[extropy-chat] alt dot fair dice
Adrian Tymes
wingcat at pacbell.net
Sat Oct 9 16:49:35 UTC 2004
--- Spike <spike66 at comcast.net> wrote:
> > Can other shapes be made such that there is
> > equal probability of any face downward? I can
> > think of one: a five sided pyramid shaped
> > solid (four triangular faces and one square
> > face). If the pyramid is tall and skinny, it
> > is less likely to land on the square face. If
> > it is short and flat, the square face is more
> > likely to end downward. So (I think) the
> > intermediate value theorem demands that there
> > is an aspect ratio somewhere between short and
> > tall that would make the square face equally
> > likely to land downward, even if the surface
> > area of the square face is different from
> > the triangular... spike
>
> Wait, I am now realizing this whole problem is a
> lot more complicated than I first imagined. With
> the above example, the fairness of the square-base
> pyramid would depend on having a level surface
> upon which one rolls the die. Imagine a family
> of pyramid shaped dice with progressively more
> triangular faces. As the number of faces increases,
> the probability of landing on any given triangular
> face goes down, so the probability of landing on
> the polygonal base must be adjusted downward, so
> the thing gets taller. Right? So if one imagines
> rolling a tall die on an inclined surface, it is
> easy to see that it might be exactly *impossible*
> to make it stand on its base, yet it could still
> land with equal probability on any triangular face.
And that is why they prefer regular solids: because
many real surfaces are slightly irregular. In fact,
for some rolls, they don't even roll the dice per se,
but rather put them in a container with a hole and
roll the container until the dice come out. I've also
seen a percentile die (00-99) which was one ten sided
die inside another, mostly transparent ten sided die;
the external one yielded one digit while the internal
one yielded the other.
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