[ExI] Tipler on hurricanes and IPCC
Damien Broderick
thespike at satx.rr.com
Thu Feb 25 02:42:55 UTC 2010
<http://pajamasmedia.com/blog/climategate-more-science-fiction-from-the-ipcc/?singlepage=true>
sample:
<This is the essence of the IPCC Assessment Report 4 (WG1 chapter 3)
executive summary on hurricanes:
Intense tropical cyclone activity has increased since about 1970. …
Globally, estimates of the potential destructiveness of hurricanes show
a significant upward trend since the mid-1970s, with a trend towards
longer lifetimes and greater storm intensity. … These relationships have
been reinforced by findings of a large increase in numbers and
proportion of hurricanes reaching categories 4 and 5 globally. … numbers
of hurricanes in the North Atlantic have also been above normal (based
on 1981–2000 averages) in 9 of the last 11 years, culminating in the
record-breaking 2005 season.
In reality, hurricanes, in both strength and in frequency, have been
decreasing over the past four years. Ryan Maue of the Center for
Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies (COAPS) at Florida State
University, a hurricane researcher, has shown that “global and Northern
Hemisphere tropical cyclone activity remains near 30-year historical
lows — three years in a row now of considerably below-average activity
globally.”>
See graphs etc at site.
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