[extropy-chat] Looks like a Kerry victory

[Robin Hanson]

At 03:34 PM 11/2/2004, you wrote:
>Perhaps based on this new data, the betting markets have closed up.
>Tradesports, which had Bush at 55, is now at 50.1/50 for Bush/Kerry.
>IEM has now put Kerry ahead slightly, for the first time in months,
>at 50.5/51.2.  Of course, to play broken record, all this really means
>is that the markets still see a coin flip.

Markets are now almost 2:1 in favor of Kerry.  IEM is about 67%,
while Tradesports is at 63%.  You heard it here first.



Robin Hanson  rhanson at gmu.edu  http://hanson.gmu.edu
Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University
MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-4444
703-993-2326  FAX: 703-993-2323