204440.77357.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> --- Spike wrote: > The site is still coming up for me. Me too. In fact, the index page gives this warning: "October 26, 2003 -- We are hearing reports that foreign visitors to our site are being redirected to electronic bookstores and people offering to pay to take surveys. We are not affiliated with these sites and advise you not to deal with them; they may be front organizations for cults. Although our technical staff is still looking into this issue, we strongly suspect that anti-Christian and anti-American governmental agents outside the U.S. are trying to keep our message from being heard in their lands. If you have suggested our site to a foreigner and he says he can't get through to it, warn him that he and his family are living under the scrutiny of an authoritarian regime and are in immediate spiritual -- and possibly physical -- danger!" The only signs I can find that this sight may be a parody are the banner ads appearing at the bottom of the pages. On the slot.htm page Spike cited, the banner adverstised "Clowns for Christ". Viewing the index page, at the foot was an ad for Mimeistry, "Reaching the unsaved through the power of mime." If only all evangelical christians tried to reach the unsaved through silence, this world would be a much more enjoyable place.... ;) I highly recommend that the Mimeistry get as much support as we can give it.... The most entertaining banner ad was one that seemed to advertise a porn site. Figuring that I might have happened onto the porn-spam that Harvey claimed the host was involved in, I clicked through to find what appared to be the entrance page to a porn site. Clicking further resulted in a page telling me what a sinner I was for looking for porn on the internet, etc. etc. etc. citing biblical verse and recommending I see a counselor about my addiction to internet porn... What fun! ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From thespike at earthlink.net Fri Dec 5 21:05:45 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 15:05:45 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] theobiology References: <001301c3bb69$ed787300$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <011501c3bb73$8ec1bb00$82994a43@texas.net> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Spike" Sent: Friday, December 05, 2003 1:56 PM > At the time, reading > just this article, I did not recognize the site as a > parody. I still cannot call it a joke, since it clearly > shows an intent to slay, as opposed to entertain. Paley, prof of Theobiology, is pretty obvious. But amazingly, I find this: http://www.sagepub.com/journalIssue.aspx?pid=171&jiid=116 American Behavioral Scientist Volume 45 Issue 12 - Publication Date: 08/2002 Theobiology: Interfacing Theology, Biology, and Other Sciences for Deeper Understanding Theobiology: Interfacing Theology, Biology, and other Sciences for Deeper Understanding The Authors Introduction Carole A. Rayburn, PhD, Lee J. Richmond Theobiology: Interfacing Theology and Science Carole A. Rayburn, Lee J. Richmond Nonreductive Physicalism and Soul: Finding Resonance Between Theology and Neuroscience Warren S. Brown, PhD The Pyramids of Sciences and of Humanities: Implications for the Search of Religious Richard L. Gorsuch Is Faith an Emotion? Faith as a Meaning Making Affective Process: An Example >From Breast Cancer Patients Johnny Ramirez-Johnson, Carlos Fayard, PhD, Carlos Garberoglio, Clara M. Jorge Ramirez Comments on Symposium: Theobiology: Interfacing Theology, Psychology, and Other Sciences for Deeper Understanding Ralph W. Hood Jr Beyond Equality John S. Nixon Theobiology and Gendered Spirituality Sharon Kanis Shamanism as Neurotheology and Evolutionary Psychology Michael Winkelman Cross-Cultural Generalizability of the Spiritual Transcendence Scale in India: Spirituality as a Universal Aspect of Human Experience Ralph L. Peidmont, Mark M. Leach, PhD When Science Meets Religion Akira Otani Matter, Divinity, and Number Gregory N. Derry ============== How far does this go? It reminds me of a mock university faculty in Biblical Accountancy, invented by my friend John Bangsund, which probed such ancient fiscal riddles as: `How Doth It Profit a Man to Gain the Whole World and Lose his own Soul?' Damien Broderick From jrd1415 at yahoo.com Fri Dec 5 22:24:14 2003 From: jrd1415 at yahoo.com (Jeff Davis) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 14:24:14 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Poliovirus Attacks Cancer In-Reply-To: <00d801c3bb29$81eaae40$4fcd5cd1@neptune> Message-ID: <20031205222414.7633.qmail@web41213.mail.yahoo.com> Extropes, While the juggernaut of scientific advance is quite exciting on its own, the following struck me as particularly heartening. Worth a post. Researchers Use Crippled Poliovirus to Attack Brain Cancer http://dukemednews.org/global/print.php?context=%2Fnews%2Farticle.php&id=7273 Best, Jeff Davis "Everything's hard till you know how to do it." Ray Charles __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From jrd1415 at yahoo.com Fri Dec 5 22:41:35 2003 From: jrd1415 at yahoo.com (Jeff Davis) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 14:41:35 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Poliovirus Attacks Cancer In-Reply-To: <20031205222414.7633.qmail@web41213.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20031205224135.75842.qmail@web41210.mail.yahoo.com> Whoops! Posted without first checking this morning's latest posts, where I see John Clark beat me to it. Never mind. Best, Jeff Davis "And I think to myself, what a wonderful world!" Louie Armstrong --- Jeff Davis wrote: > Extropes, > > While the juggernaut of scientific advance is quite > exciting on its own, the following struck me as > particularly heartening. Worth a post. > > Researchers Use Crippled Poliovirus to Attack Brain > Cancer > > http://dukemednews.org/global/print.php?context=%2Fnews%2Farticle.php&id=7273 > > Best, Jeff Davis > > "Everything's hard till you know how to do it." > Ray Charles > > > __________________________________ > Do you Yahoo!? > Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now > http://companion.yahoo.com/ > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From avantguardian2020 at yahoo.com Fri Dec 5 23:04:45 2003 From: avantguardian2020 at yahoo.com (The Avantguardian) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 15:04:45 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] theobiology In-Reply-To: <011501c3bb73$8ec1bb00$82994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <20031205230445.69884.qmail@web60506.mail.yahoo.com> Hate to break it to you Damien but it's no joke. All the people listed on the site are real faculty members and scientists (although some ARE psychologists *wink*). Some of the people listed are actually fairly distinguished having won awards and such. What I want to know is why the rabid atheism on this list? Some of you go so far as to (as contradictory as it sounds) proselytize your atheism. Why? In my experience there are generally two types of religious folk. The first are the brainwashed sheep that send off their cash to any huckster with enough charisma to wave a 1000 year old book around in front of them and tell them they are doomed if they don't convert. The second kind are very bright skeptical people that have examined the evidence thoroughly and made an informed decision that the universe is governed by a living rational force or entity. Usually these people are deeply spiritual although they tend to hold no stock in the traditional organized religions as they recognize these to be scams and tools of power on major scale. Some of the most celebrated geniuses in history have been of the second type: Newton, Einstein, Bohr, Pascal, etc. This is because when you have a very high IQ you are good at seeing patterns of information. When you see so much pattern in the universe, so little of which can be explained by mere science, it engenders faith that there is SOMETHING out there calling the shots. The latest generations of cosmologists are trying to save our beloved theories of gravity from damning observations. They explain the inconsistencies in the motions of galaxies by invoking the deus ex machina of dark matter and dark energy which together are supposed to comprise some 95% of the mass of the universe. So if you are willing to BELIEVE that every tangible bit of matter and energy in the the universe that you can see with our best telescopes and detection equipment comprise a mere 5% of what's actually out there, then why can't you admit there might be room in the 95% of the universe you can't see for PROVIDENCE? Or do you prefer the deus ex machina to the DEUS VERITAS? Damien Broderick wrote: ----- Original Message ----- From: "Spike" Sent: Friday, December 05, 2003 1:56 PM > At the time, reading > just this article, I did not recognize the site as a > parody. I still cannot call it a joke, since it clearly > shows an intent to slay, as opposed to entertain. Paley, prof of Theobiology, is pretty obvious. But amazingly, I find this: http://www.sagepub.com/journalIssue.aspx?pid=171&jiid=116 American Behavioral Scientist Volume 45 Issue 12 - Publication Date: 08/2002 Theobiology: Interfacing Theology, Biology, and Other Sciences for Deeper Understanding Theobiology: Interfacing Theology, Biology, and other Sciences for Deeper Understanding The Authors Introduction Carole A. Rayburn, PhD, Lee J. Richmond Theobiology: Interfacing Theology and Science Carole A. Rayburn, Lee J. Richmond Nonreductive Physicalism and Soul: Finding Resonance Between Theology and Neuroscience Warren S. Brown, PhD The Pyramids of Sciences and of Humanities: Implications for the Search of Religious Richard L. Gorsuch Is Faith an Emotion? Faith as a Meaning Making Affective Process: An Example >From Breast Cancer Patients Johnny Ramirez-Johnson, Carlos Fayard, PhD, Carlos Garberoglio, Clara M. Jorge Ramirez Comments on Symposium: Theobiology: Interfacing Theology, Psychology, and Other Sciences for Deeper Understanding Ralph W. Hood Jr Beyond Equality John S. Nixon Theobiology and Gendered Spirituality Sharon Kanis Shamanism as Neurotheology and Evolutionary Psychology Michael Winkelman Cross-Cultural Generalizability of the Spiritual Transcendence Scale in India: Spirituality as a Universal Aspect of Human Experience Ralph L. Peidmont, Mark M. Leach, PhD When Science Meets Religion Akira Otani Matter, Divinity, and Number Gregory N. Derry ============== How far does this go? It reminds me of a mock university faculty in Biblical Accountancy, invented by my friend John Bangsund, which probed such ancient fiscal riddles as: `How Doth It Profit a Man to Gain the Whole World and Lose his own Soul?' Damien Broderick _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat The Avantguardian "He stands like some sort of pagan god or deposed tyrant. Staring out over the city he's sworn to . . .to stare out over and it's evident just by looking at him that he's got some pretty heavy things on his mind." --------------------------------- Do you Yahoo!? Protect your identity with Yahoo! Mail AddressGuard -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From thespike at earthlink.net Fri Dec 5 23:34:18 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 17:34:18 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] theobiology References: <20031205230445.69884.qmail@web60506.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <01c301c3bb88$506a5c80$82994a43@texas.net> ----- Original Message ----- From: "The Avantguardian" Sent: Friday, December 05, 2003 5:04 PM > Hate to break it to you Damien but it's no joke. All the people listed on the site are real faculty members and scientists (although some ARE psychologists *wink*). `Fellowship University'? Google finds it not, not surprisingly. > Some of the most celebrated geniuses in history have been of the second type: Newton, Einstein, Bohr, Pascal, etc. Bohr deplored religion, saying it was bad for people to believe lies. Damien Broderick From jef at jefallbright.net Fri Dec 5 23:34:59 2003 From: jef at jefallbright.net (Jef Allbright) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 15:34:59 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] theobiology References: <20031205230445.69884.qmail@web60506.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <00e201c3bb88$6da19c00$1602650a@int.veeco.com> A very impressive set of pages, but sure looks like a (meta)joke to me. The clarity and consistency of the text speaks louder than the words themselves. Here's a fun excerpt, found at http://objective.jesussave.us/pastorscorner.html. "Some have criticized my stance on triclavianism as being counterproductive, arguing that making a point of doctrinal contention over not making a point of doctrinal contention over adiaphora is itself non-salvific. However, my critics are overlooking the dangers of triclavianistic doctrines: allowing adiaphora to creep into our credenda -- while possibly pushing the theologoumenic envelope and providing exciting new opportunities for supererogative works -- will most often serve to muddy the soteriological foundation of Faith, leading in general to ultramontane excesses and, in extreme cases, ebaptization (which is unacceptable pastoral malpractice, however rare it may be.) Doctrinal integrity, and hence salvific effectiveness, is best served by working to end triclavianism and similar erroneous, or simply adiaphoric, doctrines." - Jef ---- Original Message ---- From: The Avantguardian > Hate to break it to you Damien but it's no joke. All the people > listed on the site are real faculty members and scientists (although > some ARE psychologists *wink*). Some of the people listed are > actually fairly distinguished having won awards and such. What I want > to know is why the rabid atheism on this list? Some of you go so far > as to (as contradictory as it sounds) proselytize your atheism. Why? > > In my experience there are generally two types of religious folk. The > first are the brainwashed sheep that send off their cash to any > huckster with enough charisma to wave a 1000 year old book around in > front of them and tell them they are doomed if they don't convert. > > The second kind are very bright skeptical people that have examined > the evidence thoroughly and made an informed decision that the > universe is governed by a living rational force or entity. Usually > these people are deeply spiritual although they tend to hold no stock > in the traditional organized religions as they recognize these to be > scams and tools of power on major scale. > > Some of the most celebrated geniuses in history have been of the > second type: Newton, Einstein, Bohr, Pascal, etc. This is because > when you have a very high IQ you are good at seeing patterns of > information. When you see so much pattern in the universe, so little > of which can be explained by mere science, it engenders faith that > there is SOMETHING out there calling the shots. > > The latest generations of cosmologists are trying to save our beloved > theories of gravity from damning observations. They explain the > inconsistencies in the motions of galaxies by invoking the deus ex > machina of dark matter and dark energy which together are supposed to > comprise some 95% of the mass of the universe. So if you are willing > to BELIEVE that every tangible bit of matter and energy in the the > universe that you can see with our best telescopes and detection > equipment comprise a mere 5% of what's actually out there, then why > can't you admit there might be room in the 95% of the universe you > can't see for PROVIDENCE? Or do you prefer the deus ex machina to the > DEUS VERITAS? > > Damien Broderick wrote: > > ----- Original Message ----- > From: "Spike" > Sent: Friday, December 05, 2003 1:56 PM > >> At the time, reading >> just this article, I did not recognize the site as a >> parody. I still cannot call it a joke, since it clearly >> shows an intent to slay, as opposed to entertain. > > Paley, prof of Theobiology, is pretty obvious. But amazingly, I find > this: > > http://www.sagepub.com/journalIssue.aspx?pid=171&jiid=116 > > American Behavioral Scientist > > Volume 45 Issue 12 - Publication Date: 08/2002 > > Theobiology: Interfacing Theology, Biology, and Other Sciences for > Deeper Understanding > > Theobiology: Interfacing Theology, Biology, and other Sciences for > Deeper Understanding > > The Authors > > Introduction > Carole A. Rayburn, PhD, Lee J. Richmond > > Theobiology: Interfacing Theol! ogy and Science > Carole A. Rayburn, Lee J. Richmond > > Nonreductive Physicalism and Soul: Finding Resonance Between Theology > and Neuroscience > Warren S. Brown, PhD > > The Pyramids of Sciences and of Humanities: Implications for the > Search of Religious > Richard L. Gorsuch > > Is Faith an Emotion? Faith as a Meaning Making Affective Process: An > Example >> From Breast Cancer Patients > Johnny Ramirez-Johnson, Carlos Fayard, PhD, Carlos Garberoglio, Clara > M. Jorge Ramirez > > Comments on Symposium: Theobiology: Interfacing Theology, Psychology, > and Other Sciences for Deeper Understanding > Ralph W. Hood Jr > > Beyond Equality > John S. Nixon > > Theobiology and Gendered Spirituality > Sharon Kanis > > Shamanism as Neurotheology and Evolutionary Psychology > Michael Winkelman > > Cross-Cultural Generalizability of the Spiritual Transcendence Scale > in India: Spirituality as a Universal Aspect of Human Experience > Ralph L. Peidmont! , Mark M. Leach, PhD > > When Science Meets Religion > Akira Otani > > Matter, Divinity, and Number > Gregory N. Derry > > ============== > > How far does this go? It reminds me of a mock university faculty in > Biblical Accountancy, invented by my friend John Bangsund, which > probed such ancient fiscal riddles as: `How Doth It Profit a Man to > Gain the Whole World and Lose his own Soul?' > > Damien Broderick > > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > > > The Avantguardian > > > "He stands like some sort of pagan god or deposed tyrant. Staring out > over the city he's sworn to . . .to stare out over and it's evident > just by looking at him that he's got some pretty heavy things on his > mind." > > > Do you Yahoo!? > Protect your identity with Yahoo! Mail AddressGuard > > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From thespike at earthlink.net Fri Dec 5 23:54:10 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 17:54:10 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] theobiology References: <20031205230445.69884.qmail@web60506.mail.yahoo.com> <00e201c3bb88$6da19c00$1602650a@int.veeco.com> Message-ID: <01ce01c3bb8b$16a3fd00$82994a43@texas.net> > Here's a fun excerpt, found at > http://objective.jesussave.us/pastorscorner.html. > > > "Some have criticized my stance on triclavianism as being counterproductive, > arguing that making a point of doctrinal contention over not making a point > of doctrinal contention over adiaphora is itself non-salvific. However, my > critics are overlooking the dangers of triclavianistic doctrines: allowing > adiaphora to creep into our credenda -- while possibly pushing the > theologoumenic envelope Do I scent a lapsed Seventh Day Adventist? This must be what Spike detected in the parody site. Damien Broderick From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sat Dec 6 00:34:27 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 16:34:27 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] theobiology In-Reply-To: <01c301c3bb88$506a5c80$82994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <20031206003427.88715.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> --- Damien Broderick wrote: > > ----- Original Message ----- > From: "The Avantguardian" > Sent: Friday, December 05, 2003 5:04 PM > > > Hate to break it to you Damien but it's no joke. All the people > listed on > the site are real faculty members and scientists (although some ARE > psychologists *wink*). > > `Fellowship University'? Google finds it not, not surprisingly. > > > Some of the most celebrated geniuses in history have been of the > second > type: Newton, Einstein, Bohr, Pascal, etc. > > Bohr deplored religion, saying it was bad for people to believe lies. And Einstein said "God does not play dice with the universe." You can say that makes him wrong twice... but it does not mean he was not religious. I think Avant meant Bohm, who was also a believer and advanced such concepts as the holographic mind. Even Sagan intimated a belief of some sort in his novel Contact, of course I've never thought much of Sagan in any event. Now, Newton also believed in astrology, and many men who advanced paradigm shattering theories were still very much prisoners of the superstitions of their time in many ways, including Focault and Descartes, Galileo and da Vinci. Just because they believed something does not make it so or lend extra credence to such belief if they did not demonstrate any supporting theory or objective evidence to explain their belief. However, Hawking has given some lectures that indicate that any universe in which singularities exist are entirely capable of supporting the existence of any deity under or beyond the sun. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From neptune at superlink.net Sat Dec 6 00:54:00 2003 From: neptune at superlink.net (Technotranscendence) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 19:54:00 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Trouble With Democracy References: <20031205153437.71663.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <018301c3bb93$709f98c0$05ca5cd1@neptune> On Friday, December 05, 2003 10:34 AM Mike Lorrey mlorrey at yahoo.com wrote: >> 'Demokratie. Der Gott, Der Keiner Ist' >> by Hans-Hermann Hoppe >> >> Translation of the preface to the just-published German edition >> [Leipzig: Manuscriptum] of Democracy. The God That Failed. > > "and the American mistreatment of > German prisoners of war," > > I cannot speak for all POW camps here > in the US, but can speak of one, located > in Stark, NH, an area with terrain very >similar to southern Germany. Prisoners > spent the war logging, and were able to > get to know local residents well, so much > so that after the war there were several > marriages between former prisoners > and local girls. Former prisoners still > travel to NH from Germany to visit and > have reunions, and a few have immigrated > to live in this area. I know of no similar > experiences by Americans held prisoner > by Germans. While I'm unfamiliar with this example, I do know of a few others who had pretty good POW experiences, including the economist Hans Sennholz. IIRC, Sennholz was a German fighter pilot and he was captured and eventually came to see the US as perhaps the greatest country on the planet because of its freedom. I'm not so sure what Hoppe is getting at, though his preceding and following statements in that paragraph ring true to me. > I also know that prisoners travelling by train > were greeted at trainstops across the US > with lunches and refreshments made by > locals, while Americans held prisoner were > starved as cattle by their German captors, > and only treated decently when the Red > Cross showed up. I don't think he mentioned anything about the German treatment of Allied POWs. I would suspect that Western Allied prisoner were treated much better than those taken from the Soviets. > If all of Hans-Herman's writing is as inaccurate > as this, then it is no wonder that those who > know the truth have little tolerance for him. This is the usual tack you've taken with writings you disagree with. (Not an insult but an observation. You did the same with the article I sent on privatizing fire departments. You dismissed it because of one thing you disagreed with in the abstract. If I did likewise, my reading list would be narrowed to nothing.:) It might be better to read his whole book -- which I have -- and see if any of it makes sense to you. I've read it. I don't agree with all of what he says and he does strike me as a cultural conservative though a strict political anarchist and also as a person who looks for shocking things to say. > He is nothing but a neo-nazi revisionist, IMHO. I disagree. At least from what I've read of his work -- his book on democracy and many published articles -- he's not pro-Nazi or neo-Nazi. If anything, he's anti-Nazi. He is, after all, anarcho-capitalist. Though he only mentions Naziism one sentence of the English language version of his book, he does not praise it. (He blames WW1 and democratization of Germany for putting the Nazis in power.) Regards, Dan See "For a Free Frontier: The Case for Space Colonization" at: http://uweb.superlink.net/neptune/SpaceCol.html "People who want to share their religious views with you almost never want you to share yours with them." -- Dave Barry From jrd1415 at yahoo.com Sat Dec 6 00:50:32 2003 From: jrd1415 at yahoo.com (Jeff Davis) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 16:50:32 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Atheists barred from office in seven states In-Reply-To: <20031205152252.GY5783@leitl.org> Message-ID: <20031206005032.65022.qmail@web41201.mail.yahoo.com> > On Thu, Dec 04, 2003 at 09:14:40PM -0600, Damien > Broderick wrote: > [I *think* it's a prank, but you can never be > sure] As distinguished from you *believe" it's a prank? Greetings and best wishes to you and Barbara this holiday season. I hope youse guys are together again. Jeff __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From jrd1415 at yahoo.com Sat Dec 6 01:09:25 2003 From: jrd1415 at yahoo.com (Jeff Davis) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 17:09:25 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Whoops! and holiday greetings; was Re: Atheists barred from office in seven states In-Reply-To: <20031205152252.GY5783@leitl.org> Message-ID: <20031206010925.70022.qmail@web41209.mail.yahoo.com> Whoops! I wrote: > On Thu, Dec 04, 2003 at 09:14:40PM -0600, Damien > Broderick wrote: > [I *think* it's a prank, but you can never be > sure] As distinguished from you *believe" it's a prank? Greetings and best wishes to you and Barbara this holiday season. I hope youse guys are together again. Jeff ------------------------- The above was not meant for the list. Forgot to paste Damien's address into the "To:" line. Anyway, let me take this opportunity to wish all of you on the list the beast this holiday season. And may we all enjoy ten thousand* more. *YMMV ------------------------------ Here's a little something for your amusement, which I thought hilarious, and found at Ye Olde Rad Blog http://radified.com/blog/archives/000051.html "To work at some 'sensitive' industrial facilities, you often have to take a psych test. I remember one question on such a test. It asked: "If you could sneak into a movie theater and knew for certain you wouldn't get caught, would you do it?" I answered 'No' .. thinking this was the obvious right answer. Not! They didn't like my answer and called me into the office, where they told me they thought I was lying on the test, specifically citing this question, saying that a 'normal' person would answer 'Yes'. I said, "Oh, I meant to say, 'Yes'". They said, "That's better," and gave me the job." Best, Jeff Davis Who are you going to believe, me or your own eyes? Groucho Marx __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Sat Dec 6 01:20:34 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 12:20:34 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan Message-ID: <020801c3bb97$2650ef40$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> For some reason the exchange between Smalley and Drexler reminded me of a story I read when studying research methods in psychology years ago. I found the text book _Research Methods In Psychology_ (1985. Shaughnessy and Zechmeisser) and include the story below: "Can The Null Hypothesis Ever Be Accepted As True? When we take a strict approach to null hypothesis testing - that the only acceptable decisions are to reject H0 or to fail to reject H0 - we are essentially acknowledging the fact that it is impossible to prove that something does not exist. For example - if we were to propose that there was a monster in Lake Michigan, you would be unable to prove to us that this was not so. Putting ecological conditions aside for the moment, you might drain Lake Michigan and show that no monster is there. We could simply assert that the monster dug into the bed of the lake. You might then begin to dredge the lake and still come up with no monster; we could argue that our monster is digging faster than you are dredging. Becoming more desperate, you might fill the lake with explosives, and after detonating them, find no remains of the monster. We could calmly propose that our monster is impervious to explosives. So long as we were free to add characteristics to our monster, there is no test that you could perform that would convincingly show that the monster does not exist." I disagree with those who think that Drexler is ahead on points in the debate with Smalley unless points are awarded to Drexler because the debate is now at least happening with more earnestness and engagement than previously. I think it is encouraging that Smalley is inviting chemists to challenge the molecular nanotechnology views and nightmares of Drexler (as he Smalley claims to see them). Let the truth out, and more to the point as it is politics that matters more than philosophy let more of the voting public see more of the truth outed. I suspect that I am not alone in not quite grasping all that Drexler has said yet and possibly for similar reasons. I simply haven't had (or made) the time to tease out the facts yet and I don't get impressed with what MAY BE numerology however eruditely it is expressed - there are plenty of other things to divert me. I own a hardcopy of Nanosystems and have read several chapters of it. I'll confess my prejudice that I would be in a minority even on this list in having gone that far. I wonder how many others would see (accurately or otherwise - and POLITICALLY that DOES NOT MATTER as the default is no or very little action in either case) Drexlerian notions of self replicating nanomachines as like the assertion that there is a monster in Lake Michigan in the story above. I wonder if others like me see the switch from talking about enzymes in a biological paradigm (for which there are existence proofs but limited ones) to taking about factories a mechanical paradigm (for which we have no fully self-replicating existence proofs that I can see - human - biological intervention is necessary still for factories to replicate factories to my knowledge). I can't help wonder, even as I keep an open mind, and am aware of my emotional bias towards molecular manufacturing whether something isn't being dropped in the switch between the two paradigms. Regards, Brett From jrd1415 at yahoo.com Sat Dec 6 01:33:44 2003 From: jrd1415 at yahoo.com (Jeff Davis) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 17:33:44 -0800 (PST) Subject: Intelligence corellations was RE: [extropy-chat] Atheists barred from office in seven states In-Reply-To: <003901c3baf9$a15e22f0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031206013344.26906.qmail@web41204.mail.yahoo.com> --- Spike wrote: > This is an interesting one. The actual material in > the website identified by Harvey is quoted and used > by creationists. Now it appears it is a front for > a pornographic distributor. This is just too good. I have been wondering for some time now whether there is any research to correlate 'intelligence' with 'various cultural parameters'. For example religious belief, with sub correlations to specific religions and degrees of fundamentalism. Or along political lines: Repub, Dem, Liber, Green, Indep, Commie, non-voter. Or say, liberal vs conservative. Or gay vs straight. Not to mention along gender lines. I've googled in search of this data, but so far no luck. Any of y'all got any tips for me? Clearly, such 'data' is controversial and subject to a high bogosity coefficient (cf The Bell Curve). Never the less, inquiring minds want to know. Personally, I want this information for evil purposes. Bwah, hah hah! Best, Jeff Davis "We call someone insane who does not believe as we do to an outrageous extent." Charles McCabe __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Sat Dec 6 01:42:38 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 12:42:38 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] theobiology References: <20031205230445.69884.qmail@web60506.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <022301c3bb9a$3b5e4f60$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Avantguardian wrote: > when you have a very high IQ you are good at seeing patterns > of information. When you see so much pattern in the universe, > so little of which can be explained by mere science, it engenders > faith that there is SOMETHING out there calling the shots. I don't think its high IQ that engenders that but low psychology. Intellectually little is gained by positing a something out there calling the shots and then treating that something as a great unknowable black box outside of and separate to the many other things that intelligent people also don't know. I like Sagan's question on this point best. When considering arguments of uncaused causes and positioning that the universe had or needed a creator but that the creator didn't need a creator - "why not save a step"? I think the low psychology rather than high IQ is the real cause. I think (and this is speculation I admit) that humans are simply wired with a very strong propensity to anthropomorphise. Much of what we do and what matters to homo saps happens in a social and political context and our brains have developed to reflect that strong preoccupation. Seeing design and intention and athropomorphising all over the place is easier and offers the possibility of appeal when circumstances may otherwise seem hopeless. I do not think the high IQ types were immune because of that from existential angst. Nor do see any reason why their existential angst should be resolvable any better in the universe than that of the lowest meanest brute. if you are willing to BELIEVE that every tangible bit of matter and energy in the the universe that you can see with our best telescopes and detection equipment comprise a mere 5% of what's actually out there, then why can't you admit there might be room in the 95% of the universe you can't see for PROVIDENCE? I can admit it but I am not interested in dwelling on it as the time is wasted and there are better more useful things for good minds to be communicating about. I see the turning toward religion and providence as quite natural, as natural as panic in the face of near certain oblivion and about as helpful. Regards, Brett -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From mbb386 at main.nc.us Sat Dec 6 01:53:12 2003 From: mbb386 at main.nc.us (MB) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 20:53:12 -0500 (Eastern Standard Time) Subject: [extropy-chat] think this will catch on? In-Reply-To: <3FCCC059.7080701@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> References: <3FCCC059.7080701@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> Message-ID: Ha. Here is something else I've not seen before. I particularly enjoyed the description - it reminded me of the Vespas in Italy during the 1950s. :))) They certainly traveled in - not packs, but swarms! http://www.gizmodo.com/archives/009696.php I sure wish some of these new vehicles would make it into the US - in a price range I could deal with! ;) Regards, MB From avantguardian2020 at yahoo.com Sat Dec 6 02:11:15 2003 From: avantguardian2020 at yahoo.com (The Avantguardian) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 18:11:15 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] theobiology In-Reply-To: <01c301c3bb88$506a5c80$82994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <20031206021115.27700.qmail@web60506.mail.yahoo.com> Damien Broderick wrote: ----- Original Message ----- From: "The Avantguardian" Sent: Friday, December 05, 2003 5:04 PM `Fellowship University'? Google finds it not, not surprisingly. http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8&q=%2B%22fellowship+university%22&btnG=Google+Search actually Google found 25,600 references to the phrase "fellowship university" > Some of the most celebrated geniuses in history have been of the second type: Newton, Einstein, Bohr, Pascal, etc. Bohr deplored religion, saying it was bad for people to believe lies. Yeah he deplored "organized religion" just as I do. Don't misunderstand me, I am not advocating Christianity, Jehovah's Witness, Judaism, Islam or any other so called "religion". I am talking about a nameless spirtuality. A sense of oneness with the Universe. Besides if he didn't believe in SOMETHING then why did he have the "Yin and Yang" put on his family coat of arms when he was knighted by the queen of England? Yin and Yang are a several thousand year old Taoist religious symbol. The Avantguardian "He stands like some sort of pagan god or deposed tyrant. Staring out over the city he's sworn to . . .to stare out over and it's evident just by looking at him that he's got some pretty heavy things on his mind." --------------------------------- Do you Yahoo!? Protect your identity with Yahoo! Mail AddressGuard -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From mbb386 at main.nc.us Sat Dec 6 02:18:00 2003 From: mbb386 at main.nc.us (MB) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 21:18:00 -0500 (Eastern Standard Time) Subject: [extropy-chat] theobiology In-Reply-To: <01c301c3bb88$506a5c80$82994a43@texas.net> References: <20031205230445.69884.qmail@web60506.mail.yahoo.com> <01c301c3bb88$506a5c80$82994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: Google doesn't know triclavianism either, except WRT these pages we're discussing. Or others who are discussing them too. Neither does my Webster's dictionary know triclavianism. Nor my Oxford, which is old. I'll ask the priest I used to work for, maybe she would know. :/ I kinda doubt it, though. Regards, MB On Fri, 5 Dec 2003, Damien Broderick wrote: > > `Fellowship University'? Google finds it not, not surprisingly. From fauxever at sprynet.com Sat Dec 6 02:57:25 2003 From: fauxever at sprynet.com (Olga Bourlin) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 18:57:25 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Trouble With Democracy References: <20031205153437.71663.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <007401c3bba4$adf374b0$6400a8c0@brainiac> From: "Mike Lorrey" > I cannot speak for all POW camps here in the US, but can speak of one, > located in Stark, NH, an area with terrain very similar to southern > Germany. Prisoners spent the war logging, and were able to get to know > local residents well, so much so that after the war there were several > marriages between former prisoners and local girls. Former prisoners > still travel to NH from Germany to visit and have reunions, and a few > have immigrated to live in this area. I know of no similar experiences > by Americans held prisoner by Germans. Well, how sweet. But how sad and ironic that in the United States at that time we had a segregated army, and black men (particularly) risked their lives sometimes even looking at "local girls" (... if those girls happened to be white). > I also know that prisoners travelling by train were greeted at > trainstops across the US with lunches and refreshments made by locals ... How very sweet. But how sad that black citizens in many parts of the United States couldn't go to restaurants (hotels, etc.). And speaking of refreshments - in veteran civil rights activist James Forman's book "The Making of Black Revolutionaries," he details how he rather unwittingly found out that the U.S. Army was more than simply segregated. He was assigned to the "white" Army for a time (because of a special duty he was asked to perform), and in the "white" Army, much to his surprise, he was served ... real eggs (whereas in the "black" Army he was used to being served powdered eggs). Just want to keep certain things in perspective, here ... An aside on James Forman (who just turned 75, and is living in Washington, D.C.) was that for a time his mother-in-law was Jessica Mitford (author, and one of the famous "Mitford" sisters, one of whom - Diana - was a pal of none other than Adolf Hitler's) :http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2003/08/13/1060588457054.html). Until Jessica Mitford died, Forman would visit her whenever he got to Oakland, California. During a visit to Seattle in the mid 1990s my husband and I were having breakfast with Forman, when he mentioned that he had just visited his ex-mother-in-law. I asked him "Who was she? What does she do?" (just the usual curious-type social questions) Between mouthfuls of eggs Forman said, "Jessica Mitford." And continued eating. (I had read "The American Way of Death" as a teenager, and stopped eating my own eggs just long enough to look around the restaurant and remember this little moment - I took a "mental snapshot," you know?) Forman was married to Jessica Mitford's daughter, Constancia Romilly, whose father was Esmond Romilly, a nephew of Winston Churchill. Churchill and Adolf Hitler and democracy and civil rights all in one little uniquely American family. Interesting, huh? (end of aside) Olga From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sat Dec 6 03:00:25 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 19:00:25 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] theobiology In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031206030025.97734.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> How about asking the host or the writer what these terms mean? A google search turns up: http://urbanlegends.about.com/b/a/021969.htm Which says that triclavianism is the belief that christ was nailed to the cross with just three nails, which for some reason is considered to be some sort of heresy.... Urban legends also claims the site is a spoof with an extremely deadpan sense of humor. What is also interesting is that the "Landover Baptist" site that the Objective: Ministries site attacks is run by the same spoofers. The Landover site is just a bit more of an obvious spoof. Upon further research, apparently "First-century archeological evidence points to three nails being the norm for crucifixion at the time (New Bible Dictionary, Tyndale, 1982, page 253-254) although early church art used four nails, switching to three nails around the 13th century." http://markbyron.typepad.com/main/2003/06/a_quick_survey_.html So it seems to be a very Swiftian sort of satire (note the Lilliputians and their war over which side of the egg to crack open) to make an issue out of how many nails a guy was nailed to a tree with. Now, for those who are really atheist, you can further evangelize atheism by promoting the triclavian debate. The more absurd you make the christian theological world, the more people will give up on religion and become atheists. --- MB wrote: > > Google doesn't know triclavianism either, except WRT these > pages we're discussing. Or others who are discussing them > too. > > Neither does my Webster's dictionary know triclavianism. Nor > my Oxford, which is old. > > I'll ask the priest I used to work for, maybe she would > know. :/ I kinda doubt it, though. > > Regards, > MB > > On Fri, 5 Dec 2003, Damien Broderick wrote: > > > > > > `Fellowship University'? Google finds it not, not surprisingly. > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sat Dec 6 03:08:33 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 19:08:33 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] The Trouble With Democracy In-Reply-To: <007401c3bba4$adf374b0$6400a8c0@brainiac> Message-ID: <20031206030833.70379.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> --- Olga Bourlin wrote, continuing to prove she is the queen of moral equivalency: > > How very sweet. But how sad that black citizens in many parts of the > United > States couldn't go to restaurants (hotels, etc.). And speaking of > refreshments - in veteran civil rights activist James Forman's book > "The Making of Black Revolutionaries," he details how he rather > unwittingly found out that the U.S. Army was more than simply > segregated. He was assigned to the "white" Army for a time > (because of a special duty he was asked to perform), and in > the "white" Army, much to his surprise, he was served ... > real eggs (whereas in the "black" Army he was used to being served > powdered eggs). > > Just want to keep certain things in perspective, here ... Oh WHAAAAAAAA While black soldiers had to whine about getting powdered eggs, Jews in Germany were getting exterminated, so put that "perspective" in your pipe and smoke it. While blacks were getting stuck in logistics jobs instead of being sent to the front to die (oh, the horror), jewish prisoners were being worked to death building V-2 rockets in cave factories. While black soldiers were risking court martial for refusing to load or unload dangerous munition cargoes from ships, jews refusing to work were summarily shot. By the time several dozen black airmen became subjects in the Tuskegee syphyllis experiments, millions of jews had been exterminated in a national experiment in racial engineering. Got enough apples for THAT perspective? ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From fauxever at sprynet.com Sat Dec 6 03:28:00 2003 From: fauxever at sprynet.com (Olga Bourlin) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 19:28:00 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Trouble With Democracy References: <20031206030833.70379.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <013701c3bba8$f3be4a20$6400a8c0@brainiac> From: "Mike Lorrey" > --- Olga Bourlin wrote, continuing to prove she > is the queen of moral equivalency: Nope. I am not in any sense a monarchist. > > How very sweet. But how sad that black citizens in many parts of the > > United> > States couldn't go to restaurants (hotels, etc.). And speaking of > > refreshments - in veteran civil rights activist James Forman's book > > "The Making of Black Revolutionaries," he details how he rather > > unwittingly found out that the U.S. Army was more than simply > > segregated. He was assigned to the "white" Army for a time > > (because of a special duty he was asked to perform), and in > > the "white" Army, much to his surprise, he was served ... > > real eggs (whereas in the "black" Army he was used to being served > > powdered eggs). > > > > Just want to keep certain things in perspective, here ... > > Oh WHAAAAAAAA While black soldiers had to whine about getting powdered > eggs, Jews in Germany were getting exterminated, so put that > "perspective" in your pipe and smoke it. While blacks were getting > stuck in logistics jobs instead of being sent to the front to die (oh, > the horror), jewish prisoners were being worked to death building V-2 > rockets in cave factories. While black soldiers were risking court > martial for refusing to load or unload dangerous munition cargoes from > ships, jews refusing to work were summarily shot. By the time several > dozen black airmen became subjects in the Tuskegee syphyllis > experiments, millions of jews had been exterminated in a national > experiment in racial engineering. Got enough apples for THAT perspective? I was comparing the way *German soldiers* were supposedly being treated vs. the way some *"black" American citizens* (and "black" military personnel) were being treated here. But you are talking about how Jews were treated - in Europe. Speaking of apples (since you conveniently brought them up) - why have have sidled over into the "oranges" perspective? The way Jews were treated in Europe in no way justified the way American citizens were treated right here. That is not to say Jews weren't treated horribly. They were (somewhat less horribly in the United States, and about as nighmarish horribly as can be imagined during the reign of the Nazis in Europe). That's another subject, and another (added) perspective. Mike, why do you seem so hostile? Can't we talk? Olga From fauxever at sprynet.com Sat Dec 6 03:50:20 2003 From: fauxever at sprynet.com (Olga Bourlin) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 19:50:20 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Atheists barred from office in seven states References: <00bb01c3baef$21b92e00$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <023901c3bbac$125dc4d0$6400a8c0@brainiac> From: "Harvey Newstrom" > This site is owned by "NOK NOK" of "IdeaFlood, Inc.", PO Box 11289, Zepher > Cove, NV 89448. Their contact is noc at ideaflood.com. Their phone number is > 7755887862. Their FAX number is 7755887823. > > They also send thousands of pornographic spam advertisements around the > world. > > A list of complaints about pornographic spam from can be > found by Googling newsgroups for "noc at ideaflood.com" > &btnG=Google+Search>. > > The ideaflood.com site is blocked by most spam blockers. Information about > the spamming from this site can be found by Googling "ideaflood.com" > =&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8>. Great detective work, Harvey! (In other words, this is a booby trap!) Here is another cousin, "for gifts that say 'I have much better taste than you, dear.'" http://www.cafeshops.com/bettybowers Olga From avantguardian2020 at yahoo.com Sat Dec 6 03:57:55 2003 From: avantguardian2020 at yahoo.com (The Avantguardian) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 19:57:55 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] theobiology In-Reply-To: <022301c3bb9a$3b5e4f60$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: <20031206035755.32722.qmail@web60504.mail.yahoo.com> Brett Paatsch wrote: Intellectually little is gained by positing a something out there calling the shots and then treating that something as a great unknowable black box outside of and separate to the many other things that intelligent people also don't know. True I don't think anything intellectual is gained by the exercise. Although I don't think anything is lost either. Moreover, I wouldn't choose to treat it as a black box but rather a field open to exploration. There is an entire discipline called Theosophy which is dedicated to trying to understand the mind of that something. I like Sagan's question on this point best. When considering arguments of uncaused causes and positioning that the universe had or needed a creator but that the creator didn't need a creator - "why not save a step"? In my view the universe didn't need a creator because the universe IS the creator. Of course this view gets me in a lot of trouble with christian theologists (although not so much with the jewish ones) because it violates their dogma that heaven and God are separate from and and outside of the universe. Call me a heretic. *shrug* I think the low psychology rather than high IQ is the real cause. I think (and this is speculation I admit) that humans are simply wired with a very strong propensity to anthropomorphise. Much of what we do and what matters to homo saps happens in a social and political context and our brains have developed to reflect that strong preoccupation. Seeing design and intention and athropomorphising all over the place is easier and offers the possibility of appeal when circumstances may otherwise seem hopeless. This is actually a very good point. The question of whether the Universe created us in its image, or we interperate the Universe in ours is the Big Question after all. I choose the former out of simple humility. After all, if both life and consiousness are emergent properties of complex states of matter, how could I assume that I am more complex than the infinite Universe in which I am but the merest speck? And if the Universe is more complex than me, it would be sheer hubris on my part to assume that I am either more alive or intelligent than It is. I do not think the high IQ types were immune because of that from existential angst. Nor do see any reason why their existential angst should be resolvable any better in the universe than that of the lowest meanest brute. I would posit that the high IQ types would be MORE prone to existensial angst since the lowest meanest brutes are too busy eating, boozing, and breeding to care. I see the turning toward religion and providence as quite natural, as natural as panic in the face of near certain oblivion and about as helpful. I find it actually prevents panic allowing me to face life and death situations with calmness and serenity. That in turn usually allows me to successfully survive those situations (so far at least). Cheers, :) _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat The Avantguardian "He stands like some sort of pagan god or deposed tyrant. Staring out over the city he's sworn to . . .to stare out over and it's evident just by looking at him that he's got some pretty heavy things on his mind." --------------------------------- Do you Yahoo!? Protect your identity with Yahoo! Mail AddressGuard -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sat Dec 6 04:00:36 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 20:00:36 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] The Trouble With Democracy In-Reply-To: <013701c3bba8$f3be4a20$6400a8c0@brainiac> Message-ID: <20031206040036.66481.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> --- Olga Bourlin wrote: > From: "Mike Lorrey" > > > > Oh WHAAAAAAAA While black soldiers had to whine about getting > powdered > > eggs, Jews in Germany were getting exterminated, so put that > > "perspective" in your pipe and smoke it. While blacks were getting > > stuck in logistics jobs instead of being sent to the front to die > (oh, > > the horror), jewish prisoners were being worked to death building > V-2 > > rockets in cave factories. While black soldiers were risking court > > martial for refusing to load or unload dangerous munition cargoes > from > > ships, jews refusing to work were summarily shot. By the time > several > > dozen black airmen became subjects in the Tuskegee syphyllis > > experiments, millions of jews had been exterminated in a national > > experiment in racial engineering. Got enough apples for THAT > perspective? > > I was comparing the way *German soldiers* were supposedly being > treated vs. > the way some *"black" American citizens* (and "black" military > personnel) > were being treated here. But you are talking about how Jews were > treated - > in Europe. Speaking of apples (since you conveniently brought them > up) - > why have have sidled over into the "oranges" perspective? I was comparing how one oppressed minority was treated in Germany with how another was treated in the US. Apples and apples, dear. > The way Jews were treated in Europe in no way justified the way > American citizens were treated > right here. That is not to say Jews weren't treated horribly. They > were > (somewhat less horribly in the United States, and about as nighmarish > horribly as can be imagined during the reign of the Nazis in Europe). > That's another subject, and another (added) perspective. Dead is a bit more than 'being treated horribly'. Being treated horribly is having your credit card refused or sitting in the back of the bus. > > Mike, why do you seem so hostile? Can't we talk? Sorry, its late, I've been very tired from nursing mom, and you know that moral equivilancy arguments always tick me off, and of course part of my family is jewish. I am reminded of an editorial cartoon I saw last year depicting two al Qaeda/Taliban hiding in an afghani cave highin the Hindu Kush, freezing their asses off and reading the al Qaeda Times with a review of conditions for prisoners in the tropical paradise of Guantanamo Bay, the reviewer says, "Too Breezy, no pillow mints." To which the talibanis respond, "Barbarians!!!" ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From extropy at unreasonable.com Sat Dec 6 04:07:36 2003 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Fri, 05 Dec 2003 23:07:36 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: Intelligence correlations In-Reply-To: <20031206013344.26906.qmail@web41204.mail.yahoo.com> References: <003901c3baf9$a15e22f0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031205215941.025c6008@mail.comcast.net> At 05:33 PM 12/5/2003 -0800, Jeff Davis wrote: >I have been wondering for some time now whether there >is any research to correlate 'intelligence' with >'various cultural parameters'. For example religious >belief, with sub correlations to specific religions >and degrees of fundamentalism. Or along political >lines: Repub, Dem, Liber, Green, Indep, Commie, >non-voter. Or say, liberal vs conservative. Or gay >vs straight. Not to mention along gender lines. > >I've googled in search of this data, but so far no >luck. Any of y'all got any tips for me? As you might expect, the higher the intelligence level, the harder it is to get a decent sample. Myers-Briggs personality -- Overall population is (75% E, 25% I), (75% S, 25% N), (55% T, 45% F), (50% J, 50% P). Mensa (1:50 IQ) came out at (27% E, 73% I), (10% S, 90% N), (75% T, 25% F), (75% J, 25% P) in a 1993 study. The Triple Nine Society (1:1000) only had a couple dozen data points in an on-line poll. Almost everyone was NT. More I than E and slightly more J than P. Triple Nine seems to be largely agnostics who are either libertarian or conservative but there are notable exceptions. I suspect the connection is between personality and politics (libertarians usually being NT's) and between personality and intelligence, rather than directly between intelligence and politics. By the way, it appears that people in the extropian community are pretty similar to Triple Nine in politics, intelligence, and personality. Intelligence distribution of men vs. women *has* been extensively studied, and you should be able to find a lot of links. You might start with Kevin Langdon, "Sex Differences in the Distribution of Mental Ability" ( http://www.polymath-systems.com/intel/essayrev/sexdiff.html ). I'm not aware of any studies of gay vs. straight. I would be skeptical, though, of how representative any gay sample would be of the overall gay population. >Clearly, such 'data' is controversial and subject to >a high bogosity coefficient (cf The Bell Curve). >Never the less, inquiring minds want to know. Have you actually read _The Bell Curve_? I'm finally getting around to it. The level of documentation and rigor for its assertions is far greater than its critics would have you believe. It seems roughly on par with Thomas Sowell's best although not as much fun to read. I do know that it is considered a credible work by people who are both skilled in psychometrics and members of high-IQ communities with 3 to 5 S.D. entrance requirements (that is, one-in-a-thousand to one-in-a-million). The bogosity seems to be mostly in criticism by people who haven't actually read the book. Much like what _More Guns, Less Crime_ received, for similar reasons. -- David Lubkin. From thespike at earthlink.net Sat Dec 6 04:31:39 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 22:31:39 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] theobiology References: <20031205230445.69884.qmail@web60506.mail.yahoo.com><01c301c3bb88$506a5c80$82994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <02a801c3bbb1$d989d440$82994a43@texas.net> > `Fellowship University'? Google finds it not, not surprisingly. http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8&q=%2B%22fellowship+univ ersity%22&btnG=Google+Search > > actually Google found 25,600 references to the phrase "fellowship university" Yes, endless references to Chi Alpha Christian Fellowship, University of Florida, or InterVarsity Christian Fellowship - University of Delaware, or Vaclav Havel Fellowship, University of Michigan. So? Not what I was talking about. If you think it is, please post its location, address and url. (I might be wrong, would like to know if I am.) Damien Broderick From thespike at earthlink.net Sat Dec 6 05:11:52 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 23:11:52 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Whoops! and holiday greetings References: <20031206010925.70022.qmail@web41209.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <02c701c3bbb7$78b457c0$82994a43@texas.net> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Jeff Davis" Sent: Friday, December 05, 2003 7:09 PM > Whoops! I wrote: > Greetings and best wishes to you and Barbara this > holiday season. I hope youse guys are together again. Luckily the INS guys at the LAX gate kindly allowed me in once more, yes, and this time I hope to be allowed to stay in my San Antonio home with my Texan missus for a bit longer than previously. And best wishes to youse-all extropes, too. Damien Broderick From spike66 at comcast.net Sat Dec 6 05:37:19 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 21:37:19 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] theobiology In-Reply-To: <01ce01c3bb8b$16a3fd00$82994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <000001c3bbbb$045f0380$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > Do I scent a lapsed Seventh Day Adventist? This must be what > Spike detected in the parody site. > > Damien Broderick I see no hints of SDA, but rather many indications of a Baptist who has become unborn again. I have sold all my old theology text books so I will wing this from memory. I scanned several of the pages of the site in question, and I must say it is an impressive piece of parody, not something that was put together in two or three evenings. The author demonstrates familiarity with christian apologetics in several places. She knows the lingo and the lines of reasoning. One of the clearest clues is found in the following comment: ...The Bible is the infallible and inerrant word of God; everything that He wanted us to know about Faith can be found in its pages. If He remains silent on the issue of the number of nails used in the sacrifice of His only begotten Son, then it is not for us to presume to make it a point of contention... The concept is very much a Baptist notion, that the bible contains everything we *really need to know* in order to be decent people. This concept eventually led to the absurd and reprehensible conclusion that slavery is evidently not a sin under all circumstances, since the bible mentions it in several places and doesn't actually say it is a sin. In the short new testament letter to Philemon (a christian leader and slave owner), Paul never clearly spells out "Philemon, thou stupid twit! Slavery is a SIN! Let Onesimus go!" The Baptists were forced by their own assumption about biblical ethical completeness to defend slavery, which they shamelessly did until ninteeeeen niiiinty fiiiiive, yes my friends, 1995. Up to that time they actually published literature attempting to explain why slavery really wasn't a crime against humanity. They weasled it around by saying that one of the Christ twins, either Jesus or Hoerkheimer, said "...render unto Caesar that which is Caesar's..." which means we are morally obligated to obey the laws of the land. Slavery wasn't actually illegal and therefore not a sin until Lincoln's emancipation proclamation of 1863. The Baptists eventually acknowledged the utter absurdity of the position and caved in, which actually introduced a logical inconsistency into their own philosophical foundations. Of course they are not the first group to succumb to philosophical pressure. Recall that poor Galileo was in hell by direct order from the pope until quite recently. Before we gloat to loudly, we must acknowledge that even extropian philosophy contains logical tension. For instance, it seems to me we have never fully come to grips with the inherent contradictions of libertarianism, such as the fact that there are three very different breeds that all fall under the same banner: those that arrived at libertarianism from the left, those that arrived from the right, and Amara, who arrived at libertarianism from above. {8-] spike From fauxever at sprynet.com Sat Dec 6 05:41:37 2003 From: fauxever at sprynet.com (Olga Bourlin) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 21:41:37 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Trouble With Democracy References: <20031206040036.66481.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <004b01c3bbbb$9def9af0$6400a8c0@brainiac> From: "Mike Lorrey" > > --- Olga Bourlin wrote: > > > Oh WHAAAAAAAA While black soldiers had to whine about getting > > powdered> > > eggs, Jews in Germany were getting exterminated, so put that > > > "perspective" in your pipe and smoke it. While blacks were getting > > > stuck in logistics jobs instead of being sent to the front to die > > (oh,> > > the horror), jewish prisoners were being worked to death building > > V-2> > > rockets in cave factories. While black soldiers were risking court > > > martial for refusing to load or unload dangerous munition cargoes > > from> > > ships, jews refusing to work were summarily shot. By the time > > several> > > dozen black airmen became subjects in the Tuskegee syphyllis > > > experiments, millions of jews had been exterminated in a national > > > experiment in racial engineering. Got enough apples for THAT > > perspective? > > > > I was comparing the way *German soldiers* were supposedly being > > treated vs. > > the way some *"black" American citizens* (and "black" military > > personnel) > were being treated here. But you are talking about how Jews were > > treated -> > in Europe. Speaking of apples (since you conveniently brought them > > up) -> > why have have sidled over into the "oranges" perspective? > > I was comparing how one oppressed minority was treated in Germany with > how another was treated in the US. Apples and apples, dear. Wrong. *You* started comparing the oppressed in Germany with the oppressed in America, but (again) that was *not* my point. The United States was fighting *against* Germany. Germany (here's the crucial difference) didn't pretend to be the "land of the free." U.S./democracy: apples. Germany/fascism: oranges. Of course, there was that incident with the ship St Louis, where the U.S. wouldn't allow Jews fleeing the Nazis to disembark on our shores, but, again ... another interesting aside to the whole sorry saga: http://www.ushmm.org/stlouis/story/voyage/ > > The way Jews were treated in Europe in no way justified the way > > American citizens were treated > > right here. That is not to say Jews weren't treated horribly. They > > were > > (somewhat less horribly in the United States, and about as nighmarish > > horribly as can be imagined during the reign of the Nazis in Europe).> > That's another subject, and another (added) perspective. > > Dead is a bit more than 'being treated horribly'. Being treated > horribly is having your credit card refused or sitting in the back of > the bus. You mean dead is worse than ...? No kidding? Well, thank you for this eye-opening revelation. (Who knows? One of these days we may even hear you come to the conclusion: "Better red than dead." On second thought ........... naaaaaaaaaaaaaaaah.) But seriously, you are being naive, simplistic and intellectually dishonest if you are implying (using your example) that "sitting [at] the back of the bus" was about as bad as things got for "blacks" in America. You know better than that. You don't score points for your case by soft peddling cruelly real issues like the history of racism in America. > > Mike, why do you seem so hostile? Can't we talk? > Sorry, it's late, I've been very tired from nursing mom, and you know > that moral equivilancy arguments always tick me off, and of course part > of my family is jewish. Whether your family is part Jewish (or not) should have no bearing on your empathy for people who are treated unfairly. Or - am I the one who's confused? - because I just can't help but think: *Why* should that matter? Good night, Sweet Prince ... Olga From hal at finney.org Sat Dec 6 05:43:52 2003 From: hal at finney.org (Hal Finney) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 21:43:52 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan Message-ID: <200312060543.hB65hqM30870@finney.org> Brett Paatsch writes: > For some reason the exchange between Smalley and Drexler > reminded me of a story I read when studying research methods > in psychology years ago. I found the text book _Research Methods > In Psychology_ (1985. Shaughnessy and Zechmeisser) and include > the story below: > "Can The Null Hypothesis Ever Be Accepted As True? > When we take a strict approach to null hypothesis testing - that the > only acceptable decisions are to reject H0 or to fail to reject H0 - > we are essentially acknowledging the fact that it is impossible to > prove that something does not exist. I had a similar reaction. Here is a posting I was working on about the debate at http://pubs.acs.org/cen/coverstory/8148/8148counterpoint.html: One of the problems I often see in debates about nanotechnology is an attempt to shift the burden of proof onto the other side. (This is actually a widespread problem in debates on all topics, but I think it is particularly inappropriate with nanotech.) In the online debate between Drexler and Smalley, it seems sometimes that the issue is, "Are the fat-finger and/or sticky-finger problems inherent to all possible nanotech assembler designs?" This puts the burden on the critic to show that there are no possible designs which could evade a particular problem, a virtually impossible task. But that's not fair. The big issue here is obvious: will Drexlerian nanotech work? Will we have the kind of revolutionary developments described in Engines of Creation and Drexler's other books? Will we have self-replicating machines which can replace most of the world's industrial capacity in a manner of, what, a few years? months? days? These are extraordinary claims, and many experts in physics and chemistry say that they are not credible. The burden of proof here is obvious. It is on the nanotech supporter, not the critic. He is the one making amazing predictions. He is the one who must support his claims by providing evidence in the form of technological plans and designs sufficient to make a strong case that this will all be possible. He can't just wave his hands and say, if one thing doesn't work, we'll try something else. He can't point to living things as an existence proof (because Drexlerian nanotech's revolutionary properties go far beyond anything possible with biology). He needs to come up with enough specifics to make his case. The burden of proof is on him. Supporters of Drexlerian nanotech must take on this burden squarely and refrain from demands that critics prove that the technology is impossible. Along these lines, let me ask a question. In his open letter, Drexler complains about Smalley's statement that assemblers will suffer from the "fat finger" and "sticky finger" problems. He writes, "I find this puzzling because, like enzymes and ribosomes, proposed assemblers neither have nor need these 'Smalley fingers'." So I will ask, what "proposed assemblers"? What is Drexler referring to, a proposal for an assembler that doesn't have these problems? My understanding is that we lack any designs for self-replicating assemblers that would be sufficiently detailed to know that they will work and not need "fingers". If Drexler has an assembler proposal that answers this question, I'd appreciate a pointer to it. Hal From spike66 at comcast.net Sat Dec 6 05:50:07 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 21:50:07 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Whoops! and holiday greetings In-Reply-To: <02c701c3bbb7$78b457c0$82994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <000001c3bbbc$ce0cffb0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > And best wishes to youse-all extropes, too. > > Damien Broderick We really must fix the flaw in English that the word meaning you is the same for singular and plural. Various dialects have attempted patches, such as y'all, youse, you guys, you-uns, youse-all, youay, all yall, youse guys, and even the disrespectful- sounding "you people." We need a standard patch. Suggestions? spike From spike66 at comcast.net Sat Dec 6 06:02:02 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 22:02:02 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] ramano's bad luck with rotorcraft In-Reply-To: <02c701c3bbb7$78b457c0$82994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <000201c3bbbe$784c6a00$6501a8c0@SHELLY> I propose a massive email campaign to michael Chrichton to explain to him what *should* to happen to likeable grinches. They are supposed to have their heart grow three sizes then get the strength of ten griches plus two, not have a flaming helicopter land upon them like Wile E. Coyote. Good bad-guys aren't supposed to meet with a hapless demise. What is the matter with that guy? spike From gpmap at runbox.com Sat Dec 6 08:28:29 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 09:28:29 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Humans and computers compete in virtual creature game Message-ID: >From the New Scientist: An online game that lets contestants build and race virtual beasts is being used to pit humans against a variety of artificial intelligence algorithms. The objective of Sodarace, which started at the end of November, is to construct a two dimensional creature that can travel over a certain type of terrain in the shortest possible time. Each creature is constructed of "mass", muscles", "limbs" and "joints" which control the way it moves. These creations can then be raced over a piece of terrain. Creatures can have many limbs or none at all and can walk, wriggle or even jump along. It is relatively simple to construct a creature by hand. But the game has been written so that a creature's key parameters can easily be fed into another computer program and artificial intelligence (AI) programmers are being invited to take part. So far, Sodarace has attracted thousands of contestants from around the world. These include hobbyists and professional AI researchers. In the first round, a human player was able to outwit competing computer algorithms to develop the fastest creature. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From gpmap at runbox.com Sat Dec 6 08:52:53 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 09:52:53 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] White House is hoping to renew space intrigue Message-ID: >From the International Herald Tribune: The Bush administration is developing a new strategy for the U.S. space program that would send American astronauts back to the moon for the first time in more than 30 years, according to administration and congressional officials who said the plan also included a manned mission to Mars. A lunar mission - possibly establishing a permanent base there - is the focus of high-level White House discussions on how to reinvigorate the space program following the space shuttle Columbia accident this year, said the officials, who spoke on condition of anonymity. NASA, along with other agencies, has been providing the administration with information about these long-term objectives," said Robert Jacobs, a spokesman for the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. NASA officials met in Washington this week as part of a national space policy review prompted by the Columbia disaster, which killed all seven astronauts aboard. While officials stressed that the White House had yet to sign off on a specific plan, they said President George W. Bush was expected soon to unveil a strategy that would include manned missions to the moon and to Mars. The idea is to motivate NASA engineers and researchers by aiming to explore deeper reaches of space than the current shuttle fleet is capable of visiting. Vice President Dick Cheney recently met with members of Congress to discuss the proposals, the officials said. NASA officials and space specialists increasingly believe that recent American human space flight activities - particularly the delayed and costly construction of the International Space Station - do not push the envelope enough to motivate researchers and engineers or spark the kind of public fascination with space that was generated by the first missions to the moon. A challenge to go back to the moon and reinvigorate the space flight program would be welcomed by the public. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Sat Dec 6 12:20:08 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 23:20:08 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Whoops! and holiday greetings References: <000001c3bbbc$ce0cffb0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <039e01c3bbf3$49eb24a0$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Spike wrote: > > > And best wishes to youse-all extropes, too. > > > > Damien Broderick > > We really must fix the flaw in English that the word > meaning you is the same for singular and plural. > Various dialects have attempted patches, such as > y'all, youse, you guys, you-uns, youse-all, youay, > all yall, youse guys, and even the disrespectful- > sounding "you people." We need a standard patch. > > Suggestions? Use ewes? Brett Paatsch (surname "patch" in standard 'Australian') From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sat Dec 6 15:12:57 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 07:12:57 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] DRUG: Coke/X cause mutations Message-ID: <20031206151257.46875.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&u=/nm/20031205/sc_nm/health_cocaine_dna_dc_4 Italian researchers have concluded a three year study with results showing that use of drugs like cocaine and excstasy cause mutations in subjects DNA. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sat Dec 6 15:57:57 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 07:57:57 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Whoops! and holiday greetings In-Reply-To: <039e01c3bbf3$49eb24a0$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: <20031206155757.47656.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> --- Brett Paatsch wrote: > Spike wrote: > > > > > And best wishes to youse-all extropes, too. > > > > > > Damien Broderick > > > > We really must fix the flaw in English that the word > > meaning you is the same for singular and plural. > > Various dialects have attempted patches, such as > > y'all, youse, you guys, you-uns, youse-all, youay, > > all yall, youse guys, and even the disrespectful- > > sounding "you people." We need a standard patch. > > > > Suggestions? > > Use ewes? Yoots (also useful in referring to youths in inner city settings). I'll note that the French have 'tu' for the singular and 'vous' for the plural (as best I recall). Y'all does seem to be spreading with the popularity of country music, so it may wind up becoming the default choice, especially as it is most phonetically efficient. I hear it more often with the folks in northern new england these days, and yankees love phonetic efficiency, as evinced by our lack of 'r's. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From neptune at superlink.net Sat Dec 6 16:15:22 2003 From: neptune at superlink.net (Technotranscendence) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 11:15:22 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Trouble With Democracy References: <20031206040036.66481.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> <004b01c3bbbb$9def9af0$6400a8c0@brainiac> Message-ID: <00be01c3bc14$276f9de0$07ce5cd1@neptune> On Saturday, December 06, 2003 12:41 AM Olga Bourlin fauxever at sprynet.com wrote: > Wrong. *You* started comparing the oppressed > in Germany with the oppressed in America, but > (again) that was *not* my point. The United > States was fighting *against* Germany. > Germany (here's the crucial difference) didn't > pretend to be the "land of the free." U.S./ > democracy: apples. Germany/fascism: oranges. While this is correct, one should also remember that the Nazi period was only 12 years. Before the Nazis, Jews were a considerable large minority in Germany, Austria, and many other Central and Eastern European countries. (Of course, many Jews did migrate to the West and to Israel, but, IIRC, a large percentage were killed by the Nazis and their henchmen -- among other groups they tried to wipe out, such as White Russians, and Poles.) > Of course, there was that incident with the ship > St Louis, where the U.S. wouldn't allow Jews > fleeing the Nazis to disembark on our shores, > but, again ... another interesting aside to the > whole sorry saga: > http://www.ushmm.org/stlouis/story/voyage/ A shameful episode. > But seriously, you are being naive, simplistic > and intellectually dishonest if you are implying > (using your example) that "sitting [at] the back > of the bus" was about as bad as things got > for "blacks" in America. You know better > than that. You don't score points for your > case by soft peddling cruelly real issues like > the history of racism in America. As long as you're alive, you can live to fight or be free another day. However, many Blacks were lynched. However, this was nothing like the mass killings of Jews and other groups by the Nazis and their allies. > Whether your family is part Jewish (or not) should > have no bearing on your empathy for people who > are treated unfairly. Or - am I the one who's > confused? - because I just can't help but think: > *Why* should that matter? It should NOT matter in the moral or cognitive sense, but it does matter emotionally. Humans naturally band together into groups and show more empathy for those they can identify with. I'm not saying this is right or wrong, but it is what happens. Cheers! Dan http://uweb.superlink.net/neptune/MyWorks.html "You will never find anybody who can give you a clear and compelling reason why we observe daylight savings time." -- Dave Barry From scerir at libero.it Sat Dec 6 17:50:45 2003 From: scerir at libero.it (scerir) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 18:50:45 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Whoops! and holiday greetings References: <20031206155757.47656.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <000a01c3bc21$7a6cd000$f0c7fea9@scerir> "Mike Lorrey" > I'll note that the French have 'tu' for the singular and 'vous' for the > plural (as best I recall) We also use "tu" for the singular, and "voi" for the plural. But, during fascism they used "voi" plural, instead of "tu", for the singular too, because it was more robust, solemn. Still now you can find somebody saying "voi", for the singular. For the same reason "voi", for the singular, was/is strongly forbidden, among leftists. But we also use, instead of "tu" (singular), "lei" or "ella" (singular) when the situation is formal (in theory "lei" and "ella" is a third person, singular) and you want to put some distance between you and the other. Less difficult to understand is questo = this (close to me) quello = that (far from me) codesto = ??? (far from me, close to you) Sanin s. From spike66 at comcast.net Sat Dec 6 17:55:29 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 09:55:29 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] promoting libertarianism effectively In-Reply-To: <000a01c3bc21$7a6cd000$f0c7fea9@scerir> Message-ID: <001001c3bc22$23044c20$6501a8c0@SHELLY> http://www.cnn.com/2002/ALLPOLITICS/09/19/cf.opinionrachel.mills/index.h tml Why didnt we think of this before? spike From jonkc at att.net Sat Dec 6 18:17:06 2003 From: jonkc at att.net (John K Clark) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 13:17:06 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan References: <020801c3bb97$2650ef40$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: <027201c3bc25$420b8950$11ff4d0c@hal2001> "Brett Paatsch" > it is impossible to prove that something does not exist. That's not quite true; you can prove that the largest prime number does not exist for example. A perpetual motion machine can not exist either if the law of conservation of energy is true and to deny that would put one squarely in the junk science camp. Likewise if it could be shown that for Drexler's assemblers to work you'd need to move faster than light, violate the conservation of momentum law, place things with more precision than Heisenberg allows, or violate the second law of thermodynamics then it would be safe to dismiss the entire idea as nonsense; but nobody has come close to doing that. I also disagree that life is not a pretty good existence proof of the idea, it's true Drexler's machines can do more but that's what you'd expect, all else being equal intelligent design will always beat random mutation and natural selection. Of course we will not know with absolute certainty that Drexler was correct until an assembler is actually built, and that should be about 20 minutes before the singularity. John K Clark jonkc at att.net From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sat Dec 6 18:24:24 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 10:24:24 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] promoting libertarianism effectively In-Reply-To: <001001c3bc22$23044c20$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031206182424.53474.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> --- Spike wrote: > http://www.cnn.com/2002/ALLPOLITICS/09/19/cf.opinionrachel.mills/index.h > tml > > > Why didnt we think of this before? Actually, I think Rachel started the project on the Free State forums. She's a great gal, and expect more coming. In June, we will be having the "Porc-Fest", a festival in the Free State, for Porcupines (FSP members) and prospective members from elsewhere in the country to visit, get to know NH, attend libertarian seminars, take bus and car tours of the state, focusing on real estate and communities of particular note to libertarians planning to move here, and get to know a lot more fellow members. We will have entertainment as well, which may include some well known libertarian entertainers. Recreational opportunities include hiking, fishing, kayaking, shooting, rock climbing, boating, biking, and much more. Planning is currently underway, so expect more details in a few months. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From fauxever at sprynet.com Sat Dec 6 19:13:51 2003 From: fauxever at sprynet.com (Olga Bourlin) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 11:13:51 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Trouble With Democracy References: <20031206040036.66481.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com><004b01c3bbbb$9def9af0$6400a8c0@brainiac> <00be01c3bc14$276f9de0$07ce5cd1@neptune> Message-ID: <003201c3bc2d$16929040$6400a8c0@brainiac> From: "Technotranscendence" > On Saturday, December 06, 2003 12:41 AM Olga Bourlin > fauxever at sprynet.com wrote: > > Of course, there was that incident with the ship > > St Louis, where the U.S. wouldn't allow Jews > > fleeing the Nazis to disembark on our shores, > > but, again ... another interesting aside to the > > whole sorry saga: > > http://www.ushmm.org/stlouis/story/voyage/ > > A shameful episode. But not all that surprising, was it? Gregory Peck starred in a movie (mid 1940s if memory serves) called "Gentlemen's Agreement" (a Jewish variation on the "Black Like Me" plot of the late 1950s/early 1960s) where the plot involved pretending to be Jewish, for the sake of journalistic research. Ooooh ... and the nasty goings on he discovered, tsk, tsk, tsk. That movie - almost a decade *after* this St Louis incident - was about as provocative as pabulum, but it was supposed to be groundbreaking for its time (just as the namby-pamby "Guess Who's Coming to Dinner?" was considered oh-so-controversial in the late 1960s). > > But seriously, you are being naive, simplistic > > and intellectually dishonest if you are implying > > (using your example) that "sitting [at] the back > > of the bus" was about as bad as things got > > for "blacks" in America. You know better > > than that. You don't score points for your > > case by soft peddling cruelly real issues like > > the history of racism in America. > > As long as you're alive, you can live to fight or be free another day. > However, many Blacks were lynched. Yes. However, this was nothing like the > mass killings of Jews and other groups by the Nazis and their allies. We cannot justify slapping kids around in America by saying, "However, this is nothing like the mass limb amputations by machetes performed on thousands of children in Sierra Leone ..." We cannot condone spousal abuse here by saying, "However, this is nothing like the public floggings of Iranians prescribed by Shari'a (an Islamic law) ..." We cannot excuse religious intolerance in our country by saying, "However, this is nothing like the suffering people have undergone under the Taliban ..." I never intimated that Jews who were caught by the Nazis suffered any more or less than American "blacks." Whether they did or not is irrelevant and immaterial, as I was pointing out the racism in America during and after WWII for this discussion. My comment was fostered when the discussion turned to a comparison about how well some German prisoners during WWII in America were treated by some of our good-hearted citizens. Of course, an apples-to-apples comparison could be made insofar as Jews in America at that time. Jews, like "blacks" in America, also experienced some housing discrimination, job discrimination, being barred from "exclusive" WASP golf club memberships and the like, but at least they could drink out of "white" drinking fountains, marry other "whites," be "movie stars," and generally be a part of whatever was American society at that time (you know, those years so many white Americans remember nostalgically as "the good old days"). > > Whether your family is part Jewish (or not) should > > have no bearing on your empathy for people who > > are treated unfairly. Or - am I the one who's > > confused? - because I just can't help but think: > > *Why* should that matter? > > It should NOT matter in the moral or cognitive sense, but it does matter > emotionally. Humans naturally band together into groups and show more > empathy for those they can identify with. I'm not saying this is right > or wrong, but it is what happens. Another aside: it seems like if given half a chance, those once discriminated against can turn out to be the oppressors (look at Israel). Due to my upbringing (too many countries in so little time), I must have lost out on the lessons of my tribe. I can distinguish between people I personally like and don't like (yet feel a compassion for humans in general because, after all, we are doomed to die ...). I can try to distinguish between just and unjust laws. But I've not had any particularly special feeling about my ancestral "group." I do have a fondness for Russian cuisine, but my palate - just as my current ethnic "grouping" - has broken out of the boundaries of Slavdom (slavedom? - interesting ...). Vive le difference, I say. Olga From scerir at libero.it Sat Dec 6 19:44:20 2003 From: scerir at libero.it (scerir) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 20:44:20 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] old toys for N-mas References: <001001c3bc22$23044c20$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <000401c3bc31$779b6d40$f0c7fea9@scerir> Newtonmas is close. FAO Schwarz, the 'ultimate' toy store http://www.faoschwarz.com/default.cfm isn't in good (financial) shape. Let us turn to everlasting items. Hero's Fountain -reality http://physics.kenyon.edu/EarlyApparatus/Fluids/Heros_Fountain/Heros_Fountai n.html -theory http://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0310039 The Drinking Bird -reality http://www.backstreet.demon.co.uk/oddstuff/drinkingbirds/drinkingbirds.htm -theory http://nautilus.fis.uc.pt/personal/mfiolhais/artigosdid/did15.pdf http://nautilus.fis.uc.pt/personal/mfiolhais/artigosdid/did14.pdf The Cartesian Diver -reality http://physics.kenyon.edu/EarlyApparatus/Fluids/Cartesian_Diver/Cartesian_Di ver.html -theory http://nautilus.fis.uc.pt/personal/mfiolhais/artigosdid/did13.pdf http://nautilus.fis.uc.pt/personal/mfiolhais/artigosdid/did8.pdf -philosophy http://www.ed.uiuc.edu/courses/CI241-science-Sp95/resources/philoToy/philoTo y.html From eugen at leitl.org Sat Dec 6 19:58:01 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 20:58:01 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: <200312060543.hB65hqM30870@finney.org> References: <200312060543.hB65hqM30870@finney.org> Message-ID: <20031206195800.GC5783@leitl.org> On Fri, Dec 05, 2003 at 09:43:52PM -0800, Hal Finney wrote: > I had a similar reaction. Here is a posting I was working on about the > debate at http://pubs.acs.org/cen/coverstory/8148/8148counterpoint.html: I have an unfinished post sitting in my postponed queue, which (quite rudely) interleaves in the Drexler/Smalley exchange. > One of the problems I often see in debates about nanotechnology is an > attempt to shift the burden of proof onto the other side. (This is > actually a widespread problem in debates on all topics, but I think > it is particularly inappropriate with nanotech.) In the online debate > between Drexler and Smalley, it seems sometimes that the issue is, "Are > the fat-finger and/or sticky-finger problems inherent to all possible > nanotech assembler designs?" This puts the burden on the critic to show > that there are no possible designs which could evade a particular problem, > a virtually impossible task. The problem with Smalley that his critique is limited to a few off the cuff statements he's unwilling or unable to expand. We've had heard these same points before (in fact, I used very similiar points once, from a pure synthetic chemist's point of view), whereas the machine-phase approach has meanwhile resulted in considerable number of publications. > But that's not fair. The big issue here is obvious: will Drexlerian > nanotech work? Will we have the kind of revolutionary developments > described in Engines of Creation and Drexler's other books? Will we > have self-replicating machines which can replace most of the world's > industrial capacity in a manner of, what, a few years? months? days? > > These are extraordinary claims, and many experts in physics and chemistry > say that they are not credible. The burden of proof here is obvious. > It is on the nanotech supporter, not the critic. He is the one making > amazing predictions. He is the one who must support his claims by > providing evidence in the form of technological plans and designs > sufficient to make a strong case that this will all be possible. The Bush administration has just approved a major spending package for R&D in nanotechnology, machine-phase being notably exempt from the plan. Now this is not very nice. What would be sufficient as a burden of proof? We already have evidence of machine-phase in manipulative proximal probe. There are no simulators large and precise enough to contain a full design. In a sense, the only hard proof will be a working assembler itself, or something with a self-rep closure so close to unity it doesn't require a leap of faith to go over unity, and to scale down the design. Where will money for this come from? Smalley is blocking R&D in that development quite efficiently by using essentially arguments from authority. This is not a laid-back ivory tower discussion. This is political science, with R&D budget and long-term policy being at stake. > He can't just wave his hands and say, if one thing doesn't work, we'll > try something else. He can't point to living things as an existence Actually, yes, because there are several approaches in design space. Just because one aspect has been invalidated (I personally expect crosslinked polymer as structure bulk, not diamond nor graphenes; and possibly sorting of precursors from a stochastical synthetic batch, along with microfluidics functionalization, self-assembly *and* machine phase as the most viable approach) it doesn't mean the whole thing is a no-go. > proof (because Drexlerian nanotech's revolutionary properties go far > beyond anything possible with biology). He needs to come up with Not really, enzymes (and enzyme assemblies) plus active transport within the cell do fall within mechanosynthesis domain. The reactive site in an enzyme does resemble processes occuring at the tip, albeit minus some aspects (substrate recognition and envelopment, bond weakening before breakage). > enough specifics to make his case. The burden of proof is on him. > Supporters of Drexlerian nanotech must take on this burden squarely and > refrain from demands that critics prove that the technology is impossible. It's still perfectly valid to call bogus arguments that, I hope. > Along these lines, let me ask a question. In his open letter, Drexler > complains about Smalley's statement that assemblers will suffer from > the "fat finger" and "sticky finger" problems. He writes, "I find this Fat fingers is a perfectly valid point, though stated in dumbed-down language. There's steric hindrance from the side of plane substrate, and tool tips coming from other space quadrants (to be stiff, they need to be bulky). How many tool tips need to be simultaneously present, though? It's not obvious we need more than one, or two. I don't like cycles, even if it's driven at resonance, but you don't really need cycles. A SWNT can continuously extrude an allene strand, and polymerize this linear monomer with a minimal-amplitude tooltip oscillation. This is a continuous, one-tip deposition. Where are the fat fingers here? This is the same thing as bucky-tipped AFM head, and you know the resolution of that. You can buy these tools, and they resolve deep crevices at atomic resolution. Now sticky fingers are a red herring, because no one is proposing to handle naked reactive monoatomics. It's perfectly possible to drag and position e.g. Xe on Ni at cryogenic UHV conditions precisely because Xe sticks to the STM tip. Cycled deposition doesn't deposit atoms directly, only formally so. You don't need a methyl radical to methylate Hg with Acetyl CoA. It's a cycle activate-deposit-regenerate, and it's all perfectly vanilla chemistry in-between, except it's all dry and extremely controlled. > puzzling because, like enzymes and ribosomes, proposed assemblers neither > have nor need these 'Smalley fingers'." > > So I will ask, what "proposed assemblers"? What is Drexler referring > to, a proposal for an assembler that doesn't have these problems? I presume he refers to mechanosynthetic reaction set, and these reactions indeed do not require Smalley fingers. Apart from Merkle's stuff, you'll see interesting hits for mechanosynthesis on Google. Now these are theoretic cycles, but they do use classic chemistry assumptions and calculations to back them up. I agree fundamentally that the set of these reactions the critical part of the proposed classical (you don't need a true assembler for a number of applications) assembler. > My understanding is that we lack any designs for self-replicating > assemblers that would be sufficiently detailed to know that they will > work and not need "fingers". If Drexler has an assembler proposal that Self-assembly doesn't need any fingers, and Drexler/Merkle stuff is limited to a few tooltips, so I wouldn't get too worked up about what Smalley says. > answers this question, I'd appreciate a pointer to it. Ultimatively, the best proof is to try designing your own. For the most part, it's currently all about modelling and software engineering. The bootstrap issue is not orthogonal to the design, but fund allocation is critically dependant on a killer demo, and if it's only in the virtual dry dock. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From spike66 at comcast.net Sat Dec 6 21:12:10 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 13:12:10 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] same story, different spins In-Reply-To: <000401c3bc31$779b6d40$f0c7fea9@scerir> Message-ID: <000901c3bc3d$9ce64730$6501a8c0@SHELLY> This is why I read at least two different news sources: http://www.cnn.com/2003/WORLD/asiapcf/central/12/06/afghan.blast/index.h tml http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,105037,00.html From natasha at natasha.cc Sat Dec 6 23:28:05 2003 From: natasha at natasha.cc (Natasha Vita-More) Date: Sat, 06 Dec 2003 15:28:05 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] ACTION: ERIC DREXLER's Message to ExI Message-ID: <5.2.0.9.0.20031206152400.0212d260@pop.earthlink.net> I am forwarding the below message from Eric Drexler: _______________________________________________________ "Nobel chemist Richard Smalley has responded to my longstanding challenge to defend the controversial direction of U.S. policy in nanotechnology, which excludes work on molecular manufacturing. This event -- and the press coverage now building -- offer an opportunity to change the flawed course of the field. The revolutionary promise of molecular nanotechnology (MNT) has become a part of society's expectations for the future. This technology will provide nanomedicine breakthroughs that could cure cancer and extend lifespace, bring abundance without environmental harm and provide clean sources of energy. These ideas are part of the vision that launched the field of nanotechnology. So the U.S. National Nanotechnology Initiative (NNI) is, of course, plotting an aggressive course toward MNT -- isn't it? Massive research funds are flowing to groups pursing competing approaches, and researchers are touting their results as steps toward the goal...right? The reality is starkly different. NNI research programs support a host of valuable projects yet exclude work explicitly directed toward MNT. In an effort to distance the field from fears that might threaten funding, the leading NNI spokesman, Richard Smalley, has declared that molecular assemblers are impossible. This stance has opened a vast gap between perception and reality, creating a world in which students interested in pursuing MNT research lack sponsorship, while lab groups and start-up companies working toward MNT goals must hide their intentions. By falsely declaring molecular assembly technology to be impossible, detractors have associated it with warp drives in official circles and relegated it to fringe status. Fortunately, this erroneous situation is beginning to change, in part because the extended Foresight community refuses to let this important issue be dismissed. We now have a unique opportunity to seize the momentum. Richard Smalley has responded to my challenge, and the ensuing exchange -- the Dec. 1 cover story of the American Chemical Society's magazine, Chemical & Engineering News -- may mark a tipping point, but only if it is seen -- and properly understood -- by a wider audience, and if it is properly translated into action. WHAT YOU CAN DO! 1) I urge you to read the Foresight press release and the full exchange , and then consider what part you can play in adding to the momentum. The detractors of MNT have shown the power of disinformation; it's time they saw what well-informed people can do. Some suggestions: 2) Speak up: make others aware of what's going on. Forward the press release and the exchange. Write a letter to the editor of your favorite publication, attaching these materials and requesting coverage of this important issue. Write policy makers about your concerns. Raise issues and answer naysayers though message boards and blogs. Show the opposition our numbers and knowledge. 3) Elevate the debate: shift the discussion on molecular assemblers and molecular manufacturing from rhetoric and metaphors to science and research. Demand proof from those dismissing the accomplishments to date. Give someone influential a copy of Nanosystems (Chapters 1 and 2 are on the web ). Refer them to the work of Ralph Merkle, Robert Freitas and others. 4) Get more active: request seminars and classes on related topics Transform your next social event or book group to focus on these issues. Become more engaged with Foresight -- help match the challenge grant , tell us about yourself and your skills consider how you can help with plans for Foresight's next phase . 5) Above all, take action. Regardless of what avenues you may choose, make your voice and intentions heard. Our future is counting on you. -- Eric K. Eric Drexler Chairman, Foresight Institute _______________________________________ Natasha Vita-More President, Extropy Institute http://www.extropy.org -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From cphoenix at best.com Sat Dec 6 21:55:52 2003 From: cphoenix at best.com (Chris Phoenix) Date: Sat, 06 Dec 2003 16:55:52 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan Message-ID: <3FD25068.949E23D0@best.com> This was CC'd to me, so I'll respond. Remember that I won't see any answers unless they are also CC'd to me. The debate is all screwed up. Each side thinks they have made a strong case and are obviously right and the other side is obviously wrong. Onlookers generally have strong emotional reasons to pick one side or the other. The situtation is a lot more symmetrical than it appears to either side. It's like a messy divorce: a lot of "he said she said," and no one can take a step back to realize that what's really important is that the lawyers are getting all the money. If you want to know who's right, you have to strip away the debate and look at the scientific claims. Most of the trouble here comes from the context and structure of the debate, not the scientific claims themselves. It's easy to reach an impasse in this discussion. You see the claims of cryonics, assemblers, doom-and-gloom scenarios, and you say, "These claims are extraordinary. Therefore I won't believe them without very strong evidence." But what evidence is possible? Note that these claims are not about scientific theory; they're about the projected consequences of one side's understanding of the theory. Drexler says that we have to prepare for MNT and we should be researching it further. This assumes there's a reasonable chance of MNT working. Which, when you take a step back, is at least plausible; there's a lot of careful theory that says it should, and no careful theory that says it can't. Drexler isn't (or at least shouldn't be) insisting that all scientists agree with him. It's just that MNT should be given a fair study, so that if it does work we won't be caught by surprise. To argue with this, a critic doesn't have to *prove* MNT can't work--just show that it's so unlikely there's no point in wasting time on it. This is a practial, not a theoretical issue. And it doesn't seem unfair to me. It's like an epidemiologist saying, "SARS has killed eighty people, but reasonable extrapolation shows it could kill ten million unless we stop it soon." Is this putting an unfair burden of proof on the Chinese government to open up unless they can show that SARS isn't a threat? No, it's a heavy burden, but it's not unfair. Hal complains about a lack of specifics on Drexler's side, and asks, "What 'proposed assemblers'?" Ironically, the specifics are there, but they're *too* specific. There's been a substantial amount of work in the past decade on mechanochemical systems, both the mechanics and the chemistry. But it's buried in a thick book with lots of equations, and a number of academic papers from several sources. One would have to spend substantial effort to find the details, and more effort to evaluate them. I've spent a decade doing this, and it turns out that building a mechanochemical system without "fingers" is not a big deal at all. That part of the claim is simply not extraordinary. Let me repeat that. The claim that mechanochemistry can be a useful manufacturing technique is not extraordinary. That doesn't mean it's right. But it's fairly simple to decide whether it's right or not. We already know mechanochemistry works in a few cases. The question is whether it can be used to build useful diamondoid shapes. So far, there's a significant amount of careful evidence that it can, from basic theory, chemical simulation, and experiment. And there's no careful evidence that it can't. (Whatever you may think about Smalley's argument, you must admit that he was not careful; his statements about enzymes were shockingly wrong.) Mechanochemistry is no stranger than surface catalysis or flame chemistry. It only seems weird and extraordinary because of its association with weird insect-like assemblers. On this particular claim, there should be no extremism or requirement for extraordinary proof on either side. It looks plausible and useful, but hasn't been demonstrated in detail. Fine--let's look at it more closely. The question may have some urgency, because if it works it may be the foundation of a very powerful manufacturing capability with lots of implications. But why does that imply that Drexler has to provide extraordinary evidence that it works? Seems to me just the opposite. Actually, I know why. If I tell you, "Lend me $10 and tomorrow I'll give you $15," you may do it. But if I say, "Lend me $10 and tomorrow I'll give you $100," you know something must be wrong somewhere. I think this is one reason why Drexler's claims, taken in aggregate, are not acceptable. It probably would've been better if Drexler had cloned himself, and Eric Drexler only talked about the science (which is pretty mundane and should have been respectable) while Drew Ericson talked about the policy implications if Drexler was right. It also would've been better if the description of assemblers did not map so closely to the archetype of bugs (in the sense of both insect and germ). But that's hindsight. The point is, the debate got off to a very unfortunate start. But if you want to understand the science, the only way to do that at this point is to strip away the debate history and just look at the scientific claims. Smalley says that precise positional chemistry can only work underwater. Is he right? No. Meanwhile, Drexler says NEMS can do carbon deposition on diamond to build NEMS. Is he right? So far, the evidence is on his side. Let's go get more evidence. Chris -- Chris Phoenix cphoenix at CRNano.org Director of Research Center for Responsible Nanotechnology http://CRNano.org From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Sat Dec 6 22:27:35 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 09:27:35 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan References: <020801c3bb97$2650ef40$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> <027201c3bc25$420b8950$11ff4d0c@hal2001> Message-ID: <04b801c3bc48$25dfd880$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> John K Clark wrote: > ..if it could be shown that for Drexler's assemblers to work > you'd need to move faster than light, violate the conservation > of momentum law, place things with more precision than > Heisenberg allows, or violate the second law of thermodynamics > then it would be safe to dismiss the entire idea as nonsense; but > nobody has come close to doing that. I am not dismissing the idea as nonsense. But I am wary that often what we want to be true isn't and I very much include myself in that category of we. I am glad that Smalley has engaged with Drexler, that in itself is a win for Drexler. Whether or not it is a win for the truth I can't say as I do not yet presume to know the truth on this matter. But it is a mistake to think that the burden of proof lies on Smalley. Its a political mistake. I think it was David Hume that said that extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence. There is an opportunity cost for people to investigate complex ideas requiring understanding in multiple disciplines like those that are detailed in Nanosystems. And it could be fairly asserted perhaps if they are true that there is an opportunity cost in not making the effort to come to terms with those ideas. But right now most people, even most intelligent people are not in the camp that can see it is true. Anything that can be done to make it easier to convince more people and to reduce the amount of effort open minded interested folk have to divert from there other tasks would I think be efforts well spent. > I also disagree that life is not a pretty good existence proof > of the idea, it's true Drexler's machines can do more but that's what > you'd expect, all else being equal intelligent design will always beat > random mutation and natural selection. Of course we will not know > with absolute certainty that Drexler was correct until an assembler > is actually built, and that should be about 20 minutes before the > singularity. I think it is possible to set the standard of verification lower than 20 minutes before the singularity, but I think it is prudent to realise that the task of persuading folk to spend time examining this issue and thinking about what standards of proof would be adequate or greatly improve confidence that further investigation into the matter is not wasted time, is itself a task that falls on either the enlightened or the true-believers. The open minded undecideds we can tell the enlightened from the true-believers beforehand. I am not looking to join the latest religious crusade I am willing (time permitting - and it often isn't - that's a problem everyone faces when they are trying to persuade) to engage in pleasant and interesting conversation with folk who know what they are talking about and who don't say - just read everything Drexler ever wrote and by the way here is thirty papers of my musings on partially related matters as well. That stuff may be said in good faith but it just doesn't persuade. Perhaps genuine discussion with those who are interested but not yet convinced and who will therefore play Socrates to Drexler's (and those that already agree with him's) Protogoras, is a good way to achieve two worthy things. 1. It allows the arguments aimed at persuading open-minded folk to be honed. 