[extropy-chat] The Long Now: Bets and Predictions Over Time

[Mike Lorrey]

--- Brent Neal <brentn at freeshell.org> wrote:

>  (9/23/04 15:31) Mike Lorrey <mlorrey at yahoo.com> wrote:
> 
> >
> >--- Amara Graps <amara.graps at gmail.com> wrote:
> >
> >> The Long Now Foundation's 
> >> 
> >> Bets and Predictions Over Time
> >> 
> >> http://redpuma.net/longview/tree/bets-html/
> >> 
> >> Very Interesting!
> >
> >Their predictions on the presidential race are contradicting
> >electoral-vote.com's prediction of a Bush domination of the
> electoral
> >college. This market isn't big enough or diverse enough for an
> accurate prediction.
> 
> 
> Hmm.  That site currently predicts 273 Bush, 255 Kerry. That's
> domination? 

That is if the election were held today. Look at the election day final
projection: Bush 336, Kerry 192. That is where the trends are heading,
and have been heading for the past two months. While I wouldn't call it
a Reagan landslide, it is pretty dominating.

=====
Mike Lorrey
Chairman, Free Town Land Development
"Necessity is the plea for every infringement of human freedom.
It is the argument of tyrants; it is the creed of slaves."
                                         -William Pitt (1759-1806) 
Blog: http://www.xanga.com/home.aspx?user=Sadomikeyism


	
		
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