[ExI] logic puzzle

[Adrian Tymes]

These are the ways the series could have gone down, given that information:
BBAAA
ABAA (series would have ended there)
ABBAA
ABABA

Given that, I calculate the odds of the Bananas having won the first
game as 1/4.

On Tue, Jan 29, 2019 at 10:09 PM <spike at rainier66.com> wrote:
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> I’m doing a test.  I get a different answer from the one the test publisher offers.  Anyone want to take a crack at it?
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> The Annapolis Apples and the Boston Bananas play a series.  First team to win 3 games wins the series.  Each team is equally likely to win each game, no ties, games independent.
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> If the Bananas won the second game but the Apples won the series, what is the probability that the Bananas won the first game?
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