[extropy-chat] Inside Vs. Outside Forecasts

[Robin Hanson]

At 03:18 PM 10/25/2005, Hal Finney wrote:
>Further, these four pages said little to justify their arguments and
>relied largely on a single anecdote.  The issues that were brought out in
>the discussion here of the difficulty of choosing an appropriate outside
>view were generally ignored in the authors' eagerness to disparage
>people's supposed preferences for inside views.  ...

This seems a valid criticism to me.  Doesn't mean they are wrong of course.


Robin Hanson  rhanson at gmu.edu  http://hanson.gmu.edu
Associate Professor of Economics, George Mason University
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