[ExI] Next Decade May See No Warming

[Michael Lawrence]

So, several teams made climate models and all those models predicted global warming with increased atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration.  None – not one – of those models predicted that global warming would peak in 1998 then stop for the following decade despite atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration increasing by ~5%.  But that is what has happened.*** 
 
Now, one team has amended their model so it shows the cessation of global warming in 1998.  Their amended model predicts that global warming will re-start in 2015.  Does anybody other than a fool believe them?

Michael.

***Falsifiability? A prediction had been done in 1988 (Hansen et al), the test provided by reality seems to be going to falsify that prediction. Prediction wrong = hypothesis wrong. Consequently, regardless if whether it cools or warms, claiming that AGW is right anyways, denies falsifiabilty. 



-----Original Message-----
From:	extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org on behalf of Lee Corbin
Sent:	Thu 5/1/2008 8:42 AM
To:	ExI chat list
Cc:	
Subject:	[ExI] Next Decade May See No Warming

Once again, since I last posted on this topic, you have
seen dozens if not hundreds of references to global
warming. I certainly have. Scientific American, for
example, has religiously affirmed the imminent danger
in every issue in every year since about 2003.

So it's not out of place at all to bring up the other
side of the story, or data that might support it,
(whether or not I am myself an entirely unbiased
source).

I am sure, however, that facts like this will not diminish
Al Gore's enthusiam---nor the enthusiam of so many
people like him---that *immediate* and *drastic*
action (regardless of cost) must be undertaken by all
nations at once in order to save the planet.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/7376301.stm

Lee

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