[ExI] The silent PV revolution
Jeff Davis
jrd1415 at gmail.com
Thu Mar 29 18:36:40 UTC 2012
A large inventory of electric vehicles creates a large, distributed
energy storage capability in the form of an inventory of large
electric-vehicle battery packs.
This makes for a sweet synergy between the electric car and the energy
storage needs of commercial-scale PV-generated electricity.
Others have observed this before. I'm just repeating it.
Best, Jeff Davis
2012/3/29 Alfio Puglisi <alfio.puglisi at gmail.com>:
> During the last few days, I have realized that something very interesting is
> going to happen on electricity markets this summer: there is a
> non-negligible chance that a major country is going to have so much
> production from solar photovoltaics that it will have to *export*
> a sizable fraction of it.
>
> The facts: Italy has a population of about 60 million, and peak electricity
> usage that hovers around 50 GW on working days, and 40 GW on weekends.
>
> This February, mid-day PV production peaked at almost 10 GW. That's about
> 330% more than last February. Generous feed-in tariffs have fueled this
> crazy growth. Given the explosive results, tariffs are being slashed every
> few months, but PV installations show no signs of slowing down.
>
> The graph of hour-by-hour prices in the electricity market
> is mightily interesting: http://www.mercatoelettrico.org/It/ (top left
> graph, red line is instantaneous price): two peaks at 9am and 8pm, while in
> the rest of the day the market is flooded with PV-generated energy, which
> keeps prices down. A few years ago the shape was totally different - a
> high plateau during the entire day.
>
> in 2011, PV generation in August was 5x the one in February. If the trend
> holds, Italy risks to have too much electricity for its internal market at
> certain times (starting from noon at weekends, and working down from there),
> and will have to export. That's quite a change, since Italy has been a
> chronic energy importer for entire *decades*. Countless electrons inside the
> power lines coming in from France, Switzerland and Slovenia will have to
> suddenly move in a direction they have never witnessed before.
>
> Traditional energy giants are lobbying like hell the government to regulate
> the market back into something more manageable (for them), but I think it's
> too late. Gas-burning plants, designed to spin up during demand spikes,
> are already being priced out.
>
> Is there anyone out there closely following the same developments, or it's
> just me having unhealthy interests? :-)
>
> Ciao,
> Alfio
>
>
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