From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Dec 1 00:16:34 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 16:16:34 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] again with the gun stats In-Reply-To: <01b101c3b791$595fd720$c5994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <20031201001634.25724.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> --- Damien Broderick wrote: > > > > Note that these are not [all] deaths. How does this compare with > some other places > > of comparable size? Inner London in 2001: 2,765,975, so maybe > roughly > > equivalent of US population would be 94,000 armed crimes > > A tad more tells me: > > http://www.met.police.uk/about/index.htm > > < Today, the Metropolitan Police Service employs 29,278 officers, > 11,368 > police staff, 609 traffic wardens and 865 Police Community Support > Officers > (PCSOs), and, since the realignment of police boundaries in April > 2000, it > covers an area of 620 square miles and a population of 7.2million. > (figures updated: August 2003) > Lets see, London has 1 cop per 133 members of the general population, and 68 cops per square mile. In contrast, for example, the city of Concord, NH, has an entire police department staff of 94, covering a population of 40,000+ and 64 square miles, or just under 1 per 400 members of the general population, and 1.5 per square mile. Why is Concord's crime rate so much lower than London's, despite London having three times as many police per 1000 population, and more than 40 times more cops per square mile?????? Note that New Hampshire has the lowest crime rate in the entire US, 2.2 per 100 population. We also have the 3rd most free gun laws in the US, and one of the highest degrees of gun ownership in the US. Look up NH crime rates: http://www.fbi.gov/ucr/cius_02/xl/02tbl05.xls ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Dec 1 00:24:30 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 16:24:30 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Guns In-Reply-To: <022601c3b799$17ddd880$c5994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <20031201002430.26834.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> --- Damien Broderick wrote: > > As I pointed out last time this comical factoid came around, the > figures in question were as follows: > > http://www.breakthechain.org/exclusives/australiaguns.html > > Victoria (population circa 5 million) recorded 7 firearm-related > homicides in 1996, and 19 firearm-related homicides in 1997. That > number has now fallen. > > 1996 - 7 > 1997 - 19 (171.4% increase from 1996 to 1997) > 1998 - 17 (10.5% decrease from 1997 to 1998). > 1999 - 14 (17.6% decrease from 1998 to 1999). > > ============= > > Why keep citing this preposterous silliness, Mike? Lets see, you say a doubling of murders in a three year time span is a decrease???? Did you write copy for the Clinton White House? This is the ultimate in Orwellian spin doctoring... ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Dec 1 00:29:29 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 16:29:29 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] life expectancy In-Reply-To: <3FCA7DC4.8010605@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> Message-ID: <20031201002929.4005.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> --- BillK wrote: > On Sun Nov 30, 2003 03:38 pm Damien Broderick queried: > > > > Bill, I'm still trying to make sense of this. After you exclude the > > wild and dangerous life style of Canadian women, their life > > expectancy *drops* from 81.4 years to 73.5? I guess that the latter > > figure is for the entire living female population, or more exactly > > that the former figure is for girl babies born between 1997 and > 1999, does > > that sound right? > > > > Yeh, confusing isn't it? :) > Even when you read it in the full report it still seems likely to > confuse. Depends. For example, while pregnancy is itself a mortality risk factor, NOT having a child prior to age 25 raises a womans risk of breast and cirvical cancer considerably. While not having kids might be considered "reducing risk", in the end you are increasing your risk. It's one of those counter-intuitive things that goes against conventional wisdom, like moderate drinking is life extending and being slightly overweight is better than being obese OR underweight for life expectancy. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From gregburch at gregburch.net Mon Dec 1 00:45:08 2003 From: gregburch at gregburch.net (Greg Burch) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 18:45:08 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Guns In-Reply-To: <20031201002430.26834.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: > -----Original Message----- > From: Mike Lorrey > Sent: Sunday, November 30, 2003 6:25 PM > > --- Damien Broderick wrote: > > > > As I pointed out last time this comical factoid came around, the > > figures in question were as follows: > > > > http://www.breakthechain.org/exclusives/australiaguns.html > > > > Victoria (population circa 5 million) recorded 7 firearm-related > > homicides in 1996, and 19 firearm-related homicides in 1997. That > > number has now fallen. > > > > 1996 - 7 > > 1997 - 19 (171.4% increase from 1996 to 1997) > > 1998 - 17 (10.5% decrease from 1997 to 1998). > > 1999 - 14 (17.6% decrease from 1998 to 1999). > > > > ============= > > > > Why keep citing this preposterous silliness, Mike? > > Lets see, you say a doubling of murders in a three year time span is a > decrease???? Did you write copy for the Clinton White House? This is > the ultimate in Orwellian spin doctoring... For crying out loud, Mike, that's *NOT* what Damien is saying. He's saying the numbers are so small in absolute terms that expressing increases in terms of percentages from one year to the next is meaningless. If you must apply a percentage to these statistics, it would seem to be more meaningful to express them in terms of the percentage of the population killed by firearms: 1996: 0.00014% 1997: 0.00038% 1998: 0.00034% 1999: 0.00028% All of which is statistically almost meaningless -- the numbers are just too small. GB http://www.gregburch.net/burchismo.html From max at maxmore.com Mon Dec 1 00:59:51 2003 From: max at maxmore.com (Max More) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 18:59:51 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Gun and crime stats for the USA Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031130185856.05ba78d8@mail.earthlink.net> More numbers to argue over: The nation`s violent crime rate (the number of crimes per 100,000 population) has declined every year since 1991 and is now at a 22-year low. And murder is at a 35-year low. (FBI, www.fbi.gov/ucr/ucr.htm) The trends include the following highlights: ? Since 1991, the nation`s violent crime rates have all decreased substantially. Total violent crime (the aggregate of murder and non-negligent manslaughter, rape, robbery, and aggravated assault), has decreased 33.2%; murder and non-negligent manslaughter has decreased 43.7%; rape has decreased 24.2%; robbery has decreased 46.9%; and aggravated assault has decreased 25.3%. ? National violent crime rates in 2000 were the lowest in years. Total violent crime, the lowest since 1978; murder, the lowest since 1965; rape, the lowest since 1978; robbery, the lowest since 1968; and aggravated assault, the lowest since 1985. ? Further demonstrating the irrelevance of "gun control" to crime rates, between 1991 (when violent crime started declining nationally) and 2000, states that had the greatest decreases in violent crime generally, and in murder in particular, included both those that have some of the nation`s least restrictive gun laws (such as Texas, Alabama, South Carolina, and West Virginia) and those that have some of the most restrictive (such as California, New York, Massachusetts, and Connecticut). ? In 2000, as in previous years, firearms were used in less than one-fourth of violent crimes. Most violent crimes were committed with hands and feet (32%), blunt objects and other weapons (28%), and knives (15%). ? In 2000, states that had Right-to-Carry laws had lower violent crime rates on average, compared to the rest of the country. Their total violent crime rate was 21.9% lower, murder was 28.4% lower, robbery was 37.7% lower, and aggravated assault was 16.5% lower. (Rape, the violent crime least likely to involve firearms, was 0.8% higher.) ? The only states that experienced increases in their murder rates between 1991 (when violent crime began declining) and 2000 were Rhode Island (16%), Nebraska (12%), Kansas (3%), and Minnesota (3%), all of which still do not have Right-to-Carry laws. From wingcat at pacbell.net Mon Dec 1 02:06:08 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 18:06:08 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Personal effectiveness In-Reply-To: <16330.23389.637199.899914@localhost.localdomain> Message-ID: <20031201020608.94250.qmail@web80401.mail.yahoo.com> --- JDP wrote: > (You're really master of the art when you > can add to all > this a tricky conversation with a potential sexual > partner that you > have just met, or with an intellectually > sophisticated person arguing > about some novel philosophical point -- and if the > same person is > both, then that's really spectacular.) My family does the second out of habit: cooking is a survival skill (I'm actually the least talented out of my immediate family), plus we discuss various brainstorms in idle moments. "Potential sexual partner" does not apply, of course, except between the family members married to each other - but bringing the children up to be comfortable doing this has lead to, well, us being able to do it. > Which brings us back to time-management, > prioritizing, and > synchronization, all integral to personal > effectiveness. Recently, I've been experimenting with cramming more things into my schedule. For the first time in a long while, I've found the limits of how much I can do at once. (I'm *trying* to back away from said limits now, to add emergency capacity - but, of course, the holiday season adds in its own extra tasks.) From dsunley at shaw.ca Mon Dec 1 02:23:35 2003 From: dsunley at shaw.ca (Darin Sunley) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 20:23:35 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Guns References: Message-ID: <004701c3b7b2$1f9ab480$0201a8c0@BOB> Any of us who've been around here long enough to remember the last big gun flamefest have seen all of this rhetoric, on both sides, before. But there is a new and intriguing element this time around. The previous flamewar emerged from the standard, familiar dynamics of text-based communications. Lack of face-to-face communication erodes the standard social cognitive feedback loops that generate civil behavior in most well-socialized adults. As is common in these situations, neither party had any particular formal training in the subject area, just the informed interest of a passionate layman. Neither party claimed to represent any organization larger than themselves, and therefore all flames were strictly personal. The participants could damage their own credibility, and sometimes even that of their opponents, but no one else's. This time however, the scale of the conflict is slightly larger. Dirk claims to be representing a new political party and, one assumes, has aspirations to eventually run as a candidate himself, or to speak for candidates running in local elections in the UK. Dirk, as fun as this petulant sniping and blatant stereotyping must be for you, and as much as it must seem that Mr. Lorrey started it and that honour must be satisfied, you MUST hold yourself to a higher standard of public behavior. This list is archived publically. As a citizen of the UK you must surely be famliar with the less savoury elements of your local media. The publishing of this, frankly petty, flamefest would, if spun appropriately, do serious damage to your long term credibility as a member of the British political community. Do yourself a huge favour and rise above the petty flamefests that characterize these kind of online debates. Tossing statistics of indeterminate credibility, tidbits of sarcasm and mediocre wit, and stereotypes constituting viscious insults won't win you the support of the average cocktail party, let alone a parliamentary riding where your clear passion for the issues might have some actual influence on public debate. To summarize, Dirk, this is not the time, not the place, and it is certainly not the manner in which to have this debate. Darin Sunley, dsunley at shaw.ca ----- Original Message ----- From: "Greg Burch" To: "ExI chat list" ; "Damien Broderick" Sent: Sunday, November 30, 2003 6:45 PM Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] Guns > > > -----Original Message----- > > From: Mike Lorrey > > Sent: Sunday, November 30, 2003 6:25 PM > > > > --- Damien Broderick wrote: > > > > > > As I pointed out last time this comical factoid came around, the > > > figures in question were as follows: > > > > > > http://www.breakthechain.org/exclusives/australiaguns.html > > > > > > Victoria (population circa 5 million) recorded 7 firearm-related > > > homicides in 1996, and 19 firearm-related homicides in 1997. That > > > number has now fallen. > > > > > > 1996 - 7 > > > 1997 - 19 (171.4% increase from 1996 to 1997) > > > 1998 - 17 (10.5% decrease from 1997 to 1998). > > > 1999 - 14 (17.6% decrease from 1998 to 1999). > > > > > > ============= > > > > > > Why keep citing this preposterous silliness, Mike? > > > > Lets see, you say a doubling of murders in a three year time span is a > > decrease???? Did you write copy for the Clinton White House? This is > > the ultimate in Orwellian spin doctoring... > > For crying out loud, Mike, that's *NOT* what Damien is saying. He's saying the numbers are so small in absolute terms that expressing increases in terms of percentages from one year to the next is meaningless. If you must apply a percentage to these statistics, it would seem to be more meaningful to express them in terms of the percentage of the population killed by firearms: > > 1996: 0.00014% > 1997: 0.00038% > 1998: 0.00034% > 1999: 0.00028% > > All of which is statistically almost meaningless -- the numbers are just too small. > > GB > http://www.gregburch.net/burchismo.html > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From dirk at neopax.com Mon Dec 1 03:06:13 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 03:06:13 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Guns References: <004701c3b7b2$1f9ab480$0201a8c0@BOB> Message-ID: <041e01c3b7b8$145e0f80$3bb5ff3e@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Darin Sunley" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Monday, December 01, 2003 2:23 AM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Guns > Any of us who've been around here long enough to remember the last big gun > flamefest have seen all of this rhetoric, on both sides, before. But there > is a new and intriguing element this time around. > > The previous flamewar emerged from the standard, familiar dynamics of > text-based communications. Lack of face-to-face communication erodes the > standard social cognitive feedback loops that generate civil behavior in > most well-socialized adults. As is common in these situations, neither party > had any particular formal training in the subject area, just the informed > interest of a passionate layman. Neither party claimed to represent any > organization larger than themselves, and therefore all flames were strictly > personal. The participants could damage their own credibility, and sometimes > even that of their opponents, but no one else's. > > This time however, the scale of the conflict is slightly larger. Dirk claims > to be representing a new political party and, one assumes, has aspirations > to eventually run as a candidate himself, or to speak for candidates running > in local elections in the UK. > > Dirk, as fun as this petulant sniping and blatant stereotyping must be for > you, and as much as it must seem that Mr. Lorrey started it and that honour > must be satisfied, you MUST hold yourself to a higher standard of public > behavior. This list is archived publically. As a citizen of the UK you must > surely be famliar with the less savoury elements of your local media. The > publishing of this, frankly petty, flamefest would, if spun appropriately, > do serious damage to your long term credibility as a member of the British > political community. I'm afraid I'm a long way from being a serious member of the British political community, and I have another 40,000 odd posts to answer for before the media gets to this. I use Usenet (and this to some extent) as a 'warts and all' record of my beliefs and opinions and how they change and evolve over time. Hence I always post under my own name. > Do yourself a huge favour and rise above the petty flamefests that > characterize these kind of online debates. Tossing statistics of > indeterminate credibility, tidbits of sarcasm and mediocre wit, and > stereotypes constituting viscious insults won't win you the support of the > average cocktail party, let alone a parliamentary riding where your clear > passion for the issues might have some actual influence on public debate. I'm afraid nobody of consequence reads any of this crap, and the only reason they might is because one (or more) of us becomes famous enough to put it on the map in the real world. > To summarize, Dirk, this is not the time, not the place, and it is certainly > not the manner in which to have this debate. So what is the time and place to wind up self righteous Americans in love with their guns? Thing is, the party as such has no opinion on gun ownership so I feel free to piss about as the mood takes me on this issue. Sometimes I'm for, sometimes against. For myself, I've always loved personal weapons from knives, through swords and bows to automatic firearms. I've been a martial arts teacher for more than two decades and am reasonably proficient with quite a selection, including military rifles and pistols. If I lived in the US I would no doubt have a decent collection eg Walther P99, Desert Eagle in 44cal for fun, a full calbre bolt action and an AR15. Maybe even a 50cal long range rifle like the Barrett depending on the law. The point is, though, that I don't consider gun ownership sacred and am quite prepared to go along with the majority decision of whatever society I live in. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From aiguy at comcast.net Mon Dec 1 03:48:25 2003 From: aiguy at comcast.net (Gary Miller) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 22:48:25 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Gun and crime stats for the USA References: <5.1.0.14.2.20031130185856.05ba78d8@mail.earthlink.net> Message-ID: <003501c3b7bd$f96bf650$9ef9a343@GaryMiller01> Don't we have to add the number of deaths from accidental gun deaths to the number murdered to get a true picture of loss of life? Quoting http://www.nationalreview.com/kopel/kopel013101.shtml Putting aside the suicides, the Kellermann/Reay figures show 2.39 accidental or criminal deaths by firearm (in the home) for every justifiable fatal shooting. Now, 2 to 1 is a lot less dramatic than 43 to 1 earlier reported in a flawed earlier analysis, but we still have more unjustifiable gun deaths than justifiable gun deaths in the home. Worse yet many of those killed are the very children the parents seek to protect. Hand gun locks and smart guns could eliminate this disparity once the public was legally required to meet this requirement. But the cost of smart guns could be cost prohibitive and hand gun locks laws could only be enforced after the fact or on an inspection basis the way we do with automobiles. Juries would be extremely reluctant to prosecute parents for manslaughter who left an unlocked gun where a child could gain access but the publicity from such trials could further server to educate other gun owners. I have read that the decrease in murder rates is in a large part due to the decreased fatalities caused by improvement of medical trauma. Additional factors include improved police work in getting repeat violent offenders off the street sooner and laws like three strikes and your out which put repeat violent offenders away for good. ----- Original Message ----- From: "Max More" To: "Extropy Chat" Sent: Sunday, November 30, 2003 7:59 PM Subject: [extropy-chat] Gun and crime stats for the USA > More numbers to argue over: > > The nation`s violent crime rate (the number of crimes per 100,000 > population) has declined every year since 1991 and is now at a 22-year low. > And murder is at a 35-year low. (FBI, www.fbi.gov/ucr/ucr.htm) The trends > include the following highlights: > ? Since 1991, the nation`s violent crime rates have all decreased > substantially. Total violent crime (the aggregate of murder and > non-negligent manslaughter, rape, robbery, and aggravated assault), has > decreased 33.2%; murder and non-negligent manslaughter has decreased 43.7%; > rape has decreased 24.2%; robbery has decreased 46.9%; and aggravated > assault has decreased 25.3%. > ? National violent crime rates in 2000 were the lowest in years. > Total violent crime, the lowest since 1978; murder, the lowest since 1965; > rape, the lowest since 1978; robbery, the lowest since 1968; and aggravated > assault, the lowest since 1985. > ? Further demonstrating the irrelevance of "gun control" to crime > rates, between 1991 (when violent crime started declining nationally) and > 2000, states that had the greatest decreases in violent crime generally, > and in murder in particular, included both those that have some of the > nation`s least restrictive gun laws (such as Texas, Alabama, South > Carolina, and West Virginia) and those that have some of the most > restrictive (such as California, New York, Massachusetts, and Connecticut). > ? In 2000, as in previous years, firearms were used in less than > one-fourth of violent crimes. Most violent crimes were committed with hands > and feet (32%), blunt objects and other weapons (28%), and knives (15%). > ? In 2000, states that had Right-to-Carry laws had lower violent > crime rates on average, compared to the rest of the country. Their total > violent crime rate was 21.9% lower, murder was 28.4% lower, robbery was > 37.7% lower, and aggravated assault was 16.5% lower. (Rape, the violent > crime least likely to involve firearms, was 0.8% higher.) > ? The only states that experienced increases in their murder rates > between 1991 (when violent crime began declining) and 2000 were Rhode > Island (16%), Nebraska (12%), Kansas (3%), and Minnesota (3%), all of which > still do not have Right-to-Carry laws. > > > > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From spike66 at comcast.net Mon Dec 1 03:50:41 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 19:50:41 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Guns In-Reply-To: <004701c3b7b2$1f9ab480$0201a8c0@BOB> Message-ID: <000601c3b7be$4a49ddd0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > Darin Sunley > Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Guns > > Any of us who've been around here long enough to remember the > last big gun flamefest have seen all of this rhetoric, on both sides, > before. But there is a new and intriguing element this time around. > > The previous flamewar emerged from the standard, familiar dynamics of > text-based communications. Lack of face-to-face communication > erodes the standard social cognitive feedback loops that generate civil > behavior in most well-socialized adults... The participants have been remarkably civil this time around. Perhaps we really can discuss this topic. {8-] spike From dirk at neopax.com Mon Dec 1 04:23:20 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 04:23:20 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Guns References: <000601c3b7be$4a49ddd0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <046601c3b7c2$d9e81570$3bb5ff3e@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Spike" To: "'ExI chat list'" Sent: Monday, December 01, 2003 3:50 AM Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] Guns > > > Darin Sunley > > Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Guns > > > > Any of us who've been around here long enough to remember the > > last big gun flamefest have seen all of this rhetoric, on both sides, > > before. But there is a new and intriguing element this time around. > > > > The previous flamewar emerged from the standard, familiar dynamics of > > text-based communications. Lack of face-to-face communication > > erodes the standard social cognitive feedback loops that generate > civil > > behavior in most well-socialized adults... > > The participants have been remarkably civil this time > around. Perhaps we really can discuss this topic. {8-] I doubt it. It's a religious issue that is a matter of faith. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From ABlainey at aol.com Mon Dec 1 04:30:21 2003 From: ABlainey at aol.com (ABlainey at aol.com) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 23:30:21 EST Subject: [extropy-chat] test Message-ID: test. what no mail for 2 days? hmmmmmmmmmm From gpmap at runbox.com Mon Dec 1 05:18:45 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 06:18:45 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Scientists harness rice gene in battle against poverty Message-ID: BusinessWorld, the Philippines' leading business newspaper, has an article on designer rice that scientists say could save the human race, but which some fear is a potential monster. The idea that nutrient-rich, yellow-tinged golden rice seeds are the culinary equivalent of the Frankenstein monster doesn't make any sense. So far, no GMO [genetically modified organism] produced and released to the farmer has caused any risk or any adverse effect that's known to us. These are the opinions of biotechnologists and managers at the International Rice Research Institute (IRRI). A 10-year coordinated effort by IRRI, the private sector and a number of national scientific institutions has led to "golden rice," where three genes are manipulated to make them produce beta carotene, niacin, iron and other essential minerals in the seed. This and other GMOs will be available to ordinary Asian farmers and consumers in three or four years once governments adopt national biosafety guidelines. It could have "tremendous impact" on nutrition for Asians, who eat steamed rice at least twice a day. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From gpmap at runbox.com Mon Dec 1 05:20:23 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 06:20:23 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Future Of Wireless Sensor Networks Message-ID: >From Slashdot: In the 12/03 Wired, Intel's Tiny Hope for the Future describes a fundamental transformation as Intel's Research director David Tennenhouse realized the importance of sensor networks. He saw a Berkeley project on 'motes,' little sensors that communicate on ad-hoc wireless networks. 'The company now foresees networks consisting of thousands of motes, located wherever there's a need for data collection, streaming real-time data to one another and to central servers. Intel imagines the day when every assembly line, soybean field, and nursing home on the planet will be peppered with motes, prodding factory foremen to replace faulty machines, farmers to water fields, and nurses to check on something unusual in room E214.' Intel was impressed enough with the technology to fund a whole 'lablet' to develop it. Intel sees a huge potential market in developing both the sensors and the computation to process the huge amounts of sensor information. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From spike66 at comcast.net Mon Dec 1 05:35:53 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 21:35:53 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Guns In-Reply-To: <046601c3b7c2$d9e81570$3bb5ff3e@artemis> Message-ID: <000001c3b7cc$fd6d8390$6501a8c0@SHELLY> ... social cognitive feedback loops that generate civil > > > behavior in most well-socialized adults... > > > > The participants have been remarkably civil this time > > around. Perhaps we really can discuss this topic. {8-] > > > I doubt it. > It's a religious issue that is a matter of faith. > > Dirk Dirk, it could be that a lot of gun debate is pointless. In this country, gun ownership is our right, so the fed cannot legally challenge it in any case. Were the fed to attempt to do so, we would be forced to conclude that our legal constitutional government had been overthrown, and would be obligated to take up arms against it restore a legal government. That's pretty simple, isn't it? Caustic debate on the topic is unnecessary, pointless as hell. spike From dirk at neopax.com Mon Dec 1 05:48:43 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 05:48:43 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Guns References: <000001c3b7cc$fd6d8390$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <049401c3b7ce$c780f850$3bb5ff3e@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Spike" To: "'Dirk Bruere'" ; "'ExI chat list'" Sent: Monday, December 01, 2003 5:35 AM Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] Guns > > ... social cognitive feedback loops that generate civil > > > > behavior in most well-socialized adults... > > > > > > The participants have been remarkably civil this time > > > around. Perhaps we really can discuss this topic. {8-] > > > > > > I doubt it. > > It's a religious issue that is a matter of faith. > > > > Dirk > > > Dirk, it could be that a lot of gun debate is > pointless. In this country, gun ownership is our > right, so the fed cannot legally challenge it in any > case. Were the fed to attempt to do so, we would be > forced to conclude that our legal constitutional > government had been overthrown, and would be obligated > to take up arms against it restore a legal government. > That's pretty simple, isn't it? Caustic debate on the > topic is unnecessary, pointless as hell. It's far from simple. Why don't you tell me how you can own fully automatic rifles in California? It may be your constitutional right to own guns, but the govt gets to decide what guns you are allowed, and what you aren't. Your rights would not be in breach of the constitution if they only allowed you flintlock muskets. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From dirk at neopax.com Mon Dec 1 05:49:17 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 05:49:17 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] test References: Message-ID: <049a01c3b7ce$dbc654e0$3bb5ff3e@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: To: Sent: Monday, December 01, 2003 4:30 AM Subject: [extropy-chat] test > test. what no mail for 2 days? hmmmmmmmmmm You probably have your boredom filter set to 'on'. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From thespike at earthlink.net Mon Dec 1 05:52:07 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 23:52:07 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Guns--generalized References: <000001c3b7cc$fd6d8390$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <00d901c3b7cf$42e4a5a0$c5994a43@texas.net> Spike reckons: > In this country, gun ownership is our > right, so the fed cannot legally challenge it in any > case. Were the fed to attempt to do so, we would be > forced to conclude that our legal constitutional > government had been overthrown, and would be obligated > to take up arms against it I don't know how this legal constitution caper works (being a benighted Aussie), but a few questions spring to mind. Suppose slavery had been enshrined from the outset in the Constitution, or suppose that women had been forbidden suffrage. Would it not be permitted to change these rights and exclusions? Suppose enough citizens wanted to forbid the sale and consumption of alcoholic beverages, even though that had been implicitly a right until then? And if the ban were legally inserted into the legal constitution, would there be a legal constitutional way to get rid of it on second thoughts? And then to reimpose it on third thoughts? (I could ask the lawyer downstairs, but she's very busy...) Damien Broderick From gpmap at runbox.com Mon Dec 1 05:59:24 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 06:59:24 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] A question on Consensus policy Message-ID: Dirk, I am still trying to interpret your ideas. Could you please answer this? Suppose Bigland is an old nation state where most citizens are proudly worshipping the national flag and talking all the time of the national culture, language, music, philosophy, battles won, etc. Suppose Smalland is a region of Bigland where at some point the citizens democratically decide to become independent from Bigland. Assuming that Bigland has vastly superior military power, does Bigland have any right to force Smalland to remain a part of Bigland? From dirk at neopax.com Mon Dec 1 06:12:32 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 06:12:32 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] A question on Consensus policy References: Message-ID: <04c801c3b7d2$1b6e3b50$3bb5ff3e@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Giu1i0 Pri5c0" To: ; Sent: Monday, December 01, 2003 5:59 AM Subject: [extropy-chat] A question on Consensus policy > Dirk, I am still trying to interpret your ideas. Could you please answer > this? > Suppose Bigland is an old nation state where most citizens are proudly > worshipping the national flag and talking all the time of the national > culture, language, music, philosophy, battles won, etc. Suppose Smalland is > a region of Bigland where at some point the citizens democratically decide > to become independent from Bigland. Assuming that Bigland has vastly > superior military power, does Bigland have any right to force Smalland to > remain a part of Bigland? Militarily, no. However, they do have a right to exert pressure within their own (Bigland-Smalland) borders. For example, they could simply state that they will not trade with them, or allow overflights of passenger aircraft etc. That may hurt Smalland sufficiently to coerce the population, but only if they value their money over their freedom. A true nationstate must be a viable proposition and not exist solely due to the generosity of its neighbours. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From dirk at neopax.com Mon Dec 1 06:12:32 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 06:12:32 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] A question on Consensus policy References: Message-ID: <04c801c3b7d2$1b6e3b50$3bb5ff3e@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Giu1i0 Pri5c0" To: ; Sent: Monday, December 01, 2003 5:59 AM Subject: [extropy-chat] A question on Consensus policy > Dirk, I am still trying to interpret your ideas. Could you please answer > this? > Suppose Bigland is an old nation state where most citizens are proudly > worshipping the national flag and talking all the time of the national > culture, language, music, philosophy, battles won, etc. Suppose Smalland is > a region of Bigland where at some point the citizens democratically decide > to become independent from Bigland. Assuming that Bigland has vastly > superior military power, does Bigland have any right to force Smalland to > remain a part of Bigland? Militarily, no. However, they do have a right to exert pressure within their own (Bigland-Smalland) borders. For example, they could simply state that they will not trade with them, or allow overflights of passenger aircraft etc. That may hurt Smalland sufficiently to coerce the population, but only if they value their money over their freedom. A true nationstate must be a viable proposition and not exist solely due to the generosity of its neighbours. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From nanogirl at halcyon.com Mon Dec 1 06:24:50 2003 From: nanogirl at halcyon.com (Gina Miller) Date: Sun, 30 Nov 2003 22:24:50 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Drexler and Smalley news update References: <04c801c3b7d2$1b6e3b50$3bb5ff3e@artemis> Message-ID: <025b01c3b7d3$d3582ea0$3f80e40c@NANOGIRL> This is a direct copy and paste from the Foresight frontpage: "Nobel Winner Smalley Responds to Drexler's Challenge, Fails to Defend National Nanotech Policy Rice University Professor Richard Smalley responds to a longstanding challenge by Foresight Chairman Eric Drexler to defend the controversial direction of U.S. policy in nanotechnology. Their four-part exchange is the cover story of the Dec. 1 2003 Chemical & Engineering News. This could mark a turning point in the development of the field. Press release Foresight comments and FAQ Full text of the exchange " Gina "Nanogirl" Miller Nanotechnology Industries http://www.nanoindustries.com Personal: http://www.nanogirl.com Foresight Senior Associate http://www.foresight.org Nanotechnology Advisor Extropy Institute http://www.extropy.org Tech-Aid Advisor http://www.tech-aid.info/t/all-about.html nanogirl at halcyon.com "Nanotechnology: Solutions for the future." From gpmap at runbox.com Mon Dec 1 07:30:08 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 08:30:08 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] PC eye-control for severely disabled Message-ID: >From BBC News: Award-winning Spanish technology that lets severely disabled people control a computer using eye movement could soon be available in the UK. The Iriscom, which emulates mouse movement by tracking the iris, is already on sale in Spanish-speaking countries and Portugal. Iriscom moves the mouse pointer by tracking a person's eye movement and mouse clicks are performed by blinking. It also has an on-screen keyboard so users can input text. It can be used by anyone who has control of one eye, including people wearing glasses or contact lenses. The main Iriscom website is in spanish, see also EyeTech Digital Systems. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From amara at amara.com Mon Dec 1 10:32:14 2003 From: amara at amara.com (Amara Graps) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 12:32:14 +0200 Subject: [extropy-chat] (2)ImmInst Update "Girls Night Out" Sun Nov 30 Message-ID: support at imminst.org wrote: > >ImmInst Update >******************************* > >Chat Topic: "Girls Night Out" - Women & the Future > >Time: Nov 30 - SUN 8pm Eastern, Length: 1 Hour >Host: Susan Fonseca-Klein - co-director, ImmInst.org >Susan's Biography and Discussion Topic: >http://imminst.org/forum/index.php?act=ST&f=99&t=2218&s= > >CHAT FOR WOMEN ONLY! > >Sponsored by the Immortality Institute (ImmInst.org), a nonprofit >with the mission to end the blight of involuntary death, and hosted by >Susan Fonseca-Klein, this chat is for women only. I hope it was fun! I was seriously considering to participate in this until I looked at the time... It's 2am in Europe. That's too difficult for me. Is there any chance that occasionally, these chats could be held at a different time? Amara -- ******************************************************************** Amara Graps, PhD email: amara at amara.com Computational Physics vita: ftp://ftp.amara.com/pub/resume.txt Multiplex Answers URL: http://www.amara.com/ ******************************************************************** "The best presents don't come in boxes." --Hobbes From eugen at leitl.org Mon Dec 1 11:49:12 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 12:49:12 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] (2)ImmInst Update "Girls Night Out" Sun Nov 30 In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <20031201114912.GF22650@leitl.org> On Mon, Dec 01, 2003 at 12:32:14PM +0200, Amara Graps wrote: > > I was seriously considering to participate in this until I looked > at the time... It's 2am in Europe. That's too difficult for me. Ditto here. There's no way how I could stay up late, and be at work the next day, rested. > Is there any chance that occasionally, these chats could be held > at a different time? Yes, me too. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk Mon Dec 1 11:59:52 2003 From: bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk (BillK) Date: Mon, 01 Dec 2003 11:59:52 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] again with the gun stats Message-ID: <3FCB2D38.1030508@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> On Sun Nov 30, 2003 03:28 pm Damien Broderick wrote: > The Brits on the list will surely know in better detail. > One big problem in all these stats is that it is very difficult to compare like with like. What is classified as 'violent crime' varies greatly from country to country and even from state to state. In the UK the 'horrifying' rise in violent street crime is mostly kids nicking mobile phones off each other. And a lot of these are 'fake' crimes. Mobile phones are a fashion item and they all want the latest gear. So some thieving goes on, but many just toss them in the river and claim they were stolen so they can get the latest new phone from the insurance or gullible parents. "Crime statistics show that in London: * In half of all street robberies, a mobile phone is stolen * In two thirds of those robberies, a mobile phone is the only item taken. * Fourteen- to 17-year-olds are the age group most likely to be victims of street crime." Summary statistics are only a general guide. You have to look behind the 20% increase or decrease to see what is really going on. BillK From natasha at natasha.cc Mon Dec 1 15:28:33 2003 From: natasha at natasha.cc (Natasha Vita-More) Date: Mon, 01 Dec 2003 07:28:33 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] (2)ImmInst Update "Girls Night Out" Sun Nov 30 In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <5.2.0.9.0.20031201072417.02122990@pop.earthlink.net> At 12:32 PM 12/1/03 +0200, Amara Graps wrote: >I hope it was fun! > >I was seriously considering to participate in this until I looked >at the time... It's 2am in Europe. That's too difficult for me. > >Is there any chance that occasionally, these chats could be held >at a different time? Hi Amara! - Yes it was great fun. Discussed many topics and had many lols. Why don't you contact Susan about scheduling next months chat at a time convenient for you. Natasha Natasha Vita-More http://www.natasha.cc ---------- President, Extropy Institute http://www.extropy.org Founder, Transhumanist Arts & Culture http://www.transhumanist.biz http://www.transhuman.org -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From iph1954 at msn.com Mon Dec 1 13:47:09 2003 From: iph1954 at msn.com (MIKE TREDER) Date: Mon, 01 Dec 2003 08:47:09 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley-Drexler Debate Analysis Message-ID: Eric Drexler and Richard Smalley recently have been exchanging views about Drexler?s version of nanotechnology and Smalley?s objections to it. Their back and forth written debate is the cover story in today's Chemical and Engineering News (http://pubs.acs.org/cen/coverstory/8148/8148counterpoint.html). As described in the press release shown below, CRN has prepared an independent review of the Smaller-Drexler exchange (see http://CRNano.org/Debate.htm). Mike Treder Executive Director, Center for Responsible Nanotechnology - http://CRNano.org Director, World Transhumanist Association - http://transhumanism.org Executive Director, New York Transhumanist Association - http://nyta.net Founder, Incipient Posthuman Website - http://incipientposthuman.com Executive Advisory Team, Extropy Institute - http://extropy.org KurzweilAI "Big Thinker" - http://kurzweilai.net/bios/frame.html ================== FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Published Debate Shows Weakness of MNT Denial NEW YORK ? Attackers of molecular nanotechnology (MNT) received a setback today when a published debate revealed the weakness of their position. The four-part exchange between Eric Drexler, the founder of nanotechnology, and Nobelist Richard Smalley, who contends that many of Drexler's plans are impossible, is the cover story in the December 1 Chemical & Engineering News. "We have carefully examined the arguments presented by each side," says Chris Phoenix, Director of Research at the Center for Responsible Nanotechnology (CRN). "We conclude that Smalley failed to show why MNT cannot work as Drexler asserts." Phoenix has prepared a 6-page review of the Smalley-Drexler debate, including historical overview, technical analysis, and commentary on policy implications. It is available at http://CRNano.org/Debate.htm. Drexler, who single-handedly launched the field of nanotechnology in the late 1980's, believes that mechanical control of chemical reactions can form the basis of powerful manufacturing systems. Smalley has tried for years to debunk the possibility of such manufacturing, since it could in theory lead to scary consequences such as tiny machines building exponential copies of themselves at the expense of the biosphere. In 2001, Smalley published an article in Scientific American claiming that mechanical control of reactions would require impossible "magic fingers." But in the current debate, Smalley agreed that "something like an enzyme or a ribosome ... can do precise chemistry." The question to be answered now is: What kind of chemistry can an enzyme-like chemical system do? Smalley attempts to define limits, and fails. He claims that enzymes can only work under water, but this is untrue, as almost two decades of published research have shown. With this crucial support missing, his remaining case against mechanical chemistry falls apart. At this point, no one knows the limits of such a system. As far back as 1959, Nobel-winning physicist Richard Feynman said it should be possible "to synthesize any chemical substance." Work by Drexler and others over the past decade has shown that even a much more limited capability should be sufficient to develop manufacturing systems that can duplicate themselves. "Smalley's factual inaccuracies, his unscientific and vehement attacks on MNT, and his continued failure to criticize the actual chemical proposals of MNT, demonstrate that it is time to move beyond this debate," says Mike Treder, Executive Director of CRN. "It?s time to focus on the technical proposals and the serious societal implications that we can no longer afford to ignore." During the past decade, detailed proposals have been developed for the architecture and technology of molecular manufacturing systems. Such proposals cannot be tested fully in the absence of laboratory work and targeted research, but enough is known to initiate action based on existing work. The proposals are sufficiently detailed to support a much more thoughtful critical study than has yet been done, and such a study would result in further refinement of the proposals. "We can?and we must?begin to quantify the expected capabilities of molecular manufacturing systems," says Phoenix. "What substances and devices can they build? How rapidly can they work? How easy will it be to design products for these manufacturing systems? How much will it cost to create such a system, and how quickly will that cost decrease over time?" Treder adds, "Now that even Richard Smalley is talking about the capabilities of enzymes in molecular manufacturing, instead of impossible magic fingers, we hope that facile and ungrounded denials of MNT will no longer be credible." The Center for Responsible Nanotechnology is headquartered in New York. CRN is an affiliate of World Care, an international, non-profit, 501(c)(3) organization. For more information on CRN, see http://www.crnano.org/. Press release link -- http://CRNano.org/PR-Debate.htm _________________________________________________________________ Is there a gadget-lover on your gift list? MSN Shopping has lined up some good bets! http://shopping.msn.com From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Dec 1 14:04:56 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 06:04:56 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Gun and crime stats for the USA In-Reply-To: <003501c3b7bd$f96bf650$9ef9a343@GaryMiller01> Message-ID: <20031201140456.86096.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> --- Gary Miller wrote: > Don't we have to add the number of deaths from accidental gun deaths > to the > number murdered to get a true picture of loss of life? > > Quoting http://www.nationalreview.com/kopel/kopel013101.shtml > > Putting aside the suicides, the Kellermann/Reay figures show 2.39 > accidental > or criminal deaths by firearm (in the home) for every justifiable > fatal > shooting. Now, 2 to 1 is a lot less dramatic than 43 to 1 earlier > reported > in a flawed earlier analysis, but we still have more unjustifiable > gun deaths than justifiable gun deaths in the home. Kellerman's figures have been thoroughly destroyed as anything meaningful. In fact, his study is taught in statistics classes as an example of how to lie with fraudulent stats. The facts are that the Keck surveys established that lawful defensive gun use occurs over 2 million times a year in the US, with around 9,000 homicides. Most defensive gun uses never result in the firing of a shot. People like Kellerman refuse to count such uses. > > Worse yet many of those killed are the very children the parents seek > to protect. On the contrary, another area Kellerman lies is in counting ALL child deaths at the hands of parents as being gun related if there is a gun in the home. Most child deaths at the hands of parents occur with the hands (choking, beating, kicking, starving, drowning, etc). Another area is one you are confusing here. When the FBI reports a murder victim as being 'related or acquainted' with their killer, this does NOT just include parents, relatives, friends and neighbors. THis includes the drug dealer on the corner and the cranck addict in the alley. Being 'acquainted' with the perpetrator means "was the victim aware of the perpetrators identity and/or presence in the neighborhood prior to the crime?" and does not just include people you wouldn't mind having over for tea. > > Hand gun locks and smart guns could eliminate this disparity once the > public was legally required to meet this requirement. But the cost > of smart guns could be cost prohibitive and hand gun locks laws > could only be enforced after the fact or on an inspection basis > the way we do with automobiles. Actually studies have shown no increase in safety with gun locks outside of an increase in safety for abusive parents, who might otherwise be killed at the hands of their victim children if they could get their hands on their parents firearms. Gun locks are very easy to overcome in several minutes with a small pair of bolt cutters or a bobby pin or paper clip. I have even seen some that would pop open if you banged them on your desk at the right angle while pulling on the hasp. Contrarily, gun locks hamper a homeowners ability to use the gun in the event of an actual home invasion of any sort, and are recorded as responsible for a number of deaths as a result. > > Juries would be extremely reluctant to prosecute parents for > manslaughter > who left an unlocked gun where a child could gain access but the > publicity > from such trials could further server to educate other gun owners. The OB/GYN who delivered myself and my siblings, who was also my grandfathers best friend, was killed on holiday evening, along with his wife and son by a biker gang invading their home in Massachusetts in the late 1970's. Massachusetts law did not allow even the training of handgun use to children under 16, and his 14 year old son was the only one in reach of a hand gun at the time, a boy who had been an avid shooter since age 9. He tried to use his fathers 1911 pistol, but it jammed and he was overpowered before he could clear the stack. Do NOT try to tell me that preventing children from accessing firearms is any sort of answer to anything. > > I have read that the decrease in murder rates is in a large part due > to the decreased fatalities caused by improvement of medical trauma. > Additional factors include improved police work in getting repeat > violent offenders off > the street sooner and laws like three strikes and your out which put > repeat violent offenders away for good. It is documented that states that pass right-to-carry laws experience a minimum of a 12% greater decrease in violent crime than states without such laws. (Dr John Lott, "More Guns, Less Crime"; University of Chicago Press) Furthermore, Lott shows that spree killings are reduced by 80% over non-right-to-carry states. Violent offenders are not being put away for good, either. Violent criminals are being released early, without warning victims and witnesses, in order to make room for drug offenders. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Dec 1 14:09:07 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 06:09:07 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Guns In-Reply-To: <046601c3b7c2$d9e81570$3bb5ff3e@artemis> Message-ID: <20031201140907.49595.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > I doubt it. > It's a religious issue that is a matter of faith. Sorry, Dirk, but the numbers really do prove my side. Dr. John Lott's study was of ALL FBI crime data from 1980 to 1995 and proves that right-to-carry reduces crime. Antyi-gun studies always cherry pick their data sets from communities that fit their prejudices. NONE have ever looked at even a large fraction of the data that Lott's study covered. Furthermore, a more recent study of the same data using more advanced statistical methods demonstrated that the crime reduction was greater than the 12% that Lott reported, more in the order of 25%. Faith does not get proven by statistics, faith only exists in SPITE of evidence to the contrary, so I am sorry, but it is the anti-gun stance that lives by faith. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From extropy at audry2.com Mon Dec 1 15:20:09 2003 From: extropy at audry2.com (Major) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 23:20:09 +0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Gun and crime stats for the USA In-Reply-To: <003501c3b7bd$f96bf650$9ef9a343@GaryMiller01> (aiguy@comcast.net) References: <5.1.0.14.2.20031130185856.05ba78d8@mail.earthlink.net> <003501c3b7bd$f96bf650$9ef9a343@GaryMiller01> Message-ID: <200312011520.hB1FK9X16392@igor.synonet.com> > Putting aside the suicides, the Kellermann/Reay figures show 2.39 accidental > or criminal deaths by firearm (in the home) for every justifiable fatal > shooting. Now, 2 to 1 is a lot less dramatic than 43 to 1 earlier reported > in a flawed earlier analysis, but we still have more unjustifiable gun > deaths than justifiable gun deaths in the home. To get a real ratio you need to factor in the justifiable shootings which do not occur. Innocent people defending themselves probably shoot (or shoot to kill) less often than the bad guys. Major From charlie at antipope.org Mon Dec 1 14:24:38 2003 From: charlie at antipope.org (Charlie Stross) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 14:24:38 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Guns In-Reply-To: <20031201140907.49595.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> References: <20031201140907.49595.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <184DD522-240A-11D8-9B19-000A95B18568@antipope.org> On 1 Dec 2003, at 14:09, Mike Lorrey wrote: > > --- Dirk Bruere wrote: >> I doubt it. >> It's a religious issue that is a matter of faith. > > Sorry, Dirk, but the numbers really do prove my side. Dr. John Lott's > study was of ALL FBI crime data from 1980 to 1995 and proves that > right-to-carry reduces crime. Antyi-gun studies always cherry pick > their data sets from communities that fit their prejudices. NONE have > ever looked at even a large fraction of the data that Lott's study > covered. Are we talking about the same John Lott who invents sock-puppets on mailing lists ("Mary Rosh") to defend him against the accusations that he cited figures from surveys that funnily enough nobody else can find any records of? http://www.jointogether.org/gv/news/features/reader/ 0,2061,561876,00.html Or switches statistical model without saying so then blames a computer error? http://cgi.cse.unsw.edu.au/~lambert/cgi-bin/blog/2003/09#0913b -- Charlie From matus at matus1976.com Mon Dec 1 15:15:27 2003 From: matus at matus1976.com (Matus) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 10:15:27 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Guns a choice for the individual In-Reply-To: <20031201140907.49595.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <00b501c3b81d$f6913660$6701a8c0@GREYBOOK> All this talk in the conversation on gun centers around the effects that guns have in populations, not on individuals. Does *my* owning a gun, and learning its proper operation end up making *me* more or less safe? I don't care if the average person is made less safe on average if more people have guns, or if the average person is made safer if more people have guns. I thought this list was full of rugged individualists! Do more guns = less crime, or more crime? Frankly, I am not concerned with this, I am inclined to feel the evidence suggests the former, but this may be dependant on other factors, like average income of an area, average population density, or education levels. The question of primary concern is, for an individual, does owning a gun make one safer or less safe? This decision will come down to each one of us, it seems the majority of the people on this list have chosen to not own a gun. What made you make that decision? I do not yet own a gun, but I intend on buying one and learning its proper operation. Does anyone here feel that my owning a gun would make me less safe? If so, I am open to hear the compelling arguments, since my goal is to increase my safety, not an ideological support of owning a gun. I see a lot of people on this list making pretty severe changes in their lives for the chance to live longer, for instance, practicing CR, or exercising regularly and radically altering diet, or taking medication that might not be proven effective. Yet I would wager that most of the individuals would never own a gun, can I only conclude that they feel this would make them less safe? Michael From extropy at audry2.com Mon Dec 1 16:31:05 2003 From: extropy at audry2.com (Major) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 00:31:05 +0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Guns--generalized In-Reply-To: <00d901c3b7cf$42e4a5a0$c5994a43@texas.net> (thespike@earthlink.net) References: <000001c3b7cc$fd6d8390$6501a8c0@SHELLY> <00d901c3b7cf$42e4a5a0$c5994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <200312011631.hB1GV5816829@igor.synonet.com> "Damien Broderick" writes: > I don't know how this legal constitution caper works (being a benighted > Aussie), but a few questions spring to mind. I can't tell if you are being sarcastic or not, so I will answer the questions "straight". > Suppose slavery had been enshrined from the outset in the > Constitution, Would it not be permitted to change these rights and > exclusions? A constitution can only be amended (retained but changed) according to its own provisions. The basis in international law for completely replacing a constitution is complicated but may be summarized "if you have the most guns you will get away with it". > Suppose enough citizens wanted to forbid the sale and consumption of > alcoholic beverages, even though that had been implicitly a > right until then? And if the ban were legally inserted into the legal > constitution Exactly what happened in the US (prohibition was a constitutional amendment) > would there be a legal constitutional way to get rid of it on > second thoughts? And then to reimpose it on third thoughts? If and only if your constitution has an "amendment" clause. Both the US and Australian constitution do, though it is interesting to note that the power to change the constitution in the US rests with the congress (2/3 majority), not the people (referendum) as it does in Australia. Major From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Dec 1 15:39:57 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 07:39:57 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Guns In-Reply-To: <049401c3b7ce$c780f850$3bb5ff3e@artemis> Message-ID: <20031201153957.96469.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > > It's far from simple. > Why don't you tell me how you can own fully automatic rifles in > California? It is simple: California is in violation of the US Constitution, and cases are proceeding through the courts right now. It will take a few years, but things will get straightened out eventually. States like California currently justify their banning of automatic rifles under an odd interpretation of the decision in the 1939 case of US v Miller, which involved a rum-runner arrested shortly after the end of Prohibition with an allegedly short shotgun (a violation of the newly minted NFA of 1934, a law passed to give the revinuers something to do). Miller was the beginning of the militia interpretation of the 2nd amendment. Problems with the Miller decision, though: Miller's lawyers never showed at the SCOTUS for the trial, they figured that since they'd won at every level below the SCOTUS that their case was sewn up. They did not count on the federal prosecutors lying three times in their arguments before the court. > It may be your constitutional right to own guns, but the govt gets to > decide what guns you are allowed, and what you aren't. Actually, this is not true. The BATF does not restrain your ability to own any model of gun you want. Its only constitutional authority is to tax. The NFA of 1934 was not a ban on automatic firearms, it was a tax bill. There is a $200 tax on transfers of automatic weapons and silencers. Any non-felon can buy one if they pay the tax and do the paperwork. I've owned automatic firearms, and silencers, as a matter of fact. The BATF TRIES to regulate everything, both military style and non-military style weapons, and when you contest them on one side, they claim that Miller gives them authority on that side because of the militia argument, then when you contest them on the other, they claim an entirely DIFFERENT and opposite interpretation of Miller. > Your rights would not be in breach of the constitution if they only > allowed you flintlock muskets. Uh, no, even in Miller the court recognised that the people, as members of the unorganized militia (http://www4.law.cornell.edu/uscode/10/311.html), have a justified reason to have access to military style weapons. The only way that Miller lost his case to the feds was that the feds lied and claimed that sawed off shotguns had never been used by any military unit in history, when they were actually widely used in trench warfare in WWI, just 21 years prior. Since the federal law says all of the people are members of the militia, and anti-gunners claim that the militia clause limits gun ownership to the militia, then the only legally unrestricted guns should be so-called 'assault weapons'. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From amara at amara.com Mon Dec 1 14:42:56 2003 From: amara at amara.com (Amara Graps) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 16:42:56 +0200 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Gender Genie - analyzing writing styles Message-ID: Ciao, I ran across this online program that tries to analyze the gender of the writer of a writing selection. I am writing quite a lot these days, and I was curious about what the "gender genie" would calculate for my gender. http://www.bookblog.net/gender/genie.html "According to Koppel and Argamon, the algorithm should predict the gender of the author approximately 80% of the time." However, in my case, it was wrong, 100% of the time. Some other people experienced the same errors, apparently, because, when I input my results into their database, I saw: ---------------- "accuracy results Am I right? yes 107582 (67.93%) no 50800 (32.07%) 158382 total responses since September 13, 2003" ----------------- In order to test whether it was a fluke, I tried six different essays, and got the following scores: Eternal City Grapsody #1 - Mythology for Transhumans http://www.transhumanism.com/articles_more.php?id=P84_0_4_0_C Words: 1767 Female Score: 1922 Male Score: 3452 Eternal City Grapsody #2 - Of Snakes and Immortality http://www.transhumanism.com/articles_more.php?id=P89_0_4_0_C Words: 1402 Female Score: 1618 Male Score: 2048 Eternal City Grapsody #3 - The Pause that Refreshes http://www.transhumanism.com/articles_more.php?id=P94_0_4_0_C Words: 1016 Female Score: 1188 Male Score: 1585 Eternal City Grapsody #4 - Scales of Man: Adapting Technology to Transhumans http://www.transhumanism.com/articles_more.php?id=P380_0_4_0_C Words: 1682 Female Score: 1746 Male Score: 2777 Eternal City Grapsody #5 - Parmigianino's Golden Transformations http://www.transhumanism.com/articles_more.php?id=P551_0_4_0_C Words: 1790 Female Score: 1239 Male Score: 2356 Eternal City Grappsody #6 - Tricksters: Synchronicity, Dirt, and Laughter http://www.transhumanism.com/articles_more.php?id=P877_0_4_0_C Words: 1678 Female Score: 2019 Male Score: 2068 The last one was a different style for me, a kind of giggling-out- loud-style, as if speaking to a group of close friends, but the algorithm still calculated me to be male. I am sad about these results and this algorithm, I must say, for a range of reasons, including: * Are women 'themselves' when they write, or are they adapting to the style of the Internet? * The algorithm seems to have pretty narrow definition of gender writing style. How did the algorithm work? The following is a note about that. Amara ======================================= http://www.nature.com/nsu/030714/030714-13.html Computer program detects author gender Simple algorithm suggests words and syntax bear sex and genre stamp. 18 July 2003 PHILIP BALL A new computer program can tell whether a book was written by a man or a woman. The simple scan of key words and syntax is around 80% accurate on both fiction and non-fiction1,2. The program's success seems to confirm the stereotypical perception of differences in male and female language use. Crudely put, men talk more about objects, and women more about relationships. Female writers use more pronouns (I, you, she, their, myself), say the program's developers, Moshe Koppel of Bar-Ilan University in Ramat Gan, Israel, and colleagues. Males prefer words that identify or determine nouns (a, the, that) and words that quantify them (one, two, more). So this article would already, through sentences such as this, have probably betrayed its author as male: there is a prevalence of plural pronouns (they, them), indicating the male tendency to categorize rather than personalize. If I were female, the researchers imply, I'd be more likely to write sentences like this, which assume that you and I share common knowledge or engage us in a direct relationship. These differing styles have previously been called 'informational' and 'involved', respectively. Koppel and colleagues trained their algorithm on a few test cases to identify the most prevalent fingerprints of gender and of fiction and non-fiction. They then set it searching for these fingerprints in 566 English-language works in a variety of genres, ranging from A Guide to Prague to A. S. Byatt's novel Possession - which, intriguingly, the programme misclassified by gender, along with Kazuo Ishiguro's The Remains of the Day. Strikingly, the distinctions between male and female writers are much the same as those that, even more clearly, differentiate non-fiction and fiction. The programme can tell these two genres apart with 98% accuracy. This is perhaps unsurprising, given that non-fiction is more informational and fiction more involved. Most of the works studied were published after 1975. The Israeli team now intends to probe whether the differences extend further back in time - and so whether George Eliot was wasting her time disguising herself with a male nom de plume - and also whether they occur in other languages. References 1.Koppel, M., Argamon, S. & Shimoni, A. R. Automatically categorizing written texts by author gender. Literary and Linguistic Computing, in the press, (2003). |Homepage| 2.Argamon, S., Koppel, M., Fine, J. & Shimoni, A. R. Gender, genre, and writing style in formal written texts. Text, in the press, (2003). ======================================== -- *********************************************************************** Amara Graps, PhD email: amara at amara.com Computational Physics vita: ftp://ftp.amara.com/pub/resume.txt Multiplex Answers URL: http://www.amara.com/ *********************************************************************** "Life shrinks or expands in proportion to one's courage." --Anais Nin From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Dec 1 15:55:30 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 07:55:30 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Guns--generalized In-Reply-To: <00d901c3b7cf$42e4a5a0$c5994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <20031201155530.2326.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> --- Damien Broderick wrote: > Spike reckons: > > > In this country, gun ownership is our > > right, so the fed cannot legally challenge it in any > > case. Were the fed to attempt to do so, we would be > > forced to conclude that our legal constitutional > > government had been overthrown, and would be obligated > > to take up arms against it > > I don't know how this legal constitution caper works (being a > benighted > Aussie), but a few questions spring to mind. Suppose slavery had been > enshrined from the outset in the Constitution, or suppose that women > had been forbidden suffrage. Would it not be permitted to change these > rights and exclusions? If you can get a supermajority of both congress and the states to vote for a constitutional amendment, then you can amend the constitution, as has been done with slavery and womens suffrage. Given that 75%+ of Americans believe in an individual right to keep and bear arms, it ain't bloodly likely to happen any time soon. Given also that it took a civil war in addition to a constitutional amendment to get rid of slavery, I doubt very much that you'd succeed with a constitutional gun ban without a similar civil war. There are several other hurdles to overcome. Firstly, NH never lost its constitutional right to revolt and seceed. Secondly, Texas retains the right to break up into 5 separate states if it so decides to, in order to gain leverage in the Senate (i.e. 5 states x 2 Senators per state = 10 Senate seats rather than just 2 as it now has), should such an un-American amendment come to a vote. Thirdly, you'd have to overcome the fact that most states have a right to bear arms in their own state constitution. Fourthly, you'd have to deal with the fact that the federal government is not a sovereign entity. Its authority is entirely delegated to it by the people. No part of the Constitution alienates individuals from their rights, amendments simply recognise that certain pre-existant individual rights are not to be violated by the government. Any amendment that sought to restrain individual rights such as the first or second amendments would most certainly result in a very violent reaction from a large portion of the citizenry. You do not see such a reaction to mere laws like the Patriot Act because most citizens recognise that this law is applied only to non-Americans and/or Americans allied with foreign fasco-terrorist groups. The population isn't ready to oppose it because their own ox is not being gored, as evidenced by the fact that surveys show that 80%+ of african americans support racial profiling when it is applied to arabs or other foreign muslims. We were far closer to armed insurrection here in the US when the Clinton WHite House and its supporters waged an undeclared war on Redneck-Americans. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From bjk at imminst.org Mon Dec 1 16:00:25 2003 From: bjk at imminst.org (Bruce J. Klein) Date: Mon, 01 Dec 2003 10:00:25 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] "Girls Night Out" - Chat Log In-Reply-To: <5.2.0.9.0.20031201072417.02122990@pop.earthlink.net> References: <5.2.0.9.0.20031201072417.02122990@pop.earthlink.net> Message-ID: <3FCB6599.9040709@imminst.org> Here's a link to the 'Girls Night Out' chat log (Nov 30)* *http://imminst.org/forum/index.php?s=&act=ST&f=99&t=2218&st=0&#entry19111 By the way, Susan had a great time! At first she worried no one would attend. Happily, Natasha, Nanogirl, sheliatx, Mermaid, Saille, Sabina, and others graciously took time out to join the chat. Because this chat was such as success, Susan will schedule a time for next months chat soon. Hopefully, at a time when more women can participate. Feel free to contact her: susan at imminst.org Thanks! Bruce Klein Chair - ImmInst.org From eugen at leitl.org Mon Dec 1 16:13:46 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 17:13:46 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: [wta-talk] The Gender Genie - analyzing writing styles In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <20031201161346.GM22650@leitl.org> On Mon, Dec 01, 2003 at 10:57:34AM -0500, Hughes, James wrote: > Very cool Samantha - thanks for sharing this. I think it relates to a Amara, iirc. I find that apparent mis-classification (which is remarkably consistent) another data point confirming that we're weird. Transhumanism *is* a distinct put-off to the majority of women. I do not see how to package the meme complex in a more palatable way. Perhaps out transhumanist women can produce a diagnosis, and a suggestion. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From natashavita at earthlink.net Mon Dec 1 16:50:55 2003 From: natashavita at earthlink.net (natashavita at earthlink.net) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 11:50:55 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Gender Genie - analyzing writing styles Message-ID: <157240-220031211165055760@M2W083.mail2web.com> Amara, bella, perhaps the test is outdated. We cannot expect either gender to write in tithe style prescribed to it by any one generational testing regulation. Also, I don't think it is necessarily pejorative that a test senses a "male" writing style. Androgyny is beautiful and an ability to write both across both gender-styles is a lovely thing to do. This is expressly, I put on a tie many times when I give a talk. There is a time and place for all aspect of our "selves" and you seem to have chosen an educated style in your articles. However, I wonder what the article you wrote on Fiorella Terenzi comes out as. Did you run that one through the test? As an educated scientist, your training will come out in your writing no matter how you fancify it. Also, try running some of your email stories (that you send to your friends) through the test. For example, Fiorella writes in a "female" mode in her books, but in a professorial mode when teaching. Likewise, Sometimes I write as an artist/poet in metaphors and off-the-cuff anecdotes. Sometimes I write in a professorial mode when it is required, and at other times, legal language creeps in. Brings me back to the beginning. Who's judging and is the criteria objective. Ciao- Natasha -------------------------------------------------------------------- mail2web - Check your email from the web at http://mail2web.com/ . From natashavita at earthlink.net Mon Dec 1 16:56:23 2003 From: natashavita at earthlink.net (natashavita at earthlink.net) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 11:56:23 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] FAQ: TRANSHUMANIST FUTURES: CHALLENGES AND CONCERNS Message-ID: <184670-2200312111656235@M2W065.mail2web.com> ExI has been updating the FAQ. With so many changes, this has been on our to do list, but hasn't been addressed until quite recently. Do you have comments and/or suggestions for the following: 5. TRANSHUMANIST FUTURES: CHALLENGES AND CONCERNS 5.1 Do transhumanists in general, and friends of Extropy Institute in particular, share economic and political views? 5.2 What views do extropes have on the dangers of biotechnology, nanotechnology, machine intelligence, and neurotechnology? 5.3 What views do transhumanists have about religion? 5.4 What political views are held by transhumanists? 5.5 How does Extropy Institute respond to the neo-Luddites, including the President?s Council on Bioethics? Thanks, Natasha -------------------------------------------------------------------- mail2web - Check your email from the web at http://mail2web.com/ . From hemm at br.inter.net Mon Dec 1 15:57:22 2003 From: hemm at br.inter.net (Henrique Moraes Machado) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 13:57:22 -0200 Subject: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation References: <20031201140907.49595.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> <184DD522-240A-11D8-9B19-000A95B18568@antipope.org> Message-ID: <01b801c3b823$ce7276c0$fe00a8c0@HEMM> Hello extropians, I've been reflecting lately on communication versus transportation. The first is developing faster than ever, while the former seems to be stalled. Is it related? Are we concentrating our resourses in evolving our communication means because our transportation means are poor, or does de current pace of developments on comms in fact causes less effort on advancing transportation? Just thinking. Sorry for the bad english, but it's not my native language and I am still learning. From james.hughes at trincoll.edu Mon Dec 1 15:57:34 2003 From: james.hughes at trincoll.edu (Hughes, James) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 10:57:34 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] RE: [wta-talk] The Gender Genie - analyzing writing styles Message-ID: Very cool Samantha - thanks for sharing this. I think it relates to a sometimes subtle, often overt problem in transhumanist discussion lists - the dominant masculine style of aggressive tech, politics and philosophy argumentation, with less reference to personal life and relationships. Sometimes, as a man, I think women are handicapped by socialization to be uncomfortable with self-assertion and disputation, and sometimes I feel like the male communication style in general, and its extreme versions on our lists, are both a political problem for transhumanism in our inability to attract more women and an organizational problem that makes it more difficult to build on-line community. I see the problem also in the context of the very similar issues in the socialist movement (my background) which is similarly disproportionately male and conversationally disputatious. But at least there is a strong spirit of feminist self-criticism among socialist men which made us more conscious of the problem, and more open to counter-vailing efforts, even if they met with little success. J. Hughes From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Dec 1 17:04:48 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 09:04:48 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Guns In-Reply-To: <184DD522-240A-11D8-9B19-000A95B18568@antipope.org> Message-ID: <20031201170448.25804.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> --- Charlie Stross wrote: > > On 1 Dec 2003, at 14:09, Mike Lorrey wrote: > > > > > --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > >> I doubt it. > >> It's a religious issue that is a matter of faith. > > > > Sorry, Dirk, but the numbers really do prove my side. Dr. John > Lott's > > study was of ALL FBI crime data from 1980 to 1995 and proves that > > right-to-carry reduces crime. Antyi-gun studies always cherry pick > > their data sets from communities that fit their prejudices. NONE > have > > ever looked at even a large fraction of the data that Lott's study > > covered. > > Are we talking about the same John Lott who invents sock-puppets on > mailing lists ("Mary Rosh") to defend him against the accusations > that > he cited figures from surveys that funnily enough nobody else can > find any records of? Your refer to this? "Second, Northwestern University law professor James Lindgren reported that he had investigated Lott's claim of a 1997 survey which found that "98 percent of the time that people use guns defensively, they merely have to brandish a weapon to break off an attack," and found no evidence of the survey's existence." The Kleck study is very widely known and published, though I am sure that anti-gunners would wish that it did not exist. http://www.guncite.com/gun_control_gcdguse.html For critiques of Kellerman's flawed study (where the 43 to 1 claim comes from) see: http://www.guncite.com/gun_control_gcdgaga.html Nor did he use the pseudonym to defend himself from such claims, he used the name to write a fictitious review of his book, which is far less offensive than the offenses of anti-gunner Michael Bellisiles, recently drummed out of Emory University for academic dishonesty and stripped of literary prizes, in that he invented citations and fabricated data on a broad scale. > > http://www.jointogether.org/gv/news/features/reader/ > 0,2061,561876,00.html > > Or switches statistical model without saying so then blames a > computer > error? > > http://cgi.cse.unsw.edu.au/~lambert/cgi-bin/blog/2003/09#0913b Actually, he blames a computer error (on a Mac, mind you) for errors in his data tables, essentially errors in labelling dates numerically, which may more accurately be user errors from inexperience with the software, which result in data files created in April (04) of one year being confused with data files created in 2004... Plassman and Tideman show that if there is any error, it is on the conservative side. Their results show an even greater effect on crime than Lott reported, though less consistent across all counties and states. "In this paper we use a Poisson-lognormal model to analyze intertemporal and geographical variations in the effects of right-to-carry laws on murders, rapes, and robberies. For each of these crime categories our estimates suggest the existence of statistically significant deterrent effects of right-to-carry laws for the majority of the 10 states that have adopted such laws between 1977 and 1992, but we also find that some of these states experienced statistically significant increases in the numbers of certain crimes." http://bingweb.binghamton.edu/~fplass/gun.pdf Furthermore, Plassman and WHitley issued a response to critics of their study as well as Lott's study: http://lawreview.stanford.edu/content/vol55/4/Plassmann_Whitley.pdf Ayers and Donohue attempt to counter, claiming their study that P&W critique, was not to show that crime dropped or increased in jurisdictions that passed right to carry laws, but that such laws merely imposed a 'jurisdiction selection effect' in which criminals take their criminal activity elsewhere where right-to-carry did not exist. http://lawreview.stanford.edu/content/vol55/4/Ayres_Donohue_comment.pdf Furthermore, Black and Nagin are rightly criticized by Lott for using a systematic means of cherry picking, excluding 86% of counties because such counties have less than 100,000 population, in their study refuting Lott's work. Since most states with right-to-carry are mostly made up of counties with less than 100,000 population, Black and Nagin are simply excluding those areas where right-to-carry is most heavily practiced and would therefore result in the greatest effect on crime. Black and Nagin are essentially studying ONLY urban centers in the US, not the US as a whole, when it is urban centers that have far worse criminal problems than guns, such as drug war activity, and which vastly misrepresent the degree of ethnic and racial diversity in the US overall. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From thespike at earthlink.net Mon Dec 1 17:41:25 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 11:41:25 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] "Girls Night Out" - Chat Log References: <5.2.0.9.0.20031201072417.02122990@pop.earthlink.net> <3FCB6599.9040709@imminst.org> Message-ID: <003401c3b832$5a45b820$9e994a43@texas.net> > Here's a link to the 'Girls Night Out' chat log (Nov 30)* > *http://imminst.org/forum/index.php?s=&act=ST&f=99&t=2218&st=0&#entry19111 For a male observer, this is truly fascinating. It's hard to imagine a group of men getting into this so quickly, if at all: =================== 18:23:37 Saille Love is a lot more, than just for a lover 18:23:40 Mermaid i have been married for ten years now...i'd like to still be friends with my husband after many many years..but i hope to become more 'seperate' from him..i dont think of it as a failure of love..rather..i think its a strengthening of love.... 18:23:50 SusanFK Mermaid: my love for my lifepartner has only increased with years...we are coming up on our 8th year together i i feel more passionate about him today than the day we met. 18:23:56 Natasha I wonder what the product liability would be for "Primo Posthuman" future body prototype. 18:24:02 Sabina Same here 18:24:18 Natasha I've been in love many times. I love my husband and I can understand many levels of love. 18:24:22 sheilatx my husband and i are better friends since the divorce 18:24:37 Mermaid i feel more passion too..it has multiplied several folds..esp because its now passion for more than one person 18:25:06 sheilatx guess i should say ex husband 18:25:17 Mermaid sheilatx: divorce is unnecessary 18:25:20 Natasha I left the hair color on my hair too long. =================== Damien Broderick From jacques at dtext.com Mon Dec 1 17:54:31 2003 From: jacques at dtext.com (JDP) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 18:54:31 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Guns--generalized (modifying the constitution) In-Reply-To: <200312011631.hB1GV5816829@igor.synonet.com> References: <000001c3b7cc$fd6d8390$6501a8c0@SHELLY> <00d901c3b7cf$42e4a5a0$c5994a43@texas.net> <200312011631.hB1GV5816829@igor.synonet.com> Message-ID: <16331.32855.815446.310102@localhost.localdomain> Major a ?crit (2.12.2003/00:31) : > > "Damien Broderick" writes: > > > would there be a legal constitutional way to get rid of it on > > second thoughts? And then to reimpose it on third thoughts? > > If and only if your constitution has an "amendment" clause. Both > the US and Australian constitution do, though it is interesting to note > that the power to change the constitution in the US rests with the > congress (2/3 majority), not the people (referendum) as it does in > Australia. Here's how it works in Switzerland (quite spectacular, I think). Switzerland has a political right of "popular initiative", in which anyone can submit a constitutional amendment, to be voted on by the people, provided they collect the preliminary support of 100,000 voters (pop. is 7,3 millions) within 18 months. To result in an actual modification of the Constitution, it needs to get the majority of the people, and the majority of States. http://www.admin.ch/ch/e/pore/index3.html Incredible isn't it? It's not very complicated to get 100,000 signatures, if you create 50 small comittees in the country which each get 2000 signatures, you're done. And then, all the Swiss people get to read your proposal and vote yes or no. If it's yes, then you have changed the constitution of your country. To give an example. On May 18 we voted (I am Swiss, live in France, vote by mail) on 7 such popular initiatives regarding potential constitutional amendments. One was to enforce rents to be "fair", one was to have a 4 years experience of no cars running one day per season, one was to make commitments of not building nuclear plants for some time, one was to guarantee cheap access to health services, one was an equal-rights text to force many institutions to provide facilities for disabled people, one was about nuclear policy again, and finally one was to guarantee that professional training be offered to such and such people. I voted against all 7 initiatives, and they were all rejected. What do such subjects have to do with the fundamental law that Constitution is supposed to be? Right, not much. Basic law is made by parliament like everywhere else, and popular initiative can only result in the modification of the Constitution. Which gets proposed often, but is usually rejected. That's our system. There are two things which contribute to make constitutional change through popular initiative rare. One is that the German-speaking part of Switzerland contains an array of very small States which are very conservative (they are the founding, still quite rural, States), so that this relatively small population has a strong weight in the majority of States. The other one is that the government can add to the popular initiative its own counter-project, which tries to address some of the aspirations that prompted the initative, while avoiding its pitfalls or excesses. It often happens that the people who started the initiative really had a point, but it was captured in the counter-project, which was accepted by the people instead of the initiative. Between 1891 and 2003, only 13 popular initiatives were accepted and resulted in the modification of the Constitution. The last one was in March 2002, when Switzerland decided to adhere to UN. Browsing the list, I see that in 1908, the production and drinking of absynth was constitutionally forbidden: http://www.absinthe.ch/new/monhistoire_linterdiction.php?l=en It would be quite practical to launch transhumanist-oriented popular initiatives in Switzerland, to the effect, for example, that one of the goal of the community is to extend healthy lifespans, and that adequate credits and research must be devoted to it. And it's a good way to get to talk about some subject, even if the popular initiative is eventually rejected. (I can imagine this one being accepted.) Jacques From charlie at antipope.org Mon Dec 1 17:53:08 2003 From: charlie at antipope.org (Charlie Stross) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 17:53:08 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Trolling (was: Guns) In-Reply-To: <20031201170448.25804.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> References: <20031201170448.25804.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <391BEFD4-2427-11D8-9B19-000A95B18568@antipope.org> On 1 Dec 2003, at 17:04, Mike Lorrey wrote: >>> red. >> >> Are we talking about the same John Lott who invents sock-puppets on >> mailing lists ("Mary Rosh") to defend him against the accusations >> that >> he cited figures from surveys that funnily enough nobody else can >> find any records of? > Your refer to this? The URL that you cut. You're not reading for comprehension, Mike, you're assuming that I'm attacking your figures on gun use. I'm not. I'm questioning the reliability of youur sources. You're assuming that because I'm insisting on accuracy I'm an anti-gun campaigner. You're also assuming that what's sauce for the goose is sauce for the gander, in terms of the fabrication of research data: that lies on one side justify lies by the other side. Bluntly: you're so intent on following your own script for how to interact with people on the topic of gun ownership that you've effectively turned yourself into a troll. Can I request some time out? Because this thread *is* a waste of energy, brains, and CPU cycles, for all concerned. -- Charlie From extropy at unreasonable.com Mon Dec 1 18:17:32 2003 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Mon, 01 Dec 2003 13:17:32 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Gender Genie - analyzing writing styles Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031201131526.02581450@mail.comcast.net> Natasha wrote: >Amara, bella, perhaps the test is outdated. > >We cannot expect either gender to write in tithe style prescribed to it by >any one generational testing regulation. Also, I don't think it is >necessarily pejorative that a test senses a "male" writing style. Androgyny >is beautiful and an ability to write both across both gender-styles is a >lovely thing to do. This is expressly, I put on a tie many times when I >give a talk. There is a time and place for all aspect of our "selves" and >you seem to have chosen an educated style in your articles. However, I >wonder what the article you wrote on Fiorella Terenzi comes out as. Did >you run that one through the test? When my ex and I were divorcing and went through a child custody evaluation, I took the MMPI. The clinical psychologist pasted boilerplate text in his report: >This profile occasionally reflects an individual who is conflicted over >their sexual identity. They do not identify with the cultural stereotype >of the masculine role. These men have a wide range of interests, and are >apt to be idealistic. At trial, opposing counsel pounced on this, trying to impute that I am homosexual and (in the eyes of a conservative judge) perforce an unsuitable parent. The psychologist testified that it's extremely common to find an elevated Scale 5 in highly educated men, and that he himself did. From _Psychological Experts in Divorce Actions_: >... originally intended to be a measure of homosexuality. However they >quickly realized that the homosexual population was too heterogeneous to >be measured by one scale. It is also the only scale that has different >norms for males and females. > >Scale 5 is highly related to education. > >Men with low scores ... are individuals who tend to have "macho" >self-images and present themselves as being extremely masculine, >overemphasizing their masculinity in a somewhat unsophisticated >way. Women with similar scores identify with the stereotypical feminine >roles but may doubt their own femininity. > >Men with elevated 5's -- have conflicted thoughts about their sexual >identity; are insecure in a masculine role; are effeminate and have >aesthetic and artistic interests; are intelligently capable; are >ambitious, competitive, and persevering; show good judgment and common >sense; are curious; are creative as well as imaginative, and >individualistic; are social and sensitive to others; are tolerant; are >capable of expressing warm feelings to others; are passive and dependent >as well as submissive; have good self-control and rarely act out; are >inner-directed. > >Women with elevated 5's -- tend to be uninterested in being seen as >feminine; not interested in appearing or behaving as other women do; >reject the traditional female role; have stereotypic masculine interests; >are active, vigorous, and assertive; are competitive, aggressive, and >dominating; are outgoing, uninhibited, and self-confident; are >unemotional; are unfriendly. I'd guess that virtually everyone on this list has an elevated 5. I further suspect that the accuracy of Koppel's and Argamon's test is inversely correlated with the subject's MMPI Scale 5. -- David Lubkin. From brian_a_lee at hotmail.com Mon Dec 1 18:22:17 2003 From: brian_a_lee at hotmail.com (Brian Lee) Date: Mon, 01 Dec 2003 13:22:17 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation Message-ID: I've thought a bit on this lately and am a little let down with the pace of transportation. If you look at air travel over the last 50 years there are few major breakthroughs. 75 years ago, it took weeks to travel around the world and then with commercial air travel, that was cut down to a day or merely hours. 50 years later, we're still pretty much at the same flight times. We have more routes and scheduled and tvs in the seats but flights are still about the same length. Perhaps they are even longer if you take security waits into the equation. I think the main reason why air travel tech has stalled is lack of competition. There's really only two companies making planes-Airbus and Boeing- and both are heavily subsidized by their respective governments. Air travel is subsidized by local governments and businesses who don't have much incentive to decrease travel time. For ground travel, in the US at least, road trips take less time because the speed limit has been increased from 55 to 70-75 on interstates. It's nice to be save 2 hours from an Atlanta to Miami trip, but I'm still waiting for 15 minute NY-London trips and flying cars. How long until the science fiction breakthroughs come on line? Transporters, etc. I've done a bit of teleconferencing and videoconferencing and while it is sufficient for basic communication, it's not yet replacing meatspace. BAL >From: "Henrique Moraes Machado" >To: "ExI chat list" >Subject: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation >Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 13:57:22 -0200 > >Hello extropians, > >I've been reflecting lately on communication versus transportation. The >first is developing faster than ever, while the former seems to be stalled. >Is it related? Are we concentrating our resourses in evolving our >communication means because our transportation means are poor, or does de >current pace of developments on comms in fact causes less effort on >advancing transportation? Just thinking. Sorry for the bad english, but >it's not my native language and I am still learning. >_______________________________________________ >extropy-chat mailing list >extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org >http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat _________________________________________________________________ Is there a gadget-lover on your gift list? MSN Shopping has lined up some good bets! http://shopping.msn.com From natashavita at earthlink.net Mon Dec 1 19:29:55 2003 From: natashavita at earthlink.net (natashavita at earthlink.net) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 14:29:55 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation Message-ID: <410-220031211192955719@M2W054.mail2web.com> From: Brian Lee >I've thought a bit on this lately and am a little let down with the pace of transportation.< It's not exactly travelling next door or across the planet, but it's something to think about. _A Vision of Future Space Transportation_ (Apogee Books Space Series) by Tim McElyea, David Brin http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/tg/detail/-/1896522939/104-3904145-7775949 ?v=glance "The glorious space age has come and gone. So what now? What's next? To go further, to go faster, we must take the next step. Space is still full of mystery and challenges humankind as much as ever. Ideas on what the next step, or steps vary greatly and there is no shortage of concepts for the future of space transportation. Concepts include new engines, new strategies, harnessing gravity, electromagnetism, nuclear energy and more. This book will take you on a guided visual tour of the future of space transportation. From Earth to Orbit to In-Space transportation, you will sample what is being considered and get an easy-to-understand explanation of what the spacecraft will do and how it will work. "Decades ago Dr. Wernher von Braun teamed with Walt Disney to animate a mission to Mars and inspired a generation. Today multimedia, animation and video serve a similar communications need. The CD-ROM included contains official NASA videos, vehicle concept animation, and dynamic multimedia. View spacecraft concepts in 3D, see mission animation and hear first hand what the visionaries of the aerospace industry hope to accomplish." -------------------------------------------------------------------- mail2web - Check your email from the web at http://mail2web.com/ . From dirk at neopax.com Mon Dec 1 20:29:29 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 20:29:29 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Guns References: <20031201140907.49595.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <01ee01c3b849$d535ebb0$3bb5ff3e@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Mike Lorrey" To: "Dirk Bruere" ; "ExI chat list" Sent: Monday, December 01, 2003 2:09 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Guns > > --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > > I doubt it. > > It's a religious issue that is a matter of faith. > > Sorry, Dirk, but the numbers really do prove my side. Dr. John Lott's > study was of ALL FBI crime data from 1980 to 1995 and proves that > right-to-carry reduces crime. Antyi-gun studies always cherry pick > their data sets from communities that fit their prejudices. NONE have > ever looked at even a large fraction of the data that Lott's study > covered. Furthermore, a more recent study of the same data using more > advanced statistical methods demonstrated that the crime reduction was > greater than the 12% that Lott reported, more in the order of 25%. > > Faith does not get proven by statistics, faith only exists in SPITE of > evidence to the contrary, so I am sorry, but it is the anti-gun stance > that lives by faith. The faith I am referring to is the *belief* that society should have no say in the legitimacy of your position. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From scerir at libero.it Mon Dec 1 20:53:27 2003 From: scerir at libero.it (scerir) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 21:53:27 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation References: Message-ID: <000801c3b84d$2c2f8450$68c31b97@administxl09yj> From: "Brian Lee" > How long until the science fiction breakthroughs come on line? > Transporters, etc. If you mean teleportation we are waiting for a "physical" full interpretation (and then implementation) of it. Because, talking about the transmission of quantum information from Alice to Bob, in general and also in the usual teleportation scheme, we intuitively think there must be a channel connecting Alice and Bob. But, in this case, a paradox arises. If - look here - 'only' two 'classical' bits were sent from Alice to Bob, by 'classical' means, how did the 'full' quantum information pass from Alice to Bob? This seems to be a violation of the conservation of information, or something like this. There are different views about it. Somebody thinks there is no trasmission of quantum information from Alice to Bob, but the (missing) quantum information is already there, at Bob's home, 'because' we live in a multiverse. Another possible view states there is 'another' channel, 'another' path connecting Alice and Bob, which is defined by the two world-lines of the distributed EPR particle pair. This means - following Bennett - that the 'remaining' quantum information must have been transmitted from Alice to the EPR source 'backward in time' and then from the EPR source to Bob 'foward in time'. This interpretation is fully consistent (no paradoxes like 'you can kill your grandfather' arise here) so long as the two 'classical' bits Alice wish to send (to Bob) remain unknown, while that weird informational jamming happens. From alex at ramonsky.com Mon Dec 1 20:51:29 2003 From: alex at ramonsky.com (Alex Ramonsky) Date: Mon, 01 Dec 2003 20:51:29 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Scott Walker Kama Sutra References: Message-ID: <3FCBA9D1.6010907@ramonsky.com> Amara Graps wrote: > Came into my office to pick up some papers about carbonaceous > chondrites on Earth, and I leave my office as I saw words and pictures > about kama sutra for robots. Made me smile. Have a good day. > > Amara Hey, there's hope for me yet : ) AR From extropy at unreasonable.com Mon Dec 1 21:01:17 2003 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Mon, 01 Dec 2003 16:01:17 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Gender roles Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031201154514.0287fec8@mail.comcast.net> After my posting re Scale 5, I got curious and did a little more research. The test was revised slightly for the MMPI-2. Since I read the score interpretation taught to clinical psychologists (reprinted below), questions and doubts about anything clinical psychologists assert have been bubbling inside me faster than I can voice them. But I thought you might be interested in what passes for science. From http://cmhs.utoledo.edu/npiazza/Courses/Adv%20Personality/MMPI-2.htm : Scale 5 Interpretations for Men > 75 -- Typically self-proclaimed homosexuals and persons willing to admit their homosexual concerns. 65 - 75 -- Lacks identification with culturally prescribed sex roles. Passive, inner-directed, have aesthetic interests, and may even seem effeminate. 58 - 64 -- Men tend toward aesthetic activities, are imaginative, introspective, and have a wide range of interests. They are socially perceptive and sensitive to interpersonal interactions. Typical range for most college educated men. 45 - 57 -- Traditional identification with sex role interests and activities. Typical range for college educated males in masculine oriented fields, e.g., engineering and agriculture. < 44 -- Very strong identification with traditional masculine role. May be rigid and inflexible about their masculinity. Tend to be adventurous, easygoing, coarse, and have interests in mechanics, sports, and outdoor activities. Scale 5 Interpretations for Women > 75 -- Typically self-proclaimed homosexuals and persons willing to admit their homosexual concerns. 65 - 74 -- Unusual for women to score in this range. Check for errors in scoring or profiling. Not interested in appearing or behaving according to traditional feminine role. Tend to be vigorous, aggressive, dominating, and competitive. Confident and spontaneous, but may become anxious when expected to conform to traditional feminine sex roles. 45 - 64 -- Less interested in traditional feminine activities with more masculine interests and activities that women who score low on this scale. 35 - 44 -- Genuinely identifies with traditional feminine interests and activities. < 34 -- Over-identification with the feminine role. Tend to be passive, submissive, modest, yielding, and demure. They may be coy, seductive, and feign helplessness. May be self-pitying, masochistic, and manipulate men via sex. -- David Lubkin. From dirk at neopax.com Mon Dec 1 21:03:25 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 21:03:25 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation References: Message-ID: <025401c3b84e$a177aac0$3bb5ff3e@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Brian Lee" To: ; Sent: Monday, December 01, 2003 6:22 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation > I've thought a bit on this lately and am a little let down with the pace of > transportation. If you look at air travel over the last 50 years there are > few major breakthroughs. 75 years ago, it took weeks to travel around the > world and then with commercial air travel, that was cut down to a day or > merely hours. 50 years later, we're still pretty much at the same flight > times. We have more routes and scheduled and tvs in the seats but flights > are still about the same length. Perhaps they are even longer if you take > security waits into the equation. > > I think the main reason why air travel tech has stalled is lack of > competition. There's really only two companies making planes-Airbus and > Boeing- and both are heavily subsidized by their respective governments. Air > travel is subsidized by local governments and businesses who don't have much > incentive to decrease travel time. It's more basic than that. To get from my house in Britain to a friends in New York takes approximately 13hrs. Of that, 7 is the flight time. I have no intention of paying a premium so I can knock 3hrs off that time. It's not the speed of the flight that matters, but the journey times and getting through the airports at both ends. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From wingcat at pacbell.net Mon Dec 1 22:16:12 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 14:16:12 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles In-Reply-To: <20031201161346.GM22650@leitl.org> Message-ID: <20031201221612.77696.qmail@web80411.mail.yahoo.com> --- Eugen Leitl wrote: > Transhumanism *is* a distinct put-off to the > majority of > women. Inherently? No more than it is a distinct put-off to the majority of men, at least by my experience. There are many things that (Western) men and women both want, self-control among them. Is not one of the end goals of transhumansism vastly increased control over oneself, including the ability not to age and die if desired? From wingcat at pacbell.net Mon Dec 1 22:41:38 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 14:41:38 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] The Gender Genie - analyzing writing styles In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031201224138.6071.qmail@web80408.mail.yahoo.com> --- Amara Graps wrote: > I ran across this online program that tries to > analyze the gender > of the writer of a writing selection. I am writing > quite a lot these > days, and I was curious about what the "gender > genie" would > calculate for my gender. > > http://www.bookblog.net/gender/genie.html > > "According to Koppel and Argamon, the algorithm > should predict the > gender of the author approximately 80% of the time." > > However, in my case, it was wrong, 100% of the time. Same here. Perhaps it can distinguish "classic-masculine" from "classic-feminine", but it's probable that most people on this list are neither. As per the recent posts on Scale 5, perhaps there are actually three mental "genders" in modern society: masculine, feminine, and educated (which incorporates some traits from the classic pair - like sensitivity to others from feminine and assertiveness from masculine - but also has traits all its own). I'm not sure if "educated" is quite the most accurate word for it, but from the reports, it does seem to be what highly-educated men and women tend towards. ...I wonder. If I am correct about that, then might some of the social problems we're seeing be caused by a fundamental perception of "there are men" and "there are women", with the modification "some men act like women and some women act like men", with no allowance for this third "gender" since it falls outside of that model? (And if there is a third, might there be a fourth? Or would that be dividing things up too far to be useful?) The source of the model is obvious - and body modification is not (yet) widespread enough that there are many who do away with the bothersome reproductive organs. (What if I don't want to have kids, but rather to impress other peoples' kids so they'll follow in my footsteps more firmly than offspring related only by genetics?) From spike66 at comcast.net Tue Dec 2 02:49:54 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 18:49:54 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Guns In-Reply-To: <20031201153957.96469.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <002b01c3b87e$f737df90$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > > > > It's far from simple. > > Why don't you tell me how you can own fully automatic rifles in > > California? > > It is simple: California is in violation of the US Constitution, and > cases are proceeding through the courts right now... Furthermore, the Taxifornia government is evil and corrupt, in the pockets of gambling interests and under the control of those who plot to harm the taxpayers. A group of them were caught by a live microphone a few months ago, plotting to cut funds to highway repair, so that drivers would hit potholes and ruin their tires, resulting in their crying out for higher taxes to repair roads. Fortunately, they were heard by everyone in the capital building. Busted! Book em, Dano. Watch what happens next fall. We will send these reprehensible miscreants packing with a one-way ticket out of Taxamento, and that will be a fiiiine day indeed. The voters will take this state back from those who would enslave our minds, restrict our sacred freedoms, plunder our paychecks and mess up our tires. spike From spike66 at comcast.net Tue Dec 2 03:07:24 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 19:07:24 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] think this will catch on? In-Reply-To: <5.1.0.14.2.20031201154514.0287fec8@mail.comcast.net> Message-ID: <003801c3b881$68d30e20$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Looks like fun: http://motobykz.co.uk/MercF300/Merc300Funjet.htm spike From mbb386 at main.nc.us Tue Dec 2 04:42:27 2003 From: mbb386 at main.nc.us (MB) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 23:42:27 -0500 (Eastern Standard Time) Subject: [extropy-chat] think this will catch on? In-Reply-To: <003801c3b881$68d30e20$6501a8c0@SHELLY> References: <003801c3b881$68d30e20$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: Wow, spike! It looks like a wonderfully updated version of the Messerschmitt from the 1950s.... Here, Google! :) http://members.shaw.ca/tallteri/messeropenme.jpg http://members.shaw.ca/tallteri/messerclosed.jpg Ha! You can even make a paper model! http://papertoys.com/messerschmitt.htm If the F300 LifeJet gets 50 mpg I'll be *happy* to have one! oooh. :) I can just see it now, chasing around these little mountain roads! ;D Regards, MB On Mon, 1 Dec 2003, Spike wrote: > Looks like fun: > > http://motobykz.co.uk/MercF300/Merc300Funjet.htm > > spike > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 2 04:53:06 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 20:53:06 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Guns In-Reply-To: <01ee01c3b849$d535ebb0$3bb5ff3e@artemis> Message-ID: <20031202045306.22644.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > > The faith I am referring to is the *belief* that society should have > no say in the legitimacy of your position. Ah, well, on that, society does have a say, and more than 3/4 of the US population supports an individual right to keep and bear arms. 39 states have laws guaranteeing a right-to-carry-concealed, most of which were passed in the last decade, a decade in which the US has seen crime drop by half, a phenomenon seen in no other industrialized nation, where no other industrialized nation has as gun laws as free as ours. Society has spoken, in support of my position. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 2 04:55:32 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 20:55:32 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Guns In-Reply-To: <002b01c3b87e$f737df90$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031202045532.79700.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> --- Spike wrote: > > --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > > > > > > It's far from simple. > > > Why don't you tell me how you can own fully automatic rifles in > > > California? > > > > It is simple: California is in violation of the US Constitution, > and > > cases are proceeding through the courts right now... > > Furthermore, the Taxifornia government is evil and corrupt, > in the pockets of gambling interests and under the control > of those who plot to harm the taxpayers. A group of them > were caught by a live microphone a few months ago, plotting > to cut funds to highway repair, so that drivers would hit > potholes and ruin their tires, resulting in their crying > out for higher taxes to repair roads. Fortunately, they > were heard by everyone in the capital building. Busted! > Book em, Dano. Ah, finally the statists trespass on one freedom that Californians cannot brook trespass against: the right to drive. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 2 05:01:14 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 21:01:14 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] think this will catch on? In-Reply-To: <003801c3b881$68d30e20$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031202050114.77087.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> --- Spike wrote: > Looks like fun: > > http://motobykz.co.uk/MercF300/Merc300Funjet.htm Why call it a jet if it has no jet engine??? ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From dirk at neopax.com Tue Dec 2 06:04:55 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 06:04:55 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Guns References: <20031202045306.22644.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <044001c3b89a$35475ed0$3bb5ff3e@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Mike Lorrey" To: "Dirk Bruere" ; "ExI chat list" Sent: Tuesday, December 02, 2003 4:53 AM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Guns > > --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > > > > The faith I am referring to is the *belief* that society should have > > no say in the legitimacy of your position. > > Ah, well, on that, society does have a say, and more than 3/4 of the US > population supports an individual right to keep and bear arms. 39 > states have laws guaranteeing a right-to-carry-concealed, most of which > were passed in the last decade, a decade in which the US has seen crime > drop by half, a phenomenon seen in no other industrialized nation, > where no other industrialized nation has as gun laws as free as ours. > Society has spoken, in support of my position. But I thought you believed in 'inalienable' rights? Or is gun ownership not one of them? Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From spike66 at comcast.net Tue Dec 2 06:31:16 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 22:31:16 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: <20031202045532.79700.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <003e01c3b89d$e3cdfdd0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > > Ah, finally the statists trespass on one freedom that Californians > cannot brook trespass against: the right to drive. > > ===== > Mike Lorrey Roger that, big time. They won't admit it, but the tripling of the car tax is what got our previous sorry excuse for a governor hurled out of office head first. People looked the other way while all the other stuff was going on, but when they messed with our wheels, it was time to take action. {8^D Extropians, do stop and think about this: we all pay taxes out the kazoo and most of it disappears into the mist, gone forever. But a little gets spent on a wonderful toy: the interstate highway system. And what a thing it is: whenever we take a notion we can hop in our internal combustion freedom machines and set out on a journey, on the road like Jack Kerouac! Just go, take off, get the hell outta town for a while. It doesn't even cost much, especially if you take along camping gear and a cooler full of grub and sodas and beer. You can drive a typical detroit all day for 40 or 50 bucks, chase the far horizon for a solid week for just a few Franklins. You seldom need to slow down or pay a toll, rarely get caught in heavy traffic, none of that, just roll along for as long as you want. This works especially well out in the western US, big open country, no one around, like a ride thru the desert on a horse with no name, cause there aint no one there to give you no pain. Psychiatrists offices must be filled with people who have never discovered driving your cares away on the open road, free wind blowing in one ear and out the other. What a terrific way to unwind! Low cost getaway, man! No need to compare it with sex, because you can do both. Not only can money buy happiness, it isn't even particularly expensive any more. Go with a sweetheart or with a bunch of guys, or just go by yourself and have a hell of a good time. For those who understand the extra freedom of going on two wheels, all the above only more so. If all tax dollars were spent as well as they are on the good old interstate highway system, well then, even *I* would be in favor of taxes, and this is *me* talking. {8-] spike Dont mess with our wheels or our roads. From twodeel at jornada.org Tue Dec 2 06:48:29 2003 From: twodeel at jornada.org (Don Dartfield) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 22:48:29 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: <003e01c3b89d$e3cdfdd0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: On Mon, 1 Dec 2003, Spike wrote: > If all tax dollars were spent as well as they are on the good old > interstate highway system, well then, even *I* would be in favor of > taxes, and this is *me* talking. OK, so here's a question I was pondering briefly the other day: if all of the money spent on the Interstates since their inception had been instead pumped into R&D for several companies like Moller, would we have competitively-priced flying cars yet? And if we did have (VTOL) flying vehicles, would we still need roads? The reason I was thinking about it is that I recently finished reading Robert J. Sawyer's Neanderthal Parallax trilogy, where the Neanderthal society in an alternate universe has developed advanced technology while maintaining their hunter-gatherer ways, and although they have flying vehicles and helicopters, they never invented roads, or even non-VTOL aircraft with their required long clearings for takeoff and landing. And I was wondering how feasible this was -- wouldn't you still need roads for shipping heavy items? From spike66 at comcast.net Tue Dec 2 07:18:10 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 23:18:10 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <000001c3b8a4$7156ff20$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > Don Dartfield > > On Mon, 1 Dec 2003, Spike wrote: > > > If all tax dollars were spent as well as they are on the good old > > interstate highway system, well then, even *I* would be in favor of > > taxes, and this is *me* talking. > > OK, so here's a question I was pondering briefly the other > day: if all of the money spent on the Interstates since their inception had > been instead pumped into R&D for several companies like Moller, would we have > competitively-priced flying cars yet? No. Moller and others aren't struggling against a lack of research, they are struggling against physics. There is a good reason why those designs don't fly. The military has dumped cubic tons of money into flying cars, but the power requirements keep pushing us towards the flying cars that we have had for fifty years: helicopters. The equations for power requirements as a function of rotor length are well understood Don. Textbooks on VTOL design are available at your local university. There is a very good reason why choppers have long rotors, and why sailplanes with long skinny wings have a more efficient glide slope than high powered aircraft. spike From eugen at leitl.org Tue Dec 2 10:24:00 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 11:24:00 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles In-Reply-To: <20031201221612.77696.qmail@web80411.mail.yahoo.com> References: <20031201161346.GM22650@leitl.org> <20031201221612.77696.qmail@web80411.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20031202102400.GJ13516@leitl.org> On Mon, Dec 01, 2003 at 02:16:12PM -0800, Adrian Tymes wrote: > Inherently? No more than it is a distinct put-off to > the majority of men, at least by my experience. We seem to be both trading anecdotes here. > There are many things that (Western) men and women > both want, self-control among them. I'm very certain that there is empiric evidence that transhumanism acceptance rate in males is at least an order (maybe two) of magnitude higher than women. However, I have no actual statistics in hand, so I can't prove my case. > Is not one of the end goals of transhumansism vastly > increased control over oneself, including the ability > not to age and die if desired? Most old people look forward to dying. Too much control is a bad thing, imo. You've been soaking in here too long. The bulk of the world is rural; try preaching there. You'll be surprised... -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From jacques at dtext.com Tue Dec 2 11:51:58 2003 From: jacques at dtext.com (JDP) Date: Tue, 02 Dec 2003 12:51:58 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles In-Reply-To: <20031202102400.GJ13516@leitl.org> References: <20031201161346.GM22650@leitl.org> <20031201221612.77696.qmail@web80411.mail.yahoo.com> <20031202102400.GJ13516@leitl.org> Message-ID: <3FCC7CDE.1000609@dtext.com> Eugen Leitl wrote: > I'm very certain that there is empiric evidence > that transhumanism acceptance rate in males is at > least an order (maybe two) of magnitude higher than > women. > > However, I have no actual statistics in hand, so I can't > prove my case. I'll say the obvious: speculation (for best and worse) is distinctively male. You don't easily get the attention of a woman with speculation (except her attention on yourself, as a typical... male). They are usually more practical, caring about what is in the present and makes a difference there. It's one of the obvious gender opposition in the culture, and it is probable that it reflects some biological difference (the origin of which seems rather easy to imagine). Of course, like all "genderalizations", I don't intend it normatively and anyone is welcome to be a counter-example. I am a counter-example of many gender things that I think usually hold. Jacques From gpmap at runbox.com Tue Dec 2 14:01:50 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Tue, 02 Dec 2003 14:01:50 GMT Subject: [extropy-chat] The Opening of Biotech Message-ID: An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From twodeel at jornada.org Tue Dec 2 14:05:00 2003 From: twodeel at jornada.org (Don Dartfield) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 06:05:00 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: <000001c3b8a4$7156ff20$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: On Mon, 1 Dec 2003, Spike wrote: > No. Moller and others aren't struggling against a lack of research, > they are struggling against physics. There is a good reason why those > designs don't fly. I thought that the current Moller Skycar *does* fly -- it just costs a million dollars. From eugen at leitl.org Tue Dec 2 14:19:24 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 15:19:24 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation In-Reply-To: <01b801c3b823$ce7276c0$fe00a8c0@HEMM> References: <20031201140907.49595.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> <184DD522-240A-11D8-9B19-000A95B18568@antipope.org> <01b801c3b823$ce7276c0$fe00a8c0@HEMM> Message-ID: <20031202141923.GC22120@leitl.org> On Mon, Dec 01, 2003 at 01:57:22PM -0200, Henrique Moraes Machado wrote: > I've been reflecting lately on communication versus transportation. The first is developing faster than ever, while the former seems to be stalled. Is it related? Are we concentrating our resourses in evolving our communication means because our transportation means are poor, or does de current pace of developments on comms in fact causes less effort on advancing transportation? Just thinking. Sorry for the bad english, but it's not my native language and I am still learning. Current communications depend on advances in electronics and optics; the signalling speed is about the speed of light already. Electromagnetic communication needs no wires but is limited in bandwidth/cell, the amount of wire/fibre buried is clearly very limited (watch the current dark fibre debacle). However, better coding and hardware can put more bits/s through a given infrastructure. Transportation has stalled in throughput because it's an infrastructure issue (new infrastructure can't occupy the same space as old, need to be compatible and is intrinsically expensive), and speed is an energy and noise issue (you want to stay subsonic, and evacuated channels are ridiculously expensive). If you want to go to orbit, you still have the atmosphere to go through (and it *is* called rocket science not for nothing). The best you can do is hypersonic scramjet, and if you thought Concorde was expensive... So, yeah, communication is where it's at. Especially if we get good telepresence. Online gaming is progressing nicely towards VR already. Once we get head-up displays with good head tracking and good body tracking you can mix both freely. You can expect good augmented reality in about 15-20 years. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 2 14:38:12 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 06:38:12 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Guns In-Reply-To: <044001c3b89a$35475ed0$3bb5ff3e@artemis> Message-ID: <20031202143812.43177.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > > ----- Original Message ----- > From: "Mike Lorrey" > > > > --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > > > > > > The faith I am referring to is the *belief* that society should > > > have no say in the legitimacy of your position. > > > > Ah, well, on that, society does have a say, and more than 3/4 of > the US > > population supports an individual right to keep and bear arms. 39 > > states have laws guaranteeing a right-to-carry-concealed, most of > which > > were passed in the last decade, a decade in which the US has seen > crime > > drop by half, a phenomenon seen in no other industrialized nation, > > where no other industrialized nation has as gun laws as free as > ours. > > Society has spoken, in support of my position. > > But I thought you believed in 'inalienable' rights? > Or is gun ownership not one of them? I don't believe, I know. That I know that I have inalienable rights such as the keeping and bearing of arms (any arms, not just guns) is a distinctly different issue as to whether any particular society thinks so as well. It is fortunate that I live in a society where a supermajority posesses similar knowledge, for that means I do not have to either move somewhere else, or work very hard to secure my liberties against the slave mentality of a serf society such as you do. In my society, we have constitutional barriers against modern ignorance corrupting our natural rights, barriers which serve to protect those rights in times when public opinion sways and flags, such as the 1968-86 period. It is quite evident that certain serf societies on the european continent and elsewhere still believe they have no right to defend their liberties yet still beleive they are are free. They believed this before WWII as well, and look where that got you. We saw a similar phenomenon with the slavery period here in the US, where house slaves saw no reason for the field slaves to yearn for liberty in the north, that privilege was available to those who sufficiently pleased the masters and those that did not deserved to work the fields. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From amara at amara.com Tue Dec 2 13:43:18 2003 From: amara at amara.com (Amara Graps) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 15:43:18 +0200 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Gender Genie - analyzing writing styles Message-ID: Dear Natasha, > >Amara, bella, perhaps the test is outdated. I hope so. In any case the people in this group can provide a sample to further check the algorithm. The transhumanists are a pretty wide mix in the gender arena, in my view. > >We cannot expect either gender to write in tithe style prescribed to it by >any one generational testing regulation. Vero > Also, I don't think it is >necessarily pejorative that a test senses a "male" writing style. Androgyny >is beautiful and an ability to write both across both gender-styles is a >lovely thing to do. This is expressly, I put on a tie many times when I >give a talk. There is a time and place for all aspect of our "selves" and >you seem to have chosen an educated style in your articles. or 'it' chose me :-) > However, I >wonder what the article you wrote on Fiorella Terenzi comes out as. 'Male' > Did >you run that one through the test? (just tried) For the record, the results for all of my poetry test out as 'Male' too. > >As an educated scientist, your training will come out in your writing no >matter how you fancify it. Vero >Also, try running some of your email stories >(that you send to your friends) through the test. Thank you for the suggestion. I didn't try that before, mostly because I am more myself in those personal writings, and they are private among my friends and family. The results from those vignettes are that they are more skewed towards the 'Female' scale, in fact, an almost perfect balance between 'Male' and 'Female'. The interesting thing (to me) about my email stories is that I think my writing style is more or less uniform, but the topics change. Those that discuss immediate relationship topics immediately test out as 'Female'. I don't think that it is a very smart algorithm, that is, if a man talks about relationships he would probably test out as 'Female' too. > >Brings me back to the beginning. Who's judging and is the criteria >objective. > It's hard for me to see how my writings appear while I'm on the inside of my head. Directly, no one is judging but me, but indirectly, (depending on which writings) editors are judging. No matter, though, because I didn't gain very much from that exercise. In the end, I don't think the criteria for that test were useful criteria. Amara -- ******************************************************************** Amara Graps, PhD email: amara at amara.com Computational Physics vita: ftp://ftp.amara.com/pub/resume.txt Multiplex Answers URL: http://www.amara.com/ ******************************************************************** "The best presents don't come in boxes." --Hobbes From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 2 14:57:48 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 06:57:48 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031202145748.87585.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> --- Don Dartfield wrote: > On Mon, 1 Dec 2003, Spike wrote: > > > If all tax dollars were spent as well as they are on the good old > > interstate highway system, well then, even *I* would be in favor of > > taxes, and this is *me* talking. > > OK, so here's a question I was pondering briefly the other day: if > all of the money spent on the Interstates since their inception had > been instead pumped into R&D for several companies like Moller, > would we have competitively-priced flying cars yet? And if we did > have (VTOL) flying vehicles, would we still need roads? Firstly, most all of the money spent on the interstates was money collected in the form of taxes on gasoline, which was burned by motorists driving the roads, i.e. a self funded mandate. People get ticked if you take taxes for one purpose and spend them on another that doesn't benefit the purpose in which they are paying the taxes. A smarter concept would be to take all the aviation-gas tax revinues and invest them in aircar development, rather than building airports and subsidizing airline tickets. That being said, air cars that burn fuels are just bad ideas, IMHO. The mpg efficiency sucks major league. Don't get me wrong, I want one myself, but from any rational economic or environmental perspective, air cars are major wastes of resources on consumer pleasure if they are burning chemical fuels. We were all told as kids that we would live in a future of air cars because the research back in the 1950's and 60's indicated that we would develop anti-gravity sometime in the 21st century, or at least high power high efficiency ion propulsion technologies. > > The reason I was thinking about it is that I recently finished > reading Robert J. Sawyer's Neanderthal Parallax trilogy, where the > Neanderthal society in an alternate universe has developed > advanced technology while maintaining their hunter-gatherer ways, > and although they have flying > vehicles and helicopters, they never invented roads, or even non-VTOL > aircraft with their required long clearings for takeoff and landing. > And I was wondering how feasible this was -- wouldn't you still need > roads for shipping heavy items? Developing technology requires a certain critical mass of population, accumulated knowledge, and an educated class of tinkerers. Hunter gatherer economics cannot support a large enough population exclusively to allow the needed critical mass to accumulate. Besides an ignorance of neanderthal physiognomy, and a misuse of the term 'parallax', he displays a similar ignorance of basic caloric economics. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 2 14:59:43 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 06:59:43 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031202145943.88024.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> --- Don Dartfield wrote: > > I thought that the current Moller Skycar *does* fly -- it just costs > a million dollars. His R&D saucer does fly, somewhat. It sucks major amounts of fuel to do so. Prepare to pay $100 in gas to fly to work each day. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 2 15:16:44 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 07:16:44 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation In-Reply-To: <20031202141923.GC22120@leitl.org> Message-ID: <20031202151644.11109.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> --- Eugen Leitl wrote: > On Mon, Dec 01, 2003 at 01:57:22PM -0200, Henrique Moraes Machado > wrote: > > > I've been reflecting lately on communication versus transportation. > > Current communications depend on advances in electronics > and optics; the signalling speed is about the speed of > light already. Electromagnetic communication needs > no wires but is limited in bandwidth/cell, the > amount of wire/fibre buried is clearly > very limited (watch the current dark fibre debacle). > However, better coding and hardware can put > more bits/s through a given infrastructure. Yes, virtually all of the increases in bandwidth in the last decade have been in improved compression algorithms and higher frequency use, and the attendand equipment designs to do so. > > Transportation has stalled in throughput because it's > an infrastructure issue (new infrastructure can't occupy > the same space as old, need to be compatible and is > intrinsically expensive), and speed is an energy and noise > issue (you want to stay subsonic, and evacuated channels > are ridiculously expensive). It's also an energy issue. You can build SSTs and SSTOs all day long that use existing airports. What you can't get over is the energy cost. The faster you go, the more fuel/mile you burn to deal with thermal friction, and higher power propulsion systems tend also to be less fuel efficient on a gallons per lb thrust basis. The good thing is that resource prices drop over time as technology decreases resource utilization costs and increases utilization efficiency. Eventually higher velocity transportation systems become commercially feasible, this is just a much longer curve than communications has. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From amara at amara.com Tue Dec 2 14:48:34 2003 From: amara at amara.com (Amara Graps) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 16:48:34 +0200 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Gender Genie - analyzing writing styles Message-ID: Dear Eugene: >Transhumanism *is* a distinct put-off to the majority of >women. Perhaps. The main reason that I occasionally talk here is because I have some good friends here. For me, that is more important than the meme-complex, if that provides insight. I see my future with my own circle of friends, family, teachers, students, and not any particular group. (In this respect I've probably changed during the last year or two.) >I do not see how to package the meme complex in a more palatable >way. (I'll need to think on it.) > Perhaps our transhumanist women can produce a diagnosis, and a >suggestion. I'm not the best person to produce a diagnosis and suggestion on this topic now. Probably you know that often, or at least in the last several years, I think that I don't have a strong enough character to accept/handle/counter/respond in a good way to some of the aggression and/or coldness and/or other nastiness that I sometimes encounter on the tranhumanist lists. I had years of practicing talking on Usenet too, but somehow that wasn't the right training for here. This is not any cause for alarm, though, because I have similar thoughts and feelings when I think that I am not strong enough to handle living in Italy, and then I meet someone with a warmth and generosity that blows me away, and it makes me want to continue trying. Same thing with the transhumanists. My headspace regarding interaction with strangers is not the best this year anyway because of this tremendously difficult year and I'm very tired. Amara -- ******************************************************************** Amara Graps, PhD email: amara at amara.com Computational Physics vita: ftp://ftp.amara.com/pub/resume.txt Multiplex Answers URL: http://www.amara.com/ ******************************************************************** "The best presents don't come in boxes." --Hobbes From spike66 at comcast.net Tue Dec 2 16:05:21 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 08:05:21 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles In-Reply-To: <3FCC7CDE.1000609@dtext.com> Message-ID: <002301c3b8ee$169d7150$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > Eugen Leitl wrote: > > > I'm very certain that there is empiric evidence > > that transhumanism acceptance rate in males is at > > least an order (maybe two) of magnitude higher than > > women. > > > > I'll say the obvious: speculation (for best and worse) is > distinctively male. You don't easily get the attention of a woman with speculation > (except her attention on yourself, as a typical... male). They are > usually more practical, caring about what is in the present > and makes a difference there... This is one that made the rounds last newtonmass: Do you know what would have happened if it had been Three Wise Women instead of Three Wise Men? They would have asked directions, arrived on time, helped deliver the baby, cleaned the stable, made a casserole, brought practical gifts, and there would be Peace On Earth. {8^D spike From spike66 at comcast.net Tue Dec 2 16:08:40 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 08:08:40 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <002a01c3b8ee$8d5bd980$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > On Mon, 1 Dec 2003, Spike wrote: > > > No. Moller and others aren't struggling against a lack of research, > > they are struggling against physics. There is a good > > reason why those designs don't fly. > > I thought that the current Moller Skycar *does* fly -- it > just costs a million dollars... Don If it does fly, it's worth twice that, nay three times. There are plenty of yahoos around here that have money to blow their noses on, $3E6 wouldn't even slow them down. spike From twodeel at jornada.org Tue Dec 2 16:10:47 2003 From: twodeel at jornada.org (Don Dartfield) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 08:10:47 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: <20031202145748.87585.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: On Tue, 2 Dec 2003, Mike Lorrey wrote: > Besides an ignorance of neanderthal physiognomy, and a misuse of the > term 'parallax', he displays a similar ignorance of basic caloric > economics. So you read the books? What was the ignorance of neanderthal physiognomy and ignorance of caloric economics? From twodeel at jornada.org Tue Dec 2 16:11:14 2003 From: twodeel at jornada.org (Don Dartfield) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 08:11:14 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles In-Reply-To: <20031202102400.GJ13516@leitl.org> Message-ID: On Tue, 2 Dec 2003, Eugen Leitl wrote: > Most old people look forward to dying. Too much control is a bad thing, > imo. You've been soaking in here too long. The bulk of the world is > rural; try preaching there. You'll be surprised... But if they had the choice, and if they weren't encumbered by religious ideas about death being a good thing, I would think they would rather be young again than die. From spike66 at comcast.net Tue Dec 2 16:23:21 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 08:23:21 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Gender Genie - analyzing writing styles In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <003001c3b8f0$9a585d50$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Amara, where can I find the gender genie test? That previous URL was about how to interpret it, but I didn't see the test itself. spike Yukadoos below. Most of them are old, some new. I didn't write em but I had fun with them: ====================== 1. Two peanuts walk into a bar. One was a salted. 2. A jumper cable walks into a bar. The barman says "I'll serve you, but don't start anything." 3. A sandwich walks into a bar. The barman says, "Sorry, we don't serve food in here." 4. A dyslexic man walks into a bra. 5. A man walks into a bar with a slab of asphalt under his arm and says, "A beer please, and another one for the road." 6. Two cannibals are eating a clown. One says to the other, "Does this taste funny to you?" 7. "Doc, I can't stop singing 'The green, green grass of home.'" "That sounds like Tom Jones syndrome." "Is it common?" "It's not unusual." 8. Two cows standing next to each other in a field, Daisy says to Dolly. "I was artificially inseminated this morning." "I don't believe you," said Dolly. "It's true, no bull!" exclaimed Daisy. 9. Two hydrogen atoms walk into a bar. One says, "I've lost my electron." The other says, "Are you sure?" The first replies, "Yes, I'm positive..." 10. A man takes his Rottweiler to the vet and says, "My dog's cross-eyed. Is there anything you can do for him?" "Well," says the vet, "let's have a look at him" So he picks the dog up and examines his eyes, then checks his teeth. Finally, he says "I'm going to have to put him down." "What? Because he's cross-eyed?" "No, because he's really heavy." 11. I went to buy some camouflage trousers the other day but I couldn't find any. 12. I went to the butcher's the other day and I bet him $50 that he couldn't reach the meat on the top shelf. He said, "No,the steaks are too high." 13. I went to a seafood disco rave last week...and pulled a mussel. 14. Two Eskimos sitting in a kayak were chilly; but when they lit a fire in the craft, it sank, proving once and for all that you can't have your kayak and heat it too.! 15. A man walks into a doctor's office. "What seems to be the problem?" asks the doc. "It's... um...well... I have five penises," replies the man. "Blimey!" says the doctor, "How do your trousers fit?" "Like a glove." 16. What do you call a fish with no eyes? A fsh. From eugen at leitl.org Tue Dec 2 16:27:16 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 17:27:16 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles In-Reply-To: References: <20031202102400.GJ13516@leitl.org> Message-ID: <20031202162715.GJ22120@leitl.org> On Tue, Dec 02, 2003 at 08:11:14AM -0800, Don Dartfield wrote: > But if they had the choice, and if they weren't encumbered by religious I don't know what the cutoff is, but in the current generation it's difficult to get through to people past 50. Maybe our generation will fare better; we'll see. Kids are easy, but I'm not sure they retain the view as they age. I notice several transhumanists have drifted away as they aged. > ideas about death being a good thing, I would think they would rather be They think they're immortal already, so they will fight you tooth and nail when you attempt to take their only protection away. Actually, they will simply reject whatever you say, so there's even not much fighting involved. > young again than die. A lot of people do not want to become young again. Because they're comfortable as they are, and don't want to go back to teen/twen angst. They don't understand that you can have the one, and not the another as well. It will become iffy as chronical diseases make the daily living really painful, so anything becomes an improvement (you never seen old people longing for death?). But, old people are the toughest cases. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From natashavita at earthlink.net Tue Dec 2 16:28:35 2003 From: natashavita at earthlink.net (natashavita at earthlink.net) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 11:28:35 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] NEWSWEEK: Test your Digital IQ Message-ID: <184670-220031222162835774@M2W095.mail2web.com> "Next Frontiers: Test Your Ditigal IQ Computers havae infiltrated almost every phase of our lives, from the office to the car, phones to mucic. Just how much do you know about technologies that are taking over your world? Take this quick quiz and see if you're a geek or a Luddite." ___________________________________________________________________ For Extropy list members, this test is utterly basic, but if anyone wants to take it, here is one oneline: http://www.msnbc.com/news/987180.asp Some comments are funny by Ernie the attorney: http://www.ernietheattorney.net/ernie_the_attorney/2003/11/newsweek_survey.h tml Natasha -------------------------------------------------------------------- mail2web - Check your email from the web at http://mail2web.com/ . From natashavita at earthlink.net Tue Dec 2 16:32:00 2003 From: natashavita at earthlink.net (natashavita at earthlink.net) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 11:32:00 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Gender Genie - analyzing writing styles Message-ID: <281450-2200312221632091@M2W092.mail2web.com> Bloody hell Spike! I'm trying to get some work done!!! Every time I open my email hub to sneak a peek at an incoming message I start lol and disrupting my workday. ====================== 1. Two peanuts walk into a bar. One was a salted. 2. A jumper cable walks into a bar. The barman says "I'll serve you, but don't start anything." 3. A sandwich walks into a bar. The barman says, "Sorry, we don't serve food in here." 4. A dyslexic man walks into a bra. 5. A man walks into a bar with a slab of asphalt under his arm and says, "A beer please, and another one for the road." 6. Two cannibals are eating a clown. One says to the other, "Does this taste funny to you?" 7. "Doc, I can't stop singing 'The green, green grass of home.'" "That sounds like Tom Jones syndrome." "Is it common?" "It's not unusual." 8. Two cows standing next to each other in a field, Daisy says to Dolly. "I was artificially inseminated this morning." "I don't believe you," said Dolly. "It's true, no bull!" exclaimed Daisy. 9. Two hydrogen atoms walk into a bar. One says, "I've lost my electron." The other says, "Are you sure?" The first replies, "Yes, I'm positive..." 10. A man takes his Rottweiler to the vet and says, "My dog's cross-eyed. Is there anything you can do for him?" "Well," says the vet, "let's have a look at him" So he picks the dog up and examines his eyes, then checks his teeth. Finally, he says "I'm going to have to put him down." "What? Because he's cross-eyed?" "No, because he's really heavy." 11. I went to buy some camouflage trousers the other day but I couldn't find any. 12. I went to the butcher's the other day and I bet him $50 that he couldn't reach the meat on the top shelf. He said, "No,the steaks are too high." 13. I went to a seafood disco rave last week...and pulled a mussel. 14. Two Eskimos sitting in a kayak were chilly; but when they lit a fire in the craft, it sank, proving once and for all that you can't have your kayak and heat it too.! 15. A man walks into a doctor's office. "What seems to be the problem?" asks the doc. "It's... um...well... I have five penises," replies the man. "Blimey!" says the doctor, "How do your trousers fit?" "Like a glove." 16. What do you call a fish with no eyes? A fsh. _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat -------------------------------------------------------------------- mail2web - Check your email from the web at http://mail2web.com/ . From bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk Tue Dec 2 16:39:53 2003 From: bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk (BillK) Date: Tue, 02 Dec 2003 16:39:53 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] think this will catch on? Message-ID: <3FCCC059.7080701@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> On Mon Dec 01, 2003 09:42 pm MB wrote: > Wow, spike! It looks like a wonderfully updated version of > the Messerschmitt from the 1950s.... > Huh! Three wheels - Far too many. Try a Harley-style single-wheel motorcycle! Message-ID: <20031202164047.14918.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> --- Don Dartfield wrote: > On Tue, 2 Dec 2003, Mike Lorrey wrote: > > > Besides an ignorance of neanderthal physiognomy, and a misuse of > the > > term 'parallax', he displays a similar ignorance of basic caloric > > economics. > > So you read the books? What was the ignorance of neanderthal > physiognomy and ignorance of caloric economics? >From what I've read, neurological studies of the shape of the brain case of neanderthals indicate they lacked a lot of the higher brain functions that homo sap needed to make the breakthrough to actual conciousness, beyond being ordered around by a god module. As for caloric economics, as I said in the previous post, you cant generate enough calories per acre of wilderness via hunter gatherer economics to support a large enough population or to support job specialization needed to achieve a highly technological society. The best such a society can do is have a tribe with a few specialized tool makers and medicine men. You certainly could NOT support the industrial infrastructure needed to build advanced technologies like helicopters. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From twodeel at jornada.org Tue Dec 2 16:50:50 2003 From: twodeel at jornada.org (Don Dartfield) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 08:50:50 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: <20031202145748.87585.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: On Tue, 2 Dec 2003, Mike Lorrey wrote: > misuse of the term 'parallax' I'm also not sure where you got this. Parallax is the apparent shift when you view something from two different positions, right? I took his use of the term "Neanderthal parallax" to refer to the different way of looking at things that his main characters were exposed to when seeing things from the viewpoint of the Neanderthal society. Seems like a perfectly valid use of the term to me. From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 2 16:58:05 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 08:58:05 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] NEWSWEEK: Test your Digital IQ In-Reply-To: <184670-220031222162835774@M2W095.mail2web.com> Message-ID: <20031202165805.76866.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> --- "natashavita at earthlink.net" wrote: > "Next Frontiers: > > Test Your Ditigal IQ 147 "nerd" "loser" "nerd" "dweeb" "melvin" "dork" "chode" "geek" ayup.... ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 2 17:00:53 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 09:00:53 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031202170055.77812.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> --- Don Dartfield wrote: > On Tue, 2 Dec 2003, Mike Lorrey wrote: > > > misuse of the term 'parallax' > > I'm also not sure where you got this. Parallax is the apparent shift > when you view something from two different positions, right? I > took his use of the term "Neanderthal parallax" to refer to the > different way of looking at things that his main characters were > exposed to when seeing things from the viewpoint of the Neanderthal > society. Seems like a perfectly valid use of the term to me. He seemed to me to be using it as a term to describe parallel universes. It is a bit of a stretch though I suppose not out of the realm of artistic license. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From twodeel at jornada.org Tue Dec 2 17:11:07 2003 From: twodeel at jornada.org (Don Dartfield) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 09:11:07 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: <20031202170055.77812.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: On Tue, 2 Dec 2003, Mike Lorrey wrote: > He seemed to me to be using it as a term to describe parallel universes. > It is a bit of a stretch though I suppose not out of the realm of > artistic license. Okay, then yeah, that would be an incorrect usage. Unless he's trying to coin a new "popular usage" meaning for the term. Perhaps we should ask him. It might be handy to have a single word term for an alternate universe in my writing, rather than always having to use "parallel universe" or "alternate universe" or "from anooooooother dimEEEENSSSSSSSion..." From amara at amara.com Tue Dec 2 16:40:46 2003 From: amara at amara.com (Amara Graps) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 18:40:46 +0200 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Gender Genie - analyzing writing styles Message-ID: Dear Spike: >Amara, where can I find the gender genie test? http://www.bookblog.net/gender/genie.html >Yukadoos below. Most of them are old, some new. > I didn't write em but I had fun with them: > 1. Two peanuts walk into a bar. One was a salted. [...] http://www.amara.com/ilDolore_sm.jpg (thanks for the laughs Spike. Really!) Amara -- *********************************************************************** Amara Graps, PhD email: amara at amara.com Computational Physics vita: ftp://ftp.amara.com/pub/resume.txt Multiplex Answers URL: http://www.amara.com/ *********************************************************************** "The trouble with nude dancing is that not everything stops when the music stops." --Robert Helpmann From thespike at earthlink.net Tue Dec 2 17:46:46 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 11:46:46 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Gender Genie - analyzing writing styles References: Message-ID: <00d901c3b8fc$51e46da0$4f9d4a43@texas.net> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Amara Graps" Sent: Monday, December 01, 2003 8:42 AM > I ran across this online program that tries to analyze the gender > of the writer of a writing selection. I am writing quite a lot these > days, and I was curious about what the "gender genie" would > calculate for my gender. > > http://www.bookblog.net/gender/genie.html > > "According to Koppel and Argamon, the algorithm should predict the > gender of the author approximately 80% of the time." I ran the first 5000 words of my and Rory Barnes's female-first-person-narrated novel THE HUNGER OF TIME through the algorithm: Female Score: 5925 Male Score: 5036 The Gender Genie thinks the author of this passage is: female! ========== Cool! Si I tried the first 6500 words of THE JUDAS MANDALA, a novel by me alone, also first-person-female (but one tough cookie): Female Score: 7519 Male Score: 7679 The Gender Genie thinks the author of this passage is: male! ==== Well... close enough. Then I tried the opening of THE WHITE ABACUS, much of it narrated by a purportedly androgynous ai: From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Tue Dec 2 17:57:46 2003 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (kevinfreels at hotmail.com) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 11:57:46 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system References: Message-ID: That's just plain silly if you ask me. Roads have been around far longer than cars. Long before the society was developed enough to make flying cars, they would have had to invent roads and agriculture. The technology of a civilization relies somewhat on the size of the population. For example: You coulndn't have flying cars without highly developed computer systems. Those wouldn;t exist unless the civilization was heavily computerized. That wouldn;t happen without a solid infrastructure of utilities and roads to deliver the computers. etc, etc. Roads were a necessary contribution to the development of our civilization. On a side note, I am currently considering the possibility that neandertal man lacked the fine motor skills necessary for manipulating small objects. ----- Original Message ----- From: "Don Dartfield" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Tuesday, December 02, 2003 12:48 AM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system > On Mon, 1 Dec 2003, Spike wrote: > > > If all tax dollars were spent as well as they are on the good old > > interstate highway system, well then, even *I* would be in favor of > > taxes, and this is *me* talking. > > OK, so here's a question I was pondering briefly the other day: if all of > the money spent on the Interstates since their inception had been instead > pumped into R&D for several companies like Moller, would we have > competitively-priced flying cars yet? And if we did have (VTOL) flying > vehicles, would we still need roads? > > The reason I was thinking about it is that I recently finished reading > Robert J. Sawyer's Neanderthal Parallax trilogy, where the Neanderthal > society in an alternate universe has developed advanced technology while > maintaining their hunter-gatherer ways, and although they have flying > vehicles and helicopters, they never invented roads, or even non-VTOL > aircraft with their required long clearings for takeoff and landing. And > I was wondering how feasible this was -- wouldn't you still need roads for > shipping heavy items? > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From thespike at earthlink.net Tue Dec 2 17:59:57 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 11:59:57 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Gender Genie - analyzing writing styles References: Message-ID: <00e601c3b8fe$1bfee740$4f9d4a43@texas.net> Stupid goddamned emailer jumped the gun; try again: ----- Original Message ----- From: "Amara Graps" Sent: Monday, December 01, 2003 8:42 AM > I ran across this online program that tries to analyze the gender > of the writer of a writing selection. I am writing quite a lot these > days, and I was curious about what the "gender genie" would > calculate for my gender. > > http://www.bookblog.net/gender/genie.html > > "According to Koppel and Argamon, the algorithm should predict the > gender of the author approximately 80% of the time." I ran the first 5000 words of my and Rory Barnes's female-first-person-narrated novel THE HUNGER OF TIME through the algorithm: Female Score: 5925 Male Score: 5036 The Gender Genie thinks the author of this passage is: female! ========== Cool! So I tried the first 6500 words of THE JUDAS MANDALA, a novel by me alone, also first-person-female (but one tough cookie): Female Score: 7519 Male Score: 7679 The Gender Genie thinks the author of this passage is: male! ==== Well... close enough. Then I tried the opening of THE WHITE ABACUS, much of it narrated by a purportedly androgynous ai: Female Score: 4581 Male Score: 5318 The Gender Genie thinks the author of this passage is: male! ====== Hmmm. Fair enough. So I tried the opening 1700 words of THE BLACK GRAIL, where the narrator is a tough but reflective sword-wielding hero: Female Score: 2354 Male Score: 1643 The Gender Genie thinks the author of this passage is: female! ======== Whaaaa--?! Damien Broderick www.thespike.us From jacques at dtext.com Tue Dec 2 18:03:26 2003 From: jacques at dtext.com (JDP) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 19:03:26 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and old people In-Reply-To: <20031202162715.GJ22120@leitl.org> References: <20031202102400.GJ13516@leitl.org> <20031202162715.GJ22120@leitl.org> Message-ID: <16332.54254.386946.867389@localhost.localdomain> Eugen Leitl a ?crit (2.12.2003/17:27) : > On Tue, Dec 02, 2003 at 08:11:14AM -0800, Don Dartfield wrote: > > > But if they had the choice, and if they weren't encumbered by religious > > I don't know what the cutoff is, but in the current generation it's > difficult to get through to people past 50. Maybe our generation will > fare better; we'll see. Kids are easy, but I'm not sure they retain > the view as they age. > > I notice several transhumanists have drifted away as they aged. If you are confident it won't happen in your lifetime, and you will plain old die, then it is natural to discard crazy hopes and try to mentally adapt to what you think is your real fate. The old people have adapted. Adopting new hopes which seem improbable is too tiring emotionally and cognitively. I am pretty sure that if the thing was really available NOW, most would be happy to take the trouble of changing their mind and choose to avoid death. It is just that if they don't believe it will happen, they don't want to disturb the acceptance and adaptation they have managed to build in themselves. (Which makes good sense to me.) Jacques From twodeel at jornada.org Tue Dec 2 18:14:37 2003 From: twodeel at jornada.org (Don Dartfield) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 10:14:37 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: <20031202164047.14918.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: On Tue, 2 Dec 2003, Mike Lorrey wrote: > From what I've read, neurological studies of the shape of the brain case > of neanderthals indicate they lacked a lot of the higher brain functions > that homo sap needed to make the breakthrough to actual conciousness, > beyond being ordered around by a god module. Really? That seems odd. I thought they could make musical instruments, and had larger braincases than us ... but they lack higher brain functions? Are these brand new studies? In any case, in the Neanderthal Parallax trilogy's worldview (or worldsview, as the case may be), actual consciousness seemed to be attributed more more of a random event which was intimately tied with the universe splitting, rather than being purely a function of brain structure. Probably not realistic, but that doesn't mean > As for caloric economics, as I said in the previous post, you cant > generate enough calories per acre of wilderness via hunter gatherer > economics to support a large enough population or to support job > specialization needed to achieve a highly technological society. The > best such a society can do is have a tribe with a few specialized tool > makers and medicine men. You certainly could NOT support the industrial > infrastructure needed to build advanced technologies like helicopters. Maybe not for us, but given the higher-than-human intelligence of Sawyer's Neanderthals, maybe they could technology without requiring such a high population density. Maybe their advanced intelligence means that individuals can invent high technology without needing a lot of spare people. ;) From thespike at earthlink.net Tue Dec 2 18:16:28 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 12:16:28 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Gender Genie - analyzing writing styles References: <00e601c3b8fe$1bfee740$4f9d4a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <015901c3b900$6a4bd8c0$4f9d4a43@texas.net> This is fun! I ran the first 6000 words of my novel-under-development through the thing. YGGDRASIL STATION is told by a nerdboy Slan/godlet: Female Score: 5878 Male Score: 6776 The Gender Genie thinks the author of this passage is: male! ========= Okay, you're getting better, d00D. Damien Broderick From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Tue Dec 2 18:20:43 2003 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (kevinfreels at hotmail.com) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 12:20:43 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation References: Message-ID: I think that this has occurred simply because the masses have decided that what we have is good enough. The market has stabilized and the cost-benefit is about equal. The airlines already struggle with making profits because of this. If they raise the price of tickets, more people choose to drive to their destination. Faster flights and more exclusive, dedicated service to streamline the waiting would only increase the cost which most people are simply not willing to pay. This doesn;t mean that the technology hasn't improved however. If you look at the last 50 years (1953 to today) there are many breakthroughs fololowing Yeager's 1947 mach 1 flight in a single-man rocket with wings. Concorde travels at 1350 mph, SR-71 travels at mach 3.3. We went to the moon in 1969 (speeds averaging 25,000 mph). Aurora (if it exists) is supposed to cruise between mach 5 and mach 8. Nasa's X-43 HyperX is supposed to travel between mach 7 and mach 10. The shuttle re-enters about mach 23 (i think) ----- Original Message ----- From: "Brian Lee" To: ; Sent: Monday, December 01, 2003 12:22 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation > I've thought a bit on this lately and am a little let down with the pace of > transportation. If you look at air travel over the last 50 years there are > few major breakthroughs. 75 years ago, it took weeks to travel around the > world and then with commercial air travel, that was cut down to a day or > merely hours. 50 years later, we're still pretty much at the same flight > times. We have more routes and scheduled and tvs in the seats but flights > are still about the same length. Perhaps they are even longer if you take > security waits into the equation. > > I think the main reason why air travel tech has stalled is lack of > competition. There's really only two companies making planes-Airbus and > Boeing- and both are heavily subsidized by their respective governments. Air > travel is subsidized by local governments and businesses who don't have much > incentive to decrease travel time. > > For ground travel, in the US at least, road trips take less time because the > speed limit has been increased from 55 to 70-75 on interstates. It's nice to > be save 2 hours from an Atlanta to Miami trip, but I'm still waiting for 15 > minute NY-London trips and flying cars. > > How long until the science fiction breakthroughs come on line? Transporters, > etc. > > I've done a bit of teleconferencing and videoconferencing and while it is > sufficient for basic communication, it's not yet replacing meatspace. > > BAL > >From: "Henrique Moraes Machado" > >To: "ExI chat list" > >Subject: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation > >Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 13:57:22 -0200 > > > >Hello extropians, > > > >I've been reflecting lately on communication versus transportation. The > >first is developing faster than ever, while the former seems to be stalled. > >Is it related? Are we concentrating our resourses in evolving our > >communication means because our transportation means are poor, or does de > >current pace of developments on comms in fact causes less effort on > >advancing transportation? Just thinking. Sorry for the bad english, but > >it's not my native language and I am still learning. > >_______________________________________________ > >extropy-chat mailing list > >extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > >http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > > _________________________________________________________________ > Is there a gadget-lover on your gift list? MSN Shopping has lined up some > good bets! http://shopping.msn.com > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From jonkc at att.net Tue Dec 2 18:26:08 2003 From: jonkc at att.net (John K Clark) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 13:26:08 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Gender Genie - analyzing writing styles References: <00d901c3b8fc$51e46da0$4f9d4a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <006001c3b901$d0972ca0$cfff4d0c@hal2001> I tried it on some stuff I wrote and it was correct 3 out of 4 times, but according to it by far the most masculine prose came from something I didn't write, the first few pages of Harry Potter And The Philosopher's Stone by JK Rowling, Female Score: 912 Male Score: 1737. John K Clark jonkc at att.net From thespike at earthlink.net Tue Dec 2 18:39:50 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 12:39:50 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Gender Genie - analyzing writing styles References: <00d901c3b8fc$51e46da0$4f9d4a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <018001c3b903$af0533a0$4f9d4a43@texas.net> Let's see how the sucker reacts to my theoretical book THE ARCHITECTURE OF BABEL: Words: 2490 Female Score: 1788 Male Score: 3677 The Gender Genie thinks the author of this passage is: male! Hmm. We boyz do hard wordz, eh? Let's check out THEORY AND ITS DISCONTENTS: Weird, it cracks up and can't cope. Repeatedly. Can't handle Derrida, huh? Damien Broderick From thespike at earthlink.net Tue Dec 2 18:52:14 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 12:52:14 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Gender Genie - analyzing writing styles References: <00d901c3b8fc$51e46da0$4f9d4a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <019101c3b905$6a7da4e0$4f9d4a43@texas.net> And a fairly flagrantly `male' piece of strutting, my gonzo review of John Clute's APPLESEED: Words: 2732 (Female Score: 1834 Male Score: 3577 The Gender Genie thinks the author of this passage is: male! Let's try some of THE SPIKE: Words: 2718 Female Score: 2597 Male Score: 3432 The Gender Genie thinks the author of this passage is: male! Inneresting... Damien Broderick From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Tue Dec 2 19:38:14 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 14:38:14 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] NEWSWEEK: Test your Digital IQ In-Reply-To: <184670-220031222162835774@M2W095.mail2web.com> Message-ID: <009501c3b90b$d7b92600$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> This is not a knowledge test, it is a market survey. "Did you buy your computer online?", etc. What do you use most? Where do you use it? How often do you use it? They are surveying what people use, not what people know. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From charlie at antipope.org Tue Dec 2 19:53:35 2003 From: charlie at antipope.org (Charlie Stross) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 19:53:35 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <372B67A6-2501-11D8-AF95-000A95B18568@antipope.org> On 2 Dec 2003, at 18:20, wrote: > I think that this has occurred simply because the masses have decided > that > what we have is good enough. The market has stabilized and the > cost-benefit > is about equal. The airlines already struggle with making profits > because of > this. If they raise the price of tickets, more people choose to drive > to > their destination. Faster flights and more exclusive, dedicated > service to > streamline the waiting would only increase the cost which most people > are > simply not willing to pay. > Personally, I'd like *slower* intercontinental flights. Jet lag leaves me feeling washed out for days, and the cramped cabin conditions are distinctly unpleasant. I'd be more than happy to travel by airship at, say, 200-300km/h instead of by jet at 800-1000km/h, as long as the cubic volume available to passengers was comparable to that on a sea-going ship. And if there's one thing airships aren't short on, it's cubic volume! Standard class on the Hindenberg included a berth in a two-bunk stateroom and access to the lounge and promenade decks. Give me bandwidth, a lounge to sit in with a laptop, and a comfortable bed, and I'd be a lot happier to take 48 hours to cross the Atlantic (getting work done en route and shifting my sleep pattern at a natural rate) than spending 7 hours in cattle class (unable to work and feeling like crap at the other end of the journey). (NB: This isn't to say that I wouldn't prefer to travel by sub-orbital hop and get wherever I'm going in mere minutes, but as a comparison to today's subsonic jet travel an airship has its merits.) -- Charlie From bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk Tue Dec 2 20:12:05 2003 From: bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk (BillK) Date: Tue, 02 Dec 2003 20:12:05 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system Message-ID: <3FCCF215.6010501@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> On Tue Dec 02, 2003 09:08 am Spike wrote: > If it does fly, it's worth twice that, nay three times. > There are plenty of yahoos around here that have money > to blow their noses on, $3E6 wouldn't even slow > them down. > Popular Science have published a review 'Best of What's New 2003' In the Aviation section they mention the Bell Agusta 609 Vertical takeoff, high-speed cruising: This is the ideal, and potentially profitable, vision for air commuting. Which is why two leading helicopter builders--Texas-based Bell and Agusta of Italy--carried out a long-awaited first hovering flight of the tilt-rotor BA609 in March. The little brother of the Pentagon?s controversial, expensive, formerly crash-prone and now improved V-22 Osprey, the BA609 takes off straight up, rotates its engines forward, then flies like a plane--twice as fast as a helicopter. It is scheduled to enter service in 2007, a mere 52 years after Bell flew its first experimental tilt-rotor in 1955. Sounds more practical than the Moller Skycar. BillK PS. All the other sections are worth a read also! From mbb386 at main.nc.us Tue Dec 2 20:13:30 2003 From: mbb386 at main.nc.us (MB) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 15:13:30 -0500 (Eastern Standard Time) Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles In-Reply-To: <20031202102400.GJ13516@leitl.org> References: <20031201161346.GM22650@leitl.org> <20031201221612.77696.qmail@web80411.mail.yahoo.com> <20031202102400.GJ13516@leitl.org> Message-ID: On Tue, 2 Dec 2003, Eugen Leitl wrote: > > Most old people look forward to dying. > Unfortunately this is true. Young folk do not "get it", most of the time. When one finds health failing, pain a constant companion, friends and loved ones gone (already dead), it can be hard to keep up enthusiasm to go on. Now living life longer in better condition, feeling good and energetic and strong..... that's a winner, most folk would like it, in my experience. But living longer when you're old and poor and sick and getting worse? Why? > Too much control > is a bad thing, imo. What do you mean by "too much control is a bad thing"? Would you *force* people to continue to exist in their misery and pain and suffering because ... what? Regards, MB From dirk at neopax.com Tue Dec 2 21:37:22 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 21:37:22 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles References: <20031201161346.GM22650@leitl.org><20031201221612.77696.qmail@web80411.mail.yahoo.com><20031202102400.GJ13516@leitl.org> Message-ID: <06eb01c3b91c$8dbd4480$3bb5ff3e@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "MB" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Tuesday, December 02, 2003 8:13 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles > > > On Tue, 2 Dec 2003, Eugen Leitl wrote: > > > > > > Most old people look forward to dying. > > > > Unfortunately this is true. Young folk do not "get it", most > of the time. When one finds health failing, pain a constant > companion, friends and loved ones gone (already dead), it > can be hard to keep up enthusiasm to go on. And there's one other factor - one that I'm beginning to experience. It is the 'seen it all' syndrome where fewer and fewer things hold any novelty. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From eugen at leitl.org Tue Dec 2 21:49:53 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 22:49:53 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles In-Reply-To: References: <20031201161346.GM22650@leitl.org> <20031201221612.77696.qmail@web80411.mail.yahoo.com> <20031202102400.GJ13516@leitl.org> Message-ID: <20031202214953.GT22120@leitl.org> On Tue, Dec 02, 2003 at 03:13:30PM -0500, MB wrote: > > What do you mean by "too much control is a bad thing"? Would > you *force* people to continue to exist in their misery and > pain and suffering because ... what? This is from another context entirely! This is directed to the control freaks amongst us. It can be liberating to realize that this is only an illusion of control, in a world that is entirely uncontrollable. (I better stop before I get all new-agey here). -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 2 21:51:46 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 13:51:46 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031202215146.19703.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> --- Don Dartfield wrote: > On Tue, 2 Dec 2003, Mike Lorrey wrote: > > > From what I've read, neurological studies of the shape of the brain > case > > of neanderthals indicate they lacked a lot of the higher brain > functions > > that homo sap needed to make the breakthrough to actual > conciousness, > > beyond being ordered around by a god module. > > Really? That seems odd. I thought they could make musical > instruments, > and had larger braincases than us ... but they lack higher brain > functions? Are these brand new studies? No, neanderthals did not have larger braincases than homo sapiens, that is a myth. What they did have was larger spaces for anterior lobes, i.e. the more primitive area of the brain, while having less space for frontal lobes. Making music, nor even religion, is not a function of conciousness. Birds make music all the time, and apes are known to use tools and make primitive art. Conciousness in man is not even thought to have developed (according to some) until after the invention of writing. Read Julian Jaynes' book The Origin of Conciousness in the Breakdown of the Bicameral Mind. > > Maybe not for us, but given the higher-than-human intelligence of > Sawyer's > Neanderthals, maybe they could technology without requiring such a > high > population density. Maybe their advanced intelligence means that > individuals can invent high technology without needing a lot of spare > people. ;) As above, neanderthals were not of higher intelligence. The fact that they are extinct demonstrates that they failed miserably at the most important test of intelligence against a more intelligent competitor for the same resources. Even if they were of higher intelligence does not mean anything about reducing the need for a technological and industrial infrastructure. Homo sap did not NEED written language until after it had developed agriculture. Virtually no hunter gatherer societies invented writing independently in all of pre-history. Writing is an artifact of agricultural technology and the need to manage its infrastructure in the areas of labor pooling, resource sharing, land ownership, etc. Societies that do not have such needs never develop writing because they don't need writing as a management technology. Even if we assume that for some reason, neanderthals needed writing to keep track of who owned what hunting areas, what shelters belonged to what hunters, to store knowledge of wild plant medicines and so forth (they would actually have to have a really poor memory to have such a need, since homo sapiens hunter gatherers have been able to perform such functions without writing for thousands of years), this would not allow the development of a leisure class of scientific minds that would be needed to spur technological development, especially if they have poor memories. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 2 22:06:57 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 14:06:57 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: <3FCCF215.6010501@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> Message-ID: <20031202220657.48617.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> --- BillK wrote: > Popular Science have published a review > 'Best of What's New 2003' > > > In the Aviation section they mention the Bell Agusta 609 > > > > Sounds more practical than the Moller Skycar. Well, it carries three times as many people as a Moller. It is probably an $8-10 million vehicle. I saw a mockup for a two seater tiltrotor called a BAT several years ago in Aviation Week that was on display at an airshow. A tiltrotor that holds 2-4 people is what would be more practical than the Moller. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From dirk at neopax.com Tue Dec 2 22:27:02 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 22:27:02 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system References: <20031202215146.19703.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <070501c3b923$7e548c90$3bb5ff3e@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Mike Lorrey" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Tuesday, December 02, 2003 9:51 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system > > As above, neanderthals were not of higher intelligence. The fact that > they are extinct demonstrates that they failed miserably at the most > important test of intelligence against a more intelligent competitor > for the same resources. ie outbreeding their competitor. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From rhanson at gmu.edu Tue Dec 2 22:55:51 2003 From: rhanson at gmu.edu (Robin Hanson) Date: Tue, 02 Dec 2003 17:55:51 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Who Anticipated Internet Exploding in 90s? In-Reply-To: <06eb01c3b91c$8dbd4480$3bb5ff3e@artemis> References: <20031201161346.GM22650@leitl.org> <20031201221612.77696.qmail@web80411.mail.yahoo.com> <20031202102400.GJ13516@leitl.org> Message-ID: <5.2.1.1.2.20031202175419.01e7b5a0@mail.gmu.edu> I just read someone who said: "no one anticipated the explosive diffusion of the Internet during the 1990s" and I figured that this can't be right - surely someone must have had the dumb luck to predict such a thing before 1990. Can anyone point to a quote? Robin Hanson rhanson at gmu.edu http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-4444 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323 From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Tue Dec 2 23:05:15 2003 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (kevinfreels at hotmail.com) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 17:05:15 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system References: <20031202215146.19703.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: > No, neanderthals did not have larger braincases than homo sapiens, that > is a myth. What they did have was larger spaces for anterior lobes, > i.e. the more primitive area of the brain, while having less space for > frontal lobes. Do you have anything to show this? Everything I have come acroos shows the braincase itself exceeding modern man's by about 200cc. Here for example: http://www.ecu.edu/org/ags/archives/hominidtable.htm Kevin From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 2 23:40:32 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 15:40:32 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: <070501c3b923$7e548c90$3bb5ff3e@artemis> Message-ID: <20031202234032.78927.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > > ----- Original Message ----- > From: "Mike Lorrey" > > > > > As above, neanderthals were not of higher intelligence. The fact > that > > they are extinct demonstrates that they failed miserably at the > most > > important test of intelligence against a more intelligent > competitor > > for the same resources. > > ie outbreeding their competitor. No, there is no evidence of that. Neanderthals suffered from several disadvantages: their bones were much more dense, so they could not swim. Their arms did not allow as much dexterity as homo sap so they could not wield distance weapons like spears with any accuracy or force beyond ten meters or so, and so likely never evolved the mental ability to judge trajectories very well. Their lack of intelligence was evidenced primarily by their extreme lack of hygiene or organization in their living quarters (jokes about the living arrangements of certain geeks notwithstanding). They typically lived in nests of decaying prey, bones, and ash, infested by rodents and insect parasites. They seemed to have developed a basic concept of "mine" with regards to personal property, such that dead neanderthals were buried with "their stuff", a feature that many anthropologists assumed meant some sort of religious belief in an afterlife existed, but this is nothing more than transference. As another poster mentioned, burial was an act of conspicuous consumption. Neanderthal burials became less and less elaborate over time as pressure from homo sapiens put many clans on the run and could not afford such displays. Hunger will turn any animal into a thief. This competition was not exclusive to the neanderthal/homo sap confrontation. There was a similar intelligence arms race going on between predator species and prey species in all parts of the world during this period up until the present day. A predator species would evolve a larger brain case, and gain advantage over its prey species until the selective preying on less intelligent prey resulted in the evolution of smarter prey. This cut back on the competetiveness of the predator species until it evolved into a smarter species with a bigger brain. This goes on today, particularly with regard to human predation on deer and other mammal populations in North America. Human hunters use ever more advanced technologies to help hunt these animals, but do not decimate the herd, due to wildlife management principles. This has resulted in the forced evolution of smarter deer, bear, and other animal species. Especially with deer, where predation has been predominantly on the male deer, one can see a measurable difference in the intelligence of bucks vs does. Back to the debate at hand, homo sapiens was just smarter than neanderthals, and like many of the large mammals worldwide following the Ice Age, neanderthal was forced into extinction because homo sapiens was smart enough to outpredate anything, but not at that point concious enough to manage wildlife wisely. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From dirk at neopax.com Tue Dec 2 23:46:55 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 23:46:55 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system References: <20031202234032.78927.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <076a01c3b92e$92076c20$3bb5ff3e@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Mike Lorrey" To: "Dirk Bruere" ; "ExI chat list" Sent: Tuesday, December 02, 2003 11:40 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system > > --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > > > > ----- Original Message ----- > > From: "Mike Lorrey" > > > > > > > As above, neanderthals were not of higher intelligence. The fact > > that > > > they are extinct demonstrates that they failed miserably at the > > most > > > important test of intelligence against a more intelligent > > competitor > > > for the same resources. > > > > ie outbreeding their competitor. > > No, there is no evidence of that. Neanderthals suffered from several > disadvantages: their bones were much more dense, so they could not > swim. Their arms did not allow as much dexterity as homo sap so they > could not wield distance weapons like spears with any accuracy or force > beyond ten meters or so, and so likely never evolved the mental ability > to judge trajectories very well. Yet it is quite conceivable that Homo Sapiens simply bred more quickly, esp since they were smaller and presumably needed less food. Only a 1% differential would have led to Neanderthals becoming extinct in a very short timescale. It may have nothing whatsoever to do with intelligence. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From wingcat at pacbell.net Tue Dec 2 23:48:42 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 15:48:42 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles In-Reply-To: <20031202214953.GT22120@leitl.org> Message-ID: <20031202234842.10650.qmail@web80406.mail.yahoo.com> --- Eugen Leitl wrote: > On Tue, Dec 02, 2003 at 03:13:30PM -0500, MB wrote: > > What do you mean by "too much control is a bad > thing"? Would > > you *force* people to continue to exist in their > misery and > > pain and suffering because ... what? > > This is from another context entirely! This is > directed to > the control freaks amongst us. It can be liberating > to realize > that this is only an illusion of control, in a world > that is > entirely uncontrollable. Sorry, but MB is correct. I specified "control over oneself" - as in, the opportunity to not grow old and deterioriate, if desired. That is not illusiory in the same sense as "control" over other sentient beings. You are correct in what you did say: people who currently have withered bodies, or who believe that the only path to old age is to wither, might not want to live forever given what they think it must mean. But that is not what we are discussing. We are discussing the ability to live forever in relatively good health. (Frankly, it might be technically more difficult to achieve immortality in a withered shell than in a perpetually healthy shell, even if there was not the desirability issue. Were I to wither at current rates, yet survive to 100, I might seriously contemplate whether cryonic suspension might give me a better chance of seeing the far future than continued life.) From wingcat at pacbell.net Wed Dec 3 00:07:46 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 16:07:46 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles In-Reply-To: <06eb01c3b91c$8dbd4480$3bb5ff3e@artemis> Message-ID: <20031203000746.74516.qmail@web80401.mail.yahoo.com> --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > And there's one other factor - one that I'm > beginning to experience. > It is the 'seen it all' syndrome where fewer and > fewer things hold any > novelty. Would not a good cure for that be to make or seek out new things? An elder of the 80s would surely have found some novelty in the World Wide Web during the 90s (assuming said elder was willing to be exposed to it). Likewise, one who believes they have experienced everything could take a crack at designing, say, a nanotech assembler to leave a grand legacy. (If one has experienced *everything*, this should be simple - but, of course, it won't be since there are ways of thinking and fields of knowledge one has not truly experienced.) There's always more to learn and do, although one might become tired of it and start justifying that everything out there is all the same. From wingcat at pacbell.net Wed Dec 3 00:07:59 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 16:07:59 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles In-Reply-To: <06eb01c3b91c$8dbd4480$3bb5ff3e@artemis> Message-ID: <20031203000759.36606.qmail@web80411.mail.yahoo.com> --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > And there's one other factor - one that I'm > beginning to experience. > It is the 'seen it all' syndrome where fewer and > fewer things hold any > novelty. Would not a good cure for that be to make or seek out new things? An elder of the 80s would surely have found some novelty in the World Wide Web during the 90s (assuming said elder was willing to be exposed to it). Likewise, one who believes they have experienced everything could take a crack at designing, say, a nanotech assembler to leave a grand legacy. (If one has experienced *everything*, this should be simple - but, of course, it won't be since there are ways of thinking and fields of knowledge one has not truly experienced.) There's always more to learn and do, although one might become tired of it and start justifying that everything out there is all the same. From wingcat at pacbell.net Wed Dec 3 00:10:20 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 16:10:20 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles Message-ID: <20031203001020.15316.qmail@web80408.mail.yahoo.com> --- Adrian Tymes wrote: > There's always more to learn and do ...such as finding out why double-posts happen. (Sorry about that.) From mlorrey at yahoo.com Wed Dec 3 00:45:04 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 16:45:04 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031203004504.3065.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> --- kevinfreels at hotmail.com wrote: > > No, neanderthals did not have larger braincases than homo sapiens, > that > > is a myth. What they did have was larger spaces for anterior lobes, > > i.e. the more primitive area of the brain, while having less space > for > > frontal lobes. > Do you have anything to show this? Everything I have come acroos > shows the braincase itself exceeding modern man's by about 200cc. > Here for example: > http://www.ecu.edu/org/ags/archives/hominidtable.htm http://www.psychomedia.it/pm/science/psybyo/mancia.htm "FIG. 6 - Brain of a) cat, b) macaque, c) chimpanzee, d) australopithecus, e) sinianthropus, f) Neanderthal Man, and g) Homo sapiens. Numbers on the various circumvolutions indicate central areas according to Brodmann. Note the considerable development of the parieto - occipital cortex in Australanthropus and the large cranial fan aperture which bring it very close to Neanderthal Man. In Homo Sapiens we find a further widening of the fan and an increase in the cortical areas of the "liaison brain". " As stated, neanderthalis lacked a number of advanced brain developments, relying instead on enlargement of more primitive lobes. A problem with the hominid table brain volume specs you cited is that the volumes specified for neanderthalis were calculated using a number of fossils that exhibited a congenital malformation involving a lack of the sagittal suture, which would lead to larger than normal brain case size. This is not unsurprising, since the first neanderthalis found was severely wracked by arthritis, a condition that led early anthropologists to conclude that the neanderthalis was primitive because it walked hunched over. It was not until the arthritic condition of the bones was recognised that this picture of neanderthalis changed. Another problem with the table is that homo sapiens sapiens exhibited a much wider variation in braincase size than neanderthalis, ranging from as little as 900cc to as much as 2200 cc, with entirely healthy skull development. I would also be concerned about a paper that referred to a neanderthalis' diet as including "veggies". Is that a scientific term? ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Wed Dec 3 00:52:24 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 16:52:24 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: <076a01c3b92e$92076c20$3bb5ff3e@artemis> Message-ID: <20031203005224.4746.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > > Yet it is quite conceivable that Homo Sapiens simply bred more > quickly, esp > since they were smaller and presumably needed less food. > Only a 1% differential would have led to Neanderthals becoming > extinct in a very short timescale. > It may have nothing whatsoever to do with intelligence. It might, but examination of the tool record indicates differently. Tools of neanderthalis were typically far more crude than sapiens tools, they also lacked in variety, and despite being capable of it, they never adopted force multiplier weapons like spear throwers or bows. They were also less adaptable, evolved specifically for the subarctic conditions just south of the glacier line during the ice ages, they lacked the adaptability of sapiens to migrate and survive in any climate. They faced a quandary quite similar to that faced by the native americans at the hands of european migration. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From dirk at neopax.com Wed Dec 3 01:01:00 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 01:01:00 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles References: <20031203000759.36606.qmail@web80411.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <079501c3b938$eacfcd20$3bb5ff3e@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Adrian Tymes" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Wednesday, December 03, 2003 12:07 AM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles > --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > > And there's one other factor - one that I'm > > beginning to experience. > > It is the 'seen it all' syndrome where fewer and > > fewer things hold any > > novelty. > > Would not a good cure for that be to make or seek out > new things? An elder of the 80s would surely have I do, which makes the problem more acute - not less. > found some novelty in the World Wide Web during the > 90s (assuming said elder was willing to be exposed to > it). Likewise, one who believes they have experienced To some extent, but almost all technologies simply enable one to do existing things faster or easier. I'm not bored by the Net, any more than I'm bored by a screwdriver. It's just another tool. > everything could take a crack at designing, say, a > nanotech assembler to leave a grand legacy. (If one > has experienced *everything*, this should be simple - > but, of course, it won't be since there are ways of > thinking and fields of knowledge one has not truly > experienced.) I've been an engineer for 25years and I'm *bored* by it now. That includes nanotech, after the first few 'gee whizz' minutes of reading about some new innovation. > There's always more to learn and do, although one > might become tired of it and start justifying that > everything out there is all the same. Depends what you mean by 'new'. Every program I've ever written has been 'new'. That kind of 'new' is now tedious. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Wed Dec 3 01:03:54 2003 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (kevinfreels at hotmail.com) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 19:03:54 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system References: <20031202234032.78927.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> <076a01c3b92e$92076c20$3bb5ff3e@artemis> Message-ID: Or, given the fact that so many humans engage in farm animal sex, maybe they were assimilated into human society yet were unable to produce viable offspring when crossbred. ----- Original Message ----- From: "Dirk Bruere" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Tuesday, December 02, 2003 5:46 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system > ----- Original Message ----- > From: "Mike Lorrey" > To: "Dirk Bruere" ; "ExI chat list" > > Sent: Tuesday, December 02, 2003 11:40 PM > Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway > system > > > > > > --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > > > > > > ----- Original Message ----- > > > From: "Mike Lorrey" > > > > > > > > > As above, neanderthals were not of higher intelligence. The fact > > > that > > > > they are extinct demonstrates that they failed miserably at the > > > most > > > > important test of intelligence against a more intelligent > > > competitor > > > > for the same resources. > > > > > > ie outbreeding their competitor. > > > > No, there is no evidence of that. Neanderthals suffered from several > > disadvantages: their bones were much more dense, so they could not > > swim. Their arms did not allow as much dexterity as homo sap so they > > could not wield distance weapons like spears with any accuracy or force > > beyond ten meters or so, and so likely never evolved the mental ability > > to judge trajectories very well. > > Yet it is quite conceivable that Homo Sapiens simply bred more quickly, esp > since they were smaller and presumably needed less food. > Only a 1% differential would have led to Neanderthals becoming extinct in a > very short timescale. > It may have nothing whatsoever to do with intelligence. > > Dirk > > The Consensus:- > The political party for the new millennium > http://www.theconsensus.org > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From twodeel at jornada.org Wed Dec 3 01:06:54 2003 From: twodeel at jornada.org (Don Dartfield) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 17:06:54 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: <20031202170055.77812.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: On Tue, 2 Dec 2003, Mike Lorrey wrote: > Making music, nor even religion, is not a function of conciousness. > Birds make music all the time, and apes are known to use tools and make > primitive art. Conciousness in man is not even thought to have developed > (according to some) until after the invention of writing. Read Julian > Jaynes' book The Origin of Conciousness in the Breakdown of the > Bicameral Mind. Yes, birds make music and apes use tools, but creating a musical instrument (a flute, in particular) seems like a much more advanced thing to do than sing like a bird or use a stick to fish out termites. After reading Steven Baxter's novel _Evolution_, though, I realize that even this relatively sophisticated toolmaking does not necessarily indicate full-fledged consciousness, or even consciousness at all. So I'm interested to read more. The book you recommended will cost me $18 at Borders, though, since my local library doesn't have it -- is there any other book on the subject you'd recommend over this one, or is this the one I should go for? > As above, neanderthals were not of higher intelligence. Well, I said "given the superior intelligence of Sawyer's Neanderthals." In his trilogy, they WERE more intelligent than humans (or at least their modern-day descendants were), regardless of whether they were in reality. Call it a suspension-of-disbelief thing. From mlorrey at yahoo.com Wed Dec 3 01:46:24 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 17:46:24 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Questioning The Consensus In-Reply-To: <076a01c3b92e$92076c20$3bb5ff3e@artemis> Message-ID: <20031203014624.98420.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> Dirk, From: http://www.theconsensus.org/uk/principia/judicial/index.html "The origin of Rights in human nature is a more plausible argument. For example, it can be argued that the 'Right of self defence' is rooted in and derived from innate instincts for self preservation. However, it does require some convoluted and unconvincing reasoning to extrapolate that to other Rights such as the 'Right to vote'. It is also not much of a foundation if one has the power to alter Human nature at its genetic source, which will soon be an available technology. Which leaves Rights as a social construct - but what kind of construct?" The "right to vote" is a part and parcel of the right to choose, a result of every individual posessing free will. Having the power to alter human nature, according to your charter, would be illegal and unacceptable, so you cannot have your cake and eat it. You cannot argue away human nature as the source of rights with claims that technology is hand hand to alter that nature if your party intends to prevent such technology from being applied. Furthermore, self modification is an inherent part of self-ownership. If you cannot alter your own nature, then you are a slave to that which prevents you from doing so. Secondly, do you really think that altering of human beings would go so far as to change the basic features of human sentience? Given that the goal of your alleged claim to transhumanism is to improve humans, to advance human capabilities, it follows that a more capable human would have MORE rights. Nor is this out of line with human development. Once humans could not speak, and therefore had no right to free speech. Once human predecessors had no weapons technology, and had no right to bear arms. As we become more abled, we gain greater liberty. As humans are differently abled, they are differently free. A quadrepelegic is not free to walk until s/he makes the investment in regaining that ability, but the quadrepelegic is free to travel by other means: by wheelchair, for example. A person capable of leading a nation responsibly is able to handle the liberty of controlling massive destructive capabilities, like nuclear weapons. Your "Consensus" is a rather minor form of fascism that grants liberty as privilege issued by the whim of government and not as ability gained via nature of being born or nurture of being raised as a free citizen. No government you imagine can prevent becoming a tyranny because you have proposed no means of embedding checks on abuse of power or of limiting the potential for majoritarian tyranny. Contracts mean nothing when the people who sign them do not believe they posess that which they are negotiating as an inherent property of their being. When anything can be negotiated, then slavery is only one vote away. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Wed Dec 3 01:51:01 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 17:51:01 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031203015101.20727.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> --- Don Dartfield wrote: > > > As above, neanderthals were not of higher intelligence. > > Well, I said "given the superior intelligence of Sawyer's > Neanderthals." > In his trilogy, they WERE more intelligent than humans (or at least > their > modern-day descendants were), regardless of whether they were in > reality. > Call it a suspension-of-disbelief thing. Well, that is a pretty thin thing to not disbelieve. The primary features that neanderthal would have needed to gain greater intelligence were the very thing that sapiens developed, so unless you just mean they stayed ugly, any 'more intelligent' neanderthalis would have been evolved into sapiens, so far as brain structure was concerned. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From dirk at neopax.com Wed Dec 3 02:27:11 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 02:27:11 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: Questioning The Consensus References: <20031203014624.98420.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <07d901c3b944$f5fdee00$3bb5ff3e@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Mike Lorrey" To: "Dirk Bruere" ; "ExI chat list" Sent: Wednesday, December 03, 2003 1:46 AM Subject: Questioning The Consensus > Dirk, > From: http://www.theconsensus.org/uk/principia/judicial/index.html > "The origin of Rights in human nature is a more plausible argument. For > example, it can be argued that the 'Right of self defence' is rooted in > and derived from innate instincts for self preservation. However, it > does require some convoluted and unconvincing reasoning to extrapolate > that to other Rights such as the 'Right to vote'. It is also not much > of a foundation if one has the power to alter Human nature at its > genetic source, which will soon be an available technology. Which > leaves Rights as a social construct - but what kind of construct?" > > The "right to vote" is a part and parcel of the right to choose, a > result of every individual posessing free will. Sure - you can choose to fly like a bird by flapping your arms, but it won't work. You can choose to express your opinion, and others can choose to ignore it - or execute you. > Having the power to alter human nature, according to your charter, > would be illegal and unacceptable, so you cannot have your cake and eat Not at all - where does it say that? The Consensus Essentia? > it. You cannot argue away human nature as the source of rights with > claims that technology is hand hand to alter that nature if your party > intends to prevent such technology from being applied. On the contrary - the party is expressly in favour of altering Human Nature - which is why the notion of Rights as flowing from Human Nature is no foundation at all. > Furthermore, self modification is an inherent part of self-ownership. > If you cannot alter your own nature, then you are a slave to that which > prevents you from doing so. Who said one cannot alter ones nature? > Secondly, do you really think that altering of human beings would go so > far as to change the basic features of human sentience? Given that the Yes, in some cases. > goal of your alleged claim to transhumanism is to improve humans, to > advance human capabilities, it follows that a more capable human would > have MORE rights. Nor is this out of line with human development. Once Just as many Rights as they can take and hold - like now. > humans could not speak, and therefore had no right to free speech. Once > human predecessors had no weapons technology, and had no right to bear > arms. So? > As we become more abled, we gain greater liberty. As humans are And we lose it by becoming dependent on others. > differently abled, they are differently free. A quadrepelegic is not > free to walk until s/he makes the investment in regaining that ability, > but the quadrepelegic is free to travel by other means: by wheelchair, > for example. A person capable of leading a nation responsibly is able > to handle the liberty of controlling massive destructive capabilities, > like nuclear weapons. > > Your "Consensus" is a rather minor form of fascism that grants liberty > as privilege issued by the whim of government and not as ability gained > via nature of being born or nurture of being raised as a free citizen. A loonytarian POV. As I said, in practice Rights flow from a social contract. They have no other existence. > No government you imagine can prevent becoming a tyranny because you > have proposed no means of embedding checks on abuse of power or of > limiting the potential for majoritarian tyranny. Contracts mean nothing > when the people who sign them do not believe they posess that which > they are negotiating as an inherent property of their being. When > anything can be negotiated, then slavery is only one vote away. Nothing in principle can prevent tyranny, only make it less likely. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From thespike at earthlink.net Wed Dec 3 02:33:31 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 20:33:31 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system References: Message-ID: <007501c3b945$d9a29a20$4f9d4a43@texas.net> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Don Dartfield" Sent: Tuesday, December 02, 2003 7:06 PM > > Read Julian > > Jaynes' book The Origin of Conciousness in the Breakdown of the > > Bicameral Mind. > The book you recommended will cost me $18 at > Borders, though, since my local library doesn't have it -- is there any > other book on the subject you'd recommend over this one, or is this the > one I should go for? It's extremely eccentric and ignored by the literature. Try Damasio or Calvin (William, not John). Damien Broderick From mlorrey at yahoo.com Wed Dec 3 02:41:43 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 18:41:43 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031203024143.25933.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> --- Don Dartfield wrote: > > Yes, birds make music and apes use tools, but creating a musical > instrument (a flute, in particular) seems like a much more advanced > thing > to do than sing like a bird or use a stick to fish out termites. THis is true, however, the flute discovered in a neanderthal grave was dated to the same period in which evidence has been found of trading of sapiens made bone tools and jewelry with neanderthals. So it is conceivable that the flute originated with sapiens and was traded to neanderthals. Neanderthals were not known for developing much tool technology beyond that which distinguished them from heidelbergensis, and that which they initially developed remained pretty static for the remainder of their tenure, like a mathematician doing nobel prize work at age 20 and coasting the rest of his life with no new ideas. http://www.geocities.com/SoHo/Atrium/1381/hominids2.html > After reading Steven Baxter's novel _Evolution_, though, I realize > that even this relatively sophisticated toolmaking does not > necessarily indicate full-fledged consciousness, or even > consciousness at all. So I'm interested to read more. The book > you recommended will cost me $18 at Borders, though, since my local > library doesn't have it -- is there any other book on the subject > you'd recommend over this one, or is this the one I should go for? Well, I assume you like SF. Neal Stephenson wrote a book called Snow Crash which you might be familiar with. A lot of the basic ideas he used in fleshing out his plot device of root language viral programming of humans is based on Jaynes' work. Of course, he does take it to a rather absurd conclusion... but that was the book that actually motivated me to read Jaynes, to get the straight scoop. In Snow Crash, when Hiro is in his Library in the metasphere talking to the Librarian, he is talking about a lot of Jaynes work. That being said, Jaynes is not an exciting writer. It has been very slow reading for me. I tend to fall asleep frequently reading it, something which has never happened before with anything I've ever read. Perhaps there is a virus in my mind that does not want me to read it... ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Wed Dec 3 02:49:21 2003 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (kevinfreels at hotmail.com) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 20:49:21 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles References: <20031203000746.74516.qmail@web80401.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: It's interesting to note here how quickly new innovations make their way into mainstream society and become the norm. A Cell phone that takes pictures and sends them to someone else without wires and all fits in the palm of your hand, $100. A PC that fits in your pocket, $500. Doing all my Christmas shopping without ever having to leave my home? Priceless. ----- Original Message ----- From: "Adrian Tymes" To: "Dirk Bruere" ; "ExI chat list" Sent: Tuesday, December 02, 2003 6:07 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles > --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > > And there's one other factor - one that I'm > > beginning to experience. > > It is the 'seen it all' syndrome where fewer and > > fewer things hold any > > novelty. > > Would not a good cure for that be to make or seek out > new things? An elder of the 80s would surely have > found some novelty in the World Wide Web during the > 90s (assuming said elder was willing to be exposed to > it). Likewise, one who believes they have experienced > everything could take a crack at designing, say, a > nanotech assembler to leave a grand legacy. (If one > has experienced *everything*, this should be simple - > but, of course, it won't be since there are ways of > thinking and fields of knowledge one has not truly > experienced.) > > There's always more to learn and do, although one > might become tired of it and start justifying that > everything out there is all the same. > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Wed Dec 3 03:04:16 2003 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (kevinfreels at hotmail.com) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 21:04:16 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system References: <20031203004504.3065.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: Thanks for the reference. I'll add that to my collection. That's the first I've seen of this. I really appreciate it. I wonder why all the references I have, even current ones, average about 1500 for H. sapiens and 1700 for H. neanderthalensis. > I would also be concerned about a paper that referred to a > neanderthalis' diet as including "veggies". It was the quickest thing I could find with a quick Google and was only intended as an example. I have a variety of sources in books, but those are difficult to source in email. I didn't actually read that reference from beginning to end. I was just searching for an example that stated what I had read elsewhere. Is that a scientific term? Yes, "veggies" is a scientific term. They keep changing the dictionary. Did you see where they recently added the word "bling bling" to the Oxford English dictionary? :-) From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Wed Dec 3 03:06:38 2003 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (kevinfreels at hotmail.com) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 21:06:38 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system References: Message-ID: I am reading The Neandethal's Necklace by Juan Luis Arsuaga. I just started it and it seems really good. ----- Original Message ----- From: "Don Dartfield" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Tuesday, December 02, 2003 7:06 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system > On Tue, 2 Dec 2003, Mike Lorrey wrote: > > > Making music, nor even religion, is not a function of conciousness. > > Birds make music all the time, and apes are known to use tools and make > > primitive art. Conciousness in man is not even thought to have developed > > (according to some) until after the invention of writing. Read Julian > > Jaynes' book The Origin of Conciousness in the Breakdown of the > > Bicameral Mind. > > Yes, birds make music and apes use tools, but creating a musical > instrument (a flute, in particular) seems like a much more advanced thing > to do than sing like a bird or use a stick to fish out termites. After > reading Steven Baxter's novel _Evolution_, though, I realize that even > this relatively sophisticated toolmaking does not necessarily indicate > full-fledged consciousness, or even consciousness at all. So I'm > interested to read more. The book you recommended will cost me $18 at > Borders, though, since my local library doesn't have it -- is there any > other book on the subject you'd recommend over this one, or is this the > one I should go for? > > > As above, neanderthals were not of higher intelligence. > > Well, I said "given the superior intelligence of Sawyer's Neanderthals." > In his trilogy, they WERE more intelligent than humans (or at least their > modern-day descendants were), regardless of whether they were in reality. > Call it a suspension-of-disbelief thing. > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From dirk at neopax.com Wed Dec 3 03:13:43 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 03:13:43 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles References: <20031203000746.74516.qmail@web80401.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <082d01c3b94b$7565fdd0$3bb5ff3e@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Wednesday, December 03, 2003 2:49 AM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles > It's interesting to note here how quickly new innovations make their way > into mainstream society and become the norm. A Cell phone that takes > pictures and sends them to someone else without wires and all fits in the > palm of your hand, $100. A PC that fits in your pocket, $500. Doing all my > Christmas shopping without ever having to leave my home? Priceless. Tedious and predictable, but useful. Now show me some technology that is neither, and that enables me to do something I have never before done (that is worth doing). Back in 1977 I wrote a document on an idea I had, a 'digital book'. The idea was shelved by GEC management (as usually happens in Britain), but a couple of years ago I actually worked on the Cytale ebook in Paris. I can't say it was a 'new' experience from an engineering POV. Paris far outranked it. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From spike66 at comcast.net Wed Dec 3 03:25:29 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 19:25:29 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Gender Genie - analyzing writing styles In-Reply-To: <281450-2200312221632091@M2W092.mail2web.com> Message-ID: <006101c3b94d$19dadce0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > natashavita at earthlink.net> > > Bloody hell Spike! I'm trying to get some work done!!! > > Every time I open my email hub to sneak a peek at an incoming > message I start lol and disrupting my workday. > > > ====================== Ja, me too. I crack me up. My jokes are more fun than my job. Bloody hell? Sounds very British. A Maxism perhaps? {8^D spike From spike66 at comcast.net Wed Dec 3 03:31:52 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 19:31:52 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] think this will catch on? In-Reply-To: <3FCCC059.7080701@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> Message-ID: <006201c3b94d$fe1cda70$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > Huh! Three wheels - Far too many. > > Try a Harley-style single-wheel motorcycle! > Message-ID: <006901c3b951$ca3c8800$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Woooohooooo! Michael Shafer discovered the 40th known Mersenne prime, 2^20996011-1. This prime is over 6.3 million digits, beating the previous world record prime by over 2 million decimal digits. Scott has handed out the press release and already the first online article of the discovery has appeared: http://www.newscientist.com/news/news.jsp?id=ns99994438 You can also read Scott's press release http://www.mersenne.org/20996011.htm The size of the record largest known prime is about 2^7529000 times larger than the previous record which was set about two years ago, so the size of the record largest prime doubled about every 8.4 seconds on the average, which is itself a record. The previous records were set on the dates shown in the table below, along with the number of seconds for each doubling. So you can see the doubling time is shorter than ever: Record set on: Doubling time in seconds: 01-Jul-94 614.8 03-Sep-96 172.4 13-Nov-96 43.7 24-Aug-97 15.6 27-Jan-98 298.5 01-Jun-99 10.7 14-Nov-01 11.9 17-Nov-03 8.4 Ohhhh, this is waaay cool. Who wants to have a party? There are several other math types in the area who will go and party our brains out at such a happy occasion. {8^] spike From mbb386 at main.nc.us Wed Dec 3 04:11:04 2003 From: mbb386 at main.nc.us (MB) Date: Tue, 2 Dec 2003 23:11:04 -0500 (Eastern Standard Time) Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles In-Reply-To: <079501c3b938$eacfcd20$3bb5ff3e@artemis> References: <20031203000759.36606.qmail@web80411.mail.yahoo.com> <079501c3b938$eacfcd20$3bb5ff3e@artemis> Message-ID: On Wed, 3 Dec 2003, Dirk Bruere wrote: > > I've been an engineer for 25years and I'm *bored* by it now. > That includes nanotech, after the first few 'gee whizz' minutes of reading > about some new innovation. Ah! My brother, who is now in his mid 70s, told me something very like this when he was not yet quite 50. He said he'd done all the things he had set out as goals, and was currently looking at the wide open space of "now what?" He took early retirement when it was offered (he was an engineer also, mechanical) and then he began to *play* with various things he'd not really had time for during his working life. He built a machine shop for himself - so he could make things. He made some knives - by hand. That was quite a challenge. He learned to make Damascus steel knife blades. Some of the furniture from our parents' home was in bad shape and he began to repair it. He repaired our old square piano which was coming to pieces inside and out. Then he began to make some furniture, a grandfather (tallcase) clock. He made the clockworks as well as the case. He learned to carve the lovely shell patterns that show up on 18th century Chippendale style furniture. He made a chest of drawers. He made a sideboard for his younger daughter. And then another clock. He decided it might be fun to build an electric car. I think he's on car #2 now. He took up playing the bagpipe because he thought it might be easy. Wrong. He found it was quite hard. But he also found it relieved his headaches after his aneurism surgery. :? He began working on the genealogy our grandfather had been collecting, putting it in order, making copies of old documents, visiting places mentioned in them. He found that he couldn't buy some of the tools he needed, so he began to make his tools. It's quite an experience to visit him. He has so many interests now he hardly ever leaves his house unless his wife insists. He hardly ever does anything that was related to his job. It's all play, and it runs free. There's stuff out there. You can find it. It may not be what you expect. It may be sort of out of your field, but nothing wrong with that. :) Regards, MB From natasha at natasha.cc Wed Dec 3 07:09:04 2003 From: natasha at natasha.cc (Natasha Vita-More) Date: Tue, 02 Dec 2003 23:09:04 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Gender Genie - analyzing writing styles In-Reply-To: <006101c3b94d$19dadce0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> References: <281450-2200312221632091@M2W092.mail2web.com> Message-ID: <5.2.0.9.0.20031202230803.02edc5e0@pop.earthlink.net> At 07:25 PM 12/2/03 -0800, Spike wrote: > > natashavita at earthlink.net> > > > > Bloody hell Spike! I'm trying to get some work done!!! > > > > Every time I open my email hub to sneak a peek at an incoming > > message I start lol and disrupting my workday. > > > > ====================== > >Ja, me too. I crack me up. My jokes are more fun than >my job. > >Bloody hell? Sounds very British. A Maxism perhaps? Better than a marxist :-) N From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Wed Dec 3 05:50:38 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 00:50:38 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Who Anticipated Internet Exploding in 90s? In-Reply-To: <5.2.1.1.2.20031202175419.01e7b5a0@mail.gmu.edu> Message-ID: <002701c3b961$64673ec0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Robin Hanson wrote, > I just read someone who said: > > "no one anticipated the explosive diffusion of the Internet > during the 1990s" > > and I figured that this can't be right - surely someone must > have had the dumb luck to predict such a thing before 1990. > Can anyone point to a quote? I suggest reading through "A Brief History of the Internet" at . It has references to all the milestones in Internet creation, including white papers, conferences, etc. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From gpmap at runbox.com Wed Dec 3 05:54:20 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 06:54:20 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Fight in California over gene-altered GloFish pets Message-ID: >From CNN: The nation's first genetically altered household pet - a fish that glows in the dark - is set to begin appearing in stores next month everywhere except perhaps California, the only state with a ban on lab-engineered species. On Wednesday, the California Fish and Game Commission is scheduled to take up an application from Yorktown Technologies of Austin, Texas, to market the GloFish in California. State wildlife officials have concluded that the Florida-grown fluorescent zebra fish poses no danger, and they have recommended that the state exempt it from the ban. But environmental and public interest groups, along with commercial fishermen, oppose an exemption. "What California says is going to make very little difference in the long run if all the other states are going to allow them," said Peter Jenkins, an attorney and policy analyst with the Center for Food Safety. Similarly, I think restrictive laws in the US are going to make very little difference in the long run if most other countries are going to allow lab-engineered species. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Wed Dec 3 06:05:57 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 01:05:57 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <002a01c3b963$87acde60$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> "Adrian Tymes" wrote, > Would not a good cure for that be to make or seek out > new things? An elder of the 80s would surely have > found some novelty in the World Wide Web during the > 90s (assuming said elder was willing to be exposed to > it). In 1985 I had networked Macintoshes which had a hypertext browser called "HyperCard", that allowed hypertext links to bring up cards from remote networked computers. This predated Windows-95 by a decade. This stuff isn't new and wasn't adopted quickly. It just didn't gain popularity until much later. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From gpmap at runbox.com Wed Dec 3 07:24:04 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 08:24:04 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] More on the Glofish: When Fish Fluoresce, Can Teenagers Be Far Behind? Message-ID: >From the New York Times: Sometime in the future, when the distinction between cosmetologist and molecular biologist has faded and gene shops dot the seedier urban streets like tattoo parlors, the philosophers, moralists and historians of science will try to pin down the moment when the new age began. Science historians will probably say it started with the discovery of DNA, or the mapping of the human genome. Others will claim it started when Dolly was cloned and it became clear that the tools of biotechnology had moved out of the high church of pure research and into the unpredictable hands of people who bred sheep for profit. I think the moment is now. And the creature that embodies the escape of biotechnology into the world at large - a movement that will never be reversed - is an aquarium fish that glows in the dark. This is the tipping point, when the world irrevocably turns toward the science-fiction fantasies of writers like Philip K. Dick and William Gibson, who envision biomedical technology permeating every corner of the marketplace, from global corporations on down to small-time illegal operations like stolen-car chop shops. Imagine if you will, that you could pay to have genes for glowing in the dark inserted into your own body. How many glowing teenagers would there be? And who would stop them, once they reached age 18? After all, one's own body is one's own business. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From gpmap at runbox.com Wed Dec 3 07:44:24 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 08:44:24 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Who Anticipated Internet Exploding in 90s? In-Reply-To: <002701c3b961$64673ec0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: I did. In 1990 I was playing with the idea to start a net access business for individual end users, and even found someone who was maybe willing to invest some money. Then I let them talking me out of the idea, "this is too crazy, there will never be a market for this". Now when I wish to do some sweet daydreaming I think of what I would do with all the money that I would have now if I had followed my idea to the end. Two lessons here: 1 - believe in your ideas - 2 - get your ass off the armchair and do it. -----Original Message----- From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org]On Behalf Of Harvey Newstrom Sent: 03 December 2003 06:51 To: 'ExI chat list' Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] Who Anticipated Internet Exploding in 90s? Robin Hanson wrote, > I just read someone who said: > > "no one anticipated the explosive diffusion of the Internet > during the 1990s" > > and I figured that this can't be right - surely someone must > have had the dumb luck to predict such a thing before 1990. > Can anyone point to a quote? I suggest reading through "A Brief History of the Internet" at . It has references to all the milestones in Internet creation, including white papers, conferences, etc. From eugen at leitl.org Wed Dec 3 10:09:46 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 11:09:46 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles In-Reply-To: <20031203000759.36606.qmail@web80411.mail.yahoo.com> References: <06eb01c3b91c$8dbd4480$3bb5ff3e@artemis> <20031203000759.36606.qmail@web80411.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20031203100946.GI22120@leitl.org> On Tue, Dec 02, 2003 at 04:07:59PM -0800, Adrian Tymes wrote: > Would not a good cure for that be to make or seek out > new things? An elder of the 80s would surely have The "seen it all syndrome" is only in part due to the actual loss of novelty due to previous exposure. It's definitely mostly an aging artifact, similiar to the subjectively slower passage of time (both can be temporarily disrupted with psychoactive substances; e.g. with LSD down to ridiculous extremes of subjectively stopped time flow). Unfortunately, there's no way to "cure" that with meds. It is definitely hard to establish a habit of habit disruption, but it's possibly the only simple countermeasure that might work. (Oh, and getting a good night's worth of sleep). There are exceptions from the rule, though, people who remain novelty-seekers up to extremely high age. (I've met a nanotechnology enthusiast who's well past 80, for instance). > found some novelty in the World Wide Web during the > 90s (assuming said elder was willing to be exposed to > it). Likewise, one who believes they have experienced > everything could take a crack at designing, say, a > nanotech assembler to leave a grand legacy. (If one Many professionals can't do the same occupation in their spare time as during dayjob. I've talked to some old hand system designers, but while they are very effective in what they do they do not revel in novel approaches (in their craft, it's frequently only for the better). > has experienced *everything*, this should be simple - > but, of course, it won't be since there are ways of > thinking and fields of knowledge one has not truly > experienced.) We do need a speciality sustainable nootropic that's low on side effects. Unfortunately, there's probably no such thing save of completely replasticize the brain. > There's always more to learn and do, although one > might become tired of it and start justifying that > everything out there is all the same. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From eugen at leitl.org Wed Dec 3 10:24:37 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 11:24:37 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles In-Reply-To: <20031202234842.10650.qmail@web80406.mail.yahoo.com> References: <20031202214953.GT22120@leitl.org> <20031202234842.10650.qmail@web80406.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20031203102437.GJ22120@leitl.org> On Tue, Dec 02, 2003 at 03:48:42PM -0800, Adrian Tymes wrote: > Sorry, but MB is correct. I specified "control over > oneself" - as in, the opportunity to not grow old and > deterioriate, if desired. That is not illusiory in We're talking very nicely in othogonal directions to each other, but it's no problem, as we occasionally do manage to connect sometimes. > the same sense as "control" over other sentient > beings. It would be a very good thing to have control over our physical layer. What I'm objecting is a belief of having a control over your own mind by equivalent of waving a dead chicken (Freud, Jung & Co). I have similiar scathing opinion of AI people who think philosophy and introspection will result in actual application leads. More specifically, realization that you can't control everything is liberating to the borderline obsessive-compulsive amongst us, and can lead to actual increase in control. It's the equivalent of attemting to micromanage your life. > You are correct in what you did say: people who > currently have withered bodies, or who believe that > the only path to old age is to wither, might not want > to live forever given what they think it must mean. We've donned our Ministry of Propaganda hat here, I presume. > But that is not what we are discussing. We are > discussing the ability to live forever in relatively Forever is a bit misleading. According to this week's version of physics, nothing is eternal. In a Darwinian scenario there's always a nonzero probability that you'll become a loser in the next round, though a tiny fraction of original individuals will have extremely long time spans. > good health. (Frankly, it might be technically more > difficult to achieve immortality in a withered shell > than in a perpetually healthy shell, even if there > was not the desirability issue. Were I to wither at > current rates, yet survive to 100, I might seriously > contemplate whether cryonic suspension might give me a > better chance of seeing the far future than continued > life.) You of course realize that the vast majority of people in the industrialized countries die demented. Not much left to suspend there, alas. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From charlie at antipope.org Wed Dec 3 10:57:06 2003 From: charlie at antipope.org (Charlie Stross) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 10:57:06 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Who Anticipated Internet Exploding in 90s? In-Reply-To: <5.2.1.1.2.20031202175419.01e7b5a0@mail.gmu.edu> References: <20031201161346.GM22650@leitl.org> <20031201221612.77696.qmail@web80411.mail.yahoo.com> <20031202102400.GJ13516@leitl.org> <5.2.1.1.2.20031202175419.01e7b5a0@mail.gmu.edu> Message-ID: <6F50E5F1-257F-11D8-AF95-000A95B18568@antipope.org> On 2 Dec 2003, at 22:55, Robin Hanson wrote: > I just read someone who said: > > "no one anticipated the explosive diffusion of the Internet during the > 1990s" > > and I figured that this can't be right - surely someone must have had > the dumb luck to predict such a thing before 1990. Can anyone point > to a quote? Surely "True Names" by Vernor Vinge counts? He had the net as a ubiquitous service, certainly, and that was published in 1980. And I'm pretty certain it was explicitly the internet -- or an n'th generation descendant -- that he was talking about. Caveat: fictional source, rather than academic paper. -- Charlie From charlie at antipope.org Wed Dec 3 11:03:37 2003 From: charlie at antipope.org (Charlie Stross) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 11:03:37 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: <20031203024143.25933.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> References: <20031203024143.25933.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <58479C34-2580-11D8-AF95-000A95B18568@antipope.org> On 3 Dec 2003, at 02:41, Mike Lorrey wrote: > Well, I assume you like SF. Neal Stephenson wrote a book called Snow > Crash which you might be familiar with. A lot of the basic ideas he > used in fleshing out his plot device of root language viral programming > of humans is based on Jaynes' work. Of course, he does take it to a > rather absurd conclusion... but that was the book that actually > motivated me to read Jaynes, to get the straight scoop. It's worth noting that Jaynes' book has been more than somewhat discredited in the field; he is to evolutionary biology pretty much what Immanuel Velikovsky is to planetography. There's a reason some SF authors like his ideas; it's because they make for a great fictional playground-setting. That's not exactly the same thing as liking them because the evidence supports them .... -- Charlie From bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk Wed Dec 3 13:07:26 2003 From: bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk (BillK) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 13:07:26 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age Message-ID: <3FCDE00E.9050506@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> On Tue Dec 02, 2003 05:07 pm Adrian Tymes wrote: > There's always more to learn and do, although one > might become tired of it and start justifying that > everything out there is all the same. On Tue Dec 02, 2003 09:11 pm MB wrote: > There's stuff out there. You can find it. It may not be what > you expect. It may be sort of out of your field, but nothing > wrong with that. These sentiments strike me as having the flavor of youthful enthusiasm. When you are younger, everything is new and exciting, you are healthy and fit and full of energy and you want to 'go boldly beyond the frontiers'. There are relatively few people who manage to retain an interested, inquiring, searching outlook on life into old age. It is very difficult for people in their 20s and 30s to imagine what they will feel like in their 60s and older. It is not just the physical deterioration which makes actual movement more difficult, but for old people the world appears to be a much more dangerous place. If a young person trips and falls or is pushed over, they just sprung back up onto their feet. For an old person it can mean months in hospital. On the mental side, the 'seen it all before' syndrome is also very real. Computer techies will have seen the 'burn-out' effect on whiz-kids who just can't do it any more. The people who are the big achievers are all 'driven' by their own various demons. As the human race becomes longer-lived they will face two problems. The obvious one is keeping themselves in good physical health. There is a vast field of medical research that is required for life-extension. The more subtle problem will be mental. The young researchers cannot appreciate that their fresh, inquiring minds could ever change. But they will. Every experience that is assimilated will change them, until after 60 or 70 years they will be very different. All the exciting dramas of youth will become less important. An older person will be more likely to respond with 'Jeez, not that again!'. This point has come up before, where some people are of the opinion that a civilization where everyone is thousands of years old will be a civilization that does not go out exploring the universe. i.e. the 'What's the point?' attitude. From our present point of view, the immortals will have to do 'something' with their time. If we bring in intelligence enhancement as well, then it becomes even more unlikely that we can find out or appreciate what that 'something' will be. If that 'something' is mental, virtual-worlds or nano-worlds based, then actual physical travel out in the universe will be unlikely. Even if by then humanity is still based in physical bodies in which to do the traveling. So how do you plan to spend the next 7,000 years? BillK From maxm at mail.tele.dk Wed Dec 3 14:06:58 2003 From: maxm at mail.tele.dk (Max M) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 15:06:58 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age In-Reply-To: <3FCDE00E.9050506@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> References: <3FCDE00E.9050506@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> Message-ID: <3FCDEE02.8030308@mail.tele.dk> BillK wrote: > On the mental side, the 'seen it all before' syndrome is also very real. > Computer techies will have seen the 'burn-out' effect on whiz-kids who > just can't do it any more. The people who are the big achievers are all > 'driven' by their own various demons. Oh yeah, that is so true. I can allready feel it myself at the tender age of 38. I have allways been an "extreme" techie. But computers are getting more and more boring every day. Solving the same old problems in slightly different ways. On the other side, I find quality in my life increasingly important, and there are many examples of people living good lives at a high age. People at the age of 50 usually tell that they are living out the best part of their life. Free of the stresses of homebuilding and kids. We can also hope that a exponential growth in technology can make up for the "seen it all before" feeling. Or perhaps side-effect-free recreational drugs will make it all moot. regards Max M Rasmussen, Denmark From eugen at leitl.org Wed Dec 3 14:42:19 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 15:42:19 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age In-Reply-To: <3FCDEE02.8030308@mail.tele.dk> References: <3FCDE00E.9050506@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> <3FCDEE02.8030308@mail.tele.dk> Message-ID: <20031203144219.GB1229@leitl.org> On Wed, Dec 03, 2003 at 03:06:58PM +0100, Max M wrote: > Oh yeah, that is so true. I can allready feel it myself at the tender > age of 38. I have allways been an "extreme" techie. But computers are > getting more and more boring every day. Solving the same old problems in > slightly different ways. Me three, at 37. Getting ready to move on to make my hands dirty in a different field. Not exactly easy, given my current location and economic climate (drug discovery and bio startups have been ailing for some time, and ROI is as far removed as ever, so I expect them to start crashing en masse quite soon -- so far they've been just not hiring for a couple of years, or so). I'm quite interested to discuss personal plans (job, financial, relocation) with other european transhumanists, as most of EU is basically in the same situation. > On the other side, I find quality in my life increasingly important, and > there are many examples of people living good lives at a high age. Absolutely. > People at the age of 50 usually tell that they are living out the best > part of their life. Free of the stresses of homebuilding and kids. Heard that, too. Latter stresses seem to be yet in front of me, though :) > We can also hope that a exponential growth in technology can make up for > the "seen it all before" feeling. So far it's not managing very well. > Or perhaps side-effect-free recreational drugs will make it all moot. Have you ever seen a side-effect-free drug? It's too coarse a tool by far. I'm afraid we'll have really to wait for personal molecular medicine, which might take too long (and be too expensive) for our age group. Is the first immortal generation born already? Maybe, but it's pretty impossible to tell yet. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From mbb386 at main.nc.us Wed Dec 3 14:55:13 2003 From: mbb386 at main.nc.us (MB) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 09:55:13 -0500 (Eastern Standard Time) Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age In-Reply-To: <3FCDE00E.9050506@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> References: <3FCDE00E.9050506@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> Message-ID: Yes, there is a flavor of youthful enthusiasm here, but it is not intentional (on my part). What I was trying to point out is that one spends 25+ years "working" (often on someone else's projects) and not playing. And finally, if one is blessed with decent health, one can try playing. I gave an example of my brother, and he's in his mid 70s. My other brother is pushing 80. He does ice skating, model building, studying German (he always wanted to learn the language after he was there in WW2), reading, website building for friends - and travel. He sleeps a lot, and my sister in law says she thinks he may have been without sufficient sleep all his working life. But he is busy and AFAIK happy. The work he does now is not what he did in his job, but he still has connections there. I myself am only hitting this wall now, and I do wonder "what's the point?" I don't feel very good, aches and pains. I'm not as strong as I was, and I need more support system. :( It's most irritating. But there are new things out there. I've built a website for a non-profit a friend of mine suggested, I do a bit of database work for a former boss, I help some older less able friends to get around, and I've taken up Shaped Note Singing. I also have become interested in snakes and I roller skate with friends. And I have more time (which is a darn good thing, as I have less strength!) for my garden. This is mostly new stuff for me, as I simply didn't have time when I was working and raising my family. However.... I admit, I'm not at all sure I'd want to look at another 100 or so years of it. My health isn't what I'd desire. That said, I think the *real* problem is elsewhere. It is within my mind. My brothers have more internal drive than I do, they are ... smarter. They've always been that way. None of us watch TV (except my oldest brother watches the iceskating). I'd rather sleep! :))) I still think there's more neat stuff for me out there, I just haven't found it yet. That's one reason I (usually) lurk on this list. It's interesting. And full of new stuff. And my email was meant to be an encouragement. Regards, MB ps. There's also a sort of mid-life thing that some men go through - having spent all their energies on "the job". Perhaps this is part of the original poster's trouble? On Wed, 3 Dec 2003, BillK wrote: > On Tue Dec 02, 2003 05:07 pm Adrian Tymes wrote: > > There's always more to learn and do, although one > > might become tired of it and start justifying that > > everything out there is all the same. > > > On Tue Dec 02, 2003 09:11 pm MB wrote: > > There's stuff out there. You can find it. It may not be what > > you expect. It may be sort of out of your field, but nothing > > wrong with that. > > > These sentiments strike me as having the flavor of youthful enthusiasm. > When you are younger, everything is new and exciting, you are healthy > and fit and full of energy and you want to 'go boldly beyond the frontiers'. > From twodeel at jornada.org Wed Dec 3 14:56:25 2003 From: twodeel at jornada.org (Don Dartfield) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 06:56:25 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age In-Reply-To: <3FCDEE02.8030308@mail.tele.dk> Message-ID: On Wed, 3 Dec 2003, Max M wrote: > We can also hope that a exponential growth in technology can make up for > the "seen it all before" feeling. Or perhaps side-effect-free > recreational drugs will make it all moot. I would think that combining these last two ideas would be a good solution. Hopefully we will eventually have the technology to get rid of feelings of boredom whenever they occur and keep that spicy zest-for-new-things feeling around all the time to drive us onward ... whether it is implemented as a chemical you ingest, or a device that is worn or injected or something, or a fundamental re-engineering of our mental hardware. From hemm at openlink.com.br Wed Dec 3 15:07:51 2003 From: hemm at openlink.com.br (Henrique Moraes Machado) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 13:07:51 -0200 Subject: [ok] Re: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation References: Message-ID: <012801c3b9af$399446e0$fe00a8c0@HEMM> Well, I'm not thinking only about intercontinental flights, but also our day-by-day transport, such as automobiles. You can put a hybrid engine in your car, you can use stem cells, you can put any kind of electronics in it, but it's still a car and will be stuck in the same traffic jam with all the other less advanced cars. You can make planes faster, but you'll still need to go to the airport and check-in and pass through the same metal detectors and deal with the same overbooking and wait lists. What I mean is that todays means of transportation follow the same old paradigm of fifty years ago. They improved, of course, but they are still intrinsically the same. The most advanced jet and the first airplane use exactly the same principles to fly. HeMM -----Mensagem Original----- De: Para: "ExI chat list" Enviada em: ter?a-feira, 2 de dezembro de 2003 16:20 Assunto: [ok] Re: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation | I think that this has occurred simply because the masses have decided that | what we have is good enough. The market has stabilized and the cost-benefit | is about equal. The airlines already struggle with making profits because of | this. If they raise the price of tickets, more people choose to drive to | their destination. Faster flights and more exclusive, dedicated service to | streamline the waiting would only increase the cost which most people are | simply not willing to pay. | This doesn;t mean that the technology hasn't improved however. If you look | at the last 50 years (1953 to today) there are many breakthroughs fololowing | Yeager's 1947 mach 1 flight in a single-man rocket with wings. Concorde | travels at 1350 mph, SR-71 travels at mach 3.3. We went to the moon in 1969 | (speeds averaging 25,000 mph). Aurora (if it exists) is supposed to cruise | between mach 5 and mach 8. Nasa's X-43 HyperX is supposed to travel between | mach 7 and mach 10. The shuttle re-enters about mach 23 (i think) | ----- Original Message ----- | From: "Brian Lee" | To: ; | Sent: Monday, December 01, 2003 12:22 PM | Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation | | | > I've thought a bit on this lately and am a little let down with the pace | of | > transportation. If you look at air travel over the last 50 years there are | > few major breakthroughs. 75 years ago, it took weeks to travel around the | > world and then with commercial air travel, that was cut down to a day or | > merely hours. 50 years later, we're still pretty much at the same flight | > times. We have more routes and scheduled and tvs in the seats but flights | > are still about the same length. Perhaps they are even longer if you take | > security waits into the equation. | > | > I think the main reason why air travel tech has stalled is lack of | > competition. There's really only two companies making planes-Airbus and | > Boeing- and both are heavily subsidized by their respective governments. | Air | > travel is subsidized by local governments and businesses who don't have | much | > incentive to decrease travel time. | > | > For ground travel, in the US at least, road trips take less time because | the | > speed limit has been increased from 55 to 70-75 on interstates. It's nice | to | > be save 2 hours from an Atlanta to Miami trip, but I'm still waiting for | 15 | > minute NY-London trips and flying cars. | > | > How long until the science fiction breakthroughs come on line? | Transporters, | > etc. | > | > I've done a bit of teleconferencing and videoconferencing and while it is | > sufficient for basic communication, it's not yet replacing meatspace. | > | > BAL | > >From: "Henrique Moraes Machado" | > >To: "ExI chat list" | > >Subject: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation | > >Date: Mon, 1 Dec 2003 13:57:22 -0200 | > > | > >Hello extropians, | > > | > >I've been reflecting lately on communication versus transportation. The | > >first is developing faster than ever, while the former seems to be | stalled. | > >Is it related? Are we concentrating our resourses in evolving our | > >communication means because our transportation means are poor, or does de | > >current pace of developments on comms in fact causes less effort on | > >advancing transportation? Just thinking. Sorry for the bad english, but | > >it's not my native language and I am still learning. | > >_______________________________________________ | > >extropy-chat mailing list | > >extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org | > >http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat | > | > _________________________________________________________________ | > Is there a gadget-lover on your gift list? MSN Shopping has lined up some | > good bets! http://shopping.msn.com | > | > _______________________________________________ | > extropy-chat mailing list | > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org | > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat | > | _______________________________________________ | extropy-chat mailing list | extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org | http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat | From gpmap at runbox.com Wed Dec 3 15:23:16 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 15:23:16 GMT Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age Message-ID: I think when the physical problems of old age (including hormonal and neurochemical changes) are solved, the rest will follow. There is no reason why you cannot keep a fresh and interested outlook on life while gaining experience. Many people in their 70s would be happy to do sometimes the same stupid things they did in their teens. The bad side of aging is a phisical thing. > As the human race becomes longer-lived they will face two problems. The > obvious one is keeping themselves in good physical health. There is a > vast field of medical research that is required for life-extension. > > The more subtle problem will be mental. The young researchers cannot > appreciate that their fresh, inquiring minds could ever change. But they > will. Every experience that is assimilated will change them, until after > 60 or 70 years they will be very different. All the exciting dramas of > youth will become less important. An older person will be more likely to > respond with 'Jeez, not that again!'. From hemm at openlink.com.br Wed Dec 3 15:31:31 2003 From: hemm at openlink.com.br (Henrique Moraes Machado) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 13:31:31 -0200 Subject: [ok] Re: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation References: <012801c3b9af$399446e0$fe00a8c0@HEMM> Message-ID: <013e01c3b9b2$87404800$fe00a8c0@HEMM> I mean fuel cell... stupid me :) -----Mensagem Original----- De: "Henrique Moraes Machado" Para: "ExI chat list" Enviada em: quarta-feira, 3 de dezembro de 2003 13:07 Assunto: Re: [ok] Re: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation Well, I'm not thinking only about intercontinental flights, but also our day-by-day transport, such as automobiles. You can put a hybrid engine in your car, you can use stem cells, you can put any kind of electronics in it, but it's still a car and will be stuck in the same traffic From eugen at leitl.org Wed Dec 3 15:37:10 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 16:37:10 +0100 Subject: [ok] Re: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation In-Reply-To: <012801c3b9af$399446e0$fe00a8c0@HEMM> References: <012801c3b9af$399446e0$fe00a8c0@HEMM> Message-ID: <20031203153710.GE1229@leitl.org> On Wed, Dec 03, 2003 at 01:07:51PM -0200, Henrique Moraes Machado wrote: Can you please wrap your lines? You're difficult to quote otherwise. > Well, I'm not thinking only about intercontinental flights, but also our day-by-day transport, such as automobiles. You can put a hybrid engine in your car, you can use stem cells, you can put any kind of electronics in it, but it's still a car and will be stuck in the same traffic jam with all the other less advanced cars. You can make planes faster, but you'll still need to go to the airport and check-in and pass through the same metal detectors and deal with the same overbooking and wait lists. > What I mean is that todays means of transportation follow the same old paradigm of fifty years ago. They improved, of course, but they are still intrinsically the same. The most advanced jet and the first airplane use exactly the same principles to fly. Intercontinental flights have the largest payoff, because here the pure flight time counts most. A suborbital flight is essentially orbit, once you go through the atmosphere and back. You can't shortcut these much, because no known material will survive several cycles of that plasma bath, nevermind the accelerations required (Shuttle already is pretty close to what humans can stomach). You can't do better than orbit, because you need to accelerate all the way, and you need a nuke drive for that. Things look much better in vacuum, where you can use large circumsolar hardware clouds pushing your sail-driven probe at several g for months. It is not obvious we can do better than this, but our knowledge of physics might be incomplete in that respect. Planes yes, so here an individual VTOL can make sense, even if it's slow and uses a lot of fuel. You don't have to go to the airfield, and pass security (in fact, there are people who collectively rent a pilot and a small jet, the advantage is that they land on small airfields with less security overhead -- less hassle can be worth a lot to some people). You certainly can't do long-distance VTOL without refuelling, and a larger plane will be always better on longer distance even with security overhead. If you look at cars, it's obvious that volume is better than surface, so an orthogonal matrix-bus based traffic system in a large volume is pretty optimal (smallest average distance possible, no blockage at crossing), but for many reasons people choose suburbia, arguably the opposite point in design space. Suburbia might actually have a point, if you consider that this is _insolated_ surface. Suburbia can become energy-self reliant, not inner city centers. It's a question of surface/volume ratio. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From rhanson at gmu.edu Wed Dec 3 15:46:24 2003 From: rhanson at gmu.edu (Robin Hanson) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 10:46:24 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Who Anticipated Internet Exploding in 90s? In-Reply-To: <002701c3b961$64673ec0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> References: <5.2.1.1.2.20031202175419.01e7b5a0@mail.gmu.edu> Message-ID: <5.2.1.1.2.20031203104058.01e64960@mail.gmu.edu> I wrote: > I just read someone who said: > "no one anticipated the explosive diffusion of the Internet > during the 1990s" > and I figured that this can't be right - surely someone must > have had the dumb luck to predict such a thing before 1990. > Can anyone point to a quote? On 12/3/2003 Harvey Newstrom responded: >I suggest reading through "A Brief History of the Internet" at >. It has references to >all the milestones in Internet creation, including white papers, >conferences, etc. That is a history of who did what when, not of who predicted what when. Charlie Stross responded: >Surely "True Names" by Vernor Vinge counts? He had the net as a ubiquitous >service, certainly, and that was published in 1980. And I'm pretty certain >it was explicitly the internet -- or an n'th generation descendant -- that >he was talking about. Caveat: fictional source, rather than academic paper. Science fiction authors typically resist the interpretation that just because they wrote a novel describing a hypothetical future, than they were seriously predicting that future would happen within fifteen years. Giu1i0 Pri5c0 responded: >I did. In 1990 I was playing with the idea to start a net access business >for individual end users, and even found someone who was maybe willing to >invest some money. Then I let them talking me out of the idea, "this is too >crazy, there will never be a market for this". Now when I wish to do some >sweet daydreaming I think of what I would do with all the money that I would >have now if I had followed my idea to the end. OK, but did you publish your prediction in any way, such as in a mailing list archive? >Two lessons here: 1 - believe in your ideas - 2 - get your ass off the >armchair and do it. This first lesson seems overblown. Presumably all the people who disagreed with you at the time believed in their ideas as well. They were wrong and you were right. On average how is this evidence that everyone should be more confident? Robin Hanson rhanson at gmu.edu http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-4444 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323 From spike66 at comcast.net Wed Dec 3 15:48:54 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 07:48:54 -0800 Subject: [ok] Re: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation In-Reply-To: <013e01c3b9b2$87404800$fe00a8c0@HEMM> Message-ID: <003901c3b9b4$f51323f0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > I mean fuel cell... stupid me :) > > De: "Henrique Moraes Machado" > Assunto: Re: [ok] Re: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation: > > Well, I'm not thinking only about intercontinental flights, > but also our day-by-day transport, such as automobiles. You > can put a hybrid engine in your car, you can use stem cells... No no Henrique, you have typoed into a brillian idea: stem cells for your car! You put them in the tank and they replicate into any defective part. Repairing worn or ripped leather seats would be the first application, since those started out as cells anyway, but then as we get more advanced we could have them fix leaks in the radiator, then worn bearings, then when we get really good, the electronics. I haven't seen your posts before, so welcome to the list, imaginative young inventor! {8-] spike From sentience at pobox.com Wed Dec 3 15:50:33 2003 From: sentience at pobox.com (Eliezer S. Yudkowsky) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 10:50:33 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: <58479C34-2580-11D8-AF95-000A95B18568@antipope.org> References: <20031203024143.25933.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> <58479C34-2580-11D8-AF95-000A95B18568@antipope.org> Message-ID: <3FCE0649.2040805@pobox.com> Charlie Stross wrote: > > On 3 Dec 2003, at 02:41, Mike Lorrey wrote: > >> Well, I assume you like SF. Neal Stephenson wrote a book called Snow >> Crash which you might be familiar with. A lot of the basic ideas he >> used in fleshing out his plot device of root language viral programming >> of humans is based on Jaynes' work. Of course, he does take it to a >> rather absurd conclusion... but that was the book that actually >> motivated me to read Jaynes, to get the straight scoop. > > It's worth noting that Jaynes' book has been more than somewhat > discredited in the field; he is to evolutionary biology pretty much what > Immanuel Velikovsky is to planetography. > > There's a reason some SF authors like his ideas; it's because they make > for a great fictional playground-setting. That's not exactly the same > thing as liking them because the evidence supports them .... FYI all: They're talking about Julian Jaynes (I think) and "The Bicameral Mind". The Jaynes I talk about is E.T. Jaynes and "Probability Theory: The Logic of Science". No relation AFAIK. -- Eliezer S. Yudkowsky http://singinst.org/ Research Fellow, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence From sentience at pobox.com Wed Dec 3 16:06:13 2003 From: sentience at pobox.com (Eliezer S. Yudkowsky) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 11:06:13 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Who Anticipated Internet Exploding in 90s? In-Reply-To: <5.2.1.1.2.20031203104058.01e64960@mail.gmu.edu> References: <5.2.1.1.2.20031202175419.01e7b5a0@mail.gmu.edu> <5.2.1.1.2.20031203104058.01e64960@mail.gmu.edu> Message-ID: <3FCE09F5.2010709@pobox.com> Eric Drexler in "Engines of Creation" went on at some length about the importance of hypertext; this anticipates the Web, I suppose, and actually helped build the Web, historically speaking; but not the Net. -- Eliezer S. Yudkowsky http://singinst.org/ Research Fellow, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Wed Dec 3 16:10:30 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 11:10:30 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age In-Reply-To: <3FCDE00E.9050506@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> Message-ID: <008901c3b9b7$f996f700$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> BillK wrote, > On the mental side, the 'seen it all before' syndrome is also > very real. Computer techies will have seen the 'burn-out' > effect on whiz-kids who just can't do it any more. The people > who are the big achievers are all 'driven' by their own > various demons. I have this. I get sick of seeing all these "new" ideas that are rehashes of stuff we did decades ago. Most of these fail or have the same problems that were encountered earlier. (Those who don't know history are doomed to repeat it, etc....) That's why I am so pessimistic all the time. It's easy to have irrational exuberance in youth. But after you go through the same thing dozens of times, you learn not to be so na?ve the next time around. I also just realized that I am a professional pessimist. As a security expert, auditor, debugger, investigator, hacker, etc., my job is to see the problems that no one else sees. I literally get paid for, and spend 60 hours per week trying to brainstorm how things can go wrong rather than how they can go right. I see obvious flaws that everybody else seems oblivious to. Other engineers explain how great their projects can be, whereas my job is to explain how horribly they can go wrong. I really do not believe I am being unrealistically negative. I really see real problems that everyone else ignores. I am very good at my job. However, it means that I see a much darker and more dangerous world where technology is not as stable as people think. > The more subtle problem will be mental. The young researchers > cannot appreciate that their fresh, inquiring minds could > ever change. But they will. Every experience that is > assimilated will change them, until after 60 or 70 years they > will be very different. All the exciting dramas of youth will > become less important. An older person will be more likely to > respond with 'Jeez, not that again!'. Exactly! However, I think the enthusiasm of youth is automatic because things are new and different. Transhumanism used to be new and different. But after being on these lists for over a decade, there aren't very many new ideas going around. Older people also feel like they are running out of time. Ten years ago, people were predicting the singularity, moon bases and immortality in a decade or two. Now that we are half way there, the goals don't seem any closer, yet time is running out. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From charlie at antipope.org Wed Dec 3 16:37:03 2003 From: charlie at antipope.org (Charlie Stross) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 16:37:03 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age In-Reply-To: <008901c3b9b7$f996f700$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> References: <008901c3b9b7$f996f700$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: On 3 Dec 2003, at 16:10, Harvey Newstrom wrote: > BillK wrote, >> On the mental side, the 'seen it all before' syndrome is also >> very real. Computer techies will have seen the 'burn-out' >> effect on whiz-kids who just can't do it any more. > I have this. I get sick of seeing all these "new" ideas that are > rehashes > of stuff we did decades ago. Most of these fail or have the same > problems > that were encountered earlier. (Those who don't know history are > doomed to > repeat it, etc....) That's why I am so pessimistic all the time. Me too. 39, burned-out as a programmer. (Luckily I've found a second -- third? -- full-time career as an SF writer.) > I am a professional pessimist. As a security > expert, auditor, debugger, investigator, hacker, etc., my job is to > see the > problems that no one else sees. I literally get paid for, and spend 60 > hours per week trying to brainstorm how things can go wrong rather > than how > they can go right. I see obvious flaws that everybody else seems > oblivious > to. Other engineers explain how great their projects can be, whereas > my job > is to explain how horribly they can go wrong. I really do not believe > I am > being unrealistically negative. I really see real problems that > everyone > else ignores. I am very good at my job. However, it means that I see > a > much darker and more dangerous world where technology is not as stable > as > people think. There's nothing quite like subscribing to COMP.RISKS for a few years to take the edge off your enthusiasm for novelty for its own sake! > However, I think the enthusiasm of youth is automatic because things > are new > and different. Transhumanism used to be new and different. But after > being > on these lists for over a decade, there aren't very many new ideas > going > around. Older people also feel like they are running out of time. Ten > years ago, people were predicting the singularity, moon bases and > immortality in a decade or two. Now that we are half way there, the > goals > don't seem any closer, yet time is running out. If we achieve physiological cures for senescence we'll need to find new strategies for dealing with a surfeit of experience. Memory excision? Facilitated un-learning? It may be that natural forgetfullness will save us from our own sense of anomie over deep time (for values of deep time measured in decades to centuries), but I suspect we'll need something a lot better -- especially once memory prostheses become available and widely used. We've also got the problem that our legal and information systems aren't designed to forget over time. A person who is public enemy #1 in their first century may well be someone completely different in their third. How do we deal with this? -- Charlie From sentience at pobox.com Wed Dec 3 17:10:59 2003 From: sentience at pobox.com (Eliezer S. Yudkowsky) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 12:10:59 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age In-Reply-To: <008901c3b9b7$f996f700$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> References: <008901c3b9b7$f996f700$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <3FCE1923.6030805@pobox.com> Harvey Newstrom wrote: > > However, I think the enthusiasm of youth is automatic because things are new > and different. Transhumanism used to be new and different. But after being > on these lists for over a decade, there aren't very many new ideas going > around. Older people also feel like they are running out of time. Ten > years ago, people were predicting the singularity, moon bases and > immortality in a decade or two. Now that we are half way there, the goals > don't seem any closer, yet time is running out. I wish I knew what I was doing right that everyone else seems to be doing so wrong. The problem is that trying to follow my lead doesn't seem to help people, either - or helps only insofar as they are moved to study tractable interesting subjects. -- Eliezer S. Yudkowsky http://singinst.org/ Research Fellow, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence From eugen at leitl.org Wed Dec 3 17:27:33 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 18:27:33 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age In-Reply-To: <3FCE1923.6030805@pobox.com> References: <008901c3b9b7$f996f700$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> <3FCE1923.6030805@pobox.com> Message-ID: <20031203172733.GL1229@leitl.org> On Wed, Dec 03, 2003 at 12:10:59PM -0500, Eliezer S. Yudkowsky wrote: > I wish I knew what I was doing right that everyone else seems to be doing > so wrong. The problem is that trying to follow my lead doesn't seem to Ur, do you realize how this sounds? > help people, either - or helps only insofar as they are moved to study > tractable interesting subjects. I'm not sure you're using your resources very wisely. AI is a high risk/high tradeoff field, but an academic and/or industrial career would have provided you far more leverage than you currently have. By now I'm 99% certain that a sustainably visible online persona is incompatible with getting things done. I'd be out of here long ago if I wasn't so hooked. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Wed Dec 3 17:28:09 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 12:28:09 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Who Anticipated Internet Exploding in 90s? In-Reply-To: <5.2.1.1.2.20031203104058.01e64960@mail.gmu.edu> Message-ID: <00c401c3b9c2$d7679670$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Robin Hanson wrote, > On 12/3/2003 Harvey Newstrom responded: > >I suggest reading through "A Brief History of the Internet" at > >. It has references > >to all the milestones in Internet creation, including white papers, > >conferences, etc. > > That is a history of who did what when, not of who predicted what when. Wow. Remind me not to have you do any research for me! :-) You think that the Internet was based on past network usage and not build on wide-spread predictions of how the future network would be used and what it had to support? All requirements documents are based on future predictions. There are technical predictions of load, spread, and acceptance. There are social predictions about home use, cultural changes, and usefulness. There were business predictions of privatization, business use and international commerce. There were persuasion papers trying to gain funding, convince congress, and gain corporate support. Of *course* they are chock full of predictions about how great and widespread the internet was going to be in the future! Some quick examples of documents listed in the reference you dismissed: In 1962: J.C.R. Licklider of MIT writes a paper describing a globally connected "Galactic Network" of computers. He predicts what they can do and how they will be used. The congressional record of 1986 quotes Al Gore as saying, "America's Highways transport people and materials across the country. Federal freeways connect with state highways which connect in turn with county roads and city streets. To transport data and ideas, we will need a telecommunications highway connecting users coast to coast, state to state, city to city. The study required in this amendment will identify the problems and opportunities the nation will face in establishing that highway." In 1988, the NSF sponsors a series of workshops at Harvard on the commercialization and privatization of the Internet. They predicted what it would be like and how it could occur. Also in 1988, Kahn et al. write a paper "Towards a National Research Network." It predicted the future of the Internet. In 1988, the congressional record Gore proposing a bill to create the internet, "The act would provide for a 3-gigabit-per-second national network, develop federal standards, take into account user views, examine telecommunications policy, build an information infrastructure composed of databases and knowledge banks, create a national software corporation to develop important software programs, establish a clearinghouse to validate and distribute software, promote artificial intelligence databases, increase research and development projects, study export controls affecting computers, review procurement policies to stimulate the computer industry, and enhance computer science education programs." The Dec. 29, 1988 edition of the New York Times predicted, "Computer scientists and Government officials are urging the creation of a nationwide "data superhighway" that they believe would have a dramatic economic impact, rivaling that of the nation's interstate highway system. This highway would consist of a high-speed fiber-optic data network joining dozens of supercomputers at national laboratories and making them available to thousands of academic and industry researchers around the country...." Legislation introduced in October by Senator Albert Gore, Democrat of Tennessee, included initial financing for development and construction of a National Research Network. Backers of the measure say that Federal financing for the project is necessary to develop the technology and convince industry that vastly speedier computer networks are commercially viable. In 1989, Gore told a House committee, "I genuinely believe that the creation of this nationwide network and the broader installation of lower capacity fiber optic cables to all parts of this country, will create an environment where work stations are common in homes and even small businesses with access to supercomputing capability being very, very widespread. It's sort of like, once the interstate highway system existed, then a college student in California who lived in North Carolina would be more likely to buy a car, drive back and forth instead of taking the bus. Once that network for supercomputing is in place, you're going to have a lot more people gaining access to the capability, developing an interest in it. That will lead to more people getting training and more purchases of machines." (Inventing Al Gore, p. 217). -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From mlorrey at yahoo.com Wed Dec 3 17:29:22 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 09:29:22 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: <58479C34-2580-11D8-AF95-000A95B18568@antipope.org> Message-ID: <20031203172922.14718.