[ExI] FW: elections again (with new analysis)

[The Avantguardian]

Just wanted to correct myself. The U.N. Observer is *not* actually
affiliated with the U.N.
 
--- The Avantguardian <avantguardian2020 at yahoo.com> wrote:

> 
> --- spike <spike66 at att.net> wrote:
> > Is there any other internet chatter to this effect?  Seems this
> > should
> > become a SMIR, or Snowballing Massive Internet Rumor: that the
> voting
> > machines miscounted the NH primary votes.  The implications are
> > stunning.
> 
> I don't think this is a loony conspiracy theory, Spike. It is well
> documented that the electronic voting system is easy to hack. Check
> out
> this:
> http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,133214,00.html
> 
> Apparently a trained chimp can do it without the help of a
> conspiracy.
> Although there is the question of motivation as in the video
> obviously
> somebody supplied the bananas.
> An interesting excerpt from the article:
> 
> begin->----------------
> The Diebold central tabulators use a program called "GEMS" that saves
> vote totals in Microsoft Access, a Windows-based database program.
> 
> GEMS (search) requires users to enter a password to access the vote
> totals, but Harris showed that the totals can also be opened -- and
> altered -- with Access, without ever running GEMS.
> 
> Because Access functions are already built in to the Windows
> operating
> system, the totals could be altered even if a computer did not have
> Access installed on it, said Herbert Thompson, a computer security
> expert who teaches at the Florida Institute of Technology (search).
> He
> demonstrated how to change vote totals with a six-line program in
> Microsoft notepad, "a simple text editor" that comes with all copies
> of
> Windows.
> end->-----------------
> 
> Even without stealth code in the application, or as an autorun script
> on a handful of flash cards from hefty districts, there are still
> many
> opportunities for a single bad actor to alter election results. And
> if
> you had a very short window of opportunity to alter the election
> results, switching the names would require the least effort and would
> not alter the vote count or seem obviously fake. Statistically data
> is
> hard to fake but easy to misrepresent.
> 
> Take into account the discrepency of the exit polls from the actual
> election results and there is a real possibility that something fishy
> occured in New Hampshire. I get the willies everytime exit polls are
> wrong.
> 
> >From what I know of statistics, as long as the data collectors are
> selecting their respondants randomly, these surveys should be correct
> to within their confidence interval. The least significance I think
> that any statistician would design his poll to reflect would be 95%.
> In
> other words the maximum chance that the exit polls are wrong is 5%
> and
> they should only be off by a small margin.
> 
> Therefore to have candidates declared the winner by exit surveys
> reported in the media, only to have their results overturned by the
> "official" vote count in two consecutive presedential elections is
> exceedingly unlikely. (Kerry vs. Bush, Ohio 2004) Using my
> conservative
> estimate of 5% uncertainty outside the confidence interval, that is a
> 1/400 chance.
> 
> Add to this the fact that candidates from both parties are demanding
> recounts (Ron Paul and Dean Kucinich) and you have a very reasonable
> chance that there was fraud involved.
> 
> Somewhat disturbing is that the UN is apparently more concerned over
> this than our own media is.
> http://www.unobserver.com/index.php?pagina=layout5.php&id=4271&blz=1 
>  
> 
> So in short, I wholeheartedly support your efforts to get to the
> bottom
> of this anomaly. I for one think that every precint that uses the
> voting machines should be required to take a small random sample of
> hand counted paper ballots as well. This sample could be used to
> validate the machine count. 
> 
> Here is a site that has useful election data:
> http://checkthevotes.com/primary_dem_New_Hampshire-comparison
> 
> 
> 
> 
> Stuart LaForge
> alt email: stuart"AT"ucla.edu
> 
> "Life is the sum of all your choices."  
> Albert Camus
> 
> 
>      
>
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Stuart LaForge
alt email: stuart"AT"ucla.edu

"Life is the sum of all your choices."  
Albert Camus


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