[ExI] Singletons
Anders Sandberg
anders at aleph.se
Mon Jan 3 17:30:06 UTC 2011
Eugen Leitl wrote:
> The problem that the local rules cannot be static, if the underlying
> substrate isn't. And if there's life, it's not static. Unless the
> cop keeps beating you into submission every time you deviate from
> the rules.
>
Which could be acceptable if the rules are acceptable. Imagine that
there is a particular kind of physics experiment that causes cosmic
vacuum decay. The system monitors all activity, and stomps on attempts
at making the experiment. Everybody knows about the limitation and can
see the logic of it. It might be possible to circumvent the system, but
it would take noticeable resources that fellow inhabitants would
recognize and likely object too.
Now, is this really unacceptable and/or untenable?
The rigidity of rules the singleton enforces can be all over the place
from deterministic stimulus-responses to the singleton being some kind
of AI or collective mind. The legitimacy can similarly be all over the
place, from a basement accidental hard takeoff to democratic one-time
decisions to something that is autonomous but designed to take public
opinion into account. There is a big space of possible singleton designs.
> Let's look at a population of cultures the size of a galaxy. How do
> you produce an existential risk within a single system that can wipe
> more than a stellar system? In order to produce larger scale mayhem
> you need to utilize the resources of a large number of stellar
> systems concertedly, which requires large scale cooperation of
> pangalactic EvilDoers(tm).
>
If existential risks are limited to local systems, then at most there is
a need for a local singleton (and maybe none, if you like living free
and dangerously).
However, there might be threats that require wider coordination or at
least preparation. Imagine interstellar "grey goo" (replicators that
weaponize solar systems and try to use existing resources to spread),
and a situation of warfare where the square of number of units gives the
effective strength (as per the Lanchester law; whether this is actually
true in real life will depend on a lot of things). In that case allowing
the problem to grow in a few systems far enough would allow it to become
overwhelming. In this case it might be enough to coordinate defensive
buildup within a broad ring around the goo, but it would still require
coordination - especially if there were the usual kind of public goods
problems in doing it.
--
Anders Sandberg,
Future of Humanity Institute
Philosophy Faculty of Oxford University
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