[ExI] Some thoughts on the ecopocalypse - the argument for domestic ground based solar.
emlynoregan at gmail.com
Fri Nov 27 13:49:51 UTC 2009
2009/11/27 Eugen Leitl <eugen at leitl.org>:
> It doesn't look like novel reactor types will be there on time,
> given that we need to roll out massive capacity by 2030 or 2040.
> I think thin-film PV is the only technology up to the task.
The good thing from an economic point of view with domestic solar, is
the short innovation period, and that consumers will buy it multiple
times. So say you have a few thousand bucks for PV that almost
provides all your power needs, and people buy that, then a couple of
years later you have it for a similar price that provides all your
needs plus half again, then some of the same people will buy that,
then a couple of years later half the price, twice as good again, the
same people will buy it again, and so on. That's the financial driver
for exponential improvement. Hopefully there's a similar enabling
technological approach to help keep up with demand. eg: if we use the
same kinds of technologies to print the panels or roof tiles or what
have you, that we use for fabbing chips. Is that plausible?
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