From bradbury at aeiveos.com Thu Jan 1 00:18:37 2004 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 16:18:37 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] How The Schmirk Stole Nanotechnology In-Reply-To: <018b01c3cfed$7acd9cc0$a7994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: On Wed, 31 Dec 2003, Damien Broderick wrote: > From: "Hal Finney" > Sent: Wednesday, December 31, 2003 4:46 PM > > > the Schmirk (whose brain was "two sizes too small") > > >If the Schmirk is just an anonymous > > character then the story reads as a good-natured satire; but when he is > > based on a real person, it becomes a mean-spirited attack. > > > > Read it and see if I'm overreacting > > You're not over reacting. I would disagree and I would cite the fact that I've been to a few more nanotech conferences, both academic and business, than Hal and Damien and have spoken directly with people from the NSF to Bill Joy. I've also read the ETC report and a number of other luddite perspectives. The points about very popular views of MNT that Josh makes are by no means confined to Smalley. Smalley may have been one of the first to speak out against MNT but there are certainly other such as George Whitesides who is also widely respected who have attacked the vision without giving good solid reasons. That is not good science and if one has to resort to a little of creative license to get people to see past their blinders and perhaps get others to consider that they might be wrong then I'm all for it. I'm not saying that it will work -- but the "reasonable" efforts to date by Eric, Ralph, Robert, etc. don't seem to have worked very well. When what you are doing doesn't work it may be reasonable to try something different. That may not work either but as the old Chinese saying goes... "If you do not change the direction in which you are headed you are likely to end up where you are going". And where we are now going is costing us 30-50 million lives a year for each year MNT is delayed. That puts people who are responsible for the delays in a class with Stalin, Hitler, Milosevic, Pot Pol, etc. So Hal & Damien this goes back to the question recently posed with respect to the promotion of transhumanism and the technologies it may require -- what actions are legitimate for Extropians/Transhumanists/etc to engage in? If we are only going to write SciFi novels (I'm thinking (my paraphrasing) of I think Charlie's recent comments about how this may spread the ideas to people who may be more willing to accept them) then we need to make a *strong* argument that this is the best path or else we are as guilty as Smalley and Whitesides and the NNTI directors & grant review committees and many VC firms for slowing down the development of MNT. And we should acknowledge the blood on our hands as well. Robert From samantha at objectent.com Thu Jan 1 00:23:14 2004 From: samantha at objectent.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 16:23:14 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Spam In-Reply-To: <066901c3cf51$10659820$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> References: <000001c3cf3f$9bd6a2d0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> <066901c3cf51$10659820$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: <20031231162314.6b393429.samantha@objectent.com> On Wed, 31 Dec 2003 14:49:16 +1100 "Brett Paatsch" wrote: > Spike wrote: > > > As a thought experiment, ignore the means and list those > > who would have the motive to mess up the internet, or whose > > lives may have been better off without it: > > > > Bricks'n'mortar merchants > > Why? It is cheaper to put something on the web and sale it perhaps with drop shipment than run showroom floors. > > Anyone who sells primarily information, such as > > Ministers Many ministers are flocking to the net to reach a larger flock. > > Publishers Being found by search engines on the net perhaps with excerpts is darn cheap advertising. There are ways to sale published information on the net with minimum risk of being ripped off. And again, at lower costs. Now some middlemen publishers do stand to be obsoleted by the net. > > Real estate professionals Web ads are a boom to their business, so why would the care? > > Teachers (some of them) What for? Any teacher interested in teaching would send her students all over the internet for educational purposes. > > Stock and investment advisers (why pay for that which is free?) > Just because it is on the internet or accessible by the internet does not mean it is free or cannot successfully be charged for and collected. > > Others? > > I've wondered about this too. What about government and major > media outlets which are the means by which most people decide > how to vote or perhaps even what to buy or ask their stock broker > about. > You have a reasonable point that those forces that wish to restrict information, knowledge and choice by the people will see the internet as a threat. This means they will seek to manipulate matters so that they can control it. Its destruction is no longer a remotely rational goal even for these forces as too much is built upon it. > I'm pretty sure I read that there was an internet warfare section > that was active in the Iraq war. *If* the internet was a potent source > of non-manipulated media perhaps government (or agencies of it) > would want to act in accordance with the national interest (or > rather how the national interest is perceived) by agencies - which > might in fact by the interests of the government of the day. > Yes. I think it not unlikely that the government will work hard to change the internet in such a way as to control it and to stifle many of its revolutionary potentials. I believe this is a sufficient threat that some underground alternate networking infrastructure and methods should be designed and deployed. Our combined intelligence and influence depends on the means of communciation remaining open. I am not worried about spam destroying the net as we know it except and unless it is used by as yet another excuse for full[er] government control of the net down to the level of deep changes of the underlying code making free, open and/or anonymous internet resources extremely difficult to impossible. - samantha From jcorb at iol.ie Thu Jan 1 00:38:12 2004 From: jcorb at iol.ie (J Corbally) Date: Thu, 01 Jan 2004 00:38:12 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Happy New Year Message-ID: <5.0.2.1.1.20040101003315.03080040@pop.iol.ie> Well, it's cold outside, the rain has stopped and the fireworks have died down. But I'm sitting in the warmth sipping coke and chips n'dip. Life is good, and I think during this year it'll get better. Just think, there's things going to happen this year that just couldn't be done last year. We're getting closer to where we want to be, Transhumanistically speaking. So here's hoping that for all of you, 2004 will be a year that brings us all closer to peaceful times and the very, very long lives we've set our sights on. Peace, warmth, love and good food to you all in 2004! James... From samantha at objectent.com Thu Jan 1 00:32:21 2004 From: samantha at objectent.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 16:32:21 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Alert for Suspicious Farmers' Almanacs In-Reply-To: References: <20031230213639.65654.qmail@web80404.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20031231163221.7fa9cf47.samantha@objectent.com> On Tue, 30 Dec 2003 13:59:49 -0800 (PST) "Robert J. Bradbury" wrote: > > On Tue, 30 Dec 2003, Adrian Tymes wrote: > > > How do these compare? Requiring marshals on planes > > does not itself imply it is okay to trample on > > anyone's rights just because of some factor that has a very > > shaky, if any, correlation to terrorists. > > Its a double edged sword and one that could cause endless > debate that I'm not sure would be productive. But a > couple of things seem true -- it isn't clear *whose* > laws in effect during international flights so it > isn't clear whose rights you have -- (originating > country, destination country, passport country, > international or UN rules???). Second though I > think most passengers would be grateful to someone > taking aggressive action towards someone who is > perceived as dangerous -- there are significant > risks to the plane, flight crew and passengers > when firearms are involved. We have all seen > various hijacking films (real or fictional) and > it isn't clear what the best strategies are. > You only use highly frangible ammo on a plane. The risk with proper ammo and training need be no greater than in any crowd scenario stopping a dangerous person. > The same is true for the Almanac checks -- but > I'd be happy to explain why I had an Almanac if > I thought it was going to stop even a single > terrorist act. > I will not be happy until I am free of unwanted harrassment by all government officials and agents. The other choice leads to the eventual terrorization of the people by their own government. How many honest, law-abiding citizens in the US do you think are to some degree leaving in anxiety to outright terror of their own government and its various agents? How many live in fear of the IRS, BATF, DEA, FDA unreasonable lawsuits, draconian selectively enforced laws and so on? Not one of us is safe by the hands, stated intentions, written policies and practices of our own government. So why exactly do we believe giving them more power and giving away what shreds of rights remain to us will make us safer? -s From samantha at objectent.com Thu Jan 1 00:40:26 2004 From: samantha at objectent.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 16:40:26 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Alert for Suspicious Farmers' Almanacs In-Reply-To: <2C2FD451-3B18-11D8-B6F6-000A95B18568@antipope.org> References: <2C2FD451-3B18-11D8-B6F6-000A95B18568@antipope.org> Message-ID: <20031231164026.2a6911bb.samantha@objectent.com> On Tue, 30 Dec 2003 22:33:21 +0000 Charlie Stross wrote: > > You bet. Which is why the latest news in the UK is that BALPA (the > British Air Line Pilots' Association) is telling their members that > they don't need to fly if they believe there's an armed stranger on > their flight. > > BALPA's objection isn't merely to security -- airline pilots are not in > favour of hijackings! -- but they believe that sky marshalls will make > flights *less* safe. For one thing, a single sky marshall against a > group of hijackers may merely give them a free firearm. For another > thing, sky marshalls may accidentally wound or kill non-hijackers, or > damage the aircraft. They may be mistaken for hijackers by passengers > and *cause* security incidents -- if you realised the passenger in the > seat next to you had a concealed weapon, what would you do? And so on. > I would give a lot to have had an armed and trained person, marshall or civilian, on the planes involved in 9/11. The dangers listed above are small relative to the actual tragedy that resulted at least in part from having no such person on board. > BALPA want attention focussed instead on heightening security checks > before passengers board the aircraft, and point to the poor quality of > many security staff as the biggest problem. Unfortunately it costs a > *LOT* more to have well-paid, professional, highly-trained airport > security staff than minimum wage drones plus one or two sky marshalls. > And what if they miss something? Are the passengers and the potential direct and secondary victims on the ground to have no additional security? How is this reasonable? How does the cost of a trained security on planes compare to the staggering and still growing costs of a single incident like 9/11? - samantha From bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk Thu Jan 1 00:59:40 2004 From: bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk (BillK) Date: Thu, 1 Jan 2004 01:59:40 +0100 (CET) Subject: [extropy-chat] Happy New Year Message-ID: <5764479.1072918780961.JavaMail.www@wwinf3005> On Wed Dec 31, 2003 05:38 pm J Corbally wrote: > But I'm sitting in the warmth sipping coke and chips n'dip. Life is > good, and I think during this year it'll get better. Just think, > there's things going to happen this year that just couldn't be done > last year. We're getting closer to where we want to be, > Transhumanistically speaking. > Well, I'm leaning back in my comfy computer chair here in London, sipping a glass of old French brandy, resting my feet on a convenient serf and watching all the panic messages scroll up my screen. We've got a bit of crisis here. Our cable provider, Blueyonder, has collapsed in a heap nationwide and about half a million customers have no digital TV. Email has gone, website is down and some people have lost cable phone service. All the support staff are down the pub celebrating the New Year of course, so it could be sometime before civilization returns to normal. Did somebody mention single point of failure? Bit tricky this advanced technology lark. ;) All the best for 2004 BillK Freeserve AnyTime - HALF PRICE for the first 3 months - Save ?7.50 a month www.freeserve.com/anytime From scerir at libero.it Thu Jan 1 01:10:36 2004 From: scerir at libero.it (scerir) Date: Thu, 1 Jan 2004 02:10:36 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Many worlds and Hugh Everett References: <015f01c3cedc$01a9ad50$6501a8c0@int.veeco.com><015c01c3ceea$1d1e4ce0$e3fe4d0c@hal2001><007a01c3ceee$42bb3810$d2256bd5@artemis><001901c3cf0f$743734e0$cbb71b97@administxl09yj> <028a01c3cf2a$a9cdaab0$d2256bd5@artemis> Message-ID: <000301c3d004$113c0aa0$f0c7fea9@scerir> From: "Dirk Bruere" > The point is though, that there are no (currently) testable QM theories > that both make different predictions from standard QM and are not already > falsified by experiment. It seems (to me) a bit difficult to define what is "standard QM", sometimes called "orthodox" QM. Perhaps there are many "standard QM". There are many "schools" and many "standard" interpretations: Cambridge, Copenhagen, Gottingen, Princeton, Zurich, etc. If you read Dirac's book you cannot even find the term "wavefunction". But you can find that the photon only interferes with itself (which is not in line with Born's postulate) and never interferes with other photons (which was proved wrong, experimentally, in the '60s). If you read von Neumann's book you find that hidden variables are not allowed, in QM, in principle, something that was falsified later by John Bell, whose philosophy (realism, Einstein's locality principle) was then falsified by those experiments performed by A. Aspect. But von Neumann wrote, perhaps for the first time, a detailed "theory of quantum measurement", while Dirac avoided as much as he could the issue. There are other problems with von Neumann's book, since some theorist found that the definition of "tensor product", given in the book, might be arbitrary, or worse, and his definition is crucial if one wishes to keep the "peaceful coexistence" between QM and SR. If you read Bohr's papers you find, few times, the expression "reduction of wave packets" or "reduction of probability packets" but he did not speak of a "real" or, better, "physical" collapse. The "collapse" is un-physical, according to Bohr, which means "epistemological". Actually the "Copenhagen Interpretation" (so called after Heisenberg, 1955) is essentially "epistemological". What about the physical collapse, then? Well, you must read the papers by Heisenberg and, maybe, the book of von Neumann, if you want to find something like that. But then came the paper by EPR (1935, but Popper, von Weizsaecker, and Einstein himself had, independently, the same idea many years before). And this paper seems to have much to do with a "physical collapse" which produces "spooky actions" at a distance. Only Bohr found a consistent way out, based on his "complementarity principle" and his idea of a non-physical (only epistemological) collapse. But Bohr's words were so obscure, so deep, and a bit inaccurate, and then people did not realized who really won that debate, if EPR + Schroedinger, or Bohr, or nobody. (You can find below something that maybe represents in a more formal way what Bohr had in mind. For clarity it is discussed the EPR in the Bohm version, that is to say the EPR-B). What does it mean all the above? That there is no "standard QM"? No, it just means that there was no "standard interpretation of QM", since the beginning. There is of course a general agreement on the fundamental equations, and rules, and principles. > The point is though, that there are no (currently) testable QM theories > that both make different predictions from standard QM and are not already > falsified by experiment. There are theories that make different prediction (from standard QM, and have been falsified by experiments. In example the de Broglie double solution, in the Selleri-Croca version, which has been falsified by experiments performed by Mandel, Wang, etc. Also Bohmian mechanics is tested now and it seems to be wrong. But if you ask if "standard QM" has been falsified, I would respond: yes, more or less as Newtonian description has been falsified by SR. There are theories ("weak measurement", i.e.) which predict what QM, in the present formalism, cannot predict, and they have been positively tested. They are radical "extensions" of QM, more than new theories. We can also say that QM many times falsified itself, in a certain sense. There was, around 1926-1927, the famous Bohr-Heisenberg debate about the meaning of UP (uncertainty pr.) and the meaning of CP (complementarity). Heisenberg was saying that UP has its roots in disturbances, during measurements. Bohr was saying that UP is a part of CP, and no disturbance was much involved, the essence of uncertainty was deeper, already present in the formalism of the QM. Modern experiments ("quantum erasure", "welcher weg" and distinguishability, etc.) have shown that Bohr was right. Heisenberg's gamma ray microscope gedanken experiment is obsolete now. (Btw, it was also shown that in the Bohr-Einstein debate, Bohr himself introduced many times arguments, which are completely wrong). What about the uncertainty relation DE Dt > h which Aharonov and Bohm proved to be completely false (meaningless) in 1961? Also Dirac's uncertainty relation D phase D N = 1 has been proved to be wrong. And also the famous relation Dposition Dmomentum > h has been proved to be meaningless in many specific cases (when one observable is bounded and the other non commuting observable is stationary, so to speak). Even the general Robertson's uncertainty relation for two observables A, B, has some problem since it depends on the same wavefunction on both sides! DA(psi) DB(psi) = 1/2 || What about the "correspondence principle", one of the basic points of the standard QM and the Copenhagen interpretation, which is even difficult to find, in modern books, and was proved to be wrong (by A.Leggett et al.)? > Given the physical equivalence of the various interpretations does > that mean quantum suicide experiments will have the same outcome? I do not agree about that "physical equivalence", because theories are different, and formalisms are, often, different too. Imo, it is not easy to perform a *quantum* suicide, but, in case of necessity ..., I would suggest a "weak" quantum suicide. In such a strategy, the suicide is accomplished in several rounds. One sacrifices knowledge of the system, on any given round, to avoid the entanglement with the "device" and the ensuing "split" (or "collapse", depending on the interpretation) of the wavefunction. This makes it possible to contemplate (or self-contemplate) the behavior of the "system" defined by preparation and by a later (hopefully lucky) post-selection, without significant disturbance of the "system" in the intervening period. Due to the many rounds strategy, and the weakness of the suicide procedure, you could stop it as soon as you realize that the post-selection state is not satisfactory. Or something like this :-) s. "What is much more likely is that the new way of seeing things will involve an imaginative leap that will astonish us. In any case it seems that the quantum mechanical description will be superseded. In this it is like all theories made by man. But to an unusual extent its ultimate fate is apparent in its internal structure. It carries in itself the seeds of its own destruction." - John Bell "The Moral Aspect of Quantum Mechanics" in Speakable and Unspeakable in Quantum Mechanics,Cambridge University Press (1987). --------------------------- EPR-B 'a la Bohr' We can write the state of each entangled EPR-B sub-system (1 or 2) of the composite system, as: rho(1) = |1.up><1.up|+|1.down><1.down| rho(2) = |2.up><2.up|+|2.down><2.down| rho(1), rho(2) are the density matrices describing each sub-system. The above is the more general definition, and it means that sub-system.1 and sub-system.2 are "mixed states". Look that rho(1) = trace(2) rho(1,2) and rho(2) = trace(1) rho(1,2) where rho(1,2) = density matrix of the composite EPR-B system = =(|1.up>|2.down>-|1.down>|2.up>)(<1.up|<2.down|-<1.down|<2.up|) Look also that for rho(1,2) the total angular momentum operator has values = 0 for all spatial components, since the two spins are (pre)correlated, and thay point to opposite directions. Note also that this is not the case of rho(1) and rho(2) because they are mixed states, with no definite values for angular momentum components. Suppose now that an appatratus.2 measures sub-system.2 (an observable of this sub-system.2). From the universality of QM, also apparatus.2 will be a mixed state, with no definite value, for the measured abservable. But since sub-system.2 is correlated with sub-system.1, apparatus.2 will be also correlated with sub-system.1. Thus when we read, on apparatus.2, that the observable of sub-system.2 is "spin up" we know that the observable of sub-system.1 is "spin down". But since we assumed that sub-system.1 and sub-system.2 are space-like separated, no physical interaction is possible. Hence when we read, on apparatus.2, the value of the observable of sub-system.2, we do not have any interaction with sub-system.1, which rests in its mixed state. We can infer, though, the value of the observable of sub-system.1, without interacting with it. The above is a conditional inference, or a conditional probability = 1. The only possible effect is on "relationships" between sub-system. Not between the physical states of sub-systems (rectius, between apparata measuring sub-systems). Look also that the relationship between sub-systems (correlation) is pre-existent, it is not due to any measurement. If you want to check the (defined above) conditional inferences, or conditional probabilities, you must measure with apparatus.2 the sub-system.2 (say spin up) and with apparatus.1 the sub.system.1 (say spin down) and see if the measurements agree. Since sub-system.1 and sub-system.2 (apparatus.1, apparatus.2) are represented by mixed states there is no need to assume any physical collapse between them. No collapse -> no interaction -> no energy transfer -> no FTL 'informations' -> no FTL 'influences' -> no spooky actions. From wingcat at pacbell.net Thu Jan 1 01:41:09 2004 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 17:41:09 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Alert for Suspicious Farmers' Almanacs In-Reply-To: <20031231163221.7fa9cf47.samantha@objectent.com> Message-ID: <20040101014109.92950.qmail@web80404.mail.yahoo.com> --- Samantha Atkins wrote: > Not one of us > is safe by the hands, stated intentions, written > policies and practices of our own government. Well..._maybe_ by the stated intentions, if those were what actually got put into practice. A large part of the problem is that the new powers get abused in ways not anticipated by the statements, but easily forseen by students of history. Whether or not the speakers of said statements also forsee the abuses is not provable; it is easy to imagine that they do, but it seems more often the case that they don't, and turn a deaf ear to any naysayers. (In some cases, they so vigorously tune out dissent that people think they're doing it to justify the abuses. I'm not exactly sure what their real reason is - mere pride and arrogance seem insufficient - but in my experience, deliberate covering up is usually not it.) From wingcat at pacbell.net Thu Jan 1 01:56:00 2004 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 17:56:00 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Spam In-Reply-To: <20031231162314.6b393429.samantha@objectent.com> Message-ID: <20040101015600.73326.qmail@web80405.mail.yahoo.com> Just a few examples... --- Samantha Atkins wrote: > > Spike wrote: > > > As a thought experiment, ignore the means and > list those > > > who would have the motive to mess up the > internet, or whose > > > lives may have been better off without it: > > > > > > Bricks'n'mortar merchants > > Why? It is cheaper to put something on the web and > sale it perhaps with drop shipment than run showroom > floors. Yes, but to anyone who hasn't adopted those practices, and refuses to for whatever reason (say, they falsely believe that putting their inventory online means it'll get stolen in a heartbeat by someone with a fake credit card, or a hacker planting false orders in their database; or, they simply haven't grokked the Web yet), playing with the Web is not (yet) an option. > > > Anyone who sells primarily information, such as > > > Ministers > > Many ministers are flocking to the net to reach a > larger flock. And many more decry the 'Net for allowing access to "evil" viewpoints (read: anyone who disagrees with the minister...although there are those online that most people agree are evil too). > > > Publishers > > Being found by search engines on the net perhaps > with excerpts is darn cheap advertising. There are > ways to sale published information on the net with > minimum risk of being ripped off. And again, at > lower costs. See the brick 'n' mortar example - but this has some famous real examples: the RIAA and the MPAA. Most of us can probably imagine ways for them to sell securely online, with minimal risk of being ripped off big time. But in practice, their efforts have been minimal, hesitant, and lacking in content - and thus far from the vast rewards they are otherwise promised. But that does not seem to have caused their hardening against the 'Net; the cause seems to be that, by allowing so many advertising channels they can not flood and dominate, the 'Net gives exposure to their competition: indie bands that focus more on talent than glitz. Of course they'd prefer to shut down their competition... > > > Teachers (some of them) > > What for? Any teacher interested in teaching would > send her students all over the internet for > educational purposes. Emphasis: "interested in teaching". Some teachers see only the ability to download common essays and "cheat" on learning things that were relevant in the last century. (Yes, it's a good thing to be able to spellcheck your works manually. But for big, long essays, you'd better get in the habit of applying your own effort and letting the computer help - neither relying on your own efforts or the computer's to the exclusion of the other, because neither one will catch everything.) From spike66 at comcast.net Thu Jan 1 03:15:41 2004 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 19:15:41 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] that bad old internet In-Reply-To: <20031231162314.6b393429.samantha@objectent.com> Message-ID: <004b01c3d015$89b90300$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > Samantha Atkins > > Spike wrote: > > > > > As a thought experiment, ignore the means and list those > > > who would have the motive to mess up the internet, or whose > > > lives may have been better off without it: > > > > > > Bricks'n'mortar merchants > > > > > Why? It is cheaper to put something on the web and sale it > perhaps with drop shipment than run showroom floors. This falls under the category of those who do not use the internet. Much of merchandising is presentation. If the masses come into your showroom, pick out some merchandise, then go home and order it all off the internet, your sales will suffer. With the furniture showroom example, the markup is huge, sometimes double the price a warehouse can provide. Right now car sales lots are being somewhat protected by the few manufacturers, but there are plenty of classes of merchandise which are not so protected. Consider consumer electronics: presentation costs are low, so profit margins on things like stereos, TVs, computers, MP3 players etc, are razor thin, often less than 10%. Samantha, our friends in Taxamento demand 7.8% of the sales price. To the merchants, that must sound like the state government saying: Sell all the electronics you can, then hand over *all* the profit. > > > Anyone who sells primarily information, such as > > > Ministers > > Many ministers are flocking to the net to reach a larger flock. There is that, but of course the internet is a competition for their flock's attention, and a wonderfully competent competitor it is indeed. There are a couple of points that are specific to this example. A minister's primary duty is to prepare sermons. A good sermon is a little research project. An extraordinarily good sermon is of interest even to the non-religious, filled with detailed historical research, etc. This research requires resources available to only a few, those with access to large theological libraries for instance. The head pastor of the theology school I once attended was a master of this skill, finding wonderfully obscure references and connections. The internet has made this kind of research two orders of magnitude easier to do. One can now google up all kinds of stuff without ever leaving one's home. But it also makes it extremely easy to google up the other side of the story. In the case of Seventh Day Adventist (I chose that one only because I know the specific case, but I would imagine it applies to pretty much all of them) the effect is this: the pro-SDA material is plentiful, cheap, readily available and extremely well-funded. But those who have opposing opinions are not heard, for they have no organized funding, no distribution network, no sponsors, nothing. There are SDA bookstores but no anti-SDA bookstores. The writings of D.M. Canwright are *very* difficult to find, for instance, even if one is determined. The internet changes all that, for now it costs almost nothing to publish a web page. There is a lot of very SDA-damaging material that took me *years* to find, that can now be googled in minutes. I could imagine a lot of ministers taking a dim view of it all. My in-laws pastor has convinced them that the internet is basically evil and should be avoided. > > > Real estate professionals > > Web ads are a boom to their business, so why would the care? The total number of sales is not increased by the internet, but it makes it much easier to go around the real estate professional all together. Google up the forms on how to do a for-sale-by-owner and learn how easy it is. The internet makes it easy to advertise your own home without going to the general listing. Real estate sales people often get commissions of 3% or in some cases even more. Samantha in our county of Santa Clara, 3% of a typical home price is 15 to 20 thousand bucks, which is a lotta money to me. I think I could figure out how to do a FSBO for that. > > > Teachers (some of them) > > What for? Any teacher interested in teaching would send her > students all over the internet for educational purposes... -Samantha Ja, some teachers have taken advantage of the technology, but I suspect many (if not most) have not. The internet can make it very difficult to grade the students if not all of them have access. It also makes it a challenge for the teacher to determine who is plagiarizing. If they Google on each student's work they could find out, but that takes a lot of time. We still need to deal with this too: the quality of teachers must continue to drop because it is such a low- paying job, with ever-increasing liability of working with children. Many teachers may not be able to afford a high-speed internet connection. My brother-in-law and his wife are elementary school teachers in south- central LA. Dial-up modem only. Googling at their home is extremely frustrating. My own recent experience is in judging a science fair for the local elementary school. Many of the students' projects consisted of choosing a topic, googling on it, printing out a few web pages and pasting it to a backboard. They produced some terrific *looking* projects, stuff that woulda won hands down in my day (I had to use that phrase {8^D) but on closer examination they could have been put together in about an hour. No continuity, very flashy. Judging the science fair came down to searching for research projects that contained some actual research. A major headache for teachers is that not all students have access to the internet. As time goes on, the disparity between haves and have-nots increases to such an extent that grading the student's performance is becoming ever harder. Often teachers become more concerned about equality and fairness than in having their top students achieve excellence, so they spend much or most of their time helping the slower students. How do you help someone who has no internet connection? They are missing the most basic tool of the 21st century. My burden is for my own neices, aged 11 and 13. Their parents do not allow them any access to the internet because of... well, you can imagine any number of reasons why not. These girls are polite, honest, upstanding citizens, excellent students and excellent readers. But their vast cluelessness knows no bounds. They are so naive, so very unaware of the world in which they will soon enter, it worries me. What happens when they enter college without internet research skills? They will know all about American history (sort of) from their wide reading about how children lived in past decades. But they will know almost nothing about the things that matter for prosperity in our world. This latest adventure with the pastor telling my in-laws that the internet is evil didn't help matters at all. spike From extropy at unreasonable.com Thu Jan 1 04:06:26 2004 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 23:06:26 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Hyperbole Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20031231230547.024ffff8@mail.comcast.net> Read the quote from the judge. Even for our hyperbolic age, it's impressive. -- David Lubkin. >http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/3358627.stm >Brazil to fingerprint US citizens > >A Brazilian judge has announced that US citizens will be fingerprinted and >photographed on entering the country. > >Judge Julier Sebastiao da Silva was reacting to US plans to do the same to >Brazilians entering the United States. > >He made the order after a Brazilian government office filed a complaint in >a federal court over the new US immigration measures. > > From 5 January, travellers from all countries which need a visa to enter > the US will undergo the same checks. > >"I consider the act absolutely brutal, threatening human rights, violating >human dignity, xenophobic and worthy of the worst horrors committed by the >Nazis," Federal Judge Julier Sebastiao da Silva said in the court order. > >The new security measures will come into effect on 1 January unless Mr Da >Silva's ruling is challenged by the justice system. > >Anti-terrorism > >Washington's new rules are part of increased anti-terrorism measures. > >They aim to identify people who have violated immigration controls, have a >criminal record or belong to groups that Washington has on its list of >"terrorist" organisations. > >An official from the US Department of Homeland Security said at least two >of the 19 hijackers in the 11 September 2001 attacks could have been >stopped if this security system had been in place. > >It will not apply to citizens of 27 nations who do not require a visa to >enter the US. From thespike at earthlink.net Thu Jan 1 04:34:41 2004 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 22:34:41 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] How The Schmirk Stole Nanotechnology References: Message-ID: <027801c3d020$97187840$a7994a43@texas.net> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Robert J. Bradbury" Sent: Wednesday, December 31, 2003 5:59 PM > http://nanodot.org/article.pl?sid=03/12/24/0633205 > > Esp. my comments and Howard's response. The picture does not > have Smalley replaced by the Schmirk. Howard's presentation on December 23 http://nanobot.blogspot.com/2003_12_21_nanobot_archive.html#1072204344654620 87 was a *repost* of: From: J. Storrs Hall, PhD. (josh at blast.net) Subject: How the Schmirk Stole Nanotechnology Newsgroups: sci.nanotech Date: 2003-12-17 03:35:26 PST which of course, being vanilla text, had no illustration. I assume JoSH did not create the morphed photo, so no insight can be gained by learning who was replaced. Damien Broderick From spike66 at comcast.net Thu Jan 1 05:14:13 2004 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Wed, 31 Dec 2003 21:14:13 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] How The Schmirk Stole Nanotechnology In-Reply-To: <027801c3d020$97187840$a7994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <005001c3d026$18b16740$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Robert Bradbury wrote on slashdot: Now we know nanotech is going to be disruptive and if one carefully reviews the NBA supporters they include some very old companies (e.g. GE, Catepillar, Lockheed) so one has to wonder whether they are involved to promote nanotech development or delay it (so as to protect their current markets)... I can answer that one: promote it, bigtime. They will promote nanotech to *enhance* current markets. Note that the nanotech that is being developed at Lockheeed, et.al. is not true bottom-up Drexlerian nanotech, but rather the next technical steps in miniaturization, top-down. They all want to know how we keep going down after photolithography gives out, which appears to be soon, perhaps in the next 10-15 years. Very old companies don't get to be very old companies unless they continually embrace and develop the latest and most promising new technologies. spike From riel at surriel.com Thu Jan 1 08:34:12 2004 From: riel at surriel.com (Rik van Riel) Date: Thu, 1 Jan 2004 03:34:12 -0500 (EST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Best place to live in USA In-Reply-To: <5.1.0.14.2.20031231105329.01c54380@mail.comcast.net> References: <5.1.0.14.2.20031231105329.01c54380@mail.comcast.net> Message-ID: On Wed, 31 Dec 2003, David Lubkin wrote: > At 11:31 AM 12/31/2003 +0000, BillK wrote: > > >Money Magazine's Hottest Towns > > : > >Now the question is: Why no places in New Hampshire in the top 81? > >Too much snow? ;) > > I'm not sure how much their assessment criteria vary year-to-year but > Nashua, New Hampshire was chosen twice by Money Magazine as the best > town in America, in 1987 and 1997. I moved here in march and it's just a wonderful city. Lots of stuff to do; property prices high, but still at less than half of Boston. Lots of space and pretty good food. > (Which reminds me: Nashua has two great sushi restaurants -- one we > have used to take visiting Japanese VIPs to, the other has French bistro > desserts.) Which would those be ? I haven't yet found a sushi place in Nashua that comes close in quality to Sakura in Chelmsford ;) cheers, Rik -- "Debugging is twice as hard as writing the code in the first place. Therefore, if you write the code as cleverly as possible, you are, by definition, not smart enough to debug it." - Brian W. Kernighan From samantha at objectent.com Thu Jan 1 09:56:40 2004 From: samantha at objectent.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Thu, 1 Jan 2004 01:56:40 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Alert for Suspicious Farmers' Almanacs In-Reply-To: <20031231203649.65653.qmail@web80403.mail.yahoo.com> References: <20031231183958.62717.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> <20031231203649.65653.qmail@web80403.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20040101015640.066fe667.samantha@objectent.com> On Wed, 31 Dec 2003 12:36:49 -0800 (PST) Adrian Tymes wrote: > --- Mike Lorrey wrote: > > Would a vehicle search be a civil rights violation? > > Yup. Does it > > matter? Nope. Why? Because national security is not > > bound by civil > > rights laws. > > Yes it is. Yes. There is nothing in the Constitution that makes exceptions except an actual suspension of the Constitution. > > > Your civil rights being violated is > > only grounds to > > exclude incriminating evidence from trial, it is not > > a "get out of > > Guantanamo Free card". > Your civil rights being violated is a crime committed against you by your government. It is a small or large act of treason by government officials who are sworn to uphold the Constitution and be properly limited by it. > No, civil rights also impose limits on government > behavior even when no trial will come of it. > Otherwise, it would be perfectly acceptable to, say, > put a male Arab American under indefinite > investigation - and publicize the fact - just because > he was running for elected office, or because he dared > to vote: "He obviously must be trying to weaken our > defenses against terrorism!" > > Ironic that you should use that example, BTW. Wasn't > it civil rights which was why a bunch of those in > Guantanamo, who otherwise faced indefinite detention > (theoretically pending a military trial, but said > trial showed no signs of being organized in the near > future - result, life in prison w/out trial), were > ordered either into the civil court system (if and > only if formal charges, with evidence, could be > brought in a certain short time frame) or set free? > There is no place for a Guantanamo in any society that dares claim it stands for human freedom and rights or dares pretend to be the "good". Guantanomo is a lawless travesty, a great mark of infamy weighing upon America. > > The SCOTUS has ruled on a > > number of occasions > > that violtions of your civil rights taken in defense > > of national > > security are quite acceptable. > Then the SCOTUS is simply wrong. There is nothing in the Constitution, btw, that says the SCOTUS is the legitimate final arbitrar of what is and is not Constitutional. The government can always *claim* National Security to take away whatever rights of whomever whenever it wants by this thinking. That is clearly not part of the intent and makes on one safe from government whatsoever. > > Terrorism is NOT a > > civil crime, it is a > > military or war crime, and is properly subject to > > military law, not > > civillian law. > Terrorism is so bloody loosely defined that saying it is this or that category of crime is virtually meaningless. Its definition is arbitrary so any acts or purported acts or secretly accused acts may be subject to whatever whim the authorities care to exercise. This is clearly dead wrong. It is so wrong it acts like a Big Lie stopping the thinking of even many liberty loving folks. > Even when it becomes an excuse to override civilian > law under any circumstances, and effectively place all > citizens under military law - which can be altered by > those in power at whim? (Effectively, if not in > statement. For instance, consider what happens if, at > any time, your rights could be suspended and any > action taken against you for the most tenuous, or even > made up, charges of potential terrorism. This becomes > a universal excuse whenever anyone in the government > disapproves of your actions. Running against the > incumbent in an election, and stand a good chance of > winning? You're a terrorist. Refuse an office > holder's sexual advances? You're a terrorist. > Decline to pay the 90% tax rate? You're not guilty of > tax evasion, since that would require actually > bothering to figure out how much you supposedly owe; > instead, you're just another terrorist. Get > rear-ended by a drunk police officer? You're the > terrorist, so you're at fault. Try researching > biotech, so as to discover a cure for cancer? Only > terrorists would do that - and it doesn't matter what > you say or what evidence you have, since you're a > terrorist everyone knows you were actually researching > biological weapons. Refuse to pledge allegiance to > someone else's God? God damn, are you ever a > terrorist! And so forth.) > Yes. Well said. -s From samantha at objectent.com Thu Jan 1 10:06:31 2004 From: samantha at objectent.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Thu, 1 Jan 2004 02:06:31 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Alert for Suspicious Farmers' Almanacs In-Reply-To: <20040101014109.92950.qmail@web80404.mail.yahoo.com> References: <20031231163221.7fa9cf47.samantha@objectent.com> <20040101014109.92950.qmail@web80404.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20040101020631.09f0c153.samantha@objectent.com> On Wed, 31 Dec 2003 17:41:09 -0800 (PST) Adrian Tymes wrote: > --- Samantha Atkins wrote: > > Not one of us > > is safe by the hands, stated intentions, written > > policies and practices of our own government. > > Well..._maybe_ by the stated intentions, if those were > what actually got put into practice. When it comes to rights in the street, faced with representatives of the State, or in your home in the dead of night, or in court, those intentions, especially what is written down, can matter one hell of a lot. It has been common practice to dismiss Constitutional arguments in most courts even high courts for some time. Juries are commonly instructed to merely vote on whether the law was literally broken and never advised it is their right as citizens to vote whether the law makes sense or its application in a particular case makes sense. They become the rubber stamp of what the judge wants and the validity of the law and its application gets simply assumed. > A large part of > the problem is that the new powers get abused in ways > not anticipated by the statements, but easily forseen > by students of history. Some of the statements are pretty darn obvious. > Whether or not the speakers > of said statements also forsee the abuses is not > provable; it is easy to imagine that they do, but it > seems more often the case that they don't, and turn a > deaf ear to any naysayers. (In some cases, they so > vigorously tune out dissent that people think they're > doing it to justify the abuses. I'm not exactly sure > what their real reason is - mere pride and arrogance > seem insufficient - but in my experience, deliberate > covering up is usually not it.) It is really irrelevant if the effect of leading these folks keep power and respecting their statements and believing their good intent is that millions of us are run over brutally by the State. The power and disbelief or suspension of disbelief need to be removed. It is not only the perps who engage in massive rationalization. They are greatly outdone in both unconcious and willed blindness by their victims. - samantha From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Thu Jan 1 10:31:05 2004 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Thu, 1 Jan 2004 21:31:05 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Did Smalley change his mind? References: <20031230165731.96224.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <01db01c3d052$5c988160$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> In Nanomedicine Vol 1, Chapter 2, Paths to Molecular Manufacturing (published 1999) Sect. 2.1 Is Molecular Manufacturing possible? http://www.nanomedicine.com/NMI/2.1.htm Robert Freitas writes - " Nearly 40 years after Feynman's famous "Plenty of Room at the Bottom" speech, and a decade after Drexler's original proposal for a bottom-up approach to machine building using molecular assemblers, Nobel chemist Richard Smalley also largely agreed that this objective should prove feasible. Noted Smalley: [2389] "On a length scale of more than one nanometer, the mechanical robot assembler metaphor envisioned by Drexler almost certainly will work..." There is a citation (below) but the link no longer finds a page. [2389]. R.E. Smalley, "Chemistry on the Nanometer Scale -- Introductory Remarks," 1996 Welch Conference in Chemistry, at: http://cnst.rice.edu/NanoWelch.html Did Smalley change his mind about Molecular Manufacturing being possible ? When was the above page removed? Does anyone have an e-copy of the original remarks? It would be *very* interesting to see what Smalley actually said. Regards, Brett Paatsch From gpmap at runbox.com Thu Jan 1 12:17:44 2004 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Thu, 1 Jan 2004 13:17:44 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Many worlds and Hugh Everett In-Reply-To: <015c01c3ceea$1d1e4ce0$e3fe4d0c@hal2001> Message-ID: MWI does not privilege a single reality, physically instantiated in a "real world", over possible realities equally consistent with physics. Two macroscopically different outcomes of a microscopic event to which the laws of physics only assign a probability are treated as equally valid projections of reality. I always thought that MWI is conceptually simpler than other interpretations. We only have to do without the assumption of a reality that allows itself to be completely described by our language, and the mathematics of the theory flow beautifully without paradoxes. There is one wavefunction (reality) evolving in time according to precise laws, only it does not describe a world of bricks. Conceptual problems only arise when we try separating out a projection of the wavefunction and using a language meant for bricks to describe it. Since there is usually interference between different projections of reality, it is impossible to separate one out as a stand alone reality. Too bad that brick languages are the only languages that evolution has developed for us so far. What happened to Liz after she killed herself? Well since there were countless version of her in different projections of reality, and since the closest ones shared a large part of her personality and memories, it seems reasonable to assume that her consciousness continued in the versions that had not killed themselves. Of course this must be a brick-like approximation, perhaps consciousness is a property of the complete wavefunction that does not allow itself to be associated to a specific projection. -----Original Message----- From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org]On Behalf Of John K Clark Sent: martes, 30 de diciembre de 2003 16:32 To: ExI chat list Subject: [extropy-chat] Many worlds and Hugh Everett There is a new online biography of Hugh Everett, the man who started the many worlds interpretation of quantum mechanics at http://www.hep.upenn.edu/~max/everett/ . One thing I didn't know was that Everett's daughter believed in it and killed herself because she thought she would be living in a better parallel world with her father. Apparently she thought if all the unhappy versions of herself died her consciousness would remain only in the happy ones. There may be a certain amount of logic to that but before you do something that drastic you had better be very very sure the theory is correct. I don't know about you but I'm not THAT certain. John K Clark jonkc at att.net _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From mlorrey at yahoo.com Thu Jan 1 15:56:08 2004 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Thu, 1 Jan 2004 07:56:08 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Alert for Suspicious Farmers' Almanacs In-Reply-To: <20040101015640.066fe667.samantha@objectent.com> Message-ID: <20040101155608.70817.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> --- Samantha Atkins wrote: > On Wed, 31 Dec 2003 12:36:49 -0800 (PST) > Adrian Tymes wrote: > > > --- Mike Lorrey wrote: > > > Would a vehicle search be a civil rights violation? > > > Yup. Does it > > > matter? Nope. Why? Because national security is not > > > bound by civil > > > rights laws. > > > > Yes it is. > > Yes. There is nothing in the Constitution that makes exceptions > except an actual suspension of the Constitution. Wrong again Samantha. The Constitution makes room for signing treaties with other nations. The Geneva Conventions are such treaties, and THEY specifically make terrorism a military or war crime that is treated and ajudicated differently from civil crimes. > > > > > > Your civil rights being violated is > > > only grounds to > > > exclude incriminating evidence from trial, it is not > > > a "get out of > > > Guantanamo Free card". > > > > Your civil rights being violated is a crime committed against you by > your government. It is a small or large act of treason by government > officials who are sworn to uphold the Constitution and be properly > limited by it. With an emphassis on *your* government. Non-citizens have constitutionally protected rights by courtesy. Yes, they have natural rights, which we as a signor to the Geneva Conventions have agreed to *recognise* to belong to non-combantats, legal combatants to a slightly lesser degree, and to a far lesser degree, illegal combatants. I'll bet, Samantha, that after two years of my needling you about it, you STILL haven't read the Geneva Conventions..... > > > The SCOTUS has ruled on a > > > number of occasions > > > that violtions of your civil rights taken in defense > > > of national > > > security are quite acceptable. > > > > Then the SCOTUS is simply wrong. There is nothing in the > Constitution, btw, that says the SCOTUS is the legitimate final > arbitrar of what is and is not Constitutional. You know, Samantha, I've heard this claim made by some of the militia bunker mentality types who wait for the black helicopters to come, but never by anyone who knows the law and the Constitution. > > > > Terrorism is NOT a > > > civil crime, it is a > > > military or war crime, and is properly subject to > > > military law, not > > > civillian law. > > > > Terrorism is so bloody loosely defined that saying it is this or that > category of crime is virtually meaningless. Its definition is > arbitrary so any acts or purported acts or secretly accused acts may > be subject to whatever whim the authorities care to exercise. This > is clearly dead wrong. It is so wrong it acts like a Big Lie > stopping the thinking of even many liberty loving folks. It's definition is only loosely defined in the minds of those who consistently refuse to read, and remain proudly ignorant of, the Geneva Conventions. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Find out what made the Top Yahoo! Searches of 2003 http://search.yahoo.com/top2003 From charlie at antipope.org Thu Jan 1 16:44:04 2004 From: charlie at antipope.org (Charlie Stross) Date: Thu, 1 Jan 2004 16:44:04 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Alert for Suspicious Farmers' Almanacs In-Reply-To: <20031231164026.2a6911bb.samantha@objectent.com> References: <2C2FD451-3B18-11D8-B6F6-000A95B18568@antipope.org> <20031231164026.2a6911bb.samantha@objectent.com> Message-ID: On 1 Jan 2004, at 00:40, Samantha Atkins wrote: >> You bet. Which is why the latest news in the UK is that BALPA (the >> British Air Line Pilots' Association) is telling their members that >> they don't need to fly if they believe there's an armed stranger on >> their flight. > I would give a lot to have had an armed and trained person, marshall > or civilian, on the planes involved in 9/11. The dangers listed > above are small relative to the actual tragedy that resulted at least > in part from having no such person on board. News update: BALPA apparently reached an agreement with at least one British airline. The arrangement is simple: the identity, armament, and seat location of the sky marshall is known to the captain (who may at their discretion inform other crew members), the captain and the sky marshall discuss in advance how they're going to work together, and the sky marshall acts under the captain's orders and authority at all times *except* when a hijacking is in progress. What worries me isn't the possibility of sky marshalls on board planes but the fact that BALPA had to kick up a fuss to get these arrangements agreed. (Because the alternative -- sky marshalls not talking to the air crew, unidentified folks waving guns around on airliners, and so on -- doesn't bear thinking about. In the worst case we get hijackers masquerading as sky marshalls and the passengers and crew *believing* them, up until the last minute. Right?) >> BALPA want attention focussed instead on heightening security checks >> before passengers board the aircraft, and point to the poor quality of >> many security staff as the biggest problem. Unfortunately it costs a >> *LOT* more to have well-paid, professional, highly-trained airport >> security staff than minimum wage drones plus one or two sky marshalls. >> > > And what if they miss something? Are the passengers and the potential > direct and secondary victims on the ground to have no additional > security? How is this reasonable? How does the cost of a trained > security on planes compare to the staggering and still growing costs > of a single incident like 9/11? A little thought-experiment for you: how many hijackings have taken place since 9/11? Compared to hijackings before 9/11? And if you thought a lunatic on your flight was about to try to hijack it, what would you do (before and after)? As I believe Bruce Schneier pointed out, 9/11 was made possible by a security design flaw: the general assumption that hijackers weren't suicidal. It was a self-correcting problem -- corrected within an hour of the first hijackings, as the fate of Flight 93 demonstrates. Since 9/11, everyone's been so jumpy that at the first sign of trouble cabin crew *and* passengers have piled on the trouble-maker. (Here's a tentative answer to my earlier question: I'm about as non-violent as folks come. I do *not* get into or start fights. I don't own a gun or a knife or know how to use either or have any self-defense training. But if I thought some guy on my flight was going to march up to the flight deck and hijack the plane, he'd literally have to go through my dead body to get there -- because while I *might* survive a fight with an armed hijacker I *wouldn't* survive a terrorist-controlled flight into terrain. How about you?) I think we have far more to worry about from other directions. Bombs in unscreened hold baggage, hijackers mailing themselves via FedEx to get aboard a freighter aircraft, nut-jobs under the final-approach flight line at a major airport with an SA-16, that sort of thing. -- Charlie From extropy at unreasonable.com Thu Jan 1 16:45:51 2004 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Thu, 01 Jan 2004 11:45:51 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] A scaldic tale, in prose Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20040101101543.02d61d00@mail.comcast.net> In the days since lost Sasha, Bostropians have gathered infrequently. Extropians of the Boston region, that is, not followers of Nick Bostrom. Which we might be as well, but I think one such would be called a Bostromian, although Bostrompian has more of the flavour of Swift and brings to mind Modest Proposals. So we met on Boxing Day, we fellowship of nine, in the grey afternoon of the north lands. Two of the Wise, Steve Witham and Simon! Levy, from the First Age of Extropians, had stepped out of primordial time and memory to lend their counsel. Simon! did not bring his fiddle, as promised, but other minstrels fretted and plucked. Unexpectedly, the ranger Lorrey joined our encampment as we sat to our spicy string beans and skittles. We cheered his fine tales, grateful we'd provisioned enough food to stoke his mighty girth. We all concluded that northmen should not be so long apart, and vowed to bring our clan together with each new moon or, at least, as the season changes. And extend a greeting to our cousins in the western lands and over the sea to send word of their travels hither, that we might have further occasion to feast. The party main broke after a dozen hours, all but Mike, who remained until just before dawn, when he slipped into the last traces of frozen night. -- Your Chronicler. From bradbury at aeiveos.com Thu Jan 1 18:29:05 2004 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Thu, 1 Jan 2004 10:29:05 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Did Smalley change his mind? In-Reply-To: <01db01c3d052$5c988160$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: On Thu, 1 Jan 2004, Brett Paatsch wrote: > [2389]. R.E. Smalley, "Chemistry on the Nanometer Scale -- > Introductory Remarks," 1996 Welch Conference in Chemistry, > at: http://cnst.rice.edu/NanoWelch.html Interesting. The WayBack machine does have copies. The full quote is: "On a length scale of more than one nanometer, the mechanical robot assembler metaphor envisioned by Drexler almost certainly will work, but within the 1 nm3 volume surrounding the reaction site there is a subtlety and complexity that is often not fully appreciated even by practicing chemists." He then goes on to complain about the small volume and the need to control the motion of the atoms (similar to his Sci. Am. and C&EN positions) and ends with: "Since the manipulator "fingers" of the robot would have to be made of atoms as well, there appears to be at least one fatal problem with the concept of a universal assembler: there simply is not enough room inside the 1 nm3 reaction volume both for the atoms desired in the final structure and the atomic fingers necessary to control their movement." So we are back to the fat fingers problem again. It is an interesting article. One of the WayBack URLs is: http://web.archive.org/web/20020127070232/http://cnst.rice.edu/NanoWelch.html It existed in their archives from: Jan. 9, 1998 to Jan. 27, 2002 So it is interesting that Robert F. is selectively quoting Smalley with respect to what works and ignoring what Smalley thinks will not work. I think this may be due to the fact that Smalley has a mental framework that is based entirely on solution phase chemistry (as do almost all chemists) and have not done their homework to see whether it really is possible to have the positional accuracies that are discussed in Nanosystems without having to grab onto each and every atom at the assembly site. The entire process of mechanosynthesis is almost antiethical to what chemists normally do which is to heat things up to get them to move faster to increase the probabilities that things will come into proper alignment to react at some reasonable rate. One thing I don't know is whether the assembler chemistry, esp. free radical chemistry, changes with temperature. If it doesn't then the obvious counter argument to Smalley is simply to cool everything to a few degrees K. Robert From spike66 at comcast.net Thu Jan 1 18:51:31 2004 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Thu, 1 Jan 2004 10:51:31 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] martian measurement units In-Reply-To: <027801c3d020$97187840$a7994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <006701c3d098$45927b60$6501a8c0@SHELLY> GIANT AIRBAGS WILL GIVE ROVERS' LANDINGS A BOUNCE ------------------------------------------------- If all goes well, Mars rover "Spirit" will slam into the atmosphere of the Red Planet on Saturday night, at an angle of 11.5 degrees, an altitude of about 80 miles and a velocity of 12,000 mph. Eight seconds before touchdown, giant airbags will suddenly inflate, encapsulating the spacecraft in a protective cocoon. http://spaceflightnow.com/mars/mera/031231landing.html Entry, descent and landing timeline: http://spaceflightnow.com/mars/mera/031231edl.html Miles. Miles per hour. {8-[ Seems we yanks have failed to learn our lesson from the bitter experience of 23 September 1999. spike ps Actually this might be just a news media thing. I would be surprised if NASA still uses English units anywhere. Good luck and evolutionspeed Spirit! From mlorrey at yahoo.com Thu Jan 1 18:54:54 2004 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Thu, 1 Jan 2004 10:54:54 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] martian measurement units In-Reply-To: <006701c3d098$45927b60$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20040101185454.98001.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> --- Spike wrote: > GIANT AIRBAGS WILL GIVE ROVERS' LANDINGS A BOUNCE > ------------------------------------------------- > If all goes well, Mars rover "Spirit" will slam into the atmosphere > of the Red Planet on Saturday night, at an angle of 11.5 degrees, an > altitude of about 80 miles and a velocity of 12,000 mph. Eight > seconds before touchdown, giant airbags will suddenly inflate, > encapsulating the spacecraft in a protective cocoon. > > http://spaceflightnow.com/mars/mera/031231landing.html > > Miles. Miles per hour. {8-[ > > Seems we yanks have failed to learn our lesson > from the bitter experience of 23 September 1999. Well, what we really need is a Martian system of measurement, just to make things interesting... I believe Edgar Rice Burroughs developed one for his John Carter series. I hereby propose that in all future list discussions, that ERB specced Martian units of measure be used... ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Find out what made the Top Yahoo! Searches of 2003 http://search.yahoo.com/top2003 From mlorrey at yahoo.com Thu Jan 1 19:12:38 2004 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Thu, 1 Jan 2004 11:12:38 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] martian measurement units In-Reply-To: <20040101185454.98001.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20040101191238.46693.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> --- Mike Lorrey wrote: > > Well, what we really need is a Martian system of measurement, just to > make things interesting... I believe Edgar Rice Burroughs developed > one > for his John Carter series. I hereby propose that in all future list > discussions, that ERB specced Martian units of measure be used... Sorry, I meant discussions about Mars. Ah, I was right: http://www.scarlet-tower.com/heroes-of-mars/adventures/measures.html In which case, the probe will enter the Barsoomian atmosphere at an angle of 11.5 karads, at an altitude of 217 Haads and at a velocity of 80,297 haads per zode. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Find out what made the Top Yahoo! Searches of 2003 http://search.yahoo.com/top2003 From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Thu Jan 1 20:12:06 2004 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Thu, 1 Jan 2004 15:12:06 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Did Smalley change his mind? In-Reply-To: <01db01c3d052$5c988160$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: <006f01c3d0a3$8a9c4690$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Brett Paatsch wrote, > There is a citation (below) but the link no longer finds a page. > > [2389]. R.E. Smalley, "Chemistry on the Nanometer Scale -- > Introductory Remarks," 1996 Welch Conference in Chemistry, > at: http://cnst.rice.edu/NanoWelch.html > > > Did Smalley change his mind about Molecular Manufacturing being > possible ? When was the above page removed? > > Does anyone have an e-copy of the original remarks? It would be > *very* interesting to see what Smalley actually said. Nothing can be removed from the Internet! This page persisted unchanged since before Jan. 9, 1998 through sometime after Jan. 27, 2002. Dated archives can be found at . -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From spike66 at comcast.net Thu Jan 1 21:17:20 2004 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Thu, 1 Jan 2004 13:17:20 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] fermi's paradox: m/d approach In-Reply-To: <20040101185454.98001.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <000001c3d0ac$a5231d00$6501a8c0@SHELLY> The M/D approach to Fermi's Paradox Over the years we extropians have pondered the question Fermi so eloquently posed in three words: Where are they? Carl Sagan speculated in the 1970s that evidently intelligent life was short-lived, ordinarily self-destructing soon after reaching the technology to communicate over cosmic distances. That argument gradually becomes less compelling as humanity manages to survive into a seventh decade with nukes in our midst. As a result of our discussion of Sbrains last week, I have stumbled upon another explanation for the cosmic silence: we aren't worth the mass to send us signals. I will call this argument the M/D approach to Fermi's paradox. It works like this: Suppose that life manages to evolve, and thru some torturous path, makes it to sentience. Certainly this is a trivial treatment, few words for a stunningly difficult phenomenon, however it is evidently possible, for clearly it happened on this planet. In this vast universe, with its hundreds of billions of visible galaxies, each with its hundreds of billions of stars, each with planets, everything that can happen must happen. We have shown that intelligent life can happen. Today there is no convincing mechanism that would cause technological progress to stop. Gray goo is something to worry about, but nature has had billions of years to stumble upon it. During that time, she has derived so many wonderfully complex designs. It is reassuring that gray goo was never present in this vast cornucopia of life. Perhaps there is some fundamental reason why it cannot happen, some reason why goo cannot compete with current lifeforms, or is somehow incorporated into current lifeforms, like mitochondria. Even if we nuke ourselves into the stone age, recall that the stone age lasted until only a few thousand years ago. Humans are tremendously adaptable, and many already live in places that would not be worth a nuke, should all the nuke capable powers let loose with all they have. Africans would survive, Aborigines would survive, there would be pockets of humanity everywhere that would carry on. Even if that horrifying loss of life and technology nightmare scenario were to come to pass, recall that all the really important technological advances occurred in just the past few hundred years. All-out thermonuclear war would merely be a temporary setback for the singularity. If a singularity, then an MBrain. This is my contention: that artificial intelligence wants to THINK. It lives to think. It is smart enough to make things happen: it knows how to build things. If it likes to think, then it wants to get all the available material thinking, so it builds an MBrain. It gathers all the metals in orbit about the star and converts it all to whatever form maximizes thought. It is not clear to me what that form is, however if we assume there is an optimal use for metals, some minimum energy-use and materials-use configuration (define this as computronium), then the AI would convert all the metals available into computronium. So far, all this has been argued before. The new thought is that the computronium is optimized by having it collocated as close as possible, but not more so. A Sandbergian JBrain is a Jupiter sized sphere of computronium that exists as a planet. This would seem to require that some of the material is under tremendous heat and pressure, even if the JBrain is spun rapidly and formed into a flattened disk. At the other extreme is a Bradburian MBrain, which is computronium that exists as a large number of particles in orbit about a star, in such a way as to collect as much of the energy from that star as possible. This may be less than optimal for it separates the nodes over greater distances, thus increasing the latency, or time required to communicate between nodes. The M/D approach argues that there is a configuration somewhere between the JBrain and the MBrain wherein the computronium is separated, but not by too much. So it exists as a planet, like a JBrain, but is technically an MBrain: all SBrains are Mbrains. A given star system could even have more than one SBrain. Commentator Lorrey has suggested that the proposed SBrain looks like a nautilus shell. Very well, SBrain means Shell Brain. SBrains form to allow all of the available material to be computroniumized, and M/D simultaneously is maximized, thus optimizing thought potential. The SBrain is more specific than the MBrain. The insight here is that in optimized computronium, energy is no longer the critical resource, this being a diffuse form of matter indeed. Matter and time are the most valuable resources. Energy from the star can be allowed to escape, wasted, lost forever into the cosmos, for there is plenty of that. But time cannot be wasted, for heat death is coming to all. To an SBrain, the existence of another Sbrain in another orbit is a valuable resource: the other SBrain might have nodes that are thinking about some of the same things that are being pondered by one's own nodes. Therefore, communication between SBrains would be mutually beneficial, as communication between humans is considered valuable enough that we build expensive satellites to make it happen. If the other SBrain is far away, then of course the communications are restricted. The time delay for trading ideas increases linearly with distance, and the energy required to send the signal increases as the square of the distance. So one can speculate that the value of signals from another SBrain is proportional to the other SBrain's mass and inversely proportional to the square of its distance. If two SBrains managed to form in orbit about the same star, they would soon see the benefit of merging. By this argument, the smaller SBrain would move to join the larger, for the value of signals from the larger is greater than the reverse. We wondered if current instruments would able to detect an SBrain. Current exo-planet detection is based on gravitational wobble caused by massive planet. Of course, we could not distinguish between an SBrain and an ordinary gas giant, or even a large dead rocky planet. We can imagine a situation where a star system like ours had an SBrain of mass about 3 earths with the gas giants unused. With Mercury, Venus, Earth, Luna, Mars and the asteroids, we have around 3 earth masses of rocky material to make an SBrain, but the gas giants, being largely hydrogen and helium, may not be as useful in building such structures. So our instruments would not be able to find the small wobble from a 3-earth mass, the signal being swamped by a 300 earth-mass gas giant. Early in this post, I promised to suggest a solution to Fermi's paradox. Enough background has now been presented. If there is an energy cost to sending a signal that is inversely proportional to some function of the distance, and the value of the incoming signal is proportional to the mass of the distant SBrain, then it could be that the distant SBrain would decide that communication between star systems is not worth the cost of sending the signal. It would take mass or material to collect the energy and create a transmitter of some sort. This is material that is no longer optimized for computronium, so thought potential is lost. So talk isn't cheap: it has its cost. The M/D argument calls upon Robert Bradbury's question about the value of present thought versus the possibility of a greater amount of future thought. When we calculate the potential of computronium, perhaps the value of present thought far outweighs the value of potential future thought from a distant star system, whose maximum mass can be bounded and whose distance is known to be very large. The M/D, and thus the potential value of the communication, is very small, whereas the cost is large. Transmitting is a poor investment of valuable resources. The M/D approach to Fermi's Paradox suggests that the reason the cosmic abyss is silent is that we are not worth the mass to talk to us. spike From bradbury at aeiveos.com Thu Jan 1 21:40:01 2004 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Thu, 1 Jan 2004 13:40:01 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] How The Schmirk Stole Nanotechnology In-Reply-To: <005001c3d026$18b16740$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: On Wed, 31 Dec 2003, Spike wrote: Quoting me... -- Actually spike I think my quote/question was on nanodot, not /. http://nanodot.org/article.pl?sid=03/12/24/0633205 > I can answer that one: promote it, bigtime. They will > promote nanotech to *enhance* current markets. [snip] Well I'm glad to hear that. > Note that the nanotech that is being developed at Lockheeed, et.al. > is not true bottom-up Drexlerian nanotech, but rather > the next technical steps in miniaturization, top-down. > They all want to know how we keep going down after > photolithography gives out, which appears to be soon, > perhaps in the next 10-15 years. At least one answer appears to be self-assembly. The recent assembly of a nanoscale transistor in Israel and IBM's progress on self-assembly of micro-domains for data storage plus the work being promoted by Zettacore suggest that there is going to be a fair amount of self-assembly being done [also see 1.]. Not the approach I would pick but it seems to be the one that can be done now using the tools we have available at this time. Robert 1. For further discussion see my comments in: http://nanodot.org/article.pl?sid=04/01/01/021236 From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Thu Jan 1 21:55:27 2004 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Thu, 1 Jan 2004 16:55:27 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] fermi's paradox: m/d approach In-Reply-To: <000001c3d0ac$a5231d00$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <007901c3d0b1$fad5f2e0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Spike wrote, > As a result of our discussion of Sbrains last week, I have > stumbled upon another explanation for the cosmic silence: we > aren't worth the mass to send us signals. I will call this > argument the M/D approach to Fermi's paradox. It works like this: This is a very strong possibility. We are not advanced enough yet to be interesting. Although I have always assumed that we just haven't discovered the galactic internet yet. Our sub-light speed communications are too slow and weak. Anybody actually communicating over interstellar distances would be using faster-than-light speeds if possible, so we don't know how to read their signals yet. Another point is that they wouldn't be broadcasting in the clear or promiscuously to everybody. They probably are using point-to-point communications that only go to the intended recipient. In terms of radio-waves, we are the spammers of the galaxy. We are sending our stuff everywhere to everyone constantly, whether they want it or not. They probably hate us. They probably have tried to reply, but virtually none of out broadcasters can receive return signals. We may be on everybody's spam-blocker list already. We may need to move to a new planet and start communicating under a new species name before anybody will answer us. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From spike66 at comcast.net Thu Jan 1 22:54:24 2004 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Thu, 1 Jan 2004 14:54:24 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] fermi's paradox: m/d approach In-Reply-To: <007901c3d0b1$fad5f2e0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <000001c3d0ba$33f64d60$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] fermi's paradox: m/d approach > > Spike wrote, > > ...another explanation for the cosmic silence: we > > aren't worth the mass to send us signals. I will call this > > argument the M/D approach to Fermi's paradox. It works like this... > Although I have always assumed that we just haven't > discovered the galactic internet yet... The internet is a useful metaphor in the M/D model. We are nodes, each of us. Before the internet, we had face to face communications, publications in magazines, scientific conferences and personal letters available as communication devices. But when the internet came along, the distance between us suddenly decreased by orders of magnitude, which brought together such wonderful examples of spontaneous order as extropians, the math and science chat groups, the parallel computing efforts and so on. The M/D suddenly decreased to the point where I personally found it worthwhile to spend a large percentage of my free time exchanging memes online. > Our sub-light speed communications are too > slow and weak. > Anybody actually communicating over interstellar distances > would be using > faster-than-light speeds if possible, so we don't know how to > read their > signals yet... Harvey While recognizing this as possible, I am always interested in examining the grim possibility that the speed of light *really is* the cosmic speed limit, for everyone everywhere always, forever and ever, amen. {8-[ Another scary thought is the possibility that there really isn't any magic physics yet to be discovered: that we have found most of the important limits already, and that they really are universal limits. The whole M/D approach to Fermi's paradox depends on this pessimistic supposition. Of course I am eager to be talked out of it, or to be given a feasible alternative such as Harvey's we-are-on-the-universal- spam-blocker-list notion. However I must say that I find little comfort in the suggestion that Earth is the galactic Nigeria. spike From scerir at libero.it Thu Jan 1 23:21:52 2004 From: scerir at libero.it (scerir) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 00:21:52 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Many worlds and Hugh Everett References: Message-ID: <000301c3d0be$2b1891e0$f0c7fea9@scerir> From: "Giu1i0 Pri5c0" > Of course this must be a brick-like approximation, perhaps consciousness > is a property of the complete wavefunction that does not allow itself to > be associated to a specific projection. Suppose that the "universal" quantum state can be expressed as gigantic sum of tensor products of states of subsystems. If a measurement with a probabilistic outcome is undertaken, the world splits into several worlds, and each possible outcome of the observations appears in the fraction of the new worlds given by the quantum-mechanical probability of that outcome. If we define two kinds of reality (as E.P.Wigner did, and Descartes also did) the first kind of reality would be the immediate content of the subject's consciousness, and it is "absolute" in the sense of not depending upon inference from anything other than itself, in contrast with all instances of the second kind of reality. Suppose that in the "universal" quantum state expressed as gigantic sum of tensor products of states of subsystems there is a term which correctly describes an item of consciousness of the subject reading a pointer (of some apparatus). This term represents an instance of the first kind of reality (as defined above). The problem is now that the terms, in the sum of tensor products of states of subsystems, which attributes a different sensation to the subject, fails to represent this reality. Consequently, the enormous set of different worlds designated by the terms, in the sum of tensor products of states of subsystems, cannot have the same ontological standing. We can reformulate the above Wigner's argument about (and against) MWI in different terms. That is to say, the question is left unanswered why in any measurement an observer finds himself in one, and not in other branches. Is MWI perhaps introducing a large-scale indeterminism which moreover includes the observer himself? s. From mlorrey at yahoo.com Thu Jan 1 23:56:56 2004 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Thu, 1 Jan 2004 15:56:56 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] fermi's paradox: m/d approach In-Reply-To: <000001c3d0ba$33f64d60$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <20040101235656.39290.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> --- Spike wrote: > as communication devices. But when the internet came > along, the distance between us suddenly decreased by > orders of magnitude, which brought together such wonderful > examples of spontaneous order as extropians, the math and > science chat groups, the parallel computing efforts and > so on. The M/D suddenly decreased to the point where > I personally found it worthwhile to spend a large percentage > of my free time exchanging memes online. > > > Our sub-light speed communications are too > > slow and weak. > > Anybody actually communicating over interstellar distances > > would be using > > faster-than-light speeds if possible, so we don't know how to > > read their > > signals yet... Harvey > > > Of course I am eager to be talked out of it, or to be given a > feasible alternative such as Harvey's we-are-on-the-universal- > spam-blocker-list notion. However I must say that I find > little comfort in the suggestion that Earth is the > galactic Nigeria. Considering that our system is located in deep space between galactic arms, not only are we Nigeria, worse yet, we are Chad: full of ignorance and supertition, fighting all the time, lacking in high tech infrastructure, no highways, and far from the nearest seaport. Galactic Nigeria would be scifi paradise compared to Earth. What other planet calls itself 'dirt'???? ;) ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Find out what made the Top Yahoo! Searches of 2003 http://search.yahoo.com/top2003 From mlorrey at yahoo.com Fri Jan 2 01:51:42 2004 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Thu, 1 Jan 2004 17:51:42 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] CATO: Friedman Prize nomination Message-ID: <20040102015142.20253.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> http://www.cato.org/special/friedman/prize/friedmanprize.html Free Staters are trying to get the founder of the FSP, Dr. Jason Sorens into serious consideration for the Friedman Prize, awarded by the Cato Institute to individuals who have accomplished much for liberty in the past year. I encourage everyone to go to the above page and lend your nomination, and to tell others of this campaign. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Find out what made the Top Yahoo! Searches of 2003 http://search.yahoo.com/top2003 From thespike at earthlink.net Fri Jan 2 03:01:47 2004 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Thu, 1 Jan 2004 21:01:47 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] fermi's paradox: m/d approach References: <000001c3d0ac$a5231d00$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <014501c3d0dc$c5bd35c0$d2994a43@texas.net> FWIW: http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2004/01/01/1072908849778.html A tenth of the stars in the Milky Way may have planets that support advanced life, Australian scientists have said. Astronomers have plotted a ring-shaped region of the galaxy where there might be Earth-like worlds old enough for life to have reached a high level of evolution. The sun exists in this "Galactic Habitable Zone", which contains about 10 per cent of all the Milky Way's stars. Stars within the band have enough heavy elements to form Earth-like planets, are a safe distance from catastrophic supernova explosions, and have existed for at least four billion years. The Australian team, led by Charles Lineweaver from the University of NSW, used a chemical evolution model of the galaxy to identify the region. Three-quarters of the stars in the zone were older than the sun, ranging in age between four and eight billion years. [etc] From bradbury at aeiveos.com Fri Jan 2 03:15:08 2004 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Thu, 1 Jan 2004 19:15:08 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] fermi's paradox: m/d approach In-Reply-To: <007901c3d0b1$fad5f2e0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: On Thu, 1 Jan 2004, Harvey Newstrom wrote: > In terms of radio-waves, we are the spammers of the galaxy. We are sending > our stuff everywhere to everyone constantly, whether they want it or not. I'm not sure Harvey. Radio in general is such a low-bandwidth carrier. I can't see the advanced civilizations using it for anything. Anyway there are natural sources of radiowaves that are spamming the galaxy. Can't easily do much about them. Direct point-to-point communications using wavelength division multiplexing (WDM) is probably the way to go. You could get thousands of frequencies. You would like to push it up into the UV frequencies or higher but UV photons at the mid-UV and higher would tend to damage the atomic bonds of the receivers. Now that may be quite ok if the additional information received can be justified by using some energy and a bunch of nanorobots to recycle and rebuild the receivers on an ongoing basis. If the above speculations are true, then we might have receivers that could detect signals but they are probably so tightly focused that our chances of running into one are probably slim to nill. Robert From bradbury at aeiveos.com Fri Jan 2 03:37:22 2004 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Thu, 1 Jan 2004 19:37:22 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] fermi's paradox: m/d approach In-Reply-To: <000001c3d0ac$a5231d00$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: On Thu, 1 Jan 2004, Spike wrote: [snipping a lot of spikes intro material] > The M/D approach to Fermi's Paradox suggests that the reason the cosmic > abyss is silent is that we are not worth the mass to talk to us. I'm assuming M=mass and D=distance (correct if otherwise). Well, I'm not sure you can discard Energy so easily -- due to E=MC^2. It takes minimal amounts of mass to harvest all that energy (less than the mass of Mercury if I recall). And with all that energy you can dismantle the Gas Giants (though it takes hundreds of years). >From the GG you get another couple of dozen Earth masses of metals most likely. So it seems probable that even if you want to optimize the computronium there is a period when it makes sense to take the star dark to harvest all the metals in the solar system. After that it gets a little more interesting as one is going to think about where and when nearby encounters with Brown Dwarfs may occur and/or whether you should attempt to bring them back whole, dismantle them using their own H and send back a matter stream, etc. Now getting back into the communication aspect -- I started a paper on how much information an advanced civilization probably has at its disposal -- I stopped after I got to 2^50+ bits (even though I thought I could push it quite a bit further). There isn't any way you can push even a small fraction of that across interstellar distances. The only way you can share that much information is when you get two civilizations *very* close to each other because you have to set up highly parallel communication channels. One would like multi-meter diameter fiber bundles made out of 50 nm fibers (we have 50 nm fibers *now* no telling how much smaller we might go). That is a *lot* of fiber capacity, particularly if you use WDM on each cable to get thousands of carriers. Now, I'm somewhat doubtful that you can get 2 JBrains much less 2 MBrains close enough to string the cable but one never knows what their capabilities might be. If not, then in a pinch you resort to lots of lasers to send CCD arrays to receive. Remember Spike -- an advanced civilization can have 100 billion telescopes of lunar diameter using on ~1% of the available mass. So there will be times when close encounters and very high bandwidth communications opportunities may justify turning a fairly large amount of material into transmitters and receivers. When you are done with your phone call you just turn the mass back into computronium. Robert From thespike at earthlink.net Fri Jan 2 04:12:29 2004 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Thu, 1 Jan 2004 22:12:29 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] fermi's paradox: m/d approach References: Message-ID: <018301c3d0e6$a62369a0$d2994a43@texas.net> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Robert J. Bradbury" Sent: Thursday, January 01, 2004 9:37 PM > When you are done with your phone call you just turn the mass > back into computronium. Hey, that mass was somebody's mother! Damien Broderick From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Fri Jan 2 06:49:42 2004 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 17:49:42 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Did Smalley change his mind? References: Message-ID: <037601c3d0fc$9a780a00$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Robert J. Bradbury wrote: > On Thu, 1 Jan 2004, Brett Paatsch wrote: > > > [2389]. R.E. Smalley, "Chemistry on the Nanometer Scale -- > > Introductory Remarks," 1996 Welch Conference in Chemistry, > > at: http://cnst.rice.edu/NanoWelch.html > > Interesting. The WayBack machine does have copies. Thanks Robert (and Harvey). > One of the WayBack URLs is: > http://web.archive.org/web/20020127070232/http://cnst.rice.edu/NanoWelch.htm l > > It existed in their archives from: > Jan. 9, 1998 to Jan. 27, 2002 > > So it is interesting that Robert F. is selectively quoting Smalley > with respect to what works and ignoring what Smalley thinks > will not work. Yes. Ouch ! Regards, Brett From samantha at objectent.com Fri Jan 2 10:59:33 2004 From: samantha at objectent.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 02:59:33 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] fermi's paradox: m/d approach In-Reply-To: <014501c3d0dc$c5bd35c0$d2994a43@texas.net> References: <000001c3d0ac$a5231d00$6501a8c0@SHELLY> <014501c3d0dc$c5bd35c0$d2994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <20040102025933.536de531.samantha@objectent.com> On Thu, 1 Jan 2004 21:01:47 -0600 "Damien Broderick" wrote: > FWIW: > > http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2004/01/01/1072908849778.html > > A tenth of the stars in the Milky Way may have planets that support advanced > life, Australian scientists have said. > >It would be more accurate to say that 10% of the planets in the milky way pass one rough cut filter for possibly supporting advanced (should be intelligent?) life. - samantha From samantha at objectent.com Fri Jan 2 11:09:59 2004 From: samantha at objectent.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 03:09:59 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Alert for Suspicious Farmers' Almanacs In-Reply-To: <20040101155608.70817.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> References: <20040101015640.066fe667.samantha@objectent.com> <20040101155608.70817.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20040102030959.3feec5fc.samantha@objectent.com> On Thu, 1 Jan 2004 07:56:08 -0800 (PST) Mike Lorrey wrote: > > --- Samantha Atkins wrote: > > On Wed, 31 Dec 2003 12:36:49 -0800 (PST) > > Adrian Tymes wrote: > > > > > --- Mike Lorrey wrote: > > > > Would a vehicle search be a civil rights violation? > > > > Yup. Does it > > > > matter? Nope. Why? Because national security is not > > > > bound by civil > > > > rights laws. > > > > > > Yes it is. > > > > Yes. There is nothing in the Constitution that makes exceptions > > except an actual suspension of the Constitution. > > Wrong again Samantha. The Constitution makes room for signing treaties > with other nations. The Geneva Conventions are such treaties, and THEY > specifically make terrorism a military or war crime that is treated and > ajudicated differently from civil crimes. As I understand it the Constitution prohibits entanglements with foreign nations that threaten the Constitutionally guaranteed freedom of the American people. If it doesn't I strongly suggest we work for such an Amendment. > > > > > > > > > > Your civil rights being violated is > > > > only grounds to > > > > exclude incriminating evidence from trial, it is not > > > > a "get out of > > > > Guantanamo Free card". > > > > > > > Your civil rights being violated is a crime committed against you by > > your government. It is a small or large act of treason by government > > officials who are sworn to uphold the Constitution and be properly > > limited by it. > > With an emphassis on *your* government. Non-citizens have > constitutionally protected rights by courtesy. Yes, they have natural > rights, which we as a signor to the Geneva Conventions have agreed to > *recognise* to belong to non-combantats, legal combatants to a slightly > lesser degree, and to a far lesser degree, illegal combatants. I'll > bet, Samantha, that after two years of my needling you about it, you > STILL haven't read the Geneva Conventions..... > The Constitution does not specify that only American citizens have human rights acknowledged and protected by our form of government. I do not recognize "illegal combatant" as being a very precise category or as somehow removing one's human rights as soon as some government slaps the label (with or without evidence and a hearing) on. I bet after two years of these exchanges that you still don't get that the Geneva Conventions are actually largely irrelevant to the central issue. > > > > The SCOTUS has ruled on a > > > > number of occasions > > > > that violtions of your civil rights taken in defense > > > > of national > > > > security are quite acceptable. > > > > > > > Then the SCOTUS is simply wrong. There is nothing in the > > Constitution, btw, that says the SCOTUS is the legitimate final > > arbitrar of what is and is not Constitutional. > > You know, Samantha, I've heard this claim made by some of the militia > bunker mentality types who wait for the black helicopters to come, but > never by anyone who knows the law and the Constitution. > Hell, the claim was made by Jefferson. So I wouldn't mind being included in that "bunker" type mentality. > > Terrorism is so bloody loosely defined that saying it is this or that > > category of crime is virtually meaningless. Its definition is > > arbitrary so any acts or purported acts or secretly accused acts may > > be subject to whatever whim the authorities care to exercise. This > > is clearly dead wrong. It is so wrong it acts like a Big Lie > > stopping the thinking of even many liberty loving folks. > > It's definition is only loosely defined in the minds of those who > consistently refuse to read, and remain proudly ignorant of, the Geneva Conventions. > Hell. Read the Patriot Act and tell me it is well-defined. - samantha From bradbury at aeiveos.com Fri Jan 2 11:34:49 2004 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 03:34:49 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] fermi's paradox: m/d approach In-Reply-To: <018301c3d0e6$a62369a0$d2994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: On Thu, 1 Jan 2004, Damien Broderick responding to my comments wrote: > Hey, that mass was somebody's mother! Perhaps. But only if advanced civilizations inhabit stars that turn into supernovas or if the civilization developed early enough that the mass has been recycled in some way. If it has been recycled that implies that they either didn't hit the singularity before a civilization destroying event (GRBs, SN, etc.) or they evolved themselves into a form where matter was not important. Spike's M/D perspective leaves out computronium where there are very high fractions of electrons, positrons, neutrinos or photons. Didn't Moravec speculate at some point on matter composed of muons? Just because there may be some limits now doesn't mean that in the future one will not be able to construct essential computer elements faster than they decay. (Though I'll admit that seems like a long shot.) R. From bradbury at aeiveos.com Fri Jan 2 11:49:55 2004 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 03:49:55 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Did Smalley change his mind? In-Reply-To: <037601c3d0fc$9a780a00$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: On Fri, 2 Jan 2004, Brett Paatsch wrote: > > So it is interesting that Robert F. is selectively quoting Smalley > > with respect to what works and ignoring what Smalley thinks > > will not work. > > Yes. Ouch ! Not so much -- Robert F. could not really get into extensive discussions of the Drexler v. Smalley debates in NM V. I. There was too much material that needed to be covered. There is a complex balance that is required between depth and breadth. Of critical importance is precisely *where* anything Smalley says contradicts what Drexler says in Chapter 8 of Nanosystems. I strongly suspect Smalley hasn't even read Chapter 8 of NS. If he cannot point to a place where Eric's assumptions or conclusions are wrong then he doesn't have a strong leg to stand on. While I'm not going to go through Smalley's papers tonight I seem to recall at some conference that researchers said that they had created nanotubes a decade or more before Smalley ever encountered them. I also don't seem to recall any evidence that Smalley ever actually set out to create buckyballs or buckytubes. He just may have been sufficiently observant to have discovered something that was always there. If so I would question whether this is something that deserves a Nobel prize. It seems to belong more in the class of the fellow who discovered gold in some creek in California. In contrast it would seem that the Wright brothers or even Lindburgh put a lot more effort into their accomplishments. Someone correct me if the can find evidence that this perspective is flawed. I have no doubt that Smalley is a good chemist -- but I would love to stack up Smalley's PhD thesis against Nanosystems and see just how well they compare. Robert From bradbury at aeiveos.com Fri Jan 2 12:06:34 2004 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 04:06:34 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] fermi's paradox: m/d approach In-Reply-To: <20040102025933.536de531.samantha@objectent.com> Message-ID: On Fri, 2 Jan 2004, Samantha Atkins wrote: > "Damien Broderick" wrote: > > http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2004/01/01/1072908849778.html [snip] At least with respect to the age of the planets, Charlie has been pointing this out since the Blois conference which I think was in 2000. He and his students have been extending the results since then -- but for some of us the implications are old news. This may be from Samantha [the nesting attributions are confusing]: > >It would be more accurate to say that 10% of the planets in the milky way pass one > > rough cut filter for possibly supporting advanced (should be intelligent?) life. Its a bit more complex than that. Closer to the galactic center you have more star formation, more supernovas, faster metal accumulation, faster development of a galactic habitable zone, perhaps faster evolution of complex life forms. There may be more planets (of various sizes) in locations where the metal content is greater. At the same time due to GRB, nearby SN, etc. the hazard function may be greater and so in order to survive one has to evolve more quickly to survive. The further out you go in the galaxy the less metal, the fewer GRB, SN, etc. so both development rates and hazard function rates may be slower. Over time it is likely the galactic habitable zone moves from the inner to the outer portions of the galaxy. But this assumes no intergalactic collisions which could significantly upset rates and locations of star formation, the rates of metal creation, GRB, SN, etc. Soooo.... While I admire Charlie & Co's work -- I think we are going to have to run a number of backward simulations of the creation of the Milky Way as it exists today in order to understand fully what took place in our galaxy and how that impacted its evolution (and as a result the probable evolution of intelligence). Robert From natashavita at earthlink.net Fri Jan 2 16:48:35 2004 From: natashavita at earthlink.net (natashavita at earthlink.net) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 11:48:35 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] GQ Magazine Interview - Biggest Hope for Immortality Message-ID: <191690-22004152164835994@M2W033.mail2web.com> Hi - I thought I'd ask if anyone has *up-to-date* answers for these 2 questions of the interview - just in case any of you have insights that are broader and more spot on than my own. :-) 1. "What is the biggest problem about achieving immortality?" 2. "What is the biggest chance, the biggest hope for immortality?" You can email me privately. Thanks, Natasha Natasha Vita-More http://www.natasha.cc -------------------------------------------------------------------- mail2web - Check your email from the web at http://mail2web.com/ . From mlorrey at yahoo.com Fri Jan 2 16:55:45 2004 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 08:55:45 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] fermi's paradox: m/d approach In-Reply-To: <018301c3d0e6$a62369a0$d2994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <20040102165545.63409.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> --- Damien Broderick wrote: > > ----- Original Message ----- > From: "Robert J. Bradbury" > Sent: Thursday, January 01, 2004 9:37 PM > > > When you are done with your phone call you just turn the mass > > back into computronium. > > Hey, that mass was somebody's mother! Nah, that was some masshole... ;) ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Find out what made the Top Yahoo! Searches of 2003 http://search.yahoo.com/top2003 From dirk at neopax.com Fri Jan 2 16:57:46 2004 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 16:57:46 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] fermi's paradox: m/d approach References: <000001c3d0ba$33f64d60$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <00c101c3d151$8bd0d0e0$d2256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Spike" To: "'ExI chat list'" Sent: Thursday, January 01, 2004 10:54 PM Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] fermi's paradox: m/d approach > > While recognizing this as possible, I am always interested > in examining the grim possibility that the speed of light *really is* > the cosmic speed limit, for everyone everywhere always, forever > and ever, amen. {8-[ Recall reading a paper a few years ago that showed that FTL is equivalent to 'sliding' across worlds in the MWI > Another scary thought is the possibility that there really > isn't any magic physics yet to be discovered: that we have > found most of the important limits already, and that they > really are universal limits. The whole M/D approach to > Fermi's paradox depends on this pessimistic supposition. I think the most likely explanation is the Simulation Argument. However, here's another posibility. That the fall into a Black Hole creates infinite computing resources as one approaches the singularity. All advanced civilisations opt for such 'extinction'. > Of course I am eager to be talked out of it, or to be given a > feasible alternative such as Harvey's we-are-on-the-universal- > spam-blocker-list notion. However I must say that I find > little comfort in the suggestion that Earth is the > galactic Nigeria. What would ET want from us? Science is pretty much irrelevent. I suggest that what is valuable is art, religion, philosophy etc and all those things that are *not* universal. In which case making contact now would simply poison the well from their POV Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From dirk at neopax.com Fri Jan 2 17:07:29 2004 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 17:07:29 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] that bad old internet References: <004b01c3d015$89b90300$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <00d901c3d152$e7ac7b70$d2256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Spike" To: "'ExI chat list'" Sent: Thursday, January 01, 2004 3:15 AM Subject: [extropy-chat] that bad old internet > > My burden is for my own neices, aged 11 and 13. Their > parents do not allow them any access to the internet > because of... well, you can imagine any number of reasons > why not. These girls are polite, honest, upstanding > citizens, excellent students and excellent readers. > But their vast cluelessness knows no bounds. They are > so naive, so very unaware of the world in which they will > soon enter, it worries me. What happens when they enter > college without internet research skills? They will know > all about American history (sort of) from their wide > reading about how children lived in past decades. But Learning to use the Net is no big deal once one hits google. As for their future prospects, I think Frank Zappa wrote a song about something similar with 'Catholic Girls' > they will know almost nothing about the things that > matter for prosperity in our world. This latest adventure > with the pastor telling my in-laws that the internet is > evil didn't help matters at all. SDAs are, IMO, one of the most retard of Xian sects. [Just thought I'd add that gratuitous religious insult to round off the discussion...] Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From dirk at neopax.com Fri Jan 2 17:15:35 2004 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 17:15:35 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] GQ Magazine Interview - Biggest Hope for Immortality References: <191690-22004152164835994@M2W033.mail2web.com> Message-ID: <00e701c3d154$08d523f0$d2256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: To: Cc: ; Sent: Friday, January 02, 2004 4:48 PM Subject: [extropy-chat] GQ Magazine Interview - Biggest Hope for Immortality > Hi - > > I thought I'd ask if anyone has *up-to-date* answers for these 2 questions > of the interview - just in case any of you have insights that are broader > and more spot on than my own. :-) > > 1. "What is the biggest problem about achieving immortality?" > > 2. "What is the biggest chance, the biggest hope for immortality?" The obvious answer to both is 'not dying'. However... 1. Overpopulation in the medium term 2. Stem cell research. We need to be kept alive long enough for other technologies to become available. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From mlorrey at yahoo.com Fri Jan 2 17:21:32 2004 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 09:21:32 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Alert for Suspicious Farmers' Almanacs In-Reply-To: <20040102030959.3feec5fc.samantha@objectent.com> Message-ID: <20040102172132.5915.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> --- Samantha Atkins wrote: > On Thu, 1 Jan 2004 07:56:08 -0800 (PST) > Mike Lorrey wrote: > > > > > Wrong again Samantha. The Constitution makes room for signing > treaties > > with other nations. The Geneva Conventions are such treaties, and > THEY > > specifically make terrorism a military or war crime that is treated > and > > ajudicated differently from civil crimes. > > As I understand it the Constitution prohibits entanglements with > foreign nations that threaten the Constitutionally guaranteed freedom > of the American people. If it doesn't I strongly suggest we work for > such an Amendment. Wrong again. There is no such prohibition. George Washington warned against getting involved in foreign entanglements, but the context of that is getting involved in wars that in no way relate to our national interest (like the Balkans). Protecting our nations oil supply IS in our national interest and thus is not a foreign entanglement, but that is a separate issue. Signing a treaty about ajudicating proper behavior of people engaged in military action is not an 'entanglement', and it has served to protect our boys on a number of occasions. > > > Your civil rights being violated is a crime committed against you > by > > > your government. It is a small or large act of treason by > government > > > officials who are sworn to uphold the Constitution and be > properly > > > limited by it. > > > > With an emphassis on *your* government. Non-citizens have > > constitutionally protected rights by courtesy. Yes, they have > natural > > rights, which we as a signor to the Geneva Conventions have agreed > to > > *recognise* to belong to non-combantats, legal combatants to a > slightly > > lesser degree, and to a far lesser degree, illegal combatants. I'll > > bet, Samantha, that after two years of my needling you about it, > you > > STILL haven't read the Geneva Conventions..... > > > > The Constitution does not specify that only American citizens have > human rights acknowledged and protected by our form of government. > I do not recognize "illegal combatant" as being a very precise > category or as somehow removing one's human rights as soon as some > government slaps the label (with or without evidence and a hearing) > on. I bet after two years of these exchanges that you still don't > get that the Geneva Conventions are actually largely irrelevant to > the central issue. On the contrary, you still don't seem to get that they are the central issue. An illegal combatant loses all rights in the country he is caught in, and loses any expectation that his home government will do anything for him. This is well settled law both here in the US and elsewhere, even in the Hague. The US is being extremely tolerant of these fellows in Gitmo. Under the Geneva Conventions, they can all be summarily executed, and could have been from the time they were captured. > > > > > > Then the SCOTUS is simply wrong. There is nothing in the > > > Constitution, btw, that says the SCOTUS is the legitimate final > > > arbitrar of what is and is not Constitutional. > > > > You know, Samantha, I've heard this claim made by some of the > militia > > bunker mentality types who wait for the black helicopters to come, > but > > never by anyone who knows the law and the Constitution. > > > > Hell, the claim was made by Jefferson. So I wouldn't mind being > included in that "bunker" type mentality. The only authority over the Supreme Court is that the Congress can impeach a justice. In that sense, there is a higher authority, but that only applies to truly criminal behavior by a justice, not just a mere difference of opinion. Otherwise there would have been a lot more impeachements in our history. > > > > > It's definition is only loosely defined in the minds of those who > > consistently refuse to read, and remain proudly ignorant of, the > Geneva Conventions. > > Hell. Read the Patriot Act and tell me it is well-defined. That is changing the subject. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Find out what made the Top Yahoo! Searches of 2003 http://search.yahoo.com/top2003 From thespike at earthlink.net Fri Jan 2 17:41:41 2004 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 11:41:41 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] embryo research status in Oz References: Message-ID: <004901c3d157$b22a9180$d6ef9a40@texas.net> [No multi-donor embryos (3 or more sources) permitted, no clones to be implanted, etc] http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2004/01/02/1072908911785.html Embryo research go-ahead in weeks By Tom Noble Health Editor January 3, 2004 The Federal Government will approve the first experiments on "excess" IVF embryos within weeks following applications from universities, research institutes and private companies. And in an effort to counter concerns over the controversial research, the Government is employing two inspectors to ensure that its new laws on cloning and embryo use are not broken. Prominent scientists believe as many as 15 different groups could be vying for licences. ... Melbourne IVF would grow embryos to about six days old, then extract the inner cell mass - up to 40 cells from an embryo of about 160 cells. The process destroys the embryo. The extracted embryonic stem cells would multiply indefinitely and be used for experiments. ... The nine-member licensing committee can decide the period of any licence issued, impose conditions and revoke licences. Dr Morris said the inspectors' work would not be limited to people holding a licence. "They will be working, where necessary, with the state or federal police if there's a suspicion people are undertaking human cloning, or something similar." Laws that allow experiments on "excess" IVF embryos - which can be used only under strict conditions - were passed by Federal Parliament 12 months ago after an emotional and sometimes bitter debate about the ethics of experimenting and killing days-old human embryos. Only embryos created before April 5, 2002, can be used and they must be regarded as "spare" - in other words, they would have been destroyed if not used for experiments. The parents of the embryos must give written permission for their use. Anyone who uses an excess embryo without a licence faces five years' jail, plus fines of $165,000 for a company and $33,000 for an individual. A licence holder that breaks the law loses its licence. The laws ban human cloning, which carries a penalty of up to 15 years' jail and fines of $495,000 for a company and $99,000 for an individual. From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Fri Jan 2 18:00:14 2004 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 13:00:14 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Simulation Argument critique (was fermi's paradox: m/d approach) In-Reply-To: <00c101c3d151$8bd0d0e0$d2256bd5@artemis> Message-ID: <011801c3d15a$494a1700$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Dirk Bruere wrote, > I think the most likely explanation is the Simulation > Argument. I find the Simulation Argument violates Occam's Razor. It adds complexity that is not needed. It does not help explain any observable phenomenon. It also seems to reject all science. If everything we observe is a simulation, then the simulation does not have to be constrained to known physical laws. Everything we think we know is wrong. Anything is possible, whether science thinks it is or not. The acceptance of the Simulation Argument seems to require a rejection of science. I also find the statistical analysis of the Simulation Argument to be suspect. The claim seems to be that there are more simulations than real universes because more than one simulation can fit into each universe. That is about as useful as claiming we must be inside an atom because there are so many more atoms than universes. Any simulation within a universe is incomplete. A complete simulation of the entire universe would expand to take resources in the real universe until a 100% utilization of resources could produce a 100% perfect simulation of the real universe. Any lesser simulation is really a fraction of the size/duration/complexity of the real universe and should count proportionately less. In fact, the sum total of all simulations within a real universe should be less that of the containing universe. The size/duration/complexity of all real universes is larger than the size/duration/complexity of all their simulations put together. Unless simulations tend to take over 100% of a universe's total resources before the universe's lifespan is half over, real unconsumed resources outnumber simulated resources. Even going with the Simulation Argument's faulty premise, the statistics still don't seem to support the conclusion. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From mlorrey at yahoo.com Fri Jan 2 18:14:07 2004 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 10:14:07 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Simulation Argument critique (was fermi's paradox: m/d approach) In-Reply-To: <011801c3d15a$494a1700$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <20040102181407.17216.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> --- Harvey Newstrom wrote: > Dirk Bruere wrote, > > I think the most likely explanation is the Simulation > > Argument. > > I find the Simulation Argument violates Occam's Razor. It adds > complexity that is not needed. It does not help explain any > observable phenomenon. It also seems to reject all science. > If everything we observe is a simulation, then the simulation > does not have to be constrained to known physical laws. > Everything we think we know is wrong. Anything is possible, > whether science thinks it is or not. The acceptance of the > Simulation Argument seems to require a rejection of science. Heard of a lecture by Hawking several years ago about what sort of phenomena one could expect around black holes, and he dumbfounded the audience by suggesting that ANYthing could be expected to pop out of a black hole: Thor, Barney the Dinosaur, you name it, if it can be imagined, it has a potential to come out of a black hole via warping. Science is only useful for describing what is normal and consistent for this universe. Its ability to predict what exists outside this universe, or what may intrude here from other realities (via singularities) is hamstrung by the fact that science relies on a body of data from observation, none of which we have regarding these things. Hawking Radiation is about as close as you can get to penetrating the veil of the boundary of this universe. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Find out what made the Top Yahoo! Searches of 2003 http://search.yahoo.com/top2003 From dirk at neopax.com Fri Jan 2 18:16:55 2004 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 18:16:55 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] embryo research status in Oz References: <004901c3d157$b22a9180$d6ef9a40@texas.net> Message-ID: <01b701c3d15c$9aa46f90$d2256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Damien Broderick" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Friday, January 02, 2004 5:41 PM Subject: [extropy-chat] embryo research status in Oz > [No multi-donor embryos (3 or more sources) permitted, no clones to be > implanted, etc] > > http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2004/01/02/1072908911785.html > > Embryo research go-ahead in weeks > By Tom Noble > Health Editor > January 3, 2004 > > > The Federal Government will approve the first experiments on "excess" IVF > embryos within weeks following applications from universities, research > institutes and private companies. I think we are beginning to see that the US Xian fundie influence is not exportable. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From bradbury at aeiveos.com Fri Jan 2 18:18:23 2004 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 10:18:23 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] GQ Magazine Interview - Biggest Hope for Immortality In-Reply-To: <191690-22004152164835994@M2W033.mail2web.com> Message-ID: On Fri, 2 Jan 2004, natashavita at earthlink.net wrote: > 1. "What is the biggest problem about achieving immortality?" Boredom. In the *first* place immortality is probably impossible unless one can assert that protons do not decay -- and in the current standard model of physics they probably do decay (though this takes a *very* long time and has yet to be proven experimentally to the best of my knowledge). So you have a terminology problem with the question as stated. The boredom problem will probably lead to people taking increasing risks (extreme extreme sports -- e.g. Fear Factor with no safeties) or perhaps committing suicide after a few hundred years. Population growth is not a problem in "achieving" immortality. Its a moral problem as to whether one devotes more resources towards helping many people live better -- but shorter, non-immortal lives or whether one devotes the resources towards helping fewer people live longer lives (which will eventually help everyone still alive live longer lives). Its also true that if the singularity arguments hold -- then the population growth ("Club of Rome") arguments are all ca-ca. We *know* that nanotech -- and extremely advanced biotech (significantly changing the food and energy equations) are going to be available before 2050 (the standard point where everyone says everything from famine to global warming are going to start destroying humanity). > 2. "What is the biggest chance, the biggest hope for immortality?" I'd tend to agree with the stem cells perspective. After that I'd say "whole genome engineering". After that I'd say organogenesis based on synthetic genomes. After that I'd say nanorobotic enhancment from respirocytes to vasculoid systems. Robert From dirk at neopax.com Fri Jan 2 18:23:07 2004 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 18:23:07 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: Simulation Argument critique (was fermi's paradox: m/d approach) References: <011801c3d15a$494a1700$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <01c201c3d15d$780d5810$d2256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Harvey Newstrom" To: "'Dirk Bruere'" ; "'ExI chat list'" Sent: Friday, January 02, 2004 6:00 PM Subject: Simulation Argument critique (was fermi's paradox: m/d approach) > Dirk Bruere wrote, > > I think the most likely explanation is the Simulation > > Argument. > I find the Simulation Argument violates Occam's Razor. It adds complexity > ...thinks it is or not. The acceptance of the Simulation Argument seems to > require a rejection of science. I do not think Occam's Razor applies, or if it does, it favours the Simulation Argument. The only premise required is that simulations of the complexity we see around us are possible using modest resources. > I also find the statistical analysis of the Simulation Argument to be > suspect. The claim seems to be that there are more simulations than real Well, I'm not getting into a stats argument. They are never ending and never resolvable. > universes because more than one simulation can fit into each universe. That > is about as useful as claiming we must be inside an atom because there are > so many more atoms than universes. Any simulation within a universe is > incomplete. A complete simulation of the entire universe would expand to > take resources in the real universe until a 100% utilization of resources > could produce a 100% perfect simulation of the real universe. Any lesser > simulation is really a fraction of the size/duration/complexity of the real > universe and should count proportionately less. In fact, the sum total of > all simulations within a real universe should be less that of the containing > universe. It all depends on the scale of the simulation. The simplest, a Matrix style simulation, requires very little processing power (but IMO is ruled out by the effects of hallucinogens). I doubt whether any sane creator would opt for a Planck level simulation of an entire universe across 13.7b yrs - it's just unnecessary > The size/duration/complexity of all real universes is larger than the > size/duration/complexity of all their simulations put together. Unless > simulations tend to take over 100% of a universe's total resources before > the universe's lifespan is half over, real unconsumed resources outnumber > simulated resources. Even going with the Simulation Argument's faulty > premise, the statistics still don't seem to support the conclusion. Stats are only as good as the assumptions. Consider 'The Golden Age' entertainments. