[ExI] NYT reports criticisms of Precognition article

[Adrian Tymes]

On Jan 6, 2011 3:49 PM, "Stathis Papaioannou" <stathisp at gmail.com wrote:
> On Fri, Jan 7, 2011 at 4:48 AM, Adrian Tymes <atymes at gmail.com wrote:
> > That's not how I read it.  I think they're saying, the analysis fails
> > to evaluate the
> > probability that ESP does not exist, and only evaluates the probability that it
> > does.
>
> Don't the two probabilities necessarily add up to 1, given that either
> ESP does or does not exist?

1, or 100%, or X to Y odds.  Without going into too much detail, the problem
is that they present the X but not the Y, and they don't give an absolute
ranking (like .4 or 40%) from which the rest could be deduced.