[ExI] mutual assured injury

[spike]

Subject: Re: [ExI] mutual assured injury

 

 

​>> ​On 2016-11-05 14:42, Jason Resch wrote:

 A study by Hugh Everett showed even a small nuclear exchange of 100 or so nukes would lead to the deaths of billions from radioactive pollution.

 

 

>…Unfortunately the produce would be seething with radioactive Strontium 90 which seeps into human bone marrow and causes cancer"…. John K Clark​

 

 

​These kinds of analyses also need to be revisited.  I had not followed it, so it was news to me that the worldwide nuclear stockpile had reduced to a quarter of what it was in the time of Gorby and Reagan accords.  Also to be revisited is the notion that nuclear deterrence is useless.  In the early 90s, endgame defense from an ICBM was considered a fantasy, but so was a rocket that could descend nozzle-down and land on its feet.  Well, it can do that now.  

 

We have endgame defense against an ICBM now as well.  Recall that in the late 90s, those THAAD missiles started to hit targets, right around the same time that a supercomputer beat the world champion in chess.  A lot has changed since then.  Now, a telephone can beat the world champion in chess (without calling a friend or needing charging during the game.)  

 

OK so what can that endgame defense do now?  We don’t know, but if it hits its target, the nuclear explosion never takes place because the warhead is destroyed on impact, there is no Strontium 90, none of the horrors that made up the reports written back in the day.  The THAAD arsenal did not exist then, but they have been in steady production ever since back then.

 

With the technologies quietly developed in the past 20 years, there is a chance some USians and Russians could survive an anticipated escalation of hostilities with not all major cities destroyed and the global environmental destruction resulting in fewer than a billion human casualties.  The whole notion was ridiculed back in the 90s.  Perhaps it will vindicate itself by holding worldwide casualties to a mere few hundred million.

 

spike

 

 

 

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