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From bradbury at aeiveos.com Fri Jan 2 18:27:29 2004 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 10:27:29 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Simulation Argument critique (was fermi's paradox: m/d approach) In-Reply-To: <011801c3d15a$494a1700$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: On Fri, 2 Jan 2004, Harvey Newstrom wrote: > The size/duration/complexity of all real universes is larger than the > size/duration/complexity of all their simulations put together. [snip] I'm not sure how you justify this Harvey. It would seem to assume that the universes in which the sims are run are playing by the same laws of physics as our universe. I don't see how that has to hold. For example -- if we develop femtotech (sub-atomic engineering) or photon-tech (massless engineering) I could see us setting up significant simulations of universes limited to nanotech. Since we have no clue as to what technology is being used to host a simulation of our universe (if such is the case) I don't see how you can argue limits based on "all real universes". The sims could be running a variety of what we consider to be "real universes" based on various physical laws, after that they will run another set of sims, and so on and so forth. There may be no beginning, no end, no heat death and a completly different set of rules in whatever (one hesitates to call it a universe) is hosting the sims (again -- if that is the case). Robert From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Fri Jan 2 18:32:15 2004 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 13:32:15 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Simulation Argument critique (was fermi's paradox:m/d approach) In-Reply-To: <20040102181407.17216.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <011901c3d15e$c2a155b0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Mike Lorrey wrote, > Science is only useful for describing what is normal and > consistent for this universe. Its ability to predict what > exists outside this universe, or what may intrude here from > other realities (via singularities) is hamstrung by the fact > that science relies on a body of data from observation, > none of which we have regarding these things. Agreed. But in that case, we shouldn't be calling the Simulation Argument scientific. It is pure speculation of what might occur outside our universe. Any attempt to bring it into our universe with statistical certainly enough to claim it "proves" that we are inside a simulation is unfounded. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Fri Jan 2 18:53:06 2004 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 13:53:06 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Simulation Argument critique (was fermi's paradox:m/d approach) In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <012601c3d161$ac2d2ae0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Robert J. Bradbury wrote, > On Fri, 2 Jan 2004, Harvey Newstrom wrote: > > The size/duration/complexity of all real universes is > > larger than the size/duration/complexity of all their > > simulations put together. [snip] > > I'm not sure how you justify this Harvey. It would seem to > assume that the universes in which the sims are run are > playing by the same laws of physics as our universe. No, I don't see how. No matter what laws exist in any universe, the simulations within it are subject to those laws. They cannot break their own local physics to store more information per unit of matter/energy than is possible in their real universe. Whatever laws exist in any universe, the simulations still are a smaller subset of their universe. Even by consuming all of their universe's resources, they cannot simulate more than their own universe with greater detail. Therefore, I am saying that the total simulation units available in any universe is less than the total reality units of its parent universe. If every real universe is larger than the sum total of all its simulations, then the total of all real universes is larger than the sum total of all simulations. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From megao at sasktel.net Fri Jan 2 19:06:53 2004 From: megao at sasktel.net (Extropian Agroforestry Ventures Inc.) Date: Fri, 02 Jan 2004 13:06:53 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re:- Biggest Hope for Immortality References: Message-ID: <3FF5C14C.C91AA5D7@sasktel.net> Might not the biggest hope and also the rate limiting step be the computational and programming capabilities required to interact with the chemistry of the genome, the epignome and the dynamics of whole body systems and continue to solve ever more complex problems to sustain and then to modify the organism as its lifespan potential increases and its level of degradation decreases; Then to understand and direct new whole system architectures on an ongoing basis. "Robert J. Bradbury" wrote: > On Fri, 2 Jan 2004, natashavita at earthlink.net wrote: > > > 1. "What is the biggest problem about achieving immortality?" > > Boredom. In the *first* place immortality is probably impossible > unless one can assert that protons do not decay -- and in the > current standard model of physics they probably do decay > (though this takes a *very* long time and has yet to be proven > experimentally to the best of my knowledge). > > So you have a terminology problem with the question as stated. > > The boredom problem will probably lead to people taking increasing > risks (extreme extreme sports -- e.g. Fear Factor with no safeties) > or perhaps committing suicide after a few hundred years. > > Population growth is not a problem in "achieving" immortality. > Its a moral problem as to whether one devotes more resources > towards helping many people live better -- but shorter, non-immortal > lives or whether one devotes the resources towards helping fewer > people live longer lives (which will eventually help everyone still > alive live longer lives). > > Its also true that if the singularity arguments hold -- then the > population growth ("Club of Rome") arguments are all ca-ca. > We *know* that nanotech -- and extremely advanced biotech > (significantly changing the food and energy equations) are > going to be available before 2050 (the standard point where > everyone says everything from famine to global warming are > going to start destroying humanity). > > > 2. "What is the biggest chance, the biggest hope for immortality?" > > I'd tend to agree with the stem cells perspective. After that > I'd say "whole genome engineering". After that I'd say organogenesis > based on synthetic genomes. After that I'd say nanorobotic > enhancment from respirocytes to vasculoid systems. > > Robert > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk Fri Jan 2 19:13:47 2004 From: bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk (BillK) Date: Fri, 02 Jan 2004 19:13:47 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] GQ Magazine Interview - Biggest Hope for Immortality Message-ID: <3FF5C2EB.2010304@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> On Fri Jan 02, 2004 11:18 am Robert J. Bradbury wrote: >> 2. "What is the biggest chance, the biggest hope for immortality?" > > I'd tend to agree with the stem cells perspective. After that > I'd say "whole genome engineering". After that I'd say organogenesis > based on synthetic genomes. After that I'd say nanorobotic > enhancement from respirocytes to vasculoid systems. > Phew! That was close. Lucky you stopped there. The next sentence would probably have crashed the spellchecker and caused temporary blackouts down the East Coast. ;) BillK From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Fri Jan 2 19:12:59 2004 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (Kevin Freels) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 13:12:59 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Simulation Argument critique (was fermi'sparadox:m/d approach) References: <012601c3d161$ac2d2ae0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: That is only assuming that their laws of physics do not allow for a particle to exist in two places at once. It also assumes that each particle can only represent one piece of data at a time and that time itself cannot be manipulated to change the amount of data represented by a single particle. Whoa....My head is about to bust. ----- Original Message ----- From: "Harvey Newstrom" To: "'ExI chat list'" Sent: Friday, January 02, 2004 12:53 PM Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] Simulation Argument critique (was fermi'sparadox:m/d approach) > Robert J. Bradbury wrote, > > On Fri, 2 Jan 2004, Harvey Newstrom wrote: > > > The size/duration/complexity of all real universes is > > > larger than the size/duration/complexity of all their > > > simulations put together. [snip] > > > > I'm not sure how you justify this Harvey. It would seem to > > assume that the universes in which the sims are run are > > playing by the same laws of physics as our universe. > > No, I don't see how. No matter what laws exist in any universe, the > simulations within it are subject to those laws. They cannot break their > own local physics to store more information per unit of matter/energy than > is possible in their real universe. Whatever laws exist in any universe, > the simulations still are a smaller subset of their universe. Even by > consuming all of their universe's resources, they cannot simulate more than > their own universe with greater detail. Therefore, I am saying that the > total simulation units available in any universe is less than the total > reality units of its parent universe. If every real universe is larger than > the sum total of all its simulations, then the total of all real universes > is larger than the sum total of all simulations. > > -- > Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC > Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, > NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC > > > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From bradbury at aeiveos.com Fri Jan 2 19:23:35 2004 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 11:23:35 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] MDIA: Microsoft does it again... Message-ID: New Worm Spreads VIa MSN Messenger http://slashdot.org/article.pl?sid=04/01/02/0356230&mode=thread Interestingly -- it seems probable that this should get through firewalls -- so those avoiding I.E. and Outlook and who happen to have picked MSNM may be screwed. While it may be safe for now, previous experience has demonstrated that such holes may be exploited into sending SPAM. Note the following: http://slashdot.org/article.pl?sid=04/01/02/1625224&mode=thread where the SPAMers are using "chained open proxies". These are combination of people running software that isn't securely configured as well as machines that have been compromised by viruses. And then of course there is "bulletproof hosting in India". Simple to resolve -- accept no communications from IP addresses in India (the problem is implementing it on the poorly managed machines that function as open relays). I ran across an interesting debate the other day. Apparently a number of people in the EU, esp. the UK, had created a petition for the EU to boycott Israel until it began to implement the UN resolutions on borders and the requirements by a number of peace plans to engage in discussions. In response a counter petition was generated against this. >From what I read the signatures on the first petition were 50-75, while on the second petition were 15,000+. Now obviously one can get a petition with 15,000+ signatures of non-Israeli Jews to sign a petition supporting any position that Israel takes. (I am *not* anti-Jewish having worked with a number of people of Jewish faith in New York City in my younger days and having admired their values, commitment, etc. I am anti-irrationalism -- wherein Jews assert they are entitled to the entire "state" of what they believe Israel should be -- based in large part on the perspective that "God" gave it to them.) Now, it occured to me that there might be a private or semi-public action that could be taken that governments would never take -- Cut them off until they decide to get realistic. (I.e. I could deny access to the aeiveos.com web site to all incoming requests from Israeli IP addresses -- I could lobby with Google that they do the same -- after all Google doesn't probably make much money from Israeli queries.) The point would be that the methods used to block SPAMers could similarly be used to exert pressure on populations and governments to get their acts together in the age of information technology. (Yes I realize there are ways around such restrictions but the point would be to heighten an already active debate.) Just some thoughts. Robert From dirk at neopax.com Fri Jan 2 19:25:59 2004 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 19:25:59 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Simulation Argument critique (was fermi'sparadox:m/d approach) References: <012601c3d161$ac2d2ae0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <01e801c3d166$40d02cc0$d2256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Harvey Newstrom" To: "'ExI chat list'" Sent: Friday, January 02, 2004 6:53 PM Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] Simulation Argument critique (was fermi'sparadox:m/d approach) > Robert J. Bradbury wrote, > > On Fri, 2 Jan 2004, Harvey Newstrom wrote: > > > The size/duration/complexity of all real universes is > > > larger than the size/duration/complexity of all their > > > simulations put together. [snip] > > > > I'm not sure how you justify this Harvey. It would seem to > > assume that the universes in which the sims are run are > > playing by the same laws of physics as our universe. > > No, I don't see how. No matter what laws exist in any universe, the > simulations within it are subject to those laws. They cannot break their > own local physics to store more information per unit of matter/energy than > is possible in their real universe. Whatever laws exist in any universe, > the simulations still are a smaller subset of their universe. Even by > consuming all of their universe's resources, they cannot simulate more than > their own universe with greater detail. Therefore, I am saying that the > total simulation units available in any universe is less than the total > reality units of its parent universe. If every real universe is larger than > the sum total of all its simulations, then the total of all real universes > is larger than the sum total of all simulations. But their 'real universe' may (for example) be a truly continuum one with infinite computing power. In which case we are comparing degrees of infinity. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From mlorrey at yahoo.com Fri Jan 2 19:33:07 2004 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 11:33:07 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Simulation Argument critique (was fermi's paradox:m/d approach) In-Reply-To: <012601c3d161$ac2d2ae0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <20040102193307.33022.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> --- Harvey Newstrom wrote: > Robert J. Bradbury wrote, > > On Fri, 2 Jan 2004, Harvey Newstrom wrote: > > > The size/duration/complexity of all real universes is > > > larger than the size/duration/complexity of all their > > > simulations put together. [snip] > > > > I'm not sure how you justify this Harvey. It would seem to > > assume that the universes in which the sims are run are > > playing by the same laws of physics as our universe. > > No, I don't see how. No matter what laws exist in any universe, the > simulations within it are subject to those laws. This is patently false. The only limitations that laws are subject to are the processing limits of the operating substrate. In many ways, it is *easier* to simulate LESS physical constraints. Simulating a highly restrictive set of physical laws takes a lot more processing power. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Find out what made the Top Yahoo! Searches of 2003 http://search.yahoo.com/top2003 From thespike at earthlink.net Fri Jan 2 19:35:48 2004 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 13:35:48 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] GQ Magazine Interview - Biggest Hope for Immortality References: <191690-22004152164835994@M2W033.mail2web.com> Message-ID: <00f701c3d167$a3242ec0$d6ef9a40@texas.net> > 1. "What is the biggest problem about achieving immortality?" Just a terminological aside: Robert keeps pointing out that we can't get literal immortality, because eventually the cosmos will perish. That's strictly true, but I think it's entirely irrelevant to what we're actually discussing, which is *negligible or repairable senescence or `aging'*. Obviously we can't stop aging *literally*, since that would mean halting all atomic activity. We need to remind people that `aging' is just the traditional word contingently associated with physical decay due to the breakdown of cellular maintenance mechanisms, accumulated unrepaired damage, etc. It's a shame the word `senescence' isn't known to most people, but maybe it will spread as the idea gets better known. The other problem with `immortality' as a term is that religious doctrines long ago appropriated it to connote some sort of blissful `spiritual' state beyond the reach of space and time. There's no need to fight this, if we can come up with an alternative which means indefinitely extended youthful fitness of mind and body without loss of memory and accumulated wisdom. Robert might be right that boredom, cafard, ennui is the likely downside of extended youthfulness--but that assumes longevous humans will retain our current limitations, which as most here agree is very unlikely. Moreover, a person so afflicted could either seek treatment (as the depressed are urged to do nowadays) or choose to relinquish life. If someone hands you a hundred billion dollars, but you wonder anxiously whether you should accept it because eventually you might become jaded by being so wealthy, you can always give it away... (I'll take it off your hands). Damien Broderick From hibbert at mydruthers.com Fri Jan 2 19:35:50 2004 From: hibbert at mydruthers.com (Chris Hibbert) Date: Fri, 02 Jan 2004 11:35:50 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] GQ Magazine Interview - Biggest Hope for Immortality In-Reply-To: <191690-22004152164835994@M2W033.mail2web.com> References: <191690-22004152164835994@M2W033.mail2web.com> Message-ID: <3FF5C816.8050405@mydruthers.com> > 1. "What is the biggest problem about achieving immortality?" The biggest problem is that it isn't a single problem. You have to remove all the causes of mortality in order to achieve immortality. For extremely long life, you only have to solve all the systemic causes. > 2. "What is the biggest chance, the biggest hope for immortality?" For me, the answer is Aubrey de Gray's effort to Engineer Negligible Senescence (http://www.gen.cam.ac.uk/sens/). Aubrey seems to be addressing enough of the disparate causes to push lifespan out a long way. Chris -- C. J. Cherryh, "Invader", on why we visit very old buildings: "A sense of age, of profound truths. Respect for something hands made, that's stood through storms and wars and time. It persuades us that things we do may last and matter." Chris Hibbert hibbert at mydruthers.com http://discuss.foresight.org/~hibbert From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Fri Jan 2 19:57:14 2004 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 14:57:14 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Simulation Argument critique (was fermi'sparadox:m/d approach) In-Reply-To: <20040102193307.33022.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <012b01c3d16a$9e9e7830$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Mike Lorrey wrote, > > No, I don't see how. No matter what laws exist in any > > universe, the simulations within it are subject to those laws. > > This is patently false. The only limitations that laws are > subject to are the processing limits of the operating > substrate. In many ways, it is *easier* to simulate LESS > physical constraints. Simulating a highly restrictive set of > physical laws takes a lot more processing power. This is what I meant. The operating substrate is in the real physical universe. It is subject to those laws. I did not mean that one couldn't simulate something impossible in their own physical universe. But the amount of information stored to do so takes as much or more physical universe resources than it really would in the physical universe. You either map incompletely with less detail, or you consume as much resources to store the information as the real universe takes. One can't store more information in the simulation than would fit in their real universe, because the storage medium is in the real universe and takes real resources. Kevin Freels wrote, > That is only assuming that their laws of physics do not allow > for a particle to exist in two places at once. It also > assumes that each particle can only represent one piece of > data at a time and that time itself cannot be manipulated to > change the amount of data represented by a single particle. > Whoa....My head is about to bust. No. If a universe is warped so that it can represent two pieces of information per particle, than each simulated particle has two pieces of information to store. Each particle can therefore store a sum total of one particle's information. (Again, unless you make an incomplete simulation.) If a particle can be in two places at once, then it must be simulated in two places at once in the simulation to be a complete simulation. Whatever you invent to give the real universe more storage, that creates more storage requirement for that same item in the simulation. It's like a mirror. Whatever you invent in the real universe, appears that complex in the simulation. The only way out is if the simulated universe has reduced complexity compared to the real universe, which was my point. You have to leave out complexity and details to make room for other complexity or details, so the net total is still the size of the enclosing universe. An object inside a universe cannot contain more information than the enclosing universe can hold, or else the object is not really contained inside the enclosing universe. This is a tautology of definitions. No universe can hold more than it can hold. Anything it holds must be the same size or smaller. Dirk Bruere wrote, > But their 'real universe' may (for example) be a truly > continuum one with infinite computing power. In which case > we are comparing degrees of infinity. Perhaps, but I am willing to do so! Imagine an infinite space one inch by one inch by infinity. Now imagine a space twice as large, one inch by two inches by infinity. Despite complaints about comparing infinities, it seems obvious that the second object can hold exactly two of the smaller objects. When comparing similar magnitudes or dimensions of infinities, it is possible to do math and compare them. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From mlorrey at yahoo.com Fri Jan 2 20:01:49 2004 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 12:01:49 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Simulation Argument critique (was fermi'sparadox:m/d approach) In-Reply-To: <01e801c3d166$40d02cc0$d2256bd5@artemis> Message-ID: <20040102200149.33317.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > > > But their 'real universe' may (for example) be a truly continuum one > with infinite computing power. > In which case we are comparing degrees of infinity. Depends on what you mean by infinity. If U-Prime has any sort of speed of light limitation, then it is limited to a section of its universe bounded by their light cone. While there may be exemptions, or no limits at all, there must be some mechanism to muffle instant heat death which is what c does, but this is assuming that such a universe has something like nuclear fusion to begin with. Here are some proposed laws of simulated universes: 1) it is easier (less programming and processing) to simulate fewer and less complex physical laws than more and more complex physical laws. 2) as universes mature and increase in extropy, the laws bounding them will increase in complexity and quantity as more programming and processing is dedicated to such universes. 3) the observational results in any given universe of insufficient programming and/or processing are indistinguishable from magic. The results of these proposed rules are: a) younger universes will appear to be more 'magical' b) older universes will have greater physical limitations and will become more technological. c) like high traffic internet sites, universes with increasing age and popularity will require increasing amounts of programming and processing to maintain increasing user value and to prevent the veil of artificiality from becoming punctured. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Find out what made the Top Yahoo! Searches of 2003 http://search.yahoo.com/top2003 From thespike at earthlink.net Fri Jan 2 20:06:32 2004 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 14:06:32 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] graphic books of related interest, maybe References: <191690-22004152164835994@M2W033.mail2web.com> <00f701c3d167$a3242ec0$d6ef9a40@texas.net> Message-ID: <013101c3d16b$edaab780$d6ef9a40@texas.net> http://www.sfsite.com/01a/tc167.htm I haven't seen these yet. < A review by Cindy Lynn Speer Bisso and Geaza are two young men sent three million years back into the past -- to our present -- in order to become a catalyst in the evolutionary chain of events. In this future, humans have attained all possible things, they have evolved as far as they can go and they want more, they feel that they can become more. So they create these two, genetically engineering men. If they live at least 150 years, the chemicals that they shed through their pores will give humanity the evolutionary shot it needs to fulfill a greater promise. Bisso and Geaza are living quiet, if boring, lives, not knowing if they've succeeded or failed, until a strange looking creature finds them. He bears a message: that they've succeeded beyond humanity's hopes, and that the future people of the Earth thanks them for their sacrifice. But as they learn of the nature of this visitor, they are forced to wonder if they really did succeed, or if they failed in the most horrific way. [etc] > From wingcat at pacbell.net Fri Jan 2 20:09:35 2004 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 12:09:35 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Alert for Suspicious Farmers' Almanacs In-Reply-To: <20040101015640.066fe667.samantha@objectent.com> Message-ID: <20040102200935.27048.qmail@web80403.mail.yahoo.com> --- Samantha Atkins wrote: > Terrorism is so bloody loosely defined that saying > it is this or that category of crime is virtually > meaningless. Its definition is arbitrary so any > acts or purported acts or secretly accused acts may > be subject to whatever whim the authorities care to > exercise. You know, I had to laugh at that. But I think you'll find yourself chuckling too, at least if you like dark humor about serious situations. Terrorism has a definition. http://dictionary.reference.com/search?q=terrorism cites Webster's Revised Unabridged Dictionary, 1998 version: > The act of terrorizing, or state of being > terrorized; a mode of government by terror or > intimidation. Now, contrast this to the fact that a lot of these laws and policies we're objecting to are getting passed on the fear, also known as terror, that "terrorists" might otherwise harm us or those we care about; and/or by intimidating those who would stand up to abuses. Also, from Wikipedia, terrorism... > [...]is the term commonly used to refer to the > calculated use of violence or the threat of > violence, against the civilian population, usually > for the purpose of obtaining political or religious > goals. Arrest and imprisonment is a form of violence, no? Though, granted, it's more "threat of" than the real thing. > Although the exact meaning of the term is disputed, > it is commonly held that the distinctive nature of > terrorism lies in its deliberate and specific > selection of civilians as targets, a choice designed > to attract wide publicity and cause extreme levels > of public shock, outrage and fear. Terrorists > believe these conditions will help to bring about > the political or religious changes that they seek. Civilians don't stop being civilians even under military-grade high security alerts, especially when the alerts stay active enough to become status quo. I believe you should see the parallels I'm seeing by now. From humania at t-online.de Fri Jan 2 20:24:06 2004 From: humania at t-online.de (Hubert Mania) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 21:24:06 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] GQ Magazine Interview - Biggest Hope forImmortality References: <191690-22004152164835994@M2W033.mail2web.com> <00f701c3d167$a3242ec0$d6ef9a40@texas.net> Message-ID: <001a01c3d16e$608e4490$5b91fea9@kwasar> Damien: > It's a shame the word `senescence' isn't known to most people, but > maybe it will spread as the idea gets better known. I especially like the German version "Seneszenz". It's a bit sharper and sounds more final ("endgueltig"). And, of course, if you pronounce it with relish, you hiss and hit the word "Sense" at the same time, which is the most important tool of Death, "scythe" in English. As we use to say: "It's scythe now!" instead of "That's enough!" From mlorrey at yahoo.com Fri Jan 2 20:39:19 2004 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 12:39:19 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Alert for Suspicious Farmers' Almanacs In-Reply-To: <20040102200935.27048.qmail@web80403.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20040102203919.51519.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> --- Adrian Tymes wrote: > > You know, I had to laugh at that. But I think you'll > find yourself chuckling too, at least if you like dark > humor about serious situations. > > Terrorism has a definition. > http://dictionary.reference.com/search?q=terrorism > cites Webster's Revised Unabridged Dictionary, 1998 > version: > > > The act of terrorizing, or state of being > > terrorized; a mode of government by terror or > > intimidation. This is an irrelevant definition. The only important one is that defined in the Geneva Conventions: a) engaging in acts of violence or threats of violence against civilians, while, b) not wearing a uniform that distinguishes the combatant from a civilian, and/or, c) seeking shelter in civilian communities or facilities (except for seeking health care in hospitals). Similarly civilians or civilian facilities which are used as shelter by illegal combatants become legitimate military targets under the GCs. The fact that McVeigh didn't wear a recognisable uniform made him an illegal combatant, but not a terrorist. Under the Geneva Conventions, McVeighs attack on the Murrah Federal Building was only a terrorist act in that he purposely set off his bomb when he knew there would be children in the day care center. The deaths of all federal agents and employees, and the bombing of the building itself, were legitimate acts of war. Conversely, the actions of the ATF and FBI against the Davidian compound in Waco were terrorism because the ATF initiated violence. While Koresh violated unconstitutional laws, he did not preach the overthrow of any government, he only predicted what did happen, would happen. Israeli attacks on Hamas militants are legitimate acts of war. The bulldozing of buildings used for shelter by Palestinian combatants are legimitate acts of war, as is the bulldozing of homes paid for with bounty money paid for homicide bombings. Such bounties are not normal military pay, nor are they legitimate death benefits, they are paid specifically for the act of blowing ones self up in an act of terrorism against civilians, which is not an act of war. Paying rewards for war crimes is itself a war crime, as is accepting such rewards. Now, you may say, "but everything you say seems to give the advantage to the more powerful military forces." This is exactly so. This was partly the intent of the Geneva Conventions, originally, to maintain the eminence of the Powers of the 19th century and help prevent the emergence of new powers strictly as a result of military conquest and sponsorship of insurgencies. It forced nations to become Powers through peaceful economic development, as the United States did in the 1890's, as Japan did a few years later. The other intent of the GCs was to try to isolate military action from civilian action, so that a nation's infrastructure would not be destroyed by conflict. This has come under serious attack by the 20th century history of Total War and Revolutionary Insurgency. The only way to put the genie back in the bottle is to be very severe about the enforcement of the Geneva Conventions, demanding nations have strictly enforced military codes, and taking to task those nations that do not. We need to put that genie back in the bottle, or the case for individual liberty in the future is severely threatened. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Find out what made the Top Yahoo! Searches of 2003 http://search.yahoo.com/top2003 From aperick at centurytel.net Fri Jan 2 21:12:14 2004 From: aperick at centurytel.net (aperick at centurytel.net) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 13:12:14 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Dirtlings In-Reply-To: <200401021707.i02H7fE31698@tick.javien.com> Message-ID: <8072489.1073077954758.JavaMail.teamon@b111.teamon.com> Darn you Mike Lorrey, now I can't stop thinking how the whole universe may be pointing and laughing at we dirtlings :) From samantha at objectent.com Fri Jan 2 22:09:26 2004 From: samantha at objectent.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 14:09:26 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Alert for Suspicious Farmers' Almanacs In-Reply-To: <20040102203919.51519.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> References: <20040102200935.27048.qmail@web80403.mail.yahoo.com> <20040102203919.51519.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20040102140926.01b8725a.samantha@objectent.com> On Fri, 2 Jan 2004 12:39:19 -0800 (PST) Mike Lorrey wrote: > > --- Adrian Tymes wrote: > > > > You know, I had to laugh at that. But I think you'll > > find yourself chuckling too, at least if you like dark > > humor about serious situations. > > > > Terrorism has a definition. > > http://dictionary.reference.com/search?q=terrorism > > cites Webster's Revised Unabridged Dictionary, 1998 > > version: > > > > > The act of terrorizing, or state of being > > > terrorized; a mode of government by terror or > > > intimidation. > > This is an irrelevant definition. The only important one is that > defined in the Geneva Conventions: > > a) engaging in acts of violence or threats of violence against > civilians, while, > b) not wearing a uniform that distinguishes the combatant from a > civilian, and/or, > c) seeking shelter in civilian communities or facilities (except for > seeking health care in hospitals). > By this definition all militia sans uniforms everywhere are terrorists. How exactly is this helpful? For that matter, any organized group of citizens defending their own lives and property against other groups would be terrorists. The military of a country threatening the imminent demise of citizens of another country could never be considered terrorist no matter how foul its acts. > Similarly civilians or civilian facilities which are used as shelter by > illegal combatants become legitimate military targets under the GCs. > > The fact that McVeigh didn't wear a recognisable uniform made him an > illegal combatant, but not a terrorist. Under the Geneva Conventions, > McVeighs attack on the Murrah Federal Building was only a terrorist act > in that he purposely set off his bomb when he knew there would be > children in the day care center. The deaths of all federal agents and > employees, and the bombing of the building itself, were legitimate acts > of war. > > Conversely, the actions of the ATF and FBI against the Davidian > compound in Waco were terrorism because the ATF initiated violence. > While Koresh violated unconstitutional laws, he did not preach the > overthrow of any government, he only predicted what did happen, would > happen. But wait, the ATF and FBI did not meet the second or third supposed criteria for being considered terrorist. They were wearing uniforms and they did not shelter with civilians. > > Israeli attacks on Hamas militants are legitimate acts of war. The > bulldozing of buildings used for shelter by Palestinian combatants are > legimitate acts of war, as is the bulldozing of homes paid for with > bounty money paid for homicide bombings. Such bounties are not normal > military pay, nor are they legitimate death benefits, they are paid > specifically for the act of blowing ones self up in an act of terrorism > against civilians, which is not an act of war. Paying rewards for war > crimes is itself a war crime, as is accepting such rewards. > Whether it is a "legitimate act of war" or not it is not legitimate to destroy entire towns, villages and cities when the people rise up against years of oppression. The characterization of homes, many of them quite poor, as being paid for with bounty money for suicide bombings, is beneath contempt. > Now, you may say, "but everything you say seems to give the advantage > to the more powerful military forces." This is exactly so. This was > partly the intent of the Geneva Conventions, originally, to maintain > the eminence of the Powers of the 19th century and help prevent the > emergence of new powers strictly as a result of military conquest and > sponsorship of insurgencies. It forced nations to become Powers through > peaceful economic development, as the United States did in the 1890's, > as Japan did a few years later. > Good. You admit that the GC is not the arbiter of what is reasonable but is rather, in part, a tool of oppresion. > The other intent of the GCs was to try to isolate military action from > civilian action, so that a nation's infrastructure would not be > destroyed by conflict. This has come under serious attack by the 20th > century history of Total War and Revolutionary Insurgency. The only way > to put the genie back in the bottle is to be very severe about the > enforcement of the Geneva Conventions, demanding nations have strictly > enforced military codes, and taking to task those nations that do not. > The better way to put the genie back into the bottle is to remove much of the oppression and conditions leading to armed conflict in the first place. - samantha From samantha at objectent.com Fri Jan 2 22:18:43 2004 From: samantha at objectent.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 14:18:43 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Simulation Argument critique (was fermi's paradox: m/d approach) In-Reply-To: <011801c3d15a$494a1700$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> References: <00c101c3d151$8bd0d0e0$d2256bd5@artemis> <011801c3d15a$494a1700$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <20040102141843.3b352b63.samantha@objectent.com> On Fri, 2 Jan 2004 13:00:14 -0500 "Harvey Newstrom" wrote: > Dirk Bruere wrote, > > I think the most likely explanation is the Simulation > > Argument. > > I find the Simulation Argument violates Occam's Razor. It adds complexity > that is not needed. It does not help explain any observable phenomenon. It > also seems to reject all science. If everything we observe is a simulation, > then the simulation does not have to be constrained to known physical laws. > Everything we think we know is wrong. Anything is possible, whether science > thinks it is or not. The acceptance of the Simulation Argument seems to > require a rejection of science. It would be a pretty poor simulation if it did not follow well defined and consistent internal laws. From the point of view of beings within the simulation those laws are the "known physical laws". Within the simulation they are not in the least wrong. Nothing is possible except what the simulation (local reality) was designed to make possible unless something from outside interferes. There is no necessary rejection of science. - samantha From samantha at objectent.com Fri Jan 2 22:22:53 2004 From: samantha at objectent.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 14:22:53 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Simulation Argument critique (was fermi's paradox:m/d approach) In-Reply-To: <011901c3d15e$c2a155b0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> References: <20040102181407.17216.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> <011901c3d15e$c2a155b0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <20040102142253.6d7628cc.samantha@objectent.com> On Fri, 2 Jan 2004 13:32:15 -0500 "Harvey Newstrom" wrote: > Mike Lorrey wrote, > > Science is only useful for describing what is normal and > > consistent for this universe. Its ability to predict what > > exists outside this universe, or what may intrude here from > > other realities (via singularities) is hamstrung by the fact > > that science relies on a body of data from observation, > > none of which we have regarding these things. > > Agreed. But in that case, we shouldn't be calling the Simulation Argument > scientific. It is pure speculation of what might occur outside our > universe. Any attempt to bring it into our universe with statistical > certainly enough to claim it "proves" that we are inside a simulation is > unfounded. > I don't get that argument. If we are in a simulation then our science, used to study *what is* may be able to determine that fact. It is a speculation about the overall nature of our universe. If your argument held then we should also include singularities like black holes from science. - samantha From wingcat at pacbell.net Fri Jan 2 22:45:07 2004 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 14:45:07 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Alert for Suspicious Farmers' Almanacs In-Reply-To: <20040102203919.51519.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20040102224507.52112.qmail@web80402.mail.yahoo.com> --- Mike Lorrey wrote: > --- Adrian Tymes wrote: > > Terrorism has a definition. > > http://dictionary.reference.com/search?q=terrorism > > cites Webster's Revised Unabridged Dictionary, > 1998 > > version: > > > > > The act of terrorizing, or state of being > > > terrorized; a mode of government by terror or > > > intimidation. > > This is an irrelevant definition. The only important > one is that > defined in the Geneva Conventions: Terrorism, and its definition, have changed over the years. > a) engaging in acts of violence or threats of > violence against > civilians, while, > b) not wearing a uniform that distinguishes the > combatant from a > civilian, and/or, > c) seeking shelter in civilian communities or > facilities (except for > seeking health care in hospitals). Hmm. You know, technically, President Bush and certain members of his Cabinet (and some members of Congress)... a) make speeches that could be interpreted as threats of violence (by police, uniformed or otherwise) against civilians (by threatening that the civilians could be labelled "terrorists", "illegal combatants", or whatever else would incite others to take away their rights by potentially violent means), b) more often than not, do not wear uniforms while making these speeches (unless business suits are "uniforms"; they definitely don't typically classify people as combatants), and c) seek to be in civilian communities and facilities a fair amount of the time (unless the Secret Service, by following the President et al around, automatically makes wherever they are a non-civilian community or facilitiy for the duration of their presence). > Conversely, the actions of the ATF and FBI against > the Davidian > compound in Waco were terrorism because the ATF > initiated violence. > While Koresh violated unconstitutional laws, he did > not preach the > overthrow of any government, he only predicted what > did happen, would > happen. As has been pointed out, the ATF and FBI were wearing uniforms at the time. The same argument applies to all uniformed police officers. One could very well argue that the police, at least while in uniform, are closer to military status legally than most civilians. (And note that on-duty police usually do not seek shelter in civilian facilities; they may do business there, but they're on duty, going where their duty calls them to be. They "seek shelter" in marked cars and buildings designated as police stations.) From scerir at libero.it Fri Jan 2 23:02:27 2004 From: scerir at libero.it (scerir) Date: Sat, 3 Jan 2004 00:02:27 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Simulation Argument critique (wasfermi'sparadox:m/d approach) References: <012601c3d161$ac2d2ae0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <000e01c3d184$7ed9d840$f0c7fea9@scerir> From: "Kevin Freels" > That is only assuming that their laws of physics do not allow for a > particle to exist in two places at once. Hey. You knew that. Don't you? http://www.arxiv.org/abs/quant-ph/0310091 www.physics.utoronto.ca/~aephraim/talks/QELS03-3box.ppt > It also assumes that each particle can only > represent one piece of data at a time and that time itself cannot be > manipulated to change the amount of data represented by a single particle. Manipulate time itself? You must choose a very 'unusual' time, which has to be a dynamical variable, like tau, the 'proper' time of a particle. In this case you could write, safely enough, an uncertainty relation like Delta tau x Delta mass of the particle =/> h which should be, more or less, the target of any serious space-time quantization program. Note that if you measure, or impose, a small Delta tau, the Delta mass of the particle becomes very large, and viceversa. Not much different from the usual position vs. momentum relation Delta position x Delta momentum >/= h by which, changing continuously Delta position you reveal the particle-like nature, or the wave-like nature, of the 'thing'. The other classical possibility, given the SR metric, is represented by the weird uncertainty relation space vs. time, like (dx/dt + ds/dt) x (dx/dt - ds/dt) = 1/c^2 Not to mention what would be a Universe dependent on the Banach-Tarski paradox on unmeasurable sets for its operation! (But this would really be magic). From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Fri Jan 2 23:19:41 2004 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 18:19:41 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Simulation Argument critique (was fermi'sparadox:m/d approach) In-Reply-To: <20040102142253.6d7628cc.samantha@objectent.com> Message-ID: <016701c3d186$e997ac00$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Samantha Atkins wrote, > I don't get that argument. If we are in a simulation then > our science, used to study *what is* may be able to determine > that fact. It is a speculation about the overall nature of > our universe. If your argument held then we should also > include singularities like black holes from science. Actually, I agree with you. I was countering Mike's argument that science doesn't hold in other universes. I said in that case, we can't call speculation about these areas outside science "scientific". I was objecting to using the claim that science doesn't work in some cases as part of the scientfiic argument! I actually do agree that science can speculate about what is outside our universe. But throwing out the requirements of science is not part of scientific speculation. > It would be a pretty poor simulation if it did not follow > well defined and consistent internal laws. From the point > of view of beings within the simulation those laws are the > "known physical laws". Within the simulation they are not > in the least wrong. Nothing is possible except what the > simulation (local reality) was designed to make possible > unless something from outside interferes. There is no > necessary rejection of science. I didn't say that it "couldn't" be true. But science doesn't lead to speculatation about what "might" be true that we can't detect. That is more properly the realm of religion. Science leads to explanations about what is observed. If we haven't observed it and someone dreamed up the idea without observation or evidence, this is religion, not science. Likewise, God might be true. But discussions about God are religion, not science. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From sentience at pobox.com Fri Jan 2 23:28:34 2004 From: sentience at pobox.com (Eliezer S. Yudkowsky) Date: Fri, 02 Jan 2004 18:28:34 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Darwinian dynamics unlikely to apply to superintelligence In-Reply-To: <8765fut8zd.fsf@snark.piermont.com> References: <20031231094734.GE11973@digitalkingdom.org> <3FF309F8.6000502@yifan.net> <20031231195904.GN11973@digitalkingdom.org> <87llorutus.fsf@snark.piermont.com> <20040102014258.GW11973@digitalkingdom.org> <8765fut8zd.fsf@snark.piermont.com> Message-ID: <3FF5FEA2.8040900@pobox.com> Perry E. Metzger wrote: > Robin Lee Powell writes: > >>>Myself, though, I will make a strong prediction -- which is that >>>the laws of physics and the rules of math don't cease to apply. >>>That leads me to believe that evolution doesn't stop. That further >>>leads me to believe that nature -- bloody in tooth and claw, as >>>some have termed it -- will simply be taken to the next level. I >>>don't fear this particularly, but it isn't consistent with the >>>"everything is going to turn up roses" viewpoint. >> >>You've taken one sample set, Earth, and implied from the course of >>evolution on Earth that it is a *law of physics* that violent >>conflict occur. > Evolution isn't something you can avoid. Deep down, all it says is > "you find more of that which survives and spreads itself", which is so > close to a tautology that it is damn hard to dispute. There is no > moral superiority to a bacterium that minds its manners over one that > overwhelms its competition. The universe on a deep level doesn't care > which one you find more of. However, almost axiomatically, the second > one is the one you'll find in every soil sample and the first will be > rare or extinct. The replicator dynamics, like all math equations, generally are provable and hence what people would call "tautological" when applied to the real world. The question is whether the variables take on any interesting values. Price's Equation is a tautology, and, therefore, always true; the question is whether it usefully applies. You can apply it to pebbles on the seashore, for example, and lo, the change in the mean value of the "blue" characteristic for the pebbles will equal the covariance of the "blue" characteristic with the proportional change (fitness) of each color category of pebbles. That is, it will be precisely, numerically equal, if you do the calculation. But the correlation will end up being slight, and will probably change sign from generation to generation, because the covariance is noise and not the causal result of physically perseverant properties of the pebbles; and whatever categories you parse the pebbles into, it will be a function of an arbitrary classification system, and not physically copied genes. And yet the math will still, technically, add up. Although the math holds true tautologically for any consistent set of variable definitions, it is not at all trivial to show that the math *applies* to some physical system in the sense of the variable definitions corresponding to simple physical properties, rather than being produced arbitrarily. And when the variable definitions in a replicator equation do correspond to simple physical properties, there is still the question of whether one is dealing with infinitesimal quantities that obey a replicator equation, or large quantities; small handful of generations, or millions of generations; whether there is enough selection pressure, over a long enough period of time, to produce complex information of the sort we're used to seeing in biology. To sum up, natural selection *as we know it*, which is to say, natural selection in any noticeable quantity, is not an automatic consequence of physics. It applies to butterflies, but not pebbles, even though the math can be defined for both cases. Even if blue pebbles survive some tiny amount better, it doesn't mean that in 20,000 years all the pebbles on the seashore will be intensely blue. We are more likely to see the longest-burning stars, and if you were to stretch the term far enough, you could insist that stars have "generations" because the debris of a nova ends up being incorporated into new stars, and so on, but because the "heritable" capacity is noise (even though it can still be defined as a mathematical quantity) and the number of generations so few, we do not see stars that are optimized to burn for trillions of years, even though we can expect that the stars we see will have been selected so as to exclude ones that fail to ignite or explode immediately. Correspondingly, we can expect that any SI we deal with will exclude the set of SIs that immediately shut themselves down, and that whichever SI we see will be the result of an optimization process that was capable of self-optimization and preferred that choice. But this does not imply that any SI we deal with will attach a huge intrinsic utility to its own survival. If you have an optimization system, and that optimization system behaves something at least roughly like the expected utility equation, then, regardless of the particulars of the utility function, it seems straightforward to derive instrumental expected utility for the continued operation of an optimization system similar to the one doing the calculation, and the expected instrumental utility calculated in the present time will increase with the expected fidelity of the utility function. This will hold true of a very large class of optimizers. It follows that we have no reason to expect any SI we deal with to attach a huge intrinsic utility to its own survival. Why? Because that's an extremely specific outcome within a very large class of outcomes where the SI doesn't shut itself down immediately. There is, in other words, no Bayesian evidence - no likelihood ratio - that says we are probably looking at an SI that attaches a huge intrinsic utility to its own survival; both hypotheses produce the same prediction for observed behavior. Similarly, for any optimization process that can configure matter in ways that it reckons will create instrumental utility, or fulfill intrinsic utility, or avoid expected negative utility, with respect to any possible aspect of its goal system, we should expect that optimization process to optimize all available matter, since that action will be perceived as more desirable than the alternative, assuming the entity implements some kind of expected utility equation for ordering preferences over choices. For an extremely large class of SIs, they will *all* choose to absorb all nearby matter. So there is no reason to suppose that they would need a particular desire to reproduce. I expect that most any optimization process including a Friendly SI, and certainly including myself, would choose to defend itself from a hostile optimization process - as an instrumental utility. So there is no reason to suppose that any SI we see must have a particular desire to engage in combat. And finally, there is no reason to suppose that the process whereby SIs absorb matter, optimize matter, or in other ways do things with matter, would create subregions with (a) large heritable changes in properties, that (b) correlate to large differences in the rate at which these regions spread or transform other matter, and that (c) this process will continue over the thousands or millions of generations that would be required for the natural selection dynamic to produce optimized functional complexity. This last point is particularly important in understanding why replicator dynamics are unlikely to apply to SIs. At most, we are likely to see one initial filter in which SIs that halt or fence themselves off in tiny spheres are removed from the cosmic observables. Almost any utility function I have ever heard proposed will choose to spread across the cosmos and transform matter into either (1) *maximally high-fidelity copies* of the optimization control structure or (2) configurations that fulfill intrinsic utilities. If the optimization control structure is copied at extremely high fidelity, there are no important heritable differences for natural selection to act on. If there were heritable differences, they are not likely to covary with large differences in reproductive fitness, insofar as all the optimization control structures will choose equally to transform nearby matter. Natural selection operates on the *covariance* between heritable quantities and reproductive fitness, not the *correlation*, which means that the *amount* of variation is relevant. (When you calculate the correlation you take the covariance between the two quantities and divide by the product of the two standard deviations of each quantity.) If there's only a small amount of heritable variation, the covariance goes down. If there's only a small amount of variation in reproductive fitness, the covariance goes down. If you don't have thousands of generations, the amount of genetic information generated by the iteration of this covariance will be tiny, certainly not enough to account for complex adaptations. In short, under scenarios of the type I have seen discussed so far, replicator dynamics do not apply to SIs. Natural selection is not a binary thing that switches on or off depending on whether anything that can be called "replication" occurs. Selection pressure can be quantified - and it is a surprisingly small optimization effect by our standards; for example, if each couple has an average of 8 children then there can be *at most* 2 bits of information produced by natural selection per generation, to be shared among all the quantities subject to optimization. With the scenarios extrapolated as usual, and the variable definitions that are usually offered, the amount of selection pressure that applies to SIs is infinitesimal, barring a possible initial selection filter. > So what sort of strategies does evolution favor? Quite a number of > them, actually, but none of them can be characterized as "pacifist". None of them can be characterized as conscientious objectors, barring those that are physically invulnerable. I don't see that Friendliness requires being a conscientious objector to a generic optimization process that's trying to eat you, and I certainly don't see why a generic optimization process would choose to be a conscientious objector as an instrumental utility, barring an exotic utility function. Anyway, there's a heck of a difference between natural selection *building a goal system from scratch*, like where humans come from, and applying a anti-suicide filter to the set of SIs that are likely to pop up from ancestral civilizations (mostly the result of runaway recursive self-improvement, I expect, perhaps a Friendlyoid SI here and there if someone in the ancestral civilization was implausibly competent). > The struggle for resources is unlikely to end, because the amount of > resource you can have in any finite volume remains finite. Replicator dynamics assume a (large, frequent) death rate. If optimization processes compete to absorb *available* resources but hang on permanently to all resources already absorbed, the replicator dynamics are not iterated across thousands of generations. > That leads > me to assume that we'll continue to see evolution take place as life > spreads through the cosmos. If so, it will be because Friendly SIs (Friendliness being an exotic utility function created by the intervention of humans) contain environments with social scenarios to which replicator dynamics apply. Even this is not a necessary assumption, and replicator dynamics might apply to some social quantities and not others. For example, if sociolegal dynamics fix the maximum number of children at, say, two children per couple, or one child every hundred years, and motivational variations are heritable, then natural selection might apply as a floor function that minimizes the number of sentient entities who want to have *less* children than that. But natural selection would be powerless to optimize variables within the very large class of minds that chose to use their full allotment. On the other hand, *memes* might be around for a long, long time. > That, in turn, leads me to assume that > we'll continue to see "nature bloody in tooth and claw", although > perhaps it will become "nature bloody in assembler and particle beam" > or other gadgetry far beyond our understanding. It looks to me like, whether humanity survives or fails, the era of natural selection as we know it - "bloody in tooth and claw" - is ending. -- Eliezer S. Yudkowsky http://singinst.org/ Research Fellow, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Fri Jan 2 23:36:52 2004 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Sat, 3 Jan 2004 10:36:52 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] GQ Magazine Interview - Biggest Hope for Immortality References: <191690-22004152164835994@M2W033.mail2web.com> Message-ID: <04c801c3d189$4ce97980$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Natasha wrote: > I thought I'd ask if anyone has *up-to-date* answers for > these 2 questions of the interview - just in case any of you > have insights that are broader and more spot on than my > own. :-) > > 1. "What is the biggest problem about achieving immortality?" [Sorry the following is a bit of a rant. I can't spare time to fix it. So I'm opting to post less than optimal. ] Theres a definitional problem. When would you know you'd gotten to immortality? Its like having successfully counted to infinity. You can't. There always tomorrow that hasn't happened yet and the next number you haven't counted too. First you'd need to operationalise the objective into something specific. >From an engineering/logical standpoint its possible to think about travelling to the moon, mars, jupiter etc as problems with apparently achievable objects, and then they become tractable. They can be broken down into a series of steps and subproblems. Uncertainties can be managed. Its possible to start to think about what it would take to achieve *effective* 'immortality' - like a life expectancy of X many hundreds or thousand of years. But even to do that well its necessary to scope the problem properly, making some assumptions, including assumptions about things that are currently unknowable. The asssumptions then get revisited as more is known. There could be an assumption that one has that seems reasonable in the beginning when less is known (either because that is the state of knowledge of humankind at that time - or more often because its the state of knowledge of the person or group doing the planning exercise). Sometimes reasonable assumptions made at the start (on current knowledge) turns out to be unreasonable in light of what is learned later. Good engineers and investors and entrepreneurs save time by looking for the fatal flaw first. (They seldom apply this device to their deep beliefs and hopes pertaining to immortality so far as I can tell). There is always another project or another investment that they can direct their time and resources to if one path or approach fail. But this is not what believers do. Believers don't change their assumptions in light of new evidence they reinterpret or spin the evidence so as to preserve their assumption. Thats natural enough but it doesn't get very far in practical terms. The human desire to not die, an investor or entrepreneur can pretty much take to the bank. So they do. People will buy mirage water if there is no real water to be had. If both real and illusory solutions are available those who don't know the difference will still go for the illusory ones just as readily as the real ones. > 2. "What is the biggest chance, the biggest hope for immortality?" Depends where one is starting from personally. Operationally no one actually dies of old age. There is always something cellular that goes first. A heart attack has a cellular basis. A bullet through the brain has a cellular basis. Cancer will kill a person when a critical organ fails somewhere, and organismic failure will be a cell failure. The biggest *hope* for immortality for a person on their deathbed with an incurable condition and no time to find a cure is a religious repreive from the laws of contingency. The biggest *hope* is some sort of religion. That's not the most practical solution (sometimes there are no practical solutions) but it is their biggest hope. It has been historically, it still is today. But the forms of religion and the forms of belief change. This is as true in 2004 as it was in earlier times. That someway, somehow the contingent nature of the universe as we understand can be suspended in our case. Those with particularly detailed understandings of the way the universe works and of their own biology will have a harder time finding hope in assumptions based on ignorance that they don't share. They may find hope in ignorance. What igorance they retain and in having the capacity to approach problems that threaten their hope for assumptions they can innovate and improve the quality of life for themselves and others whilst they do. But as they learn the shallow illusions of others will not work for them anymore as they will be turning on lights. For them hope for immortality always recedes into the shaddows of what remains unknown. But the products of their searching solve lots of problems that are more tractable than immortality. Cures for diseases. Life saving and labor saving devices. Of course these don't come in time for everybody and how they are dispersed is a function of the political systems too. Say cryonics and molecular nanotechnology were impossible but we didn't know it yet, the person on their deathbed's *hope* for immortality by that 'method' would be retained. They wouldn't achieve it of course (if it was impossible) but they could at least die hoping. And with hope they'd die happy. I think it is actually extremely difficult to remove a persons hope for immortality because each of us doesn't know something and most of us *hope* the surprises in the unknowns will be pleasant not unpleasant. I am not concerned that I will persuade or remove hope from anyone, by adopting a practical or engineering approach because I am confident that believers will not stop believing and will find hope in whatever way is necessary for them. But those who can intellectually and emotionally work the practical and logical problems like an engineering exercise can improve the human condition for themselves and for me. For me, age 37 and in good health, the best hope for me is to perhaps to persuade and coordinate efforts to acquire the understanding to be able to replace all the organs in the body below the neck (the brain is harder - so I figure get to it later -but I don't have a brain disease). Technologically I think this could be done in the next 30 years - translation I don't know any reason at the time of writing this why it could not be done in the next 30 years (if politics was not an issue). Technologically my state of ignorance or understanding is such that I think the organs below the neck could be replaceable in the next 30 years - I think technologically that would be a tractable problem (were it to be set as a goal). And meanwhile substantial progress would be made in understanding the brain as well even without setting it as a goal. But of course that is the rub. Setting it as a goal politically. It is very possible (heck I reckons its a virtual certainty) that politics will prohibit setting that as a goal. This is because most people would find that goal abhorrent. They will find their hope in different places. Conventional religions offer easy off-the-shelf minimal-customisation-required forms of hope-for-immortality. Goals that are abhorrent to the majority cannot be set in democracies. Even if they are ethical goals. Even if they would be technologically possible. But not everyone starts from the same position. Not everyone is 37 and in good health. That of itself is enough for people to prioritise differently and for politics to become a factor separate to technological considerations. Apologies again for the rant. I think you wanted technological answers - hence *up to date* but technological aspects are only a part - and in my opinion they are not even the main impediment. Regards, Brett From nanogirl at halcyon.com Fri Jan 2 23:42:54 2004 From: nanogirl at halcyon.com (Gina Miller) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 15:42:54 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Nanogirl News~ References: <016701c3d186$e997ac00$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <00c501c3d18a$24d05170$3f80e40c@NANOGIRL> The Nanogirl News January 2, 2004 Homeland Security Gets Small. How Nanotechnology May Aid Anti-Terrorism. Ultimately, fighting the war on terrorism may have less to do with giant aircraft carriers and more to do with atomic-scale detection and prevention systems. Nanotechnology, which is expected to transform everything from computer processors to drug delivery systems, may also be the key to homeland security, argues a new book. In Nanotechnology and Homeland Security: New Weapons for New Wars, Mark A. Ratner, a professor of chemistry at Northwestern University and a noted expert in molecular electronics, and his son Daniel Ratner, a high-tech entrepreneur, claim that current research in nanotechnology will lead to intelligent sensors, smart materials, and other methods for thwarting biological and chemical attacks. (ABC News 12/29/03) http://abcnews.go.com/sections/scitech/ZDM/nanotech_security_pcmag_031229.ht ml The National Science Foundation has awarded to a 13-university consortium the designation as the National Nanotechnology Infrastructure Network and at least $70 million to share their facilities with qualified users for a five-year period. Sandip Tiwari, director of the Cornell Nanoscale Facility, will lead NNIN. (Cornell 12/22/03) http://www.news.cornell.edu/releases/Dec03/Nano.net.hrs.html Hitachi Set to Plant It's Own 'Nanostamp' on the Medical Market. Hitachi's Advanced Research Laboratory (ARL) is getting ready to commercialize a low-cost "nanostamp" technology for medical applications. Hitachi's process creates "nanopillars" with extremely high aspect ratios (narrow relative to height), a feature that the company believes will prove useful for biochips and other applications, according to Akihiro Miyauchi, a senior researcher at Hitachi. The technology uses a silicon "stamp" that presses onto a polystyrene-based polymer film, producing nanopillars that are extremely long and thin, about 3 microns in height. (Smalltimes 12/30/03) http://www.smalltimes.com/document_display.cfm?documen t_id=7147 Entering the Nano-Age? By Glenn Reynolds. Last week, I wrote about the EPA Science Advisory Board meeting where nanotechnology was discussed. I learned a lot of interesting things there, but one of the things that I learned is that, even for people like me who try to keep up, the pace of nanotechnology research is moving much too fast to catch everything. One of the documents distributed at that meeting was a supplement to the President's 2004 budget request, entitled National Nanotechnology Initiative: Research and Development Supporting the Next Industrial Revolution. I expected it to be the usual bureaucratic pap, but in fact, it turned out to contain a lot of actual useful information, including reports of several nanotechnology developments that I had missed. The most interesting, to me, was the report of "peptide nanotubes that kill bacteria by punching holes in the bacteria's membrane." You might think of these as a sort of mechanical antibiotic. (TechCentral Station 12/23/03) http://www.techcentralstation.com/122303C.html Through thick and thin. Pair's Work has made HP a Leader in Nanotechnology...Williams and his team of 30 work in a building that houses the preserved offices of HP founders Bill Hewlett and Dave Packard. In these hallowed halls they are researching ways to make computer chips at the atomic level, smaller than a bacteria or a virus. If they succeed in their mission, HP could begin deploying a new manufacturing technique within the next three to five years. This technique allows an entire wafer of circuits to be stamped out quickly and cheaply from a master mold. (San Jose Mercury News 12/29/03) http://www.bayarea.com/mld/mercurynews/business/7563605.htm Nanowire a Superior Disease Detector. A wire thinner than a human hair has proven to be 1,000 times more sensitive at detecting disease, producing results in minutes rather than days. Charles Lieber of Harvard University in Boston, Massachusetts and colleagues developed and tested the silicon nanowire in what they say is the first example of direct electrical detection of DNA using nanotechnology. "This tiny sensor could represent a new future for medical diagnostics," says Lieber, a professor of chemistry at Harvard and a cofounder of nanotechnology company NanoSys. (Betterhumans 12/18/03) http://www.betterhumans.com/News/news.aspx?articleID=2003-12-18-3 The next high-tech frontier? For Donn Tice, the path to the new world of nanotechnology leads through the old world of apparel manufacturing. Nano-Tex's chief executive officer has traveled the globe this year selling his Emeryville, Calif., company's nanotechnology chemical formula that makes fabrics stain-resistant...Nano-Tex's Nano-Care product is more than just a coating that repels stains. It changes the fabric itself on a molecular level, embedding it with tiny, floppy, hair-like fibers that themselves are attached to a common spine. Just as hair keeps rain from penetrating a dog's coat, the "nano whiskers" in Nano-Care's chemical mix keeps stains from soaking into clothing. Spill a glass of Merlot on a white blouse made with Nano-Care and the wine beads up into harmless blobs. (Rutland Herald 12/29/03) http://rutlandherald.nybor.com/Business/Story/76515.html Tiny nanotube antennas may yield better signals in cell phones, televisions. In the future, your cell phone calls and television pictures could become a lot clearer thanks to tiny antennas thousands of times smaller than the width of a human hair. At least that's the speculation of a University of Southern California scientist who has been investigating nanotube transistors. The researcher has demonstrated for the first time that minuscule antennas, in the form of carbon nanotube transistors, can dramatically enhance the processing of electrical signals. (Eurekalert 12/30/03) http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2003-12/acs-na123003.php Can Art Make Nanotechnology Easier to Understand? The old adage "seeing is believing" hardly applies to nanoscience, which operates on a scale of atoms and molecules. So how do you make something so miniscule and abstract appear real to the ordinary eye? Why not through art? A new exhibition at the Los Angeles County Museum of Art, called "nano," merges the art and the atom. Through art-making exhibits, visitors can experience what it's like to move molecules and manipulate atoms one by one. (National Geographic 12/23/03) http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2003/12/1223_031223_nanotechnology.h tml#main Argonne researchers explore confinement of light with metal nanoparticles. Optical engineering has had a tremendous impact on our everyday lives, providing us with fiber optic communications and optical data storage. However, manipulating light on the nanoscale level can be a Herculean task, since the nanoscale level is so incredibly tiny - less than one tenth the wavelength of light. Researchers at Argonne National Laboratory are making strides towards understanding and manipulating light at the nanoscale by using the unusual optical properties of metal nanoparticles, opening the door to microscopic-sized devices such as optical circuits and switches. (Eurekalert 12/23/03) http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2003-12/dnl-are122303.php Extremely cold molecules created by Sandia and Columbia University researchers. Using a method usually more suitable to billiards than atomic physics, researchers from Sandia National Laboratories and Columbia University have created extremely cold molecules that could be used as the first step in creating Bose-Einstein molecular condensates. The work is published in the Dec. 12 Science. (Sandia 12/11/03) http://www.sandia.gov/news-center/news-releases/2003/physics-astron/cold.htm l Nanofabrication achieved on a biological substrate. Dip-pen nanolithography, a process being developed for ultrasmall feature definition on semiconductor ICs, may blaze new trails in medicine as well, if preliminary work reported at the fall meeting of the Materials Research Society can be turned into practical procedures. Albena Ivanisevic, a bioengineer at Purdue University's Bindley Bioscience Center (West Lafayette, Ind.), described a process in which amino acid-based nanostructures were assembled on retinal tissue. The structures might be useful to surgeons trying to correct blindness caused by macular degeneration. (EETimes 12/11/03) http://www.eet.com/at/n/news/OEG20031211S0028 Nanotechnology: What is there to fear from something so small? Next March, Mark Welland's laboratory at the University of Cambridge, UK, will gain an unusual member of staff. Welland's team works on nanometre-dimension wires and tubes that could form the future of electronics, but the new recruit won't be an engineer or a physicist - he or she will be a social scientist. The appointment - a two-year position that will include running regular meetings with everyone from industry representatives to green activists - acknowledges public fears about the possible effects of nanotechnology on human health and the environment. Although Welland may not subscribe to long-standing scare stories about a 'grey goo' of nanometre-sized robots taking over the planet, he realizes that scientists need to address this and other concerns head on. (Nature 12/18/03) http://www.nature.com/cgi-taf/DynaPage.taf?file=/nature/journal/v426/n6968/f ull/426750a_fs.html Israel's big plan for a tiny science...Now Shimon Peres, a winner of the Nobel Peace Prize and a former prime minister, is trying to ensure Israel's place in nanotechnology, the emerging science of matter measured in one-billionth of a meter...With that goal in mind, Peres, who turned 80 in September, and his son, Chemi Peres, a venture capitalist, are aiming to raise $300 million from American Jewish donors to ensure that Israel can become a global nanotechnology developer. Right now the Israeli government has about $150 million invested in nanotechnology research, according to Einat Wilf, managing director of the Israeli Nanotechnology Trust. (ContraCostaTimes 12/26/03) http://www.contracostatimes.com/mld/cctimes/business/7574247.htm UW receives $5M grant to link nanotech, medicine. The University of Washington will get about $5 million to support nanotechnology research as part of a $70 million nationwide grant. The National Science Foundation grant will establish a National Nanotechnology Infrastructure Network to assist research and education in nanoscale science, engineering and technology, said a UW statement. (Puget Sound Business journal 12/26/03) http://seattle.bizjournals.com/seattle/stories/2003/12/22/daily21.html (Computer Game) Review of Deus Ex: Invisible War for Xbox. The main character uses nanotechnology for special powers within the game plot.(GamePro.com) http://www.gamepro.com/microsoft/xbox/games/reviews/31870.shtml IBM's Millipede May Challenge Flash Memory. Some say The Information Age began with the invention of the PC. For others, it's the birth of the Internet, the development of the silicon chip or the global crisscrossing of fiber-optic cable that shifted our societal pivot from goods-production to information management. In a couple of years, IBM's Millipede data storage system might also enter the debate. (Forbes 12/24/03) http://www.forbes.com/2003/12/24/1224ibmpinnacor_ii.html?partner=my_yahoo&re ferrer= Viet Nam produces first nano material. Viet Nam has succeeded in making nano coal, the first material, based on nano technology, said Nguyen Chanh Khe, director of the Research and Development Center under the Saigon Hi-Tech Park (SHTP). (VietnamEconomy 1/3/04) http://www.vneconomy.com.vn/en_index.php?action=preview&cat=03&id=0312241032 55 Cardiff University is Creating Designer Molecules Against Cancer. Welsh researchers are working on developing ultrasmall nanoparticles to tackle breast and prostate cancers more effectively. It could allow higher doses of more toxic drugs to be used without fear that widespread damage to tissues will be caused. The work is being carried out by the recently established Centre for Polymer Therapeutics established within the Welsh school of Pharmacy at Cardiff under the direction of Professor Ruth Duncan. (Small Times 12/23/03) http://www.smalltimes.com/document_display.cfm?section_id=45&document_id=712 2 Zyvex Expands Nanomanipulation Product Line. Zyvex Corporation [profile] today announced the A100 Assembly System, a manipulation and assembly tool which can be used with either a scanning electron or optical microscope to assemble microscale components. "The A100 Assembly System represents a significant product line extension for Zyvex," said Robert Folaron, Director of Product Development at Zyvex. "Customers will not only benefit from Zyvex's industry leading nanomanipulation capabilities for assembling complex MEMS structures, but will also benefit from the microassembly techniques we've developed through our NIST-ATP program." (NanoInvestorNews 12/25/03) http://www.nanoinvestornews.com/modules.php?name=News&file=article&sid=2144 Light frozen in place. Researchers at Harvard University have trapped and held a light pulse still for a few hundredths of a millisecond. The experiment extends previous research that showed it is possible to store a light pulse by imprinting its characteristics into gas atoms, and to reconstitute the pulse using a second beam. The Harvard researchers went a step further by briefly holding the reconstituted light pulse in place. (TRN 12/31/03) http://www.trnmag.com/Stories/2003/123103/Light_frozen_in_place_123103.html Chemists Grow Nano Menagerie. Researchers from Sandia National Laboratories have found a simple way to make tiny, complicated shapes from zinc oxide, including arrays of vertically-aligned rods, flat disks, and columns that resemble stacks of coins. The researchers grew the structures, which are similar to those found in biomaterials, by seeding a solution with zinc oxide nanoparticles. They were able to produce different shapes by changing the amount of citrate in the solution at different points during particle growth. (Technology Review 12/24/03) http://www.technologyreview.com/articles/rnb_122403.asp TV series unravels the saga of 'DNA'. A half-century of science and all-too-human conflicts. James Watson, who rocked the human race a half-century ago by discovering the DNA molecule's double-helix structure, has only one complaint about "DNA," a documentary series in which he serves as the overarching presence. I wish they had shot it 20 years ago when I didn't look so old," the 75-year-old Watson says with a rueful laugh. "It's not the view I have of myself." Still, a big part of his view of himself - also clearly visible to the outside world - is that of someone who likes to rock the boat and create waves. And that part seems impervious to age. (MSNBC 12/31/03) http://msnbc.msn.com/Default.aspx?id=3848587&p1=0 2003: The Year of the Straw NanoMan. Ronald Bailey, in his very reasonable piece about the "growing peril" of a nanotechnology moratorium," asserts that anti-nano activists "cannot be lightly dismissed."I agree to a point, having made similar assertions myself, but after speaking and listening to a number of business and government leaders, I can't help but think that activists like Pat Mooney of the ETC Group might be the best thing that's happened to the nanotech industry. When it comes to the environmental debate, the handful of people who call for a moratorium on nano research conveniently play the role of the straw enemy of nanoprogress, since their pseudoscience can easily be attacked. That is what I was thinking as I listened to Phil Bond, the U.S. Commerce Department's undersecretary for technology, give an eloquent speech recently in Chicago. (Howard Lavoy's Nanobot 12/24/03) http://nanobot.blogspot.com/2003_12_21_nanobot_archive.html#1072287574695510 87 (Humor) Santa's speed? It must be gas. Scientists explain how Santa Claus zips around the world on Christmas Eve depositing presents without breaking the laws of physics. -Apparently Santa uses nanotechnology to turn cookies into toys!- (Herald 12/24/03) http://www.miami.com/mld/miamiherald/7561195.htm Happy New Year! Gina "Nanogirl" Miller Nanotechnology Industries http://www.nanoindustries.com Personal: http://www.nanogirl.com Foresight Senior Associate http://www.foresight.org Nanotechnology Advisor Extropy Institute http://www.extropy.org Tech-Aid Advisor http://www.tech-aid.info/t/all-about.html nanogirl at halcyon.com "Nanotechnology: Solutions for the future." From bradbury at aeiveos.com Fri Jan 2 23:59:08 2004 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 15:59:08 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Simulation Argument critique (was fermi's paradox:m/d approach) In-Reply-To: <20040102142253.6d7628cc.samantha@objectent.com> Message-ID: Harvey, Mike and others are discussing the possibility of sims and I think I see where there may be a misunderstanding. For example On Fri, 2 Jan 2004, Samantha Atkins wrote: > I don't get that argument. If we are in a simulation then our > science, used to study *what is* may be able to determine that fact. The point of misunderstanding may be whether or not we are discussing simulations of "this" universe (or something very close to this universe) and whether we could sim this universe from within this universe -- *or* whether we are within a sim of "a" universe which is simply one of many possible universes. Dyson may have been one of the first people to discuss why certain physical constants happen to be "just right" for this universe to work -- but I think others have discussed it and there may even now be a couple of books about it. So the question really seems to revolve around whether one wants to create universes similar to ones own (e.g. The Matrix series or The Truman Show or perhaps even Groundhog Day). Or whether one is playing "GOD" and universes (as we perceive them) are toys where one is simply saying "I wonder what happens when I change this?". If one creates a universe where intelligent life develops and and the physical laws don't form a complete picture (one could argue we have this now with quantum electrodynamics, gravity and string theory) then one is going to end up with some pretty frustrated subjects to study. (This is a psych experiment with very intelligent lab rats...). On the other hand if one is running sims to see if there is an alter-universe that might be created that one could somehow transfer into (because the mega-universe has a limited lifetime perhaps) then things may be a bit trickier. In that case one presumably wants the laws to hold together because one is planning on living in it. So one wants to run an unflawed simulation with as few corners cut as possible. Doesn't this relate to some degree to Permutation City? (which by now I've largely forgotten). Robert From thespike at earthlink.net Sat Jan 3 00:02:45 2004 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 18:02:45 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Nanogirl News~ References: <016701c3d186$e997ac00$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> <00c501c3d18a$24d05170$3f80e40c@NANOGIRL> Message-ID: <023c01c3d18c$ed8d6880$d6ef9a40@texas.net> < Viet Nam produces first nano material. Viet Nam has succeeded in making nano coal, the first material, based on nano technology, said Nguyen Chanh Khe, director of the Research and Development Center under the Saigon Hi-Tech Park (SHTP). (VietnamEconomy 1/3/04) http://www.vneconomy.com.vn/en_index.php?action=preview&cat=03&id=0312241032 55 > This will be very good news for those Brits still warming their frozen New Year fingers in front of the traditional coal fire. Nano coal is much lighter to carry home. On the down side, it's going to take a *tremendous* number of briquettes to build up a good blaze, and most of them are likely to blown straight up the chimney. Damien Broderick ["nano coal... is made from calcium carbide, coconut fiber or oil coal"] From bradbury at aeiveos.com Sat Jan 3 01:07:50 2004 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 17:07:50 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] ASTRO: A piece of the Universe Message-ID: For those of you who don't know Stardust has successfully passed through the halo of the comet Wild-2 and is on its way back home with some of the dust from which our Solar System was formed. More along with the closest picture of a comet I've ever seen are here: http://www.spacedaily.com/news/stardust-04d.html and more details are here: http://stardust.jpl.nasa.gov/ We will have to wait a couple of years to get our hands on the material but my hat is off to those folks at Lockheed who constructed the Stardust and the folks at Boeing who built the rocket that launched it and the folks at JPL that built some of the instruments). [If you know any of those folks Spike -- give them my best regards.] For those of you don't know -- Stardust had some camera problems with blurry vision early on in the mission -- the solution reminds me of... Harry: Come on! You're NASA for Christ's sake! You're the ones who come up with this shit! Why I bet you have a bunch of guys sitting around somewhere right now just thinking shit up, and somebody backing them up. What's your contingency plan? Truman: Our contingency plan? Harry: Yeah, your back up plan. You've gotta have a back up plan. Truman: No, we don't have a back up plan. Also -- as a frame of reference ~200 Lockheed engineers were involved in creating Stardust -- suggests one needs an Extropic community at least 10x but more probably between 100x and 1000x bigger than the current community if one is ever to hope to get lots of us out of harms way (be it asteroids, comets or luddites). Robert From spike66 at comcast.net Sat Jan 3 02:14:40 2004 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 18:14:40 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] that bad old internet In-Reply-To: <00d901c3d152$e7ac7b70$d2256bd5@artemis> Message-ID: <001c01c3d19f$58a576f0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > SDAs are, IMO, one of the most retard of Xian sects. > [Just thought I'd add that gratuitous religious insult to > round off the discussion... Dirk Be good to them Dirk, they may save your life some day. Follow me: A few weeks ago I referenced the hapless Baptists, who have a notion in their basic teachings that all goodness comes from god, therefore all legitimate ethical notions are found in the bible, therefore since slavery is not specifically forbidden in the bible, it must be OK. This is among other absurdities that follow from the flawed premise. The Seventh Day Adventist has a somewhat related situation. They have a long and specific list of taboos, revealed directly to the modern prophet Ellen G. White. But anything that is not on that forbidden list is allowed. Over the years I have witnessed a number of attempts to add new taboos to this long and specific list. I find it remarkable that *not one* of those attempts has been successful, not a single one. This has some interesting consequences, for the SDAs have a modern medical facility: Loma Linda University in southern Taxifornia. It is well known that if you have some wacky research idea, Loma Linda has a notoriously open-minded ethics board: they will allow anything that does not conflict with the previously mentioned long list of taboos. An example is the Baby Fae experiment that you may recall from the 1980s in which a baboon heart was transplanted into a human infant. Done at Loma Linda. There is nothing in the sacred texts that specifically forbid it. This read-my-lips-no-new-no-nos concept results in the Seventh Day Adventists being the *only* xian church (that I know of) that holds an official pro-choice stance. There are other churches that hold no position perhaps, but SDA stands alone in being officially and specifically pro-choice. Good for them. Cloning? Adventists stand alone among xian denominations as coming out officially in favor. Stem cell research? Sure. Genetic manipulation? The more the merrier, for they do this research with calm confidence, knowing that biblical and Ellen-White-ical prophecy says nothing about the world being devoured by goo of any color. The girl I dated before I met my wife is as staunch SDA as anyone you will ever meet. She got her PhD in biology from Purdue and is now a researcher in genetic engineering, with no cognitive dissonance whatsoever. Hey, the prophetess didn't say it was wrong, so it must be right. Right? Several of my computer science friends that went to SDA colleges were discussing artificial intelligence way back in the early 80s, before there was an extropian list or the internet. We even discussed the singularity, even tho we did not call it by that name. We speculated that computers would eventually reach human level intelligence and rewrite their own software, causing an open loop feedback system. Loma Linda University follows the tradition of SDA Doctor John Harvey Kellogg, the inventor of corn flakes and other vegetarian foods, who was always experimenting with new techniques to treat his patients. Dirk, if you or I get prostate cancer, we can go to Loma Linda to be treated in their proton accelerator, which painlessly radiates the tumor, leaving us able to copulate and not piss on ourselves. In my admittedly very limited statistical sample, the three prostate cancer patients I know personally who had their tumors cut out are all dead. The two I know personally who had their tumors irradiated at LLU are alive and well. Think about it. As for being the "most retard of the xian sects", I think the better adjective might be the most *retro* of the xians. This is understandable, for the 20th century was not supposed to happen, never mind the 21st. There are plenty of good SDAs that are in some ways retrogressing to the 19th century, for this century is not their home. In this at least, most of us here share their discomfort, for our extropian hearts and minds belong in the 22nd century. SDA is your friend, Dirk. spike From spike66 at comcast.net Sat Jan 3 02:29:57 2004 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 18:29:57 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] netscape news article In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <002101c3d1a1$7afce600$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Hey cool, check this. It isn't too late. {8-] spike http://channels.netscape.com/new/html/live/scoop/nn/10.html From jrd1415 at yahoo.com Sat Jan 3 02:32:34 2004 From: jrd1415 at yahoo.com (Jeff Davis) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 18:32:34 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Alert for Suspicious Farmers' Almanacs In-Reply-To: <20040102200935.27048.qmail@web80403.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20040103023234.98660.qmail@web41207.mail.yahoo.com> --- Samantha Atkins wrote: > Terrorism is so bloody loosely defined that saying > it is this or that category of crime is virtually > meaningless. Its definition is arbitrary so any > acts or purported acts or secretly accused acts may > be subject to whatever whim the authorities care to > exercise. The term "terrorism" is the purest of propaganda. It doesn't so much have a definition as it has a purpose. It's purpose is to demonize and delegitimize anyone who uses force to oppose the established order. It also seeks to obscure the underlying issues, the usually legitimate grievances which provoke violent opposition. As propaganda, the term "terrorism" presumptively convicts the "terrorists" as "evildoers"--defines them as such--using the targeting of "innocent civilians" as proof. But warfare is the ultimate incivility, which elevates victory to the highest moral good, allowing any tactic--"all's fair in love and war"--no matter how atrocious (to the other side, of course). if seen as a path to victory. The wanton destruction and deliberate killing of civilians--to which, by comparison, deaths from terrorism are but a speck--seems a feature of all modern wars, from all sides: Sherman's march to the sea, the Turks to the Armenians, the rape of Nanking, the London blitz, the firebombing of Dresden and Tokyo, the nuclear obliteration of H & N, the free-fire zones of the peasant farming villages of Vietnam and Laos, the Turks to the Kurds, Saddam to the Kurds, just to mention a few. Also the concept of the "innocent civilian" is a bit thin. There are very few 'neutral'--and in that sense 'innocent'--civilians. Farmers feed the troops. Factory workers build the weapons. Everyone who is a taxpayer pays for the implementation of foreign policy. As to little Billy and little Susie, just a few short years away from their own contribution to the death machine/war, better to exterminate them in their cribs than face their fully-developed productive capacity on the battlefield. The pragmatism of war is the ultimate psychosis. And leave us not forget that in a putatively democratic political system, the "governed" through their "consent", ie their vote, acquire a large degree of responsibility for the actions of their "public servants". In a democracy, everyone who votes for the perp, or who pays taxes (even given the gun to the head) loses any claim to innocence. But there's more. Beyond the deliberate, egregious, mass civilian slaughter, cynically shunted away from moral inspection (if committed by YOUR side), is the separate, the so-called 'justifiable' killing of civilians. Killings sanitized and made palatable (so long as it isn't YOUR loved one who is savaged indescribably) by the term "collateral damage". But what of the Geneva Convention, the so-called rules of war, as a moral metric for the conduct of war? Give me a break. Is that the smell of the turnip truck I detect wafting off your raiment? The Geneva Convention is a set of bogus 'limits' made by those with substantial military resources, to "outlaw" techniques of unconventional war-making which might be of use to adversaries of lesser military resources. There is only one rule in war: win. Best, Jeff Davis "For centuries our race has built on false assumptions. If you build a fantasy based on a false assumptions and continue to build on such a fantasy, your whole existence becomes a lie which you implant in others who are too lazy or too busy to question it's truth." - Michael Moorcock __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Find out what made the Top Yahoo! Searches of 2003 http://search.yahoo.com/top2003 From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Sat Jan 3 02:44:10 2004 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Sat, 3 Jan 2004 13:44:10 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] netscape news article References: <002101c3d1a1$7afce600$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <059601c3d1a3$7712c8a0$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Spike wrote: > Hey cool, check this. It isn't too late. {8-] spike > > http://channels.netscape.com/new/html/live/scoop/nn/10.html In silly moments I wonder if what might motivate calorie restricted critters to live longer is the single minded desire to live long enough to turn the tables on the specific rotter that put them on a starvation diet. Prob'ly not ;-) Brett From spike66 at comcast.net Sat Jan 3 02:40:01 2004 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 18:40:01 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] that bad old internet In-Reply-To: <001c01c3d19f$58a576f0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <002201c3d1a2$e2bf97a0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> spike: > But anything that is not on that forbidden list is allowed. > ... This read-my-lips-no-new-no-nos concept results in the Seventh Day > Adventists being the *only* xian church (that I know of) that holds an > official pro-choice stance... > Cloning? Adventists stand alone among xian denominations as > coming out officially in favor. Stem cell research? Sure. Genetic > manipulation? The more the merrier... spike I forgot an important one: cryonics. I have spoken to a number of SDAs, and never has any of them come up with any reason why cryonics should be discouraged. This is remarkable in that most xians feel that cryonics is in some way against their religion. In SDA, an intuition of wrongness counts for nothing. For something to be wrong, it must have a *specific* chapter and verse, and it cannot be vague or indirect. spike From dirk at neopax.com Sat Jan 3 02:42:54 2004 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Sat, 3 Jan 2004 02:42:54 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Alert for Suspicious Farmers' Almanacs References: <20040103023234.98660.qmail@web41207.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <03d001c3d1a3$49c02730$d2256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Jeff Davis" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Saturday, January 03, 2004 2:32 AM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Alert for Suspicious Farmers' Almanacs > --- Samantha Atkins wrote: > > > Terrorism is so bloody loosely defined that saying > > it is this or that category of crime is virtually > > meaningless. Its definition is arbitrary so any > > acts or purported acts or secretly accused acts may > > be subject to whatever whim the authorities care to > > exercise. > > The term "terrorism" is the purest of propaganda. It > doesn't so much have a definition as it has a purpose. > It's purpose is to demonize and delegitimize anyone > who uses force to oppose the established order. It > also seeks to obscure the underlying issues, the > usually legitimate grievances which provoke violent > opposition. Agreed - in general. However, I think a far better definition of 'terrorism' is the deliberate targetting of non-combatants for political purposes. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From dirk at neopax.com Sat Jan 3 02:44:41 2004 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Sat, 3 Jan 2004 02:44:41 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] netscape news article References: <002101c3d1a1$7afce600$6501a8c0@SHELLY> <059601c3d1a3$7712c8a0$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: <03d801c3d1a3$89f70e90$d2256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Brett Paatsch" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Saturday, January 03, 2004 2:44 AM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] netscape news article > Spike wrote: > > > Hey cool, check this. It isn't too late. {8-] spike > > > > http://channels.netscape.com/new/html/live/scoop/nn/10.html > > In silly moments I wonder if what might motivate calorie restricted > critters to live longer is the single minded desire to live long enough > to turn the tables on the specific rotter that put them on a starvation > diet. You don't even have to live longer to get the benefits. A lifetime of starvation will seem endless. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From extropy at unreasonable.com Sat Jan 3 02:47:37 2004 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Fri, 02 Jan 2004 21:47:37 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] fermi's paradox: m/d approach In-Reply-To: <000001c3d0ac$a5231d00$6501a8c0@SHELLY> References: <20040101185454.98001.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20040102205906.029b6008@mail.comcast.net> At 01:17 PM 1/1/2004 -0800, Spike wrote: >Even if we nuke ourselves into the stone age, recall that the stone age >lasted until only a few thousand years ago. Humans are tremendously >adaptable, and many already live in places that would not be worth a >nuke, should all the nuke capable powers let loose with all they have. >Africans would survive, Aborigines would survive, there would be pockets >of humanity everywhere that would carry on. The worst-case scenario with current or near-term technology is not nuclear, it is biological. A few months ago, I watched Dr. Ann Reid of the Armed Forces Institute of Pathology being interviewed on C-SPAN. (Disclosure: I *think* it was her; it could have been another woman researcher, with the CDC. Irrelevant to the discussion.) She was discussing the so-called Spanish Flu of 1918, which she has devoted her career to studying. You may recall that it was one of the worst pandemics in history, killing about 40 milllion people in a few months. Which is bad enough. I had always assumed that the epidemic had been self-limiting, as they generally are. The jaw-dropping part for me was when she reported the conclusion from their studies that, within ten years or so, everyone on the planet had been exposed to the virus. There was no place so remote that they did not detect indications the virus had reached there. So imagine something a little more virulent, perhaps engineered. We've been lucky so far, that bad stuff is self-limiting or some people have the right mix to be naturally immune. I'm not convinced it has to be that way, particularly if the agent has been designed to be nasty. This leads me to two thoughts pertinent to this discussion. (1) Your S/M brain could certainly result from AI. But the upload route to an S+M brain, anyway, seems to require a comparable understanding of biology as would be needed to create an extinction-class biological weapon. (2) I will sleep better at night when our DirtWorld life has spread to self-sufficient, biologically isolated backups. -- David Lubkin. From fauxever at sprynet.com Sat Jan 3 03:49:03 2004 From: fauxever at sprynet.com (Olga Bourlin) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 19:49:03 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Alert for Suspicious Farmers' Almanacs References: <20040103023234.98660.qmail@web41207.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <017001c3d1ac$8804c560$6600a8c0@brainiac> From: "Jeff Davis" [snip] > Also the concept of the "innocent civilian" is a bit > thin. There are very few 'neutral'--and in that sense > 'innocent'--civilians. Farmers feed the troops. > Factory workers build the weapons. Everyone who is a > taxpayer pays for the implementation of foreign > policy. [snip] > And leave us not forget that in a putatively > democratic political system, the "governed" through > their "consent", ie their vote, acquire a large degree > of responsibility for the actions of their "public > servants". In a democracy, everyone who votes for the > perp, or who pays taxes (even given the gun to the > head) loses any claim to innocence. Aaaah, yes, taxes: "The Republican Study Committee's Money Monitor keeps track of how Washington spends your money. And is Washington ever on a spending spree this year compared with last. "Here's year-to-date totals of net one-year costs of House-passed appropriations: Fiscal year 2003: $476,378,900,000.00 Fiscal year 2004: $873,990,730,000.00" Source: http://www.washtimes.com/national/inbeltway.htm Very good post, Jeff, thanks. Olga From neptune at superlink.net Sat Jan 3 04:41:35 2004 From: neptune at superlink.net (Technotranscendence) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 23:41:35 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] fermi's paradox: m/d approach References: <20040101185454.98001.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> <5.1.0.14.2.20040102205906.029b6008@mail.comcast.net> Message-ID: <005801c3d1b3$df8396c0$99cd5cd1@neptune> On Friday, January 02, 2004 9:47 PM David Lubkin extropy at unreasonable.com wrote: > (2) I will sleep better at night when our > DirtWorld life has spread to self-sufficient, > biologically isolated backups. Same here, though, of course, I mean "sleep" in the metaphorical sense. Cheers! Dan See "For a Free Frontier: The Case for Space Colonization" at: http://uweb.superlink.net/neptune/SpaceCol.html From spike66 at comcast.net Sat Jan 3 04:37:55 2004 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 20:37:55 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] random new years thoughts In-Reply-To: <059601c3d1a3$7712c8a0$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: <000001c3d1b3$5ba33680$6501a8c0@SHELLY> As I was reading a science site on today's comet fly-by and tomorrow's Mars landing, it occurred to me that most people on this backward planet are more interested in the competition aspect of tomorrow's landing than in the science: the yanks lost both our last two Mars landers in a most ignominious way, the Japanese lost theirs, the Europeans lost theirs. Now lets see if the yanks can get it right this time. We are cats. If you place a stuffed mouse in front of a cat, she will ignore it. Tie a string to the mouse and pull it across the floor, watch that cat pounce. Its just a cat's nature: she doesn't care about the actual mouse, she wants to ATTACK something. Its human nature: most people care little about Mars, they want to see whose team WINS the GAME. Hey, that got us to the moon. In this new year, let us be thankful both for what we have and what we do not have. I just got off the phone with a biker buddy who is having trouble with an inner-ear condition I had never heard of until he got it. It causes the rate sensor gyros in the ears to suddenly send erroneous signals to the brain. When the brain receives signals which disagree, it knows not which way is up. My friend can be walking down the hall and suddenly bump into the wall or weave and stagger like a drunkard. These attacks come on utterly without warning. He must sit down immediately, wherever he is, or risk falling to the floor. Problem: he isn't sure what would happen should this occur while he is on the bike, or worse still heeled way over in a high speed curve. He cannot go with us tomorrow. The guy is a worse fanatic than I am: he has six motorcycles, delectable pieces all. There is real fear that if he cannot get this condition under control he must call it a day on the old biking hobby. The poor chap was nearly in tears, and I was at a loss to find adequate words of comfort. I was sure it would get better soon and yakkity yak and bla bla, but in fact I am not sure at all: I know nada of this. Im a biker, not a doctor. Last week when that earthquake hit, I did not at first realize what it was, for the S wave was parallel to the load-bearing walls in my house. For that reason, the house did not creak as it normally does on such occasions, tipping me off to what was happening, and there was no rumble. The house merely swayed, messing up my equilibrium. My very first thought was OY VEY its that ear thing that Bill has, and now I won't be able to RIIIIIDE, holy SHIT, waaaaah! How shallow of me. Two women perished in Paso Robles from falling masonry. In another quake of nearly the same magnitude a few days later in Iran, 30,000 souls perished from falling stonework, and I was fretting over my PRECIOUS motorcycles. {8-[ May the singularity free us from the more untoward aspects of our human nature. Congratulations Stardust team! Good luck and evolutionspeed Spirit and Opportunity! Watch it live tomorrow on NOVA. {8-] spike From aperick at centurytel.net Sat Jan 3 03:38:21 2004 From: aperick at centurytel.net (rick) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 19:38:21 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Simulation Argument critique In-Reply-To: <200401022226.i02MQ0E26405@tick.javien.com> Message-ID: <000001c3d1ab$0a521470$0200a8c0@soy0450mhz> Harvey Newstrom wrote: >Imagine an infinite space one inch by one inch by infinity. Now imagine a space twice as large, one inch by two inches by infinity. Despite complaints about comparing infinities, it seems obvious that the second object can hold exactly two of the smaller objects. When comparing similar magnitudes or dimensions of infinities, it is possible to do math and compare them. /> Many things will/do seem obvious to many people. So called common sense has many times lead to error. My sense reckons that one infinite three dimensional space is volumetrically equivalent to any other infinite three dimensional space. And, I suggest that most math PhD's may agree??? But this paradox may only be the result of our having imagined the existence of a concept which lacks any physical referent. We have little or no evidence that anything can be infinite -- not if we accept the big bang. RE: the simulation conjecture: You'll just have to trust me on this one, but when I designed and built the system which implements the simulation that is currently running I only implemented a handful of sentient players -- myself, and a few of the other entities on this list (you each know who you are). So, the simulation only has to generate the sensory inputs and minds of we few -- a very small computational task indeed. I would tell the rest of you that you don't exist except as artificially intelligent sounding boards which lack self awareness but, of course, none of the rest of you exists to hear me :) ------------------------------------------------------------------- Rick Woolley, Certified Scientist Type, Confirmed Atheist, radical thinker, notorious fuck-up, and self-proclaimed singular authority on the abysmal depths of human stupidity that only we few lack. Happy Happy, Joy Joy. http://home.centurytel.net/rickw aperick at centurytel.net From riel at surriel.com Sat Jan 3 04:59:42 2004 From: riel at surriel.com (Rik van Riel) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 23:59:42 -0500 (EST) Subject: [extropy-chat] fermi's paradox: m/d approach In-Reply-To: <00c101c3d151$8bd0d0e0$d2256bd5@artemis> References: <000001c3d0ba$33f64d60$6501a8c0@SHELLY> <00c101c3d151$8bd0d0e0$d2256bd5@artemis> Message-ID: On Fri, 2 Jan 2004, Dirk Bruere wrote: > What would ET want from us? > Science is pretty much irrelevent. If the ET is intelligent, chances are it's also curious. Lets face it, what else could be the motivation to build an MBrain ? Rik -- "Debugging is twice as hard as writing the code in the first place. Therefore, if you write the code as cleverly as possible, you are, by definition, not smart enough to debug it." - Brian W. Kernighan From samantha at objectent.com Sat Jan 3 05:32:48 2004 From: samantha at objectent.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 21:32:48 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Simulation Argument critique (was fermi'sparadox:m/d approach) In-Reply-To: <016701c3d186$e997ac00$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> References: <20040102142253.6d7628cc.samantha@objectent.com> <016701c3d186$e997ac00$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <20040102213248.4c191a2a.samantha@objectent.com> On Fri, 2 Jan 2004 18:19:41 -0500 "Harvey Newstrom" wrote: > Samantha Atkins wrote, > > I don't get that argument. If we are in a simulation then > > our science, used to study *what is* may be able to determine > > that fact. It is a speculation about the overall nature of > > our universe. If your argument held then we should also > > include singularities like black holes from science. > > Actually, I agree with you. I was countering Mike's argument that science > doesn't hold in other universes. I said in that case, we can't call > speculation about these areas outside science "scientific". I was objecting > to using the claim that science doesn't work in some cases as part of the > scientfiic argument! I actually do agree that science can speculate about > what is outside our universe. But throwing out the requirements of science > is not part of scientific speculation. > > > It would be a pretty poor simulation if it did not follow > > well defined and consistent internal laws. From the point > > of view of beings within the simulation those laws are the > > "known physical laws". Within the simulation they are not > > in the least wrong. Nothing is possible except what the > > simulation (local reality) was designed to make possible > > unless something from outside interferes. There is no > > necessary rejection of science. > > I didn't say that it "couldn't" be true. But science doesn't lead to > speculatation about what "might" be true that we can't detect. That is more > properly the realm of religion. Science leads to explanations about what is > observed. If we haven't observed it and someone dreamed up the idea without > observation or evidence, this is religion, not science. Likewise, God might > be true. But discussions about God are religion, not science. Thinking creatures with imagination will certainly think about what "might be". From this "might be" thinking much of our philosophy and many of our scientific discoveries sprang. Science gives us the means of teasing out the truth from our "might be" scenarios. There are many things in science today that were not observed but were posited as "might be" explanations or even as pure thought experiments. A "might be" does not relegate its content to belonging to religion. I am surprised by the characterization. - s From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sat Jan 3 05:50:44 2004 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 21:50:44 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] FSP: NH Liberty Index Message-ID: <20040103055044.9457.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> As an advance in political intelligence, various FSP members have been researching the bills sponsored and passed by various NH legislators, and grading legislators, in both the House and Senate, as well as Governor Benson, on their practice of voting for liberty. This has resulted in the NH Liberty Index. http://lfod.org/2003/ I would highly recommend that libertarians in other states make similar efforts to publish evaluations of the pro-liberty performance of all state politicians in their own states, and that Pro-Act should formulate a similar index to evaluate the pro-extropy stance of national politicians, to allow pro-technology, pro-extropy individuals around the nation make more informed election decisions. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Find out what made the Top Yahoo! Searches of 2003 http://search.yahoo.com/top2003 From bradbury at aeiveos.com Sat Jan 3 06:38:13 2004 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 22:38:13 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] fermi's paradox: m/d approach In-Reply-To: Message-ID: On Fri, 2 Jan 2004, Rik van Riel wrote: > On Fri, 2 Jan 2004, Dirk Bruere wrote: > > > What would ET want from us? > > Science is pretty much irrelevent. > > If the ET is intelligent, chances are it's also curious. I'll keep repeating it until it sinks in... MBrains can have: - 100 billion telescopes the diameter of the moon (plenty of information to process) - The ability to simulate all human thought that has been done since Australopithecines in ~0.25 microseconds. (And that is probably conservative since it doesn't take into account the quality of thought of pre-modern humans or the population bottlenecks that humans probably went through.) [Figures are back-of-the envelope of course but provide a way of thinking about the scaling that most people simply fail to grasp.] You can satisfy your curiosity in significantly less time than it takes to go to lunch. > Lets face it, what else could be the motivation to build > an MBrain ? Figuring out how to survive? R. From spike66 at comcast.net Sat Jan 3 07:46:10 2004 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Fri, 2 Jan 2004 23:46:10 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] that bad old internet In-Reply-To: <002201c3d1a2$e2bf97a0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <000001c3d1cd$a7e37b30$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > > But anything that is not on that forbidden list is allowed... > I forgot an important one: cryonics... spike Oh yes, Loma Linda U broke the record for the oldest mother when Arceli Keh of Highland, CA gave birth on On November 7, 1996, at age 63 yr. 9 mo. after having fertility treatments at Loma Linda University Medical Center. Most fertilization specialists would refuse to even consider assisting such a risky pregnancy, but the open minded folks at LLU could find no rule forbidding it. My own mother is younger than that. It is hard for me to imagine her giving birth now, but the medical magicians at LLU made it happen for Mrs. Keh. They are good. And open minded. Great combination. {8-] spike From amara at amara.com Sat Jan 3 11:27:21 2004 From: amara at amara.com (Amara Graps) Date: Sat, 3 Jan 2004 13:27:21 +0200 Subject: [extropy-chat] Stardust update Message-ID: http://stardust.jpl.nasa.gov/news/status/040102.html MEDIA RELATIONS OFFICE JET PROPULSION LABORATORY CALIFORNIA INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY NATIONAL AERONAUTICS AND SPACE ADMINISTRATION PASADENA, CALIF. 