[extropy-chat] anti-hurricane engineering, reply
Adrian Tymes
wingcat at pacbell.net
Tue Oct 19 04:00:40 UTC 2004
--- Johnius <Johnius at Genius.UCSD.edu> wrote:
> I forwarded some of your feedback posted on the
> anti-hurricane engineering thread to Wenger. He's
> now back from his teaching tour and sent the
> following replies.
> ==== begin forward ====
> << Hmm. I wonder if one could do a
> sub-million-dollar
> proving project, that would slightly but measurably
> reduce the force of a cat 1 or 2? Preferably one
> not
> slated to come ashore, just in case the worst
> happens.
> Once one has proven it this way, then one could
> make
> backed-up-by-evidence projections of how much it
> would
> cost to diminsh a cat 4 or 5, and try to get
> funding
> for that upscaled project. A.T. >>
>
> It might be feasible to get a mile or so's
> deployment out there, run computer
> predictions of hurricane performance from the four
> or five current best
> weather models, then compare actual hurricane
> performance. But you'd need to do
> that a few times to get confidence of data,
> especially since the changes would
> be small - so I'm thinking the minimum figure would
> be more likely somewhere
> between five and ten million dollars. ...w
Eh, what? Did I actually suggest something that might
work? ^_^;;;
If five to ten - or, for safety factor's sake, let's
call it twenty - million dollars is all that would be
needed to prove this out, that sounds like something
in the range of charity or a small government-funded
study. Either way, funding seems possible.
So, I wonder if there's anyone on this list who's more
of an expert at these kinds of studies, who might want
to run with it. Or, if not, where would be a good
place to suggest this idea to get it run with
(possibly with further reality checking, of course).
A quick google on "otec hurricane" shows I'm not the
only one who's thought of this in the past few months,
but I didn't find any plans for formal studies of the
idea.
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