[ExI] Sea level rise

Rafal Smigrodzki rafal.smigrodzki at gmail.com
Fri Aug 7 20:52:19 UTC 2009


Hansen has been found guilty of significant scientific misconduct. One
should be very careful of using him as a source.

Rafal

On Fri, Aug 7, 2009 at 9:13 AM, scerir<scerir at libero.it> wrote:
> Alfio:
>> Go to http://www.ipcc.ch/
>> and have a look at the three working group reports
>> of the IPCC for the 2007 assessment.
>> Each chapter is heavily referenced.
>
> See also:
>
> "Scientific reticence and sea level rise."
> -J. E. Hansen (NASA Giss)
> (Submitted on 23 Mar 2007)
> Abstract: I suggest that a "scientific reticence" is inhibiting
> communication of a threat of potentially large sea level rise. Delay is
> dangerous because of system inertias that could create a situation with
> future sea level changes out of our control. I argue for calling together a
> panel of scientific leaders to hear evidence and issue a prompt
> plain-written report on current understanding of the sea level change issue.
> http://arxiv.org/ftp/physics/papers/0703/0703220.pdf
>
>
> It seems (to me) relevant what Hansen writes:
> "The nonlinearity of the ice sheet problem makes
> it impossible to accurately predict sea level
> change on a specific date. However, as a physicist,
> I find it almost inconceivable that BAU [business-as-usual]
> climate change would not yield a sea level change measured
> in meters on the century time scale."



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