91109. TELEPHONE (818) 354-5011 http://www.jpl.nasa.gov DC Agle (818) 393-9011 Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, Calif. Donald Savage (202) 358-1547 NASA Headquarters, Washington, D.C. News Release: 2004-001 January 2, 2003 NASA Spacecraft Makes Great Catch...Heads for Touchdown [Comet Wild 2 is shown in this image taken by the Stardust navigation camera during the spacecraft's closest approach to the comet on January 2. The image was taken within a distance of 500 kilometers (about 311 miles) of the comet's nucleus with a 10-millisecond exposure.] Team Stardust, NASA's first dedicated sample return mission to a comet, passed a huge milestone today by successfully navigating through the particle and gas-laden coma around comet Wild 2 (pronounced "Vilt-2"). During the hazardous traverse, the spacecraft flew within 240 kilometers (149 miles) of the comet, catching samples of comet particles and scoring detailed pictures of Wild 2's pockmarked surface. "Things couldn't have worked better in a fairy tale," said Tom Duxbury, Stardust project manager at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, Calif. "These images are better than we had hoped for in our wildest dreams," said Ray Newburn of JPL, a co-investigator for Stardust. "They will help us better understand the mechanisms that drive conditions on comets." "These are the best pictures ever taken of a comet," said Principal Investigator Dr. Don Brownlee of the University of Washington, Seattle. "Although Stardust was designed to be a comet sample return mission, the fantastic details shown in these images greatly exceed our expectations." The collected particles, stowed in a sample return capsule onboard Stardust, will be returned to Earth for in-depth analysis. That dramatic event will occur on January 15, 2006, when the capsule makes a soft landing at the U.S. Air Force Utah Test and Training Range. The microscopic particle samples of comet and interstellar dust collected by Stardust will be taken to the planetary material curatorial facility at NASA's Johnson Space Center, Houston, Texas, for analysis. Stardust has traveled about 3.22 billion kilometers (2 billion miles) since its launch on February 7, 1999. As it closed the final gap with its cometary quarry, it endured a bombardment of particles surrounding the nucleus of comet Wild 2. To protect Stardust against the blast of expected cometary particles and rocks, the spacecraft rotated so it was flying in the shadow of its "Whipple Shields." The shields are named for American astronomer Dr. Fred L. Whipple, who, in the 1950s, came up with the idea of shielding spacecraft from high-speed collisions with the bits and pieces ejected from comets. The system includes two bumpers at the front of the spacecraft -- which protect Stardust's solar panels -- and another shield protecting the main spacecraft body. Each shield is built around composite panels designed to disperse particles as they impact, augmented by blankets of a ceramic cloth called Nextel that further dissipate and spread particle debris. "Everything occurred pretty much to the minute," said Duxbury. "And with our cometary encounter complete, we invite everybody to tune in about one million, 71 thousand minutes from now when Stardust returns to Earth, bringing with it the first comet samples in the history of space exploration." Scientists believe in-depth terrestrial analysis of the samples will reveal much about comets and the earliest history of the solar system. Chemical and physical information locked within the cometary particles could be the record of the formation of the planets and the materials from which they were made. More information on the Stardust mission is available at http://stardust.jpl.nasa.gov . Stardust, a part of NASA's Discovery Program of low-cost, highly focused science missions, was built by Lockheed Martin Space Systems, Denver, Colo., and is managed by JPL for NASA's Office of Space Science, Washington, D.C. JPL is a division of the California Institute of Technology in Pasadena. ------------------------------------------------------------------------ -- ******************************************************************** Amara Graps, PhD email: amara at amara.com Computational Physics vita: ftp://ftp.amara.com/pub/resume.txt Multiplex Answers URL: http://www.amara.com/ ******************************************************************** "We don't see things as they are, we see them as we are." --Anais Nin From amara at amara.com Sat Jan 3 11:50:17 2004 From: amara at amara.com (Amara Graps) Date: Sat, 3 Jan 2004 13:50:17 +0200 Subject: [extropy-chat] ASTRO: A piece of the Universe Message-ID: Robert Bradbury: >Also -- as a frame of reference ~200 Lockheed engineers >were involved in creating Stardust -- Don't forget the scientific component of the mission too (another few hundred, I would guess). A significant proportion of the dust community have been involved with this mission. >the solution reminds me of... >Harry: Come on! You're NASA for Christ's sake! >You're the ones who come up with this shit! >Why I bet you have a bunch of guys sitting >around somewhere right now just thinking shit up, >and somebody backing them up. >What's your contingency plan? >Truman: Our contingency plan? >Harry: Yeah, your back up plan. You've gotta have a back up plan. >Truman: No, we don't have a back up plan. I suggest to keep a close watch on Rosetta. ESA lost their opportunity to launch it on a Russian Proton rocket (ESA deemed it too 'risky' with the fuel transfer), leaving them with the same risky Ariane 5 plan as before and a new, much dustier target comet. The launch window opens on February 26. No backup plan, and a very real possibility of ten years of developing, planning, building with ~thousand scientists and engineers being scrapped. Amara -- *********************************************************************** Amara Graps, PhD Istituto di Fisica dello Spazio Interplanetario, INAF - ARTOV, Via del Fosso del Cavaliere, 100, I-00133 Roma, ITALIA tel: +39-06-4993-4375 |fax: +39-06-4993-4383 Amara.Graps at ifsi.rm.cnr.it | http://www.mpi-hd.mpg.de/dustgroup/~graps ************************************************************************ I'M SIGNIFICANT!...screamed the dust speck. -- Calvin From puglisi at arcetri.astro.it Sat Jan 3 15:00:30 2004 From: puglisi at arcetri.astro.it (Alfio Puglisi) Date: Sat, 3 Jan 2004 16:00:30 +0100 (CET) Subject: [extropy-chat] random new years thoughts In-Reply-To: <000001c3d1b3$5ba33680$6501a8c0@SHELLY> References: <000001c3d1b3$5ba33680$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: On Fri, 2 Jan 2004, Spike wrote: >As I was reading a science site on today's comet fly-by and tomorrow's >Mars landing, it occurred to me that most people on this backward planet >are more interested in the competition aspect of tomorrow's landing than >in the science: the yanks lost both our last two Mars landers in a most >ignominious way, the Japanese lost theirs, the Europeans lost theirs. >Now lets see if the yanks can get it right this time. I'm not interested in the competition aspect in the least, and will gladly cheer for the yankee probe it it makes it. On a side note, I have suspects that the failing of the Beagle2 is some oscure punishment to the UK for sending the Blur song on Mars, and repeating that on *every* news release. Oh please. Alfio From mark at permanentend.org Sat Jan 3 16:07:48 2004 From: mark at permanentend.org (Mark Walker) Date: Sat, 3 Jan 2004 11:07:48 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality Message-ID: <003901c3d213$bbf6ef80$2ee4f418@markcomputer> In case anyone is interested, I have a first draft of a paper on physical immortality. http://www.permanentend.org/immortality.html It was written rather rapidly over the holiday season and so it suffers a little from WUI (writing under the influence). As always, comments are appreciated. The abstract is below: Abstract: Killing mortal humans is wrong primarily because it inflicts upon individuals one of the greatest losses they can experience: the loss of their future. It is argued that this same analysis applies to those who would deny access to life extension technology. To deny access to radical life extension technology?technology that would greatly extend or permit physical immortality?is wrong primarily because it inflicts upon those who desire this technology one of the greatest losses they can experience: the loss of their future. Recognition of this loss makes a strong presumptive case for the moral impermissibility of prohibiting access to radical life extension technology. Cheers, Mark Mark Walker, PhD Research Associate, Philosophy, Trinity College University of Toronto Room 214 Gerald Larkin Building 15 Devonshire Place Toronto M5S 1H8 www.permanentend.org From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Sat Jan 3 16:39:17 2004 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Sat, 3 Jan 2004 11:39:17 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Simulation Argument critique (wasfermi'sparadox:m/d approach) In-Reply-To: <20040102213248.4c191a2a.samantha@objectent.com> Message-ID: <018a01c3d218$26d04fa0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Samantha Atkins wrote, > There are many things in science > today that were not observed but were posited as "might be" > explanations or even as pure thought experiments. A "might > be" does not relegate its content to belonging to religion. > I am surprised by the characterization. That doesn't make it science. If anyone ever develops a scientific theory, scientific proof, scientific investigation, scientific explanation or anything using the scientific method relating to the Simulation Argument, then it might become science. Right now it is a religious belief, a fantasy story or maybe even a philosophical musing. It seems that most people here don't have a good definition for what is science or not. Arguing that it "might be true" or "hasn't been disproved" doesn't make it science any more than "Creation Science" is science. The simulation argument is almost identical to the creation science argument. Instead of evolving by itself, the universe was created mid-stream with history already in place, and an external entity directing its actions. We cannot detect that the history of carbon-dating or old light from other stars was simulated by God instead of really coming from those stars. This makes much of the Creation Science universe a simulation. The intervention by God sometimes is like tweaking of the simulation. I don't see how anybody can believe in the simulation argument without believing in most religions. I don't see how anybody can claim the simulation argument is science without including most religions as science. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From neptune at superlink.net Sat Jan 3 18:21:34 2004 From: neptune at superlink.net (Technotranscendence) Date: Sat, 3 Jan 2004 13:21:34 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] fermi's paradox: m/d approach Message-ID: <005601c3d226$6c7b0e60$b0cd5cd1@neptune> On atlantis_II, Dennis May responded to Spike's post with the following. (To find out more about atlantis_II, see http://groups.yahoo.com/group/atlantis_II/ ) Enjoy! Dan http://uweb.superlink.net/neptune/ From: Dennis May To: Sent: Saturday, January 03, 2004 11:26 AM Subject: [atlantis_II] Re: fermi's paradox: m/d approach: cross-post from Extropians Daniel Ust forwards from Spike at [extropy-chat]: "...we aren't worth the mass to send us signals. I will call this argument the M/D approach to Fermi's paradox." A civilization worth uncountable trillions of dollars but the cost of an interstellar cell-phone is too much? Spike wrote: "Today there is no convincing mechanism that would cause technological progress to stop. Gray goo is something to worry about, but nature has had billions of years to stumble upon it." Gray goo has to obey the same thermodynamic and chemical laws as living creatures. Some of the capabilities ascribed to gray goo have ignored these laws. In any case gray goo has to compete for resources and avoid predators/parasites just like anyone else. Paisley goo is sure to run them out of many niches :-). Nano-bacteria exist at the borderline of what is too small to be alive - and might not be life but simply the remains. Can gray-goo exist with even smaller parasites eating off of it? Spike wrote: "This is my contention: that artificial intelligence wants to THINK. It lives to think. It is smart enough to make things happen: it knows how to build things. If it likes to think, then it wants to get all the available material thinking, so it builds an MBrain. It gathers all the metals in orbit about the star and converts it all to whatever form maximizes thought." Not a very smart brain if it wants to put all its resources into one place - ready to be destroyed by WoMD. What is to be gained by having a massive brain? Is anything of survival value added beyond a certain size? Spike wrote: "Energy from the star can be allowed to escape, wasted, lost forever into the cosmos, for there is plenty of that. But time cannot be wasted, for heat death is coming to all." If you believe in a model of thermodynamics including the "Big Bang Theory". I do not. I support the WoMD cause of the Fermi Paradox. Stealth, mobility, and dispersion are the secrets to survival with space WoMD. Advertise your presence and expose yourself to WoMD. Dennis May From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sat Jan 3 19:33:32 2004 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sat, 3 Jan 2004 11:33:32 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality In-Reply-To: <003901c3d213$bbf6ef80$2ee4f418@markcomputer> Message-ID: <20040103193332.82096.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> --- Mark Walker wrote: > In case anyone is interested, I have a first draft of a paper on > physical immortality. http://www.permanentend.org/immortality.html > It was written rather rapidly over the holiday season and so it > suffers a little from WUI (writing under the influence). > As always, comments are appreciated. The abstract is below: > > Abstract: Killing mortal humans is wrong primarily because it > inflicts upon individuals one of the greatest losses they can > experience: the loss of their future. It is argued that this > same analysis applies to those who would deny access to life > extension technology. To deny access to radical life extension > technology?technology that would greatly extend or permit physical > immortality?is wrong primarily because it inflicts upon those who > desire this technology one of the greatest losses they can > experience: the loss of their future. Recognition of this loss > makes a strong presumptive case for the moral impermissibility of > prohibiting access to radical life extension technology. Contradiction: killing humans who would otherwise prevent others from gaining access to radical life extension technology, to such a degree as to cause death. Is it wrong to kill such humans or not? ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Find out what made the Top Yahoo! Searches of 2003 http://search.yahoo.com/top2003 From neptune at superlink.net Sat Jan 3 19:43:19 2004 From: neptune at superlink.net (Technotranscendence) Date: Sat, 3 Jan 2004 14:43:19 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Simulation Argument critique(wasfermi'sparadox:m/d approach) References: <018a01c3d218$26d04fa0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <006301c3d231$d7ffc580$70ce5cd1@neptune> On Saturday, January 03, 2004 11:39 AM Harvey Newstrom mail at HarveyNewstrom.com wrote: >> There are many things in science >> today that were not observed but >> were posited as "might be" >> explanations or even as pure >> thought experiments. A "might >> be" does not relegate its content >> to belonging to religion. I am >> surprised by the characterization. > > That doesn't make it science. If > anyone ever develops a scientific theory, > scientific proof, scientific investigation, > scientific explanation or anything using > the scientific method relating to the > Simulation Argument, then it might > become science. I agree with you here. Of course, I read Samatha as trying to be open-minded not anti-scientific. > Right now it is a religious belief, a fantasy > story or maybe even a philosophical > musing. It seems that most people here > don't have a good definition for what is > science or not. Arguing that it "might be > true" or "hasn't been disproved" doesn't > make it science any more than "Creation > Science" is science. Granted. > The simulation argument is almost > identical to the creation science > argument. Instead of evolving by > itself, the universe was created > mid-stream with history already in > place, and an external entity directing > its actions. We cannot detect that > the history of carbon-dating or old > light from other stars was simulated > by God instead of really coming from > those stars. This makes much of the > Creation Science universe a simulation. > The intervention by God sometimes > is like tweaking of the simulation. > > I don't see how anybody can believe > in the simulation argument without > believing in most religions. I don't > see how anybody can claim the > simulation argument is science > without including most religions as > science. I would reword that last paragraph because I distinguish between belief and justification. You might believe something to be the case -- e.g., we are living in a simulation or the Bible is literally true -- but be unable to justify it in terms of logic, coherence, or experience. (Also, granted, something might be true but the justification for it might be invalid. Someone might believe, e.g., that the Earth is round (true) because people walking on it molded it into that shape (wrong).) I bring up this distinction because there are so many things anyone believes that one has not validated in any meaningful way. Some of those beliefs might be validated or invalidated when one gets into a bind -- such as when there's someone who disagrees with the belief or when one finds some contradiction between the belief and other beliefs one holds. However, I doubt anyone has done this with each and every belief she or he has. Each person's totality of beliefs is much too big for that. Instead, I kind of adopt Pierce's model -- IIRC, maybe it was Dewey; it was one of the pragmatists:) -- of rationally reconstructing beliefs. You work on them piecemeal, slowing changing the totality, but not all at once. I believe -- no pun intended:) -- the practical thing is usually to change those beliefs that cause the most immediate trouble... Cheers! Dan http://uweb.superlink.net/neptune/ From thespike at earthlink.net Sat Jan 3 20:00:51 2004 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Sat, 3 Jan 2004 14:00:51 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Heinlein merriment References: <000001c3d1b3$5ba33680$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <001c01c3d234$4c30ba20$a4994a43@texas.net> Public libraries are wonderful. Here's a San Antonio catalogue entry: Title For us, the living : a comedy of customs / by Robert A. Heinlein ; with an introduction by Spider Robinson ; and an afterword by Robert James. Author Heinlein, Robert A. (Robert Anson), 1907- Call Number SCIENCE FICTION HEINLEIN Publisher New York : Scribner, c2004. Description xvii, 263 p. ; 24 m. Subject(s) Traffic accident victims Fiction. From dirk at neopax.com Sat Jan 3 20:04:22 2004 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Sat, 3 Jan 2004 20:04:22 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] fermi's paradox: m/d approach References: Message-ID: <00ac01c3d234$c7d7b200$d2256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Robert J. Bradbury" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Saturday, January 03, 2004 6:38 AM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] fermi's paradox: m/d approach > > > On Fri, 2 Jan 2004, Rik van Riel wrote: > > > On Fri, 2 Jan 2004, Dirk Bruere wrote: > > > > > What would ET want from us? > > > Science is pretty much irrelevent. > > > > If the ET is intelligent, chances are it's also curious. > > I'll keep repeating it until it sinks in... > MBrains can have: > - 100 billion telescopes the diameter of the moon > (plenty of information to process) > - The ability to simulate all human thought that has been > done since Australopithecines in ~0.25 microseconds. > (And that is probably conservative since it doesn't > take into account the quality of thought of pre-modern > humans or the population bottlenecks that humans > probably went through.) > > [Figures are back-of-the envelope of course but provide > a way of thinking about the scaling that most people > simply fail to grasp.] > > You can satisfy your curiosity in significantly less > time than it takes to go to lunch. Which is why we are being left alone until we become interesting. And 'interesting' does not refer to universally discoverable things. > > Lets face it, what else could be the motivation to build > > an MBrain ? > > Figuring out how to survive? Surviving other MBrains most likely. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From dirk at neopax.com Sat Jan 3 20:05:06 2004 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Sat, 3 Jan 2004 20:05:06 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] fermi's paradox: m/d approach References: <000001c3d0ba$33f64d60$6501a8c0@SHELLY><00c101c3d151$8bd0d0e0$d2256bd5@artemis> Message-ID: <00b201c3d234$e22761f0$d2256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Rik van Riel" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Saturday, January 03, 2004 4:59 AM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] fermi's paradox: m/d approach > On Fri, 2 Jan 2004, Dirk Bruere wrote: > > > What would ET want from us? > > Science is pretty much irrelevent. > > If the ET is intelligent, chances are it's also curious. > > Lets face it, what else could be the motivation to build > an MBrain ? The only area we know of that is truly infinite in scope is mathematics. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Sat Jan 3 23:02:02 2004 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Sat, 3 Jan 2004 18:02:02 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality In-Reply-To: <20040103193332.82096.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <01ad01c3d24d$99dbcee0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Mike Lorrey wrote, > Contradiction: killing humans who would otherwise prevent > others from gaining access to radical life extension > technology, to such a degree as to cause death. Is it wrong > to kill such humans or not? I think this is obviously wrong. This is a classic example of choosing the lesser of two evils. Both choices are evil. Choosing the lesser evil is still evil. I think it confuses the issue to compare them and say that the lesser evil is "good" compared to the worse evil. I think it makes more sense to clearly state that they are both evil. The question of whether we should choose the lesser of two evils depends on there not being any other possibilities. But how do you prove a negative? I think it can never be proven that there is not a better alternative and that we have to choose one of these evils. We can contrive more complicated scenarios with specific time-limits and artificial constraints, but these seem further and further removed from reality the more we simplify them. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From dirk at neopax.com Sat Jan 3 23:13:50 2004 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Sat, 3 Jan 2004 23:13:50 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality References: <01ad01c3d24d$99dbcee0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <015001c3d24f$3fc79680$d2256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Harvey Newstrom" To: "'ExI chat list'" Sent: Saturday, January 03, 2004 11:02 PM Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality > Mike Lorrey wrote, > > Contradiction: killing humans who would otherwise prevent > > others from gaining access to radical life extension > > technology, to such a degree as to cause death. Is it wrong > > to kill such humans or not? > > I think this is obviously wrong. This is a classic example of choosing the > lesser of two evils. Both choices are evil. Choosing the lesser evil is > still evil. I think it confuses the issue to compare them and say that the > lesser evil is "good" compared to the worse evil. I think it makes more > sense to clearly state that they are both evil. > > The question of whether we should choose the lesser of two evils depends on > there not being any other possibilities. But how do you prove a negative? > I think it can never be proven that there is not a better alternative and > that we have to choose one of these evils. We can contrive more complicated > scenarios with specific time-limits and artificial constraints, but these > seem further and further removed from reality the more we simplify them. Another problem is defining what is meant by 'prevent'. Does it mean speaking against? Speaking against pursuasively? Legislating against in a democracy? If any of the above you are talking about justifying terrorism and oppression. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From bradbury at aeiveos.com Sat Jan 3 23:17:40 2004 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Sat, 3 Jan 2004 15:17:40 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Simulation Argument critique (wasfermi'sparadox:m/d approach) In-Reply-To: <018a01c3d218$26d04fa0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: On Sat, 3 Jan 2004, Harvey Newstrom wrote: > I don't see how anybody can believe in the simulation argument without > believing in most religions. I don't see how anybody can claim the > simulation argument is science without including most religions as science. How about these reasons: 1) In a SIM you might be able to bend the reality. In most religions you can't. 2) In a SIM you might escape from the reality. In most religions you can't change the rules. 3) In a SIM you might be able to detect you are in a SIM (e.g. The Truman Show). In most religions by assertion this is impossible (i.e. you can never tell that the God(s) are frauds). Now interestingly this would seem to put string & brane theory in the category of religions (from Harvey's perspective I think) because they can probably never be tested. I think this leads into some very very subtle distinctions, e.g.: a) What can never be proven; b) What can be proven only by mathematics; c) What can be proven only by mathematics with certain assumptions; d) What can be proven by experiment. Feel free to throw stones -- I'm just thinking out loud and have some other emails that require attention. :-) R. From bradbury at aeiveos.com Sat Jan 3 23:21:08 2004 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Sat, 3 Jan 2004 15:21:08 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Simulation Argument critique(wasfermi'sparadox:m/d approach) In-Reply-To: <006301c3d231$d7ffc580$70ce5cd1@neptune> Message-ID: On Sat, 3 Jan 2004, Technotranscendence wrote: > I believe -- no pun intended:) -- the practical thing is > usually to change those beliefs that cause the most immediate trouble... Daniel, these are words of wisdom. Jeff, you should add this to your list of sig quotes! R. From dirk at neopax.com Sat Jan 3 23:32:42 2004 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Sat, 3 Jan 2004 23:32:42 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Simulation Argument critique(wasfermi'sparadox:m/dapproach) References: Message-ID: <015d01c3d251$e2718420$d2256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Robert J. Bradbury" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Saturday, January 03, 2004 11:21 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Simulation Argument critique(wasfermi'sparadox:m/dapproach) > > > On Sat, 3 Jan 2004, Technotranscendence wrote: > > > I believe -- no pun intended:) -- the practical thing is > > usually to change those beliefs that cause the most immediate trouble... > > Daniel, these are words of wisdom. Jeff, you should add this > to your list of sig quotes! And eliminate progress. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From bradbury at aeiveos.com Sat Jan 3 23:33:35 2004 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Sat, 3 Jan 2004 15:33:35 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] fermi's paradox: m/d approach In-Reply-To: <00ac01c3d234$c7d7b200$d2256bd5@artemis> Message-ID: On Sat, 3 Jan 2004, Dirk Bruere wrote: > > > Lets face it, what else could be the motivation to build > > > an MBrain ? > > > > Figuring out how to survive? > > Surviving other MBrains most likely. Probably not. I was thinking in terms of individuals wanting to build a large enough distributed intelligence that it would be impossible for natural hazards to destroy their mind. If MBrains have disputes they probably have to be settled by hurling black holes across interstellar distances at great expense -- one isn't going to bother with that unless one is really convinced that another MBrain's survival in some way seriously threatens your own survival. If you are both faced with the ultimate threat of the decay of all the protons in the universe it might be better to pool resources and determine whether there is a way out. If there isn't a way out -- well being at the top of the heap as it all goes "poof" isn't very satisfying. Robert From dirk at neopax.com Sat Jan 3 23:34:25 2004 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Sat, 3 Jan 2004 23:34:25 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Simulation Argument critique(wasfermi'sparadox:m/d approach) References: <018a01c3d218$26d04fa0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <016501c3d252$1f90f250$d2256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Harvey Newstrom" To: "'ExI chat list'" Sent: Saturday, January 03, 2004 4:39 PM Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] Simulation Argument critique(wasfermi'sparadox:m/d approach) > Samantha Atkins wrote, > > There are many things in science > > today that were not observed but were posited as "might be" > > explanations or even as pure thought experiments. A "might > > be" does not relegate its content to belonging to religion. > > I am surprised by the characterization. > > That doesn't make it science. If anyone ever develops a scientific theory, > scientific proof, scientific investigation, scientific explanation or > anything using the scientific method relating to the Simulation Argument, > then it might become science. Right now it is a religious belief, a fantasy > story or maybe even a philosophical musing. It seems that most people here > don't have a good definition for what is science or not. Arguing that it > "might be true" or "hasn't been disproved" doesn't make it science any more > than "Creation Science" is science. The only question worth asking to determine whether it is scientific is 'Is it falsifiable?' Nobody knows. A bit like the Many Worlds Hypothesis of QM at present. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Sun Jan 4 00:10:57 2004 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Sat, 3 Jan 2004 19:10:57 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Simulation Argument critique (wasfermi'sparadox:m/dapproach) In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <01af01c3d257$3a512510$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Robert J. Bradbury wrote, > On Sat, 3 Jan 2004, Harvey Newstrom wrote: > > > I don't see how anybody can believe in the simulation argument without > > believing in most religions. I don't see how anybody can claim the > > simulation argument is science without including most religions as > > science. > > How about these reasons: > 1) In a SIM you might be able to bend the reality. In most religions > you can't. > 2) In a SIM you might escape from the reality. In most religions > you can't change the rules. > 3) In a SIM you might be able to detect you are in a SIM (e.g. The > Truman Show). In most religions by assertion this is impossible > (i.e. you can never tell that the God(s) are frauds). I do not understand this response. Are you saying that you believe in a SIM and not in religions because you prefer the SIM outcomes? Are you saying that neither has more scientific evidence, but you choose one over the other because of your personal preferences for what you hope to be true? Is this an explanation for what you call "science" and what you call "religion"? Or are you answering some other question? > Now interestingly this would seem to put string & brane > theory in the category of religions (from Harvey's > perspective I think) because they can probably never be > tested. I think this leads into some very very subtle > distinctions, e.g.: > a) What can never be proven; > b) What can be proven only by mathematics; > c) What can be proven only by mathematics with certain assumptions; > d) What can be proven by experiment. > > Feel free to throw stones -- I'm just thinking out loud and > have some other emails that require attention. I agree with this hierarchy. I someone who believes in "a" believes in a religion. Someone who believes in "d" is a scientist. Someone who believes in "b" or "c" is a theoretician. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From neptune at superlink.net Sun Jan 4 00:38:20 2004 From: neptune at superlink.net (Technotranscendence) Date: Sat, 3 Jan 2004 19:38:20 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality References: <01ad01c3d24d$99dbcee0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> <015001c3d24f$3fc79680$d2256bd5@artemis> Message-ID: <00de01c3d25b$0e2887e0$afcd5cd1@neptune> On Saturday, January 03, 2004 6:13 PM Dirk Bruere dirk at neopax.com wrote: > Another problem is defining what is meant by 'prevent'. > Does it mean speaking against? > Speaking against pursuasively? > Legislating against in a democracy? > If any of the above you are talking about > justifying terrorism and oppression. I haven't read Mark's essay, but just from reading this thread, I fear some might interpret it very broadly to mean even such things as not subsidizing other people's life extension program. For strict egalitarians, this might mean my failure to fund everyone else's life extension program constitutes my "deny[ing them] access to radical life extension technology." I would hope that's not what Mark intended, but I can imagine others taking the argument in that direction. However, I disagree with you [Dirk] here about the last instance. Legislating against something usually means initiating force. Once a person or a group has initiated force, retaliating against such is not "terrorism and oppression" per se, but a just response -- depending on it being justly carried out. I mean here that if the government of, say, Ruritania outlaws supplements, it is not wrong for Ruritanian life extensionists to disobey that law. However, it would be wrong to, say, bomb Ruritania's whole population. Specific acts against Ruritanian legislators and law enforcement agents, though, might not be un-libertarian and would have to measured against their justness and their likely consequences. To drive this point home, imagine CPR were outlawed in Ruritania. Would not the Ruritanian government be the one using "terrorism and oppression" in this case against people needing CPR, their relatives, their friends, EMTs, etc.? Or is any act by a democratic government okay? Cheers! Dan See "For a Free Frontier: The Case for Space Colonization" at: http://uweb.superlink.net/neptune/SpaceCol.html From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Sun Jan 4 01:02:54 2004 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Sun, 4 Jan 2004 12:02:54 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality References: <003901c3d213$bbf6ef80$2ee4f418@markcomputer> Message-ID: <009001c3d25e$7c303a00$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Mark Walker wrote: > In case anyone is interested, I have a first draft of a paper > on physical immortality. http://www.permanentend.org/immortality.html Good the more the merrier. I am sorry I haven't the time to go to the whole paper. You posted the abstract so I'll respond with an impression on the abstract. >The abstract is below: >Abstract: Killing mortal humans is wrong primarily because > it inflicts upon individuals one of the greatest losses they can > experience: the loss of their future. Hmm. I guess it could reduce down to that but if so thats unfortunate as a logical case might be based on it but not a widely resonately compelling one I suspect. You'd have just a narrow but perhaps valid case of interest to a relatively small audience, is my impression. > It is argued that this same analysis applies to those who > would deny access to life extension technology. Ok > To deny access to radical life extension technology?technology > that would greatly extend or permit physical immortality > ?is wrong primarily because it inflicts upon those who > desire this technology one of the greatest losses they can > experience: the loss of their future. Looks like a suboptimal moral argument to run. Why not run instead: On what basis does *any* human individual *presume* to *ration* the lifespan of any other human individual? Religious? Economic? Bizarre utilitarian where nonexistent or potential beings are weighted against actual ones in a calculus that balances imaginary against real? - If so then more rope for the opponent please! :-) A lot of good existing moral arguments can be enlisted in the service of challenging those who would presume to ration others lives. > Recognition of this loss makes a strong presumptive case > for the moral impermissibility of prohibiting access to radical > life extension technology. Life extension technology is fuzzy stuff to most people. Where does something like penicillin or gm food grown in poor farmland fit in for instance - these could be life extension technologies. I much prefer scenarios where those who would argue the merits of death are more closely revealed for what they are trying to do - that is ration other peoples lives based on their own worldview. I prefer to see them (Kass etc) have to make their case with the world looking and wondering how they (Kass etc) got to consider that their particular worldview should be particularly priviledged. How is it that Kass presumes the wisdom and moral judgement to ration other peoples lives... Let Kass etc **make** their case if they can - whilst having to *conspicuously* carrying the full burden of their prejudice. While my impression is that the ground you are choosing to fight may be suboptimal, I haven't read more than your abstract, and I certainly commend doing something as better than doing nothing. Good luck. Regards, Brett From fortean1 at mindspring.com Sun Jan 4 01:30:49 2004 From: fortean1 at mindspring.com (Terry W. Colvin) Date: Sat, 03 Jan 2004 18:30:49 -0700 Subject: [extropy-chat] Not enough TNOs Message-ID: <3FF76CC9.531EF216@mindspring.com> Forwarding permission was given by William R. Corliss. Science Frontiers, No. 151, Jan-Feb, 2004, p. 1 < http://www.science-frontiers.com > ASTRONOMY Not enough TNOs TNOs (Trans-Neptunian Objects*) are large lumps of dirty ice orbiting the sun in the so-called Kuiper Belt just beyond Neptune. The Kuiper Belt with its inventory of TNOs was not even recognized by astronomers until a few decades ago. By then, it was obvious to the comet-counters that the large number of short-period (less than 20 years) comets they were tallying could not come from the hypothesized Oort Cloud at the far fringes of the Solar System. Sure enough, when astronomers searched the Kuiper Belt region, they found some fairly large objects, some almost planet-size. Pluto, in fact, may be a TNO. A problem that has now arisen derives from a faint-object search of a small section of the Kuiper Belt with the Hubble's Advanced Camera for Surveys by a team led by G.M. Bernstein and D.E. Trilling. What they saw and counted is "wildly inconsistent" with the number of short-period comets that are observed. In fact, the team found only 4% of the number of objects that theory had predicted. Conclusion: the size distribution of TNOs deviates from theory because the many expected larger TNOs were pulverized by some unrecognized event or process at some time in the Solar System's long history. Another possibility is that the missing large TNOs were once merely loose rubble piles of ice chunks that were gravitationally torn apart and dispersed. A survey for even fainter TNOs may decide what really did happen. In any case, the history of that region of the Solar System needs some radical rewriting. (Schilling, Govert; "Comet 'Factory' Found to Have Too Little Inventory," *Science*, 301:1304, 2003. Cowen, R.; "Hubble Highlights a Riddle," *Science News*, 164:148, 2003.) *TNOs = KBOs (Kuiper-Belt Objects) [Science Frontiers is a bimonthly collection of digests of scientific anomalies in the current literature. Published by the Sourcebook Project, P.O. Box 107, Glen Arm, MD 21057. Annual subscription: $8.00.] -- "Only a zit on the wart on the heinie of progress." Copyright 1992, Frank Rice Terry W. Colvin, Sierra Vista, Arizona (USA) < fortean1 at mindspring.com > Alternate: < fortean1 at msn.com > Home Page: < http://www.geocities.com/Area51/Stargate/8958/index.html > Sites: * Fortean Times * Mystic's Haven * TLCB * U.S. Message Text Formatting (USMTF) Program ------------ Member: Thailand-Laos-Cambodia Brotherhood (TLCB) Mailing List TLCB Web Site: < http://www.tlc-brotherhood.org > [Vietnam veterans, Allies, CIA/NSA, and "steenkeen" contractors are welcome.] From fortean1 at mindspring.com Sun Jan 4 02:01:02 2004 From: fortean1 at mindspring.com (Terry W. Colvin) Date: Sat, 03 Jan 2004 19:01:02 -0700 Subject: [extropy-chat] Was the Big Bang Dodecahedral? Message-ID: <3FF773DE.99E050CD@mindspring.com> Forwarding permission was given by William R. Corliss. Science Frontiers, No. 151, Jan-Feb, 2004, pp. 1 & 2 < http://www.science-frontiers.com > ASTRONOMY Was the Big Bang Dodecahedral? A decade ago, in SF#93, we reported seismographical data suggesting that the solid iron core of the earth was crystalline in nature. It is thought that this iron is a high-pressure phase of iron organized in close-packed hexagonal geometry. Now, there are data supporting the idea that the *universe as a whole* is dodecahedral; that is, organized as a regular 12-sided figure with pentagonal faces---this being the highest order regular solid in geometry. If this is all verified, nature obviously prefers orderliness on all scales. The observations suggesting that the debris from the Big Bang explosion was nicely geometrical came from the Wilkinson Microwave Anisotropy Probe (WMAP). One's expectation from terrestrial experience, though, is that explosions do not produce highly organized debris patterns. Contrary to such naive expectations, the WMAP data seem to show that the universe's temperature correlations vanish at large scales. In non-technical terms, the implications are that the universe is *not* infinite and, furthermore, *does* possess regular structure. The geometrical shape that best accounts for the missing long waves is a dodecahedron. Of course, this is still all very tentative and under review. But we cannot refrain from mentioning two amusing effects dictated by a dodecahedral universe. *Photons, spaceships, and other objects passing through decadehral[sic] space would experience a twist. The universe-as-a-whole would, therefore, possess handedness. Could this be related to the handedness (chirality) exhibited in all terrestrial biochemistry? *If a spaceship crossed one of the twelve faces of the postulated dodecahedron, it would appear *instantly* outside the opposite face of the dodecahedron. Sure, this is all counterintuitive, but so is quantum mechanics. (Luminet, Jean-Pierre, et al; "Dodecahedral Space Topology as an Explanation for Weak Wide-Angle Temperature Correlations in the Cosmic Microwave Background," *Nature*, 425:593, 2003. Seife, Charles; "Polyhedral Model Gives the Universe an Unexpected Twist," *Science*, 302:209, 2003) Some 2,500 years ago, sans WMAP, Timaeus of Locri, noting the *mystical* correspondence between the four "elements* of nature (fire, air, earth, and water) and the four other regular solids (tetrahedron, cube, octahedron, and icosahedron), ventured that the remaining fifth regular solid, the dodecahedron, *must* envelope the universe. (Giomini, Claudio; "Timaeus's Insight on the Shape of the Universe," *Nature*, 425:899, 2003) [Science Frontiers is a bimonthly collection of digests of scientific anomalies in the current literature. Published by the Sourcebook Project, P.O. Box 107, Glen Arm, MD 21057. Annual subscription: $8.00.] -- "Only a zit on the wart on the heinie of progress." Copyright 1992, Frank Rice Terry W. Colvin, Sierra Vista, Arizona (USA) < fortean1 at mindspring.com > Alternate: < fortean1 at msn.com > Home Page: < http://www.geocities.com/Area51/Stargate/8958/index.html > Sites: * Fortean Times * Mystic's Haven * TLCB * U.S. Message Text Formatting (USMTF) Program ------------ Member: Thailand-Laos-Cambodia Brotherhood (TLCB) Mailing List TLCB Web Site: < http://www.tlc-brotherhood.org > [Vietnam veterans, Allies, CIA/NSA, and "steenkeen" contractors are welcome.] From reason at exratio.com Sun Jan 4 03:32:15 2004 From: reason at exratio.com (Reason) Date: Sat, 3 Jan 2004 19:32:15 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] the most modern conception of wizard as transhumanist Message-ID: Those of you who delight in items of esoteric cultural interest might like this one. I was reading a very engaging campaign log from a game of Dungeons and Dragons (D&D): http://www.enworld.org/forums/showthread.php?t=58227&page=1&pp=25 It's long, and makes we wonder why I can no longer find smart people to game with who are interested in character, story, conversation and whatnot over the roll of dice. Full of nice, witty stuff relating to the role of religion and faith, nature of power, character driven conflict, etc, etc, and has a strong underpinning of transhumanist ideals in regards to the motivations and actions of its mages. I can't say I've given a lot of thought to transhumanism vis a vis the very modern concept of the fantasy mage that has become widespread in the last half decade or so, but it fits very nicely within the rarified limits of D&D canon. In a way, it's very amusing that the pulp culture fantasy mage is now a concept completely informed and based upon D&D, itself initially lifted from Vance (who may yet be able to lay claim to being more influential than Tolkien); the most widespread pulp fantasy novels (like Eddings) started the avalanche, and the rocks are now mostly composed of computer "role-playing" (in quotes for a reason) games that individually outsell all of Eddings works. The occasional movie too. The tropes and cliches for the modern fantasy mage concept are set in stone, but very open to reinterpretation. (Personally, I think it's a bit of a loss when compared with, say, The King of Elfland's Daughter, or even Greg Stafford's Glorantha, but what do I know? I'm outvoted by readers of pulp. In a way, I suppose it's encouraging that human nature is to take the mystical and apply rules to it, come hell or high water. You end up with modern theology, corrupt legal systems and other horrors, but you also get science, come hell or high water). So we have the fantasy mage as transhumanist: recursive intelligence enhancement, transcending natural limits, life goals akin to vastening, creation of intelligent servants, power and responsibility, etc, etc. All quite interesting. Reason http://www.exratio.com From dirk at neopax.com Sun Jan 4 03:44:39 2004 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Sun, 4 Jan 2004 03:44:39 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality References: <01ad01c3d24d$99dbcee0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT><015001c3d24f$3fc79680$d2256bd5@artemis> <00de01c3d25b$0e2887e0$afcd5cd1@neptune> Message-ID: <022401c3d275$14a04440$d2256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Technotranscendence" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Sunday, January 04, 2004 12:38 AM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality > On Saturday, January 03, 2004 6:13 PM Dirk Bruere dirk at neopax.com wrote: > > Another problem is defining what is meant by 'prevent'. > > Does it mean speaking against? > > Speaking against pursuasively? > > Legislating against in a democracy? > > If any of the above you are talking about > > justifying terrorism and oppression. > > I haven't read Mark's essay, but just from reading this thread, I fear > some might interpret it very broadly to mean even such things as not > subsidizing other people's life extension program. For strict > egalitarians, this might mean my failure to fund everyone else's life > extension program constitutes my "deny[ing them] access to radical life > extension technology." > > I would hope that's not what Mark intended, but I can imagine others > taking the argument in that direction. > > However, I disagree with you [Dirk] here about the last instance. > Legislating against something usually means initiating force. Once a > person or a group has initiated force, retaliating against such is not > "terrorism and oppression" per se, but a just response -- depending on > it being justly carried out. So it is legitimate to use force to overthrow any law you don't agree with in a democratic society? > I mean here that if the government of, say, Ruritania outlaws > supplements, it is not wrong for Ruritanian life extensionists to > disobey that law. However, it would be wrong to, say, bomb Ruritania's > whole population. Specific acts against Ruritanian legislators and law > enforcement agents, though, might not be un-libertarian and would have > to measured against their justness and their likely consequences. > > To drive this point home, imagine CPR were outlawed in Ruritania. Would > not the Ruritanian government be the one using "terrorism and > oppression" in this case against people needing CPR, their relatives, No. > their friends, EMTs, etc.? Or is any act by a democratic government > okay? In general, yes, provided one is allowed freedom of speech (as well as the ability to leave). Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From dirk at neopax.com Sun Jan 4 03:46:36 2004 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Sun, 4 Jan 2004 03:46:36 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] that bad old internet References: <001c01c3d19f$58a576f0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <023c01c3d275$5a351260$d2256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Spike" To: "'ExI chat list'" Sent: Saturday, January 03, 2004 2:14 AM Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] that bad old internet > > > SDAs are, IMO, one of the most retard of Xian sects. > > [Just thought I'd add that gratuitous religious insult to > > round off the discussion... Dirk > > Be good to them Dirk, they may save your life some day. Follow me: > > A few weeks ago I referenced the hapless Baptists, who have a notion in > their basic teachings that all goodness comes from god, therefore all > legitimate ethical notions are found in the bible, therefore since > slavery is not specifically forbidden in the bible, it must be OK. This > is among other absurdities that follow from the flawed premise. > > The Seventh Day Adventist has a somewhat related situation. They have a > long and specific list of taboos, revealed directly to the modern > prophet Ellen G. White. > > But anything that is not on that forbidden list is allowed. > > Over the years I have witnessed a number of attempts to add new taboos > to this long and specific list. I find it remarkable that *not one* of > those attempts has been successful, not a single one. > > This has some interesting consequences, for the SDAs have a modern > medical facility: Loma Linda University in southern > Taxifornia. It is well known that if you have some wacky research idea, > Loma Linda has a notoriously open-minded ethics board: they will allow > anything that does not conflict with the previously mentioned long list > of taboos. An example is the Baby Fae experiment that you may recall > from the 1980s in which a baboon heart was transplanted into a human > infant. Done at Loma Linda. There is nothing in the sacred texts that > specifically forbid it. > > This read-my-lips-no-new-no-nos concept results in the Seventh Day > Adventists being the *only* xian church (that I know of) that holds an > official pro-choice stance. There are other churches that hold no > position perhaps, but SDA stands alone in being officially and > specifically pro-choice. Good for them. > > Cloning? Adventists stand alone among xian denominations as coming out > officially in favor. Stem cell research? Sure. Genetic manipulation? > The more the merrier, for they do this research with calm confidence, > knowing that biblical and Ellen-White-ical prophecy says nothing about > the world being devoured by goo of any color. The girl I dated before I > met my wife is as staunch SDA as anyone you will ever meet. She got her > PhD in biology from Purdue and is now a researcher in genetic > engineering, with no cognitive dissonance whatsoever. Hey, the > prophetess didn't say it was wrong, so it must be right. Right? > > Several of my computer science friends that went to SDA colleges were > discussing artificial intelligence way back in the early 80s, before > there was an extropian list or the internet. We even discussed the > singularity, even tho we did not call it by that name. We speculated > that computers would eventually reach human level intelligence and > rewrite their own software, causing an open loop feedback system. > > Loma Linda University follows the tradition of SDA Doctor John Harvey > Kellogg, the inventor of corn flakes and other vegetarian foods, who was > always experimenting with new techniques to treat his patients. Dirk, > if you or I get prostate cancer, we can go to Loma Linda to be treated > in their proton accelerator, which painlessly radiates the tumor, > leaving us able to copulate and not piss on ourselves. In my admittedly > very limited statistical sample, the three prostate cancer patients I > know personally who had their tumors cut out are all dead. The two I > know personally who had their tumors irradiated at LLU are alive and > well. Think about it. > > As for being the "most retard of the xian sects", I think the better > adjective might be the most *retro* of the xians. This is > understandable, for the 20th century was not supposed to happen, never > mind the 21st. There are plenty of good SDAs that are in some ways > retrogressing to the 19th century, for this century is not their home. > In this at least, most of us here share their discomfort, for our > extropian hearts and minds belong in the 22nd century. > > SDA is your friend, Dirk. Well, I'll just have to reappraise my view of the SDA. It was based upon my experience of the type of people it attracts. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From neptune at superlink.net Sun Jan 4 04:50:19 2004 From: neptune at superlink.net (Technotranscendence) Date: Sat, 3 Jan 2004 23:50:19 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Not enough TNOs References: <3FF76CC9.531EF216@mindspring.com> Message-ID: <011a01c3d27e$4216ab40$afcd5cd1@neptune> On Saturday, January 03, 2004 8:30 PM Terry W. Colvin fortean1 at mindspring.com wrote: > Forwarding permission was given by William R. Corliss. > > Science Frontiers, No. 151, Jan-Feb, 2004, p. 1 > < http://www.science-frontiers.com > [snip] > A survey for even fainter TNOs may decide what really did happen. In any case, > the history of that region of the Solar System needs some radical rewriting. A recent article in _Nature_ covered the same and proposed that Neptune scattered many TNOs. That model looked quite convincing, though I would stay the jury still out on this one. I will look up the article if anyone's interested... Cheers! Dan See "For a Free Frontier: The Case for Space Colonization" at: http://uweb.superlink.net/neptune/SpaceCol.html From neptune at superlink.net Sun Jan 4 05:21:39 2004 From: neptune at superlink.net (Technotranscendence) Date: Sun, 4 Jan 2004 00:21:39 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality References: <01ad01c3d24d$99dbcee0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT><015001c3d24f$3fc79680$d2256bd5@artemis><00de01c3d25b$0e2887e0$afcd5cd1@neptune> <022401c3d275$14a04440$d2256bd5@artemis> Message-ID: <016601c3d282$a2becaa0$afcd5cd1@neptune> On Saturday, January 03, 2004 10:44 PM Dirk Bruere dirk at neopax.com wrote: >> However, I disagree with you [Dirk] here >> about the last instance. Legislating >> against something usually means >> initiating force. Once a person or a >> group has initiated force, retaliating >> against such is not "terrorism and >> oppression" per se, but a just >> response -- depending on it being >> justly carried out. > > So it is legitimate to use force to > overthrow any law you don't agree with > in a democratic society? Note: I did not say all laws were unjust or un-libertarian. However, the imposition of legislation is usually the initiation of force. In such cases, it is legitimate, by libertarian standards, to retaliate. Whether it's prudent is another matter. To answer your question more directly -- and I'll assume you mean "disobey" where you write "overthrow"; please let me know if that differs from your intended meaning -- it depends on the law in question. In the context of this debate, the particular laws you were talking about -- and correct me if I'm misunderstanding you -- would be ones aimed at prohibiting life extension technology. I assumed you meant something like parliament outlawing conventional supplements. In that case, I see no reason to obey the law. Merely that one group of people decided for all people that they can or cannot use a certain substance to me is unjust and constitutes the initiation of force. BTW, just to be clear here, I'm not for democracy. When democracy conflicts with individual liberty, then democracy must go. I think such conflicts will always happen in democracies -- and I include republics under this term (I'm relying on Hoppe's analysis here; he differentiates between no government, privately owned government, and publicly owned government (no government means some form of anarchism (or no _monopoly_ in law making, AKA polycentric legal orders); privately owned government means monarchy; publicly owned government means republics, conventional democracies, and various non-monarchical dictatorships (even many extant monarchies are really either publicly owned or a mixture of public and private))) -- so I'm basically anti-democratic. >> To drive this point home, imagine CPR >> were outlawed in Ruritania. Would not >> the Ruritanian government be the one >> using "terrorism and oppression" in >> this case against people needing CPR, >> their relatives, > > No. Then you appear to be a democratic absolutist. You see democracy as legitimizing anything, right? As long as one can line up enough votes, you seem to be saying, the government can do what it will. >> their friends, EMTs, etc.? Or is any act >> by a democratic government okay? > > In general, yes, provided one is allowed > freedom of speech (as well as the ability > to leave). IIRC, Frederick the Great -- an absolute monarch, no? -- used the slogan, "You can argue, but you must obey" -- meaning you can debate all you want as long as you bow down and kiss the ring in the end. (Well, at least, this is what I got from reading Kant on one of the Prussian leaders...) What do you mean by "the ability to leave"? Would that include secession? By that I mean the ability to no longer be under the juridiction of a particular government -- not leaving the territory itself. If you agree with this, then you should see the ultimate end state would be anarchy, since any minority or individual would be allowed to break away from a democracy. If you don't mean that [secession], then I think what you advocating would be oppressive. After all, this would be forcing people to leave their homes because a government will otherwise trample them. In the context of today's world, since there are basically only democracies of different shades and the planet is pretty much carved up by them, where would one go? That would be like telling someone in prison they can have their choice of cell blocks. Cheers! Dan See "For a Free Frontier: The Case for Space Colonization" at: http://uweb.superlink.net/neptune/SpaceCol.html From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sun Jan 4 05:22:05 2004 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sat, 3 Jan 2004 21:22:05 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality In-Reply-To: <01ad01c3d24d$99dbcee0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <20040104052205.53343.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> --- Harvey Newstrom wrote: > Mike Lorrey wrote, > > Contradiction: killing humans who would otherwise prevent > > others from gaining access to radical life extension > > technology, to such a degree as to cause death. Is it wrong > > to kill such humans or not? > > I think this is obviously wrong. This is a classic example of > choosing the lesser of two evils. Both choices are evil. > Choosing the lesser evil is still evil. I think it confuses the > issue to compare them and say that the > lesser evil is "good" compared to the worse evil. I think it makes > more sense to clearly state that they are both evil. So, you are dying of a disease. I use the law to prevent you from obtaining the treatment you need to live. You WILL die, if you don't get this treatment. Are you justified in using ANY means to prevent my actions or not? Others have already died from my actions, so it is demonstrably true that you will die as well if I am not stopped. At what point is any action against me acceptable in defense of your life? Why is this not plain and simple and morally acceptable self defense on your part? Self defense is not evil. Why is this not self defense? ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Find out what made the Top Yahoo! Searches of 2003 http://search.yahoo.com/top2003 From dirk at neopax.com Sun Jan 4 05:56:09 2004 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Sun, 4 Jan 2004 05:56:09 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] the most modern conception of wizard as transhumanist References: Message-ID: <025101c3d287$73b8e1a0$d2256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Reason" To: "ExI chat list" ; Sent: Sunday, January 04, 2004 3:32 AM Subject: [extropy-chat] the most modern conception of wizard as transhumanist > Those of you who delight in items of esoteric cultural interest might like > this one. I was reading a very engaging campaign log from a game of Dungeons > and Dragons (D&D): > > http://www.enworld.org/forums/showthread.php?t=58227&page=1&pp=25 > > It's long, and makes we wonder why I can no longer find smart people to game > with who are interested in character, story, conversation and whatnot over > the roll of dice. Full of nice, witty stuff relating to the role of religion > and faith, nature of power, character driven conflict, etc, etc, and has a > strong underpinning of transhumanist ideals in regards to the motivations > and actions of its mages. > > I can't say I've given a lot of thought to transhumanism vis a vis the very > modern concept of the fantasy mage that has become widespread in the last > half decade or so, but it fits very nicely within the rarified limits of D&D > canon. In a way, it's very amusing that the pulp culture fantasy mage is now > a concept completely informed and based upon D&D, itself initially lifted > from Vance (who may yet be able to lay claim to being more influential than > Tolkien); the most widespread pulp fantasy novels (like Eddings) started the > avalanche, and the rocks are now mostly composed of computer "role-playing" > (in quotes for a reason) games that individually outsell all of Eddings > works. The occasional movie too. The tropes and cliches for the modern > fantasy mage concept are set in stone, but very open to reinterpretation. > > (Personally, I think it's a bit of a loss when compared with, say, The King > of Elfland's Daughter, or even Greg Stafford's Glorantha, but what do I > know? I'm outvoted by readers of pulp. In a way, I suppose it's encouraging > that human nature is to take the mystical and apply rules to it, come hell > or high water. You end up with modern theology, corrupt legal systems and > other horrors, but you also get science, come hell or high water). > > So we have the fantasy mage as transhumanist: recursive intelligence > enhancement, transcending natural limits, life goals akin to vastening, > creation of intelligent servants, power and responsibility, etc, etc. All > quite interesting. Some 20yrs ago friends of mine rans a business doing D&D 'for real' in a genuine 200 room castle. It was quite fun. However, what did puzzle me was the effort that some people put into developing their character. They literally spend every weekend (and presumably most of their spare time) memorizing spells, rituals etc At the time I wondered why when they could be doing it 'really' for real. Their activity (commitment, time, energy, money, intellect) did not impinge upon this world (except to swell the coffers of the business). I'm doing it for real (sigline). Far longer odds, but the payoff is not imaginary. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From aperick at centurytel.net Sun Jan 4 05:22:54 2004 From: aperick at centurytel.net (rick) Date: Sat, 3 Jan 2004 21:22:54 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Simulation Argument critique In-Reply-To: <200401040344.i043ilE05193@tick.javien.com> Message-ID: <000001c3d282$cf62b580$0200a8c0@soy0450mhz> Mike Lorrey wrote: >Contradiction: killing humans who would otherwise prevent others from gaining access to radical life extension technology, to such a degree as to cause death. Is it wrong to kill such humans or not? /> That would depend on whether there is anyone left who is reckless enough to judge it as wrong -- and speak his mind. Good and bad are concepts that beg the questions: good for who, and bad for who. Woops, my Rand roots are showing -- I'm sooo embarrassed. From spike66 at comcast.net Sun Jan 4 06:27:17 2004 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Sat, 3 Jan 2004 22:27:17 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] spirit a success In-Reply-To: <023c01c3d275$5a351260$d2256bd5@artemis> Message-ID: <001901c3d28b$cd050050$6501a8c0@SHELLY> I just got back from a Spirit party. Looks like NASA has the right stuff, eh? {8-] Ahhhh, life is gooooood. spike From scerir at libero.it Sun Jan 4 10:08:26 2004 From: scerir at libero.it (scerir) Date: Sun, 4 Jan 2004 11:08:26 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Was the Big Bang Dodecahedral? References: <3FF773DE.99E050CD@mindspring.com> Message-ID: <000301c3d2aa$cde9a2e0$b4b51b97@administxl09yj> From: "Terry W. Colvin" > Some 2,500 years ago, sans WMAP, Timaeus of Locri, noting the *mystical* > correspondence between the four "elements* of nature (fire, air, earth, > and water) and the four other regular solids (tetrahedron, cube, > octahedron, and icosahedron), ventured that the remaining fifth regular > solid, the dodecahedron, *must* envelope the universe. > (Giomini, Claudio; "Timaeus's Insight on the Shape of the Universe," > *Nature*, 425:899, 2003) Plato wrote (Timaeus, 55) about the dodecahedron: "There was yet a fifth combination which God used in the delineation of the universe." But Plato forgot to mention that God used dodecahedra in constructing quantum reality, as sir Penrose showed some years ago. http://users.wpi.edu/~paravind/penrosedodec.pdf From humania at t-online.de Sun Jan 4 13:00:27 2004 From: humania at t-online.de (Hubert Mania) Date: Sun, 4 Jan 2004 14:00:27 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality References: <003901c3d213$bbf6ef80$2ee4f418@markcomputer> Message-ID: <002d01c3d2c2$bb166000$5b91fea9@kwasar> Mark Walker wrote: > In case anyone is interested, I have a first draft of a paper on physical > immortality. http://www.permanentend.org/immortality.html It was written > rather rapidly over the holiday season and so it suffers a little from WUI > (writing under the influence). As always, comments are appreciated. I have read your draft. I don't know what kind of influence you mean with WUI, but - well, here are my comments. I strongly advice you to delete the "introductory" completely. If it would not have been for immortality I would have stopped reading after the first page. An example: In the following short paragraph you use "permissible" 7 times and "morally" 6 times which is tiring and aesthetically inexcusable. Academic readers might be used to this kind of style, a bunch of lawyers maybe, but for normal readers this is indigestible: "So, if X is ?murdering an innocent child? then it is not morally permissible to do X, and it is morally permissible to prevent X. It is permissible to prevent the murder of a child by whisking the child out of the path of a car driven by someone intent on murdering. If X is ?reading the morning paper? then X is morally permissible, and likewise, it would not be morally permissible to prevent someone from reading her morning paper. Sometimes answers to these questions do not dovetail so neatly, e.g., it has sometimes been argued that, while euthanasia is morally permissible, it is morally permissible to prevent euthanasia . . ." What follows until "Global Triage" are exhausting examples about "Kill Bill". Anyone who is not familiar with your character and your altruistic aims might think you are obsessed with killing. I guess you are probably not, but one can gain this impression. I believe the scenarios you discuss here at length are obvious to anybody who has at least 5 ounces of common sense in his brain. That's why I believe three or four short paragraphs would have been enough.Once again: maybe academics enjoy this kind of reading, but don't expect that a broader clientele reads any further than the first page. If I were your editor I would advice you to cut it down to one third of the original volume and at least to do without abortion and euthanasia in the introductory, if you don't want to delete the introductory as a whole. I like your proposals concerning overpopulation though. This is something worth to be discussed on a more detailed level with available statistics, etc. Hubert Mania From mark at permanentend.org Sun Jan 4 14:12:38 2004 From: mark at permanentend.org (Mark Walker) Date: Sun, 4 Jan 2004 09:12:38 -0500 Subject: Fw: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality Message-ID: <222c01c3d2cc$cf6267c0$2ee4f418@markcomputer> > From: "Hubert Mania" > I strongly advice you to delete the "introductory" completely. If it would > not have been for immortality I would have stopped reading after the first > page. An example: In the following short paragraph you use "permissible" > 7 times and "morally" 6 times which is tiring and aesthetically inexcusable. > Academic readers might be used to this kind of style, a bunch of lawyers > maybe, [snip] > Indeed, it is an academic paper. I would have a thought that the references are all to academic papers might have been a give away. Perhaps, I should append a warning at the top of the paper that it is an academic paper. That said, I agree that it could be written better. > > What follows until "Global Triage" are exhausting examples about "Kill > Bill". Anyone who is not familiar with your character and your altruistic > aims might think you are obsessed with killing. I guess you are probably > not, but one can gain this impression. I would I believe the scenarios you discuss > here at length are obvious to anybody who has at least 5 ounces of common > sense in his brain. Well, I do like Edvard Munch and Nick Cave, but I wouldn't call it an obsession. I agree that one might think the scenarios are obvious, but I am not sure they are. I taught a course last semester on the ethics of emerging biomedical technologies and one of the things we discussed was physical immortality. Like the general population, most of the class was apprehensive about issues such as cloning, genetic engineering, etc. So, I wasn't surprised when most of said they would decline the opportunity for physical immortality if it were offered to them. Nor was I surprised that they thought that others should not have the opportunity either. What made me write the paper, however, was the fact that most seem to have little regret for refusing access to life extension technology. Their reasons for not granting access were typically of the sort described in the global triage section, which I understand even though I don't agree. In refusing access to radical life extension technology they seem to think that they were merely depriving individuals of a narcissistic (to use Kass' word) luxury. At the time I challenged them to show the difference between refusing access to the sorts of life extending procedures we now condone like blood transfusions, and those of radical life extension. The analysis of killing that they seem to presuppose is that killing is wrong if it ends a "normal" life span, and so what they are proposing is not wrong or to be regretted because it is not like killing or letting die mortal humans. If the argument I make is correct, this analysis is wrong because what is primarily wrong with killing has little to do with one's past and has more to do with one's potential future. In any event, I think that most people think there is a big difference between not permitting access for mortal humans to blood transfusions, and not permitting access to radical life extension technology. So, I think it is a worthwhile project to show that this is not the case. Thanks for comments--much appreciated! Mark Mark Walker, PhD Research Associate, Philosophy, Trinity College University of Toronto Room 214 Gerald Larkin Building 15 Devonshire Place Toronto M5S 1H8 www.permanentend.org From neptune at superlink.net Sun Jan 4 14:27:14 2004 From: neptune at superlink.net (Technotranscendence) Date: Sun, 4 Jan 2004 09:27:14 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] spirit a success References: <001901c3d28b$cd050050$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <004f01c3d2ce$d9eeaee0$aecd5cd1@neptune> On Sunday, January 04, 2004 1:27 AM Spike spike66 at comcast.net wrote: > I just got back from a Spirit party. Looks like > NASA has the right stuff, eh? {8-] Apparently. Too bad, the ESA lander appears to be a failure. I guess we'll know for certain in a few days. > Ahhhh, life is gooooood. spike One down, one to go! But my big hope is that someone wins the X-Prize in the next few months... Cheers! Dan http://uweb.superlink.net/neptune/ From bradbury at aeiveos.com Sun Jan 4 14:37:49 2004 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Sun, 4 Jan 2004 06:37:49 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality In-Reply-To: <002d01c3d2c2$bb166000$5b91fea9@kwasar> Message-ID: On Sun, 4 Jan 2004, Hubert Mania wrote: > I strongly advice you to delete the "introductory" completely. If it would > not have been for immortality I would have stopped reading after the first > page. [snip] > If I were your editor I would advice you to cut it down to one third of the > original volume and at least to do without abortion and euthanasia in the > introductory, if you don't want to delete the introductory as a whole. Hubert -- I believe Mark is intending this as an academic paper, not for general consumption. And I can state from having attended at least one bioethics conference and having had a couple of college level courses in philosophy this stuff of rights, shoulds, oughts, cans and can'ts does get discussed in styles similar to that that Mark is using. I thought your comment about these things being "obvious" to people with an ounce of common sense was interesting. In my reading of the paper (I'm about 2/3 of the way through) it seems clear that Mark is trying to present a response to Kass -- that it is immoral to attempt to prevent people from having access to life extending technologies. Throwing down the overpopulation argument as well as others it becomes clear that there are some who lack the "common sense" that attempting to interfere with an individual's access to such technologies might be immoral. It was only the use of the term "immortality" that I got stuck on. We really need to come up with a better word -- making one up if necessary -- to get to the point where the word means exactly what we want it to mean -- nothing more and nothing less. I thought of hyperlongevity and superlongevity but playing around with the dictionary they don't seem quite right. I managed to come up with "itlongveos" - literally to go for long life or close there to. But I suspect someone with a better grasp of latin or greek could come up with something better. What I would really like is a word for something involving an indefinitely long healthy life or life without limits. Robert From support at imminst.org Sun Jan 4 14:48:47 2004 From: support at imminst.org (support at imminst.org) Date: Sun, 4 Jan 2004 08:48:47 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] ImmInst Update Message-ID: <3ff827cfc50a7@imminst.org> CHAT: The Economics of the Singularity *********************** What might happen when? Assistant professor of economics at George Mason University, Robin Hanson joins ImmInst to discuss how long-term trends in economic growth may reveal a coming Singularity within this century. Chat Time: Sunday Jan 4 @ 8 PM Eastern More: http://imminst.org/forum/index.php?s=&act=ST&f=63&t=2601 SUPPORT IMMINST *********************** As a member supported nonprofit organization, ImmInst is totally dependent on the generous support of its members to fulfil its goals and to reach its mission to end the blight of involuntary death around the world. We need your help in order to continue such projects: 1. ImmInst - Book Project: The ongoing book project will provide a focus for what ImmInst is about. The books will comprise essays by respected authors concerning the consequences of physical immortality. The first book will release within the next six months. http://www.imminst.org/book 2. ImmInst - "Why Die?" Conference: Bioethicists, scientists and futurists debate the positive and negative consequences of extended human lifespans. Participants will answer the question - how long should we live? The conference will be held in Atlanta in Oct 2005. http://www.imminst.org/conference 3. ImmInst Threats To Life Council (TTLC): ImmInst's long-term global risk assessment and awareness initiative to save lives. TTLC will create easily understood reports that will determine the most dangerous risks to human and posthuman life going forward. http://www.imminst.org/ttlc 4. Other Important Projects: a.) ImmInst hosts an active discussion/research forum - http://www.imminst.org/forum b.) ImmInst hosts a weekly online chat - http://www.imminst.org/chat c.) ImmInst hosts the Infinite Females - http://www.imminst.org/if d.) ImmInst host an archive of more than 80 original member articles http://www.imminst.org/archive/imminst_writers.php e.) ImmInst reaches out to help other like-minded organizations: http://imminst.org/forum/index.php?s=&act=SF&f=142 We need your help in order to continue these projects. *********************** SUPPORT IMMINST: http://imminst.org/index_join.php To be removed from all of our mailing lists, click here: http://www.imminst.org/archive/mailinglists/mailinglists.php?p=mlist&rem=extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org From mark at permanentend.org Sun Jan 4 15:12:29 2004 From: mark at permanentend.org (Mark Walker) Date: Sun, 4 Jan 2004 10:12:29 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality References: <003901c3d213$bbf6ef80$2ee4f418@markcomputer> <009001c3d25e$7c303a00$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Message-ID: <226e01c3d2d5$2be17a10$2ee4f418@markcomputer> > > ----- Original Message ----- > From: "Brett Paatsch" < > Looks like a suboptimal moral argument to run. Why not > run instead: > > On what basis does *any* human individual *presume* to > *ration* the lifespan of any other human individual? > The answer to this question is in the paper itself. Opponents of radical life extension may agree that one should not ration the "normal" lifespan of individuals but radical life extension goes beyond this. For example, opponents might think that the former follows from a "right to life" but disagree that a right to life implies a "right to an immortal life". Thus, I think our opponents will see a principled distinction between rationing mortal lives and immortal lives whereas we don't. I'm trying to offer an argument against such a principled distinction. So, I think at least some of our opponents will say that your sketch of an argument begs one of the main questions. > I prefer to see them (Kass etc) have to make their case with the > world looking and wondering how they (Kass etc) got to > consider that their particular worldview should be particularly > priviledged. How is it that Kass presumes the wisdom and moral > judgement to ration other peoples lives... Let Kass etc **make** > their case if they can - whilst having to *conspicuously* carrying > the full burden of their prejudice. > I'm not sure what to make of this. I don't see that Kass is saying that his worldview is privileged in any untoward way. He offers arguments for the ethical conclusions that he makes--if this is what you mean by a privileged world view then I am equally guilty. Furthermore, as far as I can tell Kass doesn't say that we should ration the lives of others, what he argues is that it is morally impermissible to seek physical immortality. These claims are distinct--as I point out in the paper. Cheers, Mark Mark Walker, PhD Research Associate, Philosophy, Trinity College University of Toronto Room 214 Gerald Larkin Building 15 Devonshire Place Toronto M5S 1H8 www.permanentend.org From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sun Jan 4 16:32:07 2004 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sun, 4 Jan 2004 08:32:07 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] HUMOR: Ordering Pizza under TIA Message-ID: <20040104163207.45341.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> Ordering Pizza under Total Information Awareness Operator: "Thank you for calling Pizza Hut. May I have your..." Customer: "Hi, I'd like to order." Operator: "May I have your NIDN first, sir?" Customer: "My National ID Number, yeah, hold on, eh, it's 6102049998-45-54610." Operator: "Thank you, Mr. Sheehan. I see you live at 1742 Meadowland Drive, and the phone number's 494-2366. Your office number over at Lincoln Insurance is 745-2302 and your cell number's 266-2566. Which number are you calling from, sir?" Customer: "Huh? I'm at home. Where d'ya get all this information?" Operator: "We're wired into the system, sir." Customer: (Sighs) "Oh, well, I'd like to order a couple of your All-Meat Special pizzas..." Operator: "I don't think that's a good idea, sir." Customer: "Whaddya mean?" Operator: "Sir, your medical records indicate that you've got very high blood pressure and extremely high cholesterol. Your National Health Care provider won't allow such an unhealthy choice." Customer: "Dang . What do you recommend, then?" Operator: "You might try our low-fat Soybean Yogurt Pizza. I'm sure you'll like it." Customer: "What makes you think I'd like something like that?" Operator: "Well, you checked out 'Gourmet Soybean Recipes' from your local library last week, sir. That's why I made the suggestion." Customer: "All right, all right. Give me two family-sized ones, then. What's the damage?" Operator: "That should be plenty for you, your wife and your four kids, sir. The 'damage,' as you put it, heh, heh, comes to $49.99." Customer: "Lemme give you my credit card number." Operator: "I'm sorry sir, but I'm afraid you'll have to pay in cash. Your credit card balance is over its limit." Customer: "I'll run over to the ATM and get some cash before your driver gets here." Operator: "That won't work either, sir. Your checking account's overdrawn." Customer: "Never mind. Just send the pizzas. I'll have the cash ready. How long will it take? Operator: "We're running a little behind, sir. It'll be about 45 minutes, sir. If you're in a hurry you might want to pick 'em up while you're out getting the cash, but carrying pizzas on a motorcycle can be a little awkward." Customer: "How the heck do you know I'm riding a bike?" Operator: "It says here you're in arrears on your car payments, so your car got repo'ed. But your Harley's paid up, so I just assumed that you'd be using it." Customer: "@#%/$@&?#!" Operator: "I'd advise watching your language, sir. You've already got a July 2006 conviction for cussing out a cop." Customer: (Speechless) Operator: "Will there be anything else, sir?" Customer: "No, nothing. Oh, yeah, don't forget the two free liters of Coke your ad says I get with the pizzas." Operator: "I'm sorry sir, but our ad's exclusionary clause prevents us from offering free soda to diabetics." ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Find out what made the Top Yahoo! Searches of 2003 http://search.yahoo.com/top2003 From humania at t-online.de Sun Jan 4 17:37:51 2004 From: humania at t-online.de (Hubert Mania) Date: Sun, 4 Jan 2004 18:37:51 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality References: Message-ID: <001c01c3d2e9$7b5fe180$5b91fea9@kwasar> Robert said: > Hubert -- I believe Mark is intending this as an academic paper, not > for general consumption.....this stuff of rights, shoulds, oughts, > cans and can'ts does get discussed in styles similar to that that > Mark is using. Well, you're right, particularly as Mark has meanwhile stated himself. That style of writing and talking was one reason why I fled from University (German; Anglistics) and never choose an academic career. It would be an interesting job though to rewrite Mark's article in a way that satisfies academics and interested laymen, too. > I thought your comment about these things being "obvious" to people > with an ounce of common sense was interesting. In my reading of the > paper (I'm about 2/3 of the way through) it seems clear that Mark > is trying to present a response to Kass -- that it is immoral > to attempt to prevent people from having access to life extending > technologies. Maybe my own thinking lacks depth and thoroughness, but I think we might never get into a situation where we have this conflict, that people deny us access to life extending technologies. We either get it or we don't get it at all. The situation in Germany for example seems to lead to the point where all social forces of the country have to agree on techniques that might lead to immortality. The former President of the Max Planck societies for example said in an interview about uploading techniques, he had no fear about these things. He trusted in the social coordination process, a slow development that might lead to a solution that is acceptable for everybody. Well, slow enough probably to see all of us rotting away slowly under Alcor ice or a bit faster covered with damn ole Mother Earth. > It was only the use of the term "immortality" that I got stuck on. > We really need to come up with a better word -- making one up > if necessary What about *relative immortality* for the time being? It's simple enough, no sophisticated Greek required and relatively clear that you can still die in an accident or being caught and eaten up by a contemporary cannibal. Hubert From natasha at natasha.cc Sun Jan 4 19:38:16 2004 From: natasha at natasha.cc (Natasha Vita-More) Date: Sun, 04 Jan 2004 11:38:16 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] SPEAKER: Canada Conference Query Message-ID: <5.2.0.9.0.20040104112746.0338e590@pop.earthlink.net> The Directeur du Centre de Recherche en Biologie de la Reproduction in the D?partement de Sciences Animales, Universit? Laval asked me to suggest a French-speaking ExI member to deliver a comprehensive talk for both molecular scientists, ethicists and maybe a few journalist on "posthumans." It is large, multi-sciences meeting ( ACFAS , about 5000 delegates) that takes place in Montreal, Canada. If you speak French and can deliver an informative speech, please let me know soonest. Thanks, Natasha Natasha Vita-More http://www.natasha.cc ---------- President, Extropy Institute http://www.extropy.org Founder, Transhumanist Arts & Culture http://www.transhumanist.biz http://www.transhuman.org -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From dirk at neopax.com Sun Jan 4 18:28:54 2004 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Sun, 4 Jan 2004 18:28:54 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality References: <01ad01c3d24d$99dbcee0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT><015001c3d24f$3fc79680$d2256bd5@artemis><00de01c3d25b$0e2887e0$afcd5cd1@neptune> <022401c3d275$14a04440$d2256bd5@artemis> <016601c3d282$a2becaa0$afcd5cd1@neptune> Message-ID: <00c401c3d2f0$9c1bfdd0$d2256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Technotranscendence" To: "Dirk Bruere" ; "ExI chat list" Sent: Sunday, January 04, 2004 5:21 AM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality > > > > So it is legitimate to use force to > > overthrow any law you don't agree with > > in a democratic society? > > Note: I did not say all laws were unjust or un-libertarian. However, > the imposition of legislation is usually the initiation of force. In > such cases, it is legitimate, by libertarian standards, to retaliate. > Whether it's prudent is another matter. > > To answer your question more directly -- and I'll assume you mean > "disobey" where you write "overthrow"; please let me know if that > differs from your intended meaning -- it depends on the law in question. It does. Disobedience, or ignoring a law is one thing. The article compares denial of immortality treatment to murder. It's only a very short step from that to 'killing in self defence'. > In the context of this debate, the particular laws you were talking > about -- and correct me if I'm misunderstanding you -- would be ones > aimed at prohibiting life extension technology. I assumed you meant > something like parliament outlawing conventional supplements. In that > case, I see no reason to obey the law. Merely that one group of people > decided for all people that they can or cannot use a certain substance > to me is unjust and constitutes the initiation of force. It may be far more than simply denying what already exists. It may be denying the possibility of ever developing the technology in the first place. Which would be the next logical justification for 'self defence' to some. > > >> To drive this point home, imagine CPR > >> were outlawed in Ruritania. Would not > >> the Ruritanian government be the one > >> using "terrorism and oppression" in > >> this case against people needing CPR, > >> their relatives, > > > > No. > Then you appear to be a democratic absolutist. You see democracy as > legitimizing anything, right? As long as one can line up enough votes, > you seem to be saying, the government can do what it will. Pretty much so. As soon as people view their cause as the exception it's a recipe for war. > >> their friends, EMTs, etc.? Or is any act > >> by a democratic government okay? > > > > In general, yes, provided one is allowed > > freedom of speech (as well as the ability > > to leave). > leaders...) What do you mean by "the ability to leave"? Would that > include secession? By that I mean the ability to no longer be under the In the political context, I'd say yes. > juridiction of a particular government -- not leaving the territory > itself. If you agree with this, then you should see the ultimate end > state would be anarchy, since any minority or individual would be > allowed to break away from a democracy. And any democracy would be free to boycott and embargo the new state until it was starved into submission (unless it was truly viable). Better make sure they have some coastline or a friendly neighbour. Which rules out my home town seceding. Viability would be the major criterion. > If you don't mean that [secession], then I think what you advocating > would be oppressive. After all, this would be forcing people to leave > their homes because a government will otherwise trample them. In the > context of today's world, since there are basically only democracies of > different shades and the planet is pretty much carved up by them, where > would one go? That would be like telling someone in prison they can > have their choice of cell blocks. That's the way the world is. Your alternative is simply offering them the right to start a war in their own democracy. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From dirk at neopax.com Sun Jan 4 18:31:50 2004 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Sun, 4 Jan 2004 18:31:50 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality References: <003901c3d213$bbf6ef80$2ee4f418@markcomputer><009001c3d25e$7c303a00$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> <226e01c3d2d5$2be17a10$2ee4f418@markcomputer> Message-ID: <00ca01c3d2f1$04a21bf0$d2256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Mark Walker" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Sunday, January 04, 2004 3:12 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality > > > I'm not sure what to make of this. I don't see that Kass is saying that his > worldview is privileged in any untoward way. He offers arguments for the > ethical conclusions that he makes--if this is what you mean by a privileged > world view then I am equally guilty. Furthermore, as far as I can tell Kass > doesn't say that we should ration the lives of others, what he argues is > that it is morally impermissible to seek physical immortality. These claims > are distinct--as I point out in the paper. I think the whole idea of immortality should be downplayed as far as public consumption is concerned. The emphasis should be on Kass and co. preventing the development of medical technologies that could help tens of millions of ageing citizens. Maybe even to the point of propaganda - 'Kass aims to block cancer cure!' Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From samantha at objectent.com Sun Jan 4 19:02:38 2004 From: samantha at objectent.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Sun, 4 Jan 2004 11:02:38 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Simulation Argument critique (wasfermi'sparadox:m/d approach) In-Reply-To: <018a01c3d218$26d04fa0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> References: <20040102213248.4c191a2a.samantha@objectent.com> <018a01c3d218$26d04fa0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <20040104110238.19314cd1.samantha@objectent.com> On Sat, 3 Jan 2004 11:39:17 -0500 "Harvey Newstrom" wrote: > Samantha Atkins wrote, > > There are many things in science > > today that were not observed but were posited as "might be" > > explanations or even as pure thought experiments. A "might > > be" does not relegate its content to belonging to religion. > > I am surprised by the characterization. > > That doesn't make it science. If anyone ever develops a scientific theory, > scientific proof, scientific investigation, scientific explanation or > anything using the scientific method relating to the Simulation Argument, > then it might become science. Right now it is a religious belief, a fantasy > story or maybe even a philosophical musing. It seems that most people here > don't have a good definition for what is science or not. Arguing that it > "might be true" or "hasn't been disproved" doesn't make it science any more > than "Creation Science" is science. It is mere assertion to claim the simulation notion is a religious belief. Currently I consider it an intelliectual curiousity that certain types of (mainly statiscal and future assumptive) arguments lend some possibility to. I don't know if it can be scientifically tested at some future time or not or if rigourous scientific evidence will ever become available for it. I certainly don't find the current supporting argument compelling enough to believe it is true. But I think calling it "religious" is sloppy, prejudicial and uninteresting. > > The simulation argument is almost identical to the creation science > argument. Instead of evolving by itself, the universe was created > mid-stream with history already in place, and an external entity directing > its actions. We cannot detect that the history of carbon-dating or old > light from other stars was simulated by God instead of really coming from > those stars. This makes much of the Creation Science universe a simulation. > The intervention by God sometimes is like tweaking of the simulation. > Analagous reasoning is supposed to be more firmly "scientific". Come now. Why are we wasting our precious time bickering over something so small? Sure, sure in a sim you can set up whatever you wish within the limits of some level of self-consistency. But that by itself does not argue we are not in a sim or argue that even considering the possibility of being in a sim is itself "religious". > I don't see how anybody can believe in the simulation argument without > believing in most religions. I don't see how anybody can claim the > simulation argument is science without including most religions as science. > I will grant you that the simulation argument is the only way I could consider many religious notions as remotely corresponding to reality. But that doesn't make the simulation idea or considering it itself "religious". - samantha From samantha at objectent.com Sun Jan 4 19:07:42 2004 From: samantha at objectent.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Sun, 4 Jan 2004 11:07:42 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality In-Reply-To: <20040103193332.82096.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> References: <003901c3d213$bbf6ef80$2ee4f418@markcomputer> <20040103193332.82096.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20040104110742.54751bbd.samantha@objectent.com> On Sat, 3 Jan 2004 11:33:32 -0800 (PST) Mike Lorrey wrote: > > Contradiction: killing humans who would otherwise prevent others from > gaining access to radical life extension technology, to such a degree > as to cause death. Is it wrong to kill such humans or not? > It would be more ideal to contain, stop or in practice defeat their intentions while leaving them time enough to reconsider. This may not always be possible in practice though. So yes, it is wrong. Like many wrongs there can be circumstances where it is the lesser of evils. - s From samantha at objectent.com Sun Jan 4 19:11:54 2004 From: samantha at objectent.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Sun, 4 Jan 2004 11:11:54 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality In-Reply-To: <015001c3d24f$3fc79680$d2256bd5@artemis> References: <01ad01c3d24d$99dbcee0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> <015001c3d24f$3fc79680$d2256bd5@artemis> Message-ID: <20040104111154.326367d3.samantha@objectent.com> On Sat, 3 Jan 2004 23:13:50 -0000 "Dirk Bruere" wrote: > > Another problem is defining what is meant by 'prevent'. > Does it mean speaking against? > Speaking against pursuasively? > Legislating against in a democracy? > If any of the above you are talking about justifying terrorism and > oppression. I lost you. None of the things listed are terrorism or justification for terrorism. What were you intending to get across? -s From natasha at natasha.cc Sun Jan 4 21:27:05 2004 From: natasha at natasha.cc (Natasha Vita-More) Date: Sun, 04 Jan 2004 13:27:05 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality In-Reply-To: <00ca01c3d2f1$04a21bf0$d2256bd5@artemis> References: <003901c3d213$bbf6ef80$2ee4f418@markcomputer> <009001c3d25e$7c303a00$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> <226e01c3d2d5$2be17a10$2ee4f418@markcomputer> Message-ID: <5.2.0.9.0.20040104132433.02e14710@pop.earthlink.net> At 06:31 PM 1/4/04 +0000, Brett wrote: >----- Original Message ----- >From: "Mark Walker" >To: "ExI chat list" >Sent: Sunday, January 04, 2004 3:12 PM >Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality > > > > > > > I'm not sure what to make of this. I don't see that Kass is saying that >his > > worldview is privileged in any untoward way. He offers arguments for the > > ethical conclusions that he makes--if this is what you mean by a >privileged > > world view then I am equally guilty. Furthermore, as far as I can tell >Kass > > doesn't say that we should ration the lives of others, what he argues is > > that it is morally impermissible to seek physical immortality. These >claims > > are distinct--as I point out in the paper. > > >I think the whole idea of immortality should be downplayed as far as public >consumption is concerned. Journalists - in the media or print - prefer to use the term "immortality" rather than indefinite life span, because of the nature of the word imortality. It is eye-catching, has a history of symbols, myths and metaphors attached to it, and implies the impossible. >The emphasis should be on Kass and co. preventing the development of medical >technologies that could help tens of millions of ageing citizens. >Maybe even to the point of propaganda - 'Kass aims to block cancer cure!' I agree. Natasha Natasha Vita-More http://www.natasha.cc ---------- President, Extropy Institute http://www.extropy.org Founder, Transhumanist Arts & Culture http://www.transhumanist.biz http://www.transhuman.org -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From samantha at objectent.com Sun Jan 4 19:19:28 2004 From: samantha at objectent.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Sun, 4 Jan 2004 11:19:28 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Simulation Argument critique (wasfermi'sparadox:m/dapproach) In-Reply-To: <01af01c3d257$3a512510$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> References: <01af01c3d257$3a512510$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <20040104111928.5ad63905.samantha@objectent.com> On Sat, 3 Jan 2004 19:10:57 -0500 "Harvey Newstrom" wrote: > > > Now interestingly this would seem to put string & brane > > theory in the category of religions (from Harvey's > > perspective I think) because they can probably never be > > tested. I think this leads into some very very subtle > > distinctions, e.g.: > > a) What can never be proven; > > b) What can be proven only by mathematics; > > c) What can be proven only by mathematics with certain assumptions; > > d) What can be proven by experiment. > > > > Feel free to throw stones -- I'm just thinking out loud and > > have some other emails that require attention. > > I agree with this hierarchy. I someone who believes in "a" believes in a > religion. Someone who believes in "d" is a scientist. Someone who believes > in "b" or "c" is a theoretician. > Well, there is a bit of a problem here. It can never be proven that X can never be proven except for a very few highly tuned impossibile statements. We have no valid algorithm for determining (a). Nor is it clear than only mathematics and experiment qualify notions as being outside of "religion". Nor is it clear what this evil and ambiguous "religon" cloud includes in your view. It seems it includes an awful lot. -s From samantha at objectent.com Sun Jan 4 19:26:36 2004 From: samantha at objectent.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Sun, 4 Jan 2004 11:26:36 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality In-Reply-To: <00de01c3d25b$0e2887e0$afcd5cd1@neptune> References: <01ad01c3d24d$99dbcee0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> <015001c3d24f$3fc79680$d2256bd5@artemis> <00de01c3d25b$0e2887e0$afcd5cd1@neptune> Message-ID: <20040104112636.27e300ef.samantha@objectent.com> On Sat, 3 Jan 2004 19:38:20 -0500 "Technotranscendence" wrote: > On Saturday, January 03, 2004 6:13 PM Dirk Bruere dirk at neopax.com wrote: > > Another problem is defining what is meant by 'prevent'. > > Does it mean speaking against? > > Speaking against pursuasively? > > Legislating against in a democracy? > > If any of the above you are talking about > > justifying terrorism and oppression. > > I haven't read Mark's essay, but just from reading this thread, I fear > some might interpret it very broadly to mean even such things as not > subsidizing other people's life extension program. For strict > egalitarians, this might mean my failure to fund everyone else's life > extension program constitutes my "deny[ing them] access to radical life > extension technology." > The flipside is more positive. Ideally we can invent life extension technology that can be made available to all people. It is good to work in this direction. But *any* life extension is better than none. > I would hope that's not what Mark intended, but I can imagine others > taking the argument in that direction. > > However, I disagree with you [Dirk] here about the last instance. > Legislating against something usually means initiating force. Once a > person or a group has initiated force, retaliating against such is not > "terrorism and oppression" per se, but a just response -- depending on > it being justly carried out. > > I mean here that if the government of, say, Ruritania outlaws > supplements, it is not wrong for Ruritanian life extensionists to > disobey that law. However, it would be wrong to, say, bomb Ruritania's > whole population. Specific acts against Ruritanian legislators and law > enforcement agents, though, might not be un-libertarian and would have > to measured against their justness and their likely consequences. > But having a first choice of killing said legislators and law enforcemnent would be wrong. That they are highly mistaken or corrupt or whatever on this subject at the moment does not mean they should automatically forfeit immortality. The big change is that we see all people as potential immortals, not immortalization of their current positions, but potentially immortal beings with capacity to learn, grow and self-perfect like ourselves. If we really *get* this, I think we will begin to behave a bit differently. - samantha From samantha at objectent.com Sun Jan 4 19:35:59 2004 From: samantha at objectent.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Sun, 4 Jan 2004 11:35:59 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality In-Reply-To: <022401c3d275$14a04440$d2256bd5@artemis> References: <01ad01c3d24d$99dbcee0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> <015001c3d24f$3fc79680$d2256bd5@artemis> <00de01c3d25b$0e2887e0$afcd5cd1@neptune> <022401c3d275$14a04440$d2256bd5@artemis> Message-ID: <20040104113559.72522dd0.samantha@objectent.com> On Sun, 4 Jan 2004 03:44:39 -0000 "Dirk Bruere" wrote: > > However, I disagree with you [Dirk] here about the last instance. > > Legislating against something usually means initiating force. Once a > > person or a group has initiated force, retaliating against such is not > > "terrorism and oppression" per se, but a just response -- depending on > > it being justly carried out. > > So it is legitimate to use force to overthrow any law you don't agree with > in a democratic society? > Not *any* but laws that are odds with the arguable very basic premises of the society are far game for circumvention by whatever means. Laws that cause self-immolation if obeyed are a case in point. Democracy is not a higher value than life itself or a higher value than human rights or freedom. Legislators can err and err terribly. Just because they arrived at their error by democratic means does not make it less erroneous or more rational to go along with the error. > > > their friends, EMTs, etc.? Or is any act by a democratic government > > okay? > > In general, yes, provided one is allowed freedom of speech (as well as the > ability to leave). > This is patently false. Freedom of speech but not freedom to act against an erroneous and evil law is no freedom at all. Leave? That is only practical in the first instance if there is somewhere else better to go to. And why should one leave one's home because of the error of merely human legislators? - s From samantha at objectent.com Sun Jan 4 19:41:34 2004 From: samantha at objectent.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Sun, 4 Jan 2004 11:41:34 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality In-Reply-To: <20040104052205.53343.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> References: <01ad01c3d24d$99dbcee0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> <20040104052205.53343.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20040104114134.5386ee34.samantha@objectent.com> On Sat, 3 Jan 2004 21:22:05 -0800 (PST) Mike Lorrey wrote: > So, you are dying of a disease. I use the law to prevent you from > obtaining the treatment you need to live. You WILL die, if you don't > get this treatment. Are you justified in using ANY means to prevent my > actions or not? > I am justified in using any means not worse than the existing situation that have a likelihood of working. Killing you in the above scenario will not chance the law although it would satisfy an urge to revenge. > Others have already died from my actions, so it is demonstrably true > that you will die as well if I am not stopped. At what point is any > action against me acceptable in defense of your life? Why is this not > plain and simple and morally acceptable self defense on your part? > The most likely good action is to expose your evil and remove you from any position where you can do much harm until (hopefully) you learn better. Killing you is not the first alternative, it is the last and only then if it will actually improve the situations you have perpetuated. > Self defense is not evil. Why is this not self defense? > Self defense can take many forms. Some forms are more than what is necessary for rational defense. - samantha From samantha at objectent.com Sun Jan 4 19:50:56 2004 From: samantha at objectent.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Sun, 4 Jan 2004 11:50:56 -0800 Subject: Fw: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality In-Reply-To: <222c01c3d2cc$cf6267c0$2ee4f418@markcomputer> References: <222c01c3d2cc$cf6267c0$2ee4f418@markcomputer> Message-ID: <20040104115056.51c05500.samantha@objectent.com> On Sun, 4 Jan 2004 09:12:38 -0500 I agree with some of Hubert's points. I would also remove the notion that abortion is morally impermissable as that begs a few questions and throws a controversy in that is not necessary to your point. Not addressing the moral permissibility of using life extension technology is a major hole in your argument in my view. It cannot be morally not permitted to stop others from doing that which is not morally permitted if that act in question has serious repurcussions on others. I am sorry I commented before reading. The general question could be much better addressed than by using some specious abortion argument. Please try again. -s From dirk at neopax.com Sun Jan 4 20:08:41 2004 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Sun, 4 Jan 2004 20:08:41 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality References: <01ad01c3d24d$99dbcee0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT><015001c3d24f$3fc79680$d2256bd5@artemis> <20040104111154.326367d3.samantha@objectent.com> Message-ID: <011a01c3d2fe$8c3d0040$d2256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Samantha Atkins" To: "Dirk Bruere" ; "ExI chat list" Sent: Sunday, January 04, 2004 7:11 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality > On Sat, 3 Jan 2004 23:13:50 -0000 > "Dirk Bruere" wrote: > > > > > > Another problem is defining what is meant by 'prevent'. > > Does it mean speaking against? > > Speaking against pursuasively? > > Legislating against in a democracy? > > If any of the above you are talking about justifying terrorism and > > oppression. > > I lost you. None of the things listed are terrorism or justification for terrorism. What were you intending to get across? I'm lost as well. The bandwidth whiners have forced us to cut context to the point where there is no point anymore. Look as the immediately preceding mail if you can be bothered (I can't). Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Sun Jan 4 20:46:40 2004 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Sun, 4 Jan 2004 15:46:40 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality In-Reply-To: <20040104052205.53343.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <002401c3d303$ddf501d0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Mike Lorrey wrote, > So, you are dying of a disease. I use the law to prevent you > from obtaining the treatment you need to live. You WILL die, > if you don't get this treatment. Are you justified in using > ANY means to prevent my actions or not? I will obtain treatment for myself even if it is illegal. No action against the luddites who brought about the law is necessary. > Others have already died from my actions, so it is > demonstrably true that you will die as well if I am not > stopped. At what point is any action against me acceptable in > defense of your life? Why is this not plain and simple and > morally acceptable self defense on your part? Self defense is hiding from the authorities, getting treatment anyway, lobbying to get the law changed, etc. Killing the person who championed the law won't change the law. Killing congress members until I get my way is called terrorism and probably won't get me justice. Killing the police person coming to get me won't lessen the resources allocated to capture me. I really don't see how killing people trying to enforce this law helps me get my treatment in any way. This is a poor example of having to choose the lesser of two evils, because my goal is not directly served by harming anyone. > Self defense is not evil. Why is this not self defense? People with guns often confuse killing someone with self-defense. Killing is an offensive act. It only protects you if you have a lone assailant and you can wipe out the entire opposing team in one shot. I do not believe killing a police officer, congress member, or luddite will help. You will make them a martyr, and more will join their cause to fight you. I see no net gain, only net losses, in using violence under this scenario. That is why I am opposed, not for mere political reasons, but for more pragmatic reasons that I don't think this "solution" solves anything. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From bradbury at aeiveos.com Sun Jan 4 21:00:50 2004 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Sun, 4 Jan 2004 13:00:50 -0800 (PST) Subject: Fw: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality In-Reply-To: <20040104115056.51c05500.samantha@objectent.com> Message-ID: On Sun, 4 Jan 2004, Samantha Atkins wrote: > I agree with some of Hubert's points. I would also remove the notion > that abortion is morally impermissable as that begs a few questions and > throws a controversy in that is not necessary to your point. Well this isn't really Mark's point -- he is simply pointing out that if the objection to preventing access to life extending technologies is based on the right to a future -- then abortion is going to come up in the minds of critics. I'm going to raise this topic in my comments to him -- it twists extensively in which rights trump other rights. For example being forced to have and care for an unwanted child may significantly damage the futures of both the child and mother. Or giving the child up for adoption may produce similar results. But all of this has probably been extensively examined in the abortion debates. IMO, the key question may revolve around -- when precisely does one have a "future"? A human fetus or an infant have no capability for self-enabled survival without depending upon their society or parent(s). This is in contrast to many newborn animals have a reasonable chance at survival (having a future) from the time they are born/hatched/etc. There is also the fundamental problem that given cloning technology, many of the cells in your body have the potential for producing another human being. So the cells of your stomach, intestine, skin, etc. (e.g. cells with any turnover) are effectively performing abortions on a daily basis. > Not addressing the moral permissibility of using life extension > technology is a major hole in your argument in my view. It cannot be > morally not permitted to stop others from doing that which is not > morally permitted if that act in question has serious repurcussions on > others. This gets into how philosophers and ethicists debate these topics. Its been more than a decade since I've studied these so my memory may be a bit fuzzy -- but it comes down to cases where one is morally obligated not to interfere and cases where one is morally obligated to take action. Mark is dealing just with the first and not with the second. To deal with the second effectively one has to argue strongly for something like a socialistic or communistic environment or programming all humans to be completely altruistic, etc. That is a much harder argument to make (and would certainly cause a number of people on this list to get really PO :-)). > I am sorry I commented before reading. The general question could be > much better addressed than by using some specious abortion argument. > Please try again. I think Mark only uses the abortion argument in passing -- simply pointing out there is a value to "future life" -- be it for a fetus, an infant, a normal human, or a human with an extended life. What is missing (from my perspective as an extropian) is any comment (from what I have read thus far) on the fact that there may be an inherent value (and right to preserve) to accumulated information/knowledge. I.e. the past of a 1000 year old individual is greater than the past of a 100 y.o. individual is greater than the past of a 3 month old fetus. At an extremely gross level Extropians (vs. say transhumanists) might argue that there is a very concrete scale in terms of the value of information or experience content and so one adjusts the "right to life" based on that. Of course after one grants that one immediately gets into a discussion of the actual extropic value of the information. I think this gets into areas related to what one thinks when one cleans ones closet or ones garage. What is *really* worth something? Robert From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Sun Jan 4 21:08:18 2004 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Sun, 4 Jan 2004 16:08:18 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <002501c3d306$e092afc0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Robert J. Bradbury wrote, > It was only the use of the term "immortality" that I got > stuck on. We really need to come up with a better word -- > making one up if necessary -- to get to the point where the > word means exactly what we want it to mean -- nothing more > and nothing less. Actually, I like using normal terms like "life-saving". The technology we want is simply "life-saving". It doesn't matter if the people we want to save are old or have already lived a long enough life by someone else's standards. They still don't want to die and want to be saved. The same technology can save a child with premature aging as well as an old person with natural aging. We don't need different and special terms. I think it is simpler to keep the terms similar. I don't think we need any special technologies to reach indefinite immortality. I think the same technologies that cure aging diseases will postpone aging death. We keep curing our current ailments within our lifetimes, and we push away death further and further. I think we can drop the idea of immortality altogether (in these arguments) and just push for better healthcare. Cure wrinkle-lines on my face. Cure DNA damage as I get older. Cure Alzheimer's and brain malfunctions. Cure cancer. Simply work toward curing diseases, including age-related diseases, and we will keep stalling death. We don't need to focus just on curing diseases for people who have reached a ripe old age. These cures work for everyone of all ages. