[ExI] Meat v. Machine
Eugen Leitl
eugen at leitl.org
Fri Dec 31 11:00:08 UTC 2010
On Thu, Dec 30, 2010 at 11:04:54PM -0800, Samantha Atkins wrote:
> Well now we don't have the heavy lifters we had before.
We're only trying to deliver a number of small parcels.
Each smaller than the one before.
> Are you sure you believe that the current huge cost to
> orbit is good enough? I have rarely been so utterly
The parcels are very, very small. There are tens
of thousands of inviduals who could afford one.
> amazed and had as much trouble believing a statement
> as that one. Hell, we still don't have much better
> than 80% success putting payloads into orbit. Why
It doesn't matter if you lose some parcels.
> in the hell is this good enough?
>
> Again, we are three decades from machine phase. Are
Or we're 80 years away. Or a century. Nobody knows.
Bootstrap is hard, let's go shopping.
> you sure we have that much time?
Do you expect military ecovorous self-replicators
to be a serious problem, in that time frame?
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