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> --- Charlie Stross wrote: > > On 3 Dec 2003, at 02:41, Mike Lorrey wrote: > > > Well, I assume you like SF. Neal Stephenson wrote a book called > Snow > > Crash which you might be familiar with. A lot of the basic ideas he > > used in fleshing out his plot device of root language viral > programming > > of humans is based on Jaynes' work. Of course, he does take it to a > > rather absurd conclusion... but that was the book that actually > > motivated me to read Jaynes, to get the straight scoop. > > It's worth noting that Jaynes' book has been more than somewhat > discredited in the field; he is to evolutionary biology pretty much > what Immanuel Velikovsky is to planetography. > > There's a reason some SF authors like his ideas; it's because they > make > for a great fictional playground-setting. That's not exactly the same > thing as liking them because the evidence supports them .... Well, they primarily don't like him because he is a pshrink, not a biologist or an anthropologist or an archaeologist. Considering the stories anthropologists are known to weave from the most specious of evidence, the only thing that saves them from similar derision is that there is so little evidence to begin with. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Wed Dec 3 17:37:26 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 12:37:26 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age In-Reply-To: <3FCE1923.6030805@pobox.com> Message-ID: <00c501c3b9c4$217e4dc0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Eliezer S. Yudkowsky wrote, > I wish I knew what I was doing right that everyone else seems > to be doing so wrong. The problem is that trying to follow > my lead doesn't seem to > help people, either - or helps only > insofar as they are moved to study tractable interesting subjects. You're young and naive. Wait until you are middle-aged, pot-bellied and balding, and there is still no singularity or general AI. How will you feel then? -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From thespike at earthlink.net Wed Dec 3 17:39:41 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 11:39:41 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age References: <008901c3b9b7$f996f700$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> <3FCE1923.6030805@pobox.com> Message-ID: <010501c3b9c4$70899820$d5994a43@texas.net> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Eliezer S. Yudkowsky" Sent: Wednesday, December 03, 2003 11:10 AM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age > I wish I knew what I was doing right that everyone else seems to be doing > so wrong. What you're doing right is being younger than 25. Good choice! Keep it up! Damien Broderick [younger than 60, but only just] From max at maxmore.com Wed Dec 3 18:01:40 2003 From: max at maxmore.com (Max More) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 12:01:40 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age In-Reply-To: <008901c3b9b7$f996f700$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> References: <3FCDE00E.9050506@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031203114551.05beab00@mail.earthlink.net> At 10:10 AM 12/3/2003, Harvey wrote: >I also just realized that I am a professional pessimist. I shouldn't encourage you, but... Delusions of Success: How Optimism Undermines Executives' Decisions by Dan Lovallo; Daniel Kahneman Harvard Business Review, Editor reviewed on 07/07/03, originally published on 07/01/03 http://www.manyworlds.com/exploreCO.asp?coid=CO77031947495 > As a security >expert, auditor, debugger, investigator, hacker, etc., my job is to see the >problems that no one else sees. I literally get paid for, and spend 60 >hours per week trying to brainstorm how things can go wrong rather than how >they can go right. I see obvious flaws that everybody else seems oblivious >to. Other engineers explain how great their projects can be, whereas my job >is to explain how horribly they can go wrong. I really do not believe I am >being unrealistically negative. I really see real problems that everyone >else ignores. I am very good at my job. However, it means that I see a >much darker and more dangerous world where technology is not as stable as >people think. From my review at the above URL: "The pervasive human tendency for over-optimism ? with all its costly consequences in business decisions ? can be highly beneficial when confined to the right places. To the extent that your company can cleanly separate functions and positions that involve or shape decision-making and those that promote or guide action, optimism can be left untouched in the latter but not the former. As the authors note, an optimistic CFO is a disaster waiting to happen, but optimism in a sales force or in some aspects of R&D should be healthy." [...] Because we naturally adopt an ?inside view? of the situation and decision to be made, we nevertheless greatly overestimate our chances of success. Economists are no help; those not well versed in the dark arts of behavioral finance will only feed our optimism with academic cocaine that explains all those hugely costly mistakes as risky but rational decisions. Lovallo and Kahneman will have none of this exculpatory nonsense. They locate the problem in several factors: A combination of cognitive biases including attribution errors, anchoring and competitor neglect, along with organizational pressures including stretch goals, discouragement of ?disloyal? pessimism, and the pressure to present proposals in the best possible light in order to secure funding and support. All is not lost. Lovallo and Kahneman explain how taking ?the outside view? can counter endemic over-optimism. [...] Some other pieces on this topic (linked from the above review): Risk Taking: A Tale of Two Biases Predictable Surprises: The Disasters You Should Have Seen Coming Make Room for Gloom Rationality: The Next Competitive Advantage Why So Many People (Not You, Of Course) Made So Many Brain-Dead Investments (And How Not to Make Them Again) >However, I think the enthusiasm of youth is automatic because things are new >and different. This accounts for much of it, no doubt. But some of it seems to be a matter of individual differences in temperament. As I close in on my 40th birthday I continue to find an enormous range of things fascinating. One of my biggest time management challenges is containing my interest in so many things. Age usually affects this part of temperament, probably by killing off dopamine neurons, etc. Anti-aging research will certainly need to tackle this aspect of degeneration. > Transhumanism used to be new and different. But after being >on these lists for over a decade, there aren't very many new ideas going >around. Older people also feel like they are running out of time. Ten >years ago, people were predicting the singularity, moon bases and >immortality in a decade or two. Now that we are half way there, the goals >don't seem any closer, yet time is running out. I don't recall anyone being optimistic about moon bases -- most of us have been unhappily aware of the slow progress with space technology. Other ideas *are* coming about -- idea futures, for example. It would be interesting to dig out the issue of Extropy that featured a range of predicted dates for various events. I recall that Eric Drexler had highly optimistic projections, but others looked to 100+ years for many of the items listed. I think I was somewhere in the middle. If anyone has the issue at hand along with an OCR scanner, it would provide some interesting data points. Max _______________________________________________________ Max More, Ph.D. max at maxmore.com or more at extropy.org http://www.maxmore.com Strategic Philosopher Chairman, Extropy Institute. http://www.extropy.org _______________________________________________________ From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Wed Dec 3 18:13:55 2003 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (kevinfreels at hotmail.com) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 12:13:55 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] More on the Glofish: When Fish Fluoresce, Can Teenagers Be Far Behind? References: Message-ID: Does anyone know if this glow-in-the-dark gene gets passed on to it's offspring? I would assume so. Imagine the interest that children will suddenly have in genetics when they can breed yellow glo-fish with maybe a red glo-fish and get some red, yellow, and orange glo-fish. And what of those glowing teenagers? Will they mate and give birth to glo-babies? This could have serious implications for the military. What if all 18 yr old men decided to glow in the dark? Night engagements could get really risky > :-P ----- Original Message ----- From: Giu1i0 Pri5c0 To: hit ; extropy-chat Sent: Wednesday, December 03, 2003 1:24 AM Subject: [extropy-chat] More on the Glofish: When Fish Fluoresce,Can Teenagers Be Far Behind? From the New York Times: Sometime in the future, when the distinction between cosmetologist and molecular biologist has faded and gene shops dot the seedier urban streets like tattoo parlors, the philosophers, moralists and historians of science will try to pin down the moment when the new age began. Science historians will probably say it started with the discovery of DNA, or the mapping of the human genome. Others will claim it started when Dolly was cloned and it became clear that the tools of biotechnology had moved out of the high church of pure research and into the unpredictable hands of people who bred sheep for profit. I think the moment is now. And the creature that embodies the escape of biotechnology into the world at large - a movement that will never be reversed - is an aquarium fish that glows in the dark. This is the tipping point, when the world irrevocably turns toward the science-fiction fantasies of writers like Philip K. Dick and William Gibson, who envision biomedical technology permeating every corner of the marketplace, from global corporations on down to small-time illegal operations like stolen-car chop shops. Imagine if you will, that you could pay to have genes for glowing in the dark inserted into your own body. How many glowing teenagers would there be? And who would stop them, once they reached age 18? After all, one's own body is one's own business. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From max at maxmore.com Wed Dec 3 18:22:53 2003 From: max at maxmore.com (Max More) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 12:22:53 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Nanogen's new patents in nanotech and nanomanufacturing Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031203122201.06059b40@mail.earthlink.net> Nanogen shares soar on patent Newly issued patent broadens its proprietary position in nanotechnology and nanomanufacturing areas. December 3, 2003: 11:30 AM EST NEW YORK (Reuters) - Shares of Nanogen Inc. jumped more than 50 percent Wednesday after the company said it received a U.S. patent related to the fledgling field of nanotechnology and nanomanufacturing. http://money.cnn.com/2003/12/03/technology/nanogen.reut/index.htm _______________________________________________________ Max More, Ph.D. max at maxmore.com or more at extropy.org http://www.maxmore.com Strategic Philosopher Chairman, Extropy Institute. http://www.extropy.org _______________________________________________________ From thespike at earthlink.net Wed Dec 3 18:40:37 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 12:40:37 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Planck life and `thought bubbles' References: <3FCDE00E.9050506@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> <5.1.0.14.2.20031203114551.05beab00@mail.earthlink.net> Message-ID: <001801c3b9cc$f4f6fc80$d5994a43@texas.net> Physics Nobelist Brian Josephson in fine form: http://arxiv.org/html/physics/0312012 From mlorrey at yahoo.com Wed Dec 3 18:40:02 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 10:40:02 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] More on the Glofish: When Fish Fluoresce, Can Teenagers Be Far Behind? In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031203184002.83995.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> --- kevinfreels at hotmail.com wrote: > Does anyone know if this glow-in-the-dark gene gets passed on to it's > offspring? I would assume so. Imagine the interest that children will > suddenly have in genetics when they can breed yellow glo-fish with > maybe a red glo-fish and get some red, yellow, and orange glo-fish. > And what of those glowing teenagers? Will they mate and give birth to > glo-babies? > This could have serious implications for the military. What if all 18 > yr old men decided to glow in the dark? Night engagements could get > really risky > :-P There are both body paints and ingestible pigments that could block the glo pigment. There are actually federal laws prohibiting intentionally making yourself medically unfit for military service. Ostensibly it is an act of sabotage that aids and abets the enemy. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From hal at finney.org Wed Dec 3 18:40:23 2003 From: hal at finney.org (Hal Finney) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 10:40:23 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age Message-ID: <200312031840.hB3IeNn18771@finney.org> I remember when I was young and just getting started working, I noticed there were different ways that older people approached their jobs, as well as life itself. The more common attitude was a kind of bitter fatalism, a sense of disappointment. Things were going badly and getting worse. They were grumpy and unhappy, warning against mistakes but mostly being ignored. Generally these were people who had not been all that succeessful, who were doing the same work that they had done 20 years before. So it is understandable that they might be bitter and unhappy. I also ran into a few old people who were quite different, who were optimistic and energetic, full of ideas and enthusiasm. These were mostly people who had been successful in their careers, who had advanced to relatively important positions. Another group like this were older college professors who were still active and pursuing their research. It is not easy to distinguish cause and effect here. Were people happy or unhappy because of their success or lack of it? Or were their basic approaches to problems influencing their career paths? As I get older, I can see how cynicism creeps in. I still have mostly the same goals and the same basic belief that they are possible, but more and more I perceive that much of the support for these projects is based on unfounded optimism and sloppy thinking. I become impatient with one-sided perspectives and want to see both the pro and the con positions represented fairly. A case in point is the recent online nanotech debate, where the spin from "our side" is that Drexler whipped Smalley's butt. I don't perceive it that way at all. I thought Drexler was evasive and slippery, and from my current perspective I see this as a persistent strategy. You can never pin him down. Whenever someone claims that something won't work, he just calls "strawman" and says if that doesn't work, we'll do it some other way. But since he never comes out with a specific, concrete proposal, he has a perfect defense. You can't critique what doesn't exist. I need to write up these thoughts in more detail, but here again I find myself facing the same barriers which had defeated the older engineers I observed as a youth. I know that it will be an enormous battle, offering pessimism where everyone only wants to hear good news. I doubt that it will do any good, because even the cautions of a Nobel prize winner are ignored. And I question whether I have the energy to engage in the kind of hard debate which would be necessary to give these issues the kind of hearing that they deserve. Those old men I knew had given up. They were convinced that our plans and projects would mostly fail, but they were unable to make persuasive arguments. Too many times in the past they had tried and failed, had gained reputations as naysayers, as not being team players. These reputations had probably helped to mire them in their dead end jobs. And by then they had nothing left but bitterness, pro forma objections, and head-shaking predictions of doom. I don't think any of us wants to end up like that. I certainly don't, and yet I feel myself creeping in that direction. What can we do about it? I have a couple of ideas. The first, and simpler, is to try to couple pessimism with optimism. This is basically the idea of what Max called Dynamic Optimism. Dynamic optimism is realistic. It's not a matter of wearing rose colored glasses. You see the problems, but you also try to look at them as challenges rather than obstacles. Rather than just opposing what won't work, figure out what will give the best shot at working, and become a proponent of that alternative. This way you are, in a sense, a leader rather than dead weight. Maybe nobody is following you at the moment, but it is a crucial difference in perspective. But sometimes this approach is difficult. You have a situation where every path seems doomed, and you can't imagine a solution that will work. Pessimism is pervasive, even becoming depression. In this case the second idea comes in, which is based on a philosophy I have long believed in, of being faithful to oneself. Try to think of yourself not as a person living in a moment of time, but as a being who spans an entire lifetime. Give credit to the person you were in the past. Think of his goals as well as your own, and try to honor both of them. Remember how you felt when you were young, and even if you don't feel that way now, try to act in a manner which respects those feelings. As you feel the pessimism of age encroaching, understand that this is not necessarily a matter of wisdom and experience. It can be hormones and neuroanatomy. Your brain is changing, your body is changing. Don't assume that your beliefs now are necessarily more valid than your old ones. The idea, then, is to try to hold to a sliver of optimism, even if you don't believe it in your gut, or in your hormones. Fight your tendencies to cynicism. Admire the optimism and energy of youth rather than pity it. Give support where you can, and avoid being an obstacle to those who are moving forward. So there you have it, Extropianism for the Elderly. I'm not quite there yet, but most of us will face these issues eventually. Give some thought to how you want to age, and realize that your own mental habits today are putting you on a path which may be much more ingrained a few decades from now. Hal From mlorrey at yahoo.com Wed Dec 3 18:45:38 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 10:45:38 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Who Anticipated Internet Exploding in 90s? In-Reply-To: <3FCE09F5.2010709@pobox.com> Message-ID: <20031203184538.19106.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> Heinlein in his novel "Friday" envisioned a worldwide hyperlinked information network as a research tool for private intelligence agencies. Vinge's story "True Names" envisioned an online metaverse that even those on welfare could access with inexpensive equipment while others with more expensive bandwidth and processor capabilities exerted great power to engage in MIP-sucking as well as DoS and other attacks. --- "Eliezer S. Yudkowsky" wrote: > Eric Drexler in "Engines of Creation" went on at some length about > the > importance of hypertext; this anticipates the Web, I suppose, and > actually > helped build the Web, historically speaking; but not the Net. > > -- > Eliezer S. Yudkowsky http://singinst.org/ > Research Fellow, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From avantguardian2020 at yahoo.com Wed Dec 3 19:31:36 2003 From: avantguardian2020 at yahoo.com (The Avantguardian) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 11:31:36 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Planck life and `thought bubbles' In-Reply-To: <001801c3b9cc$f4f6fc80$d5994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <20031203193136.51729.qmail@web60506.mail.yahoo.com> Damien Broderick wrote: Physics Nobelist Brian Josephson in fine form: http://arxiv.org/html/physics/0312012 _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat Thanks for the link, Damien. It is truly comforting when one finds a great mind that independantly validate one's own thoughts on a matter. Cheers, The Avantguardian "He stands like some sort of pagan god or deposed tyrant. Staring out over the city he's sworn to . . .to stare out over and it's evident just by looking at him that he's got some pretty heavy things on his mind." --------------------------------- Do you Yahoo!? Protect your identity with Yahoo! Mail AddressGuard -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk Wed Dec 3 19:35:37 2003 From: bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk (BillK) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 19:35:37 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Who Anticipated Internet Exploding in 90s? Message-ID: <3FCE3B09.6070506@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> On Wed Dec 03, 2003 03:57 am Charlie Stross wrote: > Surely "True Names" by Vernor Vinge counts? He had the net as a > ubiquitous service, certainly, and that was published in 1980. > Right on the mark. Quote: For historians of cyberculture, science fiction author Vernor Vinge enjoys unimpeachable street cred. Three years before William Gibson dazzled the SF world with "Neuromancer," Vinge captured the essence of the online reality to come in his eerily prescient novella "True Names", published in 1981." "True Names" today reads more like a piece of reportage than speculative science fiction. William Gibson may get all the glory for defining the word "cyberspace," but Vinge actually nailed the details. "True Names" includes online gathering places identical to the MUDs (multi-user domains) that became the online rage in the late '80s. Its protagonists guard their real names from the National Security Agency and other hackers with cryptographic safeguards, just like today's cryptopunks. And they live solely to log on -- the pathology of today's Internet addiction is all-too-familiar in "True Names." Any prediction about the world filled with computers talking to each is likely to be later than the invention of personal computers themselves. (approx 1975-1980). When the founders started working on linking computers in the 1960s, they were talking about linking mainframes via time-share terminals. BillK From sentience at pobox.com Wed Dec 3 19:46:11 2003 From: sentience at pobox.com (Eliezer S. Yudkowsky) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 14:46:11 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age In-Reply-To: <20031203172733.GL1229@leitl.org> References: <008901c3b9b7$f996f700$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> <3FCE1923.6030805@pobox.com> <20031203172733.GL1229@leitl.org> Message-ID: <3FCE3D83.7040607@pobox.com> Eugen Leitl wrote: > On Wed, Dec 03, 2003 at 12:10:59PM -0500, Eliezer S. Yudkowsky wrote: > >>I wish I knew what I was doing right that everyone else seems to be doing >>so wrong. The problem is that trying to follow my lead doesn't seem to > > Ur, do you realize how this sounds? If it doesn't sound bloody fed up, then I phrased it wrong. I am not running out of exciting ideas. I am not running out of new ideas. I am not sitting on my hands doing nothing. I am not an optimist. I am still learning the basics in various fields of study with which I was previously unacquainted. So what are y'all doing wrong? >>help people, either - or helps only insofar as they are moved to study >>tractable interesting subjects. > > I'm not sure you're using your resources very wisely. > AI is a high risk/high tradeoff field, but an academic and/or > industrial career would have provided you far more leverage > than you currently have. Eugen, an academic and/or industrial career, though it would indeed be easier than what I am doing now, will not prevent the coming train crash, and is therefore ruled out. Perhaps the problem is that y'all see what you should be doing, then back off and do something easier instead. > By now I'm 99% certain that a sustainably visible online > persona is incompatible with getting things done. I'd be out of > here long ago if I wasn't so hooked. I shall probably come to a similar conclusion in the not too distant future. -- Eliezer S. Yudkowsky http://singinst.org/ Research Fellow, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence From natashavita at earthlink.net Wed Dec 3 20:01:48 2003 From: natashavita at earthlink.net (natashavita at earthlink.net) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 15:01:48 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Who Anticipated Internet Exploding in 90s? Message-ID: <410-22003123320148428@M2W075.mail2web.com> Robin, I discussed the inceptive, imaginations/conceptions of the Internet with John Perry Barlow today and and he told me: "The first prediction I can think of is this: 'Is it a fact - or have I dreamt it - that, by means of electricity, the world of matter has become a great nerve, vibrating thousands of miles in a breathless point of time? Rather, the round globe is a vast head, a brain, instinct with intelligence!' That, believe it or not, was Nathanial Hawthorne, from the invocation of The House of Seven Gables. Then there was Pierre Teilhard de Chardin, who predicted, back in the 50's. that evolution would next create a new layer based on global consciousness. Also, there was J.C.R. Licklider who was in charge of DARPA when the Internet was first conceived. My vote goes to Hawthorne, however." Natasha -------------------------------------------------------------------- mail2web - Check your email from the web at http://mail2web.com/ . From barbara_lamar at earthlink.net Wed Dec 3 19:31:30 2003 From: barbara_lamar at earthlink.net (Barbara Lamar) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 13:31:30 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age In-Reply-To: <00c501c3b9c4$217e4dc0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <00ad01c3b9d4$0ec8c5b0$1301010a@Barbara> > -----Original Message----- > From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org > [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org]On Behalf Of Harvey > Newstrom > Sent: Wednesday, December 03, 2003 11:37 AM > To: 'ExI chat list' > Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age > > > Eliezer S. Yudkowsky wrote, > > I wish I knew what I was doing right that everyone else seems > > to be doing so wrong. The problem is that trying to follow > > my lead doesn't seem to > help people, either - or helps only > > insofar as they are moved to study tractable interesting subjects. > > You're young and naive. Wait until you are middle-aged, > pot-bellied and > balding, and there is still no singularity or general AI. > How will you feel > then? Boredom vs. excitement isn't a matter of chronological age. I know people who think they've seen and done it all by the age of 30 and others who still find life exhilarating in their 90's (I've never known anyone older than this, but I'd guess that such people would still be going strong in their 100's). The people who never get bored are those who continue to be curious and open to new learning into adulthood. Most people seem to close down after they grow up, and although they have pleasant moments from time to time, life is no longer exciting for them. Curious people never grow mentally old, always find life fresh and interesting. The people who retain curiosity aren't just curious about major things such as the meaning of life and making their next million bucks and the nature of the universe. They're interested in seemingly trivial things as well, such as what's around the next corner when they're walking, and how a mechanical vegetable peeler works, and which kind of plants grows in cracks in the sidewalk. People have an abundance of curiosity when they're babies and small children. Most of them lose it by the time they're 30. Those who retain it past that age seem to keep it forever, or until their bodies completely give out on them, and it makes all the difference in the way they approach life. Eliezer comments that following his lead doesn't seem to help people. Maybe curious people are not followers. I almost wrote that curiosity can't be taught, but I'm not sure about this. It's fun to imagine what the world would be like if someone found a way to teach curiosity, or to reactivate whatever neural processes make children curious in the first place. If a curiosity training course or treatment were offered for sale, I wonder how many people would want to buy it. Barbara From barbara_lamar at earthlink.net Wed Dec 3 19:37:39 2003 From: barbara_lamar at earthlink.net (Barbara Lamar) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 13:37:39 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age In-Reply-To: <008901c3b9b7$f996f700$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <00b001c3b9d4$e9d26170$1301010a@Barbara> > -----Original Message----- > From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org > [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org]On Behalf Of Harvey > Newstrom > Sent: Wednesday, December 03, 2003 10:11 AM > To: 'ExI chat list' > Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age > I also just realized that I am a professional pessimist. As a lawyer, I am too. Always raining of people's parades, pointing out all the potential disasters. I've found that my work is much more fun and interesting if I go beyond this and help people think of ways to overcome or go around the obstacles. Sometimes this means scrapping what the client thought was her goal, and identifying a more basic or ultimate goal that doesn't suffer from the weaknesses of the original plan. Barbara From amara at amara.com Wed Dec 3 19:17:26 2003 From: amara at amara.com (Amara Graps) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 21:17:26 +0200 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age Message-ID: Eugen* Leitl: >On Wed, Dec 03, 2003 at 03:06:58PM +0100, Max M wrote: >> Oh yeah, that is so true. I can allready feel it myself at the tender >> age of 38. I have allways been an "extreme" techie. But computers are >> getting more and more boring every day. Solving the same old problems in >> slightly different ways. >Me three, at 37. Not me, I suppose (42). I'm mostly exhausted this year from working to make basic living expenses and dealing with the Italian bureaucracy and getting past a painful emotional situation that occurred upon arrival earlier this year. Usually I have too many interests for my time, and don't suffer that kind of burnout. I had a burnout after my PhD, but that's normal. Interests came back in time, I think. Visiting volcanoes and bike trips helped me with that. >I'm quite interested to discuss personal plans (job, financial, >relocation) with other european transhumanists, as most of EU >is basically in the same situation. Suggestion: Don't move to Italy. The pay sucks as you probably know (half the salary of other scientists in Europe). I didn't move here for the salary, I moved to Italy for my passion, but I didn't honestly expect the money situation to to be so bad. In addition, science is not recognized by this government in general, and foreign scientists have a particularly tough time of it. This week, I read that there is a new law in discussion in the Italian parliament for giving immigrants a large number of rights for voting and representation in their communities, among other things. Sounded good. The only requirement is a valid permit-of-stay, and so I choked in my coffee. Why is that? If you walk into a Questura (police) today, you will likely find a long queue of foreigners filing permit-of-stay papers or, more likely, waiting for the permit-of-stay papers that they filed months ago. You are illegal to live in Italy without a permit-of-stay. If you have the little receipt that the Questura gives you that indicates that they are processing your papers (by law, they are supposed to do it in 20 days), then, if you travel outside of Italy, you are not legal when you return, and they could throw you out, jail you, whatever. Last week when I stood in the queue for the renewal for my permit-of-stay, I saw one of my scientist friends from the INFN (National Lab for Nuclear Physics). We had a nice chat, he is Japanese, and needs a permit-of-stay (all nonEu require one). He has been waiting for his for 11 months. To explain where some of my exhaustion is coming from, when dealing with the Italian government: An example: You walk into the police department to get an approval for your new address for some other official papers and you walk out with a 16 step form with basically impossible steps to complete. Tomorrow the instructions will be different, of course. And if you walk into that same office with an Italian, it's a one or two step process. Simplice. I don't have Italians to walk into bureaucrats office with me most of the time, though, the public administrator or police look at me muttering 'stupid foreigner' or some such thing and give me the strictest interpretation of the law. There are an infinite number of interpretations for each law in Italy. The police, in particular, treat foreigners all like criminals, and you have to deal with them, otherwise you are not legal to live here. 99.9% of Italians don't know what it is like for foreigners ('extracommunitari' or nonEU). When I tell Italians what I have to do, they usually say 'you are so unlucky', but I know it is not one unlucky event. My folder of official documents for living and working in Italy is almost two inches thick now. Every bureaucratic office works in similar ways towards foreigners. In approximately two weeks, I become illegal. My permit-of-stay expires. Oh yes, I filled out the paperwork (with about 12 pieces of documentation of different kinds for verification), for a renewal (one would think that a *renewal* would be a simple process, but no) and gave it to the Questura, but they say that it won't be ready for about 5 months. Which means probably 8 or 9 months. I know all of this because last year I went through the same thing. I gave them a very large stack of papers for my original permit-of-stay, then got 'fingerprinted' (actually fingerprinted, handprinted, palmprinted, two sets of each). They told me that it would take a couple of months to process it. It didn't, it took five, and so I had to cancel two important business trips in the Spring because my boss didn't want me to be illegal working here. It's not trivial to miss my trips: I am involved with three spacecraft missions: one will be launched in February, another one is in the building phase and will be launched in about one year, and another spacecraft arrives at its destination next summer, so not being able to travel had an impact. More importantly, I could not be with my mother when she had her lung cancer surgery in March. I didn't have a phone until September, so I could not have even a good phone conversation with her. My mobile from my town always blinks out with the bad em field and I could only get fragments of her words and she was crying at that time. In October, when I finally got to travel to see her, I learned that her heart had stopped three times immediately after the operation, and the doctors didn't understand her situation and were making it worse. I told myself that I would never let an idiot government put me in such a terrible situation again, that is, not being able to be with my family in an emergency, and, now, it looks like a potential problem all over again. Except that I am so disgusted with the Italian government, that I honestly don't care, anymore, and I decided that I will travel anyway. I have a stack of other kinds of official papers that prove my residence, my work in Italy, I pay taxes, I have an Italian identity card, blah blah blah, and so I will just carry that stack of papers with me when I travel, for as long as it takes. I'll begin to use my Latvian passport instead of my US passport when Latvia becomes part of the EU in May, so that will help me here alot. Other than the pay and the bureaucratic garbage, the quality of life in Italy is actually very high. Living in my neighborhood, and building my friendships is alot like living in a very large and warm family. >> On the other side, I find quality in my life increasingly important, and >> there are many examples of people living good lives at a high age. >Absolutely. Agree too. My dad is one of my best examples for that. Amara -- ******************************************************************** Amara Graps, PhD email: amara at amara.com Computational Physics vita: ftp://ftp.amara.com/pub/resume.txt Multiplex Answers URL: http://www.amara.com/ ******************************************************************** "The best presents don't come in boxes." --Hobbes From thespike at earthlink.net Wed Dec 3 20:27:19 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 14:27:19 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Who Anticipated Internet Exploding in 90s? References: <410-22003123320148428@M2W075.mail2web.com> Message-ID: <009601c3b9db$dd37bda0$d5994a43@texas.net> John Perry Barlow sez: > > "The first prediction I can think of is this: > > 'Is it a fact - or have I dreamt it - that, by means of electricity, > the world of matter has become a great nerve, vibrating thousands of > miles in a breathless point of time? Rather, the round globe is a > vast head, a brain, instinct with intelligence!' > > That, believe it or not, was Nathanial Hawthorne, from the invocation > of The House of Seven Gables. Nathaniel. His character was talking, of course, about the telegraph, and in the context of spiritualism: ===== Chapter 17: "Within the lifetime of the child already born," Clifford went on, "all this will be done away. The world is growing too ethereal and spiritual to bear these enormities a great while longer. To me, though, for a considerable period of time, I have lived chiefly in retirement, and know less of such things than most men,--even to me, the harbingers of a better era are unmistakable. Mesmerism, now! Will that effect nothing, think you, towards purging away the grossness out of human life?" "All a humbug!" growled the old gentleman. "These rapping spirits, that little Phoebe told us of, the other day," said Clifford,--"what are these but the messengers of the spiritual world, knocking at the door of substance? And it shall be flung wide open!" "A humbug, again!" cried the old gentleman, growing more and more testy at these glimpses of Clifford's metaphysics. "I should like to rap with a good stick on the empty pates of the dolts who circulate such nonsense!" "Then there is electricity,--the demon, the angel, the mighty physical power, the all-pervading intelligence!" exclaimed Clifford. "Is that a humbug, too? Is it a fact--or have I dreamt it--that, by means of electricity, the world of matter has become a great nerve, vibrating thousands of miles in a breathless point of time? Rather, the round globe is a vast head, a brain, instinct with intelligence! Or, shall we say, it is itself a thought, nothing but thought, and no longer the substance which we deemed it!" "If you mean the telegraph," said the old gentleman, glancing his eye toward its wire, alongside the rail-track, "it is an excellent thing,--that is, of course, if the speculators in cotton and politics don't get possession of it. A great thing, indeed, sir, particularly as regards the detection of bank-robbers and murderers." "I don't quite like it, in that point of view," replied Clifford. "A bank-robber, and what you call a murderer, likewise, has his rights, which men of enlightened humanity and conscience should regard in so much the more liberal spirit, because the bulk of society is prone to controvert their existence. An almost spiritual medium, like the electric telegraph, should be consecrated to high, deep, joyful, and holy missions. Lovers, day by, day--hour by hour, if so often moved to do it,--might send their heart-throbs from Maine to Florida, with some such words as these `I love you forever!' --`My heart runs over with love!'--`I love you more than I can!' and, again, at the next message 'I have lived an hour longer, and love you twice as much!' Or, when a good man has departed, his distant friend should be conscious of an electric thrill, as from the world of happy spirits, telling him 'Your dear friend is in bliss!' Or, to an absent husband, should come tidings thus `An immortal being, of whom you are the father, has this moment come from God!' and immediately its little voice would seem to have reached so far, and to be echoing in his heart. But for these poor rogues, the bank-robbers,--who, after all, are about as honest as nine people in ten, except that they disregard certain formalities, and prefer to transact business at midnight rather than 'Change-hours, --and for these murderers, as you phrase it, who are often excusable in the motives of their deed, and deserve to be ranked among public benefactors, if we consider only its result,--for unfortunate individuals like these, I really cannot applaud the enlistment of an immaterial and miraculous power in the universal world-hunt at their heels!" ========== I'm with the the old gentleman. :) But Hawthorne might have been the first to predict porn spam, although it's possible that he got the tone just a little bit wrong: < An almost spiritual medium, like the electric telegraph, should be consecrated to high, deep, joyful, and holy missions. Lovers, day by, day--hour by hour, if so often moved to do it,--might send their heart-throbs from Maine to Florida, with some such words as these `I love you forever!' --`My heart runs over with love!' > Damien Broderick From wingcat at pacbell.net Wed Dec 3 20:27:11 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 12:27:11 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age In-Reply-To: <3FCE3D83.7040607@pobox.com> Message-ID: <20031203202711.80289.qmail@web80408.mail.yahoo.com> --- "Eliezer S. Yudkowsky" wrote: > Eugen Leitl wrote: > > On Wed, Dec 03, 2003 at 12:10:59PM -0500, Eliezer > S. Yudkowsky wrote: > >>I wish I knew what I was doing right that everyone > else seems to be doing > >>so wrong. The problem is that trying to follow my > lead doesn't seem to > > > > Ur, do you realize how this sounds? > > If it doesn't sound bloody fed up, then I phrased it > wrong. > > I am not running out of exciting ideas. > I am not running out of new ideas. > I am not sitting on my hands doing nothing. > I am not an optimist. > I am still learning the basics in various fields of > study with which I was > previously unacquainted. > > So what are y'all doing wrong? If it helps - so far as those five statements go, I'm the same except I am an optimist. And I, too, get frustrated with many peoples' reluctance to do new things, even when the necessity of the new things has been demonstrated, merely because they are new. I find it likely that all human beings (barring the brain damaged) are physically capable of learning new things. The fear of the new just because it is new, along with the fear of math and science, seem like phobias learned (socialized) well after birth (but usually before or during puberty), which just happen to be common in modern society. > >>help people, either - or helps only insofar as > they are moved to study > >>tractable interesting subjects. > > > > I'm not sure you're using your resources very > wisely. > > AI is a high risk/high tradeoff field, but an > academic and/or > > industrial career would have provided you far more > leverage > > than you currently have. > > Eugen, an academic and/or industrial career, though > it would indeed be > easier than what I am doing now, will not prevent > the coming train crash, > and is therefore ruled out. Perhaps the problem is > that y'all see what > you should be doing, then back off and do something > easier instead. Same thing here - except, the way I see it, I *want* the "train crash" to happen. Except slightly differently: I want it to happen in a way that will help everyone, not wind up with all of humanity deleted overnight. So, I try to introduce things that will ameliorate the sudden effects, or try to get people familiar with the tools they'll need to ensure their own prosperity before they need 'em. (For instance, one of the reasons for my patent: experiments in malleable matter. If the avearge person, not just a few well-educated folk, has internalized the concept of near-absolute control over their surroundings, an AI using that tool won't panic 'em as much.) Granted, my current day job does not allow me to pursue this. But at least I am actively attempting to rectify that situation - and my present setup ensures that I will be in a position to try again in several months if my current efforts do not allow me to switch by then, even if having a separate day job means less time to put towards the efforts, resulting in a lower chance of immediate success. (I don't care so much about where I'll be tomorrow, as where I'll be in 10 years. But I do realize that the 10 year path I wish to follow requires that I eat tomorrow, and today.) > > By now I'm 99% certain that a sustainably visible > online > > persona is incompatible with getting things done. > I'd be out of > > here long ago if I wasn't so hooked. > > I shall probably come to a similar conclusion in the > not too distant future. Define "sustainably visible online persona". Where above I was mostly the same way, here I depart: I use this list as a tool - a source of inspiration, a chance to discuss (and see the flaws and hidden benefits of) far-out ideas (though I tend to stick to the ones I might see in the near future), and so forth. As such, my presence varies: although I have not measured this myself, I'm told that, in some months, I'm one of the more prolific posters; other months, I'm absent. From scerir at libero.it Wed Dec 3 20:38:06 2003 From: scerir at libero.it (scerir) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 21:38:06 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Planck life and `thought bubbles' References: <3FCDE00E.9050506@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk><5.1.0.14.2.20031203114551.05beab00@mail.earthlink.net> <001801c3b9cc$f4f6fc80$d5994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <004501c3b9dd$5bc2a620$00b51b97@administxl09yj> "The problem any such analysis has to face is that of explaining how it is that, if such a mechanism for ESP or other paranormal processes exists, these processes manifest themselves only in very specific ways, and in ways that are not readily controllable." - Brian D. Josephson (therein) W. Pauli and N. Bohr were both, and independently, very close to elaborate concepts like those by Josephson (see "N. Bohr - Collected Works", vol. 10, Bohr - Pauli correspondence, circa 1955) and maybe something more 'polished'. Not to mention here Wigner, London and Bauer, etc. For something much more orthodox see the quotation below, very technical, and very clean too. "In an experiment the [quantum] state reflects not what is actually known about the system, but rather what is knowable, in principle, with the help of auxiliary measurements that do not disturb the original experiment. By focusing on what is knowable in principle, and treating what is known as largely irrelevant, one completely avoids the anthropomorphism and any reference to consciousness that some physicists have tried to inject into quantum mechanics." - Leonard Mandel (Rev. Mod. Phys., 1999, p. S-274) But going back to that Josephson's quotation, he speaks of "processes [which] manifest themselves only in very specific ways, and in ways that are not readily controllable." This is, perhaps, the point. But, look, it is a 'standard' point in quantum physics. Behind the curtain, W. Pauli wrote: "Quite independently of Einstein, it appears to me that, in providing a systematic foundation for quantum mechanics, one should start more from the composition and separation of systems than has until now (with Dirac, e.g.) been the case. - This is indeed - as Einstein has correctly felt - a very fundamental point in quantum mechanics, which has, moreover, a direct connection with your reflections about the cut and the possibility of its being shifted to an arbitrary place." (W. Pauli, in a letter to W. Heisenberg, just after the EPR paper has been published). Composition and separation of systems, hmmm. Conceptual issue indeed. This has something to do with Von Neumann who, speaking of quantum mechanical problems, wrote: "I WOULD LIKE TO MAKE A CONFESSION WHICH MAY SEEM IMMORAL: I DO NOT BELIEVE IN HILBERT SPACE ANYMORE." in G.D. Birkhoff, Proceedings of Symposia in Pure Mathematics, Vol. 2, p. 158, (Ed. R.P. Dilworth), American Mathematical Society, Rhode Island, 1961. But, also, i.e., there is another simple, old, and famous problem. The Young's interference effect, the double slit. Wheeler (with his delayed choice gedanken exp.) and Zurek & Wootters tried many times to break the wall here. The question is: is there an "uncontrollable" retrocausation? We know that the two-slit (also the single slit) is just an apparatus capable of measuring the positions of photons passing through it. Thus it is an apparatus capable of (Heisenberg's principle here) scattering those photons (which means: spreading momentum of photons) in a forward directions, and producing the well known interference pattern on the screen. The interference is produced by the the probability function ||^2, where p is momentum of each photon. We also know (Copenhagen Interpretation, chapter: Complementasrity Principle; Feynman's discussion; etc.) that the interference pattern disappears when the path of each photon (say through slit one, or trough slit two) becomes distinguishable. As Anton Zeilinger writes (Rev. Mod. Phys., 1999, page S-288) "The superposition of amplitudes is only valid if there is no way to know, even in principle, which path the particle took. It is important to realize that this does not imply that an observer actually takes note of what happens. It is sufficient to destroy the interference pattern, if the path information is accessible in principle from the experiment or even if it is dispersed in the environment and beyond any technical possibility to be recovered, but in principle "still out there". Now, imagine we have a Damien's screen, which 'feels' the path of each photon (say through slit one, or through slit two). Impossible? Well, not so impossible. But let us skip this 'material' point, for the moment. So, if we substitute, in the two-slit apparatus, that Damien's screen for the usual screen, after those photons have already passed through the slit(s), the interference pattern must vanish. (If the above principle by Bohr, Feynman, Zeilinger, etc. is ok). Now, what does it mean? What does it mean in terms of the quantum theoretical description? Interference means a certain kind of scattering, specifically it means that the interference is produced by the the probability function ||^2, where p is momentum of each photon. No interference means a different kind of scattering, specifically it means that the interference is produced by a probability function ||^2 which lost the interference term. Ok? Ok. Let us go on. If we set the usual screen we get interference (pattern). If we set the Damien's screen we get no interference (pattern). But how the interference was created? By the scattering. Thus by the position measurement performed at the two-slit level. Thus: at the two-slit. If we substitute the Damien's screen for the usual screen (after the photons passed the two-slit) we change the scattering, which happened at the two-slit, that is to say: in a different place, and at an earlier time. Retrocausation? Who knows? Anyway not much different from those para-psycho-effects, and from those bubble-models. From wingcat at pacbell.net Wed Dec 3 20:40:08 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 12:40:08 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age In-Reply-To: <00ad01c3b9d4$0ec8c5b0$1301010a@Barbara> Message-ID: <20031203204008.49499.qmail@web80401.mail.yahoo.com> --- Barbara Lamar wrote: > It's fun to imagine what the world would be like if > someone found a way to > teach curiosity You mean similar to monks (Christian, Buddhist, Shaolin, et cetera), but instead of contemplating spirituality, encouraging insight into and exploration (both physical and metaphorical) of the world so as to discover its true properties? Monastaries were where most science (at least, what we'd recognize today as science) was done in medeval times. > If a curiosity training > course or treatment were > offered for sale, I wonder how many people would > want to buy it. It'd probably depend on how it was marketed. "Hey, you, got those seen-it-all, I'm-70-and-waiting-to-rot blues? Come on down to Uncle Zen's Curiosity Meditations! Shake off your I-don't-wannas, and rediscover the joys of learning and doing new things! Amaze your friends by understanding what those young whippersnappers are up to, or maybe even amaze those young whippersnappers by doing it better than they can! Clinically proven to improve general health and add years to one's life expectancy in most cases." Or what if it were offered for free, a la MIT's Open CourseWare program? From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Wed Dec 3 20:39:14 2003 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (kevinfreels at hotmail.com) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 14:39:14 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] More on the Glofish: When Fish Fluoresce, Can Teenagers Be Far Behind? References: <20031203184002.83995.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: >There are actually federal laws prohibiting intentionally > making yourself medically unfit for military service. Ostensibly it is > an act of sabotage that aids and abets the enemy. THAT is interesting! I had no idea. How would this law effect people who wanted to upload at an early age? Hmmm. Something to ponder......... From eugen at leitl.org Wed Dec 3 20:44:23 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 21:44:23 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age In-Reply-To: <3FCE3D83.7040607@pobox.com> References: <008901c3b9b7$f996f700$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> <3FCE1923.6030805@pobox.com> <20031203172733.GL1229@leitl.org> <3FCE3D83.7040607@pobox.com> Message-ID: <20031203204423.GR1229@leitl.org> On Wed, Dec 03, 2003 at 02:46:11PM -0500, Eliezer S. Yudkowsky wrote: > If it doesn't sound bloody fed up, then I phrased it wrong. > > I am not running out of exciting ideas. > I am not running out of new ideas. > I am not sitting on my hands doing nothing. > I am not an optimist. > I am still learning the basics in various fields of study with which I was > previously unacquainted. Good. Unless you want to start your own company, I suggest you get credits for this, though. > So what are y'all doing wrong? Damien got it all in one sentence. We're aging ahead of you. > >>help people, either - or helps only insofar as they are moved to study > >>tractable interesting subjects. > > > >I'm not sure you're using your resources very wisely. > >AI is a high risk/high tradeoff field, but an academic and/or > >industrial career would have provided you far more leverage > >than you currently have. > > Eugen, an academic and/or industrial career, though it would indeed be > easier than what I am doing now, will not prevent the coming train crash, You could be an assistant prof, getting a modest salary, working on what you're working now but for small interruptions due to teaching duties, have access to good resources and computing infrastructure, having several publications and letters before your name (which, strangely enough, people tend to notice, resulting in greater credibility) and would directly interact with bright young people. Giving them ideas, you know. There are worse fates than that, yes. > and is therefore ruled out. Perhaps the problem is that y'all see what > you should be doing, then back off and do something easier instead. As to coming train crash: Not everybody is sharing your sense of urgency, because not everybody is sharing the same threat model. Even less the proposed countermeasure. I agree I personally should have been doing something else: nanotechnology. I blew it by virtue of goofing off on the Internet, and not working hard enough during critical years. You don't have to make a similiar mistake, though. Projects have teams, have budgets. It's virtually impossible to get money by sheer persuasion, without an accomplishment track in your back. You might think it's a sidetrack, but let's see whether you still think that a decade downstream. > >By now I'm 99% certain that a sustainably visible online > >persona is incompatible with getting things done. I'd be out of > >here long ago if I wasn't so hooked. > > I shall probably come to a similar conclusion in the not too distant future. Very good. This stuff can eat up whole careers. Evil. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From test at demedici.ssec.wisc.edu Wed Dec 3 21:14:49 2003 From: test at demedici.ssec.wisc.edu (Bill Hibbard) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 15:14:49 -0600 (CST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: Boredom in old age In-Reply-To: <200312031815.hB3IFOH28638@tick.javien.com> Message-ID: Harvey Newstrom wrote: > > However, I think the enthusiasm of youth is automatic because things are new > and different. Transhumanism used to be new and different. But after being > on these lists for over a decade, there aren't very many new ideas going > around. Older people also feel like they are running out of time. Ten > years ago, people were predicting the singularity, moon bases and > immortality in a decade or two. Now that we are half way there, the goals > don't seem any closer, yet time is running out. There is Donald Norman's great quote that people tend to overestimate the short-term progress of technological change and underestimate the long-term effects. We need to work hard and be patient, but the rewards will exceed our expectations. The same comment applies to your pessimism. If you look at short-term events in the world it is easy to think its all screwed up (it is). But compare the present to the distant past and its much better now. I'm 55. It is true that my enthusiasm isn't aroused as easily it once was, but now its more focused on the things that really matter. Some of these are purely personal (health and happiness of family) but also for example the singularity. I don't expect it within the next 40 years and hence probably not within my lifetime, but I am very hopeful of living to see amazing progress in neuroscience and AI research. Also, I am working hard to live healthy and long, so I can live to see as much as possible. My role model is Verner Suomi, who literally invented weather satellites (everyone who watches satellite animations on TV weather shows uses his invention). I went to work for him in 1978. When he died at about age 85 in 1995 he had employees in his hospital room working on a radically new kind of ocean buoy for measuring sea surface heat flux. He made the lives of everyone around him better. Cheers, Bill ---------------------------------------------------------- Bill Hibbard, SSEC, 1225 W. Dayton St., Madison, WI 53706 test at demedici.ssec.wisc.edu 608-263-4427 fax: 608-263-6738 http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~billh/vis.html From bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk Wed Dec 3 21:34:23 2003 From: bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk (BillK) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 21:34:23 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age Message-ID: <3FCE56DF.1070309@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> On Wed Dec 03, 2003 01:44 pm Eugen Leitl wrote: > Very good. This stuff can eat up whole careers. Evil. > Well, the over 65s seem to be the fastest-growing segment of the Internet population at present. (Probably catching-up with all the younger age groups already on the Net). And they have time to play here with no career pressures to tell them otherwise. The present necessity to earn a living and build a career is obviously a strong behavior modifier for younger people. But that (in general) doesn't apply to retired people with a pension. When we have advanced life-extension science, can we expect that the necessity to earn a living will go away? If the nano-Santa, or Singularity-Santa, provides an income for everyone, how will the human race spend the following centuries? The problem I am concerned with is that the very fact of experiencing life seems to change people over the years. The search for something new seems to run out of steam after 50 or 60 years for most people. How many centuries can you play golf for? Immortals will need different objectives. BillK From extropy at unreasonable.com Wed Dec 3 22:17:42 2003 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 17:17:42 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Who Anticipated Internet Exploding in 90s? In-Reply-To: References: <002701c3b961$64673ec0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031203111126.02b06008@mail.comcast.net> At 08:44 AM 12/3/2003 +0100, Giu1i0 Pri5c0 wrote: >I did. In 1990 I was playing with the idea to start a net access business >for individual end users, and even found someone who was maybe willing to >invest some money. Then I let them talking me out of the idea, "this is too >crazy, there will never be a market for this". Now when I wish to do some >sweet daydreaming I think of what I would do with all the money that I would >have now if I had followed my idea to the end. >Two lessons here: 1 - believe in your ideas - 2 - get your ass off the >armchair and do it. Those are both great maxims but timing is everything. My father had quite a few billion-dollar inventions -- like high-speed modems, many-focal-point lenses, fax machines, and very-high-resolution automated typography -- decades before they eventually boomed. He was too far ahead, and he couldn't convince anyone with money. It's not always profitable being a prophet. I've learned consequently to focus my commercial ideas on a couple years out: near enough that you can have a product ready to go just as people realize they want it. -- David Lubkin. From extropy at unreasonable.com Wed Dec 3 22:52:27 2003 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 17:52:27 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031203173205.032660f8@mail.comcast.net> Amara wrote: >I told myself that I would never let an idiot government put me in such a >terrible situation again, that is, not being able to be with my family in >an emergency, and, now, it looks like a potential problem all over again. >Except that I am so disgusted with the Italian government, that I honestly >don't care, anymore, and I decided that I will travel anyway. It sounds like a very trying period. I'm sure everyone joins me in hoping matters work out well for you, your mother, and your family. Amara's story reminds me of the idiocies I experienced living in socialist Israel as a teenager. I've often wondered whether my love of liberty comes more from having it curtailed by bureaucracies or by my autocratic father. Would others speak to where their libertarian fervor came from? -- David Lubkin. From wingcat at pacbell.net Thu Dec 4 00:38:56 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 16:38:56 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Nanogen's new patents in nanotech and nanomanufacturing In-Reply-To: <5.1.0.14.2.20031203122201.06059b40@mail.earthlink.net> Message-ID: <20031204003856.87202.qmail@web80405.mail.yahoo.com> --- Max More wrote: > Nanogen shares soar on patent > Newly issued patent broadens its proprietary > position in nanotechnology and > nanomanufacturing areas. > December 3, 2003: 11:30 AM EST > > NEW YORK (Reuters) - Shares of Nanogen Inc. jumped > more than 50 percent > Wednesday after the company said it received a U.S. > patent related to the > fledgling field of nanotechnology and > nanomanufacturing. > > http://money.cnn.com/2003/12/03/technology/nanogen.reut/index.htm I nominate this story for the most nanoflash/least nanosubstance press release this month. (Yes, it is only the 3rd. It'll be hard to top.) From etheric at comcast.net Thu Dec 4 00:42:23 2003 From: etheric at comcast.net (R.Coyote) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 16:42:23 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age : libertarian fervor References: <5.1.0.14.2.20031203173205.032660f8@mail.comcast.net> Message-ID: <000801c3b9ff$7c3a4b20$0200a8c0@etheric> "Would others speak to where their libertarian fervor came from?" Self employment experiences A license for everything (permission to breathe) Right to travel "issues" FDA polices The drug war The push for safer working conditions for thugs The Religious right (wrong) All those plastic hairdo sociopaths in power Actually reading the Constitution and BOR Lysander Spooner Thomas Paine T.J. ----- Original Message ----- From: "David Lubkin" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Wednesday, December 03, 2003 2:52 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age > Amara wrote: > > >I told myself that I would never let an idiot government put me in such a > >terrible situation again, that is, not being able to be with my family in > >an emergency, and, now, it looks like a potential problem all over again. > >Except that I am so disgusted with the Italian government, that I honestly > >don't care, anymore, and I decided that I will travel anyway. > > It sounds like a very trying period. I'm sure everyone joins me in hoping > matters work out well for you, your mother, and your family. > > Amara's story reminds me of the idiocies I experienced living in socialist > Israel as a teenager. I've often wondered whether my love of liberty comes > more from having it curtailed by bureaucracies or by my autocratic father. > > Would others speak to where their libertarian fervor came from? > > > -- David Lubkin. > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From wingcat at pacbell.net Thu Dec 4 00:54:19 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 16:54:19 -0800 (PST) Subject: [ok] Re: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation In-Reply-To: <003901c3b9b4$f51323f0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031204005419.91841.qmail@web80405.mail.yahoo.com> --- Spike wrote: > > I mean fuel cell... stupid me :) > > > > De: "Henrique Moraes Machado" > > > Assunto: Re: [ok] Re: [extropy-chat] Communication > vs transportation: > > > > Well, I'm not thinking only about intercontinental > flights, > > but also our day-by-day transport, such as > automobiles. You > > can put a hybrid engine in your car, you can use > stem cells... > > No no Henrique, you have typoed into a brillian > idea: > stem cells for your car! You put them in the tank > and they replicate into any defective part. > > Repairing worn or ripped leather seats would be the > first application, since those started out as cells > anyway, but then as we get more advanced we could > have them fix leaks in the radiator, then worn > bearings, > then when we get really good, the electronics. I saw this in a game's backstory, some time ago. (Carrier Command. It's an interesting exercise in being many places at once - literally, thanks to the drone aircraft and tanks you pilot while operating the main carrier.) As they put it, the proper structure of the carrier and all it's components was encoded into each part of the ship. When damage deformed the components, local machinery tried to set things right, presumably using (and requesting) feedstock from the ship's central stores. From etheric at comcast.net Thu Dec 4 01:05:20 2003 From: etheric at comcast.net (R.Coyote) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 17:05:20 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age: pot belly References: <200312031840.hB3IeNn18771@finney.org> Message-ID: <001f01c3ba02$b09bb040$0200a8c0@etheric> " Extropianism for the Elderly" One of the tricks to enthusiasm is to refuse to succumb to pot belly, The negative somatic feedback from ones de-conditioned body has a profound effect on outlook, It's challenging to be an Eeyore when one is in top shape. Another thing I see is the lemming like volition to trade the illusion of security and amassing "stuff" for the liberty to mine the cafeteria of experiences life offers, nothing heals the soul quite as quickly as AIRPORT. "We have no Great War. No Great Depression. Our Great War is a spiritual war... our Great Depression is our lives. We've all been raised on television to believe that one day we'd all be millionaires, and movie gods, and rock stars. But we won't. And we're slowly learning that fact. And we're very, very pissed off." -TD Robert Trailerpark Transhumanist ----- Original Message ----- From: "Hal Finney" To: Sent: Wednesday, December 03, 2003 10:40 AM Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age > I remember when I was young and just getting started working, I noticed > there were different ways that older people approached their jobs, as well > as life itself. The more common attitude was a kind of bitter fatalism, > a sense of disappointment. Things were going badly and getting worse. > They were grumpy and unhappy, warning against mistakes but mostly being > ignored. > > Generally these were people who had not been all that succeessful, who > were doing the same work that they had done 20 years before. So it is > understandable that they might be bitter and unhappy. > > I also ran into a few old people who were quite different, who were > optimistic and energetic, full of ideas and enthusiasm. These were > mostly people who had been successful in their careers, who had advanced > to relatively important positions. Another group like this were older > college professors who were still active and pursuing their research. > > It is not easy to distinguish cause and effect here. Were people happy > or unhappy because of their success or lack of it? Or were their basic > approaches to problems influencing their career paths? > > As I get older, I can see how cynicism creeps in. I still have mostly > the same goals and the same basic belief that they are possible, but > more and more I perceive that much of the support for these projects is > based on unfounded optimism and sloppy thinking. I become impatient > with one-sided perspectives and want to see both the pro and the con > positions represented fairly. > > A case in point is the recent online nanotech debate, where the spin from > "our side" is that Drexler whipped Smalley's butt. I don't perceive it > that way at all. I thought Drexler was evasive and slippery, and from my > current perspective I see this as a persistent strategy. You can never > pin him down. Whenever someone claims that something won't work, he just > calls "strawman" and says if that doesn't work, we'll do it some other > way. But since he never comes out with a specific, concrete proposal, > he has a perfect defense. You can't critique what doesn't exist. > > I need to write up these thoughts in more detail, but here again I > find myself facing the same barriers which had defeated the older > engineers I observed as a youth. I know that it will be an enormous > battle, offering pessimism where everyone only wants to hear good news. > I doubt that it will do any good, because even the cautions of a Nobel > prize winner are ignored. And I question whether I have the energy to > engage in the kind of hard debate which would be necessary to give these > issues the kind of hearing that they deserve. > > Those old men I knew had given up. They were convinced that our > plans and projects would mostly fail, but they were unable to make > persuasive arguments. Too many times in the past they had tried and > failed, had gained reputations as naysayers, as not being team players. > These reputations had probably helped to mire them in their dead end jobs. > And by then they had nothing left but bitterness, pro forma objections, > and head-shaking predictions of doom. > > I don't think any of us wants to end up like that. I certainly don't, > and yet I feel myself creeping in that direction. What can we do about > it? > > I have a couple of ideas. The first, and simpler, is to try to couple > pessimism with optimism. This is basically the idea of what Max called > Dynamic Optimism. Dynamic optimism is realistic. It's not a matter of > wearing rose colored glasses. You see the problems, but you also try > to look at them as challenges rather than obstacles. Rather than just > opposing what won't work, figure out what will give the best shot at > working, and become a proponent of that alternative. This way you are, > in a sense, a leader rather than dead weight. Maybe nobody is following > you at the moment, but it is a crucial difference in perspective. > > But sometimes this approach is difficult. You have a situation where > every path seems doomed, and you can't imagine a solution that will work. > Pessimism is pervasive, even becoming depression. In this case the second > idea comes in, which is based on a philosophy I have long believed in, > of being faithful to oneself. Try to think of yourself not as a person > living in a moment of time, but as a being who spans an entire lifetime. > Give credit to the person you were in the past. Think of his goals as > well as your own, and try to honor both of them. Remember how you felt > when you were young, and even if you don't feel that way now, try to > act in a manner which respects those feelings. > > As you feel the pessimism of age encroaching, understand that this is > not necessarily a matter of wisdom and experience. It can be hormones > and neuroanatomy. Your brain is changing, your body is changing. > Don't assume that your beliefs now are necessarily more valid than your > old ones. > > The idea, then, is to try to hold to a sliver of optimism, even if you > don't believe it in your gut, or in your hormones. Fight your tendencies > to cynicism. Admire the optimism and energy of youth rather than pity it. > Give support where you can, and avoid being an obstacle to those who > are moving forward. > > So there you have it, Extropianism for the Elderly. I'm not quite > there yet, but most of us will face these issues eventually. Give some > thought to how you want to age, and realize that your own mental habits > today are putting you on a path which may be much more ingrained a few > decades from now. > > Hal > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From wingcat at pacbell.net Thu Dec 4 01:42:58 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 17:42:58 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles In-Reply-To: <20031203102437.GJ22120@leitl.org> Message-ID: <20031204014259.33435.qmail@web80411.mail.yahoo.com> --- Eugen Leitl wrote: > On Tue, Dec 02, 2003 at 03:48:42PM -0800, Adrian > Tymes wrote: > > Sorry, but MB is correct. I specified "control > over > > oneself" - as in, the opportunity to not grow old > and > > deterioriate, if desired. That is not illusiory > in > > We're talking very nicely in othogonal directions to > each other, but it's no problem, as we occasionally > do manage to connect sometimes. Agreed. > What I'm objecting is a belief > of having a control over your own mind by equivalent > of waving a dead chicken (Freud, Jung & Co). I have > similiar scathing opinion of AI people who think > philosophy and introspection will result in actual > application leads. Ah. Yes, I agree here, too. (I think that philosophy and introspection might possibly be able to aid the application leads...but result in it by themselves? No chance.) > > You are correct in what you did say: people who > > currently have withered bodies, or who believe > that > > the only path to old age is to wither, might not > want > > to live forever given what they think it must > mean. > > We've donned our Ministry of Propaganda hat here, > I presume. I'm disclaiming what I say to make sure the exact meaning gets across. This can take the air of propaganda at times, since propaganda can emphasize things that are literally true - and yet a slight misreading would result in something that is very much desired, whether or not it is actually true. Similar word patterns, different intents. > > But that is not what we are discussing. We are > > discussing the ability to live forever in > relatively > > Forever is a bit misleading. True, but close enough relative to the finite lifespans of today. > > (Frankly, it might be technically > more > > difficult to achieve immortality in a withered > shell > > than in a perpetually healthy shell, even if there > > was not the desirability issue. Were I to wither > at > > current rates, yet survive to 100, I might > seriously > > contemplate whether cryonic suspension might give > me a > > better chance of seeing the far future than > continued > > life.) > > You of course realize that the vast majority of > people > in the industrialized countries die demented. Not > much > left to suspend there, alas. Exactly. From fortean1 at mindspring.com Thu Dec 4 01:51:29 2003 From: fortean1 at mindspring.com (Terry W. Colvin) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 18:51:29 -0700 Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system References: Message-ID: <3FCE9321.48980E79@mindspring.com> Don Dartfield wrote: > > On Tue, 2 Dec 2003, Mike Lorrey wrote: > > > He seemed to me to be using it as a term to describe parallel universes. > > It is a bit of a stretch though I suppose not out of the realm of > > artistic license. > > Okay, then yeah, that would be an incorrect usage. Unless he's trying to > coin a new "popular usage" meaning for the term. Perhaps we should ask > him. It might be handy to have a single word term for an alternate > universe in my writing, rather than always having to use "parallel > universe" or "alternate universe" or "from anooooooother > dimEEEENSSSSSSSion..." How about "stringworlds." Terry -- ?Only a zit on the wart on the heinie of progress.? Copyright 1992, Frank Rice Terry W. Colvin, Sierra Vista, Arizona (USA) < fortean1 at mindspring.com > Alternate: < fortean1 at msn.com > Home Page: < http://www.geocities.com/Area51/Stargate/8958/index.html > Sites: * Fortean Times * Mystic's Haven * TLCB * U.S. Message Text Formatting (USMTF) Program ------------ Member: Thailand-Laos-Cambodia Brotherhood (TLCB) Mailing List TLCB Web Site: < http://www.tlc-brotherhood.org >[Vietnam veterans, Allies, CIA/NSA, and "steenkeen" contractors are welcome.] From wingcat at pacbell.net Thu Dec 4 01:53:07 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 17:53:07 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhumanism and non-gender roles In-Reply-To: <002a01c3b963$87acde60$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <20031204015307.2284.qmail@web80409.mail.yahoo.com> --- Harvey Newstrom wrote: > "Adrian Tymes" wrote, > > Would not a good cure for that be to make or seek > out > > new things? An elder of the 80s would surely have > > found some novelty in the World Wide Web during > the > > 90s (assuming said elder was willing to be exposed > to > > it). > > In 1985 I had networked Macintoshes which had a > hypertext browser called > "HyperCard", that allowed hypertext links to bring > up cards from remote > networked computers. This predated Windows-95 by a > decade. This stuff > isn't new and wasn't adopted quickly. It just > didn't gain popularity until > much later. Yeah, but that was just your content. Seeing that which thousands of other people build can be qualitatively, not just quantitatively, different from seeing that which just one or a few build. From thespike at earthlink.net Thu Dec 4 01:59:23 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 19:59:23 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] parallel universes References: <3FCE9321.48980E79@mindspring.com> Message-ID: <015801c3ba0a$3f4f3260$d5994a43@texas.net> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Terry W. Colvin" Sent: Wednesday, December 03, 2003 7:51 PM > > It might be handy to have a single word term for an alternate > > universe in my writing, rather than always having to use "parallel > > universe" or "alternate universe" or "from anooooooother > > dimEEEENSSSSSSSion..." > > How about "stringworlds." No, because it's inaccurate. How about `D-branes'? or just Branes? I know, it causes sniggers from those who think you're saying `brains'. Um, how about `alloworlds'? Too much like `hello'. How about `xenoworlds'? Damien Broderick From mlorrey at yahoo.com Thu Dec 4 02:09:14 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 18:09:14 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: <3FCE9321.48980E79@mindspring.com> Message-ID: <20031204020914.248.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> --- "Terry W. Colvin" wrote: > Don Dartfield wrote: > > > > Okay, then yeah, that would be an incorrect usage. Unless he's > trying to > > coin a new "popular usage" meaning for the term. Perhaps we should > ask > > him. It might be handy to have a single word term for an > alternate > > universe in my writing, rather than always having to use "parallel > > universe" or "alternate universe" or "from anooooooother > > dimEEEENSSSSSSSion..." > > How about "stringworlds." Well, 'timeline' is commonly used in many of the genre publications. Paratime, paratemporal, and parareality are also used. One story I read a long time back used 'schizm' as well. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Thu Dec 4 02:20:06 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 18:20:06 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age : libertarian fervor In-Reply-To: <000801c3b9ff$7c3a4b20$0200a8c0@etheric> Message-ID: <20031204022007.35427.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> --- "R.Coyote" wrote: > "Would others speak to where their libertarian fervor came from?" Culmination of many things, but the biggest contributors were: a) reading Heinlein SF b) being in the military c) running my own business and trying to sell a product in a market tightly regulated by building, electrical and fire codes, heavily subsidized and market distorted by inanely implemented government programs, as well as trying to sell a new technology to a government that did not think of it themselves. d) fighting the Seattle Light Rail Project e) being treated as a threat to national security by one of the major political parties and its last presidential administration... ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From hal at finney.org Thu Dec 4 02:51:58 2003 From: hal at finney.org (Hal Finney) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 18:51:58 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Extropy #15 Timeline Message-ID: <200312040251.hB42pw420688@finney.org> Max More wrote: > It would be > interesting to dig out the issue of Extropy that featured a range of > predicted dates for various events. I recall that Eric Drexler had highly > optimistic projections, but others looked to 100+ years for many of the > items listed. I think I was somewhere in the middle. If anyone has the > issue at hand along with an OCR scanner, it would provide some interesting > data points. Coincidentally, someone posted this URL on the FX (idea futures game) discussion list: http://web.archive.org/web/20030212092807/www.lucifer.com/~sean/N-FX/. This is a Wayback Machine archive of an article on nanotech timelines, and it includes a link to the Extropy issue which had that article. Unfortunately, the archive failed to capture that issue, but the link does identify it as Extropy #15, which I happen to have, and I can go ahead and type in the data. The predictors are Gregory Benford; Steve Bridge; Eric Drexler; FM-2030; Mark Miller; Max More; and Nick Szabo. These predictions are from 1995. Explanatory notes include: Szabo - "The first number is when something might be possible under ideal engineering, economic, and politilcal conditions. 'now' means we could have done it already. The second number is the practical prediction, based primarily on the viewpoint of starting a business..." Bridge - "My answers are based on when something will 'actually happen' rather than on when it will be possible." Miller - "I will use the following variables: N = Now, 1995; S = Singularity; DAF = Design Ahead Factor.... I predict Singularity as occuring between N+10 and N+40.... I introduce a Design Ahead Factor which I define as 10/(S-N). If Singularity occurs in 10 years, DAF is 1. If Singularity occurs in 40 years, DAF is 1/4." Here is the table, modulo possible typos. You will need to use a monospace font to get the columns to line up: Benford Drexler Miller Szabo Bridge FM-2030 More Frozen Organ Transplant Is Routine 2020 2010 never 1990s+ N+20 if (S>N+30) 1999-2008 2020-2030 Two Century Biological Lifespans 2150 2050/2140 never 2010-2020 never 2015-2040 2040/2100 Indefinite Biological Lifespans 2300 2080 1967 S+50 2020-2045 2090/2150 Reanimation for Last Cryonics Suspendee 2100 2060 2006-2021 S+6*DAF 2025-2055 2050/2200 Reanimation for Current Cryonics Suspendees 2200 2090 2006-2021 2020 S+10*DAF 2030-2100 2400/2410 Biotech Cures for Most Heart Disease, Cancer & Aging 2030 2030 never 1990s+ S+10*DAF 2015-2040 2090/2130 Fine-Tuned Mood/Motivation Transformation Drugs 2010 2020 ?-2021 1990s+ N+10 1998-2010 2040/2050 Genius Drugs (>20 pts permanent IQ increase for most people) 2030 2020 ?-2021 S-10 to S+10*DAF 2020-2060 2010/2050 Benford Drexler Miller Szabo Bridge FM-2030 More Human Germ-Line Gene Therapy 2040 2007/2025 1990s N+20 2010 now/2010 Human Child Gestated Completely in Artificial Womb 2020 2050 2010-2020 S-5 to S-2*DAF 2015-2035 2100/2120 Cloning of a Human Being 2050 2020 2010 S-5 to S+4*DAF 2010 now/2010 Completely Genetically Composed Children 2060 2050 2015-2020 2060/2100 Extinct Species Reanimation (from preserved DNA) 2100 2025 ?-2021 N+5 to S+1 2010/2020 Benford Drexler Miller Szabo Bridge FM-2030 More Cryonics Industry Revenues $1 billion/year 2035 2015 2010-2020 N+30 (if S>N+30) 2015-2020 now/2020 Nanotech Factories 2100 2030/2050 2006-2021 2010-2020 S-3 to S+1 2015-2030 2070/2080 Atomically Detailed Design for Self-Reproducing Drexler-style Assembler 2070 2015 1998-2010 N+7 2000-2015 2100/2100 High-Degree of Freedom Cell Repair Nanomachines 2075 2040/2060 2006/2021 2010 S+2*DAF 2160/2180 Reproducing Nanotech Assemblers 2080 2025 2004-2019 S-3 to S+1 2020-2030 2120/2140 Really Cheap Fusion Power 2100 2040 2010-2020 2010-2020 2200/2210 Nukes as Cheap as Tanks 2105 2015 2040-2050 2100/2150 Nukes as Cheap as Handguns never never 2200/2250 Benford Drexler Miller Szabo Bridge FM-2030 More Most Publications are Electronic 2015 2015 1990s+ N+10 to N+30 1999 2000/2005 Most Intellectual Publications are on Web 2001 2008 late 1990s N+5 to N+30 1999-2002 2000/2005 Information Storage $0.01 per Megabyte 2010 2020 N+1 to N+10 2015 2010/2010 Computer Implanted in Brain 2015 2045 2010 N+1 to N+10 2020-2050 2010/2020 Human-Brain Equivalent Computers on a Desk 2030 2030 2004-2019 2010 S-3*DAF 2030 2040/2050 Human-Level A.I. 2030 2050 2004-2019 2010 2040-2150 2150/2200 Uploaded Minds 2060 2125 2006-2021 S+7*DAF 2040-2100 2300/2400 Uploads Running 1000x Faster than Humans 2080 2125 2006-2021 S-3*DAF 2045-2100 2450/2450 Benford Drexler Miller Szabo Bridge FM-2030 More Big Fraction of Economy Off Earth 2200 2100 2006-2021 S+20*DAF+20 2100-2200 2150/2200 Big Fraction of Economy out of Solar System 2800 3000 2011-2026 S+20*DAF+(50-200) 3000 2400/2500 Comet Mining, Javelins, Drugs, etc. (robotic space industry) 2080 2075 2006-2021 2050 2040/2060 First Person on Mars 2050 2025 2006-2021 2010-2020 N+15 to S+2*DAF 2025 2040/2060 First Person in Another Solar System 2400 2085 2011-2026 2030-2050 S+10*DAF+20 2150-2400 2200/2400 Reproducing Comet Eaters 2070 Reproducing Asteroid Eaters 2150 2045 2006-2021 2050-2070 2140/2180 Reproducing Starships 2300 2200 2006-2021 S+2*DAF 2350/2400 Benford Drexler Miller Szabo Bridge FM-2030 More 1,000,000+ People Using Anon. Electronic Cash 2010 2020 1990s N+10toN+30 to never 1999-2006 1997/1999 30%+ of Labor Telecommutes 2015 2030 1990s never never 2000/2050 Untaxable Economy Using Electronic Cash $100b/year 2020 N+20 to never 2010-2115 1997/2005 Ocean Colonization 20020 2020/2045 never 2010-2050 now/2040 Most Education Privatized 2005 2050 N+10 to S+50 now/2040 Most Law Enforcement Privatized 2010 2095 S+50 to never now/2150 Most Law Choice Privatized 2020 never on Earth S+20*DAF+20tonever now/2150 National Defense Privatized never never on Earth never now/2200 Betting Markets a Big Policy Influence never never S+20*DAF+20 2000/2100 Lots of figures here, and it's pretty hard to see the logic behind some of them. Benford and Szabo put Reproducing Starships out in the 24th century, while Drexler could have them coming out the year after next. Actually, Drexler is kind of a one-note-Charlie here, putting almost everything in the 2006-2026 time frame, even Big Fraction of Economy out of Solar System. I guess he assumes a nanotech singularity scenario. The interstellar economy would presumably be self-reproducing space probes zooming away from Earth in all directions and furiously converting nearby star systems into computronium or some such. I see Benford and Szabo as the most conservative, with Bridge and More taking a middle ground, and Drexler and FM-2030 being the most aggressive. FM's predictions don't make much sense to me but maybe they should be thought of as somewhat metaphorical or poetic, which is how I perceive his writing. Other interesting aspects of the survey include the topic selection, which is kind of a snapshot of the items of interest to the Extropian community in the 1995 time frame. I also note the absence of Eliezer Yudkowski's influential conception of the Singularity as a sudden transition to world whose rules, possibly even whose physics, are determined by AIs of virtually infinite intelligence. Hal From sentience at pobox.com Thu Dec 4 02:57:57 2003 From: sentience at pobox.com (Eliezer S. Yudkowsky) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 21:57:57 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] parallel universes In-Reply-To: <015801c3ba0a$3f4f3260$d5994a43@texas.net> References: <3FCE9321.48980E79@mindspring.com> <015801c3ba0a$3f4f3260$d5994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <3FCEA2B5.1010909@pobox.com> Damien Broderick wrote: > > No, because it's inaccurate. > > How about `D-branes'? or just Branes? > > I know, it causes sniggers from those who think you're saying `brains'. > Um, how about `alloworlds'? Too much like `hello'. How about > `xenoworlds'? Surely this problem has been solved again and again... Coming to mind offhand: Branch Dimension World Timeline Worldline Worldsurface Ficton Plane Layer Hubblebubble Process Depends on usage. What are you trying to indicate? -- Eliezer S. Yudkowsky http://singinst.org/ Research Fellow, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence From mbb386 at main.nc.us Thu Dec 4 03:25:33 2003 From: mbb386 at main.nc.us (MB) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 22:25:33 -0500 (Eastern Standard Time) Subject: [extropy-chat] libertarian fervor Message-ID: --- "R.Coyote" wrote: > "Would others speak to where their libertarian fervor came from?" Discovering that so many things I liked or wanted to do were either taxed, prohibited, or regulated. That came as quite a shock to me as I was growing up. Regards, MB From naddy at mips.inka.de Thu Dec 4 03:04:11 2003 From: naddy at mips.inka.de (Christian Weisgerber) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 03:04:11 +0000 (UTC) Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: More on the Glofish: When Fish Fluoresce, Can Teenagers Be Far Behind? References: <20031203184002.83995.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: wrote: > >There are actually federal laws prohibiting intentionally > > making yourself medically unfit for military service. Ostensibly it is > > an act of sabotage that aids and abets the enemy. > > THAT is interesting! I had no idea. How would this law effect people who > wanted to upload at an early age? Hmmm. Something to ponder......... Are you serious? Presumably these laws apply to intentional actions directly aimed at avoiding military service, say, chopping off your foot after receiving your draft notification or later when in the trenches. They don't apply if you tattoo yourself in day-glo or chop off your foot for personal preferences and it later happens to turn out that you are unfit for military service due to these body modifications. -- Christian "naddy" Weisgerber naddy at mips.inka.de From fortean1 at mindspring.com Thu Dec 4 03:33:01 2003 From: fortean1 at mindspring.com (Terry W. Colvin) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 20:33:01 -0700 Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD [forteana] Neanderthal art? Message-ID: <3FCEAAED.D4916707@mindspring.com> < http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/3256228.stm > Last Updated: Tuesday, 2 December, 2003, 12:21 GMT Neanderthal 'face' found in Loire By Jonathan Amos BBC News Online science staff A flint object with a striking likeness to a human face may be one of the best examples of art by Neanderthal man ever found, the journal Antiquity reports. The "mask", which is dated to be about 35,000 years old, was recovered on the banks of the Loire at La Roche-Cotard. It is about 10 cm tall and wide and has a bone splinter rammed through a hole, making the rock look as if it has eyes. Commentators say the object shows the Neanderthals were more sophisticated than their caveman image suggests. "It should finally nail the lie that Neanderthals had no art," Paul Bahn, the British rock art expert, told BBC News Online. "It is an enormously important object." Nose and cheeks It is described in Antiquity by Jean-Claude Marquet, curator of the Museum of Prehistory of Grand-Pressigny, and Michel Lorblanchet, a director of research in the French National Centre of Scientific Research, Roc des Monges, at Saint-Sozy. The mask was found during an excavation of old river sediments in front of a Palaeolithic cave encampment. Tool and bone discoveries suggest Neanderthals used the location to light a fire and prepare food. Triangular in shape, the object shows clear evidence, the researchers say, of having been worked - flakes have been chipped off the block to make it more face-like. The 7.5-cm-long bone has also been wedged in position purposely by flint fragments. Marquet and Lorblanchet tell Antiquity: "We think that this is indeed a 'proto-figurine'; that is, a small flint block whose natural shape evokes a crudely triangular human face - or a mask if one notes that it is primarily the upper part of the face that is concerned, like a carnival mask, or, rather less clearly, an animal face, perhaps a feline? "It was not only picked up and brought into the habitation, but was also modified in various ways to perfect its resemblance to a face: the forehead, the eyes underlined by the bone splinter, the nose stopped at its extremity by an intentional flake-removal, and the rectified cheeks." Over and over The standard view of Neanderthals (Homo neanderthalensis) is that they lacked the thought processes capable of producing art - certainly to any real level of sophistication produced by modern humans (Homo sapiens). Clive Gamble, an expert from Southampton University on the early occupation of Europe by human species, says science has been reluctant to see Neanderthals as great conceptual thinkers. "The great problem with all the Neanderthal art is that they are one-offs. What is different about the art of modern humans when it appears 35,000 years ago is that there is repetition - animal sculptures and paintings done over and over again in a recognisable style. "With Neanderthals, there may have been the odd da Vinci-like genius, but their talents died with them." Bahn, on the other hand, believes the Roche-Cotard mask should set the record straight on Neanderthals' artistic capabilities. "There are now a great many Neanderthal art objects. They have been found for decades and always they are dismissed as the exception that proves the rule." "This is not just a fortuitous bone shoved into a hole in a rock. Whether the Neanderthal artist saw a rock that looked like a face and modified it, or conceived the thing from the start - who knows? Either way it is pretty sophisticated." Abstract thought Perhaps the oldest example of modern human art generally accepted by the scientific community would be the 77,000-year-old engraved ochre pieces found in the Blombos Cave in South Africa. There are claims for even older items, dating back 200,000 years or more, that comprise mainly rock objects apparently sculpted to look like the human form. But many sceptical researchers believe these objects are merely accidents of geological processes, and doubt they have been intentionally modified in any way by a human hand. However, earlier this year, scientists announced the discovery of the oldest Homo sapiens skulls. These 160,000-year-old fossil bones had been polished after death. This mortuary practice suggests at least these early people were abstract thinkers, capable of analysing ideas of life and death. -- ?Only a zit on the wart on the heinie of progress.? Copyright 1992, Frank Rice Terry W. Colvin, Sierra Vista, Arizona (USA) < fortean1 at mindspring.com > Alternate: < fortean1 at msn.com > Home Page: < http://www.geocities.com/Area51/Stargate/8958/index.html > Sites: * Fortean Times * Mystic's Haven * TLCB * U.S. Message Text Formatting (USMTF) Program ------------ Member: Thailand-Laos-Cambodia Brotherhood (TLCB) Mailing List TLCB Web Site: < http://www.tlc-brotherhood.org >[Vietnam veterans, Allies, CIA/NSA, and "steenkeen" contractors are welcome.] From extropy at unreasonable.com Thu Dec 4 03:35:47 2003 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 22:35:47 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Extropy #15 Timeline In-Reply-To: <200312040251.hB42pw420688@finney.org> Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031203221744.05506008@mail.comcast.net> An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From fortean1 at mindspring.com Thu Dec 4 03:39:10 2003 From: fortean1 at mindspring.com (Terry W. Colvin) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 20:39:10 -0700 Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD (UFO UpDate) Physicist Explains String Theory Message-ID: <3FCEAC5E.B89CC25E@mindspring.com> Source: Daily Nexus - UC Santa Barbara's Student Newspaper < http://www.ucsbdailynexus.com/news/2003/6192.html > Physicist Explains String Theory to SB By Ben Krasnow - Staff Writer Monday, November 24, 2003 Physicist Brian Greene taught audience members how to see in 10 dimensions at the Lobero Theatre Sunday night. A leading string theorist and a member of UCSB's Kavli Institute for Theoretical Physics, Greene recounted the highlights of his book, The Elegant Universe. After going over the physics background necessary to understand string theory, Greene drew audible "wows" from the audience when he explained the core underpinnings of string theory, and how our understanding of the universe could subsequently change. Greene was introduced by Chris Carter, producer and writer of the TV show, 'The X-Files'. Carter recalled reading Greene's book and thinking about the implications of these new ideas in physics. Sometimes the reality of what theoretical physics predicts is hard to grasp, even for a science fiction writer. "As strange as 'The X-Files' could be, we never got as far out as this guy," Carter said. Theoretical physics describes a branch of science that tries to explain physical phenomena by using mathematics and careful thought instead of empirical measurements. Greene hailed Albert Einstein as the most influential theoretical physicist in history. "He changed the ideas of space and time," Greene said. Einstein's first major contribution to the modern understanding of physics was the introduction of the ultimate speed limit - the speed of light, Greene said. Before this maximum speed limit was introduced, scientists thought some things could happen instantaneously, like gravity. Newton's law of gravitation states that the attraction felt between two objects is instantaneous. Einstein stated that this is not possible. Nothing - no signal, no information, no influence - can travel faster than the speed of light. Light has been measured to travel at 186,000 miles per second. The sun is so far away that even at that tremendous speed, it takes nearly eight minutes for the its light to reach the Earth. If the sun disappeared right now, we could not possibly know until eight minutes had passed. Earth's gravitational attraction to the sun holds the planet in orbit. If gravity acted instantaneously and light did not, the earth would leave its orbit before the darkness accompanying the sun's disappearance reached it. "The fact that there is a speed limit is a problem for Newton's Law," Greene said. Greene said that Einstein's second major contribution was his theory of general relativity. This theory provides a way to understand how gravity works while still obeying the maximum speed limit. In fact, Einstein's calculations proved that the speed of gravity should be exactly the same as the speed of light. Greene said the reason Einstein has been praised so much is because his ideas unified two things - the speed of light and the speed of gravity. Physical theories that unify separate phenomena are always desirable because they approach the idea that there is one singular theory that could explain everything in the universe, Greene said. To explain general relativity, Greene used the analogy of a thin horizontal rubber sheet. If the sheet was perfectly flat, a marble placed on the sheet would have no tendency to roll in any direction. If a bowling ball was placed on the sheet, it would form a large depression. The marble would roll down into the depression, toward the bowling ball. The heavier the bowling ball, the bigger the depression, and the faster the marble will would roll toward it. If the bowling ball were removed very quickly, the rubber sheet would take a short time to return to its flat shape. That amount of time is analogous to the speed of gravity. "Gravity is the fabric of space and time," Greene said. "Einstein's theory works just a little better than Newton's." In the case of the sun disappearing, general relativity states that the earth would remain in orbit for eight minutes after the sun is gone. This is the time it would take for the gravity wave to reach earth and release it from the depression in space that is currently holding it the sun's orbit. Besides relativity, there is another area of physics that has changed markedly in the last century. This field is called quantum theory, and it describes how physics works on a very small scale. Greene said that on a macro scale, the warping of space is very smooth, like a smooth depression in a rubber sheet. On the micro scale, space is not smooth. It is constantly churning and moving, like the surface of boiling water. Quantum theory describes this rapid and chaotic motion, and has some startling physical conclusions. "If you fire a particle like an electron at a barrier that classically it could not penetrate, quantum theory says there is a small chance it can," Greene said. Greene went on to say that there is even a chance that he could walk into a solid stone column and come out on the other side. The probability is extremely low, but it is not zero according to quantum theory. String theory provides a way to unify the smoothness of macro space and the roughness and chaos of micro space, Greene said. The basic concept of string theory is that every piece of matter in the universe is composed of very small vibrating loops of string. The pattern of vibrations, much like the pattern of vibrations on the string of a musical instrument, determines the properties of the particle it composes, Greene said. The dilemma is that the mathematics behind string theory require the tiny loops of string to vibrate in 10 dimensions. This is a problem because no person has ever seen more than three dimensions. This conclusion does not daunt string theorists like Greene. He explained one way in which the other seven dimensions could be hidden to observers by rolling up a sheet of paper. If the flat plane of paper represented space, it has two dimensions: top to bottom, and left to right. If the paper is rolled up into a cylinder, the left to right [[left-to-right]] dimension is unchanged, but the top to bottom [[top-to-bottom]] dimension is changed into clockwise or counterclockwise. If the paper is rolled tighter, the cylinder will be come very thin, and from afar it may look like a simple line with no rolled-up clockwise dimension. This may be how the seven other dimensions of string theory are hidden. Greene said that string theory could be strengthened by observational data from space. When the universe was young, the strings that made up all matter were very energetic. As the universe cooled down and expanded, the imprint left from the energetic strings may have remained. Thus, there could be large, string-shaped artifacts in space waiting be found that would provide evidence for string theory. "Nothing to me would be more poetic; no outcome would be more graceful ... than for us to confirm our theories of the ultramicroscopic makeup of spacetimea and matter by turning our giant telescopes skyward and gazing at the stars," Greene said. All content, photographs, graphics and design Copyright ? 2000- 2003 Daily Nexus. -- ?Only a zit on the wart on the heinie of progress.? Copyright 1992, Frank Rice Terry W. Colvin, Sierra Vista, Arizona (USA) < fortean1 at mindspring.com > Alternate: < fortean1 at msn.com > Home Page: < http://www.geocities.com/Area51/Stargate/8958/index.html > Sites: * Fortean Times * Mystic's Haven * TLCB * U.S. Message Text Formatting (USMTF) Program ------------ Member: Thailand-Laos-Cambodia Brotherhood (TLCB) Mailing List TLCB Web Site: < http://www.tlc-brotherhood.org >[Vietnam veterans, Allies, CIA/NSA, and "steenkeen" contractors are welcome.] From spike66 at comcast.net Thu Dec 4 04:18:34 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 20:18:34 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] libertarian fervor In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <00a001c3ba1d$af139560$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > > --- "R.Coyote" wrote: > > "Would others speak to where their libertarian fervor came > from?" > The most important lessons in libertarianism came from elementary school, where it was more convenient for the teacher to have the entire class advance together, even if at the pace of a glacier. For the students who could actually read, the result was excruciating boredom most of the time, a criminal waste of precious time in a young life. I have never questioned Eliezer's decision to give up entirely on mass education as useless. At an early age, many of us learned that the gazelles should not be yoked with the oxen but should be set free to run. The same rules simply do not apply to everyone. All my most important learning came about in my home with my own books and those I could borrow from the library. Governments take over where the elementary school teachers left off. Many of us are for limiting government's influence to common defense, road building and the public education which I just got finished disrespecting. spike From mlorrey at yahoo.com Thu Dec 4 04:20:59 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 20:20:59 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: More on the Glofish: When Fish Fluoresce, Can Teenagers Be Far Behind? In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031204042059.35021.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> --- Christian Weisgerber wrote: > wrote: > > > >There are actually federal laws prohibiting intentionally > > > making yourself medically unfit for military service. Ostensibly > it is > > > an act of sabotage that aids and abets the enemy. > > > > THAT is interesting! I had no idea. How would this law effect > people who > > wanted to upload at an early age? Hmmm. Something to > ponder......... > > Are you serious? Presumably these laws apply to intentional actions > directly aimed at avoiding military service, say, chopping off your > foot after receiving your draft notification or later when in the > trenches. > > They don't apply if you tattoo yourself in day-glo or chop off your > foot for personal preferences and it later happens to turn out that > you are unfit for military service due to these body modifications. Actually, they only really apply if a draft is in effect, something that I don't think is likely even given todays situation. However, if one were enacted, a local draft board will interview those claiming unfitness. Accidents are obviously excused. Intentional disfigurement is not. Doing so after receiving a draft notice only makes it easier for them to prosecute you. If you are dumb enough to tell a draft board you got your genes altered so you glowed in the dark specifically to make you unfit for service, I'll bet they'll draft you anyways and the military would stick you in some hellhole peeling potatos or slopping out latrines for the duration. As for uploading at an early age, the military would probably find good military uses for uploaded minds... ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com From extropy at unreasonable.com Thu Dec 4 04:51:36 2003 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Wed, 03 Dec 2003 23:51:36 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] libertarian fervor In-Reply-To: <20031204022007.35427.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> References: <000801c3b9ff$7c3a4b20$0200a8c0@etheric> Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031203230653.02bb4008@mail.comcast.net> >--- "R.Coyote" wrote: > > "Would others speak to where their libertarian fervor came from?" Three people have now posted replies to my question in a way that suggests a misattribution. We all need to be more careful in source attribution for the sake of archaeologists and historians in millennia to come.... At 06:20 PM 12/3/2003 -0800, Mike Lorrey wrote: >Culmination of many things, but the biggest contributors were: > >a) reading Heinlein SF It's ironic that in the message where I posed the question I did not mention Heinlein, since I've made the point here and in fiction that writers often have a more profound impact on one's life than one's acquaintances and experiences. I credit Heinlein for a large chunk of my interests, attitudes, and character. His direct contribution is immense; when I try to add up the ripple effects from those influenced by him -- well, I'm not sure I can count that high. Seems like behind every extropian topic are pioneers who grew up on his writing. I think I met all of the people I care most about as a consequence. My daughter would not exist otherwise, and perhaps nor would I. I suppose if he hadn't been, someone else would have been -- but in our reality, he was, and so deserves the credit. And, of course, as he noted, we can't pay him back; we have to pay it forward. -- David Lubkin. From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Thu Dec 4 05:15:56 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 00:15:56 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age In-Reply-To: <5.1.0.14.2.20031203114551.05beab00@mail.earthlink.net> Message-ID: <000401c3ba25$b616a700$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Max More wrote, > At 10:10 AM 12/3/2003, Harvey wrote: > > >I also just realized that I am a professional pessimist. > > I shouldn't encourage you, but... > > Delusions of Success: How Optimism Undermines Executives' > Decisions by Dan Lovallo; Daniel Kahneman Harvard Business > Review, Editor reviewed on 07/07/03, originally published > on 07/01/03 http://www.manyworlds.com/exploreCO.asp?coid=CO77031947495 Excellent article! This is exactly what I am seeing when I audit. Some managers have rose-colored glasses and assume the best about their organization, in the absence of knowledge. Just like the pointy-haired boss in Dilbert, they assume what they don't know about must be easy, what they haven't verified must be OK, and what they haven't followed up on probably turned out OK. When they plan projects, they shrink every task down to the minimum time they think they can squeeze it to, parallel as many tasks as could ever be done simultaneously, and predict the lowest cost at every step of the way. In the end, they end up with a gigantic project with thousands of items underestimated. A single delay or cost overrun on any single item will destroy the whole project plan, and they always are surprised when it happens. I don't run my bank account that way. I can't spend every single penny at the beginning of the month and assume that I won't have any unforeseen expenses. I don't leave for an appointment at the last possible second and assume I will make every green traffic light between here and there. It is not pessimism, but realism, to predict average-case scenarios instead of best-case scenarios for everything. Statistically speaking, the average scenario is most likely, while the best-case scenario is least likely. Multiplying all the best-case scenarios together usually give an infinitely impossible chance that the boss's predictions can all come true and the project turn out as planned. P.S. I also finished David Allen's book _Getting_Things_Done_. It was as helpful as you suggested, Max. It is basic straight-forward organizational skills for keeping track of a million to-do's, appointments, priorities, projects, sequences, etc. My own system is very close to his already, but I picked up quite a few pointers. I love checklists and reminders! I don't *want* an expert of any kind trying to do everything off the top of their head by what they can remember. If they reference a complete industry-approved standard list, and then show how they meet every point, then I am much more impressed that simply having a genius-expert say "It looks alright to me." Having external checklists, reminders, PDA's, software, and standard references will make anybody function beyond their natural human ability. It is the first step toward transhumanism! -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From wingcat at pacbell.net Thu Dec 4 05:39:08 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 21:39:08 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: More on the Glofish: When Fish Fluoresce, Can Teenagers Be Far Behind? In-Reply-To: <20031204042059.35021.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20031204053908.93157.qmail@web80405.mail.yahoo.com> --- Mike Lorrey wrote: > Actually, they only really apply if a draft is in > effect, something > that I don't think is likely even given todays > situation. > > However, if one were enacted, a local draft board > will interview those > claiming unfitness. Accidents are obviously excused. > Intentional > disfigurement is not. Doing so after receiving a > draft notice only > makes it easier for them to prosecute you. If you > are dumb enough to > tell a draft board you got your genes altered so you > glowed in the dark > specifically to make you unfit for service, I'll bet > they'll draft you > anyways and the military would stick you in some > hellhole peeling > potatos or slopping out latrines for the duration. Nah. There are times when you want to be seen, say if you're going to be drawing fire away from the enemy...or inspiring terror if the enemy is uber-luddite. > As for uploading at an early age, the military would > probably find good > military uses for uploaded minds... "When you wake up, there will be ten of you. One will be kept safe here. The rest will be loaded into drone aircraft being sent on suicide missions. When all is done, the you that survives will be as you are now, and the enemy will have nine well-placed holes." From thespike at earthlink.net Thu Dec 4 06:51:27 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 00:51:27 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] the slope and speed of some changes References: <000401c3ba25$b616a700$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <027201c3ba33$1cd18f20$d5994a43@texas.net> No big surprises, but: http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2003/12/03/1070351651543.html < Electronics price cuts jolt buyers By Lorna Edwards If you forked out for a swish new DVD player when they first hit the market six years ago, you would have paid up to $1400. These days, you can buy what has become one of the fastest-selling consumer items in history from about $80. Falling prices such as this have fuelled an electronics spending spree, with DVD players and digital cameras topping Christmas shopping lists. It took nine years for VCR players to make their way into 47 per cent of Australian homes after their 1978 introduction to this country but the DVD has reached the same popularity in only six years. [etc] > From spike66 at comcast.net Thu Dec 4 07:09:52 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 23:09:52 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] the slope and speed of some changes In-Reply-To: <027201c3ba33$1cd18f20$d5994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <001901c3ba35$9d04b3f0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > Damien Broderick > Subject: [extropy-chat] the slope and speed of some changes > > > No big surprises, but: > > http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2003/12/03/1070351651543.html > > < Electronics price cuts jolt buyers > By Lorna Edwards... Is this a way cool time to be living, or what? {8-] Of course I am still high from the new record prime, but even after that wears off, this will *still* be a way cool time to be alive. Even poor people can have rad stuff. I bought an MP3 player for 70 bucks, holds about 4 CDs of tunes, sounds great, fits in a shirt pocket, runs on one aaa battery, hell of a deal. You can take out an insert, place it in a USB port on the PC and it looks just like another 128 MB drive. Remember how big and expensive a 128 was only a few years ago? Kewall! {8^D spike From spike66 at comcast.net Thu Dec 4 07:23:06 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 23:23:06 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] slain by one finger In-Reply-To: <200312031840.hB3IeNn18771@finney.org> Message-ID: <001b01c3ba37$7687e150$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Doctors kill men. There was an article in the Merc about how men live shorter than women because they won't go to the doctor. Well, they won't go to the doctor because they don't want a finger up the old kazoo. Duh! A most distasteful sensation is this, it feels like getting raped. If all doctors would *promise* not to do that, then more guys might get yearly checkups, thus saving lives. Of course men would still perish from prostate cancer, but the doctors might notice other symptoms in time to save more guys. So doctors kill men. spike From twodeel at jornada.org Thu Dec 4 07:26:33 2003 From: twodeel at jornada.org (Don Dartfield) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 23:26:33 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] slain by one finger In-Reply-To: <001b01c3ba37$7687e150$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: On Wed, 3 Dec 2003, Spike wrote: > There was an article in the Merc about how men live shorter than women > because they won't go to the doctor. Well, they won't go to the doctor > because they don't want a finger up the old kazoo. Duh! A most > distasteful sensation is this, it feels like getting raped. Yes, it's rather unpleasant having a doctor do this. Men should be encouraged to self-examine just like women do for breast cancer. :) From twodeel at jornada.org Thu Dec 4 07:31:14 2003 From: twodeel at jornada.org (Don Dartfield) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 23:31:14 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] libertarian fervor In-Reply-To: Message-ID: On Wed, 03 Dec 2003, David Lubkin wrote: > Would others speak to where their libertarian fervor came from? >From the discovery that the drug laws, designed to prevent people from doing what they want in the first place, have frightened doctors into not prescribing proper pain medication for treatment of chronic pain even when it is very obviously warranted, for fear of becoming another casualty in the War on Drugs. That was what got me started, at least, and motivated me to register as a Libertarian. Lately, though, I've drifted away somewhat, because I've realized that I'm not a complete libertarian like many of the other libertarians whose articles I read seem to be. For instance, I have yet to be convinced that private ownership of roads would be better than our current system. Somewhat similar to Larry Niven's whole "Why I Am Not a Libertarian" thing that he wrote a story about ... what was it ... oh yeah, "Cloak of Anarchy." But in any case, I still consider myself to be more libertarian than anything else. From spike66 at comcast.net Thu Dec 4 07:39:14 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 23:39:14 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] akerue In-Reply-To: <200312031840.hB3IeNn18771@finney.org> Message-ID: <000001c3ba39$b75acfb0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> King Heiron asked Archimedes if he could determine if his new crown were pure gold. While bathing, he realized that the water he displaced would have the same mass as his body; therefore, he could measure the water displaced by the crown against that displaced by an equal amount of gold, determined that the king had indeed been defrauded by his jeweler, streaked, shouting eureka! and you know the story. But it occurred to me that a number of small, nearly invisible air bubbles may have adhered to the irregular surfaces of the crown, plus it likely had greater surface area than the pure lump of gold, thus making the crown displace more water than it would otherwise. Archimedes might have been responsible for getting a possibly honest man executed. Akerue! spike From scerir at libero.it Thu Dec 4 09:25:36 2003 From: scerir at libero.it (scerir) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 10:25:36 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation References: <20031201140907.49595.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com><184DD522-240A-11D8-9B19-000A95B18568@antipope.org> <01b801c3b823$ce7276c0$fe00a8c0@HEMM> Message-ID: <001801c3ba48$9a2b5a90$84bf1b97@administxl09yj> From: "Henrique Moraes Machado" I've been reflecting lately on communication versus transportation. The first is developing faster than ever, while the former seems to be stalled. ----------- "And despite putting in billions and billions and billions of dollars, the net return to owners from being in the entire airline industry, if you owned it all, and if you put up all this money, is less than zero. If there had been a capitalist down there [at Kitty Hawk the day the Wright brothers made their first flight] the guy should have shot down Wilbur! I mean . [audience laughter]. You know. one small step for mankind, and one huge step backwards for capitalism!" - Warren Buffett http://www.geocities.com/peopleplanes/Carrier/WB.html What's wrong with this? For sure the expression "one small step for mankind" :-) s. From dirk at neopax.com Thu Dec 4 09:29:09 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 09:29:09 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] libertarian fervor References: Message-ID: <000501c3ba49$12597f60$2bb26bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Don Dartfield" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Thursday, December 04, 2003 7:31 AM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] libertarian fervor > On Wed, 03 Dec 2003, David Lubkin wrote: > > > Would others speak to where their libertarian fervor came from? > > >From the discovery that the drug laws, designed to prevent people from > doing what they want in the first place, have frightened doctors into not > prescribing proper pain medication for treatment of chronic pain even when > it is very obviously warranted, for fear of becoming another casualty in > the War on Drugs. > > That was what got me started, at least, and motivated me to register as a > Libertarian. Lately, though, I've drifted away somewhat, because I've > realized that I'm not a complete libertarian like many of the other > libertarians whose articles I read seem to be. For instance, I have yet > to be convinced that private ownership of roads would be better than our > current system. > > Somewhat similar to Larry Niven's whole "Why I Am Not a Libertarian" thing > that he wrote a story about ... what was it ... oh yeah, "Cloak of > Anarchy." But in any case, I still consider myself to be more libertarian > than anything else. Ticket to Tranai Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From dirk at neopax.com Thu Dec 4 09:41:33 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 09:41:33 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age References: <00c501c3b9c4$217e4dc0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <005f01c3ba4a$cd8a3940$2bb26bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Harvey Newstrom" To: "'ExI chat list'" Sent: Wednesday, December 03, 2003 5:37 PM Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age > Eliezer S. Yudkowsky wrote, > > I wish I knew what I was doing right that everyone else seems > > to be doing so wrong. The problem is that trying to follow > > my lead doesn't seem to > help people, either - or helps only > > insofar as they are moved to study tractable interesting subjects. > > You're young and naive. Wait until you are middle-aged, pot-bellied and > balding, and there is still no singularity or general AI. How will you feel > then? Well, I'm a bored exception then. I'm 50, in very good physical condition and still no singularity or AI. Stiil, I'm an optimist who believes that there will be BIG breakthroughs in anti-ageing treatments within the next ten yrs. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From dirk at neopax.com Thu Dec 4 09:44:09 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 09:44:09 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age References: Message-ID: <007a01c3ba4b$2af308f0$2bb26bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Giu1i0 Pri5c0" To: Sent: Wednesday, December 03, 2003 3:23 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age > I think when the physical problems of old age (including hormonal and neurochemical changes) are solved, the rest will follow. There is no reason why you cannot keep a fresh and interested outlook on life while gaining experience. Many people in their 70s would be happy to do sometimes the same stupid things they did in their teens. The bad side of aging is a phisical thing. I disagree. I am easily as capable physically now (at 50) as I was at 20. And certainly a lot stronger. It's not a physical thing. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From dirk at neopax.com Thu Dec 4 09:46:10 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 09:46:10 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age References: <3FCDE00E.9050506@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> <3FCDEE02.8030308@mail.tele.dk> Message-ID: <008f01c3ba4b$72dbb220$2bb26bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Max M" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Wednesday, December 03, 2003 2:06 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age > BillK wrote: > > > On the mental side, the 'seen it all before' syndrome is also very real. > > Computer techies will have seen the 'burn-out' effect on whiz-kids who > > just can't do it any more. The people who are the big achievers are all > > 'driven' by their own various demons. > > > Oh yeah, that is so true. I can allready feel it myself at the tender > age of 38. I have allways been an "extreme" techie. But computers are > getting more and more boring every day. Solving the same old problems in > slightly different ways. > > On the other side, I find quality in my life increasingly important, and > there are many examples of people living good lives at a high age. > People at the age of 50 usually tell that they are living out the best > part of their life. Free of the stresses of homebuilding and kids. > > We can also hope that a exponential growth in technology can make up for > the "seen it all before" feeling. The problem though seems to be that exponetial tech is required to maintain a linear change. > Or perhaps side-effect-free recreational drugs will make it all moot. LSD gave me a big boost in my 30s. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Thu Dec 4 12:37:09 2003 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (Kevin Freels) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 04:37:09 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] parallel universes References: <3FCE9321.48980E79@mindspring.com> <015801c3ba0a$3f4f3260$d5994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: Why not coin an entirely new word like "Lomgakwoos" or maybe "smearniverses"? I a similar problem recently while referring to the event where you bite into a sandwich, pizza, or other multi-layered food and a pickel, pepperoni, or something slides out of the food, but is still between your teeth and it slops down onto your chin. In my household, this is now known as slerbeling. I slerbeled a pickel just today! Come to think of it, maybe "slerbelverse" would suffice.? :-) ----- Original Message ----- From: "Damien Broderick" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Wednesday, December 03, 2003 5:59 PM Subject: [extropy-chat] parallel universes > > ----- Original Message ----- > From: "Terry W. Colvin" > Sent: Wednesday, December 03, 2003 7:51 PM > > > > It might be handy to have a single word term for an alternate > > > universe in my writing, rather than always having to use "parallel > > > universe" or "alternate universe" or "from anooooooother > > > dimEEEENSSSSSSSion..." > > > > How about "stringworlds." > > No, because it's inaccurate. > > How about `D-branes'? or just Branes? > > I know, it causes sniggers from those who think you're saying `brains'. Um, > how about `alloworlds'? Too much like `hello'. How about `xenoworlds'? > > Damien Broderick > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Thu Dec 4 12:44:44 2003 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (Kevin Freels) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 04:44:44 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD [forteana] Neanderthal art? References: <3FCEAAED.D4916707@mindspring.com> Message-ID: Hooray! Once again we see they were smarter than we give them credit for! It's crazy how our perception that they didn't have artistic abilities relies on the fact that most of their art didn;t survive for tens of thousands of years. I wonder how many original Dali paintings will be around in 50,000 years. ----- Original Message ----- From: "Terry W. Colvin" To: Sent: Wednesday, December 03, 2003 7:33 PM Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD [forteana] Neanderthal art? > < http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/3256228.stm > > > Last Updated: Tuesday, 2 December, 2003, 12:21 GMT > > Neanderthal 'face' found in Loire > By Jonathan Amos > BBC News Online science staff > > A flint object with a striking likeness to a human face may be one of the > best examples of art by Neanderthal man ever found, the journal Antiquity > reports. > > The "mask", which is dated to be about 35,000 years old, was recovered on > the banks of the Loire at La Roche-Cotard. > > It is about 10 cm tall and wide and has a bone splinter rammed through a > hole, making the rock look as if it has eyes. > > Commentators say the object shows the Neanderthals were more sophisticated > than their caveman image suggests. > > "It should finally nail the lie that Neanderthals had no art," Paul Bahn, > the British rock art expert, told BBC News Online. "It is an enormously > important object." > > Nose and cheeks > > It is described in Antiquity by Jean-Claude Marquet, curator of the Museum > of Prehistory of Grand-Pressigny, and Michel Lorblanchet, a director of > research in the French National Centre of Scientific Research, Roc des > Monges, at Saint-Sozy. > > The mask was found during an excavation of old river sediments in front of a > Palaeolithic cave encampment. Tool and bone discoveries suggest Neanderthals > used the location to light a fire and prepare food. > > Triangular in shape, the object shows clear evidence, the researchers say, > of having been worked - flakes have been chipped off the block to make it > more face-like. > > The 7.5-cm-long bone has also been wedged in position purposely by flint > fragments. > > Marquet and Lorblanchet tell Antiquity: "We think that this is indeed a > 'proto-figurine'; that is, a small flint block whose natural shape evokes a > crudely triangular human face - or a mask if one notes that it is primarily > the upper part of the face that is concerned, like a carnival mask, or, > rather less clearly, an animal face, perhaps a feline? > > "It was not only picked up and brought into the habitation, but was also > modified in various ways to perfect its resemblance to a face: the forehead, > the eyes underlined by the bone splinter, the nose stopped at its extremity > by an intentional flake-removal, and the rectified cheeks." > > Over and over > > The standard view of Neanderthals (Homo neanderthalensis) is that they > lacked the thought processes capable of producing art - certainly to any > real level of sophistication produced by modern humans (Homo sapiens). > > Clive Gamble, an expert from Southampton University on the early occupation > of Europe by human species, says science has been reluctant to see > Neanderthals as great conceptual thinkers. > > "The great problem with all the Neanderthal art is that they are one-offs. > What is different about the art of modern humans when it appears 35,000 > years ago is that there is repetition - animal sculptures and paintings done > over and over again in a recognisable style. > > "With Neanderthals, there may have been the odd da Vinci-like genius, but > their talents died with them." > > Bahn, on the other hand, believes the Roche-Cotard mask should set the > record straight on Neanderthals' artistic capabilities. > > "There are now a great many Neanderthal art objects. They have been found > for decades and always they are dismissed as the exception that proves the > rule." > > "This is not just a fortuitous bone shoved into a hole in a rock. Whether > the Neanderthal artist saw a rock that looked like a face and modified it, > or conceived the thing from the start - who knows? Either way it is pretty > sophisticated." > > Abstract thought > > Perhaps the oldest example of modern human art generally accepted by the > scientific community would be the 77,000-year-old engraved ochre pieces > found in the Blombos Cave in South Africa. > > There are claims for even older items, dating back 200,000 years or more, > that comprise mainly rock objects apparently sculpted to look like the human > form. > > But many sceptical researchers believe these objects are merely accidents of > geological processes, and doubt they have been intentionally modified in any > way by a human hand. > > However, earlier this year, scientists announced the discovery of the oldest > Homo sapiens skulls. These 160,000-year-old fossil bones had been polished > after death. > > This mortuary practice suggests at least these early people were abstract > thinkers, capable of analysing ideas of life and death. > > > -- > "Only a zit on the wart on the heinie of progress." Copyright 1992, Frank Rice > > > Terry W. Colvin, Sierra Vista, Arizona (USA) < fortean1 at mindspring.com > > Alternate: < fortean1 at msn.com > > Home Page: < http://www.geocities.com/Area51/Stargate/8958/index.html > > Sites: * Fortean Times * Mystic's Haven * TLCB * > U.S. Message Text Formatting (USMTF) Program > ------------ > Member: Thailand-Laos-Cambodia Brotherhood (TLCB) Mailing List > TLCB Web Site: < http://www.tlc-brotherhood.org >[Vietnam veterans, > Allies, CIA/NSA, and "steenkeen" contractors are welcome.] > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From jacques at dtext.com Thu Dec 4 10:51:30 2003 From: jacques at dtext.com (JDP) Date: Thu, 04 Dec 2003 11:51:30 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Extropy #15 Timeline In-Reply-To: <5.1.0.14.2.20031203221744.05506008@mail.comcast.net> References: <5.1.0.14.2.20031203221744.05506008@mail.comcast.net> Message-ID: <3FCF11B2.1000308@dtext.com> David Lubkin wrote: > > The nevers surprise me, particularly for "Two Century Biological Lifespans." Apparently what they meant is we would go straight from lifespans shorter than two centuries to indefinite lifespans. (Drexler even gives 1967 for indefinite lifespan.) Thanks Hal for providing this! Jacques From jacques at dtext.com Thu Dec 4 11:09:30 2003 From: jacques at dtext.com (JDP) Date: Thu, 04 Dec 2003 12:09:30 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age In-Reply-To: <008f01c3ba4b$72dbb220$2bb26bd5@artemis> References: <3FCDE00E.9050506@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> <3FCDEE02.8030308@mail.tele.dk> <008f01c3ba4b$72dbb220$2bb26bd5@artemis> Message-ID: <3FCF15EA.8070508@dtext.com> Dirk Bruere wrote: > LSD gave me a big boost in my 30s. Can you say a bit more? Jacques From neptune at superlink.net Thu Dec 4 11:50:08 2003 From: neptune at superlink.net (Technotranscendence) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 06:50:08 -0500 Subject: POL: Re: [extropy-chat] libertarian fervor References: Message-ID: <003c01c3ba5c$c552c780$0dcd5cd1@neptune> On Thursday, December 04, 2003 2:31 AM Don Dartfield twodeel at jornada.org wrote: > That was what got me started, at least, and > motivated me to register as a Libertarian. > Lately, though, I've drifted away somewhat, > because I've realized that I'm not a complete > libertarian like many of the other libertarians > whose articles I read seem to be. For > instance, I have yet to be convinced that > private ownership of roads would be better > than our current system. I have yet to be convinced the current system is worth keeping.:) A better approach to this, though, might not be the typical rationalistic one of arguing from first principles. Instead, look at the work Daniel Klein has done on private roads and mixed systems. See his papers at: http://lsb.scu.edu/~dklein/papers/default.htm > Somewhat similar to Larry Niven's whole "Why > I Am Not a Libertarian" thing that he wrote a > story about ... what was it ... oh yeah, "Cloak of > Anarchy." But in any case, I still consider > myself to be more libertarian than anything else. "Cloak of Anarchy" was a neat little tale, but there are three problems with it. One, not all libertarians are anarchists. I am both, but many libertarians are not. Two, Niven really stacks cards in it. All the things that happen when the power goes out -- and I've been in a number of such outages and not seen anything remotely like that:) -- still exist under governments now and, no doubt, will still exist under governments in the future. (I'm not only talking about unorganized crime, which will probably exist in any society, but also organized crime -- some of which is the direct result of government intervention (drug laws, gambling laws, etc.) and some of which is the government (taxation, conscription, etc.).) Three, the actual history of anarchic societies -- such as those of Ancient Iceland, Medieval England, the Old West in the US, etc. -- shows something quite different. No on this list point, one might say that that's all ancient history and it could never work in today's world. That's a matter for debate, I admit. (My opinion is that terrestrial societies, as long as there's no large frontier, will continue to be archic ones and that government intervention will, from here on, oscillate inside the ambit of the centralized welfare states. There will be times of reform in the direction of freedom, but there will also be periods of government expansion. If humans or posthumans, however, begin the settle space, I believe the political, economic, and military conditions will spell the end of centralized government -- at least on a civilization encompassing scale as we see it now. (I mean there will, undoubtedly, be localized central governments, but the social forces will not allow for anything much larger than loose confederations above that.)) Cheers! Dan http://uweb.superlink.net/neptune/ From james at lab6.com Thu Dec 4 11:43:29 2003 From: james at lab6.com (James) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 11:43:29 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Word coinage (was: parallel universes) In-Reply-To: References: <015801c3ba0a$3f4f3260$d5994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <20031204114329.GA1405@pc174.deh.man.ac.uk> On Thu, Dec 04, 2003 at 04:37:09AM -0800, Kevin Freels wrote: > Why not coin an entirely new word like "Lomgakwoos" or maybe > "smearniverses"? I a similar problem recently while referring to the event > where you bite into a sandwich, pizza, or other multi-layered food and a > pickel, pepperoni, or something slides out of the food, but is still between > your teeth and it slops down onto your chin. In my household, this is now > known as slerbeling. I slerbeled a pickel just today! > Come to think of it, maybe "slerbelverse" would suffice.? :-) Can I recommend /The Meaning of Liff/ by Douglas Adams and John Lloyd? The premise is: "In Life, there are many hundreds of common experiences, feelings, situations and even objects which we all know and recognize, but for which no words exist. On the other hand, the world is littered with thousands of spare words which spend their time doing nothing but loafing about on signposts pointing at places. Our job, as we see it, is to get these words down off the signposts and into the mouths of babes and sucklings and so on, where they can start earning their keep in everyday conversation and make a more positive contribution to society." I'm sure there's a synonym of slerbeling in there somewhere. Particularly appropriate to mailing list culture is "Sittingbourne (n.) One of those conversations where both people are waiting for the other one to shut up so they can get on with their bit" :) -- James From mlorrey at yahoo.com Thu Dec 4 13:19:56 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 05:19:56 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation In-Reply-To: <001801c3ba48$9a2b5a90$84bf1b97@administxl09yj> Message-ID: <20031204131956.58653.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> --- scerir wrote: > From: "Henrique Moraes Machado" > I've been reflecting lately on communication versus transportation. > The first is developing faster than ever, while the former seems > to be stalled. > > ----------- > > "And despite putting in billions and billions and billions of > dollars, > the net return to owners from being in the entire airline industry, > if you owned it all, and if you put up all this money, is less than > zero. If there had been a capitalist down there [at Kitty Hawk the > day > the Wright brothers made their first flight] the guy should have shot > down Wilbur! I mean . [audience laughter]. You know. one small step > for mankind, and one huge step backwards for capitalism!" > - Warren Buffett > http://www.geocities.com/peopleplanes/Carrier/WB.html > > What's wrong with this? > For sure the expression > "one small step for mankind" Well, Warren, like any democrat, is counting net return averaged among all owners, past and present, and not individual fortunes made. Investors owning stock when an airline goes bankrupt have the same amount in losses that those they bought from had in gains if these original owners invested from the IPO forwards. Actually the losses would be greater than the gains, since IPOs usually sell for a significant dollar value and a bankrupt stock is worth pennies on the dollar. This does not mean that all that value disappeared. It is often picked up at bankruptcy auction at bargain prices by new ventures. Another error Buffet is committing is only counting airline companies specifically. Any fool who knows anything about the business know that the people that make the real profits are the aircraft makers and the companies that actually own the airliners that lease them to the airlines... However, plenty of individuals have made fortunes in the airline business. I happen to have known several such people, one who was involved in the Boeing/United marriage for many years, cashed out to help found a major Seattle bank. Another involved in the same venture, a fellow name of Gleed, his descendants I've known for years. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Thu Dec 4 13:27:36 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 05:27:36 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD [forteana] Neanderthal art? In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031204132736.96628.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> --- Kevin Freels wrote: > Hooray! Once again we see they were smarter than we give them credit > for! Have you SEEN the rock doll they are talking about? It has about as much artistic expression as a stick man. Whoopeedoo. Even if you continue to think it is artistic (I think you are assuming a degree of capacity for abstract expressionism mixed with dadaism that even most of todays humans can't handle), it IS dated only 35,000 years ago, when neanderthal was very old, was ending its tenure on earth and likely was making a few desperate stabs at attaining higher reasoning, perhaps with a little interbreeding help. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From megao at sasktel.net Thu Dec 4 14:32:19 2003 From: megao at sasktel.net (Extropian Agroforestry Ventures Inc.) Date: Thu, 04 Dec 2003 08:32:19 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Extropy #15 Timeline References: <5.1.0.14.2.20031203221744.05506008@mail.comcast.net> <3FCF11B2.1000308@dtext.com> Message-ID: <3FCF4572.E51831F9@sasktel.net> Might that be for people born in 1967 who make it to 2007 in good shape that nutrition and technology will slow the 40-50 span from 2007-2017 say by 50%; then the 2017-2027 span will be slowed by say 70% and the 2027-2037 span by 80% yielding a body with the wear and tear of a 50 years @ 70. By 2037 regenerative technology may reapair or replace the degeneration much more effectively and say if the efficiency of repair and regeneration increases to 90% for 30 years to 2067 then you have a 60 year old body with 100 chronological years. At 2067 If technology can replace and regenerate 100% then chronological age no longer matters. So 1967 as a start of the AGELESS GENERATION may not be so far off? Morris JDP wrote: > David Lubkin wrote: > > > > The nevers surprise me, particularly for "Two Century Biological Lifespans." > > Apparently what they meant is we would go straight from lifespans > shorter than two centuries to indefinite lifespans. (Drexler even gives > 1967 for indefinite lifespan.) > > Thanks Hal for providing this! > > Jacques > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From brian_a_lee at hotmail.com Thu Dec 4 15:21:53 2003 From: brian_a_lee at hotmail.com (Brian Lee) Date: Thu, 04 Dec 2003 10:21:53 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD [forteana] Neanderthal art? Message-ID: >From: "Kevin Freels" >Hooray! Once again we see they were smarter than we give them credit for! >It's crazy how our perception that they didn't have artistic abilities >relies on the fact that most of their art didn;t survive for tens of >thousands of years. I wonder how many original Dali paintings will be >around >in 50,000 years. No originals, but there will be 75 billion of his posters that survive from excavated college dorms. BAL _________________________________________________________________ Take advantage of our best MSN Dial-up offer of the year ? six months @$9.95/month. Sign up now! http://join.msn.com/?page=dept/dialup From brian_a_lee at hotmail.com Thu Dec 4 15:18:04 2003 From: brian_a_lee at hotmail.com (Brian Lee) Date: Thu, 04 Dec 2003 10:18:04 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] akerue Message-ID: Surface area should not affect water displacement. If both the crown and the lump were pure gold, it wouldn't matter the shape. I think it's more a matter of density and mass or something. Surface area comes into affect when dissolving solids into liquids but this wouldn't happen. As for the air bubbles, I hope that Archimedes presented the king with some sort of margin of error (after he calmed down of course). BAL >From: "Spike" >To: "'ExI chat list'" >Subject: [extropy-chat] akerue >Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 23:39:14 -0800 > > >King Heiron asked Archimedes if he could determine if >his new crown were pure gold. While bathing, he realized >that the water he displaced would have the same mass as >his body; therefore, he could measure the water displaced >by the crown against that displaced by an equal amount >of gold, determined that the king had indeed been >defrauded by his jeweler, streaked, shouting eureka! >and you know the story. > >But it occurred to me that a number of small, nearly invisible >air bubbles may have adhered to the irregular surfaces of >the crown, plus it likely had greater surface area than the >pure lump of gold, thus making the crown displace more water >than it would otherwise. Archimedes might have been >responsible for getting a possibly honest man executed. > >Akerue! > >spike > >_______________________________________________ >extropy-chat mailing list >extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org >http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat _________________________________________________________________ Don?t worry if your Inbox will max out while you are enjoying the holidays. Get MSN Extra Storage! http://join.msn.com/?PAGE=features/es From natashavita at earthlink.net Thu Dec 4 15:30:55 2003 From: natashavita at earthlink.net (natashavita at earthlink.net) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 10:30:55 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD [forteana] Neanderthal art? Message-ID: <54360-220031244153055597@M2W048.mail2web.com> ----------------- From: Brian Lee brian >From: "Kevin Freels" >Hooray! Once again we see they were smarter than we give them credit for! >It's crazy how our perception that they didn't have artistic abilities >relies on the fact that most of their art didn;t survive for tens of >thousands of years. I wonder how many original Dali paintings will be >around >in 50,000 years. >No originals, but there will be 75 billion of his posters that survive >from excavated college dorms. The graffite paintings on the bathroom walls may last longer - Digitized prints have a life-span that degenerated before 50,000 years. Same for photographic copies. Unless the Dalii prints are preserved in air-tight frames and mountings, the Neanderthal may still outlive them. Natasha -------------------------------------------------------------------- mail2web - Check your email from the web at http://mail2web.com/ . From sentience at pobox.com Thu Dec 4 16:01:46 2003 From: sentience at pobox.com (Eliezer S. Yudkowsky) Date: Thu, 04 Dec 2003 11:01:46 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Atheists barred from office in seven states Message-ID: <3FCF5A6A.9070809@pobox.com> http://www.nebraskaatheists.org/article1.htm Some samples: Article 6 Section 8 of North Carolina's State Constitution "Disqualifications of office. The following persons shall be disqualified for office: First, any person who shall deny the being of Almighty God." Article 4 Section 2 of South Carolina's State Constitution "No person shall be eligible to the office of Governor who denies the existence of the Supreme Being; ..." I checked and yes, this is accurate. The states whose constitutions discriminate against atheists are Maryland, Massachusetts, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Tennessee, and Texas. Maryland gets bonus points for apparently requiring belief in an afterlife, hell, and a male God. I think it's time for another federal Constitutional amendment. -- Eliezer S. Yudkowsky http://singinst.org/ Research Fellow, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence From cryofan at mylinuxisp.com Thu Dec 4 16:14:48 2003 From: cryofan at mylinuxisp.com (randy) Date: Thu, 04 Dec 2003 10:14:48 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age : libertarian fervor In-Reply-To: <20031204022007.35427.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> References: <000801c3b9ff$7c3a4b20$0200a8c0@etheric> <20031204022007.35427.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: On Wed, 3 Dec 2003 18:20:06 -0800 (PST), Lorrey wrote > >--- "R.Coyote" wrote: >> "Would others speak to where their libertarian fervor came from?" >e) being treated as a threat to national security by one of the major >political parties and its last presidential administration... Do tell? >_______________________________________________ >extropy-chat mailing list >extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org >http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat ------------- From spike66 at comcast.net Thu Dec 4 16:29:57 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 08:29:57 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] akerue In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <000b01c3ba83$db240980$6501a8c0@SHELLY> The reason I mentioned surface area is that the bubbles would stick on the surfaces of the gold. A crown has more surface than a lump of pure gold, so it has more places for the bubbles to stick. spike > -----Original Message----- > From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org > [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of Brian Lee > Sent: Thursday, December 04, 2003 7:18 AM > To: extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] akerue > > > Surface area should not affect water displacement. If both > the crown and the > lump were pure gold, it wouldn't matter the shape. I think > it's more a > matter of density and mass or something. Surface area comes > into affect when > dissolving solids into liquids but this wouldn't happen. > > As for the air bubbles, I hope that Archimedes presented the > king with some > sort of margin of error (after he calmed down of course). > > BAL > > >From: "Spike" > >To: "'ExI chat list'" > >Subject: [extropy-chat] akerue > >Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 23:39:14 -0800 > > > > > >King Heiron asked Archimedes if he could determine if > >his new crown were pure gold. While bathing, he realized > >that the water he displaced would have the same mass as > >his body; therefore, he could measure the water displaced > >by the crown against that displaced by an equal amount > >of gold, determined that the king had indeed been > >defrauded by his jeweler, streaked, shouting eureka! > >and you know the story. > > > >But it occurred to me that a number of small, nearly invisible > >air bubbles may have adhered to the irregular surfaces of > >the crown, plus it likely had greater surface area than the > >pure lump of gold, thus making the crown displace more water > >than it would otherwise. Archimedes might have been > >responsible for getting a possibly honest man executed. > > > >Akerue! > > > >spike > > > >_______________________________________________ > >extropy-chat mailing list > >extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > >http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > > _________________________________________________________________ > Don't worry if your Inbox will max out while you are enjoying > the holidays. > Get MSN Extra Storage! http://join.msn.com/?PAGE=features/es > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From spike66 at comcast.net Thu Dec 4 16:42:38 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 08:42:38 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] akerue In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <000c01c3ba85$a0a12d40$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > As for the air bubbles, I hope that Archimedes presented the > king with some sort of margin of error (after he calmed down of course). > > BAL I would hope so Brian. The measurement of density of a crown would be extremely tricky with the technology available at the time. It wouldn't be a slam dunk even today, if water displacement methods are used to find volume. You would have surface tension affects, possibly allowing the water level in the tub to be slightly higher than the drain hole for instance, as can be seen with a reversed meniscus in an overfilled water glass. Since the diameter of the tub would need to be sufficient to fit the crown, the possible error from surface tension alone would be enough to swamp the signal from a little bit of silver mixed with the gold. I would like someone to loan me a crown to play with, so that I might see if I could replicate Archimedes' measurement. Anyone have a spare gold crown lying about? spike From mlorrey at yahoo.com Thu Dec 4 17:23:37 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 09:23:37 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age : libertarian fervor In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031204172337.62087.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> --- randy wrote: > On Wed, 3 Dec 2003 18:20:06 -0800 (PST), Lorrey wrote > > > > >--- "R.Coyote" wrote: > >> "Would others speak to where their libertarian fervor came from?" > > >e) being treated as a threat to national security by one of the > major > >political parties and its last presidential administration... > > Do tell? Being a gun owner, and one who owned automatic weapons, numerous pronouncements by leaders of the DNC have stated that people like myself are domestic terrorists, threats to national security. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Thu Dec 4 17:43:41 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 09:43:41 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] akerue In-Reply-To: <000b01c3ba83$db240980$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031204174341.1347.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> --- Spike wrote: > The reason I mentioned surface area is that the bubbles > would stick on the surfaces of the gold. A crown has > more surface than a lump of pure gold, so it has more > places for the bubbles to stick. But have you actually sunk a crown in water to see what sticks? How about oil??? ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From hal at finney.org Thu Dec 4 18:04:40 2003 From: hal at finney.org (Hal Finney) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 10:04:40 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Brad DeLong on the economics of nanotech Message-ID: <200312041804.hB4I4eL23677@finney.org> Slashdot points this morning to an article by Berkeley economist Brad DeLong on the economic implications of nanotech, http://www.j-bradford-delong.net/movable_type/2003_archives/002838.html. DeLong is good writer and seems to be a sharp economist. He's got a bloggish site with frequent updates and lots of links to economic resources. It's not a bad place to learn some economics from. In this case, though, I was disappointed by his article. It starts off promisingly enough; he identies four questions which can guide an analysis of the economics impact of any new technology: - What commodities--what goods and services--become extraordinarily cheap as a result of the technological revolution? - What human activities--what jobs and skills--become key bottlenecks, and thus become remarkably valuable and well-paid? - What risks blindside the society as the technology spreads? - What risks do people guard against that turn out not to be risks at all? He then shows an example of how these questions could work by looking at the early industrial revolution, specifically the impact of automation on the textile industry: 1. Clothing became amazingly cheap. 2. Engineers and technicians became increasingly valuable. 3. Increased demand for cotton extended the institution of slavery another 50 years. 4. Unfounded fears of inequality prompted the creation of communism as an ideology. One point missed by his list is the people who lose out, at least in the short term; in this case the textile workers. I think his second item should be extended to list both winners and losers. With regard to communism, DeLong makes a point which I will reference below: "In retrospect, however, we can see that they sought to guard against a danger that wasn't there: the share of total production paid to workers has been remarkably constant over the past two centuries--the predictions of the immiserization of the working class were completely wrong." Now we turn to nanotech. DeLong "speculates" about three phases of impact: first, improved materials; second, a "biological" wave; and third, Drexlerian nanotech. I'm not sure what these last two are, but it doesn't matter, because he doesn't know, either, so he doesn't discuss them. All he looks at is the impact of improved materials. And even there, his comments are limited to the prediction that increased durability and "smartness" of materials will halve the size of the manufacturing work force, and eliminate much of the service sector dealing with repair and maintenance. Winners, in his view, will be the programmers and technicians who can manipulate and "program" the smart materials. He then goes off on a tangent about how American society is supposedly under-investing in education and so we won't have a smart enough labor force to deal with these new challenges. He also is concerned that these changes will increase income inequality as relatively unskilled jobs are replaced by ones requiring more education. This is a disappointingly shallow and unsupported analysis. Just taking that last point first, the industrial revolution replaced dumb jobs with smart ones, but as he emphasized, it did not have the income inequality effects that Marx predicted. DeLong appears to be forgetting the very historical lesson that he presented a few paragraphs earlier. But going to his main predictions, why would better materials inherently halve the size of the work force? Wouldn't demand increase for these materials, since they will have more uses than the ones we have today? The textile revolution was a change in *how* things are made; many fewer people could produce the same goods. But this early pre-nanotech revolution is a change in *what* things are made. We don't have self reproducing factories or home assemblers at this stage. You're still going to need a manufacturing work force. It's possible that increased durability will eventually decrease demand for goods, because they're not wearing out as quickly. But I think people are going to want new goods anyway, because due to continued progress and innovation, the new goods will be of much higher quality than the old ones. The result will be that used and second-hand merchandise will be widely and cheaply available and still be of good quality. Overall, I thought DeLong got off to a good start and that his framework was useful. But it will take someone with more imagination and a better understanding of the technology to apply these ideas to the real impact of nanotech. Hal From cryofan at mylinuxisp.com Thu Dec 4 18:20:38 2003 From: cryofan at mylinuxisp.com (randy) Date: Thu, 04 Dec 2003 12:20:38 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Consensus :Expressio unius est exclusioalterius In-Reply-To: <00a101c3b6b9$323b7bf0$3bb5ff3e@artemis> References: <00a201c3b5cc$f477beb0$3bb5ff3e@artemis><000f01c3b5e4$0c2f4020$0200a8c0@etheric><01bc01c3b5e8$a6f96c30$3bb5ff3e@artemis><006801c3b60f$42d8e060$0200a8c0@etheric><028601c3b612$a1527c70$3bb5ff3e@artemis> <010601c3b631$4044a880$0200a8c0@etheric> <00a101c3b6b9$323b7bf0$3bb5ff3e@artemis> Message-ID: On Sat, 29 Nov 2003 20:41:42 -0000, Dirk wrote > >The Consensus:- >The political party for the new millennium >http://www.theconsensus.org I really like your new political party. It aligns fairly well with my own political beliefs. However, since there probably only about a dozen people in the entire world who adhere to these same political beliefs, I doubt it will take the world by storm, and the chances of it making any dent here in the USA is of course nil. But how do you feel about the European welfare states? You wrote: "From the Right we believe in individual responsibility to balance individual rights and that less government is best government ? that governments should regulate, but not act as an employer or wealth producer. " This would seem to cast the European welfare states in a less favorable light? You also wrote: "We are nationalists in that we believe that every major cultural group should have its own homeland and live under laws of its own choosing and in its own way. Also that the independent nation state is the last line of defence for the common people against exploitation by unrestrained Global Capitalism. We are 'inclusive nationalists' in that we believe that all of our citizens have equal rights and are equally welcome irrespective of race. So if you are looking for nationalists who are not racists, sexists or into euphemisms such as 'traditional values', here we are. Our nationalism is a celebration of our future, not the past." I completely agree about having homelands and nation as small and as homogeneous as possible. This increases the available amount of Social Capital, which gives more leverage to the citizens over those entities and persons who have more financial leverage. ------------- From thespike at earthlink.net Thu Dec 4 22:15:28 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 16:15:28 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Nanogen's new patents in nanotech andnanomanufacturing References: <5.1.0.14.2.20031203122201.06059b40@mail.earthlink.net> Message-ID: <004001c3bab4$21ad7000$f2994a43@texas.net> This has more detail: Nanogen Issued Key Nanotechnology Patent Newly Issued Patent Broadens Proprietary Position in Nanomanufacturing and Nanotechnology December 3, 2003; San Diego, CA (PRNewswire-FirstCall) -- Nanogen, Inc. (Nasdaq:NGEN) today announced that it has been issued U.S. Patent No. 6,652,808, "Methods for the Electronic Assembly and Fabrication of Devices," ("the '808 patent") by the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office. This patent is the parent of a series of pending patent applications that significantly broaden Nanogen's proprietary position in the nanotechnology and nanomanufacturing areas. The Company has now been issued nine patents during 2003, bringing the total number of patents issued in the U.S. to 56. "One of the challenges in producing new electronic and photonic devices using nanoscale components is the integration of these components into viable higher order devices. The new Nanogen patent describes a unique electric field 'pick and place' process that facilitates the bringing together or integration of diverse DNA nanocomponents, thereby helping solve difficult scaling issues. Combining the top-down electric field process with the bottom-up DNA self-assembly process enables more selective and higher precision incorporation of nanoscale components into higher order devices and structures," said Dr. Michael J. Heller, co-founder of Nanogen, one of the inventors, and currently a Professor in the Departments of Bioengineering and Electrical and Computer Engineering at the University of California, San Diego. "The technology described by Nanogen's new patent may provide a technological foundation for the effective use of nanocomponents in many diverse applications," said Howard Birndorf, Nanogen chairman and CEO. "As we continue to increase and broaden our intellectual property portfolio, we intend to realize value from our nanotechnology patents through licensing or partnering opportunities. Congress' recent commitment to nanotechnology research and development underscores the potential our technologies may have for impacting several industries, including medicine." The new nanotechnology patent relates to a nanofabrication technology that combines an electric field assisted manufacturing platform and programmable self-assembling nanostructures (for example, DNA building blocks) for the fabrication of a wide range of unique higher-order nano and microscale devices, structures, and materials. The nanofabrication platform and process would be used for: (1) producing new nanoscale electronic and photonic devices and structures, including high-density 2D and 3D data storage materials, 2D and 3D photonic crystal structures, hybrid electronic/photonic devices such as large area light emitting flat panel arrays and displays, and for the fabrication of highly integrated medical diagnostic and biosensor devices; (2) organization, assembly and interconnection of nanostructures and submicron components onto silicon wafers and other materials; (3) integration of nanostructures within preformed microelectronic and optoelectronic structures; (4) production of precision modified nanoparticles (for example, photonic crystals, nanospheres and quantum dots) which can then more efficiently self-assemble into 2D and 3D structures and materials (photonic band gap structures, nanocomposite materials and so forth); and (5) fabrication of selectively addressable DNA nanoarray substrates and materials. The patent represents a unique nanofabrication technology which combines the best aspects of top-down microfabrication processes with bottom-up biological type self-assembly processes for producing novel nanodevices and nanostructures. The process is highly parallel and has an inherent hierarchical logic allowing one to control the organization, assembly and communication of components from the molecular and nanoscale into macroscale devices and structures. The '808 patent is jointly owned by Nanotronics, Inc., a wholly owned subsidiary of Nanogen, and the Regents of the University of California. Nanogen has exclusively licensed the interests of the University of California where there is joint inventorship. Additionally, Nanogen disclosed the issuance over the last several months of three patents relating to electronic microarray technology. The three additional issued patents are U.S. Patent No. 6,582,660 "Control System for Active Programmable Electronic Microbiology System," U.S. Patent No. 6,589,742 "Multiplex Amplification and Separation of Nucleic Acid Sequences on a Bioelectronic Microchip Using Asymmetric Structures," and U.S. Patent No. 6,638,482 "Reconfigurable Detection and Analysis Apparatus and Method." For additional information please visit Nanogen's website at www.nanogen.com. SOURCE Nanogen, Inc. CO: Nanogen, Inc. ST: California SU: PDT Web site: http://www.nanogen.com http://www.prnewswire.com 12/03/2003 08:01 EST From nanogirl at halcyon.com Thu Dec 4 23:47:22 2003 From: nanogirl at halcyon.com (Gina Miller) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 15:47:22 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Nanogirl News~ Message-ID: <013101c3bac0$f9b40e80$3f80e40c@NANOGIRL> The Nanogirl News December 4, 2003 President Bush Signs Nanotechnology Research and Development Act. Today (Dec.3) at the White House, the President signed into law the 21st Century Nanotechnology Research and Development Act, which authorizes funding for nanotechnology research and development (R&D) over four years, starting in FY 2005. This legislation puts into law programs and activities supported by the National Nanotechnology Initiative (NNI), one of the President's highest multi-agency R&D priorities. (THE WHITEHOUSE 12/3/03) http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2003/12/20031203-7.html -Here is the Presidents statement on this action (The White House 12/03): http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2003/12/20031203-12.html -Also see: Signed, Sealed, Delivered: Nano is President's Prefix of the day. Here you can download the PDF file of the 21st Century Nanotechnology Research and Development Act. (12/3/03 SmallTimes) http://www.smalltimes.com/document_display.cfm?document_id=7035 (News related to the above Act.) The government says "no" to federally funded nanobots... Perhaps most interesting, though, is what the bill apparently does not fund: research into so-called molecular nanotechnology, a theoretical approach to nanotech that proposes the creation of "molecular assemblers," which could build complex products from molecular level up. It is this version of nanotech, promoted by nanotech guru Eric Drexler that often appears in science fiction, where trillions of tiny, self-replicating nanorobots can transform matter into just about anything. But most nanotech researchers-including Nobel laureate Richard Smalley, co-discoverer of carbon buckeyball molecules-are skeptical of this vision. The bill does allow a "one-time study to determine the technical feasibility of molecular self-assembly for the manufacture of materials and devices at the molecular scale." But self-assembly is not the same thing as self-replication, with the former being a proven chemical process being developed in nanotech labs. The original House version of the bill did contain an explicit passage that unmistakably referred to Drexlerian molecular manufacturing, including use of the phrase "self-replication." It appears that in substituting the word "assembly" for "replication," some savvy bill writer performed a bit of legislative jujitsu to leave Drexler's approach out in the cold. After all, why investigate the feasibility of self-assembly when it's already been proved possible? (USNews 12/2/03) http://www.usnews.com/usnews/nycu/tech/nextnews/nexthome.htm Experts debate the future of nanotechnology. Two giants in the field of nanotechnology face off in an exclusive point-counterpoint debate about the future of this burgeoning field of science in the Dec. 1 issue of Chemical & Engineering News (available online here: http://pubs.acs.org/cen/coverstory/8148/8148counterpoint.html), the weekly newsmagazine of the American Chemical Society, the world's largest scientific society. K. Eric Drexler, Ph.D., cofounder of the Foresight Institute in Palo Alto, Calif., and the person who coined the term "nanotechnology," and Richard E. Smalley, Ph.D., a professor at Rice University and winner of the 1996 Nobel Prize in Chemistry, debate a fundamental question of nanotechnology: Are "molecular assemblers" - devices capable of positioning atoms and molecules for precisely defined reactions in almost any environment - physically possible? (Eurekalert 12/2/03) http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2003-12/acs-dt120203.php Also see an Analysis of the above exchange written by Chris Phoenix, Director of Center for Responsible Nanotechnology (CRN). http://crnano.org/Debate.htm Nanoguitar Promises New Sensor And Electronics Applications. Six years ago Cornell University researchers built the world's smallest guitar - about the size of a red blood cell - to demonstrate the possibility of manufacturing tiny mechanical devices using techniques originally designed for building microelectronic circuits. Now, by "playing" a new, streamlined nanoguitar, Cornell physicists are demonstrating how such devices could substitute for electronic circuit components to make circuits smaller, cheaper and more energy-efficient. (SpaceDaily 11/19/03) http://www.spacedaily.com/news/nanotech-03zzk.html The Architecture of the Very Small (210 KB PDF). For nanostructured solids, it's not just the chemistry, it's the way they're put together. (Today's Chemist at Work Nov. 2003) http://pubs.acs.org/subscribe/journals/tcaw/12/i11/pdf/1103mcguire.pdf Nano research eyes ink jet-printed 'sheets' of circuits. NanoProducts Corp. lab researchers have begun work on nanoscale devices that may lead to the formation of "plastic" circuit elements and circuit "sheets" fabricated with ink jet printers within three years. The company's researchers have started the evolution toward such products by integrating nanoscale materials with existing micron-sized devices and composites, enhancing their performance and lowering their cost. (EETimes 11/20/03) http://www.eet.com/at/n/news/OEG20031120S0017 Nanotech instruments allow first direct observations of RNA 'proofreading'. When Ralph Waldo Emerson said that nature pardons no mistakes, he wasn't thinking about RNA polymerase (RNAP) - the versatile enzyme that copies genes from DNA onto strands of RNA, which then serve as templates for all of the proteins that make life possible. Emerson's comment notwithstanding, RNAP makes plenty of mistakes but also proofreads and corrects them before they have a chance to create abnormal proteins. (Eurekalert 11/25/03) http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2003-11/su-nia112503.php "Nano" in firm's name fuels stock's hefty gain. A growing fascination with nanotechnology seems to be doing wonders for the stock price of Nanometrics. Too bad the company's only connection with the hot field of molecular-scale machinery is the first four letters of its name and a stock ticker, NANO. But that, apparently, is enough to confuse some investors. (USAToday 12/4/03) http://www.usatoday.com/tech/techinvestor/techcorporatenews/2003-12-04-nano- nono_x.htm DuPont-led Scientists Unveil Key Nanotechnology Discovery with Use of DNA. Sorting Carbon Nanotubes Provides Significant Step in Advancing Nano-Electronics Applications. A collaborative group of DuPont-led scientists have discovered an innovative way to advance electronics applications through the use of DNA that sorts carbon nanotubes. This research in the emerging field of nanotechnology appears in the current issue of the journal Science, which is published by the AAAS - the world's largest general scientific organization. The research paper is titled " Structure-Based Carbon Nanotube Sorting by Sequence-Dependent DNA Assembly." (DuPont 12/2/03) http://www1.dupont.com/NASApp/dupontglobal/corp/index.jsp?page=/content/US/e n_US/news/releases/2003/nr12_02_03a.html Shares of Nanogen Inc. skyrocketed 61 percent after the company received a "Methods for the Electronic Assembly and Fabrication of Devices" patent from the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office, the lead patent in a series of pending applications that will strengthen Nanogen's proprietary position in the nanotechnology and nanomanufacturing fields, the company said. (Pharmexec 12/4/03) http://www.pharmexec.com/pharmexec/article/articleDetail.jsp?id=77969 TNT Weekly: deletion of MNT study from nano bill is "a farce". Issue #13 of TNT Weekly (which will be archived here), the leading nanotech industry e-newsletter, covers the recent deletion of a molecular manufacturing study from the new U.S. nanotech legislation: " --The plot thickens and the nanotech bill gets sillier--Last week we had some fun with the recent nanotech bill in the US, especially the plan for a one-time study to determine the feasibility of making things using molecular self-assembly, which makes about as much sense as conducting a one-time study into the feasibility of sharpening a stick with a sharp knife. With a combination of cynicism and naivet?, we assumed that the bill had got away from those who actually understood nanotech and ended up in the hands of politicians who didn't understand the difference between self-assembly and molecular assemblers, the result being a terminological boo-boo in the part that was meant to direct figuring out whether Drexlerian-style molecular nanotechnology (MNT) and molecular manufacturing are actually feasible. We were not alone. Quite a few people, it seemed, thought that the MNT crowd had been given the chance to make their case or forever hold their peace. Even the skeptics seemed to think this was fair dinkum." (Nanodot 12/3/03) http://nanodot.org/article.pl?sid=03/12/04/0216244 Scientists grow carbon nanofibres straight onto plastic. Researchers from the University of Cambridge, UK, have deposited carbon nanofibres directly onto plastic substrates using plasma-enhanced chemical vapour deposition. The arrays of fibres could have applications as field emitters in displays. (Nanotechweb 12/4/03) http://www.nanotechweb.org/articles/news/2/12/2/1 Kettering University Researchers Discover New Way to Produce Nanotubes. Nanotubes have thermal conductivity better than diamonds, electro-conductivity better than copper, and can withstand very high temperatures. Researchers at Kettering University have discovered a different method for producing nanotubes, which is one of the U.S. government's best-funded technology areas...The Kettering team's procedure for creating nanotubes is "actually a simpler way of doing it than had previously been done," said Bahram Roughani, associate professor of Applied Physics. Established methods include arc discharge, laser ablation or pulsed laser vaporization (PLV), chemical vapor deposition and gas phase processes, such as high-pressure carbon monoxide (HiPCO). (Kettering University 12/4/03) http://home.businesswire.com/portal/site/google/index.jsp?ndmViewId=news_vie w&newsId=20031204005092&newsLang=en Major nanotechnology hurdle not so worrisome, thanks to Indiana University chemistry discovery. According to the classic rules of physics, substances melt at a lower temperature when their sizes decrease. But scientists at Indiana University Bloomington have found that at least one substance, gallium, breaks the rules, remaining stable as a solid at temperatures as much as 400 degrees Fahrenheit above the element's normal melting point. Their report will be published in an upcoming issue of Physical Review Letters. The discovery gives hope to some nanotechnologists and "nanocomputer" engineers, who have been worried that components will behave unpredictably at smaller sizes, possibly even melting at room temperature. (innovations report 12/3/03) http://www.innovations-report.com/html/reports/life_sciences/report-23865.ht ml 'Stuffed' nanotubes could enable high-density storage. Researchers here have succeeded in loading carbon nanotubes with magnetic materials, an advance that could enable the use of the tiny cylinders for making extremely high-density data storage devices. (EETimes 11/25/03) http://www.eet.com/at/n/news/OEG20031125S0035 Robot Nation? A couple of columns ago, I wrote a piece called Kent Brockman on Unemployment, describing the impact of robots and automation on employment. In the comments section, someone posted a link to some things that the writer and founder of HowStuffWorks Marshall Brain has written. Brain thinks that we'll be losing jobs wholesale to robots in the very near future, long before things like nanotechnology have a chance to change the world: (TCS: Tech Central Station 12/3/03) http://www.techcentralstation.com/120303B.html Nanosensor smells the faintest scent. Nanostructures could detect a few molecules of perfume, says a Japanese researcher working on a cheaper way to make these structures using ultra thin films. Professor Toyoki Kunitake from the Japan Science and Technology Agency presented his research at an Australian nanotechnology conference at the University of Melbourne yesterday. The structures are very small, "one millionth of one millionth of a metre", Kunitake told ABC Science Online. (ABC Science Australia 12/3/03) http://www.abc.net.au/science/news/stories/s1001890.htm (Gaming) Codemasters Announce Perimeter. Codemasters today announced that it has picked up worldwide publishing rights to a groundbreaking new Real-Time Strategy (RTS), currently in development at 1C for the PC...Through nanotechnology players can transform units on the battlefield, giving scope for tactical opportunities to adapt combat units to a particular situation and keep up with any changes that occur during the battle. (TotalVideoGames 12/2/03) http://www.totalvideogames.com/?section=Read%20News&id=4207&gameid=3524&form at=000007 Nanotechnology center causing controversy. Nanotechnology has emerged as a controversial issue at UAlbany. A heated meeting by the UAlbany senate on the hot-button issue took place Monday night. All the controversy centers around Professor Richard Collier, because he presented a resolution questioning the development of the School of Nanosciences and Nanoengineering at the university. (Capital News 9 12/2/03) http://www.capitalnews9.com/content/headlines/?ArID=49847&SecID=33 (Movie-Review) Nanotechnology is one of the current hot topics in various fields of science and medicine. Essentially, the idea is that small machines can be made and programmed to perform a host of different tasks, sight unseen, with endless possibilities. Recent television shows, including Andromeda and Jake 2.0 explore some applications of such technology, albeit by greatly advancing what we can do today. A newly released OVA anime series, Zaion: I Wish You Were Here 1: Epidemic, explores the idea in another way, this time as a means to combat an alien virus. (DVD Talk 11/30/03) http://www.dvdtalk.com/reviews/read.php?ID=8501 Technique allows scientists to fine-tune strength and conductivity of nanotube-laced materials. University of Pennsylvania researchers have developed a technique to customize nanotube-laced materials. While notoriously difficult to manipulate, nanotubes can provide added strength or conductivity to materials, depending on how the nanotubes are oriented. The Penn engineers have developed a production technique that permits a finer and more precise dispersion of nanotubes within a material. (Eurekalert 12/2/03) http://www.upenn.edu/pennnews/article.php?id=565 (Japan) How safe is nanotechnology? Although nanotechnology is said to have the potential to drastically alter 21st-century society, there must be a thorough assessment of the risks nanomaterials could pose to human health and the ecosystem. In October, expectations surged in the academic world that the Nobel Prize in Chemistry might be awarded to a Japanese researcher for the fourth consecutive year. Meijo University Prof. Sumio Iijima was considered the strongest among the Japanese candidates for the prize. This is because Iijima is known for his 1991 discovery of the carbon nanotube, an ultrafine carbon material measuring several thousandths of a human hair in diameter. Iijima's discovery sparked nanotechnology studies worldwide. (The Daily Yomiuri) http://www.yomiuri.co.jp/newse/20031128wo71.htm Intern makes huge impact on nanotechnology. Rob Sobelman thought researching the technique of creating carbon nanotubes would be boring. He ended up making a major scientific discovery...For his part, Rob discovered that heating to 1,000 degrees Celsius during the process of making carbon nanotubes not only produced significantly more of them, but it also made them longer and straighter - a major benefit in using the structures, such as in computers and transistors. (The Advocate 11/27/03) http://www.stamfordadvocate.com/news/local/state/hc-27121224.apds.m0382.bc-c t-fea--nov27,0,7857307.story?coll=hc-headlines-local-wire Seasons greetings, Gina "Nanogirl" Miller Nanotechnology Industries http://www.nanoindustries.com Personal: http://www.nanogirl.com Foresight Senior Associate http://www.foresight.org Nanotechnology Advisor Extropy Institute http://www.extropy.org Tech-Aid Advisor http://www.tech-aid.info/t/all-about.html nanogirl at halcyon.com "Nanotechnology: Solutions for the future." From oregan.emlyn at healthsolve.com.au Fri Dec 5 01:01:51 2003 From: oregan.emlyn at healthsolve.com.au (Emlyn O'regan) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 11:31:51 +1030 Subject: [extropy-chat] akerue Message-ID: <7A2B25F8EB070940996FA543A70A217BBFE12C@adlexsv02.protech.com.au> The difference in water displacement would have to have been pretty significant to prove the point. I doubt that bubbles would have affected it significantly. Emlyn > -----Original Message----- > From: Spike [mailto:spike66 at comcast.net] > Sent: Friday, 5 December 2003 2:00 AM > To: 'ExI chat list' > Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] akerue > > > The reason I mentioned surface area is that the bubbles > would stick on the surfaces of the gold. A crown has > more surface than a lump of pure gold, so it has more > places for the bubbles to stick. spike > > > -----Original Message----- > > From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org > > [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf > Of Brian Lee > > Sent: Thursday, December 04, 2003 7:18 AM > > To: extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > > Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] akerue > > > > > > Surface area should not affect water displacement. If both > > the crown and the > > lump were pure gold, it wouldn't matter the shape. I think > > it's more a > > matter of density and mass or something. Surface area comes > > into affect when > > dissolving solids into liquids but this wouldn't happen. > > > > As for the air bubbles, I hope that Archimedes presented the > > king with some > > sort of margin of error (after he calmed down of course). > > > > BAL > > > > >From: "Spike" > > >To: "'ExI chat list'" > > >Subject: [extropy-chat] akerue > > >Date: Wed, 3 Dec 2003 23:39:14 -0800 > > > > > > > > >King Heiron asked Archimedes if he could determine if > > >his new crown were pure gold. While bathing, he realized > > >that the water he displaced would have the same mass as > > >his body; therefore, he could measure the water displaced > > >by the crown against that displaced by an equal amount > > >of gold, determined that the king had indeed been > > >defrauded by his jeweler, streaked, shouting eureka! > > >and you know the story. > > > > > >But it occurred to me that a number of small, nearly invisible > > >air bubbles may have adhered to the irregular surfaces of > > >the crown, plus it likely had greater surface area than the > > >pure lump of gold, thus making the crown displace more water > > >than it would otherwise. Archimedes might have been > > >responsible for getting a possibly honest man executed. > > > > > >Akerue! > > > > > >spike > > > > > >_______________________________________________ > > >extropy-chat mailing list > > >extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > > >http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > > > > _________________________________________________________________ > > Don't worry if your Inbox will max out while you are enjoying > > the holidays. > > Get MSN Extra Storage! http://join.msn.com/?PAGE=features/es > > > > _______________________________________________ > > extropy-chat mailing list > > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From wingcat at pacbell.net Fri Dec 5 01:16:35 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 17:16:35 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Atheists barred from office in seven states In-Reply-To: <3FCF5A6A.9070809@pobox.com> Message-ID: <20031205011635.25476.qmail@web80410.mail.yahoo.com> --- "Eliezer S. Yudkowsky" wrote: > Article 6 Section 8 of North Carolina's State > Constitution > "Disqualifications of office. The following persons > shall be disqualified > for office: First, any person who shall deny the > being of Almighty God." > > Article 4 Section 2 of South Carolina's State > Constitution > "No person shall be eligible to the office of > Governor who denies the > existence of the Supreme Being; ..." > > I checked and yes, this is accurate. > > The states whose constitutions discriminate against > atheists are > Maryland, Massachusetts, North Carolina, > Pennsylvania, South Carolina, > Tennessee, and Texas. Maryland gets bonus points > for apparently requiring > belief in an afterlife, hell, and a male God. > > I think it's time for another federal Constitutional > amendment. Nope. This was prohibited even before the First Amendment came along - see Article VI of the Constitution: > no religious Test shall ever be required as a > Qualification to any Office or public Trust under > the United States. This applies at all levels of government - federal, state, local, any any other. See http://caselaw.lp.findlaw.com/scripts/getcase.pl?navby=case&court=us&vol=459&invol=116 for an example of state laws promoting religion getting struck down for that reason. Or see http://caselaw.lp.findlaw.com/scripts/getcase.pl?navby=case&court=us&vol=367&invol=488 for a more direct example of this kind of religious requirement for public office being disqualified. Someone needs to argue this in the courts. See the current case over the Pledge of Allegiance...which is so legally open-and-shut, it's being won by a single person representing himself despite massive opposition. There are times when the law is extremely clear, and this is one of them. From thespike at earthlink.net Fri Dec 5 03:14:40 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 21:14:40 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Atheists barred from office in seven states References: <20031205011635.25476.qmail@web80410.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <013e01c3bade$182cc880$f2994a43@texas.net> And rightly so! Atheists will never understand the true nature of the world, as revealed for example at http://objective.jesussave.us/kangaroo.html Damien Broderick [I *think* it's a prank, but you can never be sure] From mbb386 at main.nc.us Fri Dec 5 03:41:51 2003 From: mbb386 at main.nc.us (MB) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 22:41:51 -0500 (Eastern Standard Time) Subject: [extropy-chat] Atheists barred from office in seven states In-Reply-To: <013e01c3bade$182cc880$f2994a43@texas.net> References: <20031205011635.25476.qmail@web80410.mail.yahoo.com> <013e01c3bade$182cc880$f2994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: Yes, IMHO that's a prank. Why? Check out the store - http://www.cafeshops.com/objectivemin/ most particularly the "Ruby Matrimony Thong" http://www.cafeshops.com/objectivemin.3749749 That's just *gotta* be a joke! :))) Regards, MB On Thu, 4 Dec 2003, Damien Broderick wrote: > http://objective.jesussave.us/kangaroo.html > > Damien Broderick > [I *think* it's a prank, but you can never be sure] From fauxever at sprynet.com Fri Dec 5 03:50:42 2003 From: fauxever at sprynet.com (Olga Bourlin) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 19:50:42 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Atheists barred from office in seven states References: <20031205011635.25476.qmail@web80410.mail.yahoo.com> <013e01c3bade$182cc880$f2994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <007e01c3bae2$f4eb1c50$6400a8c0@brainiac> From: "Damien Broderick" > And rightly so! Atheists will never understand the true nature of the world, > as revealed for example at > > http://objective.jesussave.us/kangaroo.html > > [I *think* it's a prank, but you can never be sure] It's a very good prank, indeed. Go to the link just below ("Ministries Online Store"). "Ruby *Matrimony Thong*?" "Hopsiah the Kanga-Jew Jr. Raglan?" "Mr. Gruff Atheist Witnessing Shirt?" http://www.cafeshops.com/objectivemin/ Then go here (now search for "Skeet" (the "Abstinence Czar!!!?))": http://objective.jesussave.us/members.html#PALEY The tipoff is there's no method of contacting them (that I could decipher). Olga -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From fauxever at sprynet.com Fri Dec 5 04:05:51 2003 From: fauxever at sprynet.com (Olga Bourlin) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 20:05:51 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Atheists barred from office in seven states References: <20031205011635.25476.qmail@web80410.mail.yahoo.com> <013e01c3bade$182cc880$f2994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <00de01c3bae5$12c6c740$6400a8c0@brainiac> One so-funny-it's-sad (or is it the other way around?) case was Herb Silverman's, who was barred from becoming a *notary public* (perhaps the lowest government position imaginable. Sheesh...): http://archive.aclu.org/news/w100396b.html http://www.ffrf.org/fttoday/september95/notary.html Olga From thespike at earthlink.net Fri Dec 5 04:35:51 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 22:35:51 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Atheists barred from office in seven states References: <20031205011635.25476.qmail@web80410.mail.yahoo.com> <013e01c3bade$182cc880$f2994a43@texas.net> <007e01c3bae2$f4eb1c50$6400a8c0@brainiac> Message-ID: <017a01c3bae9$44b402a0$f2994a43@texas.net> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Olga Bourlin" Sent: Thursday, December 04, 2003 9:50 PM >It's a very good prank, indeed. Go to the link just below ("Ministries Online Store"). http://www.cafeshops.com/objectivemin/ I especially like the Irreducibly Complex Mousepad $11.50 Damien Broderick From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Fri Dec 5 05:17:46 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 00:17:46 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Atheists barred from office in seven states In-Reply-To: <007e01c3bae2$f4eb1c50$6400a8c0@brainiac> Message-ID: <00bb01c3baef$21b92e00$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Damien Broderick wrote, > http://objective.jesussave.us/kangaroo.html > > [I *think* it's a prank, but you can never be sure] This site is owned by "NOK NOK" of "IdeaFlood, Inc.", PO Box 11289, Zepher Cove, NV 89448. Their contact is noc at ideaflood.com. Their phone number is 7755887862. Their FAX number is 7755887823. They also send thousands of pornographic spam advertisements around the world. A list of complaints about pornographic spam from can be found by Googling newsgroups for "noc at ideaflood.com" . The ideaflood.com site is blocked by most spam blockers. Information about the spamming from this site can be found by Googling "ideaflood.com" . -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From spike66 at comcast.net Fri Dec 5 06:10:52 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 22:10:52 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Atheists barred from office in seven states In-Reply-To: <013e01c3bade$182cc880$f2994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <003801c3baf6$89d16af0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > And rightly so! Atheists will never understand the true > nature of the world, as revealed for example at > http://objective.jesussave.us/kangaroo.html Damien Broderick [I *think* it's a prank, but you can never be sure] Damien, it isn't a joke. They are serious, even if it is absurd. Trust me on this one pal, I know wherewithal. spike From spike66 at comcast.net Fri Dec 5 06:33:00 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Thu, 4 Dec 2003 22:33:00 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Atheists barred from office in seven states In-Reply-To: <00bb01c3baef$21b92e00$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <003901c3baf9$a15e22f0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> This is an interesting one. The actual material in the website identified by Harvey is quoted and used by creationists. Now it appears it is a front for a pornographic distributor. This is just too good. I guess that would be an excellent place to hide if one is a pornographer. Clearly they have done quite a bit of work to disguise themselves, to the point of generating material that is actually used by churchmen. {8-] This is evidently satire, so well written it has actually been used by creationists. spike http://objective.jesussave.us/members.html#PALEY Dr. Richard Paley Dr. Richard Paley comes to our movement through his involvement in fighting other forms of anti-Christian hatecrimes. He has lead successful boycotts against Sears and Piggly-Wiggly and has spearheaded the movement to stop Evolutionism from being forced on the children of Marian County. His experience in dealing with secularism's desperate grasp on power has proved invaluable as we move into the next phase of our campaign. Dr. Paley teaches Divinity and Theobiology at Fellowship University. > -----Original Message----- > From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org > [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of > Harvey Newstrom > Sent: Thursday, December 04, 2003 9:18 PM > To: 'ExI chat list' > Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] Atheists barred from office in > seven states > > > Damien Broderick wrote, > > http://objective.jesussave.us/kangaroo.html > > > > [I *think* it's a prank, but you can never be sure] > > This site is owned by "NOK NOK" of "IdeaFlood, Inc.", PO Box > 11289, Zepher > Cove, NV 89448. Their contact is noc at ideaflood.com. Their > phone number is > 7755887862. Their FAX number is 7755887823. > > They also send thousands of pornographic spam advertisements > around the > world. From neptune at superlink.net Fri Dec 5 12:15:42 2003 From: neptune at superlink.net (Technotranscendence) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 07:15:42 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Trouble With Democracy Message-ID: <00d801c3bb29$81eaae40$4fcd5cd1@neptune> I thought this might be relevant to the recent discussion of democracy on this list. Dan 'Demokratie. Der Gott, Der Keiner Ist' by Hans-Hermann Hoppe Translation of the preface to the just-published German edition [Leipzig: Manuscriptum] of Democracy. The God That Failed. **** It gives me great satisfaction and confidence to see my most recent book published in Germany. That is not quite as obvious as it may appear, for Germany is not a free country. Not even freedom of speech exists in Germany. Here, whoever publicly contradicts certain governmentally approved pronouncements will be jailed, and whoever expresses "politically incorrect" ideas will be neutralized and silenced. For the rest of this story, see http://www.lewrockwell.com/hoppe/hoppe9.html From eugen at leitl.org Fri Dec 5 15:22:52 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 16:22:52 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Atheists barred from office in seven states In-Reply-To: <013e01c3bade$182cc880$f2994a43@texas.net> References: <20031205011635.25476.qmail@web80410.mail.yahoo.com> <013e01c3bade$182cc880$f2994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <20031205152252.GY5783@leitl.org> On Thu, Dec 04, 2003 at 09:14:40PM -0600, Damien Broderick wrote: > And rightly so! Atheists will never understand the true nature of the world, > as revealed for example at > > http://objective.jesussave.us/kangaroo.html Is the site still up? I'm getting only a redirect to http://www.web1000.com/ It's either been pulled, or does geographically-aware redirect. > Damien Broderick > [I *think* it's a prank, but you can never be sure] -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From mlorrey at yahoo.com Fri Dec 5 15:34:37 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 07:34:37 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] The Trouble With Democracy In-Reply-To: <00d801c3bb29$81eaae40$4fcd5cd1@neptune> Message-ID: <20031205153437.71663.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> --- Technotranscendence wrote: > > 'Demokratie. Der Gott, Der Keiner Ist' > by Hans-Hermann Hoppe > > Translation of the preface to the just-published German edition > [Leipzig: Manuscriptum] of Democracy. The God That Failed. "and the American mistreatment of German prisoners of war," I cannot speak for all POW camps here in the US, but can speak of one, located in Stark, NH, an area with terrain very similar to southern Germany. Prisoners spent the war logging, and were able to get to know local residents well, so much so that after the war there were several marriages between former prisoners and local girls. Former prisoners still travel to NH from Germany to visit and have reunions, and a few have immigrated to live in this area. I know of no similar experiences by Americans held prisoner by Germans. I also know that prisoners travelling by train were greeted at trainstops across the US with lunches and refreshments made by locals, while Americans held prisoner were starved as cattle by their German captors, and only treated decently when the Red Cross showed up. If all of Hans-Herman's writing is as inaccurate as this, then it is no wonder that those who know the truth have little tolerance for him. He is nothing but a neo-nazi revisionist, IMHO. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From gpmap at runbox.com Fri Dec 5 16:54:49 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 17:54:49 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Eye implant may reverse blindness Message-ID: >From BBC News: Scientists have described their first complete design of an implant that will take the place of light-sensitive cells in the retina of a damaged eye. Current implants use chips that convert light into electrical impulses that are fed to the brain via the optic nerve. The new device will work differently. It will be placed on a damaged retina and convert light into chemicals that will stimulate nerve cells. The prototype is being constructed at Stanford University in California. Dr Stacey Bent of Stanford University calls the device "the holy grail of prostheses". It takes a new approach to replacing a damaged retina, the layer of cells at the back of the eye that detect light and send signals to the brain. Instead of using electrical stimulation from a chip that converts light into electric impulses, we are using an implant that releases neurotransmitters just as the retina does naturally. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From gpmap at runbox.com Fri Dec 5 16:56:09 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 17:56:09 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Parallel worlds Message-ID: >From Delaware Online: You could either feel awe-inspired or small, listening to Max Tegmark's lecture at the University of Delaware on Wednesday afternoon on the probability of the existence of parallel universes mimicking or diverging from our own. Tegmark, a professor of physics and astronomy at the University of Pennsylvania, discussed the multiverse (more than one "uni-" verse) with a standing-room-only group of more than 50 budding physicists and assorted philosophy, biology and science majors at a UD Department of Physics and Astronomy lecture. Of course, your reaction depends upon your point of view. Tegmark has published many articles about the subject in academic periodicals and more mainstream magazines, including "Scientific American." Born in Sweden, he earned a doctorate from the University of California at Berkeley and post-doctorate degrees in Europe and at Princeton. According to Tegmark, the most popular and simplest cosmological model today predicts that there is another you not a short distance from us doing - exactly or approximately, depending on those unpre- dictable quantum mechanics - what you're doing now: eating breakfast, riding in a carpool, or wrinkling your brow and rolling your eyes. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From gpmap at runbox.com Fri Dec 5 17:30:10 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 18:30:10 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Treating Cancer with Beams of Anti-Matter Message-ID: >From Slashdot: According to this Economist article scientists at CERN are using beams of antimatter to destroy cancer cells. The basic idea is that you make some anti-protons, whizz them round in a accelerator to get them moving at a decent rate then fire them at living tissue. They burrow down to the desired depth, find a friendly proton and do a spot of mutual anihilation, releasing sufficient energy in the process to kill a cell or two. The trick is that matter/anti-matter anihilation is a bit like nuclear fission, it does not work if the particles are moving too fast. The anti-proton has to be moving slowly enough to get pulled into the orbit of some atomic nucleus and actually collide. This allows the treatment to be fine tuned so it only affects the tissues at a very specific depth - unlike traditional therapies which zap everything in the line of fire. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From mlorrey at yahoo.com Fri Dec 5 17:35:40 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 09:35:40 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] The Trouble With Democracy In-Reply-To: <20031205153437.71663.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20031205173540.12627.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> --- Mike Lorrey wrote: > > If all of Hans-Herman's writing is as inaccurate as this, then it is > no wonder that those who know the truth have little tolerance for him. > He is nothing but a neo-nazi revisionist, IMHO. I need to revise this. ;) Reading a bit more into Hoppes writing, I see that he is espousing views in a manner that I see all too often amongst my libertarian colleagues these days: a willingness to adopt historical disinformation and propaganda produced by radical left and right groups as fact simply to discard what is seen as the accepted version of history, without any application of criticism and cross examination of these unorthodox and in many cases clearly disprovable claims. Just because history as written by the center may be inaccurate or self-serving to the powers that be does not mean that claims by holocaust deniers or neo-nazi sympathyzers, or former ACP members or Maoists are any more accurate. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From scerir at libero.it Fri Dec 5 17:45:54 2003 From: scerir at libero.it (scerir) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 18:45:54 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Parallel worlds References: Message-ID: <003501c3bb57$a20102f0$8cb21b97@administxl09yj> A. J. Leggett, 2003 Nobel laureate, will give his lecture soon http://www.nobel.se/physics/laureates/2003/leggett-lecture.html The text is not on-line, but I suppose it will be more or less like www.nobel.se/physics/symposia/ncs-2001-1/leggett.pdf after all he gave this lecture right there, in 2001! He also wrote, i.e., in 'Foundations of Physics' 29 (3) 445-456, March 1999, "Some Thought-Experiments Involving Macrosystems as Illustrations of Various Interpretations of Quantum Mechanics" Abstract: 'I consider various experiments related to the so-called "macroscopic quantum coherence" experiment, which are probably at present in the class of "thought" experiment but are likely to become realistic in the next few decades. I explore the way in which outcomes consistent with the predictions of quantum mechanics would be interpreted by an adherent of, respectively, the Copenhagen, statistical, and Bohmian interpretations of the formalism.' Now the interesting point (Leggett is not a manyworlder, or an Everettista, but he likes those interpretations, and the original statistical-ensemble interpretation by Einstein and Ballentine) is that he was able to show that also in this macro-world there are physical, real, superpositional effects. So in that very readable lecture (link above he was trying to attack the so called 'macro-realism' (if I remenber well). In a certain sense there are physical parallel worlds, but they all seem to be 'here'. After all this is the meaning of the word uni-vers! From jonkc at att.net Fri Dec 5 18:37:56 2003 From: jonkc at att.net (John K Clark) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 13:37:56 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Crippled Poliovirus To Attack Brain Cancer References: Message-ID: <023801c3bb5e$ed07b0d0$30fe4d0c@hal2001> http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2003/12/031205051621.htm -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From spike66 at comcast.net Fri Dec 5 19:56:52 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 11:56:52 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Atheists barred from office in seven states In-Reply-To: <20031205152252.GY5783@leitl.org> Message-ID: <001301c3bb69$ed787300$6501a8c0@SHELLY> The site is still coming up for me. This is the link someone sent me, a serious creationist. At the time, reading just this article, I did not recognize the site as a parody. I still cannot call it a joke, since it clearly shows an intent to slay, as opposed to entertain. http://objective.jesussave.us/slot.html What this demonstrates is that creationism is its own parody, like the world wrassling federation. It is impossible to lampoon something that resembles its own parody so closely as to make the two indistinguishable. {8^D Clearly the author of this site put some real effort into it. spike > -----Original Message----- > From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org > [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of > Eugen Leitl > Sent: Friday, December 05, 2003 7:23 AM > To: Damien Broderick; ExI chat list > Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Atheists barred from office in > seven states > > > On Thu, Dec 04, 2003 at 09:14:40PM -0600, Damien Broderick wrote: > > And rightly so! Atheists will never understand the true > nature of the world, > > as revealed for example at > > > > http://objective.jesussave.us/kangaroo.html > > Is the site still up? I'm getting only a redirect to http://www.web1000.com/ It's either been pulled, or does geographically-aware redirect. > Damien Broderick > [I *think* it's a prank, but you can never be sure] From hugh.crowther at esoterica.pt Fri Dec 5 19:58:14 2003 From: hugh.crowther at esoterica.pt (Hugh Crowther) Date: Fri, 05 Dec 2003 19:58:14 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Crippled Poliovirus To Attack Brain Cancer In-Reply-To: <023801c3bb5e$ed07b0d0$30fe4d0c@hal2001> Message-ID: Set a thief to catch a thief. To my mind, General Systems Theory, which rules us all, has a central theme ..... What goes around, comes around, figure that out before it surprises you. It?s very elegant, use a rhinovirus which has evolved to get across the brain/blood barrier and caused possibly the most feared global epidemic, to get where our drugs haven?t evolved to themselves. Nice thought for the weekend....... > > From: "John K Clark" > Reply-To: ExI chat list > Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 13:37:56 -0500 > To: "ExI chat list" > Subject: [extropy-chat] Crippled Poliovirus To Attack Brain Cancer > > http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2003/12/031205051621.htm > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From mlorrey at yahoo.com Fri Dec 5 20:44:40 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 12:44:40 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Atheists barred from office in seven states In-Reply-To: <001301c3bb69$ed787300$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031205204440.77357.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> --- Spike wrote: > The site is still coming up for me. Me too. In fact, the index page gives this warning: "October 26, 2003 -- We are hearing reports that foreign visitors to our site are being redirected to electronic bookstores and people offering to pay to take surveys. We are not affiliated with these sites and advise you not to deal with them; they may be front organizations for cults. Although our technical staff is still looking into this issue, we strongly suspect that anti-Christian and anti-American governmental agents outside the U.S. are trying to keep our message from being heard in their lands. If you have suggested our site to a foreigner and he says he can't get through to it, warn him that he and his family are living under the scrutiny of an authoritarian regime and are in immediate spiritual -- and possibly physical -- danger!" The only signs I can find that this sight may be a parody are the banner ads appearing at the bottom of the pages. On the slot.htm page Spike cited, the banner adverstised "Clowns for Christ". Viewing the index page, at the foot was an ad for Mimeistry, "Reaching the unsaved through the power of mime." If only all evangelical christians tried to reach the unsaved through silence, this world would be a much more enjoyable place.... ;) I highly recommend that the Mimeistry get as much support as we can give it.... The most entertaining banner ad was one that seemed to advertise a porn site. Figuring that I might have happened onto the porn-spam that Harvey claimed the host was involved in, I clicked through to find what appared to be the entrance page to a porn site. Clicking further resulted in a page telling me what a sinner I was for looking for porn on the internet, etc. etc. etc. citing biblical verse and recommending I see a counselor about my addiction to internet porn... What fun! ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From thespike at earthlink.net Fri Dec 5 21:05:45 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 15:05:45 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] theobiology References: <001301c3bb69$ed787300$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <011501c3bb73$8ec1bb00$82994a43@texas.net> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Spike" Sent: Friday, December 05, 2003 1:56 PM > At the time, reading > just this article, I did not recognize the site as a > parody. I still cannot call it a joke, since it clearly > shows an intent to slay, as opposed to entertain. Paley, prof of Theobiology, is pretty obvious. But amazingly, I find this: http://www.sagepub.com/journalIssue.aspx?pid=171&jiid=116 American Behavioral Scientist Volume 45 Issue 12 - Publication Date: 08/2002 Theobiology: Interfacing Theology, Biology, and Other Sciences for Deeper Understanding Theobiology: Interfacing Theology, Biology, and other Sciences for Deeper Understanding The Authors Introduction Carole A. Rayburn, PhD, Lee J. Richmond Theobiology: Interfacing Theology and Science Carole A. Rayburn, Lee J. Richmond Nonreductive Physicalism and Soul: Finding Resonance Between Theology and Neuroscience Warren S. Brown, PhD The Pyramids of Sciences and of Humanities: Implications for the Search of Religious Richard L. Gorsuch Is Faith an Emotion? Faith as a Meaning Making Affective Process: An Example >From Breast Cancer Patients Johnny Ramirez-Johnson, Carlos Fayard, PhD, Carlos Garberoglio, Clara M. Jorge Ramirez Comments on Symposium: Theobiology: Interfacing Theology, Psychology, and Other Sciences for Deeper Understanding Ralph W. Hood Jr Beyond Equality John S. Nixon Theobiology and Gendered Spirituality Sharon Kanis Shamanism as Neurotheology and Evolutionary Psychology Michael Winkelman Cross-Cultural Generalizability of the Spiritual Transcendence Scale in India: Spirituality as a Universal Aspect of Human Experience Ralph L. Peidmont, Mark M. Leach, PhD When Science Meets Religion Akira Otani Matter, Divinity, and Number Gregory N. Derry ============== How far does this go? It reminds me of a mock university faculty in Biblical Accountancy, invented by my friend John Bangsund, which probed such ancient fiscal riddles as: `How Doth It Profit a Man to Gain the Whole World and Lose his own Soul?' Damien Broderick From jrd1415 at yahoo.com Fri Dec 5 22:24:14 2003 From: jrd1415 at yahoo.com (Jeff Davis) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 14:24:14 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Poliovirus Attacks Cancer In-Reply-To: <00d801c3bb29$81eaae40$4fcd5cd1@neptune> Message-ID: <20031205222414.7633.qmail@web41213.mail.yahoo.com> Extropes, While the juggernaut of scientific advance is quite exciting on its own, the following struck me as particularly heartening. Worth a post. Researchers Use Crippled Poliovirus to Attack Brain Cancer http://dukemednews.org/global/print.php?context=%2Fnews%2Farticle.php&id=7273 Best, Jeff Davis "Everything's hard till you know how to do it." Ray Charles __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From jrd1415 at yahoo.com Fri Dec 5 22:41:35 2003 From: jrd1415 at yahoo.com (Jeff Davis) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 14:41:35 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Poliovirus Attacks Cancer In-Reply-To: <20031205222414.7633.qmail@web41213.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20031205224135.75842.qmail@web41210.mail.yahoo.com> Whoops! Posted without first checking this morning's latest posts, where I see John Clark beat me to it. Never mind. Best, Jeff Davis "And I think to myself, what a wonderful world!" Louie Armstrong --- Jeff Davis wrote: > Extropes, > > While the juggernaut of scientific advance is quite > exciting on its own, the following struck me as > particularly heartening. Worth a post. > > Researchers Use Crippled Poliovirus to Attack Brain > Cancer > > http://dukemednews.org/global/print.php?context=%2Fnews%2Farticle.php&id=7273 > > Best, Jeff Davis > > "Everything's hard till you know how to do it." > Ray Charles > > > __________________________________ > Do you Yahoo!? > Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now > http://companion.yahoo.com/ > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From avantguardian2020 at yahoo.com Fri Dec 5 23:04:45 2003 From: avantguardian2020 at yahoo.com (The Avantguardian) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 15:04:45 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] theobiology In-Reply-To: <011501c3bb73$8ec1bb00$82994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <20031205230445.69884.qmail@web60506.mail.yahoo.com> Hate to break it to you Damien but it's no joke. All the people listed on the site are real faculty members and scientists (although some ARE psychologists *wink*). Some of the people listed are actually fairly distinguished having won awards and such. What I want to know is why the rabid atheism on this list? Some of you go so far as to (as contradictory as it sounds) proselytize your atheism. Why? In my experience there are generally two types of religious folk. The first are the brainwashed sheep that send off their cash to any huckster with enough charisma to wave a 1000 year old book around in front of them and tell them they are doomed if they don't convert. The second kind are very bright skeptical people that have examined the evidence thoroughly and made an informed decision that the universe is governed by a living rational force or entity. Usually these people are deeply spiritual although they tend to hold no stock in the traditional organized religions as they recognize these to be scams and tools of power on major scale. Some of the most celebrated geniuses in history have been of the second type: Newton, Einstein, Bohr, Pascal, etc. This is because when you have a very high IQ you are good at seeing patterns of information. When you see so much pattern in the universe, so little of which can be explained by mere science, it engenders faith that there is SOMETHING out there calling the shots. The latest generations of cosmologists are trying to save our beloved theories of gravity from damning observations. They explain the inconsistencies in the motions of galaxies by invoking the deus ex machina of dark matter and dark energy which together are supposed to comprise some 95% of the mass of the universe. So if you are willing to BELIEVE that every tangible bit of matter and energy in the the universe that you can see with our best telescopes and detection equipment comprise a mere 5% of what's actually out there, then why can't you admit there might be room in the 95% of the universe you can't see for PROVIDENCE? Or do you prefer the deus ex machina to the DEUS VERITAS? Damien Broderick wrote: ----- Original Message ----- From: "Spike" Sent: Friday, December 05, 2003 1:56 PM > At the time, reading > just this article, I did not recognize the site as a > parody. I still cannot call it a joke, since it clearly > shows an intent to slay, as opposed to entertain. Paley, prof of Theobiology, is pretty obvious. But amazingly, I find this: http://www.sagepub.com/journalIssue.aspx?pid=171&jiid=116 American Behavioral Scientist Volume 45 Issue 12 - Publication Date: 08/2002 Theobiology: Interfacing Theology, Biology, and Other Sciences for Deeper Understanding Theobiology: Interfacing Theology, Biology, and other Sciences for Deeper Understanding The Authors Introduction Carole A. Rayburn, PhD, Lee J. Richmond Theobiology: Interfacing Theology and Science Carole A. Rayburn, Lee J. Richmond Nonreductive Physicalism and Soul: Finding Resonance Between Theology and Neuroscience Warren S. Brown, PhD The Pyramids of Sciences and of Humanities: Implications for the Search of Religious Richard L. Gorsuch Is Faith an Emotion? Faith as a Meaning Making Affective Process: An Example >From Breast Cancer Patients Johnny Ramirez-Johnson, Carlos Fayard, PhD, Carlos Garberoglio, Clara M. Jorge Ramirez Comments on Symposium: Theobiology: Interfacing Theology, Psychology, and Other Sciences for Deeper Understanding Ralph W. Hood Jr Beyond Equality John S. Nixon Theobiology and Gendered Spirituality Sharon Kanis Shamanism as Neurotheology and Evolutionary Psychology Michael Winkelman Cross-Cultural Generalizability of the Spiritual Transcendence Scale in India: Spirituality as a Universal Aspect of Human Experience Ralph L. Peidmont, Mark M. Leach, PhD When Science Meets Religion Akira Otani Matter, Divinity, and Number Gregory N. Derry ============== How far does this go? It reminds me of a mock university faculty in Biblical Accountancy, invented by my friend John Bangsund, which probed such ancient fiscal riddles as: `How Doth It Profit a Man to Gain the Whole World and Lose his own Soul?' Damien Broderick _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat The Avantguardian "He stands like some sort of pagan god or deposed tyrant. Staring out over the city he's sworn to . . .to stare out over and it's evident just by looking at him that he's got some pretty heavy things on his mind." --------------------------------- Do you Yahoo!? Protect your identity with Yahoo! Mail AddressGuard -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From thespike at earthlink.net Fri Dec 5 23:34:18 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 17:34:18 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] theobiology References: <20031205230445.69884.qmail@web60506.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <01c301c3bb88$506a5c80$82994a43@texas.net> ----- Original Message ----- From: "The Avantguardian" Sent: Friday, December 05, 2003 5:04 PM > Hate to break it to you Damien but it's no joke. All the people listed on the site are real faculty members and scientists (although some ARE psychologists *wink*). `Fellowship University'? Google finds it not, not surprisingly. > Some of the most celebrated geniuses in history have been of the second type: Newton, Einstein, Bohr, Pascal, etc. Bohr deplored religion, saying it was bad for people to believe lies. Damien Broderick From jef at jefallbright.net Fri Dec 5 23:34:59 2003 From: jef at jefallbright.net (Jef Allbright) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 15:34:59 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] theobiology References: <20031205230445.69884.qmail@web60506.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <00e201c3bb88$6da19c00$1602650a@int.veeco.com> A very impressive set of pages, but sure looks like a (meta)joke to me. The clarity and consistency of the text speaks louder than the words themselves. Here's a fun excerpt, found at http://objective.jesussave.us/pastorscorner.html. "Some have criticized my stance on triclavianism as being counterproductive, arguing that making a point of doctrinal contention over not making a point of doctrinal contention over adiaphora is itself non-salvific. However, my critics are overlooking the dangers of triclavianistic doctrines: allowing adiaphora to creep into our credenda -- while possibly pushing the theologoumenic envelope and providing exciting new opportunities for supererogative works -- will most often serve to muddy the soteriological foundation of Faith, leading in general to ultramontane excesses and, in extreme cases, ebaptization (which is unacceptable pastoral malpractice, however rare it may be.) Doctrinal integrity, and hence salvific effectiveness, is best served by working to end triclavianism and similar erroneous, or simply adiaphoric, doctrines." - Jef ---- Original Message ---- From: The Avantguardian > Hate to break it to you Damien but it's no joke. All the people > listed on the site are real faculty members and scientists (although > some ARE psychologists *wink*). Some of the people listed are > actually fairly distinguished having won awards and such. What I want > to know is why the rabid atheism on this list? Some of you go so far > as to (as contradictory as it sounds) proselytize your atheism. Why? > > In my experience there are generally two types of religious folk. The > first are the brainwashed sheep that send off their cash to any > huckster with enough charisma to wave a 1000 year old book around in > front of them and tell them they are doomed if they don't convert. > > The second kind are very bright skeptical people that have examined > the evidence thoroughly and made an informed decision that the > universe is governed by a living rational force or entity. Usually > these people are deeply spiritual although they tend to hold no stock > in the traditional organized religions as they recognize these to be > scams and tools of power on major scale. > > Some of the most celebrated geniuses in history have been of the > second type: Newton, Einstein, Bohr, Pascal, etc. This is because > when you have a very high IQ you are good at seeing patterns of > information. When you see so much pattern in the universe, so little > of which can be explained by mere science, it engenders faith that > there is SOMETHING out there calling the shots. > > The latest generations of cosmologists are trying to save our beloved > theories of gravity from damning observations. They explain the > inconsistencies in the motions of galaxies by invoking the deus ex > machina of dark matter and dark energy which together are supposed to > comprise some 95% of the mass of the universe. So if you are willing > to BELIEVE that every tangible bit of matter and energy in the the > universe that you can see with our best telescopes and detection > equipment comprise a mere 5% of what's actually out there, then why > can't you admit there might be room in the 95% of the universe you > can't see for PROVIDENCE? Or do you prefer the deus ex machina to the > DEUS VERITAS? > > Damien Broderick wrote: > > ----- Original Message ----- > From: "Spike" > Sent: Friday, December 05, 2003 1:56 PM > >> At the time, reading >> just this article, I did not recognize the site as a >> parody. I still cannot call it a joke, since it clearly >> shows an intent to slay, as opposed to entertain. > > Paley, prof of Theobiology, is pretty obvious. But amazingly, I find > this: > > http://www.sagepub.com/journalIssue.aspx?pid=171&jiid=116 > > American Behavioral Scientist > > Volume 45 Issue 12 - Publication Date: 08/2002 > > Theobiology: Interfacing Theology, Biology, and Other Sciences for > Deeper Understanding > > Theobiology: Interfacing Theology, Biology, and other Sciences for > Deeper Understanding > > The Authors > > Introduction > Carole A. Rayburn, PhD, Lee J. Richmond > > Theobiology: Interfacing Theol! ogy and Science > Carole A. Rayburn, Lee J. Richmond > > Nonreductive Physicalism and Soul: Finding Resonance Between Theology > and Neuroscience > Warren S. Brown, PhD > > The Pyramids of Sciences and of Humanities: Implications for the > Search of Religious > Richard L. Gorsuch > > Is Faith an Emotion? Faith as a Meaning Making Affective Process: An > Example >> From Breast Cancer Patients > Johnny Ramirez-Johnson, Carlos Fayard, PhD, Carlos Garberoglio, Clara > M. Jorge Ramirez > > Comments on Symposium: Theobiology: Interfacing Theology, Psychology, > and Other Sciences for Deeper Understanding > Ralph W. Hood Jr > > Beyond Equality > John S. Nixon > > Theobiology and Gendered Spirituality > Sharon Kanis > > Shamanism as Neurotheology and Evolutionary Psychology > Michael Winkelman > > Cross-Cultural Generalizability of the Spiritual Transcendence Scale > in India: Spirituality as a Universal Aspect of Human Experience > Ralph L. Peidmont! , Mark M. Leach, PhD > > When Science Meets Religion > Akira Otani > > Matter, Divinity, and Number > Gregory N. Derry > > ============== > > How far does this go? It reminds me of a mock university faculty in > Biblical Accountancy, invented by my friend John Bangsund, which > probed such ancient fiscal riddles as: `How Doth It Profit a Man to > Gain the Whole World and Lose his own Soul?' > > Damien Broderick > > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > > > The Avantguardian > > > "He stands like some sort of pagan god or deposed tyrant. Staring out > over the city he's sworn to . . .to stare out over and it's evident > just by looking at him that he's got some pretty heavy things on his > mind." > > > Do you Yahoo!? > Protect your identity with Yahoo! Mail AddressGuard > > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From thespike at earthlink.net Fri Dec 5 23:54:10 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 17:54:10 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] theobiology References: <20031205230445.69884.qmail@web60506.mail.yahoo.com> <00e201c3bb88$6da19c00$1602650a@int.veeco.com> Message-ID: <01ce01c3bb8b$16a3fd00$82994a43@texas.net> > Here's a fun excerpt, found at > http://objective.jesussave.us/pastorscorner.html. > > > "Some have criticized my stance on triclavianism as being counterproductive, > arguing that making a point of doctrinal contention over not making a point > of doctrinal contention over adiaphora is itself non-salvific. However, my > critics are overlooking the dangers of triclavianistic doctrines: allowing > adiaphora to creep into our credenda -- while possibly pushing the > theologoumenic envelope Do I scent a lapsed Seventh Day Adventist? This must be what Spike detected in the parody site. Damien Broderick From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sat Dec 6 00:34:27 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 16:34:27 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] theobiology In-Reply-To: <01c301c3bb88$506a5c80$82994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <20031206003427.88715.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> --- Damien Broderick wrote: > > ----- Original Message ----- > From: "The Avantguardian" > Sent: Friday, December 05, 2003 5:04 PM > > > Hate to break it to you Damien but it's no joke. All the people > listed on > the site are real faculty members and scientists (although some ARE > psychologists *wink*). > > `Fellowship University'? Google finds it not, not surprisingly. > > > Some of the most celebrated geniuses in history have been of the > second > type: Newton, Einstein, Bohr, Pascal, etc. > > Bohr deplored religion, saying it was bad for people to believe lies. And Einstein said "God does not play dice with the universe." You can say that makes him wrong twice... but it does not mean he was not religious. I think Avant meant Bohm, who was also a believer and advanced such concepts as the holographic mind. Even Sagan intimated a belief of some sort in his novel Contact, of course I've never thought much of Sagan in any event. Now, Newton also believed in astrology, and many men who advanced paradigm shattering theories were still very much prisoners of the superstitions of their time in many ways, including Focault and Descartes, Galileo and da Vinci. Just because they believed something does not make it so or lend extra credence to such belief if they did not demonstrate any supporting theory or objective evidence to explain their belief. However, Hawking has given some lectures that indicate that any universe in which singularities exist are entirely capable of supporting the existence of any deity under or beyond the sun. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From neptune at superlink.net Sat Dec 6 00:54:00 2003 From: neptune at superlink.net (Technotranscendence) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 19:54:00 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Trouble With Democracy References: <20031205153437.71663.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <018301c3bb93$709f98c0$05ca5cd1@neptune> On Friday, December 05, 2003 10:34 AM Mike Lorrey mlorrey at yahoo.com wrote: >> 'Demokratie. Der Gott, Der Keiner Ist' >> by Hans-Hermann Hoppe >> >> Translation of the preface to the just-published German edition >> [Leipzig: Manuscriptum] of Democracy. The God That Failed. > > "and the American mistreatment of > German prisoners of war," > > I cannot speak for all POW camps here > in the US, but can speak of one, located > in Stark, NH, an area with terrain very >similar to southern Germany. Prisoners > spent the war logging, and were able to > get to know local residents well, so much > so that after the war there were several > marriages between former prisoners > and local girls. Former prisoners still > travel to NH from Germany to visit and > have reunions, and a few have immigrated > to live in this area. I know of no similar > experiences by Americans held prisoner > by Germans. While I'm unfamiliar with this example, I do know of a few others who had pretty good POW experiences, including the economist Hans Sennholz. IIRC, Sennholz was a German fighter pilot and he was captured and eventually came to see the US as perhaps the greatest country on the planet because of its freedom. I'm not so sure what Hoppe is getting at, though his preceding and following statements in that paragraph ring true to me. > I also know that prisoners travelling by train > were greeted at trainstops across the US > with lunches and refreshments made by > locals, while Americans held prisoner were > starved as cattle by their German captors, > and only treated decently when the Red > Cross showed up. I don't think he mentioned anything about the German treatment of Allied POWs. I would suspect that Western Allied prisoner were treated much better than those taken from the Soviets. > If all of Hans-Herman's writing is as inaccurate > as this, then it is no wonder that those who > know the truth have little tolerance for him. This is the usual tack you've taken with writings you disagree with. (Not an insult but an observation. You did the same with the article I sent on privatizing fire departments. You dismissed it because of one thing you disagreed with in the abstract. If I did likewise, my reading list would be narrowed to nothing.:) It might be better to read his whole book -- which I have -- and see if any of it makes sense to you. I've read it. I don't agree with all of what he says and he does strike me as a cultural conservative though a strict political anarchist and also as a person who looks for shocking things to say. > He is nothing but a neo-nazi revisionist, IMHO. I disagree. At least from what I've read of his work -- his book on democracy and many published articles -- he's not pro-Nazi or neo-Nazi. If anything, he's anti-Nazi. He is, after all, anarcho-capitalist. Though he only mentions Naziism one sentence of the English language version of his book, he does not praise it. (He blames WW1 and democratization of Germany for putting the Nazis in power.) Regards, Dan See "For a Free Frontier: The Case for Space Colonization" at: http://uweb.superlink.net/neptune/SpaceCol.html "People who want to share their religious views with you almost never want you to share yours with them." -- Dave Barry From jrd1415 at yahoo.com Sat Dec 6 00:50:32 2003 From: jrd1415 at yahoo.com (Jeff Davis) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 16:50:32 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Atheists barred from office in seven states In-Reply-To: <20031205152252.GY5783@leitl.org> Message-ID: <20031206005032.65022.qmail@web41201.mail.yahoo.com> > On Thu, Dec 04, 2003 at 09:14:40PM -0600, Damien > Broderick wrote: > [I *think* it's a prank, but you can never be > sure] As distinguished from you *believe" it's a prank? Greetings and best wishes to you and Barbara this holiday season. I hope youse guys are together again. Jeff __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From jrd1415 at yahoo.com Sat Dec 6 01:09:25 2003 From: jrd1415 at yahoo.com (Jeff Davis) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 17:09:25 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Whoops! and holiday greetings; was Re: Atheists barred from office in seven states In-Reply-To: <20031205152252.GY5783@leitl.org> Message-ID: <20031206010925.70022.qmail@web41209.mail.yahoo.com> Whoops! I wrote: > On Thu, Dec 04, 2003 at 09:14:40PM -0600, Damien > Broderick wrote: > [I *think* it's a prank, but you can never be > sure] As distinguished from you *believe" it's a prank? Greetings and best wishes to you and Barbara this holiday season. I hope youse guys are together again. Jeff ------------------------- The above was not meant for the list. Forgot to paste Damien's address into the "To:" line. Anyway, let me take this opportunity to wish all of you on the list the beast this holiday season. And may we all enjoy ten thousand* more. *YMMV ------------------------------ Here's a little something for your amusement, which I thought hilarious, and found at Ye Olde Rad Blog http://radified.com/blog/archives/000051.html "To work at some 'sensitive' industrial facilities, you often have to take a psych test. I remember one question on such a test. It asked: "If you could sneak into a movie theater and knew for certain you wouldn't get caught, would you do it?" I answered 'No' .. thinking this was the obvious right answer. Not! They didn't like my answer and called me into the office, where they told me they thought I was lying on the test, specifically citing this question, saying that a 'normal' person would answer 'Yes'. I said, "Oh, I meant to say, 'Yes'". They said, "That's better," and gave me the job." Best, Jeff Davis Who are you going to believe, me or your own eyes? Groucho Marx __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Sat Dec 6 01:20:34 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 12:20:34 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan Message-ID: <020801c3bb97$2650ef40$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> For some reason the exchange between Smalley and Drexler reminded me of a story I read when studying research methods in psychology years ago. I found the text book _Research Methods In Psychology_ (1985. Shaughnessy and Zechmeisser) and include the story below: "Can The Null Hypothesis Ever Be Accepted As True? When we take a strict approach to null hypothesis testing - that the only acceptable decisions are to reject H0 or to fail to reject H0 - we are essentially acknowledging the fact that it is impossible to prove that something does not exist. For example - if we were to propose that there was a monster in Lake Michigan, you would be unable to prove to us that this was not so. Putting ecological conditions aside for the moment, you might drain Lake Michigan and show that no monster is there. We could simply assert that the monster dug into the bed of the lake. You might then begin to dredge the lake and still come up with no monster; we could argue that our monster is digging faster than you are dredging. Becoming more desperate, you might fill the lake with explosives, and after detonating them, find no remains of the monster. We could calmly propose that our monster is impervious to explosives. So long as we were free to add characteristics to our monster, there is no test that you could perform that would convincingly show that the monster does not exist." I disagree with those who think that Drexler is ahead on points in the debate with Smalley unless points are awarded to Drexler because the debate is now at least happening with more earnestness and engagement than previously. I think it is encouraging that Smalley is inviting chemists to challenge the molecular nanotechnology views and nightmares of Drexler (as he Smalley claims to see them). Let the truth out, and more to the point as it is politics that matters more than philosophy let more of the voting public see more of the truth outed. I suspect that I am not alone in not quite grasping all that Drexler has said yet and possibly for similar reasons. I simply haven't had (or made) the time to tease out the facts yet and I don't get impressed with what MAY BE numerology however eruditely it is expressed - there are plenty of other things to divert me. I own a hardcopy of Nanosystems and have read several chapters of it. I'll confess my prejudice that I would be in a minority even on this list in having gone that far. I wonder how many others would see (accurately or otherwise - and POLITICALLY that DOES NOT MATTER as the default is no or very little action in either case) Drexlerian notions of self replicating nanomachines as like the assertion that there is a monster in Lake Michigan in the story above. I wonder if others like me see the switch from talking about enzymes in a biological paradigm (for which there are existence proofs but limited ones) to taking about factories a mechanical paradigm (for which we have no fully self-replicating existence proofs that I can see - human - biological intervention is necessary still for factories to replicate factories to my knowledge). I can't help wonder, even as I keep an open mind, and am aware of my emotional bias towards molecular manufacturing whether something isn't being dropped in the switch between the two paradigms. Regards, Brett From jrd1415 at yahoo.com Sat Dec 6 01:33:44 2003 From: jrd1415 at yahoo.com (Jeff Davis) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 17:33:44 -0800 (PST) Subject: Intelligence corellations was RE: [extropy-chat] Atheists barred from office in seven states In-Reply-To: <003901c3baf9$a15e22f0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031206013344.26906.qmail@web41204.mail.yahoo.com> --- Spike wrote: > This is an interesting one. The actual material in > the website identified by Harvey is quoted and used > by creationists. Now it appears it is a front for > a pornographic distributor. This is just too good. I have been wondering for some time now whether there is any research to correlate 'intelligence' with 'various cultural parameters'. For example religious belief, with sub correlations to specific religions and degrees of fundamentalism. Or along political lines: Repub, Dem, Liber, Green, Indep, Commie, non-voter. Or say, liberal vs conservative. Or gay vs straight. Not to mention along gender lines. I've googled in search of this data, but so far no luck. Any of y'all got any tips for me? Clearly, such 'data' is controversial and subject to a high bogosity coefficient (cf The Bell Curve). Never the less, inquiring minds want to know. Personally, I want this information for evil purposes. Bwah, hah hah! Best, Jeff Davis "We call someone insane who does not believe as we do to an outrageous extent." Charles McCabe __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Free Pop-Up Blocker - Get it now http://companion.yahoo.com/ From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Sat Dec 6 01:42:38 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 12:42:38 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] theobiology References: <20031205230445.69884.qmail@web60506.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <022301c3bb9a$3b5e4f60$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Avantguardian wrote: > when you have a very high IQ you are good at seeing patterns > of information. When you see so much pattern in the universe, > so little of which can be explained by mere science, it engenders > faith that there is SOMETHING out there calling the shots. I don't think its high IQ that engenders that but low psychology. Intellectually little is gained by positing a something out there calling the shots and then treating that something as a great unknowable black box outside of and separate to the many other things that intelligent people also don't know. I like Sagan's question on this point best. When considering arguments of uncaused causes and positioning that the universe had or needed a creator but that the creator didn't need a creator - "why not save a step"? I think the low psychology rather than high IQ is the real cause. I think (and this is speculation I admit) that humans are simply wired with a very strong propensity to anthropomorphise. Much of what we do and what matters to homo saps happens in a social and political context and our brains have developed to reflect that strong preoccupation. Seeing design and intention and athropomorphising all over the place is easier and offers the possibility of appeal when circumstances may otherwise seem hopeless. I do not think the high IQ types were immune because of that from existential angst. Nor do see any reason why their existential angst should be resolvable any better in the universe than that of the lowest meanest brute. if you are willing to BELIEVE that every tangible bit of matter and energy in the the universe that you can see with our best telescopes and detection equipment comprise a mere 5% of what's actually out there, then why can't you admit there might be room in the 95% of the universe you can't see for PROVIDENCE? I can admit it but I am not interested in dwelling on it as the time is wasted and there are better more useful things for good minds to be communicating about. I see the turning toward religion and providence as quite natural, as natural as panic in the face of near certain oblivion and about as helpful. Regards, Brett -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From mbb386 at main.nc.us Sat Dec 6 01:53:12 2003 From: mbb386 at main.nc.us (MB) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 20:53:12 -0500 (Eastern Standard Time) Subject: [extropy-chat] think this will catch on? In-Reply-To: <3FCCC059.7080701@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> References: <3FCCC059.7080701@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> Message-ID: Ha. Here is something else I've not seen before. I particularly enjoyed the description - it reminded me of the Vespas in Italy during the 1950s. :))) They certainly traveled in - not packs, but swarms! http://www.gizmodo.com/archives/009696.php I sure wish some of these new vehicles would make it into the US - in a price range I could deal with! ;) Regards, MB From avantguardian2020 at yahoo.com Sat Dec 6 02:11:15 2003 From: avantguardian2020 at yahoo.com (The Avantguardian) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 18:11:15 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] theobiology In-Reply-To: <01c301c3bb88$506a5c80$82994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <20031206021115.27700.qmail@web60506.mail.yahoo.com> Damien Broderick wrote: ----- Original Message ----- From: "The Avantguardian" Sent: Friday, December 05, 2003 5:04 PM `Fellowship University'? Google finds it not, not surprisingly. http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8&q=%2B%22fellowship+university%22&btnG=Google+Search actually Google found 25,600 references to the phrase "fellowship university" > Some of the most celebrated geniuses in history have been of the second type: Newton, Einstein, Bohr, Pascal, etc. Bohr deplored religion, saying it was bad for people to believe lies. Yeah he deplored "organized religion" just as I do. Don't misunderstand me, I am not advocating Christianity, Jehovah's Witness, Judaism, Islam or any other so called "religion". I am talking about a nameless spirtuality. A sense of oneness with the Universe. Besides if he didn't believe in SOMETHING then why did he have the "Yin and Yang" put on his family coat of arms when he was knighted by the queen of England? Yin and Yang are a several thousand year old Taoist religious symbol. The Avantguardian "He stands like some sort of pagan god or deposed tyrant. Staring out over the city he's sworn to . . .to stare out over and it's evident just by looking at him that he's got some pretty heavy things on his mind." --------------------------------- Do you Yahoo!? Protect your identity with Yahoo! Mail AddressGuard -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From mbb386 at main.nc.us Sat Dec 6 02:18:00 2003 From: mbb386 at main.nc.us (MB) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 21:18:00 -0500 (Eastern Standard Time) Subject: [extropy-chat] theobiology In-Reply-To: <01c301c3bb88$506a5c80$82994a43@texas.net> References: <20031205230445.69884.qmail@web60506.mail.yahoo.com> <01c301c3bb88$506a5c80$82994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: Google doesn't know triclavianism either, except WRT these pages we're discussing. Or others who are discussing them too. Neither does my Webster's dictionary know triclavianism. Nor my Oxford, which is old. I'll ask the priest I used to work for, maybe she would know. :/ I kinda doubt it, though. Regards, MB On Fri, 5 Dec 2003, Damien Broderick wrote: > > `Fellowship University'? Google finds it not, not surprisingly. From fauxever at sprynet.com Sat Dec 6 02:57:25 2003 From: fauxever at sprynet.com (Olga Bourlin) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 18:57:25 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Trouble With Democracy References: <20031205153437.71663.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <007401c3bba4$adf374b0$6400a8c0@brainiac> From: "Mike Lorrey" > I cannot speak for all POW camps here in the US, but can speak of one, > located in Stark, NH, an area with terrain very similar to southern > Germany. Prisoners spent the war logging, and were able to get to know > local residents well, so much so that after the war there were several > marriages between former prisoners and local girls. Former prisoners > still travel to NH from Germany to visit and have reunions, and a few > have immigrated to live in this area. I know of no similar experiences > by Americans held prisoner by Germans. Well, how sweet. But how sad and ironic that in the United States at that time we had a segregated army, and black men (particularly) risked their lives sometimes even looking at "local girls" (... if those girls happened to be white). > I also know that prisoners travelling by train were greeted at > trainstops across the US with lunches and refreshments made by locals ... How very sweet. But how sad that black citizens in many parts of the United States couldn't go to restaurants (hotels, etc.). And speaking of refreshments - in veteran civil rights activist James Forman's book "The Making of Black Revolutionaries," he details how he rather unwittingly found out that the U.S. Army was more than simply segregated. He was assigned to the "white" Army for a time (because of a special duty he was asked to perform), and in the "white" Army, much to his surprise, he was served ... real eggs (whereas in the "black" Army he was used to being served powdered eggs). Just want to keep certain things in perspective, here ... An aside on James Forman (who just turned 75, and is living in Washington, D.C.) was that for a time his mother-in-law was Jessica Mitford (author, and one of the famous "Mitford" sisters, one of whom - Diana - was a pal of none other than Adolf Hitler's) :http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2003/08/13/1060588457054.html). Until Jessica Mitford died, Forman would visit her whenever he got to Oakland, California. During a visit to Seattle in the mid 1990s my husband and I were having breakfast with Forman, when he mentioned that he had just visited his ex-mother-in-law. I asked him "Who was she? What does she do?" (just the usual curious-type social questions) Between mouthfuls of eggs Forman said, "Jessica Mitford." And continued eating. (I had read "The American Way of Death" as a teenager, and stopped eating my own eggs just long enough to look around the restaurant and remember this little moment - I took a "mental snapshot," you know?) Forman was married to Jessica Mitford's daughter, Constancia Romilly, whose father was Esmond Romilly, a nephew of Winston Churchill. Churchill and Adolf Hitler and democracy and civil rights all in one little uniquely American family. Interesting, huh? (end of aside) Olga From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sat Dec 6 03:00:25 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 19:00:25 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] theobiology In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031206030025.97734.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> How about asking the host or the writer what these terms mean? A google search turns up: http://urbanlegends.about.com/b/a/021969.htm Which says that triclavianism is the belief that christ was nailed to the cross with just three nails, which for some reason is considered to be some sort of heresy.... Urban legends also claims the site is a spoof with an extremely deadpan sense of humor. What is also interesting is that the "Landover Baptist" site that the Objective: Ministries site attacks is run by the same spoofers. The Landover site is just a bit more of an obvious spoof. Upon further research, apparently "First-century archeological evidence points to three nails being the norm for crucifixion at the time (New Bible Dictionary, Tyndale, 1982, page 253-254) although early church art used four nails, switching to three nails around the 13th century." http://markbyron.typepad.com/main/2003/06/a_quick_survey_.html So it seems to be a very Swiftian sort of satire (note the Lilliputians and their war over which side of the egg to crack open) to make an issue out of how many nails a guy was nailed to a tree with. Now, for those who are really atheist, you can further evangelize atheism by promoting the triclavian debate. The more absurd you make the christian theological world, the more people will give up on religion and become atheists. --- MB wrote: > > Google doesn't know triclavianism either, except WRT these > pages we're discussing. Or others who are discussing them > too. > > Neither does my Webster's dictionary know triclavianism. Nor > my Oxford, which is old. > > I'll ask the priest I used to work for, maybe she would > know. :/ I kinda doubt it, though. > > Regards, > MB > > On Fri, 5 Dec 2003, Damien Broderick wrote: > > > > > > `Fellowship University'? Google finds it not, not surprisingly. > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sat Dec 6 03:08:33 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 19:08:33 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] The Trouble With Democracy In-Reply-To: <007401c3bba4$adf374b0$6400a8c0@brainiac> Message-ID: <20031206030833.70379.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> --- Olga Bourlin wrote, continuing to prove she is the queen of moral equivalency: > > How very sweet. But how sad that black citizens in many parts of the > United > States couldn't go to restaurants (hotels, etc.). And speaking of > refreshments - in veteran civil rights activist James Forman's book > "The Making of Black Revolutionaries," he details how he rather > unwittingly found out that the U.S. Army was more than simply > segregated. He was assigned to the "white" Army for a time > (because of a special duty he was asked to perform), and in > the "white" Army, much to his surprise, he was served ... > real eggs (whereas in the "black" Army he was used to being served > powdered eggs). > > Just want to keep certain things in perspective, here ... Oh WHAAAAAAAA While black soldiers had to whine about getting powdered eggs, Jews in Germany were getting exterminated, so put that "perspective" in your pipe and smoke it. While blacks were getting stuck in logistics jobs instead of being sent to the front to die (oh, the horror), jewish prisoners were being worked to death building V-2 rockets in cave factories. While black soldiers were risking court martial for refusing to load or unload dangerous munition cargoes from ships, jews refusing to work were summarily shot. By the time several dozen black airmen became subjects in the Tuskegee syphyllis experiments, millions of jews had been exterminated in a national experiment in racial engineering. Got enough apples for THAT perspective? ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From fauxever at sprynet.com Sat Dec 6 03:28:00 2003 From: fauxever at sprynet.com (Olga Bourlin) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 19:28:00 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Trouble With Democracy References: <20031206030833.70379.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <013701c3bba8$f3be4a20$6400a8c0@brainiac> From: "Mike Lorrey" > --- Olga Bourlin wrote, continuing to prove she > is the queen of moral equivalency: Nope. I am not in any sense a monarchist. > > How very sweet. But how sad that black citizens in many parts of the > > United> > States couldn't go to restaurants (hotels, etc.). And speaking of > > refreshments - in veteran civil rights activist James Forman's book > > "The Making of Black Revolutionaries," he details how he rather > > unwittingly found out that the U.S. Army was more than simply > > segregated. He was assigned to the "white" Army for a time > > (because of a special duty he was asked to perform), and in > > the "white" Army, much to his surprise, he was served ... > > real eggs (whereas in the "black" Army he was used to being served > > powdered eggs). > > > > Just want to keep certain things in perspective, here ... > > Oh WHAAAAAAAA While black soldiers had to whine about getting powdered > eggs, Jews in Germany were getting exterminated, so put that > "perspective" in your pipe and smoke it. While blacks were getting > stuck in logistics jobs instead of being sent to the front to die (oh, > the horror), jewish prisoners were being worked to death building V-2 > rockets in cave factories. While black soldiers were risking court > martial for refusing to load or unload dangerous munition cargoes from > ships, jews refusing to work were summarily shot. By the time several > dozen black airmen became subjects in the Tuskegee syphyllis > experiments, millions of jews had been exterminated in a national > experiment in racial engineering. Got enough apples for THAT perspective? I was comparing the way *German soldiers* were supposedly being treated vs. the way some *"black" American citizens* (and "black" military personnel) were being treated here. But you are talking about how Jews were treated - in Europe. Speaking of apples (since you conveniently brought them up) - why have have sidled over into the "oranges" perspective? The way Jews were treated in Europe in no way justified the way American citizens were treated right here. That is not to say Jews weren't treated horribly. They were (somewhat less horribly in the United States, and about as nighmarish horribly as can be imagined during the reign of the Nazis in Europe). That's another subject, and another (added) perspective. Mike, why do you seem so hostile? Can't we talk? Olga From fauxever at sprynet.com Sat Dec 6 03:50:20 2003 From: fauxever at sprynet.com (Olga Bourlin) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 19:50:20 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Atheists barred from office in seven states References: <00bb01c3baef$21b92e00$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <023901c3bbac$125dc4d0$6400a8c0@brainiac> From: "Harvey Newstrom" > This site is owned by "NOK NOK" of "IdeaFlood, Inc.", PO Box 11289, Zepher > Cove, NV 89448. Their contact is noc at ideaflood.com. Their phone number is > 7755887862. Their FAX number is 7755887823. > > They also send thousands of pornographic spam advertisements around the > world. > > A list of complaints about pornographic spam from can be > found by Googling newsgroups for "noc at ideaflood.com" > &btnG=Google+Search>. > > The ideaflood.com site is blocked by most spam blockers. Information about > the spamming from this site can be found by Googling "ideaflood.com" > =&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8>. Great detective work, Harvey! (In other words, this is a booby trap!) Here is another cousin, "for gifts that say 'I have much better taste than you, dear.'" http://www.cafeshops.com/bettybowers Olga From avantguardian2020 at yahoo.com Sat Dec 6 03:57:55 2003 From: avantguardian2020 at yahoo.com (The Avantguardian) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 19:57:55 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] theobiology In-Reply-To: <022301c3bb9a$3b5e4f60$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: <20031206035755.32722.qmail@web60504.mail.yahoo.com> Brett Paatsch wrote: Intellectually little is gained by positing a something out there calling the shots and then treating that something as a great unknowable black box outside of and separate to the many other things that intelligent people also don't know. True I don't think anything intellectual is gained by the exercise. Although I don't think anything is lost either. Moreover, I wouldn't choose to treat it as a black box but rather a field open to exploration. There is an entire discipline called Theosophy which is dedicated to trying to understand the mind of that something. I like Sagan's question on this point best. When considering arguments of uncaused causes and positioning that the universe had or needed a creator but that the creator didn't need a creator - "why not save a step"? In my view the universe didn't need a creator because the universe IS the creator. Of course this view gets me in a lot of trouble with christian theologists (although not so much with the jewish ones) because it violates their dogma that heaven and God are separate from and and outside of the universe. Call me a heretic. *shrug* I think the low psychology rather than high IQ is the real cause. I think (and this is speculation I admit) that humans are simply wired with a very strong propensity to anthropomorphise. Much of what we do and what matters to homo saps happens in a social and political context and our brains have developed to reflect that strong preoccupation. Seeing design and intention and athropomorphising all over the place is easier and offers the possibility of appeal when circumstances may otherwise seem hopeless. This is actually a very good point. The question of whether the Universe created us in its image, or we interperate the Universe in ours is the Big Question after all. I choose the former out of simple humility. After all, if both life and consiousness are emergent properties of complex states of matter, how could I assume that I am more complex than the infinite Universe in which I am but the merest speck? And if the Universe is more complex than me, it would be sheer hubris on my part to assume that I am either more alive or intelligent than It is. I do not think the high IQ types were immune because of that from existential angst. Nor do see any reason why their existential angst should be resolvable any better in the universe than that of the lowest meanest brute. I would posit that the high IQ types would be MORE prone to existensial angst since the lowest meanest brutes are too busy eating, boozing, and breeding to care. I see the turning toward religion and providence as quite natural, as natural as panic in the face of near certain oblivion and about as helpful. I find it actually prevents panic allowing me to face life and death situations with calmness and serenity. That in turn usually allows me to successfully survive those situations (so far at least). Cheers, :) _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat The Avantguardian "He stands like some sort of pagan god or deposed tyrant. Staring out over the city he's sworn to . . .to stare out over and it's evident just by looking at him that he's got some pretty heavy things on his mind." --------------------------------- Do you Yahoo!? Protect your identity with Yahoo! Mail AddressGuard -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sat Dec 6 04:00:36 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 20:00:36 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] The Trouble With Democracy In-Reply-To: <013701c3bba8$f3be4a20$6400a8c0@brainiac> Message-ID: <20031206040036.66481.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> --- Olga Bourlin wrote: > From: "Mike Lorrey" > > > > Oh WHAAAAAAAA While black soldiers had to whine about getting > powdered > > eggs, Jews in Germany were getting exterminated, so put that > > "perspective" in your pipe and smoke it. While blacks were getting > > stuck in logistics jobs instead of being sent to the front to die > (oh, > > the horror), jewish prisoners were being worked to death building > V-2 > > rockets in cave factories. While black soldiers were risking court > > martial for refusing to load or unload dangerous munition cargoes > from > > ships, jews refusing to work were summarily shot. By the time > several > > dozen black airmen became subjects in the Tuskegee syphyllis > > experiments, millions of jews had been exterminated in a national > > experiment in racial engineering. Got enough apples for THAT > perspective? > > I was comparing the way *German soldiers* were supposedly being > treated vs. > the way some *"black" American citizens* (and "black" military > personnel) > were being treated here. But you are talking about how Jews were > treated - > in Europe. Speaking of apples (since you conveniently brought them > up) - > why have have sidled over into the "oranges" perspective? I was comparing how one oppressed minority was treated in Germany with how another was treated in the US. Apples and apples, dear. > The way Jews were treated in Europe in no way justified the way > American citizens were treated > right here. That is not to say Jews weren't treated horribly. They > were > (somewhat less horribly in the United States, and about as nighmarish > horribly as can be imagined during the reign of the Nazis in Europe). > That's another subject, and another (added) perspective. Dead is a bit more than 'being treated horribly'. Being treated horribly is having your credit card refused or sitting in the back of the bus. > > Mike, why do you seem so hostile? Can't we talk? Sorry, its late, I've been very tired from nursing mom, and you know that moral equivilancy arguments always tick me off, and of course part of my family is jewish. I am reminded of an editorial cartoon I saw last year depicting two al Qaeda/Taliban hiding in an afghani cave highin the Hindu Kush, freezing their asses off and reading the al Qaeda Times with a review of conditions for prisoners in the tropical paradise of Guantanamo Bay, the reviewer says, "Too Breezy, no pillow mints." To which the talibanis respond, "Barbarians!!!" ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From extropy at unreasonable.com Sat Dec 6 04:07:36 2003 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Fri, 05 Dec 2003 23:07:36 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: Intelligence correlations In-Reply-To: <20031206013344.26906.qmail@web41204.mail.yahoo.com> References: <003901c3baf9$a15e22f0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031205215941.025c6008@mail.comcast.net> At 05:33 PM 12/5/2003 -0800, Jeff Davis wrote: >I have been wondering for some time now whether there >is any research to correlate 'intelligence' with >'various cultural parameters'. For example religious >belief, with sub correlations to specific religions >and degrees of fundamentalism. Or along political >lines: Repub, Dem, Liber, Green, Indep, Commie, >non-voter. Or say, liberal vs conservative. Or gay >vs straight. Not to mention along gender lines. > >I've googled in search of this data, but so far no >luck. Any of y'all got any tips for me? As you might expect, the higher the intelligence level, the harder it is to get a decent sample. Myers-Briggs personality -- Overall population is (75% E, 25% I), (75% S, 25% N), (55% T, 45% F), (50% J, 50% P). Mensa (1:50 IQ) came out at (27% E, 73% I), (10% S, 90% N), (75% T, 25% F), (75% J, 25% P) in a 1993 study. The Triple Nine Society (1:1000) only had a couple dozen data points in an on-line poll. Almost everyone was NT. More I than E and slightly more J than P. Triple Nine seems to be largely agnostics who are either libertarian or conservative but there are notable exceptions. I suspect the connection is between personality and politics (libertarians usually being NT's) and between personality and intelligence, rather than directly between intelligence and politics. By the way, it appears that people in the extropian community are pretty similar to Triple Nine in politics, intelligence, and personality. Intelligence distribution of men vs. women *has* been extensively studied, and you should be able to find a lot of links. You might start with Kevin Langdon, "Sex Differences in the Distribution of Mental Ability" ( http://www.polymath-systems.com/intel/essayrev/sexdiff.html ). I'm not aware of any studies of gay vs. straight. I would be skeptical, though, of how representative any gay sample would be of the overall gay population. >Clearly, such 'data' is controversial and subject to >a high bogosity coefficient (cf The Bell Curve). >Never the less, inquiring minds want to know. Have you actually read _The Bell Curve_? I'm finally getting around to it. The level of documentation and rigor for its assertions is far greater than its critics would have you believe. It seems roughly on par with Thomas Sowell's best although not as much fun to read. I do know that it is considered a credible work by people who are both skilled in psychometrics and members of high-IQ communities with 3 to 5 S.D. entrance requirements (that is, one-in-a-thousand to one-in-a-million). The bogosity seems to be mostly in criticism by people who haven't actually read the book. Much like what _More Guns, Less Crime_ received, for similar reasons. -- David Lubkin. From thespike at earthlink.net Sat Dec 6 04:31:39 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 22:31:39 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] theobiology References: <20031205230445.69884.qmail@web60506.mail.yahoo.com><01c301c3bb88$506a5c80$82994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <02a801c3bbb1$d989d440$82994a43@texas.net> > `Fellowship University'? Google finds it not, not surprisingly. http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8&q=%2B%22fellowship+univ ersity%22&btnG=Google+Search > > actually Google found 25,600 references to the phrase "fellowship university" Yes, endless references to Chi Alpha Christian Fellowship, University of Florida, or InterVarsity Christian Fellowship - University of Delaware, or Vaclav Havel Fellowship, University of Michigan. So? Not what I was talking about. If you think it is, please post its location, address and url. (I might be wrong, would like to know if I am.) Damien Broderick From thespike at earthlink.net Sat Dec 6 05:11:52 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 23:11:52 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Whoops! and holiday greetings References: <20031206010925.70022.qmail@web41209.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <02c701c3bbb7$78b457c0$82994a43@texas.net> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Jeff Davis" Sent: Friday, December 05, 2003 7:09 PM > Whoops! I wrote: > Greetings and best wishes to you and Barbara this > holiday season. I hope youse guys are together again. Luckily the INS guys at the LAX gate kindly allowed me in once more, yes, and this time I hope to be allowed to stay in my San Antonio home with my Texan missus for a bit longer than previously. And best wishes to youse-all extropes, too. Damien Broderick From spike66 at comcast.net Sat Dec 6 05:37:19 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 21:37:19 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] theobiology In-Reply-To: <01ce01c3bb8b$16a3fd00$82994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <000001c3bbbb$045f0380$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > Do I scent a lapsed Seventh Day Adventist? This must be what > Spike detected in the parody site. > > Damien Broderick I see no hints of SDA, but rather many indications of a Baptist who has become unborn again. I have sold all my old theology text books so I will wing this from memory. I scanned several of the pages of the site in question, and I must say it is an impressive piece of parody, not something that was put together in two or three evenings. The author demonstrates familiarity with christian apologetics in several places. She knows the lingo and the lines of reasoning. One of the clearest clues is found in the following comment: ...The Bible is the infallible and inerrant word of God; everything that He wanted us to know about Faith can be found in its pages. If He remains silent on the issue of the number of nails used in the sacrifice of His only begotten Son, then it is not for us to presume to make it a point of contention... The concept is very much a Baptist notion, that the bible contains everything we *really need to know* in order to be decent people. This concept eventually led to the absurd and reprehensible conclusion that slavery is evidently not a sin under all circumstances, since the bible mentions it in several places and doesn't actually say it is a sin. In the short new testament letter to Philemon (a christian leader and slave owner), Paul never clearly spells out "Philemon, thou stupid twit! Slavery is a SIN! Let Onesimus go!" The Baptists were forced by their own assumption about biblical ethical completeness to defend slavery, which they shamelessly did until ninteeeeen niiiinty fiiiiive, yes my friends, 1995. Up to that time they actually published literature attempting to explain why slavery really wasn't a crime against humanity. They weasled it around by saying that one of the Christ twins, either Jesus or Hoerkheimer, said "...render unto Caesar that which is Caesar's..." which means we are morally obligated to obey the laws of the land. Slavery wasn't actually illegal and therefore not a sin until Lincoln's emancipation proclamation of 1863. The Baptists eventually acknowledged the utter absurdity of the position and caved in, which actually introduced a logical inconsistency into their own philosophical foundations. Of course they are not the first group to succumb to philosophical pressure. Recall that poor Galileo was in hell by direct order from the pope until quite recently. Before we gloat to loudly, we must acknowledge that even extropian philosophy contains logical tension. For instance, it seems to me we have never fully come to grips with the inherent contradictions of libertarianism, such as the fact that there are three very different breeds that all fall under the same banner: those that arrived at libertarianism from the left, those that arrived from the right, and Amara, who arrived at libertarianism from above. {8-] spike From fauxever at sprynet.com Sat Dec 6 05:41:37 2003 From: fauxever at sprynet.com (Olga Bourlin) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 21:41:37 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Trouble With Democracy References: <20031206040036.66481.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <004b01c3bbbb$9def9af0$6400a8c0@brainiac> From: "Mike Lorrey" > > --- Olga Bourlin wrote: > > > Oh WHAAAAAAAA While black soldiers had to whine about getting > > powdered> > > eggs, Jews in Germany were getting exterminated, so put that > > > "perspective" in your pipe and smoke it. While blacks were getting > > > stuck in logistics jobs instead of being sent to the front to die > > (oh,> > > the horror), jewish prisoners were being worked to death building > > V-2> > > rockets in cave factories. While black soldiers were risking court > > > martial for refusing to load or unload dangerous munition cargoes > > from> > > ships, jews refusing to work were summarily shot. By the time > > several> > > dozen black airmen became subjects in the Tuskegee syphyllis > > > experiments, millions of jews had been exterminated in a national > > > experiment in racial engineering. Got enough apples for THAT > > perspective? > > > > I was comparing the way *German soldiers* were supposedly being > > treated vs. > > the way some *"black" American citizens* (and "black" military > > personnel) > were being treated here. But you are talking about how Jews were > > treated -> > in Europe. Speaking of apples (since you conveniently brought them > > up) -> > why have have sidled over into the "oranges" perspective? > > I was comparing how one oppressed minority was treated in Germany with > how another was treated in the US. Apples and apples, dear. Wrong. *You* started comparing the oppressed in Germany with the oppressed in America, but (again) that was *not* my point. The United States was fighting *against* Germany. Germany (here's the crucial difference) didn't pretend to be the "land of the free." U.S./democracy: apples. Germany/fascism: oranges. Of course, there was that incident with the ship St Louis, where the U.S. wouldn't allow Jews fleeing the Nazis to disembark on our shores, but, again ... another interesting aside to the whole sorry saga: http://www.ushmm.org/stlouis/story/voyage/ > > The way Jews were treated in Europe in no way justified the way > > American citizens were treated > > right here. That is not to say Jews weren't treated horribly. They > > were > > (somewhat less horribly in the United States, and about as nighmarish > > horribly as can be imagined during the reign of the Nazis in Europe).