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From xllb at rogers.com Sun Jan 4 21:08:01 2004 From: xllb at rogers.com (xllb at rogers.com) Date: Sun, 4 Jan 2004 16:08:01 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality Message-ID: <20040104210801.CIPN430912.fep04-mail.bloor.is.net.cable.rogers.com@localhost> Robert J. Bradbury wrote > It was only the use of the term "immortality" that I got stuck on. > We really need to come up with a better word -- making one up > if necessary -- to get to the point where the word means exactly > what we want it to mean -- nothing more and nothing less. > I thought of hyperlongevity and superlongevity but playing around > with the dictionary they don't seem quite right. I managed > to come up with "itlongveos" - literally to go for long life > or close there to. But I suspect someone with a better grasp > of latin or greek could come up with something better. > What I would really like is a word for something involving > an indefinitely long healthy life or life without limits. > > Robert > How about "sempiternal"? xllb "Dogma blinds." "Hell is overkill." From thespike at earthlink.net Sun Jan 4 21:41:31 2004 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Sun, 4 Jan 2004 15:41:31 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality References: Message-ID: <00d601c3d30b$872425e0$bd994a43@texas.net> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Robert J. Bradbury" Sent: Sunday, January 04, 2004 8:37 AM > What I would really like is a word for something involving > an indefinitely long healthy life or life without limits. As several of us have said previously, Brian Stableford's `emortality' is excellent. Without the *necessity* of death. It *might* happen eventually by accident, cosmic disaster, or by free choice, but it isn't any longer part of an inevitable contingently-evolved design or destiny (where such `destiny' is nothing more than the previously inevitable outcome of innumerable and unrepairable small shocks and insults to the body over time). Damien Broderick From bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au Sun Jan 4 21:50:37 2004 From: bpaatsch at bigpond.net.au (Brett Paatsch) Date: Mon, 5 Jan 2004 08:50:37 +1100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality References: <003901c3d213$bbf6ef80$2ee4f418@markcomputer> <009001c3d25e$7c303a00$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> <226e01c3d2d5$2be17a10$2ee4f418@markcomputer> Message-ID: <00f901c3d30c$c9fbda60$2d242dcb@vic.bigpond.net.au> Mark Walker wrote: > > From: "Brett Paatsch" < > > > Looks like a suboptimal moral argument to run. Why not > > run instead: > > > > On what basis does *any* human individual *presume* to > > *ration* the lifespan of any other human individual? > > > The answer to this question is in the paper itself. Ok. But the answer to the question in general is not the same as having other people ask it of Kass in particular. I don't know if you seen the Movie Inherit the Wind about the Scopes Monkey Trial? If you haven't its worth a look. Anyone that tries to impose their morality on other people places themselves in a position of separation from all other people. The challenge is how to tease that out. The lawyer defending Scopes in the monkey trial (in the movie) does it well. He shows that its not the Bible per se (in Kass case - perhaps instead of the bible its conventional morality (but as *he* see's it) and his interpretation is only one interpretation) - what still remains unclear (and dangerous) is why one interpretation gets to be priviledged. Perhaps I can't make this point - in this manner. To obtuse. If not sorry. > Opponents of radical life extension may agree that one should not > ration the "normal" lifespan of individuals but radical life extension > goes beyond this. Yes. What is normal though? That the pivot point. Some of your class will have a concept of normal as 3 score and 10, but they know there is a range around that. Explore how they feel if their life expectancy was to be halved as a result of some rationing decision. A policy decision. Related to health economics or something. Old people are too expensive etc. Or the too sick young are too expensive to treat and so don't get the normal life expectancy because the treatments haven't been developed. Get your class to examine what happens when normal is investigated closer. Normal has shifted greatly if the WHO life expectancy figures are tracked. Who'd want to go back to what was normal say 100 years ago as opposed to now. Or 50. On what basis? - That sort of thing. > For example, opponents might think that the former > follows from a "right to life" but disagree that a right to life implies a > "right to an immortal life". Immortal is going to be a problem in a philosophical discussion I'd think as its not real. > Thus, I think our opponents will see a principled distinction between > rationing mortal lives and immortal lives whereas we don't. I'm sure you are right on this if you leave "normal" and "immortal" alone. > I'm trying to offer an argument against such a principled distinction. I understand. >So, I think at least some of our opponents will say that your sketch > of an argument begs one of the main questions. Yes. I'm sorry it was only a sketch. > > I prefer to see them (Kass etc) have to make their case with the > > world looking and wondering how they (Kass etc) got to > > consider that their particular worldview should be particularly > > priviledged. How is it that Kass presumes the wisdom and moral > > judgement to ration other peoples lives... Let Kass etc **make** > > their case if they can - whilst having to *conspicuously* carrying > > the full burden of their prejudice. > I'm not sure what to make of this. I don't see that Kass is saying that > his worldview is privileged in any untoward way. Kass is good. I.e Effective. I don't know him to be immoral. To beat his arguments will not be easy. You can't afford (we can't afford) to let him have exclusive right to all that is perceived as normal and also argue for something as intractable (unrealistic) as immortality ourselves. >He offers arguments > for the ethical conclusions that he makes--if this is what you mean > by a privileged world view then I am equally guilty. I know. Some of his arguments are good ones. That's not what I meant. The best I can offer is the Inherit the Wind business. You will not be able to beat Kass if Kass is right. :-) >Furthermore, as far as I can tell Kass doesn't say that we >should ration the lives of others, what he argues is that it is morally > impermissible to seek physical immortality. These claims > are distinct--as I point out in the paper. I accept that having not read the paper my comments are largely gratuitous. Sorry for that. I will read it later if I get time. Regards, Brett Paatsch From mark at permanentend.org Sun Jan 4 21:45:13 2004 From: mark at permanentend.org (Mark Walker) Date: Sun, 4 Jan 2004 16:45:13 -0500 Subject: Fw: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality References: <222c01c3d2cc$cf6267c0$2ee4f418@markcomputer> <20040104115056.51c05500.samantha@objectent.com> Message-ID: <23f801c3d30c$0f4feb70$2ee4f418@markcomputer> - From: "Samantha Atkins" > > I agree with some of Hubert's points. I would also remove the notion that abortion is morally impermissable as that begs a few questions and throws a controversy in that is not necessary to your point. > I don't claim that abortion is morally impermissible. Nor does Marquis claim that his argument on its own is sufficient to prove abortion is morally impermissible. > Not addressing the moral permissibility of using life extension technology is a major hole in your argument in my view. It cannot be morally not permitted to stop others from doing that which is not morally permitted if that act in question has serious repercussions on others. > I do consider repercussions on others, e.g., overpopulation and considerations of distributive justice. If my argument is correct the repercussions for others will have to be pretty serious in order to trump the value of a future-like-ours. > I am sorry I commented before reading. The general question could be much better addressed than by using some specious abortion argument. Please try again. > Thanks for your comments. Mark Walker, PhD Research Associate, Philosophy, Trinity College University of Toronto Room 214 Gerald Larkin Building 15 Devonshire Place Toronto M5S 1H8 www.permanentend.org From xllb at rogers.com Sun Jan 4 21:49:13 2004 From: xllb at rogers.com (xllb at rogers.com) Date: Sun, 4 Jan 2004 16:49:13 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality Message-ID: <20040104214913.CTGA430912.fep04-mail.bloor.is.net.cable.rogers.com@localhost> Robert J. Bradbury wrote > Hi, > > > How about "sempiternal"? > > Could you break it down for the list -- my books on Greek > terms (if it is derived from Greek) aren't good enough > to parse it. > > Thanks, > R. sem?pi?ter?nal Enduring forever; eternal. [Middle English, from Old French sempiternel, from Late Latin sempitern lis, from Latin sempiternus : semper, always; see sem-1 in Indo-European Roots + aeternus, eternal; see aiw- in Indo-European Roots.] from dictionary.com regards xllb "Dogma blinds." "Hell is overkill." From mark at permanentend.org Sun Jan 4 22:30:28 2004 From: mark at permanentend.org (Mark Walker) Date: Sun, 4 Jan 2004 17:30:28 -0500 Subject: Fw: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality References: Message-ID: <241b01c3d312$5c6d87e0$2ee4f418@markcomputer> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Robert J. Bradbury" > > I'm going to raise this topic in my comments to him -- it twists > extensively in which rights trump other rights. For example being > forced to have and care for an unwanted child may significantly > damage the futures of both the child and mother. Or giving > the child up for adoption may produce similar results. But > all of this has probably been extensively examined in the abortion > debates. > > IMO, the key question may revolve around -- when precisely does one > have a "future"? A human fetus or an infant have no capability for > self-enabled survival without depending upon their society or > parent(s). This is in contrast to many newborn animals > have a reasonable chance at survival (having a future) > from the time they are born/hatched/etc. > Marquis thinks that individuals have a future-like-ours once they are a zygote. He is NOT saying that they are a person, only that the fetus has a future-like-ours. I don't think the capacity for self-enabled survival is key since then it would be morally permissible to kill adults or children who do not possess self-enabled survival. That said, clearly the value of the fetus' future must be weighed against the value of women to do in and to their body what they want. Perhaps ectogenesis will allow us to sidestep the whole abortion debate. > There is also the fundamental problem that given cloning technology, > many of the cells in your body have the potential for producing > another human being. So the cells of your stomach, intestine, > skin, etc. (e.g. cells with any turnover) are effectively > performing abortions on a daily basis. > Yes, this brings up the question of how far one should count something as having a future-like-ours. Should we lament the lost future-like-ours of sperm in a condom? (Marquis says no). > > Not addressing the moral permissibility of using life extension > > technology is a major hole in your argument in my view. It cannot be > > morally not permitted to stop others from doing that which is not > > morally permitted if that act in question has serious repurcussions on > > others. > > This gets into how philosophers and ethicists debate these > topics. Its been more than a decade since I've studied these > so my memory may be a bit fuzzy -- but it comes down to > cases where one is morally obligated not to interfere and > cases where one is morally obligated to take action. Mark > is dealing just with the first and not with the second. > To deal with the second effectively one has to argue strongly > for something like a socialistic or communistic environment > or programming all humans to be completely altruistic, etc. > That is a much harder argument to make (and would certainly > cause a number of people on this list to get really PO :-)). > This is the sort of distinction I am trying to draw. Suppose you ask a group of people whether abortion is morally permissible and you get a 50/50 divide. Now ask the same group whether it is morally permissible to deny access to abortions through public policy or other means. Now you'll get something like an 80/20 split with the same group with the 80 believing that it is not permissible to prevent access. So although there is an even split on the "theoretical" question the pro-abortion debate wins on the "practical" question. It would be nice to win on both accounts but I only address the "practical" question. I think we have a real chance of getting an even better split than the abortion debate if we can show that preventing access to radical life extension technology is morally equivalent to denying access to "traditional" life extension technology like blood transfusions. This is of course the point of a value of a future-like-ours. > > I am sorry I commented before reading. The general question could be > > much better addressed than by using some specious abortion argument. > > Please try again. > > I think Mark only uses the abortion argument in passing -- simply pointing > out there is a value to "future life" -- be it for a fetus, an infant, > a normal human, or a human with an extended life. > Exactly. > What is missing (from my perspective as an extropian) is any > comment (from what I have read thus far) on the fact that there > may be an inherent value (and right to preserve) to accumulated > information/knowledge. I.e. the past of a 1000 year old > individual is greater than the past of a 100 y.o. individual > is greater than the past of a 3 month old fetus. At an > extremely gross level Extropians (vs. say transhumanists) > might argue that there is a very concrete scale in terms > of the value of information or experience content and so > one adjusts the "right to life" based on that. Of course > after one grants that one immediately gets into a discussion > of the actual extropic value of the information. I think > this gets into areas related to what one thinks when one > cleans ones closet or ones garage. What is *really* worth > something? > > I agree this is worth exploring. I briefly in hint at this near the end where I talk about an obligation to immortality. If we suppose that knowledge and achievement of goals have intrinsic worth (as do many "perfectionist" ethicists), and one's ability to realize these values increases with age then we have an argument for a (prima facie) duty to immortality. Cheers, Mark Mark Walker, PhD Research Associate, Philosophy, Trinity College University of Toronto Room 214 Gerald Larkin Building 15 Devonshire Place Toronto M5S 1H8 www.permanentend.org From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Sun Jan 4 22:41:34 2004 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Sun, 4 Jan 2004 17:41:34 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality In-Reply-To: <00d601c3d30b$872425e0$bd994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <002901c3d313$ead28390$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Damien Broderick wrote, > As several of us have said previously, Brian Stableford's > `emortality' is excellent. Without the *necessity* of death. I really hate made-up words because they convey nothing to people who hear them for the first time. While jargon is useful as shorthand for lengthy conversations, it is not useful for short soundbites and PR purposes. How about "ageless" as a word? We aren't growing older toward dying of old-age. But it implies nothing about living forever or not dying by some other means. Or how about wanting "ongoing health" as a phrase? We want our health to continue without falling into an inevitable decline with no recourse. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From mark at permanentend.org Sun Jan 4 23:02:40 2004 From: mark at permanentend.org (Mark Walker) Date: Sun, 4 Jan 2004 18:02:40 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality References: <002901c3d313$ead28390$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <244b01c3d316$db187420$2ee4f418@markcomputer> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Harvey Newstrom" > How about "ageless" as a word? We aren't growing older toward dying of > old-age. But it implies nothing about living forever or not dying by some > other means. Or how about wanting "ongoing health" as a phrase? We want > our health to continue without falling into an inevitable decline with no > recourse. > I like 'ageless'. It is descriptive and doesn't look like an attempt to hide behind jargon. It is noteworthy too that Kass uses it in the title of one of his papers: 'Ageless bodies and Happy Souls'. Cheers, Mark Mark Walker, PhD Research Associate, Philosophy, Trinity College University of Toronto Room 214 Gerald Larkin Building 15 Devonshire Place Toronto M5S 1H8 www.permanentend.org From natasha at natasha.cc Mon Jan 5 01:27:52 2004 From: natasha at natasha.cc (Natasha Vita-More) Date: Sun, 04 Jan 2004 17:27:52 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Was: Essay on Physical Immortality In-Reply-To: <244b01c3d316$db187420$2ee4f418@markcomputer> References: <002901c3d313$ead28390$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <5.2.0.9.0.20040104172428.02c0e170@pop.earthlink.net> >From: "Harvey Newstrom" > > > How about "ageless" as a word? We aren't growing older toward dying of > > old-age. But it implies nothing about living forever or not dying by some > > other means. "Ageless Thinking" talk I presented at Alcor Technology Conference, and essay in my book (1996). http://www.natasha.cc/ageless.htm From thespike at earthlink.net Sun Jan 4 23:27:39 2004 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Sun, 4 Jan 2004 17:27:39 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality (terminology) References: <002901c3d313$ead28390$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> <244b01c3d316$db187420$2ee4f418@markcomputer> Message-ID: <014f01c3d31a$59da6040$bd994a43@texas.net> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Mark Walker" Sent: Sunday, January 04, 2004 5:02 PM > From: "Harvey Newstrom" > > How about "ageless" as a word? > I like 'ageless'. It is descriptive and doesn't look like an attempt to hide > behind jargon. It's good by itself, better than, say, `antiagathic' (James Blish's 50-year old term). But it leads to the horrid eye- and mouthful of `agelessness', compared to the nifty `emortal' => `emortality'. We have the same trouble with `deathless' (`deathlessness') , unless the general condition is `deathlessanity'. :) Harvey mentioned his dislike of made-up words, but it didn't seem to stand in the way of laser, television, telephone, car, xerox, google... (True, most of these items already existed and were on the market, so it was convenient to embrace the term.) I know this seems trivial, but selling the message crisply is often as important as having the right message. Besides, when it happens the common word will emerge over the top of our heads. It'll probably be something like `zombies' or `ghouls' or `snakes'... Damien Broderick From jcorb at iol.ie Mon Jan 5 00:03:38 2004 From: jcorb at iol.ie (J Corbally) Date: Mon, 05 Jan 2004 00:03:38 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] NEWS: US mission lands safely on Mars Message-ID: <5.0.2.1.1.20040104235452.027c1ba0@pop.iol.ie> A good day to be human! ; >US mission lands safely on Mars http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/3365371.stm >A US space agency probe has sent back its first images of Mars within >hours of arriving on the planet. >The Spirit rover survived the perilous plunge through the Martian >atmosphere after a seven-month voyage from Earth. >The six-wheeled robot will seek signs that Mars was once capable of >supporting life. >A second rover, named Opportunity, is expected to land on the other side >of the planet at the end of January. >The pictures show the barren, rock-strewn landscape around the rover. >"The images are outstanding," science manager John Callas said. "The >quality [is] the best that has been taken. This is incredible. This could >not be better." Here's hoping Opportunity goes just as well. Also, there's a further chance for Beagle 2 now that Mars Express will be overhead soon. James.... From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Sun Jan 4 23:58:08 2004 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Sun, 4 Jan 2004 18:58:08 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Was: Essay on Physical Immortality In-Reply-To: <5.2.0.9.0.20040104172428.02c0e170@pop.earthlink.net> Message-ID: <002e01c3d31e$9d6d6e20$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Natasha Vita-More wrote, > "Ageless Thinking" talk I presented at Alcor Technology > Conference, and essay in my book (1996). > Perfect! That's what I want to be: "ageless". I don't know if immortality is possible or even desirable. I may change my mind in a million years. But I do no that I want to undo aging damage right now. "Ageless" seems to be what I want to be. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From rhanson at gmu.edu Mon Jan 5 00:18:45 2004 From: rhanson at gmu.edu (Robin Hanson) Date: Sun, 04 Jan 2004 19:18:45 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Darwinian dynamics unlikely to apply to superintelligence In-Reply-To: <3FF5FEA2.8040900@pobox.com> References: <8765fut8zd.fsf@snark.piermont.com> <20031231094734.GE11973@digitalkingdom.org> <3FF309F8.6000502@yifan.net> <20031231195904.GN11973@digitalkingdom.org> <87llorutus.fsf@snark.piermont.com> <20040102014258.GW11973@digitalkingdom.org> <8765fut8zd.fsf@snark.piermont.com> Message-ID: <5.2.1.1.2.20040104171912.020ca520@mail.gmu.edu> On 1/2/2004, Eliezer S. Yudkowsky wrote: >Perry E. Metzger wrote: Was this on this list? If so, when? I didn't see this message. >>>>the laws of physics and the rules of math don't cease to apply. >>>>That leads me to believe that evolution doesn't stop. That further >>>>leads me to believe that nature -- bloody in tooth and claw, ... >>>>will simply be taken to the next level. ... >>>You've taken one sample set, Earth, and implied from the course of >>>evolution on Earth that it is a *law of physics* that violent >>>conflict occur. >>Evolution isn't something you can avoid. Deep down, all it says is >>"you find more of that which survives and spreads itself", which is so >>close to a tautology that it is damn hard to dispute. ... > >The replicator dynamics, like all math equations, generally are provable >and hence what people would call "tautological" when applied to the real >world. The question is whether the variables take on any interesting >values. Price's Equation is a tautology, ... can apply it to pebbles on >the seashore, for example, ... the question of whether one >is dealing with infinitesimal quantities that obey a replicator equation, >or large quantities; small handful of generations, or millions of >generations; whether there is enough selection pressure, over a long >enough period of time, to produce complex information of the sort we're >used to seeing in biology. ... Even if blue pebbles survive some tiny >amount better, it doesn't mean that in 20,000 years all the pebbles on the >seashore will be intensely blue. >Correspondingly, we can expect that any SI we deal with will exclude the >set of SIs that immediately shut themselves down, and that whichever SI we >see will be the result of an optimization process that was capable of >self-optimization and preferred that choice. But this does not imply that >any SI we deal with will attach a huge intrinsic utility to its own survival. >If you have an optimization system, ... like the expected utility equation, >then, ... instrumental expected utility for the continued operation of an >optimization system similar to the one doing the calculation, ... >Similarly, ... we should expect that optimization process to >optimize all available matter, ... they will *all* choose to absorb all >nearby matter. ... most any optimization process ... defend itself from >a hostile optimization process - as an instrumental utility. ... >And finally, there is no reason to suppose that the process whereby SIs >absorb matter, optimize matter, or in other ways do things with matter, >would create subregions with (a) large heritable changes in properties, >that (b) correlate to large differences in the rate at which these regions >spread or transform other matter, and that (c) this process will continue >over the thousands or millions of generations that would be required for >the natural selection dynamic to produce optimized functional complexity. >This last point is particularly important in understanding why replicator >dynamics are unlikely to apply to SIs. At most, we are likely to see one >initial filter in which SIs that halt or fence themselves off in tiny >spheres are removed from the cosmic observables. Almost any utility >function I have ever heard proposed will choose to spread across the >cosmos and transform matter into either (1) *maximally high-fidelity >copies* of the optimization control structure or (2) configurations that >fulfill intrinsic utilities. If the optimization control structure is >copied at extremely high fidelity, there are no important heritable >differences for natural selection to act on. If there were heritable >differences, they are not likely to covary with large differences in >reproductive fitness, insofar as all the optimization control structures >will choose equally to transform nearby matter. ... >Anyway, there's a heck of a difference between natural selection *building >a goal system from scratch*, like where humans come from, and applying a >anti-suicide filter to the set of SIs that are likely to pop up from >ancestral civilizations (mostly the result of runaway recursive >self-improvement, I expect, perhaps a Friendlyoid SI here and there if >someone in the ancestral civilization was implausibly competent). ... >Replicator dynamics assume a (large, frequent) death rate. If >optimization processes compete to absorb *available* resources but hang on >permanently to all resources already absorbed, the replicator dynamics are >not iterated across thousands of generations. The general question of how much we can expect variation and selection to determine the nature of the future is extremely important, so I'm sorry I didn't see more follow-up to this post. But I have a lot of trouble figuring out where you (Eliezer) are coming from here. Let's see, if there are lots of "SIs" that pop up from ancestral civilizations, we might expect variation and selection among them. You seem to be arguing that there won't be enough of them varying enough over time for this to happen much, at least within the posited class of SIs that are maximally capable and quickly grab all the resources they can, until they run into a (by assumption equally capable) neighbor, at which point they make peace with that neighbor. If so, the distribution of what happens at various places in the future would be largely determined by the distribution of preferences that SIs begin with. It seems to me that your key assumption is one of very cheap defense - once one SI has grabbed some resources you seem to posit that there is little point in some other SI, or even a large coalition of them, trying to take it from him. Given this, I suppose the rest of your scenario might plausibly follow, but I'm not sure why you believe this assumption. Robin Hanson rhanson at gmu.edu http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-4444 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323 From natasha at natasha.cc Mon Jan 5 02:29:28 2004 From: natasha at natasha.cc (Natasha Vita-More) Date: Sun, 04 Jan 2004 18:29:28 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Was: Essay on Physical Immortality In-Reply-To: <002e01c3d31e$9d6d6e20$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> References: <5.2.0.9.0.20040104172428.02c0e170@pop.earthlink.net> Message-ID: <5.2.0.9.0.20040104182746.02750290@pop.earthlink.net> At 06:58 PM 1/4/04 -0500, you wrote: >Natasha Vita-More wrote, > > "Ageless Thinking" talk I presented at Alcor Technology > > Conference, and essay in my book (1996). > > > >Perfect! That's what I want to be: "ageless". I hadn't read this paper in quite a while, and it was fun reading it again. Thanks for putting a buzz in my ear :-). The conceptual product design company that has been marketing "Primo Posthuman" over the years is just called "Ageless." >I don't know if immortality is possible or even desirable. I may change my >mind in a million years. But I do no that I want to undo aging damage right >now. "Ageless" seems to be what I want to be. Me too. N Natasha Vita-More http://www.natasha.cc ---------- President, Extropy Institute http://www.extropy.org Founder, Transhumanist Arts & Culture http://www.transhumanist.biz http://www.transhuman.org -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From sentience at pobox.com Mon Jan 5 02:30:27 2004 From: sentience at pobox.com (Eliezer S. Yudkowsky) Date: Sun, 04 Jan 2004 21:30:27 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Darwinian dynamics unlikely to apply to superintelligence In-Reply-To: <5.2.1.1.2.20040104171912.020ca520@mail.gmu.edu> References: <8765fut8zd.fsf@snark.piermont.com> <20031231094734.GE11973@digitalkingdom.org> <3FF309F8.6000502@yifan.net> <20031231195904.GN11973@digitalkingdom.org> <87llorutus.fsf@snark.piermont.com> <20040102014258.GW11973@digitalkingdom.org> <8765fut8zd.fsf@snark.piermont.com> <5.2.1.1.2.20040104171912.020ca520@mail.gmu.edu> Message-ID: <3FF8CC43.2010304@pobox.com> Robin Hanson wrote: > > Let's see, if there are lots of "SIs" that pop up from ancestral > civilizations, we might expect variation and selection among them. You > seem to be arguing that there won't be enough of them varying enough > over time for this to happen much, at least within the posited class of > SIs that are maximally capable and quickly grab all the resources they > can, until they run into a (by assumption equally capable) neighbor, > at which point they make peace with that neighbor. If so, the > distribution of what happens at various places in the future would be > largely determined by the distribution of preferences that SIs begin > with. Yup. > It seems to me that your key assumption is one of very cheap defense - > once one SI has grabbed some resources you seem to posit that there is > little point in some other SI, or even a large coalition of them, > trying to take it from him. I agree that this is a key assumption. However, the assumption can fail and still bar natural selection, if there is little variation in preferences or little variation in resource-grabbing capacity or little correlation between the two. Since I suspect that intelligence would use up almost all the potential variation before what we ordinarily think of as heritable capacities had the chance to operate, natural selection would not automatically follow even if there were frequent combats. > Given this, I suppose the rest of your > scenario might plausibly follow, but I'm not sure why you believe this > assumption. I tend to suspect that between two similar intelligent agents, combat will be too uncertain to be worthwhile, will consume fixed resources, and will produce negative externalities relative to surrounding agents. Let us assume that loss aversion (not just in the modern human psychological sense of aversion to losses as such, but in the sense of loss aversion emergent in diminishing marginal utility) does not apply, so that a 50/50 chance of winning - which goes along with the argument of intelligent optimization using up variation - does not automatically rule out combat. However, there would still be a fixed cost of combat, probably extremely high; and if we assume variation in preferences, there would probably be negative externalities to any nearby SIs, who would have a motive to threaten punishment for combat. Negotiations among SIs are, I think, out of my reach to comprehend - although I do have some specific reasons to be confused - but I still suspect that they would negotiate. The point about large coalitions devouring single cells is interesting (although my current thoughts about SI negotations suggest that *the choice to form a predatory coalition* might be viewed as tantamount to starting a war). If we do have coalitions eating smaller cells, then we have a filterish selection pressure that rules out all unwillingness or hesitation to form coalitions - not necessarily natural selection unless there is heritable variation, which correlates, etc. But beyond that point, it would essentially amount to gambling, more than combat - will you be part of the latest coalition, or not? Something like a tontine, perhaps, until there are only two entities left standing? But where does the non-random selection come in? What does it correlate to? The stringency of the conditions for natural selection as we know it to apply are not widely appreciated; you need, not just limited resources, but limited resources AND frequent death to free up resources AND multiple phenotypes with heritable characteristics AND good fidelity in transmission of heritable characteristics AND substantial variation in characteristics AND substantial variation in reproductive fitness AND persistent correlation between the variations AND this is iterated for many generations THEN you have a noticeable amount of selection pressure -- Eliezer S. Yudkowsky http://singinst.org/ Research Fellow, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence From naddy at mips.inka.de Mon Jan 5 03:29:59 2004 From: naddy at mips.inka.de (Christian Weisgerber) Date: Mon, 5 Jan 2004 03:29:59 +0000 (UTC) Subject: [extropy-chat] ETHICS: What You Can't Say Message-ID: I picked this up on Slashdot. Recommended. ---- Paul Graham What You Can't Say (This essay is about heresy: how to think forbidden thoughts, and what to do with them. The latter was till recently something only a small elite had to think about. Now we all have to, because the Web has made us all publishers.) [...] Full Article: http://www.paulgraham.com/say.html ---- It ties in with a thought I have been entertaining for a while now: that many things we believe to be true must be crap. Just pick up some old non-fiction books or encyclopedias. "It is of utmost importance that the woman enters marriage as a virgin." From the sex section of some 1950s marriage advice book. It didn't even bother to give a reason, it merely stressed what apparently was a self-evident truth at the time. I have a German encyclopedia from 1939. As you can imagine, the entries on topics such as "race" or "Jews" are considered to be evilly wrong today. Back then they were socio-scientific consensus. So what ideas do we entertain today that will be considered ridiculous or even despicable in the future? Do you really think we are the first perfect generation to be free from such flaws? Not likely. Representational democracy is a holy cow. It is the pinnacle of political systems, the best one possible. Just why do I have this nagging suspicion that every other political system received the same judgment at the time when it happened to be in vogue? Alas, it seems I'm much too conformist a person. -- Christian "naddy" Weisgerber naddy at mips.inka.de From dirk at neopax.com Mon Jan 5 03:34:23 2004 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Mon, 5 Jan 2004 03:34:23 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Darwinian dynamics unlikely to applyto superintelligence References: <8765fut8zd.fsf@snark.piermont.com> <20031231094734.GE11973@digitalkingdom.org> <3FF309F8.6000502@yifan.net> <20031231195904.GN11973@digitalkingdom.org> <87llorutus.fsf@snark.piermont.com> <20040102014258.GW11973@digitalkingdom.org> <8765fut8zd.fsf@snark.piermont.com><5.2.1.1.2.20040104171912.020ca520@mail.gmu.edu> <3FF8CC43.2010304@pobox.com> Message-ID: <039201c3d33c$d001c020$d2256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Eliezer S. Yudkowsky" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Monday, January 05, 2004 2:30 AM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Darwinian dynamics unlikely to applyto superintelligence > > I tend to suspect that between two similar intelligent agents, combat will > be too uncertain to be worthwhile, will consume fixed resources, and will > produce negative externalities relative to surrounding agents. Let us That's assuming scientific and technological prowess levels out early on. Otherwise a difference of as little as 100yrs will mean that the advanced intelligence would wipe the floor with the lesser at almost no cost and it becomes the optimum strategy. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From natasha at natasha.cc Mon Jan 5 05:54:12 2004 From: natasha at natasha.cc (Natasha Vita-More) Date: Sun, 04 Jan 2004 21:54:12 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Most Outrageous Anti-Biotech Statements Message-ID: <5.2.0.9.0.20040104214340.01eb4820@pop.earthlink.net> Max and I spent the evening reading preposterous statements made by a uniformity of anti-biotech advocates. Geez. :-) Damien (Broderick) - or someone - what is the most collectable, flagrant anti-progress statement you've seen quoted? Natasha Natasha Vita-More http://www.natasha.cc ---------- President, Extropy Institute http://www.extropy.org Founder, Transhumanist Arts & Culture http://www.transhumanist.biz http://www.transhuman.org -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From thespike at earthlink.net Mon Jan 5 04:14:55 2004 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Sun, 4 Jan 2004 22:14:55 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: Most Outrageous Anti-Biotech Statements References: <5.2.0.9.0.20040104214340.01eb4820@pop.earthlink.net> Message-ID: <027e01c3d342$7b6932e0$bd994a43@texas.net> > Damien (Broderick) - or someone - what is the most collectable, flagrant > anti-progress statement you've seen quoted? Well, just in the last hour or so... :) < The earth's immune system, so to speak, has recognized the presence of the human species and is starting to kick in. The earth is attempting to rid itself of an infection by the human parasite. Richard Preston, 1994 > Cited in http://www.dieoff.com/page224.htm : < The theory is defined by the ratio of world energy production (use) and world population. The details are worked out. The theory is easy. It states that the life expectancy of Industrial Civilization is less than or equal to 100 years: 1930-2030. > (Thanks to Mark Plus for fwd-ing) Damien Broderick From fauxever at sprynet.com Mon Jan 5 04:18:39 2004 From: fauxever at sprynet.com (Olga Bourlin) Date: Sun, 4 Jan 2004 20:18:39 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Most Outrageous Anti-Biotech Statements References: <5.2.0.9.0.20040104214340.01eb4820@pop.earthlink.net> Message-ID: <008f01c3d342$ff2edf30$6600a8c0@brainiac> From: Natasha Vita-More > Max and I spent the evening reading preposterous statements made by a uniformity of anti-biotech advocates. Geez. :-) > Damien (Broderick) - or someone - what is the most collectable, flagrant anti-progress statement you've seen quoted? Sometimes they're so loony, I wonder if the statements are intended to be satirical. While certainly not *the most* flagrant, this is characteristic of some of the ones I've read from PETA: "Even if animal tests produced a cure for AIDS, we'd be against it." - Phyllis Newkirk, co-founder and president of PETA http://www.animalscam.com/ Olga From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Jan 5 04:30:53 2004 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sun, 4 Jan 2004 20:30:53 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Most Outrageous Anti-Biotech Statements In-Reply-To: <008f01c3d342$ff2edf30$6600a8c0@brainiac> Message-ID: <20040105043053.67767.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> --- Olga Bourlin wrote: > While certainly not *the most* flagrant, this is > characteristic > of some of the ones I've read from PETA: > > "Even if animal tests produced a cure for AIDS, we'd be against it." > - > Phyllis Newkirk, co-founder and president of PETA I'm left wondering what their position would be if animals could catch AIDS.... "free needles for chihuahuas", featuring the Kibbles n' Bits dogs, and "free condoms for cats". Sex-ed for siamese kittens. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Find out what made the Top Yahoo! Searches of 2003 http://search.yahoo.com/top2003 From dirk at neopax.com Mon Jan 5 04:36:05 2004 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Mon, 5 Jan 2004 04:36:05 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: Most Outrageous Anti-Biotech Statements References: <5.2.0.9.0.20040104214340.01eb4820@pop.earthlink.net> <027e01c3d342$7b6932e0$bd994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <03df01c3d345$6e5ba5d0$d2256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Damien Broderick" To: Sent: Monday, January 05, 2004 4:14 AM Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: Most Outrageous Anti-Biotech Statements > > < The theory is defined by the ratio of world energy production (use) and > world population. The details are worked out. The theory is easy. It states > that the life expectancy of Industrial Civilization is less than or equal to > 100 years: 1930-2030. > > > (Thanks to Mark Plus for fwd-ing) Probably correct, but for the wrong reasons. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From dirk at neopax.com Mon Jan 5 04:37:38 2004 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Mon, 5 Jan 2004 04:37:38 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Most Outrageous Anti-Biotech Statements References: <5.2.0.9.0.20040104214340.01eb4820@pop.earthlink.net> <008f01c3d342$ff2edf30$6600a8c0@brainiac> Message-ID: <03e701c3d345$a5e04b50$d2256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Olga Bourlin" To: "ExI chat list" ; Sent: Monday, January 05, 2004 4:18 AM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Most Outrageous Anti-Biotech Statements > > "Even if animal tests produced a cure for AIDS, we'd be against it." - > Phyllis Newkirk, co-founder and president of PETA > > http://www.animalscam.com/ I'll second that. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From fauxever at sprynet.com Mon Jan 5 04:40:55 2004 From: fauxever at sprynet.com (Olga Bourlin) Date: Sun, 4 Jan 2004 20:40:55 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Most Outrageous Anti-Biotech Statements References: <5.2.0.9.0.20040104214340.01eb4820@pop.earthlink.net> Message-ID: <00fc01c3d346$1b8b20a0$6600a8c0@brainiac> From: Natasha Vita-More Sent: Sunday, January 04, 2004 9:54 PM > Damien (Broderick) - or someone - what is the most collectable, flagrant anti-progress statement you've seen quoted? There's a lot out there (sigh ...). Leading the charge of the Luddite Brigade: http://www.consumerfreedom.com/article_detail.cfm?ARTICLE_ID=72: Olga From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Jan 5 06:47:06 2004 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sun, 4 Jan 2004 22:47:06 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Most Outrageous Anti-Biotech Statements In-Reply-To: <5.2.0.9.0.20040104214340.01eb4820@pop.earthlink.net> Message-ID: <20040105064706.29184.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> "All of Medieval Europe was organized collectively. Sustainable agriculture. Generation after generation, the serfs, the landlords, they farmed the same lands, trod the same path, and they organized themselves communally in order to sustain their existence. It may not have been the best of all possible worlds, but it was a sustainable form of life for six centuries." - Jeremy Rifkin, http://www.worldtrans.org/whole/rifkin.html Other quotes of The Jeremy: "The ozone hole is now so gaping, we are being subjected to massive doses of ultraviolet radiation, millions of additional skin cancers ... our immune systems and all the other creatures on the chain, are so compromised, read the paper this morning, so compromised from the UV, that we are now prone to traditional diseases we had eradicated long ago, and a whole new host of diseases that cross species boundaries, to which we know no antidote or cure." "These crises cannot be dealt with or addressed until we are willing to do battle with the world view that gave rise to them." "Efficiency. How important is that? ...Efficiency is the prescription for disaster for this Earth. Efficiency is destroying the planet." Also: http://www.consumerfreedom.com/headline_detail.cfm?HEADLINE_ID=2239 Quotes by Jerry Mander: "I do not tell do-gooders or other people working on Public Media Center activities not to use television. What I say is that we should have no television at all. The same could be said of computers. I argue that life would be better, power systems would be more egalitarian, we would have a more even playing field in terms of information flow, and our media would be more democratic, if there were no television. We'd also have a less-alienated population, less pacified, less inundated by other people's imageries. But I also recognize that you can't just remove television and keep everything else in place. It's the nervous system of the technological machine. It's part of a very integrated system, so we have to talk about all of technology when we talk about television." "Corporations will advertise whatever isn't true because if it were true they wouldn't have the image problem in the first place. If the corporation were a good citizen it wouldn't need to say it is. The truth is that corporations generally act in direct opposition to nature because profit is based on the transmogrification of raw materials into a new, more salable form." an admission: "I have lots of modern technologies. It's impossible to function and not have some relationship to technology." turns into a protest: "My feeling is that computers really strongly change the way we think. I think computers are changing the world more rapidly and more negatively than any other around. So I would really like to maintain a disconnection from that." A great page of Jerry Mander's aphorisms: http://www.mrs.umn.edu/~mcphee/Courses/Readings/Manders_aphorisms.html Kirkpatrick Sale on the Unabomber and his manifesto: "I'm sure he makes good bombs, but grading him on his intellect I wouldn't give him more than a C+. I venture to say he didn't make it to his senior year." The New Luddite: "Many New Luddites are uncomfortable with using Email. There has been concern that Email is both exclusive and ultimately puts people like post-persons out of a job." Prince Charles Windsor: "Laboratory tests showing that pollen from GM maize in the United States caused damage to caterpillars of the monarch butterfly provide the latest cause for concern." (after it has been shown that the reverse, in fact, was the case) "I believe that we have now reached a moral and ethical watershed beyond which we venture into realms that belong to God, and to God alone. Apart from certain medical applications, what actual right do we have to experiment, Frankenstein-like, with the very stuff of life? We live in an age of rights - it seems to me that it is about time our Creator had some rights too ..." "science should be used to understand how nature works, but not to change what it is" "We only have one planet. There are lots of people out there busily trying to find other ones. Some people think that when we have finished with this one we can simply start again somewhere else. But I'm not prepared personally to find another one." Baron Melchett, Director of Greenpeace, on Prince Charles: "it is about time somebody pointed out how bereft of humanity and human values it is for people to claim that they can take decisions simply on the basis of what they call 'sound science'." --- Natasha Vita-More wrote: > > Max and I spent the evening reading preposterous statements made by a > > uniformity of anti-biotech advocates. Geez. :-) > > Damien (Broderick) - or someone - what is the most collectable, > flagrant > anti-progress statement you've seen quoted? > > Natasha > > > Natasha Vita-More > http://www.natasha.cc > ---------- > President, Extropy Institute http://www.extropy.org > Founder, Transhumanist Arts & Culture http://www.transhumanist.biz > http://www.transhuman.org > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Find out what made the Top Yahoo! Searches of 2003 http://search.yahoo.com/top2003 From samantha at objectent.com Mon Jan 5 08:06:16 2004 From: samantha at objectent.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Mon, 5 Jan 2004 00:06:16 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Darwinian dynamics unlikely to applyto superintelligence In-Reply-To: <039201c3d33c$d001c020$d2256bd5@artemis> References: <8765fut8zd.fsf@snark.piermont.com> <20031231094734.GE11973@digitalkingdom.org> <3FF309F8.6000502@yifan.net> <20031231195904.GN11973@digitalkingdom.org> <87llorutus.fsf@snark.piermont.com> <20040102014258.GW11973@digitalkingdom.org> <8765fut8zd.fsf@snark.piermont.com> <5.2.1.1.2.20040104171912.020ca520@mail.gmu.edu> <3FF8CC43.2010304@pobox.com> <039201c3d33c$d001c020$d2256bd5@artemis> Message-ID: <20040105000616.553f608e.samantha@objectent.com> On Mon, 5 Jan 2004 03:34:23 -0000 "Dirk Bruere" wrote: > > ----- Original Message ----- > From: "Eliezer S. Yudkowsky" > To: "ExI chat list" > Sent: Monday, January 05, 2004 2:30 AM > Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Darwinian dynamics unlikely to applyto > superintelligence > > > > > > I tend to suspect that between two similar intelligent agents, combat will > > be too uncertain to be worthwhile, will consume fixed resources, and will > > produce negative externalities relative to surrounding agents. Let us > > That's assuming scientific and technological prowess levels out early on. > Otherwise a difference of as little as 100yrs will mean that the advanced > intelligence would wipe the floor with the lesser at almost no cost and it > becomes the optimum strategy. > Why would it want to? If the younger is rational and can gauge the abilities of the elder, why would it wish to engage in conflict? -s From samantha at objectent.com Mon Jan 5 08:16:54 2004 From: samantha at objectent.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Mon, 5 Jan 2004 00:16:54 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality In-Reply-To: <002401c3d303$ddf501d0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> References: <20040104052205.53343.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> <002401c3d303$ddf501d0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <20040105001654.0cf58063.samantha@objectent.com> On Sun, 4 Jan 2004 15:46:40 -0500 "Harvey Newstrom" wrote: > Mike Lorrey wrote, > > So, you are dying of a disease. I use the law to prevent you > > from obtaining the treatment you need to live. You WILL die, > > if you don't get this treatment. Are you justified in using > > ANY means to prevent my actions or not? > > I will obtain treatment for myself even if it is illegal. No action against > the luddites who brought about the law is necessary. > > > Others have already died from my actions, so it is > > demonstrably true that you will die as well if I am not > > stopped. At what point is any action against me acceptable in > > defense of your life? Why is this not plain and simple and > > morally acceptable self defense on your part? > > Self defense is hiding from the authorities, getting treatment anyway, > lobbying to get the law changed, etc. Killing the person who championed the > law won't change the law. Killing congress members until I get my way is > called terrorism and probably won't get me justice. Killing the police > person coming to get me won't lessen the resources allocated to capture me. > I really don't see how killing people trying to enforce this law helps me > get my treatment in any way. This is a poor example of having to choose the > lesser of two evils, because my goal is not directly served by harming > anyone. Generally I would agree. However, I sometimes think that part of the reason the first Prohibition failed was that it was opposed not only in genteel ways but even up to violence against its enforcement. It also helped that it was so near-universally violated. The results were often not pretty but the madness was rescinded. Government didn't learn a durn thing except to remove as much of the citizen firepower as possible apparently. > > > Self defense is not evil. Why is this not self defense? > > People with guns often confuse killing someone with self-defense. Killing > is an offensive act. It only protects you if you have a lone assailant and > you can wipe out the entire opposing team in one shot. I do not believe > killing a police officer, congress member, or luddite will help. You will > make them a martyr, and more will join their cause to fight you. I see no > net gain, only net losses, in using violence under this scenario. That is > why I am opposed, not for mere political reasons, but for more pragmatic > reasons that I don't think this "solution" solves anything. > I own guns but I don't confuse self-defense with killing someone. I also don't confuse killing someone in true self-defense with an offensive act. Are you actually saying that if someone comes in my home with the intent to kill me and takes actions to that end that if I shoot the perp I have committed an offensive act? It isn't time to shoot the bastards as long as there is a chance for freedom to win or to live despite them reasonably well. But I don't agree there is never such a time. I agree that this isn't that time. - samantha From samantha at objectent.com Mon Jan 5 08:28:46 2004 From: samantha at objectent.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Mon, 5 Jan 2004 00:28:46 -0800 Subject: Fw: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality In-Reply-To: References: <20040104115056.51c05500.samantha@objectent.com> Message-ID: <20040105002846.7553cdd2.samantha@objectent.com> On Sun, 4 Jan 2004 13:00:50 -0800 (PST) "Robert J. Bradbury" wrote: > > On Sun, 4 Jan 2004, Samantha Atkins wrote: > > > I agree with some of Hubert's points. I would also remove the notion > > that abortion is morally impermissable as that begs a few questions and > > throws a controversy in that is not necessary to your point. > > Well this isn't really Mark's point -- he is simply pointing out that if > the objection to preventing access to life extending technologies > is based on the right to a future -- then abortion is going to > come up in the minds of critics. The abortion argument, or one variant of an answer, was used as the spine of the argument presented from what I saw. Using a somewhat strained argument about a different manner in an even more strained way doesn't seem optimal. > > I'm going to raise this topic in my comments to him -- it twists > extensively in which rights trump other rights. For example being > forced to have and care for an unwanted child may significantly > damage the futures of both the child and mother. Or giving > the child up for adoption may produce similar results. But > all of this has probably been extensively examined in the abortion > debates. > A foetus IS NOT a child. Ridding oneself of a biological accident before it is a human being with rights in order to have reasonable control of one's own life and wellbeing is not a case of the mother's rights trumping the "child"'s rights. There is not child. This is the specious and weak form of the argument in its original context of abortion. > IMO, the key question may revolve around -- when precisely does one > have a "future"? A human fetus or an infant have no capability for > self-enabled survival without depending upon their society or > parent(s). This is in contrast to many newborn animals > have a reasonable chance at survival (having a future) > from the time they are born/hatched/etc. > Confusing an infant with a fetus gives plenty of ammunition to the opposition. Why do this? > There is also the fundamental problem that given cloning technology, > many of the cells in your body have the potential for producing > another human being. So the cells of your stomach, intestine, > skin, etc. (e.g. cells with any turnover) are effectively > performing abortions on a daily basis. > Yeah, by the above logic. Which underlines just how bogus it is. > > Not addressing the moral permissibility of using life extension > > technology is a major hole in your argument in my view. It cannot be > > morally not permitted to stop others from doing that which is not > > morally permitted if that act in question has serious repurcussions on > > others. > > This gets into how philosophers and ethicists debate these > topics. Its been more than a decade since I've studied these > so my memory may be a bit fuzzy -- but it comes down to > cases where one is morally obligated not to interfere and > cases where one is morally obligated to take action. Mark > is dealing just with the first and not with the second. > To deal with the second effectively one has to argue strongly > for something like a socialistic or communistic environment > or programming all humans to be completely altruistic, etc. > That is a much harder argument to make (and would certainly > cause a number of people on this list to get really PO :-)). > I don't really see what that has to do with this topic. Please explain. > > I am sorry I commented before reading. The general question could be > > much better addressed than by using some specious abortion argument. > > Please try again. > > I think Mark only uses the abortion argument in passing -- simply pointing > out there is a value to "future life" -- be it for a fetus, an infant, > a normal human, or a human with an extended life. > If he uses a fetus in this category then he has punched a huge and unnecessary hole in his argument. "Future life" is not the issue with life-extension. It is continuing existing life or more precisely, avoiding death indefinitely. No one complains about some life-saving therapy generally. I think it is much more fruitful to go at the subject along these lines than on some weaker and dangerous right to "future life". > What is missing (from my perspective as an extropian) is any > comment (from what I have read thus far) on the fact that there > may be an inherent value (and right to preserve) to accumulated > information/knowledge. I.e. the past of a 1000 year old > individual is greater than the past of a 100 y.o. individual > is greater than the past of a 3 month old fetus. At an > extremely gross level Extropians (vs. say transhumanists) > might argue that there is a very concrete scale in terms > of the value of information or experience content and so > one adjusts the "right to life" based on that. Of course > after one grants that one immediately gets into a discussion > of the actual extropic value of the information. I think > this gets into areas related to what one thinks when one > cleans ones closet or ones garage. What is *really* worth > something? > True. But I think you have the seed of something quite important. Human society loses a lot through death and that at a very early age. We lose a lot of skills, knowledge and experience and not just through death but through bodily and mental deterioration starting all too young. This is a real loss to all of us. We do not capture well the knowledge of one generation and it is not taken up well by the next. Having people live much longer means that knowledge would be accumulated and refined longer by each individual thus enriching us all. -s From paulgrant999 at hotmail.com Mon Jan 5 11:00:42 2004 From: paulgrant999 at hotmail.com (Paul Grant) Date: Mon, 5 Jan 2004 03:00:42 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Darwinian dynamics unlikely to applytosuperintelligence In-Reply-To: <20040105000616.553f608e.samantha@objectent.com> Message-ID: <000001c3d37b$2d9fee80$5a01a8c0@SIGMA7PG> Emotions: -Hope. -Hatred. -Desire to be Free -Religious-based call to arms (not just Jihad, but anyone fighting a conlfict over religion). Expected Reward > 0. -Unrealistic Expectations (skew of probability of belief vs state of nature). -Idealism (reward balloons exponentially high). Generally all good reasons to take on somebody thats out of your league. More importantly, why would you as a super-intelligence, want to risk it? :) Nothing is a sure thing. omard-out -----Original Message----- From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of Samantha Atkins Sent: Monday, January 05, 2004 12:06 AM To: Dirk Bruere; ExI chat list Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Darwinian dynamics unlikely to applytosuperintelligence On Mon, 5 Jan 2004 03:34:23 -0000 "Dirk Bruere" wrote: > > ----- Original Message ----- > From: "Eliezer S. Yudkowsky" > To: "ExI chat list" > Sent: Monday, January 05, 2004 2:30 AM > Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Darwinian dynamics unlikely to applyto > superintelligence > > > > > > I tend to suspect that between two similar intelligent agents, > > combat will be too uncertain to be worthwhile, will consume fixed > > resources, and will produce negative externalities relative to > > surrounding agents. Let us > > That's assuming scientific and technological prowess levels out early > on. Otherwise a difference of as little as 100yrs will mean that the > advanced intelligence would wipe the floor with the lesser at almost > no cost and it becomes the optimum strategy. > Why would it want to? If the younger is rational and can gauge the abilities of the elder, why would it wish to engage in conflict? -s _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Mon Jan 5 13:13:32 2004 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Mon, 5 Jan 2004 08:13:32 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality In-Reply-To: <20040105001654.0cf58063.samantha@objectent.com> Message-ID: <004701c3d38d$b8785850$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Samantha Atkins wrote, > Are you actually saying that if someone comes in my home > with the intent to kill me and takes actions to that end > that if I shoot the perp I have committed an offensive act? No. I was responding to the proposed "self-defense" argument that we should kill legislators or luddites who are trying to block our access to life-extending technologies. I was not addressing the scenario you just presented above. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From mark at permanentend.org Mon Jan 5 13:31:16 2004 From: mark at permanentend.org (Mark Walker) Date: Mon, 5 Jan 2004 08:31:16 -0500 Subject: Fw: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality References: <20040104115056.51c05500.samantha@objectent.com> <20040105002846.7553cdd2.samantha@objectent.com> Message-ID: <26fe01c3d390$326706f0$2ee4f418@markcomputer> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Samantha Atkins" > > Well this isn't really Mark's point -- he is simply pointing out that if > > the objection to preventing access to life extending technologies > > is based on the right to a future -- then abortion is going to > > come up in the minds of critics. > > The abortion argument, or one variant of an answer, was used as the spine of the argument presented from what I saw. Using a somewhat strained argument about a different manner in an even more strained way doesn't seem optimal. > > > While I appreciate your efforts to understand the issues, what you say here is conceptually and historically mistaken. The first step of Marquis' argument is to provide an analysis of what is wrong with killing us (adult humans). His answer is that in the typical case it deprives us of the value of our futures. The next step in his argument is to say that this same analysis applies to fetuses. My argument requires only agreeing with him about the first step. I go on to apply the analysis to immortal (or emortal or ageless--there ya go Damien and Harvey--) individuals. Clearly there is at least the logical possibility of agreeing with the analysis of why it is wrong to kill us mortal adults, and yet disagree that the analysis applies to fetuses. So, there are two conceptually distinct parts of Marquis' argument. My argument shares with him only the first step. The first step is not an abortion argument by any stretch of the imagination, so you have not understood the argument. Historically, the first step of Marquis' argument was heavily influenced by Glover and Young, and so it is the least original part of his paper. You have called my argument 'strained', 'suboptimal' and so on. I can't see that you have provided any reason for believing this. I realize that you don't like the anti-abortion position, but as I have said (and as Robert has also in effect pointed out) the issues are logically independent. > > A foetus IS NOT a child. Ridding oneself of a biological accident before it is a human being with rights in order to have reasonable control of one's own life and wellbeing is not a case of the mother's rights trumping the "child"'s rights. There is not child. This is the specious and weak form of the argument in its original context of abortion. > This is a gross misrepresentation of his argument. He explicitly denies (at least for the sake of the argument) that a fetus or newborns are persons, human beings, etc. His argument rests on the claim that a fetus (if unharmed) has a future like ours (if we are unharmed). Again you call an argument weak and specious without demonstrating even an elementary grasp of its basic structure. Cheers, Mark Mark Walker, PhD Research Associate, Philosophy, Trinity College University of Toronto Room 214 Gerald Larkin Building 15 Devonshire Place Toronto M5S 1H8 www.permanentend.org From mark at permanentend.org Mon Jan 5 13:37:34 2004 From: mark at permanentend.org (Mark Walker) Date: Mon, 5 Jan 2004 08:37:34 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality (terminology) References: <002901c3d313$ead28390$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT><244b01c3d316$db187420$2ee4f418@markcomputer> <014f01c3d31a$59da6040$bd994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <270401c3d391$13cf7eb0$2ee4f418@markcomputer> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Damien Broderick" > > > I like 'ageless'. It is descriptive and doesn't look like an attempt to > hide > > behind jargon. > > It's good by itself, better than, say, `antiagathic' (James Blish's 50-year > old term). But it leads to the horrid eye- and mouthful of `agelessness', > compared to the nifty `emortal' => `emortality'. > > We have the same trouble with `deathless' (`deathlessness') , unless the > general condition is `deathlessanity'. :) > > Harvey mentioned his dislike of made-up words, but it didn't seem to stand > in the way of laser, television, telephone, car, xerox, google... > > (True, most of these items already existed and were on the market, so it was > convenient to embrace the term.) > > I know this seems trivial, but selling the message crisply is often as > important as having the right message. > > Besides, when it happens the common word will emerge over the top of our > heads. It'll probably be something like `zombies' or `ghouls' or `snakes'... > I agree that it is worthwhile to think about how to sell the message right. For myself I may use both 'emortal' and 'ageless'. It is nice to have synonyms and the slightly different connation of these terms may appeal to different "market segments". Cheers, Mark Mark Walker, PhD Research Associate, Philosophy, Trinity College University of Toronto Room 214 Gerald Larkin Building 15 Devonshire Place Toronto M5S 1H8 www.permanentend.org From jonkc at att.net Mon Jan 5 15:24:43 2004 From: jonkc at att.net (John K Clark) Date: Mon, 5 Jan 2004 10:24:43 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Most Outrageous Anti-Biotech Statements References: <20040105064706.29184.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <001001c3d3a0$141d04a0$18ff4d0c@hal2001> Jeremy Rifkin Wrote: >All of Medieval Europe was organized collectively. Sustainable >agriculture. Generation after generation, the serfs, the landlords, >they farmed the same lands, trod the same path, and they organized >themselves communally in order to sustain their existence. It may not >have been the best of all possible worlds, but it was a sustainable >form of life for six centuries." It might interest Mr. Rifkin to know that most of the beautiful windswept moors of Great Britton got to be the way they are because the forests that were once there were cut down during this period. There may be other reasons why the dark ages were not really the good old days, so I can't say I share Mr. Rifkin's enthusiasm to emulate them. John K Clark jonkc at att.net From max at maxmore.com Mon Jan 5 15:23:55 2004 From: max at maxmore.com (Max More) Date: Mon, 05 Jan 2004 09:23:55 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] More good stuff from Michael Crichton Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20040105080609.03941420@mail.earthlink.net> Aliens Cause Global Warming A lecture by Michael Crichton Caltech Michelin Lecture January 17, 2003 http://www.crichton-official.com/speeches/speeches_quote04.html >When did "skeptic" become a dirty word in science? When did a skeptic >require quotation marks around it? > >To an outsider, the most significant innovation in the global warming >controversy is the overt reliance that is being placed on models. Back in >the days of nuclear winter, computer models were invoked to add weight to >a conclusion: "These results are derived with the help of a computer >model." But now large-scale computer models are seen as generating data in >themselves. No longer are models judged by how well they reproduce data >from the real world-increasingly, models provide the data. As if they were >themselves a reality. And indeed they are, when we are projecting forward. >There can be no observational data about the year 2100. There are only >model runs. > >This fascination with computer models is something I understand very well. >Richard Feynmann called it a disease. I fear he is right. Because only if >you spend a lot of time looking at a computer screen can you arrive at the >complex point where the global warming debate now stands. > >Nobody believes a weather prediction twelve hours ahead. Now we're asked >to believe a prediction that goes out 100 years into the future? And make >financial investments based on that prediction? Has everybody lost their >minds? _______________________________________________________ Max More, Ph.D. max at maxmore.com or more at extropy.org http://www.maxmore.com Strategic Philosopher Chairman, Extropy Institute. http://www.extropy.org _______________________________________________________ From puglisi at arcetri.astro.it Mon Jan 5 16:53:19 2004 From: puglisi at arcetri.astro.it (Alfio Puglisi) Date: Mon, 5 Jan 2004 17:53:19 +0100 (CET) Subject: [extropy-chat] More good stuff from Michael Crichton In-Reply-To: <5.1.0.14.2.20040105080609.03941420@mail.earthlink.net> References: <5.1.0.14.2.20040105080609.03941420@mail.earthlink.net> Message-ID: On Mon, 5 Jan 2004, Max More wrote: > >Aliens Cause Global Warming > >A lecture by Michael Crichton >Caltech Michelin Lecture >January 17, 2003 >http://www.crichton-official.com/speeches/speeches_quote04.html I hate reading those narrow columns. When will web journalists learn that screens are not paper? Ciao, Alfio From bradbury at aeiveos.com Mon Jan 5 17:15:38 2004 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Mon, 5 Jan 2004 09:15:38 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] fermi's paradox: m/d approach In-Reply-To: <005601c3d226$6c7b0e60$b0cd5cd1@neptune> Message-ID: On Saturday, January 03, 2004 11:26 AM Dennis May wrote: > A civilization worth uncountable trillions of dollars but > the cost of an interstellar cell-phone is too much? Yep. The present value of using the resources locally is likely to significantly exceed the communications value of sending energy/mass (i.e. electromagnetic waves or probes) across interstellar distances. The cost of sending a bit across interstellar distances is relatively cheap. The cost of sending any quantity of information worth something across interstellar distances is quite expensive. The solar systems of advanced civilizations can probably contain >2^50 bits and one doesn't transmit a useful fraction of that across interstellar distances cheaply. > Gray goo has to obey the same thermodynamic and > chemical laws as living creatures. Some of the capabilities > ascribed to gray goo have ignored these laws. Not any serious proposals by people who know what they are talking about (Drexler, Freitas, etc.) > In any case gray goo has to compete for resources and avoid > predators/parasites just like anyone else. Gray goo based on nanotech easily trumps any preexisting life forms based on biotech. This is due to the fact that it is stronger, more energy efficient, travels faster, faster to evolve, etc. Which is not to say that gray goo cannot be trumped. It is trumped by the same things that trump green (bio) goo. Radiation, heat, perhaps cold, perhaps strong acids or bases, "drugs" or "shields" that interfere with their collection of materials or energy, etc. The defenses have to be significantly heftier than existing defenses against green goo however. > Can gray-goo exist with even smaller parasites eating off of it? It would be extremely difficult for existing smaller parasites (nanobacteria [if such exist which is significantly open to question] or viruses to evolve fast enough to interfere with rapidly replicating and self-evolving nanorobots. The only hope would be the creation of nanoparasites and in this situation the cure might be worse than the disease. > Not a very smart brain if it wants to put all its resources > into one place - ready to be destroyed by WoMD. MBrains are the size of solar systems and have the power of stars at their disposal. The only things that could potentially destroy them are most likely to be very clever viruses (that presumably have to get through multiple levels of firewalls, isolated defense systems, etc.) or black holes hurled across interstellar space. I'm doubtful that either of those options is really workable. As has been discussed on the ExI list -- one has to make sure that one totally eliminates every last component of an MBrain or risk a berserker response (i.e. intelligence not interested in self-evolution but the destruction of whom or whatever threw the first punch). > What is to be gained by having a massive brain? > Is anything of survival value added beyond a certain size? The point is that there are limits imposed by the laws of physics on intelligence and survival. What is to be gained is to understand whether these are hard limits or whether by clever engineering and creative exploitation of the laws one can figure out ways around the limits (e.g. lengthening the lifetime of stars, the creation of alternate universes and tunneling into them, preventing all of the protons from decaying, etc.) > If you believe in a model of thermodynamics including the > "Big Bang Theory". I do not. It would seem that it is the best we can do thus far (thus pointing out how a massive brain might be useful for coming up with better theories...). But I'd like to see an explanation as to what you would replace the BBT with. > I support the WoMD cause of the Fermi Paradox. Stealth, > mobility, and dispersion are the secrets to survival with space > WoMD. Advertise your presence and expose yourself to WoMD. The conclusions of myself, Milan Cirkovic and a number of others is that the limits of known physics and computational architectures drives civilizations to produce MBrains or other similar architectures that migrate outside galaxies where they can radiate heat at close to the CMB temperature (~4 deg K). Thus they are very difficult to detect and very difficult to target with WoMD (incoming black holes are relatively easy to detect due to gravitational disruptions, microlensing, X-ray radiation, etc.) (Side Note: Dennis -- these topics have been discussed for ~5 years on the ExI list and there are multiple academic papers that have been written on the topic as well as hundreds of email postings so Daniel is putting you at a slight disadvantage by introducing the conversation to the Atlantis list without informing you with respect to some of the background materials.) Robert Bradbury From dirk at neopax.com Mon Jan 5 17:18:24 2004 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Mon, 5 Jan 2004 17:18:24 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Darwinian dynamics unlikely to applyto superintelligence References: <8765fut8zd.fsf@snark.piermont.com><20031231094734.GE11973@digitalkingdom.org><3FF309F8.6000502@yifan.net><20031231195904.GN11973@digitalkingdom.org><87llorutus.fsf@snark.piermont.com><20040102014258.GW11973@digitalkingdom.org><8765fut8zd.fsf@snark.piermont.com><5.2.1.1.2.20040104171912.020ca520@mail.gmu.edu><3FF8CC43.2010304@pobox.com><039201c3d33c$d001c020$d2256bd5@artemis> <20040105000616.553f608e.samantha@objectent.com> Message-ID: <007201c3d3af$ece05c10$d2256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Samantha Atkins" To: "Dirk Bruere" ; "ExI chat list" Sent: Monday, January 05, 2004 8:06 AM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Darwinian dynamics unlikely to applyto superintelligence > > > I tend to suspect that between two similar intelligent agents, combat will > > > be too uncertain to be worthwhile, will consume fixed resources, and will > > > produce negative externalities relative to surrounding agents. Let us > > > > That's assuming scientific and technological prowess levels out early on. > > Otherwise a difference of as little as 100yrs will mean that the advanced > > intelligence would wipe the floor with the lesser at almost no cost and it > > becomes the optimum strategy. > > Why would it want to? If the younger is rational and can gauge the abilities of the elder, why would it wish to engage in conflict? It wouldn't. That cannot be said of the more able of the two. As for why, the usual Darwinian reasons. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From bradbury at aeiveos.com Mon Jan 5 17:18:48 2004 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Mon, 5 Jan 2004 09:18:48 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] More good stuff from Michael Crichton In-Reply-To: Message-ID: On Mon, 5 Jan 2004, Alfio Puglisi wrote: > I hate > reading > those > narrow > columns. [snip] Alfio, I believe that it has been shown that humans either read faster and/or have better comprehension with narrow columns -- perhaps having to do with the fact that the eye may be able to read narrow columns without scanning while longer columns require scanning and a retrace time to get to the start of the next line (like electron guns in TVs). Robert From megao at sasktel.net Mon Jan 5 17:43:02 2004 From: megao at sasktel.net (Extropian Agroforestry Ventures Inc.) Date: Mon, 05 Jan 2004 11:43:02 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality-overpopulation problem References: <002901c3d313$ead28390$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> <244b01c3d316$db187420$2ee4f418@markcomputer> <014f01c3d31a$59da6040$bd994a43@texas.net> <270401c3d391$13cf7eb0$2ee4f418@markcomputer> Message-ID: <3FF9A226.F9369AEA@sasktel.net> Haven't checked the last 2 days posts but the immediate problem of overpopulation as well as genetic renewal may be to generate stem cells that are hybrids , not offspring but the stem cell equivalent of couples and merge the neural systems of the 2 people into a composite of both. The result might be genetic renewal for en entire equivalent of an extended life cycle and (depending on the cultural willingness to trade off shared consciousness for biological renewal) 25-40% reduction in population. If the renewed biosystem was able to move from a life cycle max of 110 to say 250, then there would be 150 or more years to perfect and deal with other methods as well as allow for procreation by each shared consciousness with no net increase in world population? ...MFJ Mark Walker wrote: > ----- Original Message ----- > From: "Damien Broderick" > > > > > I like 'ageless'. It is descriptive and doesn't look like an attempt to > > hide > > > behind jargon. > > > > It's good by itself, better than, say, `antiagathic' (James Blish's > 50-year > > old term). But it leads to the horrid eye- and mouthful of `agelessness', > > compared to the nifty `emortal' => `emortality'. > > > > We have the same trouble with `deathless' (`deathlessness') , unless the > > general condition is `deathlessanity'. :) > > > > Harvey mentioned his dislike of made-up words, but it didn't seem to stand > > in the way of laser, television, telephone, car, xerox, google... > > > > (True, most of these items already existed and were on the market, so it > was > > convenient to embrace the term.) > > > > I know this seems trivial, but selling the message crisply is often as > > important as having the right message. > > > > Besides, when it happens the common word will emerge over the top of our > > heads. It'll probably be something like `zombies' or `ghouls' or > `snakes'... > > > > I agree that it is worthwhile to think about how to sell the message right. > For myself I may use both 'emortal' and 'ageless'. It is nice to have > synonyms and the slightly different connation of these terms may appeal to > different "market segments". > > Cheers, > > Mark > > Mark Walker, PhD > Research Associate, Philosophy, Trinity College > University of Toronto > Room 214 Gerald Larkin Building > 15 Devonshire Place > Toronto > M5S 1H8 > www.permanentend.org > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From megao at sasktel.net Mon Jan 5 18:07:13 2004 From: megao at sasktel.net (Extropian Agroforestry Ventures Inc.) Date: Mon, 05 Jan 2004 12:07:13 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality -economics of access References: <20040104115056.51c05500.samantha@objectent.com> <20040105002846.7553cdd2.samantha@objectent.com> <26fe01c3d390$326706f0$2ee4f418@markcomputer> Message-ID: <3FF9A7D0.219C0F4F@sasktel.net> The live or let die theme is practiced already in terms of pharmacoeconomic criteria for drug plan access to drugs and priorization of surgeries and other life saving therapies. If I recall right, dialysis stops at 65 unless the client ponies up the cash in Oregon. The scenario is that those with the ability and willingness to spend say 100 million will demand and get immediate access to radical life extension and the middle class will dissallow such costs for their peers is likely an already accepted fact. What Kass and Rifkin are doing is using the issue of banning of potential radical life extension technologies for even the rich to hide the fact that the policy makers have chosen to deny it for the middle class as well. To allow the Gates family to live to 250 would incite Joe Public to want the same right. Mark Walker wrote: > ----- Original Message ----- > From: "Samantha Atkins" > > > > Well this isn't really Mark's point -- he is simply pointing out that if > > > the objection to preventing access to life extending technologies > > > is based on the right to a future -- then abortion is going to > > > come up in the minds of critics. > > > > The abortion argument, or one variant of an answer, was used as the spine > of the argument presented from what I saw. Using a somewhat strained > argument about a different manner in an even more strained way doesn't seem > optimal. > > > > > > > While I appreciate your efforts to understand the issues, what you say here > is conceptually and historically mistaken. The first step of Marquis' > argument is to provide an analysis of what is wrong with killing us (adult > humans). His answer is that in the typical case it deprives us of the value > of our futures. The next step in his argument is to say that this same > analysis applies to fetuses. My argument requires only agreeing with him > about the first step. I go on to apply the analysis to immortal (or emortal > or ageless--there ya go Damien and Harvey--) individuals. Clearly there is > at least the logical possibility of agreeing with the analysis of why it is > wrong to kill us mortal adults, and yet disagree that the analysis applies > to fetuses. So, there are two conceptually distinct parts of Marquis' > argument. My argument shares with him only the first step. The first step is > not an abortion argument by any stretch of the imagination, so you have not > understood the argument. Historically, the first step of Marquis' argument > was heavily influenced by Glover and Young, and so it is the least original > part of his paper. > > You have called my argument 'strained', 'suboptimal' and so on. I can't see > that you have provided any reason for believing this. I realize that you > don't like the anti-abortion position, but as I have said (and as Robert has > also in effect pointed out) the issues are logically independent. > > > > > A foetus IS NOT a child. Ridding oneself of a biological accident before > it is a human being with rights in order to have reasonable control of one's > own life and wellbeing is not a case of the mother's rights trumping the > "child"'s rights. There is not child. This is the specious and weak form > of the argument in its original context of abortion. > > > > This is a gross misrepresentation of his argument. He explicitly denies (at > least for the sake of the argument) that a fetus or newborns are persons, > human beings, etc. His argument rests on the claim that a fetus (if > unharmed) has a future like ours (if we are unharmed). Again you call an > argument weak and specious without demonstrating even an elementary grasp of > its basic structure. > > Cheers, > > Mark > > Mark Walker, PhD > Research Associate, Philosophy, Trinity College > University of Toronto > Room 214 Gerald Larkin Building > 15 Devonshire Place > Toronto > M5S 1H8 > www.permanentend.org > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From puglisi at arcetri.astro.it Mon Jan 5 18:12:03 2004 From: puglisi at arcetri.astro.it (Alfio Puglisi) Date: Mon, 5 Jan 2004 19:12:03 +0100 (CET) Subject: [extropy-chat] More good stuff from Michael Crichton In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: On Mon, 5 Jan 2004, Robert J. Bradbury wrote: > >On Mon, 5 Jan 2004, Alfio Puglisi wrote: > >> I hate >> reading >> those >> narrow >> columns. >[snip] > >Alfio, I believe that it has been shown that humans >either read faster and/or have better comprehension with >narrow columns -- perhaps having to do with the fact >that the eye may be able to read narrow columns without >scanning while longer columns require scanning and >a retrace time to get to the start of the next line >(like electron guns in TVs). Maybe, but I feel physically constrained when reading a 2 inches column on a totally white screen. And I don't detect any better speed, on the contrary. My eye has already picked up momentum, turning right, and it has to stop abruptly and go down. Let it flow for a while :) Alfio From rhanson at gmu.edu Mon Jan 5 18:17:12 2004 From: rhanson at gmu.edu (Robin Hanson) Date: Mon, 05 Jan 2004 13:17:12 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Darwinian dynamics unlikely to apply to superintelligence In-Reply-To: <3FF8CC43.2010304@pobox.com> References: <5.2.1.1.2.20040104171912.020ca520@mail.gmu.edu> <8765fut8zd.fsf@snark.piermont.com> <20031231094734.GE11973@digitalkingdom.org> <3FF309F8.6000502@yifan.net> <20031231195904.GN11973@digitalkingdom.org> <87llorutus.fsf@snark.piermont.com> <20040102014258.GW11973@digitalkingdom.org> <8765fut8zd.fsf@snark.piermont.com> <5.2.1.1.2.20040104171912.020ca520@mail.gmu.edu> Message-ID: <5.2.1.1.2.20040105130905.02158cd8@mail.gmu.edu> On 1/4/2004, Eliezer S. Yudkowsky wrote: >>It seems to me that your key assumption is one of very cheap defense - >>once one SI has grabbed some resources you seem to posit that there is >>little point in some other SI, or even a large coalition of them, trying >>to take it from him. > >I agree that this is a key assumption. However, the assumption can fail >and still bar natural selection, if there is little variation in >preferences or little variation in resource-grabbing capacity or little >correlation between the two. Variation in preferences alone, even with no variation in ability to grab resources, can result in evolutionary selection. Preferences can be selected for, even without being correlated with other features. >>Given this, I suppose the rest of your scenario might plausibly follow, >>but I'm not sure why you believe this assumption. > >I tend to suspect that between two similar intelligent agents, combat will >be too uncertain to be worthwhile, will consume fixed resources, and will >produce negative externalities relative to surrounding agents. Let us >assume that loss aversion (not just in the modern human psychological >sense of aversion to losses as such, but in the sense of loss aversion >emergent in diminishing marginal utility) does not apply, so that a 50/50 >chance of winning - which goes along with the argument of intelligent >optimization using up variation - does not automatically rule out >combat. However, there would still be a fixed cost of combat, probably >extremely high; and if we assume variation in preferences, there would >probably be negative externalities to any nearby SIs, who would have a >motive to threaten punishment for combat. Negotiations among SIs are, I >think, out of my reach to comprehend - although I do have some specific >reasons to be confused - but I still suspect that they would >negotiate. The point about large coalitions devouring single cells is >interesting (although my current thoughts about SI negotations suggest >that *the choice to form a predatory coalition* might be viewed as >tantamount to starting a war). If we do have coalitions eating smaller >cells, then we have a filterish selection pressure that rules out all >unwillingness or hesitation to form coalitions - not necessarily natural >selection unless there is heritable variation, which correlates, etc. But >beyond that point, it would essentially amount to gambling, more than >combat - will you be part of the latest coalition, or not? Something like >a tontine, perhaps, until there are only two entities left standing? But >where does the non-random selection come in? What does it correlate to? A lot of words here, but still hard to follow. We must distinguish assumptions about the immediate physical consequences of combat from assumptions about what the resulting behavioral equilibrium is. In the above you seem to mix these up. I was trying to paraphrase you in terms of assumptions about physical consequences. Robin Hanson rhanson at gmu.edu http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-4444 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323 From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Jan 5 18:19:34 2004 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 5 Jan 2004 10:19:34 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] More good stuff from Michael Crichton In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20040105181934.45664.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> --- "Robert J. Bradbury" wrote: > > On Mon, 5 Jan 2004, Alfio Puglisi wrote: > > > I hate > > reading > > those > > narrow > > columns. > [snip] > > Alfio, I believe that it has been shown that humans > either read faster and/or have better comprehension with > narrow columns -- perhaps having to do with the fact > that the eye may be able to read narrow columns without > scanning while longer columns require scanning and > a retrace time to get to the start of the next line > (like electron guns in TVs). Yes, but you have to structure the text so that they are organized in continguous phrases. Chopped phrases take more time to read than scanning because you have to double back and forth to establish context. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Find out what made the Top Yahoo! Searches of 2003 http://search.yahoo.com/top2003 From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Jan 5 18:28:28 2004 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 5 Jan 2004 10:28:28 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] CLONE: Seeking contacts for organ cloning In-Reply-To: <3FF9A7D0.219C0F4F@sasktel.net> Message-ID: <20040105182829.78544.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> As many of you know, my mother has had a rather rough year with a botched gastro bypass operation. Her current condition is that she has 4' of small intestine, 1/3 of her original colon, with a colostomy bag, and requires 24 hour care. She is also developing an increasing encephalopathy condition that is likely tied to the lack of intestines providing insufficient nutrition for her brain, despite supplements and thrice daily injections of protien nutrient mix through a G tube into the lower stapled off area of her stomach. Her mental condition is spotty memory, a lack of ability to maintain a consistent train of thought, language problems in selecting the wrong words, lethargy, depression, phantom pain in her gut (like amputees experience), and when her electrolytes get off she hallucinates living in a different house with a different family, her dead father, among other things. I am increasingly of the opinion that she is going to need an intestinal transplant to regain her ability to digest sufficient nutrition, possibly get her intestine cloned. Can anyone point to researchers working in this area, such as those growing cloned organs in pigs or in a dish, etc.??? ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Find out what made the Top Yahoo! Searches of 2003 http://search.yahoo.com/top2003 From gingell at gnat.com Mon Jan 5 18:39:35 2004 From: gingell at gnat.com (Matthew Gingell) Date: Mon, 5 Jan 2004 13:39:35 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] fermi's paradox: m/d approach In-Reply-To: References: <005601c3d226$6c7b0e60$b0cd5cd1@neptune> Message-ID: <16377.44903.71147.907333@nile.gnat.com> Robert J. Bradbury writes: > The solar systems of advanced civilizations can probably contain > >2^50 bits and one doesn't transmit a useful fraction of that > across interstellar distances cheaply. This is a really evocative and interesting way of putting it. It immediately raises the question "how compressible is an advanced civilization?" I'd suggest the answer, for sufficiently large values of advanced, is not at all: We can think about the problem of optimally utilizing all the resources available to a civilization as a data encoding problem. The goal is to most efficiently transmit into the future whatever content it is that distinguishes your civilization from vacuum across mass and energy modeled as bandwidth on a Shannon-style noisy channel. (Noise in this analogy would be be quantum effects and classical uncertainty at various scales.) The solution is necessarily not compressible, necessarily completely impenetrable to reductive analysis. Delta some sophisticated error recovery mechanisms, the idea of a civilization completely free of redundancy (in both the conventional and Kolmogorov senses) completely boggles my mind. That any sufficiently advanced culture is indistinguishable from random noise has implications I can't seem to wrap my mind around... How does one relate to stellar masses of algorithmically irreducible "Stuff." From mlorrey at yahoo.com Mon Jan 5 19:02:55 2004 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Mon, 5 Jan 2004 11:02:55 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] fermi's paradox: m/d approach In-Reply-To: <16377.44903.71147.907333@nile.gnat.com> Message-ID: <20040105190255.82482.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> --- Matthew Gingell wrote: > Robert J. Bradbury writes: > > The solar systems of advanced civilizations can probably contain > > >2^50 bits and one doesn't transmit a useful fraction of that > > across interstellar distances cheaply. > > We can think about the problem of optimally utilizing all the > resources available to a civilization as a data encoding problem. > The goal is to most efficiently transmit into the future whatever > content it is that distinguishes your civilization from vacuum across > mass and energy modeled as bandwidth on a Shannon-style noisy channel. > (Noise in this analogy would be be quantum effects and classical > uncertainty at various scales.) The solution is necessarily not > compressible, necessarily completely impenetrable to reductive > analysis. This describes the conundrum that Spike was talking about. A particular civilization may get itself into an informational bottleneck in transmitting its population out into the universe, just as we risk a material resources bottleneck in this century in getting our carcasses off the planet. If the singularity sputters, the future is doomed to a luddites collectivist agrarian fantasy. If an Mbrain civilization expands its demands for processing resources faster than its ability to build transmission resources, it will eventually trap itself in its own solar system by informational overpopulation. Thus, I foresee this Mbrain dillemma as a possible Second Singularity... the prophet Mike has spoken... ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Find out what made the Top Yahoo! Searches of 2003 http://search.yahoo.com/top2003 From kekich at transvio.com Mon Jan 5 19:23:28 2004 From: kekich at transvio.com (David A. Kekich) Date: Mon, 5 Jan 2004 11:23:28 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] CLONE: Seeking contacts for organ cloning In-Reply-To: <20040105182829.78544.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: My recommendation is Dr. Anthony Atala. Please email me directly at kekich at transvio.com, or call me at 310-265-8644. Thanks, Dave ***************************** David A. Kekich TransVio Technology Ventures, LLC Tele. 310-265-8644/Fax 310-544-9684 http://www.TransVio.com ***************************** > -----Original Message----- > From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org > [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org]On Behalf Of Mike Lorrey > Sent: Monday, January 05, 2004 10:28 AM > To: ExI chat list > Subject: [extropy-chat] CLONE: Seeking contacts for organ cloning > > > As many of you know, my mother has had a rather rough year with a > botched gastro bypass operation. Her current condition is that she has > 4' of small intestine, 1/3 of her original colon, with a colostomy bag, > and requires 24 hour care. She is also developing an increasing > encephalopathy condition that is likely tied to the lack of intestines > providing insufficient nutrition for her brain, despite supplements and > thrice daily injections of protien nutrient mix through a G tube into > the lower stapled off area of her stomach. > Her mental condition is spotty memory, a lack of ability to maintain a > consistent train of thought, language problems in selecting the wrong > words, lethargy, depression, phantom pain in her gut (like amputees > experience), and when her electrolytes get off she hallucinates living > in a different house with a different family, her dead father, among > other things. > I am increasingly of the opinion that she is going to need an > intestinal transplant to regain her ability to digest sufficient > nutrition, possibly get her intestine cloned. Can anyone point to > researchers working in this area, such as those growing cloned organs > in pigs or in a dish, etc.??? > > ===== > Mike Lorrey > "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." > - Gen. John Stark > "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." > - Mike Lorrey > Do not label me, I am an ism of one... > Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com > > __________________________________ > Do you Yahoo!? > Find out what made the Top Yahoo! Searches of 2003 > http://search.yahoo.com/top2003 > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From dirk at neopax.com Mon Jan 5 19:49:52 2004 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Mon, 5 Jan 2004 19:49:52 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Golden Transcendence References: <200312060543.hB65hqM30870@finney.org><004601c3bcea$26086780$6501a8c0@dimension> <007e01c3bcf1$10b36b80$6501a8c0@dimension> Message-ID: <013101c3d3c5$27dc6880$d2256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Rafal Smigrodzki" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Sunday, December 07, 2003 6:36 PM Subject: [extropy-chat] The Golden Transcendence > I just finished reading the third part of John C. Wright's Golden Age > trilogy, and I am awed. As I suspected, Wright allows humanity an escape I have just finished the first two books, and agree with you. Does the author have a website? Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From bradbury at aeiveos.com Mon Jan 5 19:56:44 2004 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Mon, 5 Jan 2004 11:56:44 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] fermi's paradox: m/d approach In-Reply-To: <20040105190255.82482.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: On Mon, 5 Jan 2004, Mike Lorrey wrote: > If an Mbrain civilization > expands its demands for processing resources faster than its ability to > build transmission resources, it will eventually trap itself in its own > solar system by informational overpopulation. The outer layer of an MBrain is constrained by the temperature it wants to radiate at. But that doesn't prevent one from constructing orbiting data storage devices, perhaps with onboard fusion reactors -- just enough energy to occasionally read and restore data bits that get wiped by cosmic rays. So long as you have a supply of brown dwarfs or molecular clouds to consume the quantity of data stored can get quite large (>> 2^50 bits). The only problem is the access time. Instead of waiting milliseconds for the data you need to rotate around on a disk drive spindle (and that is *fast* compared to the rotational delay on early drum storage devices), you have to wait hundreds to thousands of years for your data to become available for read access again (*much* slower than offsite tape access now-a-days). Perhaps you could setup laser access and have the data in light-hours to light-days but this is going to require much more energy be consumed in the orbiting data storage units. If you opt for the low-energy cost data storage approach and the access is hundreds to thousands of years there is probably a significant chance that the data will be obsolete by the time it gets back to where it can be read. In that much time a MBrain can obviously recreate a significant amount of data if necessary. I toyed around with considering different compression approaches and then realized this can get *very* complex. One could think of Chinese where one has a variety of icons with specific meanings. One could imagine MBrain alphabets where strings of N bits each have a different meaning but only the active mental state of an MBrain knows how to interpret that set of bits. So each string is effectively "overloaded" with a meaning -- just as when I say "red" this brings to mind a whole set of images, experiences and comprehensions within the mind of the listener. The agreed upon meaning of "red" is only required for our interpersonal communication requirements. If an MBrain is only communicating within itself it seems resonable to allow "red" to mean the entire set of overloaded qualities. In a way this seems similar to object-oriented programming where one is passing around objects with a variety of qualities. Robert From thespike at earthlink.net Mon Jan 5 20:12:13 2004 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Mon, 5 Jan 2004 14:12:13 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality (terminology) References: <002901c3d313$ead28390$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT><244b01c3d316$db187420$2ee4f418@markcomputer><014f01c3d31a$59da6040$bd994a43@texas.net> <270401c3d391$13cf7eb0$2ee4f418@markcomputer> Message-ID: <008d01c3d3c8$389ae0e0$8c994a43@texas.net> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Mark Walker" Sent: Monday, January 05, 2004 7:37 AM > I agree that it is worthwhile to think about how to sell the message right. > For myself I may use both 'emortal' and 'ageless'. It is nice to have > synonyms and the slightly different connation of these terms may appeal to > different "market segments". Indeed. I should stress that I have absolutely no stake in `emortal/ity'; it just seems like a workable compromise. Incidentally, Brian Stableford tells me that he didn't coin the term (although he's used it in a series of recent novels). He attributes it to biologist Alvin Silverstein, in CONQUEST OF DEATH (Macmillan, 1979). I find this interesting summary at the useful site http://biomatics.kaist.ac.kr/Research/Gerontology/glossary.html : ===== Emortality -- Indefinite life expectancy for individuals of a sexually reproducing species without death secondary to cellular senescence. However, an emortal individual may still die secondary to environmental trauma or an accident. Etymology: This term was first coined by Alvin Silverstein, Ph.D., Professor of Biology at College of Staten Island/CUNY (2800 Victory Blvd.; Staten Island, NY 10314; E-mail: silverstein at postbox.csi.cuny.edu or DrASilverstein at aol.com ) to distinguish it from the more usual term of immortality and thereby avoid all of its religious connotation. He states, "I was using it among colleagues and friends back in the 1950's, although it did not appear "in print" until my book, Conquest of Death: The Prospects for Emortality in Our Time (Macmillan, NY; 1979). ====== Damien Broderick From thespike at earthlink.net Mon Jan 5 20:20:47 2004 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Mon, 5 Jan 2004 14:20:47 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Golden Transcendence References: <200312060543.hB65hqM30870@finney.org><004601c3bcea$26086780$6501a8c0@dimension><007e01c3bcf1$10b36b80$6501a8c0@dimension> <013101c3d3c5$27dc6880$d2256bd5@artemis> Message-ID: <00c001c3d3c9$69231560$8c994a43@texas.net> From: "Dirk Bruere" Sent: Monday, January 05, 2004 1:49 PM > Does the author have a website? Yes. From bjk at imminst.org Mon Jan 5 20:38:12 2004 From: bjk at imminst.org (Bruce J. Klein) Date: Mon, 05 Jan 2004 14:38:12 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality (terminology) In-Reply-To: <008d01c3d3c8$389ae0e0$8c994a43@texas.net> References: <002901c3d313$ead28390$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT><244b01c3d316$db187420$2ee4f418@markcomputer><014f01c3d31a$59da6040$bd994a43@texas.net> <270401c3d391$13cf7eb0$2ee4f418@markcomputer> <008d01c3d3c8$389ae0e0$8c994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <3FF9CB34.6030902@imminst.org> Till Noever has composed four articles for ImmInst concerning 'Emortalism' Emortalism 101 - Introduction http://imminst.org/forum/index.php?act=ST&f=67&t=1752&s= Emortalism 102 - Meaning, Context, Identity, Sex and Other Curiosities http://imminst.org/forum/index.php?s=&act=ST&f=67&t=1764&hl=noever Emortalism 103 - Scenarios http://www.imminst.org/forum/index.php?s=&act=ST&f=67&t=1811 Emortalism 104 - Emortalist Ethics http://imminst.org/forum/index.php?s=&act=ST&f=66&t=1928 Bruce Klein Chairman, ImmInst.org From dirk at neopax.com Mon Jan 5 21:13:05 2004 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Mon, 5 Jan 2004 21:13:05 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Golden Transcendence References: <200312060543.hB65hqM30870@finney.org><004601c3bcea$26086780$6501a8c0@dimension><007e01c3bcf1$10b36b80$6501a8c0@dimension><013101c3d3c5$27dc6880$d2256bd5@artemis> <00c001c3d3c9$69231560$8c994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <01a601c3d3d0$b5d0e390$d2256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Damien Broderick" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Monday, January 05, 2004 8:20 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] The Golden Transcendence > From: "Dirk Bruere" > Sent: Monday, January 05, 2004 1:49 PM > > > Does the author have a website? > > Yes. What's the URL? Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk Mon Jan 5 22:09:24 2004 From: bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk (BillK) Date: Mon, 05 Jan 2004 22:09:24 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Golden Transcendence Message-ID: <3FF9E094.3050807@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> On Mon Jan 05, 2004 02:13 pm Dirk Bruere queried: > What's the URL? > Heh. :) Damien is poking you with a pointed stick. It is a trivial task and quicker to find the URL by Google than to post to the list. And Google will give you other associated interesting sites as well. BillK From thespike at earthlink.net Mon Jan 5 22:13:20 2004 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Mon, 5 Jan 2004 16:13:20 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Golden Transcendence References: <200312060543.hB65hqM30870@finney.org><004601c3bcea$26086780$6501a8c0@dimension><007e01c3bcf1$10b36b80$6501a8c0@dimension><013101c3d3c5$27dc6880$d2256bd5@artemis><00c001c3d3c9$69231560$8c994a43@texas.net> <01a601c3d3d0$b5d0e390$d2256bd5@artemis> Message-ID: <002701c3d3d9$22740a60$8c994a43@texas.net> > > From: "Dirk Bruere" > > Sent: Monday, January 05, 2004 1:49 PM > > > > > Does the author have a website? > > > > Yes. > What's the URL? > > Dirk > > The Consensus:- > The political party for the new millennium Forgive my bluntness, but... You're planning to run the United Kingdom, and you can't get Google to work? From dirk at neopax.com Mon Jan 5 22:17:43 2004 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Mon, 5 Jan 2004 22:17:43 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Golden Transcendence References: <3FF9E094.3050807@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> Message-ID: <01b901c3d3d9$bd7792c0$d2256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "BillK" To: Sent: Monday, January 05, 2004 10:09 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] The Golden Transcendence > On Mon Jan 05, 2004 02:13 pm Dirk Bruere queried: > > What's the URL? > > > > Heh. :) > > Damien is poking you with a pointed stick. > > It is a trivial task and quicker to find the URL by Google than to post > to the list. And Google will give you other associated interesting sites > as well. Wow! google! I'd never have thought of that in a million tears! Problem is, I get vast numbers of books, reviews, interviews and no doubt somewhere in there is something call 'the website of John C Wright' http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&ie=UTF-8&oe=UTF-8&q=wright+golden+transcendence 1680 hits Hey! let's really get this thread running by playing 'guess the keywords'. Over to you. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From thespike at earthlink.net Mon Jan 5 22:36:15 2004 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Mon, 5 Jan 2004 16:36:15 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Golden Transcendence References: <3FF9E094.3050807@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> <01b901c3d3d9$bd7792c0$d2256bd5@artemis> Message-ID: <00b101c3d3dc$56ef6020$8c994a43@texas.net> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Dirk Bruere" Sent: Monday, January 05, 2004 4:17 PM > Hey! let's really get this thread running by playing 'guess the keywords'. > Over to you. Jesus wept. Go to Google. Type in ""john c. wright" homepage" The third entry down shows (and you don't even need to open the page): >Author's Homepage: http://www.sff.net/people/john-c-wright/index.html which gives his @: john-c-wright at sff.net From bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk Mon Jan 5 22:44:25 2004 From: bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk (BillK) Date: Mon, 05 Jan 2004 22:44:25 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Golden Transcendence Message-ID: <3FF9E8C9.8060305@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> On Mon Jan 05, 2004 03:17 pm Dirk Bruere screamed in panic: > Problem is, I get vast numbers of books, reviews, interviews and no > doubt somewhere in there is something call 'the website of John C > Wright' > wright+golden+transcendence > 1680 hits > > Hey! let's really get this thread running by playing 'guess the > keywords'. > Over to you. > > Dirk > Sometimes it is better to keep quiet. You don't HAVE to respond when somebody gets levitatious with you. ;) I googled on "John C Wright" (seemed obvious to me). The top site returned is full of useful links including interviews, reviews, his agents' site, Tor Books site, even his own site and his email address. BillK From dirk at neopax.com Mon Jan 5 22:44:09 2004 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Mon, 5 Jan 2004 22:44:09 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Golden Transcendence References: <3FF9E094.3050807@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk><01b901c3d3d9$bd7792c0$d2256bd5@artemis> <00b101c3d3dc$56ef6020$8c994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <01f301c3d3dd$6f1cfdf0$d2256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Damien Broderick" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Monday, January 05, 2004 10:36 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] The Golden Transcendence > > ----- Original Message ----- > From: "Dirk Bruere" > Sent: Monday, January 05, 2004 4:17 PM > > > Hey! let's really get this thread running by playing 'guess the keywords'. > > Over to you. > > > Jesus wept. Go to Google. Type in ""john c. wright" homepage" > > The third entry down shows (and you don't even need to open the page): > > >Author's Homepage: http://www.sff.net/people/john-c-wright/index.html Seen it and discounted it before I asked the original question. > which gives his @: > > john-c-wright at sff.net ie it's not his website. So, the answer is 'he has no website of his own'. If you can remember far enough back, the question was 'Does the author have a website?' Try and be less of a smart arse when someone asks a question in future. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From dirk at neopax.com Mon Jan 5 22:54:43 2004 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Mon, 5 Jan 2004 22:54:43 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Golden Transcendence References: <3FF9E8C9.8060305@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> Message-ID: <01fd01c3d3de$e88ab230$d2256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "BillK" To: Sent: Monday, January 05, 2004 10:44 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] The Golden Transcendence > On Mon Jan 05, 2004 03:17 pm Dirk Bruere screamed in panic: > > Problem is, I get vast numbers of books, reviews, interviews and no > > doubt somewhere in there is something call 'the website of John C > > Wright' > > wright+golden+transcendence > > 1680 hits > > > > Hey! let's really get this thread running by playing 'guess the > > keywords'. > > Over to you. > > > > Dirk > > > > Sometimes it is better to keep quiet. You don't HAVE to respond when > somebody gets levitatious with you. ;) > > I googled on "John C Wright" > (seemed obvious to me). > > The top site returned is full of useful links including interviews, > reviews, his agents' site, Tor Books site, even his own site and his > email address. Except nowhere in the returned list of websites does it inform one that he has no website (which is a deduction). His homepage is listed, but that was NOT the question I asked. Now, I may be wrong about that because I have not done a WHOIS on the actual owner but I don't expect to be. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From thespike at earthlink.net Mon Jan 5 23:14:57 2004 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Mon, 5 Jan 2004 17:14:57 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] For Us, The Living References: <3FF9E8C9.8060305@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> Message-ID: <012501c3d3e1$be9d7b80$8c994a43@texas.net> Have just got *For Us, the Living*, Heinlein's rediscovered first novel. Opened first page, read: < He glanced back at the girl. She was still catching the beach ball. As she settled back on her feet, he drifted clear of the car and turned in the air away from her. Facing him were the rocks at the foot of the bluff. They approached as he watched them, separated and became individuals. One rock selected him and came straight toward him. It was a handsome rock, flat on one side and brilliant while in the sunshine. A sharp edge faced him and grew and grew and grew until it encompassed the whole world. > Surely that's a typo for `brilliant white'? Since he's falling straight at it, he has no reason to muse that it would look darker away from the sun (or whatever). Doesn't bode terribly well for the acuity of the editors... Damien Broderick From neptune at superlink.net Tue Jan 6 04:32:22 2004 From: neptune at superlink.net (Technotranscendence) Date: Mon, 5 Jan 2004 23:32:22 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Fw: [atlantis_II] Re: fermi's paradox: m/d approach Message-ID: <00bc01c3d40e$14a823a0$0cca5cd1@neptune> Dennis replied to Robert's post with: From: Dennis May determinism at hotmail.com To: atlantis_II at yahoogroups.com Sent: Monday, January 05, 2004 5:26 PM Subject: [atlantis_II] Re: fermi's paradox: m/d approach Robert J. Bradbury wrote: "The present value of using the resources locally is likely to significantly exceed the communications value of sending energy/mass (i.e. electromagnetic waves or probes) across interstellar distances." No investment in discovery? A singular thought pattern which doesn't experiment or take risks? No diversity of opinion concerning value. Again it doesn't sound like much of a brain. Robert J. Bradbury wrote: "The cost of sending a bit across interstellar distances is relatively cheap. The cost of sending any quantity of information worth something across interstellar distances is quite expensive. The solar systems of advanced civilizations can probably contain >2^50 bits and one doesn't transmit a useful fraction of that across interstellar distances cheaply." Worth something? Whole libraries can be sent on a laser signal for next to nothing. What makes you think those >2^50 bits aren't mainly archives of Alien Slug Porn at high resolution or something equally useless to someone else. Value is in the eye of the beholder. I wrote: >Gray goo has to obey the same thermodynamic and >chemical laws as living creatures. Some of the capabilities ascribed to >gray goo have ignored these >laws. Robert J. Bradbury wrote: "Not any serious proposals by people who know what they are talking about (Drexler, Freitas, etc.)" I can only go by what little I have read. No doubt the fantastic unrealistic claims get more press than those who are serious. I will have to read more by those who are thought to be serious. I wrote: >In any case gray goo has to compete for resources and avoid >predators/parasites just like anyone else. Robert J. Bradbury wrote: "Gray goo based on nanotech easily trumps any preexisting life forms based on biotech. This is due to the fact that it is stronger, more energy efficient, travels faster, faster to evolve, etc." I would think that all these claims depend on the efficient mining of resources from the environment to enable self-replication. Something yet to be demonstrated and unlikely to be as simple as postulated. Some of the more fantastic claims I've heard clearly ignored the necessity of mining diverse resources and the actual energy costs and heat losses incurred in doing so. There are many biological systems which are extremely efficient. I wrote: >Not a very smart brain if it wants to put all its resources >into one place - ready to be destroyed by WoMD. Robert J. Bradbury wrote: "MBrains are the size of solar systems and have the power of stars at their disposal. The only things that could potentially destroy them are most likely to be very clever viruses (that presumably have to get through multiple levels of firewalls, isolated defense systems, etc.) or black holes hurled across interstellar space." Or simply: enough hydrogen bombs hurled at them fast enough for long enough, or swarms of pellets fired at them for long enough from all directions, or enough anti-matter hurled long enough, or destroying it while it is small by any number of means, or setting off nearby stars to create lethal neutrino showers, or orienting parts of the blast from supernovas, or hitting it again and again with solid objects traveling near the speed of light, and so on. Robert J. Bradbury wrote: "...one has to make sure that one totally eliminates every last component of an MBrain or risk a berserker response" Exactly my point - WoMD will destroy the big buck brain before it gets very big. Who says berserkers of one kind or another aren't already out there causing the Fermi Paradox? I wrote: >I support the WoMD cause of the Fermi Paradox. Stealth, >mobility, and dispersion are the secrets to survival with space >WoMD. Advertise your presence and expose yourself to WoMD. Robert J. Bradbury wrote: >...MBrains or other similar architectures that migrate outside galaxies >where they can radiate heat at close to the CMB temperature (~4 deg K). >Thus they are very difficult to detect and very difficult to target with >WoMD. Everything is visible to spread spectrum impulse E&M. You can't hide anything of that size if someone cares to look. If I send out trillions of spread spectrum impulse probes I will find anything I care to look for. If you are large and lumbering once your found your dead - given sufficient time. Robert J. Bradbury wrote: "(Side Note: Dennis -- these topics have been discussed for ~5 years on the ExI list and there are multiple academic papers that have been written on the topic as well as hundreds of email postings so Daniel is putting you at a slight disadvantage by introducing the conversation to the Atlantis list without informing you with respect to some of the background materials.)" I would enjoy being informed in those areas you feel I behind in. I have had similar discussions before and found the defense of the Mbrain concept still lacking. The other question is: why is my solution to the Fermi Paradox less plausible - since it does not depend on new science, big brains, or unknown nanotechnology? Dennis May http://groups.yahoo.com/group/atlantis_II/ From cryoofan at mylinuxisp.com Tue Jan 6 14:32:47 2004 From: cryoofan at mylinuxisp.com (randy) Date: Tue, 06 Jan 2004 08:32:47 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] For Us, The Living In-Reply-To: <012501c3d3e1$be9d7b80$8c994a43@texas.net> References: <3FF9E8C9.8060305@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> <012501c3d3e1$be9d7b80$8c994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: On Mon, 5 Jan 2004 17:14:57 -0600, you wrote > One rock >selected him and came straight toward him. It was a handsome rock, flat on >one side and brilliant while in the sunshine. A sharp edge faced him and >grew and grew and grew until it encompassed the whole world. > Geez, someone's been reading a bit too much Hemingway.... I guess RAH got the Hemingway out of his system with this book, cuz I have never before noticed the similarity.... ------------- From natashavita at earthlink.net Tue Jan 6 17:02:14 2004 From: natashavita at earthlink.net (natashavita at earthlink.net) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 12:02:14 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Hell Message-ID: <157240-2200412617214495@M2W042.mail2web.com> A colleague at work sent this to me. It's silly, but what the hell? The following is an actual question given on a University of Washington chemistry mid-term exam. The answer by one student was so? profound" that the professor shared it with colleagues, via the Internet, which is, of course, why we now have the pleasure of enjoying it as well. Bonus Question: " Is " Hell " exothermic (gives off heat) or endothermic(absorbs heat)? " Most of the students wrote proofs of their beliefs using Boyle's Law, (gas cools off when it expands and heats up when it is compressed) or some variant, but fell short in producing a demonstration argument. One student however wrote the following: First, we need to know how the mass of Hell is changing in time. So we need to know the rate that souls are moving into Hell and the rate they are leaving. I think that we can safely assume that once a soul gets to Hell, it will not leave. Therefore, no souls are leaving. As for how many souls are entering Hell, lets look at the different religions that exist in the world today. Most of these religions state that if you are not a member of their religion, you will go to Hell. Since there are more than one of these religions and since people do not belong to more than one religion, we can project that all souls go to Hell. With birth and death rates as they are, we can expect the number of souls in Hell to increase exponentially. Now, we look at the rate of change of the volume in Hell because Boyle's Law states that in order for the temperature and pressure in Hell to stay the same, the volume of Hell has to expand proportionately as souls are added. This gives two possibilities: 1. If Hell is expanding at a slower rate than the rate at which souls enter Hell, then the temperature and pressure in Hell will increase until all Hell breaks loose. 2. If Hell is expanding at a rate faster than the increase of souls in Hell, then the temperature and pressure will drop until Hell freezes over. Considering then the postulate presented to me by Teresa K. during my Freshman year: that "it will be a cold day in Hell before I sleep with you" and taking into account the fact that over two years later, I still have not succeeded in having relations with her; then, #2 cannot be true, and thus I am sure that Hell is exothermic and will not freeze." The student received the only "A" given." -------------------------------------------------------------------- mail2web - Check your email from the web at http://mail2web.com/ . From gpmap at runbox.com Tue Jan 6 17:12:31 2004 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 18:12:31 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Templeton prize for dialogue between science and religion Message-ID: >From the Ledger Online: Every March, the winner of the most lucrative award on Earth -- about $1 million -- is announced. The Templeton Prize is given not to artists or peace activists but to "entrepreneurs" who have contributed to the dialogue between science and religion, working to "expand human perceptions of divinity and to help in the acceleration of divine creativity," In 2003, the prize was given to the Rev. Holmes Rolston, a pioneer in the field of religion and ecology. Not everyone admires what the foundation -- and its benefactor -- are trying to accomplish. Sir John Templeton believes that humans should endeavor through scientific study to learn more about God. He also advocates what he calls "humility theology," which disregards doctrine in favor of a complete openness to ideas about God. Some Templeton Prize winners, such as Freeman Dyson, have proposed concepts long considered heretical to monotheistic traditions. The mission of the John Templeton Foundation is to pursue new insights at the boundary between theology and science through a rigorous, open-minded and empirically focused methodology, drawing together talented representatives from a wide spectrum of fields of expertise. Using "the humble approach," the Foundation typically seeks to focus the methods and resources of scientific inquiry on topical areas which have spiritual and theological significance ranging across the disciplines from cosmology to healthcare. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Tue Jan 6 17:13:37 2004 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (Kevin Freels) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 11:13:37 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Hell References: <157240-2200412617214495@M2W042.mail2web.com> Message-ID: > Most of these religions state that if you are not a member of their > religion, you will go to Hell. Since there are more than one of these > religions and since people do not belong to more than one religion, we can > project that all souls go to Hell. This just happens to be my initial reasoning behind becoming an atheist! lol From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Jan 6 17:18:14 2004 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 09:18:14 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Hell In-Reply-To: <157240-2200412617214495@M2W042.mail2web.com> Message-ID: <20040106171814.52961.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> Poor Teresa K, doomed forever to a reputation of prudery, or maybe just a reputation of no taste for smart and smartass fellows... I wonder if this A got the fellow some action... ;) --- "natashavita at earthlink.net" wrote: > A colleague at work sent this to me. It's silly, but what the hell? > > The following is an actual question given on a University of > Washington chemistry mid-term exam. The answer by one student was so > ?profound" that the professor shared it with colleagues, via the > Internet, which is, of course, why we now have the pleasure of. > enjoying it as well. snip... > Considering then the postulate presented to me by Teresa K. during > my Freshman year: that "it will be a cold day in Hell before I sleep > with you" and taking into account the fact that over two years later, > I still have not succeeded in having relations with her; then, #2 > cannot be true, and thus I am sure that Hell is exothermic and will > not freeze." > > The student received the only "A" given." ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Yahoo! Hotjobs: Enter the "Signing Bonus" Sweepstakes http://hotjobs.sweepstakes.yahoo.com/signingbonus From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Jan 6 17:21:11 2004 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 09:21:11 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] For Us, The Living In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20040106172111.82340.