2. It brings some clear thinkers (who are often good persuaders once persuaded themselves) on-board quicker. Regards, Brett From max at maxmore.com Sat Dec 6 21:15:38 2003 From: max at maxmore.com (Max More) Date: Sat, 06 Dec 2003 15:15:38 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] promoting libertarianism effectively In-Reply-To: <001001c3bc22$23044c20$6501a8c0@SHELLY> References: <000a01c3bc21$7a6cd000$f0c7fea9@scerir> Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031206150543.00bc04c8@mail.earthlink.net> At 11:55 AM 12/6/2003, you wrote: >http://www.cnn.com/2002/ALLPOLITICS/09/19/cf.opinionrachel.mills/index.h >tml > >Why didnt we think of this before? Egad! What a terrible interview. It confirms the impression of Tucker Carlson as a moron, which I formed when I was on crossfire debating cryonics during the Ted Williams furor. More disappointingly, Rachel Mill's responses could have been much better -- even taking into account the rapid fire format. It doesn't help that the first two words out of her mouth are: "Child pornography?" When asked about marijuana, she replies "Marijuana, I think honest science proves that it's harmless just like alcohol". I must have missed the news when it was shown that alcohol is *harmless*. Defending the legality of a substance on the grounds that it's harmless is a doomed strategy. When asked, "which free-market economy turns you on most? she replies "You know, right now I like Russia, actually, because they just passed a 13 percent flat tax, and their economy is soaring". It's staggering that she would point to Russia as an exemplar of free markets! State control of the media with Putin looking like an old-time Communist, lack of the rule of law, and so on... I've never been a supporter of the LP even though its policies are closer to my views than any other party I know of. This display makes it even more likely that my non-support will continue. Spike, what on Earth was it that you liked about this? Max _______________________________________________________ Max More, Ph.D. max at maxmore.com or more at extropy.org http://www.maxmore.com Strategic Philosopher Chairman, Extropy Institute. http://www.extropy.org _______________________________________________________ From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Sat Dec 6 23:16:02 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 18:16:02 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] same story, different spins In-Reply-To: <000901c3bc3d$9ce64730$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <002801c3bc4e$eae78be0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Spike wrote, > This is why I read at least two different news sources: > > > I must be missing something. What is the difference between these two stories? -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From spike66 at comcast.net Sat Dec 6 23:42:20 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 15:42:20 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] promoting libertarianism effectively In-Reply-To: <5.1.0.14.2.20031206150543.00bc04c8@mail.earthlink.net> Message-ID: <000601c3bc52$976f9bc0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > At 11:55 AM 12/6/2003, you wrote: > >http://www.cnn.com/2002/ALLPOLITICS/09/19/cf.opinionrachel.mi > lls/index.html > > Spike, what on Earth was it that you liked about this? > > Max The calendars. I thought the interview was dippy too. The "promoting libertarianism effectively" was an ironic statement, which often doesn't work online. I should have put NOT! afterwards. Thanks for the reality check Max. {8-] spike From spike66 at comcast.net Sat Dec 6 23:45:06 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 15:45:06 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] same story, different spins In-Reply-To: <002801c3bc4e$eae78be0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <000701c3bc52$faa8c310$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > Spike wrote, > > This is why I read at least two different news sources: > > > > I must be missing something. What is the difference between these two stories? Harvey Very different spins. I scarcely recognize the two stories as describing the save event. When all the facts are in, it will be interesting to see if the Taliban really did this, and if so why was CNN so hesitant and if not why was Foxnews so speculative. spike From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sun Dec 7 00:13:41 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 16:13:41 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] promoting libertarianism effectively In-Reply-To: <000601c3bc52$976f9bc0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031207001341.86452.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> --- Spike wrote: > > At 11:55 AM 12/6/2003, you wrote: > > >http://www.cnn.com/2002/ALLPOLITICS/09/19/cf.opinionrachel.mi > > lls/index.html > > > > Spike, what on Earth was it that you liked about this? > > > > Max > > The calendars. I thought the interview was dippy too. The > "promoting libertarianism effectively" was an ironic statement, > which often doesn't work online. I should have put NOT! afterwards. > > Thanks for the reality check Max. On the contrary, anything we do to promote liberty in any way that doesn't hurt anybody is good. WHy? Because for most average people in America, when you say "libertarians", they say "whassat? sum kinna crazy democrat?" It is a common comment among many boomer males that the only reason they went to anti-war rallies as kids was to get laid. Get a clue. Sex sells. If it becomes common knowledge that supermodels attend Libertarian Conventions (and I've met quite a number of exotic dancers at LP events who are libertarians) then penises will follow, at least long enough to figure out that this is a serious political movement with rational arguments. Given the rather dippy arguments that Max was subjected to when he appeared on Crossfire, it it any wonder the dip factor on that show is any different today? Is it any surprise that both Carlson and Carville were left looking like idiots when facing an attractive woman who is not afraid of her own sexuality? Rachel coulda smacked em both between the eyes with a two by four and they wouldn't have noticed. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From max at maxmore.com Sat Dec 6 23:27:42 2003 From: max at maxmore.com (Max More) Date: Sat, 06 Dec 2003 17:27:42 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] promoting libertarianism effectively In-Reply-To: <20031207001341.86452.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> References: <000601c3bc52$976f9bc0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031206172545.03ca2108@mail.earthlink.net> Mike, I did not object to the calendars. Didn't say a word about them. It was everything else that looked weak to me. However, I disagree that *anything* done to get ideas about liberty out there is good. First impressions have a powerful influence on the human mind. A poor first impression only increases the work to be done. Max From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sun Dec 7 01:25:07 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 17:25:07 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] promoting libertarianism effectively In-Reply-To: <5.1.0.14.2.20031206172545.03ca2108@mail.earthlink.net> Message-ID: <20031207012507.21895.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> --- Max More wrote: > Mike, > > I did not object to the calendars. Didn't say a word about them. It > was everything else that looked weak to me. > > However, I disagree that *anything* done to get ideas about liberty > out there is good. First impressions have a powerful influence on the > human mind. A poor first impression only increases the work to be > done. I agree entirely. I disagree that an underwear calendar of attractive women is in any way a poor first impression. What do you want? A calendar of computer dorks with pocket protectors and birth control glasses??? Now THAT would go over like a lead balloon, and would certainly reinforce public perception of libertarians as fringe dorks. I'm not sure that the transcript accurately reflected the emotive context of Rachels statements. I believe she was expressing incredulity that Tucker Carlson would imply that her underwear calendar was in some way associated with child porn. It is a common attack of statists to try to link the LP with NAMBLA. While you and I agree that alcohol is far from 'harmless' from a physiological standpoint, it is the common opinion of joe sixpack, who dislikes MADD intensely, that a sixpack after work on friday is just what the doctor ordered, especially considering that 'moderate' drinking is supposed to be good for you. Recall recently that Howard Dean said that the Dems need to appeal to southern democrats who "have confederate flags on their pickups" in order to win the presidency. He was exactly right, but that demographic is getting more educated that its liberties are best protected by libertarians, a group that Dean is trying hard to appeal to. That group is the 'petty bourgoisie' that the Ford Foundation tries to undermine, that group is the angry white male that the dems treated as a threat to national security for eight years. They are pretty well sick of government in its entirety, and most of them don't seem much harm in smoking a spliff occasionally on the weekend. These sorts of guys are not Klan material generally speaking. The Klan finds them fertile ground only because nobody else is listening to them, because everybody else is treating them as 'the exploiter class'. To most of them, the confederate flag is only a symbol of sticking it to the man, just as much as a black gloved raised fist is to a black male. Rachel Mills, who is running for office in North Carolina, knows EXACTLY the sort of demographic she needs to win election. These are the guys who hang swimsuit and pinup calendars in their place of work: their garage, the cab of their trucks or construction equipment, their tool room or factory floor. This is the new demographic for the libertarian party: the working class stiff who is being economically exiled from their home towns by environmentalist land restrictions and growth ordinances that raise the cost of housing far above where it would be in an unfettered market. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Sun Dec 7 01:28:02 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 20:28:02 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] same story, different spins In-Reply-To: <000701c3bc52$faa8c310$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <007601c3bc61$5bd60c70$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Spike wrote, \ > > Spike wrote, > > > This is why I read at least two different news sources: > > > > > ast/index.html > > > > > > I must be missing something. What is the difference between > these two stories? Harvey > > Very different spins. I scarcely recognize the two stories > as describing the save event. OK.... But you didn't answer my question. How are they different? I know you said "spin", but specifically what is different between the two stories? They clearly look like they describe the same event to me. I see no contradictions or disagreements between the stories. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Sun Dec 7 01:36:08 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 20:36:08 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] promoting libertarianism effectively In-Reply-To: <5.1.0.14.2.20031206172545.03ca2108@mail.earthlink.net> Message-ID: <007701c3bc62$806a4190$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Max More wrote, > However, I disagree that *anything* done to get ideas about > liberty out there is good. First impressions have a powerful > influence on the human mind. A poor first impression only > increases the work to be done. I have to agree with Max on this one. There are two ways to market a product. If the product is good, you focus on the product. If the product is bad, you focus on anything else. Any advertising that has to resort to sexual distraction only does so because the product is itself uninteresting. It is a clear admission that the target audience has to be bribed or tricked into showing any interest. People who are looking for sexual appeal are unlikely to find the other message as interesting anyway. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From support at imminst.org Sun Dec 7 03:06:35 2003 From: support at imminst.org (support at imminst.org) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 21:06:35 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] ImmInst Update Message-ID: <3fd2993bd6044@imminst.org> IMMINST UPDATE Book Project ******************** Upon completion, the book will represent an important achievement and focal point for the organization. The book will consist of essays submitted by ImmInst members and respected authors. Happily, ImmInst has thus far received submissions from such notable authors as Max More, Natasha Vita-More, James Halperin and Ray Kurzweil. Submit an essay, visit: http://www.imminst.org/book Chat - Cryonics, Immortality & Swayze ******************** James Swayze joins ImmInst to talk about his life, his current projects and the feasibility of cryonics as a pathway toward physical immortality. Dec 7 - Sun 8pm Eastern http://imminst.org/forum/index.php?s=&act=ST&f=67&t=1927&st=0 Upcoming Chat - Mike Perry, Alcor & Cryonics ******************** Alcor Patient Care Assistant and author of "Forever for All: Moral Philosophy, Cryonics, and the Scientific Prospects for Immortality ", Mike Perry chats will ImmInst about his current work and the future of Cryonics. Dec 14 - Sun 8pm Eastern http://imminst.org/forum/index.php?s=&act=ST&f=63&t=2385&st=0#entry18367 ImmInst Full Member on ABC's 20/20 ******************** Shannon Vyff appeared on 20/20 - Dec 5. Her family was featured during a 7 minute segment about Caloric Restriction (CR), a proven life-extension method. http://imminst.org/forum/index.php?s=&act=ST&f=63&t=1432&st=0&#entry19638 Support ImmInst ******************** We now have 53 Full Members! If you haven't yet, consider joining as an ImmInst Full Member. You?ll gain access to the Full Member Forums where members are working on the ImmInst Book Project and other important projects. http://imminst.org/amember/member.php To be removed from all of our mailing lists, click here: http://www.imminst.org/archive/mailinglists/mailinglists.php?p=mlist&rem=extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org From extropy at unreasonable.com Sun Dec 7 03:06:23 2003 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Sat, 06 Dec 2003 22:06:23 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] promoting libertarianism effectively Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031206220612.02416008@mail.comcast.net> Mike Lorrey wrote: >On the contrary, anything we do to promote liberty in any way that >doesn't hurt anybody is good. WHy? Because for most average people in >America, when you say "libertarians", they say "whassat? sum kinna >crazy democrat?" People I meet usually have heard just enough about libertarians to be confused. Hard-core policy advocates tend to understand where we are, particularly if our positions overlap with theirs, like taxpayer, gun rights, or motorcycle groups. But average conservatives hear of our stand on drugs, prostitution, and gays, and figure we're some form of liberal. And average liberals hear of our stand on the minimum wage, entitlement programs, and school choice, and figure we're some form of conservative. My take is to tailor the message to my audience. If they bring up an issue where we apparently disagree, I try to first get them to see the common ground on issues where we do agree. When we get to a contentious issue, I try again to establish common ground by identifying how we want to achieve the same goals. If they perceive me as a fellow traveller, I have a much better chance of them listening instead of simply arguing back. But it sure is easy to get sucked into the Libertarian Macho Flash. (Or, for that matter, the Extropian Macho Flash. But we can rely on a copy of "The Gentle Seduction" to get people thinking.) Max More wrote: >However, I disagree that *anything* done to get ideas about liberty out >there is good. First impressions have a powerful influence on the human >mind. A poor first impression only increases the work to be done. I'm not sure whether Rachel Mills's project is helping or hurting. But I've definitely met quite a few loons who I wish weren't on my side of an issue. (And then there are the loons that people *think* are on my side. I'm getting tired of explaining that no, Lyndon LaRouche is not a Libertarian, he's a Democrat.) All else being equal, it is true that we'll do better with articulate, well-dressed, well-groomed, and attractive. My fellow paleos may recall Perry Metzger's forceful assertion that the farther your idea is from the mainstream, the more important it was for you to look and sound clean-cut and mainstream? (While, of course, not coming off as a Mormon missionary or insurance salesman.) -- David Lubkin. From neptune at superlink.net Sun Dec 7 05:02:09 2003 From: neptune at superlink.net (Technotranscendence) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 00:02:09 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: atheists barred from office in several states Message-ID: <020f01c3bc7f$45b27e60$8bce5cd1@neptune> This is a cross-post from another list where I forwarded the original post Eliezer to. Dan From: Michael Hardy To: atl2 Sent: Saturday, December 06, 2003 6:07 PM Subject: [atlantis_II] atheists barred from office in several states Article 6, Clause 3 of the US Constitution says: ... no religious Test shall ever be required as a Qualification to any Office or public Trust under the United States. This alludes to a law that existed in England from some time in the 17th century until the early 19th century, saying that those not adhering to the right religion were barred from public employment, including not only what we usually called public office, but also, if I'm not mistaken, academic appointments at Oxford and Cambridge. Thus, Isaac Newton kept his unitarianism secret for fear of being fired from his position as professor of mathematics. I think "under the United States" means _federal_ rather_ than _state_ office, but the way the courts have construed the 14th Amendment may have effectively extended the rule to state office, thus rendering those provisions of state constitutions void. But have these clauses been tested in court? -- Mike Hardy -- Michael Hardy hardy at math.mit.edu From jonkc at att.net Sun Dec 7 05:05:19 2003 From: jonkc at att.net (John K Clark) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 00:05:19 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan References: <020801c3bb97$2650ef40$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au><027201c3bc25$420b8950$11ff4d0c@hal2001> <04b801c3bc48$25dfd880$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: <001e01c3bc7f$d02c2b90$defe4d0c@hal2001> "Brett Paatsch" > it is a mistake to think that the burden of proof lies on Smalley. I disagree, I think the burden of proof is on Smalley. Drexler is proposing a construction machine, lots of such devices have been made; to say it is imposable even in principle for this particular construction machine to ever exist you need to identify which law of physics it would violate. Smalley has not done this and neither has anyone else. > Its a political mistake. Perhaps, but not a scientific mistake. > I think it was David Hume that said that extraordinary claims > require extraordinary evidence. Yes, and the claim that a machine that organizes matter in a certain manner will always be imposable is extraordinary. John K Clark jonkc at att.net From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sun Dec 7 05:14:38 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 21:14:38 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] AIRCAR: Boeing X-50 offers cheap alternative Message-ID: <20031207051438.35526.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> http://www.boeing.com/phantom/crw.html I think that Boeing's Canard Rotor Wing test aircraft, the X-50 Dragonfly, promises personal air-car capabilities sooner than Moller or Bell/Augusta. At the page above, note the photo in the lower left part of the page. The X-50 just began flight tests today with a hover test to 12 foot altitude. The X-50 is supposed to be capable of high subsonic flight after transitioning from VTOL configuration. It eliminates need for a tail rotor, as well as a transmission by venting turbofan gasses through vents at the tips of the rotor when in VTOL mode. The canard and tail surfaces generate lift as it picks up speed, then thrust is directed through tailpipe and the rotor locks into place as a standard airfoil. This processes reverses to land. The weight savings and mechanical simplicity of this design concept are what I think will make aircars a reality. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mbb386 at main.nc.us Sun Dec 7 05:28:36 2003 From: mbb386 at main.nc.us (MB) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 00:28:36 -0500 (Eastern Standard Time) Subject: [extropy-chat] promoting libertarianism effectively In-Reply-To: <5.1.0.14.2.20031206150543.00bc04c8@mail.earthlink.net> References: <000a01c3bc21$7a6cd000$f0c7fea9@scerir> <5.1.0.14.2.20031206150543.00bc04c8@mail.earthlink.net> Message-ID: How old is that interview? She sold calendars for 2003 to raise money for the 2002 elections in NC. She's selling new calendars for 2004 now. Most of the folk I ran into here who heard of it thought it was pretty cool, rather than taking a handout from the government to run a campaign or badgering people for contributions. Regards, MB in North Carolina. > At 11:55 AM 12/6/2003, you wrote: > >http://www.cnn.com/2002/ALLPOLITICS/09/19/cf.opinionrachel.mills/index.h > >tml > > From neptune at superlink.net Sun Dec 7 05:44:43 2003 From: neptune at superlink.net (Technotranscendence) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 00:44:43 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Socialism versus Transhumanism References: <20031123172838.11990.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <025a01c3bc85$53296580$8bce5cd1@neptune> Missed this one... On Sunday, November 23, 2003 12:28 PM Mike Lorrey mlorrey at yahoo.com wrote: >> The problem is that democracy is not antithetical >> to statism, especially not government intervention >> in the economy. All extant democratic polities >> are welfare states, some bordering on socialism. >> You might say this tendency is contingent and in >> a different setting democracy would not lead to >> welfare statism or socialism. However, people like >> Hans-Hermann Hoppe argue on purely political >> economic grounds that democracies will always >> tend in that direction. > > The current status of many extant democracies is > not an indictment of democracy as inherently > socialist. Well, I did cover that above. This is why I wrote, "You might say this tendency is contingent and in a different setting democracy would not lead to welfare statism or socialism." I tend to agree with Hoppe and others here: once you have a government, then it will increase its power. Socialism is just the maximal point of that increase, wherein the state absorbs all social activity. Now you may disagree with this point -- which I see below you do -- but that was the issue I was raising NOT ignoring. > In fact, socialist tendencies are, according to > historical commentators, a key indicator that a > democracy is headed down a slippery slope to > tyranny, when the majority discovers it can vote > itself largess from the public treasury, taxed to > the tab of the minority. But isn't that the point? In any democracy, how long will it take for special interests or even majorities to find out how to work the system -- in terms of finding ways to take wealth instead of making it? I believe the learning curve in democracies is not that steep. > Republican features are intended to prevent, > halt, or otherwise mitigate this slide, as Max > has said. I know that and so other libertarian and anarchist critics of democracy. Their point and mine is that such features at best only slow this slide which is inherent in the system. > They are really needed only so far as the > degree to which a democratic government is > empowered to regulate the lives of individuals, > and how successful statists are over time at > redefining such powers to encompass greater > and greater amounts and areas of human > endeavor. Agreed, but any empowerment heads toward the same goal. The real solution here is to look for systems that are better than democracy or republics. I believe this can be found in polycentric legal orders (i.e., anarchist systems), though even such systems are not invulnerable to corruption. They just take longer to decay. Democracy and republics tend to be on a fast track to increasing statism because they infect more individuals and groups with powerlust and give them the means to act on such. By this later is meant a point that Hoppe brings up in _Democracy -- The God That Failed_: class consciousness is blurred in democracies. Since the line between rulers and the ruled is everchanging, individuals and groups become less suspicious of state power, since while it might be used against them, they, too, might one day use it for their own ends (viz., against others). Thus, instead of jealously guarding their freedoms, they instead look jealously on others' powers. (A case in point is antitrust law in the US. For a long time, so called Conservatives were critical of it until they saw it could be used against their enemies and now only a few question it. Another case is the New Deal itself. Still another is Medicare, where Republicans and Democrats now seem to compete over who can hand out the most loot. (I'm speaking specifically of the new prescription drug benefit.)) Put another way, once power is accumulated, it's very hard to dissipate, since people tend to see it as a opportunity rather than a threat. Every time you hear, "There ought to be a law" this is just this tendency manifesting itself -- the tendency to see government as a workhouse rather than a dangerous beast. > For example, here in the US, Congress seems > to have few powers, according to the > Constitution, It depends on what you mean. I tend to think the power to draft, coin money, tax, and the like are too much. Plus the Congress can amend the Constitution as well, meaning it can expand its powers. But seriously, since the US government faces no competitor -- it's a monopolist -- it can do whatever it wants for the most part. The government even interprets its own limits via the courts. > yet the greatest power that congress has is > the power to regulate interstate commerce. See above. > The Constitution does not have a glossary to > define what 'interstate commerce', or even > 'regulate', means. See above. The mechanism is to use the courts. That doesn't work because they're government courts. It mgiht offer more of a check, too, if the courts were not appointed by the very branches of the government they're supposed to check. (Only a bit more, since eventually they would come to an arrangement even under such a system. Or there would be conflict until either the courts took over, making them unchecked and unlimited, or were subdued, making them no check on others' power.) > As a result, where it was once accepted to > mean the overseeing of purely commercial > traffic between states via channels of > commerce, as and where it occurs at > borders, interstate commerce was > reinterpreted during the FDR administration > to cover any sort of human activity that has > any sort of impact on commercial activity > which might potentially involve, or in the > future involve, goods and services in traffic > between the states. The SCOTUS decision > which was responsible for this reinterpretation > was, of course, the result of Roosevelt > threatening to pack the court, but it was still > responsible for 98% of the domestic statist > expansion in the US in the 20th century. I'm not sure about the 98% figure, but even before FDR there was creeping regulation in this area. The problem can be traced back to the Constitution itself and central government expansion began long before FDR -- first with the Constitutional Convention, though perhaps the next biggest episode after that was the U.S. Civil War. Later expansions were merely elaborations of that. > This trend was something I described in my > 2001 essay, "It's About The Trust, Stupid!", > published in The Libertarian Enterprise. As > Jose Cordeiro commented the other day, > redefining the terms of discourse is the most > heinous way by which statists expand their > influence. Something noted long before by others, but still a valid point that needs to be brought up again and again. > Politically, they steal labels like 'liberal' and > 'progressive' to stealthily legitimize their > subversion. They become involved in the > legal system and help to rewrite the legal > dictionaries with expanded definitions of > terms to fit their needs for statist expansion > of power. They engage in promoting their > new definitions via the press and literature. I don't think it's all that conscious like some vast plot. The thing is meanings do shift over time, driven, as Rand would point out, by changes in the underlying philosophy. However, such changings in philosophy are not immune to influence. It's basically a dialectical process with different influences driving the whole system and influencing each other. There are counterveiling forces -- or the system would either be totally free or totally controlled. Later! Dan http://uweb.superlink.net/neptune/ From neptune at superlink.net Sun Dec 7 05:55:47 2003 From: neptune at superlink.net (Technotranscendence) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 00:55:47 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan References: <020801c3bb97$2650ef40$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au><027201c3bc25$420b8950$11ff4d0c@hal2001><04b801c3bc48$25dfd880$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> <001e01c3bc7f$d02c2b90$defe4d0c@hal2001> Message-ID: <028001c3bc86$c38f64e0$8bce5cd1@neptune> On Sunday, December 07, 2003 12:05 AM John K Clark jonkc at att.net wrote: >> it is a mistake to think that the burden of proof >> lies on Smalley. > > I disagree, I think the burden of proof is on > Smalley. Drexler is proposing a construction > machine, lots of such devices have been made; > to say it is imposable even in principle for this > particular construction machine to ever exist you > need to identify which law of physics it would > violate. Smalley has not done this and neither > has anyone else. I agree. An analogy might prove helpful. Imagine I were to say, "It's impossible for humans to live on Mars." "Impossible" is a pretty tall order and the burden on proof would be on me to show why. Even if no human ever sets foot on Mars, that would NOT constitute a proof of impossibility. If even every human that lands on Mars -- assuming some eventually do -- dies immediately on landing that would also NOT constitute a proof of impossibility. >> I think it was David Hume that said that >> extraordinary claims require extraordinary >> evidence. > > Yes, and the claim that a machine that > organizes matter in a certain manner > will always be imposable is extraordinary. I agree. (I suspect Hume would too, from my reading of him. He railed against absolute knowledge in empirical matters. Smalley's claim of the impossibility of nanoassemblers strikes me as just a such a claim of absolute knowledge.) It assumes that Smalley can either divine the future or knows physics better than our current understanding. BTW, there is a monster in the lake near me. I have to feed it every now and then. On a totally unrelated matter, would you guys like to hold the next convention here? There's a nice convention center by the lake...:) Later! Dan http://uweb.superlink.net/neptune/ From spike66 at comcast.net Sun Dec 7 06:03:16 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 22:03:16 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] same story, different spins In-Reply-To: <007601c3bc61$5bd60c70$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <001101c3bc87$cec6ae80$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > > > Spike wrote, > > > > This is why I read at least two different news sources: > > > > > > > > ast/index.html > > > > > > > > > > I must be missing something. What is the difference between > > these two stories? Harvey > > > > Very different spins. I scarcely recognize the two stories > > as describing the save event. > > OK.... But you didn't answer my question. How are they > different? I know you said "spin", but specifically what is different between > the two stories? They clearly look like they describe the same event to me. I see no > contradictions or disagreements between the stories. CNN title: Afghan bicycle bomb injures 15 Foxnews title: Taliban Targets U.S. Soldiers in Afghanistan CNN: A bicycle carried a bomb that exploded in the main square of the southern Afghanistan city of Kandahar, wounding at least 15 people Foxnews: A bomb ripped through a bustling Kandahar bazaar Saturday, wounding 20 Afghans, in an attack the Taliban say targeted - but missed - U.S. soldiers. CNN: Hashma and Deputy Chief Mohammad Salim said police and U.S. troops were investigating, but no arrests had been made. Foxnews: Taliban fighters claimed responsibility, saying the blast was aimed at American soldiers, but went off late. CNN: The blast damaged several shops in the square, breaking windows and crumbling walls... Foxnews: ...Six shops were leveled. Broken glass from the shattered hotel front littered the ground, stained by the victims' blood. The wounded included three children...three of the 20 injured were seriously hurt and taken to the coalition military base at the city's airport for treatment... The tone of the articles is so very different that it leads to different conclusions. The CNN report almost makes it sound like they do not know who set off the explosion. Foxnews has already tried and convicted the mad dogs of the Taliban. It is no wonder there is such deeply divided opinion on the coalition action in Afghanistan, it depends on which news sources one reads. Both sources are necessary to even start to understand. spike From fauxever at sprynet.com Sun Dec 7 06:14:24 2003 From: fauxever at sprynet.com (Olga Bourlin) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 22:14:24 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] promoting libertarianism effectively References: <000a01c3bc21$7a6cd000$f0c7fea9@scerir><5.1.0.14.2.20031206150543.00bc04c8@mail.earthlink.net> Message-ID: <004301c3bc89$5cde9ba0$6400a8c0@brainiac> From: "MB" > > How old is that interview? She sold calendars for 2003 to > raise money for the 2002 elections in NC. She's selling new > calendars for 2004 now. > > Most of the folk I ran into here who heard of it thought it > was pretty cool, rather than taking a handout from the > government to run a campaign or badgering people for > contributions. I'm sorry, but I can't see how the issue of whether selling calendars rather than asking the government for a "handout" is in any way cool. To be concerned about a "handout" from the government at this level - it just seems like such a piffle. The Iraq war is what's costing us so much (beyond the cost of the sacrifice of human lives, which are incalculable). Furthermore, (although it may not be "badgering" per se - just a unilateral decision hoisted on us), who but the "people" are going to be stuck paying the $100 *billion* the war is anticipated to cost?: http://www.iht.com/articles/90690.html Believe me, I'm not endorsing Harry Browne (former Libertarian Party presidential candidate), but found this advice in an article of his written in 2002 (link to entire article follows): "Don't invade Iraq. That's probably the only way to motivate Saddam Hussein to attack us with whatever dangerous weapons he might have. So long as we leave him alone, he won't commit the suicidal act of provoking the U.S. to drop nuclear bombs on him": http://www.worldnetdaily.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=28690 I read Rachel Mills' interview. A bit on the frothy side, wasn't it? Olga http://www.iht.com/articles/90690.html From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Sun Dec 7 08:37:33 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 19:37:33 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan References: <020801c3bb97$2650ef40$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> <027201c3bc25$420b8950$11ff4d0c@hal2001> <04b801c3bc48$25dfd880$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> <001e01c3bc7f$d02c2b90$defe4d0c@hal2001> <028001c3bc86$c38f64e0$8bce5cd1@neptune> Message-ID: <05be01c3bc9d$5bdb6c60$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Technotranscendence wrote: > John K Clark jonkc at att.net wrote: ------[Brett] > >> it is a mistake to think that the burden of proof > >> lies on Smalley. > > > > I disagree, I think the burden of proof is on > > Smalley. Drexler is proposing a construction > > machine, lots of such devices have been made; > > to say it is imposable even in principle for this > > particular construction machine to ever exist you > > need to identify which law of physics it would > > violate. Smalley has not done this and neither > > has anyone else. > > I agree. An analogy might prove helpful. [snip] > >> I think it was David Hume that said that > >> extraordinary claims require extraordinary > >> evidence. > > > > Yes, and the claim that a machine that > > organizes matter in a certain manner > > will always be imposable is extraordinary. > > I agree. [snip] Two questions then, one sort of scientific or at least empirical, the second political. 1) What *particular* machine is being considered? (I think I'm just paraphrasing Hal here actually, so perhaps better to answer Hal). 2) If neither Drexler (and associates) nor Smalley (and associates) were to *accept* the burden of proof scientifically what happens by default politically? Regards, Brett From spike66 at comcast.net Sun Dec 7 08:47:32 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 00:47:32 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] the true meaning of christmas In-Reply-To: <05be01c3bc9d$5bdb6c60$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: <000001c3bc9e$c0f8c790$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Tonight was our friend's children's Christmas play. It was the heartwarming story of how a grumpy old janitor working over the holiday meets a mysterious visitor and unexpectedly comes to find the true meaning of Christmas. I wanted to barf. I wonder, what if... scientists discover that the true meaning of Christmas really is maximizing retail sales. They may find that crass commercialism reduces harmful cholesterol and improves circulation. What this world needs is more brain-warming stories. spike From scerir at libero.it Sun Dec 7 10:03:36 2003 From: scerir at libero.it (scerir) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 11:03:36 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] the true meaning of christmas References: <000001c3bc9e$c0f8c790$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <000401c3bca9$6212ccc0$f0c7fea9@scerir> You know that one of the present political problems in UE (or EU) is whether they should introduce in the Constitution the word Christ or the expression Christian values, or not. The general opinion was: "No, we do not need these terms". But an influent Italian (urged by the Vatican) said: "What is the meaning of Sunday, then?". So, the problem now becomes: should we introduce Sunday in the Constitution? s. From eugen at leitl.org Sun Dec 7 12:24:01 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 13:24:01 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] same story, different spins In-Reply-To: <001101c3bc87$cec6ae80$6501a8c0@SHELLY> References: <007601c3bc61$5bd60c70$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> <001101c3bc87$cec6ae80$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031207122401.GL5783@leitl.org> On Sat, Dec 06, 2003 at 10:03:16PM -0800, Spike wrote: > The tone of the articles is so very different that > it leads to different conclusions. The CNN report > almost makes it sound like they do not know who set > off the explosion. Foxnews has already tried and You do know why Fox News is usually spelled Faux News, right? http://dir.salon.com/politics/feature/2000/11/15/ellis/index.html They've got a bias the size of, excuse me, Texas. > convicted the mad dogs of the Taliban. It is no > wonder there is such deeply divided opinion on the > coalition action in Afghanistan, it depends on which > news sources one reads. Both sources are necessary > to even start to understand. Nope, both are still US and Western sources. You can't expect mainstream media giving you the straight dope, the best you can hope to do is to average different spins (including Arab media, of course), and expect this will be close to reality. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From gpmap at runbox.com Sun Dec 7 12:30:12 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 13:30:12 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Cryonicist Harry Braun for President Message-ID: Alcor member, Harry Braun, is on the ballot in several states for president of the U.S.A. Harry Braun is an energy analyst and author of The Phoenix Project: Shifting from Oil to Hydrogen (phoenixproject.net). The following paragraphs are taken from his site "Harry Braun for President". Harry has worked as an energy and environmental analyst for the past 30 years, and is the Chairman and CEO of Sustainable Partners LLC, a systems integration firm that is involved in a number of renewable energy projects, including the development of a $180 million wind farm project in New Mexico. Harry received a Bachelors degree from Arizona State University in 1971. His undergraduate work was in history and general science, while his graduate work focused on anthropology and evolutionary biology. His post graduate research has been in the areas of energy technologies and resources, as well as the on-going developments in molecular biology, protein engineering and nanotechnology. Harry ran for Congress in 1984 against John McCain. He is Chairman of the Hydrogen Political Action Committee (h2pac.org) and author of the proposed Fair Accounting Act legislation. Harry's religious views are based on an understanding of molecular biology. Harry is member of Alcor (alcor.org), a non-profit cryobiology laboratory that freezes and cares for people when they die in the hope that they can be regenerated in the future, with all of their past memories, into a biocybernetic "designer gene" era. To avoid the oblivion scenario and hopefully secure a pollution-free utopian future of biochips and designer genes, Harry Braun is committed to shifting from fossil and nuclear fuels to a solar hydrogen economy with wartime-speed (i.e., by 2010). Given the exponential nature of the global energy and environmental problems, it is much later that most people think. We are all like passengers on the Titanic, and there is little time left to change course. Analyst and author Harry Braun has the new heading, but only the American public can initiate this rapid "transition of substance" by electing Harry Braun as President of the United States. The exponential developments in molecular biology and computer science will soon make a biological transition to renewable resources inevitable. It is not a question of whether --but when. In the Chapter called Utopia: From Here to Eternity, The Phoenix Project reviews a "utopia" scenario that extrapolates the exponential advances in computers, molecular biology and nanotechnology. Cloning is only the beginning of this era of molecular medicine that will develop "biochips" and "designer genes." These rapidly developing nanotechnology developments will not only delete the biological mechanisms of aging and disease, but they will allow individuals to reprogram their genetic structure -- at will -- with atomic (i.e. atom by atom) precision. The result will be the evolution of a new species, Homo Immortalis, that will develop an Immortalist culture and institutions that will be based on individuals having unlimited life spans. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Sun Dec 7 12:46:56 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 07:46:56 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] same story, different spins In-Reply-To: <001101c3bc87$cec6ae80$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <00ae01c3bcc0$369a2400$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Spike wrote, > The tone of the articles is so very different that > it leads to different conclusions. The CNN report > almost makes it sound like they do not know who set > off the explosion. Fox news has already tried and > convicted the mad dogs of the Taliban. It is no > wonder there is such deeply divided opinion on the > coalition action in Afghanistan, it depends on which > news sources one reads. Both sources are necessary > to even start to understand. OK, that's the specifics that I was curious about. You are exactly right. As near as I can tell, CNN reported physical damage while Fox focused on emotional horror. CNN quoted the chief of police as a source while Fox quotes the Taliban terrorists as a source. CNN focuses on the actual Afghan victims while Fox focuses on the presumed U.S. victims who were not actually attacked. They seem to be the exact same story, except I would classify the CNN report as a factual news report about the event, while I would classify the Fox report as an editorial position about the event. They are different newspapers with different purposes and methods of reporting. There is no doubt why 80% of Fox viewers versus 55% of CNN viewers believed that our troops found links between Iraq and al Qaeda, found weapons of mass destruction, and that world public opinion supported the war. (Ref. .) Fox viewers - 80% to have these misconceptions CBS viewers - 71% NBS viewers - 61% CNN viewers - 55% Print readers - 47% NPR/PBS listeners - 23% (The report also notes that variations in misperceptions according to news source cannot simply be explained as a result of differences in the demographics of each audience, because these variations can also be found when comparing the rate of misperceptions within demographic subgroups of each audience.) Simply put, CNN is more of a news source, while Fox is more of an editorial opinion source. I have known this for a long time. I was able to read both sources and see that they described the exact same event with no direct factual contradiction. That was why I wanted to know exactly what difference you saw. It is rare to see CNN and Fox agree so well on the facts, with only the spin being different. Usually CNN and Fox diverge wildly on actual numbers and facts in the stories they report! -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From eugen at leitl.org Sun Dec 7 12:54:11 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 13:54:11 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: <05be01c3bc9d$5bdb6c60$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> References: <020801c3bb97$2650ef40$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> <027201c3bc25$420b8950$11ff4d0c@hal2001> <04b801c3bc48$25dfd880$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> <001e01c3bc7f$d02c2b90$defe4d0c@hal2001> <028001c3bc86$c38f64e0$8bce5cd1@neptune> <05be01c3bc9d$5bdb6c60$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: <20031207125411.GP5783@leitl.org> On Sun, Dec 07, 2003 at 07:37:33PM +1100, Brett Paatsch wrote: > 1) What *particular* machine is being considered? (I think I'm just > paraphrasing Hal here actually, so perhaps better to answer Hal). No specific machine. Not even a specific process, though there are early suggestions, e.g. http://www.zyvex.com/nanotech/hydroCarbonMetabolism.html (several of these are heavy steric hindrance candidates). http://www.zyvex.com/nanotech/mechanosynthesis.html "mechanosynthesis" and "machine-phase chemistry" are good keywords. > 2) If neither Drexler (and associates) nor Smalley (and associates) were to > *accept* the burden of proof scientifically what happens by default > politically? The Nobel "what's this purple crap in soxhleted soot?" laureate wins by default -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From gpmap at runbox.com Sun Dec 7 13:48:15 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 14:48:15 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution Message-ID: >From 2theadvocate.com: After 20 years of research, an encryption process is emerging that is considered unbreakable because it employs the mind-blowing laws of quantum physics. In November, a small startup called MagiQ Technologies Inc. began selling what appears to be the first commercially available system that uses individual photons to transfer the numeric keys that are widely used to encode and read secret documents. MagiQ (pronounced "magic," with the "Q" for "quantum") expects this will appeal to banks, insurers, government agencies, pharmaceutical companies and other organizations that transmit sensitive information. "We think this is going to have a huge, positive impact on the world," said Bob Gelfond, MagiQ's founder and chief executive. Encryption schemes commonly used now are considered safe, though they theoretically could be broken someday. But even before that day arrives, Gelfond believes quantum encryption is superior in one important way. In some super-high-security settings, people sharing passwords and other information must have the same key, a massive string of digits used to encode data. Sometimes the keys will be transferred by imperfect means -- via courier or special software. They are not changed very often and can be susceptible to interception. Quantum encryption employs one of the defining discoveries of physics: Heisenberg's Uncertainty Principle, which says subatomic particles exist in multiple possible states at once, however hard as that may be to imagine, until something interacts with them. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From mbb386 at main.nc.us Sun Dec 7 14:28:37 2003 From: mbb386 at main.nc.us (MB) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 09:28:37 -0500 (Eastern Standard Time) Subject: [extropy-chat] promoting libertarianism effectively In-Reply-To: <004301c3bc89$5cde9ba0$6400a8c0@brainiac> References: <000a01c3bc21$7a6cd000$f0c7fea9@scerir><5.1.0.14.2.20031206150543.00bc04c8@mail.earthlink.net> <004301c3bc89$5cde9ba0$6400a8c0@brainiac> Message-ID: My original question "How old is that interview" stands. Looked to me like it was more than a year ago. 19 September 2002. My comment reflected the reaction I saw here in NC *at that time*, prior to the 2002 elections, when Rachel and other Libertarian candidates made and sold calendars to help finance her campaign. That they should now make a calendar for 2004 indicates the idea was a popular one, well received by a number of folk, maybe even outside the Libertarian party. There is some disapproval in the Libertarian circles about the government financing of political campaigns. The disucssion was not, IIUC, about the war in Iraq, either its correctness nor its financing. Regards, MB On Sat, 6 Dec 2003, Olga Bourlin wrote: > From: "MB" > > > > How old is that interview? She sold calendars for 2003 to > > raise money for the 2002 elections in NC. She's selling new > > calendars for 2004 now. > > > > Most of the folk I ran into here who heard of it thought it > > was pretty cool, rather than taking a handout from the > > government to run a campaign or badgering people for > > contributions. > > I'm sorry, but I can't see how the issue of whether selling calendars rather > than asking the government for a "handout" is in any way cool. To be > concerned about a "handout" from the government at this level - it just > seems like such a piffle. The Iraq war is what's costing us so much (beyond > the cost of the sacrifice of human lives, which are incalculable). > Furthermore, (although it may not be "badgering" per se - just a unilateral > decision hoisted on us), who but the "people" are going to be stuck paying > the $100 *billion* the war is anticipated to cost?: > > http://www.iht.com/articles/90690.html > > Believe me, I'm not endorsing Harry Browne (former Libertarian Party > presidential candidate), but found this advice in an article of his written > in 2002 (link to entire article follows): > > "Don't invade Iraq. That's probably the only way to motivate Saddam Hussein > to attack us with whatever dangerous weapons he might have. So long as we > leave him alone, he won't commit the suicidal act of provoking the U.S. to > drop nuclear bombs on him": > > http://www.worldnetdaily.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=28690 > > I read Rachel Mills' interview. A bit on the frothy side, wasn't it? > > Olga > > > > http://www.iht.com/articles/90690.html > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From neptune at superlink.net Sun Dec 7 14:45:16 2003 From: neptune at superlink.net (Technotranscendence) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 09:45:16 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan References: <020801c3bb97$2650ef40$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au><027201c3bc25$420b8950$11ff4d0c@hal2001><04b801c3bc48$25dfd880$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au><001e01c3bc7f$d02c2b90$defe4d0c@hal2001><028001c3bc86$c38f64e0$8bce5cd1@neptune> <05be01c3bc9d$5bdb6c60$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: <00b901c3bcd0$bba24820$9ccd5cd1@neptune> On Sunday, December 07, 2003 3:37 AM Brett Paatsch bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au wrote: > Two questions then, one sort of scientific or > at least empirical, the second political. > > 1) What *particular* machine is being > considered? (I think I'm just paraphrasing Hal > here actually, so perhaps better to answer Hal). The particular design would make it much easier to demonstrate impossibility. Of course, even if a particular design fails, this does not mean the general idea is impossible. This would be akin to the particular pre-Wright airplane designs that failed proving heavier-than-air flight was impossible. (Also, just like the airplane analogy, nanotechnological construction is already done by non-made-made things like enzymes. Birds, insects, and bats already had heavier-than-air flight before humanity.) Smalley has also given specific reasons why he believes nanotechnology won't work -- the fat and sticky fingers arguments, the that only organics can do this construction in water (very close to the view that only birds can fly which someone might have made prior to Kitty Hawk), and the like. These specific empirical claims are wrong and he should know better. In fact, all of this seems like the 10-leaky-buckets Tactic -- the view that 10 invalid arguments somehow add up to a valid one. (I often see theists using this when defending their belief in God. They will, e.g., present a lot of arguments -- not necessarily ten:) -- that are all invalid, but most people are not logicians, so maybe the average person might see through a few of them, but still be convinced by others. Also, they're trying to use an analogy with evidence: as evidence accumulates, usually an idea is made more persuasive, but the same does not hold with invalid arguments. It's sort of akin to the view that if you have enough fictions, eventually they'll add up to fact.) I'm not claiming Smalley is doing this on purpose or has a bad character -- or even that others who actually use the 10-leaky-buckets Tactic are likewise bad people, consciously trying to use illogic to support their claims. I'm just saying this is how it appears, especially given how sophomoric and easily defeated his arguments were. (In fact, the only thing that actually supports his conclusion is that we don't have nanotechnology now. Of course, to claim something's impossible because we can't do it at this moment is not a very strong or compelling argument. It would only convince people who either were already biased in that direction or who did not understand the technical details. Sure, such people do exist, but I hardly think Smalley merely wants to preach to the choir and the ignorant.) > 2) If neither Drexler (and associates) nor > Smalley (and associates) were to *accept* the > burden of proof scientifically what happens by > default politically? I don't understand the use of "politically" in the above question. Do you mean that the science will drive the politics? I don't think so. In the short term, the politics will be based less on where the science actually can do -- which can fall either way: Drexler could be right or he could be wrong (Smalley can't be right because his argument is invalid; at best, his conclusion might be right, but for different reasons) -- than on who has more clout, even who can persuade more people in positions of power which amounts to the same thing. In a rational society, this wouldn't matter much, since science would be a private endeavor and both Drexler and Smalley could carry on their work: Drexler trying to build a nanoassember, any nanoassembler and Smalley trying to prove it can't be built. Actually, were the latter a little more rational, he would make an excellent foil and help the whole effort -- whatever is possible or whatever happens in the end. (If nanotechnology is truly beyond our capabilities, he might hasten our acceptence of this view. If it is not, then he might help us to avoid fruitless areas of research or to highlight specific problems that enthusiasts might overlook. Likewise Drexlerians would help him out as well. If nanotech is impossible, their continued looking for a solution might refine our understanding of matter at that level by defining the actual limits of our capabilities.) Later! Dan http://uweb.superlink.net/neptune/ From neptune at superlink.net Sun Dec 7 14:57:41 2003 From: neptune at superlink.net (Technotranscendence) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 09:57:41 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] promoting libertarianism effectively References: <000a01c3bc21$7a6cd000$f0c7fea9@scerir><5.1.0.14.2.20031206150543.00bc04c8@mail.earthlink.net> <004301c3bc89$5cde9ba0$6400a8c0@brainiac> Message-ID: <00c501c3bcd2$777f6ea0$9ccd5cd1@neptune> On Sunday, December 07, 2003 1:14 AM Olga Bourlin fauxever at sprynet.com wrote: > I'm sorry, but I can't see how the issue of > whether selling calendars rather than > asking the government for a "handout" is > in any way cool. To be concerned about > a "handout" from the government at this > level - it just seems like such a piffle. Well, I'm not sure about it being "cool," but that's a relative term. Anything can be cool or uncool depending on the context. I also don't think it's a piffle. Yes, there are bigger areas of spending waste, but this a way to get the point across about such handouts in a way that most people won't find threatening and might even agree with. One problem, too, with government financing of election campaigns is that it becomes merely another welfare program -- meaning certain special interests will want to keep it going regardless of its results -- and that it will result in even more government control over elections -- meaning that the government will play more of role in what the issues are and who runs. The old anarchist saw will apply in spades: No matter who you vote for the government wins. (Well, naturally, but the more intervention there is in the process, the more those who hold the reigns of power now will decide who holds them after the next election. The more the current government will decide who will be in the next government and what its policies will be.) Later! Dan http://uweb.superlink.net/neptune/ From neptune at superlink.net Sun Dec 7 15:20:31 2003 From: neptune at superlink.net (Technotranscendence) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 10:20:31 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution References: Message-ID: <012801c3bcd5$a882b4a0$9ccd5cd1@neptune> Does anyone seriously think it is unbreakable? I believe it's more of a matter of not yet finding a way to break it. Dan From: Giu1i0 Pri5c0 To: wta-talk ; hit ; extropy-chat Sent: Sunday, December 07, 2003 8:48 AM Subject: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution From 2theadvocate.com: After 20 years of research, an encryption process is emerging that is considered unbreakable because it employs the mind-blowing laws of quantum physics. In November, a small startup called MagiQ Technologies Inc. began selling what appears to be the first commercially available system that uses individual photons to transfer the numeric keys that are widely used to encode and read secret documents. MagiQ (pronounced "magic," with the "Q" for "quantum") expects this will appeal to banks, insurers, government agencies, pharmaceutical companies and other organizations that transmit sensitive information. "We think this is going to have a huge, positive impact on the world," said Bob Gelfond, MagiQ's founder and chief executive. Encryption schemes commonly used now are considered safe, though they theoretically could be broken someday. But even before that day arrives, Gelfond believes quantum encryption is superior in one important way. In some super-high-security settings, people sharing passwords and other information must have the same key, a massive string of digits used to encode data. Sometimes the keys will be transferred by imperfect means -- via courier or special software. They are not changed very often and can be susceptible to interception. Quantum encryption employs one of the defining discoveries of physics: Heisenberg's Uncertainty Principle, which says subatomic particles exist in multiple possible states at once, however hard as that may be to imagine, until something interacts with them. