[ExI] Belief in maths (was mind body dualism).

[Robert Picone]

2010/7/7 John Clark <jonkc at bellsouth.net>

> On Jul 7, 2010, at 7:51 PM, Mike Dougherty wrote:
>
> Of course a fair coin is 50/50.  How did we learn this?
>
>
> From it's history. If I knew nothing about the coin except that it just
> produced 99 heads in a row I would say the probability it is a fair coin is
> greater than zero but very very small. I certainly wouldn't trust it for
> anything important.
>
>  John K Clark
>
>
> At 1/2^98 (or 1 in 317 billion billion billion, (317 octillion?)), the odds
of the next flip killing the observer are much much greater than the odds of
it being a series of fair flips, the odds of any event that has ever
occurred in the history of the universe reoccurring are much much greater
than the chances of it being a series of fair coin flips..  Even though the
chance is indeed nonzero, as with many other elements of this discussion,
there is no reasonable reason to treat it any different than if it were
zero.
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