[extropy-chat] An advance prediction for Tuesday

Ken Kittlitz ken at javien.com
Tue Nov 7 03:26:11 UTC 2006


At 06:27 PM 11/6/2006 -0800, Eliezer S. Yudkowsky wrote:
>Robin Hanson wrote:
> >
> > You have assigned no probability to your forecast.   Betting markets
> > now give a 20% chance to the Republicans keeping the House, so if
> > you assign a higher probability you should expect to make money
> > betting on your prediction.
>
>That's fair.  Where would I put a quick bet on my prediction, legally?
>(If you happen to know.)

If you'll settle for reputation karma rather than real money, you can try 
the Washington Stock Exchange:

<http://thewsx.com>

Disclaimer: I'm a co-founder.

---
Ken Kittlitz          http://www.javien.com




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