[ExI] Interesting statistic

John Clark johnkclark at gmail.com
Thu Nov 8 17:40:43 UTC 2018


On Thu, Nov 8, 2018 at 12:06 PM Darin Sunley <dsunley at gmail.com> wrote:

> You know, if you just read fivethirtyeight.com, these things will stop
> coming as traumatic surprises. Absolutely nothing happened Tuesday night
> that wasn't right smack dab in the middle of the probability distribution
> they've been describing for months.
>

Yes, 538 did pretty well in 2018. But in 2016 although they did a lot
better than most they still got it wrong.

John K Clark
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