[ExI] Phil Jones acknowledging that climate science isn'tsettled

spike spike66 at att.net
Wed Mar 3 21:51:59 UTC 2010


	From: ... Stefano Vaj
...	
...If, for instance, evidence suggested that, be it for our own emission, we
are now facing a runaway warming process no matter what, probably we could
accept the "ecological disruption" involved in firing up most of our fissile
stuff to put in the sky...Stefano Vaj
	
Ja I get your point Stefano, but when I see comments in the lamestream press
about runaway warming processes, I must wonder if the writers really
understand three critically important concepts.  

	- First, do they get the notion of negative feedback system
stabilization in nature?  Nature has a bunch of feedback mechanisms that are
not at all obvious, even to those studying the systems.  Negative feedback
loops are everywhere in nature.  The skies would be safer if aircraft had as
many.  

	- Secondly, do they recognize that we have a long history which
indicates that huge changes in climate haven't happened in the past?  

	- Third, do they understand the fourth power relationship of emitted
black body radiation to temperature?  The fourth power is a really
hyperactive function: if the black body temperature rises just a little, the
emitted energy to space increases as the fourth power.  I am amazed that
relationship, and how it is such a powerful factor in keeping the
temperature of a planet within a reasonably narrow band, plus or minus
10-ish Kelvin for the history of life on this rock.

I suspect that if sometime in the future we intentionally try to change the
climate, we will be amazed at how hard it is to do, and how many stabilizing
feedback loops keep showing up, kinda like bugs in whatever software I am
trying to write, always at least one more.

spike






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