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> --- randy wrote: > On Mon, 5 Jan 2004 17:14:57 -0600, you wrote > > > > > One rock > >selected him and came straight toward him. It was a handsome rock, > flat on > >one side and brilliant while in the sunshine. A sharp edge faced him > and > >grew and grew and grew until it encompassed the whole world. > > > > Geez, someone's been reading a bit too much Hemingway.... > > I guess RAH got the Hemingway out of his system with this book, cuz I > have never before noticed the similarity.... What I want to know is how an edge can encompass a whole world. An edge is a line, i.e. it has only one dimension. What sort of non-euclidean trick was used to make a one dimensional geometric object encompass all of 3 dimensional space??? ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Yahoo! Hotjobs: Enter the "Signing Bonus" Sweepstakes http://hotjobs.sweepstakes.yahoo.com/signingbonus From puglisi at arcetri.astro.it Tue Jan 6 17:31:05 2004 From: puglisi at arcetri.astro.it (Alfio Puglisi) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 18:31:05 +0100 (CET) Subject: [extropy-chat] Hell In-Reply-To: <157240-2200412617214495@M2W042.mail2web.com> References: <157240-2200412617214495@M2W042.mail2web.com> Message-ID: I once found this, somewhere on Usenet: EAVEN IS HOTTER THAN HELL "The temperature of heaven can be rather accurately computed. Our authority is the Bible: Isaiah 30:26 reads, "Moreover, the light of the moon shall be as the light of the sun and the light of the sun shall be sevenfold as the light of seven days." Thus, heaven receives from the moon as much radiation as the earth does from the sun, and in addition seven times seven (forty nine) times as much as the earth does from the sun, or fifty times in all. The light we receive from the moon is one ten-thousandth of the light we receive from the sun, so we can ignore that. With these data we can compute the temperature of heaven: The radiation falling on heaven will heat it to the point where the heat lost by radiation is just equal to the heat received by radiation. In other words, heaven loses fifty times as much heat as the earth by radiation. Using the Stefan-Boltzmann fourth power law for radiation: (H/E)^4 = 50 where E is the absolute temperature of the earth, 300 degrees K (273+27). This gives H, the absolute temperature of heaven, as 798 degrees absolute (525 degrees C). The exact temperature of hell cannot be computed but it must be less than 444.6 degrees C, the temperature at which brimstone or sulfur changes from a liquid to a gas. Revelations 21:8: "But the fearful and unbelieving... shall have their part in the lake which burneth with fire and brimstone." A lake of molten brimstone [sulfur] means that its temperature must be at or below the boiling point, which is 444.6 degrees C. (Above that point, it would be a vapor, not a lake.) We have then, temperature of heaven, 525 degrees C (977 degrees F). Temperature of hell, less than 444.6 degrees C (832.3 degrees F). Therefore heaven is hotter than hell." Ciao, Alfio From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Tue Jan 6 17:33:21 2004 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 12:33:21 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Fw: [atlantis_II] Re: fermi's paradox: m/d approach In-Reply-To: <00bc01c3d40e$14a823a0$0cca5cd1@neptune> Message-ID: <001101c3d47b$316abad0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> >From a security point-of-view, I have developed a new hypothesis: We may be a valuable source of free research, information and entertainment to the universe. We broadcast most of our information for free out to the universe via radio and TV. Advanced civilizations may be able to receive all our signals and watch all our TV and radio programs. As long as they are receiving free service, why should they tell us? Maybe they are afraid we will cut them off as soon as we find out they are receiving all of our information but we are receiving none of theirs. Maybe it is a historical pattern in the universe that civilizations suddenly clam up when they discover other civilizations. Maybe older civilizations listen to newer civilizations for as long as they can without letting them know. >From a security perspective, they would want to find out as much as they can about us, and would want us to know as little as possible about them. Until we establish that we are not a threat to them, they would stay quiet. They would not want to jeopardize their ability to observe us by alerting us to their presence. They receive all our stuff already anyway. How will contacting us help? It would only reduce their information or make it less trustworthy. As long as we don't know about them, our broadcasts are not controlled propaganda. As soon as we find out about them, we can limit or manipulate our broadcasts. We also may start demanding information back in return. This seems obvious if we think of it from the other side. Suppose we start receiving signals from a nearby star. We can monitor their civilization and they don't know about us. We would be very concerned about them. Are they friendly? Do they have superior technology? Do they want to eat us? We probably wouldn't want to announce our presence and location to them. We would probably want to observe them quietly at first. It seems clear that we are a new civilization with our signals going out only a hundred light years or so. The time for the return-trip would limit our communications to civilizations within 50 light years or so. Any time they delayed listening to us would reduce that radius to 40 or 30 light-years or further. Anybody who could have heard us and responded would have to be relatively close and therefore even more cautious about responding. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From dirk at neopax.com Tue Jan 6 17:34:59 2004 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 17:34:59 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Hell References: <157240-2200412617214495@M2W042.mail2web.com> Message-ID: <00bd01c3d47b$68462800$62256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Kevin Freels" To: ; "ExI chat list" Sent: Tuesday, January 06, 2004 5:13 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Hell > > Most of these religions state that if you are not a member of their > > religion, you will go to Hell. Since there are more than one of these > > religions and since people do not belong to more than one religion, we can > > project that all souls go to Hell. > > This just happens to be my initial reasoning behind becoming an atheist! lol And is hence flawed. However, from a theological POV Asatru is interesting. Here most people reside in Hel (now where did Xians get their version from?...) until it is time to be reborn into their family line again. Others are selected by the Gods and Goddesses to reside with them in their halls, the most famous being Odin's - Valhalla. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From scerir at libero.it Tue Jan 6 18:07:31 2004 From: scerir at libero.it (scerir) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 19:07:31 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Hell References: <157240-2200412617214495@M2W042.mail2web.com> Message-ID: <001301c3d47f$f4b95e70$94b91b97@administxl09yj> Father Gabriele Amorth, the leading exorcist of the Vatican, http://www.catholic-exorcism.org/pages/suntelegraph/suntelegraph.html http://www.thecatholiclibrary.org/Articles/fr_amorth.html who speaks with the Devil every day, over 50,000 times in the last 30 years, told yesterday that - according to Devil - the Hell is completely different from what we know. Dante's Inferno (illustration, here, by G. Dor?) http://jade.ccccd.edu/Andrade/WorldLitI2332/Dante/inf_dore_14.029.jpeg or H. Bosch http://www.artonline.it/img/large/230gcd07.jpg were wrong. The Hell - according to Devil - has nothing to do with "real" fire, but it has much to do with a "spiritual" fire, that is to say: pain anyway. According to father Amorth every religion has its (different) Hell. From jonkc at att.net Tue Jan 6 18:01:09 2004 From: jonkc at att.net (John K Clark) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 13:01:09 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Darwinian dynamics unlikely to apply tosuperintelligence References: <20031231094734.GE11973@digitalkingdom.org> <3FF309F8.6000502@yifan.net> <20031231195904.GN11973@digitalkingdom.org> <87llorutus.fsf@snark.piermont.com> <20040102014258.GW11973@digitalkingdom.org><8765fut8zd.fsf@snark.piermont.com> <3FF5FEA2.8040900@pobox.com> Message-ID: <008601c3d47f$2a859b00$edff4d0c@hal2001> > Evolution isn't something you can avoid. True. > Deep down, all it says is "you find more > of that which survives and spreads itself" No, that's only half of what makes evolution work, for the other half you need some mechanism to make the next generation different from the present one. In Darwinian biological evolution that mechanism is random mutation; in cultural evolution (science is just one example) it is Lamarckian and the inheritance of acquired characteristics is possible. Lamarckian evolution is about a billion times faster than the Darwinian version because it is directed by intelligence. Once life enters this phase things will move in a direction more likely to make intelligence happy because the old style Darwinian component will be swamped out by the much larger Lamarckian. John K Clark jonkc at att.net From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Tue Jan 6 18:02:43 2004 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 13:02:43 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Fw: [atlantis_II] Re: fermi's paradox: m/d approach Message-ID: <001801c3d47f$4babc7f0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> I wrote, > It seems clear that we are a new > civilization with our signals going out only a hundred light > years or so. This is based on the earliest possible signals when Marconi transmitted wireless telegraph just before 1900. But it now occurs to me that they bounced such radio waves off the ionosphere to get around the curve of the earth. I am not sure when radio waves started going out into space, or when they became numerous or interesting enough to be detectable. The first radio network was NBC starting in 1926. The first big or powerful transmitters were built by RCA after 1934. We may have only about 65 years of transmitting to space. For a round-trip signal, that limits responses to about 30 light-years or less, if they detected us instantly and responded. Any delay in detection or answering, and our globe of possible civilizations to talk to is reduced even further. There are 106 stars within 20 light-years according to . Only 6 of these are yellow G-class stars. If the likelihood of advanced civilizations is less than 1/7 (14%) of G-class stars, we may be the only civilization within this response cone. There may be no civilizations close enough to have heard us and answered us yet. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From wingcat at pacbell.net Tue Jan 6 18:07:07 2004 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 10:07:07 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] For Us, The Living In-Reply-To: <20040106172111.82340.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20040106180707.79714.qmail@web80402.mail.yahoo.com> --- Mike Lorrey wrote: > > On Mon, 5 Jan 2004 17:14:57 -0600, you wrote > > > One rock > > >selected him and came straight toward him. It was > a handsome rock, > > flat on > > >one side and brilliant while in the sunshine. A > sharp edge faced him > > and > > >grew and grew and grew until it encompassed the > whole world. > > > What I want to know is how an edge can encompass a > whole world. An edge > is a line, i.e. it has only one dimension. What sort > of non-euclidean > trick was used to make a one dimensional geometric > object encompass all > of 3 dimensional space??? Wrong definition of "world". In this case, "the whole world" meant his whole world, i.e. the entirety of his perceptions - and conscious perceptions at that. It is not that much of a leap to believe that someone about to die might well focus entirely on the oncoming implement of death. General trick: when someone seems to spout nonsense or impossibilities, see if there are alternate meanings of certain terms which, when used instead, would make what is said make sense. If so, then it is most likely the case that this alternate was what was meant. From bradbury at aeiveos.com Tue Jan 6 18:09:52 2004 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 10:09:52 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Fw: [atlantis_II] Re: fermi's paradox: m/d approach In-Reply-To: <00bc01c3d40e$14a823a0$0cca5cd1@neptune> Message-ID: Responding to the most recent comments by Dennis forwarded by Daniel... > Sent: Monday, January 05, 2004 5:26 PM > Subject: [atlantis_II] Re: fermi's paradox: m/d approach > No investment in discovery? A singular thought pattern > which doesn't experiment or take risks? No diversity > of opinion concerning value. Again it doesn't sound like > much of a brain. :-; But there *is* potentially an investment in discovery. MBrains, using 1% of their mass resources, can have 100 billion telescopes the diameter of the moon. These in turn can be laid out across distances of AU's to LY and it may be possible to link them together into one f***ing big interferometer (the configuration for the NASA TPF mission and the ESA Darwin mission to view extraterrestrial planets). An MBrain can see just about *everything* within the speed of light constraints. In contrast if one wants electromagnetic communications one effectively gets only 0.5c and the speed for probes is typically cited as 0.1c (there) and then c after you build something capable of sending back information (still at a trickle of what is available). Go look at the data rates on the current Mars probes -- highest speed is 128K bits. Its going to take a week to get the current pictures already taken back to us. Do we communicate with the probes? Not really -- they are essentially using their own intelligence due to the 8 minute delays in signals to/from the probe. If one wants probes to survive across interstellar distances one has to build self-adaptation into them. If one builds in self-adaptation it may be hard to retain loyalty. Particularly because any intelligent entity is going to realize after 1000 years of travel time to a star 100 l.y. distant, that whatever one was once loyal to is unlikely to exist. An MBrain could have completely rearchitected itself, dispersed itself, altered its fundamental purpose, etc. during that time period. So one has an extremely fine line between sending out a probe capable of surviving and sending out a probe capable of ones enemy. > Worth something? Whole libraries can be sent on > a laser signal for next to nothing. What makes you > think those >2^50 bits aren't mainly archives of > Alien Slug Porn at high resolution or something > equally useless to someone else. Value is in the > eye of the beholder. Yes, the value is in the eye of the beholder and establishing a common dictionary between civilizations that have gone off on very different vectors may be very difficult. But you are not paying attention to the speed and costs of transmitting data across interstellar distances. The Library of congress contains ~20x10^13 bits, the Web is probably slightly more than that now, all current human memory is perhaps 1.2x10^19 bits. This is peanuts compared with 2^50 bits. Now, we are not talking a fiber cable between two cities, we are talking a laser signal across interstellar distances. So, I'd suggest you sit down and calculate the beam power required to have even a single photon hit the receiver given dispersion and dust interference across interstellar distances. While I am not an expert in these areas I would like to suggest the cost is not "next to nothing" and the time required to transmit even the small amount of data in the Library of Congress is millions if not billions of years unless one gets very clever. (Advanced civilizations may be able to be clever -- but there are still limits and cost tradeoffs). > I can only go by what little I have read. No doubt the > fantastic unrealistic claims get more press than those > who are serious. I will have to read more by those who > are thought to be serious. I urge this -- Drexler first proposed the gray goo scenario in Engines of Creation (which is online at www.foresight.org) and Robert Freitas has quantified the risks and proposed solutions: http://www.foresight.org/NanoRev/Ecophagy.html Regarding gray goo and ecophagy: > I would think that all these claims depend on the efficient > mining of resources from the environment to enable > self-replication. Something yet to be demonstrated and > unlikely to be as simple as postulated. No argument that general resource extraction will be complex and that self-replication is simple. But we know that microorganisms manage self-replication with something like 350-450 genes. That isn't a huge number given the complexity of things that humans have built (the Apollo command module for example). Similarly the basic needs for gray goo such as elements (C, N, O, H, Si) are quite available in the environment (literally in the air, water and soil) and energy is clearly available from the sun. > Some of the more > fantastic claims I've heard clearly ignored the necessity of > mining diverse resources and the actual energy costs and > heat losses incurred in doing so. There are many biological > systems which are extremely efficient. I don't dispute this -- the ATP synthase molecular complex in the mitochondria may have an extremely high energy conversion efficiency (80-90%?). Yet the overall conversion of solar energy into useful energy by plants is on the order of 1-4%. Solar cells are now pushing 30-40%. So it is clear that the energy conversion mechanisms that may be employed by gray goo may be more efficient than natural green goo. Regarding the elimination of superintelligences (MBrains, etc.): > Or simply: enough hydrogen bombs hurled at them fast > enough for long enough, or swarms of pellets fired at them > for long enough from all directions, or enough anti-matter > hurled long enough, or destroying it while it is small by > any number of means, or setting off nearby stars to create > lethal neutrino showers, or orienting parts of the blast from > supernovas, or hitting it again and again with solid objects > traveling near the speed of light, and so on. Yes, there are possible paths to attack megaconstructs. The question then becomes could one launch any of these types of attacks undetected? And could one detect revenge-intelligences deployed so as to be undetectable (in suspend mode for thousands of years in cold/dark interstellar space or in tight orbits around stars so as to be masked by stellar radiation (used by Linda Nagata in Vast I think) or hidden within what otherwise seem to be harmless bodies (asteroids, comets, moons, etc.)? I bring to mind, the infamous saying by Kahn in one of the Startrek episodes/movies -- "Revenge is a dish best served cold"! > Exactly my point - WoMD will destroy the big buck brain > before it gets very big. Who says berserkers of one kind > or another aren't already out there causing the > Fermi Paradox? The delay in the speed of light. Using our civilization as an example we make the transition from "primitive" to the singularity in something like 2000-4000 years (depending on how one defines "primitive"). We make the transition from "non-scientific" to "scientific" in ~300 years. So that imply a requirement for advanced civilizations to be watching us in very close proximity (10s to 100s of l.y.) to be able to detect our development and send destructor-bots to eliminate us. Once the singularity takes off it will be too late. It Regarding the detection of dark, cold, distant MBrains: > Everything is visible to spread spectrum impulse E&M. You > can't hide anything of that size if someone cares to look. > If I send out trillions of spread spectrum impulse probes I > will find anything I care to look for. If you are large and > lumbering once your found your dead - given sufficient > time. I'm not sure that I understand this claim fully. *But* taking it at face value if you are inside the galaxy and an MBrain is orbiting 100,000 light years outside the galaxy by the time you receive any signals back from such probes you have minimal confidence that the MBrain will be where you expect it to be. All one has to do is execute random course change maneuvers. To develop an effective attack on something with a usable mass of 10^26 kg and an energy availability of 10^26 W most likely requires the massing of similar or greater masses and energies. It seems really difficult that such activities would go undetected. So one could disperse the intelligence across an extremely large volume of space forcing an increased expenditure of resources to track the subcomponents down and eliminate them. It sounds like the only way to be successful is to start out way ahead in the game. And how far "ahead" one can get appears to be limited by the quantity of intelligence one can gather given limits-of-physics delays on communication times. > I would enjoy being informed in those areas you feel I behind in. See: http://www.aeiveos.com/~bradbury/JupiterBrains/index.html (a background) http://www.aeiveos.com/~bradbury/MatrioshkaBrains/index.html (more or less a guide to recent thoughts/papers) > The other question is: why is my solution to the Fermi Paradox > less plausible - since it does not depend on new science, > big brains, or unknown nanotechnology? If by this you mean that civilizations self-destruct, I don't consider it less plausible. We have been and continue to be at risk of self-destruction and/or continually knocking ourselves back into pre-technological states. *But* we are also at risks from natural hazards (from earthquakes to global warming to gamma ray bursts). Those may knock us back as well. Once intelligent civilizations become aware of such hazards they will presumably develop strategies to protect themselves from such. Finally one has to face the potential of intelligent external hazards. I deal with this in two ways. First, one runs the risk that an intelligent remote outpost can always turn on you (look at the United States vs. England). This kind of makes one think twice before one runs off colonizing remote outposts. Second, there is questionable benefit to the expenditure of resources to develop remote outposts given the quantity of information and the speed of evolution within local entities and the fact that even if the remote outpost discovers/invents something "wonderful" it may be too expensive to return it to the founder. I'm not saying that these are hard and fast rules -- but I am saying that the delays imposed by the speed of light and the speed of interstellar travel need to be taken into account when thinking about these problems. Robert From bret at bonfireproductions.com Tue Jan 6 18:10:51 2004 From: bret at bonfireproductions.com (Bret Kulakovich) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 13:10:51 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] For Us, The Living In-Reply-To: <20040106172111.82340.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> References: <20040106172111.82340.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: Mike, Ever read Flatland? =) kulakovich On Jan 6, 2004, at 12:21 PM, Mike Lorrey wrote: > > --- randy wrote: >> On Mon, 5 Jan 2004 17:14:57 -0600, you wrote >> >> >> >>> One rock >>> selected him and came straight toward him. It was a handsome rock, >> flat on >>> one side and brilliant while in the sunshine. A sharp edge faced him >> and >>> grew and grew and grew until it encompassed the whole world. > >> >> >> Geez, someone's been reading a bit too much Hemingway.... >> >> I guess RAH got the Hemingway out of his system with this book, cuz I >> have never before noticed the similarity.... > > What I want to know is how an edge can encompass a whole world. An edge > is a line, i.e. it has only one dimension. What sort of non-euclidean > trick was used to make a one dimensional geometric object encompass all > of 3 dimensional space??? > > ===== > Mike Lorrey > "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." > - Gen. John Stark > "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." > - Mike Lorrey > Do not label me, I am an ism of one... > Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com > > __________________________________ > Do you Yahoo!? > Yahoo! Hotjobs: Enter the "Signing Bonus" Sweepstakes > http://hotjobs.sweepstakes.yahoo.com/signingbonus > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From bradbury at aeiveos.com Tue Jan 6 18:16:38 2004 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 10:16:38 -0800 (PST) Subject: META Re: [extropy-chat] Fw: [atlantis_II] Re: fermi's paradox: m/d approach In-Reply-To: Message-ID: Sorry folks if you are getting multiple postings -- I'll try to be more careful. R. From naddy at mips.inka.de Tue Jan 6 18:24:39 2004 From: naddy at mips.inka.de (Christian Weisgerber) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 18:24:39 +0000 (UTC) Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: Hell References: <157240-2200412617214495@M2W042.mail2web.com> Message-ID: Alfio Puglisi wrote: > A lake of molten brimstone [sulfur] means that its temperature must be at > or below the boiling point, which is 444.6 degrees C. (Above that point, > it would be a vapor, not a lake.) Well, we don't know about the pressure in Hell, do we? -- Christian "naddy" Weisgerber naddy at mips.inka.de From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Jan 6 18:39:56 2004 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 10:39:56 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: Hell In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20040106183956.89058.qmail@web12906.mail.yahoo.com> --- Christian Weisgerber wrote: > Alfio Puglisi wrote: > > > A lake of molten brimstone [sulfur] means that its temperature must > be at > > or below the boiling point, which is 444.6 degrees C. (Above that > point, > > it would be a vapor, not a lake.) > > Well, we don't know about the pressure in Hell, do we? Considering that more souls go to hell than demons come to earth (an assumption, I grant), it follows that it is likely that Hell has a lower pressure than Earth. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Yahoo! Hotjobs: Enter the "Signing Bonus" Sweepstakes http://hotjobs.sweepstakes.yahoo.com/signingbonus From scerir at libero.it Tue Jan 6 19:07:36 2004 From: scerir at libero.it (scerir) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 20:07:36 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] gastro-physics References: <157240-2200412617214495@M2W042.mail2web.com> <001301c3d47f$f4b95e70$94b91b97@administxl09yj> Message-ID: <000601c3d488$5966dca0$94b91b97@administxl09yj> On 'Physics Education', n. 1/Jan.2004, http://www.iop.org/EJ/toc/0031-9120/39/1 there are many papers about 'gastro-physics', that is to say, new foods, new tastes, molecular fine-tuned cooking, etc. See, i.e., the paper by this (famous) Italian 'gastro-physicist' http://www.iop.org/EJ/article/0031-9120/39/1/M06/pe4_1_m06.pdf s. - registration (create account) required at http://www.iop.org/EJ/passwd/help/-topic=enhanced/journal/PhysEd if you want to download current papers - From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Tue Jan 6 19:07:09 2004 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (Kevin Freels) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 13:07:09 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Hell References: <157240-2200412617214495@M2W042.mail2web.com> Message-ID: Nice work! lol :-) ----- Original Message ----- From: "Alfio Puglisi" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Tuesday, January 06, 2004 11:31 AM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Hell > > I once found this, somewhere on Usenet: > > EAVEN IS HOTTER THAN HELL > > "The temperature of heaven can be rather accurately computed. Our > authority is the Bible: > > Isaiah 30:26 reads, "Moreover, the light of the moon shall be as the light > of the sun and the light of the sun shall be sevenfold as the light of > seven days." > > Thus, heaven receives from the moon as much radiation as the earth does > from the sun, and in addition seven times seven (forty nine) times as much > as the earth does from the sun, or fifty times in all. The light we > receive from the moon is one ten-thousandth of the light we receive from > the sun, so we can ignore that. With these data we can compute the > temperature of heaven: The radiation falling on heaven will heat it to the > point where the heat lost by radiation is just equal to the heat received > by radiation. In other words, heaven loses fifty times as much heat as the > earth by radiation. Using the Stefan-Boltzmann fourth power law for > radiation: > > (H/E)^4 = 50 where E is the absolute temperature of the earth, > 300 degrees K (273+27). This gives H, the absolute temperature > of heaven, as 798 degrees absolute (525 degrees C). > > The exact temperature of hell cannot be computed but it must be less than > 444.6 degrees C, the temperature at which brimstone or sulfur changes from > a liquid to a gas. > > Revelations 21:8: "But the fearful and unbelieving... shall have their > part in the lake which burneth with fire and brimstone." > > A lake of molten brimstone [sulfur] means that its temperature must be at > or below the boiling point, which is 444.6 degrees C. (Above that point, > it would be a vapor, not a lake.) > > We have then, temperature of heaven, 525 degrees C (977 degrees F). > Temperature of hell, less than 444.6 degrees C (832.3 degrees F). > > Therefore heaven is hotter than hell." > > > Ciao, > Alfio > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From natashavita at earthlink.net Tue Jan 6 19:14:56 2004 From: natashavita at earthlink.net (natashavita at earthlink.net) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 14:14:56 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Hell Message-ID: <174210-22004126191456532@M2W060.mail2web.com> Wow! You *all* are very, very clever indeed. loling Natasha -------------------------------------------------------------------- mail2web - Check your email from the web at http://mail2web.com/ . From jcorb at iol.ie Tue Jan 6 19:39:53 2004 From: jcorb at iol.ie (J Corbally) Date: Tue, 06 Jan 2004 19:39:53 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] CLONE: Seeking contacts for organ cloning Message-ID: <5.0.2.1.1.20040106190923.032f07b0@pop.iol.ie> Very sorry to hear of your Mum's troubles, Mike. I seem to remember you mentioning her on your blogsite, didn't realize it was to this extent. I know what it's like to watch a parent go through such difficulties, I hope things improve for her. As for research, I'm afraid I'm a dead end, really sorry. My understanding is that the intestine is a pretty uniform organ along its length, so it sounds like a good candidate for stem cell growth on a polymer scaffold as they do with arteries. Perhaps by growing several sections simultaneously to acheive long length very quickly, joining them as they grow. Please pardon my musings, I hope someone else here can point to some positive WIP. James... >------------------------------ >Message: 20 >Date: Mon, 5 Jan 2004 10:28:28 -0800 (PST) > >From: Mike Lorrey >Subject: [extropy-chat] CLONE: Seeking contacts for organ cloning >To: ExI chat list >Message-ID: <20040105182829.78544.qmail at web12904.mail.yahoo.com> >Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii >As many of you know, my mother has had a rather rough year with a >botched gastro bypass operation. Her current condition is that she has >4' of small intestine, 1/3 of her original colon, with a colostomy bag, >and requires 24 hour care. She is also developing an increasing >encephalopathy condition that is likely tied to the lack of intestines >providing insufficient nutrition for her brain, despite supplements and >thrice daily injections of protien nutrient mix through a G tube into >the lower stapled off area of her stomach. >Her mental condition is spotty memory, a lack of ability to maintain a >consistent train of thought, language problems in selecting the wrong >words, lethargy, depression, phantom pain in her gut (like amputees >experience), and when her electrolytes get off she hallucinates living >in a different house with a different family, her dead father, among >other things. >I am increasingly of the opinion that she is going to need an >intestinal transplant to regain her ability to digest sufficient >nutrition, possibly get her intestine cloned. Can anyone point to >researchers working in this area, such as those growing cloned organs >in pigs or in a dish, etc.??? >===== >Mike Lorrey >"Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." >- Gen. John Stark >"Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." >- Mike Lorrey >Do not label me, I am an ism of one... >Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com >__________________________________ >Do you Yahoo!? >Find out what made the Top Yahoo! Searches of 2003 >http://search.yahoo.com/top2003 From jcorb at iol.ie Tue Jan 6 19:56:25 2004 From: jcorb at iol.ie (J Corbally) Date: Tue, 06 Jan 2004 19:56:25 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Golden Transcendence Message-ID: <5.0.2.1.1.20040106194742.0334e920@pop.iol.ie> >Message: 4 >Date: Mon, 5 Jan 2004 16:13:20 -0600 > >From: "Damien Broderick" >Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] The Golden Transcendence >To: "ExI chat list" >Message-ID: <002701c3d3d9$22740a60$8c994a43 at texas.net> >Content-Type: text/plain; charset="iso-8859-1" > > > > From: "Dirk Bruere" > > > Sent: Monday, January 05, 2004 1:49 PM > > > > > > > Does the author have a website? > > > > > > Yes. > > What's the URL? > > > > Dirk > > > > The Consensus:- > > The political party for the new millennium >Forgive my bluntness, but... >You're planning to run the United Kingdom, and you can't get Google to work? Somebody's gotta use that in their sig :O) James... From jcorb at iol.ie Tue Jan 6 20:03:37 2004 From: jcorb at iol.ie (J Corbally) Date: Tue, 06 Jan 2004 20:03:37 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] NEWS: New Light-emitting Transistor Could Revolutionize Electronics Industry Message-ID: <5.0.2.1.1.20040106195855.0334ea70@pop.iol.ie> Interesting this http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2004/01/040106082752.htm >CHAMPAIGN, Ill. - Put the inventor of the light-emitting diode and the >maker of the world's fastest transistor together in a research laboratory >and what kinds of bright ideas might surface? One answer is a >light-emitting transistor that could revolutionize the electronics industry. >Professors Nick Holonyak Jr. and Milton Feng at the University of Illinois >at Urbana-Champaign have uncovered a light-emitting transistor that could >make the transistor the fundamental element in optoelectronics as well as >in electronics. The scientists report their discovery in the Jan. 5 issue >of the journal Applied Physics Letters. and >Although the recombination process is the same as that which occurs in >light-emitting diodes, the photons in light-emitting transistors are >generated under much higher speed conditions. So far, the researchers have >demonstrated the modulation of light emission in phase with a base current >in transistors operating at a frequency of 1 megahertz. Much higher speeds >are considered certain. >"At such speeds, optical interconnects could replace electrical wiring >between electronic components on a circuit board," Feng said. This work >could be the beginning of an era in which photons are directed around a >chip in much the same fashion as electrons have been maneuvered on >conventional chips. It it can be marketed, it might reverse the trend to move to high speed serial busses in PCs back to multibit-wide datapaths, 'cept without the crosstalk nightmare. James.... From extropy at unreasonable.com Tue Jan 6 20:00:49 2004 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Tue, 06 Jan 2004 15:00:49 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] For Us, The Living In-Reply-To: <20040106180707.79714.qmail@web80402.mail.yahoo.com> References: <20040106172111.82340.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20040106141859.01c61e88@mail.comcast.net> At 10:07 AM 1/6/2004 -0800, Adrian Tymes wrote: >General trick: when someone seems to spout nonsense or >impossibilities, see if there are alternate meanings >of certain terms which, when used instead, would make >what is said make sense. If so, then it is most >likely the case that this alternate was what was >meant. But it's not as much fun. Harlan Ellison once wrote of his penchant for deliberate mishearing. The example he cited was: on seeing a sign for a Chinese hand laundry, he imagined a washing machine with tumbling Chinese hands. Since I read this some decades ago, I have cultivated this knack myself. It's most entertaining when you have someone similarly warped to riff with. 4 -- alternate meaning is generated with the same meaning of the same words but a different intonation 3 -- different sense of one or more words 2 -- relying on homonyms 1 -- non-homonym puns Besides its recreational side, it can be an effective source of story or product ideas. Also, if you are writing something you want to be taken seriously -- a product name, a campaign slogan, a soundbite for the evening news -- it's useful to consider how your opposition (or Jay Leno) can misconstrue what you wrote. And I think it has nootropic benefits. Similar exercise: choose two words at random. (a) Come up with a real-world linkage between them; or (b) Come up with a fantasy or sf interpretation of their combination. Or, take a random noun. Put a technology buzzword, like "virtual," "remote," "collaborative," or "nano" in front of it. See if the combination is new, interesting, and useful. Any other techniques y'all use to limber up your creativity and imagination? -- David Lubkin. "somewhere between genius and a toaster" From dirk at neopax.com Tue Jan 6 20:29:57 2004 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 20:29:57 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Golden Transcendence References: <5.0.2.1.1.20040106194742.0334e920@pop.iol.ie> Message-ID: <02a401c3d493$dba96a60$62256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "J Corbally" To: Sent: Tuesday, January 06, 2004 7:56 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] The Golden Transcendence > > > > > Does the author have a website? > > > > > > > > Yes. > > > What's the URL? > > > > > > Dirk > > > > > > The Consensus:- > > > The political party for the new millennium > >Forgive my bluntness, but... > >You're planning to run the United Kingdom, and you can't get Google to work? > > Somebody's gotta use that in their sig :O) Somebody should read the thread and discover that the question asked was not the question answered. Since you're so smart why not tell me how google can return a non-existent URL? He has a homepage - HE DOES NOT HAVE A WEBSITE (as far as anyone here knows). Can you understand the subtle difference? Can you now understand the question? Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From thespike at earthlink.net Tue Jan 6 20:58:10 2004 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 14:58:10 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Golden Transcendence References: <5.0.2.1.1.20040106194742.0334e920@pop.iol.ie> <02a401c3d493$dba96a60$62256bd5@artemis> Message-ID: <013601c3d497$cdeb3580$e3b13841@texas.net> > He has a homepage - HE DOES NOT HAVE A WEBSITE (as far as anyone here > knows). > Can you understand the subtle difference? Can you now understand the > question? Website - A virtual location on the web. A URL that serves as the top-level address of a Web site will be said to point to that website's home page. That page serves as a reference point, containing pointers to additional HTML pages or links to other Web site. www.conxion.com/technology/glossary.asp Home Page (or Homepage) - Several meanings. Originally, the web page that your browser is set to use when it starts up. The more common meaning refers to the main web page for a business, organization, person or simply the main page out of a collection of web pages, e.g. "Check out so-and-so's new Home Page." See also: Browser, WWW www.matisse.net/files/glossary.html Google is so helpful. I provided Mr Wright's email address. Perhaps he knows the answer. Damien Broderick From jrd1415 at yahoo.com Tue Jan 6 21:06:28 2004 From: jrd1415 at yahoo.com (Jeff Davis) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 13:06:28 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: Hell In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20040106210628.60398.qmail@web41202.mail.yahoo.com> Extropes, --- Christian Weisgerber wrote: > Alfio Puglisi wrote: > > > A lake of molten brimstone [sulfur] means that its > temperature must be at > > or below the boiling point, which is 444.6 degrees > C. (Above that point, > > it would be a vapor, not a lake.) > > Well, we don't know about the pressure in Hell, do > we? Actually we can make an educated guess, if we take it as axiomatic that hell is down inside the earth somewhere. By googling up temperature vs depth and pressure vs depth profiles, we could set an upper and lower bound. Clearly, hell is not at or near the surface,(though some would dispute this on based on human suffering and rampant stupidity) cause it's too cold. I haven't got those temp and pressure profiles close at hand, nor the phase diagram for sulfur, so I can't be more helpful. Sorry. Best, Jeff Davis "I thought I was taller."* Milton Berle * Punch line to a sight gag. Uncle Milty raises his stogey as if to take a puff, then jabs his forehead with the chewed-on end, and says,..." __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Yahoo! Hotjobs: Enter the "Signing Bonus" Sweepstakes http://hotjobs.sweepstakes.yahoo.com/signingbonus From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Jan 6 21:17:51 2004 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 13:17:51 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] The Golden Transcendence In-Reply-To: <02a401c3d493$dba96a60$62256bd5@artemis> Message-ID: <20040106211751.44364.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > ----- Original Message ----- > From: "J Corbally" > To: > Sent: Tuesday, January 06, 2004 7:56 PM > Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] The Golden Transcendence > > > > > > > > Does the author have a website? > > > > > > > > > > Yes. > > > > What's the URL? > > > > > > > > Dirk > > > > > > > > The Consensus:- > > > > The political party for the new millennium > > >Forgive my bluntness, but... > > >You're planning to run the United Kingdom, and you can't get > Google to > work? > > > > Somebody's gotta use that in their sig :O) > > > Somebody should read the thread and discover that the question asked > was not > the question answered. > Since you're so smart why not tell me how google can return a > non-existent > URL? Don't need a nonexistent URL, you need to google: http://www.sff.net/people/john-c-wright/ No wonder you don't like libertarians, you won't get off your own duff to google something. > > He has a homepage - HE DOES NOT HAVE A WEBSITE (as far as anyone here > knows). > Can you understand the subtle difference? Can you now understand the > question? Website and home page are not necessarily different things. Nor is a site what you asked for, you asked first whether he had a site, then you asked for a URL. The URL referenced above is a site (notice, no ".html" file specified), not a home page, which would be either index.html or home.html, or index.php, or something of that sort. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Yahoo! Hotjobs: Enter the "Signing Bonus" Sweepstakes http://hotjobs.sweepstakes.yahoo.com/signingbonus From dirk at neopax.com Tue Jan 6 21:20:57 2004 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 21:20:57 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Golden Transcendence References: <5.0.2.1.1.20040106194742.0334e920@pop.iol.ie><02a401c3d493$dba96a60$62256bd5@artemis> <013601c3d497$cdeb3580$e3b13841@texas.net> Message-ID: <02d601c3d49a$f9b6ba60$62256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Damien Broderick" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Tuesday, January 06, 2004 8:58 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] The Golden Transcendence > > > He has a homepage - HE DOES NOT HAVE A WEBSITE (as far as anyone here > > knows). > > Can you understand the subtle difference? Can you now understand the > > question? > > Website - A virtual location on the web. A URL that serves as the top-level > address of a Web site will be said to point to that website's home page. > That page serves as a reference point, containing pointers to additional > HTML pages or links to other Web site. > www.conxion.com/technology/glossary.asp > > Home Page (or Homepage) - Several meanings. Originally, the web page that > your browser is set to use when it starts up. The more common meaning refers > to the main web page for a business, organization, person or simply the main > page out of a collection of web pages, e.g. "Check out so-and-so's new Home > Page." See also: Browser, WWW > www.matisse.net/files/glossary.html > > Google is so helpful. > > I provided Mr Wright's email address. Perhaps he knows the answer. Every time I come across someone like you I recall why I left Mensa 25yrs ago. You strike me as someone who likes to show how clever they are instead of being willing to read between the lines and helping. Right down to the trademark Mensa debating ploy of quoting a dictionary and trying for a 'semantic win'. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Jan 6 21:25:36 2004 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 13:25:36 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: Hell In-Reply-To: <20040106210628.60398.qmail@web41202.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <20040106212536.94431.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> --- Jeff Davis wrote: > Extropes, > > --- Christian Weisgerber wrote: > > > Alfio Puglisi wrote: > > > > > A lake of molten brimstone [sulfur] means that its > > temperature must be at > > > or below the boiling point, which is 444.6 degrees > > C. (Above that point, > > > it would be a vapor, not a lake.) > > > > Well, we don't know about the pressure in Hell, do > > we? > > Actually we can make an educated guess, if we take it > as axiomatic that hell is down inside the earth > somewhere. By googling up temperature vs depth and > pressure vs depth profiles, we could set an upper and > lower bound. Ah, yes, didn't account for gravity in the soul v demon immigration situation. However, you must consider that the pressure must be low enough for sulphur to be liquid (and the temp as well). Using similar logic, I find that it is a bit difficult to actually place where heaven is. The claim that in heaven the moon is as bright as the sun is on earth implies that heaven is somewhere in lunar orbit, but to say the sun is seven times brighter than on earth implies that it is somewhere inside of the orbit of Venus, since the solar flux in lunar orbit is only 1.4 times that on earth. Are we sure that the original hebrew said "THE moon" and not just "A moon"??? Perhaps it is a different star system altogether. Then again, is it restricted only to visible light? ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Yahoo! Hotjobs: Enter the "Signing Bonus" Sweepstakes http://hotjobs.sweepstakes.yahoo.com/signingbonus From dirk at neopax.com Tue Jan 6 21:26:07 2004 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 21:26:07 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Golden Transcendence References: <20040106211751.44364.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <02e401c3d49b$b280c9f0$62256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Mike Lorrey" To: "Dirk Bruere" ; "ExI chat list" Sent: Tuesday, January 06, 2004 9:17 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] The Golden Transcendence > > > > > > > Does the author have a website? > > > > > > > > > > > > Yes. > > > > > What's the URL? > > > > > > > > > > Dirk > > > > > > > > > > The Consensus:- > > > > > The political party for the new millennium > > > >Forgive my bluntness, but... > > > >You're planning to run the United Kingdom, and you can't get > > Google to > > work? > > > > > > Somebody's gotta use that in their sig :O) > > > > > > Somebody should read the thread and discover that the question asked > > was not > > the question answered. > > Since you're so smart why not tell me how google can return a > > non-existent > > URL? > > Don't need a nonexistent URL, you need to google: > http://www.sff.net/people/john-c-wright/ > > No wonder you don't like libertarians, you won't get off your own duff > to google something. Did it, got that URL some time before I asked the question. > > He has a homepage - HE DOES NOT HAVE A WEBSITE (as far as anyone here > > knows). > > Can you understand the subtle difference? Can you now understand the > > question? > Website and home page are not necessarily different things. Nor is a > site what you asked for, you asked first whether he had a site, then > you asked for a URL. The URL referenced above is a site (notice, no > ".html" file specified), not a home page, which would be either > index.html or home.html, or index.php, or something of that sort. Are you all retards here? Unable to see what the question is without a dictionary? You another Mensa member? Have some free info - http://www.sff.net/people/john-c-wright/ is shorthand for http://www.sff.net/people/john-c-wright/index.html Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org or http://www.theconsensus.org/index.html From aperick at centurytel.net Tue Jan 6 20:28:08 2004 From: aperick at centurytel.net (rick) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 12:28:08 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Heinlein for real In-Reply-To: <200401061908.i06J8mE30410@tick.javien.com> Message-ID: <000001c3d493$99d24080$0200a8c0@soy0450mhz> After reading Heinlein (Stranger..., Friday, etc.) has any of you ever gotten seriously enthusiastic about Polyamory? Edify me in public, or sympathize off-list if you fear ridicule. PS: Hella good postings today, I love you guys. ------------------------------------------------------------------- Rick Woolley, Closet nudist, Certified Scientist Type, Confirmed Atheist, radical thinker, notorious fuck-up, and self-proclaimed singular authority on the abysmal depths of human stupidity that only we few lack. "Happy Happy, Joy Joy" http://home.centurytel.net/rickw aperick at centurytel.net From bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk Tue Jan 6 21:44:38 2004 From: bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk (BillK) Date: Tue, 06 Jan 2004 21:44:38 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Hell Message-ID: <3FFB2C46.7010203@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> According to Snopes this piece of humor first appeared on the Internet around 1997 and many variations have spread around since then. But it has a much older history. --------- Origins: The piece quoted above likely began as a humor post to the newsgroup rec.humor in 1997. Its roots, however, are far older: an unattributed parody of a scientific proof concluding Heaven was hotter than Hell appeared in a 1972 edition of Applied Optics, a story found in a 1962 book (reprinted from a 1960 magazine) is a mathematical "proof" that heaven is hotter than hell, and article published in a 1979 edition of the Journal of Irreproducible Results written by Dr. Tim Healey (written as a response to the Applied Optics piece) carried the joke one step farther by arguing that Hell was hotter still. Though these older pieces don't directly correlate with what has now become a standardized bit of Internet lore, the themes are similar enough for us to postulate that the older versions sparked the newer ones. --------- Applied Optics article 1972 and Journal of Irreproducible Results written by Dr. Tim Healey 1979 Also See: Amusing things I've Found on the Net which contains some nice bumper stickers, such as: Jesus is coming, everyone look busy. and Great Rules for writing from William Safire in the New York Times. (which Damien will undoubtedly find very useful) ;) e.g. It is incumbent on one to avoid archaisms. Never use a long word when a diminutive one will do. The verb, overlooked on many occasions have to agree with the subject. Place pronouns as close as possible, especially in long sentences, as of 10 or more words, to their antecedents. BillK From eliasen at mindspring.com Tue Jan 6 21:57:18 2004 From: eliasen at mindspring.com (Alan Eliasen) Date: Tue, 06 Jan 2004 14:57:18 -0700 Subject: [extropy-chat] Hell In-Reply-To: References: <157240-2200412617214495@M2W042.mail2web.com> Message-ID: <3FFB2F3E.7080108@mindspring.com> Alfio Puglisi wrote: > Isaiah 30:26 reads, "Moreover, the light of the moon shall be as the light > of the sun and the light of the sun shall be sevenfold as the light of > seven days." > > Thus, heaven receives from the moon as much radiation as the earth does > from the sun, and in addition seven times seven (forty nine) times as much > as the earth does from the sun, or fifty times in all. I had considered a different interpretation. In the quoted bit, it doesn't say that the light of the sun *per day* is sevenfold the light of seven days, but rather during some unspecified time period, the light would be that intense, making it potentially much brighter. I know Isaiah always followed SI guidelines for proper notation of physical quantities, and he would have kept the "per day" if he meant it, and that's the only way the dimensions would come out conformal. I did another lookup in a literal translation, and it says: "And the light of the moon hath been as the light of the sun, And the light of the sun is sevenfold, As the light of seven days, In the day of Jehovah's binding up the breach of His people, When the stroke of its wound He healeth." As this states that the sun is that bright *per day* it was clear that it was 49 times brighter. Lousy editors always fuddlin' the scientists' units. I know thee well. However, I have to note that this whole analysis is based on a flawed premise--reading the surrounding passage, it's clear that Isaiah isn't talking about heaven at all, but an event that will occur on earth. This makes the numbers easier to reconcile--one could, in the future, come up with a configuration where the moon has moved further from the earth due to tidal kneading and such, and the sun has swollen into a red giant which delivers more power to the earth, or something. Exact numerical analysis of the stellar evolution cycle and lunar orbit decay to predict when this will actually happen are left as an exercise to the reader, or biblical scholar who, knowing well every thought and intention of God, will find this problem trivial. -- Alan Eliasen | "You cannot reason a person out of a eliasen at mindspring.com | position he did not reason himself http://futureboy.homeip.net/ | into in the first place." | --Jonathan Swift From eliasen at mindspring.com Tue Jan 6 22:00:59 2004 From: eliasen at mindspring.com (Alan Eliasen) Date: Tue, 06 Jan 2004 15:00:59 -0700 Subject: [extropy-chat] Surviving a flood... Message-ID: <3FFB301B.3040204@mindspring.com> In the spirit of the recent calculations of heaven and hell, I humbly submit a mathematical analysis that I once made about surviving another Biblical flood. The context that led to all of this was that someone stated that during the flood, "it would have been a good time to be a duck." ------- Hmmm... I wondered about that a bit... would a duck have survived a Great Flood? The rainfall rate, as seen below, was quite vigorous. I just did a bit of research and found that the bible was quite clear on this point: "All flesh died that moved upon the earth, both of fowl, and of cattle, and of beast, and of every creeping thing that creepeth upon the earth, and every man. All in whose nostrils was the breath of life, of all that was in the dry land, died." (Genesis 7:21-22) Sorry, Mr. Ducky. But that's pretty clear. I guess that just leaves sea animals. How many fish would have been killed? Let's see. The bible is also quite precise in its measurement of the flood. Genesis 7:19-20 states that "And the waters prevailed exceedingly upon the earth; and all the mountains, that were under the whole heaven, were covered. Fifteen cubits upward did the waters prevail; and the mountains were covered." Okay, so the highest mountains of the earth were covered, plus an extra 15 cubits (approx 27 feet) for good measure. The current measurements for highest mountain is Mt. Everest at 29030.8 feet (according to the highly dubious and utterly non-trustable 2002 Guinness Book of World Records.) I know that Everest is growing slowly, (best estimates are 2.4 inches/year) so we'll discount for that. (It makes very little difference in any case.) I'm using my "Frink" calculating tool ( http://futureboy.homeip.net/frinkdocs/ ) to find out what this comes out to. In Frink notation, this is: depth = 29030 feet + 15 biblicalcubits - (2.4 inches/year 4000 years) About 28257 feet of water. This was deposited over 40 days. The rainfall was thus: rainfall = depth / (40 days) Or about 353 inches/hour, or 29 feet/hour. A good rain around here is about an inch an hour. The very rainiest places on earth get about this much rain in a *year*. (I'm campaigning Colorado farmers to sin a bit more...) To see if this is a fatal rainfall, one could put a duck in a bucket (say, a big bucket with a water surface area of 1 square foot, and pour 3.7 gallons of water on him every minute for 40 days and see if he enjoys it, or repents. Poor ducky. I don't think *I* would do this to him, no matter what bad things he did. That's a huge amount of water to add to the planet. Over the surface of the earth, this is an approximate additional water volume of: floodvolume = 4 pi earthradius2 depth This is about 4.4 billion cubic kilometers of water added to the earth. Several sources give the current volume of the earth's oceans as about 1.37 billion cubic kilometers. oceanvolume = 1.37 billion cubic kilometers The volume attributed to the flood is about *3.2 times* the volume of the water in earth's oceans. Thus, the salinity of the water (assuming the flood waters were fresh water) would be reduced to a factor of: oceanvolume / (floodvolume + oceanvolume) Or, to a salinity of only about 24% of the ocean's original value. Any sea fish or freshwater fish that couldn't live in this new altered salinity for at least 150 days would die. The lakes and oceans would of course become one giant ocean covering the planet. (The exact amount of mixing of the layers is left as a problem for the biblical scholar.) I don't know how many fish this would kill; does anyone? And think of the change in ocean pressure! Adding over 28000 feet of water column would increase ocean pressure by: depth water gravity -> psi Or over 12,000 pounds per square inch increase in pressure at any given level in the former oceans! This is about 833 atmospheres of pressure! Every fish that didn't start swimming upward would tend to be crushed by the pressure. A fish accustomed to living near the surface, if it stayed in the same spot, would soon find itself under pressures as high as the bottom of the ocean is now. How fast does the pressure increase? rainfall gravity water -> psi/hour About 12 psi/hour or .87 atmospheres/hour. Most fish could take this rate of increase over a short period, but would probably have to make up their mind early to start moving on up. A quick look at standard Navy decompression tables hints that if a clever human tried to ride out the great flood by remaining underwater, they would have to keep swimming upward pretty constantly. When you're adding 29 feet of water every hour, it would be quite easy to get behind to a point that you couldn't ever catch up. It probably wasn't fun to be a fish or a bottom-dwelling creature at that time, either. They might die by: * Salinity changes * Pressure changes What else? So where did the water come from and where did it go to? Creating this much water from energy at this rate (E=mc2) would require a power output *652 trillion times* the amount of power that the earth receives from the sun. No half-measure, this flood. ---- P.S. I learned something else from this. Here's a good trivia question to spring on your favorite biblical scholar: "how many animals of each type did Noah take with him on the ark?" I found out from this research that the answer isn't what I thought it was. I sprung this on my mom, who has been teaching religious education classes for 26 years and she didn't know it. (No, it's not the usual "How many animals did Moses bring on the ark" trick question.) It's not at all a trick question--it seems that the bible has been quoted incorrectly in the popular literature. I wonder how many people would get this right? For the answer, read Genesis 7:2-3. To make it more specific, you can ask "how many ducks did Noah take on the ark?" -- Alan Eliasen | "You cannot reason a person out of a eliasen at mindspring.com | position he did not reason himself http://futureboy.homeip.net/ | into in the first place." | --Jonathan Swift From extropy at audry2.com Tue Jan 6 23:12:19 2004 From: extropy at audry2.com (Major) Date: Wed, 7 Jan 2004 07:12:19 +0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Heinlein for real In-Reply-To: <000001c3d493$99d24080$0200a8c0@soy0450mhz> (aperick@centurytel.net) References: <000001c3d493$99d24080$0200a8c0@soy0450mhz> Message-ID: <200401062312.i06NCJv02552@igor.synonet.com> > [...] has any of you ever gotten seriously enthusiastic about Polyamory? > > PS: Hella good postings today, I love you guys. All of us? Sorry, couldn't resist. Major From puglisi at arcetri.astro.it Tue Jan 6 22:12:08 2004 From: puglisi at arcetri.astro.it (Alfio Puglisi) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 23:12:08 +0100 (CET) Subject: [extropy-chat] Surviving a flood... In-Reply-To: <3FFB301B.3040204@mindspring.com> References: <3FFB301B.3040204@mindspring.com> Message-ID: On Tue, 6 Jan 2004, Alan Eliasen wrote: >question to spring on your favorite biblical scholar: "how many animals >of each type did Noah take with him on the ark?" I found out from this >research that the answer isn't what I thought it was. I sprung this on Lots more than 2 per species. He needed to feed the carnivores, that is :) There was a small garden in the rear section of the ship for the herbivores. You know, before the flood, the duckirott and papris where the common farm animals, much better than the pig. But, Noah only took 2 of each with him, and staying on a boat for all that time made him very hungry. Ciao, Alfio From mlorrey at yahoo.com Tue Jan 6 22:49:47 2004 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 14:49:47 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] The Golden Transcendence In-Reply-To: <02e401c3d49b$b280c9f0$62256bd5@artemis> Message-ID: <20040106224947.68976.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> --- Dirk Bruere wrote: > > Are you all retards here? > Unable to see what the question is without a dictionary? > You another Mensa member? Nope, though I am a comp-sci major and have an IQ of 160, thank you very much. I know the difference between a website and a home page. Someone obviously has led you to the delusion that only domain names are websites. This is incorrect. > > Have some free info - > http://www.sff.net/people/john-c-wright/ > is shorthand for > http://www.sff.net/people/john-c-wright/index.html The first URL is the website, a directory called 'people/john-c-wright' which the www.sff.net domain name is pointed to by the sff.net apache or IIS server. The home page specified by the second URL resides within that directory. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Yahoo! Hotjobs: Enter the "Signing Bonus" Sweepstakes http://hotjobs.sweepstakes.yahoo.com/signingbonus From wingcat at pacbell.net Tue Jan 6 22:53:13 2004 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 14:53:13 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Wordplay In-Reply-To: <5.1.0.14.2.20040106141859.01c61e88@mail.comcast.net> Message-ID: <20040106225313.19155.qmail@web80404.mail.yahoo.com> --- David Lubkin wrote: > At 10:07 AM 1/6/2004 -0800, Adrian Tymes wrote: > >General trick: when someone seems to spout nonsense > or > >impossibilities, see if there are alternate > meanings > >of certain terms which, when used instead, would > make > >what is said make sense. If so, then it is most > >likely the case that this alternate was what was > >meant. > > But it's not as much fun. True. This appears to be one of those unfortunate cases where business and pleasure conflict. Both are, of course, important: one should know how to have fun as well as how to accomplish serious tasks, else both abilities will be impaired. (The effect of fun and sociability on improved business relations has long been documented, and then there's the reduced potential for pleasure when one's practical resources are severely constrained.) > Besides its recreational side, it can be an > effective source of story or > product ideas. Also, if you are writing something > you want to be taken > seriously -- a product name, a campaign slogan, a > soundbite for the evening > news -- it's useful to consider how your opposition > (or Jay Leno) can > misconstrue what you wrote. Quite true. > And I think it has nootropic benefits. It's been proven that minds in happy states tend to positively influence all manner of generic health measures, especially ability of the immune system. Also, developing minds in situations where they are happy - for instance, children with lots of things to play with, rather than subjected to repetitive and dull tasks - tend to correlate to minds that will develop more extensively. > Similar exercise: choose two words at random. > > (a) Come up with a real-world linkage between them; > or > (b) Come up with a fantasy or sf interpretation of > their combination. Casimir tap: a cylinder of mirrored wires and non-mirrored insulation arranged so the Casimir effect will draw the wires together in such a way that the wires keep spinning around each other. Inside a magnetic field, this would be a perpetual electricity generator...so long as the energy had somewhere to go, rather than arcing between the wires and eventually melting the device. Of course, in reality, this would probably just be another perpetual motion device. (See the long history of such.) > Or, take a random noun. Put a technology buzzword, > like "virtual," > "remote," "collaborative," or "nano" in front of it. > See if the > combination is new, interesting, and useful. Nanogoogle. (Okay, "google" - without the G - is more of a verb than a noun...but, any takes?) > Any other techniques y'all use to limber up your > creativity and imagination? I tend to think of my imagination as trained since childhood. I am a dreamer by profession. I occasionally write (usually but not always short) stories and invent gadgets (sometimes in fantasy/sf settings, using what's known about the capabilities available; sometimes in reality, as an excuse to research and learn what capabilities are available) to keep that training up. From jrd1415 at yahoo.com Tue Jan 6 23:02:29 2004 From: jrd1415 at yahoo.com (Jeff Davis) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 15:02:29 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Surviving a flood... In-Reply-To: <3FFB301B.3040204@mindspring.com> Message-ID: <20040106230229.85742.qmail@web41213.mail.yahoo.com> --- Alan Eliasen wrote: "Okay, so the highest mountains of the earth were covered, plus an extra 15 cubits (approx 27 feet) for good measure. The current measurements for highest mountain is Mt. Everest at 29030.8 feet (according to the highly dubious and utterly non-trustable 2002 Guinness Book of World Records.)" ------------------------------ Your use of Everest here doesn't seem right. The authors of the scriptures likely were speaking of the "known" world, that is, the world known to them. Supposing them to have been native to what we now call the mideast, the Himalayas would probably not have been known to them. Consequently, I suggest the following method for determining the height of the highest mountain within the world known to the authors of the Biblical flood story. Consider the expanse of the known world at the time, and take the highest mountain within that region. Or, take the location of Noah's home town as the starting point and Ararat as the ending point. Calculate the rate of drift--to my knowledge, the arc wasn't a sailboat, so speed derived in the conventional fashion based on hull speed, and power, doesn't apply here--of the arc based on its dimensions, load factor, upper bound on wind speed, and use this to calculate the maximum distance the arc could have traveled, out and back as it were, on its way to Ararat. Then use this as the radius of a circle(actually Noah's home town and Ararat would be the foci of an ellipse) encompassing the region to which the biblical authors could have been referring. The biblical authors must have been descendents of Noah, as all the rest of the people of the known world are presumed to have drowned. And the more limited view of the flood that I am suggesting seems likely, since Chinese and African peoples either survived--the more likely conclusion--or evolved subsequently from Noah's descendents. Given the large number of Chinese people compared to semites (ie spawn of Noah), I would have to go with survived and prospered rather than evolved, migrated, prospered and reproduced like, well, er,... Chinese). Anyway, derive a "highest mountain on earth" by this method and then recalculate the rainfall rate. It takes a village to make a village idiot. ;-} Best, Jeff Davis I believe -- no pun intended:) -- the practical thing is usually to change those beliefs that cause the most immediate trouble... Daniel Ust __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Yahoo! Hotjobs: Enter the "Signing Bonus" Sweepstakes http://hotjobs.sweepstakes.yahoo.com/signingbonus From twodeel at jornada.org Tue Jan 6 23:04:14 2004 From: twodeel at jornada.org (Don Dartfield) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 15:04:14 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] The Golden Transcendence In-Reply-To: <20040106211751.44364.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: On Tue, 6 Jan 2004, Mike Lorrey wrote: > Website and home page are not necessarily different things. Nor is a > site what you asked for, you asked first whether he had a site, then you > asked for a URL. The URL referenced above is a site (notice, no ".html" > file specified), not a home page, which would be either index.html or > home.html, or index.php, or something of that sort. I don't know ... just because the URL doesn't specify a particular file doesn't mean that it isn't referring specifically to a home page. URLs that don't specify page can refer to a whole web site, or can just be shorthand for the URL of the index page. And personally, I refuse to use the term "site" for anything that involves less than two pages. From thespike at earthlink.net Tue Jan 6 23:15:51 2004 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 17:15:51 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] memory tabs References: Message-ID: <025c01c3d4ab$089e6400$e3b13841@texas.net> This might be old news, but it's kinda cool: http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2004/01/06/1073268003915.html CDs could be obsolete in five years London January 6, 2004 Compact discs could be history in five years, superceded by a new generation of fingertip-sized memory tabs with no moving parts. Each device could store more than a gigabyte of information - equivalent to 1000 high quality images - in one cubic centimetre of space. Scientists have developed the technology by melding together organic and inorganic materials in a unique way. They say it could be used to produce a single-use memory card that permanently stores data and is faster and easier to operate than a CD. Turning the invention into a commercially viable, mass marketed product might take as little as five years, the proponents claim. The card would not involve any moving parts, such as the laser and motor drive required by compact discs. [etc] From dirk at neopax.com Tue Jan 6 23:23:41 2004 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 23:23:41 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] memory tabs References: <025c01c3d4ab$089e6400$e3b13841@texas.net> Message-ID: <033c01c3d4ac$1f02b380$62256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Damien Broderick" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Tuesday, January 06, 2004 11:15 PM Subject: [extropy-chat] memory tabs > This might be old news, but it's kinda cool: > > http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2004/01/06/1073268003915.html > > CDs could be obsolete in five years > London > January 6, 2004 > > > Compact discs could be history in five years, superceded by a new generation > of fingertip-sized memory tabs with no moving parts. > Each device could store more than a gigabyte of information - equivalent to > 1000 high quality images - in one cubic centimetre of space. > Scientists have developed the technology by melding together organic and > inorganic materials in a unique way. They say it could be used to produce a > single-use memory card that permanently stores data and is faster and easier > to operate than a CD. 30yrs ago they were called 'fusible link PROMs' Now its the same idea, but in plastic (but still requiring a silicon interface). That progress. Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From sentience at pobox.com Tue Jan 6 23:30:02 2004 From: sentience at pobox.com (Eliezer S. Yudkowsky) Date: Tue, 06 Jan 2004 18:30:02 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] *Annual* SL4 CHAT: Wed Jan 7th, 9PM EST Message-ID: <3FFB44FA.3090207@pobox.com> SL4's second Annual Chat will be on Wednesday, January 7th, 2004, at 9PM EST. In accordance with SL4 tradition, our Annual Chat will be twice as intelligent as our ordinary monthly chat. Those of you who never get around to visiting #sl4 might want to try dropping by. The suggested topic for the annual chat is "Things transhumanists are doing wrong." (Experience suggests that this topic will last all of 5 minutes before being abandoned.) To participate through a standard IRC client, connect to "sl4.org" on a standard IRC port (for example, 6667) and join channel #sl4. irc://sl4.org/sl4 To participate through Java applet, point your browser at: http://sl4.org/chat/ To clear up any confusion about timezones, go to http://www.time.gov/timezone.cgi?Eastern/d/-5/java to see the current time in Atlanta, GA. -- Eliezer S. Yudkowsky http://singinst.org/ Research Fellow, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence From eliasen at mindspring.com Tue Jan 6 23:45:27 2004 From: eliasen at mindspring.com (Alan Eliasen) Date: Tue, 06 Jan 2004 16:45:27 -0700 Subject: [extropy-chat] Surviving a flood... In-Reply-To: <20040106230229.85742.qmail@web41213.mail.yahoo.com> References: <20040106230229.85742.qmail@web41213.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <3FFB4897.1020304@mindspring.com> Ummm... just to be sure, did you somehow interpret this satire as serious attempts at science? Or were your comments to be treated as good-natured satire as well, including the orders for me to revise my work and the insult at the end? Hope it's the latter. In any case, the bible doesn't say anything about *Mount* Ararat; the original name Urartu was the name for a region of what is now in Turkey, Iran, and Armenia. Just for the record. In any case, a flood that covered the entire globe to a height of about 17,000 feet (it would have to; water don't glob up that high like a raindrop on a car hood) and only rained 60% as hard (17 feet an hour!) would still tend to make one repent pretty quick. -- Alan Eliasen | "You cannot reason a person out of a eliasen at mindspring.com | position he did not reason himself http://futureboy.homeip.net/ | into in the first place." | --Jonathan Swift Jeff Davis wrote: > --- Alan Eliasen wrote: > > "Okay, so the highest mountains of the earth were > covered, plus an extra 15 cubits (approx 27 feet) for > good measure. > > The current measurements for highest mountain is Mt. > Everest at 29030.8 feet (according to the highly > dubious and utterly non-trustable 2002 Guinness > Book of World Records.)" > > ------------------------------ > > Your use of Everest here doesn't seem right. The > authors of the scriptures likely were speaking of the > "known" world, that is, the world known to them. > Supposing them to have been native to what we now call > the mideast, the Himalayas would probably not have > been known to them. Consequently, I suggest the > following method for determining the height of the > highest mountain within the world known to the authors > of the Biblical flood story. > > Consider the expanse of the known world at the time, > and take the highest mountain within that region. > > Or, take the location of Noah's home town as the > starting point and Ararat as the ending point. > Calculate the rate of drift--to my knowledge, the arc > wasn't a sailboat, so speed derived in the > conventional fashion based on hull speed, and power, > doesn't apply here--of the arc based on its > dimensions, load factor, upper bound on wind speed, > and use this to calculate the maximum distance the arc > could have traveled, out and back as it were, on its > way to Ararat. Then use this as the radius of a > circle(actually Noah's home town and Ararat would be > the foci of an ellipse) encompassing the region to > which the biblical authors could have been referring. > > > The biblical authors must have been descendents of > Noah, as all the rest of the people of the known world > are presumed to have drowned. And the more limited > view of the flood that I am suggesting seems likely, > since Chinese and African peoples either survived--the > more likely conclusion--or evolved subsequently from > Noah's descendents. Given the large number of Chinese > people compared to semites (ie spawn of Noah), I would > have to go with survived and prospered rather than > evolved, migrated, prospered and reproduced like, > well, er,... Chinese). > > Anyway, derive a "highest mountain on earth" by this > method and then recalculate the rainfall rate. > > It takes a village to make a village idiot. ;-} > > Best, Jeff Davis > > I believe -- no pun intended:) -- the practical > thing is usually to change those beliefs that > cause the most immediate trouble... > Daniel Ust > > > __________________________________ > Do you Yahoo!? > Yahoo! Hotjobs: Enter the "Signing Bonus" Sweepstakes > http://hotjobs.sweepstakes.yahoo.com/signingbonus > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From mlorrey at yahoo.com Wed Jan 7 00:38:08 2004 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 16:38:08 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] memory tabs In-Reply-To: <025c01c3d4ab$089e6400$e3b13841@texas.net> Message-ID: <20040107003808.93684.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> --- Damien Broderick wrote: > This might be old news, but it's kinda cool: > > http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2004/01/06/1073268003915.html > > CDs could be obsolete in five years > London > January 6, 2004 > > > Compact discs could be history in five years, superceded by a new > generation of fingertip-sized memory tabs with no moving parts. Who wants to bet that the packaging in the stores won't shrink one bit? Let me see, though: you can already buy 512MB SUB thumb drives, which isn't that much smaller than a CD already. Perhaps this article should have been dated 2001? ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Yahoo! Hotjobs: Enter the "Signing Bonus" Sweepstakes http://hotjobs.sweepstakes.yahoo.com/signingbonus From extropy at unreasonable.com Wed Jan 7 00:51:22 2004 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Tue, 06 Jan 2004 19:51:22 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Surviving a flood... In-Reply-To: <20040106230229.85742.qmail@web41213.mail.yahoo.com> References: <3FFB301B.3040204@mindspring.com> Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20040106185802.02d8f008@mail.comcast.net> At 03:02 PM 1/6/2004 -0800, Jeff Davis wrote: >The biblical authors must have been descendents of >Noah, as all the rest of the people of the known world >are presumed to have drowned. And the more limited >view of the flood that I am suggesting seems likely, >since Chinese and African peoples either survived--the >more likely conclusion--or evolved subsequently from >Noah's descendents. Given the large number of Chinese >people compared to semites (ie spawn of Noah), I would >have to go with survived and prospered rather than >evolved, migrated, prospered and reproduced like, >well, er,... Chinese). Noah had three sons, Shem, Japheth, and Ham, whose descendants populated the Earth. According to the Bible directly, the Semites were the descendants of Shem. Abram, later known as Abraham, was Shem's great^7-grandson. Abram's two kids, Isaac and Ishmael, each got to be a "mighty people" and began the Jewish / Arab feud. Japheth was less blessed, as the middle son, but still respected. He is considered the father of the Greeks, who the early rabbis admired. Greek was the only language it was acceptable to translate the Bible into, which is probably part of the reason why the Christian Bible was in Greek. Ham was cursed, for making fun of his father's naked, drunken stupor. He was deemed the father of Ethiopians (through his son Cush, whose grandson was Sheba, as in Queen of), Egyptians, and Canaanites, who were relegated to eternal servitude as punishment. Devout colonial American slaveholders justified themselves with Genesis 9:25-27. Nobody explained where Asiatic people came from, although the web abounds in more recent explanations. Which indirectly leads me to a biology question: how is it that a horse and a donkey -- different species, with different numbers of chromosomes -- can produce offspring? What are the limits of cross-species mating, besides incompatible hardware, e.g., horse and gerbil? Given species x, y and gestational periods g(x) and g(y), respectively, what will the gestational period of an x carrying an x/y hybrid be? -- David Lubkin. From eliasen at mindspring.com Wed Jan 7 01:05:23 2004 From: eliasen at mindspring.com (Alan Eliasen) Date: Tue, 06 Jan 2004 18:05:23 -0700 Subject: [extropy-chat] Surviving a flood... In-Reply-To: <3FFB301B.3040204@mindspring.com> References: <3FFB301B.3040204@mindspring.com> Message-ID: <3FFB5B53.6090501@mindspring.com> Alan Eliasen wrote: > I know that Everest is growing slowly, (best estimates are 2.4 > inches/year) so we'll discount for that. (It makes very little > difference in any case.) I'm using my "Frink" calculating tool ( > http://futureboy.homeip.net/frinkdocs/ ) to find out what this comes out > to. In Frink notation, this is: > floodvolume = 4 pi earthradius2 depth Correction--in the cut-n-paste, I lost an exponentiation symbol. This should read floodvolume = 4 pi earthradius^2 depth The rest is correct Frink notation. -- Alan Eliasen | "You cannot reason a person out of a eliasen at mindspring.com | position he did not reason himself http://futureboy.homeip.net/ | into in the first place." | --Jonathan Swift From aperick at centurytel.net Wed Jan 7 01:16:16 2004 From: aperick at centurytel.net (rick) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 17:16:16 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] late response to Dan/Technotranscendence In-Reply-To: <200401061908.i06J8mE30410@tick.javien.com> Message-ID: <000201c3d4bb$de222b60$0200a8c0@soy0450mhz> Dan/Technotranscendence wrote: (a while back) >I'm basically anti-democratic. Wow, I am not the only one? This is sooo cool! I did not believe that I was an idiot before joining this list, but some of my remaining doubts re my sanity, wisdom and intelligence have further faded as I read things like this from other smart beings. Hey Dan; what is your personal policy on voting? ------------------------------------------------------------------- Rick Woolley, Closet nudist*, Certified Scientist Type, Confirmed Atheist, radical thinker, notorious fuck-up, and self-proclaimed singular authority on the abysmal depths of human stupidity that only we few lack. * Part time comedian and recovering idealist ... now show me yours :) http://home.centurytel.net/rickw aperick at centurytel.net From aperick at centurytel.net Wed Jan 7 01:41:14 2004 From: aperick at centurytel.net (rick) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 17:41:14 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] A great old quote re AI, and? In-Reply-To: <200401061908.i06J8mE30410@tick.javien.com> Message-ID: <000301c3d4bf$567b9e90$0200a8c0@soy0450mhz> Q: will computers ever think independently? A: if computers in their ultimate evolutionary form and substance, were to emulate man, then, based on close observation of the human species, I estimate that only 3.2 out of every one hundred computers will ever think for themselves. Now, my question: who shall I attribute this quote to? I found it in my old notes -- without the names of the speakers. Sagan? ------------------------------------------------------------------- Rick Woolley, Closet nudist*, Certified Scientist Type, Confirmed Atheist, radical thinker, notorious fuck-up, and self-proclaimed singular authority on the abysmal depths of human stupidity that only we few lack. * Part time comedian and recovering idealist ... now show me yours :) http://home.centurytel.net/rickw aperick at centurytel.net From bradbury at aeiveos.com Wed Jan 7 02:46:34 2004 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 18:46:34 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Surviving a flood... In-Reply-To: <20040106230229.85742.qmail@web41213.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: The largest known mountain in the ancient world was probably Mt. Ararat. Currently 16,940 ft (5165 m). I don't think the conclusions would change too significantly if one switches from Mt. Everest to Mt. Ararat. Robert From mlorrey at yahoo.com Wed Jan 7 03:36:50 2004 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 19:36:50 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Surviving a flood... In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20040107033650.17768.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> --- "Robert J. Bradbury" wrote: > > The largest known mountain in the ancient world was probably > Mt. Ararat. Currently 16,940 ft (5165 m). I don't think the > conclusions would change too significantly if one switches > from Mt. Everest to Mt. Ararat. Well, given that Bob Ballard has demonstrated the likely source of the flood myth was the breaching of the Bosporus and flooding of the Black Sea around 5000 BC, can anybody say how long it would take to raise the Black Sea to its present level, filling it from the Bosporus, and whether such filling would cause high rainfail for some period??? ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Yahoo! Hotjobs: Enter the "Signing Bonus" Sweepstakes http://hotjobs.sweepstakes.yahoo.com/signingbonus From spike66 at comcast.net Wed Jan 7 03:41:50 2004 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 19:41:50 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] For Us, The Living: evolution sentences In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <001401c3d4d0$2eff8690$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Damien Broderick expressed the opinion that an inattentive editor let this sentence slip thru: > > One rock > >selected him and came straight toward him. It was a handsome rock, flat on > >one side and brilliant while in the sunshine... This is a mutant sentence. Biological genetic drift depends on random mutations which change the genome in such a way that the mutant either is beneficial, or at least not harmful to the individual. Evolution of new species depends upon this phenomenon. Damien's example is a mutant sentence: a sentence that is one letter off of the author's likely intention, yet the typo forms a new word and the new word forms a part of speech that causes the new sentence to make sense. In some rare cases the mutant sentence is better than the original, which we could call an evolution sentence. Anyone know of examples in literature in which one can form an evolution sentence by adding, subtracting or changing a single letter? spike From thespike at earthlink.net Wed Jan 7 03:56:08 2004 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 21:56:08 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] evolution sentences References: <001401c3d4d0$2eff8690$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <033201c3d4d2$31a196c0$e3b13841@texas.net> From: "Spike" Sent: Tuesday, January 06, 2004 9:41 PM > Anyone know of examples in literature in which one > can form an evolution sentence by adding, subtracting > or changing a single letter? The Venetians were greatly offended when Shakespeare wrote: `Cry havoc, and let slip the doge of war!' But their mood soon improved when he hastily read from the Bible: `Thou shalt now commit adultery!' Damien Broderick From spike66 at comcast.net Wed Jan 7 03:56:55 2004 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 19:56:55 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Fw: [atlantis_II] Re: fermi's paradox: m/d approach In-Reply-To: <001801c3d47f$4babc7f0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <000001c3d4d2$4b14f070$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > Harvey Newstrom > > This is based on the earliest possible signals when Marconi > transmitted wireless telegraph just before 1900. But it now occurs to > me that they bounced such radio waves off the ionosphere to get around the > curve of the earth. I am not sure when radio waves started going out into > space, or when they became numerous or interesting enough to be detectable. > The first radio network was NBC starting in 1926. The first big or powerful > transmitters were built by RCA after 1934. We may have only > about 65 years of transmitting to space... Harvey Understatement. Some Morse code would leak past the ionosphere, but consider this: to an alien civilization, the meaning of Morse code is out of reach. They could deduce that a meaningful signal is being sent, but the transmission of 30 characters presupposes an *enormous* amount of information in order to interpret. We could transmit language in arbitrary quantities, yet it could never be interpreted in the absence of other information. Take the next step: radio waves. Even if highly intelligent aliens somehow managed to translate them into sounds, they would be no further along in interpreting these sounds than is humanity in understanding whale speech. Can we take it further? Are our television signals inherently uninterpretable? I speculate they are. If so, the only signal ever sent from earth that has a chance of being interpreted is that SETI thing with the stick figures. Even that is not a very informative message. If aliens are listening, about the only thing they could determine is that some form of intelligence is creating the message. spike From spike66 at comcast.net Wed Jan 7 04:41:42 2004 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 20:41:42 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Golden Transcendence In-Reply-To: <02e401c3d49b$b280c9f0$62256bd5@artemis> Message-ID: <000201c3d4d8$8c872f40$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > Dirk Bruere... > > Are you all retards here? > Unable to see what the question is without a dictionary? > You another Mensa member? ... Dirk Gentlemen, please, let us be good to each other. Our dreams of immortality *might* come true some day, in which case we could be stuck with each other for a looooooong time. {8^D spike From aperick at centurytel.net Wed Jan 7 03:49:32 2004 From: aperick at centurytel.net (rick) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 19:49:32 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Heinlein for real In-Reply-To: <200401070246.i072klE09031@tick.javien.com> Message-ID: <000001c3d4d1$4391fc40$0200a8c0@soy0450mhz> Major wrote: >> ... >> PS: Hella good postings today, I love you guys. >All of us? >Sorry, couldn't resist. Actually, at the instant in which I typed those last four words my personal simulation avatar switched to the personality and likeness of Erick Cartman. And I had in fact typed "I love you guys -- except you Kenney" but then quickly morphed back into aperick, reached for the White-Out but then remembered the backspace key. And it's ape-rick NOT a-prick you bastards :) ------------------------------------------------------------------- Rick Woolley, Closet nudist*, Certified Scientist Type, Confirmed Atheist, radical thinker, notorious fuck-up, and self-proclaimed singular authority on the abysmal depths of human stupidity that only we few lack. * Part time comedian and recovering idealist ... now show me yours :) http://home.centurytel.net/rickw aperick at centurytel.net From extropy at unreasonable.com Wed Jan 7 05:02:57 2004 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Wed, 07 Jan 2004 00:02:57 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: evolution sentences In-Reply-To: <001401c3d4d0$2eff8690$6501a8c0@SHELLY> References: Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20040106230937.0304a1f0@mail.comcast.net> At 07:41 PM 1/6/2004 -0800, Spike wrote: >Anyone know of examples in literature in which one >can form an evolution sentence by adding, subtracting >or changing a single letter? Precisely the phenomenon you describe actually occurred with an Anne McCaffrey collection, which she'd submitted as _Get Of The Unicorn_ but was "corrected" to _Get Off The Unicorn_ by a helpful copy editor. There is conflicting evidence about whether Burgess had wanted his novel actually published as _A Clockwork Orang_. (Orang, as in orangutan, meaning "man" in Malay; Burgess lived in Malaysia shortly before the book was written.) Meanwhile, Ed Ferman had a series of contests in F&SF years ago, each predicated on love of wordplay and knowledge of science fiction. One was your idea, limited to sf titles. http://www.mit.edu/afs/sipb/project/eichin/cruft/text2/scifi-titles Another was to take a well-known sf title and integrate the author's name, as in When David Gerrold Was One "I Have No Mouth And I Must Scream At Harlan Ellison" I, Asimov Robert Heinlein Is A Harsh Mistress "Do Androids Dream of Philip K. Dick?" The funniest are ones that play off or opposite well-known personality characteristics of the author, as these do. And imaginary collaborations, e.g., Heinlein & Wylie, Blow Ups Happen When Worlds Collide Ellison & Disch, The Beast That Shouted Love At the Brave Little Toaster Zelazny & Piper, Isle of the Dead Little Fuzzy -- David Lubkin. From spike66 at comcast.net Wed Jan 7 05:08:33 2004 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 21:08:33 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] The Golden Transcendence In-Reply-To: <000201c3d4d8$8c872f40$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <000501c3d4dc$4c81e260$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > Gentlemen, please, let us be good to each other. Our > dreams of immortality *might* come true some day, in > which case we could be stuck with each other for a > looooooong time. {8^D > > spike Possible mutant sentence to the above, most likely to be uttered by Jeremy Rifkin and his luddite ilk: "Our dreads of immortality *might* come true some day..." {8^D spike From spike66 at comcast.net Wed Jan 7 05:39:16 2004 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 21:39:16 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: evolution sentences In-Reply-To: <5.1.0.14.2.20040106230937.0304a1f0@mail.comcast.net> Message-ID: <000001c3d4e0$96fbe800$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > At 07:41 PM 1/6/2004 -0800, Spike wrote: > > >Anyone know of examples in literature in which one > >can form an evolution sentence by adding, subtracting > >or changing a single letter? > Perhaps some of you will recall the lyrics to the Cat Stevens hit Bad Brakes: ...Bad brakes whole car shakes Looks like I'm heading for a breakdown Black smoke engine beginning to choke I must be heading for a breakdown... The words "heading for a breakdown" was a common catchphrase of the late 70s meaning things were not going well. At my high school, the social clubs would paint signs and hang them about the campus to raise school spirit and encourage the football team. The FHS or Future Homemakers Society, was not known for its intellectual achievement (do allow me to draw the curtain of mercy upon the details of this comment). In any case, this particular club was painting its banners on the week we were to face the Hillsborough Hawks. This enormous banner was painted with the immortal words "The Hawks are HEADING FOR A BEAKDOWN" The banner was hung with *not one* of the club members noticing the apparent misspelling. When it was pointed out the next day with great derision and mirth, I suggested that this was slyly intentional, for the Hawks would surely be despondent upon their gridirion defeat and thus their collective countenance would be fallen, and so they would leave the field with faces downcast: the hawks' beaks would be down. This ignited extensive debate over whether the FHS could ever muster enough collective brains to actually come up with a clever mutant sentence. Had the young Mensans, the debate team or the chess club painted such a sign, everyone would grant them the benefit of the doubt. As a joke, or perhaps in all levitious seriousity, that FHS banner was given the prize for team spirit. Thenceforth, the phrase "heading for a beakdown" replaced the more familiar Cat Stevens breakdown version. spike From Johnius at Genius.UCSD.edu Wed Jan 7 06:03:31 2004 From: Johnius at Genius.UCSD.edu (Johnius) Date: Tue, 06 Jan 2004 22:03:31 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Heinlein for real Message-ID: <3FFBA133.5411E724@Genius.UCSD.edu> Rick wrote: > After reading Heinlein (Stranger..., Friday, etc.) has any of you ever > gotten seriously enthusiastic about Polyamory? > Edify me in public, or sympathize off-list if you fear ridicule. When I first read of such things in his books, I didn't think much about it really. I thought that he was trying to be creative and envelop-pushing and so wrote about all kinds of unusual things. I took it in stride. I have to admit that I did find myself thinking about the episode where Lazarus Long (I think) ended up having sex with his "daughters" (clones of his made female by doubling the X and tossing the Y)! A few years after Heinlein, a girl I was interested in turned me on to the idea of polyamory, and it clicked for me, intellectually. Unfortunately for me, this girl's version of Poly was "deeply intimate celibacy", if you know what I mean. Around this time I entered a sexual relationship with another girl, but it turns out she was strictly monogamous and felt hurt by my telling her about my polyamorous tendencies. Oops! I then got the message that Poly is much more controversial than I'd thought (I was such an innocent :-). Anyway, for her, I remained behaviorally monogamous. Later I met a fellow leading a seminar on "non-violent communication", and he introduced me to a local community of people living the Poly lifestyle. I went to a few of their parties, but unfortunately almost all of them were significantly older than me and I wasn't interested in any of the women there (well, except one younger one who was excellent, except that she too wasn't into sex, or at least sex with me. Argh!). And so it's been for me. I've had a few non-Poly girlfriends, haven't been interested in the Poly women I've met so far, and yet have multiple attractions and would go Poly if I could! As far as resources, check out polyamory.org, and of course the book _The Ethical Slut_ is a classic :-) Meanwhile, a few years ago I met a girl who's read almost every fiction book Heinlein wrote, and she was a lot of fun (though "just a friend") ... at least it was nice to chat about his ideas with her :-) Best, Johnius From bradbury at aeiveos.com Wed Jan 7 07:32:39 2004 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Tue, 6 Jan 2004 23:32:39 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Surviving a flood... In-Reply-To: <20040107033650.17768.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: On Tue, 6 Jan 2004, Mike Lorrey wrote: > Well, given that Bob Ballard has demonstrated the likely source of the > flood myth was the breaching of the Bosporus and flooding of the Black > Sea around 5000 BC, can anybody say how long it would take to raise the > Black Sea to its present level, filling it from the Bosporus, and > whether such filling would cause high rainfail for some period??? Well, given the region, one might estimate the initial Black Sea level as perhaps the level of the Dead Sea below Sea level. Then estimate the volume of water required to raise it to sea level. But to do this accurately one needs to know the area at the below sea level and the final area of the Black Sea now. But to really do it right one needs the pre-5000 BC Black Sea level and a complete set of sea depths at various points to compute the volume of water that was added. I'm doubtful that filling the Black Sea could cause the rainfall. But one might speculate that something like a volcano eruption seeding clouds or perhaps an asteroid impact in the Mediterranean could have raised its level to break through into the Black Sea. Robert From scerir at libero.it Wed Jan 7 08:17:59 2004 From: scerir at libero.it (scerir) Date: Wed, 7 Jan 2004 09:17:59 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Hell References: <157240-2200412617214495@M2W042.mail2web.com> Message-ID: <04ab01c3d4f6$c3607df0$33be1b97@administxl09yj> > Most of these religions state that if you are not a member of their > religion, you will go to Hell. Since there are more than one of these > religions and since people do not belong to more than one religion, we can > project that all souls go to Hell. With birth and death rates as they are, > we can expect the number of souls in Hell to increase exponentially. Why only one? According to MWI (here in the Many Souls version) the number of Hells (and Paradises) is, of course, also unbounded. From gpmap at runbox.com Wed Jan 7 10:23:54 2004 From: gpmap at runbox.com (Giu1i0 Pri5c0) Date: Wed, 7 Jan 2004 11:23:54 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Lifeline Nutraceuticals and Ceremedix news Message-ID: >From the Lifeline Nutraceuticals and Ceremedix websites and mailing lists: Protandim has now been covered by over 120 media sources stretching all across the globe. Feature articles in major newspapers, as well as coverage by an NBC news affiliate and international radio broadcasts. Lifeline Nutraceuticals (Lifeline) is currently looking to close out its fundraising that is earmarked for FDA approval processes and product commercialization. Closing has been delayed due to contractual obligations, but we hope to break escrow by mid February. Internal and independent product tests have been conducted, but some of these studies will be repeated for the FDA as soon as the funding is finalized. Final human trials will also begin at that time. Lifeline is a privately held Denver-based nutraceutical licensing and marketing company. Lifeline has a unique anti-aging nutraceutical, protandim (TM), that acts by mobilizing the body's own defense and repair mechanisms, resulting in the rescue of tissues and organs of the body that would otherwise be irrevocably damaged by the effects of "oxidative stress" caused by aging and numerous diseases. Quite a few inquiries have revolved around the publication date of studies that have already been completed. Lifeline and its affiliate pharmaceutical company, CereMedix, have intentionally chosen to not publish studies at this time. CereMedix, Inc., is a privately held Massachusetts-based drug discovery and development company. CereMedix has a unique portfolio of peptide-based product candidates with the unique action of activating certain genes present in cells of the human body that act as the bodys own defend and repair mechanisms. The switching on of these genes results in the rescue of tissues and organs of the body that would otherwise be irrevocably damaged by the effects of oxidative stress resulting from aging and multiple diseases. The company is targeting its therapeutic products at multi-billion dollar markets with no viable existing therapeutics. -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From neptune at superlink.net Wed Jan 7 11:58:17 2004 From: neptune at superlink.net (Technotranscendence) Date: Wed, 7 Jan 2004 06:58:17 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Fw: [atlantis_II] Re: fermi's paradox: m/d approach Message-ID: <007901c3d515$8aac8f20$a3cd5cd1@neptune> Another cross-post from Atlantis II. -- Dan P.S.: Thanks to Robert and Dennis for their continued participation in this debate. From: Dennis May To: Sent: Tuesday, January 06, 2004 1:53 PM Subject: Re: Fw: [atlantis_II] Re: fermi's paradox: m/d approach I wrote: >The other question is: why is my solution to the Fermi Paradox >less plausible - since it does not depend on new science, >big brains, or unknown nanotechnology? Robert J. Bradbury wrote "If by this you mean that civilizations self-destruct, I don't consider it less plausible." My solution is that only stealthy, dispersed, nomadic civilizations can survive WoMD in space. The MBrain solution is centralized command and control. They are two very different models of how to survive WoMD. I don't doubt that centralized command and control can work for a while. I don't consider it to be a stable solution. Dennis May http://groups.yahoo.com/group/atlantis_II/ From mlorrey at yahoo.com Wed Jan 7 13:02:10 2004 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Wed, 7 Jan 2004 05:02:10 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Hell In-Reply-To: <04ab01c3d4f6$c3607df0$33be1b97@administxl09yj> Message-ID: <20040107130210.7219.qmail@web12903.mail.yahoo.com> --- scerir wrote: > > Most of these religions state that if you are not a member of their > > religion, you will go to Hell. Since there are more than one of > these > > religions and since people do not belong to more than one religion, > we can > > project that all souls go to Hell. With birth and death rates as > they are, > > we can expect the number of souls in Hell to increase > exponentially. > > Why only one? According to MWI (here in the Many Souls version) the > number of Hells (and Paradises) is, of course, also unbounded. Not necessarily. It could easily be one locale outside the space-time continuum. Being faced with the infinity of your sins that you not only committed, but WOULD have committed, would be a fine torture indeed for a place like hell. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Yahoo! Hotjobs: Enter the "Signing Bonus" Sweepstakes http://hotjobs.sweepstakes.yahoo.com/signingbonus From bradbury at aeiveos.com Wed Jan 7 12:40:13 2004 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Wed, 7 Jan 2004 04:40:13 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Lifeline Nutraceuticals and Ceremedix news In-Reply-To: Message-ID: On Wed, 7 Jan 2004, Giu1i0 Pri5c0 wrote: > >From the Lifeline Nutraceuticals and Ceremedix websites and mailing lists: [snip] I would be *highly* doubtful... Sounds too much like a scam to me. > Lifeline has a unique anti-aging nutraceutical, protandim (TM), But *what* is it? > ... the effects of "oxidative stress" caused by aging and numerous diseases. Hmmm... the conventional wisdom is that oxidative stress causes aging not aging causes oxidative stress. (Living does cause oxidative stress but without consuming oxygen we wouldn't be able to live.) > CereMedix has a unique portfolio of peptide-based product candidates If they are unique then there should be patents and one should not have a problem disclosing them right? Furthermore if they are peptides (sequences of amino-acids) then one has a problem getting them through the digestive tract without being broken down. So they would need to be injected right? If they are overloading the digestive tract so some peptides might be absorbed how do they account in individual differences in digestive capacity? > with the unique action of activating certain genes present in cells What genes precisely? > of the human body that act as the bodys own defend and > repair mechanisms. Hmmm... presumably that is "defense and repair". Mind you there are substances that activate the Phase II detoxification system which are in foods like brocolli and perhaps garlic. Google on sulphorophane or allicin and "Phase II". Unless they point out something concrete that is novel I'd stick with substances that are known, the subject of public studies and probably much cheaper. > The company is targeting its therapeutic products at multi-billion > dollar markets with no viable existing therapeutics. Well that statement is obligatory otherwise why would anyone be interested? Robert From rafal at smigrodzki.org Wed Jan 7 18:02:24 2004 From: rafal at smigrodzki.org (Rafal Smigrodzki) Date: Wed, 7 Jan 2004 10:02:24 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] late response to Dan/Technotranscendence In-Reply-To: <000201c3d4bb$de222b60$0200a8c0@soy0450mhz> Message-ID: rick wrote: > Dan/Technotranscendence wrote: (a while back) > >> I'm basically anti-democratic. > > Wow, I am not the only one? This is sooo cool! I did not believe that > I was an idiot before joining this list, but some of my remaining > doubts re my sanity, wisdom and intelligence have further faded as I > read things like this from other smart beings. ### Welcome to the club! I am also anti-democratic (i.e. anti-majoritarian-elective-democracy), although I am strongly pro-democratic in the sense of letting people have maximum control over their own lives (be masters of their own destiny rather than being ruled by elites or mobs), for example by market-like mechanisms. Rafal From mark at permanentend.org Wed Jan 7 16:13:49 2004 From: mark at permanentend.org (Mark Walker) Date: Wed, 7 Jan 2004 11:13:49 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Eumemics References: Message-ID: <04ba01c3d539$3c5dd3a0$2ee4f418@markcomputer> There are a number of ways to slice the eugenic (good breeding) pie, but one that is relevant for my question to you has to do with the state/versus nonstate distinction. Many transhumanists are in favor of eugenics, e.g., embryo selection for desirable traits, or elimination of embryos with perceived defects, so long as it is not done in a state mandated way. According to this doctrine, it is morally permissible for individuals or families to make decisions about what constitutes good breeding , but it is not permissible for the state to mandate such matters. Of course the Nazis were the great "popularizes" of state sponsored eugenics, but as Kevles et al. have pointed out, many other nations were involved. Hopefully, according to this doctrine, we have learnt our lesson here. Eumemics, as you have already guessed, has to do with good memeing. If you believe in state mandated good memeing raise your hands. For example, how many of you believe in state mandated education? Or do you believe it should be left entirely up to parents or the children themselves whether children get an education or not? Question: suppose you believe that at least some state mandated eumemics is morally permissible (e.g., education), but you do not believe in state mandated eugenics, what is the principle or principles that makes it morally permissible in the one case but not the other? Now of course you could reject the question because you don't believe in state mandated eumemics, even education. Well, at least here you will have consistency on your side. I guess most of us reject this because of the harm that children will suffer if their parents decided that they do not want to have their children educated. It is interesting to note that even some staunch libertarians think that children are a special case, that is, that the state has a special interest in the lives of children in a way that it should not in adult lives. In any event, if you don't believe in state mandated education then pleasing stop reading here. (To say that education is state mandated is independent of the question of who should run it and who should pay for it, e.g., this is consistent with private run schools). Here are some possible candidates for the operative principle or principles: 1. Eugenics interferes with parental rights to choose the sort of children they want to have. Rebuttal: Surely eumemics interferes with parental rights just as much. If you want to raise your child to not be infected with decadent mass culture surely not allowing your child to read or write might seem like an appealing option. So, forcing children to go to school infringes on parental rights here. I guess most of us would say this infringement is justified. So, why is it not justified in the case of eugenics, e.g., not allowing severely mentally or physically disabled children to be born. Or perhaps not allowing children with an IQ of less than 120 to be born? 2. Parents know what is best for their children, the state does not. Rebuttal: Much the same point as above. What do we say to parents who do not want to educate their children? Isn't the answer that in this case the state knows best? So why not in the case of eugenics? 3. State mandated eugenics necessarily compromises the autonomy of individuals whereas education does not. Rebuttal: The full answer to this point would require rehashing the discussion of the principle of potential plentitude (discussed a while back on the WTA-list), but here is the Readers' Digest version: Suppose the state mandates that embryos are to be selected for high IQ, athletic potential, perfect pitch, and the capacity to readily acquire virtues. (For the last of these see: www.permanentend.org/gvp.htm) If you are the product of such a selection you could still refuse to exercise any of the genetic potentials you have been given, e.g., you could spend your time in your parent's basement smoking pot and listening to punk music rather than attempting to develop your intellect, your athletic, moral or musical potential. As I argued in connection with the Principle of Potential Plentitude discussion, enhanced potential (in many cases) actually increases autonomy, it does not reduce it. 4. State mandated eugenics may compromise the autonomy of individuals whereas eumemics does not. Explanation: This differs from the previous point in that it allows that eugenics could be used in a way that does not compromise autonomy, but worries that the state might use eugenics to compromise autonomy. Suppose like some bad sci-fi movie embryos were selected for aggressive potential so that the individuals could be made into fearsome soldiers (or some such nonsense). Eumemics, on the other hand, does not compromise the autonomy of individuals. Rebuttal: State mandated eumemics can be used to compromise the autonomy of individuals, consider for example indoctrination, propaganda, etc. The Nazis too were helpful in "popularizing" eumemics. If it is the mere potential for abuse that stops us with eugenics then why do we not disallow all forms of eumemics on the same basis? (And let us not under estimate the power of eumemics to harm. I have a friend whose father went to a Nazi school for his education. His father still celebrates Hitler's birthday every year with friends over drinks). Cheers, Mark Mark Walker, PhD Research Associate, Philosophy, Trinity College University of Toronto Room 214 Gerald Larkin Building 15 Devonshire Place Toronto M5S 1H8 www.permanentend.org From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Wed Jan 7 16:41:24 2004 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Wed, 7 Jan 2004 11:41:24 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Lifeline Nutraceuticals and Ceremedix news In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <007501c3d53d$19be0230$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> This was discussed on ImmInst.com a few months ago. See . Reason got misquoted by them and had to ask them to remove his name as implying endorsement. They also have some research and references there about what this stuff is and where the research came from. A dissertation about the substance was published. See http://www.wpi.edu/Pubs/ETD/Available/etd-0429103-132144/. Earlier references to the company and their research were discussed on ImmInst one year ago. See . -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From mlorrey at yahoo.com Wed Jan 7 17:51:23 2004 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Wed, 7 Jan 2004 09:51:23 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Nutraceutical advice needed In-Reply-To: <007501c3d53d$19be0230$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <20040107175123.16204.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> As from my prior post re: my mother's health situation, I'm interested in finding out about any nutraceuticals with proven abilities to improve digestion efficiency as well as something that improves the availability of digested anti-depressants and anti-anxiety drugs to cross the blood brain barrier. If someone wants to discuss it, please email me and I can detail what meds she is taking and her other health issues. Mitigating any deterioration of her current condition is of immediate importance, as encephalopathy can lead to coma and death if it is not halted and/or reversed. One list member got me a good contact in the cloning field that I am pursuing, so that is much appreciated, though its more of a long term solution. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Yahoo! Hotjobs: Enter the "Signing Bonus" Sweepstakes http://hotjobs.sweepstakes.yahoo.com/signingbonus From wingcat at pacbell.net Wed Jan 7 18:37:28 2004 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Wed, 7 Jan 2004 10:37:28 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Eumemics In-Reply-To: <04ba01c3d539$3c5dd3a0$2ee4f418@markcomputer> Message-ID: <20040107183728.98118.qmail@web80409.mail.yahoo.com> Just playing devil's advocate here... --- Mark Walker wrote: > Question: suppose you believe that at least some > state mandated eumemics > is morally permissible (e.g., education), but you do > not believe in state > mandated eugenics, what is the principle or > principles that makes it morally > permissible in the one case but not the other? Technical understanding. The state, having evolved through memetic influences, has at least a rough understanding of beneficial vs. non-beneficial memes. Although this understanding can easily be demonstrated to be flawed in certain cases - and in those cases, it should be (and is being, to some degree) restricted from action - it can also be demonstrated to have selected certain good memes (insofar as any meme can be judged absolutely "good", independent of the memeset of the observer). On the other hand, genetic engineering is very much in its infancy, so imposing genetic solutions at this time - prior to a better understanding of what genes do what - is likely to cause more problems than it solves. (Note that this does not apply to, say, state-mandated treatment of genes that are well understood to be desirable or not; for instance, correcting the gene that gives cystic fibrosis or certain other diseases. But in these specific cases, there is not much debate anyway: what parent wants their child to be born sick?) Perhaps a better way to put it: both memetic and genetic engineering are allowed when it is widely known what memes/genes are good and what are bad. Not just a simple democratic majority (although it may come to that in some cases), but closer to universal consensus levels. Without that knowledge, attempts to impose solutions have historically just caused damage without achieving the desired results; the limits on government impositions in this case are there to prevent a repeat of that mistake. From megao at sasktel.net Wed Jan 7 18:34:00 2004 From: megao at sasktel.net (Extropian Agroforestry Ventures Inc.) Date: Wed, 07 Jan 2004 12:34:00 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Nutraceutical advice needed References: <20040107175123.16204.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <3FFC5117.1C4E1AAF@sasktel.net> Hi Mike: One thing that comes to mind is dimethy-sulfoxide, a common aprotic solvent and lab catalyst. It has the interesting property of facilitating the transport of small and medium sized molecules accross physical barriers such as skin , blood-brain barrier and colon. http://www.dmso.org/subLevels/literature.htm I have not reviewed this site completely but it summarizes some relevant literature. As a personal note I consumed about a teaspoonful of 100 % DMSO- spectro grade for about 4 years from 1973-1977. It tastes like bitterish garlic. It has a warm taste as it dilates surface blood vessels. After a few days you get used to it. It does have one downside, your breath will contain dimethysulfide so you will reek of garlic. There is a 90% solution available in the veterinary use area. A lot has been said about this compound, but it falls in the orphan drug category , and it has never caught the financial fancy of any pharma company Having said all this, I think you may find it quite useful overall. ************************************** The trade publication "natural health products industry insider" has had industry product review articles one of which has focused on colon health. http://www.naturalproductsinsider.com http://cgi.vpico.com/search/search.asp?simple=yes&index=npindex&request=colon Morris Johnson Mike Lorrey wrote: > As from my prior post re: my mother's health situation, I'm interested > in finding out about any nutraceuticals with proven abilities to > improve digestion efficiency as well as something that improves the > availability of digested anti-depressants and anti-anxiety drugs to > cross the blood brain barrier. If someone wants to discuss it, please > email me and I can detail what meds she is taking and her other health > issues. Mitigating any deterioration of her current condition is of > immediate importance, as encephalopathy can lead to coma and death if > it is not halted and/or reversed. > > One list member got me a good contact in the cloning field that I am > pursuing, so that is much appreciated, though its more of a long term solution. > > ===== > Mike Lorrey > "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." > - Gen. John Stark > "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." > - Mike Lorrey > Do not label me, I am an ism of one... > Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com > > __________________________________ > Do you Yahoo!? > Yahoo! Hotjobs: Enter the "Signing Bonus" Sweepstakes > http://hotjobs.sweepstakes.yahoo.com/signingbonus > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From bradbury at aeiveos.com Wed Jan 7 19:29:13 2004 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Wed, 7 Jan 2004 11:29:13 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Lifeline Nutraceuticals and Ceremedix news In-Reply-To: <007501c3d53d$19be0230$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: On Wed, 7 Jan 2004, Harvey Newstrom wrote: > See: > http://www.wpi.edu/Pubs/ETD/Available/etd-0429103-132144/. Though I have not reviewed the imminst discussions, reviewing the above brings to mind a number of questions. a) *What* SOD is being upregulated -- there are 3? b) Are their immunoblot tests which generally require antibodies selective for one of the 3 SODs? c) How does one know that the upregulation of SODs is not a cellular response to a pro-oxidative response to the peptides involved? (I.e. the peptides may activate cellular systems that generate oxidative stress and the cells respond by increasing SOD production -- in which case one is dealing with a double edged sword that may harm as much as it helps.) And I'll note that the peptides were delivered i.v. (direct injection into the bloodstream) which by definition are *not* nutraceuticals which presumably must be eaten. If the substances are peptides to be delivered i.v. then they would be considered drugs and have to go through the normal FDA drug approval process. Robert From bradbury at aeiveos.com Wed Jan 7 20:07:56 2004 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Wed, 7 Jan 2004 12:07:56 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Eumemics In-Reply-To: <20040107183728.98118.qmail@web80409.