[ExI] how would Transhumanists cope, if the Singularity did nothappen in their lifetime?

John K Clark jonkc at att.net
Tue May 22 16:15:35 UTC 2007


I can't tell who as the endless quotes of quotes of quotes have defeated me,
but somebody wrote:

> The singularity prediction is a fallacy, based upon static projection,
> essentially the same mistake Thomas Maltus made when claiming Great
> Britain would collapse under a massive population explosion by 1850.

The same mistake?! Malthus assumed that the rate of food production (and
that is dependent on technological progress) would only increase in a
arithmetic manner when it actually turned out to be increased in a geometric
manner. Singularity enthusiasts assume the exact opposite of what Malthus
did.

And Malthus did not even mention another technological invention much less
its improvements, birth control.

  John K Clark






More information about the extropy-chat mailing list