[extropy-chat] 22nd Century Electronics

[Dirk Bruere]

On 10/4/05, nvitamore at austin.rr.com <nvitamore at austin.rr.com> wrote:
>
>
> Does anyone have an idea of what electronic (manufacturing) might be in
> the
> next 100 years?
>
> Any and all ideas welcome. (This is for a potential client and your ideas
> will be credited to you.)
>
> Well, first off nobody can make reliable predictions beyond about 2020 for
electronics.
Apart from that, some things *must* happen if progress is to be maintained.
The most crucial is to go to 3D, like the brain. At present only the top few
microns of a wafer are used.
Computation will also be massively distributed, unlike the von Neumann
architecture which is the basis of the PC.
It will also be massively redundant for two reasons. The first concerns the
reliability of nanometre components since it is highly unlikely that every
single processor amongst the trillions in a computer will all work
perfectly. Second is that most likely quantum effects will be used as part
of the processing tech (note that I'm not talking about quantum computers),
hence they will produce statistical outputs that will have to be iterated
repeatedly to get near 100% reliable answers.

Electronics will also be grown, not manufactured in a conventional sense so
it may be a pseudobiological process. A computer of 2105 might well look
like glowing pond scum or mold that interfaces via optical processes.

Dirk
-------------- next part --------------
An HTML attachment was scrubbed...
URL: <http://lists.extropy.org/pipermail/extropy-chat/attachments/20051004/990c0d86/attachment.html>