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From neptune at superlink.net Sun Dec 7 15:20:31 2003 From: neptune at superlink.net (Technotranscendence) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 10:20:31 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution References: Message-ID: <012801c3bcd5$a882b4a0$9ccd5cd1@neptune> Does anyone seriously think it is unbreakable? I believe it's more of a matter of not yet finding a way to break it. Dan From: Giu1i0 Pri5c0 To: wta-talk ; hit ; extropy-chat Sent: Sunday, December 07, 2003 8:48 AM Subject: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution From 2theadvocate.com: After 20 years of research, an encryption process is emerging that is considered unbreakable because it employs the mind-blowing laws of quantum physics. In November, a small startup called MagiQ Technologies Inc. began selling what appears to be the first commercially available system that uses individual photons to transfer the numeric keys that are widely used to encode and read secret documents. MagiQ (pronounced "magic," with the "Q" for "quantum") expects this will appeal to banks, insurers, government agencies, pharmaceutical companies and other organizations that transmit sensitive information. "We think this is going to have a huge, positive impact on the world," said Bob Gelfond, MagiQ's founder and chief executive. Encryption schemes commonly used now are considered safe, though they theoretically could be broken someday. But even before that day arrives, Gelfond believes quantum encryption is superior in one important way. In some super-high-security settings, people sharing passwords and other information must have the same key, a massive string of digits used to encode data. Sometimes the keys will be transferred by imperfect means -- via courier or special software. They are not changed very often and can be susceptible to interception. Quantum encryption employs one of the defining discoveries of physics: Heisenberg's Uncertainty Principle, which says subatomic particles exist in multiple possible states at once, however hard as that may be to imagine, until something interacts with them. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From jacques at dtext.com Sun Dec 7 15:19:24 2003 From: jacques at dtext.com (JDP) Date: Sun, 07 Dec 2003 16:19:24 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] promoting libertarianism effectively In-Reply-To: References: <000a01c3bc21$7a6cd000$f0c7fea9@scerir><5.1.0.14.2.20031206150543.00bc04c8@mail.earthlink.net> <004301c3bc89$5cde9ba0$6400a8c0@brainiac> Message-ID: <3FD344FC.80100@dtext.com> http://www.livejournal.com/users/rachelmills/22673.html From gpmap at runbox.com Sun Dec 7 15:24:56 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 16:24:56 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution In-Reply-To: <012801c3bcd5$a882b4a0$9ccd5cd1@neptune> Message-ID: >From what I have read it is unbreakable in principle, because you can find out if is it has been intercepted (then of course you declare the key void and exchange a new one). -----Original Message----- From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org]On Behalf Of Technotranscendence Sent: 07 December 2003 16:21 To: ExI chat list; wta-talk; hit; extropy-chat Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution Does anyone seriously think it is unbreakable? I believe it's more of a matter of not yet finding a way to break it. Dan From: Giu1i0 Pri5c0 To: wta-talk ; hit ; extropy-chat Sent: Sunday, December 07, 2003 8:48 AM Subject: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution From 2theadvocate.com: After 20 years of research, an encryption process is emerging that is considered unbreakable because it employs the mind-blowing laws of quantum physics. In November, a small startup called MagiQ Technologies Inc. began selling what appears to be the first commercially available system that uses individual photons to transfer the numeric keys that are widely used to encode and read secret documents. MagiQ (pronounced "magic," with the "Q" for "quantum") expects this will appeal to banks, insurers, government agencies, pharmaceutical companies and other organizations that transmit sensitive information. "We think this is going to have a huge, positive impact on the world," said Bob Gelfond, MagiQ's founder and chief executive. Encryption schemes commonly used now are considered safe, though they theoretically could be broken someday. But even before that day arrives, Gelfond believes quantum encryption is superior in one important way. In some super-high-security settings, people sharing passwords and other information must have the same key, a massive string of digits used to encode data. Sometimes the keys will be transferred by imperfect means -- via courier or special software. They are not changed very often and can be susceptible to interception. Quantum encryption employs one of the defining discoveries of physics: Heisenberg's Uncertainty Principle, which says subatomic particles exist in multiple possible states at once, however hard as that may be to imagine, until something interacts with them. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sun Dec 7 16:12:22 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 08:12:22 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution In-Reply-To: <012801c3bcd5$a882b4a0$9ccd5cd1@neptune> Message-ID: <20031207161222.43412.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> Well, the system is merely a means of key transmission that is not crackable, in that it is able to easily detect interception and take countermeasures. It says nothing about the security of the cryptosystem that generates the keys themselves. As far as I am aware, the cryptosystem is NOT a quantum computer based system. --- Technotranscendence wrote: > Does anyone seriously think it is unbreakable? I believe it's more > of a matter of not yet finding a way to break it. > > Dan > From: Giu1i0 Pri5c0 > To: wta-talk ; hit ; extropy-chat > Sent: Sunday, December 07, 2003 8:48 AM > Subject: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution > > > From 2theadvocate.com: After 20 years of research, an encryption > process is emerging that is considered unbreakable because it employs > the mind-blowing laws of quantum physics. In November, a small > startup called MagiQ Technologies Inc. began selling what appears to > be the first commercially available system that uses individual > photons to transfer the numeric keys that are widely used to encode > and read secret documents. > MagiQ (pronounced "magic," with the "Q" for "quantum") expects this > will appeal to banks, insurers, government agencies, pharmaceutical > companies and other organizations that transmit sensitive > information. "We think this is going to have a huge, positive impact > on the world," said Bob Gelfond, MagiQ's founder and chief executive. > Encryption schemes commonly used now are considered safe, though they > theoretically could be broken someday. But even before that day > arrives, Gelfond believes quantum encryption is superior in one > important way. In some super-high-security settings, people sharing > passwords and other information must have the same key, a massive > string of digits used to encode data. Sometimes the keys will be > transferred by imperfect means -- via courier or special software. > They are not changed very often and can be susceptible to > interception. > Quantum encryption employs one of the defining discoveries of > physics: Heisenberg's Uncertainty Principle, which says subatomic > particles exist in multiple possible states at once, however hard as > that may be to imagine, until something interacts with them. > > > ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sun Dec 7 16:21:29 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 08:21:29 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] same story, different spins In-Reply-To: <001101c3bc87$cec6ae80$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031207162129.44972.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> --- Spike wrote: > > CNN title: Afghan bicycle bomb injures 15 > > Foxnews title: Taliban Targets U.S. Soldiers in Afghanistan > > > > CNN: A bicycle carried a bomb that exploded in the main square of > the > southern Afghanistan city of Kandahar, wounding at least 15 people > > Foxnews: A bomb ripped through a bustling Kandahar bazaar Saturday, > wounding 20 Afghans, in an attack the Taliban say targeted - but > missed > - U.S. soldiers. > > > > CNN: Hashma and Deputy Chief Mohammad Salim said police and U.S. > troops > were investigating, but no arrests had been made. > > Foxnews: Taliban fighters claimed responsibility, saying the blast > was > aimed at American soldiers, but went off late. > > > > CNN: The blast damaged several shops in the square, breaking windows > and crumbling walls... > > Foxnews: ...Six shops were leveled. Broken glass from the shattered > hotel front littered the ground, stained by the victims' blood. The > wounded included three children...three of the 20 injured were > seriously > hurt and taken to the coalition military base at the city's airport > for > treatment... > > > The tone of the articles is so very different that > it leads to different conclusions. The CNN report > almost makes it sound like they do not know who set > off the explosion. Foxnews has already tried and > convicted the mad dogs of the Taliban. It is no > wonder there is such deeply divided opinion on the > coalition action in Afghanistan, it depends on which > news sources one reads. Both sources are necessary > to even start to understand. Well, I wouldnt' say Fox has tried and convicted the Taliban. Their article clearly states that the Taliban has *claimed* responsibility, and is only making excuses about why they wound up killing only fellow afghans. The CNN simply didn't publish any claims of responsibility by parties like the Taliban. Now, I don't know why either side would do what they did. Is CNN simply parroting its policy of not reporting that a criminal suspect is black when he/she IS black, and not posting a photo, but having no trouble reporting white criminals and posting their images, especially when they are middle aged white males? In this case, are they not reporting bad things the opponents of the US are doing as being done by them? Is Fox trying to depict the Taliban as incompetent guerrillas, or are they trying to say that Afghanistan is still dangerous? ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From rhanson at gmu.edu Sun Dec 7 16:55:01 2003 From: rhanson at gmu.edu (Robin Hanson) Date: Sun, 07 Dec 2003 11:55:01 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Who Anticipated Internet Exploding in 90s? In-Reply-To: <00c401c3b9c2$d7679670$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> References: <5.2.1.1.2.20031203104058.01e64960@mail.gmu.edu> Message-ID: <5.2.1.1.2.20031207114404.0210c208@mail.gmu.edu> On 12/3/2003, Harvey Newstrom wrote: > >>>I just read someone who said: > >>>"no one anticipated the explosive diffusion of the Internet > >>>during the 1990s" > >>>and I figured that this can't be right - surely someone must > >>>have had the dumb luck to predict such a thing before 1990. > >>>Can anyone point to a quote? > >>I suggest reading through "A Brief History of the Internet" at > >>http://www.isoc.org/internet/history/brief.shtml . It has references > >>to all the milestones in Internet creation, including white papers, > >>conferences, etc. > >That is a history of who did what when, not of who predicted what when. > >Wow. Remind me not to have you do any research for me! :-) > >You think that the Internet was based on past network usage and not build on >wide-spread predictions of how the future network would be used and what it >had to support? All requirements documents are based on future predictions. >There are technical predictions of load, spread, and acceptance. ... Of >*course* they are chock full of predictions about how great and widespread >the internet was going to be in the future! >Some quick examples of documents listed in the reference you dismissed: ... I did not mean to be dismissive; I meant to indicate that I was wondering if anyone knew of a quote regarding the particular kind of prediction that was asked for - a predictions of "explosive diffusion" "during the 1990s." This is much more specific than general predictions that the internet will eventually be wonderful. And none of the specific quotes you offered are on this specific point. I agree that such predictions may reside in the many internet "white papers, conferences, etc". And this is naturally where one would start to look if one was willing to spend several weeks researching this topic. But I'm not going to put that effort in just to be able to casually tell a particular person that their claim is mistaken. Robin Hanson rhanson at gmu.edu http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-4444 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323 From jonkc at att.net Sun Dec 7 16:55:12 2003 From: jonkc at att.net (John K Clark) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 11:55:12 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution References: <012801c3bcd5$a882b4a0$9ccd5cd1@neptune> Message-ID: <019a01c3bce2$f2acfd80$8efe4d0c@hal2001> Technotranscendence Wrote: > Does anyone seriously think it is unbreakable? I do. Unlike achieving Nanotechnology to break this code the fundamental laws of physics would have to be very different from what we think they are. John K Clark jonkc at att.net -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From rhanson at gmu.edu Sun Dec 7 16:04:37 2003 From: rhanson at gmu.edu (Robin Hanson) Date: Sun, 07 Dec 2003 11:04:37 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution In-Reply-To: References: <012801c3bcd5$a882b4a0$9ccd5cd1@neptune> Message-ID: <5.2.1.1.2.20031207105429.02057e00@mail.gmu.edu> There is an article in the latest New Scientist on how to break it. > From what I have read it is unbreakable in principle, because you can > find out if is it has been intercepted (then of course you declare the > key void and exchange a new one). > >Does anyone seriously think it is unbreakable? I believe it's more of a > matter of not yet finding a way to break it. > >>From > 2theadvocate.com: > After 20 years of research, an encryption process is emerging that is > considered unbreakable because it employs the mind-blowing laws of > quantum physics. ... Robin Hanson rhanson at gmu.edu http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-4444 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323 From rhanson at gmu.edu Sun Dec 7 16:48:42 2003 From: rhanson at gmu.edu (Robin Hanson) Date: Sun, 07 Dec 2003 11:48:42 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: <20031207125411.GP5783@leitl.org> References: <05be01c3bc9d$5bdb6c60$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> <020801c3bb97$2650ef40$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> <027201c3bc25$420b8950$11ff4d0c@hal2001> <04b801c3bc48$25dfd880$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> <001e01c3bc7f$d02c2b90$defe4d0c@hal2001> <028001c3bc86$c38f64e0$8bce5cd1@neptune> <05be01c3bc9d$5bdb6c60$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: <5.2.1.1.2.20031207110754.02082990@mail.gmu.edu> On 12/7/2003 Eugen* Leitl wrote: > > 2) If neither Drexler (and associates) nor Smalley (and associates) were to > > *accept* the burden of proof scientifically what happens by default > > politically? > >The Nobel "what's this purple crap in soxhleted soot?" laureate wins by >default It's worse than that actually. My strong impression from the recent NNI conference I just attended is that even if Drexler had the Nobel prize, Smalley's position would still win. The key dynamic is government agencies perceive that "nanobots" have been associated in the public mind with possible big dangers, and they'd rather avoid any such association with dangers. So they want to declare that "nanobots" are impossible, with no more specific common definition of what the impossible things are than whatever it is that the public is afraid of. As long as respectable scientists can be recruited who say they are impossible, this is the position the government agencies will take. And given the vast money available, it was pretty sure that some respectable scientists would be found to take this position. Given all this, they key political "mistake" was to publicly create a vision of nanotech that included possible big dangers. Given this initial choice, it was pretty much determined that this vision would never get government funding. Of course it could still have been the right thing to do to warn the world about the dangers. It should just have been realized (given 20/20 hindsight of course) that this would preclude any direct government funding. An irony is that it was the exciting vision, including both dangers and great promise, that created enough public interest to make politicians think of creating a special research program, and to make those politicians want to explicitly require that there be some study of the social implications of this technology. Given the way this plays out, the studies they actually do of social implications will explicitly exclude all scenarios that they think have anything to do with the declared impossible dangerous nanobots. Robin Hanson rhanson at gmu.edu http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-4444 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323 From cryofan at mylinuxisp.com Sun Dec 7 17:01:47 2003 From: cryofan at mylinuxisp.com (randy) Date: Sun, 07 Dec 2003 11:01:47 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] followup avoidance upon unexpected dissident responses In-Reply-To: <5.1.0.14.2.20031206172545.03ca2108@mail.earthlink.net> References: <000601c3bc52$976f9bc0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> <20031207001341.86452.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> <5.1.0.14.2.20031206172545.03ca2108@mail.earthlink.net> Message-ID: I have been reading a lot lately about how the media shapes political debate and excludes radical and third party political candidates. In particular, I have been following the Democratic party presidential race and debates. One of the interesting aspects of the media coverage has been how, during the televised candidate debates, the sometimes "radical" or "dissident" comments of candidate Kucinich has been handled. Also, a former poster to this list, Anthony Garcia, was recently on the Houston PBS "connections" TV show. He is a Texas Libertarian party activist and sometime candidate. He "debated"/discussed various broad political issues with representatives of the local Democrat, Republican, and Green parties. Interesting to me was how the moderator and Dem and GOP representatives completely ignored Anthony's occasional comments about broad issues regarding how the dems and gop use their power to keep 3rd party candidates off the ballot and away from the media. However, almost every comment from the dem and gop representatives, even when about seemingly trivial subject matter, prompted a followup from the moderator and the other major party candidate. Likewise, when Kucinich made radical/dissident comments about broad issues during the debate, the moderator simply ignored every single one, while comments from the more "mainstream" candidates were followed up by the moderator. Here is a quote from Michael Parenti's website that defines how this exclusion of outlier parties, ideologies, and candidates is accomplished via "followup avoidance of dissident comments" when a radical or dissident comment is made on TV: >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Follow-up Avoidance When confronted with an unexpectedly dissident response, media hosts quickly change the subject, or break for a commercial, or inject an identifying announcement: "We are talking with [whomever]." The purpose is to avoid going any further into a politically forbidden topic no matter how much the unexpected response might seem to need a follow-up query. An anchorperson for the BBC World Service (December 26, 1997) enthused: "Christmas in Cuba: For the first time in almost forty years Cubans were able to celebrate Christmas and go to church!" She then linked up with the BBC correspondent in Havana, who observed, "A crowd of two thousand have gathered in the cathedral for midnight mass. The whole thing is rather low key, very much like last year." Very much like last year? Here was something that craved clarification. Instead, the anchorperson quickly switched to another question: "Can we expect a growth of freedom with the pope's visit?" On a PBS talk show (January 22, 1998), host Charlie Rose asked a guest, whose name I did not get, whether Castro was bitter about "the historic failure of communism". No, the guest replied, Castro is proud of what he believes communism has done for Cuba: advances in health care and education, full employment, and the elimination of the worst aspects of poverty. Rose fixed him with a ferocious glare, then turned to another guest to ask: "What impact will the pope's visit have in Cuba?" Rose ignored the errant guest for the rest of the program. >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> ------------- From rafal at smigrodzki.org Sun Dec 7 17:47:13 2003 From: rafal at smigrodzki.org (Rafal Smigrodzki) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 12:47:13 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan References: <200312060543.hB65hqM30870@finney.org> Message-ID: <004601c3bcea$26086780$6501a8c0@dimension> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Hal Finney" > He can't just wave his hands and say, if one thing doesn't work, we'll > try something else. He can't point to living things as an existence > proof (because Drexlerian nanotech's revolutionary properties go far > beyond anything possible with biology). ### I think it's useful to consider the conditions that led to the formation of biological mechanosynthesis, conditions which do not pertain in the case of artificial mechanosynthesis, and try to imagine how changed conditions could change the possible outcomes. Consider, for example the need for self-assembly of every protein: The vast majority of proteins are produced by a standard system (the ribosome) out of a very limited number of building blocks, in such a way that the simple one-dimensional ordering (protein sequence) determines the three-dimensional outcome. This introduces severe limits on the kind of chemical interactions between parts of a protein - they cannot be cross-linked for higher strength, except by the use of other proteins or the limited expedient of S-S bridges, so only select proteins are cross-braced (see collagen formation), or else you'd need to have a bunch of specialized post-translational modificators for each protein, and a bunch of modificators for each modificator, and ... The supporting structure of an enzyme has to not only support the active moieities, but also code for its own folding, necessitating many loops which are there only because of the folding requirement (see the difference in size between the catalysts based on cage-compounds and proteins of similar catalytic ability). Since there is no internal cross-bracing except for non-covalent bonds (with few exceptions), the structure is very thermosensitive. Or consider the need for evolutionary malleability coupled limited information storage and low computational capabilities: you need to change enzyme structure very quickly to adapt to new conditions (so you have to reuse existing devices and kludge them together to make new functions), but the only way you can compute new structures is to make prototypes out of a small number of building blocks (a cell couldn't store enzyme information for making e.g. 20 000 building blocks instead of 21) and see if they survive. This is a severe limitation on the amount of searching in the design space you can do, even in millions of years. The situation for the nanotechnologist is different. Let's imagine you have enzymes (garden-variety biological ones) to make 20 000 distinct building blocks - rods, braces, steppers, thousands of prosthetic groups for various catalytic steps. Instead of making a protein catalyst out of 500 aminoacids, you could use five or six structural blocks and attach two-three prosthetic groups to have the same catalytic ability- but in a much smaller and more durable package, as in a cage compound. You would need an assembler able to grasp many more building blocks than a ribosome does, maybe even many separate ribosome-like entities, yes, but without the computational limits inherent in being a single cell that needs to reproduce *and* make most of its components almost from scratch, this should be doable. Also, if you are not limited to reusing existing enzymes, you can calculate the optimal structure, and choose the optimal blocks out of your library of 20 000, you will make much more efficient devices. You can search the design space far away from the list of available components and if you find something worthwhile, you can make the components to get you there. With a library of 20 000 specialized blocks you should be able to design organisms with orders of magnitude higher concentrations of active elements, therefore faster reaction speeds, smaller size, higher complexity - or simply, you'd have MNT. It's true that the "assembler" might be a bank of 20 000 specialized building-block producers with a hierarchy of assembling devices, each accepting the feedstocks of dozens of others to finally churn out the products (such as a specialized producer, or fur for a teddy bear) - but this makes it all the more believable, at least for me. I do think that Drexlerian nanotech is possible, and pointing to living things as the proof of principle is a valid argument. Almost all proofs of principle, being hastily cobbled together from available parts, are slow and clunky.... the final product of optimization will be much better. Rafal From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Sun Dec 7 17:53:00 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 12:53:00 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution In-Reply-To: <20031207161222.43412.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <011c01c3bcea$f7ab1760$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Mike Lorrey wrote, > > --- Technotranscendence wrote: > > Does anyone seriously think it is unbreakable? I believe > > it's more of a matter of not yet finding a way to break it. > > Well, the system is merely a means of key transmission that > is not crackable, in that it is able to easily detect > interception and take countermeasures. It says nothing about > the security of the cryptosystem that generates the keys > themselves. Technotrascendence is right about this merely being temporarily unbreakable. Unbreakable techniques come and go all the time. They are theoretically unbreakable until someone figures out a way to break it. Sometimes there was a flaw in the theories. Usually, it is cracked using an unexpected trick that does not violate the theoretical proof in any way. For example, encrypted passwords were once thought to be unbreakable. People calculated that it would take billions of years to try all the passwords to find the right one. But hackers noticed that people didn't really choose random passwords. They chose English words from their small vocabularies of a few thousand words. The key space was magnitudes weaker than theoretically predicted. A dictionary attack trying English words broke most English-speakers' passwords fairly quickly. In this day of new physics and rapid advancement, even the laws of physics may be subject to change and/or new methods discovered that will invalidate previous theories. Mike is exactly right that this only solves the key-exchange problem, if it even does that. It does not address algorithmic flaws or operations flaws. Common operational attacks are still available for use against this technology. Even if the keys are created and exchanged securely, other methods of attack are not blocked. A timing attack, for example, can greatly limit the key range required for guessing if we can somehow detect the beginning of the key generation and then detect when it comes back with an uncrackable key. Different algorithms take different lengths of time to calculate different keys. By measuring the time exactly, we can figure out how long it took the algorithm to develop the key. This limits the keys to only those taking this length of time. Based on the random mathematics involved, some keys take more time while others take less. Being able to limit the key range limits the strength of the key. The best example of a timing attack was a timing bug in SSH using remote password encryption. Theoretically, the system shouldn't tell you if you have a good username with a bad password, or if the username is bad as well. Hackers noticed that a good username took a few seconds to respond because the system had to decrypt the password for comparison. While a bad username came back immediately because there was no password to decrypt because the username was wrong. By timing the responses, hackers could tell whether a username existed or not. They could go down a list of common names and have the system tell them whether they were valid or not. Theoretically, the encryption was not cracked. But timing differences revealed the answer anyway. Quantum communications won't protect from this kind of attack. A man-in-the-middle attack, for example, is when a person masquerades as the intended party and tricks the security system into exchanging keys with the fake person rather than the real person. Then all messages sent to the fake person are readable by them, and then they re-encrypt it and forward it to the real recipient. The sender and the real recipient talk back and forth using "uncrackable" encryption (which technically has not actually been cracked), never knowing that a third party is reading all their encrypted communications. Quantum communications won't protect from this kind of attack. Plain old spying, for example, still allows a person's office or PC to be bugged so that the spy sees everything going on, even if the data is encrypted over the network. They spy sees the human-readable data at each end before it is encrypted or after it is decrypted. The data must be made human readable for the humans at each end to read it, and that is where the spying occurs. Quantum communications won't protect from this kind of attack. Plain old social engineering, for example, is when a bad person fools a target into lowering security without them realizing it. A fake e-mail message to the person saying that they need to give their uncrackable key to the sysadmin for backups might get the uncrackable key from a gullible person. Or consider fake directions on how to verify that their quantum key generation is really secure, where the complicated directions include resetting the key to a known key instead of the randomly generated one. Quantum communications won't protect from this kind of attack. A Tempest attack, for example, measures very fine changes in power draw or electromagnetic interference to determine what a device is doing. Imagine a graph showing the power consumption to your device. Random fluctuations on the power grid are large and broad on this graph. Power draw from most appliances are also large discrete changes. However, a fast computer might be drawing different micro amounts depending on what data it is transferring, and these changes are fast and minute. It is theoretically possible to extrapolate such data from the power draw. Another example of Tempest leaks is the slight radio static click that each keystroke makes. Each key has a little switch inside it that makes a connection as you type. They keys are not microscopically similar, and each one gives a slightly different static burst that is unique. A person doesn't even have to recognize each key, they can statistically deduce them like a coded cryptogram, where "e" is the most common letter in English, "the" is the most common three-letter word, etc. A third example of Tempest leakage is the power leakage from your screen as you type. Between keystrokes, it is constant while the screen isn't changing. With each keystroke, the screen only changes by one letter difference. Repeating the letter will repeat the same delta change. Different letters with a different number of pixels take a different amount of energy to display. This also gives a Tempest spy the ability to remotely read what is on your screen as it displays. Quantum communications won't protect from this kind of attack. In other words, the quantum key generation and/or transmission only solves a specific case of security and makes it secure. All the other security problems still exist. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Sun Dec 7 17:54:11 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 12:54:11 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution In-Reply-To: <5.2.1.1.2.20031207105429.02057e00@mail.gmu.edu> Message-ID: <011d01c3bceb$2224f650$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Robin Hanson wrote, > There is an article in the latest New Scientist on how to break it. Thanks. That was fast! (The more things change, the more they stay the same....) -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From rafal at smigrodzki.org Sun Dec 7 18:36:40 2003 From: rafal at smigrodzki.org (Rafal Smigrodzki) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 13:36:40 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Golden Transcendence References: <200312060543.hB65hqM30870@finney.org> <004601c3bcea$26086780$6501a8c0@dimension> Message-ID: <007e01c3bcf1$10b36b80$6501a8c0@dimension> I just finished reading the third part of John C. Wright's Golden Age trilogy, and I am awed. As I suspected, Wright allows humanity an escape from the eons of dignified dying outlined in Phoenix Exultant - I was convinced that a dynamical optimist like Wright wouldn't let humanity go out with a quadrillion-year whimper. Add to it insights and epiphanies galore, some unexpected but smart (rather than, as it sometimes happens, confusing and stilted) plot twists, wry humor, ebullient libertarianism and an explanation of some hitherto mysterious elements of his world history and politics, and you have a glorious conclusion to the best s-f trilogy since Varley's "Titan" (AISI). The one issue I don't understand are the IP laws in the Golden Ecumene - are they statutory or merely contractual? If statutory, why are they (apparently) time-unlimited, which might result in inefficiencies (and Wright doesn't say how inefficiencies are avoided), and if they are contractual, how do they become universally enforced? I could imagine the following argument in favor of IP held in perpetuity - since the IP owner receives the full market value of his invention, there is a strong stimulus to provide new inventions - both to earn and to avoid paying for older IP. But then, if the inventor of the wheel was still alive, we would be paying him royalties on every car, including toy trucks. On the other hand, contractual IP would assure return commensurate with effort spent on research while avoiding perpetual royalties but Wright specifically mentions the Parliament as the venue where the scope of IP was decided in the Golden Ecumene. All this doesn't detract from Wright's vision, however. Highly recommended. Rafal From natasha at natasha.cc Sun Dec 7 21:18:25 2003 From: natasha at natasha.cc (Natasha Vita-More) Date: Sun, 07 Dec 2003 13:18:25 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Contradictions in Politics: Socialism/Democracy/Libertarianism/Republican Message-ID: <5.2.0.9.0.20031207121023.044b8d80@pop.earthlink.net> Majority rules makes sense to me; especially if my needs are in the majority. That is why living in America, it is easy to be (a) religious, wealthy and educated male; or, (b) Black, Hispanic, White uneducated and poor male or female. This all depends on what mountain top one is peering down from. I'm with Abraham Lincoln when he said that "...I would not be a slave, so I would not be a master." However, according to the encumbrances of slavery in the early-mid 1800s I would probably be exactly where I am today, not with a or b. These categories are quickly defusing, blurring, fuzzying, fading into the past. But not everyone recognizes this, or even realizes it to be occurring. Feminists still claim there is a glass ceiling, Jesse Jackson still hunts for global problems he can mediate, and the welfare and homeless still beg for money on the corner of Los Angeles's freeway off-ramps. That "politics" will not find solutions to transhumanist problems is a pipe-dream - all light up with sugar plum fairies and dancing elves. As Thomas Crown said in the "Thomas Crown Affair, "It's just a game. It provides a venue to roll up shirt-sleeves, pump up our chests and vent, blame, and defend. What better way to keep people off the streets? :-) The human capacity for fairness or moral rightness makes the idea of democracy possible, albeit the human tendency toward obligatory of justice makes the idea of democracy necessary. Plato said that some of the "features of democracy ... will enable a "footing of equality, whether they be really equal or not." Since when did futurists consider human beings and transhumans chattel? Maybe Mark Twain, a favored American humorist/writer/thinker was more honest when he said that "I am a democrat only on principle," as it seems wholesome and caring to be democratic. However, we do not live in a "perfect" world in which people are treated "equally." A physician of A PhD is often given more credence than her fellow "majority" - just listen to some soap-box academics. Further, artists seem to think we are more in-touch, more intuitive, more spot on when it comes to visionary ideas and frowns upon the social ineptitude of the masses. We can pass the baton of disciplinary-snobbery around the Internet and we will discover how most humans hold onto their ideas like a lifeboat in the rough seas of political turmoil. "Democracy is supposed to give you the feeling of choice," wrote Gore Vidal. Sounds good. But then he adds, "like Painkiller X and Painkiller Y. But they're both just aspirin." The common thread between all the political agendas discussed over the past many years is the, "I'm right. You are wrong." principle. Freedom and equality are contradictions in terms, just as society and the individual are mutually exclusive. How can I be free if my individual needs are not part of the majority? Only if the majority is so confident that individuals are allowed to pursue and make their own choices. In this country, it is the Democrats vs. the Republicans, but how is "a political order in which the supreme power lies in a body of citizens who are entitled to vote for officers and representatives responsible to them" different than a democracy? How is wanting the world to be healthy and prosperous not draw from the principles of socialism in which everyone is equal? How is wanting to live indefinitely different from wanting eternal life in Heaven? How does a desire to live in a pollution-free world where there is land yet to explore not environmentalist? Of course these are rhetorical questions used to show that while we may all want what seems to be the same thing, we approach it from different constructs for different purpose. I can sum it up in meaningful directive in a one-liner clipped from another thread: Max More wrote: >However, I disagree that *anything* done to get ideas about liberty out >there is good. First impressions have a powerful influence on the human >mind. A poor first impression only increases the work to be done. Why resort to outdated political models and religious views just because we want to go "mainstream"? When did affirmative action find its way into transhumanism? We must not bend over for every political or political group-think to soften and erode the values and principles of transhumanism just because we want to go mainstream. BETTER, we must enable a sense of understanding, cooperation and willingness to work together. We must invite others to learn about our ideals in ways that are non-threatening. We must hold our own, stand strong, and educate the "mainstream." Let's us not take our hard-earned sense of the future down to a low common denominator. Let us work toward raising the level of reason and vision to the rest of the world. Natasha __________________________ "Two cheers for Democracy: one because it admits variety and two because it permits criticism. E. M. Forster (1879-1970), British novelist, essayist. Two Cheers for Democracy, "What I Believe" (1951). Forster thought two cheers "quite enough: there is no occasion to give three." The third he reserved for the Republic of Love. "Democracy! Bah! When I hear that word I reach for my feather Boa!" Allen Ginsberg (b. 1926), U.S. poet. Journals: Early Fifties Early Sixties, "New York City" (ed. by Gordon Ball, 1977), Oct. 1960 entry, "Subliminal." "When great changes occur in history, when great principles are involved, as a rule the majority are wrong." Eugene V. Debs (1855-1926), U.S. trade unionist, co-founder of the U.S. Socialist Party. Speech, 12 Sept. 1918, Cleveland, Ohio, defending himself against charges of sedition. Found guilty, Debs was subsequently jailed for three years.. "Remember, democracy never lasts long. It soon wastes, exhausts, and murders itself. There never was a democracy yet that did not commit suicide." John Adams (1735-1826), U.S. statesman, president. Letter, 15 April 1814 (published in The Works of John Adams, vol. 6, 1851). "Nor is the people's judgement always true: The most may err as grossly as the few." John Dryden (1631-1700), English poet "I swear to the Lord, I still can't see, Why Democracy means, Everybody but me." Langston Hughes (1902-67), U.S. poet, author. The Black Man Speaks, in Jim Crow's Last Stand (1943). "Democracy don't rule the world, You'd better get that in your head; This world is ruled by violence, But I guess that's better left unsaid." Bob Dylan (b. 1941), U.S. singer, songwriter. "Union Sundown," on the album Infidels (1983). "When people put their ballots in the boxes, they are, by that act, inoculated against the feeling that the government is not theirs. They then accept, in some measure, that its errors are their errors, its aberrations their aberrations, that any revolt will be against them. It's a remarkably shrewed and rather conservative arrangement when one thinks of it." John Kenneth Galbraith (b. 1908), U.S. economist. The Age of Uncertainty, ch. 12 (1977). "Democracy is the wholesome and pure air without which a socialist public organization cannot live a full-blooded life." Mikhail Gorbachev (b. 1931), Soviet president. Speech, 25 Feb. 1986, to 27th Party Congress, Moscow. "The freeman, casting with unpurchased hand The vote that shakes the turrets of the land." Oliver Wendell, Sr. Holmes (1809-94), U.S. writer, physician. Poetry: a Metrical Essay. "Democracy with its semi-civilization sincerely cherishes junk. The artist's power should be spiritual. But the power of the majority is material. When these worlds meet occasionally, it is pure coincidence." Paul Klee (1879-1940), Swiss artist. The Diaries of Paul Klee 1898-1918, no. 747 (1957; tr. 1965), Jan. 1906 entry. Natasha Vita-More http://www.natasha.cc President, Extropy Institute http://www.extropy.org Founder, Transhumanist Arts & Culture http://www.transhumanist.biz http://www.transhuman.org -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From puglisi at arcetri.astro.it Sun Dec 7 19:12:46 2003 From: puglisi at arcetri.astro.it (Alfio Puglisi) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 20:12:46 +0100 (CET) Subject: [extropy-chat] same story, different spins In-Reply-To: <20031207162129.44972.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> References: <20031207162129.44972.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: On Sun, 7 Dec 2003, Mike Lorrey wrote: >> coalition action in Afghanistan, it depends on which >> news sources one reads. Both sources are necessary >> to even start to understand. > >Well, I wouldnt' say Fox has tried and convicted the Taliban. Their >article clearly states that the Taliban has *claimed* responsibility, >and is only making excuses about why they wound up killing only fellow >afghans. The CNN simply didn't publish any claims of responsibility by >parties like the Taliban. BBC (http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/south_asia/3296307.stm) and other news sources says that no one has claimed responsibility, but that Taliban were accused. It shouldn't be so hard to find out *if* someone has really claimed responsibilit or not. At least some of the news sources are lying, and it doesn't help in the least. Ciao, Alfio From neptune at superlink.net Sun Dec 7 19:19:40 2003 From: neptune at superlink.net (Technotranscendence) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 14:19:40 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] followup avoidance upon unexpected dissident responses References: <000601c3bc52$976f9bc0$6501a8c0@SHELLY><20031207001341.86452.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com><5.1.0.14.2.20031206172545.03ca2108@mail.earthlink.net> Message-ID: <005c01c3bcf7$1140a8a0$76cd5cd1@neptune> On Sunday, December 07, 2003 12:01 PM randy cryofan at mylinuxisp.com wrote: > Also, a former poster to this list, Anthony Garcia, > was recently on the Houston PBS "connections" > TV show. He is a Texas Libertarian party activist > and sometime candidate. He "debated"/discussed > various broad political issues with representatives > of the local Democrat, Republican, and Green > parties. Interesting to me was how the moderator > and Dem and GOP representatives completely > ignored Anthony's occasional comments about > broad issues regarding how the dems and gop > use their power to keep 3rd party candidates off > the ballot and away from the media. However, > almost every comment from the dem and gop > representatives, even when about seemingly > trivial subject matter, prompted a followup from > the moderator and the other major party candidate. Well, I'm not sure of the selection process. I've seen debates where third party candidates have done well, but, typically, major party candidates try to keep third party candidates out of debates or minimize their impact in them. This might happen by selecting a moderator who does not take the third party candidates seriously. Remember, too, major candidates don't want the situation to get out of control. Typically, they go for the so called center and ignore their radical wings because they know their radical wings can't go anywhere else. Enter a third party candidate and that could change. Now, the mainstream candidate is given a dilemma: go more purist and alienate the center or focus on the center and lose the radicals. Most mainstream candidates want to avoid that. It's also like chess too. In a lot of games, people use the strategy of simplifying by trading pieces. By simplifying the "candidate space," mainstream candidates can control the terms of debate and not have to worry about losing support to radical or other factions within their base -- or expending effort defeating them. (Why are the Republicans without any contenders for the Presidential nomination? Well, Bush can focus on the Democrats -- rather than fight a bitter primary like last time and them have to fend off his opponents. The same logic applies to third parties.) > When confronted with an unexpectedly dissident > response, media hosts quickly change the subject, > or break for a commercial, or inject an identifying > announcement: "We are talking with [whomever]." > The purpose is to avoid going any further into a > politically forbidden topic no matter how much the > unexpected response might seem to need a > follow-up query. An anchorperson for the BBC > World Service (December 26, 1997) enthused: > "Christmas in Cuba: For the first time in almost > forty years Cubans were able to celebrate > Christmas and go to church!" She then linked up > with the BBC correspondent in Havana, who observed, > "A crowd of two thousand have gathered in the > cathedral for midnight mass. The whole thing is > rather low key, very much like last year." Very > much like last year? Here was something that craved > clarification. Instead, the anchorperson quickly > switched to another question: "Can we expect > a growth of freedom with the pope's visit?" The BBC is one of the most biased news services anyhow. They make statements like that all the time. I wonder if part of it is just the service trying to avoid anything that might make them personae non grata in Cuba. > On a PBS talk show (January 22, 1998), host > Charlie Rose asked a guest, whose name I did > not get, whether Castro was bitter about "the > historic failure of communism". No, the guest > replied, Castro is proud of what he believes > communism has done for Cuba: advances in > health care and education, full employment, > and the elimination of the worst aspects of > poverty. Which is why people general hop on inner tubes from Key West to get to Cuba. I've heard the Cuban Coast Guard has to turn these immigrants back, so many are trying to migrate to the Caribbean paradise. Also, note how those deluded enough to leave Cuba, quickly return when they discover what a great land they've left. This explains Florida's declining Cuban population: more of them move back to live happy and free under Castro. (Sorry, I couldn't resist.:) > Rose fixed him with a ferocious glare, then turned > to another guest to ask: "What impact will the > pope's visit have in Cuba?" Rose ignored the > errant guest for the rest of the program. I know you got this off another site, but have you ever watched Charlie Rose? He's not only politically biased and shows it, but he's a bad interviewing. He talks over his guests, ignores those he can't control, and generally overtly steers the discussion. Watching him, one gets the feeling the guests are there merely as props for him. (This has nothing to do with my disagreement with his particular politics, as I find other Left-wing interviewers to be much better and even among the best I know, such as Terry Gross (NPR) of Leonard Lopate (WNYC).) So I'm not surprised he would do this -- if, in fact, that's what he did. But to turn this discussion into a positive direction: How would you get the media, etc. to pay more attention to radical or dissident views? One thing to do might be to hire a polling agency to do a survey with so called radical positions and see how many people hold them. Let's say you find 40% of those surveyed hold the radical position. Yuo could then use the poll to show how media coverage of such positions is far lower than their actual representation in the population. That might shame some in the media toward mending their ways. (Of course, I'm assuming that these so called radical positions are more prevalent than mainstream reporting would have us believe.:) Cheers! Dan http://uweb.superlink.net/neptune/ From bradbury at aeiveos.com Sun Dec 7 19:38:34 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 11:38:34 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: <5.2.1.1.2.20031207110754.02082990@mail.gmu.edu> Message-ID: On Sun, 7 Dec 2003, Robin Hanson wrote: > So they [goverment officials] want to declare that > "nanobots" are impossible, with no more specific common definition of what > the impossible things are than whatever it is that the public is afraid > of. As long as respectable scientists can be recruited who say they are > impossible, this is the position the government agencies will take. And > given the vast money available, it was pretty sure that some respectable > scientists would be found to take this position. [snip] I think people are missing a couple of important issues here. Right now a Drexler type assembler arm probably is *effectively impossible*. [And one can comfortably ignore nanorobots.] The reasons are poorly developed methods and very high costs. Lets see: MECHANOSYNTHESIS: has been done on a limited scale with AFMs and 1-2 atoms. No parallel AFMs in production to my knowledge. There is the Zyvex rotapod but it needs tool tips and needs to be scaled down from MEMS to nanoscale. That will happen probably if they manage to make it through the decade and 5-20 nm litographic/MEMS methods are developed. (Right now we are looking at 65 nm circa 2006). SYNTHETIC CHEMISTRY: it isn't sophisticated enough yet and the computational capacity isn't up to the job. The largest synthetic molecules that have been made are things like Vitamin B-12, vancomycin and maitotoxin. They have atomic sizes ranging from ~200-500 atoms. Even for the fine motion controller which is 2600 atoms in size but probably only 1/500th to 1/1000th of an 4,000,000 atom assembler arm design (not counting the motors and computer interface you might need to control it). [The reason the ratios aren't exact is there is a fair amount of repitition in the assembler arm design.] Then you only have 2 people in the world (Merkle and Drexler) who have ever designed nanoscale parts -- where does the rest of the design come from? Finally to assemble something with 4,000,000+ atoms you are going to require *lots* of chemical reactions -- potentially millions. Even if you had the design in hand it is probably far too complicated for the human mind and the current retrosynthetic analysis programs are only capable of handling molecules from a few hundred to a few thousand molecules in size. The problem is the exponential growth in the number of reactions you have to try as the nanoparts increase in size. ENZYMATIC CHEMISTRY: The problem here is that even though we are starting to accumulate databases with thousands of enzymes (due to genome sequencing) we don't know many of the structures yet -- though our rate of determining them should increase significantly over the next couple of years. Our computer predictions of protein structure from amino acid sequence are still pretty poor and our ability to design proteins has only begun to develop in a few groups over the last 5-8 years. And very few people are working on de novo enzyme design. Finally there is the issue of COST. I've looked at this for ENZYMATIC CHEMISTRY in [1]. You can disagree with my analysis but I would bet they would not be low by more than an order of magnitude and its even less likely that they are high. The cost to design *just* the enzymes for the Fine Motion Controller to do the assembly of smaller chemical building blocks -- *if* we had lots of designers and some reasonable skill in that process would be $5.8 million dollars. For a nanoassembler arm the cost is $9 billioin dollars and for a single nanorobot its $17 trillion dollars. These figures do not include the costs of the design of the nanoparts (nanosubcomponents) of the finished nanomachines. Since these amounts are significantly beyond what most government government grants are for, at