[ExI] MAX MORE in Second Life yesterday
hkhenson at rogers.com
Fri Jun 13 06:01:31 UTC 2008
At 06:35 PM 6/12/2008, Michael Anissimov wrote:
>On Mon, Jun 9, 2008 at 3:21 PM, hkhenson
><<mailto:hkhenson at rogers.com>hkhenson at rogers.com> wrote:
>Sorry Natasha, this "distinction" isn't one at all. It makes no
>difference if the events making up what is called the singularity
>take place over hours, days or years. The end result is still the
>same, humans as they are known today are no longer significant in
>shaping the world.
>I have to agree with Natasha and disagree with you on this... does
>it make no difference if it takes two years or ten years to graduate
>college? Get promoted at a job? Get to the end of the line at the
>DMV? Launch a superintelligence?
No matter how long these take, there is a watershed event at the end,
a degree, a new job title, a car license. Unless you die in the line
Same with AI. Some of the events that the future will see as marking
the singularity are happening now. As I have stated before, it's
been decades since an unaided human could design a VLSI chip. And
consider CGI. Are these tools, well yes. Are the tools making
decisions? Again yes, millions of decisions. Are these tools on the
march to sentience? If you have a good argument why they are not,
please state it. Think of the economic value of being able to
discuss a chip or a scene with a design computer.
>Also, some people seem to be under the mistaken impression that the
>Singularity is necessarily a worldwide event that touches
>everyone. As initially defined, it meant smarter-than-human
>intelligence. So you could have a smarter-than-human intelligence
>in Antarctica that just sits around and has no impact on the world
>whatsoever. Until the initial, Vingean, most useful definition of
>the Singularity, that would constitute one, but under the new,
>messy, overbroad, Kurzweilian definition, it wouldn't.
I am surprised you would even consider the singularity in terms of
geography. If a smarter-than-human AI existed anywhere within light
hours of the net it would have huge effects unless it was blocked
from communicating. If it was blocked, it could be co-located with
MAE West and have no impact.
Blocking an AI from communication would be pointless
economically. Do you doubt that value of a response email from an AI
that had access to all human knowledge and the ability to sort out
what was needed to solve some problem? Besides it would be suicidal
to block an AI if the AI had human type emotional
motivations. Having been locked up in solitary confinement with very
limited communications recently I can state that you *really* don't
want to do that to something smarter than humans. It's bad enough to
lock up an engineer.
PS. Being locked up and recovering from it (not likely to ever be
complete--detest California now) added a year to finding a solution
to make solar power satellites a possibly viable solution to the
energy crisis. Models of failing to solve energy problems show world
population falling by 100 million a
PPS. I really do appreciate that Extropians and related fellow
travelers tried, donations, petitions and thousands of phone
calls. Shame it didn't work.
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