[extropy-chat] Doubt and About
Spike
spike66 at comcast.net
Thu Dec 11 03:17:55 UTC 2003
> I don't remember where I read this, but maybe it was here:
> There has been some recent speculation that the overall trend
> in global warming is part of a variation in orbital cycles that seem
to
> repeat every 22,000 years, and 100,000 years...
Most natural systems have multiple cycles. The sun
"rings" with localized areas oscillating at a frequency
of a few hours. It has the well-known ~22 years
magnetic pole cycle, usually expressed as the 11 year
cycle of F10.7 (10.7 cm radiation). Is is so surprising
that the sun has a cycle that lasts perhaps a few thousand
years? We know that most stars have an observable brightness
variation, even if we do not always know the period. We have
only a few hundred years of observations, and good accurate
global temperature measurements for only a few decades.
Granted, if we discovered we are on the cooling part of
the cycle, I might get a bit panicky, but being on the
warming side is apparent good news, eh?
spike
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