[ExI] Shared "Mind" Database & AI Development
Dennis May
dennislmay at yahoo.com
Fri Oct 21 03:44:25 UTC 2011
One of the largest challenges in the development
of AI is financial. Some ten years ago I estimated
my favored approach would take some 2 billion
dollars in lab equipment and infrastructure plus
the budget to keep a minimum of 50 people
involved - call it 100 million per year for 10-15
years. Adjust for current pricing. I based this
pricing from my experience at a particular lab
which is part of what is now called the Air Force
Research Laboratory system.
I don't expect this kind of steady long term
investment to be available from any government
entity in my lifetime. It could however be built
up over time as part of a commercial enterprise
delivering a personal upgrade product line.
This concept would be a continuation of the idea
of a series of minor human upgrades - possibly
involving a kind of smart phone technology and
minor implants and added sensor capability.
The reason I put in the headline shared "mind"
database is because thousands of customers
could be served and help add knowledge to a
growing database system - a kind of automated
Wikipedia of the mind. The growth of the system
can help pay for the AI work. The AI is
integrated into the network as portions come on
line. It would be expected that over the time
frame of development there would be
improvements in product delivery, improved
sensors, improved implants, and improvements
in the AI structure and ways to integrate it into
the database. The AI portion would be the
financing I indicated before. The upgrade and
shared mind database development would
become another whole large entity over time.
Like anything it would necessarily start small
with a tiny number of applications, sensors,
and implant options.
Grand up front designs for AI will die when at
the hands of bean counters and/or politically
savvy managers with pet projects and
connections. The government lab system is
littered with dead projects that die one of these
two ways. The wheel is re-invented at least twice
per generation.
Just my 2 cents for the day.
Dennis May
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