[ExI] Fwd: [Exl] Psi and EP
pharos at gmail.com
Sun Jul 4 20:28:43 UTC 2010
On 7/4/10, udend05 wrote:
On 7/4/10, Dave Sill wrote:
> > No and no. The probability of a number coming up isn't affected in any way
> > by the number of people who've picked it, assuming there's no psi at work.
> > Likewise, sticking with a pick doesn't improve one's chances compared to
> > randomly changing. It might seem counterintuitive, but for a series of coin
> > tosses, tossing ten heads in a row is no more unlikely than tossing
> > HHTHHTTHTT.
> Thanks for this, Dave. I stand corrected. I think I knew about the coin toss
> from reading Derren Brown's book. However, I don't think it materially
> affects the rest of my argument.
Be careful how you bet on this though.
The odds on throwing specifically ten heads are 1024 to 1. (Same as
any other *specific* ten coin combination).
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