> > That's another subject, and another (added) perspective. > > Dead is a bit more than 'being treated horribly'. Being treated > horribly is having your credit card refused or sitting in the back of > the bus. You mean dead is worse than ...? No kidding? Well, thank you for this eye-opening revelation. (Who knows? One of these days we may even hear you come to the conclusion: "Better red than dead." On second thought ........... naaaaaaaaaaaaaaaah.) But seriously, you are being naive, simplistic and intellectually dishonest if you are implying (using your example) that "sitting [at] the back of the bus" was about as bad as things got for "blacks" in America. You know better than that. You don't score points for your case by soft peddling cruelly real issues like the history of racism in America. > > Mike, why do you seem so hostile? Can't we talk? > Sorry, it's late, I've been very tired from nursing mom, and you know > that moral equivilancy arguments always tick me off, and of course part > of my family is jewish. Whether your family is part Jewish (or not) should have no bearing on your empathy for people who are treated unfairly. Or - am I the one who's confused? - because I just can't help but think: *Why* should that matter? Good night, Sweet Prince ... Olga From hal at finney.org Sat Dec 6 05:43:52 2003 From: hal at finney.org (Hal Finney) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 21:43:52 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan Message-ID: <200312060543.hB65hqM30870@finney.org> Brett Paatsch writes: > For some reason the exchange between Smalley and Drexler > reminded me of a story I read when studying research methods > in psychology years ago. I found the text book _Research Methods > In Psychology_ (1985. Shaughnessy and Zechmeisser) and include > the story below: > "Can The Null Hypothesis Ever Be Accepted As True? > When we take a strict approach to null hypothesis testing - that the > only acceptable decisions are to reject H0 or to fail to reject H0 - > we are essentially acknowledging the fact that it is impossible to > prove that something does not exist. I had a similar reaction. Here is a posting I was working on about the debate at http://pubs.acs.org/cen/coverstory/8148/8148counterpoint.html: One of the problems I often see in debates about nanotechnology is an attempt to shift the burden of proof onto the other side. (This is actually a widespread problem in debates on all topics, but I think it is particularly inappropriate with nanotech.) In the online debate between Drexler and Smalley, it seems sometimes that the issue is, "Are the fat-finger and/or sticky-finger problems inherent to all possible nanotech assembler designs?" This puts the burden on the critic to show that there are no possible designs which could evade a particular problem, a virtually impossible task. But that's not fair. The big issue here is obvious: will Drexlerian nanotech work? Will we have the kind of revolutionary developments described in Engines of Creation and Drexler's other books? Will we have self-replicating machines which can replace most of the world's industrial capacity in a manner of, what, a few years? months? days? These are extraordinary claims, and many experts in physics and chemistry say that they are not credible. The burden of proof here is obvious. It is on the nanotech supporter, not the critic. He is the one making amazing predictions. He is the one who must support his claims by providing evidence in the form of technological plans and designs sufficient to make a strong case that this will all be possible. He can't just wave his hands and say, if one thing doesn't work, we'll try something else. He can't point to living things as an existence proof (because Drexlerian nanotech's revolutionary properties go far beyond anything possible with biology). He needs to come up with enough specifics to make his case. The burden of proof is on him. Supporters of Drexlerian nanotech must take on this burden squarely and refrain from demands that critics prove that the technology is impossible. Along these lines, let me ask a question. In his open letter, Drexler complains about Smalley's statement that assemblers will suffer from the "fat finger" and "sticky finger" problems. He writes, "I find this puzzling because, like enzymes and ribosomes, proposed assemblers neither have nor need these 'Smalley fingers'." So I will ask, what "proposed assemblers"? What is Drexler referring to, a proposal for an assembler that doesn't have these problems? My understanding is that we lack any designs for self-replicating assemblers that would be sufficiently detailed to know that they will work and not need "fingers". If Drexler has an assembler proposal that answers this question, I'd appreciate a pointer to it. Hal From spike66 at comcast.net Sat Dec 6 05:50:07 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 21:50:07 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Whoops! and holiday greetings In-Reply-To: <02c701c3bbb7$78b457c0$82994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <000001c3bbbc$ce0cffb0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > And best wishes to youse-all extropes, too. > > Damien Broderick We really must fix the flaw in English that the word meaning you is the same for singular and plural. Various dialects have attempted patches, such as y'all, youse, you guys, you-uns, youse-all, youay, all yall, youse guys, and even the disrespectful- sounding "you people." We need a standard patch. Suggestions? spike From spike66 at comcast.net Sat Dec 6 06:02:02 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Fri, 5 Dec 2003 22:02:02 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] ramano's bad luck with rotorcraft In-Reply-To: <02c701c3bbb7$78b457c0$82994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <000201c3bbbe$784c6a00$6501a8c0@SHELLY> I propose a massive email campaign to michael Chrichton to explain to him what *should* to happen to likeable grinches. They are supposed to have their heart grow three sizes then get the strength of ten griches plus two, not have a flaming helicopter land upon them like Wile E. Coyote. Good bad-guys aren't supposed to meet with a hapless demise. What is the matter with that guy? spike From gpmap at runbox.com Sat Dec 6 08:28:29 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 09:28:29 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Humans and computers compete in virtual creature game Message-ID: >From the New Scientist: An online game that lets contestants build and race virtual beasts is being used to pit humans against a variety of artificial intelligence algorithms. The objective of Sodarace, which started at the end of November, is to construct a two dimensional creature that can travel over a certain type of terrain in the shortest possible time. Each creature is constructed of "mass", muscles", "limbs" and "joints" which control the way it moves. These creations can then be raced over a piece of terrain. Creatures can have many limbs or none at all and can walk, wriggle or even jump along. It is relatively simple to construct a creature by hand. But the game has been written so that a creature's key parameters can easily be fed into another computer program and artificial intelligence (AI) programmers are being invited to take part. So far, Sodarace has attracted thousands of contestants from around the world. These include hobbyists and professional AI researchers. In the first round, a human player was able to outwit competing computer algorithms to develop the fastest creature. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From gpmap at runbox.com Sat Dec 6 08:52:53 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 09:52:53 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] White House is hoping to renew space intrigue Message-ID: >From the International Herald Tribune: The Bush administration is developing a new strategy for the U.S. space program that would send American astronauts back to the moon for the first time in more than 30 years, according to administration and congressional officials who said the plan also included a manned mission to Mars. A lunar mission - possibly establishing a permanent base there - is the focus of high-level White House discussions on how to reinvigorate the space program following the space shuttle Columbia accident this year, said the officials, who spoke on condition of anonymity. NASA, along with other agencies, has been providing the administration with information about these long-term objectives," said Robert Jacobs, a spokesman for the National Aeronautics and Space Administration. NASA officials met in Washington this week as part of a national space policy review prompted by the Columbia disaster, which killed all seven astronauts aboard. While officials stressed that the White House had yet to sign off on a specific plan, they said President George W. Bush was expected soon to unveil a strategy that would include manned missions to the moon and to Mars. The idea is to motivate NASA engineers and researchers by aiming to explore deeper reaches of space than the current shuttle fleet is capable of visiting. Vice President Dick Cheney recently met with members of Congress to discuss the proposals, the officials said. NASA officials and space specialists increasingly believe that recent American human space flight activities - particularly the delayed and costly construction of the International Space Station - do not push the envelope enough to motivate researchers and engineers or spark the kind of public fascination with space that was generated by the first missions to the moon. A challenge to go back to the moon and reinvigorate the space flight program would be welcomed by the public. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Sat Dec 6 12:20:08 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 23:20:08 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Whoops! and holiday greetings References: <000001c3bbbc$ce0cffb0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <039e01c3bbf3$49eb24a0$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Spike wrote: > > > And best wishes to youse-all extropes, too. > > > > Damien Broderick > > We really must fix the flaw in English that the word > meaning you is the same for singular and plural. > Various dialects have attempted patches, such as > y'all, youse, you guys, you-uns, youse-all, youay, > all yall, youse guys, and even the disrespectful- > sounding "you people." We need a standard patch. > > Suggestions? Use ewes? Brett Paatsch (surname "patch" in standard 'Australian') From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sat Dec 6 15:12:57 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 07:12:57 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] DRUG: Coke/X cause mutations Message-ID: <20031206151257.46875.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&u=/nm/20031205/sc_nm/health_cocaine_dna_dc_4 Italian researchers have concluded a three year study with results showing that use of drugs like cocaine and excstasy cause mutations in subjects DNA. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sat Dec 6 15:57:57 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 07:57:57 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Whoops! and holiday greetings In-Reply-To: <039e01c3bbf3$49eb24a0$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: <20031206155757.47656.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> --- Brett Paatsch wrote: > Spike wrote: > > > > > And best wishes to youse-all extropes, too. > > > > > > Damien Broderick > > > > We really must fix the flaw in English that the word > > meaning you is the same for singular and plural. > > Various dialects have attempted patches, such as > > y'all, youse, you guys, you-uns, youse-all, youay, > > all yall, youse guys, and even the disrespectful- > > sounding "you people." We need a standard patch. > > > > Suggestions? > > Use ewes? Yoots (also useful in referring to youths in inner city settings). I'll note that the French have 'tu' for the singular and 'vous' for the plural (as best I recall). Y'all does seem to be spreading with the popularity of country music, so it may wind up becoming the default choice, especially as it is most phonetically efficient. I hear it more often with the folks in northern new england these days, and yankees love phonetic efficiency, as evinced by our lack of 'r's. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From neptune at superlink.net Sat Dec 6 16:15:22 2003 From: neptune at superlink.net (Technotranscendence) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 11:15:22 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Trouble With Democracy References: <20031206040036.66481.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> <004b01c3bbbb$9def9af0$6400a8c0@brainiac> Message-ID: <00be01c3bc14$276f9de0$07ce5cd1@neptune> On Saturday, December 06, 2003 12:41 AM Olga Bourlin fauxever at sprynet.com wrote: > Wrong. *You* started comparing the oppressed > in Germany with the oppressed in America, but > (again) that was *not* my point. The United > States was fighting *against* Germany. > Germany (here's the crucial difference) didn't > pretend to be the "land of the free." U.S./ > democracy: apples. Germany/fascism: oranges. While this is correct, one should also remember that the Nazi period was only 12 years. Before the Nazis, Jews were a considerable large minority in Germany, Austria, and many other Central and Eastern European countries. (Of course, many Jews did migrate to the West and to Israel, but, IIRC, a large percentage were killed by the Nazis and their henchmen -- among other groups they tried to wipe out, such as White Russians, and Poles.) > Of course, there was that incident with the ship > St Louis, where the U.S. wouldn't allow Jews > fleeing the Nazis to disembark on our shores, > but, again ... another interesting aside to the > whole sorry saga: > http://www.ushmm.org/stlouis/story/voyage/ A shameful episode. > But seriously, you are being naive, simplistic > and intellectually dishonest if you are implying > (using your example) that "sitting [at] the back > of the bus" was about as bad as things got > for "blacks" in America. You know better > than that. You don't score points for your > case by soft peddling cruelly real issues like > the history of racism in America. As long as you're alive, you can live to fight or be free another day. However, many Blacks were lynched. However, this was nothing like the mass killings of Jews and other groups by the Nazis and their allies. > Whether your family is part Jewish (or not) should > have no bearing on your empathy for people who > are treated unfairly. Or - am I the one who's > confused? - because I just can't help but think: > *Why* should that matter? It should NOT matter in the moral or cognitive sense, but it does matter emotionally. Humans naturally band together into groups and show more empathy for those they can identify with. I'm not saying this is right or wrong, but it is what happens. Cheers! Dan http://uweb.superlink.net/neptune/MyWorks.html "You will never find anybody who can give you a clear and compelling reason why we observe daylight savings time." -- Dave Barry From scerir at libero.it Sat Dec 6 17:50:45 2003 From: scerir at libero.it (scerir) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 18:50:45 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Whoops! and holiday greetings References: <20031206155757.47656.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <000a01c3bc21$7a6cd000$f0c7fea9@scerir> "Mike Lorrey" > I'll note that the French have 'tu' for the singular and 'vous' for the > plural (as best I recall) We also use "tu" for the singular, and "voi" for the plural. But, during fascism they used "voi" plural, instead of "tu", for the singular too, because it was more robust, solemn. Still now you can find somebody saying "voi", for the singular. For the same reason "voi", for the singular, was/is strongly forbidden, among leftists. But we also use, instead of "tu" (singular), "lei" or "ella" (singular) when the situation is formal (in theory "lei" and "ella" is a third person, singular) and you want to put some distance between you and the other. Less difficult to understand is questo = this (close to me) quello = that (far from me) codesto = ??? (far from me, close to you) Sanin s. From spike66 at comcast.net Sat Dec 6 17:55:29 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 09:55:29 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] promoting libertarianism effectively In-Reply-To: <000a01c3bc21$7a6cd000$f0c7fea9@scerir> Message-ID: <001001c3bc22$23044c20$6501a8c0@SHELLY> http://www.cnn.com/2002/ALLPOLITICS/09/19/cf.opinionrachel.mills/index.h tml Why didnt we think of this before? spike From jonkc at att.net Sat Dec 6 18:17:06 2003 From: jonkc at att.net (John K Clark) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 13:17:06 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan References: <020801c3bb97$2650ef40$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: <027201c3bc25$420b8950$11ff4d0c@hal2001> "Brett Paatsch" > it is impossible to prove that something does not exist. That's not quite true; you can prove that the largest prime number does not exist for example. A perpetual motion machine can not exist either if the law of conservation of energy is true and to deny that would put one squarely in the junk science camp. Likewise if it could be shown that for Drexler's assemblers to work you'd need to move faster than light, violate the conservation of momentum law, place things with more precision than Heisenberg allows, or violate the second law of thermodynamics then it would be safe to dismiss the entire idea as nonsense; but nobody has come close to doing that. I also disagree that life is not a pretty good existence proof of the idea, it's true Drexler's machines can do more but that's what you'd expect, all else being equal intelligent design will always beat random mutation and natural selection. Of course we will not know with absolute certainty that Drexler was correct until an assembler is actually built, and that should be about 20 minutes before the singularity. John K Clark jonkc at att.net From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sat Dec 6 18:24:24 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 10:24:24 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] promoting libertarianism effectively In-Reply-To: <001001c3bc22$23044c20$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031206182424.53474.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> --- Spike wrote: > http://www.cnn.com/2002/ALLPOLITICS/09/19/cf.opinionrachel.mills/index.h > tml > > > Why didnt we think of this before? Actually, I think Rachel started the project on the Free State forums. She's a great gal, and expect more coming. In June, we will be having the "Porc-Fest", a festival in the Free State, for Porcupines (FSP members) and prospective members from elsewhere in the country to visit, get to know NH, attend libertarian seminars, take bus and car tours of the state, focusing on real estate and communities of particular note to libertarians planning to move here, and get to know a lot more fellow members. We will have entertainment as well, which may include some well known libertarian entertainers. Recreational opportunities include hiking, fishing, kayaking, shooting, rock climbing, boating, biking, and much more. Planning is currently underway, so expect more details in a few months. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From fauxever at sprynet.com Sat Dec 6 19:13:51 2003 From: fauxever at sprynet.com (Olga Bourlin) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 11:13:51 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Trouble With Democracy References: <20031206040036.66481.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com><004b01c3bbbb$9def9af0$6400a8c0@brainiac> <00be01c3bc14$276f9de0$07ce5cd1@neptune> Message-ID: <003201c3bc2d$16929040$6400a8c0@brainiac> From: "Technotranscendence" > On Saturday, December 06, 2003 12:41 AM Olga Bourlin > fauxever at sprynet.com wrote: > > Of course, there was that incident with the ship > > St Louis, where the U.S. wouldn't allow Jews > > fleeing the Nazis to disembark on our shores, > > but, again ... another interesting aside to the > > whole sorry saga: > > http://www.ushmm.org/stlouis/story/voyage/ > > A shameful episode. But not all that surprising, was it? Gregory Peck starred in a movie (mid 1940s if memory serves) called "Gentlemen's Agreement" (a Jewish variation on the "Black Like Me" plot of the late 1950s/early 1960s) where the plot involved pretending to be Jewish, for the sake of journalistic research. Ooooh ... and the nasty goings on he discovered, tsk, tsk, tsk. That movie - almost a decade *after* this St Louis incident - was about as provocative as pabulum, but it was supposed to be groundbreaking for its time (just as the namby-pamby "Guess Who's Coming to Dinner?" was considered oh-so-controversial in the late 1960s). > > But seriously, you are being naive, simplistic > > and intellectually dishonest if you are implying > > (using your example) that "sitting [at] the back > > of the bus" was about as bad as things got > > for "blacks" in America. You know better > > than that. You don't score points for your > > case by soft peddling cruelly real issues like > > the history of racism in America. > > As long as you're alive, you can live to fight or be free another day. > However, many Blacks were lynched. Yes. However, this was nothing like the > mass killings of Jews and other groups by the Nazis and their allies. We cannot justify slapping kids around in America by saying, "However, this is nothing like the mass limb amputations by machetes performed on thousands of children in Sierra Leone ..." We cannot condone spousal abuse here by saying, "However, this is nothing like the public floggings of Iranians prescribed by Shari'a (an Islamic law) ..." We cannot excuse religious intolerance in our country by saying, "However, this is nothing like the suffering people have undergone under the Taliban ..." I never intimated that Jews who were caught by the Nazis suffered any more or less than American "blacks." Whether they did or not is irrelevant and immaterial, as I was pointing out the racism in America during and after WWII for this discussion. My comment was fostered when the discussion turned to a comparison about how well some German prisoners during WWII in America were treated by some of our good-hearted citizens. Of course, an apples-to-apples comparison could be made insofar as Jews in America at that time. Jews, like "blacks" in America, also experienced some housing discrimination, job discrimination, being barred from "exclusive" WASP golf club memberships and the like, but at least they could drink out of "white" drinking fountains, marry other "whites," be "movie stars," and generally be a part of whatever was American society at that time (you know, those years so many white Americans remember nostalgically as "the good old days"). > > Whether your family is part Jewish (or not) should > > have no bearing on your empathy for people who > > are treated unfairly. Or - am I the one who's > > confused? - because I just can't help but think: > > *Why* should that matter? > > It should NOT matter in the moral or cognitive sense, but it does matter > emotionally. Humans naturally band together into groups and show more > empathy for those they can identify with. I'm not saying this is right > or wrong, but it is what happens. Another aside: it seems like if given half a chance, those once discriminated against can turn out to be the oppressors (look at Israel). Due to my upbringing (too many countries in so little time), I must have lost out on the lessons of my tribe. I can distinguish between people I personally like and don't like (yet feel a compassion for humans in general because, after all, we are doomed to die ...). I can try to distinguish between just and unjust laws. But I've not had any particularly special feeling about my ancestral "group." I do have a fondness for Russian cuisine, but my palate - just as my current ethnic "grouping" - has broken out of the boundaries of Slavdom (slavedom? - interesting ...). Vive le difference, I say. Olga From scerir at libero.it Sat Dec 6 19:44:20 2003 From: scerir at libero.it (scerir) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 20:44:20 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] old toys for N-mas References: <001001c3bc22$23044c20$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <000401c3bc31$779b6d40$f0c7fea9@scerir> Newtonmas is close. FAO Schwarz, the 'ultimate' toy store http://www.faoschwarz.com/default.cfm isn't in good (financial) shape. Let us turn to everlasting items. Hero's Fountain -reality http://physics.kenyon.edu/EarlyApparatus/Fluids/Heros_Fountain/Heros_Fountai n.html -theory http://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0310039 The Drinking Bird -reality http://www.backstreet.demon.co.uk/oddstuff/drinkingbirds/drinkingbirds.htm -theory http://nautilus.fis.uc.pt/personal/mfiolhais/artigosdid/did15.pdf http://nautilus.fis.uc.pt/personal/mfiolhais/artigosdid/did14.pdf The Cartesian Diver -reality http://physics.kenyon.edu/EarlyApparatus/Fluids/Cartesian_Diver/Cartesian_Di ver.html -theory http://nautilus.fis.uc.pt/personal/mfiolhais/artigosdid/did13.pdf http://nautilus.fis.uc.pt/personal/mfiolhais/artigosdid/did8.pdf -philosophy http://www.ed.uiuc.edu/courses/CI241-science-Sp95/resources/philoToy/philoTo y.html From eugen at leitl.org Sat Dec 6 19:58:01 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 20:58:01 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: <200312060543.hB65hqM30870@finney.org> References: <200312060543.hB65hqM30870@finney.org> Message-ID: <20031206195800.GC5783@leitl.org> On Fri, Dec 05, 2003 at 09:43:52PM -0800, Hal Finney wrote: > I had a similar reaction. Here is a posting I was working on about the > debate at http://pubs.acs.org/cen/coverstory/8148/8148counterpoint.html: I have an unfinished post sitting in my postponed queue, which (quite rudely) interleaves in the Drexler/Smalley exchange. > One of the problems I often see in debates about nanotechnology is an > attempt to shift the burden of proof onto the other side. (This is > actually a widespread problem in debates on all topics, but I think > it is particularly inappropriate with nanotech.) In the online debate > between Drexler and Smalley, it seems sometimes that the issue is, "Are > the fat-finger and/or sticky-finger problems inherent to all possible > nanotech assembler designs?" This puts the burden on the critic to show > that there are no possible designs which could evade a particular problem, > a virtually impossible task. The problem with Smalley that his critique is limited to a few off the cuff statements he's unwilling or unable to expand. We've had heard these same points before (in fact, I used very similiar points once, from a pure synthetic chemist's point of view), whereas the machine-phase approach has meanwhile resulted in considerable number of publications. > But that's not fair. The big issue here is obvious: will Drexlerian > nanotech work? Will we have the kind of revolutionary developments > described in Engines of Creation and Drexler's other books? Will we > have self-replicating machines which can replace most of the world's > industrial capacity in a manner of, what, a few years? months? days? > > These are extraordinary claims, and many experts in physics and chemistry > say that they are not credible. The burden of proof here is obvious. > It is on the nanotech supporter, not the critic. He is the one making > amazing predictions. He is the one who must support his claims by > providing evidence in the form of technological plans and designs > sufficient to make a strong case that this will all be possible. The Bush administration has just approved a major spending package for R&D in nanotechnology, machine-phase being notably exempt from the plan. Now this is not very nice. What would be sufficient as a burden of proof? We already have evidence of machine-phase in manipulative proximal probe. There are no simulators large and precise enough to contain a full design. In a sense, the only hard proof will be a working assembler itself, or something with a self-rep closure so close to unity it doesn't require a leap of faith to go over unity, and to scale down the design. Where will money for this come from? Smalley is blocking R&D in that development quite efficiently by using essentially arguments from authority. This is not a laid-back ivory tower discussion. This is political science, with R&D budget and long-term policy being at stake. > He can't just wave his hands and say, if one thing doesn't work, we'll > try something else. He can't point to living things as an existence Actually, yes, because there are several approaches in design space. Just because one aspect has been invalidated (I personally expect crosslinked polymer as structure bulk, not diamond nor graphenes; and possibly sorting of precursors from a stochastical synthetic batch, along with microfluidics functionalization, self-assembly *and* machine phase as the most viable approach) it doesn't mean the whole thing is a no-go. > proof (because Drexlerian nanotech's revolutionary properties go far > beyond anything possible with biology). He needs to come up with Not really, enzymes (and enzyme assemblies) plus active transport within the cell do fall within mechanosynthesis domain. The reactive site in an enzyme does resemble processes occuring at the tip, albeit minus some aspects (substrate recognition and envelopment, bond weakening before breakage). > enough specifics to make his case. The burden of proof is on him. > Supporters of Drexlerian nanotech must take on this burden squarely and > refrain from demands that critics prove that the technology is impossible. It's still perfectly valid to call bogus arguments that, I hope. > Along these lines, let me ask a question. In his open letter, Drexler > complains about Smalley's statement that assemblers will suffer from > the "fat finger" and "sticky finger" problems. He writes, "I find this Fat fingers is a perfectly valid point, though stated in dumbed-down language. There's steric hindrance from the side of plane substrate, and tool tips coming from other space quadrants (to be stiff, they need to be bulky). How many tool tips need to be simultaneously present, though? It's not obvious we need more than one, or two. I don't like cycles, even if it's driven at resonance, but you don't really need cycles. A SWNT can continuously extrude an allene strand, and polymerize this linear monomer with a minimal-amplitude tooltip oscillation. This is a continuous, one-tip deposition. Where are the fat fingers here? This is the same thing as bucky-tipped AFM head, and you know the resolution of that. You can buy these tools, and they resolve deep crevices at atomic resolution. Now sticky fingers are a red herring, because no one is proposing to handle naked reactive monoatomics. It's perfectly possible to drag and position e.g. Xe on Ni at cryogenic UHV conditions precisely because Xe sticks to the STM tip. Cycled deposition doesn't deposit atoms directly, only formally so. You don't need a methyl radical to methylate Hg with Acetyl CoA. It's a cycle activate-deposit-regenerate, and it's all perfectly vanilla chemistry in-between, except it's all dry and extremely controlled. > puzzling because, like enzymes and ribosomes, proposed assemblers neither > have nor need these 'Smalley fingers'." > > So I will ask, what "proposed assemblers"? What is Drexler referring > to, a proposal for an assembler that doesn't have these problems? I presume he refers to mechanosynthetic reaction set, and these reactions indeed do not require Smalley fingers. Apart from Merkle's stuff, you'll see interesting hits for mechanosynthesis on Google. Now these are theoretic cycles, but they do use classic chemistry assumptions and calculations to back them up. I agree fundamentally that the set of these reactions the critical part of the proposed classical (you don't need a true assembler for a number of applications) assembler. > My understanding is that we lack any designs for self-replicating > assemblers that would be sufficiently detailed to know that they will > work and not need "fingers". If Drexler has an assembler proposal that Self-assembly doesn't need any fingers, and Drexler/Merkle stuff is limited to a few tooltips, so I wouldn't get too worked up about what Smalley says. > answers this question, I'd appreciate a pointer to it. Ultimatively, the best proof is to try designing your own. For the most part, it's currently all about modelling and software engineering. The bootstrap issue is not orthogonal to the design, but fund allocation is critically dependant on a killer demo, and if it's only in the virtual dry dock. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From spike66 at comcast.net Sat Dec 6 21:12:10 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 13:12:10 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] same story, different spins In-Reply-To: <000401c3bc31$779b6d40$f0c7fea9@scerir> Message-ID: <000901c3bc3d$9ce64730$6501a8c0@SHELLY> This is why I read at least two different news sources: http://www.cnn.com/2003/WORLD/asiapcf/central/12/06/afghan.blast/index.h tml http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,105037,00.html From natasha at natasha.cc Sat Dec 6 23:28:05 2003 From: natasha at natasha.cc (Natasha Vita-More) Date: Sat, 06 Dec 2003 15:28:05 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] ACTION: ERIC DREXLER's Message to ExI Message-ID: <5.2.0.9.0.20031206152400.0212d260@pop.earthlink.net> I am forwarding the below message from Eric Drexler: _______________________________________________________ "Nobel chemist Richard Smalley has responded to my longstanding challenge to defend the controversial direction of U.S. policy in nanotechnology, which excludes work on molecular manufacturing. This event -- and the press coverage now building -- offer an opportunity to change the flawed course of the field. The revolutionary promise of molecular nanotechnology (MNT) has become a part of society's expectations for the future. This technology will provide nanomedicine breakthroughs that could cure cancer and extend lifespace, bring abundance without environmental harm and provide clean sources of energy. These ideas are part of the vision that launched the field of nanotechnology. So the U.S. National Nanotechnology Initiative (NNI) is, of course, plotting an aggressive course toward MNT -- isn't it? Massive research funds are flowing to groups pursing competing approaches, and researchers are touting their results as steps toward the goal...right? The reality is starkly different. NNI research programs support a host of valuable projects yet exclude work explicitly directed toward MNT. In an effort to distance the field from fears that might threaten funding, the leading NNI spokesman, Richard Smalley, has declared that molecular assemblers are impossible. This stance has opened a vast gap between perception and reality, creating a world in which students interested in pursuing MNT research lack sponsorship, while lab groups and start-up companies working toward MNT goals must hide their intentions. By falsely declaring molecular assembly technology to be impossible, detractors have associated it with warp drives in official circles and relegated it to fringe status. Fortunately, this erroneous situation is beginning to change, in part because the extended Foresight community refuses to let this important issue be dismissed. We now have a unique opportunity to seize the momentum. Richard Smalley has responded to my challenge, and the ensuing exchange -- the Dec. 1 cover story of the American Chemical Society's magazine, Chemical & Engineering News -- may mark a tipping point, but only if it is seen -- and properly understood -- by a wider audience, and if it is properly translated into action. WHAT YOU CAN DO! 1) I urge you to read the Foresight press release and the full exchange , and then consider what part you can play in adding to the momentum. The detractors of MNT have shown the power of disinformation; it's time they saw what well-informed people can do. Some suggestions: 2) Speak up: make others aware of what's going on. Forward the press release and the exchange. Write a letter to the editor of your favorite publication, attaching these materials and requesting coverage of this important issue. Write policy makers about your concerns. Raise issues and answer naysayers though message boards and blogs. Show the opposition our numbers and knowledge. 3) Elevate the debate: shift the discussion on molecular assemblers and molecular manufacturing from rhetoric and metaphors to science and research. Demand proof from those dismissing the accomplishments to date. Give someone influential a copy of Nanosystems (Chapters 1 and 2 are on the web ). Refer them to the work of Ralph Merkle, Robert Freitas and others. 4) Get more active: request seminars and classes on related topics Transform your next social event or book group to focus on these issues. Become more engaged with Foresight -- help match the challenge grant , tell us about yourself and your skills consider how you can help with plans for Foresight's next phase . 5) Above all, take action. Regardless of what avenues you may choose, make your voice and intentions heard. Our future is counting on you. -- Eric K. Eric Drexler Chairman, Foresight Institute _______________________________________ Natasha Vita-More President, Extropy Institute http://www.extropy.org -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From cphoenix at best.com Sat Dec 6 21:55:52 2003 From: cphoenix at best.com (Chris Phoenix) Date: Sat, 06 Dec 2003 16:55:52 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan Message-ID: <3FD25068.949E23D0@best.com> This was CC'd to me, so I'll respond. Remember that I won't see any answers unless they are also CC'd to me. The debate is all screwed up. Each side thinks they have made a strong case and are obviously right and the other side is obviously wrong. Onlookers generally have strong emotional reasons to pick one side or the other. The situtation is a lot more symmetrical than it appears to either side. It's like a messy divorce: a lot of "he said she said," and no one can take a step back to realize that what's really important is that the lawyers are getting all the money. If you want to know who's right, you have to strip away the debate and look at the scientific claims. Most of the trouble here comes from the context and structure of the debate, not the scientific claims themselves. It's easy to reach an impasse in this discussion. You see the claims of cryonics, assemblers, doom-and-gloom scenarios, and you say, "These claims are extraordinary. Therefore I won't believe them without very strong evidence." But what evidence is possible? Note that these claims are not about scientific theory; they're about the projected consequences of one side's understanding of the theory. Drexler says that we have to prepare for MNT and we should be researching it further. This assumes there's a reasonable chance of MNT working. Which, when you take a step back, is at least plausible; there's a lot of careful theory that says it should, and no careful theory that says it can't. Drexler isn't (or at least shouldn't be) insisting that all scientists agree with him. It's just that MNT should be given a fair study, so that if it does work we won't be caught by surprise. To argue with this, a critic doesn't have to *prove* MNT can't work--just show that it's so unlikely there's no point in wasting time on it. This is a practial, not a theoretical issue. And it doesn't seem unfair to me. It's like an epidemiologist saying, "SARS has killed eighty people, but reasonable extrapolation shows it could kill ten million unless we stop it soon." Is this putting an unfair burden of proof on the Chinese government to open up unless they can show that SARS isn't a threat? No, it's a heavy burden, but it's not unfair. Hal complains about a lack of specifics on Drexler's side, and asks, "What 'proposed assemblers'?" Ironically, the specifics are there, but they're *too* specific. There's been a substantial amount of work in the past decade on mechanochemical systems, both the mechanics and the chemistry. But it's buried in a thick book with lots of equations, and a number of academic papers from several sources. One would have to spend substantial effort to find the details, and more effort to evaluate them. I've spent a decade doing this, and it turns out that building a mechanochemical system without "fingers" is not a big deal at all. That part of the claim is simply not extraordinary. Let me repeat that. The claim that mechanochemistry can be a useful manufacturing technique is not extraordinary. That doesn't mean it's right. But it's fairly simple to decide whether it's right or not. We already know mechanochemistry works in a few cases. The question is whether it can be used to build useful diamondoid shapes. So far, there's a significant amount of careful evidence that it can, from basic theory, chemical simulation, and experiment. And there's no careful evidence that it can't. (Whatever you may think about Smalley's argument, you must admit that he was not careful; his statements about enzymes were shockingly wrong.) Mechanochemistry is no stranger than surface catalysis or flame chemistry. It only seems weird and extraordinary because of its association with weird insect-like assemblers. On this particular claim, there should be no extremism or requirement for extraordinary proof on either side. It looks plausible and useful, but hasn't been demonstrated in detail. Fine--let's look at it more closely. The question may have some urgency, because if it works it may be the foundation of a very powerful manufacturing capability with lots of implications. But why does that imply that Drexler has to provide extraordinary evidence that it works? Seems to me just the opposite. Actually, I know why. If I tell you, "Lend me $10 and tomorrow I'll give you $15," you may do it. But if I say, "Lend me $10 and tomorrow I'll give you $100," you know something must be wrong somewhere. I think this is one reason why Drexler's claims, taken in aggregate, are not acceptable. It probably would've been better if Drexler had cloned himself, and Eric Drexler only talked about the science (which is pretty mundane and should have been respectable) while Drew Ericson talked about the policy implications if Drexler was right. It also would've been better if the description of assemblers did not map so closely to the archetype of bugs (in the sense of both insect and germ). But that's hindsight. The point is, the debate got off to a very unfortunate start. But if you want to understand the science, the only way to do that at this point is to strip away the debate history and just look at the scientific claims. Smalley says that precise positional chemistry can only work underwater. Is he right? No. Meanwhile, Drexler says NEMS can do carbon deposition on diamond to build NEMS. Is he right? So far, the evidence is on his side. Let's go get more evidence. Chris -- Chris Phoenix cphoenix at CRNano.org Director of Research Center for Responsible Nanotechnology http://CRNano.org From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Sat Dec 6 22:27:35 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 09:27:35 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan References: <020801c3bb97$2650ef40$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> <027201c3bc25$420b8950$11ff4d0c@hal2001> Message-ID: <04b801c3bc48$25dfd880$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> John K Clark wrote: > ..if it could be shown that for Drexler's assemblers to work > you'd need to move faster than light, violate the conservation > of momentum law, place things with more precision than > Heisenberg allows, or violate the second law of thermodynamics > then it would be safe to dismiss the entire idea as nonsense; but > nobody has come close to doing that. I am not dismissing the idea as nonsense. But I am wary that often what we want to be true isn't and I very much include myself in that category of we. I am glad that Smalley has engaged with Drexler, that in itself is a win for Drexler. Whether or not it is a win for the truth I can't say as I do not yet presume to know the truth on this matter. But it is a mistake to think that the burden of proof lies on Smalley. Its a political mistake. I think it was David Hume that said that extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence. There is an opportunity cost for people to investigate complex ideas requiring understanding in multiple disciplines like those that are detailed in Nanosystems. And it could be fairly asserted perhaps if they are true that there is an opportunity cost in not making the effort to come to terms with those ideas. But right now most people, even most intelligent people are not in the camp that can see it is true. Anything that can be done to make it easier to convince more people and to reduce the amount of effort open minded interested folk have to divert from there other tasks would I think be efforts well spent. > I also disagree that life is not a pretty good existence proof > of the idea, it's true Drexler's machines can do more but that's what > you'd expect, all else being equal intelligent design will always beat > random mutation and natural selection. Of course we will not know > with absolute certainty that Drexler was correct until an assembler > is actually built, and that should be about 20 minutes before the > singularity. I think it is possible to set the standard of verification lower than 20 minutes before the singularity, but I think it is prudent to realise that the task of persuading folk to spend time examining this issue and thinking about what standards of proof would be adequate or greatly improve confidence that further investigation into the matter is not wasted time, is itself a task that falls on either the enlightened or the true-believers. The open minded undecideds we can tell the enlightened from the true-believers beforehand. I am not looking to join the latest religious crusade I am willing (time permitting - and it often isn't - that's a problem everyone faces when they are trying to persuade) to engage in pleasant and interesting conversation with folk who know what they are talking about and who don't say - just read everything Drexler ever wrote and by the way here is thirty papers of my musings on partially related matters as well. That stuff may be said in good faith but it just doesn't persuade. Perhaps genuine discussion with those who are interested but not yet convinced and who will therefore play Socrates to Drexler's (and those that already agree with him's) Protogoras, is a good way to achieve two worthy things. 1. It allows the arguments aimed at persuading open-minded folk to be honed. 2. It brings some clear thinkers (who are often good persuaders once persuaded themselves) on-board quicker. Regards, Brett From max at maxmore.com Sat Dec 6 21:15:38 2003 From: max at maxmore.com (Max More) Date: Sat, 06 Dec 2003 15:15:38 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] promoting libertarianism effectively In-Reply-To: <001001c3bc22$23044c20$6501a8c0@SHELLY> References: <000a01c3bc21$7a6cd000$f0c7fea9@scerir> Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031206150543.00bc04c8@mail.earthlink.net> At 11:55 AM 12/6/2003, you wrote: >http://www.cnn.com/2002/ALLPOLITICS/09/19/cf.opinionrachel.mills/index.h >tml > >Why didnt we think of this before? Egad! What a terrible interview. It confirms the impression of Tucker Carlson as a moron, which I formed when I was on crossfire debating cryonics during the Ted Williams furor. More disappointingly, Rachel Mill's responses could have been much better -- even taking into account the rapid fire format. It doesn't help that the first two words out of her mouth are: "Child pornography?" When asked about marijuana, she replies "Marijuana, I think honest science proves that it's harmless just like alcohol". I must have missed the news when it was shown that alcohol is *harmless*. Defending the legality of a substance on the grounds that it's harmless is a doomed strategy. When asked, "which free-market economy turns you on most? she replies "You know, right now I like Russia, actually, because they just passed a 13 percent flat tax, and their economy is soaring". It's staggering that she would point to Russia as an exemplar of free markets! State control of the media with Putin looking like an old-time Communist, lack of the rule of law, and so on... I've never been a supporter of the LP even though its policies are closer to my views than any other party I know of. This display makes it even more likely that my non-support will continue. Spike, what on Earth was it that you liked about this? Max _______________________________________________________ Max More, Ph.D. max at maxmore.com or more at extropy.org http://www.maxmore.com Strategic Philosopher Chairman, Extropy Institute. http://www.extropy.org _______________________________________________________ From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Sat Dec 6 23:16:02 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 18:16:02 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] same story, different spins In-Reply-To: <000901c3bc3d$9ce64730$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <002801c3bc4e$eae78be0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Spike wrote, > This is why I read at least two different news sources: > > > I must be missing something. What is the difference between these two stories? -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From spike66 at comcast.net Sat Dec 6 23:42:20 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 15:42:20 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] promoting libertarianism effectively In-Reply-To: <5.1.0.14.2.20031206150543.00bc04c8@mail.earthlink.net> Message-ID: <000601c3bc52$976f9bc0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > At 11:55 AM 12/6/2003, you wrote: > >http://www.cnn.com/2002/ALLPOLITICS/09/19/cf.opinionrachel.mi > lls/index.html > > Spike, what on Earth was it that you liked about this? > > Max The calendars. I thought the interview was dippy too. The "promoting libertarianism effectively" was an ironic statement, which often doesn't work online. I should have put NOT! afterwards. Thanks for the reality check Max. {8-] spike From spike66 at comcast.net Sat Dec 6 23:45:06 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 15:45:06 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] same story, different spins In-Reply-To: <002801c3bc4e$eae78be0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <000701c3bc52$faa8c310$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > Spike wrote, > > This is why I read at least two different news sources: > > > > I must be missing something. What is the difference between these two stories? Harvey Very different spins. I scarcely recognize the two stories as describing the save event. When all the facts are in, it will be interesting to see if the Taliban really did this, and if so why was CNN so hesitant and if not why was Foxnews so speculative. spike From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sun Dec 7 00:13:41 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 16:13:41 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] promoting libertarianism effectively In-Reply-To: <000601c3bc52$976f9bc0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031207001341.86452.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> --- Spike wrote: > > At 11:55 AM 12/6/2003, you wrote: > > >http://www.cnn.com/2002/ALLPOLITICS/09/19/cf.opinionrachel.mi > > lls/index.html > > > > Spike, what on Earth was it that you liked about this? > > > > Max > > The calendars. I thought the interview was dippy too. The > "promoting libertarianism effectively" was an ironic statement, > which often doesn't work online. I should have put NOT! afterwards. > > Thanks for the reality check Max. On the contrary, anything we do to promote liberty in any way that doesn't hurt anybody is good. WHy? Because for most average people in America, when you say "libertarians", they say "whassat? sum kinna crazy democrat?" It is a common comment among many boomer males that the only reason they went to anti-war rallies as kids was to get laid. Get a clue. Sex sells. If it becomes common knowledge that supermodels attend Libertarian Conventions (and I've met quite a number of exotic dancers at LP events who are libertarians) then penises will follow, at least long enough to figure out that this is a serious political movement with rational arguments. Given the rather dippy arguments that Max was subjected to when he appeared on Crossfire, it it any wonder the dip factor on that show is any different today? Is it any surprise that both Carlson and Carville were left looking like idiots when facing an attractive woman who is not afraid of her own sexuality? Rachel coulda smacked em both between the eyes with a two by four and they wouldn't have noticed. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From max at maxmore.com Sat Dec 6 23:27:42 2003 From: max at maxmore.com (Max More) Date: Sat, 06 Dec 2003 17:27:42 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] promoting libertarianism effectively In-Reply-To: <20031207001341.86452.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> References: <000601c3bc52$976f9bc0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031206172545.03ca2108@mail.earthlink.net> Mike, I did not object to the calendars. Didn't say a word about them. It was everything else that looked weak to me. However, I disagree that *anything* done to get ideas about liberty out there is good. First impressions have a powerful influence on the human mind. A poor first impression only increases the work to be done. Max From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sun Dec 7 01:25:07 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 17:25:07 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] promoting libertarianism effectively In-Reply-To: <5.1.0.14.2.20031206172545.03ca2108@mail.earthlink.net> Message-ID: <20031207012507.21895.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> --- Max More wrote: > Mike, > > I did not object to the calendars. Didn't say a word about them. It > was everything else that looked weak to me. > > However, I disagree that *anything* done to get ideas about liberty > out there is good. First impressions have a powerful influence on the > human mind. A poor first impression only increases the work to be > done. I agree entirely. I disagree that an underwear calendar of attractive women is in any way a poor first impression. What do you want? A calendar of computer dorks with pocket protectors and birth control glasses??? Now THAT would go over like a lead balloon, and would certainly reinforce public perception of libertarians as fringe dorks. I'm not sure that the transcript accurately reflected the emotive context of Rachels statements. I believe she was expressing incredulity that Tucker Carlson would imply that her underwear calendar was in some way associated with child porn. It is a common attack of statists to try to link the LP with NAMBLA. While you and I agree that alcohol is far from 'harmless' from a physiological standpoint, it is the common opinion of joe sixpack, who dislikes MADD intensely, that a sixpack after work on friday is just what the doctor ordered, especially considering that 'moderate' drinking is supposed to be good for you. Recall recently that Howard Dean said that the Dems need to appeal to southern democrats who "have confederate flags on their pickups" in order to win the presidency. He was exactly right, but that demographic is getting more educated that its liberties are best protected by libertarians, a group that Dean is trying hard to appeal to. That group is the 'petty bourgoisie' that the Ford Foundation tries to undermine, that group is the angry white male that the dems treated as a threat to national security for eight years. They are pretty well sick of government in its entirety, and most of them don't seem much harm in smoking a spliff occasionally on the weekend. These sorts of guys are not Klan material generally speaking. The Klan finds them fertile ground only because nobody else is listening to them, because everybody else is treating them as 'the exploiter class'. To most of them, the confederate flag is only a symbol of sticking it to the man, just as much as a black gloved raised fist is to a black male. Rachel Mills, who is running for office in North Carolina, knows EXACTLY the sort of demographic she needs to win election. These are the guys who hang swimsuit and pinup calendars in their place of work: their garage, the cab of their trucks or construction equipment, their tool room or factory floor. This is the new demographic for the libertarian party: the working class stiff who is being economically exiled from their home towns by environmentalist land restrictions and growth ordinances that raise the cost of housing far above where it would be in an unfettered market. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Sun Dec 7 01:28:02 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 20:28:02 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] same story, different spins In-Reply-To: <000701c3bc52$faa8c310$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <007601c3bc61$5bd60c70$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Spike wrote, \ > > Spike wrote, > > > This is why I read at least two different news sources: > > > > > ast/index.html > > > > > > I must be missing something. What is the difference between > these two stories? Harvey > > Very different spins. I scarcely recognize the two stories > as describing the save event. OK.... But you didn't answer my question. How are they different? I know you said "spin", but specifically what is different between the two stories? They clearly look like they describe the same event to me. I see no contradictions or disagreements between the stories. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Sun Dec 7 01:36:08 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 20:36:08 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] promoting libertarianism effectively In-Reply-To: <5.1.0.14.2.20031206172545.03ca2108@mail.earthlink.net> Message-ID: <007701c3bc62$806a4190$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Max More wrote, > However, I disagree that *anything* done to get ideas about > liberty out there is good. First impressions have a powerful > influence on the human mind. A poor first impression only > increases the work to be done. I have to agree with Max on this one. There are two ways to market a product. If the product is good, you focus on the product. If the product is bad, you focus on anything else. Any advertising that has to resort to sexual distraction only does so because the product is itself uninteresting. It is a clear admission that the target audience has to be bribed or tricked into showing any interest. People who are looking for sexual appeal are unlikely to find the other message as interesting anyway. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From support at imminst.org Sun Dec 7 03:06:35 2003 From: support at imminst.org (support at imminst.org) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 21:06:35 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] ImmInst Update Message-ID: <3fd2993bd6044@imminst.org> IMMINST UPDATE Book Project ******************** Upon completion, the book will represent an important achievement and focal point for the organization. The book will consist of essays submitted by ImmInst members and respected authors. Happily, ImmInst has thus far received submissions from such notable authors as Max More, Natasha Vita-More, James Halperin and Ray Kurzweil. Submit an essay, visit: http://www.imminst.org/book Chat - Cryonics, Immortality & Swayze ******************** James Swayze joins ImmInst to talk about his life, his current projects and the feasibility of cryonics as a pathway toward physical immortality. Dec 7 - Sun 8pm Eastern http://imminst.org/forum/index.php?s=&act=ST&f=67&t=1927&st=0 Upcoming Chat - Mike Perry, Alcor & Cryonics ******************** Alcor Patient Care Assistant and author of "Forever for All: Moral Philosophy, Cryonics, and the Scientific Prospects for Immortality ", Mike Perry chats will ImmInst about his current work and the future of Cryonics. Dec 14 - Sun 8pm Eastern http://imminst.org/forum/index.php?s=&act=ST&f=63&t=2385&st=0#entry18367 ImmInst Full Member on ABC's 20/20 ******************** Shannon Vyff appeared on 20/20 - Dec 5. Her family was featured during a 7 minute segment about Caloric Restriction (CR), a proven life-extension method. http://imminst.org/forum/index.php?s=&act=ST&f=63&t=1432&st=0&#entry19638 Support ImmInst ******************** We now have 53 Full Members! If you haven't yet, consider joining as an ImmInst Full Member. You?ll gain access to the Full Member Forums where members are working on the ImmInst Book Project and other important projects. http://imminst.org/amember/member.php To be removed from all of our mailing lists, click here: http://www.imminst.org/archive/mailinglists/mailinglists.php?p=mlist&rem=extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org From extropy at unreasonable.com Sun Dec 7 03:06:23 2003 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Sat, 06 Dec 2003 22:06:23 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] promoting libertarianism effectively Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031206220612.02416008@mail.comcast.net> Mike Lorrey wrote: >On the contrary, anything we do to promote liberty in any way that >doesn't hurt anybody is good. WHy? Because for most average people in >America, when you say "libertarians", they say "whassat? sum kinna >crazy democrat?" People I meet usually have heard just enough about libertarians to be confused. Hard-core policy advocates tend to understand where we are, particularly if our positions overlap with theirs, like taxpayer, gun rights, or motorcycle groups. But average conservatives hear of our stand on drugs, prostitution, and gays, and figure we're some form of liberal. And average liberals hear of our stand on the minimum wage, entitlement programs, and school choice, and figure we're some form of conservative. My take is to tailor the message to my audience. If they bring up an issue where we apparently disagree, I try to first get them to see the common ground on issues where we do agree. When we get to a contentious issue, I try again to establish common ground by identifying how we want to achieve the same goals. If they perceive me as a fellow traveller, I have a much better chance of them listening instead of simply arguing back. But it sure is easy to get sucked into the Libertarian Macho Flash. (Or, for that matter, the Extropian Macho Flash. But we can rely on a copy of "The Gentle Seduction" to get people thinking.) Max More wrote: >However, I disagree that *anything* done to get ideas about liberty out >there is good. First impressions have a powerful influence on the human >mind. A poor first impression only increases the work to be done. I'm not sure whether Rachel Mills's project is helping or hurting. But I've definitely met quite a few loons who I wish weren't on my side of an issue. (And then there are the loons that people *think* are on my side. I'm getting tired of explaining that no, Lyndon LaRouche is not a Libertarian, he's a Democrat.) All else being equal, it is true that we'll do better with articulate, well-dressed, well-groomed, and attractive. My fellow paleos may recall Perry Metzger's forceful assertion that the farther your idea is from the mainstream, the more important it was for you to look and sound clean-cut and mainstream? (While, of course, not coming off as a Mormon missionary or insurance salesman.) -- David Lubkin. From neptune at superlink.net Sun Dec 7 05:02:09 2003 From: neptune at superlink.net (Technotranscendence) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 00:02:09 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: atheists barred from office in several states Message-ID: <020f01c3bc7f$45b27e60$8bce5cd1@neptune> This is a cross-post from another list where I forwarded the original post Eliezer to. Dan From: Michael Hardy To: atl2 Sent: Saturday, December 06, 2003 6:07 PM Subject: [atlantis_II] atheists barred from office in several states Article 6, Clause 3 of the US Constitution says: ... no religious Test shall ever be required as a Qualification to any Office or public Trust under the United States. This alludes to a law that existed in England from some time in the 17th century until the early 19th century, saying that those not adhering to the right religion were barred from public employment, including not only what we usually called public office, but also, if I'm not mistaken, academic appointments at Oxford and Cambridge. Thus, Isaac Newton kept his unitarianism secret for fear of being fired from his position as professor of mathematics. I think "under the United States" means _federal_ rather_ than _state_ office, but the way the courts have construed the 14th Amendment may have effectively extended the rule to state office, thus rendering those provisions of state constitutions void. But have these clauses been tested in court? -- Mike Hardy -- Michael Hardy hardy at math.mit.edu From jonkc at att.net Sun Dec 7 05:05:19 2003 From: jonkc at att.net (John K Clark) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 00:05:19 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan References: <020801c3bb97$2650ef40$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au><027201c3bc25$420b8950$11ff4d0c@hal2001> <04b801c3bc48$25dfd880$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: <001e01c3bc7f$d02c2b90$defe4d0c@hal2001> "Brett Paatsch" > it is a mistake to think that the burden of proof lies on Smalley. I disagree, I think the burden of proof is on Smalley. Drexler is proposing a construction machine, lots of such devices have been made; to say it is imposable even in principle for this particular construction machine to ever exist you need to identify which law of physics it would violate. Smalley has not done this and neither has anyone else. > Its a political mistake. Perhaps, but not a scientific mistake. > I think it was David Hume that said that extraordinary claims > require extraordinary evidence. Yes, and the claim that a machine that organizes matter in a certain manner will always be imposable is extraordinary. John K Clark jonkc at att.net From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sun Dec 7 05:14:38 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 21:14:38 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] AIRCAR: Boeing X-50 offers cheap alternative Message-ID: <20031207051438.35526.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> http://www.boeing.com/phantom/crw.html I think that Boeing's Canard Rotor Wing test aircraft, the X-50 Dragonfly, promises personal air-car capabilities sooner than Moller or Bell/Augusta. At the page above, note the photo in the lower left part of the page. The X-50 just began flight tests today with a hover test to 12 foot altitude. The X-50 is supposed to be capable of high subsonic flight after transitioning from VTOL configuration. It eliminates need for a tail rotor, as well as a transmission by venting turbofan gasses through vents at the tips of the rotor when in VTOL mode. The canard and tail surfaces generate lift as it picks up speed, then thrust is directed through tailpipe and the rotor locks into place as a standard airfoil. This processes reverses to land. The weight savings and mechanical simplicity of this design concept are what I think will make aircars a reality. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mbb386 at main.nc.us Sun Dec 7 05:28:36 2003 From: mbb386 at main.nc.us (MB) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 00:28:36 -0500 (Eastern Standard Time) Subject: [extropy-chat] promoting libertarianism effectively In-Reply-To: <5.1.0.14.2.20031206150543.00bc04c8@mail.earthlink.net> References: <000a01c3bc21$7a6cd000$f0c7fea9@scerir> <5.1.0.14.2.20031206150543.00bc04c8@mail.earthlink.net> Message-ID: How old is that interview? She sold calendars for 2003 to raise money for the 2002 elections in NC. She's selling new calendars for 2004 now. Most of the folk I ran into here who heard of it thought it was pretty cool, rather than taking a handout from the government to run a campaign or badgering people for contributions. Regards, MB in North Carolina. > At 11:55 AM 12/6/2003, you wrote: > >http://www.cnn.com/2002/ALLPOLITICS/09/19/cf.opinionrachel.mills/index.h > >tml > > From neptune at superlink.net Sun Dec 7 05:44:43 2003 From: neptune at superlink.net (Technotranscendence) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 00:44:43 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Socialism versus Transhumanism References: <20031123172838.11990.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <025a01c3bc85$53296580$8bce5cd1@neptune> Missed this one... On Sunday, November 23, 2003 12:28 PM Mike Lorrey mlorrey at yahoo.com wrote: >> The problem is that democracy is not antithetical >> to statism, especially not government intervention >> in the economy. All extant democratic polities >> are welfare states, some bordering on socialism. >> You might say this tendency is contingent and in >> a different setting democracy would not lead to >> welfare statism or socialism. However, people like >> Hans-Hermann Hoppe argue on purely political >> economic grounds that democracies will always >> tend in that direction. > > The current status of many extant democracies is > not an indictment of democracy as inherently > socialist. Well, I did cover that above. This is why I wrote, "You might say this tendency is contingent and in a different setting democracy would not lead to welfare statism or socialism." I tend to agree with Hoppe and others here: once you have a government, then it will increase its power. Socialism is just the maximal point of that increase, wherein the state absorbs all social activity. Now you may disagree with this point -- which I see below you do -- but that was the issue I was raising NOT ignoring. > In fact, socialist tendencies are, according to > historical commentators, a key indicator that a > democracy is headed down a slippery slope to > tyranny, when the majority discovers it can vote > itself largess from the public treasury, taxed to > the tab of the minority. But isn't that the point? In any democracy, how long will it take for special interests or even majorities to find out how to work the system -- in terms of finding ways to take wealth instead of making it? I believe the learning curve in democracies is not that steep. > Republican features are intended to prevent, > halt, or otherwise mitigate this slide, as Max > has said. I know that and so other libertarian and anarchist critics of democracy. Their point and mine is that such features at best only slow this slide which is inherent in the system. > They are really needed only so far as the > degree to which a democratic government is > empowered to regulate the lives of individuals, > and how successful statists are over time at > redefining such powers to encompass greater > and greater amounts and areas of human > endeavor. Agreed, but any empowerment heads toward the same goal. The real solution here is to look for systems that are better than democracy or republics. I believe this can be found in polycentric legal orders (i.e., anarchist systems), though even such systems are not invulnerable to corruption. They just take longer to decay. Democracy and republics tend to be on a fast track to increasing statism because they infect more individuals and groups with powerlust and give them the means to act on such. By this later is meant a point that Hoppe brings up in _Democracy -- The God That Failed_: class consciousness is blurred in democracies. Since the line between rulers and the ruled is everchanging, individuals and groups become less suspicious of state power, since while it might be used against them, they, too, might one day use it for their own ends (viz., against others). Thus, instead of jealously guarding their freedoms, they instead look jealously on others' powers. (A case in point is antitrust law in the US. For a long time, so called Conservatives were critical of it until they saw it could be used against their enemies and now only a few question it. Another case is the New Deal itself. Still another is Medicare, where Republicans and Democrats now seem to compete over who can hand out the most loot. (I'm speaking specifically of the new prescription drug benefit.)) Put another way, once power is accumulated, it's very hard to dissipate, since people tend to see it as a opportunity rather than a threat. Every time you hear, "There ought to be a law" this is just this tendency manifesting itself -- the tendency to see government as a workhouse rather than a dangerous beast. > For example, here in the US, Congress seems > to have few powers, according to the > Constitution, It depends on what you mean. I tend to think the power to draft, coin money, tax, and the like are too much. Plus the Congress can amend the Constitution as well, meaning it can expand its powers. But seriously, since the US government faces no competitor -- it's a monopolist -- it can do whatever it wants for the most part. The government even interprets its own limits via the courts. > yet the greatest power that congress has is > the power to regulate interstate commerce. See above. > The Constitution does not have a glossary to > define what 'interstate commerce', or even > 'regulate', means. See above. The mechanism is to use the courts. That doesn't work because they're government courts. It mgiht offer more of a check, too, if the courts were not appointed by the very branches of the government they're supposed to check. (Only a bit more, since eventually they would come to an arrangement even under such a system. Or there would be conflict until either the courts took over, making them unchecked and unlimited, or were subdued, making them no check on others' power.) > As a result, where it was once accepted to > mean the overseeing of purely commercial > traffic between states via channels of > commerce, as and where it occurs at > borders, interstate commerce was > reinterpreted during the FDR administration > to cover any sort of human activity that has > any sort of impact on commercial activity > which might potentially involve, or in the > future involve, goods and services in traffic > between the states. The SCOTUS decision > which was responsible for this reinterpretation > was, of course, the result of Roosevelt > threatening to pack the court, but it was still > responsible for 98% of the domestic statist > expansion in the US in the 20th century. I'm not sure about the 98% figure, but even before FDR there was creeping regulation in this area. The problem can be traced back to the Constitution itself and central government expansion began long before FDR -- first with the Constitutional Convention, though perhaps the next biggest episode after that was the U.S. Civil War. Later expansions were merely elaborations of that. > This trend was something I described in my > 2001 essay, "It's About The Trust, Stupid!", > published in The Libertarian Enterprise. As > Jose Cordeiro commented the other day, > redefining the terms of discourse is the most > heinous way by which statists expand their > influence. Something noted long before by others, but still a valid point that needs to be brought up again and again. > Politically, they steal labels like 'liberal' and > 'progressive' to stealthily legitimize their > subversion. They become involved in the > legal system and help to rewrite the legal > dictionaries with expanded definitions of > terms to fit their needs for statist expansion > of power. They engage in promoting their > new definitions via the press and literature. I don't think it's all that conscious like some vast plot. The thing is meanings do shift over time, driven, as Rand would point out, by changes in the underlying philosophy. However, such changings in philosophy are not immune to influence. It's basically a dialectical process with different influences driving the whole system and influencing each other. There are counterveiling forces -- or the system would either be totally free or totally controlled. Later! Dan http://uweb.superlink.net/neptune/ From neptune at superlink.net Sun Dec 7 05:55:47 2003 From: neptune at superlink.net (Technotranscendence) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 00:55:47 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan References: <020801c3bb97$2650ef40$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au><027201c3bc25$420b8950$11ff4d0c@hal2001><04b801c3bc48$25dfd880$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> <001e01c3bc7f$d02c2b90$defe4d0c@hal2001> Message-ID: <028001c3bc86$c38f64e0$8bce5cd1@neptune> On Sunday, December 07, 2003 12:05 AM John K Clark jonkc at att.net wrote: >> it is a mistake to think that the burden of proof >> lies on Smalley. > > I disagree, I think the burden of proof is on > Smalley. Drexler is proposing a construction > machine, lots of such devices have been made; > to say it is imposable even in principle for this > particular construction machine to ever exist you > need to identify which law of physics it would > violate. Smalley has not done this and neither > has anyone else. I agree. An analogy might prove helpful. Imagine I were to say, "It's impossible for humans to live on Mars." "Impossible" is a pretty tall order and the burden on proof would be on me to show why. Even if no human ever sets foot on Mars, that would NOT constitute a proof of impossibility. If even every human that lands on Mars -- assuming some eventually do -- dies immediately on landing that would also NOT constitute a proof of impossibility. >> I think it was David Hume that said that >> extraordinary claims require extraordinary >> evidence. > > Yes, and the claim that a machine that > organizes matter in a certain manner > will always be imposable is extraordinary. I agree. (I suspect Hume would too, from my reading of him. He railed against absolute knowledge in empirical matters. Smalley's claim of the impossibility of nanoassemblers strikes me as just a such a claim of absolute knowledge.) It assumes that Smalley can either divine the future or knows physics better than our current understanding. BTW, there is a monster in the lake near me. I have to feed it every now and then. On a totally unrelated matter, would you guys like to hold the next convention here? There's a nice convention center by the lake...:) Later! Dan http://uweb.superlink.net/neptune/ From spike66 at comcast.net Sun Dec 7 06:03:16 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 22:03:16 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] same story, different spins In-Reply-To: <007601c3bc61$5bd60c70$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <001101c3bc87$cec6ae80$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > > > Spike wrote, > > > > This is why I read at least two different news sources: > > > > > > > > ast/index.html > > > > > > > > > > I must be missing something. What is the difference between > > these two stories? Harvey > > > > Very different spins. I scarcely recognize the two stories > > as describing the save event. > > OK.... But you didn't answer my question. How are they > different? I know you said "spin", but specifically what is different between > the two stories? They clearly look like they describe the same event to me. I see no > contradictions or disagreements between the stories. CNN title: Afghan bicycle bomb injures 15 Foxnews title: Taliban Targets U.S. Soldiers in Afghanistan CNN: A bicycle carried a bomb that exploded in the main square of the southern Afghanistan city of Kandahar, wounding at least 15 people Foxnews: A bomb ripped through a bustling Kandahar bazaar Saturday, wounding 20 Afghans, in an attack the Taliban say targeted - but missed - U.S. soldiers. CNN: Hashma and Deputy Chief Mohammad Salim said police and U.S. troops were investigating, but no arrests had been made. Foxnews: Taliban fighters claimed responsibility, saying the blast was aimed at American soldiers, but went off late. CNN: The blast damaged several shops in the square, breaking windows and crumbling walls... Foxnews: ...Six shops were leveled. Broken glass from the shattered hotel front littered the ground, stained by the victims' blood. The wounded included three children...three of the 20 injured were seriously hurt and taken to the coalition military base at the city's airport for treatment... The tone of the articles is so very different that it leads to different conclusions. The CNN report almost makes it sound like they do not know who set off the explosion. Foxnews has already tried and convicted the mad dogs of the Taliban. It is no wonder there is such deeply divided opinion on the coalition action in Afghanistan, it depends on which news sources one reads. Both sources are necessary to even start to understand. spike From fauxever at sprynet.com Sun Dec 7 06:14:24 2003 From: fauxever at sprynet.com (Olga Bourlin) Date: Sat, 6 Dec 2003 22:14:24 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] promoting libertarianism effectively References: <000a01c3bc21$7a6cd000$f0c7fea9@scerir><5.1.0.14.2.20031206150543.00bc04c8@mail.earthlink.net> Message-ID: <004301c3bc89$5cde9ba0$6400a8c0@brainiac> From: "MB" > > How old is that interview? She sold calendars for 2003 to > raise money for the 2002 elections in NC. She's selling new > calendars for 2004 now. > > Most of the folk I ran into here who heard of it thought it > was pretty cool, rather than taking a handout from the > government to run a campaign or badgering people for > contributions. I'm sorry, but I can't see how the issue of whether selling calendars rather than asking the government for a "handout" is in any way cool. To be concerned about a "handout" from the government at this level - it just seems like such a piffle. The Iraq war is what's costing us so much (beyond the cost of the sacrifice of human lives, which are incalculable). Furthermore, (although it may not be "badgering" per se - just a unilateral decision hoisted on us), who but the "people" are going to be stuck paying the $100 *billion* the war is anticipated to cost?: http://www.iht.com/articles/90690.html Believe me, I'm not endorsing Harry Browne (former Libertarian Party presidential candidate), but found this advice in an article of his written in 2002 (link to entire article follows): "Don't invade Iraq. That's probably the only way to motivate Saddam Hussein to attack us with whatever dangerous weapons he might have. So long as we leave him alone, he won't commit the suicidal act of provoking the U.S. to drop nuclear bombs on him": http://www.worldnetdaily.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=28690 I read Rachel Mills' interview. A bit on the frothy side, wasn't it? Olga http://www.iht.com/articles/90690.html From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Sun Dec 7 08:37:33 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 19:37:33 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan References: <020801c3bb97$2650ef40$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> <027201c3bc25$420b8950$11ff4d0c@hal2001> <04b801c3bc48$25dfd880$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> <001e01c3bc7f$d02c2b90$defe4d0c@hal2001> <028001c3bc86$c38f64e0$8bce5cd1@neptune> Message-ID: <05be01c3bc9d$5bdb6c60$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Technotranscendence wrote: > John K Clark jonkc at att.net wrote: ------[Brett] > >> it is a mistake to think that the burden of proof > >> lies on Smalley. > > > > I disagree, I think the burden of proof is on > > Smalley. Drexler is proposing a construction > > machine, lots of such devices have been made; > > to say it is imposable even in principle for this > > particular construction machine to ever exist you > > need to identify which law of physics it would > > violate. Smalley has not done this and neither > > has anyone else. > > I agree. An analogy might prove helpful. [snip] > >> I think it was David Hume that said that > >> extraordinary claims require extraordinary > >> evidence. > > > > Yes, and the claim that a machine that > > organizes matter in a certain manner > > will always be imposable is extraordinary. > > I agree. [snip] Two questions then, one sort of scientific or at least empirical, the second political. 1) What *particular* machine is being considered? (I think I'm just paraphrasing Hal here actually, so perhaps better to answer Hal). 2) If neither Drexler (and associates) nor Smalley (and associates) were to *accept* the burden of proof scientifically what happens by default politically? Regards, Brett From spike66 at comcast.net Sun Dec 7 08:47:32 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 00:47:32 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] the true meaning of christmas In-Reply-To: <05be01c3bc9d$5bdb6c60$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: <000001c3bc9e$c0f8c790$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Tonight was our friend's children's Christmas play. It was the heartwarming story of how a grumpy old janitor working over the holiday meets a mysterious visitor and unexpectedly comes to find the true meaning of Christmas. I wanted to barf. I wonder, what if... scientists discover that the true meaning of Christmas really is maximizing retail sales. They may find that crass commercialism reduces harmful cholesterol and improves circulation. What this world needs is more brain-warming stories. spike From scerir at libero.it Sun Dec 7 10:03:36 2003 From: scerir at libero.it (scerir) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 11:03:36 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] the true meaning of christmas References: <000001c3bc9e$c0f8c790$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <000401c3bca9$6212ccc0$f0c7fea9@scerir> You know that one of the present political problems in UE (or EU) is whether they should introduce in the Constitution the word Christ or the expression Christian values, or not. The general opinion was: "No, we do not need these terms". But an influent Italian (urged by the Vatican) said: "What is the meaning of Sunday, then?". So, the problem now becomes: should we introduce Sunday in the Constitution? s. From eugen at leitl.org Sun Dec 7 12:24:01 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 13:24:01 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] same story, different spins In-Reply-To: <001101c3bc87$cec6ae80$6501a8c0@SHELLY> References: <007601c3bc61$5bd60c70$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> <001101c3bc87$cec6ae80$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031207122401.GL5783@leitl.org> On Sat, Dec 06, 2003 at 10:03:16PM -0800, Spike wrote: > The tone of the articles is so very different that > it leads to different conclusions. The CNN report > almost makes it sound like they do not know who set > off the explosion. Foxnews has already tried and You do know why Fox News is usually spelled Faux News, right? http://dir.salon.com/politics/feature/2000/11/15/ellis/index.html They've got a bias the size of, excuse me, Texas. > convicted the mad dogs of the Taliban. It is no > wonder there is such deeply divided opinion on the > coalition action in Afghanistan, it depends on which > news sources one reads. Both sources are necessary > to even start to understand. Nope, both are still US and Western sources. You can't expect mainstream media giving you the straight dope, the best you can hope to do is to average different spins (including Arab media, of course), and expect this will be close to reality. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From gpmap at runbox.com Sun Dec 7 12:30:12 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 13:30:12 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Cryonicist Harry Braun for President Message-ID: Alcor member, Harry Braun, is on the ballot in several states for president of the U.S.A. Harry Braun is an energy analyst and author of The Phoenix Project: Shifting from Oil to Hydrogen (phoenixproject.net). The following paragraphs are taken from his site "Harry Braun for President". Harry has worked as an energy and environmental analyst for the past 30 years, and is the Chairman and CEO of Sustainable Partners LLC, a systems integration firm that is involved in a number of renewable energy projects, including the development of a $180 million wind farm project in New Mexico. Harry received a Bachelors degree from Arizona State University in 1971. His undergraduate work was in history and general science, while his graduate work focused on anthropology and evolutionary biology. His post graduate research has been in the areas of energy technologies and resources, as well as the on-going developments in molecular biology, protein engineering and nanotechnology. Harry ran for Congress in 1984 against John McCain. He is Chairman of the Hydrogen Political Action Committee (h2pac.org) and author of the proposed Fair Accounting Act legislation. Harry's religious views are based on an understanding of molecular biology. Harry is member of Alcor (alcor.org), a non-profit cryobiology laboratory that freezes and cares for people when they die in the hope that they can be regenerated in the future, with all of their past memories, into a biocybernetic "designer gene" era. To avoid the oblivion scenario and hopefully secure a pollution-free utopian future of biochips and designer genes, Harry Braun is committed to shifting from fossil and nuclear fuels to a solar hydrogen economy with wartime-speed (i.e., by 2010). Given the exponential nature of the global energy and environmental problems, it is much later that most people think. We are all like passengers on the Titanic, and there is little time left to change course. Analyst and author Harry Braun has the new heading, but only the American public can initiate this rapid "transition of substance" by electing Harry Braun as President of the United States. The exponential developments in molecular biology and computer science will soon make a biological transition to renewable resources inevitable. It is not a question of whether --but when. In the Chapter called Utopia: From Here to Eternity, The Phoenix Project reviews a "utopia" scenario that extrapolates the exponential advances in computers, molecular biology and nanotechnology. Cloning is only the beginning of this era of molecular medicine that will develop "biochips" and "designer genes." These rapidly developing nanotechnology developments will not only delete the biological mechanisms of aging and disease, but they will allow individuals to reprogram their genetic structure -- at will -- with atomic (i.e. atom by atom) precision. The result will be the evolution of a new species, Homo Immortalis, that will develop an Immortalist culture and institutions that will be based on individuals having unlimited life spans. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Sun Dec 7 12:46:56 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 07:46:56 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] same story, different spins In-Reply-To: <001101c3bc87$cec6ae80$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <00ae01c3bcc0$369a2400$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Spike wrote, > The tone of the articles is so very different that > it leads to different conclusions. The CNN report > almost makes it sound like they do not know who set > off the explosion. Fox news has already tried and > convicted the mad dogs of the Taliban. It is no > wonder there is such deeply divided opinion on the > coalition action in Afghanistan, it depends on which > news sources one reads. Both sources are necessary > to even start to understand. OK, that's the specifics that I was curious about. You are exactly right. As near as I can tell, CNN reported physical damage while Fox focused on emotional horror. CNN quoted the chief of police as a source while Fox quotes the Taliban terrorists as a source. CNN focuses on the actual Afghan victims while Fox focuses on the presumed U.S. victims who were not actually attacked. They seem to be the exact same story, except I would classify the CNN report as a factual news report about the event, while I would classify the Fox report as an editorial position about the event. They are different newspapers with different purposes and methods of reporting. There is no doubt why 80% of Fox viewers versus 55% of CNN viewers believed that our troops found links between Iraq and al Qaeda, found weapons of mass destruction, and that world public opinion supported the war. (Ref. .) Fox viewers - 80% to have these misconceptions CBS viewers - 71% NBS viewers - 61% CNN viewers - 55% Print readers - 47% NPR/PBS listeners - 23% (The report also notes that variations in misperceptions according to news source cannot simply be explained as a result of differences in the demographics of each audience, because these variations can also be found when comparing the rate of misperceptions within demographic subgroups of each audience.) Simply put, CNN is more of a news source, while Fox is more of an editorial opinion source. I have known this for a long time. I was able to read both sources and see that they described the exact same event with no direct factual contradiction. That was why I wanted to know exactly what difference you saw. It is rare to see CNN and Fox agree so well on the facts, with only the spin being different. Usually CNN and Fox diverge wildly on actual numbers and facts in the stories they report! -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From eugen at leitl.org Sun Dec 7 12:54:11 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 13:54:11 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: <05be01c3bc9d$5bdb6c60$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> References: <020801c3bb97$2650ef40$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> <027201c3bc25$420b8950$11ff4d0c@hal2001> <04b801c3bc48$25dfd880$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> <001e01c3bc7f$d02c2b90$defe4d0c@hal2001> <028001c3bc86$c38f64e0$8bce5cd1@neptune> <05be01c3bc9d$5bdb6c60$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: <20031207125411.GP5783@leitl.org> On Sun, Dec 07, 2003 at 07:37:33PM +1100, Brett Paatsch wrote: > 1) What *particular* machine is being considered? (I think I'm just > paraphrasing Hal here actually, so perhaps better to answer Hal). No specific machine. Not even a specific process, though there are early suggestions, e.g. http://www.zyvex.com/nanotech/hydroCarbonMetabolism.html (several of these are heavy steric hindrance candidates). http://www.zyvex.com/nanotech/mechanosynthesis.html "mechanosynthesis" and "machine-phase chemistry" are good keywords. > 2) If neither Drexler (and associates) nor Smalley (and associates) were to > *accept* the burden of proof scientifically what happens by default > politically? The Nobel "what's this purple crap in soxhleted soot?" laureate wins by default -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From gpmap at runbox.com Sun Dec 7 13:48:15 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 14:48:15 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution Message-ID: >From 2theadvocate.com: After 20 years of research, an encryption process is emerging that is considered unbreakable because it employs the mind-blowing laws of quantum physics. In November, a small startup called MagiQ Technologies Inc. began selling what appears to be the first commercially available system that uses individual photons to transfer the numeric keys that are widely used to encode and read secret documents. MagiQ (pronounced "magic," with the "Q" for "quantum") expects this will appeal to banks, insurers, government agencies, pharmaceutical companies and other organizations that transmit sensitive information. "We think this is going to have a huge, positive impact on the world," said Bob Gelfond, MagiQ's founder and chief executive. Encryption schemes commonly used now are considered safe, though they theoretically could be broken someday. But even before that day arrives, Gelfond believes quantum encryption is superior in one important way. In some super-high-security settings, people sharing passwords and other information must have the same key, a massive string of digits used to encode data. Sometimes the keys will be transferred by imperfect means -- via courier or special software. They are not changed very often and can be susceptible to interception. Quantum encryption employs one of the defining discoveries of physics: Heisenberg's Uncertainty Principle, which says subatomic particles exist in multiple possible states at once, however hard as that may be to imagine, until something interacts with them. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From mbb386 at main.nc.us Sun Dec 7 14:28:37 2003 From: mbb386 at main.nc.us (MB) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 09:28:37 -0500 (Eastern Standard Time) Subject: [extropy-chat] promoting libertarianism effectively In-Reply-To: <004301c3bc89$5cde9ba0$6400a8c0@brainiac> References: <000a01c3bc21$7a6cd000$f0c7fea9@scerir><5.1.0.14.2.20031206150543.00bc04c8@mail.earthlink.net> <004301c3bc89$5cde9ba0$6400a8c0@brainiac> Message-ID: My original question "How old is that interview" stands. Looked to me like it was more than a year ago. 19 September 2002. My comment reflected the reaction I saw here in NC *at that time*, prior to the 2002 elections, when Rachel and other Libertarian candidates made and sold calendars to help finance her campaign. That they should now make a calendar for 2004 indicates the idea was a popular one, well received by a number of folk, maybe even outside the Libertarian party. There is some disapproval in the Libertarian circles about the government financing of political campaigns. The disucssion was not, IIUC, about the war in Iraq, either its correctness nor its financing. Regards, MB On Sat, 6 Dec 2003, Olga Bourlin wrote: > From: "MB" > > > > How old is that interview? She sold calendars for 2003 to > > raise money for the 2002 elections in NC. She's selling new > > calendars for 2004 now. > > > > Most of the folk I ran into here who heard of it thought it > > was pretty cool, rather than taking a handout from the > > government to run a campaign or badgering people for > > contributions. > > I'm sorry, but I can't see how the issue of whether selling calendars rather > than asking the government for a "handout" is in any way cool. To be > concerned about a "handout" from the government at this level - it just > seems like such a piffle. The Iraq war is what's costing us so much (beyond > the cost of the sacrifice of human lives, which are incalculable). > Furthermore, (although it may not be "badgering" per se - just a unilateral > decision hoisted on us), who but the "people" are going to be stuck paying > the $100 *billion* the war is anticipated to cost?: > > http://www.iht.com/articles/90690.html > > Believe me, I'm not endorsing Harry Browne (former Libertarian Party > presidential candidate), but found this advice in an article of his written > in 2002 (link to entire article follows): > > "Don't invade Iraq. That's probably the only way to motivate Saddam Hussein > to attack us with whatever dangerous weapons he might have. So long as we > leave him alone, he won't commit the suicidal act of provoking the U.S. to > drop nuclear bombs on him": > > http://www.worldnetdaily.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=28690 > > I read Rachel Mills' interview. A bit on the frothy side, wasn't it? > > Olga > > > > http://www.iht.com/articles/90690.html > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From neptune at superlink.net Sun Dec 7 14:45:16 2003 From: neptune at superlink.net (Technotranscendence) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 09:45:16 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan References: <020801c3bb97$2650ef40$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au><027201c3bc25$420b8950$11ff4d0c@hal2001><04b801c3bc48$25dfd880$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au><001e01c3bc7f$d02c2b90$defe4d0c@hal2001><028001c3bc86$c38f64e0$8bce5cd1@neptune> <05be01c3bc9d$5bdb6c60$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: <00b901c3bcd0$bba24820$9ccd5cd1@neptune> On Sunday, December 07, 2003 3:37 AM Brett Paatsch bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au wrote: > Two questions then, one sort of scientific or > at least empirical, the second political. > > 1) What *particular* machine is being > considered? (I think I'm just paraphrasing Hal > here actually, so perhaps better to answer Hal). The particular design would make it much easier to demonstrate impossibility. Of course, even if a particular design fails, this does not mean the general idea is impossible. This would be akin to the particular pre-Wright airplane designs that failed proving heavier-than-air flight was impossible. (Also, just like the airplane analogy, nanotechnological construction is already done by non-made-made things like enzymes. Birds, insects, and bats already had heavier-than-air flight before humanity.) Smalley has also given specific reasons why he believes nanotechnology won't work -- the fat and sticky fingers arguments, the that only organics can do this construction in water (very close to the view that only birds can fly which someone might have made prior to Kitty Hawk), and the like. These specific empirical claims are wrong and he should know better. In fact, all of this seems like the 10-leaky-buckets Tactic -- the view that 10 invalid arguments somehow add up to a valid one. (I often see theists using this when defending their belief in God. They will, e.g., present a lot of arguments -- not necessarily ten:) -- that are all invalid, but most people are not logicians, so maybe the average person might see through a few of them, but still be convinced by others. Also, they're trying to use an analogy with evidence: as evidence accumulates, usually an idea is made more persuasive, but the same does not hold with invalid arguments. It's sort of akin to the view that if you have enough fictions, eventually they'll add up to fact.) I'm not claiming Smalley is doing this on purpose or has a bad character -- or even that others who actually use the 10-leaky-buckets Tactic are likewise bad people, consciously trying to use illogic to support their claims. I'm just saying this is how it appears, especially given how sophomoric and easily defeated his arguments were. (In fact, the only thing that actually supports his conclusion is that we don't have nanotechnology now. Of course, to claim something's impossible because we can't do it at this moment is not a very strong or compelling argument. It would only convince people who either were already biased in that direction or who did not understand the technical details. Sure, such people do exist, but I hardly think Smalley merely wants to preach to the choir and the ignorant.) > 2) If neither Drexler (and associates) nor > Smalley (and associates) were to *accept* the > burden of proof scientifically what happens by > default politically? I don't understand the use of "politically" in the above question. Do you mean that the science will drive the politics? I don't think so. In the short term, the politics will be based less on where the science actually can do -- which can fall either way: Drexler could be right or he could be wrong (Smalley can't be right because his argument is invalid; at best, his conclusion might be right, but for different reasons) -- than on who has more clout, even who can persuade more people in positions of power which amounts to the same thing. In a rational society, this wouldn't matter much, since science would be a private endeavor and both Drexler and Smalley could carry on their work: Drexler trying to build a nanoassember, any nanoassembler and Smalley trying to prove it can't be built. Actually, were the latter a little more rational, he would make an excellent foil and help the whole effort -- whatever is possible or whatever happens in the end. (If nanotechnology is truly beyond our capabilities, he might hasten our acceptence of this view. If it is not, then he might help us to avoid fruitless areas of research or to highlight specific problems that enthusiasts might overlook. Likewise Drexlerians would help him out as well. If nanotech is impossible, their continued looking for a solution might refine our understanding of matter at that level by defining the actual limits of our capabilities.) Later! Dan http://uweb.superlink.net/neptune/ From neptune at superlink.net Sun Dec 7 14:57:41 2003 From: neptune at superlink.net (Technotranscendence) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 09:57:41 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] promoting libertarianism effectively References: <000a01c3bc21$7a6cd000$f0c7fea9@scerir><5.1.0.14.2.20031206150543.00bc04c8@mail.earthlink.net> <004301c3bc89$5cde9ba0$6400a8c0@brainiac> Message-ID: <00c501c3bcd2$777f6ea0$9ccd5cd1@neptune> On Sunday, December 07, 2003 1:14 AM Olga Bourlin fauxever at sprynet.com wrote: > I'm sorry, but I can't see how the issue of > whether selling calendars rather than > asking the government for a "handout" is > in any way cool. To be concerned about > a "handout" from the government at this > level - it just seems like such a piffle. Well, I'm not sure about it being "cool," but that's a relative term. Anything can be cool or uncool depending on the context. I also don't think it's a piffle. Yes, there are bigger areas of spending waste, but this a way to get the point across about such handouts in a way that most people won't find threatening and might even agree with. One problem, too, with government financing of election campaigns is that it becomes merely another welfare program -- meaning certain special interests will want to keep it going regardless of its results -- and that it will result in even more government control over elections -- meaning that the government will play more of role in what the issues are and who runs. The old anarchist saw will apply in spades: No matter who you vote for the government wins. (Well, naturally, but the more intervention there is in the process, the more those who hold the reigns of power now will decide who holds them after the next election. The more the current government will decide who will be in the next government and what its policies will be.) Later! Dan http://uweb.superlink.net/neptune/ From neptune at superlink.net Sun Dec 7 15:20:31 2003 From: neptune at superlink.net (Technotranscendence) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 10:20:31 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution References: Message-ID: <012801c3bcd5$a882b4a0$9ccd5cd1@neptune> Does anyone seriously think it is unbreakable? I believe it's more of a matter of not yet finding a way to break it. Dan From: Giu1i0 Pri5c0 To: wta-talk ; hit ; extropy-chat Sent: Sunday, December 07, 2003 8:48 AM Subject: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution From 2theadvocate.com: After 20 years of research, an encryption process is emerging that is considered unbreakable because it employs the mind-blowing laws of quantum physics. In November, a small startup called MagiQ Technologies Inc. began selling what appears to be the first commercially available system that uses individual photons to transfer the numeric keys that are widely used to encode and read secret documents. MagiQ (pronounced "magic," with the "Q" for "quantum") expects this will appeal to banks, insurers, government agencies, pharmaceutical companies and other organizations that transmit sensitive information. "We think this is going to have a huge, positive impact on the world," said Bob Gelfond, MagiQ's founder and chief executive. Encryption schemes commonly used now are considered safe, though they theoretically could be broken someday. But even before that day arrives, Gelfond believes quantum encryption is superior in one important way. In some super-high-security settings, people sharing passwords and other information must have the same key, a massive string of digits used to encode data. Sometimes the keys will be transferred by imperfect means -- via courier or special software. They are not changed very often and can be susceptible to interception. Quantum encryption employs one of the defining discoveries of physics: Heisenberg's Uncertainty Principle, which says subatomic particles exist in multiple possible states at once, however hard as that may be to imagine, until something interacts with them. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From neptune at superlink.net Sun Dec 7 15:20:31 2003 From: neptune at superlink.net (Technotranscendence) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 10:20:31 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution References: Message-ID: <012801c3bcd5$a882b4a0$9ccd5cd1@neptune> Does anyone seriously think it is unbreakable? I believe it's more of a matter of not yet finding a way to break it. Dan From: Giu1i0 Pri5c0 To: wta-talk ; hit ; extropy-chat Sent: Sunday, December 07, 2003 8:48 AM Subject: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution From 2theadvocate.com: After 20 years of research, an encryption process is emerging that is considered unbreakable because it employs the mind-blowing laws of quantum physics. In November, a small startup called MagiQ Technologies Inc. began selling what appears to be the first commercially available system that uses individual photons to transfer the numeric keys that are widely used to encode and read secret documents. MagiQ (pronounced "magic," with the "Q" for "quantum") expects this will appeal to banks, insurers, government agencies, pharmaceutical companies and other organizations that transmit sensitive information. "We think this is going to have a huge, positive impact on the world," said Bob Gelfond, MagiQ's founder and chief executive. Encryption schemes commonly used now are considered safe, though they theoretically could be broken someday. But even before that day arrives, Gelfond believes quantum encryption is superior in one important way. In some super-high-security settings, people sharing passwords and other information must have the same key, a massive string of digits used to encode data. Sometimes the keys will be transferred by imperfect means -- via courier or special software. They are not changed very often and can be susceptible to interception. Quantum encryption employs one of the defining discoveries of physics: Heisenberg's Uncertainty Principle, which says subatomic particles exist in multiple possible states at once, however hard as that may be to imagine, until something interacts with them. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From jacques at dtext.com Sun Dec 7 15:19:24 2003 From: jacques at dtext.com (JDP) Date: Sun, 07 Dec 2003 16:19:24 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] promoting libertarianism effectively In-Reply-To: References: <000a01c3bc21$7a6cd000$f0c7fea9@scerir><5.1.0.14.2.20031206150543.00bc04c8@mail.earthlink.net> <004301c3bc89$5cde9ba0$6400a8c0@brainiac> Message-ID: <3FD344FC.80100@dtext.com> http://www.livejournal.com/users/rachelmills/22673.html From gpmap at runbox.com Sun Dec 7 15:24:56 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 16:24:56 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution In-Reply-To: <012801c3bcd5$a882b4a0$9ccd5cd1@neptune> Message-ID: >From what I have read it is unbreakable in principle, because you can find out if is it has been intercepted (then of course you declare the key void and exchange a new one). -----Original Message----- From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org]On Behalf Of Technotranscendence Sent: 07 December 2003 16:21 To: ExI chat list; wta-talk; hit; extropy-chat Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution Does anyone seriously think it is unbreakable? I believe it's more of a matter of not yet finding a way to break it. Dan From: Giu1i0 Pri5c0 To: wta-talk ; hit ; extropy-chat Sent: Sunday, December 07, 2003 8:48 AM Subject: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution From 2theadvocate.com: After 20 years of research, an encryption process is emerging that is considered unbreakable because it employs the mind-blowing laws of quantum physics. In November, a small startup called MagiQ Technologies Inc. began selling what appears to be the first commercially available system that uses individual photons to transfer the numeric keys that are widely used to encode and read secret documents. MagiQ (pronounced "magic," with the "Q" for "quantum") expects this will appeal to banks, insurers, government agencies, pharmaceutical companies and other organizations that transmit sensitive information. "We think this is going to have a huge, positive impact on the world," said Bob Gelfond, MagiQ's founder and chief executive. Encryption schemes commonly used now are considered safe, though they theoretically could be broken someday. But even before that day arrives, Gelfond believes quantum encryption is superior in one important way. In some super-high-security settings, people sharing passwords and other information must have the same key, a massive string of digits used to encode data. Sometimes the keys will be transferred by imperfect means -- via courier or special software. They are not changed very often and can be susceptible to interception. Quantum encryption employs one of the defining discoveries of physics: Heisenberg's Uncertainty Principle, which says subatomic particles exist in multiple possible states at once, however hard as that may be to imagine, until something interacts with them. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sun Dec 7 16:12:22 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 08:12:22 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution In-Reply-To: <012801c3bcd5$a882b4a0$9ccd5cd1@neptune> Message-ID: <20031207161222.43412.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> Well, the system is merely a means of key transmission that is not crackable, in that it is able to easily detect interception and take countermeasures. It says nothing about the security of the cryptosystem that generates the keys themselves. As far as I am aware, the cryptosystem is NOT a quantum computer based system. --- Technotranscendence wrote: > Does anyone seriously think it is unbreakable? I believe it's more > of a matter of not yet finding a way to break it. > > Dan > From: Giu1i0 Pri5c0 > To: wta-talk ; hit ; extropy-chat > Sent: Sunday, December 07, 2003 8:48 AM > Subject: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution > > > From 2theadvocate.com: After 20 years of research, an encryption > process is emerging that is considered unbreakable because it employs > the mind-blowing laws of quantum physics. In November, a small > startup called MagiQ Technologies Inc. began selling what appears to > be the first commercially available system that uses individual > photons to transfer the numeric keys that are widely used to encode > and read secret documents. > MagiQ (pronounced "magic," with the "Q" for "quantum") expects this > will appeal to banks, insurers, government agencies, pharmaceutical > companies and other organizations that transmit sensitive > information. "We think this is going to have a huge, positive impact > on the world," said Bob Gelfond, MagiQ's founder and chief executive. > Encryption schemes commonly used now are considered safe, though they > theoretically could be broken someday. But even before that day > arrives, Gelfond believes quantum encryption is superior in one > important way. In some super-high-security settings, people sharing > passwords and other information must have the same key, a massive > string of digits used to encode data. Sometimes the keys will be > transferred by imperfect means -- via courier or special software. > They are not changed very often and can be susceptible to > interception. > Quantum encryption employs one of the defining discoveries of > physics: Heisenberg's Uncertainty Principle, which says subatomic > particles exist in multiple possible states at once, however hard as > that may be to imagine, until something interacts with them. > > > ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sun Dec 7 16:21:29 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 08:21:29 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] same story, different spins In-Reply-To: <001101c3bc87$cec6ae80$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031207162129.44972.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> --- Spike wrote: > > CNN title: Afghan bicycle bomb injures 15 > > Foxnews title: Taliban Targets U.S. Soldiers in Afghanistan > > > > CNN: A bicycle carried a bomb that exploded in the main square of > the > southern Afghanistan city of Kandahar, wounding at least 15 people > > Foxnews: A bomb ripped through a bustling Kandahar bazaar Saturday, > wounding 20 Afghans, in an attack the Taliban say targeted - but > missed > - U.S. soldiers. > > > > CNN: Hashma and Deputy Chief Mohammad Salim said police and U.S. > troops > were investigating, but no arrests had been made. > > Foxnews: Taliban fighters claimed responsibility, saying the blast > was > aimed at American soldiers, but went off late. > > > > CNN: The blast damaged several shops in the square, breaking windows > and crumbling walls... > > Foxnews: ...Six shops were leveled. Broken glass from the shattered > hotel front littered the ground, stained by the victims' blood. The > wounded included three children...three of the 20 injured were > seriously > hurt and taken to the coalition military base at the city's airport > for > treatment... > > > The tone of the articles is so very different that > it leads to different conclusions. The CNN report > almost makes it sound like they do not know who set > off the explosion. Foxnews has already tried and > convicted the mad dogs of the Taliban. It is no > wonder there is such deeply divided opinion on the > coalition action in Afghanistan, it depends on which > news sources one reads. Both sources are necessary > to even start to understand. Well, I wouldnt' say Fox has tried and convicted the Taliban. Their article clearly states that the Taliban has *claimed* responsibility, and is only making excuses about why they wound up killing only fellow afghans. The CNN simply didn't publish any claims of responsibility by parties like the Taliban. Now, I don't know why either side would do what they did. Is CNN simply parroting its policy of not reporting that a criminal suspect is black when he/she IS black, and not posting a photo, but having no trouble reporting white criminals and posting their images, especially when they are middle aged white males? In this case, are they not reporting bad things the opponents of the US are doing as being done by them? Is Fox trying to depict the Taliban as incompetent guerrillas, or are they trying to say that Afghanistan is still dangerous? ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From rhanson at gmu.edu Sun Dec 7 16:55:01 2003 From: rhanson at gmu.edu (Robin Hanson) Date: Sun, 07 Dec 2003 11:55:01 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Who Anticipated Internet Exploding in 90s? In-Reply-To: <00c401c3b9c2$d7679670$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> References: <5.2.1.1.2.20031203104058.01e64960@mail.gmu.edu> Message-ID: <5.2.1.1.2.20031207114404.0210c208@mail.gmu.edu> On 12/3/2003, Harvey Newstrom wrote: > >>>I just read someone who said: > >>>"no one anticipated the explosive diffusion of the Internet > >>>during the 1990s" > >>>and I figured that this can't be right - surely someone must > >>>have had the dumb luck to predict such a thing before 1990. > >>>Can anyone point to a quote? > >>I suggest reading through "A Brief History of the Internet" at > >>http://www.isoc.org/internet/history/brief.shtml . It has references > >>to all the milestones in Internet creation, including white papers, > >>conferences, etc. > >That is a history of who did what when, not of who predicted what when. > >Wow. Remind me not to have you do any research for me! :-) > >You think that the Internet was based on past network usage and not build on >wide-spread predictions of how the future network would be used and what it >had to support? All requirements documents are based on future predictions. >There are technical predictions of load, spread, and acceptance. ... Of >*course* they are chock full of predictions about how great and widespread >the internet was going to be in the future! >Some quick examples of documents listed in the reference you dismissed: ... I did not mean to be dismissive; I meant to indicate that I was wondering if anyone knew of a quote regarding the particular kind of prediction that was asked for - a predictions of "explosive diffusion" "during the 1990s." This is much more specific than general predictions that the internet will eventually be wonderful. And none of the specific quotes you offered are on this specific point. I agree that such predictions may reside in the many internet "white papers, conferences, etc". And this is naturally where one would start to look if one was willing to spend several weeks researching this topic. But I'm not going to put that effort in just to be able to casually tell a particular person that their claim is mistaken. Robin Hanson rhanson at gmu.edu http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-4444 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323 From jonkc at att.net Sun Dec 7 16:55:12 2003 From: jonkc at att.net (John K Clark) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 11:55:12 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution References: <012801c3bcd5$a882b4a0$9ccd5cd1@neptune> Message-ID: <019a01c3bce2$f2acfd80$8efe4d0c@hal2001> Technotranscendence Wrote: > Does anyone seriously think it is unbreakable? I do. Unlike achieving Nanotechnology to break this code the fundamental laws of physics would have to be very different from what we think they are. John K Clark jonkc at att.net -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From rhanson at gmu.edu Sun Dec 7 16:04:37 2003 From: rhanson at gmu.edu (Robin Hanson) Date: Sun, 07 Dec 2003 11:04:37 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution In-Reply-To: References: <012801c3bcd5$a882b4a0$9ccd5cd1@neptune> Message-ID: <5.2.1.1.2.20031207105429.02057e00@mail.gmu.edu> There is an article in the latest New Scientist on how to break it. > From what I have read it is unbreakable in principle, because you can > find out if is it has been intercepted (then of course you declare the > key void and exchange a new one). > >Does anyone seriously think it is unbreakable? I believe it's more of a > matter of not yet finding a way to break it. > >>From > 2theadvocate.com: > After 20 years of research, an encryption process is emerging that is > considered unbreakable because it employs the mind-blowing laws of > quantum physics. ... Robin Hanson rhanson at gmu.edu http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-4444 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323 From rhanson at gmu.edu Sun Dec 7 16:48:42 2003 From: rhanson at gmu.edu (Robin Hanson) Date: Sun, 07 Dec 2003 11:48:42 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: <20031207125411.GP5783@leitl.org> References: <05be01c3bc9d$5bdb6c60$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> <020801c3bb97$2650ef40$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> <027201c3bc25$420b8950$11ff4d0c@hal2001> <04b801c3bc48$25dfd880$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> <001e01c3bc7f$d02c2b90$defe4d0c@hal2001> <028001c3bc86$c38f64e0$8bce5cd1@neptune> <05be01c3bc9d$5bdb6c60$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: <5.2.1.1.2.20031207110754.02082990@mail.gmu.edu> On 12/7/2003 Eugen* Leitl wrote: > > 2) If neither Drexler (and associates) nor Smalley (and associates) were to > > *accept* the burden of proof scientifically what happens by default > > politically? > >The Nobel "what's this purple crap in soxhleted soot?" laureate wins by >default It's worse than that actually. My strong impression from the recent NNI conference I just attended is that even if Drexler had the Nobel prize, Smalley's position would still win. The key dynamic is government agencies perceive that "nanobots" have been associated in the public mind with possible big dangers, and they'd rather avoid any such association with dangers. So they want to declare that "nanobots" are impossible, with no more specific common definition of what the impossible things are than whatever it is that the public is afraid of. As long as respectable scientists can be recruited who say they are impossible, this is the position the government agencies will take. And given the vast money available, it was pretty sure that some respectable scientists would be found to take this position. Given all this, they key political "mistake" was to publicly create a vision of nanotech that included possible big dangers. Given this initial choice, it was pretty much determined that this vision would never get government funding. Of course it could still have been the right thing to do to warn the world about the dangers. It should just have been realized (given 20/20 hindsight of course) that this would preclude any direct government funding. An irony is that it was the exciting vision, including both dangers and great promise, that created enough public interest to make politicians think of creating a special research program, and to make those politicians want to explicitly require that there be some study of the social implications of this technology. Given the way this plays out, the studies they actually do of social implications will explicitly exclude all scenarios that they think have anything to do with the declared impossible dangerous nanobots. Robin Hanson rhanson at gmu.edu http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-4444 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323 From cryofan at mylinuxisp.com Sun Dec 7 17:01:47 2003 From: cryofan at mylinuxisp.com (randy) Date: Sun, 07 Dec 2003 11:01:47 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] followup avoidance upon unexpected dissident responses In-Reply-To: <5.1.0.14.2.20031206172545.03ca2108@mail.earthlink.net> References: <000601c3bc52$976f9bc0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> <20031207001341.86452.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> <5.1.0.14.2.20031206172545.03ca2108@mail.earthlink.net> Message-ID: I have been reading a lot lately about how the media shapes political debate and excludes radical and third party political candidates. In particular, I have been following the Democratic party presidential race and debates. One of the interesting aspects of the media coverage has been how, during the televised candidate debates, the sometimes "radical" or "dissident" comments of candidate Kucinich has been handled. Also, a former poster to this list, Anthony Garcia, was recently on the Houston PBS "connections" TV show. He is a Texas Libertarian party activist and sometime candidate. He "debated"/discussed various broad political issues with representatives of the local Democrat, Republican, and Green parties. Interesting to me was how the moderator and Dem and GOP representatives completely ignored Anthony's occasional comments about broad issues regarding how the dems and gop use their power to keep 3rd party candidates off the ballot and away from the media. However, almost every comment from the dem and gop representatives, even when about seemingly trivial subject matter, prompted a followup from the moderator and the other major party candidate. Likewise, when Kucinich made radical/dissident comments about broad issues during the debate, the moderator simply ignored every single one, while comments from the more "mainstream" candidates were followed up by the moderator. Here is a quote from Michael Parenti's website that defines how this exclusion of outlier parties, ideologies, and candidates is accomplished via "followup avoidance of dissident comments" when a radical or dissident comment is made on TV: >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Follow-up Avoidance When confronted with an unexpectedly dissident response, media hosts quickly change the subject, or break for a commercial, or inject an identifying announcement: "We are talking with [whomever]." The purpose is to avoid going any further into a politically forbidden topic no matter how much the unexpected response might seem to need a follow-up query. An anchorperson for the BBC World Service (December 26, 1997) enthused: "Christmas in Cuba: For the first time in almost forty years Cubans were able to celebrate Christmas and go to church!" She then linked up with the BBC correspondent in Havana, who observed, "A crowd of two thousand have gathered in the cathedral for midnight mass. The whole thing is rather low key, very much like last year." Very much like last year? Here was something that craved clarification. Instead, the anchorperson quickly switched to another question: "Can we expect a growth of freedom with the pope's visit?" On a PBS talk show (January 22, 1998), host Charlie Rose asked a guest, whose name I did not get, whether Castro was bitter about "the historic failure of communism". No, the guest replied, Castro is proud of what he believes communism has done for Cuba: advances in health care and education, full employment, and the elimination of the worst aspects of poverty. Rose fixed him with a ferocious glare, then turned to another guest to ask: "What impact will the pope's visit have in Cuba?" Rose ignored the errant guest for the rest of the program. >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> ------------- From rafal at smigrodzki.org Sun Dec 7 17:47:13 2003 From: rafal at smigrodzki.org (Rafal Smigrodzki) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 12:47:13 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan References: <200312060543.hB65hqM30870@finney.org> Message-ID: <004601c3bcea$26086780$6501a8c0@dimension> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Hal Finney" > He can't just wave his hands and say, if one thing doesn't work, we'll > try something else. He can't point to living things as an existence > proof (because Drexlerian nanotech's revolutionary properties go far > beyond anything possible with biology). ### I think it's useful to consider the conditions that led to the formation of biological mechanosynthesis, conditions which do not pertain in the case of artificial mechanosynthesis, and try to imagine how changed conditions could change the possible outcomes. Consider, for example the need for self-assembly of every protein: The vast majority of proteins are produced by a standard system (the ribosome) out of a very limited number of building blocks, in such a way that the simple one-dimensional ordering (protein sequence) determines the three-dimensional outcome. This introduces severe limits on the kind of chemical interactions between parts of a protein - they cannot be cross-linked for higher strength, except by the use of other proteins or the limited expedient of S-S bridges, so only select proteins are cross-braced (see collagen formation), or else you'd need to have a bunch of specialized post-translational modificators for each protein, and a bunch of modificators for each modificator, and ... The supporting structure of an enzyme has to not only support the active moieities, but also code for its own folding, necessitating many loops which are there only because of the folding requirement (see the difference in size between the catalysts based on cage-compounds and proteins of similar catalytic ability). Since there is no internal cross-bracing except for non-covalent bonds (with few exceptions), the structure is very thermosensitive. Or consider the need for evolutionary malleability coupled limited information storage and low computational capabilities: you need to change enzyme structure very quickly to adapt to new conditions (so you have to reuse existing devices and kludge them together to make new functions), but the only way you can compute new structures is to make prototypes out of a small number of building blocks (a cell couldn't store enzyme information for making e.g. 20 000 building blocks instead of 21) and see if they survive. This is a severe limitation on the amount of searching in the design space you can do, even in millions of years. The situation for the nanotechnologist is different. Let's imagine you have enzymes (garden-variety biological ones) to make 20 000 distinct building blocks - rods, braces, steppers, thousands of prosthetic groups for various catalytic steps. Instead of making a protein catalyst out of 500 aminoacids, you could use five or six structural blocks and attach two-three prosthetic groups to have the same catalytic ability- but in a much smaller and more durable package, as in a cage compound. You would need an assembler able to grasp many more building blocks than a ribosome does, maybe even many separate ribosome-like entities, yes, but without the computational limits inherent in being a single cell that needs to reproduce *and* make most of its components almost from scratch, this should be doable. Also, if you are not limited to reusing existing enzymes, you can calculate the optimal structure, and choose the optimal blocks out of your library of 20 000, you will make much more efficient devices. You can search the design space far away from the list of available components and if you find something worthwhile, you can make the components to get you there. With a library of 20 000 specialized blocks you should be able to design organisms with orders of magnitude higher concentrations of active elements, therefore faster reaction speeds, smaller size, higher complexity - or simply, you'd have MNT. It's true that the "assembler" might be a bank of 20 000 specialized building-block producers with a hierarchy of assembling devices, each accepting the feedstocks of dozens of others to finally churn out the products (such as a specialized producer, or fur for a teddy bear) - but this makes it all the more believable, at least for me. I do think that Drexlerian nanotech is possible, and pointing to living things as the proof of principle is a valid argument. Almost all proofs of principle, being hastily cobbled together from available parts, are slow and clunky.... the final product of optimization will be much better. Rafal From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Sun Dec 7 17:53:00 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 12:53:00 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution In-Reply-To: <20031207161222.43412.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <011c01c3bcea$f7ab1760$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Mike Lorrey wrote, > > --- Technotranscendence wrote: > > Does anyone seriously think it is unbreakable? I believe > > it's more of a matter of not yet finding a way to break it. > > Well, the system is merely a means of key transmission that > is not crackable, in that it is able to easily detect > interception and take countermeasures. It says nothing about > the security of the cryptosystem that generates the keys > themselves. Technotrascendence is right about this merely being temporarily unbreakable. Unbreakable techniques come and go all the time. They are theoretically unbreakable until someone figures out a way to break it. Sometimes there was a flaw in the theories. Usually, it is cracked using an unexpected trick that does not violate the theoretical proof in any way. For example, encrypted passwords were once thought to be unbreakable. People calculated that it would take billions of years to try all the passwords to find the right one. But hackers noticed that people didn't really choose random passwords. They chose English words from their small vocabularies of a few thousand words. The key space was magnitudes weaker than theoretically predicted. A dictionary attack trying English words broke most English-speakers' passwords fairly quickly. In this day of new physics and rapid advancement, even the laws of physics may be subject to change and/or new methods discovered that will invalidate previous theories. Mike is exactly right that this only solves the key-exchange problem, if it even does that. It does not address algorithmic flaws or operations flaws. Common operational attacks are still available for use against this technology. Even if the keys are created and exchanged securely, other methods of attack are not blocked. A timing attack, for example, can greatly limit the key range required for guessing if we can somehow detect the beginning of the key generation and then detect when it comes back with an uncrackable key. Different algorithms take different lengths of time to calculate different keys. By measuring the time exactly, we can figure out how long it took the algorithm to develop the key. This limits the keys to only those taking this length of time. Based on the random mathematics involved, some keys take more time while others take less. Being able to limit the key range limits the strength of the key. The best example of a timing attack was a timing bug in SSH using remote password encryption. Theoretically, the system shouldn't tell you if you have a good username with a bad password, or if the username is bad as well. Hackers noticed that a good username took a few seconds to respond because the system had to decrypt the password for comparison. While a bad username came back immediately because there was no password to decrypt because the username was wrong. By timing the responses, hackers could tell whether a username existed or not. They could go down a list of common names and have the system tell them whether they were valid or not. Theoretically, the encryption was not cracked. But timing differences revealed the answer anyway. Quantum communications won't protect from this kind of attack. A man-in-the-middle attack, for example, is when a person masquerades as the intended party and tricks the security system into exchanging keys with the fake person rather than the real person. Then all messages sent to the fake person are readable by them, and then they re-encrypt it and forward it to the real recipient. The sender and the real recipient talk back and forth using "uncrackable" encryption (which technically has not actually been cracked), never knowing that a third party is reading all their encrypted communications. Quantum communications won't protect from this kind of attack. Plain old spying, for example, still allows a person's office or PC to be bugged so that the spy sees everything going on, even if the data is encrypted over the network. They spy sees the human-readable data at each end before it is encrypted or after it is decrypted. The data must be made human readable for the humans at each end to read it, and that is where the spying occurs. Quantum communications won't protect from this kind of attack. Plain old social engineering, for example, is when a bad person fools a target into lowering security without them realizing it. A fake e-mail message to the person saying that they need to give their uncrackable key to the sysadmin for backups might get the uncrackable key from a gullible person. Or consider fake directions on how to verify that their quantum key generation is really secure, where the complicated directions include resetting the key to a known key instead of the randomly generated one. Quantum communications won't protect from this kind of attack. A Tempest attack, for example, measures very fine changes in power draw or electromagnetic interference to determine what a device is doing. Imagine a graph showing the power consumption to your device. Random fluctuations on the power grid are large and broad on this graph. Power draw from most appliances are also large discrete changes. However, a fast computer might be drawing different micro amounts depending on what data it is transferring, and these changes are fast and minute. It is theoretically possible to extrapolate such data from the power draw. Another example of Tempest leaks is the slight radio static click that each keystroke makes. Each key has a little switch inside it that makes a connection as you type. They keys are not microscopically similar, and each one gives a slightly different static burst that is unique. A person doesn't even have to recognize each key, they can statistically deduce them like a coded cryptogram, where "e" is the most common letter in English, "the" is the most common three-letter word, etc. A third example of Tempest leakage is the power leakage from your screen as you type. Between keystrokes, it is constant while the screen isn't changing. With each keystroke, the screen only changes by one letter difference. Repeating the letter will repeat the same delta change. Different letters with a different number of pixels take a different amount of energy to display. This also gives a Tempest spy the ability to remotely read what is on your screen as it displays. Quantum communications won't protect from this kind of attack. In other words, the quantum key generation and/or transmission only solves a specific case of security and makes it secure. All the other security problems still exist. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Sun Dec 7 17:54:11 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 12:54:11 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution In-Reply-To: <5.2.1.1.2.20031207105429.02057e00@mail.gmu.edu> Message-ID: <011d01c3bceb$2224f650$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Robin Hanson wrote, > There is an article in the latest New Scientist on how to break it. Thanks. That was fast! (The more things change, the more they stay the same....) -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From rafal at smigrodzki.org Sun Dec 7 18:36:40 2003 From: rafal at smigrodzki.org (Rafal Smigrodzki) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 13:36:40 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Golden Transcendence References: <200312060543.hB65hqM30870@finney.org> <004601c3bcea$26086780$6501a8c0@dimension> Message-ID: <007e01c3bcf1$10b36b80$6501a8c0@dimension> I just finished reading the third part of John C. Wright's Golden Age trilogy, and I am awed. As I suspected, Wright allows humanity an escape from the eons of dignified dying outlined in Phoenix Exultant - I was convinced that a dynamical optimist like Wright wouldn't let humanity go out with a quadrillion-year whimper. Add to it insights and epiphanies galore, some unexpected but smart (rather than, as it sometimes happens, confusing and stilted) plot twists, wry humor, ebullient libertarianism and an explanation of some hitherto mysterious elements of his world history and politics, and you have a glorious conclusion to the best s-f trilogy since Varley's "Titan" (AISI). The one issue I don't understand are the IP laws in the Golden Ecumene - are they statutory or merely contractual? If statutory, why are they (apparently) time-unlimited, which might result in inefficiencies (and Wright doesn't say how inefficiencies are avoided), and if they are contractual, how do they become universally enforced? I could imagine the following argument in favor of IP held in perpetuity - since the IP owner receives the full market value of his invention, there is a strong stimulus to provide new inventions - both to earn and to avoid paying for older IP. But then, if the inventor of the wheel was still alive, we would be paying him royalties on every car, including toy trucks. On the other hand, contractual IP would assure return commensurate with effort spent on research while avoiding perpetual royalties but Wright specifically mentions the Parliament as the venue where the scope of IP was decided in the Golden Ecumene. All this doesn't detract from Wright's vision, however. Highly recommended. Rafal From natasha at natasha.cc Sun Dec 7 21:18:25 2003 From: natasha at natasha.cc (Natasha Vita-More) Date: Sun, 07 Dec 2003 13:18:25 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Contradictions in Politics: Socialism/Democracy/Libertarianism/Republican Message-ID: <5.2.0.9.0.20031207121023.044b8d80@pop.earthlink.net> Majority rules makes sense to me; especially if my needs are in the majority. That is why living in America, it is easy to be (a) religious, wealthy and educated male; or, (b) Black, Hispanic, White uneducated and poor male or female. This all depends on what mountain top one is peering down from. I'm with Abraham Lincoln when he said that "...I would not be a slave, so I would not be a master." However, according to the encumbrances of slavery in the early-mid 1800s I would probably be exactly where I am today, not with a or b. These categories are quickly defusing, blurring, fuzzying, fading into the past. But not everyone recognizes this, or even realizes it to be occurring. Feminists still claim there is a glass ceiling, Jesse Jackson still hunts for global problems he can mediate, and the welfare and homeless still beg for money on the corner of Los Angeles's freeway off-ramps. That "politics" will not find solutions to transhumanist problems is a pipe-dream - all light up with sugar plum fairies and dancing elves. As Thomas Crown said in the "Thomas Crown Affair, "It's just a game. It provides a venue to roll up shirt-sleeves, pump up our chests and vent, blame, and defend. What better way to keep people off the streets? :-) The human capacity for fairness or moral rightness makes the idea of democracy possible, albeit the human tendency toward obligatory of justice makes the idea of democracy necessary. Plato said that some of the "features of democracy ... will enable a "footing of equality, whether they be really equal or not." Since when did futurists consider human beings and transhumans chattel? Maybe Mark Twain, a favored American humorist/writer/thinker was more honest when he said that "I am a democrat only on principle," as it seems wholesome and caring to be democratic. However, we do not live in a "perfect" world in which people are treated "equally." A physician of A PhD is often given more credence than her fellow "majority" - just listen to some soap-box academics. Further, artists seem to think we are more in-touch, more intuitive, more spot on when it comes to visionary ideas and frowns upon the social ineptitude of the masses. We can pass the baton of disciplinary-snobbery around the Internet and we will discover how most humans hold onto their ideas like a lifeboat in the rough seas of political turmoil. "Democracy is supposed to give you the feeling of choice," wrote Gore Vidal. Sounds good. But then he adds, "like Painkiller X and Painkiller Y. But they're both just aspirin." The common thread between all the political agendas discussed over the past many years is the, "I'm right. You are wrong." principle. Freedom and equality are contradictions in terms, just as society and the individual are mutually exclusive. How can I be free if my individual needs are not part of the majority? Only if the majority is so confident that individuals are allowed to pursue and make their own choices. In this country, it is the Democrats vs. the Republicans, but how is "a political order in which the supreme power lies in a body of citizens who are entitled to vote for officers and representatives responsible to them" different than a democracy? How is wanting the world to be healthy and prosperous not draw from the principles of socialism in which everyone is equal? How is wanting to live indefinitely different from wanting eternal life in Heaven? How does a desire to live in a pollution-free world where there is land yet to explore not environmentalist? Of course these are rhetorical questions used to show that while we may all want what seems to be the same thing, we approach it from different constructs for different purpose. I can sum it up in meaningful directive in a one-liner clipped from another thread: Max More wrote: >However, I disagree that *anything* done to get ideas about liberty out >there is good. First impressions have a powerful influence on the human >mind. A poor first impression only increases the work to be done. Why resort to outdated political models and religious views just because we want to go "mainstream"? When did affirmative action find its way into transhumanism? We must not bend over for every political or political group-think to soften and erode the values and principles of transhumanism just because we want to go mainstream. BETTER, we must enable a sense of understanding, cooperation and willingness to work together. We must invite others to learn about our ideals in ways that are non-threatening. We must hold our own, stand strong, and educate the "mainstream." Let's us not take our hard-earned sense of the future down to a low common denominator. Let us work toward raising the level of reason and vision to the rest of the world. Natasha __________________________ "Two cheers for Democracy: one because it admits variety and two because it permits criticism. E. M. Forster (1879-1970), British novelist, essayist. Two Cheers for Democracy, "What I Believe" (1951). Forster thought two cheers "quite enough: there is no occasion to give three." The third he reserved for the Republic of Love. "Democracy! Bah! When I hear that word I reach for my feather Boa!" Allen Ginsberg (b. 1926), U.S. poet. Journals: Early Fifties Early Sixties, "New York City" (ed. by Gordon Ball, 1977), Oct. 1960 entry, "Subliminal." "When great changes occur in history, when great principles are involved, as a rule the majority are wrong." Eugene V. Debs (1855-1926), U.S. trade unionist, co-founder of the U.S. Socialist Party. Speech, 12 Sept. 1918, Cleveland, Ohio, defending himself against charges of sedition. Found guilty, Debs was subsequently jailed for three years.. "Remember, democracy never lasts long. It soon wastes, exhausts, and murders itself. There never was a democracy yet that did not commit suicide." John Adams (1735-1826), U.S. statesman, president. Letter, 15 April 1814 (published in The Works of John Adams, vol. 6, 1851). "Nor is the people's judgement always true: The most may err as grossly as the few." John Dryden (1631-1700), English poet "I swear to the Lord, I still can't see, Why Democracy means, Everybody but me." Langston Hughes (1902-67), U.S. poet, author. The Black Man Speaks, in Jim Crow's Last Stand (1943). "Democracy don't rule the world, You'd better get that in your head; This world is ruled by violence, But I guess that's better left unsaid." Bob Dylan (b. 1941), U.S. singer, songwriter. "Union Sundown," on the album Infidels (1983). "When people put their ballots in the boxes, they are, by that act, inoculated against the feeling that the government is not theirs. They then accept, in some measure, that its errors are their errors, its aberrations their aberrations, that any revolt will be against them. It's a remarkably shrewed and rather conservative arrangement when one thinks of it." John Kenneth Galbraith (b. 1908), U.S. economist. The Age of Uncertainty, ch. 12 (1977). "Democracy is the wholesome and pure air without which a socialist public organization cannot live a full-blooded life." Mikhail Gorbachev (b. 1931), Soviet president. Speech, 25 Feb. 1986, to 27th Party Congress, Moscow. "The freeman, casting with unpurchased hand The vote that shakes the turrets of the land." Oliver Wendell, Sr. Holmes (1809-94), U.S. writer, physician. Poetry: a Metrical Essay. "Democracy with its semi-civilization sincerely cherishes junk. The artist's power should be spiritual. But the power of the majority is material. When these worlds meet occasionally, it is pure coincidence." Paul Klee (1879-1940), Swiss artist. The Diaries of Paul Klee 1898-1918, no. 747 (1957; tr. 1965), Jan. 1906 entry. Natasha Vita-More http://www.natasha.cc President, Extropy Institute http://www.extropy.org Founder, Transhumanist Arts & Culture http://www.transhumanist.biz http://www.transhuman.org -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From puglisi at arcetri.astro.it Sun Dec 7 19:12:46 2003 From: puglisi at arcetri.astro.it (Alfio Puglisi) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 20:12:46 +0100 (CET) Subject: [extropy-chat] same story, different spins In-Reply-To: <20031207162129.44972.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> References: <20031207162129.44972.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: On Sun, 7 Dec 2003, Mike Lorrey wrote: >> coalition action in Afghanistan, it depends on which >> news sources one reads. Both sources are necessary >> to even start to understand. > >Well, I wouldnt' say Fox has tried and convicted the Taliban. Their >article clearly states that the Taliban has *claimed* responsibility, >and is only making excuses about why they wound up killing only fellow >afghans. The CNN simply didn't publish any claims of responsibility by >parties like the Taliban. BBC (http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/south_asia/3296307.stm) and other news sources says that no one has claimed responsibility, but that Taliban were accused. It shouldn't be so hard to find out *if* someone has really claimed responsibilit or not. At least some of the news sources are lying, and it doesn't help in the least. Ciao, Alfio From neptune at superlink.net Sun Dec 7 19:19:40 2003 From: neptune at superlink.net (Technotranscendence) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 14:19:40 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] followup avoidance upon unexpected dissident responses References: <000601c3bc52$976f9bc0$6501a8c0@SHELLY><20031207001341.86452.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com><5.1.0.14.2.20031206172545.03ca2108@mail.earthlink.net> Message-ID: <005c01c3bcf7$1140a8a0$76cd5cd1@neptune> On Sunday, December 07, 2003 12:01 PM randy cryofan at mylinuxisp.com wrote: > Also, a former poster to this list, Anthony Garcia, > was recently on the Houston PBS "connections" > TV show. He is a Texas Libertarian party activist > and sometime candidate. He "debated"/discussed > various broad political issues with representatives > of the local Democrat, Republican, and Green > parties. Interesting to me was how the moderator > and Dem and GOP representatives completely > ignored Anthony's occasional comments about > broad issues regarding how the dems and gop > use their power to keep 3rd party candidates off > the ballot and away from the media. However, > almost every comment from the dem and gop > representatives, even when about seemingly > trivial subject matter, prompted a followup from > the moderator and the other major party candidate. Well, I'm not sure of the selection process. I've seen debates where third party candidates have done well, but, typically, major party candidates try to keep third party candidates out of debates or minimize their impact in them. This might happen by selecting a moderator who does not take the third party candidates seriously. Remember, too, major candidates don't want the situation to get out of control. Typically, they go for the so called center and ignore their radical wings because they know their radical wings can't go anywhere else. Enter a third party candidate and that could change. Now, the mainstream candidate is given a dilemma: go more purist and alienate the center or focus on the center and lose the radicals. Most mainstream candidates want to avoid that. It's also like chess too. In a lot of games, people use the strategy of simplifying by trading pieces. By simplifying the "candidate space," mainstream candidates can control the terms of debate and not have to worry about losing support to radical or other factions within their base -- or expending effort defeating them. (Why are the Republicans without any contenders for the Presidential nomination? Well, Bush can focus on the Democrats -- rather than fight a bitter primary like last time and them have to fend off his opponents. The same logic applies to third parties.) > When confronted with an unexpectedly dissident > response, media hosts quickly change the subject, > or break for a commercial, or inject an identifying > announcement: "We are talking with [whomever]." > The purpose is to avoid going any further into a > politically forbidden topic no matter how much the > unexpected response might seem to need a > follow-up query. An anchorperson for the BBC > World Service (December 26, 1997) enthused: > "Christmas in Cuba: For the first time in almost > forty years Cubans were able to celebrate > Christmas and go to church!" She then linked up > with the BBC correspondent in Havana, who observed, > "A crowd of two thousand have gathered in the > cathedral for midnight mass. The whole thing is > rather low key, very much like last year." Very > much like last year? Here was something that craved > clarification. Instead, the anchorperson quickly > switched to another question: "Can we expect > a growth of freedom with the pope's visit?" The BBC is one of the most biased news services anyhow. They make statements like that all the time. I wonder if part of it is just the service trying to avoid anything that might make them personae non grata in Cuba. > On a PBS talk show (January 22, 1998), host > Charlie Rose asked a guest, whose name I did > not get, whether Castro was bitter about "the > historic failure of communism". No, the guest > replied, Castro is proud of what he believes > communism has done for Cuba: advances in > health care and education, full employment, > and the elimination of the worst aspects of > poverty. Which is why people general hop on inner tubes from Key West to get to Cuba. I've heard the Cuban Coast Guard has to turn these immigrants back, so many are trying to migrate to the Caribbean paradise. Also, note how those deluded enough to leave Cuba, quickly return when they discover what a great land they've left. This explains Florida's declining Cuban population: more of them move back to live happy and free under Castro. (Sorry, I couldn't resist.:) > Rose fixed him with a ferocious glare, then turned > to another guest to ask: "What impact will the > pope's visit have in Cuba?" Rose ignored the > errant guest for the rest of the program. I know you got this off another site, but have you ever watched Charlie Rose? He's not only politically biased and shows it, but he's a bad interviewing. He talks over his guests, ignores those he can't control, and generally overtly steers the discussion. Watching him, one gets the feeling the guests are there merely as props for him. (This has nothing to do with my disagreement with his particular politics, as I find other Left-wing interviewers to be much better and even among the best I know, such as Terry Gross (NPR) of Leonard Lopate (WNYC).) So I'm not surprised he would do this -- if, in fact, that's what he did. But to turn this discussion into a positive direction: How would you get the media, etc. to pay more attention to radical or dissident views? One thing to do might be to hire a polling agency to do a survey with so called radical positions and see how many people hold them. Let's say you find 40% of those surveyed hold the radical position. Yuo could then use the poll to show how media coverage of such positions is far lower than their actual representation in the population. That might shame some in the media toward mending their ways. (Of course, I'm assuming that these so called radical positions are more prevalent than mainstream reporting would have us believe.:) Cheers! Dan http://uweb.superlink.net/neptune/ From bradbury at aeiveos.com Sun Dec 7 19:38:34 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 11:38:34 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: <5.2.1.1.2.20031207110754.02082990@mail.gmu.edu> Message-ID: On Sun, 7 Dec 2003, Robin Hanson wrote: > So they [goverment officials] want to declare that > "nanobots" are impossible, with no more specific common definition of what > the impossible things are than whatever it is that the public is afraid > of. As long as respectable scientists can be recruited who say they are > impossible, this is the position the government agencies will take. And > given the vast money available, it was pretty sure that some respectable > scientists would be found to take this position. [snip] I think people are missing a couple of important issues here. Right now a Drexler type assembler arm probably is *effectively impossible*. [And one can comfortably ignore nanorobots.] The reasons are poorly developed methods and very high costs. Lets see: MECHANOSYNTHESIS: has been done on a limited scale with AFMs and 1-2 atoms. No parallel AFMs in production to my knowledge. There is the Zyvex rotapod but it needs tool tips and needs to be scaled down from MEMS to nanoscale. That will happen probably if they manage to make it through the decade and 5-20 nm litographic/MEMS methods are developed. (Right now we are looking at 65 nm circa 2006). SYNTHETIC CHEMISTRY: it isn't sophisticated enough yet and the computational capacity isn't up to the job. The largest synthetic molecules that have been made are things like Vitamin B-12, vancomycin and maitotoxin. They have atomic sizes ranging from ~200-500 atoms. Even for the fine motion controller which is 2600 atoms in size but probably only 1/500th to 1/1000th of an 4,000,000 atom assembler arm design (not counting the motors and computer interface you might need to control it). [The reason the ratios aren't exact is there is a fair amount of repitition in the assembler arm design.] Then you only have 2 people in the world (Merkle and Drexler) who have ever designed nanoscale parts -- where does the rest of the design come from? Finally to assemble something with 4,000,000+ atoms you are going to require *lots* of chemical reactions -- potentially millions. Even if you had the design in hand it is probably far too complicated for the human mind and the current retrosynthetic analysis programs are only capable of handling molecules from a few hundred to a few thousand molecules in size. The problem is the exponential growth in the number of reactions you have to try as the nanoparts increase in size. ENZYMATIC CHEMISTRY: The problem here is that even though we are starting to accumulate databases with thousands of enzymes (due to genome sequencing) we don't know many of the structures yet -- though our rate of determining them should increase significantly over the next couple of years. Our computer predictions of protein structure from amino acid sequence are still pretty poor and our ability to design proteins has only begun to develop in a few groups over the last 5-8 years. And very few people are working on de novo enzyme design. Finally there is the issue of COST. I've looked at this for ENZYMATIC CHEMISTRY in [1]. You can disagree with my analysis but I would bet they would not be low by more than an order of magnitude and its even less likely that they are high. The cost to design *just* the enzymes for the Fine Motion Controller to do the assembly of smaller chemical building blocks -- *if* we had lots of designers and some reasonable skill in that process would be $5.8 million dollars. For a nanoassembler arm the cost is $9 billioin dollars and for a single nanorobot its $17 trillion dollars. These figures do not include the costs of the design of the nanoparts (nanosubcomponents) of the finished nanomachines. Since these amounts are significantly beyond what most government government grants are for, at this time you would have to recruit 5-10 groups to tackle the problems if you really wanted to deal with them seriously. That is the real problem with Smalley's position -- an insufficient number of good scientists have read Drexler's literature enough to want to take a position against him. That would allow us to attempt to enroll the types of team leaders that can both bring home the money. That's why one of the projects I'd like to work on is a complete retrosynthetic analysis of the fine motion controller. Its the smallest nanopart Merkle & Drexler designed. Its within 5x of what has been done to date. Once that has been accomplished Smalleys position immediately starts to fall apart and the race is on. Now the good news is that natural trends in molecular biology, synthetic chemistry, biochemical knowledge, computation, etc. seem to be driving the costs down, in part due to the increase in the knowledge base, better methods, working at smaller scales, etc. By 2010 things might start to look feasible for "moon shot" type approaches and by 2020 things may really start to get feasible. So I'm not so sure that there is a lot of politics involved (though government officials might the impression out to the public that they don't want to develop things that are dangerous -- but you know that isn't true for DARPA and the pentagon. The problem is that most of the NNI work is being done by the NSF, NIH and NASA which are probably a little more risk averse. Robert From bradbury at aeiveos.com Sun Dec 7 20:09:04 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 12:09:04 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: <004601c3bcea$26086780$6501a8c0@dimension> Message-ID: On Sun, 7 Dec 2003, Rafal Smigrodzki wrote: > This introduces severe limits on the kind of chemical interactions > between parts of a protein - they cannot be cross-linked for higher > strength, except by the use of other proteins or the limited expedient of > S-S bridges, so only select proteins are cross-braced (see collagen > formation) You could take 2 of the stop codons and use them to create 2 new amino acids that crosslink with something much stronger than an S-S bond, design/evolve 2 new tRNAs, then kludge up Venter's minimal organism so it only uses the remaining stop codon, then verify/evolve receptors that can absorb the new amino acids from the medium (I'd suspect minimal microorganisms will use universal amino acid pickup receptors). Voila -- an orgainsm into which you can put new genetic sequences that will allow you to build much stronger proteins/enzymes. (I believe scientists at UCSD have done between 1/10th and 1/5th of this already). It is worth pointing out in [1], Table 1, I point out an alternate genetic code that would allow 63 building blocks rather than than just 21. The era of whole genome engineering would allow one to construct a variety of organisms capable of working with different genetic codes. > or else you'd need to have a bunch of specialized > post-translational modificators for each protein, and a bunch of > modificators for each modificator, and ... How does the selenocysteine modification work? At the tRNA level or at the protein level? > (a cell couldn't store enzyme information for making e.g. 20 000 > building blocks instead of 21) and see if they survive. Well that isn't true -- there are organisms like Amoeba dubia that have 670 million BP genomes, 20,000 building blocks gives them 33,000 bp/building block which is probably enough for 1500+ bases for each enzyme in a 10 step assembly process and that doesn't include any reuse of parts of pathways. > This is a severe limitation on the amount of searching in the > design space you can do, even in millions of years. Particularly if you find a basic set that solves most of the problems most of the time. I think plants that can tolerate great extremes of heat and cold would be interesting to study as they may have copied the enzymes that worked and simply evolved them sufficiently to work at alternate temperatures. Robert 1. Bradbury, R. J., "Protein Based Assembly of Nanoscale Parts", (July 2001) http://www.aeiveos.com/~bradbury/Papers/PBAoNP.html From bradbury at aeiveos.com Sun Dec 7 20:13:15 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 12:13:15 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: Message-ID: On Sun, 7 Dec 2003, Robert J. Bradbury wrote: > Well that isn't true -- there are organisms like Amoeba dubia > that have 670 million BP genomes, [snip] Sorry, correction, that is 670 billion BP genomes. For those interested genome sizes (the DOGS database [Dabase of Genome Sizes]) is a useful resource. See: http://www.cbs.dtu.dk/databases/DOGS/ R. From cphoenix at best.com Sun Dec 7 21:07:58 2003 From: cphoenix at best.com (Chris Phoenix) Date: Sun, 07 Dec 2003 16:07:58 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan References: <05be01c3bc9d$5bdb6c60$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> <020801c3bb97$2650ef40$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> <027201c3bc25$420b8950$11ff4d0c@hal2001> <04b801c3bc48$25dfd880$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> <001e01c3bc7f$d02c2b90$defe4d0c@hal2001> <028001c3bc86$c38f64e0$8bce5cd1@neptune> <05be01c3bc9d$5bdb6c60$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> <5.2.1.1.2.20031207110754.02082990@mail.gmu.edu> Message-ID: <3FD396AE.7B8A0241@best.com> Robin Hanson wrote (and BCC'd to me--thanks!): > Given the way this plays out, the studies > they actually do of social implications will explicitly exclude all > scenarios that they think have anything to do with the declared > impossible dangerous nanobots. Yes, I think you're very likely right. And that avoidance could backfire in the short term, and be quite dangerous in the long run. There's another factor that is probably increasing public--and scientific--fear of nanobots/assemblers. I just read a paper by Michael Lissack: http://emergence.org/redefinition.pdf that describes the way people respond to unfamiliar concepts. In general, people map the concept to the nearest "glom": a fixed and primitive set of associations. Now let's apply this. An assembler is a small device, active, made of stiff parts with a stiff shell (association: chitinous), moves around, has stereotyped behavior, can sneak into objects and corrupt or eat them, can reproduce... need I go on? It's a bug, plain and simple. And we know how people react to bugs. (Note that "bug" also means pathogen.) There are a few people who get lots of practice at thinking with precision about novel and unfamiliar concepts. These people are capable of refusing to glom new concepts, and instead treating them as "indexicals"--terms that must be interpreted with precision--and working till they figure out the intended meaning. For example, those who make a point of reading science outside their discipline will be continually confronted with new jargon that must be interpreted carefully. An even stronger and more common example: each and every symbol in a computer program is an indexical, so programmers must become very good at figuring out indexicals. But it seems safe to assume that most people will not be good at this--when confronted with new concepts, they will form gloms all over the place, and pick the easiest interpretation as Lissack explained. Even most scientists will not have much experience in overcoming glom-type thinking. In their own sub-field, they know all the jargon and concepts, and can think with precision--as long as nothing new comes along. This phenomenon will be familiar to anyone who's tried to communicate with scientists about something new. It's worth noting that molecular nanotech has found good acceptance among programmers and polymaths, and poor acceptance elsewhere. Most descriptions of MNT have failed to take into account the glom-thinking process of the audience. And so the descriptions evoked our ancient fear and revulsion toward bugs. This may have been a major spin mistake. Now that we know nanofactories are easier and more efficient than assemblers, we may be able to move away from the insect-visions of earlier MNT discussion. It should be noted that bugs aren't the only unfortunate association waiting to be glommed to. The story of the Sorcerer's Apprentice--runaway unstoppable productivity--goes back to ancient Egypt. Communicating about MNT without evoking fear-ridden gloms will take quite a lot of care. Chris -- Chris Phoenix cphoenix at CRNano.org Director of Research Center for Responsible Nanotechnology http://CRNano.org From bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk Sun Dec 7 21:23:53 2003 From: bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk (BillK) Date: Sun, 07 Dec 2003 21:23:53 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] AIRCAR: Boeing X-50 offers cheap alternative In-Reply-To: <200312071612.hB7GCiH22605@tick.javien.com> References: <200312071612.hB7GCiH22605@tick.javien.com> Message-ID: <3FD39A69.7070207@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> On Sat, 6 Dec 2003 21:14:38 -0800 (PST) Mike Lorrey wrote: > > http://www.boeing.com/phantom/crw.html > > I think that Boeing's Canard Rotor Wing test aircraft, the X-50 > Dragonfly, promises personal air-car capabilities sooner than Moller or > Bell/Augusta. > Neat design! But at present it is a military, unmanned testbed only. "Under an agreement with the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency, Boeing will build and flight test two unmanned technology demonstrators to assess and validate this advanced rotorcraft concept". Apparently Boeing hope to develop manned versions for the military in the future. "Although the CRW demonstrator vehicles are UAVs, the potential exists for development of both manned and unmanned versions of the vehicle. Missions for such a vehicle include reconnaissance, armed escort, tactical air support, communications/data relay and logistics resupply". How many of the military X-series technology test machines made it through to a general public version? Not many. And if they get any really good results, they will probably be kept secret for years. So, considering that they only just began flight testing (tethered hover) this summer, a general public, air-car type version is many years away, if ever. BillK From jonkc at att.net Sun Dec 7 21:18:42 2003 From: jonkc at att.net (John K Clark) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 16:18:42 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution References: <012801c3bcd5$a882b4a0$9ccd5cd1@neptune> <5.2.1.1.2.20031207105429.02057e00@mail.gmu.edu> Message-ID: <019e01c3bd07$c7a7ceb0$97fe4d0c@hal2001> "Robin Hanson" Wrote: > There is an article in the latest New Scientist on how to break it. I know nothing about network quantum encryption, I've never heard of it before and the article doesn't explain how it works; but as for breaking point to point quantum encryption it only has 2 suggestions: 1) Look over my shoulder when I decrypt the message. 2) Fire a massive Laser at me that is so powerful it damages my cryptographic equipment and hope I'm too dumb to notice. Apparently quite a bit of money is going into developing quantum encryption, I'm a little surprised because public key encryption is much easier to use and seems safe enough. The only conclusion I can come up with is that somebody with money thinks a practical quantum computer will soon become a reality. If that happens then quantum encryption will be the only way to keep a secret. John K Clark jonkc at att.net From cphoenix at best.com Sun Dec 7 21:41:16 2003 From: cphoenix at best.com (Chris Phoenix) Date: Sun, 07 Dec 2003 16:41:16 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: fwd -- Robert Bradbury post References: <01bb01c3bcfb$926dfa00$cf994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <3FD39E7C.B35D3AA2@best.com> Damien Broderick forwarded me a post that Robert Bradbury wrote: > I think people are missing a couple of important issues here. Right now > a Drexler type assembler arm probably is *effectively impossible*. > [And one can comfortably ignore nanorobots.] The reasons are poorly > developed methods and very high costs. Robert, I don't think anyone is saying that we could build such a thing today. That's not the important issue, and using words like "impossible" and "ignore" obscures the issues that are important. Try these questions instead: Actually doing it: Would general-purpose diamondoid manufacturing be worth trillions in 2015? (My answer: Yes. It would be decades ahead of other technology road maps, and could produce a wide range of products.) Could we build it in ten years at a cost of multiple billions? (My answer: Yes, given ten years of targeted funding, we could probably find and refine some technology to do mechanochemistry.) Learning about it: How much would it cost today to get more information about timelines and capabilities? (Not much. A few theoretical physicists and chemists to review Nanosystems. A few more chemists and computers to do preliminary mechanochemical simulation. Some experimental physicists, mechanical engineers, and a polymath or two to look for cheap ways to bootstrap.) How important are these questions? (With our current information, they look very important.) You mentioned several expensive bootstrap pathways, but you did not consider several others. Dip-pen Nanolithography: Has been done with multiple "inks", multiple tips, arrays of tips, re-registration, 2.5-nm precision. BTW, parallel AFMs from the Millipede project have already been applied to DPN. "We're up to a 10,000 pen array now, where you have 10,000 individual pens that can grab 10 000 different chemical agents from ink wells." http://www.materialstoday.com/pdfs_6_5/Gould.pdf Atom holography: I haven't heard anything about it recently, but a few years ago they were able to deposit complex patterns of atoms by shooting them through a programmable grid. Apparently this was not merely masking, but interference. Bose-Einstein Condensates: One more way of handling very small groups of atoms with high precision. Last I heard, they could make them travel along switchable wires. I don't know if they've got single-atom control yet, but it wouldn't surprise me. Sub-wavelength optics: At last count, I knew at least four ways of breaking the lambda/2 barrier. Of course most of them haven't been applied to fabrication. I mention them as an indication that nm-scale fabrication has not been fully explored and might turn out to be significantly easier than the methods you considered. You mention the cost of designing the parts to be fabricated. If diamondoid mechanochemistry works as Drexler, Merkle, and Freitas predict, then the design cost should be very low compared with today's synthetic chemistry designs. The set of reactions to choose from would be far smaller, and the results effectively digital. You can't assume that the design cost per atom in a nanodevice will be any higher than the design cost per transistor in a CPU. Also note that for most products of interest, a few good designs could be re-used and re-combined to make a wide range of products. Levels of abstraction have been extremely useful in computers (both hardware and software), and if chemistry can be made digital, levels of abstraction will work just as well in designing MNT-built products. Chris -- Chris Phoenix cphoenix at CRNano.org Director of Research Center for Responsible Nanotechnology http://CRNano.org From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Sun Dec 7 22:19:18 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 09:19:18 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan References: <020801c3bb97$2650ef40$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> <027201c3bc25$420b8950$11ff4d0c@hal2001> <04b801c3bc48$25dfd880$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> <001e01c3bc7f$d02c2b90$defe4d0c@hal2001> <028001c3bc86$c38f64e0$8bce5cd1@neptune> <05be01c3bc9d$5bdb6c60$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> <00b901c3bcd0$bba24820$9ccd5cd1@neptune> Message-ID: <003e01c3bd10$282bee80$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Technotranscendence wrote: > On Sunday, December 07, 2003 3:37 AM Brett Paatsch > bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au wrote: > > Two questions then, one sort of scientific or > > at least empirical, the second political. [snip] > > 2) If neither Drexler (and associates) nor > > Smalley (and associates) were to *accept* the > > burden of proof scientifically what happens by > > default politically? > > I don't understand the use of "politically" in the above question. Do > you mean that the science will drive the politics? No sorry. I should have been clearer. I meant what do you think is likely to be the outcome of holding the viewpoint that the burden of proof is on Smalley if it is adopted by folks such as yourself and John for 'scientific reasons' (perhaps validly) but it is not adopted by Smalley. I guess I was wondering if either you or John or others would change your views on where the burden of proof would lie if you were concerned that nothing or little might happen politically if the burden was left with Smalley. For me, not leaving the burden with Smalley, who is unlikely to want to accept it, is just plain good political sense. To me its obvious that it behoves those who are aware that they live in a political system where persuasion matters for the implementation of policy that those who don't like the current policy direction either accept the political burden of trying to persuade or they accept in the alternative the consequences, risks and policy direction that follows from their not doing so. Regards, Brett From eugen at leitl.org Sun Dec 7 21:53:43 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 22:53:43 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution In-Reply-To: <019e01c3bd07$c7a7ceb0$97fe4d0c@hal2001> References: <012801c3bcd5$a882b4a0$9ccd5cd1@neptune> <5.2.1.1.2.20031207105429.02057e00@mail.gmu.edu> <019e01c3bd07$c7a7ceb0$97fe4d0c@hal2001> Message-ID: <20031207215343.GB5783@leitl.org> On Sun, Dec 07, 2003 at 04:18:42PM -0500, John K Clark wrote: > Apparently quite a bit of money is going into developing quantum encryption, That's because it's a brand new field in crypto snake oil. > I'm a little surprised because public key encryption is much easier to use > and seems safe enough. The only conclusion I can come up with is that Entangled photons are just used to distribute a shared secret (symmetric session key). It's supposed to be a tamper-proof way to rekey remotely. It's not sooo tamperproof, but definitely better than to send your session keys via snail mail. There have been excessive discussion of this technology on diverse lists, cryptography@ included. Several attacks have been proposed. (I haven't been keeping track of details, because it's boring). > somebody with money thinks a practical quantum computer will soon become a Nope. It's just about milking gullible fools. Application niches targeted are securing financial crypto fiber lines and ground-LEO sat rekeying (they don't yet work in free atmosphere over this range, but eventually will). Tamper detection is definitely a boon here. > reality. If that happens then quantum encryption will be the only way to > keep a secret. Nope, QM is only useful for number factoring, and despite encouraging movements in solid state entanglement we're as far removed from QM as ever. Nevermind the issue of how this scales to high qubit numbers (it doesn't). -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From natasha at natasha.cc Mon Dec 8 01:22:55 2003 From: natasha at natasha.cc (Natasha Vita-More) Date: Sun, 07 Dec 2003 17:22:55 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation In-Reply-To: <000801c3b84d$2c2f8450$68c31b97@administxl09yj> References: Message-ID: <5.2.0.9.0.20031207163902.02c692d0@pop.earthlink.net> Tonight @ 9 PM on the Travel Channel will be "Giant Planes" covering the future of transportation. (11/26/03 "Airbus Unveils Giant Jet Airbus showed off its new Airbus 380, a jumbo jet that could carry as many as 900 passengers Tuesday. Virgin Atlantic has reportedly ordered six of the colossal carriers. The plane will begin testing next year.") Natasha -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Dec 8 00:01:49 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 16:01:49 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] EUGEN: What happened to Genes screeds? In-Reply-To: <20031207215343.GB5783@leitl.org> Message-ID: <20031208000149.97520.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> I recall on the extropy list of years gone past, that Eugen used to post long posts rambling on, like he'd been on a caffiene drip for the last 96 hours, about all sorts of things. What ever happened to that posting technique? ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From scerir at libero.it Mon Dec 8 00:05:06 2003 From: scerir at libero.it (scerir) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 01:05:06 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution References: <011c01c3bcea$f7ab1760$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <000301c3bd1e$f093ea40$f0c7fea9@scerir> Quantum information is physical and has "permanence". That is because there is a no-cloning (and a stronger no-cloning) theorem and also a no-deleting (and a stronger no-deleting) theorem. (Deleting is different from erasure, which is allowed). http://www-users.cs.york.ac.uk/~schmuel/papers/pb00.pdf http://www.research.ibm.com/journal/rd/481/jozsa.pdf The above theorems are connected to the possibility of FTL signals http://arxiv.org/abs/quant-ph/0305145 and perhaps also to a possible general principle of conservation of quantum information. http://arxiv.org/abs/quant-ph/0306044 Classical information is physical but has no "permanence", that is to say it can be cloned, deleted, and of course erased. That "permanence" of quantum information **could** be the conceptual reason of so many difficulties to reach a perfect quantum cryptography. For a general, and clean, review of the present situation: http://arxiv.org/abs/quant-ph/0312011 From rafal at smigrodzki.org Mon Dec 8 01:38:30 2003 From: rafal at smigrodzki.org (Rafal Smigrodzki) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 20:38:30 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan References: Message-ID: <00b401c3bd2b$fd0da880$6501a8c0@dimension> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Robert J. Bradbury" > On Sun, 7 Dec 2003, Rafal Smigrodzki wrote: > > > (a cell couldn't store enzyme information for making e.g. 20 000 > > building blocks instead of 21) > > Well that isn't true -- there are organisms like Amoeba dubia > that have 670 million BP genomes, 20,000 building blocks > gives them 33,000 bp/building block which is probably enough > for 1500+ bases for each enzyme in a 10 step assembly process > and that doesn't include any reuse of parts of pathways. ### I agree that an organism could be made to store information about 20 000 building blocks - but could it have evolved this information on its own? (which is what I wanted to question in the sentence you quoted) Even an organism with 21 aminoacids and only about 30 000 genes (or 60 000 or 100 000, or whatever), like a human, has under natural conditions an early mortality of about 90%, due to mutations in crucial genes. It would be difficult to imagine a bug dependent on every single one of the 20 000 blocks and 200 000 enzymes and who knows how many control elements, and still able to proliferate without recourse to error-checking methods that would stop its ability to evolve (or force it to have a complex mechanism for artificially evolving itself without random mutation). As I was saying, using the clunky living organisms as a proof of principle for blitz-fast molecular nanotech is valid precisely because of the evolutionary limitations under which organisms evolved. Once we increase our computational capability by another 10 orders of magnitude and our knowledge about chemistry by another 10 Terabytes or so (purely out-of-the-hat filler numbers), the nanotechnologist, free from the evolutionary limitations, will be able to use biotechnological approaches to develop MNT. Rafal From brian_a_lee at hotmail.com Mon Dec 8 02:15:14 2003 From: brian_a_lee at hotmail.com (Brian Alexander Lee) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 21:15:14 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution References: <012801c3bcd5$a882b4a0$9ccd5cd1@neptune><5.2.1.1.2.20031207105429.02057e00@mail.gmu.edu> <019e01c3bd07$c7a7ceb0$97fe4d0c@hal2001> Message-ID: I think you're right. The real reason there's so much funding for quantum encryption is because whomever gets it first will have "unbreakable" encryption for a while. It's like nuclear weapons were, you don't want to be the one without it. Public key encryption is pretty strong and easy to use, but it has a few flaws that theoretically a really big gov't computer could use to break it. A lot of encryption systems that use public key really use it to generate a 120-160bit session key and exchange it with their partner. Although there are no documented cracks of 120 bit encryption through brute force, it's theoretically possible. Harvey pointed out a lot of common vulnerabilities, but most of them can be avoided by using proper techniques to avoid timing, social engineering, etc. The big benefit of this is that it allows for a secure key transmission technique. Proper use of certificates should prevent a man in the middle exploit. Nonetheless, crypttech is growing by leaps and bounds as corporations now need encryption where previously just terrorists and govt's needed it. BAL ----- Original Message ----- From: "John K Clark" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Sunday, December 07, 2003 4:18 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution > "Robin Hanson" Wrote: > > > There is an article in the latest New Scientist on how to break it. > > I know nothing about network quantum encryption, I've never heard of it > before and the article doesn't explain how it works; but as for breaking > point to point quantum encryption it only has 2 suggestions: > > 1) Look over my shoulder when I decrypt the message. > > 2) Fire a massive Laser at me that is so powerful it damages my > cryptographic equipment and hope I'm too dumb to notice. > > Apparently quite a bit of money is going into developing quantum encryption, > I'm a little surprised because public key encryption is much easier to use > and seems safe enough. The only conclusion I can come up with is that > somebody with money thinks a practical quantum computer will soon become a > reality. If that happens then quantum encryption will be the only way to > keep a secret. > > John K Clark jonkc at att.net > > > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From neptune at superlink.net Mon Dec 8 03:22:21 2003 From: neptune at superlink.net (Technotranscendence) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 22:22:21 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan References: <020801c3bb97$2650ef40$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au><027201c3bc25$420b8950$11ff4d0c@hal2001><04b801c3bc48$25dfd880$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au><001e01c3bc7f$d02c2b90$defe4d0c@hal2001><028001c3bc86$c38f64e0$8bce5cd1@neptune><05be01c3bc9d$5bdb6c60$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au><00b901c3bcd0$bba24820$9ccd5cd1@neptune> <003e01c3bd10$282bee80$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: <00bb01c3bd3a$7eee38c0$bcce5cd1@neptune> On Sunday, December 07, 2003 5:19 PM Brett Paatsch bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au wrote: > No sorry. I should have been clearer. I meant > what do you think is likely to be the outcome > of holding the viewpoint that the burden of > proof is on Smalley if it is adopted by folks > such as yourself and John for 'scientific > reasons' (perhaps validly) but it is not adopted > by Smalley. I guess I was wondering if either > you or John or others would change your > views on where the burden of proof would lie > if you were concerned that nothing or little > might happen politically if the burden was left > with Smalley. For me, not leaving the burden > with Smalley, who is unlikely to want to accept > it, is just plain good political sense. To me its > obvious that it behoves those who are aware > that they live in a political system where > persuasion matters for the implementation of > policy that those who don't like the current > policy direction either accept the political > burden of trying to persuade or they accept in > the alternative the consequences, risks and policy > direction that follows from their not doing so. It depends on whether people who agree with Smalley have the capability and the will to try to prevent their views from being proved wrong. In the long run, they don't. In the short run, they might drive research underground or to less friendly societies (Red China, for instance). They might do this as well by lending credence to anti-technology groups and policies -- not so much just pulling public funds from these programs but also passing laws against anyone doing it and also shifting the culture toward other things. (Passing laws would be initiating force. I don't believe Smalley's called for that -- unless I've misread him.) A better solution would be, again, to decouple public funding and scientific research to prevent politics from having a say in science as well as corrupting it. However, even in a free market, chances are, one will have to convince others to fund research. It's just that one wouldn't have only one source of such funding. (In fact, in any society, unless you're in control, you'll have to convince others.) Cheers! Dan http://uweb.superlink.net/neptune/ From hal at finney.org Mon Dec 8 03:36:56 2003 From: hal at finney.org (Hal Finney) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 19:36:56 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan Message-ID: <200312080336.hB83auP07649@finney.org> Unfortunately I don't have time to write about all the issues that I see regarding the nanotech debate, or to organize my thoughts as well as I should. It's disappointing that the recent nanotech bill has explicitly removed funding for Drexlerian nanotech. But this just reinforces that Brett is right: at least in practice, given the current political situation, the burden is on the pro nanotech camp to produce a more convincing case for the technology. But I don't see that happening, at least not yet. The initial response seems to be to try to "spin" the debate into a huge victory for the home team. Contrast that with some of the comments in the article I pointed to last week on the economics of nanotech by Brad DeLong, http://www.j-bradford-delong.net/movable_type/2003_archives/002838.html. Some quotes: > Brad -- if you pursue this, I strongly recommend you leave out the > Drexler stuff. The man is, IMHO, a snake oil salesman who doesn't know > his stuff. The Chemical and Engineering News debate pointed to by drk > above, at http://pubs.acs.org/cen/coverstory/8148/8148counterpoint.html, > shows the difference between someone who actually knows his chemistry > (Richard Smalley) and someone who doesn't. > Apropos "Drexlerian" nanotechnology: > http://pubs.acs.org/cen/coverstory/8148/8148counterpoint.html > I saw Drexler speak over a decade ago in front of a group of physicists > at Stanford. I remember thinking at the time that did not stand up well > to questioning by hard scientists. I'd put my money on Smalley. I think the perception by those who are not already nanotech proponents is that Smalley won the debate. And I also object to some of the tactics being used in this spin doctoring. Smalley is being misrepresented and taken out of context. >From the Foresight press release: "In the current C&E News exchange, Smalley now agrees that assemblers (without impossible "magic fingers") could use something like enzymes or ribosomes as tools for doing precise chemistry." This makes it sound like Smalley has conceded that Drexler's ideas for nanotech could work. But in fact, Smalley was attempting to show that to the extent that nanotech needs to rely on things like enzymes and ribosomes, it will share the limitations of those systems, such as reliance on water and the inability to make strong objects, hence that nanotech could not meet its claimed goals. And about this water business, which has also been trumpeted as showing that Smalley is ignorant of chemistry (a claim which sounds absurdly arrogant to the unbiased spectator). Maybe there are some enzymes which can work in polar solvents or even in gas or vacuum. But ribosomes don't, and so Smalley's overall point still holds. The chemistry of water dominates virtually everything about proteins, enzymes (which are a subset of proteins), and ribosomes (which are built equally of RNA and protein). So what does Drexler really mean when he says that nanotech will work like enzymes? As Smalley asks, "do you think it is really possible to do enzymelike chemistry of arbitrary complexity with only dry surfaces and a vacuum?" I think the answer Drexler would give is basically yes, albeit not of "arbitrary" complexity (no system could achieve that goal). He does believe that he can achieve and surpass the power of enzyme-like systems using dry surfaces and a vacuum. He refers to this somewhat obliquely in his reply: "Bound groups adjacent to reactive groups can provide tailored environments that reproduce familiar effects of solvation and catalysis." I've read Nanosystems, and it's always bothered me that the technology described there is so different from what most nanotech fans are familiar with. Drexler describes the famous robot arm; you can see a picture here, http://www.zyvex.com/nanotech/images/fig13.14left.jpg. He goes into a lot of detail about how it would work and how strong it would be for mechanosynthesis. But he doesn't use it! The proposed manufacturing system that he describes in some detail only uses giant robot arms in a final assembly stage, to manipulate relatively large, pre-built blocks that are a cubic micron in size, far larger than the arm above (which is only 0.1 micron long). Instead, the actual molecular manipulation and assembly is done by means of a "mill". This is a system which holds molecular fragments on miniature pallets attached to 4 nm wide assembly belts. The belts run past each other such that the pallets are pressed together, and possibly rotated or manipulated in some way, so that the payload molecules react, transferring one or more atoms from one pallet's payload to the other. These mills would gradually build up larger and larger pieces, which would eventually be transferred to appropriately scaled-up mill systems. These would use the same principles, now working with pieces with perhaps thousands of atoms, attaching them together in various ways. Eventuallly we get up to the micron size, which will have billions of atoms, and at that point he uses almost-macro-scale robot arms to start attaching these "bricks" together. This molecular mill system provides a possible context to understand Drexler's comparison of nanotech assembly to enzymes. Enzymes bring reactants together in a carefully controlled environment. The active site is surrounded by atoms which provide the exact pattern of positive and negative charge, hydrophobic and hydrophilic regions, acidic or base pH, necessary to promote the desired reaction. This is what Smalley means when he talks about biologically catalyzed chemistry occuring as the interaction of a dozen or more atoms, which would seemingly be impossible using robot arms. But it is conceivable that a mill could provide a similar degree of control over the external environment as what we get in an enzymatic active site. The pallets that hold the reactants can be designed to have desired patterns of charge, ionization and electron binding. When we bring the reactants together, surrounded by the two pallets that held them, the environment surrounding the reactants can therefore be controlled to a considerable degree. The reactants can even be held in pouches or grooves within the pallets to provide for full 360 degree control over the local environment. This is what I think Drexler means in the quote above, "Bound groups adjacent to reactive groups can provide tailored environments that reproduce familiar effects of solvation and catalysis." The bound groups are part of the pallets that hold the reactants; solvation, that is, the effects of water molecules, can be mimicked by means of patterns of charge; and catalysis achieved by carefully adjusting the properties of the atoms lining the pallets so as to provide the necessary lowering of energy barriers. I think it is rather difficult to interpret Drexler's comment in terms of robot arms. They have a limited flexibility in terms of tailoring the environment in the near vicinity of the reaction. It would be extremely complicated to recreate the effects of solvation (the widespread presence of water molecules shielding and modifying electrical effects) and catalysis using robot arms, raising fat-finger problems. The point of this rather lengthy digression is that Drexler and other nanotech proponents are not doing a good job of explaining their design concepts. This is in part why they are so commonly misunderstood. And it seems almost willful. Drexler is trying to explain exactly how his system will work: "In machine-phase chemistry, conveyors and positioners (not solvents and thermal motion) bring reactants together." But this terminology is complete generic and unspecific: conveyors and positioners. It applies to mills, but could also apply to robot arms, where reactants are conveyed to the tip and then positioned to be applied to the work piece. Didn't anyone reading this exchange wonder about Drexler's insistence that "fingers" are not needed for his assembly process? What is a robot arm if not a finger, in this context? Do people realize that Drexler has moved away from arm-based assembly, perhaps due to some of the very objections that Smalley has (re-) discovered? Of course, I'm not even 100% sure that my interpretation is right, either. I've explained above how I think his comments relate to the designs in Nanosystems. But maybe I'm wrong, maybe he does still plan to use robot arms. Why should I have to guess? And why should Smalley? This continued evasiveness and refusal to plainly specify a design strategy forces nanotech critics to extrapolate their own understanding and interpretations. And once this happens, the nanotech proponents sit back and smugly call "strawman". Drexler and Smalley are talking past each other, because Drexler refuses to plainly state how his manufacturing system will work, contenting himself with telling Smalley that all his guesses are wrong. This isn't a game of 20 Questions. If nanotech were the dominant paradigm, this lack of specificity might be acceptable. But when you are on the outside looking in, it will not succeed. All you're going to do is make people confused and angry. I share Smalley's frustration when he writes, "it would be helpful to all of us who take the nanobot assembler idea of 'Engines of Creation' seriously if you would tell us more about this nonaqueous enzymelike chemistry." Rather than lobbying and spinning the debate, I'd suggest that nanotech proponents work harder at fleshing out and clearly describing their proposals. Give your critics something to criticize, and at least the debates won't be as empty as the Smalley-Drexler exchange. Hal From neptune at superlink.net Mon Dec 8 03:53:28 2003 From: neptune at superlink.net (Technotranscendence) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 22:53:28 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan References: <200312080336.hB83auP07649@finney.org> Message-ID: <011b01c3bd3e$d7d3a660$bcce5cd1@neptune> On Sunday, December 07, 2003 10:36 PM Hal Finney hal at finney.org wrote: > Unfortunately I don't have time to write about all > the issues that I see regarding the nanotech > debate, or to organize my thoughts as well as > I should. It's disappointing that the recent > nanotech bill has explicitly removed funding > for Drexlerian nanotech. But this just reinforces > that Brett is right: at least in practice, given the > current political situation, the burden is on the > pro nanotech camp to produce a more > convincing case for the technology. I think the only thing that will convince some is actual nanotechnology. That being said, perhaps -- and I don't have time to read your whole post, so forgive me if you mention (or someone else already mentioned) this -- the way to turn things around -- and I actually don't mind no public funding for this:) but I'd like to convince private sponsors and see the research aboveboard -- is to get critics of nanotech like Smalley to articulate what would be the minimum short of a full-blown, working assembler to get them to agree nanotechnology is possible and even practical. In other words, one might say to Smalley, if it's possible to build X or control process Y on a nanoscale, would you agree that it's possible to have full-blown Drexlertech? (X and Y would be stuff that is either doable now or will be doable in short order.) Smalley can even fill in the X and Y above -- provided it's not something too off the wall. (If he says you have to bring Socrates back to life...:) 35% awake now. Cheers! Dan http://uweb.superlink.net/neptune/ From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Mon Dec 8 04:44:47 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Sun, 7 Dec 2003 23:44:47 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: <200312080336.hB83auP07649@finney.org> Message-ID: <017001c3bd46$057f6020$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Hal Finney wrote, > Unfortunately I don't have time to write about all the issues > that I see regarding the nanotech debate, or to organize my > thoughts as well as I should. > The > initial response seems to be to try to "spin" the debate into > a huge victory for the home team. > I think the perception by those who are not already nanotech > proponents is that Smalley won the debate. > And I also object to some of the tactics being used in this > spin doctoring. Smalley is being misrepresented and taken > out of context. > I've read Nanosystems, and it's always bothered me that the > technology described there is so different from what most > nanotech fans are familiar with. > The point of this rather lengthy digression is that Drexler > and other nanotech proponents are not doing a good job of > explaining their design concepts. This is in part why they > are so commonly misunderstood. And it seems almost willful. > Why should I have to guess? And why should Smalley? This > continued evasiveness and refusal to plainly specify a design > strategy forces nanotech critics to extrapolate their own > understanding and interpretations. And once this happens, > the nanotech proponents sit back and smugly call "strawman". > Drexler and Smalley are talking past each other, because > Drexler refuses to plainly state how his manufacturing system > will work, contenting himself with telling Smalley that all > his guesses are wrong. > This isn't a game of 20 Questions. If nanotech were the > dominant paradigm, this lack of specificity might be > acceptable. But when you are on the outside looking in, it > will not succeed. All you're going to do is make people > confused and angry. > I share Smalley's frustration when he writes, "it would be > helpful to all of us who take the nanobot assembler idea of > 'Engines of Creation' seriously if you would tell us more > about this nonaqueous enzymelike chemistry." Rather than > lobbying and spinning the debate, I'd suggest that nanotech > proponents work harder at fleshing out and clearly describing > their proposals. Give your critics something to criticize, > and at least the debates won't be as empty as the > Smalley-Drexler exchange. Hear, Hear! I, too, am frustrated by the lack of scientific or engineering rigor for many of our futuristic ideas. Nanotech is merely one of many obvious examples. We have no shortage of fan club members who insist on the viability of these technologies. We have business models, organizations and personalities promoting this stuff. But what we lack is actual engineering research, design work, or technical specifications that actually have anything to do with the technology itself. Virtually all of our transhumanist writings have been written at the philosophical level or the speculation level. Very little of it actually is rigorous enough to analyze or use by anybody interested in building this technology. We will continue to have little to no effect on lobbying or future technologies until we actually get some engineers working on this stuff. Military, corporate and even private labs will continue to ignore us because we have nothing to add to the technology. Arm-chair pontificating, arguing on the network, and amateur calculations on the back of napkin just aren't good enough. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From alito at organicrobot.com Mon Dec 8 07:09:36 2003 From: alito at organicrobot.com (Alejandro Dubrovsky) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 17:09:36 +1000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <1070867376.6256.13.camel@alito.homeip.net> On Mon, 2003-12-08 at 05:38, Robert J. Bradbury wrote: > SYNTHETIC CHEMISTRY: it isn't sophisticated enough yet and the computational > capacity isn't up to the job. The largest synthetic molecules that have > been made are things like Vitamin B-12, vancomycin and maitotoxin. They > have atomic sizes ranging from ~200-500 atoms. Even for the fine motion > controller which is 2600 atoms in size but probably only 1/500th to 1/1000th > of an 4,000,000 atom assembler arm design (not counting the motors and > computer interface you might need to control it). Current synthetic molecules can be a bit bigger than the ones you pointed out: http://www.umich.edu/~urecord/9293/Apr05_93/11.htm shows synthesis of a pure hydrocarbon sphere of 1134 carbon atoms (2.2k atoms overall). http://www.pubmedcentral.nih.gov/articlerender.fcgi?artid=24856 shows total chemical synthesis of a 238 amino-acid chain. (This last one is from 1998, don't know if this has been bettered). alejandro From maxm at mail.tele.dk Mon Dec 8 07:30:52 2003 From: maxm at mail.tele.dk (Max M) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 08:30:52 +0100 Subject: [Posting style] Re: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <3FD428AC.1010403@mail.tele.dk> Giu1i0 Pri5c0 wrote: I have purposedly copied the entire content of the posting. But cannot bring myself to top-post. So please read on at the bottom. >>From 2theadvocate.com: After 20 years of research, an encryption process is > emerging that is considered unbreakable because it employs the mind-blowing > laws of quantum physics. In November, a small startup called MagiQ > Technologies Inc. began selling what appears to be the first commercially > available system that uses individual photons to transfer the numeric keys > that are widely used to encode and read secret documents. > MagiQ (pronounced "magic," with the "Q" for "quantum") expects this will > appeal to banks, insurers, government agencies, pharmaceutical companies and > other organizations that transmit sensitive information. "We think this is > going to have a huge, positive impact on the world," said Bob Gelfond, > MagiQ's founder and chief executive. Encryption schemes commonly used now > are considered safe, though they theoretically could be broken someday. But > even before that day arrives, Gelfond believes quantum encryption is > superior in one important way. In some super-high-security settings, people > sharing passwords and other information must have the same key, a massive > string of digits used to encode data. Sometimes the keys will be transferred > by imperfect means -- via courier or special software. They are not changed > very often and can be susceptible to interception. > Quantum encryption employs one of the defining discoveries of physics: > Heisenberg's Uncertainty Principle, which says subatomic particles exist in > multiple possible states at once, however hard as that may be to imagine, > until something interacts with them. I have noticed that some posters post massive blocks of text, as the above. (Giu1i0 this is not personal) Being a web designer and usability geek I have long wanted to say something about it. The shape of the text makes it easier to scan/read a big block of text. A big square lump of text like the above is *very* difficult to read. The overall graphic layout of the text doesn't give me any landmarks that I can use for orientation. So if I read the text and loose my orientation, I have to re-read several lines to find it again. Usually if a text looks like above, I don't bother reading it. I am shure that many other reacts likewise. Having a massive block of text also makes it difficult to reply to a specific point in the text. The newsreader will allredy have placed quotemarks in irritating places. So generally it is better to split up a text in related paragraphs. I have some links about it here ------------------------------- http://www.useit.com/alertbox/9703b.html http://www.useit.com/alertbox/9710a.html And a link for writing better email subjects -------------------------------------------- http://www.useit.com/alertbox/980906.html That is generally not a big problem on this list, but imagine having to scan through the archives a few years down, trying to find a particular posting. Then you really appreciate a really clear subject. I have tried to reformat the posting at the bottom of this page, to show what I mean. regards Max M Rasmussen, Denmark ################################## >From 2theadvocate.com: After 20 years of research, an encryption process is emerging that is considered unbreakable because it employs the mind-blowing laws of quantum physics. In November, a small startup called MagiQ Technologies Inc. began selling what appears to be the first commercially available system that uses individual photons to transfer the numeric keys that are widely used to encode and read secret documents. MagiQ (pronounced "magic," with the "Q" for "quantum") expects this will appeal to banks, insurers, government agencies, pharmaceutical companies and other organizations that transmit sensitive information. "We think this is going to have a huge, positive impact on the world," said Bob Gelfond, MagiQ's founder and chief executive. Encryption schemes commonly used now are considered safe, though they theoretically could be broken someday. But even before that day arrives, Gelfond believes quantum encryption is superior in one important way. In some super-high-security settings, people sharing passwords and other information must have the same key, a massive string of digits used to encode data. Sometimes the keys will be transferred by imperfect means -- via courier or special software. They are not changed very often and can be susceptible to interception. Quantum encryption employs one of the defining discoveries of physics: Heisenberg's Uncertainty Principle, which says subatomic particles exist in multiple possible states at once, however hard as that may be to imagine, until something interacts with them. From maxm at mail.tele.dk Mon Dec 8 08:44:26 2003 From: maxm at mail.tele.dk (Max M) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 09:44:26 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <3FD439EA.8000905@mail.tele.dk> Robert J. Bradbury wrote: > I think people are missing a couple of important issues here. Right now > a Drexler type assembler arm probably is *effectively impossible*. > [And one can comfortably ignore nanorobots.] The reasons are poorly > developed methods and very high costs. I usually don't post "me to" posts, but this is a very good overview of the possible routes to nanotech. I strongly believe myself that the road to nano goes through enzyme chemistry. Ensymes are the closest thing to nanotech that we currently have a chance of understanding and synthesizing. They also have most of the features of small nanobots, fast, efficient and reusable. Which is why protein folding and proteomics is so important. Organic chemistry/biology also gives us a lot of flexible reusable designs to borrow from. regards Max M Rasmussen, Denmark From maxm at mail.tele.dk Mon Dec 8 08:48:01 2003 From: maxm at mail.tele.dk (Max M) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 09:48:01 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: <200312080336.hB83auP07649@finney.org> References: <200312080336.hB83auP07649@finney.org> Message-ID: <3FD43AC1.1010501@mail.tele.dk> Hal Finney wrote: > I think the perception by those who are not already nanotech proponents > is that Smalley won the debate. How can you not win, if you can clearly show that it is scary for the kids. Now if only he can make Drexler call him a nazi, then the debate will be completely over. regards Max M Rasmussen, Denmark ;-) From maxm at mail.tele.dk Mon Dec 8 09:10:49 2003 From: maxm at mail.tele.dk (Max M) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 10:10:49 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] theobiology In-Reply-To: <20031205230445.69884.qmail@web60506.mail.yahoo.com> References: <20031205230445.69884.qmail@web60506.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <3FD44019.5020605@mail.tele.dk> The Avantguardian wrote: > In my experience there are generally two types of religious folk. The > first are the brainwashed sheep that send off their cash to any > huckster with enough charisma to wave a 1000 year old book around in > front of them and tell them they are doomed if they don't convert. > > The second kind are very bright skeptical people that have examined > the evidence thoroughly and made an informed decision that the > universe is governed by a living rational force or entity. Usually > these people are deeply spiritual although they tend to hold no stock > in the traditional organized religions as they recognize these to be > scams and tools of power on major scale. If they have "examined the evidence thoroughly and made an informed decision" they are either not very bright nor very sceptical... Post modern self-invented religious views or no more correct than those in a 2000 year old book, unless supported by evidence. There is simply no evidence that points in the direction of a rational force or entity. That is why it is called "belief" and not "support of a theory". > Some of the most celebrated geniuses in history have been of the > second type This is called "argument from authority", and is rather irellevant: http://www.nizkor.org/features/fallacies/appeal-to-authority.html > This is because when you have a very high IQ you are good at seeing > patterns of information. When you see so much pattern in the universe, > so little of which can be explained by mere science, it engenders > faith that there is SOMETHING out there calling the shots. It might. Thought I would say that if a lot of random stuff happens, then there will allways be patterns. And the human mind being an efficient pattern recogniser will look for these patterns and apply useless meaning to them. regards Max M Rasmsusen, Denmark From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Mon Dec 8 09:34:37 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 20:34:37 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan References: <200312060543.hB65hqM30870@finney.org> <20031206195800.GC5783@leitl.org> Message-ID: <012001c3bd6e$7fa86360$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Eugen Leitl wrote: > I personally expect crosslinked polymer as structure bulk, not > diamond nor graphenes. Interesting. I think I can see why crosslinked polymers might appeal given disulphide bonds already feature in routine protein chemistry, but I see protein design as pretty complex, requiring a solvent, and very hard to do computationally (I presume you don't just want to stuff a volume with any old shape). If diamonoid forms could be produced they would seem to have the advantage of being conceptually easier to design with. Is your expectation for cross-linked polymer bulk structures based on the view that diamondoid would be too difficult or rather that designer protein chemistry would be relatively easy? Regards, Brett From gpmap at runbox.com Mon Dec 8 11:34:50 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 12:34:50 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Spanish Cryonics Society Message-ID: The Spanish Cryonics Society (SEC) is a non profit Society whose aim is: "to gather all interested persons, and to promote all activities deemed appropriate to achieve, through medical and scientific means, extending or suspending human life while preserving the identity of the person as well as all his physical and mental skills. To achieve this aim, the following activities are performed: Supporting the investigation and the application of all current and future medical and scientific means that may permit achieving the objectives stated; Facilitating the approval by the Spanish Law of all means which may permit achieving the objectives stated; Promoting collaboration with Health Authorities, as well as with medical and scientific societies, nationally and worldwide; An important objective of the Society is ensuring that everyone who has been treated is protected, when appropriate, with biological and legal means to maintain suitable conditions for his preservation, until Science permits his complete recovery." (translated from Spanish by yours truly). I attended a SEC meeting in Madrid on December 6, 2003. We decided to relaunch the activities of the Society, in particular in terms of spreading awareness of cryonics in Spain, establishing contacts with life insurance providers, establishing a solid Internet presence, developing a media strategy, and solving all issues related to Spanish Law and Health Authorities. The Society will offer advice to all members and interested persons for understanding cryonic science, technologies and procedures, contacting cryonic service providers such as Alcor and the Cryonics Institute, selecting suitable life insurance terms, and solving all issues related to Spanish Law and Health Authorities. All developments will be posted to the website of the SEC. The Spanish Cryonics Society wishes to develop collaborations with all the main players in the field of cryonics. In the next few days SEC officers will begin contacting cryonicists individually. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From extropy at audry2.com Mon Dec 8 14:41:26 2003 From: extropy at audry2.com (Major) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 22:41:26 +0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: <000001c3b8a4$7156ff20$6501a8c0@SHELLY> (spike66@comcast.net) References: <000001c3b8a4$7156ff20$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <200312081441.hB8EfQ201341@igor.synonet.com> "Spike" writes: > The equations for power requirements as a function of rotor > length are well understood Don. Textbooks on VTOL design > are available at your local university. There is a very > good reason why choppers have long rotors, and why sailplanes > with long skinny wings have a more efficient glide slope > than high powered aircraft. Jet VTOL is possible, and has been don. It's called the Harrier. Having listened to on take off at an airshow (500m away), I would not want my neighbor to use one for his daily commute though. Major From dirk at neopax.com Mon Dec 8 14:02:14 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 14:02:14 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Consensus :Expressio unius est exclusioalterius References: <00a201c3b5cc$f477beb0$3bb5ff3e@artemis><000f01c3b5e4$0c2f4020$0200a8c0@etheric><01bc01c3b5e8$a6f96c30$3bb5ff3e@artemis><006801c3b60f$42d8e060$0200a8c0@etheric><028601c3b612$a1527c70$3bb5ff3e@artemis> <010601c3b631$4044a880$0200a8c0@etheric> <00a101c3b6b9$323b7bf0$3bb5ff3e@artemis> Message-ID: <03fb01c3bd93$e1c2fb80$62256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "randy" To: "Dirk Bruere" ; "ExI chat list" Sent: Thursday, December 04, 2003 6:20 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] The Consensus :Expressio unius est exclusioalterius > On Sat, 29 Nov 2003 20:41:42 -0000, Dirk wrote > > > >The Consensus:- > >The political party for the new millennium > >http://www.theconsensus.org > > > I really like your new political party. It aligns fairly well with my > own political beliefs. However, since there probably only about a > dozen people in the entire world who adhere to these same political > beliefs, I doubt it will take the world by storm, and the chances of > it making any dent here in the USA is of course nil. Or anywhere, probably. However, I'm giving it my best shot so if in future anyone says '...so what did you do?' when I whine on about how crap everything is I'll just point them to some history. > But how do you feel about the European welfare states? You wrote: > > "From the Right we believe in individual responsibility to balance > individual rights and that less government is best government - that > governments should regulate, but not act as an employer or wealth > producer. " > > This would seem to cast the European welfare states in a less > favorable light? Specifically I'm not in favour of govts taking wadges of cash from one section of society and handing it to another. Govts should govern ie regulate, so that the basic rules under which a society operates creates the greatest good for the greatest number, and do it without sacrificing the least capable members. > You also wrote: > "We are nationalists in that we believe that every major cultural > group should have its own homeland and live under laws of its own > choosing and in its own way. Also that the independent nation state is > the last line of defence for the common people against exploitation by > unrestrained Global Capitalism. We are 'inclusive nationalists' in > that we believe that all of our citizens have equal rights and are > equally welcome irrespective of race. So if you are looking for > nationalists who are not racists, sexists or into euphemisms such as > 'traditional values', here we are. Our nationalism is a celebration of > our future, not the past." > I completely agree about having homelands and nation as small and as > homogeneous as possible. This increases the available amount of > Social Capital, which gives more leverage to the citizens over those > entities and persons who have more financial leverage. I think that form of nationalism is essential if we want to get the chance of creating posthuman species and radically differing societies. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From dirk at neopax.com Mon Dec 8 14:07:23 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 14:07:23 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age References: <3FCDE00E.9050506@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> <3FCDEE02.8030308@mail.tele.dk> <008f01c3ba4b$72dbb220$2bb26bd5@artemis> <3FCF15EA.8070508@dtext.com> Message-ID: <041f01c3bd94$9a348ad0$62256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "JDP" To: "Dirk Bruere" ; "ExI chat list" Sent: Thursday, December 04, 2003 11:09 AM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age > Dirk Bruere wrote: > > > LSD gave me a big boost in my 30s. > > Can you say a bit more? It opened up a whole new way of looking at the world. The interesting thing for me at the time was not that I was incapable of seeing it without LSD, but that until that point I had been incapable of even imagining it. It reminds me of a passage I read in an SF book that went something like - 'alien mindfuck, a mentals state so bizarre that even as you experience it you won't know what it feels like'. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From dirk at neopax.com Mon Dec 8 14:09:39 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 14:09:39 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Extropy #15 Timeline References: <5.1.0.14.2.20031203221744.05506008@mail.comcast.net> <3FCF11B2.1000308@dtext.com> Message-ID: <042901c3bd94$eb4e69e0$62256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "JDP" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Thursday, December 04, 2003 10:51 AM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Extropy #15 Timeline > David Lubkin wrote: > > > > The nevers surprise me, particularly for "Two Century Biological Lifespans." > > Apparently what they meant is we would go straight from lifespans > shorter than two centuries to indefinite lifespans. (Drexler even gives > 1967 for indefinite lifespan.) Personally, I prefer 1953. However, the real question is when will life expectance be extended by medical technique to an equivalent of the 'singularity' ie when will life expectancy be rising at >1 yr per yr? I'd say that would be around the 2020 mark. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From jose_cordeiro at yahoo.com Mon Dec 8 16:22:38 2003 From: jose_cordeiro at yahoo.com (Jose Cordeiro) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 08:22:38 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Very interesting interview to John Smart Message-ID: <20031208162238.7325.qmail@web41313.mail.yahoo.com> It includes several "predictions"... http://www.speculist.com/archives/000473.html#more Transhumanistically yours, La vie est belle! Yos? (www.cordeiro.org) Caracas, Venezuela, Americas, TerraNostra --------------------------------- Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From bradbury at aeiveos.com Mon Dec 8 16:54:28 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 08:54:28 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: <200312080336.hB83auP07649@finney.org> Message-ID: On Sun, 7 Dec 2003, Hal Finney wrote: > It's disappointing that the recent nanotech bill > has explicitly removed funding for Drexlerian nanotech. But it didn't Hal! The study people are all talking about in the oringally proposed Senate bill was explitly for "self-assembly" (I checked that section of the 4 bills in the congressional records yesterday). Self-assembly isn't in the index in Nanosystems. He mentions it once commenting on how it might be used for the assembly of molecular electronics in a 1987 paper and he then discusses it more extensively in his Annual Review paper on Molecular Nanomachines in 1994. Without rereading the paper I think much of that discussion may be about biological nanomachines. You should go read my comments, esp. those of the last couple of days on nanodot.org. What Eric was driving towards was "directed molecular assembly" and that isn't what the bill proposed to study. Since the original bill was heavily contributed to by the NanoBusiness Alliance I'm wondering if they messed up and used the wrong term. Or perhaps some of the molecular electronics folks wanted a study to show how difficult self-assembly was (perhaps to justify increased funding). At any rate it would appear that someone deleted the study from the floor of the Senate sometime between when it was proposed (January) and when it got sent to committee (September). I would love to know who and why. > But he doesn't use it! The proposed manufacturing system that he > describes in some detail only uses giant robot arms in a final assembly > stage, to manipulate relatively large, pre-built blocks that are a > cubic micron in size, far larger than the arm above (which is only 0.1 > micron long). That is because MEMS hasn't scaled down to electronic scales yet because it hasn't had to. For there to be a use for it people would have to believe it would work and that generally isn't true. The studies I cite below are making it a bit harder to hold that position however. > This isn't a game of 20 Questions. If nanotech were the dominant > paradigm, this lack of specificity might be acceptable. But when you > are on the outside looking in, it will not succeed. All you're going > to do is make people confused and angry. Drexler does cite a set of concrete paths in Table 16.1 in Nanosystems. If you think about them in detail it becomes obvious that one could probably write a book about each of the 4 stages he proposes. Eric really withdrew from MNT to a large degree after the first Scientific American critiques. > I share Smalley's frustration when he writes, "it would be helpful to > all of us who take the nanobot assembler idea of 'Engines of Creation' > seriously if you would tell us more about this nonaqueous enzymelike > chemistry." Plan to read the following: Ralph C. Merkle, Robert A. Freitas Jr., "Theoretical analysis of a carbon-carbon dimer placement tool for diamond mechanosynthesis," J. Nanosci. Nanotechnol. 3(August 2003):319-324. http://www.rfreitas.com/Nano/DimerTool.htm or http://www.rfreitas.com/Nano/JNNDimerTool.pdf Jingping Peng, Robert A. Freitas Jr., Ralph C. Merkle, "Theoretical Analysis of Diamond Mechanosynthesis. Part I. Stability of C2 Mediated Growth of Nanocrystalline Diamond C(110) Surface," J. Comp. Theor. Nanosci. 1(March 2004). In press. David J. Mann, Jingping Peng, Robert A. Freitas Jr., Ralph C. Merkle, "Theoretical Analysis of Diamond Mechanosynthesis. Part II. C2 Mediated Growth of Diamond C(110) Surface via Si/Ge-Triadamantane Dimer Placement Tools," J. Comp. Theor. Nanosci. 1(March 2004). In press. They survived review by the hard-core computational chemists at Zyvex. Robert From colinmagee3282 at hotmail.com Mon Dec 8 16:55:05 2003 From: colinmagee3282 at hotmail.com (Colin Magee) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 11:55:05 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Caltech Extropians and Transhumanists Message-ID: I am curious to know if anybody here knows of any major scientists/researchers at Caltech who are sympathetic to or interested in Transhuman/Extropian issues.They could be in any one of the following fields:nanotechnology,artificial intelligence,biotechnology,computer science,cognitive science,neuroscience,or any other major field of interest to Extropians/Transhumanists.Two of the major Transhumanist/Extropian thinkers-Ray Kurzweil and Marvin Minsky are from MIT and so is Eric Drexler(although I don't know if he specifically identifies himself as an Extropian/Transhumanist-but since I am somewhat of a novice in this area,I could be mistaken).I was just wondering if there is anyone from Caltech similar in stature to Ray Kurzweil or Marvin Minsky interested in this area.Any thoughts or ideas would be appreciated. Sincerely, Colin Magee _________________________________________________________________ Get holiday tips for festive fun. http://special.msn.com/network/happyholidays.armx From iph1954 at msn.com Mon Dec 8 17:10:09 2003 From: iph1954 at msn.com (MIKE TREDER) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 12:10:09 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] British Royal Society Workshop Commentary Message-ID: CRN was recently invited to comment on the published report of a UK government workshop exploring likely developments in nanotechnology, and associated ELSI issues. You can view our commentary here - http://www.crnano.org/RSWorkshop1.htm We welcome your feedback and questions. Mike Treder Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology http://CRNano.org _________________________________________________________________ Cell phone ?switch? rules are taking effect ? find out more here. http://special.msn.com/msnbc/consumeradvocate.armx From hal at finney.org Mon Dec 8 19:43:40 2003 From: hal at finney.org (Hal Finney) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 11:43:40 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] British Royal Society Workshop Commentary Message-ID: <200312081943.hB8JheA10797@finney.org> Mike Treder writes: > CRN was recently invited to comment on the published report of a UK > government workshop exploring likely developments in nanotechnology, and > associated ELSI issues. You can view our commentary here - > http://www.crnano.org/RSWorkshop1.htm Just kind of a nitpick, following along with my rant last night: "Foundational work in the field, especially Nanosystems (Drexler, 1992), has laid out a detailed theoretical approach to nanoscale mechanochemical systems and other nanoscale machinery that has never been successfully criticized." It's never been successfully criticized! After eleven years! What, was it divinely inspired? Did the hand of God reach down and write this book? Because no human being can create a 556 page book without error. These kinds of claims smack of cultishness rather than science. They make belief in nanotech sound like a matter of faith and religion. And if in fact this book has managed to avoid "successful" criticism for so long, that is an indictment of the book, not a compliment. It means that the book is so vague, circumspect, or confusing that critics are unable to grapple with it. Every author knows that his ideas are imperfect. He should be writing so as to seek and invite criticism, in order to improve the quality of his concepts and advance the state of knowledge. But I don't find this attitude in Nanosystems. I don't see any admissions of imperfection, or expressions of uncertainty. The overall tone is one of supreme confidence. Even though each chapter closes with a list of open problems, they are mostly of the form, find even more examples to show all of the ways that nanotech can work. It may be that Nanosystems is written this way intentionally, because it means to be as much a political as a technical book. It does not exist to invite people to criticize its proposed nanotech manufacturing system, but rather to convince people that they should support investment and research towards the technology. Whether this is true or not, the fact is that the book has failed to generate an engaged and dynamic intellectual debate about the prospects for nanotech. Instead it is largely used as a political bludgeon, as in the "never been criticized" quote above. I'd suggest that what we need today are works that get criticized. Criticism is how science advances. Avoiding criticism, such as by the tactic I discussed earlier of shifting the burden of proof, is a counter-productive strategy which must be abandoned. Your critic is your best friend. Hal From bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk Mon Dec 8 19:54:51 2003 From: bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk (BillK) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 19:54:51 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Computing in 2004--and Beyond Message-ID: <3FD4D70B.70305@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> PC World magazine has a look into the future - How will the PC change during the coming year? The next five years? We consult the experts and come up with answers. Highlights: According to IDC, flat-panel display shipments will surpass those of tubes for the first time in 2004. Rumors abound that Tejas, Intel's successor to Prescott, will debut near the end of 2004 with speeds from 5 to 7 GHz. Moore's law--the concept that chip performance will double every 18 months or so--is alive and well. Researchers are just beginning to build chips with circuits only 65nm wide, and IBM and AMD are among those working to develop a 45nm process. Intel envisions paring that to 22nm by the year 2011. "The PCs we'll buy just three years from now will have features, user interfaces, and expansion options that are radically different from those in the systems we're using today," predicts Microprocessor Report's Glaskowsky. BillK From thespike at earthlink.net Mon Dec 8 21:03:31 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 15:03:31 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] British Royal Society Workshop Commentary References: <200312081943.hB8JheA10797@finney.org> Message-ID: <003001c3bdce$bf082300$af994a43@texas.net> Although I agree with Hal's general position here, I think the precise statement in question was poorly expressed rather than madly hubristic: ----- Original Message ----- From: "Hal Finney" Sent: Monday, December 08, 2003 1:43 PM > "Foundational work in the field, especially Nanosystems (Drexler, 1992), > has laid out a detailed theoretical approach to nanoscale mechanochemical > systems and other nanoscale machinery that has never been successfully > criticized." > > It's never been successfully criticized! After eleven years! What, was > it divinely inspired? I believe this assertion (often repeated by Drexler et al) means: `Criticisms of its key arguments have never been successful in persuading its author and supporters of their alleged error/s' or `It has successfully surmounted critical challenges, often by showing they were ill-framed or ignored arguments advanced in the text'. Whether this formulation would be justified is, of course, another question, and needs to be dealt with on a continuing challenge-and-response basis by Foresight. I agree with Hal that the current formulation conveys a tone of absurd doctrinal confidence. Damien Broderick From hal at finney.org Mon Dec 8 21:02:28 2003 From: hal at finney.org (Hal Finney) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 13:02:28 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan Message-ID: <200312082102.hB8L2S911116@finney.org> Hal Finney wrote: : It's disappointing that the recent nanotech bill : has explicitly removed funding for Drexlerian nanotech. Robert Bradbury replied: > But it didn't Hal! The study people are all talking about > in the oringally proposed Senate bill was explitly for > "self-assembly" (I checked that section of the 4 bills > in the congressional records yesterday). I am going by http://nanobot.blogspot.com/2003_11_23_nanobot_archive.html#106969756709919883, which indicates that the original House version of the bill funded research to study "molecular manufacturing", while that phrase got changed in the Senate to "molecular self-assembly", and that's what's in the final bill. The former term would cover Drexler-style nanotech, while the latter apparently does not. And according to the article this was an explicit and politically motivated decision to remove funding from the field. Hal From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Mon Dec 8 21:11:46 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 08:11:46 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan References: Message-ID: <023901c3bdcf$e33224a0$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Robert J. Bradbury wrote: > On Sun, 7 Dec 2003, Hal Finney wrote: > > > It's disappointing that the recent nanotech bill > > has explicitly removed funding for Drexlerian nanotech. > > But it didn't Hal! ... > ....the original bill was heavily > contributed to by the NanoBusiness Alliance I'm wondering > if they messed up and used the wrong term. Or perhaps > some of the molecular electronics folks wanted a study > to show how difficult self-assembly was (perhaps to justify > increased funding). > > At any rate it would appear that someone deleted the study > from the floor of the Senate sometime between when it was > proposed (January) and when it got sent to committee (September). > I would love to know who and why. Surely this stuff must be available online somewhere. The record of changes made in parliament in Australia is the Hansard and its available online the following day. I'd imagine it would be similar with whatever the equivalent record is in the US. Does anyone know what it is? 3 back issues of Science for November arrived in the mailbox recently and in one of them I noted that Brownback seems to be trying to get "human organism" whatever that means (that's part of the problem) excised from things that can be patented. This would affect the amount of work that would be able to be done in that area. I think it might be useful if extropes and transhumanists added another image to the notion of the singularity as a technological spike. The picture is of a political spring that gets overcompressed whenever the rate of change gets too fast. It pushes back against the technology slowing at least to some extent (an extent much stronger than I think is commonly recognized) the rate of technological change. On the broad canvas of human history I think one could bet confidently on technology. But in 2003 the one that made the bet might not be alive to collect or to see the singularity because of the political spring pushing back. Regards, Brett From hal at finney.org Mon Dec 8 21:37:42 2003 From: hal at finney.org (Hal Finney) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 13:37:42 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Caltech Extropians and Transhumanists Message-ID: <200312082137.hB8LbgH11362@finney.org> Colin Magee writes: > I am curious to know if anybody here knows of any major > scientists/researchers at Caltech who are sympathetic to or interested in > Transhuman/Extropian issues.They could be in any one of the following > fields:nanotechnology,artificial intelligence,biotechnology,computer > science,cognitive science,neuroscience,or any other major field of interest > to Extropians/Transhumanists.Two of the major Transhumanist/Extropian > thinkers-Ray Kurzweil and Marvin Minsky are from MIT and so is Eric > Drexler(although I don't know if he specifically identifies himself as an > Extropian/Transhumanist-but since I am somewhat of a novice in this area,I > could be mistaken).I was just wondering if there is anyone from Caltech > similar in stature to Ray Kurzweil or Marvin Minsky interested in this > area.Any thoughts or ideas would be appreciated. I am a Caltech alumnus myself, as is my wife, Fran, and my son is in his junior year there now. I know of at least one other recent list member, Damien Sullivan, who is a relatively recent graduate and still has a home page at http://www.ugcs.caltech.edu/~phoenix/. I don't know if there is much transhumanist interest on campus. One relevant area of research is nanotech, where especially William Goddard's group at http://www.wag.caltech.edu/, the Materials and Process Simulation Center, does all kinds of of molecular modelling and simulation. They have won awards from the IMM and Foresight for their research. The MSC has an interesting program coming up in April, http://www.wag.caltech.edu/PASI/, a two week workshop/tutorial intended to introduce the techniques of molecular modelling, aimed at Latin American instructors and researchers. The recommended reading list includes Drexler's canon: Engines, Unbounding and Nanosystems. Sounds like it would be a fun workshop to sit in on. Another Caltech affiliated list member is Patrick Wilken, http://www.klab.caltech.edu/~patrickw/, a biologist with an interest in the neurological aspects of consciousness. There was also an event held earlier this year in April between Caltech and the Art Center College of Design to create a melding of art and technology. It sounded great but I was not able to attend. The Caltech group affiliated with this event was the Center for Neuromorphic Systems, http://www.cnse.caltech.edu/. That's an interdisciplinary effort in an area that I find very promising, encompassing wireless networking, ubiquitous computing, Vingean localizers, augmented reality, all that stuff. This may well revolutionize the way we communicate and gather information about the world over the next two decades. I'm curious, what is your connection or interest in Caltech, if any? Hal Finney From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Dec 8 21:38:58 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 13:38:58 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: <200312082102.hB8L2S911116@finney.org> Message-ID: <20031208213858.854.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> --- Hal Finney wrote: > Hal Finney wrote: > > : It's disappointing that the recent nanotech bill > : has explicitly removed funding for Drexlerian nanotech. > > Robert Bradbury replied: > > > But it didn't Hal! The study people are all talking about > > in the oringally proposed Senate bill was explitly for > > "self-assembly" (I checked that section of the 4 bills > > in the congressional records yesterday). > > I am going by > http://nanobot.blogspot.com/2003_11_23_nanobot_archive.html > #106969756709919883, > which indicates that the original House version of the bill funded > research to study "molecular manufacturing", while that phrase got > changed in the Senate to "molecular self-assembly", and that's what's > in the final bill. The former term would cover Drexler-style > nanotech, while the latter apparently does not. And according to > the article this was an explicit and politically motivated > decision to remove funding from the field. Not surprised. But what about molecular self-assembly leaves out Drexler style nanotech? I'd think that would be MORE accurate than just molecular manufacturing, which IMHO seems to just be about making small stuff, not stuff that can remake itself... ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk Mon Dec 8 21:51:27 2003 From: bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk (BillK) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 21:51:27 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Even a little tipple shrinks your brain Message-ID: <3FD4F25F.6010709@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> JUST a few alcoholic drinks a week may be enough to shrink the brain, according to US research. Middle-aged men and women who consume moderate amounts of alcohol on a regular basis tend to have lower concentrations of brain tissue than teetotallers or occasional drinkers, scientists have discovered. While heavy drinking has long been linked to a decrease in brain size, which can lead to impaired mental abilities, the study from Johns Hopkins University in Baltimore, Maryland, suggests that a lower intake of alcohol may also be risky. It also found that a moderate intake of alcohol had no effect on a person?s risk of stroke. Previous research had indicated that sensible drinking might offer a measure of protection. As the volunteers? alcohol intake rose, the scans showed an increasing volume in the ventricular and sulcal regions of the brain ? "empty" areas that contain only cerebrospinal fluid and no nervous tissue. ------- Bother! Luckily I only use 10% of my enormously large brain, so I should be OK for a while. ;) BillK From natashavita at earthlink.net Mon Dec 8 22:09:23 2003 From: natashavita at earthlink.net (natashavita at earthlink.net) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 17:09:23 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Even a little tipple shrinks your brain Message-ID: <146040-22003121822923181@M2W079.mail2web.com> From: BillK >JUST a few alcoholic drinks a week may be enough to shrink the brain, according to US research.< So what does this mean: We will be stupid but athletic? Nimble thinkers but a whole lot of heart? Natasha "Small head, big heart." -------------------------------------------------------------------- mail2web - Check your email from the web at http://mail2web.com/ . From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Dec 8 22:14:41 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 14:14:41 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Stealing organs finally a crime... In-Reply-To: <3FD4F25F.6010709@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> Message-ID: <20031208221441.21689.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,8122-920726,00.html Don't know what took the Brits so long, but they finally made it a crime to steal someone's organs without their consent, or that of next of kin. This comes on the heels of a major scandal in which doctors removed organs and tissues without consent and did not return them to their owners. This will certainly be useful for cryonicists. The last thing you want is to pay $50k for a neurosuspension when some bloke has gone and made off with your brain.... ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Dec 8 22:45:51 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 14:45:51 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Even a little tipple shrinks your brain In-Reply-To: <146040-22003121822923181@M2W079.mail2web.com> Message-ID: <20031208224551.50519.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> --- "natashavita at earthlink.net" wrote: > > From: BillK > > > > >JUST a few alcoholic drinks a week may be enough to shrink the > brain, according to US research.< > > > So what does this mean: We will be stupid but athletic? Nimble > thinkers but a whole lot of heart? Who says you need all that brain anyways? Fat brains don't mean smarts.... just look at all that homo erectus accomplished on only 800 cc of grey matter.... those spaces are not a loss of brain tissue, they are an increase in cooling capacity... ;) ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From sentience at pobox.com Mon Dec 8 22:48:41 2003 From: sentience at pobox.com (Eliezer S. Yudkowsky) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 17:48:41 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Even a little tipple shrinks your brain In-Reply-To: <3FD4F25F.6010709@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> References: <3FD4F25F.6010709@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> Message-ID: <3FD4FFC9.1000704@pobox.com> BillK wrote: > > Bother! Luckily I only use 10% of my enormously large brain, so I should > be OK for a while. ;) Unfortunately, BillK, this is a TOTAL URBAN LEGEND. You do not use only 10% of your brain any more than you use only 10% of your blood. Seriously, being human is dangerous enough without deliberately making it worse. You don't have the neurons to spare. Neither do I. -- Eliezer S. Yudkowsky http://singinst.org/ Research Fellow, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence From bradbury at aeiveos.com Mon Dec 8 23:26:22 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 15:26:22 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: <200312082102.hB8L2S911116@finney.org> Message-ID: On Mon, 8 Dec 2003, Hal Finney wrote: > I am going by > http://nanobot.blogspot.com/2003_11_23_nanobot_archive.html#106969756709919883, The House bill seems to be dated May 1st. The Senate bill (labeled 189 es) that Howard cites is the copy that is sent to the Senate (presumably immediately after it was submitted (S. 189 (enr)) both the (enr) and (es) versions were presumably dated in January. The S. 189 (is) is the version is I believe the version that came out of committee in September and finally got voted on. The S. 189 (rs) version shows all of the stuff they deleted/changed in the committee. Neither the (rs) or the (is) versions have the study in them. That means the study was most likely deleted from the floor of the Senate sometime between January and September unless the committee made a mistake in its editing of the (rs) version. There is a possibility that a Senate-House conference committee met sometime between January and September to resolve the differences and the study got thrown out in that process. I'm not sure where to find those records. But I believe Howard and perhaps CMP Cientifica are citing older bills and not the final version signed by President Bush. If we want to know why politics is so complex this is sure a good example. Robert The pointers for the bills and definitions can be found in my post to the thread: http://nanodot.org/article.pl?sid=03/12/04/0216244 under the specific post by me at: Sunday December 07, @10:59AM (#11) From jose_cordeiro at yahoo.com Mon Dec 8 23:51:51 2003 From: jose_cordeiro at yahoo.com (Jose Cordeiro) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 15:51:51 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Immortality Message-ID: <20031208235151.28088.qmail@web41311.mail.yahoo.com> Question: If you could live forever, would you and why? Answer: ?I would not live forever, because we should not live forever, because if we were supposed to live forever, then we would live forever, but we cannot live forever, which is why I would not live forever.? -- Miss Alabama in the 1994 Miss USA contest La vie est belle! Yos? (www.cordeiro.org) Caracas, Venezuela, Americas, TerraNostra --------------------------------- Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From bradbury at aeiveos.com Mon Dec 8 23:55:03 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 15:55:03 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: <023901c3bdcf$e33224a0$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: On Tue, 9 Dec 2003, Brett Paatsch wrote: > Surely this stuff must be available online somewhere. The record > of changes made in parliament in Australia is the Hansard and > its available online the following day. > > I'd imagine it would be similar with whatever the equivalent record > is in the US. Does anyone know what it is? At least some of it is: http://www.access.gpo.gov/congress/billsindex.html I don't know if everything is documented. This is an interesting URL: http://frwebgate4.access.gpo.gov/cgi-bin/waisgate.cgi?WAISdocID=9263039933+3+0+0&WAISaction=retrieve If it documents all of the activity on the bill then it would probably not explain where the study got lost. My guess might be S11478 on Sept. 15th. But in the early versions of the bill (S. 189 (es)) it was in Section 5b and it isn't in S 189 (is or rs) (where Section 5 became Section 4). You can search on "Self-Assembly". This would make a great detective story... As I believe Hal pointed out there was a House bill floating around (H.R. 766) from Feb. 13 to May 6th which does have a section in section 8b which calls for a study of "Molecular Manufacturing". That text is in the version that was "reported to the house" (rh). So someplace, perhaps when the bills were brought together, the studies didn't get resolved with each other. Robert From wingcat at pacbell.net Tue Dec 9 00:12:48 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 16:12:48 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] the true meaning of christmas In-Reply-To: <000401c3bca9$6212ccc0$f0c7fea9@scerir> Message-ID: <20031209001248.32536.qmail@web80408.mail.yahoo.com> --- scerir wrote: > You know that one of the present political > problems in UE (or EU) is whether they > should introduce in the Constitution > the word Christ or the expression Christian > values, or not. The general opinion was: > "No, we do not need these terms". But > an influent Italian (urged by the Vatican) > said: "What is the meaning of Sunday, then?". > So, the problem now becomes: should we > introduce Sunday in the Constitution? Huh? Sunday is a day of the week. It has historic origins, but it has lost its religious meanings (alternately, its religious origins have been subsumed into common secular practice)...albeit on a level of policy too low to belong in the Constitution, analogous to overtime and minimum wage laws. From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 9 01:20:01 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 17:20:01 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] the true meaning of christmas In-Reply-To: <20031209001248.32536.qmail@web80408.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20031209012001.689.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> --- Adrian Tymes wrote: > --- scerir wrote: > > You know that one of the present political > > problems in UE (or EU) is whether they > > should introduce in the Constitution > > the word Christ or the expression Christian > > values, or not. The general opinion was: > > "No, we do not need these terms". But > > an influent Italian (urged by the Vatican) > > said: "What is the meaning of Sunday, then?". > > So, the problem now becomes: should we > > introduce Sunday in the Constitution? > > Huh? Sunday is a day of the week. It has historic > origins, but it has lost its religious meanings > (alternately, its religious origins have been subsumed > into common secular practice)...albeit on a level of > policy too low to belong in the Constitution, > analogous to overtime and minimum wage laws. On the contrary, it has not lost its religious meanings whatsoever. Given that the sabbath was originally Saturday and was changed to Sunday specifically by the Church (and other judeo-christian sects and religions still do worship on Saturday), any recognition of Sunday as the EU standard 'day of rest' is an implicit recognition of an act of the Catholic Church in particular. The only people who think it has lost its meaning are people who are ignorant of history and religion. If the EU really wanted to stick it to the church, they should have the guts to make Saturday the official day of rest and have the work week start on Sunday.... ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From thespike at earthlink.net Tue Dec 9 02:25:50 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 20:25:50 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] the true meaning of christmas References: <20031209012001.689.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <00d601c3bdfb$c5718ce0$af994a43@texas.net> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Mike Lorrey" Sent: Monday, December 08, 2003 7:20 PM > If the EU really wanted to stick it > to the church, they should have the guts to make Saturday the official > day of rest and have the work week start on Sunday.... Hey! What about us Wodan-worshippers? Damien Broderick From cphoenix at best.com Tue Dec 9 02:29:05 2003 From: cphoenix at best.com (Chris Phoenix) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 21:29:05 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] British Royal Society Workshop Commentary References: <200312081943.hB8JheA10797@finney.org> <003001c3bdce$bf082300$af994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <3FD53371.89A3D694@best.com> Never having been successfully criticized is an attribute common to most (ideally all) current scientific theories. I'm surprised that the statement sounds hubristic or doctrinal. Perhaps the problem can be found in Damien's two interpretations, which are not even very similar to each other. I completely agree with his second restatement, the one about how it has successfully surmounted critical challenges by showing that they're just plain weak. That's what I meant, and I think the history of the debate supports that statement. If "never been successfully criticized" doesn't sound like that, then we should change the formulation. Chris Damien Broderick wrote: > > Although I agree with Hal's general position here, I think the precise > statement in question was poorly expressed rather than madly hubristic: > > ----- Original Message ----- > From: "Hal Finney" > Sent: Monday, December 08, 2003 1:43 PM > > > "Foundational work in the field, especially Nanosystems (Drexler, 1992), > > has laid out a detailed theoretical approach to nanoscale mechanochemical > > systems and other nanoscale machinery that has never been successfully > > criticized." > > > > It's never been successfully criticized! After eleven years! What, was > > it divinely inspired? > > I believe this assertion (often repeated by Drexler et al) means: > `Criticisms of its key arguments have never been successful in persuading > its author and supporters of their alleged error/s' or `It has successfully > surmounted critical challenges, often by showing they were ill-framed or > ignored arguments advanced in the text'. Whether this formulation would be > justified is, of course, another question, and needs to be dealt with on a > continuing challenge-and-response basis by Foresight. I agree with Hal that > the current formulation conveys a tone of absurd doctrinal confidence. > > Damien Broderick -- Chris Phoenix cphoenix at CRNano.org Director of Research Center for Responsible Nanotechnology http://CRNano.org From oregan.emlyn at healthsolve.com.au Tue Dec 9 02:27:50 2003 From: oregan.emlyn at healthsolve.com.au (Emlyn O'regan) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 12:57:50 +1030 Subject: [extropy-chat] the true meaning of christmas Message-ID: <7A2B25F8EB070940996FA543A70A217B017868B7@adlexsv02.protech.com.au> Just be sensitive to everyone and make all the days official days of rest. I could live with that :-) Emlyn > -----Original Message----- > From: Damien Broderick [mailto:thespike at earthlink.net] > Sent: Tuesday, 9 December 2003 11:56 AM > To: ExI chat list > Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] the true meaning of christmas > > > > ----- Original Message ----- > From: "Mike Lorrey" > Sent: Monday, December 08, 2003 7:20 PM > > > If the EU really wanted to stick it > > to the church, they should have the guts to make Saturday > the official > > day of rest and have the work week start on Sunday.... > > Hey! What about us Wodan-worshippers? > > Damien Broderick > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From fortean1 at mindspring.com Tue Dec 9 03:28:12 2003 From: fortean1 at mindspring.com (Terry W. Colvin) Date: Mon, 08 Dec 2003 20:28:12 -0700 Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD [SK] Re: again with the gun stats Message-ID: <3FD5414C.479A1E07@mindspring.com> In a message dated 12/4/2003 4:57:16 AM Pacific Standard Time, fortean1 at mindspring.com fwded: It is documented that states that pass right-to-carry laws experience a minimum of a 12% greater decrease in violent crime than states without such laws. (Dr John Lott, "More Guns, Less Crime"; University of Chicago Press) Furthermore, Lott shows that spree killings are reduced by 80% over non-right-to-carry states. Lott is also under investigation by the National Academy of Sciences for academic fraud for this work, and in a bizaare twist he pretended to be one of his ex-grad students to defend himself on the internet. If the guy was in a university and not at AEI he would have been fired long ago. Ben Avery ----------------------- Some references: http://www.bradycampaign.org/facts/issuebriefs/lott.asp http://markarkleiman.blogspot.com/2003_01_01_markarkleiman_archive.html#90242658 -- Jim Lippard ----------------------- Sigh. Not only was Lott's book published by the university press I used to work for (I'm a Chicago B.A.), but he has degrees from UCLA (and worked there). I just hope he wasn't an English major. Jack Kolb Dept. of English, UCLA ------------------------ Is Dr. John Lott the only source for such statistics? If so this "factoid" certainly has legs -- I've seen it quoted by practically every gun carrier and wannabe gun carrier. I went to the National Center for Disease Control and looked at their statistics re gun usage in accidental deaths, but the detailed report can only be gotten by mail (I sent for it). Are there any readily available critiques of his facts? Aside, of course, from the fact that he seems to be a lying liar. Don -- ?Only a zit on the wart on the heinie of progress.? Copyright 1992, Frank Rice Terry W. Colvin, Sierra Vista, Arizona (USA) < fortean1 at mindspring.com > Alternate: < fortean1 at msn.com > Home Page: < http://www.geocities.com/Area51/Stargate/8958/index.html > Sites: * Fortean Times * Mystic's Haven * TLCB * U.S. Message Text Formatting (USMTF) Program ------------ Member: Thailand-Laos-Cambodia Brotherhood (TLCB) Mailing List TLCB Web Site: < http://www.tlc-brotherhood.org >[Vietnam veterans, Allies, CIA/NSA, and "steenkeen" contractors are welcome.] From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 9 03:30:13 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 19:30:13 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] French assistance request... In-Reply-To: <7A2B25F8EB070940996FA543A70A217B017868B7@adlexsv02.protech.com.au> Message-ID: <20031209033013.37439.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> I am trying to get a good navigational chart of Clipperton Island (a French posession) in the eastern Pacific and would like to find an ENC database (Electronic Navigational Chart) that conforms to the international S-57 standard. As it seems that each nation takes care of its own navigational chart distribution, I was hoping someone who is French, or French literate, could locate such a chart database for me somewhere on the French government internet sites. Finding such a file without knowing the lingo is a bit tough.... so much for my three years of French in high school... All I've been able to obtain so far on the greater internet is a very low resolution scanned image of a 1956 map that has no depth soundings or other information. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From spike66 at comcast.net Tue Dec 9 03:44:31 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 19:44:31 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Stealing organs finally a crime... In-Reply-To: <20031208221441.21689.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <002e01c3be06$c14399a0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > Subject: [extropy-chat] Stealing organs finally a crime... > > http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,8122-920726,00.html > > Don't know what took the Brits so long, but they finally made it a > crime to steal someone's organs without their consent... It's still legal, even encouraged in this country. I don't recall giving my consent to have my foreskin removed. spike From spike66 at comcast.net Tue Dec 9 04:11:32 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 20:11:32 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: <200312081441.hB8EfQ201341@igor.synonet.com> Message-ID: <003f01c3be0a$87794d10$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > "Spike" writes: > > > The equations for power requirements as a function of rotor > > length are well understood Don. Textbooks on VTOL design > > are available at your local university... > > Jet VTOL is possible, and has been don. It's called the Harrier. > > Major Harrier? How about the stunning Lockheeed Martin F22 and that failed F23 built by that other company whose name I can never recall (or rather shall go mercifully unmentioned in light of the recent events so eloquently enumerated in the 15 December 03 issue of Business Week.) http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/03_50/b3862001_mz001.htm These aircraft put the Harrier to shame, more shame than is already being generously and deservedly heaped upon the afore nonmentioned company. In any case, VTOL is inherently noisy, violent, windy and dangerous. spike From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Tue Dec 9 04:35:20 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 23:35:20 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] French assistance request... In-Reply-To: <20031209033013.37439.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <000301c3be0d$ddf418c0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Mike Lorrey wrote, > I am trying to get a good navigational chart of Clipperton > Island (a French posession) in the eastern Pacific and would > like to find an ENC database (Electronic Navigational Chart) > that conforms to the international S-57 standard. You might be able to purchase these from a url I found. . You have to click in the column labeled "Browse Types" to see descriptions of different map types. Unfortunately, I couldn't find any free online versions. All I can find is a single low-res cartoon drawing which must be the one you saw. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 9 04:45:19 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 20:45:19 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] thank evolution for the interstate highway system In-Reply-To: <003f01c3be0a$87794d10$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031209044519.45036.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> --- Spike wrote: > > Harrier? How about the stunning Lockheeed Martin F22 and > that failed F23 built by that other company whose name I > can never recall (or rather shall go mercifully unmentioned > in light of the recent events so eloquently enumerated in > the 15 December 03 issue of Business Week.) > What ever happened to the F12? That F22 can only do vectored thrust. It can't take off vertically. Besides, it was nowhere near as beautiful as the F-23 (ducking....) > > These aircraft put the Harrier to shame, more shame than > is already being generously and deservedly heaped upon the > afore nonmentioned company. In any case, VTOL is inherently > noisy, violent, windy and dangerous. Nah, they just aren't trying to cancel out the noise with symmetrical waves. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 9 04:49:28 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 20:49:28 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] French assistance request... In-Reply-To: <000301c3be0d$ddf418c0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <20031209044928.64556.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> --- Harvey Newstrom wrote: > Mike Lorrey wrote, > > I am trying to get a good navigational chart of Clipperton > > Island (a French posession) in the eastern Pacific and would > > like to find an ENC database (Electronic Navigational Chart) > > that conforms to the international S-57 standard. > > You might be able to purchase these from a url I found. > tID.3/australia_and_oceania/clipperton_island/qx/topographic_maps.asp>. > You > have to click in the column labeled "Browse Types" to see > descriptions of > different map types. Unfortunately, I couldn't find any free online > versions. All I can find is a single low-res cartoon drawing which > must be the one you saw. Well, the cartoon one is often lifted from the CIA World Factbook, but the one I am referring to was linked to by the micronation of Molossia (an enclave micronation in the Nevada desert), which gives a bit more detail, but not much. I was hoping to find a chart for free, since the US govt provides chart databases free for download, the socialist French should do at least as well as those damned capitalist imperialist agressor running dog bastards in DC. ;) ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From thespike at earthlink.net Tue Dec 9 05:05:59 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 23:05:59 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] British Royal Society Workshop Commentary References: <200312081943.hB8JheA10797@finney.org> <003001c3bdce$bf082300$af994a43@texas.net> <3FD53371.89A3D694@best.com> Message-ID: <013201c3be12$24a6b620$af994a43@texas.net> Chris Phoenix sez: > Never having been successfully criticized is an attribute common to most > (ideally all) current scientific theories. Really? You must be using these words in a rather unusual way. Do you assert that George Gamow's version of the Big Bang persists unchanged, unchallenged and uncriticized? Or Guth's, for that matter? The original Crick&Watson model of DNA and its protein expression? Plate tectonics? Solar system formation? Quark theory unaltered since Gell-Mann's first salvo? Sure, *something* persists throughout all the challenges and responses, but it would unbelievable if Drexler's every word stood inviolate more than a decade later, which appears to be implied by the statement Hal and I are independently objecting to. (Maybe this is word-chopping, I'm not sure; but you can be certain that your antagonists will chop with a will if you give their blades an unnecessary opening.) Damien Broderick From cryofan at mylinuxisp.com Tue Dec 9 06:04:46 2003 From: cryofan at mylinuxisp.com (randy) Date: Tue, 09 Dec 2003 00:04:46 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] NYTimes on primate neurological structures In-Reply-To: <20031209044928.64556.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> References: <000301c3be0d$ddf418c0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> <20031209044928.64556.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <9epatv8rnub29n2hr5793ndt47vc9goefo@4ax.com> good stuff: http://www.nytimes.com/2003/12/09/science/09BRAI.html?pagewanted=1 ------------- From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Tue Dec 9 06:45:18 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 17:45:18 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] the true meaning of christmas References: <20031209012001.689.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <008401c3be20$02c98ce0$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Mike Lorrey wrote: > On the contrary, it [sunday] has not lost its religious meanings > whatsoever. [snip] > If the EU really wanted to stick it to the church, they should > have the guts to make Saturday the official day of rest and > have the work week start on Sunday.... Mike sometimes your 'diplomacy' cracks me up :-) Deep within the intestines of the EU must lie an entire faction seething with resentment but waiting, hoping, and planning that one day they may summon the courage to emerge victorious and "stick it to the church" over Sunday! :-) Thanks Mike ! Brett From gpmap at runbox.com Tue Dec 9 06:53:25 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 07:53:25 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Optical Force Clamps Allow Observation Of Single RNA Polymerase Enzyme Message-ID: >From FuturePundit: Steven M. Block, a professor of biological sciences and of applied physics at Stanford University, and his team have developed two-dimensional optical force clamps that can monitor the action of a single RNA polymerase (RNAP) enzyme. In a new study in the journal Nature, Block and his colleagues present strong evidence to support this proofreading hypothesis. Their results -- based on actual observations of individual molecules of RNAP -- are posted on Nature's website: http://www.nature.com. In another set of experiments published in the Nov. 14 issue of Cell magazine, the researchers discovered that RNAP makes thousands of brief pauses as it pries open and copies the DNA double helix. "Together these two papers push the study of single proteins to new limits," Block said. "We've been able to achieve a resolution of three angstroms -- the width of three hydrogen atoms -- in our measurements of the progress of this enzyme along DNA. In so doing, we've been able to visualize a backtracking motion of just five bases that accompanies RNAP error-correction or proofreading." This is an example of why the rate of advance in biological science is not constant. The development of instrumentation that can study components of biological systems down on the scale at which they operate will allow these systems to be figured out orders of magnitude more quickly. The biggest reason we still know only a small fraction of what there is to understand about cells and diseases is that we can't watch what happens down at the level at which events actually take place. Continued advances in the ability to build smaller devices and smaller sensors will make observable that which it has previously never been possible to observe. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From gpmap at runbox.com Tue Dec 9 06:54:39 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 07:54:39 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Lifeline Nutraceuticals and CereMedix Message-ID: Found via Longevity Meme: An article in the Denver Post sheds some more light on what Lifeline Nutraceuticals and CereMedix have been up to with their new antioxidant supplement. There is talk of a human trial next year, which would be the first step towards the needed widespread scientific confirmation of their claims. This article is also a telling insight into the damage that the snake oil "anti-aging" industry has done to the prospects of any legitimate product. We all have to be skeptical (of Lifeline as well) because so many hucksters, frauds and suave marketing departments make millions by selling worthless junk. As the body ages, it produces more and more free radicals and its own antioxidants are unable to fight this process, causing eroding vitality and death. One would have to eat more than 30 pounds of fruits a day for the body to absorb enough vitamins to fend off disease. The only other way to slow the body's own suicide clock lies deep inside our genetic material, according to Dr. S. Jay Olshansky, an expert on aging and mortality at the University of Illinois at Chicago. CereMedix's peptide stimulates the body's production of three antioxidants that work together to eliminate free radicals. Olshansky is an outspoken critic of scams in the anti-aging marketplace. He would not comment directly on Lifeline's supplement, but said, "If they can up-regulate the body's own production of free-radical scavengers, they may be onto something." -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From gpmap at runbox.com Tue Dec 9 06:55:52 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 07:55:52 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Novel Gene Therapy Delivery Uses Stem Cells That Target, Attack Tumors Message-ID: >From Science Daily: Genetically engineered stem cells can find tumors and then produce biological killing agents right at the cancer site, say researchers at The University of Texas M. D. Anderson Cancer Center, who have performed a number of successful "proof of concept" experiments in mice. This novel treatmentmay offer the first gene therapy "delivery system" capable of homing in on and then attacking cancer that has metastasized -- wherever it is in a patient's body. And the stem cells will not be rejected, even if they are not derived from the patient. The system has been tested in mice with a variety of human cancers, including solid ones such as ovarian, brain, breast cancer, melanoma and even such blood-based cancer as leukemia. "This drug delivery system is attracted to cancer cells no matter what form they are in or where they are," says Michael Andreeff, M.D., Ph.D., professor in the Departments of Blood and Marrow Transplantation and Leukemia. "We believe this to be a major find." In the novel delivery system, researchers isolate a small quantity of MSC from bone marrow, and greatly expand the quantity of those cells in the lab. They then use a virus to deliver a particular gene into the stem cells. When turned on, this gene will produce an anti-cancer effect. When given back to the patient through an intraveneous injection, the millions of engineered mesenchymal progenitor cells will engraft where the tumor environment is signaling them, and will activate the therapeutic gene. