[extropy-chat] Re: monty hall paradox again: reds and green gorfs

[Damien Broderick]

At 07:46 AM 5/22/2004 +1000, alejandro wrote:


>Probability
>of holding the bigger envelope then seems to get modified to 2/3 as soon
>as you open it.  How!?

Because probability is a measure of your inadequate knowledge, at a given 
time, of aspects of a system, and the confidence with which you estimate 
that you can act with a predictable outcome on that partial knowledge.

Damien Broderick