this time you would have to recruit 5-10 groups to tackle the problems if you really wanted to deal with them seriously. That is the real problem with Smalley's position -- an insufficient number of good scientists have read Drexler's literature enough to want to take a position against him. That would allow us to attempt to enroll the types of team leaders that can both bring home the money. That's why one of the projects I'd like to work on is a complete retrosynthetic analysis of the fine motion controller. Its the smallest nanopart Merkle & Drexler designed. Its within 5x of what has been done to date. Once that has been accomplished Smalleys position immediately starts to fall apart and the race is on. Now the good news is that natural trends in molecular biology, synthetic chemistry, biochemical knowledge, computation, etc. seem to be driving the costs down, in part due to the increase in the knowledge base, better methods, working at smaller scales, etc. By 2010 things might start to look feasible for "moon shot" type approaches and by 2020 things may really start to get feasible. So I'm not so sure that there is a lot of politics involved (though government officials might the impression out to the public that they don't want to develop things that are dangerous -- but you know that isn't true for DARPA and the pentagon. The problem is that most of the NNI work is being done by the NSF, NIH and NASA which are probably a little more risk averse. Robert From bradbury at aeiveos.com Sun Dec 7 20:09:04 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 12:09:04 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: <004601c3bcea$26086780$6501a8c0@dimension> Message-ID: On Sun, 7 Dec 2003, Rafal Smigrodzki wrote: > This introduces severe limits on the kind of chemical interactions > between parts of a protein - they cannot be cross-linked for higher > strength, except by the use of other proteins or the limited expedient of > S-S bridges, so only select proteins are cross-braced (see collagen > formation) You could take 2 of the stop codons and use them to create 2 new amino acids that crosslink with something much stronger than an S-S bond, design/evolve 2 new tRNAs, then kludge up Venter's minimal organism so it only uses the remaining stop codon, then verify/evolve receptors that can absorb the new amino acids from the medium (I'd suspect minimal microorganisms will use universal amino acid pickup receptors). Voila -- an orgainsm into which you can put new genetic sequences that will allow you to build much stronger proteins/enzymes. (I believe scientists at UCSD have done between 1/10th and 1/5th of this already). It is worth pointing out in [1], Table 1, I point out an alternate genetic code that would allow 63 building blocks rather than than just 21. The era of whole genome engineering would allow one to construct a variety of organisms capable of working with different genetic codes. > or else you'd need to have a bunch of specialized > post-translational modificators for each protein, and a bunch of > modificators for each modificator, and ... How does the selenocysteine modification work? At the tRNA level or at the protein level? > (a cell couldn't store enzyme information for making e.g. 20 000 > building blocks instead of 21) and see if they survive. Well that isn't true -- there are organisms like Amoeba dubia that have 670 million BP genomes, 20,000 building blocks gives them 33,000 bp/building block which is probably enough for 1500+ bases for each enzyme in a 10 step assembly process and that doesn't include any reuse of parts of pathways. > This is a severe limitation on the amount of searching in the > design space you can do, even in millions of years. Particularly if you find a basic set that solves most of the problems most of the time. I think plants that can tolerate great extremes of heat and cold would be interesting to study as they may have copied the enzymes that worked and simply evolved them sufficiently to work at alternate temperatures. Robert 1. Bradbury, R. J., "Protein Based Assembly of Nanoscale Parts", (July 2001) http://www.aeiveos.com/~bradbury/Papers/PBAoNP.html From bradbury at aeiveos.com Sun Dec 7 20:13:15 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 12:13:15 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: Message-ID: On Sun, 7 Dec 2003, Robert J. Bradbury wrote: > Well that isn't true -- there are organisms like Amoeba dubia > that have 670 million BP genomes, [snip] Sorry, correction, that is 670 billion BP genomes. For those interested genome sizes (the DOGS database [Dabase of Genome Sizes]) is a useful resource. See: http://www.cbs.dtu.dk/databases/DOGS/ R. From cphoenix at best.com Sun Dec 7 21:07:58 2003 From: cphoenix at best.com (Chris Phoenix) Date: Sun, 07 Dec 2003 16:07:58 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan References: <05be01c3bc9d$5bdb6c60$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> <020801c3bb97$2650ef40$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> <027201c3bc25$420b8950$11ff4d0c@hal2001> <04b801c3bc48$25dfd880$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> <001e01c3bc7f$d02c2b90$defe4d0c@hal2001> <028001c3bc86$c38f64e0$8bce5cd1@neptune> <05be01c3bc9d$5bdb6c60$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> <5.2.1.1.2.20031207110754.02082990@mail.gmu.edu> Message-ID: <3FD396AE.7B8A0241@best.com> Robin Hanson wrote (and BCC'd to me--thanks!): > Given the way this plays out, the studies > they actually do of social implications will explicitly exclude all > scenarios that they think have anything to do with the declared > impossible dangerous nanobots. Yes, I think you're very likely right. And that avoidance could backfire in the short term, and be quite dangerous in the long run. There's another factor that is probably increasing public--and scientific--fear of nanobots/assemblers. I just read a paper by Michael Lissack: http://emergence.org/redefinition.pdf that describes the way people respond to unfamiliar concepts. In general, people map the concept to the nearest "glom": a fixed and primitive set of associations. Now let's apply this. An assembler is a small device, active, made of stiff parts with a stiff shell (association: chitinous), moves around, has stereotyped behavior, can sneak into objects and corrupt or eat them, can reproduce... need I go on? It's a bug, plain and simple. And we know how people react to bugs. (Note that "bug" also means pathogen.) There are a few people who get lots of practice at thinking with precision about novel and unfamiliar concepts. These people are capable of refusing to glom new concepts, and instead treating them as "indexicals"--terms that must be interpreted with precision--and working till they figure out the intended meaning. For example, those who make a point of reading science outside their discipline will be continually confronted with new jargon that must be interpreted carefully. An even stronger and more common example: each and every symbol in a computer program is an indexical, so programmers must become very good at figuring out indexicals. But it seems safe to assume that most people will not be good at this--when confronted with new concepts, they will form gloms all over the place, and pick the easiest interpretation as Lissack explained. Even most scientists will not have much experience in overcoming glom-type thinking. In their own sub-field, they know all the jargon and concepts, and can think with precision--as long as nothing new comes along. This phenomenon will be familiar to anyone who's tried to communicate with scientists about something new. It's worth noting that molecular nanotech has found good acceptance among programmers and polymaths, and poor acceptance elsewhere. Most descriptions of MNT have failed to take into account the glom-thinking process of the audience. And so the descriptions evoked our ancient fear and revulsion toward bugs. This may have been a major spin mistake. Now that we know nanofactories are easier and more efficient than assemblers, we may be able to move away from the insect-visions of earlier MNT discussion. It should be noted that bugs aren't the only unfortunate association waiting to be glommed to. The story of the Sorcerer's Apprentice--runaway unstoppable productivity--goes back to ancient Egypt. Communicating about MNT without evoking fear-ridden gloms will take quite a lot of care. Chris -- Chris Phoenix cphoenix at CRNano.org Director of Research Center for Responsible Nanotechnology http://CRNano.org From bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk Sun Dec 7 21:23:53 2003 From: bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk (BillK) Date: Sun, 07 Dec 2003 21:23:53 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] AIRCAR: Boeing X-50 offers cheap alternative In-Reply-To: <200312071612.hB7GCiH22605@tick.javien.com> References: <200312071612.hB7GCiH22605@tick.javien.com> Message-ID: <3FD39A69.7070207@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> On Sat, 6 Dec 2003 21:14:38 -0800 (PST) Mike Lorrey wrote: > > http://www.boeing.com/phantom/crw.html > > I think that Boeing's Canard Rotor Wing test aircraft, the X-50 > Dragonfly, promises personal air-car capabilities sooner than Moller or > Bell/Augusta. > Neat design! But at present it is a military, unmanned testbed only. "Under an agreement with the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency, Boeing will build and flight test two unmanned technology demonstrators to assess and validate this advanced rotorcraft concept". Apparently Boeing hope to develop manned versions for the military in the future. "Although the CRW demonstrator vehicles are UAVs, the potential exists for development of both manned and unmanned versions of the vehicle. Missions for such a vehicle include reconnaissance, armed escort, tactical air support, communications/data relay and logistics resupply". How many of the military X-series technology test machines made it through to a general public version? Not many. And if they get any really good results, they will probably be kept secret for years. So, considering that they only just began flight testing (tethered hover) this summer, a general public, air-car type version is many years away, if ever. BillK From jonkc at att.net Sun Dec 7 21:18:42 2003 From: jonkc at att.net (John K Clark) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 16:18:42 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution References: <012801c3bcd5$a882b4a0$9ccd5cd1@neptune> <5.2.1.1.2.20031207105429.02057e00@mail.gmu.edu> Message-ID: <019e01c3bd07$c7a7ceb0$97fe4d0c@hal2001> "Robin Hanson" Wrote: > There is an article in the latest New Scientist on how to break it. I know nothing about network quantum encryption, I've never heard of it before and the article doesn't explain how it works; but as for breaking point to point quantum encryption it only has 2 suggestions: 1) Look over my shoulder when I decrypt the message. 2) Fire a massive Laser at me that is so powerful it damages my cryptographic equipment and hope I'm too dumb to notice. Apparently quite a bit of money is going into developing quantum encryption, I'm a little surprised because public key encryption is much easier to use and seems safe enough. The only conclusion I can come up with is that somebody with money thinks a practical quantum computer will soon become a reality. If that happens then quantum encryption will be the only way to keep a secret. John K Clark jonkc at att.net From cphoenix at best.com Sun Dec 7 21:41:16 2003 From: cphoenix at best.com (Chris Phoenix) Date: Sun, 07 Dec 2003 16:41:16 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: fwd -- Robert Bradbury post References: <01bb01c3bcfb$926dfa00$cf994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <3FD39E7C.B35D3AA2@best.com> Damien Broderick forwarded me a post that Robert Bradbury wrote: > I think people are missing a couple of important issues here. Right now > a Drexler type assembler arm probably is *effectively impossible*. > [And one can comfortably ignore nanorobots.] The reasons are poorly > developed methods and very high costs. Robert, I don't think anyone is saying that we could build such a thing today. That's not the important issue, and using words like "impossible" and "ignore" obscures the issues that are important. Try these questions instead: Actually doing it: Would general-purpose diamondoid manufacturing be worth trillions in 2015? (My answer: Yes. It would be decades ahead of other technology road maps, and could produce a wide range of products.) Could we build it in ten years at a cost of multiple billions? (My answer: Yes, given ten years of targeted funding, we could probably find and refine some technology to do mechanochemistry.) Learning about it: How much would it cost today to get more information about timelines and capabilities? (Not much. A few theoretical physicists and chemists to review Nanosystems. A few more chemists and computers to do preliminary mechanochemical simulation. Some experimental physicists, mechanical engineers, and a polymath or two to look for cheap ways to bootstrap.) How important are these questions? (With our current information, they look very important.) You mentioned several expensive bootstrap pathways, but you did not consider several others. Dip-pen Nanolithography: Has been done with multiple "inks", multiple tips, arrays of tips, re-registration, 2.5-nm precision. BTW, parallel AFMs from the Millipede project have already been applied to DPN. "We're up to a 10,000 pen array now, where you have 10,000 individual pens that can grab 10 000 different chemical agents from ink wells." http://www.materialstoday.com/pdfs_6_5/Gould.pdf Atom holography: I haven't heard anything about it recently, but a few years ago they were able to deposit complex patterns of atoms by shooting them through a programmable grid. Apparently this was not merely masking, but interference. Bose-Einstein Condensates: One more way of handling very small groups of atoms with high precision. Last I heard, they could make them travel along switchable wires. I don't know if they've got single-atom control yet, but it wouldn't surprise me. Sub-wavelength optics: At last count, I knew at least four ways of breaking the lambda/2 barrier. Of course most of them haven't been applied to fabrication. I mention them as an indication that nm-scale fabrication has not been fully explored and might turn out to be significantly easier than the methods you considered. You mention the cost of designing the parts to be fabricated. If diamondoid mechanochemistry works as Drexler, Merkle, and Freitas predict, then the design cost should be very low compared with today's synthetic chemistry designs. The set of reactions to choose from would be far smaller, and the results effectively digital. You can't assume that the design cost per atom in a nanodevice will be any higher than the design cost per transistor in a CPU. Also note that for most products of interest, a few good designs could be re-used and re-combined to make a wide range of products. Levels of abstraction have been extremely useful in computers (both hardware and software), and if chemistry can be made digital, levels of abstraction will work just as well in designing MNT-built products. Chris -- Chris Phoenix cphoenix at CRNano.org Director of Research Center for Responsible Nanotechnology http://CRNano.org From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Sun Dec 7 22:19:18 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 09:19:18 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan References: <020801c3bb97$2650ef40$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> <027201c3bc25$420b8950$11ff4d0c@hal2001> <04b801c3bc48$25dfd880$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> <001e01c3bc7f$d02c2b90$defe4d0c@hal2001> <028001c3bc86$c38f64e0$8bce5cd1@neptune> <05be01c3bc9d$5bdb6c60$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> <00b901c3bcd0$bba24820$9ccd5cd1@neptune> Message-ID: <003e01c3bd10$282bee80$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Technotranscendence wrote: > On Sunday, December 07, 2003 3:37 AM Brett Paatsch > bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au wrote: > > Two questions then, one sort of scientific or > > at least empirical, the second political. [snip] > > 2) If neither Drexler (and associates) nor > > Smalley (and associates) were to *accept* the > > burden of proof scientifically what happens by > > default politically? > > I don't understand the use of "politically" in the above question. Do > you mean that the science will drive the politics? No sorry. I should have been clearer. I meant what do you think is likely to be the outcome of holding the viewpoint that the burden of proof is on Smalley if it is adopted by folks such as yourself and John for 'scientific reasons' (perhaps validly) but it is not adopted by Smalley. I guess I was wondering if either you or John or others would change your views on where the burden of proof would lie if you were concerned that nothing or little might happen politically if the burden was left with Smalley. For me, not leaving the burden with Smalley, who is unlikely to want to accept it, is just plain good political sense. To me its obvious that it behoves those who are aware that they live in a political system where persuasion matters for the implementation of policy that those who don't like the current policy direction either accept the political burden of trying to persuade or they accept in the alternative the consequences, risks and policy direction that follows from their not doing so. Regards, Brett From eugen at leitl.org Sun Dec 7 21:53:43 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 22:53:43 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution In-Reply-To: <019e01c3bd07$c7a7ceb0$97fe4d0c@hal2001> References: <012801c3bcd5$a882b4a0$9ccd5cd1@neptune> <5.2.1.1.2.20031207105429.02057e00@mail.gmu.edu> <019e01c3bd07$c7a7ceb0$97fe4d0c@hal2001> Message-ID: <20031207215343.GB5783@leitl.org> On Sun, Dec 07, 2003 at 04:18:42PM -0500, John K Clark wrote: > Apparently quite a bit of money is going into developing quantum encryption, That's because it's a brand new field in crypto snake oil. > I'm a little surprised because public key encryption is much easier to use > and seems safe enough. The only conclusion I can come up with is that Entangled photons are just used to distribute a shared secret (symmetric session key). It's supposed to be a tamper-proof way to rekey remotely. It's not sooo tamperproof, but definitely better than to send your session keys via snail mail. There have been excessive discussion of this technology on diverse lists, cryptography@ included. Several attacks have been proposed. (I haven't been keeping track of details, because it's boring). > somebody with money thinks a practical quantum computer will soon become a Nope. It's just about milking gullible fools. Application niches targeted are securing financial crypto fiber lines and ground-LEO sat rekeying (they don't yet work in free atmosphere over this range, but eventually will). Tamper detection is definitely a boon here. > reality. If that happens then quantum encryption will be the only way to > keep a secret. Nope, QM is only useful for number factoring, and despite encouraging movements in solid state entanglement we're as far removed from QM as ever. Nevermind the issue of how this scales to high qubit numbers (it doesn't). -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From natasha at natasha.cc Mon Dec 8 01:22:55 2003 From: natasha at natasha.cc (Natasha Vita-More) Date: Sun, 07 Dec 2003 17:22:55 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation In-Reply-To: <000801c3b84d$2c2f8450$68c31b97@administxl09yj> References: Message-ID: <5.2.0.9.0.20031207163902.02c692d0@pop.earthlink.net> Tonight @ 9 PM on the Travel Channel will be "Giant Planes" covering the future of transportation. (11/26/03 "Airbus Unveils Giant Jet Airbus showed off its new Airbus 380, a jumbo jet that could carry as many as 900 passengers Tuesday. Virgin Atlantic has reportedly ordered six of the colossal carriers. The plane will begin testing next year.") Natasha -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Dec 8 00:01:49 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 16:01:49 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] EUGEN: What happened to Genes screeds? In-Reply-To: <20031207215343.GB5783@leitl.org> Message-ID: <20031208000149.97520.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> I recall on the extropy list of years gone past, that Eugen used to post long posts rambling on, like he'd been on a caffiene drip for the last 96 hours, about all sorts of things. What ever happened to that posting technique? ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From scerir at libero.it Mon Dec 8 00:05:06 2003 From: scerir at libero.it (scerir) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 01:05:06 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution References: <011c01c3bcea$f7ab1760$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <000301c3bd1e$f093ea40$f0c7fea9@scerir> Quantum information is physical and has "permanence". That is because there is a no-cloning (and a stronger no-cloning) theorem and also a no-deleting (and a stronger no-deleting) theorem. (Deleting is different from erasure, which is allowed). http://www-users.cs.york.ac.uk/~schmuel/papers/pb00.pdf http://www.research.ibm.com/journal/rd/481/jozsa.pdf The above theorems are connected to the possibility of FTL signals http://arxiv.org/abs/quant-ph/0305145 and perhaps also to a possible general principle of conservation of quantum information. http://arxiv.org/abs/quant-ph/0306044 Classical information is physical but has no "permanence", that is to say it can be cloned, deleted, and of course erased. That "permanence" of quantum information **could** be the conceptual reason of so many difficulties to reach a perfect quantum cryptography. For a general, and clean, review of the present situation: http://arxiv.org/abs/quant-ph/0312011 From rafal at smigrodzki.org Mon Dec 8 01:38:30 2003 From: rafal at smigrodzki.org (Rafal Smigrodzki) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 20:38:30 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan References: Message-ID: <00b401c3bd2b$fd0da880$6501a8c0@dimension> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Robert J. Bradbury" > On Sun, 7 Dec 2003, Rafal Smigrodzki wrote: > > > (a cell couldn't store enzyme information for making e.g. 20 000 > > building blocks instead of 21) > > Well that isn't true -- there are organisms like Amoeba dubia > that have 670 million BP genomes, 20,000 building blocks > gives them 33,000 bp/building block which is probably enough > for 1500+ bases for each enzyme in a 10 step assembly process > and that doesn't include any reuse of parts of pathways. ### I agree that an organism could be made to store information about 20 000 building blocks - but could it have evolved this information on its own? (which is what I wanted to question in the sentence you quoted) Even an organism with 21 aminoacids and only about 30 000 genes (or 60 000 or 100 000, or whatever), like a human, has under natural conditions an early mortality of about 90%, due to mutations in crucial genes. It would be difficult to imagine a bug dependent on every single one of the 20 000 blocks and 200 000 enzymes and who knows how many control elements, and still able to proliferate without recourse to error-checking methods that would stop its ability to evolve (or force it to have a complex mechanism for artificially evolving itself without random mutation). As I was saying, using the clunky living organisms as a proof of principle for blitz-fast molecular nanotech is valid precisely because of the evolutionary limitations under which organisms evolved. Once we increase our computational capability by another 10 orders of magnitude and our knowledge about chemistry by another 10 Terabytes or so (purely out-of-the-hat filler numbers), the nanotechnologist, free from the evolutionary limitations, will be able to use biotechnological approaches to develop MNT. Rafal From brian_a_lee at hotmail.com Mon Dec 8 02:15:14 2003 From: brian_a_lee at hotmail.com (Brian Alexander Lee) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 21:15:14 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution References: <012801c3bcd5$a882b4a0$9ccd5cd1@neptune><5.2.1.1.2.20031207105429.02057e00@mail.gmu.edu> <019e01c3bd07$c7a7ceb0$97fe4d0c@hal2001> Message-ID: I think you're right. The real reason there's so much funding for quantum encryption is because whomever gets it first will have "unbreakable" encryption for a while. It's like nuclear weapons were, you don't want to be the one without it. Public key encryption is pretty strong and easy to use, but it has a few flaws that theoretically a really big gov't computer could use to break it. A lot of encryption systems that use public key really use it to generate a 120-160bit session key and exchange it with their partner. Although there are no documented cracks of 120 bit encryption through brute force, it's theoretically possible. Harvey pointed out a lot of common vulnerabilities, but most of them can be avoided by using proper techniques to avoid timing, social engineering, etc. The big benefit of this is that it allows for a secure key transmission technique. Proper use of certificates should prevent a man in the middle exploit. Nonetheless, crypttech is growing by leaps and bounds as corporations now need encryption where previously just terrorists and govt's needed it. BAL ----- Original Message ----- From: "John K Clark" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Sunday, December 07, 2003 4:18 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution > "Robin Hanson" Wrote: > > > There is an article in the latest New Scientist on how to break it. > > I know nothing about network quantum encryption, I've never heard of it > before and the article doesn't explain how it works; but as for breaking > point to point quantum encryption it only has 2 suggestions: > > 1) Look over my shoulder when I decrypt the message. > > 2) Fire a massive Laser at me that is so powerful it damages my > cryptographic equipment and hope I'm too dumb to notice. > > Apparently quite a bit of money is going into developing quantum encryption, > I'm a little surprised because public key encryption is much easier to use > and seems safe enough. The only conclusion I can come up with is that > somebody with money thinks a practical quantum computer will soon become a > reality. If that happens then quantum encryption will be the only way to > keep a secret. > > John K Clark jonkc at att.net > > > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From neptune at superlink.net Mon Dec 8 03:22:21 2003 From: neptune at superlink.net (Technotranscendence) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 22:22:21 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan References: <020801c3bb97$2650ef40$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au><027201c3bc25$420b8950$11ff4d0c@hal2001><04b801c3bc48$25dfd880$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au><001e01c3bc7f$d02c2b90$defe4d0c@hal2001><028001c3bc86$c38f64e0$8bce5cd1@neptune><05be01c3bc9d$5bdb6c60$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au><00b901c3bcd0$bba24820$9ccd5cd1@neptune> <003e01c3bd10$282bee80$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: <00bb01c3bd3a$7eee38c0$bcce5cd1@neptune> On Sunday, December 07, 2003 5:19 PM Brett Paatsch bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au wrote: > No sorry. I should have been clearer. I meant > what do you think is likely to be the outcome > of holding the viewpoint that the burden of > proof is on Smalley if it is adopted by folks > such as yourself and John for 'scientific > reasons' (perhaps validly) but it is not adopted > by Smalley. I guess I was wondering if either > you or John or others would change your > views on where the burden of proof would lie > if you were concerned that nothing or little > might happen politically if the burden was left > with Smalley. For me, not leaving the burden > with Smalley, who is unlikely to want to accept > it, is just plain good political sense. To me its > obvious that it behoves those who are aware > that they live in a political system where > persuasion matters for the implementation of > policy that those who don't like the current > policy direction either accept the political > burden of trying to persuade or they accept in > the alternative the consequences, risks and policy > direction that follows from their not doing so. It depends on whether people who agree with Smalley have the capability and the will to try to prevent their views from being proved wrong. In the long run, they don't. In the short run, they might drive research underground or to less friendly societies (Red China, for instance). They might do this as well by lending credence to anti-technology groups and policies -- not so much just pulling public funds from these programs but also passing laws against anyone doing it and also shifting the culture toward other things. (Passing laws would be initiating force. I don't believe Smalley's called for that -- unless I've misread him.) A better solution would be, again, to decouple public funding and scientific research to prevent politics from having a say in science as well as corrupting it. However, even in a free market, chances are, one will have to convince others to fund research. It's just that one wouldn't have only one source of such funding. (In fact, in any society, unless you're in control, you'll have to convince others.) Cheers! Dan http://uweb.superlink.net/neptune/ From hal at finney.org Mon Dec 8 03:36:56 2003 From: hal at finney.org (Hal Finney) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 19:36:56 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan Message-ID: <200312080336.hB83auP07649@finney.org> Unfortunately I don't have time to write about all the issues that I see regarding the nanotech debate, or to organize my thoughts as well as I should. It's disappointing that the recent nanotech bill has explicitly removed funding for Drexlerian nanotech. But this just reinforces that Brett is right: at least in practice, given the current political situation, the burden is on the pro nanotech camp to produce a more convincing case for the technology. But I don't see that happening, at least not yet. The initial response seems to be to try to "spin" the debate into a huge victory for the home team. Contrast that with some of the comments in the article I pointed to last week on the economics of nanotech by Brad DeLong, http://www.j-bradford-delong.net/movable_type/2003_archives/002838.html. Some quotes: > Brad -- if you pursue this, I strongly recommend you leave out the > Drexler stuff. The man is, IMHO, a snake oil salesman who doesn't know > his stuff. The Chemical and Engineering News debate pointed to by drk > above, at http://pubs.acs.org/cen/coverstory/8148/8148counterpoint.html, > shows the difference between someone who actually knows his chemistry > (Richard Smalley) and someone who doesn't. > Apropos "Drexlerian" nanotechnology: > http://pubs.acs.org/cen/coverstory/8148/8148counterpoint.html > I saw Drexler speak over a decade ago in front of a group of physicists > at Stanford. I remember thinking at the time that did not stand up well > to questioning by hard scientists. I'd put my money on Smalley. I think the perception by those who are not already nanotech proponents is that Smalley won the debate. And I also object to some of the tactics being used in this spin doctoring. Smalley is being misrepresented and taken out of context. >From the Foresight press release: "In the current C&E News exchange, Smalley now agrees that assemblers (without impossible "magic fingers") could use something like enzymes or ribosomes as tools for doing precise chemistry." This makes it sound like Smalley has conceded that Drexler's ideas for nanotech could work. But in fact, Smalley was attempting to show that to the extent that nanotech needs to rely on things like enzymes and ribosomes, it will share the limitations of those systems, such as reliance on water and the inability to make strong objects, hence that nanotech could not meet its claimed goals. And about this water business, which has also been trumpeted as showing that Smalley is ignorant of chemistry (a claim which sounds absurdly arrogant to the unbiased spectator). Maybe there are some enzymes which can work in polar solvents or even in gas or vacuum. But ribosomes don't, and so Smalley's overall point still holds. The chemistry of water dominates virtually everything about proteins, enzymes (which are a subset of proteins), and ribosomes (which are built equally of RNA and protein). So what does Drexler really mean when he says that nanotech will work like enzymes? As Smalley asks, "do you think it is really possible to do enzymelike chemistry of arbitrary complexity with only dry surfaces and a vacuum?" I think the answer Drexler would give is basically yes, albeit not of "arbitrary" complexity (no system could achieve that goal). He does believe that he can achieve and surpass the power of enzyme-like systems using dry surfaces and a vacuum. He refers to this somewhat obliquely in his reply: "Bound groups adjacent to reactive groups can provide tailored environments that reproduce familiar effects of solvation and catalysis." I've read Nanosystems, and it's always bothered me that the technology described there is so different from what most nanotech fans are familiar with. Drexler describes the famous robot arm; you can see a picture here, http://www.zyvex.com/nanotech/images/fig13.14left.jpg. He goes into a lot of detail about how it would work and how strong it would be for mechanosynthesis. But he doesn't use it! The proposed manufacturing system that he describes in some detail only uses giant robot arms in a final assembly stage, to manipulate relatively large, pre-built blocks that are a cubic micron in size, far larger than the arm above (which is only 0.1 micron long). Instead, the actual molecular manipulation and assembly is done by means of a "mill". This is a system which holds molecular fragments on miniature pallets attached to 4 nm wide assembly belts. The belts run past each other such that the pallets are pressed together, and possibly rotated or manipulated in some way, so that the payload molecules react, transferring one or more atoms from one pallet's payload to the other. These mills would gradually build up larger and larger pieces, which would eventually be transferred to appropriately scaled-up mill systems. These would use the same principles, now working with pieces with perhaps thousands of atoms, attaching them together in various ways. Eventuallly we get up to the micron size, which will have billions of atoms, and at that point he uses almost-macro-scale robot arms to start attaching these "bricks" together. This molecular mill system provides a possible context to understand Drexler's comparison of nanotech assembly to enzymes. Enzymes bring reactants together in a carefully controlled environment. The active site is surrounded by atoms which provide the exact pattern of positive and negative charge, hydrophobic and hydrophilic regions, acidic or base pH, necessary to promote the desired reaction. This is what Smalley means when he talks about biologically catalyzed chemistry occuring as the interaction of a dozen or more atoms, which would seemingly be impossible using robot arms. But it is conceivable that a mill could provide a similar degree of control over the external environment as what we get in an enzymatic active site. The pallets that hold the reactants can be designed to have desired patterns of charge, ionization and electron binding. When we bring the reactants together, surrounded by the two pallets that held them, the environment surrounding the reactants can therefore be controlled to a considerable degree. The reactants can even be held in pouches or grooves within the pallets to provide for full 360 degree control over the local environment. This is what I think Drexler means in the quote above, "Bound groups adjacent to reactive groups can provide tailored environments that reproduce familiar effects of solvation and catalysis." The bound groups are part of the pallets that hold the reactants; solvation, that is, the effects of water molecules, can be mimicked by means of patterns of charge; and catalysis achieved by carefully adjusting the properties of the atoms lining the pallets so as to provide the necessary lowering of energy barriers. I think it is rather difficult to interpret Drexler's comment in terms of robot arms. They have a limited flexibility in terms of tailoring the environment in the near vicinity of the reaction. It would be extremely complicated to recreate the effects of solvation (the widespread presence of water molecules shielding and modifying electrical effects) and catalysis using robot arms, raising fat-finger problems. The point of this rather lengthy digression is that Drexler and other nanotech proponents are not doing a good job of explaining their design concepts. This is in part why they are so commonly misunderstood. And it seems almost willful. Drexler is trying to explain exactly how his system will work: "In machine-phase chemistry, conveyors and positioners (not solvents and thermal motion) bring reactants together." But this terminology is complete generic and unspecific: conveyors and positioners. It applies to mills, but could also apply to robot arms, where reactants are conveyed to the tip and then positioned to be applied to the work piece. Didn't anyone reading this exchange wonder about Drexler's insistence that "fingers" are not needed for his assembly process? What is a robot arm if not a finger, in this context? Do people realize that Drexler has moved away from arm-based assembly, perhaps due to some of the very objections that Smalley has (re-) discovered? Of course, I'm not even 100% sure that my interpretation is right, either. I've explained above how I think his comments relate to the designs in Nanosystems. But maybe I'm wrong, maybe he does still plan to use robot arms. Why should I have to guess? And why should Smalley? This continued evasiveness and refusal to plainly specify a design strategy forces nanotech critics to extrapolate their own understanding and interpretations. And once this happens, the nanotech proponents sit back and smugly call "strawman". Drexler and Smalley are talking past each other, because Drexler refuses to plainly state how his manufacturing system will work, contenting himself with telling Smalley that all his guesses are wrong. This isn't a game of 20 Questions. If nanotech were the dominant paradigm, this lack of specificity might be acceptable. But when you are on the outside looking in, it will not succeed. All you're going to do is make people confused and angry. I share Smalley's frustration when he writes, "it would be helpful to all of us who take the nanobot assembler idea of 'Engines of Creation' seriously if you would tell us more about this nonaqueous enzymelike chemistry." Rather than lobbying and spinning the debate, I'd suggest that nanotech proponents work harder at fleshing out and clearly describing their proposals. Give your critics something to criticize, and at least the debates won't be as empty as the Smalley-Drexler exchange. Hal From neptune at superlink.net Mon Dec 8 03:53:28 2003 From: neptune at superlink.net (Technotranscendence) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 22:53:28 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan References: <200312080336.hB83auP07649@finney.org> Message-ID: <011b01c3bd3e$d7d3a660$bcce5cd1@neptune> On Sunday, December 07, 2003 10:36 PM Hal Finney hal at finney.org wrote: > Unfortunately I don't have time to write about all > the issues that I see regarding the nanotech > debate, or to organize my thoughts as well as > I should. It's disappointing that the recent > nanotech bill has explicitly removed funding > for Drexlerian nanotech. But this just reinforces > that Brett is right: at least in practice, given the > current political situation, the burden is on the > pro nanotech camp to produce a more > convincing case for the technology. I think the only thing that will convince some is actual nanotechnology. That being said, perhaps -- and I don't have time to read your whole post, so forgive me if you mention (or someone else already mentioned) this -- the way to turn things around -- and I actually don't mind no public funding for this:) but I'd like to convince private sponsors and see the research aboveboard -- is to get critics of nanotech like Smalley to articulate what would be the minimum short of a full-blown, working assembler to get them to agree nanotechnology is possible and even practical. In other words, one might say to Smalley, if it's possible to build X or control process Y on a nanoscale, would you agree that it's possible to have full-blown Drexlertech? (X and Y would be stuff that is either doable now or will be doable in short order.) Smalley can even fill in the X and Y above -- provided it's not something too off the wall. (If he says you have to bring Socrates back to life...:) 35% awake now. Cheers! Dan http://uweb.superlink.net/neptune/ From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Mon Dec 8 04:44:47 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 23:44:47 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: <200312080336.hB83auP07649@finney.org> Message-ID: <017001c3bd46$057f6020$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Hal Finney wrote, > Unfortunately I don't have time to write about all the issues > that I see regarding the nanotech debate, or to organize my > thoughts as well as I should. > The > initial response seems to be to try to "spin" the debate into > a huge victory for the home team. > I think the perception by those who are not already nanotech > proponents is that Smalley won the debate. > And I also object to some of the tactics being used in this > spin doctoring. Smalley is being misrepresented and taken > out of context. > I've read Nanosystems, and it's always bothered me that the > technology described there is so different from what most > nanotech fans are familiar with. > The point of this rather lengthy digression is that Drexler > and other nanotech proponents are not doing a good job of > explaining their design concepts. This is in part why they > are so commonly misunderstood. And it seems almost willful. > Why should I have to guess? And why should Smalley? This > continued evasiveness and refusal to plainly specify a design > strategy forces nanotech critics to extrapolate their own > understanding and interpretations. And once this happens, > the nanotech proponents sit back and smugly call "strawman". > Drexler and Smalley are talking past each other, because > Drexler refuses to plainly state how his manufacturing system > will work, contenting himself with telling Smalley that all > his guesses are wrong. > This isn't a game of 20 Questions. If nanotech were the > dominant paradigm, this lack of specificity might be > acceptable. But when you are on the outside looking in, it > will not succeed. All you're going to do is make people > confused and angry. > I share Smalley's frustration when he writes, "it would be > helpful to all of us who take the nanobot assembler idea of > 'Engines of Creation' seriously if you would tell us more > about this nonaqueous enzymelike chemistry." Rather than > lobbying and spinning the debate, I'd suggest that nanotech > proponents work harder at fleshing out and clearly describing > their proposals. Give your critics something to criticize, > and at least the debates won't be as empty as the > Smalley-Drexler exchange. Hear, Hear! I, too, am frustrated by the lack of scientific or engineering rigor for many of our futuristic ideas. Nanotech is merely one of many obvious examples. We have no shortage of fan club members who insist on the viability of these technologies. We have business models, organizations and personalities promoting this stuff. But what we lack is actual engineering research, design work, or technical specifications that actually have anything to do with the technology itself. Virtually all of our transhumanist writings have been written at the philosophical level or the speculation level. Very little of it actually is rigorous enough to analyze or use by anybody interested in building this technology. We will continue to have little to no effect on lobbying or future technologies until we actually get some engineers working on this stuff. Military, corporate and even private labs will continue to ignore us because we have nothing to add to the technology. Arm-chair pontificating, arguing on the network, and amateur calculations on the back of napkin just aren't good enough. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From alito at organicrobot.com Mon Dec 8 07:09:36 2003 From: alito at organicrobot.com (Alejandro Dubrovsky) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 17:09:36 +1000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <1070867376.6256.13.camel@alito.homeip.net> On Mon, 2003-12-08 at 05:38, Robert J. Bradbury wrote: > SYNTHETIC CHEMISTRY: it isn't sophisticated enough yet and the computational > capacity isn't up to the job. The largest synthetic molecules that have > been made are things like Vitamin B-12, vancomycin and maitotoxin. They > have atomic sizes ranging from ~200-500 atoms. Even for the fine motion > controller which is 2600 atoms in size but probably only 1/500th to 1/1000th > of an 4,000,000 atom assembler arm design (not counting the motors and > computer interface you might need to control it). Current synthetic molecules can be a bit bigger than the ones you pointed out: http://www.umich.edu/~urecord/9293/Apr05_93/11.htm shows synthesis of a pure hydrocarbon sphere of 1134 carbon atoms (2.2k atoms overall). http://www.pubmedcentral.nih.gov/articlerender.fcgi?artid=24856 shows total chemical synthesis of a 238 amino-acid chain. (This last one is from 1998, don't know if this has been bettered). alejandro From maxm at mail.tele.dk Mon Dec 8 07:30:52 2003 From: maxm at mail.tele.dk (Max M) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 08:30:52 +0100 Subject: [Posting style] Re: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <3FD428AC.1010403@mail.tele.dk> Giu1i0 Pri5c0 wrote: I have purposedly copied the entire content of the posting. But cannot bring myself to top-post. So please read on at the bottom. >>From 2theadvocate.com: After 20 years of research, an encryption process is > emerging that is considered unbreakable because it employs the mind-blowing > laws of quantum physics. In November, a small startup called MagiQ > Technologies Inc. began selling what appears to be the first commercially > available system that uses individual photons to transfer the numeric keys > that are widely used to encode and read secret documents. > MagiQ (pronounced "magic," with the "Q" for "quantum") expects this will > appeal to banks, insurers, government agencies, pharmaceutical companies and > other organizations that transmit sensitive information. "We think this is > going to have a huge, positive impact on the world," said Bob Gelfond, > MagiQ's founder and chief executive. Encryption schemes commonly used now > are considered safe, though they theoretically could be broken someday. But > even before that day arrives, Gelfond believes quantum encryption is > superior in one important way. In some super-high-security settings, people > sharing passwords and other information must have the same key, a massive > string of digits used to encode data. Sometimes the keys will be transferred > by imperfect means -- via courier or special software. They are not changed > very often and can be susceptible to interception. > Quantum encryption employs one of the defining discoveries of physics: > Heisenberg's Uncertainty Principle, which says subatomic particles exist in > multiple possible states at once, however hard as that may be to imagine, > until something interacts with them. I have noticed that some posters post massive blocks of text, as the above. (Giu1i0 this is not personal) Being a web designer and usability geek I have long wanted to say something about it. The shape of the text makes it easier to scan/read a big block of text. A big square lump of text like the above is *very* difficult to read. The overall graphic layout of the text doesn't give me any landmarks that I can use for orientation. So if I read the text and loose my orientation, I have to re-read several lines to find it again. Usually if a text looks like above, I don't bother reading it. I am shure that many other reacts likewise. Having a massive block of text also makes it difficult to reply to a specific point in the text. The newsreader will allredy have placed quotemarks in irritating places. So generally it is better to split up a text in related paragraphs. I have some links about it here ------------------------------- http://www.useit.com/alertbox/9703b.html http://www.useit.com/alertbox/9710a.html And a link for writing better email subjects -------------------------------------------- http://www.useit.com/alertbox/980906.html That is generally not a big problem on this list, but imagine having to scan through the archives a few years down, trying to find a particular posting. Then you really appreciate a really clear subject. I have tried to reformat the posting at the bottom of this page, to show what I mean. regards Max M Rasmussen, Denmark ################################## >From 2theadvocate.com: After 20 years of research, an encryption process is emerging that is considered unbreakable because it employs the mind-blowing laws of quantum physics. In November, a small startup called MagiQ Technologies Inc. began selling what appears to be the first commercially available system that uses individual photons to transfer the numeric keys that are widely used to encode and read secret documents. MagiQ (pronounced "magic," with the "Q" for "quantum") expects this will appeal to banks, insurers, government agencies, pharmaceutical companies and other organizations that transmit sensitive information. "We think this is going to have a huge, positive impact on the world," said Bob Gelfond, MagiQ's founder and chief executive. Encryption schemes commonly used now are considered safe, though they theoretically could be broken someday. But even before that day arrives, Gelfond believes quantum encryption is superior in one important way. In some super-high-security settings, people sharing passwords and other information must have the same key, a massive string of digits used to encode data. Sometimes the keys will be transferred by imperfect means -- via courier or special software. They are not changed very often and can be susceptible to interception. Quantum encryption employs one of the defining discoveries of physics: Heisenberg's Uncertainty Principle, which says subatomic particles exist in multiple possible states at once, however hard as that may be to imagine, until something interacts with them. From maxm at mail.tele.dk Mon Dec 8 08:44:26 2003 From: maxm at mail.tele.dk (Max M) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 09:44:26 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <3FD439EA.8000905@mail.tele.dk> Robert J. Bradbury wrote: > I think people are missing a couple of important issues here. Right now > a Drexler type assembler arm probably is *effectively impossible*. > [And one can comfortably ignore nanorobots.] The reasons are poorly > developed methods and very high costs. I usually don't post "me to" posts, but this is a very good overview of the possible routes to nanotech. I strongly believe myself that the road to nano goes through enzyme chemistry. Ensymes are the closest thing to nanotech that we currently have a chance of understanding and synthesizing. They also have most of the features of small nanobots, fast, efficient and reusable. Which is why protein folding and proteomics is so important. Organic chemistry/biology also gives us a lot of flexible reusable designs to borrow from. regards Max M Rasmussen, Denmark From maxm at mail.tele.dk Mon Dec 8 08:48:01 2003 From: maxm at mail.tele.dk (Max M) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 09:48:01 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: <200312080336.hB83auP07649@finney.org> References: <200312080336.hB83auP07649@finney.org> Message-ID: <3FD43AC1.1010501@mail.tele.dk> Hal Finney wrote: > I think the perception by those who are not already nanotech proponents > is that Smalley won the debate. How can you not win, if you can clearly show that it is scary for the kids. Now if only he can make Drexler call him a nazi, then the debate will be completely over. regards Max M Rasmussen, Denmark ;-) From maxm at mail.tele.dk Mon Dec 8 09:10:49 2003 From: maxm at mail.tele.dk (Max M) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 10:10:49 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] theobiology In-Reply-To: <20031205230445.69884.qmail@web60506.mail.yahoo.com> References: <20031205230445.69884.qmail@web60506.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <3FD44019.5020605@mail.tele.dk> The Avantguardian wrote: > In my experience there are generally two types of religious folk. The > first are the brainwashed sheep that send off their cash to any > huckster with enough charisma to wave a 1000 year old book around in > front of them and tell them they are doomed if they don't convert. > > The second kind are very bright skeptical people that have examined > the evidence thoroughly and made an informed decision that the > universe is governed by a living rational force or entity. Usually > these people are deeply spiritual although they tend to hold no stock > in the traditional organized religions as they recognize these to be > scams and tools of power on major scale. If they have "examined the evidence thoroughly and made an informed decision" they are either not very bright nor very sceptical... Post modern self-invented religious views or no more correct than those in a 2000 year old book, unless supported by evidence. There is simply no evidence that points in the direction of a rational force or entity. That is why it is called "belief" and not "support of a theory". > Some of the most celebrated geniuses in history have been of the > second type This is called "argument from authority", and is rather irellevant: http://www.nizkor.org/features/fallacies/appeal-to-authority.html > This is because when you have a very high IQ you are good at seeing > patterns of information. When you see so much pattern in the universe, > so little of which can be explained by mere science, it engenders > faith that there is SOMETHING out there calling the shots. It might. Thought I would say that if a lot of random stuff happens, then there will allways be patterns. And the human mind being an efficient pattern recogniser will look for these patterns and apply useless meaning to them. regards Max M Rasmsusen, Denmark From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Mon Dec 8 09:34:37 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 20:34:37 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan References: <200312060543.hB65hqM30870@finney.org> <20031206195800.GC5783@leitl.org> Message-ID: <012001c3bd6e$7fa86360$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Eugen Leitl wrote: > I personally expect crosslinked polymer as structure bulk, not > diamond nor graphenes. Interesting. I think I can see why crosslinked polymers might appeal given disulphide bonds already feature in routine protein chemistry, but I see protein design as pretty complex, requiring a solvent, and very hard to do computationally (I presume you don't just want to stuff a volume with any old shape). If diamonoid forms could be produced they would seem to have the advantage of being conceptually easier to design with. Is your expectation for cross-linked polymer bulk structures based on the view that diamondoid would be too difficult or rather that designer protein chemistry would be relatively easy? Regards, Brett From gpmap at runbox.com Mon Dec 8 11:34:50 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 12:34:50 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Spanish Cryonics Society Message-ID: The Spanish Cryonics Society (SEC) is a non profit Society whose aim is: "to gather all interested persons, and to promote all activities deemed appropriate to achieve, through medical and scientific means, extending or suspending human life while preserving the identity of the person as well as all his physical and mental skills. To achieve this aim, the following activities are performed: Supporting the investigation and the application of all current and future medical and scientific means that may permit achieving the objectives stated; Facilitating the approval by the Spanish Law of all means which may permit achieving the objectives stated; Promoting collaboration with Health Authorities, as well as with medical and scientific societies, nationally and worldwide; An important objective of the Society is ensuring that everyone who has been treated is protected, when appropriate, with biological and legal means to maintain suitable conditions for his preservation, until Science permits his complete recovery." (translated from Spanish by yours truly). I attended a SEC meeting in Madrid on December 6, 2003. We decided to relaunch the activities of the Society, in particular in terms of spreading awareness of cryonics in Spain, establishing contacts with life insurance providers, establishing a solid Internet presence, developing a media strategy, and solving all issues related to Spanish Law and Health Authorities. The Society will offer advice to all members and interested persons for understanding cryonic science, technologies and procedures, contacting cryonic service providers such as Alcor and the Cryonics Institute, selecting suitable life insurance terms, and solving all issues related to Spanish Law and Health Authorities. All developments will be posted to the website of the SEC. The Spanish Cryonics Society wishes to develop collaborations with all the main players in the field of cryonics. In the next few days SEC officers will begin contacting cryonicists individually. