[ExI] Article From March on SubPrime
Lee Corbin
lcorbin at rawbw.com
Wed Sep 24 13:49:38 UTC 2008
Fred writes about a March (!) 2008 article that very, very
clearly explains three ways that the federal government (
not it says, to be confused with the Fed reserve) contributed
to the current fiasco:
> Since there have been several posts about the current financial
> situation I thought that some might be interested in an article which
> covered many of these issues six months ago:
>
> http://www.investors.com/editorial/editorialcontent.asp?secid=1502&status=article&id=291507506135021
Thanks, Fred. Some highlights from that URL:
To see how the government contributed to the subprime mess, we
must look at the feds, not the Fed. The feds helped create the
problem in three main ways.
[1] First, the federal government contributes to what economists
call moral hazard - that is, people taking risks because they
know that if things turn out badly, someone else will bear a
large portion of the cost.
The federal government's semiautonomous mortgage agencies -
Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae - all buy and resell
mortgages. Of the more than $12 trillion in mortgages in
existence, one-third of them are owned by, or were securitized
by, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, Ginnie Mae, the Federal Housing and
Veterans Administration, plus other government agencies that
subsidize mortgages.
Although Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are no longer government
agencies, their status as government-sponsored enterprises causes
people who buy their repackaged loans to assume an implicit
federal government guarantee. Also, to the extent government
views large lending companies and banks as "too big to fail," it
contributes to moral hazard.
For the market economy to function well, it needs to be a profit
system and a profit-and-loss system, with the losses being the
penalty for bad decisions.
[2] The second way the feds contributed to the subprime mess was
with a little-noted change in regulations by the comptroller of
the currency in December 2005 that acted as the trigger.
Financial planner Less Antman has pointed out that the
comptroller started requiring banks to require minimum payments
on credit card balances, causing increases of at least 50% for
most cards and as much as 100% on others. Many people who hold
subprime mortgages are people for whom a higher monthly payment
on a credit card would be a problem.
Imagine that you're such a person and that before you always made
sure you made your mortgage payments. With the new regulation,
you instead make your credit card payment but miss your mortgage
payment, a widely observed transformation in the traditional
American delinquency pattern.
Thus the comptroller's apparently small change in regulations had
the unintended effect of causing some mortgage borrowers to
default.
[3] The third federal contributor to the subprime crisis is the
Community Reinvestment Act. This act, first passed in 1977 and
beefed up in 1995, requires banks to lend to high-risk areas that
they otherwise would avoid. Those banks that fail to comply pay
fines and have more difficulty getting approval for mergers and
branch expansions.
As Stan Liebowitz, a University of Texas economist, has pointed
out, a Fannie Mae Foundation report enthusiastically singled out
one mortgage lender that followed "the most flexible underwriting
criteria permitted." That lender's loans to low-income people had
grown to $600 billion by 2003.
Its name? Countrywide, the largest U.S. mortgage lender and one
of the lenders in the most trouble for its lax lending practices.
How ironic, then, that the same federal government, and many of
its boosters, now attack Countrywide for following the very
policies the government wanted earlier.
Without any further bailouts, the government could reverse some
of the steps that led to this debacle. Will it? Not likely.
Lee
> or with a preview tiny url
>
> http://preview.tinyurl.com/3dbt25
>
> And in the interest of full disclosure I am acquainted with both authors.
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