[extropy-chat] Dark matter and ET
Dan Clemmensen
dgc at cox.net
Thu Jul 21 02:27:05 UTC 2005
Emlyn wrote:
>Mike wrote:
>
>
>>Quite so, Robin. But Dan's premise also fails a test of extropic logic,
>>which is that the marginal utility of a colony in another star system
>>is not just the computation happening in that star system, but also the
>>probes being spawned to other systems from there, and others in turn,
>>as an exponential budding process. Sure, the core SI takes a loss
>>computationally for the first few generations, but the exponential
>>growth quickly overtakes that, especially if each probe travels with a
>>supply of entangled particles or is otherwise able to establish some
>>sort of FTL network once they've reached a destination star system.
>>
>>
>
>Also, if the loss of an asteroid worth of computronium is a problem,
>you could always set out with the aim to relativistically hurl back a
>lot more matter to replace the asteroid with; that way, you can
>balance the cost of the present matter with the gain of a lot more
>future matter (heavily discounted of course because of elapsed time)
>and have the whole enterprise be worth the trouble for the net gain in
>computronium alone.
>
>
>
This is a valid argument. but it depends on the discount rate. tech
original Si is
presumed to have converts the natal solar system into computroniun. If the
nearest neighbor is 4 LY, then the ROI commences 8 years after the
investment,
minimum.
I did fail to analyse the "mining" scenario. I postulated the
information scenario
instead. In the information scenario, the original SI sends a probe and
receives
information. In the "mining scenario, the original SI sends a probe and
receives
matter. I guess that the mining scenario has a positive NPV, We send an
asteriod's mass
out, and we begin receiving mass (computronium 8 years later. Within 9
years, we receive
about half the mass of the target solar system: eh other half of the
mass is converted to
energy associated with moving the other system's mass to the original
system.
The target system will also expend a tiny percentage of its mass to
generate probes
to send to other systems: these other systems will then send their mass
back to the
original system. This creates the expanding sphere that Eugene refers to.
We still need to compute the NPV: the incremental information generated
by an
asteriod's worth of computronium in 8 years versus the value of the
information we
begin to generate using the new mass.
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