[ExI] Eliezer S. Yudkowsky, Singularitarian Principles. Update?

[Samantha Atkins]

On Nov 14, 2010, at 9:03 AM, Stefano Vaj wrote:

> On 14 November 2010 02:22, Damien Broderick <thespike at satx.rr.com> wrote:
>> Extrope Dan Clemmensen posted here around 15 years ago his conviction that
>> the Singularity would happen "before 1 May, 2006" (the net would "wake up").
>> Bad luck.
> 
> I still believe that seeing the Singularity as an "event" taking place
> at a given time betrays a basic misunderstanding of the metaphor, ony
> too open to the sarcasm of people such as Carrico.
> 
> If we go for the original meaning of "the point in the future where
> the predictive ability of our current forecast models and
> extrapolations obviously collapse", it would seem obvious that the
> singularity is more of the nature of an horizon, moving forward with
> the perspective of the observer, than of a punctual event.

That is not the original meaning but a likely consequence of the advent of AGI.

- s