[extropy-chat] against ID
gts
gts_2000 at yahoo.com
Thu Dec 8 22:13:50 UTC 2005
Popper also wrote about the interesting concept of "verisimilitude".
verisimilitude \ver-uh-suh-MIL-uh-tood; -tyood\, noun:
1. The appearance of truth; the quality of seeming to be true.
2. Something that has the appearance of being true or real.
He was criticized for attempting to quantify verisimilitude, and ended up
calling it an "intuitive" idea.
Popper's definition of verisimilitude: "Theory A is closer to the truth
than theory B if and only if (i) all the true consequences of B are true
consequences of A, (ii) all the false consequences of A are consequences
of B, and (iii) either and some true consequences of A are not
consequences of B or some false consequences of B are not consequences of
A."
In principle one of any two false theories should be closer to the truth
than the other, but his critics showed otherwise for Popper's definition.
His critic Tichý says [instead] that "A is closer to the truth than B
because A makes one mistake but gets two things right, while B is wrong on
all three counts. One mistake is better than three mistakes, so A has
greater verisimilitude or truthlikeness. Now it is possible for one false
theory to be closer to the truth than another."
(from http://philosophy.wisc.edu/forster/220/notes_10.html)
Given the fact that we do not and may never know the total absolute truth
about everything, it's pretty important to know which lies we should teach
in science class. :)
-gts
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