[ExI] Wise Donald Trump

[Stathis Papaioannou]

You think Hilary Clinton is 12 times as likely to start a nuclear war as
her predecessors? Why?

On 2 June 2016 at 12:41, spike <spike66 at att.net> wrote:

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> *From:* extropy-chat [mailto:extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org] *On
> Behalf Of *Stathis Papaioannou
> *Sent:* Wednesday, June 01, 2016 7:11 PM
> *To:* ExI chat list <extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org>
> *Subject:* Re: [ExI] Wise Donald Trump
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> With a 10% chance that a US president would use nuclear weapons in a 4
> year term, that would mean about an 84% chance of use in the past 70
> years.  Stathis
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> No, I would have gone with about 1% each.  The current two front runners
> are about 10 times and 12 times riskier than their predecessors in my
> estimation.
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> Their opponent is safer in every area I can think of, every single one.
> We just need to get over the outdated notion that only those two parties
> can win.  We really should get that.  Reasoning: in the past, the
> newspapers and mainstream TV news were the only real sources of
> information.  Now we have the internet, we have good alternatives.  We can
> find out things our predecessors could not.
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> We can do as Bobby Kennedy suggested: look at things which have never
> been, then ask: Why not?  Where is the hard and fast rule that says all
> presidents must be either Republican or Democrat?  Who is telling us that,
> and what are their credentials?  Or are we all just too conservative and
> change resistant?  Is there a law that insists it can only be one of those
> two forever?  It can only be whoever the press tells us we can choose
> from?  Can anyone else ever win even if he is clearly better?  Why not?
> Can we not hear the approaching steps of the girl with the hammer?  Why
> not?  I can.  Can you?
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> spike
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-- 
Stathis Papaioannou
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