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From extropy at audry2.com Mon Dec 8 14:41:26 2003 From: extropy at audry2.com (Major) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 22:41:26 +0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: <000001c3b8a4$7156ff20$6501a8c0@SHELLY> (spike66@comcast.net) References: <000001c3b8a4$7156ff20$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <200312081441.hB8EfQ201341@igor.synonet.com> "Spike" writes: > The equations for power requirements as a function of rotor > length are well understood Don. Textbooks on VTOL design > are available at your local university. There is a very > good reason why choppers have long rotors, and why sailplanes > with long skinny wings have a more efficient glide slope > than high powered aircraft. Jet VTOL is possible, and has been don. It's called the Harrier. Having listened to on take off at an airshow (500m away), I would not want my neighbor to use one for his daily commute though. Major From dirk at neopax.com Mon Dec 8 14:02:14 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 14:02:14 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Consensus :Expressio unius est exclusioalterius References: <00a201c3b5cc$f477beb0$3bb5ff3e@artemis><000f01c3b5e4$0c2f4020$0200a8c0@etheric><01bc01c3b5e8$a6f96c30$3bb5ff3e@artemis><006801c3b60f$42d8e060$0200a8c0@etheric><028601c3b612$a1527c70$3bb5ff3e@artemis> <010601c3b631$4044a880$0200a8c0@etheric> <00a101c3b6b9$323b7bf0$3bb5ff3e@artemis> Message-ID: <03fb01c3bd93$e1c2fb80$62256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "randy" To: "Dirk Bruere" ; "ExI chat list" Sent: Thursday, December 04, 2003 6:20 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] The Consensus :Expressio unius est exclusioalterius > On Sat, 29 Nov 2003 20:41:42 -0000, Dirk wrote > > > >The Consensus:- > >The political party for the new millennium > >http://www.theconsensus.org > > > I really like your new political party. It aligns fairly well with my > own political beliefs. However, since there probably only about a > dozen people in the entire world who adhere to these same political > beliefs, I doubt it will take the world by storm, and the chances of > it making any dent here in the USA is of course nil. Or anywhere, probably. However, I'm giving it my best shot so if in future anyone says '...so what did you do?' when I whine on about how crap everything is I'll just point them to some history. > But how do you feel about the European welfare states? You wrote: > > "From the Right we believe in individual responsibility to balance > individual rights and that less government is best government - that > governments should regulate, but not act as an employer or wealth > producer. " > > This would seem to cast the European welfare states in a less > favorable light? Specifically I'm not in favour of govts taking wadges of cash from one section of society and handing it to another. Govts should govern ie regulate, so that the basic rules under which a society operates creates the greatest good for the greatest number, and do it without sacrificing the least capable members. > You also wrote: > "We are nationalists in that we believe that every major cultural > group should have its own homeland and live under laws of its own > choosing and in its own way. Also that the independent nation state is > the last line of defence for the common people against exploitation by > unrestrained Global Capitalism. We are 'inclusive nationalists' in > that we believe that all of our citizens have equal rights and are > equally welcome irrespective of race. So if you are looking for > nationalists who are not racists, sexists or into euphemisms such as > 'traditional values', here we are. Our nationalism is a celebration of > our future, not the past." > I completely agree about having homelands and nation as small and as > homogeneous as possible. This increases the available amount of > Social Capital, which gives more leverage to the citizens over those > entities and persons who have more financial leverage. I think that form of nationalism is essential if we want to get the chance of creating posthuman species and radically differing societies. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From dirk at neopax.com Mon Dec 8 14:07:23 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 14:07:23 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age References: <3FCDE00E.9050506@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> <3FCDEE02.8030308@mail.tele.dk> <008f01c3ba4b$72dbb220$2bb26bd5@artemis> <3FCF15EA.8070508@dtext.com> Message-ID: <041f01c3bd94$9a348ad0$62256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "JDP" To: "Dirk Bruere" ; "ExI chat list" Sent: Thursday, December 04, 2003 11:09 AM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age > Dirk Bruere wrote: > > > LSD gave me a big boost in my 30s. > > Can you say a bit more? It opened up a whole new way of looking at the world. The interesting thing for me at the time was not that I was incapable of seeing it without LSD, but that until that point I had been incapable of even imagining it. It reminds me of a passage I read in an SF book that went something like - 'alien mindfuck, a mentals state so bizarre that even as you experience it you won't know what it feels like'. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From dirk at neopax.com Mon Dec 8 14:09:39 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 14:09:39 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Extropy #15 Timeline References: <5.1.0.14.2.20031203221744.05506008@mail.comcast.net> <3FCF11B2.1000308@dtext.com> Message-ID: <042901c3bd94$eb4e69e0$62256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "JDP" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Thursday, December 04, 2003 10:51 AM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Extropy #15 Timeline > David Lubkin wrote: > > > > The nevers surprise me, particularly for "Two Century Biological Lifespans." > > Apparently what they meant is we would go straight from lifespans > shorter than two centuries to indefinite lifespans. (Drexler even gives > 1967 for indefinite lifespan.) Personally, I prefer 1953. However, the real question is when will life expectance be extended by medical technique to an equivalent of the 'singularity' ie when will life expectancy be rising at >1 yr per yr? I'd say that would be around the 2020 mark. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From jose_cordeiro at yahoo.com Mon Dec 8 16:22:38 2003 From: jose_cordeiro at yahoo.com (Jose Cordeiro) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 08:22:38 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Very interesting interview to John Smart Message-ID: <20031208162238.7325.qmail@web41313.mail.yahoo.com> It includes several "predictions"... http://www.speculist.com/archives/000473.html#more Transhumanistically yours, La vie est belle! Yos? (www.cordeiro.org) Caracas, Venezuela, Americas, TerraNostra --------------------------------- Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From bradbury at aeiveos.com Mon Dec 8 16:54:28 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 08:54:28 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: <200312080336.hB83auP07649@finney.org> Message-ID: On Sun, 7 Dec 2003, Hal Finney wrote: > It's disappointing that the recent nanotech bill > has explicitly removed funding for Drexlerian nanotech. But it didn't Hal! The study people are all talking about in the oringally proposed Senate bill was explitly for "self-assembly" (I checked that section of the 4 bills in the congressional records yesterday). Self-assembly isn't in the index in Nanosystems. He mentions it once commenting on how it might be used for the assembly of molecular electronics in a 1987 paper and he then discusses it more extensively in his Annual Review paper on Molecular Nanomachines in 1994. Without rereading the paper I think much of that discussion may be about biological nanomachines. You should go read my comments, esp. those of the last couple of days on nanodot.org. What Eric was driving towards was "directed molecular assembly" and that isn't what the bill proposed to study. Since the original bill was heavily contributed to by the NanoBusiness Alliance I'm wondering if they messed up and used the wrong term. Or perhaps some of the molecular electronics folks wanted a study to show how difficult self-assembly was (perhaps to justify increased funding). At any rate it would appear that someone deleted the study from the floor of the Senate sometime between when it was proposed (January) and when it got sent to committee (September). I would love to know who and why. > But he doesn't use it! The proposed manufacturing system that he > describes in some detail only uses giant robot arms in a final assembly > stage, to manipulate relatively large, pre-built blocks that are a > cubic micron in size, far larger than the arm above (which is only 0.1 > micron long). That is because MEMS hasn't scaled down to electronic scales yet because it hasn't had to. For there to be a use for it people would have to believe it would work and that generally isn't true. The studies I cite below are making it a bit harder to hold that position however. > This isn't a game of 20 Questions. If nanotech were the dominant > paradigm, this lack of specificity might be acceptable. But when you > are on the outside looking in, it will not succeed. All you're going > to do is make people confused and angry. Drexler does cite a set of concrete paths in Table 16.1 in Nanosystems. If you think about them in detail it becomes obvious that one could probably write a book about each of the 4 stages he proposes. Eric really withdrew from MNT to a large degree after the first Scientific American critiques. > I share Smalley's frustration when he writes, "it would be helpful to > all of us who take the nanobot assembler idea of 'Engines of Creation' > seriously if you would tell us more about this nonaqueous enzymelike > chemistry." Plan to read the following: Ralph C. Merkle, Robert A. Freitas Jr., "Theoretical analysis of a carbon-carbon dimer placement tool for diamond mechanosynthesis," J. Nanosci. Nanotechnol. 3(August 2003):319-324. http://www.rfreitas.com/Nano/DimerTool.htm or http://www.rfreitas.com/Nano/JNNDimerTool.pdf Jingping Peng, Robert A. Freitas Jr., Ralph C. Merkle, "Theoretical Analysis of Diamond Mechanosynthesis. Part I. Stability of C2 Mediated Growth of Nanocrystalline Diamond C(110) Surface," J. Comp. Theor. Nanosci. 1(March 2004). In press. David J. Mann, Jingping Peng, Robert A. Freitas Jr., Ralph C. Merkle, "Theoretical Analysis of Diamond Mechanosynthesis. Part II. C2 Mediated Growth of Diamond C(110) Surface via Si/Ge-Triadamantane Dimer Placement Tools," J. Comp. Theor. Nanosci. 1(March 2004). In press. They survived review by the hard-core computational chemists at Zyvex. Robert From colinmagee3282 at hotmail.com Mon Dec 8 16:55:05 2003 From: colinmagee3282 at hotmail.com (Colin Magee) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 11:55:05 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Caltech Extropians and Transhumanists Message-ID: I am curious to know if anybody here knows of any major scientists/researchers at Caltech who are sympathetic to or interested in Transhuman/Extropian issues.They could be in any one of the following fields:nanotechnology,artificial intelligence,biotechnology,computer science,cognitive science,neuroscience,or any other major field of interest to Extropians/Transhumanists.Two of the major Transhumanist/Extropian thinkers-Ray Kurzweil and Marvin Minsky are from MIT and so is Eric Drexler(although I don't know if he specifically identifies himself as an Extropian/Transhumanist-but since I am somewhat of a novice in this area,I could be mistaken).I was just wondering if there is anyone from Caltech similar in stature to Ray Kurzweil or Marvin Minsky interested in this area.Any thoughts or ideas would be appreciated. Sincerely, Colin Magee _________________________________________________________________ Get holiday tips for festive fun. http://special.msn.com/network/happyholidays.armx From iph1954 at msn.com Mon Dec 8 17:10:09 2003 From: iph1954 at msn.com (MIKE TREDER) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 12:10:09 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] British Royal Society Workshop Commentary Message-ID: CRN was recently invited to comment on the published report of a UK government workshop exploring likely developments in nanotechnology, and associated ELSI issues. You can view our commentary here - http://www.crnano.org/RSWorkshop1.htm We welcome your feedback and questions. Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology http://CRNano.org _________________________________________________________________ Cell phone ?switch? rules are taking effect ? find out more here. http://special.msn.com/msnbc/consumeradvocate.armx From hal at finney.org Mon Dec 8 19:43:40 2003 From: hal at finney.org (Hal Finney) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 11:43:40 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] British Royal Society Workshop Commentary Message-ID: <200312081943.hB8JheA10797@finney.org> Mike Treder writes: > CRN was recently invited to comment on the published report of a UK > government workshop exploring likely developments in nanotechnology, and > associated ELSI issues. You can view our commentary here - > http://www.crnano.org/RSWorkshop1.htm Just kind of a nitpick, following along with my rant last night: "Foundational work in the field, especially Nanosystems (Drexler, 1992), has laid out a detailed theoretical approach to nanoscale mechanochemical systems and other nanoscale machinery that has never been successfully criticized." It's never been successfully criticized! After eleven years! What, was it divinely inspired? Did the hand of God reach down and write this book? Because no human being can create a 556 page book without error. These kinds of claims smack of cultishness rather than science. They make belief in nanotech sound like a matter of faith and religion. And if in fact this book has managed to avoid "successful" criticism for so long, that is an indictment of the book, not a compliment. It means that the book is so vague, circumspect, or confusing that critics are unable to grapple with it. Every author knows that his ideas are imperfect. He should be writing so as to seek and invite criticism, in order to improve the quality of his concepts and advance the state of knowledge. But I don't find this attitude in Nanosystems. I don't see any admissions of imperfection, or expressions of uncertainty. The overall tone is one of supreme confidence. Even though each chapter closes with a list of open problems, they are mostly of the form, find even more examples to show all of the ways that nanotech can work. It may be that Nanosystems is written this way intentionally, because it means to be as much a political as a technical book. It does not exist to invite people to criticize its proposed nanotech manufacturing system, but rather to convince people that they should support investment and research towards the technology. Whether this is true or not, the fact is that the book has failed to generate an engaged and dynamic intellectual debate about the prospects for nanotech. Instead it is largely used as a political bludgeon, as in the "never been criticized" quote above. I'd suggest that what we need today are works that get criticized. Criticism is how science advances. Avoiding criticism, such as by the tactic I discussed earlier of shifting the burden of proof, is a counter-productive strategy which must be abandoned. Your critic is your best friend. Hal From bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk Mon Dec 8 19:54:51 2003 From: bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk (BillK) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 19:54:51 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Computing in 2004--and Beyond Message-ID: <3FD4D70B.70305@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> PC World magazine has a look into the future - How will the PC change during the coming year? The next five years? We consult the experts and come up with answers. Highlights: According to IDC, flat-panel display shipments will surpass those of tubes for the first time in 2004. Rumors abound that Tejas, Intel's successor to Prescott, will debut near the end of 2004 with speeds from 5 to 7 GHz. Moore's law--the concept that chip performance will double every 18 months or so--is alive and well. Researchers are just beginning to build chips with circuits only 65nm wide, and IBM and AMD are among those working to develop a 45nm process. Intel envisions paring that to 22nm by the year 2011. "The PCs we'll buy just three years from now will have features, user interfaces, and expansion options that are radically different from those in the systems we're using today," predicts Microprocessor Report's Glaskowsky. BillK From thespike at earthlink.net Mon Dec 8 21:03:31 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 15:03:31 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] British Royal Society Workshop Commentary References: <200312081943.hB8JheA10797@finney.org> Message-ID: <003001c3bdce$bf082300$af994a43@texas.net> Although I agree with Hal's general position here, I think the precise statement in question was poorly expressed rather than madly hubristic: ----- Original Message ----- From: "Hal Finney" Sent: Monday, December 08, 2003 1:43 PM > "Foundational work in the field, especially Nanosystems (Drexler, 1992), > has laid out a detailed theoretical approach to nanoscale mechanochemical > systems and other nanoscale machinery that has never been successfully > criticized." > > It's never been successfully criticized! After eleven years! What, was > it divinely inspired? I believe this assertion (often repeated by Drexler et al) means: `Criticisms of its key arguments have never been successful in persuading its author and supporters of their alleged error/s' or `It has successfully surmounted critical challenges, often by showing they were ill-framed or ignored arguments advanced in the text'. Whether this formulation would be justified is, of course, another question, and needs to be dealt with on a continuing challenge-and-response basis by Foresight. I agree with Hal that the current formulation conveys a tone of absurd doctrinal confidence. Damien Broderick From hal at finney.org Mon Dec 8 21:02:28 2003 From: hal at finney.org (Hal Finney) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 13:02:28 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan Message-ID: <200312082102.hB8L2S911116@finney.org> Hal Finney wrote: : It's disappointing that the recent nanotech bill : has explicitly removed funding for Drexlerian nanotech. Robert Bradbury replied: > But it didn't Hal! The study people are all talking about > in the oringally proposed Senate bill was explitly for > "self-assembly" (I checked that section of the 4 bills > in the congressional records yesterday). I am going by http://nanobot.blogspot.com/2003_11_23_nanobot_archive.html#106969756709919883, which indicates that the original House version of the bill funded research to study "molecular manufacturing", while that phrase got changed in the Senate to "molecular self-assembly", and that's what's in the final bill. The former term would cover Drexler-style nanotech, while the latter apparently does not. And according to the article this was an explicit and politically motivated decision to remove funding from the field. Hal From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Mon Dec 8 21:11:46 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 08:11:46 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan References: Message-ID: <023901c3bdcf$e33224a0$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Robert J. Bradbury wrote: > On Sun, 7 Dec 2003, Hal Finney wrote: > > > It's disappointing that the recent nanotech bill > > has explicitly removed funding for Drexlerian nanotech. > > But it didn't Hal! ... > ....the original bill was heavily > contributed to by the NanoBusiness Alliance I'm wondering > if they messed up and used the wrong term. Or perhaps > some of the molecular electronics folks wanted a study > to show how difficult self-assembly was (perhaps to justify > increased funding). > > At any rate it would appear that someone deleted the study > from the floor of the Senate sometime between when it was > proposed (January) and when it got sent to committee (September). > I would love to know who and why. Surely this stuff must be available online somewhere. The record of changes made in parliament in Australia is the Hansard and its available online the following day. I'd imagine it would be similar with whatever the equivalent record is in the US. Does anyone know what it is? 3 back issues of Science for November arrived in the mailbox recently and in one of them I noted that Brownback seems to be trying to get "human organism" whatever that means (that's part of the problem) excised from things that can be patented. This would affect the amount of work that would be able to be done in that area. I think it might be useful if extropes and transhumanists added another image to the notion of the singularity as a technological spike. The picture is of a political spring that gets overcompressed whenever the rate of change gets too fast. It pushes back against the technology slowing at least to some extent (an extent much stronger than I think is commonly recognized) the rate of technological change. On the broad canvas of human history I think one could bet confidently on technology. But in 2003 the one that made the bet might not be alive to collect or to see the singularity because of the political spring pushing back. Regards, Brett From hal at finney.org Mon Dec 8 21:37:42 2003 From: hal at finney.org (Hal Finney) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 13:37:42 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Caltech Extropians and Transhumanists Message-ID: <200312082137.hB8LbgH11362@finney.org> Colin Magee writes: > I am curious to know if anybody here knows of any major > scientists/researchers at Caltech who are sympathetic to or interested in > Transhuman/Extropian issues.They could be in any one of the following > fields:nanotechnology,artificial intelligence,biotechnology,computer > science,cognitive science,neuroscience,or any other major field of interest > to Extropians/Transhumanists.Two of the major Transhumanist/Extropian > thinkers-Ray Kurzweil and Marvin Minsky are from MIT and so is Eric > Drexler(although I don't know if he specifically identifies himself as an > Extropian/Transhumanist-but since I am somewhat of a novice in this area,I > could be mistaken).I was just wondering if there is anyone from Caltech > similar in stature to Ray Kurzweil or Marvin Minsky interested in this > area.Any thoughts or ideas would be appreciated. I am a Caltech alumnus myself, as is my wife, Fran, and my son is in his junior year there now. I know of at least one other recent list member, Damien Sullivan, who is a relatively recent graduate and still has a home page at http://www.ugcs.caltech.edu/~phoenix/. I don't know if there is much transhumanist interest on campus. One relevant area of research is nanotech, where especially William Goddard's group at http://www.wag.caltech.edu/, the Materials and Process Simulation Center, does all kinds of of molecular modelling and simulation. They have won awards from the IMM and Foresight for their research. The MSC has an interesting program coming up in April, http://www.wag.caltech.edu/PASI/, a two week workshop/tutorial intended to introduce the techniques of molecular modelling, aimed at Latin American instructors and researchers. The recommended reading list includes Drexler's canon: Engines, Unbounding and Nanosystems. Sounds like it would be a fun workshop to sit in on. Another Caltech affiliated list member is Patrick Wilken, http://www.klab.caltech.edu/~patrickw/, a biologist with an interest in the neurological aspects of consciousness. There was also an event held earlier this year in April between Caltech and the Art Center College of Design to create a melding of art and technology. It sounded great but I was not able to attend. The Caltech group affiliated with this event was the Center for Neuromorphic Systems, http://www.cnse.caltech.edu/. That's an interdisciplinary effort in an area that I find very promising, encompassing wireless networking, ubiquitous computing, Vingean localizers, augmented reality, all that stuff. This may well revolutionize the way we communicate and gather information about the world over the next two decades. I'm curious, what is your connection or interest in Caltech, if any? Hal Finney From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Dec 8 21:38:58 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 13:38:58 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: <200312082102.hB8L2S911116@finney.org> Message-ID: <20031208213858.854.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> --- Hal Finney wrote: > Hal Finney wrote: > > : It's disappointing that the recent nanotech bill > : has explicitly removed funding for Drexlerian nanotech. > > Robert Bradbury replied: > > > But it didn't Hal! The study people are all talking about > > in the oringally proposed Senate bill was explitly for > > "self-assembly" (I checked that section of the 4 bills > > in the congressional records yesterday). > > I am going by > http://nanobot.blogspot.com/2003_11_23_nanobot_archive.html > #106969756709919883, > which indicates that the original House version of the bill funded > research to study "molecular manufacturing", while that phrase got > changed in the Senate to "molecular self-assembly", and that's what's > in the final bill. The former term would cover Drexler-style > nanotech, while the latter apparently does not. And according to > the article this was an explicit and politically motivated > decision to remove funding from the field. Not surprised. But what about molecular self-assembly leaves out Drexler style nanotech? I'd think that would be MORE accurate than just molecular manufacturing, which IMHO seems to just be about making small stuff, not stuff that can remake itself... ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk Mon Dec 8 21:51:27 2003 From: bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk (BillK) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 21:51:27 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Even a little tipple shrinks your brain Message-ID: <3FD4F25F.6010709@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> JUST a few alcoholic drinks a week may be enough to shrink the brain, according to US research. Middle-aged men and women who consume moderate amounts of alcohol on a regular basis tend to have lower concentrations of brain tissue than teetotallers or occasional drinkers, scientists have discovered. While heavy drinking has long been linked to a decrease in brain size, which can lead to impaired mental abilities, the study from Johns Hopkins University in Baltimore, Maryland, suggests that a lower intake of alcohol may also be risky. It also found that a moderate intake of alcohol had no effect on a person?s risk of stroke. Previous research had indicated that sensible drinking might offer a measure of protection. As the volunteers? alcohol intake rose, the scans showed an increasing volume in the ventricular and sulcal regions of the brain ? "empty" areas that contain only cerebrospinal fluid and no nervous tissue. ------- Bother! Luckily I only use 10% of my enormously large brain, so I should be OK for a while. ;) BillK From natashavita at earthlink.net Mon Dec 8 22:09:23 2003 From: natashavita at earthlink.net (natashavita at earthlink.net) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 17:09:23 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Even a little tipple shrinks your brain Message-ID: <146040-22003121822923181@M2W079.mail2web.com> From: BillK >JUST a few alcoholic drinks a week may be enough to shrink the brain, according to US research.< So what does this mean: We will be stupid but athletic? Nimble thinkers but a whole lot of heart? Natasha "Small head, big heart." -------------------------------------------------------------------- mail2web - Check your email from the web at http://mail2web.com/ . From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Dec 8 22:14:41 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 14:14:41 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Stealing organs finally a crime... In-Reply-To: <3FD4F25F.6010709@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> Message-ID: <20031208221441.21689.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,8122-920726,00.html Don't know what took the Brits so long, but they finally made it a crime to steal someone's organs without their consent, or that of next of kin. This comes on the heels of a major scandal in which doctors removed organs and tissues without consent and did not return them to their owners. This will certainly be useful for cryonicists. The last thing you want is to pay $50k for a neurosuspension when some bloke has gone and made off with your brain.... ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Dec 8 22:45:51 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 14:45:51 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Even a little tipple shrinks your brain In-Reply-To: <146040-22003121822923181@M2W079.mail2web.com> Message-ID: <20031208224551.50519.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> --- "natashavita at earthlink.net" wrote: > > From: BillK > > > > >JUST a few alcoholic drinks a week may be enough to shrink the > brain, according to US research.< > > > So what does this mean: We will be stupid but athletic? Nimble > thinkers but a whole lot of heart? Who says you need all that brain anyways? Fat brains don't mean smarts.... just look at all that homo erectus accomplished on only 800 cc of grey matter.... those spaces are not a loss of brain tissue, they are an increase in cooling capacity... ;) ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From sentience at pobox.com Mon Dec 8 22:48:41 2003 From: sentience at pobox.com (Eliezer S. Yudkowsky) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 17:48:41 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Even a little tipple shrinks your brain In-Reply-To: <3FD4F25F.6010709@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> References: <3FD4F25F.6010709@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> Message-ID: <3FD4FFC9.1000704@pobox.com> BillK wrote: > > Bother! Luckily I only use 10% of my enormously large brain, so I should > be OK for a while. ;) Unfortunately, BillK, this is a TOTAL URBAN LEGEND. You do not use only 10% of your brain any more than you use only 10% of your blood. Seriously, being human is dangerous enough without deliberately making it worse. You don't have the neurons to spare. Neither do I. -- Eliezer S. Yudkowsky http://singinst.org/ Research Fellow, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence From bradbury at aeiveos.com Mon Dec 8 23:26:22 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 15:26:22 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: <200312082102.hB8L2S911116@finney.org> Message-ID: On Mon, 8 Dec 2003, Hal Finney wrote: > I am going by > http://nanobot.blogspot.com/2003_11_23_nanobot_archive.html#106969756709919883, The House bill seems to be dated May 1st. The Senate bill (labeled 189 es) that Howard cites is the copy that is sent to the Senate (presumably immediately after it was submitted (S. 189 (enr)) both the (enr) and (es) versions were presumably dated in January. The S. 189 (is) is the version is I believe the version that came out of committee in September and finally got voted on. The S. 189 (rs) version shows all of the stuff they deleted/changed in the committee. Neither the (rs) or the (is) versions have the study in them. That means the study was most likely deleted from the floor of the Senate sometime between January and September unless the committee made a mistake in its editing of the (rs) version. There is a possibility that a Senate-House conference committee met sometime between January and September to resolve the differences and the study got thrown out in that process. I'm not sure where to find those records. But I believe Howard and perhaps CMP Cientifica are citing older bills and not the final version signed by President Bush. If we want to know why politics is so complex this is sure a good example. Robert The pointers for the bills and definitions can be found in my post to the thread: http://nanodot.org/article.pl?sid=03/12/04/0216244 under the specific post by me at: Sunday December 07, @10:59AM (#11) From jose_cordeiro at yahoo.com Mon Dec 8 23:51:51 2003 From: jose_cordeiro at yahoo.com (Jose Cordeiro) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 15:51:51 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Immortality Message-ID: <20031208235151.28088.qmail@web41311.mail.yahoo.com> Question: If you could live forever, would you and why? Answer: ?I would not live forever, because we should not live forever, because if we were supposed to live forever, then we would live forever, but we cannot live forever, which is why I would not live forever.? -- Miss Alabama in the 1994 Miss USA contest La vie est belle! Yos? (www.cordeiro.org) Caracas, Venezuela, Americas, TerraNostra --------------------------------- Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From bradbury at aeiveos.com Mon Dec 8 23:55:03 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 15:55:03 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: <023901c3bdcf$e33224a0$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: On Tue, 9 Dec 2003, Brett Paatsch wrote: > Surely this stuff must be available online somewhere. The record > of changes made in parliament in Australia is the Hansard and > its available online the following day. > > I'd imagine it would be similar with whatever the equivalent record > is in the US. Does anyone know what it is? At least some of it is: http://www.access.gpo.gov/congress/billsindex.html I don't know if everything is documented. This is an interesting URL: http://frwebgate4.access.gpo.gov/cgi-bin/waisgate.cgi?WAISdocID=9263039933+3+0+0&WAISaction=retrieve If it documents all of the activity on the bill then it would probably not explain where the study got lost. My guess might be S11478 on Sept. 15th. But in the early versions of the bill (S. 189 (es)) it was in Section 5b and it isn't in S 189 (is or rs) (where Section 5 became Section 4). You can search on "Self-Assembly". This would make a great detective story... As I believe Hal pointed out there was a House bill floating around (H.R. 766) from Feb. 13 to May 6th which does have a section in section 8b which calls for a study of "Molecular Manufacturing". That text is in the version that was "reported to the house" (rh). So someplace, perhaps when the bills were brought together, the studies didn't get resolved with each other. Robert From wingcat at pacbell.net Tue Dec 9 00:12:48 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 16:12:48 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] the true meaning of christmas In-Reply-To: <000401c3bca9$6212ccc0$f0c7fea9@scerir> Message-ID: <20031209001248.32536.qmail@web80408.mail.yahoo.com> --- scerir wrote: > You know that one of the present political > problems in UE (or EU) is whether they > should introduce in the Constitution > the word Christ or the expression Christian > values, or not. The general opinion was: > "No, we do not need these terms". But > an influent Italian (urged by the Vatican) > said: "What is the meaning of Sunday, then?". > So, the problem now becomes: should we > introduce Sunday in the Constitution? Huh? Sunday is a day of the week. It has historic origins, but it has lost its religious meanings (alternately, its religious origins have been subsumed into common secular practice)...albeit on a level of policy too low to belong in the Constitution, analogous to overtime and minimum wage laws. From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 9 01:20:01 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 17:20:01 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] the true meaning of christmas In-Reply-To: <20031209001248.32536.qmail@web80408.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20031209012001.689.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> --- Adrian Tymes wrote: > --- scerir wrote: > > You know that one of the present political > > problems in UE (or EU) is whether they > > should introduce in the Constitution > > the word Christ or the expression Christian > > values, or not. The general opinion was: > > "No, we do not need these terms". But > > an influent Italian (urged by the Vatican) > > said: "What is the meaning of Sunday, then?". > > So, the problem now becomes: should we > > introduce Sunday in the Constitution? > > Huh? Sunday is a day of the week. It has historic > origins, but it has lost its religious meanings > (alternately, its religious origins have been subsumed > into common secular practice)...albeit on a level of > policy too low to belong in the Constitution, > analogous to overtime and minimum wage laws. On the contrary, it has not lost its religious meanings whatsoever. Given that the sabbath was originally Saturday and was changed to Sunday specifically by the Church (and other judeo-christian sects and religions still do worship on Saturday), any recognition of Sunday as the EU standard 'day of rest' is an implicit recognition of an act of the Catholic Church in particular. The only people who think it has lost its meaning are people who are ignorant of history and religion. If the EU really wanted to stick it to the church, they should have the guts to make Saturday the official day of rest and have the work week start on Sunday.... ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From thespike at earthlink.net Tue Dec 9 02:25:50 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 20:25:50 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] the true meaning of christmas References: <20031209012001.689.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <00d601c3bdfb$c5718ce0$af994a43@texas.net> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Mike Lorrey" Sent: Monday, December 08, 2003 7:20 PM > If the EU really wanted to stick it > to the church, they should have the guts to make Saturday the official > day of rest and have the work week start on Sunday.... Hey! What about us Wodan-worshippers? Damien Broderick From cphoenix at best.com Tue Dec 9 02:29:05 2003 From: cphoenix at best.com (Chris Phoenix) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 21:29:05 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] British Royal Society Workshop Commentary References: <200312081943.hB8JheA10797@finney.org> <003001c3bdce$bf082300$af994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <3FD53371.89A3D694@best.com> Never having been successfully criticized is an attribute common to most (ideally all) current scientific theories. I'm surprised that the statement sounds hubristic or doctrinal. Perhaps the problem can be found in Damien's two interpretations, which are not even very similar to each other. I completely agree with his second restatement, the one about how it has successfully surmounted critical challenges by showing that they're just plain weak. That's what I meant, and I think the history of the debate supports that statement. If "never been successfully criticized" doesn't sound like that, then we should change the formulation. Chris Damien Broderick wrote: > > Although I agree with Hal's general position here, I think the precise > statement in question was poorly expressed rather than madly hubristic: > > ----- Original Message ----- > From: "Hal Finney" > Sent: Monday, December 08, 2003 1:43 PM > > > "Foundational work in the field, especially Nanosystems (Drexler, 1992), > > has laid out a detailed theoretical approach to nanoscale mechanochemical > > systems and other nanoscale machinery that has never been successfully > > criticized." > > > > It's never been successfully criticized! After eleven years! What, was > > it divinely inspired? > > I believe this assertion (often repeated by Drexler et al) means: > `Criticisms of its key arguments have never been successful in persuading > its author and supporters of their alleged error/s' or `It has successfully > surmounted critical challenges, often by showing they were ill-framed or > ignored arguments advanced in the text'. Whether this formulation would be > justified is, of course, another question, and needs to be dealt with on a > continuing challenge-and-response basis by Foresight. I agree with Hal that > the current formulation conveys a tone of absurd doctrinal confidence. > > Damien Broderick -- Chris Phoenix cphoenix at CRNano.org Director of Research Center for Responsible Nanotechnology http://CRNano.org From oregan.emlyn at healthsolve.com.au Tue Dec 9 02:27:50 2003 From: oregan.emlyn at healthsolve.com.au (Emlyn O'regan) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 12:57:50 +1030 Subject: [extropy-chat] the true meaning of christmas Message-ID: <7A2B25F8EB070940996FA543A70A217B017868B7@adlexsv02.protech.com.au> Just be sensitive to everyone and make all the days official days of rest. I could live with that :-) Emlyn > -----Original Message----- > From: Damien Broderick [mailto:thespike at earthlink.net] > Sent: Tuesday, 9 December 2003 11:56 AM > To: ExI chat list > Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] the true meaning of christmas > > > > ----- Original Message ----- > From: "Mike Lorrey" > Sent: Monday, December 08, 2003 7:20 PM > > > If the EU really wanted to stick it > > to the church, they should have the guts to make Saturday > the official > > day of rest and have the work week start on Sunday.... > > Hey! What about us Wodan-worshippers? > > Damien Broderick > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From fortean1 at mindspring.com Tue Dec 9 03:28:12 2003 From: fortean1 at mindspring.com (Terry W. Colvin) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 20:28:12 -0700 Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD [SK] Re: again with the gun stats Message-ID: <3FD5414C.479A1E07@mindspring.com> In a message dated 12/4/2003 4:57:16 AM Pacific Standard Time, fortean1 at mindspring.com fwded: It is documented that states that pass right-to-carry laws experience a minimum of a 12% greater decrease in violent crime than states without such laws. (Dr John Lott, "More Guns, Less Crime"; University of Chicago Press) Furthermore, Lott shows that spree killings are reduced by 80% over non-right-to-carry states. Lott is also under investigation by the National Academy of Sciences for academic fraud for this work, and in a bizaare twist he pretended to be one of his ex-grad students to defend himself on the internet. If the guy was in a university and not at AEI he would have been fired long ago. Ben Avery ----------------------- Some references: http://www.bradycampaign.org/facts/issuebriefs/lott.asp http://markarkleiman.blogspot.com/2003_01_01_markarkleiman_archive.html#90242658 -- Jim Lippard ----------------------- Sigh. Not only was Lott's book published by the university press I used to work for (I'm a Chicago B.A.), but he has degrees from UCLA (and worked there). I just hope he wasn't an English major. Jack Kolb Dept. of English, UCLA ------------------------ Is Dr. John Lott the only source for such statistics? If so this "factoid" certainly has legs -- I've seen it quoted by practically every gun carrier and wannabe gun carrier. I went to the National Center for Disease Control and looked at their statistics re gun usage in accidental deaths, but the detailed report can only be gotten by mail (I sent for it). Are there any readily available critiques of his facts? Aside, of course, from the fact that he seems to be a lying liar. Don -- ?Only a zit on the wart on the heinie of progress.? Copyright 1992, Frank Rice Terry W. Colvin, Sierra Vista, Arizona (USA) < fortean1 at mindspring.com > Alternate: < fortean1 at msn.com > Home Page: < http://www.geocities.com/Area51/Stargate/8958/index.html > Sites: * Fortean Times * Mystic's Haven * TLCB * U.S. Message Text Formatting (USMTF) Program ------------ Member: Thailand-Laos-Cambodia Brotherhood (TLCB) Mailing List TLCB Web Site: < http://www.tlc-brotherhood.org >[Vietnam veterans, Allies, CIA/NSA, and "steenkeen" contractors are welcome.] From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 9 03:30:13 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 19:30:13 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] French assistance request... In-Reply-To: <7A2B25F8EB070940996FA543A70A217B017868B7@adlexsv02.protech.com.au> Message-ID: <20031209033013.37439.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> I am trying to get a good navigational chart of Clipperton Island (a French posession) in the eastern Pacific and would like to find an ENC database (Electronic Navigational Chart) that conforms to the international S-57 standard. As it seems that each nation takes care of its own navigational chart distribution, I was hoping someone who is French, or French literate, could locate such a chart database for me somewhere on the French government internet sites. Finding such a file without knowing the lingo is a bit tough.... so much for my three years of French in high school... All I've been able to obtain so far on the greater internet is a very low resolution scanned image of a 1956 map that has no depth soundings or other information. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From spike66 at comcast.net Tue Dec 9 03:44:31 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 19:44:31 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Stealing organs finally a crime... In-Reply-To: <20031208221441.21689.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <002e01c3be06$c14399a0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > Subject: [extropy-chat] Stealing organs finally a crime... > > http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,8122-920726,00.html > > Don't know what took the Brits so long, but they finally made it a > crime to steal someone's organs without their consent... It's still legal, even encouraged in this country. I don't recall giving my consent to have my foreskin removed. spike From spike66 at comcast.net Tue Dec 9 04:11:32 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 20:11:32 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: <200312081441.hB8EfQ201341@igor.synonet.com> Message-ID: <003f01c3be0a$87794d10$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > "Spike" writes: > > > The equations for power requirements as a function of rotor > > length are well understood Don. Textbooks on VTOL design > > are available at your local university... > > Jet VTOL is possible, and has been don. It's called the Harrier. > > Major Harrier? How about the stunning Lockheeed Martin F22 and that failed F23 built by that other company whose name I can never recall (or rather shall go mercifully unmentioned in light of the recent events so eloquently enumerated in the 15 December 03 issue of Business Week.) http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/03_50/b3862001_mz001.htm These aircraft put the Harrier to shame, more shame than is already being generously and deservedly heaped upon the afore nonmentioned company. In any case, VTOL is inherently noisy, violent, windy and dangerous. spike From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Tue Dec 9 04:35:20 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 23:35:20 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] French assistance request... In-Reply-To: <20031209033013.37439.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <000301c3be0d$ddf418c0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Mike Lorrey wrote, > I am trying to get a good navigational chart of Clipperton > Island (a French posession) in the eastern Pacific and would > like to find an ENC database (Electronic Navigational Chart) > that conforms to the international S-57 standard. You might be able to purchase these from a url I found. . You have to click in the column labeled "Browse Types" to see descriptions of different map types. Unfortunately, I couldn't find any free online versions. All I can find is a single low-res cartoon drawing which must be the one you saw. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 9 04:45:19 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 20:45:19 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: <003f01c3be0a$87794d10$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031209044519.45036.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> --- Spike wrote: > > Harrier? How about the stunning Lockheeed Martin F22 and > that failed F23 built by that other company whose name I > can never recall (or rather shall go mercifully unmentioned > in light of the recent events so eloquently enumerated in > the 15 December 03 issue of Business Week.) > What ever happened to the F12? That F22 can only do vectored thrust. It can't take off vertically. Besides, it was nowhere near as beautiful as the F-23 (ducking....) > > These aircraft put the Harrier to shame, more shame than > is already being generously and deservedly heaped upon the > afore nonmentioned company. In any case, VTOL is inherently > noisy, violent, windy and dangerous. Nah, they just aren't trying to cancel out the noise with symmetrical waves. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 9 04:49:28 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 20:49:28 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] French assistance request... In-Reply-To: <000301c3be0d$ddf418c0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <20031209044928.64556.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> --- Harvey Newstrom wrote: > Mike Lorrey wrote, > > I am trying to get a good navigational chart of Clipperton > > Island (a French posession) in the eastern Pacific and would > > like to find an ENC database (Electronic Navigational Chart) > > that conforms to the international S-57 standard. > > You might be able to purchase these from a url I found. > tID.3/australia_and_oceania/clipperton_island/qx/topographic_maps.asp>. > You > have to click in the column labeled "Browse Types" to see > descriptions of > different map types. Unfortunately, I couldn't find any free online > versions. All I can find is a single low-res cartoon drawing which > must be the one you saw. Well, the cartoon one is often lifted from the CIA World Factbook, but the one I am referring to was linked to by the micronation of Molossia (an enclave micronation in the Nevada desert), which gives a bit more detail, but not much. I was hoping to find a chart for free, since the US govt provides chart databases free for download, the socialist French should do at least as well as those damned capitalist imperialist agressor running dog bastards in DC. ;) ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From thespike at earthlink.net Tue Dec 9 05:05:59 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 23:05:59 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] British Royal Society Workshop Commentary References: <200312081943.hB8JheA10797@finney.org> <003001c3bdce$bf082300$af994a43@texas.net> <3FD53371.89A3D694@best.com> Message-ID: <013201c3be12$24a6b620$af994a43@texas.net> Chris Phoenix sez: > Never having been successfully criticized is an attribute common to most > (ideally all) current scientific theories. Really? You must be using these words in a rather unusual way. Do you assert that George Gamow's version of the Big Bang persists unchanged, unchallenged and uncriticized? Or Guth's, for that matter? The original Crick&Watson model of DNA and its protein expression? Plate tectonics? Solar system formation? Quark theory unaltered since Gell-Mann's first salvo? Sure, *something* persists throughout all the challenges and responses, but it would unbelievable if Drexler's every word stood inviolate more than a decade later, which appears to be implied by the statement Hal and I are independently objecting to. (Maybe this is word-chopping, I'm not sure; but you can be certain that your antagonists will chop with a will if you give their blades an unnecessary opening.) Damien Broderick From cryofan at mylinuxisp.com Tue Dec 9 06:04:46 2003 From: cryofan at mylinuxisp.com (randy) Date: Tue, 09 Dec 2003 00:04:46 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] NYTimes on primate neurological structures In-Reply-To: <20031209044928.64556.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> References: <000301c3be0d$ddf418c0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> <20031209044928.64556.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <9epatv8rnub29n2hr5793ndt47vc9goefo@4ax.com> good stuff: http://www.nytimes.com/2003/12/09/science/09BRAI.html?pagewanted=1 ------------- From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Tue Dec 9 06:45:18 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 17:45:18 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] the true meaning of christmas References: <20031209012001.689.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <008401c3be20$02c98ce0$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Mike Lorrey wrote: > On the contrary, it [sunday] has not lost its religious meanings > whatsoever. [snip] > If the EU really wanted to stick it to the church, they should > have the guts to make Saturday the official day of rest and > have the work week start on Sunday.... Mike sometimes your 'diplomacy' cracks me up :-) Deep within the intestines of the EU must lie an entire faction seething with resentment but waiting, hoping, and planning that one day they may summon the courage to emerge victorious and "stick it to the church" over Sunday! :-) Thanks Mike ! Brett From gpmap at runbox.com Tue Dec 9 06:53:25 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 07:53:25 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Optical Force Clamps Allow Observation Of Single RNA Polymerase Enzyme Message-ID: >From FuturePundit: Steven M. Block, a professor of biological sciences and of applied physics at Stanford University, and his team have developed two-dimensional optical force clamps that can monitor the action of a single RNA polymerase (RNAP) enzyme. In a new study in the journal Nature, Block and his colleagues present strong evidence to support this proofreading hypothesis. Their results -- based on actual observations of individual molecules of RNAP -- are posted on Nature's website: http://www.nature.com. In another set of experiments published in the Nov. 14 issue of Cell magazine, the researchers discovered that RNAP makes thousands of brief pauses as it pries open and copies the DNA double helix. "Together these two papers push the study of single proteins to new limits," Block said. "We've been able to achieve a resolution of three angstroms -- the width of three hydrogen atoms -- in our measurements of the progress of this enzyme along DNA. In so doing, we've been able to visualize a backtracking motion of just five bases that accompanies RNAP error-correction or proofreading." This is an example of why the rate of advance in biological science is not constant. The development of instrumentation that can study components of biological systems down on the scale at which they operate will allow these systems to be figured out orders of magnitude more quickly. The biggest reason we still know only a small fraction of what there is to understand about cells and diseases is that we can't watch what happens down at the level at which events actually take place. Continued advances in the ability to build smaller devices and smaller sensors will make observable that which it has previously never been possible to observe. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From gpmap at runbox.com Tue Dec 9 06:54:39 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 07:54:39 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Lifeline Nutraceuticals and CereMedix Message-ID: Found via Longevity Meme: An article in the Denver Post sheds some more light on what Lifeline Nutraceuticals and CereMedix have been up to with their new antioxidant supplement. There is talk of a human trial next year, which would be the first step towards the needed widespread scientific confirmation of their claims. This article is also a telling insight into the damage that the snake oil "anti-aging" industry has done to the prospects of any legitimate product. We all have to be skeptical (of Lifeline as well) because so many hucksters, frauds and suave marketing departments make millions by selling worthless junk. As the body ages, it produces more and more free radicals and its own antioxidants are unable to fight this process, causing eroding vitality and death. One would have to eat more than 30 pounds of fruits a day for the body to absorb enough vitamins to fend off disease. The only other way to slow the body's own suicide clock lies deep inside our genetic material, according to Dr. S. Jay Olshansky, an expert on aging and mortality at the University of Illinois at Chicago. CereMedix's peptide stimulates the body's production of three antioxidants that work together to eliminate free radicals. Olshansky is an outspoken critic of scams in the anti-aging marketplace. He would not comment directly on Lifeline's supplement, but said, "If they can up-regulate the body's own production of free-radical scavengers, they may be onto something." -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From gpmap at runbox.com Tue Dec 9 06:55:52 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 07:55:52 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Novel Gene Therapy Delivery Uses Stem Cells That Target, Attack Tumors Message-ID: >From Science Daily: Genetically engineered stem cells can find tumors and then produce biological killing agents right at the cancer site, say researchers at The University of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center, who have performed a number of successful "proof of concept" experiments in mice. This novel treatmentmay offer the first gene therapy "delivery system" capable of homing in on and then attacking cancer that has metastasized -- wherever it is in a patient's body. And the stem cells will not be rejected, even if they are not derived from the patient. The system has been tested in mice with a variety of human cancers, including solid ones such as ovarian, brain, breast cancer, melanoma and even such blood-based cancer as leukemia. "This drug delivery system is attracted to cancer cells no matter what form they are in or where they are," says Michael Andreeff, M.D., Ph.D., professor in the Departments of Blood and Marrow Transplantation and Leukemia. "We believe this to be a major find." In the novel delivery system, researchers isolate a small quantity of MSC from bone marrow, and greatly expand the quantity of those cells in the lab. They then use a virus to deliver a particular gene into the stem cells. When turned on, this gene will produce an anti-cancer effect. When given back to the patient through an intraveneous injection, the millions of engineered mesenchymal progenitor cells will engraft where the tumor environment is signaling them, and will activate the therapeutic gene. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From cphoenix at best.com Tue Dec 9 07:04:36 2003 From: cphoenix at best.com (Chris Phoenix) Date: Tue, 09 Dec 2003 02:04:36 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] British Royal Society Workshop Commentary References: <200312081943.hB8JheA10797@finney.org> <003001c3bdce$bf082300$af994a43@texas.net> <3FD53371.89A3D694@best.com> <013201c3be12$24a6b620$af994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <3FD57404.4871572@best.com> Well, no, I didn't mean that the original unchanged description of scientific theories had never been successfully criticized. I meant that the scientific theories we follow today have usually not had major contradictions pointed out--if they had, we wouldn't still be following them, would we? Except as engineering approximations, of course. And there are some famous areas where two excellent theories contradict, and other areas in ferment so that the time since last criticism is quite short, and still others where the basic theory is solid but not all the wrinkles and mechanisms are pinned down yet. But that's beside the point. Because now that you mention it, I'm not aware of any need for any significant alteration of anything Drexler wrote in Nanosystems. Of course, Nanosystems is not his original word on the subject. There are several things that have been changed and improved between Engines and Nanosystems--most importantly, in my opinion, the shift from assemblers to nanofactories. But aside from an unimportant typo I found, and an obscure point Jeffrey Soreff told me about (a slight overestimate in the probability of satisfying a surface constraint, in Section 9.5.3), I don't know of any errors. At all. Not even little ones. At this point, I haven't even heard of any predictions in Nanosystems that have been disproved. Hm... I guess if you count the fact that the planetary gear breaks at incredibly high speeds, there might be two errors. Feel free to correct me, anyone. If not... Perhaps this is why those who have actually studied Nanosystems have such high respect for Drexler and are willing to go so far out on a limb to defend his work and promote his theories. Chris Damien Broderick wrote: > > Chris Phoenix sez: > > > Never having been successfully criticized is an attribute common to most > > (ideally all) current scientific theories. > > Really? You must be using these words in a rather unusual way. Do you assert > that George Gamow's version of the Big Bang persists unchanged, unchallenged > and uncriticized? Or Guth's, for that matter? The original Crick&Watson > model of DNA and its protein expression? Plate tectonics? Solar system > formation? Quark theory unaltered since Gell-Mann's first salvo? Sure, > *something* persists throughout all the challenges and responses, but it > would unbelievable if Drexler's every word stood inviolate more than a > decade later, which appears to be implied by the statement Hal and I are > independently objecting to. (Maybe this is word-chopping, I'm not sure; but > you can be certain that your antagonists will chop with a will if you give > their blades an unnecessary opening.) > > Damien Broderick -- Chris Phoenix cphoenix at CRNano.org Director of Research Center for Responsible Nanotechnology http://CRNano.org From eugen at leitl.org Tue Dec 9 07:27:33 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 08:27:33 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] EUGEN: What happened to Genes screeds? In-Reply-To: <20031208000149.97520.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> References: <20031207215343.GB5783@leitl.org> <20031208000149.97520.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20031209072732.GA4452@leitl.org> On Sun, Dec 07, 2003 at 04:01:49PM -0800, Mike Lorrey wrote: > I recall on the extropy list of years gone past, that Eugen used to > post long posts rambling on, like he'd been on a caffiene drip for the > last 96 hours, about all sorts of things. What ever happened to that > posting technique? Posting doesn't get anything done, and I do have a life these days. It's very possible that I'll be gone (virtually, for good?) in a few months. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From spike66 at comcast.net Tue Dec 9 07:47:36 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 23:47:36 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] planes In-Reply-To: <20031209044519.45036.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <004801c3be28$b7374d90$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > > What ever happened to the F12? Do you mean the Flying Dorito? Cancelled by the Bottom Up review. The A12 Avenger II which was suppose to replace the A6, was ultimately deemed as too expensive and was cut by then SecDef Dick Cheney becoming the largest defense contract cancellation in the history of the Department of Defense. http://www.fas.org/man/dod-101/sys/ac/a-12.htm > That F22 can only do vectored thrust. It > can't take off vertically. It can take of vertically, if you don't have ordinance or much fuel aboard. {8-] http://popularmechanics.com/science/military/2002/5/flexible_flyer/print .phtml > Besides, it was nowhere near as beautiful as > the F-23 (ducking....) Surely Mike means NOT! As soon as we saw the mockup of the x35, we knew we were going to win. I bought a bunch of LM stock that day. I lost most of my money, but thats a different story. We figured no self-respecting AF officer would fly such a thing as the x35, nor any Naval Aviator would want to fly "Monica." http://www.ebtx.com/oats/x32vsx35.htm Of course, had the services chosen the x-35, then at least the army would no longer suffer the ignominy of having the ugliest plane, the A-10 Warthog. http://members.aol.com/cbmjets/homepage/A10.html In any case, we are seeing perhaps the end of the line for fighter planes. Humanity doesn't need them anymore. I don't suspect they will be much use in our last remaining great conflict: the massive culture war the west faces against the Taliban, the Al Qaida and their ilk. I am interested in seeing the civil applications of a ducted fan lifting system. spike From jrd1415 at yahoo.com Tue Dec 9 08:36:26 2003 From: jrd1415 at yahoo.com (Jeff Davis) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 00:36:26 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031209083627.85550.qmail@web41206.mail.yahoo.com> --- "Robert J. Bradbury" wrote: If we want to know why politics is so complex this is sure a good example. Robert ------------------------------ What's so complex? Smalley is a meta-honcho--likely on the short list for honcho--near the summit a multi-billion dollar public research money pile. Quite a career accomplishment. The top down approach to nano reaches out from the broad margins of current capabilities, can absorb research billions easily, and can deliver immediately-usable science and tech as it expands those margins. The bottom up approach can only deliver theoretical analysis (though providing tangible improvements in the requisite analytical tools), can't deliver new tech at the same rate, or the same dollars per gizmo, can't IMO absorb a comparable quantity of research monies, and can't deliver 'product' in the short term. And Drextech's perception as 'out there' science, whether warranted or no, doesn't help. The politicos responsible for committing public funds to scientific research, and the scientific luminaries who advise them, deal in BIG budgets and need to demonstrate BIG results. Top down is their ticket. Drextech is not. And from a purely political/competitive stand point, in so far as Smalley sees himself on a course to be for the NNI what Oppenheimer was for the Manhattan Project, why he want to promote Drexler, the "Founder of Nanotech"? It could only make Smalley look smaller. But this is all obvious. Isn't it? Best, Jeff Davis "Everything's hard till you know how to do it." Ray Charles __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From hemm at br.inter.net Tue Dec 9 11:07:27 2003 From: hemm at br.inter.net (Henrique Moraes Machado) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 09:07:27 -0200 Subject: [ok] Re: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation References: <5.2.0.9.0.20031207163902.02c692d0@pop.earthlink.net> Message-ID: <005601c3be44$a1bdf420$fe00a8c0@HEMM> Nice. But it's only more of the same. What I would really like to see is something more revolutionary than evolutionary. For instance, if we build many space elevators around the globe, people could travel between them using ships that would never need to land. It's some crazy idea, but it's an idea. Ok, it's not possible today, but could be considered. On the other hand there are other means of transportation that could be used today and are so neglected. Such as dirigibles and ekranoplanes (http://www.ae.metu.edu.tr/~gulkiz/wig.html) -----Mensagem Original----- De: Natasha Vita-More Para: ExI chat list Enviada em: domingo, 7 de dezembro de 2003 23:22 Assunto: [ok] Re: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation Tonight @ 9 PM on the Travel Channel will be "Giant Planes" covering the future of transportation. (11/26/03 "Airbus Unveils Giant Jet Airbus showed off its new Airbus 380, a jumbo jet that could carry as many as 900 passengers Tuesday. Virgin Atlantic has reportedly ordered six of the colossal carriers. The plane will begin testing next year.") Natasha _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From trichrom at optusnet.com.au Tue Dec 9 11:23:09 2003 From: trichrom at optusnet.com.au (Rob KPO) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 21:23:09 +1000 Subject: [extropy-chat] planes References: <004801c3be28$b7374d90$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <000a01c3be46$d84b2f60$0200a8c0@snasa> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Spike" To: "'ExI chat list'" Sent: Tuesday, December 09, 2003 5:47 PM Subject: [extropy-chat] planes > > That F22 can only do vectored thrust. It > > can't take off vertically. > > It can take of vertically, if you don't have ordinance > or much fuel aboard. {8-] > > http://popularmechanics.com/science/military/2002/5/flexible_flyer/print > .phtml > Vertical take-off is not a capability of the F22, vertical climb - yes, takeoff - no. Perhaps it has the thrust level and thrust control to do it, but it isnt capable of sitting on it's tail for starter's! The link provided is about the F35 which does have a VSTOL variant that can take off and land vertically. Sorry for interrupting, but I cant resist on that topic!!! Regards Rob KPO From fortean1 at mindspring.com Tue Dec 9 12:14:48 2003 From: fortean1 at mindspring.com (Terry W. Colvin) Date: Tue, 09 Dec 2003 05:14:48 -0700 Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD [TLCB] Re: French assistance request... Message-ID: <3FD5BCB8.68D696DB@mindspring.com> Terry How about passing this back to Mike as I don't know his email address, and my mail will most likely bounce from the other servers. Mike Did you check out this www site? http://www.cartographic.com/xq/ASP/AreaID.34/qx/nautical_charts.asp Looks like they might have something, but AT A COST!! Some links: http://www.connectedglobe.com/millennium/ip.html Mac At 09:08 PM 12/8/2003 -0700, Terry W. Colvin wrote: >I am trying to get a good navigational chart of Clipperton Island (a >French posession) in the eastern Pacific and would like to find an ENC >database (Electronic Navigational Chart) that conforms to the >international S-57 standard. As it seems that each nation takes care of >its own navigational chart distribution, I was hoping someone who is >French, or French literate, could locate such a chart database for me >somewhere on the French government internet sites. Finding such a file >without knowing the lingo is a bit tough.... so much for my three years >of French in high school... > >All I've been able to obtain so far on the greater internet is a very >low resolution scanned image of a 1956 map that has no depth soundings >or other information. > >===== >Mike Lorrey -- ?Only a zit on the wart on the heinie of progress.? Copyright 1992, Frank Rice Terry W. Colvin, Sierra Vista, Arizona (USA) < fortean1 at mindspring.com > Alternate: < fortean1 at msn.com > Home Page: < http://www.geocities.com/Area51/Stargate/8958/index.html > Sites: * Fortean Times * Mystic's Haven * TLCB * U.S. Message Text Formatting (USMTF) Program ------------ Member: Thailand-Laos-Cambodia Brotherhood (TLCB) Mailing List TLCB Web Site: < http://www.tlc-brotherhood.org >[Vietnam veterans, Allies, CIA/NSA, and "steenkeen" contractors are welcome.] From eugen at leitl.org Tue Dec 9 14:33:27 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 15:33:27 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution In-Reply-To: References: <019e01c3bd07$c7a7ceb0$97fe4d0c@hal2001> Message-ID: <20031209143327.GY4452@leitl.org> On Sun, Dec 07, 2003 at 09:15:14PM -0500, Brian Alexander Lee wrote: > I think you're right. The real reason there's so much funding for quantum > encryption is because whomever gets it first will have "unbreakable" Do you trust the laws of physics (these you know, that is, and you do know that we know our current physics is inconsistent, and hence knowably incomplete?) or those of mathematics? Cryptoanalysis is a mature, understood discipline. There are several independant-fields-of-theory production-quality PKI systems. Not many people understand QM, even less people understand the limitations of hardware using QM (single-photon source? proof of entanglement? detection of cloning?). http://www.interhack.net/people/cmcurtin/snake-oil-faq.html > encryption for a while. It's like nuclear weapons were, you don't want to be > the one without it. The only provably secure cryptosystem is one-time pad, generated using a good source of entropy and properly whitened. The second best one is a good (hairy territory, this) PRNG seeded by a shared secret. PKI is where you're stuck with no shared secret, and only open channels. > Public key encryption is pretty strong and easy to use, but it has a few Please refrain from using blanket statements about a domain you obviously don't understand. "pretty strong" is meaningless without an attack model, "easy to use" is ridiculous, unless you refer to peer-reviewed implementations of PKIs, which have an empiric record track of being insecure. People who thought PKI was easy to write kept producing buggy shitware. Because they thought it "easy to use". They're not the weak link in majority of cases, agreed. > flaws that theoretically a really big gov't computer could use to break it. > A lot of encryption systems that use public key really use it to generate a > 120-160bit session key and exchange it with their partner. Although there All PKI systems are used for symmetric encryption key exchange. In fact, most PKI has considerable weaknesses, if it's being used for something else than that. > are no documented cracks of 120 bit encryption through brute force, it's > theoretically possible. The key size is useless without knowing the algorithm complexity. No, it is not possible to brute-force a symmetric crypto key within its viability window. It is perfectly possible (though impractical) to use key sizes which cannot be brute-forced, period. This includes QC, because not all algorithms can profit from QC parallelism; nevermind that you can't scale to high qubit numbers (barring error-correction, the problem is energy efficiency being worse than classical computation). > Harvey pointed out a lot of common vulnerabilities, but most of them can be > avoided by using proper techniques to avoid timing, social engineering, etc. > > The big benefit of this is that it allows for a secure key transmission > technique. Proper use of certificates should prevent a man in the middle > exploit. You cannot detect a MITM with PKI alone. The QM is there as an (imperfect) tampering detection. > Nonetheless, crypttech is growing by leaps and bounds as corporations now > need encryption where previously just terrorists and govt's needed it. Please do not assume reading Slashdot is sufficient to understand cryptography (No, reading cryptography@ over years is not sufficient, either, or just reading , but it's a first start if you want to understand the basics of cryptography). -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From bradbury at aeiveos.com Tue Dec 9 14:36:28 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 06:36:28 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: <20031209083627.85550.qmail@web41206.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: On Tue, 9 Dec 2003, Jeff Davis wrote: > --- "Robert J. Bradbury" wrote: > > If we want to know why politics is so complex this is > sure a good example. > > What's so complex? Smalley is a meta-honcho--likely > on the short list for honcho--near the summit a > multi-billion dollar public research money pile. Jeff, I did not interject that statement as a comment on Smalley v. Drexler. I interjected it based on the fact that in spite of a hour or more looking through the U.S. legislative processes I cannot determine accurately how/when the studies got deleted from the bills. I think around May the House bill got sent to the Senate, but the Senate bill didn't get sent to committee until September. I think sometime between those dates some reconciliation took place between the bills but I'm unsure who did it and when it took place. And I may be all wrong because the published paper trail (that I've been able to find thus far) is complex in and of itself and that is still probably less complex than what actually took place. Robert From fauxever at sprynet.com Tue Dec 9 15:43:12 2003 From: fauxever at sprynet.com (Olga Bourlin) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 07:43:12 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About Message-ID: <00ba01c3be6b$27f6a700$6400a8c0@brainiac> Michael Shermer wrote an article critical of life extension in a recent Scientific American: http://www.sciam.com/print_version.cfm?articleID=0001AF03-A8B1-1F57-905980A84189EEDF Subsequent article in CSICOP touched on skeptical views on life extension and global warming: http://www.csicop.org/doubtandabout/abuses/ Olga From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 9 16:07:10 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 08:07:10 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] planes In-Reply-To: <004801c3be28$b7374d90$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031209160710.32690.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> --- Spike wrote: > > > > What ever happened to the F12? > > Do you mean the Flying Dorito? Cancelled by the Bottom Up review. > The A12 Avenger II which was suppose to replace the A6, > was ultimately deemed as too expensive and was cut by then SecDef > Dick Cheney becoming the largest defense contract cancellation > in the history of the Department of Defense. > > http://www.fas.org/man/dod-101/sys/ac/a-12.htm > Nah, I meant the F-12, which was listed for years in Aviation Leak's annual military inventory as being a Mach 2 VTOL fighter in development. The Flying Dorito, known in one part of Boston as the Calzone of Doom and in another part as the Scone That Never Was (depending on your ethnicity), was a fun plane to not work on. We worked really hard not developing that plane, I'll tell ya, but I can't tell you what I did or what contractor I worked for, or I'll have to give you the Nacho Sleeper. > > > That F22 can only do vectored thrust. It > > can't take off vertically. > > It can take of vertically, if you don't have ordinance > or much fuel aboard. {8-] > Hey, that is an F-35. You're one engine short of an F-22... > > > Besides, it was nowhere near as beautiful as > > the F-23 (ducking....) > > Surely Mike means NOT! As soon as we saw the mockup > of the x35, we knew we were going to win. I bought a > bunch of LM stock that day. I lost most of my money, > but thats a different story. We figured no self-respecting > AF officer would fly such a thing as the x35, nor any > Naval Aviator would want to fly "Monica." > > http://www.ebtx.com/oats/x32vsx35.htm Of COURSE the Lockheed plane is scarier lookin than the Boeing lawn dart, it's the freakin' Hunchback of San Jose. The Boeing plane looks just right for the leading part in Of Mice and Men, "I'm gonna pet him and hug him and name him George...." Odd, but in a giggle funny way.... However, that ISN'T the plane contest I'm talkin bout, you're pullin one a them fancy Kaliforny bait and switch scams on me. The F-23 is indeed a far more attractive aircraft than the F-22. http://www.fas.org/man/dod-101/sys/ac/f-23.htm > > Of course, had the services chosen the x-35, then at least > the army would no longer suffer the ignominy of having > the ugliest plane, the A-10 Warthog. > > http://members.aol.com/cbmjets/homepage/A10.html Ugliness is an asset on the battlefield. Do you want enemy troops to have wet dreams about your aircraft, or do you want them to have the fear of death and destruction? > > In any case, we are seeing perhaps the end of the line > for fighter planes. Humanity doesn't need them anymore. > I don't suspect they will be much use in our last remaining > great conflict: the massive culture war the west faces against > the Taliban, the Al Qaida and their ilk. > I suspect that the need for fighter planes will never end. Whatever is the high terrain in warfare, that is where the knights will congregate. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 9 16:17:30 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 08:17:30 -0800 (PST) Subject: [ok] Re: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation In-Reply-To: <005601c3be44$a1bdf420$fe00a8c0@HEMM> Message-ID: <20031209161730.47694.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> Well, atmospheric transportation has hit a wall of diminishing returns on velocity, so the new plenum of progress is number of passengers and cost efficiency. The Airbus entry is certainly a step in that direction. Boeing has had designs for similar aircraft out for years with little market interest up to now. Maybe that will change and Boeing will do something now that Condit is canned. Skyhooks are not a really time efficient means of getting from point A to point B on earth. You may go faster in terms of peak velocity, but the route is many times longer, going up to geosynch, around (at 23k altitude, half circumference is 160,000 miles) and back down, for a total route length of over 200,000 miles. You are going to have a trip time of over 20 hours, more like 30-40 hours at best, going that way. Why not jump in a 747-XFXL (extrafat, extralong) and travel in comfort at mach .97 and do it in 15 hours? --- Henrique Moraes Machado wrote: > Nice. But it's only more of the same. > What I would really like to see is something more revolutionary than > evolutionary. For instance, if we build many space elevators around > the globe, people could travel between them using ships that would > never need to land. It's some crazy idea, but it's an idea. Ok, it's > not possible today, but could be considered. > On the other hand there are other means of transportation that could > be used today and are so neglected. Such as dirigibles and > ekranoplanes (http://www.ae.metu.edu.tr/~gulkiz/wig.html) > > > -----Mensagem Original----- > De: Natasha Vita-More > Para: ExI chat list > Enviada em: domingo, 7 de dezembro de 2003 23:22 > Assunto: [ok] Re: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation > > > Tonight @ 9 PM on the Travel Channel will be "Giant Planes" covering > the future of transportation. > > (11/26/03 "Airbus Unveils Giant Jet Airbus showed off its new Airbus > 380, a jumbo jet that could carry as many as 900 passengers Tuesday. > Virgin Atlantic has reportedly ordered six of the colossal carriers. > The plane will begin testing next year.") > > > Natasha > > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From brian_a_lee at hotmail.com Tue Dec 9 16:11:35 2003 From: brian_a_lee at hotmail.com (Brian Lee) Date: Tue, 09 Dec 2003 11:11:35 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution Message-ID: >From: Eugen Leitl >To: ExI chat list >Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution >Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 15:33:27 +0100 >Please refrain from using blanket statements about a domain you obviously >don't understand. "pretty strong" is meaningless without an attack model, >"easy to use" is ridiculous, unless you refer to peer-reviewed >implementations of PKIs, which have an empiric record track of being >insecure. People who thought PKI was easy to write kept producing buggy >shitware. Because they thought it "easy to use". Please refrain from using blanket statements about a domain you obviously don't understand. "Pretty strong" is not meaningless. As a cryptography consumer, I won't write the software myself but I need to know that it is difficult or pratically impossible to compromise. >The key size is useless without knowing the algorithm complexity. No, it is >not possible >to brute-force a symmetric crypto key within its viability window. The key size is not useless. Of course to make a perfect valuation you need to know what algorithm is used. >All PKI systems are used for symmetric encryption key exchange. In fact, >most >PKI has considerable weaknesses, if it's being used for something else than >that. See, here's another of your blanket statements. Not All PKI systems are used for symmetric encryption. There are plenty of insecure systems that use PKI for things they shouldn't use them for. >Please do not assume reading Slashdot is sufficient to understand >cryptography (No, reading cryptography@ over years is not sufficient, >either, or just reading , >but it's a first start if you want to understand the basics >of cryptography). Everyone knows that true cypherpunks learn from reading Cryptonomicon, not slashdot. Man, I thought you would have known that. I'm not trying to get into a pissing match with you, just trying to ablate your abrasiveness a little. BAL >From: Eugen Leitl >Reply-To: ExI chat list >To: ExI chat list >Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution >Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 15:33:27 +0100 > >On Sun, Dec 07, 2003 at 09:15:14PM -0500, Brian Alexander Lee wrote: > > I think you're right. The real reason there's so much funding for >quantum > > encryption is because whomever gets it first will have "unbreakable" > >Do you trust the laws of physics (these you know, that is, and you do know >that we know our current physics is inconsistent, and hence knowably >incomplete?) or those of mathematics? > >Cryptoanalysis is a mature, understood discipline. There are several >independant-fields-of-theory production-quality PKI systems. > >Not many people understand QM, even less people understand the limitations >of hardware using QM (single-photon source? proof of entanglement? >detection >of cloning?). > >http://www.interhack.net/people/cmcurtin/snake-oil-faq.html > > > encryption for a while. It's like nuclear weapons were, you don't want >to be > > the one without it. > >The only provably secure cryptosystem is one-time pad, generated >using a good source of entropy and properly whitened. The second best one >is a good (hairy territory, this) PRNG seeded by a shared secret. PKI >is where you're stuck with no shared secret, and only open channels. > > > Public key encryption is pretty strong and easy to use, but it has a few > >Please refrain from using blanket statements about a domain you obviously >don't understand. "pretty strong" is meaningless without an attack model, >"easy to use" is ridiculous, unless you refer to peer-reviewed >implementations of PKIs, which have an empiric record track of being >insecure. People who thought PKI was easy to write kept producing buggy >shitware. Because they thought it "easy to use". > >They're not the weak link in majority of cases, agreed. > > > flaws that theoretically a really big gov't computer could use to break >it. > > A lot of encryption systems that use public key really use it to >generate a > > 120-160bit session key and exchange it with their partner. Although >there > >All PKI systems are used for symmetric encryption key exchange. In fact, >most >PKI has considerable weaknesses, if it's being used for something else than >that. > > > are no documented cracks of 120 bit encryption through brute force, it's > > theoretically possible. > >The key size is useless without knowing the algorithm complexity. No, it is >not possible >to brute-force a symmetric crypto key within its viability window. It is >perfectly possible (though impractical) to use key sizes which cannot >be brute-forced, period. This includes QC, because not all algorithms >can profit from QC parallelism; nevermind that you can't scale to >high qubit numbers (barring error-correction, the problem is energy >efficiency being worse than classical computation). > > > Harvey pointed out a lot of common vulnerabilities, but most of them can >be > > avoided by using proper techniques to avoid timing, social engineering, >etc. > > > > The big benefit of this is that it allows for a secure key transmission > > technique. Proper use of certificates should prevent a man in the middle > > exploit. > >You cannot detect a MITM with PKI alone. The QM is there as an (imperfect) >tampering detection. > > > Nonetheless, crypttech is growing by leaps and bounds as corporations >now > > need encryption where previously just terrorists and govt's needed it. > >Please do not assume reading Slashdot is sufficient to understand >cryptography (No, reading cryptography@ over years is not sufficient, >either, or just reading , >but it's a first start if you want to understand the basics >of cryptography). > >-- Eugen* Leitl leitl >______________________________________________________________ >ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org >8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE >http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net ><< attach4 >> >_______________________________________________ >extropy-chat mailing list >extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org >http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat _________________________________________________________________ Our best dial-up offer is back. Get MSN Dial-up Internet Service for 6 months @ $9.95/month now! http://join.msn.com/?page=dept/dialup From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 9 16:33:37 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 08:33:37 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD [TLCB] Re: French assistance request... In-Reply-To: <3FD5BCB8.68D696DB@mindspring.com> Message-ID: <20031209163337.39489.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> --- "Terry W. Colvin" wrote: > Terry > > How about passing this back to Mike as I don't know his email > address, and > my mail will most likely bounce from the other servers. > > Mike > > Did you check out this www site? > http://www.cartographic.com/xq/ASP/AreaID.34/qx/nautical_charts.asp > > Looks like they might have something, but AT A COST!! Scale 1:500,000 Producer Military Topographic Directorate of the General Staff Vintage 1980-1981 Projection Gauss-Kruger Language Russian Size 3x2 degrees Contours 50 meters Status Available Immediately in raster or paper format Sheet Count 1 Base price (Paper) $79.00 per sheet This is a low resolution contour map that does not provide any hydrometric topography. Saw it already, doesn't suit my needs. > > Some links: http://www.connectedglobe.com/millennium/ip.html Found that page a while back. Thanks. An ENC database is a file containing both geographic and hydrographic topological data, depth soundings, and other GIS data that conforms to the International Geophysical S-57 standard. The US has been creating such charts for all of its territorial waters and posessions, even uninhabited Navassa Island has been digitally charted. Other major nations are supposed to be doing the same thing with their own posessions and waters, which I why I want someone literate in French to find such a chart on French government servers that is available to the public. > > Mac > At 09:08 PM 12/8/2003 -0700, Terry W. Colvin wrote: > >I am trying to get a good navigational chart of Clipperton Island (a > >French posession) in the eastern Pacific and would like to find an > ENC > >database (Electronic Navigational Chart) that conforms to the > >international S-57 standard. As it seems that each nation takes care > of > >its own navigational chart distribution, I was hoping someone who is > >French, or French literate, could locate such a chart database for > me > >somewhere on the French government internet sites. Finding such a > file > >without knowing the lingo is a bit tough.... so much for my three > years > >of French in high school... > > > >All I've been able to obtain so far on the greater internet is a > very > >low resolution scanned image of a 1956 map that has no depth > soundings > >or other information. > > > >===== > >Mike Lorrey > > > -- > ?Only a zit on the wart on the heinie of progress.? Copyright 1992, > Frank Rice > > > Terry W. Colvin, Sierra Vista, Arizona (USA) < > fortean1 at mindspring.com > > Alternate: < fortean1 at msn.com > > Home Page: < http://www.geocities.com/Area51/Stargate/8958/index.html > > > Sites: * Fortean Times * Mystic's Haven * TLCB * > U.S. Message Text Formatting (USMTF) Program > ------------ > Member: Thailand-Laos-Cambodia Brotherhood (TLCB) Mailing List > TLCB Web Site: < http://www.tlc-brotherhood.org >[Vietnam > veterans, > Allies, CIA/NSA, and "steenkeen" contractors are welcome.] > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From hemm at br.inter.net Tue Dec 9 17:21:12 2003 From: hemm at br.inter.net (Henrique Moraes Machado) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 15:21:12 -0200 Subject: [ok] Re: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation References: <20031209161730.47694.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <01d101c3be78$d84bb8e0$fe00a8c0@HEMM> As I said, crazy idea. :) Just a paradigmatic issue. I wouldn't like to be forever tied to conventional airplanes. I wouldn't even mind to travel slower than mach .97 (or much slower) aboard a dirigible for instance. It's not a matter of speed. The transports need a revolution. When we had only horses, the trains were revolutionary. Then the automobiles and finally airplanes. Nothing new since then. And there goes one hundred years. One might point that there are rockets and stuff, but how many people do you know have used rockets for transportation? Not practical. I've seen (discovery channel, internet) many ideas that could change radically the transports but I don't see any of these ideas being implemented. -----Mensagem Original----- De: "Mike Lorrey" Para: "Henrique Moraes Machado" ; "ExI chat list" Enviada em: ter?a-feira, 9 de dezembro de 2003 14:17 Assunto: Re: [ok] Re: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation | Well, atmospheric transportation has hit a wall of diminishing returns | on velocity, so the new plenum of progress is number of passengers and | cost efficiency. The Airbus entry is certainly a step in that | direction. Boeing has had designs for similar aircraft out for years | with little market interest up to now. Maybe that will change and | Boeing will do something now that Condit is canned. | | Skyhooks are not a really time efficient means of getting from point A | to point B on earth. You may go faster in terms of peak velocity, but | the route is many times longer, going up to geosynch, around (at 23k | altitude, half circumference is 160,000 miles) and back down, for a | total route length of over 200,000 miles. You are going to have a trip | time of over 20 hours, more like 30-40 hours at best, going that way. | | Why not jump in a 747-XFXL (extrafat, extralong) and travel in comfort | at mach .97 and do it in 15 hours? | | --- Henrique Moraes Machado wrote: | > Nice. But it's only more of the same. | > What I would really like to see is something more revolutionary than | > evolutionary. For instance, if we build many space elevators around | > the globe, people could travel between them using ships that would | > never need to land. It's some crazy idea, but it's an idea. Ok, it's | > not possible today, but could be considered. | > On the other hand there are other means of transportation that could | > be used today and are so neglected. Such as dirigibles and | > ekranoplanes (http://www.ae.metu.edu.tr/~gulkiz/wig.html) From eugen at leitl.org Tue Dec 9 17:28:47 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 18:28:47 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: <012001c3bd6e$7fa86360$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> References: <200312060543.hB65hqM30870@finney.org> <20031206195800.GC5783@leitl.org> <012001c3bd6e$7fa86360$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: <20031209172847.GD4452@leitl.org> On Mon, Dec 08, 2003 at 08:34:37PM +1100, Brett Paatsch wrote: > Eugen Leitl wrote: > > > I personally expect crosslinked polymer as structure bulk, not > > diamond nor graphenes. > > Interesting. I think I can see why crosslinked polymers might appeal > given disulphide bonds already feature in routine protein chemistry, No, the simple reason is processivity and energy use. Even if I can deposit about everything chemically stable, but have to do it at a MHz..GHz rate by a resonant tooltip I'm burning lots of juice for a glacially slow deposition. With a monomer I just have to squirt it out, and to initiate it. With a cumulene as linear monomer I can in fact make pretty good diamond, if I have the F-tipped carbon nanotube as a tool, but I can also change the polymer deposited (a continuum between diamond and graphene) by controlling the tip movement, and quench radicals with a gas jet. It might be not perfect, but it's orders of magnitude faster, and gets the job done. > but I see protein design as pretty complex, requiring a solvent, and Proteins are very good for purification, autoassembly and part ligation, all in one step, and a vast existing infrastructure (biotechnology) to produce them. This is sufficient for assembling cellular architectures, anything regular, but is lousy for structural material (you won't get much better than spider silk, and that's not too thermally stable) and for nonregular complex shapes. You can of course add artificial amino acids to the repertoire, it's been done already. The problem is that the information required for folding guidance dilutes your functionality concentration. It takes a lot of blahblah to create the functional envelope for the enzyme core (the periphery has also functionality, of course, but I'm simplifying this for the sake of argument). > very hard to do computationally (I presume you don't just want to stuff PFP/iPFP is making nice progress. They've invented a brand new fold the other day, and forecast the structure very nicely, too. You need basically a self-bootstrapping high-precision forcefield, and custom hardware to implement it (Blue Gene is pretty close to that) to do it robustly and quickly. The PFP/iPFP is not a boolean event (now we've got it! The Holy Grail! etc.), you just get lucky more and more often. > a volume with any old shape). If diamonoid forms could be produced > they would seem to have the advantage of being conceptually easier to > design with. Is your expectation for cross-linked polymer bulk structures I would forget machine-phase for time being. This is almost irrelevant for bootstrap. I'm not sure machine-phase is exclusive means of fabbing for mature nanotechnology either. > based on the view that diamondoid would be too difficult or rather that > designer protein chemistry would be relatively easy? Right now hacking biology is our strongest tool. The second closest being self-assembly by supramolecular chemistry. But here you have to synthesize everything from scratch, so you're stuck with very primitive structures, and lousy yield. Manipulative proximal probe is even more limited, if we're trying to do single-molecule chemistry. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From eugen at leitl.org Tue Dec 9 17:49:55 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 18:49:55 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <20031209174955.GF4452@leitl.org> On Tue, Dec 09, 2003 at 11:11:35AM -0500, Brian Lee wrote: > I'm not trying to get into a pissing match with you, just trying to ablate > your abrasiveness a little. I flame with a purpose. I'm sick and tired of pretend knowledge about a complex field. The only thing I learned about cryptography in all those years is that I don't know what the fuck I'm talking about. Misunderstandements about system security and cryptography can in future get your, and -- most importantly -- other people's ass killed. This is not a hyperbole. Bad crypto already kills people, just not thousands or millions. Not yet. The right frame of mind before this is humility, and readiness to learn. In any case: do not spread actual misinformation without checking back with people who know. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From bradbury at aeiveos.com Tue Dec 9 18:03:40 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 10:03:40 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: Message-ID: On Mon, 8 Dec 2003, Robert J. Bradbury wrote: > But in the early versions of the bill (S. 189 (es)) it was in Section 5b > and it isn't in S 189 (is or rs) (where Section 5 became Section 4). > You can search on "Self-Assembly". > > This would make a great detective story... The above is wrong! I had the order of the bills incorrect. If you start at http://thomas.loc.gov/ and search on "S189" you will get the 4 versions in the correct order with explanations. The text appears in S.189(es). Then go to the es/enr versions and go to "Bill Summary & Status file" to get a list of the pages in the Congressional Record. In section 5b it says "the National Research Council shall conduct a one-time study to determine the technical feasibility of molecular self-assembly for the manufacture of materials and devices at the molecular scale." The text shows up in the debate on the floor on November the 18th. Documents S15101/S15102 in the Congressional Record. The changes appear to be coming into the version of the bill from Senators Allen (VA) and Wyden (OR). The text is not in earlier versions of the bill. Sorry for the confusion. Robert From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 9 18:11:33 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 10:11:33 -0800 (PST) Subject: [ok] Re: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation In-Reply-To: <01d101c3be78$d84bb8e0$fe00a8c0@HEMM> Message-ID: <20031209181133.84129.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> Akranoplans are interesting ideas, but I suspect that the danger of collision with ships would be a problem as would dealing with heavy seas. Doesn't matter if you are going mach .75 25 feet over the ocean if the waves are 100 feet high... The real revolution in transportation is in residential ships like Residensea. When you can telecommute, then ocean cruise ships will make a comeback. --- Henrique Moraes Machado wrote: > > As I said, crazy idea. :) > Just a paradigmatic issue. I wouldn't like to be forever tied to > conventional airplanes. > I wouldn't even mind to travel slower than mach .97 (or much slower) > aboard a dirigible for instance. It's not a matter of speed. > > The transports need a revolution. When we had only horses, the trains > were revolutionary. Then the automobiles and finally airplanes. > Nothing new since then. And there goes one hundred years. > One might point that there are rockets and stuff, but how many people > do you know have used rockets for transportation? Not practical. > I've seen (discovery channel, internet) many ideas that could change > radically the transports but I don't see any of these ideas being > implemented. > > > -----Mensagem Original----- > De: "Mike Lorrey" > Para: "Henrique Moraes Machado" ; "ExI chat list" > > Enviada em: ter?a-feira, 9 de dezembro de 2003 14:17 > Assunto: Re: [ok] Re: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation > > > | Well, atmospheric transportation has hit a wall of diminishing > returns > | on velocity, so the new plenum of progress is number of passengers > and > | cost efficiency. The Airbus entry is certainly a step in that > | direction. Boeing has had designs for similar aircraft out for > years > | with little market interest up to now. Maybe that will change and > | Boeing will do something now that Condit is canned. > | > | Skyhooks are not a really time efficient means of getting from > point A > | to point B on earth. You may go faster in terms of peak velocity, > but > | the route is many times longer, going up to geosynch, around (at > 23k > | altitude, half circumference is 160,000 miles) and back down, for a > | total route length of over 200,000 miles. You are going to have a > trip > | time of over 20 hours, more like 30-40 hours at best, going that > way. > | > | Why not jump in a 747-XFXL (extrafat, extralong) and travel in > comfort > | at mach .97 and do it in 15 hours? > | > | --- Henrique Moraes Machado wrote: > | > Nice. But it's only more of the same. > | > What I would really like to see is something more revolutionary > than > | > evolutionary. For instance, if we build many space elevators > around > | > the globe, people could travel between them using ships that > would > | > never need to land. It's some crazy idea, but it's an idea. Ok, > it's > | > not possible today, but could be considered. > | > On the other hand there are other means of transportation that > could > | > be used today and are so neglected. Such as dirigibles and > | > ekranoplanes (http://www.ae.metu.edu.tr/~gulkiz/wig.html) > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From jacques at dtext.com Tue Dec 9 18:36:34 2003 From: jacques at dtext.com (JDP) Date: Tue, 09 Dec 2003 19:36:34 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD [TLCB] Re: French assistance request... In-Reply-To: <20031209163337.39489.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> References: <20031209163337.39489.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <3FD61632.607@dtext.com> Mike, The French organism responsible for the ENC charts is http://www.shom.fr/ Send them an email and they will tell you if/where you can find the ENC chart for Clipperton Island. http://www.primar-stavanger.org/ commercializes some such charts, including French ones. They have a "Chart catalogue" java app that you can download. CC to me if you want me to read some other message about this, as I don't monitor the list in a systematic way. And don't go bombing the little atoll, please. I might want to retire there and play with the crabs. Jacques Mike Lorrey wrote: > An ENC database is a file containing both geographic and hydrographic > topological data, depth soundings, and other GIS data that conforms to > the International Geophysical S-57 standard. The US has been creating > such charts for all of its territorial waters and posessions, even > uninhabited Navassa Island has been digitally charted. Other major > nations are supposed to be doing the same thing with their own > posessions and waters, which I why I want someone literate in French to > find such a chart on French government servers that is available to the > public. From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Tue Dec 9 18:35:03 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 13:35:03 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution In-Reply-To: <20031209143327.GY4452@leitl.org> Message-ID: <000801c3be83$2c2bff60$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Eugen Leitl wrote, > Please refrain from using blanket statements about a domain > you obviously don't understand. and > Please do not assume reading Slashdot is sufficient to > understand cryptography This is a big problem with Extropians and Transhumanists in general. All we seem to have is a discussion group with armchair quarterbacks and amateurs arguing over star-trek science. Where are all the real experts in our favorite fields? I feel like I am beating a dead horse, but it has to be said. We have to move beyond the fan-club stage and create develop expertise and involvement to create the future. Educating the public, lobbying our governments, and discussing this stuff is only the first step. And even that step is misguided without a proper understanding of the technologies. We are becoming a cargo cult that doesn't understand what we are really promoting. How can we break out of this feel-good mode and into the real work? Self-education, grassroots efforts, and garage tinkering worked well in the industrial age, but won't be good enough for the future. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Tue Dec 9 18:46:57 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 13:46:57 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: <00ba01c3be6b$27f6a700$6400a8c0@brainiac> Message-ID: <000c01c3be84$d63c9180$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Olga wrote, > Subsequent article in CSICOP touched on skeptical views on life extension and global warming: > > Excellent article. At first, skepticism was a scientific tool used to critically analyze assumptions and verify facts. Now we have copycats who are acting like skeptics to give their unfounded beliefs an air of scientific authority. As the article notes, people who are "skeptical" about evolution or global warming are merely pretending to be skeptics without the underlying science. This is the same as Christian "Scientists" or Creation "Science" trying to pretend that their religious beliefs are as rigorous as real science. It is too easy to fall into this trap. People easily fall into a mode where they act like they are experts and they have no real concept of how science or the underlying technology really work. I am afraid that there are more faux experts than real experts in the public spotlight today. It is easier to be a consumer, commentator, political activists, strategy consultant, public educator, or whatever in a field of "expertise" without really going through all the trouble of really learning the field. This is the biggest threat to science and by extension to transhumanism facing us today. The world of science is being diluted with pseudoscience, and it is very difficult for the laypeople to tell the difference. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 9 19:10:56 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 11:10:56 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD [TLCB] Re: French assistance request... In-Reply-To: <3FD61632.607@dtext.com> Message-ID: <20031209191056.91846.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> --- JDP wrote: > Mike, > > The French organism responsible for the ENC charts is > http://www.shom.fr/ Send them an email and they will tell you > if/where > you can find the ENC chart for Clipperton Island. > > http://www.primar-stavanger.org/ commercializes some such charts, > including French ones. They have a "Chart catalogue" java app that > you can download. > > CC to me if you want me to read some other message about this, as I > don't monitor the list in a systematic way. Thank you very much for your response, Jaques. I will see what I can accomplish through these links. > > And don't go bombing the little atoll, please. I might want to retire > there and play with the crabs. Well, I'd rather play with some of the tourists than the crabs, myself (unless they, the crabs, saute well). ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From brian_a_lee at hotmail.com Tue Dec 9 19:15:52 2003 From: brian_a_lee at hotmail.com (Brian Lee) Date: Tue, 09 Dec 2003 14:15:52 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution Message-ID: Of course I too am sick and tired of people spouting off about things which they know nothing. I'm moderately familiar with what crypto to use in which situation and what provides an acceptible level of risk. Of course nothing is impregnable (even one-time pads have social engineering vulnerabilities), but there are acceptible encryption schemes and methods that have never known to be compromised (like the 128 bit RC4 cipher used in many SSL implementations). My first point was attempting to relay that as technology power increases, these theoretical vulnerabilities to brute force cracks will become actual, and whomever has the next level of encryption will be at an advantage. An advantage as huge as nuclear weapons were. Since >From: Eugen Leitl >To: ExI chat list >Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution >Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 18:49:55 +0100 > >On Tue, Dec 09, 2003 at 11:11:35AM -0500, Brian Lee wrote: > > > I'm not trying to get into a pissing match with you, just trying to >ablate > > your abrasiveness a little. > >I flame with a purpose. I'm sick and tired of pretend knowledge >about a complex field. The only thing I learned about cryptography >in all those years is that I don't know what the fuck I'm talking >about. > >Misunderstandements about system security and cryptography can in >future get your, and -- most importantly -- other people's ass >killed. This is not a hyperbole. Bad crypto already kills people, >just not thousands or millions. Not yet. > >The right frame of mind before this is humility, and readiness >to learn. In any case: do not spread actual misinformation >without checking back with people who know. > >-- Eugen* Leitl leitl >______________________________________________________________ >ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org >8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE >http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net ><< attach4 >> >_______________________________________________ >extropy-chat mailing list >extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org >http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat _________________________________________________________________ Cell phone ?switch? rules are taking effect ? find out more here. http://special.msn.com/msnbc/consumeradvocate.armx From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 9 19:32:05 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 11:32:05 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: <000c01c3be84$d63c9180$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <20031209193205.10451.