[ExI] Wash post comment

Kelly Anderson kellycoinguy at gmail.com
Tue May 22 00:39:36 UTC 2012

On Mon, May 21, 2012 at 5:45 PM, Max More <max at maxmore.com> wrote:
> The optimism bias appears to apply to individual's assessments of their own
> capabilities and chances of success. It does not seem to apply to judgments
> of the future in general. It's perfectly possible -- and seems to be common
> -- for humans in our society to be unrealistically optimistic about their
> own changes while being pessimistic about the world in general.
> A fascinating book on this topic is Shelly E. Taylor's Positive Illusions.

I think Ray K is right... we are overly optimistic about what we can
achieve in the short term, and overly pessimistic about what we can
achieve in the long term. That fits with my experiences....


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