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: On Wed, 7 Jan 2004, Adrian Tymes wrote: Ok, Mark has laid out a rather large swamp and I may get to his post at some point but here I'll deal with some of Adrian's points... > Technical understanding. The state, having evolved > through memetic influences, has at least a rough > understanding of beneficial vs. non-beneficial memes. Ha! Lets see -- we have the Greek, Roman and southern U.S. cultures that evolved through a number of memetic influences and yet all had slave based economies. Beneficial? yes. Morally correct? probably not. > On the other hand, genetic engineering is very much in > its infancy, so imposing genetic solutions at this > time - prior to a better understanding of what genes > do what - is likely to cause more problems than it solves. Well... it seems likely that the insights are going to come quite quickly (within 1, certainly 2, decades for most complex traits). Why should a state allow the birth of less than average intelligence individuals or individuals with genetic defects that may pose a health care burden upon the state (and the shareholders of the state -- i.e. the taxpayers) at some future date? > (Note that this does not apply to, say, > state-mandated treatment of genes that are well > understood to be desirable or not; for instance, > correcting the gene that gives cystic fibrosis or > certain other diseases. But in these specific cases, > there is not much debate anyway: what parent wants > their child to be born sick?) Oh, no Adrian you don't get away with that. There is a very active "classic" debate within the bioethics community that uses the example of deaf parents who want their child to be born deaf when presented with a proposal by the medical community to use genetic engineering to reverse the child's deafness. It gets into very sticky issues that involve the presumption that to exist as a deaf person is somehow less valid than existing as a non-deaf person. Once you make the assumption that people should be non-deaf you are on the slippery slope that would argue that everyone should be superintelligent rather than simply of average intelligence. > Perhaps a better way to put it: both memetic and > genetic engineering are allowed when it is widely > known what memes/genes are good and what are bad. Subjective. What is good and bad are entirely context dependent. There are contexts where Vulcan logic and disinvolvement are the best way to go and there are contexts where the the Klingon perspective that "Today is a good day to die" are on the mark. Didn't you learn anything from Star Trek??? :-) > Not just a simple democratic majority (although it may > come to that in some cases), but closer to universal > consensus levels. But the consensus can be quite wrong (perhaps as the slavery example cited above may indicate). > Without that knowledge, attempts to > impose solutions have historically just caused damage > without achieving the desired results; the limits on > government impositions in this case are there to > prevent a repeat of that mistake. But do such limits accomplish this? I once dated a woman who used to joke about the fact that if her son could grow up and become a basketball player then her life would be golden. With her this type of conversation was simple fantasy -- but one has to suspect that there are parents out there that would be willing to pay megabucks to have children who would be well suited for the NFL, NBL, WWF, Fear Factor, etc. Given the subtlety of various genetic interventions from a strict health vs. enhancement to excel in sports, beauty, etc. it is going to be very difficult to get the damage v. benefit equation correct at either an individual or societal level. I can easily make an argument that the right of a parent to enhance their child to be an ideal physical individual for the NFL directly harms me as a parent who does not choose to enhance his child to that level. Furthermore the enhancement of such individuals may contribute to their being violent megalomaniacs which are certainly a threat to society. I don't think one gets out of this box easily. Robert From mark at permanentend.org Wed Jan 7 22:19:30 2004 From: mark at permanentend.org (Mark Walker) Date: Wed, 7 Jan 2004 17:19:30 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Eumemics References: <20040107183728.98118.qmail@web80409.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <011f01c3d56c$52c2d3b0$2ee4f418@markcomputer> > Just playing devil's advocate here... I'm not sure I believe it, but your argument has ingenuity on its side; the devil should count his blessings having you on his side. > >> Technical understanding. The state, having evolved > through memetic influences, has at least a rough > understanding of beneficial vs. non-beneficial memes. > Although this understanding can easily be demonstrated > to be flawed in certain cases - and in those cases, it > should be (and is being, to some degree) restricted > from action - it can also be demonstrated to have > selected certain good memes (insofar as any meme can > be judged absolutely "good", independent of the > memeset of the observer). > > On the other hand, genetic engineering is very much in > its infancy, so imposing genetic solutions at this > time - prior to a better understanding of what genes > do what - is likely to cause more problems than it > solves. (Note that this does not apply to, say, > state-mandated treatment of genes that are well > understood to be desirable or not; for instance, > correcting the gene that gives cystic fibrosis or > certain other diseases. But in these specific cases, > there is not much debate anyway: what parent wants > their child to be born sick?) > Is the problem here the technology or the desirability of the traits? If the former then it is sufficient to limit the state's interest here to embryo selection. One could examine embryos for genetic markers associated with high IQ and CF and sort accordingly. If the latter then the fact that the technology is in its infancy might caution us against providing new traits, say extra legs so that one could be as fleet of foot as satyrs. But what about values that we already endorse through eumemics, e.g., knowledge. If we look for genetic markers to ensure a goodly quantity of intelligence to allow at least the possibility that embryo will be able to have a goodly quantity of knowledge. Any given level of knowledge by an individual has a corresponding minimum level of intelligence that individual must possess. If we increase intelligence then we will have raised the ceiling for knowledge. The eumemic equivalent of course is the attempt to impart knowledge to our offspring through education. > Perhaps a better way to put it: both memetic and > genetic engineering are allowed when it is widely > known what memes/genes are good and what are bad. Not > just a simple democratic majority (although it may > come to that in some cases), but closer to universal > consensus levels. Without that knowledge, attempts to > impose solutions have historically just caused damage > without achieving the desired results; the limits on > government impositions in this case are there to > prevent a repeat of that mistake. I'm no historian, but I think the history of mandatory education is perhaps a relevant counterexample to your general claim. There seems to have been quite a bit of resistance to mandatory education in the U.S. and it seems to have taken quite a long time to make it mandatory in every state in the U.S. http://www.infoplease.com/ipa/A0112617.html . So if we are agreed that mandatory education is a good thing (again allowing for the possibility of it being privatized) then it seems that the "wisdom" of the state exceed that of the consensus of the population. The near consensus on the goodness of mandatory education came after the fact. That point aside, it seems that the council for the defense has only come up with a temporary restraining order, as our knowledge of what eugenics can do it seems that there will no longer be a principled reason for allowing state mandated eumemics but not eugenics. Thanks for your input. Cheers, Mark Mark Walker, PhD Research Associate, Philosophy, Trinity College University of Toronto Room 214 Gerald Larkin Building 15 Devonshire Place Toronto M5S 1H8 www.permanentend.org From wingcat at pacbell.net Wed Jan 7 22:42:53 2004 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Wed, 7 Jan 2004 14:42:53 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Eumemics In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20040107224253.56739.qmail@web80408.mail.yahoo.com> --- "Robert J. Bradbury" wrote: > On Wed, 7 Jan 2004, Adrian Tymes wrote: > > Technical understanding. The state, having > evolved > > through memetic influences, has at least a rough > > understanding of beneficial vs. non-beneficial > memes. > > Ha! Lets see -- we have the Greek, Roman and > southern > U.S. cultures that evolved through a number of > memetic > influences and yet all had slave based economies. > Beneficial? yes. Morally correct? probably not. I said rough, but I also said imperfect. Where it is imperfect, it should be resisted. It's not a blanket "all eumemics are okay" or "all eumemics are not okay" statement. > > On the other hand, genetic engineering is very > much in > > its infancy, so imposing genetic solutions at this > > time - prior to a better understanding of what > genes > > do what - is likely to cause more problems than it > solves. > > Well... it seems likely that the insights are going > to come quite quickly (within 1, certainly 2, > decades > for most complex traits). I disagree - but mainly because of the level of insight that will be needed. Yes, it may be possible to say that genes X and Y roughly correlate with higher intelligence within 2 decades, such that individuals would choose those genes for their own children. It takes a much higher confidence level in the causation, which is going to take much longer to achieve, before the state may be permitted to require such. > Why should a state allow > the birth of less than average intelligence > individuals > or individuals with genetic defects that may pose a > health care burden upon the state (and the > shareholders > of the state -- i.e. the taxpayers) at some future > date? Even in genes where we're almost certain, for instance cystic fibrosis, the argument is marginal at this time given the current cost and risk of genetic engineering techniques. To mandate interference in anything less well understood, such as intelligence, is to invite disaster, and almost everyone acknowledges this. > > (Note that this does not apply to, say, > > state-mandated treatment of genes that are well > > understood to be desirable or not; for instance, > > correcting the gene that gives cystic fibrosis or > > certain other diseases. But in these specific > cases, > > there is not much debate anyway: what parent wants > > their child to be born sick?) > > Oh, no Adrian you don't get away with that. Yes I do. ;P As I said: > > genes that are well > > understood to be desirable or not ...and by your example, the condition of deafness (and therefore the genes that cause it) is not "well understood to be desirable or not", regardless of how well we know what genes cause deafness. > There > is > a very active "classic" debate within the bioethics > community that uses the example of deaf parents who > want their child to be born deaf when presented with > a proposal by the medical community to use genetic > engineering to reverse the child's deafness. It > gets into very sticky issues that involve the > presumption that to exist as a deaf person is > somehow less valid than existing as a non-deaf > person. Deaf != sick. "What parent wants their child to be born sick" != "What parent wants their child to be born deaf", by this very example. We're talking "sick" as a condition that is universally considered undesirable; the very existance of defenders of deafness excludes it from this category. (Personally, after having reviewed the arguments of said defenders, I still consider deafness to be an overall disability, but that's irrelevant to this discussion.) > > Perhaps a better way to put it: both memetic and > > genetic engineering are allowed when it is widely > > known what memes/genes are good and what are bad. > > Subjective. What is good and bad are entirely > context > dependent. That's why I put the "widely known" in there. If there is much room for subjective disagreement, that invalidates it until the disagreement can be resolved. It is not too inaccurate to say that the disagreement itself, and any resolution thereof, becomes the limiting factor in these cases. > Didn't you learn anything from Star Trek??? :-) Yeah. That life is darn great for species that have already gone through their respective Singularities. Also, if you wear red shirts and have no name, you get to demonstrate how the monster works. > > Not just a simple democratic majority (although it > may > > come to that in some cases), but closer to > universal > > consensus levels. > > But the consensus can be quite wrong (perhaps as the > slavery example cited above may indicate). Many slaves disagreed with the consensus (although many other slaves agreed). I would therefore not call it universal, or even nearly universal. > > Without that knowledge, attempts to > > impose solutions have historically just caused > damage > > without achieving the desired results; the limits > on > > government impositions in this case are there to > > prevent a repeat of that mistake. > > But do such limits accomplish this? Sometimes. No one has found and implemented a perfect solution to avoid repeating mistakes of the past. I was just talking with my father about some tech he developed for walking robots some decades ago; the problems he encountered in that development effort seem to be being repeated by modern efforts. (Of course, his effort was never detailed for Google et al, so the modern efforts were unaware of it.) > I can easily make an argument that the right of a > parent > to enhance their child to be an ideal physical > individual > for the NFL directly harms me as a parent who does > not > choose to enhance his child to that level. There, you may be correct. But allowing parents to choose is a far cry from allowing the state to mandate. > Furthermore > the enhancement of such individuals may contribute > to > their being violent megalomaniacs which are > certainly > a threat to society. "Power must be shared." The response is, of course, to allow others - including others who have already been born - to be enhanced in similar manners if and when they desire it. (This is one reason I favor development of bionics over development of genetic enhancements.) Eventually, you wind up with the average physical capabilities being increased. This may cause a lessening of the status of the unenhanced...but part of the reason for allowing individual choice is that individuals can upgrade when they believe it makes sense for them to do so. Perhaps eventually this is essentially a forced choice, but the theory is that, by allowing individuals to at least control the timing, pace, and _exact_ nature of their enhancements, the end result can be better - and perhaps the transition can be less painful. Free will and destined choice, both in one. In theory, only true improvements - ones that some people would freely apply to themselves absent other factors, and which people would envy in others to the point that they believe cathing up would be desirable - can come about by this path. To wit: some might say, "But what if I want to remain as I am for all time?" Answer: "If this that I do does not improve me, you may remain as you are, and by definition you will be without disadvantage. But if this is an improvement, then you will eventually not want to remain as you are now. You will be the judge, and you may revisit your decision whenever you wish." From wingcat at pacbell.net Wed Jan 7 23:05:55 2004 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Wed, 7 Jan 2004 15:05:55 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Eumemics In-Reply-To: <011f01c3d56c$52c2d3b0$2ee4f418@markcomputer> Message-ID: <20040107230555.73416.qmail@web80410.mail.yahoo.com> --- Mark Walker wrote: > > Just playing devil's advocate here... > > I'm not sure I believe it, but your argument has > ingenuity on its side; the > devil should count his blessings having you on his > side. Okay, Angel's Advocate. Devil's is just the common term. ;P > Is the problem here the technology or the > desirability of the traits? Yes. ^_- > If the > former then it is sufficient to limit the state's > interest here to embryo > selection. One could examine embryos for genetic > markers associated with > high IQ and CF and sort accordingly. If we knew what markers those were, and that those markers were not associated with other potentially desirable or undesirable things. We don't, at least not with much confidence (especially for IQ), so attempts to do so right now will likely bring about unintended, and potentially (probably, given historical precedent) disastrous, selection effects. > If the latter > then the fact that the > technology is in its infancy might caution us > against providing new traits, > say extra legs so that one could be as fleet of foot > as satyrs. And, as has been cautioned, don't assume endorsement even for or against existing traits such as deafness. > But what > about values that we already endorse through > eumemics, e.g., knowledge. Counter-examples of said endorsement are widespread. Some people really do want their kids to be dumb (so they will be obedient to their parents, even when said parents are wrong in the extreme). > > Perhaps a better way to put it: both memetic and > > genetic engineering are allowed when it is widely > > known what memes/genes are good and what are bad. > Not > > just a simple democratic majority (although it may > > come to that in some cases), but closer to > universal > > consensus levels. Without that knowledge, > attempts to > > impose solutions have historically just caused > damage > > without achieving the desired results; the limits > on > > government impositions in this case are there to > > prevent a repeat of that mistake. > > I'm no historian, but I think the history of > mandatory education is perhaps > a relevant counterexample to your general claim. > There seems to have been > quite a bit of resistance to mandatory education in > the U.S. and it seems to > have taken quite a long time to make it mandatory in > every state in the U.S. There still is some resistance. This is part of why I said, "Not just a simple democratic majority (although it may come to that in some cases)". I do not claim to know where the cutoff is below 100% agreement, or even that there is a single cutoff that is optimal for all such issues (I suspect there is not). > That > point aside, it seems that > the council for the defense has only come up with a > temporary restraining > order, as our knowledge of what eugenics can do it > seems that there will no > longer be a principled reason for allowing state > mandated eumemics but not > eugenics. A temporary restraining order is all I was going for. There is potential for it to become indefinite, if agreement never forms that a certain set of genes is undesirable - said agreement likely necessarily including, perhaps even consisting entirely of, those who possess said genes (and thus, who would be directly affected). But if that agreement were to come about...well, hey, if everyone (and I mean *everyone*) who has gene X says they want to make sure their yet-to-be-conceived kids never have gene X, and no one else wants gene X, then yeah, the state is probably going to be quite justified in requiring genetic engineering to eliminate gene X. Maybe it was Devil's after all. ^_- From oregan.emlyn at healthsolve.com.au Wed Jan 7 23:06:00 2004 From: oregan.emlyn at healthsolve.com.au (Emlyn O'regan) Date: Thu, 8 Jan 2004 09:36:00 +1030 Subject: [extropy-chat] Eumemics Message-ID: <7A2B25F8EB070940996FA543A70A217B0178690E@adlexsv02.protech.com.au> > -----Original Message----- > From: Mark Walker [mailto:mark at permanentend.org] > Sent: Thursday, 8 January 2004 1:44 AM > To: ExI chat list > Subject: [extropy-chat] Eumemics > Here are some possible candidates for the operative principle > or principles: > > 1. Eugenics interferes with parental rights to choose the > sort of children > they want to have. > > Rebuttal: Surely eumemics interferes with parental rights > just as much. If > you want to raise your child to not be infected with decadent > mass culture > surely not allowing your child to read or write might seem > like an appealing > option. So, forcing children to go to school infringes on > parental rights > here. I guess most of us would say this infringement is > justified. So, why > is it not justified in the case of eugenics, e.g., not > allowing severely > mentally or physically disabled children to be born. Or > perhaps not allowing > children with an IQ of less than 120 to be born? > Education is a special case with humans. We are social creatures, who function best with a prerequisite long period of education before adulthood. Some things we need to function properly as Human v1.0 in our current society come in our genes, the rest requires education. Note that this education should be defined far more broadly than typical state regulated education! So in the case of eumemics, there is a requirement for education, meaning it isn't optional. Furthermore, it is to a large part reversible; you can shake even the crustiest of crusty memes if you try hard enough for long enough. However, genetic engineering is an entirely different beast. Firstly, I'll assume that prenatal genetic engineering is being proposed because we assume the postnatal organism cannot be modified further genetically. One day (maybe soon) this wont be true, which will render much of the argument for eugenics, such as it is, irrelevant. However, I'll take this as a given here. So genetic engineering is irreversable, by the previous paragraph. It is also entirely optional, in a way that memetic upload (education) isn't. These two qualities (optional, irreversable) should be combined with the unproven and unknown qualities highlighted by Adrian in his reply to Mark, to show that modern "eugenics" (parental or state manipulation of the unborn) is a really poor idea, not comparable to education, and to be undertaken at the parent/state's extreme peril; after all, you are messing with a future citizen, who *will* be pissed off if you get it wrong (from their point of view, not yours). My view is that transhumanists just shouldn't venture onto this territory. Fix really deadly genetic illnesses, but after that you should leave a person alone until they are old enough to choose for themselves. In about 18 years from now, it's not too far fetched to assume that adult phenotype genetic manipulation will a going concern, after all. > 2. Parents know what is best for their children, the state does not. > > Rebuttal: Much the same point as above. What do we say to > parents who do not > want to educate their children? Isn't the answer that in this > case the state > knows best? So why not in the case of eugenics? Again, because there is a necessity when it comes to education. Eugenics, on the other hand, is optional. > > 3. State mandated eugenics necessarily compromises the autonomy of > individuals whereas education does not. > > Rebuttal: The full answer to this point would require rehashing the > discussion of the principle of potential plentitude > (discussed a while back > on the WTA-list), but here is the > Readers' Digest version: Suppose the state mandates that > embryos are to be > selected for high IQ, athletic potential, perfect pitch, and > the capacity to > readily acquire virtues. (For the last of these see: > www.permanentend.org/gvp.htm) If you are the product of such > a selection you > could still refuse to exercise any of the genetic potentials > you have been > given, e.g., you could spend your time in your parent's > basement smoking pot > and listening to punk music rather than attempting to develop your > intellect, > your athletic, moral or musical potential. As I argued in > connection with > the Principle of Potential Plentitude discussion, enhanced > potential (in many cases) actually increases autonomy, it > does not reduce > it. You assume that we know how to make positive differences such as these (pretty doubtful), and that everyone values the same things; after all, there are likely to be tradeoffs involved. And you don't consider any of the risks involved in screwing this up. > > 4. State mandated eugenics may compromise the autonomy of individuals > whereas eumemics does not. > > Explanation: This differs from the previous point in that it > allows that > eugenics could be used in a way that does not compromise autonomy, but > worries that the state might use eugenics to compromise > autonomy. Suppose > like some bad sci-fi movie embryos were selected for > aggressive potential so > that the individuals could be made into fearsome soldiers (or > some such > nonsense). Eumemics, on the other hand, does not compromise > the autonomy > of individuals. > > Rebuttal: State mandated eumemics can be used to compromise > the autonomy > of individuals, consider for example indoctrination, > propaganda, etc. The > Nazis too were helpful > in "popularizing" eumemics. If it is the mere potential for abuse that > stops us with eugenics then why do we not disallow all forms > of eumemics > on the same basis? (And let us not under estimate the power > of eumemics to > harm. I have a friend whose father went to a Nazi school for > his education. > His father still celebrates Hitler's birthday every year with > friends over > drinks). > > Cheers, > > Mark > Again; eugenics is optional. Education isn't. Screwing around with your own genes, or anything else about yourself, is well and dandy, I highly support it. Screwing around with someone else's genes, like your kids', when you don't have to, is really dangerous territory. Emlyn From mark at permanentend.org Thu Jan 8 00:14:58 2004 From: mark at permanentend.org (Mark Walker) Date: Wed, 7 Jan 2004 19:14:58 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Eumemics References: <7A2B25F8EB070940996FA543A70A217B0178690E@adlexsv02.protech.com.au> Message-ID: <053201c3d57c$74413f80$2ee4f418@markcomputer> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Emlyn O'regan" > > Education is a special case with humans. We are social creatures, who > function best with a prerequisite long period of education before adulthood. > Some things we need to function properly as Human v1.0 in our current > society come in our genes, the rest requires education. Note that this > education should be defined far more broadly than typical state regulated > education! > > So in the case of eumemics, there is a requirement for education, meaning it > isn't optional. Furthermore, it is to a large part reversible; you can shake > even the crustiest of crusty memes if you try hard enough for long enough. > Optional and necessary for what purpose? Some people are only smart enough to get a McJob and eke out an existence all because of the DNA lottery. (Others of course are smart enough to do other things but choose McJobs). Not everyone is born with the right DNA to pursue excellence in music, knowledge, athletics, etc. I'm not sure I agree with the reversibility claim either. Try to look at a page or a screen and see shapes but not letters and words. It is pretty hard to undo the abcs that you learnt at school. On the other hand, if you are the product of embryo selection and you are provided with the genetic potential for high iq, perfect pitch, and athletic ability there is no reason that you can't let this potential atrophy as you smoke pot and listen to punk music in your parent's basement. Moreover, the main issue it seems to me is the basic asymmetry between the enhanced and the unenhanced. The enhanced can choose most of the life trajectories of the unenhanced, but not vice versa. Which is to say that the enhanced have greater autonomy. (For those who want to explore this claim further see the debate starting here: http://www.transhumanism.org/pipermail/wta-talk/2003-September/000254.html ) . > However, genetic engineering is an entirely different beast. Firstly, I'll > assume that prenatal genetic engineering is being proposed because we assume > the postnatal organism cannot be modified further genetically. One day > (maybe soon) this wont be true, which will render much of the argument for > eugenics, such as it is, irrelevant. However, I'll take this as a given > here. > > So genetic engineering is irreversable, by the previous paragraph. It is > also entirely optional, in a way that memetic upload (education) isn't. > These two qualities (optional, irreversable) should be combined with the > unproven and unknown qualities highlighted by Adrian in his reply to Mark, > to show that modern "eugenics" (parental or state manipulation of the > unborn) is a really poor idea, not comparable to education, and to be > undertaken at the parent/state's extreme peril; after all, you are messing > with a future citizen, who *will* be pissed off if you get it wrong (from > their point of view, not yours). > > My view is that transhumanists just shouldn't venture onto this territory. > Fix really deadly genetic illnesses, but after that you should leave a > person alone until they are old enough to choose for themselves. In about 18 > years from now, it's not too far fetched to assume that adult phenotype > genetic manipulation will a going concern, after all. > The position I am interested in is one that says three things: (1) it is morally permissible for parents to practice eugenics to select or promote traits, (as would happen with genetic engineering or embryo selection). (2) it is not morally permissible for the state to mandate eugenic selection. (3) It is morally permissible for the state to mandate education of the young. As I noted in my original post, the question of consistency doesn't touch hardcore libertarians who deny that it is permissible for the state to mandate education (i.e., (3)). Since you deny (1) you too do need to look for a way to reconcile these 3 claims. I'm guessing that qua transhumanist you are in minority in denying (1). But, hey, you are in the majority--at least in the "West". Cheers, Mark Mark Walker, PhD Research Associate, Philosophy, Trinity College University of Toronto Room 214 Gerald Larkin Building 15 Devonshire Place Toronto M5S 1H8 www.permanentend.org From jcorb at iol.ie Thu Jan 8 00:59:17 2004 From: jcorb at iol.ie (J Corbally) Date: Thu, 08 Jan 2004 00:59:17 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] NEWS: Virtual cash exchange goes live Message-ID: <5.0.2.1.1.20040108004503.0330f530@pop.iol.ie> An item that appears to have made the small news, but may be a small step to bigger news in the future; >Virtual cash exchange goes live http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/technology/3368633.stm >Online games now have their own foreign exchange that lets players buy and >sell different virtual currencies just like in the real world. >The Gaming Open Market allows players who control characters in games such >as Star Wars Galaxies, The Sims Online and Ultima, to buy and sell the >currencies used in the different game worlds. >Players can convert cash reserves in one game into a different currency in >another world or sell their virtual money for US dollars. >The market now has 29 characters in six different games that act as >virtual bank managers in the separate worlds. The website is http://www.gamingopenmarket.com/ I was thinking; given a monetary system, would it be possible to implement a form of Robin Hanson's Terrorism Futures concept into this? Instead of Al Qaeda attacks and such, players would put their money on which player/guild will be the next to suffer a surprise attack for example. If it was workable, it could potentially be proof-of-concept without the emotional outbursts that doomed the original. Now, if it becomes possible to turn virtual money into *realworld* money on an ongoing basis....(outside of Ebay). Or should that be "when". James... From wingcat at pacbell.net Thu Jan 8 01:01:03 2004 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Wed, 7 Jan 2004 17:01:03 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] NEWS: Virtual cash exchange goes live In-Reply-To: <5.0.2.1.1.20040108004503.0330f530@pop.iol.ie> Message-ID: <20040108010103.14096.qmail@web80402.mail.yahoo.com> --- J Corbally wrote: > Now, if it becomes possible to turn virtual money > into *realworld* money on > an ongoing basis....(outside of Ebay). > > Or should that be "when". It's a nice theory. In the past, the game managers have tended to frown on people turning any real profit from the games. These guys may have a chance if they approach the game owners on a business-to-business level; they certainly present themselves as an honest-to-goodness currency exchange, and thus legally a "financial institution". If they fail to do so, I see no reason to expect they will not simply be banned like their predecessors, and trading (for them) halted on all currencies within a year. From wingcat at pacbell.net Thu Jan 8 01:06:22 2004 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Wed, 7 Jan 2004 17:06:22 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] DNA ?= Destiny In-Reply-To: <053201c3d57c$74413f80$2ee4f418@markcomputer> Message-ID: <20040108010622.455.qmail@web80409.mail.yahoo.com> --- Mark Walker wrote: > Not everyone is born with the right DNA to pursue > excellence in music, > knowledge, athletics, etc. >From where comes this belief, taken as fact? From my own (admiteddly anecdotal) experiences, it seems that environment has more to do with potential than genetics in almost all cases. (Barring biochemical defects that tend to leave one unable to function normally in society at all.) Genes give probabilistic influences, not absolute barriers; a non-genius at birth might have a harder time earning a Ph.D., but with the right education and training (much of which can be self-obtained and self-directed these days, thanks to the Web), anything that is humanly possible, is possible for a human. From jose_cordeiro at yahoo.com Thu Jan 8 01:24:00 2004 From: jose_cordeiro at yahoo.com (Jose Cordeiro) Date: Wed, 7 Jan 2004 17:24:00 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Becoming human (and posthuman:-) Message-ID: <20040108012400.66755.qmail@web41312.mail.yahoo.com> Check this fascinating link based on documentary by paleoanthropologist Donald Johanson ("discoverer" of Lucy:-) http://www.becominghuman.org/ Transhumanistically yours, La vie est belle! Yos? (www.cordeiro.org) Caracas, Venezuela, Americas, TerraNostra --------------------------------- Do you Yahoo!? Yahoo! Hotjobs: Enter the "Signing Bonus" Sweepstakes -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From jose_cordeiro at yahoo.com Thu Jan 8 02:08:48 2004 From: jose_cordeiro at yahoo.com (Jose Cordeiro) Date: Wed, 7 Jan 2004 18:08:48 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] WTA NEWS January 7, 2004 Message-ID: <20040108020848.39733.qmail@web41306.mail.yahoo.com> Dear Extropian friends, I am reforwarding this WTA NEWS since there is information about the coming Extropy Institute Vital Progress Summit:-) Extropianilly yours, La vie est belle! Yos? (www.cordeiro.org) Caracas, Venezuela, Americas, TerraNostra --------------------------------- Do you Yahoo!? Yahoo! Hotjobs: Enter the "Signing Bonus" Sweepstakes -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: -------------- next part -------------- An embedded message was scrubbed... From: "Hughes, James" Subject: [wta-ann] WTA NEWS January 7, 2004 Date: Wed, 7 Jan 2004 14:10:01 -0500 Size: 26455 URL: From reason at exratio.com Thu Jan 8 02:45:00 2004 From: reason at exratio.com (Reason) Date: Wed, 7 Jan 2004 18:45:00 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] NEWS: Virtual cash exchange goes live In-Reply-To: <20040108010103.14096.qmail@web80402.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: > -----Original Message----- > From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org > [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org]On Behalf Of Adrian Tymes > --- J Corbally wrote: > > Now, if it becomes possible to turn virtual money > > into *realworld* money on > > an ongoing basis....(outside of Ebay). > > > > Or should that be "when". > > It's a nice theory. In the past, the game managers > have tended to frown on people turning any real profit > from the games. These guys may have a chance if they > approach the game owners on a business-to-business > level; they certainly present themselves as an > honest-to-goodness currency exchange, and thus legally > a "financial institution". If they fail to do so, I > see no reason to expect they will not simply be banned > like their predecessors, and trading (for them) halted > on all currencies within a year. This is a rapidly evolving field, with 20+ new multi-million dollar launches every year. Things are changing fast, and the game owners and game creation community are well aware of these economic matters. The owners of Second Life gave copyright of user-created objects (which is pretty much everything in the game) to their users just a month ago or so - so anyone with the right talent could make a living as a Second Life designer if the game becomes large enough. I give it no more than two years for a successful game to exist that is fully integrated into the US or South Korean real world economic systems. Then it gets interesting. If you look at Castranova's latest paper, you'll see that many of my last-year predictions of tax competition for real world nations and other goodies from virtual worlds are now echoed by economists in the know. http://www.gamestudies.org/0302/castronova/ Reason http://www.exratio.com From oregan.emlyn at healthsolve.com.au Thu Jan 8 02:30:12 2004 From: oregan.emlyn at healthsolve.com.au (Emlyn O'regan) Date: Thu, 8 Jan 2004 13:00:12 +1030 Subject: [extropy-chat] Eumemics Message-ID: <7A2B25F8EB070940996FA543A70A217B01786910@adlexsv02.protech.com.au> > -----Original Message----- > From: Mark Walker [mailto:mark at permanentend.org] > Sent: Thursday, 8 January 2004 9:45 AM > Optional and necessary for what purpose? Some people are only > smart enough > to get a McJob and eke out an existence all because of the > DNA lottery. > (Others of course are smart enough to do other things but > choose McJobs). > Not everyone is born with the right DNA to pursue excellence in music, > knowledge, athletics, etc. Well, trivially, you have to be able to read in order to participate in western society in any kind of first-class way. Writing is also extremely useful! More, you need socialisation, which I'd lump under education, and I think which you'd call eumemetics. Without it, you're wolf boy. Check out this site on feral children: http://www.feralchildren.com/en/children.php?tp=0 I think that to conflate this kind of thing (lack of socialization) with lack of genetic engineering is disingenuous. Socialization (education!) is necessary, genetic engineering is optional. > I'm not sure I agree with the > reversibility claim > either. Try to look at a page or a screen and see shapes but > not letters and > words. It is pretty hard to undo the abcs that you learnt at > school. There might be a case for separating things like speech and literacy (skills?) from knowledge. I'm not sure. > On the > other hand, if you are the product of embryo selection and > you are provided > with the genetic potential for high iq, perfect pitch, and > athletic ability > there is no reason that you can't let this potential atrophy > as you smoke > pot and listen to punk music in your parent's basement. It is a huge "if" to even say that you can do this at all, genetically. You will be selecting for a particular genetic pattern, which may or may not epiphenomenally result in the traits you describe. I think you couldn't be anything but uncertain of the effectiveness of such selection without a few generations of the selected to test. And it's my contention that by the time you get there, we'll have stronger technologies for enhancement which can be used solely by consenting adults. So the generations in between are non-consenting guinea pigs in an ultimately pointless experiment. > Moreover, the main > issue it seems to me is the basic asymmetry between the > enhanced and the > unenhanced. The enhanced can choose most of the life > trajectories of the > unenhanced, but not vice versa. Which is to say that the enhanced have > greater autonomy. (For those who want to explore this claim > further see the > debate starting here: > http://www.transhumanism.org/pipermail/wta-talk/2003-September > /000254.html ) > . I totally agree. I only object to the method of enhancement, which I claim is untestable (in a reasonable timeframe), of dubious value, probably risky, and involves irrevocable action on those who cannot give their consent. If you were talking about adults modifying themselves, I would fully support your argument. > > > > However, genetic engineering is an entirely different > beast. Firstly, I'll > > assume that prenatal genetic engineering is being proposed > because we > assume > > the postnatal organism cannot be modified further > genetically. One day > > (maybe soon) this wont be true, which will render much of > the argument for > > eugenics, such as it is, irrelevant. However, I'll take > this as a given > > here. > > > > So genetic engineering is irreversable, by the previous > paragraph. It is > > also entirely optional, in a way that memetic upload > (education) isn't. > > These two qualities (optional, irreversable) should be > combined with the > > unproven and unknown qualities highlighted by Adrian in his > reply to Mark, > > to show that modern "eugenics" (parental or state > manipulation of the > > unborn) is a really poor idea, not comparable to education, > and to be > > undertaken at the parent/state's extreme peril; after all, > you are messing > > with a future citizen, who *will* be pissed off if you get > it wrong (from > > their point of view, not yours). > > > > My view is that transhumanists just shouldn't venture onto > this territory. > > Fix really deadly genetic illnesses, but after that you > should leave a > > person alone until they are old enough to choose for > themselves. In about > 18 > > years from now, it's not too far fetched to assume that > adult phenotype > > genetic manipulation will a going concern, after all. > > > > The position I am interested in is one that says three > things: (1) it is > morally permissible for parents to practice eugenics to > select or promote > traits, (as would happen with genetic engineering or embryo > selection). (2) > it is not morally permissible for the state to mandate > eugenic selection. > (3) It is morally permissible for the state to mandate > education of the > young. As I noted in my original post, the question of > consistency doesn't > touch hardcore libertarians who deny that it is permissible > for the state to > mandate education (i.e., (3)). Since you deny (1) you too do > need to look > for a way to reconcile these 3 claims. My position is that I don't think it's morally permissable for the parents or the state to play with the genetics of offspring, except where there is a clear and present danger to the offspring from not doing so (eg: cf?). I think you are clear on that. On point 3, I think it is necessary for some minimal education to be given to children, and personally I lean toward a solid education for all children. How that is enforced (ie: does it come back to armed men enforcing the rules), I'm hazy on. Probably at some minimal level it should be state enforced. But the details of that education, within basic guidelines, should be up to parents probably. But that's all only imo, and I can't really back it up with much, or be very specific. I contend, however, that it's unrelated to the first to points, given what I've said previously about genetic and memetic interference being entirely different beasts. > I'm guessing that qua > transhumanist > you are in minority in denying (1). But, hey, you are in the > majority--at > least in the "West". Ouch, you don't pull your punches, do you? :-) I probably am in the majority, but accidentally, and mostly for different reasons I think. Oddly enough, the most common reason I see expressed for not allowing genetic manipulation of children is jealousy, or a fear of inequality, which I find weird. Make no mistake, the entirety of my concern is about untried, unprovable technology with dubious benefits and very real risks, and lack of ability for the individual to give consent. Emlyn > > Cheers, > > Mark > > Mark Walker, PhD > Research Associate, Philosophy, Trinity College > University of Toronto > Room 214 Gerald Larkin Building > 15 Devonshire Place > Toronto > M5S 1H8 > www.permanentend.org > > > > > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From bradbury at aeiveos.com Thu Jan 8 03:35:31 2004 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Wed, 7 Jan 2004 19:35:31 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Eumemics In-Reply-To: <7A2B25F8EB070940996FA543A70A217B01786910@adlexsv02.protech.com.au> Message-ID: Rather than do a point by point, I'll simply offer some impressions on comments by Emlyn and Mark. First, with regard to Emlyn disliking parents doing anything other than fixing diseases in potential offspring until some type of agreement can be found with respect to generally accepted modifications that are known to work. The problem with this is that 18 years in our environment is a very long time. One runs the risk that if one waits too long to enhance oneself one may be too late. (For example consider Robin's paper on uploads coming first.) In this situation *not* enhancing ones children may be considered a form of "child abuse". I.e. one has not sufficiently prepared ones children to survive in the environment that is likely to exist when they are able to make informed decisions. Second, the adding or removal of genetic characteristics will be relatively easy in 15-20 years. There are very clear methods now to augment genomes and probably even replace defective genes. They aren't well developed or generally available at this time however. But I don't think arguments should be premised on this because it is rapidly shifting ground. Third, much of the learning and development of an individual meme set probably takes place before the ages of 12-13 -- this is when one starts to lose the ability to learn languages easily (i.e. brain plasticity starts to decline). Once this meme set/learning is in place it is *much* harder to modify. (It probably requires robust nanotechnology at the level of uploading/downloading.) So by not making the choices early on you may be setting individuals on paths that are not easily changed. This could be considered a problem with Greg Stock's perspective of allowing one to enhance an individual with potential genetic modifications but only activating them when the person is qualified to make a judgement about whether or not they want them. By the time they make that choice it may be too late. With respect to Eumemics one has the problem that a potential set of memes that may be useful for one generation may be either benefit or harm survival chances for another generation. So one can look at public education as helping survival probabilities (public education vs. extremely conservative and narrow minded religious groups) or harming survival probabilities (public education in the face of extremely rapid societal changes -- politics works slowly...). Even in the case of private education there is no assurance that it will be optimal. As a parent I would tend to seek out teachers (my generation) that tend to teach my perspective. It would be difficult to seek out teachers to teach things (e.g. how to juggle currency futures in a role-playing game environment) that are alien to me but which may be essential to the survival of my child. Robert From nanowave at shaw.ca Thu Jan 8 05:30:21 2004 From: nanowave at shaw.ca (Russell Evermore) Date: Wed, 07 Jan 2004 21:30:21 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality (terminology) References: <002901c3d313$ead28390$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> <244b01c3d316$db187420$2ee4f418@markcomputer> <014f01c3d31a$59da6040$bd994a43@texas.net> <270401c3d391$13cf7eb0$2ee4f418@markcomputer> <008d01c3d3c8$389ae0e0$8c994a43@texas.net> <3FF9CB34.6030902@imminst.org> Message-ID: <005d01c3d5a8$82c9ef80$d3a44418@du.shawcable.net> Well I see some work has been done to promote "Emortal" as the meme de jour, but I'd still like to submit for your late consideration one other possibility: - drum roll - "Permasentient" As far as I can google, permasentient appears to be of my own coinage. Permasentient, unlike immortality, nicely encompasses the tranhumanist ideal of uploading, which as you know, involves not so much the continuation of LIFE per se (in the sense that typical humans would appreciate and value it) but the continuation of SENTIENCE in a way that many if not most transhumanists surely would. Permasentient or permasentience handily sidestepps the *implied promise of success* that so heavily burdens word like 'immortality' due to centuries of faith-based 'religio-afterlife' association and usage. Permasentient cheerfully resists becoming just another 'ism.' Not so 'Emortal.' Permasentient brings to mind other words like: permanent press, permaculture, and permafrost. We've all grown accustomed to 'permanent' things not really being permanent in the literal sense of forever and ever and ever and ever ... Permafrost reminds me of cryonics ever since I read an interesting piece Ben Best wrote several years back exploring burial-in-permafrost as a viable poor man's alternative to cryonics (a view he's since moved away from as I understand). Anyhow. Meesa back! Russell Evermore nanowave at shaw.ca > Till Noever has composed four articles for > ImmInst concerning 'Emortalism' > > Emortalism 101 - Introduction > http://imminst.org/forum/index.php?act=ST&f=67&t=1752&s= > > Emortalism 102 - Meaning, Context, Identity, Sex and Other Curiosities > http://imminst.org/forum/index.php?s=&act=ST&f=67&t=1764&hl=noever > > Emortalism 103 - Scenarios > http://www.imminst.org/forum/index.php?s=&act=ST&f=67&t=1811 > > Emortalism 104 - Emortalist Ethics > http://imminst.org/forum/index.php?s=&act=ST&f=66&t=1928 > > Bruce Klein > Chairman, ImmInst.org > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From aperick at centurytel.net Thu Jan 8 06:17:18 2004 From: aperick at centurytel.net (rick) Date: Wed, 7 Jan 2004 22:17:18 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Eumemics now eugenics In-Reply-To: <200401072315.i07NFWE12354@tick.javien.com> Message-ID: <000001c3d5af$12875d00$0200a8c0@soy0450mhz> Where did so may of you get the idea that eugenics was anything other than the careful attention to biological parentage? Eugenics is selective breeding: dog breeders would be dog eugenicists if they were only concerned with selecting for objectively progressive (super-dog) traits. For us, this would mean objectively deciding* if our own mix of inheritable traits are among the very best available and, if not, getting ourselves "fixed." If we are deemed (by us, or by ones we trust) to be prime breeding stock our only eugenic task is to arrange to combine our gametes with other high grade gametes. There may be many reasons that any government would tend to f__k this up, but today we just need one very good one: the current mental qualities of current governmental leaders fits that bill nicely. So, apart from the most private of actions, practicing eugenicists of our day have virtually no opportunities to act in support of what we reason is a good thing. If we had money to burn I suppose we could produce TV commercials containing gentle suggestions in a spirit of kindness: "The more you know" :-D e.g., "dear friend, are you wicked ugly? And not the sharpest tool in the shed? Perhaps you should consider forgoing the experience of procreation -- for the love of God!" LOL * by this I clearly mean only that one makes an informed and sincere attempt at objectivity. But seriously; how would I as a below average and defective unit, who should have known that these traits were inheritable, look my teenage offspring in the eye and claim that I truly love them and have always wanted nothing but the best for them? Might they not one day regret not having had the opportunity to select for themselves different parents? "gee thanks mom and dad for making me, my life really kinda sucks, and any fool could have seen the probability of THAT coming -- given the clearly observable phenotypes of you two." Wow, I may have stumbled on what could be the only case of true and pure altruism per my tight little definition*: when one's only reason for forgoing procreation is out of concern for one's offspring there is not much chance of any kind of payback for that "gift". Except that you will know that you did the right thing. But it is only the net/sum effect that counts when categorizing an act as having no selfish motives -- the presumed pain of going childless could certainly out-weigh the "I did the right thing" consolation. Conclusion: the fantasy of altruism is made real only when the beneficiary is not. * my (possibly rare) interpretation of dictionary entries. How many think I need "sick puppy" in my signature/tagline? ------------------------------------------------------------------- Rick Woolley, Closet nudist*, Certified Scientist Type, Confirmed Atheist, radical thinker, notorious fuck-up, and self-proclaimed singular authority on the abysmal depths of human stupidity that only we few lack. * Part time comedian and recovering idealist ... now show me yours :) http://home.centurytel.net/rickw aperick at centurytel.net From mlorrey at yahoo.com Thu Jan 8 07:28:26 2004 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Wed, 7 Jan 2004 23:28:26 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] ASTRO: Black holes no more... Message-ID: <20040108072826.70897.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> So, every time a supernova rings, a universe gets its wings.... If a singularity event horizon is merely a boundary to another universe (whether you can git theyah frum heyah is another question), then hyperspace drives require the ability for occupants of a black hole to puncture that boundary, travel around the outside of the hole, then reenter at another point. No sweat. +--------------------------------------------------------------------+ | Black Holes No More -- Introducing the Gravastar | | from the yet-another-cosmic-theory dept. | [0]Mark Eymer observes: "From the Space.com [1]article: 'Emil Mottola of the Los Alamos National Laboratory and Pawel Mazur of the University of South Carolina suggest that instead of a star collapsing into a pinpoint of space with virtually infinite gravity, its matter is transformed into a spherical void surrounded by "an extremely durable form of matter never before experienced on Earth."' While these objects may abound in the universe, they also say that our entire universe may reside within a giant gravastar." This new theory attempts to fill holes in the currently accepted concept of the "black hole". Discuss this story at: http://slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=04/01/07/1515210 Links: 0. mailto:eymerm at cableone.net 1. http://www.space.com/scienceastronomy/astronomy/gravastars_020423.html ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Yahoo! Hotjobs: Enter the "Signing Bonus" Sweepstakes http://hotjobs.sweepstakes.yahoo.com/signingbonus From oregan.emlyn at healthsolve.com.au Thu Jan 8 08:14:59 2004 From: oregan.emlyn at healthsolve.com.au (Emlyn O'regan) Date: Thu, 8 Jan 2004 18:44:59 +1030 Subject: [extropy-chat] Eumemics Message-ID: <7A2B25F8EB070940996FA543A70A217B01786913@adlexsv02.protech.com.au> > -----Original Message----- > From: Robert J. Bradbury [mailto:bradbury at aeiveos.com] > Sent: Thursday, 8 January 2004 1:06 PM > To: ExI chat list > Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] Eumemics > > > > Rather than do a point by point, I'll simply offer some > impressions on comments by Emlyn and Mark. I'll reply point by point :-) > > First, with regard to Emlyn disliking parents doing anything > other than fixing diseases in potential offspring until some > type of agreement can be found with respect to generally > accepted modifications that are known to work. The problem > with this is that 18 years in our environment is a very > long time. One runs the risk that if one waits too long > to enhance oneself one may be too late. (For example > consider Robin's paper on uploads coming first.) In > this situation *not* enhancing ones children may be > considered a form of "child abuse". I.e. one has not > sufficiently prepared ones children to survive in the > environment that is likely to exist when they are able > to make informed decisions. That's only true if you have solid provable enhancements ready to go, which we don't. I still think that by the time we've got such enhancements (given the necessarily long timescales they require to develop), we'll be able to fix the adult phenotype, and probably more easily, which will more than compensate for any lack of genetic muddling. I think Adrian said he was more for cybernetics than genetic mods. I'd say I agree, and also lean toward gene therapy for adults (although I realise this hasn't the same potential as pre-natal gene modification), and don't forget nano-medicine. In fact, your comment about long timescales disproves your own thesis. By the time we have a first generation of seriously gene-modded kids grown to adults, don't you think the self-modification options available to the adult will be way more efficient, effective, and timely than early generation genetic bumbling? It's like a bunch of STL colony slowboats heading off to alpha-centauri, only to find it a well and truly settled advanced colony system of Earth, with startrek federation-style starships with warpdrives which can do the journey in half an hour, the first of which arrived hundreds of years before. I just think that genetic modification of embryos is going to take a while to become even theoretically useful, and will be obsolete before it can ever become advantageous. This makes the risks really rather foolhardy. > Second, the adding or removal of genetic characteristics > will be relatively easy in 15-20 years. There are very > clear methods now to augment genomes and probably even > replace defective genes. They aren't well developed > or generally available at this time however. But I > don't think arguments should be premised on this because > it is rapidly shifting ground. But what precisely are you going to add/modify/delete? That we have the tech to do it doesn't tell us what to do. > > Third, much of the learning and development of an > individual meme set probably takes place before the > ages of 12-13 -- this is when one starts to lose the > ability to learn languages easily (i.e. brain plasticity > starts to decline). Once this meme set/learning is > in place it is *much* harder to modify. (It probably > requires robust nanotechnology at the level of > uploading/downloading.) Much of that stuff is still easier to modify than gene mods, which are for all practical purposes irreversable (ie: by the time they are reversable, you don't need gene mods any more). Also, remember that with learning, we *must* do it. We will learn *something* in our developmental phases (even if only to be wolf/dog/monkey boy), so this is not optional. Genetic modification is *entirely* optional, OTOH. > So by not making the choices > early on you may be setting individuals on paths that > are not easily changed. This could be considered a > problem with Greg Stock's perspective of allowing one > to enhance an individual with potential genetic > modifications but only activating them when the > person is qualified to make a judgement about whether > or not they want them. By the time they make that > choice it may be too late. That's very true; he limits the individual's options to what can be effective after the age of consent, as would some kind of wholesale gene therapy, missing out on developmental stages. btw, it seems to me that such a set of optional genes is pretty damned tough to make work; I'd probably opt to upload instead, and just do a bit of auto-debug in the virtual world. I think the time frames for both techs might be similar (especially considering the 18 year lag on optional gene use). > > With respect to Eumemics one has the problem that a > potential set of memes that may be useful for one > generation may be either benefit or harm survival > chances for another generation. So one can look at > public education as helping survival probabilities > (public education vs. extremely conservative and narrow > minded religious groups) or harming survival probabilities > (public education in the face of extremely rapid societal > changes -- politics works slowly...). Can you ever see a case for not teaching the three 'R's? Excepting the case where we dispense with literacy/numeracy for some whamo highbandwidth mindlink, you always need these things. I'm arguing that there is at least a minimum level of education required that includes learning these skills, which is non-optional unless you are hell bent on turning out Wolf-boys. Out civilisation requires some minimum skill set which is not heritable, and increasingly it will require a well honed ability to learn. > Even in the case of private education there is no > assurance that it will be optimal. As a parent I would > tend to seek out teachers (my generation) that tend to > teach my perspective. It would be difficult to seek out > teachers to teach things (e.g. how to juggle currency futures > in a role-playing game environment) that are alien to me > but which may be essential to the survival of my child. > > Robert You really can't teach everything they need for adulthood anymore; you have to retreat somewhat to the meta level. More and more you need to lean toward teaching kids open ended learning tools. How to find stuff out (research), how to criticise/evaluate/analyse, how to do rational thinking, how to do creative/lateral thinking, etc, how to be humble so you can absorb knowledge, how to be bloody minded when you are sure you are right and others are wrong, how to put it all together and use different thinking tools as appropriate (de Bono seems pretty good on this). That's my opinion, anyway. Emlyn From oregan.emlyn at healthsolve.com.au Thu Jan 8 08:18:44 2004 From: oregan.emlyn at healthsolve.com.au (Emlyn O'regan) Date: Thu, 8 Jan 2004 18:48:44 +1030 Subject: [extropy-chat] genes don't matter Message-ID: <7A2B25F8EB070940996FA543A70A217B01786914@adlexsv02.protech.com.au> btw, do people realise that genes really don't matter much any more? As long as you get the minimal set so that you aren't severely disadvantaged, we're in memespace nowadays. Where the raw material doesn't cut it, we can go for hard tech. Genes matter if you are a bug or e. coli, but for us they are a red herring. Forget the damned genes, they made themselves irrelevant as soon as they discovered intelligence. Emlyn From mbb386 at main.nc.us Thu Jan 8 13:44:17 2004 From: mbb386 at main.nc.us (MB) Date: Thu, 8 Jan 2004 08:44:17 -0500 (Eastern Standard Time) Subject: [extropy-chat] Eumemics now eugenics In-Reply-To: <000001c3d5af$12875d00$0200a8c0@soy0450mhz> References: <000001c3d5af$12875d00$0200a8c0@soy0450mhz> Message-ID: I've often thought that animal breeders are practicing eugenics. So are plant breeders. And we do ourselves, when we try to select proper mates. (I don't know about you, but there were people I dated in school who I did NOT ever consider for marriage, and having kids is part of that picture.) It's government involvement that disturbs me most. IIUC there are a number of people who refrain from breeding because they carry inheritable genetic problems. Although I don't know any of these folk myself, it's not a conversation you might have with just anyone either, so perhaps I *do* know folks like that but am unaware of it? I know I've had the discussion with friends that if I had a severely retarded/damaged child I'd perhaps want the child sterilized because 1) parenthood would be just too much for the child to cope with, and 2) if it was an inheritable problem. I've not had much disagreement there, either. Since I've not been faced with that situation, I do not *know* what I would do... but we did limit ourselves to two children as we did not have the resources (there are many kinds necessary) to care properly for more. Regards, MB On Wed, 7 Jan 2004, rick wrote: > Where did so may of you get the idea that eugenics was anything other > than the careful attention to biological parentage? Eugenics is > selective breeding: dog breeders would be dog eugenicists if they were > only concerned with selecting for objectively progressive (super-dog) > traits. For us, this would mean objectively deciding* if our own mix of > inheritable traits are among the very best available and, if not, > getting ourselves "fixed." If we are deemed (by us, or by ones we trust) > to be prime breeding stock our only eugenic task is to arrange to > combine our gametes with other high grade gametes. There may be many > reasons that any government would tend to f__k this up, but today we > just need one very good one: the current mental qualities of current > governmental leaders fits that bill nicely. So, apart from the most > private of actions, practicing eugenicists of our day have virtually no > opportunities to act in support of what we reason is a good thing. From bradbury at aeiveos.com Thu Jan 8 15:29:44 2004 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Thu, 8 Jan 2004 07:29:44 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] BIO: Honeybee genome completed Message-ID: Baylor has completed the Honeybee genome. http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2004/01/040108070413.htm This is of interest because within a few years it may lead to a determination of exactly what biochemical pathways contribute to the longevity of queen bees vs. workers. Some background on the Royal Jelly fed to queen bees... http://www.eurobee.nl/journal2.htm Robert From exi-info at extropy.org Thu Jan 8 15:37:09 2004 From: exi-info at extropy.org (Extropy Institute) Date: Thu, 8 Jan 2004 10:37:09 -0500 (EST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Extropy Institute Announces the Vital Progress Summit I (VP1) Message-ID: <1610158607.1073575784584.JavaMail.wasadmin@ui2> Extropy Institute Announces the upcoming 2004 Summit VITAL PROGRESS ("VP") (01.07.04) ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Greetings! Recent and accelerating scientific advances may have you excited about extropic goals of extended life, heightened intelligence, and so on. But hold on! The forces of reaction are surging and we need to respond now. Extropy Institute is well into the planning process for the upcoming Vital Progress Summit, set for February 2004. In this newsletter, we explain why this Summit is needed so urgently, how it will work, what we aim to accomplish, and who we expect to participate. The Summit is ExI's proactive response to three disturbing pivotal developments: Beyond Therapy - the report of the US President's Council on Bioethics headed by arch- bioconservative and neophobe Leon Kass (and including avowed anti-posthuman Francis Fukuyama); The New Atlantis publication - a high-powered rallying point for the neo-Luddites; and the Precautionary Principle - a idea being adopted by a diverse array of interest groups devoted to blocking the fundamental technological advances crucial to our survival and to our extropic goals of overcoming human limits. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ In this issue: ExI VITAL PROGRESS ("VP") Summit scheduled for February, 2004; and Welcome to Honorary Advisor -Prof. Tom W. Bell ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ * Killer Quotes! * The Surging Threat to Extropic Advance * About the "VP" Summit * ExI Welcomes its Honorary Advisor Killer Quotes! ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ "The finitude of human life is a blessing for every individual, whether he knows it or not." And: "The immortals cannot be noble." -- Leon Kass, chairman of the President's Council on Bioethics "The worst possible way to resolve [the question of life extension] is to leave it up to individual choice. There is no known social good coming from the conquest of death." - Daniel Callahan "The whole effort to defeat death, it seems to me, is a kind of striving that speaks of a kind of serious lack of a certain kind of moral perspective. - Francis Fukuyama "The pursuit of perfect bodies and further life extension will deflect us from realizing more fully the aspirations to which our lives naturally point, from living well rather than merely staying alive." - Leon Kass in The Washington Post The Surging Threat to Extropic Advance ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Throughout history the forces of advancement have struggled against the reactionary forces of stasis. Europe suffered a thousand years of zero progress during the Dark Ages. The Renaissance and Enlightenment finally broke through that grim era. We transhumanists are the heirs to the Enlightenment values of perpetual progress for humanity based in science and creativity. Recent years have seen numerous developments that are showing the culture at large the realism of our extropic goals of extended healthy life, enhanced intelligence, refined emotions, and the ever-extending ability to take control of our form and fate. But now we face an unprecedented convergence of groups intent on using direct action and global legislation to halt humanity's progress. One of the most remarkable and worrying developments is the presidential-level bioethics council. This council, led by Leon Kass (once an opponent of in vitro fertilization) has published a report, Beyond Therapy that takes very seriously issues at the core of our extropic values and goals. From the preface to the report: "In keeping with our mission, we have undertaken an inquiry into the potential implications of using biotechnology "beyond therapy," in order to try to satisfy deep and familiar human desires: for better children, superior performance, ageless bodies, and happy souls. Such uses of biotechnology, some of which are now possible and some of which may become possible in the future, are likely to present us with profound and highly consequential ethical challenges and choices. They may play a crucial role in shaping human experience in the fast-approaching age of biotechnology." Backing Kass's council of intellectual clones, marching to the same anti-transhumanist, anti-biotech beat, are other numerous and organized voices. Their favored watering hole - the forum that gathers and disseminates their vitality-sapping fulminations of fear and faith is The New Atlantis. Appropriately named after the Platonic fantasy of a perfect unchanging society now lost to the world, this publication aims to shape "the nation's moral and political understanding of all areas of technology" in a way deadly to extropic ideals and aspirations. Many other groups are getting in on the act through the vehicle of the sensible-sounding Precautionary Principle. This principle cripples technological progress by requiring every technological innovation to clear the impossible hurdle of absolutely proving total safety. It unites extreme environmentalists, anti-capitalists, scare-mongers, biological fundamentalists, enemies of modern civilization, and Luddites of all stripes. About the "VP" Summit ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ To counter Kass and his Council, The New Atlantis, and the seductive Precautionary Principle, Extropy Institute has initiated a Summit in several phases. The first phase will take place in mid-late February. This collaborative, multi-disciplinary online event will bring together not only all kinds of transhumanists and future- friendly folks, but also advocacy groups such as the Christopher Reeve Paralysis Foundation who need advanced biotech research to fix devastating biological problems. As Reeve has said, "I never thought politics would get in the way of hope." The Vital Progress Summit aims to achieve real, practical results. These will come in stages as the project progresses, but early deliverables expected from the February summit include a pithy response to the Precautionary Principle, a policy and values statement to counter Beyond Therapy, and a comprehensive collection of links to pro-advancement groups, journalists, publications, and educational groups. The Vital Progress Summit fits perfectly with and realizes Extropy Institute's mission. The February Summit will see the start of a continuing effort to build a broad alliance sharing the goal of the continued progress of fundamental knowledge of the human condition and how to modify it for the better. We can counter the bioconservatives by catalyzing the development of a "party of life". You'll find more details of the workings of the Summit in the next update just a week from now. The core of the two-week online event will be a focused blog by invited keynote bloggers. Others will be able to participate in related forums and by commenting on the blog-project work as well as by helping develop associated resources. >> http://www.extropy.org ExI Welcomes its Honorary Advisor ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ExI welcomes Tom Bell as its Honorary Advisor. Tom is a professor of law and a policy analyst, who has written widely about copyright, free speech, gambling, and telecommunications. Tom is also a designer of ideas and, as such, coined the term "extropy" way back in 1988. Tom was co- founder and Vice President of ExI, and remains a valued friend and colleague. ExI continues to be infused by Tom's characteristic enthusiasm, good humor, and probing mind. Welcome back Tom! Prof. Tom W. Bell - Honorary Advisor >> http://www.extropy.org/directors.thm ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Quick Links... ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Join ExI! >> http://www.extropy.org/membership.htm Email lists >> http://www.extropy.org/emaillists Transhumanist FAQ >> http://www.extropy.org/faq.htm Best Business Analysis on the Web! >> http://www.manyworlds.com:// More About Us >> http://www.extropy.org ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ email: exi-info at extropy.org voice: 011.512.263.2749 web: http://www.extropy.org ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Extropy Institute | 10709 Pointe View Drive | Austin | TX | 78738 This email was sent to natasha at natasha.cc, by Extropy Institute. 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URL: From mlorrey at yahoo.com Thu Jan 8 16:51:44 2004 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Thu, 8 Jan 2004 08:51:44 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Extropy Institute Announces the Vital Progress Summit I (VP1) In-Reply-To: <1610158607.1073575784584.JavaMail.wasadmin@ui2> Message-ID: <20040108165144.8166.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> The links direct IE to my yahoo login, not to any ExI login. --- Extropy Institute wrote: > Extropy Institute Announces the upcoming 2004 Summit > VITAL PROGRESS ("VP") (01.07.04) > ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ > > Greetings! > > Recent and accelerating scientific advances may have > you excited about extropic goals of extended life, > heightened intelligence, and so on. But hold on! The > forces of reaction are surging and we need to respond > now. Extropy Institute is well into the planning process > for the upcoming Vital Progress Summit, set for > February 2004. In this newsletter, we explain why this > Summit is needed so urgently, how it will work, what > we aim to accomplish, and who we expect to > participate. > > The Summit is ExI's proactive response to three > disturbing pivotal developments: Beyond > Therapy - the > report of > the US President's Council on Bioethics headed by arch- > bioconservative and neophobe Leon Kass (and including > avowed anti-posthuman Francis Fukuyama); The > New > Atlantis publication - a high-powered rallying point > for > the neo-Luddites; and the Precautionary > Principle - a > idea being adopted by a diverse array of interest > groups devoted to blocking the fundamental > technological advances crucial to our survival and to > our extropic goals of overcoming human limits. > > ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ > In this issue: ExI VITAL PROGRESS ("VP") Summit scheduled for > February, 2004; and Welcome to Honorary Advisor -Prof. Tom W. Bell > ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ > * Killer Quotes! > * The Surging Threat to Extropic Advance > * About the "VP" Summit > > * ExI Welcomes its Honorary Advisor > > > Killer Quotes! > ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ > "The finitude of human life is a blessing for every > individual, whether he knows it or not." And: "The > immortals cannot be noble." -- Leon Kass, chairman of > the President's Council on Bioethics > > "The worst possible way to resolve [the question of life > extension] is to leave it up to individual choice. There is > no known social good coming from the conquest of > death." - Daniel Callahan > > "The whole effort to defeat death, it seems to me, is a > kind of striving that speaks of a kind of serious lack of a > certain kind of moral perspective. - Francis Fukuyama > > "The pursuit of perfect bodies and further life extension > will deflect us from realizing more fully the aspirations > to which our lives naturally point, from living well rather > than merely staying alive." - Leon Kass in The > Washington Post > > > > The Surging Threat to Extropic Advance > ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ > Throughout history the forces of advancement have > struggled against the reactionary forces of stasis. > Europe suffered a thousand years of zero progress > during the Dark Ages. The Renaissance and > Enlightenment finally broke through that grim era. We > transhumanists are the heirs to the Enlightenment > values of perpetual progress for humanity based in > science and creativity. Recent years have seen > numerous developments that are showing the culture at > large the realism of our extropic goals of extended > healthy life, enhanced intelligence, refined emotions, > and the ever-extending ability to take control of our > form and fate. But now we face an unprecedented > convergence of groups intent on using direct action > and global legislation to halt humanity's progress. > > One of the most remarkable and worrying developments > is the presidential-level bioethics council. This council, > led by Leon Kass (once an opponent of in vitro > fertilization) has published a report, Beyond > Therapy > that takes very seriously issues at the core of our > extropic values and goals. From the preface to the > report: > > "In keeping with our mission, we have undertaken an > inquiry into the potential implications of using > biotechnology "beyond therapy," in order to try to > satisfy deep and familiar human desires: for better > children, superior performance, ageless bodies, and > happy souls. Such uses of biotechnology, some of > which are now possible and some of which may become > possible in the future, are likely to present us with > profound and highly consequential ethical challenges > and choices. They may play a crucial role in shaping > human experience in the fast-approaching age of > biotechnology." > > Backing Kass's council of intellectual clones, > marching to the same anti-transhumanist, anti-biotech > beat, are other numerous and organized voices. Their > favored watering hole - the forum that gathers and > disseminates their vitality-sapping fulminations of fear > and faith is The New Atlantis. Appropriately > named > after the Platonic fantasy of a perfect unchanging > society now lost to the world, this publication aims to > shape "the nation's moral and political understanding of > all areas of technology" in a way deadly to extropic > ideals and aspirations. Many other groups are getting in > on the act through the vehicle of the sensible-sounding > Precautionary Principle. This principle cripples > technological progress by requiring every technological > innovation to clear the impossible hurdle of > absolutely proving total safety. It unites extreme > environmentalists, anti-capitalists, scare-mongers, > biological fundamentalists, enemies of modern > civilization, and Luddites of all stripes. > > > > About the "VP" Summit > ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ > To counter Kass and his Council, The New > Atlantis, and > the seductive Precautionary Principle, Extropy Institute > has initiated a Summit in several phases. The first > phase will take place in mid-late February. This > collaborative, multi-disciplinary online event will > bring > together not only all kinds of transhumanists and future- > friendly folks, but also advocacy groups such as the > Christopher Reeve Paralysis Foundation who need > advanced biotech research to fix devastating biological > problems. As Reeve has said, "I never thought politics > would get in the way of hope." > > The Vital Progress Summit aims to achieve real, > practical results. These will come in stages as the > project progresses, but early deliverables expected > from the February summit include a pithy response to > the Precautionary Principle, a policy and values > statement to counter Beyond Therapy, and a > comprehensive collection of links to pro-advancement > groups, journalists, publications, and educational groups. > > The Vital Progress Summit fits perfectly with and > realizes Extropy Institute's mission. The February > Summit will see the start of a continuing effort to build > a broad alliance sharing the goal of the continued > progress of fundamental knowledge of the human > condition and how to modify it for the better. We can > counter the bioconservatives by catalyzing the > development of a "party of life". > > You'll find more details of the workings of the Summit in > the next update just a week from now. The > core of the > two-week online event will be a focused blog > by invited > keynote bloggers. Others will be able to participate in > related forums and by commenting on the blog-project > work as well as by helping develop associated > resources. > > >> http://www.extropy.org > > > > > > ExI Welcomes its Honorary Advisor > ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ > ExI welcomes Tom Bell as its Honorary > Advisor. > Tom is a professor of law and a policy analyst, > who has written widely about copyright, free speech, > gambling, and telecommunications. > > Tom is also a designer of ideas and, as such, coined > the term "extropy" way back in 1988. Tom was co- > founder and Vice President of ExI, and remains a > valued friend and colleague. ExI continues to be > infused by Tom's characteristic enthusiasm, good > humor, and probing mind. > > Welcome back Tom! > > Prof. Tom W. Bell - Honorary Advisor >> > http://www.extropy.org/directors.thm > === message truncated ===> _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Yahoo! Hotjobs: Enter the "Signing Bonus" Sweepstakes http://hotjobs.sweepstakes.yahoo.com/signingbonus From mark at permanentend.org Thu Jan 8 17:29:39 2004 From: mark at permanentend.org (Mark Walker) Date: Thu, 8 Jan 2004 12:29:39 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] DNA ?= Destiny References: <20040108010622.455.qmail@web80409.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <074801c3d60c$ff7364d0$2ee4f418@markcomputer> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Adrian Tymes" > --- Mark Walker wrote: > > Not everyone is born with the right DNA to pursue > > excellence in music, > > knowledge, athletics, etc. > > >From where comes this belief, taken as fact? From my > own (admiteddly anecdotal) experiences, it seems that > environment has more to do with potential than > genetics in almost all cases. (Barring biochemical > defects that tend to leave one unable to function > normally in society at all.) Genes give probabilistic > influences, not absolute barriers; a non-genius at > birth might have a harder time earning a Ph.D., but > with the right education and training (much of which > can be self-obtained and self-directed these days, > thanks to the Web), anything that is humanly possible, > is possible for a human. > _ For the contrary opinion see: Plomin R., et al. Behavioral Genetics, 4th edition. New York, Freeman, 2001. Molecular Genetics and the Human Personality, edited by J. Benjamin et al. 2002 American Pscychriatic Publishing, 293-314. Cheers, Mark Mark Walker, PhD Research Associate, Philosophy, Trinity College University of Toronto Room 214 Gerald Larkin Building 15 Devonshire Place Toronto M5S 1H8 www.permanentend.org From bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk Thu Jan 8 17:32:16 2004 From: bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk (BillK) Date: Thu, 08 Jan 2004 17:32:16 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Extropy Institute Announces the Vital Progress Summit I (VP1) Message-ID: <3FFD9420.8050204@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> On Thu Jan 08, 2004 09:51 am Mike Lorrey wrote: > The links direct IE to my yahoo login, not to any ExI login. On Mozilla the links mostly work OK, but two links give a 404 Not Found error. namely: and The Update and Unsubscribe links at the foot of the message appear to permit anyone to update and unsubscribe natasha. Danger Will Robinson!! BillK From mark at permanentend.org Thu Jan 8 18:00:16 2004 From: mark at permanentend.org (Mark Walker) Date: Thu, 8 Jan 2004 13:00:16 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Eumemics References: <7A2B25F8EB070940996FA543A70A217B01786910@adlexsv02.protech.com.au> Message-ID: <077201c3d611$460b2730$2ee4f418@markcomputer> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Emlyn O'regan" > > I'm guessing that qua > > transhumanist > > you are in minority in denying (1). But, hey, you are in the > > majority--at > > least in the "West". > > Ouch, you don't pull your punches, do you? :-) I probably am in the > majority, but accidentally, and mostly for different reasons I think. Oddly > enough, the most common reason I see expressed for not allowing genetic > manipulation of children is jealousy, or a fear of inequality, which I find > weird. Make no mistake, the entirety of my concern is about untried, > unprovable technology with dubious benefits and very real risks, and lack of > ability for the individual to give consent. > The sorts of concerns you raise are quite common, at least in my experience in lecturing and teaching this stuff. However, just because you are in the majority it does not necessarily mean you are wrong. : ) Let's put aside cases of genetic engineering of children and concentrate on simple embryo selection. Here there is no genetic engineering, simply choosing which fetus to implant. The individual here cannot complain post facto that they were manipulated in any way, only that they were chosen. They might have been born in any event, by selecting them we have simply "rigged the lottery". This seems to resolves to just the usual complaint of being born at all, as the song goes: "were not my mother's womb my grave". Now take IQ. There is a lot of evidence that this has a strong genetic component to it. (See for example, Plomin R., et al. Behavioral Genetics, 4th edition. New York, Freeman, 2001, or "Are We Hardwired?" for a slightly more popular account). For example, estimates of the IQ correlation between identical twins adopted and reared apart are in the 50 to 80% range. The correlation between the IQ of adopted children and their parents is pretty close to zero. Here we have a case where the technology of selecting embryos has already established, the consent issue doesn't seem germane, and the benefit is the potential for increased knowledge. Isn't a primary purpose of education to increase knowledge? If so then what is the principled difference between embryo selection for the potential for increased knowledge and attempting to educate the young so that their knowledge increases? Cheers, Mark Mark Walker, PhD Research Associate, Philosophy, Trinity College University of Toronto Room 214 Gerald Larkin Building 15 Devonshire Place Toronto M5S 1H8 www.permanentend.org From natashavita at earthlink.net Thu Jan 8 18:26:00 2004 From: natashavita at earthlink.net (natashavita at earthlink.net) Date: Thu, 8 Jan 2004 13:26:00 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Extropy Institute Announces the Vital ProgressSummit I (VP1) Message-ID: <2920-2200414818260602@M2W052.mail2web.com> Original Message: ----------------- From: BillK bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk On Mozilla the links mostly work OK, but two links give a 404 Not Found error. namely: and *Yes, I saw this. I'll fix it in the software. The Update and Unsubscribe links at the foot of the message appear to permit anyone to update and unsubscribe natasha. *Hummm. I'm not sure why this is. I better call the software designer! :-) -------------------------------------------------------------------- mail2web - Check your email from the web at http://mail2web.com/ . From jonkc at att.net Thu Jan 8 18:49:45 2004 From: jonkc at att.net (John K Clark) Date: Thu, 8 Jan 2004 13:49:45 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] DNA ?= Destiny References: <20040108010622.455.qmail@web80409.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <00f301c3d618$46f50dd0$3cff4d0c@hal2001> "Adrian Tymes" Wrote: >From my own (admiteddly anecdotal) experiences, >it seems that environment has more to do with potential >than genetics in almost all cases. The IQ of identical twins raised separately is much more similar than the IQ of fraternal twins raised separately, the variation is almost the same as twins who stayed with their biological parents. In both cases the correlation between the intelligence of the adoptive parents and the children they care for is lousy, the correlation with the biological parents is much better. This would seem to work against your theory. John K Clark jonkc at att.net From wingcat at pacbell.net Thu Jan 8 20:14:18 2004 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Thu, 8 Jan 2004 12:14:18 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] DNA ?= Destiny In-Reply-To: <00f301c3d618$46f50dd0$3cff4d0c@hal2001> Message-ID: <20040108201418.55598.qmail@web80402.mail.yahoo.com> --- John K Clark wrote: > The IQ of identical twins raised separately is much > more similar than the IQ > of fraternal twins raised separately, the variation > is almost the same as > twins who stayed with their biological parents. In > both cases the > correlation between the intelligence of the adoptive > parents and the > children they care for is lousy, the correlation > with the biological parents > is much better. > > This would seem to work against your theory. What of the arguments that genetic and environmental influences tend to be correlated? I.e., that the same types of experiences tend to happen to the same gene sets? Although, I suppose that would defeat the theory in most cases too: if what happens to you tends to be destined, then how you're born is how you're born...unless, of course, you take action to change that, which almost no one does. From wingcat at pacbell.net Thu Jan 8 20:22:04 2004 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Thu, 8 Jan 2004 12:22:04 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Eumemics In-Reply-To: <077201c3d611$460b2730$2ee4f418@markcomputer> Message-ID: <20040108202204.33011.qmail@web80407.mail.yahoo.com> --- Mark Walker wrote: > Here we have a case where the > technology of selecting embryos > has already established, Slight incorrectness. Selecting embryos itself, yes, that technology is here. But how to know which embryo has the genes for intelligence? That said, this could be a real issue in the very near term. All that's missing is a good, publically available map of genes to approximate IQ, which doesn't seem that hard to create. A group dedicated to the necessary studies could possibly publish a fairly reliable one (with a disclaimer that it only covers the genetic component of IQ, which is not 100% of IQ - partly as a cover in case one of the resulting children decides to destroy their own potential) within two or three years. It would have to be a private group, since no current scientifically trustworthy government could get away with such an effort politically, but the resources required do not seem to exceed several million dollars. But the map isn't available yet, so this selection could not be done with confidence today in most cases. From oregan.emlyn at healthsolve.com.au Thu Jan 8 23:03:00 2004 From: oregan.emlyn at healthsolve.com.au (Emlyn O'regan) Date: Fri, 9 Jan 2004 09:33:00 +1030 Subject: [extropy-chat] Eumemics Message-ID: <7A2B25F8EB070940996FA543A70A217B01786916@adlexsv02.protech.com.au> Mark Walker wrote: > The sorts of concerns you raise are quite common, at least in > my experience > in lecturing and teaching this stuff. However, just because > you are in the > majority it does not necessarily mean you are wrong. : ) > Let's put aside > cases of genetic engineering of children and concentrate on > simple embryo > selection. Here there is no genetic engineering, simply > choosing which fetus > to implant. The individual here cannot complain post facto > that they were > manipulated in any way, only that they were chosen. They > might have been > born in any event, by selecting them we have simply "rigged > the lottery". > This seems to resolves to just the usual complaint of being > born at all, as > the song goes: "were not my mother's womb my grave". > Now take IQ. There is a lot of evidence that this has a strong genetic > component to it. (See for example, Plomin R., et al. > Behavioral Genetics, > 4th edition. New York, Freeman, 2001, or "Are We Hardwired?" > for a slightly > more popular account). For example, estimates of the IQ > correlation between > identical twins adopted and reared apart are in the 50 to 80% > range. The > correlation between the IQ of adopted children and their > parents is pretty > close to zero. Here we have a case where the technology of > selecting embryos > has already established, the consent issue doesn't seem > germane, and the > benefit is the potential for increased knowledge. Isn't a > primary purpose of > education to increase knowledge? If so then what is the principled > difference between embryo selection for the potential for increased > knowledge and attempting to educate the young so that their knowledge > increases? > > Cheers, > > Mark > > Mark Walker, PhD > Research Associate, Philosophy, Trinity College > University of Toronto > Room 214 Gerald Larkin Building > 15 Devonshire Place > Toronto > M5S 1H8 > www.permanentend.org > Embryo selection I can probably support; there's nothing risky involved, just a choice that could have occured anyway. Yes, that's a strong argument (thanks!). Because in the case of embryo selection, it's like education; it *must* happen (default is close enough to random), so morally you are fairly free to choose. However, like education, the choice of how needs to fall back on those primarily responsible for the child, ie: the parents, and not on the state. I wonder if I need to back this statement up? Probably. Emlyn From paulgrant999 at hotmail.com Thu Jan 8 23:48:29 2004 From: paulgrant999 at hotmail.com (Paul Grant) Date: Thu, 8 Jan 2004 15:48:29 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <000201c3d642$49784430$5a01a8c0@SIGMA7PG> I've already hit that point and I'm only 27. The sheer amount of time spent in the pursuit of work in the U.S. is ridiculous. Hell, the Egyptians had it easier than us building the pyramids :) I'ld much rather see a healthier schedule (4 days work, 3 days play)... Its a pity that the germans have succumbed to this stupid mentality that you have to put in more hours at work to be competitive. Besides, where do you draw the line, why not work 20 hours a day? You'll be that much more competitive. I sometimes think I'm the only that really despises a 40 hour work week. Everybody else just looks at me like I'm crazy :) omard-out PS> you've hit the nail on the head; the only break you get is 65+; at 65+ your health is starting to go. so why not try working on improving you and your fellows health... -----Original Message----- From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of MB Sent: Wednesday, December 03, 2003 6:55 AM To: ExI chat list Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Boredom in old age Yes, there is a flavor of youthful enthusiasm here, but it is not intentional (on my part). What I was trying to point out is that one spends 25+ years "working" (often on someone else's projects) and not playing. And finally, if one is blessed with decent health, one can try playing. I gave an example of my brother, and he's in his mid 70s. My other brother is pushing 80. He does ice skating, model building, studying German (he always wanted to learn the language after he was there in WW2), reading, website building for friends - and travel. He sleeps a lot, and my sister in law says she thinks he may have been without sufficient sleep all his working life. But he is busy and AFAIK happy. The work he does now is not what he did in his job, but he still has connections there. I myself am only hitting this wall now, and I do wonder "what's the point?" I don't feel very good, aches and pains. I'm not as strong as I was, and I need more support system. :( It's most irritating. But there are new things out there. I've built a website for a non-profit a friend of mine suggested, I do a bit of database work for a former boss, I help some older less able friends to get around, and I've taken up Shaped Note Singing. I also have become interested in snakes and I roller skate with friends. And I have more time (which is a darn good thing, as I have less strength!) for my garden. This is mostly new stuff for me, as I simply didn't have time when I was working and raising my family. However.... I admit, I'm not at all sure I'd want to look at another 100 or so years of it. My health isn't what I'd desire. That said, I think the *real* problem is elsewhere. It is within my mind. My brothers have more internal drive than I do, they are ... smarter. They've always been that way. None of us watch TV (except my oldest brother watches the iceskating). I'd rather sleep! :))) I still think there's more neat stuff for me out there, I just haven't found it yet. That's one reason I (usually) lurk on this list. It's interesting. And full of new stuff. And my email was meant to be an encouragement. Regards, MB ps. There's also a sort of mid-life thing that some men go through - having spent all their energies on "the job". Perhaps this is part of the original poster's trouble? On Wed, 3 Dec 2003, BillK wrote: > On Tue Dec 02, 2003 05:07 pm Adrian Tymes wrote: > > There's always more to learn and do, although one > > might become tired of it and start justifying that everything out > > there is all the same. > > > On Tue Dec 02, 2003 09:11 pm MB wrote: > > There's stuff out there. You can find it. It may not be what you > > expect. It may be sort of out of your field, but nothing wrong with > > that. > > > These sentiments strike me as having the flavor of youthful > enthusiasm. When you are younger, everything is new and exciting, you > are healthy and fit and full of energy and you want to 'go boldly > beyond the frontiers'. > _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From paulgrant999 at hotmail.com Thu Jan 8 23:51:40 2004 From: paulgrant999 at hotmail.com (Paul Grant) Date: Thu, 8 Jan 2004 15:51:40 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] libertarian fervor In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <000301c3d642$b7bf50a0$5a01a8c0@SIGMA7PG> Stupid, mundane, short-sighted, ignorant greedy people in power taxing me at 50% effective to prohibit me from doing any of the things I like and forcing me to do things the stupid way. I've had it up to here with both parties, I've voting libby from here until my grave; and wherever possible, cheat the system (a sliding countermeasure) until the libbys get in power. omard-out PS> I wouldn't talk to these leaches in RL if god himself came down and told me to :) -----Original Message----- From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of MB Sent: Wednesday, December 03, 2003 7:26 PM To: extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org Subject: [extropy-chat] libertarian fervor --- "R.Coyote" wrote: > "Would others speak to where their libertarian fervor came from?" Discovering that so many things I liked or wanted to do were either taxed, prohibited, or regulated. That came as quite a shock to me as I was growing up. Regards, MB _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From paulgrant999 at hotmail.com Thu Jan 8 23:41:48 2004 From: paulgrant999 at hotmail.com (Paul Grant) Date: Thu, 8 Jan 2004 15:41:48 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] ASTRO: Black holes no more... In-Reply-To: <20040108072826.70897.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <000101c3d641$577bdf20$5a01a8c0@SIGMA7PG> Actually I had a similar thought about a week ago... {apparently this was released last year, interesting things are afoot}.. I'm firmly convinced that gravity is the key to everything :) In fact, I'm going to make it my primary focus in studying physics. That and waveguides (which might come in very handy in studying gravity) :) But in any event, I would think that the defining boundary must in and of itself be non-traversible. Incidentally, a warp drive would negate the need to puncture that boundary. :) omard-out -----Original Message----- From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of Mike Lorrey Sent: Wednesday, January 07, 2004 11:28 PM To: extropy-chat at extropy.org Subject: [extropy-chat] ASTRO: Black holes no more... So, every time a supernova rings, a universe gets its wings.... If a singularity event horizon is merely a boundary to another universe (whether you can git theyah frum heyah is another question), then hyperspace drives require the ability for occupants of a black hole to puncture that boundary, travel around the outside of the hole, then reenter at another point. No sweat. +--------------------------------------------------------------------+ | Black Holes No More -- Introducing the Gravastar | | from the yet-another-cosmic-theory dept. | [0]Mark Eymer observes: "From the Space.com [1]article: 'Emil Mottola of the Los Alamos National Laboratory and Pawel Mazur of the University of South Carolina suggest that instead of a star collapsing into a pinpoint of space with virtually infinite gravity, its matter is transformed into a spherical void surrounded by "an extremely durable form of matter never before experienced on Earth."' While these objects may abound in the universe, they also say that our entire universe may reside within a giant gravastar." This new theory attempts to fill holes in the currently accepted concept of the "black hole". Discuss this story at: http://slashdot.org/comments.pl?sid=04/01/07/1515210 Links: 0. mailto:eymerm at cableone.net 1. http://www.space.com/scienceastronomy/astronomy/gravastars_020423.html ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Yahoo! Hotjobs: Enter the "Signing Bonus" Sweepstakes http://hotjobs.sweepstakes.yahoo.com/signingbonus _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From paulgrant999 at hotmail.com Fri Jan 9 00:12:15 2004 From: paulgrant999 at hotmail.com (Paul Grant) Date: Thu, 8 Jan 2004 16:12:15 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] More good stuff from Michael Crichton In-Reply-To: <5.1.0.14.2.20040105080609.03941420@mail.earthlink.net> Message-ID: <000001c3d645$42c06b60$5a01a8c0@SIGMA7PG> I just read an interesting paper about weather prediction; not in the sense of what will happen tomorrow, but statistically, what percentage of x can u expect. Its based off of chaos theory, primarily examining what portions of weather systems were scale independent. It was interesting/thought provoking. Not sure if I believe it (at this point). But does indicate an interesting line of thought. omard-out -----Original Message----- From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of Max More Sent: Monday, January 05, 2004 7:24 AM To: Extropy Chat Subject: [extropy-chat] More good stuff from Michael Crichton Aliens Cause Global Warming A lecture by Michael Crichton Caltech Michelin Lecture January 17, 2003 http://www.crichton-official.com/speeches/speeches_quote04.html >When did "skeptic" become a dirty word in science? When did a skeptic >require quotation marks around it? > >To an outsider, the most significant innovation in the global warming >controversy is the overt reliance that is being placed on models. Back in >the days of nuclear winter, computer models were invoked to add weight to >a conclusion: "These results are derived with the help of a computer >model." But now large-scale computer models are seen as generating data in >themselves. No longer are models judged by how well they reproduce data >from the real world-increasingly, models provide the data. As if they were >themselves a reality. And indeed they are, when we are projecting forward. >There can be no observational data about the year 2100. There are only >model runs. > >This fascination with computer models is something I understand very >well. >Richard Feynmann called it a disease. I fear he is right. Because only if >you spend a lot of time looking at a computer screen can you arrive at the >complex point where the global warming debate now stands. > >Nobody believes a weather prediction twelve hours ahead. Now we're >asked >to believe a prediction that goes out 100 years into the future? And make >financial investments based on that prediction? Has everybody lost their >minds? _______________________________________________________ Max More, Ph.D. max at maxmore.com or more at extropy.org http://www.maxmore.com Strategic Philosopher Chairman, Extropy Institute. http://www.extropy.org _______________________________________________________ _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From paulgrant999 at hotmail.com Fri Jan 9 00:21:14 2004 From: paulgrant999 at hotmail.com (Paul Grant) Date: Thu, 8 Jan 2004 16:21:14 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: [wta-talk] Libertarianism and the Autistic Spectrum (fwd from fehlinger@un.org) In-Reply-To: <3FBCA014.2060101@mxm.dk> Message-ID: <000101c3d646$dbfbe880$5a01a8c0@SIGMA7PG> Actually, being a person of some severe* psychological abnormalities, I'll play a card that is a favorite of mine when dealing with people who I term "skittish"; the DSM-IV requires that the person who has the disorder consider it a disorder (causitive of problems in need of resolution) for it to be classified as a disorder. Now, knowing that, and starting with his assumption that everyone is Narcissitic Personality Disorder, would anyone here say that they have personality tendencies that are severely interfering with their lives and hence, require treatment? That of course, would be the direct implication of his "prognosis". And having said, one can thus deduce he doesn't know what the fuck he his talking about, since I do not see any questions to group members of the form I just posed. If he were smart, he could of course, make the statement that he is observing narcistic tendencies (and get away with that)/ omard-out *I am weird. No doubt about it. Confirmed from multiple external sources. I am a very open person, so I don't bother hiding my abnormalities in the slightest. I don't see a point to continually trying to iceskate uphill. -----Original Message----- From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of Max M Sent: Thursday, November 20, 2003 3:06 AM To: wta-talk at transhumanism.org Cc: extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: [wta-talk] Libertarianism and the Autistic Spectrum (fwd from fehlinger at un.org) Eugen Leitl wrote: > I discovered stuff on the Web that convinced me > that a lot of folks in the Extropian/transhumanist community exhibit > many of the characteristics of Narcissistic Personality Disorder (as > described in DSM-IV) > However, it now seems to me that some of this atmosphere > (and my perception of the atmosphere remains the same -- a smug, > self-satisfied lack of empathy with people who don't share their > particular hobby-horse -- and for that matter, a frequent lack of > empathy with each other!) may be due to a concentration among this > group (as with folks in SF fandom, the Trekkie world, the Role-Playing > Game world, computer programmers, mathematicians, and science/ > engineering types in general) of a sub-clinical "shadow syndrome" > of autism. Not quite Asperger's Syndrome, even, > just a mild echo of it. Yeah right And less than 5% of the worlds population are pshycologists and they have a very similar psychological profile. So they they are outside the normal distribution, and thus sick. That's a stupid argument ... and so is his. But naturally it is easier to dismiss people if if you can label them with a mental disorder. Personally I am glad, however, to belong to the diseased group of people who created the majority of the worlds wealth and health. regards Max M Rasmussen, Denmark _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From paulgrant999 at hotmail.com Fri Jan 9 00:25:33 2004 From: paulgrant999 at hotmail.com (Paul Grant) Date: Thu, 8 Jan 2004 16:25:33 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: [wta-talk] Libertarianism and the AutisticSpectrum (fwd from fehlinger@un.org) In-Reply-To: <3FBCB626.7070405@mail.tele.dk> Message-ID: <000201c3d647$702f5c80$5a01a8c0@SIGMA7PG> >They also believe that they are right and everybody else is wrong." The first part is self fulfilling. Any group that wants to change the status quo consists of "fringe" people. Prove that everyone else does not follow the identical pattern; I, to date, have not found anyone who does not think what they are doing is right, and everybody else is wrong... Anecdotal, but I like to study people in detail :) I would have sniffed it out :) There is of course, the standard proviso that I might yet mean someone who thinks they are wrong, and everybody else is right... but I find it unlikely at this stage in the game. >We would most likely appear a lot more reasonable to a lot of people if we could show single reasonable cases in todays society with a >H solution/attitude. Bleh, get the cure for cancer, refuse to administer it to anyone who objects :) Problem solved :) omard-out regards Max M Rasmussen, Denmark _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From paulgrant999 at hotmail.com Fri Jan 9 00:28:01 2004 From: paulgrant999 at hotmail.com (Paul Grant) Date: Thu, 8 Jan 2004 16:28:01 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] The end of work, the leisure society, and automation In-Reply-To: <3FDD5EE7.60807@mail.tele.dk> Message-ID: <000301c3d647$736ab160$5a01a8c0@SIGMA7PG> Possibly because you need more stuff to use your leisure time productively :) omard-out -----Original Message----- From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of Max M Sent: Sunday, December 14, 2003 11:13 PM To: ExI chat list Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] The end of work, the leisure society, and automation Colin Magee wrote: > I am interested in the concept of a leisure society and > was wondering if anyone knew of any major thinkers,researchers,or think > tanks exploring this concept and the cultural,economic,psychological,and > political ramifications of this idea. It was all the rage among futurologists in the 70-80's. But it turned out that people didn't want to use their higher income for more leisure time. Rather they wanted more stuff. So they kept working regards Max M Rasmussen, Denmark _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From paulgrant999 at hotmail.com Fri Jan 9 00:30:37 2004 From: paulgrant999 at hotmail.com (Paul Grant) Date: Thu, 8 Jan 2004 16:30:37 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already In-Reply-To: <000001c3caeb$9a163da0$6701a8c0@GREYBOOK> Message-ID: <000401c3d648$28132ac0$5a01a8c0@SIGMA7PG> -----Original Message----- From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of Matus Sent: Thursday, December 25, 2003 5:33 AM To: 'ExI chat list' Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already > Charlie Stross said: > I'd like to add to that: war seems to me to be about as anti-extropic > as you can get. The triumph of brute force over enlightenment, > destruction, death and despair on a massive scale. An excuse for the > enemies of freedom on every side to chip away at civil rights. The > ascendency of dehumanization is the *opposite* of transhumanism. I would like to disagree with that. War is neither intrinsically extropic nor anti-extropic. If one of the parties at war is less extropic, and it wins, then war is anti-extropic. - careful their kimo sabe, thats a dangerous line your walking; put another way, if you will grant me, a small society that is "extropic".. which by definition, leads a less "extropic" society comprised of the majority. So when does the bloody revolution start, comrade? :) Direct consequence of your statements, you understand. As u can see, I have to agree with Charlie :) Michael _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From paulgrant999 at hotmail.com Fri Jan 9 00:34:07 2004 From: paulgrant999 at hotmail.com (Paul Grant) Date: Thu, 8 Jan 2004 16:34:07 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] ILE: life just got a little more complicated In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <000501c3d648$a1421dc0$5a01a8c0@SIGMA7PG> I've spent a lot of time thinking about this. You don't need an island. You need a boat. Yup, thats right, a boat. According to maritime law, you are under the laws of the registering nation when you are at sea (and protection, ostensibly). So pick a country that hasn't passed any laws against whatever you want, get a citizen from there, have him register a boat in his name, and float the boat 15 miles off any coast you like. There is also some interesting case law regarding the formation of nation-states :) omard-out -----Original Message----- From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of kevinfreels at hotmail.com Sent: Wednesday, November 05, 2003 1:26 PM To: reason at exratio.com; ExI chat list Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] ILE: life just got a little more complicated Can we get together and buy an island to do all this research on? ----- Original Message ----- From: "Reason" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Wednesday, November 05, 2003 12:40 AM Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] ILE: life just got a little more complicated > > > > -----Original Message----- > > From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org > > [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org]On Behalf Of Robert > > J. > Bradbury > > > Terminology: > > ILE: Indefinite Lifespan Extension -- preferable to "IMMORTALITY" > > because IMMORTALITY can take too many hits based on the physics of > > the universe. (Protons decaying, expansion accelerating, black > > holes consuming everything else, yada yada yada...). > > > > Ok, now one of the serious questions that people should > > be concerned with with respect to ILE is precisely *how* > > do I get my cake. For those of us on the upside end of > > 40, or perhaps 30, cryonics enters into the equation. > > > > *But* as some of us know cryonics becomes pretty *iffy* > > if the legal authorities stick their fingers into the works. (Cases > > in point range from the current situation regarding the Martinot's > > in France to the case of Dora Kent in the past.) > > I think I would go so far as to say that the entirety of the "cake or > not" question revolves around government interference. My take is that > we're probably 30 years away from the start of aging as a chronic but > controlled condition, *IF* there are clear skies and freedom for > fundraising, activism, > education and research. There are no show-stopping hurdles beyond a > lot of work and a lot of money - exactly the same thing that could > have been said about cancer 30 years ago. > > This time could easily double if politicians and anti-progress forces really > dig in and fight seriously to halt medical progress towards > ILE...which they > show all the signs of doing. Already, scientific progress in > regenerative medicine is far behind where it could have been. > > Reason > http://www.exratio.com > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From paulgrant999 at hotmail.com Fri Jan 9 00:36:32 2004 From: paulgrant999 at hotmail.com (Paul Grant) Date: Thu, 8 Jan 2004 16:36:32 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: garage nanotech In-Reply-To: <14a.26e36763.2ceae155@aol.com> Message-ID: <000601c3d648$a5291bf0$5a01a8c0@SIGMA7PG> First, bradbury, what are you talking about? Second, alex, out of curiousity, what were you working on that distracted you from the STM. Incidentally, you wouldn't happen to be out in Cali, would you? omard-out -----Original Message----- From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of ABlainey at aol.com Sent: Monday, November 17, 2003 6:44 PM To: extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Re: garage nanotech In a message dated 18/11/2003 00:29:48 GMT Daylight Time, bradbury at blarg.net writes: It may be useful for Dan to point out to his daughter that if someone does pull off tool tip replacement and alternative assembly chemistries for STMs that they are probably on the short list for a Nobel Prize (and probably would have a very *very* large set of royalty income streams from the patents.) What is the problem with the tool tip replacement? Is it just the problem of the tip wearing down and having to be constantly replaced and shaped? or is the problem more complex? I toyed with the idea of a home-brew STM not that long ago. I built a piezo scanning head in a few hours and then became distracted by a more interesting project. I have thought about continuing the STM construction and had a few ideas about tool and scanning head refinements. Maybe this thread is just the incentive I need to get the project off the shelf. Alex -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From paulgrant999 at hotmail.com Fri Jan 9 00:38:32 2004 From: paulgrant999 at hotmail.com (Paul Grant) Date: Thu, 8 Jan 2004 16:38:32 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Risks of Smart Drugs In-Reply-To: <56BC65EB2F3963489057F7D978B5E7B74661@amazemail2.amazeent.com> Message-ID: <000b01c3d649$40160f10$5a01a8c0@SIGMA7PG> Can't say anything about smart drugs; however, I do have a personal observation regarding grape juice. I find, if I have been concentrating for a great deal of time (making lots of complex decisions for a number of hours), that I deplete something... and when I drink grape juice (for which I develop a most unusual hankering), i get a mental boost. Just an FYI, in case you were interested (or anyone on the list for that matter). -----Original Message----- From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of Acy James Stapp Sent: Tuesday, November 25, 2003 1:22 PM To: ExI chat list Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] Risks of Smart Drugs Vinpocetine is the only OTC nootropic that gives me any noticeable effect. Subjectively, it seems like the world goes by just a tiny bit slower, and I feel a bit more on top of things. Unfortunately I am unaware of any quick tests to determine the efficacy of nootropics. This effect seemed to fade over a couple of days though. Who knows whether I was adapting to the subjective effect (and still receiving an objective effect, if any) or whether I was adapting to the objective effect and it was losing it's efficacy. Acy -----Original Message----- From: R.Coyote [mailto:etheric at comcast.net] I've also had noticeably positive effects from vinpocetine. http://www.nootropics.com/vinpocetine/index.html _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From paulgrant999 at hotmail.com Fri Jan 9 01:05:41 2004 From: paulgrant999 at hotmail.com (Paul Grant) Date: Thu, 8 Jan 2004 17:05:41 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Words of wisdom and humor In-Reply-To: <5.1.0.14.2.20031029075440.01926240@mail.earthlink.net> Message-ID: <000001c3d64d$19b935a0$5a01a8c0@SIGMA7PG> Man that Voltaire was such a card :) I've got candide queued for reading, just read the introduction, and he seemed like a fairly cool guy. I read it in highschool, but I can't remember a thing about it except that I liked it alot. Swift too :) ------------- I've included some quotes from my homepage circa 1995. I have many more saved, but I'm afraid I haven't integrated them yet. -- You're out of luck, can't find a copy. ah well. omard-out -----Original Message----- From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of Max More Sent: Wednesday, October 29, 2003 6:05 AM To: Extropy Chat Subject: [extropy-chat] Words of wisdom and humor Rather than hoarding all the quotes I've gathered, I thought I'd share some of them here. A mix of wisdom, humor, and both at once: "The best proof of intelligent life in space is that it hasn't come here." - Sir Arthur C. Clarke Sexual abstinence is harmless when practiced in moderation. "The future is usually like the past right up to the moment when it isn't." George F. Will, Newsweek, 10.27.03 "I can calculate the motions of the heavenly bodies, but not the madness of people." Isaac Newton, after losing his savings in the South Sea Bubble of 1720. "Life is a process of evolution and anyone who thinks the current world order is OK does not get what evolution is all about." Leroy Hood Bill McKibben "It is clear that these revolutionary technologies are being driven by people with immortality, or something very near it, on their minds." "The only one who likes change is a wet baby." Unknown "There's a seeker born every minute." Robert Anton Wilson "To invent, you need a good imagination and a pile of junk" Thomas Edison "No one may have the guts to say this, but if we could make better human beings by knowing how to add genes, why shouldn't we?" Dr. James Watson, Nobel Laureate, Co-Discoverer with Francis Crick of the Structure of DNA, and Founding Director of the NIH Human Genome Project. "It seems to me that the civilized human being is a skeptic someone who believes nothing at face value." Robert McKee, Harvard Business Review, June 2003, in "Storytelling That Moves People". "Humankind does not live by bread alone but also by catchphrases." From "Real Work" by Abraham Zaleznik, HBR Nov/Dec 1997 "I am a man of fixed and unbending principles, the first of which is to be flexible at all times." Everett Dirksen, leader of Senate Republicans 1959-1969 "I don't want any 'yes men' in this organization. I want people to speak their minds, even if it does cost them their jobs." Sam Goldwyn "Inside an organization there are only cost centers. The only profit center is a customer whose check has not bounced." Peter F. Drucker, Management Challenges for the 21st Century, p.122, "Information Challenges". "If man were meant to be nude, he would have been born that way." - Oscar Wilde. "I've had a wonderful time, but this wasn't it." - Groucho Marx (1895-1977) "Some cause happiness wherever they go; others, whenever they go." - Oscar Wilde (1854-1900) "God is a comedian playing to an audience too afraid to laugh." - Voltaire (1694-1778) "Never interrupt your enemy when he is making a mistake." - Napoleon Bonaparte (1769-1821) "A witty saying proves nothing." - Voltaire (1694-1778) "If you are going through hell, keep going." - Sir Winston Churchill (1874-1965) "I am not young enough to know everything." - Oscar Wilde (1854-1900) "The covers of this book are too far apart." - Ambrose Bierce (1842-1914) "It is time I stepped aside for a less experienced and less able man." - Professor Scott Elledge on his retirement from Cornell "Anything that is too stupid to be spoken is sung." - Voltaire (1694-1778) "Now, now my good man, this is no time for making enemies." - Voltaire (1694-1778) on his deathbed in response to a priest asking that he renounce Satan. "The nice thing about egotists is that they don't talk about other people." - Lucille S. Harper "Research is what I'm doing when I don't know what I'm doing." - Wernher Von Braun (1912-1977) "I've just learned about his illness. Let's hope it's nothing trivial." - Irvin S. Cobb "If Stupidity got us into this mess, then why can't it get us out?" " - Will Rogers (1879-1935) "His ignorance is encyclopedic" - Abba Eban (1915-) "It is unbecoming for young men to utter maxims." - Aristotle (384-322 B.C.) Onward! Max _______________________________________________________ Max More, Ph.D. max at maxmore.com or more at extropy.org http://www.maxmore.com Strategic Philosopher Chairman, Extropy Institute. http://www.extropy.org _______________________________________________________ _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Fri Jan 9 00:52:18 2004 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (Kevin Freels) Date: Thu, 8 Jan 2004 18:52:18 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] HUMOR Message-ID: I found this online and I thought someone would appreciate it: http://www.somethingawful.com/inserts/articlepics/photoshop/paranormal/Ratsey_shuttle.jpg Kevin -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From mlorrey at yahoo.com Fri Jan 9 01:16:42 2004 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Thu, 8 Jan 2004 17:16:42 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] TEMPEST: You thought your tinfoil hat was enough? In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20040109011642.44794.