[ExI] Whatever happened to peak oil by 2020?

Eugen Leitl eugen at leitl.org
Wed May 8 12:07:53 UTC 2013

On Tue, May 07, 2013 at 04:46:58PM -0700, Adrian Tymes wrote:

> Or simply synthesize gasoline.  It's a form that gets used (a lot), and

One does not simply synthesize gasoline</boromir> Particularly,
if you want to fill a large gap almost overnight.

Look into costs and time and material and energy input
for a plant, then multiply by the number required.

This is what takes 30-40 years for a conversion process.

So by the time there's a need you're a few decades too late.

> less conversions = less energy lost to conversion.  There are places
> in the US, such as east-central Washington, where the cost of
> a given KWh content of electricity is much less than the same KWh
> in gasoline form - although in most of the US, it is the other way
> around, sometimes substantially so.

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