[ExI] Fwd: [Exl] Psi and EP

[Dave Sill]

2010/7/3 <udend05 at aol.com>

> As to the last, I admit I am by no means a statistician or mathematician,
> so a lot of what Damien in particular has been saying has gone right over my
> head, but isn't it more likely for a number superstitiously held on to and
> thus repeatedly used to come up more often in terms of lottery or casino
> wins? I mean in the sense that if you keep using the same number it is bound
> to get drawn at some point - more so than if you kept changing the numbers
> randomly?


No and no. The probability of a number coming up isn't affected in any way
by the number of people who've picked it, assuming there's no psi at work.
Likewise, sticking with a pick doesn't improve one's chances compared to
randomly changing. It might seem counterintuitive, but for a series of coin
tosses, tossing ten heads in a row is no more unlikely than tossing
HHTHHTTHTT.

-Dave
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