[ExI] predictit gone?

spike at rainier66.com spike at rainier66.com
Mon Jun 1 17:18:43 UTC 2020


 

 

> On Behalf Of Dylan Distasio via extropy-chat
Subject: Re: [ExI] predictit gone?

 

Spike-

 

>…FYI, it's up now so your $17 appears safe!

 

 

Thanks Dylan!

 

Ja, 17 bucks or 73, depending on how I look at it: kinda like Schrodinger’s cat.  Those are virtual dollars in there.

 

My prediction stands: even if not now, then eventually, this site and every site doing the same thing will suddenly disappear without a trace.  There is no real legal infrastructure to stop it, or any willingness to chase down the newly rich perp.  So… over time the incentive to skip town increases like the rising waters behind an earthen dam.  Sooner or later, the collapse comes.

 

If they allowed me to do so, I would introduce a scaled meme, where people can bet on the date Predictit will fold and flee, taking your money.  I suspect Predictit would not allow that meme.  {8^D

 

I will leave my 17 or 73 virtual bucks in there for now, just for the entertainment value and the insights it produces.

 

spike

 

 

 

 

On Mon, Jun 1, 2020 at 12:56 PM spike jones via extropy-chat <extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org <mailto:extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> > wrote:

 Since Robin Hanson is back among us and may be considered the father of meme betting, he might find interesting the latest development.

 …

Apparently whoever runs Predictit is there now, for the site suddenly went dead yesterday and is not back today.

https://www.predictit.org/

…

spike

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