[ExI] The German oddity

Darin Sunley dsunley at gmail.com
Sat Apr 4 21:48:43 UTC 2020

Coronavirus Case Counts Are Meaningless**Unless you know something about
testing. And even then, it gets complicated.


On Sat, Apr 4, 2020 at 3:01 PM Stathis Papaioannou via extropy-chat <
extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:

> On Sat, 4 Apr 2020 at 23:53, John Clark via extropy-chat <
> extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:
>> Germany has over 90,000 people infected with COVID-19, only the US, Italy
>> and Spain have more, but for some reason the deaths from it is remarkably
>> low there, only 1.3%; in comparison the death rate in Italy is 12%, in
>> Spain it's 10%, in the US it's 2.5%. Part of the reason may be Germany's
>> aggressive use of testing and their excellent health care system, they tend
>> to hospitalize people who test positive for the virus even if their
>> symptoms are mild because they have built lots of intensive care beds for
>> them and they know their condition can change for the worse very rapidly
>> and their chances of survival are much better if they're in a hospital when
>> that happens. The death rate in the US will certainly increase when doctors
>> start rationing ventilators and are forced to decide who should live and
>> who should die, and that will probably begin in the next week.
> It’s a mystery as to why death rates are so different in different
> countries. Australia had 5548 cases and 30 deaths as of 4th April. There is
> widespread testing, about 100,000 people, but only sick people are
> hospitalised.
>> --
> Stathis Papaioannou
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