[ExI] evolution and crazy thinking

SR Ballard sen.otaku at gmail.com
Wed Aug 8 15:19:31 UTC 2018


Statistical trends over past election cycles point towards a ‘blue wave’, because generally the president’s party lose seats in the first midterm election. I think the only recent violation of that trend was the midterm directly after 9/11.

This is also the same trend data which suggested that the Republican would become president in 2016. And while presidents usually get two terms, I think Trump might be the exception in this case. 

But it’s far too soon to tell. Hopefully in the next year the Democratic party can find a candidate that people want to vote FOR rather than simply begging people to vote AGAINST the other guy. It’s depressing when the election is framed not as “I’m better than the other guy” but as “The other guy is even worse than I am”.


> By the way, people are talking about a "Blue Wave" in November and the Democrats taking control of the House and maybe even the Senate, I have no idea if that will happen but if it does you can bet your bottom dollar Trump will start screaming "fake election". And if he doesn't get reelected in 2020 he will scream even louder and declare himself Presadent For Life:
> https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=09ZCJnf-qMw
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> John K Clark
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> https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=09ZCJnf-qMw
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