[ExI] Why no space colonies or lunar bases? was Mooon.
Ben Zaiboc
bbenzai at yahoo.com
Sat Jul 23 16:00:40 UTC 2011
Samantha Atkins <sjatkins at mac.com> wrote:
On 07/22/2011 04:59 PM, John Grigg wrote:
>> Keith, I would think the answer is to let technology mature to the
>> point where we can built an effective space elevator, circa 2030 or
>> 2040. And then the price of going into space plunges downward to I
>> believe around $100 a pound!
> Last I looked we are 2 (or was it 3) orders of magnitude too slow on
> elevator climber technology and more than 4 orders of magnitude off in
> cable material strength even in the smallest possible sample size that
> could be tested. So I very much doubt we will see space elevators any
> time soon.
I think that's why John said "circa 2030 or 2040"
A decade starting in 2020 is quite a different thing to a decade starting in 2000. Or even 2010.
And if a decade starting in 2030 isn't a /radically/ different thing, we're probably all wasting our breath.
Ben Zaiboc
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