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&cid=514&e=16&u=/ap/20040108/ap_on_fe_st/foiled_room_4 OLYMPIA, Wash. - What kind of friends coat your apartment ? and nearly everything in it ? with tinfoil while you're away? Here's a hint: One of the only objects that escaped the shiny treatment was a book titled "Cruel Tricks for Dear Friends." Chris Kirk found his downtown Olympia apartment encased in aluminum foil when he returned home Monday night from a trip to Los Angeles. The walls, ceiling, cabinets and everything in between shimmered, after the prank orchestrated by Kirk's longtime friend, Luke Trerice, 26, who was staying in the apartment while Kirk was away. "He's known for large-scale strangeness," Kirk, 33, told The Olympian. "He warned me that he would be able to touch my stuff, but it didn't sound so bad." Trerice, who lives in Las Vegas, and a small group of friends draped the apartment with about 4,000 square feet of aluminum foil, which cost about $100. Not surprisingly, the idea was hatched on New Year's Eve. "It was just a spur of the moment thing," Trerice said. "I really don't even consider it art. I consider it a psychology project. ... He seems to be upbeat, so I consider this a success. " No detail was too small or too time-consuming. The toilet paper was unrolled, wrapped in foil, then rolled back up again. The friends covered Kirk's book and compact disc collections but made sure each CD case could open and shut normally. They even used foil on each coin in Kirk's spare change. And to sweeten the theme, they left silver Hershey's kisses sprinkled throughout the apartment. "The toilet was hard. The molding around the doorways took a very long time," Trerice said. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Yahoo! Hotjobs: Enter the "Signing Bonus" Sweepstakes http://hotjobs.sweepstakes.yahoo.com/signingbonus From bradbury at aeiveos.com Fri Jan 9 01:30:25 2004 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Thu, 8 Jan 2004 17:30:25 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: garage nanotech In-Reply-To: <000601c3d648$a5291bf0$5a01a8c0@SIGMA7PG> Message-ID: On Thu, 8 Jan 2004, Paul Grant wrote: > First, bradbury, what are you talking about? I was generally talking about the difficult of making precise tips for use with STMs or AFMs. There is a bit of difference between a tip that will grasp carbon monoxide securely and precisely and a tip that will grasp adamantane (a 10 carbon molecule (I think) with a diamond like bonding structure). If you only want to add one type of molecule to a structure you never need to change tips. If you do then you probably need a variety of tips to get the job done. View the tips as the wrenches and sockets you need to take apart your car engine. > Second, alex, out of curiousity, what were > you working on that distracted you from the STM. > Incidentally, you wouldn't happen to be out in > Cali, would you? I think Alex is either in MI or TX, I can never keep track of everyone. R. { P.S. Paul -- you are probably over your message limit for the day so you may want to refrain from posting for a day or so. Thanks (taking off the really ugly moderator cap...) } From bradbury at aeiveos.com Fri Jan 9 02:05:20 2004 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Thu, 8 Jan 2004 18:05:20 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Eumemics In-Reply-To: <20040108202204.33011.qmail@web80407.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: On Thu, 8 Jan 2004, Adrian Tymes wrote: > That said, this could be a real issue in the very near term. Yep. > All that's missing is a good, publically > available map of genes to approximate IQ, which > doesn't seem that hard to create. Its harder than you might think if there are many genes (say greater than a dozen) and they have low penetrance (say are responsible for only 5-10% of the trait each). These are the characteristics associated with diabetes and heart disease predispositions and its been rather difficult to produce a complete picture in spite of many people working on it. I suspect Decode, working with the Icelandic dataset or the company that is working with the Estonian (?) dataset may be the first to begin to unravel this because they have the largest number of samples to work with (and don't have the problems a U.S. University would probably run into). > A group dedicated > to the necessary studies could possibly publish a > fairly reliable one (with a disclaimer that it only > covers the genetic component of IQ, which is not 100% > of IQ - partly as a cover in case one of the resulting > children decides to destroy their own potential) > within two or three years. Sooner than you think... :-) [I just love Google...] http://www.hum-molgen.de/bb/Forum9/HTML/000052.html And then there is the work at King's College: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov:80/entrez/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&db=PubMed&list_uids=11838529&dopt=Abstract And even Pennsylvania State University has an IQ project: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov:80/entrez/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&db=PubMed&list_uids=8024528&dopt=Abstract&itool=iconabstr And then of course there is this: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov:80/entrez/query.fcgi?cmd=Retrieve&db=PubMed&list_uids=12556904&dopt=Abstract which finds 4 loci and 3 specific genes they can identify. Related abstracts also report negative findings for association with the dopamine receptor and several other genes. > It would have to be a private group, since no current scientifically > trustworthy government could get away with such an effort politically, > but the resources required do not seem to exceed several million dollars. It would be interesting to research who paid for the studies cited above. One thing is for sure -- people with below average IQs probably cost governments money (extra educational requirements, perhaps a greater possibility for becoming criminals, etc.) [I'm not stating things as facts but as reasonable possibilities.] > But the map isn't available yet, so this selection could not be > done with confidence today in most cases. Well 5+ positive polymorphisms and several negative polymorphisms certainly gives you a start. Robert P.S. I think the Extro list needs a semi-AI filter that runs all "claims" through google to determine whether or not there is resonable data to suggest that you might want to be very careful about the claims... (No offense Adrian... :-)) From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Fri Jan 9 02:30:17 2004 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Thu, 8 Jan 2004 21:30:17 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] TEMPEST: You thought your tinfoil hat was enough? In-Reply-To: <20040109011642.44794.qmail@web12905.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <001401c3d658$890d1d30$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> > > > OLYMPIA, Wash. - What kind of friends coat your apartment - > and nearly everything in it - with tinfoil while you're away? > Here's a hint: One of the only objects that escaped the shiny > treatment was a book titled "Cruel Tricks for Dear Friends." Slow news day? Why is this news? -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From dirk at neopax.com Fri Jan 9 03:17:49 2004 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Fri, 9 Jan 2004 03:17:49 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] ILE: life just got a little more complicated References: <000501c3d648$a1421dc0$5a01a8c0@SIGMA7PG> Message-ID: <007b01c3d65f$29053470$62256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Paul Grant" To: "'ExI chat list'" Sent: Friday, January 09, 2004 12:34 AM Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] ILE: life just got a little more complicated > I've spent a lot of time thinking about this. > You don't need an island. You need a boat. > Yup, thats right, a boat. According to maritime > law, you are under the laws of the registering nation > when you are at sea (and protection, ostensibly). > So pick a country that hasn't passed any laws against > whatever you want, get a citizen from there, have him > register a boat in his name, and float the boat 15 miles > off any coast you like. > > There is also some interesting case law regarding the formation > of nation-states :) http://www.sealandgov.com/ Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From matus at matus1976.com Fri Jan 9 06:03:13 2004 From: matus at matus1976.com (Matus) Date: Fri, 9 Jan 2004 01:03:13 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already In-Reply-To: <000401c3d648$28132ac0$5a01a8c0@SIGMA7PG> Message-ID: <000001c3d676$44fe0910$6701a8c0@GREYBOOK> > -----Original Message----- > From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org [mailto:extropy-chat- > bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of Paul Grant > > Charlie Stross said: > > > I'd like to add to that: war seems to me to be about as anti-extropic > > as you can get. The triumph of brute force over enlightenment, > > destruction, death and despair on a massive scale. An excuse for the > > enemies of freedom on every side to chip away at civil rights. The > > ascendency of dehumanization is the *opposite* of transhumanism. > > I would like to disagree with that. War is neither intrinsically > extropic nor anti-extropic. If one of the parties at war is less > extropic, and it wins, then war is anti-extropic. > > - careful their kimo sabe, thats a dangerous line your walking; > put another way, if you will grant me, a small society that is > "extropic".. which by definition, leads a less "extropic" society > comprised of the majority. So when does the bloody revolution start, > comrade? :) Direct consequence of your statements, you understand. > > As u can see, I have to agree with Charlie :) > I think you should refer to the rest of the discussion. Are you claiming, absolutely, that not only have all wars that have ever occurred but all wars that could possibly occur are definitely anti-extropic? Quite a strong assertion. This of course requires you to define extropic exactly, and war exactly. My point, as was evident from the discussion was that whether war is extropic is a much more complicated question. In that discussion Charlie even presented an example of overthrowing the US government to get rid of the drug laws. My example of a less extropic government being overthrown by a more extropic one was merely a quick example, it was not meant to imply that ANY more extropic government had the right to overthrow any less extropic one no matter the cost in lives or property. That is of course ridiculous. A more reasonable question (if one can call such questions reasonable) would be how many lives are worth an increase in extropy, and how much of an increase? Debates of that sort have been tossed around on this list all ready. I also noted in that discussion that freedoms are not directly synonymous with extropy, as the freedom to sit on ones ass all day and watch TV isn't gonna bring about a singularity, nor would being stoned, drunk, or visiting strip clubs all day, nor chattering on discussion board for that matter. In fact a paternalistic big brother esque society where each person was assigned an area of technological pursuit and had immortality and extropianism drilled into their head from the time they were children would probably be the most 'extropic' yet it would not be very free. Michael Dickey From wingcat at pacbell.net Fri Jan 9 07:14:45 2004 From: wingcat at pacbell.net (Adrian Tymes) Date: Thu, 8 Jan 2004 23:14:45 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Eumemics In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <20040109071445.76398.qmail@web80403.mail.yahoo.com> --- "Robert J. Bradbury" wrote: > On Thu, 8 Jan 2004, Adrian Tymes wrote: > > That said, this could be a real issue in the very > near term. > > Yep. The present course - do nothing - seems to be best. Some people will gene-select their children; they can then provide the test cases. Meanwhile, as has been pointed out, adults are likely to be able to receive superior enhancements within 20-40 years, rendering the effects of gene selection moot by the time it might start to matter. > > All that's missing is a good, publically > > available map of genes to approximate IQ, which > > doesn't seem that hard to create. > > Its harder than you might think if there are many > genes > (say greater than a dozen) and they have low > penetrance > (say are responsible for only 5-10% of the trait > each). > These are the characteristics associated with > diabetes > and heart disease predispositions and its been > rather > difficult to produce a complete picture in spite of > many > people working on it. Aye. But I was speaking relative to other things we discuss here, such as creating sentient AI or molecular assemblers. Compared to those types of things, merely discovering which genes have good correlation with IQ isn't that hard. > P.S. I think the Extro list needs a semi-AI filter > that runs > all "claims" through google to determine whether or > not there > is resonable data to suggest that you might want to > be very > careful about the claims... (No offense Adrian... > :-)) None taken. I disclaimed it as my own anecdotal experience for a reason, and if it further inspires someone with a way to do something like that, we're all better off for the results of my mis-suspicion. ^_- From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Fri Jan 9 07:23:39 2004 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Fri, 9 Jan 2004 02:23:39 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already In-Reply-To: <000001c3d676$44fe0910$6701a8c0@GREYBOOK> Message-ID: <002701c3d681$80aafa80$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Matus wrote, > Are you claiming, absolutely, that not only have all wars > that have ever occurred but all wars that could possibly > occur are definitely anti-extropic? Quite a strong assertion. Actually, your argument against this statement seems to be the strong assertion. Why can't we just allow the general statement that "war is bad"? It does not seem to be such an unreasonable assertion. > A more reasonable question (if one can call such questions > reasonable) would be how many lives are worth an increase in > extropy, and how much of an increase? No we can not call such questions reasonable. I don't know why it keeps coming up on this list. > Debates of that sort have been tossed around on this list > all ready. It almost seems as if there is a subgroup of people who keep trying to justify committing violence as part of the extropian agenda. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Fri Jan 9 07:29:25 2004 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Fri, 9 Jan 2004 02:29:25 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Eumemics In-Reply-To: <20040109071445.76398.qmail@web80403.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <002801c3d682$5209c390$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> > "Robert J. Bradbury" wrote: > > P.S. I think the Extro list needs a semi-AI filter > > that runs all "claims" through google to determine > > whether or not there is resonable data to suggest > > that you might want to be very careful about the > > claims... Bingo. I do this manually, but don't have time to do it often enough. Other people never seem to do this at all. I find that at least half of the news items posted to this list are vaporware that I don't expect ever to materialize. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From jose_cordeiro at yahoo.com Fri Jan 9 12:44:17 2004 From: jose_cordeiro at yahoo.com (Jose Cordeiro) Date: Fri, 9 Jan 2004 04:44:17 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Moon news Message-ID: <20040109124417.91800.qmail@web41308.mail.yahoo.com> UPI Exclusive: Bush OKs new moon missions By FRANK SIETZEN JR. AND KEITH L. COWING, United Press International WASHINGTON, Jan. 8 (UPI) -- American astronauts will return to the moon early in the next decade in preparation for sending crews to explore Mars and nearby asteroids, President Bush is expected to propose next week as part of a sweeping reform of the U.S. space program. To pay for the new effort -- which would require a new generation of spacecraft but use Europe's Ariane rockets and Russia's Soyuz capsules in the interim -- NASA's space shuttle fleet would be retired as soon as construction of the International Space Station is completed, senior administration sources told United Press International. The visionary new space plan would be the most ambitious project entrusted to the National Aeronautics and Space Administration since the Apollo moon landings of three decades ago. It commits the United States to an aggressive and far-reaching mission that holds interplanetary space as the human race's new frontier. Sources said Bush's impending announcement climaxes an unprecedented review of NASA and of America's civilian space goals -- manned and robotic. The review has been proceeding for nearly a year, involving closed-door meetings under the supervision of Vice President Dick Cheney, sources said. The administration examined a wide range of ideas, including new, reusable space shuttles and even exotic concepts such as space elevators. To begin the initiative, the president will ask Congress for a down payment of $800 million for fiscal year 2005, most of which will go to develop new robotic space vehicles and begin work on advanced human exploration systems. Bush also plans to ask Congress to boost NASA's budget by 5 percent annually over at least the next five years, with all of the increase supporting space exploration. With the exception of the Departments of Defense and Homeland Security, no other agency is expected to receive a budget increase above inflation in FY 2005. Along with retiring the shuttle fleet, the new plan calls for NASA to convert a planned follow-on spacecraft -- called the orbital space plane -- into versions of a new spaceship called the crew exploration vehicle. NASA would end substantial involvement in the space station project about the same time the moon landings would begin -- beginning in 2013, according to an administration timetable shown to UPI. The first test flights of unmanned prototypes of the CEV could occur as soon as 2007. An orbital version would replace the shuttle to transport astronauts to and from the space station. However, sources said, the current timetable leaves a period several years when NASA would lack manned space capability -- hence the need to use Soyuz vehicles for flights to the station. Ariane rockets also might be used to launch lunar missions. During the remainder of its participation in space station activities, NASA's research would be redirected to sustaining humans in space. Other research programs not involving humans would be terminated or curtailed. The various models of the CEV would be 21st century versions of the 1960s Apollo spacecraft. When they become operational, they would be able to conduct various missions in Earth orbit, travel to and land on the moon, send astronauts to rendezvous with nearby asteroids, and eventually serve as part of a series of manned missions to Mars. Under the current plan, sources said, the first lunar landings would carry only enough resources to test advanced equipment that would be employed on voyages beyond the moon. Because the early moon missions would use existing rockets, they could deliver only small equipment packages. So the initial, return-to-the-moon missions essentially would begin where the Apollo landings left off -- a few days at a time, growing gradually longer. The human landings could be both preceded and accompanied by robotic vehicles. The first manned Mars expeditions would attempt to orbit the red planet in advance of landings -- much as Apollo 8 and 10 orbited the moon but did not land. The orbital flights would conduct photo reconnaissance of the Martian surface before sending landing craft, said sources familiar with the plan's details. Along with new spacecraft, NASA would develop other equipment needed to allow humans to explore other worlds, including advanced spacesuits, roving vehicles and life support equipment. As part of its new space package, sources said, the administration will convene an unusual presidential commission to review NASA's plans as they unfold. The group would consider such factors as the design of the spacecraft; the procedure for assembly, either in Earth orbit or lunar orbit; the individual elements the new craft should contain, such as capsules, supply modules, landing vehicles and propellant stages, and the duration and number of missions and size of crews. Sources said Bush will direct NASA to scale back or scrap all existing programs that do not support the new effort. Further details about the plan and the space agency's revised budget will be announced in NASA briefings next week and when the president delivers his FY 2005 budget to Congress. -- Frank Sietzen Jr. covers aerospace issues for UPI Science News. Keith L. Cowing is editor of NASAWatch.com and SpaceRef.com. E-mail sciencemail at upi.com La vie est belle! Yos? (www.cordeiro.org) Caracas, Venezuela, Americas, TerraNostra --------------------------------- Do you Yahoo!? Yahoo! Hotjobs: Enter the "Signing Bonus" Sweepstakes -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From paulgrant999 at hotmail.com Fri Jan 9 13:10:40 2004 From: paulgrant999 at hotmail.com (Paul Grant) Date: Fri, 9 Jan 2004 05:10:40 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] ILE: life just got a little more complicated In-Reply-To: <007b01c3d65f$29053470$62256bd5@artemis> Message-ID: <000201c3d6b2$3a7d2a70$5a01a8c0@SIGMA7PG> Thought about that too.. but you don't get military protection from that :) Unless you want to build a military as well :) No, I think a boat is the way to go :) a boat from a country that isn't overly prohibitive and powerful enough that nobody would want to screw with you :) Probably one of the less-legally advanced nuclear powers :) omard-out -----Original Message----- From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of Dirk Bruere Sent: Thursday, January 08, 2004 7:18 PM To: ExI chat list Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] ILE: life just got a little more complicated ----- Original Message ----- From: "Paul Grant" To: "'ExI chat list'" Sent: Friday, January 09, 2004 12:34 AM Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] ILE: life just got a little more complicated > I've spent a lot of time thinking about this. > You don't need an island. You need a boat. > Yup, thats right, a boat. According to maritime > law, you are under the laws of the registering nation > when you are at sea (and protection, ostensibly). > So pick a country that hasn't passed any laws against whatever you > want, get a citizen from there, have him register a boat in his name, > and float the boat 15 miles off any coast you like. > > There is also some interesting case law regarding the formation of > nation-states :) http://www.sealandgov.com/ Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From paulgrant999 at hotmail.com Fri Jan 9 13:24:37 2004 From: paulgrant999 at hotmail.com (Paul Grant) Date: Fri, 9 Jan 2004 05:24:37 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already In-Reply-To: <000001c3d676$44fe0910$6701a8c0@GREYBOOK> Message-ID: <000301c3d6b4$3d1e7750$5a01a8c0@SIGMA7PG> -----Original Message----- From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of Matus Sent: Thursday, January 08, 2004 10:03 PM To: 'ExI chat list' Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already > -----Original Message----- > From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org [mailto:extropy-chat- > bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of Paul Grant > > Charlie Stross said: > > > I'd like to add to that: war seems to me to be about as anti-extropic > > as you can get. The triumph of brute force over enlightenment, > > destruction, death and despair on a massive scale. An excuse for the > > enemies of freedom on every side to chip away at civil rights. The > > ascendency of dehumanization is the *opposite* of transhumanism. > > I would like to disagree with that. War is neither intrinsically > extropic nor anti-extropic. If one of the parties at war is less > extropic, and it wins, then war is anti-extropic. > > - careful their kimo sabe, thats a dangerous line your walking; put > another way, if you will grant me, a small society that is > "extropic".. which by definition, leads a less "extropic" society > comprised of the majority. So when does the bloody revolution start, > comrade? :) Direct consequence of your statements, you understand. > > As u can see, I have to agree with Charlie :) > >I think you should refer to the rest of the discussion. Are you claiming, absolutely, that not only have all wars that have ever occurred but all wars that could possibly occur are definitely anti-extropic? Quite a strong assertion. This of course requires you to define extropic exactly, and war exactly. My point, as was evident from the discussion was that whether war is extropic is a much more complicated question. In that discussion Charlie even presented an example of overthrowing the US government to get rid of the drug laws. -To me, war is a question of relevance; are they (whoever) really relevant to your own extropic efforts? As it is, the US gov. has little no effect on my own pursuits... so would war (with all its sapping efforts) be necessary? Mind you, I'm not partial to a lot of the laws that are currently in effect, but thankfully, most of said laws are not being enforced... so what would be the point? I'ld much rather save my efforts for something more constructive. Its a question of costs, more than anything else. And war imho, raises the costs of peace-time pursuits disproportionate to the benefits of said overthrow. Besides, really, think about it... wouldn't you rather bring your aggressor to your viewpoints of things and have him join his resources to yours, as opposed to beating him, and then spending all that effort to keep "unruly" portions of your population in line? And no matter what anyone says, if extropians succeed in their quest, it will be something worth its weight in gold (read: of intrinsic value to anyone alive). >My example of a less extropic government being overthrown by a more extropic one was merely a quick example, it was not meant to imply that ANY more extropic government had the right to overthrow any less extropic one no matter the cost in lives or property. That is of course ridiculous. Well it's a direct consequence of your statement :) I only extended it to illustrate it. I think it defines (embodies) a rather nice specifity to the term "enlightened". Kind of like a self-reinforcing pattern. >A more reasonable question (if one can call such questions reasonable) would be how many lives are worth an increase in extropy, and how much of an increase? Debates of that sort have been tossed around on this list all ready. No doubt. I dunno, what do you think? Do you think extropy is measured in number of human lives? Personally I tend to think of it as a codified survivor instinct without regard to any of the current mental/spiritual/economic/political blocks in place :) >I also noted in that discussion that freedoms are not directly synonymous with extropy, as the freedom to sit on ones ass all day and watch TV isn't gonna bring about a singularity, nor would being stoned, drunk, or visiting strip clubs all day, nor chattering on discussion board for that matter. In fact a paternalistic big brother esque society where each person was assigned an area of technological pursuit and had immortality and extropianism drilled into their head from the time they were children would probably be the most 'extropic' yet it would not be very free. I would agree with that sentiment (not the big brother), but that freedom and extropy need not be irrevocably related... I would suggest though, that life without freedom (and health) would lose its flavor rather quickly, so perhaps it is highly correlated... Some interesting questions :) omard-out Michael Dickey _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From determinism at hotmail.com Fri Jan 9 14:29:01 2004 From: determinism at hotmail.com (Dennis May) Date: Fri, 09 Jan 2004 08:29:01 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] RE: TEMPEST: You thought your tinfoil hat was enough? Message-ID: When I was a senior in college we plastic saran-wrapped every object in a professors office, including a bust of Einstein. We then took sheet rock and walled off the end of the hallway making the office disappear. A table with flowers and pictures on wall completed the look. The same professor had other things done on his birthdays: Live lobster delivered by a man in a guerrilla suit during a lecture. Delivery of a talking doll with personalized lustful messages from teenage girls. His entire office filled with styrofoam beads by blowing them under his door with a shop vac. His entire office filled with balloons. Dennis May _____________________ Physicist/Engineer/Inventor determinism at hotmail.com _________________________________________________________________ Check your PC for viruses with the FREE McAfee online computer scan. http://clinic.mcafee.com/clinic/ibuy/campaign.asp?cid=3963 From mlorrey at yahoo.com Fri Jan 9 15:06:06 2004 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Fri, 9 Jan 2004 07:06:06 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already In-Reply-To: <002701c3d681$80aafa80$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <20040109150606.86840.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> --- Harvey Newstrom wrote: > Matus wrote, > > Are you claiming, absolutely, that not only have all wars > > that have ever occurred but all wars that could possibly > > occur are definitely anti-extropic? Quite a strong assertion. > > Actually, your argument against this statement seems to be the strong > assertion. > > Why can't we just allow the general statement that "war is bad"? It > does not seem to be such an unreasonable assertion. All state action is bad. How about that assertion? > > > A more reasonable question (if one can call such questions > > reasonable) would be how many lives are worth an increase in > > extropy, and how much of an increase? > > No we can not call such questions reasonable. I don't know why it > keeps coming up on this list. Because ALL conflict, all state sponsored action, is a cost benefit measured action, not just conflict with guns and other weapons. For example, the legislated banning of DDT has resulted in more deaths from malaria than those exterminated by Mao, Stalin, and Hitler. All because some entropically orthodox enviromentalist nuts value birds more than humans. > > > Debates of that sort have been tossed around on this list > > all ready. > > It almost seems as if there is a subgroup of people who keep trying > to justify committing violence as part of the extropian agenda. This is an absolutely FALSE assertion, and I request you retract it. This subject is active on this list because of Mark Walker's inane and thinly vieled argument that Extropians should become absolute pacifists. There are quite a number of paleo-extropians who look on this list with disgust these days because of these sorts of pacifistic arguments. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Yahoo! Hotjobs: Enter the "Signing Bonus" Sweepstakes http://hotjobs.sweepstakes.yahoo.com/signingbonus From matus at matus1976.com Fri Jan 9 15:05:21 2004 From: matus at matus1976.com (Matus) Date: Fri, 9 Jan 2004 10:05:21 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already In-Reply-To: <002701c3d681$80aafa80$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <000001c3d6c2$05922850$6701a8c0@GREYBOOK> > -----Original Message----- > From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org [mailto:extropy-chat- > bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of Harvey Newstrom > > Matus wrote, > > Are you claiming, absolutely, that not only have all wars > > that have ever occurred but all wars that could possibly > > occur are definitely anti-extropic? Quite a strong assertion. > > Actually, your argument against this statement seems to be the strong > assertion. My statement that sometimes war may be extropic is a strong assertion? How so? Seems like that absolute that war is *always* anti-extropic is the strong assertion, since it requires not only a clear definition of extropic but one of war as well. Referring back to my discussion with Charlie, I said as much "To positively assert whether something was extropic or not, you will have to define what criteria makes something extropic, and how much of it was present before and how much present afterward. This would probably be quite an undertaking, yet you are all ready absolutely positive that *all* wars are anti-extropic." In that same conversation, Charlie said: > I'll grant you that it's necessary to address the problem of > anti-extropic ideologies, and in some cases their proponents will not > listen to reason. But ... What do we do when their proponents will not listen to reason? To suggest that war is *always* anti-extropic requires one to prove that each and every possible war scenario definitely results in a net decrease in extropic memes (net? Perhaps not, since one small pocket of extropic thought might bring about a singularity, yet another question the arises when making such sweeping absolutes) To suggest, as I did, that maybe some wars are indeed extropic requires me to present merely one single example of a war that would reasonably be considered extropic. To do this, and prove it to you, Charlie, and Paul would likely require a lengthy discussion just to define extropic and to define war. But are you so sure that ANY possible war is definitely NOT extropic? > > Why can't we just allow the general statement that "war is bad"? It does > not seem to be such an unreasonable assertion. Because some statements can be so general that they are meaningless. Why not run around with a 'make love not war' shirt while were at it. The real world is not simple and general, it is complex and violent. If you wanted to try to convince Hitler and Stalin that War was bad, I'm all for it, but once tanks start rolling over us, I'm defending myself. We could say that 'killing is bad' as well, but in saying that am I giving up my right to self defense? > > > A more reasonable question (if one can call such questions > > reasonable) would be how many lives are worth an increase in > > extropy, and how much of an increase? > > No we can not call such questions reasonable. I don't know why it keeps > coming up on this list. Yet if one is to assert that all wars are anti-extropic, then this is a question that MUST be answered before making that determination. All wars include loss of life. How extropic is a single life? What do we mean when we say 'extropic' in the first place? > > > Debates of that sort have been tossed around on this list > > all ready. > > It almost seems as if there is a subgroup of people who keep trying to > justify committing violence as part of the extropian agenda. > And it seems that there is a subgroup of people content to let us be overrun by murderous oppressive regimes for fear of taking a single like to defend our very extropic (thought not extropic enough) society. Would you assert that in absolutely *NO* cases would committing violence be extropian? Yes, War is bad, and killing is also bad. So is lying, stealing, cheating, etc. But the real world is cold, complex, and unforgiving, and sometimes things must be done that we prefer not to do in order to ensure the continuation of the things we value. I may steal bread to feed my starving self or family, I may lie to protect the feelings of someone I care about, I may kill someone in self defense, and my country may go to war when threatened by a clearly and significantly less extropic, less free, murderous and oppressive government. Michael Dickey From natashavita at earthlink.net Fri Jan 9 15:26:16 2004 From: natashavita at earthlink.net (natashavita at earthlink.net) Date: Fri, 9 Jan 2004 10:26:16 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Moon news Message-ID: <119420-22004159152616388@M2W043.mail2web.com> From: Jose Cordeiro Subject: [extropy-chat] Moon news "UPI Exclusive: Bush OKs new moon missions By FRANK SIETZEN JR. AND KEITH L. COWING, United Press International WASHINGTON, Jan. 8 (UPI) -- American astronauts will return to the moon early in the next decade in preparation for sending crews to explore Mars and nearby asteroids, President Bush is expected to propose next week as part of a sweeping reform of the U.S. space program." This is exciting. I listened to a full report on the radio this morning and was gleeful that as a side-event, maybe the space tourism industry will finally be able to piggyback on the advances of a larger industry - NASA. NASA has made many mistakes, to be sure, however it just might make the big leap we all have been waiting for in the surge to develop a better system to counter rocket booster problems. Of course there will be plenty of organizations blocking this next step, but if we NASA can get the "American" public to rally around its future misssions, it could bring back some of that ole' space age enthusiasm. Natasha Natasha Vita-More http://www.natasha.cc -------------------------------------------------------------------- mail2web - Check your email from the web at http://mail2web.com/ . From matus at matus1976.com Fri Jan 9 15:31:02 2004 From: matus at matus1976.com (Matus) Date: Fri, 9 Jan 2004 10:31:02 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already In-Reply-To: <000301c3d6b4$3d1e7750$5a01a8c0@SIGMA7PG> Message-ID: <000001c3d6c5$9915f400$6701a8c0@GREYBOOK> > -----Original Message----- > From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org [mailto:extropy-chat- > bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of Paul Grant > > > > As u can see, I have to agree with Charlie :) > > > > >I think you should refer to the rest of the discussion. Are you > claiming, absolutely, that not only have all wars that have ever > occurred but all wars that could possibly occur are definitely > anti-extropic? Quite a strong assertion. This of course requires you > to define extropic exactly, and war exactly. My point, as was evident > from the discussion was that whether war is extropic is a much more > complicated question. In that discussion Charlie even presented an > example of overthrowing the US government to get rid of the drug laws. > > -To me, war is a question of relevance; are they (whoever) really > relevant to your own extropic efforts? So, do you disagree with the statement then that in all possible cases all wars are definitely anti-extropic? And would you thus agree that under certain relevant circumstances some may be? > > Besides, really, think about it... wouldn't you rather bring your > aggressor to your viewpoints of things > and have him join his resources to yours, as opposed to beating him, Those who do not subscribe to reason can not be conquered by it, as I said to Charlie when he made this same point. What do you do when your enemy can not be enlightened? What would you do when you can not convince an armed assailant that he shouldn?t be holding you up or about to murder a loved one? Of course I would prefer my enemy to 'see the light' but I am not so na?ve to think that everyone always will. There is way too much pain and suffering all ready occurring to believe as such. and > then spending all that effort > to keep "unruly" portions of your population in line? And no matter > what anyone says, if extropians succeed > in their quest, it will be something worth its weight in gold (read: of > intrinsic value to anyone alive) If one person stood in the way of a singularity, and you could not convince him through reason to let a singularity occur, what would you do? When members of this list continue to extol the virtues of extropianism while at the same time deriding violence or spreading extropy through any means other than polite conversation, it should come of no surprise that the logical conclusions of these two statements occur as difficult ethical questions. > > >My example of a less extropic government being overthrown by a more > extropic one was merely a quick example, it was not meant to imply that > ANY more extropic government had the right to overthrow any less > extropic one no matter the cost in lives or property. That is of course > ridiculous. > > Well it's a direct consequence of your statement :) I only extended it > to illustrate it. I hoped that the apparent relevance of 'less extropic' and 'more extropic' would be obvious, and that the statement would not be taken so literally. I would not endorse one society that merely taxes computer purchases being overthrown, quite violently, by a nearly identical group whose only difference is that they would not tax computers. > >A more reasonable question (if one can call such questions > reasonable) would be how many lives are worth an increase in extropy, > and how much of an increase? Debates of that sort have been tossed > around on this list all ready. > > No doubt. I dunno, what do you think? Do you think extropy is measured > in number of human lives? > Personally I tend to think of it as a codified survivor instinct without > regard to any of the current > mental/spiritual/economic/political blocks in place :) > Certainly not, as I said in the discussion with Charlie, I attempted to start a thread suggesting we clearly define extropic goals, of course many are all ready listed on extropy sites principles page. A million survivor watching automaton couch potatoes are not extropic at all compared to a handful of productive motivated scientists, so # of lives is not the only extropic consideration. > >I also noted in that discussion that freedoms are not directly > synonymous with extropy, as the freedom to sit on ones ass all day and > watch TV isn't gonna bring about a singularity, nor would being stoned, > drunk, or visiting strip clubs all day, nor chattering on discussion > board for that matter. In fact a paternalistic big brother esque > society where each person was assigned an area of technological pursuit > and had immortality and extropianism drilled into their head from the > time they were children would probably be the most 'extropic' yet it > would not be very free. > > I would agree with that sentiment (not the big brother), but that > freedom and extropy need not be irrevocably related... I would suggest > though, that life without freedom (and health) would lose its flavor > rather quickly, > so perhaps it is highly correlated... Certainly, and I highly value both freedom AND extropy! Michael Dickey From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Fri Jan 9 16:55:59 2004 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (Kevin Freels) Date: Fri, 9 Jan 2004 10:55:59 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Moon news References: <119420-22004159152616388@M2W043.mail2web.com> Message-ID: So I guess the question that's on everyone's mind is whether or not this is true. I remember a recent similar story that circulated regarding a statement that Bush was going to give at the Wright Brothers flight anniversary at Kitty Hawk in December. It was later discovered that this was not true. Is there any other indication that this story is accurate? ----- Original Message ----- From: To: ; ; ; Sent: Friday, January 09, 2004 9:26 AM Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] Moon news > > From: Jose Cordeiro > > > Subject: [extropy-chat] Moon news > > > "UPI Exclusive: Bush OKs new moon missions > > By FRANK SIETZEN JR. AND KEITH L. COWING, United Press International > > WASHINGTON, Jan. 8 (UPI) -- American astronauts will return to the moon > early in the next decade in preparation for sending crews to explore > Mars and nearby asteroids, President Bush is expected to propose next week > as part of a sweeping reform of the U.S. space program." > > > This is exciting. I listened to a full report on the radio this morning > and was gleeful that as a side-event, maybe the space tourism industry will > finally be able to piggyback on the advances of a larger industry - NASA. > NASA has made many mistakes, to be sure, however it just might make the big > leap we all have been waiting for in the surge to develop a better system > to counter rocket booster problems. > > Of course there will be plenty of organizations blocking this next step, > but if we NASA can get the "American" public to rally around its future > misssions, it could bring back some of that ole' space age enthusiasm. > > Natasha > > Natasha Vita-More > http://www.natasha.cc > > > > -------------------------------------------------------------------- > mail2web - Check your email from the web at > http://mail2web.com/ . > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From mlorrey at yahoo.com Fri Jan 9 17:50:07 2004 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Fri, 9 Jan 2004 09:50:07 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] TEMPEST: You thought your tinfoil hat was enough? In-Reply-To: <001401c3d658$890d1d30$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <20040109175007.29434.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> --- Harvey Newstrom wrote: > > > on_fe_st/foiled_room_4> > > > > OLYMPIA, Wash. - What kind of friends coat your apartment - > > and nearly everything in it - with tinfoil while you're away? > > Here's a hint: One of the only objects that escaped the shiny > > treatment was a book titled "Cruel Tricks for Dear Friends." > > Slow news day? Why is this news? Are you asking me? I thought it represented the most well grounded and anti-ELINT residence I've heard of. Its property value must have gone up as a result.... ;) ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Yahoo! Hotjobs: Enter the "Signing Bonus" Sweepstakes http://hotjobs.sweepstakes.yahoo.com/signingbonus From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Fri Jan 9 18:25:09 2004 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Fri, 9 Jan 2004 13:25:09 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] TEMPEST: You thought your tinfoil hat was enough? In-Reply-To: <20040109175007.29434.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <005e01c3d6dd$ed4626e0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Mike Lorrey wrote, > Slow news day? Why is this news? > Are you asking me? I thought it represented the most well grounded > and anti-ELINT residence I've heard of. Its property value must > have gone up as a result.... ;) As a security expert, I should warn you that aluminum foil doesn't work as TEMPEST shielding. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From Artillo at comcast.net Fri Jan 9 18:33:36 2004 From: Artillo at comcast.net (Artillo at comcast.net) Date: Fri, 09 Jan 2004 18:33:36 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Moon news Message-ID: <010920041833.5104.25e6@comcast.net> GRRRR I don't like this part of the article at all! I really don't think that a 'one-track mind' approach is a good idea, how about you guys? "Sources said Bush will direct NASA to scale back or scrap all existing programs that do not support the new effort. Further details about the plan and the space agency's revised budget will be announced in NASA briefings next week and when the president delivers his FY 2005 budget to Congress." > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From natashavita at earthlink.net Fri Jan 9 18:42:31 2004 From: natashavita at earthlink.net (natashavita at earthlink.net) Date: Fri, 9 Jan 2004 13:42:31 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Moon news Message-ID: <63340-22004159184231482@M2W046.mail2web.com> From: Artillo at comcast.net >GRRRR I don't like this part of the article at all! I really don't think that a 'one-track mind' approach is a good idea, how about you guys?> "Sources said Bush will direct NASA to scale back or scrap all existing programs that do not support the new effort. Further details about the plan and the space agency's revised budget will be announced in NASA briefings next week and when the president delivers his FY 2005 budget to Congress." I can see a way around this. If NASA scraps current projects for a more exalted program, then the trickle down effect could occur and the "scrapped" projects could go to private industry where their is a growing interest, and this could help it along. I got a lot of good wear out of my best friends' hand-me-down cloths. Of course she has very expensive taste, but so does NASA. Natasha > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat -------------------------------------------------------------------- mail2web - Check your email from the web at http://mail2web.com/ . From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Fri Jan 9 18:53:26 2004 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Fri, 9 Jan 2004 13:53:26 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already In-Reply-To: <000001c3d6c2$05922850$6701a8c0@GREYBOOK> Message-ID: <006001c3d6e1$e0a6cf80$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Michael Dickey wrote, > My statement that sometimes war may be extropic is a strong > assertion? How so? Seems like that absolute that war is > *always* anti-extropic is the strong assertion, since it > requires not only a clear definition of extropic but one of > war as well. People who have been on this list generally know what the Extropian Principles are. You can nit-pick on particular interpretations if you want, but you can't assume that nobody has defined them yet. People also generally know what war means. You made your assertions about war without having to create a more rigorous definition of the term. If the term is generally good enough for you, it is generally good enough for other people. You seem to be requiring a higher burden of proof for other people than for yourself. > "To positively assert whether something was extropic or not, > you will have to define what criteria makes something > extropic, and how much of it was present before and how much > present afterward. This would probably be quite an > undertaking, yet you are all ready absolutely positive that > *all* wars are anti-extropic." That is like saying that to avoid a car crash, you have to define exactly what "avoidance" means, exactly what a "car crash" is, calculate how much work "avoidance" is versus work recovering from a "car crash" would be afterward. This would probably be quite an undertaking, yet you are all ready absolutely positive that "all" car crashes are anti-extropic. We do NOT need exact quantitative analysis to make a qualitative judgment. I think there is more evidence and experience showing that "war is bad" than "war is good". Only warmongers and terrorists think that we should inflict some war on "them" to get greater results for "us". > What do we do when their proponents will not listen to reason? This is a key requirement for war. You must dehumanize your enemy to the point that it is not possible to negotiate or reason with them. They will never agree to anything else, so we must kill them. We have to eliminate all other possible options before the "final solution" becomes the only one left. As Extropians, we should be seeing more and more options all the time, not less and less. War should be less likely and less useful as we progress into the future. War is the opposite of extropy. War means that there are no possible solutions, we give up, we can't oppose the other side, so we will just kill them. > To suggest, as I did, that > maybe some wars are indeed extropic requires me to present > merely one single example of a war that would reasonably be > considered extropic. To do this, and prove it to you, > Charlie, and Paul would likely require a lengthy discussion > just to define extropic and to define war. But are you so > sure that ANY possible war is definitely NOT extropic? Typical losing-position approach. You want to assert it, but it would take too long to explain why. You want to push the burden of proof to the other side. You want them to prove a negative (that no war could ever be extropic), while you refuse to prove a positive (just give one example). You also claim that your position hasn't been disproved yet, nobody has proved that all war is always entropic and never can be, so your argument still stands undefeated. A lack of defeat (yet) does not equal proof. > If you wanted to try to > convince Hitler and Stalin that War was bad, I'm all for it, > but once tanks start rolling over us, I'm defending myself. > We could say that 'killing is bad' as well, but in saying > that am I giving up my right to self defense? There is a big difference between defending yourself from violence and initiating violence. The libertarians and older extropians on this board used to understand that. This idea of pre-emptive strikes and initiating force on people who haven't attacked us is definitely not extropian. It never has been and never will be. (And for the record, no I don't believe that Iraq was part of the 9/11 attacks or had weapons of mass destruction. I do believe that we pre-emptively attacked a country that neither attacked us nor were capable of attacking us. No, I don't think the Iraq war is extropic.) > > > A more reasonable question (if one can call such questions > > > reasonable) would be how many lives are worth an increase in > > > extropy, and how much of an increase? > > > > No we can not call such questions reasonable. I don't know why it > > keeps coming up on this list. > > Yet if one is to assert that all wars are anti-extropic, then > this is a question that MUST be answered before making that > determination. All wars include loss of life. How extropic > is a single life? What do we mean when we say 'extropic' in > the first place? Sorry if I haven't made myself clear. ZERO LOSS OF LIFE is extropic. ANY LOSS OF LIFE is entropic. Now I know that the world isn't perfect, and we can't prevent all loss of life. But I certainly don't want anybody planning loss of life as part of their master plan. Especially any final solution where the loss of life is directed at one group while a different group benefits. > > It almost seems as if there is a subgroup of people who > > keep trying to justify committing violence as part of > > the extropian agenda. > > And it seems that there is a subgroup of people content to > let us be overrun by murderous oppressive regimes for fear of > taking a single like to defend our very extropic (thought not > extropic enough) society. Only people who cannot conceive of any answer besides murder, terrorism and war would make such a statement. If there are other options, then it is perfectly possible to pursue them without resorting to murder, terrorism and war. The refusal to initiate force does not equal a lack of self-defense. Every libertarian knows that. > Yes, War is bad, and killing is also bad. So is lying, > stealing, cheating, etc. But the real world is cold, > complex, and unforgiving, and sometimes things must be done > that we prefer not to do in order to ensure the continuation > of the things we value. I may steal bread to feed my > starving self or family, I may lie to protect the feelings of > someone I care about, I may kill someone in self defense, and > my country may go to war when threatened by a clearly and > significantly less extropic, less free, murderous and > oppressive government. This is my point exactly. As extropians, we are supposed to be intelligent people with optimism, smart technology and future solutions. Can't we think up something besides guns, murder, lying and war? As long as you think these things are bad and work to avoid them, then we are in agreement. But some people here seem almost eager to resort to these methods and too ready to give up trying to find anything better methods. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Fri Jan 9 18:53:45 2004 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Fri, 9 Jan 2004 13:53:45 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already In-Reply-To: <20040109150606.86840.qmail@web12902.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: <006101c3d6e1$ed5bfc00$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Mike Lorrey wrote, > All state action is bad. How about that assertion? Stupid, in my opinion. You can't say that something (war) done by the state is bad because everything the state does is bad, but the same exact thing done by us is good, because everything we do is good. This is illogical. You are assigning "good" and "bad" labels on the basis of "us" versus "them" instead of any criteria of goodness. If war is bad, and we don't want the state waging war, then we don't want to become state-like and commit the same atrocities. > Because ALL conflict, all state sponsored action, is a cost > benefit measured action, not just conflict with guns and > other weapons. This is the root of all war, all terrorism, and all conflict. The idea that we can calculate the best good and choose the lesser of two evils. It solves nothing. A communist will calculate a communist end to be the greater good. A luddite will calculate a non-technological world was a greater good. Some transhumanists will destroy all life and replace everything with computronium simulating life and call that the greater good. In short, everybody thinks they are right. This argument boils down to saying that we are right therefore we have the right to kill our enemy, but they are wrong so they don't have the right to kill us. > > It almost seems as if there is a subgroup of people who > > keep trying to justify committing violence as part of > > the extropian agenda. > > This is an absolutely FALSE assertion, and I request you > retract it. This subject is active on this list because of > Mark Walker's inane and thinly vieled argument that > Extropians should become absolute pacifists. Is this better? It almost seems as if there is a subgroup of people who keep trying to justify that committing violence should be excluded as part of the extropian agenda. > There are quite a number of paleo-extropians who look on this > list with disgust these days because of these sorts of > pacifistic arguments. I am sorry that non-violence disgusts these people so much. I worry about what will happen when people who see violence as a necessary part of extropianism either gain powerful technology. Even worse, I hate to imagine what will happen if they don't gain the powerful technology they desire while some other groups of extropians do. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC extropian agenda. From megao at sasktel.net Fri Jan 9 19:05:15 2004 From: megao at sasktel.net (Extropian Agroforestry Ventures Inc.) Date: Fri, 09 Jan 2004 13:05:15 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality - who pays? What will the cost be? References: <002901c3d313$ead28390$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> <5.2.0.9.0.20040104172428.02c0e170@pop.earthlink.net> Message-ID: <3FFEFB6A.3CE85BA2@sasktel.net> Top Of The News Health Costs Rise Beyond Belief Dan Ackman, 01.09.04, 9:58 AM ET NEW YORK - U.S. health care costs are rising so fast that not only do they outstrip the prior year, they even exceed forecasters' ability to project them In mid-2002, the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services projected that national health expenditures would reach $2.8 trillion in 2011--an estimate based on a mean annual growth rate of 7.3%. Since then, the growth rate has increased significantly to 9.3%--to the point where health spending is already at nearly 15% of GDP, according to Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS), a unit of HHS. This increase--and future projections--don't take into account the potential effects of the prescription drug entitlement in the Medicaid bill passed by Congress last year. Hospital and prescription drug spending led the charge, CMS said. "This continued acceleration injects pressure into the health care system, and everyone--from businesses to government to consumers--is affected," Katharine Levit, a CMS official and the lead author of the report published in the journal Health Affairs, said at a news conference. Levit added that early indications are that the rate of increase will slow "as a result of the economic slowdown.'' In fact, health care spending increases slowed during the late 1990s boom, and have accelerated since the economy cooled. This tendency has led to higher insurance premiums, cutbacks in employer health plans and a rise in the number of uninsured. Health care spending averaged $4,672 per person in 2000 and $5,035 per person in 2001. In 2002, the U.S. spent $5,440 per person for a total of $1.55 trillion. This is more per person than anywhere else. The U.S. spends 47% more per person than Switzerland, which ranks second, according to the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development. It also spends substantially more than any other nation in terms of percentage of GDP. Health care costs were 10.9% of GDP in Switzerland, 10.7% in Germany and 9.7% in Canada. Even before the 2002 figures were known, CMS was projecting that by 2011 U.S. health costs would rise to 17% of GDP. The increase in hospital spending was caused by increased usage and higher labor and supply costs. Hospitals, meanwhile, managed to raise prices by 5%. Prescription drug spending was the fastest-rising aspect of health costs at 15.3%. Despite this trend, leading drug companies like Pfizer (nyse: PFE - news - people ), Merck (nyse: MRK - news - people ) and Bristol-Myers Squibb (nyse: BMY - news - people ) have all seen their share prices decline over the last two years, though they have rebounded lately. Even large and highly profitable companies like General Electric (nyse: GE - news - people ) have felt the effects. Perhaps for that reason, total out-of-pocket spending on health care rose by $12 billion, to $212.5 billion, and out-of-pocket spending on prescription drugs rose $6.1 billion, to $48.6 billion. Meanwhile, health insurers like Aetna (nyse: AET - news - people ), UnitedHealth Group (nyse: UNH - news - people ) and WellPoint Health Networks (nyse: WLP - news - people ) have all seen their share prices rise by at least 50% over the last two years. Natasha Vita-More wrote: > >From: "Harvey Newstrom" > > > > > How about "ageless" as a word? We aren't growing older toward dying of > > > old-age. But it implies nothing about living forever or not dying by some > > > other means. > > "Ageless Thinking" talk I presented at Alcor Technology Conference, and > essay in my book (1996). > > http://www.natasha.cc/ageless.htm > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From determinism at hotmail.com Fri Jan 9 19:10:12 2004 From: determinism at hotmail.com (Dennis May) Date: Fri, 09 Jan 2004 13:10:12 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] A Challenge For Cold Dark Message-ID: Even a few years ago the Hubble was showing old galaxies at the furthest observable reaches. The latest observations show more of the same. A 13.7 billion year old universe with old galaxies from the very start. Even this article is being very generous in not questioning how the clusters of old galaxies fit into the Big Bang model. Astronomers See Era Of Rapid Galaxy Formation; New Findings Pose A Challenge For Cold Dark Matter Theory http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2004/01/040109064539.htm Dennis May _________________________ Physicist/Engineer/Inventor determinism at hotmail.com _________________________________________________________________ Take advantage of our limited-time introductory offer for dial-up Internet access. http://join.msn.com/?page=dept/dialup From mlorrey at yahoo.com Fri Jan 9 20:03:38 2004 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Fri, 9 Jan 2004 12:03:38 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Moon news In-Reply-To: <63340-22004159184231482@M2W046.mail2web.com> Message-ID: <20040109200338.69941.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> --- "natashavita at earthlink.net" wrote: > > > I can see a way around this. If NASA scraps current projects for a > more exalted program, then the trickle down effect could occur and the > "scrapped" projects could go to private industry where their is a > growing interest, and this could help it along. I got a lot of good > wear out of my best friends' hand-me-down cloths. Of course she has > very expensive taste, but so does NASA. On the negative side, most of the 'irrelevant' projects tend to be science R&D projects, something which the aerospace industry has generally seen as NASA's job for the past three quarter century, and which themselves don't generally generate much profit. On the plus side, it will leave this research to private and state universities, taking the work outside the governmental grant rat race, and the schools generally do a better job of getting the businesses that benefit most to fund these efforts as well. They also tend to obtain the gained knowledge more cost effectively than federal programs. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Yahoo! Hotjobs: Enter the "Signing Bonus" Sweepstakes http://hotjobs.sweepstakes.yahoo.com/signingbonus From paulgrant999 at hotmail.com Fri Jan 9 20:07:42 2004 From: paulgrant999 at hotmail.com (Paul Grant) Date: Fri, 9 Jan 2004 12:07:42 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] RE: TEMPEST: You thought your tinfoil hat was enough? In-Reply-To: Message-ID: <000501c3d6ec$76eee720$5a01a8c0@SIGMA7PG> Dude thats hilarious :) Brilliant, Awesome! :) HAHAHAHAHAAA omard-out -----Original Message----- From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of Dennis May Sent: Friday, January 09, 2004 6:29 AM To: extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org Subject: [extropy-chat] RE: TEMPEST: You thought your tinfoil hat was enough? When I was a senior in college we plastic saran-wrapped every object in a professors office, including a bust of Einstein. We then took sheet rock and walled off the end of the hallway making the office disappear. A table with flowers and pictures on wall completed the look. The same professor had other things done on his birthdays: Live lobster delivered by a man in a guerrilla suit during a lecture. Delivery of a talking doll with personalized lustful messages from teenage girls. His entire office filled with styrofoam beads by blowing them under his door with a shop vac. His entire office filled with balloons. Dennis May _____________________ Physicist/Engineer/Inventor determinism at hotmail.com _________________________________________________________________ Check your PC for viruses with the FREE McAfee online computer scan. http://clinic.mcafee.com/clinic/ibuy/campaign.asp?cid=3963 _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From paulgrant999 at hotmail.com Fri Jan 9 20:25:59 2004 From: paulgrant999 at hotmail.com (Paul Grant) Date: Fri, 9 Jan 2004 12:25:59 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already In-Reply-To: <000001c3d6c5$9915f400$6701a8c0@GREYBOOK> Message-ID: <000001c3d6ef$13911970$5a01a8c0@SIGMA7PG> -----Original Message----- From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of Matus Sent: Friday, January 09, 2004 7:31 AM To: 'ExI chat list' Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already > -----Original Message----- > From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org [mailto:extropy-chat- > bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of Paul Grant > > > > As u can see, I have to agree with Charlie :) > > > > >I think you should refer to the rest of the discussion. Are you > claiming, absolutely, that not only have all wars that have ever > occurred but all wars that could possibly occur are definitely > anti-extropic? Quite a strong assertion. This of course requires you > to define extropic exactly, and war exactly. My point, as was evident > from the discussion was that whether war is extropic is a much more > complicated question. In that discussion Charlie even presented an > example of overthrowing the US government to get rid of the drug laws. > > -To me, war is a question of relevance; are they (whoever) really > relevant to your own extropic efforts? So, do you disagree with the statement then that in all possible cases all wars are definitely anti-extropic? And would you thus agree that under certain relevant circumstances some may be? - Put another way, do think that for *every* case a war is fought, is their a less costly pathway to achieving the same end? I would have no problem stating yes; ergo, war is anti-extropic insofar as it is a tremendously more costly way of doing business, and thus, a less-desireable solution. This is all academic anyway, since really, I don't even think of extropic/anti-extropic as a boolean quality (with a few noteable exceptions, in the process of definining extropy)... Its a sliding scale, something to judge the quality of state versus another state. > Besides, really, think about it... wouldn't you rather bring your > aggressor to your viewpoints of things and have him join his resources > to yours, as opposed to beating him, ]Those who do not subscribe to reason can not be conquered by it. Having dealt with many delusional people, skip reason...figure out how their delusion can be warped to your own ends. You're a state machine, with a utility table. Period. Very effective, btw. ]What do you do when your enemy can not be enlightened? Simple. Make him irrelevant. ]What would you do when you can not convince an armed assailant that he shouldn?t be holding you up or about to murder a loved one? Aaaah, the age old question. Give him the cash. Steal the same amount back from society [upgrade!]. Stall for time. Die. There are tons of options besides killing him. Personally I prefer maiming :) Much more effective :) Of course, the last time I was assaulted was like 10 years ago or so. I've become far more skillful in avoiding physical combat. ]Of course I would prefer my enemy to 'see the light' but I am not so na?ve to think that everyone always will. There is way too much pain and suffering all ready occurring to believe as such. So why not add to it, eh? :) > then spending all that effort > to keep "unruly" portions of your population in line? And no matter > what anyone says, if extropians succeed in their quest, it will be > something worth its weight in gold (read: of > intrinsic value to anyone alive) ]If one person stood in the way of a singularity, and you could not convince him through reason to let a singularity occur, what would you do? Invent a way to negate their influence, or barring that, invent a way to harness their resistence to my own ends. I've always been a fan of the perverse :) ]When members of this list continue to extol the virtues of extropianism while at the same time deriding violence or spreading extropy through any means other than polite conversation, it should come of no surprise that the logical conclusions of these two statements occur as difficult ethical questions. Your young, aren't you? :) Perhaps it is a respect for all life that drives us, eh? A reasoning that one cannot know the future, and that possibility (though it may take longer), offers a greater chance of success. It is a short hop from extending one's own life, to that of others, and perhaps incorporating it as a principle. > >My example of a less extropic government being overthrown by a more > extropic one was merely a quick example, it was not meant to imply that > ANY more extropic government had the right to overthrow any less > extropic one no matter the cost in lives or property. That is of course > ridiculous. > > Well it's a direct consequence of your statement :) I only extended it > to illustrate it. ]I hoped that the apparent relevance of 'less extropic' and 'more extropic' would be obvious, and that the statement would not be taken so literally. I always take things literally. No offense intended, I find it difficult to read people's minds, and so I find it is convenient to assume that what they say mirrors what they are thinking. As I said, no offense intended; for future reference, I always reply to what is said, or barring my being able to make sense of it, probe, or ask for clarification. ]I would not endorse one society that merely taxes computer purchases being overthrown, quite violently, by a nearly identical group whose only difference is that they would not tax computers. That is just a question of degree friend :) > >A more reasonable question (if one can call such questions > reasonable) would be how many lives are worth an increase in extropy, > and how much of an increase? Debates of that sort have been tossed > around on this list all ready. > > No doubt. I dunno, what do you think? Do you think extropy is measured > in number of human lives? Personally I tend to think of it as a > codified survivor instinct without > regard to any of the current mental/spiritual/economic/political > blocks in place :) > Certainly not, as I said in the discussion with Charlie, I attempted to start a thread suggesting we clearly define extropic goals, of course many are all ready listed on extropy sites principles page. A million survivor watching automaton couch potatoes are not extropic at all compared to a handful of productive motivated scientists, so # of lives is not the only extropic consideration. ]aaaah :) but if people are educated, and curious (with the proviso of a survivor instinct above), certes the conclusion becames inescapable; want to live life on your terms (excluding death, disease and sundry other annoying conclusions), better start molding your environment to suit your needs. Want proof, everyone on this list, I'm sure, is engaged in some attempt to achieve said goals. And they all arrived at it independently (supposition on my part, but I think its reasonable). I would suggest that the principles of extropy are primarily based off what drives each of us to adopt a common set of methods, and operating principles (posits, assumptions etc). I'ld be happy to start a discussion with you on said topic, and offering my current viewset as a starting point. It'll sound a little simplistic, I fear, but I tend to write fairly dense statements, preferring a minimal basis, from which the rest can be extrapolated. > >I also noted in that discussion that freedoms are not directly > synonymous with extropy, as the freedom to sit on ones ass all day and > watch TV isn't gonna bring about a singularity, nor would being stoned, > drunk, or visiting strip clubs all day, nor chattering on discussion > board for that matter. In fact a paternalistic big brother esque > society where each person was assigned an area of technological pursuit > and had immortality and extropianism drilled into their head from the > time they were children would probably be the most 'extropic' yet it > would not be very free. > > I would agree with that sentiment (not the big brother), but that > freedom and extropy need not be irrevocably related... I would suggest > though, that life without freedom (and health) would lose its flavor > rather quickly, so perhaps it is highly correlated... ]Certainly, and I highly value both freedom AND extropy! Hehehehe. Me too. :) Michael Dickey _______________________________________________ extropy-chat mailing list extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat From paulgrant999 at hotmail.com Fri Jan 9 20:35:11 2004 From: paulgrant999 at hotmail.com (Paul Grant) Date: Fri, 9 Jan 2004 12:35:11 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already In-Reply-To: <006001c3d6e1$e0a6cf80$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <000101c3d6f0$62890d70$5a01a8c0@SIGMA7PG> -----Original Message----- From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of Harvey Newstrom Sent: Friday, January 09, 2004 10:53 AM To: 'ExI chat list' Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already Michael Dickey wrote, This is my point exactly. As extropians, we are supposed to be intelligent people with optimism, smart technology and future solutions. Can't we think up something besides guns, murder, lying and war? --- There is always that free state project :) omard-out From mlorrey at yahoo.com Fri Jan 9 20:35:11 2004 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Fri, 9 Jan 2004 12:35:11 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] LUDD: VT House told GM regs unconstitutional Message-ID: <20040109203511.51660.qmail@web12904.mail.yahoo.com> VT House told GM Regulations Unconstitutional by Mike Lorrey A Vermont State House of Representatives committee was told yesterday by the State Secretary of Agriculture Steve Kerr that any attempt by the state to restrict the right of farmers to use genetically modified seeds in their crops would be found unconstitutional by the courts. The State Dept of Agriculture issues recommendations to farmers who choose to use GM seeds regarding creating boundaries that will limit DNA drift into neighboring crops. However, in testimony before the House Agriculture Committee, the Secretary said, "Any kind of appraisal that would stigmatize genetically engineered foods would not stand constitutional muster." The recommendations his department makes are "perhaps the only permissible approach because we cannot create mandatory rules of the road," he told the committee. This summer Kerr asked seed manufacturers, such as Monsanto and Dairlyand Seed Co., to report how much and what tupe of genetically engineered seeds they sold in Vermont in 2002. They have until Jan 15th to comply. So far five of seven companies have submitted data. "It's not perfect year for reporting," Kerr said, "We're still working out the bugs." This is a marked change from a few years ago, when Vermont, under the leadership of former Governor, now Presidential Candidate Howard Dean, was the leader of a national effort to restrict the use of BGH in dairy cows, and ultimately fought for labelling on containers of dairy products that use, or are free of, such milk. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Yahoo! Hotjobs: Enter the "Signing Bonus" Sweepstakes http://hotjobs.sweepstakes.yahoo.com/signingbonus From extropy at unreasonable.com Fri Jan 9 21:12:16 2004 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Fri, 09 Jan 2004 16:12:16 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Moon news In-Reply-To: <20040109200338.69941.qmail@web12907.mail.yahoo.com> References: <63340-22004159184231482@M2W046.mail2web.com> Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20040109152840.033923a0@mail.comcast.net> Every report I've seen in the press on Bush's supposed plans has the identical quote from this guy, sometimes as an unnamed expert. This is the New York Times' version: >One expert on NASA management, Harold E. McCurdy of American University, >said that if, in fact, the plan was to go to the moon, the overall goal >would be broader. > >"The ultimate purpose of going back to the moon is not to go the moon," >Mr. McCurdy said. "It's to go to Mars and explore the inner solar system. >It's like climbing Mount Rainier in preparation for an ascent of Mount >Everest." No one quotes Zubrin or other prominent figures from the Mars Society, or even mentions that if you want to go to Mars, the answer might just be -- go to Mars. The descriptions of Bush's plan so far sound like the same old NASA hooey. Long, slow, expensive projects so that every NASA center gets a piece, the usual aerospace contractors get billions in contracts, and a few dozen humans at best get to go up. I suppose we'll get some useful technologies and accomplishments but it will come at a heavy price. I'm mostly afraid that it will interfere with private space projects -- particularly with legal restraints. BTW, debka.com reported a while back that experiences with Afghanistan and Iraq made it clear to DOD that we have to invest more in protecting our space assets. This shows up as an understated aside at the end of the NYT piece, and may be the most important aspect of the news: >Congressional aides also said they expected the announcement to detail a >reorganization of the nation's space effort, to bring the military and >civilian sides closer together to make better use of limited resources. -- David Lubkin. From cryofan at mylinuxisp.com Fri Jan 9 21:16:34 2004 From: cryofan at mylinuxisp.com (randy) Date: Fri, 09 Jan 2004 15:16:34 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] A Challenge For Cold Dark In-Reply-To: References: Message-ID: <7e6uvv8l4f4hc09abi8q8km1vnsljfmm8b@4ax.com> On Fri, 09 Jan 2004 13:10:12 -0600, you wrote >Even a few years ago the Hubble was showing old galaxies >at the furthest observable reaches. The latest observations >show more of the same. A 13.7 billion year old universe with >old galaxies from the very start. Even this article is being >very generous in not questioning how the clusters of old >galaxies fit into the Big Bang model. > >Astronomers See Era Of Rapid Galaxy Formation; >New Findings Pose A Challenge For Cold Dark >Matter Theory > > Isn't clear by now that we really do not understand what the universe is, and that we should just assume that it is eternal, everlasting, whatever. That way we don't hamstring ourselves when it comes to dealing with issues involving possible future long term life extension..... ------------- From thespike at earthlink.net Fri Jan 9 21:21:02 2004 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Fri, 9 Jan 2004 15:21:02 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Moon news References: <63340-22004159184231482@M2W046.mail2web.com> <5.1.0.14.2.20040109152840.033923a0@mail.comcast.net> Message-ID: <014a01c3d6f6$7e65b740$a8994a43@texas.net> From: "David Lubkin" Sent: Friday, January 09, 2004 3:12 PM > No one quotes Zubrin or other prominent figures from the Mars Society, or > even mentions that if you want to go to Mars, the answer might just be -- > go to Mars. No one mentions that if you want to stay on Mars rather than going briefly and coming back, the answer might just be -- stay on Earth. For the next decade or so (as is planned anyway). Put all that loot into nanotechnology and other bootstraps. Then build a skyhook or a diamonoid launch platform or something equally radical. Meanwhile, send probes if you really must. Damien Broderick From duggerj1 at charter.net Fri Jan 9 21:45:08 2004 From: duggerj1 at charter.net (duggerj1 at charter.net) Date: Fri, 9 Jan 2004 15:45:08 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Drive on Mars in your Pajamas. Message-ID: <200401092144.i09LiewL068134@mxsf27.cluster1.charter.net> Friday, 09 January 2004 Hello all, NASA released the rover control software and Mars data sets for people to try at home. It's not quite telepresence, but it's still a very nice toy. I've not seen nor heard this mentioned in all the coverage, so each of you can be the first on your block to "drive on Mars". http://mars.telascience.org/ Use the BitTorrent links if you can. We now return you to the threads in progress. Jay Dugger : Til Eulenspiegel http://www.owlmirror.net/Aduggerj/ Sometimes the delete key serves best. From matus at matus1976.com Fri Jan 9 22:28:09 2004 From: matus at matus1976.com (Matus) Date: Fri, 9 Jan 2004 17:28:09 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already In-Reply-To: <006001c3d6e1$e0a6cf80$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <000001c3d6ff$df8202f0$6701a8c0@GREYBOOK> > -----Original Message----- > From: extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org [mailto:extropy-chat- > bounces at lists.extropy.org] On Behalf Of Harvey Newstrom > > Michael Dickey wrote, > > My statement that sometimes war may be extropic is a strong > > assertion? How so? Seems like that absolute that war is > > *always* anti-extropic is the strong assertion, since it > > requires not only a clear definition of extropic but one of > > war as well. > > People who have been on this list generally know what the Extropian > Principles are. You can nit-pick on particular interpretations if you > want, > but you can't assume that nobody has defined them yet. > Nor did I say they were not defined, but checking out the extropian principles reveals many not accurately defined statements. >From - http://www.extropy.org/principles.htm Extropy - The extent of a living or organizational system's intelligence, functional order, vitality, and capacity and drive for improvement Extropic - Actions, qualities, or outcomes that embody or further extropy So we have the extent of a systems intelligence, its order, its 'vitality', capacity for improvement, and its drive for improvement. Are these 'clearly' defined? E.g. what is the 'extent of a systems intelligence' the # of intelligent beings? (think of billions of couch potatoes or peasant agrarian farmers, not very extropian) The speed of information storage and retrieval (books vs computer databases) Speed of information exchange between intelligent systems? (snail mail vs. email) etc. etc. etc. "Extropy" is not meant as a real entity or force, but only as a metaphor representing all that contributes to our flourishing" Ah, is it then a clearly defined metaphor? Of course, I think it would be extraordinarily difficult to define 'extropic' since extropic progress requires intelligence, freedom to act on intelligence, motivation to do something with intelligence, science to collect knowledge, technology do extend and better our lives, etc. etc. Which is of these is most important? Which is least important? Do you care to quantify them? Without having to, I will make the assertion that a society which is statist (denies progress) luddite (despises technology) oppressive (denies freedom) and mystic (denies science) is far less extropic than one that embraces all those things. And as such, I would further assert that a war between these two societies, of similar populations, where one person was killed on the less free society (Brother number 1 say) and none were killed in the freer society, and as a result the oppressive luddite mystic society was turned into a dynamic, open, and technological progressive society. Such a 'war' I would certainly call extropic. However, it would not be as extropic as merely convincing Brother # 1 over a cup of tea that this is what he should do, and him agreeing. Even though, yeah, it would be pretty if the brother #1 decided to resign and enact the changes himself, and it was 'bad' to have to resort to a 'war', but the world is imperfect. Lets add that brother # 1 was killing 1,000 people per year in gulags for owning computers, thinking independent thoughts, or writing poetry. But, 10 people were killed in the war, and 1 person on the freer side was killed. Still extropic? Make that 100 people, and 10 people, respectively, etc. etc. Lets add that Brother # 1 was funding revolutions in neighboring territories, demanding killing quotas, and was intent on attacking said free nation. Suffice to say, your idealistic extropic paradise where everyone eventually sees reason and the bad guys are only people vilified by the good guys is absurd in a world where 170 million people were killed by very regressive, very mystic, and very oppressive societies. Additionally, as I have been arguing *some* wars may be considered extropic, certainly not ALL WARS. But various methods of attaining goals differ in levels of extropy, ranging from very extropic (merely changing opponents mind with discussion) to very anti-extropic. > People also generally know what war means. You made your assertions about > war without having to create a more rigorous definition of the term. If > the > term is generally good enough for you, it is generally good enough for > other > people. You seem to be requiring a higher burden of proof for other > people > than for yourself. Because other people are making absolutist statements, statement that have no single fact that suggests they are wrong. Saying 'ALL WARS ARE ANTI-EXTROPIC' is absolute and definite. *ALL WARS* (no doubt there) *ARE* (again, pretty clear) *ANTI-EXTROPIC (again, no room for doubt is left). To make such a sweeping absolutist statement, one must be clear about what we are talking about. I am not making an absolute assertion; I merely assert that surely, in some cases, given specific circumstances, SOME wars (maybe only one, maybe four) could be considered extropic. As an example, I present the case above. > > > "To positively assert whether something was extropic or not, > > you will have to define what criteria makes something > > extropic, and how much of it was present before and how much > > present afterward. This would probably be quite an > > undertaking, yet you are all ready absolutely positive that > > *all* wars are anti-extropic." > > That is like saying that to avoid a car crash, you have to define exactly > what "avoidance" means, exactly what a "car crash" is, No, its likes saying 'All car crashes are bad' I don't know what you area talking about. Car crash = two cars unintentionally run into each other, or a car unintentionally hits a fixed object Bad = Someone is hurt There, as simple as that, I proved my assertion that all car crashes are bad. Of course, one could imagine getting hit by some wealthy negligent fello who needed to be taught a life lesson about responsibility, and victim, getting minor injuries, receives monetary compensation from negligent rich fella, and rich fella learns valuable lesson. Or Habitual drunken driver hits fixed object, a rock say, receives minor injuries, but realizes he could have killed someone, and changes his ways. Might either of these crashes be considered good? Good to whom? Good as a net whole for everyone? Or good for the victim or perpetrator? > We do NOT need exact quantitative analysis to make a qualitative judgment. > I think there is more evidence and experience showing that "war is bad" > than > "war is good". Only warmongers and terrorists think that we should > inflict > some war on "them" to get greater results for "us". I did not disagree that all war is bad, I disagreed that all war is absolutely anti-extropic. If you fail to see the difference we are certainly having a problem communicating. All war is bad, make no mistake, I believe as much, all killing is bad as well. But just as the car crash examples above, some good can come of 'bad' things. I am hesitant to repeat such phrases as all encompassing and as sweeping generalizations as 'war is bad' because that statement implies too many different things to too many different people. Harvey, do you consider me a warmonger or a terrorist? > > > What do we do when their proponents will not listen to reason? > > This is a key requirement for war. You must dehumanize your enemy to the > point that it is not possible to negotiate or reason with them. You did not answer the question. What do we do when they do not listen to reason? When they insist on continuing to kill vast portions of their populations, when they insist on remaining closed, oppressive and totalitarian. Shall we just keep hoping they see reason? For how long? How many people must die before you give up your idealistic fancifull pacifist utopia and realize that there are some people who are bad. Maybe an OPT god can convince them to see the light, but how many people must we watch them murder while debate rages on? They will > never agree to anything else, so we must kill them. We have to eliminate > all other possible options before the "final solution" becomes the only > one > left. > And what if the 'final solution' is the only one left? > As Extropians, we should be seeing more and more options all the time, not > less and less. War should be less likely and less useful as we progress > into the future. And it has become less and less likely, and less and less needed, thankfully. > War is the opposite of extropy. War means that there > are > no possible solutions, we give up, we can't oppose the other side, so we > will just kill them. Or we are sick of seeing them killing other people, or it becomes clear that they threaten our way of life, or they are crazy and just want to kill as many people as possible, or they want to thrust all of humanity into darker ages then we have ever known. Again, I feel you simplify complex subjects too much. > > > To suggest, as I did, that > > maybe some wars are indeed extropic requires me to present > > merely one single example of a war that would reasonably be > > considered extropic. To do this, and prove it to you, > > Charlie, and Paul would likely require a lengthy discussion > > just to define extropic and to define war. But are you so > > sure that ANY possible war is definitely NOT extropic? > > Typical losing-position approach. You want to assert it, but it would > take > too long to explain why. Its an unproductive waste of time. You want to push the burden of proof to the > other > side. You want them to prove a negative (that no war could ever be > extropic), Proving all wars are anti-extropic is proving a positive. > while you refuse to prove a positive (just give one example). Or you could be asking me to prove a negative (all wars are not anti-extropic) Of course, I never said "ALL" you conveniently added that, I said "some" All is absolute and all inclusive, some is not. I need only make a reasonable case the some hypothetical example exists that is counter to whatever all encompassing statement is made. All red heads are male is absolute. Some redheads are female is not, I need only demonstrate one female red head to prove my point, you need to prove that all read heads are male. > You also claim that your position hasn't been disproved yet, nobody has > proved that all war is always entropic and never can be, so your argument > still stands undefeated. A lack of defeat (yet) does not equal proof. Again, Harvey, I never said "ALL" you added that. Charlie et al however, did say "ALL" Oddly enough, the fact that he and Paul Grant said "ALL" is the primary point I hold in contention, yet it is the single thing you get wrong in my argument. > > > If you wanted to try to > > convince Hitler and Stalin that War was bad, I'm all for it, > > but once tanks start rolling over us, I'm defending myself. > > We could say that 'killing is bad' as well, but in saying > > that am I giving up my right to self defense? > > There is a big difference between defending yourself from violence and > initiating violence. The libertarians and older extropians on this board > used to understand that. This idea of pre-emptive strikes and initiating > force on people who haven't attacked us is definitely not extropian. It > never has been and never will be. So says you. I guess everyone who disagrees with you isn't extropian! I would ask you to answer the ethical questions I have proposed before on this list then You are standing in line, side by side, with ten other people. A man is walking down the line shooting each person in the head, starting at the other end of the line. BAM BAM BAM BAM hes coming closer to you, BAM BAM BAM BAM BAM ..... What can you do? You have a gun. He has not threatened you yet, he has not pointed the gun at your head, or even in your general direction. Your society is a progressive, open, technology friendly society. On the other side of the world, is a closed, repressive, totalitarian society. Your two countries are of equal power, the repressive society begins an active campaign of expansion. Turning all neighboring societies, one by one, into societies ruled by proxy just like the parent country. Eventually, half of the worlds countries are consumed, and the power of that country has quadrupled. Reports of mass democide and horrific conditions are prevalent. The leaders of that country insist they will not bother you. The NCP Libertarians, pacifists, and idealists in your society insist that if you leave them alone, they wont bother you. That it is wrong to initiate force unless you are attacked directly. The hawks and warmongers insist that this country is bent on taking over the entire world, and that if you wait too long, you will not even be able to oppose them. > > (And for the record, no I don't believe that Iraq was part of the 9/11 > attacks or had weapons of mass destruction. I do believe that we > pre-emptively attacked a country that neither attacked us nor were capable > of attacking us. No, I don't think the Iraq war is extropic.) For the record, I, tentatively, do think it was extropic. But whatever we think will not change whether it ends up being extropic or not. > > > > > A more reasonable question (if one can call such questions > > > > reasonable) would be how many lives are worth an increase in > > > > extropy, and how much of an increase? > > > > > > No we can not call such questions reasonable. I don't know why it > > > keeps coming up on this list. > > > > Yet if one is to assert that all wars are anti-extropic, then > > this is a question that MUST be answered before making that > > determination. All wars include loss of life. How extropic > > is a single life? What do we mean when we say 'extropic' in > > the first place? > > Sorry if I haven't made myself clear. ZERO LOSS OF LIFE is extropic. ANY > LOSS OF LIFE is entropic. Ah, so Pol Pots death was entropic? Is # of lives the only thing with which you gauge extropy on? For the record, I agree with you, I think any loss of life is entropic as well, but there are many components to extropy, # of lives only being one of them. Also, all my ethical judgments are NOT based solely on what is extropic and entropic, as I have argued, many freedoms I love and enjoy (and still others I value but do not partake in) could probably not be considered extropic. > Now I know that the world isn't perfect, and we > can't prevent all loss of life. But I certainly don't want anybody > planning > loss of life as part of their master plan. Especially any final solution > where the loss of life is directed at one group while a different group > benefits. Nor do I, is that what you think I am doing? I fear your impression of me is prejudiced by what you think I am trying to say, instead of what I am actually saying. Merely that some wars, under some conditions (note, 'SOME' not 'ALL) could be considered extropic (that is, creating a more progressive, open, technological and science friendly world) > > > > It almost seems as if there is a subgroup of people who > > > keep trying to justify committing violence as part of > > > the extropian agenda. > > > > And it seems that there is a subgroup of people content to > > let us be overrun by murderous oppressive regimes for fear of > > taking a single like to defend our very extropic (thought not > > extropic enough) society. > > Only people who cannot conceive of any answer besides murder, terrorism > and > war would make such a statement. Ah, so if I made such a statement, than I can not conceive of any answer besides murder, terrorism, and war. What was that you were saying about vilifying the enemy? 'Only a murderer would say such a thing!!!' Can we keep this discussion a little more intelligent? Its one thing to disagree with me, its another entirely to call me a warmongering murdering terrorist. And I of course disagree with your premise that 'only people who can not conceive...would make such a statement' If there are other options, then it is > perfectly possible to pursue them without resorting to murder, terrorism > and > war. Of course!!! But what if there ARE NO OTHER OPTIONS!! This is a point I have yet to see you address. > The refusal to initiate force does not equal a lack of self-defense. > Every libertarian knows that. Do they? I think they confuse the NCP sometimes and self defense. I have had some discussions on my mailing list about that very subject. For example, what is self defense? Does someone merely need to wave a gun at you in a threatening manner (what is a threatening manner?) do they actually need to shoot at you (after all, maybe they never intended on shooting you or even pulling the trigger) What if they shoot everyone in a line (consider my above ethical question) There are many scenarios where self defense and the NCP have no clear answers. > > > Yes, War is bad, and killing is also bad. So is lying, > > stealing, cheating, etc. But the real world is cold, > > complex, and unforgiving, and sometimes things must be done > > that we prefer not to do in order to ensure the continuation > > of the things we value. I may steal bread to feed my > > starving self or family, I may lie to protect the feelings of > > someone I care about, I may kill someone in self defense, and > > my country may go to war when threatened by a clearly and > > significantly less extropic, less free, murderous and > > oppressive government. > > This is my point exactly. As extropians, we are supposed to be > intelligent > people with optimism, smart technology and future solutions. Can't we > think > up something besides guns, murder, lying and war? Of course, but what if... As long as you think > these things are bad and work to avoid them, then we are in agreement. > But They are unavoidable? Regards Michael Dickey From asa at nada.kth.se Fri Jan 9 23:13:21 2004 From: asa at nada.kth.se (Anders Sandberg) Date: Sat, 10 Jan 2004 00:13:21 +0100 (MET) Subject: [extropy-chat] Moon news In-Reply-To: <014a01c3d6f6$7e65b740$a8994a43@texas.net> References: <63340-22004159184231482@M2W046.mail2web.com><5.1.0.14.2.20040109152840.033923a0@mail.comcast.net> <014a01c3d6f6$7e65b740$a8994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <1608.213.112.90.167.1073690001.squirrel@webmail.nada.kth.se> Damien Broderick said: > > No one mentions that if you want to stay on Mars rather than going briefly > and coming back, the answer might just be -- stay on Earth. For the next > decade or so (as is planned anyway). Put all that loot into nanotechnology > and other bootstraps. Then build a skyhook or a diamonoid launch platform > or > something equally radical. Meanwhile, send probes if you really must. > > Damien Broderick There seem to be two approaches to really going to space. One is to use the cheapest, tried-and-true technology you can find - possibly using it in unorthodox ways, but in general make sure you don't have to wait and don't have to assume any technological development. The other one is to wait for more advanced technology to appear in other areas, and then apply it. It is a gamble, but you may get more performance for the same price later, and in many applications you get finished faster. For example, if you have a large computing problem it might pay to wait for faster machines rather than running it longer on a slow machine. In space travel the travel time is likely not the most sensitive aspect to technology development (unless it enables extremely high ISP gains; the rest is just gravity) but rather launch cost, miniaturization and price of the components will be affected more. So the waiters might not get there first, but they are far more likely to be able to stay. Perhaps even more important is the development times of projects. It is not obvious how fast they will decrease *if* they decrease - in a situation of fast technological change adapting new unexpected capabilities that arrive while planning might cause delays. Especially if accelerating development makes it attractive to wait just a little bit more for the next breakthrough... -- Anders Sandberg http://www.nada.kth.se/~asa http://www.aleph.se/andart/ The sum of human knowledge sounds nice. But I want more. From asa at nada.kth.se Fri Jan 9 23:25:41 2004 From: asa at nada.kth.se (Anders Sandberg) Date: Sat, 10 Jan 2004 00:25:41 +0100 (MET) Subject: [extropy-chat] Belated new year greetings Message-ID: <1661.213.112.90.167.1073690741.squirrel@webmail.nada.kth.se> By the way, hi everyone! I have been somewhat decoupled from the list due to workload over the last months, but hopefully I get the chance to interact more now. Some news: I have started a blog, http://www.aleph.se/andart/ I don't know what it will become, but it will definitely evolve over the next weeks. I will be spending the winter and early spring at least developing a major exhibition about neuroscience that will tour Sweden in 2005. It is fun, both from a popular science perspective and a transhumanist perspective - mental enhancement and transhumanist issues will be an integral part of it. Other than that, it is the usual mixture of academic work, think tank writing and random research/roleplaying. Happy new year everyone! -- Anders Sandberg http://www.nada.kth.se/~asa http://www.aleph.se/andart/ The sum of human knowledge sounds nice. But I want more. From extropy at unreasonable.com Fri Jan 9 23:49:37 2004 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Fri, 09 Jan 2004 18:49:37 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Moon news In-Reply-To: <014a01c3d6f6$7e65b740$a8994a43@texas.net> References: <63340-22004159184231482@M2W046.mail2web.com> <5.1.0.14.2.20040109152840.033923a0@mail.comcast.net> Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20040109175836.030951d8@mail.comcast.net> I wrote: > No one quotes Zubrin or other prominent figures from the Mars Society, or > even mentions that if you want to go to Mars, the answer might just be -- > go to Mars. to which Damien retorted: >No one mentions that if you want to stay on Mars rather than going briefly >and coming back, the answer might just be -- stay on Earth. For the next >decade or so (as is planned anyway). Put all that loot into nanotechnology >and other bootstraps. Then build a skyhook or a diamonoid launch platform or >something equally radical. Meanwhile, send probes if you really must. They could say that, too, but Zubrin recently testified before the Commerce Committee of the US Senate. It would be reasonable to expect a minimally competent reporter who covers space to be aware of this and get a reaction quote. It's curious that none did, at least none that Google News is aware of. Thinking of nanotech, though, is far beyond any competency I'd expect from journalism. Anyway. The Case for Mars plan is cheap, pay-for-results, and builds a permanent complex on Mars. It is not "going briefly and coming back." But, if I were in the position of allocating investment dollars, I'd put my space effort into bringing back a nickel-iron asteroid. Set up shop for mining, manufacturing, and space construction somewhere convenient, like geosynch, L-4, or L-5. Bova et al outlined a reasonable scenario for doing this nearly off-the-shelf twenty years ago. I keep expecting to hear that Paul Allen has funded it. Hundreds of millions of tons of metal and organics in a useful Up location is a major bootstrap for anything else you want to do in space, and I think would have a lot of synergy with nanotech. -- David Lubkin. From bradbury at aeiveos.com Sat Jan 10 00:23:15 2004 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Fri, 9 Jan 2004 16:23:15 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Moon news In-Reply-To: <5.1.0.14.2.20040109175836.030951d8@mail.comcast.net> Message-ID: On Fri, 9 Jan 2004, David Lubkin wrote: > Thinking of nanotech, though, is far beyond any competency I'd expect from > journalism. Journalists are catching up faster than you might think from where I sit. Perhaps due to the fact that they can't escape from more informed writers who simply throw stuff onto the net without having to make a living as a journalist. Its tough to push ca-ca when a Google search will cleearly show it as such. > Anyway. The Case for Mars plan is cheap, pay-for-results, and builds a > permanent complex on Mars. It is not "going briefly and coming back." But, but but... Zubrin gets so close to the dismantlement of the planet with the construction of solar cells for power sources then doesn't follow through. I believe anyone who is an extropian who believes nanotechnology will develop reasonably rapidly (say within a century) would be foolish to support any Mars colonization or even Mars human visitation efforts. There is no point to expending resources to put humans at the bottom of another gravity well. Hell, on Mars the atmosphere is so thin one doesn't even have the protection from asteroids, comets, UV and gamma rays that one has on earth. It is *stupid* to expend large amounts of resources to go there. O'Neill space based colonies or even asteroid based colonies make much more sense. If a Mars program would cost $100B consider what that could do if invested in nanotech development... > But, if I were in the position of allocating investment dollars, I'd put my > space effort into bringing back a nickel-iron asteroid. Set up shop for > mining, manufacturing, and space construction somewhere convenient, like > geosynch, L-4, or L-5. Bova et al outlined a reasonable scenario for doing > this nearly off-the-shelf twenty years ago. I keep expecting to hear that > Paul Allen has funded it. Let Paul finish the X-prize first, then deal with the asteroid as a follow-up effort. (Though I strongly agree with the strategy.) > Hundreds of millions of tons of metal and organics in a useful Up location > is a major bootstrap for anything else you want to do in space, and I think > would have a lot of synergy with nanotech. It does. Robert From thespike at earthlink.net Sat Jan 10 00:39:34 2004 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Fri, 9 Jan 2004 18:39:34 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Moon news References: <63340-22004159184231482@M2W046.mail2web.com><5.1.0.14.2.20040109152840.033923a0@mail.comcast.net> <5.1.0.14.2.20040109175836.030951d8@mail.comcast.net> Message-ID: <01da01c3d712$3b3c5a20$a8994a43@texas.net> ----- Original Message ----- From: "David Lubkin" Sent: Friday, January 09, 2004 5:49 PM > Thinking of nanotech, though, is far beyond any competency I'd expect from > journalism. That's true, sort of, but then I'm a journalist, sort of, and in 2001 I had a long cataogue piece on Mars and beyond in a major exhibition of that name which is still touring Australian museums. No impact on GWB, it's true, or the American taxpayer, but it's an existence proof. :) I'll paste in a sample below. > But, if I were in the position of allocating investment dollars, I'd put my > space effort into bringing back a nickel-iron asteroid. > Hundreds of millions of tons of metal and organics in a useful Up location > is a major bootstrap for anything else you want to do in space, and I think > would have a lot of synergy with nanotech. Indeed, but again a moderately mature molecular fabrication system might be expected to round up, smelt and return to LEO (or wherever) all the asteroid metals you could wish, without sending humans out to do it (and die or at least damage themselves horribly). Here's a chunk of my piece, which has now been read by many tens of thousands of people. I've been describing a classic skyhook: ======== A staggeringly expensive project, even using molecular mechanosynthesis, it will pay for itself many times over by replacing rockets with elevators driven by electricity powered by solar energy freely available and abundant beyond our atmosphere. What is more, building skyhooks is easier on the Moon and Mars, and eventually it will be possible to use robot construction machines to spin the great cables for us with no human supervision. Rather than expend decades on rocket flights to Mars, it might turn out to be cheaper and quicker, in the long run, to invest in a major research and development effort in industrial nanotechnology able to fabricate skyhooks for interplanetary travel. That way we'd have the benefits of nano for all manner of useful purposes, and an attaintable highway to space in the bargain. What is more, the trouble--and the great delight--of making such projections into expected future technologies is that once you introduce such a novelty as nanotechnology, everything else is liable to change in unexpected ways. If you have access to advanced nanofacture, you might wish to build other things. I playfully called the space hook a Beanstalk, but in the fairy story the giant's Beanstalk grew upward from the soil, it did not hang down from the sky. Might we use molecular or other advanced methods to grow a ladder or tower upward into the clouds and far, far beyond them? NASA scientists Dr Geoffrey Landis and Craig Cafarelli have done the engineering calculations. It seems that an immensely tall tower could indeed be built. The stresses in a diamond tower with its mighty footings deep in rock would be compressive, squeezing downward, the contrary of that outward tension tearing at a space thread. Small shifts in the crust would put it at risk of toppling or buckling, so active computerised management would be necessary to ensure stability. Further calculations show that a blend of skyhook satellite and very tall tower might be the optimal mix, using less materials and cheaper to build. But these same technologies have suggested a quite different audacious scheme to Dr J. Storrs Hall, one of the few people to have devoted a lot of disciplined effort to exploring the prospects of nanotechnology. His notion is strange, but remarkably simple and perhaps elegant in the way of the Eiffel Tower. He proposes a Launch Pier a hundred kilometres tall, extending above all but the last of the atmosphere, and three hundred long. It would resemble the world's largest trestle, built from slender diamond-like towers marching beyond the horizon like impossibly tall spidery radio transmitters. At their top, a colossal rail structure would lead to an edge I can imagine base-jumpers lining up for months to jump off. The rails would carry magnetically levitated spacecraft, accelerating them smoothly for 80 seconds at a crushing but acceptable 10 gravities. Released at the end of their 300 km run, spared the burden of carrying most of their own propellent, spacecraft would head for orbit along computer-specified trajectories, correcting their paths with exquisite changes of velocity from their conventional rockets. From the ground, you would not be able to see the immense launch platform lost in the haze of air far beneath it. Perhaps you would only see a few of the great struts plunging upward into the blue. Sunlight, effectively undiminished, would shine through the lacy thing upon crops. There'd be no noise, except where great gantries and elevators carried their loads into the skies, powered not by expensive rocket fuel but by cheap electricity (which might well be generated from solar energy at the top of the trestle). How much would such a marvel cost to build? Hall claims it could be built today, using available technology and materials, although at exorbitant expense. With moderately early nanotechnology to spin the half million tonnes of struts, plus magnetic coils and electronics, that impossible price might plunge to $500,000,000, or more conservatively $10 billion. By comparison, 300 kilometres of superhighway today costs at least a billion dollars; building the Hubble Space Telescope, hoisting it into orbit and then repairing it took $3.2 billion; the International Space Station's bill will be more than $20 billion. The Apollo mission to the Moon cost $24 billion in 1960 dollars.. but today its mighty Saturn launch vehicles have been dismantled and even their engineering plans were destroyed. Hall notes: `If an Apollo-style (and -cost) project could do for diamond what the original one did for electronics, we could build the tower in the next decade or so.' Operating costs could fall to $1 per kilogram lifted into orbit. Today's costs using rockets are 10,000 times higher. In short, a major push in developing molecular nanotechnology could pay off by reducing the cost of this dramatic launch platform into space--and provide us with all the other benefits of matter compilers almost as an incidental. Those benefits will probably include inexpensive consumer goods, perhaps including foods, clothing, safe terrestrial transport, shelter and computation. That implies a complete and perhaps catastrophic shake-up in the global economy, as we shift from a world of scarcity to one of plenty within a brief period of time. During such an upheaval, will anyone be thinking seriously about exploring the Solar System and beyond? Yes--because even with the new opportunities for intelligent recycling that nanotechnology affords us, we'll want all the extra resources we can find. And space--in the form of asteroids, but also moons and planets, will be an abundant source of raw materials for a very long time, without the disturbing moral costs that should have troubled our colonising ancestors. iii Finding clever ways to lift cheaply into orbit is just the first step, but it is a step that takes us a long way, for it has been said that low earth orbit is `halfway to anywhere'. While that is true, it depends on how long you are willing to spend getting anywhere. By rocket from Earth orbit, the Moon is several days distant. Coasting most of the way, getting to Mars and back takes many months. Can we speed up the trip? And is your journey really necessary? Several ingenious methods have been explored for boosting crewed spacecraft to the nearest planets and the asteroids. You can fire tremendous laser beams at the frail extended butterfly wings of a light-jammer, pushing it gentle but inexorable into the void on the pressure of light itself. That sounds absurd, but a highly reflective aluminium skin on a light-sail just four or five atoms thick and nearly 700 kilometres across can be driven by sunlight alone to nearly one percent of the speed of light, the maximum velocity in the universe. Actually we can do better than that. A battery of powerful lasers, pumping their blazing beams through a lens 200 metres across, could strike the light-jammer's sail with such force that it would be accelerated in two months to 15 percvent of the speed of light. Conditions on board would be comfortable, because the acceleration would be nearly one g, the force we are used to on Earth from gravity. You do not need to carry all that mass of proppellent with you, and at destination, the craft can be slowed by a number of equally clever means not requiring rockets. One such, suggested by Dr Robert Zubrin, is to deploy an equally vast magnetic sail-field that presses against the `wind' of the interplanetary magnetic medium that suffuses `empty' space. Do we need to make this trip through the horrors of space at all? Might we find ways to avoid the perils of weightlessness (which destroys bone and muscle), radiation storms from the Sun, dangerous micro-debris that can damage a craft or its instruments? A favourite fancy, fuelled now for three decades by Star Trek, is the transporter beam, or instant teleportation from one place to another. Recently this notion has been given some real scientific grounding with the discovery, in relativity theory, that wormholes might be possible. These are links through higher-dimnsional space, joining locations and even times far distant and in principle permiting signals or even objects to pass through, apparently faster than light. Of course the transition would not actually be faster than light, since the distance travelled has been abbreviated. Alas, current thinking argues against the likelihood that wormholes or hyperspace can really allow us to teleport instantly to another world, or even from the surface to a starship propelled by antimatter. One reason for thinking that this sad news is right is the absence of aliens in the Solar Sysytem, let alone the earth. If wormhole travel is easy and available, we'd expect the galaxy to be swarming with star voyagers (assuming that life exists beyond our own planet). That goes as well, admittedly, for near-light-speed star travel, such as light-sails or antimatter-fuelled craft, but such vessels would take years, centuries, even millennia to get to their destinations. That might cramp the enthusiasm of many extraterrestrial species, encouraging them to stay at home and sent small nano-robots exploring in their stead. Such shrunken probes, containing miniaturised artificial intelligence systems perhaps smarter than human brains, could be accelerated inexpensively from their home worlds to nearly the speed of light, spin themselves sails from the interstellar debris as they approach their destination, infest a convenient asteroid or lifeless moon and start to replicate. A nano-seed of this sort could build further probes to explore the new system, and enormous radio or optical transmitters to pump back an encyclopaedia of new information to the home world. True, the society that launched them thousands of years earlier might by then be dead or transformed, but the gale of knowledge would flow across the emptiness between the stars, bringing riches beyond dream to anyone listening. From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Sat Jan 10 00:39:11 2004 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (Kevin Freels) Date: Fri, 9 Jan 2004 18:39:11 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Moon news References: <63340-22004159184231482@M2W046.mail2web.com><5.1.0.14.2.20040109152840.033923a0@mail.comcast.net> <5.1.0.14.2.20040109175836.030951d8@mail.comcast.net> Message-ID: I think that a permanent presence would be extremely valuable for anything, regardless of whether or not MNT comes along soon. To simply have a place with lots of people and industry that's not buried in a deep gravity well like Earth would increase our abilities more than I can even guess. If you could start small and bring asteroids to the moon for processing, it could grow just as rapidly as the US did. It would be even more useful if we came to learn that it is easier to manufacture MNT self-replicators in low or zero g. (I don't know if this would make a difference, but with all the materials research on the ISS I guess it could be possible). ----- Original Message ----- From: "David Lubkin" To: "ExI chat list" Sent: Friday, January 09, 2004 5:49 PM Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Moon news > I wrote: > > > No one quotes Zubrin or other prominent figures from the Mars Society, or > > even mentions that if you want to go to Mars, the answer might just be -- > > go to Mars. > > to which Damien retorted: > > >No one mentions that if you want to stay on Mars rather than going briefly > >and coming back, the answer might just be -- stay on Earth. For the next > >decade or so (as is planned anyway). Put all that loot into nanotechnology > >and other bootstraps. Then build a skyhook or a diamonoid launch platform or > >something equally radical. Meanwhile, send probes if you really must. > > They could say that, too, but Zubrin recently testified before the Commerce > Committee of the US Senate. It would be reasonable to expect a minimally > competent reporter who covers space to be aware of this and get a reaction > quote. It's curious that none did, at least none that Google News is aware of. > > Thinking of nanotech, though, is far beyond any competency I'd expect from > journalism. > > Anyway. The Case for Mars plan is cheap, pay-for-results, and builds a > permanent complex on Mars. It is not "going briefly and coming back." > > But, if I were in the position of allocating investment dollars, I'd put my > space effort into bringing back a nickel-iron asteroid. Set up shop for > mining, manufacturing, and space construction somewhere convenient, like > geosynch, L-4, or L-5. Bova et al outlined a reasonable scenario for doing > this nearly off-the-shelf twenty years ago. I keep expecting to hear that > Paul Allen has funded it. > > Hundreds of millions of tons of metal and organics in a useful Up location > is a major bootstrap for anything else you want to do in space, and I think > would have a lot of synergy with nanotech. > > > -- David Lubkin. > > > _______________________________________________ > extropy-chat mailing list > extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org > http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo/extropy-chat > From thespike at earthlink.net Sat Jan 10 01:26:00 2004 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Fri, 9 Jan 2004 19:26:00 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] http://www.julianbarbour.com/ References: <63340-22004159184231482@M2W046.mail2web.com><5.1.0.14.2.20040109152840.033923a0@mail.comcast.net><5.1.0.14.2.20040109175836.030951d8@mail.comcast.net> <01da01c3d712$3b3c5a20$a8994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <000801c3d718$b82c3e00$c3994a43@texas.net> Some spam prick seems to have sitejacked theoretical physicist Julian Barbour's site. Google's cache shows the same crap. But I'm far from expert on this stuff; anyone have any insight into this annoyance? Damien Broderick From jose_cordeiro at yahoo.com Sat Jan 10 01:28:54 2004 From: jose_cordeiro at yahoo.com (Jose Cordeiro) Date: Fri, 9 Jan 2004 17:28:54 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] What to do with $100B? Mars, Nano or Life? Message-ID: <20040110012854.89171.qmail@web41313.mail.yahoo.com> Dear Robert, You pose a fundamental question. What to do with a hundred billion dollars? I would agree with you that it is a lot of money just to go to Mars, but also just for nanotechnology. With that amount of money, we could probably find the secrets of life extension and even immortality? Your message puts light in a fundamental economic concept: opportunity cost. And between Mars and immortality, I take the second without any doubts. And later I would go to Mars as well:-) Extropianily yours, La vie est belle! Yos? Robert J. Bradbury bradbury at aeiveos.com Fri Jan 9 17:23:15 MST 2004 If a Mars program would cost $100B consider what that could do if invested in nanotech development... La vie est belle! Yos? (www.cordeiro.org) Caracas, Venezuela, Americas, TerraNostra --------------------------------- Do you Yahoo!? Yahoo! Hotjobs: Enter the "Signing Bonus" Sweepstakes -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From avantguardian2020 at yahoo.com Sat Jan 10 01:48:48 2004 From: avantguardian2020 at yahoo.com (The Avantguardian) Date: Fri, 9 Jan 2004 17:48:48 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Fermi Paradox and Simulation Argument In-Reply-To: <011801c3d15a$494a1700$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <20040110014848.97772.qmail@web60505.mail.yahoo.com> My thoughts on: 1. Fermi paradox: Any advanced species from an extrasolar planet would have realized the same Darwinian processes have shaped the life on their world as it has on ours. Knowing that any other advanced species it encounters would more likely represent a competitor than an ally. Especially since life based on selfish replicators such as genes, or even memes for that matter, would converge on similar strategies of kin selection and deception to forward their own ends. Therefore it would seem reasonable that any sufficiently advanced alien species would be too canny to advertise their existence through indiscriminate radio broadcasts for fear of invasion or, if more agressive, to avoid tipping their hands to any potential targets for invasion. The Fermi Paradox could be a little like a naval battle between submarines where each sub is carefully listening to their passive sonars trying to detect enemy subs and is loathe to use their active sonars for fear of allowing the enemy to pinpoint their location. If that is the case, we may already be screwed. 