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From cphoenix at best.com Tue Dec 9 07:04:36 2003 From: cphoenix at best.com (Chris Phoenix) Date: Tue, 09 Dec 2003 02:04:36 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] British Royal Society Workshop Commentary References: <200312081943.hB8JheA10797@finney.org> <003001c3bdce$bf082300$af994a43@texas.net> <3FD53371.89A3D694@best.com> <013201c3be12$24a6b620$af994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <3FD57404.4871572@best.com> Well, no, I didn't mean that the original unchanged description of scientific theories had never been successfully criticized. I meant that the scientific theories we follow today have usually not had major contradictions pointed out--if they had, we wouldn't still be following them, would we? Except as engineering approximations, of course. And there are some famous areas where two excellent theories contradict, and other areas in ferment so that the time since last criticism is quite short, and still others where the basic theory is solid but not all the wrinkles and mechanisms are pinned down yet. But that's beside the point. Because now that you mention it, I'm not aware of any need for any significant alteration of anything Drexler wrote in Nanosystems. Of course, Nanosystems is not his original word on the subject. There are several things that have been changed and improved between Engines and Nanosystems--most importantly, in my opinion, the shift from assemblers to nanofactories. But aside from an unimportant typo I found, and an obscure point Jeffrey Soreff told me about (a slight overestimate in the probability of satisfying a surface constraint, in Section 9.5.3), I don't know of any errors. At all. Not even little ones. At this point, I haven't even heard of any predictions in Nanosystems that have been disproved. Hm... I guess if you count the fact that the planetary gear breaks at incredibly high speeds, there might be two errors. Feel free to correct me, anyone. If not... Perhaps this is why those who have actually studied Nanosystems have such high respect for Drexler and are willing to go so far out on a limb to defend his work and promote his theories. Chris Damien Broderick wrote: > > Chris Phoenix sez: > > > Never having been successfully criticized is an attribute common to most > > (ideally all) current scientific theories. > > Really? You must be using these words in a rather unusual way. Do you assert > that George Gamow's version of the Big Bang persists unchanged, unchallenged > and uncriticized? Or Guth's, for that matter? The original Crick&Watson > model of DNA and its protein expression? Plate tectonics? Solar system > formation? Quark theory unaltered since Gell-Mann's first salvo? Sure, > *something* persists throughout all the challenges and responses, but it > would unbelievable if Drexler's every word stood inviolate more than a > decade later, which appears to be implied by the statement Hal and I are > independently objecting to. (Maybe this is word-chopping, I'm not sure; but > you can be certain that your antagonists will chop with a will if you give > their blades an unnecessary opening.) > > Damien Broderick -- Chris Phoenix cphoenix at CRNano.org Director of Research Center for Responsible Nanotechnology http://CRNano.org From eugen at leitl.org Tue Dec 9 07:27:33 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 08:27:33 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] EUGEN: What happened to Genes screeds? In-Reply-To: <20031208000149.97520.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> References: <20031207215343.GB5783@leitl.org> <20031208000149.97520.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20031209072732.GA4452@leitl.org> On Sun, Dec 07, 2003 at 04:01:49PM -0800, Mike Lorrey wrote: > I recall on the extropy list of years gone past, that Eugen used to > post long posts rambling on, like he'd been on a caffiene drip for the > last 96 hours, about all sorts of things. What ever happened to that > posting technique? Posting doesn't get anything done, and I do have a life these days. It's very possible that I'll be gone (virtually, for good?) in a few months. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From spike66 at comcast.net Tue Dec 9 07:47:36 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 23:47:36 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] planes In-Reply-To: <20031209044519.45036.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <004801c3be28$b7374d90$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > > What ever happened to the F12? Do you mean the Flying Dorito? Cancelled by the Bottom Up review. The A12 Avenger II which was suppose to replace the A6, was ultimately deemed as too expensive and was cut by then SecDef Dick Cheney becoming the largest defense contract cancellation in the history of the Department of Defense. http://www.fas.org/man/dod-101/sys/ac/a-12.htm > That F22 can only do vectored thrust. It > can't take off vertically. It can take of vertically, if you don't have ordinance or much fuel aboard. {8-] http://popularmechanics.com/science/military/2002/5/flexible_flyer/print .phtml > Besides, it was nowhere near as beautiful as > the F-23 (ducking....) Surely Mike means NOT! As soon as we saw the mockup of the x35, we knew we were going to win. I bought a bunch of LM stock that day. I lost most of my money, but thats a different story. We figured no self-respecting AF officer would fly such a thing as the x35, nor any Naval Aviator would want to fly "Monica." http://www.ebtx.com/oats/x32vsx35.htm Of course, had the services chosen the x-35, then at least the army would no longer suffer the ignominy of having the ugliest plane, the A-10 Warthog. http://members.aol.com/cbmjets/homepage/A10.html In any case, we are seeing perhaps the end of the line for fighter planes. Humanity doesn't need them anymore. I don't suspect they will be much use in our last remaining great conflict: the massive culture war the west faces against the Taliban, the Al Qaida and their ilk. I am interested in seeing the civil applications of a ducted fan lifting system. spike From jrd1415 at yahoo.com Tue Dec 9 08:36:26 2003 From: jrd1415 at yahoo.com (Jeff Davis) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 00:36:26 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031209083627.85550.qmail@web41206.mail.yahoo.com> --- "Robert J. Bradbury" wrote: If we want to know why politics is so complex this is sure a good example. Robert ------------------------------ What's so complex? Smalley is a meta-honcho--likely on the short list for honcho--near the summit a multi-billion dollar public research money pile. Quite a career accomplishment. The top down approach to nano reaches out from the broad margins of current capabilities, can absorb research billions easily, and can deliver immediately-usable science and tech as it expands those margins. The bottom up approach can only deliver theoretical analysis (though providing tangible improvements in the requisite analytical tools), can't deliver new tech at the same rate, or the same dollars per gizmo, can't IMO absorb a comparable quantity of research monies, and can't deliver 'product' in the short term. And Drextech's perception as 'out there' science, whether warranted or no, doesn't help. The politicos responsible for committing public funds to scientific research, and the scientific luminaries who advise them, deal in BIG budgets and need to demonstrate BIG results. Top down is their ticket. Drextech is not. And from a purely political/competitive stand point, in so far as Smalley sees himself on a course to be for the NNI what Oppenheimer was for the Manhattan Project, why he want to promote Drexler, the "Founder of Nanotech"? It could only make Smalley look smaller. But this is all obvious. Isn't it? Best, Jeff Davis "Everything's hard till you know how to do it." Ray Charles __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From hemm at br.inter.net Tue Dec 9 11:07:27 2003 From: hemm at br.inter.net (Henrique Moraes Machado) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 09:07:27 -0200 Subject: [ok] Re: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation References: <5.2.0.9.0.20031207163902.02c692d0@pop.earthlink.net> Message-ID: <005601c3be44$a1bdf420$fe00a8c0@HEMM> Nice. But it's only more of the same. What I would really like to see is something more revolutionary than evolutionary. For instance, if we build many space elevators around the globe, people could travel between them using ships that would never need to land. It's some crazy idea, but it's an idea. Ok, it's not possible today, but could be considered. On the other hand there are other means of transportation that could be used today and are so neglected. Such as dirigibles and ekranoplanes (http://www.ae.metu.edu.tr/~gulkiz/wig.html) -----Mensagem Original----- De: Natasha Vita-More Para: ExI chat list Enviada em: domingo, 7 de dezembro de 2003 23:22 Assunto: [ok] Re: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation Tonight @ 9 PM on the Travel Channel will be "Giant Planes" covering the future of transportation. (11/26/03 "Airbus Unveils Giant Jet Airbus showed off its new Airbus 380, a jumbo jet that could carry as many as 900 passengers Tuesday. Virgin Atlantic has reportedly ordered six of the colossal carriers. The plane will begin testing next year.") Natasha _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From trichrom at optusnet.com.au Tue Dec 9 11:23:09 2003 From: trichrom at optusnet.com.au (Rob KPO) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 21:23:09 +1000 Subject: [extropy-chat] planes References: <004801c3be28$b7374d90$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <000a01c3be46$d84b2f60$0200a8c0@snasa> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Spike" To: "'ExI chat list'" Sent: Tuesday, December 09, 2003 5:47 PM Subject: [extropy-chat] planes > > That F22 can only do vectored thrust. It > > can't take off vertically. > > It can take of vertically, if you don't have ordinance > or much fuel aboard. {8-] > > http://popularmechanics.com/science/military/2002/5/flexible_flyer/print > .phtml > Vertical take-off is not a capability of the F22, vertical climb - yes, takeoff - no. Perhaps it has the thrust level and thrust control to do it, but it isnt capable of sitting on it's tail for starter's! The link provided is about the F35 which does have a VSTOL variant that can take off and land vertically. Sorry for interrupting, but I cant resist on that topic!!! Regards Rob KPO From fortean1 at mindspring.com Tue Dec 9 12:14:48 2003 From: fortean1 at mindspring.com (Terry W. Colvin) Date: Tue, 09 Dec 2003 05:14:48 -0700 Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD [TLCB] Re: French assistance request... Message-ID: <3FD5BCB8.68D696DB@mindspring.com> Terry How about passing this back to Mike as I don't know his email address, and my mail will most likely bounce from the other servers. Mike Did you check out this www site? http://www.cartographic.com/xq/ASP/AreaID.34/qx/nautical_charts.asp Looks like they might have something, but AT A COST!! Some links: http://www.connectedglobe.com/millennium/ip.html Mac At 09:08 PM 12/8/2003 -0700, Terry W. Colvin wrote: >I am trying to get a good navigational chart of Clipperton Island (a >French posession) in the eastern Pacific and would like to find an ENC >database (Electronic Navigational Chart) that conforms to the >international S-57 standard. As it seems that each nation takes care of >its own navigational chart distribution, I was hoping someone who is >French, or French literate, could locate such a chart database for me >somewhere on the French government internet sites. Finding such a file >without knowing the lingo is a bit tough.... so much for my three years >of French in high school... > >All I've been able to obtain so far on the greater internet is a very >low resolution scanned image of a 1956 map that has no depth soundings >or other information. > >===== >Mike Lorrey -- ?Only a zit on the wart on the heinie of progress.? Copyright 1992, Frank Rice Terry W. Colvin, Sierra Vista, Arizona (USA) < fortean1 at mindspring.com > Alternate: < fortean1 at msn.com > Home Page: < http://www.geocities.com/Area51/Stargate/8958/index.html > Sites: * Fortean Times * Mystic's Haven * TLCB * U.S. Message Text Formatting (USMTF) Program ------------ Member: Thailand-Laos-Cambodia Brotherhood (TLCB) Mailing List TLCB Web Site: < http://www.tlc-brotherhood.org >[Vietnam veterans, Allies, CIA/NSA, and "steenkeen" contractors are welcome.] From eugen at leitl.org Tue Dec 9 14:33:27 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 15:33:27 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution In-Reply-To: References: <019e01c3bd07$c7a7ceb0$97fe4d0c@hal2001> Message-ID: <20031209143327.GY4452@leitl.org> On Sun, Dec 07, 2003 at 09:15:14PM -0500, Brian Alexander Lee wrote: > I think you're right. The real reason there's so much funding for quantum > encryption is because whomever gets it first will have "unbreakable" Do you trust the laws of physics (these you know, that is, and you do know that we know our current physics is inconsistent, and hence knowably incomplete?) or those of mathematics? Cryptoanalysis is a mature, understood discipline. There are several independant-fields-of-theory production-quality PKI systems. Not many people understand QM, even less people understand the limitations of hardware using QM (single-photon source? proof of entanglement? detection of cloning?). http://www.interhack.net/people/cmcurtin/snake-oil-faq.html > encryption for a while. It's like nuclear weapons were, you don't want to be > the one without it. The only provably secure cryptosystem is one-time pad, generated using a good source of entropy and properly whitened. The second best one is a good (hairy territory, this) PRNG seeded by a shared secret. PKI is where you're stuck with no shared secret, and only open channels. > Public key encryption is pretty strong and easy to use, but it has a few Please refrain from using blanket statements about a domain you obviously don't understand. "pretty strong" is meaningless without an attack model, "easy to use" is ridiculous, unless you refer to peer-reviewed implementations of PKIs, which have an empiric record track of being insecure. People who thought PKI was easy to write kept producing buggy shitware. Because they thought it "easy to use". They're not the weak link in majority of cases, agreed. > flaws that theoretically a really big gov't computer could use to break it. > A lot of encryption systems that use public key really use it to generate a > 120-160bit session key and exchange it with their partner. Although there All PKI systems are used for symmetric encryption key exchange. In fact, most PKI has considerable weaknesses, if it's being used for something else than that. > are no documented cracks of 120 bit encryption through brute force, it's > theoretically possible. The key size is useless without knowing the algorithm complexity. No, it is not possible to brute-force a symmetric crypto key within its viability window. It is perfectly possible (though impractical) to use key sizes which cannot be brute-forced, period. This includes QC, because not all algorithms can profit from QC parallelism; nevermind that you can't scale to high qubit numbers (barring error-correction, the problem is energy efficiency being worse than classical computation). > Harvey pointed out a lot of common vulnerabilities, but most of them can be > avoided by using proper techniques to avoid timing, social engineering, etc. > > The big benefit of this is that it allows for a secure key transmission > technique. Proper use of certificates should prevent a man in the middle > exploit. You cannot detect a MITM with PKI alone. The QM is there as an (imperfect) tampering detection. > Nonetheless, crypttech is growing by leaps and bounds as corporations now > need encryption where previously just terrorists and govt's needed it. Please do not assume reading Slashdot is sufficient to understand cryptography (No, reading cryptography@ over years is not sufficient, either, or just reading , but it's a first start if you want to understand the basics of cryptography). -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From bradbury at aeiveos.com Tue Dec 9 14:36:28 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 06:36:28 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: <20031209083627.85550.qmail@web41206.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: On Tue, 9 Dec 2003, Jeff Davis wrote: > --- "Robert J. Bradbury" wrote: > > If we want to know why politics is so complex this is > sure a good example. > > What's so complex? Smalley is a meta-honcho--likely > on the short list for honcho--near the summit a > multi-billion dollar public research money pile. Jeff, I did not interject that statement as a comment on Smalley v. Drexler. I interjected it based on the fact that in spite of a hour or more looking through the U.S. legislative processes I cannot determine accurately how/when the studies got deleted from the bills. I think around May the House bill got sent to the Senate, but the Senate bill didn't get sent to committee until September. I think sometime between those dates some reconciliation took place between the bills but I'm unsure who did it and when it took place. And I may be all wrong because the published paper trail (that I've been able to find thus far) is complex in and of itself and that is still probably less complex than what actually took place. Robert From fauxever at sprynet.com Tue Dec 9 15:43:12 2003 From: fauxever at sprynet.com (Olga Bourlin) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 07:43:12 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About Message-ID: <00ba01c3be6b$27f6a700$6400a8c0@brainiac> Michael Shermer wrote an article critical of life extension in a recent Scientific American: http://www.sciam.com/print_version.cfm?articleID=0001AF03-A8B1-1F57-905980A84189EEDF Subsequent article in CSICOP touched on skeptical views on life extension and global warming: http://www.csicop.org/doubtandabout/abuses/ Olga From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 9 16:07:10 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 08:07:10 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] planes In-Reply-To: <004801c3be28$b7374d90$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031209160710.32690.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> --- Spike wrote: > > > > What ever happened to the F12? > > Do you mean the Flying Dorito? Cancelled by the Bottom Up review. > The A12 Avenger II which was suppose to replace the A6, > was ultimately deemed as too expensive and was cut by then SecDef > Dick Cheney becoming the largest defense contract cancellation > in the history of the Department of Defense. > > http://www.fas.org/man/dod-101/sys/ac/a-12.htm > Nah, I meant the F-12, which was listed for years in Aviation Leak's annual military inventory as being a Mach 2 VTOL fighter in development. The Flying Dorito, known in one part of Boston as the Calzone of Doom and in another part as the Scone That Never Was (depending on your ethnicity), was a fun plane to not work on. We worked really hard not developing that plane, I'll tell ya, but I can't tell you what I did or what contractor I worked for, or I'll have to give you the Nacho Sleeper. > > > That F22 can only do vectored thrust. It > > can't take off vertically. > > It can take of vertically, if you don't have ordinance > or much fuel aboard. {8-] > Hey, that is an F-35. You're one engine short of an F-22... > > > Besides, it was nowhere near as beautiful as > > the F-23 (ducking....) > > Surely Mike means NOT! As soon as we saw the mockup > of the x35, we knew we were going to win. I bought a > bunch of LM stock that day. I lost most of my money, > but thats a different story. We figured no self-respecting > AF officer would fly such a thing as the x35, nor any > Naval Aviator would want to fly "Monica." > > http://www.ebtx.com/oats/x32vsx35.htm Of COURSE the Lockheed plane is scarier lookin than the Boeing lawn dart, it's the freakin' Hunchback of San Jose. The Boeing plane looks just right for the leading part in Of Mice and Men, "I'm gonna pet him and hug him and name him George...." Odd, but in a giggle funny way.... However, that ISN'T the plane contest I'm talkin bout, you're pullin one a them fancy Kaliforny bait and switch scams on me. The F-23 is indeed a far more attractive aircraft than the F-22. http://www.fas.org/man/dod-101/sys/ac/f-23.htm > > Of course, had the services chosen the x-35, then at least > the army would no longer suffer the ignominy of having > the ugliest plane, the A-10 Warthog. > > http://members.aol.com/cbmjets/homepage/A10.html Ugliness is an asset on the battlefield. Do you want enemy troops to have wet dreams about your aircraft, or do you want them to have the fear of death and destruction? > > In any case, we are seeing perhaps the end of the line > for fighter planes. Humanity doesn't need them anymore. > I don't suspect they will be much use in our last remaining > great conflict: the massive culture war the west faces against > the Taliban, the Al Qaida and their ilk. > I suspect that the need for fighter planes will never end. Whatever is the high terrain in warfare, that is where the knights will congregate. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 9 16:17:30 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 08:17:30 -0800 (PST) Subject: [ok] Re: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation In-Reply-To: <005601c3be44$a1bdf420$fe00a8c0@HEMM> Message-ID: <20031209161730.47694.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> Well, atmospheric transportation has hit a wall of diminishing returns on velocity, so the new plenum of progress is number of passengers and cost efficiency. The Airbus entry is certainly a step in that direction. Boeing has had designs for similar aircraft out for years with little market interest up to now. Maybe that will change and Boeing will do something now that Condit is canned. Skyhooks are not a really time efficient means of getting from point A to point B on earth. You may go faster in terms of peak velocity, but the route is many times longer, going up to geosynch, around (at 23k altitude, half circumference is 160,000 miles) and back down, for a total route length of over 200,000 miles. You are going to have a trip time of over 20 hours, more like 30-40 hours at best, going that way. Why not jump in a 747-XFXL (extrafat, extralong) and travel in comfort at mach .97 and do it in 15 hours? --- Henrique Moraes Machado wrote: > Nice. But it's only more of the same. > What I would really like to see is something more revolutionary than > evolutionary. For instance, if we build many space elevators around > the globe, people could travel between them using ships that would > never need to land. It's some crazy idea, but it's an idea. Ok, it's > not possible today, but could be considered. > On the other hand there are other means of transportation that could > be used today and are so neglected. Such as dirigibles and > ekranoplanes (http://www.ae.metu.edu.tr/~gulkiz/wig.html) > > > -----Mensagem Original----- > De: Natasha Vita-More > Para: ExI chat list > Enviada em: domingo, 7 de dezembro de 2003 23:22 > Assunto: [ok] Re: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation > > > Tonight @ 9 PM on the Travel Channel will be "Giant Planes" covering > the future of transportation. > > (11/26/03 "Airbus Unveils Giant Jet Airbus showed off its new Airbus > 380, a jumbo jet that could carry as many as 900 passengers Tuesday. > Virgin Atlantic has reportedly ordered six of the colossal carriers. > The plane will begin testing next year.") > > > Natasha > > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From brian_a_lee at hotmail.com Tue Dec 9 16:11:35 2003 From: brian_a_lee at hotmail.com (Brian Lee) Date: Tue, 09 Dec 2003 11:11:35 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution Message-ID: >From: Eugen Leitl >To: ExI chat list >Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution >Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 15:33:27 +0100 >Please refrain from using blanket statements about a domain you obviously >don't understand. "pretty strong" is meaningless without an attack model, >"easy to use" is ridiculous, unless you refer to peer-reviewed >implementations of PKIs, which have an empiric record track of being >insecure. People who thought PKI was easy to write kept producing buggy >shitware. Because they thought it "easy to use". Please refrain from using blanket statements about a domain you obviously don't understand. "Pretty strong" is not meaningless. As a cryptography consumer, I won't write the software myself but I need to know that it is difficult or pratically impossible to compromise. >The key size is useless without knowing the algorithm complexity. No, it is >not possible >to brute-force a symmetric crypto key within its viability window. The key size is not useless. Of course to make a perfect valuation you need to know what algorithm is used. >All PKI systems are used for symmetric encryption key exchange. In fact, >most >PKI has considerable weaknesses, if it's being used for something else than >that. See, here's another of your blanket statements. Not All PKI systems are used for symmetric encryption. There are plenty of insecure systems that use PKI for things they shouldn't use them for. >Please do not assume reading Slashdot is sufficient to understand >cryptography (No, reading cryptography@ over years is not sufficient, >either, or just reading , >but it's a first start if you want to understand the basics >of cryptography). Everyone knows that true cypherpunks learn from reading Cryptonomicon, not slashdot. Man, I thought you would have known that. I'm not trying to get into a pissing match with you, just trying to ablate your abrasiveness a little. BAL >From: Eugen Leitl >Reply-To: ExI chat list >To: ExI chat list >Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution >Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 15:33:27 +0100 > >On Sun, Dec 07, 2003 at 09:15:14PM -0500, Brian Alexander Lee wrote: > > I think you're right. The real reason there's so much funding for >quantum > > encryption is because whomever gets it first will have "unbreakable" > >Do you trust the laws of physics (these you know, that is, and you do know >that we know our current physics is inconsistent, and hence knowably >incomplete?) or those of mathematics? > >Cryptoanalysis is a mature, understood discipline. There are several >independant-fields-of-theory production-quality PKI systems. > >Not many people understand QM, even less people understand the limitations >of hardware using QM (single-photon source? proof of entanglement? >detection >of cloning?). > >http://www.interhack.net/people/cmcurtin/snake-oil-faq.html > > > encryption for a while. It's like nuclear weapons were, you don't want >to be > > the one without it. > >The only provably secure cryptosystem is one-time pad, generated >using a good source of entropy and properly whitened. The second best one >is a good (hairy territory, this) PRNG seeded by a shared secret. PKI >is where you're stuck with no shared secret, and only open channels. > > > Public key encryption is pretty strong and easy to use, but it has a few > >Please refrain from using blanket statements about a domain you obviously >don't understand. "pretty strong" is meaningless without an attack model, >"easy to use" is ridiculous, unless you refer to peer-reviewed >implementations of PKIs, which have an empiric record track of being >insecure. People who thought PKI was easy to write kept producing buggy >shitware. Because they thought it "easy to use". > >They're not the weak link in majority of cases, agreed. > > > flaws that theoretically a really big gov't computer could use to break >it. > > A lot of encryption systems that use public key really use it to >generate a > > 120-160bit session key and exchange it with their partner. Although >there > >All PKI systems are used for symmetric encryption key exchange. In fact, >most >PKI has considerable weaknesses, if it's being used for something else than >that. > > > are no documented cracks of 120 bit encryption through brute force, it's > > theoretically possible. > >The key size is useless without knowing the algorithm complexity. No, it is >not possible >to brute-force a symmetric crypto key within its viability window. It is >perfectly possible (though impractical) to use key sizes which cannot >be brute-forced, period. This includes QC, because not all algorithms >can profit from QC parallelism; nevermind that you can't scale to >high qubit numbers (barring error-correction, the problem is energy >efficiency being worse than classical computation). > > > Harvey pointed out a lot of common vulnerabilities, but most of them can >be > > avoided by using proper techniques to avoid timing, social engineering, >etc. > > > > The big benefit of this is that it allows for a secure key transmission > > technique. Proper use of certificates should prevent a man in the middle > > exploit. > >You cannot detect a MITM with PKI alone. The QM is there as an (imperfect) >tampering detection. > > > Nonetheless, crypttech is growing by leaps and bounds as corporations >now > > need encryption where previously just terrorists and govt's needed it. > >Please do not assume reading Slashdot is sufficient to understand >cryptography (No, reading cryptography@ over years is not sufficient, >either, or just reading , >but it's a first start if you want to understand the basics >of cryptography). > >-- Eugen* Leitl leitl >______________________________________________________________ >ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org >8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE >http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net ><< attach4 >> >_______________________________________________ >extropy-chat mailing list >extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org >http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat _________________________________________________________________ Our best dial-up offer is back. Get MSN Dial-up Internet Service for 6 months @ $9.95/month now! http://join.msn.com/?page=dept/dialup From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 9 16:33:37 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 08:33:37 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD [TLCB] Re: French assistance request... In-Reply-To: <3FD5BCB8.68D696DB@mindspring.com> Message-ID: <20031209163337.39489.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> --- "Terry W. Colvin" wrote: > Terry > > How about passing this back to Mike as I don't know his email > address, and > my mail will most likely bounce from the other servers. > > Mike > > Did you check out this www site? > http://www.cartographic.com/xq/ASP/AreaID.34/qx/nautical_charts.asp > > Looks like they might have something, but AT A COST!! Scale 1:500,000 Producer Military Topographic Directorate of the General Staff Vintage 1980-1981 Projection Gauss-Kruger Language Russian Size 3x2 degrees Contours 50 meters Status Available Immediately in raster or paper format Sheet Count 1 Base price (Paper) $79.00 per sheet This is a low resolution contour map that does not provide any hydrometric topography. Saw it already, doesn't suit my needs. > > Some links: http://www.connectedglobe.com/millennium/ip.html Found that page a while back. Thanks. An ENC database is a file containing both geographic and hydrographic topological data, depth soundings, and other GIS data that conforms to the International Geophysical S-57 standard. The US has been creating such charts for all of its territorial waters and posessions, even uninhabited Navassa Island has been digitally charted. Other major nations are supposed to be doing the same thing with their own posessions and waters, which I why I want someone literate in French to find such a chart on French government servers that is available to the public. > > Mac > At 09:08 PM 12/8/2003 -0700, Terry W. Colvin wrote: > >I am trying to get a good navigational chart of Clipperton Island (a > >French posession) in the eastern Pacific and would like to find an > ENC > >database (Electronic Navigational Chart) that conforms to the > >international S-57 standard. As it seems that each nation takes care > of > >its own navigational chart distribution, I was hoping someone who is > >French, or French literate, could locate such a chart database for > me > >somewhere on the French government internet sites. Finding such a > file > >without knowing the lingo is a bit tough.... so much for my three > years > >of French in high school... > > > >All I've been able to obtain so far on the greater internet is a > very > >low resolution scanned image of a 1956 map that has no depth > soundings > >or other information. > > > >===== > >Mike Lorrey > > > -- > ?Only a zit on the wart on the heinie of progress.? Copyright 1992, > Frank Rice > > > Terry W. Colvin, Sierra Vista, Arizona (USA) < > fortean1 at mindspring.com > > Alternate: < fortean1 at msn.com > > Home Page: < http://www.geocities.com/Area51/Stargate/8958/index.html > > > Sites: * Fortean Times * Mystic's Haven * TLCB * > U.S. Message Text Formatting (USMTF) Program > ------------ > Member: Thailand-Laos-Cambodia Brotherhood (TLCB) Mailing List > TLCB Web Site: < http://www.tlc-brotherhood.org >[Vietnam > veterans, > Allies, CIA/NSA, and "steenkeen" contractors are welcome.] > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From hemm at br.inter.net Tue Dec 9 17:21:12 2003 From: hemm at br.inter.net (Henrique Moraes Machado) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 15:21:12 -0200 Subject: [ok] Re: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation References: <20031209161730.47694.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <01d101c3be78$d84bb8e0$fe00a8c0@HEMM> As I said, crazy idea. :) Just a paradigmatic issue. I wouldn't like to be forever tied to conventional airplanes. I wouldn't even mind to travel slower than mach .97 (or much slower) aboard a dirigible for instance. It's not a matter of speed. The transports need a revolution. When we had only horses, the trains were revolutionary. Then the automobiles and finally airplanes. Nothing new since then. And there goes one hundred years. One might point that there are rockets and stuff, but how many people do you know have used rockets for transportation? Not practical. I've seen (discovery channel, internet) many ideas that could change radically the transports but I don't see any of these ideas being implemented. -----Mensagem Original----- De: "Mike Lorrey" Para: "Henrique Moraes Machado" ; "ExI chat list" Enviada em: ter?a-feira, 9 de dezembro de 2003 14:17 Assunto: Re: [ok] Re: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation | Well, atmospheric transportation has hit a wall of diminishing returns | on velocity, so the new plenum of progress is number of passengers and | cost efficiency. The Airbus entry is certainly a step in that | direction. Boeing has had designs for similar aircraft out for years | with little market interest up to now. Maybe that will change and | Boeing will do something now that Condit is canned. | | Skyhooks are not a really time efficient means of getting from point A | to point B on earth. You may go faster in terms of peak velocity, but | the route is many times longer, going up to geosynch, around (at 23k | altitude, half circumference is 160,000 miles) and back down, for a | total route length of over 200,000 miles. You are going to have a trip | time of over 20 hours, more like 30-40 hours at best, going that way. | | Why not jump in a 747-XFXL (extrafat, extralong) and travel in comfort | at mach .97 and do it in 15 hours? | | --- Henrique Moraes Machado wrote: | > Nice. But it's only more of the same. | > What I would really like to see is something more revolutionary than | > evolutionary. For instance, if we build many space elevators around | > the globe, people could travel between them using ships that would | > never need to land. It's some crazy idea, but it's an idea. Ok, it's | > not possible today, but could be considered. | > On the other hand there are other means of transportation that could | > be used today and are so neglected. Such as dirigibles and | > ekranoplanes (http://www.ae.metu.edu.tr/~gulkiz/wig.html) From eugen at leitl.org Tue Dec 9 17:28:47 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 18:28:47 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: <012001c3bd6e$7fa86360$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> References: <200312060543.hB65hqM30870@finney.org> <20031206195800.GC5783@leitl.org> <012001c3bd6e$7fa86360$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: <20031209172847.GD4452@leitl.org> On Mon, Dec 08, 2003 at 08:34:37PM +1100, Brett Paatsch wrote: > Eugen Leitl wrote: > > > I personally expect crosslinked polymer as structure bulk, not > > diamond nor graphenes. > > Interesting. I think I can see why crosslinked polymers might appeal > given disulphide bonds already feature in routine protein chemistry, No, the simple reason is processivity and energy use. Even if I can deposit about everything chemically stable, but have to do it at a MHz..GHz rate by a resonant tooltip I'm burning lots of juice for a glacially slow deposition. With a monomer I just have to squirt it out, and to initiate it. With a cumulene as linear monomer I can in fact make pretty good diamond, if I have the F-tipped carbon nanotube as a tool, but I can also change the polymer deposited (a continuum between diamond and graphene) by controlling the tip movement, and quench radicals with a gas jet. It might be not perfect, but it's orders of magnitude faster, and gets the job done. > but I see protein design as pretty complex, requiring a solvent, and Proteins are very good for purification, autoassembly and part ligation, all in one step, and a vast existing infrastructure (biotechnology) to produce them. This is sufficient for assembling cellular architectures, anything regular, but is lousy for structural material (you won't get much better than spider silk, and that's not too thermally stable) and for nonregular complex shapes. You can of course add artificial amino acids to the repertoire, it's been done already. The problem is that the information required for folding guidance dilutes your functionality concentration. It takes a lot of blahblah to create the functional envelope for the enzyme core (the periphery has also functionality, of course, but I'm simplifying this for the sake of argument). > very hard to do computationally (I presume you don't just want to stuff PFP/iPFP is making nice progress. They've invented a brand new fold the other day, and forecast the structure very nicely, too. You need basically a self-bootstrapping high-precision forcefield, and custom hardware to implement it (Blue Gene is pretty close to that) to do it robustly and quickly. The PFP/iPFP is not a boolean event (now we've got it! The Holy Grail! etc.), you just get lucky more and more often. > a volume with any old shape). If diamonoid forms could be produced > they would seem to have the advantage of being conceptually easier to > design with. Is your expectation for cross-linked polymer bulk structures I would forget machine-phase for time being. This is almost irrelevant for bootstrap. I'm not sure machine-phase is exclusive means of fabbing for mature nanotechnology either. > based on the view that diamondoid would be too difficult or rather that > designer protein chemistry would be relatively easy? Right now hacking biology is our strongest tool. The second closest being self-assembly by supramolecular chemistry. But here you have to synthesize everything from scratch, so you're stuck with very primitive structures, and lousy yield. Manipulative proximal probe is even more limited, if we're trying to do single-molecule chemistry. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From eugen at leitl.org Tue Dec 9 17:49:55 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 18:49:55 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <20031209174955.GF4452@leitl.org> On Tue, Dec 09, 2003 at 11:11:35AM -0500, Brian Lee wrote: > I'm not trying to get into a pissing match with you, just trying to ablate > your abrasiveness a little. I flame with a purpose. I'm sick and tired of pretend knowledge about a complex field. The only thing I learned about cryptography in all those years is that I don't know what the fuck I'm talking about. Misunderstandements about system security and cryptography can in future get your, and -- most importantly -- other people's ass killed. This is not a hyperbole. Bad crypto already kills people, just not thousands or millions. Not yet. The right frame of mind before this is humility, and readiness to learn. In any case: do not spread actual misinformation without checking back with people who know. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From bradbury at aeiveos.com Tue Dec 9 18:03:40 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 10:03:40 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: Message-ID: On Mon, 8 Dec 2003, Robert J. Bradbury wrote: > But in the early versions of the bill (S. 189 (es)) it was in Section 5b > and it isn't in S 189 (is or rs) (where Section 5 became Section 4). > You can search on "Self-Assembly". > > This would make a great detective story... The above is wrong! I had the order of the bills incorrect. If you start at http://thomas.loc.gov/ and search on "S189" you will get the 4 versions in the correct order with explanations. The text appears in S.189(es). Then go to the es/enr versions and go to "Bill Summary & Status file" to get a list of the pages in the Congressional Record. In section 5b it says "the National Research Council shall conduct a one-time study to determine the technical feasibility of molecular self-assembly for the manufacture of materials and devices at the molecular scale." The text shows up in the debate on the floor on November the 18th. Documents S15101/S15102 in the Congressional Record. The changes appear to be coming into the version of the bill from Senators Allen (VA) and Wyden (OR). The text is not in earlier versions of the bill. Sorry for the confusion. Robert From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 9 18:11:33 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 10:11:33 -0800 (PST) Subject: [ok] Re: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation In-Reply-To: <01d101c3be78$d84bb8e0$fe00a8c0@HEMM> Message-ID: <20031209181133.84129.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> Akranoplans are interesting ideas, but I suspect that the danger of collision with ships would be a problem as would dealing with heavy seas. Doesn't matter if you are going mach .75 25 feet over the ocean if the waves are 100 feet high... The real revolution in transportation is in residential ships like Residensea. When you can telecommute, then ocean cruise ships will make a comeback. --- Henrique Moraes Machado wrote: > > As I said, crazy idea. :) > Just a paradigmatic issue. I wouldn't like to be forever tied to > conventional airplanes. > I wouldn't even mind to travel slower than mach .97 (or much slower) > aboard a dirigible for instance. It's not a matter of speed. > > The transports need a revolution. When we had only horses, the trains > were revolutionary. Then the automobiles and finally airplanes. > Nothing new since then. And there goes one hundred years. > One might point that there are rockets and stuff, but how many people > do you know have used rockets for transportation? Not practical. > I've seen (discovery channel, internet) many ideas that could change > radically the transports but I don't see any of these ideas being > implemented. > > > -----Mensagem Original----- > De: "Mike Lorrey" > Para: "Henrique Moraes Machado" ; "ExI chat list" > > Enviada em: ter?a-feira, 9 de dezembro de 2003 14:17 > Assunto: Re: [ok] Re: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation > > > | Well, atmospheric transportation has hit a wall of diminishing > returns > | on velocity, so the new plenum of progress is number of passengers > and > | cost efficiency. The Airbus entry is certainly a step in that > | direction. Boeing has had designs for similar aircraft out for > years > | with little market interest up to now. Maybe that will change and > | Boeing will do something now that Condit is canned. > | > | Skyhooks are not a really time efficient means of getting from > point A > | to point B on earth. You may go faster in terms of peak velocity, > but > | the route is many times longer, going up to geosynch, around (at > 23k > | altitude, half circumference is 160,000 miles) and back down, for a > | total route length of over 200,000 miles. You are going to have a > trip > | time of over 20 hours, more like 30-40 hours at best, going that > way. > | > | Why not jump in a 747-XFXL (extrafat, extralong) and travel in > comfort > | at mach .97 and do it in 15 hours? > | > | --- Henrique Moraes Machado wrote: > | > Nice. But it's only more of the same. > | > What I would really like to see is something more revolutionary > than > | > evolutionary. For instance, if we build many space elevators > around > | > the globe, people could travel between them using ships that > would > | > never need to land. It's some crazy idea, but it's an idea. Ok, > it's > | > not possible today, but could be considered. > | > On the other hand there are other means of transportation that > could > | > be used today and are so neglected. Such as dirigibles and > | > ekranoplanes (http://www.ae.metu.edu.tr/~gulkiz/wig.html) > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From jacques at dtext.com Tue Dec 9 18:36:34 2003 From: jacques at dtext.com (JDP) Date: Tue, 09 Dec 2003 19:36:34 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD [TLCB] Re: French assistance request... In-Reply-To: <20031209163337.39489.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> References: <20031209163337.39489.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <3FD61632.607@dtext.com> Mike, The French organism responsible for the ENC charts is http://www.shom.fr/ Send them an email and they will tell you if/where you can find the ENC chart for Clipperton Island. http://www.primar-stavanger.org/ commercializes some such charts, including French ones. They have a "Chart catalogue" java app that you can download. CC to me if you want me to read some other message about this, as I don't monitor the list in a systematic way. And don't go bombing the little atoll, please. I might want to retire there and play with the crabs. Jacques Mike Lorrey wrote: > An ENC database is a file containing both geographic and hydrographic > topological data, depth soundings, and other GIS data that conforms to > the International Geophysical S-57 standard. The US has been creating > such charts for all of its territorial waters and posessions, even > uninhabited Navassa Island has been digitally charted. Other major > nations are supposed to be doing the same thing with their own > posessions and waters, which I why I want someone literate in French to > find such a chart on French government servers that is available to the > public. From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Tue Dec 9 18:35:03 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 13:35:03 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution In-Reply-To: <20031209143327.GY4452@leitl.org> Message-ID: <000801c3be83$2c2bff60$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Eugen Leitl wrote, > Please refrain from using blanket statements about a domain > you obviously don't understand. and > Please do not assume reading Slashdot is sufficient to > understand cryptography This is a big problem with Extropians and Transhumanists in general. All we seem to have is a discussion group with armchair quarterbacks and amateurs arguing over star-trek science. Where are all the real experts in our favorite fields? I feel like I am beating a dead horse, but it has to be said. We have to move beyond the fan-club stage and create develop expertise and involvement to create the future. Educating the public, lobbying our governments, and discussing this stuff is only the first step. And even that step is misguided without a proper understanding of the technologies. We are becoming a cargo cult that doesn't understand what we are really promoting. How can we break out of this feel-good mode and into the real work? Self-education, grassroots efforts, and garage tinkering worked well in the industrial age, but won't be good enough for the future. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Tue Dec 9 18:46:57 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 13:46:57 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: <00ba01c3be6b$27f6a700$6400a8c0@brainiac> Message-ID: <000c01c3be84$d63c9180$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Olga wrote, > Subsequent article in CSICOP touched on skeptical views on life extension and global warming: > > Excellent article. At first, skepticism was a scientific tool used to critically analyze assumptions and verify facts. Now we have copycats who are acting like skeptics to give their unfounded beliefs an air of scientific authority. As the article notes, people who are "skeptical" about evolution or global warming are merely pretending to be skeptics without the underlying science. This is the same as Christian "Scientists" or Creation "Science" trying to pretend that their religious beliefs are as rigorous as real science. It is too easy to fall into this trap. People easily fall into a mode where they act like they are experts and they have no real concept of how science or the underlying technology really work. I am afraid that there are more faux experts than real experts in the public spotlight today. It is easier to be a consumer, commentator, political activists, strategy consultant, public educator, or whatever in a field of "expertise" without really going through all the trouble of really learning the field. This is the biggest threat to science and by extension to transhumanism facing us today. The world of science is being diluted with pseudoscience, and it is very difficult for the laypeople to tell the difference. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 9 19:10:56 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 11:10:56 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD [TLCB] Re: French assistance request... In-Reply-To: <3FD61632.607@dtext.com> Message-ID: <20031209191056.91846.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> --- JDP wrote: > Mike, > > The French organism responsible for the ENC charts is > http://www.shom.fr/ Send them an email and they will tell you > if/where > you can find the ENC chart for Clipperton Island. > > http://www.primar-stavanger.org/ commercializes some such charts, > including French ones. They have a "Chart catalogue" java app that > you can download. > > CC to me if you want me to read some other message about this, as I > don't monitor the list in a systematic way. Thank you very much for your response, Jaques. I will see what I can accomplish through these links. > > And don't go bombing the little atoll, please. I might want to retire > there and play with the crabs. Well, I'd rather play with some of the tourists than the crabs, myself (unless they, the crabs, saute well). ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From brian_a_lee at hotmail.com Tue Dec 9 19:15:52 2003 From: brian_a_lee at hotmail.com (Brian Lee) Date: Tue, 09 Dec 2003 14:15:52 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution Message-ID: Of course I too am sick and tired of people spouting off about things which they know nothing. I'm moderately familiar with what crypto to use in which situation and what provides an acceptible level of risk. Of course nothing is impregnable (even one-time pads have social engineering vulnerabilities), but there are acceptible encryption schemes and methods that have never known to be compromised (like the 128 bit RC4 cipher used in many SSL implementations). My first point was attempting to relay that as technology power increases, these theoretical vulnerabilities to brute force cracks will become actual, and whomever has the next level of encryption will be at an advantage. An advantage as huge as nuclear weapons were. Since >From: Eugen Leitl >To: ExI chat list >Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution >Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 18:49:55 +0100 > >On Tue, Dec 09, 2003 at 11:11:35AM -0500, Brian Lee wrote: > > > I'm not trying to get into a pissing match with you, just trying to >ablate > > your abrasiveness a little. > >I flame with a purpose. I'm sick and tired of pretend knowledge >about a complex field. The only thing I learned about cryptography >in all those years is that I don't know what the fuck I'm talking >about. > >Misunderstandements about system security and cryptography can in >future get your, and -- most importantly -- other people's ass >killed. This is not a hyperbole. Bad crypto already kills people, >just not thousands or millions. Not yet. > >The right frame of mind before this is humility, and readiness >to learn. In any case: do not spread actual misinformation >without checking back with people who know. > >-- Eugen* Leitl leitl >______________________________________________________________ >ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org >8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE >http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net ><< attach4 >> >_______________________________________________ >extropy-chat mailing list >extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org >http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat _________________________________________________________________ Cell phone ?switch? rules are taking effect ? find out more here. http://special.msn.com/msnbc/consumeradvocate.armx From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 9 19:32:05 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 11:32:05 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: <000c01c3be84$d63c9180$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <20031209193205.10451.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> --- Harvey Newstrom wrote: > Olga wrote, > > Subsequent article in CSICOP touched on skeptical views on life > > extension and global warming: > > > > > > Excellent article. At first, skepticism was a scientific tool used > to critically analyze assumptions and verify facts. Now we have > copycats who are acting like skeptics to give their unfounded > beliefs an air of scientific authority. As the article notes, > people who are "skeptical"about evolution or global warming are > merely pretending to be skeptics without the underlying science. I am sorry, Harvey, but global warming does not deserve to be included in this. The author makes a ludicrous claim that we should not be skeptical about something that is allegedly happening right now. Bullshit. UFO adherents claim that we are being invaded and abducted right now. So freakin what? Does that mean we should not be skeptical of the scientific investigations of psychologists into the memories of abductees? Hell no. Does it mean we should not be skeptical about the laboratory results of samples taken from alleged landing/crash sites? Hell no. Global warming? What global warming? I've got two feet of snow in my front yard and winter hasn't even officially STARTED yet. You think I'm unduly skeptical about the claims ONLY of scientists who have a socialist agenda? Do you think I am unduly skeptical when scientists who developed much of the base data the UN makes its claims on say that their data is not being properly used or interpreted by the UN??? Do you think I am unduly skeptical when my own cousin, a published scientist with degrees from BU and UMO, and who is doing his doctorate at the University of Aukland, and who happens to actually BE a climatologist, says that most of the claims of global warming proponents are absolute bullshit, and the rest are not anthropogenic in nature? Given the immense cost of completely changing our entire economic and governmental structures that is being demanded by global warming proponents, we need to be EXTREMELY skeptical of the claims of these people. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 9 19:35:14 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 11:35:14 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] EUGEN: What happened to Genes screeds? In-Reply-To: <20031209072732.GA4452@leitl.org> Message-ID: <20031209193514.33762.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> --- Eugen Leitl wrote: > On Sun, Dec 07, 2003 at 04:01:49PM -0800, Mike Lorrey wrote: > > I recall on the extropy list of years gone past, that Eugen used to > > post long posts rambling on, like he'd been on a caffiene drip for > the > > last 96 hours, about all sorts of things. What ever happened to > that > > posting technique? > > Posting doesn't get anything done, and I do have a life these days. > It's very possible that I'll be gone (virtually, for good?) in a few > months. WHAT? What is up? ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 9 19:37:49 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 11:37:49 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: <20031209083627.85550.qmail@web41206.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20031209193749.17194.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> --- Jeff Davis wrote: > --- "Robert J. Bradbury" wrote: > > If we want to know why politics is so complex this is > sure a good example. > > Robert > > ------------------------------ > > What's so complex? Smalley is a meta-honcho--likely > on the short list for honcho--near the summit a > multi-billion dollar public research money pile. > Quite a career accomplishment. > > The top down approach to nano reaches out from the > broad margins of current capabilities, can absorb > research billions easily, and can deliver > immediately-usable science and tech as it expands > those margins. I'm not too concerned, myself. So what if they are leery of even allowing potentially grey gooish technolgies be developed? What they intend to fund will build a lot of the tools that will be needed to accomplish a self assembler technology anyways. All this does is ensure that the self-assembler technology will be developed solely as a private enterprise, with no federal mucking about or potential military confiscation. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From rhanson at gmu.edu Tue Dec 9 21:20:15 2003 From: rhanson at gmu.edu (Robin Hanson) Date: Tue, 09 Dec 2003 16:20:15 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: <000c01c3be84$d63c9180$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> References: <00ba01c3be6b$27f6a700$6400a8c0@brainiac> Message-ID: <5.2.1.1.2.20031209160927.020d5518@mail.gmu.edu> On 12/9/2003, Harvey Newstrom wrote: > > >Excellent article. ... People >easily fall into a mode where they act like they are experts and they have >no real concept of how science or the underlying technology really work. I >am afraid that there are more faux experts than real experts in the public >spotlight today. It is easier to be a consumer, commentator, political >activists, strategy consultant, public educator, or whatever in a field of >"expertise" without really going through all the trouble of really learning >the field. This is the biggest threat to science and by extension to >transhumanism facing us today. The world of science is being diluted with >pseudoscience, and it is very difficult for the laypeople to tell the >difference. ... I agree this is a huge problem, but you say "diluted" as if you think the situation was ever any different. It seems to me that this is the way it has always been. Robin Hanson rhanson at gmu.edu http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-4444 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323 From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Tue Dec 9 22:53:50 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 17:53:50 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: <20031209193205.10451.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <009501c3bea7$5304df70$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Mike Lorrey wrote, > I am sorry, Harvey, but global warming does not deserve to be > included in this. I disagree. Most reputable scientists believe that the earth is warming and that humans are accelerating this. There are only a small percentage of scientists who dispute this, and they seem to be right-wing extremists or funded by big energy corporations. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Tue Dec 9 22:59:43 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 17:59:43 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: <5.2.1.1.2.20031209160927.020d5518@mail.gmu.edu> Message-ID: <009601c3bea8$2277b700$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Robin Hanson wrote, > I agree this is a huge problem, but you say "diluted" as if > you think the situation was ever any different. It seems to > me that this is the way it has always been. I disagree. Things are different than they used to be. University studies are supported by specific corporations now. Discoveries are proprietary and patented instead of peer-reviewed. More money is spent on lawyers to prevent flaws from being exposed rather than confirmation studies being performed. Corporate fraud has moved into the realms of computer science and biology more than ever before. Areas of research that used to be purely scientific are now overrun with corporate lawyers, politicians, ethics advisors, and a whole host of non-technical people trying to control technology that they don't understand. Doctors used to make medical decisions, now non-medical professionals in HMOs do. Scientists used to direct research, now corporate boards of directors do. Researchers used to choose research paths, now venture capitalists do. The control and (mis)representation of technology has shifted from the scientists to the eco-political realm. This shift is new and has completely changed the dynamic of how science is done. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From wingcat at pacbell.net Tue Dec 9 23:11:56 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 15:11:56 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] planes In-Reply-To: <20031209160710.32690.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20031209231156.93688.qmail@web80401.mail.yahoo.com> --- Mike Lorrey wrote: > Ugliness is an asset on the battlefield. Do you want > enemy troops to > have wet dreams about your aircraft, or do you want > them to have the > fear of death and destruction? I dunno. If the enemy really doesn't want to hurt my craft because they wouldn't dare mar such a thing of beauty, the enemy really doesn't want to hurt my craft. That can be a useful form of limited invulnerability. ;) From rafal at smigrodzki.org Wed Dec 10 03:00:47 2003 From: rafal at smigrodzki.org (Rafal Smigrodzki) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 19:00:47 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: <009501c3bea7$5304df70$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: Harvey wrote: > Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About > > > Mike Lorrey wrote, >> I am sorry, Harvey, but global warming does not deserve to be >> included in this. > > I disagree. Most reputable scientists believe that the earth is > warming and that humans are accelerating this. There are only a > small percentage of scientists who dispute this, and they seem to be > right-wing extremists or funded by big energy corporations. ### Are you sure about this? Most reputable climate scientists profess to have insufficient knowledge about the degree of warming, if any, or the degree of human complicity, if any, to make any firm policy recommendations (except "Spend more on research"). Admitting that "some" warming might occur (with a 95% confidence interval sometimes larger than the postulated effect), and vaguely surmising that humans might have "some" influence, doesn't make most scientists into global warming believers. Rafal From wingcat at pacbell.net Wed Dec 10 00:09:42 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 16:09:42 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Stealing organs finally a crime... In-Reply-To: <002e01c3be06$c14399a0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031210000942.77373.qmail@web80410.mail.yahoo.com> --- Spike wrote: > > http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,8122-920726,00.html > > > > Don't know what took the Brits so long, but they > finally made it a > > crime to steal someone's organs without their > consent... > > It's still legal, even encouraged in this country. > I don't > recall giving my consent to have my foreskin > removed. At the time, you were probably the (effectively) legal property of those who had just given birth to you, on the grounds that you were not (yet) mentally competent to give consent. Similarly, you probably did not give consent to be removed from that warm, nourishing pocket of flesh where you had gestated - most people who undergo that experience are quite upset about it at the time - nor, thereafter, to be fed, clothed, or sheltered. Now, there may be something to be said for adjusting the standards of age-related mental competency. But the fundamental legal concept (a newborn person is not a full citizen until a certain event happens - an event that is likely, even automatic, for all citizens before they gain much power to protest about it, to avoid abuse of the rule) remains sound. From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Wed Dec 10 00:16:22 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 11:16:22 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About References: <009601c3bea8$2277b700$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <003001c3beb2$d7ae8220$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Harvey Newstrom wrote: > Robin Hanson wrote, > > I agree this is a huge problem, but you say "diluted" as if > > you think the situation was ever any different. It seems to > > me that this is the way it has always been. > > I disagree. Things are different than they used to be. University > studies are supported by specific corporations now. Discoveries > are proprietary and patented instead of peer-reviewed. More > money is spent on lawyers to prevent flaws from being exposed > rather than confirmation studies being performed. Corporate > fraud has moved into the realms of computer science and > biology more than ever before. Areas of research that used to > be purely scientific are now overrun with corporate lawyers, > politicians, ethics advisors, and a whole host of non-technical > people trying to control technology that they don't understand. > Doctors used to make medical decisions, now non-medical > professionals in HMOs do. Scientists used to direct research, > now corporate boards of directors do. Researchers used to > choose research paths, now venture capitalists do. The control > and (mis)representation of technology has shifted from the > scientists to the eco-political realm. This shift is new and has > completely changed the dynamic of how science is done. Maybe you are right Harvey. Maybe you are not. Why don't you tackle something with a slightly narrower scope and give more evidence for what your saying? The broad brush stuff can only be accepted or rejected wholesale and mostly its rejected not explicitly because its disagreed with but implictly because the difficulty of untangling it is too great. If you don't get engagement you can't get persuasion. Trust me I know :-) Often the posters on the Exi list are encouraged to do more, or try different things. This is seldom bad advice in itself but would overwhelming silence on the list (as does pops up from time to time) be interpreted by you as success as everyone had gone off to do stuff? If you have some specific things you'd like to see done perhaps you could state them? I thought the recent discussion about nanotechnology would have been useful to anybody interested and willing to actually listen. I agree with Hal that critics are our friends (or at least can be :-). I can empathise with frustration and perhaps sometimes the list functions as a fraternity of the frustrated but there is little point just howling at the moon. Regards, Brett From thespike at earthlink.net Wed Dec 10 00:15:17 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 18:15:17 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Stealing organs finally a crime... References: <20031210000942.77373.qmail@web80410.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <014901c3beb2$b2cde540$d8994a43@texas.net> Spike wrote: > It's still legal, even encouraged in this country. > I don't recall giving my consent to have my foreskin > removed. Wow, that's disgraceful! Do you know the name of the lucky transplant recipient? Damien Broderick From mlorrey at yahoo.com Wed Dec 10 01:24:40 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 17:24:40 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031210012440.97549.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> --- Rafal Smigrodzki wrote: > Harvey wrote: > > Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About > > > > > > Mike Lorrey wrote, > >> I am sorry, Harvey, but global warming does not deserve to be > >> included in this. > > > > I disagree. Most reputable scientists believe that the earth is > > warming and that humans are accelerating this. There are only a > > small percentage of scientists who dispute this, and they seem to > be > > right-wing extremists or funded by big energy corporations. > > ### Are you sure about this? Most reputable climate scientists > profess to > have insufficient knowledge about the degree of warming, if any, or > the > degree of human complicity, if any, to make any firm policy > recommendations > (except "Spend more on research"). Admitting that "some" warming > might occur > (with a 95% confidence interval sometimes larger than the postulated > effect), and vaguely surmising that humans might have "some" > influence, > doesn't make most scientists into global warming believers. Rafal is right, and the "2,500" scientists you said signed onto the Climat Change report were most definitely NOT all climatologists, or even hard scientists. A lot of them were sociologists, psychologists, and other people completely unqualified to judge. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Wed Dec 10 01:30:17 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 17:30:17 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] HUMOR: The Jones have the bomb... Message-ID: <20031210013017.99090.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> http://www.videoranch.com/NNSlarge.html ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From megao at sasktel.net Wed Dec 10 01:46:33 2003 From: megao at sasktel.net (Extropian Agroforestry Ventures Inc.) Date: Tue, 09 Dec 2003 19:46:33 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] HUMOR: The Jones have the bomb... References: <20031210013017.99090.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <3FD67AF9.8048421D@sasktel.net> Not Found The requested URL /Temporary Items/home/vranch/html/www/Xmas/html/popup_functions.js was not found on this server. Apache/1.3.26 Server at www.videoranch.com Port 80 "Pharmer Mo" Mike Lorrey wrote: > http://www.videoranch.com/NNSlarge.html > > ===== > Mike Lorrey > "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." > - Gen. John Stark > "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." > - Mike Lorrey > Do not label me, I am an ism of one... > Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com > > __________________________________ > Do you Yahoo!? > New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. > http://photos.yahoo.com/ > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From spike66 at comcast.net Wed Dec 10 02:59:56 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 18:59:56 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Stealing organs finally a crime... In-Reply-To: <20031210000942.77373.qmail@web80410.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <003301c3bec9$b12b3a50$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > > > crime to steal someone's organs without their > > consent... > > > > It's still legal, even encouraged in this country. > > I don't recall giving my consent to have my foreskin > > removed. > > At the time, you were probably the (effectively) legal > property of those who had just given birth to you, on > the grounds that you were not (yet) mentally competent > to give consent... Of course. I have a friend whose job it was to meet with African immigrant families to explain to them that it is illegal in this country to do female circumcision, not to mention cruel and ill-advised. I have often inquired why she has no counterpart arguing the same for the male children. I do not recall the event of course, but I would suppose it to be painful as all hell. I feel sorry for my infant self. spike From spike66 at comcast.net Wed Dec 10 03:04:07 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 19:04:07 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Stealing organs finally a crime... In-Reply-To: <014901c3beb2$b2cde540$d8994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <003401c3beca$471a4100$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Stealing organs finally a crime... > > Spike wrote: > > > It's still legal, even encouraged in this country. > > I don't recall giving my consent to have my foreskin > > removed. > > Wow, that's disgraceful! Do you know the name of the lucky transplant > recipient? > > Damien Broderick HEY! Thats a hell of an idea Damien! Restoration thru transplantation. I would imagine that there are those who undergo circumcision as adults (for whatever reason, perhaps having become engaged to an Israeli princess.) Organ donation! Come to think of it, one could even sell the thing, much like they sell kidneys in some parts of the world. spike From extropy at unreasonable.com Wed Dec 10 03:24:52 2003 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Tue, 09 Dec 2003 22:24:52 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Stealing organs finally a crime... In-Reply-To: <003401c3beca$471a4100$6501a8c0@SHELLY> References: <014901c3beb2$b2cde540$d8994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031209221508.032bd8f0@mail.comcast.net> At 07:04 PM 12/9/2003 -0800, Spike wrote: > > > It's still legal, even encouraged in this country. > > > I don't recall giving my consent to have my foreskin > > > removed. > > > Wow, that's disgraceful! Do you know the name of the lucky transplant > > recipient? > >HEY! Thats a hell of an idea Damien! Restoration >thru transplantation. I would imagine that there are >those who undergo circumcision as adults (for whatever >reason, perhaps having become engaged to an Israeli >princess.) Organ donation! Come to think of it, one >could even sell the thing, much like they sell kidneys >in some parts of the world. Nah, I'm sure the part went to a specialty food market, when you consider how many ethnic groups use body parts of exotic animals as ingredients in aphrodisiacs or for life-extension. There are a few contextual jokes on your name I could make but I'm still recovering from the 23-part pun I posted to another group yesterday. -- David Lubkin. From mlorrey at yahoo.com Wed Dec 10 03:58:43 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 19:58:43 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] HUMOR: The Jones have the bomb... In-Reply-To: <3FD67AF9.8048421D@sasktel.net> Message-ID: <20031210035843.48655.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> Works fine on IE --- "Extropian Agroforestry Ventures Inc." wrote: > Not Found > > The requested URL /Temporary > Items/home/vranch/html/www/Xmas/html/popup_functions.js was not > found on this server. > > > Apache/1.3.26 Server at www.videoranch.com Port 80 > > "Pharmer Mo" > > > > Mike Lorrey wrote: > > > http://www.videoranch.com/NNSlarge.html > > > > ===== > > Mike Lorrey > > "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." > > - Gen. John Stark > > "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." > > - Mike Lorrey > > Do not label me, I am an ism of one... > > Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com > > > > __________________________________ > > Do you Yahoo!? > > New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. > > http://photos.yahoo.com/ > > _______________________________________________ > > extropy-chat mailing list > > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From megao at sasktel.net Wed Dec 10 03:57:01 2003 From: megao at sasktel.net (Extropian Agroforestry Ventures Inc.) Date: Tue, 09 Dec 2003 21:57:01 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] HUMOR: The Jones have the bomb... References: <20031210013017.99090.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <3FD6998C.D2BA088B@sasktel.net> I googled and found: Dark Thoughts... ... nuclear war. Now, thanks to the grey market, anyone with a gold card can buy their way to neighbourhood nuclear superiority. On ... members.shaw.ca/triviaqueen/dark_end.htm - 6k - Cached - Similar pages Mike Lorrey wrote: > http://www.videoranch.com/NNSlarge.html > > ===== > Mike Lorrey > "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." > - Gen. John Stark > "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." > - Mike Lorrey > Do not label me, I am an ism of one... > Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com > > __________________________________ > Do you Yahoo!? > New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. > http://photos.yahoo.com/ > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Wed Dec 10 04:44:52 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 23:44:52 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: <003001c3beb2$d7ae8220$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: <00e301c3bed8$5d188fd0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Brett Paatsch wrote, > > Harvey Newstrom wrote: > > > Robin Hanson wrote, > > > I agree this is a huge problem, but you say "diluted" as if you > > > think the situation was ever any different. It seems to me that > > > this is the way it has always been. > > > > I disagree. Things are different than they used to be. > > Maybe you are right Harvey. Maybe you are not. Why don't you > tackle something with a slightly narrower scope and give more > evidence for what your saying? I wasn't aware that anybody needed evidence of what I was saying. Robin seemed to agree with me, but thought this was the way things had always been. He certainly didn't dispute my assessment of how things are now. My entire diatribe was a long expansion of how I agreed with Hal and that he was exactly right in his assessments of nanotechnology. In fact, I believe his assessment applies to a lot of other areas as well. So far everybody is in agreement. What exact points did you disagree with, and what exact evidence did you want to see? Do you doubt that pseudoscience is confusing the public? Do you doubt HMOs have taken medical decisions away from doctors? Do you doubt that scientific research is now owned more by corporation backers and less by public universities? I am not sure exactly what points you think require further evidence. Or was it my suggestions you disliked. Do you disagree that we have more talk here than action? Do you disagree that we should go beyond the fan-club stage and start actually creating the future ourselves? You asked me to give more evidence for what I was saying, but I don't know exactly what you disagreed with. > If you have some specific things you'd like > to see done perhaps you could state them? I would like Extropians to get real technology jobs, practice radical life-extension techniques, sign up for cryonics, start real think-tanks, produce real solutions, start real development projects, and write scientifically rigorous papers to present our ideas. > I thought the recent discussion about nanotechnology would have been > useful to anybody interested and willing to actually listen. I agree > with Hal that critics are our friends I agree with Hal as well. My entire diatribe was a big expansion on how I agree with Hal. As Hal pointed out, the nanotech stuff is not very well presented or supported. We need to do a better job in providing evidence for our ideas. I am not sure why you are implying that I missed Hal's excellent points. I was writing to say that Hal was right on the money and that his observations apply in other areas as well. > I can empathise with frustration and perhaps sometimes the > list functions as a fraternity of the frustrated but there is > little point just howling at the moon. Sadly, this is the primary cause why people drop out of the list. Discussions here seem to be incompatible with getting real work done. Eugen, Eliezer and many others have specifically questioned whether this list detracts from their serious interests elsewhere. The list does seem to have a history of losing people as soon as they really get serious. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Wed Dec 10 04:45:17 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 23:45:17 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: <20031210012440.97549.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <00e401c3bed8$6c2ae630$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Mike Lorrey wrote, > Rafal is right, and the "2,500" scientists you said signed > onto the Climat Change report were most definitely NOT all > climatologists, or even hard scientists. A lot of them were > sociologists, psychologists, and other people completely > unqualified to judge. I never mentioned 2,500 scientists or the Climate Change report. I don't believe that petitions and voting are a means to scientific truths. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Wed Dec 10 04:45:41 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 23:45:41 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <00e501c3bed8$7a042050$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Rafal wrote, > ### Are you sure about this? Most reputable climate > scientists profess to have insufficient knowledge about the > degree of warming, if any, or the degree of human complicity, > if any, to make any firm policy recommendations (except > "Spend more on research"). Yes. There is no doubt that the globe is actually warming. If you want to argue whether humans are causing it or whether it is a natural cycle, that is a different argument. If you want to discuss the politics of what we should do about it, and who specifically should do what, that is another argument. But if you want to argue that the Earth is not getting warmer as a local trend in the last few decades, this just isn't supported by any evidence or science. Ignoring all the hype about carbon-dioxide, causes, politics, and doomsday, the fact is that there is a current warming trend occurring. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Wed Dec 10 05:59:56 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 16:59:56 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About References: <00e301c3bed8$5d188fd0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <007501c3bee2$d6bb6ec0$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Harvey Newstrom wrote: > Brett Paatsch wrote, > > > > Harvey Newstrom wrote: > > > > > Robin Hanson wrote, > > > > I agree this is a huge problem, but you say "diluted" as > > > > if you think the situation was ever any different. It seems > > > > to me that this is the way it has always been. > > > > > > I disagree. Things are different than they used to be. > > > > Maybe you are right Harvey. Maybe you are not. Why don't > > you tackle something with a slightly narrower scope and give > > more evidence for what your saying? > What exact points did you disagree with, and what exact evidence > did you want to see? I don't so much disagree with you as think you are re-voicing fuzzy generalisations as a result of frustration. I thought if you homed in a bit you might get better purchase and less frustration. > I am not sure exactly what points you think require further > evidence. Or was it my suggestions you disliked. I didn't dislike them. I'm not on your case. > Do you disagree that we have more talk here than action? No I don't disagree. I just make the point that this is a chat list. Even says so right there in the subject header. > Do you disagree that we should go beyond the > fan-club stage and start actually creating the future ourselves? I have no view on the matter as I find your initial proposition too fuzzy. I wondered if you'd want to expand on it, hence my question which you've respond to below. > > If you have some specific things you'd like > > to see done perhaps you could state them? > > I would like Extropians to get real technology jobs, practice > radical life-extension techniques, sign up for cryonics, start real > think-tanks, produce real solutions, start real development > projects, and write scientifically rigorous papers to present our > ideas. Ok. But as extropes together or as individuals that just happen to frequent the Exi list? The reason I ask is that I think one of the biggest questions is whether transhumanists should form a political force. I do see merit in that proposition. I can see good arguments for and against it. I thought that the WTA might become a political organisation yet Exi might stay out of politics and that might give the best of both worlds. > > I can empathise with frustration and perhaps sometimes the > > list functions as a fraternity of the frustrated but there is > > little point just howling at the moon. > > Sadly, this is the primary cause why people drop out of the list. > Discussions here seem to be incompatible with getting real work > done. Well the universe is contingent. Time spent typing posts to Exi is time not available for other things but people sometimes pick up stuff when they are just being people and talking to other people too. > Eugen, Eliezer and many others have specifically questioned > whether this list detracts from their serious interests elsewhere. I reckon that's a good question I think but its always a personal one. Each of us should perhaps ask ourselves it but I doubt we can answer for otheres. Do you think the Exi chat list actually works as a sort of drug that steals our creative juices or something? Regards, Brett From oregan.emlyn at healthsolve.com.au Wed Dec 10 06:21:45 2003 From: oregan.emlyn at healthsolve.com.au (Emlyn O'regan) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 16:51:45 +1030 Subject: [extropy-chat] Stealing organs finally a crime... Message-ID: <7A2B25F8EB070940996FA543A70A217B017868C7@adlexsv02.protech.com.au> > Spike wrote: > > > It's still legal, even encouraged in this country. > > I don't recall giving my consent to have my foreskin > > removed. > > Wow, that's disgraceful! Do you know the name of the lucky transplant > recipient? > > Damien Broderick Yes, it was our PM, John Howard. It was for an eyelid replacement. They took a bit too much skin though, which explains his eyebrows... Emlyn From thespike at earthlink.net Wed Dec 10 06:26:26 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 00:26:26 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About References: <00e501c3bed8$7a042050$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <02eb01c3bee6$8e073b60$d8994a43@texas.net> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Harvey Newstrom" Sent: Tuesday, December 09, 2003 10:45 PM > There is no doubt that the globe is actually warming. If you want to > argue whether humans are causing it or whether it is a natural cycle, that > is a different argument. In Oz: http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/common/story_page/0,5744,8118124%255E27 02,00.html Average yearly temperatures are projected to rise by as much as 2C across the nation by 2030, and 6C by 2070, according to an Australian Greenhouse Office report into global warming - triggering more natural disasters and crippling water shortages. The number of very hot summer days, with temperatures soaring above 35C, could double in most capital cities. The 240-page assessment, to be released today by Environment Minister David Kemp at a UN summit on climate change in Italy, says Australia will need to make major changes to adapt to the hotter weather that will be induced by global warming due to the greenhouse effect. The trend in Australian temperatures since 1950 is now matching climate model simulations of how temperatures respond to increased greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, the report says. It is likely the 1990s was the warmest decade in the past 1000 years, at least in the northern hemisphere. To cope with climate change, the report warns that Australians must use less water, change the types of crops grown by farmers, revise engineering standards and rezone land to prevent flooding. Farmers are at high risk of losing money due to the increased frequency of bad years, especially droughts, in parts of Australia within the next 20 to 50 years. And Queensland's tourism industry could suffer as warmer water bleaches the corals in the World Heritage-listed Great Barrier Reef. [etc, and of course that's a gummit report so we know we can ignore it] From spike66 at comcast.net Wed Dec 10 06:46:17 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 22:46:17 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Stealing organs finally a crime... In-Reply-To: <5.1.0.14.2.20031209221508.032bd8f0@mail.comcast.net> Message-ID: <003b01c3bee9$50456b50$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > There are a few contextual jokes on your name I could make > but I'm still recovering from the 23-part pun I posted to another group yesterday. We haven't had a pungasm on extropians for some time. {8-] Remember about 3 yrs ago before the war started, when we used to just have fun? Especially around Newtonmass and April 1? spike From spike66 at comcast.net Wed Dec 10 06:56:56 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Tue, 9 Dec 2003 22:56:56 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: <007501c3bee2$d6bb6ec0$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: <003c01c3beea$ccf0be60$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > > Eugen, Eliezer and many others have specifically questioned > > whether this list detracts from their serious interests elsewhere. Harvey > > I reckon that's a good question... Do you think the Exi chat list actually > works as a sort of drug that steals our creative juices or something? > > Regards, > Brett Harvey, I see your point, but for some of us, the extrolist is an idea bank, where both deposits and withdrawals are made. I know you are one who takes life very seriously, and we are lucky to have such as these. The chat list for me is more of a drug that *creates* creative juices. I know I am not making any discoveries in life extension; most of us are not. But having fun is itself a life-extension device. Thinking is a life extension device. For my part I will root for the guys doing actual life extension, and attempt to maximize fun while doing so. {8-] spike From gpmap at runbox.com Wed Dec 10 06:57:25 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 07:57:25 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Chinese moon probe to blast off in 3 years Message-ID: >From SciScoop: Some new players are getting ready to break Earth orbit and head out into deep space. China has released its plans for lunar exploration over the coming decade, which include a two-ton lunar orbiter named "Chang'e-I,'' an apparent reference to an ancient legend about the fairy Chang'e who flies to the moon. The craft is currently under construction and will lift off within three years for a 9 day voyage to the Moon followed by a functional year in lunar orbit. Chang'e is to be followed by an unmanned Chinese lunar sample return mission in 2010. In the second decade of the 21st Century, China plans to land one of its citizens on the Moon. Meanwhile, White House spokespersons have debunked as inaccurate rumors several reports that in coming weeks President Bush would issue a call for an American return to the Moon or manned missions to Mars. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From gpmap at runbox.com Wed Dec 10 06:58:31 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 07:58:31 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] IBM Claims Nanotech Breakthrough Message-ID: >From BizReport: Researchers at IBM Corp. claim they have made an important breakthrough in the race to design circuitry at the molecular level: a system that works with existing methods of electronics manufacturing. In a paper being released Monday at an industry conference in Washington, D.C., IBM researchers Chuck Black and Kathyrn Guarini say they used a naturally occurring pattern of molecules as a stencil to etch flash memory circuitry into silicon. Other researchers are experimenting with using self-assembling, or naturally forming, patterns of molecules to build very tiny circuitry. Doing so is believed to be necessary if the high-tech industry can continue to pack more transistors into smaller spaces - the process that continually makes computing faster and less expensive. But the IBM scientists believe they are the first to use the molecular patterns not as circuits that have to be connected to larger wires, but as stencils that light can be shone through to create circuitry in silicon. That would make it more likely to work with existing processes, potentially saving money in manufacturing. IBM predicts prototype devices using the technique could emerge in three to five years. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From gpmap at runbox.com Wed Dec 10 06:59:45 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 07:59:45 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Alternate Universe: Human Spaceflight Without NASA? Message-ID: >From Space.com, an interesting article on the future of space exploration: Space visionary Freeman Dyson, the acclaimed emeritus professor of physics at the Institute for Advanced Study in Princeton, New Jersey, recently had a conversation with Robert Zubrin, the world's biggest cheerleader for human missions to Mars. "Your scheme of Mars missions is excellent," Dyson said, "but it has one fatal flaw, the fact that you are expecting NASA to do it." "Ah, but when we give NASA a real challenge like this, it will be a different NASA," Zubrin replied. "I think he is right," Dyson said last Thursday. I had asked Dyson and other top scientists about the future of human spaceflight, on a day when worldwide media reports (then denied) said President Bush might soon announce a major new human space initiative, to the Moon and perhaps Mars. Sir Martin Rees, a British cosmologist and author of popular books, figures rich entrepreneurs like Amazon.com founder Jeff Bezos should lead the way to the Moon and Mars, with NASA playing a supportive role. The article describes the views of Dyson, Zubrin, Rees and others on space exploration, reporting that many well-known rich individuals are trying to set up commercial space ventures. If humans venture back to the Moon, and even beyond, they may carry commercial insignia rather than national flags. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From gpmap at runbox.com Wed Dec 10 07:00:43 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 08:00:43 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Hawaii Moon Declaration Message-ID: >From Space.com: A worldwide gathering of lunar experts has called for a sequence of technological, exploratory and commercial missions culminating in the establishment a human presence on the Moon. The Moon is currently the focus of an international program of scientific investigation. Current missions underway or planned will lead to the future use of the Moon for science and commercial development, thereby multiplying opportunities for humanity in space and on Earth. We need the Moon for many reasons: to use its resources of materials and energy to provide for our future needs in space and on Earth, to establish a second reservoir of human culture in the event of a terrestrial catastrophe, and to study and understand the universe. The next step in human exploration beyond low Earth orbit logically is to the Moon, our closest celestial neighbor in the Solar System... ... To encourage and stimulate the peaceful and progressive development of the Moon, we recommend that the international community of national space agencies, companies and individuals operate and maintain an exploratory mission at a pole of the Moon to serve as a catalyst for future human missions within a decade. Our vision is one of expanding humanity into space on an endless journey. We believe a human return to the Moon is the next step into the Solar System and the future of the human race. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From joe at barrera.org Wed Dec 10 07:52:00 2003 From: joe at barrera.org (Joseph S. Barrera III) Date: Tue, 09 Dec 2003 23:52:00 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Alternate Universe: Human Spaceflight Without NASA? In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <3FD6D0A0.3080508@barrera.org> Giu1i0 Pri5c0 wrote: > Re: [extropy-chat] Alternate Universe: I think you mean "future history" > popular books, figures rich entrepreneurs like Amazon.com founder > Jeff Bezos should lead the way to the Moon and Mars, with NASA I think you mean "D. D. Harriman" - RAH From dirk at neopax.com Wed Dec 10 08:49:29 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 08:49:29 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] the true meaning of christmas References: <20031209012001.689.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> <00d601c3bdfb$c5718ce0$af994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <016501c3befa$861db0a0$4a7b6951@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Damien Broderick" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Tuesday, December 09, 2003 2:25 AM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] the true meaning of christmas > > ----- Original Message ----- > From: "Mike Lorrey" > Sent: Monday, December 08, 2003 7:20 PM > > > If the EU really wanted to stick it > > to the church, they should have the guts to make Saturday the official > > day of rest and have the work week start on Sunday.... > > Hey! What about us Wodan-worshippers? Damn right! We want Wednesday off! Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From dirk at neopax.com Wed Dec 10 08:56:23 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 08:56:23 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Computing in 2004--and Beyond References: <3FD4D70B.70305@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> Message-ID: <017801c3befb$7ccc7a30$4a7b6951@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "BillK" To: Sent: Monday, December 08, 2003 7:54 PM Subject: [extropy-chat] Computing in 2004--and Beyond > PC World magazine has a look into the future - > > > How will the PC change during the coming year? The next five years? We > consult the experts and come up with answers. > > Highlights: > > According to IDC, flat-panel display shipments will surpass those of > tubes for the first time in 2004. > > Rumors abound that Tejas, Intel's successor to Prescott, will debut near > the end of 2004 with speeds from 5 to 7 GHz. > > Moore's law--the concept that chip performance will double every 18 > months or so--is alive and well. Researchers are just beginning to build > chips with circuits only 65nm wide, and IBM and AMD are among those > working to develop a 45nm process. Intel envisions paring that to 22nm > by the year 2011. > > "The PCs we'll buy just three years from now will have features, user > interfaces, and expansion options that are radically different from > those in the systems we're using today," predicts Microprocessor > Report's Glaskowsky. Well, I already know the basic specs of my next system (about 3yrs away). 10GHz 64 bit CPU, 1TB of mass storage, 16GB RAM etc Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From scerir at libero.it Wed Dec 10 11:19:36 2003 From: scerir at libero.it (scerir) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 12:19:36 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] the true meaning of christmas References: <20031209012001.689.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com><00d601c3bdfb$c5718ce0$af994a43@texas.net> <016501c3befa$861db0a0$4a7b6951@artemis> Message-ID: <001001c3bf0f$7f54e2b0$82b01b97@administxl09yj> No, Sunday or any other day, is definitely out of question, there is nothing in the UE Constitution paper - last draft version. :-) From eugen at leitl.org Wed Dec 10 10:59:59 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 11:59:59 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: <5.2.1.1.2.20031209160927.020d5518@mail.gmu.edu> References: <00ba01c3be6b$27f6a700$6400a8c0@brainiac> <5.2.1.1.2.20031209160927.020d5518@mail.gmu.edu> Message-ID: <20031210105958.GF4452@leitl.org> On Tue, Dec 09, 2003 at 04:20:15PM -0500, Robin Hanson wrote: > I agree this is a huge problem, but you say "diluted" as if you think the > situation was ever any different. It seems to me that this is the way it > has always been. Science and technology is getting progressively complicated, people are less and less willing to work hard, media give voice to everybody. This is a comparatively new problem, and, yes, it's getting worse. (This doesn't apply globally, new players are yet unaffected). Did you ever try to hire somebody under 30 in SoCal? It's an interesting experience. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From eugen at leitl.org Wed Dec 10 11:24:32 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 12:24:32 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] EUGEN: What happened to Genes screeds? In-Reply-To: <20031209193514.33762.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> References: <20031209072732.GA4452@leitl.org> <20031209193514.33762.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20031210112432.GH4452@leitl.org> On Tue, Dec 09, 2003 at 11:35:14AM -0800, Mike Lorrey wrote: > > Posting doesn't get anything done, and I do have a life these days. > > It's very possible that I'll be gone (virtually, for good?) in a few > > months. > > WHAT? What is up? There are 24 h in a day. Minus 8 h sleep, minus commute, minus family. Minus work, because email at work is a good way of not getting anything done. Sleeping less is not an option, neither not working, neither neglecting the family. The arithmetic is really quite simple. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From gpmap at runbox.com Wed Dec 10 11:26:26 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 11:26:26 GMT Subject: [extropy-chat] Alternate Universe: Human Spaceflight Without NASA? Message-ID: No, D. D. Harriman is a fictional character. The article mantions some real people (Bezos, one of the founders of PayPal, plus others), who want to found and fund private space ventures. I loved Heinlein's novel with Harriman (forgot the name) but I think today is a bit naive to think that space can be developmed ONLY with private funds without government involvement. Synergy is the key. > Giu1i0 Pri5c0 wrote: > > > Re: [extropy-chat] Alternate Universe: > > I think you mean "future history" > > > popular books, figures rich entrepreneurs like Amazon.com founder > > Jeff Bezos should lead the way to the Moon and Mars, with NASA > > I think you mean "D. D. Harriman" > > - RAH From dirk at neopax.com Wed Dec 10 11:42:17 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 11:42:17 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About References: <00ba01c3be6b$27f6a700$6400a8c0@brainiac><5.2.1.1.2.20031209160927.020d5518@mail.gmu.edu> <20031210105958.GF4452@leitl.org> Message-ID: <045701c3bf12$aaabacc0$4a7b6951@artemis> > I agree this is a huge problem, but you say "diluted" as if you think the > situation was ever any different. It seems to me that this is the way it > has always been. Science and technology is getting progressively complicated, people are less and less willing to work hard, media give voice to everybody. This is a comparatively new problem, and, yes, it's getting worse. (This doesn't apply globally, new players are yet unaffected). Did you ever try to hire somebody under 30 in SoCal? It's an interesting experience. ___ Part of the 'problem' is that science and technology is not only harder than the pseudosciences but getting weirder as well. It's a clash of religions. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From alito at organicrobot.com Wed Dec 10 12:02:40 2003 From: alito at organicrobot.com (Alejandro Dubrovsky) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 22:02:40 +1000 Subject: [extropy-chat] EUGEN: What happened to Genes screeds? In-Reply-To: <20031210112432.GH4452@leitl.org> References: <20031209072732.GA4452@leitl.org> <20031209193514.33762.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> <20031210112432.GH4452@leitl.org> Message-ID: <1071057760.6250.118.camel@alito.homeip.net> On Wed, 2003-12-10 at 21:24, Eugen Leitl wrote: > On Tue, Dec 09, 2003 at 11:35:14AM -0800, Mike Lorrey wrote: > > > > Posting doesn't get anything done, and I do have a life these days. > > > It's very possible that I'll be gone (virtually, for good?) in a few > > > months. > > > > WHAT? What is up? > > There are 24 h in a day. Minus 8 h sleep, minus commute, minus family. > Minus work, because email at work is a good way of not getting anything > done. > > Sleeping less is not an option, neither not working, neither neglecting > the family. > > The arithmetic is really quite simple. > There's no need for absolutist measures here though. Ignore rabid arguments, ignore what you deem as stupidity and arrogance, and your wasted email time drops by >90%. alejandro (trying to practice what i preach (especially about preaching less, and obviously failing)) From eugen at leitl.org Wed Dec 10 12:14:28 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 13:14:28 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] EUGEN: What happened to Genes screeds? In-Reply-To: <1071057760.6250.118.camel@alito.homeip.net> References: <20031209072732.GA4452@leitl.org> <20031209193514.33762.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> <20031210112432.GH4452@leitl.org> <1071057760.6250.118.camel@alito.homeip.net> Message-ID: <20031210121428.GQ4452@leitl.org> On Wed, Dec 10, 2003 at 10:02:40PM +1000, Alejandro Dubrovsky wrote: > There's no need for absolutist measures here though. Ignore rabid > arguments, ignore what you deem as stupidity and arrogance, and your > wasted email time drops by >90%. I'm doing that; it's just I titrate the mail volume to saturation. I'm going to start dropping several lists as soon as I'm through with the backlog. > alejandro (trying to practice what i preach (especially about preaching > less, and obviously failing)) I wonder what Anders is doing right now. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Wed Dec 10 12:30:42 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 23:30:42 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About References: <00ba01c3be6b$27f6a700$6400a8c0@brainiac> <5.2.1.1.2.20031209160927.020d5518@mail.gmu.edu> <20031210105958.GF4452@leitl.org> <045701c3bf12$aaabacc0$4a7b6951@artemis> Message-ID: <013701c3bf19$6d56d280$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Dirk Bruere wrote: > Part of the 'problem' is that science and technology is not only > harder than the pseudosciences but getting weirder as well. > It's a clash of religions. Science (and technology) as religion. Surely not? Brett From extropy at audry2.com Wed Dec 10 14:28:39 2003 From: extropy at audry2.com (Major) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 22:28:39 +0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Stealing organs finally a crime... In-Reply-To: <003301c3bec9$b12b3a50$6501a8c0@SHELLY> (spike66@comcast.net) References: <003301c3bec9$b12b3a50$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <200312101428.hBAESds13994@igor.synonet.com> > Of course. I have a friend whose job it was to meet with > African immigrant families to explain to them that it is > illegal in this country to do female circumcision, not to > mention cruel and ill-advised. I have often inquired why > she has no counterpart arguing the same for the male children. Probably because while male circumcision may be cruel and ill-advised it is nowhere near as cruel or ill-advised as the so-called female circumcision (which is usually clitorectomy in practice). Major PS: I am old enough to have been circumcised at birth on medical advice (apparently it didn't use to be ill-advised 8-). From bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk Wed Dec 10 13:53:07 2003 From: bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk (BillK) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 13:53:07 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation Message-ID: <3FD72543.7080001@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> On Tue Dec 09, 2003 10:21 am Henrique Moraes Machado wrote: > The transports need a revolution. When we had only horses, the trains > were revolutionary. Then the automobiles and finally airplanes. > Nothing new since then. And there goes one hundred years. > Of course there has been much improvement in 100 years. Automobiles are much improved from the Model T Ford. Current research seems to be aiming towards driverless (automatic-controlled) cars. The 747 compares well with the Wright brothers craft and also flies on auto-pilot for most of the time. And existing technologies are finding more useful areas. We have escalators to climb staircases. We have travelators (moving pavements) at airports, The Paris Metro has the worlds fastest beltway at 9 km/hour. Skyscrapers have incredibly fast lifts nowadays. In UK and Europe, electric urban Light Rail systems are becoming popular in cities. They are cheaper to build than underground rail systems and can follow the existing road system. They have priority over road traffic, so are not delayed by traffic jams. We have monorail suspended rail systems and maglev 'floating' rail systems. Container ships and huge lorries have revolutionised freight transport. And the Segway, of course! For more ideas, see: BillK From eugen at leitl.org Wed Dec 10 13:55:40 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 14:55:40 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] British Royal Society Workshop Commentary In-Reply-To: <200312081943.hB8JheA10797@finney.org> References: <200312081943.hB8JheA10797@finney.org> Message-ID: <20031210135539.GY4452@leitl.org> On Mon, Dec 08, 2003 at 11:43:40AM -0800, Hal Finney wrote: > I'd suggest that what we need today are works that get criticized. > Criticism is how science advances. Avoiding criticism, such as by > the tactic I discussed earlier of shifting the burden of proof, is a > counter-productive strategy which must be abandoned. Your critic is > your best friend. The most critical area of machine-phase system is mechanosynthesis. (Not tribo- and piezochemistry & Co, something like ) (An exhaustive search would require several queries. If anyone would want to compile an exhaustive list on the state of the art in experimental manipulative proximal probe for chemical bond breaking and formation I'd appreciate if you'd post the list here). Due to lack of control at the tip the state of the art is necessarily crude, and will remain so until we can build intricate nanostructures by whatever means. Then, suddenly, you fall into the bootstrap loop, and generate lots of fancy papers, eventually resulting in a full self-rep closure device, after which everybody goes wild, and produces lots of completely novel designs we yet have no idea of. Because of this machine-phase chemistry/mechanosynthesis is limited to computational chemistry, which is still not regarded as a real science by the synthetic chemist (at times people actually do publish bogus results, which are difficult to falsify in absence of experimental validation). In a nutshell, this is why you don't get a lot of comments on Drexler/Merkle nanotechnology from experts outside of the circle. This is why it appears so sterile/snake oily to the established science. Which is why we're most likely to see bootstrap initiated from the biopolymer/synthetic people, which don't have such handicap, and have large budgets, being prolific. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From gregburch at gregburch.net Wed Dec 10 14:53:57 2003 From: gregburch at gregburch.net (Greg Burch) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 08:53:57 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] POL: Gerrymandering and Geometry: A Tiling Problem? In-Reply-To: <3FD72543.7080001@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> Message-ID: This will be largely of interest to U.S. subscribers, since it is premised on a provision of the U.S. Constitution. Listening to a piece on NPR this morning about the on-going battles over Congresssional redistricting in the wake of the 2000 census, I was struck by the idea that Congressional redistricting can be viewed as a classic tiling problem. Article I, Sec. 2 of the Constitution calls for the (partially) proportional division of seats in the House of Representatives according to population. (The caveat arises from the fact that each state must have at least one seat, and some states don't have enough population to qualify for that according to a nation-wide even apportionment.) This provision has been ammended and fine-tuned over the years, and has now resulted in both a complex mathematical problem, and a political problem. A very good resource explaining the process can be found at: http://www.census.gov/population/www/censusdata/apportionment.html Now, state legislatures are given the task of redrawing congressional district lines to apportion seats according to population within a state. This becomes a partisan political opportunity that has come to have the name "gerrymandering" for historical reasons, in which the majority party in the state legislature draws the geographic boundaries of the congressional districts to try to maximize the number of national congressional seats their party can garner. Here's my question: is it possible to devise an algorithm that would create an ideal tiling based on the restraint of having the same number of voters in each district, given an uneven geographic distribution of voters, but MINIMIZING the ratio of the surface area of each tile (congressional district) to its defining border and perhaps also minimizing the number or negative angles in the shape of the border? Here's a chance to implement the idea discussed in Max More's recent essay about trying to employ reason to improve political processes. Greg Burch My blog: http://www.gregburch.net/burchismo.html From rhanson at gmu.edu Wed Dec 10 15:08:50 2003 From: rhanson at gmu.edu (Robin Hanson) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 10:08:50 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] POL: Gerrymandering and Geometry: A Tiling Problem? In-Reply-To: References: <3FD72543.7080001@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> Message-ID: <5.2.1.1.2.20031210100116.016c7168@mail.gmu.edu> On 12/10/2003, Greg Burch wrote: >Here's my question: is it possible to devise an algorithm that would >create an ideal tiling based on the restraint of having the same number of >voters in each district, given an uneven geographic distribution of >voters, but MINIMIZING the ratio of the surface area of each tile >(congressional district) to its defining border and perhaps also >minimizing the number or negative angles in the shape of the border? There is a large literature on this in political science. See for example http://data.fas.harvard.edu/micah_altman/papers/complexv1_1.pdf http://www.hmdc.harvard.edu/micah_altman/papers/com_sim2_1.pdf (which are from Rutgers Computer and Technology Law Journal 23(1):81-142 and Political Geography 17(8):989-1012.) The answer is yes, it is quite possible. Two criticisms are usually offered of this approach. 1) There are lots of different "objective" algorithms possible, and you'd move the political battle up a level to pick which one. 2) "Judgement" is always needed, so we can't just trust a machine. I find these arguments unpersuasive. Robin Hanson rhanson at gmu.edu http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-4444 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323 From bradbury at aeiveos.com Wed Dec 10 15:50:31 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 07:50:31 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] EUGEN: What happened to Genes screeds? In-Reply-To: <20031210121428.GQ4452@leitl.org> Message-ID: On Wed, 10 Dec 2003, Eugen Leitl wrote: > I wonder what Anders is doing right now. >From his most recent email to me... : Im at the EuroNanoForum in Trieste right now, so this is a bit brief. Back : on Friday, after I have defended the societal and policy effects of : nanomedicine. R. From scerir at libero.it Wed Dec 10 16:00:37 2003 From: scerir at libero.it (scerir) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 17:00:37 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] MIT, nuclear vs green References: <00ba01c3be6b$27f6a700$6400a8c0@brainiac><5.2.1.1.2.20031209160927.020d5518@mail.gmu.edu><20031210105958.GF4452@leitl.org><045701c3bf12$aaabacc0$4a7b6951@artemis> <013701c3bf19$6d56d280$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: <001201c3bf36$c112cd80$6eb51b97@administxl09yj> an intoduction: http://www.physicstoday.org/vol-56/iss-12/p34.html the doc: http://www.mit.edu/afs/athena/org/n/nuclearpower/ From thespike at earthlink.net Wed Dec 10 16:12:09 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 10:12:09 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] EUGEN: What happened to Anders? References: <20031209072732.GA4452@leitl.org><20031209193514.33762.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com><20031210112432.GH4452@leitl.org><1071057760.6250.118.camel@alito.homeip.net> <20031210121428.GQ4452@leitl.org> Message-ID: <00d001c3bf38$5f99e1e0$96994a43@texas.net> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Eugen Leitl" Sent: Wednesday, December 10, 2003 6:14 AM >I wonder what Anders is doing right now. He's in Trieste at a nano conference. Damien Broderick From thespike at earthlink.net Wed Dec 10 16:24:12 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 10:24:12 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Anders the wonder boy References: <20031209072732.GA4452@leitl.org><20031209193514.33762.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com><20031210112432.GH4452@leitl.org><1071057760.6250.118.camel@alito.homeip.net><20031210121428.GQ4452@leitl.org> <00d001c3bf38$5f99e1e0$96994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <011101c3bf3a$0d8c1b00$96994a43@texas.net> Robert and I both just reported that Anders is in Trieste at a nano conference. Meanwhile, here's the latest contribution from our amazingly multi-talented friend: http://home.neo.rr.com/cosmosbooks/dimensions.jpg The cover art is by Anders; I think it's beautiful. (The book itself will be out shortly, I'll say more then.) Damien Broderick From mlorrey at yahoo.com Wed Dec 10 16:27:21 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 08:27:21 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: <00e401c3bed8$6c2ae630$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <20031210162721.67296.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> --- Harvey Newstrom wrote: > Mike Lorrey wrote, > > Rafal is right, and the "2,500" scientists you said signed > > onto the Climat Change report were most definitely NOT all > > climatologists, or even hard scientists. A lot of them were > > sociologists, psychologists, and other people completely > > unqualified to judge. > > I never mentioned 2,500 scientists or the Climate Change report. I > don't > believe that petitions and voting are a means to scientific truths. Well, you did mention that "Most reputable scientists believe that the earth is warming and that humans are accelerating this" and you did agree with the writer of the article that did specify a 2,500 figure and the Climate Change report. Unfortunately, it does not seem that the truth is with you today. We now have a smoking gun that proves the non-anthropic origins of global warming: http://www.space.com/scienceastronomy/mars_ice-age_031208.html This study, showing that global warming is ALSO occuring on Mars, blows all claims of anthropogenic global warming out of the water. What are the odds, do you think, that two adjacent planets could BOTH be undergoing global warming from entirely different causes? Pretty thin odds, I would say, and I think that Occam agrees with me. Especially if there is a solar cause to this, then Earth would be experiencing four times as much warming as Mars would. In any event, I think that the looters backing the UN report are going to have to figure out some rather extreme method of blaming Martian global warming on human beings. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From max at maxmore.com Wed Dec 10 16:35:33 2003 From: max at maxmore.com (Max More) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 10:35:33 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] POL: Gerrymandering and Geometry: A Tiling Problem? In-Reply-To: <5.2.1.1.2.20031210100116.016c7168@mail.gmu.edu> References: <3FD72543.7080001@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031210103222.04b3bd28@mail.earthlink.net> At 09:08 AM 12/10/2003, Robin wrote: >The answer is yes, it is quite possible. Two criticisms are usually >offered of this approach. >1) There are lots of different "objective" algorithms possible, and you'd >move the political battle up a level to pick which one. >2) "Judgement" is always needed, so we can't just trust a machine. >I find these arguments unpersuasive. Robin, why do you find the first criticism unpersuasive? Is it because you see one algorithm as clearly the best? Or because all good contenders are *equally* good and so it doesn't matter which one you pick? Or some other reason? I'm especially curious about this because, if this *is* an issue with a clear technical solution, we should publicize it. Thanks, Max _______________________________________________________ Max More, Ph.D. max at maxmore.com or more at extropy.org http://www.maxmore.com Strategic Philosopher Chairman, Extropy Institute. http://www.extropy.org _______________________________________________________ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Wed Dec 10 16:35:37 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 08:35:37 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: <02eb01c3bee6$8e073b60$d8994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <20031210163537.51213.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> --- Damien Broderick wrote: > > ----- Original Message ----- > From: "Harvey Newstrom" > Sent: Tuesday, December 09, 2003 10:45 PM > > > There is no doubt that the globe is actually warming. If you want > > to argue whether humans are causing it or whether it is a natural > > cycle, that is a different argument. > > In Oz: > > http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/common/story_page/0,5744,8118124%255E27 > 02,00.html > > Average yearly temperatures are projected to rise by as much as 2C > across the nation by 2030, and 6C by 2070, according to an Australian > Greenhouse Office report into global warming - triggering more > natural disasters and crippling water shortages. This claim exposes the lie. Since ALL of the claimed warming is happening at the poles, this means that the temperature differential between the equator and the poles will be reduced, not increased. Such a reduced thermocline ALWAYS results in LESS severe storms, not more severe storms. This is supported by a century of records of cyclonic activity, showing that there were twice as many severe storms in the first half of the 20th century vs the second half. THe government lies to justify higher taxes for spending on totalitarian "disaster preparedness" ministries. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Wed Dec 10 16:39:19 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 08:39:19 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] EUGEN: What happened to Genes screeds? In-Reply-To: <20031210112432.GH4452@leitl.org> Message-ID: <20031210163919.69461.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> --- Eugen Leitl wrote: > On Tue, Dec 09, 2003 at 11:35:14AM -0800, Mike Lorrey wrote: > > > > Posting doesn't get anything done, and I do have a life these > days. > > > It's very possible that I'll be gone (virtually, for good?) in a > few > > > months. > > > > WHAT? What is up? > > There are 24 h in a day. Minus 8 h sleep, minus commute, minus > family. > Minus work, because email at work is a good way of not getting > anything done. > > Sleeping less is not an option, neither not working, neither > neglecting the family. > > The arithmetic is really quite simple. Oh, you seemed to be talking about something fatal.... ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Wed Dec 10 16:41:40 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 08:41:40 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Alternate Universe: Human Spaceflight Without NASA? In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031210164140.32055.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> --- Giu1i0 Pri5c0 wrote: > No, D. D. Harriman is a fictional character. The article mantions > some real people (Bezos, one of the founders of PayPal, plus others), > who want to found and fund private space ventures. I loved Heinlein's > novel with Harriman (forgot the name) but I think today is a bit > naive to think that space can be developmed ONLY with private funds > without government involvement. Synergy is the key. Well, there actually is a wealthy family named Harriman. DD's scheme of advertising was where he raised the key money. For example, a well known cola company offered him a huge amount to have their logo emblazoned on the moon for everyone to see, but their competitor paid him twice as much to NOT do it. THAT is salesmanship... ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From rhanson at gmu.edu Wed Dec 10 16:44:42 2003 From: rhanson at gmu.edu (Robin Hanson) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 11:44:42 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] POL: Gerrymandering and Geometry: A Tiling Problem? In-Reply-To: <5.1.0.14.2.20031210103222.04b3bd28@mail.earthlink.net> References: <5.2.1.1.2.20031210100116.016c7168@mail.gmu.edu> <3FD72543.7080001@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> Message-ID: <5.2.1.1.2.20031210113840.02009480@mail.gmu.edu> On 12/10/2003, Max More wrote: >>The answer is yes, it is quite possible. Two criticisms are usually >>offered of this approach. >>1) There are lots of different "objective" algorithms possible, and you'd >>move the political battle up a level to pick which one. >>2) "Judgement" is always needed, so we can't just trust a machine. >>I find these arguments unpersuasive. > >Robin, why do you find the first criticism unpersuasive? Is it because >you see one algorithm as clearly the best? Or because all good contenders >are *equally* good and so it doesn't matter which one you pick? Or some >other reason? Yes, pretty much any of them is better than the current system. Once we pick a rule, we don't need to change it again for a long time, and we avoid the incumbency advantage that now exists. >I'm especially curious about this because, if this *is* an issue with a >clear technical solution, we should publicize it. Another related technical solution is approval voting. This is where you can vote for as many or as few candidates as you want, and the person with the most votes wins. This nicely lets you vote for people who have a low chance of winning, without having to worry about "throwing away your vote." Since it would give third parties a better chance, it is opposed by the main two parties. Robin Hanson rhanson at gmu.edu http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-4444 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323 From mlorrey at yahoo.com Wed Dec 10 17:01:31 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 09:01:31 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] POL: Gerrymandering and Geometry: A Tiling Problem? In-Reply-To: <5.2.1.1.2.20031210113840.02009480@mail.gmu.edu> Message-ID: <20031210170131.81460.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> --- Robin Hanson wrote: > > Yes, pretty much any of them is better than the current system. > Once we pick a rule, we don't need to change it again for a long > time, and we avoid the incumbency advantage that now exists. Well, you only avoid it for the next election. > Another related technical solution is approval voting. This is where > you can vote for as many or as few candidates as you want, and the > person with the most votes wins. This nicely lets you vote for > people who have a low chance of winning, without having to worry > about "throwing away your vote." Since it would give third parties > a better chance, it is opposed by the main two parties. Well, we used this, the Condorcet's Method, in the FSP election, which resulted in 95%+ of the members being happy with the results, so I must say that this is a good method to use, at least in terms of allowing most voters to feel like they had a real voice. Another method that can be used is multi-seat districts. Here in NH, these became far more widespread when the State Supreme Court redistricted after the parties couldn't agree in 2002. If you live in a four seat district, you get four votes. In many cases we've found that the two parties can't seem to get enough people for all four slots (or whaterver number there are in the district) on their ballots and this allows third party candidates to get written in or petitioned into the ballot as 'fusion' candidates. 59 candidates in the last State House election got elected as fusion candidates. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From joe at barrera.org Wed Dec 10 17:31:02 2003 From: joe at barrera.org (Joseph S. Barrera III) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 09:31:02 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Alternate Universe: Human Spaceflight Without NASA? In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <3FD75856.2070901@barrera.org> Giu1i0 Pri5c0 wrote: > No, D. D. Harriman is a fictional character. I know :-) > The article mantions some real people (Bezos, one of the founders of > PayPal, plus others), who want to found and fund private space > ventures. I loved Heinlein's novel with Harriman (forgot the name) The Man Who Sold The Moon It's just fun sometimes seeing life imitating books I read as a kid, at least if you squint a bit. Chinese space program (and Prozac) => Vonnegut Stealing organs => Niven Your name (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) => Bester (or Schultz) - Joe :-) From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Wed Dec 10 18:22:11 2003 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (Kevin Freels) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 12:22:11 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About References: <009501c3bea7$5304df70$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: I don't remember where I read this, but maybe it was here: There has been some recent speculation that the overall trend in global warming is part of a variation in orbital cycles that seem to repeat every 22,000 years, and 100,000 years. This had to do with the total irridiation of the planet at higher latitudes. With more irridiation, came less ice. Less ice meant more CO2, and more warming in a positive feedback loop. The reverse was also shown. I am pulling this from the faintest sector of my memory, so I'm not sure how correct this summation is. Does anyone else here remember posting such a message? ----- Original Message ----- From: "Harvey Newstrom" To: "'ExI chat list'" Sent: Tuesday, December 09, 2003 4:53 PM Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About > Mike Lorrey wrote, > > I am sorry, Harvey, but global warming does not deserve to be > > included in this. > > I disagree. Most reputable scientists believe that the earth is warming and > that humans are accelerating this. There are only a small percentage of > scientists who dispute this, and they seem to be right-wing extremists or > funded by big energy corporations. > > -- > Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC > Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, > NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC > > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Wed Dec 10 18:26:39 2003 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (Kevin Freels) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 12:26:39 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About References: <009601c3bea8$2277b700$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: Is this because of increases in the costs of research, or a general apathy towards politics and business on the part of research scientists? ----- Original Message ----- From: "Harvey Newstrom" To: "'ExI chat list'" Sent: Tuesday, December 09, 2003 4:59 PM Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About > Robin Hanson wrote, > > I agree this is a huge problem, but you say "diluted" as if > > you think the situation was ever any different. It seems to > > me that this is the way it has always been. > > I disagree. Things are different than they used to be. University studies > are supported by specific corporations now. Discoveries are proprietary and > patented instead of peer-reviewed. More money is spent on lawyers to > prevent flaws from being exposed rather than confirmation studies being > performed. Corporate fraud has moved into the realms of computer science > and biology more than ever before. Areas of research that used to be purely > scientific are now overrun with corporate lawyers, politicians, ethics > advisors, and a whole host of non-technical people trying to control > technology that they don't understand. Doctors used to make medical > decisions, now non-medical professionals in HMOs do. Scientists used to > direct research, now corporate boards of directors do. Researchers used to > choose research paths, now venture capitalists do. The control and > (mis)representation of technology has shifted from the scientists to the > eco-political realm. This shift is new and has completely changed the > dynamic of how science is done. > > -- > Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC > Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, > NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC > > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From rhanson at gmu.edu Wed Dec 10 18:28:53 2003 From: rhanson at gmu.edu (Robin Hanson) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 13:28:53 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: <009601c3bea8$2277b700$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> References: <5.2.1.1.2.20031209160927.020d5518@mail.gmu.edu> Message-ID: <5.2.1.1.2.20031210114538.01fe7b90@mail.gmu.edu> On 12/9/2003, Harvey Newstrom wrote: >People ... act like they are experts and they have no real concept >of how science or the underlying technology really work. ... >there are more faux experts than real experts in the public >spotlight today. ... The world of science is being diluted with >pseudoscience, and it is very difficult for the laypeople to tell >the difference. ... I responded: >I agree this is a huge problem, but you say "diluted" as if you think the >situation was ever any different. It seems to me that this is the way it >has always been. On 12/9/2003 Harvey Newstrom responded: >I disagree. Things are different than they used to be. Yes of course things are different than they used to be in many specific ways. The question is whether there is an overall trend. >University studies >are supported by specific corporations now. Discoveries are proprietary and >patented instead of peer-reviewed. More money is spent on lawyers to >prevent flaws from being exposed rather than confirmation studies being >performed. These are not about fake versus real experts. >Corporate fraud has moved into the realms of computer science >and biology more than ever before. There didn't used to be any computer science, so of course there wasn't fraud there. >Areas of research that used to be purely >scientific are now overrun with corporate lawyers, politicians, ethics >advisors, and a whole host of non-technical people trying to control >technology that they don't understand. And areas that used to be overrun are now left more alone. Which areas are of wider interest changes over time. >Doctors used to make medical >decisions, now non-medical professionals in HMOs do. But this isn't a matter of fake experts. The HMO people are typically expert enough for the decisions they make. And so on. Really, aren't you familiar with the "back in my day things were better, now the world is going to hell in a hand basket" stereotype? Such claims are usually backed up by a list of specific complaints about the world today. But what is missing is whether a similar list of complaints could have been made in the past. Not the exact same complaints of course, but similarly negative ones. Without evidence on this, you don't have relevant evidence. Robin Hanson rhanson at gmu.edu http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-4444 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323 From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Wed Dec 10 18:37:17 2003 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (Kevin Freels) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 12:37:17 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Global Warming (was: Doubt and About) References: <00e501c3bed8$7a042050$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> <02eb01c3bee6$8e073b60$d8994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: Regarding the trend in global warming, I was wondering how MNT can be used to control climate and weather. Would it be in the form of a self-assembling heat-sink that could change into a giant magnifying glass? Or something else entirely? I'm completely ata loss here, but surely it could be done. Maybe if things start heating up and there is a ready possible solution in MNT, more funding would be available. ----- Original Message ----- From: "Damien Broderick" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Wednesday, December 10, 2003 12:26 AM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About > > ----- Original Message ----- > From: "Harvey Newstrom" > Sent: Tuesday, December 09, 2003 10:45 PM > > > There is no doubt that the globe is actually warming. If you want to > > argue whether humans are causing it or whether it is a natural cycle, that > > is a different argument. > > In Oz: > > http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/common/story_page/0,5744,8118124%255E27 > 02,00.html > > Average yearly temperatures are projected to rise by as much as 2C across > the nation by 2030, and 6C by 2070, according to an Australian Greenhouse > Office report into global warming - triggering more natural disasters and > crippling water shortages. > > The number of very hot summer days, with temperatures soaring above 35C, > could double in most capital cities. > > The 240-page assessment, to be released today by Environment Minister David > Kemp at a UN summit on climate change in Italy, says Australia will need to > make major changes to adapt to the hotter weather that will be induced by > global warming due to the greenhouse effect. > > The trend in Australian temperatures since 1950 is now matching climate > model simulations of how temperatures respond to increased greenhouse gases > in the atmosphere, the report says. > > It is likely the 1990s was the warmest decade in the past 1000 years, at > least in the northern hemisphere. > > To cope with climate change, the report warns that Australians must use less > water, change the types of crops grown by farmers, revise engineering > standards and rezone land to prevent flooding. > > Farmers are at high risk of losing money due to the increased frequency of > bad years, especially droughts, in parts of Australia within the next 20 to > 50 years. > > And Queensland's tourism industry could suffer as warmer water bleaches the > corals in the World Heritage-listed Great Barrier Reef. > > [etc, and of course that's a gummit report so we know we can ignore it] > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From rafal at smigrodzki.org Wed Dec 10 21:49:16 2003 From: rafal at smigrodzki.org (Rafal Smigrodzki) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 13:49:16 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] The end of Exilist in sight? In-Reply-To: <3FD75856.2070901@barrera.org> Message-ID: Recently the TCS described antispam legislation (CANSPAM, due to be signed by the president soon) which would impose a 1000 $ fine for every unsolicited email received. Does it imply that just a few disgruntled Exi list users could destroy financially the ExI, if they were able to prove that posts forwarded by ExI were received against their wishes? Does the ExI have a sufficiently reliable procedure to establish and terminate a relationship with a member to prevent such legal attacks? Things like CANSPAM could really make you wonder... "What do they really want to achieve with this legislation?". Rafal From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Wed Dec 10 18:48:36 2003 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (Kevin Freels) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 12:48:36 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation References: <3FD72543.7080001@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> Message-ID: One roadblock I see is the fact that people love their cars. Until something comes along that people prefer over cars, I don't see much happening there. As far as air transportation goes, I would like to know if there are any statistics on the last 50 years for the maximum number of people that can be flown from one destinatin to the next in one day. Or the percentage of the world's population that has ready access to worldwide travel. It's just a hunch, but I bet we would see the improvements there. ----- Original Message ----- From: "BillK" To: Sent: Wednesday, December 10, 2003 7:53 AM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Communication vs transportation > On Tue Dec 09, 2003 10:21 am Henrique Moraes Machado wrote: > > The transports need a revolution. When we had only horses, the trains > > were revolutionary. Then the automobiles and finally airplanes. > > Nothing new since then. And there goes one hundred years. > > > > Of course there has been much improvement in 100 years. > Automobiles are much improved from the Model T Ford. > Current research seems to be aiming towards driverless > (automatic-controlled) cars. > > The 747 compares well with the Wright brothers craft and also flies on > auto-pilot for most of the time. > > And existing technologies are finding more useful areas. > > We have escalators to climb staircases. > We have travelators (moving pavements) at airports, > The Paris Metro has the worlds fastest beltway at 9 km/hour. > > > Skyscrapers have incredibly fast lifts nowadays. > > In UK and Europe, electric urban Light Rail systems are becoming popular > in cities. They are cheaper to build than underground rail systems and > can follow the existing road system. They have priority over road > traffic, so are not delayed by traffic jams. > > > We have monorail suspended rail systems and maglev 'floating' rail systems. > > Container ships and huge lorries have revolutionised freight transport. > > And the Segway, of course! > > For more ideas, see: > > > > BillK > > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From twodeel at jornada.org Wed Dec 10 18:59:42 2003 From: twodeel at jornada.org (Don Dartfield) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 10:59:42 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Global Warming (was: Doubt and About) In-Reply-To: Message-ID: On Wed, 10 Dec 2003, Kevin Freels wrote: > Regarding the trend in global warming, I was wondering how MNT can be > used to control climate and weather. Would it be in the form of a > self-assembling heat-sink that could change into a giant magnifying > glass? Or something else entirely? I'm completely ata loss here, but > surely it could be done. Maybe if things start heating up and there is a > ready possible solution in MNT, more funding would be available. How about a self-configuring orbiting mirror, perhaps, that reconfigures itself to reflect sunlight away from or towards the earth, depending on our needs? Or maybe one that directs additional sunlight to the poles to specifically warm them and average out the global temperatures, which, as Mike said, should calm down the weather. Unless for some reason we WANT big storms. From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Wed Dec 10 19:11:27 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 14:11:27 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: <007501c3bee2$d6bb6ec0$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: <00a701c3bf51$6c93d630$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Brett Paatsch wrote, > I don't so much disagree with you as think you are re-voicing > fuzzy generalisations as a result of frustration. I thought > if you homed in > a bit you might get better purchase and less frustration. That's cool. I totally missed your point. I thought when you were asking me to focus my point and provide more evidence that you thought I was totally unfounded. I agree that my worries are a fuzzy overview of a lot of issues thrown together. They certainly could use some more review to figure out exactly what and why we aren't as effective and popular as I think we should be. > Ok. But as extropes together or as individuals that just happen > to frequent the Exi list? The reason I ask is that I think > one of the > biggest questions is whether transhumanists should form a > political force. I do see merit in that proposition. I can > see good arguments for and against it. I thought that the WTA > might become a political organisation yet Exi might stay out > of politics and that might give the best of both worlds. This is one of the big questions. We often see ourselves as if we were think tanks, political activists, publicity organization, technological researchers, educational organizations, or something like that. But I haven't seen anybody actually produce a project plan with specific goals for any of these. Even all our organizations seem slightly ill-defined. Having a website and a mailing list does not make an organization effective. (And I am talking about a dozen organizations, not any particular one.) I think we haven't really defined our goals, and hence haven't been effective toward anything specifically. > I reckon that's a good question I think but its always a personal > one. Each of us should perhaps ask ourselves it but I doubt we > can answer for otheres. Do you think the Exi chat list > actually works as a sort of drug that steals our creative > juices or something? Actually, yes. Since time is the limiting factor for most people, anything that eats up a lot of time and produces little result is suspect. I sure wish we could get working groups going, like what node-net was going to be in the beginning. I would love to see working groups formed codify current methods into FAQs, how-to documents, and support infrastructures for: - life-extension diets - long-term investing - IT security - political activism - starting your own business - brainstorming solutions - developing AI - developing nanotech Where organizations already exist doing these things, we should have an representative from each to report what they are doing and how extropians can get involved an help. I guess what I really want to see is actual projects working on stuff instead of just talking about them. Our "projects" are just organizations with websites and mailing lists. We need project plans with requirements, goals, milestones, dates, and actual tasks being worked on and completed. I don't see that happening anywhere. If we only claimed to be a fan-club of technology, I would be happy. We are doing exactly what a fan-club should do. We discuss it and love it. But most of our websites claim that we are creating stuff, leading stuff, or developing future solutions. It is when we claim to be something we are not that I get frustrated. If we want to do all this stuff, then let's do it. If we don't want to do all this stuff, then let's stop pretending that we are doing it. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Wed Dec 10 19:11:42 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 14:11:42 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: <20031210162721.67296.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <00a801c3bf51$75943810$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Mike Lorrey wrote, > Unfortunately, it does not seem that the truth is with you > today. We now have a smoking gun that proves the > non-anthropic origins of global > warming: > http://www.space.com/scienceastronomy/mars_ice-age_031208.html I agree with you 100%. I am beginning to suspect that solar changes are causing solar-system-wide warming. You seem intent on proving that humans aren't to blame, while I am intent on proving that global warming is occurring. Both of us can be right without contradiction. I will gladly agree that global warming will occur whether humans are to blame or not. Do you now agree that global warming is actually occurring and that we have to deal with the consequences of it? Can we now accept this fact and start figuring out what to do as the ice slowly melts, oceans slowly rise, agricultural zones slowly shift, and coastlines slowly cover our coastal cities? -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Wed Dec 10 19:11:53 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 14:11:53 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: <003c01c3beea$ccf0be60$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <00a901c3bf51$7ba34660$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Spike wrote, > Harvey, I see your point, but for some of us, the extrolist is an idea > bank, where both deposits and withdrawals are made. I know you are > one who takes life very seriously, and we are lucky to have such as > these. The chat list for me is more of a drug > that *creates* creative juices. I know I am not making any > discoveries in life extension; most of us are not. But > having fun is itself > a life-extension device. Thinking is a life extension > device. For my part I will root for the guys doing actual > life extension, > and attempt to maximize fun while doing so. {8-] spike Let me clarify my point. I am not arguing for more science and less fun. I am arguing for more science and less pseudoscience. There is nothing wrong with having fun instead of doing science. What I am against is doing pseudoscience and calling it science because it is fun. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Wed Dec 10 19:12:05 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 14:12:05 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: <5.2.1.1.2.20031210114538.01fe7b90@mail.gmu.edu> Message-ID: <00aa01c3bf51$83504d40$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Robin Hanson wrote, > On 12/9/2003 Harvey Newstrom responded: > >I disagree. Things are different than they used to be. > > Yes of course things are different than they used to be in many > specific ways. The question is whether there is an overall trend. Of course. That is what we are discussing. I think it is a general trend. You apparently do not. > >University studies > >are supported by specific corporations now. Discoveries are > >proprietary and patented instead of peer-reviewed. More > money is spent > >on lawyers to prevent flaws from being exposed rather than > confirmation > >studies being performed. > > These are not about fake versus real experts. Real experts can take peer review and criticism to refine real theories. Only fake experts need to avoid peer review and use lawyers to stop people from pointing out their flaws. > >Corporate fraud has moved into the realms of computer science and > >biology more than ever before. > > There didn't used to be any computer science, so of course there > wasn't fraud there. This is silly. Of course I wasn't referring to a lack of computer fraud before there were computers. But in the early days of computer research, we didn't have the problem with vaporware, bogus claims, fraudulent products, and legal maneuvers to suppress the disclosure of flaws that we see today. These problems are currently getting worse instead of better. > >Areas of research that used to be purely > >scientific are now overrun with corporate lawyers, > politicians, ethics > >advisors, and a whole host of non-technical people trying to control > >technology that they don't understand. > > And areas that used to be overrun are now left more alone. Which areas > are of wider interest changes over time. Can you name an area that used to have this problem and now does not? I do not know of any politically charged area or area of pseudoscience that has been abandoned by the politicians and quacks. > >Doctors used to make medical > >decisions, now non-medical professionals in HMOs do. > > But this isn't a matter of fake experts. The HMO people are typically > expert enough for the decisions they make. I disagree. HMO accountants are NOT more qualified than my doctor to treat me! > And so on. > > Really, aren't you familiar with the "back in my day things were > better, now the world is going to hell in a hand basket" stereotype? Yes. Is that how you judge my arguments, on the basis of stereotypes? I am also familiar with the "things are getting better all the time so we don't have to worry" stereotype. There are stereotypes on all sides of every argument, and I don't find them useful in determining the truth. > Such claims are usually backed up by a list of > specific complaints about the world today. But what is > missing is whether a similar list of complaints could have > been made in the past. Not the exact same complaints of > course, but similarly negative ones. Without evidence on > this, you don't have relevant evidence. That's why I am giving examples from my fields of expertise. In biological research, computer science, and corporate auditing, it is clear that exaggeration of results is getting worse. You keep referencing stereotypes and how my claims are "usually" presented. You don't seem to be addressing the specifics of my statements as much as a general attitude that you seem to have lumped me into. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Wed Dec 10 19:12:16 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 14:12:16 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] POL: Gerrymandering and Geometry: A Tiling Problem? In-Reply-To: <5.2.1.1.2.20031210100116.016c7168@mail.gmu.edu> Message-ID: <00ab01c3bf51$88b734b0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Robin Hanson wrote, > 2) "Judgement" is always needed, so we can't just trust a > machine. I find these arguments unpersuasive. Actually, machines can't think yet. They only do what someone programs them to do. We can't trust voting machines, because we can't trust anonymous programmers behind them. However, trust is not necessary. Having open source which is review able by all will demonstrate what algorithm is being used and whether we trust it or not. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From wingcat at pacbell.net Wed Dec 10 19:21:48 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 11:21:48 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] The end of Exilist in sight? In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031210192148.15860.qmail@web80406.mail.yahoo.com> --- Rafal Smigrodzki wrote: > Recently the TCS described antispam legislation > (CANSPAM, due to be signed > by the president soon) which would impose a 1000 $ > fine for every > unsolicited email received. > > Does it imply that just a few disgruntled Exi list > users could destroy > financially the ExI, if they were able to prove that > posts forwarded by ExI > were received against their wishes? Does the ExI > have a sufficiently > reliable procedure to establish and terminate a > relationship with a member > to prevent such legal attacks? It's a well-established facet of email lists that, if you don't want to be on the list, there are clear and trustworthy ways of unsubscribing. (The lack of trustworthy methods - specifically, even if they offer "unsubscription" services, they smell of traps to confirm your email so as to resell it at higher value as a known live address - is one of the distinguishing facets of spammers. Part of the smell is the exclusively commercial aspect of their messages...and this list's messages are not exclusively commercial.) From natashavita at earthlink.net Wed Dec 10 19:27:24 2003 From: natashavita at earthlink.net (natashavita at earthlink.net) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 14:27:24 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Anders the wonder boy Message-ID: <87890-2200312310192724878@M2W048.mail2web.com> From: Damien Broderick http://home.neo.rr.com/cosmosbooks/dimensions.jpg The cover art is by Anders; I think it's beautiful. (The book itself will be out shortly, I'll say more then.) I just received an email from Anders this afternoon! He says he is "getting a lot of fun ideas" at the EuroNanoForum 2003 conference. Natasha -------------------------------------------------------------------- mail2web - Check your email from the web at http://mail2web.com/ . From mlorrey at yahoo.com Wed Dec 10 19:47:36 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 11:47:36 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031210194736.36870.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> I've posted this several times. They are called Malenkovich Cycles, and there are 22k, 60k and 100k cycles involved, plus you have short term 11, 22, and 60 year solar cycles that impact as well. In addition, you have a very long cycle related to our solar systems migration from galactic arm to galactic arm, which varies cosmic radiation hitting us significantly. --- Kevin Freels wrote: > I don't remember where I read this, but maybe it was here: > There has been some recent speculation that the overall trend in > global > warming is part of a variation in orbital cycles that seem to repeat > every > 22,000 years, and 100,000 years. This had to do with the total > irridiation > of the planet at higher latitudes. With more irridiation, came less > ice. > Less ice meant more CO2, and more warming in a positive feedback > loop. The > reverse was also shown. > I am pulling this from the faintest sector of my memory, so I'm not > sure how > correct this summation is. Does anyone else here remember posting > such a > message? > > ----- Original Message ----- > From: "Harvey Newstrom" > To: "'ExI chat list'" > Sent: Tuesday, December 09, 2003 4:53 PM > Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About > > > > Mike Lorrey wrote, > > > I am sorry, Harvey, but global warming does not deserve to be > > > included in this. > > > > I disagree. Most reputable scientists believe that the earth is > warming > and > > that humans are accelerating this. There are only a small > percentage of > > scientists who dispute this, and they seem to be right-wing > extremists or > > funded by big energy corporations. > > > > -- > > Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC > > Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec > Manager, > > NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified > GIAC > > > > > > > > _______________________________________________ > > extropy-chat mailing list > > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From aperick at centurytel.net Wed Dec 10 19:57:10 2003 From: aperick at centurytel.net (aperick at centurytel.net) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 11:57:10 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: <200312101131.hBABViH01106@tick.javien.com> Message-ID: <10530506.1071086257233.JavaMail.teamon@b112.teamon.com> Harvey Newstrom wrote: > I would like Extropians to ... , practice radical > life-extension techniques, sign up for cryonics, ... About cryonics: surely their must be a rather small window of time after death in which it is possible to determine how each cell process and synapse was functioning prior to death. Just how much of the random chemistry of death is required to relegate the former ego to the abyss? Radical life-extension techniques: I would like to see a web page devoted to sharing each person's favored techniques, with some explanation for each choice. Perhaps Harvey could start by sharing with us now his personal favorites list of "radical life-extension techniques." My apologies in advance for taxing your patience. From joe at barrera.org Wed Dec 10 20:18:23 2003 From: joe at barrera.org (Joseph S. Barrera III) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 12:18:23 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: <20031210194736.36870.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> References: <20031210194736.36870.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <3FD77F8F.1040704@barrera.org> Mike Lorrey wrote: >I've posted this several times. They are called Malenkovich Cycles, and >there are 22k, 60k and 100k cycles involved, plus you have short term >11, 22, and 60 year solar cycles that impact as well. In addition, you >have a very long cycle related to our solar systems migration from >galactic arm to galactic arm, which varies cosmic radiation hitting us >significantly. > > And don't forget Nemesis, which orbits every 26 million years. :-) - Joe From rafal at smigrodzki.org Thu Dec 11 00:12:59 2003 From: rafal at smigrodzki.org (Rafal Smigrodzki) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 16:12:59 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: <00e501c3bed8$7a042050$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: Harvey wrote: > Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About > > > Rafal wrote, >> ### Are you sure about this? Most reputable climate >> scientists profess to have insufficient knowledge about the >> degree of warming, if any, or the degree of human complicity, >> if any, to make any firm policy recommendations (except >> "Spend more on research"). > > Yes. There is no doubt that the globe is actually warming. If you > want to argue whether humans are causing it or whether it is a > natural cycle, that is a different argument. ### Then this is OK, I agree with you. Most scientists, as far as I know, will indeed say it's quite likely or maybe even proven that warming does occur. The only problem is when their limited and careful statements are being misused by non-scientists with an agenda, but admittedly it's a somewhat separate issue. Rafal From rafal at smigrodzki.org Thu Dec 11 00:19:23 2003 From: rafal at smigrodzki.org (Rafal Smigrodzki) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 16:19:23 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: <00a801c3bf51$75943810$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: Harvey wrote: > Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About > > > Mike Lorrey wrote, >> Unfortunately, it does not seem that the truth is with you >> today. We now have a smoking gun that proves the >> non-anthropic origins of global >> warming: >> http://www.space.com/scienceastronomy/mars_ice-age_031208.html > > I agree with you 100%. I am beginning to suspect that solar changes > are causing solar-system-wide warming. You seem intent on proving > that humans aren't to blame, while I am intent on proving that global > warming is occurring. Both of us can be right without contradiction. > > I will gladly agree that global warming will occur whether humans are > to blame or not. Do you now agree that global warming is actually > occurring and that we have to deal with the consequences of it? Can > we now accept this fact and start figuring out what to do as the ice > slowly melts, oceans slowly rise, agricultural zones slowly shift, > and coastlines slowly cover our coastal cities? ### But here we are, as far as I know, again leaving the area of scientific consensus. There is no agreement as to the likely scope of changes due to warming, and analyses of what would need to be done to prevent such putative outcomes are hypotheticals built on hypotheses. Indeed, in view of the positive agricultural effects of increased carbon dioxide, described in recent articles in Science and other journals, the best course of action might be not doing anything about warming in general, but rather dealing with the possibly quite limited, local deleterious side effects, if any. Rafal From mlorrey at yahoo.com Wed Dec 10 21:25:51 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 13:25:51 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: <00a801c3bf51$75943810$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <20031210212551.44124.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> --- Harvey Newstrom wrote: > Mike Lorrey wrote, > > Unfortunately, it does not seem that the truth is with you > > today. We now have a smoking gun that proves the > > non-anthropic origins of global > > warming: > > http://www.space.com/scienceastronomy/mars_ice-age_031208.html > > I agree with you 100%. I am beginning to suspect that solar changes > are causing solar-system-wide warming. You seem intent on proving > that humans aren't to blame, while I am intent on proving that > global warming is occurring. Both of us can be right without > contradiction. > > I will gladly agree that global warming will occur whether humans are > to blame or not. Do you now agree that global warming is actually > occurring and that we have to deal with the consequences of it? > Can we now accept this fact and start figuring out what to do as the > ice slowly melts, oceans slowly rise, agricultural zones slowly > shift, and coastlines slowly cover our coastal cities? I have not denied that there is some global warming occuring. I have repeatedly stated that evidence shows that humans are not in any way a significant culprit. The fact that those on the left insist on continuing to ignore the evidence and insist humans are to blame, and that this dovetails nicely with their socialist political agenday, implicates the intellectual honesty of their position. I also have to look at the trends in climate simulation. It seems like every new generation of climate simulation software results in ever smaller degrees of warming being predicted for the future. Where the alarms about ice cap collapse in 30 years were the norm among the chicken littles a decade ago, today the best predictions are saying 6 degrees C increase in the next century, when my cousins work in Antarctica proved that the last time the continent was free of ice, global temps were 15 degrees higher, and THAT was when the continent still had a land bridge to south america and there was no circumpolar wind or water currents causing thermal isolation. Given the time scales the best predictions are showing today, and the trend in them, I am not too concerned about doing anything about nonanthropic global warming for at least another decade. There seem to be some natural corrections occuring, namely the rising amount of precipitation in the Caspian Sea basin raising water levels there, as well as a thermal hole that opens up in the central pacific with regularity. It remains to be seen whether we really have anything to worry about. There is no sea level rise outside of the Caspian Basin that is occuring outside of tectonic subsidence lowering of land masses. By the time we really know what is going on, we will have the technology and the money to really do something about it. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From eugen at leitl.org Wed Dec 10 21:32:21 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 22:32:21 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] The end of Exilist in sight? In-Reply-To: <20031210192148.15860.qmail@web80406.mail.yahoo.com> References: <20031210192148.15860.qmail@web80406.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20031210213221.GI13099@leitl.org> On Wed, Dec 10, 2003 at 11:21:48AM -0800, Adrian Tymes wrote: > It's a well-established facet of email lists that, if > you don't want to be on the list, there are clear and > trustworthy ways of unsubscribing. (The lack of It's a well-established fact that there are always quite a few idiots who submit mailservers to RBLs. And, guess what, some even do it on purpose. > trustworthy methods - specifically, even if they > offer "unsubscription" services, they smell of traps > to confirm your email so as to resell it at higher > value as a known live address - is one of the > distinguishing facets of spammers. Part of the > smell is the exclusively commercial aspect of their > messages...and this list's messages are not > exclusively commercial.) It doesn't matter. Spam is a complex problem, there are no single simple solutions to it which work every time. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From eugen at leitl.org Wed Dec 10 21:41:52 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 22:41:52 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: <10530506.1071086257233.JavaMail.teamon@b112.teamon.com> References: <200312101131.hBABViH01106@tick.javien.com> <10530506.1071086257233.JavaMail.teamon@b112.teamon.com> Message-ID: <20031210214152.GK13099@leitl.org> On Wed, Dec 10, 2003 at 11:57:10AM -0800, aperick at centurytel.net wrote: > About cryonics: surely their must be a rather small window of time after > death in which it is possible to determine how each cell process and synapse > was functioning prior to death. Just how much of the random chemistry of > death is required to relegate the former ego to the abyss? Absolutely. An uncooled, unmedicated person in good shape dropping dead in his track at normal conditions has a somewhat variable, but very short window of viability. There's a threshold at which you can't load the tissue with adequate cryoprotectant concentration, thus resulting in a straightish freeze. Of course, this assumes that the suspension is conducted without major oopslas, which is not the norm. A best-case suspension is a euthanized person is good enough shape. These are currently very illegal, and very much not the norm. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From rhanson at gmu.edu Wed Dec 10 21:52:46 2003 From: rhanson at gmu.edu (Robin Hanson) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 16:52:46 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: <00aa01c3bf51$83504d40$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> References: <5.2.1.1.2.20031210114538.01fe7b90@mail.gmu.edu> Message-ID: <5.2.1.1.2.20031210164210.02022058@mail.gmu.edu> On 12/10/2003 Harvey Newstrom wrote: > >>University studies > >>are supported by specific corporations now. Discoveries are > >>proprietary and patented instead of peer-reviewed. More > >>money is spent on lawyers to prevent flaws from being exposed > >>rather than confirmation studies being performed. > > > > These are not about fake versus real experts. > >Real experts can take peer review and criticism to refine real theories. >Only fake experts need to avoid peer review and use lawyers to stop people >from pointing out their flaws. Just because someone patents an idea, or keeps it secret, doesn't mean that they don't know anything!! And lots of people who know things try to discourage criticism. You can know things and dislike peer review. >in the early days of computer research, we didn't have the problem with >vaporware, bogus claims, fraudulent products,... I thought in the early years IBM was known to have announced product dates they knew they could not deliver on, to discourage people from going to competitors. > > And areas that used to be overrun are now left more alone. Which areas > > are of wider interest changes over time. > >Can you name an area that used to have this problem and now does not? I do >not know of any politically charged area or area of pseudoscience that has >been abandoned by the politicians and quacks. Few people defend the Soviet socialist model these days; it used to be politically charged, but now people have given up. > > >Doctors used to make medical > > >decisions, now non-medical professionals in HMOs do. > > > > But this isn't a matter of fake experts. The HMO people are typically > > expert enough for the decisions they make. > >I disagree. HMO accountants are NOT more qualified than my doctor to treat >me! But HMO accountants do not treat you. They decide what the insurance company will pay for. And they are usually qualified to make those decisions. Robin Hanson rhanson at gmu.edu http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-4444 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323 From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Wed Dec 10 23:44:01 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 18:44:01 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: <5.2.1.1.2.20031210164210.02022058@mail.gmu.edu> Message-ID: <011701c3bf77$807f84c0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Robin Hanson wrote, > Just because someone patents an idea, or keeps it secret, > doesn't mean that they don't know anything!! And lots of > people who know things try to discourage criticism. You can > know things and dislike peer review. This is very dubious. Peer review is required by the scientific method. People who want to claim scientific discoveries without using the scientific method or undergoing scientific scrutiny should be viewed with extreme skepticism. Basically, they want the world to trust them without providing evidence for their claims. This is unacceptable practice. At best, these patents must be considered "unsubstantiated" in the scientific community. > >Can you name an area that used to have this problem and now > does not? > >I do not know of any politically charged area or area of > pseudoscience > >that has been abandoned by the politicians and quacks. > > Few people defend the Soviet socialist model these days; it > used to be politically charged, but now people have given up. This is not an example of science or pseudoscience. Political "science" is not the kind of science we are discussing. > >I disagree. HMO accountants are NOT more qualified than my > doctor to treat me! > > But HMO accountants do not treat you. They decide what the > insurance company will pay for. And they are usually > qualified to make those decisions. I am not objecting to accountants making payment decisions. I am objecting to accountants making treatment decisions. My points are about science versus pseudoscience. Your responses seem to be in the realm of politics, economics and accounting. You have not discussed the same topic that I discussed. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From duggerj1 at charter.net Thu Dec 11 01:57:55 2003 From: duggerj1 at charter.net (JAY DUGGER) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 20:57:55 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Anders the wonder boy In-Reply-To: <011101c3bf3a$0d8c1b00$96994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: On Wed, 10 Dec 2003 10:24:12 -0600 "Damien Broderick" wrote: >Robert and I both just reported that Anders is in Trieste >at a nano >conference. Meanwhile, here's the latest contribution >from our amazingly >multi-talented friend: So that's where he went. > >http://home.neo.rr.com/cosmosbooks/dimensions.jpg > >The cover art is by Anders; I think it's beautiful. (The >book itself will >be out shortly, I'll say more then.) Congratulations on the cover plug from George Zebrowski! For those who don't know, he's another fine SF author, who also deals with transhumanist themes. Try his Macrolife, Cave of Stars, and collected shorts volumes Swift Thoughts, and "In the Distance, and Ahead in Time". > >Damien Broderick > > >_______________________________________________ >extropy-chat mailing list >extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org >http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat Jay Dugger : Til Eulenspiegel http://www.owlmirror.net/~duggerj Sometimes delete serves best. From Johnius at Genius.UCSD.edu Thu Dec 11 02:15:10 2003 From: Johnius at Genius.UCSD.edu (Johnius) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 18:15:10 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Cryoplanning Message-ID: <3FD7D32E.7ADE5CE1@Genius.UCSD.edu> Hi all, I was on an earlier version of this list in the 90's. I imagine a great deal has changed/transpired since then... I recently caught the PBS show with Suze Orman, and ended up getting her Portfolio Protection System, which seems potentially quite useful. I couldn't help but notice, of course, that a primary emphasis of hers is what to do legally/financially upon one's "death". She said everyone should have a Will, many should have a Living Revocable Trust, and all should have Durable Powers of Attorney for Healthcare and Finances. That's all well and good, but what about those who are seriously planning on getting cryopreserved upon "death"? This line of thinking lead me again to consider signing up with some cryonics organization and to finally get a solid legal and (affordable) financial plan in place. And that, among other things, led me back here. I have several questions that I'm hoping you can help me resolve: 1. Which cryonics organization should I go with? Is there available a comparison of their various features, costs, plans, options, etc.? When I was here last, Alcor seemed to be the popular choice, but I'd like to fully consider all my options ... other organizations may now exist giving Alcor serious competition. 2. What do I need to do legally to make my plan happen? I've read there are potential problems legally with honoring cryopreservation, and I want to make sure my plan happens as intended. 3. How shall I fund it? I'm vested in my university's pension plan ... can I simply set things up to have that cover the cost of at least cryo-preserving my head? I'd also want to set up my Will, Trust, Powers of Attorney, etc. to support my plan ... to have my estate/net-worth held for me to finance my continued cryo-preservation and to be there for me upon re-animation (assuming that money will still mean something then). I think I can scrape together enough $ to cover the costs without having to sign up for life insurance, but I'm not sure about that. There are other questions/issues, but this is a good start I think ... and I suspect these have been answered already somewhere, in which case I'd be thankful for a pointer to the relevant documents. Best, John McPherson From fortean1 at mindspring.com Thu Dec 11 02:48:33 2003 From: fortean1 at mindspring.com (Terry W. Colvin) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 19:48:33 -0700 Subject: [extropy-chat] Stealing organs finally a crime... References: <003301c3bec9$b12b3a50$6501a8c0@SHELLY> <200312101428.hBAESds13994@igor.synonet.com> Message-ID: <3FD7DB01.C9B4D3C9@mindspring.com> Major wrote: > > > Of course. I have a friend whose job it was to meet with > > African immigrant families to explain to them that it is > > illegal in this country to do female circumcision, not to > > mention cruel and ill-advised. I have often inquired why > > she has no counterpart arguing the same for the male children. > > Probably because while male circumcision may be cruel and ill-advised > it is nowhere near as cruel or ill-advised as the so-called female > circumcision (which is usually clitorectomy in practice). > > Major > > PS: I am old enough to have been circumcised at birth on medical > advice (apparently it didn't use to be ill-advised 8-). Agreed female circumcision is a control mechanism in several cultures. Terry P.S.: As an American over 50 I too have been circumcised for the usual reasons. My "family" doctor visited our home to do the circumcision. My mother says he was a bit drunk, so I have a partial circumcision. My wife is Thai-Chinese and asked me to question my mother whether or not I was circumcised. She didn't quite understand the foreskin removal process. [;>))] -- ?Only a zit on the wart on the heinie of progress.? Copyright 1992, Frank Rice Terry W. Colvin, Sierra Vista, Arizona (USA) < fortean1 at mindspring.com > Alternate: < fortean1 at msn.com > Home Page: < http://www.geocities.com/Area51/Stargate/8958/index.html > Sites: * Fortean Times * Mystic's Haven * TLCB * U.S. Message Text Formatting (USMTF) Program ------------ Member: Thailand-Laos-Cambodia Brotherhood (TLCB) Mailing List TLCB Web Site: < http://www.tlc-brotherhood.org >[Vietnam veterans, Allies, CIA/NSA, and "steenkeen" contractors are welcome.] From fortean1 at mindspring.com Thu Dec 11 02:51:57 2003 From: fortean1 at mindspring.com (Terry W. Colvin) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 19:51:57 -0700 Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD (PvT) Re: Chart of Clipperton Message-ID: <3FD7DBCD.72A719EC@mindspring.com> Hi, I'd suggest that you send email to The Clipperton DX Club, at < cdxc at free.fr >. They're French, and have an interest in the island, as is obvious. Someone there might help. 73, doug Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 18:54:28 -0700 From: "Terry W. Colvin" Hello Doug, I'm not sure what Mike Lorrey needs beyond the hydrographic data. Here is his latest explanation of his needs: "Scale 1:500,000 Producer Military Topographic Directorate of the General Staff Vintage 1980-1981 Projection Gauss-Kruger Language Russian Size 3x2 degrees Contours 50 meters Status Available Immediately in raster or paper format Sheet Count 1 Base price (Paper) $79.00 per sheet This is a low resolution contour map that does not provide any hydrometric topography. Saw it already, doesn't suit my needs. > > Some links: http://www.connectedglobe.com/millennium/ip.html Found that page a while back. Thanks. An ENC database is a file containing both geographic and hydrographic topological data, depth soundings, and other GIS data that conforms to the International Geophysical S-57 standard. The US has been creating such charts for all of its territorial waters and posessions, even uninhabited Navassa Island has been digitally charted. Other major nations are supposed to be doing the same thing with their own posessions and waters, which I why I want someone literate in French to find such a chart on French government servers that is available to the public. Mike Lorrey" AP-preciate your help. Terry To: Forteana /Alternate Orphan/ , "skeptic at listproc.hcf.jhu.edu" , "TLC [UNofficial]" ***** Doug Faunt N6TQS +1-510-655-8604 wrote: > > Hi Terry, > Must it be an electronic chart? I think I've got one around here from > my trip there a few years ago. And I know others who may, also. > > 73, doug > > To: MARHST-L at post.queensu.ca > Date: Mon, 8 Dec 2003 22:20:25 -0800 > From: Scott Peterson > Subject: Looking for a chart of Clipperton island. > > This came from someone on another list I'm on. Would anyone here know > where he could find the chart he's looking for? > > You can respond to "Terry W. Colvin" > > >I am trying to get a good navigational chart of Clipperton Island (a > >French posession) in the eastern Pacific and would like to find an ENC > >database (Electronic Navigational Chart) that conforms to the > >international S-57 standard. As it seems that each nation takes care of > >its own navigational chart distribution, I was hoping someone who is > >French, or French literate, could locate such a chart database for me > >somewhere on the French government internet sites. Finding such a file > >without knowing the lingo is a bit tough.... so much for my three years > >of French in high school... > > Thanks for your help. > > Scott Peterson -- ?Only a zit on the wart on the heinie of progress.? Copyright 1992, Frank Rice Terry W. Colvin, Sierra Vista, Arizona (USA) < fortean1 at mindspring.com > Alternate: < fortean1 at msn.com > Home Page: < http://www.geocities.com/Area51/Stargate/8958/index.html > Sites: * Fortean Times * Mystic's Haven * TLCB * U.S. Message Text Formatting (USMTF) Program ------------ Member: Thailand-Laos-Cambodia Brotherhood (TLCB) Mailing List TLCB Web Site: < http://www.tlc-brotherhood.org >[Vietnam veterans, Allies, CIA/NSA, and "steenkeen" contractors are welcome.] From spike66 at comcast.net Thu Dec 11 03:05:56 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 19:05:56 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] EUGEN: What happened to Genes screeds? In-Reply-To: <20031210163919.69461.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <00a101c3bf93$b1ed1bf0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > --- Eugen Leitl wrote: > > > > It's very possible that I'll be gone (virtually, for good?) in a > > few months. > > > > > > WHAT? What is up? > > > > There are 24 h in a day. Minus 8 h sleep, minus commute, minus > > family... Oh ok, whew, thanks. > Oh, you seemed to be talking about something fatal... Mike Lorrey Ja, you scared me too Eugen. Please dont do that to us pal. {8-] I worried you were about to tell us you had cancer or something. I was afraid to ask. You are one of our MVPs (most valuable posters). spike From spike66 at comcast.net Thu Dec 11 03:17:55 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 19:17:55 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <00a201c3bf95$5ecf44a0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > I don't remember where I read this, but maybe it was here: > There has been some recent speculation that the overall trend > in global warming is part of a variation in orbital cycles that seem to > repeat every 22,000 years, and 100,000 years... Most natural systems have multiple cycles. The sun "rings" with localized areas oscillating at a frequency of a few hours. It has the well-known ~22 years magnetic pole cycle, usually expressed as the 11 year cycle of F10.7 (10.7 cm radiation). Is is so surprising that the sun has a cycle that lasts perhaps a few thousand years? We know that most stars have an observable brightness variation, even if we do not always know the period. We have only a few hundred years of observations, and good accurate global temperature measurements for only a few decades. Granted, if we discovered we are on the cooling part of the cycle, I might get a bit panicky, but being on the warming side is apparent good news, eh? spike From spike66 at comcast.net Thu Dec 11 03:23:36 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 19:23:36 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: <00a901c3bf51$7ba34660$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <00a301c3bf96$29c371e0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> >>I will root for the guys doing actual > > life extension, > > and attempt to maximize fun while doing so. {8-] spike > > Let me clarify my point. I am not arguing for more science > and less fun. I am arguing for more science and less pseudoscience. There is > nothing wrong with having fun instead of doing science. What I am against is doing > pseudoscience and calling it science because it is fun. Oh OK, Im cool with that. Great post on Mikes global warming comments too. {8-] Im eager to start thinking of ways to deal with a rising sea level. Lets start by building some dams and canals. spike From rhanson at gmu.edu Thu Dec 11 03:27:57 2003 From: rhanson at gmu.edu (Robin Hanson) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 22:27:57 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: <011701c3bf77$807f84c0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> References: <5.2.1.1.2.20031210164210.02022058@mail.gmu.edu> Message-ID: <5.2.1.1.2.20031210221249.0211b400@mail.gmu.edu> On 12/10/2003 Harvey Newstrom wrote: > > ... Just because someone patents an idea, or keeps it secret, > > doesn't mean that they don't know anything!! ... > >This is very dubious. Peer review is required by the scientific method. >People who want to claim scientific discoveries without using the scientific >method or undergoing scientific scrutiny should be viewed with extreme >skepticism. Basically, they want the world to trust them without providing >evidence for their claims. This is unacceptable practice. At best, these >patents must be considered "unsubstantiated" in the scientific community. > > > ... Few people defend the Soviet socialist model these days; it > > used to be politically charged, but now people have given up. > >This is not an example of science or pseudoscience. Political "science" is >not the kind of science we are discussing. > >I am not objecting to accountants making payment decisions. I am objecting >to accountants making treatment decisions. > >My points are about science versus pseudoscience. Your responses seem to be >in the realm of politics, economics and accounting. You have not discussed >the same topic that I discussed. Your original claim was that "there are more faux experts than real experts in the public spotlight today," and that this was worse than it used to be. So I thought we were talking about expertize, i.e, the fact that some people know a lot more about certain topics than other people. I didn't realize that you only meant to refer to a certain type of expert, the "scientist" who uses the "scientific method", which apparently includes "peer review," and cannot include experts in politics or accounting. I know too little about what you mean by "scientist" to have much of an opinion about whether there are more or less of them listened to today. Many years of study, including a Masters in the history and philosophy of science, convinced me that "science" isn't a very useful concept. Robin Hanson rhanson at gmu.edu http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-4444 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323 From mlorrey at yahoo.com Thu Dec 11 04:14:49 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 20:14:49 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: <00a301c3bf96$29c371e0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031211041449.94259.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> --- Spike wrote: > >>I will root for the guys doing actual > > > life extension, > > > and attempt to maximize fun while doing so. {8-] spike > > > > Let me clarify my point. I am not arguing for more science > > and less fun. I am arguing for more science and less > pseudoscience. > There is > > nothing wrong with having fun instead of doing science. What I am > against is doing > > pseudoscience and calling it science because it is fun. > > > Oh OK, Im cool with that. Great post on Mikes > global warming comments too. {8-] Im eager to start > thinking of ways to deal with a rising sea level. > Lets start by building some dams and canals. Yes, I think a dam or two in the passes betwen the Caspian and Black Sea basins would help significantly there. The more fresh water we can hold onto there, the less likely it will wind up as glaciers next time around. I also wonder why there isn't more talk about learning to live underwater. The island dwelling nations are all yapping, as if global warming is an assault on their sovereignty or something. I say, if the ocean level actually does rise, then it is an opportunity for them to forge ahead into a new age of pioneering exploration. And what is so wrong about the poles melting anyways? All of that very potentially fecund land that is just lying there frozen and ice covered. I say melt em away and start shipping people there. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Thu Dec 11 04:26:26 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 23:26:26 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: <5.2.1.1.2.20031210221249.0211b400@mail.gmu.edu> Message-ID: <000401c3bf9e$f4106900$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Robin Hanson wrote: > Your original claim was that "there are more faux experts > than real experts in the public spotlight today," and that > this was worse than it used to be. So I thought we were > talking about expertize, i.e, the fact that some people know > a lot more about certain topics than other people. I didn't > realize that you only meant to refer to a certain type of > expert, the "scientist" who uses the "scientific method", WRONG. You have deliberately quoted me out of context. My full claim was clearly about science: > At first, skepticism was a scientific tool used to critically analyze > assumptions and verify facts. Now we have copycats who are acting > like skeptics to give their unfounded beliefs an air of scientific > authority. As the article notes, people who are "skeptical" about > evolution or global warming are merely pretending to be skeptics > without the underlying science. This is the same as Christian > "Scientists" or Creation "Science" trying to pretend that their > religious beliefs are as rigorous as real science. It is too easy to > fall into this trap. People easily fall into a mode where they act > like they are experts and they have no real concept of how science or > the underlying technology really work. I am afraid that there are > more faux experts than real experts in the public > spotlight today. It is easier to be a consumer, commentator, > political activists, strategy consultant, public educator, or whatever > in a field of "expertise" without really going through all the trouble > of really learning the field. This is the biggest threat to science > and by extension to transhumanism facing us today. The world of > science is being diluted with pseudoscience, and it is very difficult > for the laypeople to tell the difference. I find it hard to believe that you can read the above paragraph and then claim that you didn't know I was talking about science. Worse, I don't see how you could extract that single sentence from the middle of it without noticing all the references to science around it. I am increasingly finding it hard to hold a rational discussion with you. > I know too little about what you mean by "scientist" to have > much of an opinion about whether there are more or less of > them listened to today. Many years of study, including a > Masters in the history and philosophy of science, convinced > me that "science" isn't a very useful concept. OK, I don't think further discussion will be useful in this case. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From gpmap at runbox.com Thu Dec 11 05:42:27 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 06:42:27 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Umberto Eco: In Defense of Vegetal Memory Message-ID: >From Kuro5hin: Umberto Eco, the widely celebrated academic and novelist, recently delivered a lecture, Vegetal and Mineral Memory: The Future of Books, at the Bibliotheca Alexandrina in Egypt, which has been published in its entirety by Al-Ahram Weekly. Eco's lecture concerns an array of questions surrounding the future of books in the age of hypertext and digital media: Will hypertext and the internet eventually replace the traditional book? Do the literary possibilities introduced by hypertext spell the end of books and authors as we currently know them? Eco concedes that, at least in the case of books which are designed to be consulted rather than read -- dictionaries, encyclopaedias, reference manuals, and the like -- books are likely to disappear over time, as digital media offers numerous and compelling advantages. In the case of books designed to be read rather than consulted--novels, poems, essays, and the like -- Eco is rather more skeptical about the eventual obsolescence of books as we know them; believing them to "belong to those kinds of instruments that, once invented, have not been further improved because they are already alright, such as the hammer, the knife, spoon or scissors." Though Eco is one of my favorite authors, I definitely do not agree with him on this point. It is true that today's e-books are not very convenient to use compared to paper books, but this will change soon with better technology. Today's scissors cut much better than last century's scissors. A book remains a book regardless of the technology used to produce and use it. See also this post of mine at Always On. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From extropy at unreasonable.com Thu Dec 11 06:06:45 2003 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 01:06:45 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Stealing organs finally a crime... In-Reply-To: <003b01c3bee9$50456b50$6501a8c0@SHELLY> References: <5.1.0.14.2.20031209221508.032bd8f0@mail.comcast.net> Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031211005754.08440ee0@mail.comcast.net> I said: > There are a few contextual jokes on your name I could make > but I'm still recovering from the 23-part pun I posted to another > group yesterday. then Spike wrote: >We haven't had a pungasm on extropians for some time. {8-] >Remember about 3 yrs ago before the war started, when we >used to just have fun? Especially around Newtonmass and >April 1? Well, Newtonmas is approaching. Silly on, dude! -- David. From cryofan at mylinuxisp.com Thu Dec 11 06:39:44 2003 From: cryofan at mylinuxisp.com (randy) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 00:39:44 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Cryoplanning In-Reply-To: <3FD7D32E.7ADE5CE1@Genius.UCSD.edu> References: <3FD7D32E.7ADE5CE1@Genius.UCSD.edu> Message-ID: <834gtv0ci9ib2nqtq2t978j17f2nkl4120@4ax.com> On Wed, 10 Dec 2003 18:15:10 -0800, you wrote >Hi all, > I was on an earlier version of this list in the 90's. >I imagine a great deal has changed/transpired since then... > Hmm...no...pretty much the same.... > I recently caught the PBS show with Suze Orman, and >ended up getting her Portfolio Protection System, which >seems potentially quite useful. I couldn't help but >notice, of course, that a primary emphasis of hers is >what to do legally/financially upon one's "death". She >said everyone should have a Will, many should have a >Living Revocable Trust, and all should have Durable >Powers of Attorney for Healthcare and Finances. > > That's all well and good, but what about those who >are seriously planning on getting cryopreserved upon >"death"? This line of thinking lead me again to consider >signing up with some cryonics organization and to finally >get a solid legal and (affordable) financial plan in place. >And that, among other things, led me back here. > > I have several questions that I'm hoping you can >help me resolve: > >1. Which cryonics organization should I go with? Is >there available a comparison of their various features, >costs, plans, options, etc.? When I was here last, Alcor >seemed to be the popular choice, but I'd like to fully >consider all my options ... other organizations may now >exist giving Alcor serious competition. Ah, actually, I believe that Alcor may be the only company taking in new members. AFAIK, the state of Michigan has forbade Cryonics Institute to take new members. > >2. What do I need to do legally to make my plan happen? >I've read there are potential problems legally with honoring >cryopreservation, and I want to make sure my plan happens >as intended. Complete your paperwork. Tell your family members of your plans. Alcor has a web page devoted to this matter. > There are other questions/issues, but this is a good >start I think ... and I suspect these have been answered >already somewhere, in which case I'd be thankful for a >pointer to the relevant documents. www.alcor.org ------------- From gpmap at runbox.com Thu Dec 11 07:04:45 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 08:04:45 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Cryoplanning In-Reply-To: <3FD7D32E.7ADE5CE1@Genius.UCSD.edu> Message-ID: 1. Which cryonics organization should I go with? Is there available a comparison of their various features, costs, plans, options, etc.? When I was here last, Alcor seemed to be the popular choice, but I'd like to fully consider all my options ... other organizations may now exist giving Alcor serious competition. Consider the Cryonics Institute (www.cryonics.org), it is much cheaper than Alcor and perhaps equally good. From gpmap at runbox.com Thu Dec 11 07:07:13 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 08:07:13 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Digital divide summit Message-ID: >From the New Scientist: At the moment, key decisions about internet standards, technology and regulation are made by an array of US private sector organisations. The most visible of these is the ICANN, which has operated the global domain name system since 1988, under an agreement with the US government. But some nations have called for control of the internet to be handed to an international body such as the UN's International Telecommunications Union (ITU). They feel this would give them greater say in such matters. However, in talks held at the weekend, member states agreed only to create a working group of industry, government and public sector experts to discuss the issue and make recommendations at the next WSIS (WORLD SUMMIT ON THE INFORMATION SOCIETY) meeting in 2005. This "decision not to decide" was expected by those familiar with UN affairs. As world leaders were considering the future of the internet, the man who took it out of the lab and into the mainstream took centre-stage (BBC News). At an event to mark the opening of the UN technology summit in Geneva, Tim Berners-Lee was reunited with the machine he used to invent the web. With UN Secretary General Kofi Annan at his side, he used the world's first web server to send an e-mail to more than 80 schools worldwide. "I hope we can all use the web to realise that other people are just like ourselves even if they speak different languages or have different abilities," said the message. In an event heavy with symbolism, the man responsible for an information revolution used a piece of the internet's history to send an inspirational message to schoolchildren across the world. "This event reminds us how young and full of promise the web is," said Mr Annan as he stood at Mr Berners-Lee's side. "It should serve as a challenge to us and to encourage all of us to stay connected." -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From gpmap at runbox.com Thu Dec 11 07:08:17 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 08:08:17 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Thrall of China Message-ID: >From Always On: China is an impressive market, and many investors believe that much of the exciting activity in technology and venture capital for the next several decades will be in Asia. China is no longer just a cheap production site, but a place with a large market to both source and sell finished goods - even higher-cost technology products. And the country is becoming a source of innovative products that is no longer exclusively focused on reverse engineering or contract manufacturing. To get an accurate picture, we spoke with Paul Waide, editor in chief of Pacific Epoch, a China-based publication covering technology finance, tech-related economic liberalization, and other activity around China?s rapidly growing technology community. The article is a good summary of the current situation of technology development in China, and the Pacific Epoch website seems a good news source. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From max at maxmore.com Thu Dec 11 07:10:34 2003 From: max at maxmore.com (Max More) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 01:10:34 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: <20031210212551.44124.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> References: <00a801c3bf51$75943810$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031211010136.019159c0@mail.earthlink.net> Any comments on Ron Bailey's recent piece on global warming? How Hot Is It? Global warming creeps along November 19, 2003 http://www.reason.com/rb/rb111903.shtml and: Hot Air Conference Urgent action on a non-problem December 9, 2003 http://www.reason.com/rb/rb120903.shtml Ron has another piece, this month, also highly relevant to the discussion about the perversion of science: The Agony of Ecstasy Research Science gets recruited in the Drug War http://www.reason.com/rb/rb120303.shtml _______________________________________________________ Max More, Ph.D. max at maxmore.com or more at extropy.org http://www.maxmore.com Strategic Philosopher Chairman, Extropy Institute. http://www.extropy.org _______________________________________________________ From spike66 at comcast.net Thu Dec 11 07:10:32 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Wed, 10 Dec 2003 23:10:32 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Stealing organs finally a crime... In-Reply-To: <5.1.0.14.2.20031211005754.08440ee0@mail.comcast.net> Message-ID: <000001c3bfb5$ddd119c0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > >We haven't had a pungasm on extropians for some time. {8-] > > Well, Newtonmas is approaching. Silly on, dude! -- David. OK. These are not ones I wrote, altho I did modify a few of them. People send me this kinda stuff because they know my brain has a humor co-processor, that actually is a higher performer than my main CPU. spike Those who jump off a bridge in Paris are in Seine. -- A backward poet writes inverse. -- A professional poet charges perverse. A man's home is his castle, in a manor of speaking. -- Dijon vu - the feeling you have had this same mustard before. -- Practice safe eating - always use condiments. -- Shotgun wedding: A case of wife or death. -- My neighbor took up with a mistress, just to break the monogamy. -- A hangover is the wrath of grapes. -- Dancing cheek-to-cheek is really a form of floor play. -- Does the name Pavlov ring a bell? -- Reading while sunbathing makes you well red. -- When two egotists meet, it's an I for an I. -- A bicycle can't stand on its own because it is two tired. What's the definition of a will? (It's a dead giveaway.) -- What does a cryonicist put in his will? Frozen assets. Time flies like an arrow. Fruit flies like a banana. -- In democracy your vote counts. In feudalism your count votes. -- She was engaged to a boyfriend with a wooden leg but broke it off. -- A chicken crossing the road is poultry in motion. -- I didn't pay my exorcist. I got repossessed. -- With her marriage, she got a new name and a dress. -- When a clock is hungry, it goes back four seconds. -- I fell into an upholstery machine. Now Im fully recovered. -- You feel stuck with your debt if you can't budge it. -- Local Area Network in Australia: the LAN down under. -- He often broke into song because he couldn't find the key. -- A lot of money is tainted - It taint yours and it taint mine. -- A boiled egg in the morning is hard to beat. -- I have a photographic memory but it was never developed. (Those younger than 10 yrs today won't get that one)-- A plateau is a high form of flattery. -- A midget fortune-teller who escapes from prison is a small medium at large. -- Those who get too big for their britches will be exposed in the end. -- Once you've seen one shopping center, you've seen a mall. -- Bakers trade bread recipes on a knead-to-know basis. -- Santa's helpers are subordinate clauses. -- Acupuncture is a jab well done. I bought a box of those penile enlargement patches, stuck them on my scalp. It was a mind expanding experience. From gpmap at runbox.com Thu Dec 11 07:40:22 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 08:40:22 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Electronic voting vendors create an Election Technology Council Message-ID: >From Computerworld: Six vendors of election systems have formed a trade group to address lingering questions about security and ethics in the electronic voting industry. The six vendors, teaming with the Information Technology Association of America (ITAA), announced yesterday that they have formed the Election Technology Council (ETC), which will attempt to write a code of ethics and review security best practices in the industry, members said. "The ballot box is sacred to our American democracy," said David Hart, chairman of both the ETC and Hart InterCivic Inc. "We're now talking about sweeping changes to devices people use to vote. ... It's not surprising questions have arisen about the ability of this technology to support so heavy a responsibility. We welcome these questions, and we assert our rights as reputable, hard-working elections technology companies, to answer those questions in an honest and forthright manner." I think we will have to wait some time for operational electronic voting, but when the time of this technology comes it is going to make a big impact. For example it will be possible to formally (and informally) consult citizens much more frequently at a given cost. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From eugen at leitl.org Thu Dec 11 09:43:40 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 10:43:40 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Cryoplanning In-Reply-To: References: <3FD7D32E.7ADE5CE1@Genius.UCSD.edu> Message-ID: <20031211094340.GL13099@leitl.org> On Thu, Dec 11, 2003 at 08:04:45AM +0100, Giu1i0 Pri5c0 wrote: > Consider the Cryonics Institute (www.cryonics.org), it is much cheaper than > Alcor and perhaps equally good. Perhaps not. If you feel you should subsidize somebody, go with Alcor. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From eugen at leitl.org Thu Dec 11 13:11:55 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 14:11:55 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: <1070867376.6256.13.camel@alito.homeip.net> References: <1070867376.6256.13.camel@alito.homeip.net> Message-ID: <20031211131155.GY13099@leitl.org> On Mon, Dec 08, 2003 at 05:09:36PM +1000, Alejandro Dubrovsky wrote: > On Mon, 2003-12-08 at 05:38, Robert J. Bradbury wrote: > > SYNTHETIC CHEMISTRY: it isn't sophisticated enough yet and the computational > > capacity isn't up to the job. The largest synthetic molecules that have > > been made are things like Vitamin B-12, vancomycin and maitotoxin. They > > have atomic sizes ranging from ~200-500 atoms. Even for the fine motion Counting atoms is a useless metric. You can't make strained caged compounds of this complexity. The yield is not only close to zero, the yield is precisely zero. The fine motion controller http://jmol.sourceforge.net/demo/nanotech/ is unattainable by classical synthetic chemistry. > > controller which is 2600 atoms in size but probably only 1/500th to 1/1000th > > of an 4,000,000 atom assembler arm design (not counting the motors and > > computer interface you might need to control it). The control logic can be macroscale, if this is bootstrap. > Current synthetic molecules can be a bit bigger than the ones you > pointed out: > http://www.umich.edu/~urecord/9293/Apr05_93/11.htm shows synthesis of a > pure hydrocarbon sphere of 1134 carbon atoms (2.2k atoms overall). Counting atoms is useless. "Synthesized from 94 units of a carbon-based building block called phenylacetylene, the molecule branches off in an unusual repeating, fractal pattern linked by strong triple bonds." Noticed something? > http://www.pubmedcentral.nih.gov/articlerender.fcgi?artid=24856 shows > total chemical synthesis of a 238 amino-acid chain. (This last one is > from 1998, don't know if this has been bettered). Stiff, strained cages with a nonrepetitive shape are very different from linear biopolymers. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From rhanson at gmu.edu Thu Dec 11 13:46:02 2003 From: rhanson at gmu.edu (Robin Hanson) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 08:46:02 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: <000401c3bf9e$f4106900$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> References: <5.2.1.1.2.20031210221249.0211b400@mail.gmu.edu> Message-ID: <5.2.1.1.2.20031211084238.0211b400@mail.gmu.edu> On 12/10/2003, Harvey Newstrom wrote: > > Your original claim was that "there are more faux experts > > than real experts in the public spotlight today," ... I didn't > > realize that you only meant to refer to a certain type of > > expert, the "scientist" who uses the "scientific method", ... > >WRONG. You have deliberately quoted me out of context. >My full claim was clearly about science: > > At first, skepticism was a scientific tool used to critically analyze > > assumptions and verify facts. ... >I find it hard to believe that you can read the above paragraph and then >claim that you didn't know I was talking about science. Worse, I don't see >how you could extract that single sentence from the middle of it without >noticing all the references to science around it. I am increasingly finding >it hard to hold a rational discussion with you. I saw the reference to science; I just didn't know that by that word you meant SCIENCE (TM), with a whole array of connotations I don't share. Robin Hanson rhanson at gmu.edu http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-4444 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323 From gregburch at gregburch.net Thu Dec 11 13:51:25 2003 From: gregburch at gregburch.net (Greg Burch) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 07:51:25 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] ENVIRO: Crichton on Nature and Man In-Reply-To: <20031211131155.GY13099@leitl.org> Message-ID: Normally I don't have much time for Michael Crichton: For a long time he' written screenplays, not novels, and he tends to do so by reading an article in SciAm and then putting the text into the mouths of two-dimensional cardboard cut-outs. But Arts and Letters Daily this morning has a link to a speech he gave in September about environmentalism. It's superb. Here's a couple of excerpts: - - - - "We must daily decide whether the threats we face are real, whether the solutions we are offered will do any good, whether the problems we're told exist are in fact real problems, or non-problems. Every one of us has a sense of the world, and we all know that this sense is in part given to us by what other people and society tell us; in part generated by our emotional state, which we project outward; and in part by our genuine perceptions of reality. In short, our struggle to determine what is true is the struggle to decide which of our perceptions are genuine, and which are false because they are handed down, or sold to us, or generated by our own hopes and fears. "As an example of this challenge, I want to talk today about environmentalism. And in order not to be misunderstood, I want it perfectly clear that I believe it is incumbent on us to conduct our lives in a way that takes into account all the consequences of our actions, including the consequences to other people, and the consequences to the environment. I believe it is important to act in ways that are sympathetic to the environment, and I believe this will always be a need, carrying into the future. I believe the world has genuine problems and I believe it can and should be improved. But I also think that deciding what constitutes responsible action is immensely difficult, and the consequences of our actions are often difficult to know in advance. I think our past record of environmental action is discouraging, to put it mildly, because even our best intended efforts often go awry. But I think we do not recognize our past failures, and face them squarely. And I think I know why. ... Today, one of the most powerful religions in the Western World is environmentalism. Environmentalism seems to be the religion of choice for urban atheists. Why do I say it's a religion? Well, just look at the beliefs. If you look carefully, you see that environmentalism is in fact a perfect 21st century remapping of traditional Judeo-Christian beliefs and myths. There's an initial Eden, a paradise, a state of grace and unity with nature, there's a fall from grace into a state of pollution as a result of eating from the tree of knowledge, and as a result of our actions there is a judgment day coming for us all. We are all energy sinners, doomed to die, unless we seek salvation, which is now called sustainability. Sustainability is salvation in the church of the environment. Just as organic food is its communion, that pesticide-free wafer that the right people with the right beliefs, imbibe. Eden, the fall of man, the loss of grace, the coming doomsday---these are deeply held mythic structures. They are profoundly conservative beliefs. They may even be hard-wired in the brain, for all I know. I certainly don't want to talk anybody out of them, as I don't want to talk anybody out of a belief that Jesus Christ is the son of God who rose from the dead. But the reason I don't want to talk anybody out of these beliefs is that I know that I can't talk anybody out of them. These are not facts that can be argued. These are issues of faith. And so it is, sadly, with environmentalism. Increasingly it seems facts aren't necessary, because the tenets of environmentalism are all about belief. It's about whether you are going to be a sinner, or saved. Whether you are going to be one of the people on the side of salvation, or on the side of doom. Whether you are going to be one of us, or one of them. Am I exaggerating to make a point? I am afraid not. Because we know a lot more about the world than we did forty or fifty years ago. And what we know now is not so supportive of certain core environmental myths, yet the myths do not die. Let's examine some of those beliefs. There is no Eden. There never was. What was that Eden of the wonderful mythic past? Is it the time when infant mortality was 80%, when four children in five died of disease before the age of five? When one woman in six died in childbirth? When the average lifespan was 40, as it was in America a century ago. When plagues swept across the planet, killing millions in a stroke. Was it when millions starved to death? Is that when it was Eden?" - - - - The rest is just as good. http://www.crichton-official.com/speeches/speeches_quote05.html I highly recommend this. Greg Burch My blog: http://www.gregburch.net/burchismo.html From bradbury at aeiveos.com Thu Dec 11 14:15:35 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 06:15:35 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: <20031211131155.GY13099@leitl.org> Message-ID: On Thu, 11 Dec 2003, Eugen Leitl wrote: > Counting atoms is a useless metric. You can't make strained caged compounds > of this complexity. The yield is not only close to zero, the yield is > precisely zero. Hmmmm.... If that were true then one should not be able to make buckyballs or buckytubes (as I believe they have strained bonds). Cubane is perhaps the ultimate example and it is produced using chemical synthesis. I did not say that one would have a high yield -- since some parts of nanotech development may be a bootstrapping process you may only need one copy of something. A related question -- do you know of a program/utility that can show the degree of bond strain? Robert From natashavita at earthlink.net Thu Dec 11 15:35:44 2003 From: natashavita at earthlink.net (natashavita at earthlink.net) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 10:35:44 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] ENVIRO: Crichton on Nature and Man Message-ID: <63340-2200312411153544371@M2W065.mail2web.com> From: Greg Burch "We must daily decide whether the threats we face are real, whether the solutions we are offered will do any good, whether the problems we're told exist are in fact real problems, or non-problems. Every one of us has a sense of the world, and we all know that this sense is in part given to us by what other people and society tell us; in part generated by our emotional state, which we project outward; and in part by our genuine perceptions of reality. In short, our struggle to determine what is true is the struggle to decide which of our perceptions are genuine, and which are false because they are handed down, or sold to us, or generated by our own hopes and fears...." Inspirational. Thank you. Natasha -------------------------------------------------------------------- mail2web - Check your email from the web at http://mail2web.com/ . From namacdon at ole.augie.edu Thu Dec 11 15:42:28 2003 From: namacdon at ole.augie.edu (Nicholas Anthony MacDonald) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 09:42:28 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Umberto Eco: In Defense of Vegetal Memory Message-ID: <1071157348.9c0ada80namacdon@ole.augie.edu> "It is true that today's e-books are not very convenient to use compared to paper books, but this will change soon with better technology. Today's scissors cut much better than last century's scissors. A book remains a book regardless of the technology used to produce and use it. See also this post of mine at Always On." Convenience isn't the whole reason, though. Sure, it makes sense to replace a collection of flimsy paperbacks with an e-book reader, but for those of us who like to pick up a nice, hefty, leatherbound tome from time to time, the book isn't going away. There's something about holding a book in your hands, feeling the paper, and reading the printed word that even a good e-book reader can't quite make up for. It's like the difference between having fast food and going to a five-star restaurant... sure, the former is *sufficient* nourishment, but if it's an experience you want, you're going to choose the latter. Not only that, e-book readers and formats are going to have to advance considerably before they can reach the utility of a hardbound book. For instance, I'm a so-called "pen and paper" roleplaying gamer. While I have many game manuals in PDF format, and I use a laptop to run my games and write my notes, I'd much rather use a hardbound book than a PDF when preparing for the game, precisely because I can flip through the book to the pages I need and access the data much more quickly, ironically enough, than my computer can. I'm sure that many engineers and technicians would say the same of their manuals- paper is still a convenience. It's likely that this will change in time, but the first attempts at creating "paperless" offices and plants have largely been failures. -Nicq MacDonald From extropy at unreasonable.com Thu Dec 11 16:00:21 2003 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 11:00:21 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: Newtonmas silly-sallying In-Reply-To: <000001c3bfb5$ddd119c0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> References: <5.1.0.14.2.20031211005754.08440ee0@mail.comcast.net> Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031211104324.030d6e90@mail.comcast.net> At 11:10 PM 12/10/2003 -0800, Spike wrote: > > >We haven't had a pungasm on extropians for some time. {8-] > > > > Well, Newtonmas is approaching. Silly on, dude! -- David. > >OK. These are not ones I wrote, altho I did modify a few >of them. People send me this kinda stuff because they >know my brain has a humor co-processor, that actually >is a higher performer than my main CPU. spike If it's like mine, the operating system allows the co-processor to pre-emptively usurp output devices from the main CPU. Since no one asked, here is the 23-fold punning I posted to that other list. I treated it akin to a game of Boggle -- how many puns could I pull out of a phrase? Some are a little feeble. For greatest effect, imagine them coming rapid-fire from Groucho Marx, Robin Williams, or Spider Robinson. Figuring out where the pun is for each one might be an interesting test of neural connectivity. I'm not sure if measured ingestion of alcohol would increase your score. Perhaps that experiment should be performed. >> Have you stopped beating your wife? Wendy wrote: > I'm a domestic partner not a wife. =p A domestic partner: (a) is a wife (b) is a partner who's been domesticated (c) is a shopping companion for Bed, Bath, and Beyond (d) is bald-headed (e) as opposed to a submissive (see leather) (f) slides down poles at work (g) as opposed to a foreign affair (h) is opposed to a foreign affair (i) chews her husband's food (j) worries about her derriere (k) needs to clean out her purse (l) collects parasites (m) won't go out for recess (n) doesn't range widely (o) twitches during Catholic services (p) measures the galley (q) rides side-saddle (r) helps her husband lose weight (s) times the venison (t) helps clean up the bakery (u) plays with Satchmo Everyone knows it's Wendy. Stop me before I pun again. -- David. From gpmap at runbox.com Thu Dec 11 17:11:08 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 17:11:08 GMT Subject: [extropy-chat] Umberto Eco: In Defense of Vegetal Memory Message-ID: There's something about holding a sleek tablet PC in your hands, feeling the plastic, and reading the softcopy word that even a good paper book can't quite make up for. Really, my sentence is as valid as yours. I agree that e-book technology still has to progress, but progress it will: very long battery life, flexible paper-like screens, at same points e-book will have all the advantages of books with none of the disadvantages, and there will be little to choose. When I was a kid I liked to smell books, there was something in the smell of some types of paper that made me think the book was good. Someone may miss that, but if many do then some will put parfume generators in tablet PCs. --- There's something about holding a book in your hands, feeling the paper, and reading the printed word that even a good e-book reader can't quite make up for. It's like the difference between having fast food and going to a five-star restaurant... sure, the former is *sufficient* nourishment, but if it's an experience you want, you're going to choose the latter. From mlorrey at yahoo.com Thu Dec 11 17:36:33 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 09:36:33 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: <5.1.0.14.2.20031211010136.019159c0@mail.earthlink.net> Message-ID: <20031211173633.23585.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> --- Max More wrote: > Any comments on Ron Bailey's recent piece on global warming? > > How Hot Is It? > Global warming creeps along > November 19, 2003 > http://www.reason.com/rb/rb111903.shtml Yeah, from the article: "So assuming that Wentz' team has gotten it right, and the lower troposphere is warming at a rate of 0.15 degrees per decade, that would mean that the earth would be 1.5 degrees centigrade warmer in 2100 than it is today. If Christy is right, he believes, "We might see a degree of warming over the next century. Neither one of those temperature increases is going to cause much of a catastrophe." " The error in this prediction is that it assumes that temperature increases linearly with carbon dioxide levels. This is false. Temp follows a diminishing returns curve with respect to linear increases in CO2, such that an increase in CO2 in the 20th century that caused a 1.5 degree increase would only cause a .75 degree increase in the 21st as it piled on the previous levels of the 20th. "In 2001, the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) cited various climate models that predicted the world's climate could warm between 1.4 and 5.8 degrees centigrade (2.5 to 10.4 degrees Fahrenheit) by 2100. Of course, the higher catastrophic increase was the one featured in headlines and cited by activists. Now, according to the Wentz and Christy data, it looks like the smaller increase of the IPCC's predicted range of temperatures is more likely to occur. (And if you think that the IPCC's climate models are a bit questionable, you really ought to look at how bad its economic models are, according to The Economist)." Despite this better data, the UN and the leftie chicken littles continue to quote only the most extreme predictions (and continue to ignore the diminishing impact curve). To quote The Economist: "Their criticisms of the IPCC were wide-ranging, but focused on the panel's forecasts of greenhouse-gas emissions. The method employed, the critics argued, had given an upward bias to the projections." So, rather than give a proper DOWNWARD bias to the projections as they should to follow the known diminishing returns curve of CO2, they are instead inventing an accelerating returns curve out of thin air as a statistical artifact. What is so insane about the IPCC's method is that instead of using known science, they instead used an econometric model that assumed that undeveloped and developing nations would grow into a western pattern of emissions as they developed (and would not rely at all on more efficient and low emissive technologies). Moreover, The Economist goes on to say, the 15 members of the IPCC panel demonstrate a significant lack of economic expertise to make such projections based on economic data. As Harvey was talking about non-experts mixing it in earlier, it appears that the IPCC itself is promulgating pseudoscience produced by unqualified personnel, as The Economist itself accuses: "Can so many experts get it wrong? The experts themselves may doubt it, but the answer is yes. The problem is that this horde of authorities is drawn from a narrow professional milieu. Economic and statistical expertise is not among their strengths. Making matters worse, the panel's approach lays great emphasis on peer review of submissions. When the peers in question are drawn from a restricted professional domain?whereas the issues under consideration make demands upon a wide range of professional skills?peer review is not a way to assure the highest standards of work by exposing research to scepticism. It is just the opposite: a kind of intellectual restrictive practice, which allows flawed or downright shoddy work to acquire a standing it does not deserve." Baily concludes, agreeing with myself more than others: "The New York Times correctly notes that satellite data trends now more closely match the predictions of climate models. The article fails to note that that is largely because refined models are predicting lower temperature trends. It seems that the planet is telling us that the climate models most sensitive to changes in carbon dioxide have gotten it wrong and need to be revised. So OK, global warming is not a "hoax," but the danger it poses to humanity and to nature is being exaggerated by activists." Given that even the so called experts are ignoring the diminishing returns curve of CO2, it is become more than a hoax, it is to be concluded that there is massive negligence if not intentional fraud going on. > and: > > Hot Air Conference > Urgent action on a non-problem > December 9, 2003 > http://www.reason.com/rb/rb120903.shtml This article helps expose what I've been saying for a long time and some on this list have been denigrating me and ignoring me for: "The runup to the COP9 meeting has seen the publication of numerous ritual warnings that the global warming is worse than expected and that something must be done about it now. For example, the German Advisory Council on Global Change issued a report that warned that likely increases in global temperatures due to manmade causes over the next century would be "intolerable." " Now, isn't it interesting, as I have pointed out on occasion, that Germany, one of the most socialized nations on the planet, with extremely high taxes on fossil fuels that are used to finance their welfare state system, is among the chief chicken littles, claiming that things are worse than expected (despite data to the contrary) and hyperdramatizing it with claims that anthropogenic warming will be 'intolerable'. Intolerable for what? For their welfare state system, is what. As anthropic warming is increasingly determined to be a non-issue for the true market economies, at least for the foreseable future, market economies will continue to outperform non-market or semi-market economies, draining currency badly needed to fund the retirements of the post-war generation. What is interesting is that the Germans admit that the global economy can handle a 2 degree increase without problem, which means, according to more accurate data, that we are good for at least the next two centuries. But by then, it will be too late for the German nanny state. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From megao at sasktel.net Thu Dec 11 18:34:53 2003 From: megao at sasktel.net (Extropian Agroforestry Ventures Inc.) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 12:34:53 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Cherry picking the carcass of a Pun Message-ID: <3FD8B8CD.46763894@sasktel.net> Take the pharase: Get thou to a Punnery. From wingcat at pacbell.net Thu Dec 11 22:16:42 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 14:16:42 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Cherry picking the carcass of a Pun In-Reply-To: <3FD8B8CD.46763894@sasktel.net> Message-ID: <20031211221642.88392.qmail@web80408.mail.yahoo.com> --- "Extropian Agroforestry Ventures Inc." wrote: > Take the pharase: > > Get thou to a Punnery. ...and thou must do punnance. From wingcat at pacbell.net Thu Dec 11 22:38:22 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 14:38:22 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] E-book aesthetics In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031211223822.96055.qmail@web80408.mail.yahoo.com> --- Giu1i0 Pri5c0 wrote: > There's something about holding a sleek tablet PC in > your hands, feeling the plastic, and reading the > softcopy word that even a good paper book can't > quite make up for. Taking that thought a step further...can people think of some of the non-technological advantages e-books have over their paper ancestors? I.e., search functionality and downloading are nice, but I'm talking about the ability of the "paper" to adjust its contrast - even glow, in low light - to improve readability, or (for large texts, like an entire encyclopedia set) the lower weight and bulk of an e-book plus reader versus thick paper tomes. Or how about permanence? Acid-free paper is one thing, but for data you truly care about (and thus, which is likely to be backed up and updated to newer data formats as they come out), it can be as immortal as you might be some day. > --- > There's something about holding a book in your > hands, feeling the paper, and reading the printed > word that even a good e-book reader can't quite make > up for. It's like the difference between having > fast food and going to a five-star restaurant... > sure, the former is *sufficient* nourishment, but if > it's an experience you want, you're going to choose > the latter. There's a restaurant near where I work (Tung Kee Noodle House, for anyone near Mountain View) which many of my co-workers patronize for the experience. Speed of food delivery is usually on par with or better than most fast food restaurants, and the efficiency of the place shows in everything they do. (It's even better if you already know what you want before you walk in the door - as most of their repeat customers apparently do.) Given as we're usually in a business "let's get our tasks done quickly" mood at that time of the day, it is an experience we can and do enjoy, time and again. And maybe I'm wierd in this aspect, but when I'm going out to eat and I want an experience, my experience comes from the people I eat with far more than from the restaurant we happen to choose. (In fact, often times my choice of restaurant in these situations is based on intuitive nutritional needs. I.e., my body tells me if it can handle rich Italian food, if it just wants a salad from the soup & salad joint, if it's craving meat and lots of it, et cetera. Of course, being intuition, it's not always correct, but it's better for that than something completely unrelated.) From oregan.emlyn at healthsolve.com.au Thu Dec 11 23:29:45 2003 From: oregan.emlyn at healthsolve.com.au (Emlyn O'regan) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 09:59:45 +1030 Subject: [extropy-chat] Umberto Eco: In Defense of Vegetal Memory Message-ID: <7A2B25F8EB070940996FA543A70A217B017868D3@adlexsv02.protech.com.au> > "It is true that today's e-books are not very convenient to > use compared to paper books, but this will change soon with better > technology. Today's scissors cut much better than last > century's scissors. A > book remains a book regardless of the technology used to > produce and use it. > See also this post of mine at Always On." > > Convenience isn't the whole reason, though. Sure, it makes > sense to replace a collection of flimsy paperbacks with an > e-book reader, but for those of us who like to pick up a > nice, hefty, leatherbound tome from time to time, the book > isn't going away. There's something about holding a book in > your hands, feeling the paper, and reading the printed word > that even a good e-book reader can't quite make up for. It's > like the difference between having fast food and going to a > five-star restaurant... sure, the former is *sufficient* > nourishment, but if it's an experience you want, you're going > to choose the latter. > > Not only that, e-book readers and formats are going to have > to advance considerably before they can reach the utility of > a hardbound book. For instance, I'm a so-called "pen and > paper" roleplaying gamer. While I have many game manuals in > PDF format, and I use a laptop to run my games and write my > notes, I'd much rather use a hardbound book than a PDF when > preparing for the game, precisely because I can flip through > the book to the pages I need and access the data much more > quickly, ironically enough, than my computer can. I'm sure > that many engineers and technicians would say the same of > their manuals- paper is still a convenience. It's likely > that this will change in time, but the first attempts at > creating "paperless" offices and plants have largely been failures. > > -Nicq MacDonald I don't think we'll ever go paperless, but I think paper will change. Here's why: We love paper. It's dumb, it's unsearchable, it's static (unless you use pencil and eraser), it's not hyper-linkable. But it's excellent, it absolutely kicks butt all over computer screens. Why is that? Well, it's thin and light and easy to read. You can spit a printed document out of a printer in short order, and go read it down at the cafe, or in your lounge room, or in the tub. You can make notes on it, you can highlight it. You can stick little tags on pages you want to bookmark, or you can fold the corner over, or whatever. And you can have lots and lots of it. You can spread a document out on the floor around you if you like, and see it all at once. Computer screens, on the other hand, are quite crappy as a substitute. Mostly they are bulky, embedded in a device that is giant and cumbersome (compared to paper!), and *there is only one of them*. Yes, for any given device it is more than likely that there is only one screen, of limited area, for you to read from. Compared to that, a handful of letter or A4 sized paper sheets is luxury! Hang on a minute Emlyn, you say. Aren't you a big technophile, supporting uploading and nanotech and all the good stuff? What's all this press for dead trees? Well, the problem is that the things they do well, they do very very well. Paper is simply stupendously superiour to an electronic display, for all the reasons I've given above. But paper is a broad term I think. Maybe better to say lightweight, cheap, ultrathin, self contained display, something like that? I think we need better paper. We need to retain all the current qualities, as I've said above, but we need more. We need it to also act at least a bit like a computer display. Particularly, we need to fix the one real limitation of paper, which is its lack of integration with our information systems. So, it needs at a minimum to be reconfigurable (so you can download a page into it from a machine). It would also be *really good* to be able to scrawl on it, and be able to load that back into the machine. Not having this second quality would compromise one of paper's important features. I envisage a *successful* e-book reader as looking like a book. It'd have a hard cover, modifiable, a wireless NIC, and a bunch of pages inside, like a book. It'd be like an mp3 player, but for books, so you pick the book you want from an interactive display (maybe inside the front cover) from a list of books stored in the device, and the cover and pages would update themselves appropriately. Also, you probably want a list of downloadable titles, and maybe a full web browser for maximum flexibility in finding new books. As to redrawing, there is some squirm room here; it could take 5 minutes for the pages to redraw themselves if necessary, as long as they were fixed afterwards. Then, you'd have a book! Just read away. Hopefully you can make notes on the pages (with some kind of special pen), and add bookmarks (which probably end up listed on the inside cover; you'd select one and the page edge would change colour to show you where to turn to). What else could you put inside the front cover? A search facility! Surely. It might just give you a list of pages to turn to for your search item, and when you go there, the words are highlighted. If the book didn't have enough pages, that'd be ok; it probably needs a few, but not necessarily hundreds. It would be a big advantage if the whole document was displayed at once, especially if redraw was slow, but it's not strictly necessary. If there aren't enough pages, you just need to be able to load a subset of the book at any one time, and switch subsets easily. A device like that would have me ready to ditch paper books for good. Single sheet smart paper would be awesome too. Instead of needing a printer, you'd just plug it into some device that could download/upload content, and modify it. You could distribute hardcopy documents that way if you wanted to, and the recipient would be able to, with the right equipment, have access to the full electronic version. Maybe the paper itself would even be really interactive, so you could touch a special menu spot, and you'd get all these options for interacting with the document. Cool! If it was cheap and dynamic enough, it'd replace displays altogether. I think coding on really dynamic sheets of paper would be awesome. You could lay different bits of it out around you, and scribble out changes by hand. Anyway, enough blathering. Electronic books will eventually kill of static books, but we'll need smart paper before that happens. And then, no one will miss the old books, because we wont be replacing them with something shitty, we'll be replacing them with something just like they were, but better. Personally, I'd love to get a smart display "tatoo", possibly all over, hopefully with touch-screen type functionality. Emlyn From thespike at earthlink.net Fri Dec 12 00:05:13 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 18:05:13 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] man takes first leak in outer space References: <20031211173633.23585.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <014c01c3c043$a08f6600$c6994a43@texas.net> http://www.sfcovers.net/Magazines/AUT/AUT_0046.jpg From wingcat at pacbell.net Fri Dec 12 00:33:32 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 16:33:32 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Umberto Eco: In Defense of Vegetal Memory In-Reply-To: <1071157348.9c0ada80namacdon@ole.augie.edu> Message-ID: <20031212003332.28298.qmail@web80404.mail.yahoo.com> --- Nicholas Anthony MacDonald wrote: > It's likely that this will change in time, but the > first attempts at creating "paperless" offices and > plants have largely been failures. Partly, this requires knowing how to use it. I may be self-promoting here, but I raise my own hand to signal an example of a success story. One of the keys is organizing the online data in such a way as to take advantage of its electronic form. Portable viewers help, as do having things in quick-to-load (even if they're large) documents (for example, hypertext lets you go from document to document with a single click, which takes about as much time and effort as turning a page, while Word or PDF files typically require you to go through the relatively cumbersome - many seconds! - procedure of finding and opening a new document). If you know the text you're looking for but not the section, don't bother scrolling, just let the computer seek it out (usually via Control-F). Taking a note from Eco, there's also the fact that most office - and *specifically* office - documents are more for consultation than for reading. User manuals might be read through once or twice, but most uses will be after that, when some specific fact needs to be looked up. In addition, if you're at a computer (which, with portable viewers - especially context-sensitive ones, such as augmented reality goggles for mechanics that recognize what is being worked on - can almost always be the case) and a problem comes up, which is easier to get information from: a help window that, at most, you can access with a quarter minute's mouse activity, or a book on a bookshelf you have to stand up, walk over to, look up, remove, then find the right page in? Most office documentation reflects this use, and a growing number of products now offer electronic documentation in addition to or instead of paper. For examples of portable viewers - for instance, on any system that usually has power anyway, you could add an almost standalone IR port and button, to beam standard format documentation to any handheld device in range with an IR port (like, say, almost every Palm and most other PDAs being manufactured today), though a battery backup would be a good idea (say, if you have to diagnose problems with the power socket). Or, if the documentation is simple enough and the device large enough, "print" the docs in the device's surface (unpowered devices tend to be ones you're close enough to read while using anyway). And there's been many a meeting where I've tapped out notes on my PDA and shared them with a select few co-attendees without interrupting the main speaker (usually, the speaker was on the other end of a conference call, and the topic of the moment only concerned a minority of those physically present at my end). There's also apparently a bit of a social factor. Many people complain about trouble reading long stretches of text on a computer screen, but I can do so just fine, and I know several people who likewise do not suffer from this disability. (One of the mailing lists I'm subscribed to is about online fiction, and several of the stories posted to the list would easily qualify for "novel" status, as opposed to "novella" or "short story", based on their length. Of course, they're posted in chapters, partly for ease of bookmarking and partly since the list is intended to review and improve the works before they get too far off track.) Although, I have to wonder if part of the difficulty is in knowing how to read text on a screen...and it's difficult to quantify that without knowing what people find difficult. (Examples of difficulties I've heard of include contrast and font size, both of which should be far more controllable in an electronic display than for paper - but, of course, one must know how to control these to take advantage of that.) From extropy at unreasonable.com Fri Dec 12 00:55:18 2003 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 19:55:18 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Cherry picking the carcass of a Pun In-Reply-To: <20031211221642.88392.qmail@web80408.mail.yahoo.com> References: <3FD8B8CD.46763894@sasktel.net> Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031211194756.02d61cb8@mail.comcast.net> At 02:16 PM 12/11/2003 -0800, Adrian Tymes wrote: > > Get thou to a Punnery. > >...and thou must do punnance. consisting of pundering your punishment, as you listen to puntificating. This retreat is, of course, located in Punnsylvania. If this is too much for you, you may want to consider punting on the whole idea, and directly asking the Puntiff for a special dispunsation. Sorry. I'm getting a little punchy.... -- David Lubkin. From thespike at earthlink.net Fri Dec 12 00:53:41 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 18:53:41 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Aboriginal avatar References: <20031212003332.28298.qmail@web80404.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <017c01c3c04a$64f693a0$c6994a43@texas.net> Interesting cultural adaptation: http://australianit.news.com.au/articles/0,7204,8081461%5E15302%5E%5Enbv%5E, 00.html Avatar helps heal outback Nicholas Rothwell DECEMBER 09, 2003 AN animated software tool developed in Alice Springs is poised to revolutionise the delivery of health information to remote Aboriginal communities in central Australia. The program, created by a young co-ordinator from the Northern Territory Department of Health, working with a team from Melbourne software house Inchain, features Uncle - the world's first three-dimensional Aboriginal avatar, or computer character, complete with guitar. Medical managers have great hopes that this system will ease the difficult task of providing crucial knowledge about diseases and treatments to remote communities, where language is often a barrier to effective health education. [etc] From wingcat at pacbell.net Fri Dec 12 01:16:48 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 17:16:48 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Cherry picking the carcass of a Pun In-Reply-To: <5.1.0.14.2.20031211194756.02d61cb8@mail.comcast.net> Message-ID: <20031212011648.44342.qmail@web80404.mail.yahoo.com> --- David Lubkin wrote: > At 02:16 PM 12/11/2003 -0800, Adrian Tymes wrote: > > > Get thou to a Punnery. > > > >...and thou must do punnance. > > consisting of pundering your punishment, as you > listen to > puntificating. This retreat is, of course, located > in Punnsylvania. > > If this is too much for you, you may want to > consider punting on the whole > idea, and directly asking the Puntiff for a special > dispunsation. > > Sorry. I'm getting a little punchy.... Just do what I do: loot & punder. From extropy at unreasonable.com Fri Dec 12 02:00:18 2003 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 21:00:18 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] ENVIRO: Crichton on Nature and Man In-Reply-To: References: <20031211131155.GY13099@leitl.org> Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031211204326.03576ec8@mail.comcast.net> At 07:51 AM 12/11/2003 -0600, Greg Burch wrote: >The rest is just as good. > > http://www.crichton-official.com/speeches/speeches_quote05.html > >I highly recommend this. I was similarly impressed when it was referenced on another list. I wrote -- >Thanks for posting this; I hadn't seen it. No ideas or facts I wasn't >familiar with but I didn't realize he felt this way. Do you know if he's >always been this sort of rational skeptic? It's great to see someone as >well-known and popular as Crichton saying these things. but then it was pointed out that he wrote a loony autobiographical book, Travels -- >I don't know about Crichton's skepticism or rationality with respect >to the environment--he has traveled pretty widely and seen a lot of >stuff--but the words "rational skeptic" are quite possibly the last >words in the entire lexicon I'd ever consider applying to him. > >If you'd read his book "Travels" which documents his real-life >experiences, you'd see how unbelievably gullible and addle-headed he is >about so-called "psychic" phenomena. He believes he can bend spoons >with his mind. He says that he thinks almost anyone can do it. > : >What an idiot. There are several more ridiculous chapters in which >he talks about how he channels spirits, sees auras, being protected by >some "bat-like" creature, and how he willingly gets taken in by every >two-bit psychic and cold reader. I'd quote some of this but it's so >idiotic as to be painful. It seems there is no single bit of flummery >he won't fall for with alacrity. > >The whole book makes you feel sorry for him, really. The entire >postscript of his bug is a diatribe against scientists, who he thinks >are just prejudiced because they can't confirm any of this claptrap. So I generously allowed that since the book was written in 1987, maybe he'd grown since then. Which led to a pointer to a recent interview, http://www.montgomerybell.com/atschool/activities/BellRinger/Issue3.pdf , which not only affirms his continued belief in nonsense but shows other unpleasant sides. As I wrote, >I'm a little confused by the seeming disparity between the rational skeptic >who gave the speech and the spoon-bender. > >I had noticed earlier that while his books often have a veneer of science, >they often either take on a tinge of There Are Things Man Was Not Meant To >Know or delve into the supernatural. > >Was he was devoted to Christopher Lee movies as a child? > >I note in the Bell Ringer interview he admits that he began his writing >career by plagiarizing George Orwell at Harvard. Perhaps the unusual tenor >of the speech is because he cribbed it? > >He's clearly able to bamboozle high school kids who don't read widely or >know how to google. > >The interviewer described the ideas expressed in Crichton's sf as "ahead of >their time, so much so that some people have even called him a >visionary." (People who haven't read sf? His press agent? But wait -- >this might be accurate. Did he say anything in Travels about seeing >visions, perhaps chemically induced?) > >Crichton said, "We were talking last night and somebody said something >about one book where I had specified a motion control camera, and he said >you know we're just developing that tech now." This will come as a >surprise to the fellows at Lucasfilm and Industrial Light & Magic, who >thought they'd developed it a quarter-century ago. > >It's asserted that his software company, FilmTrack, was the first to use >digitized images in a movie. I have not researched this claim but it seems >unlikely, from what I know about the history of computer graphics and image >processing. > >He's credited with being a programmer, again an unlikely achievement. I >can easily see how a high-schooler could be confused and think someone who >owns a software company is necessarily a programmer, but Crichton does not >correct him. > >Bottom-line seems to be that he's been so successful in Hollywood because >he's a shameless BS artist who believes his own press and takes credit for >other people's work. (Which lets him fit right in.) -- David Lubkin. From spike66 at comcast.net Fri Dec 12 02:28:11 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 18:28:11 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] ENVIRO: Crichton on Nature and Man In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <003101c3c057$965fe2e0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > Normally I don't have much time for Michael Crichton... I don't either! He fatally stabbed the sweet and kind Lucy Knight, gave good-guy Green a brain tumor, very nearly killed Luka four times (a mugger, a car accident, African revolutionaries and by malaria), nearly killed good-guy Carter twice (African revolutionaries and by the stabbing that slew Knight), almost let Sally Field perish of a sleeping pill overdose, nearly let Hathaway die in childbirth, nearly let a drug-crazed addict shoot Abby (all the while never endangering the reprehensible Weaver or Corday), and now the cruel bastard drops a freaking HELICOPTER on my favorite bad guy Ramano! I have given this yahoo an hour a week for the last several years, which is *all* the regular TV that I view since Ally McBeal finished, but I have HAD it with this Crichton, I really have. }8-[ spike From extropy at unreasonable.com Fri Dec 12 02:46:19 2003 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 21:46:19 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Newtonmas gathering Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031211213517.02e99e20@mail.comcast.net> On exi-east, we're orchestrating a Boston-area gathering for later in the month, similar to the ones at Sasha we all remember fondly. Probably at a home (I've offered mine, in Southern NH, but it might be closer to Cambridge), to facilitate all the activities unavailable or frowned on in restaurants. Honing in on a date now. We're thinking of something like 12/25, 26, or 27, to accommodate a proto-extropian from out-of-town. If you think you might be in the vicinity and would like to come, email me or post to exi-east -- especially if you'd like us to take your schedule into account. And crash space is available. If you can't come but will be in the area another time, let exi-east know. There have been many impromptu gatherings, as when Anders was in town. -- David Lubkin. From spike66 at comcast.net Fri Dec 12 03:17:39 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 19:17:39 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: <20031211173633.23585.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <004001c3c05e$7f7ca5c0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > --- Max More wrote: > > Any comments on Ron Bailey's recent piece on global warming? > > > > How Hot Is It? > > Global warming creeps along > > November 19, 2003 > > http://www.reason.com/rb/rb111903.shtml > > Yeah, from the article: > ...Neither one of those temperature > increases is going to cause much of a catastrophe." " > > The error in this prediction is that it assumes that temperature > increases linearly with carbon dioxide levels. This is false... > Given that even the so called experts are ignoring the diminishing > returns curve of CO2, it is become more than a hoax, it is to be > concluded that there is massive negligence if not intentional fraud > going on...Mike That's what it looks like to me too, but I have an idea. As Harvey pointed out, we should be looking at ways of dealing with rising sea levels (if they rise). I suggest doing projects that will help a bunch of people even if the promised global warming doesn't happen. Such as: build huge dams along the Nile, and send water into an enormous east-west canal that spans the entire Sahara Desert cutting across Sudan, Chad, Niger and perhaps ending somewhere in Mali. It seems to me absurd that any of the fresh water in the Nile should be wastefully dumped into the sea! Use it to supply that vast thirsty continent of North Africa. Then once it becomes a decent place to live, import a whole bunch of development- minded people from all over the world, to set up businesses and factories and such. We should terraform the Sahara. The greens talk about how bad it is to waste water, then fail to support the building dams to save that water. If it evaporates and then later falls as rain somewhere else in the desert, that is recycling! Not only that, but building a mega- project like that would supply jobs to jillions of hungry people, and put farms where there is now nothing but empty desert wasteland. We should propose diverting most of the water in Africa inland, perhaps transporting it via pipeline, the way we send water from Mono Lake down to Los Angeles today. Same with the Murray and the Snowy Rivers of Australia: divert that valuable fresh water inland to the arid interior, don't pour it into the sea. If sea levels rise, we could make enormous inland fresh water lakes in the Sahara, the Australian interior, the central valley of Taxifornia, places where there is nooooothing today. I would think we could even lower the sea a couple tenths of a meter from where it is now, to give the Venicians and Dutch a break. Why not? spike From spike66 at comcast.net Fri Dec 12 03:58:10 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 19:58:10 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] delta 4 In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <005101c3c064$28d6bc50$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Check this. Even *I* will admit this launcher built by the other guys is wicked cool. Now lets see if she flies. spike http://spaceflightnow.com/news/n0312/10delta4heavy/01.html From fortean1 at mindspring.com Fri Dec 12 04:09:06 2003 From: fortean1 at mindspring.com (Terry W. Colvin) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 21:09:06 -0700 Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD [UASR] Are falling ice balls a product of global warming? Message-ID: <3FD93F62.B842C2C9@mindspring.com> Are falling ice balls a product of global warming? < http://www.post-gazette.com/pg/03344/249503.stm > Wednesday, December 10, 2003 By Michael Woods, Pittsburgh Post-Gazette BARCELONA, Spain -- A Spanish-American scientific team will be scanning the United States this winter for what might be one of the weirdest byproducts of global warming: great balls of ice that fall from the sky. The baffling phenomenon was first detected in Spain three years ago and has since been reported in a number of other countries, including the United States. So scientists now plan to monitor in a systematic way what they call "megacryometeors" -- or great balls of ice that fall from the sky. "I'm not worried that a block of ice may fall on your head," said Dr. Jesus Martinez-Frias of the Center for Astrobiology in Madrid. "I'm worried that great blocks of ice are forming where they shouldn't exist." Ice balls, which generally weigh 25 to 35 pounds but can be much bigger, have punched holes in the roofs of houses, smashed through car windshields, and whizzed right past people's heads. Incidents like those may be just the beginning, according to Dr. David Travis, who chairs the department of geography and geology at the University of Wisconsin-Whitewater. "If megacryometeor formation is linked to global warming, as we suspect, then it is fair to assume that these events may increase in the future," Travis said. Martinez-Frias pioneered research on megacryometeors in January 2000, after ice chunks weighing up to 6.6 pounds rained on Spain for 10 days. At first, scientists thought the phenomenon was unique to Spain. During the past three years, however, they've accumulated strong evidence that megacryometeors are falling all around the globe. More than 50 falls have been confirmed, and researchers believe that's a small fraction of the actual number, since others may hit unoccupied areas or melt before discovery. Travis said most megacrymeteor falls occur in January, February and March. Researchers were able to analyze ice samples from the 2000 incidents, thanks to witnesses who kept the material cold. Martinez's team quickly ruled out obvious explanations. The ice balls, for instance, were not frozen water from toilets flushed on jetliners. The ice contained no human waste and none of the blue disinfectant used in airplane toilets. Air traffic control records showed that no planes flew over the areas near the ice falls, so the ice had not been shed from aircraft wings. Chunks of debris from a comet? Again, lab tests showed that ice in megacryometeors had the distinctive chemical signature of ice in ordinary terrestrial hailstones. Hail forms in the updrafts and downdrafts of thunderstorms. The updrafts carry droplets of super-cooled water, which freeze. More droplets hit the frozen particles as winds toss them around. The water freezes instantly and the hailstone grows, layer by layer. Most hailstones weigh a fraction of an ounce, with 27 ounces the U. S. record. Megacryometeors show the telltale onionskin layering seen in hailstones. They also contain dust particles and air pockets found in hail. But they are formed in cloudless skies, a notion that defies research on hail formation. "Scientists are naturally reluctant to say something never can happen," said Charles Knight, a hail expert at the University Corporation for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colo. "But oh, dear. I would be tempted to say 'never' on this." Knight has reviewed scientific papers on megacryometeors, and thinks the explanation that cites unusual atmospheric conditions possibly linked to global warming, is probably wrong, although he doesn't have a better one. Global warming involves higher temperatures on Earth's surface, but creates colder conditions in the stratosphere, the uppermost layer of the atmosphere, according to Travis. He has linked megacryometeor events to unusual conditions in the "tropopause," the boundary between the troposphere (the lower atmosphere) and the stratosphere. Located 5 to 9 miles above the surface, the tropopause marks the limit of clouds and is important in the development of storms. Global warming may be making the tropopause colder, moister and more turbulent, Travis said, creating conditions in which ice crystals grow like ordinary hailstones in thunderclouds. (Michael Woods can be reached at mwoods at nationalpress.com or 1-202-662-7072.) Back Copyright ?1997-2002 PG Publishing Co., Inc. All Rights Reserved. -- ?Only a zit on the wart on the heinie of progress.? Copyright 1992, Frank Rice Terry W. Colvin, Sierra Vista, Arizona (USA) < fortean1 at mindspring.com > Alternate: < fortean1 at msn.com > Home Page: < http://www.geocities.com/Area51/Stargate/8958/index.html > Sites: * Fortean Times * Mystic's Haven * TLCB * U.S. Message Text Formatting (USMTF) Program ------------ Member: Thailand-Laos-Cambodia Brotherhood (TLCB) Mailing List TLCB Web Site: < http://www.tlc-brotherhood.org >[Vietnam veterans, Allies, CIA/NSA, and "steenkeen" contractors are welcome.] From mlorrey at yahoo.com Fri Dec 12 04:30:42 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 20:30:42 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: <004001c3c05e$7f7ca5c0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031212043042.26455.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> --- Spike wrote: > Mike Lorrey wrote: > > Yeah, from the article: > > ...Neither one of those temperature > > increases is going to cause much of a catastrophe." " > > > > The error in this prediction is that it assumes that temperature > > increases linearly with carbon dioxide levels. This is false... > > Given that even the so called experts are ignoring the diminishing > > returns curve of CO2, it is become more than a hoax, it is to be > > concluded that there is massive negligence if not intentional fraud > > going on...Mike > > That's what it looks like to me too, but I have an idea. As > Harvey pointed out, we should be looking at ways of dealing > with rising sea levels (if they rise). I suggest doing projects > that will help a bunch of people even if the promised global > warming doesn't happen. Well, this is always good. It would take, however, a significant dedication of resources to PR just to get this going. We need to change the terms of political discourse to make this happen. For example, rather than embrace the 'sustainability' religion of the luddites and the social malthusians, we need to say, "Okay, if warming is happening, we need to do things about it that build GDP, not restrict it." Really plug the fact that since Mars also has global warming, that it can't be blamed on humans or human activities, so, since it is nature that is at fault, we need to decide if we want to alter nature and how, or if it is even needed. The deforestation of north africa is probably the biggest environmental problem in the world, but is it really a contributor to global warming? In one sense, it keeps all of north africa clear of clouds, allowing lots of thermal energy to radiate to space. Clouds, you see, are the real greenhouse gas, not CO2. The CO2 just helps produce more clouds. While they do reflect a lot of energy to space, they also trap the energy that gets through them better than no-clouds. This is why Venus, despite having a much higher albedo than Earth thanks to its total cloud cover, manages to remain 800 F in the shade. A thermal hole similar to North Africa appears with regularity over the Central Pacific, a hole that the more extreme climate predictions do not take into account. Nor do they take into account the thermal isolation of Antarctica. The circumpolar wind and water currents create a wall against thermal leakage into Antarctica, and the Katabatic winds, which drive outward from the center of the continent, are supplied by the stratosphere, where the air cools itself to space before dropping to the pole and driving outward to maintain the frozen continents isolation. This isolation has become ever stronger since it first appeared with any strength 14 million or so years ago as the seas opened up between the Tierra Del Fuego and the Antarctic penninsula. The big problem has been warming in the arctic from increasing cloud cover. There are natural systems at work that respond to this. THe thermal conveyor in the north Atlantic has slowed and in some cases shut down as the thermal differential eased. As this happens, and ocean currents slow, the pole will cool again and renew the cycle. Things we can do to help cool the pole would be things that decrease cloud cover through precipitation. Some say that the decreases in soot and other particulates in the air as coal and wood heat use is reduced and other fossil fuel sources develop clean-burn technologies is what is causing this. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From spike66 at comcast.net Fri Dec 12 05:48:13 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Thu, 11 Dec 2003 21:48:13 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] christmas music In-Reply-To: <20031211221642.88392.qmail@web80408.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <005901c3c073$8896ebb0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> I do not have an extropic answer to this problem: around christmas, all you hear is christmas music, for a two solid months, from just before Halloween until just after New Years, and it drives me CRAZY. The real problem is that there aren't enough different songs, so they play the saaaammme ooooonnnnes over and over and over and over and every yahoo has a slightly different version of the same old thing. But the real problem is that in the shopping malls, they have instrumental versions, and you can't help thinking the words! Just try: you can't do it. Try to not think of the words to Jingle Bells next time you hear it, and good luck. The next biggest problem is that the words are absurd, the ones you cannot help thinking of, since we are all hypnotized and thought-controlled to think of those words whenever we hear the tunes, and buy stuff. Consider the words to the little drummer boy for instance. OK now, first of all, drums do not go rumpapum pum, they go rattatat tat. Secondly, what of the ox and lamb? What exactly is included in "keeping time?" Were the ox and lamb gently swaying to the beat? Friends, that kinda thing creeps me out. I form a mental image like something outta Hitchcock. So it is a bit unclear at best, but in any case, keeping time is not something I want to see a bunch of goddam livestock doing anywhere near a newborn. He would have nightmares until well past adolescence. And that bit about making a snowman and pretending he Parson Brown. They are holding a running conversation with a pile of SNOW, fer cryin out loud. Someone has put angel dust in their stockings you can be sure. spike From gpmap at runbox.com Fri Dec 12 07:12:21 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 08:12:21 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Umberto Eco: In Defense of Vegetal Memory In-Reply-To: <7A2B25F8EB070940996FA543A70A217B017868D3@adlexsv02.protech.com.au> Message-ID: I agree, and I am sure smart paper will be available soon (say three to five years to complete tech development, plus a few years for the adaptation of the market). Here is a sign that things are happening: >From a recent (Dec. 10, 2003) Gyricon press release: Gyricon LLC has announced release of its first commercial application of SmartPaper technology: SyncroSign Message Board. The product launch took place at the Palo Alto Research Center (PARC), a subsidiary of Xerox Corporation, where SmartPaper technology was developed. SyncroSign Message Board is a battery-powered Wi-Fi network sign incorporating SmartPaper technology, a reusable display medium. A key feature of the sign is that it requires no power to display an image. Power is required only when the sign content changes, enabling the sign's long battery life. Messages and sign content can be updated wirelessly to the SyncroSign Message Board using Gyricon's SignSync software. The software enables remote message scheduling, the management of sign content, and is scalable from the deployment of an individual sign to a large enterprise installation. "SyncroSign Message Board is truly next generation wireless signage," said Gyricon's President and CEO Bryan Lubel. "This is a simple, yet powerful application of SmartPaper. It is a great example of how a new technology can be used to dramatically change the way we approach a common market application. Through our market research and field testing, we have identified a huge potential market across many industries." While working at the Palo Alto Research Center (PARC), inventor Nick Sheridon developed the Gyricon technology. The basis of Gyricon's products is a paper-like alternative to liquid-crystal display screens and cathode-ray tubes. SmartPaper is a thin, flexible medium that weighs only a few ounces. Made of millions of tiny bi-chromal wax beads encased in a flexible sheet of elastomer, Gyricon's SmartPaper is easy to read, uses less power and is more portable than conventional displays. SmartPaper is reusable display material that has many of the properties of traditional paper: stores an image - viewed in reflective light - has a wide viewing angle - flexible - relatively inexpensive - Unlike regular paper, however, it is electrically writeable and erasable and is the main media component of our eSignage solutions. Produced in a roll, like conventional paper, SmartPaper is actually two sheets of thin plastic with millions of tiny bichromal beads embedded in between. Each bead is smaller than a grain of sand and has a different color on each half or "side". The hemispheres are also charged differently (i.e. positive or negative). SmartPaper beads reside in their own cavities within the flexible sheet of material, so that under the influence of a voltage applied to the surface, they rotate to present one side or the other to the viewer. This image stays in place until a new voltage pattern is applied, which erases the previous image and generates a new one. http://www.gyricon.com/pr_031210.asp -----Original Message----- From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org]On Behalf Of Emlyn O'regan Sent: viernes, 12 de diciembre de 2003 0:30 To: 'ExI chat list' Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] Umberto Eco: In Defense of Vegetal Memory Anyway, enough blathering. Electronic books will eventually kill of static books, but we'll need smart paper before that happens. And then, no one will miss the old books, because we wont be replacing them with something shitty, we'll be replacing them with something just like they were, but better. From gpmap at runbox.com Fri Dec 12 07:21:26 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 08:21:26 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Thinking Beyond Tomorrow Message-ID: >From The Scientist: Research scientists, venture capitalists, patent attorneys, even a biomedical professor-turned-mystery author offered their opinions on what will be the hottest new technologies five years hence. Their responses varied considerably. Some say bioterrorism is an imminent threat, and some say it's an improbable one. Some say proteomics will finally bear fruit, while others say it won't. Neural cartographers, structural biologists, and nanotechnologists will witness advances, they say. Just as the Human Genome Project reinvented the way scientists view and practice biology, systems biology and cellomics will become the dominant research area, as we try to understand how all this information fits together. Funding agencies evidently agree. In November, the NSF announced it would spend $4 million in FY 2004 for "Quantitative Systems Biotechnology." And last year, the National Institutes of Health launched an initiative to create Centers of Excellence in Complex Biomedical Systems Research. Indeed, because complex biological circuits control everything from organ development to cancer, systems biology research could have a profound impact on the future of human health and medicine[Giu1i0 Pri5c0] . -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From amara at amara.com Fri Dec 12 09:08:59 2003 From: amara at amara.com (Amara Graps) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 11:08:59 +0200 Subject: [extropy-chat] christmas music ("Vilt" thing) Message-ID: Spike: >I do not have an extropic answer to this problem: >around christmas, all you hear is christmas music, >for a two solid months, from just before Halloween >until just after New Years, and it drives me CRAZY. [...] >Someone has put angel dust in their stockings you >can be sure. *** 21 Days until Comet Wild 2 *** http://stardust.jpl.nasa.gov/ Perhaps this song will help. Sing along ... Amara From: Mark Gingrich Subject: Re: STARDUST Successfully Launched Date: 1999/02/08 Ron Baalke reported: > Stardust is on a flight path that will deliver it to Comet > Wild-2 (pronounced "Vilt-2") on January 2, 2004. The spacecraft > will gather particles flying off the nucleus of the comet. ... In celebration of today's successful launch of the Stardust probe, and to help spread the word as to the correct pronunciation of Comet Wild ("Vilt," as Ron Baalke reminds us above), we invite all of you to sing the following to the 1960s tune _Wild Thing_, by The Troggs. "Vilt" thing, We'll make your dust cling. You make this aerogel filthy. I said "Vilt" thing. "Vilt" thing, we think you're dusty. But we wanna know for sure. Are your particulates Brownlee? Oooh, you're dusty. "Vilt" thing, We'll make your dust cling. You make this aerogel filthy. I said "Vilt" thing. "Vilt" thing, we think you're icy. But we wanna know for sure. Does your dust hold volatiles? Brrrr, you're icy. -- -- ******************************************************************** Amara Graps, PhD email: amara at amara.com Computational Physics vita: ftp://ftp.amara.com/pub/resume.txt Multiplex Answers URL: http://www.amara.com/ ******************************************************************** "My, this game does teach new words!" --Hobbes From bradbury at aeiveos.com Fri Dec 12 13:00:37 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 05:00:37 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] BIO: Chimps and Humans Message-ID: Some of you may have noticed the posting of the chimpanzee genome and the results of some chimp-human gene comparisons. The short summary is that it looks like humans have been on an evolutionary fast track over the last 100,000 years. NY Times summary: http://www.nytimes.com/2003/12/12/science/12GENO.html?pagewanted=print Brief mention in Science (for those with subscriptions...): http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/summary/302/5652/1876a Article: Inferring Nonneutral Evolution from Human-Chimp-Mouse Orthologous Gene Trios http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/abstract/302/5652/1960 Given the similarities between the genomes its going to make being a creationist just a little bit harder... :-) Robert From amara at amara.com Fri Dec 12 12:34:32 2003 From: amara at amara.com (Amara Graps) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 14:34:32 +0200 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About Message-ID: Spike: >Most natural systems have multiple cycles. The sun >"rings" with localized areas oscillating at a frequency >of a few hours. Maybe you mean five minutes? That is the strongest mode. http://physics.usc.edu/solar/project.html Details of the physics here: http://soi.stanford.edu/results/heliowhat.html -- ******************************************************************** Amara Graps, PhD email: amara at amara.com Computational Physics vita: ftp://ftp.amara.com/pub/resume.txt Multiplex Answers URL: http://www.amara.com/ ******************************************************************** "The best presents don't come in boxes." --Hobbes From amara at amara.com Fri Dec 12 12:42:53 2003 From: amara at amara.com (Amara Graps) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 14:42:53 +0200 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About Message-ID: Harvey: >I would love to see working groups formed codify current methods into FAQs, >how-to documents, and support infrastructures for: >- life-extension diets >- long-term investing >- IT security >- political activism >- starting your own business >- brainstorming solutions >- developing AI >- developing nanotech What is your suggested funding source? Many people here have families and need to work for a living. (For me, at least three jobs). Amara -- ******************************************************************** Amara Graps, PhD email: amara at amara.com Computational Physics vita: ftp://ftp.amara.com/pub/resume.txt Multiplex Answers URL: http://www.amara.com/ ******************************************************************** "We don't see things as they are, we see them as we are." --Anais Nin From bradbury at aeiveos.com Fri Dec 12 13:50:26 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 05:50:26 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: <3FD43AC1.1010501@mail.tele.dk> Message-ID: On Mon, 8 Dec 2003, Max M wrote: > How can you not win, if you can clearly show that it is scary for the kids. [snip] I'm not sure this is the right place to add to the discussion, but I thought it would be useful for the archives to have a pointer to the NY Times commentary... December 9, 2003 Yes, They Can! No, They Can't: Charges Fly in Nanobot Debate By KENNETH CHANG http://www.nytimes.com/2003/12/09/science/09FEUD.html?pagewanted=print R. From spike66 at comcast.net Fri Dec 12 14:19:32 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 06:19:32 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] BIO: Chimps and Humans In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <001001c3c0ba$f6beb810$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > Subject: [extropy-chat] BIO: Chimps and Humans > > Some of you may have noticed the posting of the chimpanzee genome > and the results of some chimp-human gene comparisons. The short > summary is that it looks like humans have been on an evolutionary > fast track over the last 100,000 years. > > NY Times summary: > http://www.nytimes.com/2003/12/12/science/12GENO.html?pagewanted=print > AHA! Just what I thought: humans might evolve faster than other beasts because the mechanism of mate selection is particularly effective when the beasts in question sit around and share ideas about which potential mates are the most desireable ones. This explains why humans have gone open loop while the other beasts are evidently in equilibrium: gene expression is an extension of meme expression. spike From spike66 at comcast.net Fri Dec 12 14:28:43 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 06:28:43 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] christmas music ("Vilt" thing) In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <001101c3c0bc$3ec41b90$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > Spike: > [...] > >Someone has put angel dust in their stockings you > >can be sure. > > > Perhaps this song will help. Sing along ... > > > Amara ... > > "Vilt" thing, > We'll make your dust cling. > You make this aerogel filthy. > I said "Vilt" thing. > Amara that's it! Great idea: we substitute the most egregious verses with ones more acceptable and extropic. Consider this guy, who is coming to town: ...Sees you when you're sleeping, He knows when you're awake... Well, how creepy is that? Does he see you in the shower? If he has already penetrated the bedroom, what's stopping him? So how about: He sees you when you're sleeping He knows when you're awake The elves call him Tom Peeping Wont give David Brin a break... spike From alex at ramonsky.com Fri Dec 12 14:55:55 2003 From: alex at ramonsky.com (Alex Ramonsky) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 14:55:55 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About References: Message-ID: <3FD9D6FB.2020706@ramonsky.com> Hey, if you folks could learn to play a couple of instruments, we could be the first working group supporting a working group...give em some of that good old rock & roll musical activism?? -Bags I playing the piano...Groovy baby, yeah... : ) AR Amara Graps wrote: > Harvey: > >> I would love to see working groups formed codify current methods into >> FAQs, >> how-to documents, and support infrastructures for: >> - life-extension diets >> - long-term investing >> - IT security >> - political activism >> - starting your own business >> - brainstorming solutions >> - developing AI >> - developing nanotech > > > > What is your suggested funding source? Many people here have families and > need to work for a living. (For me, at least three jobs). > > Amara > From extropy at unreasonable.com Fri Dec 12 15:02:44 2003 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 10:02:44 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] christmas music In-Reply-To: <005901c3c073$8896ebb0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> References: <20031211221642.88392.qmail@web80408.