[extropy-chat] Peak Oil news

[Samantha Atkins]

On Mar 7, 2006, at 2:20 PM, Robin Hanson wrote:
> The claims you both make could all be true, and yet Hal could still  
> be right.
> If you dispute the claim that speculative markets are the best  
> predictors
> available, please point to another available predictor you think  
> does better.
> We have many years of data on speculative markets to evaluate their  
> accuracy.
> How many years of data do we have evaluating your favored predictor?

Actually I don't need to do so in order to make the point I did make  
which is that the behavior of the market regarding oil futures is not  
at all adequate to judge whether Peak Oil theory is valid.

- samantha