2. Simulation argument: We do all live in a simulation but each person lives in their OWN simulation. It is called the mind which is in essence a simulation being run by the brain of objective reality which can be modelled and approximated but not precisely known. In our own heads we simulate everything from physical phenomenon to the behavior of our neighbors in an attempt to further our own survival. Any further layers of simulation seem redundant and pointless except for recreational value. --------------------------------- Do you Yahoo!? Yahoo! Hotjobs: Enter the "Signing Bonus" Sweepstakes -------------- next part -------------- An HTML attachment was scrubbed... URL: From jcorb at iol.ie Sat Jan 10 02:05:08 2004 From: jcorb at iol.ie (J Corbally) Date: Sat, 10 Jan 2004 02:05:08 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Moon news Message-ID: <5.0.2.1.1.20040110015732.0402aec0@pop.iol.ie> Such a decision by NASA be a boon to other agencies like ESA. They can then push for funding to do the missions NASA would no longer be interested in. Perhaps a lot less duplication of effort, and more cross-agency collaborations eg. ESA and China or India. Then there's the scenario of having NASA run a moonbase on which a high tech lab can study samples dropped off by various unmanned ESA probes "patrolling" the galaxy. Who knows, with a moon refinery and foundry, maybe it'll be Europe who mines the asteroid belt :) James... >Message: 24 >Date: Fri, 9 Jan 2004 12:03:38 -0800 (PST) > >From: Mike Lorrey >Subject: Re: [extropy-chat] Moon news >To: natashavita at earthlink.net, ExI chat list > >Message-ID: <20040109200338.69941.qmail at web12907.mail.yahoo.com> >Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii > >--- "natashavita at earthlink.net" wrote: > > > > > I can see a way around this. If NASA scraps current projects for a > > more exalted program, then the trickle down effect could occur and >the > > "scrapped" projects could go to private industry where their is a > > growing interest, and this could help it along. I got a lot of good > > wear out of my best friends' hand-me-down cloths. Of course she has > > very expensive taste, but so does NASA. >On the negative side, most of the 'irrelevant' projects tend to be >science R&D projects, something which the aerospace industry has >generally seen as NASA's job for the past three quarter century, and >which themselves don't generally generate much profit. >On the plus side, it will leave this research to private and state >universities, taking the work outside the governmental grant rat race, >and the schools generally do a better job of getting the businesses >that benefit most to fund these efforts as well. They also tend to >obtain the gained knowledge more cost effectively than federal programs. >===== >Mike Lorrey >"Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." >- Gen. John Stark >"Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." >- Mike Lorrey >Do not label me, I am an ism of one... >Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com >__________________________________ >Do you Yahoo!? >Yahoo! Hotjobs: Enter the "Signing Bonus" Sweepstakes >http://hotjobs.sweepstakes.yahoo.com/signingbonus > From asa at nada.kth.se Sat Jan 10 02:31:03 2004 From: asa at nada.kth.se (Anders Sandberg) Date: Sat, 10 Jan 2004 03:31:03 +0100 (MET) Subject: [extropy-chat] The Golden Transcendence In-Reply-To: <007e01c3bcf1$10b36b80$6501a8c0@dimension> References: <200312060543.hB65hqM30870@finney.org><004601c3bcea$26086780$6501a8c0@dimension> <007e01c3bcf1$10b36b80$6501a8c0@dimension> Message-ID: <2751.213.112.90.167.1073701863.squirrel@webmail.nada.kth.se> Rafal Smigrodzki said: > I just finished reading the third part of John C. Wright's Golden Age > trilogy, and I am awed. I couldn't agree more. It was a wonderful feeling to see that Wright managed to get the story to wrap up in a nontrivial manner. It is one of the few books where one gets the feeling that characters that are described as smart actually are smart and not just playing. The plot twists have a nice logic and also managed to dispell the risk of having the hero solve everything thanks to his amazing willpower and absolute moral corectitude. Phaeton might be right, but that doesn't mean everybody will automatically obey or believe him or that he will not put himself into deep trouble thanks to his personality. There were several times I was truly afraid that Wright was doing an Ayn Rand channeling, only to - fortunately - have the solemn arguments punctured by sceptic comments by listeners or intercepted by reality. Personally I found the description of Helion's character interesting. Phaeton is in many ways just the opera hero, while Daphne, Atkins and Helion are much more nuanced. Wright manages to make identity engineering and its consequences believable (and very thought provoking; we are going to need an entire vocabulary for the family and emotional issues around it). I was a bit surprised by the length of the historical eras (there is an appendix describing much of the setting, although not in excessive detail); I had the feeling the setting was maybe just a few tens of thousands of years in the future, but it appears to be nearly half a million years ahead. > The one issue I don't understand are the IP laws in the Golden Ecumene - > are > they statutory or merely contractual? If statutory, why are they > (apparently) time-unlimited, which might result in inefficiencies (and > Wright doesn't say how inefficiencies are avoided), and if they are > contractual, how do they become universally enforced? Could it be a mechanism similar to the Hortators, but so low-level that people no longer took notice? Imagine an opt-in economic system where you contractually agree to accept the IP of others and the penalty of breaking it is expulsion. AI maintains the actual fund transfer, control of who owns what IP and so on, so participants do not have to care much about the details. This system becomes just as popular as the Hortators, in fact even more popular: the benefits of joining are so great that everybody and everything joins it, and hence breaking the IP becomes just as bad as a total Hortator ban. Most likely people get various kinds of insurance and insulation from this risk, making it less likely to happen by accident. Over time this system becomes so ubiquitious that it is viewed as the natural way things are. I'm thinking about modelling hortator-like structures in Axelrod's Norm Game. So far there seems to be some interesting effects due to the topology of the social networks. -- Anders Sandberg http://www.nada.kth.se/~asa http://www.aleph.se/andart/ The sum of human knowledge sounds nice. But I want more. From spike66 at comcast.net Sat Jan 10 02:48:34 2004 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Fri, 9 Jan 2004 18:48:34 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Moon news In-Reply-To: <1608.213.112.90.167.1073690001.squirrel@webmail.nada.kth.se> Message-ID: <000101c3d724$3def3ff0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > Anders Sandberg > There seem to be two approaches to really going to space... > Anders Sandberg He's baaaaack! Welcome Anders, we missed ya. spike From extropy at unreasonable.com Sat Jan 10 03:33:12 2004 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Fri, 09 Jan 2004 22:33:12 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Moon news In-Reply-To: <01da01c3d712$3b3c5a20$a8994a43@texas.net> References: <63340-22004159184231482@M2W046.mail2web.com> <5.1.0.14.2.20040109152840.033923a0@mail.comcast.net> <5.1.0.14.2.20040109175836.030951d8@mail.comcast.net> Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20040109200537.0377efc8@mail.comcast.net> Robert Bradbury wrote: >Journalists are catching up faster than you might think from where I sit. >Perhaps due to the fact that they can't escape from more informed writers >who simply throw stuff onto the net without having to make a living as >a journalist. Its tough to push ca-ca when a Google search will cleearly >show it as such. And yet, here it is. Look at how this news is being covered. No one -- reporter, politician, or commentator -- has discussed this story with any greater depth than they would have in 1972. >I believe anyone who is an extropian who believes nanotechnology will >develop reasonably rapidly (say within a century) would be foolish to >support any Mars colonization or even Mars human visitation >efforts. There is no point to expending resources to put humans at the >bottom of another gravity well. > : >If a Mars program would cost $100B consider what that could do if invested >in nanotech development... That's not an option. You aren't going to get $100B for nanotech development. Money will be spent on space projects. This is political reality. The question is which space projects will be most useful of the alternatives that are politically viable. I am not necessarily advocating the Mars project. I *am* saying that it at least needs to be in the public discussion. If the choice is only between the Moon and Mars, there's a decent case that it is more useful to go to Mars now than to go back to the Moon. Of the three space choices we're discussing, I'd pick asteroid mining over the Moon or Mars in a New York minute, except that I want it done privately. In the long run, I think we might be better off delaying asteroid mining over doing it now as a government project. Funding realities aside, I am a belt-and-suspenders kind of guy. Of course I want space-based habitats. But I also want self-supporting human habitats off-world that are minimally dependent on technology, as soon as possible. It's a tremendously useful safety net that we can be dropped with the clothes on our back almost anywhere on this planet and survive. Or that a catastrophic event can set our society back centuries and we can recover. Mars has all the raw materials for life, and we can survive there with lower-tech than on the Moon or in a space-based habitat. Me, I'll take space, but I want somebody living on Mars. Maybe the Amish will go.... I am a strong advocate of nanotech but I don't want to see getting off-world delayed -- (1) Nanotech may be harder than we think. (2) Nanotech, genemods, biowar, or an Eliezer-class AI may jeopardize earthbound sentient life. (3) Asteroid mining is dirt cheap, as in there are many individuals who could personally fund it altogether. (4) As we agreed, there are synergies between developing nano and developing space. Kevin Freels wrote: >I think that a permanent presence would be extremely valuable for anything, >regardless of whether or not MNT comes along soon. To simply have a place >with lots of people and industry that's not buried in a deep gravity well >like Earth would increase our abilities more than I can even guess. >If you could start small and bring asteroids to the moon for processing, it >could grow just as rapidly as the US did. It would be even more useful if we >came to learn that it is easier to manufacture MNT self-replicators in low >or zero g. (I don't know if this would make a difference, but with all the >materials research on the ISS I guess it could be possible). And it would be pretty useful to be able to work on assemblers or genemods on an isolated orbital station, instead of an office park. A lot less reason to fear something bad getting out the door. -- David Lubkin. From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sat Jan 10 03:58:51 2004 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Fri, 9 Jan 2004 19:58:51 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Moon news In-Reply-To: <5.0.2.1.1.20040110015732.0402aec0@pop.iol.ie> Message-ID: <20040110035851.53386.qmail@web12901.mail.yahoo.com> --- J Corbally wrote: > Such a decision by NASA be a boon to other agencies like ESA. They > can then push for funding to do the missions NASA would no longer be > interested > in. Perhaps a lot less duplication of effort, and more cross-agency > collaborations eg. ESA and China or India. > > Then there's the scenario of having NASA run a moonbase on which a > high tech lab can study samples dropped off by various unmanned ESA > probes "patrolling" the galaxy. Who knows, with a moon refinery and > foundry, maybe it'll be Europe who mines the asteroid belt :) Wouldn't that conflict with the EU mining workers unions? ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Yahoo! Hotjobs: Enter the "Signing Bonus" Sweepstakes http://hotjobs.sweepstakes.yahoo.com/signingbonus From fortean1 at mindspring.com Sat Jan 10 03:59:24 2004 From: fortean1 at mindspring.com (Terry W. Colvin) Date: Fri, 09 Jan 2004 20:59:24 -0700 Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD (PvT) Professors at war: Searching for dissent at the MLA Message-ID: <3FFF789C.EB29B315@mindspring.com> < http://www.boston.com/news/globe/ideas/articles/2004/01/04/professors_at_war/ > Professors at war Searching for dissent at the MLA By Scott Jaschik, 1/4/2004 SAN DIEGO -- "Why are you headed to San Diego?" asked the man next to me on the plane. "I'm going to a meeting of English professors to hear what they have to say about the war with Iraq," I replied. "English professors? On the war?" The man smirked. "I can't imagine what they would have to say." Plenty, it turns out. This past week, about 8,000 professors and graduate students gathered here for the annual meeting of the Modern Language Association. Most came for job interviews, to catch up with old friends, and to attend some of the 763 panels of scholars. But among the panels on topics ranging from Hawthorne to Asian cinema to "The Aesthetics of Trash" were a surprising number of sessions dealing with the war in Iraq, terrorism, patriotism, and American foreign policy. Not that there was much actual debate. In more than a dozen sessions on war-related topics, not a single speaker or audience member expressed support for the war in Iraq or in Afghanistan. The sneering air quotes were flying as speaker after speaker talked of "so-called terrorism," "the so-called homeland," "the so-called election of George Bush," and so forth. The approach to the war was certainly wide-ranging -- from cultural studies to rhetoric to literature to pure political speechifying. In a session on "Shock and Awe," Graham Hammill of Notre Dame traced the ideas behind the initial bombing back to the Roman historian and orator Tacitus's idea of arcana imperii, which translates roughly as "mysteries of state." Like Roman emperors who used rhetoric to sway the populace, Hammill argued, the Shock and Awe campaign was a rhetorical gesture aimed at demonstrating US power as much as flattening Baghdad. At a different panel, Cynthia Young of the University of Southern California spoke about how the White House uses Condoleezza Rice and Colin Powell "to create a distorted multiracial mask on imperialism." "What does it mean," Young asked, "when imperialism comes wrapped in a black bow?" Instead of Rice's August speech comparing the Iraqi "liberation" with the civil rights struggle, she recommended the writings of the African-American activist and writer Angela Davis, who once described her alienation from white Americans mourning the death of John F. Kennedy in 1963, but not the four young black girls who died in the Birmingham church bombing that same year. Similar alienation is evident today, Young said, as the United States ignores the problems facing minority citizens while taking over countries where people do not look or worship like white Americans. "The new patriotism looks a lot like the old slash-and-burn imperialism," she declared. Berkeley's Judith Butler, a superstar of gender and literary studies, drew a packed house with her analysis of Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld's bad grammar and slippery use of the term "sovereignty." On a 2002 visit to Eritrea, in response to a question about the detention of dissidents there, Rumsfeld declared: "A country is a sovereign nation and they arrange themselves and deal with their problems in ways that they feel are appropriate to them." Beyond the noun-verb agreement problem with "country" and "they," Butler rapped Rummy's knuckles for redefining sovereignty -- in her analysis -- as "the suspension of legal rights." When the United States is challenged over the detainees held at Guantanamo Bay, American officials assert that US courts have no jurisdiction there because we are not sovereign there, Butler pointed out. "We are using sovereignty to declare war against the law," she said, to nods throughout her talk and loud applause after it. The MLA's deliberative body, the Delegate Assembly, adopted by a landslide margin of 122-8 a resolution supporting "the right of its members to conduct critical analysis of war talk" despite government efforts to "shape language to legitimate aggression, misrepresent policies, conceal aims, stigmatize dissent, and block critical thought." Sometimes that critical analysis was aimed at elements of the antiwar left. While denouncing the "particularly evil cabal" that runs the country, Barbara Foley of Rutgers urged leftist critics to look beyond the distraction of "Bush's cowboyism" to "the Leninist notion of intra-imperialist rivalry" to explain US-European competition for domination of the oil-rich Middle East. Anthony Dawahare of California State University at Northridge said that "whoever wins the war in Iraq, the working class people in Iraq and in the US will be subject to a dictatorship of the rich." In an interview, he said that unless Howard Dean challenged capitalism itself, student activism on his behalf would be "a waste of time." Not that everyone at the MLA was preoccupied with Marxist analysis. Ask many of the graduate students or younger scholars what's on their mind, and they talk about finding a job. The closest public challenge to the prevailing geopolitical views at the MLA came when one professor asked a panel that had derided American responses to 9/11 and Iraq what a good response would have looked like. She didn't get much of an answer, left the session, and declined to elaborate on her question. But a young professor of English who followed her out the door to congratulate her did offer some thoughts on politics at the MLA. Aaron Santesso of the University of Nevada at Reno described himself as being "on the left" and sympathetic with much of the criticism of the war in Iraq. But he said that the tenor of the discussion "drives me nuts." "A lot of people here don't want the rhetoric to just be a shrill echo of the right," he said. Just a few years ago, he noted, the Taliban was regularly attacked at MLA meetings for their treatment of women and likened to the American religious right. Now, there is only talk of how the United States has taken away the rights of the Afghan people. Santesso said he gains a good perspective from his students, most of whom he characterized as "libertarian conservatives." Most of the debate at the MLA, he said, "would completely alienate my students." Plenty of English professors share his views, Santesso said. And some of his colleagues are even conservative. They just avoid coming to the MLA. Scott Jaschik, former editor of The Chronicle of Higher Education, is a writer in Washington. ? Copyright 2004 Globe Newspaper Company. -- "Only a zit on the wart on the heinie of progress." Copyright 1992, Frank Rice Terry W. Colvin, Sierra Vista, Arizona (USA) < fortean1 at mindspring.com > Alternate: < fortean1 at msn.com > Home Page: < http://www.geocities.com/Area51/Stargate/8958/index.html > Sites: * Fortean Times * Mystic's Haven * TLCB * U.S. Message Text Formatting (USMTF) Program ------------ Member: Thailand-Laos-Cambodia Brotherhood (TLCB) Mailing List TLCB Web Site: < http://www.tlc-brotherhood.org > [Vietnam veterans, Allies, CIA/NSA, and "steenkeen" contractors are welcome.] From extropy at unreasonable.com Sat Jan 10 04:37:49 2004 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Fri, 09 Jan 2004 23:37:49 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: Moon news Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20040109232505.01aa2d88@mail.comcast.net> These two articles have more information than has appeared elsewhere. http://www.washingtontimes.com/national/20040108-111922-8569r.htm Has a pretty detailed account of what's afoot. I found it quite a shocker. There are clearly major players in the Administration who approach problems de novo, decide what ought to be, and then figure out how to get there. They don't always win and they aren't always right but it's a pleasure to see bright, creative minds at work. (Competency is always refreshing, regardless of whether I approve of what it's applied to.) http://www.floridatoday.com/news/space/stories/2004a/010904bush.htm >The announcement would come on the heels of a high-level review by a >secret White House panel, a study sped up in the wake of the Columbia >accident. Vice President Dick Cheney was heavily involved with the panel, >which included strong representation by the National Security Council and >Department of Defense. Further confirmation of the military aspects of the new plans. -- David Lubkin. From samantha at objectent.com Sat Jan 10 05:10:34 2004 From: samantha at objectent.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Fri, 9 Jan 2004 21:10:34 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Moon news In-Reply-To: References: <5.1.0.14.2.20040109175836.030951d8@mail.comcast.net> Message-ID: <20040109211034.7ec8b65e.samantha@objectent.com> On Fri, 9 Jan 2004 16:23:15 -0800 (PST) "Robert J. Bradbury" wrote: > > > Anyway. The Case for Mars plan is cheap, pay-for-results, and builds a > > permanent complex on Mars. It is not "going briefly and coming back." > > But, but but... Zubrin gets so close to the dismantlement of the planet > with the construction of solar cells for power sources then doesn't > follow through. I believe anyone who is an extropian who believes > nanotechnology will develop reasonably rapidly (say within a century) > would be foolish to support any Mars colonization or even Mars > human visitation efforts. There is no point to expending resources > to put humans at the bottom of another gravity well. Hell, on Mars > the atmosphere is so thin one doesn't even have the protection from > asteroids, comets, UV and gamma rays that one has on earth. It is > *stupid* to expend large amounts of resources to go there. O'Neill > space based colonies or even asteroid based colonies make much more > sense. If a Mars program would cost $100B consider what that could > do if invested in nanotech development... Why is it "stupid" to put at least part of humanity in more than one basket? The fact that major technological developments are in the offing soon does not mean that these developments will be used necessarily for the good of the race or even lead to greater survivability. Having humans spread out a bit seems more sane. The cost of a space probram such as Zubrin advocates compares quite favorably to really futile endeavors such as the Iraq war and much of the "War on Terror". I do agree though that O'Neill and/or asteroid based colonies make a lot of sense and are much more within our currently limited grasp. > > > But, if I were in the position of allocating investment dollars, I'd put my > > space effort into bringing back a nickel-iron asteroid. Set up shop for > > mining, manufacturing, and space construction somewhere convenient, like > > geosynch, L-4, or L-5. Bova et al outlined a reasonable scenario for doing > > this nearly off-the-shelf twenty years ago. I keep expecting to hear that > > Paul Allen has funded it. > > Let Paul finish the X-prize first, then deal with the asteroid as a > follow-up effort. (Though I strongly agree with the strategy.) > Yes, if it was my billions that is one of the first things I would target. OK, maybe Mars is a relatively poor goal at this time. -s From samantha at objectent.com Sat Jan 10 05:23:01 2004 From: samantha at objectent.com (Samantha Atkins) Date: Fri, 9 Jan 2004 21:23:01 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Moon news In-Reply-To: <5.1.0.14.2.20040109200537.0377efc8@mail.comcast.net> References: <63340-22004159184231482@M2W046.mail2web.com> <5.1.0.14.2.20040109152840.033923a0@mail.comcast.net> <5.1.0.14.2.20040109175836.030951d8@mail.comcast.net> <5.1.0.14.2.20040109200537.0377efc8@mail.comcast.net> Message-ID: <20040109212301.4b16c3b7.samantha@objectent.com> On Fri, 09 Jan 2004 22:33:12 -0500 David Lubkin wrote: > > >I believe anyone who is an extropian who believes nanotechnology will > >develop reasonably rapidly (say within a century) would be foolish to > >support any Mars colonization or even Mars human visitation > >efforts. There is no point to expending resources to put humans at the > >bottom of another gravity well. > > : > >If a Mars program would cost $100B consider what that could do if invested > >in nanotech development... > > That's not an option. You aren't going to get $100B for nanotech > development. Money will be spent on space projects. This is political > reality. The question is which space projects will be most useful of the > alternatives that are politically viable. > This is not obvious to me. The possible breadth and depth of benefits from developing nanotech are much more obvious than the one in just going to Mars or getting the bare beginnings of a foothold on the Moon and/or Mars. Why is space more politically marketable? And if it is so politically marketable why have we been clingly to the ground so determinedly since Apollo? > Of the three space choices we're discussing, I'd pick asteroid mining over > the Moon or Mars in a New York minute, except that I want it done > privately. In the long run, I think we might be better off delaying > asteroid mining over doing it now as a government project. > Me too. But I think it is better to do it at all than to not do it. - s From thespike at earthlink.net Sat Jan 10 06:04:01 2004 From: thespike at earthlink.net (Damien Broderick) Date: Sat, 10 Jan 2004 00:04:01 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] http://www.julianbarbour.com/ References: <63340-22004159184231482@M2W046.mail2web.com><5.1.0.14.2.20040109152840.033923a0@mail.comcast.net><5.1.0.14.2.20040109175836.030951d8@mail.comcast.net><01da01c3d712$3b3c5a20$a8994a43@texas.net> <000801c3d718$b82c3e00$c3994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <001401c3d73f$8e743dc0$c3994a43@texas.net> I said: > Some spam prick seems to have sitejacked theoretical physicist Julian > Barbour's site. Google's cache shows the same crap. But I'm far from expert > on this stuff; anyone have any insight into this annoyance? I was rather hoping someone would immediately reply, hoisting me on my own recent petard, with the single word: `Yes.' But Robert Bradbury kindly reminded me of the Wayback Machine: http://www.archive.org/web/web.php which showed that Barbour had moved (as Google would have informed me had I bothered to look properly; but I'd trusted my own bibliography) to www.platonia.com/ Still, this shows that it doesn't pay to up and leave when some shyster is liable to grab your expired url and make off with it for nefarious spamster purposes... Damien Broderick From twodeel at jornada.org Sat Jan 10 06:18:14 2004 From: twodeel at jornada.org (Don Dartfield) Date: Fri, 9 Jan 2004 22:18:14 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] http://www.julianbarbour.com/ In-Reply-To: <001401c3d73f$8e743dc0$c3994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: On Sat, 10 Jan 2004, Damien Broderick wrote: > Still, this shows that it doesn't pay to up and leave when some shyster > is liable to grab your expired url and make off with it for nefarious > spamster purposes... That kind of thing HAS to be illegal, doesn't it? They can't just appropriate whole blocks of somebody else's text like they have on julanbarbour.com and progressaction.com to imply that it is associated with their scam. From extropy at unreasonable.com Sat Jan 10 06:23:44 2004 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Sat, 10 Jan 2004 01:23:44 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Moon news In-Reply-To: <20040109212301.4b16c3b7.samantha@objectent.com> References: <5.1.0.14.2.20040109200537.0377efc8@mail.comcast.net> <63340-22004159184231482@M2W046.mail2web.com> <5.1.0.14.2.20040109152840.033923a0@mail.comcast.net> <5.1.0.14.2.20040109175836.030951d8@mail.comcast.net> <5.1.0.14.2.20040109200537.0377efc8@mail.comcast.net> Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20040110003941.03a32428@mail.comcast.net> Robert wrote: >If a Mars program would cost $100B consider what that could do if invested >in nanotech development... then I responded: > That's not an option. You aren't going to get $100B for nanotech > development. Money will be spent on space projects. This is political > reality. The question is which space projects will be most useful of the > alternatives that are politically viable. to which Samantha posed: >This is not obvious to me. The possible breadth and depth of benefits >from developing nanotech are much more obvious than the one in just going >to Mars or getting the bare beginnings of a foothold on the Moon and/or >Mars. Why is space more politically marketable? And if it is so >politically marketable why have we been clingly to the ground so >determinedly since Apollo? As Greg might say in lawyer mode, Res ipsa loquitur: The thing speaks for itself. If space weren't politically marketable, it wouldn't be on Bush's plate right now. He's clearly in re-election mode, looking at some of his recent actions. Karl Rove must have polled this, and found it winning. Space remains popular with the American people. The consequences of going to space are self-evident to everyone (or at least they think they are). Everyone has seen Star Trek or Star Wars, or looked up at the night sky. They may think the money is better spent on curing cancer or feeding the homeless, but they are not afraid of space. On the other hand, most Americans have no clue what nanotech is or what its consequences are. Many of the few who have a sense of nano are afraid of bogeymen -- grey goo, nano making the rich richer, etc. Meanwhile, there's an established power framework of subcommittees, NASA centers, aerospace contractors, congresscritters with space contractors in their districts, etc., built up over half a century in support of continued space projects. Gee, which states have the biggest NASA centers and aerospace contractors? California, Florida, and Texas. How many electoral votes...? And the pivotal role that US satellite capabilities had in Afghanistan and Iraq, which is vulnerable. And the competitive economic and military pressure from the space programs of China, Japan, India, Israel, etc. In any case -- here we are. Bush has chosen to push space. Done deal. What we can do is try to sway the decisions made within a space policy. Push stuff we think is worthwhile -- asteroid retrieval, work on closed-environmental systems, building lasting infrastructure instead of one-shots, etc. Which *could* include a hefty sum for research that we think of as nanotech, if it is framed in terms of its direct applicability to the mission. In the way that folks like Rod Hyde at Livermore worked on high-powered lasers and tracking for SDI, well aware that the work was also applicable to laser-launching. -- David Lubkin. From spike66 at comcast.net Sat Jan 10 08:56:26 2004 From: spike66 at comcast.net (Spike) Date: Sat, 10 Jan 2004 00:56:26 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] http://www.julianbarbour.com/ In-Reply-To: <001401c3d73f$8e743dc0$c3994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <000201c3d757$a18dfeb0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> > Damien Broderick > > ... hoisting me on my own recent petard... Ah yes, the Shakespearean SF author among us can perhaps shed light upon this comment: ... Still, this shows that it doesn't pay to up and leave... Damien Broderick What part of speech is "up"? Does the preposition become a verb? If so, it represents yet an example of which I can immediately think of only two, the other being the curious catchphrase "the truth will out." What is that? Does "out" become a verb? For otherwise that sentence has no verb, or as some jokers might say "That sentence no verb." We know of many shameful examples of nouns becoming verbs in modern vulgar usage, but must we now attack and degrade our prepositions too? I have heard for all my life about people up and doing things, such as dying, but never has it been adequately explained what up is doing in that sentence. The AI will be so puzzled. spike From asa at nada.kth.se Sat Jan 10 12:29:22 2004 From: asa at nada.kth.se (Anders Sandberg) Date: Sat, 10 Jan 2004 13:29:22 +0100 (MET) Subject: Information channels (Was: [extropy-chat] Moon news) In-Reply-To: <000101c3d724$3def3ff0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> References: <1608.213.112.90.167.1073690001.squirrel@webmail.nada.kth.se> <000101c3d724$3def3ff0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> Message-ID: <3379.130.237.122.245.1073737762.squirrel@webmail.nada.kth.se> Spike said: > He's baaaaack! > > Welcome Anders, we missed ya. Thanks! It is interesting to start focussing on the list again. I never unsubscribed but just didn't check the folder very often, essentially directing my main attention elsewhere. Going back now is like becoming aware of an entire sensory stream I had almost forgotten I had. I wonder how often posthumans are going to end up with that experience? ("Yestersecond I happened to highlink my biobrain, and what do you know, it had completely changed") It also highlights a nice problem. There is almost too much transhumanist information these days. In the "golden days" there was this list, a few web pages and that was it. Easy to catalogue and handle. Today we have around ten major lists, more websites than I know of run by transhumanists (and even more related stuff outside the core movement) and an increasing production of essays, books and other heavy information. Finding ways of managing all this information is an interesting challenge, since we still have to deal with 24 hour days. -- Anders Sandberg http://www.nada.kth.se/~asa http://www.aleph.se/andart/ The sum of human knowledge sounds nice. But I want more. From determinism at hotmail.com Sat Jan 10 14:04:22 2004 From: determinism at hotmail.com (Dennis May) Date: Sat, 10 Jan 2004 08:04:22 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: Fermi Paradox and Simulation Argument Message-ID: The Avantguardian wrote: >>1. Fermi paradox: Any advanced species from an extrasolar planet would have realized the same Darwinian processes have shaped the life on their world as it has on ours. Knowing that any other advanced species it encounters would more likely represent a competitor than an ally. Especially since life based on selfish replicators such as genes, or even memes for that matter, would converge on similar strategies of kin selection and deception to forward their own ends. Therefore it would seem reasonable that any sufficiently advanced alien species would be too canny to advertise their existence through indiscriminate radio broadcasts for fear of invasion or, if more aggressive, to avoid tipping their hands to any potential targets for invasion. The Fermi Paradox could be a little like a naval battle between submarines where each sub is carefully listening to their passive sonars trying to detect enemy subs and is loathe to use their active sonars for fear of allowing the enemy to pinpoint their location. If that is the case, we may already be screwed.>> This is precisely my view: stealth, mobility, and dispersion are the secrets to survival in the high technology space universe of WoMD and control of high energy processes. A single civilization can settle a galaxy in no time. It can settle several galaxies a short time later. It won't take long to understand that there is no advantage in advertising to competitors. I'm sure intercivilization/species contact and trade will happen but I doubt open trust will ever be a wise thing even within a given civilization or species. Dennis May ____________________________ Physicist/Engineer/Inventor determinism at hotmail.com _________________________________________________________________ There are now three new levels of MSN Hotmail Extra Storage! Learn more. http://join.msn.com/?pgmarket=en-us&page=hotmail/es2&ST=1 From devon at thegreatwork.com Sat Jan 10 14:43:47 2004 From: devon at thegreatwork.com (Devon White) Date: Sat, 10 Jan 2004 08:43:47 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Your thoughts on the news Message-ID: <003501c3d788$2851a7f0$0a01a8c0@Kallista> Hi everyone, My company, Synergy Media Network, is getting ready to begin broadcasting in March. As we move towards this long awaited goal i'd like input from some of the most intelligent and brutally honest minds i know. Which brings me here. What i would like to know is this: if you could turn on FOX, NBC, ABC, CBS, etc. . . and design the information that you as well as other people would get, what would it be? On a daily/weekly basis, what topics would be addressed? Also, if there are already organizations or individuals out there providing some of these kinds of information streams, who are they and how do i get in touch with them? Thanks for your help in advance, Devon White devon at synergymedianetwork.com www.synergymedianetwork.com www.mysmn.com From mark at permanentend.org Sat Jan 10 14:59:16 2004 From: mark at permanentend.org (Mark Walker) Date: Sat, 10 Jan 2004 09:59:16 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Essay on Physical Immortality - who pays? What willthe cost be? References: <002901c3d313$ead28390$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT><5.2.0.9.0.20040104172428.02c0e170@pop.earthlink.net> <3FFEFB6A.3CE85BA2@sasktel.net> Message-ID: <037b01c3d78a$519d5530$2ee4f418@markcomputer> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Extropian Agroforestry Ventures Inc." > Top Of The News > Health Costs Rise Beyond Belief > Dan Ackman, 01.09.04, 9:58 AM ET > > NEW YORK - U.S. health care costs are rising so fast > that not only do they outstrip the prior year, they even > exceed forecasters' ability to project them > > In mid-2002, the U.S. Department of Health and Human > Services projected that national health expenditures > would reach $2.8 trillion in 2011--an estimate based > on a mean annual growth rate of 7.3%. Since then, > the growth rate has increased significantly to > 9.3%--to the point where health spending is already > at nearly 15% of GDP, according to Centers for > Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS), a unit of HHS. > Snip I briefly address the cost question in "Killing the Physically Immortal".www.permanentend.org/immortality.html . I think the general principle is that treating the cause rather than the symptoms is cheaper, e.g., treating the symptoms of polio with iron lungs etc. is expensive compared with treating the cause of the disease through simple immunization. Another example I discuss in the essay is the phase two clinical trials now underway to treat the cause of diabetes (at least in some cases) with a protein that causes stem cells to repair the pancreas. If it works this should be much cheaper than treating diabetes with multiple insulin shots, and then deal with symptoms like blindness, amputation, etc. etc. Cheers, Mark Mark Walker, PhD Research Associate, Philosophy, Trinity College University of Toronto Room 214 Gerald Larkin Building 15 Devonshire Place Toronto M5S 1H8 www.permanentend.org From bradbury at aeiveos.com Sat Jan 10 15:31:30 2004 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Sat, 10 Jan 2004 07:31:30 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: Fermi Paradox and Simulation Argument In-Reply-To: Message-ID: On Fri Jan 9, 2004 The Avantguardian wrote: > >>1. Fermi paradox: > Any advanced species from an extrasolar planet would have realized > the same Darwinian processes have shaped the life on their world as it has > on ours. Hmmm... this is questionable -- there seems to be a significant probability that we are about to shift from evolution driven by random adaptation to evolution driven by conscious processes. I would propose that a civilization driven by 4 billion years of random adaptation to be significantly different from a civilization driven by 4 billion years of consciously driven evolution. (And yes I'm using "civilization" loosely since it could be argued that humanity is probably less than 100,000 years old.) > Knowing that any other advanced species it encounters would more > likely represent a competitor than an ally. "Encounters" are rare unless you intend them to happen. They are not competitors until there is a shortage of resources in the universe. > Especially since life based on selfish replicators such as genes, or > even memes for that matter, would converge on similar strategies of kin > selection and deception to forward their own ends. In advanced civilizations it seems likely that there are no more "genes". There is also no more (physical) replication because it creates entities that are likely to be competitors in the future. There are no more "ends". You have to create an entirely different mind set for entities that are all-powerful (within several light years) and immortal (within the constraints of their fuel supplies and the longevity of the universe). > Therefore it would seem reasonable that any sufficiently > advanced alien species would be too canny to advertise their existence > through indiscriminate radio broadcasts for fear of invasion or, if more > aggressive, to avoid tipping their hands to any potential targets for > invasion. There is no point to invasion. Why invade the space of an alien civilization? Any developed matter presumably has a self-destruct sequence. Harvesting fuel from brown dwarfs or molecular clouds is much easier than trying to steal someone elses star. And transporting large amounts of matter across interstellar distances is *expensive*. People continue to view this discussion from a "human" perspective when they simply do not apply on interstellar scales. > The Fermi Paradox could be a little like a naval battle between > submarines where each sub is carefully listening to their passive sonars > trying to detect enemy subs and is loathe to use their active sonars for > fear of allowing the enemy to pinpoint their location. If that is the case, > we may already be screwed.>> If distant civilizations viewed developing civilizations as a threat and had the ability to detect fires on our planet (distinctly possible given estimates I've previously cited regarding the number and size of their telescopes) then it is highly likely that any such civilizations within 10-20,000 light years know we are here. The rise in CO2 in the atmosphere is also probably detectable so any civilizations within 100-2000 light years should see that using much less sophisticated technology. So like it or not -- we have probably already given ourselves away. Then on Jan 10 2004, Dennis May responded to Avantguardian with: > This is precisely my view: stealth, mobility, and dispersion are the > secrets to survival in the high technology space universe of WoMD > and control of high energy processes. Going back to the post by Dennis on Jan 5th regarding WoMD: > Or simply: enough hydrogen bombs hurled at them fast > enough for long enough, or swarms of pellets fired at them > for long enough from all directions, or enough anti-matter > hurled long enough, or destroying it while it is small by > any number of means, or setting off nearby stars to create > lethal neutrino showers, or orienting parts of the blast from > supernovas, or hitting it again and again with solid objects > traveling near the speed of light, and so on. The problem with these strategies is their inefficiency. Need lots of hydrogen bombs? Then you need lots of uranium to trigger them and that requires a substantial energy investment to breed the uranium. Want lots of pellet producing machines and pellets then you need lots of mass to burn. As Spike and I have pointed out that mass is valuable -- you don't want to just throw it away. To produce lethal neutrino showers you would probably have to set of thousands of stars or more. No easy trick. Likewise with setting off supernovas -- you have to throw a lot of mass at stars to overload them. And that doesn't in any way deal with (a) the ability of MBrains or SBrains to detect anything approaching them and simply move out of the way -- you have to keep in mind that in the as designed architecture MBrains and SBrains *are* both dispersed (across solar system scales in the case of MBrains) as well as mobile; (b) the ability of MBrains or SBrains to detect anything incoming and destroy it; and (c) how much of a bad idea it is to attempt to use WoMD against an MBrain or an SBrain unless you are absolutely 100% sure that you can eliminate it and any stealthed berserker-bots. > A single civilization can settle a galaxy in no time. But there is no point! It seems unlikely that one can achieve greater intelligence or any other benefits this way. All one gets is pointless replication. > It can settle several galaxies a short time later. Which would be even more pointless. > It won't take long to understand that there is no advantage > in advertising to competitors. I'm sure intercivilization/species > contact and trade will happen but I doubt open trust will ever be > a wise thing even within a given civilization or species. To make the trade argument work you have to explain what is so valuable that the costs of shipping it across interstellar distances justifies doing so. I don't see such a justification. To make the contact argument work (information transfer) you have to make a similar argument. If a civilization can compute for itself anything you can send to them faster or cheaper than it can be sent then it makes no sense to open interstellar communications channels. It has little to do with WoMD or fear of being detected. It has much more to do with physical constraints imposed on civilizations by the laws of physics and the abstract economics of a civilization at those limits. Robert From bradbury at aeiveos.com Sat Jan 10 15:42:12 2004 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Sat, 10 Jan 2004 07:42:12 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: What to do with $100B? Mars, Nano or Life? In-Reply-To: <20040110012854.89171.qmail@web41313.mail.yahoo.com> Message-ID: Hi Yos?, I will try to respond to a your questions as best I can. > You pose a fundamental question. What to do with a hundred billion dollars? I could have posed what to do with a trillion dollars but I was being conservative... :-; As I recall $100B is the number that was tossed around as the cost of going to Mars under George H.W. Bush. Its probably more expensive now. For example a quick Google finds that the Apollo costs were $25B (probably in '60s or '70's dollars) and the cost of a return to the moon in '99 dollars range from ~$40B to $300B [1,2]. > I would agree with you that it is a lot of money just to go to Mars, but > also just for nanotechnology. With that amount of money, we could probably > find the secrets of life extension and even immortality? Yes, Aubrey's proposal for the IBG is only about $1B over 10 years. Quite small compared with any significant space effort. It doesn't solve aging as a whole but does make a significant dent in some of the major processes we are aware of at this time. > Your message puts light in a fundamental economic concept: opportunity cost. > And between Mars and immortality, I take the second without any doubts. While I dislike the term immortality (as recent discussions on Mark's paper have pointed out there may be terms that better capture the idea as we currently understand it). > And later I would go to Mars as well:-) Of course -- current estimates if we eliminate aging would allow us on average several thousand years of fatal accident free life -- plenty of time to go to Mars. But you may want to get your ticket early. Once we have the total power output of the sun at our disposal the dismantlement time is only 12 hours. Better get your ticket now because it may be gone before you can get there :-; Robert 1. Wikipedia: Apollo Program: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Apollo_program 2. S.E.I. Lunar Excursions: http://www.abo.fi/~mlindroo/Station/Slides/sld049c.htm From kevinfreels at hotmail.com Sat Jan 10 17:21:41 2004 From: kevinfreels at hotmail.com (Kevin Freels) Date: Sat, 10 Jan 2004 11:21:41 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] Moon news References: <63340-22004159184231482@M2W046.mail2web.com> <5.1.0.14.2.20040109152840.033923a0@mail.comcast.net> Message-ID: Supposing that in the next 50 years, AI and MNT is coming along well enough that we can actually upload ourselves. And suppose that we could create a copy of ourselves for "just in case" scenatios. Wouldn;t it be nice to be able to send out a couple of other planets for safe keeping? You would then be distributed a bit further just in case something happened to the Earth. It would be really nice if you could send that copy to the Moon inexpensively on some regularly scheduled transport to a settlement that is already established. Especially if this settlement has built a storage depot just for this kinf of thing about 10 miles below the surface. With the geological instability of this planet, and all the other wacky things that can occur such as nearby supernova destroying our ozone layer, my first priority when I upload is going to be to get a copy off of this planet. If we do this. Even if it is just to the Moon, at least then the infrastructure will be there for me to do so. Just think of how the interstate highway system has affected our lives. How has it affected cars? I still wonder about the proposal. I like it, but what if that is what he is after? What if he really doesn;t care about this and simply wants my vote? What if he lands it at congress and it flops. Then he could ask for my vite and say he tried and that he needs to be re-elected with MORE reps in congress that will support it. Besides the fact that this will set up the infrastructure to get us humans more spread out, I think this proposal does another important thing. It gets people thinking about the future and thinking beyond their own natural lifespans. Future thinking is critical to MNT. There will be lots of opposition to this and I know there are a lot of people here who don;t like Bush, but I think this entire proposal is more critical to MNT than many of you may realize. There is plenty of money to go around. It's not as if they have to rob the poor to get it done. If the government decided to invest billions in MNT, they could still do so without hurting the space program. We can also go back to the moon without hurting the chances of MNT getting money. Many of you seem to think that if they spend money on this, they won;t spend it on MNT. Personally, I think that we would be more likely to see more government investment in MNT if the administration sees a positive return on its investment in the future. There will be a lot of opposition to this thing. Much of it will be from Bush haters that really wouldn;t mind such a program, but will attack it just to attack Bush. Every one of us needs to get behind this thing. It is something that needs to be done. For years people like us have bickered about the best way to do this. We will never know the "best" way. It doesn;t matter either. We just need to do it. Sitting around on our asses for the last 30 years because we couldn't decide between the shuttle, moon, Mars, or asteroids will only leave us right here for another 30-50 years. We're our own worst enemy.For all our brain power, people like us never really understood politics. The moon, Mars, asteroids, MNT, all of it is important. Let's not pass on one because we couldn;t agree which to do first. We're too smart for our own good. This is what happened when Bush Sr proposed something similar. Standing up in front of people and stating "I think it is a good idea, but I would rather see....." Is not going to help anyone. We need to be saying "I think it is an excellent and necessary step in the right direction. For all of Bush's other faults, he finally is doing something right" Kevin Freels From es at popido.com Sat Jan 10 17:25:13 2004 From: es at popido.com (Erik Starck) Date: Sat, 10 Jan 2004 18:25:13 +0100 Subject: [extropy-chat] Moon news In-Reply-To: <20040109212301.4b16c3b7.samantha@objectent.com> References: <63340-22004159184231482@M2W046.mail2web.com> <5.1.0.14.2.20040109152840.033923a0@mail.comcast.net> <5.1.0.14.2.20040109175836.030951d8@mail.comcast.net> <5.1.0.14.2.20040109200537.0377efc8@mail.comcast.net> <20040109212301.4b16c3b7.samantha@objectent.com> Message-ID: <40003579.4080604@popido.com> Samantha Atkins wrote: >This is not obvious to me. The possible breadth and depth of benefits from developing nanotech are much more obvious than the one in just going to Mars or getting the bare beginnings of a foothold on the Moon and/or Mars. Why is space more politically marketable? > 1. China is going to space, so there is a slim chance that there willl be a red flag on the red planet and not an american: http://www.spacedaily.com/2004/031231092850.yylbciw2.html Chinas space ambitions is nothing else but a glove in the face on USA, an attempt to show who will be the super power of the 21st century. The race is on. 2. "Going to Mars" is an extremely headlines-friendly goal compared to for example "build nano-assemblers" that no one's heard of. >And if it is so politically marketable why have we been clingly to the ground so determinedly since Apollo? > > After the race to the moon was won there was nothing left to prove and no real contender to the stars. Also there was the Challenger-accident that closed the curtain for NASA for a long time. It showed the risks of going to space. I doubt this "Mars statement" would have come if Spirit had failed as Beagle did. But Europe is going to space and so is China, and don't forget the X-Prize. I wouldn't call that "clinging to the ground". It's almost starting to get crowdy up there. -- Erik S. From extropy at unreasonable.com Sat Jan 10 17:42:55 2004 From: extropy at unreasonable.com (David Lubkin) Date: Sat, 10 Jan 2004 12:42:55 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] http://www.julianbarbour.com/ In-Reply-To: <000201c3d757$a18dfeb0$6501a8c0@SHELLY> References: <001401c3d73f$8e743dc0$c3994a43@texas.net> Message-ID: <5.1.0.14.2.20040110115148.02075f90@mail.comcast.net> At 12:56 AM 1/10/2004 -0800, Spike wrote: >Ah yes, the Shakespearean SF author among us can perhaps >shed light upon this comment: Damien is far more Shakespearean than I, but I have some bioluminescence of my own, as writer and linguist. >What part of speech is "up"? Does the preposition become >a verb? If so, it represents yet an example of which I >can immediately think of only two, the other being the >curious catchphrase "the truth will out." What is that? >Does "out" become a verb? For otherwise that sentence >has no verb, or as some jokers might say > >"That sentence no verb." > >We know of many shameful examples of nouns becoming >verbs in modern vulgar usage, but must we now attack >and degrade our prepositions too? > >I have heard for all my life about people up and doing >things, such as dying, but never has it been adequately >explained what up is doing in that sentence. A language is a phenomenon to be studied, not dictated. Its boundaries are set by fuzzy metrics of interpersonal comprehension. The syntactic or morphological "rules" or meaning of morphemes, words, phrases are only valid to the extent that they accurately describe the corpus of spoken and written language. Just as descriptions and theories about astrophysical phenomena have no inherent validity. "prepositions" have been used as "verbs" in English for many centuries, as have "nouns." Damien's "up and leave" is indeed very nearly Shakespearean in ancestry. http://www.etymonline.com/u1etym.htm >up - O.E. up, uppe, from PIE *upo "up from below." ... Verb meaning "get >up" (as in up and leave) is first attested 1643; the meaning "increase" >(as in up the price of oil) is from 1915. The verb "to drive and catch >swans" is 1560 .... For "out," the same source says "[t]he verb was O.E. utian "expel," used in many senses over the years." They are both examples of common patterns in linguistic change -- where an utterance becomes shorter over time. Words lose syllables, phrases lose words. Linguistic economy. My favorite deskside dictionary (Random House College), by the way, considers "up" to be an adverb, preposition, adjective, noun, and verb (both transitive and intransitive). "Out " is cited as all those plus interjection. -- David Lubkin. From fortean1 at mindspring.com Sat Jan 10 18:22:09 2004 From: fortean1 at mindspring.com (Terry W. Colvin) Date: Sat, 10 Jan 2004 11:22:09 -0700 Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD [forteana] Forteans: ""Add-on" vs. "Structural Revisionist" Message-ID: <400042D1.832D6EC2@mindspring.com> Date: Fri, 09 Jan 2004 22:32:20 -0500 From: "T. Peter Park" To: forteana at yahoogroups.com Subj: FWD [forteana] Forteans: ""Add-on" vs. "Structural Revisionist" Dear Forteans, On another list last Spring, I read an April 25, 2003 _Izvestia_ article, "Why Way Does Evalution Go?," sympathetically discussing archaeology & prehistory revisionist and Darwin critic Michael Cremo, author of _Forbidden Archaeology_ and _The Hidden History of The Human Race_. The article reminded me of one of my own long-standing observations on Forteans and Forteanism. Forteans, I've long thought, have either an "add-on" or a "structural revisionist" view of the relation of anomalous data, Charles Fort's "damned" and "excluded" phenomena, to the generally accepted mainstream scientific world-picture (GAMSWP for short). We may thus call them "Adders-On" and "Structural Revisionists" after their respective views of what "damned" and "excluded" data if accepted would do to the GAMSWP. The "Adders-On" see ghosts, poltergeists, "psychic" phenomena, Bigfoot and other "Hairy Hominids," gnomes and other "Little People," Lake Monsters (like "Nessie") and other "cryptids" or "Mystery Beasts,"UFO's, abductions, "spook lights," crop circles, archaeological "erratics," and "out-of- place" or "impossible" fossils, as hitherto ignored or rejected phenomena on the outer fringes of the GAMSWP, which have to be incorporated into that world-picture to make it more complete. "Structural Revisionists," on the other hand, rather see anomalies as showing the GAMSWP to be quite wrong or skewed in its basics, needing a complete overhaul. Adders-On feel that the GAMSWP is largely correct in its main outlines, but needs a few touch-ups at its outer edges, a few gaps in its borders to be filled in. Structural Revisionists feel that the GAMSWP is "all wet" in broad outline, and needs to be replaced by something very different. In the language of mainstream history, sociology, and philosophy of science in the tradition of Thomas Kuhn, they believe that "damned" and "excluded" data demand a major "scientific revolution" or "paradigm shift." Adders-On enthusiastically accept GAMSWP views on prehistory, human evolution, pre-sapiens hominids, life on other planets, and advanced civilizations around distant stars in our Galaxy. However, they would just like to add what they feel is strong evidence that dinosaurs, plesiosaurs, and pre-sapiens hominids are still alive on our planet today, and that extraterrestrial visitors are even now exploring and reconnoitering our planet, and studying our species and civilization. They accept the broad outline iof GAMSWP views on neurology, psychology, brain physiology, and mind-brain relations, but would like to add that there seems to be good evidence that the human psyche (and probably also the psyches of at least some higher animals) have certain powers, faculties, capacities, and activities that appear to be largely independent of the physical laws and limitations of apace, time, matter, and physical energy, and can perhaps even function apart from a physical substratum like the brain. On the other hand, Structural Revisionists like Michael Cremo, Zachary Sitchin, Erich von D?niken, Richard Shaver & Ray Palmer, and various "hollow earth" and "hollow planets" writers from John Cleves Symmes, Marshall Gardner, Cyrus Reed Teed, and John Lloyd Uri onwards, basically reject many or most parts of the GAMSWP altogether I am not saying here which variety of Forteanism is "right" or "wrong." I do wish to draw attention, however, to the existence of these two distinct Fortean approaches. I myself personally, by the way, am pretty much an Adder-On in Forteanism. This distinction between Adders-On versus Structural Revisionists, I'd also like to add here, applies to other fields of human thought and activity as well as to science and Forteanism. It strikes me as also applicable, for instance, in religion, history, and politics, each of which seems to have its own respective Adders-On and Structural Revisionists. In religion, liberal and middle-of-the-road believers, clergy, and theologians--Protestants, Catholics, Jews, Muslims, Hindus, and Buddhists alike--have an "Add-On" view of the relation of religion and science. Moderate, liberal, and modernist Catholics, Protestants, Jews, Muslims, Buddhists, and Hindus basically accept the correctness of the GAMSWP and of modern mainstream secular history, archaeology, linguistics, textual criticism, sociology, and psychology. At the same time, they feel that all of these, as presented by the modern secular scientific and scholarly "mainstream," are quite compatible with a belief in God, Divine revelation, and eternal life. God, revelation, and eternal life, they believe, lie "out there" outside or beyond the GAMSWP, in areas or realms not touched by the GAMSWP. Fundamentalists, on the other hand, have much more of a Structural Revisionist approach to religion and science & secular scholarship. They consider modern secular science, history, archaeology, and textual criticism just plain flat-out wrong where they contradict (or seem to contradict) the Bible, Church Fathers, Papal encyclicals, Torah, Qur'?n, or Vedas. The same contrast of approaches can be seen, again, in history and politics, particularly in discussions of possible conspiracies (e.g., with respect to the Kennedy or King assassinations, or government & military UFO cover-ups).Historian Richard Hofstadter once pointed out that there is a distinction between locating conspiracies in history, and seeing all history as a conspiracy. Adder-Ons here see some conspiracies here and there in history, while Structural Revisionists see history itself as a conspiracy.Adders-On may well find conspiratorial and cover-up elements in the Kennedy or King assassinations, or in government and military handling of possibly frightening UFO and extraterrestrial visitation information. Structural Revisionist conspiracy theorists, and "Holocaust Revisionists," however, see all or most recent history (or ALL history) as a conspiracy. They may see it as an age-old conflict between "Rangers" and "Wardens" (Poul Anderson's science-fiction novel _The Corridors of Time_) or rationalist republican pro-scientific "Platonists" versus irrationalist oligarchic Goddess- worshipping anti-technologists and anti-industrialists "Aristotelians" (Lyndon LaRouche). Or, they may see history as mainly the record of a vast Jewish, Communist, Masonic, Illuminati, Bilderbergers, or International Bankers' world domination plot. Structural Revisionist conspiracy theorists are prone to dismissing Holocaust as a Zionist hoax, rejecting the 1969 Moon landing as a NASA public relations hoax, regarding all US presidents from FDR on as Reptilian space aliens disguised in fake human bodies, or describing generally respected and admired mainstream public figures like General George C. Marshall, Dean Acheson, Dwight D. Eisenhower, Jimmy Carter, Walter Cronkite, or Al Gore as "really" pro-Communist traitors. Here again, in the religious and politico/historical as well as in the Fortean fields, I don't want to get right now into the question of who is "right" or "wrong," but only to point out the existence of these two contrasting perspectives. However, here again, Id just like to reiterate that I tend to be personally pretty much of an Adder-On rather than a Structural Revisionist in my own approaches to religion, history, and politics as well as to Forteanism. Regards, T. Peter Garden City South, LI, NY -- "Only a zit on the wart on the heinie of progress." Copyright 1992, Frank Rice Terry W. Colvin, Sierra Vista, Arizona (USA) < fortean1 at mindspring.com > Alternate: < fortean1 at msn.com > Home Page: < http://www.geocities.com/Area51/Stargate/8958/index.html > Sites: * Fortean Times * Mystic's Haven * TLCB * U.S. Message Text Formatting (USMTF) Program ------------ Member: Thailand-Laos-Cambodia Brotherhood (TLCB) Mailing List TLCB Web Site: < http://www.tlc-brotherhood.org > [Vietnam veterans, Allies, CIA/NSA, and "steenkeen" contractors are welcome.] From fortean1 at mindspring.com Sat Jan 10 18:22:27 2004 From: fortean1 at mindspring.com (Terry W. Colvin) Date: Sat, 10 Jan 2004 11:22:27 -0700 Subject: [extropy-chat] FWD [forteana] Occam's Razor and Forteanism Message-ID: <400042E3.7F47A481@mindspring.com> Date: Fri, 09 Jan 2004 23:12:54 -0500 From: "T. Peter Park" To: forteana at yahoogroups.com Subj: FWD [forteana] Occam's Razor and Forteanism Dear Forteans, Writers on anomalous, paranormal, or "Fortean" phenomena often distinguish between the solid skeptical scientifically based study of anomalous phenomena versus illogical fringe thinking with no basis in science or even in true Forteanism. Scientific Forteans criticize fringe thinkers for using one mystery to solve another mystery--as in other-dimensional, occult, or demonological theories of UFO aliens or cryptids (mystery animals). The difference, I suggest, may lie in use versus neglect of "Occam's Razor" in explaining anomalous phenomena. Scientific Forteans observe Occam's principle of conceptual economy, while fringe thinkers ignore or defy it. The mediaeval Scholastic philosopher William of Occam (1285-1349) emphasized and popularized (though he did not invent) the maxim "non sunt multiplicanda entia praeter necessitatrem"-- "entities are not to be multiplied beyond necessity." This principle, named "Occam's Razor" in his honor, urges us to seek the simplest, most economical explanation for any phenomenon or problem. We should only use those entities, concepts, or principles that are strictly, unavoidably necessary to explain a given fact or phenomenon. We should avoid introducing new, speculative concepts if old, familiar, well- established concepts can explain the fact or phenomenon in question. This is an established maxim in philosophy and science, and should also be kept in mind by Forteans--though it may well be more difficult to establish the truly most economical explanation when dealing with phenomena as bizarre or puzzling as those studied by parapsychologists, UFO'logists, and cryptozoologists. Occam's Razor, also called the Law of Parsimony or Law of Economy, has become an important basic regulative principle of philosophy and science. Occam himself used it to simplify, streamline, and "clean up" mediaeval philosophy, theology, and logic. He used it to dispense with relations (which he saw as nothing distinct from their foundation in things), with efficient causality (which like David Hume 400 years later he viewed merely as regular succession), with motion (which he considered merely the reappearance of a thing in different places), with psychological powers distinct for each mode of sense, and with the presence of Platonic "Ideas" in the mind of God (which he considered merely the creatures and objects themselves). In science, the 14th century French physicist Nicole d'Oresme invoked this Law of Economy, as did Galileo in the 17th century, in defending the simplest hypothesis (Copernican rather than Ptolemaic) of the heavens. In modern times, the French mathematician and astronomer Pierre de Maupertuis (1689-1759) made the Law of Parsimony a basic law of nature in his "Principle of Least Action." Maupertuis defined action, defined by *S*mv ds--i.e., the integral (*S*) of inertia (mv, or mass velocity) over space-time (ds, the path of length) as minimal. More recently, the Austrian physicist and philosopher Ernst Mach (1838- 1916) declared it the aim of science to present the facts of nature in the simplest and most economical conceptual formulations. In psychology, it appears as Morgan's Canon, formulated by the English biologist and philosopher C. Lloyd Morgan (1852-1936), who held that no action should be interpreted in terms of a higher psychic faculty when a lower faculty suffices. In some cases, it is initially unclear or ambiguous just what is actually the simplest, most economical explanation, involving the fewest entities or concepts. Scientists may be culturally and psychologically misled by the sheer familiarity of a cumbersome traditional theory. The initial resistance to heliocentric Copernican-Galilean astronomy, the peculiarities of the planet Mercury's orbit, first attributed to a hypothetical planet "Vulcan" but eventually explained by Einstein's General Theory of Relativity, and recent astrophysical controversies over "dark matter" are three good examples of this. In all these cases, it is a toss-up whether a proliferation of hypothetical objects of a somewhat familiar type or an unfamiliar but mathematically elegant new schema are "really" the "simpler" explanations--and whether there is more "cumbersomeness" or "complexity" in a multitude of unseen old-style objects, or in a mathematically simple but culturally unfamiliar new master-theory. These three cases also illustrate some of the basic conceptual problems Forteans face in explaining scientifically anomalous phenomena, such as ESP, PK, ghosts, UFO's, abductions, Bigfoot, Lake Monsters, or crop circles. Scientific Forteans do try to observe Occam's Razor. Sometimes, though, it's as hard in Forteanism as in these mainstream scientific examples to determine just what the truly simplest explanation is. With phenomena as puzzling as those studied by Forteans, it may be difficult to determine which of various suggested explanations is in fact the most economical one. For this reason, a brief description of these three cases may be useful, to give a sense of true versus false, real versus apparent explanatory economies. Galileo demonstrated that the heliocentric Copernican model of the Solar System was mathematically much simpler, more elegant, and more economical than the geocentric Ptolemaic model, dispensing with the complex epicycles needed in the Ptolemaic system to explain seeming irregularities in planetary motions. However, it may be argued that for Galileo's academic and ecclesiastical opponents, the Ptolemaic model subjectively "felt" simpler because of its sheer familiarity, and the seeming "oddity" or "novelty" of the "shift in mental gears" needed to visualize the new Copernican model that also offended prevailing cultural attitudes of reverence towards the beliefs of ancient Greek thinkers and early Christian Church Fathers. Again, when persistent peculiarities were noted in the orbit of Mercury in the 19th century that could not be accounted for by the gravitational influences of Venus and the Earth, the self-evidently obvious explanation in terms of the known physics and astronomy of the time was that they MUST be caused by a hitherto undiscovered intra-Mercurian planet, "Vulcan." A planet's orbit is not fixed in space, but responds to the net gravitational influence of other bodies in its environment. Through combinations of many small effects, the long axis of Mercury's orbit is in slow movement around the Sun. The perihelion point moves eastward almost 10 minutes of arc (1/6 of a degree) per century. Most of this procession is due to the gravitational influence of the planets, especially Earth and Venus, but a residual of 40" per century, not readily explained, was found in 1845 by Urbain LeVerrier, the co-discoverer of Neptune. LeVerrier attributed this discrepancy to the gravitational influence of hypothetical planets between Mercury and the Sun--a very reasonable suggestion, in view of the way Uranus and Neptune had been discovered through their perturbing gravitational influence on Saturn's orbit. Some anomalous astronomical observations in the 19th century suggested that such an intra-Mercurian planet did exist, and it was even named "Vulcan," for the Roman fire-god. A number of such objects were reportedly observed by 19th century astronomers in transit across the face of the Sun. However, very careful and complete 19thand 20th century observations of the Sun and its neighborhood during total solar eclipses never confirmed their existence. The supposed "Vulcan" sightings are now believed to have been caused by sunspots, or in a few cases perhaps by an asteroid between the orbits of Earth and Venus. In 1915, however, Albert Einstein showed that the General Theory of Relativity predicted a perihelion advance of Mercury of 43" per century that the classical Newtonian theory did not. Thus, the motion of Mercury's orbit has been considered an important observational verification of the General Theory of Relativity. The post-1915 relativistic explanation of Mercury's orbit is simpler than the old "Vulcan" hypothesis, in that it invokes a basic law of physics rather than one or more frustratingly elusive physical objects--which can now be dispensed with. However, in the 19th century, in view of the known physics of the time, and also of the spectacular success of discovering two previously unknown planets, Uranus and Neptune, by their gravitational effects on Saturn's orbit, the "Vulcan" explanation of Mercury's orbit seemed to be the self-evidently obvious one. Postulating a new, hitherto unknown, law of physics drastically modifying the familiar, well-established Newtonian laws of motion and gravitation, just to explain Mercury's orbital peculiarities, would have seemed an outrageously radical _ad hoc_proceeding. Better a few still-unseen planets than a new law of physics! It was only after Einstein had formulated the General Theory of Relativity for considerations quite unrelated to Mercury's orbit, and then got it confirmed by Mercury's orbit, that physicists and astronomer's accepted General Relativity as a simpler, more elegant, more economical explanation of Mercury's orbit. As for "Vulcan," the general public now mostly recognizes it as the name of Spock's home planet in _Star Trek_! In the late 20th century, astronomers noticed that galaxies and galaxy clusters hold together, with no stars or gas escaping from galaxies and no gas or galaxies from clusters, despite those galaxies and clusters containing far too little matter--far too little gas, far too few stars or individual galaxies--to possibly generate a strong enough gravitational field. Galaxies and clusters should have been dissipating-- but they weren't. The magnitude of the discrepancy ranged from a factor of a few to a factor of hundreds. To account for such discrepancies, astrophysicists have postulated an exotic unobservable "dark matter." distinct both from visibly shining stars and galaxies and from the ordinary "dim matter" of planets, dwarf stars, warm gas, and cold cosmic dust, that might make up 95% of the Universe. So far, however, this postulated "dark matter" has proven frustratingly elusive and unobservable. An Israeli physicist has suggested that this "dark matter" may not even exist, and that the observed curious discrepancies can be explained just as well or better by a modification of Newton's Second Law of Motion. Mordehai Milgrom, Professor of Theoretical Physics at the Weizmann Institute in Rehovot, Israel, has published an article addressing this problem, "Does Dark Matter Really Exist?," in _Scientific American_, August 2002 (Vol. 287, No. 2), pp. 42-52. Noting the failure of astronomers and physicists to actually observe this postulated "dark matter," Milgrom suggests that the fault may lie not in the "dark matter" itself, which may not even exist, but in the laws of physics. Milgrom proposes a modification of Newton's laws of motion and gravity, called MOND for "Modified Newtonian Dynamics," to explain away the discrepancy. Specifically, MOND modifies Newton's second law of motion at low accelerations. MOND, he feels, does a very good job of reproducing observations. MOND introduces a new constant of nature with the dimensions of acceleration, called a_0 (a sub zero). When the acceleration is much larger than a_0, Newton's old familiar second law applies: force is proportioonal to acceleration. But when the acceleration is smaller than a_0, as near the peripheries of galaxies or galactic clusters,. Newton's second law is altered: force becomes proportional to the square of the acceleration. Thus, the force needed to impart a given acceleration is always smaller than Newtonian dynamics requires. To account for the observed accelerations in galaxies, MOND predicts a smaller force- -hence, less gravity-producing mass--than Newtonian dymamics does. In this way, Milgrom believes, it can eliminate the need for "dark matter." At sufficiently great distances from the center of a galaxy or galactic cluster, the orbital velocity of stars or galaxies should stop decreasing and reach a constant value. Milgrom's MOND has not yet been generally accepted by astrophysicists--but many do consider it a serious contender. Milgrom's MOND as an explanation for discrepancies in the motions of galaxies and galactic clusters closely parallels Einstein's General Relativity as n explanation for Mercury's orbital peculiarities. In both cases, peculiarities in the motion of observed visible astronomical objects--Mercury, galaxies, galaxy clusters--have led conventional astrophysicists to suggest the gravitational influence of hitherto unobserved, curiously elusive material bodies--the planet "Vulcan," "dark matter." In both cases, the postulated gravitationally perturbing bodies--"Vulcan," "dark matter"--have persistently remained curiously elusive, frustratingly difficult or impossible to observe directly. In both cases, the need for such elusive, hard-to-find material bodies has been eliminated by a proposed revision of the laws of physics. Einstein's General Relativity has been generally accepted by the scientific community, while Milgrom's MOND has not yet been generally accepted. To return now to Forteanism: scientific Forteans use Occam's Razor conscientiously. They admit new objects, new creatures, or new entities when it seems absolutely necessary and unavoidable to do so, but they try to keep their new entities more or less similar to old familiar entities if at all possible, and they avoid introducing completely new realms of being or totally new sorts of basic natural laws. Scientific Forteans may propose the survival in our own time of relict populations of supposedly extinct prehistoric hominids or reptiles. However, they firmly keep them anchored in the good old familiar well- known Earthly flesh-and-blood DNA-and-protein evolution-spawned animal kingdom, and NOT coming here from UFO's, other dimensions, an "Inner Earth," or a demonic or angelic "Goblin Universe." They may likewise find themselves forced to seriously admit the possibility of extraterrestrials visiting us in spaceships from Alpha Centauri, Tau Ceti, Zeta Reticuli, or wherever. However, they will interpret them conservatively as products of parallel biological evolution on other habitable planets in our Galaxy as per the SETI speculations of mainstream scientists like Frank Drake and Carl Sagan extrapolating from what we already have known for decades about astrophysics and Earthly biochemistry. They will be VERY chary of rushing to interpret them right away as coming from another dimension or from a spiritual, demonic, or angelic realm. In all such and other cases, scientific Forteans will stick fairly close to old familiar generally-accepted scientific concepts and principles whenever at all possible--which I see as a good use of Occam's Razor. Scientific Fortean study of reported "hairy hominids" like Bigfoot and Yeti is a good example of the adherence to accepted scientific concepts whenever possible. Let me give a specific example suggested by your own comments. In 1999, Loren Coleman and Patrick Huyghe published _The Field Guide to Bigfoot, Yeti, and Other Mystery Primates Worldwide_, noting nine classifications for unknown hominoids. At that time, Coleman and Huyghe were viewed as a bit radical, "far-out," or speculative by many "mainstream" Bigfooters, who preferred to see populations of a single large erect bipedal hairy ape-man or man-ape species lurking in the Pacific Northwest, the Himalayas, and perhaps a couple of other areas of our planet. The same happened to Coleman's and Mark A.Hall's researches, from the 1960's onward, about a population of bad-smelling semi-aquatic chimpanzee-like apes ("Napes" or "Skunk Apes") in the southern United States. However, today, Coleman and Hall are seen clearly as mainstream Bigfooters. Coleman and Huyghe might have been regarded as radical or far-out by old-time Bigfooters only willing to recognize the "classic" or "standard" California Bigfoot, British Columbia Sasquatch, and Himalayan Yeti. Those old-line Bigfooters themselves might seem "radical," "far-out," "gullible," or "unscientific" to all-out Bigfoot and Yeti skeptics. However, Coleman, Huyghe, Mark Hall, and old-line Bigfooters alike are in fact orthodox scientific conservatives--though orthodox scientific conservatives of a very flexible, very broad-minded kind--in trying to fit Bigfoot, Yeti, Almas, Kaptar, Mecheny, Chuchunaa, Orang Pendek, Agogwe, etc., into the generally accepted zoological and palaeontological scientific picture of primate and hominid evolution, as perhaps possible modern "living fossil" relict populations of scientifically accepted prehistoric hominoids and hominids like _Gigantopithecus_, _Paranthropus_, _Australopithecus_, _Homo habilis_, _Homo erectus_, _Homo heidelbergensis_, Neandertals, etc. In all this, scientific Bigfooters all accept the broad mainstream scientific outline of the standard picture of hominid evolution and early human prehistory. In all this, Bigfooters stand in clear opposition to "ancient astronaut" theorists and fundamentalist "Scientific Creationists" who simply reject the standard scientific picture of primate and human evolution. Coleman, Huyghe, Mark Hall, and Bigfooters likewise far closer to the scientific mainstream than writers espousing an other-dimensional, extraterrestrial, "Inner Earth," or demonological interpretation of hairy hominids and other cryptids, who see Bigfoot appearing to hikers and campers from another dimension, UFO's, the Earth's interior, or the fundamentalist Christian (or Muslim) Hell. Indeed, if the Coleman/Huyghe/Hall type scientific "hominologists" are correct, and if we do eventually succeed in capturing some Sasquatches, Kaptars, Almas, and/or Orang Pendeks, this will be widely seen as new scientific confirmation of the essential correctness of the standard scientific human evolutionary picture, and of mainstream palaentologists' reconstructions of _Homo erectus_, _Homo heidelbergensis_, or Neandertals. A real live captured Bigfoot, Almas, Kaptar, or Orang Pendek would probably not give very much aid and comfort to "amcient astronaut" enthusiasts or "Scientific Creationists." Fringe thinkers, by contrast, ignore or flout Occam's Razor by promiscuously using one mystery to solve another mystery. They "solve" legitimate puzzles like Bigfoot, Lake Monsters, UFO's, or abductions by invoking concepts and principles that are themselves bizarre, speculative, mysterious, controversial, or unverifiable, in any case totally unrelated to any realistically foreseeable extensions of the generally accepted mainstream scientific world-picture--e.g., other-dimensional or demonological theories of UFO's, aliens, or cryptids. Nevertheless, we should perhaps not totally dismiss seeming fringe thinkers out of hand. As I've noted, when dealing with truly puzzling and bizarre phenomena, it may not always be easy to determine just what the most truly simple and parsimonious explanation might be. Slightly extraordinary but unquestionably scientific explanations, like the extraterrestrial hypothesis of UFO's and aliens or the zoological or primatological explanation of cryptids, have an obvious appeal for scientific Forteans anxious to avoid fringe, occult, mystical, or "metaphysical" theories if at all possible. They do seem like simple, obvious, straightforward explanations of the great majority of Fortean reports. They include the UFO's that seem like believably possible nuts-and-bolts spacecraft a couple of centuries ahead of ourselves technologically, and the aliens who seem like biologically plausible flesh-and-blood products of Darwinian evolution on another planet in our Galaxy with native environmental conditions just slightly different from the Earth's. They include the "hairy hominids" like Bigfoot, Almas, Kaptar, or Orang Pendek that seem like realistically plausible Neandertal, Homo erectus, Australopithecus, Paranthropus, or Gigantopithecus survivors into our own era, the "lake monsters" and "sea serpents" that might indeed be Plesiosaurus or Zeuglodon survivors into our own time, and the swamp-dwelling West African mokele-mbembes that might indeed be surviving Brontosaurus-like sauropod dinosaurs. All such "normal," "nuts-and-bolts" or "flesh-and-blood" UFO's and creatures seem to need no occult, mystical, paraphysical, or "metaphysical"explanations. They require a stretching of "mainstream" science only to the point of arguing that Frank Drake's and Carl Sagan's hypothetical extraterrestrials are already here on Earth visiting us, or that dinosaurs, plesiosaurs, pre-Sapiens hominids, or other prehistoric creatures are not quite completely extinct after all. However, there are also the occasionally genuinely bizarre yet seemingly authentic reports, that at least seem to defy a straightforward scientific extraterrestrial or zoological explanation, that rather do seem to demand an occult, "metaphysical," or paraphysical explanation. It's these apparently authentic bizarre reports that have inspired interest in fringe, occult, and demonological theories. Such fringe theories gain a certain seeming plausibility because of such bizarre cases. Such cases give a semblance of "empirical proof" and "I always told you so" justification to writers and "buffs" already inclined to occult, mystical, "metaphysical," and demonological speculations. Such bizarre reports include UFO's, aliens, and cryptids ("Bigfoots," "Black Dogs," etc.) that seemingly appear or disappear instantly, change shape, or pass effortlessly through solid obstacles like walls, fences, closed doors, trees, boulders, or dense shrubbery. They include "Bigfoots," "Black Dogs," and other "mystery beasts" with glowing red eyes, overpowering foul odors, missing feet or legs, or semi- transparent bodies. They include "Bigfoot"-like creatures reportedly seen in connection with UFO's. They include cryptids that seem unaffected by gunfire or other weapons. They include aliens or other creatures that disappear or retreat when confronted with crucifixes, rosaries, or prayers to religious figures like Jesus, Mary, Buddha, or the Archangel Michael--or that conversely became especially aggressive when encountering religious symbols. Such bizarre entities seem to almost beg to be considered ghosts, spirits, fairies, elementals, angels, demons, djinn, or other-dimensional "ultraterrestrials"--and writers like John A. Keel, Jacques Vallee, Patrick Harpur, and Janet & Colin Bord seem to be glad enough to comply, as are religious fundamentalist advocates of a demonological theory of aliens and cryptids. To many writers, an occult, "metaphysical," "ultraterrestrial," or demonological theory can easily seem the simplest, most obvious, most economical explanation of such entities, the one most conforming to Occam's Razor. But is it, really? I'm not actually too sure! The bizarre, phantom-like, seemingly absurd qualities and behavior of some reported UFO's and aliens remind me of Arthur C. Clarke's observation that any sufficiently advanced technology would be indistinguishable from magic. Teleportation, instant appearance and disappearance, size or shape change, levitation, invisibility, and passing through solid objects could be routine accomplishments for a science and technology thousands or millions of years and not just a couple of centuries in advance of ours. Some bizarre manifestations, too, might reflect deliberate technologically engineered "disinformation" by extraterrestrials bent on confusing us and cultivating a mental climate of incredulous belief in their existence. They could deliberately use technological "magic" to make some of us believe that they are merely the supernatural beings of our own traditional religious, mythological, or folkloric belief systems, and the rest of us believe that supposed abductees and alleged "close encounter" witnesses are simply neurotic, gullible victims of their own delusions and fantasies unable to distinguish their grotesque nightmares or bizarre dream-like hallucinations from reality: therefore, the wilder and more chaotically diversified our supposed "dreams," "fantasies," and "delusions," the better for the aliens concerned to have us not take their possible existence too seriously. If some of us think the aliens are really ghosts, angels, fairies, or demons, and the rest of us simply laugh at the bizarre tales of abductees and close-encounter witnesses seeing a hundred different varieties of grotesque creatures with sometimes ghost-like characteristics telling two dozen absurd, conflicting tales about their origin or home planet, that suits the aliens just fine. They may use hypnosis, holographic projections, robots, and other deceptive techniques we can't even imagine to make us think we're seeing "Bigfoots," giants, 3-inch diminutive little men, human-sized giant grasshoppers, ghosts, angels, demons, walking 6-inch tin cans, "birdmen," "batmen," "mothmen,"or floating disembodied brains. They might, for instance, deliberately "plant" occasional apparent sightings of "Bigfoots" with glowing red eyes and missing or semi-transparent feet to sow confusion, disbelief, and ridicule. Of course, such alien-created red-eyed spectral "Bigfoot" holographic (?) projections can easily co-exist with more conventional zoological hairy hominoid primates and relict flesh-and-blood pre-sapiens Erectus or Neandertal hominid populations! Alternatively, many of the more "bizarre" and "absurd" UFO, alien, and cryptid reports may have their explanation not in extraterrestrial visitors or unknown animals, but rather in the more curious powers and activities of the human psyche itself, as studied by parapsychologists. A few seemingly "far-out" parapsychological and Fortean theories admittedly lie on the border between scientific Forteanism and fringe "metaphysical" speculation. It may largely be a matter of personal taste which side of that border one wishes to place them on. They include, for instance, speculations about "group minds," and about quasi-material "thought-forms" or "tulpas." I myself see such theories as stretching the "mainstream" scientific world-picture very nearly to its breaking point--but not yet QUITE breaking it. I would argue that they are not quite "fringe" or "metaphysical," but rather a slight extrapolation from traditional mainstream parapsychology--and thus scientific.. Solid, respected parapsychologists like Whately Carington, G.N.M. Tyrrell, Nandor Fodor, and D. Scott Rogo have speculated about telepathically-generated "group minds," "collective idea- patterns," or "gestalts" of families, clans, tribes, cultures, political movements, etc. These "group minds" or "gestalts" would be telepathically created from the beliefs, myths, symbols, archetypal images, etc., of those groups, and would have a certain independent active telepathic influence on group members' minds. Such "group minds," "gestalts," or "collective idea-patterns" might explain family warning-spirits like the Irish banshee, Catholic and Eastern Orthodox apparitions of the Virgin and saints, mediaeval appearances of the Devil, ancient Greek and Roman visions of Pan, satyrs, nymphs, dryads, Theseus, and Castor & Pollux, Celtic and Germanic close encounters with fairies, gnomes, leprechauns, dwarfs, trolls, etc.--and perhaps also UFO close encounters and abductions in our own time. Sometimes, some of these parapsychologists have suggested, these visions and apparitions take a temporarily semi-solid, quasi- material form as "thought-forms," "tulpas," or "telesmic images." UFO's, "aliens," Bigfoot, Lake Monsters, "Black Dogs," "Mothmen," and assorted "cryptids" might be such "tulpas." Such "tulpas" might actually have a temporary physical existence--as collective psychic projections of our own human "group minds," or perhaps of Carl Gustav Jung's "Collective Unconscious." Again, such "tulpas" of UFO's, aliens, or cryptids could coexist with real extraterrestrial nuts-and-bolts starships, real flesh-and-blood aliens, real flesh-and-blood zoological cryptids, and real relict pre-sapiens hominids.. Jerome Clark and Loren Coleman at one time proposed something along such lines in _The Unidentified_ (1975), where they drew on Carl Jung's theories to describe the UFO phenomenon as a planetary poltergeist generating apparitions from Humankind's repressed collective unconscious to create UFO manifestations, Men in Black, etc.--some of which ideas former FATE editor Clark reportedly now disavows. Anyway, I myself suspect that a theory of "group minds" and "tulpas" might perhaps explain many of the more bizarre, "ghostly," "phantom-like" UFO, alien, and cryptid reports, without resorting to more speculative occult, "metaphysical," or demonological theories about fairies, elementals, djinn, devas, angels, demons, or "ultraterrestrials." A parapsychological theory of "group minds" and "thought- forms," indeed, could help scientific Forteans defend their approach against the advocates of fringe and occultist theories. We sometimes may need to consider the SOMEWHAT extraordinary and MODERATELY "far-out" to avoid being pressured or seduced into believing the EXTREMELY extraordinary. William of Occam, I think, would have approved. Regards, T. Peter Garden City South, L.I., N.Y. -- "Only a zit on the wart on the heinie of progress." Copyright 1992, Frank Rice Terry W. Colvin, Sierra Vista, Arizona (USA) < fortean1 at mindspring.com > Alternate: < fortean1 at msn.com > Home Page: < http://www.geocities.com/Area51/Stargate/8958/index.html > Sites: * Fortean Times * Mystic's Haven * TLCB * U.S. Message Text Formatting (USMTF) Program ------------ Member: Thailand-Laos-Cambodia Brotherhood (TLCB) Mailing List TLCB Web Site: < http://www.tlc-brotherhood.org > [Vietnam veterans, Allies, CIA/NSA, and "steenkeen" contractors are welcome.] From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sat Jan 10 18:26:20 2004 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sat, 10 Jan 2004 10:26:20 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Stephenson's Franchulate enclavism beginning... Message-ID: <20040110182620.91537.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> In a move that may herald the beginning of panarchical franchise enclaves predicted by Neal Stephenson in Snow Crash and The Diamond Age, the Vermont town of Killington, VT is considering the possibility of seceding from Vermont to join NH. Located 25 miles inside Vermont, Killington is the home of the largest tourist destination in the state, Killington Ski Resort, the largest ski area in North America. The locals have had their development hopes dashed for the past decade by environmental fascists via the states Act 250 environmental courts, which allows anyone to sue to stop you from developing your land. Additionally, the Act 60 property tax law treats Killington as a 'gold town', from which the state loots $10 million in local property taxes per year to redistribute to 'receiver' school districts around the state. Killington only gets back $1 million. Combined with a refusal by the state to build sufficient roads to Killington to deal with its traffic, the people of Killington feel like a colony that the royalty in Montpelier leeches off of. "It kind of reminds us of colonial days," Town Manager David Lewis said Thursday. "The colonies were being faced with the Stamp Act, the Tea Act, the Sugar Act. England wasn't giving them any rights. They were treating the colonies as just a revenue source." Killington's Select Board wants to let voters consider secession on Town Meeting Day in March. Lewis says, "New Hampshire would never abuse a town like ours as Vermont has." As a result, the Free State Project is ramping up a 'shadow advertising' campaign across Vermont. "If the people of Killington are so fed up with the state government, there must be a lot more people elsewhere in the state who feel similarly," says FSP VP Doug Hillman, "We are going to promote the FSP and NH to liberty lovers in Vermont and ultimately in all northeastern states." Other FSP members want to promote the concept of secession to towns in other high tax states. "We may wind up with NH towns spread across the US," one FSP member said. Originally termed Panarchy in the 19th century, the concept was rekindled in the last decade by popular SF writer Neal Stephenson, who predicted a future where gated communities and townships spread like franchises across the world would form synthetic nations, or 'phyles'. Also called 'clades' and 'franchulates' (for franchise-consulate), such communities would allow weary citizens of such phyles to find a safe harbor to stay that recognised their 'citizenship'. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Yahoo! Hotjobs: Enter the "Signing Bonus" Sweepstakes http://hotjobs.sweepstakes.yahoo.com/signingbonus From jonkc at att.net Sat Jan 10 18:59:11 2004 From: jonkc at att.net (John K Clark) Date: Sat, 10 Jan 2004 13:59:11 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: Fermi Paradox and Simulation Argument References: Message-ID: <014001c3d7ac$012b2f60$41ff4d0c@hal2001> Robert J. Bradbury" Wrote: > there seems to be a significant probability > that we are about to shift from evolution > driven by random adaptation to > evolution driven by conscious processes. Yes, I agree completely. >> A single civilization can settle a galaxy in no time. >But there is no point! It would probably be the same point that Humans had when they settled the Earth. >> It can settle several galaxies a short time later. >Which would be even more pointless. Are you certain that every strange citizen in every alien super civilization would feel as you do about that? It would just take one, and after all, several members from even your own species don't feel as you do about that. >It seems unlikely that one can achieve greater intelligence >or any other benefits this way. Intelligence will need matter and it will need energy, if you wish to maximize intelligence you will to engineer the galaxy and then the entire universe. This does not appear to have happened which makes me think alien super civilizations do not exist. John K Clark jonkc at att.net From mlorrey at yahoo.com Sat Jan 10 19:00:53 2004 From: mlorrey at yahoo.com (Mike Lorrey) Date: Sat, 10 Jan 2004 11:00:53 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] blog linking Message-ID: <20040110190053.97903.qmail@web12908.mail.yahoo.com> http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com The above is my blog location. Those who read it and want to cross link with their own, please email me your blog URL so that I can add a link to you. ===== Mike Lorrey "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils." - Gen. John Stark "Fascists are objectively pro-pacifist..." - Mike Lorrey Do not label me, I am an ism of one... Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.zblogger.com __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Yahoo! Hotjobs: Enter the "Signing Bonus" Sweepstakes http://hotjobs.sweepstakes.yahoo.com/signingbonus From nanowave at shaw.ca Sat Jan 10 19:53:55 2004 From: nanowave at shaw.ca (Russell Evermore) Date: Sat, 10 Jan 2004 11:53:55 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already References: <000001c3d6ff$df8202f0$6701a8c0@GREYBOOK> Message-ID: <007f01c3d7b3$7b582d40$d3a44418@du.shawcable.net> Oh my my. Is war extropic or entropic? Well, I should have thought Einstein cleared up such questions long long ago. Is a siphon entropic or extropic? Obviously it depends at which side of the flow you happen to be looking at, the uphill side or the down. As Joey Tribiani once put it: This question is moo (i.e. so dumb that even cows don't spend a lot of time talking about it) Fundamentalist Islam, led by Osama Bin Luddite, has chosen this age (my age, my son's age) to wage a war of aggression against modernity. When war has been declared on your person, your continent, and your core values, you have but two choices - you fight or you flee. Is it extropic to fight? Is it extropic to flee? Where will you flee - Mars? ------------- >From the inside flap of _Onward Muslim Soldiers_ by Robert Spencer: In this shocking new book, author Richard Spencer details how jihad warriors have already established numerous foothoods right here in America, and are an established, growing, and ominous threat in Europe. "Onward Muslim Soldiers" reveals the openly violent contempt that radical Muslims in the United States and around the world have for Western freedom and tolerance, and details why a clash of civilizations is already upon us. Spencer exposes the truth about radical Islam that the media denies and disregards including: 1) Why Iraqi democracy will have a tough time no matter how long American troops stay in the country 2)The American Left: its unholy alliance with radical Islam 3)The concept of jihad: how it poisons chances for peace in Israel and in other conflicts 4)The myth of Islamic "tolerance" in history and today 5)Why the threat of violent jihad is growing daily, despite claims that Islam is a "religion of peace" 6)How Muslims are undermining Western Europe's commitment freedom 7)Why moderate Muslims have been unable to stop the spread of violent Islam Using Muslim sources, Robert Spencer uncovers tracts that influence radical Muslims--material full of naked hatred and intolerance; material that is freely and popularly available, and that is almost completely ignored by the establishment media. This explosive book concludes with a series of practical steps that we must take to combat jihad terrorism--before it's too late. ------------- RE From bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk Sat Jan 10 21:25:52 2004 From: bill at wkidston.freeserve.co.uk (BillK) Date: Sat, 10 Jan 2004 21:25:52 +0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Moon news Message-ID: <40006DE0.9010104@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk> This is all about politics. Science has nothing to do with it. Nov 2004 is Bush re-election time. Lofty space vision runs into realities Lawmakers and aides say ?return to moon? talk is more about politics than about spaceflight A senior Senate Republican aide said the plan gives Bush a 'big bold idea' to run on for re-election. But would the Republican-led Congress fund it? 'Unlikely,' the aide said, asking not to be identified by name. 'But the president doesn?t have to get this through Congress this year. He just needs to put it on the table as part of the agenda for his second term'. 'The president is now looking for centrist supporters who may be enthralled by big ideas. This has much less to do about legislative reality on Capitol Hill this year than it has to do with political reality in 2004,' he said. ---------- The USA spends about $15.5 billion on NASA, including about $3.5 billion on the shuttle program. NASA has a huge money pit in the Shuttle support and infrastructure, but unfortunately people have started to realize that it is all pretty pointless and has now started killing astronauts as well. NASA's problem is that they want to get rid of the shuttles but keep all the billions of funding. How to do this? Geee - I know! Let's go back 30 years and start building big rockets and capsules again. Nahhh - the public would never stand for that. OK. How about if we pretend we're going to Mars - like in Buck Rogers? That should get people excited. And we can say we've got to keep up with the evil Chinese as well. You know, that might just work. And the beauty of it is that we don't need to find any really big bucks until after Bush's second term. So we don't need to get huge budgets through Congress and we don't have to worry about the budget deficits before 2008 when Bush will be retiring to his ranch. Then it's all someone else's problem. Cool! It's all politics. BillK From bradbury at aeiveos.com Sat Jan 10 22:00:01 2004 From: bradbury at aeiveos.com (Robert J. Bradbury) Date: Sat, 10 Jan 2004 14:00:01 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Re: Fermi Paradox and Simulation Argument In-Reply-To: <014001c3d7ac$012b2f60$41ff4d0c@hal2001> Message-ID: On Sat, 10 Jan 2004, John K Clark responding to my comments wrote: With respect to exploration/colonization, John said: > It would probably be the same point that Humans had when they settled the > Earth. Not so John. You have to ask *what* drove the original human diasporas (out of Africa) and much later migrations of large numbers such as the colonization of North and South America? I'll cite 4, lack of food resources, climate changes/hazards, lack of reproductive resources, curiosity. One by one: a) Lack of food resources. MBrains have 4 choices: (1) Harvest nearby brown dwarfs; (2) Harvest gas from molecular clouds; (3) Harvest nearby stars; (4) Decrease ones consumption of fuel by slowing down computational activity. 1-3 have problems because you will waste resources in transporting the fuel back to your location. One might think seriously about implementing (4) until one naturally migrates close enough to sources 1-3 that transportation overhead is minimized. b) Climate changes/hazards. MBrains can observe and predict potential hazards long enough in advance that they can execute minor changes in orbital vectors to avoid such hazards. c) Lack of reproductive resources. It is questionable whether MBrains would ever want to reproduce because offspring are potentially competitors when resources are in short supply in the distant future. This gets into Mark Walker's arguments that potentially immortal entities may logically agree to non-proliferation of themselves. It applies to mega-civilizations that are immortal as well as it applies to individuals on current societies. d) Curiosity. MBrains can see pretty much anything going on in the galaxy or nearby galaxies. What they cannot see they can probably simulate. I've yet to see a concrete numbers suggesting that there is significant marginal benefit to the knowledge base of an MBrain by sending out probes to survey distant solar systems. Even if there was significant information benefit that doesn't mean that colonization is justified. > Are you certain that every strange citizen in every alien super civilization > would feel as you do about that? It would just take one, and after all, > several members from even your own species don't feel as you do about that. That is one problem that keeps cropping up in this discussion. People keep assuming that the concepts of "citizens" or "individuals" remain as they are now. I significantly doubt this. You either remain in in a current human state (and find oneself eliminated when something large enough hits the earth or finds oneself homeless when the MBrain decides to dismantle it) -- or one plugs into the MBrain or uploads -- in which case the concept of "self" becomes very very different. The reason being that within a relatively short period of time seems feasible for me to make all of my knowledge available to you and you to make all of your knowledge available to me. The same is true for anyone else linked into the net. Its kind of like hyper-blogging. There are no more traditional concepts of "you" and "me". The entire civilization becomes much more borg-like. Sure you can resist this - but we have relatively hard numbers now for how futile this will be. Its roughly 10^42 ops vs 10^15 ops and 10^50 bits vs 10^10 bits. Pre-singularity entities are bugs. I suspect there may come a significant debate about whether XYZBrains simply swat bugs (be they sentient or not) if they threaten to interfere with the goals of the XYZBrain. > Intelligence will need matter and it will need energy, if you wish to > maximize intelligence you will to engineer the galaxy and then the entire > universe. This does not appear to have happened which makes me think alien > super civilizations do not exist. The key word in this sentence is "appear". If, as Milan Cirkovic has proposed the best computational location for MBrains is intergalactic space (which is good if one believes the dispersal/stealth and hazard avoidance arguments as well) then there is very little evidence that would argue against the fact that shortly after attaining XYZBrain status such superintelligences leave their galaxies. There may even be some evidence *for* this scenario in the missing dark matter/dark energy. Robert From test at demedici.ssec.wisc.edu Sat Jan 10 22:25:12 2004 From: test at demedici.ssec.wisc.edu (Bill Hibbard) Date: Sat, 10 Jan 2004 16:25:12 -0600 (CST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Moon news Message-ID: Just speculating, but manned missions to the moon and mars that require reductions in all other NASA projects might be a good way to avoid learning inconvenient facts about climate change on earth. This morning Adam Keiper, Managing Editor of The New Atlantis, was on C-SPAN touting the moon and mars missions. They might also be a nice distraction from biology for life extension and other transhumanist goals. Again, just speculating. I'm all for sending robots to mars, but would prefer to hold off on humans until it gets a lot cheaper. The same money that it would take to get people to mars and back could fund a whole lot of robotic technology. Bill ---------------------------------------------------------- Bill Hibbard, SSEC, 1225 W. Dayton St., Madison, WI 53706 test at demedici.ssec.wisc.edu 608-263-4427 fax: 608-263-6738 http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/~billh/vis.html From determinism at hotmail.com Sat Jan 10 22:29:49 2004 From: determinism at hotmail.com (Dennis May) Date: Sat, 10 Jan 2004 16:29:49 -0600 Subject: [extropy-chat] RE: FWD (PvT) Professors at war: Searching for dissentat the MLA Message-ID: "This past week, about 8,000 professors and graduate students gathered here for the annual meeting of the Modern Language Association." I don't find it at all surprising that you find left wing extremists and Marxists flocking together in English departments at universities. Those are the only kind of English professors I have ever met. Dennis May _________________________________________________________________ Scope out the new MSN Plus Internet Software ? optimizes dial-up to the max! http://join.msn.com/?pgmarket=en-us&page=byoa/plus&ST=1 From jrd1415 at yahoo.com Sat Jan 10 22:39:22 2004 From: jrd1415 at yahoo.com (Jeff Davis) Date: Sat, 10 Jan 2004 14:39:22 -0800 (PST) Subject: [extropy-chat] Your thoughts on the news In-Reply-To: <003501c3d788$2851a7f0$0a01a8c0@Kallista> Message-ID: <20040110223922.39896.qmail@web41202.mail.yahoo.com> --- Devon White wrote: > What i would like to know is this: if you could turn on FOX, NBC, ABC, CBS, etc. . . and design the information that you as well as other people would get, what would it be? --------------------- Here's what I want to see, Devon. Take "Mystery Science Theatre 3000"--wherein a cheesy old SciFi movie is screened with the rather quirky audience providing exceedingly clever and 'enlightened' commentary, and turn it into "Mystery Pundit Theatre 3000". Take the news-or-other-punditry and interpose a 'protective' layer of 'control'--freeze-frame, replay, and edit--and irreverent commentary between 'it' and the audience. For years I have been absolutely frothing at the mouth to see this treatment meted out to all those proper/phony pundit and talking-head types. I am confident that fair use would allow you to excerpt a bucket load of choice bits, the which you could then gleefully rip and shred with unbridled ridicule. Meanwhile, the offending bitstream with it's sacred-cow face is held frozen before the firing squad of the aggrieved. It warms me just to think of what it would be like. I mean, I regularly scream at the lying pretentious weaseloids, as they attempt--in vain--to damage my brain with their devious self-delusional self-serving memetic emetic. (I flatter myself that my defenses are robust against their onslaught. In any case it isn't me their aiming at, but the paying choir and the stupidly impressionable.) I think there must be a coupla a billion others out there like me, who fume at being bombarded by seeming-authoritative sputum, powerless to respond to the one-way-broadcast model. The mute/off button is not good enough. I want payback. I want my voice heard from the audience. After all the years of helpless anonymous 'silence' at this end of the one-way crapola stream, I want satisfaction. Commentary on the commentators. Unfair and unbalanced and un-fuckin-apologetic. Please. Pulleeease! I'll even promise to watch the goddamned commercials (though I'd prefer to buy it outright, commercial-free, on cable.) Best, Jeff Davis I believe -- no pun intended:) -- the practical thing is usually to change those beliefs that cause the most immediate trouble... Daniel Ust __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? Yahoo! Hotjobs: Enter the "Signing Bonus" Sweepstakes http://hotjobs.sweepstakes.yahoo.com/signingbonus From jef at jefallbright.net Sun Jan 11 00:21:00 2004 From: jef at jefallbright.net (Jef Allbright) Date: Sat, 10 Jan 2004 16:21:00 -0800 Subject: [extropy-chat] Fw: Deconstruction deconstructed.... Message-ID: <020b01c3d7d8$cb4154b0$6501a8c0@int.veeco.com> Stephen Karlsgodt wrote: > I thought this was pretty funny. I am an engineer, so apparently I > may be safe, but I spent enough time in graduate school to relate to > this essay... > > http://www.info.ucl.ac.be/people/PVR/decon.html > > Steve From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Sun Jan 11 01:47:36 2004 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Sat, 10 Jan 2004 20:47:36 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already In-Reply-To: <007f01c3d7b3$7b582d40$d3a44418@du.shawcable.net> Message-ID: <004b01c3d7e4$e3dbbd10$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Russell Evermore wrote, > Is war extropic or entropic? Well, I should have thought > Einstein cleared up such questions long long ago. Is a siphon > entropic or extropic? Obviously it depends at which side of > the flow you happen to be looking at, the uphill side or the down. War is not a flow of resources from the loser to the winner. War is a destruction of resources on both sides. The war ends when one of the parties' resources is destroyed beyond the point of being able to continue the war. After the war, there may be a flow of resources from the loser to the winner. But this "benefit" does not alter the fact that war is always a net loss. (The argument that the losses of war is intended to prevent an even greater losses does not alter the fact that war is entropic.) War = destruction. Extropy = creation. War is the opposite of Extropy. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Sun Jan 11 01:49:24 2004 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Sat, 10 Jan 2004 20:49:24 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] ENOUGH already In-Reply-To: <007f01c3d7b3$7b582d40$d3a44418@du.shawcable.net> Message-ID: <004c01c3d7e5$273b34a0$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Russell Evermore wrote, > Fundamentalist Islam, led by Osama Bin Luddite, has chosen > this age (my age, my son's age) to wage a war of aggression > against modernity. When war has been declared on your person, > your continent, and your core values, you have but two > choices - you fight or you flee. I thought we were talking about the war started by Bush, not the war started by bin Laden. But it doesn't matter because the principles are the same. An evil party attacks an innocent party killing thousands of people with no provocation in hopes of terrorizing them to such an extent that other parties only vaguely related to the attacked party will be shocked and awed into retreating. Both of these actions failed and triggered a more aggressive backlash than any conflicts that existed before. > Is it extropic to fight? It is extropic to defend, it is not extropic to attack. Defense is extropic, initiating force is not extropic. > Is it extropic to flee? Where will you flee - Mars? Depends on the situation. I don't know of any suggestions to flee relating to current wars, so I can't comment without details. > >From the inside flap of _Onward Muslim Soldiers_ by Robert Spencer: I think this author and you conflate bin Laden, Saddam Hussein, and Palestinians all into the same group. I believe this is too simplistic and will result in faulty intelligence. You cannot expect bin Laden, Saddam Hussein and Palestinians to believe the same things or act in the same ways. They are radically different religious/political factions only vaguely related under the banner of Islam. Saddam was about as non-religious as you could get and still claim to be Islamic, while bin Laden is about as extremist fundamentalist as you could get and still claim to be Islamic. The Palestinians seem to be more territorial than fundamentally religious in their battles. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Sun Jan 11 02:19:01 2004 From: mail at HarveyNewstrom.com (Harvey Newstrom) Date: Sat, 10 Jan 2004 21:19:01 -0500 Subject: [extropy-chat] Fw: Deconstruction deconstructed.... In-Reply-To: <020b01c3d7d8$cb4154b0$6501a8c0@int.veeco.com> Message-ID: <004f01c3d7e9$49faa260$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Jef Allbright wrote, > Stephen Karlsgodt wrote: > > I would fire any engineer that wrote this article. He makes fun of things he doesn't understand and assumes that only his own field of endeavor is worthwhile while other people's knowledge is fake. He sounds more like the pointy-haired boss in Dilbert rather than a real engineer. His ill-preparedness for the conference is a failing on his part, not the other conference attendees. His lack of understanding of even the basic jargon of other speakers shows his illiteracy, not the illegitimacy of other fields of study. His approach to ridicule and belittle the others, even when he couldn't understand what they were saying. If you want me to deconstruct this "Deconstructing Deconstructionism", I would question the authors racist motives for saying things like "you get points for being French", and his homophobia of selecting homophobia as a topic to make fun of, and his dislike of academia in general as a sour-grapes attempt to dismiss what he couldn't understand. As near as I can tell, this engineer totally failed to prepare for the conference, be effective at the conference, or even understand what was being discussed at the conference. His response was to make fun of the conference, dismiss it as all useless anyway, and try to explain why his ignorance is superior to anybody else's knowledge that he didn't understand. This was really pathetic. -- Harvey Newstrom, CISSP, CISA, CISM, IAM, IBMCP, GSEC Certified IS Security Pro, Certified IS Auditor, Certified InfoSec Manager, NSA Certified Assessor, IBM Certified Consultant, SANS Certified GIAC From dirk at neopax.com Sun Jan 11 02:34:47 2004 From: dirk at neopax.com (Dirk Bruere) Date: Sun, 11 Jan 2004 02:34:47 -0000 Subject: [extropy-chat] Fw: Deconstruction deconstructed.... References: <004f01c3d7e9$49faa260$cc01a8c0@DELLBERT> Message-ID: <016101c3d7eb$7abe63d0$62256bd5@artemis> ----- Original Message ----- From: "Harvey Newstrom" To: "'ExI chat list'" Sent: Sunday, January 11, 2004 2:19 AM Subject: RE: [extropy-chat] Fw: Deconstruction deconstructed.... > Jef Allbright wrote, > > Stephen Karlsgodt wrote: > > > > > I would fire any engineer that wrote this article. He makes fun of things > he doesn't understand and assumes that only his own field of endeavor is > worthwhile while other people's knowledge is fake. He sounds more like the > pointy-haired boss in Dilbert rather than a real engineer. ... > This was really pathetic. And the classic 'Quantum Hermeneutics' paper? http://www.physics.nyu.edu/faculty/sokal/transgress_v2/transgress_v2_singlefile.html Dirk The Consensus:- The political party for the new millennium http://www.theconsensus.org From mail at HarveyNewstrom.com Sun Jan 11 02:51:46 2004 From: mail at Harvey