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031212092320.02f47eb8@mail.comcast.net> At 09:48 PM 12/11/2003 -0800, Spike wrote: >I do not have an extropic answer to this problem: >around christmas, all you hear is christmas music, >for a two solid months, from just before Halloween >until just after New Years, and it drives me CRAZY. There are two facets to your problem. The first is that we need our own set of Newtonmas songs as a counter-offense to drive THEM crazy. We do, after a fashion. The primary liturgy is that of the not-late, great Tom Lehrer. His psalms were taught to my parents as young postulants in the Gomorrah of Cambridge, who taught them to me, as I then taught them to my daughter -- an unbroken chain of meme propagation to carry them to the Singularity. Immerse yourself in the simple grace of the parable of The Masochism Tango and of the credo "Don't write naughty words on walls if you can't spell." In Lehrer's wake, we have the lesser profits of Monty and the Pythons and more-recent candidates for canonization (in full support of Second Amendment rights). >The real problem is that there aren't enough different >songs, so they play the saaaammme ooooonnnnes >over and over and over and over and every yahoo has a >slightly different version of the same old thing. But >the real problem is that in the shopping malls, they >have instrumental versions, and you can't help >thinking the words! Just try: you can't do it. >Try to not think of the words to Jingle Bells next >time you hear it, and good luck. This is the second facet. Young Jedi, you must learn the power of the filk if you are to shield yourself from the Empire's death rays: Deck us all with Boston Charlie Walla Walla Wash and Kalamazoo Nora's freezing on the trolley Swaller dollar cauliflower allergaroo Don we now archaic barrels, Hula Boola Pensa Cola, Louisville Lou Molly Prolly don't love Harold Walla Walla Wash and Kalamazoo -- David Lubkin. From eugen at leitl.org Fri Dec 12 14:36:57 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 15:36:57 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: References: <20031211131155.GY13099@leitl.org> Message-ID: <20031212143656.GS13099@leitl.org> On Thu, Dec 11, 2003 at 06:15:35AM -0800, Robert J. Bradbury wrote: > Hmmmm.... If that were true then one should not be able to make > buckyballs or buckytubes (as I believe they have strained bonds). Small strained (even highly so) cages are no problem (prismane, cubane, dodecahedrane). If you look at the principles in their synthesis: http://www.ch.ic.ac.uk/local/projects/b_muir/Cubane/Cubanepro/Synthesis.html you'll see everything occurs on a local scale. This doesn't apply for the fine-motion controller. (I've just have taken a look at it again): you can easily make the subsystems, albeit not in a great yield. It's doable to get annelated rings to self-assemble in a pi-complex, and you can get a nanotube into the lumen, and fixate the ends (not with diamondoid plates, though, and you can't get SWNT monofragmented by a given size). There's not at all much strain present in the structure, but all of it prevents ligation into final shape, so it won't happen in a stochastic synthesis. I can go into more detail, but it's not required, as no one assumes organic synthesis will be used for bootstrap for components of this complexity. Engineered enzymes reach much further, but we can't de novo design enzymes for specific tasks yet. > Cubane is perhaps the ultimate example and it is produced using > chemical synthesis. I'm wasn't talking about merely strained molecules. > I did not say that one would have a high yield -- since some > parts of nanotech development may be a bootstrapping process > you may only need one copy of something. > > A related question -- do you know of a program/utility that > can show the degree of bond strain? Not something you just can plug a random structure into, and expect meaningful values. It is possible to estimate strain for a fine motion controller, but it's not the absolute values which make the synthesis prohibitive. If this still interests you, there are problems and references aplenty at http://chemistry.gsu.edu/glactone/modeling/Magid/strain/strain.html -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From naddy at mips.inka.de Fri Dec 12 14:55:12 2003 From: naddy at mips.inka.de (Christian Weisgerber) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 14:55:12 +0000 (UTC) Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: Encryption revolution References: <20031209143327.GY4452@leitl.org> <000801c3be83$2c2bff60$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: Harvey Newstrom wrote: > This is a big problem with Extropians and Transhumanists in general. All we > seem to have is a discussion group with armchair quarterbacks and amateurs > arguing over star-trek science. Where are all the real experts in our > favorite fields? I feel like I am beating a dead horse, but it has to be > said. It's a straightforward case of self-selection. As Eugen has pointed out, extended participation in online fora is usually incompatible with getting things done. Those people actually working on >H goals are, well, busy working. Those that remain here (and likely most that were attracted in the first place) are those that don't offer anything but talk. I'm still as much a transhumanist as I was when I first heard about it, but over the last few years I have become severely disillusioned about the extropian and transhumanist _movement_. It's a fanboy club that exerts no influence whatsoever on actual technological or social development and that will probably be overrun in the medium term by the progress happening in the real world. -- Christian "naddy" Weisgerber naddy at mips.inka.de From naddy at mips.inka.de Fri Dec 12 15:05:42 2003 From: naddy at mips.inka.de (Christian Weisgerber) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 15:05:42 +0000 (UTC) Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: Digital divide summit References: Message-ID: Giu1i0 Pri5c0 wrote: > But some nations have called for control of the internet to be > handed to an international body such as the UN's International > Telecommunications Union (ITU). Oh, the irony. Does anybody remember the times when ISO and ITU dismissed this whole Internet toy thing out of hand because it wasn't based on "proper" international standards and besides it wasn't them who had come up with it? Nowadays they want to be in charge of the Internet and make standards for it. Sorry, just the reminiscences of an old man. (Don't take the above as a statement that I'm opposed to putting the ITU in charge. It's just a hilarious perversion of their original attitude.) -- Christian "naddy" Weisgerber naddy at mips.inka.de From naddy at mips.inka.de Fri Dec 12 15:19:11 2003 From: naddy at mips.inka.de (Christian Weisgerber) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 15:19:11 +0000 (UTC) Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: christmas music References: <20031211221642.88392.qmail@web80408.mail.yahoo.com> <005901c3c073$8896ebb0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: Spike wrote: > I do not have an extropic answer to this problem: > around christmas, all you hear is christmas music, > for a two solid months, from just before Halloween > until just after New Years, and it drives me CRAZY. Right now, I'm tuned in to Metal Express Radio, Norway, via a Shoutcast.com stream, and it doesn't sound much like Christmas. More like Iron Maiden in their usual mood, actually. When I got my ADSL line my consumption of broadcast radio collapsed to little more than nothing. There's a lot of free Internet radio out there, with all kinds of music, and few or no commercials, idiot DJs, or inane call-in games that plague broadcast radio. > Consider the words to the little drummer boy for instance. There's a version by Joan Jett and the Blackhearts. Never listened to the lyrics, I'm afraid. -- Christian "naddy" Weisgerber naddy at mips.inka.de From natashavita at earthlink.net Fri Dec 12 16:14:26 2003 From: natashavita at earthlink.net (natashavita at earthlink.net) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 11:14:26 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] ARTS: Comic Book Message-ID: <48270-2200312512161426501@M2W042.mail2web.com> Wow! Nice, very nice. I'd like to see Ross's work exhibited next to Anders's designs at the upcoming Museum of Transhumanist Arts 2004 Exhibition. "(CNN) -- If you know a comic book fan, your gift shopping is done. Simply put a bow on "Mythology: The DC Comics Art of Alex Ross" and you will earn squeals of delight and undying appreciation." http://www.cnn.com/2003/SHOWBIZ/books/12/11/review.mythology/index.html Natasha http://www.transhumanist.biz/exhibit2004.htm -------------------------------------------------------------------- mail2web - Check your email from the web at http://mail2web.com/ . From mlorrey at yahoo.com Fri Dec 12 16:21:14 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 08:21:14 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD [UASR] Are falling ice balls a product of global warming? In-Reply-To: <3FD93F62.B842C2C9@mindspring.com> Message-ID: <20031212162114.95467.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> --- "Terry W. Colvin" wrote: > Are falling ice balls a product of global warming? > > < http://www.post-gazette.com/pg/03344/249503.stm > > > Wednesday, December 10, 2003 > By Michael Woods, Pittsburgh Post-Gazette > > BARCELONA, Spain -- A Spanish-American scientific team will be > scanning > the United States this winter for what might be one of the weirdest > byproducts of global warming: great balls of ice that fall from the > sky. And nobody thought to check for passing airliners.... ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Fri Dec 12 16:28:56 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 08:28:56 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] delta 4 In-Reply-To: <005101c3c064$28d6bc50$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031212162856.24582.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> --- Spike wrote: > Check this. Even *I* will admit this launcher built by > the other guys is wicked cool. Now lets see if she flies. spike > > http://spaceflightnow.com/news/n0312/10delta4heavy/01.html "The Delta IV Heavy is the newest and largest expendable launch vehicle in the United States and is the largest of the Boeing Delta family of launch vehicles. It is configured with three common booster cores (CBCs) joined together and can lift up to 13,130 kg (28,950 pounds) to geosynchronous transfer orbit. When fully stacked with a payload on board, the vehicle will measure 71.7 meters (235 feet) in height. A five-meter upper stage sits on top of the core CBC, and has the capability of carrying either single or multiple payloads." This is a sweet rocket. I'll notice that the center booster is common construction to the two side boosters. Are these all solid rockets? If so, what does this say for the future of liquid propulsion??? I've thought for a long time that the logic of hydrogen/oxygen or other liquid fuels was a bit screwy, that they mandated rather huge vehicles that resulted in insane mass ratios. This booster competes directly with the space shuttle. That cargo size is for GEOSYNCH!!!! ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Fri Dec 12 16:37:59 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 08:37:59 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031212163759.29603.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> --- "Robert J. Bradbury" wrote: > > > On Mon, 8 Dec 2003, Max M wrote: > > > How can you not win, if you can clearly show that it is scary for > the kids. > [snip] > > I'm not sure this is the right place to add to the discussion, > but I thought it would be useful for the archives to have a > pointer to the NY Times commentary... > > December 9, 2003 > Yes, They Can! No, They Can't: Charges Fly in Nanobot Debate > By KENNETH CHANG > http://www.nytimes.com/2003/12/09/science/09FEUD.html?pagewanted=print Yes, after all, Smalley is doing it for the kids, he has good intentions, so anybody who disagrees is a meany and a threat to national security. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From bradbury at aeiveos.com Fri Dec 12 16:43:27 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 08:43:27 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Being productive [was: Encryption revolution] In-Reply-To: Message-ID: On Fri, 12 Dec 2003, Christian Weisgerber wrote: > It's a fanboy > club that exerts no influence whatsoever on actual technological > or social development and that will probably be overrun in the > medium term by the progress happening in the real world. I think that is a little harsh. Have you read the Spike? Do you know Ray Kurzweil is writing a book about the onset of the Singularity (which is drawing on some Extropic discussions). Mez is writing a book as well. Brett is very active in the whole cloning area. People such as Natasha, Anders and myself are writing papers and speaking at (or attempting to speak at) various conferences. Have you taken a look at the discussion at NanoAtHome.org? [Its moving slowly but it *is* moving.] I was at the WTA conference this year and found the discussions quite stimulating -- my impression was that many of the people there found it quite educational. People like Mike Lorry are experimenting with alternative political architectures. Robin tried to produce a grand experiment involving idea futures only to suffer setbacks. etc. Most of the "real world" -- perhaps close to 6 billion people are focused on day-to-day survival. There are only a few thousand transhumanists/extropians who understand to some extent where things may be going and take the opportunity to discuss how to steer it productively. One might look at it like a sled racing down a snowy slope just barely under ones control. Robert From mlorrey at yahoo.com Fri Dec 12 16:49:50 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 08:49:50 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD [UASR] Are falling ice balls a product of global warming? In-Reply-To: <3FD93F62.B842C2C9@mindspring.com> Message-ID: <20031212164950.33750.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> --- "Terry W. Colvin" wrote: > Are falling ice balls a product of global warming? > > The ice balls, for instance, were not frozen water from toilets > flushed on > jetliners. The ice contained no human waste and none of the blue > disinfectant used in airplane toilets. Air traffic control records > showed > that no planes flew over the areas near the ice falls, so the ice had > not been shed from aircraft wings. > > Chunks of debris from a comet? Again, lab tests showed that ice in > megacryometeors had the distinctive chemical signature of ice in > ordinary terrestrial hailstones. The size of these ice balls is not unusual. Any perusal of a Guiness Book of World Records will show that large hailstones have been reported on a regular basis for many years dating back to the 19th century and earlier. Forte also reported similar events. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From bradbury at aeiveos.com Fri Dec 12 16:51:03 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 08:51:03 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] delta 4 In-Reply-To: <20031212162856.24582.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: On Fri, 12 Dec 2003, Mike Lorrey wrote: > ... joined together and can lift up to 13,130 kg (28,950 pounds) to > geosynchronous transfer orbit. [snip] ... > This booster competes directly with the space shuttle. That cargo size > is for GEOSYNCH!!!! This is probably a question for Mike or Spike -- I'm curious does one gain anything by sacrificing time-to-geosync? We have the example now of the Europeans taking the slow boat to the moon with Smart-1 using ion propulsion -- does one gain anything by using ion propulsion to get sats from GTO into GSO even though it might take months instead of hours? (Xenon is certainly heavier than other solid or liquid fuels...) Are ion engines inherently lighter or heavier than traditional rocket engines? Robert From joe at barrera.org Fri Dec 12 16:52:12 2003 From: joe at barrera.org (Joseph S. Barrera III) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 08:52:12 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD [UASR] Are falling ice balls a product of global warming? In-Reply-To: <20031212162114.95467.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> References: <20031212162114.95467.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <3FD9F23C.802@barrera.org> Mike Lorrey wrote: >And nobody thought to check for passing airliners.... > > Read more of the article. > The ice balls, for instance, were not frozen water from toilets > flushed on jetliners. The ice contained no human waste and none of > the blue disinfectant used in airplane toilets. Air traffic control > records showed that no planes flew over the areas near the ice falls, > so the ice had not been shed from aircraft wings. - Joe -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From bradbury at aeiveos.com Fri Dec 12 17:01:08 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 09:01:08 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: <20031212143656.GS13099@leitl.org> Message-ID: On Fri, 12 Dec 2003, Eugen Leitl wrote: > There's not at all much strain present in the > structure, but all of it prevents ligation into final shape, > so it won't happen in a stochastic synthesis. I'm aware of that. But I can think of two different approaches. (a) attach the rotating wheels to the arms which are then attached to the head, then ligate the wheels together so its a fixed structure, then see if one can get either random or directed activity to fit the shaft through the wheels, then break the ligation between the wheels; (b) leave the wheels free but produce an antibody derived molecule that holds the wheels in proper alignment to allow the shaft to be threaded through them. A third approach might be to synthesize the wheels attached to the shaft and then to break those links. I didn't say it would be easy or the yield would be high -- but an electron micrograph of the FMC would go a long way towards forcing Smalley to eat crow. It would also force chemists to wake up and realize that they just *might* have the tools that would allow them to design and build a complete assembler arm. It will not be easy -- but the payoff would be so sweet! Robert From mlorrey at yahoo.com Fri Dec 12 17:04:12 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 09:04:12 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] christmas music ("Vilt" thing) In-Reply-To: <001101c3c0bc$3ec41b90$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031212170412.38676.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> --- Spike wrote: > > Consider this guy, who is coming to town: > > ...Sees you when you're sleeping, > He knows when you're awake... > > > Well, how creepy is that? Does he see you in > the shower? If he has already penetrated the > bedroom, what's stopping him? > > So how about: > > He sees you when you're sleeping > He knows when you're awake > The elves call him Tom Peeping > Wont give David Brin a break... You better not shoot, you better not crime, you better not doubt, I'm tellin' you why, Brit Big Brother's watching your town... ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Fri Dec 12 17:11:43 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 09:11:43 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] delta 4 In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031212171143.26299.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> --- "Robert J. Bradbury" wrote: > > > On Fri, 12 Dec 2003, Mike Lorrey wrote: > > > ... joined together and can lift up to 13,130 kg (28,950 pounds) to > > geosynchronous transfer orbit. [snip] > ... > > This booster competes directly with the space shuttle. That cargo > size > > is for GEOSYNCH!!!! > > This is probably a question for Mike or Spike -- I'm curious does one > gain anything by sacrificing time-to-geosync? We have the example > now of the Europeans taking the slow boat to the moon with Smart-1 > using ion propulsion -- does one gain anything by using ion > propulsion > to get sats from GTO into GSO even though it might take months > instead > of hours? (Xenon is certainly heavier than other solid or liquid > fuels...) > Are ion engines inherently lighter or heavier than traditional rocket > engines? They are lighter, but the real advantage is that you don't need as much fuel. The electricity from your solar panels or other power sources accellerates less fuel to a higher velocity, so your isp is several times higher, at a minimum, than chemical rockets. So long as you don't have any people on board with limited supplies, you can save lots of fuel mass by taking your time with an ion engine. Time is the trade off only because ion and plasma engine thrust levels are extremely low, from thousandths of pounds up to fractions of pounds with ion engines, to several pounds of thrust with the biggest plasma thrusters. Plasma engines have higher thrust but lower isp than ion engines. By saving fuel, you can obviously either carry more science on board, or you can use a smaller booster to get into space. Either way gets you more science for the buck. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From dirk at neopax.com Fri Dec 12 18:12:37 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 18:12:37 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Being productive [was: Encryption revolution] References: Message-ID: <022301c3c0db$8d1832d0$757b6951@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Robert J. Bradbury" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Friday, December 12, 2003 4:43 PM Subject: [extropy-chat] Being productive [was: Encryption revolution] > > > On Fri, 12 Dec 2003, Christian Weisgerber wrote: > > > It's a fanboy > > club that exerts no influence whatsoever on actual technological > > or social development and that will probably be overrun in the > > medium term by the progress happening in the real world. > > I think that is a little harsh. Have you read the Spike? > Do you know Ray Kurzweil is writing a book about the onset > of the Singularity (which is drawing on some Extropic discussions). > Mez is writing a book as well. Brett is very active in the > whole cloning area. People such as Natasha, Anders and myself are > writing papers and speaking at (or attempting to speak at) > various conferences. Have you taken a look at the discussion > at NanoAtHome.org? [Its moving slowly but it *is* moving.] ... Not to mention the Consensus which will be fielding its first few candidates in Britain's local elections next year. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Fri Dec 12 18:24:09 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 13:24:09 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] BIO: Chimps and Humans In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <004f01c3c0dd$26c891d0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Here is a perfect example of non-exponential progress that I was arguing a few weeks ago. Advancing science does not always advance our goals. In this case, the predicted dates for understanding the differences between chimps and humans will have to be pushed back due to all the added complexity we have just discovered. Even when applying Moore's law to scientific progress (which is dubious), exponential growth in science does not translate into exponential acceleration of future predictions. Sometimes the list of things we don't know grows faster than the list of things we do know. Specifically, there are a lot more genes different between chimps and humans than we thought. Furthermore, many of the old genes that we thought were the same have apparently taken on new functions in humans. Also, the tests were used in this research turned out to only work about 25% of the time. Even the greatly expanded estimates of complexity may be greatly under measured. The genetic differences between chimps and humans are a magnitude more complex and a magnitude less understood than we thought before this research. Those complexities may expand another magnitude before we are finished. Instead of being a major step toward completing our understanding, this research opens up a whole array of unsuspected areas of new research that will have to be undertaken. From : > Biologists have long supposed that if they could identify the genes that > changed in the evolutionary lineage leading from the joint ancestor to > people, they would understand the genetic basis of how people differ from > chimps and, hence, the essence of what makes humans human. > > Because the sequence of DNA units in the two genomes is 98.8 percent > identical, it seemed that just a handful of genes might define the essence > of humanity. [....] > But the process of transforming the joint human-chimp ancestor, who was > probably a very chimpanzeelike creature, into a human seems much more > complicated in light of the new analysis. [....] > the differences at the genetic level need to be checked in terms > of biology. Only in rare cases like that of FOXP2 is the link between > the accelerated genes and actual biology more than a guess at present. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From wingcat at pacbell.net Fri Dec 12 19:00:56 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 11:00:56 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] BIO: Chimps and Humans In-Reply-To: <004f01c3c0dd$26c891d0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <20031212190056.11911.qmail@web80403.mail.yahoo.com> --- Harvey Newstrom wrote: > Advancing science does not always > advance our goals. > > In this case, the predicted dates for understanding > the differences between > chimps and humans will have to be pushed back due to > all the added > complexity we have just discovered. Be careful how you phrase that. Some people (hopefully few who grok Extropian ideals, but perhaps some who wish to do so but don't quite understand yet) might misunderstand, and think that you're saying this type of research actively goes against our goals, in the same sense that, say, stem cell research undermines certain religious memes. Perhaps a better way to put it would be, "Advancing science sometimes shows us that we are not as close to our goals as we thought we were." It's usually a good idea to always be careful to say what you mean, and to mean what you say. From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Fri Dec 12 19:47:26 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 14:47:26 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: Encryption revolution In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <009001c3c0e8$c8310fb0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Christian Weisgerber wrote, > It's a straightforward case of self-selection. As Eugen has > pointed out, extended participation in online fora is usually > incompatible with getting things done. Those people actually > working on >H goals are, well, busy working. Those that > remain here (and likely most that were attracted in the first > place) are those that don't offer anything but talk. This is a historical problem. People who actually get busy doing real work tend to drop off the list. People who don't have anything better to do tend to appear here. Many people on the edge, tend to pop in and out over the years. Many of the movers and shakers from the original movements have gone off to pursue their own agendas elsewhere. Somehow, none of these agendas ever actually get implemented here. > I'm still as much a transhumanist as I was when I first heard > about it, but over the last few years I have become severely > disillusioned about the extropian and transhumanist > _movement_. It's a fanboy club that exerts no influence > whatsoever on actual technological or social development and > that will probably be overrun in the medium term by the > progress happening in the real world. This is 100% true. I know people will deny it, because it's no fun admitting it. But most of the examples of people doing things involve "fanboy" activities. Creating websites about this stuff, writing books about this stuff, holding chats about this stuff, holding conferences about this stuff, etc. All of it is just talk. It used to be that nobody was talking about this stuff except us. But in this millennium, everybody is talking about it. Sadly, our books aren't best sellers. Our websites aren't insanely popular. Our leaders aren't on the cutting edge of any technologies. We aren't inventing new things. We are just creatively imagining what might be. While the companies actually working in these fields and the governments actually guiding these advancements are paying little if any attention to us. We are not only on the fringe of humanity, but we are on the fringe of transhumanity. We are not centrally involved in real nanotech, AI, robotics, cloning, and immortality. All of our organizations are fans of these technologies, but not developers of these technologies. Even our organizations that claim to be developers of technologies are little more than clearinghouses for other people's news releases about other people's advances. The future is not being invented here! And we will never fix this problem until enough of us recognize the truth. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From bradbury at aeiveos.com Fri Dec 12 19:59:55 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 11:59:55 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] BIO: Chimps and Humans In-Reply-To: <004f01c3c0dd$26c891d0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: On Fri, 12 Dec 2003, Harvey Newstrom wrote: > The genetic differences between chimps and humans are a magnitude > more complex and a magnitude less understood than we thought before this > research. Those complexities may expand another magnitude before we are > finished. Harvey, I'm not understanding this assertion. There was already a very large debate in the literature with respect to human-chimp similarity. The NY Times article says 98.8% and I think that is *HIGHLY* questionable. The number I've more commonly seen is 98% and even that has been open to some debate. Don't believe everything in the NY Times as a hand-me-down from god. They may make mistakes and/or bias their opinions. (So long as they have a source -- they may not choose to evaluate how *good* the source is in reality.) As the article points out -- there are differences. Now we can cite what many of the differences are. However it is going to take a lot of additional work to determine what the functional aspects of those differences are. Just because you change an amino acid in a protein doesn't mean the general function of that protein will change. That requires careful biochemical studies to determine. Any biochemist or molecular biologist knows that. You need to know the K_m, K_cat, folding time, temperature stability, etc. to know the precise behavior of a protein -- all of those could impact a difference between chimpanzees and humans. So any serious scientists have not underestimated the studies which will be required to tease out the significant differences. At the same time our ability to conduct these studies -- particularly the structural studies -- is increasing significantly. So we will get the answers faster than we would have a few years ago. If you are commenting on the fact that 2D comparisons are insufficient then I agree with you (as would most serious scientists). Robert From dirk at neopax.com Fri Dec 12 20:07:22 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 20:07:22 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: Encryption revolution References: <009001c3c0e8$c8310fb0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <028401c3c0eb$8f2e0030$757b6951@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Harvey Newstrom" To: "'ExI chat list'" Sent: Friday, December 12, 2003 7:47 PM Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] Re: Encryption revolution > Christian Weisgerber wrote, > > It's a straightforward case of self-selection. As Eugen has > > pointed out, extended participation in online fora is usually > > incompatible with getting things done. Those people actually > > working on >H goals are, well, busy working. Those that > > remain here (and likely most that were attracted in the first > > place) are those that don't offer anything but talk. > > This is a historical problem. People who actually get busy doing real work > tend to drop off the list. People who don't have anything better to do tend > to appear here. Many people on the edge, tend to pop in and out over the > years. Many of the movers and shakers from the original movements have gone > off to pursue their own agendas elsewhere. Somehow, none of these agendas > ever actually get implemented here. > > > I'm still as much a transhumanist as I was when I first heard > > about it, but over the last few years I have become severely > > disillusioned about the extropian and transhumanist > > _movement_. It's a fanboy club that exerts no influence > > whatsoever on actual technological or social development and > > that will probably be overrun in the medium term by the > > progress happening in the real world. > > This is 100% true. I know people will deny it, because it's no fun > admitting it. But most of the examples of people doing things involve > "fanboy" activities. Creating websites about this stuff, writing books > about this stuff, holding chats about this stuff, holding conferences about > this stuff, etc. All of it is just talk. It used to be that nobody was > talking about this stuff except us. But in this millennium, everybody is > talking about it. Sadly, our books aren't best sellers. Our websites > aren't insanely popular. Our leaders aren't on the cutting edge of any > technologies. We aren't inventing new things. We are just creatively > imagining what might be. While the companies actually working in these > fields and the governments actually guiding these advancements are paying > little if any attention to us. > > We are not only on the fringe of humanity, but we are on the fringe of > transhumanity. We are not centrally involved in real nanotech, AI, > robotics, cloning, and immortality. All of our organizations are fans of > these technologies, but not developers of these technologies. Even our > organizations that claim to be developers of technologies are little more > than clearinghouses for other people's news releases about other people's > advances. > > The future is not being invented here! And we will never fix this problem > until enough of us recognize the truth. That may be the situation now, but it is going to change rapidly, and soon. Transhumanism is about to enter the global political arena in a big way, and it is politics that will determine the course of events more than science. And politics is nothing but talk. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From bradbury at aeiveos.com Fri Dec 12 20:22:56 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 12:22:56 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: Encryption revolution In-Reply-To: <009001c3c0e8$c8310fb0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: On Fri, 12 Dec 2003, Harvey Newstrom wrote: > All of it is just talk. That is generally where it has to start. The question becomes how to turn talk into action. > But in this millennium, everybody is talking about it. > Sadly, our books aren't best sellers. I'm not so sure that is true about Ray's books. From a technical commentary standpoint I think the sell reasonably well. And Damien is slowly expanding his readership. > Our leaders aren't on the cutting edge of any technologies. Cough. Am I not trying to do that with Nano at Home and Robiobotics? > While the companies actually working in these fields and the governments > actually guiding these advancements are paying little if any attention to us. Hmmm... If I had a good reason for doing so I do not doubt that I could get Jim von Ehr on the phone. I've spent some amount of time each day of the last week on the phone to Washington DC trying to determine precisely *who* turned the nanotech study wording in HR 766 into the nanotech study wording in S 189 (which was much less useful) this year. I just spent an hour on the phone with Prof. Pollack at Brandeis (the man behind the DEMO project) explaining some concepts of nanotech, retrosynthesis, the Zyvex Rotapod, etc. to him. Has not Aubrey defined and promoted not only the Methuselah Mouse project as well as the proposed IBG institute? And I will not bother to rehash the history of Aeiveos Sciences Group and what it tried to do (perhaps prematurely and with insufficient funding). > We are not only on the fringe of humanity, but we are on the fringe of > transhumanity. We are not centrally involved in real nanotech, AI, > robotics, cloning, and immortality. I would beg to differ Harvey. I would like to see you assert that claim to me, Eugen, Anders, Eliezer, Brett, the various people supporting longevity web sites and a host of others trying to define how they may participate. The invention of fire had to be accepted. People had to view it as useful and want to actually use it (with its associated risks). So there is a balance between the person who actually assembles a fine motion controller and the person who promotes the use of the fine motion controller. I'm going after its assembly. I will generally leave to others the promotion of the idea that once we have one we should darn well use it. Robert From avantguardian2020 at yahoo.com Fri Dec 12 20:40:20 2003 From: avantguardian2020 at yahoo.com (The Avantguardian) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 12:40:20 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] christmas music In-Reply-To: <005901c3c073$8896ebb0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031212204020.68174.qmail@web60506.mail.yahoo.com> I have to agree with you on this one Spike. To recognize the brainwash for what it is is to be incensed by it. It seems to start earlier every year. I swear it started the day after Thanksgiving this year. Hey anybody know where I can buy leaping lords? I need ten of them. Spike wrote: I do not have an extropic answer to this problem: around christmas, all you hear is christmas music, for a two solid months, from just before Halloween until just after New Years, and it drives me CRAZY. The real problem is that there aren't enough different songs, so they play the saaaammme ooooonnnnes over and over and over and over and every yahoo has a slightly different version of the same old thing. But the real problem is that in the shopping malls, they have instrumental versions, and you can't help thinking the words! Just try: you can't do it. Try to not think of the words to Jingle Bells next time you hear it, and good luck. The next biggest problem is that the words are absurd, the ones you cannot help thinking of, since we are all hypnotized and thought-controlled to think of those words whenever we hear the tunes, and buy stuff. Consider the words to the little drummer boy for instance. OK now, first of all, drums do not go rumpapum pum, they go rattatat tat. Secondly, what of the ox and lamb? What exactly is included in "keeping time?" Were the ox and lamb gently swaying to the beat? Friends, that kinda thing creeps me out. I form a mental image like something outta Hitchcock. So it is a bit unclear at best, but in any case, keeping time is not something I want to see a bunch of goddam livestock doing anywhere near a newborn. He would have nightmares until well past adolescence. And that bit about making a snowman and pretending he Parson Brown. They are holding a running conversation with a pile of SNOW, fer cryin out loud. Someone has put angel dust in their stockings you can be sure. spike _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat The Avantguardian "He stands like some sort of pagan god or deposed tyrant. Staring out over the city he's sworn to . . .to stare out over and it's evident just by looking at him that he's got some pretty heavy things on his mind." --------------------------------- Do you Yahoo!? Protect your identity with Yahoo! Mail AddressGuard -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From mlorrey at yahoo.com Fri Dec 12 20:46:54 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 12:46:54 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: Encryption revolution In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031212204654.97841.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> --- "Robert J. Bradbury" wrote: > > On Fri, 12 Dec 2003, Harvey Newstrom wrote: > > > All of it is just talk. > > That is generally where it has to start. The question becomes how > to turn talk into action. Yes, and a big component about that that seems to be lacking in these parts is a realization that you need to find a demand that needs serving. Developing cool technologies is not profit making if you have no idea who is going to buy it. Not knowing who is going to buy it guarantees you won't find funding. Everybody who is doing something constructive is doing so because they have found a demand for what they are doing. Those that aren't doing anything extropically constructive need to research for a confluence between the things they want to do and the things people want. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From avantguardian2020 at yahoo.com Fri Dec 12 20:58:10 2003 From: avantguardian2020 at yahoo.com (The Avantguardian) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 12:58:10 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] BIO: Chimps and Humans In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031212205810.35178.qmail@web60505.mail.yahoo.com> "Robert J. Bradbury" wrote: Given the similarities between the genomes its going to make being a creationist just a little bit harder... :-) Robert I would restate that as "it's going to make being a Christian creationist a little harder." Evolution and creationism don't contradict to us Vitalistic Pantheists. In fact I regard evolution as evidence of creation. Ciao _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat The Avantguardian "He stands like some sort of pagan god or deposed tyrant. Staring out over the city he's sworn to . . .to stare out over and it's evident just by looking at him that he's got some pretty heavy things on his mind." --------------------------------- Do you Yahoo!? Protect your identity with Yahoo! Mail AddressGuard -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From wingcat at pacbell.net Fri Dec 12 21:02:43 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 13:02:43 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Purpose of the Extropian Institute In-Reply-To: <009001c3c0e8$c8310fb0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <20031212210243.87474.qmail@web80411.mail.yahoo.com> --- Harvey Newstrom wrote: > The future is not being invented here! That's debatable, but let's say for sake of argument that you're correct, because that seems to lead to a more interesting problem. > And we will > never fix this problem > until enough of us recognize the truth. Even if we all agreed, what would you have done? This is a place to discuss, to inform. We can, at best, provide leads to the "real" developers, and some helpful imagination. (Of course, said connections and imaginations are, themselves, real assets of business value. They are not sufficient by themselves, but they are necessary in practice.) Now...if ExI could start tapping into ways of funding research to accomplish our aims, and direct said funding, would that be closer to what you imagine we should do? Or did you have some other specific solution in mind? From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Fri Dec 12 23:00:13 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 18:00:13 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] BIO: Chimps and Humans In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <00b801c3c103$b8232700$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Robert J. Bradbury wrote, > Don't believe everything in the NY Times as a hand-me-down > from god. They may make mistakes and/or bias their opinions. > (So long as they have a source -- they may not choose to > evaluate how *good* the source is in reality.) You posted the link to that article when you started this thread. But when I use it for counter-evidence, you say it is unreliable? -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Fri Dec 12 23:00:32 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 18:00:32 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] BIO: Chimps and Humans In-Reply-To: <20031212190056.11911.qmail@web80403.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <00b901c3c103$c44bcaf0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Adrian Tymes wrote, > Be careful how you phrase that. Some people > (hopefully > few who grok Extropian ideals, but perhaps some who > wish to do so but don't quite understand yet) might > misunderstand, and think that you're saying this type of > research actively goes against our goals, in the same sense > that, say, stem cell research undermines certain religious > memes. Perhaps a better way to put it would be, "Advancing > science sometimes shows us that we are not as close to our > goals as we thought we were." This is exactly right. This is a hard point to make, and many people misunderstand me. This is exactly what I am saying. Thanks for the clarification. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Fri Dec 12 23:01:04 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 18:01:04 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Purpose of the Extropian Institute In-Reply-To: <20031212210243.87474.qmail@web80411.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <00ba01c3c103$d4df4310$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Adrian Tymes wrote, > Now...if ExI could start tapping into ways of funding research to > accomplish our aims, and direct said funding, would that be closer to > what you imagine we should do? Or did you have some other specific > solution in mind? Believe it or not, solutions are easy. Our problem is goals. The problem is not that we put all our efforts into a clearly defined goal and then failed. I doubt that would happen. Our problem is that we don't have clearly defined goals, we don't have specific steps toward each goal, and nobody really knows what we should be doing beyond just talking about how great this stuff will be someday. If we want to be a think tank, we need brainstorming sessions. If we want to lobby congress, we need legally rigorous position papers. If we want to develop technology, we need people to actually do research. If we want to be a news source, we need a editorial staff and better publication channels. If we want to be an educational organization, we need teachers and authors developing curriculae and textbooks. If we want to advice industry, we need a team of recognized persons with credentials. If we want to get funding, we need project plans with milestones and results. If we want publicity, we need advertising, PR and publicity stunts. If we want to do more than one of these, we need to establish separate working groups in each area. I am sure that we can accomplish whatever we put our minds to. We just haven't chosen specific goals for our specific organizations yet. Once we do that, we can easily become the best at whatever it is we choose to do. There is no lack of skill, intelligence and creativity among us. So this is decision time. What do we want to do, and how much effort are we willing to put into it? -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Fri Dec 12 23:01:43 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 18:01:43 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: Encryption revolution In-Reply-To: <028401c3c0eb$8f2e0030$757b6951@artemis> Message-ID: <00bb01c3c103$ec6b8d40$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Dirk Bruere wrote, > That may be the situation now, but it is going to change > rapidly, and soon. Transhumanism is about to enter the global > political arena in a big way, and it is politics that will > determine the course of events more than science. This is the claim of all our great endeavors. They haven't done anything yet, but they are about to. They have been "about to" for decades now. No offense is intended, but I will believe it when I see it. I doubt even a majority on this list expect the Consensus to become a big political player anytime soon. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Fri Dec 12 23:02:51 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 18:02:51 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: Encryption revolution In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <00bc01c3c104$14df3bf0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Robert J. Bradbury wrote, > > Our leaders aren't on the cutting edge of any technologies. > > Cough. Am I not trying to do that with Nano at Home and Robiobotics? No offense, but "cough". You think Nano at Home and Robiobotics are leading nanotech initiatives? Google finds about 350 pages that mention "Nano at Home" and "nanotechnology, as compared with 75,000 that mention "IBM" and "nanotechnology". Robiobotics only has 19 references in Google. Seriously, you tell me. What achievements have you made in nanotechnology? Are you mentioned in the nanotechnology FAQ? Are you mentioned in any nanotechnology history? What exactly have you done in the field nanotechnology researchers should know about? Has Nano at home created a recognized nanomachine? Has it discovered something that other nanotechnologists actually use? > > While the companies actually working in these fields and the > > governments actually guiding these advancements are paying > little if > > any attention to us. > > Hmmm... If I had a good reason for doing so I do not doubt > that I could get Jim von Ehr on the phone. I've spent some > amount of time each day of the last week on the phone to > Washington DC trying to determine precisely *who* turned the > nanotech study wording in HR 766 into the nanotech study > wording in S 189 (which was much less useful) this year. I > just spent an hour on the phone with Prof. Pollack at > Brandeis (the man behind the DEMO project) explaining some > concepts of nanotech, retrosynthesis, the Zyvex Rotapod, etc. to him. This is my point exactly. You are an outsider. Did you know this before it was published? Did they call you for advice? Did you submit information that they could use? Are you listed in any bibliography, list of information sources, or even in any survey of current nanotech initiatives? Trying to find out who did what in the realm of nanotech legislation is an indication that you are NOT involved with this stuff. > Has not Aubrey defined and promoted not only the Methuselah > Mouse project as well as the proposed IBG institute? I expect Aubrey to do great things, and have no doubt of his excellent expertise. Please do not misconstrue anything I say to be negative toward him. However, offering to pay someone to make a breakthrough is not the same thing as making a breakthrough. It is a little off-topic for what I wanted to see. However, the creativity and approach of this project is interesting. However, I doubt that the meager amount of volunteer funding available will entice much research toward anybody trying to claim this prize. > And I will not bother to rehash the history of Aeiveos > Sciences Group and what it tried to do (perhaps prematurely > and with insufficient funding). Then I won't bother to counter it. > I would beg to differ Harvey. I would like to see you assert > that claim to me, Eugen, Anders, Eliezer, Brett, the various > people supporting longevity web sites and a host of others > trying to define how they may participate. I would be very interested in hearing from these people to find out whether they find their involvement with Extropians to enhance their work or detract from it. I believe Eugen, Eliezer and I have already commented on this. Anders seems to busy with real work to participate lately. I have no idea what Brett would say. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From natashavita at earthlink.net Fri Dec 12 23:26:38 2003 From: natashavita at earthlink.net (natashavita at earthlink.net) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 18:26:38 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Purpose of the Extropian Institute Message-ID: <269620-2200312512232638111@M2W040.mail2web.com> From: Harvey Newstrom >Adrian Tymes wrote, >> Now...if ExI could start tapping into ways of funding research to >> accomplish our aims, and direct said funding, would that be closer to >> what you imagine we should do? Or did you have some other specific >> solution in mind? >Believe it or not, solutions are easy. Our problem is goals. The problem >is not that we put all our efforts into a clearly defined goal and then >failed. I doubt that would happen. Our problem is that we don't have >clearly defined goals, we don't have specific steps toward each goal, and >nobody really knows what we should be doing beyond just talking about how >great this stuff will be someday. Good point Harvey. My suggestion is to join the planning team for the ExI Summit (mentioned briefly last month's newsletter). This weekend Greg Burch is coming in from Houston and we will having a meeting Sunday Morning. After ExI's last Summit meeting in Houston in November, we have been boiling it down to a specific, clear-cut purpose. With so many goal options, finding just the right one is the key. best, Natasha Natasha Vita-More President, Extropy Institute -------------------------------------------------------------------- mail2web - Check your email from the web at http://mail2web.com/ . From wingcat at pacbell.net Fri Dec 12 23:42:01 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 15:42:01 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] BIO: Chimps and Humans In-Reply-To: <00b901c3c103$c44bcaf0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <20031212234201.37623.qmail@web80408.mail.yahoo.com> --- Harvey Newstrom wrote: > Adrian Tymes wrote, > > Be careful how you phrase that. Some people > > (hopefully > > few who grok Extropian ideals, but perhaps some > who > > wish to do so but don't quite understand yet) > might > > misunderstand, and think that you're saying this > type of > > research actively goes against our goals, in the > same sense > > that, say, stem cell research undermines certain > religious > > memes. Perhaps a better way to put it would be, > "Advancing > > science sometimes shows us that we are not as > close to our > > goals as we thought we were." > > This is exactly right. This is a hard point to > make, and many people > misunderstand me. > > This is exactly what I am saying. Thanks for the > clarification. No problem. Ironically, I've seen this exact same error made by people high up in religious hierarchies who nonetheless Got It...but by making this particular linguistic confusion, their disciples glommed onto the "we oppose science" meme, with the end result of setting their voices against us. Something to consider, the next time we confront creationists or the like lead by an otherwise apparently enlightened sort. From bradbury at aeiveos.com Sat Dec 13 00:11:45 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 16:11:45 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] BIO: Chimps and Humans In-Reply-To: <00b801c3c103$b8232700$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: On Fri, 12 Dec 2003, Harvey Newstrom wrote: > You posted the link to that article when you started this thread. But when > I use it for counter-evidence, you say it is unreliable? If I had to agree 100% with every link I posted it would be a really short list. :-) But seriously -- though I'm not positive I think I posted (sometime in the last 2 years) a link to a discussion regarding the fact that the differences between humans and chimps may be greater than is usually assumed. If not, I offer up [1] as a figure different from that quoted in the NY Times. These generalizations are very iffy from a biological standpoint as one would expect the evolution rates of gene coding sequences to differ from those of gene regulatory regions to differ from random junk DNA. Trying to fit multiple types of selection pressure under a single hat is probably poor science. But such is what one has to deal with when moving the knowledge from the lab to the public. Robert 1. Chromosomal speciation and molecular divergence--accelerated evolution in rearranged chromosomes. Navarro A, Barton NH http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov:80/entrez/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&db=PubMed&list_uids=12690198&dopt=Abstract From bradbury at aeiveos.com Sat Dec 13 00:35:32 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 16:35:32 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: Encryption revolution In-Reply-To: <00bc01c3c104$14df3bf0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: On Fri, 12 Dec 2003, Harvey Newstrom wrote: > No offense, but "cough". You think Nano at Home and Robiobotics are leading > nanotech initiatives? Google finds about 350 pages that mention "Nano at Home" > and "nanotechnology, as compared with 75,000 that mention "IBM" and > "nanotechnology". Robiobotics only has 19 references in Google. I'm not surprised. I would expect the relative budgets with respect to what IBM is spending on Nanotech and what Nano at Home or Robiobotics are spending to be at least a factor of 10,000 to 100,000. Robiobotics in particular I intentionally stealthed. However -- just because a technical giant is significantly outspending small scale efforts doesn't mean they have all the bases covered. I will openly acknowledge IBM for everything from the AFM to the Xenon atom logo to the recent self-assembly of a Flash memory nanopattern. They are proving time and time again that these problems *can* be solved. > Seriously, you tell me. What achievements have you made in nanotechnology? I am the first person that I am aware of who has attempted a reasonable analysis (with costs!) of the biological approach to robust MNT [1]. > Has Nano at home created a recognized nanomachine? No, we are years away from that. And its initial intent is not to create nanomachines but nanoparts. One has to start someplace. How many years did it take Zyvex to go from a start-up to having an actual product in the market? 5+? > Are you listed in any bibliography, list of > information sources, or even in any survey of current nanotech initiatives? > Trying to find out who did what in the realm of nanotech legislation is an > indication that you are NOT involved with this stuff. Myself, no. But I have not attempted to make a name for myself within classical academic circles. Christine Peterson however was called upon to testify before congress during the debates with respect to nanotech legislation. And I'll offer the comment that there may be some very interesting questions as to what is going on behind the scenes with respect to legislative agendas that may have little or nothing to do with ideas that hardcore nanotech proponents may be pushing. It could be as simple as lack of knowledge or as complex as people attempting to protect their own sacred cows. It just isn't clear at this point in time. However, if I manage to get to the bottom of things I will let you know. Robert 1. Protein Based Assembly of Nanoscale Parts http://www.aeiveos.com/~bradbury/Papers/PBAoNP.html From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Sat Dec 13 00:54:21 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 11:54:21 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: Encryption revolution References: <00bc01c3c104$14df3bf0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <023001c3c114$0618c860$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Harvey Newstrom wrote: > > I would beg to differ Harvey. I would like to see you assert > > that claim to me, Eugen, Anders, Eliezer, Brett, the various > > people supporting longevity web sites and a host of others > > trying to define how they may participate. > > I would be very interested in hearing from these people to find > out whether they find their involvement with Extropians to > enhance their work or detract from it. I believe Eugen, Eliezer > and I have already commented on this. Anders seems to busy > with real work to participate lately. I have no idea what Brett > would say. I'm only catching some of what is going past on the list because of time constraints - perhaps that adds some reinforcement to some of what you seem to be saying Harvey. Clearly time spent doing some things is time not available for doing other things. I am an erratic personality Harvey. I suspect the list satisfies some sort of social need for me. The Exi principles are pretty close to the sort of principles I try to live by and importantly for me they are principles that I did not write. This is important if one is looking for camaraderie. I do look for camaraderie because as chance or evolution or something would have it I am social. I have been effective as a stem cell lobbyist on some occasions and irritatingly ineffective on others. Some times I've been ineffective because I've come up against some surprising political obstacles where institutions with clear interests did not act on their interests because individuals that were in charge of them like CEO's and board chairmen have had separate interests like career preservation that made them more risk averse than seemed optimal to me. Recently I've perhaps risked some of the good standing I'd earnt with some of these 'mainstream' folks because I wanted them to push harder and take bigger risks on what they saw as minor details but which I see as potentially strategically important partly as a result of thinking stimulated by discussions on this list. I get some validity and additional emotional resourcing perhaps from seeing that others are at least struggling in the same direction. Damien has mentioned on occasion that he comes to the Exi list for "the waters". I can't be sure I know what he means but I think I do something similar. I get a sense from reading and posting (not always well because sometime I adopt a philosophy of post-rough-or- incomplete- work-and-be-damned rather than waste it or polish it) that others like me are similarly engaging with the big issues of the times. I found out about the Exi list either from Damien or from Damien's book the Last Mortal Generation. Damien is effective. Aubrey is also effective - he's been mentioned in Science and Nature in the last year. I have hardcopies of Robert Freitas book's Nanomedicine Vol 1 and Vol 2a. Robert Bradbury's significant contribution is acknowledged there. Robert has been very generous with his time in explaining things that he understand to me, and I've heard Damien say the same thing. We are picking up ideas and getting fast tracked in learning from each other. Look at some of the topics convered recently. The links that are provided can help make more rounded generalists and polymaths of folks that might otherwise be more specialised. I have often had the feeling of being impressed and appreciative of how much time some people have gone to to try and post genuinely thoughtful and provocative responses to questions asked. Your own post Harvey, when you just started posting again after a break struck me as very well written. One presumably does not need to write well to be a security consultant. It was appreciated I think in a wider human context but you perhaps don't get to see how much stuff that is well done gets appreciated. That's the nature of a list. Its harder to communicate. One can't always tell if the message or effort made has reached the mark. Regards, Brett From avatar at renegadeclothing.com.au Sat Dec 13 00:23:13 2003 From: avatar at renegadeclothing.com.au (Avatar Polymorph) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 16:23:13 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] sole superpower/warfare 2003-2010 comments Message-ID: <000201c3c1b8$bf64bfa0$e9ee17cb@renegade> Dear extropians/transhumanists I would welcome any comments on the following draft article. Avatar Polymorph The notion of superpower and warfare 2003-2010 A. Polymorph Over the last few years the phrase sole superpower has become a dangerous and false cliche. Disseminated by right-wing radicals it has provided the comforting illusion that America faces no major military challenge. The reality is that Russia retains its status as a superpower in fundamental military terms. Force projection is an area where America and its allies can operate as a sole superpower, but force projection means nothing in any theatre involving atomic warfare. Russia, currently, does not fear a land invasion by anyone, not just because it has become a loose ally of the west but because it retains an overwhelming number of nuclear weapons, on a rough par with America. Current nuclear disarmament involves storage of warheads, not destruction of them. All this will change shortly because of innovations in beam weapons and computers. Satellite weaponry and portable weaponry are not the platforms of choice in the short term because of weight considerations with power sources. Beam weapons consume substantial power. It is likely that huge power sources or power plants will need to be placed nearby beam weapons for maximum effectiveness. Likely platforms would be mountain tops and ultrahigh towers, where line of sight is good. Another early platform might be large ships the size of aircraft carriers. With over-the-horizon radar and other inputs from aerial and satellite sources, arrayed beam weapons will be capable of neutralizing ICBMs. Beam weapons are superior to ABM systems because automated systems can take advantage of superior computer reaction time regarding delivery of destruction. This is a dangerous period for Russia because it stands to erode the doctrine of Mutually Assured Destruction. If America does not share this technology with Russia then it will be assumed that it is not just meant for protection against terrorists or rogue states but also for protection against full-scale nuclear combat with Russia. After 2010 the situation may become more destabilizing still, since it is likely that the first space towers will be constructed in the late 2010s. Space towers or vertical railways based on carbon nanotechnology allow for very cheap spacelifting costs and very effective space weaponry, both beam and linear accelerator weapons. They also allow for use of material from the Moon as weapons of mass destruction - rocks or other material thrown via linear accelerators - a type of weapon almost very difficult to protect oneself against. It is unlikely that Russia will be able to match the construction costs which America is likely to assume in the case of beam weapon defences, and even if it does so, at a later stage Russia is faced with an inability to construct space towers and move into space industrially unless it commits itself to a level of expenditure equivalent to that undertaken during the militarization of the Cold War period, notably the 1960s. America and Russia, currently, are not destroying much of their nuclear arsenals, only placing multiple warheads in storage areas where they cannot be used in timeframes of minutes or hours. These nuclear arsenals are the greatest danger to sentient survival if they are used. If America allows Russia access to beam weapons they will at least feel that they too have protection from a first strike in nuclear terms, and because American force projection in conventional arms is arguably not yet sufficient to overwhelm Russian forces they may not feel too threatened. On the other hand, beam weapons will coincide with other developments such as automated fighter planes and armoured forces, which will be strong factors in conventional warfare superiority. Without beam weapons to defend important sites, the Russians may believe America will be negating their superiority in nuclear defence and becoming an utterly dominant sole superpower in conventional terms. The question is, will Russia continue to move closer to the West, Europe and America and learn to cohabit peacefully, as appears to be happening at many levels, or will it succumb to a resumption of the arms race because of increased potential threat to the nuclear codominion. The danger in accepting the currently false notion of a sole superpower is that it makes it easy to move this concept forward into the soon to be world of beam weapons, when a sole superpower will become a practical possibility. The worst outcome would be to pressure the Russians into using their atomic weapons while they still can, or ressurecting the global arms race. Increased recent American military budgets, including in ABM systems, seems to have started the ball rolling, but technological developments indicate that the first beam weapons are not far away, and will be much more effective than ABM systems for local site protection for cities and military facilities. It will be curious to see what the reaction of the EEC to this developing situation is. So far the EEC, although co-operative, has remained somewhat distant from the notion of fuller American hegemony while quietly building its own separate power base, including technologically. It will also be interesting to see what the American reaction will be when they realize that many of their notions of economic and democratic efficiency are culturally defined and unlikely to be adopted socially, outside of areas as newly formed as the American midwest and west - such as Australia and Canada. Will the American national government define its stated cultural and political hegemony through the barrel of a beam weapon? -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From spike66 at comcast.net Sat Dec 13 02:58:32 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 18:58:32 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] delta 4 In-Reply-To: <20031212162856.24582.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <005001c3c124$feae8720$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] delta 4 > > > Check this. Even *I* will admit this launcher built by > > the other guys is wicked cool. Now lets see if she flies. spike > > > > http://spaceflightnow.com/news/n0312/10delta4heavy/01.html > > "The Delta IV Heavy is the newest and largest expendable > launch vehicle in the United States... > > This is a sweet rocket... If it flies, it will be a sweet rocket. Right now it is just a rocket. {8-] > I'll notice that the center booster is common > construction to the two side boosters. Are these all solid rockets? Liquids all. They hafta be careful to fuel all three at the same rate so that they contract evenly as they cool. Cool! {8-] > This booster competes directly with the space shuttle. That cargo size > is for GEOSYNCH!!!! The magic of the shuttle is that it can *return* large payloads. Or so they say. Or used to. spike From iph1954 at msn.com Sat Dec 13 03:36:50 2003 From: iph1954 at msn.com (MIKE TREDER) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 22:36:50 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] CRN Makes Presentation to EPA Message-ID: CRN's Director of Research, Chris Phoenix, was in Washington DC yesterday (Dec. 11) for an appearance before the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Science Advisory Board. The EPA is assessing potential environmental impacts of nanotechnology, and they invited Chris to participate on a panel along with other experts. We've posted a new web page that outlines the information Chris presented, and goes into greater depth on selected subjects. It's at http://www.crnano.org/EPAhandout.htm Please let us know if you have any questions. Chris Phoenix, Director of Research cphoenix at CRNano.org Mike Treder, Executive Director mtreder at CRNano.org Center for Responsible Nanotechnology http://CRNano.org _________________________________________________________________ Winterize your home with tips from MSN House & Home. http://special.msn.com/home/warmhome.armx From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sat Dec 13 04:13:25 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 20:13:25 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] sole superpower/warfare 2003-2010 comments In-Reply-To: <000201c3c1b8$bf64bfa0$e9ee17cb@renegade> Message-ID: <20031213041325.11256.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> --- Avatar Polymorph wrote: > Dear extropians/transhumanists > > I would welcome any comments on the following draft article. Couple comments: a) beam weapons on satellites are entirely within the realm of the present (Spike can confirm this), at least according to the development information I've seen. While the first systems to be deployed will be the size of several tractor trailers or take up the bay of an entire airliner, these systems are being adapted to Russian developed space nuclear power capabilities and also operate with dynamic chemical reactions. b) US space preeminence has been sustained substantially by outsourcing much subcontracting to Russian space industry, which offers excellent engineering work at costs much lower than US industry. Just ask how many modules of the ISS were built by Russians or based on Russian designs. While the US will likely develop preeminence with carbon nanotube, it is clear that with current industrial relationships in the aerospace industry today that the US and Russia will be partners in space development for a long time to come. It is my opinion that the pimary challenger to US superiority in this century will be China. Russia seems to have somewhat accepted a supporting role to US hegemony much as the US served in a supporting role to British hegemony prior to WWII. The Chinese, on the other hand, have been developing a very agressive military stance as well as an agressive space exploration stance that plans to exceed even Russia's achievements by 2010. Chinese patriotism is very rampant and the government plays the patriotic angle at every chance, from the mistaken bombing of the Belgrade embassy to the forcing down of a US observation aircraft in international waters. While Russia has stood idly by while the US imposed peace and democracy on two of its traditional allies (Serbia and Iraq) and conquered easily where Russia once retreated in disgrace (Afghanistan), China has been heavily involved in supplying weaponry to muslim nations and groups, including al Qaeda, either outright or through their proxy state, North Korea. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From reason at exratio.com Sat Dec 13 04:19:56 2003 From: reason at exratio.com (Reason) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 20:19:56 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: Encryption revolution In-Reply-To: <00bc01c3c104$14df3bf0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: > -----Original Message----- > From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org > [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org]On Behalf Of Harvey > Newstrom > Sent: Friday, December 12, 2003 3:03 PM > To: 'ExI chat list' > Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] Re: Encryption revolution > > Has not Aubrey defined and promoted not only the Methuselah > > Mouse project as well as the proposed IBG institute? > > I expect Aubrey to do great things, and have no doubt of his excellent > expertise. Please do not misconstrue anything I say to be negative toward > him. However, offering to pay someone to make a breakthrough is not the > same thing as making a breakthrough. It is a little off-topic for what I > wanted to see. However, the creativity and approach of this project is > interesting. However, I doubt that the meager amount of volunteer funding > available will entice much research toward anybody trying to claim this > prize. You're missing the point. When building a prize, most of the final amount will come from wealthy philanthopists. The purpose of the large amount of smaller donations is to demonstrate viability, will, and widespread interest. It engages people; all social engineering. It's part of the bootstrap effect: people like the chair of HGSI aren't going to donate to a prize until hundreds of people have made their voice heard and made smaller donations. Paul Allen isn't going to donate until many people at the renown level of the chair of HGSI have donated, and so forth. This is the way it works when you're trying to convince philanthopists that something is worthwhile. It's exactly the same way it worked for the X Prize, you'll note, which started out at $10,000 seven years ago. The Methuselah Mouse Prize is only six months old, and has grown faster than the X Prize in its first six months. Again, this is the process, this is the way it works. It's working, and it's working very well. Don't dismiss it: instead, make a donation and help it to succeed. Reason http://www.exratio.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sat Dec 13 04:16:02 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 20:16:02 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] delta 4 In-Reply-To: <005001c3c124$feae8720$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031213041602.42584.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> --- Spike wrote: > > > I'll notice that the center booster is common > > construction to the two side boosters. Are these all solid rockets? > > Liquids all. They hafta be careful to fuel all three at the > same rate so that they contract evenly as they cool. Cool! {8-] Hey, does this booster use the closed system turbopumping technology that Energia developed for their moon rocket? I have been seeing stuff about the Russians selling this technology to US companies but was not sure if anything was being put into use... ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From spike66 at comcast.net Sat Dec 13 05:39:31 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 21:39:31 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] delta 4 In-Reply-To: <20031213041602.42584.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <005301c3c13b$7babbe30$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > Mike Lorrey > > Hey, does this booster use the closed system turbopumping technology > that Energia developed for their moon rocket? I have been seeing stuff > about the Russians selling this technology to US companies but was not > sure if anything was being put into use... > > ===== > Mike Lorrey I don't know Mike, we don't have access to Booeing proprietary documentation. http://baltimore.bizjournals.com/baltimore/stories/2003/05/05/daily4.htm l Oops, heh heh, I meant to post this one, ahem. http://spaceflightnow.com/news/n0105/08delta4/ This site says the Delta 4 isn't a Ruskie design. Here's a site that has some good RS-68 info: http://www.boeing.com/defense-space/space/propul/RS68.html From spike66 at comcast.net Sat Dec 13 06:10:55 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 22:10:55 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] internet car sale scam In-Reply-To: <20031212170412.38676.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <005801c3c13f$de6f91a0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Guys, we hear about scams all the time, but this is one that hit close to home, or is about to. My good friend and colleague advertised his 91 BMW for 8300 bucks. A buyer who claimed to be an international dealer acting as an intermediary for a buyer in Dubai UAI contacted him four weeks ago. They negotiated for a while and settled on a price of 8000. Wednesday he gets a cashier's check in the FedEx, for 11500. The instructions are to cash the check, then to wire 3300 to a shipping company right away. The shipping company will then pick up the car Saturday (tomorrow). He agreed and did so. Western Union charged him 155 bucks, so he is still holding 8000 and some change, along with the car. The understanding on Thursday afternoon was to have the shipping company pick up on Saturday. So far so good. This afternoon, (Friday, 12:47pm) he gets this email, which I quote exactly including spelling and capitalization: "Hello Johnson, how are you doing/weekend? I have very serious problem right now, my Wife is terribly ill with a surgery operation and i need money to take care of her (although she has been admitted) and the hospital bills are really a huge payment to take care of. Please i would want you to wire the funds($7,000 less western union fee) today to my shipper for the car is not suitable for me at this point in time cuz my hubby is in dying situation. You can still reserve the car for me but right now i need to take proper care of my family problem so please do me a favour of wiring the funds today, this is very urgent and i will appreciate it if you move as fast as possible to help me. I am sorry for the stress and any inconveniences. Thanks, i hope to hear from you with the western union details used in wiring the funds today. Sincerely, Lucky...." OK extropians, what is the scam here? "Lucky" sent 11,500 by money order, Johnson wired 3300 to a shipping company. I suggested we google the shipping company with their street address in Essex London. There is no such street as the one given in Essex, and the name of the company gave no hits on google, nor the name of the person who picked up the 3300 from Western Union. There was no phone number with the company. He was asking for 7000, which leaves 1000 unaccounted for. We went to scambusters, who say that almost all international car sales are bogus. http://www.scambusters.org/russian-scams.html I advised him not to wire the 7k, because as soon as they do, some yahoo will show up with a receipt showing he signed for the 11500 check, and demand the car. As it is, I suppose they will show up tomorrow wanting the car plus 3300 bucks for shipping, claiming to have never heard of this guy who picked up the 3300. So Johnson might already be out $3455, and we mighta caught the deal before his loss turned into $10455. Of course he still has the car, so I suppose they could show up and declare the deal off and demand the $11500? Some of you cluey sorts, what is the scam here? spike From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Sat Dec 13 07:47:21 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 02:47:21 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] internet car sale scam In-Reply-To: <005801c3c13f$de6f91a0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <00ee01c3c14d$5acea300$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Spike wrote, > OK extropians, what is the scam here? "Lucky" sent 11,500 by > money order, Johnson wired 3300 to a shipping company. > Some of you cluey sorts, what is the scam here? Ouch! This is a variant of the old Nigerian scam. See . Basically, checks from African banks take so long to clear that the U.S. banks don't wait for them to clear. They give you the money now assuming the check will clear later. A few weeks down the road, the bank will come back and say the check wasn't real and they have reversed the deposit. Meanwhile, the victim has been conned into sending some of the "received" money back to the scammer or an associate. It isn't until the bank reverses the deposit that the victim realizes that they sent money out without actually receiving any money in. 1. The victim never really got any money up front from the scammer. 2. The victim sends money out of their own pocket, not from a fraction of the scammer's money. 3. The banks push all the liability on the account-holder and take no responsibility for giving the victim cash for a bogus check. 4. The fine print on their account-holder agreement says that all check deposits are subject to verification. 5. This has happened to many, many people over the years, and the victims are always held liable for the losses. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Sat Dec 13 08:29:49 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 19:29:49 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] internet car sale scam References: <005801c3c13f$de6f91a0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <032201c3c153$46391be0$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Hard to de-scam over the net Spike. I'm not familiar enough with some of the processes. Looks to me like a botched scam though. The letter sent conflicting hubby and Wife is just sloppy considering that money was already moving and the scam was already on-foot. Had they not alerted you or your friend with the sloppiness they'd have done better perhaps. They can't even get the story straight when there's money already moving. Pretty sad. The 7000 instead of 8000 could have been a calculated sympathy play on a targeted (i.e. profiled) soft-touch American but the hubby Wife thing blows it. Soft touch != soft head. Interesting. Brett From gpmap at runbox.com Sat Dec 13 10:03:17 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 11:03:17 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Purpose of the Extropian Institute In-Reply-To: <00ba01c3c103$d4df4310$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: Harvey, we as the whole transhumanist community have as many goals as you with and then some. For example I consider all the things that you list as important goals. Also there is no lack of effort and no shortage of individual initiatives, must very interesting and creative, but doomed to failure if they remain forever below critical mass. IMO what we need is a strategy, a set of agreed specific tactics to deal with this and that, and some organization. I know organization is boring, but without organization you don't get anywhere. The concept of critical mass is important, sorry if I repeat myself. If we consolidate many things below critical mass into few things just above critical mass, and manage them well, the transhumanist movement will take off like a rocket. -----Original Message----- From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org]On Behalf Of Harvey Newstrom Sent: 13 December 2003 00:01 To: 'ExI chat list' Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] Purpose of the Extropian Institute Adrian Tymes wrote, > Now...if ExI could start tapping into ways of funding research to > accomplish our aims, and direct said funding, would that be closer to > what you imagine we should do? Or did you have some other specific > solution in mind? Believe it or not, solutions are easy. Our problem is goals. The problem is not that we put all our efforts into a clearly defined goal and then failed. I doubt that would happen. Our problem is that we don't have clearly defined goals, we don't have specific steps toward each goal, and nobody really knows what we should be doing beyond just talking about how great this stuff will be someday. If we want to be a think tank, we need brainstorming sessions. If we want to lobby congress, we need legally rigorous position papers. If we want to develop technology, we need people to actually do research. If we want to be a news source, we need a editorial staff and better publication channels. If we want to be an educational organization, we need teachers and authors developing curriculae and textbooks. If we want to advice industry, we need a team of recognized persons with credentials. If we want to get funding, we need project plans with milestones and results. If we want publicity, we need advertising, PR and publicity stunts. If we want to do more than one of these, we need to establish separate working groups in each area. I am sure that we can accomplish whatever we put our minds to. We just haven't chosen specific goals for our specific organizations yet. Once we do that, we can easily become the best at whatever it is we choose to do. There is no lack of skill, intelligence and creativity among us. So this is decision time. What do we want to do, and how much effort are we willing to put into it? -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From dirk at neopax.com Sat Dec 13 10:59:26 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 10:59:26 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: Encryption revolution References: <00bb01c3c103$ec6b8d40$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <000a01c3c168$2cbc8de0$757b6951@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Harvey Newstrom" To: "'Dirk Bruere'" ; "'ExI chat list'" Sent: Friday, December 12, 2003 11:01 PM Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] Re: Encryption revolution > Dirk Bruere wrote, > > That may be the situation now, but it is going to change > > rapidly, and soon. Transhumanism is about to enter the global > > political arena in a big way, and it is politics that will > > determine the course of events more than science. > > This is the claim of all our great endeavors. They haven't done anything > yet, but they are about to. They have been "about to" for decades now. No > offense is intended, but I will believe it when I see it. I doubt even a > majority on this list expect the Consensus to become a big political player > anytime soon. I'm not talking about the Consensus, but about almost every maturing technology from nuclear power to transplants. The technology becomes polititics, and the limits and applications become purely political issues. Transhumanism is entering that stage. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From bradbury at aeiveos.com Sat Dec 13 13:12:14 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 05:12:14 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] BIO: Stem Cells and bio-magic Message-ID: While many of you may not understand this, scientists have come up with a new and very creative way of isolating stem cells and further the genes that make the stem cells stem cells. New Method Of Identifying And Isolating Stem Cells Developed http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2003/12/031212075948.htm The bottom line -- in these mice discussed -- if the cells keep glowing for a long time they are stem cells. Further they can isolate those cells and determine which genes are turned on to make the stem cells retain stem cell properties. That in turn should lead to approaches for retrodifferentiation allowing one to turn non-stem cells back into stem cells. (One could call this the Holy Grail for turning back the clock.) Every extropian should send a Newtonmas card to Dr. Elaine Fuchs at Rockefeller University for her efforts in this area. (Hows that for being proactive Harvey???) R. From jose_cordeiro at yahoo.com Sat Dec 13 14:46:18 2003 From: jose_cordeiro at yahoo.com (Jose Cordeiro) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 06:46:18 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: [wta-talk] CRN Makes Presentation to EPA In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031213144618.2205.qmail@web41311.mail.yahoo.com> Dear Chris and Mike, Congratulations. This is marvelous. I just hope that it did not go over the head of the EPA Washington bureaucrats:-) This is really the kind of professional activism that we (at WTA, ExI, and wherever:-) should be doing, encouraging and supporting more and more if we really want to change the world... Transhumanistically and extropianilly yours, La vie est belle! Yos? MIKE TREDER wrote: CRN's Director of Research, Chris Phoenix, was in Washington DC yesterday (Dec. 11) for an appearance before the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Science Advisory Board. The EPA is assessing potential environmental impacts of nanotechnology, and they invited Chris to participate on a panel along with other experts. We've posted a new web page that outlines the information Chris presented, and goes into greater depth on selected subjects. It's at http://www.crnano.org/EPAhandout.htm Please let us know if you have any questions. Chris Phoenix, Director of Research cphoenix at CRNano.org Mike Treder, Executive Director mtreder at CRNano.org Center for Responsible Nanotechnology http://CRNano.org _________________________________________________________________ Winterize your home with tips from MSN House & Home. http://special.msn.com/home/warmhome.armx _______________________________________________ wta-talk mailing list wta-talk at transhumanism.org http://www.transhumanism.org/mailman/listinfo/wta-talk La vie est belle! Yos? (www.cordeiro.org) Caracas, Venezuela, Americas, TerraNostra --------------------------------- Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From jcorb at iol.ie Sat Dec 13 15:14:25 2003 From: jcorb at iol.ie (J Corbally) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 15:14:25 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: sole superpower/warfare 2003-2010 comments Message-ID: <5.0.2.1.1.20031213145609.0336fb20@pop.iol.ie> >After 2010 the situation may become more destabilizing still, since it is >likely that the first space towers will be constructed in the late 2010s. >Space towers or vertical railways based on carbon nanotechnology allow for >very cheap spacelifting costs and very effective space weaponry, both beam >and linear accelerator weapons. They also allow for use of material from >the Moon as weapons of mass destruction - rocks or other material thrown >via linear accelerators - a type of weapon almost very difficult to >protect oneself against. Not so sure personally about Space Towers in the late 2010's, but the only real gripe appears to be a typo/grammo in the last sentence ("almost very difficult"). As for general comments; I doubt Russia would reinvolve itself in an arms race. They don't have (easy access to) the resources needed to keep up, plus they've effectively lost a decade or so after the Wall came down. They still don't have a strong economy. Perhaps their best bet is to slip under the U.S. "Blanket", but of course that will happens on the U.S.'s terms, not theirs. Europe has some potential to provide a counterforce, but with the EU nations nervous and bickering on common defence they're unlikely to produce the requisite level of R&D, nevermind a viable force of any real size. Oh and BTW, the EEC no longer exists. Not since 1992. James... From jcorb at iol.ie Sat Dec 13 15:31:38 2003 From: jcorb at iol.ie (J Corbally) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 15:31:38 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: Worthy causes (was: Encryption revolution) Message-ID: <5.0.2.1.1.20031213151939.03373560@pop.iol.ie> >Message: 22 >Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 20:19:56 -0800 > >From: "Reason" >Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] Re: Encryption revolution >To: "ExI chat list" >Message-ID: >Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii" > >You're missing the point. When building a prize, most of the final amount >will come from wealthy philanthopists. The purpose of the large amount of >smaller donations is to demonstrate viability, will, and widespread >interest. It engages people; all social engineering. It's part of the >bootstrap effect: people like the chair of HGSI aren't going to donate to a >prize until hundreds of people have made their voice heard and made smaller >donations. Paul Allen isn't going to donate until many people at the renown >level of the chair of HGSI have donated, and so forth. >This is the way it works when you're trying to convince philanthopists that >something is worthwhile. It's exactly the same way it worked for the X >Prize, you'll note, which started out at $10,000 seven years ago. The >Methuselah Mouse Prize is only six months old, and has grown faster than the >X Prize in its first six months. Not forgetting that, as noble as the X-Prize goal is, it's far more distant from most peoples daily experience than having extra years of life. The MMP is the first overtly >Human research project I've donated to. As Reason suggested, throw some silver their way. James... >Again, this is the process, this is the way it works. It's working, and it's >working very well. Don't dismiss it: instead, make a donation and help it to >succeed. >Reason >http://www.exratio.com/ > > >------------------------------ From jcorb at iol.ie Sat Dec 13 15:44:44 2003 From: jcorb at iol.ie (J Corbally) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 15:44:44 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: internet car sale scam Message-ID: <5.0.2.1.1.20031213154052.0336a170@pop.iol.ie> >>Message: 25 >>Date: Fri, 12 Dec 2003 22:10:55 -0800 >> >From: "Spike" >>Subject: [extropy-chat] internet car sale scam >>To: "'ExI chat list'" >>Message-ID: <005801c3c13f$de6f91a0$6501a8c0 at SHELLY> >>Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii" >This afternoon, (Friday, 12:47pm) he gets this email, >which I quote exactly including spelling and capitalization: >"Hello Johnson, >how are you doing/weekend? I have very serious problem right now, >my Wife is terribly ill with a surgery operation and i need money >to take care of her (although she has been admitted) and the hospital >bills are really a huge payment to take care of. Please i would want >you to wire the funds($7,000 less western union fee) today to my >shipper for the car is not suitable for me at this point in time cuz >my hubby is in dying situation. >You can still reserve the car for me but right now i need to take >proper care of my family problem so please do me a favour of wiring >the funds today, this is very urgent and i will appreciate it if you >move as fast as possible to help me. I am sorry for the stress and >any inconveniences. >Thanks, i hope to hear from you with the western union details used >in wiring the funds today. >Sincerely, >Lucky...." Perhaps the ill "Wife" becoming the dying "hubby" by the end should have tipped him off. Nasty business, hope he manages to get out of it with the minimum of pain. James... From twodeel at jornada.org Sat Dec 13 15:40:23 2003 From: twodeel at jornada.org (Don Dartfield) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 07:40:23 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] internet car sale scam In-Reply-To: <00ee01c3c14d$5acea300$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: On Sat, 13 Dec 2003, Harvey Newstrom wrote: > Ouch! This is a variant of the old Nigerian scam. See > . Snopes has a good writeup on this scam here: http://www.snopes.com/inboxer/scams/carsale.asp From fortean1 at mindspring.com Sat Dec 13 17:02:24 2003 From: fortean1 at mindspring.com (Terry W. Colvin) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 10:02:24 -0700 Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD (SK) OT: Physics humor Message-ID: <3FDB4620.70DB5945@mindspring.com> Fowarded, since so many of the membership seem to be "into" physics. I didn't major in the subject, but I still laughed my butt off when I read this: Electron Band Structure In Germanium, My Ass < http://www.cs.wisc.edu/~kovar/hall.html > Cheers, LRC -- ?Only a zit on the wart on the heinie of progress.? Copyright 1992, Frank Rice Terry W. Colvin, Sierra Vista, Arizona (USA) < fortean1 at mindspring.com > Alternate: < fortean1 at msn.com > Home Page: < http://www.geocities.com/Area51/Stargate/8958/index.html > Sites: * Fortean Times * Mystic's Haven * TLCB * U.S. Message Text Formatting (USMTF) Program ------------ Member: Thailand-Laos-Cambodia Brotherhood (TLCB) Mailing List TLCB Web Site: < http://www.tlc-brotherhood.org >[Vietnam veterans, Allies, CIA/NSA, and "steenkeen" contractors are welcome.] From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sat Dec 13 17:03:42 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 09:03:42 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] internet car sale scam In-Reply-To: <00ee01c3c14d$5acea300$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <20031213170342.28894.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> Harvey is right here. You can't do international business the same way as you do it domestically. In international commerce, the buyer puts money into an account that the seller can verify actually has assets, typically with the shipping company or institutions it does business with. The Seller ships the item being sold along with a bill of lading to the buyer, and when the buyer receives the item, the shipping company releases the funds, or notifies who ever is holding the assets to release the funds, to the seller. A friend of mine in Seattle is an international car broker and when people try this scam with him, he'll first call the issuing bank to verify that funds are available (this will weed out the less well executed scams) and even then will sit on the money for ten days to make sure the bank doesn't come back for the funds. Only then will he ship a car, and will include instructions for how to do international business in the future. Never send funds back, either. Once you receive payment, and the check is cleared, that money is yours and you can legally consider the sale to be final. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From fortean1 at mindspring.com Sat Dec 13 17:13:59 2003 From: fortean1 at mindspring.com (Terry W. Colvin) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 10:13:59 -0700 Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD (SK) Re: Who Invented the Airplane? A Brazilian, of Course Message-ID: <3FDB48D7.A163175@mindspring.com> >It was on November 12, 1906, Actually, it was Sept 13. > when Santos-Dumont flew a kite-like contraption >with boxy wings called the 14-Bis some 722 feet (220 meters) on the outskirts of Paris. >It being the first public flight in the world, No, it was the first documented flight in Europe. >he was hailed as the inventor of the airplane all over Europe. Only by the profoundly ignorant. The Wrights had already gotten a patent on their aircraft by then, and had made several well-documented public flights. In 1905, the British War Office had contacted the Wrights about buying planes from them. Dave Palmer -------------------------- By the way, check out < http://home.att.net/~dannysoar2/eole.htm > and its links. -- ?Only a zit on the wart on the heinie of progress.? Copyright 1992, Frank Rice Terry W. Colvin, Sierra Vista, Arizona (USA) < fortean1 at mindspring.com > Alternate: < fortean1 at msn.com > Home Page: < http://www.geocities.com/Area51/Stargate/8958/index.html > Sites: * Fortean Times * Mystic's Haven * TLCB * U.S. Message Text Formatting (USMTF) Program ------------ Member: Thailand-Laos-Cambodia Brotherhood (TLCB) Mailing List TLCB Web Site: < http://www.tlc-brotherhood.org >[Vietnam veterans, Allies, CIA/NSA, and "steenkeen" contractors are welcome.] From sentience at pobox.com Sat Dec 13 18:40:34 2003 From: sentience at pobox.com (Eliezer S. Yudkowsky) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 13:40:34 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Affective computing: Candy bars for the soul Message-ID: <3FDB5D22.7080609@pobox.com> Wired has recently run an article on "affective computing" (which, please note, is not even remotely related to FAI) about detecting and simulating emotions. The article is about a chatbot named Laura, designed to encourage its user to stick to an exercise program. http://wired.com/wired/archive/11.12/love.html One particular quote in this article interests me, because I've been expecting it, but not so early: > Everybody should have someone like Laura in their lives. I find myself > looking forward to our time together. She asks me which movies I've > seen, what my favorite cuisine is, and about the weather "out there." I > tell her it's terrific. She responds: "It's always the same in here. > Day in, day out." You know how sometimes people look back in history, and point to some small thing like, oh, say, the early Mosaic web browser, and go on about the unpredictability of the future and how nobody at the time could possibly have recognized the coming impact from such a small hint? Watch this space for further developments. This is an incredibly early form of the technology and I don't expect problems for at least a decade, but when it hits it will hit hard. This has nothing to do with AI; it's about programs with incredibly realistic graphics and means for recognizing emotions in their targets, being able to deploy apparent behaviors that act as superstimuli for human emotional responses. Think of chocolate chip cookies for emotions. Chocolate chip cookies are a more powerful stimulus than hunter-gatherer tastebuds ever encounter, combining sugar, fat, and salt in greater quantity and purer quality. And likewise there's a limit to the sympathy, support, approval, and admiration humans can expect from their human mates. As any evolutionary theorist knows, a human male is not designed as the human female's ideal boyfriend, nor vice versa. Candy bars for the soul. It's not that all synthetic foods are bad. A polymath dietician, anthropologist, evolutionary theorist, and metabolic biologist - that is to say, a *good* paleodiet theorist - can take a shot at crafting synthetic foods that are good for you. But it takes so much more knowledge to do it right... and the side effects of the things that "just taste good" are negative, complicated, very hard to understand, unforeseen in advance. People at large understand the one *obvious* side effect once they've seen it: People bloating up like balloons. But also losing insulin sensitivity, and a lot of other problems that aren't visible to the naked eye. At the very least it would take far greater skill, wisdom, knowledge to craft a Laura that made people stronger instead of weaker. How many decades did it take to go from candy bars to health food bars? Which is cheaper? Which is more popular? And worst of all, which tastes better? I could be surprised, but what Laura presages is probably NOT a good thing. Transhumanism needs to lose the optimism about outcomes. Nobody is taking into account the fact that problems are hard and humans are stupid. Watch this space for serious developments in some unknown amount of time, my wild guess being a decade, and quite possibly nothing happening if "faking it well" turns out to be AI-complete. -- Eliezer S. Yudkowsky http://singinst.org/ Research Fellow, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence From spike66 at comcast.net Sat Dec 13 18:56:17 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 10:56:17 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: sole superpower/warfare 2003-2010 comments In-Reply-To: <5.0.2.1.1.20031213145609.0336fb20@pop.iol.ie> Message-ID: <001201c3c1aa$ca4de710$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > > >After 2010 the situation may become more destabilizing > still, since it is > >likely that the first space towers will be constructed in > the late 2010s. > >Space towers or vertical railways based on carbon > nanotechnology allow for > >very cheap spacelifting costs and very effective space > weaponry... I do beg to differ on this. We are nowhere close to having the technology to build space towers, not in the next 20 years, not in the next 50. Never mind all the practical difficulties, basic materials science is not even in the neighborhood of making it possible. spike From neptune at superlink.net Sat Dec 13 19:05:19 2003 From: neptune at superlink.net (Technotranscendence) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 14:05:19 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Encryption revolution References: Message-ID: <01bd01c3c1ac$0e2a6160$1ccd5cd1@neptune> On Tuesday, December 09, 2003 2:15 PM Brian Lee brian_a_lee at hotmail.com wrote: > Of course I too am sick and tired of people > spouting off about things which they know > nothing. And I'm not. I enjoy the ability to pounce on them, but, showing another of life's little ironies, I don't like it when I'm in that position.:) Later! Dan http://uweb.superlink.net/neptune/ From spike66 at comcast.net Sat Dec 13 19:04:42 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 11:04:42 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] internet car sale scam In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <001301c3c1ab$f7178cf0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Thanks Don and Harvey! This matches the case almost exactly. I didn't realize that if one cashes a counterfeit money order one is still liable to the bank, even after one is holding the cash. So my buddy might be out 3500 bucks. Im pissed at myself for not having caught this *before* the 3500, but at least we stopped the 7k loss. The Snopes writeup is probably the right deal. spike > -----Original Message----- > From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org > [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of > Don Dartfield > Sent: Saturday, December 13, 2003 7:40 AM > To: ExI chat list > Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] internet car sale scam > > > On Sat, 13 Dec 2003, Harvey Newstrom wrote: > > > Ouch! This is a variant of the old Nigerian scam. See > > . > > Snopes has a good writeup on this scam here: > http://www.snopes.com/inboxer/scams/carsale.asp _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From spike66 at comcast.net Sat Dec 13 19:20:37 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 11:20:37 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] internet car sale scam In-Reply-To: <20031213170342.28894.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <001701c3c1ae$30b78670$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Ja, thanks Mike. I think what is about to happen is that the bank will notify Johnson that the cashier's check is counterfeit, no one will show up to claim the car and that Johnson has been stung for 3455, which is 3300 plus 155 to Western Union. During the whole transaction, I kept asking him why the buyer wasn't paying the shipping company, but I was too busy with a final exam to stop and google on some of this stuff, dammit. I guess now we are both older, uglier and wiser. At least we stopped the 7k transfer. spike > -----Original Message----- > From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org > [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of > Mike Lorrey > Sent: Saturday, December 13, 2003 9:04 AM > To: ExI chat list > Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] internet car sale scam > > > Harvey is right here. You can't do international business the same way > as you do it domestically. In international commerce, the buyer puts > money into an account that the seller can verify actually has assets, > typically with the shipping company or institutions it does business > with. The Seller ships the item being sold along with a bill of lading > to the buyer, and when the buyer receives the item, the shipping > company releases the funds, or notifies who ever is holding the assets > to release the funds, to the seller. > > A friend of mine in Seattle is an international car broker and when > people try this scam with him, he'll first call the issuing bank to > verify that funds are available (this will weed out the less well > executed scams) and even then will sit on the money for ten days to > make sure the bank doesn't come back for the funds. Only then will he > ship a car, and will include instructions for how to do international > business in the future. > > Never send funds back, either. Once you receive payment, and the check > is cleared, that money is yours and you can legally consider the sale > to be final. > > ===== > Mike Lorrey > "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." > - Gen. John Stark > "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." > - Mike Lorrey > Do not label me, I am an ism of one... > Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com > > __________________________________ > Do you Yahoo!? > New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. > http://photos.yahoo.com/ > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From bradbury at aeiveos.com Sat Dec 13 20:35:37 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 12:35:37 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: sole superpower/warfare 2003-2010 comments In-Reply-To: <001201c3c1aa$ca4de710$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: On Sat, 13 Dec 2003, Spike (commenting on space tower construction) wrote: > I do beg to differ on this. We are nowhere close to > having the technology to build space towers, not in > the next 20 years, not in the next 50. Never mind > all the practical difficulties, basic materials science > is not even in the neighborhood of making it possible. I'd be careful spike -- DuPont just announced a reasonable way to separate out carbon nanotubes and I think the Univ. of Utah has a method for spinning them into cables. There are 30+ companies working on making nanotubes cheap and available. Doesn't mean it will happen by 2010 -- but as I'm fond of saying "If you lean on something long enough it *will* fall over." Though as I recall the way you have to build a cable to GSO is you have to start with the materials in GSO and run the cable toward the planet and a balancing cable away from the planet at the same time. I think its going to require a *lot* of Delta 4's to get that much nanotube cable up to GSO. Robert From bradbury at aeiveos.com Sat Dec 13 20:49:43 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 12:49:43 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] sole superpower/warfare 2003-2010 comments In-Reply-To: <000201c3c1b8$bf64bfa0$e9ee17cb@renegade> Message-ID: On Fri, 12 Dec 2003, Avatar Polymorph wrote: [snip lots of discussion about beam or particle based weapons...] > Will the American national government define its stated cultural > and political hegemony through the barrel of a beam weapon? First, I would question your premise that the warheads are stored. I believe that both the U.S. and Russia are destroying a significant fraction of them. That doesn't solve the problem of what to do with the plutonium -- I believe that in at least Russia they are working on diluting the plutonium down so it can be sold as reactor fuel (but you should check this). Second, the average American doesn't view Russia as a significant threat any more -- so while we might fund a beam weapon here (the chemical laser on the 747) or particle weapons there (I think the Navy may be working on some high velocity/mass particle weapons) the general threat is viewed as being countries like North Korea or perhaps China (if the Taiwan situation blew up) or maybe Pakistan or Iran if the Muslim populations got lit on fire for some reason. So I don't think you are going to see large U.S. expenditures on putting into place lots of beam and particle weapons. The average American (and the typical opposition politician) is smart enough to know that the real risks are in stealth cells, shipping containers, porous borders, etc. all of which could contribute to the importing of a actual nuclear weapon or a dirty bomb. And don't get me started on bioweapons -- we already know you can send those in the mail. So I think the premise that there will be a large focus on classical "big" weapon anti-weapons has its limits. Because we have already seen that all such efforts are ineffective for people who are clever enough to take other approaches. Robert From thespike at earthlink.net Sat Dec 13 20:58:48 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 14:58:48 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: sole superpower/warfare 2003-2010 comments References: Message-ID: <013301c3c1bb$e95961a0$99994a43@texas.net> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Robert J. Bradbury" Sent: Saturday, December 13, 2003 2:35 PM > its going to require a *lot* of Delta 4's to get that > much nanotube cable up to GSO. Run it up there on heavy-duty ground-based lasers? Or would development of that tech cost more than rockets? Damien Broderick From scerir at libero.it Sat Dec 13 21:19:38 2003 From: scerir at libero.it (scerir at libero.it) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 22:19:38 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] EU constitution collapses Message-ID: http://edition.cnn.com/2003/WORLD/europe/12/13/eu.summit/index.html http://news.ft.com/home/europe It seems to me obvious that you cannot build a federation of (6, then 15, then 25) very different states, having very different histories (and reciprocal wars), populations, religions, etc., starting from the economy and markets, Political issues come first . The EU founding fathers knew that very well. s. From dirk at neopax.com Sat Dec 13 21:25:01 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 21:25:01 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] EU constitution collapses References: Message-ID: <011001c3c1bf$917516b0$757b6951@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: To: "extropy-chat" Sent: Saturday, December 13, 2003 9:19 PM Subject: [extropy-chat] EU constitution collapses > http://edition.cnn.com/2003/WORLD/europe/12/13/eu.summit/index.html > http://news.ft.com/home/europe > > It seems to me obvious that you cannot > build a federation of (6, then 15, then 25) > very different states, having very different > histories (and reciprocal wars), populations, > religions, etc., starting from the economy > and markets, Political issues come first . > The EU founding fathers knew that very well. On the contrary. What we definately don't need is a poor copy of the US with its centralised federal govt, which is what the EU is/was aiming for. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From jacques at dtext.com Sat Dec 13 21:56:34 2003 From: jacques at dtext.com (JDP) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 22:56:34 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] POL(L): The Constitution of Europe In-Reply-To: <011001c3c1bf$917516b0$757b6951@artemis> References: <011001c3c1bf$917516b0$757b6951@artemis> Message-ID: <3FDB8B12.7080806@dtext.com> Dirk Bruere wrote: > From: >> >>It seems to me obvious that you cannot >>build a federation of (6, then 15, then 25) >>very different states, having very different >>histories (and reciprocal wars), populations, >>religions, etc., starting from the economy >>and markets, Political issues come first . >>The EU founding fathers knew that very well. > > > On the contrary. > What we definately don't need is a poor copy of the US with its centralised > federal govt, which is what the EU is/was aiming for. Do/did we need a formal Europe at all? Are European Extropes pro-Europe? Why? Jacques From support at imminst.org Sat Dec 13 22:11:05 2003 From: support at imminst.org (support at imminst.org) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 16:11:05 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] ImmInst Update Message-ID: <3fdb8e79b55bc@imminst.org> Mike Perry - Alcor, Cryonics & Immortality ***************************** Alcor Patient Care Assistant and author of "Forever for All", Mike Perry chats will ImmInst about his current work and the future of Cryonics. CHAT TIME: Dec 14 @ 8pm Eastern http://imminst.org/forum/index.php?s=&act=ST&f=63&t=2385 ImmInst - Book Project ***************************** Thanks to exceptions efforts from the ImmInst book editing team, the project is moving forward at an impressive pace. See an impressive list of 34 authors offering to help thus far here: http://imminst.org/book/#FAR ImmInst Constitution Vote ***************************** Between Dec 10 - Dec 25, 2003, all ImmInst Members (Basic & Full) have an opportunity to vote on the newest version of the Constitution. http://imminst.org/forum/index.php?act=ST&f=99&t=2569&s= XML - ImmInst Updated News Feed Link ***************************** If you have a news reader such as NewzCrawler.com, you can add ImmInst's news feed link to your program. http://imminst.org/archive/index.xml Complementary "Physical Immortality" Magazine ***************************** The Society for Venturism has graciously sent ImmInst twenty copies of its new magazine, "Physical Immortality". This 32 page edition is chop full of high-powered articles specifically concerning the possibility of living forever. Happily, the next twenty members to become ImmInst Full Members will receive a copy of the magazine along with a free copy of James Halperin's "The First Immortal". Full Members will also gain access to the Full Member forums you can join dedicated members who are currently working on the ImmInst Book Project. You can help ImmInst fulfill its mission to conquer the blight of involuntary death. Become an ImmInst Full Member: ** http://imminst.org/index_join.php If you're already a Full Member, you can visit the Society For Venturism's website for more information about how to receive the magazine: http://www.venturist.org/pi.htm Warm Regards, ImmInst.org Team To be removed from all of our mailing lists, click here: http://www.imminst.org/archive/mailinglists/mailinglists.php?p=mlist&rem=extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org From bradbury at aeiveos.com Sat Dec 13 22:07:44 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 14:07:44 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: sole superpower/warfare 2003-2010 comments In-Reply-To: <013301c3c1bb$e95961a0$99994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: On Sat, 13 Dec 2003, Damien Broderick wrote: > From: "Robert J. Bradbury" > > > its going to require a *lot* of Delta 4's to get that > > much nanotube cable up to GSO. > > Run it up there on heavy-duty ground-based lasers? Or would development of > that tech cost more than rockets? I'm not so sure the development is a problem. The lasers in both the fusion reactor at LLNL and in the 747 the gov. is putting together as a defensive weapon pack a pretty big punch (in terms of Joules). However I'm not sure that would be enough to function as a source of lift for the amount of mass that would be required. We need some harder numbers here in terms of the minimal mass for a cable that could withstand normal forces (gravity, wind, etc.) and allow micro-elevators to climb up and down the cable. Also some figures on the lift efficiencies of laser propulsion (it has to be really low). One problem is that I think most lasers systems are currently designed to deliver heat (melt the incomings, fuse the pellets, etc.). One would need a shift in design strategies if one wants to use them for non-destructive propulsion purposes. R. From sjvans at ameritech.net Sat Dec 13 23:04:50 2003 From: sjvans at ameritech.net (Stephen J. Van Sickle) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 17:04:50 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Alcor Announcement In-Reply-To: <3fdb8e79b55bc@imminst.org> References: <3fdb8e79b55bc@imminst.org> Message-ID: <1071356690.1031.123.camel@Renfield> December 13, 2003 From: Michael Riskin; Alcor VP, CFO, Board Chairman Re: Alcor announces its new CEO, Joseph A. Waynick First, on behalf of everyone associated with the mission of cryonics, I wish to once again, officially thank Dr. Jerry Lemler for his visionary efforts as Alcor's CEO these past two years. Retiring from this position on December 31, 2003, Jerry will continue to support the foundation as Alcor's medical director and chief spokesperson commencing on January 1, 2004. We all wish you, Jerry, the very best of ongoing successes in whatever you do, but especially in your fight against the life threatening illness that attacked you earlier this year. It is also with great pleasure, that I am announcing on behalf of the board directors, the selection of Joseph Waynick, who will be succeeding Dr Lemler as Alcor's CEO, commencing January 1, 2004. Joe brings a rich and successful career combining business, management, and technology to this position. In addition, he has been elected to the Alcor Board of Directors, effective immediately. Having gotten to know Joe on a more personal level, I am confident that under his leadership he will guide Alcor to even greater heights as the world's premier provider of cryonics services. Michael Riskin From dirk at neopax.com Sat Dec 13 22:23:05 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 22:23:05 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: POL(L): The Constitution of Europe References: <011001c3c1bf$917516b0$757b6951@artemis> <3FDB8B12.7080806@dtext.com> Message-ID: <033a01c3c1c7$ae279c30$757b6951@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "JDP" To: "Dirk Bruere" ; "ExI chat list" Sent: Saturday, December 13, 2003 9:56 PM Subject: POL(L): The Constitution of Europe > Dirk Bruere wrote: > > > From: > >> > >>It seems to me obvious that you cannot > >>build a federation of (6, then 15, then 25) > >>very different states, having very different > >>histories (and reciprocal wars), populations, > >>religions, etc., starting from the economy > >>and markets, Political issues come first . > >>The EU founding fathers knew that very well. > > > > > > On the contrary. > > What we definately don't need is a poor copy of the US with its centralised > > federal govt, which is what the EU is/was aiming for. > > Do/did we need a formal Europe at all? Are European Extropes pro-Europe? > Why? Because having a relatively coherent economic bloc of around 450m people is a base which can wield enough power to maintain the economic and military independence of its member states with respect to other world forces. However, I am not in favour of an EU govt in Brussels that feels it can poke its nose into the purely internal workings of its member states eg criminal law, various Rights issues etc. The EU should be limited to inter national issues only. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Sat Dec 13 23:06:15 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 18:06:15 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] BIO: Stem Cells and bio-magic In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <016501c3c1cd$ba3a5f70$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Robert J. Bradbury wrote, > Every extropian should send a Newtonmas card to Dr. Elaine > Fuchs at Rockefeller University for her efforts in this area. > (Hows that for being proactive Harvey???) You suggest sending thank-you cards after the fact, to people we never met, for doing work without our involvement, on projects we never previously heard of, based on public reports we can't independently verify. And you call this "proactive"? :-) -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Sat Dec 13 23:06:24 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 18:06:24 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] internet car sale scam In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <016601c3c1cd$bf14be50$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Don Dartfield wrote, > On Sat, 13 Dec 2003, Harvey Newstrom wrote: > > > Ouch! This is a variant of the old Nigerian scam. See > > . > > Snopes has a good writeup on this scam here: > They also give a number to call if you have been scammed: "If you have been bilked, call the U.S. Secret Service at (202) 406-5572 or write to U.S. Secret Service, Financial Crimes Division, 950 H St. N.W., Washington, DC 20223. Also, call your state attorney general's consumer protection division." -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Sat Dec 13 23:18:15 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 10:18:15 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Glenn Fishbine on the space elevator References: Message-ID: <001401c3c1cf$6581c3e0$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Glenn Fishbine author of _The Investor's Guide to_Nanotechnology_ And_Micromachines_ (pub 2002. Wiley: Finance) put together a critical article on the space elevator concept. Its a little dated. There are carbon nanotubes longer than 1mm now, but some of the engineering and other challenges may still be of interest even if to just to see if they can be overcome. heres a link to the pdf http://www.glennfishbine.com/articles/roping_the_stars.pdf Regards, Brett From rhanson at gmu.edu Sat Dec 13 23:31:52 2003 From: rhanson at gmu.edu (Robin Hanson) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 18:31:52 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: sole superpower/warfare 2003-2010 comments In-Reply-To: References: <001201c3c1aa$ca4de710$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <5.2.1.1.2.20031213182951.02249888@mail.gmu.edu> On 12/13/2003 Robert Bradbury wrote: >Though as I recall the way you have to build a cable >to GSO is you have to start with the materials in GSO >and run the cable toward the planet and a balancing >cable away from the planet at the same time. I think >its going to require a *lot* of Delta 4's to get that >much nanotube cable up to GSO. Right, but the first cable you lift doesn't need to be thick enough to lift anything but more cable parts. The first thin cable lifts more cable parts, which then makes a thicker cable, which can lift larger cable parts, and so on. Robin Hanson rhanson at gmu.edu http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-4444 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323 From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Sat Dec 13 23:34:01 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 10:34:01 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] BIO: Stem Cells and bio-magic References: <016501c3c1cd$ba3a5f70$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <000201c3c1d2$3f5f29c0$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Harvey Newstrom wrote: > Robert J. Bradbury wrote, > > Every extropian should send a Newtonmas card to Dr. Elaine > > Fuchs at Rockefeller University for her efforts in this area. > > (Hows that for being proactive Harvey???) > > You suggest sending thank-you cards after the fact, to people we > never met, for doing work without our involvement, on projects > we never previously heard of, based on public reports we can't > independently verify. > > And you call this "proactive"? :-) I've got to agree with Harvey on that one ;-) Not that people don't usually appreciate hearing from another person that supports their work. Nobody ever gets sick of being appreciated but one card from Robert (or an email) would probably be better than a bunch that looked like a concerted campaigne from a group she'd never heard of. The poor woman would probably wonder if the Raelians had renamed themselves and were trying to recruit her. :-) Seriously Harvey, I think the most proactive thing you could do if you *want* to do something would be to take up Natasha's offer and work on helping to identify goals. That's important. Your reasoning is sound on identifying goals and I think your input would be valuable. I wish I was able to get to the US more easily. Regards, Brett From thespike at earthlink.net Sat Dec 13 23:36:31 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 17:36:31 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] laser boosting References: Message-ID: <019601c3c1d1$f8efda20$99994a43@texas.net> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Robert J. Bradbury" Saturday, December 13, 2003 4:07 PM >One problem is that I think most lasers systems are currently > designed to deliver heat (melt the incomings, fuse the pellets, etc.). > One would need a shift in design strategies if one wants to use them > for non-destructive propulsion purposes. A steam-driven spaceship! Pack it with ice. Since the Antarctic icebergs are melting anyway, let's at least put the stuff to good use. Or would the dissociated H2O do horrid things to the ozone layers, etc? (I do know the poles are the worst possible place to launch a Beanstalk from, unless maybe it's the whipping kind that nearly touches down now and then and you have to chase it with a jet.) Damien Broderick From jacques at dtext.com Sat Dec 13 23:46:23 2003 From: jacques at dtext.com (JDP) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 00:46:23 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] internet car sale scam In-Reply-To: <016601c3c1cd$bf14be50$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> References: <016601c3c1cd$bf14be50$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <3FDBA4CF.2010103@dtext.com> Harvey Newstrom wrote: > Don Dartfield wrote, > >>On Sat, 13 Dec 2003, Harvey Newstrom wrote: >> >> >>>Ouch! This is a variant of the old Nigerian scam. See >>>. >> >>Snopes has a good writeup on this scam here: >> > > > They also give a number to call if you have been scammed: > "If you have been bilked, call the U.S. Secret Service at (202) 406-5572 or > write to U.S. Secret Service, Financial Crimes Division, 950 H St. N.W., > Washington, DC 20223. Also, call your state attorney general's consumer > protection division." Maybe the guy waiting for the remaining $7000 on the other end of the Western Union link can be arrested by the local police when he shows up, and the $3000 already sent be recovered? Let Johnson say he's praying for Lucky's mother to get better while he solves a little problem delaying the sending of the remaining $7000. Of course I'm assuming here that Lucky is not reading extropy-chat -- seems safe to me :-) Jacques From jacques at dtext.com Sat Dec 13 23:48:08 2003 From: jacques at dtext.com (JDP) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 00:48:08 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: POL(L): The Constitution of Europe In-Reply-To: <033a01c3c1c7$ae279c30$757b6951@artemis> References: <011001c3c1bf$917516b0$757b6951@artemis> <3FDB8B12.7080806@dtext.com> <033a01c3c1c7$ae279c30$757b6951@artemis> Message-ID: <3FDBA538.4040904@dtext.com> Dirk Bruere wrote: > From: "JDP" >> >>Do/did we need a formal Europe at all? Are European Extropes pro-Europe? >>Why? > > > Because having a relatively coherent economic bloc of around 450m people is > a base which can wield enough power to maintain the economic and military > independence of its member states with respect to other world forces. > > However, I am not in favour of an EU govt in Brussels that feels it can poke > its nose into the purely internal workings of its member states eg criminal > law, various Rights issues etc. The EU should be limited to inter national > issues only. Are there good reasons to think that agreement and coherent behaviour is possible in economic and military international matters without political unity? Suppose a situation similar to WWII, with fascist Germany invading nearby countries, and causing a potentially global threat, and where the US got involved. Will a politically loose Europe manage to make the decision to get involved, or will it stay irresolute and passive while no clear agreement can be reached by the member States, except on the most extreme cases? In other words, can Europe really leverage its military (and economic) power as a bloc while preserving the freedom and independence of its member States? Can you have the advantages of being a big State when you are a loose, ad hoc federation? Jacques From thespike at earthlink.net Sun Dec 14 00:07:09 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 18:07:09 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] hangover cure pill? References: <019601c3c1d1$f8efda20$99994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <01dd01c3c1d6$3a3c5360$99994a43@texas.net> http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2003/12/13/1071125712643.html The drug remained classified in KGB files until 1999, but in the past six months the pill has been marketed in the US. Named after the legal drinking age in America, RU-21 stops the body making an enzyme that turns alcohol into acetaldehyde, a toxic chemical that can damage tissues. [anyone tried this?] From spike66 at comcast.net Sun Dec 14 00:37:40 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 16:37:40 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] internet car sale scam In-Reply-To: <016601c3c1cd$bf14be50$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <000901c3c1da$7b647bc0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > > Snopes has a good writeup on this scam here: > > > > They also give a number to call if you have been scammed: > "If you have been bilked, call the U.S. Secret Service at > (202) 406-5572 or write to U.S. Secret Service... > > -- > Harvey Newstrom {degrees and alphabet soup snipped}... Roger that. We looked into it and it turns out the bank is now admitting that it is very probable that the money order was counterfeit. After the fact, they inform Johnson that he is liable for the entire amount of the check, this after the (admittedly junior) cashier had assured him that the check was ok, good to go, etc. He had suspicions about the deal, then his own bank seduced him into going ahead with the transaction of wiring the third party the 3300 bucks. I urged him to hold the bank responsible for the 3455 and give them the difference, of about 8k, since they share blame. Heres the deal now: the scammer doesn't know that we are onto him, so we could potentially set up a sting operation and nab the reprehensible perp. Johnson isn't supposed to be back in town until Wednesday, so we have some time to think of a plan. If there were some way to put out a phony Western Union claim number, perhaps we could set a trap. spike From spike66 at comcast.net Sun Dec 14 00:42:44 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 16:42:44 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] internet car sale scam In-Reply-To: <3FDBA4CF.2010103@dtext.com> Message-ID: <000f01c3c1db$30a0a9a0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > Maybe the guy waiting for the remaining $7000 on the other end of the > Western Union link can be arrested by the local police when > he shows up, > and the $3000 already sent be recovered? Let Johnson say he's praying > for Lucky's mother to get better while he solves a little problem > delaying the sending of the remaining $7000. Of course I'm > assuming here > that Lucky is not reading extropy-chat -- seems safe to me :-) > > Jacques You beat me to it on this Jacques. Turns out anyone can pick up money from any Western Union anywhere in the world with just a name and a claim code. I wasn't aware of that either until yesterday. So we don't know where the other end is. spike From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Sun Dec 14 00:50:34 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 19:50:34 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] BIO: Stem Cells and bio-magic In-Reply-To: <000201c3c1d2$3f5f29c0$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: <017901c3c1dc$4bb1df60$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Brett Paatsch wrote, > Seriously Harvey, I think the most proactive thing you could do > if you *want* to do something would be to take up Natasha's > offer and work on helping to identify goals. That's important. Your > reasoning is sound on identifying goals and I think your > input would be valuable. I wish I was able to get to the US > more easily. I would be glad to help identify Extropian goals. People may not remember that I: - Was the first paid member of the Extropians List in the last 1980's - Presented at Extro-5 - Helped develop the idea for Pro-Act - Served on the ExI Board in 2001 - Created the Extropian FAQ - Created the ExI-Community group on Yahoo - Offered to create a Node-Net forum on Computer Security - Offered to be an Advisor to ExI - Offered to be a Moderator for the Extropians List - and have been involved with numerous other projects here and there over the years I have tried to get involved with ExI activities. Sadly, most of them sort of withered away without any real progress. I do not mean to sound negative here, but I think we can do better in the future than we have in the past. I think organization and clear-cut goals is the key. It sounds like Natasha is already leading ExI to examine goals and focus on priorities. I wish them the best of luck and would gladly participate in helping out any way I can. I am still willing to: - become a moderator on this list - become an ExI advisor - resume coordination of the ExI-Community forum - resume my role as editor of the Extropian FAQ - resume work on Pro-Act or activism activities - become a Node-Net leader in a security oriented forum - become a Node-Net leader in a nutrition oriented forum - develop articles or presentations - brainstorm ideas individually or in a group - review other people's work for further development suggestions - etc. This week I have been working on: - being interviewed for a Mexican magazine article on the future of security - presenting business drivers for security in seminars - writing an article for the Immortality Institute book project - preparing for a chat for the Immortality Institute - reviewing a WTA survey before it goes out - brainstorming my own version of a nutritional food-groups chart for a longevity diet - and a whole bunch of personal goals for improving my life, my business, and my future I know a lot of people have been perceiving my recent discussions as being negative. I'm sorry about that, and should probably learn to present them in a more positive way. However, I am currently focused on prioritizing my goals, figuring out where my activities have been suboptimal in the past, and brainstorming how to be come more effective and successful in the future. Pointing out all the flaws in previous and current activities is NOT being negative. It is the first step in assessing our current position and making it better in the future. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Sun Dec 14 00:58:31 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 19:58:31 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Purpose of the Extropian Institute In-Reply-To: <269620-2200312512232638111@M2W040.mail2web.com> Message-ID: <017a01c3c1dd$67b53d50$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Natasha wrote, > Good point Harvey. > > My suggestion is to join the planning team for the ExI Summit > (mentioned briefly last month's newsletter). This weekend > Greg Burch is coming in from Houston and we will having a > meeting Sunday Morning. After ExI's last Summit meeting in > Houston in November, we have been boiling it down to a > specific, clear-cut purpose. With so many goal options, > finding just the right one is the key. This sounds wonderful. Let me know if I can help. I am good at analysis, where we break down fuzzy big pictures into clearly defined smaller pieces. Choosing the big picture goal is hard. Breaking the big picture goal into doable pieces is merely complicated. Plodding through all the little incremental pieces is downright easy, boring, and tedious. Let me know if there is anything I can do to help. Also don't forget all the people on this list who would love to throw in their two cents, will brainstorm any idea to death, and give you a billion different conflicting viewpoints with lots of unexpected reactions and data. All in all, though, it sounds like fun! -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Sun Dec 14 01:06:37 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 20:06:37 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] internet car sale scam In-Reply-To: <000901c3c1da$7b647bc0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <017b01c3c1de$894ef720$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Yes, this is extremely rare to catch the scam in the act. Usually people ignore the scam if they recognize it, or figure it out after it is too late. I would say definitely call the U.S. Secret Service 202-406-5572 and tell them that you have a scam in progress that the perp wants more money wired to him. This is the perfect opportunity to set up a sting and catch this guy when he comes to pick up the money. (You should not even have to really send money, just tell him you will send it to the specified place and time.) If the U.S. Secret Service won't help out, I can try to arrange something with Private Investigators or Bounty Hunters. But I am afraid my contacts would be quasi-legal, would want to be paid for an operation, and probably wouldn't afford you any legal recourse or legal recovery anyway. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From jcorb at iol.ie Sun Dec 14 01:43:41 2003 From: jcorb at iol.ie (J Corbally) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 01:43:41 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] POL(L): The Constitution of Europe In-Reply-To: <200312132345.hBDNjMl08690@tick.javien.com> Message-ID: <5.0.2.1.1.20031214013413.033b1060@pop.iol.ie> At 04:45 PM 12/13/03 -0700, you wrote: >Message: 23 >Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 22:56:34 +0100 > >From: JDP >Subject: [extropy-chat] POL(L): The Constitution of Europe >To: Dirk Bruere , ExI chat list > >Message-ID: <3FDB8B12.7080806 at dtext.com> >Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii; format=flowed > >Dirk Bruere wrote: > > > From: > >> > >>It seems to me obvious that you cannot > >>build a federation of (6, then 15, then 25) > >>very different states, having very different > >>histories (and reciprocal wars), populations, > >>religions, etc., starting from the economy > >>and markets, Political issues come first . > >>The EU founding fathers knew that very well. > > > > > > On the contrary. > > What we definately don't need is a poor copy of the US with its centralised > > federal govt, which is what the EU is/was aiming for. > >Do/did we need a formal Europe at all? Are European Extropes pro-Europe? >Why? Depends on what you mean by pro-Europe. If you mean no physical or trade barriers, to enjoy different cultures and options without restraint, then I'm pro-Europe. If you mean, as has been said "a poor copy of the US", then no, I wouldn't be pro-that-kind-of-Europe. Neither am I pro the current Constitution, as the vast majority of Europeans have no conception of the difference between a document bestowing freedoms, next to one restricting a Governments ability to infringe on freedoms. Many people here still beleive their rights spring from their Constitutions. A dangerous error. I'm not pro a Europe whose Constitution has within it a restriction on reproductive rights were none should be (or at very least, delegated to the legislation of individual states, even that not being a good solution). And don't even get me started on the whole "mention God" fiasco. James... PS - Anyone hear about the likelihood of the French passing a law banning all religious symbols and garments from schools? >Jacques From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sun Dec 14 02:37:22 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 18:37:22 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] sole superpower/warfare 2003-2010 comments In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031214023722.37950.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> --- "Robert J. Bradbury" wrote: > > > On Fri, 12 Dec 2003, Avatar Polymorph wrote: > > [snip lots of discussion about beam or particle based weapons...] > > > Will the American national government define its stated cultural > > and political hegemony through the barrel of a beam weapon? > > First, I would question your premise that the warheads are stored. > I believe that both the U.S. and Russia are destroying a significant > fraction of them. That doesn't solve the problem of what to do > with the plutonium -- I believe that in at least Russia they are > working on diluting the plutonium down so it can be sold as > reactor fuel (but you should check this). The nukes I don't know about, but their delivery systems are being consumed. Both the US and Russia are using up their old ballistic missiles as cheap launchers. All of the old Titan missiles have been used up this way, and minuteman and MX rocket engines are also being used. The Russians just tested I believe the SS-19 as a launcher for satellite cargos. I'd save all the nukes, de-MIRV them, and keep them for when they'll be needed on Mars for terraforming. > > Second, the average American doesn't view Russia as a significant > threat any more -- Even the last decade of the USSR, they could not have fought their way out of a paper bag logistically if we had decided to go head to head with them. Really doesn't matter what your weapons are if your infrastructure can't support them, which is why so many SSBs are scuttled and rusting away in Russian ports. > so while we might fund a beam weapon here > (the chemical laser on the 747) or particle weapons there (I > think the Navy may be working on some high velocity/mass > particle weapons) the general threat is viewed as being > countries like North Korea or perhaps China (if the Taiwan > situation blew up) or maybe Pakistan or Iran if the Muslim > populations got lit on fire for some reason. So I don't > think you are going to see large U.S. expenditures on putting > into place lots of beam and particle weapons. The average > American (and the typical opposition politician) is smart > enough to know that the real risks are in stealth cells, > shipping containers, porous borders, etc. all of which > could contribute to the importing of a actual nuclear > weapon or a dirty bomb. And don't get me started on > bioweapons -- we already know you can send those in the > mail. I think even those threats are going to be abating so long as the US is seen in the muslim world as willing to strike out at any perceived belligerent when a terrorist strike provides the moral opportunity to do so. If we can't always catch every attacker, I'd rather deter them all by making them think we are crazy. Sitting still and yakking about treating terrorists as criminals is the sort of behavior that encourages them to attack. The whole world knows how soft our justice system is on criminals... ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sun Dec 14 02:43:03 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 18:43:03 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] EU constitution collapses In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031214024303.3371.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> --- "scerir at libero.it" wrote: > http://edition.cnn.com/2003/WORLD/europe/12/13/eu.summit/index.html > http://news.ft.com/home/europe > > It seems to me obvious that you cannot > build a federation of (6, then 15, then 25) > very different states, having very different > histories (and reciprocal wars), populations, > religions, etc., starting from the economy > and markets, Political issues come first . > The EU founding fathers knew that very well. On the contrary, all it prevents is a strong central government from forming, forcing the EU fascists to accept a more federalist structure, even a loose confederation. This is good news for the few states in europe that have hardwired protections for natural rights like France and Lithuania, and bad news for those wanting the power to challenge the US merely for the sake of challenging for power... ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Sun Dec 14 02:54:03 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 13:54:03 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] BIO: Stem Cells and bio-magic References: <017901c3c1dc$4bb1df60$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <00a401c3c1ed$8c25c000$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Harvey Newstrom wrote: > I would be glad to help identify Extropian goals. > This week I have been working on: > - being interviewed for a Mexican magazine article on the future of > security > - presenting business drivers for security in seminars > - writing an article for the Immortality Institute book project > - preparing for a chat for the Immortality Institute > - reviewing a WTA survey before it goes out > - brainstorming my own version of a nutritional food-groups chart for a > longevity diet > - and a whole bunch of personal goals for improving my life, my business, > and my future Harvey do you have a web-site? I think this was a good suggestion Robert made. The reason I ask is that I've noticed the some of the folk that have lots of energy and ideas often do. Anders, Robert, Reason, Damien. It seems to be a great way of ensuring effort and research is not wasted. I've been trying to get one going myself. Actually I have one under development - too slowly unfortunately but I've started. I think its smarter to have lots of websites. My political model of optimal efficiency makes me think of armies of one that can swarm as the occasion requires it. Pooling information and useful links. Very hard to take down. None of the elements constrained by bottlenecks. All capable of pooling fire for best effect. In democracies we get one vote each pretty much but we also get free speech. How effectively we use that free speech and how much we leverage what we say with technology is up to us. Regards, Brett From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sun Dec 14 02:48:15 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 18:48:15 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: sole superpower/warfare 2003-2010 comments In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031214024815.69774.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> --- "Robert J. Bradbury" wrote: > > One problem is that I think most lasers systems are currently > designed to deliver heat (melt the incomings, fuse the pellets, > etc.). > One would need a shift in design strategies if one wants to use them > for non-destructive propulsion purposes. The lasers are fine for the purpose, you just dont need to focus them so well into a given square inch of target. You let the thrust cone of the launcher focus the light enough to ignite the air passing through and heat the rest enough to expand for useful thrust. You are going to need a lot of lasers, though, to boost several dozen tons of cargo into orbit. Plus a lot of power for those lasers, prolly a couple nukes that currently don't exist. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Sun Dec 14 04:26:05 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 23:26:05 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] BIO: Stem Cells and bio-magic In-Reply-To: <00a401c3c1ed$8c25c000$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: <018001c3c1fa$671107e0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Brett Paatsch wrote, > Harvey do you have a web-site? I think this was a good suggestion > Robert made. Yep. I have a few websites: is my personal website. It covers my Nutrition book, some family pictures and a lot of stuff about me that overlaps my professional work. is my professional commercial website. It describes my network security company, Newstaff Inc. is my professional information website. It describes standard security information. is my professional customer network. It is limited to my paying customers right now. is my professional e-business site. It sells security related stuff. is my professional organizations site. It covers professional organizations that I support. (It is new and not very well developed yet.) > The reason I ask is that I've noticed > the some of the > folk that have lots of energy and ideas often do. Anders, > Robert, Reason, Damien. It seems to be a great way of > ensuring effort and research is not wasted. I've been trying > to get one going myself. Actually I have one under > development - too slowly unfortunately but I've started. Definitely! They always seem to be a little behind, because it takes time to keep them updates. My current month's activities are not on the websites yet. However, once ideas are captured, documented and published, they won't be lost. I want to get my websites updated some more, and develop working groups and feedback channels for my ideas. I certainly agree that websites are a good tool to organize thoughts and present them. They are perfect for a current snapshot of polished presentations, unlike blogs or discussion lists. In fact, I am mulling over a system of slow debates with position papers on websites for developing ideas, as opposed to the discussion model of debate. I also have some ideas for work-group websites, sort of like Yahoo, but for building consensus data like FAQs, to-do lists, priorities, agreements and work products as opposed to producing just talk. I want to update my nutritional information online for reference. At the very least, I want to get a food-groups chart online for reference. (I have a scheme where basic food groups are protein, fats, carbs, fiber and water. Then each group has foods divided in a continuum from least healthy to most healthy.) I also want basic checklists for security for reference. And I am currently revamping my security offerings toward a standards-based auditing model, which will cause a major overhaul of my business offerings. > I think its smarter to have lots of websites. My political model of > optimal efficiency makes me think of armies of one that can swarm as > the occasion requires it. Pooling information and useful links. Very > hard to take down. None of the elements constrained by > bottlenecks. All capable of pooling fire for best effect. Me too. I need to expand my futurist areas of my website to link to all the neat stuff everyone else is publishing. I had such areas, but they got so out of date that I had to cut it back to just me for now. I will expand them again later. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From thespike at earthlink.net Sun Dec 14 05:25:02 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 23:25:02 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] home pages References: <017901c3c1dc$4bb1df60$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> <00a401c3c1ed$8c25c000$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: <008901c3c202$a1c56fe0$99994a43@texas.net> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Brett Paatsch" Sent: Saturday, December 13, 2003 8:54 PM > Harvey do you have a web-site? The url's shown at the bottom of every message Harvey posts. > The reason I ask is that I've noticed the some of the > folk that have lots of energy and ideas often do. Anders, Robert, Reason, > Damien. I don't deserve to be part of that list, in fact. The website I usually reference is Barbara Lamar's site about my work, which she built before we'd met. I should get a blog going myself, but I'm too distracted with other things. Damien Broderick From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Sun Dec 14 06:12:05 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 01:12:05 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Doubt and About In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <019101c3c209$360e58f0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Amara Graps wrote, > What is your suggested funding source? Many people here have > families and need to work for a living. (For me, at least three jobs). Good question! I do not have a suggested funding source. I was brainstorming ideas for working groups where people could get together on specific tasks instead of less structured talk in the mailing list. I would hope that we have enough experts already here or can attract enough experts to accomplish some things without having to hire others. However, I do understand the concern with funding and time. Hired experts may cost too much money, and volunteer experts may not have enough time. This seems to be one of our biggest limiting factors, time and money. I undergo money and time crunches myself. I wish I had easy answers to both questions, but I don't. I am trying to become more efficient at making money and allowing more time for my personal goals myself. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From scerir at libero.it Sun Dec 14 07:35:04 2003 From: scerir at libero.it (scerir at libero.it) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 08:35:04 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] EU constitution collapses Message-ID: > > It seems to me obvious that you cannot > > build a federation of (6, then 15, then 25) > > very different states, having very different > > histories (and reciprocal wars), populations, > > religions, etc., starting from the economy > > and markets, Political issues come first . > > The EU founding fathers knew that very well. > On the contrary. > What we definately don't need is a poor copy of the US with its centralised > federal govt, which is what the EU is/was aiming for. > Dirk Ok I like Utopia, Fractal Europe, Flat Lands. But I've also read Plato, Ludwig von Bertalanffy (General System Theory), Wolfgang Weidlich (Sociodynamics; Concepts and Models of Quantitative Sociology). There are boundaries, there are limits. You cannot do everything you want. Even within spin-glasses theory that's impossible. You need a strong, central, political power. We are humans, not nano-items. And we are already fighting, in EU, for the "buffalo mozzarella TM", or "Parmesan cheese TM", or "Parma ham TM", or the "Gorgonzola cheese TM", etc. etc. And imagine when Russia comes in. We'll be 26 nations (languages, religions, economies, military powers, populations, resources). This morning Europe is a trinity. UK, France-Germany, all the rest. From gpmap at runbox.com Sun Dec 14 07:40:01 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 08:40:01 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] EU constitution collapses In-Reply-To: <011001c3c1bf$917516b0$757b6951@artemis> Message-ID: >From the Washington Post (http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A62011-2003Dec13.html): Negotiations on a new European constitution collapsed in acrimony Saturday, with the 25 current and future members of the European Union failing to find a formula to satisfy medium-size countries worried that their voices and votes would be swamped by larger countries in an expanded union. The main issue dividing the group was the allocation of votes. Under the current complex system, Spain and Poland, both medium-size countries with about 38 million people, each carries almost the same clout as Germany, with 80 million people, and France, with 60 million. France and Germany were pressing for what they called a more democratic voting system, in which all future EU laws could be passed by a simple majority of the 25 countries, as long as that represented at least 60 percent of the people living in the union. But prime ministers Jose Maria Aznar of Spain and Leszek Miller of Poland refused to agree to any new system that reduced their voting power. Besides altering the voting system, the draft constitution included changes aimed at making the EU more efficient and giving it more clout on the world stage. Among the proposed changes was the creation of the powerful new post of president, who could meet on the international level with, for example, President Bush, as a representative of the EU. The constitution would also have created a European foreign minister to articulate a common European foreign policy. But since the constitution was part of a package, those changes are now on hold. My comments: [In other words: an agreement was not reached because European nation states still resist ideas of real devolution of power from a national to a European level. This has always been the main problem of Europe as an autonomous political entity: member states insist on making the important decision independently and accept the idea of European decision making, for important things such as taxation and defense, only if they can retain a national veto power. More European integration is only accepted for "less important things" such as common R&D. At the same time it is clear that the direction of History is that of more and more integration and double devolution of power from nation states to more autonomous regions below, and to a stronger Europe above. It will just have to take the time it takes, for example the introduction of the Euro as common currency took ten years and is not complete yet.] From scerir at libero.it Sun Dec 14 07:56:00 2003 From: scerir at libero.it (scerir at libero.it) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 08:56:00 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] EU constitution collapses Message-ID: > On the contrary, all it prevents is a strong central government from > forming, forcing the EU fascists to accept a more federalist structure, > even a loose confederation. This is good news for the few states in > europe that have hardwired protections for natural rights like France > and Lithuania, and bad news for those wanting the power to challenge > the US merely for the sake of challenging for power... > Mike Lorrey Yes Mike, I understand. But I ask: what else is Europe (I mean the present theoretical "union" plus, virtually, the Russia) if not a direct, strong attempt to challenge the US? Since Iraqi war here, in this Europe, we realized we do not have any military power, and any real political power. Did you notice that? For sure you did. And we are closer to those ... eastern countries. s. From gpmap at runbox.com Sun Dec 14 08:39:57 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 09:39:57 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] What will happen when a national political machine can fit on a laptop? Message-ID: Found via BoingBoing, from the Washington Post: For all Dean's talk about wanting to represent the truly "Democratic wing of the Democratic Party," the paradox is that he is essentially a third-party candidate using modern technology to achieve a takeover of the Democratic Party. Other candidates -- John Kerry, John Edwards, Wesley Clark -- are competing to take control of the party's fundraising, organizational and media operations. But Dean is not interested in taking control of those depreciating assets. Cheap information has allowed firms to shrink. Size is now less of an advantage in organizations, and that means more competition in the global marketplace. For companies, it's either reorganize or die. This is no less true for political organizations, as Dean's success shows. He is the first candidate to use the Internet effectively as a political organizing device. The ability to have "virtual political parties" is the greatest challenge the two parties have ever faced. There are strategies available to them, of course -- deft positioning allows them to preempt competitors, as it does in every industry, and they can use the same technology, although Internet culture doesn't seem readily amenable to either Democrat.com or Republican.com. Being a Democrat or a Republican isn't enough of an advantage anymore -- there are simply too many other places where people can get political information and find political bedfellows in an age of low information costs. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From scerir at libero.it Sun Dec 14 08:47:45 2003 From: scerir at libero.it (scerir) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 09:47:45 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] POL(L): The Constitution of Europe References: <5.0.2.1.1.20031214013413.033b1060@pop.iol.ie> Message-ID: <000e01c3c21e$f247b920$f0c7fea9@scerir> From: "J Corbally" > PS - Anyone hear about the likelihood of the French passing a law banning > all religious symbols and garments from schools? There are problems here in Italy. In schools there are crucifixs, as Catholic symbols (Is the crucifix just a Catholic symbol?). Given that we (Italians) have about 200,000 laws and rules, it is difficult to know if that is actually allowed by some very old law (i.e. during Fascism: "God, Country, Family" was the 'slogan') which is tacitly still in power, or was later cancelled by a new law. For sure in our Consitution there is a statement about "religions" (plural), in general. Now the problem is that Muslims (I mean Italian Muslims) asked to remove those crucifixs from schools. And our courts are already busy with all that! http://www.corriere.it/Primo_Piano/Cronache/2003/10_Ottobre/31/crocifisso.sh tml From gpmap at runbox.com Sun Dec 14 08:55:16 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 09:55:16 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] New way to lock DNA-slicing enzyme onto chromosomes could lead to novel anti-cancer drugs Message-ID: >From EurekAlert: Investigators at St. Jude Children's Research Hospital have discovered a new way that an enzyme crucial to the cell's ability to decode genes and duplicate chromosomes can be turned into a poison inside cancer cells. The discovery is an important step toward designing a new class of anti-cancer drugs. Such drugs might be given with an existing agent that also targets this enzyme, creating a one-two punch against both solid tumors and leukemia, according to the researchers. The enzyme, called Topoisomerase 1 (Top 1), is crucial to the cell's ability to unwind the DNA of chromosomes and separate the two strands making up a giant molecule. This activity permits the cell to transcribe (decode) specific genes or to make a copy of the entire chromosome. Duplication of chromosomes is critical to the process called mitosis, or cell division. After the cell divides, each daughter cell receives a copy of the entire set of duplicated chromosomes. Modifying Top 1 so it became locked onto the DNA molecule was enough to cause cell death. This differs from the way a currently used anti-cancer drug, camptothecin (CPT), works. CPT works only during the part of the cell's life cycle called S phase, when the cell synthesizes duplicate chromosomes. Because the new strategy can work whether the cell is in S phase or just decoding a single gene, a drug based on this approach could be particularly versatile. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From alito at organicrobot.com Sun Dec 14 09:20:54 2003 From: alito at organicrobot.com (Alejandro Dubrovsky) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 19:20:54 +1000 Subject: [extropy-chat] New way to lock DNA-slicing enzyme onto chromosomes could lead to novel anti-cancer drugs In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <1071393654.1267.173.camel@alito.homeip.net> On Sun, 2003-12-14 at 18:55, Giu1i0 Pri5c0 wrote: > From EurekAlert: Investigators at St. Jude Children's Research > Hospital have discovered a new way that an enzyme crucial to the > cell's ability to decode genes and duplicate chromosomes can be turned > into a poison inside cancer cells. The discovery is an important step > toward designing a new class of anti-cancer drugs. Such drugs might be > given with an existing agent that also targets this enzyme, creating a > one-two punch against both solid tumors and leukemia, according to the > researchers. > The enzyme, called Topoisomerase 1 (Top 1), is crucial to the cell's > ability to unwind the DNA of chromosomes and separate the two strands > making up a giant molecule. This activity permits the cell to > transcribe (decode) specific genes or to make a copy of the entire > chromosome. Duplication of chromosomes is critical to the process > called mitosis, or cell division. After the cell divides, each > daughter cell receives a copy of the entire set of duplicated > chromosomes. Modifying Top 1 so it became locked onto the DNA molecule > was enough to cause cell death. > This differs from the way a currently used anti-cancer drug, > camptothecin (CPT), works. CPT works only during the part of the > cell's life cycle called S phase, when the cell synthesizes duplicate > chromosomes. Because the new strategy can work whether the cell is in > S phase or just decoding a single gene, a drug based on this approach > could be particularly versatile. > > ______________________________________________________________________ yes, very versatile, it would kill everything in its path. Ways to kill cells don't seem to be in short supply, ways to only kill cancer cells are, and in that sense CPT sounds like a better idea. This is another interesting basic research find (blocking Top1 kills the cell) desperately looking for a popular press release. Disclaimer: I've got no fucking clue about biochem and i haven't even read the paper, just the link, so ignore above and reclaim your minute of life. alejandro From alex at ramonsky.com Sun Dec 14 10:22:47 2003 From: alex at ramonsky.com (Alex Ramonsky) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 10:22:47 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: Encryption revolution References: <009001c3c0e8$c8310fb0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <3FDC39F7.9020801@ramonsky.com> Harvey Newstrom wrote: > We aren't inventing new things. > [Audience]: ..."Oh yes we are!"... [Character]: ..."Oh no we're not!"...(repeat x 4) [Audience]: ....."Behind you!!" : ) Have a cool yule. AR > > From puglisi at arcetri.astro.it Sun Dec 14 10:47:54 2003 From: puglisi at arcetri.astro.it (Alfio Puglisi) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 11:47:54 +0100 (CET) Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: sole superpower/warfare 2003-2010 comments In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On Sat, 13 Dec 2003, Robert J. Bradbury wrote: >However I'm not sure that would be enough to function as a source >of lift for the amount of mass that would be required. We need some >harder numbers here in terms of the minimal mass for a cable that >could withstand normal forces (gravity, wind, etc.) and allow >micro-elevators to climb up and down the cable. Also some figures >on the lift efficiencies of laser propulsion (it has to be really >low). One problem is that I think most lasers systems are currently >designed to deliver heat (melt the incomings, fuse the pellets, etc.). >One would need a shift in design strategies if one wants to use them >for non-destructive propulsion purposes. Is this report outdated? (warning, 16MB) http://www.arcetri.astro.it/~puglisi/report/SpaceElevator.pdf (Temporary location. I can't find the pdf version online anymore) Ciao, Alfio From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Sun Dec 14 10:50:13 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 05:50:13 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: Encryption revolution In-Reply-To: <3FDC39F7.9020801@ramonsky.com> Message-ID: <000801c3c230$1087f470$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Alex Ramonsky wrote, > Harvey Newstrom wrote: > > > We aren't inventing new things. > > > [Audience]: ..."Oh yes we are!"... > [Character]: ..."Oh no we're not!"...(repeat x 4) > [Audience]: ....."Behind you!!" : ) > > Have a cool yule. Hahahahaha! I'm too young to remember this stuff! -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From alex at ramonsky.com Sun Dec 14 11:09:00 2003 From: alex at ramonsky.com (Alex Ramonsky) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 11:09:00 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Affective computing: Candy bars for the soul References: <3FDB5D22.7080609@pobox.com> Message-ID: <3FDC44CC.8010801@ramonsky.com> Eliezer S. Yudkowsky wrote: > > > I could be surprised, but what Laura presages is probably NOT a good > thing. Transhumanism needs to lose the optimism about outcomes. > Nobody is taking into account the fact that problems are hard and > humans are stupid. Watch this space for serious developments in some > unknown amount of time, my wild guess being a decade, and quite > possibly nothing happening if "faking it well" turns out to be > AI-complete. > Thankyou for putting so succinctly into words _exactly_ what I mean when I say someone is going to create an Artificial Stupidity, real soon. And it's not going to be user friendly in exactly the same way that burgers aren't. AR From extropy at audry2.com Sun Dec 14 12:17:13 2003 From: extropy at audry2.com (Major) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 20:17:13 +0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] POL(L): The Constitution of Europe In-Reply-To: <000e01c3c21e$f247b920$f0c7fea9@scerir> References: <5.0.2.1.1.20031214013413.033b1060@pop.iol.ie> <000e01c3c21e$f247b920$f0c7fea9@scerir> Message-ID: <200312141217.hBECHDX17928@igor.synonet.com> > There are problems here in Italy. In schools > there are crucifixs, as Catholic symbols > (Is the crucifix just a Catholic symbol?). No. To my knowledge, all Christian churches use crosses. Crucifixes (cross with Jesus) are used by many Orthodox and Protestant churches in well as Roman Catholics. Major From dwayne at pobox.com Sun Dec 14 12:11:37 2003 From: dwayne at pobox.com (dwayne) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 23:11:37 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] SADDAM HUSSEIN ARRESTED IN TIKRIT Message-ID: <3FDC5379.7CC8BF6B@pobox.com> http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/3317429.stm http://www.cnn.com/2003/WORLD/meast/12/14/sprj.irq.main/index.html Dwayne -- mailto:ddraig at pobox.com it's nice to be better, but it's much better to be nice ...r.e.t.u.r.n....t.o....t.h.e....s.o.u.r.c.e... http://www.barrelfullofmonkeys.org/Data/3-death.jpg Sheldon: No! No! Not E.T.! Kill! Kill! Kill E.T.! Glock E.T.! http://www.audioscrobbler.com/modules.php?op=modload&name=top10&file=userinfo&user=ddraig From jcorb at iol.ie Sun Dec 14 12:46:15 2003 From: jcorb at iol.ie (J Corbally) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 12:46:15 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] NEWS: They got him! Message-ID: <5.0.2.1.1.20031214124315.033e8e80@pop.iol.ie> >Saddam Hussein arrested in Iraq http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/3317429.stm >Ousted Iraqi President Saddam Hussein has been captured by US forces, says >the US chief administrator in Iraq. >"Ladies and gentlemen, we got him," Paul Bremer said at a news conference >in the capital, Baghdad, prompting loud cheers from Iraqis in the audience. >The former leader was found hiding in a cellar in a town about 30 >kilometres south of his ancestral hometown Tikrit. >British Prime Minister Tony Blair has welcomed the news, saying it >"removes the shadow" hanging over Iraq. >Saddam Hussein is the most wanted man on the list issued by US authorities >but has not been seen since Baghdad fell to US forces in April. >Video footage apparently showing a dishevelled-looking Saddam in custoday >with a long black beard was shown at the press conference. What more can you say? Enjoy your Sunday :) James... From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Sun Dec 14 13:11:42 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 00:11:42 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] NEWS: They got him! References: <5.0.2.1.1.20031214124315.033e8e80@pop.iol.ie> Message-ID: <01c501c3c243$d415c620$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> J Corbally wrote: > >Saddam Hussein arrested in Iraq > What more can you say? Wow. I wonder if any weapons will be found now that Saddam can be questioned directly? Its interesting that he is still alive. Goering made a show of his trial. I wonder what Saddam will say if he's given media attention and a chance to speak out. Interesting times. Brett From neptune at superlink.net Sun Dec 14 13:26:32 2003 From: neptune at superlink.net (Technotranscendence) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 08:26:32 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] NEWS: They got him! References: <5.0.2.1.1.20031214124315.033e8e80@pop.iol.ie> <01c501c3c243$d415c620$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: <008d01c3c245$e48d3fe0$89cd5cd1@neptune> On Sunday, December 14, 2003 8:11 AM Brett Paatsch bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au wrote: >>>Saddam Hussein arrested in Iraq > >> What more can you say? > > Wow. I wonder if any weapons will be > found now that Saddam can be questioned > directly? Its interesting that he is still alive. > Goering made a show of his trial. I wonder > what Saddam will say if he's given media > attention and a chance to speak out. > Interesting times. I can say something that seems obvious. The way he was found and the fact that he was not surrounded by loyalists and supporters seems to mean he was playing only a small role if any in the resistance to the occupation. This, of course, doesn't mean it's not a psychological victory, but I don't think the guerillas are going to roll over and play dead now. Cheers! Dan http://uweb.superlink.net/neptune/ From bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk Sun Dec 14 14:01:15 2003 From: bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk (BillK) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 14:01:15 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Affective computing: Candy bars for the soul Message-ID: <3FDC6D2B.20001@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> On Sat Dec 13, 2003 11:40 am Eliezer S. Yudkowsky wrote: > This has nothing to do with AI; it's about programs with incredibly > realistic graphics and means for recognizing emotions in their > targets, being able to deploy apparent behaviors that act as > superstimuli for human emotional responses. Think of chocolate chip > cookies for emotions. > Chocolate chip cookies are a more powerful stimulus than > hunter-gatherer tastebuds ever encounter, combining sugar, fat, and > salt in greater quantity and purer quality. And likewise there's a > limit to the sympathy, support, approval, and admiration humans can > expect from their human mates. As any evolutionary theorist knows, a > human male is not designed as the human female's ideal boyfriend, nor > vice versa. > Hmmmm. Not much response yet from the list. Perhaps the term 'Affective computing' has obscured the meaning of what Eliezer is concerned about. What this means is Sex Dolls for everyone, that are much better than the real thing. AI not required. 'Stepford Wives' springs to mind. Mind-numbingly beautiful partners with witty, interesting chat (only when requested), good at cooking and housekeeping and exactly the amount of sex that you require (not too much and not too little). The same applies for women. Handsome, fit partners who can fix things around the house and still chat about feelings and emotions when required. ;) People already treat their IBO toy dog like a real animal and talk to their robot vacuum cleaner as though it knew what it was doing. There will be no market at all for a model which makes people stronger instead of weaker. We can already get a model which points out all your weaknesses, where you have room for improvement and tells you what you should be doing or wearing. When 'Laura' becomes available it will certainly cause a tremendous upheaval in human relationships. BillK From alito at organicrobot.com Sun Dec 14 15:09:31 2003 From: alito at organicrobot.com (Alejandro Dubrovsky) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 01:09:31 +1000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Affective computing: Candy bars for the soul In-Reply-To: <3FDC6D2B.20001@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> References: <3FDC6D2B.20001@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> Message-ID: <1071414571.1015.557.camel@alito.homeip.net> On Mon, 2003-12-15 at 00:01, BillK wrote: > On Sat Dec 13, 2003 11:40 am Eliezer S. Yudkowsky wrote: > > This has nothing to do with AI; it's about programs with incredibly > > realistic graphics and means for recognizing emotions in their > > targets, being able to deploy apparent behaviors that act as > > superstimuli for human emotional responses. Think of chocolate chip > > cookies for emotions. > > Chocolate chip cookies are a more powerful stimulus than > > hunter-gatherer tastebuds ever encounter, combining sugar, fat, and > > salt in greater quantity and purer quality. And likewise there's a > > limit to the sympathy, support, approval, and admiration humans can > > expect from their human mates. As any evolutionary theorist knows, a > > human male is not designed as the human female's ideal boyfriend, nor > > vice versa. > > > > Hmmmm. Not much response yet from the list. > Perhaps the term 'Affective computing' has obscured the meaning of what > Eliezer is concerned about. > > What this means is Sex Dolls for everyone, that are much better than the > real thing. AI not required. > No obscuring, just nothing new here. This is probably the first application that half of the people think of when they talk about humanoid robots. Anyway, i think the case is being overstated. Humans have an amazing knack for making everything look like business as usual. Chocolate chip for emotions already exists. It's called MDMA. It hasn't caused many revolutions yet. Vibrators have probably been better than men at satisfying women for a couple of decades now, and yet most women still do not admit to using one, and even when they do, only a small minority have stopped using other human beings for the same purpose. > 'Stepford Wives' springs to mind. Mind-numbingly beautiful partners with > witty, interesting chat (only when requested), good at cooking and > housekeeping and exactly the amount of sex that you require (not too > much and not too little). > You'll need lots of them to satisfy the urge to spread your jism as far as possible. > The same applies for women. Handsome, fit partners who can fix things > around the house and still chat about feelings and emotions when > required. ;) > This will require some pretty good AI, good enough to cause big changes regardless of their applications as a step-boy. > People already treat their IBO toy dog like a real animal and talk to > their robot vacuum cleaner as though it knew what it was doing. > People talk to their word processors, to their cars, and even to their microwaves as if they knew what they were doing. I'm sure they talked to their cars, to their sewing machines and to their typewriters 80 years ago. > There will be no market at all for a model which makes people stronger > instead of weaker. We can already get a model which points out all your > weaknesses, where you have room for improvement and tells you what you > should be doing or wearing. > Your assumption that criticism makes people stronger doesn't seem justified to me. Maybe people will become more productive in other ways if their built-in sexual/emotional urges are easily satisfied. Chocolate cookies didn't make humans any weaker, they might have made them slightly lazier at looking for food, and make us overconsume our required caloric intake by a small margin, but no tragedy has come off them. I personally enjoy of their existance. > When 'Laura' becomes available it will certainly cause a tremendous > upheaval in human relationships. > maybe. I don't think laura will come out of the blue. It will be some point on a continuum that has started already in molded bottoms and at http://www.realdoll.com . As we get closer to it, a bigger proportion of the population will have switched. alejandro From bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk Sun Dec 14 15:13:12 2003 From: bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk (BillK) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 15:13:12 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] PCs no longer aid efficiency Message-ID: <3FDC7E08.5000808@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> Meet the new cyber maids - women who do Windows as well as windows By Paul Peachey 14 December 2003 The demand for maids who are able to clean up the fridge and the hard drive has been driven by the surge in computer use and the numbers of children now doing their homework on computer. ------------- So the maintenance and operation of home PCs is now so time-consuming and complex that it makes sense for better-off people to hire a maid to look after it. I agree! The maintenance of my PC is now a regular Sunday morning job - and I know what I'm doing! Keeping my software up-to-date with patches, releases, virus updates, etc., cleaning the week's garbage off the hard disk, defragmenting, running backups and lots of minor tidying up tasks is a significant effort. Much can be automated, of course, but I'm not surprised that the ordinary consumer finds it an impossible task. That's why viruses and spam are spreading like wildfire. The ordinary PC user hasn't a clue about all the maintenance and self-defense tasks that are necessary nowadays. And why should they have to? They just want to play a few games, send some emails and Google for some info. Nobody warned them that all these other time-wasting jobs would be inflicted on them because of todays malicious environment. We really do need to clean up our mess. BillK From eugen at leitl.org Sun Dec 14 15:22:01 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 16:22:01 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Affective computing: Candy bars for the soul In-Reply-To: <3FDC6D2B.20001@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> References: <3FDC6D2B.20001@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> Message-ID: <20031214152201.GD22728@leitl.org> On Sun, Dec 14, 2003 at 02:01:15PM +0000, BillK wrote: > When 'Laura' becomes available it will certainly cause a tremendous > upheaval in human relationships. Among plastic people, maybe. And RealDoll fetishists. Come on, this isn't a yet another iRobot gadget. You never noticed what happens when you get to the almost-human territory? You're firmly in the "OMG, it's so KREEPY!!!1" Twilight Zone territory. The problem is still a Turing test, but this time it's not just teletype. Cuddly animals are different, maybe you've got an elderly-support niche in Japan. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From dirk at neopax.com Sun Dec 14 16:59:52 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 16:59:52 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] EU constitution collapses References: Message-ID: <016601c3c263$b1f414a0$38b26bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: To: "extropy-chat" Sent: Sunday, December 14, 2003 7:56 AM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] EU constitution collapses > > On the contrary, all it prevents is a strong central government from > > forming, forcing the EU fascists to accept a more federalist structure, > > even a loose confederation. This is good news for the few states in > > europe that have hardwired protections for natural rights like France > > and Lithuania, and bad news for those wanting the power to challenge > > the US merely for the sake of challenging for power... > > Mike Lorrey > > Yes Mike, I understand. But I ask: what else is Europe (I mean the present > theoretical "union" plus, virtually, the Russia) if not a direct, strong attempt > to challenge the US? Since Iraqi war here, in this Europe, we realized A direct, strong attempt to be independent of the US? > we do not have any military power, and any real political power. Did you > notice that? For sure you did. And we are closer to those ... eastern countries. Exactly. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From dirk at neopax.com Sun Dec 14 17:04:39 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 17:04:39 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] EU constitution collapses References: Message-ID: <016c01c3c264$5c5a0f30$38b26bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Giu1i0 Pri5c0" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Sunday, December 14, 2003 7:40 AM Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] EU constitution collapses > >From the Washington Post > (http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A62011-2003Dec13.html): ... > My comments: > [In other words: an agreement was not reached because European nation states > still resist ideas of real devolution of power from a national to a European > level. This has always been the main problem of Europe as an autonomous > political entity: member states insist on making the important decision > independently and accept the idea of European decision making, for important > things such as taxation and defense, only if they can retain a national veto > power. More European integration is only accepted for "less important > things" such as common R&D. It's not that simple. The EU as it exists is, IMO, fundamentally flawed in its institutions. The directly elected Parliament is almost powerless. The true power lies with the Council of Ministers whose members are appointed by national govts, and the Commission which is a highly politiciised civil service. The position needs to be reversed, with the Parliament wielding most of the power and the Council acting as a second house. The Commission should be utterly de-politicised. > At the same time it is clear that the direction of History is that of more > and more integration and double devolution of power from nation states to > more autonomous regions below, and to a stronger Europe above. It will just > have to take the time it takes, for example the introduction of the Euro as > common currency took ten years and is not complete yet.] I would say that the direction of history is away from Empire and towards loose confederations with strictly limited mandates. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From dirk at neopax.com Sun Dec 14 17:06:54 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 17:06:54 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] EU constitution collapses References: <20031214024303.3371.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <017901c3c264$acbe32d0$38b26bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Mike Lorrey" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Sunday, December 14, 2003 2:43 AM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] EU constitution collapses > > --- "scerir at libero.it" wrote: > > http://edition.cnn.com/2003/WORLD/europe/12/13/eu.summit/index.html > > http://news.ft.com/home/europe > > > > It seems to me obvious that you cannot > > build a federation of (6, then 15, then 25) > > very different states, having very different > > histories (and reciprocal wars), populations, > > religions, etc., starting from the economy > > and markets, Political issues come first . > > The EU founding fathers knew that very well. > > On the contrary, all it prevents is a strong central government from > forming, forcing the EU fascists to accept a more federalist structure, > even a loose confederation. This is good news for the few states in > europe that have hardwired protections for natural rights like France > and Lithuania, and bad news for those wanting the power to challenge > the US merely for the sake of challenging for power... You obviously don't know much about France. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From dirk at neopax.com Sun Dec 14 17:08:32 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 17:08:32 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] POL(L): The Constitution of Europe References: <5.0.2.1.1.20031214013413.033b1060@pop.iol.ie> Message-ID: <017f01c3c264$e71ecf20$38b26bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "J Corbally" To: Sent: Sunday, December 14, 2003 1:43 AM Subject: [extropy-chat] POL(L): The Constitution of Europe > At 04:45 PM 12/13/03 -0700, you wrote: > >Message: 23 > >Date: Sat, 13 Dec 2003 22:56:34 +0100 > > >From: JDP > >Subject: [extropy-chat] POL(L): The Constitution of Europe > >To: Dirk Bruere , ExI chat list > > > >Message-ID: <3FDB8B12.7080806 at dtext.com> > >Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii; format=flowed > > > >Dirk Bruere wrote: > > > > > From: > > >> > > >>It seems to me obvious that you cannot > > >>build a federation of (6, then 15, then 25) > > >>very different states, having very different > > >>histories (and reciprocal wars), populations, > > >>religions, etc., starting from the economy > > >>and markets, Political issues come first . > > >>The EU founding fathers knew that very well. > > > > > > > > > On the contrary. > > > What we definately don't need is a poor copy of the US with its centralised > > > federal govt, which is what the EU is/was aiming for. > > > >Do/did we need a formal Europe at all? Are European Extropes pro-Europe? > >Why? > > Depends on what you mean by pro-Europe. If you mean no physical or trade > barriers, to enjoy different cultures and options without restraint, then > I'm pro-Europe. > > If you mean, as has been said "a poor copy of the US", then no, I wouldn't > be pro-that-kind-of-Europe. Neither am I pro the current Constitution, as > the vast majority of Europeans have no conception of the difference between > a document bestowing freedoms, next to one restricting a Governments > ability to infringe on freedoms. Many people here still beleive their > rights spring from their Constitutions. A dangerous error. IMO the only thing a constitution should do is explicitly limit the power of the EU with respect to both nations and individuals. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From dirk at neopax.com Sun Dec 14 17:12:36 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 17:12:36 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: POL(L): The Constitution of Europe References: <011001c3c1bf$917516b0$757b6951@artemis> <3FDB8B12.7080806@dtext.com> <033a01c3c1c7$ae279c30$757b6951@artemis> <3FDBA538.4040904@dtext.com> Message-ID: <018a01c3c265$78cb9840$38b26bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "JDP" To: "Dirk Bruere" ; "ExI chat list" Sent: Saturday, December 13, 2003 11:48 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Re: POL(L): The Constitution of Europe > Dirk Bruere wrote: > > > From: "JDP" > >> > >>Do/did we need a formal Europe at all? Are European Extropes pro-Europe? > >>Why? > > > > > > Because having a relatively coherent economic bloc of around 450m people is > > a base which can wield enough power to maintain the economic and military > > independence of its member states with respect to other world forces. > > > > However, I am not in favour of an EU govt in Brussels that feels it can poke > > its nose into the purely internal workings of its member states eg criminal > > law, various Rights issues etc. The EU should be limited to inter national > > issues only. > > Are there good reasons to think that agreement and coherent behaviour is > possible in economic and military international matters without > political unity? Yes. NATO, EU (current) However, if you mean launching global military adventures at a moments notice on trumped up charges (eg WMDs) then no. Which is a good thing. > Suppose a situation similar to WWII, with fascist Germany invading > nearby countries, and causing a potentially global threat, and where the > US got involved. Will a politically loose Europe manage to make the > decision to get involved, or will it stay irresolute and passive while > no clear agreement can be reached by the member States, except on the > most extreme cases? Hopefully, it would stay out of other peoples business. > In other words, can Europe really leverage its military (and economic) > power as a bloc while preserving the freedom and independence of its > member States? Can you have the advantages of being a big State when you > are a loose, ad hoc federation? I do not call neo-imperialism and a huge military/industrial complex an 'advantage'. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From charlie at antipope.org Sun Dec 14 18:08:04 2003 From: charlie at antipope.org (Charlie Stross) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 18:08:04 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] NEWS: They got him! In-Reply-To: <008d01c3c245$e48d3fe0$89cd5cd1@neptune> References: <5.0.2.1.1.20031214124315.033e8e80@pop.iol.ie> <01c501c3c243$d415c620$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> <008d01c3c245$e48d3fe0$89cd5cd1@neptune> Message-ID: <764B81A1-2E60-11D8-A9F5-000A95B18568@antipope.org> On 14 Dec 2003, at 13:26, Technotranscendence wrote: > I can say something that seems obvious. The way he was found and the > fact that he was not surrounded by loyalists and supporters seems to > mean he was playing only a small role if any in the resistance to the > occupation. This, of course, doesn't mean it's not a psychological > victory, but I don't think the guerillas are going to roll over and > play > dead now. Agreed, and more: I suspect fear of Saddam getting back into power somehow was a *restraining influence* on the resistance, especially among the shi'ites. Now that he's definitively out of play, it's possible the guerilla attacks will get *worst* (because there's no longer any chance of him somehow re-establishing his dictatorship). Not a nice thought. -- Charlie From wingcat at pacbell.net Sun Dec 14 18:09:49 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 10:09:49 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD (SK) OT: Physics humor In-Reply-To: <3FDB4620.70DB5945@mindspring.com> Message-ID: <20031214180949.41186.qmail@web80404.mail.yahoo.com> --- "Terry W. Colvin" wrote: > Fowarded, since so many of the membership seem to be > "into" physics. I > didn't major in the subject, but I still laughed my > butt off when I read this: > > > Electron Band Structure In Germanium, My Ass > > < http://www.cs.wisc.edu/~kovar/hall.html > I don't even work in physics labs, and yet I've heard essentially this story far too many times in software experiments (which, being digital, are supposed to be able to avoid a lot of the "real world" noise). From alito at organicrobot.com Sun Dec 14 18:45:53 2003 From: alito at organicrobot.com (Alejandro Dubrovsky) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 04:45:53 +1000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Affective computing: Candy bars for the soul In-Reply-To: <20031214152201.GD22728@leitl.org> References: <3FDC6D2B.20001@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> <20031214152201.GD22728@leitl.org> Message-ID: <1071427552.1015.787.camel@alito.homeip.net> On Mon, 2003-12-15 at 01:22, Eugen Leitl wrote: > On Sun, Dec 14, 2003 at 02:01:15PM +0000, BillK wrote: > > > When 'Laura' becomes available it will certainly cause a tremendous > > upheaval in human relationships. > > Among plastic people, maybe. And RealDoll fetishists. > While i don't agree with the original poster, I think you are underestimating the RealDoll market if those things went for $20 from the corner sex shop instead of $6000. > Come on, this isn't a yet another iRobot gadget. You never noticed what > happens when you get to the almost-human territory? You're firmly in the > "OMG, it's so KREEPY!!!1" Twilight Zone territory. > The problem is still a Turing test, but this time it's not just teletype. No, but this time, it's private, so there's less social pressure to go "yuck, i wouldn't do that". Men will fuck anything that moves, and half the things that don't. It's just a coincidence that the palm of a hand has the highest realism/effort index. alejandro From spike66 at comcast.net Sun Dec 14 18:49:01 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 10:49:01 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] EU constitution collapses In-Reply-To: <017901c3c264$acbe32d0$38b26bd5@artemis> Message-ID: <000001c3c272$f0d46ee0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > From: "Mike Lorrey" >... This is good news for the few states in >> europe that have hardwired protections for natural rights like France >> and Lithuania... >You obviously don't know much about France. Dirk Mike I too thought this a curious comment. Do clarify. {8-] spike From scerir at libero.it Sun Dec 14 19:44:35 2003 From: scerir at libero.it (scerir) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 20:44:35 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] EU constitution collapses References: <016601c3c263$b1f414a0$38b26bd5@artemis> Message-ID: <000401c3c27a$b4e1c740$f0c7fea9@scerir> But I ask: what else is Europe [...] if not a direct, strong attempt to challenge the US? > A direct, strong attempt to be independent of the US? > Dirk Well "direct, strong attempt to challenge" is, perhaps, too strong. But it is a fact that EU means, essentially, France + Germany, since the very beginning, till now. And it is a fact that relations between France and Germany vs US are ... what they are. This is, perhaps, the first EU document. http://www.robert-schuman.org/gb/robert-schuman/declaration2an.htm#anglais We can read: peace, resources, Africa, UN, the Franco-German leadership. US, five years after the end of WWII (and ... all that), seems already far away (if I'm reading the doc. correctly). From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sun Dec 14 20:11:17 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 12:11:17 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] EU constitution collapses In-Reply-To: <016601c3c263$b1f414a0$38b26bd5@artemis> Message-ID: <20031214201117.24873.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > ----- Original Message ----- > From: > > > > Yes Mike, I understand. But I ask: what else is Europe (I mean the > present > > theoretical "union" plus, virtually, the Russia) if not a direct, > strong > attempt > > to challenge the US? Since Iraqi war here, in this Europe, we > realized > > A direct, strong attempt to be independent of the US? > > > we do not have any military power, and any real political power. > Did you > > notice that? For sure you did. And we are closer to those ... > eastern > countries. > > Exactly. What was realized was that in their history of seeking to implement socialist utopia with their tax revinues while the US tax payers paid the costs of their defense, they have left themselves militarily powerless to do anything militarily in opposition to the US. It was their free choice. Can't have your cake and eat it, sorry... ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sun Dec 14 20:13:41 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 12:13:41 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] EU constitution collapses In-Reply-To: <017901c3c264$acbe32d0$38b26bd5@artemis> Message-ID: <20031214201341.49925.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > > ----- Original Message ----- > From: "Mike Lorrey" > > > > --- "scerir at libero.it" wrote: > > > > http://edition.cnn.com/2003/WORLD/europe/12/13/eu.summit/index.html > > > http://news.ft.com/home/europe > > > > > > It seems to me obvious that you cannot > > > build a federation of (6, then 15, then 25) > > > very different states, having very different > > > histories (and reciprocal wars), populations, > > > religions, etc., starting from the economy > > > and markets, Political issues come first . > > > The EU founding fathers knew that very well. > > > > On the contrary, all it prevents is a strong central government > from > > forming, forcing the EU fascists to accept a more federalist > structure, > > even a loose confederation. This is good news for the few states in > > europe that have hardwired protections for natural rights like > France > > and Lithuania, and bad news for those wanting the power to > challenge > > the US merely for the sake of challenging for power... > > You obviously don't know much about France. Oh, I know enough about France to know they enforce their own IDEA of what such things mean... and that there is a simple majority required to change things, but at least they do explicitly recognise in their constitution that natural rights exist, something that less than a handful of other nations in the world recognise, and very few in europe. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sun Dec 14 20:23:29 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 12:23:29 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] NEWS: They got him! In-Reply-To: <764B81A1-2E60-11D8-A9F5-000A95B18568@antipope.org> Message-ID: <20031214202329.79261.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> --- Charlie Stross wrote: > > On 14 Dec 2003, at 13:26, Technotranscendence wrote: > > > I can say something that seems obvious. The way he was found and > the > > fact that he was not surrounded by loyalists and supporters seems > to > > mean he was playing only a small role if any in the resistance to > the > > occupation. This, of course, doesn't mean it's not a psychological > > victory, but I don't think the guerillas are going to roll over and > > play dead now. > > Agreed, and more: I suspect fear of Saddam getting back into power > somehow was a *restraining influence* on the resistance, especially > among the shi'ites. Now that he's definitively out of play, it's > possible the guerilla attacks will get *worst* (because there's no > longer any chance of him somehow re-establishing his dictatorship). > I think he was hiding in the spider hole only because of the ongoing offensive in the immediate area of Tikrit. A large part of the feeling of US illigitimacy among Iraqis was specifically because we hadn't caught Saddam. Now that we have him, there may be some remaining resistance, but they have lost legitimacy I think even with their own. THere will be some who claim the guy they caught was not Saddam and was one of his impersonators, like there are those who still cling to the belief that TWA 800 was shot down by a missile, but will be increasingly marginalized. I had predicted in spring of this year, after other predictions came true, that gas prices would fall to around $10/bbl following a slow rise to high levels as the US consolidated its hold. Their consolidation has taken longer than I expected, due in part to Saddams eluding capture, but also because other oil producing nations are assisting in the sabotage of Iraqi production reconstruction. Prices are now $33/bbl and are expected to immediately drop by $.50 monday. Any significant drop to the levels I predicted will require that an Iraqi government resume sovereignty and that sabotage of oil facilities cease. Odds of these two things happening have improved considerably now that Saddam is captured. I don't think that this will prevent other nations from attempting to continue the sabotage. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sun Dec 14 20:27:18 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 12:27:18 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] EU constitution collapses In-Reply-To: <000001c3c272$f0d46ee0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031214202718.53945.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> --- Spike wrote: > > From: "Mike Lorrey" > >>... This is good news for the few states in > >> europe that have hardwired protections for natural rights like > France > >> and Lithuania... > > >You obviously don't know much about France. Dirk > > Mike I too thought this a curious comment. Do clarify. France's constitution explicitly states that rights originate in the individual and are delegated to government, something that, so far as I am aware, is only stated by the US and Lithuanian Constitutions. Admittedly, France is the weaker of the three, allowing mere majorities to change things, and suffering from a judiciary that is heavily socialist and will legislate from the bench as the need arises, while the US and Lith. require supermajorities to amend the constitution. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sun Dec 14 20:35:03 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 12:35:03 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] EU constitution collapses In-Reply-To: <000401c3c27a$b4e1c740$f0c7fea9@scerir> Message-ID: <20031214203503.51443.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> --- scerir wrote: > But I ask: what else is Europe [...] > if not a direct, strong attempt > to challenge the US? > > > A direct, strong attempt to be independent of the US? > > Dirk > > Well "direct, strong attempt to challenge" > is, perhaps, too strong. But it is a fact > that EU means, essentially, France + Germany, > since the very beginning, till now. And it > is a fact that relations between France and > Germany vs US are ... what they are. Well, Spain and Poland are the spoilers, apparently. They hold nearly as much power as France and Germany and are both pro-US. What F&G really hate are the fact that so many of the new and candidate states are pro-US. It isn't enough that the US has spoiled both their ambitions overseas for a century, we've gone and converted much of the rest of europe to our view. All Spain and Poland need to nix the ambitions of F&G are a few other states. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From dirk at neopax.com Sun Dec 14 20:41:36 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 20:41:36 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] NEWS: They got him! References: <20031214202329.79261.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <023c01c3c282$ae0bc5d0$38b26bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Mike Lorrey" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Sunday, December 14, 2003 8:23 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] NEWS: They got him! > > --- Charlie Stross wrote: > > > > On 14 Dec 2003, at 13:26, Technotranscendence wrote: > > > > > I can say something that seems obvious. The way he was found and > > the > > > fact that he was not surrounded by loyalists and supporters seems > > to > > > mean he was playing only a small role if any in the resistance to > > the > > > occupation. This, of course, doesn't mean it's not a psychological > > > victory, but I don't think the guerillas are going to roll over and > > > play dead now. > > > > Agreed, and more: I suspect fear of Saddam getting back into power > > somehow was a *restraining influence* on the resistance, especially > > among the shi'ites. Now that he's definitively out of play, it's > > possible the guerilla attacks will get *worst* (because there's no > > longer any chance of him somehow re-establishing his dictatorship). > > > > I think he was hiding in the spider hole only because of the ongoing > offensive in the immediate area of Tikrit. A large part of the feeling > of US illigitimacy among Iraqis was specifically because we hadn't > caught Saddam. Now that we have him, there may be some remaining > resistance, but they have lost legitimacy I think even with their own. I very much doubt it. The resistance comes from Islamic militants, who hated Saddam in the first place, and Ba'ath party activists. The latter will continue to fight since they have been banned from standing in elections. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From dirk at neopax.com Sun Dec 14 20:44:25 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 20:44:25 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD (SK) OT: Physics humor References: <20031214180949.41186.qmail@web80404.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <024901c3c283$0faa01d0$38b26bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Adrian Tymes" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Sunday, December 14, 2003 6:09 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] FWD (SK) OT: Physics humor > --- "Terry W. Colvin" wrote: > > Fowarded, since so many of the membership seem to be > > "into" physics. I > > didn't major in the subject, but I still laughed my > > butt off when I read this: > > > > > > Electron Band Structure In Germanium, My Ass > > > > < http://www.cs.wisc.edu/~kovar/hall.html > > > I don't even work in physics labs, and yet I've heard > essentially this story far too many times in software > experiments (which, being digital, are supposed to be > able to avoid a lot of the "real world" noise). All data resolves to a straight line with the right choice of logarithmic scale. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From colinmagee3282 at hotmail.com Sun Dec 14 21:20:45 2003 From: colinmagee3282 at hotmail.com (Colin Magee) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 16:20:45 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] The end of work,the leisure society,and automation Message-ID: I am interested in the concept of a leisure society and was wondering if anyone knew of any major thinkers,researchers,or think tanks exploring this concept and the cultural,economic,psychological,and political ramifications of this idea.I prepared a short list of items I've read on this topic and was wondering if someone could point me in the direction of similar thinkers: 1.)F.M. Esfandiary/F.M.2030--"Upwingers", "Are You A Transhuman?", and "Telespheres" 2.)James Hughes-- "The Politics of Transhumanism"-in a section titled "Pro Automation Post Work Utopias" he mentions Andre Gorz -"who has been promoting a political program for 25 years that embraces automation and the expansion of the social wage." He also mentions that-"the movement for universal basic income(Lerner,1994) has been growing in Europe and the United States" 3.)Hans Moravec-"Robot-Mere Machine to Transcendent Mind" 4.)Robert Theobald-haven't read any of his stuff yet,but I understand he supports this idea 5.)Marvin Minsky-In a book called "Closer To Truth" he briefly mentions that when computers acquire commonsense reasoning humans won't have to work 6.)Issac Asimov-"The Tyrannosaurus Prescription" has an essay in it discussing this 7.)Arthur C.Clarke-"Greetings Carbon Based Bipeds" 8.)Jacque Frescoe-haven't read any of his stuff,but it was suggested to me in an email from Mark Plus 9.)Grant Fjermedal-"The Tomorrow Makers"-in that book he mentions a book by James S.Albus called "People's Capitalism:The Economics of the Robot Revolution" 10.)Buckminster Fuller-"Critical Path" 11.)James Wm.Lewis-"Robotopia-Everything is Free and No One Works" 12.)The Foresight Institute-I believe there was en essay on this site which discussed the ramifications nanotechnology will have on work,but unfortunately I misplaced the essay 13.)Eric Drexler-If I recall he discusses this issue in "Engines of Creation" 14.)Robert Anton Wilson-"The Illuminati Papers"-discusses the idea of the "RICH Economy" (Rising income through cybernetic homeostasis) developed by L.Wayne Benner,Timothy Leary,and Robert Anton Wilson I hope this list wasn't too long! I am particulary interested in the ideas of F.M.Esfandiary/F.M. 2030 on this issue and was wondering if anybody knew of any thinkers today influenced by his ideas of leisure.I appreciate anyone's ideas,feedback,etc. Sincerely, Colin _________________________________________________________________ Tired of slow downloads and busy signals? Get a high-speed Internet connection! Comparison-shop your local high-speed providers here. https://broadband.msn.com From pittino at nextra.at Sun Dec 14 22:47:50 2003 From: pittino at nextra.at (Clemens Pittino) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 23:47:50 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] EU constitution collapses In-Reply-To: <20031214203503.51443.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> References: <20031214203503.51443.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: hi, > > Well, Spain and Poland are the spoilers, apparently. They hold nearly > as much power as France and Germany and are both pro-US. mr. miller has great problems in poland, so he wasn't able to agree. he thought he would be forced to resign, if he had annuled the nizza agreement. in 2005 there will be an eu constitution, and it will survive mr.miller. thoughts don't know borders. cle From spike66 at comcast.net Sun Dec 14 22:53:19 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 14:53:19 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] EU constitution collapses/taxifornian glo-fish In-Reply-To: <20031214202718.53945.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <000001c3c295$11c5b0b0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > > Mike I too thought this a curious comment. Do clarify. > > France's constitution explicitly states that rights originate in the > individual and are delegated to government, something that, > so far as I am aware, is only stated by the US and Lithuanian Constitutions. > Admittedly, France is the weaker of the three, allowing mere > majorities to change things, and suffering from a judiciary that is heavily > socialist and will legislate from the bench as the need arises, while > the US and Lith. require supermajorities to amend the constitution. > > ===== > Mike Lorrey Ja, that is how I understood it. It is a key point that is understood all too well by Taxifornians: simple majorities will often vote away their own rights and vote to raise taxes. Supermajorities will seldom do so. This is a critical difference. If rights can be overturned by simple majority, in most cases they hang by a lender thread indeed. So in the case of the three cases you cited, I would say that the US and Lithuanian constitutions recognize natural rights, and the French constitution kinda does. Consider the following case of rights being taken away by means which I would have thought unconstitutional: Taxifornia state fish and game commissioner Sam Schuchat (not an elected post as far as I know) recently decided they would not allow genetically modified glow-in-the-dark aquarium fish to be sold here. The yahoo flatly stated that he had consulted *with his rabbi* before making the decision. That raised three big red flags: 1) he was acting outside the capacity of interpreting the state constitution: essentially making law, and 2) he was making it based on religious reasoning, and 3) the commission appears to be dictating in an area in which they have no apparent jurisdiction. When I hear of stuff like this, I am tempted to go buy a school of glo-fish in Nevada, bring them here and release them into the wild. Schuchat commented: "For me it's a question of values, it's not a question of science," said commissioner Sam Schuchat. "I think selling genetically modified fish as pets is wrong." So *he thinks* it is wrong, so he can dish out law for the state? I suppose he believes it is wrong for people to have their corpses frozen? I fear those who would derive authority based on nothing but *their own* values, not upon any scientific justification, then impose them on all of us. These exercise in Afghanistan and Alabama (the 10 commandments judge fiasco) show that this world cannot tolerate government authority in the hands of religion. Such a government cannot be trusted for it resides in the realm of belief, not reason. This bum needs to be thrown out of office forthwith. spike California blocks sales of 'Glofish' pets Thursday, December 4, 2003 The nation's first genetically altered household pet is a zebra fish that glows fluorescent. SACRAMENTO, California (AP) -- Citing ethical concerns, state regulators Wednesday refused to allow sales of the first bio-engineered household pet, a zebra fish that glows fluorescent. GloFish are expected to go on sale everywhere else next month. California is the only state with a ban on genetically engineered species, and the Fish and Game Commission said it would not exempt the zebra fish from the law even if escaped fish would not pose a threat to the state's waterways. "For me it's a question of values, it's not a question of science," said commissioner Sam Schuchat. "I think selling genetically modified fish as pets is wrong." The 3-1 vote came moments after commissioners approved the state's 14th license for research into genetically modified fish. But commissioners drew the line on permitting widespread sales of a biotech fish for pure visual pleasure. The normally black-and-silver zebra fish were inserted with genes from sea anemones or jellyfish to turn them red or green, and glow under black or ultraviolet lights. Federal agencies have decided they have no jurisdiction over a bio-engineered household pet that is not intended for consumption. Given California's extensive review, proponents had looked to its approval to dampen any concerns from other states or consumers that the fish might be harmful to the environment or if consumed by wayward pets or children. From twodeel at jornada.org Sun Dec 14 23:01:31 2003 From: twodeel at jornada.org (Don Dartfield) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 15:01:31 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] EU constitution collapses/taxifornian glo-fish In-Reply-To: <000001c3c295$11c5b0b0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: On Sun, 14 Dec 2003, Spike wrote: > When I hear of stuff like this, I am tempted to go buy a school of > glo-fish in Nevada, bring them here and release them into the wild. Just let me know when and I'll buy them here in Las Vegas and meet you halfway. ;) That is, unless the same kind of ban happens here. Which is certainly possible. In a similar fit of liberty-curtailing, Nevada apparently recently instated a statewide ban on buying medication from Internet pharmacies. From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sun Dec 14 23:02:20 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 15:02:20 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] EU constitution collapses/taxifornian glo-fish In-Reply-To: <000001c3c295$11c5b0b0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031214230220.61554.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> --- Spike wrote > > Consider the following case of rights being taken away > by means which I would have thought unconstitutional: > Taxifornia state fish and game commissioner Sam Schuchat > (not an elected post as far as I know) recently decided > they would not allow genetically modified glow-in-the-dark > aquarium fish to be sold here. The yahoo flatly stated > that he had consulted *with his rabbi* before making the decision. > > That raised three big red flags: 1) he was acting outside the > capacity of interpreting the state constitution: essentially > making law, and 2) he was making it based on religious > reasoning, and 3) the commission appears to be dictating > in an area in which they have no apparent jurisdiction. > When I hear of stuff like this, I am tempted to go buy > a school of glo-fish in Nevada, bring them here and > release them into the wild. > > Schuchat commented: > > "For me it's a question of values, it's not a question of > science," said commissioner Sam Schuchat. "I think selling > genetically modified fish as pets is wrong." AHAHAAAAAAA! This means that selling them to *stock* wilderness areas must be okay!!! Go for it , Spike!!! You just can't keep them as pets.... ;) Thing is that they will wind up in the wild pretty soon anyways when people flush them down the toilet. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sun Dec 14 23:05:12 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 15:05:12 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] WAR: Still want peace??? Message-ID: <20031214230512.99635.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> For those who still want peace, now that the war is over and Saddam is in jail..... http://www.masturbateforpeace.com/ Top 10 Reasons to Masturbate for Peace 10. It's too cold to go outside and demonstrate 9. If I go blind they can't draft me 8. The walls need painting white anyway 7. This is my weapon...this is my gun...this one's for shootin....oh, never mind. 6. If you want it done right you have to do it yourself 5. All the lube will give me a baby-soft dork 4. It may be the only "peace" I'll be getting for a while 3. If I use my left hand, it feels like someone else has joined my cause 2. What else am I going to do with the 80 GB of porn on my PC? 1. Because I can't give myself a peace blowjob Now that I think of it, I think this was Saddam's to-do list in that hole in Tikrit.... ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From dirk at neopax.com Sun Dec 14 23:55:48 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 23:55:48 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] The end of work, the leisure society, and automation References: Message-ID: <02f801c3c29d$cbf37550$38b26bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Colin Magee" To: Sent: Sunday, December 14, 2003 9:20 PM Subject: [extropy-chat] The end of work,the leisure society,and automation > I am interested in the concept of a leisure society and was > wondering if anyone knew of any major thinkers,researchers,or think tanks > exploring this concept and the cultural,economic,psychological,and political > ramifications of this idea.I prepared a short list of items I've read on > this topic and was wondering if someone could point me in the direction of > similar thinkers: It's an old joke. Predicted in the 1960s, when it arrived it was called 'unemployment'. The concept is currently out of fashion. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From fortean1 at mindspring.com Mon Dec 15 03:48:20 2003 From: fortean1 at mindspring.com (Terry W. Colvin) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 20:48:20 -0700 Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD (Got Caliche?) PowerPoint is Evil! ...again Message-ID: <3FDD2F04.D775342@mindspring.com> http://www.nytimes.com/2003/12/14/magazine/14POWER.html What if PowerPoint is actually making us stupider? Edward Tufte claims that Microsoft's ubiquitous software forces people to mutilate data beyond comprehension. PowerPoint also encourages users to rely on bulleted lists, a 'faux analytical' technique that dodges the speaker's responsibility to tie information together. PowerPoint is uniquely suited to our modern age of obfuscation -- where manipulating facts is as important as presenting them clearly. If you have nothing to say, maybe you need just the right tool to help you not say it. -- ?Only a zit on the wart on the heinie of progress.? Copyright 1992, Frank Rice Terry W. Colvin, Sierra Vista, Arizona (USA) < fortean1 at mindspring.com > Alternate: < fortean1 at msn.com > Home Page: < http://www.geocities.com/Area51/Stargate/8958/index.html > Sites: * Fortean Times * Mystic's Haven * TLCB * U.S. Message Text Formatting (USMTF) Program ------------ Member: Thailand-Laos-Cambodia Brotherhood (TLCB) Mailing List TLCB Web Site: < http://www.tlc-brotherhood.org >[Vietnam veterans, Allies, CIA/NSA, and "steenkeen" contractors are welcome.] From fortean1 at mindspring.com Mon Dec 15 03:48:27 2003 From: fortean1 at mindspring.com (Terry W. Colvin) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 20:48:27 -0700 Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD (Got Caliche?) MyLastEmail ? Message-ID: <3FDD2F0B.5CD495DE@mindspring.com> http://www.dallasnews.com/latestnews/stories/121403dnbuspasswords.1d6dc.html When a person dies, passwords go to the grave. Passwords are creating digital locked doors for lawyers, will executors and the relatives of deceased loved ones. With < http://www.mylastemail.com > charges users $9.99 for a three-year subscription for postmortem delivery of farewell e-mails. With < http://www.MyLastEmail.com >, you can communicate long after you've logged off. -- ?Only a zit on the wart on the heinie of progress.? Copyright 1992, Frank Rice Terry W. Colvin, Sierra Vista, Arizona (USA) < fortean1 at mindspring.com > Alternate: < fortean1 at msn.com > Home Page: < http://www.geocities.com/Area51/Stargate/8958/index.html > Sites: * Fortean Times * Mystic's Haven * TLCB * U.S. Message Text Formatting (USMTF) Program ------------ Member: Thailand-Laos-Cambodia Brotherhood (TLCB) Mailing List TLCB Web Site: < http://www.tlc-brotherhood.org >[Vietnam veterans, Allies, CIA/NSA, and "steenkeen" contractors are welcome.] From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Mon Dec 15 04:04:41 2003 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (Kevin Freels) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 22:04:41 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] NEWS: They got him! References: <20031214202329.79261.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: I wonder why they didn't hide the capture until closer to next year's election.!? Oh, maybe that's why they haven't found Osama. :-) ----- Original Message ----- From: "Mike Lorrey" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Sunday, December 14, 2003 2:23 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] NEWS: They got him! > > --- Charlie Stross wrote: > > > > On 14 Dec 2003, at 13:26, Technotranscendence wrote: > > > > > I can say something that seems obvious. The way he was found and > > the > > > fact that he was not surrounded by loyalists and supporters seems > > to > > > mean he was playing only a small role if any in the resistance to > > the > > > occupation. This, of course, doesn't mean it's not a psychological > > > victory, but I don't think the guerillas are going to roll over and > > > play dead now. > > > > Agreed, and more: I suspect fear of Saddam getting back into power > > somehow was a *restraining influence* on the resistance, especially > > among the shi'ites. Now that he's definitively out of play, it's > > possible the guerilla attacks will get *worst* (because there's no > > longer any chance of him somehow re-establishing his dictatorship). > > > > I think he was hiding in the spider hole only because of the ongoing > offensive in the immediate area of Tikrit. A large part of the feeling > of US illigitimacy among Iraqis was specifically because we hadn't > caught Saddam. Now that we have him, there may be some remaining > resistance, but they have lost legitimacy I think even with their own. > THere will be some who claim the guy they caught was not Saddam and was > one of his impersonators, like there are those who still cling to the > belief that TWA 800 was shot down by a missile, but will be > increasingly marginalized. > > I had predicted in spring of this year, after other predictions came > true, that gas prices would fall to around $10/bbl following a slow > rise to high levels as the US consolidated its hold. Their > consolidation has taken longer than I expected, due in part to Saddams > eluding capture, but also because other oil producing nations are > assisting in the sabotage of Iraqi production reconstruction. Prices > are now $33/bbl and are expected to immediately drop by $.50 monday. > Any significant drop to the levels I predicted will require that an > Iraqi government resume sovereignty and that sabotage of oil facilities > cease. > > Odds of these two things happening have improved considerably now that > Saddam is captured. I don't think that this will prevent other nations > from attempting to continue the sabotage. > > ===== > Mike Lorrey > "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." > - Gen. John Stark > "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." > - Mike Lorrey > Do not label me, I am an ism of one... > Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com > > __________________________________ > Do you Yahoo!? > New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. > http://photos.yahoo.com/ > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Dec 15 04:44:41 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 20:44:41 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] NEWS: They got him! In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031215044441.62289.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> --- Kevin Freels wrote: > I wonder why they didn't hide the capture until closer to next year's > election.!? > Oh, maybe that's why they haven't found Osama. :-) Hey, everybody on the left keeps making the mistake of thinking Bush is either stupid or incompetent just cause he talks slower than Clinton. He learned his daddies mistake: don't finish a war too soon... I especially enjoyed how the Dems were eating their own today. Liebermans quote was especially fun.... I predict that Osama will likely show up some time in spring or summer, just as the Saddam trial ends for CourtTV, so the Osama trial can begin. Gotta keep those summer cable ratings up.... ;) Osama will get convicted in October, maybe even early November. North Korea and Syria will likely be next on the agenda, after the election. They may just try to wait NK out, the dems are going to be crapping their pants over a showdown with NK. Syria is going to be interesting, they seem to be playing both sides: interrogating tough suspects for the US, shipping insurgents into Iraq for al Qaeda. Not sure how Iran is going to play out, depends on how much they decide to screw with Iraq's new government. If we tie oil sabotage directly to Iranian infiltrators, things could get interesting there in a hurry. I recall in '88 we didn't wait to nail some Iranian oil platforms used by tanker saboteurs. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Dec 15 04:51:36 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 20:51:36 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD (Got Caliche?) PowerPoint is Evil! ...again In-Reply-To: <3FDD2F04.D775342@mindspring.com> Message-ID: <20031215045136.80027.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> --- "Terry W. Colvin" wrote: > http://www.nytimes.com/2003/12/14/magazine/14POWER.html > > What if PowerPoint is actually making us stupider? I dispute this. Power Point is used to get the point across to the terminally uninterested. I recall giving talks to contractors and energy conservation officers about market distortions caused by improper implementations of conservation rebates, with very informative Excel generated 3 axis graphs illustrating cost-benefit thresholds and so forth. They used to bitch that I gave them headaches with so much information, at least those that did not glaze over. Then some cute little marketing bimbo would come in from the competitors and make a bunch of unsupported claims with a power point presentation full of bulleted lists and these guys would be yabbering her 'facts' for weeks afterward.... Power Point: comic books for commerce... ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From oregan.emlyn at healthsolve.com.au Mon Dec 15 06:25:18 2003 From: oregan.emlyn at healthsolve.com.au (Emlyn O'regan) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 16:55:18 +1030 Subject: [extropy-chat] EU constitution collapses Message-ID: <7A2B25F8EB070940996FA543A70A217B017868DE@adlexsv02.protech.com.au> This isn't a collapse, it's just a temporary failure to reach agreement. The EU has been doing this all along, and resolves it by backing off for some more behind the scenes head kicking/arse licking/etc, uh I mean diplomacy, then comes back to contentious issues again later. The EU doesn't appear to do anything in a hurry, but stuff does happen eventually. So this kind of sensationalist subject line is unwarranted, really. Emlyn > -----Original Message----- > From: scerir at libero.it [mailto:scerir at libero.it] > Sent: Sunday, 14 December 2003 6:50 AM > To: extropy-chat > Subject: [extropy-chat] EU constitution collapses > > > http://edition.cnn.com/2003/WORLD/europe/12/13/eu.summit/index.html > http://news.ft.com/home/europe > > It seems to me obvious that you cannot > build a federation of (6, then 15, then 25) > very different states, having very different > histories (and reciprocal wars), populations, > religions, etc., starting from the economy > and markets, Political issues come first . > The EU founding fathers knew that very well. > s. > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From gpmap at runbox.com Mon Dec 15 06:31:45 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 07:31:45 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Brights Movement's Forums Message-ID: The Brights have now a discussion forum. The purpose of this movement is to form an Internet constituency of individuals, the Brights, having social and political recognition and power. There is a great diversity of persons who have a naturalistic worldview. Under a broad umbrella, the Brights can gain social and political influence in a society otherwise permeated with supernaturalism. >From the Invitation to The Brights Movement's Forums: On behalf of the Brights' Forum Task Team and the Forum Facilitators Group, it is a great pleasure for me to announce the opening of the Brights Movement's Forums. The Forums exist specifically to "discuss the Brights movement and how best to achieve its goals." We want this tool to be the basis of the most successful campaigns for social and civic justice the Brights' community have ever had. The Forum is powered by the Invision Power Board, which seems very good: With years of experience creating professional forum software, we have created a new standard in speed, efficiency and ease of use. Our product is written in PHP, the web's fastest developing scripting language, and combined with your choice of three database systems (MySQL, Microsoft SQL Server, and Oracle) allows us to create a feature packed and efficient service. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From thespike at earthlink.net Mon Dec 15 06:43:09 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 00:43:09 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Brights Movement's Forums References: Message-ID: <00cd01c3c2d6$b606e180$84994a43@texas.net> > The Brights have now a discussion forum. How exquisitely embarrassing this self-preening denomination is. It somewhat spoils the pleasure I have always had in reading Dawkins and Dennett. (For me, there's a special irony in their vapid self-naming; I have a novel in manuscript that so far hasn't found a home in the USA, titled BRIGHT, which tenderly mocks the aspirations and flaws of a group of fandom-like high-IQ-scoring characters. Guess I'm going to have to change the title to QUIPU. Bugger it.) Damien Broderick From oregan.emlyn at healthsolve.com.au Mon Dec 15 06:51:33 2003 From: oregan.emlyn at healthsolve.com.au (Emlyn O'regan) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 17:21:33 +1030 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Brights Movement's Forums Message-ID: <7A2B25F8EB070940996FA543A70A217B017868DF@adlexsv02.protech.com.au> Damien wrote: > (For me, there's a special irony in their vapid self-naming; > I have a novel > in manuscript that so far hasn't found a home in the USA, > titled BRIGHT, > which tenderly mocks the aspirations and flaws of a group of > fandom-like > high-IQ-scoring characters. Guess I'm going to have to change > the title to > QUIPU. Bugger it.) That's knot the title you really wanted? It must leave you feeling strung out. The whole issue of naming your book seems to have become a somewhat tangled skein; how do you account for that? Emlyn From thespike at earthlink.net Mon Dec 15 07:00:34 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 01:00:34 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Brights Movement's Forums References: <00cd01c3c2d6$b606e180$84994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <00e901c3c2d9$24d5f7c0$84994a43@texas.net> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Damien Broderick" Sent: Monday, December 15, 2003 12:43 AM > How exquisitely embarrassing It seems I'm very much not in a minority with this opinion. See Michael Shermer's preliminary empirical study: http://www.skeptic.com/BIG%20BRIGHT%20BROUHAHA4.htm It will be interesting to see if the very bright founders are modest enough to pay heed and change it. From thespike at earthlink.net Mon Dec 15 07:08:07 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 01:08:07 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Brights Movement's Forums References: <7A2B25F8EB070940996FA543A70A217B017868DF@adlexsv02.protech.com.au> Message-ID: <011001c3c2da$411a2f40$84994a43@texas.net> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Emlyn O'regan" Sent: Monday, December 15, 2003 12:51 AM > QUIPU > > The whole issue of naming your book seems to have become a somewhat > > tangled skein Spilled ink, a rosary of curses. From gpmap at runbox.com Mon Dec 15 07:11:27 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 08:11:27 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Religious worldviews Message-ID: I believe things happen because of the laws of science. This statement is true by definition, since the word science means trying to understand why things happen. There are at least two "religious" scenarios that can be formulated entirely within the conceptual framework of modern science: An "Omega Point" scenario, and a "Simulation" scenario. In both cases, concepts very similar to those found in conventional religions, such as higher powers "in charge" of the world, survival of a "soul" after biological death, and "heaven", can be formulated and considered without having to admit supernatural elements into one's worldview. I enjoy thinking about these and similar scenarios in idle moments but, on the basis of our current scientific understanding of the universe, do not consider them as anything more than interesting theoretical speculations, mixed with some wishful thinking. In particular, I do not consider them as acceptable basis for any decision that I have to make. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From maxm at mail.tele.dk Mon Dec 15 07:12:39 2003 From: maxm at mail.tele.dk (Max M) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 08:12:39 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] The end of work, the leisure society, and automation In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <3FDD5EE7.60807@mail.tele.dk> Colin Magee wrote: > I am interested in the concept of a leisure society and > was wondering if anyone knew of any major thinkers,researchers,or think > tanks exploring this concept and the cultural,economic,psychological,and > political ramifications of this idea. It was all the rage among futurologists in the 70-80's. But it turned out that people didn't want to use their higher income for more leisure time. Rather they wanted more stuff. So they kept working regards Max M Rasmussen, Denmark From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Mon Dec 15 07:29:43 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 02:29:43 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Brights Movement's Forums In-Reply-To: <00e901c3c2d9$24d5f7c0$84994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <001901c3c2dd$38db4140$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Damien Broderick wrote, > It seems I'm very much not in a minority with this opinion. > See Michael Shermer's preliminary empirical study: > > > It will be interesting to see if the very bright founders are modest enough to pay heed and change it. I predict not. Bright people tend to be stubborn. We will stick to our original theories despite overwhelming evidence that they are failures. Transhumanists are no different in this sense. I don't know why common sense doesn't seem to be a component of high intelligence. Everyone I know immediately says "Barf" when they hear about the "Brights". I don't know how anybody living in our world could fail to immediately see the idiocy of this term. But I am constantly amazed at the monkey-brain insistence on never letting go once we get our hands on something that interests us. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From reason at exratio.com Mon Dec 15 07:45:44 2003 From: reason at exratio.com (Reason) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 23:45:44 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] RE: [wta-talk] The Brights Movement's Forums In-Reply-To: Message-ID: The Imminst people went in to see how receptive the Brights are to transhumanist life extension ideas over the past day or so. I'd suggest you all do the same. Rather than mocking their terminology, take advantage of this growing community of receptive minds. Go chat some, introduce them to transhumanism. Sell some books. http://www.the-brights.net/forums/index.php?showtopic=487 http://www.the-brights.net/forums/index.php?showtopic=496 Reason http://www.exratio.com From spike66 at comcast.net Mon Dec 15 07:42:01 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 23:42:01 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] The end of work, the leisure society, and automation In-Reply-To: <3FDD5EE7.60807@mail.tele.dk> Message-ID: <001001c3c2de$ed558940$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] The end of work, the leisure > society,and automation > > It was all the rage among futurologists in the 70-80's. But it turned > out that people didn't want to use their higher income for > more leisure time. Rather they wanted more stuff. > > So they kept working > > regards Max M Rasmussen, Denmark Good thing too, eh? The profitability of a worker goes up as that worker spends more time at the office, for a lot of reasons. Much of the overhead associated with a worker, such as the health care benefits, only need to be paid once regardless of the amount of time spent. Furthermore, a worker who is always at the office tends to get more involved in the program, since that becomes her life. If everyone started slacking off, our cool stuff would be much more expensive too, so not only would we have less money but it would buy less, and lots of businesses would go under. So: Work is gooood, friends! Its goooood for you, its good for all of us. Make lots of close friends in the office, liiive your work. It helps if one really likes one's work, or has a really cool job, and if one's spouse works in the same office with one. spike From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Mon Dec 15 07:42:42 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 02:42:42 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Religious worldviews In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <001b01c3c2df$0942bc90$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Giu1i0 Pri5c0 wrote, > I believe things happen because of the laws of science. This statement > is true by definition, since the word science means trying to understand > why things happen. So far so good... > There are at least two "religious" scenarios that can be formulated > entirely within the conceptual framework of modern science: An > "Omega Point" scenario, and a "Simulation" scenario. I have always failed to see how these two scenarios are any more scientific than other religions. They may use more scientific buzzwords, but their logic still is based on unconfirmable conjecture that cannot be detected via the scientific method. They both violate Occam's Razor by introducing uprovable, undetectable, unnecessary complications to existing theories without adding any predictive or explanatory value. How is this based on modern science? > In both cases, concepts very similar to those found in conventional > religions, such as higher powers "in charge" of the world, survival > of a "soul" after biological death, and "heaven", There is a reason for this. Both of these "theories" were invented to address the hopes and fears of human psychology, just like any religion. They were not developed to address observed phenomena, just like any science. > I enjoy thinking about these and similar scenarios in idle moments but, > on the basis of our current scientific understanding of the universe, > do not consider them as anything more than interesting theoretical > speculations, mixed with some wishful thinking. In particular, I do > not consider them as acceptable basis for any decision that I have to make. That is because they are like other religions. They have cannot be detected or proven, and therefore have no affect on our reality. Even if you concede that these scenarios are true, it doesn't change any other attribute of science. It doesn't help you predict anything. It doesn't help you do anything. It doesn't help you explain anything. All these scenarios can do is give you an excuse for not trying to work so hard, because this life isn't real and the imaginary scenarios will fix everything for us. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From fauxever at sprynet.com Mon Dec 15 07:47:52 2003 From: fauxever at sprynet.com (Olga Bourlin) Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 23:47:52 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Brights Movement's Forums References: <00cd01c3c2d6$b606e180$84994a43@texas.net> <00e901c3c2d9$24d5f7c0$84994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <00f101c3c2df$be8f6530$6400a8c0@brainiac> From: "Damien Broderick" > > It seems I'm very much not in a minority with this opinion. See Michael > Shermer's preliminary empirical study: > > http://www.skeptic.com/BIG%20BRIGHT%20BROUHAHA4.htm He, he he ... a portion of my reply to Shermer got printed: "Why don't we simply call ourselves "smart-people-unlike-you-dumb-people"? How to win friends and influence people." An acquaintance of mine told me when he first read the proposal of using the term "Brights" he almost threw up. And he is a skeptic/nontheist. I can only imagine how well such a term will go over with the religious set. My reaction was more like: "WHAT?" > It will be interesting to see if the very bright founders are modest enough > to pay heed and change it. If it doesn't catch on, the term "the Brights" will simply die a natural death. By atrophy. Olga From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Mon Dec 15 08:15:28 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 19:15:28 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] RE: [wta-talk] The Brights Movement's Forums References: Message-ID: <033901c3c2e3$9c7e6640$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Reason wrote: > The Imminst people went in to see how receptive the Brights > are to transhumanist life extension ideas over the past day or so. > I'd suggest you all do the same. Rather than mocking their > terminology, take advantage of this growing community of > receptive minds. Go chat some, introduce them to transhumanism. > Sell some books. > > http://www.the-brights.net/forums/index.php?showtopic=487 > http://www.the-brights.net/forums/index.php?showtopic=496 Excellent advice imo. Brands are not immaterial (I wouldn't have picked Brights as a name either but it will get recognition) and content definately counts. Good content can always be rebadged. Regards, Brett From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Mon Dec 15 08:35:51 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 03:35:51 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] The end of work, the leisure society, and automation In-Reply-To: <001001c3c2de$ed558940$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <001d01c3c2e6$76a5a660$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Spike wrote, > Work is gooood, friends! Its goooood for you, its good for > all of us. Make lots of close friends in the office, liiive your > work. ...1984...1994...2004... The more things change, the more they stay the same.... -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From natasha at natasha.cc Mon Dec 15 15:26:34 2003 From: natasha at natasha.cc (Natasha Vita-More) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 07:26:34 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] ALCOR: New CEO Message-ID: <5.2.0.9.0.20031215072510.0200c450@pop.earthlink.net> I am forwarding this message from Alcor's Board meeting on Saturday: December 13, 2003 From: Michael Riskin; Alcor VP, CFO, Board Chairman Re: Alcor announces its new CEO, Joseph A. Waynick First, on behalf of everyone associated with the mission of cryonics, I wish to once again officially thank Dr. Jerry Lemler for his visionary efforts as Alcor's CEO these past two years. Retiring from this position on December 31, 2003, Jerry will continue to support the foundation as Alcor's medical director and chief spokesperson commencing on January 1,2004. We all wish you, Jerry, the very best of ongoing successes in whateveryou do, but especially in your fight against the life threatening illness that attacked you earlier this year. It is also with great pleasure, that I am announcing on behalf of the board directors, the selection of Joseph Waynick, who will be succeedingDr Lemler as Alcor's CEO, commencing January 1, 2004. Joe brings a rich and successful career combining business, management, and technology to this position. In addition, he has been elected to the Alcor Board of Directors, effective immediately. Having gotten to know Joe on a more personal level, I am confident that under his leadership he will guide Alcor to even greater heights as the world's premier provider of cryonics services. Michael Riskin Natasha Vita-More http://www.natasha.cc ---------- President, Extropy Institute http://www.extropy.org Founder, Transhumanist Arts & Culture http://www.transhumanist.biz http://www.transhuman.org -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Dec 15 13:41:44 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 05:41:44 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] The end of work, the leisure society, and automation In-Reply-To: <001001c3c2de$ed558940$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031215134145.79687.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> --- Spike wrote: > > Good thing too, eh? The profitability of a worker goes up > as that worker spends more time at the office, for a lot of > reasons. Much of the overhead associated with a worker, such > as the health care benefits, only need to be paid once regardless > of the amount of time spent. Have to wonder then why it is that hospitals specifically intentionally structure employment to maximize the number of part time workers as possible to avoid providing health care benefits to their health care workers, such that most nurses can't afford their own health care... > Furthermore, a worker who is always > at the office tends to get more involved in the program, since > that becomes her life. Yes, as opposed to having an actual family, hobbies, etc. rather than having ex-spouses and part time kids, activity interests that stay hung on the wall and in the garage (hey, that boat maintains its value if you never get a chance to use it...) ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From cryofan at mylinuxisp.com Mon Dec 15 13:44:39 2003 From: cryofan at mylinuxisp.com (randy) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 07:44:39 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: POL(L): The Constitution of Europe In-Reply-To: <018a01c3c265$78cb9840$38b26bd5@artemis> References: <011001c3c1bf$917516b0$757b6951@artemis> <3FDB8B12.7080806@dtext.com> <033a01c3c1c7$ae279c30$757b6951@artemis> <3FDBA538.4040904@dtext.com> <018a01c3c265$78cb9840$38b26bd5@artemis> Message-ID: On Sun, 14 Dec 2003 17:12:36 -0000, you wrote >----- Original Message ----- >From: "JDP" >To: "Dirk Bruere" ; "ExI chat list" > >Sent: Saturday, December 13, 2003 11:48 PM >Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Re: POL(L): The Constitution of Europe > > >> Dirk Bruere wrote: >> >> > From: "JDP" >> >> >> >>Do/did we need a formal Europe at all? Are European Extropes pro-Europe? >> >>Why? >> > >> > >> > Because having a relatively coherent economic bloc of around 450m people >is >> > a base which can wield enough power to maintain the economic and >military >> > independence of its member states with respect to other world forces. >> > >> > However, I am not in favour of an EU govt in Brussels that feels it can >poke >> > its nose into the purely internal workings of its member states eg >criminal >> > law, various Rights issues etc. The EU should be limited to inter >national >> > issues only. >> >> Are there good reasons to think that agreement and coherent behaviour is >> possible in economic and military international matters without >> political unity? > >Yes. >NATO, EU (current) >However, if you mean launching global military adventures at a moments >notice on trumped up charges (eg WMDs) then no. >Which is a good thing. > >> Suppose a situation similar to WWII, with fascist Germany invading >> nearby countries, and causing a potentially global threat, and where the >> US got involved. Will a politically loose Europe manage to make the >> decision to get involved, or will it stay irresolute and passive while >> no clear agreement can be reached by the member States, except on the >> most extreme cases? > >Hopefully, it would stay out of other peoples business. > >> In other words, can Europe really leverage its military (and economic) >> power as a bloc while preserving the freedom and independence of its >> member States? Can you have the advantages of being a big State when you >> are a loose, ad hoc federation? > >I do not call neo-imperialism and a huge military/industrial complex an >'advantage'. Hear, hear. I seem to be almost alone in American meatspace when it comes to being sickened by the endless media propaganda that encourages this senseless corporate imperialism currently being practiced. Almost no one else here in meatspace even seems to notice the huge propaganda machine leveled at us everyday in the media.... As for your discussion on the EU, it has of course apparently been co-opted by the forces of laissez faire corporate capitalism/neoliberalism in the interests of destroying the various EU welfare states. But it looks as if most of the citizens and leaders of many of the various member countries are hep to that fact and are just ignoring the parts of the EU agreements that are meant to achieve welfare state destruction, and going along with the parts of the agreements that the citizens like. Please correct me if I am wrong..... ------------- From cryofan at mylinuxisp.com Mon Dec 15 13:47:57 2003 From: cryofan at mylinuxisp.com (randy) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 07:47:57 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] The end of work, the leisure society, and automation In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On Sun, 14 Dec 2003 16:20:45 -0500, you wrote > I am interested in the concept of a leisure society and was >wondering if anyone knew of any major thinkers,researchers,or think tanks >exploring this concept and the cultural,economic,psychological,and political >ramifications of this idea.I prepared a short list of items I've read on >this topic and was wondering if someone could point me in the direction of >similar thinkers: >1.)F.M. Esfandiary/F.M.2030--"Upwingers", "Are You A Transhuman?", and >"Telespheres" >2.)James Hughes-- "The Politics of Transhumanism"-in a section titled "Pro >Automation Post Work Utopias" he mentions Andre Gorz -"who has been >promoting a political program for 25 years that embraces automation and the >expansion of the social wage." He also mentions that-"the movement for >universal basic income(Lerner,1994) has been growing in Europe and the >United States" A universal basic income growing in the United States? Ah, no.....quite the opposite, in fact. Outside of the American Indian/aborigines, who do have min income and in fact a nice little leisure society, life in the USA is moving in the opposite direction--we are working more hours and wages are dropping for a huge segment of society.... ------------- From cryofan at mylinuxisp.com Mon Dec 15 13:50:04 2003 From: cryofan at mylinuxisp.com (randy) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 07:50:04 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] The end of work, the leisure society, and automation In-Reply-To: <3FDD5EE7.60807@mail.tele.dk> References: <3FDD5EE7.60807@mail.tele.dk> Message-ID: On Mon, 15 Dec 2003 08:12:39 +0100, you wrote >Colin Magee wrote: > >> I am interested in the concept of a leisure society and >> was wondering if anyone knew of any major thinkers,researchers,or think >> tanks exploring this concept and the cultural,economic,psychological,and >> political ramifications of this idea. > > >It was all the rage among futurologists in the 70-80's. But it turned >out that people didn't want to use their higher income for more leisure >time. Rather they wanted more stuff. > >So they kept working > Actually, that is what the media propaganda machines tells them they want.... ------------- From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Dec 15 14:01:34 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 06:01:34 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] The end of work, the leisure society, and automation In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031215140134.38578.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> --- randy wrote:> > A universal basic income growing in the United States? Ah, > no.....quite the opposite, in fact. Outside of the American > Indian/aborigines, who do have min income and in fact a nice little > leisure society, life in the USA is moving in the opposite > direction--we are working more hours and wages are dropping for a > huge segment of society.... Actually, disposable income has been rising steadily, especially when the statisticians actually count the effective deflation that has been going on as consumers shift to mega store shopping. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From jacques at dtext.com Mon Dec 15 14:10:52 2003 From: jacques at dtext.com (JDP) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 15:10:52 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: POL(L): The Constitution of Europe In-Reply-To: <018a01c3c265$78cb9840$38b26bd5@artemis> References: <011001c3c1bf$917516b0$757b6951@artemis> <3FDB8B12.7080806@dtext.com> <033a01c3c1c7$ae279c30$757b6951@artemis> <3FDBA538.4040904@dtext.com> <018a01c3c265$78cb9840$38b26bd5@artemis> Message-ID: <3FDDC0EC.40906@dtext.com> Dirk Bruere wrote: >>Suppose a situation similar to WWII, with fascist Germany invading >>nearby countries, and causing a potentially global threat, and where the >>US got involved. Will a politically loose Europe manage to make the >>decision to get involved, or will it stay irresolute and passive while >>no clear agreement can be reached by the member States, except on the >>most extreme cases? > > > Hopefully, it would stay out of other peoples business. Do you mean that the involvement of the US in France in WWII is regrettable? I don't buy "staying out of other people's business" as an absolute rule in individual matters, and I don't buy it in inter-national matters either. Sometimes it is good to get involved, though of course potentially messy. I believe in the possibility of benevolent power ("benevolent" here not meaning "exclusively altruistic"), and in fact powerless benevolence is generally quite useless. >>In other words, can Europe really leverage its military (and economic) >>power as a bloc while preserving the freedom and independence of its >>member States? Can you have the advantages of being a big State when you >>are a loose, ad hoc federation? > > > I do not call neo-imperialism and a huge military/industrial complex an > 'advantage'. I was reasoning in terms of adequacy to certain ends. I was trying to take your initial answer to "why do we need a formal Europe at all" and question the fact that the bloc benefit you mentioned as an answer could be had without the political unity. But I understand your answer to be that the bloc benefit is about preserving one's independence while staying out of other people business, and that you think a European Confederation is a necessary and adequate way to this end. Thanks for your answer. Jacques From maxm at mail.tele.dk Mon Dec 15 14:48:20 2003 From: maxm at mail.tele.dk (Max M) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 15:48:20 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] The end of work, the leisure society, and automation In-Reply-To: References: <3FDD5EE7.60807@mail.tele.dk> Message-ID: <3FDDC9B4.2030103@mail.tele.dk> randy wrote: >>It was all the rage among futurologists in the 70-80's. But it turned >>out that people didn't want to use their higher income for more leisure >>time. Rather they wanted more stuff. >> >>So they kept working > Actually, that is what the media propaganda machines tells them they > want.... Yes and no. Certainly we have a lot of stuff we could be without. But one problem, at least here in Denmark, is the increased cost of housing. People make more money, and all want to live in houses. So houses become *very* expensive. Generally the price-gap between rental houses and owned houses isn't that big, and in the long run there is a saving in owning a house. So the rational thing is to buy a house yourself. So either you buy an expensive house, and have to work hard to keep it. But get the bonus of a big money pile when you later sell it. Or you live in a rental, where the landlord makes the money. You don't save that much money each month, and you don't make any money when you move. So actually it is hard to get more leisure time and do the "smart thing" money wise at the same time. If we really want a leasure society a majority need to want it, or else the spiraling housing prices and other effects will keep us at work. regards Max M Rasmussen Denmark From dirk at neopax.com Mon Dec 15 15:35:28 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 15:35:28 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: POL(L): The Constitution of Europe References: <011001c3c1bf$917516b0$757b6951@artemis> <3FDB8B12.7080806@dtext.com> <033a01c3c1c7$ae279c30$757b6951@artemis> <3FDBA538.4040904@dtext.com> <018a01c3c265$78cb9840$38b26bd5@artemis> <3FDDC0EC.40906@dtext.com> Message-ID: <01e501c3c321$113cf310$38b26bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "JDP" To: "Dirk Bruere" ; "ExI chat list" Sent: Monday, December 15, 2003 2:10 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Re: POL(L): The Constitution of Europe > Dirk Bruere wrote: > > >>Suppose a situation similar to WWII, with fascist Germany invading > >>nearby countries, and causing a potentially global threat, and where the > >>US got involved. Will a politically loose Europe manage to make the > >>decision to get involved, or will it stay irresolute and passive while > >>no clear agreement can be reached by the member States, except on the > >>most extreme cases? > > > > > > Hopefully, it would stay out of other peoples business. > > Do you mean that the involvement of the US in France in WWII is regrettable? Why not go to the root of that particular problem, WW1? Yes - it was 'regrettable' for us (Britain and the US, not to mention Russia) to get involved. > I don't buy "staying out of other people's business" as an absolute rule > in individual matters, and I don't buy it in inter-national matters > either. Sometimes it is good to get involved, though of course > potentially messy. Thin end of an ugly wedge. > I believe in the possibility of benevolent power ("benevolent" here not > meaning "exclusively altruistic"), and in fact powerless benevolence is > generally quite useless. > > >>In other words, can Europe really leverage its military (and economic) > >>power as a bloc while preserving the freedom and independence of its > >>member States? Can you have the advantages of being a big State when you > >>are a loose, ad hoc federation? > > > > > > I do not call neo-imperialism and a huge military/industrial complex an > > 'advantage'. > > I was reasoning in terms of adequacy to certain ends. I was trying to > take your initial answer to "why do we need a formal Europe at all" and > question the fact that the bloc benefit you mentioned as an answer could > be had without the political unity. What level of unity? That of a superstate that dictates every facet of citizens lives, down to school timetables, from Brussels? Or that of a federation of independent states that co-operates on *inter*national matters? I prefer the latter ie something akin to the early US model - not the post civil war state. > But I understand your answer to be that the bloc benefit is about > preserving one's independence while staying out of other people > business, and that you think a European Confederation is a necessary and > adequate way to this end. Thanks for your answer. Only one particular model of confederation. That is what all the argument is about. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From iph1954 at msn.com Mon Dec 15 16:20:10 2003 From: iph1954 at msn.com (MIKE TREDER) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 11:20:10 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] CRN: Gray Goo Is A Small Issue Message-ID: GRAY GOO IS A SMALL ISSUE http://crnano.org/BD-Goo.htm Fear of runaway nanobots, or "gray goo", is more of a public issue than a scientific problem. Gray goo as a result of out of control nanotechnology played a starring role in an article titled "The Gray Goo Problem" by Lawrence Osborne in Sunday's New York Times Magazine (12/14/03). This article and other recent fictional portrayals of gray goo, as well as statements by scientists such as Richard Smalley, are signs of significant public concern. But although biosphere-eating goo is a gripping story, current molecular manufacturing proposals contain nothing even similar to gray goo. The idea that nanotechnology manufacturing systems could run amok is based on outdated information. The earliest proposals for molecular manufacturing technologies echoed biological systems. Huge numbers of tiny robots called "assemblers" would self-replicate, then work together to build large products, much like termites building a termite mound. Such systems appeared to run the risk of going out of control, perhaps even ?eating? large portions of the biosphere. Eric Drexler warned in 1986, "We cannot afford certain kinds of accidents with replicating assemblers." Since then, however, Drexler and others have developed models for making safer and more efficient machine-like systems that resemble an assembly line in a factory more than anything biological. These mechanical designs were described in detail in Drexler's 1992 seminal reference work, "Nanosystems", which does not even mention free-floating autonomous assemblers. Replicating assemblers will not be used for manufacturing. Factory designs using integrated nanotechnology will be much more efficient at building products, and a nanofactory is nothing like a gray goo nanobot. A stationary tabletop factory using only preprocessed chemicals would be both safer and easier to build. Like a drill press or a lathe, such a system could not run wild. Systems like this are the basis for responsible molecular manufacturing proposals. To evaluate Eric Drexler's technical ideas on the basis of gray goo is to miss the far more important policy issues created by general-purpose nanoscale manufacturing. A gray goo robot would face a much harder task than merely replicating itself. It would also have to survive in the environment, move around, and convert what it finds into raw materials and power. This would require sophisticated chemistry. None of these functions would be part of a molecular manufacturing system. A gray goo robot would also require a relatively large computer to store and process the full blueprint of such a complex device. A nanobot or nanomachine missing any part of this functionality could not function as gray goo. Development and use of molecular manufacturing will create nothing like gray goo, so it poses no risk of producing gray goo by accident at any point. However, goo type systems do not appear to be ruled out by the laws of physics, and we cannot ignore the possibility that someone could deliberately combine all the requirements listed above. Drexler's 1986 statement can therefore be updated: We cannot afford criminally irresponsible misuse of powerful technologies. Having lived with the threat of nuclear weapons for half a century, we already know that. Gray goo eventually may become a concern requiring special policy. However, goo would be extremely difficult to design and build, and its replication would be inefficient. Worse and more imminent dangers may come from non-replicating nano-weaponry. Since there are numerous greater risks from molecular manufacturing that may happen almost immediately after the technology is developed, gray goo should not be a primary concern. Focusing on gray goo allows more urgent technology and security issues to remain unexplored. For more information on the specific dangers of molecular manufacturing, see http://CRNano.org/dangers.htm. The Center for Responsible Nanotechnology is headquartered in New York. CRN is an affiliate of World Care, an international, non-profit, 501(c)(3) organization. CONTACT: Chris Phoenix, Director of Research cphoenix at CRNano.org Mike Treder, Executive Director mtreder at CRNano.org Center for Responsible Nanotechnology http://CRNano.org _________________________________________________________________ Winterize your home with tips from MSN House & Home. http://special.msn.com/home/warmhome.armx From scerir at libero.it Mon Dec 15 17:15:24 2003 From: scerir at libero.it (scerir) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 18:15:24 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: POL(L): The Constitution of Europe References: <011001c3c1bf$917516b0$757b6951@artemis> <3FDB8B12.7080806@dtext.com> <033a01c3c1c7$ae279c30$757b6951@artemis> <3FDBA538.4040904@dtext.com><018a01c3c265$78cb9840$38b26bd5@artemis> <3FDDC0EC.40906@dtext.com> <01e501c3c321$113cf310$38b26bd5@artemis> Message-ID: <000a01c3c32f$0757f530$54b61b97@administxl09yj> From: "Dirk Bruere" > What level of unity? That of a superstate that dictates > every facet of citizens lives, down to school timetables, > from Brussels? It is already much much worse than that. See here below ..... and :-) Regards, s. 32003R0318 Commission Regulation (EC) No 318/2003 of 19 February 2003 amending Regulation (EEC) No 1274/91 introducing detailed rules for implementing Regulation (EEC) No 1907/90 on certain marketing standards for eggs -Official Journal L 046 , 20/02/2003 P. 0020 - 0020 Directory classification code 03.60.53. Agriculture - Products subject to market organization - Eggs and poultry EUROVOC marketing standard ; egg ; packaging ; labelling THE COMMISSION OF THE EUROPEAN COMMUNITIES, Having regard to the Treaty establishing the European Community, Having regard to Council Regulation (EEC) No 1907/90 of 26 June 1990 on certain marketing standards for eggs(1), as last amended by Regulation (EC) No 5/2001(2), and in particular Article 10(3) and Article 20(1) and (4), thereof, Whereas: (1) [....] (2) [....] (3) In order to ensure proper land management and to prevent a build-up of harmful diseases, the open-air runs for laying hens may need to be rotated. Birds should be given even access to the whole paddock area and, where rotation on extensive free range system with at least 10 m2 per hen is practised, each bird should be ensured at all times at least 2,5 m2. (4) It is therefore necessary to amend Regulation (EEC) No 1274/91 accordingly. (5) The measures provided for in this Regulation are in accordance with the opinion of the Management Committee for Poultrymeat and Eggs, HAS ADOPTED THIS REGULATION: Article 1 Regulation (EEC) No 1274/91 is amended as follows: 1. [....] 