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> --- Harvey Newstrom wrote: > Olga wrote, > > Subsequent article in CSICOP touched on skeptical views on life > > extension and global warming: > > > > > > Excellent article. At first, skepticism was a scientific tool used > to critically analyze assumptions and verify facts. Now we have > copycats who are acting like skeptics to give their unfounded > beliefs an air of scientific authority. As the article notes, > people who are "skeptical"about evolution or global warming are > merely pretending to be skeptics without the underlying science. I am sorry, Harvey, but global warming does not deserve to be included in this. The author makes a ludicrous claim that we should not be skeptical about something that is allegedly happening right now. Bullshit. UFO adherents claim that we are being invaded and abducted right now. So freakin what? Does that mean we should not be skeptical of the scientific investigations of psychologists into the memories of abductees? Hell no. Does it mean we should not be skeptical about the laboratory results of samples taken from alleged landing/crash sites? Hell no. Global warming? What global warming? I've got two feet of snow in my front yard and winter hasn't even officially STARTED yet. You think I'm unduly skeptical about the claims ONLY of scientists who have a socialist agenda? Do you think I am unduly skeptical when scientists who developed much of the base data the UN makes its claims on say that their data is not being properly used or interpreted by the UN??? Do you think I am unduly skeptical when my own cousin, a published scientist with degrees from BU and UMO, and who is doing his doctorate at the University of Aukland, and who happens to actually BE a climatologist, says that most of the claims of global warming proponents are absolute bullshit, and the rest are not anthropogenic in nature? Given the immense cost of completely changing our entire economic and governmental structures that is being demanded by global warming proponents, we need to be EXTREMELY skeptical of the claims of these people. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 9 19:35:14 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 11:35:14 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] EUGEN: What happened to Genes screeds? In-Reply-To: <20031209072732.GA4452@leitl.org> Message-ID: <20031209193514.33762.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> --- Eugen Leitl wrote: > On Sun, Dec 07, 2003 at 04:01:49PM -0800, Mike Lorrey wrote: > > I recall on the extropy list of years gone past, that Eugen used to > > post long posts rambling on, like he'd been on a caffiene drip for > the > > last 96 hours, about all sorts of things. What ever happened to > that > > posting technique? > > Posting doesn't get anything done, and I do have a life these days. > It's very possible that I'll be gone (virtually, for good?) in a few > months. WHAT? What is up? ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 9 19:37:49 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 11:37:49 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: <20031209083627.85550.qmail@web41206.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20031209193749.17194.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> --- Jeff Davis wrote: > --- "Robert J. Bradbury" wrote: > > If we want to know why politics is so complex this is > sure a good example. > > Robert > > ------------------------------ > > What's so complex? Smalley is a meta-honcho--likely > on the short list for honcho--near the summit a > multi-billion dollar public research money pile. > Quite a career accomplishment. > > The top down approach to nano reaches out from the > broad margins of current capabilities, can absorb > research billions easily, and can deliver > immediately-usable science and tech as it expands > those margins. I'm not too concerned, myself. So what if they are leery of even allowing potentially grey gooish technolgies be developed? What they intend to fund will build a lot of the tools that will be needed to accomplish a self assembler technology anyways. All this does is ensure that the self-assembler technology will be developed solely as a private enterprise, with no federal mucking about or potential military confiscation. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From rhanson at gmu.edu Tue Dec 9 21:20:15 2003 From: rhanson at gmu.edu (Robin Hanson) Date: Tue, 09 Dec 2003 16:20:15 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: <000c01c3be84$d63c9180$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> References: <00ba01c3be6b$27f6a700$6400a8c0@brainiac> Message-ID: <5.2.1.1.2.20031209160927.020d5518@mail.gmu.edu> On 12/9/2003, Harvey Newstrom wrote: > > >Excellent article. ... People >easily fall into a mode where they act like they are experts and they have >no real concept of how science or the underlying technology really work. I >am afraid that there are more faux experts than real experts in the public >spotlight today. It is easier to be a consumer, commentator, political >activists, strategy consultant, public educator, or whatever in a field of >"expertise" without really going through all the trouble of really learning >the field. This is the biggest threat to science and by extension to >transhumanism facing us today. The world of science is being diluted with >pseudoscience, and it is very difficult for the laypeople to tell the >difference. ... I agree this is a huge problem, but you say "diluted" as if you think the situation was ever any different. It seems to me that this is the way it has always been. Robin Hanson rhanson at gmu.edu http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-4444 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323 From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Tue Dec 9 22:53:50 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 17:53:50 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: <20031209193205.10451.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <009501c3bea7$5304df70$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Mike Lorrey wrote, > I am sorry, Harvey, but global warming does not deserve to be > included in this. I disagree. Most reputable scientists believe that the earth is warming and that humans are accelerating this. There are only a small percentage of scientists who dispute this, and they seem to be right-wing extremists or funded by big energy corporations. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Tue Dec 9 22:59:43 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 17:59:43 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: <5.2.1.1.2.20031209160927.020d5518@mail.gmu.edu> Message-ID: <009601c3bea8$2277b700$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Robin Hanson wrote, > I agree this is a huge problem, but you say "diluted" as if > you think the situation was ever any different. It seems to > me that this is the way it has always been. I disagree. Things are different than they used to be. University studies are supported by specific corporations now. Discoveries are proprietary and patented instead of peer-reviewed. More money is spent on lawyers to prevent flaws from being exposed rather than confirmation studies being performed. Corporate fraud has moved into the realms of computer science and biology more than ever before. Areas of research that used to be purely scientific are now overrun with corporate lawyers, politicians, ethics advisors, and a whole host of non-technical people trying to control technology that they don't understand. Doctors used to make medical decisions, now non-medical professionals in HMOs do. Scientists used to direct research, now corporate boards of directors do. Researchers used to choose research paths, now venture capitalists do. The control and (mis)representation of technology has shifted from the scientists to the eco-political realm. This shift is new and has completely changed the dynamic of how science is done. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From wingcat at pacbell.net Tue Dec 9 23:11:56 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 15:11:56 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] planes In-Reply-To: <20031209160710.32690.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20031209231156.93688.qmail@web80401.mail.yahoo.com> --- Mike Lorrey wrote: > Ugliness is an asset on the battlefield. Do you want > enemy troops to > have wet dreams about your aircraft, or do you want > them to have the > fear of death and destruction? I dunno. If the enemy really doesn't want to hurt my craft because they wouldn't dare mar such a thing of beauty, the enemy really doesn't want to hurt my craft. That can be a useful form of limited invulnerability. ;) From rafal at smigrodzki.org Wed Dec 10 03:00:47 2003 From: rafal at smigrodzki.org (Rafal Smigrodzki) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 19:00:47 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: <009501c3bea7$5304df70$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: Harvey wrote: > Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About > > > Mike Lorrey wrote, >> I am sorry, Harvey, but global warming does not deserve to be >> included in this. > > I disagree. Most reputable scientists believe that the earth is > warming and that humans are accelerating this. There are only a > small percentage of scientists who dispute this, and they seem to be > right-wing extremists or funded by big energy corporations. ### Are you sure about this? Most reputable climate scientists profess to have insufficient knowledge about the degree of warming, if any, or the degree of human complicity, if any, to make any firm policy recommendations (except "Spend more on research"). Admitting that "some" warming might occur (with a 95% confidence interval sometimes larger than the postulated effect), and vaguely surmising that humans might have "some" influence, doesn't make most scientists into global warming believers. Rafal From wingcat at pacbell.net Wed Dec 10 00:09:42 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 16:09:42 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Stealing organs finally a crime... In-Reply-To: <002e01c3be06$c14399a0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031210000942.77373.qmail@web80410.mail.yahoo.com> --- Spike wrote: > > http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,8122-920726,00.html > > > > Don't know what took the Brits so long, but they > finally made it a > > crime to steal someone's organs without their > consent... > > It's still legal, even encouraged in this country. > I don't > recall giving my consent to have my foreskin > removed. At the time, you were probably the (effectively) legal property of those who had just given birth to you, on the grounds that you were not (yet) mentally competent to give consent. Similarly, you probably did not give consent to be removed from that warm, nourishing pocket of flesh where you had gestated - most people who undergo that experience are quite upset about it at the time - nor, thereafter, to be fed, clothed, or sheltered. Now, there may be something to be said for adjusting the standards of age-related mental competency. But the fundamental legal concept (a newborn person is not a full citizen until a certain event happens - an event that is likely, even automatic, for all citizens before they gain much power to protest about it, to avoid abuse of the rule) remains sound. From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Wed Dec 10 00:16:22 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 11:16:22 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About References: <009601c3bea8$2277b700$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <003001c3beb2$d7ae8220$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Harvey Newstrom wrote: > Robin Hanson wrote, > > I agree this is a huge problem, but you say "diluted" as if > > you think the situation was ever any different. It seems to > > me that this is the way it has always been. > > I disagree. Things are different than they used to be. University > studies are supported by specific corporations now. Discoveries > are proprietary and patented instead of peer-reviewed. More > money is spent on lawyers to prevent flaws from being exposed > rather than confirmation studies being performed. Corporate > fraud has moved into the realms of computer science and > biology more than ever before. Areas of research that used to > be purely scientific are now overrun with corporate lawyers, > politicians, ethics advisors, and a whole host of non-technical > people trying to control technology that they don't understand. > Doctors used to make medical decisions, now non-medical > professionals in HMOs do. Scientists used to direct research, > now corporate boards of directors do. Researchers used to > choose research paths, now venture capitalists do. The control > and (mis)representation of technology has shifted from the > scientists to the eco-political realm. This shift is new and has > completely changed the dynamic of how science is done. Maybe you are right Harvey. Maybe you are not. Why don't you tackle something with a slightly narrower scope and give more evidence for what your saying? The broad brush stuff can only be accepted or rejected wholesale and mostly its rejected not explicitly because its disagreed with but implictly because the difficulty of untangling it is too great. If you don't get engagement you can't get persuasion. Trust me I know :-) Often the posters on the Exi list are encouraged to do more, or try different things. This is seldom bad advice in itself but would overwhelming silence on the list (as does pops up from time to time) be interpreted by you as success as everyone had gone off to do stuff? If you have some specific things you'd like to see done perhaps you could state them? I thought the recent discussion about nanotechnology would have been useful to anybody interested and willing to actually listen. I agree with Hal that critics are our friends (or at least can be :-). I can empathise with frustration and perhaps sometimes the list functions as a fraternity of the frustrated but there is little point just howling at the moon. Regards, Brett From thespike at earthlink.net Wed Dec 10 00:15:17 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 18:15:17 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Stealing organs finally a crime... References: <20031210000942.77373.qmail@web80410.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <014901c3beb2$b2cde540$d8994a43@texas.net> Spike wrote: > It's still legal, even encouraged in this country. > I don't recall giving my consent to have my foreskin > removed. Wow, that's disgraceful! Do you know the name of the lucky transplant recipient? Damien Broderick From mlorrey at yahoo.com Wed Dec 10 01:24:40 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 17:24:40 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031210012440.97549.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> --- Rafal Smigrodzki wrote: > Harvey wrote: > > Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About > > > > > > Mike Lorrey wrote, > >> I am sorry, Harvey, but global warming does not deserve to be > >> included in this. > > > > I disagree. Most reputable scientists believe that the earth is > > warming and that humans are accelerating this. There are only a > > small percentage of scientists who dispute this, and they seem to > be > > right-wing extremists or funded by big energy corporations. > > ### Are you sure about this? Most reputable climate scientists > profess to > have insufficient knowledge about the degree of warming, if any, or > the > degree of human complicity, if any, to make any firm policy > recommendations > (except "Spend more on research"). Admitting that "some" warming > might occur > (with a 95% confidence interval sometimes larger than the postulated > effect), and vaguely surmising that humans might have "some" > influence, > doesn't make most scientists into global warming believers. Rafal is right, and the "2,500" scientists you said signed onto the Climat Change report were most definitely NOT all climatologists, or even hard scientists. A lot of them were sociologists, psychologists, and other people completely unqualified to judge. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Wed Dec 10 01:30:17 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 17:30:17 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] HUMOR: The Jones have the bomb... Message-ID: <20031210013017.99090.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> http://www.videoranch.com/NNSlarge.html ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From megao at sasktel.net Wed Dec 10 01:46:33 2003 From: megao at sasktel.net (Extropian Agroforestry Ventures Inc.) Date: Tue, 09 Dec 2003 19:46:33 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] HUMOR: The Jones have the bomb... References: <20031210013017.99090.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <3FD67AF9.8048421D@sasktel.net> Not Found The requested URL /Temporary Items/home/vranch/html/www/Xmas/html/popup_functions.js was not found on this server. Apache/1.3.26 Server at www.videoranch.com Port 80 "Pharmer Mo" Mike Lorrey wrote: > http://www.videoranch.com/NNSlarge.html > > ===== > Mike Lorrey > "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." > - Gen. John Stark > "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." > - Mike Lorrey > Do not label me, I am an ism of one... > Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com > > __________________________________ > Do you Yahoo!? > New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. > http://photos.yahoo.com/ > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From spike66 at comcast.net Wed Dec 10 02:59:56 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 18:59:56 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Stealing organs finally a crime... In-Reply-To: <20031210000942.77373.qmail@web80410.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <003301c3bec9$b12b3a50$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > > > crime to steal someone's organs without their > > consent... > > > > It's still legal, even encouraged in this country. > > I don't recall giving my consent to have my foreskin > > removed. > > At the time, you were probably the (effectively) legal > property of those who had just given birth to you, on > the grounds that you were not (yet) mentally competent > to give consent... Of course. I have a friend whose job it was to meet with African immigrant families to explain to them that it is illegal in this country to do female circumcision, not to mention cruel and ill-advised. I have often inquired why she has no counterpart arguing the same for the male children. I do not recall the event of course, but I would suppose it to be painful as all hell. I feel sorry for my infant self. spike From spike66 at comcast.net Wed Dec 10 03:04:07 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 19:04:07 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Stealing organs finally a crime... In-Reply-To: <014901c3beb2$b2cde540$d8994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <003401c3beca$471a4100$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Stealing organs finally a crime... > > Spike wrote: > > > It's still legal, even encouraged in this country. > > I don't recall giving my consent to have my foreskin > > removed. > > Wow, that's disgraceful! Do you know the name of the lucky transplant > recipient? > > Damien Broderick HEY! Thats a hell of an idea Damien! Restoration thru transplantation. I would imagine that there are those who undergo circumcision as adults (for whatever reason, perhaps having become engaged to an Israeli princess.) Organ donation! Come to think of it, one could even sell the thing, much like they sell kidneys in some parts of the world. spike From extropy at unreasonable.com Wed Dec 10 03:24:52 2003 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Tue, 09 Dec 2003 22:24:52 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Stealing organs finally a crime... In-Reply-To: <003401c3beca$471a4100$6501a8c0@SHELLY> References: <014901c3beb2$b2cde540$d8994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031209221508.032bd8f0@mail.comcast.net> At 07:04 PM 12/9/2003 -0800, Spike wrote: > > > It's still legal, even encouraged in this country. > > > I don't recall giving my consent to have my foreskin > > > removed. > > > Wow, that's disgraceful! Do you know the name of the lucky transplant > > recipient? > >HEY! Thats a hell of an idea Damien! Restoration >thru transplantation. I would imagine that there are >those who undergo circumcision as adults (for whatever >reason, perhaps having become engaged to an Israeli >princess.) Organ donation! Come to think of it, one >could even sell the thing, much like they sell kidneys >in some parts of the world. Nah, I'm sure the part went to a specialty food market, when you consider how many ethnic groups use body parts of exotic animals as ingredients in aphrodisiacs or for life-extension. There are a few contextual jokes on your name I could make but I'm still recovering from the 23-part pun I posted to another group yesterday. -- David Lubkin. From mlorrey at yahoo.com Wed Dec 10 03:58:43 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 19:58:43 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] HUMOR: The Jones have the bomb... In-Reply-To: <3FD67AF9.8048421D@sasktel.net> Message-ID: <20031210035843.48655.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> Works fine on IE --- "Extropian Agroforestry Ventures Inc." wrote: > Not Found > > The requested URL /Temporary > Items/home/vranch/html/www/Xmas/html/popup_functions.js was not > found on this server. > > > Apache/1.3.26 Server at www.videoranch.com Port 80 > > "Pharmer Mo" > > > > Mike Lorrey wrote: > > > http://www.videoranch.com/NNSlarge.html > > > > ===== > > Mike Lorrey > > "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." > > - Gen. John Stark > > "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." > > - Mike Lorrey > > Do not label me, I am an ism of one... > > Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com > > > > __________________________________ > > Do you Yahoo!? > > New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. > > http://photos.yahoo.com/ > > _______________________________________________ > > extropy-chat mailing list > > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From megao at sasktel.net Wed Dec 10 03:57:01 2003 From: megao at sasktel.net (Extropian Agroforestry Ventures Inc.) Date: Tue, 09 Dec 2003 21:57:01 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] HUMOR: The Jones have the bomb... References: <20031210013017.99090.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <3FD6998C.D2BA088B@sasktel.net> I googled and found: Dark Thoughts... ... nuclear war. Now, thanks to the grey market, anyone with a gold card can buy their way to neighbourhood nuclear superiority. On ... members.shaw.ca/triviaqueen/dark_end.htm - 6k - Cached - Similar pages Mike Lorrey wrote: > http://www.videoranch.com/NNSlarge.html > > ===== > Mike Lorrey > "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." > - Gen. John Stark > "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." > - Mike Lorrey > Do not label me, I am an ism of one... > Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com > > __________________________________ > Do you Yahoo!? > New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. > http://photos.yahoo.com/ > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Wed Dec 10 04:44:52 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 23:44:52 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: <003001c3beb2$d7ae8220$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: <00e301c3bed8$5d188fd0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Brett Paatsch wrote, > > Harvey Newstrom wrote: > > > Robin Hanson wrote, > > > I agree this is a huge problem, but you say "diluted" as if you > > > think the situation was ever any different. It seems to me that > > > this is the way it has always been. > > > > I disagree. Things are different than they used to be. > > Maybe you are right Harvey. Maybe you are not. Why don't you > tackle something with a slightly narrower scope and give more > evidence for what your saying? I wasn't aware that anybody needed evidence of what I was saying. Robin seemed to agree with me, but thought this was the way things had always been. He certainly didn't dispute my assessment of how things are now. My entire diatribe was a long expansion of how I agreed with Hal and that he was exactly right in his assessments of nanotechnology. In fact, I believe his assessment applies to a lot of other areas as well. So far everybody is in agreement. What exact points did you disagree with, and what exact evidence did you want to see? Do you doubt that pseudoscience is confusing the public? Do you doubt HMOs have taken medical decisions away from doctors? Do you doubt that scientific research is now owned more by corporation backers and less by public universities? I am not sure exactly what points you think require further evidence. Or was it my suggestions you disliked. Do you disagree that we have more talk here than action? Do you disagree that we should go beyond the fan-club stage and start actually creating the future ourselves? You asked me to give more evidence for what I was saying, but I don't know exactly what you disagreed with. > If you have some specific things you'd like > to see done perhaps you could state them? I would like Extropians to get real technology jobs, practice radical life-extension techniques, sign up for cryonics, start real think-tanks, produce real solutions, start real development projects, and write scientifically rigorous papers to present our ideas. > I thought the recent discussion about nanotechnology would have been > useful to anybody interested and willing to actually listen. I agree > with Hal that critics are our friends I agree with Hal as well. My entire diatribe was a big expansion on how I agree with Hal. As Hal pointed out, the nanotech stuff is not very well presented or supported. We need to do a better job in providing evidence for our ideas. I am not sure why you are implying that I missed Hal's excellent points. I was writing to say that Hal was right on the money and that his observations apply in other areas as well. > I can empathise with frustration and perhaps sometimes the > list functions as a fraternity of the frustrated but there is > little point just howling at the moon. Sadly, this is the primary cause why people drop out of the list. Discussions here seem to be incompatible with getting real work done. Eugen, Eliezer and many others have specifically questioned whether this list detracts from their serious interests elsewhere. The list does seem to have a history of losing people as soon as they really get serious. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Wed Dec 10 04:45:17 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 23:45:17 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: <20031210012440.97549.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <00e401c3bed8$6c2ae630$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Mike Lorrey wrote, > Rafal is right, and the "2,500" scientists you said signed > onto the Climat Change report were most definitely NOT all > climatologists, or even hard scientists. A lot of them were > sociologists, psychologists, and other people completely > unqualified to judge. I never mentioned 2,500 scientists or the Climate Change report. I don't believe that petitions and voting are a means to scientific truths. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Wed Dec 10 04:45:41 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 23:45:41 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <00e501c3bed8$7a042050$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Rafal wrote, > ### Are you sure about this? Most reputable climate > scientists profess to have insufficient knowledge about the > degree of warming, if any, or the degree of human complicity, > if any, to make any firm policy recommendations (except > "Spend more on research"). Yes. There is no doubt that the globe is actually warming. If you want to argue whether humans are causing it or whether it is a natural cycle, that is a different argument. If you want to discuss the politics of what we should do about it, and who specifically should do what, that is another argument. But if you want to argue that the Earth is not getting warmer as a local trend in the last few decades, this just isn't supported by any evidence or science. Ignoring all the hype about carbon-dioxide, causes, politics, and doomsday, the fact is that there is a current warming trend occurring. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Wed Dec 10 05:59:56 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 16:59:56 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About References: <00e301c3bed8$5d188fd0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <007501c3bee2$d6bb6ec0$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Harvey Newstrom wrote: > Brett Paatsch wrote, > > > > Harvey Newstrom wrote: > > > > > Robin Hanson wrote, > > > > I agree this is a huge problem, but you say "diluted" as > > > > if you think the situation was ever any different. It seems > > > > to me that this is the way it has always been. > > > > > > I disagree. Things are different than they used to be. > > > > Maybe you are right Harvey. Maybe you are not. Why don't > > you tackle something with a slightly narrower scope and give > > more evidence for what your saying? > What exact points did you disagree with, and what exact evidence > did you want to see? I don't so much disagree with you as think you are re-voicing fuzzy generalisations as a result of frustration. I thought if you homed in a bit you might get better purchase and less frustration. > I am not sure exactly what points you think require further > evidence. Or was it my suggestions you disliked. I didn't dislike them. I'm not on your case. > Do you disagree that we have more talk here than action? No I don't disagree. I just make the point that this is a chat list. Even says so right there in the subject header. > Do you disagree that we should go beyond the > fan-club stage and start actually creating the future ourselves? I have no view on the matter as I find your initial proposition too fuzzy. I wondered if you'd want to expand on it, hence my question which you've respond to below. > > If you have some specific things you'd like > > to see done perhaps you could state them? > > I would like Extropians to get real technology jobs, practice > radical life-extension techniques, sign up for cryonics, start real > think-tanks, produce real solutions, start real development > projects, and write scientifically rigorous papers to present our > ideas. Ok. But as extropes together or as individuals that just happen to frequent the Exi list? The reason I ask is that I think one of the biggest questions is whether transhumanists should form a political force. I do see merit in that proposition. I can see good arguments for and against it. I thought that the WTA might become a political organisation yet Exi might stay out of politics and that might give the best of both worlds. > > I can empathise with frustration and perhaps sometimes the > > list functions as a fraternity of the frustrated but there is > > little point just howling at the moon. > > Sadly, this is the primary cause why people drop out of the list. > Discussions here seem to be incompatible with getting real work > done. Well the universe is contingent. Time spent typing posts to Exi is time not available for other things but people sometimes pick up stuff when they are just being people and talking to other people too. > Eugen, Eliezer and many others have specifically questioned > whether this list detracts from their serious interests elsewhere. I reckon that's a good question I think but its always a personal one. Each of us should perhaps ask ourselves it but I doubt we can answer for otheres. Do you think the Exi chat list actually works as a sort of drug that steals our creative juices or something? Regards, Brett From oregan.emlyn at healthsolve.com.au Wed Dec 10 06:21:45 2003 From: oregan.emlyn at healthsolve.com.au (Emlyn O'regan) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 16:51:45 +1030 Subject: [extropy-chat] Stealing organs finally a crime... Message-ID: <7A2B25F8EB070940996FA543A70A217B017868C7@adlexsv02.protech.com.au> > Spike wrote: > > > It's still legal, even encouraged in this country. > > I don't recall giving my consent to have my foreskin > > removed. > > Wow, that's disgraceful! Do you know the name of the lucky transplant > recipient? > > Damien Broderick Yes, it was our PM, John Howard. It was for an eyelid replacement. They took a bit too much skin though, which explains his eyebrows... Emlyn From thespike at earthlink.net Wed Dec 10 06:26:26 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 00:26:26 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About References: <00e501c3bed8$7a042050$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <02eb01c3bee6$8e073b60$d8994a43@texas.net> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Harvey Newstrom" Sent: Tuesday, December 09, 2003 10:45 PM > There is no doubt that the globe is actually warming. If you want to > argue whether humans are causing it or whether it is a natural cycle, that > is a different argument. In Oz: http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/common/story_page/0,5744,8118124%255E27 02,00.html Average yearly temperatures are projected to rise by as much as 2C across the nation by 2030, and 6C by 2070, according to an Australian Greenhouse Office report into global warming - triggering more natural disasters and crippling water shortages. The number of very hot summer days, with temperatures soaring above 35C, could double in most capital cities. The 240-page assessment, to be released today by Environment Minister David Kemp at a UN summit on climate change in Italy, says Australia will need to make major changes to adapt to the hotter weather that will be induced by global warming due to the greenhouse effect. The trend in Australian temperatures since 1950 is now matching climate model simulations of how temperatures respond to increased greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, the report says. It is likely the 1990s was the warmest decade in the past 1000 years, at least in the northern hemisphere. To cope with climate change, the report warns that Australians must use less water, change the types of crops grown by farmers, revise engineering standards and rezone land to prevent flooding. Farmers are at high risk of losing money due to the increased frequency of bad years, especially droughts, in parts of Australia within the next 20 to 50 years. And Queensland's tourism industry could suffer as warmer water bleaches the corals in the World Heritage-listed Great Barrier Reef. [etc, and of course that's a gummit report so we know we can ignore it] From spike66 at comcast.net Wed Dec 10 06:46:17 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 22:46:17 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Stealing organs finally a crime... In-Reply-To: <5.1.0.14.2.20031209221508.032bd8f0@mail.comcast.net> Message-ID: <003b01c3bee9$50456b50$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > There are a few contextual jokes on your name I could make > but I'm still recovering from the 23-part pun I posted to another group yesterday. We haven't had a pungasm on extropians for some time. {8-] Remember about 3 yrs ago before the war started, when we used to just have fun? Especially around Newtonmass and April 1? spike From spike66 at comcast.net Wed Dec 10 06:56:56 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 22:56:56 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: <007501c3bee2$d6bb6ec0$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: <003c01c3beea$ccf0be60$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > > Eugen, Eliezer and many others have specifically questioned > > whether this list detracts from their serious interests elsewhere. Harvey > > I reckon that's a good question... Do you think the Exi chat list actually > works as a sort of drug that steals our creative juices or something? > > Regards, > Brett Harvey, I see your point, but for some of us, the extrolist is an idea bank, where both deposits and withdrawals are made. I know you are one who takes life very seriously, and we are lucky to have such as these. The chat list for me is more of a drug that *creates* creative juices. I know I am not making any discoveries in life extension; most of us are not. But having fun is itself a life-extension device. Thinking is a life extension device. For my part I will root for the guys doing actual life extension, and attempt to maximize fun while doing so. {8-] spike From gpmap at runbox.com Wed Dec 10 06:57:25 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 07:57:25 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Chinese moon probe to blast off in 3 years Message-ID: >From SciScoop: Some new players are getting ready to break Earth orbit and head out into deep space. China has released its plans for lunar exploration over the coming decade, which include a two-ton lunar orbiter named "Chang'e-I,'' an apparent reference to an ancient legend about the fairy Chang'e who flies to the moon. The craft is currently under construction and will lift off within three years for a 9 day voyage to the Moon followed by a functional year in lunar orbit. Chang'e is to be followed by an unmanned Chinese lunar sample return mission in 2010. In the second decade of the 21st Century, China plans to land one of its citizens on the Moon. Meanwhile, White House spokespersons have debunked as inaccurate rumors several reports that in coming weeks President Bush would issue a call for an American return to the Moon or manned missions to Mars. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From gpmap at runbox.com Wed Dec 10 06:58:31 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 07:58:31 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] IBM Claims Nanotech Breakthrough Message-ID: >From BizReport: Researchers at IBM Corp. claim they have made an important breakthrough in the race to design circuitry at the molecular level: a system that works with existing methods of electronics manufacturing. In a paper being released Monday at an industry conference in Washington, D.C., IBM researchers Chuck Black and Kathyrn Guarini say they used a naturally occurring pattern of molecules as a stencil to etch flash memory circuitry into silicon. Other researchers are experimenting with using self-assembling, or naturally forming, patterns of molecules to build very tiny circuitry. Doing so is believed to be necessary if the high-tech industry can continue to pack more transistors into smaller spaces - the process that continually makes computing faster and less expensive. But the IBM scientists believe they are the first to use the molecular patterns not as circuits that have to be connected to larger wires, but as stencils that light can be shone through to create circuitry in silicon. That would make it more likely to work with existing processes, potentially saving money in manufacturing. IBM predicts prototype devices using the technique could emerge in three to five years. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From gpmap at runbox.com Wed Dec 10 06:59:45 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 07:59:45 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Alternate Universe: Human Spaceflight Without NASA? Message-ID: >From Space.com, an interesting article on the future of space exploration: Space visionary Freeman Dyson, the acclaimed emeritus professor of physics at the Institute for Advanced Study in Princeton, New Jersey, recently had a conversation with Robert Zubrin, the world's biggest cheerleader for human missions to Mars. "Your scheme of Mars missions is excellent," Dyson said, "but it has one fatal flaw, the fact that you are expecting NASA to do it." "Ah, but when we give NASA a real challenge like this, it will be a different NASA," Zubrin replied. "I think he is right," Dyson said last Thursday. I had asked Dyson and other top scientists about the future of human spaceflight, on a day when worldwide media reports (then denied) said President Bush might soon announce a major new human space initiative, to the Moon and perhaps Mars. Sir Martin Rees, a British cosmologist and author of popular books, figures rich entrepreneurs like Amazon.com founder Jeff Bezos should lead the way to the Moon and Mars, with NASA playing a supportive role. The article describes the views of Dyson, Zubrin, Rees and others on space exploration, reporting that many well-known rich individuals are trying to set up commercial space ventures. If humans venture back to the Moon, and even beyond, they may carry commercial insignia rather than national flags. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From gpmap at runbox.com Wed Dec 10 07:00:43 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 08:00:43 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Hawaii Moon Declaration Message-ID: >From Space.com: A worldwide gathering of lunar experts has called for a sequence of technological, exploratory and commercial missions culminating in the establishment a human presence on the Moon. The Moon is currently the focus of an international program of scientific investigation. Current missions underway or planned will lead to the future use of the Moon for science and commercial development, thereby multiplying opportunities for humanity in space and on Earth. We need the Moon for many reasons: to use its resources of materials and energy to provide for our future needs in space and on Earth, to establish a second reservoir of human culture in the event of a terrestrial catastrophe, and to study and understand the universe. The next step in human exploration beyond low Earth orbit logically is to the Moon, our closest celestial neighbor in the Solar System... ... To encourage and stimulate the peaceful and progressive development of the Moon, we recommend that the international community of national space agencies, companies and individuals operate and maintain an exploratory mission at a pole of the Moon to serve as a catalyst for future human missions within a decade. Our vision is one of expanding humanity into space on an endless journey. We believe a human return to the Moon is the next step into the Solar System and the future of the human race. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From joe at barrera.org Wed Dec 10 07:52:00 2003 From: joe at barrera.org (Joseph S. Barrera III) Date: Tue, 09 Dec 2003 23:52:00 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Alternate Universe: Human Spaceflight Without NASA? In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <3FD6D0A0.3080508@barrera.org> Giu1i0 Pri5c0 wrote: > Re: [extropy-chat] Alternate Universe: I think you mean "future history" > popular books, figures rich entrepreneurs like Amazon.com founder > Jeff Bezos should lead the way to the Moon and Mars, with NASA I think you mean "D. D. Harriman" - RAH From dirk at neopax.com Wed Dec 10 08:49:29 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 08:49:29 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] the true meaning of christmas References: <20031209012001.689.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> <00d601c3bdfb$c5718ce0$af994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <016501c3befa$861db0a0$4a7b6951@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Damien Broderick" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Tuesday, December 09, 2003 2:25 AM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] the true meaning of christmas > > ----- Original Message ----- > From: "Mike Lorrey" > Sent: Monday, December 08, 2003 7:20 PM > > > If the EU really wanted to stick it > > to the church, they should have the guts to make Saturday the official > > day of rest and have the work week start on Sunday.... > > Hey! What about us Wodan-worshippers? Damn right! We want Wednesday off! Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From dirk at neopax.com Wed Dec 10 08:56:23 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 08:56:23 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Computing in 2004--and Beyond References: <3FD4D70B.70305@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> Message-ID: <017801c3befb$7ccc7a30$4a7b6951@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "BillK" To: Sent: Monday, December 08, 2003 7:54 PM Subject: [extropy-chat] Computing in 2004--and Beyond > PC World magazine has a look into the future - > > > How will the PC change during the coming year? The next five years? We > consult the experts and come up with answers. > > Highlights: > > According to IDC, flat-panel display shipments will surpass those of > tubes for the first time in 2004. > > Rumors abound that Tejas, Intel's successor to Prescott, will debut near > the end of 2004 with speeds from 5 to 7 GHz. > > Moore's law--the concept that chip performance will double every 18 > months or so--is alive and well. Researchers are just beginning to build > chips with circuits only 65nm wide, and IBM and AMD are among those > working to develop a 45nm process. Intel envisions paring that to 22nm > by the year 2011. > > "The PCs we'll buy just three years from now will have features, user > interfaces, and expansion options that are radically different from > those in the systems we're using today," predicts Microprocessor > Report's Glaskowsky. Well, I already know the basic specs of my next system (about 3yrs away). 10GHz 64 bit CPU, 1TB of mass storage, 16GB RAM etc Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From scerir at libero.it Wed Dec 10 11:19:36 2003 From: scerir at libero.it (scerir) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 12:19:36 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] the true meaning of christmas References: <20031209012001.689.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com><00d601c3bdfb$c5718ce0$af994a43@texas.net> <016501c3befa$861db0a0$4a7b6951@artemis> Message-ID: <001001c3bf0f$7f54e2b0$82b01b97@administxl09yj> No, Sunday or any other day, is definitely out of question, there is nothing in the UE Constitution paper - last draft version. :-) From eugen at leitl.org Wed Dec 10 10:59:59 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 11:59:59 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: <5.2.1.1.2.20031209160927.020d5518@mail.gmu.edu> References: <00ba01c3be6b$27f6a700$6400a8c0@brainiac> <5.2.1.1.2.20031209160927.020d5518@mail.gmu.edu> Message-ID: <20031210105958.GF4452@leitl.org> On Tue, Dec 09, 2003 at 04:20:15PM -0500, Robin Hanson wrote: > I agree this is a huge problem, but you say "diluted" as if you think the > situation was ever any different. It seems to me that this is the way it > has always been. Science and technology is getting progressively complicated, people are less and less willing to work hard, media give voice to everybody. This is a comparatively new problem, and, yes, it's getting worse. (This doesn't apply globally, new players are yet unaffected). Did you ever try to hire somebody under 30 in SoCal? It's an interesting experience. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From eugen at leitl.org Wed Dec 10 11:24:32 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 12:24:32 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] EUGEN: What happened to Genes screeds? In-Reply-To: <20031209193514.33762.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> References: <20031209072732.GA4452@leitl.org> <20031209193514.33762.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20031210112432.GH4452@leitl.org> On Tue, Dec 09, 2003 at 11:35:14AM -0800, Mike Lorrey wrote: > > Posting doesn't get anything done, and I do have a life these days. > > It's very possible that I'll be gone (virtually, for good?) in a few > > months. > > WHAT? What is up? There are 24 h in a day. Minus 8 h sleep, minus commute, minus family. Minus work, because email at work is a good way of not getting anything done. Sleeping less is not an option, neither not working, neither neglecting the family. The arithmetic is really quite simple. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From gpmap at runbox.com Wed Dec 10 11:26:26 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 11:26:26 GMT Subject: [extropy-chat] Alternate Universe: Human Spaceflight Without NASA? Message-ID: No, D. D. Harriman is a fictional character. The article mantions some real people (Bezos, one of the founders of PayPal, plus others), who want to found and fund private space ventures. I loved Heinlein's novel with Harriman (forgot the name) but I think today is a bit naive to think that space can be developmed ONLY with private funds without government involvement. Synergy is the key. > Giu1i0 Pri5c0 wrote: > > > Re: [extropy-chat] Alternate Universe: > > I think you mean "future history" > > > popular books, figures rich entrepreneurs like Amazon.com founder > > Jeff Bezos should lead the way to the Moon and Mars, with NASA > > I think you mean "D. D. Harriman" > > - RAH From dirk at neopax.com Wed Dec 10 11:42:17 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 11:42:17 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About References: <00ba01c3be6b$27f6a700$6400a8c0@brainiac><5.2.1.1.2.20031209160927.020d5518@mail.gmu.edu> <20031210105958.GF4452@leitl.org> Message-ID: <045701c3bf12$aaabacc0$4a7b6951@artemis> > I agree this is a huge problem, but you say "diluted" as if you think the > situation was ever any different. It seems to me that this is the way it > has always been. Science and technology is getting progressively complicated, people are less and less willing to work hard, media give voice to everybody. This is a comparatively new problem, and, yes, it's getting worse. (This doesn't apply globally, new players are yet unaffected). Did you ever try to hire somebody under 30 in SoCal? It's an interesting experience. ___ Part of the 'problem' is that science and technology is not only harder than the pseudosciences but getting weirder as well. It's a clash of religions. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From alito at organicrobot.com Wed Dec 10 12:02:40 2003 From: alito at organicrobot.com (Alejandro Dubrovsky) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 22:02:40 +1000 Subject: [extropy-chat] EUGEN: What happened to Genes screeds? In-Reply-To: <20031210112432.GH4452@leitl.org> References: <20031209072732.GA4452@leitl.org> <20031209193514.33762.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> <20031210112432.GH4452@leitl.org> Message-ID: <1071057760.6250.118.camel@alito.homeip.net> On Wed, 2003-12-10 at 21:24, Eugen Leitl wrote: > On Tue, Dec 09, 2003 at 11:35:14AM -0800, Mike Lorrey wrote: > > > > Posting doesn't get anything done, and I do have a life these days. > > > It's very possible that I'll be gone (virtually, for good?) in a few > > > months. > > > > WHAT? What is up? > > There are 24 h in a day. Minus 8 h sleep, minus commute, minus family. > Minus work, because email at work is a good way of not getting anything > done. > > Sleeping less is not an option, neither not working, neither neglecting > the family. > > The arithmetic is really quite simple. > There's no need for absolutist measures here though. Ignore rabid arguments, ignore what you deem as stupidity and arrogance, and your wasted email time drops by >90%. alejandro (trying to practice what i preach (especially about preaching less, and obviously failing)) From eugen at leitl.org Wed Dec 10 12:14:28 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 13:14:28 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] EUGEN: What happened to Genes screeds? In-Reply-To: <1071057760.6250.118.camel@alito.homeip.net> References: <20031209072732.GA4452@leitl.org> <20031209193514.33762.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> <20031210112432.GH4452@leitl.org> <1071057760.6250.118.camel@alito.homeip.net> Message-ID: <20031210121428.GQ4452@leitl.org> On Wed, Dec 10, 2003 at 10:02:40PM +1000, Alejandro Dubrovsky wrote: > There's no need for absolutist measures here though. Ignore rabid > arguments, ignore what you deem as stupidity and arrogance, and your > wasted email time drops by >90%. I'm doing that; it's just I titrate the mail volume to saturation. I'm going to start dropping several lists as soon as I'm through with the backlog. > alejandro (trying to practice what i preach (especially about preaching > less, and obviously failing)) I wonder what Anders is doing right now. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Wed Dec 10 12:30:42 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 23:30:42 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About References: <00ba01c3be6b$27f6a700$6400a8c0@brainiac> <5.2.1.1.2.20031209160927.020d5518@mail.gmu.edu> <20031210105958.GF4452@leitl.org> <045701c3bf12$aaabacc0$4a7b6951@artemis> Message-ID: <013701c3bf19$6d56d280$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Dirk Bruere wrote: > Part of the 'problem' is that science and technology is not only > harder than the pseudosciences but getting weirder as well. > It's a clash of religions. Science (and technology) as religion. Surely not? Brett From extropy at audry2.com Wed Dec 10 14:28:39 2003 From: extropy at audry2.com (Major) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 22:28:39 +0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Stealing organs finally a crime... In-Reply-To: <003301c3bec9$b12b3a50$6501a8c0@SHELLY> (spike66@comcast.net) References: <003301c3bec9$b12b3a50$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <200312101428.hBAESds13994@igor.synonet.com> > Of course. I have a friend whose job it was to meet with > African immigrant families to explain to them that it is > illegal in this country to do female circumcision, not to > mention cruel and ill-advised. I have often inquired why > she has no counterpart arguing the same for the male children. Probably because while male circumcision may be cruel and ill-advised it is nowhere near as cruel or ill-advised as the so-called female circumcision (which is usually clitorectomy in practice). Major PS: I am old enough to have been circumcised at birth on medical advice (apparently it didn't use to be ill-advised 8-). From bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk Wed Dec 10 13:53:07 2003 From: bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk (BillK) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 13:53:07 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation Message-ID: <3FD72543.7080001@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> On Tue Dec 09, 2003 10:21 am Henrique Moraes Machado wrote: > The transports need a revolution. When we had only horses, the trains > were revolutionary. Then the automobiles and finally airplanes. > Nothing new since then. And there goes one hundred years. > Of course there has been much improvement in 100 years. Automobiles are much improved from the Model T Ford. Current research seems to be aiming towards driverless (automatic-controlled) cars. The 747 compares well with the Wright brothers craft and also flies on auto-pilot for most of the time. And existing technologies are finding more useful areas. We have escalators to climb staircases. We have travelators (moving pavements) at airports, The Paris Metro has the worlds fastest beltway at 9 km/hour. Skyscrapers have incredibly fast lifts nowadays. In UK and Europe, electric urban Light Rail systems are becoming popular in cities. They are cheaper to build than underground rail systems and can follow the existing road system. They have priority over road traffic, so are not delayed by traffic jams. We have monorail suspended rail systems and maglev 'floating' rail systems. Container ships and huge lorries have revolutionised freight transport. And the Segway, of course! For more ideas, see: BillK From eugen at leitl.org Wed Dec 10 13:55:40 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 14:55:40 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] British Royal Society Workshop Commentary In-Reply-To: <200312081943.hB8JheA10797@finney.org> References: <200312081943.hB8JheA10797@finney.org> Message-ID: <20031210135539.GY4452@leitl.org> On Mon, Dec 08, 2003 at 11:43:40AM -0800, Hal Finney wrote: > I'd suggest that what we need today are works that get criticized. > Criticism is how science advances. Avoiding criticism, such as by > the tactic I discussed earlier of shifting the burden of proof, is a > counter-productive strategy which must be abandoned. Your critic is > your best friend. The most critical area of machine-phase system is mechanosynthesis. (Not tribo- and piezochemistry & Co, something like ) (An exhaustive search would require several queries. If anyone would want to compile an exhaustive list on the state of the art in experimental manipulative proximal probe for chemical bond breaking and formation I'd appreciate if you'd post the list here). Due to lack of control at the tip the state of the art is necessarily crude, and will remain so until we can build intricate nanostructures by whatever means. Then, suddenly, you fall into the bootstrap loop, and generate lots of fancy papers, eventually resulting in a full self-rep closure device, after which everybody goes wild, and produces lots of completely novel designs we yet have no idea of. Because of this machine-phase chemistry/mechanosynthesis is limited to computational chemistry, which is still not regarded as a real science by the synthetic chemist (at times people actually do publish bogus results, which are difficult to falsify in absence of experimental validation). In a nutshell, this is why you don't get a lot of comments on Drexler/Merkle nanotechnology from experts outside of the circle. This is why it appears so sterile/snake oily to the established science. Which is why we're most likely to see bootstrap initiated from the biopolymer/synthetic people, which don't have such handicap, and have large b