[ExI] Our place in the really really BIG Universe.

[Tomaz Kristan]

No problem. The exponential growth will soon enable us to look everywhere
all the time, with even a sharper vision than this.





On Tue, Dec 1, 2015 at 12:11 PM, Anders Sandberg <anders at aleph.se> wrote:

> It is one of the best pictures ever.
>
> On 2015-12-01 10:37, BillK wrote:
>
>> I wonder how many other species have gazed at this view in awe........
>>
>> Well, it is only one part of 40 million, so roughly speaking if each civ
> looks at one such part we should expect one civ in 40 million to have
> looked at it. This of course ignores that space is 3D, that some civs look
> at more or less etc.
>
> If there are N other civilizations that have this spot in the visible
> universe, the chance that all of them miss a spot that there is probability
> p of seeing is (1-p)^N. For p=2.5e-8, if there are a million civilizations,
> the chance is 97%. A billion civilizations, essentially zero.
>
> A civilization looking at k spots is equivalent to k civilizations looking
> at one spot in the above calculation, so a million civs taking 1000
> pictures is equivalent to a billion civs.
>
>
>
> --
> Anders Sandberg
> Future of Humanity Institute
> Oxford Martin School
> Oxford University
>
>
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