2. in Annex III, the third indent of point (a) is replaced by the following: "- the open-air runs must at least satisfy the conditions specified in Article 4(1)(3)(b)(ii) of Council Directive 1999/74/EC whereby the maximum stocking density is not greater than 2500 hens per hectare of ground available to the hens or one hen per 4 m2 at all times; however, where at least 10 m2 per hen is available and where rotation is practised and hens are given even access to the whole area over the flock's life, each paddock used must at any time assure at least 2,5 m2 per hen, - the open-air runs do not extend beyond a radius of 150 m from the nearest pophole of the building; however an extension of up to 350 m from the nearest pophole of the building is permissible provided that a sufficient number of shelters and drinking troughs within the meaning of that provision are evenly distributed throughout the whole open-air run with at least four shelters per hectare." [Ok, I stop here, but it is much longer ...] From rhanson at gmu.edu Mon Dec 15 17:12:42 2003 From: rhanson at gmu.edu (Robin Hanson) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 12:12:42 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] The end of work, the leisure society, and automation In-Reply-To: <001001c3c2de$ed558940$6501a8c0@SHELLY> References: <3FDD5EE7.60807@mail.tele.dk> Message-ID: <5.2.1.1.2.20031215120823.01eec398@mail.gmu.edu> On 12/14/2003, Spike wrote: > > ... it turned out that people didn't want to use their higher > > income for more leisure time. Rather they wanted more stuff. > > So they kept working > >Good thing too, eh? The profitability of a worker goes up >as that worker spends more time at the office, for a lot of >reasons. Much of the overhead associated with a worker, such >as the health care benefits, only need to be paid once regardless >of the amount of time spent. Furthermore, a worker who is always >at the office tends to get more involved in the program, since >that becomes her life. >If everyone started slacking off, our cool stuff would be >much more expensive too, so not only would we have less money >but it would buy less, and lots of businesses would go under. So: >Work is gooood, friends! Its goooood for you, its good for >all of us. ... This is a confused description of labor economics. There is probably an innovation externality - the more you innovate, the better off we all are because you cannot appropriate the full value of your innovation. But your arguments about spreading overheads out and being more involved are bogus - in a competitive labor market you should get all of those benefits for yourself; they don't help the rest of us. Robin Hanson rhanson at gmu.edu http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-4444 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323 From scerir at libero.it Mon Dec 15 17:26:28 2003 From: scerir at libero.it (scerir) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 18:26:28 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: POL(L): The Constitution of Europe References: <011001c3c1bf$917516b0$757b6951@artemis> <3FDB8B12.7080806@dtext.com> <033a01c3c1c7$ae279c30$757b6951@artemis> <3FDBA538.4040904@dtext.com><018a01c3c265$78cb9840$38b26bd5@artemis> <3FDDC0EC.40906@dtext.com> <01e501c3c321$113cf310$38b26bd5@artemis> Message-ID: <001601c3c330$932b4980$54b61b97@administxl09yj> From: "Dirk Bruere" > That of a superstate that dictates every > facet of citizens lives, down to > school timetables, from Brussels? In this case it would be a nanostate, like the present. See below .... and you will realize why our economy runs slow. s. COMMISSION REGULATION (EC) No 2561/1999 of 3 December 1999 laying down the marketing standard for peas [loooong snip] ANNEX STANDARD FOR PEAS I. DEFINITION OF PRODUCE This standard applies to shelling peas of varieties (cultivars) grown from Pisum sativum L. and peas intended for consumption in the pods or snow peas (mangetout peas) from Pisum sativum L. var. macrocarpon and sugar snap peas from Pisum sativum L. var. saccharatum to be supplied fresh to the consumer, peas for industrial processing being excluded. II. PROVISIONS CONCERNING QUALITY The purpose of the standard is to define the quality requirements for peas after preparation and packaging. A. Minimum requirements In all classes, subject to the special provisions for each class and the tolerances allowed, (i) the pods must be: - intact - sound; produce affected by rotting or deterioration such as to make it unfit for consumption is excluded - clean, practically free of any visible foreign matter (including parts of the flowers) - free from hard filaments or films in mange-tout peas - practically free from pests - practically free from damage caused by pests - free of abnormal external moisture - free of any foreign smell and/or taste. (ii) the peas must be: - fresh - sound, i.e., free of damage caused by pests or diseases - normally developed. The development and condition of peas must be such as to enable them: - to withstand transport and handling, and - to arrive in satisfactory condition at the place of destination. B. Classification Peas are classified in two classes defined below: (i) Class I Peas in this class must be of good quality. The pods must be: - characteristic of the variety in shape, size and colouring - with peduncles attached - free from damage by hail - fresh and turgid - without damage caused by heating. For mange-tout peas the pods may have: - very slight skin defects, injuries and bruises - very slight defects of shape - very slight defects of colouring. For shelling peas: the pods must be - well filled, containing at least five seeds. the peas must be: - well formed - tender - succulent and sufficiently firm, i.e., when squeezed between two fingers they should become flat without disintegrating - at least half the full-grown size but not full grown - of the colour typical of the variety - non-farinaceous - undamaged. For mange-tout peas, the peas if present must be small and underdeveloped. (ii) Class II This class includes peas which do not qualify for inclusion in the Class I but satisfy the minimum requirements specified above. Shelling peas may be riper than those in Class I. The following slight defects may be allowed provided the peas retain their essential characteristics as regards the quality, the keeping quality and presentation. For mange-tout peas, the pods may have: - slight skin defects, injuries and bruises - slight defects in shape, including those due to the seed formation - slight defect in colouring - slight not-progressive skin defects caused by pests - slight drying, excluding wilted and uncoloured pods. For shelling peas, the pods may have: - slight defect in colouring - slight damage provided it is not progressive and there is no risk of the seeds being affected - some loss of freshness, although wilted pods are excluded. The pods must contain at least three seeds. The peas may be: - less well formed - slightly less coloured - slightly harder - slightly damaged. Over-mature peas are excluded. III. PROVISIONS CONCERNING SIZING Size is not compulsory for peas. IV. PROVISIONS CONCERNING TOLERANCES Tolerances in respect of quality shall be allowed in each package for produce not satisfying the requirements of the class indicated. (i) Class I 10 % by weight of peas not satisfying the requirements of the class, but meeting those of Class II or, exceptionally, coming within the tolerances of that class. (ii) Class II 10 % by weight of peas satisfying neither the requirements of the class nor the minimum requirements, with the exception of produce affected by rotting, progressive diseases or any other deterioration rendering it unfit for consumption. V. PROVISIONS CONCERNING PRESENTATION A. Uniformity The contents of each package must be uniform and contain only peas of the same origin, variety and quality. The visible part of the contents of the package must be representative of the entire contents. B. Packaging Peas must be packed in such a way as to protect the produce properly. The materials used inside the package must be new, clean and of a quality such as to avoid causing any external or internal damage to the produce. The use of materials, particularly of paper or stamps bearing trade specifications is allowed provided the printing or labelling has been done with non-toxic ink or glue. Packages must be free of all foreign matter. VI. PROVISIONS CONCERNING MARKING Each package must bear the following particulars, in letters grouped on the same side, legibly and indelibly marked, and visible from the outside: A. Identification - Packer and/or dispatcher: Name and address or officially issued or accepted code mark. However, where a code mark is used, the reference "packer and/or dispatcher" (or equivalent abbreviations) has to be indicated in close proximity to the code mark. B. Nature of produce - "Shelling peas", "Snow peas", "Sugar peas" or "Mange-tout peas" if the contents are not visible from the outside. C. Origin of produce - Country of origin and, optionally, district where grown, or national, regional or local place name. D. Commercial specifications - Class E. Official control mark (optional) From dirk at neopax.com Mon Dec 15 17:21:53 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 17:21:53 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: POL(L): The Constitution of Europe References: <011001c3c1bf$917516b0$757b6951@artemis> <3FDB8B12.7080806@dtext.com> <033a01c3c1c7$ae279c30$757b6951@artemis> <3FDBA538.4040904@dtext.com><018a01c3c265$78cb9840$38b26bd5@artemis> <3FDDC0EC.40906@dtext.com> <01e501c3c321$113cf310$38b26bd5@artemis> <001601c3c330$932b4980$54b61b97@administxl09yj> Message-ID: <027901c3c32f$f2135ba0$38b26bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "scerir" To: "Dirk Bruere" ; "ExI chat list" Sent: Monday, December 15, 2003 5:26 PM Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: POL(L): The Constitution of Europe > From: "Dirk Bruere" > > > That of a superstate that dictates every > > facet of citizens lives, down to > > school timetables, from Brussels? > > In this case it would be a nanostate, like > the present. See below .... and you will > realize why our economy runs slow. > s. > > COMMISSION REGULATION (EC) No 2561/1999 > of 3 December 1999 > laying down the marketing standard for peas > > [loooong snip] > > ANNEX > > STANDARD FOR PEAS > I. DEFINITION OF PRODUCE > This standard applies to shelling peas of varieties (cultivars) grown from > Pisum sativum L. and peas intended for consumption in the pods or snow peas > (mangetout peas) from Pisum sativum L. var. macrocarpon and sugar snap peas > from Pisum sativum L. var. saccharatum to be supplied fresh to the consumer, > peas for industrial processing being excluded. Actually, I don't have a problem with standardisation of trade goods across the EU. What I do have a problem with (for example) is the EU rying to legislate our criminal code, and the entire Social Policy unit. How we live our lives is not something that is exported. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From rhanson at gmu.edu Mon Dec 15 17:27:48 2003 From: rhanson at gmu.edu (Robin Hanson) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 12:27:48 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Affective computing: Candy bars for the soul In-Reply-To: <3FDB5D22.7080609@pobox.com> Message-ID: <5.2.1.1.2.20031215121713.01eec398@mail.gmu.edu> On 12/13/2003, Eliezer S. Yudkowsky wrote: >Wired has recently run an article on "affective computing" ... about >detecting and simulating emotions. ... This is an incredibly early form >of the technology and I don't expect problems for at least a decade, but >when it hits it will hit hard. ... it's about programs with incredibly >realistic graphics and means for recognizing emotions in their targets, >being able to deploy apparent behaviors that act as superstimuli for human >emotional responses. Think of chocolate chip cookies for emotions. >Chocolate chip cookies are a more powerful stimulus than hunter-gatherer >tastebuds ever encounter, combining sugar, fat, and salt in greater >quantity and purer quality. And likewise there's a limit to the sympathy, >support, approval, and admiration humans can expect from their human >mates. As any evolutionary theorist knows, a human male is not designed >as the human female's ideal boyfriend, nor vice versa. >Candy bars for the soul. It's not that all synthetic foods are bad. ... >But it takes so much more knowledge to do it right... and the side effects >of the things that "just taste good" are negative, complicated, very hard >to understand, unforeseen in advance. People at large understand the one >*obvious* side effect once they've seen it: People bloating up like >balloons. But also losing insulin sensitivity, and a lot of other >problems that aren't visible to the naked eye. ... >I could be surprised, but what Laura presages is probably NOT a good >thing. Transhumanism needs to lose the optimism about outcomes. Nobody >is taking into account the fact that problems are hard and humans are >stupid. Watch this space for serious developments in some unknown amount >of time, my wild guess being a decade, and quite possibly nothing >happening if "faking it well" turns out to be AI-complete. ... This is a reasonable topic for concern, but I'm not as nearly concerned as you seem to be, because of our long track record of dealing with similar problems. It's not just that food is far more tasty than in the past; media and music today are far more entertaining, and advertising is far more persuasive, than ancient analogies could have been. Our evolved habits in these things probably also mislead us to emphasize the wrong things. We probably think we have more friends because we watch "Friends" on TV, for example. But given how vastly different our world is from the ancient world, it is amazing that we do as well as we do. The human mind seems to be relatively robust, and able to adapt to radically different circumstances. Probably the biggest way in which our minds have been misled, relative to the ancient problems they were designed to solve, is whatever it is that causes the demographic transition, causing rich societies to have far fewer children than evolution could possibly have "intended." I wish we understood this better; it might give us a better clue about the other problems. Robin Hanson rhanson at gmu.edu http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-4444 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323 From jose_cordeiro at yahoo.com Mon Dec 15 19:45:51 2003 From: jose_cordeiro at yahoo.com (Jose Cordeiro) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 11:45:51 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Interview to Arthur C. Clarke Message-ID: <20031215194551.29479.qmail@web41302.mail.yahoo.com> http://southasia.oneworld.net/article/view/74591/1 La vie est belle! Yos? (www.cordeiro.org) Caracas, Venezuela, Americas, TerraNostra --------------------------------- Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From cryofan at mylinuxisp.com Mon Dec 15 20:15:05 2003 From: cryofan at mylinuxisp.com (randy) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 14:15:05 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Emanuel Goldstein has been captured! In-Reply-To: <20031215194551.29479.qmail@web41302.mail.yahoo.com> References: <20031215194551.29479.qmail@web41302.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: After eluding Oceanian forces for months and vowing never to be taken alive, a disheveled Emmanuel Goldstein was found hiding in a hidden "rathole" near a farmhouse and was captured without firing a shot, even though he was armed with a pistol, bloc authorities announced Sunday. Learn more from the Ministry of Truth here: http://protempore.net/cgi- bin/cgiwrap/calvins/goodspeak.py? url=http://www.cnn.com/2003/WORLD/meast/12/14/sprj.irq.main/index.htm l In other news, the chocolate ration will be increased! ------------- From jose_cordeiro at yahoo.com Mon Dec 15 20:24:31 2003 From: jose_cordeiro at yahoo.com (Jose Cordeiro) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 12:24:31 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] World population in the year 2300 Message-ID: <20031215202431.71887.qmail@web41314.mail.yahoo.com> http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&cid=570&ncid=753&e=7&u=/nm/20031209/sc_nm/un_population_dc La vie est belle! Yos? (www.cordeiro.org) Caracas, Venezuela, Americas, TerraNostra --------------------------------- Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Dec 15 21:00:51 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 13:00:51 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Emanuel Goldstein has been captured! In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031215210051.94676.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> --- randy wrote: > After eluding Oceanian forces for months and vowing never to be > taken alive, a disheveled Emmanuel Goldstein was found hiding in a > hidden "rathole" near a farmhouse and was captured without firing a > shot, even though he was armed with a pistol, bloc authorities > announced Sunday. I don't think that Saddam would appreciate being identified as a jewish enemy of the socialist state.... ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From cryofan at mylinuxisp.com Mon Dec 15 21:39:31 2003 From: cryofan at mylinuxisp.com (randy) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 15:39:31 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Emanuel Goldstein has been captured! In-Reply-To: <20031215194551.29479.qmail@web41302.mail.yahoo.com> References: <20031215194551.29479.qmail@web41302.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: After eluding Oceanian forces for months and vowing never to be taken alive, a disheveled Emmanuel Goldstein was found hiding in a hidden "rathole" near a farmhouse and was captured without firing a shot, even though he was armed with a pistol, bloc authorities announced Sunday. Learn more from the Ministry of Truth here: http://protempore.net/cgi- bin/cgiwrap/calvins/goodspeak.py? url=http://www.cnn.com/2003/WORLD/meast/12/14/sprj.irq.main/index.htm l In other news, the chocolate ration will be increased! ------------- From bjk at imminst.org Mon Dec 15 21:54:37 2003 From: bjk at imminst.org (Bruce J. Klein) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 15:54:37 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Mike Perry - ImmInst Chat Successful Message-ID: <3FDE2D9D.6030409@imminst.org> ImmInst members enjoyed discussion by talented author Mike Perry this past Sunday - Dec 14. Chat Topic = Alcor Patient Care Assistant and author of "Forever for All", Mike Perry chats will ImmInst about his current work and the future of Cryonics. Archive of the discussion found here: http://imminst.org/forum/index.php?s=&act=ST&f=63&t=2385&st=0&#entry20724 Thanks Mike! Bruce Klein Chairman, ImmInst.org From natashavita at earthlink.net Mon Dec 15 22:26:18 2003 From: natashavita at earthlink.net (natashavita at earthlink.net) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 17:26:18 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] World population in the year 2300 Message-ID: <269620-2200312115222618225@M2W059.mail2web.com> From: Jose Cordeiro >http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&cid=570&ncid=753&e=7&u=/nm/2003 1209/sc_nm/un_population_dc Excellent article. Natasha -------------------------------------------------------------------- mail2web - Check your email from the web at http://mail2web.com/ . From jcorb at iol.ie Mon Dec 15 22:43:20 2003 From: jcorb at iol.ie (J Corbally) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 22:43:20 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] WAR: Still want peace??? Message-ID: <5.0.2.1.1.20031215224224.03329200@pop.iol.ie> >Message: 26 >Date: Sun, 14 Dec 2003 15:05:12 -0800 (PST) > >From: Mike Lorrey >Subject: [extropy-chat] WAR: Still want peace??? >To: extropy-chat at extropy.org >Message-ID: <20031214230512.99635.qmail at web12906.mail.yahoo.com> >Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii >For those who still want peace, now that the war is over and Saddam is >in jail..... >http://www.masturbateforpeace.com/ >Top 10 Reasons to Masturbate for Peace >10. It's too cold to go outside and demonstrate >9. If I go blind they can't draft me >8. The walls need painting white anyway >7. This is my weapon...this is my gun...this one's for shootin....oh, >never mind. >6. If you want it done right you have to do it yourself >5. All the lube will give me a baby-soft dork >4. It may be the only "peace" I'll be getting for a while >3. If I use my left hand, it feels like someone else has joined my >cause >2. What else am I going to do with the 80 GB of porn on my PC? >1. Because I can't give myself a peace blowjob >Now that I think of it, I think this was Saddam's to-do list in that >hole in Tikrit.... Real men don't use lube.... ;-> James... From jcorb at iol.ie Mon Dec 15 22:50:59 2003 From: jcorb at iol.ie (J Corbally) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 22:50:59 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Brights Movement's Forums Message-ID: <5.0.2.1.1.20031215224702.0332aec0@pop.iol.ie> >Message: 5 >Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 01:00:34 -0600 > >From: "Damien Broderick" >Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] The Brights Movement's Forums >To: "ExI chat list" >Message-ID: <00e901c3c2d9$24d5f7c0$84994a43 at texas.net> >Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" > >----- Original Message ----- > >From: "Damien Broderick" >Sent: Monday, December 15, 2003 12:43 AM > > How exquisitely embarrassing >It seems I'm very much not in a minority with this opinion. See Michael >Shermer's preliminary empirical study: >http://www.skeptic.com/BIG%20BRIGHT%20BROUHAHA4.htm This from the "rational" man who couldn't build a rational argument against cryonics. >It will be interesting to see if the very bright founders are modest enough >to pay heed and change it. It's not looking like they will. Can't say that I blame them, I don't think it's that bad a term. Also on the upside, many familiar faces (including myself) are fighting the good fight there are spreadin' those LE memes. Overall, the Brights are seemingly quite "bright" with regards to indefinite lifespans. James... >------------------------------ From wingcat at pacbell.net Mon Dec 15 22:59:36 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 14:59:36 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] World population in the year 2300 In-Reply-To: <20031215202431.71887.qmail@web41314.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20031215225936.89156.qmail@web80403.mail.yahoo.com> --- Jose Cordeiro wrote: > http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&cid=570&ncid=753&e=7&u=/nm/20031209/sc_nm/un_population_dc Ye-awn. Those predictions aren't worth the pixels they're printed on. Even if one ignored the potential for 300+ year life spans (as they seem to), what would it matter to anyone presently alive what the state of the world will be in 2300 years? And if one does not ignore that (that is, assumes we will be around to care), but does set aside for the moment the major skew that gives their figures, how about fertility treatments, declining child birth rates for the modernizing world...and how about genemodded kids or other not-entirely-human-as-we-know it "people", such as AIs (possibly including uploaded folk)? Also, even if human population does go by their red exponential curve, would that necessarily be a bad thing? Humanity is almost guaranteed to have started seriously colonizing off of Earth by 2300 - by necessity to support the growing population if for no other reason first. (Or are they just tracking Earth's population, with permanent emigrants counted equivalent to deaths for this purpose? That could be used to justify the blue or the green curve.) From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Mon Dec 15 23:15:17 2003 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (Kevin Freels) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 17:15:17 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] World population in the year 2300 References: <269620-2200312115222618225@M2W059.mail2web.com> Message-ID: I was just running some numbers. Feel free to correct me if I did it wrong. If the world population is will be 9 billion and we put everyone in the state of Texas (268,601 square miles), everyone would have 832 square feet to themselves. Am I missing something here? Where's the crisis? Kevin Freels ----- Original Message ----- From: To: Sent: Monday, December 15, 2003 4:26 PM Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] World population in the year 2300 > From: Jose Cordeiro > > >http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&cid=570&ncid=753&e=7&u=/nm/2003 > 1209/sc_nm/un_population_dc > > Excellent article. > > Natasha > > -------------------------------------------------------------------- > mail2web - Check your email from the web at > http://mail2web.com/ . > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From wingcat at pacbell.net Tue Dec 16 00:09:32 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 16:09:32 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] glo-fish In-Reply-To: <20031214230220.61554.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20031216000932.71024.qmail@web80409.mail.yahoo.com> --- Mike Lorrey wrote: > --- Spike wrote > > Schuchat commented: > > > > "For me it's a question of values, it's not a > question of > > science," said commissioner Sam Schuchat. "I think > selling > > genetically modified fish as pets is wrong." > > AHAHAAAAAAA! This means that selling them to *stock* > wilderness areas > must be okay!!! Go for it , Spike!!! You just can't > keep them as > pets.... ;) Thing is that they will wind up in the > wild pretty soon > anyways when people flush them down the toilet. Pity that's not what the directive says...is it? Are there any streams that flow into California - say, could someone release a bunch in the melting snow of the Sierras, then wait for them to wash up downstream (dead or alive, preferably alive) then cite that to show they are an "established" species? (It might be illegal to import 'em, but if they're already here, they can be caught in the wild...) Especially if they're tagged with some internal label, easily recoverable upon autopsy, saying something like, "Deliberately introduced into the wilderness to make the laws moot. Fuck you, Schuchat. -Citizens Against Religious Ecoluddism" Of course, these days, one would just have to make up a press release saying that someone had found 'em like that. (The fish bodies themselves were, of course, incinerated after the investigation, and the investigators doubt the fish would sucecssfully colonize the rivers - neatly explaining why no one else will be finding any.) From xllb at rogers.com Tue Dec 16 03:26:45 2003 From: xllb at rogers.com (xllb at rogers.com) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 22:26:45 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] NEWS: They got him! Message-ID: <20031216032645.NESL132452.fep01-mail.bloor.is.net.cable.rogers.com@localhost> At what point in the process does Saddam become entitled to legal representation, or more specifically a mouth? Who is likely to represent him? Is he entitled to represent himself? xllb "Dogma blinds." "Hell is overkill." From spike66 at comcast.net Tue Dec 16 04:01:57 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 20:01:57 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] glo-fish In-Reply-To: <20031216000932.71024.qmail@web80409.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <000001c3c389$59f32a30$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > > --- Spike wrote > > > Schuchat commented: > > > > > > "For me it's a question of values, it's not a question of > > > science," said commissioner Sam Schuchat. "I think selling > > > genetically modified fish as pets is wrong." ... What if you bought a bunch of these, bred them in your home aquarium, then released or sold the offspring? Could you claim that they were not genetically engineered? I don't see why not: they were, after all, conceived and born the old-fashioned way. Of course, their parents may have been a bit unusual... If these glo-fish can be procluded from sale, then they must be considered a unique species. So if some of these escaped into the wild, could not one argue that this is a rare and endangered species? And therefore all building within 10 miles must halt forthwith. Merely point to the building project you would like to see stopped. spike From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 16 04:14:39 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 20:14:39 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] NEWS: They got him! In-Reply-To: <20031216032645.NESL132452.fep01-mail.bloor.is.net.cable.rogers.com@localhost> Message-ID: <20031216041439.95130.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> --- xllb at rogers.com wrote: > At what point in the process does Saddam become entitled to legal > representation, or more specifically a mouth? Who is likely to > represent him? Is he entitled to represent himself? You will have to determine what measures the Iraqis have set up for their special tribunal. Now, I find it really, really, really odd that the French and Germans, and the lefties here in the US, who whine that the US throws its weight around and doesn't let indigenous people make their own decisions, are now pissed that the US government wants the Iraqi people to try Saddam in their own court system for his crimes against the Iraqi people. What is the real issue involved? Of course, it is the death penalty, which has been part of the Iraqi legal system for over 40 years, long before Saddam came to power, and which he will theoretically be facing in an Iraqi tribunal, where he will most certainly be afforded legal protections that he never afforded any of his own victims. I also find it odd that the goverments that are the most protectionist of their own industries, especially with offering government contracts only to their own industries, are now ticked off that they won't be able to compete for American tax dollars in reconstruction contracts. On a funnier note, apparently, when the soldiers coaxed him out of his rat hole in Tikrit, the first thing he said with his hands in the air was "I am willing to negotiate..." HAHAHAA, classic Saddam..... ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 16 04:17:23 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 20:17:23 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] glo-fish In-Reply-To: <000001c3c389$59f32a30$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031216041723.35223.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> --- Spike wrote: > > > > --- Spike wrote > > > > Schuchat commented: > > > > > > > > "For me it's a question of values, it's not a question of > > > > science," said commissioner Sam Schuchat. "I think selling > > > > genetically modified fish as pets is wrong." > ... > > What if you bought a bunch of these, bred them in > your home aquarium, then released or sold the offspring? > Could you claim that they were not genetically > engineered? I don't see why not: they were, after > all, conceived and born the old-fashioned way. Of > course, their parents may have been a bit unusual... I've GOT it: raise them as farm animals.... ;) > > If these glo-fish can be procluded from sale, then > they must be considered a unique species. So if > some of these escaped into the wild, could not > one argue that this is a rare and endangered species? > And therefore all building within 10 miles must halt > forthwith. Merely point to the building project you > would like to see stopped. Dump em in the Bay and they'll have to stop scuba diving for more evidence in the Lacey Peterson case... ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Tue Dec 16 04:25:13 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 23:25:13 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] glo-fish In-Reply-To: <000001c3c389$59f32a30$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <000901c3c38c$9c934200$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Spike wrote, > What if you bought a bunch of these, bred them in > your home aquarium, then released or sold the offspring? > Could you claim that they were not genetically > engineered? I don't see why not: they were, after > all, conceived and born the old-fashioned way. The term "engineered" describes how they were designed, not how they were conceived and born. It doesn't matter if your offspring fish were conceived or born the old-fashioned way. They still follow the engineered design. If that design is patented, your offspring fish would be covered by that patent. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From spike66 at comcast.net Tue Dec 16 04:33:07 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 20:33:07 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] The end of work, the leisure society, and automation In-Reply-To: <5.2.1.1.2.20031215120823.01eec398@mail.gmu.edu> Message-ID: <000001c3c38d$b45302d0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > On 12/14/2003, Spike wrote: ... > > > >... The profitability of a worker goes up > >as that worker spends more time at the office, for a lot of > >reasons....Its goooood for you, its good for > >all of us... > > This is a confused description of labor economics... Robin Hanson Robin, clearly I am no professor of economics. {8-] This has caused me to ponder on what a job does for us, and it is far more than just a paycheck. A good 9 to 5 provides us with a social network, contact with interesting people, a place to go and focus our energies, Newtonmas parties once a year, a sense of accomplishment the rest of the time, which is a wonderful morale booster, a sense of pride when you see your company's products perform, a number of good consequences in addition to just the means to make the mortgage. We *need* to work at something. For all its disadvantages, an ordinary job provides these needs. Dr. Hanson, I really *like* my job. My company is a really cool place to work. Of course I fully recognize how pathetic this is, but that realization does not mean it doesn't still work that way. {8-] spike From twodeel at jornada.org Tue Dec 16 04:35:17 2003 From: twodeel at jornada.org (Don Dartfield) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 20:35:17 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] The end of work, the leisure society, and automation In-Reply-To: <000001c3c38d$b45302d0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: On Mon, 15 Dec 2003, Spike wrote: > For all its disadvantages, an ordinary job provides these needs. Dr. > Hanson, I really *like* my job. My company is a really cool place to > work. Wow. Put in a good word for me? ;) From etheric at comcast.net Tue Dec 16 05:13:07 2003 From: etheric at comcast.net (R.Coyote) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 21:13:07 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] The end of work, the leisure society, and automation References: Message-ID: <011701c3c393$4ac81020$0200a8c0@etheric> Obviously your not working hard enough! ----- Original Message ----- From: "Don Dartfield" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Monday, December 15, 2003 8:35 PM Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] The end of work, the leisure society,and automation > On Mon, 15 Dec 2003, Spike wrote: > > > For all its disadvantages, an ordinary job provides these needs. Dr. > > Hanson, I really *like* my job. My company is a really cool place to > > work. > > Wow. Put in a good word for me? ;) > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From avatar at renegadeclothing.com.au Tue Dec 16 00:52:21 2003 From: avatar at renegadeclothing.com.au (Avatar Polymorph) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 16:52:21 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Extropy #15 Timeline References: <200312040251.hB42pw420688@finney.org> Message-ID: <000901c3c433$92dae0e0$47ee17cb@renegade> Sub-quantum engineering on Proto-Earth: 2027 General end of Quarantine in this universe (nodal stem): c. 115 billion post Big Bang ----- Original Message ----- From: "Hal Finney" To: Sent: Wednesday, December 03, 2003 6:51 PM Subject: [extropy-chat] Extropy #15 Timeline > Max More wrote: > > It would be > > interesting to dig out the issue of Extropy that featured a range of > > predicted dates for various events. I recall that Eric Drexler had highly > > optimistic projections, but others looked to 100+ years for many of the > > items listed. I think I was somewhere in the middle. If anyone has the > > issue at hand along with an OCR scanner, it would provide some interesting > > data points. > > Coincidentally, someone posted this URL on the FX (idea futures game) > discussion list: http://web.archive.org/web/20030212092807/www.lucifer.com/~sean/N-FX/. > This is a Wayback Machine archive of an article on nanotech timelines, > and it includes a link to the Extropy issue which had that article. > Unfortunately, the archive failed to capture that issue, but the link > does identify it as Extropy #15, which I happen to have, and I can go > ahead and type in the data. > > The predictors are Gregory Benford; Steve Bridge; Eric Drexler; FM-2030; > Mark Miller; Max More; and Nick Szabo. These predictions are from 1995. > Explanatory notes include: > > Szabo - "The first number is when something might be possible under ideal > engineering, economic, and politilcal conditions. 'now' means we could > have done it already. The second number is the practical prediction, > based primarily on the viewpoint of starting a business..." > > Bridge - "My answers are based on when something will 'actually happen' > rather than on when it will be possible." > > Miller - "I will use the following variables: N = Now, 1995; S = > Singularity; DAF = Design Ahead Factor.... I predict Singularity as > occuring between N+10 and N+40.... I introduce a Design Ahead Factor > which I define as 10/(S-N). If Singularity occurs in 10 years, DAF is 1. > If Singularity occurs in 40 years, DAF is 1/4." > > Here is the table, modulo possible typos. You will need to use a monospace > font to get the columns to line up: > > Benford Drexler Miller Szabo > Bridge FM-2030 More > > Frozen Organ Transplant Is Routine > 2020 2010 never 1990s+ N+20 if (S>N+30) 1999-2008 2020-2030 > Two Century Biological Lifespans > 2150 2050/2140 never 2010-2020 never 2015-2040 2040/2100 > Indefinite Biological Lifespans > 2300 2080 1967 S+50 2020-2045 2090/2150 > Reanimation for Last Cryonics Suspendee > 2100 2060 2006-2021 S+6*DAF 2025-2055 2050/2200 > Reanimation for Current Cryonics Suspendees > 2200 2090 2006-2021 2020 S+10*DAF 2030-2100 2400/2410 > Biotech Cures for Most Heart Disease, Cancer & Aging > 2030 2030 never 1990s+ S+10*DAF 2015-2040 2090/2130 > Fine-Tuned Mood/Motivation Transformation Drugs > 2010 2020 ?-2021 1990s+ N+10 1998-2010 2040/2050 > Genius Drugs (>20 pts permanent IQ increase for most people) > 2030 2020 ?-2021 S-10 to S+10*DAF 2020-2060 2010/2050 > > Benford Drexler Miller Szabo > Bridge FM-2030 More > > Human Germ-Line Gene Therapy > 2040 2007/2025 1990s N+20 2010 now/2010 > Human Child Gestated Completely in Artificial Womb > 2020 2050 2010-2020 S-5 to S-2*DAF 2015-2035 2100/2120 > Cloning of a Human Being > 2050 2020 2010 S-5 to S+4*DAF 2010 now/2010 > Completely Genetically Composed Children > 2060 2050 2015-2020 2060/2100 > Extinct Species Reanimation (from preserved DNA) > 2100 2025 ?-2021 N+5 to S+1 2010/2020 > > Benford Drexler Miller Szabo > Bridge FM-2030 More > > Cryonics Industry Revenues $1 billion/year > 2035 2015 2010-2020 N+30 (if S>N+30) 2015-2020 now/2020 > Nanotech Factories > 2100 2030/2050 2006-2021 2010-2020 S-3 to S+1 2015-2030 2070/2080 > Atomically Detailed Design for Self-Reproducing Drexler-style Assembler > 2070 2015 1998-2010 N+7 2000-2015 2100/2100 > High-Degree of Freedom Cell Repair Nanomachines > 2075 2040/2060 2006/2021 2010 S+2*DAF 2160/2180 > Reproducing Nanotech Assemblers > 2080 2025 2004-2019 S-3 to S+1 2020-2030 2120/2140 > Really Cheap Fusion Power > 2100 2040 2010-2020 2010-2020 2200/2210 > Nukes as Cheap as Tanks > 2105 2015 2040-2050 2100/2150 > Nukes as Cheap as Handguns > never never 2200/2250 > > Benford Drexler Miller Szabo > Bridge FM-2030 More > > Most Publications are Electronic > 2015 2015 1990s+ N+10 to N+30 1999 2000/2005 > Most Intellectual Publications are on Web > 2001 2008 late 1990s N+5 to N+30 1999-2002 2000/2005 > Information Storage $0.01 per Megabyte > 2010 2020 N+1 to N+10 2015 2010/2010 > Computer Implanted in Brain > 2015 2045 2010 N+1 to N+10 2020-2050 2010/2020 > Human-Brain Equivalent Computers on a Desk > 2030 2030 2004-2019 2010 S-3*DAF 2030 2040/2050 > Human-Level A.I. > 2030 2050 2004-2019 2010 2040-2150 2150/2200 > Uploaded Minds > 2060 2125 2006-2021 S+7*DAF 2040-2100 2300/2400 > Uploads Running 1000x Faster than Humans > 2080 2125 2006-2021 S-3*DAF 2045-2100 2450/2450 > > Benford Drexler Miller Szabo > Bridge FM-2030 More > > Big Fraction of Economy Off Earth > 2200 2100 2006-2021 S+20*DAF+20 2100-2200 2150/2200 > Big Fraction of Economy out of Solar System > 2800 3000 2011-2026 S+20*DAF+(50-200) 3000 2400/2500 > Comet Mining, Javelins, Drugs, etc. (robotic space industry) > 2080 2075 2006-2021 2050 2040/2060 > First Person on Mars > 2050 2025 2006-2021 2010-2020 N+15 to S+2*DAF 2025 2040/2060 > First Person in Another Solar System > 2400 2085 2011-2026 2030-2050 S+10*DAF+20 2150-2400 2200/2400 > Reproducing Comet Eaters > 2070 > Reproducing Asteroid Eaters > 2150 2045 2006-2021 2050-2070 2140/2180 > Reproducing Starships > 2300 2200 2006-2021 S+2*DAF 2350/2400 > > Benford Drexler Miller Szabo > Bridge FM-2030 More > > 1,000,000+ People Using Anon. Electronic Cash > 2010 2020 1990s N+10toN+30 to never 1999-2006 1997/1999 > 30%+ of Labor Telecommutes > 2015 2030 1990s never never 2000/2050 > Untaxable Economy Using Electronic Cash $100b/year > 2020 N+20 to never 2010-2115 1997/2005 > Ocean Colonization > 20020 2020/2045 never 2010-2050 now/2040 > Most Education Privatized > 2005 2050 N+10 to S+50 now/2040 > Most Law Enforcement Privatized > 2010 2095 S+50 to never now/2150 > Most Law Choice Privatized > 2020 never on Earth S+20*DAF+20tonever now/2150 > National Defense Privatized > never never on Earth never now/2200 > Betting Markets a Big Policy Influence > never never S+20*DAF+20 2000/2100 > > > Lots of figures here, and it's pretty hard to see the logic behind some > of them. Benford and Szabo put Reproducing Starships out in the 24th > century, while Drexler could have them coming out the year after next. > Actually, Drexler is kind of a one-note-Charlie here, putting almost > everything in the 2006-2026 time frame, even Big Fraction of Economy out > of Solar System. I guess he assumes a nanotech singularity scenario. > The interstellar economy would presumably be self-reproducing space probes > zooming away from Earth in all directions and furiously converting nearby > star systems into computronium or some such. > > I see Benford and Szabo as the most conservative, with Bridge and More > taking a middle ground, and Drexler and FM-2030 being the most aggressive. > FM's predictions don't make much sense to me but maybe they should be > thought of as somewhat metaphorical or poetic, which is how I perceive > his writing. > > Other interesting aspects of the survey include the topic selection, > which is kind of a snapshot of the items of interest to the Extropian > community in the 1995 time frame. I also note the absence of Eliezer > Yudkowski's influential conception of the Singularity as a sudden > transition to world whose rules, possibly even whose physics, are > determined by AIs of virtually infinite intelligence. > > Hal > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > > From gpmap at runbox.com Tue Dec 16 05:47:55 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Tue, 16 Dec 2003 06:47:55 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Brights Movement's Forums In-Reply-To: <5.0.2.1.1.20031215224702.0332aec0@pop.iol.ie> Message-ID: I agree with you here, the name is not that bad. I hope it will stick. I am also participating in the debate on life extension. Discussing this in a more mainstream forum is interesting: there are already 600 members in the Bright's forums after two days from the announcement. -----Original Message----- From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org]On Behalf Of J Corbally Sent: lunes, 15 de diciembre de 2003 23:51 To: extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] The Brights Movement's Forums >It will be interesting to see if the very bright founders are modest enough >to pay heed and change it. It's not looking like they will. Can't say that I blame them, I don't think it's that bad a term. Also on the upside, many familiar faces (including myself) are fighting the good fight there are spreadin' those LE memes. Overall, the Brights are seemingly quite "bright" with regards to indefinite lifespans. From spike66 at comcast.net Tue Dec 16 06:37:05 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 22:37:05 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] The end of work, the leisure society, and automation In-Reply-To: <011701c3c393$4ac81020$0200a8c0@etheric> Message-ID: <000001c3c39f$058a6c40$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > > > > ... I really *like* my job. My company is a really cool place to work. > > ...R.Coyote: > > Obviously your not working hard enough! Ja, we have been a fairly well-gruntled lot. (Somehow, the term gruntled doesn't *sound* happy, but I suppose it is, being the opposite of disgruntled.) For the last several weeks, many of us have been eager to get to work each morning to learn of the latest pratfall of our main competitor Booeing. This morning it was a big Korean bribery scandal, Last week it was the their CEO resignation, before that, shady dealing with a pentagon brasshat, and before that industrial espianage on the Europeans. And of course I needn't mention the biggie before that scandal broke, the sordid affair being so well known. This would all be most entertaining except for two things: First, I am a US taxpayer, and second, there has been some very real and very permanent damage done by their dirty dealings, from the corporate level, down thru the managers, the secretaries, the janitors, all the way down to the lowliest engineer. spike From hugh.crowther at esoterica.pt Tue Dec 16 07:55:52 2003 From: hugh.crowther at esoterica.pt (Hugh Crowther) Date: Tue, 16 Dec 2003 07:55:52 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] NEWS: They got him! In-Reply-To: <20031216041439.95130.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: GWB said yesterday that SH was classified as a prisoner of war, so that status determines his legal entitlements. Which (although I'm guessing) are zip, except for the Geneva Convention stuff? > From: Mike Lorrey > Reply-To: ExI chat list > Date: Mon, 15 Dec 2003 20:14:39 -0800 (PST) > To: ExI chat list > Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] NEWS: They got him! > > > --- xllb at rogers.com wrote: >> At what point in the process does Saddam become entitled to legal >> representation, or more specifically a mouth? Who is likely to >> represent him? Is he entitled to represent himself? > > You will have to determine what measures the Iraqis have set up for > their special tribunal. > > Now, I find it really, really, really odd that the French and Germans, > and the lefties here in the US, who whine that the US throws its weight > around and doesn't let indigenous people make their own decisions, are > now pissed that the US government wants the Iraqi people to try Saddam > in their own court system for his crimes against the Iraqi people. > > What is the real issue involved? Of course, it is the death penalty, > which has been part of the Iraqi legal system for over 40 years, long > before Saddam came to power, and which he will theoretically be facing > in an Iraqi tribunal, where he will most certainly be afforded legal > protections that he never afforded any of his own victims. > > I also find it odd that the goverments that are the most protectionist > of their own industries, especially with offering government contracts > only to their own industries, are now ticked off that they won't be > able to compete for American tax dollars in reconstruction contracts. > > On a funnier note, apparently, when the soldiers coaxed him out of his > rat hole in Tikrit, the first thing he said with his hands in the air > was "I am willing to negotiate..." HAHAHAA, classic Saddam..... > > ===== > Mike Lorrey > "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." > - Gen. John Stark > "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." > - Mike Lorrey > Do not label me, I am an ism of one... > Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com > > __________________________________ > Do you Yahoo!? > New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. > http://photos.yahoo.com/ > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Tue Dec 16 08:33:28 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Tue, 16 Dec 2003 03:33:28 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] The end of work, the leisure society, and automation In-Reply-To: <000001c3c39f$058a6c40$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <000601c3c3af$4b177ef0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Spike wrote, > This would all be most entertaining except for two things: > First, I am a US taxpayer, and second, there has been some > very real and very permanent damage done by their dirty > dealings, from the corporate level, down thru the managers, > the secretaries, the janitors, all the way down to the lowliest > engineer. Now you know how I feel when I audit corporations that lie. It is not just an example of the market increasing profits or feeling jealous of the winners. These frauds do a lot of damage and hurt other people. They make their gains at the expense of the company, the workers and the system. Cheating goes beyond competitiveness. It actually destroys value, defrauds the customers (in this case the government), and is criminal behavior. Such activities are the antithesis of the free-market system. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From natasha at natasha.cc Tue Dec 16 15:26:06 2003 From: natasha at natasha.cc (Natasha Vita-More) Date: Tue, 16 Dec 2003 07:26:06 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] I'm published! In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <5.2.0.9.0.20031216072340.054ba460@pop.earthlink.net> At 06:50 PM 12/15/03 -0500, MIKE TREDER wrote: >The January '04 issue of the Futurist magazine -- at newstands now -- >contains a feature article by yours truly. It's titled "Molecular >Nanotech: Benefits and Risks", subtitled "Welcome to the nanofactory ... >Here's a link to the mag's contents... http://www.wfs.org/futcontjf04.htm Congratulations my friend. Well done! Natasha Natasha Vita-More http://www.natasha.cc ---------- President, Extropy Institute http://www.extropy.org Founder, Transhumanist Arts & Culture http://www.transhumanist.biz http://www.transhuman.org -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From rhanson at gmu.edu Tue Dec 16 13:47:59 2003 From: rhanson at gmu.edu (Robin Hanson) Date: Tue, 16 Dec 2003 08:47:59 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] The end of work, the leisure society, and automation In-Reply-To: <000001c3c38d$b45302d0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> References: <5.2.1.1.2.20031215120823.01eec398@mail.gmu.edu> Message-ID: <5.2.1.1.2.20031216084437.01e347f8@mail.gmu.edu> On 12/15/2003 -0800, Spike wrote: > > >... The profitability of a worker goes up > > >as that worker spends more time at the office, > > >for a lot of reasons....Its goooood for you, > > >its good for all of us... > > > > This is a confused description of labor economics... > >Robin, clearly I am no professor of economics. {8-] >This has caused me to ponder on what a job does for >us, and it is far more than just a paycheck. A good >9 to 5 provides us with a social network, contact >with interesting people, ... We *need* to work at >something. ... I really *like* my job. ... I don't disagree with this. And in the spirit of the season let us think for a moment of the many people who don't have jobs they love - they really are poor. Robin Hanson rhanson at gmu.edu http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-4444 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323 From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 16 15:24:36 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 16 Dec 2003 07:24:36 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] NEWS: They got him! In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031216152436.26749.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> This isn't quite accurate. Don Rumsfeld said Saddam was a prisoner of war. The war in Iraq is over, so anyone in custody to date is so because of Geneva Conventions violations AND/OR crimes against humanity, which are not simply GC issues. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Tue Dec 16 22:07:45 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Wed, 17 Dec 2003 09:07:45 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] [Exi-chat] Researchers Create Human Clone Embryo Message-ID: <010901c3c421$0bc79560$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Just FYI ---- "Boston Researchers Create Human Clone Embryo For Therapuetic Use, WIRED Magazine Reports NEW YORK, Dec. 16 /PRNewswire/ -- Researchers at a small Boston area biotech company have created the most developed human clone embryo yet. The cloned embryo grew to at least 16 cells, a stage of development where it becomes useful for stem cell research, WIRED magazine reports in its January issue. The magazine will be on newsstands on Tuesday, December 23, and is online now at www.wired.com ." ---- From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 16 22:46:17 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 16 Dec 2003 14:46:17 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] [Exi-chat] Researchers Create Human Clone Embryo In-Reply-To: <010901c3c421$0bc79560$11262dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: <20031216224617.59279.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> --- Brett Paatsch wrote: > Just FYI > ---- > "Boston Researchers Create Human Clone Embryo For Therapuetic Use, > WIRED Magazine Reports > > NEW YORK, Dec. 16 /PRNewswire/ -- Researchers at a small Boston > area biotech company have created the most developed human clone > embryo yet. The cloned embryo grew to at least 16 cells, a stage of > development where it becomes useful for stem cell research, WIRED > magazine reports in its January issue. The magazine will be on > newsstands on Tuesday, December 23, and is online now at > www.wired.com ." As I predicted, government bans on government funded research won't prevent it from happening. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Tue Dec 16 23:34:40 2003 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (Kevin Freels) Date: Tue, 16 Dec 2003 17:34:40 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] [Exi-chat] Researchers Create Human Clone Embryo References: <20031216224617.59279.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: This is sure to outrage the religious right! ----- Original Message ----- From: "Mike Lorrey" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Tuesday, December 16, 2003 4:46 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] [Exi-chat] Researchers Create Human Clone Embryo > > --- Brett Paatsch wrote: > > Just FYI > > ---- > > "Boston Researchers Create Human Clone Embryo For Therapuetic Use, > > WIRED Magazine Reports > > > > NEW YORK, Dec. 16 /PRNewswire/ -- Researchers at a small Boston > > area biotech company have created the most developed human clone > > embryo yet. The cloned embryo grew to at least 16 cells, a stage of > > development where it becomes useful for stem cell research, WIRED > > magazine reports in its January issue. The magazine will be on > > newsstands on Tuesday, December 23, and is online now at > > www.wired.com ." > > As I predicted, government bans on government funded research won't > prevent it from happening. > > ===== > Mike Lorrey > "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." > - Gen. John Stark > "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." > - Mike Lorrey > Do not label me, I am an ism of one... > Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com > > __________________________________ > Do you Yahoo!? > New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. > http://photos.yahoo.com/ > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From bradbury at aeiveos.com Wed Dec 17 00:14:15 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Tue, 16 Dec 2003 16:14:15 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] ASTRO: missing dark energy... Message-ID: Science Daily is commenting on how new results from the XMM-Newton suggest there may not be as much Dark Energy in the Universe as astronomers would currently like there to be... (ooops...). Has European Space Agency's XMM-Newton Cast Doubt Over Dark Energy? http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2003/12/031216075428.htm (Wasn't it so much easier when the answer was green cheese???) R. From reason at exratio.com Wed Dec 17 06:29:17 2003 From: reason at exratio.com (Reason) Date: Tue, 16 Dec 2003 22:29:17 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] [Exi-chat] Researchers Create Human Clone Embryo In-Reply-To: <20031216224617.59279.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: > -----Original Message----- > From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org > [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org]On Behalf Of Mike Lorrey > Sent: Tuesday, December 16, 2003 2:46 PM > To: ExI chat list > Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] [Exi-chat] Researchers Create Human Clone > Embryo > > --- Brett Paatsch wrote: > > Just FYI > > ---- > > "Boston Researchers Create Human Clone Embryo For Therapuetic Use, > > WIRED Magazine Reports > > > > NEW YORK, Dec. 16 /PRNewswire/ -- Researchers at a small Boston > > area biotech company have created the most developed human clone > > embryo yet. The cloned embryo grew to at least 16 cells, a stage of > > development where it becomes useful for stem cell research, WIRED > > magazine reports in its January issue. The magazine will be on > > newsstands on Tuesday, December 23, and is online now at > > www.wired.com ." > > As I predicted, government bans on government funded research won't > prevent it from happening. That hasn't been the major issue; the issue is that the (very real) threat of legislation banning all such research is scaring off venture and philanthropic funding. There's an example of that in the article; ACT had a round of funding evaporate for precisely this reason. Reason http://www.exratio.com From jose_cordeiro at yahoo.com Wed Dec 17 18:30:40 2003 From: jose_cordeiro at yahoo.com (Jose Cordeiro) Date: Wed, 17 Dec 2003 10:30:40 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Ray Kurzweil in World Future Society 2004 Washington Conference Message-ID: <20031217183040.92613.qmail@web41312.mail.yahoo.com> RAY KURZWEIL TO SPEAK AT WORLDFUTURE 2004 Visionary inventor and author Ray Kurzweil will lend his insights at the Society's annual meeting in Washington, D.C., this summer, along with some 100 other speakers confirmed so far. Kurzweil is scheduled to speak at the opening plenary session and at a special event the following evening. "WorldFuture 2004: Creating the Future Now!" will be held July 31 through August 2 at the Grand Hyatt Washington; the Professional Members' Forum follows on August 3. DETAILS: http://www.wfs.org/2004main.htm La vie est belle! Yos? (www.cordeiro.org) Caracas, Venezuela, Americas, TerraNostra --------------------------------- Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From thespike at earthlink.net Wed Dec 17 20:13:35 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Wed, 17 Dec 2003 14:13:35 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] a frightfully difficult sacred problem References: Message-ID: <004801c3c4da$43896be0$bf994a43@texas.net> While all those ethicists are struggling with the terrible torment of stem cells from embryos, spare a thought for the agonies of Iraqi clerics: http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2003/12/17/1071337033787.html A bloody Koran has the Muslim faithful in turmoil December 18, 2003 Paul McGeough reports from Baghdad. [...] there is something grotesque about the burnished brown ink in the calligrapher's exquisite text - it is the blood of Saddam Hussein. [...] this is no ordinary publication - it is the holy Koran, the word of Allah as dictated to the Prophet. [...] Ironically, much of Iraq's treasured literary and spiritual manuscripts and the archives of a turbulent 7000-year history were reduced to smouldering ash when the National Library was torched back in April. Scholars weep at the loss, but now a committee of 25 Muslim thinkers has been appointed to decide if this lonely survivor should also have gone on the bonfire. Their task is not easy because of an appalling contradiction - for Muslims, it is heretical to render the Koran in blood, an impurity that should be washed away. On the other hand, the Koran defines absolutely their religious beliefs and culture - it cannot be destroyed. [etc] From reason at exratio.com Wed Dec 17 22:20:49 2003 From: reason at exratio.com (Reason) Date: Wed, 17 Dec 2003 14:20:49 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Methuselah Mouse fund Hits $40k Message-ID: The Methuselah Mouse Prize fund has passed $40,000, I'm happy to report. http://www.methuselahmouse.org For those who haven't been following, it has garnered some important donors and endorsements in recent weeks, including $1000 from both Ray Kurzweil and William Haseltine (CEO of Human Genome Sciences). The latest challenge grant is almost matched completely, so now would be a good time to finishing it off by making a donation if you haven't already, or offering contributions to a new challenge grant for 2004. Reason http://www.exratio.com From wingcat at pacbell.net Thu Dec 18 00:31:19 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Wed, 17 Dec 2003 16:31:19 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] a frightfully difficult sacred problem In-Reply-To: <004801c3c4da$43896be0$bf994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <20031218003119.77345.qmail@web80410.mail.yahoo.com> --- Damien Broderick wrote: > Their task is not easy because of an appalling > contradiction - for Muslims, > it is heretical to render the Koran in blood, an > impurity that should be > washed away. On the other hand, the Koran defines > absolutely their religious > beliefs and culture - it cannot be destroyed. Pfft. *The* Koran, yes. *A* Koran, no. To take a quasi-secular equivalent, the USA has rules about when and where one of its flags may be "respectfully" destroyed, but it does allow instances of this sacred-equivalent object to be destroyed when necessary. I could cite similar examples from various religions. Now, if this were the last remaining Koran in existance, that might be another story - and hopefully serve as a lesson about backing up one's content. But there are other copies, and apparently this instance isn't even 15 years old. To say it is beyond destruction just because it's a copy of a religious text, written in ways that everyone agrees was sacreligious to said religion anyway, is just another example of the sad state that results when people confuse the embodiment of ideals for the ideals themselves. (Even certain religious *try* to address this; witness a certain recent Ten Commandments issue, which ignored one of said commandments.) From thespike at earthlink.net Thu Dec 18 00:46:13 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Wed, 17 Dec 2003 18:46:13 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] a frightfully difficult sacred problem References: <20031218003119.77345.qmail@web80410.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <00ef01c3c500$57e80080$bf994a43@texas.net> > just another example of the sad state Well, yes. From oregan.emlyn at healthsolve.com.au Thu Dec 18 01:47:01 2003 From: oregan.emlyn at healthsolve.com.au (Emlyn O'regan) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 12:17:01 +1030 Subject: [extropy-chat] a frightfully difficult sacred problem Message-ID: <7A2B25F8EB070940996FA543A70A217B017868ED@adlexsv02.protech.com.au> Idle musing... what would the official position be on a gene modified critter which had the full text of the Koran encoded into its DNA? Would it be sacriligeous to destroy it? Whoops, a bit of googling shows this is not an original idea... http://members.ozemail.com.au/~claw/noframe/written.htm Emlyn -----Original Message----- From: Damien Broderick To: ExI chat list Sent: 18/12/2003 11:16 AM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] a frightfully difficult sacred problem > just another example of the sad state Well, yes. _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From gpmap at runbox.com Thu Dec 18 07:16:36 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 08:16:36 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Mathematics could stabilize peace treaties Message-ID: Game theory might help draw up war settlements, from Nature: A political scientist at the Santa Fe Institute in New Mexico has devised a mathematical method that could help civil-war negotiators to find the most stable peace treaties. Elisabeth Wood calculates that a settlement will be stronger and more likely to last if it finds the ideal way to apportion the stakes. For example, if two warring factions each want control of some part of a disputed region, negotiators need to divide the territory in a way that comes closest to satisfying them both. This doesn't guarantee that neither party will fight on in the hope of gaining more. But it may lead them to decide that further fighting will not substantially improve the eventual outcome. Wood hopes that her technique could provide a general framework for resolving civil conflicts over power, land or other resources fairly and transparently. At present, dispute is addressed ad hoc. She reckons that her mathematical model offers a way to make progress even if the stakes of the conflict are less obviously divisible. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From bjk at imminst.org Thu Dec 18 09:26:32 2003 From: bjk at imminst.org (Bruce J. Klein) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 03:26:32 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Martin Reese - ImmInst Interview Message-ID: <3FE172C8.6050406@imminst.org> - Martin Reese - ImmInst.org Interview Author of "Our Final Hour", Professor of Astronomy and Cosmology and (from 2004) Master of Trinity College at the University of Cambridge, Martin Reese answers questions about the prospect of physical immortality. http://imminst.org/forum/index.php?act=ST&f=67&t=2699&hl=&s= Sadly, Martin is not an immortalist. - Bruce Klein* * From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Thu Dec 18 14:06:49 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 09:06:49 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Mathematics could stabilize peace treaties In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <005a01c3c570$2e0f9cd0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Giu1i0 Pri5c0 wrote, > Game theory might help draw up war settlements, from Nature: A political > scientist at the Santa Fe Institute in New Mexico has devised a > mathematical method that could help civil-war negotiators to find the > most stable peace treaties. Very interesting stuff, Giu1i0! Keep 'em coming! (How do you pronounce "Giu1i0 Pri5c0" anyway?) Great as this seems to be, I am not sure warring factions will listen to reason. They never seem to, so even improved reason may not help. I perceive the following problems that this solution does not address. 1. Even the author admits that most people fight because they perceive the opposing side as unwilling to stop. This mathematical theory does not solve that problem. 2. It also calculates the best possible outcome for stopping now. But what if the fighters still believe they can get more by continuing the fight? Most war supporters seem to think right makes might, and that their side will eventually win. Why would they want to stop now and negotiate a compromise when they can keep fighting and get more spoils later? 3. Many wars, such as in the Middle East, are based on religion. This theory is not very applicable in religious disputes where any compromise or apportionment is deemed unacceptable. For example, will either side in Jerusalem allow some percentage of their holy sites to be blasphemed by a false religion? If not, then an apportionment will not work. To such religion fanatics, only 100% is not an affront to their religious beliefs. Or in this country, will pro-lifers agree to a compromise where abortions are reduced by 50%? Probably not. To them every abortion is a murder, and even one is not acceptable. This sounds like a wonder advance in game theory or apportionment mathematics. But it is a bit of a stretch to apply it to the monkey psychology of war. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From fauxever at sprynet.com Thu Dec 18 15:12:57 2003 From: fauxever at sprynet.com (Olga Bourlin) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 07:12:57 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Extended Weapons of Math Instruction Message-ID: <007801c3c579$6ba18cd0$6400a8c0@brainiac> I ordinarily don't forward such things to this list, but it's time for a little levity. Also, this will delight all of you persnickity (or is it "pernickity"?) wordsmiths. Ta ta, Olga MATH At New York's Kennedy Airport the other day, an individual later discovered to be a public school teacher was arrested trying to board a flight while in possession of a ruler, a protractor, a setsquare, a slide rule, and a calculator. At a morning press conference, Attorney general John Ashcroft said he believes the man is a member of the notorious al-gebra movement. He is being charged by the FBI with carrying weapons of math instruction. "Al-gebra is a fearsome cult," Ashcroft said. "They desire average solutions by means and extremes, and sometimes go off on tangents in a search of absolute value. They use secret code names like "x"and "y" and refer to themselves as "unknowns", but we have determined they belong to a common denominator of the axis of medieval with coordinates in every country. "As the Greek philanderer Isosceles used to say, there are 3 sides to every triangle," Ashcroft declared. When asked to comment on the arrest, President Bush said, "If God had wanted us to have better weapons of math instruction, He would have given us more fingers and toes. "I am gratified that our government has given us a sine that it is intent on protracting us from these math-dogs who are willing to disintegrate us with calculus disregard. Murky statisticians love to inflict plane on every sphere of influence," the President said, adding: "Under the circumferences, we must differentiate their root, make our point,and draw the line." President Bush warned, "These weapons of math instruction have the potential to decimal everything in their math on a scalene never before seen unless we become exponents of a Higher Power and begin to factor-in random facts of vertex." Attorney General Ashcroft said, "As our Great Leader would say, read my ellipse. Here is one principle he is uncertainty of: though they continue to multiply, their days are numbered as the hypotenuse tightens around their necks." -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From mlorrey at yahoo.com Thu Dec 18 17:37:59 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 09:37:59 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] TECH: Force field open air displays Message-ID: <20031218173759.18945.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> http://www.nytimes.com/2003/12/18/technology/circuits/18disp.html?th This new technology of creating finger manipulable open air displays seems to depend on ionization to alter the optical properties of air, such that a sheet of blown ionized air will act as a projection screen. The screen can also offer 'touch screen' image control capabilities, I suppose through some mechanism similar to the electrostatic field used in the theramin musical instrument. The Future is here! ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From samantha at objectent.com Thu Dec 18 20:46:59 2003 From: samantha at objectent.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 12:46:59 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] ASTRO: missing dark energy... In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <20031218124659.234673fb.samantha@objectent.com> Hmmm. Any chance dark matter/energy is something artificial created by and inhabited by those missing post-Singularity civilizations? It is a far-fetched explanation of why there appears to be less of it in the young universe. - s On Tue, 16 Dec 2003 16:14:15 -0800 (PST) "Robert J. Bradbury" wrote: > > Science Daily is commenting on how new results from the > XMM-Newton suggest there may not be as much Dark Energy > in the Universe as astronomers would currently like there > to be... (ooops...). > > Has European Space Agency's XMM-Newton Cast Doubt Over Dark Energy? > http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2003/12/031216075428.htm > > (Wasn't it so much easier when the answer was green cheese???) > > R. > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From jose_cordeiro at yahoo.com Thu Dec 18 21:47:32 2003 From: jose_cordeiro at yahoo.com (Jose Cordeiro) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 13:47:32 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Any extropians in Miami? Message-ID: <20031218214732.92508.qmail@web41311.mail.yahoo.com> Dear friends, I will be in Miami next December 22nd and 23rd. Are there any extropians in Miami to meet? Chris Phoenix (yes, the same person from the Center for Responsible Nanotechnology with Mike Treder:-) and I will have breakfast on the 23rd. Is there any other Miami extropian available for lunch that day? Please, answer in private to: jose_cordeiro at yahoo.com Extropianily yours, La vie est belle! Yos? (www.cordeiro.org) Caracas, Venezuela, Americas, TerraNostra --------------------------------- Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From jose_cordeiro at yahoo.com Thu Dec 18 22:26:43 2003 From: jose_cordeiro at yahoo.com (Jose Cordeiro) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 14:26:43 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] SONY makes first humanoid running robot: QRIO Message-ID: <20031218222643.89019.qmail@web41307.mail.yahoo.com> http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&cid=581&e=2&u=/nm/20031218/tc_nm/tech_sony_robot_dc Sony Unveils World's First 'Running' Humanoid Robot Thu Dec 18,12:20 PM ET Add Technology - Reuters to My Yahoo! By Edwina Gibbs TOKYO (Reuters) - He may not be able to give you a run for your money but one quick step for Sony Corp (NYSE:SNE - news) (news - web sites).'s Qrio humanoid robot is one big step for robots in general. Reuters Photo AP Photo Slideshow: Sony Unveils Running Robot Related Quotes SNE DJIA NASDAQ ^SPC 33.75 10248.08 1956.18 1089.18 +0.40 +102.82 +34.85 +12.69 [input] [input] [input] delayed 20 mins - disclaimer Quote Data provided by ReutersRelated Links?QRIO Robot (Sony) Missed Tech Tuesday? Get great gifts under $100 for your gadget lover, plus high-dollar tech toys and the best computer games. Electronics and entertainment giant Sony said on Thursday that it had developed the world's first running -- okay, jogging -- robot. "All around the world, universities and think tanks have been researching how to make robots run but we are pleased to announce that we have done it first," Toshi Doi, an executive vice president at Sony told a news conference. The sleek and diminutive Qrio, which until recently had been known as Sony's SDR robot entertaining crowds with fluid and funky dance motions, can now trot at a speed of 15 yards per minute. If 23-inch, 15-pound Qrio were average human-size, that would translate into 1.5 miles an hour. The big technological breakthrough, says Sony, was in getting both the robot's feet to lose contact with the ground at once. Up until now humanoid or two-legged robots have needed to have one foot on the floor to move stably. "The hardest part was theoretical. Humanoid robots like Sony's older Qrios and Honda's Asimo have been based on a theory which dictates that there must be contact with the floor. We had to develop a new theory," said Doi. Other enhancements for the latest version of Qrio include more advanced finger control that allows him, swiveling like a baseball pitcher, to throw a light ball some three to four yards, and hold fans while dancing. Sony's robot developers admit however that Qrio's running prowess has some way to go. Its running distance is still short and it is not yet ready to join older models that entertain at Sony's promotional events because the technology that allows those models to get up when they fall needs to be enhanced for the new Qrio. The next challenge, said Doi, is to make Qrio's running motion less jogging-like and more like an athlete's. At the moment, Qrio's time with both feet off the ground is only 40 milliseconds, compared with around one second managed by athletes, he said. Sony, which also makes the Aibo (news - web sites) robot dog, a sell-out success when it debuted in 1999, said it still doesn't have a timetable for commercializing Qrio, whose name is short for "quest for curiosity." And Doi admits a running Qrio is not necessarily a helpful product. "It's not useful. Sony doesn't make useful robots. Sony makes robots that entertain," he said. La vie est belle! Yos? (www.cordeiro.org) Caracas, Venezuela, Americas, TerraNostra --------------------------------- Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From aperick at centurytel.net Thu Dec 18 23:00:19 2003 From: aperick at centurytel.net (aperick at centurytel.net) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 15:00:19 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] World population in the year 2300 In-Reply-To: <200312130747.hBD7lxH01396@tick.javien.com> Message-ID: <4715119.1071788704320.JavaMail.teamon@b111.teamon.com> Kevin Freels wrote: >I was just running some numbers. Feel free to correct me if I did it wrong. If the world population is will be 9 billion and we put everyone in the state of Texas (268,601 square miles), everyone would have 832 square feet to themselves. Am I missing something here? Where's the crisis? /> Ooooo, fun with numbers. But why assume the continued existence of Homo sapiens three hundred years from now? Such an idea seems soooo provincial. All one needs is a splash of optimism, a measure of creativity and an overdose of foresight to generate much juicier numbers. After uploading eight billion brains, the open pit copper mine in Utah (Kennecott's Bingham Canyon Mine) is just the right size to neatly accommodate the resulting mass of useless human flesh. And, if each man rubbed one out as a farewell to reality their combined "product" could fill a cube measuring sixty feet on each edge. If the last burning man festival could be held in Antarctica (and be renamed melting man) I should like to hereby call dibs on the aforementioned jiz - I have an "ice" sculpture in mind: a pair of life-sized whales perhaps (guess what species). But what to call it? Maybe Onan's revenge? Or just the equally obvious "all that jiz"? From mlorrey at yahoo.com Thu Dec 18 23:42:34 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 15:42:34 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] World population in the year 2300 In-Reply-To: <4715119.1071788704320.JavaMail.teamon@b111.teamon.com> Message-ID: <20031218234234.59291.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> --- aperick at centurytel.net wrote: > Kevin Freels wrote: > >I was just running some numbers. Feel free to correct me if I did it > wrong. If the world population is will be 9 billion and we put > everyone in the state of Texas (268,601 square miles), everyone > would have 832 square feet to themselves. Am I missing something > here? Where's the crisis? > /> > > Ooooo, fun with numbers. But why assume the continued existence of > Homo sapiens three hundred years from now? If everyone is living in Texas, then it will be homo texasiens. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Thu Dec 18 23:43:24 2003 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (Kevin Freels) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 17:43:24 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] World population in the year 2300 References: <4715119.1071788704320.JavaMail.teamon@b111.teamon.com> Message-ID: lol! You just crack me up! But why did you stop? If we all uploaded to a quantum computer we could all exist with infinite processing capability in a single atom. ----- Original Message ----- From: To: Sent: Thursday, December 18, 2003 5:00 PM Subject: [extropy-chat] World population in the year 2300 > Kevin Freels wrote: > >I was just running some numbers. Feel free to correct me if I did it wrong. > If the world population is will be 9 billion and we put everyone in the > state of Texas (268,601 square miles), everyone would have 832 square feet > to themselves. Am I missing something here? Where's the crisis? > /> > > Ooooo, fun with numbers. But why assume the continued existence of Homo > sapiens three hundred years from now? Such an idea seems soooo provincial. > All one needs is a splash of optimism, a measure of creativity and an > overdose of foresight to generate much juicier numbers. After uploading > eight billion brains, the open pit copper mine in Utah (Kennecott's Bingham > Canyon Mine) is just the right size to neatly accommodate the resulting mass > of useless human flesh. And, if each man rubbed one out as a farewell to > reality their combined "product" could fill a cube measuring sixty feet on > each edge. If the last burning man festival could be held in Antarctica (and > be renamed melting man) I should like to hereby call dibs on the > aforementioned jiz - I have an "ice" sculpture in mind: a pair of life-sized > whales perhaps (guess what species). But what to call it? Maybe Onan's > revenge? Or just the equally obvious "all that jiz"? > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Fri Dec 19 02:08:25 2003 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (Kevin Freels) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 20:08:25 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] World population in the year 2300 References: <20031218234234.59291.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: Hey buddy! Whoose yoos a'callin' "homo"? ----- Original Message ----- From: "Mike Lorrey" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Thursday, December 18, 2003 5:42 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] World population in the year 2300 > > --- aperick at centurytel.net wrote: > > Kevin Freels wrote: > > >I was just running some numbers. Feel free to correct me if I did it > > wrong. If the world population is will be 9 billion and we put > > everyone in the state of Texas (268,601 square miles), everyone > > would have 832 square feet to themselves. Am I missing something > > here? Where's the crisis? > > /> > > > > Ooooo, fun with numbers. But why assume the continued existence of > > Homo sapiens three hundred years from now? > > If everyone is living in Texas, then it will be homo texasiens. > > ===== > Mike Lorrey > "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." > - Gen. John Stark > "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." > - Mike Lorrey > Do not label me, I am an ism of one... > Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com > > __________________________________ > Do you Yahoo!? > New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. > http://photos.yahoo.com/ > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From spike66 at comcast.net Fri Dec 19 04:45:25 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 20:45:25 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] World population in the year 2300 In-Reply-To: <4715119.1071788704320.JavaMail.teamon@b111.teamon.com> Message-ID: <002c01c3c5ea$ebada230$6501a8c0@SHELLY> >I have an "ice" sculpture in mind: a pair of life-sized > whales perhaps (guess what species). But what to call it? Maybe Onan's > revenge? Or just the equally obvious "all that jiz"?... and ...Hey Onan! Are you a specialist, or are you more of a jack-off-all-trades? spike From gpmap at runbox.com Fri Dec 19 04:56:11 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 05:56:11 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] The unselfish gene Message-ID: >From the Guardian Unlimited: The origin of altruism goes to the heart of the gene/culture debate that was launched in 1975 with the publication of EO Wilson's Sociobiology and, a year later, Richard Dawkins's The Selfish Gene. Sociobiology claims that human nature - and by extension human society - is rooted in our genes: we are, according to Dawkins, "lumbering robots" created "body and mind" by selfish genes. At the same time kindness and cooperation underpin much of human society. >From the Kyoto agreement to arms controls or the state of public toilets, they all depend on individual willingness to commit resources to a common good. But no one has come up with a satisfactory evolutionary explanation of why we do it. In a recent Nature paper, Ernst Fehr and Urs Fischbacher of the University of Zurich claim that the key to promote what they call strong reciprocity is rewarding generosity with kindness but punishing cheaters, even at the expense of the punisher. Strong reciprocity promotes kindness and discourages cheats, but is it a product of our genes or in our culture? It can't be entirely genetic, since different human societies (with very similar genes) vary greatly in their tolerance of cheating. Fehr and Fischbacher argue for gene-culture co-evolution: cultural and institutional environments promote social norms that favour the selection of genes that promote cooperati! on. Making strong reciprocity work at both a local level (discouraging anti-social behaviour) and international level (persuading the Americans to sign the Kyoto agreement) would be beneficial to society and the world. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From gpmap at runbox.com Fri Dec 19 04:57:15 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 05:57:15 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Fighting Cancer With The Common Cold? Message-ID: >From Slashdot: After 30 years of work, Saint Louis University researchers have genetically engineered a common cold virus to fight cancerous cells while leaving unaffected healthy ones. They received a patent for this research and clinical tests on humans will start soon, according to this news release. Dr. William Wold, chair of the department of molecular microbiology and immunology, received a patent for his work. Preclinical testing has already been done so clinical trials should start soon. We can only hope they will be successful. This overview contains many more details and references about this potential cure for all kinds of cancer. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From gpmap at runbox.com Fri Dec 19 04:58:06 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 05:58:06 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] SETI@Home Expanding Goals With Sun's Help Message-ID: >From Slashdot: The Register is reporting that the SETI at home project is going to be expanding the scope of their project with the help of Sun. Sun is donating a fleet of servers to the SETI at home project for use in its new BOINC (Berkeley Open Infrastructure for Network Computing) project. This project will use Sun's new JXTA peer-to-peer protocol for distributed computing, and will add other functions to the project other than looking for little green men. Users will now be able to dedicate slices of their idle time to projects other than SETI, like cancer research and climate mapping. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From gpmap at runbox.com Fri Dec 19 04:58:59 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 05:58:59 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Cable Science Network Message-ID: Imagine turning on your television - any time of day or night - and watching a heated debate about the impact of science on your life, from stem-cell research and cloning to the use of genetically modified organisms (GMOs) in your food; from the biology of violence to the chemistry of addiction; from the puzzles of depression to the latest breakthroughs on aging; from the evolution of morality to the complexities of consciousness; from the exploration of space to the discovery of life beyond Earth. The Cable Science Network follows the model of C-SPAN: live, unedited, balanced access to the major forums where public policy is discussed. Production values are largely irrelevant. What counts is simple, unvarnished information. In the same way, the CSN can encourage, and enlarge, the national conversation about science. The CSN has been recently covered by Wired and Slashdot: it would be wonderful to have things like talks and plenary sessions accessible to the public. There are a lot of C-SPAN junkies, and I think there would be a similar interest (in science TV) from the American public. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From mlorrey at yahoo.com Fri Dec 19 05:25:40 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 21:25:40 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] World population in the year 2300 In-Reply-To: <002c01c3c5ea$ebada230$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031219052540.20778.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> --- Spike wrote: > >I have an "ice" sculpture in mind: a pair of life-sized > > whales perhaps (guess what species). But what to call it? Maybe > Onan's > > revenge? Or just the equally obvious "all that jiz"?... > > and > > ...Hey Onan! Are you a specialist, or are you more of a > jack-off-all-trades? Onan is an arborean... he does it in the trees. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Fri Dec 19 06:00:12 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 22:00:12 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Paul Allen to be fourth Space Power Message-ID: <20031219060012.3114.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> http://www.scaled.com/projects/tierone/New_Index/news/Paul%20G%20%20Allen%20and%20SpaceShipOne.pdf This release from Scaled Composites confirms rumors that Microsoft co-founder Paul Allen is the financial backer of the SpaceShipOne project. If Scaled succeeds in winning the x-prize, this will make Paul Allen the fourth economic power in the world to gain independent manned space launch capability. IMHO this absolves Microsoft of all, or maybe just most, of all the evil things it has done... ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From etheric at comcast.net Fri Dec 19 06:49:36 2003 From: etheric at comcast.net (R.Coyote) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 22:49:36 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Influenza tip: Coconut Oil, heads up References: Message-ID: <001501c3c5fc$44d4c0d0$0200a8c0@etheric> Hey all Im using raw coconut oil (Lauric acid ..) as well as your typical things (vitamin C ...) to beat this Flu. check out the info you can find on google : Influenza "lauric acid" "lipid coated" All the best From spike66 at comcast.net Fri Dec 19 07:36:25 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Thu, 18 Dec 2003 23:36:25 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Paul Allen to be fourth Space Power In-Reply-To: <20031219060012.3114.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <003b01c3c602$cec53210$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > ...If Scaled succeeds in winning the x-prize, this will make Paul > Allen the fourth economic power in the world to gain > independent manned space launch capability. IMHO this absolves Microsoft of all, or maybe > just most, of all the evil things it has done... > > ===== > Mike Lorrey But only if they manage to win the prize. {8-] spike From bradbury at aeiveos.com Fri Dec 19 13:24:19 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 05:24:19 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] ASTRO: Spitzer/SIRTF images released Message-ID: NASA has released the first set of images from the Spitzer Space Telescope (formerly SIRTF), the 4th of the great observatories. And you folks are in for a treat... http://www.spitzer.caltech.edu/ esp. http://www.spitzer.caltech.edu/Media/mediaimages/data.shtml It is worth keeping in mind, particularly as the image of Comet Schwassmann-Wachmann 1 picked up a couple of asteroids by accident, that SIRTF may be the best shot we currently have at seeing a Jupiter Brain or Matrioshka Brain. Am I an optimist or what??? Robert From scerir at libero.it Fri Dec 19 14:12:55 2003 From: scerir at libero.it (scerir) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 15:12:55 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] time, age References: <001501c3c5fc$44d4c0d0$0200a8c0@etheric> Message-ID: <001501c3c63a$33078700$e5b41b97@administxl09yj> Someone wrote about biological ageing and physical time(s) http://www.phys.uu.nl/~wwwgrnsl/jos/publications/aging.htm The arguments (above) seem, perhaps, interesting, but there are still, in this III millennium, many problems in defining a more proper 'time', at the quantum level http://philsci-archive.pitt.edu/archive/00000368/ http://math.ucr.edu/home/baez/uncertainty.html http://www.damtp.cam.ac.uk/user/jono/thesis.html http://www.arxiv.org/abs/quant-ph/9906030 http://www.arxiv.org/abs/quant-ph/0110004 http://www.arxiv.org/abs/quant-ph/0211047 http://ilja-schmelzer.de/GET/timeIsham.html "Another claim which frequently appears in the literature is the following: If dt is the duration of the measurement of an energy, the result is uncertain by DE >/= 1/2 hbar/dt. This claim is absurd. It is analogous to saying that if we measure a momentum with an apparatus of size dx, the momentum uncertainty is Dp >/= 1/2 hbar/dx. This is manifestly wrong: a mundane radio receiver whose size is only a few centimeters can determine the wavelength of a radio station with an accuracy Dlambda/lambda << 1. In other words, it measures the momentum of the photons emitted by that station with an accuracy Dp << hbar/lambda << hbar/dx. Still another claim [....] is that the time (registered by a clock) at which an energy is measured with an accuracy DE, is uncertain by at least hbar/DE. This already sounds better, because we have defined a clock-time operator T_c, and we can therefore investigate the possible existence of an uncertainty relation between DT_c and DH. However there is no reason to expect that there actually is such an uncertainty relation, because the operator T_c refers to the clock, and the operator H to the observed system. These two operators commute, and quantum theory allows us, in principle, to measure both of them simultaneously with arbitrary accuracy. [short snip] These issues were not understood in the early days of quantum theory. It is only at much later stage that they were throughly analyzed by Aharonov and Bohm, who came to the conclusion that ." - Asher Peres, 'Quantum Theory: Concepts and Methods', Kluwer, Academic P., 1998, page 414-etc. From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Fri Dec 19 15:45:11 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 10:45:11 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Paul Allen to be fourth Space Power In-Reply-To: <20031219060012.3114.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <000e01c3c647$19c64df0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Mike Lorrey wrote, > This release from Scaled Composites confirms rumors that > Microsoft co-founder Paul Allen is the financial backer of > the SpaceShipOne project. If Scaled succeeds in winning the > x-prize, this will make Paul Allen the fourth economic power > in the world to gain independent manned space launch > capability. IMHO this absolves Microsoft of all, or maybe > just most, of all the evil things it has done... I hope it crashes less than Windows.... :-) But seriously, I told my partner about the SpaceShipOne project. He thought it sounded exciting. He said he regretted not being younger and having a healthy ticker so he could actually become involved with something like this. This was the first interest he has shown in anything extropian I have been interested in. This is real pioneering in his mind. He has little interest in cryonics, immortality, uploading, AIs, etc. But getting into space by private citizens (non-government) sounded interesting and plausible to him. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From maxm at mail.tele.dk Fri Dec 19 15:49:40 2003 From: maxm at mail.tele.dk (Max M) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 16:49:40 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Influenza tip: Coconut Oil, heads up In-Reply-To: <001501c3c5fc$44d4c0d0$0200a8c0@etheric> References: <001501c3c5fc$44d4c0d0$0200a8c0@etheric> Message-ID: <3FE31E14.5050700@mail.tele.dk> R.Coyote wrote: > Im using raw coconut oil (Lauric acid ..) as well as your typical things > (vitamin C ...) to beat this Flu. I am doing something similar... Lot's of coconut oil, anti oxidants and a little alcohol. All good stuff. http://cocktails.about.com/library/recipes/blpinacolada.htm Frankly I don't know if the flu gets any better, and I no longer care. ;-) regards Max M Rasmussen, Denmark From natashavita at earthlink.net Fri Dec 19 16:03:11 2003 From: natashavita at earthlink.net (natashavita at earthlink.net) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 11:03:11 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Influenza tip: Coconut Oil, heads up Message-ID: <4910-220031251916311100@M2W052.mail2web.com> From: Max M maxm at mail.tele.dk >I am doing something similar... Lot's of coconut oil, anti oxidants and >a little alcohol. All good stuff. My father use to give us a shot of whisky with a freshly squeesed lemon and a tablespoon of honey. All good stuff. :-) Natasha -------------------------------------------------------------------- mail2web - Check your email from the web at http://mail2web.com/ . From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Fri Dec 19 16:02:52 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 11:02:52 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] ASTRO: Spitzer/SIRTF images released In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <001101c3c649$919f3bf0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Robert J. Bradbury wrote, > It is worth keeping in mind, particularly as the image of > Comet Schwassmann-Wachmann 1 picked up a couple of asteroids > by accident, that SIRTF may be the best shot we currently > have at seeing a Jupiter Brain or Matrioshka Brain. > > Am I an optimist or what??? What??? I mean, yes! :-) Asteroids are easy to detect in our solar system because they are so close. The fact that SIRTF sees asteroids doesn't indicate any great feat. Amateur photographers used to detect these with backyard cameras. The real question is whether SIRTF can see Jupiter-sized objects around other stars. The answer from is that SIRTF cannot. SIRTF can see objects as small as "super-planets", which they define as bigger than 100 Jupiters. So it seems that it would be impossible for SIRTF to see a Jupiter brain. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From mlorrey at yahoo.com Fri Dec 19 17:16:26 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 09:16:26 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Paul Allen to be fourth Space Power In-Reply-To: <000e01c3c647$19c64df0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <20031219171626.50422.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> --- Harvey Newstrom wrote: > Mike Lorrey wrote, > > This release from Scaled Composites confirms rumors that > > Microsoft co-founder Paul Allen is the financial backer of > > the SpaceShipOne project. If Scaled succeeds in winning the > > x-prize, this will make Paul Allen the fourth economic power > > in the world to gain independent manned space launch > > capability. IMHO this absolves Microsoft of all, or maybe > > just most, of all the evil things it has done... > > I hope it crashes less than Windows.... :-) Good one. In fact, as of the 17th, SpaceShipOne has logged over ten test flights, both captive carry with its mothership, air drops for glide landings, and full in flight engine tests with increasing amounts of fuel. The last was an engine test that took SpaceShipOne to 68,000 feet and 930 mph (its first supersonic flight). This gradually expanding flight test regime is in keeping with standard commercial, military, and civil aircraft development intended for regular flight operations, allowing extensive engineering analysis of each test flight as conditions gradually grow more severe. No high risk all or nothing flights. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Fri Dec 19 17:19:47 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 09:19:47 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] ASTRO: Spitzer/SIRTF images released In-Reply-To: <001101c3c649$919f3bf0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <20031219171947.37885.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> Harvey said: > > So it seems that it would be impossible for SIRTF to see a Jupiter > brain. Well, maybe not. If you look at the results of SIRTF's observations of Fomalhaut, its observations indicate that the lopsided dust patterns indicate the possibility of either a recent asteroid collision or that jupiter sized planets are shepherding dust. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Fri Dec 19 18:02:31 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 10:02:31 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] ASTRO: Spitzer/SIRTF images released In-Reply-To: <001101c3c649$919f3bf0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <20031219180231.12532.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> Harvey said: > > So it seems that it would be impossible for SIRTF to see a Jupiter > brain. Well, maybe not. If you look at the results of SIRTF's observations of Fomalhaut, its observations indicate that the lopsided dust patterns indicate the possibility of either a recent asteroid collision or that jupiter sized planets are shepherding dust. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From wingcat at pacbell.net Fri Dec 19 19:30:57 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 11:30:57 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Paul Allen to be fourth Space Power In-Reply-To: <20031219060012.3114.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20031219193058.28535.qmail@web80405.mail.yahoo.com> --- Mike Lorrey wrote: > If Scaled succeeds in winning the x-prize, > this will make Paul > Allen the fourth economic power in the world to gain > independent manned > space launch capability. That's going a bit far, until Scaled can achieve orbit or escape velocity. A sounding rocket does not a space launch vehicle make. > IMHO this absolves > Microsoft of all, or maybe > just most, of all the evil things it has done... I disagree. Paul got out of Microsoft before it became evil. (There's a good reason it was able to achieve the dominance which corrupted it.) From spike66 at comcast.net Fri Dec 19 19:40:20 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 11:40:20 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] ASTRO: Spitzer/SIRTF images released In-Reply-To: <20031219171947.37885.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <000001c3c667$f0d492a0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > Harvey said: > > > > So it seems that it would be impossible for SIRTF to see a Jupiter > > brain. > > Well, maybe not. If you look at the results of SIRTF's observations of > Fomalhaut, its observations indicate that the lopsided dust patterns > indicate the possibility of either a recent asteroid collision or that > jupiter sized planets are shepherding dust. > > ===== > Mike Lorrey Fortunately we have our own on-board expert in interplanetary dust, Dr. Graps. I might speculate that a JBrain would somehow figure a way to use that dust by making it into computronium? Perhaps a JBrain might have little or no solid core, having dissembled itself into dust in order to maximize its surface area, so that its actual size is enormous, perhaps much larger in volume than the star that it orbits. Aside: This is a variation on Robert's MBrain notion: instead of the MBrain nodes forming a enormous shell surrounding the star, they would form a sphere orbitting the star, perhaps to reduce the distance between and thus latency between nodes. Call it an SMBrain, SM for Spherical-Matrioshka? No wait, that makes it sound like it uses all that brainpower thinking about kinky sex games involving chains and whips. SBrain? If a light-minute diameter spherical cloud of computronium particles each a picogram (about 50 billion C atoms, or a sphere about a micron diameter if I calculate it in my head) were to orbit a sunlike star, with a total mass of the cloud about one Jupiter, lets calculate the expected temperature gradient of the particles near the center and near the edge. Then we can estimate the chances of SIRTF (a Lockheeed Martin product btw) seeing it, or rather the maximum distance at which SIRTF could see it. Hold on, this is going to take some calculations and thinking. More later. spike From natashavita at earthlink.net Fri Dec 19 19:51:52 2003 From: natashavita at earthlink.net (natashavita at earthlink.net) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 14:51:52 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Interview with a Luddite - Kevin Kelly's US$1, 000 Bet Message-ID: <184670-2200312519195152459@M2W061.mail2web.com> While doing a little luddite-mining today, I came upon Kevin Kelly's "Interview with a Luddite" in the Jun3 1995 "Wired" Issue 3.06. "Kirkpatrick Sale is a leader of the Neo-Luddites. Wired's Kevin Kelly wrote the book on neo-biological technology. Food fight, anyone?" By Kevin Kelly ... Kelly: You get very specific in the closing pages of your book, where you say that if industrial civilization does not crumble because of the resistance from, say, Neo-Luddites or others, then it will crumble of its own accumulative excesses, specifically "within not more than a few decades." Now, if somebody two decades hence wanted to decide inarguably if you were right or wrong about that forecast, what would be the evidence of that? How would someone know whether you were right? Sale: I would say that you can measure it in three ways. The first would be an economic collapse. The dollar would be worthless, the yen would be worthless, the mark would be worthless - the dislocation we saw in the Depression of 1930, magnified many times over. A second would be the distention within various societies of the rich and the poor, in which the poor, who comprise, let's say, a fifth of society, are no longer content to be bought off with alcohol and television and drugs, and rises up in rebellion. And at the same time, there would be the same kind of distention within nations, in which the poor nations are no longer content to take the crumbs from our table, and rise up in either a military or some other form against the richer societies. And then the third is accumulating environmental problems, such that Australia, for example, becomes unlivable because of the ozone hole there, and Africa, from the Sahara to South Africa, becomes unlivable because of new diseases that have been uncovered through deforestation. At any rate, environmental catastrophes on a significant scale. Kelly: So you have multinational global currency collapse, social friction and warfare both between the rich and the poor and within nations, and you have continentwide environmental disasters causing death and great migrations of people. All by the year 2020, yes? How certain are you about all this, what you call your optimism? Sale: Well, I have spent the last 20 years looking into these problems, and I have suggested to my daughters, who are in their 20s, that it would be a mistake to have children. Kelly: Would you be willing to bet on your view? Sale: Sure. Kelly: OK. [Pulls out a check.] Here's a check for a thousand dollars, made out to Bill Patrick, our mutual book editor. I bet you US$1,000 that in the year 2020, we're not even close to the kind of disaster you describe - a convergence of three disasters: global currency collapse, significant warfare between rich and poor, and environmental disasters of some significant size. We won't even be close. I'll bet on my optimism. Sale: [Pauses. Then smiles.] OK. [Sales reaches over to checkbook on his desk and writes out a check. They shake hands.] Kelly: Oh, boy, this is easy money! But you know, besides the money, I really hope I am right. Sale: I hope you are right, too. ______________ Natasha -------------------------------------------------------------------- mail2web - Check your email from the web at http://mail2web.com/ . From spike66 at comcast.net Fri Dec 19 19:54:20 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 11:54:20 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] ASTRO: Spitzer/SIRTF images released In-Reply-To: <000001c3c667$f0d492a0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <000101c3c669$e4ba0d90$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > > Aside: This is a variation on Robert's MBrain notion: instead > of the MBrain nodes forming a enormous shell surrounding the > star, they would form a sphere orbitting the star, perhaps to > reduce the distance between and thus latency between nodes. Call > it an SMBrain, SM for Spherical-Matrioshka? No wait, that makes > it sound like it uses all that brainpower thinking about > kinky sex games involving chains and whips. SBrain? SBrain sounds rather dull. Lets see, how about Matrioshka- Spherical: MSBrain? No, that sounds like a brain ravaged by multiple sclerosis, or an AI by Bill Gates and company. How about Bradburian Spherical: BSBrain? Clearly that will not work. We may be stuck with SBrain, but be sure the S has nothing to do with spike. {8-] spike From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Fri Dec 19 19:59:10 2003 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (Kevin Freels) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 13:59:10 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? Message-ID: I am sick and tired of my computer crashing because I have too many things going on at once. With 1 GB memory, I am still stuck with this archaic 64k limit in resources. I am using windows98SE because I can;t seem to get myself to pay $200 for the most recent upgrade to a crappy OS. I can;t use anyhting but Windows because the software for my business isn;t availablee for anything else. My biggest problem is the stupid 64k maximum allowable system, user, and GDI resources. Is this built into the current computer standard (IBM clones), or is it a Windows issue? If it is a problem with the design of computers, then at some point we are going to have to trash the current IBM base computer model with the 640k base memory workaround and the 64k maximum allowable system, user, and GDI resources. If it is Windows, then when are they going to fix it? Also, is this a problem with Macs? I guess I'm just getting very annoyed, looking for alternatives, and not finding what I would like to see. Why is it that the most popular computer system is rife with so many archaic vestiges which are useless? When will this change? OK. I'm done venting now. I feel much better. Thanks! -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From puglisi at arcetri.astro.it Fri Dec 19 20:18:32 2003 From: puglisi at arcetri.astro.it (Alfio Puglisi) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 21:18:32 +0100 (CET) Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On Fri, 19 Dec 2003, Kevin Freels wrote: >I am using windows98SE because I can;t seem to get myself to pay $200 > for the most recent upgrade to a crappy OS. I can;t use anyhting but >Windows because the software for my business isn;t availablee for >anything else. How complex is that software? If it's simple, there's a good chance that will run under Wine (a windows emulator for Linux), or some other emulator/Virtual PC. >My biggest problem is the stupid 64k maximum allowable system, user, and GDI resources. >Is this built into the current computer standard (IBM clones), or is it a Windows issue? It's a windows problem. Actually, I wans't aware that win98 still had it. It is sure fixed from win2000 on. >Also, is this a problem with Macs? No, just a bill gates thing. Ciao, Alfio From bradbury at aeiveos.com Fri Dec 19 20:48:29 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 12:48:29 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: Message-ID: Kevin, Kevin, Kevin -- get a real OS! You could get an old copy of Windows 4.0 but Windows 2000 is *much* better (though be sure to apply the service packs). You might even be able to pick up a version second hand or at some discount computer outlet cheaply. I've been using it for 3 years an I've rarely had a crash (usually when I lose the fan on one of my CPUs). It may have a very rare memory leak (reboot it every couple of months) and *does* still have internal OS memory limits (that Microsloth doesn't disclose unless you lean on the tech support people) -- but they are *WAY* larger -- I can run something like 75-100 windows before I start running into problems -- even then it usually doesn't crash -- it just gets slow and sometimes doesn't like to start new processes. The hardware has been able to manage this since the mid-'90s. The problem was that Microsoft wanted to remain backwards compatible with the new software on the 286 machines so their end-user OSs never took advantage of the capabilities of the 386, 486, etc. Only the high end server OSs were real 32-bit OSs with real memory protection. My experience with Windows 2000 is that it is almost as stable as Linux and UnixWare. On the other hand Windows 95 and 98 are very insecure because there is no memory protection and they are basically kludged 16 bit systems while Windows XP from what I have heard is simply buggy. If you look around you might even be able to find people selling Win2K as an upgrade CD that allows you to migrate up from 98 to 2K without having to pay the full 2K price. Good luck Robert From bradbury at aeiveos.com Fri Dec 19 21:19:36 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 13:19:36 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Paul Allen to be fourth Space Power In-Reply-To: <000e01c3c647$19c64df0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: On Fri, 19 Dec 2003, Harvey Newstrom wrote: > But seriously, I told my partner about the SpaceShipOne project. He thought > it sounded exciting. He said he regretted not being younger and having a > healthy ticker so he could actually become involved with something like > this. Tell him the ticker problem may not be permanent -- there was a recent report -- perhaps in Science Daily that they have recently had success growing sheep-human heart chimeras (that's going to make some people nuts I know) but given the normal organ shortage and how good they are getting at suppressing rejection its something to think seriously about. Alternatively stem cell amplifcation and repair seems to be moving along. Not to mention claims of retrodifferentiation. If he can make it through this decade he is going to have lots of options. Now with respect to getting him excited about space -- get him a copy of "Mining the Sky" by John Lewis. There's gold in that there sky... If he has kids/family "Rain of Iron and Ice" is also good to force people into a future thinking mode. Individuals may not have a strong desire with respect to their personal longevity (I think this has to do with personal life history) -- but you will rarely find an individual that goes "ho-hum" when they start thinking about their grandchildren or other people they care about getting turned into toast by falling rocks. Its a totally different kind of hazard -- driving a car I have some control over, choosing to fly or not to fly I have some control over -- volcanos we may have some warning about but earthquakes and particularly rocks falling from the sky, not to mention nearby gamma ray bursts we do *not* currently have any control over. [For a nearby gamma ray burst probably one of the safest places to be is in a living space at the center of a reasonably large asteroid.] And then point out -- that you probably haven't lived until you have observed close up and personal the collision of a couple of neutron stars (one every couple if years someplace in the galaxy according to current estimates). Finally -- for those of you who haven't seen it -- the TV show "Threat Matrix" may be worth watching for people inclined to think about their personal hazard function. I'm torn between shows where the writers are providing shows that will prompt us to think about threats and their developing ideas that may give terrorists strategies that they would not otherwise have thought of. The show last night involved a bribe to obtain an Airbus 310 which was then loaded with radioactive waste that had been dumped in Africa that was then flown to the U.S. with an altered transponder signal so it confused air traffic control with the intent of crashing the plane into a tanker carrying pressurized LPG in Baltimore harbor which would result in a large explosion and the distribution of a radioactive cloud over much of the surrounding 5 state region. Not a pretty picture. Robert From natashavita at earthlink.net Fri Dec 19 21:47:42 2003 From: natashavita at earthlink.net (natashavita at earthlink.net) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 16:47:42 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] ExI: Chapters vs./and/or Affiliates Message-ID: <114780-2200312519214742803@M2W094.mail2web.com> Question: Extropy Institute has local groups and affiliates. It has been our intent to foster a sense of individuality among transhumanists, rather than pursuing chapters of ExI. My question to you all is: Do you think this is the best way to build our community? Elaine Walker, ExI?s Groups Team Leader, has been developing our transhumanist resource network. We have a broad base from which to develop and encourage transhumanism and extropy. Do you, as ExI members, want to start ExI Chapters, or further develop our Affiliates. Thanks, Natasha -------------------------------------------------------------------- mail2web - Check your email from the web at http://mail2web.com/ . From eugen at leitl.org Fri Dec 19 22:21:39 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 23:21:39 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <20031219222139.GN21411@leitl.org> On Fri, Dec 19, 2003 at 12:48:29PM -0800, Robert J. Bradbury wrote: > > Kevin, Kevin, Kevin -- get a real OS! You could get an > old copy of Windows 4.0 but Windows 2000 is *much* better > (though be sure to apply the service packs). Robert, OS advocacy, here? > You might even be able to pick up a version second hand > or at some discount computer outlet cheaply. You can get leg irons and a yoke even cheaper. Why do I have to pay for an OS that doesn't even have a programming environment included? Life's too short to click away those requesters, and enter those product codes. Frankly, these product codes and online activation are just completely knock-out criterion, nevermind the price and lack of any bundled tools. > I've been using it for 3 years an I've rarely had a crash > (usually when I lose the fan on one of my CPUs). NT 5.0 is pretty stable, but for that pesky memory leak in the GUI, which makes me reboot it every two weeks. Unless you want a secure OS, then, Redmond is just not for you. > It may have a very rare memory leak (reboot it every couple > of months) and *does* still have internal OS memory limits It depends on the use. If you exercise it heavily, you may have to reboot every few days. This doesn't including development and testing. If you're unluckly, you just lock up at about every test. > (that Microsloth doesn't disclose unless you lean on the > tech support people) -- but they are *WAY* larger -- I can > run something like 75-100 windows before I start running > into problems -- even then it usually doesn't crash -- it > just gets slow and sometimes doesn't like to start new > processes. It's remarkably pathetic we still have these problems with GUIs in 2003. I can't think of a single OS that gets the GUI problem right. > The hardware has been able to manage this since the mid-'90s. The hardware has been able to manage GUIs since early 70s, and certainly since early 80s. Arguably, current hardware has a far higher latency overhead than mid-80s hardware did. > The problem was that Microsoft wanted to remain backwards > compatible with the new software on the 286 machines so their Actually, not. Redmond used to have an innovation cycle, periodically forcing users to abandon previous investments. Right now they're moving to a subscription model to assure continuous flow of revenue, but it's not succeeding very well. > end-user OSs never took advantage of the capabilities of the > 386, 486, etc. Only the high end server OSs were real 32-bit > OSs with real memory protection. 32 bit reentrant multitasking with memory protection predates even UNIX. > My experience with Windows 2000 is that it is almost as stable > as Linux and UnixWare. On the other hand Windows 95 and 98 are OS stability analysis needs context. Which Linux, which hardware base, how administered? For a server OS, you'd do much better with a *BSD. For a desktop OS, with properly administered Debian (I use RedHat/Fedora, but it frankly sucks rocks). > very insecure because there is no memory protection and they > are basically kludged 16 bit systems while Windows XP from > what I have heard is simply buggy. XP Professional is arguably more stable than 2000, though your uptime will be short, very short. > If you look around you might even be able to find people selling > Win2K as an upgrade CD that allows you to migrate up from 98 > to 2K without having to pay the full 2K price. If you need a desktop OS, get a Mac. Whether Jaguar, or Panther, if you can't handle a russian truck, get OS X. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From brian_a_lee at hotmail.com Fri Dec 19 22:58:00 2003 From: brian_a_lee at hotmail.com (Brian Lee) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 17:58:00 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? Message-ID: I've run windows2000 Pro and xp pro boxen for months without reboots. I do fairly resource intensive development that regularly has 2-5 server apps running consuming 1 gig physical and 2 gig paged memory. XP has bogged down, but never crashed and I have experienced no memory leaks with the gui. Of course there are other problems native to XP like constant security updates. I would like to use a nice macosx or unix-like machine, but a lot of the software (java,oracle,weblogic,etc) is only supported on windows or solaris. Of course it's possible to run some of my apps on linux or bsd but then there's no support and no support sucks when you have anticipating clients. I just wanted to mention this as the "Windows has to be rebooted once every n units of time" FUD hasn't been applicable since windows2000 (or maybe even NT4sp3). BAL >From: Eugen Leitl >To: ExI chat list > >Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? >Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 23:21:39 +0100 > >On Fri, Dec 19, 2003 at 12:48:29PM -0800, Robert J. Bradbury wrote: > > > > Kevin, Kevin, Kevin -- get a real OS! You could get an > > old copy of Windows 4.0 but Windows 2000 is *much* better > > (though be sure to apply the service packs). > >Robert, OS advocacy, here? > > > You might even be able to pick up a version second hand > > or at some discount computer outlet cheaply. > >You can get leg irons and a yoke even cheaper. Why do I have to pay for an >OS >that doesn't even have a programming environment included? Life's too short >to click away those requesters, and enter those product codes. Frankly, >these >product codes and online activation are just completely knock-out >criterion, >nevermind the price and lack of any bundled tools. > > > I've been using it for 3 years an I've rarely had a crash > > (usually when I lose the fan on one of my CPUs). > >NT 5.0 is pretty stable, but for that pesky memory leak in the GUI, which >makes me reboot it every two weeks. Unless you want a secure OS, then, >Redmond is just not for you. > > > It may have a very rare memory leak (reboot it every couple > > of months) and *does* still have internal OS memory limits > >It depends on the use. If you exercise it heavily, you may have to reboot >every few days. This doesn't including development and testing. If you're >unluckly, you just lock up at about every test. > > > (that Microsloth doesn't disclose unless you lean on the > > tech support people) -- but they are *WAY* larger -- I can > > run something like 75-100 windows before I start running > > into problems -- even then it usually doesn't crash -- it > > just gets slow and sometimes doesn't like to start new > > processes. > >It's remarkably pathetic we still have these problems with GUIs in 2003. I >can't think of a single OS that gets the GUI problem right. > > > The hardware has been able to manage this since the mid-'90s. > >The hardware has been able to manage GUIs since early 70s, and certainly >since early 80s. Arguably, current hardware has a far higher latency >overhead >than mid-80s hardware did. > > > The problem was that Microsoft wanted to remain backwards > > compatible with the new software on the 286 machines so their > >Actually, not. Redmond used to have an innovation cycle, periodically >forcing users to >abandon previous investments. Right now they're moving to a subscription >model to assure continuous flow of revenue, but it's not succeeding very >well. > > > end-user OSs never took advantage of the capabilities of the > > 386, 486, etc. Only the high end server OSs were real 32-bit > > OSs with real memory protection. > >32 bit reentrant multitasking with memory protection predates even UNIX. > > > My experience with Windows 2000 is that it is almost as stable > > as Linux and UnixWare. On the other hand Windows 95 and 98 are > >OS stability analysis needs context. Which Linux, which hardware base, how >administered? For a server OS, you'd do much better with a *BSD. For a >desktop OS, with properly administered Debian (I use RedHat/Fedora, but it >frankly sucks rocks). > > > very insecure because there is no memory protection and they > > are basically kludged 16 bit systems while Windows XP from > > what I have heard is simply buggy. > >XP Professional is arguably more stable than 2000, though your uptime will >be >short, very short. > > > If you look around you might even be able to find people selling > > Win2K as an upgrade CD that allows you to migrate up from 98 > > to 2K without having to pay the full 2K price. > >If you need a desktop OS, get a Mac. Whether Jaguar, or Panther, if you >can't >handle a russian truck, get OS X. > >-- Eugen* Leitl leitl >______________________________________________________________ >ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org >8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE >http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net ><< attach4 >> >_______________________________________________ >extropy-chat mailing list >extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org >http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat _________________________________________________________________ It?s our best dial-up Internet access offer: 6 months @$9.95/month. Get it now! http://join.msn.com/?page=dept/dialup From wingcat at pacbell.net Fri Dec 19 23:11:09 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 15:11:09 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031219231109.97318.qmail@web80405.mail.yahoo.com> --- Kevin Freels wrote: > I can;t use anyhting but Windows because > the software for my business isn;t availablee for > anything else. WINE. You know, the Linux-native Windows emulator. Or so I've heard, but I haven't had any personal experience with it (besides trying, and failing, to find out what all was needed to set it up some time ago). From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Fri Dec 19 23:54:12 2003 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (Kevin Freels) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 17:54:12 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? References: Message-ID: > My experience with Windows 2000 is that it is almost as stable > as Linux and UnixWare. On the other hand Windows 95 and 98 are > very insecure because there is no memory protection and they > are basically kludged 16 bit systems while Windows XP from > what I have heard is simply buggy. This is what I heard and is why I have chosen (so far) to stay with the KNOWN evil rather than jump to a new one. As much as I love technology, something inside me as afraid to give up the command prompt ability! lol Win2K though? I can recall fleeting moments when the word went through my head and I promptly discarded the idea. I can;t think of any good reason than to say that I just haven;t read that much about it. Maybe I was thinking you could only use it to upgrade NT. If I remember correctly, it was available in 3 or 4 versions... Professional, server, advanced server, and maybe something else. Which one are you running? > > If you look around you might even be able to find people selling > Win2K as an upgrade CD that allows you to migrate up from 98 > to 2K without having to pay the full 2K price. > Thanks for the tip. I'm looking on ebay now! > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sat Dec 20 00:00:28 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 16:00:28 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] WTC: Prediction confirmed... Message-ID: <20031220000028.63276.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> A long while back, maybe a year, year and a half, when discussions were floating about cutesy parks on the location of the WTC, I proposed and predicted that what a "real" New York City response would be: to build a single new tower, twice as high as the original twin towers, jutting up into the sky like one humongous middle finger to those in the rest of the world who hate or despise us. My prediction has come true: http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&u=/ap/20031219/ap_on_re_us/attacks_freedom_tower_12 NEW YORK - The signature skyscraper at the World Trade Center site will be a 1,776-foot glass tower that twists into the sky, topped by energy-generating windmills and a spire that evokes the Statue of Liberty, new plans revealed Friday. Saying it will "dramatically reclaim" the Manhattan skyline on the plot where the twin towers once stood, Mayor Michael Bloomberg joined the architects and Gov. George E. Pataki in unveiling the plans for the Freedom Tower. Pataki said the building "will show the world that freedom will always triumph over terror." -- end quote -- Somebody hire me, quick, I am getting positively precognitive these days... Now, it's not exactly twice as high as the original towers (the original one with the beacon was 1150 feet high) but it is a decent attempt... ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From hal at finney.org Sat Dec 20 00:29:26 2003 From: hal at finney.org (Hal Finney) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 16:29:26 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Interview with a Luddite - Kevin Kelly's US$1, 000 Bet Message-ID: <200312200029.hBK0TQx01857@finney.org> Natasha writes: > Kelly: OK. [Pulls out a check.] Here's a check for a thousand dollars, made > out to Bill Patrick, our mutual book editor. I bet you US$1,000 that in the > year 2020, we're not even close to the kind of disaster you describe - a > convergence of three disasters: global currency collapse, significant > warfare between rich and poor, and environmental disasters of some > significant size. We won't even be close. I'll bet on my optimism. > > Sale: [Pauses. Then smiles.] OK. Shortly after this issue of Wired came out in 1995, the Idea Futures game (now called FX) created a claim about who would win the bet, http://www.ideosphere.com/fx-bin/Claim?claim=NLud The price chart at the bottom of the page can be interpreted as the percentage likelihood that the players estimate for Sale to win his bet. in the first couple of years, it ran about 10-20%; then from about 1998 to mid 2000 it was in the 30-40% range; and since then it has been 20-30%. Looking at the three issues now, 8 years or about 1/3 of the way along, it's harder in some ways to be optimistic than back in 1995 in the heady days of the internet boom. Global currency collapse still doesn't look in the cards, and if it happens it seems more plausibly caused by some unexpected and disruptive technology than economic mismanagement. Environmental disaster in the next 16 years also doesn't seem likely, even if the more aggressive global warming scenarios come true. But widespread warfare between rich and poor nations is harder to rule out in today's contentious international environment. I'm a little unclear on the terms of the bet if just one or two of Sale's predictions comes close to being right. I guess that will be a judgement call; maybe the judge will award partial points to one side or the other. Hal From artillo at comcast.net Sat Dec 20 00:05:56 2003 From: artillo at comcast.net (Brian Shores) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 19:05:56 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: <20031219222139.GN21411@leitl.org> Message-ID: <001001c3c68d$0a62a070$9865fea9@bjsmain2> :: sighs :: and longs for the days of Atari cartridges that ALWAYS worked! :) Hmm ask Santa Gates for a WindowsXP "Atari" Cartridge? NAAA NEVER HAPPEN! LOL Yea I'm wondering myself when computers are going to be as functional as toasters... In the sense that when I switch it on, it's ON... No waiting for cumbersome code to load, patches, bug-fixes, waa waa waaa etc etc etc... Ok I'm done ranting too, happy holidays people! Arti From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Sat Dec 20 00:29:11 2003 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (Kevin Freels) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 18:29:11 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? References: Message-ID: > > How complex is that software? If it's simple, there's a good chance that > will run under Wine (a windows emulator for Linux), or some other > emulator/Virtual PC. It's pretty complex. It uses the SQL server thingy to do part of it's job, some other kinds of microsoft datasources whatever they are, and it just gets worse from there. It's supposedly designed for Win98SE but it just kills my system. Once I have my soundcard driver, mouse driver, video card driver, ZoneAlarm, DSL (EnterNet 300 which sucks all by itself), and Norton AV running, I get resources available of 68%. Then I load this and I have about 50%! Then IE6.0 and Outlook express both have to be running as well while I am working because I spend my day moving digital paper around. If I have a credit bureau order in from the website, an appraisal up in Acrobat reader, copying information into a third browser from the loan software, the appraisal and the credit bureau, I am now at less than 30%! What is worse, when I free up those resources by closing the programs, I don;t get it all back! Most people in my line of work don;t have the ability to do 20 things at once on their compter, or they work for a large company that has the resources not only to have big servers, but to also have custom designed software. My loan origination software alone was $895. That's more than I spent building this system! Robert mentioned Windows 2000. I hadn;t really thought about that one, but I am checking into it. It sounds like s decent compromise. From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Sat Dec 20 00:36:17 2003 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (Kevin Freels) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 18:36:17 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? References: <001001c3c68d$0a62a070$9865fea9@bjsmain2> Message-ID: I read something about that recently. I looked for the article but couldn;t find it. It was about having systems with embedded OSs that didn;t need to boot at all. On a side note, there's a really neat new video game out. It has about 8-10 old Atari games on it, all pre-programmed and fit neatly into a device that looks just like the old Atari joystick! There is a cord coming directly off the joystick that plugs directly into the TV. No console. You choose your game and play it! I know it's not an incredible leap in technology or anything. Just a novel idea that I have purchased for my kids this Newtonmas for $10.00 at Wal-Mart. I think they'll enjoy Asteroids, Missile Command, and some of the other games I used to play as a kid. :-) ----- Original Message ----- From: "Brian Shores" To: "'ExI chat list'" Sent: Friday, December 19, 2003 6:05 PM Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? > > :: sighs :: and longs for the days of Atari cartridges that ALWAYS > worked! :) > > Hmm ask Santa Gates for a WindowsXP "Atari" Cartridge? NAAA NEVER > HAPPEN! LOL > > Yea I'm wondering myself when computers are going to be as functional as > toasters... In the sense that when I switch it on, it's ON... No waiting > for cumbersome code to load, patches, bug-fixes, waa waa waaa etc etc > etc... > > Ok I'm done ranting too, happy holidays people! > > Arti > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk Sat Dec 20 00:58:08 2003 From: bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk (BillK) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 00:58:08 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? Message-ID: <3FE39EA0.3040303@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> On Fri Dec 19, 2003 05:29 pm Kevin Freels wrote: > Once I have my soundcard driver, mouse driver, video card > driver, ZoneAlarm, DSL (EnterNet 300 which sucks all by itself), and > Norton AV running, I get resources available of 68%. > Sounds excessive to me. I have Win98, 256MB memory, and when I load all the drivers, plus Nvidia graphics drivers plus Cable Internet, Sygate Personal firewall, AVG antivirus and Mozilla Mail and Browser, I have resources available of about 83% GDI, 80% USER and 80% SYSTEM. I usually have lots more than this running quite happily. Try different software? BillK From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sat Dec 20 01:06:26 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 17:06:26 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: <3FE39EA0.3040303@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> Message-ID: <20031220010626.60187.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> Keep an eye on all those TSRs that run down on the right hand end of the task bar. They tend to pile up a lot. I have also noticed, at least in XP, that many such programs that you install that should display an icon down there don't, though the programs are running if you bring up the task list in task manager. Another thing that east resources are fonts. If you are not a graphic designer, you really don't need a thousand and one fonts. Minimizing your fonts down to a few dozen saves tons of resources. Still another thing is a funky desktop image and lots of sounds and animations on your icons and cursor actions. Get rid of em. --- BillK wrote: > On Fri Dec 19, 2003 05:29 pm Kevin Freels wrote: > > Once I have my soundcard driver, mouse driver, video card > > driver, ZoneAlarm, DSL (EnterNet 300 which sucks all by itself), > and > > Norton AV running, I get resources available of 68%. > > > > Sounds excessive to me. > I have Win98, 256MB memory, and when I load all the drivers, plus > Nvidia > graphics drivers plus Cable Internet, Sygate Personal firewall, AVG > antivirus and Mozilla Mail and Browser, I have resources available of > about 83% GDI, 80% USER and 80% SYSTEM. > > I usually have lots more than this running quite happily. > > Try different software? > > BillK > > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From bradbury at aeiveos.com Sat Dec 20 02:17:07 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 18:17:07 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: Message-ID: On Fri, 19 Dec 2003, Kevin Freels wrote: > If I remember correctly, it > was available in 3 or 4 versions... Professional, server, advanced server, > and maybe something else. Which one are you running? Don't get the server version unless you need something like an FTP server or you really want to run a network. At one point you could get NFS clients and servers for W2K though they were a bit pricey after Msft bought them from the CAD company that I think developed them (can't remember the name right now). You can get a command.com (MSDOS) prompt under Win2K. I also use a very old set of UNIX utilities (MKS) so I can get a UNIX shell and lots of other goodies. I think the standard now for a UNIX toolkit is CYGWIN which is free. You can do peer-to-peer drive sharing in Win2K networks as well as older & newer versions of WinXX I believe. So it isn't necessary to get the more expensive server versions (which are also more prone to security problems). Robert From bradbury at aeiveos.com Sat Dec 20 02:32:45 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 18:32:45 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: <3FE39EA0.3040303@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> Message-ID: On Sat, 20 Dec 2003, BillK wrote: > I have Win98, 256MB memory, [snip] > I have resources available of about 83% GDI, 80% USER and 80% SYSTEM. > Try different software? That isn't it Bill -- I used to run into similar problems on 95 and 98 running a very different set of software. Part of it simply has to do with how many windows you have open. Microsoft didn't design those OSs so they could handle lots of windows. Mike is also right that it depends to some extent on how many processes you are running. It isn't entirely fixed in Win2K but it is a *lot* better. I can generally get up to 4-5 full task bar lines of the smallest window icons before things start to go south. And then it doesn't really crash -- the stupid Msft scheduler keeps going round-robin between all of the windows giving them each little time slices (I've never been able to get them to confess how one could tweek this to lower the amount of CPU time that non-active windows get). So your response time goes through the floor essentially forcing you to cleanup your tasks. (I'll admit I'm only on a 200Mhz machine -- but still...). I've got 256MB of main memory and 384MB of paging file space and I can have occasions where Netscape goes into some infinite loop allocating memory. If I wait long enough the system will give me a very nice error message -- and recover's nicely once I kill the Netscape (though sometimes it will kill Netscape for me...). But 2K is much more stable for a much longer period. NT 4.0 is pretty good as well. I've got the server version and it will run fine for months. I will openly admit that I probably don't push the systems as hard as someone like Eugen does so I may not be stressing them enough to make the flaws show up. Robert From avantguardian2020 at yahoo.com Sat Dec 20 03:03:53 2003 From: avantguardian2020 at yahoo.com (The Avantguardian) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 19:03:53 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] a frightfully difficult sacred problem In-Reply-To: <20031218003119.77345.qmail@web80410.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20031220030353.71905.qmail@web60510.mail.yahoo.com> Yeah, if just any copy of the Koran is that sacred and absolute, all people in the US and Israel would have to do to protect themselves against terrorist bombings would be to put copies of the Koran in planes, buildings, and on busses. Of course this assumes that terrorism is an islamic religious phenomenon, which despite the claims of its practitioners, it isn't. Adrian Tymes wrote:--- Damien Broderick wrote: > Their task is not easy because of an appalling > contradiction - for Muslims, > it is heretical to render the Koran in blood, an > impurity that should be > washed away. On the other hand, the Koran defines > absolutely their religious > beliefs and culture - it cannot be destroyed. Pfft. *The* Koran, yes. *A* Koran, no. To take a quasi-secular equivalent, the USA has rules about when and where one of its flags may be "respectfully" destroyed, but it does allow instances of this sacred-equivalent object to be destroyed when necessary. I could cite similar examples from various religions. Now, if this were the last remaining Koran in existance, that might be another story - and hopefully serve as a lesson about backing up one's content. But there are other copies, and apparently this instance isn't even 15 years old. To say it is beyond destruction just because it's a copy of a religious text, written in ways that everyone agrees was sacreligious to said religion anyway, is just another example of the sad state that results when people confuse the embodiment of ideals for the ideals themselves. (Even certain religious *try* to address this; witness a certain recent Ten Commandments issue, which ignored one of said commandments.) _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat The Avantguardian "He stands like some sort of pagan god or deposed tyrant. Staring out over the city he's sworn to . . .to stare out over and it's evident just by looking at him that he's got some pretty heavy things on his mind." --------------------------------- Do you Yahoo!? Protect your identity with Yahoo! Mail AddressGuard -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Sat Dec 20 03:13:01 2003 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (Kevin Freels) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 21:13:01 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? References: <20031220010626.60187.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: Thanks, but I've been there and done that. I have a program called process explorer that actually shows me all the process going on. Nothing there but my drivers, etc as described and stuff that needs to be there. I did just reduce my fonts from some 50 or so to about 25. We'll see how that goes. ----- Original Message ----- From: "Mike Lorrey" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Friday, December 19, 2003 7:06 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? > Keep an eye on all those TSRs that run down on the right hand end of > the task bar. They tend to pile up a lot. I have also noticed, at least > in XP, that many such programs that you install that should display an > icon down there don't, though the programs are running if you bring up > the task list in task manager. > Another thing that east resources are fonts. If you are not a graphic > designer, you really don't need a thousand and one fonts. Minimizing > your fonts down to a few dozen saves tons of resources. > Still another thing is a funky desktop image and lots of sounds and > animations on your icons and cursor actions. Get rid of em. > > --- BillK wrote: > > On Fri Dec 19, 2003 05:29 pm Kevin Freels wrote: > > > Once I have my soundcard driver, mouse driver, video card > > > driver, ZoneAlarm, DSL (EnterNet 300 which sucks all by itself), > > and > > > Norton AV running, I get resources available of 68%. > > > > > > > Sounds excessive to me. > > I have Win98, 256MB memory, and when I load all the drivers, plus > > Nvidia > > graphics drivers plus Cable Internet, Sygate Personal firewall, AVG > > antivirus and Mozilla Mail and Browser, I have resources available of > > about 83% GDI, 80% USER and 80% SYSTEM. > > > > I usually have lots more than this running quite happily. > > > > Try different software? > > > > BillK > > > > > > > > _______________________________________________ > > extropy-chat mailing list > > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > > > ===== > Mike Lorrey > "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." > - Gen. John Stark > "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." > - Mike Lorrey > Do not label me, I am an ism of one... > Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com > > __________________________________ > Do you Yahoo!? > New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. > http://photos.yahoo.com/ > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Sat Dec 20 03:25:30 2003 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (Kevin Freels) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 21:25:30 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? References: Message-ID: A 200 mhz machine? I didn;t know any of those were still running! I am all ready to buy Win 2k just to see if it helps. It looks like I can get the full version on ebay for about $100. I'd rather have the full version than the upgrade because my Win98 disk has about had it. (remember when cds first came out and they talked of how rugged they were?...HA!) If it is a drastic improvement, I'll take it. Here's some questions: 1.) Will it run all software designed for Win98? 2.) Do I have to call, login, or send any information to Microsoft to register it, or is it like Win98...just punch in the key code and go? 3.) Are the service packs free, or do I have to pay for SP4? (Just making sure, I don;t have to get SP1, 2, 3, and 4 do I? I wouldn;t think so, but you never know with Microsoft!) 4.) Can I use NTFS partitions? I always wanted to. If so, is it trouble converting FAT32 partitions to NTFS without losing data? 5.) Am I shopping for Win2k pro? I am having this trouble with a Machspeed motherboard with a 266 FSB, 512 MB PC2100 DDR 266 mhz memory, an XP Athlon 2200+ processor and 8x AGP video card with 128MB memory. I thought the problem was the basic build behind the computer design. If Win2k will help, I'll try it. Thanks for the help. ----- Original Message ----- From: "Robert J. Bradbury" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Friday, December 19, 2003 8:32 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? > > On Sat, 20 Dec 2003, BillK wrote: > > > I have Win98, 256MB memory, > [snip] > > I have resources available of about 83% GDI, 80% USER and 80% SYSTEM. > > > Try different software? > > That isn't it Bill -- I used to run into similar problems on 95 and 98 > running a very different set of software. Part of it simply has to > do with how many windows you have open. Microsoft didn't design those > OSs so they could handle lots of windows. Mike is also right that it > depends to some extent on how many processes you are running. It isn't > entirely fixed in Win2K but it is a *lot* better. I can generally get up > to 4-5 full task bar lines of the smallest window icons before things > start to go south. And then it doesn't really crash -- the stupid > Msft scheduler keeps going round-robin between all of the windows > giving them each little time slices (I've never been able to get > them to confess how one could tweek this to lower the amount of > CPU time that non-active windows get). So your response time goes > through the floor essentially forcing you to cleanup your tasks. > (I'll admit I'm only on a 200Mhz machine -- but still...). > > I've got 256MB of main memory and 384MB of paging file space and > I can have occasions where Netscape goes into some infinite loop > allocating memory. If I wait long enough the system will give > me a very nice error message -- and recover's nicely once I kill > the Netscape (though sometimes it will kill Netscape for me...). > > But 2K is much more stable for a much longer period. NT 4.0 > is pretty good as well. I've got the server version and it > will run fine for months. > > I will openly admit that I probably don't push the systems as > hard as someone like Eugen does so I may not be stressing them > enough to make the flaws show up. > > Robert > > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From extropy at unreasonable.com Sat Dec 20 04:02:41 2003 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 23:02:41 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031219223852.035c6e90@mail.comcast.net> At 09:25 PM 12/19/2003 -0600, Kevin Freels wrote: >A 200 mhz machine? I didn;t know any of those were still running! I'm writing this on a 200 MHz P-2 machine and am happy. I have a faster laptop, too, but I only find it helpful when I'm editing 1200 dpi images. This box is running Win 2K Professional, with 128 MB memory, a 22" screen, and 500 GB of disk. I routinely have a few dozen windows open, and it has no problem running SQL Server, Visual Studio, Office, and a few other products simultaneously. So your problem is not obsolete hardware.... Two things I did do to improve the system -- I'd had thousands of fonts installed; it's down to a few hundred now. And I got rid of a lot of the processes I don't want that were lurking in the background. See http://www.answersthatwork.com/Tasklist_pages/tasklist.htm. >I am all ready to buy Win 2k just to see if it helps. It looks like I can >get the full version on ebay for about $100. I'd rather have the full >version than the upgrade because my Win98 disk has about had it. (remember >when cds first came out and they talked of how rugged they were?...HA!) If >it is a drastic improvement, I'll take it. Here's some questions: The upgrade does not require your Win98 disk. >1.) Will it run all software designed for Win98? No! It's mostly games and educational software that won't work. I keep a clunker around for that, or use VMware, which is excellent for running multiple operating systems simultaneously. I used to use System Commander to switch between multiple OS's at boot time, but it's a messier solution. >2.) Do I have to call, login, or send any information to Microsoft to >register it, or is it like Win98...just punch in the key code and go? No. It's only XP that does that. One of many reasons I won't upgrade to it. >3.) Are the service packs free, or do I have to pay for SP4? (Just making >sure, I don;t have to get SP1, 2, 3, and 4 do I? I wouldn;t think so, but >you never know with Microsoft!) AFAIK, all service packs are free for download from Microsoft, but they are often over 100 MB, so annoying without a high-speed connection. You can also have them send you a CD for a modest sum. But when I'm ready to upgrade, I want to do it today, not wait for a disk. I've found it pays to be very conservative in installing MS service packs. I generally only do so when I want to install a product that insists on it. Problem is that Microsoft often breaks things in their service packs. They may be approaching the equilibrium point IBM established with IBM 360/370 -- where each new release introduced as many bugs as it fixed. >4.) Can I use NTFS partitions? I always wanted to. If so, is it trouble >converting FAT32 partitions to NTFS without losing data? You can use NTFS. You can also use FAT or FAT32 on other partitions. For converting, I'd rely on a third-party tool, from Symantec or equiv. >5.) Am I shopping for Win2k pro? Yes. >I am having this trouble with a Machspeed motherboard with a 266 FSB, 512 MB >PC2100 DDR 266 mhz memory, an XP Athlon 2200+ processor and 8x AGP video >card with 128MB memory. I thought the problem was the basic build behind the >computer design. If Win2k will help, I'll try it. I doubt that your problem has anything to do with how powerful your system is but 2000 is better than 98 in virtually all respects. -- David Lubkin. From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sat Dec 20 04:33:18 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 20:33:18 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031220043318.53944.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> Something else I have noticed: when you have one browser window on a YABB SE supported forum, and another browser window on Friendster, images will fail to load and eventually the browser will crash. Other things: I used to have lots of problems with Corel applications, especially Ventura. Comes from running large documents that are several versions old and have been compiling edit relics for quite a while, at least in part (Doing a "Save As" to a new name rather than just saving cleans this up handily). I've found spell checkers that would crash the whole machine if you asked them to spell check a certain 12 character text segment (this one really entertained the techs at Corel for a while), and I've found image frames that decide to take a hike and you can only herd them in if you expand your page size to 36" width, and when you try to delete them, your system crashes... I am also convinced that lots of OS crashes are not the fault of the OS or any programs installed. They are the fault of the particular combination of hardware you have installed on the motherboard, particularly the video card. Companies like Dell and Gateway are able to minimize their support costs because they limit the different models of hardware components they sell, and they do extensive R&D to find out what combinations are most stable. Mom & Pop PC maker down the street typically doesn't have the resources, unless they just clone what the big boys are doing. Home builders are in similar circumstances. They want the best of this, that, and the other, but don't have a knowledgebase of testing to demonstrate what works well together. --- Kevin Freels wrote: > Thanks, but I've been there and done that. I have a program called > process > explorer that actually shows me all the process going on. Nothing > there but > my drivers, etc as described and stuff that needs to be there. I did > just > reduce my fonts from some 50 or so to about 25. We'll see how that > goes. > > ----- Original Message ----- > From: "Mike Lorrey" > To: "ExI chat list" > Sent: Friday, December 19, 2003 7:06 PM > Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? > > > > Keep an eye on all those TSRs that run down on the right hand end > of > > the task bar. They tend to pile up a lot. I have also noticed, at > least > > in XP, that many such programs that you install that should display > an > > icon down there don't, though the programs are running if you bring > up > > the task list in task manager. > > Another thing that east resources are fonts. If you are not a > graphic > > designer, you really don't need a thousand and one fonts. > Minimizing > > your fonts down to a few dozen saves tons of resources. > > Still another thing is a funky desktop image and lots of sounds and > > animations on your icons and cursor actions. Get rid of em. > > > > --- BillK wrote: > > > On Fri Dec 19, 2003 05:29 pm Kevin Freels wrote: > > > > Once I have my soundcard driver, mouse driver, video card > > > > driver, ZoneAlarm, DSL (EnterNet 300 which sucks all by > itself), > > > and > > > > Norton AV running, I get resources available of 68%. > > > > > > > > > > Sounds excessive to me. > > > I have Win98, 256MB memory, and when I load all the drivers, plus > > > Nvidia > > > graphics drivers plus Cable Internet, Sygate Personal firewall, > AVG > > > antivirus and Mozilla Mail and Browser, I have resources > available of > > > about 83% GDI, 80% USER and 80% SYSTEM. > > > > > > I usually have lots more than this running quite happily. > > > > > > Try different software? > > > > > > BillK > > > > > > > > > > > > _______________________________________________ > > > extropy-chat mailing list > > > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > > > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > > > > > > ===== > > Mike Lorrey > > "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." > > - Gen. John Stark > > "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." > > - Mike Lorrey > > Do not label me, I am an ism of one... > > Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com > > > > __________________________________ > > Do you Yahoo!? > > New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. > > http://photos.yahoo.com/ > > _______________________________________________ > > extropy-chat mailing list > > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sat Dec 20 04:39:49 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 20:39:49 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] a frightfully difficult sacred problem In-Reply-To: <20031220030353.71905.qmail@web60510.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20031220043949.77720.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> --- The Avantguardian wrote: > Yeah, if just any copy of the Koran is that sacred and absolute, all > people in the US and Israel would have to do to protect themselves > against terrorist bombings would be to put copies of the Koran in > planes, buildings, and on busses. Of course this assumes that > terrorism is an islamic religious phenomenon, which despite the > claims of its practitioners, it isn't. Why do you think that hotels put bibles in their rooms? Cuts down on the incidence of suicide, it does. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From spike66 at comcast.net Sat Dec 20 04:55:48 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 20:55:48 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] sjbrain calcs In-Reply-To: <000001c3c667$f0d492a0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <000001c3c6b5$8ac2ac60$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > ... I might speculate that a JBrain would somehow > figure a way to use that dust by making it into computronium? > Perhaps a JBrain might have little or no solid core, having > dissembled itself into dust in order to maximize its surface > area, so that its actual size is enormous, perhaps much larger > in volume than the star that it orbits...spherical...SBrain? > > If a light-minute diameter spherical cloud of computronium > particles each a picogram (about 30-50 billion Si-C atoms, or a > sphere about a micron diameter if I calculate it in my head) > were to orbit a sunlike star, with a total mass of the cloud > about one Jupiter... > > Hold on, this is going to take some calculations and thinking. > More later. spike... I did some first order calcs and found my mental figures were not half bad. If we assume picogram carbon/silicon particles with density about 2 g/cm^2 and a Jupiter mass of them (2E27kg) or about 2e42 particles of computronium orbitting about a light hour from a sunlike star in a loosely spherical swarm of about a light minute diameter, I get an average density of about 6E11 particles per cubic meter, these particles being about a micron diameter. The average spacing about 100 microns, so that from the point of view of each particle, an average neighboring particle would appear about the size the full moon appears to us on this particularly large dust particle we call home. Clearly this cloud would be completely opaque to all frequencies emitted from the star, so that all the energy that falls on that light-minute diameter sphere would be absorbed. This can allow us to estimate its temperature while waving our hands furiously and chanting "to first order." But before I calculate anything, I realize that these nodes could turn a dark or light face in or out, so that the SBrain could adjust its temperature to almost anything it wanted. So look at Jupiter: average surface temperature 130 Kelvin and realize that the heat loss and heat gain mechanisms are both proportional to the surface area. If the SBrain does nothing and has the same albedo as Jupiter and is about a Jupiter distance from a sunlike star, it too would be emitting at about 130K. Right? So now the question becomes how far away can an object be seen which is 130K and diameter 2E10 meters by Lockheeed produced SIRTF? The surface temp of a G star like our sun is about 5800 K and its diameter is about 5 light seconds, so to estimate the amount of energy across the entire spectrum reaching us from the SBrain, Boltzmann's constant cancels and the rough calculation is E = (60/5)^2(130/5800)^4 = 4E-5 times the amount of energy reaching us from the star. So the problem for SIRTF isn't really the *amount* of energy reaching us from the star, which is more than adequate, but rather *resolving* it from the nearby star which is over 25,000 times brighter. I don't have the specs from the Lockheeed SIRTF, but my intuition tells me any instrument of the 1 meter class would not have anywhere near the resolution needed to distinguish a Jupiter-like SBrain (SJBrain?) from its star, even if the SJBrain-star pair is in the immediate neighborhood. Damn. {8-[ spike From eliasen at mindspring.com Sat Dec 20 05:00:34 2003 From: eliasen at mindspring.com (Alan Eliasen) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 22:00:34 -0700 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <3FE3D772.3080401@mindspring.com> Robert J. Bradbury wrote: > You can get a command.com (MSDOS) prompt under Win2K. > I also use a very old set of UNIX utilities (MKS) so > I can get a UNIX shell and lots of other goodies. > I think the standard now for a UNIX toolkit is CYGWIN > which is free. In Win2K, the shell is actually called cmd.exe. It's a bit more advanced than command.com; you can have (brain-dead, but better than nothing) file completion and some other features. By the way, for those who bemoan Windows' lack of any useful programming utilities, system tools, file manipulation tools, shells, postscript processors, printing utilities, graphing utilities, text editors, etc., I've put together a pretty solid, mature CD of tools, called "The APE" (Alan's Programming Environment). The nice thing about the CD is that you can run all of these utilities directly off the CD, installing nothing on the hard drive. You can carry it around and have a pretty useful system anywhere you go. It's pretty well tested (3+ years of use in the real world.) It's also quite useful for fiddling with programs in a lot of different languages without the hassle of finding and configuring compilers, etc. The description of the tools available is here: http://futureboy.homeip.net/ape/ Images can be downloaded from here: http://futureboy.homeip.net/apezip/ -- Alan Eliasen | "You cannot reason a person out of a eliasen at mindspring.com | position he did not reason himself http://futureboy.homeip.net/ | into in the first place." | --Jonathan Swift From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Sat Dec 20 05:19:13 2003 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (Kevin Freels) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 23:19:13 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? References: <20031220043318.53944.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: Yeah, I've had the same trouble woth Corel applications. Now that you mention it, my troubles became noticable after installing wordperfect. Hmmm. Coincidence? I see what you mean about the hardware combinations. My chipset is SiS and my video card Nvidia. I wonder if there isn't some kind of rivalry there since SiS makes a video card and nvidia makes a motherboard chipset. Could this be causing some of my random crash issues as well? I've narrowed out all the usual culprits like new hard drive, re-formatted drive, new video card, new motherboard, new power-supply, new processor, new fans (3) new ribbons, hell, I've rebuilt my system twice in the last 6 months from the ground up! I'm down to only two possibilities. Crappy OS, or crappy user...and until this, I never had a problem I couldn't fix. I'm no expert, but several years ago I did get A+ certified. Things have changed a lot since then and I haven't followed them hardly at all, but I never had these problems until I built this system. ----- Original Message ----- From: "Mike Lorrey" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Friday, December 19, 2003 10:33 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? > Something else I have noticed: when you have one browser window on a > YABB SE supported forum, and another browser window on Friendster, > images will fail to load and eventually the browser will crash. > > Other things: > I used to have lots of problems with Corel applications, especially > Ventura. Comes from running large documents that are several versions > old and have been compiling edit relics for quite a while, at least in > part (Doing a "Save As" to a new name rather than just saving cleans > this up handily). I've found spell checkers that would crash the whole > machine if you asked them to spell check a certain 12 character text > segment (this one really entertained the techs at Corel for a while), > and I've found image frames that decide to take a hike and you can only > herd them in if you expand your page size to 36" width, and when you > try to delete them, your system crashes... > > I am also convinced that lots of OS crashes are not the fault of the OS > or any programs installed. They are the fault of the particular > combination of hardware you have installed on the motherboard, > particularly the video card. Companies like Dell and Gateway are able > to minimize their support costs because they limit the different models > of hardware components they sell, and they do extensive R&D to find out > what combinations are most stable. Mom & Pop PC maker down the street > typically doesn't have the resources, unless they just clone what the > big boys are doing. > > Home builders are in similar circumstances. They want the best of this, > that, and the other, but don't have a knowledgebase of testing to > demonstrate what works well together. > > --- Kevin Freels wrote: > > Thanks, but I've been there and done that. I have a program called > > process > > explorer that actually shows me all the process going on. Nothing > > there but > > my drivers, etc as described and stuff that needs to be there. I did > > just > > reduce my fonts from some 50 or so to about 25. We'll see how that > > goes. > > > > ----- Original Message ----- > > From: "Mike Lorrey" > > To: "ExI chat list" > > Sent: Friday, December 19, 2003 7:06 PM > > Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? > > > > > > > Keep an eye on all those TSRs that run down on the right hand end > > of > > > the task bar. They tend to pile up a lot. I have also noticed, at > > least > > > in XP, that many such programs that you install that should display > > an > > > icon down there don't, though the programs are running if you bring > > up > > > the task list in task manager. > > > Another thing that east resources are fonts. If you are not a > > graphic > > > designer, you really don't need a thousand and one fonts. > > Minimizing > > > your fonts down to a few dozen saves tons of resources. > > > Still another thing is a funky desktop image and lots of sounds and > > > animations on your icons and cursor actions. Get rid of em. > > > > > > --- BillK wrote: > > > > On Fri Dec 19, 2003 05:29 pm Kevin Freels wrote: > > > > > Once I have my soundcard driver, mouse driver, video card > > > > > driver, ZoneAlarm, DSL (EnterNet 300 which sucks all by > > itself), > > > > and > > > > > Norton AV running, I get resources available of 68%. > > > > > > > > > > > > > Sounds excessive to me. > > > > I have Win98, 256MB memory, and when I load all the drivers, plus > > > > Nvidia > > > > graphics drivers plus Cable Internet, Sygate Personal firewall, > > AVG > > > > antivirus and Mozilla Mail and Browser, I have resources > > available of > > > > about 83% GDI, 80% USER and 80% SYSTEM. > > > > > > > > I usually have lots more than this running quite happily. > > > > > > > > Try different software? > > > > > > > > BillK > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > > _______________________________________________ > > > > extropy-chat mailing list > > > > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > > > > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > > > > > > > > > ===== > > > Mike Lorrey > > > "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." > > > - Gen. John Stark > > > "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." > > > - Mike Lorrey > > > Do not label me, I am an ism of one... > > > Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com > > > > > > __________________________________ > > > Do you Yahoo!? > > > New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. > > > http://photos.yahoo.com/ > > > _______________________________________________ > > > extropy-chat mailing list > > > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > > > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > > > > > _______________________________________________ > > extropy-chat mailing list > > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > > > ===== > Mike Lorrey > "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." > - Gen. John Stark > "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." > - Mike Lorrey > Do not label me, I am an ism of one... > Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com > > __________________________________ > Do you Yahoo!? > New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. > http://photos.yahoo.com/ > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From cmcmortgage at sbcglobal.net Sat Dec 20 05:39:37 2003 From: cmcmortgage at sbcglobal.net (Kevin Freels) Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 23:39:37 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? References: <5.1.0.14.2.20031219223852.035c6e90@mail.comcast.net> Message-ID: <008601c3c6bb$aef0b360$5253fea9@sbcglobal.net> ----- Original Message ----- From: "David Lubkin" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Friday, December 19, 2003 10:02 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? > >1.) Will it run all software designed for Win98? > > No! It's mostly games and educational software that won't work. I keep a > clunker around for that, or use VMware, which is excellent for running > multiple operating systems simultaneously. I used to use System Commander > to switch between multiple OS's at boot time, but it's a messier solution. OK. I don't play games or use educational software. I am guessing that you are referring to the older DOS based stuff and really simple program leftovers from Win3.x. I remember some games that ran "outside" the Windows environment. Or am I way off base here. Maybe I shoudl be asking if the "normal" stuff works on Win2k like PaintShop Pro 6, Norton Anti-virus, Acrobat Reader, Office 2000, ZoneAlarm, etc. I don;t want to upgrade and find that I need to buy a bunch of new software. Also, you mentioned that I wouldn't need the disk for the upgrade. What I was envisioning was a scenario where my whole system is lost and I have to reformat the hard drive and re-load Windows. If I buy the upgrade, I would have to load Win 98, then the Win2k upgrade. Given the age of my Win98 disk(4 years old) and it's condition from being put in and out so many times when installing drivers and crap, I am probably better off buying the full version. The fact that I don;t have to call in to register it really sums it up for me. I've had a friend who went through 4 hard drives ni 2 months (came to find out he had the computer sitting right on top of a heating vent!) By the fourth install, Microsoft started giving him a hard time because each time, he took the opportunity to change a different part in the computer and the computer "looked" like a different computer to them. I appreciate the tips. I guess I know what to ask for for Newtonmas! From gpmap at runbox.com Sat Dec 20 05:53:05 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 06:53:05 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Reith Lectures 2003: The Emerging Mind Message-ID: >From Kuro5hin: The BBC inaugurated the Reith Lectures in 1948. Every year a leading figure is invited to deliver a series of public lectures informed by their particular field of expertise. The purpose of the lectures is "to advance public understanding and debate about significant issues of contemporary interest". The first Reith Lectures were given by Bertrand Russell and notable contributors have consented to participate ever since. Former Reith Lecturers include Robert Oppenheimer, JK Galbraith, John Searle, Steve Jones and Edward Said. This year's Reith Lecturer was Professor Vilayanur Ramachandran, Director of the Centre for Brain and Cognition and professor with the Psychology Department and the Neurosciences Programme at the University of California, San Diego. Professor Ramachandran's approach to neuroscience is guided by the principle that the examination of unusual and rare neurological disorders can yield fresh insights into the mechanisms of the normal brain. Many of the disorders he investigates have been known to medicine for some time, neglected as borderline cases or mere curiosities until now. In a series of lectures entitled The Emerging Mind, Professor Ramachandran takes the listener on a tour of unusual psychological phenomena and, through an examination of the associated neurology, arrives at some startling conclusions about the human brain. He goes on to consider the possible implications of these conclusions for subjects as varied as consciousness, identity, free will, religion, aesthetics, art and the origins of language. Both the lectures and the discussions can be read in transcript form or listened to as a RealAudio stream. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From extropy at unreasonable.com Sat Dec 20 06:48:43 2003 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 01:48:43 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: <008601c3c6bb$aef0b360$5253fea9@sbcglobal.net> References: <5.1.0.14.2.20031219223852.035c6e90@mail.comcast.net> Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031220011841.02875ec8@mail.comcast.net> At 11:39 PM 12/19/2003 -0600, Kevin Freels wrote: >OK. I don't play games or use educational software. I am guessing that you >are referring to the older DOS based stuff and really simple program >leftovers from Win3.x. I remember some games that ran "outside" the Windows >environment. Or am I way off base here. No, I'm talking about 32-bit Windows software like Scrabble, ChessMaster, and a lot of foreign language software. They genuinely require the single-user OS variants, usually for graphics. (Sometimes I've found software that doesn't list NT or 2000 but works anyway. This is the stuff that flat doesn't work.) >Maybe I shoudl be asking if the "normal" stuff works on Win2k like >PaintShop Pro 6, Norton Anti-virus, Acrobat Reader, Office 2000, >ZoneAlarm, etc. I don;t want to upgrade and find that I need to buy a >bunch of new software. These are all things I use, and they all work fine and won't need to be upgraded. Although I do recommend Norton SystemWorks Professional Edition for monitoring your system. (I'm not 100% happy with it and am open to suggestions for alternatives. I suppose I should check if they've fixed what I can't stand.) >Also, you mentioned that I wouldn't need the disk for the upgrade. What I >was envisioning was a scenario where my whole system is lost and I have to >reformat the hard drive and re-load Windows. If I buy the upgrade, I would >have to load Win 98, then the Win2k upgrade. Given the age of my Win98 >disk(4 years old) and it's condition from being put in and out so many times >when installing drivers and crap, I am probably better off buying the full >version. That is a valid point but I think you should be able to borrow a friend's Win 98 disk to reinstall off, or make a copy of if either of you has a CD-R drive. After all, you own a licensed copy. You are allowed to do this under copyright law. Why pay more? One thing to watch out for on buying a Windows CD off eBay or equiv. When I was actively tracking what Microsoft was up to, I paid them a couple thousand a year for an MSDN (Microsoft Developer's Network) subscription. Which gave me a copy of every OS, every development tool, server, database, office product, etc., in every version, in every language they sell. It's very convenient, and is one thing they've done a pretty good job on. The one caveat, which has bitten me, and may bite you, is that you don't get a bootable CD with, say, Windows 98 in English. You get a CD that contains every single language version of Windows 98. This is fine most of the time. But if you have a blank hard drive, you have an awkward time installing the OS since you can't boot off the CD. I've handled this different ways. On one system, the simplest way was to pull out MS-DOS 6.22 on floppies, then install Windows 3.1, and on, recapitulating phylogeny. Don't do this. Confirm that the CD you buy is bootable. >The fact that I don;t have to call in to register it really sums it up for >me. I've had a friend who went through 4 hard drives ni 2 months (came to >find out he had the computer sitting right on top of a heating vent!) Interesting. Years ago I went through two monitors in short order because we had a cat who'd curl up on it when she could -- blocking the cooling vents and getting cat hair in the innards. -- David Lubkin. From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Sat Dec 20 08:22:39 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 03:22:39 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <00a001c3c6d2$72253a20$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Kevin Freels wrote, > This is what I heard and is why I have chosen (so far) to > stay with the KNOWN evil rather than jump to a new one. As > much as I love technology, something inside me as afraid to > give up the command prompt ability! This is why I like the MacOS X. It has the Macintosh gui for the graphical interface and a unix command prompt for the command-line interface. It has all the same shells to choose from as unix or linux, so the commands are the same. Scripts that run on unix or linux will run on the Mac as well. The Unix command prompt is much more powerful that DOS. You can chain a lot of commands together, with filters and reformatting between the chain links. The commands actually run simultaneously, so that each line of out put of one gets processed in the next at the same time. Unlike DOS which captures all the output from the first program before inputting it to the second program. It also has full job control, where you can run commands in the background, switch between them, set priorities, etc. BillK wrote, > Sounds excessive to me. > I have Win98, 256MB memory, and when I load all the drivers, > plus Nvidia graphics drivers plus Cable Internet, Sygate > Personal firewall, AVG antivirus and Mozilla Mail and > Browser, I have resources available of about 83% GDI, 80% > USER and 80% SYSTEM. Be aware that Win98 reports percentage of virtual memory, not actual memory. Your 80% free may be using all your available memory and swapping some into your virtual memory. Tuning it down to fit only in real memory will greatly speed up the machine. You can test this theory by setting your virtual memory to a static size instead of letting the system do it. Then if you double your virtual memory, you can see your resources appear to cut in half. Or if you half your virtual memory, you can see your resources appear to double. (Be prepared to boot into safe mode to set this back if you cut back too far.) Kevin Freels wrote, > > How complex is that software? If it's simple, there's a good chance > > that will run under Wine (a windows emulator for Linux), or > > some other emulator/Virtual PC. I have always had good results running WINE under unix or Virtual PC under Mac. Everything ran fine, just slower than the native machine would be. Under Virtual PC on a Mac, I have installed RedHat Linux, DOS, Windows 95, 98, and ME for testing purposes. All of them loaded from the PC CD's and couldn't tell the Mac from a PC. Mike Lorrey wrote, > Keep an eye on all those TSRs that run down on the right hand > end of the task bar. They tend to pile up a lot. I have also > noticed, at least in XP, that many such programs that you > install that should display an icon down there don't, though > the programs are running if you bring up the task list in > task manager. If you right-click the task bar and go to Properties, there is a checkbox to hide inactive icons. This will hide running programs when you haven't accessed their taskbar icon menu for a while. There also are more advanced options to hide or unhide individual programs. Also, many XP programs are starting to have their own preference for whether they should show up in the task bar or not. These tend to get reset a lot, and I go in and reset them back. Turning them off and back on can also make them reappear, even if the preferences panel claims they are already turned on. David Lubkin wrote, > Two things I did do to improve the system -- I'd had > thousands of fonts installed; it's down to a few hundred now. > And I got rid of a lot of the processes I don't want that > were lurking in the background. See > http://www.answersthatwork.com/Tasklist_pages/tasklist.htm. This is an excellent resource. I am amazed at how much junk is installed with Windows, and gets installed later by all different programs. There are usually dozens of invisible programs running in the background that are not ever needed by most people. This is useful for plug-and-play or universal support, but it leaves a lot of opportunity for cleanup as well. Mike Lorrey wrote, > Something else I have noticed: when you have one browser > window on a YABB SE supported forum, and another browser > window on Friendster, images will fail to load and eventually > the browser will crash. I have seen this problem with the Extropy BBS. I debugged it down to YABB referencing its own page objects incorrectly. The way they did it did not refer to the current window, but the topmost window or first window or some such sloppiness that might not get the right window when more than one window was open. If the other window had forms with similar object types in it, YABB ended up accessing and trying to change windows it didn't own, causing errors and inconsistencies between what it thought it had set and what ended up getting set in its own window. > I am also convinced that lots of OS crashes are not the fault > of the OS or any programs installed. They are the fault of > the particular combination of hardware you have installed on > the motherboard, particularly the video card. This is very true. I travel around a lot doing consulting, and am often plugging my laptop into different monitors, networks, printers, etc. The stability of my system was dramatically different while I was plugged into different things. I quickly learned which devices made my system flakey and which ones didn't. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From extropy at audry2.com Sat Dec 20 11:40:45 2003 From: extropy at audry2.com (Major) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 19:40:45 +0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Interview with a Luddite - Kevin Kelly's US$1, In-Reply-To: <184670-2200312519195152459@M2W061.mail2web.com> (natashavita@earthlink.net) Message-ID: <200312201140.hBKBejl17980@igor.synonet.com> > Kelly: OK. [...] I bet you US$1,000 that in the year 2020, we're not > even close to the kind of disaster you describe - a convergence of > three disasters: global currency collapse [...] > > Sale: [Pauses. Then smiles.] OK. If Sale is wrong about the future, he looses $1k; if Sale is right about the future, we wins $1k (which by the stated conditions of the bet is worthless as the currency has collapsed). He He. Sucker bet. (I prefer my sucker bets to pay off sooner though 8-) Major From eugen at leitl.org Sat Dec 20 10:45:01 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 11:45:01 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <20031220104501.GQ21411@leitl.org> On Fri, Dec 19, 2003 at 05:58:00PM -0500, Brian Lee wrote: > I just wanted to mention this as the "Windows has to be rebooted once every > n units of time" FUD hasn't been applicable since windows2000 (or maybe > even NT4sp3). I guess I'm just a power user. The other people in the office don't reboot nearly as often. Whatever I'm doing, it's reproducible. The patcheritis is what all current desktop systems have; *BSD as server somewhat less so. The instability is hardly a Windows problem, however, you have to design a system properly (e.g., if you have a recent ATI an OpenGL screen blanker can lock up your Linux kernel, etc). I'm disgusted with the engineering aspect of all modern consumer-grade systems, whether hardware or software. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From eugen at leitl.org Sat Dec 20 12:18:22 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 13:18:22 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: <00a001c3c6d2$72253a20$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> References: <00a001c3c6d2$72253a20$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <20031220121822.GR21411@leitl.org> On Sat, Dec 20, 2003 at 03:22:39AM -0500, Harvey Newstrom wrote: > This is why I like the MacOS X. It has the Macintosh gui for the graphical Yeah, I second that encouragement. OS X is lots of work if all you want to do is to run a UNIX, but it's definitely a good computing experience if you don't have to run Windows (I use a sacrificial box for that, or run an emulator -- WINE is a pain, so I use VMware with cracked serials). You can use OpenOffice (not yet even carbonized), if you install Apple's X Server. Just get used to those frequent multi-MByte patches, most of them requiring a reboot. I definitely miss that apt-get dist-upgrade nonintrusiveness. > interface and a unix command prompt for the command-line interface. It has > all the same shells to choose from as unix or linux, so the commands are the > same. Scripts that run on unix or linux will run on the Mac as well. The Superficially, it's a *nix, but there are lots of maddening, unnecessary deviations from a standard. If you're an old UNIX hand, get thee to http://fink.sourceforge.net/ > Unix command prompt is much more powerful that DOS. You can chain a lot of > commands together, with filters and reformatting between the chain links. > The commands actually run simultaneously, so that each line of out put of > one gets processed in the next at the same time. Unlike DOS which captures > all the output from the first program before inputting it to the second > program. It also has full job control, where you can run commands in the > background, switch between them, set priorities, etc. Notice that you can have a good shell on a Windows machine as well, via cygwin. And next-generation shell from Redmond has some very interesting features (largely centered around .Net, but also useful for a *nix person). (Just don't forget the first-born clause in the EULA). > I have always had good results running WINE under unix or Virtual PC under Redmond owns Virtual PC now, so start expecting bad surprises. > Mac. Everything ran fine, just slower than the native machine would be. > Under Virtual PC on a Mac, I have installed RedHat Linux, DOS, Windows 95, > 98, and ME for testing purposes. All of them loaded from the PC CD's and > couldn't tell the Mac from a PC. I've had subtle hardware interfacing issues with VMware, but in the majority of cases it's a decent workaround. It can be only a migration help, anyway. > I have seen this problem with the Extropy BBS. I debugged it down to YABB > referencing its own page objects incorrectly. The way they did it did not > refer to the current window, but the topmost window or first window or some > such sloppiness that might not get the right window when more than one > window was open. If the other window had forms with similar object types in > it, YABB ended up accessing and trying to change windows it didn't own, > causing errors and inconsistencies between what it thought it had set and > what ended up getting set in its own window. Another illustration as to why using a GUI for a pure text exchange is solving a non-problem. > This is very true. I travel around a lot doing consulting, and am often > plugging my laptop into different monitors, networks, printers, etc. The > stability of my system was dramatically different while I was plugged into > different things. I quickly learned which devices made my system flakey and > which ones didn't. Designing a stable system takes an experienced engineer. And this is 2003. Is that pathetic, or what? -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk Sat Dec 20 12:27:22 2003 From: bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk (BillK) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 12:27:22 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? Message-ID: <3FE4402A.8080900@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> On Sat Dec 20, 2003 01:22 am Harvey Newstrom wrote: > Be aware that Win98 reports percentage of virtual memory, not actual > memory. Your 80% free may be using all your available memory and > swapping some into your virtual memory. Tuning it down to fit only in > real memory will greatly speed up the machine. You can test this > theory by setting your virtual memory to a static size instead of > letting the system do it. Then if you double your virtual memory, you > can see your resources appear to cut in half. Or if you half your > virtual memory, you can see your resources appear to double. > Correct. That's why I use the FreeMeter utility. Download from: FreeMeter itself uses 1480KB of Physical Memory and about 1% of GDI and 1% of Sys resources. Just for interest, I unloaded all the other programs I usually have running via the Close Program dialogue (Ctrl Alt Del), then closed one App at a time, to get some numbers out. The starting position is slightly higher than my previous email as I had a couple of utilities running that I had forgotten about Physical Memory 256MB Page (Swap) File 768MB Available % Available % Used % Available % Used GDI% User% Sys% 51.5 48.5 100 0 84 83 83 Unload Mozilla Browser and Email 62.7 37.5 100 0 90 88 88 Unload AVG antivirus 63.4 36.6 100 0 91 90 90 Unload Sygate Personal firewall 67 33 100 0 94 94 94 The only items left in the Close dialogue box now are Explorer and FreeMeter. I was quite surprised to see how little resources AVG used. I think Norton AV will use more than this. And Sygate also was quite low. Check how much ZoneAlarm uses. Best wishes, BillK From eugen at leitl.org Sat Dec 20 13:10:58 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 14:10:58 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: <3FE3D772.3080401@mindspring.com> References: <3FE3D772.3080401@mindspring.com> Message-ID: <20031220131057.GX21411@leitl.org> On Fri, Dec 19, 2003 at 10:00:34PM -0700, Alan Eliasen wrote: > In Win2K, the shell is actually called cmd.exe. It's a bit more > advanced than command.com; you can have (brain-dead, but better than > nothing) file completion and some other features. Get cygwin, and your pain will go away. > By the way, for those who bemoan Windows' lack of any useful > programming utilities, system tools, file manipulation tools, shells, > postscript processors, printing utilities, graphing utilities, text I bemoan one thing primarily: a greedy proprietary vendor. With a track record of malice and greed, paired with incompetence. > editors, etc., I've put together a pretty solid, mature CD of tools, > called "The APE" (Alan's Programming Environment). The nice thing about > the CD is that you can run all of these utilities directly off the CD, > installing nothing on the hard drive. You can carry it around and have I'd rather prefer support offered by the Debian team, than you, no offence. And I do carry a very useful system around everywhere I go: my iBook. > a pretty useful system anywhere you go. It's pretty well tested (3+ > years of use in the real world.) It's also quite useful for fiddling > with programs in a lot of different languages without the hassle of > finding and configuring compilers, etc. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From neptune at superlink.net Sat Dec 20 14:04:19 2003 From: neptune at superlink.net (Technotranscendence) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 09:04:19 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] POL: Abolishing Government Improves the Roads Message-ID: <008601c3c702$2b8b0920$b1cd5cd1@neptune> http://www.lewrockwell.com/edmonds/edmonds164.html I recall a few weeks ago that one of you brought up how privatizing the roads would not work. I cited Daniel Klein's work at the time (which, naturally, I bet none of you read:) and believed this article would be of interest as well. It's not a refutation of the anti-privatization argument, but just another counterpoint to it. (On the other hand, Klein's work is partly a refutation of the anti-privatization argument.:) Happy Holidays! Dan http://uweb.superlink.net/neptune/ From mbb386 at main.nc.us Sat Dec 20 14:21:18 2003 From: mbb386 at main.nc.us (MB) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 09:21:18 -0500 (Eastern Standard Time) Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: References: <20031220010626.60187.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: I did that and ... found I'd uninstalled a font that Windoze used. Bummer. Had to go get it again. So be careful! I'm sure if you have that problem, someone here can send you whatever font you've killed. :))) Regards, MB On Fri, 19 Dec 2003, Kevin Freels wrote: > Thanks, but I've been there and done that. I have a program called process > explorer that actually shows me all the process going on. Nothing there but > my drivers, etc as described and stuff that needs to be there. I did just > reduce my fonts from some 50 or so to about 25. We'll see how that goes. From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sat Dec 20 16:44:18 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 08:44:18 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031220164418.49666.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> --- Kevin Freels wrote: > Yeah, I've had the same trouble woth Corel applications. Now that you > mention it, my troubles became noticable after installing > wordperfect. Hmmm. > Coincidence? Depends on the version. I was running Ventura 7, which was a major upgrade of the application, and it came with lots of bugs that needed patching. Corel's policy at the time was recommend users use a Matrox G400 video card with their application. At the time this was a relatively higher end video card, so it took a while to convince my employers to spend the bucks on it. Upgrading to version 8 wasn't nearly as painful. But it is interesting that Corel would make recommendations as to type of video card to use with their applications. Corel is programming is applications in XML or a very XML-like language, or so I've been told. I was running NT4 at the time, which was way more stable than 98 or ME, and user colleagues elsewhere said that 2000 pro worked even better. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From bradbury at aeiveos.com Sat Dec 20 16:48:28 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 08:48:28 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] ASTRO: Spitzer/SIRTF images released In-Reply-To: <001101c3c649$919f3bf0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: [Not sure if I sent this before -- if its a duplicate byegones.] On Fri, 19 Dec 2003, Harvey Newstrom wrote: > [snip] SIRTF can see objects as small as "super-planets", which > they define as bigger than 100 Jupiters. > > So it seems that it would be impossible for SIRTF to see a Jupiter brain. Yes, Harvey, in a classical sense you are correct. But I believe the best description we have for a Jupiter Brain now is the one that Anders provided and I don't think it discusses power sources or heat signatures. While I would tend to agree that at near-IR wavelengths a Jupiter Brain around a star that uses normal solar power would probably not be detectable -- a free floating Jupiter Brain using internally power from fusion reactors could be detected. (I discuss this briefly as internally powered Matrioshka Brains in some of my papers -- but the same ideas would apply to Jupiter Brains.) That is what caused me to point out the asteroids. And though the asteroids cited are known, detecting dark asteroids such as carbonaceous chondrites at visible wavelengths can be quite difficult and is much easier for a telescope like SIRTF. And in most cases, whether for the absorption of visible solar energy or for the radiation of waste heat energy, the best materials involved are very dark and therefore difficult to detect at visible wavelengths. Robert From bradbury at aeiveos.com Sat Dec 20 17:19:11 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 09:19:11 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: <008601c3c6bb$aef0b360$5253fea9@sbcglobal.net> Message-ID: > If I buy the upgrade, I would > have to load Win 98, then the Win2k upgrade. Given the age of my Win98 > disk(4 years old) and it's condition from being put in and out so many times > when installing drivers and crap, I am probably better off buying the full > version. Symantec has bought PowerQwest -- get any of "Drive Image", "Partition Magic" or "Drive Copy" as suit your needs -- they aren't that expensive and will more than save you the hours of time involved in a system reinstall. Then go to one of the hardware vendors (like Insight) and buy yourself a large cheap drive (Insight has 20gb IDE drives for ~$60). Buy two if you are paranoid. Then install it, use Drive Copy (or one of the other tools) to partition it and copy partitions or the entire drive to the spare drive. Then you can either leave it installed or remove it. If you are running Win2K, you can set the drive up so that it powers down after N minutes of non-use (saves wear and tear and keeps the case cooler). You are rarely going to use it so you don't really care about the performance. I adopted a policy like this years ago and it makes me feel much more comfortable about my system reliability. I've got duplexed drives on my NT 4.0 server (also in Win2K) -- unfortunately not in my personal Win2K. But you can fix that using automated backups using one of the UNIX toolkits or manually run Drive Copy or Drive Image. The nice thing about these big drives is that I now have a huge partition that does nothing but store the gigabytes of software that I've downloaded off the net from time to time. Robert From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sat Dec 20 17:25:30 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 09:25:30 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031220172530.85659.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> Yes, windows system fonts should not be messed with. There are only about a dozen of them, though. They are typically one of the default fonts, i.e. if you load a document that is formatted in a font you don't have, and isn't loaded either in the document file or on the media that document came on, Windows will look at its default font and use that as a substitute. --- MB wrote: > > I did that and ... found I'd uninstalled a font that Windoze > used. Bummer. Had to go get it again. So be careful! I'm > sure if you have that problem, someone here can send you > whatever font you've killed. :))) > > Regards, > MB > > > On Fri, 19 Dec 2003, Kevin Freels wrote: > > > Thanks, but I've been there and done that. I have a program called > process > > explorer that actually shows me all the process going on. Nothing > there but > > my drivers, etc as described and stuff that needs to be there. I > did just > > reduce my fonts from some 50 or so to about 25. We'll see how that > goes. > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From bradbury at aeiveos.com Sat Dec 20 17:30:55 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 09:30:55 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] sjbrain calcs In-Reply-To: <000001c3c6b5$8ac2ac60$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: On Fri, 19 Dec 2003, Spike wrote: > I don't have the specs from the Lockheeed SIRTF, but my intuition > tells me any instrument of the 1 meter class would not have anywhere > near the resolution needed to distinguish a Jupiter-like SBrain > (SJBrain?) from its star, even if the SJBrain-star pair is in the > immediate neighborhood. Damn. {8-[ Spike, you have lost me. Is an SJBrain just a cloud of dust-like particles in orbit around a star the size of a JBrain? (Though Anders JBrain described in his paper is more Earth-sized than Jupiter-sized so I guess the size of a JBrain depends on who is designing it...) If so I don't think you should knock SIRTF too soon. Both the Terrestrial Planet Finder and Darwin plan to do most of their work in the IR frequency range because the signals from planets are much easier to differentiate from stars because more of the energy coming off of stars is coming off as visible and UV. You have to remember that SIRTF has a spectrograph as one of the instruments -- it remains an open question whether the IR from a planet (or an SJBrain) will produce enough of a bump in the IR spectra of the star that it could be noticed. But if you combine it with a variation of the current planet finding technique so that one sees regular variations of the IR spectra as the planet or SJBrain orbits the star then that is going to have the astronomers scratching their heads... Robert From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sat Dec 20 17:42:35 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 09:42:35 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] NET: Friendster in Tagalog Message-ID: <20031220174235.87331.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> To date, a number of people I know are into Friendster or other similar website. What I've noticed is a growing phenomenon is that the number of phillipina users, espec phillipina women, has been exploding. Reminds me of Neal Stephenson's Cryptonomicon plot that starts off laying cable into Manila so that migrant workers in the states can stay in touch with families at home. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From spike66 at comcast.net Sat Dec 20 18:12:29 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 10:12:29 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] sjbrain calcs In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <000001c3c724$d4d22dc0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > On Fri, 19 Dec 2003, Spike wrote: > > > ...1 meter class would not have anywhere > > near the resolution needed to distinguish a Jupiter-like SBrain > > (SJBrain?) from its star... {8-[ > > Spike, you have lost me. Is an SJBrain just a cloud of dust-like > particles in orbit around a star the size of a JBrain?... The theoretical SJBrain is a roughly spherical Jupiter-mass cloud of computronium particles about a light-minute in diameter, with the spherical (or galaxy-style flattened disk orbitting about a light-hour from the star. The particles are roughly spherical, about a micron diameter, mass of about a picogram, 30 to 50 billion atoms of carbon and silicon, with some other metals that are sure to be useful to an SJBrain node. This notion is only a slight variation on the traditional Bradburian MBrain, except that the nodes bunch together in a sphere to reduce the distance between them. My calculation compared the light-minute sphere against the 5 second diameter G star and estimated the surface temperature about 130K. Recall that Jupiter's diameter is a little less than half a second, so this light minute diameter SJBrain has a great deal of surface area from which to radiate. The total energy coming off the SJBrain in our direction is only 1/25000th as much as is coming off the star, but as you point out, it is waaaay down there in the spectrum, all the better for the Lockheeed SIRTF to see it. Taking the spectral argument into account, it is not clear to me that the SIRTF would not be detectible directly, if it is really close by. Heres another thought I had last night. If the SJBrain is held from gravitational collapse by rotation alone, like a galaxy) then of course it cannot be spherical, unless it is a series of rings like your MBrain. But the thing could be held into a spherical shape by having the particles hold a net electric charge. Since a Planck mass is about 10^19 GeV, that means that gravity is weaker by a factor of roughly 1 / (10^19)^2 = 1 / 10^38 than the electromagnetic force, 38 orders of magnitude. So if all the particles had a net positive charge, the cloud could be spherical with no sidereal rotation, and furthermore if the cloud had a charge gradient, with more charge inboard than outboard, it would be possible for any given particle to navigate to anyplace it wanted within the sphere. COOOL! Robert see what cool ideas your cool ideas spawn? {8-] > If so I don't think you should knock SIRTF too soon. Both the > Terrestrial Planet Finder and Darwin plan to do most of their > work in the IR frequency range because the signals from planets > are much easier to differentiate from stars because more of the > energy coming off of stars is coming off as visible and UV. Knock SIRTF? Im huuuge SIRTF fan. {8-] You should see the LMCNews floating around the plant this week. It was party time around there in the astronomy geek crowd, some major woo-hoo moments for sure. Our office Newtonmass party was filled with levity because of the SIRTF images. On a slightly more somber note, one of the big SIRTFers and all-around good-guy who works in my office was carried out on a stretcher yesterday. He was talking and the medics weren't running with him like they do on ER, so I suppose he is OK, but we haven't heard. He's mid 70s. {8-| I sincerely hope the life-extention guys score big, and score soon. > You have to remember that SIRTF has a spectrograph as one of > the instruments -- it remains an open question whether the > IR from a planet (or an SJBrain) will produce enough of > a bump in the IR spectra of the star that it could be noticed... > > Robert From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sat Dec 20 18:23:41 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 10:23:41 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] sjbrain calcs In-Reply-To: <000001c3c724$d4d22dc0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031220182341.11064.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> --- Spike wrote: > > > On Fri, 19 Dec 2003, Spike wrote: > > > > > ...1 meter class would not have anywhere > > > near the resolution needed to distinguish a Jupiter-like SBrain > > > (SJBrain?) from its star... {8-[ > > > > Spike, you have lost me. Is an SJBrain just a cloud of dust-like > > particles in orbit around a star the size of a JBrain?... > > > The theoretical SJBrain is a roughly spherical Jupiter-mass > cloud of computronium particles about a light-minute in diameter, > with the spherical (or galaxy-style flattened disk orbitting > about a light-hour from the star. The particles are roughly > spherical, about a micron diameter, mass of about a picogram, > 30 to 50 billion atoms of carbon and silicon, with some other > metals that are sure to be useful to an SJBrain node. I am wondering, since we are dealing with micron sized particles, whether you could actually have a sperical cloud rather than a dust ring without lots of collisions of particles. I am wondering if electrostatic repulsion would be sufficient at those scales to prevent actual collisions and instead replicate a form of brownian motion. Theoretically, by living off of solar energy, such particles could avoid loss of momentum that such motion would cause. This would also create an electrostatic bottle effect on solar wind, which would help keep the sphere inflated. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sat Dec 20 18:27:45 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 10:27:45 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031220182745.98641.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> --- Kevin Freels wrote: > > > > > How complex is that software? If it's simple, there's a good chance > that > > will run under Wine (a windows emulator for Linux), or some other > > emulator/Virtual PC. > It's pretty complex. It uses the SQL server thingy to do part of it's > job, > some other kinds of microsoft datasources whatever they are, and it > just > gets worse from there. I have also noticed that win98 has difficulty if you are using more than one ODBC driver at a time. Suggest you look into this. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From extropy at unreasonable.com Sat Dec 20 18:44:50 2003 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 13:44:50 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: References: <008601c3c6bb$aef0b360$5253fea9@sbcglobal.net> Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031220132408.038d7008@mail.comcast.net> Robert Bradbury wrote: >Symantec has bought PowerQwest -- get any of "Drive Image", "Partition Magic" >or "Drive Copy" as suit your needs -- they aren't that expensive and will >more than save you the hours of time involved in a system reinstall. Then >go to one of the hardware vendors (like Insight) and buy yourself a large >cheap drive (Insight has 20gb IDE drives for ~$60). Buy two if you are >paranoid. Then install it, use Drive Copy (or one of the other tools) >to partition it and copy partitions or the entire drive to the spare >drive. Then you can either leave it installed or remove it. If you >are running Win2K, you can set the drive up so that it powers down >after N minutes of non-use (saves wear and tear and keeps the case >cooler). Good idea. I've long been annoyed at how expensive tape or optical backup solutions are for anyone with hefty storage needs. And drives are finally getting cheaper faster than I can fill them up. I'm seeing prices more like $1/GB for IDE, though. CDW has 40 GB for your $60, 80 GB for $80, and a few honking big drives for under a buck a gig. Your answer is less useful for my laptop, since external drives are more expensive. But I suppose I could put the disk in a desktop machine and backup over the network. And it's a little more complicated for me, because I'm already running two IDE controllers for four drives, and I don't have any free slots. Has anyone had happy experiences with taking an internal drive, putting it in an enclosure, and using it as an external drive? -- David Lubkin. From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sat Dec 20 18:52:33 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 10:52:33 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] PROG: Alan's APEX In-Reply-To: <3FE3D772.3080401@mindspring.com> Message-ID: <20031220185233.49737.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> --- Alan Eliasen wrote: > > By the way, for those who bemoan Windows' lack of any useful > programming utilities, system tools, file manipulation tools, shells, > postscript processors, printing utilities, graphing utilities, text > editors, etc., I've put together a pretty solid, mature CD of tools, > called "The APE" (Alan's Programming Environment). snip... > The description of the tools available is here: > http://futureboy.homeip.net/ape/ > > Images can be downloaded from here: > http://futureboy.homeip.net/apezip/ Downloaded the large version, APEX, last night and I must say that it delivers a full selection of very useful free programs, and they are all virus free, according to my latest updated McAfee. Good work Alan! One thing I am wondering, though, Alan, can you give a list of what programs have potential spyware issues, as a form of buyer beware awareness??? ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sat Dec 20 18:53:04 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 10:53:04 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] PROG: Alan's APEX In-Reply-To: <3FE3D772.3080401@mindspring.com> Message-ID: <20031220185304.49836.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> --- Alan Eliasen wrote: > > By the way, for those who bemoan Windows' lack of any useful > programming utilities, system tools, file manipulation tools, shells, > postscript processors, printing utilities, graphing utilities, text > editors, etc., I've put together a pretty solid, mature CD of tools, > called "The APE" (Alan's Programming Environment). snip... > The description of the tools available is here: > http://futureboy.homeip.net/ape/ > > Images can be downloaded from here: > http://futureboy.homeip.net/apezip/ Downloaded the large version, APEX, last night and I must say that it delivers a full selection of very useful free programs, and they are all virus free, according to my latest updated McAfee. Good work Alan! One thing I am wondering, though, Alan, can you give a list of what programs have potential spyware issues, as a form of buyer beware awareness??? ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From eliasen at mindspring.com Sat Dec 20 19:26:33 2003 From: eliasen at mindspring.com (Alan Eliasen) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 12:26:33 -0700 Subject: [extropy-chat] PROG: Alan's APEX In-Reply-To: <20031220185304.49836.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> References: <20031220185304.49836.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <3FE4A269.2000701@mindspring.com> Mike Lorrey wrote: > Downloaded the large version, APEX, last night and I must say that it > delivers a full selection of very useful free programs, and they are > all virus free, according to my latest updated McAfee. Good work Alan! Just to note, there is a difference between the APEX and the APE. The APE contains "installed" programs that can be run directly from the CD. The APEX contains the *installers* for those programs, (so you have to run a bunch of install programs yourself if you want to use them) and installers for programs that, for some reason or another, cannot or should not run directly off of a CD (e.g. they need to write some garbage to the registry during installation, or they write temporary files to their own directory at runtime.) Just so ya know. For drop-in-and-run portability, the APE's the thing. > One thing I am wondering, though, Alan, can you give a list of what > programs have potential spyware issues, as a form of buyer beware awareness??? I know of no spyware or nags in any of the programs. They wouldn't be on there if they did (I have to take this to security-paranoid clients.) The only thing that I know of is that Java 1.4.2 (and not previous versions, I believe) can periodically check to see if there's a new version of Java available. It may be turned on by default, if you actually install Java 1.4.2 on your system (as opposed to just running it off the APE.) You can turn this behavior on and off from the Java Plug-in control panel (available from the Windows Control Panel.) I believe the process jusched.exe will be visible in your task list if this is running. "On the day 9 of each month at 6:00 AM, Java Update will check for updates. An icon will appear in the system tray if an update is available. Move the cursor over the icon to see the status of the update. You will be notified before the update is downloaded and before it is installed." Since this is new in 1.4.2, the latest version, I've never seen an update happen. In my experience, Sun's on the up-and-up, and I don't consider this spyware at all, but rather a good way to get timely (?!) bugfixes. For those who missed the original message, The description of the tools available is here: http://futureboy.homeip.net/ape/ Images can be downloaded from here: http://futureboy.homeip.net/apezip/ -- Alan Eliasen | "You cannot reason a person out of a eliasen at mindspring.com | position he did not reason himself http://futureboy.homeip.net/ | into in the first place." | --Jonathan Swift From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sat Dec 20 19:38:06 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 11:38:06 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] PROG: Alan's APEX In-Reply-To: <3FE4A269.2000701@mindspring.com> Message-ID: <20031220193806.12955.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> --- Alan Eliasen wrote: > > Mike Lorrey wrote: > > Downloaded the large version, APEX, last night and I must say that > it > > delivers a full selection of very useful free programs, and they > are > > all virus free, according to my latest updated McAfee. Good work > Alan! > > Just to note, there is a difference between the APEX and the APE. > The APE contains "installed" programs that can be run directly from > the CD. Was wondering if you could create multiple CD images so you could offer the full complement of programs that are in the APEX, so we can burn them all to, say, a two or three CD set??? ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From alito at organicrobot.com Sat Dec 20 19:59:08 2003 From: alito at organicrobot.com (Alejandro Dubrovsky) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 05:59:08 +1000 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: <20031220104501.GQ21411@leitl.org> References: <20031220104501.GQ21411@leitl.org> Message-ID: <1071950348.1015.2362.camel@alito.homeip.net> On Sat, 2003-12-20 at 20:45, Eugen Leitl wrote: > On Fri, Dec 19, 2003 at 05:58:00PM -0500, Brian Lee wrote: > > > I just wanted to mention this as the "Windows has to be rebooted once every > > n units of time" FUD hasn't been applicable since windows2000 (or maybe > > even NT4sp3). > > I guess I'm just a power user. The other people in the office don't reboot > nearly as often. Whatever I'm doing, it's reproducible. The patcheritis is > what all current desktop systems have; *BSD as server somewhat less so. > > The instability is hardly a Windows problem, however, you have to design > a system properly (e.g., if you have a recent ATI an OpenGL screen blanker > can lock up your Linux kernel, etc). > Yes, any bad driver can crash a monolithic OS's kawasaki. Got new hardware, expect problems (and if you got old bits too, crap hardware doesn't help). But it doesn't tend to stay in that state for long. Does it make OS design a trillion times easier though? I'm sure it does. Look at the state of all desktop microkernels. On my side, i haven't had a crash in about a year, and that was playing with probably (not provably) broken hardware (or at least win2000 on another machine didn't like it either). (btw, this doesn't mean my uptime is a year. I reboot on average every couple of months after a power outage, or to upgrade the kernel) (ah, yes, this is vanilla 2.4.${MAX(x)} linux, with tainted NVidia drivers). I don't miss those wasted couple of minutes terribly much. Writing this email probably took more time than all of those reboots combined. > I'm disgusted with the engineering aspect of all modern consumer-grade > systems, whether hardware or software. > >From the point of view of a not-yet-calcified member of the younger generation (which missed the awesomness of the 70s VMS, and the everything-has-been-done-in lisp machines) it is going quite well. DOS 4.0 -> linux-2.4.23 and TRS-80 -> duron 1gig have been up all the way (as well as every single other aspect of either consumer hardware or software (graphics card, network speed, storage capacity, monitor size/quality, content viewers, content writers, content organisers, content distributors, content availability, programming language compatibility with brain (not by much, i admit), interfaces (mice, scanners, sound)). I expect (naively perhaps) for these trends to continue. alejandro From eugen at leitl.org Sat Dec 20 19:50:17 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 20:50:17 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: <5.1.0.14.2.20031220132408.038d7008@mail.comcast.net> References: <008601c3c6bb$aef0b360$5253fea9@sbcglobal.net> <5.1.0.14.2.20031220132408.038d7008@mail.comcast.net> Message-ID: <20031220195017.GA32264@leitl.org> On Sat, Dec 20, 2003 at 01:44:50PM -0500, David Lubkin wrote: > Has anyone had happy experiences with taking an internal drive, putting it > in an enclosure, and using it as an external drive? Yes. There's a large market for external drive enclosures, both 3.5" and laptop drives, both IEEE 1394 and USB 1.1/2.0. I wonder why anyone would be buying a drive smaller than 250 GB, these days, though. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From eliasen at mindspring.com Sat Dec 20 19:55:19 2003 From: eliasen at mindspring.com (Alan Eliasen) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 12:55:19 -0700 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: <20031220131057.GX21411@leitl.org> References: <3FE3D772.3080401@mindspring.com> <20031220131057.GX21411@leitl.org> Message-ID: <3FE4A927.5020109@mindspring.com> Eugen Leitl wrote: > On Fri, Dec 19, 2003 at 10:00:34PM -0700, Alan Eliasen wrote: > >> In Win2K, the shell is actually called cmd.exe. It's a bit more >>advanced than command.com; you can have (brain-dead, but better than >>nothing) file completion and some other features. > > Get cygwin, and your pain will go away. Actually, Cygwin is on the APE. But it's one of the larger causes of my pain, when you look at its portability issues. :) One of the biggest problems is the way they do symbolic links--they actually set the "system" file attribute on each file that's a symbolic link and the operating system has to see that and act appropriately. Admittedly, it's half a Windows problem, but their solution doesn't work for anyone but themselves. Needless to say, there ain't no "system" bit on a CD. To make this run off a read-only medium, I have to selectively fix thousands of symbolic links by actually copying the file (if I fix too many, it's just wasted space as the same program might be called by 10 names.) The fact that the cygwin1.dll file isn't well-versioned and poorly-licensed makes it difficult to coexist with multiple versions of cygwin or redistribute anything linked with cygwin. It also stinks that mountpoints are crammed into the registry (why?) and aren't on a per-process basis; it makes it impossible to have different processes using different versions of cygwin or even different mount points. It makes it hard to have two versions of the APE running well at the same time. (Actually, everything works *but* cygwin.) Cygwin corrupts environment variables, too, (notably any paths) so you can't switch into a bash shell and switch back out to cmd.exe without that whole session geting hosed. But I'll admit, cygwin is outstanding when you're trying to compile and run a UN*X-only application under windows. I'm sure you've seen all of these problems. > I'd rather prefer support offered by the Debian team, than you, no offence. > And I do carry a very useful system around everywhere I go: my iBook. Good, because I don't offer support, other than the fact that I'm a nice guy and I'll answer questions if I can. :) I prefer the Debian team too. They're smarter than me. I certainly prefer Linux to running Windows; it's just that I also choose to ship product for Windows, and some of the tools I have only run under Windows, (e.g. packagers for some handheld devices) and most of my work has made me have to touch Windows at least half the time. And occasionally I have to drive around and steal cars and shoot people in Grand Theft Auto III. :) -- Alan Eliasen | "You cannot reason a person out of a eliasen at mindspring.com | position he did not reason himself http://futureboy.homeip.net/ | into in the first place." | --Jonathan Swift From eliasen at mindspring.com Sat Dec 20 20:06:32 2003 From: eliasen at mindspring.com (Alan Eliasen) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 13:06:32 -0700 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: <3FE4A927.5020109@mindspring.com> References: <3FE3D772.3080401@mindspring.com> <20031220131057.GX21411@leitl.org> <3FE4A927.5020109@mindspring.com> Message-ID: <3FE4ABC8.201@mindspring.com> Alan Eliasen wrote: > Actually, Cygwin is on the APE. But it's one of the larger causes of > my pain, when you look at its portability issues. :) One of the > biggest problems is the way they do symbolic links--they actually set > the "system" file attribute on each file that's a symbolic link and the > operating system has to see that and act appropriately. Clarification--it's not the operating system but *every application* that has to understand the "system" attribute trick. That's why other applications can't even share files in the cygwin tree reliably. -- Alan Eliasen | "You cannot reason a person out of a eliasen at mindspring.com | position he did not reason himself http://futureboy.homeip.net/ | into in the first place." | --Jonathan Swift From joe at barrera.org Sat Dec 20 20:29:20 2003 From: joe at barrera.org (Joseph S. Barrera III) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 12:29:20 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: <3FE4A927.5020109@mindspring.com> References: <3FE3D772.3080401@mindspring.com> <20031220131057.GX21411@leitl.org> <3FE4A927.5020109@mindspring.com> Message-ID: <3FE4B120.4020904@barrera.org> Alan Eliasen wrote: > The fact that the cygwin1.dll file isn't well-versioned and >poorly-licensed makes it difficult to coexist with multiple versions of >cygwin or redistribute anything linked with cygwin. > > It also stinks that mountpoints are crammed into the registry (why?) >and aren't on a per-process basis; it makes it impossible to have >different processes using different versions of cygwin or even different >mount points. It makes it hard to have two versions of the APE running >well at the same time. (Actually, everything works *but* cygwin.) > > God, more cygwin lovers/victims out there! I maintain a product that uses an embedded postgres database, and which allows side by side installs of different versions, each with its own postgres database. Which means multiple embedded installations of cygwin. What a nightmare. Can't wait until postgres runs on win32 w/o cygwin... coming RSN except that the postgres_win32 team is still figuring out how to natively emulate signals on win32. Aghh. - Joe From eugen at leitl.org Sat Dec 20 20:39:28 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 21:39:28 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: <3FE4A927.5020109@mindspring.com> References: <3FE3D772.3080401@mindspring.com> <20031220131057.GX21411@leitl.org> <3FE4A927.5020109@mindspring.com> Message-ID: <20031220203928.GB32264@leitl.org> On Sat, Dec 20, 2003 at 12:55:19PM -0700, Alan Eliasen wrote: > > Actually, Cygwin is on the APE. But it's one of the larger causes of Good! It's nice to pull the latest version, though, as it is in more or less vigorous development. > my pain, when you look at its portability issues. :) One of the > biggest problems is the way they do symbolic links--they actually set > the "system" file attribute on each file that's a symbolic link and the > operating system has to see that and act appropriately. Admittedly, > it's half a Windows problem, but their solution doesn't work for anyone It is a Windows problem. Cygwin can't implement real links on a file system that doesn't support them. > but themselves. I agree, cygwin is an ugly hack. However, the host is an even uglier hack, and you're just glad to find anything to make that pain go away. > Needless to say, there ain't no "system" bit on a CD. To make this > run off a read-only medium, I have to selectively fix thousands of > symbolic links by actually copying the file (if I fix too many, it's > just wasted space as the same program might be called by 10 names.) I have no idea how Knoppix feels on a FAT32 system. > The fact that the cygwin1.dll file isn't well-versioned and > poorly-licensed makes it difficult to coexist with multiple versions of > cygwin or redistribute anything linked with cygwin. Yes, a standard case of DLL hell. I deal with it (because people pay me for this pain, but not nearly enough) by building stuff on a consistent box, and just package cygwin1.dll with the system. > It also stinks that mountpoints are crammed into the registry (why?) > and aren't on a per-process basis; it makes it impossible to have > different processes using different versions of cygwin or even different > mount points. It makes it hard to have two versions of the APE running > well at the same time. (Actually, everything works *but* cygwin.) Aargh! Good thing I don't cygwin very often. > Cygwin corrupts environment variables, too, (notably any paths) so > you can't switch into a bash shell and switch back out to cmd.exe > without that whole session geting hosed. Aargh^2! > But I'll admit, cygwin is outstanding when you're trying to compile > and run a UN*X-only application under windows. I'm sure you've seen all > of these problems. Thankfully, not much of these. I tend to avoid them by avoiding to deal with Redmondware. Thankfully, this is getting easier and easier these days. Though some customers have still to see the light. > > I'd rather prefer support offered by the Debian team, than you, no offence. > > And I do carry a very useful system around everywhere I go: my iBook. > > Good, because I don't offer support, other than the fact that I'm a > nice guy and I'll answer questions if I can. :) I prefer the Debian > team too. They're smarter than me. It is a classical tradeoff. Lemmingware sucks, but no man is an island. I tend to stick to the systems I can handle. Redhat/Fedora is a tolerable tradeoff between support and flakiness on the desktop, Debian does it for the server. I haven't been touching *BSD because I'm trying to get away from IT altogether, so it doesn't make sense spending time learning something I won't have to deal with anyway. > I certainly prefer Linux to running Windows; it's just that I also > choose to ship product for Windows, and some of the tools I have only > run under Windows, (e.g. packagers for some handheld devices) and most Yeah, sometimes I have to shovel manure, too. > of my work has made me have to touch Windows at least half the time. > And occasionally I have to drive around and steal cars and shoot people > in Grand Theft Auto III. :) Luckily, I don't game. There's simply no option to Redmond there. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From eliasen at mindspring.com Sat Dec 20 20:48:59 2003 From: eliasen at mindspring.com (Alan Eliasen) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 13:48:59 -0700 Subject: [extropy-chat] PROG: Alan's APEX In-Reply-To: <20031220193806.12955.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> References: <20031220193806.12955.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <3FE4B5BB.4070105@mindspring.com> Mike Lorrey wrote: > Was wondering if you could create multiple CD images so you could offer > the full complement of programs that are in the APEX, so we can burn > them all to, say, a two or three CD set??? I don't want to sound non-responsive, but as I provide the APE and APEX as a courtesy to my friends, not as a product, I probably won't spend too much more time on packaging. I'm not trying to be a jerk about it, but it already takes up more time and space and bandwidth than I really should allocate to it, so what's there probably won't change too much. On the other hand, once you have the full, unabridged APE or the APEX zipfiles, then you can easily extract the files you want and pare them down and split them into whatever's appropriate for your 650 MB or 700 MB CD-ROM, or DVD-ROM, or 256 MB USB flash memory device, or business-card-size CD. People use it all these ways. I know downloading the whole monkey isn't at all efficient if you only want parts of it, but it's more or less the most efficient in terms of my time. Sorry! My customer service is better for real products, really. :) -- Alan Eliasen | "You cannot reason a person out of a eliasen at mindspring.com | position he did not reason himself http://futureboy.homeip.net/ | into in the first place." | --Jonathan Swift From eugen at leitl.org Sat Dec 20 20:50:05 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 21:50:05 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] sjbrain calcs In-Reply-To: <20031220182341.11064.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> References: <000001c3c724$d4d22dc0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> <20031220182341.11064.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20031220205005.GE32264@leitl.org> On Sat, Dec 20, 2003 at 10:23:41AM -0800, Mike Lorrey wrote: > > I am wondering, since we are dealing with micron sized particles, > whether you could actually have a sperical cloud rather than a dust > ring without lots of collisions of particles. I am wondering if You can't, of course. Spike, don't you know what happens at the poles, where all orbits intersect? > electrostatic repulsion would be sufficient at those scales to prevent > actual collisions and instead replicate a form of brownian motion. > Theoretically, by living off of solar energy, such particles could > avoid loss of momentum that such motion would cause. I don't see how you can actively control particle orbits without using solar sails (+PV panels as dual use), and this implies pretty big ones. At least somethign the size of your palm, depending on how it scales a lot bigger. > This would also create an electrostatic bottle effect on solar wind, > which would help keep the sphere inflated. You need a fat flux to keep dust motes (cubic micron is too small to package anything interesting in there) afloat, so you'll get your stuff cooked. Sorry, no can do, chief. Monolith clouds is more like it, though certainly far more gossamer. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Sat Dec 20 20:51:20 2003 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (Kevin Freels) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 14:51:20 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? References: <008601c3c6bb$aef0b360$5253fea9@sbcglobal.net> <5.1.0.14.2.20031220132408.038d7008@mail.comcast.net> Message-ID: > Has anyone had happy experiences with taking an internal drive, putting it > in an enclosure, and using it as an external drive? > I'm running two seagate 7200 rpm 40GB hard drives, both partitioned to 20 GB. C and E are the first drive and D and F are the second. C is just my system and software, D is a copy of the entire drive. D is all my data, and it is backed up to F. I use NovaStor backup to do the backing up daily. This only backs up files that have changed, new files, and deletes files that no long exist, so they are pretty much exact copies. I also backup once a week to a DVD RW and then once per month, I switch to a new DVD RW and save the previous one as it is. The weekly ones go in a fire safe and the monthly ones in a safe-deposit box. I guess that's all a bit anal, but in a worse case scenario, my customer data is irreplaceable. I used to have a 20GB drive in a box that was portable. It was an SCSI interface and I had pretty good luck with it. I've heard you can now do this with USB, but I haven;t seen it in action. From joe at barrera.org Sat Dec 20 20:56:07 2003 From: joe at barrera.org (Joseph S. Barrera III) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 12:56:07 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: <20031220203928.GB32264@leitl.org> References: <3FE3D772.3080401@mindspring.com> <20031220131057.GX21411@leitl.org> <3FE4A927.5020109@mindspring.com> <20031220203928.GB32264@leitl.org> Message-ID: <3FE4B767.6070401@barrera.org> Eugen Leitl wrote: > Yeah, sometimes I have to shovel manure, too. Damn it! Every time the opportunity comes up for me to point out that I really *have* shoveled manure as a job, I realize that Eugene is there really to win the "worst job ever" contest by pointing out that he's shoveled real live dead frozen heads, or something. Sigh. From xllb at rogers.com Sat Dec 20 20:59:40 2003 From: xllb at rogers.com (xllb at rogers.com) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 15:59:40 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] My dad's gun Message-ID: <20031220205940.KZKC448782.fep02-mail.bloor.is.net.cable.rogers.com@localhost> My earliest, clear memories include guns. In the early 1950?s my parents settled about 100 kilometers east of the Iguacu Falls on the border of Brazil and Paraguay. People got around by horseback. Men carried guns. We lived in a relatively lawless, rural area. Dad built our house out of roughly milled wood. Through half-inch walls, I couldn?t avoid hearing Mom and Dad discussing gun related deaths. ?You know Dona Isabella?s husband, Senor Manuel. He was shot in the head last night. He?s dead.? Just after dark the day before, we had all heard the shots from down at the bodega, a country store/bar a kilometer away. The sound, that somehow manages to be sharp and flat all at once, was common enough to be familiar to a five year old. The gun murders, suicides, accidents and funerals are clearer. A cycle of vengeance fed on itself. Guns were the most efficient way to enact it. My father kept a revolver ready in the kitchen. Poisonous snakes, tarantulas and scorpions visited regularly but the gun was kept available to scare meter-long lizards. They killed our chicks and stole eggs. They were far too quick to hit with any frequency. The gun served no other purpose. Ten years later my family had moved north to a massive leper colony in the center of the Amazon jungle. Two hours boat ride up river was an inland port called Manaus. There soldiers with guns blended into the crowds. Back at our site, most households had rifles and/or shotguns. I owned fifty percent of a 22-caliber rifle before I turned fifteen. A younger kid accidentally discharged it one night less than two feet from my head. The bullet landed on my bed. Snakes were around but ?serpentine? was named after them. They were a waste of bullets. Animals of most kinds avoided us. Tarantulas and such were squashable and most other pests fell foul of a machete chop. Some of the older kids hunted for fun. I tried it once. As I waited quietly, squatting on the jungle floor, a small bird landed five meters above me. Without thought I shot it. The silence was immediate. Then I wept. Today, watching live CNN video I cringe when reckless men fire handguns, rifles and machine guns into the air. Isn?t it ironic that those reckless men are celebrating freedom? "Dogma blinds." "Hell is overkill." -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: reply Type: multipart/signed Size: 4707 bytes Desc: not available URL: -------------- next part -------------- _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From xllb at rogers.com Sat Dec 20 21:03:39 2003 From: xllb at rogers.com (xllb at rogers.com) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 16:03:39 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] With Respect Message-ID: <20031220210339.LABX448782.fep02-mail.bloor.is.net.cable.rogers.com@localhost> With respect The topic on which I just posted stirs emotions on this list to a singular pitch. With respect I submit that the topic is currently appropriate for this forum. "Dogma blinds." "Hell is overkill." -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: reply Type: multipart/signed Size: 4707 bytes Desc: not available URL: -------------- next part -------------- _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat -------------- next part -------------- _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sat Dec 20 21:27:03 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 13:27:03 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] sjbrain calcs In-Reply-To: <20031220205005.GE32264@leitl.org> Message-ID: <20031220212703.30319.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> --- Eugen Leitl wrote: > On Sat, Dec 20, 2003 at 10:23:41AM -0800, Mike Lorrey wrote: > > > > I am wondering, since we are dealing with micron sized particles, > > whether you could actually have a sperical cloud rather than a dust > > ring without lots of collisions of particles. I am wondering if > > You can't, of course. Spike, don't you know what happens at the > poles, where > all orbits intersect? > > > electrostatic repulsion would be sufficient at those scales to > prevent > > actual collisions and instead replicate a form of brownian motion. > > Theoretically, by living off of solar energy, such particles could > > avoid loss of momentum that such motion would cause. > > I don't see how you can actively control particle orbits without > using solar > sails (+PV panels as dual use), and this implies pretty big ones. At > least > somethign the size of your palm, depending on how it scales a lot > bigger. Well, lets look at the inner region of the spherical cloud. You have particles grazing past each other but repelling all the time. Because they have been in orbit a long time, they have built up significant charges in their capacitor reservoirs that their computational and communications systems bleed potential off of for power. The computational structures might even be built into the dielectric compounds of the capacitor structure. The particles are built so that they maintain a surface charge that is identical to the charge of the solar wind. This exterior surface electrode doubles as a radio antenna to broadcast to other picarticles. And the surface also features regions of tungsten lattices to extract high quanta from solar flux and drain heat. Back to the orbital dynamics: in their pseudo-brownian motion, some particles will repel other particles in vectors that drops them below orbital velocity. They drop to lower orbits, pick up more solar flux, and are able to grab passing protons and hurl them onto new vectors at higher velocities with some of this flux, and rejoin the greater spherical community. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From extropy at unreasonable.com Sat Dec 20 21:41:27 2003 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 16:41:27 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Worst job In-Reply-To: <3FE4B767.6070401@barrera.org> References: <20031220203928.GB32264@leitl.org> <3FE3D772.3080401@mindspring.com> <20031220131057.GX21411@leitl.org> <3FE4A927.5020109@mindspring.com> <20031220203928.GB32264@leitl.org> Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031220162803.02f65048@mail.comcast.net> At 12:56 PM 12/20/2003 -0800, Joseph S. Barrera III wrote: >> Yeah, sometimes I have to shovel manure, too. > >Damn it! Every time the opportunity comes up for me to point >out that I really *have* shoveled manure as a job, I realize that >Eugene is there really to win the "worst job ever" contest by pointing >out that he's shoveled real live dead frozen heads, or something. Of all the worst jobs I've had, shovelling out a chicken coop in 110 degree weather is on the short list. At that temperature, it feels like half the manure is in a gaseous state above where you are shovelling. During the Yom Kippur War and the months afterwards before reservists were back at their jobs, I had an assortment of volunteer jobs to help out. Most profound was as an orderly in the ER of an evac hospital, listening to the soldiers discuss which of their wounds they would tell their families about. Most unpleasant was garbage crew, standing in hip-waders inside a dump truck on the garbage, as we loaded the biological waste from a maternity hospital. The worst job that comes to mind, though, is being one of the Orthodox Jews who go to a battlefield collecting body parts for proper burial. -- David Lubkin. From extropy at unreasonable.com Sat Dec 20 22:03:28 2003 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 17:03:28 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Worst job In-Reply-To: <5.1.0.14.2.20031220162803.02f65048@mail.comcast.net> References: <3FE4B767.6070401@barrera.org> <20031220203928.GB32264@leitl.org> <3FE3D772.3080401@mindspring.com> <20031220131057.GX21411@leitl.org> <3FE4A927.5020109@mindspring.com> <20031220203928.GB32264@leitl.org> Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031220170234.02bc01e8@mail.comcast.net> At 04:41 PM 12/20/2003 -0500, David Lubkin wrote: >The worst job that comes to mind, though, is being one of the Orthodox >Jews who go to a battlefield collecting body parts for proper burial. Clarification: I haven't had this job; it just sounds pretty awful. -- David Lubkin. From etheric at comcast.net Sat Dec 20 22:09:17 2003 From: etheric at comcast.net (R.Coyote) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 14:09:17 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Worst job References: <20031220203928.GB32264@leitl.org><3FE3D772.3080401@mindspring.com><20031220131057.GX21411@leitl.org><3FE4A927.5020109@mindspring.com><20031220203928.GB32264@leitl.org> <5.1.0.14.2.20031220162803.02f65048@mail.comcast.net> Message-ID: <02fc01c3c745$e96de4b0$0200a8c0@etheric> Worst Job I ever had is a tie 1: disemboweling thousands of freshly killed turkeys on an assembly line by hand, occasionally some bone spurs would project like jagged needles from broken ribs, jabbing deeply into the back of my hand thus squirting turkey abdominal fluids under my skin, right through the rubber gloves, day after day in sweltering heat and humidity. 2: cleaning a city parks latrine, where a supervisor would show up a bit earlier than I did every day that I worked, fill the toilet with paper and defecate copiously upon it then flushing it to overflow, forcing me to clean it up day after day. ( I HAD to have this job..) some people have a strange sense of humor (working for that city department caused my first impetus towards libertarianism) ----- Original Message ----- From: "David Lubkin" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Saturday, December 20, 2003 1:41 PM Subject: [extropy-chat] Worst job > At 12:56 PM 12/20/2003 -0800, Joseph S. Barrera III wrote: > > >> Yeah, sometimes I have to shovel manure, too. > > > >Damn it! Every time the opportunity comes up for me to point > >out that I really *have* shoveled manure as a job, I realize that > >Eugene is there really to win the "worst job ever" contest by pointing > >out that he's shoveled real live dead frozen heads, or something. > > Of all the worst jobs I've had, shovelling out a chicken coop in 110 degree > weather is on the short list. At that temperature, it feels like half the > manure is in a gaseous state above where you are shovelling. > > During the Yom Kippur War and the months afterwards before reservists were > back at their jobs, I had an assortment of volunteer jobs to help out. > > Most profound was as an orderly in the ER of an evac hospital, listening to > the soldiers discuss which of their wounds they would tell their families > about. > > Most unpleasant was garbage crew, standing in hip-waders inside a dump > truck on the garbage, as we loaded the biological waste from a maternity > hospital. > > The worst job that comes to mind, though, is being one of the Orthodox Jews > who go to a battlefield collecting body parts for proper burial. > > > -- David Lubkin. > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From cryofan at mylinuxisp.com Sat Dec 20 23:07:44 2003 From: cryofan at mylinuxisp.com (randy) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 17:07:44 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] My dad's gun In-Reply-To: <20031220205940.KZKC448782.fep02-mail.bloor.is.net.cable.rogers.com@localhost> References: <20031220205940.KZKC448782.fep02-mail.bloor.is.net.cable.rogers.com@localhost> Message-ID: On Sat, 20 Dec 2003 15:59:40 -0500, you wrote >Ten years later my family had moved north to a massive leper colony in the center of the Amazon >jungle. Two hours boat ride up river was an inland port called Manaus. You lived near friggin' **Manaus**? Holy moly.....that is really the back end of the Wild Place.... >Snakes were around but ?serpentine? was named after them. They were a waste of bullets. Animals of >most kinds avoided us. Tarantulas and such were squashable and most other pests fell foul of a >machete chop. Hmm. Now, as a child, I lived in West Texas. My family were sheep ranchers from way back, so we had several guns. My dad used a pistol occasionally to shot rattlesnakes discovered near the house. We also had a lot of dogs, whose function was in part to serve as sacrificial snake detectors. From time to time one would die from snakebite. >Some of the older kids hunted for fun. I tried it once. As I waited quietly, squatting on the jungle floor, >a small bird landed five meters above me. Without thought I shot it. The silence was immediate. >Then I wept. > We mainly shot deer, feral hogs, and an occasional javelina (they taste ok, if prepared properly). Also squirrels and rabbits from time to time. Turkey, too (wild turkey is excellent). Every now and then we would get a panther (we did not eat those, though I would like to taste it). >Today, watching live CNN video I cringe when reckless men fire handguns, rifles and machine guns >into the air. Isn?t it ironic that those reckless men are celebrating freedom? I also find this ritual bizarre. Oh well, each culture to its own idiosyncrasies. ------------- From hal at finney.org Sat Dec 20 23:53:40 2003 From: hal at finney.org (Hal Finney) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 15:53:40 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] I Robot commercial Message-ID: <200312202353.hBKNrej06254@finney.org> During the trailers preceding LOTR they showed a fake "commercial" for the NS-5, "the world's first fully automated domestic assistant". At first I wasn't sure it was fake, until they flashed up "3 Laws Safe!" as a selling point. I cracked up at that, although I was the only person in the audience to laugh. Anyway, they finally show a URL of www.irobotnow.com, and I realized that this was early marketing for the I, Robot movie. I think it was A.I. which had an elaborate web based marketing campaign, with lots of fake web sites about robotics, so maybe these guys are adopting a similar strategy (odd, since A.I. was considered a flop). As I recall, I, Robot was actually a short story collection mostly about the various ways robots could go wrong despite being "three laws safe". So I imagine the writers have considerable license to build whatever story they want as long as they use the character and company names from Asimov's collection. Hal From spike66 at comcast.net Sun Dec 21 01:38:33 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 17:38:33 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] sjbrain calcs In-Reply-To: <20031220205005.GE32264@leitl.org> Message-ID: <000001c3c763$25a75980$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > Eugen Leitl > Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] sjbrain calcs > > > Mike Lorrey wrote: > > > > I am wondering, since we are dealing with micron sized particles, > > whether you could actually have a sperical cloud rather than a dust > > ring without lots of collisions of particles. I am wondering if > > You can't, of course. Spike, don't you know what happens at > the poles, where all orbits intersect? The orbits need not have a common intersection point. In fact the orbits need not intersect at all. As a thought experiment, consider the MBrain scenario Robert B. and I calculated last time he was here. You have a number of nodes orbitting the sun, flat disks a centimeter across and perhaps 100 microns thick. These could orbit the sun in a number of concentric but not coplanar rings, with no two rings having exactly the same radius. Imagine each ring consisting of nodes spaced about a meter apart. Inside that ring is another ring with 1 meter smaller radius, with the orbit plane tilted a microradian, inside that another ring tilted another microradian, etc. From the point of view of any node, the nodes to her right or left are stationary, whereas the nodes a meter sunward are passing south to north at a relative velocity of about 6 cm per second (if I recall correctly) faster than a snail but slower than a tortoise. Any inavertent collision need not be a violent event. The nodes one meter anti-sunward would be passing 6 cm north to south, and those 2 meters outboard, 12 cm/sec and so on. This is a traditional Bradburian MBrain, since the orbits envelope the star. The SJBrain is a related idea: a mass of nodes that orbits a common center in about a minute-diameter sphere an hour out from the star. It too would consist of many concentric rings, noncoplanar and with no two rings having the same diameter. > I don't see how you can actively control particle orbits > without using solar sails (+PV panels as dual use), and this implies pretty big > ones. At least somethign the size of your palm, depending on how it scales a > lot bigger. Not necessarily. The station-keeping ability of a solar sailing node is not dependent upon its area but rather upon its thickness. For a given thickness of material, the mass and the area (thrust available from light pressure) scale directly together, or cancel. If I can make nodes 1000 atoms thick, it doesn't matter if they are a square micron or a square millimeter in area, right? So I am proposing station-keeping in the SJBrain using light pressure from the sun, but now I am going on to propose that this same trick still works even if the nodes are in a roughly spherical region of space an hour from the star. In fact the station-keeping might be easier out there, since the forces involved are much smaller. I am further suggesting that the common-center orbit speed could be made fairly low, since the resistance to gravitational collapse of the nodes could be assisted by electromagnetic repulsion. But even if it isn't, consider traditional orbit- mechanics, not assisted by either light pressure or EM forces. Jupiter's moon Metis (the closest one) orbits about a quarter of a light second from the CM of Jupiter and goes around in about .3 days, so an object orbitting 30 light seconds out would do it in about .3/(.5/30)^1.5= 140 days. Then as one goes inboard toward the SJBrain center of mass, the orbit tangential velocity actually goes down linearly, assuming no central mass. So no Brownian motion, Mike, no need for chaos, if we know how to manipulate matter at the atomic scale. Those 30-50 billion atom nodes will figure out where they want to be, then go there and stay there. Then of course if you made use of the available light pressure and EM forces, the relative velocities of the nodes could be made smaller than they would be otherwise, if one should decide that large relative velocities are undesireable. I suppose one could use light and EM forces to *increase* relative velocities of the nodes too, should Robert or someone explain a reason why such a thing would be desireable. Robert and other nano-groksters, how do we balance the desireability of more nodes vs larger nodes? What kinds of energies do you suppose we would need to run the kinds of calculation that would be done on those nodes, and what kinds of distance-related latencies could we tolerate? I suppose it depends on what it is we want the SJBrain to do. Certain tasks, such as searching for record primes, would favor fewer, farther spaced nodes, being highly tolerant of communications delays between nodes. But other tasks need faster communications between nodes. spike From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sun Dec 21 02:15:39 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 18:15:39 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] sjbrain calcs In-Reply-To: <000001c3c763$25a75980$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031221021539.70533.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> --- Spike wrote:> > So no Brownian motion, Mike, no need for chaos, if we know how > to manipulate matter at the atomic scale. Those 30-50 billion > atom nodes will figure out where they want to be, then go > there and stay there. I find it hard to believe that with a particle density of 6E11 per cubic meter that there would not be rather regular collisions in sphere. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From jcorb at iol.ie Sun Dec 21 02:27:45 2003 From: jcorb at iol.ie (J Corbally) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 02:27:45 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: extropy-chat Digest, Vol 3, Issue 29 In-Reply-To: <200312200233.hBK2X7E26048@tick.javien.com> Message-ID: <5.0.2.1.1.20031221022702.03201a10@pop.iol.ie> It would put a whole 'nother meaning to the Blue Screen of Death :) James... At 07:33 PM 12/19/03 -0700, you wrote: >Message: 4 >Date: Fri, 19 Dec 2003 10:45:11 -0500 > >From: "Harvey Newstrom" >Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] Paul Allen to be fourth Space Power >To: "'ExI chat list'" >Message-ID: <000e01c3c647$19c64df0$cc01a8c0 at DELLBERT> >Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii" > >Mike Lorrey wrote, > > This release from Scaled Composites confirms rumors that > > Microsoft co-founder Paul Allen is the financial backer of > > the SpaceShipOne project. If Scaled succeeds in winning the > > x-prize, this will make Paul Allen the fourth economic power > > in the world to gain independent manned space launch > > capability. IMHO this absolves Microsoft of all, or maybe > > just most, of all the evil things it has done... > >I hope it crashes less than Windows.... :-) > >But seriously, I told my partner about the SpaceShipOne project. He thought >it sounded exciting. He said he regretted not being younger and having a >healthy ticker so he could actually become involved with something like >this. This was the first interest he has shown in anything extropian I have >been interested in. This is real pioneering in his mind. He has little >interest in cryonics, immortality, uploading, AIs, etc. But getting into >space by private citizens (non-government) sounded interesting and plausible >to him. > >-- >Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC >Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, >NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC > > > > > >------------------------------ From thespike at earthlink.net Sun Dec 21 02:23:01 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 20:23:01 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] I Robot commercial References: <200312202353.hBKNrej06254@finney.org> Message-ID: <026a01c3c769$5d55bf60$ef994a43@texas.net> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Hal Finney" Sent: Saturday, December 20, 2003 5:53 PM > During the trailers preceding LOTR they showed a fake "commercial" > for the NS-5, "the world's first fully automated domestic assistant". > At first I wasn't sure it was fake, until they flashed up "3 Laws > Safe!" as a selling point. > As I recall, I, Robot was actually a short story collection mostly about > the various ways robots could go wrong despite being "three laws safe". Quite. That would be irony. (In American cinemas? Strange, I know.) Damien Broderick From neptune at superlink.net Sun Dec 21 02:42:07 2003 From: neptune at superlink.net (Technotranscendence) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 21:42:07 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] I Robot commercial References: <200312202353.hBKNrej06254@finney.org> <026a01c3c769$5d55bf60$ef994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <00a301c3c76c$07534940$cfcd5cd1@neptune> On Saturday, December 20, 2003 9:23 PM Damien Broderick thespike at earthlink.net wrote: >> As I recall, I, Robot was actually a short story >> collection mostly about the various ways >> robots could go wrong despite being "three >> laws safe". > > Quite. Indeed! In my opinion, some of the most boring pieces of science fiction ever written. But let me not speak badly of the dead! Asimov wrote some wonderful nonfiction. > That would be irony. (In American > cinemas? Strange, I know.) It happens, though usually when it's an import.:) Cheers! Dan http://uweb.superlink.net/neptune/MyWorksBySubject.html From jcorb at iol.ie Sun Dec 21 03:31:07 2003 From: jcorb at iol.ie (J Corbally) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 03:31:07 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: <200312202206.hBKM6LE25048@tick.javien.com> Message-ID: <5.0.2.1.1.20031221032647.031d6410@pop.iol.ie> Personally, my problem is with the stuff I run in the background, such as Folding at Home, Think and Prime95. They seem to suck up quite a bit of resources. I'd move to Win2K, but only if Age of Empires will still work :) I use Win2K in work on a notebook. I leave it in Standby at the end of the day and rarely need to reboot it. Plus I can open heaps of items with no crashing. BTW, anyone know a good program that can do scheduled, unsupervised, incremental backups from one disk drive to another in Win98/2K? James... At 03:06 PM 12/20/03 -0700, you wrote: >Message: 6 >Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 10:27:45 -0800 (PST) > >From: Mike Lorrey >Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? >To: ExI chat list >Message-ID: <20031220182745.98641.qmail at web12905.mail.yahoo.com> >Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii > > >--- Kevin Freels wrote: > > > > > > > > How complex is that software? If it's simple, there's a good chance > > that > > > will run under Wine (a windows emulator for Linux), or some other > > > emulator/Virtual PC. > > It's pretty complex. It uses the SQL server thingy to do part of it's > > job, > > some other kinds of microsoft datasources whatever they are, and it > > just > > gets worse from there. > >I have also noticed that win98 has difficulty if you are using more >than one ODBC driver at a time. Suggest you look into this. > >===== >Mike Lorrey >"Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." > - Gen. John Stark >"Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." > - Mike Lorrey >Do not label me, I am an ism of one... >Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com From jcorb at iol.ie Sun Dec 21 03:46:09 2003 From: jcorb at iol.ie (J Corbally) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 03:46:09 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Worst job In-Reply-To: <200312202206.hBKM6LE25048@tick.javien.com> Message-ID: <5.0.2.1.1.20031221034214.031d9aa0@pop.iol.ie> At 03:06 PM 12/20/03 -0700, you wrote: >Message: 27 >Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 14:09:17 -0800 > >From: "R.Coyote" >Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Worst job >To: "ExI chat list" >Message-ID: <02fc01c3c745$e96de4b0$0200a8c0 at etheric> >Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" > >Worst Job I ever had is a tie > >1: disemboweling thousands of freshly killed turkeys on an assembly line by >hand, occasionally some bone spurs would project like jagged needles from >broken ribs, jabbing deeply into the back of my hand thus squirting turkey >abdominal fluids under my skin, right through the rubber gloves, day after >day in sweltering heat and humidity. > >2: cleaning a city parks latrine, where a supervisor would show up a bit >earlier than I did every day that I worked, fill the toilet with paper and >defecate copiously upon it then flushing it to overflow, forcing me to clean >it up day after day. ( I HAD to have this job..) some people have a strange >sense of humor (working for that city department caused my first impetus >towards libertarianism) Sounds nasty, and you didn't even get to meet George Michael. Can't say that I've had a worst job really, just boring ones. Some office cleaning work. Worked with my Father, he made driveway gates, aluminium castings, security grilles, ornate lamps etc.. Basically anything you could fabricate from steel. Interesting if dirty work, but he's a hard man to work for. Short temper, runs in the family. BTW, did you ever devise a way to get him out of his little "joke"? Like bagging it all up and dispensing it on the bathroom floor in his home? :) James... From spike66 at comcast.net Sun Dec 21 03:48:02 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 19:48:02 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] sjbrain calcs In-Reply-To: <20031221021539.70533.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <000601c3c775$3bfc08e0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > --- Spike wrote:> > > So no Brownian motion, Mike, no need for chaos, if we know how > > to manipulate matter at the atomic scale. Those 30-50 billion > > atom nodes will figure out where they want to be, then go > > there and stay there. > > I find it hard to believe that with a particle density of 6E11 per > cubic meter that there would not be rather regular collisions > in sphere. > > ===== > Mike Lorrey Stretch thy imagination young man. {8-] If every node had a slight positive charge, the nodes would repel each other. The repulsion force would increase as the inverse square of the distance between em. spike From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sun Dec 21 05:13:52 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sat, 20 Dec 2003 21:13:52 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] sjbrain calcs In-Reply-To: <000601c3c775$3bfc08e0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031221051352.11216.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> --- Spike wrote: > > > --- Spike wrote:> > > > So no Brownian motion, Mike, no need for chaos, if we know how > > > to manipulate matter at the atomic scale. Those 30-50 billion > > > atom nodes will figure out where they want to be, then go > > > there and stay there. > > > > I find it hard to believe that with a particle density of 6E11 per > > cubic meter that there would not be rather regular collisions > > in sphere. > > > > ===== > > Mike Lorrey > > Stretch thy imagination young man. {8-] If every node had > a slight positive charge, the nodes would repel each other. > The repulsion force would increase as the inverse square of > the distance between em. Well, that was what I was getting at in my post. I thought you were saying that this electrostatic repulsion would not be needed??? ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From spike66 at comcast.net Sun Dec 21 08:19:57 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 00:19:57 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] sjbrain calcs In-Reply-To: <20031221051352.11216.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <000001c3c79b$388a4570$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > Well, that was what I was getting at in my post. I thought you were > saying that this electrostatic repulsion would not be needed??? > > ===== > Mike Lorrey Oh ok I catch. It could be the best way is a combination of concentric orbits and charge control to avoid collisions and so forth. Robert's original idea does not absolutely require charge control, but the idea is growing on me. If we had an SJBrain, the space in which the Jupiter mass of nodes resides is much smaller than the space occupied by a true Jupiter-MBrain, half a cubic light minute as opposed to Robert's 250,000 cubic light minutes. The notion of collision control in an SJBrain is more difficult. I still want to figure out a way to estimate optimal node size in general. If we assume von Neumann architecture and one transistor for every 50 atoms (which includes interconnect), a total mass of one Jupiter to work with, how do we decide if we want picogram nodes or big microgram nodes? The B-man needs to weigh in on this question. spike From eugen at leitl.org Sun Dec 21 10:15:25 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 11:15:25 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] sjbrain calcs In-Reply-To: <000601c3c775$3bfc08e0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> References: <20031221021539.70533.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> <000601c3c775$3bfc08e0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031221101525.GL32264@leitl.org> On Sat, Dec 20, 2003 at 07:48:02PM -0800, Spike wrote: > Stretch thy imagination young man. {8-] If every node had > a slight positive charge, the nodes would repel each other. > The repulsion force would increase as the inverse square of > the distance between em. spike Are you trying to prevent polar collisions via electrostatic potential? At few km/s orbital velocities? This is broken at so many levels I have troubles to begin. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From maxm at mail.tele.dk Sun Dec 21 12:59:55 2003 From: maxm at mail.tele.dk (Max M) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 13:59:55 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] I Robot commercial In-Reply-To: <026a01c3c769$5d55bf60$ef994a43@texas.net> References: <200312202353.hBKNrej06254@finney.org> <026a01c3c769$5d55bf60$ef994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <3FE5994B.7060907@mail.tele.dk> Damien Broderick wrote: >>During the trailers preceding LOTR they showed a fake "commercial" >>for the NS-5, "the world's first fully automated domestic assistant". >>At first I wasn't sure it was fake, until they flashed up "3 Laws >>Safe!" as a selling point. > >>As I recall, I, Robot was actually a short story collection mostly about >>the various ways robots could go wrong despite being "three laws safe". > > Quite. That would be irony. (In American cinemas? Strange, I know.) I Robot was among my first encounters with Sci-fi. Actually there was not a lot of translated sci-fi here in the DK. Asimov was one of the few translated authors I could get my hand on. And I absolutely loved it adn re-read it a bunch of times! Later on Asimov expanded the storyline with the "Steel Caves" series. He also had the "Foundation" series, and in the end bothe series got connected in a very clever way. I loved that series too. Well that was before cyberpunk came and changed my view on sci-fi. R. Daneel Olivaw, the robot from the steel caves lives for a long time, and is a good example of a proto Post-human -robot. http://homepage.mac.com/jhjenkins/Asimov/Books/Book011.html A few days ago I saw a "sort of" movie adaptation of "I robot" Bicentennial Man (1999) http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0182789/ It has Robin Williams as the robot, and the first part of it i thorougly enjoyed. But in the end he wanted to become human and die togther with his human wife. As if being human is the only thing to strive for. So I couldn't disagree more with the morale of the story. Actually I got so disgusted that I stopped watching right there. A robot that spent the entire movie trying to become more human, get stronger feeling, sensations etc., and when he finally does become human like, he comits suicide. Doh! To bad. I hope that "I Robot" will be better. regards Max M Rasmussen, Denmark From support at imminst.org Sun Dec 21 14:28:13 2003 From: support at imminst.org (support at imminst.org) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 08:28:13 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] ImmInst Update - Chat: Max More Message-ID: <3fe5adfd55add@imminst.org> ImmInst Update CHAT: Max More, Extropy & Physical Immortality *********************** Extropy Institute co-founder chats with ImmInst about Extropian concepts and the possibly of human physical immortality CHAT TIME: Sunday - Dec 21 @ 8pm Eastern http://imminst.org/forum/index.php?act=ST&f=62&t=431&s= Society of Venturism - David Pizer *********************** Former Alcor Vice President, current owner of the Creekside Preserve/Ventureville, David Pizer graciously grants ImmInst an interview concerning physical immortality, cryonics and Venturism. http://imminst.org/forum/index.php?s=&act=ST&f=67&t=2717&st=0#entry21173 Martin Reese - ImmInst Interview *********************** Author of "Our Final Hour", Professor of Astronomy and Cosmology and (from 2004) Master of Trinity College at the University of Cambridge, Martin Reese answers questions about the prospect of physical immortality. http://imminst.org/forum/index.php?act=ST&f=67&t=2699&hl=&s= Support ImmInst - Full Members = 58 *********************** Receive a free copy of ?Physical Immortality? magazine and a free copy of James Halperin's best selling book "The First Immortal" Join Now: http://imminst.org/index_join.php To be removed from all of our mailing lists, click here: http://www.imminst.org/archive/mailinglists/mailinglists.php?p=mlist&rem=extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org From iph1954 at msn.com Sun Dec 21 15:37:15 2003 From: iph1954 at msn.com (MIKE TREDER) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 10:37:15 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Christians on Nano Message-ID: Christianity Today magazine has two new articles involving a look from a Christian perspective at the promises and perils of nanotechnology and the ethical dimensions of its use with respect to the possibility of enhancing our minds and bodies. One is a short essay ,"The Techno Sapiens Are Coming", by C. Christopher Hook, director of bioethics education for the Mayo Graduate School of Medicine, and chairman of the Mayo Clinical Ethics Council. http://www.christianitytoday.com/ct/2004/001/1.36.html The other is an interview with bioethicist C. Ben Mitchel, a member of The Center for Bioethics and Human Dignity and an assistant professor of bioethics and contemporary culture at Trinity International University. http://www.christianitytoday.com/ct/2004/001/2.42.html _________________________________________________________________ Tired of slow downloads? Compare online deals from your local high-speed providers now. https://broadband.msn.com From bradbury at aeiveos.com Sun Dec 21 15:37:25 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 07:37:25 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] sjbrain calcs In-Reply-To: <000001c3c763$25a75980$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: On Sat, 20 Dec 2003, Spike wrote: > Not necessarily. The station-keeping ability of a solar > sailing node is not dependent upon its area but rather upon > its thickness. For a given thickness of material, the > mass and the area (thrust available from light pressure) > scale directly together, or cancel. If I can make nodes > 1000 atoms thick, it doesn't matter if they are a square > micron or a square millimeter in area, right? Hmmm... this raises some interesting -- are you intending to harvest the PV energy and use it to power your micronodes? This raises the questions of whether you can vary the photon absorption v. reflectivity ratio and whether you can have directional heat emission out the backside? If one imagines an arrangement of TI micromirror like frontside and backside architectures things get interesting. On the frontside you have one side of the micro-planar device(s) be reflective (functioning as a solar sail) and the other side of the micro-planar device(s) be absorptive (functioning as a solar cell). Obviously if one can vary the angle and number and location of absorptive v. reflective devices one has some interesting attitude control v. power consumption capabilities and tradeoffs. Then on the back side, the best heat radiator would be a planar surface that radiates omnidirectionally -- but with an micro-planar array of radiators one presumably can tilt them to preferentially radiate in a specific direction. Probably isn't as efficient as the reflective capabilities of the frontside array but you have to dump the heat someplace anyway -- why not use it for navigational purposes? I would guess the optimization of power intake, attitude control and heat radiation efficiency is going to be reasonably complex and highly dependent on the computational and communications architecture (nobody has discussed what kind of effect inter-node photons for communications purposes might have...). However, Spike/Mike/Eugen -- I suspect that to cram this much hardware into a node (micro-mirror type arrays, nanocomputer, communicatiosns capabilities) even using nanotech is going to result in something slightly larger than "dust". It may however be much smaller than the architecture for MBrains. That assumed 100,000 W Drexlerian 1 cm^3 nanocomputers for the greatest computational density per node. And one needs rather large solar arrays to collect 100,000 W. An JBrain on the other hand tended to be optimized for greatest internode communications capacity. An SJBrain seems to fall someplace in between. In terms of distribution of ones mind/copies in an MBrain architecture each node has the capacity of perhaps a million human minds. In a SJBrain I doubt the nodal capacity is that high. You may have to distribute your mind over a number of nodes within the same orbital ring. Its going to make for interesting social structures. You can of course always talk to your nearest neighbors within your orbital ring and they can talk to their neighbors and so forth. Communications delays go up depending on the number of hops. But things get more interesting if you want to talk to an individual orbital rings inward or orbital rings outward from your current position. The highest bandwidth/minimal delay time seems only likely to take place when the individuals have orbited to within their nearest distance to each other (kind of like scientists on Earth sending probes to Mars every few years taking advantage of when the trip will be fastest). Otherwise you have to transmit the data to the nearest inward or outward node, it has to go around that orbital ring, the reply comes back around that orbital ring and then probably gets communicated back to you by a different node within that orbital ring. But that is slower because all of the nodes are handling a certain amount of non-self traffic. Obviously ones greatest bandwidth will be to nearby individuals within ones on ring. And so it is likely that they will form the most powerful multi-minds. Robert From mark at permanentend.org Sun Dec 21 17:03:00 2003 From: mark at permanentend.org (Mark Walker) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 12:03:00 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Affective computing: Candy bars for the soul References: <5.2.1.1.2.20031215121713.01eec398@mail.gmu.edu> Message-ID: <002d01c3c7e4$4b33e930$2ee4f418@markcomputer> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Robin Hanson" Probably > the biggest way in which our minds have been misled, relative to the > ancient problems they were designed to solve, is whatever it is that causes > the demographic transition, causing rich societies to have far fewer > children than evolution could possibly have "intended." I wish we > understood this better; it might give us a better clue about the other > problems. > > I'm not sure I understand the problem you are alluding to here Robin. If I understand the question then I wonder why the "simple" answer is not correct. If you'll forgive the teleological talk, evolution "wants" us to have as many viable offspring as possible. Until very recently evolution was able to achieve this "desired" end by us wanting to have sex and wanting to raise our own children. Evolution never had to "worry" about us not wanting children but now with birth control this is possible. The point then is that wanting to raise our own children is conceptually and causally distinct from wanting children. Evolution never had to deal with the midpoint in the causal chain between having sex and wanting to raise our own children. So if this is correct then what would be more surprising is if rich societies never acted on their desire for sex, or if when children were on the way many parents in rich societies gave them up for adoption. In terms of maximizing one's viable progeny giving up as many children for adoption might make the most evolutionary sense. This would allow one to focus one's energies on reproducing rather than squandering them on breast feeding, midnight diaper changes and other physically and emotionally draining activities. Cheers, Mark Mark Walker, PhD Research Associate, Philosophy, Trinity College University of Toronto Room 214 Gerald Larkin Building 15 Devonshire Place Toronto M5S 1H8 www.permanentend.org From dirk at neopax.com Sun Dec 21 17:29:44 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 17:29:44 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] a frightfully difficult sacred problem References: <20031220030353.71905.qmail@web60510.