[ExI] simulation as an improvement over reality
Anders Sandberg
anders at aleph.se
Thu Dec 30 00:52:05 UTC 2010
On 2010-12-28 21:25, spike wrote:
>> ...5a) Cackle maniacally. Mandatory, if you believe Hollywood. ;)...
>
> There are two schools of thought on this. There is the old standard
> Muwaaa{ha}^5 crowd, and those who insist on the more guttural and evil
> sounding mirthful interjection starting with Buuwaa.
I am firmly in the Muwaaa{ha}^5 group. My colleagues at FHI have learned
to fear when my laughter echoes down the hall...
(Nick: "Anders, have you come up with *another* WMD?! We are supposed to
*save* mankind.")
>> ...7) At some point, teleoperation just won't cut it, and you'll want to
> have an on-site crew... Adrian
>
> I must disagree on this, or perhaps modify it thus: teleoperation will
> continue to work, ever improving in fact, but we may argue the whole point
> of the entire exercise is to move meat to the remote site. It isn't
> *necessary* so much as it is the *goal*, an end point, even if technically
> pointless, like sporting events and so much human activity. We just do it
> because... well, we don't know why, but we still do it anyway.
But can teleoperation become so good that it reduces the instrumental
interest in moving a mind to the moon?
The obvious problem is lag. But if the teleoperation is more about
directing fairly autonomous systems, then that might be fine. Many
human-computer interaction tricks also seem to be able to hide lags,
getting the full human perceptual-motor abilities without too much
annoyance.
Given the transport problems over the last year (due to an overstretched
infrastructure and too much institutional risk aversion) I have made the
following "probable surprise": more transport system crashes will occur
due to fairly normal fluctuations, and together with expanding IT
infrastructure more and more people will be fine with at least social
telepresence. Whether that can be carried over to useful telework
remains to be seen.
Maybe the future belongs to crowdsourcing things: the moonbase gets
built by a Farmville-clone where millions of Facebook users play a game
of construction for fabulous badges! (This is in fact the current plot
in my Eclipse Phase rpg campaign)
--
Anders Sandberg
Future of Humanity Institute
Oxford University
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