[ExI] Trusting China information was Protest

[spike at rainier66.com]

> On Behalf Of Keith Henson via extropy-chat
Subject: Re: [ExI] Trusting China information was Protest

<spike at rainier66.com>

snip

> I don't think China completely eliminated the virus.

Obviously not.  However, when they said they had, I am reasonably sure they
thought that was true.

The question I was asking was is if you think the data from China about this
outbreak is factual and if you don't, why are they reporting this incident?

Keith
_______________________________________________


Hi Keith, hmmm hard to say.  I tend to think of these kinds of questions in
percentages, as people who play real-money ideas futures do.  I would
estimate about a 5% chance China reported their covid cases accurately to
within an order of magnitude.  I will grant they didn't know (or care) about
their rural cases.  

I don't know why they are reporting this outbreak, but best guess is that we
have eyes and ears inside China reporting it, so we already knew.  It would
further damage their credibility to deny it.

spike