[ExI] psi or bad statistics?

Eliezer S. Yudkowsky sentience at pobox.com
Tue Dec 18 01:25:12 UTC 2007


Damien Broderick wrote:
> At 03:43 PM 12/17/2007 -0800, Eliezer wrote:
> 
>>The particular statistical flaw in Radin's experiments would seem to
>>be described here:
>>
>>http://m0134.fmg.uva.nl/publications/2002/expectationbias_PA2002.pdf
> 
> You did notice that this paper was co-authored by Prof. Dick Bierman, 
> who did substantial experimental work in presponses, showing 
> significant effects, both before and after this critique? As Dean 
> Radin comments:
> 
> "Of course Dick and I were aware of this purported bias from the very
> beginning of this line of research, over a decade ago. And of course
> we've checked it thoroughly. It is based on what amounts to a
> physiological gambler's fallacy. Dick and I, and Ed May and Rollin
> McCraty and others who've actually collected data have checked to see
> whether the proposed anticipatory biases actually appear in the data.
> The answer is no. We've all published our findings."

I see.  The flaw must be somewhere else, then.

-- 
Eliezer S. Yudkowsky                          http://singinst.org/
Research Fellow, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence



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