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <02d801c3c7e8$05dd38b0$9cb26bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: The Avantguardian To: ExI chat list Sent: Saturday, December 20, 2003 3:03 AM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] a frightfully difficult sacred problem Yeah, if just any copy of the Koran is that sacred and absolute, all people in the US and Israel would have to do to protect themselves against terrorist bombings would be to put copies of the Koran in planes, buildings, and on busses. Of course this assumes that terrorism is an islamic religious phenomenon, which despite the claims of its practitioners, it isn't. Which reminds me of something someone posted in a NG to illustrate what morons Moslems were. The poster was laughing at their assertion that the 'final days' will be known to the faithful by several signs. A couple of which is that pots and pans, and even bootlaces, will begin to talk. Needless to say, it wasn't a tech forum, but I did point out the irony involved in such ignorance. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From naddy at mips.inka.de Sun Dec 21 17:36:41 2003 From: naddy at mips.inka.de (Christian Weisgerber) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 17:36:41 +0000 (UTC) Subject: [extropy-chat] What ever became of Crit? Message-ID: Speaking of improving computers, what ever became of Ka-Ping Yee (Foresight)'s Crit? The remaining references on the Web suggest that it never arrived in the 21st century. Are there any other Web annotation system out there? -- Christian "naddy" Weisgerber naddy at mips.inka.de From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sun Dec 21 17:46:43 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 09:46:43 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] a frightfully difficult sacred problem In-Reply-To: <02d801c3c7e8$05dd38b0$9cb26bd5@artemis> Message-ID: <20031221174643.59460.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > > > Which reminds me of something someone posted in a NG to illustrate > what morons Moslems were. > The poster was laughing at their assertion that the 'final days' > will be known to the faithful by several signs. A couple of which is > that pots and pans, and even bootlaces, will begin to talk. > > Needless to say, it wasn't a tech forum, but I did point out the > irony involved in such ignorance. I wouldn't describe it as ignorance, I would describe it as a characterization of the sorts of communications media that oppressed political opposition might resort to in a world where all high technology media, and even mid and low tech like printed words are compromised by big brother oversight. American POWs have, in many conflicts, developed communications systems using tapping on metal objects: pots, pipes, bars, etc. to spread information under their guards noses. If every neighborhood has a few families that are in subversive cells, then they could spread alarms by morse code type signals on pots and pans, and intelligence could be shared by knot coding on boot laces. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From rhanson at gmu.edu Sun Dec 21 17:51:14 2003 From: rhanson at gmu.edu (Robin Hanson) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 12:51:14 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Affective computing: Candy bars for the soul In-Reply-To: <002d01c3c7e4$4b33e930$2ee4f418@markcomputer> References: <5.2.1.1.2.20031215121713.01eec398@mail.gmu.edu> Message-ID: <5.2.1.1.2.20031221124459.0207eef0@mail.gmu.edu> On 12/21/2003, Mark Walker wrote: > > Probably the biggest > > way in which our minds have been misled, relative to the ancient > > problems they were designed to solve, is whatever it is that causes > > the demographic transition, causing rich societies to have far fewer > > children than evolution could possibly have "intended." I wish we > > understood this better; it might give us a better clue about the other > > problems. > >... I wonder why the "simple" answer is not correct. ... evolution "wants" >us to have as many viable offspring as possible. Until very recently >evolution was able to achieve this "desired" end by us wanting to have sex >and wanting to raise our own children. Evolution never had to "worry" about >us not wanting children but now with birth control this is possible. ... The demographic transition is the phenomena whereby the birthrate falls dramatically when nations get richer. This phenomena is *not* driven primarily by birth control. It happened before birth control, and poor nations now have high birth rates after cheap birth control. Also any of you who have ever been around a woman whose biological clock went "bing" will know that we often have strong desires for children, not just sex. Robin Hanson rhanson at gmu.edu http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-4444 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323 From eugen at leitl.org Sun Dec 21 18:05:46 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 19:05:46 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] What ever became of Crit? In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <20031221180546.GS32264@leitl.org> On Sun, Dec 21, 2003 at 05:36:41PM +0000, Christian Weisgerber wrote: > Are there any other Web annotation system out there? The web is dead, it's just it doesn't know it yet. Unfortunately, it's successor (a distributed persistent cryptographic storage and publishing infrastructure) hasn't been invented yet. We can't take crit there, so we better make sure this coming infrastructure will support annotation. What is your suggestion to mapping this into URI namespace? Simply prefixing a document cryptohash doesn't quite do. An annotated document hashes to some other value entirely. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From dirk at neopax.com Sun Dec 21 18:07:40 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 18:07:40 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] a frightfully difficult sacred problem References: <20031221174643.59460.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <03ba01c3c7ed$528d14a0$9cb26bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Mike Lorrey" To: "Dirk Bruere" ; "ExI chat list" Sent: Sunday, December 21, 2003 5:46 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] a frightfully difficult sacred problem > > --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > > > > > > Which reminds me of something someone posted in a NG to illustrate > > what morons Moslems were. > > The poster was laughing at their assertion that the 'final days' > > will be known to the faithful by several signs. A couple of which is > > that pots and pans, and even bootlaces, will begin to talk. > > > > Needless to say, it wasn't a tech forum, but I did point out the > > irony involved in such ignorance. > > I wouldn't describe it as ignorance, I would describe it as a > characterization of the sorts of communications media that oppressed > political opposition might resort to in a world where all high > technology media, and even mid and low tech like printed words are > compromised by big brother oversight. > > American POWs have, in many conflicts, developed communications systems > using tapping on metal objects: pots, pipes, bars, etc. to spread > information under their guards noses. If every neighborhood has a few > families that are in subversive cells, then they could spread alarms by > morse code type signals on pots and pans, and intelligence could be > shared by knot coding on boot laces. That's not what I was referring to. I was thinking about intelligence being built into just about every appliance, including speech o/p. Not to mention RFID and web enabled kitchenware. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From wingcat at pacbell.net Sun Dec 21 18:18:14 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 10:18:14 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] What ever became of Crit? In-Reply-To: <20031221180546.GS32264@leitl.org> Message-ID: <20031221181814.42432.qmail@web80402.mail.yahoo.com> --- Eugen Leitl wrote: > On Sun, Dec 21, 2003 at 05:36:41PM +0000, Christian > Weisgerber wrote: > > Are there any other Web annotation system out > there? > > The web is dead, it's just it doesn't know it yet. > Unfortunately, it's > successor (a distributed persistent cryptographic > storage and publishing > infrastructure) hasn't been invented yet. Ha, and ha again. The Web will remain alive until something better comes along to replace it. > We can't take crit there, If so, Crit is non-viable. I suspect that Crit-like systems tend to fall prey to the downside of the network effect. That is, systems like these become useful roughly with the square of the number of users using them - which means that they are not very useful at all if there are only a few users! This is the same thing that doomed a number of the dot-bombs: the idea might be good and useful if you have a lot of users, but without a way to get said many users that does not, as a prerequisite, require already having a lot of users (and/or the utility that only comes after you have many users), the dreamt of value never comes to pass. From wingcat at pacbell.net Sun Dec 21 18:25:16 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 10:25:16 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] a frightfully difficult sacred problem In-Reply-To: <03ba01c3c7ed$528d14a0$9cb26bd5@artemis> Message-ID: <20031221182516.95614.qmail@web80401.mail.yahoo.com> --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > That's not what I was referring to. > I was thinking about intelligence being built into > just about every > appliance, including speech o/p. > Not to mention RFID and web enabled kitchenware. But consider how they will be used. The more points of communication there are, the easier it is for desparate and talented subversives to find one that's not being monitored - and, some fear, the more those in power will see this potential and strive ever more fiercely to clamp down on said communications, with "unintended" side effects not unlike we are seeing with the anti-terrorist hysteria among America's lawmakers over the past two years. But what this does not take into account is the effect of an entire culture that preserves freedom as a fundamental virtue. Perhaps those who wrote the sacred texts did not anticipate it, or perhaps they thought it impossible - those in power would never allow such a thing to flourish. Or perhaps they bought the argument that, left to their own devices, the unenlightened commoners would bring themselves to ruin. They saw widespread enlightenment as a possible cure for that, and so do we - but a different sort of enlightenment. We don't rely on fables and untruths, nor do we claim to know everything. From spike66 at comcast.net Sun Dec 21 18:48:11 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 10:48:11 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] sjbrain calcs In-Reply-To: <20031221101525.GL32264@leitl.org> Message-ID: <000001c3c7f2$fbf534f0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > Eugen Leitl > > Are you trying to prevent polar collisions via electrostatic > potential? At few km/s orbital velocities? This is broken at so many > levels I have troubles to begin. > > -- Eugen* Leitl leitl No. I had in mind prevention of collision between particles with relative velocities of a few cm/sec. Actually charge control is not so much prevention of collision but a useful tool in maintaining spacing between nodes in the same orbit. The collisions aren't the problem, this being a trivial matter with picogram particles. The problem I am trying to avoid is having them stick together because of van der Waal's forces. The particles with velocity vectors differing by km/sec are nowhere near each other. In the previously-mentioned MBrain example, the nodes are spaced a meter apart in concentric rings, each ring a meter apart in radius and tilted a microradian. So if one goes 1,570,000 meters sunward, the ring is tilted pi/2 from the original ring. If one goes 3,140,000 meters sunward or anti-sunward, the ring is coplanar with the particles travelling in the opposite direction. In an SBrain, the same trick is used, concentric non-coplanar rings, but the whole works is a small sphere (a mere 20 billion meter diamater) orbitting an hour from the star, not enveloping the star as in the MBrain. This scheme takes advantage of charge control to maintain smaller distances betweeen nodes, which greatly reduces the amount of energy needed to communicate between them (recall the inverse square law), as well as reducing the time to send signals between nodes. spike ps I may need a professional writer such as Damien to explain what I have in mind. Damien are you grokking this? s From megao at sasktel.net Sun Dec 21 18:52:43 2003 From: megao at sasktel.net (Extropian Agroforestry Ventures Inc.) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 12:52:43 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Nature VS Nurture and Cannabis Epigenetics and Global Eco/Dietary Epigenomics Message-ID: <3FE5EBFA.9DA5B20A@sasktel.net> Q- is it generally agreed that cannabis is particularly responsive to environmental cues to trigger phenotypic responses. ex- male/femal/hermaphroditics VS environmental and chemo stimulation, phenotypic size/shape VS region of growth. Those of you with depth of experience with this pass this around. Given the state of science to do marvellous things lately and my interest in both the plant and human aspects of this is a relevant topic. I know that genotypic up-regulation from the gut is known to happen but is very poorly defined in reproducible science work. Many good examples of genotypic upregulation by dietary influence are on record. Ex........... 3: Planta Med. 2003 Aug;69(8):725-32. Gene expression changes in the human fibroblast induced by Centella asiatica triterpenoids. Coldren CD, Hashim P, Ali JM, Oh SK, Sinskey AJ, Rha C. Malaysia-MIT Biotechnology Partnership Program, Cambridge, MA, USA. The molecular pathways underlying the diverse biological activity of the triterpeniod compounds isolated from the tropical medicinal plant Centella asiatica were studied with gene microarrays and real-time reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (real-time RT-PCR) to quantify the expression of 1053 human genes in human fibroblasts. Fibroblast cells grown in culture were used as a model system to evaluate the stimulation of wound healing by titrated extract from Centella asiatica (TECA) as well as by the four principal triterpenoid components of Centella. TECA treatment effects the expression of genes involved in angiogenesis and the remodeling of extracellular matrix, as well as diverse growth factor genes. The extent of expression change of TNFAIP6, an extracellular hyaluronan binding protein, was found to be largely dose-dependent, to respond most strongly to the free acids asiatic acid and madecassic acid, and to increase in expression over 48 hours of treatment. These results show that Centella triterpenes evoke a gene-expression response consistent with their prevailing medical uses in the treatment of connective tissue disorders such as wound healing and microangiopathy. The identification of genes modulated by these compounds provides the basis for a molecular understanding of Centella's bioactivity, and opportunities for the quantitative correlation of this activity with clinical effectiveness at a molecular level. PMID: 14531023 [PubMed - in process] ******************************************************** Humans are now confronted by "proofs" that you are a carefully balanced combination of genetics and modulation of gene expression by the diet and environment starting at the moment of conception or possibly even from your ancestors via the transmission of mitochondria Wholus-bolus and MHC genes piecemeal for quite a number of past generations. This is fascinating stuff to me , considering my unique chemical experimentation with nutritional and novel chemicals such as levamisole, mega Vitamin E (10,000 units/day X 2 years) and DMSO myself between 1973 and the conception of our children in 1981, 84 and 87. The world with 6+ billion has a massive number of unique environmental/nutritional clusters which might someday yield clues as to how to live longer , healthier lives. The globalization of diet (McDonald's at every streetcorner worldwide) might be reducing our global bio-diversity epigenomic pool? "Pharmer Mo" From megao at sasktel.net Sun Dec 21 18:53:56 2003 From: megao at sasktel.net (Extropian Agroforestry Ventures Inc.) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 12:53:56 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Epignomics/epigenetics- Nature Vs Nurture re-visited] Message-ID: <3FE5EC43.607449A9@sasktel.net> -------------- next part -------------- An embedded message was scrubbed... From: "Extropian Agroforestry Ventures Inc." Subject: [MedPot-discuss] Epignomics/epigenetics- Nature Vs Nurture re-visited Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 11:30:35 -0600 Size: 10315 URL: From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sun Dec 21 19:01:25 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 11:01:25 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Affective computing: Candy bars for the soul In-Reply-To: <5.2.1.1.2.20031221124459.0207eef0@mail.gmu.edu> Message-ID: <20031221190125.2436.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> --- Robin Hanson wrote: > > The demographic transition is the phenomena whereby the birthrate > falls dramatically when nations get richer. This phenomena is > *not* driven primarily by birth control. It happened before birth > control, and poor nations now have high birth rates after cheap > birth control. Also any of you who have ever been around a woman > whose biological clock went "bing" will know that we often have > strong desires for children, not just sex. The transition is generally a function of women's level of education. Not literacy, but comprehensive education. A society of women only literate enough to read the bible or the quran are not educated enough (or free enough) to appreciate all the choices they should be free to make, including reproductive choices. However there is a measurable downturn when enough women understand that: a) they are not property b) god does not make their babies, they make their babies c) they can choose to not make babies and the state chooses to back them up. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From thespike at earthlink.net Sun Dec 21 21:22:31 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 15:22:31 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] evolution and adoption References: <5.2.1.1.2.20031215121713.01eec398@mail.gmu.edu> <002d01c3c7e4$4b33e930$2ee4f418@markcomputer> Message-ID: <00de01c3c808$8d296620$b0994a43@texas.net> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Mark Walker" Sent: Sunday, December 21, 2003 11:03 AM > what would be more surprising is if rich societies > never acted on their desire for sex, or if when children were on the way > many parents in rich societies gave them up for adoption. In terms of > maximizing one's viable progeny giving up as many children for adoption > might make the most evolutionary sense. This would allow one to focus one's > energies on reproducing rather than squandering them on breast feeding, > midnight diaper changes and other physically and emotionally draining > activities. I'm not sure how tongue in cheek this is, Mark. What's you've described is, after all, exactly what wealthy people did in the 19th and early 20th, and indeed perhaps all the way back to the invention of hierachical power culture. Wet nurses, nannies, private tutors, boarding schools or their harsh equivalent; all these allowed the luckless wives of the rich to produce one child rapidly after another, many of them doomed to perish, without wasting time and effort on emotional support, bonding, etc--and the wonderful result was that these warped kids proved just the right stuff for going out and building empires, thus perpetuating the process. Until it stopped working. And now nations like the UK struggle to deal with the legacy bullshit embedded in the culture. Damien Broderick From bradbury at aeiveos.com Sun Dec 21 21:42:08 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 13:42:08 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] sjbrain calcs In-Reply-To: <000001c3c79b$388a4570$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: On Sun, 21 Dec 2003, Spike wrote: > If we had an SJBrain, the space in > which the Jupiter mass of nodes resides is much smaller > than the space occupied by a true Jupiter-MBrain, half a > cubic light minute Either I still don't understand this picture Spike or there is something wrong with your calculations or Anders. Anders' Jupiter Brain (Zeus) has a radius of ~9000 km (~1.5 Earth masses) and mass of ~10^25 kg (~1.8 Earth masses). Its probably going to require much of the carbon (for diamondoid) that is in the inner planets, the Oort cloud and a good chunk of Uranus, Neptune and some of the larger moons. If he makes the communication fibers out of silicon he may not have enough Si in the solar system without star lifting. On top of that since he wants to run it at 4K he is going to need a good amount of helium from the gas giants as well. > as opposed to Robert's 250,000 cubic light minutes. > The notion of collision control in an SJBrain > is more difficult. You must be pulling these numbers out of the air spike. I don't think I ever specified the size of an MBrain. If my calc's are right 250,000 culm gives you a radius of 39 light-minutes which is around the asteroid belt someplace. Actually if you can avoid the people on Earth screaming you start building an MBrain way inside the orbit of Mercury using TiC as the primary material. As you dismantle the asteroids and planets (smallest first) it continues to grow an increasing number of outer layers out of lower temperature nanomaterials to build the very outermost layers you probably need quantities of material from multiple brown dwarfs (or have star-lifted it out of the sun) and you end up with a diameter of several light-years. Robert From brian_a_lee at hotmail.com Sun Dec 21 22:22:36 2003 From: brian_a_lee at hotmail.com (Brian Alexander Lee) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 17:22:36 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? References: <3FE3D772.3080401@mindspring.com> <20031220131057.GX21411@leitl.org><3FE4A927.5020109@mindspring.com> <3FE4B120.4020904@barrera.org> Message-ID: > From: "Joseph S. Barrera III" > Can't wait until postgres runs on win32 w/o cygwin... coming RSN > except that the postgres_win32 team is still figuring out how to natively > emulate signals on win32. Aghh. dbExperts (http://www.dbexperts.net) offers a native windows port of postgresql. They charge around $300 or so. There should be some other windows postgres available through google. BAL From brian_a_lee at hotmail.com Sun Dec 21 22:26:14 2003 From: brian_a_lee at hotmail.com (Brian Alexander Lee) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 17:26:14 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? References: <5.0.2.1.1.20031221032647.031d6410@pop.iol.ie> Message-ID: Age of Empires (and Age of Myth) runs on w2k pro without any major problems. BAL ----- Original Message ----- From: "J Corbally" To: Sent: Saturday, December 20, 2003 10:31 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? > Personally, my problem is with the stuff I run in the background, such as > Folding at Home, Think and Prime95. They seem to suck up quite a bit of > resources. I'd move to Win2K, but only if Age of Empires will still work :) From nanogirl at halcyon.com Sun Dec 21 23:51:02 2003 From: nanogirl at halcyon.com (nanogirl at halcyon.com) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 18:51:02 -0500 (EST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Shake, Shake, Shake... Message-ID: <20995753.1072050662450.JavaMail.gamehost@e-tractions.com> Dear Extropy List, Message from Gina aka Nanogirl: "Happy Holidays!" Your friend Gina aka Nanogirl wants to shake up your holidays. Check out the interactive holiday Snowglobe at http://www.e-tractions.com/web_dev/clients/e-tractions/snowglobe/intro.htm Required: Flash 5, a sense of humor. Cheers! From thespike at earthlink.net Mon Dec 22 00:16:25 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 18:16:25 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already Message-ID: <018301c3c820$d8001aa0$b0994a43@texas.net> I just obtained Bill McKibben's much praised diatribe ENOUGH from the library. To my surprise, he quotes THE SPIKE five or six times, always choosing quite eloquent and non-silly bits, then displays them as if they are self-refuting. Weird. Speaking of weird, he says of Ettinger and Moravec and Stock and me and others that we advocate healthy life extension without understanding how `weird or gross or boring' living forever would be. I've only just started the book (after glimpses at the index) but look forward eagerly to learning why allowing women to die painfully in childbirth, the natural way, isn't even more weird and gross. (He's amazingly unfair to Max More, whom he cites as boasting that he's `a stud'--completely untrue, being McKibben's ascription--able to legpress 710 lbs, when Max's point was precisely to refute the claim that extropes are all weedy nerdish body-haters.) Damien Broderick From spike66 at comcast.net Mon Dec 22 02:20:18 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 18:20:18 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] sjbrain calcs In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <002001c3c832$251885f0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> YEEESSSS! Robert you are THERE, bud! > On Sun, 21 Dec 2003, Spike wrote: > > > If we had an SJBrain, the space in > > which the Jupiter mass of nodes resides is much smaller > > than the space occupied by a true Jupiter-MBrain, half a > > cubic light minute > > Either I still don't understand this picture Spike or there is > something wrong with your calculations or Anders. > Anders' Jupiter Brain (Zeus) has a radius of ~9000 km (~1.5 > Earth radii) and mass of ~10^25 kg (~1.8 Earth masses). Yes, but this is a Jupiter Brain, not the MBrain. In Anders' JBrain, the whole device completely solid, given the numbers you quote above. The brilliance of the MBrain is that it does not have hot material anywhere nor material under enormous pressure at all. It is a stunningly enormous number of individual particles, cheerfully orbiting and calculating away in parallel with the other nodes. > Its probably going to require much of the carbon (for diamondoid) > that is in the inner planets... Again I agree, and further speculate that any extremely large node (more than a few kg) would result in material being wasted, material not available for computation. If the node is that large, heat control becomes an issue. If the node is a microgram scale, there is plenty of surface area from which to radiate heat generated in computation. > > > as opposed to Robert's 250,000 cubic light minutes. > > The notion of collision control in an SJBrain > > is more difficult. > > You must be pulling these numbers out of the air spike. I don't > think I ever specified the size of an MBrain... We did, Robert, about 2 years ago when you were here. I still have the green notebook in which we did the calcs. OK I have it open before me now. Tuesday 29 January 2002. Were you not in Silicon Valley Taxifornia on the date in question, Mr. Bradbury? {8^D We theorized a .1 gram node, calculated some orbit mechanics assuming concentric rings of nodes one meter apart and the rings nested on one meter intervals (each ring a meter larger radius than the one immediately inside it) and each ring tilted a microradian from the next adjacent ring, so no intersecting orbits anywhere. This causes me to realize why Gene might be choking on the concept. The term rings might cause mental pictures of Saturn's rings, which are flattened disc thingies. The rings we theorized are thin strings of nodes spaced at one meter apart and circling the sun in an enormous precession. For instance the ring that is 150,000,000,000 meters from the sun, (about the earth's orbit distance) would contain 942,477,796,077 nodes. The ring a meter sunward, 942,477,796,071 nodes and the ring a meter anti-sunward 942,477,796,083 nodes. See how I got those numbers? > If my calc's are > right 250,000 culm gives you a radius of 39 light-minutes > which is around the asteroid belt someplace... Ja, and the reason is because yesterday I was estimating an MBrain with outer limits around Jupiter, and I recalled that Jupiter orbits in about 12 years, so 12^(2/3) is about 5 AU, and an AU is about 8 minutes, so Jupiter is about 40 minutes out there, so a sphere that size would occupy about 250,000 cubic minutes. You can practically do this stuff in your head, Robert. An SBrain uses the same amount of material but is packed much tighter. Not nearly as tight as an Sandbergian JBrain, but tighter than a traditional MBrain. The Jupiter mass of nodes orbit 5 AU from the central star like an enormous fluffy planet out there by itself, over 100 times the diameter of Jupiter. Think of it as analogous to the guy at the carnival converting a sugar cube a cm on a side into a big fluffy wad of cotton candy. Do tell me you guys are old enough to have seen cotton candy some time in your lives. > Actually if you can avoid the people > on Earth screaming you start building an MBrain way inside the > orbit of Mercury using TiC as the primary material... Ja but of course my scenario is post-uploading, so the only screaming you would hear is the wild cheering of those already occupying the existing computronium, who are witnessing the transformation of dull, dead raw material into vibrant thinking living useful creative matter. Robert, your MBrain is the greatest idea of the 1990s. It's humanity's future home bud, the traditional heavenly kingdom, except without the deity and the harps. If one concludes as I have, that the singularity is inevitable, then the MBrain is the logical next step: we would need to grab up all the available metals in the solar system and get it all THINKING. Its the ultimate order from chaos. I cannot even imagine a long-term future without some form of singularity, and *every* singularity scenario I can imagine eventually leads to an MBrain, or perhaps the more specific form of the MBrain, the SBrain. So *every* post-singularity star would have all its available metal in the form of an MBrain. So the original question is a profound one indeed: can the SIRTF detect an MBrain? spike From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Dec 22 02:45:41 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 18:45:41 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] sjbrain calcs In-Reply-To: <002001c3c832$251885f0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031222024541.545.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> --- Spike wrote: > An SBrain uses the same amount of material but is packed > much tighter. Not nearly as tight as an Sandbergian JBrain, > but tighter than a traditional MBrain. The Jupiter mass > of nodes orbit 5 AU from the central star like an enormous > fluffy planet out there by itself, over 100 times the diameter > of Jupiter. Think of it as analogous to the guy at the carnival > converting a sugar cube a cm on a side into a big fluffy wad > of cotton candy. Ah, so this is a cloud 5 AU out, not a shell around the sun of 5 AU dia? You had me (and I think Eugen) confused. Ja, in that case you wouldn't need that much charge to just keep them separated. Don't know what the point would be though. I had thought that we were talking stealthing out the sun and so forth, which is why I was talking the way I was. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Dec 22 03:29:56 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 19:29:56 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] European Free State Project Message-ID: <20031222032956.35655.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> http://europeanfreestate.org/ The FSP has apparently spawned a bunch of efforts using similar names. There is the Swing State Project, the Free Arms Project, I have heard rumors of a 'Green State Project', and now European Libertarians have launched a European Free State Project to establish a similarly libertarian free state within the European Union. The only thing that will shock me would be if one got started in China... ;) ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From spike66 at comcast.net Mon Dec 22 03:27:49 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 19:27:49 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] converging history In-Reply-To: <018301c3c820$d8001aa0$b0994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <003001c3c83b$93b7ae60$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Please look at this figure for a minute: file:///C:/Documents%20and%20Settings/spike/Local%20Settings/Temporary%2 0Internet%20Files/OLKA6/Intel_Roadmap_2003.gif then explain to me how humanity could be doing anything other than converging towards an inevitable singularity. Clearly ours is a species in open-loop, with no apparent equilibrium point that can possibly be re-established. We think of time travellers going back and doing something that causes histories to diverge with ever expanding consequences, like spreading ripples on a pond when a pebble is cast therein. But after a while, you again have a calm surface, do you not? At the risk of straining the analogy, could it be that history of life inevitably converges? Consider: Any large star inevitably goes supernova, spewing metals into the cosmos, which eventually form planets elsewhere, which will form life, given the right mix of elements and conditions. Life may have long periods of equilibrium, such as our own 3 billion years of blue-green algal mats, but something like multicellular life must eventually happen, or so it would seem. If there is multicellular life, there is interspecies competition, and every available ecological niche is eventually filled. One obvious ecological niche is the one humans inhabit: scentient intelligence sufficient to modify the environment to its own needs. In that niche exists competition for resources and competition for mates, which leads to ever more creativeness and ever greater intelligence. Societal equilibria may be reached in many or perhaps most of those cases, but it only takes one society somewhere to precipitate something analogous to the industrial revolution, which makes it inevitable as all hell, and when that happens, automated control of machines is clearly desired, leading eventually to mechanical computers, then improvements leading to electronics, then artificial intelligence appears to me to be absolutely unavoidable in the long run, which leads to AI and eventually to uploading and the construction of MBrains, to use all the available metals in the star system. So the history of life apparently eventually converges on this solution, utterly regardless of the path it takes to get there. Please, what am I doing wrong in this line of reasoning? Where is the stepping off point? spike From thespike at earthlink.net Mon Dec 22 03:44:05 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 21:44:05 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already References: <018301c3c820$d8001aa0$b0994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <01af01c3c83d$dc83eee0$b0994a43@texas.net> McKibben draws upon the wisdom of the extropian list thus: `On the bulletin boards of the Web, you can find zealous "transhumanists" not just explaining how the world will evolve past our species, but also debating questions like whether it's morally necessary to kill "Luddites" who stand in the way of such progress: "If we don't establish a transhuman future, then Planet Earth is doomed to a rather dismal malthusian extermination from disease, hunger, and lack of resources. If we don't build a transhuman future, billions of people WILL die... What do you intend to do about it? To what ends are you willing to [go to] save billions of lives? What means are you willing to accept to achieve those ends?" [endnote 9]' (ENOUGH, p. 112) [9: "The Morality of Extremism," Extropian Web digest, April 18 and 19, 2002. It should be noted that the discussion of violence was a rare exception on this particular Web forum, which is generally starry-eyed but peaceful.] p. 240 ========= It's a pity McKibben didn't place this disclaimer in the text proper, rather than leaving the implied stench to pollute the discourse. On the other hand, the stench had been produced in the first place by the extropes who wrote this sort of stuff on the list. I recall pointing out at the time how this would come back to bite us on the arse. Damien Broderick From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Dec 22 03:53:15 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 19:53:15 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] converging history In-Reply-To: <003001c3c83b$93b7ae60$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031222035315.59391.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> --- Spike wrote: > Please look at this figure for a minute: > > file:///C:/Documents%20and%20Settings/spike/Local%20Settings/Temporary%2 > 0Internet%20Files/OLKA6/Intel_Roadmap_2003.gif Kinna hard to look at something that ain't there... ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From bradbury at aeiveos.com Mon Dec 22 03:55:01 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 19:55:01 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] sjbrain calcs In-Reply-To: <002001c3c832$251885f0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: On Sun, 21 Dec 2003, Spike wrote: > Tuesday 29 January 2002. > Were you not in Silicon Valley Taxifornia on the date in > question, Mr. Bradbury? {8^D I don't know -- that is an odd day for me to be in San Jose (doesn't match up with Foresight conf. dates and the business nano conferences have been in the LA region the last couple of years -- but its possible) > We theorized a .1 gram node, calculated some orbit mechanics > assuming concentric rings of nodes one meter apart and the > rings nested on one meter intervals (each ring a meter larger > radius than the one immediately inside it) and each ring > tilted a microradian from the next adjacent ring, so no > intersecting orbits anywhere. Better to say you calculated and I just watched... :-) > You can practically do this stuff in your head, Robert. You can -- I can't due in large part probably to lack of practice -- but that is why I have a handy dandy spreadsheet (ssmass.xls) which in the Planets worksheet puts Jupiter at 43.27 light minutes out. (Big :-)) I think you have this spreadsheet to play with on your hard drive -- if not I'll be happy to send it to you. > Do tell me you guys are old enough to have seen cotton > candy some time in your lives. Oh yes, and I won my high school girlfriend an extremely large stuffed animal by climbing a angled rope ladder (perhaps a 20-30 degree slope) that was suspended by a swivel at each end. (An interesting exercise in balance and a lesson about what men will do for love). > So the original question is a profound one indeed: > can the SIRTF detect an MBrain? A real star enveloping MBrain yes. A Sandberg style JBrain, probably yes as well depending on its distance from us -- though if its external heat radiation temperature is at 4K its going to be tough for 2 reasons (you probably can't get 4K within the galaxy [Milan Cirkovic, Amara Graps and I have been discussing this off-and-on] -- that would mean that it would have to be outside of the galaxy which is quite some distance. If they are operating at a higher temp (say 20-40K within the galaxy) we might have a chance -- but the detectors on the SIRTF aren't great at those temperature ranges. The reason that MBrains and JBrains might be detectable is because the radiation from the star doesn't outshine the radiation from the MBrain and JBrain and the spectral signatures are going to look *VERY* unusual. A SJBrain, probably has good odds as well -- subject to my constraints of looking at the spectra at periodic intervals to detect the fact that it is orbiting the star. This would be particularly true if it decides to optimize its energy availablity by using both stellar energy as well as energy produced by fusion reactors orbiting within or around the computational cluster. Anders' JBrain architecture is powered by external fusion reactors similar to my comments about externally powered MBrains. How one gets from here (star powered civilizations) to there (fusion reactor powered civilizations) is unclear. It also isn't clear that one wants to do that -- gravity is such a good containment mechanism for civilizations that are short on metals that can be used for computronium, data storage or other parts of ones energy capture, heat disposal structure, communication and navigation structures. Robert From twodeel at jornada.org Mon Dec 22 03:50:34 2003 From: twodeel at jornada.org (Don Dartfield) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 19:50:34 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] converging history In-Reply-To: <003001c3c83b$93b7ae60$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: On Sun, 21 Dec 2003, Spike wrote: > Please look at this figure for a minute: > > file:///C:/Documents%20and%20Settings/spike/Local%20Settings/Temporary%2 > 0Internet%20Files/OLKA6/Intel_Roadmap_2003.gif This appears to be the URL of a file in your local hard drive's web cache, rather than the address of the file where you got it on the Internet. Where did it come from? From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Dec 22 04:03:45 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 20:03:45 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already In-Reply-To: <01af01c3c83d$dc83eee0$b0994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <20031222040345.31503.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> --- Damien Broderick wrote: > McKibben draws upon the wisdom of the extropian list thus: > > `On the bulletin boards of the Web, you can find zealous > "transhumanists" > not just explaining how the world will evolve past our species, but > also debating questions like whether it's morally necessary to kill > "Luddites" who stand in the way of such progress: snip a quote of what was probably one of my posts.... > I recall pointing out at the time how this would come back to bite > us on the arse. And I seem to recall saying, and if I didn't, I'll say it now: Only a freakin luddite would consider *saving* billions of human lives to be 'violence'... (of course, because those billions of humans would wind up doing violence to the pretty trees and fuzzy animals...) I seem to recall that there have been people killed by luddite violence and not a one of the perps, I am sure, ever debated the issue, or thought to think of it as an ethical issue worthy of debate. Nobody here did public protest against these deaths. And while I've been trying to raise the warnings, people round these parts have been mighty complacent while the gummint goes about enacting the luddite agenda and people like McKibben gain popular renown without answer from our side. If any sort of violence is not warranted, then what is the excuse for the complete and total inaction of the people on this list??? There is a broad range of possible reponses between apathy and violence. Nobody here has taken a one. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Dec 22 04:04:27 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 20:04:27 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already In-Reply-To: <01af01c3c83d$dc83eee0$b0994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <20031222040427.15055.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> --- Damien Broderick wrote: > McKibben draws upon the wisdom of the extropian list thus: > > `On the bulletin boards of the Web, you can find zealous > "transhumanists" > not just explaining how the world will evolve past our species, but > also debating questions like whether it's morally necessary to kill > "Luddites" who stand in the way of such progress: snip a quote of what was probably one of my posts.... now I'm pissed he didn't cite my name.... > I recall pointing out at the time how this would come back to bite > us on the arse. And I seem to recall saying, and if I didn't, I'll say it now: Only a freakin luddite would consider *saving* billions of human lives to be 'violence'... (of course, because those billions of humans would wind up doing violence to the pretty trees and fuzzy animals...) I seem to recall that there have been people killed by luddite violence and not a one of the perps, I am sure, ever debated the issue, or thought to think of it as an ethical issue worthy of debate. Nobody here did public protest against these deaths. And while I've been trying to raise the warnings, people round these parts have been mighty complacent while the gummint goes about enacting the luddite agenda and people like McKibben gain popular renown without answer from our side. If any sort of violence is not warranted, then what is the excuse for the complete and total inaction of the people on this list??? There is a broad range of possible reponses between apathy and violence. Nobody here has taken a one. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From bradbury at aeiveos.com Mon Dec 22 04:18:30 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 20:18:30 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already In-Reply-To: <01af01c3c83d$dc83eee0$b0994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: On Sun, 21 Dec 2003, Damien Broderick wrote: > [9: "The Morality of Extremism," Extropian Web digest, April 18 and 19, > 2002. It should be noted that the discussion of violence was a rare > exception on this particular Web forum, which is generally starry-eyed but > peaceful.] p. 240 Interestingly -- if you trace this back through the subject switching and the *MANY* posts by many list members it goes back to a post I made on April 4, 2002 on the subject of "POLITICS: grim prospects". I was commenting on a NY Times article and quoted as follows: > Sheik Yassin said: "The Palestinian people are not the same as they were > in 1967," when Israel captured the West Bank and Gaza, "or during the first > intifada," from 1987 to 1991. "At that time nobody knew how to make > explosives. "But now," he added, "everybody knows, and Israel will never > be stable again." Next time I start a discussion about POLITICS remind me that it may yield very mixed blessings. Damien -- if you can find an email/snail mail/publisher address for the author please send it to me offlist. I'd like to send him a note about his depth of research and why a hard-core extropian (and a utilitarian such as myself) would consider minimizing the power of people who directly or indirectly block the survival of a much greater quantity of information. Its a question of *where* to draw the line -- do you knock the foundation out from underneath a westerner if it allows you to uplift a dozen or more Indians or Chinese? That isn't even the analysis the Palestinians or Al Queda are making -- they are simply going with "you have the power, we don't and so whatever is necessary to bring you down to our level we will do". I think there are some interesting ethical debates that might be had between the current classes of terrorists (from Palestinians to Al Queda to radical Greens) to Extropians (who presumably are trying to save (or produce?) the greatest quantity of information possible. R. From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Mon Dec 22 06:05:42 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 17:05:42 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] European Free State Project References: <20031222032956.35655.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <01ab01c3c851$a1841540$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Mike Lorrey wrote: > http://europeanfreestate.org/ > > The FSP has apparently spawned a bunch of efforts using similar names. > There is the Swing State Project, the Free Arms Project, I have heard > rumors of a 'Green State Project', and now European Libertarians have > launched a European Free State Project to establish a similarly > libertarian free state within the European Union. > > The only thing that will shock me would be if one got started in > China... ;) Or Libya maybe. How is the original Free State Project going Mike? I think you said you were/are a New Hampshire native. I was getting sick of a few things about life in Australia the other day and started wondering if life in New Hampshire might be better. My understanding of New Hampshire is pretty limited but I realise it only has a small population and I don't know what sort of high tech companies it has. My googling on biotech firms in New Hampshire didn't find much but could be I was just googling badly. Does NH have any good universities? Much of a biotech/infotech/ nanotech presence? Venture capital co's? What sort of laws if any on GMO's, therapeutic cloning etc? Regards, Brett From bjk at imminst.org Mon Dec 22 06:09:49 2003 From: bjk at imminst.org (Bruce J. Klein) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 00:09:49 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Chat: Max More | Brights: What is Death? Message-ID: <3FE68AAD.6080702@imminst.org> ******************* ImmInst - Successful Chat w/ Extropy Inst. Founder - Max More Archive: http://imminst.org/forum/index.php?act=ST&f=62&t=431&s= ******************* The Brights Forum - What is Death? (poll) http://www.the-brights.net/forums/index.php?act=ST&f=4&t=804&st=0#entry4736 Bruce Klein Chairman - ImmInst.org From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Mon Dec 22 06:11:15 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 01:11:15 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] converging history In-Reply-To: <003001c3c83b$93b7ae60$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <000901c3c852$6c521ce0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Spike wrote, > > Please look at this figure for a minute: > > < file:///C:/Documents%20and%20Settings/spike/Local%20Settings/Temporary%20Int ernet%20Files/OLKA6/Intel_Roadmap_2003.gif> Do you really want me to hack into your PC and take a look at that file? -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From spike66 at comcast.net Mon Dec 22 06:59:53 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 22:59:53 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] converging history In-Reply-To: <000901c3c852$6c521ce0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <006a01c3c859$33ba7c90$6501a8c0@SHELLY> I sent the figure as an enclosure to the list, but it hasta go thru a moderator before it can be posted. The figure was the Intel roadmap for future processors. >Do you really want me to hack into your PC and take a look at that file? Harvey Please Harvey do not hack into my computer. I have no doubt that you could do it. {8^D Perhaps someone else here knows of a way to get to the site, or an equivalent roadmap of microprocessors coming in the next five years. I was astounded that there is no apparent slowing to the logarithmic progress in processors that we have enjoyed for the past 25 years. No one has commented on the rest of that post: that humanity has clearly gone open loop and that surely the singularity is the inevitable result, with no logical new equilibrium immediately threatening us. For most of history, people suffered thru lives just like their grandparents and their grandchildren. How similar is your life to your that of your grandparents? How similar to yours do you expect your grandchildrens' lives to be? spike From eliasen at mindspring.com Mon Dec 22 08:06:44 2003 From: eliasen at mindspring.com (Alan Eliasen) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 01:06:44 -0700 Subject: [extropy-chat] sjbrain calcs In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <3FE6A614.4010502@mindspring.com> I'm earnestly following this discussions of Brains the Size of a Planet and all that, and going a bit insane in the membrane trying to keep the alphabetical procession of different XYZbrains in order. Neat stuff, though. Can I ask what may be a silly question? Why would one build so many little far-flung nodes instead of a more monolithic structure? So many things are simpler, faster, and more efficient with a single structure--communications, energy expenditure, time lag, that I guess I don't see why the structure wouldn't be made much more compact. For example, let's be way overgenerous and assume each tiny node had the computational power of a human brain (probably not possible with only 50 billion atoms) and that it switched at a rather conservative 1 THz. (We'll assume a classical architecture; it gets worse for smarter/faster quantum computers.) This is approximately a factor of a billion times faster than the fastest neurons in the human brain can switch. We'll oversimplify and say that each node thus "thinks" a billion times faster than a human brain. Now, I've talked to people on the other side of the world on the phone, and the satellite lags were very noticeable and confusing. We'd pause too long, interpret silences as reticence, or feel we had said something wrong, and then both people would start talking at the same time, only to interrupt each other a half-second later, and then stop and start over again. And that's a fraction of a second delay. Communicating with someone with a one-minute lag would probably be pretty inefficient and painful. Now, when you have a node that's a billion times faster, and you're communicating over even a light-second distance, that's an infinity. It might be like a billion seconds to a human. A billion seconds is over 31 years. It might seem that long to a node to ask a question and get an answer. It's like carrying on a conversation with Using Frink notation, ( http://futureboy.homeip.net/frinkdocs/ ) * 1 billion seconds -> years 31.68876 When communicating over a light-minute radius, a node would grow old and bored and completely forget the question. Or at least I would. It'd have the responsiveness of an IP-via-carrier-pigeon Internet, which was actually proposed: http://www.faqs.org/rfcs/rfc1149.html Data: "And for a time, I was tempted by her offer." Picard: "How long a time?" Data: "0.68 seconds sir. For an android, that is nearly an eternity." So, my question is, why intentionally make it so hard and painful to communicate? I've always thought that future supercomputers would cluster as close as possible together so that communications lags would be minimized. Or, why not? Robustness? >>You can practically do this stuff in your head, Robert. Well, you can too, sorta, with Frink. Frink is a calculating tool/programming language that I've developed to make all sorts of real-world calculations easier. For example, the calculation below: > You can -- I can't due in large part probably to lack of > practice -- but that is why I have a handy dandy spreadsheet > (ssmass.xls) which in the Planets worksheet puts Jupiter > at 43.27 light minutes out. (Big :-)) This, in Frink notation, becomes: jupiterdist / c -> minutes 43.27 It's the tool for people like me who can't do this stuff in their heads, so we can keep up with you smarties. Actually, the best thing to do is go to the bathroom and calculate this stuff... then come back and *act* like you're figuring it out in your head. It'll do unbelievable wonders for your reputation as a savant. "Hmmm... let's see... a volume with a diameter of a light-minute... let's put that into perspective... how many Jupiter volumes is that? Ummm... 4/3 pi times, say 44 thousand miles cubed... and a light-minute is... hmmm... it's about two million Jupiter volumes. That's a big brain indeed." In actuality, you just went in and wrote: 4/3 pi (1/2 light minute)^3 / (4/3 pi jupiterradius^3) Don't laugh. I've *done* stuff like this. It's not horribly honest, but it makes you the object of respect, fear, and sex. Frink documentation: http://futureboy.homeip.net/frinkdocs/ You'll probably get the best idea of what Frink can do by skipping to the "Sample Calculations" section: http://futureboy.homeip.net/frinkdocs/#SampleCalculations You can try it online or install it on most operating systems (it's written in Java,) including handhelds, HDML- or WML-speaking webphones, wireless Palms, or try a simple web-based interface or applet-based interface at: http://futureboy.homeip.net/frink/ The long-term goal is to make Frink the obvious first choice for the software you install into the coprocessor in your head. ;) -- Alan Eliasen | "You cannot reason a person out of a eliasen at mindspring.com | position he did not reason himself http://futureboy.homeip.net/ | into in the first place." | --Jonathan Swift From reason at exratio.com Mon Dec 22 11:17:07 2003 From: reason at exratio.com (Reason) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 03:17:07 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] European Free State Project In-Reply-To: <01ab01c3c851$a1841540$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: > -----Original Message----- > From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org > [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org]On Behalf Of Brett > Paatsch > Sent: Sunday, December 21, 2003 10:06 PM > To: ExI chat list > Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] European Free State Project > > I was getting sick of a few things about life in Australia the other day > and started wondering if life in New Hampshire might be better. My > understanding of New Hampshire is pretty limited but I realise it only > has a small population and I don't know what sort of high tech > companies it has. > > My googling on biotech firms in New Hampshire didn't find much but > could be I was just googling badly. > > Does NH have any good universities? Much of a biotech/infotech/ > nanotech presence? Venture capital co's? What sort of laws if any > on GMO's, therapeutic cloning etc? I'm planning on a move either in the coming year, or in three years, depending. It looks that for people in rarified businesses near the top of the pyramid, the best bet might be to settle in southern NH (Nashua, say) and commute to work somewhere in the northern suburbs of Boston. NH itself has a tiny population compared to the metropolitan area just south in MA, and a correspondingly tiny selection of high tech firms. That said, the opportunities in Boston look on a par with those in Austin, TX, Los Angeles, or either of the northern quarters of the Bay Area. Reason http://www.exratio.com From eugen at leitl.org Mon Dec 22 11:20:03 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 12:20:03 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] converging history In-Reply-To: <006a01c3c859$33ba7c90$6501a8c0@SHELLY> References: <000901c3c852$6c521ce0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> <006a01c3c859$33ba7c90$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031222112003.GC32264@leitl.org> On Sun, Dec 21, 2003 at 10:59:53PM -0800, Spike wrote: > > Please Harvey do not hack into my computer. I have no > doubt that you could do it. {8^D Perhaps someone > else here knows of a way to get to the site, or an > equivalent roadmap of microprocessors coming in the next > five years. I was astounded that there is no apparent > slowing to the logarithmic progress in processors that > we have enjoyed for the past 25 years. Unfortunately, the only kind of progress there fitting a linear semi-log plots there is is integration density. We're increasingly abandoning the pather of all-purpose computing, designing systems which (kinda, sorta) perform on a specific task set. The gap between best case and worst case is opening wider and wider with every year. This can't go on indefinitely, and eventually we will reclaim all those hidden resources Moore has been racking up, but it is not obvious when exactly this will happen. Meanwhile, I remain rather underwhelmed. (Perhaps, I'm just a naturally more morose type than Spike). -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From maxm at mail.tele.dk Mon Dec 22 11:41:43 2003 From: maxm at mail.tele.dk (Max M) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 12:41:43 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Freeze dryonics anyone? Message-ID: <3FE6D877.50809@mail.tele.dk> There's this link on freeze drying stemm cells. http://www.nature.com/nsu/031215/031215-11.html "Researchers are honing a technique to create dried stem cells that can be revived just by adding water. The 'instant' cells might make mobile therapies for remote regions or the battlefield." So perhaps that was an idea instead of cryonics :-) No seriously, it is most likely more difficult to pull out the water than it is to freeze the cells without damage, but then again, one never knows where progress takes us in the long run. regards Max M From charlie at antipope.org Mon Dec 22 12:27:47 2003 From: charlie at antipope.org (Charlie Stross) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 12:27:47 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] European Free State Project In-Reply-To: <20031222032956.35655.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> References: <20031222032956.35655.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <403623C5-347A-11D8-AC6A-000A95B18568@antipope.org> On 22 Dec 2003, at 03:29, Mike Lorrey wrote: > http://europeanfreestate.org/ > > The FSP has apparently spawned a bunch of efforts using similar names. > There is the Swing State Project, the Free Arms Project, I have heard > rumors of a 'Green State Project', and now European Libertarians have > launched a European Free State Project to establish a similarly > libertarian free state within the European Union. > > The only thing that will shock me would be if one got started in > China... ;) China isn't what it used to be, politically _or_ culturally: http://www.guardian.co.uk/international/story/0,3604,1110721,00.html (That high-pitched whining noise is the sound of Chairman Mao spinning -- they hooked him up to the national grid and he's keeping the light bulbs burning throughout Hong Kong.) On a more serious note, what would you describe Hong Kong as? -- Charlie From charlie at antipope.org Mon Dec 22 12:40:50 2003 From: charlie at antipope.org (Charlie Stross) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 12:40:50 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already In-Reply-To: <20031222040345.31503.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> References: <20031222040345.31503.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <12DC51CA-347C-11D8-AC6A-000A95B18568@antipope.org> On 22 Dec 2003, at 04:03, Mike Lorrey wrote: > And while I've been trying to raise the warnings, people round these > parts have been mighty complacent while the gummint goes about enacting > the luddite agenda and people like McKibben gain popular renown without > answer from our side. > > If any sort of violence is not warranted, then what is the excuse for > the complete and total inaction of the people on this list??? There is > a broad range of possible reponses between apathy and violence. Nobody > here has taken a one. It's pretty hard to answer their denunciations, because we're in the "jam tomorrow" corner. We're saying that the future outcome is going to be extremely good, *but* we can't easily deny the potential for low-probability bad outcomes, while the luddites can harp on and on about grey goo until the cows come home. (Humans as a species are bad at evaluating probabilities, and this is especially true of future probabilities for which there are no prior probabilities -- a category into which a singularity falls, by definition.) I submit that, at this stage, *fiction* is a very effective propaganda tool for our corner. Fiction provides a vehicle for actual concrete scenarios that will allow the people we want to reach (the vast majority who've never heard of the concepts we trade in, either for or against) to visualize what we're talking about. And it's very important to establish our position in fiction before the Frankenstein archetype gets pinned on us. A lot of the current headaches the biotech and stem cell industries face can be laid at the door of Aldous Huxley ("Brave New World") -- who, I believe, would have been horrified if he'd learned that the consequences of his skeptical look at reproductive cloning (in the 1930's, intended as a metaphor for scientism, eugenics and fascist state planning) would result, sixty years later, in people dying of curable diseases. Damien's working on this right now. Ken MacLeod (who some of you might remember from this list in the early nineties) also writes about transhumanism, from a somewhat more skeptical but overall positive viewpoint. My own through-the-singularity novel is due out in mid-2005 from Ace. (Yes, the publishing industry still moves with glacial slowness, geared for quill-and-inkwell writers rather than faster-than-realtime uploads.) I look on it as broadcasting the memetic foundations for a public debate framed in positive, rather than negative, terms. What are *you* doing to help us establish what the Trotskyites would call a Popular Front? -- Charlie From mark at permanentend.org Mon Dec 22 13:22:56 2003 From: mark at permanentend.org (Mark Walker) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 08:22:56 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] evolution and adoption References: <5.2.1.1.2.20031215121713.01eec398@mail.gmu.edu><002d01c3c7e4$4b33e930$2ee4f418@markcomputer> <00de01c3c808$8d296620$b0994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <001301c3c88e$b6c8a5a0$2ee4f418@markcomputer> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Damien Broderick" > I'm not sure how tongue in cheek this is, Mark. What's you've described is, > after all, exactly what wealthy people did in the 19th and early 20th, and > indeed perhaps all the way back to the invention of hierachical power > culture. Wet nurses, nannies, private tutors, boarding schools or their > harsh equivalent; all these allowed the luckless wives of the rich to > produce one child rapidly after another, many of them doomed to perish, > without wasting time and effort on emotional support, bonding, etc--and the > wonderful result was that these warped kids proved just the right stuff for > going out and building empires, thus perpetuating the process. Until it > stopped working. And now nations like the UK struggle to deal with the > legacy bullshit embedded in the culture. > I certainly don't deny that this sort of thing happened, and it didn't always happen with the rich. Rousseau (who was not rich) had five children with his mistress and gave them all up to orphanages, which was to subject his children to even more appalling conditions that the rich foisted on their children. My point simply is that since orphanages and adoption give one's offspring a high probability of survival it seems to make evolutionary sense to have as many children as possible and give them up to such agencies. I agree with you that this is not necessarily a good thing, only that it seems to make sense, evolutionarily speaking. Mark Mark Walker, PhD Research Associate, Philosophy, Trinity College University of Toronto Room 214 Gerald Larkin Building 15 Devonshire Place Toronto M5S 1H8 www.permanentend.org From mark at permanentend.org Mon Dec 22 14:13:38 2003 From: mark at permanentend.org (Mark Walker) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 09:13:38 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Affective computing: Candy bars for the soul References: <5.2.1.1.2.20031215121713.01eec398@mail.gmu.edu> <5.2.1.1.2.20031221124459.0207eef0@mail.gmu.edu> Message-ID: <001f01c3c895$ce1e2430$2ee4f418@markcomputer> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Robin Hanson" Mark Walker, PhD Research Associate, Philosophy, Trinity College University of Toronto Room 214 Gerald Larkin Building 15 Devonshire Place Toronto M5S 1H8 www.permanentend.org > The demographic transition is the phenomena whereby the birthrate falls > dramatically when nations get richer. This phenomena is *not* driven > primarily by birth control. It happened before birth control, and poor > nations now have high birth rates after cheap birth control. Ok, I see why this is more perplexing. The evolutionary explanation for this aside, is the causal mechanism known? Given that birthrates drop, and it is not birth control measures that are responsible, it seems that either copulation or fertility rates must have dropped. Do we know if it is one or the other (or both)? As for the evolutionary explanation, this is an interesting question. Admittedly it is quite a stretch but I wonder if it is related to the following evolutionary counter-intuitive result. I've bred a number of aquarium fish (e.g., Discus, clown fish, etc.) and generally the birthrate is higher for those that are kept a little hungry rather than those that are fed until they are satiated. This seems counter-intuitive since one would think that the fish with the extra calories would have more offspring rather. The best breeding results occur when they are fed lots for say a couple of weeks and then fed almost nothing for a few days. I've observed the similar results with breeding worms. In any event, the hypothesis based on this flimsy evidence is that human birthrates are correlated negatively with total calories or the steadiness of food supply. (Perhaps it goes without saying that the correlation will fail below a certain level of calories that stress the organisms so much that they cannot breed). Obviously evidence for this will be hard to come by since in general the rich nations have a greater calorie consumption and poorer nation fewer. http://www.fao.org/NEWS/1998/981204-e.htm We would need to find examples where poor nations have a steady and abundant supply or rich nations have low calorie consumption or periods of interruption in their food supply to refute the hypothesis. Mark Mark Walker, PhD Research Associate, Philosophy, Trinity College University of Toronto Room 214 Gerald Larkin Building 15 Devonshire Place Toronto M5S 1H8 www.permanentend.org From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Dec 22 15:14:43 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 07:14:43 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] European Free State Project In-Reply-To: <01ab01c3c851$a1841540$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: <20031222151443.42658.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> --- Brett Paatsch wrote: > Mike Lorrey wrote: > > > http://europeanfreestate.org/ > > > > The FSP has apparently spawned a bunch of efforts using similar > names. > > There is the Swing State Project, the Free Arms Project, I have > heard > > rumors of a 'Green State Project', and now European Libertarians > have > > launched a European Free State Project to establish a similarly > > libertarian free state within the European Union. > > > > The only thing that will shock me would be if one got started in > > China... ;) > > Or Libya maybe. > > How is the original Free State Project going Mike? I think you said > you were/are a New Hampshire native. It's going well. After the post-election shakedown, where members that had opted out of NH as a state they were willing to move to could choose to opt back in or leave the organization, our membership dropped initially to 4500 but now is back up to 5,200+. We are engaging in some creative advertising campaigns, running local ads in areas of the country where and when egregious violations of civil rights by federal, state, and local government occur. We had one this past week in South Carolina where police did an early morning raid on a junior high school, groping and stripping students, and coming up totally empty. This ad campaign got national coverage, with AP articles appearing. I recently appeared on a radio talk show as the Grafton County Representative of the organization, and this show has been rebroadcast several times on both AM and FM frequencies the station operates (don't have an mp3, sorry). We are now in the planning stages for a Freedom Fest to be held in June. Likely this will be located in Plymouth or someplace central in the state, and is expected to attract 500-1000 attendees. There will be some libertarian seminars as well as tours of the state for job and real estate hunting. > > I was getting sick of a few things about life in Australia the other > day and started wondering if life in New Hampshire might be better. > My understanding of New Hampshire is pretty limited but I realise it > only has a small population and I don't know what sort of high tech > companies it has. The FSP website has lots of research on NH that members have done. Here are a few links to check out... http://www.freestateproject.org/community/nh_info.jsp http://www.state.nh.us Let me know if you have any specific questions. I've lived here since age 9, outside of several years in the Air Force and developing business in Seattle. > > My googling on biotech firms in New Hampshire didn't find much but > could be I was just googling badly. There are a number of biotech firms. In Lebanon there are several that are offshoots of work done at Dartmouth Medical School and Darthmouth Hitchcock Medical Center's Norris Cotton Cancer Center. http://www.nhbiotech.com/ This is a good link to start off with. > > Does NH have any good universities? Much of a biotech/infotech/ > nanotech presence? Venture capital co's? What sort of laws if any > on GMO's, therapeutic cloning etc? University of New Hampshire is well known for its engineering school, its political science department, among other things. Dartmouth College features the Tuck Business School, the Thayer School of Engineering, and the Kiewit Computer Center. Dartmouth was featured in Wired last year as having a town-wide Wi-Fi network open to the public. Franklin Pierce College has a good law school that specializes in IP law. Plymouth State University is considered to have the best undergrad business school in the country. NH is rife with VC for such a rural state, UNH Center for Venture Research lists seven such firms native to the state. http://www.unh.edu/cvr/ There are, so far as I am aware, no state laws against any technological development. In 1998 the legislature enacted a law exempting Qualified Investment Capital Companies from the business profits tax. This exemption also applies to any investments made in QICC's by other businesses, in that any monies invested by a business in a QICC is not considered to be taxable profit monies. Finding actual nanotech companies is a bit of work, as the word has become a new buzzword, and I've found a number of companies using the term only as a term to describe the precision of their laser or other machining processes. In fact, there are a number of laser machining companies in NH. Also: http://www.camis.unh.edu/ http://www.unh.edu/apl/nprc.htm ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Dec 22 15:24:45 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 07:24:45 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] European Free State Project In-Reply-To: <403623C5-347A-11D8-AC6A-000A95B18568@antipope.org> Message-ID: <20031222152445.68528.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> --- Charlie Stross wrote: > > On 22 Dec 2003, at 03:29, Mike Lorrey wrote: > > > http://europeanfreestate.org/ > > > > The FSP has apparently spawned a bunch of efforts using similar > names. > > There is the Swing State Project, the Free Arms Project, I have > heard > > rumors of a 'Green State Project', and now European Libertarians > have > > launched a European Free State Project to establish a similarly > > libertarian free state within the European Union. > > > > The only thing that will shock me would be if one got started in > > China... ;) > > China isn't what it used to be, politically _or_ culturally: > > http://www.guardian.co.uk/international/story/0,3604,1110721,00.html > (That high-pitched whining noise is the sound of Chairman Mao > spinning -- they hooked him up to the national grid and he's keeping > the light bulbs burning throughout Hong Kong.) > > On a more serious note, what would you describe Hong Kong as? Considering the heavy handed things that have been going on in HK recently in terms of individual rights, it sure ain't what it used to be, and even that was lacking in areas. For me, at least. I think that people outside the US have a hard time grasping what some of us consider real freedom. Saw today that China's Communist Party is looking at approving an amendment to the constitution that protects private property as being co-equal to public property. So they've come half way. Wake me up when they finally admit that public property has no legitimacy whatsoever... ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Dec 22 15:29:55 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 07:29:55 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already In-Reply-To: <12DC51CA-347C-11D8-AC6A-000A95B18568@antipope.org> Message-ID: <20031222152955.69686.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> --- Charlie Stross wrote: > > Damien's working on this right now. Ken MacLeod (who some of you > might > remember from this list in the early nineties) also writes about > transhumanism, from a somewhat more skeptical but overall positive > viewpoint. My own through-the-singularity novel is due out in > mid-2005 > from Ace. (Yes, the publishing industry still moves with glacial > slowness, geared for quill-and-inkwell writers rather than > faster-than-realtime uploads.) I look on it as broadcasting the > memetic > foundations for a public debate framed in positive, rather than > negative, terms. You guys getting published are certainly doing your part on the propaganda front, no doubt. My ire is reserved more for the armchair extropians. > > What are *you* doing to help us establish what the Trotskyites would > call a Popular Front? I'm building the Free State. Don't you know that NH is the number one escape destination for people moving out of both Massachusetts AND the Bay Area/Silicon Valley??? Revolutionary Theory says no insurgency can survive without support from a sheltered base. New Hampshire is the place where transhumanists will be able to get trans'ed without luddite interference. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From extropy at audry2.com Mon Dec 22 16:56:32 2003 From: extropy at audry2.com (Major) Date: Tue, 23 Dec 2003 00:56:32 +0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] European Free State Project In-Reply-To: <403623C5-347A-11D8-AC6A-000A95B18568@antipope.org> (message from Charlie Stross on Mon, 22 Dec 2003 12:27:47 +0000) References: <20031222032956.35655.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> <403623C5-347A-11D8-AC6A-000A95B18568@antipope.org> Message-ID: <200312221656.hBMGuW812875@igor.synonet.com> > On a more serious note, what would you describe Hong Kong as? It used to be my canonical example of the difference between "freedom" and "democracy", it was a territory where the citizens had a great deal of freedom and very little political power. Major From charlie at antipope.org Mon Dec 22 17:02:17 2003 From: charlie at antipope.org (Charlie Stross) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 17:02:17 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] European Free State Project In-Reply-To: <20031222152445.68528.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> References: <20031222152445.68528.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <99359128-34A0-11D8-AC6A-000A95B18568@antipope.org> On 22 Dec 2003, at 15:24, Mike Lorrey wrote: >> >> On a more serious note, what would you describe Hong Kong as? > > Considering the heavy handed things that have been going on in HK > recently in terms of individual rights, it sure ain't what it used to > be, and even that was lacking in areas. For me, at least. I think that > people outside the US have a hard time grasping what some of us > consider real freedom. Hmm. Not sure what part of the news you're getting in the USA; when the party hacks tried to ram through a law restricting freedom of speech the resulting demonstrations were so big that they backed down hastily. Meanwhile, the income tax regime is way lower than in the US (both in terms of the highest rate and the income level at which it cuts in), business regulations are less, and so on. This gives the locals a huge amount of bargaining leverage with the Communist Party in Beijing, who are terrified of accidentally killing the golden-egg-laying goose, but it's the kind of bargaining that mostly goes on behind closed doors because nobody wants to lose face in public. > Saw today that China's Communist Party is looking at approving an > amendment to the constitution that protects private property as being > co-equal to public property. So they've come half way. Wake me up when > they finally admit that public property has no legitimacy whatsoever... In your dreams. (But then again, that goes for most of the rest of the world, doesn't it?) What's most interesting seems to be the way that the CP has decided Hong Kong is the way they want the *entire* country to go, in the long term, and the way they're converging on the role of the former imperial bureaucracy rather than sticking to the ideological overlay bequeathed to them by Lenin and Mao. -- Charlie From charlie at antipope.org Mon Dec 22 17:04:01 2003 From: charlie at antipope.org (Charlie Stross) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 17:04:01 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already In-Reply-To: <20031222152955.69686.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> References: <20031222152955.69686.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: On 22 Dec 2003, at 15:29, Mike Lorrey wrote: > I'm building the Free State. Don't you know that NH is the number one > escape destination for people moving out of both Massachusetts AND the > Bay Area/Silicon Valley??? Revolutionary Theory says no insurgency can > survive without support from a sheltered base. New Hampshire is the > place where transhumanists will be able to get trans'ed without > luddite interference. Hmm. What do you know about the Transdniester Republic? Any lessons to be learned there about how a breakaway region can survive and/or coexist with its larger neighbours? -- Charlie From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Dec 22 17:07:17 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 09:07:17 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already In-Reply-To: <20031222152955.69686.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20031222170717.4217.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> It has come to my attention that both myself and the list moderator, Spike, exceeded posting limits yesterday in our sjbrain discussions. My violation was due to accidental double posting of a few posts. Given that certain snoots are making an issue about it (individuals who got annoyed about my recent rant about extropic inaction in the face of luddism, no doubt), I will invite list members who want to discuss extropic issues in depth, without limitations on topic or number of posts, to continue extended conversations on the extro-freedom list on yahoogroups: Title : Extropians - Freedom Description : All Extropy, All the Time, til the Singularity. No posting limits, no censorship outside of limiting fraudulent statements and personal attacks (by the judgement of the ownership and management), no topics off-limits, no political correctness. NOTE: This list is not operated by or approved by the Extropy Institute. Extro-freedom was once known as Exi-freedom, but it's name has been changed as a result of a polite request by Max that I do so. Strongarm tactics annoy me, politeness I reward. See how easy it is? ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From bradbury at aeiveos.com Mon Dec 22 17:29:28 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 09:29:28 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] XYZBrain History [was: sjbrain calcs] In-Reply-To: <3FE6A614.4010502@mindspring.com> Message-ID: On Mon, 22 Dec 2003, Alan Eliasen wrote: > I'm earnestly following this discussions of Brains the Size of a > Planet and all that, and going a bit insane in the membrane trying to > keep the alphabetical procession of different XYZbrains in order. Neat > stuff, though. I suppose a bit of a history lesson is in order for people who haven't been on the list for decades. Sometime in the early '90s Perry Metzger proposed the concept of a Jupiter Brain (JBrain). The exact date is lost in the private Extropian archives. See: http://www.aeiveos.com/~bradbury/JupiterBrains/ Anders Sandberg did some work in the mid-'90s documenting Dyson Spheres (really Shells): http://www.student.nada.kth.se/~nv91-asa/dysonFAQ.html he also started work writing some detailed theoretical calculations on what the limits might be which was published in 1999 in the Journal of Evolution and Technology: http://www.jetpress.org/volume5/Brains2.pdf The appendix >From 1997 to 2002 I gave talks at several conferences (including Extro3) and published some papers about Dyson Shells and an extended concept known as Matrioshka Brains (MBrain): http://www.aeiveos.com/~bradbury/MatrioshkaBrains/ During various visits to Spike's house he and I have played around with various extensions to some of my ideas. My efforts have at least planted these ideas in the heads of a few astronomers and SETI researchers (though the mainstream folks have generally rejected them). In addition, Damien Broderick has picked up some of the ideas in his book "The Spike" so they are slowly filtering out into public awareness. The quick summary regarding MBrains is that each "node" provides the approximate computing capacity of 100,000 to a 1,000,000 human brains and and entire MBrain contains a sufficient number of nodes that you have the computational capacity of ~10^15 human *species* (at our current population level) per star. Spike's sjbrain is an interesting new variant. > Can I ask what may be a silly question? Why would one build so many > little far-flung nodes instead of a more monolithic structure? So many > things are simpler, faster, and more efficient with a single > structure--communications, energy expenditure, time lag, that I guess I > don't see why the structure wouldn't be made much more compact. The compact structure is in the MBrain (and to a lesser extent the JBrain). The problem is that you hit the heat removal limits. That's in the MBrain architecture using 1 cm^3 Drexlerian nanocomputers that have to radiate 100,000 W. See for example: http://www.aeiveos.com/~bradbury/MatrioshkaBrains/MatrioshkaBrains.html#Figure1 The radiator size ultimately is much bigger than the computer size. > Communicating with someone with a one-minute lag would probably be > pretty inefficient and painful. We are going to have to get used to it. A really advanced civilization would probably consist of a number of Matrioshka Brains organized the same way globular clusters are (a million or so stars within a few light-years of each other). But after they get through star-lifting their lifetimes are in the trillion year range so they probably don't sweat the inter-brain delay times. > So, my question is, why intentionally make it so hard and painful to > communicate? I've always thought that future supercomputers would > cluster as close as possible together so that communications lags would > be minimized. Or, why not? Robustness? They are clustered close together. That's why the Cray-1 and Cray-2 had circular designs. See: http://futuretech.mirror.vuurwerk.net/cray1.html IBM was probably as good as Cray at figuring out how to cool things (you may be too young to remember that some of the early 360's and 370's were based on ECL logic and had to be water cooled!). To avoid the problems that heat causes in accelerating failure rates IBM is producing its high (up to 65K?) processor count machines like Blue Gene with sharply constrained clock speeds on the CPUs. Even the PowerPC's in Univ. of Virgina supercomputer (currently 2nd fastest in the world) run at clock speeds significantly below current Intel CPUs. > Frink documentation: > http://futureboy.homeip.net/frinkdocs/ Interesting Alan, I'll have to take a look at it. Hope the above brings everyone who hasn't been around the last 6 years up to speed. Robert From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Dec 22 17:29:58 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 09:29:58 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031222172958.78264.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> --- Charlie Stross wrote: > > Hmm. What do you know about the Transdniester Republic? Any lessons > to be learned there about how a breakaway region can survive and/or > coexist with its larger neighbours? Transdniester's problems lay in its adherence to strict socialism, its banana republic monetary policy, and its guarantee of wages 20% over Moldavian wages. Can you say economic disaster? It also appears to be a center of various forms of organized crime: http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/world/war/transdniester.htm "Transdniester separatists' have a long-time involvement in money-laundering and the manufacturing and smuggling of weapons, as well as trafficking in human beings and drugs. Secessionists in Russian-speaking Transdniester maintain control over the enclave's borders with Ukraine, across which most of the smuggling takes place. The region's leader, Igor Smirnov, and his son, Vladimir, are believed to have almost exclusive control over the lucrative criminal activities in the area. The dispute between Transdniester and the rest of Moldova remains unresolved. Decade-long talks supervised by the OSCE, Russia, and Ukraine have failed repeatedly, attracting criticism that Russia is unofficially supporting the separatists, although Moscow has not formally recognized Transdniester's existence. The quagmire remains as deep as ever in late 2003 after Moldova turned down a Russian plan proposing de facto independence for Transdniester and a long-term extension of the presence of Russian forces." The FSP is not a secessionist movement, contrary to the scare tactics of some Democrats, though NH does feature constitutional protections of the right to revolt and secede (protections which were successfully used once in the 19th century). NH's deepwater port and Canadian border also serve only to help bolster its ability to withstand economic isolation by Washington DC if a federal power vs states rights showdown occurs. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From dirk at neopax.com Mon Dec 22 17:42:13 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 17:42:13 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already References: <20031222040345.31503.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <00eb01c3c8b2$eebca460$9cb26bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Mike Lorrey" To: "Damien Broderick" ; "ExI chat list" Sent: Monday, December 22, 2003 4:03 AM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already > > If any sort of violence is not warranted, then what is the excuse for > the complete and total inaction of the people on this list??? There is > a broad range of possible reponses between apathy and violence. Nobody > here has taken a one. Ahem... Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From dirk at neopax.com Mon Dec 22 17:43:12 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 17:43:12 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] European Free State Project References: <20031222032956.35655.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <00f901c3c8b3$12038e70$9cb26bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Mike Lorrey" To: ; Sent: Monday, December 22, 2003 3:29 AM Subject: [extropy-chat] European Free State Project > http://europeanfreestate.org/ > > The FSP has apparently spawned a bunch of efforts using similar names. > There is the Swing State Project, the Free Arms Project, I have heard > rumors of a 'Green State Project', and now European Libertarians have > launched a European Free State Project to establish a similarly > libertarian free state within the European Union. With approximately zero probability of success. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From dirk at neopax.com Mon Dec 22 17:44:11 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 17:44:11 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already References: <018301c3c820$d8001aa0$b0994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <010501c3c8b3$35892f30$9cb26bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Damien Broderick" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Monday, December 22, 2003 12:16 AM Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already > I just obtained Bill McKibben's much praised diatribe ENOUGH from the > library. To my surprise, he quotes THE SPIKE five or six times, always > choosing quite eloquent and non-silly bits, then displays them as if they > are self-refuting. Weird. Speaking of weird, he says of Ettinger and Moravec > and Stock and me and others that we advocate healthy life extension without > understanding how `weird or gross or boring' living forever would be. I've > only just started the book (after glimpses at the index) but look forward > eagerly to learning why allowing women to die painfully in childbirth, the > natural way, isn't even more weird and gross. > > (He's amazingly unfair to Max More, whom he cites as boasting that > he's `a stud'--completely untrue, being McKibben's ascription--able to > legpress 710 lbs, when Max's point was precisely to refute the claim that > extropes are all weedy nerdish body-haters.) Well, put me down as a not-too-weedy 200lb martial arts teacher. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From dirk at neopax.com Mon Dec 22 17:51:54 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 17:51:54 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] converging history References: <006a01c3c859$33ba7c90$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <013101c3c8b4$495a77c0$9cb26bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Spike" To: "'ExI chat list'" Sent: Monday, December 22, 2003 6:59 AM Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] converging history > > No one has commented on the rest of that post: that > humanity has clearly gone open loop and that surely > the singularity is the inevitable result, with no > logical new equilibrium immediately threatening us. A singularity is by no means inevitable. I rate the chance of extinction somewhat higher. And if anyone is depending on strong AI I think it likely they may well be disappointed (as they have been for the past 50yrs). http://www.astro.sk/~msaniga/curres.html Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Dec 22 17:55:02 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 09:55:02 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] European Free State Project In-Reply-To: <00f901c3c8b3$12038e70$9cb26bd5@artemis> Message-ID: <20031222175502.16740.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > > ----- Original Message ----- > From: "Mike Lorrey" > To: ; > Sent: Monday, December 22, 2003 3:29 AM > Subject: [extropy-chat] European Free State Project > > > > http://europeanfreestate.org/ > > > > The FSP has apparently spawned a bunch of efforts using similar > names. > > There is the Swing State Project, the Free Arms Project, I have > heard > > rumors of a 'Green State Project', and now European Libertarians > have > > launched a European Free State Project to establish a similarly > > libertarian free state within the European Union. > > With approximately zero probability of success. Ah, well, now I know it will succeed. The US LP gave us similar odds of even reaching 5,000 members. We went on to get the endorsements of LP's of a couple dozen states and NH's governor, and our election occured a year ahead of even our own original expectations. We've made national headlines on a number of occasions and our people appear regularly on television and radio, national commentators like Walter Williams, Claire Wolfe, Neal Boortz, Richard Boddie, Thomas Sowell, The Man Show co-host Doug Stanhope, and ABC co-anchor John Stossel have all either endorsed us or become members. Even the Republican Liberty Caucus endorses us. Who has a more successful political movement so far, the FSP or The Consensus??? I will bet that the EFSP has its 5,000 member vote within the next two years on where to locate. Suggest you jump on the train... ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From dirk at neopax.com Mon Dec 22 18:41:37 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 18:41:37 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] European Free State Project References: <20031222175502.16740.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <01c901c3c8bb$4178c820$9cb26bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Mike Lorrey" To: "Dirk Bruere" ; "ExI chat list" Sent: Monday, December 22, 2003 5:55 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] European Free State Project > > > http://europeanfreestate.org/ > > > > > > The FSP has apparently spawned a bunch of efforts using similar > > names. > > > There is the Swing State Project, the Free Arms Project, I have > > heard > > > rumors of a 'Green State Project', and now European Libertarians > > have > > > launched a European Free State Project to establish a similarly > > > libertarian free state within the European Union. > > > > With approximately zero probability of success. > > Ah, well, now I know it will succeed. The US LP gave us similar odds of > even reaching 5,000 members. We went on to get the endorsements of LP's > of a couple dozen states and NH's governor, and our election occured a > year ahead of even our own original expectations. We've made national > headlines on a number of occasions and our people appear regularly on > television and radio, national commentators like Walter Williams, > Claire Wolfe, Neal Boortz, Richard Boddie, Thomas Sowell, The Man Show > co-host Doug Stanhope, and ABC co-anchor John Stossel have all either > endorsed us or become members. Even the Republican Liberty Caucus > endorses us. > > Who has a more successful political movement so far, the FSP or The > Consensus??? I will bet that the EFSP has its 5,000 member vote within > the next two years on where to locate. Suggest you jump on the train... > I certainly have no objections to such projects, but the levels of success required by the Consensus v establishing a libertarian nation are vastly different esp in Europe. With 5000 members the Consensus could do a great deal. However, for the other project to succeed they need *millions* of committed people all in the same place. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From spike66 at comcast.net Mon Dec 22 19:24:39 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 11:24:39 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] converging history In-Reply-To: <013101c3c8b4$495a77c0$9cb26bd5@artemis> Message-ID: <000001c3c8c1$3e7ba600$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] converging history > > > > > > No one has commented on the rest of that post: that > > humanity has clearly gone open loop and that surely > > the singularity is the inevitable result, with no > > logical new equilibrium immediately threatening us. > > A singularity is by no means inevitable. > I rate the chance of extinction somewhat higher... Sure but I mean in the big picture the singu WHOA Earthquake! Light fixtures swinging. Everyone OK? From dirk at neopax.com Mon Dec 22 19:37:37 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 19:37:37 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] converging history References: <000001c3c8c1$3e7ba600$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <021501c3c8c3$0dfe3f90$9cb26bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Spike" To: "'Dirk Bruere'" ; "'ExI chat list'" Sent: Monday, December 22, 2003 7:24 PM Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] converging history > > > > Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] converging history > > > > > > > > > > No one has commented on the rest of that post: that > > > humanity has clearly gone open loop and that surely > > > the singularity is the inevitable result, with no > > > logical new equilibrium immediately threatening us. > > > > A singularity is by no means inevitable. > > I rate the chance of extinction somewhat higher... > > Sure but I mean in the big picture the singu > > WHOA Earthquake! Light fixtures swinging. Everyone OK? We don't get much of that in Britain. Over here a 5.0 makes national headlines. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From spike66 at comcast.net Mon Dec 22 19:37:40 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 11:37:40 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] taxifornia earthquake In-Reply-To: <000001c3c8c1$3e7ba600$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <000101c3c8c3$1048a4c0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > Sure but I mean in the big picture the singu > > WHOA Earthquake! Light fixtures swinging. Everyone OK? > OK I have a chandalier on about a 3 meter chain hanging in the front room and it was swinging in the north-south direction, and it was a gentle low frequency S-wave, (caused me to get a little woozy) so it has evidently travelled a long ways, and there are few major faults to the north, so I suspect the epicenter was a good 100 km or more to the south of San Jose. spike From rhanson at gmu.edu Mon Dec 22 19:33:52 2003 From: rhanson at gmu.edu (Robin Hanson) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 14:33:52 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already In-Reply-To: <12DC51CA-347C-11D8-AC6A-000A95B18568@antipope.org> References: <20031222040345.31503.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> <20031222040345.31503.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <5.2.1.1.2.20031222111720.020c05b8@mail.gmu.edu> On 12/22/2003, Charlie Stross wrote: >I submit that, at this stage, *fiction* is a very effective propaganda >tool for our corner. Fiction provides a vehicle for actual concrete >scenarios that will allow the people we want to reach (the vast majority >who've never heard of the concepts we trade in, either for or against) to >visualize what we're talking about. And it's very important to establish >our position in fiction before the Frankenstein archetype gets pinned on >us. ... >Damien's working on this right now. Ken MacLeod (who some of you might >remember from this list in the early nineties) also writes about >transhumanism, from a somewhat more skeptical but overall positive >viewpoint. My own through-the-singularity novel is due out in mid-2005 >from Ace. ... I have mixed feelings about the role of science fiction here. If we were sure no one else would look at these topics, we should certainly be glad that at least science fiction looked at them. But I constantly run into academics whose reason for ignoring these issues is because "that's science fiction." Now perhaps they would still say that if there were not actual science fiction novels about these topics. But it does seem that the fact that some scenario is popular in science fiction is often taken as a reason not to consider it in "serious" discussions about the future. Science fiction authors are well aware of the may biases that are introduced into their future scenarios due to the need to have an entertaining story. Academia has its own biases, but my guess is that they are not as bad. Robin Hanson rhanson at gmu.edu http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-4444 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323 From dirk at neopax.com Mon Dec 22 19:56:14 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 19:56:14 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already References: <20031222040345.31503.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com><20031222040345.31503.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> <5.2.1.1.2.20031222111720.020c05b8@mail.gmu.edu> Message-ID: <023d01c3c8c5$ae8992f0$9cb26bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Robin Hanson" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Monday, December 22, 2003 7:33 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already > On 12/22/2003, Charlie Stross wrote: > >I submit that, at this stage, *fiction* is a very effective propaganda > >tool for our corner. Fiction provides a vehicle for actual concrete > >scenarios that will allow the people we want to reach (the vast majority > >who've never heard of the concepts we trade in, either for or against) to > >visualize what we're talking about. And it's very important to establish > >our position in fiction before the Frankenstein archetype gets pinned on > >us. ... > >Damien's working on this right now. Ken MacLeod (who some of you might > >remember from this list in the early nineties) also writes about > >transhumanism, from a somewhat more skeptical but overall positive > >viewpoint. My own through-the-singularity novel is due out in mid-2005 > >from Ace. ... > > I have mixed feelings about the role of science fiction here. If we were > sure no one else would look at these topics, we should certainly be glad > that at least science fiction looked at them. But I constantly run into > academics whose reason for ignoring these issues is because "that's science > fiction." Now perhaps they would still say that if there were not actual > science fiction novels about these topics. But it does seem that the fact > that some scenario is popular in science fiction is often taken as a reason > not to consider it in "serious" discussions about the future. > > Science fiction authors are well aware of the may biases that are > introduced into their future scenarios due to the need to have an > entertaining story. Academia has its own biases, but my guess is that they > are not as bad. http://www.theconsensus.org/uk/essentia/why/index.html 'Of course, this all seems like science fiction. And it is, until it happens. If you are middle aged then there are other things that you will remember being science fiction. The list, in no particular order and far from exhaustive, includes cloning, test tube babies, acid rain, the Internet, global warming, Plutonium smuggling, genetically engineered children, personal computers, aberrant weather patterns, the hole in the ozone layer, the current mass extinction of life, the collapse of Communism and the kind of terrorism that was once found only in comic books and James Bond films. ' Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From test at demedici.ssec.wisc.edu Mon Dec 22 20:22:10 2003 From: test at demedici.ssec.wisc.edu (Bill Hibbard) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 14:22:10 -0600 (CST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: ENOUGH already Message-ID: --- Damien Broderick wrote: > I just obtained Bill McKibben's much praised diatribe ENOUGH from the > library. ... I discuss Bill McKibben's End of Nature in my own book, Super-Intelligent Machines. He laments that humans have conquered nature so thoroughly that there are no truly wild spaces left. It is not enough for him that humans preserve nature in parks - he wants unexplored territory. His lament is misguided in a couple ways. First, there is plenty of wild physical space left in the oceans and really wild space beyond the earth's atmosphere. Second, the great unexplored territory of nature is how biology and mind work. The ability to create artificial minds will lead humans into the wildest space we've ever been to (the title of one of Ben Goertzel's books is Wild Computing). McKibben derives spritual inspriation from wild nature, but if he had more imagination he would realize there is much greater spiritual inspiration in the creation of artificial minds far beyond the abilities of human minds. The true nature lovers are the transhumanists, not those focused on nostalgia for the past. Of course, he and others will never be able to stop the singularity. The industrial countries are pouring money into computer technology and biological research as fast as they can. The drive to explore wild spaces that McKibben claims is lost, is actually very much alive. He just can't recognize it. Cheers, Bill ---------------------------------------------------------- Bill Hibbard, SSEC, 1225 W. Dayton St., Madison, WI 53706 test at demedici.ssec.wisc.edu 608-263-4427 fax: 608-263-6738 http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~billh/vis.html From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Dec 22 20:33:14 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 12:33:14 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] European Free State Project In-Reply-To: <01c901c3c8bb$4178c820$9cb26bd5@artemis> Message-ID: <20031222203314.23874.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > I certainly have no objections to such projects, but the levels of > success > required by the Consensus v establishing a libertarian nation are > vastly different esp in Europe. > With 5000 members the Consensus could do a great deal. > However, for the other project to succeed they need *millions* of > committed people all in the same place. Well, no, actually. Suggest you read Jason Soren's original paper. All they need are 20,000 members in a state of less than 1.5 million population to have a significant impact. In fact, there are actually a lot more good candidates than we have had here in the US, for example Andorra only has a population of 72,000. Gibraltar is only 29,000 (and Sean Hastings is going to be building his Seastead there). Guernsey and Alderney is 63,000. Iceland is 294,000. Jersey is 88,000. Lichtenstein is 34,600. Estonia is 1.268 million. Malta is 383,000. Isle of Man is 77,500. Monaco is 33,800. San Marino is 28,400. Slovenia is just over the mark at 1.95 million. Svalbard and Jan Mayen is 2,200. If you go by proportionality of 20,000 FSP members to 1.5 million Free State population, then the needed EFSP members to effect similar libertarian change would be, for each of the candidates above: State Needed EFSP Members Andorra 960 Gibraltar 387 Guernsey & Alderney 840 Iceland 3920 Jersey 1174 Lichtenstein 462 Estonia 16907 Malta 1107 San Marino 379 Isle of Man 1034 Monaco 451 Slovenia 26000 Svalbard & Jan Mayen 29 And these are just nations IN europe. There are also territories of european nations all around the world as well that range from spits to uninhabited atolls to major colonial posessions. This is also just looking at whole countries rather than just departments or provinces, etc. There are also a large number of allodial freeholds still held in feudal tenancy. Just looking at the population numbers, I would say that if an EFSP can get going, there are some really good potential locations. From these candidates, all that they really need to do is figure out which ones are already the most libertarian ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From bradbury at aeiveos.com Mon Dec 22 20:37:33 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 12:37:33 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already In-Reply-To: <5.2.1.1.2.20031222111720.020c05b8@mail.gmu.edu> Message-ID: On Mon, 22 Dec 2003, Robin Hanson wrote: > But I constantly run into > academics whose reason for ignoring these issues is because "that's science > fiction." Now perhaps they would still say that if there were not actual > science fiction novels about these topics. But it does seem that the fact > that some scenario is popular in science fiction is often taken as a reason > not to consider it in "serious" discussions about the future. Hmmm... Sounds like a "herd" or "peer review" effect to me. Few people want to stick their necks out for fear they might not get tenure or their next grant application approved. On the other hand one of the reasons I went back and learned all about molecular biology was because I wanted a pet dragon (derived in part from my thinking dragons were cool from reading the Dragonriders of Pern series in my youth). Once I learned enough about molecular biology I was convinced they were feasible (don't know about flying but there were some very big reptiles that flew) I started biotech companies doing aging research because I knew it was going to be a few decades until the technology developed sufficiently to do whole genome design (and I wanted to still be alive to take advantage of using it to design my dragon). The other reason to have a pet dragon is because if I walk it around Greenlake its going to be a babe magnet big time. :-) It sounds to me like many academics simply lack imagination or aren't willing to do the work necessary to achieve some of the far out goals one finds in science fiction & fantasy stories. How many of the people involved in serious nanotechnology research have read every paper Eric has written on the topic as well as Nanosystems? I suspect it isn't many. And that isn't even science fiction -- its simply projected engineering capabilities. Robert From charlie at antipope.org Mon Dec 22 20:37:44 2003 From: charlie at antipope.org (Charlie Stross) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 20:37:44 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already In-Reply-To: <5.2.1.1.2.20031222111720.020c05b8@mail.gmu.edu> References: <20031222040345.31503.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> <20031222040345.31503.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> <5.2.1.1.2.20031222111720.020c05b8@mail.gmu.edu> Message-ID: On 22 Dec 2003, at 19:33, Robin Hanson wrote: > > I have mixed feelings about the role of science fiction here. If we > were sure no one else would look at these topics, we should certainly > be glad that at least science fiction looked at them. But I > constantly run into academics whose reason for ignoring these issues > is because "that's science fiction." Now perhaps they would still say > that if there were not actual science fiction novels about these > topics. But it does seem that the fact that some scenario is popular > in science fiction is often taken as a reason not to consider it in > "serious" discussions about the future. As Dirk Bruere notes, "that's science fiction" is a tag that could be applied to numerous everyday artefacts today as little as thirty years ago (test tube babies, personal computers, etcetera). One need only look back to the 1930's or 1940's and the dream of a rocket to the moon to see an example of something that was clearly nothing but SF then becoming reality a couple of decades later -- with a big budget behind it. It seems to me that many people -- and academics are a subset of "people", no more and no less prone to this than anyone else -- have a large and unacknowledged emotional investment in the current paradigm. You grow up, go to school, work, get married, buy a house, work hard, have children ... and anything that jeopardizes this behaviour is, clearly undesirable. If you've invested decades in your nest and your family, the idea that developments in the next decade or two will turn it upside down is deeply threatening because, working on the basis of prior experience, it will have invalidated a large part of your life and you won't have time to repair the damage. It's hard to criticize people for feeling this way, because for most of our species' history this has been survival-oriented behaviour. Circumstances changed slowly if at all -- rapid change was due only to disasters like plague, war, famine, and civil disorder, and is therefore almost inevitably negative. As I believe Kuhn observed, old paradigms tend to be displaced only when the academics who hold them die or retire. By writing SF I'm hopefully reaching the next generation before they have invested so much in the current prevalent paradigm that they come to see change as threatening. It's a long, slow process. > Science fiction authors are well aware of the may biases that are > introduced into their future scenarios due to the need to have an > entertaining story. Academia has its own biases, but my guess is that > they are not as bad. You're probably right, in general. Special pleading: those SF writers who are currently using these ideas -- there aren't many of us, because they haven't yet hit the mainstream awareness the way that, say, nanotechnology has -- are still, I hope, a bit more serious in outlook. Even when we're taking the piss. (Go Google on "Jury Service" and click on the topmost link it returns if you've got a free hour :) -- Charlie From dirk at neopax.com Mon Dec 22 20:41:44 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 20:41:44 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] European Free State Project References: <20031222203314.23874.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <02c901c3c8cc$02cb3020$9cb26bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Mike Lorrey" To: "Dirk Bruere" ; "ExI chat list" Sent: Monday, December 22, 2003 8:33 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] European Free State Project > > --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > > > I certainly have no objections to such projects, but the levels of > > success > > required by the Consensus v establishing a libertarian nation are > > vastly different esp in Europe. > > With 5000 members the Consensus could do a great deal. > > However, for the other project to succeed they need *millions* of > > committed people all in the same place. > > Well, no, actually. Suggest you read Jason Soren's original paper. All > they need are 20,000 members in a state of less than 1.5 million > population to have a significant impact. > > In fact, there are actually a lot more good candidates than we have had > here in the US, for example Andorra only has a population of 72,000. > Gibraltar is only 29,000 (and Sean Hastings is going to be building his > Seastead there). Guernsey and Alderney is 63,000. Iceland is 294,000. > Jersey is 88,000. Lichtenstein is 34,600. Estonia is 1.268 million. > Malta is 383,000. Isle of Man is 77,500. Monaco is 33,800. San Marino > is 28,400. Slovenia is just over the mark at 1.95 million. Svalbard and > Jan Mayen is 2,200. > > If you go by proportionality of 20,000 FSP members to 1.5 million Free > State population, then the needed EFSP members to effect similar > libertarian change would be, for each of the candidates above: > > State Needed EFSP Members > Andorra 960 > Gibraltar 387 > Guernsey & Alderney 840 > Iceland 3920 > Jersey 1174 > Lichtenstein 462 > Estonia 16907 > Malta 1107 > San Marino 379 > Isle of Man 1034 > Monaco 451 > Slovenia 26000 > Svalbard & Jan Mayen 29 > > And these are just nations IN europe. There are also territories of > european nations all around the world as well that range from spits to > uninhabited atolls to major colonial posessions. This is also just > looking at whole countries rather than just departments or provinces, > etc. There are also a large number of allodial freeholds still held in > feudal tenancy. > > Just looking at the population numbers, I would say that if an EFSP can > get going, there are some really good potential locations. From these > candidates, all that they really need to do is figure out which ones > are already the most libertarian I think that is hopelessly optimistic. At the very least you are going to need more hardcore libertarians than people on welfare, not to mention conservatives and socialists who will disagree on fundamental issues. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From wingcat at pacbell.net Mon Dec 22 20:43:16 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 12:43:16 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] taxifornia earthquake In-Reply-To: <000101c3c8c3$1048a4c0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031222204316.5253.qmail@web80411.mail.yahoo.com> --- Spike wrote: > I > suspect the epicenter was a good 100 km or more to > the south of > San Jose. According to another email I just got... > According to the news, this was a 6.4 earthquake, > centered 7 miles NE of San Simeon and was felt from > Los Angeles to San Francisco. The 7 story what-passes-for-a-skyscraper-around-here (Mountain View) my office is in was briefly partially evacuated, due to some people on the 3rd and above floors having mild panic attacks. (Which is the real danger in these cases, in terms of damage caused.) From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Dec 22 20:46:10 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 12:46:10 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] taxifornia earthquake In-Reply-To: <000101c3c8c3$1048a4c0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031222204610.6632.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> --- Spike wrote: > > > Sure but I mean in the big picture the singu > > > > WHOA Earthquake! Light fixtures swinging. Everyone OK? > > > > OK I have a chandalier on about a 3 meter chain hanging in > the front room and it was swinging in the north-south > direction, and it was a gentle low frequency S-wave, (caused > me to get a little woozy) so it has evidently travelled a > long ways, and there are few major faults to the north, so I > suspect the epicenter was a good 100 km or more to the south of > San Jose. I'm suprised you haven't drawn a scale on your wall, or table top, or ceiling to make your chandelier a good siesmometer.....I recall reading a story about submariners who hung a pendulum to measure the distance to depth charge blasts.... USGS says it was a 6.5 and centered in Cambria, halfway to LA from you. That is my 8th post today. Conversation now shifting to extro-freedom, where you can say as much as you want without certain people getting peeved.... ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From bradbury at aeiveos.com Mon Dec 22 20:46:34 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 12:46:34 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already In-Reply-To: <018301c3c820$d8001aa0$b0994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: On Sun, 21 Dec 2003, Damien Broderick wrote: > I just obtained Bill McKibben's much praised diatribe ENOUGH from the > library. Hmmm... Have we discussed Richard Falk's "Religion and Human Global Governance" yet? If not, looking at the review on amazon suggests that should be next on your reading list Damien. http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/tg/detail/-/031223337X Robert From wingcat at pacbell.net Mon Dec 22 20:47:27 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 12:47:27 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] converging history In-Reply-To: <000001c3c8c1$3e7ba600$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031222204727.68234.qmail@web80405.mail.yahoo.com> --- Spike wrote: > > Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] converging history > > A singularity is by no means inevitable. > > I rate the chance of extinction somewhat higher... > > Sure but I mean in the big picture the singu > > WHOA Earthquake! Light fixtures swinging. Everyone > OK? Yes, we Extropians are able to think about the far, almost indefinite future, and about the immediate present at the same time. ^_^ From thespike at earthlink.net Mon Dec 22 21:04:50 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 15:04:50 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already References: Message-ID: <016b01c3c8cf$40c5dbc0$df994a43@texas.net> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Robert J. Bradbury" Sent: Monday, December 22, 2003 2:46 PM > Have we discussed Richard Falk's "Religion and Human Global > Governance" yet? > http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/tg/detail/-/031223337X And I see there another title linked: War Is a Force That Gives Us Meaning by Chris Hedges < A veteran New York Times war correspondent's complex, moving, and thought-provoking reflection on how life is lived most intensely in times of war. General George S. Patton famously said, "Compared to war all other forms of human endeavor shrink to insignificance. God, I do love it so!" Though Patton was a notoriously single-minded general, it is nonetheless a sad fact that war gives meaning to many lives, a fact with which we have become familiar now that America is once again engaged in a military conflict. War is an enticing elixir. It gives us purpose, resolve, a cause. It allows us to be noble. > Damien Broderick From thespike at earthlink.net Mon Dec 22 21:10:12 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 15:10:12 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] why AI is "bullshit" References: Message-ID: <018a01c3c8cf$fee1c420$df994a43@texas.net> http://www.keithchandler.com/Essays/Becoming%20Homo%20s.%20sapiens.html Send your carefully thought-out retorts to Chandler, not to me. :) Damien Broderick From wingcat at pacbell.net Mon Dec 22 21:11:20 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 13:11:20 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Dragons In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031222211120.16897.qmail@web80406.mail.yahoo.com> --- "Robert J. Bradbury" wrote: > On the other hand one of the reasons I went back and > learned all about > molecular biology was because I wanted a pet dragon > (derived in part > from my thinking dragons were cool from reading the > Dragonriders of > Pern series in my youth). Once I learned enough > about molecular > biology I was convinced they were feasible (don't > know about flying > but there were some very big reptiles that flew) I > started biotech > companies doing aging research because I knew it was > going to be > a few decades until the technology developed > sufficiently to do > whole genome design (and I wanted to still be alive > to take > advantage of using it to design my dragon). > > The other reason to have a pet dragon is because if > I walk it > around Greenlake its going to be a babe magnet big > time. :-) It would definitely be an artistic statement along the lines of the glofish, but perhaps better received given its existing wide precedent in fantasy. So I wonder...what all, exactly, would be necessary to genetically engineer a fire-breathing, flying reptile? I recall a description someone once worked up, of how a dragon could have enzymes that digest certain rocks (mainly limestone) to produce hydrogen gas, that was stored in an internal bladder, allowing blimp-style flight (with wings for horizontal propulsion). This gas could then be forcefully expelled by contracting the bladder, either heating up a lot or going past some kind of spark generator right at the edge of the mouth (don't want to burn the tongue or gums). The description did not mention it, but if the bladder could contract without expelling the gas, the dragon could change its volume without changing its mass, thus controlling the amount of lift its store of hydrogen gave - and, most importantly, allowing the dragon to land and take off without having to sacrifice and regenerate hydrogen (which might limit landing zones to spots with available limestone). (The author then went on to speculate that in theory, upon a dragon's death, the enzyme would eventually dissolve the bones, leaving only soft tissues which disentigrate normally. The only "fossils" they would leave behind would be pockets of natural gas and perhaps a bit of oil. But that is of little importance to creating a new species.) One could possibly start from an already existing winged reptile. Or perhaps take nature's cue for optimized flight, and go for a feathered dragon: a bird. That way, most of the design needed for flight is already done; we'd just need to add in the enzyme, the bladder, and the heater/sparker. Now, knowing enough genetics to add in specific organs (rather than an overall effect, as for the glofish) would be a challenge... From mhaislip at quest-web.com Mon Dec 22 22:13:03 2003 From: mhaislip at quest-web.com (Michael Haislip) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 16:13:03 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] why AI is "bullshit" In-Reply-To: <018a01c3c8cf$fee1c420$df994a43@texas.net> References: <018a01c3c8cf$fee1c420$df994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <6.0.1.1.2.20031222160209.01faee48@mail.quest-web.com> At 03:10 PM 12/22/2003, you wrote: >http://www.keithchandler.com/Essays/Becoming%20Homo%20s.%20sapiens.html >Send your carefully thought-out retorts to Chandler, not to me. :) I want that 5 minutes of my life back. ------------------------------------------------------- Michael Haislip ------------------------------------------------------- From puglisi at arcetri.astro.it Mon Dec 22 22:18:57 2003 From: puglisi at arcetri.astro.it (Alfio Puglisi) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 23:18:57 +0100 (CET) Subject: [extropy-chat] why AI is "bullshit" In-Reply-To: <018a01c3c8cf$fee1c420$df994a43@texas.net> References: <018a01c3c8cf$fee1c420$df994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: Is this Chandler someone known in some circles? The paragraph that starts with "No one really knows..." basically says: "I think it's wrong, so it's bullshit." What a subtle argumentt. Ciao, Alfio On Mon, 22 Dec 2003, Damien Broderick wrote: >http://www.keithchandler.com/Essays/Becoming%20Homo%20s.%20sapiens.html > >Send your carefully thought-out retorts to Chandler, not to me. :) > >Damien Broderick > >_______________________________________________ >extropy-chat mailing list >extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org >http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From bradbury at aeiveos.com Mon Dec 22 22:28:34 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 14:28:34 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] BIO: Stem Cell Genes Message-ID: Science Daily [1] is pointing out the current issue of the Public Library of Science has an article [2] involving one of the "most scattered all over the globe" bio research projects I've run across (excepting perhaps the HGP) that a significant fraction of the mouse stem cell transcriptome has been determined. Short conclusion -- we now know most of the genes that might make stem cells behave as stem cells. Next up -- testing which subset(s) of those are the master control genes that do the heavy lifting. After that figure out if turning on the master control genes (by methods to be determined -- or perhaps if they are disabled in "adult" cells -- augment the genome with master genes using gene therapy protocols). Voila -- retrodifferentiation -- turn adult cells back into stem cells. Back of the envelope guess -- 3 to 5 years. So there may be two possibilities for self-renewal materials: (a) isolate stem cells from the "caches" within the body; (b) take any old cell (white blood cells, skin cells, etc.) and turn it back into a stem cell. Once one has a good "self" stem cell grow up lots of them and store them on ice for when they are needed. Robert 1. Profiling The Genes That Make Stem Cells http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2003/12/031222065220.htm 2. Transcriptome Analysis of Mouse Stem Cells and Early Embryos http://www.plosbiology.org/plosonline/?request=get-document&doi=10.1371%2Fjournal.pbio.0000074 also: Gene Expression Profile Created for Mouse Stem Cells and Developing Embryo http://www.plosbiology.org/plosonline/?request=get-document&doi=10.1371%2Fjournal.pbio.0000087 (which is a little less technical). From amara at amara.com Mon Dec 22 12:40:26 2003 From: amara at amara.com (Amara Graps) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 14:40:26 +0200 Subject: [extropy-chat] Comet missions dates update Message-ID: 64 Days to when the Rosetta launch window opens, February 26, 2004. http://sci.esa.int/science-e/www/area/index.cfm?fareaid=13 This is a mission that has been under development for ten years, formerly to Comet Wirtanen, now to comet Churyumov-Gersimenkov. ESA does NOT have a backup plan. 11 Days to Stardust Comet Wild-2 Encounter http://stardust.jpl.nasa.gov -- ******************************************************************** Amara Graps, PhD email: amara at amara.com Computational Physics vita: ftp://ftp.amara.com/pub/resume.txt Multiplex Answers URL: http://www.amara.com/ ******************************************************************** "I couldn't read it because my parents forgot to pay the gravity bill." --Calvin From dirk at neopax.com Mon Dec 22 22:38:27 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 22:38:27 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Dragons References: <20031222211120.16897.qmail@web80406.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <036b01c3c8dc$56f25bf0$9cb26bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Adrian Tymes" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Monday, December 22, 2003 9:11 PM Subject: [extropy-chat] Dragons > --- "Robert J. Bradbury" wrote: > > On the other hand one of the reasons I went back and > > learned all about > > molecular biology was because I wanted a pet dragon > > (derived in part > > from my thinking dragons were cool from reading the > > Dragonriders of > > Pern series in my youth). Once I learned enough > > about molecular > > biology I was convinced they were feasible (don't > > know about flying > > but there were some very big reptiles that flew) I > > started biotech > > companies doing aging research because I knew it was > > going to be > > a few decades until the technology developed > > sufficiently to do > > whole genome design (and I wanted to still be alive > > to take > > advantage of using it to design my dragon). > > > > The other reason to have a pet dragon is because if > > I walk it > > around Greenlake its going to be a babe magnet big > > time. :-) > > It would definitely be an artistic statement along the > lines of the glofish, but perhaps better received > given its existing wide precedent in fantasy. So I > wonder...what all, exactly, would be necessary to > genetically engineer a fire-breathing, flying reptile? > > I recall a description someone once worked up, of how > a dragon could have enzymes that digest certain rocks > (mainly limestone) to produce hydrogen gas, that was > stored in an internal bladder, allowing blimp-style > flight (with wings for horizontal propulsion). This > gas could then be forcefully expelled by contracting > the bladder, either heating up a lot or going past > some kind of spark generator right at the edge of the > mouth (don't want to burn the tongue or gums). The > description did not mention it, but if the bladder > could contract without expelling the gas, the dragon > could change its volume without changing its mass, > thus controlling the amount of lift its store of > hydrogen gave - and, most importantly, allowing the > dragon to land and take off without having to > sacrifice and regenerate hydrogen (which might limit > landing zones to spots with available limestone). > > (The author then went on to speculate that in theory, > upon a dragon's death, the enzyme would eventually > dissolve the bones, leaving only soft tissues which > disentigrate normally. The only "fossils" they would > leave behind would be pockets of natural gas and > perhaps a bit of oil. But that is of little > importance to creating a new species.) > > One could possibly start from an already existing > winged reptile. Or perhaps take nature's cue for > optimized flight, and go for a feathered dragon: a > bird. That way, most of the design needed for flight > is already done; we'd just need to add in the enzyme, > the bladder, and the heater/sparker. Now, knowing > enough genetics to add in specific organs (rather than > an overall effect, as for the glofish) would be a > challenge... Well, here's a 'mythological creature' project that could probably be undertaken now, and if successful would be worth a fortune. Creating a Unicorn. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From thespike at earthlink.net Mon Dec 22 22:39:43 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 16:39:43 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] why AI is "bullshit" References: <018a01c3c8cf$fee1c420$df994a43@texas.net> <6.0.1.1.2.20031222160209.01faee48@mail.quest-web.com> Message-ID: <01ab01c3c8dc$876af580$df994a43@texas.net> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Michael Haislip" Sent: Monday, December 22, 2003 4:13 PM > At 03:10 PM 12/22/2003, you wrote: > >http://www.keithchandler.com/Essays/Becoming%20Homo%20s.%20sapiens.html > >Send your carefully thought-out retorts to Chandler, not to me. :) > I want that 5 minutes of my life back. Me too, but I posted that url as in index of the sorts of `reasoning' that claims and arguments by Kurzweil and others are receiving. It's obvious enough that this is what we *expect* to see, but it's somewhat chilling when it actually appears. Damien Broderick From wingcat at pacbell.net Mon Dec 22 22:53:03 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 14:53:03 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Dragons In-Reply-To: <036b01c3c8dc$56f25bf0$9cb26bd5@artemis> Message-ID: <20031222225303.90590.qmail@web80402.mail.yahoo.com> --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > Well, here's a 'mythological creature' project that > could probably be > undertaken now, and if successful would be worth a > fortune. > Creating a Unicorn. Been done. It turned out much simpler just to glue a horn to a horse's head...until the animal rights' activists turned out against the circus (literally) that did it. Problem: it might seem so much simpler and tempting to alter an already born animal than to tinker with the genetics that, in practice, tinkering might always be the path ultimately taken - which ruins the point of the project. From artillo at comcast.net Mon Dec 22 23:23:10 2003 From: artillo at comcast.net (Brian Shores) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 18:23:10 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] why AI is "bullshit" In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <000001c3c8e2$911e9310$9865fea9@bjsmain2> LOL Alfio I was thinking the EXACT same thing when I read that too! :P Artillo -----Original Message----- From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of Alfio Puglisi Sent: Monday, December 22, 2003 5:19 PM To: Damien Broderick; ExI chat list Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] why AI is "bullshit" Is this Chandler someone known in some circles? The paragraph that starts with "No one really knows..." basically says: "I think it's wrong, so it's bullshit." What a subtle argumentt. Ciao, Alfio On Mon, 22 Dec 2003, Damien Broderick wrote: >http://www.keithchandler.com/Essays/Becoming%20Homo%20s.%20sapiens.html > >Send your carefully thought-out retorts to Chandler, not to me. :) > >Damien Broderick > >_______________________________________________ >extropy-chat mailing list >extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org >http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From wingcat at pacbell.net Mon Dec 22 23:39:55 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 15:39:55 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Dragons In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031222233955.60387.qmail@web80406.mail.yahoo.com> --- "Robert J. Bradbury" wrote: > I will not quote Adrian's comments for the sake of > brevity. Though I will quote Robert's, since they were apparently intended for the list. > I would like to see the article he cited. Googling a bit...the theory seems to trace its way back to a Peter Dickinson book, _The_Flight_of_Dragons_. Fiction, of course, and mostly fantasy, but a touch of science fiction. ISTR there was a movie version of that book made. > Because > one > doesn't get hydrogen from limestone (which is > CaCO3). > Perhaps they are assuming you get a reaction with > the > dilute HCl (0.15M) in the stomach. But if I'm > reading > this: > > http://www.owlnet.rice.edu/~chem151/lab151/antacidB/ > freshman chemistry lab correctly it looks like you > get > CO2 not H2. Oooops... > > Now, my strategy was a little more practical. > > a) Take one Komodo Dragon Genome (probably > affordable > by individuals in 10-15 years). > b) Take one Albatross Genome (also affordable in > that > time frame) > c) Take one Cow Genome (probably available in the > next > 1-2 years. > > Combine Komodo reptile genes with Albatross > light-weight > wings, bone, etc. with cow digestive tract (using > bacteria > to produce methane) and one is getting close. > > One may need to push on the wingspan a little bit > but > in a decade we will probably have a good > understanding > of how structural genes work. > > Still haven't worked out how you get the methane out > the front end rather than the back end and how you > ignite the methane but those are just details. Line the digestive tract with a kidney-like filter, designed to extract methane and only methane. Weak bioelectric effects - just enough to put a few sparks in an outgoing stream of hydrogen - should not prove that difficult; google for "electrocyte", and/or see http://wildcat.phys.nwu.edu/classes/2002Fall/Phyx135-2/Projects/Electric_eel/charge.html > One > might want to require manual lighting of the fire in > any case to avoid liability risks. Just have a legally nonexistant person (i.e., use a fake name) sign a release accepting all responsibility for a purchased dragon, then have that dragon released into the wild. Any resulting liability gets directed to that person, while the corporation formed to make the dragon dissolves and releases its IP into the public domain. Granted, it might be difficult to get a lot of money that way. > One nice thing about this design is that the dragon > is a vegetarian and not a meat eater. > > Robert So you could train it to scout for villages so backwards they sacrifice their own children to "appease" what they do not understand, and relocate said sacrifices to adoption centers in more civilized societies, without worrying if it got hungry? From aperick at centurytel.net Mon Dec 22 23:03:36 2003 From: aperick at centurytel.net (rick) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 15:03:36 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] useful knowledge-base software In-Reply-To: <200312222231.hBMMV9E06497@tick.javien.com> Message-ID: <000001c3c8df$d5fac6f0$0200a8c0@soy0450mhz> Have any of you seen this: http://www.bitsmithsoft.com/?source=P22020300071500 it is somewhat like a remembrance agent program that I worked on several years ago -- but it does not try to be an "agent". I think I may end up using this application to store all my personal articles, clippings, data and etc. Also, do any of you know much about the high speed net access being offered via cell phone towers? I wonder if this will become my future means of access when I finally get my new tablet PC. http://www.pcclub.com/edge/ is a link to the AT&T flavor of gprs that I use now from T-mobile. http://home.centurytel.net/rickw/ From thespike at earthlink.net Tue Dec 23 00:15:45 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 18:15:45 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Dragons References: <20031222233955.60387.qmail@web80406.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <01f701c3c8e9$ecf7bde0$df994a43@texas.net> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Adrian Tymes" > > I would like to see the article he cited. > > Googling a bit...the theory seems to trace its way > back to a Peter Dickinson book, > _The_Flight_of_Dragons_. Fiction, of course, and > mostly fantasy, but a touch of science fiction. I haven't seen that one, but the idea is there fully fledged (as I recall) in Poul Anderson's dated but wonderful THREE HEARTS AND THREE LIONS (1953). Damien Broderick From twodeel at jornada.org Tue Dec 23 01:19:03 2003 From: twodeel at jornada.org (Don Dartfield) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 17:19:03 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] useful knowledge-base software In-Reply-To: <000001c3c8df$d5fac6f0$0200a8c0@soy0450mhz> Message-ID: On Mon, 22 Dec 2003, rick wrote: > Also, do any of you know much about the high speed net access being > offered via cell phone towers? I wonder if this will become my future > means of access when I finally get my new tablet PC. > http://www.pcclub.com/edge/ is a link to the AT&T flavor of gprs that I > use now from T-mobile. I don't know about "high speed" access, but I have T-Mobile's unlimited $20-per-month GPRS service with my account (it's $30 if you don't have regular voice service with them as well), and it's not bad -- anywhere from 28.8kbps to 115kbps depending on location, conditions, etc. Feels about like a regular dial-up connection, at least, and surprisingly the lag is not bad -- I can SSH or telnet at regular dial-up speeds. With my Sony Ericsson T610 phone or my Nokia 3650, I can access the Internet via bluetooth, so my Zaurus SL-C750, Jornada 720, or Sigmarion III handhelds can access the Internet with just my bluetooth CF card in the slot, while the phone remains in my pocket. Extremely handy for mobile Internet use. From jef at jefallbright.net Tue Dec 23 02:13:13 2003 From: jef at jefallbright.net (Jef Allbright) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 18:13:13 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] useful knowledge-base software References: <000001c3c8df$d5fac6f0$0200a8c0@soy0450mhz> Message-ID: <03c601c3c8fa$52cf4380$1602650a@int.veeco.com> rick wrote: > Have any of you seen this: > > http://www.bitsmithsoft.com/?source=P22020300071500 > > it is somewhat like a remembrance agent program that I worked on > several years ago -- but it does not try to be an "agent". I think I > may end up using this application to store all my personal articles, > clippings, data and etc. > I used to use PersonalBrain for this, but gave it up because of the proprietary and closed database structure. I didn't want to trust my knowledge base to that. This is the same nifty-looking relational topic display as on Kurzweil's site. I just looked again, and it appears they might now have a utility to export the database in some form. It still appears that they're only interested in really big corporate accounts though. At work I use Outlook 2000 for this purpose. It has the advantage of a consistent user interface, and I can easily (for the most part) drag and drop between email, tasks, and Word documents. Each item can be assigned multiple categories, the whole thing syncs nicely with my Palm using KeySuite, and my work stuff is available on the web via Exchange Server. For personal knowledge capture and sharing, I'm mainly using my web site, www.jefallbright.net, coded in PHP and MySQL using Drupal with some patches and enhancements. It allows me to use a large set of keywords, relate them in parent-child-sibling fashion, and it's completely open so I can grow it and modify it as I wish. It serves well as a web-based scrap book to share on topics that interest me, along with some of my thoughts and comments. I've also been *amazed* at how many people have subscribed and receive daily notifications of (a portion of) new content. I've long been intrigued by the notion of a remembrance agent, but Brad Rhodes' implementation doesn't run well under Windows (last update was in 2001) and I don't have time to code something better myself. I also participated in beta-testing of a product called Find, that attempted to index all email and other documents on a Windows machine and make them available via realtime keyword search, but it was extremely resource-hungry and it appears the company has gone out of business. I understand Microsoft plans to provide a database driven file system which should be a good step in that direction. I'm looking forward to Chandler, especially because it's open source, and it's being implemented and modifiable in Python. - Jef www.jefallbright.net From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Tue Dec 23 03:08:13 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Tue, 23 Dec 2003 14:08:13 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] European Free State Project References: <20031222151443.42658.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <011b01c3c902$00f3c880$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Thanks Mike and David for the links and the good overview. Gives me a leg up for further investigations. BTW I found a slightly dated (Dec 2002) summary of stem cells/therapeutic cloning state by state. Looks like New Hampshire considered a law against 'therapeutic cloning' though not by that name but as at (Dec 2002) found it "inexpedient to legislate". http://www.ncsl.org/programs/health/genetics/chhumancl.htm Good for New Hampshire. Regards, Brett From extropy at unreasonable.com Tue Dec 23 03:11:12 2003 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 22:11:12 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] European Free State Project In-Reply-To: <011b01c3c902$00f3c880$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> References: <20031222151443.42658.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031222220744.03556030@mail.comcast.net> Brett Paatsch wrote: >Thanks Mike and David for the links and the good overview. Gives me >a leg up for further investigations. You're welcome. The more of you guys we can lure this way the better.... >Looks like New Hampshire considered a law against 'therapeutic cloning' >though not by that name but as at (Dec 2002) found it "inexpedient to >legislate". http://www.ncsl.org/programs/health/genetics/chhumancl.htm That's a felicitous phrase -- "inexpedient to legislate." Rolls off the tongue, doesn't it? Not as graceful as "Congress shall make no law." but pretty good for here-and-now. -- David Lubkin. From jrd1415 at yahoo.com Tue Dec 23 05:49:49 2003 From: jrd1415 at yahoo.com (Jeff Davis) Date: Mon, 22 Dec 2003 21:49:49 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031223054949.13820.qmail@web41208.mail.yahoo.com> --- "Robert J. Bradbury" wrote: > The other reason to have a pet dragon is because if > I walk it around Greenlake its going to be a babe > magnet big time. :-) > "What's that you're draggin?" Becomes, "What's that, your dragon?" Best, Jeff Davis "Life doesn't have to survive -- its the *code* that counts." Robert J. Bradbury __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From eugen at leitl.org Tue Dec 23 11:35:11 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Tue, 23 Dec 2003 12:35:11 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] why AI is "bullshit" In-Reply-To: <01ab01c3c8dc$876af580$df994a43@texas.net> References: <6.0.1.1.2.20031222160209.01faee48@mail.quest-web.com> <01ab01c3c8dc$876af580$df994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <20031223113511.GD32264@leitl.org> On Mon, Dec 22, 2003 at 04:39:43PM -0600, Damien Broderick wrote: > Me too, but I posted that url as in index of the sorts of `reasoning' that > claims and arguments by Kurzweil and others are receiving. It's obvious > enough that this is what we *expect* to see, but it's somewhat chilling when > it actually appears. I'm not sure this reasoning is going to prevent anything, though. Except enhance the surprise of those who bought that drivel. Here's some spirituality for you: you can buy multi-TBit/s switches, today. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Tue Dec 23 15:02:37 2003 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (Kevin Freels) Date: Tue, 23 Dec 2003 09:02:37 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Affective computing: Candy bars for the soul References: <5.2.1.1.2.20031215121713.01eec398@mail.gmu.edu><5.2.1.1.2.20031221124459.0207eef0@mail.gmu.edu> <001f01c3c895$ce1e2430$2ee4f418@markcomputer> Message-ID: I just started following this thread. Has it been considered that the phenomenon is cultural and not evolutionary at all? In wealthier nations, they key to reproductive success in our (mostly) monogamous species would be to "fit in". You don't "fit in" and appear responsible when you go having 15 children. This applys to both men and women. Excess baggage is a bad thing. We can't exactly kill all the young when we take over the pride. Education also would play a key role here. People struggling to eat really could care less about the future of their social group, be it a tribe, city, or country. All they really have time for is the survival of themselves and their immediate family. A larger family would translate into more power which would allow your family access to resources that otherwise would be unattainable because another family had already been there first. As I look at that on paper, it reads quite nicely although I feel I forgot something I was going to write. Also, please note that I havenever been to a third world or developing country. I really haven't read that much about them either. ----- Original Message ----- From: "Mark Walker" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Monday, December 22, 2003 8:13 AM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Affective computing: Candy bars for the soul > > ----- Original Message ----- > From: "Robin Hanson" > Mark Walker, PhD > Research Associate, Philosophy, Trinity College > University of Toronto > Room 214 Gerald Larkin Building > 15 Devonshire Place > Toronto > M5S 1H8 > www.permanentend.org > > > > The demographic transition is the phenomena whereby the birthrate falls > > dramatically when nations get richer. This phenomena is *not* driven > > primarily by birth control. It happened before birth control, and poor > > nations now have high birth rates after cheap birth control. > > Ok, I see why this is more perplexing. The evolutionary explanation for this > aside, is the causal mechanism known? Given that birthrates drop, and it is > not birth control measures that are responsible, it seems that either > copulation or fertility rates must have dropped. Do we know if it is one or > the other (or both)? As for the evolutionary explanation, this is an > interesting question. Admittedly it is quite a stretch but I wonder if it is > related to the following evolutionary counter-intuitive result. I've bred a > number of aquarium fish (e.g., Discus, clown fish, etc.) and generally the > birthrate is higher for those that are kept a little hungry rather than > those that are fed until they are satiated. This seems counter-intuitive > since one would think that the fish with the extra calories would have more > offspring rather. The best breeding results occur when they are fed lots for > say a couple of weeks and then fed almost nothing for a few days. I've > observed the similar results with breeding worms. In any event, the > hypothesis based on this flimsy evidence is that human birthrates are > correlated negatively with total calories or the steadiness of food supply. > (Perhaps it goes without saying that the correlation will fail below a > certain level of calories that stress the organisms so much that they cannot > breed). Obviously evidence for this will be hard to come by since in general > the rich nations have a greater calorie consumption and poorer nation fewer. > http://www.fao.org/NEWS/1998/981204-e.htm We would need to find examples > where poor nations have a steady and abundant supply or rich nations have > low calorie consumption or periods of interruption in their food supply to > refute the hypothesis. > > Mark > > Mark Walker, PhD > Research Associate, Philosophy, Trinity College > University of Toronto > Room 214 Gerald Larkin Building > 15 Devonshire Place > Toronto > M5S 1H8 > www.permanentend.org > > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Tue Dec 23 15:15:13 2003 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (Kevin Freels) Date: Tue, 23 Dec 2003 09:15:13 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] evolution and adoption References: <5.2.1.1.2.20031215121713.01eec398@mail.gmu.edu><002d01c3c7e4$4b33e930$2ee4f418@markcomputer><00de01c3c808$8d296620$b0994a43@texas.net> <001301c3c88e$b6c8a5a0$2ee4f418@markcomputer> Message-ID: ----- Original Message ----- From: "Mark Walker" To: "Damien Broderick" ; "ExI chat list" Sent: Monday, December 22, 2003 7:22 AM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] evolution and adoption > > ----- Original Message ----- > From: "Damien Broderick" > > > I'm not sure how tongue in cheek this is, Mark. What's you've described > is, > > after all, exactly what wealthy people did in the 19th and early 20th, and > > indeed perhaps all the way back to the invention of hierachical power > > culture. Wet nurses, nannies, private tutors, boarding schools or their > > harsh equivalent; all these allowed the luckless wives of the rich to > > produce one child rapidly after another, many of them doomed to perish, > > without wasting time and effort on emotional support, bonding, etc--and > the > > wonderful result was that these warped kids proved just the right stuff > for > > going out and building empires, thus perpetuating the process. Until it > > stopped working. And now nations like the UK struggle to deal with the > > legacy bullshit embedded in the culture. > > > I certainly don't deny that this sort of thing happened, and it didn't > always happen with the rich. Rousseau (who was not rich) had five children > with his mistress and gave them all up to orphanages, which was to subject > his children to even more appalling conditions that the rich foisted on > their children. My point simply is that since orphanages and adoption give > one's offspring a high probability of survival it seems to make evolutionary > sense to have as many children as possible and give them up to such > agencies. I agree with you that this is not necessarily a good thing, only > that it seems to make sense, evolutionarily speaking. > It's easy, when considering human activity, to forget that there's a cultural side to human evolution. Unless you are so powerful that you are "untouchable", doing things that are culturally unacceptable doesn;t help you get along with the rest of the "tribe". We are social creatures and the unspoken agreement may be "have no more children that you can personally take care of. We won't have to worry about taking care of your children and you won't have to worry about taking care of ours". Culturally, the survival of the tribe is more important than the reproductive success of one individual. This cultural signifigance doesn;t apply to the worms or fish you are describing. From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 23 15:26:26 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 23 Dec 2003 07:26:26 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already In-Reply-To: <20031223054949.13820.qmail@web41208.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20031223152626.25554.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> --- Jeff Davis wrote: > --- "Robert J. Bradbury" wrote: > > > > > The other reason to have a pet dragon is because if > > I walk it around Greenlake its going to be a babe > > magnet big time. :-) > > > > "What's that you're draggin?" Becomes, "What's that, > your dragon?" You get to say to girls, with a straight face,"Wanna pet my lizard?" ;) ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Tue Dec 23 15:29:05 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Tue, 23 Dec 2003 10:29:05 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] converging history In-Reply-To: <20031222112003.GC32264@leitl.org> Message-ID: <000501c3c969$8394ec30$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Eugen Leitl wrote, > Meanwhile, I remain rather underwhelmed. (Perhaps, I'm just a > naturally more morose type than Spike). I have long observed that technology developers and implementers are often more realistic about difficulties and delays than technology promoters and consumers. (And I certainly count Eugen among the former rather than the latter!) As an expert learns about the problem space, it always becomes apparent that it is more convoluted and complicated than had previously been assumed. The people actually working with the technology can make much more educated guesses and predictions than those waiting for the technology. The time-frame projections always seem too short to the developers and implementers, and too long to the promoters and consumers. The former have to focus on all the requirements and developments needed to achieve results. Whereas the latter tend to focus only on their wish list of desired results. The hands-on experience, knowledge and inside information will always give a more realistic perspective than the less-detailed promoter representations or consumer expectations. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Tue Dec 23 15:40:31 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Tue, 23 Dec 2003 10:40:31 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Affective computing: Candy bars for the soul In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <000b01c3c96b$1c748db0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Kevin Freels wrote, > I just started following this thread. Has it been considered > that the phenomenon is cultural and not evolutionary at all? Yes. Your concept of "fitting in" is a very strong influence. It helps push the whole group to act in the same way, even when some of the individuals may not feel the direct affect of influences. > People struggling to eat really could care less about > the future of their social group, be it a tribe, city, or > country. All they really have time for is the survival of > themselves and their immediate family. A larger family would > translate into more power which would allow your family > access to resources that otherwise would be unattainable > because another family had already been there first. In earlier times, children were a bonus. They helped work and support the family. They gathered food, hunted, watched other children, performed work, etc. The more children a family had, the richer each individual became. But in richer societies, children are a burden. The don't work and support the family. They cost money to feed, clothe, raise and educate. Families today not only don't benefit from children, but they can't afford a lot of children. The more children a family has, the poorer each individual becomes. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From megao at sasktel.net Sun Dec 21 17:30:35 2003 From: megao at sasktel.net (Extropian Agroforestry Ventures Inc.) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 11:30:35 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Epignomics/epigenetics- Nature Vs Nurture re-visited Message-ID: <3FE5D8BA.EA85302D@sasktel.net> >From Pagees 10 and 12 of Vol3#9 Nov/Dec 2003 PharmaGenomics http://www.pharmagenomicsonline.com Sorry article is not posted to the web but this item merits ongoing discussion ********************************************************** New Research Thrusts Epigenetics into the Drug and Diagnostic Spotlight "Study results in this emerging field could pique the interest - and open the pockets - of big pharma" Recent research conducted at Duke University (Durham, NC, USA) into gene methylation has revealed the correlation between a pregnant female's diet and gene function in her offspring - findings that not only advance our understanding of nutritional intake and susceptibility to disease but also have implications for the application of epignetics to the discovery of new drug therapeutics. Epigenetics , as defined in the 10 august 2001 issue of SCIENCE, is the study of inheritable changes in gene function that occur without a change in DNA sequence. The research team at Duke University, led by Randy Jirtle, professor of the departments of radiation, oncology and pathology, focused its work on Agouti mice, a strain of mouse with active genes that are linked to a yellow-colored coat, as well as to obesisty, diabetes and cancer. The female mice were given extra vitamins and supplements - B12, folic acid, choline and betaine - that affected methylation of these particular genes. Methyl groups are derived entirely from the foods people eat; methylation allows environmental factors to tweak gene expression without creating permanent mutations. The supplements interacted with the methyl group attached to a chromasome and altered the gene expression by making the strands of DNA coil tight enough to cease function. The Agouti's offspring were born with a normal, brown-colored coat and no inherited predispostion for obesity, diabetes or cancer. "Our mouse study provided the first evidence that nutritional supplementation during pregnancy can determine adult susceptibility to diseases by altering the methylation of transposons adjacent to housekeeping genes", says Jirtle. "Thus, retroposons and also imprinting regulatory elements of imprinted genes now can be considered as genomic targets that link nutrition during early development with adult disease susceptibility." The next step in this project will be to define those epigenetically liable targets in humans that result in diseases such as cancer, autism, and bipolar disease. The studies need to be done in humans because the position of the retroposons and the imprinting regulatory elements are different in each species. Jirtle believes that identifying the targets involved in epignetic deregulation will have a tremendous impact on the drug discovery industry because it will delineate novel signaling pathways mechanistically involved in these diseases and will result in a completely different concept of drug design - altering epignetic profiles rather than blocking enzymes or receptors. "Our findings proved the important principle that environmental exposures during early development can result in dramatic phenotype changes in adulthood via altered DNA methylation," Jirtle says. "This will cause scientists to think differently about the etiology of chronic diseases and the role of the environment in the disease process. It also will significantly enhance the visibility and credibility of epignetic research". Also advancing epignetic research is the the work being done by the Human Epigenome Consortium, a collaboration between Epigenomics AG (Berlin, Germany) and the Wellcome Trust Sanger Institute (Hinxton, Cambridge, UK). A pilot study, funded by the European Union, of methylation patterns in the major histocompatibility complex (MHC) recently was completed. The sucess of this research led to the launch of the Human Epigenome Project (HEP), the goal of which is to identify and describe sites in the human genome at which cytosine bases are modified by DNA methylation. The HEP pilot study began in 2000. Researchers developed a pipeline for large-scale methylation analysis using 150 expressed genes of MHC human chromasome 6 as a model. "The results now are being analysed and prepared for publication," says Stephen Beck, head of human sequencing at the Sanger Institute. "[The results] confirmed our prediction that methylation patterns are tissue specific. The prescence of methylation variable positions, we believe, will significantly increase our ability to understand and diagnose disease". According to the consortioum's web site, data analysis is broken down into five steps. First, genomic DNA goes through a bisulphite treatment that converts non-methylated cytosines into a different base - uracil. Next, the treated DNA is amplified in a polymerase chain reaction (PCR) using bisulphite specific primers. Third, the PCR products are sequenced. Then, the generated trace files go through data normalization specific for bisulphite-converted sequences. Lastly,trace files are visualized or shown in data. HEP researchers are working with Epigenomics' proprietary high-throughput technology, which involves DNA methylation assays that can run on microarrays, real-time PCR and primer-extension-based products. The consortium anticipates that the project will be completed in five years. The project is expected to yield commercial benefits in the diagnostic sector. "As far as we know, it has not yet been applied for extensive drug or target discovery, but because this is a conceivable approach, we might see it happen in the future". says Epignomics CSO Kurt Berlin. Jirtle says he believes the effect of epignetics on the drug discovery industry will be "massive; however, most of the pharmaceutical companies just don't realize that yet". The diseases that most likely result from epignetic deregulation are cancer, autism and diabetes. Therefore, these diseases are likely to be the first targets of epignetic-derived drugs. Jirtle says, "It will probably be some time before we see epigenetic-derived therapeutic or diagnostic pharmaceuticals because we are just beginning to define disease-causing epigenetic mutations, and the pharmaceutical industry is still not taking epignetics very seriously". From spike66 at comcast.net Mon Dec 22 04:42:43 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 20:42:43 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] FW: CPU component size Message-ID: <004d01c3c846$09ee3d60$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > file:///C:/Documents%20and%20Settings/spike/Local%20Settings/Temporary%2 0Internet%20Files/OLKA6/Intel_Roadmap_2003.gif >Kinna hard to look at something that ain't there... It's Intel's roadmap for the next few years. This is an experiment: try opening the enclosure. spike -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: -------------- next part -------------- An embedded message was scrubbed... From: "Wayne Magor" Subject: CPU component size Date: Sun, 21 Dec 2003 18:33:05 -0800 Size: 94143 URL: From mark at permanentend.org Tue Dec 23 16:08:50 2003 From: mark at permanentend.org (Mark Walker) Date: Tue, 23 Dec 2003 11:08:50 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] evolution and adoption References: <5.2.1.1.2.20031215121713.01eec398@mail.gmu.edu><002d01c3c7e4$4b33e930$2ee4f418@markcomputer><00de01c3c808$8d296620$b0994a43@texas.net><001301c3c88e$b6c8a5a0$2ee4f418@markcomputer> Message-ID: <007001c3c96f$10e17630$2ee4f418@markcomputer> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Kevin Freels" > It's easy, when considering human activity, to forget that there's a > cultural side to human evolution. Unless you are so powerful that you are > "untouchable", doing things that are culturally unacceptable doesn;t help > you get along with the rest of the "tribe". We are social creatures and the > unspoken agreement may be "have no more children that you can personally > take care of. We won't have to worry about taking care of your children and > you won't have to worry about taking care of ours". Culturally, the survival > of the tribe is more important than the reproductive success of one > individual. This cultural signifigance doesn;t apply to the worms or fish > you are describing. By the 'cultural side' of evolution I take it you mean something like nongenetic intergenerational transmission of information (Bonner, The Evolution of Culture in Animals, 1983). The most prevalent hypothesis among experts in human behavior is that human activity is primarily guided by culture rather than genetics, although it may be that the tide is turning. There is lots of evidence that about 30 to 50 % of the variability in human personality is under genetic influence (see my paper "Genetic Virtue" http://www.permanentend.org/gvp.htm for a brief review of some of this evidence). In any event, I would be surprised if the number of children one has is entirely under culture control but I agree that this is certainly not a hypothesis we can dismiss a priori. Do you have any evidence to think that this phenomena is entirely or mostly under cultural influence like the length of skirts? Mark Mark Walker, PhD Research Associate, Philosophy, Trinity College University of Toronto Room 214 Gerald Larkin Building 15 Devonshire Place Toronto M5S 1H8 www.permanentend.org From natashavita at earthlink.net Tue Dec 23 17:39:06 2003 From: natashavita at earthlink.net (natashavita at earthlink.net) Date: Tue, 23 Dec 2003 12:39:06 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] BIOTECH: Cloning in NJ? - New Treatments for Diseases Message-ID: <1700-220031222317396374@M2W055.mail2web.com> Cloning legalized in New Jersey? ---------- [WorldNetDaily] "Called by opponents the most radical cloning bill ever, a measure passed by the New Jersey state Assembly would allow cloned human embryos to be implanted in a womb then destroyed for research use....The bill's sponsors argue it will be an important advance in...new treatments for Parkinson's disease, Alzheimer's and other illnesses." (12/17/03) http://www.worldnetdaily.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=36170 -------------------------------------------------------------------- mail2web - Check your email from the web at http://mail2web.com/ . From jrd1415 at yahoo.com Tue Dec 23 21:32:17 2003 From: jrd1415 at yahoo.com (Jeff Davis) Date: Tue, 23 Dec 2003 13:32:17 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] BIO: Stem Cell Genes In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031223213217.10803.qmail@web41205.mail.yahoo.com> --- "Robert J. Bradbury" wrote: > > Voila -- retrodifferentiation -- turn adult cells > back into stem cells. Back of the envelope guess -- > 3 to 5 years. Too slow. Try yesterday. We're in the moment of "low-hanging fruit", genomically speaking, and the "tree" is groaning under its burden. (Would that be "the tree of life"? ;-} ) >From Eurekalert: http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2003-12/sri-rct122203.php Regenerative chemical turns muscle cells into stem cells A group of researchers from The Scripps Research Institute has identified a small synthetic molecule that can induce a cell to undergo dedifferentiation--to move backwards developmentally from its current state to form its own precursor cell. These precursor cells are multipotent... Best, Jeff Davis "Everything's hard till you know how to do it." Ray Charles __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From dirk at neopax.com Tue Dec 23 22:14:39 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Tue, 23 Dec 2003 22:14:39 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] BIO: Stem Cell Genes References: <20031223213217.10803.qmail@web41205.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <02b301c3c9a2$2846a830$9cb26bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Jeff Davis" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Tuesday, December 23, 2003 9:32 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] BIO: Stem Cell Genes > --- "Robert J. Bradbury" wrote: > > > > Voila -- retrodifferentiation -- turn adult cells > > back into stem cells. Back of the envelope guess -- > > > 3 to 5 years. > > Too slow. Try yesterday. > > We're in the moment of "low-hanging fruit", > genomically speaking, and the "tree" is groaning under > its burden. (Would that be "the tree of life"? ;-} ) > > >From Eurekalert: > > http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2003-12/sri-rct122203.php > > Regenerative chemical turns muscle cells into stem > cells > > A group of researchers from The Scripps Research > Institute has identified a small synthetic molecule > that can induce a cell to undergo > dedifferentiation--to move backwards developmentally > from its current state to form its own precursor cell. > > These precursor cells are multipotent... The big question IMO is whether these are 'old' stem cells. What's the state of their 'clock'? Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From bradbury at aeiveos.com Tue Dec 23 22:40:04 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Tue, 23 Dec 2003 14:40:04 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] BIO: Stem Cell Genes In-Reply-To: <20031223213217.10803.qmail@web41205.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: On Tue, 23 Dec 2003, Jeff Davis wrote: > Regenerative chemical turns muscle cells into stem cells > > A group of researchers from The Scripps Research > Institute has identified a small synthetic molecule that > that can induce a cell to undergo dedifferentiation--to > move backwards developmentally from its current state > to form its own precursor cell. > > These precursor cells are multipotent... Careful careful -- In the first place muscle tissue contains muscle stem cells. I believe it has been shown that properly stimulated these can differentiate into other cells. Mature muscle cells are one of the few cell types in the body that are multinucleated (the other I'm aware of is some liver cells). Getting a cell to revert from multiple nuclei to a single nuclei so it can really be multipotent (most cells only have a single nuclei) has got to be a neat trick -- I see no reason why natural selection would include a program for this purpose. In my mind this is going to require some kind of mechanical "uncloning" operation to remove the extra nuclei then some removal of the switches that drove differentiation. And it is starting to look like differentation may be driven in part by molecular modifications to the histones (acetylation, glycosylation, etc.) removing those modifications from just the right histones is going to be a mean trick. I'd want to look at the scientific paper(s) -- I suspect they just happened to have stumbled across a way to promote the growth of normal muscle stem cells. Another good example of really bad reporting in the public press. A little knowledge is a bad thing. And you can quote me on that Jeff. :-) Robert From bradbury at aeiveos.com Tue Dec 23 22:51:20 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Tue, 23 Dec 2003 14:51:20 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] BIO: Stem Cell Genes In-Reply-To: <02b301c3c9a2$2846a830$9cb26bd5@artemis> Message-ID: On Tue, 23 Dec 2003, Dirk Bruere wrote: > The big question IMO is whether these are 'old' stem cells. > What's the state of their 'clock'? The clock's state will be most likely be "older", though perhaps not as old as adult cells in the body. Aubrey, Rafal and I have discussed this in some older notes over the last 6-12 months. Aging (IMO) is ultimately caused by the misrepair of DNA double strand breaks. There are a host of things you can get leading up to that -- point mutations (leading to cancer), undigestable molecules leading to lipofuscin accumulation, protein glycosylation leading to hardening of the arteries, shortening of telomeres leading to decreased immune system response and reduced cellular replication potential and increased cellular scenescence and probably a host of other things. Aubrey's IBG proposals and SENS work are trying to deal with those things that are right up in front of our faces and find solutions. But ultimately when you solve all of those problems I think DNA misrepair is going to get you unless we have the technology to replace or rewrite the defective genomes. Replacement comes from finding the least aged stem cells. That is going to require either very high throughput (and inexpensive) gene expression measurement capabilities (probably with gene chips) or very inexpensive whole genome sequencing. Take 100 stem cells, duplicate them, find the most perfectly intact genome in the clones and then use the original cell to produce billions of copies for therapies. Rewrite is going to require the Freitas Chromallocytes that can take out an old grungy genome and replace it with something better. That will require real MNT. The good thing is that we have parallel strategies that do not seem to depend on the same technologies. Robert From thespike at earthlink.net Tue Dec 23 23:10:46 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Tue, 23 Dec 2003 17:10:46 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] BIO: Stem Cell Genes References: Message-ID: <019c01c3c9aa$01c33720$0c9d4a43@texas.net> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Robert J. Bradbury" Sent: Tuesday, December 23, 2003 4:51 PM > Take 100 stem cells, > duplicate them, find the most perfectly intact genome in the clones > and then use the original cell to produce billions of copies for > therapies. How do you know when you find it? I'd have thought: take 100 stem cells, then take a majority vote at each allele locus (if that's feasible), then compile the most popular choices. > Rewrite is going to require the Freitas Chromallocytes Google: No pages were found containing "chromallocytes". (BTW, a suggestion to Dirk: please follow netiquette and delete the bulk of what you're replying to, especially when your comment is the usual one or two lines.) Damien Broderick From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Tue Dec 23 23:40:50 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Wed, 24 Dec 2003 10:40:50 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] BIO: Stem Cell Genes References: <20031223213217.10803.qmail@web41205.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <00c501c3c9ae$32b326c0$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Jeff Davis wrote: > --- "Robert J. Bradbury" wrote: > > > > Voila -- retrodifferentiation -- turn adult cells > > back into stem cells. Back of the envelope guess -- > > > 3 to 5 years. > > Too slow. Try yesterday. > > We're in the moment of "low-hanging fruit", > genomically speaking, and the "tree" is groaning under > its burden. (Would that be "the tree of life"? ;-} ) Last paragraph of the same article says: "However, tissue regeneration is years away at best, and at the moment, Schultz and Ding are still working on understanding the exact biochemical mechanism whereby reversine causes the muscle cells to dedifferentiate into their progenitors, as well as attempting to improve the efficiency of the process. ..." --- The technology described in the paper Robert posted is impressive (thanks for posting it), but its worth remembering that there are big differences between mice and humans developmentally. One can't learn everything important about apples by studying only oranges. We (people) won't have treatments for human conditions until we understand the human conditions. This means working with human cells and human genes. Then we'd need to develop and test the prospective therapies which almost certainly involves taking them through a trial process (FDA approval etc). That takes serious time even for single conditions. I don't want to rain on the parade. Its important though, that folks understand that politics (based largely on religious beliefs) is slowing down research into human developmental biology. Being well informed means one can make a difference in this area as an activist for one's own best interest. Politics won't stop the march of technology. It might however slow it down enough that those of us alive now don't stay that way much longer than our predecessors. I just re-read Stephen Hall's book _The Merchants of Immortality_ (pub 2003). I highly recommend it as a case study in how politics (in this case the politics around stem cells) can slow the march of technology. Regards, Brett Paatsch From wingcat at pacbell.net Wed Dec 24 00:01:59 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Tue, 23 Dec 2003 16:01:59 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] BIO: Stem Cell Genes Message-ID: <20031224000159.99530.qmail@web80411.mail.yahoo.com> Robert J. Bradbury wrote: > But ultimately when you solve all of those > problems I think DNA misrepair is going to get you unless we > have the technology to replace or rewrite the defective genomes. Just seeing if I understand correctly...so, would a step towards this be viruses that identified certain types of common (and detrimental) miswrites, and corrected them with the corresponding correct strings taken from the patient's DNA? Or, more elaborately, nanoites programmed with what a patient's DNA "should" look like (telomeres and all), then go cell by cell examining and rewriting the DNA? (Which could be used for anti-aging treatment as well as certain upgrades - albeit mostly for functions that the DNA is still involved in, as opposed to merely having set the course for, in an adult body.) From jrd1415 at yahoo.com Wed Dec 24 01:07:26 2003 From: jrd1415 at yahoo.com (Jeff Davis) Date: Tue, 23 Dec 2003 17:07:26 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] BIO: Stem Cell Genes In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031224010726.89160.qmail@web41209.mail.yahoo.com> --- "Robert J. Bradbury" wrote: > Another good example of really bad reporting in the > public press. > > A little knowledge is a bad thing. > > And you can quote me on that Jeff. :-) > Robert I'm of a similar mind, Robert. I looked closely at the article for some 'hard' details and found none. Didn't like the 'cute'/presumptive name --"reversin"--for their wonder drug. If it had been an institution of lesser credibility--or at least name recognition--than Scripps, I wouldn't have passed it to the list. But it was certainly timely, ...and it was Scripps, so, as with all things, caveat emptor. Best, Jeff Davis "Believe nothing, no matter where you read it, or who said it--no matter if I have said it--unless it agrees with your own reason and your common sense." Buddha __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From bradbury at aeiveos.com Wed Dec 24 01:09:40 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Tue, 23 Dec 2003 17:09:40 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] BIO: Stem Cell Genes In-Reply-To: <019c01c3c9aa$01c33720$0c9d4a43@texas.net> Message-ID: On Tue, 23 Dec 2003, Damien Broderick wrote: > How do you know when you find it? I'd have thought: take 100 stem cells, > then take a majority vote at each allele locus (if that's feasible), then > compile the most popular choices. Majority rule might be interesting within an individual. The problem is that there may be epigenetic phenomena (there is now an epigenomic project) caused by genomic modifications within individual cells (causing 1 stem cell not to be equal to another stem cell). In addition actual gene expression patterns may be influenced by circulating hormone levels which are in turn influenced by cells elsewhere. Ideally you would like to sequence the genomes of each stem cell and find the one most similar (having suffered the least damage probably) to that you were born with. Thats probably what you want to run with. However, as we understand the program better it may be that we discover what a more idealized genome should be -- in which case one might want to pick the stem cell closest to that. Eventually one would do gene therapies on the stem cell to drive it closer to the ideal even though that might be less like you. This gets tricky because one would want to take it right up to the edge of where your immune system starts rejecting the engineered stem cells as foreign. > Google: > No pages were found containing "chromallocytes". Sorry, I'll send you the reference off-list since it isn't published yet (maybe this year if we are lucky). If you read between the lines of Nanomedicine VI and a couple of Robert's papers it clear that you can do chromosome extraction and replacement. I've called this "nuclear abortion" in several talks much to the displeasure of Robert F. Robert From fortean1 at mindspring.com Wed Dec 24 06:08:43 2003 From: fortean1 at mindspring.com (Terry W. Colvin) Date: Tue, 23 Dec 2003 23:08:43 -0700 Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD [forteana] Re: PowerPoint is Evil! ...again Message-ID: <3FE92D6B.9E4E1D12@mindspring.com> Thats 'cos they don't know how to use PowerPoint! I've devised a way of using it to make interactive multiple choice quizzes with animated musical cartoon characters that that tell you if you have the answer right or wrong - clicking on links leading to any page you choose for a more subtle f conveying complex information ... I work with children with emotional and behavioural difficulties and they think it's "Cool Miss!" - the equivalent of a Nobel prize as far as I'm concerned. (Well, compared with: "f*** this!! f**** c*** !!" and an overturned table, which is the usual response to work.) This is a bee I have in my bonnet. No one uses it properly. Jacquie ----- Original Message ----- From: Terry W. Colvin To: Forteana /Alternate Orphan/ ; Extropy-chat at extropy.org ; skeptic at listproc.hcf.jhu.edu Sent: Monday, December 15, 2003 3:48 AM Subject: [forteana] FWD (Got Caliche?) PowerPoint is Evil! ...again http://www.nytimes.com/2003/12/14/magazine/14POWER.html What if PowerPoint is actually making us stupider? Edward Tufte claims that Microsoft's ubiquitous software forces people to mutilate data beyond comprehension. PowerPoint also encourages users to rely on bulleted lists, a 'faux analytical' technique that dodges the speaker's responsibility to tie information together. PowerPoint is uniquely suited to our modern age of obfuscation -- where manipulating facts is as important as presenting them clearly. If you have nothing to say, maybe you need just the right tool to help you not say it. -- "Only a zit on the wart on the heinie of progress." Copyright 1992, Frank Rice Terry W. Colvin, Sierra Vista, Arizona (USA) < fortean1 at mindspring.com > Alternate: < fortean1 at msn.com > Home Page: < http://www.geocities.com/Area51/Stargate/8958/index.html > Sites: * Fortean Times * Mystic's Haven * TLCB * U.S. Message Text Formatting (USMTF) Program ------------ Member: Thailand-Laos-Cambodia Brotherhood (TLCB) Mailing List TLCB Web Site: < http://www.tlc-brotherhood.org > [Vietnam veterans, Allies, CIA/NSA, and "steenkeen" contractors are welcome.] From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Wed Dec 24 06:57:26 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Wed, 24 Dec 2003 17:57:26 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Maths 101 - humor - pretty feeble Message-ID: <003401c3c9eb$30cc51a0$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> > Subject: Math 101 > > > >From a strictly mathematical viewpoint it goes like > this: > > > > > > > >What makes 100%? > > > > > > > >What does it mean to give MORE than 100%? > > > > > > > >Ever wonder about those people who say they are giving > more than 100%? > > > > > > > >We have all been to those meetings where someone > wants you to give over > >100%. > > > > > > > >How about achieving 103%? > > > > > > > >Here's a little mathematical formula that might help > you answer these > >questions: > > > > > > > >If: A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W X Y > Z is represented > >as: > > > >1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 > 22 23 24 25 26 > > > > > > > >Then: > > > > > > > >H-A-R-D-W-O-R-K > >8+1+18+4+23+15+18+11 = 98% > > > > > > > >and, > > > > > > > >K-N-O-W-L-E-D-G-E > >11+14+15+23+12+5+4+7+5 = 96% > > > > > > > >But, > > > > > > > >A-T-T-I-T-U-D-E > >1+20+20+9+20+21+4+5 = 100% > > > > > > > >....And, > > > > > > > >B-U-L-L-S-H-I-T > >2+21+12+12+19+8+9+20 = 103% > > > > > > > >AND, look how far butt-kissing will take you: > > > > > > > >B-U-T-T--K-I-S-S-I-N-G > >2+21+20+20+11+9+19+19+9+14+7 = 151% > > > > > > > >But one can then conclude with mathematical certainty > that: > > > > > > > >While, Hard work and Knowledge will get you close, > > > > > > > >And, Attitude will get you there, > > > > > >Bullshit and Butt kissing will put you over the top! ----- Its not *really* maths I know. Good holidays extropes, Brett From dirk at neopax.com Wed Dec 24 13:27:40 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Wed, 24 Dec 2003 13:27:40 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] A Libertarian experiment? References: <20031223213217.10803.qmail@web41205.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <006e01c3ca21$b48e9300$9cb26bd5@artemis> http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/technology/3334923.stm The dark side of digital utopia Dot.life - Where tech meets life, every Monday By Mark Ward BBC News Online technology correspondent How would people act if they were freed from real life laws and social constraints? A new, interactive computer game offers just such a scenario - with some disturbing results. Imagine you could move to a city where you could swap yourself for a younger, slimmer version that never ages and never gets tired. In this city you could choose which job to pursue, build your dream home and do all the things you did not have the courage to do in your other life. It sounds great but soon after you arrive, the gloss begins to fade. One of the first people you meet is a kindly looking granny who greets you with a slap round the face and a barrage of abuse. Escaping to one of the "safe" homes you find a den of thieves who trick you into handing over all your cash. The local newspapers are full of investigations into child prostitution, rampant crime, mafia-controlled neighbourhoods, shadowy self-declared governments struggling to maintain order and runaway inflation. Welcome to Alphaville. Dark history Alphaville is the biggest city in The Sims Online, a spin-off of the highly successful Sims computer game. As its name implies, players can control virtual people in an online world. The Sims Online can be likened to a chatroom with moving pictures in which people are represented by an avatar rather than text. But to the chatting it adds a rich virtual world in which every player has a home. There are places to socialise, to work and visit, shops and services, even virtual pets. Alphaville and its sister cities in The Sims Online were supposed to be benign utopias that allowed people to discover who they could be when freed from the economic and social restraints that shackle them in real life. But it has not turned out like that at all. The dark side of Alphaville has been documented by one of its former "residents", Peter Ludlow, who in real life is a philosophy professor at the University of Michigan. Urizenus, one of the avatars controlled by Prof Ludlow, was chief reporter on a newspaper called The Alphaville Herald which featured interviews with Alphaville's child prostitutes, sadomasochists, Sims Mafioso, thieves and members of its shadow government. "The Alphaville Herald was not supposed to document dodgy things," he says. "It was done to document the emergence of economic, social and political structures in the game." Like increasing numbers of academics Mr Ludlow is interested in virtual game worlds like The Sims Online because they act as live, accelerated laboratories for studying the ways people interact, get on and fall out. But as the problems of The Sims Online mounted The Alphaville Herald - which exists as a separate website - became a guidebook to the goings-on in this dystopia. Action and reaction Mr Ludlow thought the people behind the game should know what was going on inside Alphaville, not least because some things - child prostitution, for example - are morally and legally troubling. But when they found out, Maxis, the game's developers, and Electronic Arts, the distributors, banned all in-game mention of The Alphaville Herald, says Mr Ludlow. Then, says Mr Ludlow, he was thrown out of the game and his accounts closed down, cutting him off from his Sims. EA and Maxis say they are aware of Prof Ludlow's comments, that they are dealing with customer queries collectively and cannot talk about individual accounts. They will "continue to monitor external issues as appropriate". They declined to comment further. " Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From spike66 at comcast.net Wed Dec 24 06:00:02 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Tue, 23 Dec 2003 22:00:02 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] sjbrain calcs with figures In-Reply-To: <3FE6A614.4010502@mindspring.com> Message-ID: <006e01c3c9e3$2c07e560$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Please open the enclosure. It is said a picture is worth a thousand words, and in my case more than that, having scored a few dB down on the old verbal SATs, but having more than made it up on the math section. I made some Matlab 3D plots, but then realized most extropians do not have Matlab at home. Most do have microsloth Excel however. Of course excel sucks at 3D graphing, so I set up some 2D views. Hit the tab "1". Those two graphs show 36 nodes of one ring of an MBrain, a top view and a side view, if you want to think of it that way. Imagine the points as nodes in a circular orbit around a star. Now hit tab "2". This is the same ring rotated thru an angle of 45 degrees. Change the value theta1 to some other values and see what happens to the ring. OK hit tab "3" and witness two nested rings of radius 5 and 4. Change the values of theta1 and theta2. The angles can be anything and the radii can be anything so long as they are not equal to each other. Imagine the rings as particles in a circular orbit. The smaller ring orbits faster but it doesn't matter: there are no collisions because the two rings do not intersect. Change the values of theta1 and theta2. Now hit tab "4" and see 5 rings, all different angles and different radii. Is it clear that there are no intersecting orbits? Is it equally clear that there are no possible collisions between particles in different orbits, so long as the radii differ? Change the angles and radii and see that you could have a trillion nodes per ring and few billion rings, with the relative angle between adjacent rings a microradian, thus forming a sphere, all with no intersecting orbits, no colliding nodes and no gravitational instability. This is a traditional Bradburian MBrain. OK now as a thought experiment, think of this MBrain being formed around a rocky planet instead of a star. Continue removing material from the planet and adding it to the rings until there is no planet left, all of it being in the rings, and there you have it: an SBrain. If Jupiter were rocky and metally instead of gas, and this process were used to form a sphere a minute in diameter, then from the point of view of earth, it would look like a full moon, only more than twice the apparent size of luna. Merrrrry Newtonmas everyone! See you in a week. spike -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: orbits.xls Type: application/vnd.ms-excel Size: 81408 bytes Desc: not available URL: From etheric at comcast.net Wed Dec 24 15:34:09 2003 From: etheric at comcast.net (R.Coyote) Date: Wed, 24 Dec 2003 07:34:09 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] A Libertarian experiment? References: <20031223213217.10803.qmail@web41205.mail.yahoo.com> <006e01c3ca21$b48e9300$9cb26bd5@artemis> Message-ID: <000c01c3ca33$625de790$0300a8c0@etheric> This is not Libertarianism, Libertarianism requires laws not lawlesness try again ----- Original Message ----- From: "Dirk Bruere" To: ; "ExI chat list" Sent: Wednesday, December 24, 2003 5:27 AM Subject: [extropy-chat] A Libertarian experiment? > http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/technology/3334923.stm > The dark side of digital utopia > Dot.life - Where tech meets life, every Monday > By Mark Ward > BBC News Online technology correspondent > > How would people act if they were freed from real life laws and social > constraints? A new, interactive computer game offers just such a scenario - > with some disturbing results. > Imagine you could move to a city where you could swap yourself for a > younger, slimmer version that never ages and never gets tired. > > In this city you could choose which job to pursue, build your dream home and > do all the things you did not have the courage to do in your other life. > > It sounds great but soon after you arrive, the gloss begins to fade. > > One of the first people you meet is a kindly looking granny who greets you > with a slap round the face and a barrage of abuse. > > Escaping to one of the "safe" homes you find a den of thieves who trick you > into handing over all your cash. > > The local newspapers are full of investigations into child prostitution, > rampant crime, mafia-controlled neighbourhoods, shadowy self-declared > governments struggling to maintain order and runaway inflation. > > Welcome to Alphaville. > > Dark history > > Alphaville is the biggest city in The Sims Online, a spin-off of the highly > successful Sims computer game. As its name implies, players can control > virtual people in an online world. > > The Sims Online can be likened to a chatroom with moving pictures in which > people are represented by an avatar rather than text. > > But to the chatting it adds a rich virtual world in which every player has a > home. There are places to socialise, to work and visit, shops and services, > even virtual pets. > > Alphaville and its sister cities in The Sims Online were supposed to be > benign utopias that allowed people to discover who they could be when freed > from the economic and social restraints that shackle them in real life. > > But it has not turned out like that at all. > > The dark side of Alphaville has been documented by one of its former > "residents", Peter Ludlow, who in real life is a philosophy professor at the > University of Michigan. > > > Urizenus, one of the avatars controlled by Prof Ludlow, was chief reporter > on a newspaper called The Alphaville Herald which featured interviews with > Alphaville's child prostitutes, sadomasochists, Sims Mafioso, thieves and > members of its shadow government. > "The Alphaville Herald was not supposed to document dodgy things," he says. > "It was done to document the emergence of economic, social and political > structures in the game." > > Like increasing numbers of academics Mr Ludlow is interested in virtual game > worlds like The Sims Online because they act as live, accelerated > laboratories for studying the ways people interact, get on and fall out. > > But as the problems of The Sims Online mounted The Alphaville Herald - which > exists as a separate website - became a guidebook to the goings-on in this > dystopia. > > Action and reaction > > Mr Ludlow thought the people behind the game should know what was going on > inside Alphaville, not least because some things - child prostitution, for > example - are morally and legally troubling. > > > But when they found out, Maxis, the game's developers, and Electronic Arts, > the distributors, banned all in-game mention of The Alphaville Herald, says > Mr Ludlow. > Then, says Mr Ludlow, he was thrown out of the game and his accounts closed > down, cutting him off from his Sims. > > EA and Maxis say they are aware of Prof Ludlow's comments, that they are > dealing with customer queries collectively and cannot talk about individual > accounts. > > They will "continue to monitor external issues as appropriate". They > declined to comment further. " > > > Dirk > > The Consensus:- > The political party for the new millennium > http://www.theconsensus.org > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From mlorrey at yahoo.com Wed Dec 24 15:55:53 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Wed, 24 Dec 2003 07:55:53 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] sjbrain calcs with figures In-Reply-To: <006e01c3c9e3$2c07e560$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031224155553.67837.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> --- Spike wrote: > Now hit tab "4" and see 5 rings, all different angles and > different radii. Is it clear that there are no intersecting > orbits? Is it equally clear that there are no possible > collisions between particles in different orbits, so long > as the radii differ? Change the angles and radii and see > that you could have a trillion nodes per ring and few billion > rings, with the relative angle between adjacent rings a > microradian, thus forming a sphere, all with no intersecting > orbits, no colliding nodes and no gravitational instability. Oh, I wouldn't call this a sphere, I'd call it a nautilus shell. but your concept holds. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Wed Dec 24 16:00:16 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Wed, 24 Dec 2003 08:00:16 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] A Libertarian experiment? In-Reply-To: <000c01c3ca33$625de790$0300a8c0@etheric> Message-ID: <20031224160016.80535.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> Where are the insurance companies? I'll bet that the owning company does not permit this, either. --- "R.Coyote" wrote: > This is not Libertarianism, Libertarianism requires laws not > lawlesness > > try again > > ----- Original Message ----- > From: "Dirk Bruere" > To: ; "ExI chat list" > > Sent: Wednesday, December 24, 2003 5:27 AM > Subject: [extropy-chat] A Libertarian experiment? > > > > http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/technology/3334923.stm > > The dark side of digital utopia > > Dot.life - Where tech meets life, every Monday > > By Mark Ward > > BBC News Online technology correspondent > > > > How would people act if they were freed from real life laws and > social > > constraints? A new, interactive computer game offers just such a > scenario - > > with some disturbing results. > > Imagine you could move to a city where you could swap yourself for > a > > younger, slimmer version that never ages and never gets tired. > > > > In this city you could choose which job to pursue, build your dream > home > and > > do all the things you did not have the courage to do in your other > life. > > > > It sounds great but soon after you arrive, the gloss begins to > fade. > > > > One of the first people you meet is a kindly looking granny who > greets you > > with a slap round the face and a barrage of abuse. > > > > Escaping to one of the "safe" homes you find a den of thieves who > trick > you > > into handing over all your cash. > > > > The local newspapers are full of investigations into child > prostitution, > > rampant crime, mafia-controlled neighbourhoods, shadowy > self-declared > > governments struggling to maintain order and runaway inflation. > > > > Welcome to Alphaville. > > > > Dark history > > > > Alphaville is the biggest city in The Sims Online, a spin-off of > the > highly > > successful Sims computer game. As its name implies, players can > control > > virtual people in an online world. > > > > The Sims Online can be likened to a chatroom with moving pictures > in which > > people are represented by an avatar rather than text. > > > > But to the chatting it adds a rich virtual world in which every > player has > a > > home. There are places to socialise, to work and visit, shops and > services, > > even virtual pets. > > > > Alphaville and its sister cities in The Sims Online were supposed > to be > > benign utopias that allowed people to discover who they could be > when > freed > > from the economic and social restraints that shackle them in real > life. > > > > But it has not turned out like that at all. > > > > The dark side of Alphaville has been documented by one of its > former > > "residents", Peter Ludlow, who in real life is a philosophy > professor at > the > > University of Michigan. > > > > > > Urizenus, one of the avatars controlled by Prof Ludlow, was chief > reporter > > on a newspaper called The Alphaville Herald which featured > interviews with > > Alphaville's child prostitutes, sadomasochists, Sims Mafioso, > thieves and > > members of its shadow government. > > "The Alphaville Herald was not supposed to document dodgy things," > he > says. > > "It was done to document the emergence of economic, social and > political > > structures in the game." > > > > Like increasing numbers of academics Mr Ludlow is interested in > virtual > game > > worlds like The Sims Online because they act as live, accelerated > > laboratories for studying the ways people interact, get on and fall > out. > > > > But as the problems of The Sims Online mounted The Alphaville > Herald - > which > > exists as a separate website - became a guidebook to the goings-on > in this > > dystopia. > > > > Action and reaction > > > > Mr Ludlow thought the people behind the game should know what was > going on > > inside Alphaville, not least because some things - child > prostitution, for > > example - are morally and legally troubling. > > > > > > But when they found out, Maxis, the game's developers, and > Electronic > Arts, > > the distributors, banned all in-game mention of The Alphaville > Herald, > says > > Mr Ludlow. > > Then, says Mr Ludlow, he was thrown out of the game and his > accounts > closed > > down, cutting him off from his Sims. > > > > EA and Maxis say they are aware of Prof Ludlow's comments, that > they are > > dealing with customer queries collectively and cannot talk about > individual > > accounts. > > > > They will "continue to monitor external issues as appropriate". > They > > declined to comment further. " > > > > > > Dirk > > > > The Consensus:- > > The political party for the new millennium > > http://www.theconsensus.org > > > > _______________________________________________ > > extropy-chat mailing list > > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Wed Dec 24 16:11:12 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Wed, 24 Dec 2003 08:11:12 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD [forteana] Re: PowerPoint is Evil! ...again In-Reply-To: <3FE92D6B.9E4E1D12@mindspring.com> Message-ID: <20031224161112.69897.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> --- "Terry W. Colvin" wrote: Jacquie says: > Thats 'cos they don't know how to use PowerPoint! I have to agree. PP isn't all things for all people, but it also takes someone who knows anything about graphic design and communications to make the most of it as well. Considering some of the profs I've met, the main reason they hate it is because it constricts their ability to throw information at their audience to managable chunks. Some profs like to intimidate the students with overwhelming amounts of info, so the students glaze out and allow the prof to mentally defenestrate them with questions they can't answer, thus proving the profs intellectual superiority. Most of Tufte's complaints are not actually a fault of the software, but that the users are completely incompetent at conveying information properly (uh, yeah, thats why they went into engineering, so they wouldn't have to deal with people). Perhaps they are too proud of their genius IQs and degrees to pick up a book titled "Power Point for Dummies"???? ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From test at demedici.ssec.wisc.edu Wed Dec 24 16:37:43 2003 From: test at demedici.ssec.wisc.edu (Bill Hibbard) Date: Wed, 24 Dec 2003 10:37:43 -0600 (CST) Subject: [extropy-chat] frequency of BSE and CJD greater than thought? Message-ID: There is an alarming article at: http://www.monitor.net/rachel/r607.html Do folks on this list have an assessment of how credible this is? Thanks, Bill ---------------------------------------------------------- Bill Hibbard, SSEC, 1225 W. Dayton St., Madison, WI 53706 test at demedici.ssec.wisc.edu 608-263-4427 fax: 608-263-6738 http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~billh/vis.html From charlie at antipope.org Wed Dec 24 17:29:35 2003 From: charlie at antipope.org (Charlie Stross) Date: Wed, 24 Dec 2003 17:29:35 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] frequency of BSE and CJD greater than thought? In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On 24 Dec 2003, at 16:37, Bill Hibbard wrote: > There is an alarming article at: > > http://www.monitor.net/rachel/r607.html > > Do folks on this list have an assessment of how credible > this is? Far as I can tell, it looks like a reasonable summary right up until the very end. At that point, the author engages in cautious speculation, which is not in itself unreasonable. However, it's worth looking to the UK before arguing that large numbers of cases of CJD are being misdiagnosed as Alzheimer's; over here there has been a lot of research interest in nvCJD (obviously! -- the "worst case" predictions that, thankfully, don't seem to have emerged, had up to 30% of us dying of nvCJD!) with increased emphasis on diagnosis. I'd be very surprised if coroners in the UK were misdiagnosing their autopsy cases in this way. The important points to note are that (a) feeding animal protein to ruminants clearly acts as a disease amplifier in prion mediated pathologies -- it's a practice that needs to be stamped out -- and (b) prion disease are very slow to develop, so there's a lag between the epidemic commencing and the time at which it impinges on public awareness. There's also a point (c) which is that farmers don't like having their herds condemned. In France, cattle which are destroyed after contracting rabies are eligible for compensation, but cattle destroyed because of BSE don't receive any subsidy. I seem to recall reading that the incidence of rabies-infected cattle being destroyed in France have tripled in the past five years ... we're probably lucky that the UK was considered a rabies-free zone in the 1980's[*], because it made the appearance of BSE more obvious. -- Charlie [*] The UK isn't actually rabies-free; it was discovered last year that some rabies strains are endemic in the local bat population, when an animal conservation officer who was bitten by a bat contracted rabies and died of it, the first victim in nearly a century. Luckily British bats are rare enough to mostly qualify as endangered species, and they don't usually bite unless you go grabbing them in their roosts. From brian at posthuman.com Wed Dec 24 17:50:08 2003 From: brian at posthuman.com (Brian Atkins) Date: Wed, 24 Dec 2003 11:50:08 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] frequency of BSE and CJD greater than thought? In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <3FE9D1D0.4040801@posthuman.com> I don't find the hypothesis that there are many more BSE cases to be found lurking in "downer" cattle to be realistic since AFAIK the USDA here is now testing every single cow that displays such behavior (they claim they tested something like 20k cows in the last year I think) and so far has not found more than this one case announced yesterday. As far as the two studies mentioned claiming that CJD is more widespread than believed - I don't see the connection between that and BSE, since the disease caused by eating BSE-infected meat products (keep in mind you would have to eat part of the spine or brain of the cow... muscle meats aren't affected) is a different disease, vCJD, which I don't see those studies mentioning. Here's a little thing I found on Google explaining the difference: http://www.brainandspine.org.uk/pdf/cjdpatients.pdf There doesn't appear to be any large epidemic of vCJD, even in Europe... there have been articles I've read in New Scientist and other places in the past couple years commenting on this. -- Brian Atkins Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence http://www.singinst.org/ From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Wed Dec 24 21:26:21 2003 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (Kevin Freels) Date: Wed, 24 Dec 2003 15:26:21 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] A Libertarian experiment? References: <20031224160016.80535.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: I don't think it even begins to scrape the surface of reality. The majority of these fols are "gamers" which means many are probably kids. Also, since it is not "real" many of the people probably go to great lengths to make the dull humdrum of everyday life exciting. Nothing can really be lost, no real money is made, and noone can actually be hurt. It's a sim, and as a sim, it lacks that one important thing...reality. ----- Original Message ----- From: "Mike Lorrey" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Wednesday, December 24, 2003 10:00 AM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] A Libertarian experiment? > Where are the insurance companies? I'll bet that the owning company > does not permit this, either. > > --- "R.Coyote" wrote: > > This is not Libertarianism, Libertarianism requires laws not > > lawlesness > > > > try again > > > > ----- Original Message ----- > > From: "Dirk Bruere" > > To: ; "ExI chat list" > > > > Sent: Wednesday, December 24, 2003 5:27 AM > > Subject: [extropy-chat] A Libertarian experiment? > > > > > > > http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/technology/3334923.stm > > > The dark side of digital utopia > > > Dot.life - Where tech meets life, every Monday > > > By Mark Ward > > > BBC News Online technology correspondent > > > > > > How would people act if they were freed from real life laws and > > social > > > constraints? A new, interactive computer game offers just such a > > scenario - > > > with some disturbing results. > > > Imagine you could move to a city where you could swap yourself for > > a > > > younger, slimmer version that never ages and never gets tired. > > > > > > In this city you could choose which job to pursue, build your dream > > home > > and > > > do all the things you did not have the courage to do in your other > > life. > > > > > > It sounds great but soon after you arrive, the gloss begins to > > fade. > > > > > > One of the first people you meet is a kindly looking granny who > > greets you > > > with a slap round the face and a barrage of abuse. > > > > > > Escaping to one of the "safe" homes you find a den of thieves who > > trick > > you > > > into handing over all your cash. > > > > > > The local newspapers are full of investigations into child > > prostitution, > > > rampant crime, mafia-controlled neighbourhoods, shadowy > > self-declared > > > governments struggling to maintain order and runaway inflation. > > > > > > Welcome to Alphaville. > > > > > > Dark history > > > > > > Alphaville is the biggest city in The Sims Online, a spin-off of > > the > > highly > > > successful Sims computer game. As its name implies, players can > > control > > > virtual people in an online world. > > > > > > The Sims Online can be likened to a chatroom with moving pictures > > in which > > > people are represented by an avatar rather than text. > > > > > > But to the chatting it adds a rich virtual world in which every > > player has > > a > > > home. There are places to socialise, to work and visit, shops and > > services, > > > even virtual pets. > > > > > > Alphaville and its sister cities in The Sims Online were supposed > > to be > > > benign utopias that allowed people to discover who they could be > > when > > freed > > > from the economic and social restraints that shackle them in real > > life. > > > > > > But it has not turned out like that at all. > > > > > > The dark side of Alphaville has been documented by one of its > > former > > > "residents", Peter Ludlow, who in real life is a philosophy > > professor at > > the > > > University of Michigan. > > > > > > > > > Urizenus, one of the avatars controlled by Prof Ludlow, was chief > > reporter > > > on a newspaper called The Alphaville Herald which featured > > interviews with > > > Alphaville's child prostitutes, sadomasochists, Sims Mafioso, > > thieves and > > > members of its shadow government. > > > "The Alphaville Herald was not supposed to document dodgy things," > > he > > says. > > > "It was done to document the emergence of economic, social and > > political > > > structures in the game." > > > > > > Like increasing numbers of academics Mr Ludlow is interested in > > virtual > > game > > > worlds like The Sims Online because they act as live, accelerated > > > laboratories for studying the ways people interact, get on and fall > > out. > > > > > > But as the problems of The Sims Online mounted The Alphaville > > Herald - > > which > > > exists as a separate website - became a guidebook to the goings-on > > in this > > > dystopia. > > > > > > Action and reaction > > > > > > Mr Ludlow thought the people behind the game should know what was > > going on > > > inside Alphaville, not least because some things - child > > prostitution, for > > > example - are morally and legally troubling. > > > > > > > > > But when they found out, Maxis, the game's developers, and > > Electronic > > Arts, > > > the distributors, banned all in-game mention of The Alphaville > > Herald, > > says > > > Mr Ludlow. > > > Then, says Mr Ludlow, he was thrown out of the game and his > > accounts > > closed > > > down, cutting him off from his Sims. > > > > > > EA and Maxis say they are aware of Prof Ludlow's comments, that > > they are > > > dealing with customer queries collectively and cannot talk about > > individual > > > accounts. > > > > > > They will "continue to monitor external issues as appropriate". > > They > > > declined to comment further. " > > > > > > > > > Dirk > > > > > > The Consensus:- > > > The political party for the new millennium > > > http://www.theconsensus.org > > > > > > _______________________________________________ > > > extropy-chat mailing list > > > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > > > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > > > > _______________________________________________ > > extropy-chat mailing list > > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > > > ===== > Mike Lorrey > "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." > - Gen. John Stark > "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." > - Mike Lorrey > Do not label me, I am an ism of one... > Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com > > __________________________________ > Do you Yahoo!? > New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. > http://photos.yahoo.com/ > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From twodeel at jornada.org Wed Dec 24 21:43:19 2003 From: twodeel at jornada.org (Don Dartfield) Date: Wed, 24 Dec 2003 13:43:19 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] A Libertarian experiment? In-Reply-To: Message-ID: On Wed, 24 Dec 2003, Kevin Freels wrote: > I don't think it even begins to scrape the surface of reality. The > majority of these fols are "gamers" which means many are probably kids. > Also, since it is not "real" many of the people probably go to great > lengths to make the dull humdrum of everyday life exciting. Nothing can > really be lost, no real money is made, and noone can actually be hurt. > It's a sim, and as a sim, it lacks that one important thing...reality. I agree. People do things with online characters that they'd never dream of doing in reality. Maybe when the VR experience becomes real enough that it can actually satisfy real physical desires, it will tell us more about how people might react in similar circumstances in reality, but right now, well, it's just a game. I mean, unless having your character eat 30,000 calories of pie actually makes you feel good at first, then full, then over-full, then like you're about to burst, it doesn't really matter. And unless having your character commit a virtual crime has actual negative consequences that matter to you, it will just be a fun thrill with no worries attached. So it would hardly be surprising if Alphaville were a whirling cesspool of crime ... but it doesn't tell us much about reality. From dirk at neopax.com Wed Dec 24 22:19:57 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Wed, 24 Dec 2003 22:19:57 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] A Libertarian experiment? References: Message-ID: <02d301c3ca6c$10820120$9cb26bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Don Dartfield" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Wednesday, December 24, 2003 9:43 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] A Libertarian experiment? > On Wed, 24 Dec 2003, Kevin Freels wrote: > > > I don't think it even begins to scrape the surface of reality. The > > majority of these fols are "gamers" which means many are probably kids. > > Also, since it is not "real" many of the people probably go to great > > lengths to make the dull humdrum of everyday life exciting. Nothing can > > really be lost, no real money is made, and noone can actually be hurt. > > It's a sim, and as a sim, it lacks that one important thing...reality. > > I agree. People do things with online characters that they'd never dream > of doing in reality. Maybe when the VR experience becomes real enough > that it can actually satisfy real physical desires, it will tell us more > about how people might react in similar circumstances in reality, but > right now, well, it's just a game. > I mean, unless having your character eat 30,000 calories of pie actually > makes you feel good at first, then full, then over-full, then like you're > about to burst, it doesn't really matter. And unless having your > character commit a virtual crime has actual negative consequences that > matter to you, it will just be a fun thrill with no worries attached. So > it would hardly be surprising if Alphaville were a whirling cesspool of > crime ... but it doesn't tell us much about reality. Well, given that large parts of the world are actually run like this I suggest that you are overly optimistic. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From rafal at smigrodzki.org Wed Dec 24 22:30:34 2003 From: rafal at smigrodzki.org (Rafal Smigrodzki) Date: Wed, 24 Dec 2003 17:30:34 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] BIO: Stem Cell Genes References: Message-ID: <002001c3ca6d$8f41dc50$6501a8c0@dimension> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Robert J. Bradbury" > Aging (IMO) is ultimately caused by the misrepair of DNA double > strand breaks. There are a host of things you can get leading > up to that -- point mutations (leading to cancer), undigestable > molecules leading to lipofuscin accumulation, protein glycosylation > leading to hardening of the arteries, shortening of telomeres leading > to decreased immune system response and reduced cellular replication > potential and increased cellular scenescence and probably a host > of other things. Aubrey's IBG proposals and SENS work are trying > to deal with those things that are right up in front of our faces > and find solutions. But ultimately when you solve all of those > problems I think DNA misrepair is going to get you unless we > have the technology to replace or rewrite the defective genomes. ### I think I shouldn't say it but, whatever: I have some privileged information about a new technique which could lead to a quantum leap in the repair of cells in adult mammals (i.e. rejuvenation of adult tissues, in vivo). Nuff said. This is my promise of a big Christmas present for everybody in the next few years. Stay tuned. I'd be surprised if in the next ten years we don't have a treatment (in the form of a few injections) which will prolong adult human life by 20 to 30 years. In the year 2014 you can look back on this post and either call me prescient, or sadly remark on my unjustified optimism. Time will tell. Rafal From twodeel at jornada.org Wed Dec 24 22:26:25 2003 From: twodeel at jornada.org (Don Dartfield) Date: Wed, 24 Dec 2003 14:26:25 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] A Libertarian experiment? In-Reply-To: <02d301c3ca6c$10820120$9cb26bd5@artemis> Message-ID: On Wed, 24 Dec 2003, Dirk Bruere wrote: > Well, given that large parts of the world are actually run like this I > suggest that you are overly optimistic. Well, all I'm saying is that in a virtual environment like Alphaville, pretty much EVERYBODY misbehaves and does whatever they want -- stuff they would not necessarily do in reality. From mlorrey at yahoo.com Wed Dec 24 23:03:21 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Wed, 24 Dec 2003 15:03:21 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] A Libertarian experiment? In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031224230321.57879.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> --- Don Dartfield wrote: > On Wed, 24 Dec 2003, Dirk Bruere wrote: > > > Well, given that large parts of the world are actually run like > this I > > suggest that you are overly optimistic. > > Well, all I'm saying is that in a virtual environment like > Alphaville, > pretty much EVERYBODY misbehaves and does whatever they want -- stuff > they would not necessarily do in reality. Yes, in fact, it is the exact opposite of a libertarian or anarchist society, because Alphaville residents don't suffer real consequences. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From dirk at neopax.com Wed Dec 24 23:36:52 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Wed, 24 Dec 2003 23:36:52 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] A Libertarian experiment? References: <20031224230321.57879.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <030001c3ca76$cf5965c0$9cb26bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Mike Lorrey" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Wednesday, December 24, 2003 11:03 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] A Libertarian experiment? > > --- Don Dartfield wrote: > > On Wed, 24 Dec 2003, Dirk Bruere wrote: > > > > > Well, given that large parts of the world are actually run like > > this I > > > suggest that you are overly optimistic. > > > > Well, all I'm saying is that in a virtual environment like > > Alphaville, > > pretty much EVERYBODY misbehaves and does whatever they want -- stuff > > they would not necessarily do in reality. > > Yes, in fact, it is the exact opposite of a libertarian or anarchist > society, because Alphaville residents don't suffer real consequences. Given that there are no anarchist or libertarian societies, but plenty of Alphavilles, perhaps that tells us rather more about Human nature. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Wed Dec 24 23:49:30 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Wed, 24 Dec 2003 18:49:30 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] VR-BAR: Happy Newtonmas! In-Reply-To: <20031224230321.57879.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <002101c3ca78$966fee30$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> (The virtual reality bar is a simulated cyberspace that Harv likes to visit with real and imaginary friends.) The bar scene resolves into warm colors. Holographic candles on the tables provide mood lighting and a cheery glow. Harv is sitting at his usual table with his usual friends. He has just mixed a B-Happy(TM) drink and a B-Smart(TM) drink, and is stirring them with a candy-cane. The blond at the table was drinking a hot mocha with fat-free sugar-free whipped cream on top. The floating hat just above the blond was decked with mistletoe bobbing in the air. The brunette was just diving into a plate of sushi with pair of colored chopsticks, one red and one green. The robotender is wheeling around with his winter scarf floating behind him in an imaginary wind. Projected snowflakes swirling in the air as he goes by. The slime-mold floated serenely on a shallow bowl of eggnog. The "Best of Extropian Newtonmas Music" was playing in the background. They see you and raise their glasses and wave their greeting. "Happy Newtonmas!" they exclaim in unison. One of them signaled more chairs and tabletops to float over into the area. The robotender circles back around with your advance orders ready to serve. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From jcorb at iol.ie Thu Dec 25 00:18:37 2003 From: jcorb at iol.ie (J Corbally) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 00:18:37 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Best wishes Message-ID: <5.0.2.1.1.20031225001802.033b2360@pop.iol.ie> Hope everyone has an enjoyable and peaceful season, whatever way you observe it. James... From neptune at superlink.net Thu Dec 25 00:38:31 2003 From: neptune at superlink.net (Technotranscendence) Date: Wed, 24 Dec 2003 19:38:31 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Best wishes References: <5.0.2.1.1.20031225001802.033b2360@pop.iol.ie> Message-ID: <004701c3ca7f$6d111800$8acd5cd1@neptune> Ditto! ----- Original Message ----- From: J Corbally To: Sent: Wednesday, December 24, 2003 7:18 PM Subject: [extropy-chat] Best wishes > Hope everyone has an enjoyable and peaceful season, whatever way you > observe it. > > > > > James... > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From thespike at earthlink.net Thu Dec 25 00:38:37 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Wed, 24 Dec 2003 18:38:37 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] VR-BAR: Happy Newtonmas! References: <002101c3ca78$966fee30$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <00e501c3ca7f$7198c300$cb994a43@texas.net> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Harvey Newstrom" Sent: Wednesday, December 24, 2003 5:49 PM >The slime-mold floated serenely on a shallow bowl of eggnog. I'm glad the slime-mold was able to make it--wouldn't be the same without it/them! Bring on the brews! Damien Broderick From thespike at earthlink.net Thu Dec 25 06:52:16 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 00:52:16 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Beagle--uh oh References: <002101c3ca78$966fee30$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> <00e501c3ca7f$7198c300$cb994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <014301c3cab3$a4d0a600$cb994a43@texas.net> < Beagle keeps scientists waiting 25-Dec-03 06:29 GMT ................................................... Summary http://www.beagle2.com/news/index.htm < No telemetry from Beagle 2 was received during this morning's passage of NASA's Mars Odyssey over the Isidis Planitia landing site. Professor Colin Pillinger, lead scientist for the Beagle 2 project, commented that this certainly does not mean that the probe had been damaged during its descent. There were a number of possible explanations, the most likely being that the Beagle 2 antenna was not pointing in the direction of Mars Odyssey. The next opportunity to communicate with Beagle 2 will be late this evening (between 10pm and midnight GMT) when the Jodrell Bank Observatory will listen out for a signal from the lander. > From samantha at objectent.com Thu Dec 25 08:20:57 2003 From: samantha at objectent.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 00:20:57 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] A Libertarian experiment? In-Reply-To: References: <02d301c3ca6c$10820120$9cb26bd5@artemis> Message-ID: <20031225002057.5e5eec45.samantha@objectent.com> On Wed, 24 Dec 2003 14:26:25 -0800 (PST) Don Dartfield wrote: > On Wed, 24 Dec 2003, Dirk Bruere wrote: > > > Well, given that large parts of the world are actually run like this I > > suggest that you are overly optimistic. > > Well, all I'm saying is that in a virtual environment like Alphaville, > pretty much EVERYBODY misbehaves and does whatever they want -- stuff they > would not necessarily do in reality. > As opposed to the real world where the vast majority of people endlessly repeat whatever routine managed to not kill them and be remotely tolerable, at least tolerable with currently available legal psychoactives. At least in the virtual world people don't tend to just sit and grow mold. -s From scerir at libero.it Thu Dec 25 09:01:18 2003 From: scerir at libero.it (scerir) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 10:01:18 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] VR-BAR: Happy Newtonmas! References: <002101c3ca78$966fee30$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> <00e501c3ca7f$7198c300$cb994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <002601c3cac5$ba705d40$f0c7fea9@scerir> > Bring on the brews! > > Damien Broderick But pay attention to this brand new "anti-bubble" effect! http://ej.iop.org/links/q70/VMDjFcWLsjv8u+3qx22qnQ/njp3_1_161.pdf many fine pics here, home trials possible, and recommended too. Buone Feste! s. Btw, it seems that Spike's "think of this MBrain being formed around a rocky planet instead of a star. Continue removing material from the planet and adding it to the rings until there is no planet left, all of it being in the rings, and there you have it: an SBrain." has something to do with "bubble-antibubble" symmetry. From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Thu Dec 25 09:12:27 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 20:12:27 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Beagle--uh oh References: <002101c3ca78$966fee30$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> <00e501c3ca7f$7198c300$cb994a43@texas.net> <014301c3cab3$a4d0a600$cb994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <025901c3cac7$377f5420$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Damien Broderick wrote: > Beagle keeps scientists waiting > 25-Dec-03 06:29 GMT > ................................................... > Summary > http://www.beagle2.com/news/index.htm > > < No telemetry from Beagle 2 was received during this morning's > passage of NASA's Mars Odyssey over the Isidis Planitia landing > site. .. > The next opportunity to communicate with Beagle 2 will be late > this evening (between 10pm and midnight GMT) when the Jodrell > Bank Observatory will listen out for a signal from the lander. > A little suspense may help justisfy the sound-bite. "The Beagle has landed!" or "Beagle lands badly", sadly. Brett From scerir at libero.it Thu Dec 25 09:10:58 2003 From: scerir at libero.it (scerir) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 10:10:58 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] VR-BAR: Happy Newtonmas! References: <002101c3ca78$966fee30$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT><00e501c3ca7f$7198c300$cb994a43@texas.net> <002601c3cac5$ba705d40$f0c7fea9@scerir> Message-ID: <002f01c3cac7$039e1420$f0c7fea9@scerir> > http://ej.iop.org/links/q70/VMDjFcWLsjv8u+3qx22qnQ/njp3_1_161.pdf if the link is broken (as it seems now) try one of these http://www.iop.org/EJ/news/-topic=669/journal/1367-2630/1 http://www.iop.org/EJ/abstract/1367-2630/5/1/161/ http://ej.iop.org/links/q29/WnxqUoXJCx+9O5bXFWIrUg/njp3_1_161.pdf From samantha at objectent.com Thu Dec 25 10:00:09 2003 From: samantha at objectent.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 02:00:09 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] useful knowledge-base software In-Reply-To: <03c601c3c8fa$52cf4380$1602650a@int.veeco.com> References: <000001c3c8df$d5fac6f0$0200a8c0@soy0450mhz> <03c601c3c8fa$52cf4380$1602650a@int.veeco.com> Message-ID: <20031225020009.66c573b6.samantha@objectent.com> I find the notion that Outlook deserves to be called a "Personal Information Manager" quite distressing. It is a barely useable email program, when it doesn't choose to lock up and ignoring that it encrypts all "your" mail in a funny format difficult to do anything else with. As a task manager it sucks rocks. There is not even a simple hierachy or an interdependency management. The Calendar functionality is useable with similar caveats to mail. Notes? They would be a lot better if I could attach them anywhere and organize them more deeply. But all of these functionalities together even when well done are not what I need as a PIM. I need a tool that will keep track of the cookie crumbs of web pages, docs, searches, images, notes jotted down, mutterings and ravings, wild ideas and tentative integrations that we all do as we swim in this information sea. The call is always to see/sense more, integrate more, swim more swiftly or winnow more finely. I need clean interfaces that I can ask real questions of and have the width and breadth of information traveled and half digested, by self and others at will, and on the net at large, used on my/our behalf to find the answer or that which an answer may be approached from. It is an open framework that I can hang not just new documents and notes and emails etc upon but that I can fill with concepts and association fragments and that can extract (ultimately) concepts and associations and factoids out of any/all input. Full text search is a bare beginning. It is a place where I can hang new techniques, facts, ideas as I learn them and have them associate an! d coalesce in new and sometimes fruitful ways. It is where I can hang every mental tool and find it when need arises. That would be a PIM. Outlook and Chandler are mere toys for some small fragment of what is needed. - s On Mon, 22 Dec 2003 18:13:13 -0800 "Jef Allbright" wrote: > rick wrote: > > Have any of you seen this: > > > > http://www.bitsmithsoft.com/?source=P22020300071500 > > > > it is somewhat like a remembrance agent program that I worked on > > several years ago -- but it does not try to be an "agent". I think I > > may end up using this application to store all my personal articles, > > clippings, data and etc. > > > > > I used to use PersonalBrain for this, but gave it up because of the > proprietary and closed database structure. I didn't want to trust my > knowledge base to that. This is the same nifty-looking relational topic > display as on Kurzweil's site. I just looked again, and it appears they > might now have a utility to export the database in some form. It still > appears that they're only interested in really big corporate accounts > though. > > At work I use Outlook 2000 for this purpose. It has the advantage of a > consistent user interface, and I can easily (for the most part) drag and > drop between email, tasks, and Word documents. Each item can be assigned > multiple categories, the whole thing syncs nicely with my Palm using > KeySuite, and my work stuff is available on the web via Exchange Server. > > For personal knowledge capture and sharing, I'm mainly using my web site, > www.jefallbright.net, coded in PHP and MySQL using Drupal with some patches > and enhancements. It allows me to use a large set of keywords, relate them > in parent-child-sibling fashion, and it's completely open so I can grow it > and modify it as I wish. It serves well as a web-based scrap book to share > on topics that interest me, along with some of my thoughts and comments. > I've also been *amazed* at how many people have subscribed and receive daily > notifications of (a portion of) new content. > > I've long been intrigued by the notion of a remembrance agent, but Brad > Rhodes' implementation doesn't run well under Windows (last update was in > 2001) and I don't have time to code something better myself. > > I also participated in beta-testing of a product called Find, that attempted > to index all email and other documents on a Windows machine and make them > available via realtime keyword search, but it was extremely resource-hungry > and it appears the company has gone out of business. I understand Microsoft > plans to provide a database driven file system which should be a good step > in that direction. > > I'm looking forward to Chandler, especially because it's open source, and > it's being implemented and modifiable in Python. > > - Jef > www.jefallbright.net > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From bradbury at aeiveos.com Thu Dec 25 10:08:21 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 02:08:21 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] BIO: Stem Cell Genes In-Reply-To: <002001c3ca6d$8f41dc50$6501a8c0@dimension> Message-ID: On Wed, 24 Dec 2003, Rafal Smigrodzki wrote: > ### I think I shouldn't say it but, whatever: I have some privileged > information about a new technique which could lead to a quantum leap in the > repair of cells in adult mammals (i.e. rejuvenation of adult tissues, in > vivo). Nuff said. This is my promise of a big Christmas present for > everybody in the next few years. Stay tuned. Had to smile at this one Rafal. I like Christmas surprises but this one seems to be part of a mystery drama as well. I understand your perspective but that doesn't stop me from wondering if I leave you milk and cookies if some more information about the presents may be forthcoming... R. :-) From samantha at objectent.com Thu Dec 25 10:19:50 2003 From: samantha at objectent.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 02:19:50 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already In-Reply-To: <016b01c3c8cf$40c5dbc0$df994a43@texas.net> References: <016b01c3c8cf$40c5dbc0$df994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <20031225021950.0e27a8fd.samantha@objectent.com> On Mon, 22 Dec 2003 15:04:50 -0600 "Damien Broderick" wrote: > < A veteran New York Times war correspondent's complex, moving, and > thought-provoking reflection on how life is lived most intensely in times of > war. > General George S. Patton famously said, "Compared to war all other forms of > human endeavor shrink to insignificance. God, I do love it so!" Though > Patton was a notoriously single-minded general, it is nonetheless a sad fact > that war gives meaning to many lives, a fact with which we have become > familiar now that America is once again engaged in a military conflict. War > is an enticing elixir. It gives us purpose, resolve, a cause. It allows us > to be noble. > > If this current idiocy is the best that can be had to give us purpose, resolve, and a cause - if it is the closest we get to "noble" - then please pass the koolaid. I do not see how anyone can suppose this never-ending, perpetually over-spending, freedom destroying, cynical, bullying crap-shoot disguised as "war" brings any meaning at all to life. It makes life infinitely ugly and sad if taken seriously. As ugly as war is this current fiasco sullies even the name of "war". - s From charlie at antipope.org Thu Dec 25 13:06:39 2003 From: charlie at antipope.org (Charlie Stross) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 13:06:39 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already In-Reply-To: <20031225021950.0e27a8fd.samantha@objectent.com> References: <016b01c3c8cf$40c5dbc0$df994a43@texas.net> <20031225021950.0e27a8fd.samantha@objectent.com> Message-ID: <2D6241DB-36DB-11D8-AFA2-000A95B18568@antipope.org> On 25 Dec 2003, at 10:19, Samantha Atkins wrote: > If this current idiocy is the best that can be had to give us purpose, > resolve, and a cause - if it is the closest we get to "noble" - then > please pass the koolaid. > > I do not see how anyone can suppose this never-ending, perpetually > over-spending, freedom destroying, cynical, bullying crap-shoot > disguised as "war" brings any meaning at all to life. It makes life > infinitely ugly and sad if taken seriously. As ugly as war is this > current fiasco sullies even the name of "war". I'd like to add to that: war seems to me to be about as anti-extropic as you can get. The triumph of brute force over enlightenment, destruction, death and despair on a massive scale. An excuse for the enemies of freedom on every side to chip away at civil rights. The ascendency of dehumanization is the *opposite* of transhumanism. About the only possible exception to this bleak picture is the way that in the industrial age war permits the mobilization of vast technological and scientific resources and their direction towards achieving specific goals, in a manner that is difficult to coordinate in peacetime. But those goals are seldom positive, frequently destructive, and wouldn't it be better to achieve such mobilization for creative and constructive ends instead? -- Charlie From matus at matus1976.com Thu Dec 25 13:32:48 2003 From: matus at matus1976.com (Matus) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 08:32:48 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already In-Reply-To: <2D6241DB-36DB-11D8-AFA2-000A95B18568@antipope.org> Message-ID: <000001c3caeb$9a163da0$6701a8c0@GREYBOOK> > Charlie Stross said: > I'd like to add to that: war seems to me to be about as anti-extropic > as you can get. The triumph of brute force over enlightenment, > destruction, death and despair on a massive scale. An excuse for the > enemies of freedom on every side to chip away at civil rights. The > ascendency of dehumanization is the *opposite* of transhumanism. I would like to disagree with that. War is neither intrinsically extropic nor anti-extropic. If one of the parties at war is less extropic, and it wins, then war is anti-extropic. If the other party is more extropic, and it wins, the result is clearly extropic. Would you have been content trying to 'enlighten' Hitler or Hirohito or Stalin about why war was wrong? As I have pointed out many times on this list, there has never been a society more anti-extropic than just about every incarnation of communism on this planet. More people have been killed by communism than all war dead combined, add to that any other kind of murderous totalitarian regime, and I am hard pressed to believe that wars enacted to remove such murderous tyrants are *always* anti-extropic. I find you summation simplistic. Take a look at the rights enjoyed by people under the Khmere Rouge http://www.hawaii.edu/powerkills/WF6.TAB.6.3.GIF And tell me if a war to free them from that particular oppressive murderous regime would not have been extropic. If any part of extropy requires freedoms of any kind, than turning non-free nations free by means of war is by definition extropic. Extropic progress requires freedom of information, ideas, thoughts, technology, etc. In most oppressive states, the internet and computers are illegal, non-governmental publications and political disagreement, also are, including property and technology in others. Yet you assert that *any* war, even ones that would bring freedom to these horrifically oppressed peoples are by definition anti-extropic? You can debate about the specific ways a war might be carried out, and can surely figure some to be anti-extropic, but to absolutely assert that *any* war is automatically anti-extropic is egregious. > > About the only possible exception to this bleak picture is the way that > in the industrial age war permits the mobilization of vast > technological and scientific resources and their direction towards > achieving specific goals, in a manner that is difficult to coordinate > in peacetime. But those goals are seldom positive, frequently > destructive, and wouldn't it be better to achieve such mobilization for > creative and constructive ends instead? > And if a society is ideologically opposed to creativity and construction (as many communist regimes have pretty much been) then going to war with them is still not extropic? Do you consider WWII to have been extropic or anti-extropic? Michael From charlie at antipope.org Thu Dec 25 14:08:21 2003 From: charlie at antipope.org (Charlie Stross) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 14:08:21 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already In-Reply-To: <000001c3caeb$9a163da0$6701a8c0@GREYBOOK> References: <000001c3caeb$9a163da0$6701a8c0@GREYBOOK> Message-ID: On 25 Dec 2003, at 13:32, Matus wrote: >> > Charlie Stross said: > >> I'd like to add to that: war seems to me to be about as anti-extropic >> as you can get. The triumph of brute force over enlightenment, >> destruction, death and despair on a massive scale. An excuse for the >> enemies of freedom on every side to chip away at civil rights. The >> ascendency of dehumanization is the *opposite* of transhumanism. > > I would like to disagree with that. War is neither intrinsically > extropic nor anti-extropic. If one of the parties at war is less > extropic, and it wins, then war is anti-extropic. Sorry, I think you're wrong. We're talking on two different levels. You're discussing ideology, I'm discussing methods. I'll grant you that it's necessary to address the problem of anti-extropic ideologies, and in some cases their proponents will not listen to reason. But ... > If the other party is > more extropic, and it wins, the result is clearly extropic. Would you > have been content trying to 'enlighten' Hitler or Hirohito or Stalin > about why war was wrong? Hitler, Stalin, et all were *symptoms* of the disease of war as much as they were driving forces behind it.In Hitler's case, his ascendency was arguably the ultimate side-effect of the botched forceps delivery of one of Queen Victoria's grand-children in 1859. (Specifically Kaiser Wilhelm II, whose physical deformity and conservative, martial upbringing combined to give him an inferiority complex directed towards his cousins, and led in no small part to his getting involved in a minor Balkan fracas and escallating it into a World War. Which in turn brought the monarchical system to an unexpected and very sudden end in Europe, leaving in its wake a power vacuum in which totalitarianism could flourish.) In Stalin's case ... well, if a certain Russian bomb-thrower in 1881 had missed his target, we'd probably have had no Russian revolution. (Vladimir Illich Ulianov's elder brother was one of the student radicals executed by Tsar Alexander III's police during the paranoid years following the assassination of Alexander II. He idolized his brother, and later ascribed his own radicalization to what he perceived as the unfair and brutal execution of the elder sibling. No Lenln? Then Stalin -- or rather, Joe Dzugashvilli -- stays a small-time bank-robber and terrorist. Or even stays in the seminary and ends up as a priest.) Is this a case of ascribing too much to contingency? Sure. But I feel it's important to note that these monsters you point the finger at were in every case the outcome of a chain of violent circumstances. Violence begets more violence, and in each case (Hitler, Stalin, Hirohito's war cabinet) the monstrous fruit grows from a relatively small seed. > As I have pointed out many times on this list, > there has never been a society more anti-extropic than just about every > incarnation of communism on this planet. More people have been killed > by communism than all war dead combined, Blaah blaah blaah. I suppose "every incarnation of communism on this planet" doesn't include all those family groups that pool their collective assets and resources. Or the roughly 75% of the planetary population who live in dirt-poor peasant communities and are so poor that they're excluded from capital-mediated economic interactions, dealing instead on the basis of barter and favours. Right? The truth is, communism works very well indeed -- at the smallest scale. And if you insist that it doesn't, I'm going to have to ask you how much your parents charged you for the use of your cot when you were a baby. But I digress ... > And tell me if a war to free them from that particular oppressive > murderous regime would not have been extropic. If any part of extropy > requires freedoms of any kind, than turning non-free nations free by > means of war is by definition extropic. Tell that to the corpses. Here's a clue: the survivors may (or may not) be better off after a war of liberation. But the people who die during such a war are cleary *not* better off; they're dead. No amount of "liberation" can help a corpse. > Extropic progress requires freedom of information, ideas, thoughts, > technology, etc. In most oppressive states, the internet and computers > are illegal, non-governmental publications and political disagreement, > also are, including property and technology in others. Like, oh, cannabis or heroin or cocaine in the USA? Here's a thought-experiment for you. Clearly the USA is ruled by an oppressive regime that refuses to give its citizens the right to experience certain states of consciousness or to posess certain types of property. Political disagreement with this platform can (as in the recent case of Tommy Chong) make you a target for imprisonment on trumped-up charges. Does this justify carpet-bombing Washington DC and launching a war of invasion and subsequent occupation by foreign troops, at a cost of, say, 150,000 lives (the equivalent per capita adjusted for the US population of the proportion of the Iraqi population killed during this years' war) to redress this oppressive situation? I may be opposed to the war on drugs, but I suspect going to that kind of length to end it would be a cure worse than the disease. War as a cure for social evils is almost invariably worse than the social evils it is proposed as a solution for. I find it notable that the only really enthusiastic proponents of such wars on the planet today are barking mad Islamic fundamentalists -- and Americans, who haven't actually experienced a war on their home territory for nearly a century and a half! -- Charlie (who is *NOT* American, and who lives in a country that has been bombed within living memory, and who has lived through a terrorist insurgency that killed five or six times as many people, as a proportion of total population, as 9/11) From dwayne at pobox.com Thu Dec 25 11:56:25 2003 From: dwayne at pobox.com (dwayne) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 22:56:25 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] happy stolen pagan fertility festival! Message-ID: <3FEAD069.3EB84CE6@pobox.com> hey everyone, wishing you all the best for the festive season, whatever it is you are celebrating, at least we are all celebrating something :) enjoy your presents, don't drink too much, don't eat too little, enjoy life and I'll see you around! Dwayne -- mailto:ddraig at pobox.com it's nice to be better, but it's much better to be nice ...r.e.t.u.r.n....t.o....t.h.e....s.o.u.r.c.e... http://www.barrelfullofmonkeys.org/Data/3-death.jpg Sheldon: No! No! Not E.T.! Kill! Kill! Kill E.T.! Glock E.T.! http://www.audioscrobbler.com/modules.php?op=modload&name=top10&file=userinfo&user=ddraig From mlorrey at yahoo.com Thu Dec 25 14:45:57 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 06:45:57 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031225144557.14134.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> --- Charlie Stross wrote: > -- Charlie (who is *NOT* American, and who lives in a country > that has been bombed within living memory, and who has lived > through a terrorist insurgency that killed five or six times > as many people, as a proportion of total population, as 9/11) Ironic twist: Just as Charlie gets done lecturing how dead is dead and extropic ends don't matter to the dead, it doesn't matter how many died from communism if only the right people had worn condoms,,,,etc etc.... he engages in a game of "my dead are bigger than your dead".... ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From charlie at antipope.org Thu Dec 25 14:59:14 2003 From: charlie at antipope.org (Charlie Stross) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 14:59:14 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already In-Reply-To: <20031225144557.14134.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> References: <20031225144557.14134.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: On 25 Dec 2003, at 14:45, Mike Lorrey wrote: > > --- Charlie Stross wrote: >> -- Charlie (who is *NOT* American, and who lives in a country >> that has been bombed within living memory, and who has lived >> through a terrorist insurgency that killed five or six times >> as many people, as a proportion of total population, as 9/11) > > Ironic twist: Just as Charlie gets done lecturing how dead is dead and > extropic ends don't matter to the dead, it doesn't matter how many died > from communism if only the right people had worn condoms,,,,etc etc.... > he engages in a game of "my dead are bigger than your dead".... I will confess I was getting a bit too annoyed at the armchair warriors to keep my cool. Sure the big budget military gets to play with lots of cool high-tech toys, but in the final analysis death is *everyone's* enemy, and as extropians we should be seeking to avoid it wherever possible! -- Charlie From extropy at unreasonable.com Thu Dec 25 15:01:58 2003 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 10:01:58 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already In-Reply-To: <000001c3caeb$9a163da0$6701a8c0@GREYBOOK> References: <2D6241DB-36DB-11D8-AFA2-000A95B18568@antipope.org> Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031225085904.02924eb0@mail.comcast.net> At 08:32 AM 12/25/2003 -0500, Matus wrote: >You can debate about the specific ways a war might be carried out, and >can surely figure some to be anti-extropic, but to absolutely assert >that *any* war is automatically anti-extropic is egregious. There are certainly ways a war could be conducted that are more humane or effective or cheaper than the ways government does, beyond what Vinge discusses in "The Ungoverned" and what we've observed here, as when the ethics and effectiveness of political assassination was discussed. As interesting as that conversation might be, it is apt to draw a bit more attention than discussing M-brains. I've been reading the new free-arms list, where a few proto-extropians have banded, and there's a sad awareness that GS-11 Brother is watching. I'm leaving in a few minutes to take my daughter to the airport, and I just emptied my pockets of everything that's ordinarily there that security will balk at. Did you know that bringing a typical pocket knife into a post office is a Federal crime? (And was, pre-9/11.) >And if a society is ideologically opposed to creativity and construction >(as many communist regimes have pretty much been) then going to war with >them is still not extropic? Do you consider WWII to have been extropic >or anti-extropic? Since we, regrettably, can't know how alternative histories would really have turned out, I'm not sure. Yes, removing Hitler and freeing Europe were worthy causes, as such things go, but the ripple effect of our expedient alliance with Stalin and domestic blindness to communist infiltration of the US was losing Eastern Europe and decades of struggle and warfare to free them. As the powerkills site details, more people were killed under Stalin than Hitler. I'm not sure who otherwise abridged freedom more. It's harder to compare, beyond gulag vs. concentration camp. At the time, we decided Stalin was the lesser of two evils, as we'd sided with Saddam over Khomeini. Looking back, it isn't clear. -- David Lubkin. From natasha at natasha.cc Thu Dec 25 17:21:42 2003 From: natasha at natasha.cc (Natasha Vita-More) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 09:21:42 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Happy Newtonmas, Merry Christmas, Happy Honica, Joyous Day off from Work Message-ID: <5.2.0.9.0.20031225091738.0336ce00@pop.earthlink.net> Extroping transhumans - May you all live a long and peaceful life - full of love and understanding. Natasha Natasha Vita-More http://www.natasha.cc ---------- President, Extropy Institute http://www.extropy.org Founder, Transhumanist Arts & Culture http://www.transhumanist.biz http://www.transhuman.org -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From fortean1 at mindspring.com Thu Dec 25 15:41:50 2003 From: fortean1 at mindspring.com (Terry W. Colvin) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 08:41:50 -0700 Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD [forteana] Re: OT: Physics humor Message-ID: <3FEB053E.4E71DBDF@mindspring.com> A friend of mine majored in Physics here in Rome, Italy. One of his first exercises was to experimentally calculate G (gravitation constant). Well, his professor considered as fakes all results too much near to the real value... denic >>> Electron Band Structure In Germanium, My Ass >>> http://www.cs.wisc.edu/~kovar/hall.html ---------------------- I did this at uni, by means of Cavendish's balls (oo-er). I was out by just one order of magnitude, which was considered pretty good going. Rob -- "Only a zit on the wart on the heinie of progress." Copyright 1992, Frank Rice Terry W. Colvin, Sierra Vista, Arizona (USA) < fortean1 at mindspring.com > Alternate: < fortean1 at msn.com > Home Page: < http://www.geocities.com/Area51/Stargate/8958/index.html > Sites: * Fortean Times * Mystic's Haven * TLCB * U.S. Message Text Formatting (USMTF) Program ------------ Member: Thailand-Laos-Cambodia Brotherhood (TLCB) Mailing List TLCB Web Site: < http://www.tlc-brotherhood.org > [Vietnam veterans, Allies, CIA/NSA, and "steenkeen" contractors are welcome.] From matus at matus1976.com Thu Dec 25 15:46:54 2003 From: matus at matus1976.com (Matus) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 10:46:54 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <000001c3cafe$55d433a0$6701a8c0@GREYBOOK> > On 25 Dec 2003, at 13:32, Matus wrote: > >> > > Charlie Stross said: > > > >> I'd like to add to that: war seems to me to be about as anti-extropic > >> as you can get. The triumph of brute force over enlightenment, > >> destruction, death and despair on a massive scale. An excuse for the > >> enemies of freedom on every side to chip away at civil rights. The > >> ascendency of dehumanization is the *opposite* of transhumanism. > > > > I would like to disagree with that. War is neither intrinsically > > extropic nor anti-extropic. If one of the parties at war is less > > extropic, and it wins, then war is anti-extropic. > > Sorry, I think you're wrong. > > We're talking on two different levels. You're discussing ideology, I'm > discussing methods. > > I'll grant you that it's necessary to address the problem of > anti-extropic ideologies, and in some cases their proponents will not > listen to reason. But ... Those who do not subscribe to reason can not be conquered by it. So, are you admitting that as a 'method' war can sometimes be extropic? > > > If the other party is > > more extropic, and it wins, the result is clearly extropic. Would you > > have been content trying to 'enlighten' Hitler or Hirohito or Stalin > > about why war was wrong? > > Is this a case of ascribing too much to contingency? Sure. But I feel > it's important to note that these monsters you point the finger at were > in every case the outcome of a chain of violent circumstances. Understandable, but that chain of violent circumstances as far back as history goes can not simply be ignored for want of imagining a world where war is always bad because no one ever behaved in any manner where war was required to stop them. That history is real, and we must deal with its consequences in the best manner we can. Your comment is like saying 'if no one ever behaved in a warlike manner than war would have never been required and thus war is all bad!' Its nice, gives one a happy feeling, but its pure fantasy. If no one ever assaulted another person, police wouldn't be required either. People DO behave in a warlike manner, how should one who is extropic and values human life deal with them? > Violence > begets more violence, and in each case (Hitler, Stalin, Hirohito's war > cabinet) the monstrous fruit grows from a relatively small seed. By your thinking, it seems even self defense would be anti-extropic. > > > As I have pointed out many times on this list, > > there has never been a society more anti-extropic than just about every > > incarnation of communism on this planet. More people have been killed > > by communism than all war dead combined, > > Blaah blaah blaah. > > I suppose "every incarnation of communism on this planet" doesn't > include all those family groups that pool their collective assets and > resources. No it doesn't, I was referring to states that enact communist as a form of political and economic rule that force the people that live under them to abide by it wholly even against their own will, states that have killed 170 million people this century. > Or the roughly 75% of the planetary population who live in > dirt-poor peasant communities and are so poor that they're excluded > from capital-mediated economic interactions, dealing instead on the > basis of barter and favours. Right? People who are mostly ruled by corrupt totalitarians or oppressive theocratic regimes. > > The truth is, communism works very well indeed -- at the smallest > scale. And if you insist that it doesn't, I'm going to have to ask you > how much your parents charged you for the use of your cot when you were > a baby. > Im sure it does, if you want to live in a hippy commune, be my guess. Just don't toss fellow members who change their mind in gulags to work themselves to death. > But I digress ... > > > And tell me if a war to free them from that particular oppressive > > murderous regime would not have been extropic. If any part of extropy > > requires freedoms of any kind, than turning non-free nations free by > > means of war is by definition extropic. > > Tell that to the corpses. > > Here's a clue: the survivors may (or may not) be better off after a war > of liberation. But the people who die during such a war are cleary > *not* better off; they're dead. No amount of "liberation" can help a > corpse. Ok, so whether a war was extropic or not is measured by how many people are killed? Is extropy *solely* a measure of intelligent life, and nothing else? If you are going to talk about the results of a war being extropic or not, you must define what is extropic. In some cases it may be reasonable to believe inaction would cause more deaths than action, is action then extropic? What of other factors, I would be hard pressed to agree that what is extropic is merely a measurement of being alive. As a billion couch potatoes may be alive, but will hardly be as extropic as 10 productive motivated scientists. To positively assert whether something was extropic or not, you will have to define what criteria makes something extropic, and how much of it was present before and how much present afterward. This would probably be quite an undertaking, yet you are all ready absolutely positive that *all* wars are anti-extropic. > > > Extropic progress requires freedom of information, ideas, thoughts, > > technology, etc. In most oppressive states, the internet and computers > > are illegal, non-governmental publications and political disagreement, > > also are, including property and technology in others. > > Like, oh, cannabis or heroin or cocaine in the USA? Are either of these requirements for extropy? Hardly, I would argue that they are probably anti-extropic. Will a bunch of cocaine addicts or stoners bring about a singularity? I doubt it. Hey, while were at it, why don't we force everyone to be scientists and engineers and theoretical physicists and AI programmers. Now that would surely be extropic. Clearly what is extropic is not solely related to everyone being entirely free and everyone being not free at all. Specific freedoms may or may not be extropic, and fighting for extropic freedoms would result in a more extropic society. Defeating a clearly anti-extropic state (say, one that has *no* freedoms, allows no technology, and no free exchange of information) is clearly extropic. But of course, by your comments, if even one person is killed it is not, correct? > > Here's a thought-experiment for you. Clearly the USA is ruled by an > oppressive regime that refuses to give its citizens the right to > experience certain states of consciousness or to posess certain types > of property. Political disagreement with this platform can (as in the > recent case of Tommy Chong) make you a target for imprisonment on > trumped-up charges. > > Does this justify carpet-bombing Washington DC and launching a war of > invasion and subsequent occupation by foreign troops, at a cost of, > say, 150,000 lives (the equivalent per capita adjusted for the US > population of the proportion of the Iraqi population killed during this > years' war) to redress this oppressive situation? No it does not justify it, but why are you hitting me with thought experiments, you are the one who has made the absolutist assertion that all wars are anti-extropic. You have merely cited a hypothetical example of one that is not. I have not asserted that all wars *are* extropic in no way shape or form. Only that some wars, depending on circumstances, may be considered extropic. > > War as a cure for social evils is almost invariably worse than the > social evils it is proposed as a solution for. I find it notable that > the only really enthusiastic proponents of such wars on the planet > today are barking mad Islamic fundamentalists -- and Americans, who > haven't actually experienced a war on their home territory for nearly a > century and a half! > " almost invariably" ? Why the 'almost' qualifier, I thought you said 'all' wars were anti-extropic. Michael From matus at matus1976.com Thu Dec 25 16:14:35 2003 From: matus at matus1976.com (Matus) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 11:14:35 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already In-Reply-To: <5.1.0.14.2.20031225085904.02924eb0@mail.comcast.net> Message-ID: <000501c3cb02$33747870$6701a8c0@GREYBOOK> David said: > > At 08:32 AM 12/25/2003 -0500, Matus wrote: > > >You can debate about the specific ways a war might be carried out, and > >can surely figure some to be anti-extropic, but to absolutely assert > >that *any* war is automatically anti-extropic is egregious. > > There are certainly ways a war could be conducted that are more > humane or effective or cheaper than the ways government does, beyond > what Vinge discusses in "The Ungoverned" and what we've observed > here, as when the ethics and effectiveness of political assassination > was discussed. > > As interesting as that conversation might be, it is apt to draw a bit more > attention than discussing M-brains. I've been reading the new free-arms > list, where a few proto-extropians have banded, and there's a sad > awareness that GS-11 Brother is watching. > To make this a more directly extropic conversation then, lets attempt to define extropy. Charlie asserts that how many people are alive (or were killed) is a measurement of extropy. Of course this is part of it, but surely there is more to extropy than merely being alive. We need information, we need technology, we need science, and scientists. I do not think it would be accurate to merely associate extropy with freedom any more than merely extropy with lives, since some freedoms I would certainly value are probably not extropian (as my examples of cocaine addicts or stoners) and some intelligent living beings my choose to abandon intelligence and reason, and thus are not extropian. On the Extropy Institute principles page we see: Extropy - The extent of a living or organizational system's intelligence, functional order, vitality, and capacity and drive for improvement Extropic - Actions, qualities, or outcomes that embody or further extropy So for an action (I'll drop 'war' out of the discussion and just leave it as an action) to be extropic it must result in a net increase in one or many of the above criteria. But what if one part increases, and another decreases? E.g. There are more intelligent people alive, but they have no capacity for improvement (strict oppressive statism), or conversely, what if there are fewer intelligent people around, but they had a much greater capacity for improvement, is that extropic? All the people in the universe, if they never have any capacity for improvement, can not be considered more extropic than even *one* person who has that capacity for improvement. I will defer to Charlie then, is what is extropic merely how many people are alive? Or are there other variables to consider? How do we prioritize these variables? I doubt that you meant only the number of living beings was the sole criteria for judging something extropic, you were getting your point across, but the difficulty is in actually defining our ethical principles here in cases where one must choose between different variables, all of which we may dearly value. Michael From bradbury at aeiveos.com Fri Dec 26 00:36:31 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 16:36:31 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] BIO: dedifferentiation article Message-ID: Science Daily is reporting on the dedifferention molecule work at Scripps: http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2003/12/031223062153.htm If anyone has access to the JACS and can read the technical article: http://pubs.acs.org/cgi-bin/asap.cgi/jacsat/asap/html/ja037390k.html I would appreciate receiving a copy. Thanks, Robert From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Fri Dec 26 01:09:20 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Fri, 26 Dec 2003 12:09:20 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] BIO: Stem Cell Genes References: <002001c3ca6d$8f41dc50$6501a8c0@dimension> Message-ID: <00a701c3cb4c$e47483a0$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Rafal Smigrodzki wrote: > ### I think I shouldn't say it but, whatever: I have some > privileged information about a new technique which could > lead to a quantum leap in the repair of cells in adult mammals > (i.e. rejuvenation of adult tissues, in vivo). Nuff said. This is > my promise of a big Christmas present for everybody in the > next few years. Stay tuned. > > I'd be surprised if in the next ten years we don't have a > treatment (in the form of a few injections) which will prolong > adult human life by 20 to 30 years. In the year 2014 you can > look back on this post and either call me prescient, or sadly > remark on my unjustified optimism. Time will tell. Why wouldn't a technology perceived to be a quantum leap by an informed person now, not be patented and thereby disclosed well before 2014 ? Regards, Brett Paatsch From rafal at smigrodzki.org Fri Dec 26 01:11:26 2003 From: rafal at smigrodzki.org (Rafal Smigrodzki) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 20:11:26 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] BIO: Stem Cell Genes References: <002001c3ca6d$8f41dc50$6501a8c0@dimension> <00a701c3cb4c$e47483a0$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: <00d301c3cb4d$30f26c60$6501a8c0@dimension> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Brett Paatsch" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Thursday, December 25, 2003 8:09 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] BIO: Stem Cell Genes > Rafal Smigrodzki wrote: > > > ### I think I shouldn't say it but, whatever: I have some > > privileged information about a new technique which could > > lead to a quantum leap in the repair of cells in adult mammals > > (i.e. rejuvenation of adult tissues, in vivo). Nuff said. This is > > my promise of a big Christmas present for everybody in the > > next few years. Stay tuned. > > > > I'd be surprised if in the next ten years we don't have a > > treatment (in the form of a few injections) which will prolong > > adult human life by 20 to 30 years. In the year 2014 you can > > look back on this post and either call me prescient, or sadly > > remark on my unjustified optimism. Time will tell. > > Why wouldn't a technology perceived to be a quantum leap > by an informed person now, not be patented and thereby > disclosed well before 2014 ? > ### Oh, the technology is patented already (as a preliminary patent) and will be described in articles soon, but it will take years before its clinical application. I really can't say anything more. Rafal From etheric at comcast.net Fri Dec 26 01:54:09 2003 From: etheric at comcast.net (R.Coyote) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 17:54:09 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] BIO: Brain Cells Live Hours without Oxygen References: <002001c3ca6d$8f41dc50$6501a8c0@dimension><00a701c3cb4c$e47483a0$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> <00d301c3cb4d$30f26c60$6501a8c0@dimension> Message-ID: <00bf01c3cb53$274ba9a0$0300a8c0@etheric> This is of HUGE import methinks. http://www.betterhumans.com/News/news.aspx?articleID=2003-12-24-4 From fortean1 at mindspring.com Fri Dec 26 02:16:43 2003 From: fortean1 at mindspring.com (Terry W. Colvin) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 19:16:43 -0700 Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD (SK) Skeptic CD Message-ID: <3FEB9A0B.7AD8A2F5@mindspring.com> For those who were inquiring, the Great Skeptic CD sells overseas for $A65 (around $US 48). Barry Williams Executive Officer Australian Skeptics PO Box 268 Roseville NSW 2069 Australia 02 9417 2071 < http://www.skeptics.com.au > -- "Only a zit on the wart on the heinie of progress." Copyright 1992, Frank Rice Terry W. Colvin, Sierra Vista, Arizona (USA) < fortean1 at mindspring.com > Alternate: < fortean1 at msn.com > Home Page: < http://www.geocities.com/Area51/Stargate/8958/index.html > Sites: * Fortean Times * Mystic's Haven * TLCB * U.S. Message Text Formatting (USMTF) Program ------------ Member: Thailand-Laos-Cambodia Brotherhood (TLCB) Mailing List TLCB Web Site: < http://www.tlc-brotherhood.org > [Vietnam veterans, Allies, CIA/NSA, and "steenkeen" contractors are welcome.] From bradbury at aeiveos.com Fri Dec 26 05:42:39 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 21:42:39 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] BIO: Brain Cells Live Hours without Oxygen In-Reply-To: <00bf01c3cb53$274ba9a0$0300a8c0@etheric> Message-ID: On Thu, 25 Dec 2003, R.Coyote wrote: > This is of HUGE import methinks. > > http://www.betterhumans.com/News/news.aspx?articleID=2003-12-24-4 Interesting. Poking around in PubMed it would appear that the major ion channel involved -- TRPM7 has a major role as a transport channel for Ca++ and Mg++. Ca++ I believe plays an important role in cellular homeostasis and perhaps regulation of apoptosis. Mg++ may play a role in the transmission of neural impulses in certain types of neurons. But according to: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov:80/entrez/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&db=PubMed&list_uids=12508053&dopt=Abstract the ion channel is also involved in the transmission of a number of other ++ ions -- from nasty ones (Ni++, Cd++, Co++) to essential ones (Zn++). So it would appear to be a key player from both positive and negative perspectives. The question would be how oxygen/glucose deprivation might alter its behavior. Robert From samantha at objectent.com Fri Dec 26 06:01:34 2003 From: samantha at objectent.