[extropy-chat] A New Year's gift for Bayesians
Hara Ra
harara at sbcglobal.net
Sun Jan 2 04:27:42 UTC 2005
How Newtonian. 1 ml of air has 10^19 molecules, and all we know are a few
statistical values..... When you start with quantum theory and then recall
the sensitvities in chaos, knowing probablities as described is obviously
unknowable. Only a saint would think otherwise..... (Saint Laputa?)
>>Laplace takes every event in your life, and every probability you
>>assigned to each event, and multiplies all the probabilities together.
>>This is your Final Judgment - the probability you assigned to your life.
>
>Saint Laplace should instead extrapolate your probabilities and assign
>them to all events that happen, regardless of whether you learn about
>them. Then you won't want to commit suicide, etc.
==================================
= Hara Ra (aka Gregory Yob) =
= harara at sbcglobal.net =
= Alcor North Cryomanagement =
= Alcor Advisor to Board =
= 831 429 8637 =
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