[extropy-chat] transhumanism=doomsday cult b.s?
Eliezer S. Yudkowsky
sentience at pobox.com
Thu Feb 1 00:25:31 UTC 2007
Russell Wallace wrote:
> It's difficult to reliably distinguish in advance between visionary
> ideas and wishful thinking, but I will suggest as a general guideline
> looking at the following categories of claims:
> X is *possible* vs X is *easy*.
> X *could* happen vs X *will* happen.
> X can be achieved *someday* vs X can be achieved *within a specific time*.
> In each case claims of the former type have very often proved true,
> whereas claims of the latter type usually have not, so we should be
> receptive to the former but much more skeptical of the latter.
Eliezer S. Yudkowsky http://singinst.org/
Research Fellow, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence
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