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 22:01:34 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: References: <3FE3D772.3080401@mindspring.com> <20031220131057.GX21411@leitl.org> <3FE4A927.5020109@mindspring.com> <3FE4B120.4020904@barrera.org> Message-ID: <20031225220134.6ffb5a37.samantha@objectent.com> So why is Windows so important to you? On Sun, 21 Dec 2003 17:22:36 -0500 "Brian Alexander Lee" wrote: > > From: "Joseph S. Barrera III" > > Can't wait until postgres runs on win32 w/o cygwin... coming RSN > > except that the postgres_win32 team is still figuring out how to natively > > emulate signals on win32. Aghh. > > > dbExperts (http://www.dbexperts.net) offers a native windows port of > postgresql. They charge around $300 or so. There should be some other > windows postgres available through google. > > BAL > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From samantha at objectent.com Fri Dec 26 06:17:51 2003 From: samantha at objectent.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 22:17:51 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] converging history In-Reply-To: <003001c3c83b$93b7ae60$6501a8c0@SHELLY> References: <018301c3c820$d8001aa0$b0994a43@texas.net> <003001c3c83b$93b7ae60$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031225221751.79999301.samantha@objectent.com> On Sun, 21 Dec 2003 19:27:49 -0800 "Spike" wrote: > Please look at this figure for a minute: > > file:///C:/Documents%20and%20Settings/spike/Local%20Settings/Temporary%2 > 0Internet%20Files/OLKA6/Intel_Roadmap_2003.gif > I'm supposed to be able to see a figure on hour "C:" drive? > then explain to me how humanity could be doing anything > other than converging towards an inevitable singularity. > Clearly ours is a species in open-loop, with no apparent > equilibrium point that can possibly be re-established. Because the only superpower on earth is being run by extremely reactionary forces determined to preserve the status quo (re their current relative importance and power) at all costs? Add in an "Intellectual Property" structure so intent on extracting every penny that innovation is something only big companies with lots of lawyers can afford in various fields of endeavor. Or perhaps the lack of any real vision just leaves everything moving too slow and every advance being doled yout bit by byte at as high a cost (read high entropy) as possible to again get mine before some you takes it all. In short, singularity is far from inevitable. Never underestimate the power of human stupidity and general cussedness. > Any large star inevitably goes supernova, spewing metals > into the cosmos, which eventually form planets elsewhere, > which will form life, given the right mix of elements and > conditions. Actually, opinion varies a lot about just how extreme and rare the proper conditions for life, much less highly intelligent life, are. ? Life may have long periods of equilibrium, > such as our own 3 billion years of blue-green algal mats, > but something like multicellular life must eventually > happen, or so it would seem. There is no "must" to it. Such a possibility exists but it is by no means inevitable for any particular planet or set of stars. > If there is multicellular > life, there is interspecies competition, and every available > ecological niche is eventually filled. One obvious ecological > niche is the one humans inhabit: scentient intelligence > sufficient to modify the environment to its own needs. > In that niche exists competition for resources and > competition for mates, which leads to ever more creativeness > and ever greater intelligence. Not inevitable. Only enough intelligence and other abilities to be not go extinct is neccessarily required of living species. >Societal equilibria may be > reached in many or perhaps most of those cases, but > it only takes one society somewhere to precipitate something > analogous to the industrial revolution, which makes it > inevitable as all hell, and when that happens, automated > control of machines is clearly desired, leading > eventually to mechanical computers, then improvements > leading to electronics, then artificial intelligence appears > to me to be absolutely unavoidable in the long run, which > leads to AI and eventually to uploading and the construction > of MBrains, to use all the available metals in the star system. > Geez, and you put down religious people for stringing together a lot of hypotheticals, assumptions, telology and wishful thinking. > So the history of life apparently eventually converges on > this solution, utterly regardless of the path it takes to > get there. > > Please, what am I doing wrong in this line of reasoning? > Where is the stepping off point? > You are assuming what you wish to occur. You are assuming that it is inevitable, that we really can't fuck it up. You are building on top of that assumption or perhaps sawing off the limb it rests on by assuming that full on singularity is inevitable everywhere there is any really possibility of life. In actuality we will be damn lucky not to do something stupid to ourselves or get in the way just a bit too long to insure our survival much less that we upload and live happily ever after. There is nothing to be taken for granted although there is everything to gain. - samantha From samantha at objectent.com Fri Dec 26 06:30:08 2003 From: samantha at objectent.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 22:30:08 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already In-Reply-To: <20031222040345.31503.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> References: <01af01c3c83d$dc83eee0$b0994a43@texas.net> <20031222040345.31503.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20031225223008.102ef4d4.samantha@objectent.com> On Sun, 21 Dec 2003 20:03:45 -0800 (PST) Mike Lorrey wrote: > > --- Damien Broderick wrote: > > McKibben draws upon the wisdom of the extropian list thus: > > > > `On the bulletin boards of the Web, you can find zealous > > "transhumanists" > > not just explaining how the world will evolve past our species, but > > also debating questions like whether it's morally necessary to kill > > "Luddites" who stand in the way of such progress: > > snip a quote of what was probably one of my posts.... It was floated as at least a "discussion point" by a few people at different times. > > > I recall pointing out at the time how this would come back to bite > > us on the arse. > > And I seem to recall saying, and if I didn't, I'll say it now: Only a > freakin luddite would consider *saving* billions of human lives to be > 'violence'... (of course, because those billions of humans would wind > up doing violence to the pretty trees and fuzzy animals...) > Violence is violence. That violence is sometimes necessary does not make not so. History is painted with the blood of those killed for the sake of a "noble ideal". It behooves us to be very vigilant in not falling into this pattern . What is required is that those with the vision to create a worthwhile future have the freedom to do so. That freedom sometimes have to resort to force. But it is not true, never has been true and never works to kill of a large enough number of those who do not think like you in order to supposedly make the world a better place. Would it not be a lot more fruitful to concentrate on what you wish to build, sell the hell out of it, and only last of all insist on the right to pursue your dreams, defendable if need by by arms? Why start out planning to kill off the "luddites"? How the hell do you expect to keep even those of dream of similar world much less convert anyone to the cause if you lead with death to everyone you judge to ! be in your way? This loses big. > I seem to recall that there have been people killed by luddite violence > and not a one of the perps, I am sure, ever debated the issue, or > thought to think of it as an ethical issue worthy of debate. Nobody > here did public protest against these deaths. > I have no idea what this blurry accusation has to do with the question at hand. > And while I've been trying to raise the warnings, people round these > parts have been mighty complacent while the gummint goes about enacting > the luddite agenda and people like McKibben gain popular renown without > answer from our side. > It is true that people are overly complacent. But threatening luddites in general or specific ones with death directly or by implications is not the way. > If any sort of violence is not warranted, then what is the excuse for > the complete and total inaction of the people on this list??? There is > a broad range of possible reponses between apathy and violence. Nobody > here has taken a one. > No one? Nothing at all? Or nothing you are aware of or that meets your approval? What actions short of violence do you advocate? -s From samantha at objectent.com Fri Dec 26 06:40:21 2003 From: samantha at objectent.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 22:40:21 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already In-Reply-To: <20031222152955.69686.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> References: <12DC51CA-347C-11D8-AC6A-000A95B18568@antipope.org> <20031222152955.69686.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20031225224021.4d08cc76.samantha@objectent.com> On Mon, 22 Dec 2003 07:29:55 -0800 (PST) Mike Lorrey wrote: > > You guys getting published are certainly doing your part on the > propaganda front, no doubt. My ire is reserved more for the armchair > extropians. > Wouldn't it be a sad world if you had no target at all on which to vent your ire? > > > > What are *you* doing to help us establish what the Trotskyites would > > call a Popular Front? > > I'm building the Free State. Don't you know that NH is the number one > escape destination for people moving out of both Massachusetts AND the > Bay Area/Silicon Valley??? Revolutionary Theory says no insurgency can > survive without support from a sheltered base. New Hampshire is the > place where transhumanists will be able to get trans'ed without luddite interference. Exactly how does that follow? The US is not exactly prone to honor state initiatives and decisions that goes against federal wishes. If we are planning to secede then I suggest that Alaska, with its separation from the continental landmass, would be a far better choice. Exactly how can we make NH significantly "sheltered"? - s From samantha at objectent.com Fri Dec 26 06:47:28 2003 From: samantha at objectent.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Thu, 25 Dec 2003 22:47:28 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already In-Reply-To: <5.2.1.1.2.20031222111720.020c05b8@mail.gmu.edu> References: <20031222040345.31503.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> <20031222040345.31503.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> <5.2.1.1.2.20031222111720.020c05b8@mail.gmu.edu> Message-ID: <20031225224728.0e5bebe0.samantha@objectent.com> On Mon, 22 Dec 2003 14:33:52 -0500 Robin Hanson wrote: > I have mixed feelings about the role of science fiction here. If we were > sure no one else would look at these topics, we should certainly be glad > that at least science fiction looked at them. But I constantly run into > academics whose reason for ignoring these issues is because "that's science > fiction." Now perhaps they would still say that if there were not actual > science fiction novels about these topics. But it does seem that the fact > that some scenario is popular in science fiction is often taken as a reason > not to consider it in "serious" discussions about the future. To me the greatest virtue of science fiction is raising the vision and imagination to what the future can be, what dangers we may face and get the minds of the readers focused on more than what is right in front of them. When the imagination is open then new possibilities can be presented, new questions can be asked. > > Science fiction authors are well aware of the may biases that are > introduced into their future scenarios due to the need to have an > entertaining story. Academia has its own biases, but my guess is that they > are not as bad. > It is not the purpose of science fiction to write a bias free analysis nor of any fiction. But science fiction can fire up hearts and minds, especially young ones of whatever age, in ways that academia very seldom acheives. - samantha From eugen at leitl.org Fri Dec 26 12:31:55 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Fri, 26 Dec 2003 13:31:55 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: <20031225220134.6ffb5a37.samantha@objectent.com> References: <3FE3D772.3080401@mindspring.com> <20031220131057.GX21411@leitl.org> <3FE4A927.5020109@mindspring.com> <3FE4B120.4020904@barrera.org> <20031225220134.6ffb5a37.samantha@objectent.com> Message-ID: <20031226123155.GH32264@leitl.org> On Thu, Dec 25, 2003 at 10:01:34PM -0800, Samantha Atkins wrote: > So why is Windows so important to you? Presumably, because if you're a contractor it's easier to get clients if you also support Windows. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From charlie at antipope.org Fri Dec 26 13:20:28 2003 From: charlie at antipope.org (Charlie Stross) Date: Fri, 26 Dec 2003 13:20:28 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already In-Reply-To: <000501c3cb02$33747870$6701a8c0@GREYBOOK> References: <000501c3cb02$33747870$6701a8c0@GREYBOOK> Message-ID: <46288406-37A6-11D8-AFA2-000A95B18568@antipope.org> On 25 Dec 2003, at 16:14, Matus wrote: > To make this a more directly extropic conversation then, lets attempt > to > define extropy. Charlie asserts that how many people are alive (or > were > killed) is a measurement of extropy. No I don't. What I assert is that maximizing the entropy of the folks next door is not a positive contribution to extropy. Nor does diverting huge quantities of time, energy and resources into (a) displays of territorial primate aggression or (b) killing other people seem extropic. Note that these are all framed as negatives. *Refraining* from killing people isn't extropic behaviour in and of itself; it's just that *killing* people is anti-extropian, as I see it. Note also that I'm going to concede the self-defense argument before you even bring it up, on the grounds that self-defense is usually a lesser evil than whatever is being defended against. I would like to note, however, that a gram of prevention is worth a ton of after-the-fact self-defense.) > So for an action (I'll drop 'war' out of the discussion and just leave > it as an action) to be extropic it must result in a net increase in one > or many of the above criteria. But what if one part increases, and > another decreases? E.g. There are more intelligent people alive, but > they have no capacity for improvement (strict oppressive statism), I'm going to dispute the last three words in that extract. A point that doesn't get a lot of examination, and that we *really* need to think about, is that dictatorships and revolutionary governments seem to have a half-life of a decade or so, whereas democracies seem to endure for a much longer time. Think I'm joking? Think again. The USSR -- with a solid ideological base _and_ an external threat, collapsed from inside in just 73 years. Its eastern European satellites didn't even last that long, falling apart in under 45 years. China is still nominally communist but today bears very little resemblance to the China of 1977. Spain under the butcher Franco lasted 38 years, while Portugal, Greece, and Serbia under Milosevic didn't make it to 20. Iran, at 24 years, seems to be in the grip of an internal power struggle between a democratic opposition and the ageing totalitarian thugs who seized power after the Shah. Myanmar under the SLORC is showing signs of unstability at the 20-year mark. Argentina (1976?-82) and Chile (1974-1987?) barely made it past their decade, and a lot of tyrannies break down before then. The point I'd like to make is that even a stable dictatorship -- one which defeats its external and internal enemies and institutes a reign of repression -- finds it very difficult to cling on to power past the working life of the guy at the top. Successful dictatorships run by a party or cadre may last longer, but still tend to crumble as the youngest of the leading cadre grow elderly. The Soviet Union tried to establish an ideology-based system as solid as the Catholic Church ... and barely survived for an extra generation. The evidence seems to support a hypothesis: governments stabilized by force (dictatorships) do not survive once the source of force (the will of the creators of the system) is withdrawn, and are therefore restricted by current human lifespans. In contrast, democracies seem to be self-stabilizing and don't show the same degree of instability within the same time period as a human life. (Opponents who, in a dictatorship, would be definitively excluded from power can, in a democracy, aspire to join in the game and wait for a change in public opinion to bring them to power. Thus, opposition to the entire system of government is deprived of people who would potentially be its best activists.) Whew. Long digression. > or > conversely, what if there are fewer intelligent people around, but they > had a much greater capacity for improvement, is that extropic? Maybe, but it's also elitist -- and potentially dangerous. ("All those with an IQ of less than 180, into the computronium rendering hoppers!") -- Charlie From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Fri Dec 26 14:02:50 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Sat, 27 Dec 2003 01:02:50 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] BIO: Stem Cell Genes References: <002001c3ca6d$8f41dc50$6501a8c0@dimension> <00a701c3cb4c$e47483a0$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> <00d301c3cb4d$30f26c60$6501a8c0@dimension> Message-ID: <006301c3cbb8$f2e1a140$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> > > Rafal Smigrodzki wrote: > ### Oh, the technology is patented already (as a preliminary > patent) and will be described in articles soon, but it will take > years before its clinical application. I really can't say anything > more. "Preliminary patent" seems like slightly confused lay-speak to me. I don't think there is any legally significant subset in the set of all US patents that is meaningful referred to as "preliminary". I think the process that would be used in the circumstance you've 'outlined' would have been a provisional application for patent. Such a thing can result in a patent but isn't one. I can see how that sort of process might get thought of as and expressed as a "preliminary patent" in lay-speak but the only other person I've heard use "preliminary patent" as though it was a type of patent was another Exi-list poster. Either I'm missing a term in the US IP vocabulary (which is possible but I couldn't find it at the United States Patent and Trademark Office http://www.uspto.gov/web/offices/pac/provapp.htm and its not used in the biotech conference I've attended) or some Exi-listers are using and passing on a sort of confusing lay-speak in relation to patents. If so thats not a good thing and should stop. Is "preliminary patent" a valid legal phrase in the US or is it some sort of lay-speak for ? Regards, Brett Paatsch From thespike at earthlink.net Fri Dec 26 20:19:24 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Fri, 26 Dec 2003 14:19:24 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] BIO: Stem Cell Genes References: <002001c3ca6d$8f41dc50$6501a8c0@dimension><00a701c3cb4c$e47483a0$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au><00d301c3cb4d$30f26c60$6501a8c0@dimension> <006301c3cbb8$f2e1a140$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: <007b01c3cbed$929dab00$d9994a43@texas.net> From: "Brett Paatsch" Sent: Friday, December 26, 2003 8:02 AM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] BIO: Stem Cell Genes [Rafal Smigrodzki wrote:] > > ### Oh, the technology is patented already (as a preliminary > > patent) > "Preliminary patent" seems like slightly confused lay-speak to me. > I think the process that would be used in the circumstance you've > 'outlined' would have been a provisional application for patent. My JD legal adviser informs me that `provisional patent' is indeed what Rafal would be writing about. Meanwhile, here's an interesting patent that was granted more than two and half years ago. It'll fix hangnails, cancer, migrims, Alzheimers, and a gallon or two should have your car running like new. :) http://patft.uspto.gov/netacgi/nph-Parser?Sect1=PTO1&Sect2=HITOFF&d=PALL&p=1 &u=/netahtml/srchnum.htm&r=1&f=G&l=50&s1=6,268,398.WKU.&OS=PN/6,268,398&RS=P N/6,268,398 Compounds and methods for treating mitochondria-associated diseases Abstract Compounds, compositions and methods are disclosed for treating mitochondria-associated diseases, such as cancer, psoriasis, stroke, Alzheimer's Disease and diabetes. The compounds of this invention have structure (I) below, including stereoisomers, prodrugs and pharmaceutically acceptable salts thereof, wherein Ar and L are as defined herein. The methods of this invention are directed to treating a mitochondria-associated disease by administering to a warm-blooded animal in need thereof an effective amount of a compound of structure (I), typically in the form of a pharmaceutical composition. ##STR1## ....... a sample from the lengthy text: < Oxidatively stressed mitochondria may release a pre-formed soluble factor that can induce chromosomal condensation, an event preceding apoptosis (Marchetti et al., Cancer Res. 56:2033-38, 1996). In addition, members of the Bcl-2 family of anti-apoptosis gene products are located within the outer mitochondrial membrane (Monaghan et al., J. Histochem. Cytochem. 40:1819-25, 1992) and these proteins appear to protect membranes from oxidative stress (Korsmeyer et al, Biochim. Biophys. Act. 1271:63, 1995). Localization of Bcl-2 to this membrane appears to be indispensable for modulation of apoptosis (Nguyen et al., J. Biol. Chem. 269:16521-24, 1994). Thus, changes in mitochondrial physiology may be important mediators of apoptosis. To the extent that apoptotic cell death is a prominent feature of neuronal loss in AD. mitochondrial dysfunction may be critical to the progression of this disease and may also be a contributing factor in other mitochondria associated diseases. Focal defects in energy metabolism in the mitochondria, with accompanying increases in oxidative stress, may be associated with AD. > etc etc Damien Broderick From megao at sasktel.net Fri Dec 26 21:27:18 2003 From: megao at sasktel.net (Extropian Agroforestry Ventures Inc.) Date: Fri, 26 Dec 2003 15:27:18 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] weak and non-functional estrogens-mitokor-com References: <002001c3ca6d$8f41dc50$6501a8c0@dimension> <00a701c3cb4c$e47483a0$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> <00d301c3cb4d$30f26c60$6501a8c0@dimension> <006301c3cbb8$f2e1a140$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> <007b01c3cbed$929dab00$d9994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <3FECA7B6.839EE128@sasktel.net> Will go get their SEC filings and find out more about them Still reading but it fits... weak estrogens have been useful beyond the traditional hormone function. Example- Estriol It has weak estrogenic, immunomodulatory as well as antioxidant properties. @MitoKor.com Compounds MitoKor's drug development efforts include estrogen and novel, non-feminizing, polycyclic phenolic estrogen analogs, that protect cells and mitochondria under the pathological conditions occurring during a stroke or myocardial infarction. MitoKor has entered into a strategic alliance with Wyeth Corporation related to the development of estrogens and estrogen-like compounds for treatment of Alzheimer's disease. Wyeth is funding a Phase III clinical trial evaluating the use of estrogens in the prevention and treatment of Alzheimer's disease in post-menopausal women. This trial is part of the Women's Health Initiative Study, and has enrolled over 7,500 women. MitoKor has also successfully completed a Phase I clinical trial of a non-feminizing estrogen analog. Damien Broderick wrote: > From: "Brett Paatsch" > Sent: Friday, December 26, 2003 8:02 AM > Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] BIO: Stem Cell Genes > > [Rafal Smigrodzki wrote:] > > > ### Oh, the technology is patented already (as a preliminary > > > patent) > > > "Preliminary patent" seems like slightly confused lay-speak to me. > > I think the process that would be used in the circumstance you've > > 'outlined' would have been a provisional application for patent. > > My JD legal adviser informs me that `provisional patent' is indeed what > Rafal would be writing about. > > Meanwhile, here's an interesting patent that was granted more than two and > half years ago. It'll fix hangnails, cancer, migrims, Alzheimers, and a > gallon or two should have your car running like new. :) > > http://patft.uspto.gov/netacgi/nph-Parser?Sect1=PTO1&Sect2=HITOFF&d=PALL&p=1 > &u=/netahtml/srchnum.htm&r=1&f=G&l=50&s1=6,268,398.WKU.&OS=PN/6,268,398&RS=P > N/6,268,398 > > Compounds and methods for treating mitochondria-associated diseases > > Abstract > Compounds, compositions and methods are disclosed for treating > mitochondria-associated diseases, such as cancer, psoriasis, stroke, > Alzheimer's Disease and diabetes. The compounds of this invention have > structure (I) below, including stereoisomers, prodrugs and pharmaceutically > acceptable salts thereof, wherein Ar and L are as defined herein. The > methods of this invention are directed to treating a mitochondria-associated > disease by administering to a warm-blooded animal in need thereof an > effective amount of a compound of structure (I), typically in the form of a > pharmaceutical composition. ##STR1## > > ....... > a sample from the lengthy text: > > < Oxidatively stressed mitochondria may release a pre-formed soluble factor > that can induce chromosomal condensation, an event preceding apoptosis > (Marchetti et al., Cancer Res. 56:2033-38, 1996). In addition, members of > the Bcl-2 family of anti-apoptosis gene products are located within the > outer mitochondrial membrane (Monaghan et al., J. Histochem. Cytochem. > 40:1819-25, 1992) and these proteins appear to protect membranes from > oxidative stress (Korsmeyer et al, Biochim. Biophys. Act. 1271:63, 1995). > Localization of Bcl-2 to this membrane appears to be indispensable for > modulation of apoptosis (Nguyen et al., J. Biol. Chem. 269:16521-24, 1994). > Thus, changes in mitochondrial physiology may be important mediators of > apoptosis. To the extent that apoptotic cell death is a prominent feature of > neuronal loss in AD. mitochondrial dysfunction may be critical to the > progression of this disease and may also be a contributing factor in other > mitochondria associated diseases. > > Focal defects in energy metabolism in the mitochondria, with accompanying > increases in oxidative stress, may be associated with AD. > etc etc > > Damien Broderick > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From megao at sasktel.net Fri Dec 26 21:40:40 2003 From: megao at sasktel.net (Extropian Agroforestry Ventures Inc.) Date: Fri, 26 Dec 2003 15:40:40 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] MitoKor- deferral of public offering Message-ID: <3FECAAD8.44CEC716@sasktel.net> MitoKor, Inc. 11494 Sorrento Valley Road San Diego, California 92121 (858) 793-7800 March 24, 2003 VIA EDGAR TRANSMISSION Attn: Jeffrey P. Reidler, Assistant Director Suzanne Purdy, Examiner Securities and Exchange Commission Judiciary Plaza 450 Fifth Street, N.W. Washington, D.C. 20549 RE: MITOKOR, INC.?REQUEST TO WITHDRAW REGISTRATION STATEMENT ON FORM S-1 (FILE NO. 333-84050)?ORIGINALLY FILED ON MARCH 8, 2002 Ladies and Gentlemen: MitoKor, Inc. (the "Company") hereby requests, pursuant to Rule 477 of Regulation C of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, (the "Securities Act"), that the registration statement on Form S-1, including all exhibits thereto (File No. 333-84050, as amended), as originally filed by the Company with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the "Commission") on March 8, 2002 (the "Registration Statement") be withdrawn effective immediately. The Company is withdrawing the Registration Statement because of unfavorable market conditions. There was no circulation of preliminary prospectuses in connection with the proposed offering, the Registration Statement was not declared effective by the Commission, and none of the Company's securities were sold pursuant to the Registration Statement. The Company may undertake a subsequent private offering in reliance on Rule 155(c) of the Securities Act. The Company requests that the Commission consent to this application on the grounds that the withdrawal of the Registration Statement is consistent with the public interest and the protection of investors, as contemplated by paragraph (a) of Rule 477. Please provide the Company a facsimile copy of the order consenting to the withdrawal of the Registration Statement as soon as it is available. The facsimile number of the Company is (858) 793-7805. Should you have any questions regarding this matter, please contact the undersigned at (858) 793-7800, or Christian Waage of Gray Cary Ware & Freidenrich LLP at (858) 677-1418. Sincerely, /S/ WALTER H. MOOS, PH.D. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Walter H. Moos, Ph.D. Chief Executive Officer cc: Scott Stanton, Esq.?Gray Cary Ware & Freidenrich LLP Paul E. Hurlburt, NASDAQ National Stock Market, Inc. From bradbury at aeiveos.com Sat Dec 27 00:14:28 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Fri, 26 Dec 2003 16:14:28 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] MitoKor- deferral of public offering In-Reply-To: <3FECAAD8.44CEC716@sasktel.net> Message-ID: With regard to MitoKor. They made a presentation at the AGE meeting in June 2002. The evidence they presented suggested that estrogen (or its analogues) were effective antioxidants/free radical sinks within the mitochondria. This of course explains why in general women live longer than men. Of course from a therapy standpoint the question becomes why should one pay $XXX for an estrogen related drug vs. $YYY (<< $XXX) for estrogen itself. The MitoKor executives were very up-front in their presentations that even though the felt they had compounds that were more effective than estrogen they felt the investment/drug approval climate made it pointless to attempt to pursue them. Robert From rafal at smigrodzki.org Sat Dec 27 02:20:14 2003 From: rafal at smigrodzki.org (Rafal Smigrodzki) Date: Fri, 26 Dec 2003 21:20:14 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] BIO: Stem Cell Genes References: <002001c3ca6d$8f41dc50$6501a8c0@dimension><00a701c3cb4c$e47483a0$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au><00d301c3cb4d$30f26c60$6501a8c0@dimension> <006301c3cbb8$f2e1a140$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: <013601c3cc1f$f7138550$6501a8c0@dimension> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Brett Paatsch" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Friday, December 26, 2003 9:02 AM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] BIO: Stem Cell Genes > > > Rafal Smigrodzki wrote: > > > ### Oh, the technology is patented already (as a preliminary > > patent) and will be described in articles soon, but it will take > > years before its clinical application. I really can't say anything > > more. > > "Preliminary patent" seems like slightly confused lay-speak to me. > I don't think there is any legally significant subset in the set of all > US patents that is meaningful referred to as "preliminary". ### Yes, you are right, I meant provisional patents. Sorry for the confusion. Rafal From rafal at smigrodzki.org Sat Dec 27 02:29:11 2003 From: rafal at smigrodzki.org (Rafal Smigrodzki) Date: Fri, 26 Dec 2003 21:29:11 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] MitoKor- deferral of public offering References: Message-ID: <014401c3cc21$37331eb0$6501a8c0@dimension> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Robert J. Bradbury" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Friday, December 26, 2003 7:14 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] MitoKor- deferral of public offering > > With regard to MitoKor. They made a presentation at the AGE > meeting in June 2002. The evidence they presented > suggested that estrogen (or its analogues) were effective > antioxidants/free radical sinks within the mitochondria. > > This of course explains why in general women live longer > than men. Of course from a therapy standpoint the question > becomes why should one pay $XXX for an estrogen related > drug vs. $YYY (<< $XXX) for estrogen itself. > > The MitoKor executives were very up-front in their presentations > that even though the felt they had compounds that were more > effective than estrogen they felt the investment/drug approval > climate made it pointless to attempt to pursue them. ### My boss, the founder of MitoKor, says he will buy an airplane for himself if they finally go public, but he doesn't have much hope for it. MitoKor was ready for IPO twice already, but they keep deferring. Well, small surprise, after the pseudogene debacle, the biotech stock crash, and being run by chemists rather than mito researchers. Rafal From megao at sasktel.net Sat Dec 27 02:30:12 2003 From: megao at sasktel.net (Extropian Agroforestry Ventures Inc.) Date: Fri, 26 Dec 2003 20:30:12 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] MitoKor- patent References: Message-ID: <3FECEEB4.BAE1376F@sasktel.net> The prospectus is 133 pages so have not read it all but i see 52 million was spent pre-filing may 2002, with over 20 million in reserve at that time. Given that the male 50% of the population have to rely on phytosterols, isoflavones and not estrogens to compensate and that the weak estrogens , while relatively cheap (about 100$/month) are not gnerally accepted by HMO's for anything beyond HRT it seems that a market would exist. I see the logic that if 20-30 analogues each targeted to an orphan preventive market must each go through the full cost of pre-market development and ramp-up costs it represents a formidable cost without a proven market acceptance. The add on functional groups might allow for novel All-In-One-Molecule combinatorial chemistry. In theory, for example , the piracetam molecule could make for a candidate as a "Linker Moiety L" ********************************************* 6,268,398......... Briefly stated, the present invention is directed to the treatment of mitochondria-associated diseases by administration to a warm-blooded animal in need thereof an effective amount of a compound having the following general structure (I): ##STR2## where Ar is phenyl or naphthyl optionally substituted with 1 to 5 R.sub.2 groups and L is an optional linker moiety. In one embodiment, Ar is phenyl, naphthyl, 4-bromonaphthyl, 3,5-di-t-butyl-4-hydroxyphenyl, 2-methoxy-4-carboxylphenyl, 2-chloro-4-carboxyl-5-methoxyphenyl 3,5-di-tetrafluoromethylphenyl, 3,5-difluorophenyl, 3,4,5-trimethoxyphenyl, 4-n-hexoxyphenyl, 4-fluorophenyl, 3-tri fluorophenyl, 2-carbinolphenyl, 2-chloro-5-methylphenyl, 3-carboxylphenyl, 3-carboxyl-4-hydroxyphenyl, 2-methyl-4-carboxylphenyl, 4-methoxyphenyl, 2-hydroxyphenyl, 4-(N-morphinol)phenyl, 3,4-dihydroxyphenyl, 2,4-dimethylphenyl, 2-methyl-4-hydroxyphenyl, 4-n-octylphenyl, 2-hydroxy-5-n-octylphenyl, 4-chlorophenyl, or 2-methyl-4-chlorophenyl. In another embodiment the optional linker moiety L is not present, while in a further embodiment L is present and is --CH.sub.2 NH--, --CH.sub.2 CH.sub.2, --CH(OH)CH.sub.2 --, --CH.sub.2 N(CH.sub.3)-- or --NHC(.dbd.NH)--. In still further embodiments, methods are disclosed for treating mitochondria-associated diseases by administering one or more compounds of structure (I) in the form of a pharmaceutical composition. Thus, pharmaceutical compositions are also disclosed comprising a compound of structure (I) in combination with a pharmaceutically acceptable carrier or diluent. In the context of this invention, mitochondria-associated disease include diseases in which free radical mediated oxidative injury leads to tissue degeneration. diseases in which cells inappropriately undergo apoptosis, and diseases in which cells fail to undergo apoptosis. Thus. the methods of this invention include the treatment of a wide number of mitochondria-associated diseases. including (but not limited to Alzheimer's Disease, Parkinson's Disease, Huntington's Disease, auto-immune disease, diabetes mellitus (Type I or Type II), congenital muscular dystrophy, fatal infantile myopathy, "later-onset" myopathy, MELAS (mitochondrial encephalopathy, lactic acidosis, and stroke), MIDD (mitochondrial diabetes and deafness), MERFF (myoclonic epilepsy ragged red fiber syndrome), arthritis, NARP (Neuropathy; Ataxia; Retinitis Pigmentosa), MNGIE (Myopathy and external ophthalmoplegia; Neuropathy; Gastro-Intestinal; Encephalopathy), LNION (Leber's; Hereditary; Optic; Neuropathy), Kearns-Sayre disease, Pearson's Syndrome, PEO (Progressive External Ophthalmoplegia), Wolfram syndrome, DIDMOAD (Diabetes Insipidus, Diabetes Mellitus, Optic Atrophy, Deafness), Leigh's Syndrome, dystonia, schizophrenia, cancer and psoriasis. **************************************** Have not looked to see if or how the intellectual property was dispersed. There seems to be at least 52 million of recapturable IP possible. The website is still up but there are no SEC filings aside from the IPO withdrawal letter of May 2003. History shows that very useful orphan compounds have been overlooked before. Piracetam was an orphan since 1973 until an new analogue levetiracetam began to roll out majorly after 2000. Levamisole was an orphan in 1970 and still is, in spite of analogues showing up in the late 90's. ************************************ "Robert J. Bradbury" wrote: > With regard to MitoKor. They made a presentation at the AGE > meeting in June 2002. The evidence they presented > suggested that estrogen (or its analogues) were effective > antioxidants/free radical sinks within the mitochondria. > > This of course explains why in general women live longer > than men. Of course from a therapy standpoint the question > becomes why should one pay $XXX for an estrogen related > drug vs. $YYY (<< $XXX) for estrogen itself. > > The MitoKor executives were very up-front in their presentations > that even though the felt they had compounds that were more > effective than estrogen they felt the investment/drug approval > climate made it pointless to attempt to pursue them. > > Robert > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Sat Dec 27 03:16:48 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Sat, 27 Dec 2003 14:16:48 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] BIO: Stem Cell Genes References: <002001c3ca6d$8f41dc50$6501a8c0@dimension> <00a701c3cb4c$e47483a0$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> <00d301c3cb4d$30f26c60$6501a8c0@dimension> <006301c3cbb8$f2e1a140$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> <013601c3cc1f$f7138550$6501a8c0@dimension> Message-ID: <012901c3cc27$ddb7b1a0$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Rafal Smigrodzki wrote: > > > ### Oh, the technology is patented already (as a preliminary > > > patent) and will be described in articles soon, but it will take > > > years before its clinical application. I really can't say anything > > > more. > > > > "Preliminary patent" seems like slightly confused lay-speak to me. > > I don't think there is any legally significant subset in the set of all > > US patents that is meaningful referred to as "preliminary". > > ### Yes, you are right, I meant provisional patents. Sorry for the > confusion. Thanks for clarifying. I often find your posts to be amongst the best to read. You seem to appreciate the importance of intellectual property and to be genuinely engaged with the technology. I'm am concerned however that all extropes and transhumanist may have a little bit too much of the all-too-human in us for our own good - and I include myself in that. I mean that I think we try and kid ourselves a bit about how easy things are, we are tempted to go for sugar coated solutions that we don't have to work quite so hard to achieve. It can be hard to loose the illusions of childhood and when we do we often seem to want to just replace them with better ones. But clear thinking matters. It matters if we are going to get to drink better than mirage water. Regards, Brett From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Sat Dec 27 04:37:53 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Sat, 27 Dec 2003 15:37:53 +1100 Subject: [Extropy-chat] Nanosystems or some chapters of it available online? Message-ID: <014b01c3cc33$312c6fa0$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Following an offlist conversation I recently took another look at my hardcopy version of Nanosystems (published 1992). Specifically I was looking at Table 16.1 "Differences between proposed generations of mechanosynthetic assembly systems." Table 16.1 outlines 4 stages on a route toward mature molecular nanotechnology, with Stage 1, being the closest to technology that is available now (or rather, and this is part of my point, available to 1992 or thereabouts - when Eric Drexler wrote Nanosystems). Smalley v Drexler has raised interest and I'd expect that some folk will go looking to see if they can find Nanosystems (the magnus opus) online. At present if they do what I did and google on nanosystems they will find their way to Zyvex and the promise that some chapters of Nanosystems (published by Wiley and sons 1998) are newly available online. Then unless they are better at finding these chapters than I am - they won't find them. This would seem to be a pity. Can anyone else locate chapters of Nanosystems (say chapters of a 1998 edition) online? I was specifically interested to see if what Drexler talked about in relation to (atomic force microscop-(y)) AFM-based molecular manipulation (his Stage 1) changed or was developed at all between 1992 and 1998. I was also interested to see if he'd updated references to accomodate scientific advances since 1992. Perhaps it would be worth making the early paths onto the ramp that leads from standard "mainstream" science to molecular nanotechnology as smooth as possible by having it (a) up to date (this not need be done by Drexler himself - but perhaps he'd want to oversee it) and (b) accessible online. The 1992 chapter 15 stuff talks about synthetic amino acids, and about protein folding and prediction. I know that there have been some substantial developments in these areas since 1992. Just a thought. If I'd gotten my act together better I might have posted this to foresight or nanodot which I sometimes read but haven't posted too. If there is merit in any of it some friend of foresight may pass it on. Regards, Brett From bradbury at aeiveos.com Sat Dec 27 05:23:34 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Fri, 26 Dec 2003 21:23:34 -0800 (PST) Subject: [Extropy-chat] Nanosystems or some chapters of it available online? In-Reply-To: <014b01c3cc33$312c6fa0$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: j On Sat, 27 Dec 2003, Brett Paatsch wrote: > Can anyone else locate chapters of Nanosystems (say > chapters of a 1998 edition) online? To the best of my knowledge Nanosystems is not currently online (in contrast to some other books such as Engines of Creation or Unbounding the Future). Though part of Nanosystems appears to be in the Amazon full text database (at least the Glossary though perhaps not Chapter 16). Raises an interesting question of whether people could drive into an online status chapters that might promote book sales that would make publishers happy... > Perhaps it would be worth making the early paths > onto the ramp that leads from standard "mainstream" science > to molecular nanotechnology as smooth as possible by having > it (a) up to date (this not need be done by Drexler himself - but > perhaps he'd want to oversee it) and (b) accessible online. Some of this is being done by Robert Freitas in the various Nanomedicine volumes which Robert is trying to make available online in a joint paper/electronic publishing process. It is a difficult balancing act. I would agree that there is not an up-to-date online status report with respect to nanotechnologyy unfortunately. It would be nice if we had one. It is not however a showstopper that one is not available. > The 1992 chapter 15 stuff talks about synthetic amino acids, and > about protein folding and prediction. I know that there have been > some substantial developments in these areas since 1992. Yep. I cover some of this in my Protein Based Assembly of Nanoscale Parts (which is available online). > Just a thought. If I'd gotten my act together better I might have > posted this to foresight or nanodot which I sometimes read but > haven't posted too. If there is merit in any of it some friend of > foresight may pass it on. It is reasonable to suggest a revised edition of Nanosystems given that it is over a decade old. Perhaps incorporationg a detailed analysis of objections to mechanosynthesis and refutations. Write a letter to Christine Peterson at Foresight.org. Robert From bradbury at aeiveos.com Sat Dec 27 05:39:29 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Fri, 26 Dec 2003 21:39:29 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] BIO: Stem Cell Genes In-Reply-To: <012901c3cc27$ddb7b1a0$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: On Sat, 27 Dec 2003, Brett Paatsch wrote: > I mean that I think we try and kid ourselves a bit about how easy > things are, we are tempted to go for sugar coated solutions that we > don't have to work quite so hard to achieve. No no no. Its never easy -- I've clearly been in situations where resources made it appear easy in current time only much to my regret make it clear that it was difficult in the future. You should always assume changing the meme set is going to be very very difficult. However the rewards (be they saving humanity or millions of potentially future extropic lives) would seem to justify the effort. This raises an interesting point (which trails back into the recent points made by Matus) -- Is an extropian fundamentally going aginst their programming? Is promoting the survival of another individual with better knowledge/ meme sets a better strategy than promoting the survival of oneself? [Begs a strong issue of if ones self survival probability is low whether one should transfer that interest to ones offspring or humanity in general.] For a decade or more I've seen people running around declaring themselves to be extropians -- but I have yet to see a reasonable definition of how one breaks this down when push comes to shove. Simply put -- where do I get in line for the lifeboats being lowered from the Titanic? Robert From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Sat Dec 27 08:00:32 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Sat, 27 Dec 2003 19:00:32 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Crab politics. Was BIO: Stem Cell Genes References: Message-ID: <019901c3cc4f$80514bc0$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Robert J. Bradbury wrote: > On Sat, 27 Dec 2003, Brett Paatsch wrote: > > > I mean that I think we try and kid ourselves a bit about > > how easy things are, we are tempted to go for sugar > > coated solutions that we don't have to work quite so hard > > to achieve. I wasn't meaning to pick on extropes or transhumanists in particular I was just meaning to say that there are natural tendencies in people to kid themselves - and we ought to be as on guard against them as any others - certainly not less. Wild beliefs in singularities or cryonics or friendly AIs or molecular manufacturing -without understanding how they can be brought about in practical terms - *any* culturally propagated notion that is not understood personally and intellectually rather than just embraced emotionally can function as a disincentive to action and thought. The same action and thought that might make an actual difference. Beliefs are the luxury that cannot be afforded. About the only thing less disfunctional than belief is crazed panic. We are by my reckoning *at least* one generation short of the time when its smart to be relaxed and comfortable. Being one generation short gets you just as dead as Benjamin Franklin, or Blaise Pascal. By my reckoning no previous generation could stand to be relaxed and comfortable. Yet many of them were and perhaps they experienced relatively more peace in their lives than the non-believers - then they died. > No no no. Its never easy -- I've clearly been in situations > where resources made it appear easy in current time only > much to my regret make it clear that it was difficult in the > future. > You should always assume changing the meme set is going > to be very very difficult. Forgetting that is like forgetting gravity. You don't forget for long before hitting the ground reminds you :-) Then, if your lucky you walk away. I know its difficult. I also know it would be less difficult if there were more thinkers and fewer believers. But this side of the cut off believing rather than thinking is still selected for. > However the rewards (be they > saving humanity or millions of potentially future extropic lives) > would seem to justify the effort. I find the notion of saving "humanity" wildly abstract. The idea of saving potential future extropic lives is only appealing to me if those lives are already alive and if I know them or if they are known to people I know and so on. Sooner or later I figure just about everybody would be picked up in that manner but I don't kid myself that I will miss or feel the loss of people whos existence I was never even remotely aware of - nor they me. I don't give moral consideration to non-existent life. > This raises an interesting point (which trails back into > the recent points made by Matus) -- Is an extropian > fundamentally going aginst their programming? There is no programming. There is no design. Thats an anthropomorphism particularly favored by programmers in an era of programming. Evolution does not work by design. Its a process not a personality. > Is promoting the survival of another individual with better > knowledge/ meme sets a better strategy than promoting the > survival of oneself? Depends. By definition it is not better for oneself in the instance. > [Begs a strong issue of if ones self > survival probability is low whether one should transfer > that interest to ones offspring or humanity in general.] Thats a matter for that one in particular. I don't know what I'd do. Anything too unpleasant I'm probably biased against. Anything pleasant I say - might be purely me playing politics. Bottom line - you really can't tell for sure what I'd do, because if I told you I might be lying. Even to myself. Thats my point we (people) lie even to ourselves. Thats what makes politics so hard. The only conclusive test is the last test. > For a decade or more I've seen people running around > declaring themselves to be extropians -- but I have yet > to see a reasonable definition of how one breaks this > down when push comes to shove. > > Simply put -- where do I get in line for the lifeboats being > lowered from the Titanic? If you think your on the Titanic - that's a matter for you. You cannot make policy for other people with an expectation that they will comply. Their (and my) guesses as to what you will do are political (and what you say only influences their views it doesn't finalised them) just as yours are of what they will do. Your not on the Titanic. You have time to build boats if you want to or to run around on the cruise ship. If you do build boats those running around will distract you steal your material and finally when you get some of what you want to get done they may come along and draw lots or something to see who gets in them when the iceberg hits. If your skills are in boat building only and not the important managerial and political tasks of poll calling, number crunching and outcome fixing, you may do poorly in the getting a boat at all stakes as your job may be deemed done and your usefulness moot. Its not automatic that you'd get the call on where you get in the line. Could be that deal is already sown up in some hypothetical game played between the boat owners to amuse themselves on a sunny day on the titanic whilst others play and you work. Not everyone playing but not working is stupid. Some of them are watching you just in case. But this is bunk. Your not on the titanic. You alive in 2003 and everyone alive in 2003 rich and poor, powerful and weak has a death warrant on their head that's been there since birth and earlier. The question is whether some of us or all of us can get rid of that death warrant. You are in a bucket of crabs. The big crabs are on top and they prefer to stay there because its less uncomfortable than having another wiggling crab on your head. They'd like to be more comfortable but getting out of the scrambling bucket is beyond most of their imaginations. A few small crabs near the edges might dream of the idea but dreams are cheap and the privilege of a few lucky small crabs that are probably relatives of the larger dominant crabs. So long as those small crabs don't try and move into the terrain where the larger crabs are wrestling they play little part in crab politics. Perhaps with extraordinary coordination the crabs could form a living chain of crabs. Hoist one of their number over as that one pulled the next one and so on and they could all get out. But the crabs at the top are too busy with the crab politics of staying on top of the other crabs. Crab politics has not changed in generations. A whole lot more crab generations may have to provide carcasses to stand on before the bucket rim gets low enough for enough crabs to get wise that collusion may get them out of the bucket. But then again they are only crabs. They are not big on thinking except about staying ahead of other crabs and making little crabs. Maybe Or maybe I'm just crabby today :-) Brett From bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk Sat Dec 27 12:19:10 2003 From: bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk (BillK) Date: Sat, 27 Dec 2003 12:19:10 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] MitoKor- deferral of public offering Message-ID: <3FED78BE.2070304@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> On Fri Dec 26, 2003 05:14 pm Robert J. Bradbury wrote: > With regard to MitoKor. They made a presentation at the AGE > meeting in June 2002. The evidence they presented > suggested that estrogen (or its analogues) were effective > antioxidants/free radical sinks within the mitochondria. > > This of course explains why in general women live longer > than men. Of course from a therapy standpoint the question > becomes why should one pay $XXX for an estrogen related > drug vs. $YYY (<< $XXX) for estrogen itself. > No, it doesn't. Women live longer because they avoid the risk-taking activities of testosterone-driven males. Statistical analysis of causes of death shows that if you remove the deaths due to a high-risk lifestyle, then there is little difference between the life expectancy of men and women. Women tend to avoid things like crashing cars at high speed (especially after a few beers), not wearing seatbelts, smoking-related diseases, homicide, suicide, motor-cycles, fighting in wars, and women do not have a lifestyle that involves taking part in 'Jackass' type stunts. i.e Women don't behave like idiots - men do. BillK From fortean1 at mindspring.com Sat Dec 27 15:33:39 2003 From: fortean1 at mindspring.com (Terry W. Colvin) Date: Sat, 27 Dec 2003 08:33:39 -0700 Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD [SK] Re: PowerPoint is Evil! ...again Message-ID: <3FEDA653.E586B0E8@mindspring.com> < http://norvig.com/Gettysburg/ > [Lincoln's Gettysburg address in PowerPoint -twc] >Terry W. Colvin forwarded (from Mike Lorrey): > > > What if PowerPoint is actually making us stupider? > > > > I dispute this. Power Point is used to get the point across to the > > terminally uninterested. I recall giving talks to contractors and > > energy conservation officers about market distortions caused by > > improper implementations of conservation rebates, with very informative > > Excel generated 3 axis graphs illustrating cost-benefit thresholds and > > so forth. They used to bitch that I gave them headaches with so much > > information, at least those that did not glaze over. Then some cute > > little marketing bimbo would come in from the competitors and make a > > bunch of unsupported claims with a power point presentation full of > > bulleted lists and these guys would be yabbering her 'facts' for weeks > > afterward.... Power Point: comic books for commerce... > >--- > >This example would seem to support the premise that PP is making us >stupider, wouldn't it? >Present people with actual well substantiated facts, and they glaze over or >get headaches. Present them, instead, with a cute bulleted list of >fabrications, and they "learn" the material and repeat it. > >best, >-SW -- "Only a zit on the wart on the heinie of progress." Copyright 1992, Frank Rice Terry W. Colvin, Sierra Vista, Arizona (USA) < fortean1 at mindspring.com > Alternate: < fortean1 at msn.com > Home Page: < http://www.geocities.com/Area51/Stargate/8958/index.html > Sites: * Fortean Times * Mystic's Haven * TLCB * U.S. Message Text Formatting (USMTF) Program ------------ Member: Thailand-Laos-Cambodia Brotherhood (TLCB) Mailing List TLCB Web Site: < http://www.tlc-brotherhood.org > [Vietnam veterans, Allies, CIA/NSA, and "steenkeen" contractors are welcome.] From bradbury at aeiveos.com Sat Dec 27 17:09:28 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Sat, 27 Dec 2003 09:09:28 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] REALITY: blurs Message-ID: I'm totally clueless about such things since I do not play online games and don't own such things as a Playstation or a Gameboy... (Q.E.D. [1] I'll probably be left behind when the singularity arrives). But I found it interesting that even a Chinese court has determined that virtual holdings are subject to compensation in the case of a wrongful theft of said virtual property... Gamer wins back virtual booty in court battle New Scientist 23 Dec. 2003 http://www.newscientist.com/news/news.jsp?id=ns99994510 Robert 1. http://en2.wikipedia.org/wiki/Q.E.D. From megao at sasktel.net Sat Dec 27 17:33:45 2003 From: megao at sasktel.net (Extropian Agroforestry Ventures Inc.) Date: Sat, 27 Dec 2003 11:33:45 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] REALITY: virtual and intellectual property rights and values References: Message-ID: <3FEDC279.C6A40F6A@sasktel.net> Might this not have a kickback into the real world's intellectual property laws and valuations. Proper valuations of non-physical property are off balance sheet and hard to prove value for in disputes over ownership? "Robert J. Bradbury" wrote: > I'm totally clueless about such things since I do not > play online games and don't own such things as a > Playstation or a Gameboy... (Q.E.D. [1] I'll probably > be left behind when the singularity arrives). > > But I found it interesting that even a Chinese court > has determined that virtual holdings are subject > to compensation in the case of a wrongful theft > of said virtual property... > > Gamer wins back virtual booty in court battle > New Scientist 23 Dec. 2003 > http://www.newscientist.com/news/news.jsp?id=ns99994510 > > Robert > > 1. http://en2.wikipedia.org/wiki/Q.E.D. > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sat Dec 27 18:04:18 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sat, 27 Dec 2003 10:04:18 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] REALITY: virtual and intellectual property rights and values In-Reply-To: <3FEDC279.C6A40F6A@sasktel.net> Message-ID: <20031227180418.99377.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> Well, the article does say that gamers do sell virtual assets for real money on ebay. Such a public market mechanism should very easily establish commodity pricing of such virtual goods, and thus act as a benchmark of tangible value. --- "Extropian Agroforestry Ventures Inc." wrote: > Might this not have a kickback into the real world's intellectual > property laws and valuations. Proper valuations of non-physical > property are off balance sheet and hard to prove value for in > disputes > over ownership? > > "Robert J. Bradbury" wrote: > > > I'm totally clueless about such things since I do not > > play online games and don't own such things as a > > Playstation or a Gameboy... (Q.E.D. [1] I'll probably > > be left behind when the singularity arrives). > > > > But I found it interesting that even a Chinese court > > has determined that virtual holdings are subject > > to compensation in the case of a wrongful theft > > of said virtual property... > > > > Gamer wins back virtual booty in court battle > > New Scientist 23 Dec. 2003 > > http://www.newscientist.com/news/news.jsp?id=ns99994510 > > > > Robert > > > > 1. http://en2.wikipedia.org/wiki/Q.E.D. > > > > _______________________________________________ > > extropy-chat mailing list > > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From thespike at earthlink.net Sat Dec 27 20:04:04 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Sat, 27 Dec 2003 14:04:04 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] nanotech in Oz press References: Message-ID: <00bd01c3ccb5$e6f3f380$a7994a43@texas.net> Hey, there's this new technology on the way... who'da thunk it?! http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2003/12/27/1072308725365.html From support at imminst.org Sun Dec 28 10:29:49 2003 From: support at imminst.org (support at imminst.org) Date: Sun, 28 Dec 2003 04:29:49 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] ImmInst Update Message-ID: <3feeb09d245a4@imminst.org> CHAT: Dec 28 - *6*pm Eastern - Infinite Females (IF ) *********************** Infinite Females monthly chat, Sunday 6pm Eastern. Topic: currently open. http://www.imminst.org/infinitefemales CHAT: Dec 28 - 8pm Eastern - Rudi Hoffman, Cryonics *********************** Certified financial planner, Rudi Hoffman explores various funding options for cryonics. Rudi will also share his vision for the prospect of physical immortality. http://imminst.org/forum/index.php?s=&act=ST&f=63&t=2492 Lazarus Long on Cryonics *********************** ImmInst director, Kenneth Sills (Lazarus Long) answers questions from Joshua about the feasibility of cryonics. http://imminst.org/forum/index.php?act=ST&f=61&t=2782&hl=&s= Kenneth Silber - Answering Martin Rees *********************** New York City-based writer focused on science, technology and economics, Tech Central Station's Kenneth Silber says that he's "not so sure" about Rees' idea that we can not stay "us" over time with the prospect of immortality. http://imminst.org/forum/index.php?act=ST&f=67&t=2699&hl=&s= Support ImmInst: Full Members = 60 *********************** Receive a free copy of ?Physical Immortality? magazine and a free copy of James Halperin's best selling book "The First Immortal" Join Now: http://imminst.org/index_join.php To be removed from all of our mailing lists, click here: http://www.imminst.org/archive/mailinglists/mailinglists.php?p=mlist&rem=extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org From brian_a_lee at hotmail.com Sun Dec 28 18:09:10 2003 From: brian_a_lee at hotmail.com (Brian Alexander Lee) Date: Sun, 28 Dec 2003 13:09:10 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? References: <3FE3D772.3080401@mindspring.com><20031220131057.GX21411@leitl.org><3FE4A927.5020109@mindspring.com> <3FE4B120.4020904@barrera.org> <20031225220134.6ffb5a37.samantha@objectent.com> Message-ID: It controls 97% of the desktop and 40% of the server market. It controls the largest contingent of developers, etc etc. As a developer for hire, it's foolish to ignore Windows. BAL ----- Original Message ----- From: "Samantha Atkins" Sent: Friday, December 26, 2003 1:01 AM > So why is Windows so important to you? From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sun Dec 28 21:54:11 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sun, 28 Dec 2003 13:54:11 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] INTEL: Camel-turd-net predecessor Message-ID: <20031228215411.67762.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> Some may recall discussions a year or two ago about an idea I had for air dropping objects looking like rocks or camel turds in Afghanistan which would have visual and auditory sensors, wifi capabilities, and also the ability to be a controllable land mine. Seems that the CIA had similar ideas in Vietnam, according to Slashdot: http://slashdot.org/article.pl?sid=03/12/28/1412204&mode=thread&tid=103&tid=99 However this tiger turd device was merely for listening for activity along guerrilla trails. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From jcorb at iol.ie Mon Dec 29 00:23:15 2003 From: jcorb at iol.ie (J Corbally) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 00:23:15 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] NEWS: 'Tiger team' heads Beagle search Message-ID: <5.0.2.1.1.20031229001926.00a8b5f0@pop.iol.ie> >There is still no sign of life from the British-built Mars probe, Beagle 2. >All attempts to contact the lander with the Mars Odyssey craft in orbit >around the Red Planet and with large radio telescopes on Earth have drawn >a blank. http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/3352521.stm >Scientists have now set up a "tiger team" to work through all the possible >reasons for the lander's silence. >The small group, based at the British National Space Centre, is drawing up >a list of "blind" commands to send to Beagle that might prompt it to respond. >Both the radio telescopes at Jodrell Bank in the UK and at Stanford >University in the US listened out for Beagle late on Sunday - but with no >positive result. >Mars Odyssey will overfly the supposed landing zone on two occasions in >the next 24 hours. >But the Beagle team think their best hope of raising the robot will come >next weekend when Mars Express - the "mothership" which carried the >"pocket watch" lander to the Red Planet - gets into position to contact >its "baby". Bollocks, bollocks, bollocks.... Touchdown plus 4 days and still nothing. I am _not_ liking this. James... From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Dec 29 00:34:37 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sun, 28 Dec 2003 16:34:37 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] NEWS: 'Tiger team' heads Beagle search In-Reply-To: <5.0.2.1.1.20031229001926.00a8b5f0@pop.iol.ie> Message-ID: <20031229003437.97742.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> --- J Corbally wrote: > > >There is still no sign of life from the British-built Mars probe, > Beagle 2. > > Bollocks, bollocks, bollocks.... > > Touchdown plus 4 days and still nothing. I am _not_ liking this. Last transmissions from HMS Beagle: "I'm King of the World!!!!!" .... "Stop your grotty ice warnings and leave me alone!" ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Mon Dec 29 00:49:40 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 11:49:40 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] NEWS: 'Tiger team' heads Beagle search References: <5.0.2.1.1.20031229001926.00a8b5f0@pop.iol.ie> Message-ID: <010501c3cda5$a4483780$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> J Corbally wrote: Subject: [extropy-chat] NEWS: 'Tiger team' heads Beagle search > >There is still no sign of life from the British-built Mars probe, Beagle 2. > >All attempts to contact the lander with the Mars Odyssey craft in orbit > >around the Red Planet and with large radio telescopes on Earth have drawn > >a blank. > http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/3352521.stm > > >Scientists have now set up a "tiger team" to work through all the possible > >reasons for the lander's silence. > Bollocks, bollocks, bollocks.... > Touchdown plus 4 days and still nothing. I am _not_ liking this. It is a bummer. But what's a "Tiger team" ? What do tigers have to do with it? BTW. I get that the Beagle 2 is probably named after The Beagle that Darwin another scientist explorer was on. But if I'm not mistaken a Beagle is a breed of water-dog used for retrieving water-birds shot while hunting. Let's hope "tiger teams" solve problems better than water dogs fly :-) Regards, Brett From etcs.ret at verizon.net Mon Dec 29 01:46:27 2003 From: etcs.ret at verizon.net (stencil) Date: Sun, 28 Dec 2003 20:46:27 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Tiger Team Message-ID: <011vuv8qnk8e2omnnh9sdi2lcmhbk2vclt@4ax.com> On Mon, 29 Dec 2003 11:49:40 +1100 Brett Paatsch asked > > >Scientists have now set up a "tiger team" to work through all the > > >possible > > >reasons for the lander's silence. > > >It is a bummer. But what's a "Tiger team" ? What do tigers have > > > to do with it? Ad hoc workgroups, with limited goals and enhanced authority and budget. Earliest use of the term I can testify to was Philadelphia Naval Shipyard, ca 3Q 1978. Probably predates that by a few years, and may well have originated elsewhere. Tigers were big, in that era - sold gasoline and breakfast cereal. Also, they lurked dangerously in the jungle and, just a few years previously, beat up sumpin' fierce on unwary roundeyes. gds, hans stencil sends From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Dec 29 02:43:09 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sun, 28 Dec 2003 18:43:09 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] CO2: Danish ministry defends Lomborg In-Reply-To: <011vuv8qnk8e2omnnh9sdi2lcmhbk2vclt@4ax.com> Message-ID: <20031229024309.96350.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> http://science.slashdot.org/article.pl?sid=03/12/24/2027215&mode=thread&tid=126&tid=134 In response to the Danish Committee on Scientific Dishonesty's condemnation of Bjorn Lomborg and his arguments against the anthropogenic global warming thesis, the Danish Ministry of Science has issued a paper attacking the DCSD's lack of scientific rigor and use of improper standards in its condemnation. DMS (english summary) Paper: http://www.lomborg.com/files/Case%201650%20-%20The%20Ministry%20evaluation%20of%20DCSD.doc In addition, iGreen has posted the Sci-Am v Lomborg debates which Sci-Am has worked to suppress: http://www.igreens.org.uk/scientific_american_and_lomborg.htm Also, an abstract of a paper by my climatologist cousin, Andrew, which supports arguments that Antarctica has been ice bound since the Miocene: http://www.ume.maine.edu/iceage/Seminar/glacialgeol.htm "Title: The unique polygons and sedimentation process of a debris-covered glacier in Mullins Valley and Beacon Valley, Antarctica Andrew M. Lorrey, Dept. of Geological Sciences University of Maine Beacon Valley is located in the western Dry Valleys, Antarctica, adjacent to the East Antarctic Ice Sheet (EAIS). Three Wilsonian shallow-core glaciers are prominent and unusual features contained at the heads of Beacon Valley tributaries. These Wilsonian, or debris-covered glaciers, may represent some of the only possible modern terrestrial analogs to similar ice bodies seen on Mars. Polygons cover the surface of the debris-covered glacier that fills part of upper Beacon Valley and Mullins Valley. A survey of the polygons indicates that landforms mature with distance from the equilibrium line. The polygon morphology highlights the transport path of the buried ice in upper Beacon Valley, which can be sourced to the cirque (accumulation zone) at the head of Mullins Valley. The buried ice in upper Beacon Valley is part of a coherent, massive ice body of glacial origin. A gray diamicton is draped over the buried ice in Mullins Valley and upper Beacon Valley. It has textural and weathering characteristics akin to englacial, buried ice sediment. This diamicton is classified as a till that formed from sublimation of buried ice. The sublimation till (28% sand, 69% gravel, and 3% mud) is sorted by narrow contraction cracks in the buried ice that results in sand wedge deposits (83% sand, 11% gravel, and 6% mud). The grain-sizes that comprise sublimation till and sand wedges indicate that sediment is initially derived from sublimation of the buried ice. Deep polygon trenches develop over thermal contraction cracks in the buried ice, and create traps for wind-blown sediment (reworked sublimation till, sand wedge sediment and volcanic ash.) The tops of some contraction cracks were void of sediment, indicative of a sediment starvation. In this case, any primary volcanic ashfall could descend directly into active sand wedges. As sublimation occurs, sand wedges containing volcanic ash can slump over the sublimation till and buried ice. The stratigraphy of massive weathered sand, with stringers of volcanic ash, resting on sublimation till and buried ice is widespread in upper Beacon Valley. Because the contraction cracks and sand wedges are secondary to the buried ice, the ashes contained in them can afford a minimum age for the buried ice. This study supports the concept of the ash chronology previously used (Sugden et al., 1995) to date the buried ice at late Miocene age, and argues for persistent polar conditions in Beacon Valley since that time." -end abstract- He is currently working on using live and subfossil Kauri tree ring data collected from New Zealand's north island to extend the dedrochronological record back as far as 50,000 years. Kauri tree-ring data established to date demonstrates consistency with known El-Nino Southern Occillation records. Preliminary word from Drew says that the El Nino tree-ring record, combined with his Antarctic work, will lend to the conclusion that there is no danger of collapse of Antarctic Ice Caps with any amount of global warming that could be created by anthropic means. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From maxm at mail.tele.dk Mon Dec 29 11:00:19 2003 From: maxm at mail.tele.dk (Max M) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 12:00:19 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: References: <3FE3D772.3080401@mindspring.com><20031220131057.GX21411@leitl.org><3FE4A927.5020109@mindspring.com> <3FE4B120.4020904@barrera.org> <20031225220134.6ffb5a37.samantha@objectent.com> Message-ID: <3FF00943.4070300@mail.tele.dk> Brian Alexander Lee wrote: > As a developer for hire, it's foolish to ignore Windows. As someone who hopes to upload it is foolish to trust Windows. ;-) regards Max M Rasmussen, Denmark From eugen at leitl.org Mon Dec 29 11:14:12 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 12:14:12 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] sjbrain calcs In-Reply-To: <3FE6A614.4010502@mindspring.com> References: <3FE6A614.4010502@mindspring.com> Message-ID: <20031229111412.GV22167@leitl.org> On Mon, Dec 22, 2003 at 01:06:44AM -0700, Alan Eliasen wrote: > Can I ask what may be a silly question? Why would one build so many > little far-flung nodes instead of a more monolithic structure? So many This isn't a silly question at all. I agree with you that the designs Spike has been floating are way too dilute and too gossamer. This starts even with orbit control: you need to be able to rearrange mass in order to tilt the sail (reaction mass is right out). You can't rearrange anything in a flat 1 cm disk 1 um thin (allright, you can tile it with electrostatics-actuated tiltable MEMS mirros). > things are simpler, faster, and more efficient with a single > structure--communications, energy expenditure, time lag, that I guess I > don't see why the structure wouldn't be made much more compact. There are several limits at play here. You correctly state that one would tend to have a compact assembly of switches to minimize lag. However, there's another limit: you have to be able to cool it (even given largely reversible computing and fractal cooling channels, that's probably something in the cubic meter range at best). Hot circuitry runs at up to ~600 K, but some type of computing circuitry likes it cold -- very cold, few K. Of course you can recapture the leaks and the IR blackbody of the inner device clouds by a yet another cloud farther out. Such an object would be impossible to detect, since radiating some ~MT of energy/s but at few K and many light-min to light-hours across. > For example, let's be way overgenerous and assume each tiny node had > the computational power of a human brain (probably not possible with > only 50 billion atoms) and that it switched at a rather conservative 1 Let's say a switch+overhead takes 10^3 atoms. This is not conservative at all, and in fact rather tight. 50*10^6 switches is an insect, not a human. To pull a number from /dev/ass, I wouldn't go below a cm^3 for a node (and not above a m^3, unless it's running in a mode very close to fully reversible, so power dissipation is negligible). It takes a sail/panel several m^2 to feed it, and to provide enough photon momentum to maneuver, and you'll need some 100 m elbow room between the nodes. > THz. (We'll assume a classical architecture; it gets worse for > smarter/faster quantum computers.) This is approximately a factor of a Don't assume QC, but it's safe to assume reversible computing at least in the outer, cold device cloud. > billion times faster than the fastest neurons in the human brain can > switch. We'll oversimplify and say that each node thus "thinks" a > billion times faster than a human brain. I wouldn't postulate 10^9, but 10^6 speedup is conservative, imo. Basically you're having a ~ns time scale for processes which take ~ms in biology. ~ps switching at high device density and nontrivial operation complexity is probably pushing the envelope a bit. > Now, I've talked to people on the other side of the world on the > phone, and the satellite lags were very noticeable and confusing. We'd Relativistic lag takes getting used to. I've had lag up to a minute on VoIP, now that was really confusing (especially, if the lag varies, and you don't know how long it is right now) > pause too long, interpret silences as reticence, or feel we had said > something wrong, and then both people would start talking at the same > time, only to interrupt each other a half-second later, and then stop > and start over again. And that's a fraction of a second delay. > > Communicating with someone with a one-minute lag would probably be > pretty inefficient and painful. It is very doable. In practice, there will be clustering of units which need to talk frequently, the algorithm to compute next direction of the hop is very simple. > Now, when you have a node that's a billion times faster, and you're Let's say a million. > communicating over even a light-second distance, that's an infinity. It A ns is 0.3 m, a us is 300 km. There's plenty of resources within that volume. > might be like a billion seconds to a human. A billion seconds is over At a million speedup a day is about 3 kYrs. > 31 years. It might seem that long to a node to ask a question and get > an answer. It's like carrying on a conversation with > > Using Frink notation, ( http://futureboy.homeip.net/frinkdocs/ ) * > > 1 billion seconds -> years > 31.68876 > > When communicating over a light-minute radius, a node would grow old > and bored and completely forget the question. Or at least I would. > It'd have the responsiveness of an IP-via-carrier-pigeon Internet, which > was actually proposed: > > http://www.faqs.org/rfcs/rfc1149.html > > Data: "And for a time, I was tempted by her offer." > Picard: "How long a time?" > Data: "0.68 seconds sir. For an android, that is nearly an eternity." > > So, my question is, why intentionally make it so hard and painful to > communicate? I've always thought that future supercomputers would > cluster as close as possible together so that communications lags would > be minimized. Or, why not? Robustness? Current dies dissipate more than a heating plate, and are within touching distance of nuclear reactor core power density. A circumsolar cloud of computronium marbles in low orbit can be modeled as a blackbody with a low error margin (because each part of the cloud is basically in equilibrium). It doesn't include the sails for active orbit control, but what the heck. P.S. I had a number of posts in postponement, but I just don't have the time. Apologies for those who expect an answer for me; they might or might not yet be forthcoming. I will unsubscribe from a number of nonessential lists, so I won't be very visible in the new year. Nice holidays to you all. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From extropy at audry2.com Mon Dec 29 12:34:45 2003 From: extropy at audry2.com (Major) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 20:34:45 +0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: <3FF00943.4070300@mail.tele.dk> (message from Max M on Mon, 29 Dec 2003 12:00:19 +0100) Message-ID: <200312291234.hBTCYjc22593@igor.synonet.com> Brian Alexander Lee wrote: > As a developer for hire, it's foolish to ignore Windows. Windows is dominant in the market because windows is dominant in the market. Ho hum. Max M writes: > As someone who hopes to upload it is foolish to trust Windows. ;-) There will be a special circle of hell invented for you for even suggesting that idea 8-). Major From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Dec 29 14:46:09 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 06:46:09 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: <3FF00943.4070300@mail.tele.dk> Message-ID: <20031229144610.7941.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> --- Max M wrote: > Brian Alexander Lee wrote: > > > As a developer for hire, it's foolish to ignore Windows. > > As someone who hopes to upload it is foolish to trust Windows. And which of these issues is going to impact your future ability to upload more: whether you make any money now, or whether Windows continues to exist in 30 years? ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From dirk at neopax.com Mon Dec 29 15:35:35 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 15:35:35 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already References: <000001c3caeb$9a163da0$6701a8c0@GREYBOOK> Message-ID: <019301c3ce21$69e565f0$d2256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Charlie Stross" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Thursday, December 25, 2003 2:08 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already > > Hitler, Stalin, et all were *symptoms* of the disease of war as much as > they were driving forces behind it.In Hitler's case, his ascendency was War exists because in general it is seen as a profitable venture. Global nuclear war does not exist because it is seen as unprofitable. In the end it's game theory. Morality will take a back seat. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From dirk at neopax.com Mon Dec 29 15:38:29 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 15:38:29 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] INTEL: Camel-turd-net predecessor References: <20031228215411.67762.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <01a301c3ce21$cedfc540$d2256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Mike Lorrey" To: Sent: Sunday, December 28, 2003 9:54 PM Subject: [extropy-chat] INTEL: Camel-turd-net predecessor > Some may recall discussions a year or two ago about an idea I had for > air dropping objects looking like rocks or camel turds in Afghanistan > which would have visual and auditory sensors, wifi capabilities, and > also the ability to be a controllable land mine. Done in Vietnam, to a lesser extent. As for the mines, see 'gravel mines'. A large part of the reason for the partial resolution of the N Ireland situation was the use of electronic intel exactly as you describe. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From eugen at leitl.org Mon Dec 29 17:00:46 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 18:00:46 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: <1071950348.1015.2362.camel@alito.homeip.net> References: <20031220104501.GQ21411@leitl.org> <1071950348.1015.2362.camel@alito.homeip.net> Message-ID: <20031229170046.GN22167@leitl.org> On Sun, Dec 21, 2003 at 05:59:08AM +1000, Alejandro Dubrovsky wrote: > Yes, any bad driver can crash a monolithic OS's kawasaki. Got new Yeah, this is one of the reasons monolithic systems suck so badly. Context switches blahblah, you don't design an OS for a given architecture, and Fiasco shows you can do much better even on x86. There's zero evolutionary pressure for micro/nanokernels in a desktopcentric universe. > hardware, expect problems (and if you got old bits too, crap hardware > doesn't help). But it doesn't tend to stay in that state for long. Does > it make OS design a trillion times easier though? I'm sure it does. I'm not sure there's much to design in a kernel few kBytes code large. Everything else is userland. > Look at the state of all desktop microkernels. There aren't any. I keep looking, apart from the fringe there's nothing there. > On my side, i haven't had a crash in about a year, and that was playing > with probably (not provably) broken hardware (or at least win2000 on > another machine didn't like it either). (btw, this doesn't mean my > uptime is a year. I reboot on average every couple of months after a > power outage, or to upgrade the kernel) The server is running fine, it's the desktop that's not so stable (Radeon-driver-related crashes in some OpenGL screen blankers, rare). Doesn't matter, I shut it down for the night for noise reasons. > (ah, yes, this is vanilla 2.4.${MAX(x)} linux, with tainted NVidia > drivers). I don't miss those wasted couple of minutes terribly much. > Writing this email probably took more time than all of those reboots > combined. I'd rather have infinite uptime on a mission-critical. > > I'm disgusted with the engineering aspect of all modern consumer-grade > > systems, whether hardware or software. > > > From the point of view of a not-yet-calcified member of the younger > generation (which missed the awesomness of the 70s VMS, and the I've seen VMS run, but it is massively unsexy. > everything-has-been-done-in lisp machines) it is going quite well. DOS > 4.0 -> linux-2.4.23 and TRS-80 -> duron 1gig have been up all the way > (as well as every single other aspect of either consumer hardware or > software (graphics card, network speed, storage capacity, monitor > size/quality, content viewers, content writers, content organisers, > content distributors, content availability, programming language > compatibility with brain (not by much, i admit), interfaces (mice, > scanners, sound)). I expect (naively perhaps) for these trends to > continue. Things are not bad. They could do be a whole lot better, though, and it's this unborn future I'm mourning. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From wingcat at pacbell.net Mon Dec 29 18:21:00 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 10:21:00 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: <3FF00943.4070300@mail.tele.dk> Message-ID: <20031229182100.92460.qmail@web80405.mail.yahoo.com> --- Max M wrote: > Brian Alexander Lee wrote: > > As a developer for hire, it's foolish to ignore > Windows. > > As someone who hopes to upload it is foolish to > trust Windows. As someone who uses a computer at all, it is foolish to trust Windows. (I don't need to trust the game computer on my desktop, but I do need to trust the Linux system running my Web server.) But "trust" is not the same as "ignore"... From nanogirl at halcyon.com Mon Dec 29 20:56:54 2003 From: nanogirl at halcyon.com (Gina Miller) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 12:56:54 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Nano e-card References: <20031229182100.92460.qmail@web80405.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <027b01c3ce4e$4a95ad40$3f80e40c@NANOGIRL> This is sort of silly, but it is the first nano holiday e-card I have seen: http://www.sciencentral.com/hcard/postcard.html Gina "Nanogirl" Miller Nanotechnology Industries http://www.nanoindustries.com Personal: http://www.nanogirl.com Foresight Senior Associate member http://www.foresight.org Nanotechnology Advisor Extropy Institute http://www.extropy.org Tech-Aid Advisor http://www.tech-aid.info/t/all-about.html nanogirl at halcyon.com "Nanotechnology: Solutions for the future." From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Mon Dec 29 21:45:34 2003 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (Kevin Freels) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 15:45:34 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? References: <20031229182100.92460.qmail@web80405.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: As far as uploading and Windows are concerned, how would an operating system for an upload work? Would "you" be the OS, would the OS run "you", or would we do away with the entire concept of an OS altogether? ----- Original Message ----- From: "Adrian Tymes" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Monday, December 29, 2003 12:21 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? > --- Max M wrote: > > Brian Alexander Lee wrote: > > > As a developer for hire, it's foolish to ignore > > Windows. > > > > As someone who hopes to upload it is foolish to > > trust Windows. > > As someone who uses a computer at all, it is foolish > to trust Windows. (I don't need to trust the game > computer on my desktop, but I do need to trust the > Linux system running my Web server.) But "trust" is > not the same as "ignore"... > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From bradbury at aeiveos.com Mon Dec 29 22:13:15 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 14:13:15 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: Message-ID: On Mon, 29 Dec 2003, Kevin Freels wrote: > As far as uploading and Windows are concerned, how would an operating system > for an upload work? Would "you" be the OS, would the OS run "you", or would > we do away with the entire concept of an OS altogether? It would seem there is some form of an O.S. in place already. You have I/O mechanisms and something has to decide what has the priority to access and manage them. I would imagine that consciousness perhaps takes over the software & hardware functions of setting priorities and conflict resolution. Robert From wingcat at pacbell.net Mon Dec 29 22:49:34 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 14:49:34 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031229224934.20196.qmail@web80411.mail.yahoo.com> --- Kevin Freels wrote: > As far as uploading and Windows are concerned, how > would an operating system > for an upload work? Would "you" be the OS, would the > OS run "you", or would > we do away with the entire concept of an OS > altogether? Either architecture could be implemented, really, but the better one would recognize that you are the OS. It would be condescending, naive, and wind up with a limited result to assume that only the operating system the programmers provide can "actually" run the hardware, and you are but a software agent being granted some section of runtime at the whim of a kernel that runs more important tasks - especially if some entity not necessarily concerned primarily with your well being (like, say, a manager of the corporation which funded development of the upload hardware) gets to decide what is "important". Conversely, you yourself, as you are today, have input and output devices, and perhaps run some processes (like heartbeat) subconsciously (though responding to changeable environmental variables, such as alert level) and others (like breathing) sometimes subconsciously and sometimes consciously, while others (like cognitive thought) are always fully conscious. In many ways, the mind of Human 1.0 is an operating system, and a faithful upload emulation would take this as a design principle. In theory, any OS can be emulated within another OS, but why waste the CPU cycles running some other OS? From fauxever at sprynet.com Tue Dec 30 02:19:39 2003 From: fauxever at sprynet.com (Olga Bourlin) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 18:19:39 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Alert for Suspicious Farmers' Almanacs Message-ID: <012101c3ce7b$60c3cd90$6400a8c0@brainiac> I kid you not ... http://tinyurl.com/36ye8 FBI urges police to watch for people carrying almanacs TED BRIDIS, Associated Press Writer Monday, December 29, 2003 ?2003 Associated Press (12-29) 16:18 PST WASHINGTON (AP) -- The FBI is warning police nationwide to be alert for people carrying almanacs, cautioning that the popular reference books covering everything from abbreviations to weather trends could be used for terrorist planning. In a bulletin sent Christmas Eve to about 18,000 police organizations, the FBI said terrorists may use almanacs "to assist with target selection and pre-operational planning." It urged officers to watch during searches, traffic stops and other investigations for anyone carrying almanacs, especially if the books are annotated in suspicious ways. "The practice of researching potential targets is consistent with known methods of al-Qaida and other terrorist organizations that seek to maximize the likelihood of operational success through careful planning," the FBI wrote. The Associated Press obtained a copy of the bulletin this week and verified its authenticity. "For local law enforcement, it's just to help give them one more piece of information to raise their suspicions," said David Heyman, a terrorism expert for the Washington-based Center for Strategic and International Studies. "It helps make sure one more bad guy doesn't get away from a traffic stop, maybe gives police a little bit more reason to follow up on this." The FBI noted that use of almanacs or maps may be innocent, "the product of legitimate recreational or commercial activities." But it warned that when combined with suspicious behavior -- such as apparent surveillance -- a person with an almanac "may point to possible terrorist planning." "I don't think anyone would consider us a harmful entity," said Kevin Seabrooke, senior editor of The World Almanac. He said the reference book includes about a dozen pages out of its 1,000 pages total listing the world's tallest buildings and bridges but includes no diagrams or architectural schematics. "It's stuff that's widely available on the Internet," he said. The publisher for The Old Farmers Almanac said Monday terrorists would probably find statistical reference books more useful than the collections of Americana in his famous publication of weather predictions and witticisms. "While we doubt that our editorial content would be of particular interest to people who would wish to do us harm, we will certainly cooperate to the fullest with national authorities at any level they deem appropriate," publisher John Pierce said. The FBI said information typically found in almanacs that could be useful for terrorists includes profiles of cities and states and information about waterways, bridges, dams, reservoirs, tunnels, buildings and landmarks. It said this information is often accompanied by photographs and maps. The FBI urged police to report such discoveries to the local U.S. Joint Terrorism Task Force. ?2003 Associated Press From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Dec 29 22:54:14 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 14:54:14 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031229225414.11129.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> --- "Robert J. Bradbury" wrote: > > On Mon, 29 Dec 2003, Kevin Freels wrote: > > > As far as uploading and Windows are concerned, how would an > operating system > > for an upload work? Would "you" be the OS, would the OS run "you", > or would > > we do away with the entire concept of an OS altogether? > > It would seem there is some form of an O.S. in place already. > You have I/O mechanisms and something has to decide what > has the priority to access and manage them. > > I would imagine that consciousness perhaps takes over the > software & hardware functions of setting priorities and > conflict resolution. Given the brain is a form of neural network, it is concievable that the neuron clusters that deal with different I/O functions have their own processes that manage their own I/O. The memory functions operate their own, etc. while the conciousness is a network monitor. The phenomena of I/O filtration and memory editing indicate that there are lots of processes that the conciousness is not itself aware of and depends on the reporting done by constituent 'work groups'. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. http://photos.yahoo.com/ From natashavita at earthlink.net Mon Dec 29 23:11:29 2003 From: natashavita at earthlink.net (natashavita at earthlink.net) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 18:11:29 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Nano e-card Message-ID: <197180-2200312129231129156@M2W057.mail2web.com> Gina Miller wrote: >This is sort of silly, but it is the first nano holiday e-card I have seen: >http://www.sciencentral.com/hcard/postcard.html Very cute "X" :-) In the spirit of food and drink, here's a nano "punch" card: http://www.pcmag.com/article2/0,4149,481641,00.asp Natasha -------------------------------------------------------------------- mail2web - Check your email from the web at http://mail2web.com/ . From natashavita at earthlink.net Mon Dec 29 23:11:34 2003 From: natashavita at earthlink.net (natashavita at earthlink.net) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 18:11:34 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Nano e-card Message-ID: <232810-220031212923113480@M2W044.mail2web.com> Gina Miller wrote: >This is sort of silly, but it is the first nano holiday e-card I have seen: >http://www.sciencentral.com/hcard/postcard.html Very cute "X" :-) In the spirit of food and drink, here's a nano "punch" card: http://www.pcmag.com/article2/0,4149,481641,00.asp Natasha -------------------------------------------------------------------- mail2web - Check your email from the web at http://mail2web.com/ . From eugen at leitl.org Mon Dec 29 22:42:58 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 23:42:58 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: References: <20031229182100.92460.qmail@web80405.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20031229224258.GW22167@leitl.org> On Mon, Dec 29, 2003 at 03:45:34PM -0600, Kevin Freels wrote: > As far as uploading and Windows are concerned, how would an operating system > for an upload work? Would "you" be the OS, would the OS run "you", or would > we do away with the entire concept of an OS altogether? The latter. Of course, it wouldn't be a computer as you know it, too... -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From jef at jefallbright.net Tue Dec 30 03:54:46 2003 From: jef at jefallbright.net (Jef Allbright) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 19:54:46 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? References: Message-ID: <003301c3ce88$ab4bc6d0$6501a8c0@int.veeco.com> Robert J. Bradbury wrote: > On Mon, 29 Dec 2003, Kevin Freels wrote: > >> As far as uploading and Windows are concerned, how would an >> operating system for an upload work? Would "you" be the OS, would >> the OS run "you", or would we do away with the entire concept of an >> OS altogether? > > It would seem there is some form of an O.S. in place already. > You have I/O mechanisms and something has to decide what > has the priority to access and manage them. > > I would imagine that consciousness perhaps takes over the > software & hardware functions of setting priorities and > conflict resolution. Try as we might, no one has found any central OS acting as the Self in charge of the mind/body system. It didn't evolve that way because evolution doesn't do "design". Our sense of Self is an illusion, arising out of the interaction of multiple processes, some competing, others cooperating, interacting with each other and the environment in a way that blurs the borders of identity. There is no Master Control Program in the mind. - Jef www.jefallbright.net From bradbury at aeiveos.com Tue Dec 30 06:01:24 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 22:01:24 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] The human OS [was: when will computers improve?] In-Reply-To: <003301c3ce88$ab4bc6d0$6501a8c0@int.veeco.com> Message-ID: On Mon, 29 Dec 2003, Jef Allbright wrote: > Our sense of Self is an illusion, arising out of the interaction of multiple > processes, some competing, others cooperating, interacting with each other > and the environment in a way that blurs the borders of identity. Hmmm... I have no problem with my "identity" it is a collection of knowledge, memories of historical experiences and behavior patterns that have generally worked. Sure its a mix of various priorities and agendas but it remains reasonably stable over time. The exceptions I would cite involve what are generally recognized as mental illnesses, e.g. schizophrenia. > There is no Master Control Program in the mind. You have a hard time convincing me of that if there is a program that can (and in a not insignificant fraction of the population does) terminate all of the other programs from time to time. Robert From bradbury at aeiveos.com Tue Dec 30 06:19:52 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 22:19:52 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Alert for Suspicious Farmers' Almanacs In-Reply-To: <012101c3ce7b$60c3cd90$6400a8c0@brainiac> Message-ID: On Mon, 29 Dec 2003, Olga Bourlin wrote: > In a bulletin sent Christmas Eve to about 18,000 police organizations, the > FBI said terrorists may use almanacs "to assist with target selection and > pre-operational planning." Its not so unreasonable Olga. I'd like to think I'd be reasonably dangerous if I chose to take up terrorism as a profession. (Not quite Mike's level obviously but probably someone to be taken reasonably seriously.) I just checked my bookcase and I've got 3 Almanac's in it. Largely dated before Google became available -- but still very information dense. I could go through them and come up with a number of examples of useful information for terrorists but I would prefer not to publish such data. I'm always *amazed* at the degree to which there is public discussion of great targets for terrorists. Last week it was LPG tankers with planes loaded with radioactive waste, this week it is citing chlorine storage facilities as good targets. Robert From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Tue Dec 30 10:11:03 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 21:11:03 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] The human OS [was: when will computers improve?] References: Message-ID: <03e101c3cebd$3ba02e40$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Robert J. Bradbury wrote: > Jef Allbright wrote: > > > There is no Master Control Program in the mind. Necessarily if there is no mind. Perhaps not in the brain either. > You have a hard time convincing me of that if there is a > program that can (and in a not insignificant fraction of the > population does) terminate all of the other programs from > time to time. Suicide does seem to suggest that (at least at the extremes) there is some sort of over-ride capability in some people. This capability does seem to suggest mastery and control (however momentary), but to me it weakens rather than strengthens the case that humans are running an OS. Running programs do terminate and can cause other programs to terminate, but they *don't* yet, so far as I know, *intend* or *aim* at doing so. Seems like some specialties are showing we aren't we (self, mind, consciousness are not what they used to be - or perhaps rather what they were thought to be) whilst others are determined to add a new class of entities to the we group. I wonder what sort of dis-illusioned entity, if not a self, will still be around to pronounce that a machine has passed the Turin test ? Regards, Brett From bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk Tue Dec 30 10:12:27 2003 From: bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk (BillK) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 10:12:27 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? Message-ID: <3FF14F8B.7030502@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> On Mon, 29 Dec 2003 10:21:00 -0800 (PST) Adrian Tymes wrote: > As someone who uses a computer at all, it is foolish > to trust Windows. (I don't need to trust the game > computer on my desktop, but I do need to trust the > Linux system running my Web server.) But "trust" is > not the same as "ignore"... > Here is a good article which claims that the IT industry is finally beginning to give up on Microsoft and start the move to open software. There may well be an element of wishful thinking here but the points made in the article are sound (i.e. cost, reliability, continual patching, licensing, security, virus attacks, etc.). But there is a vast inertia of MS lock-in which has to be overcome before it will have much effect. We can only hope. BillK From gpmap at runbox.com Tue Dec 30 10:32:11 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 11:32:11 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] New York Times article on dying Message-ID: This New York Times article details the process of dying and what happens to the body and mind as a person dies. As deaths from heart attacks decline and life expectancy rises, death has become a protracted process for more and more people. Accompanying this trend is a growing need for medical professionals and families to understand what happens during the last weeks, days and hours of life and what kind of action, or inaction, is most likely to bring a comfortable, peaceful, even beautiful end. Active dying, the process of total body system failure, usually occurs over a period of 10 to 14 days, although it can take as little as 24 hours. As someone nears the end of life, it is not unusual to turn inward and become less communicative, even as much as three months before death. Loved ones should not confuse this withdrawal with rejection. Rather, she said, it reflects the dying person's need to leave the outer world behind and focus on inner contemplation. Dying patients may also moan or grunt as they breathe, but rarely is this a sign of pain, she noted. Appropriate pain relief should always be provided because a patient in pain cannot communicate effectively or die peacefully. There is no evidence that pain-relieving drugs hastened death. This is a very interesting article, the one thing I do not like is the original title: "Facing Up to the Inevitable, in Search of a Good Death". I do not think it will stay inevitable for long: there are indications that someday science will be able to avoid ageing and death. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From eugen at leitl.org Tue Dec 30 10:56:38 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 11:56:38 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: <200312080336.hB83auP07649@finney.org> References: <200312080336.hB83auP07649@finney.org> Message-ID: <20031230105638.GJ22167@leitl.org> I'm flushing out a few old replies from the postponed message queue before I leave the list for a while. I'm sorry if quality is lacking, there is not time for more. On Sun, Dec 07, 2003 at 07:36:56PM -0800, Hal Finney wrote: > And I also object to some of the tactics being used in this spin > doctoring. Smalley is being misrepresented and taken out of context. > From the Foresight press release: "In the current C&E News exchange, > Smalley now agrees that assemblers (without impossible "magic fingers") > could use something like enzymes or ribosomes as tools for doing precise > chemistry." This makes it sound like Smalley has conceded that Drexler's > ideas for nanotech could work. But in fact, Smalley was attempting > to show that to the extent that nanotech needs to rely on things like > enzymes and ribosomes, it will share the limitations of those systems, > such as reliance on water and the inability to make strong objects, > hence that nanotech could not meet its claimed goals. The argument as presented is muddled, and as such worthless for both sides. Biology has a makeup, and a modus operandi. Both are orthogonal. It is the latter that is illustrative to outline the differences between classic organic synthesis and high degree of control in biosynthesis. This is a continuous axis ranging from low to very high degree of control in machine-phase. I'm reasonably sure that this distinction is completely lost on the average synthetic chemist. I don't know whether it's lost on Smalley, he never said enough to tell, and I'm not going to start guessing. I'm not sure it's worth having a public discussion where issues are so complex one's mainly operating in opinion space. Results shut up critics, eventually, not talk. > And about this water business, which has also been trumpeted as showing > that Smalley is ignorant of chemistry (a claim which sounds absurdly > arrogant to the unbiased spectator). Maybe there are some enzymes > which can work in polar solvents or even in gas or vacuum. But ribosomes Polar solvents yes, some of them, especially enzymes optimized for a different solvate, not gas or vacuum, not that. > don't, and so Smalley's overall point still holds. The chemistry of water > dominates virtually everything about proteins, enzymes (which are a subset > of proteins), and ribosomes (which are built equally of RNA and protein). Water assembles shape, it is in most cases nothing but a nuisance in the reaction center. Machine-phase as postulated doesn't autoassemble bottom-up, so it doesn't need solvate (at least during operation) to maintain the operation geometry. > So what does Drexler really mean when he says that nanotech will work > like enzymes? As Smalley asks, "do you think it is really possible to Enzymes use control, solvated orgchem doesn't. The more control, the higher the yield of a specific product. > do enzymelike chemistry of arbitrary complexity with only dry surfaces > and a vacuum?" I think the answer Drexler would give is basically yes, > albeit not of "arbitrary" complexity (no system could achieve that goal). If you've got a good mechanosynthetic reaction library and high-precision control the space of structures you can build is vastly bigger than anything biology could muster. Arguably, it could build anything stable, but I guess we can agree that a tiny subset of all possible structures is enough if there's full self-rep closure goodness hidden in there. > He does believe that he can achieve and surpass the power of enzyme-like > systems using dry surfaces and a vacuum. He refers to this somewhat These assumptions are reasonable. > obliquely in his reply: "Bound groups adjacent to reactive groups can > provide tailored environments that reproduce familiar effects of solvation > and catalysis." Enzymes cut and create bonds, the result is what is important. The manner by which it is done is quite irrelevant as long as cheap high processivity constraint is satisfied. > I've read Nanosystems, and it's always bothered me that the technology > described there is so different from what most nanotech fans are > familiar with. Drexler describes the famous robot arm; you can see a > picture here, http://www.zyvex.com/nanotech/images/fig13.14left.jpg. > He goes into a lot of detail about how it would work and how strong it > would be for mechanosynthesis. > > But he doesn't use it! The proposed manufacturing system that he > describes in some detail only uses giant robot arms in a final assembly > stage, to manipulate relatively large, pre-built blocks that are a > cubic micron in size, far larger than the arm above (which is only 0.1 > micron long). Instead, the actual molecular manipulation and assembly > is done by means of a "mill". > > This is a system which holds molecular fragments on miniature pallets > attached to 4 nm wide assembly belts. The belts run past each other such > that the pallets are pressed together, and possibly rotated or manipulated > in some way, so that the payload molecules react, transferring one or > more atoms from one pallet's payload to the other. > > These mills would gradually build up larger and larger pieces, which > would eventually be transferred to appropriately scaled-up mill systems. > These would use the same principles, now working with pieces with > perhaps thousands of atoms, attaching them together in various ways. > Eventuallly we get up to the micron size, which will have billions of > atoms, and at that point he uses almost-macro-scale robot arms to start > attaching these "bricks" together. It's an illustration, no one is going to build that as is. > This molecular mill system provides a possible context to understand > Drexler's comparison of nanotech assembly to enzymes. Enzymes bring > reactants together in a carefully controlled environment. The active > site is surrounded by atoms which provide the exact pattern of positive > and negative charge, hydrophobic and hydrophilic regions, acidic or base > pH, necessary to promote the desired reaction. This is what Smalley Do you need all of this just to make proteins? Synthetic chemistry has no trouble making pretty long peptids without needing a kidney, whether of man, or dog. Enzymes don't zap educts with electric potential, manipulative proximal probe does. > means when he talks about biologically catalyzed chemistry occuring > as the interaction of a dozen or more atoms, which would seemingly be > impossible using robot arms. It is obviously unnecessary to replay the exact processes within the cubic nm, or so, in order to do chemistry. As long as the reaction outcome is the same, no one cares how exactly you did it. Whether you synthesized your peptide enzymatically, synthetically, or by pushing around activated monomers absorbed to a flat substrate, who cares? > But it is conceivable that a mill could provide a similar degree of > control over the external environment as what we get in an enzymatic > active site. The pallets that hold the reactants can be designed > to have desired patterns of charge, ionization and electron binding. > When we bring the reactants together, surrounded by the two pallets that > held them, the environment surrounding the reactants can therefore be > controlled to a considerable degree. The reactants can even be held > in pouches or grooves within the pallets to provide for full 360 degree > control over the local environment. You're latching upon a design that's essentially a red herring. > This is what I think Drexler means in the quote above, "Bound groups > adjacent to reactive groups can provide tailored environments that > reproduce familiar effects of solvation and catalysis." The bound groups > are part of the pallets that hold the reactants; solvation, that is, > the effects of water molecules, can be mimicked by means of patterns of > charge; and catalysis achieved by carefully adjusting the properties of > the atoms lining the pallets so as to provide the necessary lowering of > energy barriers. Or you could just drag around stuff on HOPG in cryogenic conditions. Or use SWNT ducts. Or radical moisture. Whatever. > I think it is rather difficult to interpret Drexler's comment in terms > of robot arms. They have a limited flexibility in terms of tailoring > the environment in the near vicinity of the reaction. It would be > extremely complicated to recreate the effects of solvation (the widespread > presence of water molecules shielding and modifying electrical effects) > and catalysis using robot arms, raising fat-finger problems. You're recreating the vis vitalis argument here a bit. You have to abstract the product from the reaction from the reaction conditions. The product is what counts, not how you access it. > The point of this rather lengthy digression is that Drexler and other > nanotech proponents are not doing a good job of explaining their design > concepts. This is in part why they are so commonly misunderstood. This is not something which can be unambiguously explained in plain language. This is something you can write specialist papers no synthetic chemist or biologist is going to understand, without learning a couple of whole new fields. > And it seems almost willful. Drexler is trying to explain exactly > how his system will work: "In machine-phase chemistry, conveyors and > positioners (not solvents and thermal motion) bring reactants together." > But this terminology is complete generic and unspecific: conveyors and > positioners. It applies to mills, but could also apply to robot arms, > where reactants are conveyed to the tip and then positioned to be applied > to the work piece. Of course, because he's describing a principle, and not a particular implementation. > Didn't anyone reading this exchange wonder about Drexler's insistence > that "fingers" are not needed for his assembly process? What is a robot > arm if not a finger, in this context? Do people realize that Drexler > has moved away from arm-based assembly, perhaps due to some of the very > objections that Smalley has (re-) discovered? The finger issue is what happens when experts start dumbing down the discussion that everybody can understand it. The issue is that no two tooltips can occupy the same space simultaneously, and I fail to see how this is a major constraint on anything. (Unless you start counting every atom within the reaction site as finger, which is a vis vitalis/holistic argument). > Of course, I'm not even 100% sure that my interpretation is right, either. > I've explained above how I think his comments relate to the designs > in Nanosystems. But maybe I'm wrong, maybe he does still plan to use > robot arms. > > Why should I have to guess? And why should Smalley? This continued > evasiveness and refusal to plainly specify a design strategy > forces nanotech critics to extrapolate their own understanding and > interpretations. And once this happens, the nanotech proponents sit back > and smugly call "strawman". Drexler and Smalley are talking past each > other, because Drexler refuses to plainly state how his manufacturing > system will work, contenting himself with telling Smalley that all his > guesses are wrong. The issue boils down to modelling and validating a set of mechanosynthetic reactions (according to Smalley, these don't exist, however, a 30 sec session with Google will show everybody that they do exist) experimentally. > This isn't a game of 20 Questions. If nanotech were the dominant > paradigm, this lack of specificity might be acceptable. But when you > are on the outside looking in, it will not succeed. All you're going > to do is make people confused and angry. > > I share Smalley's frustration when he writes, "it would be helpful to > all of us who take the nanobot assembler idea of 'Engines of Creation' > seriously if you would tell us more about this nonaqueous enzymelike > chemistry." Rather than lobbying and spinning the debate, I'd suggest > that nanotech proponents work harder at fleshing out and clearly > describing their proposals. Give your critics something to criticize, and > at least the debates won't be as empty as the Smalley-Drexler exchange. Let's see whether http://foresight.org/stage2/project1A.html will produce results, so we can stop handwaving, and just tell people to RTFM. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From gpmap at runbox.com Tue Dec 30 11:02:02 2003 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 12:02:02 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhuman Space book and role playing game Message-ID: Has anyone seen this? This type of material can be useful to spread transhumanist memes among teenagers. In the coming decades, technologies like genetic engineering, artificial intelligence, and nanotechnology will transform humanity. A strange new world is unfolding -- nightmarish to some, utopian to others. Soon we'll have the power to reshape our children's genes, build machines that think, and upload our minds into computers. And Earth no longer confines us. Space tourism, mining the Moon and asteroids, a settlement on Mars: all are dreams poised to take wing. The universe of Transhuman Space is a synthesis of these two visions -- a world in which ultra-technology and space travel fuse to forge a new destiny for mankind. Neither utopia nor dystopia, it is a place of hopes, fears, and new frontiers. I have not seen the book but from the description on the website it seems a good way to introduce young persons to these concepts. It's the year 2100. Humans have colonized the solar system. China and America struggle for control of Mars. The Royal Navy patrols the asteroid belt. Nanotechnology has transformed life on Earth forever, and gene-enhanced humans share the world with artificial intelligences and robotic cybershells. Our solar system has become a setting as exciting and alien as any interstellar empire. Pirate spaceships hijacking black holes . . . sentient computers and artificial "bioroids" demanding human rights . . . nanotechnology and mind control . . . Transhuman Space is cutting-edge science fiction adventure that begins where cyberpunk ends. This book contains a complete roleplaying game: A future history of the next 100 years: the rise of China, the terraforming of Mars, and the birth of the first artifical intelligence - A gazetteer of solar solar system, from Earth to thriving colonies on Luna, Mars, and beyond - A detailed encyclopedia of transhuman space - Dozens of transhuman character templates, from space-adapted parahumans to digital infomorphs. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From hemm at br.inter.net Tue Dec 30 11:17:23 2003 From: hemm at br.inter.net (Henrique Moraes Machado) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 09:17:23 -0200 Subject: [ok] Re: [extropy-chat] The human OS [was: when will computers improve?] References: <03e101c3cebd$3ba02e40$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: <00d701c3cec6$7fcf14b0$fe00a8c0@HEMM> Well, what if suicide is just a bug in the OS? As far as I know, there's no software without bugs. -----Mensagem Original----- De: "Brett Paatsch" Para: "ExI chat list" Enviada em: ter?a-feira, 30 de dezembro de 2003 08:11 Assunto: [ok] Re: [extropy-chat] The human OS [was: when will computers improve?] |(...) | Suicide does seem to suggest that (at least at the extremes) there | is some sort of over-ride capability in some people. | | This capability does seem to suggest mastery and control (however | momentary), but to me it weakens rather than strengthens the case | that humans are running an OS. |(...) From eugen at leitl.org Tue Dec 30 11:42:34 2003 From: eugen at leitl.org (Eugen Leitl) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 12:42:34 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] happy new year! Message-ID: <20031230114234.GM22167@leitl.org> There has been lots of fascinating debate frozen in postponement; it's been hard, but I've let go all of what has been designated for this list. Oh well, in some another universe, somewhere, somewhen. Nice holidays to you all, and happy new year. I'm out of here for time being. -- Eugen* Leitl leitl ______________________________________________________________ ICBM: 48.07078, 11.61144 http://www.leitl.org 8B29F6BE: 099D 78BA 2FD3 B014 B08A 7779 75B0 2443 8B29 F6BE http://moleculardevices.org http://nanomachines.net -------------- next part -------------- A non-text attachment was scrubbed... Name: not available Type: application/pgp-signature Size: 198 bytes Desc: not available URL: From extropy at audry2.com Tue Dec 30 13:07:20 2003 From: extropy at audry2.com (Major) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 21:07:20 +0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: (kevinfreels@hotmail.com) References: <20031229182100.92460.qmail@web80405.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <200312301307.hBUD7KX27988@igor.synonet.com> "Kevin Freels" writes: > As far as uploading and Windows are concerned, how would an operating system > for an upload work? Would "you" be the OS, would the OS run "you", or would > we do away with the entire concept of an OS altogether? "you" would the "application", not the "OS"; though I suspect that the OS would probably be pretty minimal. I recommend most the fiction of Greg Egan in this regard. His uploads have a system called the "exoself" which is kind of a dedicated OS for uploads which takes care of things like save&restore and modification in those scenarios where the uploads make conscious decisions to change themselves. Major From reason at exratio.com Tue Dec 30 13:09:45 2003 From: reason at exratio.com (Reason) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 05:09:45 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: <200312301307.hBUD7KX27988@igor.synonet.com> Message-ID: > -----Original Message----- > From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org > [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org]On Behalf Of Major > "Kevin Freels" writes: > > > As far as uploading and Windows are concerned, how would an > operating system > > for an upload work? Would "you" be the OS, would the OS run > "you", or would > > we do away with the entire concept of an OS altogether? > > "you" would the "application", not the "OS"; though I suspect that the > OS would probably be pretty minimal. > > I recommend most the fiction of Greg Egan in this regard. His uploads > have a system called the "exoself" which is kind of a dedicated OS for > uploads which takes care of things like save&restore and modification > in those scenarios where the uploads make conscious decisions to > change themselves. The exoself was more of a platform or application, with the polis software being the operating system. The sanctity of the exoself from external modification was a function of the polis software, for example. Reason http://www.exratio.com From jef at jefallbright.net Tue Dec 30 13:51:19 2003 From: jef at jefallbright.net (Jef Allbright) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 05:51:19 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] The human OS [was: when will computers improve?] References: Message-ID: <015f01c3cedc$01a9ad50$6501a8c0@int.veeco.com> Robert J. Bradbury wrote: > On Mon, 29 Dec 2003, Jef Allbright wrote: > >> Our sense of Self is an illusion, arising out of the interaction of >> multiple processes, some competing, others cooperating, interacting >> with each other and the environment in a way that blurs the borders >> of identity. > > Hmmm... I have no problem with my "identity" it is a collection of > knowledge, memories of historical experiences and behavior patterns > that have generally worked. Sure its a mix of various priorities and > agendas but it remains reasonably stable over time. The exceptions I > would cite involve what are generally recognized as mental illnesses, > e.g. schizophrenia. > >> There is no Master Control Program in the mind. > > You have a hard time convincing me of that if there is a program > that can (and in a not insignificant fraction of the population does) > terminate all of the other programs from time to time. Suicide is a useful example. It is almost always the *result* of the organism's response to pain, rather than a *goal*, and is seldom carried out in a clear state of mind. Note that I am not saying that the Self doesn't exist, nor that the pain isn't experienced. I am saying that the sense of self arises out of the multitude of processes taking place (mostly) in the brain, rather than the Self somehow driving them. Killing is also a useful example. While some may assume it is the ultimate expression of control of one organism over another (and in a narrow sense this can be a true statement), it is more illuminating to see killing as the *result* of organisms reacting to fear, anger, jealously, and other evolved drives that promoted the fitness of the organism's ancestors but are rapidly becoming inappropriate now and for the future. (I'm not talking about self-defense here.) Militarism and nationalism are examples of the blurring of identity. Humans have evolved to operate as groups because this has enhanced the fitness of the larger group organism over the smaller, less organized organism. When persons operate in a group, however, they tend to respond as a group, and behave in a manner inconsistent with their individual identities. Human response to authority, peer pressure, hypnotism, mob behavior, etc., are examples of the blurring of identity due to external influences. It's important that we better understand our current nature, so we can make better-informed, more rational choices for our future. - Jef www.jefallbright.net From brian_a_lee at hotmail.com Tue Dec 30 15:17:55 2003 From: brian_a_lee at hotmail.com (Brian Lee) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 10:17:55 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? Message-ID: >From: Adrian Tymes >Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? >Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 10:21:00 -0800 (PST) > >As someone who uses a computer at all, it is foolish >to trust Windows. (I don't need to trust the game >computer on my desktop, but I do need to trust the >Linux system running my Web server.) But "trust" is >not the same as "ignore"... Note that you can still "trust" windows systems, but they must be designed differently than *nix systems. A farm of 6 windows servers can still still provide 5 nines as a system the same as a Linux server can (although you'd want a farm of linux boxen as well). Windows, while not optimal, is acceptable for server applications. BAL _________________________________________________________________ Tired of slow downloads? Compare online deals from your local high-speed providers now. https://broadband.msn.com From jonkc at att.net Tue Dec 30 15:31:49 2003 From: jonkc at att.net (John K Clark) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 10:31:49 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Many worlds and Hugh Everett References: <015f01c3cedc$01a9ad50$6501a8c0@int.veeco.com> Message-ID: <015c01c3ceea$1d1e4ce0$e3fe4d0c@hal2001> There is a new online biography of Hugh Everett, the man who started the many worlds interpretation of quantum mechanics at http://www.hep.upenn.edu/~max/everett/ . One thing I didn't know was that Everett's daughter believed in it and killed herself because she thought she would be living in a better parallel world with her father. Apparently she thought if all the unhappy versions of herself died her consciousness would remain only in the happy ones. There may be a certain amount of logic to that but before you do something that drastic you had better be very very sure the theory is correct. I don't know about you but I'm not THAT certain. John K Clark jonkc at att.net From natashavita at earthlink.net Tue Dec 30 15:37:34 2003 From: natashavita at earthlink.net (natashavita at earthlink.net) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 10:37:34 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhuman Space book and role playing game Message-ID: <232810-2200312230153734875@M2W079.mail2web.com> From: Giu1i0 Pri5c0 >Has anyone seen this? This type of material can be useful to spread transhumanist memes among teenagers. Do you mean "Transhuman Space: Starships of the Solar System" http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/tg/detail/-/1556345976/102-7406969-5553758 ?v=glance ? Or: Transhuman Space by David L. Pulver, et al (Paperback) Transhuman Space in the Well by Jonathan Woodward, et al (Paperback) Transhuman Space: Deep Beyond by David Pulver (Paperback) Transhuman Space Orbital Decay by Patrickmes Sweeney, et al (Paperback) Transhuman Space: High Frontier (Transhuman Space) by David Pulver (Paperback) ? I haven't read any of these books. I love the idea of a transhuman space game. I'm surprised that John Spencer (Space Tourism, Inc.) hasn't collaborated with Steve Jackson (Steve Jackson Games) to produce something. In fact, I'm going to write to both of them right now about it! Best, Natasha -------------------------------------------------------------------- mail2web - Check your email from the web at http://mail2web.com/ . From jonkc at att.net Tue Dec 30 15:51:16 2003 From: jonkc at att.net (John K Clark) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 10:51:16 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Spam References: Message-ID: <018801c3ceec$cc22eaf0$e3fe4d0c@hal2001> It?s puzzling, in most of the spam I?ve gotten recently they don?t appear to be selling anything. The subject line may say something about sexual aids or low interest rates but the body contains nothing but what looks like random verbiage from some old encyclopedia or novel. I can understand putting in a little of that to get around the filters but that?s all there is, on this stuff there is no way they can make any money off me even if I was the most gullible man on the planet because there is no product they are selling and no way for me to send them money. It must take time and effort to send those messages, why do they bother? I guess the new point in spam is not to make money but just to send spam. John K Clark jonkc at att.net From dirk at neopax.com Tue Dec 30 16:02:01 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 16:02:01 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Many worlds and Hugh Everett References: <015f01c3cedc$01a9ad50$6501a8c0@int.veeco.com> <015c01c3ceea$1d1e4ce0$e3fe4d0c@hal2001> Message-ID: <007a01c3ceee$42bb3810$d2256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "John K Clark" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Tuesday, December 30, 2003 3:31 PM Subject: [extropy-chat] Many worlds and Hugh Everett > There is a new online biography of Hugh Everett, the man who started the > many worlds interpretation of quantum mechanics at > http://www.hep.upenn.edu/~max/everett/ . One thing I didn't know was that > Everett's daughter believed in it and killed herself because she thought she > would be living in a better parallel world with her father. Apparently she > thought if all the unhappy versions of herself died her consciousness would > remain only in the happy ones. There may be a certain amount of logic to > that but before you do something that drastic you had better be very very > sure the theory is correct. I don't know about you but I'm not THAT certain. As it stands the interpretation can only be verified subjectively, and only if true. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From natashavita at earthlink.net Tue Dec 30 16:06:21 2003 From: natashavita at earthlink.net (natashavita at earthlink.net) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 11:06:21 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] happy new year! Message-ID: <184670-220031223016621166@M2W037.mail2web.com> 'gene wrote: Subject: [extropy-chat] happy new year! "Nice holidays to you all, and happy new year. I'm out of here for time being." Likewise! Natasha -------------------------------------------------------------------- mail2web - Check your email from the web at http://mail2web.com/ . From extropy at audry2.com Tue Dec 30 17:30:41 2003 From: extropy at audry2.com (Major) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 01:30:41 +0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Spam In-Reply-To: <018801c3ceec$cc22eaf0$e3fe4d0c@hal2001> (jonkc@att.net) References: <018801c3ceec$cc22eaf0$e3fe4d0c@hal2001> Message-ID: <200312301730.hBUHUfY29697@igor.synonet.com> > It's puzzling, in most of the spam I've gotten recently they don't appear to > be selling anything. The subject line may say something about sexual aids or > low interest rates but the body contains nothing but what looks like random > verbiage from some old encyclopedia or novel. Many of them are using the multipart/alternate MIME type with crud in the test/plain version and their advertisement in the text/html version. The crud gets them round the spam filter but is invisible to outlook/hotmail users who are probably the only people silly enough to buy prescription pharmaceuticals from a spammer anyhow. Major From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 30 16:50:25 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 08:50:25 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Alert for Suspicious Farmers' Almanacs In-Reply-To: <012101c3ce7b$60c3cd90$6400a8c0@brainiac> Message-ID: <20031230165025.48500.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> --- Olga Bourlin wrote: > I kid you not ... > > http://tinyurl.com/36ye8 > > FBI urges police to watch for people carrying almanacs > TED BRIDIS, Associated Press Writer > Monday, December 29, 2003 > ?2003 Associated Press > (12-29) 16:18 PST WASHINGTON (AP) -- > > The FBI is warning police nationwide to be alert for people carrying > almanacs, cautioning that the popular reference books covering > everything > from abbreviations to weather trends could be used for terrorist > planning. I don't think something as minor as a Farmer's Almanac is what they are talking about. It seemed to me that they were talking about those 1000 page plus reference alamanacs you can buy that have data about tons of things covering the whole country to a far greter degree than the average road atlas. While I can understand the leftist need to ridicule this measure by decribing it as 'farmers almanac', I doubt very much that such a suggestion would have been sent out if there were not good intelligence information. The left often displays a rather high degree of hubristic arrogance that it is so smart that anybody they don't like must be stupid. That is, however, the nature of leftism, the concept that people are too dumb for their own good and need to be told how to spend their money. I do recall that the books that bin Laden & company developed to train their people did in fact mention referencing almanacs. If a number of al quaeda seized here in the US have been found with them in their posession, then this is in fact a good tip to discern possible suspects in the future. Suggest you consider that intelligence people may have much better information sources than you do. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Find out what made the Top Yahoo! Searches of 2003 http://search.yahoo.com/top2003 From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Dec 30 16:57:31 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 08:57:31 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: <20031230105638.GJ22167@leitl.org> Message-ID: <20031230165731.96224.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> One thing I have not seen people discuss re Smalley's attitude toward Drexlerian nano: how do you KNOW that Smalley isn't just trying to downplay luddite 'sky is falling' tactics???? In my opinion, his statements are a perfect means of deflecting the scare tactics of luddites like the Turning Point Project. Portraying them as hopelessly overblown and the foolish imaginings of those too ignorant of science to know better is the only real way we are going to fight their fear mongering. Having as many well regarded scientists saying this as possible is even better. So what if such statements turn out to be wrong? We know better, we will reach Drexlerian nanotech inevitably, and IMHO much sooner if the luddites are made the fools in order to derail their attempts to legislate against Drexlerian nanotech. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Find out what made the Top Yahoo! Searches of 2003 http://search.yahoo.com/top2003 From bradbury at aeiveos.com Tue Dec 30 17:10:14 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 09:10:14 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: <20031230165731.96224.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: On Tue, 30 Dec 2003, Mike Lorrey wrote: > So what if such statements turn out to be wrong? We know better, we > will reach Drexlerian nanotech inevitably, and IMHO much sooner if the > luddites are made the fools in order to derail their attempts to > legislate against Drexlerian nanotech. Mike, you may want to take a look at Howard Lovy's blog entry for Dec. 24, 2003: http://nanobot.blogspot.com/2003_12_21_nanobot_archive.html#107228757469551087 Its an interesting perspective on why people blowing smoke might be a good thing by ecouraging the serious people to point out the flaws in the arguments of the various anti-nano individuals & groups. Robert From fauxever at sprynet.com Tue Dec 30 17:35:39 2003 From: fauxever at sprynet.com (Olga Bourlin) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 09:35:39 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Alert for Suspicious Farmers' Almanacs References: <20031230165025.48500.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <012201c3cefb$57eed950$6400a8c0@brainiac> From: "Mike Lorrey" > I don't think something as minor as a Farmer's Almanac is what they are > talking about. It seemed to me that they were talking about those 1000 > page plus reference alamanacs you can buy that have data about tons of > things covering the whole country to a far greter degree than the > average road atlas. > While I can understand the leftist need to ridicule this measure by > decribing it as 'farmers almanac' ... You understand the leftist need ...? to ridicule ...? Hmmmm, do you suppose the right ever ridicules the left? (if not, then please point out how it does not). While you may correct that the almanac to which the article refers may not be the ubiquitous Farmers, it doesn't make that entirely clear (and the article does invoke a quote from the publisher of the aforesaid ...). BTW, at first I thought this was a joke, but now I'm not so certain (do you think this is serious?): http://www.thbookservice.com/BookPage.asp?prod_cd=c6230 >The left often displays a rather high degree of hubristic > arrogance that it is so smart that anybody they don't like must be > stupid. ... somewhat like the rather high degree of hubristic arrogance displayed by the right? > That is, however, the nature of leftism, the concept that > people are too dumb for their own good and need to be told how to spend > their money. ... and what is the *nature* of rightism? (perhaps, thinking that the leftists have a "need to ridicule" ...?) >Suggest you consider that intelligence people may have > much better information sources than you do. I have a great deal of respect for intelligence people (as long as they're rational and intelligent). I worry about the likes of Ashcroft, and stuff like: "Condi Rice is as comfortable speaking publicly about her faith in God as she is about strategic arms reduction and routing out terrorism." found in: http://www.christianitytoday.com/cr/2002/005/1.18.html If the fate of the world rests with people who have conversations with god(s), all is lost ... Olga From bradbury at aeiveos.com Tue Dec 30 17:36:39 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 09:36:39 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Spam In-Reply-To: <200312301730.hBUHUfY29697@igor.synonet.com> Message-ID: On Wed, 31 Dec 2003, Major wrote: > Many of them are using the multipart/alternate MIME type with crud in > the test/plain version and their advertisement in the text/html version. Actually I think its "multipart/alternative". I suspect you could catch a good amount of it by simply flagging "multipart/alternative" and "text/html". The other thing I'm noticing is a lot of messages that just have an HTML pointer to a jpg/gif. Major is correct about the crap -- it began when Bayesian filters started becoming popular -- its an attempt to put in enough good words into the message that a few bad words don't cause the message to be flagged as SPAM. I suspect that one could catch this with grammer filters but then they would just start taking paragraphs out of public News/BBS posts or some other similar source of human authored text. NY Times had an interesting article about the difficulties SPAMers face now-a-days: An Unrepentant Spammer Vows to Carry On, Wiithin the Law http://www.nytimes.com/2003/12/30/technology/30spam.html Robert From astapp at fizzfactorgames.com Tue Dec 30 17:59:37 2003 From: astapp at fizzfactorgames.com (Acy James Stapp) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 09:59:37 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] REALITY: virtual and intellectual property rightsand values Message-ID: <56BC65EB2F3963489057F7D978B5E7B740EBA0@amazemail2.amazeent.com> Greetings all. I bring you a few semi-related thoughts on virtual economies. Recently, "Gaming Open Market" opened at http://www.gamingopenmarket.com/. This is a currency exchange between many of the different massively multiplayer games and the U.S. dollar. Now obviously the use of these alternative currencies is currently restricted to in-game property. Is there any reason that one of the currencies with a relatively stable exchange rate could be used to purchase real property? eBay has tons of auctions exchanging virtual cash or virtual property for real cash, but I've never seen anyone pay virtual (game) cash for real property. At what point does the government come in and start taxing your in-game income? One complication would be game balancing. It's very hard to balance an in-game economy, and (foolishly IMHO given the huge budgets) none of the developers ever hires an economist to do so. Often simple adjustments to the game can have dramatic consequences to the games economy. Bugs as well can be introduced and exploited to give exploitative players huge cash supplies, which devalues the rest of the currency. There have been several legal actions in the U.S. about this but I can not find any information on their outcomes at this time. More information can be found at http://www.nyls.edu/pages/1905.asp. Acy -----Original Message----- From: Mike Lorrey [mailto:mlorrey at yahoo.com] Sent: Saturday, 27 December, 2003 12:04 To: ExI chat list Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] REALITY: virtual and intellectual property rightsand values Well, the article does say that gamers do sell virtual assets for real money on ebay. Such a public market mechanism should very easily establish commodity pricing of such virtual goods, and thus act as a benchmark of tangible value. --- "Extropian Agroforestry Ventures Inc." wrote: > Might this not have a kickback into the real world's intellectual > property laws and valuations. Proper valuations of non-physical > property are off balance sheet and hard to prove value for in > disputes > over ownership? > > "Robert J. Bradbury" wrote: > > > I'm totally clueless about such things since I do not > > play online games and don't own such things as a > > Playstation or a Gameboy... (Q.E.D. [1] I'll probably > > be left behind when the singularity arrives). > > > > But I found it interesting that even a Chinese court > > has determined that virtual holdings are subject > > to compensation in the case of a wrongful theft > > of said virtual property... > > > > Gamer wins back virtual booty in court battle > > New Scientist 23 Dec. 2003 > > http://www.newscientist.com/news/news.jsp?id=ns99994510 > > > > Robert > > > > 1. http://en2.wikipedia.org/wiki/Q.E.D. > > ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com From dirk at neopax.com Tue Dec 30 18:09:42 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 18:09:42 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Alert for Suspicious Farmers' Almanacs References: <20031230165025.48500.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> <012201c3cefb$57eed950$6400a8c0@brainiac> Message-ID: <014101c3cf00$19801580$d2256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Olga Bourlin" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Tuesday, December 30, 2003 5:35 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Alert for Suspicious Farmers' Almanacs > From: "Mike Lorrey" > > > I don't think something as minor as a Farmer's Almanac is what they are > > talking about. It seemed to me that they were talking about those 1000 > > page plus reference alamanacs you can buy that have data about tons of > > things covering the whole country to a far greter degree than the > > average road atlas. > > > While I can understand the leftist need to ridicule this measure by > > decribing it as 'farmers almanac' ... > > You understand the leftist need ...? to ridicule ...? Hmmmm, do you suppose > the right ever ridicules the left? (if not, then please point out how it > does not). While you may correct that the almanac to which the article > refers may not be the ubiquitous Farmers, it doesn't make that entirely > clear (and the article does invoke a quote from the publisher of the > aforesaid ...). > > BTW, at first I thought this was a joke, but now I'm not so certain (do you > think this is serious?): > http://www.thbookservice.com/BookPage.asp?prod_cd=c6230 > > >The left often displays a rather high degree of hubristic > > arrogance that it is so smart that anybody they don't like must be > > stupid. > > ... somewhat like the rather high degree of hubristic arrogance displayed by > the right? > > > That is, however, the nature of leftism, the concept that > > people are too dumb for their own good and need to be told how to spend > > their money. > > ... and what is the *nature* of rightism? (perhaps, thinking that the > leftists have a "need to ridicule" ...?) > > >Suggest you consider that intelligence people may have > > much better information sources than you do. > > I have a great deal of respect for intelligence people (as long as they're > rational and intelligent). I worry about the likes of Ashcroft, and stuff > like: "Condi Rice is as comfortable speaking publicly about her faith in > God as she is about strategic arms reduction and routing out terrorism." > found in: http://www.christianitytoday.com/cr/2002/005/1.18.html > > If the fate of the world rests with people who have conversations with > god(s), all is lost ... Now that is a characteristic of the Right - not only talking to God but getting God-given answers. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From dirk at neopax.com Tue Dec 30 18:16:02 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 18:16:02 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Alert for Suspicious Farmers' Almanacs References: <20031230165025.48500.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <014901c3cf00$fbeb0920$d2256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Mike Lorrey" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Tuesday, December 30, 2003 4:50 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Alert for Suspicious Farmers' Almanacs > I do recall that the books that bin Laden & company developed to train > their people did in fact mention referencing almanacs. If a number of > al quaeda seized here in the US have been found with them in their > posession, then this is in fact a good tip to discern possible suspects > in the future. Suggest you consider that intelligence people may have > much better information sources than you do. And another giveaway is that 100% of the terrorists so far identified have been in possession of swarthy Middle Eastern complexions, often with black beards. [Got that direct from the CIA] Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Tue Dec 30 18:32:31 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 13:32:31 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Spam In-Reply-To: <018801c3ceec$cc22eaf0$e3fe4d0c@hal2001> Message-ID: <004801c3cf03$4c246150$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> John K Clark wrote, > It's puzzling, in most of the spam I've gotten recently they > don't appear to be selling anything. The subject line may say > something about sexual aids or low interest rates but the > body contains nothing but what looks like random verbiage > from some old encyclopedia or novel. I can understand putting > in a little of that to get around the filters but that's all > there is, on this stuff there is no way they can make any > money off me even if I was the most gullible man on the > planet because there is no product they are selling and no > way for me to send them money. It must take time and effort > to send those messages, why do they bother? I guess the new > point in spam is not to make money but just to send spam. These are trolling for valid addresses. They can collect all the bounced messages and prune their list to active addresses. They also are testing various methods and channels to verify that they work before they send the actual spam. They also want to verify the anonymity features before putting their actual product into them. You will see a spate of these just before any holiday or date when people are planning to send a lot of spam. You will also see a bunch of these whenever a new version of a spam engine is released, as thousands of spammers start testing the new software. All of these spams look similar, because they are all being generated by the same software. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Tue Dec 30 18:45:34 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 13:45:34 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: <3FF14F8B.7030502@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> Message-ID: <004a01c3cf05$1f30bde0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> BillK wrote, > Here is a good article which claims that the IT industry is > finally beginning to give up on Microsoft and start the move > to open software. There may well be an element of wishful > thinking here but the points made in the article are sound > (i.e. cost, reliability, continual patching, licensing, > security, virus attacks, etc.). But there is a vast inertia > of MS lock-in which has to be overcome before it will have > much effect. > A lot of people and companies have literally given up on Microsoft. Most security people don't even try to claim that Microsoft products can be made secure. Many corporations have so many thousands of PC's, that it is a major disaster every time Microsoft releases an automatic update that breaks something. All of a sudden across their enterprise, thousands of machines break. Since most large corporations have good security and firewalls to keep hackers out, almost all of their problems are literally caused by Microsoft itself. When they used to receive daily updates from Microsoft, they had whole teams just responding to whatever Microsoft broke. Now that Microsoft is bundling all these patches into monthly releases, many companies are literally having tiger teams standing by on the day of the Microsoft release. These companies literally see Microsoft causing 99% of their disasters and see hacker problems only a few times a year. The other problem is compatibility and consistency. Corporations standardized on Microsoft to have a single product line to support. This did not turn out to work, because Windows 95 fragmented into Windows 98, Windows ME, Windows NT, Windows 2000, Windows XP and now Windows 2003. Support groups have to support a half dozen operating systems, each with their own particular foibles and problems. They never got the monolithic pervasive desktop that they dreamed about. For large corporations, migrating thousands of critical PCs from one OS to another can take years. They aren't finished migrating the last of their systems to the new OS before the next new OS comes out. Microsoft has clearly decided that inventing a new OS every couple of years is their preferred strategy over maintaining the existing one long-term. This is not what companies wanted. Unix and Linux now look like long-term, stable operating systems compared to Microsoft. They look more consistent and uniform across the board compared to various Microsoft OSes. The "old" Unix now looks mature while Microsoft's stuff is seen as the new, experimental not-quite-yet-ready-for-prime-time box. This is quite a shift in mentality among managers. I believe it is actually occurring, because this has been well known among the technical geeks for years. So this trend represents the knowledge bubbling up from the trenches to management, and not some new fad that will disappear. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From spike66 at comcast.net Tue Dec 30 19:17:35 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 11:17:35 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Spam In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <000001c3cf09$9517dc10$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > Robert J. Bradbury > > On Wed, 31 Dec 2003, Major wrote: > > > Many of them are using the multipart/alternate MIME type... > > Major is correct about the crap -- it began when Bayesian > filters started becoming popular. > > I suspect that one could catch this with grammer filters but then they > would just start taking paragraphs out of public News/BBS posts or > some other similar source of human authored text... Robert Currently there is an arms race between spammers and spam filters. Clearly, both are getting far more sophisticated, very quickly. Robert's comment brings up an interesting speculation: perhaps we will soon reach the point where even human level intelligence will have difficulty distinguishing spam from non-spam. Anyone who has ever purchased pharmaceuticals, penis enhancements or actually anything from any spammer would be an example of a human level intelligence that has failed to distinguish the two. My coworker who was bilked of 3300 bucks last month is an example of a brilliant PhD human intelligence, along with at least two bank employees, which failed the test. Before we laugh this off, consider the example of my teenage neices: they are not allowed by their parents to use the internet, because very their best efforts have consistently failed to stop the porno-spam. Recall a Jeremiad which I posted about a year ago: if spammers get sufficiently sophisticated, our much-loved internet becomes useless, buried beneath a deep pile of garbage forever. spike From samantha at objectent.com Tue Dec 30 19:27:01 2003 From: samantha at objectent.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 11:27:01 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: <200312291234.hBTCYjc22593@igor.synonet.com> References: <3FF00943.4070300@mail.tele.dk> <200312291234.hBTCYjc22593@igor.synonet.com> Message-ID: <20031230112701.1157d752.samantha@objectent.com> On Mon, 29 Dec 2003 20:34:45 +0800 Major wrote: > > Brian Alexander Lee wrote: > > > As a developer for hire, it's foolish to ignore Windows. > > Windows is dominant in the market because windows is dominant in the > market. Ho hum. Well, since the lion share of development I see contractors hired for is in Java and Java is platform independent, I think wanting to be employed is not a reason for caring a lot about Windows per se. -s From wingcat at pacbell.net Tue Dec 30 19:31:10 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 11:31:10 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Alert for Suspicious Farmers' Almanacs In-Reply-To: <20031230165025.48500.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20031230193110.9750.qmail@web80405.mail.yahoo.com> --- Mike Lorrey wrote: > I don't think something as minor as a Farmer's > Almanac is what they are > talking about. It seemed to me that they were > talking about those 1000 > page plus reference alamanacs you can buy that have > data about tons of > things covering the whole country to a far greter > degree than the > average road atlas. It's the same problem. The damage the FBI does to our economy and our nation by placing an aura of fear around such things, thus in effect restricting their legitimate commercial uses, far outweighs the likely possible terrorist damage over the current expected lifetime of anyone involved. (Not accounting for the Singularity or other causes of increased longevity.) But the FBI doesn't have to pay more than lip service to legitimate uses. If it can help them brand someone a terrorist, then it furthers their careers, whether or not it actually keeps people safe. > That is, however, the nature of leftism, the > concept that > people are too dumb for their own good and need to > be told how to spend > their money. If that's leftism, then I'm not leftist, and yet I oppose this particular action too. I oppose it primarily because it *is*, in effect, keeping people in ignorance, and telling them how to spend their money (or, in this case, how not to: don't spend on almanacs, whether or not you might otherwise want to). > I do recall that the books that bin Laden & company > developed to train > their people did in fact mention referencing > almanacs. If a number of > al quaeda seized here in the US have been found with > them in their > posession, then this is in fact a good tip to > discern possible suspects > in the future. The number of almanac users far outstrips the number of al Quaeda operatives. The anti-terrorist officials have demonstrated a lack of appreciation of this type of thing before, for instance when they suggested that all Middle Eastern males in a certain age range be harrassed by the INS, by being made to register with the (to the public) apparently arbitrary risk of indefinite arrest without charges. The courts, upon investigating, excoriated these arrests for lack of any evidence of actual wrongdoing, or any reason for the arrest at all besides happening to fit a certain profile. They've been demonstrating a certain consistent logical fallacy, which causes great harm to the public when put into action without actually increasing security. This alert shows all the same signs. > Suggest you consider that > intelligence people may have > much better information sources than you do. And they may be making things up to please the administration, as they have been previously shown to do. We can only judge on the evidence we are aware of; it does not help that, in the few cases they claim "national security" but that claim is breached, there usually turns out to have been weak or no actual justification in the first place. (How far things have changed from times of old, when such breaches, when they happened, usually turned up actual substance - or so I hear.) It's the same issue as with scientific claims: they need to be backed up with evidence, and in practice, those who hide their "evidence" often turn out to have done so because they have no evidence. From samantha at objectent.com Tue Dec 30 19:28:17 2003 From: samantha at objectent.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 11:28:17 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: <20031229144610.7941.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> References: <3FF00943.4070300@mail.tele.dk> <20031229144610.7941.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20031230112817.57eab195.samantha@objectent.com> Can you reduce morality and the question of what should we strive for to simply making more money to supposedly buy the uploading that will be developed on by ? -s On Mon, 29 Dec 2003 06:46:09 -0800 (PST) Mike Lorrey wrote: > > --- Max M wrote: > > Brian Alexander Lee wrote: > > > > > As a developer for hire, it's foolish to ignore Windows. > > > > As someone who hopes to upload it is foolish to trust Windows. > > And which of these issues is going to impact your future ability to > upload more: whether you make any money now, or whether Windows > continues to exist in 30 years? > > ===== > Mike Lorrey > "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." > - Gen. John Stark > "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." > - Mike Lorrey > Do not label me, I am an ism of one... > Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com > > __________________________________ > Do you Yahoo!? > New Yahoo! Photos - easier uploading and sharing. > http://photos.yahoo.com/ > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From spike66 at comcast.net Tue Dec 30 19:38:07 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 11:38:07 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Spam In-Reply-To: <004801c3cf03$4c246150$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <000001c3cf0c$73d9b2f0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > Harvey Newstrom > > ...You will also see a bunch of these > whenever a new version of a spam engine is released, as thousands of > spammers start testing the new software... Harvey Newstrom... Spam engines. Oh, evolution help us. Next it will be spam guns, then spam bazookas, and inevitably, spam nukes. We can be confident such things are coming, for there are plenty of people who would be delighted to see the internet come crashing down. How many of you did most or all of your holiday shopping on the internet? I did. The on-line stores are eating the lunch of the local merchants, who must pay ruinous sales tax to the state. The internet's biggest threat is not spammers trying to sell things, but spammers trying to get the proletariat off-line and back into the tax-generating local stores, churches, sporting events, commercial television, facing Mecca, etc. Here's one to watch for: one day you get a spam which shows a shocking image of child pornography or abuse, which pops up without your doing anything. Then a message comes up a little later which claims to be from a government agency of some sort, saying that it has detected an illegal downloaded image of child pornography on the hard disk, making the owner of that computer punishable by 10 yrs in the slammer, etc. It would not surprise me if as many as 10% of the proles were to fall for that trick, toss the whole infernal device into the trash. Actually Im surprised something like that hasn't already happened. spike From samantha at objectent.com Tue Dec 30 19:37:26 2003 From: samantha at objectent.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 11:37:26 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Alert for Suspicious Farmers' Almanacs In-Reply-To: <012101c3ce7b$60c3cd90$6400a8c0@brainiac> References: <012101c3ce7b$60c3cd90$6400a8c0@brainiac> Message-ID: <20031230113726.0829cfd9.samantha@objectent.com> The FBI and much of the supposed anti-terrorism machinery of the US has lost touch with reality. I am waiting for: "FBI requests tracking of all individuals with IQ above 140 as possible terrorism masterminds." What is next? Limiting and downgrading all information sources to "combat terrorism"? It would be better imho to increase the amount of knowledge including giving better means for self-defense and understanding one's true risk to everyone. This terror mongering is a "the-sky-is-falling" mentaility at best and a cyncical political tool at worse. - s On Mon, 29 Dec 2003 18:19:39 -0800 "Olga Bourlin" wrote: > I kid you not ... > > http://tinyurl.com/36ye8 > > FBI urges police to watch for people carrying almanacs > TED BRIDIS, Associated Press Writer > Monday, December 29, 2003 > ?2003 Associated Press > (12-29) 16:18 PST WASHINGTON (AP) -- > > The FBI is warning police nationwide to be alert for people carrying > almanacs, cautioning that the popular reference books covering everything > from abbreviations to weather trends could be used for terrorist planning. > > In a bulletin sent Christmas Eve to about 18,000 police organizations, the > FBI said terrorists may use almanacs "to assist with target selection and > pre-operational planning." > > It urged officers to watch during searches, traffic stops and other > investigations for anyone carrying almanacs, especially if the books are > annotated in suspicious ways. > > "The practice of researching potential targets is consistent with known > methods of al-Qaida and other terrorist organizations that seek to maximize > the likelihood of operational success through careful planning," the FBI > wrote. > > The Associated Press obtained a copy of the bulletin this week and verified > its authenticity. > > "For local law enforcement, it's just to help give them one more piece of > information to raise their suspicions," said David Heyman, a terrorism > expert for the Washington-based Center for Strategic and International > Studies. "It helps make sure one more bad guy doesn't get away from a > traffic stop, maybe gives police a little bit more reason to follow up on > this." > > The FBI noted that use of almanacs or maps may be innocent, "the product of > legitimate recreational or commercial activities." But it warned that when > combined with suspicious behavior -- such as apparent surveillance -- a > person with an almanac "may point to possible terrorist planning." > > "I don't think anyone would consider us a harmful entity," said Kevin > Seabrooke, senior editor of The World Almanac. He said the reference book > includes about a dozen pages out of its 1,000 pages total listing the > world's tallest buildings and bridges but includes no diagrams or > architectural schematics. "It's stuff that's widely available on the > Internet," he said. > > The publisher for The Old Farmers Almanac said Monday terrorists would > probably find statistical reference books more useful than the collections > of Americana in his famous publication of weather predictions and > witticisms. > > "While we doubt that our editorial content would be of particular interest > to people who would wish to do us harm, we will certainly cooperate to the > fullest with national authorities at any level they deem appropriate," > publisher John Pierce said. > > The FBI said information typically found in almanacs that could be useful > for terrorists includes profiles of cities and states and information about > waterways, bridges, dams, reservoirs, tunnels, buildings and landmarks. It > said this information is often accompanied by photographs and maps. > > The FBI urged police to report such discoveries to the local U.S. Joint > Terrorism Task Force. > > ?2003 Associated Press > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From samantha at objectent.com Tue Dec 30 19:39:18 2003 From: samantha at objectent.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 11:39:18 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Alert for Suspicious Farmers' Almanacs In-Reply-To: References: <012101c3ce7b$60c3cd90$6400a8c0@brainiac> Message-ID: <20031230113918.7a8e277c.samantha@objectent.com> So, Robert, you believe that playing ostrich is the best guarantee of safety? Let no one know anything without a (supposedly governmental) need to know? What becomes of our extropian dreams then? -s On Mon, 29 Dec 2003 22:19:52 -0800 (PST) "Robert J. Bradbury" wrote: > > On Mon, 29 Dec 2003, Olga Bourlin wrote: > > > In a bulletin sent Christmas Eve to about 18,000 police organizations, the > > FBI said terrorists may use almanacs "to assist with target selection and > > pre-operational planning." > > Its not so unreasonable Olga. I'd like to think I'd be reasonably dangerous > if I chose to take up terrorism as a profession. (Not quite Mike's level > obviously but probably someone to be taken reasonably seriously.) I just > checked my bookcase and I've got 3 Almanac's in it. Largely dated before > Google became available -- but still very information dense. I could go > through them and come up with a number of examples of useful information > for terrorists but I would prefer not to publish such data. > > I'm always *amazed* at the degree to which there is public discussion > of great targets for terrorists. Last week it was LPG tankers with > planes loaded with radioactive waste, this week it is citing chlorine > storage facilities as good targets. > > Robert > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From dirk at neopax.com Tue Dec 30 19:42:51 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 19:42:51 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? References: <3FF00943.4070300@mail.tele.dk><20031229144610.7941.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> <20031230112817.57eab195.samantha@objectent.com> Message-ID: <017f01c3cf0d$1d245270$d2256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Samantha Atkins" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Tuesday, December 30, 2003 7:28 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? > Can you reduce morality and the question of what should we strive for to simply making more money to supposedly buy the uploading that will be developed on by ? Or simply reduce morality to game theory. Nice and objective eh? Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From scerir at libero.it Tue Dec 30 19:59:36 2003 From: scerir at libero.it (scerir) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 20:59:36 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Many worlds and Hugh Everett References: <015f01c3cedc$01a9ad50$6501a8c0@int.veeco.com><015c01c3ceea$1d1e4ce0$e3fe4d0c@hal2001> <007a01c3ceee$42bb3810$d2256bd5@artemis> Message-ID: <001901c3cf0f$743734e0$cbb71b97@administxl09yj> > As it stands the [MWI] interpretation can only be verified > subjectively, and only if true. > Dirk There are several different "interpretations", or "models", or "theories", not just one QM. And they are not equivalent, in physical terms, i.e., the energy conservation law in MWI is a statistical law; i.e., the von Neumann density operator depends on the specific subjects performing measurements on the same system (the "whose knowledge?" issue); etc. There are measures, probabilities, entropies, informations, effects dependent on the specific "interpretation" you choose: Physical collapse interpretation, Copenhagen interpretation, decoherence and environment interpretation, conditional density matrices, two-state time symmetrical quantum formalism, instantaneous non-local influences, superluminal influences, Eberhard's superluminal "realistic" influences, retro-causality models, modal interpretations, consistent histories, consciousness, non-local hidden variables, witnessing interpretations, superselection rules, modified or non-linear dynamics, statistical interpretation of (proper and improper) mixtures, Einstein's statistical interpretations, GWR theory, Brownian quantum theory, Ne'eman's geometric interpretation, Finkelstein's physics of logic interpretation, Bell's iper-deterministic interpretation, Bohmian mechanics, Barut's mechanics, MWI, Hugh Everett, many minds, Pitowsky's reformulation of a local hidden variable theory based on the Banach-Tarski theorem, quantum diffusion theory, Ithaca interpretation, informational interpretation(s), etc. etc.). One of the reasons is that QM (complete or not, in the sense of EPR) in general (excepting perhaps MWI) is assumed not to be a "closed" theory, even if it pretends to be universally valid. As Bohr stated, since the very beginning of QM, the "observer", measuring a quantum system by means of an "apparatus", remains out, it is not described by QM. This is the von Neumann "cut", this is one of the mysteries, this is the source of (many of) the above "interpretations", or "theories". Although QM would describe anything, it cannot include everything, and it must introduce a "cut", an "interface", somewhere, from which the probability rules can be derived. As you have maybe already realized there are, perhaps, also Goedelian issues in QM, because the theory is not closed, it is not self-supporting. These issues are many, i.e. the subject-object separability is unclear (Albert-Peres self- measurements, Finkelstein's 'introspective' systems); i.e., it is well known the fact that linear combinations of "elements of reality", as defined by EPR, may not be themselves "elements of reality", thus also the mathematical framework of QM (but not the experimental) seems to be "fuzzy". About all that, and many more, see, in example, T.Breuer at http://www.staff.fh-vorarlberg.ac.at/tb/tbpublisteengl.html But, on the experimental side, a lot of work has been done, and now the situation is much different from that described by Bohr (a realist, but "sui generis"), and von Neumann (the "cut"), and London and Bauer and Wigner and the young Heisenberg (the "consciousness"), and Pauli (the "occasio", or "creation"). Now quantum macro-objects are under direct "investigation", and the Nobel laureate A. Leggett wrote this interesting paper www.nobel.se/physics/symposia/ncs-2001-1/leggett.pdf against the "macro-realism", as he calls it. We could say that the observer and the apparatus are, thus, close to become objects of performed physical experiments. It is important to remember here the precise domain of validity of Bell's theorem. Its proof requires the observed system to be *deterministic*, while the observer is *not*. (As Bell himself realized, if the observer too is deterministic, there is no problem at all with QM, and local hidden variables, because everything would be pre-determined, our free will be entangled with quantum systems, by a totalitarian conspiratorially theory). Thus Bell's theorem, requiring determinism and direct counterfactual reasoning (if we would measure ... if instead we would measure ...) has a limited validity within a theory based on intrinsic randomness and indeterminism. As you maybe already realized, if you wish to disprove QM, or one of its "interpretations", you have many different narrow "avenues". I do not agree with the usual song that if you want to disprove MWI you must just disprove QM. That is a bit simplistic. Because, in example, we can schrink the entire QM into a set of 5 or 6 axioms, with are robust indeed. Being MWI (or MWI + decoherence) a "realistic" theory, in the sense of EPR (*), if you wish to disprove this theory you could start from a precise criterion (still to be invented, to my knowledge) to distinguish, by performing experiments, a coherent superposition of states, from a (proper or improper) mixture of states. Algorithmic information theory could provide some insight here. And also some new development of the theory of entanglements. (For mixed states, it is harder to establish a good measure of entanglement, since such a measure has to distinguish between entropy arising from classical correlations in the state, and entropy due to purely quantum correlations. Two measures of entanglement that have explicit physical meaning in the processing of quantum information have emerged, the entanglement cost of a quantum state and the distillable entanglement of a quantum state). s. (*) ""if, without in any way disturbing a system, we can predict with certainty (i.e. with probability equal to unity) the value of a physical quantity, then there exists an element of physical reality corresponding to this physical quantity." >From the specific point of view of MWI, the statement above is perfectly right, true, valid, consistent. (From the MWI pov EPR were a bit incorrect, regarding the specific observables whose values can be predicted). From wingcat at pacbell.net Tue Dec 30 19:49:15 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 11:49:15 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Spam In-Reply-To: <000001c3cf0c$73d9b2f0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20031230194915.65995.qmail@web80411.mail.yahoo.com> --- Spike wrote: > Here's one to watch for: one day you get a spam > which > shows a shocking image of child pornography or > abuse, > which pops up without your doing anything. Then a > message comes up a little later which claims to be > from > a government agency of some sort, saying that it has > detected an illegal downloaded image of child > pornography > on the hard disk, making the owner of that computer > punishable by 10 yrs in the slammer, etc. > > It would not surprise me if as many as 10% of the > proles > were to fall for that trick, toss the whole infernal > device > into the trash. Actually Im surprised something > like that > hasn't already happened. Bring it on. Most of those who would fall for it are probably those who also fall for spam commerce; with them off the 'Net, spammers would lose most of their external revenue, and thus probably eventually start shutting down when they can not afford to go on (no matter if they're still deluded about the profit potential). Careful crafting of the message could make non-American suckers believe that the US is trying to assert its law over everyone in the world in this matter, and thus that they personally have something to fear. Between the diplomatic fallout from this, and protest from the clued-in fraction of American Netizens, the US government would likely suddenly take the lead in being *very* spam-hostile. From samantha at objectent.com Tue Dec 30 19:49:58 2003 From: samantha at objectent.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 11:49:58 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <20031230114958.7d3e862a.samantha@objectent.com> On Tue, 30 Dec 2003 10:17:55 -0500 "Brian Lee" wrote: > > > > >From: Adrian Tymes > >Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? > >Date: Mon, 29 Dec 2003 10:21:00 -0800 (PST) > > > >As someone who uses a computer at all, it is foolish > >to trust Windows. (I don't need to trust the game > >computer on my desktop, but I do need to trust the > >Linux system running my Web server.) But "trust" is > >not the same as "ignore"... > > Note that you can still "trust" windows systems, but they must be designed > differently than *nix systems. A farm of 6 windows servers can still still > provide 5 nines as a system the same as a Linux server can (although you'd > want a farm of linux boxen as well). Windows, while not optimal, is > acceptable for server applications. > > Except MS makes it difficult, costly and severely constrains the architecture to build such a farm to start with. N windows machines are not that much more difficult to crack with known security exploits than 1. - samantha From bradbury at aeiveos.com Tue Dec 30 19:57:48 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 11:57:48 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Alert for Suspicious Farmers' Almanacs In-Reply-To: <20031230113918.7a8e277c.samantha@objectent.com> Message-ID: On Tue, 30 Dec 2003, Samantha Atkins wrote: > So, Robert, you believe that playing ostrich is the best guarantee of > safety? Let no one know anything without a (supposedly governmental) > need to know? What becomes of our extropian dreams then? No -- let us not be ostrichs. But each of us have different hazard profiles (remember how I'm always going on about hazard functions...). In my particular case I've flown probably something like 600,000+ miles over the last couple of decades. I would guess that is significantly higher than the average person. So it would be wiser for me to take that into account when looking at aggressive (some might say stupid) policies by governments to capture terrorists. One only has to look at the recent assasination attempts in Pakistan, Saudi Arabia and the daily death count in Iraq to understand that these people mean business. We have had long discussions in the past about the cultural clashes and what the best solutions might be. Ignoring anything from terrorist threats to Mad Cow disease can eliminate ones Extropian dream. In both cases it may require a little more government oversight or interference to fix the problems and/or minimize the risks. If you had asked me 3 years ago whether I would be in favor of more power to big brother I would have looked at you like you were crazy (remember I'm the person whose father almost threw him out of the house for refusing to return his draft card in the mid-'70s). If you ask me now -- I still don't like many of the people in power and I think the patriot act(s) are mostly very poor laws. But if you ask me if we should have officials drawing attention to Almanacs and requiring marshals on planes then I'm going to have to think long and hard now about whether the risks outweight the benefits. I also found another couple of Almanacs in my book collection so now I'm up to 5. I'm clearly a dangerous person. :-) Robert From bradbury at aeiveos.com Tue Dec 30 20:03:28 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 12:03:28 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Spam In-Reply-To: <000001c3cf09$9517dc10$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: On Tue, 30 Dec 2003, Spike wrote: > > I suspect that one could catch this with grammer filters but then they > > would just start taking paragraphs out of public News/BBS posts or > > some other similar source of human authored text... Robert No sooner are the words out of my mouth -- checking my messages from yesterday that got through my combination of spambouncer (rule-based filtering) and spamprobe (Bayesian filtering) and I find a message that has a text portion with ~100K of English text discussing Darwin, Wallace, evolution, finches, etc. and a HTML portion that contains the damn SPAM for debt consolidation. Interesting I had trained spamprobe to treat it as SPAM and the keywords that show up as SPAM indicators include things like "finches". Frak! Robert From wingcat at pacbell.net Tue Dec 30 20:06:17 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 12:06:17 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] REALITY: virtual and intellectual property rightsand values In-Reply-To: <56BC65EB2F3963489057F7D978B5E7B740EBA0@amazemail2.amazeent.com> Message-ID: <20031230200617.60385.qmail@web80408.mail.yahoo.com> --- Acy James Stapp wrote: > At what point does the government come in and start > taxing your in-game > income? When it can be directly used to purchase significant amounts of out-of-game property, which in this case would be when it's converted to ("sold for", from their perspective) real world currency. From their point of view, you don't realize any actual income until that point (literally: you "real"-ize it). From extropy at unreasonable.com Tue Dec 30 20:30:55 2003 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 15:30:55 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: The human OS [was: when will computers improve?] In-Reply-To: <03e101c3cebd$3ba02e40$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> References: Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031230152914.02811ff8@mail.comcast.net> At 09:11 PM 12/30/2003 +1100, Brett Paatsch wrote: >I wonder what sort of dis-illusioned entity, if not a self, will still be >around to pronounce that a machine has passed the Turin test ? The answer's shrouded. -- David. From jonkc at att.net Tue Dec 30 20:42:09 2003 From: jonkc at att.net (John K Clark) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 15:42:09 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Spam References: Message-ID: <019701c3cf15$856a1290$deff4d0c@hal2001> I think the entire protocol is going to have to change as spam is fast making Email unusable. The best idea I've heard is if you want to send me a message and you are not in my address book then I won't see it until your machine factors a medium sized randomly generated number my machine gives yours, a task that should take the average home PC about 10 seconds. This will not hurt legitimate mass mailers such as the Extropian list as they would be on my white list and not have to do it, nor will it much cramp the style of somebody who sends 7 or 8 Emails a day, but if you want to send 7 or 8 million Emails a day it will be a significant burden and will cost you. The cost per message need not be very high, the percentage of people who actually buy their snake oil is so low even a tenth of a cent would make spam uneconomical. John K Clark jonkc at att.net From jonkc at att.net Tue Dec 30 21:26:29 2003 From: jonkc at att.net (John K Clark) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 16:26:29 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Many worlds and Hugh Everett References: <015f01c3cedc$01a9ad50$6501a8c0@int.veeco.com><015c01c3ceea$1d1e4ce0$e3fe4d0c@hal2001> <007a01c3ceee$42bb3810$d2256bd5@artemis> Message-ID: <028901c3cf1b$f85eb9d0$deff4d0c@hal2001> "Dirk Bruere" Wrote: > As it stands the interpretation can only be verified subjectively, and >only if true. In a book called "The Ghost In The Atom" David Deutsch does give what he considers a definitive test of the Many World Interpretation and a Quantum Computer is part of it, but it must be intelligent. In the Deutsch test a conscious quantum computer shoots electrons at a metal plate that has 2 small slits in it. It does this one at a time. After leaving the plate the electrons hit a photographic film, but do not look at the photograph until later. The quantum mind has detectors near each slit so it knows which slit the various electrons went through. The quantum mind now signs a document saying that it has observed each and every electron and knows what slit each electron went through. It is very important that the document does not say which slit the electron went through, it only says that they went through one slit only, and the mind has knowledge of which one. Now the mind uses quantum erasure to completely destroy his memory of the experiment. The only part remaining is the document. Now develop the photographic plate and look at it. According to Deutsch if you see interference bands then the many world interpretation is correct. If you do not see interference bands then there are no worlds but this one and the conventional interpretation is correct. Deutsch thinks an experiment like this will actually be performed in the first half of the next century. The reason it's so difficult to test is not many world's fault, the reason is that the conventional view says that conscious observers obey different laws of physics, many worlds says they do not, so to test who's right we need a mind that uses quantum properties. In the Copenhagen interpretation when the results of a measurement enters the consciousness of an observer the wave function collapses, in effect all the universes except one disappear without a trace so you get no interference. In the many worlds model all the other worlds will converge back into one universe when the electrons hit the photographic film but their influence will still be felt, you'll see indications that the electron went through slot A only and indications that it went through slot B only, and that's what causes interference. Time will tell who's correct. John K Clark jonkc at att.net From wingcat at pacbell.net Tue Dec 30 21:36:39 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 13:36:39 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Alert for Suspicious Farmers' Almanacs In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031230213639.65654.qmail@web80404.mail.yahoo.com> --- "Robert J. Bradbury" wrote: > But if you ask me if we should have officials > drawing attention > to Almanacs and requiring marshals on planes How do these compare? Requiring marshals on planes does not itself imply it is okay to trample on anyone's rights just because of some factor that has a very shaky, if any, correlation to terrorists. From charlie at antipope.org Tue Dec 30 21:41:07 2003 From: charlie at antipope.org (Charlie Stross) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 21:41:07 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Spam In-Reply-To: <000001c3cf09$9517dc10$6501a8c0@SHELLY> References: <000001c3cf09$9517dc10$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: On 30 Dec 2003, at 19:17, Spike wrote: > Recall a Jeremiad which I posted about a year ago: > if spammers get sufficiently sophisticated, our much-loved > internet becomes useless, buried beneath a deep pile of > garbage forever. I agree with your spirit, but I submit that there are signs that the problem is close to peaking. Open mail relay hosts are becoming fewer, and tools like the open relay blackhole database enables network admins to blackhole their traffic. Spammers are forced to become more ingenious to sneak around Bayesian filters and collaborative spam filtering tools like Vipul's Razor. Some spammers turn to worms, using them to take over zombie hosts and use them to relay spam (e.g. Sobig-F). And so on. Now, the reason spamming worked in the first place is because it's *cheap*. It displaces the cost of advertising from the producer onto the recipient. However, there are different types of cost; the cost of bandwidth and the cost of human ingenuity required to get around sophisticated filters, for example. The increased emphasis on spam filtering is (I hope!) pricing the small fry out of the market; they can't simply go hunting relay hosts, they've got to actually get ingenious, pay programmers, develop sophisticated spamming software, and all of that costs money. Moreover, if they get too ingenious they will get whacked, hard, by the police authorities. For example, take the use of worms to install open relays. That's flat out illegal, under existing anti-cracking legislation. Spammers who write viruses are courting lengthy jail sentences. Then there's the issue of the products being advertised by spam. As the costs go up, so it loses attractiveness to low-value commodity items. But firms with a reputation to protect won't deal with the criminal spammers (see virus-writers, above). So we'll gradually see a preponderance of illegal pharmaceutical, porn, and loan sharks similar stuff replace the more ordinary merchandise. Which means in turn that law enforcement has a stronger motive to go after spammers and more public support for doing so. Another example: all those V1A.GRA ads are, technically, a violation of the Medicines Act (1968) in the UK, and carry a potential prison sentence -- it's illegal to sell prescription pharmaceuticals in the UK without a prescription and from premises which aren't inspected by the Royal Pharmaceutical Society and/or CSM Medicines Division. So far the drugs ads haven't hit the regulatory authority in the UK -- they're mostly ads for cheap parallel imports into the US, they're not geographically targeted on .uk -- but as spam becomes more of a problem, we can expect to see existing regulatory frameworks used to nail the companies who buy spam bandwidth at source. Most spam these days is already sent by a few professional spamming companies. If their only clients are the mafia, if their only tools are seriously illegal cracking tools, and if they're unpopular enough to get legislators hot under the collar, then how long is it going to take before the FBI and similar organizations take them down for racketeering? -- Charlie From spike66 at comcast.net Tue Dec 30 21:58:26 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 13:58:26 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Spam In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <000001c3cf20$0da62040$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > Charlie Stross > On 30 Dec 2003, at 19:17, Spike wrote: > > > Recall a Jeremiad which I posted about a year ago: > > if spammers get sufficiently sophisticated, our much-loved > > internet becomes useless, buried beneath a deep pile of > > garbage forever. > > I agree with your spirit, but I submit that there are signs that the > problem is close to peaking. > > Open mail relay hosts are becoming fewer, and tools like the > open relay blackhole database enables network admins to blackhole their traffic... -- Charlie Charlie, your post was in answer to those spammers whose motive is to sell things. My concern is for the growing army of spammers whose primary motive is to mess up the internet. I have been seeing more and more clamor from the bricks and mortar retailing community about how their sales are suffering from tax-free internet competition. This cacophonous tininnabulation is now being joined by the local governments issuing dire warnings to the proletariat that because of our shameless internet buying habits, they will soon be unable to supply sufficient law enforcement, fire protection and (most alarmingly) road repair. spike From bradbury at aeiveos.com Tue Dec 30 21:59:49 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 13:59:49 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Alert for Suspicious Farmers' Almanacs In-Reply-To: <20031230213639.65654.qmail@web80404.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: On Tue, 30 Dec 2003, Adrian Tymes wrote: > How do these compare? Requiring marshals on planes > does not itself imply it is okay to trample on > anyone's rights just because of some factor that has a very > shaky, if any, correlation to terrorists. Its a double edged sword and one that could cause endless debate that I'm not sure would be productive. But a couple of things seem true -- it isn't clear *whose* laws in effect during international flights so it isn't clear whose rights you have -- (originating country, destination country, passport country, international or UN rules???). Second though I think most passengers would be grateful to someone taking aggressive action towards someone who is perceived as dangerous -- there are significant risks to the plane, flight crew and passengers when firearms are involved. We have all seen various hijacking films (real or fictional) and it isn't clear what the best strategies are. The same is true for the Almanac checks -- but I'd be happy to explain why I had an Almanac if I thought it was going to stop even a single terrorist act. Robert From charlie at antipope.org Tue Dec 30 22:27:05 2003 From: charlie at antipope.org (Charlie Stross) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 22:27:05 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Spam In-Reply-To: <000001c3cf20$0da62040$6501a8c0@SHELLY> References: <000001c3cf20$0da62040$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <4C4F2FC6-3B17-11D8-B6F6-000A95B18568@antipope.org> On 30 Dec 2003, at 21:58, Spike wrote: > Charlie, your post was in answer to those spammers > whose motive is to sell things. My concern is for > the growing army of spammers whose primary motive is > to mess up the internet. I have been seeing more > and more clamor from the bricks and mortar retailing > community about how their sales are suffering from > tax-free internet competition. This cacophonous > tininnabulation is now being joined by the local > governments issuing dire warnings to the proletariat > that because of our shameless internet buying habits, > they will soon be unable to supply sufficient law > enforcement, fire protection and (most alarmingly) > road repair. That's a different problem entirely, although I'll grant you that it's a problem. However, bricks'n'mortar retailing is only an effective political lobby in proportion to its ability to buy access to politicians' ears. (I was going to add, and insofar as they employ lots of people, but that's not much of a concern for most of today's politicians -- especially as retail/service jobs are not geographically localized or extensively unionized in the way that, say, manufacturing industry jobs are). The reason they're screaming about competition is that the competition from *real* internet businesses -- say, Amazon -- is now biting into their sales. And those internet businesses *also* have the money with which to buy access to legislators. Sales taxes on goods sold over the net are in any case a non-issue. Here in the EU, goods sold over the internet *are* liable for VAT, and it's damn well collected. This doesn't seem to have stopped internet commerce taking off. If anything, the current situation in the USA (of ther being no sales tax on goods sold over the net) is a hidden subsidy to internet adoption, which is no longer justifiable as the net has already become sufficiently close to ubiquitous not to need that kind of thing. Now, if you're saying that conventional retailers are paying spammers to mess up the net, I find that rather hard to believe. If so, it's almost certainly a serious crime, no? -- Charlie From brian_a_lee at hotmail.com Tue Dec 30 22:30:20 2003 From: brian_a_lee at hotmail.com (Brian Lee) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 17:30:20 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? Message-ID: >From: Samantha Atkins g> >To: ExI chat list >Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] when will computers improve? > >Except MS makes it difficult, costly and severely constrains the >architecture to build such a farm to start with. N windows machines are >not that much more difficult to crack with known security exploits than 1. > >- samantha It is both easy and cheap to set up a windows farm (as is a linux farm) for a web application using MS web technologies. Any decent web application is going to have a firewall that blocks everything but 80 and 443 so all those windows security holes are irrelevant. I'm not saying that windows is the best OS out there nor that every app should be built on .Net, but it is a viable architecture (as evidenced by the tons of sites and apps using it). It is fatiguing to hear people complain about windows all day while pecking out notes on their powerbook. Technology should not be a religion. Give me a couple of linux boxes running java or a couple of 2k boxes running .Net and you'll get a reliable, secure application either way. BAL _________________________________________________________________ Make your home warm and cozy this winter with tips from MSN House & Home. http://special.msn.com/home/warmhome.armx From wingcat at pacbell.net Tue Dec 30 22:33:05 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 14:33:05 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Transhuman Space book and role playing game In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031230223305.73665.qmail@web80410.mail.yahoo.com> --- Giu1i0 Pri5c0 wrote: > Has anyone seen this? This type of material can be > useful to spread > transhumanist memes among teenagers. Not just teenagers, although that would be a large part of the market. I've read the books myself (I tend to collect these kinds of things as inspirations for stories more than the game value itself), and it is mostly what it claims to be. The only significant difference stems from the impact of long travel times: it does not now take a week to get anywhere there are humans, but taking only a week to get to Mars is a pretty decent clip in this setting. Imagine spending a week essentially taking a cruise far from any humanity save what is on the ship (and fast ships usually have few passengers), doing whatever you came to do, then spending another week coming back. Telecommuting takes the edge off, perhaps, but this is still in a society being changed by technology at least as fast as we're experiencing in 200X. Space may be open, but it doesn't seem like it would be as large a part of the day-to-day life of most people as the setting description implies. But aside from that, definitely. How would you like to be penpals with the super AI who runs Europe's largest industrial port? Or running a well-funded startup with a good chance of finally implementing dry molecular nanotechnology (what we might call Drexlerian assemblers)? Or maybe you'd prefer to work on what to them is yesteryear's common technology: 3D printers churning out any of a wide variety of widgets, where the cheap licensing fees, wired direct to the patent holders, are the only reason DRM cracking is usually more bother than it's worth, yet the sheer volume of transactions means many people can retire after making just a few useful inventions. Or perhaps you'd prefer to design, or be, one of the staggering variety of genetically engineered beings, many of which qualify as "human"*. Or maybe you'd rather be one of those helping to solve the knotty social problems that the existance of manufactured people has introduced? (No chance of just wishing them away: they exist, they're people too, and they - along with many "natural" humans - would like to bring their brothers and sisters to life without being hunted down for it.) And then there are AIs and robots, with their own degrees of sentience...some of whom aren't just as good as human, but literally _were_ human: uploads, many of whom were alive in 200X. (One of the scenarios: play yourself, either after surviving through the century thanks to better medical technology, or having died, maybe cryo-preserved, and then fairly recently uploaded. Inhabiting a bioshell clone of your original body, wired up to be controlled by the AI that just happens to be you, is optional.) * Yes, this includes catgirls. (Catboys, too.) Someone in the SJ team seems to want to make sure they get mentioned as examples in all their high-biotech universes. Not that I can blame them. From charlie at antipope.org Tue Dec 30 22:33:21 2003 From: charlie at antipope.org (Charlie Stross) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 22:33:21 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Alert for Suspicious Farmers' Almanacs In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <2C2FD451-3B18-11D8-B6F6-000A95B18568@antipope.org> On 30 Dec 2003, at 21:59, Robert J. Bradbury wrote: >> How do these compare? Requiring marshals on planes >> does not itself imply it is okay to trample on >> anyone's rights just because of some factor that has a very >> shaky, if any, correlation to terrorists. > > Its a double edged sword and one that could cause endless > debate that I'm not sure would be productive. But a > couple of things seem true -- it isn't clear *whose* > laws in effect during international flights so it > isn't clear whose rights you have -- (originating > country, destination country, passport country, > international or UN rules???). Second though I > think most passengers would be grateful to someone > taking aggressive action towards someone who is > perceived as dangerous -- there are significant > risks to the plane, flight crew and passengers > when firearms are involved. You bet. Which is why the latest news in the UK is that BALPA (the British Air Line Pilots' Association) is telling their members that they don't need to fly if they believe there's an armed stranger on their flight. BALPA's objection isn't merely to security -- airline pilots are not in favour of hijackings! -- but they believe that sky marshalls will make flights *less* safe. For one thing, a single sky marshall against a group of hijackers may merely give them a free firearm. For another thing, sky marshalls may accidentally wound or kill non-hijackers, or damage the aircraft. They may be mistaken for hijackers by passengers and *cause* security incidents -- if you realised the passenger in the seat next to you had a concealed weapon, what would you do? And so on. BALPA want attention focussed instead on heightening security checks before passengers board the aircraft, and point to the poor quality of many security staff as the biggest problem. Unfortunately it costs a *LOT* more to have well-paid, professional, highly-trained airport security staff than minimum wage drones plus one or two sky marshalls. -- Charlie From wingcat at pacbell.net Tue Dec 30 22:58:01 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 14:58:01 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Alert for Suspicious Farmers' Almanacs In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031230225801.82494.qmail@web80401.mail.yahoo.com> --- "Robert J. Bradbury" wrote: > The same is true for the Almanac checks -- but > I'd be happy to explain why I had an Almanac if > I thought it was going to stop even a single > terrorist act. That's the problem. Many times, they don't (or are perceived not to) ask. "He's got an almanac! He must be a terrorist! ARREST HIM!" It's the kind of simple policy that can easily be communicated. Simple and wrong, perhaps, but that's what it tends towards when the details are left off, as they inevitably are. From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Tue Dec 30 23:02:20 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 18:02:20 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Spam In-Reply-To: <000001c3cf0c$73d9b2f0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <005e01c3cf29$0263ce90$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Spike wrote, > Here's one to watch for: one day you get a spam which > shows a shocking image of child pornography or abuse, > which pops up without your doing anything. Then a > message comes up a little later which claims to be from > a government agency of some sort, saying that it has > detected an illegal downloaded image of child pornography > on the hard disk, making the owner of that computer > punishable by 10 yrs in the slammer, etc. > > It would not surprise me if as many as 10% of the proles > were to fall for that trick, toss the whole infernal device > into the trash. Actually Im surprised something like that > hasn't already happened. It has already happened. There was a case this summer where a person was arrested for distributing child pornography that was found on his hard drive. It turned out that it was installed by a worm without his knowledge and distributed by spammers. He had no knowledge of the incident. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From dirk at neopax.com Tue Dec 30 23:14:23 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 23:14:23 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Many worlds and Hugh Everett References: <015f01c3cedc$01a9ad50$6501a8c0@int.veeco.com><015c01c3ceea$1d1e4ce0$e3fe4d0c@hal2001> <007a01c3ceee$42bb3810$d2256bd5@artemis> <001901c3cf0f$743734e0$cbb71b97@administxl09yj> Message-ID: <028a01c3cf2a$a9cdaab0$d2256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "scerir" To: "Dirk Bruere" ; "ExI chat list" Sent: Tuesday, December 30, 2003 7:59 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Many worlds and Hugh Everett > > As it stands the [MWI] interpretation can only be verified > > subjectively, and only if true. > > Dirk > > There are several different "interpretations", or "models", > or "theories", not just one QM. And they are not equivalent, > in physical terms, i.e., the energy conservation law in MWI > is a statistical law; i.e., the von Neumann density operator > depends on the specific subjects performing measurements > on the same system (the "whose knowledge?" issue); etc. The point is though, that there are no (currently) testable QM theories that both make different predictions from standard QM and are not already falsified by experiment. > There are measures, probabilities, entropies, informations, > effects dependent on the specific "interpretation" you choose: None of which are distinguishable experimentally. > Physical collapse interpretation, Copenhagen interpretation, > decoherence and environment interpretation, conditional density > matrices, two-state time symmetrical quantum formalism, instantaneous > non-local influences, superluminal influences, Eberhard's superluminal > "realistic" influences, retro-causality models, modal interpretations, > consistent histories, consciousness, non-local hidden variables, > witnessing interpretations, superselection rules, modified or > non-linear dynamics, statistical interpretation of (proper and > improper) mixtures, Einstein's statistical interpretations, GWR theory, > Brownian quantum theory, Ne'eman's geometric interpretation, > Finkelstein's physics of logic interpretation, Bell's iper-deterministic > interpretation, Bohmian mechanics, Barut's mechanics, MWI, Hugh Everett, > many minds, Pitowsky's reformulation of a local hidden variable theory > based on the Banach-Tarski theorem, quantum diffusion theory, > Ithaca interpretation, informational interpretation(s), etc. etc.). > > One of the reasons is that QM (complete or not, in the sense of EPR) > in general (excepting perhaps MWI) is assumed not to be a "closed" > theory, even if it pretends to be universally valid. > As Bohr stated, since the very beginning of QM, the "observer", > measuring a quantum system by means of an "apparatus", remains out, > it is not described by QM. This is the von Neumann "cut", this is > one of the mysteries, this is the source of (many of) the above > "interpretations", or "theories". Although QM would describe > anything, it cannot include everything, and it must introduce > a "cut", an "interface", somewhere, from which the probability > rules can be derived. As you have maybe already realized there are, > perhaps, also Goedelian issues in QM, because the theory is not > closed, it is not self-supporting. These issues are many, i.e. > the subject-object separability is unclear (Albert-Peres self- > measurements, Finkelstein's 'introspective' systems); i.e., it is > well known the fact that linear combinations of "elements of reality", > as defined by EPR, may not be themselves "elements of reality", > thus also the mathematical framework of QM (but not the experimental) > seems to be "fuzzy". About all that, and many more, see, in example, > T.Breuer at http://www.staff.fh-vorarlberg.ac.at/tb/tbpublisteengl.html Well, I tend to agree that the measurement problem lies at the heart of any interpretation, but again, there are no experiments which have thrown existing formalism into doubt. > But, on the experimental side, a lot of work has been done, and now > the situation is much different from that described by Bohr > (a realist, but "sui generis"), and von Neumann (the "cut"), and > London and Bauer and Wigner and the young Heisenberg (the > "consciousness"), and Pauli (the "occasio", or "creation"). > Now quantum macro-objects are under direct "investigation", > and the Nobel laureate A. Leggett wrote this interesting paper > www.nobel.se/physics/symposia/ncs-2001-1/leggett.pdf > against the "macro-realism", as he calls it. We could say > that the observer and the apparatus are, thus, close to > become objects of performed physical experiments. ...but still no suprises. > It is important to remember here the precise domain of validity > of Bell's theorem. Its proof requires the observed system to be > *deterministic*, while the observer is *not*. (As Bell himself > realized, if the observer too is deterministic, there is no problem > at all with QM, and local hidden variables, because everything > would be pre-determined, our free will be entangled with quantum > systems, by a totalitarian conspiratorially theory). Thus Bell's > theorem, requiring determinism and direct counterfactual reasoning > (if we would measure ... if instead we would measure ...) has a > limited validity within a theory based on intrinsic randomness and > indeterminism. > > As you maybe already realized, if you wish to disprove QM, > or one of its "interpretations", you have many different > narrow "avenues". None of which have led anywhere to date. > I do not agree with the usual song that if you want to disprove > MWI you must just disprove QM. That is a bit simplistic. Because, > in example, we can schrink the entire QM into a set of 5 or 6 axioms, > with are robust indeed. OK. Given the physical equivalence of the various interpretations does that mean quantum suicide experiments will have the same outcome? > Being MWI (or MWI + decoherence) a "realistic" theory, in the sense > of EPR (*), if you wish to disprove this theory you could start > from a precise criterion (still to be invented, to my knowledge) > to distinguish, by performing experiments, a coherent superposition > of states, from a (proper or improper) mixture of states. > > Algorithmic information theory could provide some insight here. > And also some new development of the theory of entanglements. > (For mixed states, it is harder to establish a good measure of > entanglement, since such a measure has to distinguish between > entropy arising from classical correlations in the state, and > entropy due to purely quantum correlations. Two measures of entanglement > that have explicit physical meaning in the processing of quantum > information have emerged, the entanglement cost of a quantum state and > the distillable entanglement of a quantum state). > > s. > > (*) ""if, without in any way disturbing a system, we can predict > with certainty (i.e. with probability equal to unity) the > value of a physical quantity, then there exists an element > of physical reality corresponding to this physical quantity." > >From the specific point of view of MWI, the statement above > is perfectly right, true, valid, consistent. (From the MWI > pov EPR were a bit incorrect, regarding the specific observables > whose values can be predicted). Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From dirk at neopax.com Tue Dec 30 23:18:37 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 23:18:37 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Many worlds and Hugh Everett References: <015f01c3cedc$01a9ad50$6501a8c0@int.veeco.com><015c01c3ceea$1d1e4ce0$e3fe4d0c@hal2001> <007a01c3ceee$42bb3810$d2256bd5@artemis> <028901c3cf1b$f85eb9d0$deff4d0c@hal2001> Message-ID: <029f01c3cf2b$4110a8a0$d2256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "John K Clark" To: "Dirk Bruere" ; "ExI chat list" Sent: Tuesday, December 30, 2003 9:26 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Many worlds and Hugh Everett > "Dirk Bruere" Wrote: > > > As it stands the interpretation can only be verified subjectively, and > >only if true. > > In a book called "The Ghost In The Atom" David Deutsch does give what > he considers a definitive test of the Many World Interpretation and > a Quantum Computer is part of it, but it must be intelligent. > > In the Deutsch test a conscious quantum computer shoots electrons at a metal > plate that has 2 small slits in it. It does this one at a time. After > leaving the plate the electrons hit a photographic film, but do not look at > the photograph until later. The quantum mind has detectors near each slit > so it knows which slit the various electrons went through. The quantum mind > now signs a document saying that it has observed each and every electron > and knows what slit each electron went through. It is very important that > the document does not say which slit the electron went through, it only > says that they went through one slit only, and the mind has knowledge > of which one. Now the mind uses quantum erasure to completely destroy > his memory of the experiment. The only part remaining is the document. > Now develop the photographic plate and look at it. According to Deutsch > if you see interference bands then the many world interpretation is correct. > If you do not see interference bands then there are no worlds but this one > and the conventional interpretation is correct. I have the feeling that the mere existence of that document will screw the expt. Consider it a generalisation of the erased data. Which highlights another 'grey area' of knowledge v data. It may be that (somehow) QM can 'sense' data being converted to knowledge. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Tue Dec 30 23:22:28 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 18:22:28 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Spam In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <005f01c3cf2b$ce1127c0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Robert J. Bradbury wrote, > No sooner are the words out of my mouth -- checking my > messages from yesterday that got through my combination of > spambouncer (rule-based filtering) and spamprobe (Bayesian > filtering) and I find a message that has a text portion with > ~100K of English text discussing Darwin, Wallace, evolution, > finches, etc. and a HTML portion that contains the damn SPAM > for debt consolidation. Interesting I had trained spamprobe > to treat it as SPAM and the keywords that show up as SPAM > indicators include things like "finches". A worse example is our former Pro-Act site at which has been taken over by spammers. They replicated the previous content about Pro-Act with spam inserted throughout. This is already a common technique. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Tue Dec 30 23:52:31 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 10:52:31 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: The human OS [was: when will computers improve?] References: <5.1.0.14.2.20031230152914.02811ff8@mail.comcast.net> Message-ID: <059601c3cf2f$fd330e20$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> David Lubkin wrote: > At 09:11 PM 12/30/2003 +1100, Brett Paatsch wrote: > > >I wonder what sort of dis-illusioned entity, if not a self, will still be > >around to pronounce that a machine has passed the Turin test ? > > The answer's shrouded. Good point ;-) TurinG test. From memory I think they carbon dated the shroud and there are books around on how to make your own. Brett Paatsch From bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk Tue Dec 30 23:49:29 2003 From: bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk (BillK) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 23:49:29 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Spam Message-ID: <3FF20F09.9060907@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> On Tue Dec 30, 2003 12:38 pm Spike wrote: > Here's one to watch for: one day you get a spam which > shows a shocking image of child pornography or abuse, > which pops up without your doing anything. Then a > message comes up a little later which claims to be from > a government agency of some sort, saying that it has > detected an illegal downloaded image of child pornography > on the hard disk, making the owner of that computer > punishable by 10 yrs in the slammer, etc. > Apparently similar blackmail type spams started about a year ago. Cyber Blackmail Wave Targets Office Workers Tue December 30, 2003 07:50 AM ET By Bernhard Warner, European Internet Correspondent LONDON (Reuters) - Cyber blackmail artists are shaking down office workers, threatening to delete computer files or install pornographic images on their work PCs unless they pay a ransom, police and security experts said. Police say crime gangs have turned cyber extortion into a tidy business of late. A preferred tool is the crude, but effective denial-of-service attack on a company's network, capable of crippling it with an overwhelming flood of data. There are scores of cases of companies -- particularly small and medium-sized firms -- receiving extortion threats that demand the victim transfer money to the fraudster's bank account or the attacks will grow in severity, police said. Fraudsters also send out streams of menacing e-mails with hollow threats of cyber sabotage. The scam works even if only a handful of the countless recipients follow through and pay up. "It's getting simpler," said Hypponen. "If you wanted to extort money from a small company you would have had to hack them and convince them you have stolen their information. Here, you don't have to do anything but send an e-mail around." --------- The warning is - Not only don't reply to spam, but don't even read it or they will start playing mind games with you. BillK From wingcat at pacbell.net Wed Dec 31 00:16:39 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 16:16:39 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Spam In-Reply-To: <005f01c3cf2b$ce1127c0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <20031231001639.31732.qmail@web80403.mail.yahoo.com> --- Harvey Newstrom wrote: > A worse example is our former Pro-Act site at > which has been taken > over by spammers. They > replicated the previous content about Pro-Act with > spam inserted throughout. > This is already a common technique. They're still saying it's about Pro-Act, and claims it was announced at ExI's conferences - and seems to imply edorsement by ExI. Can't you sue them for trademark infringement? From jcorb at iol.ie Wed Dec 31 00:59:05 2003 From: jcorb at iol.ie (J Corbally) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 00:59:05 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Spam Message-ID: <5.0.2.1.1.20031231005851.030f6220@pop.iol.ie> >Message: 11 >Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 11:38:07 -0800 > >From: "Spike" >Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] Spam >To: "'ExI chat list'" >Message-ID: <000001c3cf0c$73d9b2f0$6501a8c0 at SHELLY> >Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii" > > Harvey Newstrom > > > > ...You will also see a bunch of these > > whenever a new version of a spam engine is released, as thousands of > > spammers start testing the new software... Harvey Newstrom... >Spam engines. Oh, evolution help us. Next it will be >spam guns, then spam bazookas, and inevitably, spam >nukes. We can be confident such things are coming, >for there are plenty of people who would be delighted >to see the internet come crashing down. How many of you >did most or all of your holiday shopping on the internet? >I did. The on-line stores are eating the lunch of the >local merchants, who must pay ruinous sales tax to the >state. The internet's biggest threat is not spammers >trying to sell things, but spammers trying to get the >proletariat off-line and back into the tax-generating >local stores, churches, sporting events, commercial >television, facing Mecca, etc. Can't say I shop much online. The poor state of my credit card sees to that. I'm sure if online stores start losing out, they'll form some kind of lobby to get the problem "fixed". Who knows, maybe it IS the local merchants who are doing the spamming. >Here's one to watch for: one day you get a spam which >shows a shocking image of child pornography or abuse, >which pops up without your doing anything. Then a >message comes up a little later which claims to be from >a government agency of some sort, saying that it has >detected an illegal downloaded image of child pornography >on the hard disk, making the owner of that computer >punishable by 10 yrs in the slammer, etc. >It would not surprise me if as many as 10% of the proles >were to fall for that trick, toss the whole infernal device >into the trash. Actually Im surprised something like that >hasn't already happened. >spike Actually, I've seen a pun based on that idea. It's a small Dos-based file that you send to the victim attached to an email. When the unfortunate recipient gets it and runs it, the screen turns black, the speaker blares out a warning, and a message informs the user they have access illegal pornographic content, that IT and security have been notified and to stay at the machine. Needless to say, the look of abject panic on the face of the jokee is priceless... James... >------------------------------ From spike66 at comcast.net Wed Dec 31 01:21:33 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 17:21:33 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Spam In-Reply-To: <005e01c3cf29$0263ce90$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <000001c3cf3c$6d60e580$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > Spike wrote, > > Here's one to watch for: one day you get a spam which > > shows a shocking image of child pornography or abuse... > > > > It would not surprise me if as many as 10% of the proles > > were to fall for that trick, toss the whole infernal device > > into the trash... > > It has already happened. There was a case this summer where > a person was arrested for distributing child pornography that was found on his hard > drive. It turned out that it was installed by a worm without > his knowledge and distributed by spammers. He had no knowledge of the incident. > -- > Harvey Newstrom,... Ja, this is a related problem, but what I was looking at is making the internet inaccessible to those who fear having porno placed on their computers. For instance, I just returned from visiting with the relatives, extremely conservative Seventh Day Adventists all. Their big crisis: they cannot get the porno off of their computer. They kept asking me how to get these ads off their computer. The minister had told them how evil hackers can put cookies on their computer in such a way that they cannot even detect or eliminate the vile things. They may soon cut the cord forever. For them, the internet has already become functionally inaccessible. spike From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Wed Dec 31 01:40:33 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 12:40:33 +1100 Subject: [ok] Re: [extropy-chat] The human OS [was: when will computersimprove?] References: <03e101c3cebd$3ba02e40$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> <00d701c3cec6$7fcf14b0$fe00a8c0@HEMM> Message-ID: <063801c3cf3f$14b98e20$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Henrique Moraes Machado wrote: > Well, what if suicide is just a bug in the OS? As far as I know, > there's no software without bugs. Then it would be *just* a bug in the OS. And some simple models of the universe would not need to change at all. We understand and can fix bugs so it would probably be a relief and a bonus. Immortality would seem to be *relatively* easy - just port the program to another substrate - *just* upload. Problem is, if it is not that easy, and we get seduced into seeing the whole universe through a paradigm we just happen to understand - not because its particularly useful, but because we understand it, then we don't make real progress towards the real goal. There are reasons that double blind tests are necessary in drug trials for instance - its not that doctors are stupid or unscientific - its that doctors want patients to get better too - and not all conditions are improvable with just positive thinking. Conditions that are not psychosomatic need real remedies not just placebos and to find the real remedies its necessary to test carefully and dispassionately making sure that our biases towards the results that we naturally want don't lead us to false conclusions. If humans are just computers, just hardware running software and we could just upload that would be great. But the word *just* implying its easy shouldn't get a look in here. It definitely will not be easy. And if its possible we are no more justified in being certain that it will be done soon or in a timeframe of interest to us (our lifetime) than the best step by step plan we have personally seen and understood allows us to be. Its the step by step plan that makes the difference between reasoning and believing. Without that plan and without a personal understanding of it one system of belief based on leaping over gaps in reasoning is pretty much as impractical and arbitrary as the next. I think its useful to recognize a distinction between human drives to find a belief system complex enough to make the believer feel better (having hope even illusory hope can be more functional than the alternative for a time) and having a reasoned solution complete enough to be implemented. Regards, Brett Paatsch From spike66 at comcast.net Wed Dec 31 01:44:19 2003 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 17:44:19 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Spam In-Reply-To: <4C4F2FC6-3B17-11D8-B6F6-000A95B18568@antipope.org> Message-ID: <000001c3cf3f$9bd6a2d0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > -----Original Message----- > From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org > [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of > Charlie Stross > Sent: Tuesday, December 30, 2003 2:27 PM > To: ExI chat list > Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Spam > > > > On 30 Dec 2003, at 21:58, Spike wrote: > > ...I have been seeing more > > and more clamor from the bricks and mortar retailing > > community about how their sales are suffering from > > tax-free internet competition... > > > Sales taxes on goods sold over the net are in any case a non-issue. > Here in the EU, goods sold over the internet *are* liable for > VAT, and it's damn well collected... Ja. Here the sales tax is collected by the states, not the fed, and each state has different sales tax laws. Some have no sales tax, so internet sales orgs just set up shop there. Technically Taxifornia residents are supposed to send sales taxes to Taxamento on all internet purchases. The 30 million citizens of this state sent them a total of something like a dollar 38 cents last year. I don't even know how to pay that. Who would I send it to? Would they know what to do with a check? Im tempted to get a bunch of guys to bury them in checks for 30, 70, 50 cents. Tease em a little. {8^D > > Now, if you're saying that conventional retailers are paying spammers > to mess up the net, I find that rather hard to believe. If so, it's > almost certainly a serious crime, no? > > > -- Charlie Not that I know of, perhaps so. Seems to me that would be perfectly legal First Amendment stuff. As a thought experiment, ignore the means and list those who would have the motive to mess up the internet, or whose lives may have been better off without it: Bricks'n'mortar merchants Anyone who sells primarily information, such as Ministers Publishers Real estate professionals Teachers (some of them) Stock and investment advisers (why pay for that which is free?) Old time scammers (the internet exposes them) Pedophiles (the internet tells where they live) Anyone with a criminal record (makes it easy for anyone to find out) Pornographers (no need to pay for that which is free in sufficient quantities that it could never be consumed if one were to do nothing but gaze at porno 24-7-52) Anyone who doesn't use the internet Others? There are plenty of people who would like to see the internet slain, perhaps as many as half. spike From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Wed Dec 31 02:59:16 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 21:59:16 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Spam In-Reply-To: <000001c3cf3c$6d60e580$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <007401c3cf4a$17540e20$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Spike wrote, > Ja, this is a related problem, but what I was looking > at is making the internet inaccessible to those who > fear having porno placed on their computers. That is becoming a real problem. > For them, the internet has already > become functionally inaccessible. Regular spam can do this as well. My mother literally gets over 1000 spams per day. She can't look through them all for real messages from people. So her e-mail is unusable. She cannot find or respond to real messages sent to her mailbox because of all the spam. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Wed Dec 31 03:49:16 2003 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 14:49:16 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Spam References: <000001c3cf3f$9bd6a2d0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <066901c3cf51$10659820$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Spike wrote: > As a thought experiment, ignore the means and list those > who would have the motive to mess up the internet, or whose > lives may have been better off without it: > > Bricks'n'mortar merchants > > Anyone who sells primarily information, such as > Ministers > Publishers > Real estate professionals > Teachers (some of them) > Stock and investment advisers (why pay for that which is free?) > Others? I've wondered about this too. What about government and major media outlets which are the means by which most people decide how to vote or perhaps even what to buy or ask their stock broker about. I'm pretty sure I read that there was an internet warfare section that was active in the Iraq war. *If* the internet was a potent source of non-manipulated media perhaps government (or agencies of it) would want to act in accordance with the national interest (or rather how the national interest is perceived) by agencies - which might in fact by the interests of the government of the day. I don't know. I haven't checked in to this. But if psych warfare and propaganda are worth anything (and historically they have been) certain things like exploring the possibility of internet warfare (taking out communications) not just of enemy combatants but political adversaries if you can get away with it, seems to make sense. Perhaps a lot of the crude stuff would be illegal (again I haven't checked) but some of the technology of the net and spamming may have jumped ahead of the law making a political opportunity for a time. Regards. Brett Paatsch From mbb386 at main.nc.us Wed Dec 31 04:13:13 2003 From: mbb386 at main.nc.us (MB) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 23:13:13 -0500 (Eastern Standard Time) Subject: [extropy-chat] Spam In-Reply-To: <007401c3cf4a$17540e20$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> References: <007401c3cf4a$17540e20$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: I am using a spam filtering service and so far it is working pretty well. Of course my email address is fairly new, so perhaps the "big guys" haven't found me yet, but it might be worthwhile for your mom to check into such a thing - especially if she were to get a new email address. It didn't cost much, my ISP offers it with my account. http://www.postini.com/ I cannot imagine getting 1000 emails per day. I am swamped with my 150 from 3 lists! Regards, MB On Tue, 30 Dec 2003, Harvey Newstrom wrote: > Regular spam can do this as well. My mother literally gets over 1000 spams > per day. She can't look through them all for real messages from people. So > her e-mail is unusable. She cannot find or respond to real messages sent to > her mailbox because of all the spam. > > From megao at sasktel.net Wed Dec 31 04:28:34 2003 From: megao at sasktel.net (Extropian Agroforestry Ventures Inc.) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 22:28:34 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Spam References: <007401c3cf4a$17540e20$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <3FF25072.96B45C3C@sasktel.net> I have found hotmail to be a spam magnet and the less popular netscape to be much cleaner. Our ISP must be helping a bit... I just scrolled up looked and in the last couple of days I have hardly any spam, just a couple of scammers. I have never had to resort to filters. 40-90 emails a day is plenty for me. The single biggest thing I do with the hotmail account is looking for any messages among all the junk. ...MFJ MB wrote: > I am using a spam filtering service and so far it is working > pretty well. Of course my email address is fairly new, so > perhaps the "big guys" haven't found me yet, but it might be > worthwhile for your mom to check into such a thing - > especially if she were to get a new email address. It didn't > cost much, my ISP offers it with my account. > > http://www.postini.com/ > > I cannot imagine getting 1000 emails per day. I am swamped > with my 150 from 3 lists! > > Regards, > MB > > On Tue, 30 Dec 2003, Harvey Newstrom wrote: > > > Regular spam can do this as well. My mother literally gets over 1000 spams > > per day. She can't look through them all for real messages from people. So > > her e-mail is unusable. She cannot find or respond to real messages sent to > > her mailbox because of all the spam. > > > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From fortean1 at mindspring.com Wed Dec 31 06:57:15 2003 From: fortean1 at mindspring.com (Terry W. Colvin) Date: Tue, 30 Dec 2003 23:57:15 -0700 Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD (SK)[Risks} Pointless Security Message-ID: <3FF2734B.360FD821@mindspring.com> This was posted to the Risks email list. I live in the UK and my parents live in the USA. Every year, at Christmas, I send them a parcel containing food items that are hard or impossible to get in the USA, or are prohibitively expensive there. (Apologies if any of this takes on the attributes of a rant. I find it difficult to talk about this rationally.) I find that as of 12th Dec 2004, any food items mailed to the US have to be pre-registered with the FDA. From the Web site http://www.cfsan.fda.gov/~dms/fsbtact.html: "Nearly 20% of all imports into the U.S. are food and food products. In 2002 Congress passed the Bioterrorism Act as a part of its ongoing effort to combat terrorism - in this instance, by reducing the ability for international terrorists to carry out terrorist attacks in the U.S. by contaminating imported foods." Now for the rant bit. I can appreciate that the US Government wants to protect the food supply against bio-terrorism, but what in the name of Ghod do they think this is going to achieve? Were I a bio-terrorist, about to ship a boxful of Ebola contaminated sausage to the USA, would I register it on the FDA site? Or would I write "Books" on the Customs form and send it anyway? And that brings me to the registration process itself, in order that I might legally send Christmas Cake, Christmas Pudding and Marmite (*) to my poor deprived parents. At least I can do it online (see http://www.cfsan.fda.gov/~pn/pnoview.html). But do I have to register at all? "Private residences of individuals" are excluded. Why? My box of Ebola could just as easily come from my kitchen as from the local sausage plant. And if I'm a terrorist (which I'm not), again I ask, why would I register at all? And if I do register (which I haven't), why threaten me with US law (which the site repeatedly does.) I know the US Government struggles with the concept of extra-terratoriality In short, what is the point of this? Other than make-work for Government employees. Still, at least the website works with Mozilla. I guess I should be thankful for small mercies. "Something must be done. This is something. Therefore we will do it." (* Yes, I know Americans regard Marmite as a bioweapon, but it isn't. Honestly.) Scott Peterson -- "Only a zit on the wart on the heinie of progress." Copyright 1992, Frank Rice Terry W. Colvin, Sierra Vista, Arizona (USA) < fortean1 at mindspring.com > Alternate: < fortean1 at msn.com > Home Page: < http://www.geocities.com/Area51/Stargate/8958/index.html > Sites: * Fortean Times * Mystic's Haven * TLCB * U.S. Message Text Formatting (USMTF) Program ------------ Member: Thailand-Laos-Cambodia Brotherhood (TLCB) Mailing List TLCB Web Site: < http://www.tlc-brotherhood.org > [Vietnam veterans, Allies, CIA/NSA, and "steenkeen" contractors are welcome.] From extropy at audry2.com Wed Dec 31 12:08:34 2003 From: extropy at audry2.com (Major) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 20:08:34 +0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD (SK)[Risks} Pointless Security In-Reply-To: <3FF2734B.360FD821@mindspring.com> (fortean1@mindspring.com) References: <3FF2734B.360FD821@mindspring.com> Message-ID: <200312311208.hBVC8Ym01027@igor.synonet.com> "Terry W. Colvin" writes: > Were I a bio-terrorist, about to ship a boxful of Ebola contaminated > sausage to the USA, would I register it on the FDA site? As the US government has been warning its people for some time, the wurst is yet to come. Major From bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk Wed Dec 31 11:31:02 2003 From: bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk (BillK) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 11:31:02 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Best place to live in USA Message-ID: <3FF2B376.8010908@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> Money Magazine's Hottest Towns Whether you like big cities or small towns, these are the most desirable places to live in America. First, we divided OnBoard's 271-city list into three regions: east, central and west. Those lists were sorted by population. Then, based on careful examination of MOSAIC lifestyle segmentation data, we narrowed the list further by identifying those towns with demographics that closely mirrored that of the typical MONEY reader: college educated, working professional, well-above average median income. In addition, the town had to be located no more than 60 miles from a major city. That ensures reasonable access art and culture resources. Only cities with median incomes above $50,000 a year and unemployment rates below the national average were included in our search. Table of Top 81 places -------- Now the question is: Why no places in New Hampshire in the top 81? Too much snow? ;) If you go here, you can set your own priorities, such as, weather, house prices, culture, etc. and do a search to find your ideal town. After a few attempts, I had to restrict my search to the North-East and put winter low temp and cold index down to the minimum before New Hampshire appeared in the search results. So it looks as though you have to be hardy to live in NH. Not suitable for Florida retiree types! :) Concord came highest, followed by Manchester in my search. BillK From charlie at antipope.org Wed Dec 31 12:02:23 2003 From: charlie at antipope.org (Charlie Stross) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 12:02:23 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD (SK)[Risks} Pointless Security In-Reply-To: <3FF2734B.360FD821@mindspring.com> References: <3FF2734B.360FD821@mindspring.com> Message-ID: <31BA3904-3B89-11D8-B6F6-000A95B18568@antipope.org> On 31 Dec 2003, at 06:57, Terry W. Colvin wrote: > In short, what is the point of this? Other than make-work for > Government > employees. Still, at least the website works with Mozilla. I guess I > should > be thankful for small mercies. > > "Something must be done. This is something. Therefore we will do it." Ahem. I travel to the USA on business/pleasure (hey, I *enjoy* my work :) about twice a year, and I'm planning on increasing that to three or four times a year shortly. The UK is one of those countries nationals of which are allowed to travel under the visa waiver scheme, by filling out a form. There's always an insane queue whenever a 747 arrives, so yesterday I looked into the pros and cons of applying for a B-1 visa. After about thirty minutes I came to the conclusion that sticking to the visa waiver scheme was going to be much, *much* less hostile: less queuing and it only asks if you were a member of the Nazi party during 1939-45. It's not just the three-month wait, the requirement for the US embassy to examine my passport and post it back to me -- stopping me travelling *anywhere* while they've got it -- the interview, or the fee. Just look at the form DS-157, required as a supplementary submission for males aged 18-45, wherever they come from! It's online at http://travel.state.gov/DS-0157.pdf and it says (ho bloody ho) that it should take about an hour to fill out. "List all countries you have entered in the past ten years", "not including current employer list your last two employers" (including phone number -- great, if you exclude contract work at least one of those companies ceased trading and laid everybody off but never went into liquidation!), and "List all professional sociable and charitable organizations to which you belong/contribute/have worked with (now or ever)". Not to mention "list all educational institutions you've ever attended (not including primary schools)" -- again, one of the university colleges I attended in the 1980's has merged, twice, with other bodies since that time. Oh yeah. The box for "list all professional sociable and charitable organizations ..." is half a line wide and one line deep. Just big enough to write in "See Appendix B" when you staple the fifty-page attachment to the form. (My best guess for time to fill out the form -- including the necessary research -- is roughly two to three days. I mean, my old school is several hundred miles away and moved to new premises a few years ago -- and they want a telephone contact?) I can understand this information being needed *sometimes* -- specifically, if you're doing a security clearance for someone who's about to apply for a job working in the Pentagon -- but as a routine check on business travellers it doesn't achieve much. The level of bureaucratic insanity is so high that only people who can't use the visa waiver scheme (i.e. they *must* be inside the USA for more than 90 consecutive days, they can't just fly home for a weekend at the end of the twelvth week) will bother; meanwhile the deluge of data produced by it will end up in a filing cabinet somewhere. It's not structured in any useful manner so unless there are hordes of clerks copy-typing stuff into a database it's not being used. And making it this difficult to apply for a simple non-resident visitor's business visa means that those queues at immigration will continue to grow longer because the clerks have to validate the visa waiver forms for every incoming passenger rather than ID'ing and waving through visa holders. It's insane! I'm increasingly coming to the conclusion that American bureaucracy is like the worst possible combination of German and British bureaucracy -- officious and intrusive on the one part combined with bumbling and inefficient on the other. -- Charlie From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Wed Dec 31 15:51:47 2003 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 10:51:47 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD (SK)[Risks} Pointless Security In-Reply-To: <3FF2734B.360FD821@mindspring.com> Message-ID: <00a601c3cfb6$02dad840$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Terry W. Colvin wrote, > This was posted to the Risks email list. > [deleted to save space] I agree totally. As a security professional, I am constantly reading in my professional references how the government is ignoring basic security when they design this stuff. The homeland security department, electronic voting machines, and most government security programs are just plain bogus. They make no sense to anybody who has security expertise. They are designed to make people think they are doing something. Anybody who investigates the historical effectiveness of these programs, or analyzes their methods for correctness, or attempts statistical analysis on them to predict effectiveness, find that they are critically flawed and unworkable. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From extropy at unreasonable.com Wed Dec 31 16:23:52 2003 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 11:23:52 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Best place to live in USA In-Reply-To: <3FF2B376.8010908@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031231105329.01c54380@mail.comcast.net> At 11:31 AM 12/31/2003 +0000, BillK wrote: >Money Magazine's Hottest Towns > : >Now the question is: Why no places in New Hampshire in the top 81? >Too much snow? ;) I'm not sure how much their assessment criteria vary year-to-year but Nashua, New Hampshire was chosen twice by Money Magazine as the best town in America, in 1987 and 1997. And, as I recall, other towns in Southern NH appeared in the top list in those years. I can't speak to other years; those I remember because I drive past the "Welcome to Nashua" sign every day. As far as I can tell, the only reason why Southern NH towns don't appear this year is that the area has a lot of residents who work in high-tech, and the recession hit hard. I suspect that NH will be back in the top list next year. Personally, I like the Places Rated Almanac better as a first step in assessing where to live. A lot more factors considered and tables of data, raw or synopsized for your cerebral pleasure. (Which reminds me: Nashua has two great sushi restaurants -- one we have used to take visiting Japanese VIPs to, the other has French bistro desserts.) >So it looks as though you have to be hardy to live in NH. >Not suitable for Florida retiree types! :) After 16 years here, winters are my only gripe. If you like to ski, however, winter is good. And a lot of the storms largely miss us -- Boston and the Cape get the worst; we get the outer edge. I'm not particularly hardy, though. You just need to be adequately prepared. Good jacket, boots, vehicle, snow blower, and a job that lets you work from home when you don't feel like braving the snow. -- David Lubkin. From mlorrey at yahoo.com Wed Dec 31 18:05:59 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 10:05:59 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Best place to live in USA In-Reply-To: <5.1.0.14.2.20031231105329.01c54380@mail.comcast.net> Message-ID: <20031231180559.75895.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> --- David Lubkin wrote: > At 11:31 AM 12/31/2003 +0000, BillK wrote: > > >Money Magazine's Hottest Towns > > : > >Now the question is: Why no places in New Hampshire in the top 81? > >Too much snow? ;) > > I'm not sure how much their assessment criteria vary year-to-year but > > Nashua, New Hampshire was chosen twice by Money Magazine as the best > town > in America, in 1987 and 1997. And, as I recall, other towns in > Southern NH > appeared in the top list in those years. Lebanon NH has also been rated second several times as the most livable small town in the US. Between the dot com meltdown and the escalating property prices in some parts of the state, it is going to be a couple years before we are high in the rankings again, though I really wouldn't worry about it much. Generally any community which makes it into the top 100-200 in nationwide rankings is a really nice place to live. Communities that make it into top rankings tend to drop off within a few years because such rankings have attracted enough immigration that some growth problems start popping up, which are no-no's as far as the rankers is concerned. The FSP did some extensive analysis of every state on a number of libertarian factors, which were compiled in an excel spreadsheet. It allows you to give your own personal weighting to various factors to come up with a state that is your personal optimum, rather than the best of other people's judgements. The spreadsheet is downloadable from their website. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Find out what made the Top Yahoo! Searches of 2003 http://search.yahoo.com/top2003 From natashavita at earthlink.net Wed Dec 31 18:06:30 2003 From: natashavita at earthlink.net (natashavita at earthlink.net) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 13:06:30 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Happy New Year Toast Message-ID: <168270-220031233118630931@M2W050.mail2web.com> Before you all step out the door for the Evening's Jolly-making - I wanted to say, "Happy New Year!" In case any of you are going to be making a toast this evening: "We can't promise you'll be as suave as Humphrey Bogart, but with these tips you should be able to make a successful toast to the occasion. Try for Cary Grant's sophistication and Tom Hank's warmth?but not Steve Martin's cleverness. Too much wit and you'll seem a nitwit, says Paul Dickson, author of Toasts (Crown Publishers, 1991). Silence would have been preferable to a toast in the movie "Four Weddings and a Funeral," in which a friend congratulated the groom on lassoing his bride, since "all his other girlfriends had been such complete dogs. Let me say how delighted we are to have so many of them here this evening." Be brief. As Mark Twain said, no toast except his own should last longer than 60 seconds. The more you meander, the deeper in trouble you get. Think before you quip. The toast "Bottoms up!" at the launching of a boat race is sure to sink. And don't introduce the governor of the Virgin Islands as the "Virgin of Governor's Island," as a Washington dignitary once did. President Reagan once toasted the people of Bolivia while in Brazil, and President Ford nodded his glass to Israel while visiting Egypt." Historic toasts: Throughout history, whenever wine flowed, words were sure to follow. Though Ulysses drank to Achilles in Homer's Odyssey nearly 3,000 years ago, the first known toast in English was recorded in 450 A.D. Said the beautiful Rowena of the Saxons to Vortigern of the Britons: "Louerd King, Waes Hael!" (Lord King, be of good health!). The term "toast" itself comes from the 17th-century custom of placing a crouton in the drinking vessel to absorb impurities. Thankfully, some traditions are extinct, such as Scandinavians drinking from the skulls of their fallen enemies?thus the toast "Skoal!" Also quaint today is "Here's mud in your eye," which originally expressed the wish that farmers would find soft earth easily turned by a plow. But some toasts never lose their flavor, such as Humphrey Bogart's to Ingrid Bergman in Casablanca: "Here's looking at you, kid." Brief, heartfelt, and to the point, Colonel Sherman Potter of M*A*S*H made a toast that was everything a toast should be: "To long lives and short wars!" And who could forget Tiny Tim's magnanimous toast in Charles Dickens' classic, A Christmas Carol: "God bless us everyone!" Ulysses drank to Achilles in Homer's Odyssey nearly 3,000 years ago, the first known toast in English was recorded in 450 A.D. Said the beautiful Rowena of the Saxons to Vortigern of the Britons: "Louerd King, Waes Hael!" (Lord King, be of good health!). The term "toast" itself comes from the 17th-century custom of placing a crouton in the drinking vessel to absorb impurities. Thankfully, some traditions are extinct, such as Scandinavians drinking from the skulls of their fallen enemies?thus the toast "Skoal!" Also quaint today is "Here's mud in your eye," which originally expressed the wish that farmers would find soft earth easily turned by a plow. But some toasts never lose their flavor, such as Humphrey Bogart's to Ingrid Bergman in Casablanca: "Here's looking at you, kid." Brief, heartfelt, and to the point, Colonel Sherman Potter of M*A*S*H made a toast that was everything a toast should be: "To long lives and short wars!" And who could forget Tiny Tim's magnanimous toast in Charles Dickens' classic, A Christmas Carol: "God bless us everyone!" Cheers! Natasha Vita-More http://www.natasha.cc -------------------------------------------------------------------- mail2web - Check your email from the web at http://mail2web.com/ . From mlorrey at yahoo.com Wed Dec 31 18:16:36 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 10:16:36 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Alert for Suspicious Farmers' Almanacs In-Reply-To: <012201c3cefb$57eed950$6400a8c0@brainiac> Message-ID: <20031231181636.86909.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> --- Olga Bourlin wrote: > From: "Mike Lorrey" > > > While I can understand the leftist need to ridicule this measure by > > decribing it as 'farmers almanac' ... > > You understand the leftist need ...? to ridicule ...? Hmmmm, do you > suppose the right ever ridicules the left? (if not, then please > point out how it does not). While you may correct that the > almanac to which the article refers may not be the ubiquitous > Farmers, it doesn't make that entirely clear (and the article > does invoke a quote from the publisher of the aforesaid ...). Ah, the REPORTER from the demonstrably left biased press, quotes the publisher of a Farmers Almanac. Selection effect, anyone???? > > BTW, at first I thought this was a joke, but now I'm not so certain > (do you think this is serious?): > http://www.thbookservice.com/BookPage.asp?prod_cd=c6230 > > >The left often displays a rather high degree of hubristic > > arrogance that it is so smart that anybody they don't like must be > > stupid. > > ... somewhat like the rather high degree of hubristic arrogance > displayed by the right? Oh, they aren't innocent either. > > > That is, however, the nature of leftism, the concept that > > people are too dumb for their own good and need to be told how to > > spend their money. > > ... and what is the *nature* of rightism? (perhaps, thinking that > the leftists have a "need to ridicule" ...?) Oh, the nature of the right is that most people are inherently bad and need to restrained from their root impulses so they can make it to heaven and not be a bad influence on other people's kids... > > >Suggest you consider that intelligence people may have > > much better information sources than you do. > > I have a great deal of respect for intelligence people (as long as > they're rational and intelligent). I worry about the likes of > Ashcroft, and stuff like: Do you actually think that suggestions like the subject matter are originating from the likes of Ashcroft or Rice? Don't you think that that is a bit of projection on your part? > "Condi Rice is as comfortable speaking > publicly about her faith in God as she is about strategic arms > reduction and routing out terrorism." > found in: http://www.christianitytoday.com/cr/2002/005/1.18.html > > If the fate of the world rests with people who have conversations > with god(s), all is lost ... Do you have equal suspicion about people who spend hours meditating in communion with the collective subconcious to get their answers? No? Why not? ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Find out what made the Top Yahoo! Searches of 2003 http://search.yahoo.com/top2003 From mlorrey at yahoo.com Wed Dec 31 18:24:46 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 10:24:46 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Alert for Suspicious Farmers' Almanacs In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031231182446.84438.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> --- "Robert J. Bradbury" wrote: > > I also found another couple of Almanacs in my book collection > so now I'm up to 5. I'm clearly a dangerous person. Good for you Robert!!! As Alex once said of me,"He's a velly dangelous person." ;) Now, you've got to have a vest made to wear those almanacs, which will make you impervious to small arms rounds... ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Find out what made the Top Yahoo! Searches of 2003 http://search.yahoo.com/top2003 From mlorrey at yahoo.com Wed Dec 31 18:39:58 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 10:39:58 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Alert for Suspicious Farmers' Almanacs In-Reply-To: <20031230213639.65654.qmail@web80404.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20031231183958.62717.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> --- Adrian Tymes wrote: > --- "Robert J. Bradbury" wrote: > > But if you ask me if we should have officials > > drawing attention > > to Almanacs and requiring marshals on planes > > How do these compare? Requiring marshals on planes > does not itself imply it is okay to trample on > anyone's > rights just because of some factor that has a very > shaky, if any, correlation to terrorists. There is a distinct difference between trampling someones rights and placing someone under suspicion based on several factors *including* having an Almanac in one's posession which is "suspiciously annotated and dog eared" (to quote the article in question). For example, if I see someone with an almanac which has margin annotations in arabic on any page with information about bridges, or tall buildings, or goverment facilities, or dams, or airports, that is going to be suspicious. Would it make me arrest them and subject them to a cavity search on the spot? Probably not, but I would, were I in law enforcement, check their IDs against a terrorist watch list, I would likely search their vehicle or baggage for other items known to be used by terrorist scouts: a video camera, featuring footage of these same facilities mentioned above, multiple sets of identification under different names, multiple passports from different countries, and large amounts of cash. If any of these items turned up, this would certainly become a 'person of interest' who I'd like to check for immigration violations in order to gain more time to investigate the individual. Would a vehicle search be a civil rights violation? Yup. Does it matter? Nope. Why? Because national security is not bound by civil rights laws. Your civil rights being violated is only grounds to exclude incriminating evidence from trial, it is not a "get out of Guantanamo Free card". The SCOTUS has ruled on a number of occasions that violtions of your civil rights taken in defense of national security are quite acceptable. Terrorism is NOT a civil crime, it is a military or war crime, and is properly subject to military law, not civillian law. This is also something that is conveniently ignored by those on the left. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Find out what made the Top Yahoo! Searches of 2003 http://search.yahoo.com/top2003 From mlorrey at yahoo.com Wed Dec 31 18:53:00 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 10:53:00 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Best place to live in USA In-Reply-To: <3FF2B376.8010908@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> Message-ID: <20031231185300.15744.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> --- BillK wrote: > Money Magazine's Hottest Towns > > In addition, the town had to be located no more than 60 miles from a > major city. That ensures reasonable access art and culture resources. > Only cities with median incomes above $50,000 a year and unemployment > rates below the national average were included in our search. This explains it. What, exactly, is a 'major city'??? If Boston qualifies but Manchester doesn't, then that explains right there why so few NH places made it on the list. It is a selection effect that assumes that smaller communities are always bereft of art and cultural resources, quite wrongly so. There are actually few towns in NH larger than 6,000 which DON'T have significant art and cultural resources like theater groups, art galleries, etc. It is clear that the Money survey was cheap and based on faulty assumptions that were lazily made in order to ignore doing real research. Beyond the above, the median income assumption ignores local cost of living handicapping, tax burden, etc. For example, the per capita tax burden in NH is somewhere around 3% for state and local taxes. Contrasting this with other states that range from 10-20%, and you are talking a very significant difference in ACTUAL median income vs gross median income. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Find out what made the Top Yahoo! Searches of 2003 http://search.yahoo.com/top2003 From mlorrey at yahoo.com Wed Dec 31 18:54:14 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 10:54:14 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Smalley, Drexler and the monster in Lake Michigan In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20031231185414.91366.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> --- "Robert J. Bradbury" wrote: > > On Tue, 30 Dec 2003, Mike Lorrey wrote: > > > So what if such statements turn out to be wrong? We know better, we > > will reach Drexlerian nanotech inevitably, and IMHO much sooner if > the > > luddites are made the fools in order to derail their attempts to > > legislate against Drexlerian nanotech. > > Mike, you may want to take a look at Howard Lovy's blog entry for > Dec. 24, 2003: > > http://nanobot.blogspot.com/2003_12_21_nanobot_archive.html#107228757469551087 > > Its an interesting perspective on why people blowing smoke might > be a good thing by ecouraging the serious people to point out the > flaws in the arguments of the various anti-nano individuals & groups. > Link is bad. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Find out what made the Top Yahoo! Searches of 2003 http://search.yahoo.com/top2003 From mlorrey at yahoo.com Wed Dec 31 19:00:47 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 11:00:47 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD (SK)[Risks} Pointless Security In-Reply-To: <31BA3904-3B89-11D8-B6F6-000A95B18568@antipope.org> Message-ID: <20031231190047.96122.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> --- Charlie Stross wrote: > > It's insane! I'm increasingly coming to the conclusion that American > bureaucracy is like the worst possible combination of German and > British bureaucracy -- officious and intrusive on the one part > combined with bumbling and inefficient on the other. Suggest you look into the smart traveller program I've been hearing good things about. Whether it is available to foreigners I don't know, perhaps Robert can answer that. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Find out what made the Top Yahoo! Searches of 2003 http://search.yahoo.com/top2003 From bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk Wed Dec 31 19:03:49 2003 From: bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk (BillK) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 19:03:49 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Best place to live in USA Message-ID: <3FF31D95.5090504@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> I've done some more searching at My selection criteria were: All regions, no population size preference. All weather marked as Medium and Very important (level 5 of 5) (I don't like extremes) Housing price - Medium - Middle important (level 3 of 5) Low property tax - Middle important Income Level - Medium - Not important (level 1 0f 5) Low sales tax - Very important Low income tax - Important (level 4 of 5) Low auto insurance premiums - Very important Major airports - Middle important Entertainment - All Not important (Who needs it when you've got the Internet?) Education - All Not important (no children here) Health - All Middle important Crime - All Very important (Safe environment required) And the results? The top 23 places were all in Virginia! So this analysis says that Virginia has a good climate with low crime rates and low income, sales and property tax rates. So what are the disadvantages? BillK From mlorrey at yahoo.com Wed Dec 31 19:05:15 2003 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 11:05:15 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Best place to live in USA In-Reply-To: <3FF31D95.5090504@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> Message-ID: <20031231190515.18173.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> --- BillK wrote:> > The top 23 places were all in Virginia! > So this analysis says that Virginia has a good climate with low crime > rates and low income, sales and property tax rates. > > So what are the disadvantages? They are all within 60 miles of Washington DC... :) ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Find out what made the Top Yahoo! Searches of 2003 http://search.yahoo.com/top2003 From extropy at unreasonable.com Wed Dec 31 19:36:04 2003 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 14:36:04 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Best place to live in USA In-Reply-To: <20031231190515.18173.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> References: <3FF31D95.5090504@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031231141503.0250bfa0@mail.comcast.net> At 11:05 AM 12/31/2003 -0800, Mike Lorrey wrote: >--- BillK wrote:> > > The top 23 places were all in Virginia! > > So this analysis says that Virginia has a good climate with low crime > > rates and low income, sales and property tax rates. > > > > So what are the disadvantages? > >They are all within 60 miles of Washington DC... :) I think Mike's observation is more appropriate without a smiley. The area in question is packed with government installations. That puts you in a local economy dependent on government largesse, and surrounds you with high-value targets. These targets leave you at risk for direct attack, indirect consequences of an attack (population fleeing from a disaster area into your backyard), and inconvenience or abridgement of liberties from preventative security measures. You should verify the numbers. For instance, total tax bite is far lower for NH than VA. Climate is personal taste, of course. Which is worse -- shovelling snow or hot, humid, and mosquitos? -- David Lubkin. From wingcat at pacbell.net Wed Dec 31 20:36:49 2003 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 12:36:49 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Alert for Suspicious Farmers' Almanacs In-Reply-To: <20031231183958.62717.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20031231203649.65653.qmail@web80403.mail.yahoo.com> --- Mike Lorrey wrote: > Would a vehicle search be a civil rights violation? > Yup. Does it > matter? Nope. Why? Because national security is not > bound by civil > rights laws. Yes it is. > Your civil rights being violated is > only grounds to > exclude incriminating evidence from trial, it is not > a "get out of > Guantanamo Free card". No, civil rights also impose limits on government behavior even when no trial will come of it. Otherwise, it would be perfectly acceptable to, say, put a male Arab American under indefinite investigation - and publicize the fact - just because he was running for elected office, or because he dared to vote: "He obviously must be trying to weaken our defenses against terrorism!" Ironic that you should use that example, BTW. Wasn't it civil rights which was why a bunch of those in Guantanamo, who otherwise faced indefinite detention (theoretically pending a military trial, but said trial showed no signs of being organized in the near future - result, life in prison w/out trial), were ordered either into the civil court system (if and only if formal charges, with evidence, could be brought in a certain short time frame) or set free? > The SCOTUS has ruled on a > number of occasions > that violtions of your civil rights taken in defense > of national > security are quite acceptable. And it has also ruled that even national security has its limits as a defense of civil rights violations. National security is not a "get out of limits on authority free" card. > Terrorism is NOT a > civil crime, it is a > military or war crime, and is properly subject to > military law, not > civillian law. Even when it becomes an excuse to override civilian law under any circumstances, and effectively place all citizens under military law - which can be altered by those in power at whim? (Effectively, if not in statement. For instance, consider what happens if, at any time, your rights could be suspended and any action taken against you for the most tenuous, or even made up, charges of potential terrorism. This becomes a universal excuse whenever anyone in the government disapproves of your actions. Running against the incumbent in an election, and stand a good chance of winning? You're a terrorist. Refuse an office holder's sexual advances? You're a terrorist. Decline to pay the 90% tax rate? You're not guilty of tax evasion, since that would require actually bothering to figure out how much you supposedly owe; instead, you're just another terrorist. Get rear-ended by a drunk police officer? You're the terrorist, so you're at fault. Try researching biotech, so as to discover a cure for cancer? Only terrorists would do that - and it doesn't matter what you say or what evidence you have, since you're a terrorist everyone knows you were actually researching biological weapons. Refuse to pledge allegiance to someone else's God? God damn, are you ever a terrorist! And so forth.) That is what we are objecting to. From dirk at neopax.com Wed Dec 31 21:20:55 2003 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 21:20:55 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Spam References: <007401c3cf4a$17540e20$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <02e901c3cfe3$fa2b8db0$d2256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Harvey Newstrom" To: "'ExI chat list'" Sent: Wednesday, December 31, 2003 2:59 AM Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] Spam > Regular spam can do this as well. My mother literally gets over 1000 spams > per day. She can't look through them all for real messages from people. So > her e-mail is unusable. She cannot find or respond to real messages sent to > her mailbox because of all the spam. I get about the same number, mostly viruses. I use Mailwasher to automatically kill them at the ISP. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From samantha at objectent.com Wed Dec 31 21:21:17 2003 From: samantha at objectent.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 13:21:17 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Alert for Suspicious Farmers' Almanacs In-Reply-To: References: <20031230113918.7a8e277c.samantha@objectent.com> Message-ID: <20031231132117.17cdc63c.samantha@objectent.com> On Tue, 30 Dec 2003 11:57:48 -0800 (PST) "Robert J. Bradbury" wrote: > > > On Tue, 30 Dec 2003, Samantha Atkins wrote: > > > So, Robert, you believe that playing ostrich is the best guarantee of > > safety? Let no one know anything without a (supposedly governmental) > > need to know? What becomes of our extropian dreams then? > > No -- let us not be ostrichs. But each of us have different hazard > profiles (remember how I'm always going on about hazard functions...). > In my particular case I've flown probably something like 600,000+ miles > over the last couple of decades. I would guess that is significantly > higher than the average person. So it would be wiser for me to take > that into account when looking at aggressive (some might say stupid) > policies by governments to capture terrorists. One only has to look > at the recent assasination attempts in Pakistan, Saudi Arabia and > the daily death count in Iraq to understand that these people mean > business. We have had long discussions in the past about the cultural > clashes and what the best solutions might be. > If the policies are indeed stupid then they are ineffectual in protecting you. If they are not only stupid but highly intrusive on our freedoms and ability to proceed on extropian agendas then they are a deeper threat than terrorism itself. > Ignoring anything from terrorist threats to Mad Cow disease can > eliminate ones Extropian dream. In both cases it may require > a little more government oversight or interference to fix the > problems and/or minimize the risks. Some perhaps. But not anything, everything some bureaucrat comes up with and inflicts on the population. At the least we must retain the power access, change and limit where necessary the types and degree of government involvment. It is part of our responsibility. > If you had asked me 3 > years ago whether I would be in favor of more power to big > brother I would have looked at you like you were crazy (remember > I'm the person whose father almost threw him out of the house > for refusing to return his draft card in the mid-'70s). If > you ask me now -- I still don't like many of the people in > power and I think the patriot act(s) are mostly very poor laws. > But if you ask me if we should have officials drawing attention > to Almanacs and requiring marshals on planes then I'm going > to have to think long and hard now about whether the risks > outweight the benefits. > I have no problem with marshalls on planes. I would be happier with citizens on planes having the right to carry their own appropriate to airplane defense arms. But limiting knowledge, the lifeblood of progress and acheiving our dreams, is a different matter entirely. > I also found another couple of Almanacs in my book collection > so now I'm up to 5. I'm clearly a dangerous person. :-) > Yeah, I shudder to think of what evil you could accomplish! Hmmm, if the Feds raided my house ("compound") and checked out my library they would probably paint me as an evil and dangerous individual indeed. Which is why we need to seprate out very carefully actual active threats from mere potential. We don't prosecute for potential - yet. We should not go to "enemy combatant" level surveillance and intervention on mere potential either. If we do then you can forget about the Fourth Amendment rights we in the US supposedly have. That worries me far more than the threat from any terrorist or group of terrorists. - samantha From hal at finney.org Wed Dec 31 22:46:23 2003 From: hal at finney.org (Hal Finney) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 14:46:23 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] How The Schmirk Stole Nanotechnology Message-ID: <200312312246.hBVMkNZ10475@finney.org> J. Storrs Hall, author of the holiday classic "A Visit from Saint Assembler", , has a new effort out: "How The Schmirk Stole Nanotechnology", at . (If that link doesn't work, just go to nanobot.blogspot.com and scroll down a bit). Apologizing to Dr. Suess, JoSH offers this update of the Grinch story, about the Schmirk (whose brain was "two sizes too small") and his efforts to thwart the nerds with their Drexlerian nanotech. It's an artful and funny poem, but it was spoiled for me by the obvious targetting of Richard Smalley as the Schmirk. If the Schmirk is just an anonymous character then the story reads as a good-natured satire; but when he is based on a real person, it becomes a mean-spirited attack. Read it and see if I'm overreacting - Hal From thespike at earthlink.net Wed Dec 31 22:28:54 2003 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 16:28:54 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] How The Schmirk Stole Nanotechnology References: <200312312246.hBVMkNZ10475@finney.org> Message-ID: <018b01c3cfed$7acd9cc0$a7994a43@texas.net> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Hal Finney" Sent: Wednesday, December 31, 2003 4:46 PM > the Schmirk (whose brain was "two sizes too small") >If the Schmirk is just an anonymous > character then the story reads as a good-natured satire; but when he is > based on a real person, it becomes a mean-spirited attack. > > Read it and see if I'm overreacting You're not over reacting. Damien Broderick From bradbury at aeiveos.com Wed Dec 31 23:59:14 2003 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 15:59:14 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] How The Schmirk Stole Nanotechnology In-Reply-To: <200312312246.hBVMkNZ10475@finney.org> Message-ID: On Wed, 31 Dec 2003, Hal Finney wrote: > Apologizing to Dr. Suess, JoSH offers this update of the Grinch story, > about the Schmirk (whose brain was "two sizes too small") and his efforts > to thwart the nerds with their Drexlerian nanotech. It's an artful > and funny poem, but it was spoiled for me by the obvious targetting of > Richard Smalley as the Schmirk. That isn't clear at all. See: http://nanodot.org/article.pl?sid=03/12/24/0633205 Esp. my comments and Howard's response. The picture does not have Smalley replaced by the Schmirk. As I read the story I could see lines targeting at least 3, perhaps 4, different individuals/groups. Robert