[extropy-chat] Cold Fusion Survey

[Robin Hanson]

At 05:12 PM 2/12/2007, John Clark wrote:
> > 1A. The probability that CF excess heat is a real phenomena, as
> > opposed to misleading experimental technique.
>
>One chance in 2 times 10^10
>...
> > 1B.  The threshold probability for 1A that would justify further
> > research into CF.
>
>One chance in 10^10^10

Do you understand that if p1A > p1B, then further research *is*
justified?


Robin Hanson  rhanson at gmu.edu  <http://hanson.gmu.edu>http://hanson.gmu.edu
Research Associate, Future of Humanity Institute at Oxford University
Associate Professor of Economics, George Mason University
MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-4444
703-993-2326  FAX: 703-993-2323