[extropy-chat] "The Singularity Myth"
rhanson at gmu.edu
Sun Mar 19 00:55:30 UTC 2006
At 06:30 PM 3/18/2006, Lee Corbin wrote:
> > > Is everyone here still a true believer when it comes to the Singularity?
>I am. ... what year artificial intelligence achieves a kind of
>take-off that leaves unenhanced humans in the dust. In 1990 or so ...
>I went on record as predicting 2050 for a nanotech breakthrough and
>2061 for when (if things went well) I'd be unfrozen. ... 2060 or so
>for a singularity.
My talk here at Oxford puts me on record as predicting dramatically
accelerated economic growth within the next century (95% confidence
interval) with a median date of 2050.
Robin Hanson rhanson at gmu.edu http://hanson.gmu.edu
Associate Professor of Economics, George Mason University
MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-4444
703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323
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